Episode 2871 CWSA 06⧸17⧸25
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 2 minutes
Words per Minute
121.53333
Summary
In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, host Scott Adams tries to figure out why Donald Trump left early from the G7 meeting and what it means for the future of nuclear power in the United States and around the world.
Transcript
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not looking so good so forget about that let's do a show don't think about your stocks no don't
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good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called
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coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but for those of you who would like
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to take this experience up to levels that no one can understand with their tiny shiny human brains
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all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass a tanker chalice or stein a canteen jug or flask
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the best little a kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the
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unparalleled pleasure the dopamine of the day the thing that makes everything better
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it's called the simultaneous sip it happens now go
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sublime so good well i need a fact check on this i saw online somebody was printing what was
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allegedly elon musk's medical report showing that he had no drug use is that real does anybody know
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if that's real because it wasn't on his account it was somebody else's account i don't know but
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we'll uh we'll put a pin in that i don't know if that's real
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well according to live science uh there's now an ev battery thanks to the brits that can recharge in
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18 seconds and apparently it's been approved for mass production so it's actually coming it doesn't say
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i don't know what kind of uh you know distance you get but imagine fully recharging your battery
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in 18 seconds that's current technology i'll tell you this this battery stuff is going to change everything
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in other power news uh obviously we'll talk about israel and iran in a moment but uh trump uh fired
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biden's nuclear regulator i guess there was a nuclear regulator according to the daily colored news
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foundation and uh trump got rid of them so uh apparently that one person might have been slowing down
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approvals that's just my guess but uh trump is very serious about making nuclear power work
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so uh i don't know how many regulations he has to get rid of or how many people he has to fire
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but there does seem to be some some will and ability to do both so nuclear it's coming
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here's a problem we wish we had all right if you think of all the problems that the united states has or
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whatever country you're in um apparently over in spain portugal and italy there are major protests
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against over tourism over tourism now i get it because you don't want too much traffic and
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you know interferes with your life you know interferes with your life but
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i wouldn't mind living in a country where your biggest problem is too many people want to visit
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because it's so nice that'd be a good problem so uh italy portugal and spain i feel your pain
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but not very much you've got you've got a pretty good problem there all right let's talk about trump
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and iran all right today's goal is i'm going to teach you how hypnotists um analyze people's speech
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so i'm going to talk about all the things that trump has said and done and signaled and then we're
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going to figure out what comes next because prediction is the closest you can get to reality
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if you're good at it all right so here are the things we know we know that trump left early from
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the g7 some people are saying it was an excuse to get out of some awkward meetings at the g7
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but i don't think that trump would do that so my guess is that the reason he left is exactly what
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they said it was which is uh there's something that's going to go down in iran and it's big
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and he needed to be fully engaged in that so that's your first hint second hint um trump said
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the other day to evacuate tehran now is tehran where the fordow nuclear facility is no um how many of the
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nuclear facilities are in tehran well i don't know but it's not gonna whatever happens in tehran
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would not directly destroy the nuclear capacity of iran so what is it that would be happening in
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tehran hmm all right that's your second clue so one clue trump left early got all of those people
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together in the situation room something big is going down and something about tehran
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um and when asked why he was calling for the evacuation of tehran he gave his uh his usual
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trumpian answer uh he wants people to be safe well obviously um trump is filled in on some plans
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um um according to uh macron of france and uh trump says this is not true um according to uh macron of
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france and uh trump says this is not true um macron said that uh trump left the g7 to work on a ceasefire
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agreement a ceasefire but trump uh called out macron and said he doesn't want a ceasefire he's he's going
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for something much bigger now what would be bigger than a ceasefire well um he says over and over again
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iran can't have a nuclear weapon so here are the things we know something big is going to happen
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fairly soon it involves tehran or tehran am i saying it right um which would only indirectly
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be about the nuclear program because it's not really it's not like all in tehran and it's not about a
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ceasefire which you'd expect if he planned to have negotiations um a reporter asked trump on the plane
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what are you looking for here and trump said an end a real end not a ceasefire an end
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an end an end an end to what an end to the regime an end to the danger an end to the nuclear program
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well an end um and we know that trump has now taken a opposite position from tulsi gabbard who had
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recently said that uh according to the cia that iran was not that close to a nuclear weapon but uh trump
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has adopted the netanyahu messaging that uh iran was very close very close so that's a difference um and
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then trump said about iran who apparently iran has been trying to contact the united states via other
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indirect um channels and wants to talk but trump says they'd like to talk but they should have done that
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before so is trump saying very clearly that something's going to happen and it's going to happen
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with or without talking because the talking is too late looks like it so there's something going to happen
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and it looks like iran's apparent willingness to talk
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is not going to affect trump too much um and then trump said uh that if there's any injury to our troops
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will come down so hard if they do anything to our people i think they know not to touch our troops
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now as you know there have been uh lots of wars that were started with fake provocations
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so now that trump has laid down this red line and said if you do anything to our troops
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then we would get involved in the war is that a trick because we can always claim
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that they did something that endangered our troops doesn't it feel like there's enough fuzziness there
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that we could say oh this one missile came really close to this embassy or something
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so we're starting to put it all together but there's more um according to axios
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that according to axios having a meeting with the iranians would be a make or break moment
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for whether the us will join the war against iran so axios is suggesting there might be some kind of a
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meeting but if iran doesn't give up everything as in its nuclear program um then that would be the
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go time for the us to join the war now that's axios do you think axios knows
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that trump has planned to join the war in a way that would you know pretty much require iran to
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and uh what else trump sees uh the bunker buster decision as an inflection point
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so trump is still considering the question of providing bunker busters according to axios we
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don't know if that's true and uh apparently trump has asked vp vance and the middle east envoy to
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offer to meet with the iranians next week for the new york times so do you think the offers to meet and
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to talk are real because he already said you better evacuate to ron because it sounds like something's
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going to happen with or without those conversations and he's not going to wait till next week because
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remember israel wanted to be done in two weeks so they're not going to say hey how about next week
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we have a meeting i don't think that will change much action well bill o'reilly said that uh earlier
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today he had texted with trump and he says trump doesn't want to use american air power at this
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point and that would be the bunker busters um because that would cause some problems with china and putin
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would it and he'd rather have the iranians surrender which he believes they will surrender huh now
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surrender is not a word that i've heard before in this context um so here's a reframe it seems like
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trump is reframing it so that iran gets to decide if the u.s enters the war
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um which might not be a big change to anybody's thinking but it does kind of put iran in the
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decision-making seat um so the current decision is the u.s is not in the war or at least in in the
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most aggressive way that it could be and now the decision kind of comes down to iran if they don't
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give up their nuclear program like right away um it looks like trump is willing at least in terms
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of the messaging we don't know what he's thinking but in terms of messaging he would be willing to
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enter all right so what would make iran surrender that hasn't happened already so if you put it all
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together here's my prediction um i don't think trump wants to use the bunker busters because that would
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look like we entered the war and you know that would be bad for his base he would lose support in the
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u.s etc but it does seem that trump is willing to um let's say i don't want to say allow but not stop
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israel from doing what israel wants to do so how could israel um dismantle the iranian nuclear program
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if they do not have access to the bunker buster bombs and i can only think of one way and i think
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this is the hypnotist technique this is the hypnotist technique that the word that tells me what's
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happening is surrender so my guess is israel is getting ready to pound tehran and take out each pillar
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of the government's power until there's nothing left and i think that might work
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because if he wants the administration to surrender he's going to have to put pressure on him that's
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different from just bombing some things and then waiting to see what happens so um my guess
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and this is just my speculation at this point my prediction is that the land is not to do bunker
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busters but it's to get the iranian regime to surrender now would the current regime surrender not likely
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not likely at all so how could israel get a surrender if the current regime is unwilling to surrender
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well i would call it the chewing from below decapitation strike if they go right to decapitation and they take
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out the leadership with the next set of bombs that's going to look too aggressive and might set a precedent
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but what israel's been doing so far is getting rid of all the lower level
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people all while the top level people in the military but in terms of the um domestic
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non-military leadership i think they're just going to start chewing them up from the bottom up
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so you'll get rid of you know an institution you'll get rid of a you know a minor leader another minor
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leader another minor leader and you just start working your way up to the top because apparently
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they know where everybody is somehow and they know how to kill them all because they've they've
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so my guess is that tehran will become sort of a killing field for iranian leadership but it will
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start at the bottom of what they can get to and they'll just start slowly working their way up until
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either the top people are overthrown which might happen but i wouldn't bet on it or the top people
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say all right we're out we surrender um we're going to give up all of our nuclear weapons well nuclear
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facilities not weapons and so i would argue that there's exactly one path if you rule out the bunker
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busters which i think would be bad idea for trump to use the bunker busters but you you don't rule out
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that under all conditions israel will get rid of the nuclear threat which i think is the case
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what's that leave all it leaves is decapitation but like i said starting from the top
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would be too big of a shock to the system i think we'll start chewing them up from the bottom up
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so you should see strategic hits in tehran against you know government sources of power
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and it will just keep going and there will be no end to it and the entire time trump will say
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you know you should have negotiated but if at any time the iranian leadership says all right all right
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we agree in advance before we even sit down that we will dismantle our entire nuclear program
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at that point maybe the bombs will stop maybe but i'm not even sure if it's real would trust them
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to you know it would just look like they're it's a delay tactic so that's my uh
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that's my prediction a chew them up from the bottom decapitation sort of a slow decapitation
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until they get a surrender what else could it be that's that's all that's left claudia was leaving
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for her pickleball tournament i've been visualizing my match all week she was so focused on visualizing
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that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side good thing claudia's with intact
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the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the country everything was
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taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time i made it to my
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tournament and lost in the first round but you got there on time intact insurance your auto service ace
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certain conditions apply apparently according to uh some news uh iran has been urgently signaling
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that they want an end to the hostilities of course they do um but probably we assume they're just
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stalling that's what israel would say and i think they're probably right based on the history
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so um yeah so that's what's gonna happen um according to uh a retired colonel lieutenant colonel on fox news
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uh the iranian missiles are overwhelming the u.s defense systems you know our iron dome and it looks like
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there's a uh the iranians have a strategy this seems to be pretty good which is a launchable bunch
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of missiles at the same time and some of them are the good kind and some of them are the cheap kind
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but the uh the defensive systems get kind of overwhelmed and then the good kind can sneak through
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so the question would be will iran continue going as hard as they can
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with as many missiles as they can shoot until they run out which would be pretty devastating
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uh or do they have to save them because they might be running low well we don't know it's
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fog of war and it's hard to know what's true but uh i would guess that the more
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the more the more the iranians send missiles into israel the more damage israel can do to tehran
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and to their leadership with something that looks like justification
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so iran doesn't have too many good options here all right so that's enough on that
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um the minnesota shooter as you know got caught but if you don't mind i'm not really going to talk
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about that minnesota shooter guy because that looks like crazy guy um it does look like he might have
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been a little bit more right leaning than left but he had a long list of people he wanted to get to and
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they weren't all democrats and you know so to me that's just crazy guy and that's that's the whole story
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there all right but as you know the uh pro-trump um what would you call it the pro-trump supporters
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are having a uh tough time because the the anti-war people and the let's go get them people
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on different sides so among the uh no war no way would be steve bannon he would be the most prominent
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one doesn't want to war with iran tucker carlson who's going hard at markle event he's got a real
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problem with markle event on fox news i guess markle event is more pro-war mac gates wants to avoid
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further war with iran marjorie taylor green um and then of course thomas massey you would not be
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surprised once a resolution to require congress to approve the war and he's already got three democrats
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to sign up bernie roqana and aoc so whatever trump does is either going to make um one half of his
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coalition hate him or the other half hate him because his two choices are get involved in the war
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and then he loses you know half of his support or don't get involved in the war
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and then he loses half of his support so if you're trump how do you play that well that goes back to
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my prediction if he if he simply says all we're doing is um you know maybe helping helping israel avoid
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some missiles but israel goes wild in tehran and just keeps murdering um and assassinating leaders
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i feel like in the end that might be enough to keep his coalition together because it would not be the
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united states jumping into the war but also it would not be avoiding the war it would be allowing uh
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i keep saying allowing as if as if they work for us but they don't it would be let's say he's standing
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back while israel does what israel thinks it needs to do so i feel like the only way he can wiggle out of
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this you know there's there's there's no way to win is by letting israel carry the entire load
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and just sort of you know being a let's say a bad cop somebody said uh you know is israel being the
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the bad cop and trump is a good cop kind of kind of trump trump is still the one who's saying you know
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you just have to negotiate and you just have to surrender and then everything's fine so there's
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a little bit of a good cop bad cop thing going on which might be productive so here's my question for
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you if uh if trump managed to pull this off and pulling it off would be stepping back while israel does
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what it needs to do and there's no bunker buster but they get um iran to say look we'll we'll unlock
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fordow and we'll let you watch while we dismantle it would that be enough to keep trump's
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coalition together i think it would be because it would look like we got away with
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um something we wanted strategically but we would get away with it on the cheap
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so i feel like there's only one path and it's through the leadership of the iranian people
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and i don't see any other path all right um i i just want to give a compliment to comic dave smith
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um one of the things that's fascinating about this whole podcasting world is that some people have
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made a name for themselves and become you know they became relevant in these top level conversations
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simply by force of will i guess so why would we listen to comic dave smith's opinion about geopolitical
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uh stuff uh stuff and the answer is it doesn't make sense on the surface but he did such a good job
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comic david smith did of inserting himself in the conversation and debating people who wanted to
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debate and you know making his his views known that he is actually relevant um and i have to admit
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i'm very impressed with that um he's not the only one i mean a number of podcasters and i'm one of
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them have through just hard work and showing up every day and you know trying to add something to the
00:29:03.040
process have made themselves um not the most important thing in the conversation but relevant
00:29:11.760
relevant relevant and i was wondering are there more humorous they're supporting trump than there have
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been supporting republicans in the past because i was thinking you know um you've got tim dylan you've got
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roseanne you've got me uh comic dave smith i feel like i feel like there are a whole bunch of people who are
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humorous first who have become relevant in the the trump era and it feels like yeah joe rogan right
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yeah obviously joe rogan and a number of other comedians as well uh adam carolla exactly
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but that's is that new that would be so many humorous who are sort of pro-trump i guess uh comic
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dave smith has made a turn he's not oh yeah shane gillis um i guess he's not pro-trump he's asking for
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trump's uh impeachment over over the israel stuff i guess but anyway so uh i would give my compliments
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to all of the people i mentioned for yeah greg gotfeld um because they all made themselves relevant
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and they didn't do it by having terrible opinions theo von yeah he's more in the gray area but yes
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so you know theo von is not in the category of a
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a person who is trying to make serious um geopolitical comments that change the world
00:31:03.760
but a number of us do we're we're literally trying to you know make sure the country is
00:31:09.600
steering in the right direction as best we can um so i'm very impressed that all the people who
00:31:17.600
just carve down a space for themselves by being useful and having an opinion that people could either
00:31:25.120
debate with or uh agree with so very impressed um let's see what else
00:31:36.240
um according to axios and some reporting by barack ravid uh netanyahu has well this is axios has taken
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uh effectively endorsed the idea of regime change in iran uh in a string of media appearances
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um but trump they say has remained unconvinced but do we really know what trump is convinced of or not
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we don't do we we you know it might be that trump is going to act unconvinced
00:32:11.600
while at the same time stepping aside and letting israel do whatever it needs to do
00:32:24.560
and i guess there was a israeli airstrike in iran overnight
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that took out some iranian military top top base
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um i can't imagine that there would be any humans in the iranian military who would be going to work
00:32:48.720
wouldn't wouldn't all of the military um structures be empty by now because they're such obvious targets
00:32:58.960
is i assume that uh israel got on top of iran's communication devices meaning that uh
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meaning that the iranians probably don't have a secure means of communicating even if they wanted to
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which would tell me that the israelis know where everybody is all the time
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and they know what they're up to all the time so um i would get out of tehran if i were
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if i were in the military i would run because it looks like it's just setting ducks at this point
00:33:43.760
well in related news um speaking of immigration uh one of the questions people at is you know why
00:33:55.440
are all the protesters over 65 and um i had speculated it's because they're easier to scare
00:34:03.920
and especially if they're watching the mainstream media so elderly people make up a lot of the
00:34:10.800
protesters on the streets for the go kings and the anti-ice protests
00:34:17.920
but part of it is because they have a lot of time on their hands
00:34:22.160
part of it is because they're ex-hippies so they're reliving their you know their exciting youth
00:34:28.880
being protesters some of it is maybe because the elderly are unfixed incomes so they feel more
00:34:36.240
vulnerable so they feel like there's more they have to protest about
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um but i would argue that we should see it as a mental disorder
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and that the elderly are just more prone to it you know just like alzheimer's and other stuff and
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uh i saw a post by meg brock who was asking the question on x when is trump derangement syndrome
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going to be officially added to the dsm-5 to make it an official diagnosis and i wondered if it was
00:35:16.000
already there because i've heard lots of reports of therapists who treat it like it's real uh because it
00:35:24.160
is and they've got a lot of clients who come in and say i've got some form of tds or at least they exhibit it
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and so i went to grok to find out is it already in the literature because why wouldn't it be
00:35:42.720
wouldn't you expect that by now trump derangement syndrome would be a legitimate diagnosis
00:35:49.200
because i'm pretty sure there are a lot of individual therapists who consider it a legitimate diagnosis
00:35:57.440
so i looked and apparently no and grok says that there's the reason is not you know an official disorder
00:36:08.640
is that there's a lack of clinical basis there's no peer-reviewed studies
00:36:13.920
uh or psychological research or professional mental health organizations recognizing it as a
00:36:21.360
diagnosable condition and then grok says it lacks defined symptoms diagnostic criteria or empirical
00:36:30.480
evidence required for a legitimate disorder to which i say well wait a minute isn't it a lot like
00:36:39.200
addiction if i said to you um you have a drinking problem knowing that drinking is a legal activity
00:36:49.120
for adults how would you define it as a problem versus a hobby and the answer is usually if it interferes
00:36:57.920
with your life so if you're drinking has an impact on your life as in you lose your job you lose your
00:37:05.680
relationships you spend all your money you wake up in a ditch well then you've got a drinking problem
00:37:13.360
if you had two drinks on the weekend with your friends and then took a uber home we would mostly
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say you're just somebody who has a hobby and you don't have a problem but don't you think tds is exactly
00:37:29.120
like that if somebody simply prefers uh a democrat over trump i would say oh well that's just a political
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preference but if somebody is crying and shaking and and they feel like he's gonna become a king and
00:37:49.840
he's gonna lock people up in prison camps isn't that interfering with your actual life and happiness
00:37:58.800
and wouldn't that be super easy to diagnose if you're a therapist so in my opinion we have everything
00:38:07.600
we need which is uh it's easy to diagnose you know do you have a worry that trump is president and that
00:38:16.240
he'll do terrible things do you believe things that are real or do you believe things that are imaginary
00:38:24.480
and you don't even need that part you can just you can just say um does it does it affect your life
00:38:32.800
you know do you wake up in the morning shaking and crying if the answer is yes
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then you've got a you know a mental health disorder i would think so i feel like that really
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um let's say so speaking of the trump coalition um trump also has trouble with the immigration
00:40:05.600
um issue because trump has started out being you know as hard line as you could possibly be on
00:40:13.120
immigration and that was keeping his coalition together because they were hard line on immigration
00:40:21.040
too but then when trump said well maybe not the farm workers and the the hotel hospitality people
00:40:31.280
because they would be hard to replace then he lost a bunch of his followers who said what do you mean
00:40:40.240
there's no exceptions if they're here illegally they gotta go so apparently trump has veered back to
00:40:50.640
yes there will be raids on farms and hospitality places including i suppose trump hotels i don't know
00:41:01.280
but uh but uh do you remember the uh food company was it valley foods or somebody where uh the immigration
00:41:11.120
people basically arrested half of the workforce or some big percentage and apparently they immediately
00:41:19.280
got lots of job applicants for from american-born people so if you were worried that there were no americans
00:41:28.720
who would apply for you know jobs if the uh foreign-born people who were not citizens get shipped or deported um we have one
00:41:41.040
one uh data point that says that it might not be a problem i would argue that probably will depend a lot on where you are
00:41:50.000
so if you're living out what state was that was it iowa or something i can't remember what state it was
00:42:00.080
but it could be that you know if you're in a rural situation it's easier to fill those jobs maybe i don't know
00:42:08.720
so we'll we'll see about that but uh trump has a big problem so he's either gonna put farming and uh
00:42:17.040
uh and uh the hotel business out of business or maybe not out of business but deeply inconvenienced
00:42:28.960
um but as long as there are people who are american citizens who want to apply for those jobs
00:42:36.000
immediately upon the openings then he'd be in pretty good shape so whether you're in favor
00:42:43.280
of it or not in favor of it it might be practical so you know take that for what it's worth
00:42:53.760
according to the post-millennial there's a poll that says a majority of hispanic voters support
00:43:01.440
trump's deportation policies which we have heard before but it's good that it's consistent
00:43:08.560
uh this is the uh survey by the league of american workers and technometrica institute of policy and
00:43:18.720
politics 53 percent of hispanic voters say they somewhat or strongly support increasing deportations
00:43:29.760
especially ones with criminal records but that that part's easy
00:43:32.960
so overall six and ten registered voters back the trump um deportation plans so he's still in good
00:43:43.520
shape there um according to blaze media and i guess this comes from the trump administration
00:43:52.640
there are one million illegal aliens who have reportedly self-deported
00:43:57.520
uh now my question would be this is there anything about the group that is self-deporting
00:44:12.320
so my question is would the would the worst let's say the people have done more crimes than just coming
00:44:20.720
into the country illegally uh do you think they would be the ones would be self-deporting
00:44:26.160
because they wouldn't want to go to jail or would it be the ones who want to have the highest odds of
00:44:32.400
coming in legally because apparently if you self-deport you maintain your ability to come
00:44:38.640
back through a legal process so do you think the million people who allegedly self-deported are the
00:44:48.400
the worst people you know the criminal types who are trying to avoid getting arrested
00:44:53.440
or are they the most law-abiding types who are using a process that keeps all their options open
00:45:02.800
i don't know but i'm sure most of you don't care
00:45:08.400
it would be great if it was mostly the criminals who left but that would be a lot to ask
00:45:13.920
in other news uh fbi director cash patel is reporting that the fbi has located documents
00:45:27.840
that detail uh allegations that china um tried to print a bunch of fake mail-in ballots for our 2020
00:45:38.800
u.s election now adjust the news says as this story if you want to read up on it john solomon
00:45:47.760
but they say that newly declassified intelligence reports partially corroborate um but but it was
00:45:56.320
recalled before it was fully investigated so we don't have um confirmation but there's a strongest strong
00:46:07.440
suggestion that uh china might might have been involved in trying to rig our elections
00:46:14.400
and that china allegedly had mass produced fake u.s driver's licenses as part of their scheme to get the
00:46:23.440
fake mail-in ballots and then vote for joe biden now do you think china would have uh cared enough
00:46:33.520
about who was president that they would think about uh rigging our election i don't know it feels like
00:46:43.200
something like this would be um too big a risk because imagine imagine if we caught them
00:46:52.720
that would be pretty big problem for china so i'm not i would say that the odds of this
00:47:00.560
um being confirmed at some point are less than 50 percent so maybe it's true you know and we kind of
00:47:12.480
want to believe it's true but i'm going to say that probably the reason it was only partially corroborated
00:47:19.040
and it was dropped is that maybe there wasn't enough it just wasn't credible enough but we'll see we'll see
00:47:27.280
i could be wrong um but it doesn't feel like the the type of thing that china would do because it would
00:47:35.040
be too easy to detect their presence like that the risk of getting caught would be beyond whatever the
00:47:42.720
the benefit would be so i don't know i'm not i'm not buying this one entirely
00:47:48.160
well as you know the fed has been holding tight on interest rates when a lot of people want them to
00:47:57.680
be cut the wall street journal says that the reason that the fed is not cutting rates is that they're
00:48:06.320
still waiting on a combination of inflation numbers and job numbers and they want to see how the tariffs
00:48:14.640
play out play out in terms of the public's expectation that the tariffs will increase prices that would be
00:48:22.720
part of inflation so according to the wall street journal the only thing keeping the fed from lowering
00:48:31.600
interest rates is the uncertainty around jobs and inflation and tariffs maybe that that could be the
00:48:41.520
the entire answer but um if you if you like the all-in pod and you follow chamath who uh i believe should
00:48:51.120
be known only by his first name you know like uh madonna or share um but chamath said uh he thinks that the
00:49:01.120
only reason is political and he could be right about that too because there's always a reason
00:49:09.120
you know you could always say well you know that inflation number well those tariffs oh well we
00:49:16.240
don't know about the jobs number so you can always make up a reason for why you're either moving the
00:49:22.320
rates or not moving them but it does feel political doesn't it it does feel like uh powell is not the biggest
00:49:32.240
fan of trump and there's a lot that there's a lot that uh at risk as chamath points out um just the
00:49:44.800
savings in um in interest that we pay on our debt would could be like 300 billion dollars a year
00:49:52.080
with just a interest rate change so it's really big it could be the difference between
00:49:59.120
you know the united states stays a viable country and it doesn't so we'll see um
00:50:08.800
when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners i started wondering is every
00:50:15.120
fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with the designer jeans are those from
00:50:20.960
winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price or that leather tote or that cashmere
00:50:27.120
sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price for
00:50:33.760
anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less apparently uh open ai just got a
00:50:43.120
big old contract with the government a 200 million dollar u.s defense contract
00:50:48.560
uh now uh mike ben's points out in a post on x uh that uh he goes and now you know why open ai recruited the
00:51:00.880
head of the nsa to its board last year the biggest money in quote private business is always in looting the
00:51:09.520
pentagon's infinite taxpayer money glitch so the uh the implication
00:51:15.760
is that uh open ai is uh let's say cooperating with the government and the government is cooperating
00:51:25.360
back now remember how uh we heard that the cia has said that they were only going to allow
00:51:33.600
a few big ai companies to succeed and that would be easier to control and manage and obviously open ai would
00:51:43.520
be at the top of the list of ones that our government wants to succeed so do you think it's a
00:51:52.240
total accident that they get a gigantic government contract
00:51:59.360
well they might be the most capable of fulfilling the contract because it is open ai after all so
00:52:06.480
there's sort of a leader in the field but uh this is one of those things where you have to you kind of
00:52:13.040
scratch your head and you say huh is this all connected or is it just that open ai has the best ai and
00:52:21.520
the government looked at all of them and said oh this is the best one we will never know we'll never know
00:52:29.840
um in other news randy weingarten who is the head of the biggest uh teachers union um announced that
00:52:38.960
she's quitting the dnc the democratic national committee now as a cory deangelis asks on an ex post
00:52:49.040
why didn't the media ever mention that randy weingarten had a position at the democratic national committee
00:52:57.920
and more to the point if cory deangelis didn't know that randy weingarten was on the democrat national
00:53:05.680
committee who would i mean he's he's about as plugged into the whole uh you know school choice
00:53:14.160
teachers union situation as anybody could be he didn't know so it makes me uh wonder was randy weingarten
00:53:23.280
mostly a democrat who was also the head of the teachers union or was she on the teachers union
00:53:30.880
and also a democrat it does seem to me that the head of the teachers union should probably not be
00:53:39.440
on the democratic national committee but uh i guess she she had a reason to leave so it doesn't matter now
00:53:50.080
it's kind of a bother that we didn't know it though doesn't it bother you that we didn't know that
00:53:55.200
that was pretty important to know and uh we didn't um according to uh the post-millennial the omg group
00:54:08.880
o'keefe media group uh has determined that uh some of the protesters for the no kings protest
00:54:16.960
were being paid uh by some communist group they were being paid to protest but they were paid 20 bucks
00:54:25.200
so here's the problem with a communist plot the communists don't have enough money to to buy
00:54:35.440
anything good they're like hey how would you like to spend the entire day out in the sun protesting
00:54:43.520
something that doesn't even exist kings uh a totally imaginary problem and we'll give you 20 dollars
00:54:53.040
how many of you would protest all day in the sun for 20 i feel like the communists have have a little bit
00:55:04.880
of a you know a little bit of a model problem there i don't know what it would take but i'm thinking
00:55:14.240
200 you know might get somebody to walk around in the sun for an afternoon but 20 dollars
00:55:23.040
what what would you do for 20 dollars not much anyway communists do not pay competitive fees
00:55:37.120
well the uh the publication nature that's a science publication um is going to now require
00:55:45.600
that the peer-reviewed papers um show not just that they're peer-reviewed but that uh
00:55:53.040
showed the communication back and forth between the peer reviewer and the submitter
00:56:00.480
so that feels like a good upgrade so you can see just how close they were you know what changes they
00:56:07.920
had to make to get uh published i don't know if that's the answer but at the moment something like
00:56:15.520
50 percent of all peer-reviewed papers turn out to be not reproducible as in not really science
00:56:23.040
um so if they can if they can improve on the coin flip nature of it which is what it is now
00:56:31.680
then it's worth a try so i don't know if this will work but definitely worth it worth a shot
00:56:38.800
all right in other news texas is apparently going to invest 50 million dollars in a psychedelic drug
00:56:47.360
research to treat addiction medical express has a story and i guess greg abbott governor abbott is
00:56:56.000
all all in on this and the specific psychedelic is something called ibogaine ibogaine i don't know much
00:57:07.280
about that but apparently it causes powerful hallucinations that can last for hours and there
00:57:14.320
are some studies that suggest it might help people stop using opioids or other drugs even after just
00:57:22.160
one session one session all right now how many times have i told you a story that had to do with
00:57:30.960
psychedelics improving either your mental status of depression or anxiety or addiction
00:57:41.200
um it's very very consistent it doesn't seem to matter too much which hallucinogen you're using
00:57:50.160
there's something about hallucinogens that just improve your brain process and i would argue that
00:58:00.880
i've said this before but i haven't said it in a while
00:58:03.680
those people who have experienced hallucinogens at least once i believe they can recognize other people
00:58:13.440
who also have how many of you would agree with that now you can only agree with that if you've yourself
00:58:21.280
experienced hallucinogens but i believe you could just tell in about 10 seconds you know of interaction
00:58:31.120
with another person that you can tell if they've ever had a hallucinogen and look in the comments you'll
00:58:37.760
see a lot of people saying oh yeah you can tell because i think one experience changes you forever
00:58:47.920
and i also think and and i have no backing for this whatsoever that you can tell by the eyes
00:58:54.240
i think you can look in somebody's eyes and you can tell if they've had that experience and if they're
00:59:02.880
at operating at that level of awareness now not every time of course but i'll bet you know more than
00:59:09.920
guessing i'll bet you could tell all right ladies and gentlemen that's what i had for you today uh thanks for
00:59:19.760
joining we'll see if my predictions about uh what's gonna happen in tehran are correct uh i remind you that
00:59:28.240
i'm not backing israel or not backing them i'm observing and predicting and uh you know my country is america
00:59:38.720
so that's the one i care about um i'm going to say a few words privately to the uh people on locals and the rest of
00:59:47.760
view i will see you tomorrow same time same place i hope hope you enjoyed it all right locals coming at you in 30 seconds