Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2861 CWSA 06⧸07⧸25

00:00:00.000 stocks and stocks are up all right all right breezing into the weekend with stocks are up

00:00:10.880 at the moment could change on a dime all right all it would take is one post from elon

00:00:21.360 it would change the whole market

00:00:22.720 all right let's get our uh comments working and then oh that was delightful

00:00:43.840 oh that's right it's saturday i just realized it's saturday so so it's uh yesterday's stocks are up

00:00:50.400 all right so maybe i'm a little tired this morning forgot what day it is but

00:01:01.520 welcome to coffee with scott adams the highlight of human civilization but if you'd like to take

00:01:08.000 it up a notch all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass a tank or chalice or sign a canteen

00:01:15.520 jug or a flask a vessel of any kind to fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join

00:01:23.440 me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything

00:01:28.240 better and allows you to know what day of the week it is it's called coffee simultaneous sip and it

00:01:34.960 happens now go

00:01:44.320 i can't believe you let me get that far into looking at the stocks before telling me it's saturday

00:01:52.880 you probably told me a hundred times i didn't see it

00:01:55.280 all right well today given that it is in fact saturday uh owen gregorian will be hosting right

00:02:05.840 after the show uh a spaces so you've got to be on x uh i think you have to be on x to use spaces it's

00:02:15.760 audio only and you can find it by looking at my uh x feed or i've retweeted it or owen gregorian

00:02:25.920 just look for him and you'll find it so that's right after the show so i i saw a quote um the wall

00:02:33.680 street journal had some video of the united airlines ceo somebody named scott kirby an excellent first name

00:02:43.040 um somebody asked him for the best career advice

00:02:46.480 and his career advice was don't have a plan uh meaning don't have a goal and he said that in his

00:02:56.320 career everything good was unexpected and he was ready for it but if you have goals it puts blinders on

00:03:05.120 you so when he says he was ready for it i looked at his resume and it looks like he had made sure he

00:03:14.160 knew a lot about airplanes so i think he'd been a mechanic and then he'd taken some other more advanced

00:03:21.600 uh college courses uh college courses so yeah he was ready for it but he wasn't ready for everything

00:03:29.600 he was probably ready for anything within anything within that domain

00:03:34.320 uh i'm seeing a meme that putin has offered to negotiate a peace deal between trump and musk

00:03:47.040 well we don't need that anyway so the only thing i would add to united airline ceo scott kirby's advice

00:03:59.520 is that you make sure your talent stack is nice and solid so otherwise you will not be ready

00:04:10.240 all right uh let's see is ready science that they could have uh saved some money on just by asking scott

00:04:20.000 oh here's um according to um cme science there's a study that showed that vegetarians are more

00:04:28.960 rebellious and power hungry than you think now how many of you would have known that that vegetarians 0.99

00:04:37.600 are more rebellious and power hungry than you think i would have known that and the reason is that

00:04:45.920 you're starting with a group of people who are willing to buck you know one of society's strongest

00:04:54.640 cultural norms which is eating meat it is hard to be a vegetarian i'm a pescatarian at the moment

00:05:03.120 but when i was a vegetarian it meant that if you got invited to somebody's house

00:05:10.800 you had to tell them that you can't eat whatever it is they were planning on serving

00:05:14.800 so if you just if you simply started with the people who were willing to buck you know one of the

00:05:26.160 most inconvenient things you could ever buck because your friends want to go to this restaurant but there's

00:05:34.000 nothing you can eat there you have to be a certain kind of person to be willing to take on the vegetarian

00:05:42.560 lifestyle so if you would ask me are vegetarians more rebellious i would have said yeah obviously 1.00

00:05:50.080 i mean you're starting with a rebellious group you you'd be surprised you know it's not like it's

00:05:56.800 limited to that one thing i'm not sure i would have known the power hungry part but it applies to me

00:06:04.640 i'm definitely power hungry but i see power as a tool like money if you have power and you have money

00:06:17.600 then you can do good things and you can do good things for other people so yeah i'm very power hungry

00:06:26.240 according to newsmax mcdonald's has decided it's gonna stick with dei

00:06:34.480 but it's gonna change the words so now it's it's only called inclusion uh actually bloomberg was

00:06:42.720 reporting that and uh they say they're not going to change anything in the way they operate

00:06:51.920 it's also keeping its internal affinity groups where employees with similar backgrounds i guess

00:07:00.560 demographics can share ideas um and i wonder how is that legal because they're saying it right out loud

00:07:14.080 i mean they're they're not uh hiding it they're saying we're just changing the words but we're going to

00:07:18.960 operate exactly the same well i will add one thing that i know from personal experience

00:07:27.040 uh well semi-personal one uh one level away from personal is that if you were to apply for a job

00:07:36.960 at mcdonald's you probably will get it

00:07:40.560 so i don't know how much work they have to put into being diverse because where i work

00:07:50.720 or where i live if you were you know 16 or 20 and you wanted a job at mcdonald's if you applied it might

00:08:00.400 take a few weeks but there's such a high turnover in fast food that you'd probably get the job and it

00:08:08.560 wouldn't matter you know what color you were so this might be the one the one area where dei is not

00:08:17.520 such a big deal it's it's neither it's not helping anybody a lot because everybody can get a job and i

00:08:25.840 think they're very merit-based so uh mcdonald's is you know might be one of those rare exceptions where

00:08:34.240 all they have to do is keep doing what they're doing it is one of the best places you could ever

00:08:40.160 have your first first experience as a job well the wall street journal has a big article about

00:08:50.160 the redesign of self-driving cars and the idea is that a self-driving vehicle

00:08:58.560 in the very near future doesn't need a steering wheel or a dashboard so what if you just started

00:09:06.000 from scratch and tried to make a self-driving environment that wasn't you know limited to

00:09:14.880 what a car can do and the first thing you'll notice is that all of the interesting ideas

00:09:22.720 would not be practical because it wouldn't be safe so it shows a picture of this amazing little

00:09:30.560 van sized environment that you say to yourself oh man i wouldn't mind taking a trip if i could just

00:09:38.480 hang around in that cool little well-lit room with good windows and seats that those seats look

00:09:45.120 comfortable and then you realize they're walking around and you say to yourself oh well they're still

00:09:52.560 going to have to wear seat belts it's not like you're going to be walking around in your car while

00:09:58.000 it's driving so i suspect everything except having a big screen where you can all watch a the same show

00:10:07.120 but by the way none of you want to watch the same show

00:10:09.600 so unless you're in it alone the big screen isn't going to help you a bit um but i do think

00:10:19.600 that the idea of just walking into your vehicle with a suitcase and saying all right vehicle

00:10:27.280 uh i'd like to go visit the grand canyon so make sure you stop for meals and book me some hotels

00:10:34.480 and the ai just does all that for you um that would be amazing so that could be your future

00:10:46.560 any day happen any day now claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament i've been visualizing my

00:10:52.880 match all week she was so focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her

00:10:58.400 backhand side good thing claudia's with intact the insurer with the largest network of auto service

00:11:04.640 centers in the country everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental

00:11:09.360 car in no time i made it to my tournament and lost in the first round but you got there on time

00:11:15.680 intact insurance your auto service ace certain conditions apply all right meanwhile the u.s economy

00:11:22.160 has added 139 000 jobs in may beating they they beat expectations uh according to steve moran and uh

00:11:36.320 that sounds good i i guess i don't have any comment about that except it looks like good news but do any of

00:11:44.080 you have the reflex that i've developed which is it doesn't matter how good the economic news is

00:11:52.720 it only matters how big our deficit is so when i hear jobs are good blah blah blah jobs are good

00:12:00.640 all i really hear is you're driving toward the abyss you do not have a solution for debt it doesn't

00:12:08.960 matter how many jobs there are they'll all be out of work soon so uh yeah i'm not really moved by good

00:12:18.320 economic news but i suppose it's better than bad barely it's barely better than bad

00:12:27.440 um so adam schiff decided to weigh in on this elon musk trump issue and especially about the big beautiful

00:12:39.120 bill the spending bill that's not a spending bill according to steve miller and adam schiff said on

00:12:46.880 x i can't believe i'm saying this but elon musk is right the big beautiful bill is filled with all

00:12:55.600 sorts of hidden and dangerous far-right pork is it is the big beautiful bill full of far-right pork or is it just

00:13:10.240 far-right things that the far-right likes like protecting the border and you know building up the 0.79

00:13:17.600 defense industry i don't know so he's the biggest liar in the world so he can just put it out there and 0.88

00:13:26.640 his democrat followers will say oh that thing must be full of hidden and dangerous far-right pork 0.91

00:13:34.800 but we don't have any examples and elon musk saw that post from adam schiff and he said

00:13:45.040 he responded to it saying hmm a few things could convince me to reconsider my position more than adam

00:13:53.920 schiff agreeing with me and uh yeah yeah that was my first impression too it's like you don't want him on

00:14:02.240 your side um so elon bust unfollowed cat turd well it's about time i unfollowed cats heard a long time

00:14:15.200 ago blocked him all right um so here here's the uh here's a news item that you didn't need to do any

00:14:28.560 research on it looks like ai came up with it so the financial times is reporting that allies of trump

00:14:37.120 and musk are urging them to repair the relationship seeking to limit the political and commercial damage

00:14:46.640 now what else are they going to do their allies is literally their friends

00:14:54.320 did they have any allies who were recommending the opposite that maybe they fight a little harder

00:15:02.800 what kind of a headline is that so that was on x and i'm thinking what was there any ally of either

00:15:10.720 musk or trump who pulled them aside and said something like you know i think this situation really calls for

00:15:19.360 more accusations i think you know things are going well but you should really ramp up the accusations

00:15:28.960 you know the personal ones or professional ones the ones that could get somebody in jail

00:15:34.560 i don't think so i've got a feeling that the allies are all yeah maybe you should take a day off and

00:15:41.440 cool it a little bit on this well trump uh is playing it correctly i think

00:15:48.720 and uh so yesterday trump wished elon well and he noted that uh he's been that trump has been

00:15:58.560 so busy dealing with russia iran and china that he hadn't had any time to think about their spat

00:16:07.680 now i don't know how true that is but it's a perfect uh perfect president answer oh i'm working

00:16:14.880 on all these important things can't possibly get involved in that meanwhile do you remember the

00:16:21.920 maryland dad so-called maryland dad who was accused of being a ms-13 guy and he got deported wrongly

00:16:31.760 wrongly meaning that the uh court order did not support him being deported uh or the court did not

00:16:39.360 um now do you remember what i've been saying since very near the beginning of that saga about the

00:16:47.680 kilmar abrigo garcio guy i kept telling you that what's funny about it is that it started out being

00:16:56.720 he's a maryland dad oh sure he's not here legally but you know that's millions of people are not here

00:17:04.000 legally that's not the biggest problem i mean if he's built a life and you know a lot of people

00:17:09.680 would be in favor of someday giving him citizenship you know not republicans of course but uh it started

00:17:17.760 out with well he's you know a little bit bad and uh he may he may well be in ms-13 and then you say to

00:17:28.960 yourself yeah but any specific crimes you know i don't know if anything specific and then you find out

00:17:36.960 well he may have beat his wife with his fists twice but then she said something you know to mitigate

00:17:47.520 that a little bit and then you say to yourself well i wonder if it's gonna get any worse and then we

00:17:53.920 find out that he was pulled over for human trafficking meaning that he was transporting a

00:18:02.400 car full of people probably from the border uh presumably illegals and presumably getting paid for it

00:18:12.000 so now you've got uh illegal trafficking you've got you know beating your wife you've got maybe you're

00:18:19.120 a member of ms-13 and now he's been uh for reasons i don't quite understand he's been brought back to the

00:18:28.240 united states which is what all of his supporters wanted but he's being brought back because they're

00:18:36.560 like horrible charges that he's he was part of a larger operating ring where he may have transported

00:18:45.680 you know who knows how many people so it wasn't just that one carload of people it looks like he was

00:18:53.920 pretty active in the human trafficking but now there are additional accusations that are not charges yet

00:19:02.720 they're they're they're just claims so a co-conspirator has allegedly accused him of involvement in the

00:19:11.840 murder of a rival gang member's mother

00:19:16.560 now there's nothing funny about murdering a rival gang mother gang member's mother but it is worse

00:19:24.720 it does show that trend of every time we hear from them things are worse so that's pretty bad but no

00:19:34.480 charges have been filed on those claims which makes them i would say less credible but the fact that the

00:19:43.040 claim even exists if the police picked you up what are the odds that one of your co-conspirators

00:19:52.000 would say that you were involved in the murder of a rival gang member's mother and the answer is low

00:19:59.040 low probably nobody would mention that at all but uh apparently this gentleman this maryland dad

00:20:07.600 has a co-conspirator who is willing to accuse him of that uh so that's not ideal so i think the

00:20:16.880 uh the trump administration although they made mistakes you know for the process i would agree with

00:20:26.720 democrats who say you know independent of how bad this guy is there have to be some kind of process

00:20:35.280 that makes sense for everybody and it looks like he got deported incorrectly uh there was the claim by

00:20:43.520 the trump administration that once he got to el salvador hey what can we do you know it's out of our

00:20:49.600 hands but apparently it didn't take much to get him back um all it took was all these uh indictments

00:21:00.480 so you might have the worst uh lawyer in the world i heard uh alan dershowitz saying that if he had been

00:21:07.840 the lawyer he would have said let me loose in some country where there's no risk but coming back to the

00:21:15.280 united states that almost guarantees he'll be in jail for the rest of his life and now now if you ask

00:21:24.880 yourself what parts will people remember now the democrats will try to remember

00:21:32.320 that the republicans did not use the right process and it resulted in somebody temporarily temporarily

00:21:44.480 being deported incorrectly and unlawfully and being in the wrong prison

00:21:52.080 so that's what they'll remember republicans will remember that they got a alleged gang member possible

00:22:01.920 possible uh uh assistant and a murderer uh wife meter you know off the streets and we'll put him in jail for 0.98

00:22:11.360 many years so who won i mean obviously the maryland dad lost but who won the the trumpers won so hard

00:22:23.840 because while i fully understand the argument on the other side it just shrinks to nothing doesn't it

00:22:34.480 like are you gonna remember in 10 years that this guy had some you know some kind of process problem

00:22:42.160 that temporarily put him in the wrong prison he's gonna be in prison no matter how you slice it it looks

00:22:49.440 like i mean we he's uh innocent until proven guilty but i've got a feeling they've got some goods so to

00:22:58.880 me it's kind of hilarious that uh the people trying to help him may have ended up putting him in prison

00:23:05.520 forever and they're still going to say yeah but we were right about that process part this is the part that

00:23:13.440 the democrats get wrong every time they don't quite understand that being technically right about

00:23:22.000 something doesn't help them at all it doesn't help at all what what matters to politics and to the

00:23:32.800 country is what uh trump understands perfectly which is how does it make you feel if you feel better

00:23:43.600 because this individual is you know captive then republicans win uh if if you feel better because some

00:23:54.160 process got followed with this one guy and by the way the mistake was only temporary

00:24:00.400 because it's already been corrected well not much of a feeling associated with that so

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00:25:09.360 for details please play responsibly meanwhile in the uk where freedom of speech is an illusion

00:25:17.680 um it is now i think i think i think it means it's illegal they have something called the prevent program

00:25:26.640 in the uk government um that if you speak positively about something called cultural nationalism uh i think

00:25:37.360 you can be put in jail and uh that would be believing that mass migration threatens western culture

00:25:45.680 and it's being called a subcategory of terrorism

00:25:52.880 now can you believe that the uk

00:25:57.440 is not allowed to say that if we increase our immigration it will change the culture of our country

00:26:05.760 and maybe not in a way that we intended or wanted right to jail

00:26:15.120 how many of you would ever travel to the uk

00:26:20.480 i think it's too dangerous um i've never i don't think i've ever said anything

00:26:25.760 you know that would uh get me put in jail but i also don't know

00:26:30.880 wouldn't that be weird imagine you just take a vacation and you're you're over there in london and

00:26:39.280 you're just i think i'll send out a little post and you send out a little post and you don't realize

00:26:46.560 that you just broke their speech laws the next next thing you know you're in jail in the uk just because

00:26:53.680 you posted something that you could have posted anytime you wanted in the united states

00:26:59.760 well good luck with them

00:27:03.200 well there's a uh rare i think it's rare nine to nothing supreme court decision

00:27:10.960 uh that sided with an ohio woman 0.70

00:27:13.280 um i guess she claimed that she was denied a job or a promotion actually and it went to an lgbtq

00:27:25.200 colleague instead and the court was trying to decide if somebody who's in a majority category

00:27:33.520 because it was a straight white woman uh whether or not she could sue for discrimination 1.00

00:27:41.120 using the same burden of proof as for those of a minority group

00:27:47.040 well it turns out that from by a vote of nine to nothing the supreme court decided that straight

00:27:53.920 white women are people too yeah they're also people so they get to play by the same rules as people 1.00

00:28:02.000 yeah they're not special they're people and so they get to be treated the same good um then kathy griffin

00:28:17.520 was on a don lemon podcast and she said quote i do not think trump won in a free and fair election

00:28:28.160 i believe there was tampering i don't know if it was the elon connection my god is telling me that

00:28:35.360 something was up with that

00:28:39.360 so uh perfect

00:28:43.600 so now rosie o'donnell and uh kathy griffin have both come out

00:28:50.640 saying the exact same thing that a lot of uh republicans were saying about the 2020 election

00:28:56.400 election and uh they get to say it without any consequence well i recommend that they storm the

00:29:06.000 capitol immediately and uh try to push the way in so i love the fact that it seems like everything is

00:29:15.840 going the republicans way you know except the big beautiful bill that may be a little hiccup

00:29:21.760 uh but every time i see a democrat doubting a election result i think to myself well if you

00:29:32.800 believe that it's possible for trump or his uh allies to have rigged an election without getting caught by

00:29:42.160 any court because no court has ruled anything of the type then what would make you think that it was

00:29:50.560 impossible for that to have happened the other way in 2020 you know what would be the argument

00:29:56.880 that only trump supporters could rig an election it's either rigable or it's not

00:30:03.920 now i don't have any evidence that either of those elections were rigged

00:30:09.120 but if you think that one of them can rig and the other cannot and the reason that you know that one

00:30:17.040 cannot because the court cases didn't support it that's not much of an argument you've kind of lost that

00:30:26.480 argument so thank you kathy griffin well if you didn't notice uh or watch cash patel ahead of the fbi

00:30:38.080 was on joe rogan just recently and uh broke some news i guess you call it that one one of the pieces of

00:30:46.240 news he broke is that um he'd been swatted so the head of the fbi got swatted now i assume that means

00:30:59.280 that they actually showed up at the door it seems to be you know far far more likely they would have

00:31:08.240 just said oh that's the fbi's director's house so it's obviously not real but maybe they have rules

00:31:16.320 that say they they can't pretend anything's not real unless they know not pretend but they can't uh

00:31:23.040 they can't act as though something's not real until they get there and they find out for sure

00:31:29.520 so that's why the swatting works but if you can't get rid of the swatting when you're the director of

00:31:35.760 the fbi um i don't think you and i are going to be able to stop it so that's pretty awful well as you know

00:31:45.600 both dan boncino and cash patel have maintained that they've seen the obscene files and it was

00:31:53.360 definitely a suicide um now my question would be this if the only thing you've seen are the files

00:32:05.520 what would make you think the files are complete and real how would you know that

00:32:12.880 well they would know better than i would you know whether a document's real i'm sure that

00:32:17.920 you know it's all been looked at but don't you think if someone had the ability to kill epstein

00:32:26.000 and make it look like suicide hypothetically would they not also have the access to make

00:32:32.480 sure the file didn't show that they killed them it feels like

00:32:37.520 a little bit incomplete meaning yeah i hear you and i believe bongino and patel are telling the truth

00:32:47.840 meaning in their opinion based on everything they've seen it's a slam dunk you know definitely a suicide

00:32:57.040 but would they know do do you think that just their experience

00:33:03.440 evidence plus looking at the files would that be enough that you know they have the right answer

00:33:11.040 no it's a little bit short for me but um anyway so he made some more news

00:33:18.640 um he said that uh that anybody expecting video evidence from epstein's private island might be

00:33:28.080 disappointed as no such footage exists to his knowledge

00:33:36.080 really what exactly does he mean by that there's no video footage of a celebrity

00:33:46.640 or he's saying there's no video footage of anything

00:33:50.160 um now suppose he said um epstein definitely killed himself and also there are no videos

00:34:01.440 and then nobody has any now i don't i don't know if he's saying that it's a little unclear

00:34:07.360 but if he did say that wouldn't you just believe the entire package

00:34:12.400 because if he tells me there's no videos and there never have been and nobody's had any i'm not

00:34:21.440 going to believe anything he ever says again now my my current opinion is that there are straight 1.00

00:34:29.600 shooters and they're they're looking out for the american public but i also believe that we live in a

00:34:38.160 world where sometimes the security apparatus you know the uh the fate of the country can depend on not

00:34:48.400 telling the the public everything so if they had to choose and i'm not saying they are but if they had to

00:34:58.400 choose between keeping a secret that was so dark it would destroy the country

00:35:05.760 somebody versus telling you the truth because they're truth tellers which would they do which

00:35:14.080 would a patriot do because i'll i'll give them the uh the benefit of a doubt i think they've earned that

00:35:21.200 they're both patriots so the thing i worry about is not that they're honest because i think they are

00:35:29.120 it's just that if you live in a world where keeping secrets is part of the operational expectation of

00:35:38.080 what you do i don't know if you can ever trust anybody whose job it is to make sure we don't

00:35:45.200 find out things we're not supposed to find out right if somebody is a journalist and they have access to

00:35:54.160 all the files and maybe you let a few journalists run free if they all came back and said all right

00:36:00.640 we've looked at everything somehow they would know that you know that would be a problem would they know

00:36:06.880 and they come back and they say all right we've looked at everything and uh it looks like it was a

00:36:12.400 suicide and there's no there's no videotapes well i might believe them because they're journalists

00:36:20.800 and they don't have an interest in keeping the secret and they probably would want to get there

00:36:26.720 first and have a scoop and all that but if it's your job to determine what the public hears and what

00:36:35.040 they don't hear that's their jobs does that give them the uh let's say the right or privilege to lie to

00:36:45.680 the american people as long as it's in the interest of the american people and it would be really easy

00:36:54.720 to imagine a set of circumstances where lying would be the right i hate to say it but the right answer

00:37:04.320 so unfortunately they just have jobs where you have to say to yourself uh maybe you know maybe what

00:37:12.160 they're saying is true but you can never know for sure and even even with the journalists you wouldn't

00:37:18.800 know for sure but you'd feel a lot more comfortable that they had no reason to keep it secret from you

00:37:26.880 yeah all right and then also uh cash said that um the u.s is working with india to try to stop some

00:37:37.760 china-backed trafficking network so i guess uh india has some connection to it if they work through india

00:37:46.000 they have a little better chance of stopping it um and he suggested patel did that the chinese

00:37:54.880 communist party is strategically targeting the u.s with fentanyl to weaken its population

00:38:01.840 and he notes that there's an absence of fentanyl uh deaths in other countries now are you convinced

00:38:16.640 you know i don't want to believe that's true but the opioid wars if you've you know if you've looked

00:38:22.960 into the opioid wars you know that the west has targeted uh them but it wasn't the united states that did

00:38:29.760 that wasn't it the uk so why would the united states be targeted if it's revenge for the opioid wars

00:38:39.200 because we weren't involved with that right um and the answer would be it just works you can take out

00:38:46.560 an entire generation of men you can give them cell phones and video games and fentanyl and next thing

00:38:54.000 you know uh an entire generation is taken out i don't know i'm gonna say it seems probable

00:39:04.640 it does seem probable and one of the one of the ways you can know it's probable is do you remember uh

00:39:10.240 uh the uh the uh ex-cia agent john kira kira kira kira kira last time i um mispronounced his name he

00:39:25.280 contacted me to to correct me he'll probably do it again um but he pointed out that when he was in

00:39:34.880 afghanistan with the cia he was asking you know why are these giant poppy farms allowed to operate

00:39:46.400 and the answer was because the heroin is all being sold to rand and it's a way to weaken rand and i

00:39:54.080 thought to myself oh my god we're terrible people but it looks like that's just the kind of world we

00:40:00.480 live in and the and the uh the risk we'll have to take so given that there's at least one source

00:40:08.560 that says we would do it to another country iran is it much of a stretch to say that china would do it to

00:40:16.720 us nope that is not a stretch i don't know that it's true but it's not a stretch meanwhile whiskey

00:40:25.840 sales are down according to one of the executives of jack daniels and uh reasons given are the

00:40:36.240 alternatives of marijuana weight loss drugs and a lackluster demand from generation c so the young

00:40:44.640 people are drinking less but i think there's one other uh variable that's not mentioned which is age

00:40:53.360 i don't know that this is true but wouldn't you expect that alcohol use decreases with age so if

00:41:04.000 the if the new generation is smaller because we've got this demographic problem wouldn't uh alcohol use

00:41:12.640 just drop off just because of age i think there would be some effect there i don't know how big it would

00:41:20.480 be but um we'll talk later about how it affects crime anyway uh remittances to mexico have collapsed

00:41:30.480 john nolte and breitbart is writing about that so if he didn't know what a remittance is to mexico as the

00:41:39.360 the mexican uh undocumented people come into the united states and make money they send some of their 0.97

00:41:47.920 money back to mexico and that's called the remittance i don't know why it's just sending money but uh

00:41:55.360 trump plans to tax those remittances but at the moment they're way down it's not entirely clear to me

00:42:03.600 why they're down um would it be because there are fewer people here

00:42:10.320 i i thought they you know i don't think we sent back that many mexicans did we but anyway remittances are

00:42:21.360 down and uh trump's planning to put a 3.5 tax on those remittances so it might make uh 22 billion

00:42:31.520 dollars uh over the next several years if he does that um newsmax is reporting that uh trump's not

00:42:42.480 happy with surprise uh the federal reserve and their their interest rate uh policies um so trump says

00:42:52.000 that uh powell head of the fed is too late and he should go for a full point reduction in interest he

00:43:00.480 goes too late at the fed is a disaster europe has had 10 rate cuts we have had none despite him

00:43:09.520 our country is doing great go for the full point rocket fuel trump posted that on on true social

00:43:19.440 all right um now i i don't have an opinion on what is the right amount of interest rates to be set

00:43:27.280 but it does feel to me that trump is a little bit more right than powell does anybody have that same

00:43:36.400 sort of just instinct i feel like powell might be holding back for political reasons that maybe he

00:43:45.520 doesn't process as political reasons you know you might you might think he has other reasons

00:43:50.160 but i do worry that our interest rates are not being set by economics does anybody else worry about

00:43:59.040 that now you could blame trump and say well if trump had not been so hard on jerome powell

00:44:05.840 powell would admit it maybe just on his own lowered interest rates more but there's no evidence of that

00:44:12.080 that because you know in both cases he would be helping trump and if he didn't think that helping

00:44:19.040 trump was a good idea well we'd be in the same place so i'm chris hadfield i'm an astronaut an author

00:44:28.080 a citizen of planet earth join me for a six-part journey into the systems that power the world real

00:44:35.200 conversations with real people who are shaping the future of energy no politics no empty talk just

00:44:43.040 solutions focused conversations on the challenges we must overcome and the possibilities that lie ahead

00:44:50.080 this is on energy listen wherever you get your podcasts in surprising news uh just the news is

00:44:59.520 talking about this alan dershowitz is urging a pardon or commuted census for uh gillain maxwell epstein's

00:45:10.480 accomplice now i've been saying for years so most of you have heard me say this that uh when there's a

00:45:19.200 big legal question i like to wait for uh dershowitz because i'm not quite sure how to help you with that

00:45:27.040 i like to wait for dershowitz because he always has the cleanest and what i consider the most reliable

00:45:35.840 answer and you know if you check back later you'll you'll see he's usually right but uh this one's a

00:45:43.120 weird one so i don't think i can automatically agree with this and the argument is that uh maxwell got a

00:45:53.920 stiffer sentence than people who did similar crimes so i said to myself really is that true you know

00:46:03.840 first of all what kind of crime would be similar to this um so and the second thing is uh you know what

00:46:15.040 it was her sentence so she got 20 years in prison and she's been there how long has she been there

00:46:23.920 four years how long has gillain maxwell been in prison four years five years something like that

00:46:32.960 it's already been a while but she's got a 20 year sentence and dershowitz thinks that it would be

00:46:40.720 uh it would make sense to commute or something or uh her uh sentence now it's been three years

00:46:49.120 so i'm hearing it's three years okay now how many of you think that what she did um fits a three or four

00:47:00.880 year sentence

00:47:04.640 because it literally involved trafficking minors

00:47:08.160 uh that's a tough argument so so i went to grok

00:47:18.000 and i asked if her sentence was on a line with comparable comparable court cases and and sentences

00:47:27.360 and grok basically threw up its uh hands yes hands it doesn't show them very often

00:47:34.800 um because there's nobody who did a crime that's quite like that you know it was over a length of

00:47:42.960 time and involved lots of different variables and she may or may not have been coerced by epstein

00:47:49.520 and part of uh dershowitz's argument is that uh maxwell was a victim too so that she was a victim of

00:47:58.880 epstein as well as an accomplice now if if that were true and you could prove it uh it would look like

00:48:10.560 she had no choice with what she did or she got brainwashed or something but i don't think we've seen

00:48:17.120 any evidence that points in that direction have we to me she looked like she was a pretty happy

00:48:25.520 participant yeah we only see pictures but who knows so the question you must ask yourself is

00:48:34.400 is dershowitz being influenced by any outside forces and of course the most obvious thing that you would say

00:48:44.800 is uh since you already suspect that maxwell was part of the you know massad um operation

00:48:56.080 and you also believe that dershowitz quite openly is very pro-israel is it too much to imagine

00:49:06.160 that massad said hey it's time to see if you can get her out because the longer she stays in 1.00

00:49:13.280 you know the more risk we have that she talks and the sooner she gets out the better 1.00

00:49:19.440 now i have zero evidence zero evidence that any kind of influence is happening but i would look and see

00:49:30.240 if any other lawyers have a similar opinion you know if uh if today you see oh five more lawyers who

00:49:40.000 were in this field of law had the same opinion that that sentence was too long then i would say oh well

00:49:48.240 i guess i guess i'm no lawyer so if normal lawyers who are just observing say it's too long well okay

00:49:58.240 maybe there's something there but if alan dershowitz is the only one who is willing to

00:50:04.560 say anything like this and he's uh very public you know there's there's no hidden agenda whatsoever

00:50:12.480 but he's very pro-israel then you have to ask yourself how much of this is about

00:50:19.120 glane maxwell how much of this is about the law and how much of this is about whatever influence alan

00:50:28.880 dershowitz might have or or interests i'll say uh i'll say influence and or interests because he doesn't

00:50:38.560 seem like the kind of guy who could be pushed around so maybe it just makes sense to him on some level that

00:50:45.440 we don't quite understand for whatever reason i i see in the comments somebody saying the cia yeah

00:50:53.840 you can make the same argument about uh the cia being an influence on him if you believe the cia was

00:51:02.160 you know somehow involved in the epstein thing uh i don't i don't see the evidence for that but

00:51:09.360 it's not a crazy hypothesis anyway so uh president trump was asked about iran and he says if they

00:51:23.200 enrich then we're going to have to do it the other way meaning something military and i don't really

00:51:30.160 want to do it the other way but we're going to have no choice there's going to be enrichment now that's

00:51:36.480 just a setup for the next thing i want to talk about so trump has very clearly said we're going

00:51:43.680 to bomb your country unless you give us what we want on giving up your enrichment um related to that 0.93

00:51:53.200 i was watching uh a podcast with matt gates and he was talking to the author of a book called future

00:52:01.440 jihad terrorist strategies against the west and this was on newsmax and uh this was a dr ferris i think

00:52:11.840 p-h-a-r-e-s ferris would that be the way you say it anyway so dr ferris recommended that trump

00:52:20.640 give a televised speech directly to the iranian people uh and he compared it to reagan with the soviet union

00:52:30.000 now you know what i'd say whenever i see an analogy as soon as you see the analogy it feels like

00:52:42.480 there's a there's a lack of argument because it's not really like reagan and the soviet union

00:52:50.160 the big difference is that trump is threatening to bomb iran any minute now i don't believe that

00:52:58.560 uh that when reagan gave his speech you know tear down that wall i don't believe we were threatening

00:53:06.480 to bomb the soviet union any minute now so you can't really compare those two situations but

00:53:15.520 i thought about it my first thought was uh that's not going to make any difference you know the iranian

00:53:21.920 people are not going to buy that especially if you have a sword over their head because what would

00:53:27.680 he say i mean he probably would throw in the threat and if he throws him the threat it's going to make

00:53:34.400 things worse because if the iranian public hears uh you need to do this or else you'll get bombed

00:53:42.640 that's not going to make friends you know if the idea is to get the uh get the public on your side that's

00:53:51.600 not going to do it so i don't know how he could do this in the context of threatening to bomb them at any

00:53:58.960 minute um but i do think there might be something to it if he cannot mention the bombing because trump

00:54:12.560 does have a way of communicating that's unlike anybody else and if he did say the right things

00:54:19.360 at the right time he might find a way to connect so i think as long as you don't mention we're going

00:54:26.880 to bomb you if you don't give us what we want just don't mention that at all then you use the

00:54:33.360 documentary effect the documentary effect is where there's one side of an argument presented over a

00:54:40.640 long period of time and there's nobody on the other side that can be very persuasive so if he gave a

00:54:49.040 speech directly to the iranian people and uh he made it persuasive and there wouldn't be any

00:54:56.640 counter-argument it would just be his his speech uh the odds of him having an upside surprisingly good

00:55:05.040 result are pretty good the downside risk probably nearly nothing as long as you don't put a thread in

00:55:15.120 there if he put a thread in there there's no way that's going to turn out well so i guess i would

00:55:24.320 be cautiously in favor of this if it were implemented correctly when i found out my friend got a great

00:55:31.680 deal on a wool coat from winners i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners like that

00:55:38.800 woman over there with the designer jeans are those from winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings 1.00

00:55:44.960 did she pay full price or that leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress

00:55:50.720 that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning winners

00:55:58.160 find fabulous for less um my next story gets to the concept of what i call how lost are the democrats

00:56:10.480 uh i love hearing their their best and brightest people you know the ones who should be helping them

00:56:17.200 correct the ship uh i love hearing them give advice that really sounds bad

00:56:25.520 uh so cnn's van jones said on air that trump should investigate and prosecute the doge staff

00:56:35.440 quote i don't think what they're doing is legal now he didn't give he didn't give uh examples of what

00:56:41.520 he thinks are illegal um but that might be some of the worst advice i've ever heard

00:56:51.920 because obviously uh trump's not going to do that and all it is is attacking the people who are trying

00:56:58.880 to get something done on behalf of the american people such as get rid of the fat and bloat and

00:57:05.440 and corruption so once again we have the pattern developing where republicans are trying to get

00:57:13.120 something done that would be doge and democrats are trying to use some kind of legal process to prevent

00:57:21.920 them from getting anything done how do you miss the pattern at this point like even if you're a democrat

00:57:29.600 do you not realize that republicans are trying to get things done sometimes you won't like them but

00:57:37.600 they're trying to do things that are good for the country and democrats are almost entirely involved

00:57:43.840 with stopping any progress in any way it's kind of hard to miss the pattern after a while isn't it

00:57:50.960 and you know van jones one of the smartest people who's also a democrat

00:57:55.920 um looks like he's falling into the same trap of just saying that this thing that's probably popular

00:58:04.400 by 80 20 in the united states that they should all be arrested or at least at least investigated

00:58:15.200 well here's my persuasion lesson on trump and uh i've told you before that he's

00:58:21.680 his writing style and his writing ability is never going to get the credit it deserves but my goodness

00:58:32.640 is he a good writer and he did a truth social little write-up about his ballroom you know the ballroom is

00:58:42.160 being built at the white house and i just want to read to you uh trump's words when he talks about it

00:58:50.480 now keep in mind that because we have you know fiscal constraints and we've got a deficit problem

00:58:58.000 that if you're the president and you're bragging about your ballroom uh it doesn't sound good

00:59:05.520 to the public who thinks do you really need a ballroom could we not really cut that budget and

00:59:12.640 you know you can stand on the muddy lawn when we need to do something outdoors so he's got this delicate

00:59:21.120 thing that he's trying to manage where it looks like it might be a vanity project and also we're in the

00:59:29.360 context of you know a fiscal constraint but he's building a ballroom so he's got to navigate all of that

00:59:37.680 that and uh let me just read what what he wrote all right he says quote just inspected the site of the

00:59:48.320 new ballroom that would be built compliments of a man known as donald j trump at the white house

00:59:57.040 for 150 years presidents and many others have wanted to beautify wanted a beautiful ballroom but it never got

01:00:04.880 built because nobody previously had any knowledge or experience in doing such things but i do like

01:00:12.960 maybe nobody else and it will go up quickly and be a wonderful addition very much in keeping with the

01:00:21.360 magnificent white house itself these are the quote fun projects i do while thinking about the world

01:00:29.520 economy the united states china russia and lots of other countries places and events it will all be good

01:00:37.920 maybe even great depending on who is president of the united states

01:00:44.480 now he uh he basically disarms you with this sentence uh compliments of a man known as donald j trump

01:00:54.160 because that's what that's what's called voicey um within the writer's world if somebody is voicey

01:01:05.200 it means you can feel their personality in their writing and you might even say to yourself nobody

01:01:11.120 else would say that nobody else in the world would use those words and i don't think anybody would

01:01:17.440 like you know no other president would ever write like this so this is the most voicey uh optimistic

01:01:28.560 fun way he could ever introduce this thing and then he brags about his ability to build things

01:01:34.560 which most people would agree that he has right i mean you'd have to be a pretty hardcore democrat

01:01:42.080 to say that trump doesn't know anything about construction i mean really of course he knows

01:01:49.760 construction so yes he's probably the uh the ideal president for you know adding a major addition to

01:01:56.640 the white house and then we gets to the end he talks about this being his fun project that's not

01:02:03.280 interfering with all of his other stuff with russia and china that's what you were thinking

01:02:08.480 thinking so one of the things i teach with writing is if you can say something that is exactly what

01:02:17.840 your reader is thinking and and then you take it off the table because they're thinking they've got a

01:02:23.920 question and then you just sort of automatically answer it that's a home run in writing so by the

01:02:31.040 time you got to the end you were you probably would have been thinking you know why are you wasting

01:02:36.960 your time on this when there's so many important things to do and then he gives you the answer

01:02:42.400 now i don't know if the answer is you know adequate or true or covers everything it needs to cover

01:02:49.440 but the fact that he knows when you're going to be wondering and then he supplies the answer to your

01:02:56.400 wonder that's really good technique so it's a voicey as hell and well constructed in a way that i don't think

01:03:06.960 i just don't think the historians are going to fully appreciate that he's the best writer we've ever had

01:03:13.440 in government probably all right uh i've told you before the california government seems to be a

01:03:22.800 criminal racket and almost every day there's another story in the news that kind of bolsters that opinion

01:03:32.560 so according to interesting engineering sujita sinoh is writing that uh there's a new study that reveals

01:03:40.960 the deep corruption in california's clean energy push so apparently the process of getting everybody on

01:03:49.760 solar uh has created uh let's see what kind of corruption uh a sobering array of corruption 1.00

01:03:58.960 a sobering array of corruption so uh i guess there are so here are some of the alleged uh corrupt practices

01:04:14.080 so shocking abuses of power in the approval and licensing phases now how many of you are surprised

01:04:22.800 that a very expensive project has a shocking abuse of power in the approval and licensing phase

01:04:30.880 meaning the contracts are going to friends of the people who have the power to allocate the contracts

01:04:38.400 uh let's see it's also as well as the displacement of indigenous groups okay i don't know about that

01:04:46.960 that and also nefarious patterns of tax evasion or the falsification of information about the projects

01:04:55.440 now i don't know how much of this is true but every single time california gets a bunch of money

01:05:05.040 to do something that sounds good on paper somebody just steals the money

01:05:10.800 it's like you might as well just dump it on the ground and let everybody come and grab some so

01:05:20.800 so remember the high speed rail that we didn't build anything sound familiar and then there's all the

01:05:30.080 stuff that's not happening and the rebuild of the fire zones and i mean it's just one thing after

01:05:35.920 another just complete criminal enterprise how could it be worse is it possible for california to be any

01:05:45.440 worse well they're taking a run at it uh so the california senate passed a bill uh that will allow

01:05:54.240 violent convicts with life sentences to get out of jail now they have to have served 25 years

01:06:02.480 and been convicted before 26 so you know it's not everybody but what would happen if you release

01:06:14.320 somebody who has uh spent their entire adult life in prison and the reason that they were there is

01:06:22.080 because they've done something so heinous that you get life in prison there aren't too many things you

01:06:28.640 get life in prison for uh what do they do they get jobs at mcdonald's there there's not really anything

01:06:37.440 they can do right because it's not like they're going to get a job at your local construction place

01:06:44.880 will they so i don't know too much about the rehabbing people but if you spent your entire adult life

01:06:54.160 behind bars i don't know if you're ready so once again dangerous for californians

01:07:04.480 all right ladies and gentlemen that is the completion of my planned comments and as i warned you

01:07:13.360 um owen gregorian will be hosting a spaces event on x uh that will happen in a few minutes after we're done

01:07:22.560 here and uh i invite everybody to give a listen i usually listen while i'm making myself some

01:07:30.480 breakfast so i'm i'm usually anonymously listening um and uh i hope you enjoy it and that's all i got for

01:07:41.840 today so everybody have a good time today i'm going to say uh just a few words to the locals people before

01:07:48.800 we go so locals people will be private in 30 minutes

01:08:18.800 this is the first time i put them in 30 minutes away and you are ready to go

01:08:23.920 so you should ask people to do it now upon going where they discover

01:08:40.880 so there's a lot of information about your client power because they get to have enough

01:08:44.720 Thank you.

01:09:14.720 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 07, 2025

Episode 2861 CWSA 06⧸07⧸25

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