Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2832 CWSA 05⧸07⧸25

00:00:00.000 good day ad stock market is up so it's a good day to check your stocks

00:00:08.960 let's get our uh show going here get the comments working

00:00:30.000 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:36.560 coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take a chance

00:00:41.840 on taking it up to the levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains all

00:00:46.880 you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein a canteen jug or a flask

00:00:52.720 a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the

00:00:59.600 unparalleled pleasure the dopamine at the end of the day the thing that makes everything better

00:01:03.920 it's called the simultaneous sip and it's going to happen right now go

00:01:15.120 that's good that's good well happy uh hump day although i'm going to call it trump day

00:01:24.160 because the theme of my notes today is that it feels like everything's going trump's way suddenly

00:01:34.800 now i don't know that that's true it might be just a weirdness of the way the news broke

00:01:40.400 but there's a lot of stuff that seems to go pro trump suddenly let's get into it

00:01:48.080 first of all trump is teasing us that uh quote we have a big announcement to make

00:01:54.400 it's going to be truly earth-shattering and positive development for this country

00:01:59.200 and it's not about trade uh what do you think it is what would be a truly earth-shattering and

00:02:07.840 positive development that we don't yet know about and it's not about trade could it be

00:02:16.960 the end of a war that doesn't feel like that would be you know a positive development for this country

00:02:25.600 it'd be good for the world but i don't know if he'd say it that way could it be

00:02:30.560 well i don't know what do you think it is he's so good at the show

00:02:40.560 i don't know you know we'll talk about that so we'll talk about all the the things that are

00:02:45.120 happening but they don't seem to fit truly earth-shattering and positive developments for

00:02:51.360 this country there's a bunch of things that could be happening for other countries mostly you know

00:02:58.720 their benefit i don't think it's that i don't know what it is so we'll see anyway um believe it or not

00:03:09.680 according to the national pulse the us and the uk are set to sign a bilateral trade deal oh here

00:03:18.800 it comes all right the first thing they need to know about all the announcements of trade deals

00:03:24.880 probably they're over they're exaggerated meaning if if somebody says to you today hey we got a trade

00:03:34.160 deal with fill in the blank whatever country it probably means not really it probably means that

00:03:43.200 it's close it looks like it might happen you know maybe in a month maybe if we make some agreements

00:03:49.760 so we haven't made yet so i'm not willing to believe any of the uh we almost have a trade deal but

00:03:59.680 that's the news um and the early reporting is that the uk is signed they're poised to sign a bilateral

00:04:10.560 trade agreement but they would not accept our our food products that's part of the reporting when it's not

00:04:18.400 confirmed so this is unconfirmed stuff but uh i wouldn't be surprised if they say we won't get we

00:04:27.440 won't accept your food products because as hormones and it's or whatever now wouldn't you like an option

00:04:33.760 to buy the european version of american food would you buy that so we've got you know various chemicals

00:04:41.760 and treatments and treatments and hormones and whatever in our food and the europeans use that

00:04:46.720 as an excuse not to buy our food but i would love a section of the store where it's our food but it's

00:04:57.520 made in a way that only europeans will accept so there's no chemicals i would buy the european version

00:05:04.160 of american food you know grown in america so maybe there's something that good that will happen to

00:05:11.920 that uh us and iran are going to hold the fourth round of talks and i guess it's good that there's a

00:05:21.440 fourth round and there's also some clarity of what trump would accept and if you combine it with what

00:05:28.800 rubio said um they're looking for a complete dismantling of iran's ability to make a nuclear

00:05:36.800 weapon but it looks like according to rubio there might be a path uh if iran agreed there might be a

00:05:45.760 path for iran to have domestic nuclear power which would be unfair for us to deny i think so we'll see

00:05:55.040 there's more on that in a minute um and then trump envoy uh whitkoff according to jewish news syndicate

00:06:05.200 um he's sensing that the abraham accords might have a breakthrough that uh that we can know something

00:06:13.040 about it uh by next year so that would be a like a real alignment of the middle east i think a lot of it

00:06:22.000 is just um will you accept israel's existence and will you all do trade with each other and it looks

00:06:30.720 positive so iran is the big stinker in the middle east and we're even negotiating with them so that

00:06:39.280 all looks like it's heading in the right direction so you see why i say it's it's not just a hump day

00:06:44.800 today it might be trump day so everything is either teasing that something really good is coming

00:06:54.400 in a variety of areas from trade deals to whatever trump was teasing about to the abraham accords to

00:07:02.320 at least we're talking to iran i mean they're willing to have a fourth round of talk

00:07:06.640 i'm still not super optimistic about that but better than not talking and then trump was teasing that

00:07:16.560 india might drop all tariffs um then i saw separately that they might only drop tariffs on auto parts and

00:07:24.400 steel so i would say that story is unconfirmed and i'd wait a little bit more for that but

00:07:32.080 it does look like india is willing to do something that we would really like you know the the details

00:07:40.560 of that to be determined but we might be looking at trade deals with the uk and trade deals with india

00:07:50.880 fairly soon now you should understand that the trade deals are not really going to be fully

00:07:58.000 you know fully signed and everything they usually start with some kind of letter of understanding

00:08:04.880 so the letter of understanding would be well it is our intention to do this and it's your intention

00:08:10.800 to do that do you agree but it's not the deal the the deal has to be really detailed and have every kind of

00:08:19.200 contingency work into it and that takes a lot longer

00:08:22.240 but uh trump says that india has quote already agreed to eliminate all tariffs on the u.s goods

00:08:32.000 i don't know if that's true

00:08:35.840 i think trump might be getting ahead of himself a little bit on some of the claims let's say it's

00:08:43.520 directionally true because trump is usually pretty good in you know directionality meaning that we might

00:08:50.800 be close to a deal or that's how it's going to turn out or it'll be something like that so that's all

00:08:57.200 positive then on top of that you know i was i was a little suspicious whether the hoodies genuinely

00:09:07.600 said that they wanted to stop fighting with the united states and stop bombing our ships and

00:09:14.160 so far it looks like it might be true because what the hoodies did say is that they're gonna keep

00:09:22.480 attacking israel and if they have the ability to give a statement that says we're still going after

00:09:30.320 israel and vice versa israel's going after them that would have been the opportunity for them to say

00:09:37.360 and we're still going after everybody or uh or trump is lying we don't really have a ceasefire deal

00:09:45.760 but they didn't so i guess we're uh negotiating with them through some other country but it looks like

00:09:56.160 it's possible that trump did something that i didn't think was actually possible to do in the real world

00:10:04.720 he may have bombed them into into exactly what he wanted which is to stop bothering us in the red sea

00:10:15.680 bothering our ships now it almost seems impossible doesn't it it and i was saying it doesn't look

00:10:24.800 possible to me like i i didn't have a better idea so you know maybe it was worth a shot but i didn't

00:10:33.200 really see that there would be some some situation where he would just bomb the living crap out of 0.92

00:10:39.600 yemen and then the hoodies would say all right you made your point yep we we surrender uh we're not 0.93

00:10:46.000 going to bother you anymore did anybody think that would work and we don't know the details but it seems to

00:10:56.080 me that you know in trump's first term he also had some wins we weren't expecting against isis for

00:11:02.080 example and it was always the same thing like if you look behind the curtain and find out why he had

00:11:10.000 some success that we had not had before it's usually because he unleashed the full lethality of the military

00:11:18.240 and there wasn't much reporting on it so so if what happened is that there's a hegseth being focused on

00:11:28.080 you know lethality and not focused on trans in the military if they just said you can make your own

00:11:35.360 local decisions you know you don't have to check in if you see a target you because that was a big problem

00:11:41.200 before um you can go after any site that looks like it would be productive for our you know our national

00:11:48.800 interests maybe that's all it took maybe the only thing we really needed to do was unleash the military's

00:11:57.280 full lethality and then yemen said oh okay we weren't expecting that and we'd better we'd better surrender

00:12:05.280 ontario the wait is over the gold standard of online casinos has arrived golden nugget online

00:12:12.640 casino is live bringing vegas style excitement and a world-class gaming experience right to your

00:12:18.160 fingertips whether you're a seasoned player or just starting signing up is fast and simple and in just

00:12:24.160 a few clicks you can have access to our exclusive library of the best slots and top-tier table games

00:12:29.760 make the most of your downtime with unbeatable promotions and jackpots that can turn any mundane

00:12:34.880 moment into a golden opportunity at golden nugget online casino take a spin on the slots challenge

00:12:40.880 yourself at the tables or join a live dealer game to feel the thrill of real-time action all from the

00:12:46.400 comfort of your own devices why settle for less when you can go for the gold at golden nugget online

00:12:52.320 casino gambling problem call connects ontario 1-866-531-2600 19 and over physically present in ontario

00:13:00.720 eligibility restrictions apply see golden nugget casino dot com for details please play responsibly

00:13:07.280 well in the same time um you probably are the israel because they the rudis incentive missile that came

00:13:14.880 close to ben gurien airport that the uh israelis destroyed the port where yemen was importing 80 percent of

00:13:25.760 their food and uh i think they may have i don't know if they already destroyed the the main airport in

00:13:32.960 yemen but that's a pretty big response and it makes sense because israel can't really be israel

00:13:42.160 if they can't have their own airport because the the hoodies might missile attack it at any minute 0.99

00:13:49.040 so for israel to respond in what looks like an over response taking out the port that handles 80 percent

00:13:56.880 of their food that's a big response and taking out maybe their only airport that's a big response

00:14:06.400 so we'll see where that goes anyway so if it's true that trump at least got the rudis to agree not to

00:14:16.080 attack the ships in the red sea maybe except for israel ships because they have something still going 0.96

00:14:21.920 on that would look like one of the greatest achievements of his presidency it would be quite

00:14:29.600 impressive i didn't expect it to happen and i'm i'm not positive it's happened but remember this is a

00:14:36.000 hump day but it's actually trump day so we're just gonna let's just assume it's real just for today

00:14:45.520 because it feels good well allegedly james o'keefe is going to have some kind of story today

00:14:54.800 that would be the reason that he disappeared for a while because he was afraid that he would get killed

00:15:01.600 now alex jones teased that alex jones knows some of what the topic of the story will be but it doesn't

00:15:09.440 know the details and alex jones agrees it's this is big now as has it been released yet because sometimes

00:15:19.440 this stuff happens while i'm talking to you but has james o'keefe released his newest story

00:15:27.520 i have to admit i'm interested now given that uh you know the nature of james o'keefe stories do you think it

00:15:35.360 will be good for trump meaning that it will be something that shows that there's very bad behavior

00:15:43.200 by democrats or do you think it'll be bad for trump because it would go after some republican thing

00:15:50.240 well if you look at history you you would probably assume that whatever it is that james o'keefe is up

00:16:00.080 to you know if he drops his story today it's probably bad for democrats which would mean

00:16:06.320 it's a perfect story for trump day yeah not hump day trump day um now on the uh scarier side of things

00:16:19.520 you probably heard that india did an attack on pakistan that was in response to um a pakistani militant

00:16:29.200 attack that killed 26 people in india and of course this is a long-term thing that's been simmering

00:16:37.600 forever and occasionally there's some some action back and forth but uh they are both nuclear nuclear

00:16:45.680 countries and these are bigger attacks than what we normally see and i guess pakistan is already 0.57

00:16:54.720 responding to india's response so with some artillery but artillery seems like maybe a

00:17:03.760 you know could have been worse i think india was sending in missiles and if the response is artillery

00:17:10.240 it would feel like they're just making sure that india didn't get a free punch so i'm not sure

00:17:17.680 they're escalating they may have just said all right all right you did this we did that

00:17:22.960 you know let's get a go so i'm not afraid of that yet and i don't think that that has anything

00:17:30.000 to do with trump at the moment there's nothing you can do about it um speaking of trump um he's

00:17:41.040 escalated his public calls for military action against the mexican cartels and he said that he had

00:17:50.720 made an offer on monday to the mexican president and uh this this this is what he said about the

00:18:00.560 president of mexico now i ask you would any other president ever use these words there's some things

00:18:10.640 that that trump does so perfectly that it doesn't look like a president should even do this stuff

00:18:17.520 but when you just sort of look at it you go that's sort of perfect this is what trump said about the

00:18:24.160 shine bomb the mexican president quote she is so afraid of the cartels she can't even think straight

00:18:34.720 she is so afraid of the cartels she can't even think straight

00:18:39.360 now the funny thing about that is it rings true doesn't it like when you hear that you think okay

00:18:50.080 that's you just got to the center of it she must be afraid of the cartels we all knew that right that's 0.99

00:18:56.880 not news but when you add the that she can't even think straight it probably is because when he talks to

00:19:04.320 her he's talking about you know solving the cartel problem and she's not responding like she wants to 0.97

00:19:10.720 solve it you know that would look like she's not thinking straight so i just love that framing that

00:19:18.720 she was so afraid of the cartels she can't even think straight

00:19:24.480 so uh now that uh trump has moved our military um to a lot of locations on the border with mexico

00:19:34.800 i think it's causing some of the cartels to have to arrange their business differently and i guess

00:19:40.880 the cartels are fighting each other which i always wonder if we're behind that do you ever wonder if

00:19:47.680 we're behind that like wouldn't it be easier for us to get the cartels to fight each other than it

00:19:54.880 would be for us to fight them so i always wonder do we send some information to one that sort of suggests

00:20:04.480 maybe they should fight with the other one i don't know we should if we're not doing that we're missing a

00:20:10.560 obvious move anyway so my question is this do you think trump would ever attack the cartels in mexico

00:20:19.200 mexico without approval of the president of mexico now uh one possibility is that

00:20:31.200 he could give her deniability so she could continue to say no you are definitely not allowed to use your

00:20:39.360 military but then we could maybe use the military and then she could say i told you not to use the

00:20:48.320 military we'll do everything we can in our power to stop you from using your military i mean they're not

00:20:55.760 going to attack our military that would be suicide so maybe there's a good cop bad cop situation where

00:21:05.600 the president of mexico shine bomb can pretend that she's opposed to it while letting it happened 1.00

00:21:15.280 well not letting it happen what the hell could she do really because she's not going to turn the mexican 1.00

00:21:21.600 military on the u.s military i mean that would just be insane so i think that they would stand down and

00:21:30.400 they would just complain a lot but maybe they'd be getting what they wanted which is the cartels getting

00:21:37.920 whacked here's what i predict i predict that after a given amount of time and it might not be right away

00:21:47.440 that there will be a limited attack um probably by drone so not with boots on the ground but by drone

00:21:56.240 on a cartel facility maybe a maybe a military you know maybe they will find the cartel has a ammo dump

00:22:05.280 or something and it will go after it because it's really just military and it'll be a test and then 0.82

00:22:13.200 scheinbaum will say damn it i told you to keep your military out of our country you can't do that again 0.71

00:22:20.880 whatever you do don't do that again and then we see how bad it was and we'd be like all right that 0.98

00:22:27.600 wasn't so bad maybe we'll try it again so i think trump is likely to test it out and see what the public

00:22:38.800 reaction is see what the see what the mexican public thinks because i'm not sure what the mexican

00:22:44.640 public would think would the mexican public really be angry if we took in a cartel facility or would they

00:22:54.400 say okay you know we're not supporting the cartel but you can't do that in our country or would they

00:23:01.600 say finally finally because our own government won't do this finally somebody's going to take

00:23:08.320 on the cartels which would they do probably a little of both right there's always people on both sides of

00:23:14.080 everything i don't know in related news one american news is reporting that uh bondi has announced one of

00:23:24.240 the largest fentanyl seizures seizures in the u.s history and they also captured a um one of the

00:23:31.120 sinaloa cartel leaders who i believe was in the united states operating somewhat freely in the united

00:23:38.400 states now largest one of the largest fentanyl seizures it came with a bunch of other drugs as well

00:23:46.400 but you shouldn't get excited about large fentanyl seizures because the ability of the cartels to just

00:23:56.240 make more large fentanyl um shipments is really high right now so if you you know if you get a million

00:24:06.560 pills they just say all right we're gonna have to work overtime tonight make another million pills it's not

00:24:13.520 the biggest problem in the world and i think it's all sort of factored into the cartel business model

00:24:20.400 okay we're gonna have a certain amount of very large captures so they just make sure they make enough

00:24:28.960 that the large captures don't change the nature of what they're doing so i don't think that's going

00:24:35.200 to help too much but it's better than not you know it's better than not catching them

00:24:43.520 bank more encores when you switch to a scotiabank banking package

00:24:50.000 learn more at scotiabank.com slash banking packages conditions apply scotiabank you're richer than you

00:24:56.800 think uh well apparently uh scott basant treasury secretary and uh our trade representative

00:25:08.000 of a greer are going to meet with the chinese um uh what would you call them sort of a trade they're not

00:25:17.600 really a trade delegation but they're going to serve a capacity at the moment in switzerland now that

00:25:24.400 turned out to be the perfect solution because china didn't want to look like it was you know anybody's 0.56

00:25:31.520 um slave so if we had said to them hey let's talk and then we said the place that we're going to talk

00:25:41.760 then china would say you can't push this around we're not going to go where you want us to go

00:25:47.520 so what we found was a place they were going to be anyway they were going to be in switzerland for

00:25:52.400 other business so then basant says well why don't i just meet you in switzerland

00:25:57.280 could that be more perfect no i mean switzerland being famous for being unaligned

00:26:07.440 and they're going to be there anyway so it's just the perfect opening to have the conversation about

00:26:15.600 you know how do we talk about trade now you should not expect that any agreements will be made

00:26:20.960 um accept agreements to make agreements basically but they'll be talking on saturday and sunday

00:26:29.680 and besant is trying to you know um trying to make sure that you curb your enthusiasm about what's

00:26:37.760 possible he said we're going to agree about what we're going to talk about and then he says my sense

00:26:44.080 is it'll be about de-escalation not about big trade deals so de-escalation would mean

00:26:50.960 that we say something like okay we intend to do trade talks we intend to so in the meantime can

00:26:59.280 we drop some of these tariffs so maybe you know and then china would not feel like they're being

00:27:08.800 you know under duress they would feel like they're negotiating with uh with a peer which is what they've

00:27:15.040 asked for so it looks like there's a path um and it looks like everybody knows what the path is

00:27:23.520 which is first you de-escalate you treat them like a peer not like somebody that you're pushing around

00:27:32.480 so far so good and you know the thing that trump did is he made it at everybody's top priority

00:27:41.040 without that i don't think anything would be happening so trump gets the win for making it a

00:27:47.280 top priority and then the market has to deal with the fact that the thing they were most afraid of

00:27:53.680 is that china you know our china trade deals would go off the rails everything would be bad and that 0.96

00:28:01.680 would be bad for the market but now you can see that there might be a fairly reasonable path

00:28:10.160 which is first you meet and agree upon what you're going to talk about probably you talk more about

00:28:17.600 de-escalating instead of a whole trade deal and then everybody goes whew we've got 90 days or maybe to

00:28:25.680 the end of the year or whatever they need and in that time we're going to talk about all those trade

00:28:32.400 related things and tariffs and ip theft and everything else that were bothered by china and then the markets

00:28:40.000 are going to say all right it looks like a step in the right direction and that's why i call it trump day

00:28:49.200 instead of humtay according to just the news tulsi gabbard the dni has released a fully unredacted version of a

00:29:04.960 biden memo directing federal law enforcement to go after non-criminals in the united states

00:29:13.280 just think about that there was a biden memo authorizing federal law enforcement this is four

00:29:24.560 years ago to target americans who were engaged in now remember none of these are illegal so they were

00:29:32.560 they were authorized to go after americans engaged in uh concerning non-criminal behavior non-criminal

00:29:41.520 in the name of fighting domestic terrorism um in the name of fighting domestic terrorism

00:29:46.960 so with a specific eye on those serving in the military what they're going to especially look at people just

00:29:57.280 serving patriotically in the military really um people who own firearms what

00:30:07.680 people who legally own firearms are going to be targets of law enforcement um or spreading what

00:30:17.920 officials consider to be xenophobic disinformation what xenophobic disinformation i feel like you could

00:30:28.720 put a lot in that that bucket on freaking believable it was a june 2021 memo so now you understand uh why the

00:30:40.000 fbi was monitoring conservative catholics and parents who protested against school boards and uh

00:30:49.360 i mean it's just this is just head shaking

00:30:51.680 now this is the sort of news that won't make it onto the major media news right so democrats will never hear

00:31:00.240 this news but do you think democrats would be happy knowing that biden had ever ever authorized

00:31:11.120 federal law enforcement to go after people who were explicitly not accused of any crime

00:31:17.360 crime not accused of any crime and also not accused of preparing for a crime as far as i can tell

00:31:30.400 unbelievable but of course you know good for trump so it's another another good for trump thing

00:31:36.960 um the daily wire is doing an investigation into the african development foundation which is one of those

00:31:46.800 uh organizations that doge tried to penetrate and when doge went after them uh the african development

00:31:55.200 foundation cfo refused to let them see the books and uh tried to lock them out and file a lawsuit

00:32:04.560 and you say to yourself that's pretty aggressive why would the cfo try so hard to deny doge looking at

00:32:12.480 their books well it turns out there's a reason the cfo had been steering allegedly had been steering

00:32:20.160 fake contracts to a friend of his who then wired cash back to the cfo oh god everything is exactly what

00:32:31.040 you thought it was you thought these these various uh charitable groups and ngos you thought that they

00:32:41.680 looked like money laundering operations because they didn't have any you know there was no real audit

00:32:47.360 trail for anything it was exactly what it looked like it was exactly what it looked like it was just

00:32:55.520 gigantic money laundering theft on freaking believable but again it makes uh the trump administration look

00:33:07.040 like the honest ones who were you know fighting crime and makes it look like the uh the biden administration

00:33:15.600 either wasn't good at finding and fighting crime or they were in on it so again it's not just hump day

00:33:25.680 today it's trump day everything's going his way

00:33:28.640 um then meanwhile uh joe biden did a bbc interview did any of you see a clip from that

00:33:39.120 so biden decides that he'll talk to the bbc now maybe that's because all the american media

00:33:46.560 is pretending that they're mad at him for his insiders not telling telling anybody that he was

00:33:52.720 mentally deficient so is that why he's talking to a foreign press because you know he doesn't have

00:34:00.480 that friction with them i don't know it but it was a bad idea because biden looks completely mentally

00:34:08.400 deficient in the interview and you know you sort of forget how much we got used to

00:34:17.360 now i don't forgive anybody for not being able to see it because it was still pretty damn obvious for

00:34:23.920 the entire term of biden's uh well even before he got in office it was obvious but when you see it

00:34:30.400 again after you haven't seen it for a few months because we've been sort of denied any uh biden

00:34:38.160 spontaneous comments you know we've only seen him read a speech but when he tries to talk on his own

00:34:44.480 oh my god how in the world did we put up with that for so long so that was a total failure

00:34:54.080 which is good for trump on hump day that's now trump day when i found out my friend got a great deal on

00:35:01.840 a wool coat from winners i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over 1.00

00:35:09.120 there with the designer jeans are those from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did

00:35:14.880 she pay full price or that leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress 1.00

00:35:20.560 that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning winners find

00:35:28.320 fabulous for less well in other news that doesn't have to do with trump uh the uk is going wild in a good

00:35:37.920 way uh with ai powered uh scans so apparently they've got a new uh ai powered 3d heart imaging

00:35:48.320 the 56 hospitals have that's going to turn uh routine ct scans into precise personalized coronary maps

00:35:58.080 so apparently it's going to replace a lot of work that doctors would do but it'll do a an even better

00:36:03.760 diagnosis than the doctor and they're already rolling it out so i feel like one of the biggest

00:36:10.880 things that's going to happen and maybe trump will just get lucky because he happens to be in office when

00:36:16.560 this just coincidentally happens is i think there's going to be this enormous cost-saving trend in health

00:36:25.520 care now you know maybe a little start in other countries and spread to us but think of all the

00:36:32.960 things that ai could do and robots could do that we haven't quite implemented for example i'm pretty

00:36:42.960 sure that robots can do surgery better than human surgeons now i wouldn't personally want to go under

00:36:50.720 the knife with a robot doctor um but i could probably get used to it you know if i saw enough

00:36:58.800 science that said it's better but i'd need a human to be watching you know i'd want the uh the surgeon 0.94

00:37:07.040 even if it's in a different country you know they could be eating the sandwich and playing a video game

00:37:12.240 but every once in a while i'd like them to look at what the robot doctor is doing to say no no that's the

00:37:17.360 wrong organ no no no uh he's here for a heart problem uh you're taking on his kidney stop doing

00:37:25.520 that so if if the ai is better at imaging and we can reduce the cost of imaging which i think is a

00:37:38.000 it seems likely doesn't it doesn't seem to you that the cost of these big ct and pet scans and all those

00:37:44.320 things doesn't it feel like the natural direction for those would be much lower cost over time because

00:37:51.200 we'll innovate and there'll be a better way to do it etc so i'm thinking that the diagnosis part

00:37:59.840 of medicine is going to get real cheap because of ai and startups and then i'm thinking that the

00:38:08.080 uh treatment in many cases will also get a lot cheaper um the hard part will be the hospital stays

00:38:20.320 so here's just a question i was noodling on if you have a hospital you have to be ready for pretty much

00:38:28.880 anything that that could happen right so you're ready for every kind of possibility so you need to

00:38:35.280 have every machine which probably means a lot of your equipment is sitting around idle i'm just

00:38:41.280 guessing so i don't know anything about this industry so what would happen hypothetically

00:38:48.000 if startups started doing you know little hospital functions where they only do one thing

00:38:56.000 so let's say for example there's a mini hospital that pops up that only does hip replacement surgery

00:39:03.600 because probably there's a certain set of machines that you use just for that

00:39:09.840 and then you can make sure that you have real specialists who are just good at that

00:39:15.120 wouldn't it be cheaper yeah wouldn't you be able to get all kinds of uh you know efficiencies

00:39:22.800 if you only worked on the one thing and there's plenty of them i mean you wouldn't run out of

00:39:27.200 you know hip surgery possibilities so i'm just wondering if there's some way that the whole

00:39:33.360 hospital thing could be rethought so that the more you know the common problems if you you know if

00:39:41.120 they're not life-threatening the life-threatening stuff you just have to be ready for everything

00:39:45.840 but if it's just a ordinary surgery couldn't you have a place that just is specializing in that and

00:39:52.640 it would be cheaper i don't know maybe but i think healthcare costs have some possibility going down

00:40:01.680 um apparently uh former google ceo eric schmidt is one of the backers of a startup called future house

00:40:13.120 and they've just released an ai agent for discovery and biology now it's currently in beta but apparently

00:40:21.920 it can do open-ended and directed data analysis so if you give it a whole bunch of data it can look

00:40:29.680 for whatever you tell it to look for but it can also look at the data and just see if it finds anything

00:40:35.600 that might be interesting that you didn't know to ask for now that would be amazing but here's my question

00:40:41.520 um so um so i'm seeing adam dopamine says that healthcare isn't expensive because of doctors

00:40:52.000 that's true it is expensive because the government killed the free market for healthcare

00:40:58.400 um i'm open to that argument that's an area i don't know enough about but it wouldn't surprise me

00:41:06.000 if the trump administration can sign some executive orders to make uh the healthcare market more competitive

00:41:16.160 so you know maybe that's coming anyway so my question is this we've had ai for a while now

00:41:23.280 has ai ever come up with a genuine insight in any domain

00:41:30.080 now is that and is that what this uh this biology based a ai agent is going to do 0.97

00:41:39.520 so as an ai agent for discovery and biology so it's going to be zipping through data

00:41:47.840 is it going to come up with its own like great insights that we didn't know to ask it to look for

00:41:54.640 because i've not heard of any example where where somebody said you know what i can't believe how

00:42:03.840 dumb we were we've been looking at this data forever and until we turned the ai onto it we didn't

00:42:10.720 realize that we were sitting on the answer to our problems we just weren't asking the right questions 0.91

00:42:16.480 has that happened even once

00:42:17.920 i don't know so it's making me wonder if ai can ever do that or or at least you know the current

00:42:27.520 technology of ai i i feel like by now we would have seen all these great insights

00:42:34.880 and it would be you know it would be posting on x better than naval and uh it'd be saying things that

00:42:43.680 you knew were good for you but if it hadn't framed it that way you weren't going to do anything about

00:42:49.360 it i mean just think of some of the things that i've done for example uh you know if you're new to

00:42:57.280 me this will sound weird but those of you have been here for a while it won't sound weird so how many of

00:43:04.000 you have heard me say something or write something in one of my books that caused you to change your life

00:43:11.040 either lose weight or stop drinking or exercise more or build a talent stack or do systems over

00:43:18.320 goals now those are those are insights those are you know reframes in some case but basically

00:43:27.520 they're designed to make you see something that was sort of always there it's just that i saw it

00:43:34.640 differently and in seeing it differently or even just putting it in different words i could turn your

00:43:42.640 general desire to improve into you to actually doing things and then you would actually improve

00:43:50.400 now that is a genuine insight has ai done anything that would cause people to go whoa

00:44:01.040 you know there's a new way of thinking i i'm going to try that out see how it works i don't think so

00:44:07.280 so it makes me wonder if there's any kind of cap on that that ai can't get past we'll find out

00:44:14.560 well scott jennings who continues to be the uh star of cnn he was talking about what i would call the

00:44:26.560 half pinion of democrats now that's my word the half pinion but uh he says ask a liberal for their

00:44:34.160 trade strategy and they'll say a lot of words that essentially translate into uh let china keep eating 0.98

00:44:40.640 our lunch now that's you know his own take on it which is funny but it's right if you say well what

00:44:51.200 should we do about the fact that china has unfair trade practices well we shouldn't do a tariff war 0.61

00:45:00.400 okay so that if we don't do the tariff war then they just keep eating our lunch

00:45:06.960 well but tariffs are bad okay i hear you but if we don't do the tariffs you're okay with us just

00:45:18.560 continuing to be robbed it's like they can't really consider the the full picture but uh you see that

00:45:27.520 you see that continuously in the differences of opinions that that that the democrats have half

00:45:34.880 opinions um i would say that gaza you know the people who want israel to stop dominating gaza

00:45:43.440 also a half pinion now no matter what you think about the the ethics or the morality of what's going

00:45:50.240 on over there i i just stay out of that completely because that's not my domain um you'd have to admit

00:45:57.520 that if you say i want to the killing to stop you're sort of ignoring half of the question which is what

00:46:07.040 would happen if the killing stopped would they just reconstitute hamas after a while and then israel got

00:46:14.560 nothing out of all that devastation that's not really an opinion it's half an opinion uh i want people to

00:46:23.360 stop fighting not really stop fighting not really an opinion it's halfway there

00:46:30.960 anyway uh same with uh doge using a scalpel

00:46:37.280 um what would what would happen if doge had tried to do things the normal way that people try to do things

00:46:44.480 how how would that go they would walk in and they'd say we'd like to have access to all your books

00:46:53.040 and see what we can cut in your organization but of course we're going to do it the right way

00:46:59.440 so we would like to check with you leaders of this group to make sure that we're not doing anything

00:47:04.880 that's inappropriate and then the leader says oh good that's exactly what you should be doing and by the

00:47:11.360 way there's nothing here that could be cut none of that would work so if you don't like the chainsaw

00:47:20.560 with the break you first and then fix it if if you have to you're not really talking about the real world

00:47:28.080 it's a half pinion my half pinion is we should not do anything that's a mistake okay yeah you wouldn't do

00:47:36.560 anything if you'd never wanted to make a mistake that that just doesn't work for any domain you know all

00:47:46.880 right so here's a here's something i've noticed as a general trend republicans try to do policy

00:47:57.200 and democrats play with the rules and i'm going to give you some examples of that so here's the

00:48:07.280 theme the theme is that republicans try to fix actual problems and democrats not having a better idea for

00:48:16.080 fixing problems try to use the the rules they game the rules here's some examples the elections

00:48:27.200 so the democrats have just wildly game the the election laws to make legal uh voting without id and

00:48:37.680 voting from home and and a whole bunch of things but all of this seems to be rules related the republicans

00:48:46.480 are more like they just want a fair election but then the democrats are all about let's play with these rules

00:48:54.240 rules what about uh the the maryland dad the republicans just want to get rid of somebody who's

00:49:02.640 looks to be an ms-13 bad guy they just want less crime fewer criminals what are the democrats complain

00:49:12.160 about the process we're going to talk about the process how about the uh we were just talking about doge

00:49:19.920 um they wanted to complain about the process of doge whereas republicans were can we just get in there

00:49:29.680 and cut all of this garbage and if we cut too much somebody will scream and we'll fix it which is what

00:49:35.520 they did and and meanwhile the democrats are just trapped on process yeah but you should use the scalpel 0.91

00:49:43.760 which means nothing really what about the uh trump's tariffs and trade wars

00:49:52.560 same thing trump says we're getting ripped off i'm going to stop it so he does a very big move

00:50:01.920 to you know do these wild you know tariff reciprocity and more and uh he's going after the problem

00:50:11.600 the problem the problem is that countries are ripping us off and they're not paying attention to us when

00:50:16.320 we say stop ripping us off now they're paying attention so he's getting close to a solution

00:50:23.280 so what do the democrats do they complain about the way he's doing it again it's not about the solution

00:50:32.240 it's about the way he's doing it um and of course they complain endlessly about trump's personality

00:50:39.280 which has nothing to do with anything and uh there's the law fair the law fair is not about

00:50:48.560 really having a you know better country or fixing crime it's about manipulating the law

00:50:56.960 to to win basically so again it's about manipulating the rules and the law and the

00:51:03.120 you know the the standards basically going after a president with every every possible way you can

00:51:11.200 with these bullshit law fair things that's new what about all the censorship attempts that we learned

00:51:18.000 about with the twitter files and we learned about with this latest uh biden memo that came out again 0.85

00:51:26.400 instead of just having you know free speech which would be a sort of a republican goal free speech

00:51:35.840 they go after all the rules they find these clever ways to build ngos and and you know have have the uh

00:51:44.400 the external forcing uh or our external processes turned internally so that we can censor americans again

00:51:54.480 playing with the rules what about the fake news again it's not about what's real in the real world it's about

00:52:03.520 a narrative so that people don't know exactly what's real but the playing with the the rules of the the

00:52:11.680 fake news basically what about all these ngos again creating a whole rules-based 0.93

00:52:19.360 structure that they can hide money and get stuff done that maybe nobody wanted done what about all those soros

00:52:28.560 prosecutors again it's playing with the rules what about climate change being a driver of everything

00:52:39.040 playing with the rules um where the the better goal would have been let's get as much energy as

00:52:45.360 possible um i think i think doug bergam was the one who explained it really well recently

00:52:51.360 that even if you think that we need to get to a point where there's less co2 in the atmosphere

00:52:57.440 even if you believe you have to get there bergam correctly says the only way you could ever get there

00:53:04.560 is through um technical innovation and the only way we're going to survive

00:53:11.360 to get to a point with technical innovation at that level is if we have tons of energy right now

00:53:18.400 from every way we can get it because ai in particular will be sucking up that energy so ai might be 1.00

00:53:25.920 actually the technology that determines how real any of the climate stuff is and if it is real and has

00:53:34.160 to be solved probably would be the technology that figures out the best way to do it

00:53:41.440 so in general republicans try to get some policy done and democrats try to game the rules

00:53:48.480 it's just so consistent it's it's weird

00:53:51.280 well meanwhile in my state there's a uh an estimate by a kenneth well by the center square that's what's

00:54:03.120 writing about it yeah there's a new study from the university of southern california

00:54:08.800 michael mish and he's looked at what is likely to be californian gas prices

00:54:16.080 by the end of 2026 and that would be after the two refineries that say they're going to close have

00:54:23.760 closed and that would be one-fifth of our state's refining capacity so currently we have the nation's

00:54:31.440 highest gas prices four dollars and 78 cents per gallon which by the way is cheaper than i've seen

00:54:38.000 anywhere so i haven't seen 478 on the sign but i don't get out much so maybe i haven't seen anything

00:54:47.120 under five so i don't know if that's my local area or it changed recently and i just haven't gotten gas

00:54:53.600 in a month but the estimate is that california gas by the end of 2026 will cost eight dollars and 44 cents

00:55:04.480 per gallon based on the things that we know are going to happen not based on weird speculation

00:55:12.880 but based on the things that we already know are definitely going to happen

00:55:19.920 our state is so pathetic here are a few things that we don't get to have in our state

00:55:27.360 a movie business remember when california had a movie business 0.96

00:55:32.880 can you believe that we destroyed the entire film and movie business we completely own that

00:55:39.680 and it's completely dead because of taxes and basically bad management we're not going to have gas

00:55:49.600 because you know half of the half of the citizens won't be able to afford gas if it's eight dollars and

00:55:55.280 44 we don't have fire insurance and we don't have fire mitigation so it's more important to have fire

00:56:03.600 insurance than ever we don't have safety on the streets or in the stores

00:56:10.800 we don't have electricity when it's windy let me say that again if you didn't know that we don't have

00:56:17.680 electricity when it gets windy that's because the wind might blow some power lines down and start a fire

00:56:28.400 that's a real thing in southern california um i don't think it sent me in northern california yet but it

00:56:35.200 could when the wind reaches a certain level they turn off the electricity in my state

00:56:45.600 um

00:56:47.840 and for all of that we have the highest state taxes

00:56:52.320 and unaffordable homes

00:56:54.000 so that's that's what california got for you good job california anyway

00:57:03.680 um and then here's some news from the brighter side of news joshua shavit is writing about this

00:57:11.600 so there's some new research

00:57:12.880 uh one of the things i enjoy is making a prediction years before it could come true

00:57:25.360 and then knowing it's going to be true and then just watching it develop

00:57:32.160 now here's here's just one that makes me laugh there's new research that reveals that plants absorb

00:57:38.080 31 percent more co2 than previously thought now now suppose this is true 0.99

00:57:49.600 how good are those climate models if they got if they got plant absorption of co2 off by 31

00:57:59.920 do you think that they put those 100 variable climate models everything was fine

00:58:06.880 but they had this one little thing and if they just tweak that then it'll be just just right

00:58:12.960 so the the thing i've been saying on social media for a while that just always makes me laugh

00:58:18.000 whenever i see a story like this i always say wait until you find out about the climate models

00:58:25.840 in my opinion there's a hundred percent chance that sometime probably in your lifetime

00:58:32.080 there will be a whistleblower and the whistleblower will be somebody who worked with climate models

00:58:39.520 and will be maybe done with that industry or you know maybe they're just brave

00:58:44.560 and they're going to come out they're going to say all right the climate models are not real

00:58:50.000 how do i know i made climate models what do you mean they're not real okay we were just guessing

00:58:56.560 if you tweak anything you can get any number you want every now and then we would produce a

00:59:02.880 an estimate that was outside the zone that the industry would allow so we just tweaked it so it was in the

00:59:10.160 zone there's going to be a whistleblower on on the climate models you wait for that i guarantee it

00:59:18.480 it's it's the most predictable thing in the world because i think everybody who's worked with

00:59:23.760 any kind of prediction models i think we all in which i have in the financial realm not in the

00:59:30.720 climate realm but it's the same the same thing once you add a certain number of variables to a

00:59:37.040 prediction model it's completely useless you can't you can't predict the future

00:59:44.400 and nobody's ever figured out is predict the future with you know a hundred variables

00:59:49.600 so just wait till you find out when the whistleblower appears it's coming

00:59:59.840 according to modernity steve watson is writing that cbs news did a piece about china that almost seems

01:00:08.160 like cbs wants china to win the trade war so cbs news sent a correspondent over to the

01:00:15.440 manufacturing fair in china and uh the the theme of the report was that the poor uh the poor factory

01:00:27.520 workers and manufacturing people in china were being punished for quote being good at exporting their

01:00:35.520 products so we're punishing the chinese the poor chinese workers for simply being good at what they do 1.00

01:00:43.040 um so and it's terribly unfair and what we're doing to china is very mean that's cbs news

01:00:55.280 all right

01:00:58.560 um according to the national pulse there are some medium-sized companies manufacturing companies that

01:01:06.720 are just swamped with new business in america because people are looking for alternatives to chinese

01:01:14.960 products so in some cases there are things we don't make in america in other cases there are things we do

01:01:21.920 make that maybe were a little more expensive than the chinese version but with the tariffs um

01:01:29.440 um they're they're just doing great business right now so for example uh u.s manufacturers such as

01:01:37.440 jergens grand river rubber and plastic safe source direct accu rounds whirlpool and excel dryer they're

01:01:46.000 all reporting just businesses booming because they're american businesses and and they were doing something that

01:01:54.160 china was doing a little bit cheaper but maybe not now so this is sort of a hidden a hidden benefit

01:02:03.600 because these are not the biggest companies but they're uh they're located in various places ohio

01:02:10.320 illinois massachusetts and michigan and they're just doing booming work and that is your hump day that's really trump day

01:02:20.480 well i don't know if you saw the clips of uh prime minister carney of canada meeting with trump

01:02:29.760 but it was very interesting so trump managed to balance the fact you know that we have this friction with canada

01:02:38.240 with the fact that his charisma is so strong that he can make uh prime minister carney

01:02:45.760 sort of smile and have a good time while he's telling him he wants to take over his country

01:02:52.560 and he actually pulled it off which is funny

01:02:57.360 um so carney tried to frame the idea that you know canada would ever become a

01:03:05.280 the 51st state of the united states he said uh that canada is not for sale

01:03:11.120 so he said it very well he said some things are never for sale and you know canada will never be

01:03:18.080 for sale but when did we say we wanted to buy them i don't recall that i think trump was just saying

01:03:27.920 it just makes more sense we would be one country he didn't say we want to buy you

01:03:32.640 and and i would agree there's no price so yeah i would agree with carney canada is not for sale

01:03:41.600 and it should not be for sale but trump calls it a potential marriage a marriage

01:03:51.200 where two people say you know what this would be a good deal for both of us that's a completely different

01:03:57.280 frame so uh and then trump reinforces the fact that they're getting 200 billion dollars a year of

01:04:04.960 free military protection from the united states uh i don't know if that's a real number but it's one

01:04:10.960 he's using and that would be something that wouldn't be unfair if we were part of the same country

01:04:19.920 and then you wouldn't have to worry about any tariffs on anything because we'd be part of the same

01:04:27.120 country and maybe the cost of government you know may be reduced because instead of two entirely

01:04:36.960 different governments maybe you just have one now i'm not going to say that this is likely that canada

01:04:44.720 in the us will have a marriage and become one but um right in front of the entire world after

01:04:52.640 carney says in front of the press that canada is not for sale trump trump just shrugs and he goes

01:05:00.000 never say never

01:05:03.920 he says i've had many many things that were not doable and and ended up being doable and i thought to

01:05:10.560 myself okay that really is true there's nobody i know more than trump except maybe elon musk who's

01:05:20.640 taken on things that everybody knew were undoable and sort of made it work you know closing the border

01:05:28.560 was undoable but he did it becoming president the first time was undoable but he did it becoming

01:05:34.400 president the second time was undoable but he did it um getting the hooties to stop attacking 0.92

01:05:40.480 the ships seemed undoable but he did it so he does have a track record of doing the undoable

01:05:49.520 it's hard to it's hard to deny him that um but i would say that uh and there's also reports that carney

01:05:59.040 privately asked uh trump to stop talking about making canada the 51st state and i agree

01:06:06.720 i agree we should stop talking about making canada the 51st state and we should adopt trump's newer

01:06:15.520 model if you wanted any kind of a marriage to happen there uh to talk about it more like a marriage

01:06:23.200 meaning that it would happen if both sides say you know what this is a good idea

01:06:27.360 and at the moment there's no proposition on the table that canada could look at and say

01:06:33.840 oh actually if that's what you're talking about that wouldn't be a bad idea at all

01:06:40.720 so there's nothing really for canada to look at at this point it's just it just feels like trump is

01:06:46.560 trump is just making the impossible seem like maybe and i think he's actually pulled it off

01:06:57.200 because if you asked me a few months ago what are the odds that us and canada would become one country

01:07:03.200 i would have said come on that's not going to happen there's no scenario in which they're going to sell

01:07:10.320 the country or yeah no that's not going to happen if you ask me today i'd say huh probably not

01:07:20.800 but it's not impossible

01:07:24.880 so trump pulled that off he actually changed my mind from completely ridiculous to huh i don't know

01:07:35.600 you know you you could imagine there's a scenario in which there's a proposition that's just so good

01:07:43.200 for canada maybe lowers their taxes i don't know i mean that our systems are different enough that it

01:07:51.120 would be a massive transition or problem if we ever did it and you'd have to figure out a way that

01:07:58.160 it didn't make them look like the little you know the little uh partner that's being dragged along

01:08:05.600 but rather you know they they they got their full respect and uh i think it could be done

01:08:12.560 i'm not gonna i'm not gonna predict it will be done but the fact that he turned it from this is

01:08:18.480 ridiculous to maybe it's pretty impressive

01:08:25.280 well i guess trump's also issued some or is expecting to issue some uh executive orders

01:08:33.040 zero hedges reporting out in this actually axios reported on the first i think

01:08:38.400 to accelerate the deployment of nuclear reactors mostly getting rid of the regulatory burden

01:08:44.240 now that's a big deal um i thought that something like that had been worked on before

01:08:52.560 but not through the president's office i think maybe the you know the energy department or something

01:08:58.240 had been trying to reduce regulations but maybe they didn't get there so if we get to the point

01:09:05.040 where we can make the small nuclear reactors and just approve a few designs then we could just say

01:09:14.000 all right as long as it's this design just go wild and make a bunch of them you know the smaller reactors

01:09:20.000 that's probably where the big win is so this again is another potentially

01:09:27.040 gigantically important thing that trump could do that nobody else did reducing the regulations

01:09:34.640 for nuclear power plants um so it's uh it's trump day

01:09:41.280 uh cnn's uh polling data guy harry enton was talking about uh trump and how he's doing on crime

01:09:52.480 and apparently trump is doing well on crime and doing quote far better than joe biden who was so far

01:09:59.760 underwater enton said that my goodness he was setting records at minus 26 points you rarely ever see it so

01:10:07.360 apparently biden was so bad on crime that he set records for being bad on crime and then trump ran on

01:10:18.320 law and order and it was one of the reasons he got elected and now he's uh uh he's now plus two net

01:10:28.320 approval rating on that but here listen to this uh and said if we go back to uh march of 2024

01:10:37.360 all right so that's a year ago march of 2024 trump was underwater on crime at minus 13 and he got all the

01:10:48.720 way back and now so he's doing 15 points better than he was a year ago in terms of how people are

01:10:56.000 viewing him on crime you know one of the main things that the public cares about and uh and and then

01:11:04.080 enton mentions something that we've been talking about he said the alcatraz idea uh was a way to

01:11:12.720 focus the public on the fact that trump is the anti-crime guy exactly exactly so even harry enton completely

01:11:23.520 gets trump at this point that maybe alcatraz is a place that could end up being you know a prison maybe

01:11:33.040 but even if it doesn't the fact that he put it in your head makes you think oh that trump is the

01:11:39.920 anti-crime guy i mean biden never would have done that so alcatraz doesn't have to happen

01:11:47.520 it just has to inhabit your brain and sit next to trump is strong on crime yeah he must be strong in

01:11:55.360 crime he's trying to turn alcatraz into a you know into a place to handle more criminals

01:12:03.440 so uh i love the fact that even harry enton completely understands that that play

01:12:11.360 um columbia university one of the universities that was losing federal funding because they

01:12:18.480 didn't do enough about anti-semitism at their school uh they lost 400 million in federal funding

01:12:25.920 and now they're going to lay off 180 staff members that do administrative stuff

01:12:30.880 do you think that maybe they had 180 too many staff members anyway don't you think that maybe they

01:12:41.040 won't even notice the difference if 180 staff members go away i feel like that might be less of a

01:12:48.400 a you know less of a problem than it sounds like on paper um so they probably only cut the fat out

01:12:58.640 and a lot of a lot of the federal funding for quote research at these schools

01:13:04.480 i think most of the money actually just went to um administrative stuff and very little of it as a

01:13:15.120 percentage went to the actual research so i don't know it seems like it's moving in the right direction

01:13:25.600 now you've heard this story before but it's getting weirder uh senator uh what is the name uh tillis

01:13:34.000 so senator tom tillis he's opposing the confirmation or nomination of ed martin for the job of the u.s

01:13:43.280 attorney for the district of columbia now what you need to know is that the the person who's in that job

01:13:51.680 as u.s attorney for the district of columbia is going to be in charge of some of the most important

01:13:58.560 stuff because it's dc so whoever's in that position is going to have tremendous

01:14:06.880 influence on the world if he doesn't get confirmed it's possible that because of the weird way that dc

01:14:15.040 works judge bozberg would be the one who appoints the replacement so we could go from

01:14:24.080 the friendliest of the mega trump people that you could have ed martin to the worst thing that could

01:14:31.760 ever happen and it could happen because tom tillis doesn't like ed martin so i asked myself as does the

01:14:40.960 news what is it that tillis has against ed martin well you've heard before

01:14:50.080 that he doesn't like the fact that ed martin well he doesn't like his views on january 6.

01:14:56.400 so let me give you a little bit more about that so tillis this is according to reporting

01:15:03.520 uh he doesn't like the fact that ed martin might pursue the feds erection idea the fact that the

01:15:11.600 feds were maybe a little too active in causing the events of january 6 that is unconfirmed at this point

01:15:19.680 but uh if ed martin thinks it's worth looking into and tillis does not that would be a difference

01:15:26.800 um ed martin was a little more favorable to the pardons of the january 6 people

01:15:34.240 where tillis thinks they should have all been in jail if they violated the law

01:15:39.040 um and uh doesn't like his involvement in the stop the steel steel movement which had baseless claims of

01:15:50.080 election fraud and um tillis said uh he he might support martin for a role that wasn't the dc

01:16:01.600 district but not in washington he said where the january 6 events occurred citing that as a friction but

01:16:08.800 then he also goes on he doesn't like martin's quote lack of prosecuted prosecutorial experience

01:16:16.560 and controversial actions such as failing to disclose over 150 appearances on russian state media

01:16:24.640 and sending threatening letters to political opponents now here's a little uh rule that i learned

01:16:32.480 a long time ago and i've i've mentioned it before i've had to detect a lie

01:16:37.760 a lie if somebody says oh sorry i'm late traffic was bad that might be true because it's one reason

01:16:49.600 if somebody says oh i'm sorry i'm late traffic was bad and my car got a flat tire and i had the wrong

01:16:59.760 time on my calendar that's a little less likely to be true and people who have real reasons usually have

01:17:10.400 one there's like one good reason but when you start throwing the entire you know the entire laundry

01:17:17.920 basket at it it's like well i'd be okay with him being um in this job if it were not washington dc

01:17:27.760 and then he throws in the lack of prosecutorial experience which would be the opposite of his

01:17:34.160 earlier point his earlier point would being oh he'd be perfectly fine for some place not washington dc

01:17:42.000 but then he says he has a lack of prosecutorial experience which would suggest

01:17:47.120 that he thinks he's not qualified for those other places that are not dc

01:17:50.880 right so there's something that just smells a little wrong about the reasons he's giving

01:18:00.560 and then there's what this one about 150 appearances on russian state media

01:18:05.360 so that would be rt i'm pretty sure the the outlet rt now rt is definitely russian state media

01:18:16.720 there's no doubt about it but i too have appeared on rt um not recently but during the the first uh

01:18:25.760 election cycle for trump and i remember you know i was getting lots of requests because i had a different

01:18:32.960 take on trump that he was persuasive so rt would often invite me on and then i would do an interview

01:18:42.160 usually live and they would show the entire thing and they wouldn't you know have much pushback

01:18:49.840 and i thought to myself is that really a problem for me because i was fully aware that rt meant

01:18:56.400 russian you know russia today and that it was a you know russia dominated media i was completely aware

01:19:03.280 of that but it didn't matter because as long as they didn't edit what i said why did i care who it was

01:19:14.240 so i just i've stopped you know i stopped accepting uh offers from rt because they got too much heat

01:19:21.920 and i understand why you know because because they can also influence things by who they have on

01:19:29.600 so if they have on one set of views but not another i could see how that would be propaganda-ish

01:19:36.880 but from my personal perspective as long as they didn't edit what i said

01:19:42.880 why did i care what edit what outlet it was they got to hear me i just didn't care

01:19:49.520 so at the moment i'm playing it cautiously and i wouldn't i wouldn't go on rt but there was a

01:19:55.760 time when a lot of people who were normies went on rt because they didn't get edited so

01:20:04.400 what was the problem it was also before you know russia attacked ukraine so things were different then

01:20:11.280 i don't know so my take on uh tillis is there's something else that is the problem i believe he's

01:20:20.880 trying to protect something or hide something and i do not trust that the reasons he's giving

01:20:27.520 are real reasons there's something fishy about this something really fishy i don't know if we'll ever find

01:20:35.520 out if that's true but uh smells fishy to me the post-millennium is saying that there's a new report

01:20:46.080 by the national intelligence council that uh it's probably not true that the head of venezuela is

01:20:56.160 controlling the activities of the trenda aragua gang in the united states but it's probably true 0.75

01:21:04.960 that members of the madura regime uh were active in helping them get to the united states and other

01:21:12.720 countries as a destabilizing force so it's it's probably not true that they're operating like a

01:21:21.440 a wing of the madura government you know like a paramilitary force or something because they're

01:21:27.600 a little into they're kind of independent and spread out and they're kind of concentrating on

01:21:33.840 smaller crimes you know not big terrorist acts or something so that sounds true um so there's

01:21:40.800 probably some understanding that if it's destabilizing to the united states they're kind of okay with it

01:21:48.960 but beyond that i don't think that they're giving them orders so it's probably less likely that you're

01:21:56.400 going to see some big trenda aragua terrorist event you know you know orchestrated by the head of

01:22:03.920 venezuela probably not but there may be plenty of people in the government of venezuela who are happy to see

01:22:11.760 us struggling with the gangs all right ladies and gentlemen that is my show for today um i think i've

01:22:20.480 made my point that it's trump day not hump day so we'll see how much more good news there is coming

01:22:26.000 um we'll check in on uh the breaking news and uh thanks for joining we'll see you same time tomorrow

01:22:35.600 for more fun and uh locals i'm going to talk to you privately in 30 seconds if my

01:22:56.000 portion of you is working to do with my question and here's your question please

01:23:02.960 is

01:23:10.640 just aivalent

01:23:12.560 um

01:23:16.880 probabilization

01:23:18.880 Thank you.

01:23:48.880 Thank you.

01:24:18.880 Thank you.

01:24:48.880 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 07, 2025

Episode 2832 CWSA 05⧸07⧸25

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript