Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2826 CWSA 05⧸01⧸25

00:00:00.000 Because they're up. Yay. Yay. Let me get your comments working here and then we got a show

00:00:08.500 to do. Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called

00:00:31.480 Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take this

00:00:36.920 experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains.

00:00:43.720 All you need for that is a cup of munger, a glass of tank or shells, a cider, a canteen jug or a flask,

00:00:49.080 a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the

00:00:55.560 unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine dinner of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:00.180 It's called the simultaneous sip and it's going to happen right now. Go.

00:01:06.920 So good. I might have to do that again later. It was that good.

00:01:18.940 Well, let's check in with science. See what science can tell us. According to the Pennington Biomedical

00:01:27.940 Research Center, the average rate of obesity among Americans has risen by approximately 30% over 20

00:01:36.560 years. Now, how many of you have not noticed? Have you noticed that the rate of obesity is

00:01:45.560 sort of through the roof? There's good news and there's bad news. The good news is that it's never

00:01:54.800 been easier to be in the top 10% of attractive people. You know, it used to be when I was a kid,

00:02:03.540 if you were born attractive, well, you had all the advantages. But given that, you know, in theory,

00:02:12.220 everybody can lose weight and everybody can, you know, fix their teeth if they have enough money and

00:02:17.940 everybody can get a good haircut and maybe do something about your skin and wear better clothes.

00:02:24.680 It has never been easier to be in the top 10%. And if you're in the top 10% of attractive people,

00:02:32.380 things will probably go pretty well for you. So it's good news and bad news.

00:02:36.840 Well, apparently the Wall Street Journal had a big old fake news story. They were saying that

00:02:44.880 Tesla was looking for a new CEO to replace Musk, but they failed to run Tesla's denial. So

00:02:55.520 I guess they asked Tesla and Tesla said, absolutely not. That is not happening. Nobody's looking for a

00:03:02.640 new CEO. We already have a CEO. It's Musk. And they didn't run the denial.

00:03:10.980 It's one thing to be wrong, but being wrong when the only really reliable source of information

00:03:19.780 tells you that you're absolutely 100% wrong, that's pretty bad. And Elon Musk wasn't too happy about

00:03:28.860 that. I guess you wouldn't be too happy either if the news ran such a fake report about you.

00:03:38.400 Here's some news about Tim Walsh, who I call the pointy-haired boss. You know, if I ever do a

00:03:44.180 Dilbert movie and I'm looking for live actors to play the Dilbert characters, the pointy-haired boss

00:03:51.380 would have to be Tim Walsh. Just imagine him and then imagine the pointy-haired boss.

00:03:58.860 It's the same guy, isn't it? There's no difference. He's just the pointy-haired boss.

00:04:06.260 So his latest Tim Walsh-ism is explaining to an audience why he was selected as the VP candidate.

00:04:16.380 And he said, quote, I could code talk to the white guys watching football, fixing their truck.

00:04:23.100 I was the permission structure to say, look, you can do this and vote for this.

00:04:31.720 That is the least male thing anybody ever said.

00:04:36.520 I could code talk to white guys. Even the way he says it, he doesn't even say it like he is one of 0.69

00:04:47.040 the guys. He says it like he's a robot who would learn the lingo of men. It's like, oh, I can code

00:04:55.260 talk just like a guy. I'm not a guy. I'm not a real man. But I can talk like one. So I was a good choice.

00:05:05.920 And I was the permission structure to say, the permission structure, who talks like that?

00:05:12.920 But the funny thing about that is that even today, they still think that identity politics is the way

00:05:21.840 to go. Because even though he was trying to act like a white guy, because they thought they needed

00:05:30.140 to get more support from white guys, that's still just identity politics. It's just a weird one.

00:05:38.800 So they just can't get out of that little trap they've set for themselves that everything is

00:05:44.280 identity politics. Anyway, they'll never escape that. According to Mark Zuckerberg,

00:05:54.240 Meta is going to try to make you an AI friend. So I guess if you have Meta, you'll be able to use

00:06:02.140 their AI to create some friends. So finally, finally, my audience could have some friends.

00:06:11.420 It's not just me. That's putting a lot of burden on me. I am your invisible friend who's not that

00:06:16.980 invisible. But Zuckerberg said that the average American has three friends, but has a demand for

00:06:25.660 15. Does that sound right? How many of you have three friends who are local? Because if your friends are not

00:06:36.980 local, they're still friends, but it kind of doesn't count if you can't see them in person. How many of you

00:06:44.960 have three? Three is a lot for a man. How many men need 15 friends? That's a lot. Maybe that's what

00:06:58.920 women need. Women might need 15. All right. A lot of you have three friends. Good. Good. But it looks like 0.99

00:07:08.600 you'll get some extra ones. Yesterday, I talked about a video I saw from Anduril. That's the new

00:07:16.620 defense contractor that does the newest high-tech defense stuff. And they have a man portable,

00:07:25.560 they call it, meaning one person could carry it, device called a drone, well, it's a drone killer,

00:07:33.500 called the Pulsar L. And they showed a video where one of the people demonstrating the Pulsar L

00:07:43.120 was aiming it at a big swarm of drones coming over the hill, and it knocked down all the drones.

00:07:51.940 And apparently, I was one of many people who said, that can't be real. Like, it just looks too good.

00:07:58.840 It must be CGI. And Palmer Luckey had to tell the public, no, we have a rule against using CGI if

00:08:12.160 it's anything that can be seen. So they would use CGI to, you know, maybe show an electric pulse or

00:08:19.380 something, which they didn't do. But they would never use CGI to show something in the physical world

00:08:27.260 that wasn't real. So it was real. So it worked so well, apparently, that it looked fake.

00:08:37.520 Now, if one soldier can carry this gun-shaped object that can take out an entire swarm of

00:08:46.060 drones coming over the hill, how many of those would you have to give to Ukraine

00:08:51.360 before the Russian military was completely neutered? Because it's a drone war at this point, right?

00:09:02.000 It's sort of turned into trench warfare, but the humans are not leaving the trenches, just the drones.

00:09:08.960 So, in theory, you could calculate how many of them would completely neuter the Russian drone 0.95

00:09:20.940 attacks, at least the local ones that were on the front line. So, I don't know, maybe there's

00:09:27.540 something coming that we don't know about.

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00:10:30.980 At the same time, speaking of drones, according to Defense Scoop, the cartels on our southern border,

00:10:41.080 the Mexican cartels, are using their own drones to surveil our military that's on the border now.

00:10:48.280 And our military is looking for counter-drone capabilities. Now, wouldn't that be the Anduril

00:10:57.460 device? I don't know how many options they have, but it does seem like if they can see the drones,

00:11:05.740 and they know where the drones are coming from, and they know their cartel drones, don't they just

00:11:10.980 have to aim that Anduril device at it and knock it down? It feels like we have the technology to do that.

00:11:19.620 Well, Kamala Harris gave her first big speech since she's been, you know, out of the public eye for a

00:11:26.500 little while. And I get to say she looked drunk to me. How many of you saw the clips? And how many of

00:11:35.400 you thought she looked drunk or acted drunk? She looked pretty drunk. When I see her, I don't even 1.00

00:11:44.380 think Kamala anymore. I think drunk-a-la. So, of course, she said that there's chaos and blah, blah, blah.

00:11:54.060 I thought Carolyn Levitt said that the Republicans are really happy if she does more speaking.

00:12:04.200 She is so bad. So bad. She's the only politician at that level that can't give a decent speech. 1.00

00:12:12.740 Oh, my God. And I assume some of that is because of alcohol, but it is unconfirmed.

00:12:22.300 Well, allegedly, according to CNN, President Bukele of El Salvador has rejected the Trump

00:12:31.420 administration's request to return that Marilyn dad, Kilmar Abrego Garcia. Does that sound true to you?

00:12:40.980 Do you think that the Trump administration asked for him to be returned and Bukele said no?

00:12:51.540 Because there was, I saw separately, there was a report that Bukele wasn't comfortable

00:12:56.480 putting people who had not been convicted of a crime in his jails. So he was sort of just doing it

00:13:04.520 because Trump wanted it. But do you think that this is organic? Or do you think that the Trump

00:13:12.600 administration said, hey, I've got an idea. Why don't we pretend that we asked for it?

00:13:18.080 We'll pretend that we tried really hard if you just say no, and then everybody wins? Because

00:13:26.720 the court, apparently the core order is just that the Trump administration attempts to facilitate

00:13:36.100 the return. It doesn't say they have to get him returned if it's impossible. So it kind of looks

00:13:44.440 like the fix might be in a little bit. It's like, hey, we're going to ask you publicly to return

00:13:51.380 this guy. Just say no. Just say no. So we'll see what this does to the news coverage. Because,

00:14:01.720 you know, I don't believe anything in the news. I feel like nearly 100% of the news is not exactly

00:14:09.100 what you think. You know, there's always something a little bit missing or there's a hidden story or

00:14:15.700 there's a B story that we don't know about. Anyway, apparently NVIDIA announced $500 billion of

00:14:26.740 investments it's going to do in the United States to make its NVIDIA technology. I assume that's so for

00:14:34.220 10 years or something, I assume. But he's very gung-ho on President Trump and the United States and he

00:14:43.120 should be. That's Jensen Wang, the CEO of NVIDIA. So he announced that with Trump. And I believe that

00:14:55.440 Trump is saying that there's $8 trillion of money that's moved into the U.S. Now, again, that would

00:15:04.180 be over 10 years. So, you know, it's still a lot. But $8 trillion? Do you believe that? I think there's

00:15:12.020 something like $5 trillion that's somewhat known and confirmed. But, you know, you have to add the

00:15:18.740 Trump or hyperbole to it. $5 trillion becomes $8 trillion. So we'll see how that goes. Well, remember

00:15:29.020 I told you yesterday that I doubted that there would really be a Ukraine mineral deal with the

00:15:39.280 United States? Because it just seemed to me like we weren't really getting there. Well, was I wrong?

00:15:48.740 Because there's an announcement that there is a signed mineral deal with Ukraine and the United

00:15:56.700 States. So I guess there is a mineral deal. Oh, wait, did I say there's a mineral deal? Well,

00:16:07.460 it's not exactly a mineral deal.

00:16:10.400 Well, if you look under the hood a little bit, it's more of a deal to maybe make a deal.

00:16:21.060 Was that what you thought you were going to get? Because I was sort of thinking of it as,

00:16:26.940 all right, we're going to, you know, have this specific deal and we're going to mine this specific

00:16:32.560 stuff. And, you know, this is what we'll do. This is what you'll do. Well, it's not that.

00:16:38.000 It's not that. It's more like the agreement grants the U.S., quote, privileged access to investment

00:16:47.400 projects for various things like aluminum, graphite, oil, and natural gas reserves. Includes

00:16:55.300 oil. Interesting. What do you think that means? Privileged access. Privileged access. It's kind

00:17:03.980 of not defined, is it? Suppose privilege access is just who they ask first. What if Ukraine has 0.62

00:17:17.880 some minerals that they want to exploit, whether it's oil or anything else, and they say, okay,

00:17:24.940 everybody, U.S. has privilege access. So what do you guys offer us? And the U.S. says, well,

00:17:31.660 thanks for asking us first, because we have this privileged access. So we will offer you,

00:17:38.000 you know, 50% of all the revenue. And then some other country says, we'll offer you 75%.

00:17:46.760 Do they still have to do the deal with the United States? Or do you think the agreement would say

00:17:53.760 that the U.S. has to match the best deal? What if we don't? What if we don't match the best offer?

00:18:04.700 We'd still have privilege access, because if we did match it, we'd get the deal.

00:18:10.660 But do you think they're leaving the door open for maybe they're not doing quite the deal you think

00:18:18.860 it is? So I'm going to say that it looks like a step in the right direction. So directionally,

00:18:26.100 it looks pretty good. And it might send the right message in terms of getting a peace deal.

00:18:31.340 So it's probably good. But I'll bet you the details of this deal are not exactly what you

00:18:37.700 thought they were. I think it's probably a weaker deal than you imagined would come out of it.

00:18:43.760 Anyway, China, according to the Wall Street Journal, China is still trying to tell us that

00:18:52.580 they can more easily withstand the tariff trade war. And they can tolerate the pain longer than the

00:19:00.740 U.S. But, according to the Wall Street Journal, there are cracks that are beginning to show in the

00:19:07.420 Chinese economy. There's plunging trade, and there are factories that are being idled, and there are

00:19:15.060 people being laid off in China. And if there's one thing I've learned about assessing China's economy,

00:19:24.000 we're never right about it. How long has it been? It's been, like, what, eight years since I've been

00:19:33.560 telling you stories about China's economy falling off the cliff, and that basically they can't last

00:19:40.040 another year because there are all these, there's a real estate collapse, and they've got a demographic

00:19:47.180 collapse, and they've got this and that kind of a problem and that problem. I don't know that any of

00:19:53.780 it's real. I don't think we have any real visibility on what's happening in China. So I do not believe

00:20:02.200 that we really have any visibility in that at all. We'd just be guessing. So I'm not going to

00:20:11.180 predict that China will fold, but I think they want to deal as much as we do. So probably something 0.99

00:20:18.580 will happen. My guess is that China will be a lot of nothing happening, nothing happening, nothing 0.96

00:20:24.680 happening, and then something happening quickly. So I don't think it'll be like others. Now, I did see some

00:20:32.740 suggestion that we might be seeing some kind of a trade deal announced, not with China, but with some

00:20:39.680 other country. Have we heard anything about that this morning? Because it might happen today. Now, if I had to

00:20:47.700 guess, since trade deals really take a long time to get the details right, whatever gets announced

00:20:54.880 will be sort of like that Ukraine mineral deal. It'll be more like a deal to make a deal. It'll be

00:21:04.320 more like something along the lines of South Korea and the US have agreed on an outline of what a trade

00:21:13.680 deal would look like. But it would be six months away from actually having it signed. The handshake

00:21:22.480 might be enough to drop all the trade barriers. So maybe a handshake is all you need while they work

00:21:29.540 out the details. But I would expect maybe South Korea and or possibly Japan will go first. That's what I

00:21:41.640 think. And then I think it might be a while before the second one. But when you get to something like

00:21:48.900 the fifth announced trade deal, I think Trump's poll numbers are going to look really different

00:21:56.740 because then it's going to look like things are working. First one or two, three, maybe people are

00:22:03.580 going to say they're exceptions. But if Trump gets five, even though they're maybe 200 that you need

00:22:10.560 to get, if he gets five, let's say in a two week period, it's going to look like everything's going

00:22:18.360 in the right direction. And that would be a good time to own stock, I would think.

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00:22:35.920 you're richer than you think.

00:22:36.980 Well, I don't know if you're following the story of the DNC, the Democrat leadership,

00:22:46.360 where David Hogg is getting a lot of heat because he wants to primary some Democrats.

00:22:53.380 But even his co-leader in the DNC says, you can't do that if you're the DNC. If you're the DNC,

00:23:04.220 you've got to be in favor of Democrats. He can't be primarying any of them. So he's been getting

00:23:09.040 some heat from that, but he's getting some extra heat, according to the publication Semaphore,

00:23:19.460 because there's some concern that he's a white guy. Now, I remember when he got elected,

00:23:28.320 and I realized that there were two white guys in charge of the DNC, the most identity-obsessed

00:23:36.260 group in the entire world. Really, the head of the top identity, basically-obsessed group.

00:23:49.280 And I thought, how in the world do you get two white guys as the leadership of the identity group?

00:23:57.240 And it turns out that was a problem, because there's now a complaint being filed by

00:24:03.240 Kaylin Free, a Native American attorney. And she says the DNC's credentials committee

00:24:10.060 is going to meet to talk about whether David Hogg was justly elected,

00:24:16.280 elected, or there was something wrong with their process, because it didn't give them enough

00:24:21.480 diversity. So the complaint, the complaint is they didn't get diversity in their leadership.

00:24:33.080 Now, the most predictable thing in the world is that the Democrats will eat themselves from the

00:24:40.280 inside, because once you commit to the identity frame, you really can't get away from it,

00:24:47.540 because everybody's got an intersectionality or, you know, well, you might be white, but we need you 0.94

00:24:56.060 to be a little bit gay or trans or something. So it's like this never-ending source of conflict 0.68

00:25:03.200 within the organization. They're pretty much doomed. Well, RFK Jr. is making some news. I think he's

00:25:12.600 made several pieces of news. One is, this is just a wild way to say it. So this is his actual quote.

00:25:22.840 He said, we have ended HHS as the role of the principal vector in this country for child trafficking.

00:25:29.780 What? Health and Human Services? The organization he's running? He's saying was the principal vector

00:25:39.520 for child trafficking in the United States? That is the most damning thing I've ever heard anybody say

00:25:47.560 about anything. What? What? Now, I don't exactly know what that means, but it has to do with the fact

00:25:57.120 that the Biden administration somehow managed to lose 300,000 children that came in over the border.

00:26:05.400 And I think Health and Human Services must have been part of that. And the assumption is that some

00:26:10.940 large number of them, or percentage of them, were trafficked for sex and slavery. And RFK Jr. says,

00:26:21.280 we've ended that, and we're very aggressively going out and trying to find those lost children, the ones lost

00:26:28.120 by the Biden administration. Now, that is one hell of a charge. If there were no other news,

00:26:37.980 I'm seeing somebody in the comments say that I'm moving the goalpost, but you don't mention what the

00:26:45.280 topic is or what goalpost I moved. You must want to meet one of those Nazi Democrats. Have you noticed 0.95

00:26:54.080 the Democrats have a full Nazi strategy? Just make up a big lie, and then get everybody to repeat it.

00:27:03.060 It's the Nazi strategy. 0.95

00:27:04.520 Here's something else RFK Jr. announced separately, that the new vaccines will have to be tested

00:27:16.260 with a placebo-controlled trial. Now, if you're like me, it wasn't that long ago where you said to

00:27:25.440 yourself, how can this be news? Because obviously, obviously all vaccines have been tested in a

00:27:33.720 placebo-controlled trial. Duh, it wouldn't be very valid if you didn't do a placebo-controlled trial,

00:27:40.300 and then you unleashed it on the entire public. That couldn't possibly be happening, right?

00:27:46.940 Apparently, that was happening. The vaccines were not historically tested in a placebo-controlled trial,

00:27:55.360 but that's going to change. So, I don't know how much that will change things in terms of how long it

00:28:05.360 takes. I'm looking at the criticism that's coming in from the dumb people. So, somebody is criticizing me 0.99

00:28:19.140 for not being an expert in deals. Well, surprise, I'm actually an expert in deals. I used to be a

00:28:28.700 contract negotiator for a living. And then when I became a cartoonist, I was deeply involved in

00:28:37.340 contract negotiations my entire career, because there were always licensing and publishing deals,

00:28:43.140 etc. So, I actually am an expert in deal-making. And I'm also an expert in persuasion, which is

00:28:53.960 part of negotiation. So, sorry, I'm kind of an expert in this domain. I hate to disappoint you.

00:29:03.620 You're going to have to come up with some new Nazi strategy. That one did work. 0.99

00:29:09.220 There are lots of things I talk about in which I am not an expert, such as, you know, anti-drone

00:29:17.440 technology. But, no, deal-making, that happens to be one of my domains.

00:29:25.700 RFK Jr. also made some news, according to the National Pulse. He claims that DARPA

00:29:34.320 might be mixing some kind of chemtrail agents into commercial jet fuel. What?

00:29:44.980 How could you make that kind of accusation in public without somehow being able to check it if

00:29:51.780 you're part of the government? If you thought that the fuel of commercial jets was intentionally

00:30:01.400 tampered with to do geoengineering so that the jet exhaust was doing more than just being jet exhaust

00:30:09.840 and was changing the environment somehow, and you thought that it was DARPA that was behind it,

00:30:16.520 is there not kind of a simple way to confirm that? Can't you say to President Trump,

00:30:22.780 can you talk to DARPA and just ask them, because you can declassify anything, just ask them if

00:30:31.120 they're doping the jet fuel? I feel like this one's a little premature. Doesn't mean he's wrong.

00:30:39.960 I'm not saying he's wrong. I'm saying, I feel like that one should have been confirmed before it

00:30:46.540 became a public accusation. So maybe he's getting a little ahead of himself, unless he's really

00:30:52.240 confident that DARPA is doing that. And I'm not saying they're not. I'm not saying they're not doing

00:31:00.260 it. But we need to know more about that. Well, as Breitbart and others are reporting, the GDP for America

00:31:11.260 was weak in the first quarter. Of course, I think Trump is blaming Biden. And there was a bunch of

00:31:20.860 distortions because people ordering things ahead of the potential tariff stuff. So we don't know if that

00:31:29.140 GDP number is telling us anything really important. But maybe it is. Maybe it is.

00:31:36.720 So how many of you would be surprised if the country goes into a mild recession before it improves?

00:31:52.060 Isn't that kind of baked into the process? I'd be surprised if it didn't happen. So I'd expect a

00:31:59.060 little bit of a recession at the least. I mean, anything could be worse and anything could be better.

00:32:05.160 But I think it was Jamie Dimon who said this, that the best case scenario is a mild recession.

00:32:14.280 I think he's probably right. That's probably the best case scenario. But it is a best case scenario.

00:32:21.180 Because if we have a mild recession followed by a rapid return, and maybe to a higher point,

00:32:28.480 you know, once the trade deals are getting signed, I'd be happy with that.

00:32:37.960 According to Frank Luntz, famous pollster, he talked to a bunch of people who voted for Trump,

00:32:46.160 and he wondered if they were still backing Trump, given that they were feeling some economic pain,

00:32:52.620 and probably we're going to feel some more. And he said that it's unprecedented that Trump voters still

00:32:59.600 stand behind Trump, despite the economic pain. Luntz said on CNBC, I've never seen this before,

00:33:08.460 because usually, when you're hurt economically, that changes your perspective and your politics.

00:33:13.840 Not with these people. They're staying firm. Now, the way he says it makes it sound like the people

00:33:22.340 are stupid. Is that how you hear it? You know, like they don't know what's in their own best interest 1.00

00:33:29.580 or something? I don't think he understands Republicans. The defining characteristic of a Republican

00:33:38.000 is that they're long-term thinkers, and they're willing to take some short-term pain to get there.

00:33:45.320 It's probably the most defining characteristic. So here the president has given Republicans the

00:33:53.100 following proposition. There's going to be some short-term disruption, and it's the only way to get

00:33:59.760 to this way better situation. And then Republicans listened to him and said, all right, so we're going to

00:34:07.680 have to suck it up for a while. Yes. And then they say, got it. So we'll suck it up for a while.

00:34:17.400 It's the most defining characteristic, probably more than just about anything. I mean, everything from

00:34:25.280 religion to starting a family to, you know, staying out of trouble and almost everything Republicans do

00:34:34.480 are very obviously and clearly oriented toward the long-term. And when you look at systems over goals,

00:34:43.340 and when you look at Democrats, it seems completely oriented toward some kind of short-term

00:34:50.260 dopamine hit. Like even the story I was telling earlier about the DNC head,

00:34:57.420 how is that any kind of long-term anything? If they're fighting about whether the head of the

00:35:05.380 DNC is diversified enough, there's no long-term anything with that. It's just short-term dopamine

00:35:13.460 pleasure. Oh, we got rid of the white guy. Oh, it is the single thing that defines, I think, 0.99

00:35:24.200 Republicans from Democrats. It's the ability to, you know, take some pain to get to a better place.

00:35:30.860 That's it. So I would not have been surprised, Frank Luntz.

00:35:37.800 According to the new Canadian prime minister, Mark Carney, he says, quote,

00:35:45.100 we all recognize climate change as an existential threat, which makes me wonder, who is he talking to?

00:35:54.200 I mean, he wasn't addressing America, but is that true? Is it true that everyone in Canada

00:36:01.340 thinks that climate change is an existential threat? Everybody?

00:36:08.000 I mean, even if it is, it's hard to get everybody on the same side about anything.

00:36:16.900 But then he says he's going to punish companies that don't work to end climate change.

00:36:22.680 All right. So which side of the border would you like to be on if you're a company?

00:36:27.840 Would you like to be on the Canada side of the border, where you're going to get punished

00:36:35.820 if you don't do enough to change climate change? Or would you like to be on the American side of

00:36:41.160 the border, where people are just going to be operating in whatever way, you know, doesn't

00:36:47.040 violate any laws, but, you know, is making the most money? And in theory, if the Canadians are right

00:36:55.720 about CO2 and climate change, it doesn't matter what the fuck they do, because the United States 0.98

00:37:02.720 isn't doing it. As long as they're our closest neighbor, and we're ignoring all of that bullshit, 1.00

00:37:10.420 it doesn't matter what they do. It's sort of like what we say about India and China, 0.98

00:37:17.020 that the atmosphere doesn't know where a border is. So if India, China, and the United States

00:37:24.480 are ignoring the climate change risk, do you think it makes any difference to anything

00:37:29.880 if Canada goes balls to the wall and starts punishing companies? They start punishing their

00:37:37.440 own companies for not doing enough to end climate change? It would be so different if the other big

00:37:48.600 countries were on the same page. And then I could say, well, okay, at least everybody's on the same page.

00:37:55.840 But if the biggest companies or biggest countries are not even doing anything about it,

00:38:02.020 it's just the biggest waste of time I've ever seen. Anyway, good luck, Canada.

00:38:11.240 So at the, Trump had another cabinet meeting that he opened up to the cameras, which was kind of

00:38:18.460 awesome. And Marco Rubio said that the State Department that he runs now, the old State Department

00:38:27.020 had a dossier on a current Trump official that he wouldn't name as a purveyor of disinformation.

00:38:36.260 And he said, we had an office in the Department of State whose job it was to censor Americans.

00:38:41.760 And he was referring to the Global Engagement Center, which I think has been closed down now.

00:38:48.120 But in the process of looking into all that stuff, they found a dossier of somebody who I think is a

00:38:54.960 cabinet head, who the Biden administration has identified as a source of disinformation.

00:39:02.680 So I see some guesses that it's Kennedy. Could have been Kennedy or Tulsi Gabbard.

00:39:12.080 But Kennedy is a pretty good, that's a pretty good guess.

00:39:17.780 But he's not going to tell us who it is. So, but just imagine that. I mean, just imagine that

00:39:26.160 Biden literally had a well-funded, gigantic agency as part of a network of other censors,

00:39:33.620 both domestic and international, whose job it was to remove your free speech.

00:39:40.460 If you said anything that wasn't part of the mainstream of opinion.

00:39:45.740 It's kind of hard to believe, isn't it?

00:39:47.700 Like, there are things that you and I have lived through that the next generation is just going to 1.00

00:39:54.620 shake their head and say, oh, my God, I'm so glad I wasn't alive then.

00:39:59.720 When they thought they had a little bit of free speech, but really they didn't,

00:40:03.640 because they were being punished and surveilled and blocked and throttled down if they said the wrong thing.

00:40:12.960 Unbelievable.

00:40:13.360 Unbelievable.

00:40:17.700 Let's look at the Democrats' attack on Trump and the Trump administration, see how they're doing.

00:40:24.100 Now, as you know, they've taken a, what I'll call the Hitler-Nazi approach to politics. 0.72

00:40:32.240 So the Democrats are doing the classic Nazi thing, where you just make up this gigantic lie,

00:40:39.780 and then you get the media to report it endlessly until at least their people believe it.

00:40:46.600 So let's check in on some of the insane lies that are being told as part of their Nazi strategy. 0.74

00:40:55.640 So Kamala Harris called Trump's tariffs reckless and his agenda self-serving.

00:41:02.800 You know, in other words, that the point of it was to go get some tax breaks for billionaires.

00:41:09.500 Do you think that the big, beautiful bill that Trump is talking about that's being, you know, now modified by the House,

00:41:19.320 do you think that that's going to have a tax break for billionaires?

00:41:25.140 How many think that that's actually going to happen?

00:41:27.360 Because the Democrats have a little bit of a trap going on that they've set for themselves.

00:41:33.260 Because they've got James Carville saying that Trump's going to cut health care for ordinary people.

00:41:40.860 Do you think Trump's going to cut health care for ordinary people?

00:41:44.400 Now there is, I looked into it, there is a, some kind of a request that $880 billion is removed from the Medicaid budget.

00:41:59.360 But it doesn't look possible.

00:42:02.700 And first of all, that number would be over 10 years.

00:42:05.280 So it would be something like 10%, somewhere in that neighborhood, 10% of the budget.

00:42:12.120 Do you think there's a way to cut the Medicaid budget by 10%?

00:42:17.040 No, there isn't.

00:42:19.220 It turns out that health care has a much smaller margin than maybe you knew or I knew.

00:42:27.300 A lot of the, a lot of the big money for health care comes from hospital stuff.

00:42:33.400 You know, things that happen in hospitals.

00:42:35.960 And apparently hospitals have a really thin margin.

00:42:38.740 It's like 2% to 4% according to Grok.

00:42:41.900 Now, if your margins are only 2% to 4% on the part of health care that's the most expensive part,

00:42:49.580 do you think you could cut 10% of it on any given year?

00:42:54.340 There's nothing to cut.

00:42:56.280 It's basically already operating at, you know, just barely break even.

00:43:00.320 Um, so no.

00:43:04.240 And of course, Trump has said he's, he's not going to touch social security and he's not

00:43:09.140 going to touch health care for ordinary people.

00:43:12.900 Um, and then there's Swalwell. 0.95

00:43:15.640 He's one of the designated liars.

00:43:18.180 So if you see Jamie Raskin or Swalwell, uh, and Carville, Carville's sort of joining too.

00:43:26.980 They're, they're all part of the Nazi strategy of telling the big lie and then just repeating 0.83

00:43:33.580 it endlessly until people believe it.

00:43:36.240 So Swalwell saying all we wanted was cheap eggs, but not deporting kids with cancer.

00:43:41.300 Now, is the kids with cancer being deported a true story?

00:43:46.760 Well, it's technically true, but we're not really deporting them.

00:43:51.120 The mother wanted to take them with her, uh, cause she was deported.

00:43:56.480 So no, it's not exactly true the way they're telling it.

00:44:00.480 But here's the interesting part.

00:44:04.860 Um, Steve Bannon believes that Trump will raise taxes on the highest earners.

00:44:10.600 That would be the billionaires.

00:44:12.660 What do you think?

00:44:14.740 I feel like he might be right about that.

00:44:18.440 I feel like Trump, in order to get all the other stuff he wants and to just shut people

00:44:25.000 up, he might need to raise taxes on the highest earners.

00:44:29.580 Now, I don't know what that would be if that's people make over 5 million a year or over 1

00:44:34.780 million a year, but wouldn't that just totally shut up the Democrats if the Republican bill 0.94

00:44:41.980 just unambiguously raises taxes for the richest people?

00:44:48.260 Or do you think that they would just act like it didn't happen and just keep saying that he

00:44:52.560 doesn't mean it and he's going to really lower taxes on the rich people?

00:44:56.440 It's their, it's the main thing they say.

00:44:59.080 When Kamala Harris says it's self-serving, she kind of means that he's lowering his own

00:45:05.020 taxes and those of his friends.

00:45:07.500 What if he does the opposite?

00:45:10.060 And I feel, I feel as if Bannon is well enough connected and he has a good enough track record

00:45:16.340 of predicting, that if he says that Trump's going to raise taxes on the highest earners,

00:45:23.960 that's a real possibility.

00:45:26.420 Now, maybe the Republican, you know, the Republican Congress can't do it.

00:45:31.480 It's possible.

00:45:32.260 They just can't do it.

00:45:33.220 But I do think maybe there's a good, at least a 50% chance that that's what it's going to

00:45:41.520 look like because it would completely destroy the entire Democrat approach.

00:45:47.040 Everything they're doing is depending on telling people that Trump's really doing it for his

00:45:52.840 own financial benefit and those of his friends.

00:45:55.920 So, I'm going to stop the comments from the bad people here. 0.69

00:46:10.080 A lot of trolls today. 0.91

00:46:13.200 A lot of trolls. 0.96

00:46:16.920 All right. 0.90

00:46:21.720 Here's what Trump said about his entitlements.

00:46:23.920 He said, there's a lot of waste, fraud, and abuse.

00:46:27.040 There are a lot of illegal aliens who are getting Medicaid.

00:46:30.280 They shouldn't be getting it.

00:46:31.680 But we are doing absolutely nothing to hurt Medicaid or Social Security.

00:46:37.280 Now, that is such a clear public statement.

00:46:42.080 Do you really think that he would say that that directly?

00:46:46.540 And then he would sign something that actually did hurt Medicaid or Social Security?

00:46:51.380 I don't feel like he would.

00:46:55.640 So, I'm not too worried that the Democrats are going to be right.

00:47:01.260 And that's why I call it the Hitler strategy that they're using. 0.98

00:47:05.400 Because they don't really care if it's true.

00:47:08.360 They're just completely unconcerned.

00:47:10.660 They only care that they can say it and that they're at least their own people.

00:47:15.420 And maybe senior citizens will believe it. 0.99

00:47:19.540 Anyway.

00:47:21.000 I'm Chris Hadfield.

00:47:22.440 I'm an astronaut, an author, a citizen of planet Earth.

00:47:26.420 Join me for a six-part journey into the systems that power the world.

00:47:31.400 Real conversations with real people who are shaping the future of energy.

00:47:36.220 No politics, no empty talk.

00:47:38.980 Just solutions-focused conversations on the challenges we must overcome and the possibilities that lie ahead.

00:47:46.460 This is On Energy.

00:47:48.920 Listen wherever you get your podcasts.

00:47:51.900 Morgan Stanley is forecasting that by 2050,

00:47:56.700 there'll be a $4.7 trillion global annual humanoid robot revenue with a billion units cumulatively deployed.

00:48:10.480 Do you think that sounds right?

00:48:12.980 Or, you know, 2050 is kind of far away.

00:48:16.300 But do you think it'll be just humanoid robots all over the place and $4.7 trillion worth?

00:48:23.780 Well, maybe.

00:48:24.780 So, I'm going to give you a prediction.

00:48:29.260 I think there's a non-zero chance, and maybe it'll be in this budget bill, maybe it'll be in the future,

00:48:36.360 that robots will be taxed.

00:48:39.940 I think robots will be taxed.

00:48:42.720 And the reason is because we tax everything that you can tax.

00:48:48.580 If there's something that can be taxed, it'll get taxed.

00:48:52.440 Now, if robots are the thing that are going to put people out of jobs,

00:48:57.120 I think you have to tax them to help pay for the humans who got put out of jobs.

00:49:04.460 So, whether it's Trump who does it or some future Democrat administration,

00:49:12.140 I'm pretty sure that robots are really going to be taxed, more than just sales tax.

00:49:18.520 I think there's going to be a robot tax.

00:49:21.940 And if the robots are a big enough deal, it might actually make a difference to our GDP and our debt situation.

00:49:34.220 So, I'm not saying that I recommend it.

00:49:37.880 I'm going to say that I predict it.

00:49:41.540 I predict it.

00:49:43.820 Well, Chuck Schumer clowned himself again in public.

00:49:47.140 So, he was doing a press conference to mock Trump's falling approval numbers.

00:49:55.980 And now, do you know why Trump's approval numbers are going down?

00:50:00.660 Is it because all of the people in the country did a deep dive and did their own research

00:50:06.740 to find out how the economy is doing and all the details of what Trump is doing to influence it?

00:50:13.840 Or do you think that they turned on TV and they listened to the talking heads that they always listen to

00:50:22.020 and the talking heads said, oh, the tariffs are causing chaos.

00:50:27.100 Oh, they're not using a scalpel with Doge.

00:50:30.680 And do you think that the public's opinion as represented in polls

00:50:36.400 is nothing but how well the media is brainwashing people?

00:50:40.640 So, the thing that the Nazi strategy that Schumer is using and the Democrats are using

00:50:49.160 is that they first must convince you that public opinion polls

00:50:54.580 are driven by people's independent assessment of what's going on.

00:51:00.700 Nothing like that's happening.

00:51:02.500 Individual voters are not making any independent assessments based on their research

00:51:10.600 and their knowledge of economics.

00:51:13.120 Nothing like that's happening.

00:51:15.040 It is literally a propaganda exercise.

00:51:20.980 It's a persuasion exercise.

00:51:23.640 And the Democrats have enough control over, you know, the biggest part of the media

00:51:27.720 that they can sell any chaos-related scalpel, not a chainsaw that they want.

00:51:36.460 So, they've been selling the chaos thing and Trump's in it for his own benefit, for the oligarchs.

00:51:43.440 And they found that some, you know, 5% or 10% of the public is influenced enough by that

00:51:50.980 that they think it's true.

00:51:53.900 And so, then Schumer goes out and he holds a press conference

00:51:56.940 to tell you that the public, the public is souring on Trump.

00:52:03.780 Nothing like that's happening in the real world.

00:52:06.240 What's happening is that the media has brainwashed 10% of the public-ish

00:52:13.400 to change their opinion about the optimism they might have had before.

00:52:20.240 But as Schumer is talking about how Trump's numbers are lower than, I don't know,

00:52:27.920 other presidents or something like that at this point, the 100 days, the random 100 days,

00:52:32.700 a reporter notes that Schumer's own, his own approval is at 17%.

00:52:40.380 So, just imagine this.

00:52:45.120 Schumer is doing a public event.

00:52:48.620 The primary message is that Trump is doing poorly because the polls say so.

00:52:56.080 And then a reporter points out that Trump is doing way better than Schumer in polls.

00:53:03.520 And do you know what Schumer said when he was challenged by the fact that his own polls

00:53:07.560 are way lower than Trump's and the entire point of the public event is to say that Trump's poll numbers were low?

00:53:16.460 He said, well, you know, poll numbers come and go.

00:53:20.240 So, he spends the first part of his speech saying that the polls are telling the public something deeply important.

00:53:29.920 And then somebody says, your own poll numbers are worse than Trump. 0.99

00:53:33.040 And he immediately, with no hesitation, changes to polls are bullshit. 0.98

00:53:42.260 And then immediately switches back to those Trump polls look pretty bad, huh? 0.98

00:53:49.000 And he's one of their best guys.

00:53:55.320 Like, he's one of their more talented politicians.

00:54:00.300 That was pretty funny.

00:54:01.720 Anyway, at the cabinet meeting that I mentioned, apparently Transportation Secretary Duffy says that the government's not going to give

00:54:16.140 any infrastructure funding from the federal government to states if the states are giving a driver's license to non-citizens, illegal non-citizens.

00:54:29.960 So, that's new.

00:54:34.260 It seems to me that that's a big enough threat that it might work.

00:54:39.880 And it makes me wonder why it took them so long to come up with that, because it sounds like a good idea for what they want to get done.

00:54:46.200 So, do you think any of the states will cave and say, all right, all right, we'll stop giving driver's license to illegal immigrants just to get our infrastructure money? 0.97

00:54:58.380 I think it might work.

00:54:59.960 Because I think a lot of the infrastructure money gets stolen by leaders.

00:55:05.060 And if they don't have money coming in in these gigantic amounts so that the leaders can steal it, do the leaders really care that much about giving driver's licenses to illegal immigrants? 0.70

00:55:19.780 Or do you think they really care about these big checks coming in that they can skim some off?

00:55:25.860 So, here's where corruption works in your favor.

00:55:29.960 Usually, it doesn't.

00:55:32.060 But if you assume that the states are completely corrupt when it comes to infrastructure money coming in, which I do.

00:55:39.980 I believe that they're completely corrupt.

00:55:41.660 Then the corruption itself might cause them to say, well, I'd rather get that big taste of that money coming in for the infrastructure project.

00:55:54.180 So, maybe we'll soften on the whole giving driver's license to illegal immigrants.

00:56:00.780 It might actually work.

00:56:02.440 I guess we're going to use the same standard for states that are using DEI, which is practically every blue state.

00:56:10.780 So, maybe the blue states are going to have some trouble getting their funding.

00:56:17.000 Well, allegedly, according to CNN, Kash Patel and the FBI are reassigning some agents who were kneeling during the BLM riots.

00:56:32.320 So, this is according to CNN.

00:56:34.700 So, you might remember the pictures.

00:56:40.700 So, when the FBI was sort of cornered, they kind of de-escalated things by kneeling to show that they were in favor of the protesters and in favor of the Black Lives Matter.

00:56:57.900 And, allegedly, according to CNN, that's not good for your career anymore.

00:57:06.300 So, if there's a picture of you kneeling to the crowd, you got reassigned and not promoted.

00:57:14.620 So, I'm not 100% sure this story is real, but I wouldn't be surprised.

00:57:19.740 Meanwhile, James O'Keefe, famous for his OMG undercover videos, apparently, he's made some kind of an enemy.

00:57:32.260 Now, he's also, he's good at publicity.

00:57:36.800 So, I'm going to take him at his word that there's a real risk here.

00:57:40.340 Because, apparently, he said on video he's not suicidal and that in seven days he's going to disappear for a while for his own safety.

00:57:50.020 But, in seven days he will reappear and tell his story.

00:57:54.160 But, he's asking us for our prayers.

00:57:57.500 So, he was being a little bit dramatic for effect.

00:58:03.040 But, it doesn't mean it's not a real danger.

00:58:07.420 He might have a, he might be really seriously worried.

00:58:10.100 Now, he didn't name who it was that he's worried about.

00:58:15.460 But, he teased a bombshell, you know, that there's something about government corruption.

00:58:21.820 He's got several tapes of it.

00:58:23.460 And, he's got a video of officials caught breaking the law.

00:58:28.360 So, and he thinks that he has, he has enough evidence that once it's released there will be indictments.

00:58:36.460 I don't know.

00:58:37.740 We'll see.

00:58:39.260 So, keep an eye on that.

00:58:40.860 We'll check in in a week.

00:58:44.200 Well, you might know that there was yet another judge who yet again ruled against Trump.

00:58:50.740 saying that the Trump administration can't arrest any more illegal aliens unless they have a warrant for their arrest.

00:58:58.620 Now, that's sort of not the way the process works for people who are here illegally.

00:59:04.000 You don't really need a warrant for their arrest.

00:59:07.380 You can just determine that they're not here legally and ship them back.

00:59:11.620 But, this judge ruled that you do need a warrant.

00:59:14.560 And, then it took a few days, but that judge got loomered.

00:59:22.480 So, Laura Loomer did the classic thing where she checked on the spouse. 1.00

00:59:29.720 This works so often that I love there's a word for it, being loomered.

00:59:35.240 It means if you're a judge or some official and you do something that looks sketchy,

00:59:41.880 it means Laura Loomer is going to ask what your spouse does for a living. 0.97

00:59:46.360 And, you're going to find out there's something sketchy going on there with the couple.

00:59:52.540 Sure enough, the husband of that judge is a multifamily real estate broker in California.

01:00:00.780 And, guess what market he caters to?

01:00:04.360 Illegal aliens and the immigrant community. 0.98

01:00:07.900 And, he even makes Instagram videos about how Trump's mass deportation policies are bad

01:00:14.760 for multifamily real estate brokers and investors.

01:00:18.660 And, of course, the judge was appointed by Biden in 2021.

01:00:23.380 Now, it's almost so predictable that you don't even need Laura Loomer to do it anymore.

01:00:30.780 You could just, in your mind, imagine it.

01:00:33.860 Like, okay, there's a judge that ruled against Trump.

01:00:38.340 I'm going to imagine that the judge has a spouse. 0.93

01:00:42.140 And, the spouse is either a gigantic donor to the DNC or somehow makes money with a charity

01:00:49.060 or a business that serves the illegal immigrant community.

01:00:55.300 Am I right?

01:00:56.060 Yes.

01:00:57.540 Yes.

01:00:59.540 Yes.

01:01:00.440 Pretty much every time.

01:01:02.520 So, as long as you can shop for a judge, you can find the judge who has just the right spouse. 0.89

01:01:09.920 Speaking of RFK Jr. making news, he also said, he was on a Dr. Phil show, and he said that sugar is poison.

01:01:21.480 He said, sugar is like crack.

01:01:24.300 He said it's poison.

01:01:25.820 Now, you know that I always say alcohol is poison.

01:01:30.480 But, when I started saying that, I didn't know that there was already a book that came out long ago

01:01:36.560 before I started saying alcohol is poison that said sugar is poison.

01:01:41.420 So, sugar is poison, you know, is sort of the OG, something is poison.

01:01:49.540 So, I think he probably was familiar with that book.

01:01:52.780 But, when you have the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services say sugar is like crack,

01:01:58.900 I feel like maybe something will happen.

01:02:03.040 I don't know what.

01:02:03.920 There's no specific policy associated with it.

01:02:06.720 But, I like where he's heading.

01:02:10.980 So, so far, I'm very happy with RFK Jr.

01:02:15.100 Very happy.

01:02:16.500 I think he's pushing all the right buttons.

01:02:20.060 Now, he's not going to be right 100% of the time.

01:02:23.280 But, that's not really the standard I'm going to hold him to.

01:02:26.760 I'm going to hold him to the standard of, is he looking in every closet for things that might be hiding in closets?

01:02:34.660 And, the answer is, he seems to be.

01:02:36.980 He seems to be willing to open every closet door and see what the hell is in there.

01:02:41.280 So, as long as he's doing that, and he's being completely transparent about it, and he's sharing what he found,

01:02:48.620 you can't get better than that.

01:02:50.960 You know?

01:02:51.360 So, asking him to be right about everything he's ever said in the past,

01:02:55.260 and right about everything he says in the future,

01:02:58.300 that's not really a standard you could hold anybody to.

01:03:01.100 But, boy, if you see somebody, you know, using a system and transparency and keeping you in the loop,

01:03:09.840 that's good stuff.

01:03:11.640 Good, good stuff.

01:03:14.000 Apparently, the FBI is now searching for leaks among the members of the FBI

01:03:21.640 and using a polygraph test to look for the internal leakers.

01:03:29.280 Now, I'm kind of surprised by that.

01:03:33.200 It's a common thing in the government to use polygraphs to look for leakers.

01:03:37.780 But, I would feel like at least the FBI agents would know how to beat a polygraph.

01:03:44.280 But, probably just refusing to take it would be enough to get you fired.

01:03:48.900 That's my guess.

01:03:49.700 And, since they don't know for sure if they can beat it,

01:03:54.700 you know, maybe it scares them into confessing or something.

01:03:57.440 I don't know.

01:03:58.700 But, that's happening.

01:04:01.200 It's pretty scary.

01:04:03.300 It's scary that this tool exists,

01:04:06.700 and that it's in widespread implementation.

01:04:10.420 What happens when the polygraph gets to the next level?

01:04:16.200 Don't you think that we already have the technology that we can put a little hat on people

01:04:22.740 that has sensors to their brain, 1.00

01:04:24.740 and they can tell for sure if they're lying,

01:04:27.500 without doing the bodily changes that the polygraph does?

01:04:32.480 Just directly looking at their brain and find out if they're lying?

01:04:36.980 Because I think we're right there.

01:04:38.940 So, isn't that a scary future?

01:04:43.820 Where your employer can know for sure if you're lying?

01:04:47.940 I mean, you shouldn't be lying.

01:04:51.200 But, it would be a different world if somebody could know for sure,

01:04:55.960 if you're telling the truth.

01:04:58.460 Anyway, according to Unusual Wales on X,

01:05:03.540 Visa wants to give AI your credit card to buy groceries.

01:05:09.760 Now, I guess Fortune is reporting on this.

01:05:12.800 Now, I think what that means is that if you wanted to use AI as like an agent,

01:05:18.700 you know, like a little AI that's your assistant,

01:05:22.300 where you can tell it to go buy some tickets to the show,

01:05:25.880 or go buy some online groceries or something,

01:05:28.500 it really can't do anything unless it can use your credit card.

01:05:32.020 So, it's where things had to go.

01:05:36.600 So, it's not even so much about Visa.

01:05:39.020 It's just, at some point, your robot and your AI,

01:05:45.680 they kind of had to have access to some part of your finances,

01:05:50.040 or else they couldn't do much useful stuff.

01:05:53.140 So, this is probably something that's inevitable,

01:05:57.500 but it's kind of scary that the AI would have access to any of your funds.

01:06:02.460 But it tells me that I need a second AI.

01:06:05.940 I need one AI that's an agent that can go do things like buy things on my behalf.

01:06:12.260 But I need a second AI that watches the first AI,

01:06:16.040 just to make sure it doesn't rob me.

01:06:19.300 Right?

01:06:19.780 It's sort of a two AI situation.

01:06:23.420 With humans, it's not unusual to have a, you know, a double authorization situation,

01:06:30.300 where two humans have to, I think in banking you see this a lot.

01:06:34.800 If I recall when I was a banker, a teller, if we needed to open the big safe,

01:06:44.580 we didn't leave it open all day, but if we needed to open the big safe,

01:06:48.600 and anybody needed to go in, they could never do it alone.

01:06:53.080 There had to be two people, so that one person would watch the other one

01:06:57.000 to make sure they don't rob you.

01:06:59.440 AI has got to be the same thing,

01:07:01.160 because humans are not going to be able to watch AI too well.

01:07:05.040 You're going to need one AI just to watch your other AIs

01:07:08.280 and make sure they're not ripping you off.

01:07:10.220 So I think that's inevitable too.

01:07:14.420 Apparently, the scammers, according to Futurism,

01:07:18.280 Joe Wilkins is writing about this,

01:07:20.560 scammers are using AI to disguise themselves as attractive people

01:07:27.000 or just different people.

01:07:28.980 And they're going after the boomers because the boomers are easy to fool. 1.00

01:07:33.140 So I guess AI is so good at this point

01:07:35.540 that you could have your natural face doing something like a Zoom call.

01:07:43.460 And I assume that they can do it in real time, not just video,

01:07:47.260 but something like a Zoom call where you look exactly like somebody else,

01:07:52.600 like a completely different person.

01:07:55.000 Now, I haven't seen that demonstrated yet,

01:07:58.360 but I wouldn't be surprised, of course.

01:08:01.040 I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't work.

01:08:07.480 I wouldn't be surprised if it does work.

01:08:10.320 So watch out for that.

01:08:12.040 If something looks too good to be true, it probably is.

01:08:17.000 You know, I've been able to identify scams

01:08:22.180 because anytime there's anybody who alleges to be female

01:08:27.900 and shows interest in me,

01:08:30.440 I immediately say, well, that's a scam.

01:08:35.640 Well, yeah, I don't believe that.

01:08:38.240 So use that same standard.

01:08:43.460 Well, here's an update for the Hooties.

01:08:47.380 PXS reposted a Trump warning

01:08:50.240 that the Hooties will be treated as an Iranian attack.

01:08:55.920 So Trump wants to make sure that people know

01:08:59.700 that the Hooties are not operating independently,

01:09:03.340 that they're backed by Tehran.

01:09:07.400 Now, I don't know if that's going to change anything

01:09:10.220 because we all knew that, right?

01:09:13.440 But it feels like it's firing a shot across the bow of Iran 0.96

01:09:18.460 when they're trying to get a nuclear deal.

01:09:20.940 Now, I told you the other day

01:09:22.200 that apparently the Hooties situation 0.77

01:09:25.000 was not part of the negotiations with Iran.

01:09:29.120 And I thought, why?

01:09:31.820 Why would that not be part of the negotiations?

01:09:34.780 Like, why would you bother to get a nuclear deal

01:09:37.560 if you weren't going to, you know,

01:09:40.280 also deal with the, you know, the Hooties situation?

01:09:44.180 You ought to throw that in there.

01:09:45.960 So maybe this is part of what Trump's getting ready to do.

01:09:49.820 Make sure that that gets thrown in the deal.

01:09:52.020 It doesn't get forgotten.

01:09:55.240 According to Remix,

01:09:57.280 Russia's budget is getting hit hard

01:09:59.640 because oil and gas prices are falling all over the world.

01:10:03.080 And Russia depends on those.

01:10:05.180 But I'm going to say the same thing I said about China.

01:10:07.440 We only imagine that we know what's happening

01:10:10.900 with the Chinese economy.

01:10:13.120 But it's the same with Russia. 0.64

01:10:15.160 I feel like we just sort of imagine that we know.

01:10:18.820 So maybe Russia's got a budget problem

01:10:21.400 and maybe that will have something to do with them

01:10:24.160 wanting to get peace in Ukraine.

01:10:26.600 But I wouldn't bet on it.

01:10:28.600 So I'm going to discount that as being important.

01:10:32.040 If oil price went down another, you know, 40%,

01:10:37.680 then it definitely would make a difference.

01:10:40.760 But at the moment,

01:10:42.480 it's just going to squeeze them a little bit

01:10:44.260 and they'll figure it out.

01:10:46.600 According to PJ Media,

01:10:48.840 he's writing about an exclusive report in the UK Times

01:10:53.740 that says that Europe,

01:10:55.860 if it wanted to put peacekeeping troops

01:10:59.640 on the ground in Ukraine,

01:11:01.560 that they would struggle to get 25,000 troops.

01:11:06.520 And the larger picture

01:11:07.640 is that apparently NATO is so hollowed out

01:11:11.280 and the European countries are so,

01:11:14.740 let's say, so bereft of military,

01:11:20.440 not just personnel, but equipment,

01:11:23.060 that there's almost no military in Europe.

01:11:27.120 They don't have people

01:11:28.480 and they don't have much in the way

01:11:30.540 of assets or equipment.

01:11:33.060 So I guess they were depending on the United States

01:11:37.100 being the primary combatant

01:11:39.660 if Russia decided to take Europe.

01:11:43.820 Because it doesn't look like Europe 0.94

01:11:45.580 could defend itself.

01:11:46.900 They don't have enough people

01:11:47.860 and they don't have enough assets.

01:11:52.300 So that's pretty scary.

01:11:55.600 But doesn't it seem like there's now a trend

01:12:00.940 that we've seen

01:12:01.720 that nobody has the military

01:12:04.620 that you thought they had,

01:12:06.220 that everybody's bluffing?

01:12:08.520 Because aren't you a little bit surprised

01:12:11.560 that the entire Russian military

01:12:13.780 couldn't capture all of Ukraine?

01:12:17.280 So Ukraine is fighting Russia to a standstill

01:12:22.000 with, what, senior citizens and children

01:12:26.420 and anybody they can get to go

01:12:28.940 in a pit with some drones.

01:12:33.520 So I don't think that Russia had anything 0.99

01:12:37.080 like the military that we assume they had.

01:12:39.840 And it looks like Europe doesn't have anything

01:12:42.060 like the military that we assume they had.

01:12:44.340 And I wouldn't be surprised

01:12:47.020 if China also doesn't have anything

01:12:50.600 like the military we thought they had.

01:12:53.100 Although if they were going both of them all

01:12:55.980 instead of, you know,

01:12:57.620 just trying to stay within lines,

01:12:59.880 probably it would be different.

01:13:01.800 You know, if they use their best weapons

01:13:03.600 and stuff, probably it'd be different.

01:13:05.580 But, I don't know,

01:13:08.480 it's so easy to over,

01:13:10.440 to over,

01:13:12.420 well, to assume that some other military

01:13:14.440 is stronger than it is.

01:13:17.520 In other news,

01:13:19.300 according to ZME Science,

01:13:20.900 China made the world's fastest transistor

01:13:22.920 and didn't use any silicon.

01:13:25.060 It runs 40% faster

01:13:26.680 and uses less power

01:13:28.040 and blah, blah, blah.

01:13:31.140 But I'm going to say the same thing

01:13:33.180 that I should have said

01:13:34.260 about battery breakthroughs.

01:13:37.020 Because every single day,

01:13:38.980 I see a new report

01:13:40.640 about somebody made a battery breakthrough

01:13:43.400 that charges faster and lasts longer

01:13:45.660 and doesn't require any rare earth minerals.

01:13:49.240 If you would look at the history

01:13:51.300 of breakthroughs,

01:13:52.980 it could take five to 10 years

01:13:55.560 for anything to hit the market.

01:13:57.040 And it could also take decades.

01:13:59.920 That wouldn't even be unusual.

01:14:02.160 So, this new kind of chip

01:14:07.280 and the new kind of batteries,

01:14:09.920 they probably will change the world.

01:14:12.720 But maybe not for 15, 20 years.

01:14:15.880 So, it's more like a forecast

01:14:18.800 of what the future looks like.

01:14:22.120 In other news,

01:14:23.820 my last story here,

01:14:24.840 I think it's my last one.

01:14:27.040 The University of Bristol

01:14:30.300 has found that some conditions

01:14:33.220 like depression and schizophrenia

01:14:34.860 might have something to do

01:14:38.640 with underlying conditions in the body.

01:14:42.860 In other words,

01:14:43.860 that it might not be

01:14:44.980 an entirely brain-related.

01:14:47.700 It might be something

01:14:48.740 about your overall physical fitness

01:14:51.180 that's causing your depression

01:14:53.120 and schizophrenia 0.54

01:14:53.860 and other mental health problems.

01:14:55.280 And I will just remind you

01:14:57.020 that I've been saying for years

01:14:59.340 that one of our big mistakes

01:15:02.040 in health care,

01:15:03.380 at least mental health care,

01:15:04.880 is to assume that your brain 0.96

01:15:06.320 is the thing that's in your skull.

01:15:09.040 That might be the most important part,

01:15:11.600 but you should think of your brain

01:15:13.440 as your entire body

01:15:14.520 because anything that happens

01:15:16.180 to your body

01:15:16.740 is going to affect your brain so much,

01:15:18.460 whether it's gut health

01:15:20.800 or probiotics

01:15:22.760 or this new thing

01:15:24.840 is about immune response.

01:15:27.620 So they think

01:15:28.200 if they give you

01:15:29.380 a better immune response,

01:15:30.840 you'd have a better mental health.

01:15:32.860 Now, I don't know

01:15:33.500 about this particular study,

01:15:35.240 but just in general,

01:15:37.720 the fact that we treat the brain

01:15:40.060 like it's a special thing

01:15:41.380 in your skull

01:15:42.020 and not really just

01:15:44.700 one component

01:15:46.760 of your mental health

01:15:48.060 has always been a mistake

01:15:50.420 in my view.

01:15:51.940 Could be the food.

01:15:53.600 Could be.

01:15:55.760 All right, ladies and gentlemen,

01:15:57.080 that's what I had for you.

01:15:59.180 I'm going to say hi

01:16:00.180 to the locals people

01:16:01.860 very quickly.

01:16:03.440 And the rest of you,

01:16:04.660 I'll see you same time tomorrow.

01:16:06.440 Thanks for joining.

01:16:07.120 All right, locals,

01:16:08.980 I'm coming at you

01:16:10.120 in 30 seconds

01:16:12.640 or possibly not.

01:16:15.860 So the answer is not

01:16:18.780 because the button

01:16:20.060 to go private

01:16:20.920 is not working today.

01:16:22.220 So I'll have to

01:16:23.040 close the studio

01:16:24.380 to close that,

01:16:27.340 which means I can't go private.

01:16:29.140 But I'll see you tomorrow

01:16:30.600 on the pre-show

01:16:31.340 and we'll have some fun then.

01:16:37.120 We'll see you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 01, 2025

Episode 2826 CWSA 05⧸01⧸25

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