Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 26, 2025


Episode 2879 CWSA 06⧸26⧸25


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 11 minutes

Words per minute

127.73132

Word count

9,129

Sentence count

10

Harmful content

Misogyny

10

sentences flagged

Hate speech

6

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

The stock market has recovered all of its losses since the tariff scare and is near an all-time high, and the fake news is back where it belongs. Is it all fake news? And who is the leaker?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 man yeah it's good to see you and the early birds are getting the worms
00:00:09.600 but let me check your stock market it's up not much but it's up a little bit
00:00:17.600 tesla is kind of flat nvidia up nuclear is up not bad all right let me get my comments working
00:00:29.280 and then we'll have the show that you deserve
00:00:35.360 yeah the one you deserve not the one you usually get but the one you deserve
00:00:44.480 all right
00:00:44.800 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization
00:01:01.760 and it's called coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to try
00:01:09.360 to take it up to the levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains well
00:01:16.960 all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass to take your chalice this night a canteen sugar
00:01:24.080 flask a vessel of a kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the
00:01:32.000 unparalleled pleasure of the job of the end of the day the thing that makes everything better
00:01:38.080 it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens right now go
00:01:48.000 oh yeah that worked
00:01:50.480 oh well let's uh check in with uh first elon musk news because there's always some um i wouldn't call
00:02:03.440 it news but he was at some event and he was describing how difficult it is to be useful at scale
00:02:12.320 so um i agree with uh elon musk's idea of uh purpose he doesn't say it that way but i feel like
00:02:25.600 that's the point the point is if you're not being useful to anybody you're you're not reaching your full
00:02:34.160 potential and you would probably feel it you would feel less meaning in life so being useful to other
00:02:41.920 people is sort of the best thing you can do especially your family and those close to you your employer
00:02:48.720 that'd be good but um musk is talking about being useful at a scale in other words you know building
00:02:57.600 electric cars and uh taking the humanity to the moon or mars but i have to say that if you wonder what
00:03:08.480 uh makes me do this every single day when i don't have to and what makes me enjoy it is that it feels
00:03:17.680 useful and if people did not say to me literally every single day that they find value in you know
00:03:27.120 listening to the podcast i wouldn't do it you know even if it paid really well um i'd do it because it's
00:03:35.280 useful and that's what gives me meaning so in case you wondered well cnn is reporting that the stock market
00:03:46.720 has recovered all of its uh losses since uh april and it's near an all-time high so remember when
00:03:55.920 everybody got frightened because of the tariff scare and all the smart people were saying oh trump has
00:04:04.400 ruined the economy ruined the economy with his tariff scares and people like me said it's a little bit
00:04:11.520 early um you don't know how this is going to work out it looks like a negotiating thing and if you just
00:04:19.440 wait a few months everything will be fine and what happened the people who said hold on just wait a few
00:04:28.160 months and everything will be fine they uh were right so tariffs were a temporary scare to the economy
00:04:38.480 but they seem to be back where they belong well there's some fake news um that the fake news
00:04:48.080 is that the nato secretary general uh called trump daddy did you see that news that didn't happen
00:05:01.360 so all the news and social media is reporting that nato secretary general called uh trump affectionately
00:05:09.840 daddy and then when trump was asked about it he acted as if that actually happened
00:05:15.680 it didn't happen he used the word daddy but he was talking about the uh metaphor or analogy or whatever
00:05:26.640 it is um because trump mentioned that that uh iran and israel were acting like children
00:05:34.720 and then the uh secretary general said uh you know sometimes you know daddy has to be stern
00:05:42.880 something like that but he was talking about he was talking about the you know the comparison he
00:05:49.760 wasn't talking about trump uh although in that and in that uh telling trump would be representing the
00:05:57.680 daddy but there's a there's a big difference between saying um you know i often call people the internet dads
00:06:06.400 but i'm not i'm not talking to them personally and saying hey daddy it's more of a description of being in charge
00:06:17.280 and taking charge of the children so that's fake news but it's fun well as axios and others are reporting
00:06:28.640 the trump administration is looking for the leaker whoever leaked the uh the battle damage
00:06:36.400 um assessment that said that uh maybe maybe some of the iranians the iranian nuclear program was not
00:06:46.560 destroyed but that was a very preliminary report there was only one person involved it was way early
00:06:56.400 had no authority and was even self-labeled as unreliable but did that stop cnn's natasha
00:07:06.320 bertrand from reporting it no it did not she reported it now how do you how do you find the leaker
00:07:17.200 my understanding is there's a um secure system in which private stuff like this can be presented to
00:07:27.440 some members of congress but not all of them
00:07:29.760 um and i think he is that in all likelihood a member of congress leaked it
00:07:38.960 now how would you ever find that
00:07:43.360 do you check everybody's you know messages
00:07:47.600 do you somehow get approval to look through everybody's uh whatsapp messages
00:07:55.760 and what if it were just done in person if i were a leaker and i knew it was illegal as in this case
00:08:03.200 you know i think pam bondy says the leaker should go to jail if i knew it was illegal
00:08:12.400 i would do it in person in other words i would find somebody to tell even if the person i tell in
00:08:19.520 person is the person who tells the reporter so maybe there's a little distance here but would the leaker
00:08:26.720 be so dumb that they would leave a trail that you could find because you can't really ask the reporter
00:08:34.320 because they can just say hey it's a confidential source so i have a real question whether the fbi can
00:08:43.760 find the source of the leak but anyway uh trump is not too happy with natasha bergman um he said in
00:08:53.200 a truth post that she should be fired from cnn and and i'm quoting him thrown out like a dog
00:09:05.280 yeah i always tell you that trump uh he it's impossible for him to be uninteresting
00:09:12.000 he always brings the show so did he really have to throw out did he have to include she should be
00:09:19.120 thrown out like a dog
00:09:20.320 no that's what makes us so sticky if he'd only said uh you know she doesn't deserve her job or 1.00
00:09:31.600 she should be fired you know maybe you would pay attention to it but when he throws in that
00:09:37.440 she should be thrown out like a dog 0.97
00:09:41.840 how in the world do you ignore that it's just too funny coming from the president
00:09:47.760 but apparently if you don't remember natasha
00:09:50.800 bertrand's history um she was big on saying that the hunter laptop story with russian disinformation
00:10:00.240 which sort of makes her look like a tool of the cia doesn't it she was i think with politico when she 1.00
00:10:07.360 did that brit hume says that she also fell for the steel dossier you know the fake uh russia collusion
00:10:16.960 story as well so imagine being somebody who had reported incorrectly the laptop story and also the
00:10:25.760 fake russia collusion story and then you pop up with this sketchy story does it seem to you as if some
00:10:35.760 people only exist to do the sketchy stuff it makes me wonder does cnn say all right we're going to need
00:10:46.640 at least one cia asset and i'm just i'm making an assumption here so i don't have any evidence that she's 0.54
00:10:54.480 a cia asset or any other asset but don't you wonder if uh since i assume the cia has some influence on
00:11:06.320 our media do you wonder if they say all right you have to hire this one because that's our asset because
00:11:14.160 it would be easier to move an asset into a company than it would be to change somebody into an asset once
00:11:22.880 they're there wouldn't it maybe not anyway um molly hemingway points out she said on x um i'll add
00:11:37.440 that multiple knowledgeable sources tell me that the intel assessment and that's the one that says
00:11:43.440 that the nuclear program was not completely destroyed that the intel assessment being bandaged
00:11:50.320 about specifically notes it was done the day after the strike needs weeks more analysis
00:11:58.080 and it was not done in conjunction with other intel agencies and was given a low confidence rating
00:12:05.680 so why did it even exist
00:12:10.800 don't you have a question like why why would anybody put that in writing
00:12:17.120 i mean all they're putting in writing is we have no fucking idea what happened it's way too early
00:12:23.600 why would you do that so there's there's a question about the leak
00:12:31.040 but i would argue that there should be a question about the analyst who put together that analysis do you
00:12:38.720 think that analyst was pro-trump
00:12:44.080 maybe or does it seem more likely that the analyst who did that so hastily was maybe anti-trump
00:12:55.360 maybe possibly yeah as i've jokingly but not really jokingly said the the bomb damage assessment or if you
00:13:06.160 prefer battle damage assessment is based entirely upon how much you like trump
00:13:12.640 if you like trump it was obliterated if you don't like trump i don't know they may have had that uh
00:13:21.600 all the good stuff somewhere else you never really know do you
00:13:26.800 well trump is uh reiterating that the nuclear program in iran was totally obliterated i've never
00:13:34.320 heard that word so many times in one week obliterated it's a good word uh but he also says
00:13:42.640 which uh softens his message a little bit you know just just so he's got a little wiggle room there
00:13:49.600 he also says that iran would not dare rebuild its nuclear industry because they they know they would
00:13:55.760 be attacked again all right so which is it is it totally obliterated and it's going to take years
00:14:03.920 to build it back or did we send such a strong message that it doesn't really matter if it's totally
00:14:11.760 obliterated because they know we've come back feels it feels like there's a little bit of wiggle room there
00:14:19.360 you know just in case but here when i watch the news and and how the trump administration is handling their messaging
00:14:29.120 um i'm kind of impressed that trump is selling the obliterated 0.92
00:14:35.920 message because a lot of people are you know repeating obliterated obliterated and he's so good
00:14:43.200 at making you remember his little uh sound bites and that that's one of them he just repeats it and repeats
00:14:51.920 it until if somebody asked you well what do you know about that attack you would just immediately think
00:14:58.880 well obliterated so that part is great
00:15:04.960 but uh i would argue that trump is also cleverly conflating two things that you should not conflate
00:15:16.320 one is did they destroy the things that we're aiming at and i would say especially after today's
00:15:24.800 briefing which i didn't catch all of it but i saw some reporting on it um it does sound like
00:15:31.200 they have a pretty good idea that they did obliterate everything they aimed at would you agree uh there's
00:15:40.000 nothing that's a hundred percent but when when you hear the description of you know the bombs and the
00:15:48.000 military people who know what they're talking about and was it kane yeah um general dan raisin kane
00:15:56.160 um when he when he did his uh explanation i didn't catch all of it because i was preparing for the show
00:16:05.360 so i was a little busy but here's the one thing i learned for sure if you thought you could do bomb
00:16:12.720 damage assessment or battle damage assessment if you prefer by looking at those satellite pictures
00:16:19.760 we're all fucking idiots 0.96
00:16:26.320 i think everything i assumed everything just everything i assumed by looking at the satellite
00:16:32.480 pictures was wrong now i i didn't catch all the details but if you follow the news today you'll find out
00:16:40.960 that i think i have this right that the three holes we saw um people like me assumed that oh they must
00:16:50.640 have been putting two bombs in each hole and and that's the hole that the bombs went into
00:16:56.560 um but apparently those are not the bomb holes those are the ventilation holes
00:17:04.240 that show that to show that there was a explosion from the inside from the bomb that doesn't show its
00:17:10.880 own hole because it goes so deeply i guess it gets you know buried behind itself
00:17:17.920 but you can see the you know the blast was so severe that it blew the tops off of the ventilation holes
00:17:24.880 now and there was something about several of the bombs going into the same hole or something like that
00:17:32.960 so i don't i didn't get all the details but but the one thing i learned for sure is i'm never going
00:17:39.360 to try to do bomb damage assessment by looking at a satellite picture again we we had no idea what any of
00:17:46.800 that meant we were we were guessing so hard that by the time they explained what you're really looking at
00:17:54.960 you just you just feel like an idiot 0.79
00:17:59.120 so i do here here's the thing that's conflated um i will accept as of today i i accept that there's a
00:18:11.280 really high chance that everything they aimed at got totally destroyed and i think the iaea whatever they
00:18:20.240 are eieio um i think they said yeah that stuff is so sensitive that if you you know consider the
00:18:28.560 severity of the blast and the sensitivity of the equipment in there it's definitely destroyed
00:18:35.040 so but is that the whole story would you agree that if you knew that everything they aimed at they
00:18:45.680 did destroy completely if that's what you knew would you also conclude that they had set back the
00:18:54.960 nuclear program by years would you conclude that well you would only do that if you're conflating two
00:19:03.520 things they should not be conflated number one did they destroy the things they were aiming at
00:19:10.080 that looks like a yes i i'm gonna i'm gonna say yes on that number two which should not be conflated
00:19:18.640 with that question is was there anything that they should have destroyed that they didn't know about
00:19:26.000 was anything moved that could have been used given that apparently they made their own equipment
00:19:34.080 the centrifuges uh i don't know if they made all of it but they made parts for it at least
00:19:41.200 is there any possibility that they made some extras that were not yet installed and they just put
00:19:49.280 them in a warehouse somebody someplace that would be innocuous maybe so the thing we don't know and
00:19:58.000 probably can't know well you know unless the spies tell us later i guess um is whether there was anything
00:20:05.360 that was moved or anything that was always in a different location we don't really know that
00:20:12.720 so trump and eggseth and you know all the admin people are trying to sell you that we got everything that
00:20:22.880 matters and that might be true um i i'm not ruling it out at all but can you automatically assume
00:20:32.080 that iran knowing that fordell would be the main target and knowing that you know we'd be coming
00:20:39.760 after all their nuclear assets can we assume they didn't do anything about that in advance they didn't
00:20:46.640 have any time to plan for that you know there wasn't there wasn't some you know obvious planning
00:20:57.120 to make sure that at least some of that got moved to another site or maybe they had another thing ready
00:21:02.320 to go don't know but don't conflate did they hit what they wanted to and destroy it with does that mean
00:21:12.640 we got everything because the second part is unknowable yet i mean eventually spies might tell you that we
00:21:20.640 got everything um but i wouldn't conflate those and then uh trump and hegseth are also trying to conflate
00:21:29.760 the question of whether the uh the pilots destroyed every part of the nuclear program with the question
00:21:40.000 of are you respecting the the skill of the pilots and the professionalism of the military
00:21:48.640 as uh caitlin collins of cnn said everybody is impressed by the military
00:21:54.640 uh i would say that 100 percent of the public and all of the media is on the same page that was an
00:22:03.760 impressive uh military action and that if you don't respect that well i i just don't even know if
00:22:14.640 you can be an observer of course you respect that of course you do but i think um trump and hanks that
00:22:23.440 they're trying to have it as a little bit of suppressive fire that if you act like maybe there's
00:22:29.680 something that should have been bombed that wasn't bombed that you're disrespecting the pilots nobody's
00:22:36.320 disrespecting the pilots so in case in case there's any uh confusion i really am impressed by the job that
00:22:47.600 the military did like really really impressed and i'm pretty sure most if not every single american is
00:22:56.400 having that same feeling about the military they may have all kinds of feelings about everything else
00:23:03.600 but that's not really in question so it's offensive to me that if i ask a question about what we know about
00:23:13.440 the damage that someone would say are you disrespecting our military no no those are not the same topic
00:23:26.080 and anyway so that's that's where that's at um
00:23:31.600 all right what else uh so according to uh democrats sim i assume senator uh timmy duckworth
00:23:45.280 so yeah the democrats have to find something bad to say about trump and uh here's duckworth uh quote
00:23:54.880 if you were iranian leadership now what this taught you was they better get nuclear weapons very quickly
00:24:01.920 because look at how trump treats countries that have nuclear weapons like north korea right he goes and
00:24:09.040 he pals around with dictators 0.72
00:24:12.960 well she acts like that's a mistake is it a mistake for trump to pal around with kim jong-un
00:24:21.440 so that he takes us off of his target list
00:24:26.560 she acts like that's some kind of mistake would it be a mistake
00:24:31.840 and first of all you know north korea you know i would say is completely contained
00:24:38.640 they they just don't have a reason to go after the united states and that's a pretty darn good job by the
00:24:44.720 president if he removed the reason that anybody would have a you know impulse to attack us nuclear
00:24:53.200 but uh is it true that the iranians would now feel more more incentivized to get nuclear fast well yes and no
00:25:04.960 yes and no if they could do it without being caught of course i i absolutely agree if they could do it
00:25:15.440 without being caught but do you think iran believes they could do it without being caught
00:25:21.360 they just executed 700 of their own citizens allegedly for a suspicion of being spies
00:25:32.000 700
00:25:34.640 now i have some real question about how many of them were actually spies
00:25:39.360 versus you know people who got turned in by their neighbors who didn't like them
00:25:43.200 but if you're iran and you believe that there were 700 spies that you could find
00:25:52.720 and that's not even counting the ones that you couldn't identify
00:25:56.560 do you think they would feel comfortable relaunching a nuclear program and think that nobody would know
00:26:02.880 it doesn't seem possible at this point so duckworth i would agree that if they could do it in you know
00:26:12.480 total confidentiality they would they would definitely do it but there's not really much of a practical
00:26:20.240 possibility of that i don't think i think israel is too deeply in their pockets anyway
00:26:26.880 um ex uh congressman jamal bowman who's a democrat was on cnn and he said some crazy
00:26:38.720 which is always funny when democrats are crazy he says that the stress of being called the n-word
00:26:46.320 either directly or indirectly is why blacks suffer more from obesity and cancer
00:26:51.680 how many of you think that's true that the reason that blacks have more obesity and cancer
00:27:03.040 is because they're it's stressful to be directly or indirectly called the n-word now what would
00:27:11.040 what would be an example of indirectly being called the n-word i guess that would be if you imagine
00:27:17.600 somebody's thinking it but they didn't say it would that be a case of indirectly being called
00:27:26.160 anyway so that was on cnn that was nice and crazy uh i saw end wokeness was reporting on that clip
00:27:34.960 all right let's talk about the supreme leader in iran so was it day before yesterday maybe yesterday
00:27:45.520 i posted this i said uh on x i posted i have a feeling iran's regime already changed all the
00:27:54.400 supreme leaders underlings needed to do was lock him in a bunker and take away his phone quote for
00:28:01.600 his own safety now remember that sentence okay so i said all they had to do was lock him in a bunker
00:28:08.000 take away take away his phone and say it was for his own safety and then i said then tell anyone who
00:28:15.040 asks that the supreme leader isn't meeting with anyone in person but you know his orders and then i i said
00:28:23.120 just to tie it all together i said it worked for joe biden and it did so we're still trying to figure out
00:28:31.760 you know who was you know who was you know completely behind the auto pen although we know one person
00:28:38.000 now and we're trying to figure out who was influencing biden because he wasn't quite all with it etc so
00:28:47.360 given that the supreme leader is 86 wait 86
00:28:52.960 86 is the number where you get rid of stuff i wonder if they 86 the 86 year old it's kind of a weird
00:29:04.320 simulation coincidence but um there was a new report i saw in mario knoffel's post and i by the way i do
00:29:16.880 know that the supreme leader did some posting today and he made a video today so i'll
00:29:22.800 get to that in a moment but before i saw that um i saw a report from iranian state tv in the new york
00:29:32.080 times uh mario knoffel was reporting on it uh on axe and and the report is that uh the supreme leader
00:29:42.560 was reportedly missing for a week and that there's a power struggle going on now this is unconfirmed of
00:29:50.800 course but these are the reports um and as mario said the iran supreme leader hasn't been seen
00:29:58.240 publicly since before their strikes and there was a nationwide concern and political inviting
00:30:06.880 apparently a state tv in iran a host asked an official from the supreme leader's office what millions of
00:30:16.080 people were wondering he said people are very worried about the supreme leader can you tell us how he is
00:30:22.560 so even the uh media in iran was saying i wonder what's up with him and then officials said that uh
00:30:32.560 khamenei was sheltering in a bunker does that sound familiar he was sheltering in a bunker but we knew that
00:30:40.560 right and he was without electronic communication to avoid assassination so they literally took his
00:30:49.280 phone away and told him it was for his own safety which it was you know legitimately it was for his own
00:30:56.080 safety but was that the only reason they took his phone away
00:31:01.120 and his absence during the ceasefire negotiations raised questions about who was running it
00:31:09.360 and i guess the president who does not have nearly as much power as the supreme leader of course
00:31:15.920 um he called the current situation a quote golden opportunity for change
00:31:21.440 really the president of iran is saying that uh the war and all the destruction is a golden opportunity for
00:31:33.280 change does that sound like something that the supreme leader would say it doesn't does it that sounds
00:31:41.680 like something you would say if the supreme leader was already pushed aside then in that case
00:31:50.160 yes that might be a golden opportunity for change
00:31:55.280 so that would be an interesting an interesting framing of the situation from iran's president
00:32:02.800 unless the 86 year old supreme leader had already been you know nudged to the sidelines but
00:32:11.200 let's go on and uh four senior officials confirmed that their rival factions battling for control in iran
00:32:20.160 and uh then i saw separately that uh that the supreme leader was being guarded
00:32:29.680 and the guarding part is really the the key part of the story
00:32:35.440 by the valley amer special forces unit of the revolutionary guards
00:32:40.960 um and they would be you know the most loyal effective security he could have unless
00:32:50.800 they got flipped or they were taken down by some other military unit
00:32:56.400 so do we know for sure that they're the ones guarding him i don't know
00:33:01.680 but there was a new video message and some a number of posts on x today which sounded like they were in
00:33:11.360 response to people saying where the hell is the supreme leader so it looks like uh the supreme leader
00:33:18.720 wanted to make sure that people knew he was still alive and in charge
00:33:22.880 or or was it like joe biden where there would occasionally be a recorded message
00:33:32.800 because i needed to make sure he didn't say anything that wasn't approved by his
00:33:37.360 captors or does he think he's still in charge and the people who allowed him to do the video
00:33:47.120 presumably from the bunker did he think he was doing you know supreme leader stuff
00:33:55.200 and the people who allowed him to do it and facilitated getting the cameras in there and everything
00:34:01.520 is it possible that they're just sort of leading him on and pretending that he's still in charge
00:34:08.160 both for public consumption and also for his consumption so he thinks
00:34:13.360 thinks that he's still relevant while they battle it out behind the scenes for who's who's really
00:34:19.440 going to run the country maybe but uh so khamele or is that khamele
00:34:28.880 i just know you have to clear your mouth after you say it khamele
00:34:33.120 so he's claiming victory over israel and uh he says he quote delivered a hand slap to america's faces
00:34:40.640 um he said that iran was victorious in their 12-day war um and he said the islamic republic was
00:34:54.400 victorious and in retaliation delivered a hand slap to america's face so that would be the 0.95
00:35:01.120 the uh the attacks that they warned the u.s about and killed or injured no americans
00:35:08.720 so that would be the hand slap
00:35:13.120 and he said the u.s had nuclear sites but couldn't achieve much
00:35:18.960 well and he said that u.s president trump needed to do showmanship
00:35:25.520 with all the commotion and all the claims the zionist regime was practically knocked out
00:35:30.960 and crushed under the blows of the islamic republic now that all is pretty generic isn't it it does it 0.92
00:35:40.480 does show that he made it recently because it was after the uh the attacks on the american base that were
00:35:47.600 kind of weak but does it show that he's in charge
00:35:54.080 well i don't know it could be that there's a lot of uh you know maneuvering behind the scenes and he
00:36:02.400 might end up in charge again he might stay in charge or it's entirely possible entirely possible
00:36:12.240 that uh they're they're joe bidening him they are putting him forward as if he's in charge
00:36:18.240 will they really make all the important decisions because at 86
00:36:26.080 you know how much capacity does he even have so they probably were already making a lot of decisions
00:36:32.480 without him and he was just involved in the real high high level stuff like biden so i think uh
00:36:40.400 there's still the possibility that uh you know leadership has changed or it might change
00:36:48.880 even though he's doing some public stuff now
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00:37:52.000 and let's see um speaking of that um jill biden's quote work husband um as has decided he will not
00:38:07.440 testify to the house oversight uh committee even though they asked him to but he hasn't been subpoenaed
00:38:14.720 yet so i suppose they'll do that next but anthony burnell so he was the the former advisor to the first lady
00:38:24.160 jill um was sometimes called her work husband and some people say that he was the most influential
00:38:34.080 person in the administration because he could influence her and then she could influence him 0.60
00:38:39.280 um biden and uh that he was actually one of the powers behind the the curtain i don't know about that
00:38:49.360 but uh i'd love to hear him explain it um then weirdly here's something i didn't expect uh trump did a very
00:38:59.760 lengthy truth social post um calling for israel to cancel the court proceedings against netanyahu
00:39:09.280 so apparently netanyahu has some you know major legal issues he has to work on i don't know the details
00:39:19.520 and i don't know if any of the charges are legitimate but uh trump is calling it a ridiculous witch hunt
00:39:28.240 and uh you know just mentioned what a great job netanyahu did working with trump that's trump's
00:39:35.360 current public opinion is that netanyahu was an amazing partner he was just amazing and they did so well
00:39:44.000 together that may have not been true every minute of their working together because there is a
00:39:50.880 reporting that trump had a stern phone call with netanyahu about a ceasefire uh but at the moment you
00:39:58.640 would like you would like you to believe that um the charges against netanyahu are fake and they're law
00:40:05.440 fair and political and they should be dropped because he's such a good leader and did such a good job now do
00:40:13.200 you think that trump did that on his own do you think he was just looking at the news and of israel and thought
00:40:22.080 you know what i'm gonna weigh in there and you know really try to support him because is there any chance
00:40:29.920 at all that israel is going to pay attention to trump's preference for what their court should do
00:40:35.520 i i don't think so so why would he even say it i don't know but it looks like maybe there was a an
00:40:44.800 arrangement it looks like uh maybe um israel did something for trump or maybe netanyahu specifically
00:40:56.560 and uh maybe trump is returning the favor even even though he knows it won't make a difference
00:41:02.480 but it makes a difference in how we think about netanyahu so that's a little bit of a difference
00:41:10.720 anyway um in other news um trump is reportedly according to the wall street journal he's uh
00:41:19.440 considering naming uh the new fed chair before the end of the term of uh powell and i guess
00:41:28.000 yes powell's uh term would run out in may and normally you um apparently normally you nominate
00:41:37.600 the new person a few months before the old person's term is up so that the new person has time to
00:41:46.320 you know get acclimated to the job and learn what's what but trump is considering maybe naming
00:41:53.280 the new person way ahead of time like any moment now uh because that person would be like a backseat
00:42:01.920 driver so they would put a little pressure on powell maybe to quit early because he'd have a backseat
00:42:09.280 driver saying well you know if i were in charge already and i will be in charge in a few months
00:42:15.920 but if i were in charge already i'd be lowering those interest rates so that would be a little
00:42:23.600 extra public pressure on powell and if it happened to you if you were in that job wouldn't you at least
00:42:32.960 think about quitting early because it would just be so annoying and humiliating and just it just
00:42:41.200 wouldn't feel right to have that backseat driver so it's kind of a clever plan i don't know if it'd work
00:42:49.200 but i could see why they might try
00:42:54.640 well let's talk about this new york city socialist so there's a lot of comments on
00:43:03.040 uh the uh guy who looks like he's gonna win the general election and become uh the new mayor of new
00:43:11.920 york city zoran mamdani now i don't hate the fact that his first name zoran sounds like superman's nemesis
00:43:25.440 doesn't zoran sound like he came from the same planet as superman and you know there's going to be a fight
00:43:33.360 anyway i like his first name and he was born in where uganda he was born in africa and he's a muslim
00:43:42.080 and a socialist um some are calling him a communist but uh he's not technically a communist but he's
00:43:52.320 definitely a socialist um john fetterman who's on the same team allegedly you know a democrat he said
00:44:00.720 that uh mom mom donis win which is so far only in the primaries but he'll probably win the general
00:44:07.440 if the polls are correct he goes quote i'd describe it as christmas in july for the gop
00:44:13.680 okay so fetterman who is not a socialist and sometimes agrees with the framing of the republicans
00:44:22.960 like now um believes that it's basically suicide for the uh the democrats because you got a midterm
00:44:33.200 coming up and wouldn't it be convenient if the republicans who had to run in the midterms
00:44:40.320 could refer to new york city hiring a socialist as you know a cautionary tale it's like oh don't
00:44:48.560 be like that so yes fetterman is correct um the republicans will probably be pretty happy
00:44:56.880 if he gets elected at least in terms of how it would affect the midterms
00:45:01.040 um and uh then let's see what else uh bill clinton just congratulated mom doni acted like there was
00:45:12.320 nothing unusual about it so that was unusual um and uh mom domini has uh pledged to quote root out
00:45:24.880 bigotry across new york city with an 800 increase in funding for hate crime prevention programs so
00:45:36.000 that sounds good on paper we of course uh yeah we of course would need to know the details on that
00:45:45.360 james carville as you know one of the democrat strategists of of old um he was talking about mom
00:45:54.240 doni's and uh he said uh he's not walked back some of the things that he's posted about in the past
00:46:02.320 that were more controversial such as uh globalize the uh intifada
00:46:11.440 because uh the pro-israel people say that that's a call for violence and uh against israel
00:46:18.480 um whereas uh the anti-israel people say it's merely a call for a struggle against oppression
00:46:28.000 but that'd be a pretty damaging thing to have hanging out there and republicans would certainly
00:46:35.120 make it sound like he is anti-israel and they could they could sell that yeah they could sell that
00:46:42.160 um according to axios there's a guy that's the president and strategist of bianco research who wrote
00:46:54.640 on a post on x quote it appears in new york city is elected to commit suicide by mayor instead of suicide
00:47:03.840 by cop suicide by mayor and uh let's see what else and then of course there's some fear that a lot of the
00:47:19.280 businesses will want to escape from the socialist um taxation and and other problems that will come
00:47:26.400 with new york city if he's elected and that they might escape like ken griffin did he's already
00:47:32.560 relocated to miami and uh there's there's a warning that new york could go the direction of you know
00:47:41.280 detroit and baltimore and some of these other places but bill ackman investor bill ackman who's been a lot
00:47:52.400 involved in political stuff in the last year or two he had a very long post and he he's optimistic
00:48:01.280 that uh mom daddy could be defeated even though it would be too late for somebody to enter the race 1.00
00:48:08.320 in the normal way but he says that if somebody you know is qualified and a superstar and they want to
00:48:16.800 run as a write-in now what are the odds that a write-in candidate would get elected in new york city
00:48:24.240 well not very high right a write-in candidate that when was the last time a write-in candidate won any
00:48:33.920 kind of major election in the u.s i've never actually heard of it
00:48:40.720 but bill ackman says that if such a superstar candidate wanted to run as a write-in that he will
00:48:48.000 quote take care of the fundraising and he could definitely take care of the fundraising so he
00:48:54.880 would have all the money he needed he or she and they'd be right in does that sound like it might work
00:49:07.040 i don't know i i would have to know if it's ever worked in the history of elections in the united
00:49:14.000 states maybe in a small town but for something as big as the mayor of new york could that ever work
00:49:22.880 i don't know i'm skeptical
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00:49:40.320 think and then tyler wingel boss one of the wingel boss twins who's uh i believe they're both
00:49:48.480 billionaires at this point in crypto and he said a lot of people have asked me if i will get involved
00:49:54.880 in the new york state new york city mayor race by supporting some other candidate and he says i'm torn
00:50:02.400 and undecided um he said like every other city run by democrats new york city is a broken
00:50:09.920 kleptocracy taxes are astronomical and services are pathetic to non-existent
00:50:16.640 anarchy and socialism are the next logical steps in this story arc
00:50:23.120 he goes on saying is what the people of new york city have been asking for for years
00:50:28.240 and it looks like it's what they're about to get
00:50:31.440 he says trying to fight against this tide seems like throwing good money after bad and then he he said
00:50:38.320 some more but then he said it appears things will have to get worse in new york city before they get
00:50:43.280 better so one point of view is that the only way new york city is going to get better is you have to let
00:50:51.840 socialism try and fail and then people will be willing to try something else
00:50:58.000 um others would deeply disagree with that because if you let it go too far it might be just too hard to
00:51:06.000 save it i saw mike cernovich was disagreeing with giving an inch and you know would prefer fighting
00:51:13.760 to you know maintain as much territory as you can um but i'm gonna go with uh winklevoss and it's not
00:51:23.760 that i want a failure in new york city it's just that i don't know that any democrat city has ever climbed
00:51:31.280 down of it in recent years i don't know if they can my my best assumption about the real world
00:51:41.440 is that it can only go in one direction at this point and i think the big democrat run cities are
00:51:48.320 essentially just criminal enterprises and the odds of a socialist coming in and fixing it are close to
00:51:56.160 zero it feels like so it doesn't feel like they have a plan and it looks like it's pretty dire and
00:52:05.280 i would go with if you can get out of any democrat run city unless it's in a republican state because
00:52:14.720 some of the democrat cities and republican states uh are doing okay but if you're a democrat city in a
00:52:22.080 democrat state and you're about ready to um elect a socialist
00:52:29.840 i would say leave that would be that would be my advice get out of there now i realize that losing
00:52:37.760 new york city would be just the worst thing for america but it might not be you know it might be time to
00:52:44.880 uh to uh to know when to hold them and know when to fold them you know there's uh
00:52:53.760 um yeah i'm seeing in the comments a lot of people say that uh giuliani did in fact save the city
00:53:01.760 now i will give you that that giuliani did in fact you know turned around new york city but i don't know
00:53:09.680 that that's still possible uh maybe you just need somebody who's that popular wasn't didn't giuliani
00:53:17.920 get elected no he got elected before 9-11 so do you do you believe that a republican or even just a
00:53:27.600 non-insane democrat could get elected in in any upcoming year i don't know i i feel like the
00:53:37.440 the the window in which a giuliani could get elected probably is closed so my feeling is that
00:53:46.480 some of these might not be fixable i mean i don't see baltimore getting fixed i don't see detroit getting
00:53:52.400 fixed and new york city might be joining it i don't want that to happen so unlike uh you know unlike
00:54:02.320 those who say you gotta let it fail before it gets better i only think it might fail um i don't really
00:54:09.920 foresee the it failed and therefore people got smarter and elected better leadership and fixed it
00:54:18.320 i don't really see a way that this gets fixed and i'm pretty optimistic you know if you've watched me
00:54:25.840 for a while i generally think everything can get fixed but there's there's a systemic problem
00:54:33.360 with some of these cities and there's nobody suggested any fix for the systemic problems
00:54:39.040 and one is that they're all criminal enterprises it would be sort of like well you're i guess this is
00:54:47.120 bad analogy but i won't i'm not going to say that new york city is like the mexican cartels they're not
00:54:56.720 the same but i will say that if you were expecting the mexican cartels to fix themselves because they got
00:55:06.400 better leadership and then they got out of the drug business and turned to legitimate businesses and started
00:55:13.520 helping mexico be a good good country would you think well that could happen yeah yeah the cartels
00:55:22.640 just need a giuliani uh if they get a better leadership then they would stop selling drugs and
00:55:29.680 killing people and they would just turn to you know legal enterprise and the answer is nobody expects
00:55:37.200 that's possible no matter how much of an optimist you are nobody says themselves well i think those
00:55:44.800 mexican cartels can turn around so at what point does new york city and the kleptocracy as tyler 0.77
00:55:53.520 winklevoss calls it at what point does the system become something you could plop a giuliani into it and
00:56:01.440 fix it i feel like they've passed that point but that's just my feeling i'd love to be wrong so if
00:56:09.840 i'm wrong that would be just the best thing to be wrong about um trump is uh doing a little branding
00:56:19.520 of the democrats uh he's referring to jasmine crockett as low iq jasmine crockett and he thinks that
00:56:27.760 jasmine crockett and aoc and what he calls communist mayors or on mamdani should be the leadership of 1.00
00:56:36.160 the democrats so basically he's mocking them for having leaders that are completely impractical
00:56:44.640 bad idea and it should make you know normal democrats just give up
00:56:51.120 because if that's who's representing them you know good luck with that
00:56:57.760 well in other news the house republicans are trying to get some testimony from act blue that's
00:57:04.880 the big uh money gathering enterprise that funds the democrat races everywhere and uh at the same
00:57:14.640 time the department of justice is doing a probe because there are allegations that act blue was
00:57:21.520 involved in widespread donation fraud so we'll find out if any of that's true i don't know how long it
00:57:28.480 takes the doj to do his job but maybe congress can get to the bottom of it first
00:57:38.080 well there's a uh story here from bloomberg and unodc that says australia has the highest cocaine use on
00:57:49.360 earth and new zealand is right behind it so the biggest per capita uh cocaine users are australia
00:58:00.640 and new zealand now the reason i bring that up is because by complete coincidence i was watching a
00:58:09.760 reel is it called a reel on instagram in which there was some guy going around and asking people if they
00:58:18.560 knew uh which country had the highest body count now body count refers to how many people you've had
00:58:26.880 sex with in your life so he kept asking people and they would say you know brazil and he'd say no
00:58:35.600 the us no and i thought it was actually uh uh iceland but iceland was third it turns out but number one and
00:58:45.680 two were australia and new zealand and then the very next day after finding out that australia and new
00:58:54.720 zealand has the most number of sexual partners i find out that they also have the highest cocaine
00:59:01.840 cocaine use per person and i'm wondering is that a coincidence or could it be that the highest cocaine use
00:59:12.800 gets you the highest body count i don't know or could it be that they just really like to party
00:59:19.680 i don't know don't know
00:59:24.560 well trump is back from his nato meeting he's back in the u.s and uh but while he was there he said that
00:59:32.880 the ukraine war is quote totally out of control um he did meet with zelensky at the nato summit and he
00:59:42.480 said that zelensky quote couldn't have been nicer and he says he believes zelensky wants to end the war
00:59:50.480 but he's got to meet with putin to see if they can get it ended um other things that trump said
00:59:57.520 suggests that he doesn't really have a you know he doesn't have any traction on ending this one
01:00:03.120 but he's still trying i do like the fact that the way he he characterizes zelensky is how nice zelensky
01:00:13.120 was to trump he could not have been nicer and it's so trumpian that he can hate you you know one day
01:00:23.120 and then praise you the next depending on how nice you were to him
01:00:27.120 which which i have always told you is good persuasion because you want to have the the
01:00:33.840 greatest penalty for people who are doing what you don't want which is what trump does gives them
01:00:39.840 the biggest penalty but also the biggest reward if you're doing what he does want so here he is
01:00:46.720 saying he couldn't have been nicer so here he is getting the reward for playing things the way trump
01:00:53.360 wanted to play it but i don't see really much odds that putin wants to end any wars he seems to be sort
01:01:03.680 of winning a little bit um i think russia is still gaining territory albeit slowly and uh their drones are
01:01:13.040 doing a lot of damage so um but in related news um i guess the sky news is reporting that the uk
01:01:23.280 is going to buy a bunch of f-35s from the us and those can carry nuclear weapons and that will make
01:01:31.920 the uk a stronger partner in uh in nato because their uh their nuclear capabilities would be enhanced
01:01:42.080 by that and uh starmer over in the uk calls it a response to radical uncertainty
01:01:49.200 so that's kind of a big deal they've never had that capability before and in uh other news
01:01:58.880 the department of justice filed a lawsuit against orange county uh california registrar of voters
01:02:06.320 for concealing unlawful registration of non-citizen voters of course the gateway pundit
01:02:13.280 um so apparently what this means is that the justice department had asked for
01:02:21.600 um records that would show how many voters were non-citizens
01:02:27.120 and orange county did not want to provide that so there's going to be a court case there and
01:02:36.160 um i saw also in the same article the gateway pundit that orange county um had an unusual outcome
01:02:45.760 because it's sort of the the most conservative part of the state and it didn't go the way that
01:02:52.480 people expected it to so even though trump made california and every place else a little bit redder
01:03:01.440 orange county turned blue at the same time that almost everything else was turning a little redder
01:03:08.480 so we have questions why do we this non-predictable result in this one place
01:03:17.280 and it might be because of who they have they voted maybe we'll find out
01:03:26.400 according to the new york post the trump white house says that the big beautiful bill 0.75
01:03:33.120 would reduce the deficit by more than two trillion dollars over 10 years because of all the economic
01:03:40.560 stimulus and therefore the added uh you know tax revenue that comes in because the economy is doing
01:03:47.120 well do you believe that do you believe that anyone and i guess who did this uh
01:03:57.280 it was members of the white house council of economic advisors so they did their own analysis
01:04:05.040 do you believe that anybody could do a 10-year analysis
01:04:09.280 of our of our of our of our tax collections based on one bill i don't think so but if it helps them sell
01:04:21.360 it i suppose that's a good idea in uh hard to understand events in the sean diddy combs trial
01:04:33.360 apparently there were a whole bunch of different charges and the prosecution decided to drop
01:04:41.280 several of the horrible charges against diddy before it goes to a verdict so they're dropping
01:04:49.200 attempted kidnapping attempted arson and aiding and abetting sex trafficking but that still leaves
01:04:55.600 them with some serious charges that will be part of the jury uh deliberations and the reason given
01:05:05.680 for why they would have all these charges and then drop them is that dropping them would allow them to
01:05:12.080 simplify the jury instructions and i have questions has that ever happened before
01:05:20.880 has the prosecution ever dropped charges for the express purpose of simplifying jury instructions for
01:05:31.280 the other charges maybe or does it mean that they didn't make their case and they they don't want to have
01:05:40.000 a bunch of things that the jury says well you didn't make your case on this thing and that thing so
01:05:46.160 maybe we don't trust the other stuff too i don't know so i guess i'll have to rely on
01:05:55.040 people who have more experience with the courts to explain that to me but is that a good idea from the
01:06:01.920 perspective of the prosecution does that really improve their odds of getting a conviction it might
01:06:09.680 i mean i could see why you don't want to confuse the jury with the instructions but i've never heard of
01:06:17.520 this before and then over in virginia governor youngkin is going to sign into law a ban on using phones in
01:06:27.200 schools which according to just the news is something that 31 states are already doing a bunch of states
01:06:40.000 but from the beginning of school to the end you would not be allowed to use your phone
01:06:45.520 as other states have already decided now don't you think that's a good idea
01:06:53.440 that's probably one of the unambiguously good ideas that you'll ever see but what happens when ai becomes
01:07:03.600 wrapped into your lesson plan which is going to happen you know kids will learn ai to do math ai to write
01:07:12.400 things ai to look at history do you think that they'll reverse that and say that you have to bring
01:07:19.840 your phone in your phone because all the tests will involve you knowing how to use ai to get the answer
01:07:27.360 maybe it's possible that will get reversed at some point
01:07:31.440 i don't know anyway that's what uh that's what i got for today i'm going to talk to the uh locals
01:07:40.960 people my beloved locals members privately and the rest of you thanks for joining
01:07:48.000 um i hear from a lot of people that uh they don't care so much what i talk about
01:07:53.760 they just like listening to my voice and falling asleep to it do you have any idea
01:08:01.280 how many people have told me you know i love falling asleep to your voice
01:08:06.000 and i say to myself i don't know if that's good it's sort of a compliment yeah but uh i guess i've
01:08:17.520 slept with quite a few of you so we'll keep doing that if listening to my voice makes you sleepy
01:08:24.960 and that works for you i'm all for it because as i started out by saying i'm all about being useful
01:08:31.680 useful and if i can be useful at scale as musk says it's the hardest thing i'm all in so if a lot
01:08:42.160 of you were finding it relaxing to listen to me before you fall asleep that's what i'll do so we'll
01:08:49.760 keep doing that all right um i'll see the rest of you tomorrow same time same place and in the meantime
01:08:58.240 in 30 seconds we'll go private for the local subscribers
01:09:28.240 um
01:09:58.240 Thank you.
01:10:28.240 Thank you.
01:10:58.240 Thank you.