Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2836 CWSA 05⧸11⧸25

00:00:00.000 Mother's Day show today, all the lazy people are sleeping in, but I think we can do better

00:00:06.980 than them.

00:00:09.860 Comments working.

00:00:17.160 There's not much happening today.

00:00:22.560 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:29.580 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better day.

00:00:33.660 But if you'd like to try to take this up to another level that nobody can even understand

00:00:40.140 with their shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank 0.92

00:00:45.700 or a chalice of stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:50.140 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:51.760 I like coffee.

00:00:53.460 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day, the

00:00:57.220 thing that makes everything better.

00:00:58.480 It's called a simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:01:01.820 Go.

00:01:06.440 Ah, delicious.

00:01:13.540 Well, let's see what's in the news.

00:01:15.480 According to Axios, Gen Zers are more likely to be going to church, especially the men.

00:01:26.500 So at the same time that the young men are turning toward Trump, they're turning toward

00:01:33.520 church.

00:01:35.320 It used to be that women were more likely to go to church than men, but that gap is closing

00:01:41.600 as the Gen Z men are skipping off to church like crazy. 0.96

00:01:47.140 So if you're a young man, you're probably not watching this because you're in church.

00:01:53.940 Well, speaking of Gen Zers, not only are they more likely to go to church, but they're more 0.90

00:02:01.220 likely to marry an AI, according to the New York Post.

00:02:06.560 So this is the number of Gen Zers who said they could form a, quote, deep emotional bond

00:02:15.000 with an AI-generated partner.

00:02:16.860 What do you think the percentage is, before I tell you?

00:02:22.000 What percentage of Gen Zs could possibly get in a deep emotional relationship with an AI?

00:02:31.440 83%.

00:02:32.720 Really?

00:02:36.580 Well, 80% said they would even consider marrying one if it were legal.

00:02:41.980 A staggering 75% of Gen Zers also said they think AI partners have the potential to fully

00:02:53.360 replace human companionship.

00:02:58.820 Now, is that because they're gamers?

00:03:02.560 Is that why?

00:03:04.960 Or are they just ahead of their time?

00:03:08.280 Are we just old?

00:03:10.440 Is that the problem?

00:03:11.320 Is the problem with the young people?

00:03:14.680 Or is the problem with us?

00:03:17.480 Because you never really know, right?

00:03:19.340 When you reach a certain age, you know, as I have.

00:03:22.780 You don't know if the problem is that you're just too old to understand, and they've got

00:03:28.220 it right, and they understand the future.

00:03:31.160 Or has the entire generation become non-mating material, and they're just going to give up and

00:03:39.660 get an AI partner.

00:03:41.440 Well, this next news comes from a news entity called Slay News.

00:03:53.580 All right?

00:03:54.400 Now, that's part of the funny part.

00:03:56.000 That's a real news entity.

00:03:57.700 It's called Slay, and they're reporting that a key Diddy, you know, in the Diddy trial that's

00:04:05.540 starting off, one of the key Diddy witnesses is reported missing.

00:04:09.980 Now, that might be the least surprising news I've ever heard.

00:04:18.340 Now, didn't you imagine that when the Diddy trial started, that witnesses were going to

00:04:23.680 start to disappear and maybe die in tragic accidents and possibly get murdered?

00:04:28.780 Is there anybody who is surprised that a key Diddy witness disappears right before the time

00:04:38.820 she had to testify?

00:04:42.940 That is so non-surprising.

00:04:44.880 Anyway, you've probably heard that Kanye West has a new provocative song titled Heil Hitler.

00:04:56.380 And you won't be surprised to know that there's a big pushback to it.

00:05:02.480 But Kanye says it's really about, it's against prejudice and hate.

00:05:09.740 So, if you understood the song correctly, he says, you would know that it's opposed to

00:05:16.040 all those things.

00:05:17.160 It's not promoting them.

00:05:19.660 Well, good luck, Kanye.

00:05:23.020 Good luck selling that.

00:05:26.540 If I could give you one bit of musical advice, my musical advice would be, if your idea for

00:05:35.320 your song is to have a whole bunch of people saying Heil Hitler, don't try to sell it as

00:05:41.660 being opposed to prejudice, because nobody's going to hear that part.

00:05:46.600 They're only going to hear the Heil Hitler part. 0.77

00:05:49.780 So, I guess that's what happened.

00:05:52.280 Well, according to the free press, they're reporting on a NIH study that finds an alarming

00:06:00.920 rise in breast, colorectal, and uterine cancers among under-50s.

00:06:06.580 What do you think caused that?

00:06:08.780 Anybody?

00:06:10.320 In the comments, tell me, what do you think caused the alarming rise in cancers in the under-50s?

00:06:21.080 Any possibilities?

00:06:23.000 Has anything happened?

00:06:23.900 Well, the joke's on you, because this was actually a study between 2010 and 2019, and

00:06:33.260 I'm pretty sure at least half of you said, well, that's the vaccinations.

00:06:37.520 Oh, that's the COVID shot.

00:06:39.680 Except the study was before the pandemic.

00:06:44.360 So, you didn't see that coming, did you?

00:06:47.380 No.

00:06:48.400 No, you totally fell for it.

00:06:50.540 You believed that it had to be because of the COVID shot.

00:06:55.280 I tricked you intentionally.

00:06:57.580 It turns out that some cancers actually went down during that period.

00:07:02.280 Lung cancer and prostate cancer actually decreased.

00:07:06.400 So, the overall cancers stayed about the same, but 14 out of 33 cancer types increased in at

00:07:17.400 least one younger age group.

00:07:18.800 So, did you learn anything there?

00:07:24.640 Did you see how quickly you were positive it was the shot?

00:07:30.420 And yet the data was before the shot was given.

00:07:34.440 Let that be a lesson to you.

00:07:37.580 Not to be too quick to take the popular explanation.

00:07:43.200 It might be right.

00:07:44.180 Yeah, I mean, it might be right that it causes a problem, but that's not what it tested.

00:07:49.320 I saw a post by Fisher King on X.

00:07:57.780 I was quoting John Adams, who said,

00:08:01.060 Democracy never lasts long.

00:08:03.140 It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself.

00:08:06.020 There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide.

00:08:09.220 But I don't really understand that quote because wasn't the United States the first democratic republic kind of a thing?

00:08:20.000 Were there democracies before that?

00:08:22.660 Well, I would like to add to John Adams' thinking that there's exactly zero civilizations that ever lasted.

00:08:33.660 While it might be true that every democracy-oriented civilization eventually committed suicide,

00:08:44.840 it's also true that 100% of societies that are ancient, they all died, every one of them.

00:08:53.240 So, I mean, there's remnants left, but basically they didn't, even the Roman Empire kind of went away,

00:09:01.100 or some say it turned into the Vatican, if you want to go that way.

00:09:05.400 But there seems to be some kind of rule that civilizations don't last long.

00:09:12.780 And I have a, here's my hypothesis.

00:09:14.680 My hypothesis is that most civilizations don't get that far,

00:09:22.220 and that that's the normal, the normal arc for a civilization is starts small, stays small,

00:09:30.660 doesn't really go anywhere.

00:09:32.300 But every now and then, you get some kind of Roman Empire or the Mongol hordes or something.

00:09:39.580 So, every now and then, one will break out and just be a superstar.

00:09:45.940 But they don't last either.

00:09:48.700 And my hypothesis is that it's so rare for a civilization to break out and last

00:09:55.860 that the normal path is that it just doesn't last very long,

00:10:00.440 at least in terms of, you know, the entire arc of human civilization that doesn't last long.

00:10:06.100 So, probably all different reasons.

00:10:08.100 Sometimes disease, sometimes attack, sometimes the Mongol hordes get you. 1.00

00:10:14.260 But I don't think there's any civilization that lasts,

00:10:17.880 and maybe there's no civilization that could, you know,

00:10:21.020 unless it became so dominant that it could cure every disease and, you know,

00:10:26.140 resist every enemy and it wouldn't fight with itself and spend itself into oblivion.

00:10:31.760 But I feel like it's so rare, like everything has to go right for your civilization to thrive,

00:10:40.260 that the odds of everything going right for thousands of years, pretty low, pretty low.

00:10:48.320 When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners,

00:10:52.080 I started wondering, is every fabulous item I see from Winners?

00:10:57.160 Like that woman over there with the designer jeans. 1.00

00:10:59.860 Are those from Winners?

00:11:01.380 Ooh, or those beautiful gold earrings?

00:11:03.840 Did she pay full price?

00:11:05.180 Or that leather tote?

00:11:06.180 Or that cashmere sweater?

00:11:07.420 Or those knee-high boots?

00:11:08.880 That dress?

00:11:09.660 That jacket?

00:11:10.340 Those shoes?

00:11:11.000 Well, according to the Daily Wire, there was an official that worked for USAID.

00:11:27.020 You've heard of them.

00:11:29.100 Now, USAID has been closed down.

00:11:31.780 But apparently a contracting officer was, he made himself a fake business so that he could

00:11:42.680 give himself PPP loans.

00:11:45.700 And are you surprised by that?

00:11:48.620 That a contracting officer at USAID came up, created a fake company, and paid himself money?

00:11:56.560 I think we have no idea how much fraud there was in the government.

00:12:04.320 So much.

00:12:06.540 Now, closing USAID, or at least most of it, may have at least created, you know, making it

00:12:17.880 impossible for this kind of thing to happen again.

00:12:20.120 So, I've said it before, but if the only thing that Doge accomplishes, even if they don't

00:12:27.280 cut costs directly, you know, like right away, if the only thing they accomplish is they make

00:12:34.720 people, you know, say what they're spending on and use the right codes for the spending

00:12:40.160 and maybe get a little bit more auditing, then I think that would be a big deal.

00:12:50.100 In the long run.

00:12:50.960 We'll see.

00:12:53.680 According to the Daily Mail, the vacation rental boom is collapsing.

00:13:03.240 So, a lot of people bought a second house, a vacation house, which they would rent out

00:13:08.120 when they weren't using it.

00:13:09.720 But apparently they're getting spooked.

00:13:13.020 A lot of the older ones, the older people are getting spooked because the stock market

00:13:17.520 and, you know, the economy being weird.

00:13:20.500 So, they're selling their second homes if they have them.

00:13:23.580 And so, the price of them will be collapsing.

00:13:26.780 But that's good news, right?

00:13:28.940 For the people who are trying to buy a new home.

00:13:32.440 Imagine if you were a young person trying to buy a new home, but all the new homes were

00:13:37.460 getting bought by the old people who already had a home. 0.99

00:13:40.260 How pissed off would you be that you couldn't buy a home at a good price because all the

00:13:47.360 rich older people had two?

00:13:50.220 Well, if they go from two back to one, there should be a decline in housing prices that should

00:13:58.380 help you out a little bit if you're a young person looking for a house.

00:14:01.520 So, everybody's bad news is somebody's good news.

00:14:05.600 But why is it that owning a second house turned out to be a loser?

00:14:09.920 Well, mortgage rates are higher.

00:14:13.680 Maintenance costs are higher.

00:14:16.180 A lot of people had to return to the office so they didn't have an option of hiding in their

00:14:20.940 vacation house.

00:14:22.480 Insurance costs are through the roof.

00:14:25.480 Homeowner association costs are way up.

00:14:28.100 And the boomers are spooked by the stock market. 0.67

00:14:34.080 Well, the Daily Beast has a story.

00:14:36.200 You may have seen this.

00:14:38.200 I wasn't even going to talk about this because it's just so darn weird.

00:14:43.320 But you remember the story of Theranos, the company that turned out to be a fraud.

00:14:50.280 And it was run by Elizabeth Holmes.

00:14:52.780 She was the founder.

00:14:53.640 And she claimed that they had this new technology that could take a tiny drop of your blood and do 1.00

00:15:00.260 all kinds of analyses of your blood.

00:15:04.240 Turns out that they did not have any machine that did that.

00:15:07.420 And it was just all fake.

00:15:09.100 So, Elizabeth Holmes is in jail. 0.96

00:15:11.420 But believe it or not, she still has a romantic partner who is not in jail.

00:15:18.040 And the romantic partner has created a startup that says it can test blood, saliva, or urine

00:15:25.000 for disease biomarkers in a matter of seconds.

00:15:29.440 What does that sound like?

00:15:32.560 That sounds like Theranos.

00:15:34.180 And the guy is raising money for it.

00:15:39.120 He's actually raised millions, allegedly, raised millions of dollars for it.

00:15:45.220 Can you imagine, can you even imagine investing in the boyfriend of Elizabeth Holmes with the

00:15:55.380 same, essentially the same kind of company?

00:15:57.740 Now, it could be that he learned so much from his association with Elizabeth Holmes that he

00:16:06.080 found a real company that could really make a prototype and really do it.

00:16:11.040 It's possible.

00:16:13.120 But what are the odds?

00:16:16.120 It just seems like the odds are really low that this is a real thing.

00:16:21.320 But hey, stranger things have happened.

00:16:23.280 So we'll see.

00:16:23.960 PXF is looking to decrease the size of the military at the top.

00:16:34.720 Apparently, we've got too many generals and admirals.

00:16:37.820 He wants to get rid of about 20% of the generals and the admirals.

00:16:42.300 Now, you might say to yourself, my God, can we spare 20%?

00:16:46.520 Yeah, it turns out we've got way too many generals and admirals.

00:16:49.940 Just way too many.

00:16:51.740 So yes, he can reduce those.

00:16:53.960 I'm assuming that he's going to go after the ones that were a little too woke, if he can

00:17:01.300 determine who they are.

00:17:02.920 So if you're woke and you're a four-star general, you might be looking for another job pretty

00:17:09.920 soon.

00:17:13.780 I think I may have mentioned this, or it's a different situation that reminds me of it.

00:17:19.360 I can't tell.

00:17:20.720 But apparently, Oklahoma is going to teach students that the 2020 election might have

00:17:28.700 been stolen.

00:17:32.700 Isn't that wild?

00:17:34.420 That one of the states will be teaching their kids a different history?

00:17:40.300 Completely different history.

00:17:41.580 Now, the way they're doing it is not so heavy-handed that they're saying that the election was stolen.

00:17:49.020 So they're not saying that.

00:17:51.380 They don't say the election was stolen.

00:17:53.440 What they do instead is it's a social studies curriculum that's for the coming year.

00:18:00.120 And it's going to require high school students to, quote, identify discrepancies in the 2020

00:18:05.940 election results.

00:18:07.020 And the factors that they will examine will be, for example, the sudden halting of ballot counting

00:18:14.480 in select cities and key battleground states.

00:18:18.740 Now, again, Oklahoma is not saying that that's proof that the election was stolen.

00:18:24.020 They're just saying, all right, students, does this look sketchy to you?

00:18:28.640 That there was a sudden halting of ballot counting in select cities?

00:18:33.580 Not everywhere, but just select cities, you know, where it mattered the most.

00:18:40.520 And they're going to learn about the security risks of mail-in balloting and sudden batch

00:18:46.960 dumps, you know, where you get just a whole bunch of mail-in ballots that you think to yourself,

00:18:52.720 huh, I wasn't expecting a whole bunch of ballots right at the end there.

00:18:56.120 Now, again, those are not proof of anything, you know, any security problem.

00:19:03.720 But if you were going to learn what to look for, there would be things to look for.

00:19:11.040 And then the unforeseen record number of voters.

00:19:15.440 So you're probably all aware that Biden got more votes than Obama, more votes than Trump.

00:19:21.820 And then when Trump ran against Kamala Harris, she didn't get anywhere near that number of votes. 0.88

00:19:29.420 And there must have been just as many people who hated Trump by then.

00:19:34.320 So even if you say to yourself, well, Biden got so many votes because people really wanted to stop Trump.

00:19:41.360 You don't think they wanted to stop him even more on the next time he ran?

00:19:48.160 And yet there were nowhere near that number of votes.

00:19:52.220 Well, that would be something students should look at.

00:19:55.800 Why is there an unforeseen record number of votes in 2020?

00:19:59.240 And then my favorite is the unprecedented contradiction of bellwether county trends.

00:20:07.920 So the bellwether counties are the ones which will tell you who's going to win very reliably.

00:20:16.300 So in other words, if a candidate wins these bellwether counties,

00:20:23.420 they're pretty much guaranteed to be the winner of everything else.

00:20:27.460 Because I guess the bellwethers are, you know, kind of a close match.

00:20:32.180 So if he wins all the close matches in the bellwethers,

00:20:35.480 it probably means you're going to sweep the whole country.

00:20:39.040 And yet, Trump won the bellwethers rather handily.

00:20:43.460 And suspiciously, for the first time ever, he still lost the election.

00:20:49.500 Well, kind of suspicious.

00:20:51.240 Now, you might say to me, Scott, but none of this is proof that 2020 was a rigged election.

00:20:59.660 That is correct.

00:21:01.280 But I was watching a news person talking to the state superintendent, Ryan Walters.

00:21:11.100 And the news still says that it's sort of proven that 2020 was a fair election, like that's a fact.

00:21:21.700 That couldn't be a fact.

00:21:23.980 How could you possibly know if it were stolen in a way that you didn't know it was stolen?

00:21:28.460 And they insist that because there were audits and there were court cases,

00:21:35.360 that that means that you've proven that there was no problem.

00:21:40.480 You can't prove there was no problem.

00:21:43.120 Let me ask you this.

00:21:44.920 If our CIA, hypothetically, found a way to hack the machines used in other countries,

00:21:53.440 so we're talking about other countries now, not America,

00:21:55.940 if our CIA hacked the machines in other countries,

00:22:01.840 would the other country know about it?

00:22:05.700 Would they?

00:22:07.480 Well, if we did a good enough job of hacking,

00:22:10.560 I would think they wouldn't know about it.

00:22:12.760 Now, hacking could include, you know, bribing the insiders.

00:22:17.280 You know, it doesn't mean that you're just sitting at a computer doing some stuff.

00:22:21.040 It could be that you have some insiders that you've co-opted.

00:22:25.120 You might be the insider.

00:22:27.540 But would we really know,

00:22:31.020 and would the other country know if we had rigged their election from afar?

00:22:36.180 I don't think so.

00:22:38.800 I doubt it.

00:22:40.560 I mean, they might know in some cases if something went wrong.

00:22:43.940 But generally speaking, the whole point of rigging an election is you try to figure out a way that can't get caught. 1.00

00:22:51.260 So the theory that we know for sure it was good is just stupid. 0.98

00:22:57.880 The only thing you know for sure is that you don't know for sure. 0.97

00:23:03.140 You could say, for sure we have not found evidence of widespread fraud that would change the result.

00:23:11.380 That's true.

00:23:12.100 But you don't know that it's not there.

00:23:15.020 You only know that you didn't find it.

00:23:17.260 And the news people, they all act like they don't understand that.

00:23:23.200 They all act like it's a fact when they couldn't possibly know.

00:23:28.480 It's not logically.

00:23:29.600 It doesn't make any sense at all.

00:23:33.340 The only thing you know is that you didn't find it.

00:23:35.660 Period.

00:23:38.600 Anyway.

00:23:42.660 Anyway.

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00:24:44.240 So Trump is going to sign some new executive orders that would turbocharge, as they say, the nuclear energy programs in the United States.

00:24:59.260 But I didn't realize that one part of it is that, well, we don't know that this will happen, but there's one draft that he hasn't signed yet.

00:25:09.780 He might not sign.

00:25:11.160 There would be a complete overhaul of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

00:25:15.480 So they're the ones that do the approvals.

00:25:18.460 A complete overhaul.

00:25:21.220 So my guess is that the people who have been there a long time are just used to turning everything down.

00:25:30.020 It's like they've never approved anything in their entire career.

00:25:33.520 Reject.

00:25:34.160 Reject.

00:25:34.600 So I don't know that you could just tell them to accept more things.

00:25:39.440 You might have to just get rid of them all and replace them with people who are maybe more up to date on the real risk and reward of nuclear.

00:25:49.180 But he's looking to go from 100 to 400 gigawatts by 2050, which would be fairly gigantic.

00:25:57.240 So I would say that the biggest war in the world is the war to get the most energy.

00:26:08.700 So we'll see.

00:26:13.800 Trump is telling us again, I love Trump the salesman, but you have to understand him as a salesman.

00:26:21.860 If you don't understand that he's always selling, then it just looks like he's lying.

00:26:28.540 But if you understand him as, you know, the biggest cheerleader for the country and, you know, he's sort of using hyperbole and selling, then it all makes sense.

00:26:39.300 But here's one of the things Trump says about trade deals that are upcoming.

00:26:44.660 Quote, we had a wonderful deal yesterday.

00:26:47.040 I guess that's talking about the UK.

00:26:49.620 We have four or five other deals coming immediately.

00:26:53.000 We have many deals coming down the line.

00:26:55.920 And ultimately, we're just signing the rest of them in.

00:26:59.660 I don't even know what that means.

00:27:01.440 But when he talks about the deals, he just says, oh, man, hundreds of deals.

00:27:09.400 We're going to make billions of dollars.

00:27:11.500 Everybody's lining up.

00:27:14.140 And it's probably actually close to true.

00:27:17.220 But I love his sales take on all this stuff.

00:27:23.540 Well, Columbia University, as you might know, had another one of those pro-Palestinian protests where people went in and they took over the main library.

00:27:33.640 But now 65 students have been identified as being part of that protest.

00:27:41.520 And from now on, they're banned from exams.

00:27:45.040 And they're going to get booted off of campus, except I guess they can go to their dorm.

00:27:50.420 But they can't hang out in the rest of the campus.

00:27:52.660 So essentially, their college careers are over.

00:27:57.540 And you could argue that they're unemployable.

00:28:04.740 So that's pretty bad.

00:28:08.900 Now, I'm assuming that most of them are female students. 1.00

00:28:12.260 But I don't know that for sure.

00:28:13.920 Imagine if your parents worked with you to get you into a good college, you finally got into Columbia, and then you attended a pro-Palestinian protest, and your entire life just got flushed out in the toilet.

00:28:34.300 That's pretty bad.

00:28:35.560 Yeah, that's pretty bad.

00:28:38.100 So I feel bad for the 65 students because their brains are not fully developed, and they're a little bit hypnotized and propagandized, et cetera.

00:28:48.620 Now, it's not like they don't have a point that there's a lot of violence going on that they wish was not going on.

00:28:55.940 But I don't think they've thought through the entire situation with too much understanding.

00:29:05.560 Well, according to the post-millennial, Doge has deactivated over half a million federal credit cards that were unnecessary or, you know, I don't know if they're extra or what.

00:29:21.160 But 500,000 seems like a lot, but there are 4.6 million government credit cards.

00:29:28.100 So if they got the half a million that were maybe the fraud and abuse ones, that could be some good work.

00:29:38.060 We'll see.

00:29:40.020 Well, Alberta, up there in Canada, is actually kind of serious about breaking away from Canada, which is different from wanting to join the United States.

00:29:53.440 So they're not expressing a will to become part of the United States, but they are expressing a, let's say, a frustration with the rest of the Canadian government.

00:30:06.860 Because in Alberta, they've got a lot of energy kind of industries.

00:30:12.560 And so the Albertans want to make money and drill for oil and, you know, exploit their energy because they have it.

00:30:21.460 And the rest of Canada, I think, wants to solve climate change.

00:30:27.420 So they really don't fit together.

00:30:29.660 So there's one area that just wants to go nuts with their energy, and there's the rest of Canada that's like, hey, you know, slow down.

00:30:37.040 Because they don't personally gain financially from that stuff in Alberta.

00:30:44.220 So don't think that this is part of any Canada becoming part of the United States.

00:30:50.520 That's not really part of it.

00:30:51.940 They just are mad at the rest of Canada.

00:30:56.820 Well, let's look into the fake negotiations.

00:30:59.900 So it would be the second day of talking to China.

00:31:06.160 And Trump said about this, it was a very good meeting today with China.

00:31:11.500 So I guess he said that yesterday.

00:31:14.160 And he said, many things discussed, much agreed to, a total reset negotiated in a friendly but constructive manner.

00:31:22.360 We want to see, for the good of both China and the U.S., and opening up of China to American business, great progress made.

00:31:31.660 Do you believe that?

00:31:33.640 Again, this is Trump in salesman mode.

00:31:36.740 But here's what I like about it.

00:31:39.800 So he starts out being, you know, very insulting to China and dismissive of them and, you know, acting like he can punish them with tariffs. 1.00

00:31:50.300 And, of course, China wouldn't even talk to us when we were just being jerks, meaning Trump was being a jerk. 0.99

00:31:59.560 But they waited until they could, you know, find some way to get a respectful meeting. 0.99

00:32:08.180 And so that's what's happening in Switzerland.

00:32:10.860 It's a respectful meeting.

00:32:12.660 But I like the fact that Trump was negging them.

00:32:15.280 Yeah, he was using the trick that the men who try to seduce women use, where first you tear them down verbally, and then they just want to get your approval.

00:32:33.900 Now, it shouldn't work.

00:32:36.720 It shouldn't work with dating, but it does.

00:32:40.760 And it definitely shouldn't work with international affairs.

00:32:45.940 But I think it does.

00:32:48.300 From a persuasion perspective, since both China and the United States know, you know, we're going to have some kind of important relationship going forward, no matter what that looks like.

00:32:59.320 So we know we're going to be in something. 0.94

00:33:01.380 And I do think that if you insult China enough in that Trumpian way, that first they get mad, but they also want to solve it, because they don't want to live in a world where America can just say out loud, you guys are a bunch of thieves.

00:33:20.560 So I do think that Trump creates a situation where China wants to have a good deal, and they want to take care of China first, of course.

00:33:31.960 But at the same time, I think they have, you know, I think he put in the Chinese leadership a deep desire to have the United States say good things about them.

00:33:44.340 And here it is.

00:33:47.940 So I think this actually worked.

00:33:52.080 Now, I'm not predicting that they get a good agreement or that it happens fast.

00:33:56.780 What I am predicting is that Trump's insulting of them, which almost every smart person said is the worst thing he could have ever done, I think maybe was clever.

00:34:10.180 I think maybe he knew what he was doing, because he does it with everybody.

00:34:14.860 It's not like this is the one time he tried that trick.

00:34:18.000 He does this with everybody.

00:34:20.420 First, he insults you if you're not doing what he wants you to do.

00:34:24.180 And then if you start moving his direction, you're just the greatest person in the world.

00:34:29.200 There's a total reset.

00:34:30.840 We love you.

00:34:32.720 And I think it's working.

00:34:35.180 You know, and it's weird, shouldn't work away, but I think it is, because people are people, and they want their important relationships to think well of them, and we're part of their important relationships.

00:34:50.360 So we'll see.

00:34:54.160 Tom Cotton, Senator Cotton, has introduced a bill to have location tracking in our AI chips, so that we would know if any of our AI chips made it to where they shouldn't make it, such as China.

00:35:10.500 So it's called the Chip Security Act.

00:35:12.660 It's not signed.

00:35:13.420 It's just a bill that's been introduced.

00:35:15.020 And I don't know how it works, technically.

00:35:21.540 I guess the chip would somehow know where it is.

00:35:26.900 Seems like it would be expensive to add GPS to each chip, but there must be something about it that allows you to know for sure where this chip is.

00:35:38.460 I don't know how that works, technically.

00:35:40.620 But if there is a way to do it technically, it feels like a good idea, because it couldn't be that much more expensive.

00:35:49.200 You know, if it turns out it's super expensive to add that to it, that's another conversation.

00:35:57.140 Bank more encores when you switch to a Scotiabank banking package.

00:36:02.000 Learn more at scotiabank.com slash banking packages.

00:36:05.580 Conditions apply.

00:36:07.420 Scotiabank.

00:36:08.140 You're richer than you think.

00:36:10.620 Well, do you remember yesterday, I was sort of complimenting Trump for being able to create a ceasefire between India and Pakistan? 0.72

00:36:22.240 Well, that didn't last.

00:36:24.340 So the ceasefire was broken immediately, basically.

00:36:28.300 So the India-Pakistan is raging on. 0.92

00:36:32.620 They just keep firing at each other.

00:36:34.300 So none of that worked.

00:36:35.300 So none of that worked.

00:36:36.640 But there is some new information I saw in Mario Naufel's post.

00:36:42.880 You should follow on X, Mario Naufel.

00:36:46.640 Anyway, he reports that the Indians are hacking the Pakistani entities like crazy, but it may not be the government.

00:36:58.940 So the reporting is, and I'm not sure how much we can rely on this, but the reporting is that there are a bunch of Indian vigilante hackers who are sort of taking it on themselves to hack Pakistan in retaliation.

00:37:14.740 And they've taken over, allegedly, they've taken down over 700 Pakistani websites, hacked 1,000 more or more of their CCTV cameras, and breached everything from military databases to power plants and banking systems.

00:37:32.960 Wow.

00:37:33.300 So, but those are private individuals, so they don't have the best tools, I'm guessing.

00:37:41.240 They wouldn't have the same tools that a military would have.

00:37:45.140 But they're whacking Pakistan pretty hard. 1.00

00:37:49.080 I don't know if that's safe.

00:37:50.740 I think the Pakistanis are trying to respond, but maybe they're not as capable, hacking-wise. 1.00

00:37:57.480 And then there's the fake Iran deal.

00:38:03.360 So the Wall Street Journal is reporting that Iran and the U.S., they remain divided on one issue.

00:38:11.700 So the reporting is that, you know, great progress has been made, and, you know, the talks are on, and, you know, it seems like something's going to happen.

00:38:21.740 But they're divided on one, but they're divided on one key question, which is that Iran wants to maintain the ability to enrich its own uranium, which means enrich it to the point where they can build a nuclear weapon in 10 minutes.

00:38:37.160 And America wants them not to do that.

00:38:40.220 So, if you don't solve that part, and it looks unsolvable to me, because Iran is kind of saying pretty clearly we want to build a nuclear weapon or have the ability to do it quickly, and that's the exact thing that we don't want. 0.73

00:38:59.960 So how in the world are we close or making progress?

00:39:03.260 I mean, you could talk all day about the other stuff, you know, sanctions and everything else, but this is the only thing that matters, whether or not they're going to keep enriching uranium to the point where they can weaponize it in 10 minutes.

00:39:21.460 So I don't think there's any chance of an Iran nuclear deal.

00:39:25.740 What would we threaten them with that we haven't already threatened, or even offer as an alternative?

00:39:36.180 If they need this, like they're going to, they're basically betting their entire country on keeping the ability to enrich their own uranium to any level that they want.

00:39:49.160 And to me, that doesn't look like a deal that's going to happen.

00:39:55.240 But at the same time, we're hearing reports that Trump is mad at Bibi Netanyahu of Israel, and that the U.S. is doing its own, sort of its own negotiating and its own deal over in the Middle East, without Israel's consent and or participation.

00:40:14.820 So is there any way that the U.S. could get a deal with Iran that Israel wouldn't like, but somehow the U.S. would like it? 0.53

00:40:27.320 Not if we insist that they don't have the ability to enrich uranium.

00:40:33.400 I just don't see any deal that's possible here.

00:40:36.220 Well, President Putin has said he wants to meet and have direct conversations with Ukrainians.

00:40:44.800 He wants to meet in Turkey.

00:40:46.800 And at the same time, Zelensky has said he wants a 30-day, you know, ceasefire.

00:40:56.580 Putin has rejected the 30-day ceasefire, but he's offered instead direct talks.

00:41:01.880 And do you remember I said I didn't understand why Zelensky would be so tough and not want to, you know, immediately talk peace?

00:41:14.880 And I speculated there were several possible reasons.

00:41:18.460 You know, one is that he couldn't survive a peace.

00:41:22.000 But the other one I speculated is that they had way better weapons than we knew about.

00:41:27.940 Well, here's a shocking, shocking fact.

00:41:33.500 According to Forbes, the Ukrainians have developed a whole, you know, underground, mostly, I guess, well, I don't know if they're underground,

00:41:45.100 but a whole bunch of workshops where they can make drones.

00:41:50.340 So all over Ukraine, there are smallish buildings where they're making drones like crazy.

00:41:59.200 Guess how many drones Ukraine is able to make. 0.88

00:42:04.160 Just take a guess.

00:42:05.720 Let's say per month.

00:42:07.700 In one month, how many small drones that could carry, that are capable of carrying a bomb, you know, like a hand grenade or something,

00:42:17.340 how many do you think they could make per month with all their little workshops?

00:42:24.700 I'll bet none of you will be close.

00:42:27.880 I'm looking at 40,000, 50,000, 10,000.

00:42:35.500 Okay, those are the numbers I would have guessed.

00:42:38.640 Yeah, I would have guessed, you know, maybe 100,000 at the top.

00:42:43.160 The answer is 2 million.

00:42:44.820 They can make 2 million drones that can each kill a soldier or take out a vehicle.

00:42:55.380 2 million.

00:42:57.320 And that's not future.

00:42:59.980 That's current production.

00:43:02.280 But apparently the Russians also have the ability to produce millions, millions of drones per month. 0.51

00:43:11.880 So there's no question that it's turned into a drone war.

00:43:17.740 And it would, the speculation is that's why Russia hasn't made much progress yet.

00:43:22.500 So there's a, that is 16 miles zone beyond the front lines, on the Russian side of the front lines,

00:43:30.420 where if you get on a road and you're driving anywhere for any reason, and you're anywhere near the front line,

00:43:38.520 but you're in Russian held territory, a Ukrainian drone will pretty much take you out.

00:43:44.640 So it's like 100%, you know, death drive, if you try to use any of those roads on the Russian held territory.

00:43:54.200 So I guess that gives Zelensky a little bit of bargaining power.

00:43:58.840 And obviously the Russians are, they have some technology for jamming, but the Ukrainians also have some jamming of Russian ones. 0.62

00:44:11.400 The current reporting says that the Ukrainians are better at jamming.

00:44:16.360 Do you believe that?

00:44:17.380 I'm not sure we know for sure, but that the Russians have something coming that will be like a really good jammer. 0.95

00:44:27.460 So there, so it's a continuous war of who's got an unjammable drone and who's got better jamming to jam the unjammable drones.

00:44:36.920 But it's a drone war now.

00:44:38.220 According to SciTech Daily, there's a project going on in France that appears to be internationally involved,

00:44:53.360 so they're not doing it by themselves.

00:44:55.860 But over there in France, they've got a facility that's going to try to make fusion, nuclear fusion.

00:45:03.700 And they've got a giant U.S.-built magnet that's taller than a six-story building.

00:45:11.740 And it's going to work with these other smaller magnets, which are also gigantic, from China, Europe, Russia, Japan, and Korea.

00:45:19.940 So those are just some of the countries involved.

00:45:23.420 And if it works, and keep in mind this is not on paper.

00:45:28.380 They already have the big magnets.

00:45:29.980 They're putting them together in France.

00:45:31.600 But if it works, it will make 10 times more energy than it uses.

00:45:41.000 10 times more.

00:45:43.040 Now, you've seen a lot of experiments where somebody says,

00:45:46.460 oh, we've made this big breakthrough in fusion,

00:45:50.180 and we're making 5% more energy than we're using,

00:45:55.080 which doesn't help you that much, and it doesn't last that long.

00:45:58.720 But they seem to be pretty confident here, because this would be a really expensive kind of thing.

00:46:06.080 And if the U.S. built a magnet that's a six-story building high,

00:46:12.420 and all these other serious countries are contributing their ring-shaped magnets,

00:46:19.000 it sounds like they have some confidence that they can make this thing work.

00:46:23.760 Now, I don't know who owns it, you know, if it works.

00:46:28.300 And I don't know if it would be like just another test,

00:46:32.520 or turn into an actual fusion entity.

00:46:38.320 But probably it's a limited test.

00:46:41.740 But if they pull it off, it could be a big, big deal.

00:46:46.060 Well, of course, it's a slow news day, so that's all I've got for you today.

00:46:53.080 And I'm going to say hi to the people on Locals.

00:46:58.540 But the rest of you need to go take care of your moms. 0.68

00:47:01.960 Or if you are a mom, you need to get taken care of.

00:47:06.980 So it's all about the moms today.

00:47:08.880 I hope some of you moms have two cats on your lap, 1.00

00:47:12.380 because that's the best way to listen to this show.

00:47:14.460 A cup of hot coffee, two cats on your lap.

00:47:18.860 That's the way to do it.

00:47:21.120 All right.

00:47:22.140 Locals, I'm coming at you. 1.00

00:47:23.420 The rest of you, I will see you on Monday.

00:47:26.220 I think there's going to be lots more fun coming on Monday.

00:47:29.660 I feel like Monday is going to be big.

00:47:31.900 We'll see.

00:47:45.260 Bye.

00:47:45.540 Bye.

00:47:46.320 Bye.

00:47:47.820 Bye.

00:47:49.280 Bye.

00:47:54.080 Bye.

00:47:58.360 Bye.

00:47:58.880 Bye.

00:47:59.140 Bye.

00:48:01.220 Thank you.

00:48:31.220 Thank you.

00:49:01.220 Thank you.

00:49:31.220 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 11, 2025

Episode 2836 CWSA 05⧸11⧸25

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