Episode 2879 CWSA 06⧸26⧸25
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 11 minutes
Words per Minute
127.73132
Summary
The stock market has recovered all of its losses since the tariff scare and is near an all-time high, and the fake news is back where it belongs. Is it all fake news? And who is the leaker?
Transcript
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man yeah it's good to see you and the early birds are getting the worms
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but let me check your stock market it's up not much but it's up a little bit
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tesla is kind of flat nvidia up nuclear is up not bad all right let me get my comments working
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yeah the one you deserve not the one you usually get but the one you deserve
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good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization
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and it's called coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to try
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to take it up to the levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains well
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all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass to take your chalice this night a canteen sugar
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flask a vessel of a kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the
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unparalleled pleasure of the job of the end of the day the thing that makes everything better
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it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens right now go
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oh well let's uh check in with uh first elon musk news because there's always some um i wouldn't call
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it news but he was at some event and he was describing how difficult it is to be useful at scale
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so um i agree with uh elon musk's idea of uh purpose he doesn't say it that way but i feel like
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that's the point the point is if you're not being useful to anybody you're you're not reaching your full
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potential and you would probably feel it you would feel less meaning in life so being useful to other
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people is sort of the best thing you can do especially your family and those close to you your employer
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that'd be good but um musk is talking about being useful at a scale in other words you know building
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electric cars and uh taking the humanity to the moon or mars but i have to say that if you wonder what
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uh makes me do this every single day when i don't have to and what makes me enjoy it is that it feels
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useful and if people did not say to me literally every single day that they find value in you know
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listening to the podcast i wouldn't do it you know even if it paid really well um i'd do it because it's
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useful and that's what gives me meaning so in case you wondered well cnn is reporting that the stock market
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has recovered all of its uh losses since uh april and it's near an all-time high so remember when
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everybody got frightened because of the tariff scare and all the smart people were saying oh trump has
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ruined the economy ruined the economy with his tariff scares and people like me said it's a little bit
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early um you don't know how this is going to work out it looks like a negotiating thing and if you just
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wait a few months everything will be fine and what happened the people who said hold on just wait a few
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months and everything will be fine they uh were right so tariffs were a temporary scare to the economy
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but they seem to be back where they belong well there's some fake news um that the fake news
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is that the nato secretary general uh called trump daddy did you see that news that didn't happen
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so all the news and social media is reporting that nato secretary general called uh trump affectionately
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daddy and then when trump was asked about it he acted as if that actually happened
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it didn't happen he used the word daddy but he was talking about the uh metaphor or analogy or whatever
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it is um because trump mentioned that that uh iran and israel were acting like children
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and then the uh secretary general said uh you know sometimes you know daddy has to be stern
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something like that but he was talking about he was talking about the you know the comparison he
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wasn't talking about trump uh although in that and in that uh telling trump would be representing the
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daddy but there's a there's a big difference between saying um you know i often call people the internet dads
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but i'm not i'm not talking to them personally and saying hey daddy it's more of a description of being in charge
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and taking charge of the children so that's fake news but it's fun well as axios and others are reporting
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the trump administration is looking for the leaker whoever leaked the uh the battle damage
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um assessment that said that uh maybe maybe some of the iranians the iranian nuclear program was not
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destroyed but that was a very preliminary report there was only one person involved it was way early
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had no authority and was even self-labeled as unreliable but did that stop cnn's natasha
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bertrand from reporting it no it did not she reported it now how do you how do you find the leaker
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my understanding is there's a um secure system in which private stuff like this can be presented to
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um and i think he is that in all likelihood a member of congress leaked it
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do you somehow get approval to look through everybody's uh whatsapp messages
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and what if it were just done in person if i were a leaker and i knew it was illegal as in this case
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you know i think pam bondy says the leaker should go to jail if i knew it was illegal
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i would do it in person in other words i would find somebody to tell even if the person i tell in
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person is the person who tells the reporter so maybe there's a little distance here but would the leaker
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be so dumb that they would leave a trail that you could find because you can't really ask the reporter
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because they can just say hey it's a confidential source so i have a real question whether the fbi can
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find the source of the leak but anyway uh trump is not too happy with natasha bergman um he said in
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a truth post that she should be fired from cnn and and i'm quoting him thrown out like a dog
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yeah i always tell you that trump uh he it's impossible for him to be uninteresting
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he always brings the show so did he really have to throw out did he have to include she should be
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no that's what makes us so sticky if he'd only said uh you know she doesn't deserve her job or
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she should be fired you know maybe you would pay attention to it but when he throws in that
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how in the world do you ignore that it's just too funny coming from the president
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bertrand's history um she was big on saying that the hunter laptop story with russian disinformation
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which sort of makes her look like a tool of the cia doesn't it she was i think with politico when she
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did that brit hume says that she also fell for the steel dossier you know the fake uh russia collusion
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story as well so imagine being somebody who had reported incorrectly the laptop story and also the
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fake russia collusion story and then you pop up with this sketchy story does it seem to you as if some
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people only exist to do the sketchy stuff it makes me wonder does cnn say all right we're going to need
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at least one cia asset and i'm just i'm making an assumption here so i don't have any evidence that she's
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a cia asset or any other asset but don't you wonder if uh since i assume the cia has some influence on
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our media do you wonder if they say all right you have to hire this one because that's our asset because
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it would be easier to move an asset into a company than it would be to change somebody into an asset once
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they're there wouldn't it maybe not anyway um molly hemingway points out she said on x um i'll add
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that multiple knowledgeable sources tell me that the intel assessment and that's the one that says
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that the nuclear program was not completely destroyed that the intel assessment being bandaged
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about specifically notes it was done the day after the strike needs weeks more analysis
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and it was not done in conjunction with other intel agencies and was given a low confidence rating
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don't you have a question like why why would anybody put that in writing
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i mean all they're putting in writing is we have no fucking idea what happened it's way too early
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why would you do that so there's there's a question about the leak
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but i would argue that there should be a question about the analyst who put together that analysis do you
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maybe or does it seem more likely that the analyst who did that so hastily was maybe anti-trump
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maybe possibly yeah as i've jokingly but not really jokingly said the the bomb damage assessment or if you
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prefer battle damage assessment is based entirely upon how much you like trump
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if you like trump it was obliterated if you don't like trump i don't know they may have had that uh
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all the good stuff somewhere else you never really know do you
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well trump is uh reiterating that the nuclear program in iran was totally obliterated i've never
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heard that word so many times in one week obliterated it's a good word uh but he also says
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which uh softens his message a little bit you know just just so he's got a little wiggle room there
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he also says that iran would not dare rebuild its nuclear industry because they they know they would
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be attacked again all right so which is it is it totally obliterated and it's going to take years
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to build it back or did we send such a strong message that it doesn't really matter if it's totally
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obliterated because they know we've come back feels it feels like there's a little bit of wiggle room there
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you know just in case but here when i watch the news and and how the trump administration is handling their messaging
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um i'm kind of impressed that trump is selling the obliterated
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message because a lot of people are you know repeating obliterated obliterated and he's so good
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at making you remember his little uh sound bites and that that's one of them he just repeats it and repeats
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it until if somebody asked you well what do you know about that attack you would just immediately think
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but uh i would argue that trump is also cleverly conflating two things that you should not conflate
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one is did they destroy the things that we're aiming at and i would say especially after today's
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briefing which i didn't catch all of it but i saw some reporting on it um it does sound like
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they have a pretty good idea that they did obliterate everything they aimed at would you agree uh there's
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nothing that's a hundred percent but when when you hear the description of you know the bombs and the
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military people who know what they're talking about and was it kane yeah um general dan raisin kane
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um when he when he did his uh explanation i didn't catch all of it because i was preparing for the show
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so i was a little busy but here's the one thing i learned for sure if you thought you could do bomb
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damage assessment or battle damage assessment if you prefer by looking at those satellite pictures
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i think everything i assumed everything just everything i assumed by looking at the satellite
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pictures was wrong now i i didn't catch all the details but if you follow the news today you'll find out
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that i think i have this right that the three holes we saw um people like me assumed that oh they must
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have been putting two bombs in each hole and and that's the hole that the bombs went into
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um but apparently those are not the bomb holes those are the ventilation holes
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that show that to show that there was a explosion from the inside from the bomb that doesn't show its
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own hole because it goes so deeply i guess it gets you know buried behind itself
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but you can see the you know the blast was so severe that it blew the tops off of the ventilation holes
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now and there was something about several of the bombs going into the same hole or something like that
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so i don't i didn't get all the details but but the one thing i learned for sure is i'm never going
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to try to do bomb damage assessment by looking at a satellite picture again we we had no idea what any of
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that meant we were we were guessing so hard that by the time they explained what you're really looking at
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so i do here here's the thing that's conflated um i will accept as of today i i accept that there's a
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really high chance that everything they aimed at got totally destroyed and i think the iaea whatever they
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are eieio um i think they said yeah that stuff is so sensitive that if you you know consider the
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severity of the blast and the sensitivity of the equipment in there it's definitely destroyed
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so but is that the whole story would you agree that if you knew that everything they aimed at they
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did destroy completely if that's what you knew would you also conclude that they had set back the
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nuclear program by years would you conclude that well you would only do that if you're conflating two
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things they should not be conflated number one did they destroy the things they were aiming at
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that looks like a yes i i'm gonna i'm gonna say yes on that number two which should not be conflated
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with that question is was there anything that they should have destroyed that they didn't know about
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was anything moved that could have been used given that apparently they made their own equipment
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the centrifuges uh i don't know if they made all of it but they made parts for it at least
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is there any possibility that they made some extras that were not yet installed and they just put
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them in a warehouse somebody someplace that would be innocuous maybe so the thing we don't know and
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probably can't know well you know unless the spies tell us later i guess um is whether there was anything
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that was moved or anything that was always in a different location we don't really know that
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so trump and eggseth and you know all the admin people are trying to sell you that we got everything that
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matters and that might be true um i i'm not ruling it out at all but can you automatically assume
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that iran knowing that fordell would be the main target and knowing that you know we'd be coming
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after all their nuclear assets can we assume they didn't do anything about that in advance they didn't
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have any time to plan for that you know there wasn't there wasn't some you know obvious planning
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to make sure that at least some of that got moved to another site or maybe they had another thing ready
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to go don't know but don't conflate did they hit what they wanted to and destroy it with does that mean
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we got everything because the second part is unknowable yet i mean eventually spies might tell you that we
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got everything um but i wouldn't conflate those and then uh trump and hegseth are also trying to conflate
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the question of whether the uh the pilots destroyed every part of the nuclear program with the question
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of are you respecting the the skill of the pilots and the professionalism of the military
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as uh caitlin collins of cnn said everybody is impressed by the military
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uh i would say that 100 percent of the public and all of the media is on the same page that was an
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impressive uh military action and that if you don't respect that well i i just don't even know if
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you can be an observer of course you respect that of course you do but i think um trump and hanks that
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they're trying to have it as a little bit of suppressive fire that if you act like maybe there's
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something that should have been bombed that wasn't bombed that you're disrespecting the pilots nobody's
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disrespecting the pilots so in case in case there's any uh confusion i really am impressed by the job that
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the military did like really really impressed and i'm pretty sure most if not every single american is
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having that same feeling about the military they may have all kinds of feelings about everything else
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but that's not really in question so it's offensive to me that if i ask a question about what we know about
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the damage that someone would say are you disrespecting our military no no those are not the same topic
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all right what else uh so according to uh democrats sim i assume senator uh timmy duckworth
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so yeah the democrats have to find something bad to say about trump and uh here's duckworth uh quote
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if you were iranian leadership now what this taught you was they better get nuclear weapons very quickly
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because look at how trump treats countries that have nuclear weapons like north korea right he goes and
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well she acts like that's a mistake is it a mistake for trump to pal around with kim jong-un
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she acts like that's some kind of mistake would it be a mistake
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and first of all you know north korea you know i would say is completely contained
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they they just don't have a reason to go after the united states and that's a pretty darn good job by the
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president if he removed the reason that anybody would have a you know impulse to attack us nuclear
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but uh is it true that the iranians would now feel more more incentivized to get nuclear fast well yes and no
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yes and no if they could do it without being caught of course i i absolutely agree if they could do it
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without being caught but do you think iran believes they could do it without being caught
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they just executed 700 of their own citizens allegedly for a suspicion of being spies
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now i have some real question about how many of them were actually spies
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versus you know people who got turned in by their neighbors who didn't like them
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but if you're iran and you believe that there were 700 spies that you could find
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and that's not even counting the ones that you couldn't identify
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do you think they would feel comfortable relaunching a nuclear program and think that nobody would know
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it doesn't seem possible at this point so duckworth i would agree that if they could do it in you know
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total confidentiality they would they would definitely do it but there's not really much of a practical
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possibility of that i don't think i think israel is too deeply in their pockets anyway
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um ex uh congressman jamal bowman who's a democrat was on cnn and he said some crazy
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which is always funny when democrats are crazy he says that the stress of being called the n-word
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either directly or indirectly is why blacks suffer more from obesity and cancer
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how many of you think that's true that the reason that blacks have more obesity and cancer
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is because they're it's stressful to be directly or indirectly called the n-word now what would
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what would be an example of indirectly being called the n-word i guess that would be if you imagine
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somebody's thinking it but they didn't say it would that be a case of indirectly being called
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anyway so that was on cnn that was nice and crazy uh i saw end wokeness was reporting on that clip
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all right let's talk about the supreme leader in iran so was it day before yesterday maybe yesterday
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i posted this i said uh on x i posted i have a feeling iran's regime already changed all the
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supreme leaders underlings needed to do was lock him in a bunker and take away his phone quote for
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his own safety now remember that sentence okay so i said all they had to do was lock him in a bunker
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take away take away his phone and say it was for his own safety and then i said then tell anyone who
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asks that the supreme leader isn't meeting with anyone in person but you know his orders and then i i said
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just to tie it all together i said it worked for joe biden and it did so we're still trying to figure out
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you know who was you know who was you know completely behind the auto pen although we know one person
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now and we're trying to figure out who was influencing biden because he wasn't quite all with it etc so
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86 is the number where you get rid of stuff i wonder if they 86 the 86 year old it's kind of a weird
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simulation coincidence but um there was a new report i saw in mario knoffel's post and i by the way i do
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know that the supreme leader did some posting today and he made a video today so i'll
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get to that in a moment but before i saw that um i saw a report from iranian state tv in the new york
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times uh mario knoffel was reporting on it uh on axe and and the report is that uh the supreme leader
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was reportedly missing for a week and that there's a power struggle going on now this is unconfirmed of
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course but these are the reports um and as mario said the iran supreme leader hasn't been seen
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publicly since before their strikes and there was a nationwide concern and political inviting
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apparently a state tv in iran a host asked an official from the supreme leader's office what millions of
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people were wondering he said people are very worried about the supreme leader can you tell us how he is
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so even the uh media in iran was saying i wonder what's up with him and then officials said that uh
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khamenei was sheltering in a bunker does that sound familiar he was sheltering in a bunker but we knew that
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right and he was without electronic communication to avoid assassination so they literally took his
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phone away and told him it was for his own safety which it was you know legitimately it was for his own
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safety but was that the only reason they took his phone away
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and his absence during the ceasefire negotiations raised questions about who was running it
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and i guess the president who does not have nearly as much power as the supreme leader of course
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um he called the current situation a quote golden opportunity for change
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really the president of iran is saying that uh the war and all the destruction is a golden opportunity for
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change does that sound like something that the supreme leader would say it doesn't does it that sounds
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like something you would say if the supreme leader was already pushed aside then in that case
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yes that might be a golden opportunity for change
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so that would be an interesting an interesting framing of the situation from iran's president
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unless the 86 year old supreme leader had already been you know nudged to the sidelines but
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let's go on and uh four senior officials confirmed that their rival factions battling for control in iran
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and uh then i saw separately that uh that the supreme leader was being guarded
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and the guarding part is really the the key part of the story
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by the valley amer special forces unit of the revolutionary guards
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um and they would be you know the most loyal effective security he could have unless
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they got flipped or they were taken down by some other military unit
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so do we know for sure that they're the ones guarding him i don't know
00:33:01.680
but there was a new video message and some a number of posts on x today which sounded like they were in
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response to people saying where the hell is the supreme leader so it looks like uh the supreme leader
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wanted to make sure that people knew he was still alive and in charge
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or or was it like joe biden where there would occasionally be a recorded message
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because i needed to make sure he didn't say anything that wasn't approved by his
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captors or does he think he's still in charge and the people who allowed him to do the video
00:33:47.120
presumably from the bunker did he think he was doing you know supreme leader stuff
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and the people who allowed him to do it and facilitated getting the cameras in there and everything
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is it possible that they're just sort of leading him on and pretending that he's still in charge
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both for public consumption and also for his consumption so he thinks
00:34:13.360
thinks that he's still relevant while they battle it out behind the scenes for who's who's really
00:34:19.440
going to run the country maybe but uh so khamele or is that khamele
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i just know you have to clear your mouth after you say it khamele
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so he's claiming victory over israel and uh he says he quote delivered a hand slap to america's faces
00:34:40.640
um he said that iran was victorious in their 12-day war um and he said the islamic republic was
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victorious and in retaliation delivered a hand slap to america's face so that would be the
00:35:01.120
the uh the attacks that they warned the u.s about and killed or injured no americans
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and he said the u.s had nuclear sites but couldn't achieve much
00:35:18.960
well and he said that u.s president trump needed to do showmanship
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with all the commotion and all the claims the zionist regime was practically knocked out
00:35:30.960
and crushed under the blows of the islamic republic now that all is pretty generic isn't it it does it
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does show that he made it recently because it was after the uh the attacks on the american base that were
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kind of weak but does it show that he's in charge
00:35:54.080
well i don't know it could be that there's a lot of uh you know maneuvering behind the scenes and he
00:36:02.400
might end up in charge again he might stay in charge or it's entirely possible entirely possible
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that uh they're they're joe bidening him they are putting him forward as if he's in charge
00:36:18.240
will they really make all the important decisions because at 86
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you know how much capacity does he even have so they probably were already making a lot of decisions
00:36:32.480
without him and he was just involved in the real high high level stuff like biden so i think uh
00:36:40.400
there's still the possibility that uh you know leadership has changed or it might change
00:36:51.360
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and let's see um speaking of that um jill biden's quote work husband um as has decided he will not
00:38:07.440
testify to the house oversight uh committee even though they asked him to but he hasn't been subpoenaed
00:38:14.720
yet so i suppose they'll do that next but anthony burnell so he was the the former advisor to the first lady
00:38:24.160
jill um was sometimes called her work husband and some people say that he was the most influential
00:38:34.080
person in the administration because he could influence her and then she could influence him
00:38:39.280
um biden and uh that he was actually one of the powers behind the the curtain i don't know about that
00:38:49.360
but uh i'd love to hear him explain it um then weirdly here's something i didn't expect uh trump did a very
00:38:59.760
lengthy truth social post um calling for israel to cancel the court proceedings against netanyahu
00:39:09.280
so apparently netanyahu has some you know major legal issues he has to work on i don't know the details
00:39:19.520
and i don't know if any of the charges are legitimate but uh trump is calling it a ridiculous witch hunt
00:39:28.240
and uh you know just mentioned what a great job netanyahu did working with trump that's trump's
00:39:35.360
current public opinion is that netanyahu was an amazing partner he was just amazing and they did so well
00:39:44.000
together that may have not been true every minute of their working together because there is a
00:39:50.880
reporting that trump had a stern phone call with netanyahu about a ceasefire uh but at the moment you
00:39:58.640
would like you would like you to believe that um the charges against netanyahu are fake and they're law
00:40:05.440
fair and political and they should be dropped because he's such a good leader and did such a good job now do
00:40:13.200
you think that trump did that on his own do you think he was just looking at the news and of israel and thought
00:40:22.080
you know what i'm gonna weigh in there and you know really try to support him because is there any chance
00:40:29.920
at all that israel is going to pay attention to trump's preference for what their court should do
00:40:35.520
i i don't think so so why would he even say it i don't know but it looks like maybe there was a an
00:40:44.800
arrangement it looks like uh maybe um israel did something for trump or maybe netanyahu specifically
00:40:56.560
and uh maybe trump is returning the favor even even though he knows it won't make a difference
00:41:02.480
but it makes a difference in how we think about netanyahu so that's a little bit of a difference
00:41:10.720
anyway um in other news um trump is reportedly according to the wall street journal he's uh
00:41:19.440
considering naming uh the new fed chair before the end of the term of uh powell and i guess
00:41:28.000
yes powell's uh term would run out in may and normally you um apparently normally you nominate
00:41:37.600
the new person a few months before the old person's term is up so that the new person has time to
00:41:46.320
you know get acclimated to the job and learn what's what but trump is considering maybe naming
00:41:53.280
the new person way ahead of time like any moment now uh because that person would be like a backseat
00:42:01.920
driver so they would put a little pressure on powell maybe to quit early because he'd have a backseat
00:42:09.280
driver saying well you know if i were in charge already and i will be in charge in a few months
00:42:15.920
but if i were in charge already i'd be lowering those interest rates so that would be a little
00:42:23.600
extra public pressure on powell and if it happened to you if you were in that job wouldn't you at least
00:42:32.960
think about quitting early because it would just be so annoying and humiliating and just it just
00:42:41.200
wouldn't feel right to have that backseat driver so it's kind of a clever plan i don't know if it'd work
00:42:54.640
well let's talk about this new york city socialist so there's a lot of comments on
00:43:03.040
uh the uh guy who looks like he's gonna win the general election and become uh the new mayor of new
00:43:11.920
york city zoran mamdani now i don't hate the fact that his first name zoran sounds like superman's nemesis
00:43:25.440
doesn't zoran sound like he came from the same planet as superman and you know there's going to be a fight
00:43:33.360
anyway i like his first name and he was born in where uganda he was born in africa and he's a muslim
00:43:42.080
and a socialist um some are calling him a communist but uh he's not technically a communist but he's
00:43:52.320
definitely a socialist um john fetterman who's on the same team allegedly you know a democrat he said
00:44:00.720
that uh mom mom donis win which is so far only in the primaries but he'll probably win the general
00:44:07.440
if the polls are correct he goes quote i'd describe it as christmas in july for the gop
00:44:13.680
okay so fetterman who is not a socialist and sometimes agrees with the framing of the republicans
00:44:22.960
like now um believes that it's basically suicide for the uh the democrats because you got a midterm
00:44:33.200
coming up and wouldn't it be convenient if the republicans who had to run in the midterms
00:44:40.320
could refer to new york city hiring a socialist as you know a cautionary tale it's like oh don't
00:44:48.560
be like that so yes fetterman is correct um the republicans will probably be pretty happy
00:44:56.880
if he gets elected at least in terms of how it would affect the midterms
00:45:01.040
um and uh then let's see what else uh bill clinton just congratulated mom doni acted like there was
00:45:12.320
nothing unusual about it so that was unusual um and uh mom domini has uh pledged to quote root out
00:45:24.880
bigotry across new york city with an 800 increase in funding for hate crime prevention programs so
00:45:36.000
that sounds good on paper we of course uh yeah we of course would need to know the details on that
00:45:45.360
james carville as you know one of the democrat strategists of of old um he was talking about mom
00:45:54.240
doni's and uh he said uh he's not walked back some of the things that he's posted about in the past
00:46:02.320
that were more controversial such as uh globalize the uh intifada
00:46:11.440
because uh the pro-israel people say that that's a call for violence and uh against israel
00:46:18.480
um whereas uh the anti-israel people say it's merely a call for a struggle against oppression
00:46:28.000
but that'd be a pretty damaging thing to have hanging out there and republicans would certainly
00:46:35.120
make it sound like he is anti-israel and they could they could sell that yeah they could sell that
00:46:42.160
um according to axios there's a guy that's the president and strategist of bianco research who wrote
00:46:54.640
on a post on x quote it appears in new york city is elected to commit suicide by mayor instead of suicide
00:47:03.840
by cop suicide by mayor and uh let's see what else and then of course there's some fear that a lot of the
00:47:19.280
businesses will want to escape from the socialist um taxation and and other problems that will come
00:47:26.400
with new york city if he's elected and that they might escape like ken griffin did he's already
00:47:32.560
relocated to miami and uh there's there's a warning that new york could go the direction of you know
00:47:41.280
detroit and baltimore and some of these other places but bill ackman investor bill ackman who's been a lot
00:47:52.400
involved in political stuff in the last year or two he had a very long post and he he's optimistic
00:48:01.280
that uh mom daddy could be defeated even though it would be too late for somebody to enter the race
00:48:08.320
in the normal way but he says that if somebody you know is qualified and a superstar and they want to
00:48:16.800
run as a write-in now what are the odds that a write-in candidate would get elected in new york city
00:48:24.240
well not very high right a write-in candidate that when was the last time a write-in candidate won any
00:48:33.920
kind of major election in the u.s i've never actually heard of it
00:48:40.720
but bill ackman says that if such a superstar candidate wanted to run as a write-in that he will
00:48:48.000
quote take care of the fundraising and he could definitely take care of the fundraising so he
00:48:54.880
would have all the money he needed he or she and they'd be right in does that sound like it might work
00:49:07.040
i don't know i i would have to know if it's ever worked in the history of elections in the united
00:49:14.000
states maybe in a small town but for something as big as the mayor of new york could that ever work
00:49:29.040
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think and then tyler wingel boss one of the wingel boss twins who's uh i believe they're both
00:49:48.480
billionaires at this point in crypto and he said a lot of people have asked me if i will get involved
00:49:54.880
in the new york state new york city mayor race by supporting some other candidate and he says i'm torn
00:50:02.400
and undecided um he said like every other city run by democrats new york city is a broken
00:50:09.920
kleptocracy taxes are astronomical and services are pathetic to non-existent
00:50:16.640
anarchy and socialism are the next logical steps in this story arc
00:50:23.120
he goes on saying is what the people of new york city have been asking for for years
00:50:28.240
and it looks like it's what they're about to get
00:50:31.440
he says trying to fight against this tide seems like throwing good money after bad and then he he said
00:50:38.320
some more but then he said it appears things will have to get worse in new york city before they get
00:50:43.280
better so one point of view is that the only way new york city is going to get better is you have to let
00:50:51.840
socialism try and fail and then people will be willing to try something else
00:50:58.000
um others would deeply disagree with that because if you let it go too far it might be just too hard to
00:51:06.000
save it i saw mike cernovich was disagreeing with giving an inch and you know would prefer fighting
00:51:13.760
to you know maintain as much territory as you can um but i'm gonna go with uh winklevoss and it's not
00:51:23.760
that i want a failure in new york city it's just that i don't know that any democrat city has ever climbed
00:51:31.280
down of it in recent years i don't know if they can my my best assumption about the real world
00:51:41.440
is that it can only go in one direction at this point and i think the big democrat run cities are
00:51:48.320
essentially just criminal enterprises and the odds of a socialist coming in and fixing it are close to
00:51:56.160
zero it feels like so it doesn't feel like they have a plan and it looks like it's pretty dire and
00:52:05.280
i would go with if you can get out of any democrat run city unless it's in a republican state because
00:52:14.720
some of the democrat cities and republican states uh are doing okay but if you're a democrat city in a
00:52:22.080
democrat state and you're about ready to um elect a socialist
00:52:29.840
i would say leave that would be that would be my advice get out of there now i realize that losing
00:52:37.760
new york city would be just the worst thing for america but it might not be you know it might be time to
00:52:44.880
uh to uh to know when to hold them and know when to fold them you know there's uh
00:52:53.760
um yeah i'm seeing in the comments a lot of people say that uh giuliani did in fact save the city
00:53:01.760
now i will give you that that giuliani did in fact you know turned around new york city but i don't know
00:53:09.680
that that's still possible uh maybe you just need somebody who's that popular wasn't didn't giuliani
00:53:17.920
get elected no he got elected before 9-11 so do you do you believe that a republican or even just a
00:53:27.600
non-insane democrat could get elected in in any upcoming year i don't know i i feel like the
00:53:37.440
the the window in which a giuliani could get elected probably is closed so my feeling is that
00:53:46.480
some of these might not be fixable i mean i don't see baltimore getting fixed i don't see detroit getting
00:53:52.400
fixed and new york city might be joining it i don't want that to happen so unlike uh you know unlike
00:54:02.320
those who say you gotta let it fail before it gets better i only think it might fail um i don't really
00:54:09.920
foresee the it failed and therefore people got smarter and elected better leadership and fixed it
00:54:18.320
i don't really see a way that this gets fixed and i'm pretty optimistic you know if you've watched me
00:54:25.840
for a while i generally think everything can get fixed but there's there's a systemic problem
00:54:33.360
with some of these cities and there's nobody suggested any fix for the systemic problems
00:54:39.040
and one is that they're all criminal enterprises it would be sort of like well you're i guess this is
00:54:47.120
bad analogy but i won't i'm not going to say that new york city is like the mexican cartels they're not
00:54:56.720
the same but i will say that if you were expecting the mexican cartels to fix themselves because they got
00:55:06.400
better leadership and then they got out of the drug business and turned to legitimate businesses and started
00:55:13.520
helping mexico be a good good country would you think well that could happen yeah yeah the cartels
00:55:22.640
just need a giuliani uh if they get a better leadership then they would stop selling drugs and
00:55:29.680
killing people and they would just turn to you know legal enterprise and the answer is nobody expects
00:55:37.200
that's possible no matter how much of an optimist you are nobody says themselves well i think those
00:55:44.800
mexican cartels can turn around so at what point does new york city and the kleptocracy as tyler
00:55:53.520
winklevoss calls it at what point does the system become something you could plop a giuliani into it and
00:56:01.440
fix it i feel like they've passed that point but that's just my feeling i'd love to be wrong so if
00:56:09.840
i'm wrong that would be just the best thing to be wrong about um trump is uh doing a little branding
00:56:19.520
of the democrats uh he's referring to jasmine crockett as low iq jasmine crockett and he thinks that
00:56:27.760
jasmine crockett and aoc and what he calls communist mayors or on mamdani should be the leadership of
00:56:36.160
the democrats so basically he's mocking them for having leaders that are completely impractical
00:56:44.640
bad idea and it should make you know normal democrats just give up
00:56:51.120
because if that's who's representing them you know good luck with that
00:56:57.760
well in other news the house republicans are trying to get some testimony from act blue that's
00:57:04.880
the big uh money gathering enterprise that funds the democrat races everywhere and uh at the same
00:57:14.640
time the department of justice is doing a probe because there are allegations that act blue was
00:57:21.520
involved in widespread donation fraud so we'll find out if any of that's true i don't know how long it
00:57:28.480
takes the doj to do his job but maybe congress can get to the bottom of it first
00:57:38.080
well there's a uh story here from bloomberg and unodc that says australia has the highest cocaine use on
00:57:49.360
earth and new zealand is right behind it so the biggest per capita uh cocaine users are australia
00:58:00.640
and new zealand now the reason i bring that up is because by complete coincidence i was watching a
00:58:09.760
reel is it called a reel on instagram in which there was some guy going around and asking people if they
00:58:18.560
knew uh which country had the highest body count now body count refers to how many people you've had
00:58:26.880
sex with in your life so he kept asking people and they would say you know brazil and he'd say no
00:58:35.600
the us no and i thought it was actually uh uh iceland but iceland was third it turns out but number one and
00:58:45.680
two were australia and new zealand and then the very next day after finding out that australia and new
00:58:54.720
zealand has the most number of sexual partners i find out that they also have the highest cocaine
00:59:01.840
cocaine use per person and i'm wondering is that a coincidence or could it be that the highest cocaine use
00:59:12.800
gets you the highest body count i don't know or could it be that they just really like to party
00:59:24.560
well trump is back from his nato meeting he's back in the u.s and uh but while he was there he said that
00:59:32.880
the ukraine war is quote totally out of control um he did meet with zelensky at the nato summit and he
00:59:42.480
said that zelensky quote couldn't have been nicer and he says he believes zelensky wants to end the war
00:59:50.480
but he's got to meet with putin to see if they can get it ended um other things that trump said
00:59:57.520
suggests that he doesn't really have a you know he doesn't have any traction on ending this one
01:00:03.120
but he's still trying i do like the fact that the way he he characterizes zelensky is how nice zelensky
01:00:13.120
was to trump he could not have been nicer and it's so trumpian that he can hate you you know one day
01:00:23.120
and then praise you the next depending on how nice you were to him
01:00:27.120
which which i have always told you is good persuasion because you want to have the the
01:00:33.840
greatest penalty for people who are doing what you don't want which is what trump does gives them
01:00:39.840
the biggest penalty but also the biggest reward if you're doing what he does want so here he is
01:00:46.720
saying he couldn't have been nicer so here he is getting the reward for playing things the way trump
01:00:53.360
wanted to play it but i don't see really much odds that putin wants to end any wars he seems to be sort
01:01:03.680
of winning a little bit um i think russia is still gaining territory albeit slowly and uh their drones are
01:01:13.040
doing a lot of damage so um but in related news um i guess the sky news is reporting that the uk
01:01:23.280
is going to buy a bunch of f-35s from the us and those can carry nuclear weapons and that will make
01:01:31.920
the uk a stronger partner in uh in nato because their uh their nuclear capabilities would be enhanced
01:01:42.080
by that and uh starmer over in the uk calls it a response to radical uncertainty
01:01:49.200
so that's kind of a big deal they've never had that capability before and in uh other news
01:01:58.880
the department of justice filed a lawsuit against orange county uh california registrar of voters
01:02:06.320
for concealing unlawful registration of non-citizen voters of course the gateway pundit
01:02:13.280
um so apparently what this means is that the justice department had asked for
01:02:21.600
um records that would show how many voters were non-citizens
01:02:27.120
and orange county did not want to provide that so there's going to be a court case there and
01:02:36.160
um i saw also in the same article the gateway pundit that orange county um had an unusual outcome
01:02:45.760
because it's sort of the the most conservative part of the state and it didn't go the way that
01:02:52.480
people expected it to so even though trump made california and every place else a little bit redder
01:03:01.440
orange county turned blue at the same time that almost everything else was turning a little redder
01:03:08.480
so we have questions why do we this non-predictable result in this one place
01:03:17.280
and it might be because of who they have they voted maybe we'll find out
01:03:26.400
according to the new york post the trump white house says that the big beautiful bill
01:03:33.120
would reduce the deficit by more than two trillion dollars over 10 years because of all the economic
01:03:40.560
stimulus and therefore the added uh you know tax revenue that comes in because the economy is doing
01:03:47.120
well do you believe that do you believe that anyone and i guess who did this uh
01:03:57.280
it was members of the white house council of economic advisors so they did their own analysis
01:04:05.040
do you believe that anybody could do a 10-year analysis
01:04:09.280
of our of our of our of our tax collections based on one bill i don't think so but if it helps them sell
01:04:21.360
it i suppose that's a good idea in uh hard to understand events in the sean diddy combs trial
01:04:33.360
apparently there were a whole bunch of different charges and the prosecution decided to drop
01:04:41.280
several of the horrible charges against diddy before it goes to a verdict so they're dropping
01:04:49.200
attempted kidnapping attempted arson and aiding and abetting sex trafficking but that still leaves
01:04:55.600
them with some serious charges that will be part of the jury uh deliberations and the reason given
01:05:05.680
for why they would have all these charges and then drop them is that dropping them would allow them to
01:05:12.080
simplify the jury instructions and i have questions has that ever happened before
01:05:20.880
has the prosecution ever dropped charges for the express purpose of simplifying jury instructions for
01:05:31.280
the other charges maybe or does it mean that they didn't make their case and they they don't want to have
01:05:40.000
a bunch of things that the jury says well you didn't make your case on this thing and that thing so
01:05:46.160
maybe we don't trust the other stuff too i don't know so i guess i'll have to rely on
01:05:55.040
people who have more experience with the courts to explain that to me but is that a good idea from the
01:06:01.920
perspective of the prosecution does that really improve their odds of getting a conviction it might
01:06:09.680
i mean i could see why you don't want to confuse the jury with the instructions but i've never heard of
01:06:17.520
this before and then over in virginia governor youngkin is going to sign into law a ban on using phones in
01:06:27.200
schools which according to just the news is something that 31 states are already doing a bunch of states
01:06:40.000
but from the beginning of school to the end you would not be allowed to use your phone
01:06:45.520
as other states have already decided now don't you think that's a good idea
01:06:53.440
that's probably one of the unambiguously good ideas that you'll ever see but what happens when ai becomes
01:07:03.600
wrapped into your lesson plan which is going to happen you know kids will learn ai to do math ai to write
01:07:12.400
things ai to look at history do you think that they'll reverse that and say that you have to bring
01:07:19.840
your phone in your phone because all the tests will involve you knowing how to use ai to get the answer
01:07:27.360
maybe it's possible that will get reversed at some point
01:07:31.440
i don't know anyway that's what uh that's what i got for today i'm going to talk to the uh locals
01:07:40.960
people my beloved locals members privately and the rest of you thanks for joining
01:07:48.000
um i hear from a lot of people that uh they don't care so much what i talk about
01:07:53.760
they just like listening to my voice and falling asleep to it do you have any idea
01:08:01.280
how many people have told me you know i love falling asleep to your voice
01:08:06.000
and i say to myself i don't know if that's good it's sort of a compliment yeah but uh i guess i've
01:08:17.520
slept with quite a few of you so we'll keep doing that if listening to my voice makes you sleepy
01:08:24.960
and that works for you i'm all for it because as i started out by saying i'm all about being useful
01:08:31.680
useful and if i can be useful at scale as musk says it's the hardest thing i'm all in so if a lot
01:08:42.160
of you were finding it relaxing to listen to me before you fall asleep that's what i'll do so we'll
01:08:49.760
keep doing that all right um i'll see the rest of you tomorrow same time same place and in the meantime
01:08:58.240
in 30 seconds we'll go private for the local subscribers