Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2880 CWSA 06⧸27⧸25

00:00:00.000 well there you are come on in everybody come on in it's time for your favorite part of the day

00:00:08.960 let's check your stocks while everybody flows in

00:00:14.720 tesla's down a little bit the sb is up a little bit snap is up a lot interesting

00:00:26.100 it ready is up a little bit all right let's uh get your comments going and then we got something

00:00:34.500 come on there we go

00:00:40.980 good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:01:01.620 coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take a chance

00:01:08.460 on improving the way you feel from levels that are hard to even understand and with our tiny

00:01:14.860 shiny human brains well what you need for that

00:01:18.220 it is a copper mug or a glass of tankard shells just dying a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any

00:01:26.460 kind and fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled

00:01:33.620 pleasure the dopamine at the end of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called

00:01:38.180 the simultaneous sip and it happens now go

00:01:49.700 so so good well i finally found a uh really satisfying use for ai

00:01:56.660 uh yesterday i was just playing around with a grok and i told it to make me a photo

00:02:05.620 of dilbert riding on a dog it's just you know first thing that popped in my head

00:02:11.780 and so it makes this picture but it it uh it knew that if a human-sized dilber were riding on a dog

00:02:21.380 that would be bad for the dog so it turned the dilbert into a little stuffed look like you know a

00:02:28.580 stuffed uh stuffed animal and made it small and put it on a big dog and i posted it because i thought

00:02:38.820 it was just interesting picture and ai wants to give dilbert a mouth because everybody in the world

00:02:48.340 except dilbert has a mouth dilbert has no mouth by the way if you didn't know that and no eyeballs

00:02:55.220 but it wanted to give him eyeballs with some of the ais and not others and he had a necktie but it

00:03:01.620 didn't seem to understand that it would be an upturned necktie so it was definitely dilbert but uh yeah

00:03:10.100 the ai version and then uh people saw my version and they tried different ais

00:03:19.140 so the next thing i know there's more than one dilbert riding on a dog

00:03:24.260 and the next thing i know um it starts morphing from dilbert riding on a dog to me riding on a dog

00:03:33.220 and then dilbert riding on god's shoulders and then there was the baby jesus dilbert and then somebody

00:03:42.580 used the mid journey which takes a static picture and turns it into a video and somebody improved the

00:03:51.780 background so so the picture started as you know just a little thing i thought was funny

00:03:59.460 and it took out a life of its own and evolved into all these different directions and uh there was

00:04:07.780 even a dog riding dilbert but my favorite was a picture of me uh the ai created of me riding a giant cat

00:04:19.540 a house cat it was a dog it was a horse-sized uh cat and i came away from the experience thinking

00:04:31.300 oh my god do i want a horse-sized cat would that be awesome one you could you know put a saddle on and 0.91

00:04:38.100 ride imagine if you could just say hey and call your cat and your cat would run over and you just

00:04:46.260 jump on it like a like a horse and ride around okay maybe it's just me well i wonder if there's uh

00:04:56.900 any new research that could have been skipped if they had just asked me oh here's something from the

00:05:04.580 university of bath now you probably didn't know there was a university of bath but a lot of people

00:05:13.140 try to take a bath without any education whatsoever and they'll be like drowning and you know they won't

00:05:19.780 even get wet because they've never gone to the university of bath where i believe everybody majors in

00:05:28.900 bath bathing i assume anyway but beyond that they've also done a study in which they determined that people

00:05:38.420 with higher iqs make better decisions and the reason is the reason is the people with higher iqs

00:05:51.380 can predict the results of their decisions more accurately uh-huh yeah that would be pretty much

00:06:02.420 right in the middle of what a person with a high iq can do predict what's going to happen next

00:06:10.260 so uh university of bath you should stick to your strengths which is teaching people how to bathe 0.91

00:06:18.180 and uh next time you want to know if high iq people are smarter than low iq people just ask me

00:06:26.180 just ask i got answers all right um according to the washington times uh there's a federal employee who

00:06:41.380 managed to do work at home and get paid for three different jobs so it was chrissy monique baker 0.98

00:06:51.700 so she was working at hud as a full-time management and program analyst but she also had two separate

00:06:59.540 jobs beyond that and she was getting paid for three jobs and she's pleading guilty to fraud

00:07:08.740 now does that seem like fraud to you do you think people should go to jail for having three jobs at the

00:07:16.580 same time when they signed something they said they wouldn't do that so i guess that's the fraud part

00:07:23.460 yeah so none of those employers got her full-time work so i guess it is wrong it reminded me of wally

00:07:31.780 in the dilbert comic you know i've heard of people who had two jobs which i think was really common

00:07:40.660 during the pandemic people having two remote jobs but this is the first one where somebody had three

00:07:48.820 and made it work i don't know how they caught her probably wasn't based on her work performance

00:07:56.180 well can you believe it today is the one-year anniversary from biden uh debating and showing

00:08:05.300 the world that his brain was not working does that feel like only one year ago

00:08:11.140 is it my imagination or does it feel like it was three years ago that the biden debate with trump

00:08:20.580 happened does that feel like it could possibly be only one year ago oh my god how much stuff has

00:08:29.220 happened in the last year you know just political stuff forget about your life but one year ago

00:08:36.580 uh are you having the same the same impression i have that there's no way that's just one year ago

00:08:44.900 that had to be at least three years ago nope one i saw that in a post from end wokeness one of my

00:08:53.300 favorite follows according to ben whedon who's writing for just the news um trump won uh i guess this is

00:09:04.340 based on new pew survey who is this uh yeah pew research so according to pew research um and if

00:09:17.460 you don't know what pew research is uh they research when you shoot your toy gun pew pew pew pew and then

00:09:26.820 they research that and then they go to the university of bath and wash it all off no no

00:09:34.100 no pew research research is very serious things and one of the things they found out is that uh

00:09:42.740 latinos were the ones who moved the most right during the uh period between 2020 and 2024 0.96

00:09:51.940 or was it possible that 2020 wasn't exactly the most accurate election if you know what i mean

00:10:00.740 so maybe maybe measuring the change from 2020 where many people i'm not saying me but many of you

00:10:12.100 believe the results were complete bullshit of the election itself so i would first of all question

00:10:20.580 the concept of looking how things changed in the vote from 2020 to 2024

00:10:26.660 it feels to be like hmm maybe there's a reason those numbers don't look as similar as you thought

00:10:34.660 they would look maybe but that's not me that's you that's what you think anyway um and maybe sometimes

00:10:45.300 i think it too but apparently according to pew research i and i don't believe this is true how could this

00:10:52.500 possibly be true um that trump outright won hispanic men does does that have you heard it that way

00:11:01.860 before i i've heard a number of times he did better than you know anybody's ever done with hispanic voters

00:11:09.220 but did you know that he won outright uh hispanic men by 50 to 48 percent against harris

00:11:20.740 that is freaking incredible if it's real he lost narrowly with hispanic women

00:11:29.540 and uh i guess there must have been more women voting or well no the numbers look right 0.99

00:11:35.300 and but overall and but overall he was just close so he had 48 percent of the hispanic vote compared to

00:11:42.500 harris's 51 but the fact that he won outright the male hispanic vote he won it outright

00:11:53.700 at the same time that uh the news was telling us all of his rhetoric was

00:11:59.220 you know racist against exactly that category of people and that category of people as i've been

00:12:07.780 telling you for a long time they're way more conservative than maybe you thought was coming

00:12:15.060 so it doesn't doesn't surprise me that it eventually got there but it happened faster than i thought

00:12:21.460 well as you know the uh cover up of biden's brain um it was uh considered worse than watergate

00:12:37.540 how many of you would agree with that that the cover up of biden as president being you know mentally

00:12:44.980 deficient how many of you think that was worse than watergate well a lot of people the news reports

00:12:55.060 like quite a bit that there's one expert after another saying oh that's worse than watergate

00:13:01.460 so i would like to propose the following

00:13:06.100 instead of asking if something is worse than watergate

00:13:10.340 since watergate is now no longer the high high bar mark we should be forced to say is it worse than

00:13:18.100 biden's brain cover-up so the next time there's a gigantic controversy do not say is it worse than

00:13:27.380 watergate that is no longer the high high water mark is it worse than biden brain cover-up and when you

00:13:34.740 add the auto pen part to it it really is worse than watergate by a lot so as you know um at least one

00:13:44.740 person has admitted to having access to the auto pen i think there were more and we'll learn more about

00:13:51.300 that but nira tanden said that she uh i guess she told congress when asked that she would use the auto pen

00:14:00.340 without actually verifying from joe biden uh that he gave the order

00:14:08.820 now wait a minute well let me say that again that the person operating the auto pen

00:14:17.860 apparently would not check directly with biden but would take it from some other staff member

00:14:28.100 who was not mentioned would she take the word of anyone who asked could anyone who had access

00:14:36.980 to the president walk in and say hey nira uh joe biden totally wants you to pardon this hardened

00:14:44.980 criminal for no reason that you could tell would she then pardon a hardened criminal because somebody

00:14:54.580 who was not biden said oh yeah biden's totally behind this ah i got questions i have many questions

00:15:05.380 but if she was not verifying with biden himself or at least you know some way knowing that he had

00:15:12.740 given the order we really don't know who was running the country you know i suppose that's the most

00:15:20.500 ordinary observation but i have to admit i was i was holding out some kind of belief

00:15:29.700 that maybe biden would sign a little document or give somebody the word in person so that at the very

00:15:37.540 least the person who operates the auto pen had direct knowledge that the president wanted something

00:15:45.460 signed but apparently not apparently not so the person doing the auto pen literally did not know if

00:15:53.860 it came from the president does that seem like a problem

00:15:57.380 yeah that seems like a problem it's bigger than watergate

00:16:06.100 anyway according to um newsmax uh the gross domestic product did not look good for this quarter

00:16:14.580 but the special case reason for it is because people were buying a bunch of foreign goods

00:16:20.900 um in anticipation of tariffs so you can't really look at the gdp for this quarter this most recent

00:16:30.100 quarter that they're reporting um that would that would be sort of a you know non-standard number this time

00:16:38.660 but they think it will bounce back to a good number next time we see it and uh whatever happened in the

00:16:47.860 april to june quarter is unlikely to be repeated so that's good um

00:16:59.380 so there's a post on x by uh constantine kissin who if you're on x you probably know him so he's uh

00:17:10.100 what would i call him um he has one of the biggest podcasts trigonometry he's one of the two who do that

00:17:18.740 and uh he's often you know debating people on other podcasts and he's very active on social media

00:17:25.300 but he's very well informed and very smart but he's the only person reporting that there's

00:17:34.820 some kind of maybe deal coming up with gaza and israel and the middle east so i'm gonna say

00:17:43.540 i don't believe this is true but he says that there are reports that trump and nanyahu have made a deal

00:17:53.540 and it hasn't been announced yet now i'm gonna i'll read you what constantine says is reportedly

00:18:02.260 a deal but i'll tell you in advance i don't believe any of it so i checked with grok and

00:18:09.940 grok could not find any you know independent reporting that agreed but um only because

00:18:18.020 constantine kissin is a um i'll say a highly credible you know commentator uh if it were someone else i

00:18:27.700 probably wouldn't even read it but i'll let you know what he thinks you know based on sources he has

00:18:32.980 that are unnamed so he thinks that there might be a deal to end the gaza war in two weeks

00:18:42.180 which is possible it's possible because you could certainly imagine that trump would want to take the

00:18:49.300 good will he's you know he's garnered in the situation and maybe use it to you know put a little

00:18:56.900 pressure on israel or you know get something done so that part i doubt it just because the gaza

00:19:06.020 situation seems so intractable but maybe maybe it's entirely possible that they might announce some

00:19:14.820 kind of a framework you know they would take a long time to implement but maybe next thing that

00:19:22.100 constantine reports says is being reported is that gaza would be governed by four neighboring countries

00:19:30.020 countries to which i say maybe because that does make sense in terms of how in the world would you ever

00:19:39.380 solve this problem you would almost certainly need some non-israel non-us non-hamas leadership

00:19:50.500 and it does make sense that having only one of them would create a whole new problem so if you

00:19:58.340 said uh let's say um saudi arabia is gonna you know monitor or manage gaza well immediately that would turn

00:20:10.420 into you know saudi arabia would become a target and you know there'd be bad will there but suppose

00:20:19.060 you said four of the closest neighbors were all going to jointly be part of it maybe they would be

00:20:27.620 helping economically um but if there were four of them you'd feel like oh okay that really is neighbors

00:20:36.420 helping out a difficult situation now again i'm not predicting any of this is going to happen

00:20:44.980 but it's possible it's within the realm of possible uh then the third part if any of this turns

00:20:52.740 them to be true is that hamas leaders would be exiled i don't see any anything else you could do with

00:20:59.300 them right you'd have you'd have to exile them otherwise they stay underground in gaza and you can 0.80

00:21:06.740 never solve anything so while i don't love the idea of them staying alive and israel wouldn't love it either 0.66

00:21:14.980 it's entirely possible it's the only way you could make a deal so is it possible yeah it's possible

00:21:25.860 again i'm going to bet against it because i'm a little bit pessimistic on this particular topic

00:21:32.500 well it's possible uh here's the part that i think is the red flag for this not being real

00:21:40.820 that uh the fourth element would be a two-state solution that would be agreed by israel

00:21:49.060 and uh for the west bank

00:21:54.420 do you believe that do you believe that netanyahu

00:22:00.100 would agree to a two-state solution with all of those israeli settlements that are in the west bank

00:22:06.980 does that sound real so that's the part that tells me uh

00:22:15.780 maybe but that seems really unlikely to me you know maybe like a two percent chance something like

00:22:23.700 that and then the last one is that several new countries would join the abraham accords and recognize

00:22:30.100 israel certainly if there were an agreed upon reasonable conclusion for gaza that would lead to

00:22:40.100 more people joining the abraham accords that'd be a big deal so that's possible but um there's no word

00:22:47.780 about hostages or where do the refugees live for the many years it would take to make gaza livable again

00:22:55.060 and do they all get to move back and who exactly is going to pay for the rebuilding of gaza and all

00:23:02.340 that so i'm going to say that there's some details missing that obviously would have to be there if there

00:23:08.340 were a deal such as the hostages and i don't think the two-state solution is likely enough that the entire

00:23:17.860 reporting could be accurate so that's that's my red flag on that one anyway um it's interesting

00:23:28.740 the only thing it does i think is it helps you understand what what is possible

00:23:37.380 all right um and cnn is reporting um i think news banks is reporting on this too

00:23:47.140 that uh the u.s is kicking around the idea of helping iran become a peaceful nuclear energy country

00:23:58.980 without the ability to make a bomb and that part of that might be making available to them as much as

00:24:05.940 30 billion dollars to build a civilian nuclear program that doesn't have any you know enriched uranium

00:24:13.380 access or anything uh except for what goes into the uh nuclear energy for domestic use

00:24:20.980 and the that money would not necessarily come from america but rather from other middle eastern

00:24:28.500 countries does that seem does that seem like something that might happen i always like

00:24:35.380 the trump approach of saying you've got two choices we will either attack you militarily

00:24:43.780 or we'll help you develop your economy so you can make a lot of money

00:24:47.220 i love that that you know i always tell you about one of the one of the uh principles of uh persuasion

00:24:57.540 is that you lay out a really big gap between doing what you want them to do and not doing what you want

00:25:04.660 them to do and that's a pretty big gap if you try to make your own nukes again we will bomb your country

00:25:12.820 again very very bad but if you work with us for domestic nuclear power we'll help you get funding

00:25:21.620 for 30 billion dollars from your neighbors and that's pretty good so i like that i like that that's even a

00:25:29.620 conversation well according to trump the u.s and china have quote signed a trade deal do you believe

00:25:40.580 that do you believe that the us and china have signed a trade deal i don't believe that there may be some

00:25:50.020 elements that they've agreed upon or have a framework for but i don't believe there's an overall china

00:25:57.780 trade deal uh i'm pretty sure there will be nothing about protecting intellectual property

00:26:05.140 and probably nothing about fentanyl so is there i mean there might be you know some crawling forward

00:26:15.460 on some things like you know the rare minerals there might be a rare mineral deal but no i don't believe

00:26:22.740 there's any signed comprehensive china trade deal but the market might

00:26:30.660 and uh we'll see and i guess london says the us is going to drop some some counter measures against

00:26:38.420 china because china is loosening up uh about rare earth materials but we'll see if any of that matters

00:26:46.100 but uh trump's team says that by july 9th which i guess is the new deadline for all the countries

00:26:52.660 to to make a deal um he said that there will be a tariff hammer coming down for any nation that

00:27:01.060 doesn't look like they're negotiating in good faith so basically just more tariffs so they do think

00:27:10.660 that there are a lot of tariff deals coming now do you remember do you remember when the tariffs were

00:27:17.540 first announced um this would be a good time to see who was right and who was wrong and there were some

00:27:26.260 people who said oh these threats of tariffs will never get you anything good it will just all be bad

00:27:34.420 and by now the stock market has fully recovered so we're all all the way back before trump even

00:27:41.780 announced the uh tariffs which means the people who have the most money to invest including the

00:27:48.020 professionals believe that the tariff thing will not be a big destructive force for the economy

00:27:57.060 they might believe it will be additive um we don't know yet but certainly there's every reason to believe

00:28:06.260 that our new trade deals will be a little better than the old ones so if you were one of the people

00:28:14.020 like me who said hold on hold on there is no way to know if this is good or bad but it is certainly a

00:28:23.380 smart way to negotiate and all of this uncertainty which you think is bad it is bad but temporarily

00:28:34.500 if your objective is to get a trade deal maybe a little bit of uncertainty and flip-flopping and

00:28:40.900 jumping back and forth and keeping your um your negotiating partners off balance might be exactly

00:28:49.540 what trump does for every negotiation it might be he does it because it works and the persuasion reason

00:28:58.100 that that would work is that if you get other people frightened that if they don't make a deal there's

00:29:05.060 you know there's going to be really bad consequences well then they're going to make a deal they wouldn't

00:29:10.260 have otherwise made so yes keeping all of our trading partners in a very precarious uncertain not sure about their own

00:29:21.540 political futures because it'd be such a big deal to their country if they don't get a trade deal

00:29:27.860 that's exactly where he would want the other leaders to be and he put in there and now he says

00:29:35.780 that over the summer which is about what he predicted they'll be uh you know cleaning up these trade deals

00:29:42.820 one at a time it'll probably take longer than they want longer than you want but it's all doable 0.73

00:29:49.220 so it went from oh my god he's he's a crazy man who's ruining the economy and in what four months 0.52

00:30:01.140 it turned into oh well looks like that's gonna work out trump is on the verge of having the best summer 0.53

00:30:08.660 that any president ever had uh if he if trump gets the the big trade deals done

00:30:16.340 and he continues to be you know lauded for his uh you know successful conclusion to the iran situation

00:30:27.700 if nothing else happened that would be the best summer any president ever had basically and if

00:30:37.220 if a miracle happens and somehow we get something done with gaza and or ukraine

00:30:42.580 and i'm i would bet against both of those but even if he got one of them to go the way he wants

00:30:51.940 and then let's say the abraham accords goes to the next level that could all happen in one summer

00:31:01.060 oh my god oh my god like no no president's going to be able to touch that

00:31:07.460 for just sheer persuasive you know leadership policies you know and that's not even without the

00:31:20.100 the big beautiful bill which is in trouble at the moment let's talk about that

00:31:26.660 so remember when i've talked about the budget process in congress

00:31:32.420 um i act like i don't understand it and it's not an act i really don't understand it and i i read the

00:31:42.180 you know the messages from steve miller who's trying to explain oh no this is not a budget bill

00:31:49.380 it's a rescission bill rescission is that the way you say it and they're they're very different

00:31:57.700 if it were a budget bill then you would need to get i think 60 of the senate to agree and nobody

00:32:07.780 believes that that's possible in today's environment but if it's one of these weird rescission things

00:32:15.300 apparently you can cut the budget on stuff uh with only a 50 majority you know 51 and so the entire

00:32:24.660 reason that there were not a lot of doge cuts in this one is that the the place you would do that would

00:32:33.300 be in the larger one but they did have a bunch of cuts and now it turns out that there's something

00:32:40.500 called a parliamentarian how many of you knew that congress even had a parliamentarian i guess the

00:32:51.300 parliamentarian just makes sure that congress is following its own its own guidelines and only and

00:32:59.060 follows the law and guess what the parliamentarian just told the creators of the big beautiful bill

00:33:07.780 the parliamentarian just explained that the only thing they could do is some minor budget tweaks

00:33:15.300 they can't have in the big beautiful bill changes in policy because if you want to change policy

00:33:23.140 according to something called the the bird rule b y r d based on you know uh ex congressperson bird

00:33:34.340 that if you follow the rules you can't change policy with a rescission bill

00:33:40.340 and there were a number of things that were policy changes so i asked uh grok you know what the hell

00:33:50.180 what what kind of changes they are and most of them i don't understand um but stuff like changing the epa's

00:34:01.780 multi-pollutant vehicle emission standards blah blah blah blah blah blah so a lot of these budget changes

00:34:09.780 are directly connected to policy changes and we found out this week that they can't do that

00:34:22.260 now try to hold that in your head for a moment does it make sense that you and i did not know that

00:34:29.140 there was a parliamentarian yeah of course yeah we're not that deep into it so most of us never heard of

00:34:36.580 this parliamentarian thing if you had heard of it would you have known that the rescission process

00:34:45.940 would be different from the budget process and that if you tried to conflate the two

00:34:51.860 the parliamentarian would would shut you down well i didn't know that but i'm not a member of congress

00:35:00.980 who just spent five months trying to negotiate this thing are you telling me that nobody behind the big

00:35:09.540 beautiful bill was understanding that the parliamentarian was going to shoot a bullet through

00:35:16.420 the middle of its heart as soon as it was almost done are you telling me that nobody involved in that

00:35:22.420 process saw this coming are you telling me that they never once talked to her in advance and said we

00:35:30.740 don't want to get too far with this unless we know that it can get past the parliamentarian because we're

00:35:37.380 you know mixing some policy with some some funding nobody nobody knew this was coming 0.89

00:35:45.620 are you fucking kidding me right and again you and i can be excused right you know we like to be well 0.97

00:35:57.060 informed citizens who can you know with our opinions maybe help move things in one direction or another 0.98

00:36:03.460 in small ways but we're not supposed to know that everyone who is going to vote in this big beautiful bill

00:36:12.180 every one of them should have definitely known this was coming and to suddenly act like they're all

00:36:19.060 surprised and people are calling for the firing of the parliamentarian no no don't fire the parliamentarian

00:36:31.140 fire every single person who didn't know that they should check with the parliamentarian before they

00:36:35.940 got this far all of them every one of them should be removed from congress if you don't know this most

00:36:43.300 basic thing about your own job how are you how do we expect you to get anything done so i don't know what

00:36:53.220 the fate is of the big beautiful bill but it's looking like it's going to be totally gutted of you know some

00:37:03.940 substantial percentage of the things that the republicans were trying to get done

00:37:10.340 somebody says that vance can overrider

00:37:16.580 vance can overrider you mean if there's a if there's a vote of a majority

00:37:23.860 all right well i guess there might be more we'll find out about this i don't know if that's true the part

00:37:28.740 about vance but i mean it's just such a head shaker i definitely do not feel at this point you know

00:37:39.300 something might change my mind but i definitely don't feel like the parliamentarian is the bad

00:37:45.380 person it's a woman so i was gonna say bad guy but the bad person 1.00

00:37:49.380 yeah i think the parliamentarian is just doing the parliamentarian job so good luck with the big

00:37:57.940 beautiful bill anyway but it'd be amazing if if trump got that through without it being you know

00:38:06.420 totally got it um his summer would be looking pretty amazing

00:38:14.900 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:38:19.380 learn more at scotiabank.com banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you think

00:38:26.340 well there's a chinese doctor who

00:38:32.740 fled his home country and uh this is according to just the news

00:38:39.780 and is doing some whistleblowing on china

00:38:43.060 sorry

00:38:48.580 excuse me

00:38:49.380 um and says that china makes makes the chinese people who come to america sign a contract not all

00:39:00.260 the chinese people but the you know the scientific people

00:39:06.740 and anybody who's coming to the u.s and working in science they have to sign a contract with china

00:39:13.540 to help steal u.s intellectual property and research and anything else of value

00:39:19.380 and bring it back to the communist uh chinese communist party

00:39:24.980 now why is there never a story about russia doing this have you ever noticed that if russia is our big enemy

00:39:36.260 why is it only the chinese are stealing our intellectual property 1.00

00:39:40.740 or is russia doing it too but they're better at it so we don't catch them

00:39:46.900 why why would it only be china it's not like russia

00:39:53.060 is doing its own silicon valley you know aren't they just as much in need of

00:39:59.060 stealing our intellectual property and do you think that russia has 0.75

00:40:04.740 let's say some moral or ethical reason not to steal from us

00:40:09.860 why would it only be china i don't know but uh i guess uh the trump administration is launching a vetting process

00:40:21.940 for the hundreds of foreign scientists so we're going to try to catch them but how weird that

00:40:29.700 china is doing that but not iran venezuela the mexican cartels

00:40:34.020 um but well how many how many uh sleeper cells do we and spies do we have in this country now

00:40:43.540 is it more than the residents because allegedly iran has sleeper cells china has all these 0.98

00:40:52.980 spies and sleeper cells and buying up farmland to do god knows what venezuela is sending us the trend

00:41:01.460 uruguay or have the mexican cartels have already made you know inroads into the

00:41:07.780 mainland u.s and they've all got these sleeper cells and spies and stuff

00:41:14.340 but when was the last time you heard that russia was doing any of those things

00:41:21.220 like trying to put a lot of russian immigrants into the country so they could become sleeper cells 1.00

00:41:26.900 or steal our ip are they not doing it or do they just not get caught or do we just not mention them

00:41:37.620 for some reason isn't that weird if it works everybody would be doing it you know mexico would be

00:41:45.620 sending their scientists and venezuela would be i don't know there's something weird about the fact

00:41:50.980 that only china is doing this thing if it works i mean if it works they should all be trying it

00:41:59.380 well laura luber has another exclusive and uh i have to compliment her for carving out

00:42:07.940 a valuable space in the internet world um and what she seems uh the best at in terms of her scoops

00:42:17.780 is finding out whose uh sibling uh whose children and or spouses are involved in things

00:42:25.540 that the politician might be making decisions about and here's another one so according to laura loomer the

00:42:35.780 john cornyn who's a texas senator his daughter lobbies lobbies for china um related to alibaba

00:42:47.300 at the same time that um the texas attorney general ken paxton is targeting alibaba for privacy

00:42:56.740 valuations but so the daughter of the u.s senator for texas is working working for a chinese company and

00:43:08.020 not just a chinese company but you know one of the biggest or is it the biggest i don't know

00:43:13.620 now does that seem like a problem to you it does to me yeah does to me so another laura lumer

00:43:25.620 exclusive she's really got that category nailed down then uh according to blaze media carlos garcia is

00:43:36.340 writing about this um there was a democrat leading group called code pink that's now threatening um

00:43:46.580 an internet user named data republican i've talked about data republican it's a woman who is very good

00:43:52.900 at data analysis and especially linked to uh political events so code pink is threatening her because she 1.00

00:44:04.580 apparently suggested that they got some funding from chinese sources so code pink um is threatening a

00:44:14.260 lawsuit and they they say that they uh um they do not get money from china or the chinese communist party

00:44:24.020 or any foreign government so that's what code pink says they don't get money from china chinese communist 0.54

00:44:32.740 party or any foreign country so do you think data republican is wrong what do you think do you think code

00:44:42.980 pink is telling you the truth and data republican is wrong well data republican decided that the best approach

00:44:53.460 to this threat of lawsuit is simply to dump everything she knew and you can make up your own mind

00:45:00.900 so here's what here's what we've learned uh apparently code pink is getting some significant funding from a rich guy

00:45:13.060 who uh uh a social activist and businessman neville singham um he's a billionaire who is already under

00:45:23.620 congressional investigation for possibly violating the foreign agents registration act

00:45:29.620 that'd be far on behalf of the chinese government oh so it didn't come from china

00:45:39.540 the funding and it didn't come from the chinese communist party and it didn't come from a foreign country

00:45:49.140 true but it might have come from a billionaire who likes to do things on behalf of china

00:45:56.340 so how do you score that one do you score that one as yeah that's chinese funding or is it the chinese

00:46:08.820 funding that's deniable because when code pink denied it they did not say and we don't take money from any

00:46:16.340 billionaires who are who are connected to china's government they left that part out so i don't know

00:46:25.300 maybe they'll come back um and then apparently one of the things that code pink has done 1.00

00:46:35.140 um is push some propaganda saying that uh the uyghurs um

00:46:44.740 were not the uyghurs were basically dangerous so total chinese propaganda that nobody would do unless 1.00

00:46:52.900 some chinese force was giving them money in other china versus u.s news uh elon musk

00:47:02.500 pointed to a chart on x and said remember this chart and what it was was a chart that showed how much

00:47:09.860 electricity uh china is pulling online you know with new power plants etc versus the us and if you look

00:47:20.340 at the us's number since the 90s it's up a little bit but it's almost a flat line we have about as much

00:47:29.780 electricity in the u.s as we had at the end of the 90s and that's been a while now you might say but scott

00:47:40.020 that's good news because we've learned to conserve on electricity but then you look at the uh the china

00:47:49.140 line and it's it's not quite straight up but it's pretty close and it has passed us you know by a lot

00:47:59.700 so china is adding electricity like crazy and the u.s is still just getting ready to add electricity

00:48:09.860 you know by making it easier to build nuclear power plants and reducing regulations and stuff

00:48:15.380 it'll make a difference but we're way behind if you're trying to predict the future like which

00:48:23.380 countries will succeed one of the best ways to predict the future is how much energy they can produce

00:48:32.500 domestically that is really predictive of how your country is going to go

00:48:38.820 so china's got a big advantage there uh but they also have a big country so they need a lot of

00:48:45.460 electricity so you know there's a there's a reason that they're just also meeting basic needs but uh

00:48:54.900 that's worrisome and then the other thing would be a birth rate so if you asked elon musk

00:49:03.380 what are the big uh risks you know sort of geopolitical risks and country risks etc he would probably say

00:49:12.500 low birth rate is a gigantic problem in every developed country apparently and uh not having enough

00:49:20.500 electricity for ai might be the other gigantic variable that it would be easy to overlook if you don't follow the

00:49:29.620 news pretty closely so yeah have more babies and more electricity and you're going to be in good shape

00:49:39.620 according to the free beacon hunter biden is being sued by one of his probably there were a lot of them

00:49:47.060 law firms that worked for him and say he owes in excess of fifty thousand dollars in fees and interests

00:49:54.740 and uh i guess uh i guess he has paid them a little bit in the past but hasn't paid them everything

00:50:03.380 now i don't know about you but i'm starting to think that hunter biden's uh art career was not a hundred percent legit

00:50:14.820 hmm because i feel like he could have solved that problem

00:50:18.660 by selling just one painting just one so now i'm starting to suspect that that painting operation

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00:51:35.620 anyway let's talk about uh new york city's future mayor this is oran mamdani who's a who's a overt socialist

00:51:51.220 uh republicans are trying to paint him as a communist but more more socialist than communist i would say

00:51:58.500 okay and i realized i had not uh evaluated him on persuasion um i talked about him and his policies and

00:52:09.460 the fact he's a socialist and he wants things like uh rent control and government grocery stores and free

00:52:17.540 transportation and stuff a bunch of socialist things and um everybody who knows anything about economics and

00:52:27.460 history knows that too much socialism will destroy just about anything so new york city if he wins and

00:52:36.820 it looks like he might probably actually um new york city is sort of looking doomed because of his socialist

00:52:45.780 policies but to be fair since i i have in the past reviewed trump just as how persuasive he is you know

00:52:56.260 that's how i got started doing this political stuff and i've done the same with aoc so i've said you know

00:53:04.100 i don't like aoc's policies i wouldn't want her to be my president but definitely she has some persuasion 0.98

00:53:11.140 skills and so i decided to look at uh zoran mamdani just as a persuasion filter

00:53:19.540 and i don't think there's any question about why he's doing well if you look at him if you forget

00:53:30.100 policies because voters don't even understand policies for the most part and you just look at

00:53:35.780 persuasion he does have the whole package for for a democrat and a democrat majority city so he's got

00:53:45.780 charisma like crazy he's young and good looking which matters um he is perpetually optimistic

00:53:58.500 um which is not necessarily what the voters are feeling but he's optimistic so he's always smiling

00:54:05.780 he's always got this you know we can fix this problem thing he's a person of color so he's not a 1.00

00:54:13.220 generic white guy because democrats are not going to put up with that and when he talks about what

00:54:21.300 he's about he has this little phrase see if this sounds familiar to you or what what does it remind

00:54:28.740 you of it's not familiar but it it'll remind you of somebody else's work um he says he's quite

00:54:36.020 he's trying to and i quote make the city affordable make the city affordable what's that sound like

00:54:46.500 make america great again

00:54:50.660 um if if you're worried that this socialist is going to be such a good politician that he can't be stopped

00:54:59.780 he does have the whole package he's got he's got the message he's got policies that if you're

00:55:07.940 a certain kind of person and a democrat you'd say yeah yeah why not that

00:55:14.820 um so if if i'm looking at him as only only for persuasion charisma optimism uh not a generic white guy

00:55:27.140 and he's got policies that fit easily under the category of make the city affordable

00:55:32.340 everybody understands that and it touches them directly and it's not about the rich

00:55:39.860 why is he winning because the people he's running against are not even close

00:55:45.140 they're not even close to that they don't have that package so you know the other lesson here is

00:55:52.020 if you imagine that the democrats are completely destroyed because you know trump won everything

00:56:00.740 and the republicans have the congress and all that all it takes is one candidate who's got this entire package

00:56:11.380 and if you say to yourself but he can't go that far because his policies are batshit crazy

00:56:20.420 democrat voters don't know that

00:56:23.860 obviously democrat voters cannot tell what policies will destroy the country obviously otherwise they

00:56:31.780 wouldn't have the policies that they have so could somebody like that win the presidency not necessarily him

00:56:41.060 well he i guess he was born in another country so he wouldn't be eligible but all it takes

00:56:48.020 all it's going to take is one candidate who's got the full package and uh democrats are going to be right back

00:56:56.100 so that's dangerous according to uh lydia moynihan in the new york post uh luxury real estate brokers

00:57:08.820 in new york city are already getting people saying the rich people are already saying um maybe i don't

00:57:16.260 want to live in new york city anymore so just the fact that the socialists might come into office and raise

00:57:23.140 their taxes and i don't know free the criminals um it's going to make the real estate people pretty busy

00:57:32.180 moving these people out in new york according to um salesforce ceo and founder mark benioff

00:57:43.300 and cnbc is reporting this uh for salesforce um he says that ai is doing up to 50 of the work

00:57:52.580 that would have been that had been done by people does that sound right to you the salesforce is

00:58:00.660 already using ai for half you know it might be 30 to 50 but he's estimating might be up to half of all

00:58:09.140 their work has been done by ai but now the question you might ask is oh no how many people have they

00:58:16.820 laid off because that's a pretty big company and the answer is that he believes that it just frees

00:58:23.780 people ai is freeing people to do higher level work so he's not talking in terms of layoffs he's

00:58:33.140 talking in terms of sort of turbo boosting the power of every existing employee so that they can get

00:58:40.820 all the regular work done with ai the help of ai and then they can you know that'll free them to do

00:58:46.900 higher level stuff that's valuable that is not the majority view and i don't know how many companies

00:58:55.780 that would ever be true for it will definitely be true for some you know there's no doubt about it

00:59:02.580 some companies will maybe add employees because the ai plus an employee is so valuable that you want to

00:59:11.220 add humans to work with the ai because it's also good but there will be companies where they just need

00:59:19.060 fewer people because the ai so it's going to be a little both um and maybe salesforce will have to

00:59:27.700 change their uh staffing um let's say ideals but uh betty off estimates that the software company has

00:59:38.180 reached i don't know exactly what this means 93 accuracy using ai 93 accuracy now

00:59:49.060 is that as good as people because people are not too perfect so if ai is competing with people

00:59:59.060 for these jobs is 93 is that going to get it done i don't know would you would you spend tens or

01:00:10.820 hundreds of millions of dollars on a technology that would be wrong seven seven percent of the time

01:00:16.900 would you i don't know maybe he's betting on improvements in ai but uh that doesn't sound too great

01:00:28.100 anyway but something that is great

01:00:31.860 is it over in the uk uh the dyson you know dyson the engineering technology company they built an indoor

01:00:41.940 strawberry farm that is worked by robots so the robots are checking on stuff and picking the strawberries

01:00:51.860 and they came up with this really innovative method where instead of just putting things in an indoor

01:01:00.260 garden and then you know picking them when they're done um they have these these big rotating drums

01:01:08.420 that allow the strawberries to essentially get the right amount of light by rotating slowly so that

01:01:18.020 you know all the strawberries get enough light and what this taught me is that you know i have this

01:01:26.020 interest in indoor farms i'm just nerdy enough to care about that kind of stuff but i always imagined

01:01:33.060 that the indoor farms would be growing a variety of food but i'm now completely convinced that every

01:01:41.620 indoor farm should optimize over one product like the strawberries because probably you wouldn't grow the

01:01:49.060 potatoes the same way or corn or anything else so i think robots plus indoor farms plus only one product

01:02:01.140 per farm so you can optimize it maybe as a future there there's still there's still it's tough to get

01:02:09.620 protein from an indoor farm so even if you add a uh indoor i don't know fish farm uh it'd be hard to maintain

01:02:19.380 that so all right ladies and gentlemen that's all i had for today that's the news for today it's friday and i

01:02:27.140 know you're ready to start your weekends um i'm going to talk privately to my beloved subscribers on

01:02:36.260 locals and the rest of you i hope you'll come back tomorrow and we'll do it again same time same place

01:02:44.580 all right 30 seconds we will be private on locals

01:02:57.140 and then we'll come back to tarotteraye

01:03:12.740 we will be doing placements we'll be doing well

01:03:15.540 you

01:03:27.140 Thank you.

01:03:57.140 Thank you.

01:04:27.140 Thank you.

01:04:57.140 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 27, 2025

Episode 2880 CWSA 06⧸27⧸25

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