Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2877 CWSA 06⧸24⧸25

00:00:00.660 Let's try to do a show. It'll be amazing.

00:00:06.200 Let me check the stocks.

00:00:09.660 The S&P 500 is up a little bit.

00:00:14.040 Tesla is down a little bit, but I had a big run yesterday.

00:00:19.020 And my nuclear stocks are up 7% today.

00:00:24.560 Nice. Not bad.

00:00:26.460 All right. Let's get your comments going. 0.98

00:00:31.580 And we'll have the show that you deserve.

00:00:37.340 Really, it's the one you deserve.

00:00:40.340 It's that good.

00:00:46.980 So, anything happen in the news?

00:00:53.720 Good morning, everyone, and welcome.

00:00:56.460 To the highlight of human civilization.

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00:01:46.440 Oh, that was good.

00:01:48.420 Good stuff.

00:01:49.200 All right.

00:01:50.740 Well, you may have heard that the war between Israel and Iran might be over.

00:02:00.940 There's a ceasefire declared.

00:02:03.320 I'll tell you my favorite parts about that.

00:02:09.060 I think my number one favorite part is that Trump has already branded it the 12-day war.

00:02:17.080 Now, is that perfect or is that perfect?

00:02:20.940 The 12-day war?

00:02:22.020 The 12-day war is just such good branding that I think one of the reasons he was angry that both sides were cheating a little bit in the ceasefire

00:02:35.740 is that it was turning it into a 13-day war, and that's really bad branding.

00:02:44.060 Nobody wants to have a 13-day war.

00:02:47.400 12-day war?

00:02:48.820 Hmm.

00:02:49.700 Hmm.

00:02:50.080 12-day war?

00:02:52.020 That sounds like you meant business, and you got stuff done.

00:02:57.140 So, yeah, that's a good brand.

00:03:00.420 Well, as you know, Iran had to respond by firing 14 ballistic missiles at a U.S. base, but we were warned in advance, so there was no damage.

00:03:17.200 All the missiles got shot down.

00:03:20.480 Now, I'm talking about, God, things are happening so fast.

00:03:27.000 Was it yesterday morning?

00:03:29.240 So, I'm talking about Iran responding to the bombing of Fordow and the other nuclear sites.

00:03:39.760 They had to do something, but they had this narrow little window of what was possible without making things worse.

00:03:47.880 And so, they did some kabuki theater, and they warned the U.S. first through, I guess, through Qatar.

00:03:58.600 But then there was still a war between Israel and Iran, and apparently Trump has brokered a ceasefire.

00:04:20.180 Now, will it hold?

00:04:22.300 Well, we'll talk about that.

00:04:25.220 But J.D. Vance says, we have destroyed the Iranian nuclear program, and zero Americans have died.

00:04:32.100 Now, if the ceasefire holds, and for at least the foreseeable future, Iran does not try in any visible way to recreate its threat to its neighbors, 0.88

00:04:49.380 that might end the question of who was our best president of all time.

00:04:57.240 It's going to put Trump right at the top of the best presidents of all time, right?

00:05:05.220 If it holds.

00:05:06.340 Now, anything could happen.

00:05:07.920 You know, maybe things go wrong.

00:05:09.340 But at the moment, it's probably one of the most impressive acts of presidenting you'll ever see in your life.

00:05:19.900 And I don't know if there were better presidents before I was born, when the media was different.

00:05:25.620 I don't know.

00:05:27.000 But, wow, am I impressed.

00:05:30.420 We'll talk about that.

00:05:31.640 So, just Monday, that was yesterday, Israel was still attacking some of the symbols of the Iranian regime.

00:05:46.300 They blew the front gate off the Evin prison, where the dissidents were being held.

00:05:53.500 I don't know if anything got out.

00:05:54.660 So, that would release the anti-regime people, if it worked.

00:06:00.680 And I don't know about that.

00:06:02.880 They struck the Revolutionary Guard units.

00:06:06.020 This was all before the ceasefire.

00:06:09.720 And some other place that was involved with Iranian regime security.

00:06:16.120 So, it looked like Israel was doing its best to maybe create a situation for regime change without being too directly involved on the ground, because it was just bombs falling from the air.

00:06:33.580 I don't know if that would have worked, but I doubt it.

00:06:37.920 I doubt it would have been enough for a regime change.

00:06:40.540 But then, Trump, on Sunday, he teased the idea of regime change, but he didn't say America would do it, or Israel.

00:06:51.480 He just said, quote, it's not politically correct to use the term regime change, but if the current Iranian regime is unable to make Iran great again, why wouldn't there be a regime change?

00:07:05.760 Now, that was very clever, because if you're in Iran, and you see the President of the United States, who just dropped 12 bombs through six holes, which is really impressive, that your military can pull that off, and 14 bunker busters in total. 0.70

00:07:27.760 And then, you see that same guy talking about regime change, even if he's just sort of talking around the edges of it, how does that make you feel?

00:07:40.940 It makes you feel like he can wake up in five minutes and just say, do we have one more of those bunker busters?

00:07:52.200 Because we know where the Supreme Leader is.

00:07:56.220 Probably we do.

00:07:57.660 We probably know exactly where he is.

00:08:00.540 So, does that make a difference?

00:08:03.140 It might have.

00:08:04.340 It might have made a difference.

00:08:05.860 So, if you're doing a persuasion filter on this, the persuasion filter, this is brilliant.

00:08:16.920 It's brilliant to say that regime change is in the offing, like it's one of the options, but without saying that you would be part of it, knowing that we could.

00:08:28.760 We could be part of it.

00:08:30.140 So, I think that might have been one of the most important parts of getting to the ceasefire, maybe that Trump kept it in play, the idea that regime change, you know, I'm not saying I'd do it.

00:08:47.980 I'm not saying we should do it.

00:08:50.560 I'm just saying that why wouldn't it happen?

00:08:53.320 I mean, it'd be good for Iran, wouldn't it? 1.00

00:08:56.360 So, that was probably just perfect for the time and the place and the person and the situation.

00:09:08.020 Perfect.

00:09:10.960 Now, apparently, Iran never really had much of an option for mining the Straits of Hormuz or closing that off because they would have destroyed their own economy. 0.82

00:09:23.740 And the U.S. and Israel would probably go, huh. 0.92

00:09:29.100 So, the two entities that Iran was most angry at, the U.S. and Israel, not terribly affected if the Strait of Hormuz had been closed.

00:09:41.740 And we probably could have opened it up again with, you know, a certain amount of work.

00:09:46.100 And it just would have made all the neighbors more angry at Iran than they already were.

00:09:53.640 So, that wasn't really much of an option.

00:09:56.340 And apparently, having Russia as one of your closest allies doesn't help at all.

00:10:05.940 It didn't help Syria. 0.64

00:10:07.280 And apparently, it's not helping Iran.

00:10:10.980 They got zero military help from Russia.

00:10:16.180 All right.

00:10:16.860 You probably heard that after the deadline for the ceasefire, that Iran fired a missile that killed some family in Israel.

00:10:28.840 Israel, and Israel just decided that it would stop it.

00:10:38.640 And then Israel, how can somebody know me and not know that I'm on a live show at this time of day, every day?

00:10:48.620 How in the world?

00:10:49.780 Anyway, don't message me this time of day.

00:10:53.520 Anyway, Trump was very unhappy that Iran broke the ceasefire, according to Israel.

00:11:03.020 And then Israel apparently unloaded every missile it had while the clock was still ticking on the ceasefire.

00:11:12.440 And Trump was very angry.

00:11:15.060 He was very angry at Iran, which, you know, is baseline.

00:11:18.500 But he was really angry at Israel for basically embarrassing him, because he'd already named it the 12-day war.

00:11:29.060 Now, that's not the big problem.

00:11:31.080 But he probably said to himself what you and I are saying to ourselves, which is, if Trump pulls this off,

00:11:42.680 it's going to be hard to not count him as the best president of all time.

00:11:48.500 And it looks like he might pull it off.

00:11:52.960 It's looking good at the moment.

00:11:55.640 Anything could happen.

00:11:58.320 But if you caught his brief presser, where he was talking to reporters before he got in the helicopter,

00:12:06.220 he sat him off to a NATO meeting.

00:12:08.100 He used the F-word.

00:12:12.560 And I got to say, you know, I don't want to make this whole podcast just praising Trump,

00:12:19.820 but it's hard not to.

00:12:22.360 I mean, he did so many things right and continues to do so many things right on this situation

00:12:29.640 that what am I going to do?

00:12:31.640 Like, even the Democrats are saying, oh, okay, that was pretty good.

00:12:38.860 So here's what I like.

00:12:43.140 So this is what Trump said.

00:12:46.940 I want to get his exact quote.

00:12:48.780 Well, he just said, he dropped the F-bomb.

00:12:57.340 For some reason, I didn't write it down. 0.99

00:13:00.500 But he said that the two countries have been fighting so long that they don't know what the fuck they're doing. 0.98

00:13:07.280 And he used the actual F-word on a live interview before he got in his helicopter. 0.98

00:13:15.320 Now, if you were, I think that message was more to Israel than it was to Iran.

00:13:23.260 But, you know, because Iran seemed to be signaling that they really didn't want to cease fire.

00:13:28.860 And why wouldn't they, really?

00:13:30.480 It would make sense that they would want one.

00:13:32.060 But Israel, you know, may have been a little, you know, maybe they had not achieved all of their goals.

00:13:42.040 You know, Israel might want to continue taking out the ballistic missile manufacturing.

00:13:47.700 I don't know if there's any left.

00:13:49.540 But they had a sub-goal of making sure that Iran didn't have the ballistic missile capability either.

00:13:57.220 And then we speculate, but it was not directly said, that Israel might really want a regime change.

00:14:06.700 And their recent bombing would suggest that they were kind of interested in that.

00:14:12.980 So Trump's in this situation where everybody wonders, hey, is Israel wagging the dog here?

00:14:23.620 Now, let's see.

00:14:24.160 Are they the tail wagging the dog?

00:14:25.960 Is that the right use?

00:14:27.220 How many times have you said to yourself, hey, it looks like Israel is, you know, sort of manipulating our government? 0.93

00:14:39.500 It's one of the most common things you see, right?

00:14:42.340 At least in social media.

00:14:44.560 Oh, AIPAC is controlling our government and Trump is just doing what Israel wants. 0.60

00:14:51.380 Well, here was a situation where maybe Israel wanted to go a little bit longer and get a little bit more done.

00:15:01.340 Maybe.

00:15:01.860 We don't know.

00:15:03.800 And it looks like Trump was saying, if you do this, you're going to snatch away from me one of the greatest accomplishments of any president ever.

00:15:14.540 And just imagine those two possibilities.

00:15:18.740 One, the greatest president ever pulling off the Kobayashi Maru, the impossible ceasefire.

00:15:29.300 The other possibility was that Israel would embarrass him in public and that would be his brand forever. 0.96

00:15:41.260 That Israel pushed him around and he was just a puppet to Israel. 0.72

00:15:46.380 Those were his two possibilities. 0.97

00:15:48.380 And when he said to the press that they've been fighting so long they don't know what the fuck they're doing and that it was reported that he had what has been described as a firm phone call with Netanyahu. 0.93

00:16:04.020 Do you think he used any F-words when he was talking to Netanyahu? 0.98

00:16:10.840 Oh, I'll bet he did.

00:16:12.600 I'll bet he did.

00:16:14.300 And he's really good at knowing when to drop the F-word.

00:16:21.220 So Trump was put in a situation where he could be forever one of the greatest presidents doing one of the most impressive things you've ever seen any president ever do. 0.86

00:16:34.020 Or he could be turned into a chump by Netanyahu. 0.87

00:16:39.760 So how would you like to be Netanyahu and be on the other end of that conversation? 0.93

00:16:44.900 You would not.

00:16:46.920 You would not.

00:16:48.540 So I'm pretty sure that Trump made sure that Israel knew that there would be a price.

00:16:56.160 And I don't know what that price would be.

00:16:57.800 But I'm sure he suggested that there would be a price and not a price that Netanyahu would want to pay.

00:17:06.400 So at the moment, and things are changing by the minute, but has the firing of missiles and bombs stopped?

00:17:18.240 Can anybody confirm to me in the comments?

00:17:21.660 I think it might be maybe it's not nighttime, so maybe there wouldn't be any missiles anyway.

00:17:26.740 I don't know what time it is over there.

00:17:31.580 Anyway, so here's my take on Israel influencing America versus America influencing Israel.

00:17:41.800 I feel like it's more of a sibling situation.

00:17:45.720 Meaning that, yes, it's true that AIPAC has a big influence on American policy about Israel.

00:17:53.120 It's all, you know, overt, it's transparent, it's legal.

00:18:00.060 We can talk about every element of it.

00:18:02.740 There's no surprises there.

00:18:04.540 But it's also true, and I think we're seeing it in spades here,

00:18:09.040 is that the United States has so much to offer in terms of being an ally of Israel

00:18:17.540 that sometimes we're going to insist on stuff, and Israel's going to say,

00:18:23.380 hmm, that's not the fight I want to fight.

00:18:26.220 This is probably one of those.

00:18:27.960 So, no, it's not true that Israel pushes America around in every situation whenever they want.

00:18:36.960 It's definitely true that they influence American policy,

00:18:40.840 and it's definitely true that you just watch Trump very much influence Israeli military and political policy right there.

00:18:52.300 So, it's a two-way street.

00:18:56.320 So, more like siblings.

00:18:58.280 You know, you can influence your sibling, your sibling can influence you.

00:19:01.800 Nobody thinks there's a problem with that.

00:19:04.380 So, maybe it's not as bad as we imagine it to be.

00:19:09.400 It works both ways.

00:19:12.240 Anyway, we'll see what else is happening.

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00:20:16.840 So, one of my questions about Iran is we haven't seen the Ayatollah.

00:20:24.540 He's allegedly in a bunker somewhere.

00:20:26.540 And he is 86 years old.

00:20:30.680 And he might not be totally with it.

00:20:34.680 So, one of the possibilities is that the Ayatollah is in Joe Biden territory,

00:20:41.000 where basically the autopen is deciding Iranian policy.

00:20:47.260 And I'm joking about the autopen.

00:20:51.880 But imagine you were the top rung of, let's say you're the second rung of Iranian leadership.

00:21:04.320 So, you're not the supreme leader, but you're the next level down.

00:21:09.000 You know, the dozens of people who are the next level down.

00:21:11.540 And let's say you got him into a bunker.

00:21:17.520 What power would he have?

00:21:20.000 If he said, bring me a telephone, I want to make some orders.

00:21:24.520 What if he said no?

00:21:26.820 What if he just said, no, you don't seem like you're in good shape.

00:21:32.680 Maybe you should take a nap.

00:21:34.700 Maybe you will put out some orders and say they're from you.

00:21:38.360 I wonder if maybe part of the reason it was hard to get a ceasefire and part of the reason

00:21:46.780 it seemed like we were getting mixed messages from Iran is that there were mixed messages

00:21:51.720 and that there might have been maybe some insiders who were trying to minimize the supreme leader's position.

00:22:00.740 Maybe some of them were trying to support him.

00:22:02.880 And if I had to guess, we would not have a ceasefire if the supreme leader was still in charge.

00:22:13.120 Because I just don't think at 86 you can change your ways.

00:22:20.880 I just don't think he would do a ceasefire.

00:22:23.800 But would the leadership who is getting murdered every day and they needed a ceasefire to keep

00:22:32.380 their own families alive, would they have said, hey, you know, there's 20 of us here.

00:22:39.340 And if we all changed our mind about who's in charge, you would have to go.

00:22:45.100 So how about we make the decisions on this one and you set this one out?

00:22:50.780 I feel like there's a really good possibility, and this is just speculating because he's 86

00:22:58.500 and we watched the Joe Biden situation, so that's weighing on my opinion.

00:23:05.240 But don't you think there's some possibility that the reason that Trump is not interested

00:23:10.720 in regime change, and I think Israel just said they were not interested in regime change,

00:23:16.920 although maybe they were, but they're saying they're not.

00:23:19.880 Do you think one possibility is that it's already changed?

00:23:26.040 Not changed in terms of, you know, the people in the street rising up, but changed in terms

00:23:32.360 of maybe the second or third in command, who is a little more rational about, you know,

00:23:39.160 Iranian long-term survival.

00:23:42.160 You know, maybe number two or number three has just said, all right, we're done.

00:23:46.800 You know, the Supreme Leader is going to get all of us killed, and it's going to happen 0.51

00:23:53.320 pretty quickly. 0.95

00:23:54.880 So let's lock him in that bunker, take his phone away, and if anybody asks, we'll say,

00:24:02.380 the Supreme Leader said this.

00:24:03.920 We're just passing it along.

00:24:05.140 So I feel like we might hear something about the leadership in Iran in the next few weeks.

00:24:15.200 That's my guess.

00:24:17.720 Anyway, so Trump has said he doesn't want to see regime change.

00:24:21.640 CNN and MSNBC, I went immediately to their coverage today to see how they would handle

00:24:31.340 what might be the most impressive presidential thing that anybody ever did.

00:24:37.580 And they were, of course, having trouble with it.

00:24:42.920 So they would talk about, well, we don't know if all the nuclear facilities are completely

00:24:50.300 destroyed because that would take, you know, it might take weeks and somebody would have

00:24:55.940 to be in the ground and, you know, it's hard to tell.

00:24:59.400 You can't tell by looking at it from the outside.

00:25:01.440 And you don't know if they moved anything.

00:25:04.860 You know, maybe they relocated some stuff.

00:25:07.620 Maybe they had some centrifuges that were not installed but were manufactured.

00:25:16.080 What if, this is me talking, not the CNN or MSNBC, but what if Iran had moved its enriched 0.57

00:25:27.780 uranium, and what if they had a few centrifuges that they had manufactured or somehow purchased

00:25:37.440 and they were not yet hooked up?

00:25:40.900 Well, if they were not yet hooked up, they could have been just in storage in some innocuous

00:25:45.780 warehouse.

00:25:47.440 And then whenever they wanted to reinstitute their nuclear program, all they'd have to do

00:25:54.580 is say, oh, how about a ceasefire?

00:25:57.880 Yeah, you totally destroyed all of our nuclear facilities.

00:26:03.660 Oh, even if we wanted to, we couldn't build a bomb now.

00:26:07.500 No, no, no, no, we could never do it.

00:26:10.460 But at the same time, they're being consistent with their past practices.

00:26:16.660 They might use the ceasefire just to have time to reconstitute their nuclear threat. 0.51

00:26:23.440 But I think I saw some estimates that it might take a year or two to get back to where they

00:26:30.900 were, to which I say, I'm pretty sure they would be willing to wait a year or two, even

00:26:38.100 if it's five years.

00:26:41.680 Don't you think they would have planned for how to reconstitute before they lost everything?

00:26:47.800 Do you think there's any chance that they didn't at least plan to move the enriched uranium so

00:26:55.840 that nobody knew where it was? 0.99

00:26:58.460 Now, I heard some people say online, and this is a terrible take, Scott, you fool. 0.98

00:27:06.220 Don't you know that Israel was watching everything from the sky? 0.98

00:27:10.160 And there's no way, there's no way they could have moved that uranium because it would have

00:27:16.360 been spotted by Israel, and they would have bombed those trucks. 0.53

00:27:20.380 Well, was it the New York Times that was reporting that there was just dozens of big trucks that

00:27:30.720 pulled up to the Fordow nuclear site before the bombing?

00:27:34.320 And if you were going to move some uranium, and you had, let's say, 40 trucks, and all those

00:27:44.720 trucks could carry all of the uranium, would you spread it across, let's say, three to five

00:27:52.200 trucks, and then all the rest could be decoys?

00:27:57.340 Could it be that the U.S. is not the only one who uses decoys?

00:28:01.640 You know, we use those decoy B-2 bombers.

00:28:04.560 What if Israel was watching, and they saw 40 trucks pull up, and they thought, we don't

00:28:14.300 know what's happening with those trucks, and we don't know what's on them, and we don't

00:28:18.020 know which ones are full of uranium, potentially, and which ones are decoys.

00:28:24.440 So, is Iran capable enough? 0.95

00:28:29.360 Do they plan ahead enough?

00:28:32.040 Are they motivated enough that they would have had a plan to save their program, to make

00:28:39.480 it easier to reconstitute?

00:28:42.140 Well, of course.

00:28:43.440 Of course they are.

00:28:45.640 Now, I don't know if they did.

00:28:47.240 But yes, they are capable enough and smart enough, and it would be consistent with everything

00:28:54.620 we've watched, that they would have put some amount of effort into protecting what they

00:29:01.380 had, in a way that would make it easy to reconstitute.

00:29:05.280 Now, some people said, oh, you'll never move those enrichment facilities, because once they're

00:29:12.820 installed, it'd just be too hard to rip them down and move them.

00:29:16.820 But remember, if they had those in the first place, it means they know how to get them, or

00:29:23.600 make them.

00:29:25.240 And so, maybe they had a few extra laying around that had never been installed.

00:29:32.440 You don't know.

00:29:33.720 So, I ask you this question.

00:29:36.520 Who benefits the most from a ceasefire?

00:29:39.500 Israel probably wanted to go a little bit longer, even though they said two weeks.

00:29:47.300 So, it would have been good if they stuck with two weeks, but they might have wanted

00:29:51.480 to do a little extra.

00:29:53.300 The U.S. were better off with a ceasefire, unless Iran rebuilds its offensive capabilities. 0.97

00:30:02.900 But Iran is the one who wins the hardest, right? 1.00

00:30:09.260 Because they stopped the immediate bleeding, and they still have a full possibility, which

00:30:16.800 they may not pursue, to rebuild their facilities.

00:30:20.680 Now, Trump has said there's no way that they're going to rebuild their facilities.

00:30:25.600 Things are completely demolished.

00:30:27.800 I do think that maybe the fact that we acted so effectively against what they had, and the

00:30:37.680 fact that Israel has penetrated their spies, that penetrated Iran so effectively, that we 0.75

00:30:46.560 would know if they plan to reconstitute.

00:30:49.060 So, it's very possible that Trump has indirectly caused a change in leadership.

00:30:58.400 In other words, the second or third in command might actually be in command.

00:31:03.160 We just don't know it yet.

00:31:05.780 And we might have found somebody who said, you know what?

00:31:10.380 None of that worked.

00:31:12.500 None of that building a nuclear deterrent worked.

00:31:15.780 It was terrible.

00:31:16.980 You know what?

00:31:17.520 None of our proxies turned out well.

00:31:20.800 They all just got destroyed by Israel. 0.84

00:31:23.340 And you know what?

00:31:24.440 Their spies are so good that we can't make a move without them knowing it.

00:31:31.140 So, there's a very good chance that Trump has pulled off the impossible, which is convinced

00:31:38.640 Iran not to reconstitute their threat, and instead to rebuild and just enjoy the prosperity

00:31:46.780 that could come with being part of the rest of the world.

00:31:49.800 And remember, it's not like Russia helped them out militarily or really much in any other

00:31:58.300 way.

00:31:58.800 I don't think they're giving them much money or anything.

00:32:00.740 So, we'll see.

00:32:03.620 But CNN and MSNBC, as Trump pointed out at the presser, are going hard at him and talking

00:32:12.180 about, you know, how it might have failed or might go wrong.

00:32:15.540 And maybe, maybe, but at the moment, it looks like one of the greatest things any president

00:32:24.020 ever pulled off.

00:32:25.920 And I don't know if you could win, I don't know if you could win the Nobel Peace Prize if

00:32:31.880 you ended a war by bombing the other side really, really good. 0.94

00:32:35.280 I don't think it works that way, right?

00:32:39.420 I think the only way, the only way you get a Nobel Peace Prize is you have to be a liberal

00:32:47.400 and you have to get there by talking, even if the talking didn't really give you a lasting

00:32:53.680 peace.

00:32:54.760 But if you've got a lasting peace by dropping some precision bunker bombs, I don't know if

00:33:02.500 the Nobel Committee considers that Nobel Peace Prize material, even if it is, because the

00:33:10.280 hard part was telling Israel to stand down.

00:33:14.100 There's no other country that can do that.

00:33:16.680 And even, I might argue, there's no other president who could have done it.

00:33:22.260 I don't know if, you know, any of our prior presidents could have said to Netanyahu, all

00:33:29.160 right, you're going to stop right now.

00:33:31.340 And then make that stick. 0.90

00:33:34.040 I don't know.

00:33:35.120 Maybe.

00:33:36.200 Like I said, it's a sibling kind of relationship.

00:33:40.360 So maybe any president could have done it.

00:33:43.660 But it doesn't feel like it.

00:33:45.680 It feels like an only Trump situation.

00:33:49.280 So he'll benefit from that.

00:33:53.420 All right.

00:33:53.840 So Iran has not denounced their nuclear program.

00:34:03.100 Do you feel that that's necessary?

00:34:06.080 It sounds like the U.S. feels that's not necessary because we denounced it for them.

00:34:12.880 There's no denouncing that needs to be done because there's nothing they can do.

00:34:17.280 So maybe that became irrelevant.

00:34:22.200 I don't know.

00:34:23.540 But it's notable that Iran has not said, we have no plans to do this again.

00:34:30.980 It's notable.

00:34:31.920 So they're at least keeping their options open.

00:34:36.960 And they might not know how well they could reconstitute their threat until, you know, some time has passed.

00:34:46.080 Because even they don't know what got destroyed.

00:34:48.100 So, yeah, so Trump said in a true social, Iran will never rebuild their nuclear facilities.

00:34:59.780 Maybe.

00:35:01.940 There's a very good chance he's right into that.

00:35:06.180 Oh, here's the exact quote. 0.99

00:35:08.920 Israel and Iran have been fighting so long they don't know what the fuck they're doing. 0.99

00:35:13.260 God, I love that. 0.99

00:35:15.960 That's the Trump I love.

00:35:18.100 I love where it's not that he swears.

00:35:23.440 It's that what he does, it is so well chosen.

00:35:27.400 You know, even when he would do it at rallies.

00:35:29.300 Every now and then he'd drop a S-bomb or an F-bomb.

00:35:33.220 He swears so persuasively perfectly. 0.79

00:35:39.500 That was exactly the right time for an F-bomb. 0.93

00:35:43.160 So his F-bombs are as good as his Bunker Buster bombs. 0.92

00:35:48.100 All right.

00:35:50.480 So let's check my predictions, shall we?

00:35:54.360 Back on June 14th, I made several predictions.

00:35:58.840 Two of which Trump totally ruined by his amazingly, surprisingly great work.

00:36:07.480 So here are my predictions.

00:36:09.260 Number one, I said there will be no organic popular uprising that removes Iran's leaders. 0.79

00:36:17.940 That one was right.

00:36:19.560 So I made four predictions.

00:36:21.540 It looks like I got two out of four right.

00:36:23.700 So there was no popular uprising.

00:36:28.400 And that was based on the fact that you don't get a popular uprising when you're being bombed.

00:36:35.140 Now, maybe at some point in the future, I don't know.

00:36:40.940 But at least I was right about that.

00:36:43.420 I said that Iran will not return to the negotiating table and give up its nuclear ambitions and mean it. 0.92

00:36:52.620 So even if they did say they would negotiate, that they wouldn't mean it.

00:36:57.460 Now, they did not.

00:36:58.620 So technically, is that prediction correct?

00:37:04.340 They did not and still haven't.

00:37:06.480 They still haven't said we give up on our nuclear ambitions.

00:37:10.780 So I think I would give myself the win on that one.

00:37:15.200 So that's too correct.

00:37:17.440 Here's what I got wrong.

00:37:18.900 I said Israel would not stop attacking until they have achieved everything they want. 0.98

00:37:26.400 Did they?

00:37:28.000 Well, I don't think they achieved everything they wanted.

00:37:32.720 Because they might have wanted a little bit of regime change.

00:37:36.320 We'll never know.

00:37:37.300 I mean, they say they were not aiming for a regime change.

00:37:41.600 But, you know, governments say things.

00:37:44.080 But privately, did they want a little bit of regime change?

00:37:47.740 Their bombing in the final days looked like they were bombing specifically to try to make it more likely that there would be a popular uprising and regime change.

00:37:59.760 So I don't think they got everything they wanted.

00:38:03.440 And I don't think that they destroyed.

00:38:05.380 I'm just, I don't know this for sure.

00:38:07.560 But I don't think Israel destroyed all of the ballistic missile making capabilities or their stockpiles.

00:38:16.720 Maybe they did.

00:38:17.740 Or maybe they got enough of them that they feel comfortable now.

00:38:23.400 But I would say that Israel did because of Trump. 0.61

00:38:28.900 I think they did do a ceasefire that maybe was just short.

00:38:34.160 Not that short.

00:38:36.380 But just short of maybe everything they wanted.

00:38:39.800 Would you agree?

00:38:41.560 Is that fair?

00:38:42.360 So I would say I was wrong about that because Israel got very close to everything they wanted, but maybe just short. 0.87

00:38:52.800 So I'm going to say I was wrong about that one.

00:38:54.980 And I said that my fourth prediction is that Israel will not be done in two weeks. 0.89

00:39:03.120 Twelve days. 0.95

00:39:03.940 So if I wanted to be a jerk, I'd say I told you they wouldn't be done in two weeks. 0.97

00:39:11.260 They were done in 12 days. 0.99

00:39:13.340 But I won't be that jerk. 0.99

00:39:14.920 Not today. 0.99

00:39:15.560 So I'll just say, wow, it looks like Israel is going to be done in two weeks.

00:39:21.960 So I would have said two months minimum.

00:39:27.440 Now, is it possible that there could be some more firing coming up soon?

00:39:33.780 Well, I'll tell you what.

00:39:34.840 Even if Israel takes another hit from more Iranian missiles, Trump is going to be on the phone with Netanyahu in about two seconds saying,

00:39:48.880 did that Iranian missile kill anybody?

00:39:52.500 Well, maybe yes.

00:39:54.700 But you're going to stand out.

00:39:57.300 So I feel like Trump can keep Israel from continuing, even if they wanted to.

00:40:04.840 Now, we don't know if they wanted to because it was an expensive operation.

00:40:09.940 So I'm pretty sure that Israel is also happy that they're not spending more money on that.

00:40:18.480 Meanwhile, Iran is... 0.65

00:40:20.800 I saw this on Mario Knopfel Post.

00:40:24.960 But one source says that Iran is going to throw a victory party in Tehran.

00:40:31.120 And the victory would be that they, I don't know, survived the war and got Israel to back down. 0.89

00:40:41.000 So they're going to spin it in some way that makes it look like something good happened on their end.

00:40:48.100 That's probably a good sign.

00:40:50.540 Now, I don't know if this is true because I saw it from one source I'd never heard of.

00:40:55.060 But if they do, if they do have a victory celebration, that would really suggest that they mean to, you know, honor the ceasefire.

00:41:07.980 Because you don't have a victory celebration about something that's going to keep going.

00:41:13.080 So that might be good news.

00:41:14.640 And let's talk about all the disunity in the Trump-supporting world, the MAGA people.

00:41:24.380 As you know, there were a number of notable personalities who were very anti-war and anti-U.S. being involved directly.

00:41:35.180 So Tucker Carlson, comic Dave Smith, you know, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Steve Bannon, they are some of the strongest Trump supporters in general.

00:41:47.920 But they had some legitimate complaints and they had some legitimate criticisms.

00:41:58.360 And here's my take.

00:41:59.760 I feel like it's time to get the band back together.

00:42:05.420 You know, it's sort of like, well, the band broke up for a little bit so they could argue with each other about what song to put on the album.

00:42:12.640 But now it's time to put the band back together.

00:42:14.960 I saw a comic Dave Smith do a post on X that, I can't paraphrase it, but essentially he was giving Trump credit for what looks like a speedy end to the conflict.

00:42:32.280 And I expect the other people who had been doubting the wisdom of getting involved, I suspect that they will all come around to the point of view of, well, you know, there was a risk. 0.95

00:42:50.360 And we did not necessarily trust that Trump could get this done, but damn it, he did.

00:42:56.100 So, it's time to get the band back together. 0.99

00:43:00.420 If you're going to spend even one minute saying that other Trump supporters are pieces of crap and they got everything wrong, you're going to be like the vaccination people. 0.99

00:43:14.980 Don't be like the vaccination people. 1.00

00:43:17.820 Let it go.

00:43:19.560 Just let it go.

00:43:22.140 He did the impossible.

00:43:23.920 You didn't expect it.

00:43:27.160 Now, again, if we're being realistic, it could come off the rails, right?

00:43:34.080 It's possible that it won't work out in the long run.

00:43:38.460 But at the moment, it looks amazing.

00:43:44.740 And I think I wouldn't waste one minute saying, oh, Tucker Carlson, you were so wrong and evil and anti-mega.

00:43:53.920 Don't bother, because Tucker will be on your side on probably the very next issue, and you need him.

00:44:01.580 Steve Bannon, one of the smartest people in all the media landscape, was he wrong?

00:44:07.960 Don't know.

00:44:08.800 One of the things I always say is that when people make a prediction that's statistically based and things go the other way, that doesn't make them wrong.

00:44:23.960 Let me say that again.

00:44:27.420 If Steve Bannon and Tucker and comic Dave Smith and Marjorie Taylor Greene, to name a few, if what they were saying is that history tells us that getting directly involved almost always goes wrong, and then it goes right?

00:44:46.520 Are they wrong?

00:44:49.340 They're not.

00:44:50.680 They're not wrong. 0.51

00:44:52.680 They did not predict the right outcome, but they're not wrong. 0.94

00:44:58.480 If they say every time we do this, it goes bad, that's true. 0.99

00:45:03.560 If Trump is the first person who can Kobayashi Maru the situation and make direct military involvement go right, well, that's the unexpected low percentage bet.

00:45:20.900 If you said to yourself, if you said to yourself, I trust Trump so much that I think he can defy all of history and do the Kobayashi Maru, if you're new to this, that's a Star Trek reference to doing the impossible, the Kobayashi Maru.

00:45:41.000 It's an intentionally impossible situation that Captain Kirk still made work.

00:45:49.460 They're not wrong. 0.51

00:45:50.900 So don't throw him under the bus.

00:45:53.680 What we needed was really strong critics because every time the U.S. says, should we get directly involved in a war, do you want everybody to line up behind the Commander-in-Chief every time, even if they're big fans of the Commander-in-Chief?

00:46:14.340 Do you want them automatically to say, yeah, let's drop some bombs.

00:46:19.200 Let's get involved.

00:46:20.200 Let's get involved.

00:46:22.200 I don't.

00:46:23.200 I do not.

00:46:24.200 I would say that the critics, they were kind of like the, what, sharpened the knife?

00:46:32.200 Do you think it made Trump try harder because the power and credibility of the critics?

00:46:41.440 I think it did.

00:46:43.520 Did it sharpen our ability to understand the entire risks so that when we got into it, we knew what we were getting into?

00:46:53.800 Yes.

00:46:54.800 Yes. 0.97

00:46:55.300 So if you're saying to yourself, these MAGA people, I will push them off to the garbage dump for being wrong about this, I think that's the wrong take.

00:47:08.740 The right frame is that every single time the U.S. wants to drop some bombs or get militarily involved, you want critics.

00:47:20.060 You want strong critics.

00:47:22.620 You want strong critics who used to be your best friend on everything else.

00:47:28.100 That's what we need.

00:47:31.120 So I would ask you to just be a little bit magnanimous about the fact that having people on both sides of an issue that important, very important, very useful.

00:47:45.460 So patriots.

00:47:47.560 All right.

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00:48:16.260 Trump is mad at Thomas Massey for getting everything wrong, according to Trump.

00:48:26.740 So he wants to oust Massey because I think Massey doesn't like the big, beautiful bill. 0.70

00:48:32.220 And he was against Trump having the control to do the military action without Congress.

00:48:40.080 And so Trump vows to oust Massey in the next Republican primary.

00:48:45.320 All right.

00:48:46.340 My take on Massey, which you've heard before, similar to my take on the other critics, is

00:48:53.360 I love the fact that there's a Thomas Massey.

00:48:56.620 Because although he does look like he's an impediment to Trump doing everything he wants, there's enough.

00:49:07.240 There are just enough Republicans where things will still go Trump's way, but you can hear the other side.

00:49:14.880 I like that.

00:49:15.720 I like the fact that he's principled and consistent.

00:49:21.960 He's principled and consistent in what he's pushing for.

00:49:27.020 Now, there are times I disagree with him, and that's okay, because you need a Massey.

00:49:36.560 So I can see why Trump doesn't love it, because it makes Trump's job much harder, because Massey is very effective at getting attention, and his views are principled.

00:49:50.580 But at the same time, I love that he exists, so he's a good, good voice of reason, and if Trump can't overcome that voice of reason to get what he wants,

00:50:05.740 well, I would say that that's a bar that's not too high.

00:50:11.600 He can overcome it, if the reason is good enough, and his instinct suggests he should.

00:50:20.840 Lindsey Graham, he was pushing for regime change, but I guess he's not now.

00:50:28.120 He said, on Hannity, he said, let's put this in context.

00:50:31.260 In a few hours, Donald Trump reversed the damage done to America by Biden's withdrawal from Afghanistan.

00:50:38.720 Well, is that going too far?

00:50:42.620 Do you think the military's massive failure in withdrawing from Afghanistan, which we would call Biden's failure,

00:50:51.780 do you think that the massively successful bombing kind of neutralizes that?

00:50:58.880 A little bit, a little bit, a little bit.

00:51:02.180 It's not the thing that I would have focused on.

00:51:05.260 It's not the thing that I would have said, oh, let's talk about how this makes the Afghanistan thing go away. 1.00

00:51:11.520 That wouldn't be where my interest was, but yeah, a little bit.

00:51:17.060 Then Representative Hakeem Jeffries, he's still on this point.

00:51:23.800 He says, the use of military force, which is offensive in nature, must be approved by the House and the Senate.

00:51:30.680 That's according to the Constitution.

00:51:32.900 It's not optional, Donald.

00:51:34.600 It's not. 0.99

00:51:36.520 How many voters give a shit about that? 0.99

00:51:43.620 You know, one of the things I say all the time is that success fixes everything. 0.99

00:51:48.280 So we've got this weird situation where Congress doesn't seem to be as involved as they should, according to our system,

00:51:59.540 when a president, whether it's Trump or president, get involved in military action.

00:52:06.100 Now, if the military action had failed spectacularly, then probably a lot of people would listen to Hakeem Jeffries' opinion and say,

00:52:18.160 you know, if the Congress had been involved, maybe we could have avoided this problem.

00:52:25.020 But it didn't go that way.

00:52:27.840 Instead, it looks like a massive success for Trump and the military.

00:52:33.720 Now, when you have a massive success, like just massive, do you think the public says,

00:52:41.540 ooh, but, you know, they didn't cross all the T's and dot all the I's?

00:52:48.160 There was a constitutional step they should have taken.

00:52:53.680 Well, maybe some of them.

00:52:57.100 But I would expect that Trump's approval level is going to go up a little bit.

00:53:02.680 I do not think that the Hakeem Jeffries, oh, sure, it was one of the greatest successes of any president plus military that we've ever seen.

00:53:13.740 And then say, but he shouldn't have done it.

00:53:16.600 He should have consulted with us first. 0.98

00:53:18.340 The Democrats are just so consistent at finding the only thing that nobody gives a shit about and turning that into their main issue. 0.93

00:53:32.580 And let's see what else the Democrats are doing that's funny. 0.75

00:53:36.480 So, Rosie O'Donnell, who's at her right away in Ireland, according to Breitbart, she's promoting a recount of Trump's victory over Harris in 2024.

00:53:55.040 Therefore, what could be better?

00:53:58.480 I can't think of anything that would be better for Republicans than for famous Democrats to be questioning the integrity of our elections. 0.98

00:54:08.840 I feel like Hakeem Jeffries is going to want to fly over to Ireland and start slapping Rosie O'Donnell and just say, shut up, shut up.

00:54:23.140 Because you can't suggest that Trump stole the election in 2024 without simultaneously saying our elections are vulnerable. 0.96

00:54:36.980 So, good luck, Rosie.

00:54:38.780 Trump says that oil prices have dropped, which I imagine they have because the risk is now lower.

00:54:47.940 So, Trump's got lower oil prices.

00:54:50.440 He's got the victory of all victories if it holds.

00:54:55.560 And Polymarket says that the odds of Trump getting a Nobel Peace Prize have surged to a new record high of 10%.

00:55:03.480 It's only 10%.

00:55:08.780 I saw a post on X by a user called Shavireshtas, who points out that the bombing of Iran's nuclear sites did not create a single protest in Saudi Arabia, Turkey, UAE, Qatar, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, Kuwait, Oman, Bahrain, Yemen, and most importantly, in Iran itself.

00:55:35.240 So, how close is Trump to improving the Abraham Accords to get Saudi Arabia and everybody else in there?

00:55:50.340 Really close.

00:55:51.600 Because what you don't realize, because we're focusing on the bombs, the ceasefire, if it holds, is going to make it possible for the Abraham Accords, which already have some of the Middle East countries involved, it's going to allow the rest of them to join. 0.92

00:56:13.740 Because it's going to look like Iran, which was always the fly in the ointment, it looks like it's been neutralized, at least for now. 1.00

00:56:23.580 So, there is a part two of this victory that's as big as this.

00:56:31.260 And it's not guaranteed, but it's pretty close, pretty close to being guaranteed.

00:56:40.060 I would say that Saudi Arabia has probably already decided to join the Abraham Accords. 0.95

00:56:47.480 And they're waiting for the right moment and the right way to do it.

00:56:51.380 And whether you think this is good or bad, Gaza has been largely forgotten.

00:57:02.420 Now, I don't want to minimize the tragedy and the death and despair that's going on there, but our attention has been completely diverted.

00:57:14.220 And that's good for Israel for doing what it wants to do in Gaza. 0.97

00:57:18.180 I don't know if the Gaza situation will prevent the Abraham Accords from growing to their next obvious level. 0.99

00:57:28.200 It might, but at the same time, it looks like the Iranian situation is bigger.

00:57:37.200 And I've got a feeling that something good is going to happen really soon with the Abraham Accords. 1.00

00:57:43.040 We'll see.

00:57:43.460 Meanwhile, Trump is over at going to NATO.

00:57:48.500 He might be there already.

00:57:50.520 No, probably not there already, but close.

00:57:53.500 And he's set to meet with Zelensky of Ukraine.

00:57:58.100 So do you think, is it possible that because of Trump's big victory with Iran, do you think that that would make him more likely to get something done with Ukraine?

00:58:16.240 There's no reason it should, right?

00:58:18.700 They're completely unconnected things.

00:58:21.460 But sometimes psychology is a real lever.

00:58:28.420 Do you think that Putin and Zelensky are so impressed with what Trump just did in Iran?

00:58:37.780 Are they so impressed that it's easier for them to say, all right, it's time?

00:58:45.940 Maybe.

00:58:47.240 I wouldn't bet on it.

00:58:49.640 So, you know, if my money were involved, I wouldn't bet on it.

00:58:53.680 But it does feel like the psychology has moved so, so firmly in Trump's favor that anything else he wants to get done is a little bit more likely.

00:59:08.600 And like I say, there's no connection between Ukraine and, you know, Israel and Iran.

00:59:14.000 There's no direct connection.

00:59:16.660 But in your mind, it's hard to disconnect him.

00:59:21.300 Because you just watched him do the impossible.

00:59:24.880 And so you say to yourself, could he do that again?

00:59:29.820 Can he do that twice?

00:59:34.580 Maybe.

00:59:35.600 So we'll see if anything happens there.

00:59:39.180 The Supreme Court also gave Trump another win.

00:59:42.700 He's having one hell of a week.

00:59:44.920 What a week.

00:59:46.840 The Supreme Court ruled that Trump is allowed to deport violent illegals to countries that they are not from.

00:59:57.120 So I don't know how much they wanted to do that, but it's legal now.

01:00:01.740 And even so, there's a Boston judge who's decided to overrule the Supreme Court and not allow it.

01:00:09.540 So I don't know what happens to a Boston judge when the Supreme Court has ruled and you decide to directly and grossly go against this ruling.

01:00:22.460 But we'll find out.

01:00:24.000 So that's another big win for Trump.

01:00:26.920 And then apparently the Trump administration got a pledge from 75% of the health insurers to get rid of some big bureaucratic mess that was preventing people from getting good coverage.

01:00:42.260 It has something to do with reducing insurance companies' prior authorization requirements.

01:00:51.820 So I don't know the whole details there.

01:00:54.980 But apparently this so-called prior authorization requirement was causing people just not to get the health care they needed.

01:01:02.920 And it looks like the Trump administration has got them all to say, yeah, we're going to take care of that.

01:01:11.760 Then also, as Axios is reporting, there is some chance, I don't know the odds, that Trump's big, beautiful bill gets approved before July 4th.

01:01:25.620 But one of the things that I think I've taught you, persuasion-wise, is if you put an artificial deadline on something, it makes it more likely to happen, like way more likely.

01:01:44.440 Now, is July 4th a natural deadline or a totally artificial deadline?

01:01:52.480 It's totally artificial.

01:01:54.680 It would be nice, but it's not necessary.

01:01:59.380 However, the fact that it's nice and not necessary might make it a lot more likely that it happens.

01:02:06.760 So it's possible that Trump will also get the win of all wins by getting his big, beautiful bill passed.

01:02:17.780 Now, I have my own criticisms about the spending, but there's no doubt that it would be seen as a giant victory for Trump and MAGA if he gets that pass.

01:02:28.940 So, again, I say, Trump is having the summer of all summers.

01:02:37.520 Like, I've never seen anything like this, really.

01:02:40.700 This is really impressive.

01:02:42.640 So we'll see if he keeps up the wins.

01:02:46.280 I hadn't talked about this before because I thought it was too much of a local story in New York.

01:02:52.180 But apparently a socialist might become the next mayor of New York.

01:02:59.360 This guy, Zoran Mamdani, a 33-year-old guy with a very light resume for politics.

01:03:06.920 But he's a socialist, and what he's promising, which apparently has brought him to, at least in polling, looking like he might win over who's he running against, Andrew Cuomo.

01:03:27.020 So here's what he's promising for New York City.

01:03:31.320 He wants to freeze rents on rent-stabilized apartments.

01:03:40.060 He wants to invest $70 billion, I don't know where that comes from, in publicly subsidized housing.

01:03:46.380 He wants to open up public land for housing developments and more.

01:03:51.040 He wants free bus rides and government-owned grocery stores.

01:03:55.280 Government-owned grocery stores.

01:03:57.880 You know what?

01:03:58.360 I've actually thought about that idea before.

01:04:01.320 You know, I know all of you are going to say, but Scott, you can't have government-owned grocery stores.

01:04:09.120 They will ruin everything they touch.

01:04:11.700 To which I say, hmm, I wonder.

01:04:15.260 I wonder if you had a government-owned grocery store that didn't have all the products.

01:04:22.540 Maybe it didn't have, you know, cleaning products and all the extras.

01:04:26.180 But what if they had, like, a really low-cost, good protein?

01:04:32.340 Now, what if they had only food that RFK Jr. would say, you know what?

01:04:36.560 If you eat this food, you're going to be a lot healthier.

01:04:40.100 And so they wouldn't necessarily focus on just price, which could be lower, but maybe also health.

01:04:48.020 And maybe if people spent a lot of time shopping there, it would cause the for-profit stores to compete.

01:05:00.440 So maybe someday you don't need the government store.

01:05:03.620 Maybe the regular stores say, all right, we'll have a section with low-cost, high-protein, good-for-you stuff.

01:05:11.560 Maybe.

01:05:13.640 So the trouble with all these socialist ideas is they tend to sound good on paper.

01:05:22.440 And if you don't live in the real world.

01:05:26.160 But in the real world, the government does ruin everything it touches.

01:05:30.720 And if you put restrictions on the price of rentals, nobody's going to increase the number of rentals.

01:05:40.480 So the newspaper in Chicago, they have their own socialist mayor, Brandon Johnson.

01:05:52.440 This is what the Chicago Tribune said about the possibility of New York getting a socialist mayor.

01:06:03.020 So Chicago Tribune says that the ending isn't pretty.

01:06:08.420 The ending isn't pretty.

01:06:13.180 The first part is very pretty.

01:06:15.580 Oh, wow.

01:06:17.400 So I'll be able to rent an apartment without it being too expensive.

01:06:21.400 Oh, I like it.

01:06:22.760 Oh, I'll be able to ride a bus for free.

01:06:25.420 Oh, good idea.

01:06:27.100 I love it.

01:06:28.140 Oh, I'll be able to go to a government grocery store and get low-cost groceries.

01:06:33.560 Oh, love it.

01:06:34.700 Very pretty.

01:06:35.320 But as the Chicago Tribune points out, the ending isn't pretty because they're at the ending point and it's not pretty.

01:06:46.900 All right.

01:06:47.700 Meanwhile, as you already know, the Tesla robo-taxis have rolled out for testing in Austin.

01:06:57.940 And how big a deal is that?

01:07:01.840 Well, here's a post by Bindu Reddy who says,

01:07:06.260 If Tesla robo-taxi beats Waymo and Uber on price and speed, it will become the world's most valuable company.

01:07:15.080 So Tesla is on the cusp of being the world's most valuable company.

01:07:23.340 That's before robots.

01:07:25.320 Let me say that again.

01:07:28.180 Tesla is on the verge of becoming the most valuable company in the world before they've even rolled down a robot.

01:07:38.700 And the robot business could be bigger than anything they've ever done.

01:07:43.340 Now, I should tell you that I do own Tesla stock, so I'm not unbiased at all.

01:07:53.540 But watching Elon Musk make all the right moves on the biggest stuff.

01:07:59.100 So I see a post.

01:08:08.900 I don't know when this was, but it looks like Israel's looking to drop some bombs and Trump is warning them again.

01:08:16.640 I don't know if that's new.

01:08:18.060 That might be old news.

01:08:20.400 We'll catch up on that afterwards.

01:08:22.020 Meanwhile, in Florida, according to Newsmax, Florida is going to build a holding place in the swamp for migrants they want to detain that need to be shipped back, I guess.

01:08:40.180 And the only reason I'm reading this story, because there's nothing interesting about a migrant facility, 0.99

01:08:46.480 is that they're going to call it the Alligator Alcatraz.

01:08:50.080 I just like the branding, Alligator Alcatraz.

01:08:55.700 So that's where, I guess that was nicknamed by the Attorney General, James Othmeyer.

01:09:04.540 The Alligator Alcatraz.

01:09:08.600 And then Ukraine is reporting, according to Newsmax, that they thwarted an assassination attempt against Zelensky.

01:09:17.440 And there was some Polish guy who was working for Russia who tried to, allegedly, he tried to get a drone to kill Zelensky, but they foiled the attack.

01:09:30.580 Now, my prediction is, I feel like all politicians will be too vulnerable to drone attacks when they're traveling.

01:09:43.380 Maybe not so much when they're in their own, you know, in their own headquarters.

01:09:47.700 But I don't see how leaders could go out in public in, like, one year.

01:09:54.260 A year from now, every individual who wants to assassinate a world leader will be able to launch a drone that can't be jammed.

01:10:06.080 And they'll just say, all right, here's the GPS coordinate, but if that doesn't work, just use facial recognition and build a little AI into it.

01:10:18.160 I feel like the ability to assassinate a world leader is going to go to, yeah, you can do it every time they go out in public, because the drones will just be that good.

01:10:33.440 Anyway, according to Wallahub, the Epoch Times is reporting, San Francisco is America's worst-run city.

01:10:44.360 I like to mention all the times that my state is considered the worst of the worst, but there it is.

01:10:58.140 However, I would tell you that San Francisco has been bad before and got over it.

01:11:05.320 I lived in San Francisco in the 80s when I was very young and first came to California.

01:11:11.520 And here's my record.

01:11:13.400 So, in the 80s, living in San Francisco, I got robbed twice at gunpoint when I was a bank teller in downtown San Francisco.

01:11:24.000 Once by a gun in a parking lot after work.

01:11:28.860 Once by a large knife on Market Street, got mugged.

01:11:35.420 That one I got away, so I didn't give him any money.

01:11:38.580 And my apartment was burgled once, and my car's stereo was robbed, I think, four times.

01:11:46.960 So, I think there were four times I walked outside and saw my window broken and my stereo gone.

01:11:53.220 So, that's what it was like in the 80s, and it got way better.

01:11:57.300 So, there's still some chance it might improve, but it's not looking good at the moment.

01:12:06.220 Meanwhile, New York State is planning to build a nuclear power plant.

01:12:11.340 The governor just announced, which would be a big deal.

01:12:14.300 And probably it would not be possible, except Trump had done a bunch of executive orders to reduce the regulatory burden.

01:12:26.800 So, New York may be benefiting from Trump's getting rid of the regulatory burden, if, in fact, that worked.

01:12:38.860 And then the coolest invention I've seen lately, I don't think I mentioned this before, but there's a company called New Scale.

01:12:47.620 That's in the nuclear power plant advanced technology, kind of the new way to build a nuclear power plant.

01:12:54.880 But they're engineering a system.

01:12:57.480 They haven't built it yet, but they're looking to integrate the production of the electricity in their atomic plant, nuclear plant.

01:13:09.240 But they would match that with water desalination and production of hydrogen, which could be used as a green fuel.

01:13:21.140 So, they would make electricity, clean water, and hydrogen, all at the same time.

01:13:29.820 So, whatever's happening in the nuclear field, it's really big, and it's really dynamic.

01:13:38.240 And I also have some investments in one fund that is a fund that has a number of nuclear assets in it.

01:13:48.780 So, I'm not objective, but I think it's a safe bet that the nuclear industry is going to get a lot bigger.

01:13:59.060 It just feels like there's no way to stop that.

01:14:01.920 All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's all I have for today.

01:14:05.480 It's another wonderful day.

01:14:08.100 We'll follow the news and find out if Trump's victory is holding.

01:14:12.120 There will, of course, be challenges to it.

01:14:16.540 I would not be surprised if there are some breaks in the ceasefire, but I think there's a good chance that Trump will be able to hold it all together.

01:14:26.440 So, we'll see.

01:14:27.920 All right, I'm going to talk to the beloved local subscribers privately.

01:14:34.080 And the rest of you, thanks for joining.

01:14:38.140 I will see you at the same time tomorrow.

01:14:42.420 All right, locals coming at you privately.

01:15:04.080 Thank you.

01:15:05.080 Thank you.

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Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 24, 2025

Episode 2877 CWSA 06⧸24⧸25

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