Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2879 CWSA 06⧸26⧸25

00:00:00.000 man yeah it's good to see you and the early birds are getting the worms

00:00:09.600 but let me check your stock market it's up not much but it's up a little bit

00:00:17.600 tesla is kind of flat nvidia up nuclear is up not bad all right let me get my comments working

00:00:29.280 and then we'll have the show that you deserve

00:00:35.360 yeah the one you deserve not the one you usually get but the one you deserve

00:00:44.480 all right

00:00:44.800 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization

00:01:01.760 and it's called coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to try

00:01:09.360 to take it up to the levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains well

00:01:16.960 all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass to take your chalice this night a canteen sugar

00:01:24.080 flask a vessel of a kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the

00:01:32.000 unparalleled pleasure of the job of the end of the day the thing that makes everything better

00:01:38.080 it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens right now go

00:01:48.000 oh yeah that worked

00:01:50.480 oh well let's uh check in with uh first elon musk news because there's always some um i wouldn't call

00:02:03.440 it news but he was at some event and he was describing how difficult it is to be useful at scale

00:02:12.320 so um i agree with uh elon musk's idea of uh purpose he doesn't say it that way but i feel like

00:02:25.600 that's the point the point is if you're not being useful to anybody you're you're not reaching your full

00:02:34.160 potential and you would probably feel it you would feel less meaning in life so being useful to other

00:02:41.920 people is sort of the best thing you can do especially your family and those close to you your employer

00:02:48.720 that'd be good but um musk is talking about being useful at a scale in other words you know building

00:02:57.600 electric cars and uh taking the humanity to the moon or mars but i have to say that if you wonder what

00:03:08.480 uh makes me do this every single day when i don't have to and what makes me enjoy it is that it feels

00:03:17.680 useful and if people did not say to me literally every single day that they find value in you know

00:03:27.120 listening to the podcast i wouldn't do it you know even if it paid really well um i'd do it because it's

00:03:35.280 useful and that's what gives me meaning so in case you wondered well cnn is reporting that the stock market

00:03:46.720 has recovered all of its uh losses since uh april and it's near an all-time high so remember when

00:03:55.920 everybody got frightened because of the tariff scare and all the smart people were saying oh trump has

00:04:04.400 ruined the economy ruined the economy with his tariff scares and people like me said it's a little bit

00:04:11.520 early um you don't know how this is going to work out it looks like a negotiating thing and if you just

00:04:19.440 wait a few months everything will be fine and what happened the people who said hold on just wait a few

00:04:28.160 months and everything will be fine they uh were right so tariffs were a temporary scare to the economy

00:04:38.480 but they seem to be back where they belong well there's some fake news um that the fake news

00:04:48.080 is that the nato secretary general uh called trump daddy did you see that news that didn't happen

00:05:01.360 so all the news and social media is reporting that nato secretary general called uh trump affectionately

00:05:09.840 daddy and then when trump was asked about it he acted as if that actually happened

00:05:15.680 it didn't happen he used the word daddy but he was talking about the uh metaphor or analogy or whatever

00:05:26.640 it is um because trump mentioned that that uh iran and israel were acting like children

00:05:34.720 and then the uh secretary general said uh you know sometimes you know daddy has to be stern

00:05:42.880 something like that but he was talking about he was talking about the you know the comparison he

00:05:49.760 wasn't talking about trump uh although in that and in that uh telling trump would be representing the

00:05:57.680 daddy but there's a there's a big difference between saying um you know i often call people the internet dads

00:06:06.400 but i'm not i'm not talking to them personally and saying hey daddy it's more of a description of being in charge

00:06:17.280 and taking charge of the children so that's fake news but it's fun well as axios and others are reporting

00:06:28.640 the trump administration is looking for the leaker whoever leaked the uh the battle damage

00:06:36.400 um assessment that said that uh maybe maybe some of the iranians the iranian nuclear program was not

00:06:46.560 destroyed but that was a very preliminary report there was only one person involved it was way early

00:06:56.400 had no authority and was even self-labeled as unreliable but did that stop cnn's natasha

00:07:06.320 bertrand from reporting it no it did not she reported it now how do you how do you find the leaker

00:07:17.200 my understanding is there's a um secure system in which private stuff like this can be presented to

00:07:27.440 some members of congress but not all of them

00:07:29.760 um and i think he is that in all likelihood a member of congress leaked it

00:07:38.960 now how would you ever find that

00:07:43.360 do you check everybody's you know messages

00:07:47.600 do you somehow get approval to look through everybody's uh whatsapp messages

00:07:55.760 and what if it were just done in person if i were a leaker and i knew it was illegal as in this case

00:08:03.200 you know i think pam bondy says the leaker should go to jail if i knew it was illegal

00:08:12.400 i would do it in person in other words i would find somebody to tell even if the person i tell in

00:08:19.520 person is the person who tells the reporter so maybe there's a little distance here but would the leaker

00:08:26.720 be so dumb that they would leave a trail that you could find because you can't really ask the reporter

00:08:34.320 because they can just say hey it's a confidential source so i have a real question whether the fbi can

00:08:43.760 find the source of the leak but anyway uh trump is not too happy with natasha bergman um he said in

00:08:53.200 a truth post that she should be fired from cnn and and i'm quoting him thrown out like a dog

00:09:05.280 yeah i always tell you that trump uh he it's impossible for him to be uninteresting

00:09:12.000 he always brings the show so did he really have to throw out did he have to include she should be

00:09:19.120 thrown out like a dog

00:09:20.320 no that's what makes us so sticky if he'd only said uh you know she doesn't deserve her job or 1.00

00:09:31.600 she should be fired you know maybe you would pay attention to it but when he throws in that

00:09:37.440 she should be thrown out like a dog 0.97

00:09:41.840 how in the world do you ignore that it's just too funny coming from the president

00:09:47.760 but apparently if you don't remember natasha

00:09:50.800 bertrand's history um she was big on saying that the hunter laptop story with russian disinformation

00:10:00.240 which sort of makes her look like a tool of the cia doesn't it she was i think with politico when she 1.00

00:10:07.360 did that brit hume says that she also fell for the steel dossier you know the fake uh russia collusion

00:10:16.960 story as well so imagine being somebody who had reported incorrectly the laptop story and also the

00:10:25.760 fake russia collusion story and then you pop up with this sketchy story does it seem to you as if some

00:10:35.760 people only exist to do the sketchy stuff it makes me wonder does cnn say all right we're going to need

00:10:46.640 at least one cia asset and i'm just i'm making an assumption here so i don't have any evidence that she's 0.54

00:10:54.480 a cia asset or any other asset but don't you wonder if uh since i assume the cia has some influence on

00:11:06.320 our media do you wonder if they say all right you have to hire this one because that's our asset because

00:11:14.160 it would be easier to move an asset into a company than it would be to change somebody into an asset once

00:11:22.880 they're there wouldn't it maybe not anyway um molly hemingway points out she said on x um i'll add

00:11:37.440 that multiple knowledgeable sources tell me that the intel assessment and that's the one that says

00:11:43.440 that the nuclear program was not completely destroyed that the intel assessment being bandaged

00:11:50.320 about specifically notes it was done the day after the strike needs weeks more analysis

00:11:58.080 and it was not done in conjunction with other intel agencies and was given a low confidence rating

00:12:05.680 so why did it even exist

00:12:10.800 don't you have a question like why why would anybody put that in writing

00:12:17.120 i mean all they're putting in writing is we have no fucking idea what happened it's way too early

00:12:23.600 why would you do that so there's there's a question about the leak

00:12:31.040 but i would argue that there should be a question about the analyst who put together that analysis do you

00:12:38.720 think that analyst was pro-trump

00:12:44.080 maybe or does it seem more likely that the analyst who did that so hastily was maybe anti-trump

00:12:55.360 maybe possibly yeah as i've jokingly but not really jokingly said the the bomb damage assessment or if you

00:13:06.160 prefer battle damage assessment is based entirely upon how much you like trump

00:13:12.640 if you like trump it was obliterated if you don't like trump i don't know they may have had that uh

00:13:21.600 all the good stuff somewhere else you never really know do you

00:13:26.800 well trump is uh reiterating that the nuclear program in iran was totally obliterated i've never

00:13:34.320 heard that word so many times in one week obliterated it's a good word uh but he also says

00:13:42.640 which uh softens his message a little bit you know just just so he's got a little wiggle room there

00:13:49.600 he also says that iran would not dare rebuild its nuclear industry because they they know they would

00:13:55.760 be attacked again all right so which is it is it totally obliterated and it's going to take years

00:14:03.920 to build it back or did we send such a strong message that it doesn't really matter if it's totally

00:14:11.760 obliterated because they know we've come back feels it feels like there's a little bit of wiggle room there

00:14:19.360 you know just in case but here when i watch the news and and how the trump administration is handling their messaging

00:14:29.120 um i'm kind of impressed that trump is selling the obliterated 0.92

00:14:35.920 message because a lot of people are you know repeating obliterated obliterated and he's so good

00:14:43.200 at making you remember his little uh sound bites and that that's one of them he just repeats it and repeats

00:14:51.920 it until if somebody asked you well what do you know about that attack you would just immediately think

00:14:58.880 well obliterated so that part is great

00:15:04.960 but uh i would argue that trump is also cleverly conflating two things that you should not conflate

00:15:16.320 one is did they destroy the things that we're aiming at and i would say especially after today's

00:15:24.800 briefing which i didn't catch all of it but i saw some reporting on it um it does sound like

00:15:31.200 they have a pretty good idea that they did obliterate everything they aimed at would you agree uh there's

00:15:40.000 nothing that's a hundred percent but when when you hear the description of you know the bombs and the

00:15:48.000 military people who know what they're talking about and was it kane yeah um general dan raisin kane

00:15:56.160 um when he when he did his uh explanation i didn't catch all of it because i was preparing for the show

00:16:05.360 so i was a little busy but here's the one thing i learned for sure if you thought you could do bomb

00:16:12.720 damage assessment or battle damage assessment if you prefer by looking at those satellite pictures

00:16:19.760 we're all fucking idiots 0.96

00:16:26.320 i think everything i assumed everything just everything i assumed by looking at the satellite

00:16:32.480 pictures was wrong now i i didn't catch all the details but if you follow the news today you'll find out

00:16:40.960 that i think i have this right that the three holes we saw um people like me assumed that oh they must

00:16:50.640 have been putting two bombs in each hole and and that's the hole that the bombs went into

00:16:56.560 um but apparently those are not the bomb holes those are the ventilation holes

00:17:04.240 that show that to show that there was a explosion from the inside from the bomb that doesn't show its

00:17:10.880 own hole because it goes so deeply i guess it gets you know buried behind itself

00:17:17.920 but you can see the you know the blast was so severe that it blew the tops off of the ventilation holes

00:17:24.880 now and there was something about several of the bombs going into the same hole or something like that

00:17:32.960 so i don't i didn't get all the details but but the one thing i learned for sure is i'm never going

00:17:39.360 to try to do bomb damage assessment by looking at a satellite picture again we we had no idea what any of

00:17:46.800 that meant we were we were guessing so hard that by the time they explained what you're really looking at

00:17:54.960 you just you just feel like an idiot 0.79

00:17:59.120 so i do here here's the thing that's conflated um i will accept as of today i i accept that there's a

00:18:11.280 really high chance that everything they aimed at got totally destroyed and i think the iaea whatever they

00:18:20.240 are eieio um i think they said yeah that stuff is so sensitive that if you you know consider the

00:18:28.560 severity of the blast and the sensitivity of the equipment in there it's definitely destroyed

00:18:35.040 so but is that the whole story would you agree that if you knew that everything they aimed at they

00:18:45.680 did destroy completely if that's what you knew would you also conclude that they had set back the

00:18:54.960 nuclear program by years would you conclude that well you would only do that if you're conflating two

00:19:03.520 things they should not be conflated number one did they destroy the things they were aiming at

00:19:10.080 that looks like a yes i i'm gonna i'm gonna say yes on that number two which should not be conflated

00:19:18.640 with that question is was there anything that they should have destroyed that they didn't know about

00:19:26.000 was anything moved that could have been used given that apparently they made their own equipment

00:19:34.080 the centrifuges uh i don't know if they made all of it but they made parts for it at least

00:19:41.200 is there any possibility that they made some extras that were not yet installed and they just put

00:19:49.280 them in a warehouse somebody someplace that would be innocuous maybe so the thing we don't know and

00:19:58.000 probably can't know well you know unless the spies tell us later i guess um is whether there was anything

00:20:05.360 that was moved or anything that was always in a different location we don't really know that

00:20:12.720 so trump and eggseth and you know all the admin people are trying to sell you that we got everything that

00:20:22.880 matters and that might be true um i i'm not ruling it out at all but can you automatically assume

00:20:32.080 that iran knowing that fordell would be the main target and knowing that you know we'd be coming

00:20:39.760 after all their nuclear assets can we assume they didn't do anything about that in advance they didn't

00:20:46.640 have any time to plan for that you know there wasn't there wasn't some you know obvious planning

00:20:57.120 to make sure that at least some of that got moved to another site or maybe they had another thing ready

00:21:02.320 to go don't know but don't conflate did they hit what they wanted to and destroy it with does that mean

00:21:12.640 we got everything because the second part is unknowable yet i mean eventually spies might tell you that we

00:21:20.640 got everything um but i wouldn't conflate those and then uh trump and hegseth are also trying to conflate

00:21:29.760 the question of whether the uh the pilots destroyed every part of the nuclear program with the question

00:21:40.000 of are you respecting the the skill of the pilots and the professionalism of the military

00:21:48.640 as uh caitlin collins of cnn said everybody is impressed by the military

00:21:54.640 uh i would say that 100 percent of the public and all of the media is on the same page that was an

00:22:03.760 impressive uh military action and that if you don't respect that well i i just don't even know if

00:22:14.640 you can be an observer of course you respect that of course you do but i think um trump and hanks that

00:22:23.440 they're trying to have it as a little bit of suppressive fire that if you act like maybe there's

00:22:29.680 something that should have been bombed that wasn't bombed that you're disrespecting the pilots nobody's

00:22:36.320 disrespecting the pilots so in case in case there's any uh confusion i really am impressed by the job that

00:22:47.600 the military did like really really impressed and i'm pretty sure most if not every single american is

00:22:56.400 having that same feeling about the military they may have all kinds of feelings about everything else

00:23:03.600 but that's not really in question so it's offensive to me that if i ask a question about what we know about

00:23:13.440 the damage that someone would say are you disrespecting our military no no those are not the same topic

00:23:26.080 and anyway so that's that's where that's at um

00:23:31.600 all right what else uh so according to uh democrats sim i assume senator uh timmy duckworth

00:23:45.280 so yeah the democrats have to find something bad to say about trump and uh here's duckworth uh quote

00:23:54.880 if you were iranian leadership now what this taught you was they better get nuclear weapons very quickly

00:24:01.920 because look at how trump treats countries that have nuclear weapons like north korea right he goes and

00:24:09.040 he pals around with dictators 0.72

00:24:12.960 well she acts like that's a mistake is it a mistake for trump to pal around with kim jong-un

00:24:21.440 so that he takes us off of his target list

00:24:26.560 she acts like that's some kind of mistake would it be a mistake

00:24:31.840 and first of all you know north korea you know i would say is completely contained

00:24:38.640 they they just don't have a reason to go after the united states and that's a pretty darn good job by the

00:24:44.720 president if he removed the reason that anybody would have a you know impulse to attack us nuclear

00:24:53.200 but uh is it true that the iranians would now feel more more incentivized to get nuclear fast well yes and no

00:25:04.960 yes and no if they could do it without being caught of course i i absolutely agree if they could do it

00:25:15.440 without being caught but do you think iran believes they could do it without being caught

00:25:21.360 they just executed 700 of their own citizens allegedly for a suspicion of being spies

00:25:32.000 700

00:25:34.640 now i have some real question about how many of them were actually spies

00:25:39.360 versus you know people who got turned in by their neighbors who didn't like them

00:25:43.200 but if you're iran and you believe that there were 700 spies that you could find

00:25:52.720 and that's not even counting the ones that you couldn't identify

00:25:56.560 do you think they would feel comfortable relaunching a nuclear program and think that nobody would know

00:26:02.880 it doesn't seem possible at this point so duckworth i would agree that if they could do it in you know

00:26:12.480 total confidentiality they would they would definitely do it but there's not really much of a practical

00:26:20.240 possibility of that i don't think i think israel is too deeply in their pockets anyway

00:26:26.880 um ex uh congressman jamal bowman who's a democrat was on cnn and he said some crazy

00:26:38.720 which is always funny when democrats are crazy he says that the stress of being called the n-word

00:26:46.320 either directly or indirectly is why blacks suffer more from obesity and cancer

00:26:51.680 how many of you think that's true that the reason that blacks have more obesity and cancer

00:27:03.040 is because they're it's stressful to be directly or indirectly called the n-word now what would

00:27:11.040 what would be an example of indirectly being called the n-word i guess that would be if you imagine

00:27:17.600 somebody's thinking it but they didn't say it would that be a case of indirectly being called

00:27:26.160 anyway so that was on cnn that was nice and crazy uh i saw end wokeness was reporting on that clip

00:27:34.960 all right let's talk about the supreme leader in iran so was it day before yesterday maybe yesterday

00:27:45.520 i posted this i said uh on x i posted i have a feeling iran's regime already changed all the

00:27:54.400 supreme leaders underlings needed to do was lock him in a bunker and take away his phone quote for

00:28:01.600 his own safety now remember that sentence okay so i said all they had to do was lock him in a bunker

00:28:08.000 take away take away his phone and say it was for his own safety and then i said then tell anyone who

00:28:15.040 asks that the supreme leader isn't meeting with anyone in person but you know his orders and then i i said

00:28:23.120 just to tie it all together i said it worked for joe biden and it did so we're still trying to figure out

00:28:31.760 you know who was you know who was you know completely behind the auto pen although we know one person

00:28:38.000 now and we're trying to figure out who was influencing biden because he wasn't quite all with it etc so

00:28:47.360 given that the supreme leader is 86 wait 86

00:28:52.960 86 is the number where you get rid of stuff i wonder if they 86 the 86 year old it's kind of a weird

00:29:04.320 simulation coincidence but um there was a new report i saw in mario knoffel's post and i by the way i do

00:29:16.880 know that the supreme leader did some posting today and he made a video today so i'll

00:29:22.800 get to that in a moment but before i saw that um i saw a report from iranian state tv in the new york

00:29:32.080 times uh mario knoffel was reporting on it uh on axe and and the report is that uh the supreme leader

00:29:42.560 was reportedly missing for a week and that there's a power struggle going on now this is unconfirmed of

00:29:50.800 course but these are the reports um and as mario said the iran supreme leader hasn't been seen

00:29:58.240 publicly since before their strikes and there was a nationwide concern and political inviting

00:30:06.880 apparently a state tv in iran a host asked an official from the supreme leader's office what millions of

00:30:16.080 people were wondering he said people are very worried about the supreme leader can you tell us how he is

00:30:22.560 so even the uh media in iran was saying i wonder what's up with him and then officials said that uh

00:30:32.560 khamenei was sheltering in a bunker does that sound familiar he was sheltering in a bunker but we knew that

00:30:40.560 right and he was without electronic communication to avoid assassination so they literally took his

00:30:49.280 phone away and told him it was for his own safety which it was you know legitimately it was for his own

00:30:56.080 safety but was that the only reason they took his phone away

00:31:01.120 and his absence during the ceasefire negotiations raised questions about who was running it

00:31:09.360 and i guess the president who does not have nearly as much power as the supreme leader of course

00:31:15.920 um he called the current situation a quote golden opportunity for change

00:31:21.440 really the president of iran is saying that uh the war and all the destruction is a golden opportunity for

00:31:33.280 change does that sound like something that the supreme leader would say it doesn't does it that sounds

00:31:41.680 like something you would say if the supreme leader was already pushed aside then in that case

00:31:50.160 yes that might be a golden opportunity for change

00:31:55.280 so that would be an interesting an interesting framing of the situation from iran's president

00:32:02.800 unless the 86 year old supreme leader had already been you know nudged to the sidelines but

00:32:11.200 let's go on and uh four senior officials confirmed that their rival factions battling for control in iran

00:32:20.160 and uh then i saw separately that uh that the supreme leader was being guarded

00:32:29.680 and the guarding part is really the the key part of the story

00:32:35.440 by the valley amer special forces unit of the revolutionary guards

00:32:40.960 um and they would be you know the most loyal effective security he could have unless

00:32:50.800 they got flipped or they were taken down by some other military unit

00:32:56.400 so do we know for sure that they're the ones guarding him i don't know

00:33:01.680 but there was a new video message and some a number of posts on x today which sounded like they were in

00:33:11.360 response to people saying where the hell is the supreme leader so it looks like uh the supreme leader

00:33:18.720 wanted to make sure that people knew he was still alive and in charge

00:33:22.880 or or was it like joe biden where there would occasionally be a recorded message

00:33:32.800 because i needed to make sure he didn't say anything that wasn't approved by his

00:33:37.360 captors or does he think he's still in charge and the people who allowed him to do the video

00:33:47.120 presumably from the bunker did he think he was doing you know supreme leader stuff

00:33:55.200 and the people who allowed him to do it and facilitated getting the cameras in there and everything

00:34:01.520 is it possible that they're just sort of leading him on and pretending that he's still in charge

00:34:08.160 both for public consumption and also for his consumption so he thinks

00:34:13.360 thinks that he's still relevant while they battle it out behind the scenes for who's who's really

00:34:19.440 going to run the country maybe but uh so khamele or is that khamele

00:34:28.880 i just know you have to clear your mouth after you say it khamele

00:34:33.120 so he's claiming victory over israel and uh he says he quote delivered a hand slap to america's faces

00:34:40.640 um he said that iran was victorious in their 12-day war um and he said the islamic republic was

00:34:54.400 victorious and in retaliation delivered a hand slap to america's face so that would be the 0.95

00:35:01.120 the uh the attacks that they warned the u.s about and killed or injured no americans

00:35:08.720 so that would be the hand slap

00:35:13.120 and he said the u.s had nuclear sites but couldn't achieve much

00:35:18.960 well and he said that u.s president trump needed to do showmanship

00:35:25.520 with all the commotion and all the claims the zionist regime was practically knocked out

00:35:30.960 and crushed under the blows of the islamic republic now that all is pretty generic isn't it it does it 0.92

00:35:40.480 does show that he made it recently because it was after the uh the attacks on the american base that were

00:35:47.600 kind of weak but does it show that he's in charge

00:35:54.080 well i don't know it could be that there's a lot of uh you know maneuvering behind the scenes and he

00:36:02.400 might end up in charge again he might stay in charge or it's entirely possible entirely possible

00:36:12.240 that uh they're they're joe bidening him they are putting him forward as if he's in charge

00:36:18.240 will they really make all the important decisions because at 86

00:36:26.080 you know how much capacity does he even have so they probably were already making a lot of decisions

00:36:32.480 without him and he was just involved in the real high high level stuff like biden so i think uh

00:36:40.400 there's still the possibility that uh you know leadership has changed or it might change

00:36:48.880 even though he's doing some public stuff now

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00:37:52.000 and let's see um speaking of that um jill biden's quote work husband um as has decided he will not

00:38:07.440 testify to the house oversight uh committee even though they asked him to but he hasn't been subpoenaed

00:38:14.720 yet so i suppose they'll do that next but anthony burnell so he was the the former advisor to the first lady

00:38:24.160 jill um was sometimes called her work husband and some people say that he was the most influential

00:38:34.080 person in the administration because he could influence her and then she could influence him 0.60

00:38:39.280 um biden and uh that he was actually one of the powers behind the the curtain i don't know about that

00:38:49.360 but uh i'd love to hear him explain it um then weirdly here's something i didn't expect uh trump did a very

00:38:59.760 lengthy truth social post um calling for israel to cancel the court proceedings against netanyahu

00:39:09.280 so apparently netanyahu has some you know major legal issues he has to work on i don't know the details

00:39:19.520 and i don't know if any of the charges are legitimate but uh trump is calling it a ridiculous witch hunt

00:39:28.240 and uh you know just mentioned what a great job netanyahu did working with trump that's trump's

00:39:35.360 current public opinion is that netanyahu was an amazing partner he was just amazing and they did so well

00:39:44.000 together that may have not been true every minute of their working together because there is a

00:39:50.880 reporting that trump had a stern phone call with netanyahu about a ceasefire uh but at the moment you

00:39:58.640 would like you would like you to believe that um the charges against netanyahu are fake and they're law

00:40:05.440 fair and political and they should be dropped because he's such a good leader and did such a good job now do

00:40:13.200 you think that trump did that on his own do you think he was just looking at the news and of israel and thought

00:40:22.080 you know what i'm gonna weigh in there and you know really try to support him because is there any chance

00:40:29.920 at all that israel is going to pay attention to trump's preference for what their court should do

00:40:35.520 i i don't think so so why would he even say it i don't know but it looks like maybe there was a an

00:40:44.800 arrangement it looks like uh maybe um israel did something for trump or maybe netanyahu specifically

00:40:56.560 and uh maybe trump is returning the favor even even though he knows it won't make a difference

00:41:02.480 but it makes a difference in how we think about netanyahu so that's a little bit of a difference

00:41:10.720 anyway um in other news um trump is reportedly according to the wall street journal he's uh

00:41:19.440 considering naming uh the new fed chair before the end of the term of uh powell and i guess

00:41:28.000 yes powell's uh term would run out in may and normally you um apparently normally you nominate

00:41:37.600 the new person a few months before the old person's term is up so that the new person has time to

00:41:46.320 you know get acclimated to the job and learn what's what but trump is considering maybe naming

00:41:53.280 the new person way ahead of time like any moment now uh because that person would be like a backseat

00:42:01.920 driver so they would put a little pressure on powell maybe to quit early because he'd have a backseat

00:42:09.280 driver saying well you know if i were in charge already and i will be in charge in a few months

00:42:15.920 but if i were in charge already i'd be lowering those interest rates so that would be a little

00:42:23.600 extra public pressure on powell and if it happened to you if you were in that job wouldn't you at least

00:42:32.960 think about quitting early because it would just be so annoying and humiliating and just it just

00:42:41.200 wouldn't feel right to have that backseat driver so it's kind of a clever plan i don't know if it'd work

00:42:49.200 but i could see why they might try

00:42:54.640 well let's talk about this new york city socialist so there's a lot of comments on

00:43:03.040 uh the uh guy who looks like he's gonna win the general election and become uh the new mayor of new

00:43:11.920 york city zoran mamdani now i don't hate the fact that his first name zoran sounds like superman's nemesis

00:43:25.440 doesn't zoran sound like he came from the same planet as superman and you know there's going to be a fight

00:43:33.360 anyway i like his first name and he was born in where uganda he was born in africa and he's a muslim

00:43:42.080 and a socialist um some are calling him a communist but uh he's not technically a communist but he's

00:43:52.320 definitely a socialist um john fetterman who's on the same team allegedly you know a democrat he said

00:44:00.720 that uh mom mom donis win which is so far only in the primaries but he'll probably win the general

00:44:07.440 if the polls are correct he goes quote i'd describe it as christmas in july for the gop

00:44:13.680 okay so fetterman who is not a socialist and sometimes agrees with the framing of the republicans

00:44:22.960 like now um believes that it's basically suicide for the uh the democrats because you got a midterm

00:44:33.200 coming up and wouldn't it be convenient if the republicans who had to run in the midterms

00:44:40.320 could refer to new york city hiring a socialist as you know a cautionary tale it's like oh don't

00:44:48.560 be like that so yes fetterman is correct um the republicans will probably be pretty happy

00:44:56.880 if he gets elected at least in terms of how it would affect the midterms

00:45:01.040 um and uh then let's see what else uh bill clinton just congratulated mom doni acted like there was

00:45:12.320 nothing unusual about it so that was unusual um and uh mom domini has uh pledged to quote root out

00:45:24.880 bigotry across new york city with an 800 increase in funding for hate crime prevention programs so

00:45:36.000 that sounds good on paper we of course uh yeah we of course would need to know the details on that

00:45:45.360 james carville as you know one of the democrat strategists of of old um he was talking about mom

00:45:54.240 doni's and uh he said uh he's not walked back some of the things that he's posted about in the past

00:46:02.320 that were more controversial such as uh globalize the uh intifada

00:46:11.440 because uh the pro-israel people say that that's a call for violence and uh against israel

00:46:18.480 um whereas uh the anti-israel people say it's merely a call for a struggle against oppression

00:46:28.000 but that'd be a pretty damaging thing to have hanging out there and republicans would certainly

00:46:35.120 make it sound like he is anti-israel and they could they could sell that yeah they could sell that

00:46:42.160 um according to axios there's a guy that's the president and strategist of bianco research who wrote

00:46:54.640 on a post on x quote it appears in new york city is elected to commit suicide by mayor instead of suicide

00:47:03.840 by cop suicide by mayor and uh let's see what else and then of course there's some fear that a lot of the

00:47:19.280 businesses will want to escape from the socialist um taxation and and other problems that will come

00:47:26.400 with new york city if he's elected and that they might escape like ken griffin did he's already

00:47:32.560 relocated to miami and uh there's there's a warning that new york could go the direction of you know

00:47:41.280 detroit and baltimore and some of these other places but bill ackman investor bill ackman who's been a lot

00:47:52.400 involved in political stuff in the last year or two he had a very long post and he he's optimistic

00:48:01.280 that uh mom daddy could be defeated even though it would be too late for somebody to enter the race 1.00

00:48:08.320 in the normal way but he says that if somebody you know is qualified and a superstar and they want to

00:48:16.800 run as a write-in now what are the odds that a write-in candidate would get elected in new york city

00:48:24.240 well not very high right a write-in candidate that when was the last time a write-in candidate won any

00:48:33.920 kind of major election in the u.s i've never actually heard of it

00:48:40.720 but bill ackman says that if such a superstar candidate wanted to run as a write-in that he will

00:48:48.000 quote take care of the fundraising and he could definitely take care of the fundraising so he

00:48:54.880 would have all the money he needed he or she and they'd be right in does that sound like it might work

00:49:07.040 i don't know i i would have to know if it's ever worked in the history of elections in the united

00:49:14.000 states maybe in a small town but for something as big as the mayor of new york could that ever work

00:49:22.880 i don't know i'm skeptical

00:49:29.040 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:49:33.520 learn more at scotia bank.com banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you

00:49:40.320 think and then tyler wingel boss one of the wingel boss twins who's uh i believe they're both

00:49:48.480 billionaires at this point in crypto and he said a lot of people have asked me if i will get involved

00:49:54.880 in the new york state new york city mayor race by supporting some other candidate and he says i'm torn

00:50:02.400 and undecided um he said like every other city run by democrats new york city is a broken

00:50:09.920 kleptocracy taxes are astronomical and services are pathetic to non-existent

00:50:16.640 anarchy and socialism are the next logical steps in this story arc

00:50:23.120 he goes on saying is what the people of new york city have been asking for for years

00:50:28.240 and it looks like it's what they're about to get

00:50:31.440 he says trying to fight against this tide seems like throwing good money after bad and then he he said

00:50:38.320 some more but then he said it appears things will have to get worse in new york city before they get

00:50:43.280 better so one point of view is that the only way new york city is going to get better is you have to let

00:50:51.840 socialism try and fail and then people will be willing to try something else

00:50:58.000 um others would deeply disagree with that because if you let it go too far it might be just too hard to

00:51:06.000 save it i saw mike cernovich was disagreeing with giving an inch and you know would prefer fighting

00:51:13.760 to you know maintain as much territory as you can um but i'm gonna go with uh winklevoss and it's not

00:51:23.760 that i want a failure in new york city it's just that i don't know that any democrat city has ever climbed

00:51:31.280 down of it in recent years i don't know if they can my my best assumption about the real world

00:51:41.440 is that it can only go in one direction at this point and i think the big democrat run cities are

00:51:48.320 essentially just criminal enterprises and the odds of a socialist coming in and fixing it are close to

00:51:56.160 zero it feels like so it doesn't feel like they have a plan and it looks like it's pretty dire and

00:52:05.280 i would go with if you can get out of any democrat run city unless it's in a republican state because

00:52:14.720 some of the democrat cities and republican states uh are doing okay but if you're a democrat city in a

00:52:22.080 democrat state and you're about ready to um elect a socialist

00:52:29.840 i would say leave that would be that would be my advice get out of there now i realize that losing

00:52:37.760 new york city would be just the worst thing for america but it might not be you know it might be time to

00:52:44.880 uh to uh to know when to hold them and know when to fold them you know there's uh

00:52:53.760 um yeah i'm seeing in the comments a lot of people say that uh giuliani did in fact save the city

00:53:01.760 now i will give you that that giuliani did in fact you know turned around new york city but i don't know

00:53:09.680 that that's still possible uh maybe you just need somebody who's that popular wasn't didn't giuliani

00:53:17.920 get elected no he got elected before 9-11 so do you do you believe that a republican or even just a

00:53:27.600 non-insane democrat could get elected in in any upcoming year i don't know i i feel like the

00:53:37.440 the the window in which a giuliani could get elected probably is closed so my feeling is that

00:53:46.480 some of these might not be fixable i mean i don't see baltimore getting fixed i don't see detroit getting

00:53:52.400 fixed and new york city might be joining it i don't want that to happen so unlike uh you know unlike

00:54:02.320 those who say you gotta let it fail before it gets better i only think it might fail um i don't really

00:54:09.920 foresee the it failed and therefore people got smarter and elected better leadership and fixed it

00:54:18.320 i don't really see a way that this gets fixed and i'm pretty optimistic you know if you've watched me

00:54:25.840 for a while i generally think everything can get fixed but there's there's a systemic problem

00:54:33.360 with some of these cities and there's nobody suggested any fix for the systemic problems

00:54:39.040 and one is that they're all criminal enterprises it would be sort of like well you're i guess this is

00:54:47.120 bad analogy but i won't i'm not going to say that new york city is like the mexican cartels they're not

00:54:56.720 the same but i will say that if you were expecting the mexican cartels to fix themselves because they got

00:55:06.400 better leadership and then they got out of the drug business and turned to legitimate businesses and started

00:55:13.520 helping mexico be a good good country would you think well that could happen yeah yeah the cartels

00:55:22.640 just need a giuliani uh if they get a better leadership then they would stop selling drugs and

00:55:29.680 killing people and they would just turn to you know legal enterprise and the answer is nobody expects

00:55:37.200 that's possible no matter how much of an optimist you are nobody says themselves well i think those

00:55:44.800 mexican cartels can turn around so at what point does new york city and the kleptocracy as tyler 0.77

00:55:53.520 winklevoss calls it at what point does the system become something you could plop a giuliani into it and

00:56:01.440 fix it i feel like they've passed that point but that's just my feeling i'd love to be wrong so if

00:56:09.840 i'm wrong that would be just the best thing to be wrong about um trump is uh doing a little branding

00:56:19.520 of the democrats uh he's referring to jasmine crockett as low iq jasmine crockett and he thinks that

00:56:27.760 jasmine crockett and aoc and what he calls communist mayors or on mamdani should be the leadership of 1.00

00:56:36.160 the democrats so basically he's mocking them for having leaders that are completely impractical

00:56:44.640 bad idea and it should make you know normal democrats just give up

00:56:51.120 because if that's who's representing them you know good luck with that

00:56:57.760 well in other news the house republicans are trying to get some testimony from act blue that's

00:57:04.880 the big uh money gathering enterprise that funds the democrat races everywhere and uh at the same

00:57:14.640 time the department of justice is doing a probe because there are allegations that act blue was

00:57:21.520 involved in widespread donation fraud so we'll find out if any of that's true i don't know how long it

00:57:28.480 takes the doj to do his job but maybe congress can get to the bottom of it first

00:57:38.080 well there's a uh story here from bloomberg and unodc that says australia has the highest cocaine use on

00:57:49.360 earth and new zealand is right behind it so the biggest per capita uh cocaine users are australia

00:58:00.640 and new zealand now the reason i bring that up is because by complete coincidence i was watching a

00:58:09.760 reel is it called a reel on instagram in which there was some guy going around and asking people if they

00:58:18.560 knew uh which country had the highest body count now body count refers to how many people you've had

00:58:26.880 sex with in your life so he kept asking people and they would say you know brazil and he'd say no

00:58:35.600 the us no and i thought it was actually uh uh iceland but iceland was third it turns out but number one and

00:58:45.680 two were australia and new zealand and then the very next day after finding out that australia and new

00:58:54.720 zealand has the most number of sexual partners i find out that they also have the highest cocaine

00:59:01.840 cocaine use per person and i'm wondering is that a coincidence or could it be that the highest cocaine use

00:59:12.800 gets you the highest body count i don't know or could it be that they just really like to party

00:59:19.680 i don't know don't know

00:59:24.560 well trump is back from his nato meeting he's back in the u.s and uh but while he was there he said that

00:59:32.880 the ukraine war is quote totally out of control um he did meet with zelensky at the nato summit and he

00:59:42.480 said that zelensky quote couldn't have been nicer and he says he believes zelensky wants to end the war

00:59:50.480 but he's got to meet with putin to see if they can get it ended um other things that trump said

00:59:57.520 suggests that he doesn't really have a you know he doesn't have any traction on ending this one

01:00:03.120 but he's still trying i do like the fact that the way he he characterizes zelensky is how nice zelensky

01:00:13.120 was to trump he could not have been nicer and it's so trumpian that he can hate you you know one day

01:00:23.120 and then praise you the next depending on how nice you were to him

01:00:27.120 which which i have always told you is good persuasion because you want to have the the

01:00:33.840 greatest penalty for people who are doing what you don't want which is what trump does gives them

01:00:39.840 the biggest penalty but also the biggest reward if you're doing what he does want so here he is

01:00:46.720 saying he couldn't have been nicer so here he is getting the reward for playing things the way trump

01:00:53.360 wanted to play it but i don't see really much odds that putin wants to end any wars he seems to be sort

01:01:03.680 of winning a little bit um i think russia is still gaining territory albeit slowly and uh their drones are

01:01:13.040 doing a lot of damage so um but in related news um i guess the sky news is reporting that the uk

01:01:23.280 is going to buy a bunch of f-35s from the us and those can carry nuclear weapons and that will make

01:01:31.920 the uk a stronger partner in uh in nato because their uh their nuclear capabilities would be enhanced

01:01:42.080 by that and uh starmer over in the uk calls it a response to radical uncertainty

01:01:49.200 so that's kind of a big deal they've never had that capability before and in uh other news

01:01:58.880 the department of justice filed a lawsuit against orange county uh california registrar of voters

01:02:06.320 for concealing unlawful registration of non-citizen voters of course the gateway pundit

01:02:13.280 um so apparently what this means is that the justice department had asked for

01:02:21.600 um records that would show how many voters were non-citizens

01:02:27.120 and orange county did not want to provide that so there's going to be a court case there and

01:02:36.160 um i saw also in the same article the gateway pundit that orange county um had an unusual outcome

01:02:45.760 because it's sort of the the most conservative part of the state and it didn't go the way that

01:02:52.480 people expected it to so even though trump made california and every place else a little bit redder

01:03:01.440 orange county turned blue at the same time that almost everything else was turning a little redder

01:03:08.480 so we have questions why do we this non-predictable result in this one place

01:03:17.280 and it might be because of who they have they voted maybe we'll find out

01:03:26.400 according to the new york post the trump white house says that the big beautiful bill 0.75

01:03:33.120 would reduce the deficit by more than two trillion dollars over 10 years because of all the economic

01:03:40.560 stimulus and therefore the added uh you know tax revenue that comes in because the economy is doing

01:03:47.120 well do you believe that do you believe that anyone and i guess who did this uh

01:03:57.280 it was members of the white house council of economic advisors so they did their own analysis

01:04:05.040 do you believe that anybody could do a 10-year analysis

01:04:09.280 of our of our of our of our tax collections based on one bill i don't think so but if it helps them sell

01:04:21.360 it i suppose that's a good idea in uh hard to understand events in the sean diddy combs trial

01:04:33.360 apparently there were a whole bunch of different charges and the prosecution decided to drop

01:04:41.280 several of the horrible charges against diddy before it goes to a verdict so they're dropping

01:04:49.200 attempted kidnapping attempted arson and aiding and abetting sex trafficking but that still leaves

01:04:55.600 them with some serious charges that will be part of the jury uh deliberations and the reason given

01:05:05.680 for why they would have all these charges and then drop them is that dropping them would allow them to

01:05:12.080 simplify the jury instructions and i have questions has that ever happened before

01:05:20.880 has the prosecution ever dropped charges for the express purpose of simplifying jury instructions for

01:05:31.280 the other charges maybe or does it mean that they didn't make their case and they they don't want to have

01:05:40.000 a bunch of things that the jury says well you didn't make your case on this thing and that thing so

01:05:46.160 maybe we don't trust the other stuff too i don't know so i guess i'll have to rely on

01:05:55.040 people who have more experience with the courts to explain that to me but is that a good idea from the

01:06:01.920 perspective of the prosecution does that really improve their odds of getting a conviction it might

01:06:09.680 i mean i could see why you don't want to confuse the jury with the instructions but i've never heard of

01:06:17.520 this before and then over in virginia governor youngkin is going to sign into law a ban on using phones in

01:06:27.200 schools which according to just the news is something that 31 states are already doing a bunch of states

01:06:40.000 but from the beginning of school to the end you would not be allowed to use your phone

01:06:45.520 as other states have already decided now don't you think that's a good idea

01:06:53.440 that's probably one of the unambiguously good ideas that you'll ever see but what happens when ai becomes

01:07:03.600 wrapped into your lesson plan which is going to happen you know kids will learn ai to do math ai to write

01:07:12.400 things ai to look at history do you think that they'll reverse that and say that you have to bring

01:07:19.840 your phone in your phone because all the tests will involve you knowing how to use ai to get the answer

01:07:27.360 maybe it's possible that will get reversed at some point

01:07:31.440 i don't know anyway that's what uh that's what i got for today i'm going to talk to the uh locals

01:07:40.960 people my beloved locals members privately and the rest of you thanks for joining

01:07:48.000 um i hear from a lot of people that uh they don't care so much what i talk about

01:07:53.760 they just like listening to my voice and falling asleep to it do you have any idea

01:08:01.280 how many people have told me you know i love falling asleep to your voice

01:08:06.000 and i say to myself i don't know if that's good it's sort of a compliment yeah but uh i guess i've

01:08:17.520 slept with quite a few of you so we'll keep doing that if listening to my voice makes you sleepy

01:08:24.960 and that works for you i'm all for it because as i started out by saying i'm all about being useful

01:08:31.680 useful and if i can be useful at scale as musk says it's the hardest thing i'm all in so if a lot

01:08:42.160 of you were finding it relaxing to listen to me before you fall asleep that's what i'll do so we'll

01:08:49.760 keep doing that all right um i'll see the rest of you tomorrow same time same place and in the meantime

01:08:58.240 in 30 seconds we'll go private for the local subscribers

01:09:28.240 um

01:09:58.240 Thank you.

01:10:28.240 Thank you.

01:10:58.240 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 26, 2025

Episode 2879 CWSA 06⧸26⧸25

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