Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2881 CWSA 06⧸28⧸25

00:00:00.000 that worked that means it's time for a show yep that's what it's time for we're

00:00:11.520 gonna make sure all your comments are visible especially people on locals

00:00:17.400 good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:36.040 coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to attempt taking

00:00:44.040 this experience up to levels that no one can understand with their tiny shiny human brains

00:00:50.800 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass a tanker chalice or stein a canteen jug or a flask if

00:00:58.680 vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the

00:01:05.240 unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day the thing that makes everything better

00:01:10.020 it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go

00:01:13.980 so good delicious well after the show um owen gregorian will be hosting a spaces on x

00:01:33.840 that's that's the audio only function on x and uh you could find that in my feed as scott m says

00:01:42.560 you can see find the link or you can go to owen gregorian's feed and you'll find the link there

00:01:50.320 so yesterday according to elon musk was the first ever self-delivered tesla so there was a tesla

00:02:01.440 that was produced in a factory drove itself away from the factory and all the way to the end user's

00:02:10.240 house and parked in his driveway i guess that's the first time am i impressed yes i'm really really

00:02:22.000 impressed that a tesla delivered itself i'm feeling like i i need to do that myself anyway speaking of

00:02:32.640 electric cars according to mit technology review which i know you all read um there's a battery recycling

00:02:43.840 company that recycles the giant batteries from electric cars who has realized that the the recycled

00:02:52.560 batteries before they recycle them they often still have about half of their power ability storage

00:03:01.760 which is not good enough to still be in a car but um it would make a lot of sense to string them

00:03:08.480 together and make it a uh a uh what do they call it um a uh industrial power center so they're using it to

00:03:22.800 help power uh ai data centers so they just put a bunch of old used up batteries that still have half their

00:03:31.680 energy storage and they can uh do a little uh micro grid yeah well g appliances is going to move uh

00:03:44.880 some over all of its i don't know a lot of its production out of china and moving it to kentucky

00:03:52.080 and it's a 490 million dollar investment they're bringing back to the u.s according to uh louis cassiano on fox

00:04:02.400 business and uh they want to have a zero distance strategy so they want to manufacture closer to where

00:04:11.280 they're going to sell and will create 800 new full-time jobs well every time there's one of these stories

00:04:20.880 that makes trump look like a more successful president and i'll i'll say what other people have been

00:04:28.160 saying as well this is the best summer any president ever had the the number of things that trump has

00:04:38.080 already accomplished um before he's even gotten his big beautiful bill which i guess he'll get i don't

00:04:46.560 know they're trying pretty hard we'll talk about that but it looks like uh quite a summer for trump

00:04:55.920 so how many of you have seen the quote fake girlfriend filter apparently there's a filter for apps i don't

00:05:06.400 know which app but you can uh you can do a little video of yourself and then turn on the filter and a

00:05:15.840 a deep fake perfectly realistic looking girlfriend will walk into the frame put her arms around you 1.00

00:05:25.840 from behind and kiss you on the cheek and not not exactly the same way every time but wow you have to see

00:05:37.200 it because normally you would say to yourself well yeah i'm definitely gonna know it's ai nope no based on the

00:05:47.200 ones i saw you would not know that that was not a real person so now imagine that you're not doing it just

00:05:55.040 for social media imagine that you've got a uh a bot ai bot um girlfriend or boyfriend

00:06:05.920 and when you look at the screen and when you look at the screen they're there with you in in your real

00:06:12.560 life they're not there but if you look at the screen in the right app it looks like they're there and

00:06:18.400 talking to you on the screen now how weird would that be oh that's coming so it's called the fake

00:06:27.200 girlfriend filter you have to see it to believe it it's actually amazing well why would uh

00:06:38.720 um i i saw an article and uh by tim higgins i think he was writing for the wall street journal

00:06:46.960 and he says in a lonely world elon musk and mark zuckerberg and even microsoft are vying for affection

00:06:56.720 in the new friend economy the friend being the bots so now you've got the the visual image of that friend

00:07:08.960 you know in the fake girlfriend you know in the fake girlfriend filter and now you can give it a

00:07:14.560 personality and have an ongoing relationship with the bot um yeah so what do you think of that

00:07:28.720 do you do you think uh do you think that the bot friends are going to be a big deal

00:07:35.120 i do i think it's going to be a really big deal but one of the things that uh tim higgins was

00:07:41.840 speculating about is that the uh different ais might look like um somebody was watching a different

00:07:51.680 news source so grok might look like you watch fox news but open ai might look like you watch msnbc all day

00:08:02.720 so when you pick your bot friend you might have to pick the one that's that's got the the best news

00:08:12.960 knows the same as you anyway um according to ai news the ai called anthropic was tested

00:08:26.560 to see if it could run a business and it failed so it didn't make any money and had lots of bugs and

00:08:34.560 didn't work out so how long do you think it would be before ai could legitimately run a startup

00:08:44.800 uh maybe never right maybe never but how long will it be before it can be your bot girlfriend or boyfriend 0.80

00:08:52.960 probably pretty soon if it's running a business you can't let it hallucinate because that's a problem

00:09:03.360 but if your your bot ai boyfriend or girlfriend hallucinates that's going to feel like real life

00:09:13.440 because real people hallucinate all the time they've got cognitive just instead of fake memories

00:09:22.160 so yeah i'm pretty sure that the whole uh boyfriend girlfriend best friend thing is going to be huge

00:09:29.920 but will ai be running a new startup for you i don't know maybe here's some fake news

00:09:39.520 you remember the story that sounded fake to you that meta was going to offer a hundred million

00:09:45.520 dollars signing bonus for ai professionals like if they're really good and that was like a big news story

00:09:53.840 and you probably looked at it and said really a hundred million dollar just a signing bonus

00:10:03.680 it's not even what the salary is it's just a upfront signing bonus and you said to yourself there's no way

00:10:12.160 that's true well guess what it wasn't true

00:10:16.320 it was fake news um there are some people getting enormous pay packages but it's not up front

00:10:27.360 so that that was just never real so there are people who might make a hundred million dollars

00:10:32.960 you know over a certain amount of time and there's some people who are definitely making

00:10:38.080 over 20 million dollars already per year um so all it would be it would be 25 million per year for four years

00:10:48.000 um which is enormous and incredible and your brain can barely hold it but it's not a hundred million dollars up front

00:10:57.120 so that was fake news

00:11:00.560 speaking of fake news um governor newsom of california is suing fox news

00:11:07.840 for uh claiming that he had not talked to president trump um relative to the the protests about ice

00:11:18.240 in california now newsom said he had talked to trump but i think trump himself may have said he didn't

00:11:27.680 but in any event uh at least jesse waters reported on fox news um what they believe to be true which is

00:11:36.480 that they that they that newsom had lied so newsom is suing because he says he didn't lie and he's

00:11:44.640 probably can prove it um and he's suing for 787 million dollars

00:11:52.720 now does that seem like a little bit too much apparently that's sort of similar to how much

00:11:58.960 um fox news paid to one of the uh one of the voting companies they sued him i forget which one

00:12:09.680 so you may have picked that number just because it reminds you that fox news once lost a lawsuit of

00:12:16.480 that that that type so but he would take a correction so fox news um just goes out and says whoops

00:12:26.960 we got that story wrong he would take that so he's pretty good at getting attention i gotta say

00:12:35.920 was it dominion or was it the other one i forget

00:12:38.640 well we got some supreme court verdicts yesterday right after i was done with my podcast so everybody's

00:12:49.120 talked about it but me now i'm the worst person to get any supreme court news about

00:12:56.160 or to get your news about the supreme court from um i would listen to the lawyers because there's always

00:13:03.760 these weird nuances you think you understand it if you're a non-lawyer and then you realize you got

00:13:10.480 everything wrong but here's what i think happened i think the supreme court ruled that the lower

00:13:20.320 court district judges can no longer do nationwide injunctions that would apply to the whole nation

00:13:27.920 when they are meant to be judges for their own district and there were about 40 different injunctions

00:13:35.440 against trump executive orders mostly i guess and uh but it wasn't from everywhere there were five states

00:13:45.120 that were responsible for i think 35 of the 40 injunctions so the problem was that democrats could just

00:13:53.760 find whoever was the most liberal judge in a liberal state and they could stop everything in the whole

00:14:00.400 country but the supreme court just ruled no you can't uh you cannot overrule the entire country but you can

00:14:10.080 still do your rules for your own district um now the big conversation is what happens if you had a democrat

00:14:19.200 president would you having now greatly empowered the office of the president uh relative to how much a you know a court could stop him

00:14:31.840 um will the next democrat president have the same power yes and would that be making republicans very unhappy if it happens

00:14:44.640 the answer is yes so the presidency got a lot more powerful no matter who's in that job um

00:14:55.840 trump says that later later in the year the supreme court might take on the question

00:15:01.680 of birthright citizenship that's the one where you get to be a citizen if you're born in this country

00:15:07.760 even if your parents are not citizens trump says that that's uh that that was intended for the children of slaves

00:15:16.960 and therefore he thinks they have a good argument for the supreme court someday overturning it

00:15:23.680 the people who know more about the constitution are pretty much unanimous in saying they won't get overturned

00:15:32.720 because there's too much precedent and the clear wording of the constitution even if their intention was

00:15:40.960 something else i suppose but uh we'll see if that goes the president's way or not

00:15:49.040 anyway so what could what could happen is the states could end up with different federal laws

00:15:56.240 they'd all have the same law but some states could get a liberal judge to do an injunction that only 0.99

00:16:06.000 applied to their their state so you might have for example a situation so i saw some people talking

00:16:13.360 about this on on the news potentially and i don't know what the odds of this are but potentially

00:16:21.360 you could have a situation where if your parents are not citizens but they have you in you know new jersey

00:16:30.800 you might be a citizen but if they had you in pennsylvania maybe you wouldn't be

00:16:38.080 so it could get really confusing um that's one possibility now one of the stories that

00:16:44.400 uh and i guess i guess i guess there's still the option of doing a class action suit against whatever

00:16:50.880 the president is up to but i feel like that's less efficient might take longer might be fewer of them

00:16:59.840 but it's not like there's no recourse so you still have a legal recourse to try to end a president's

00:17:08.080 executive order through a class action suit i guess um so that that's my best uh not a lawyer

00:17:17.440 explanation of what happened but i'm enjoying watching uh people dump on justice uh katanji brown jackson

00:17:27.120 and apparently she wrote an opinion that uh at least jonathan turley says looks more like

00:17:35.040 uh an msnbc legally enlist hyperventilating

00:17:42.320 so her uh her written opinion was uh not well respected by either her colleagues or the experts

00:17:51.440 watching it so there's a lot of talk about whether she's even qualified for the job i have to admit

00:17:59.040 i don't mind the fact that the way she's writing through opinion is casual so she's using some

00:18:06.880 casual language like at one point she put in the in the sentence she put wait for it and then she

00:18:15.360 revealed you know the big reveal at the end of the sentence um i don't mind that i don't mind that she

00:18:22.960 doesn't do the full legalese but she's also being criticized for her actual opinion being tortured and 0.61

00:18:33.360 and basically stupid so it's not just that she's using casual language it's more like people are 0.90

00:18:42.720 wondering how she ever got the job so that's not going so well for her ontario the wait is over the 1.00

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00:19:51.840 tied the knot as they like to say it with his now wife lauren sanchez they had this big star-studded

00:19:59.840 wedding in uh where was it in italy yeah in venice on some island and it was a star-studded event with

00:20:11.120 some of the top celebrities and i immediately had the following question why does why does jeff bezos

00:20:20.000 know so many celebrities like how did that even happen and how well would you have to know a celebrity

00:20:28.640 like leonardo dicaprio before he will fly to italy and attend your wedding which he did apparently

00:20:37.280 the kardashians did as well don't you wonder what what is jeff bezos world like

00:20:46.320 do does he and his and now wife do they sit around and say hey what do you want to do tonight

00:20:52.320 i don't know let's fly down and have dinner with leonardo dicaprio well we've never even met him

00:21:00.000 yeah but just ask he'll say yes that one of the things i learned as soon as i became a little bit

00:21:06.320 famous is that if you're a little bit famous other famous people will take your call

00:21:12.320 and if you're very famous everyone will take your call so he might live in a world where you could

00:21:22.800 just call somebody who's super famous and just say you want to have dinner and they'll say oh totally

00:21:30.880 so maybe that's how he knows all those all those celebrities

00:21:34.640 or maybe they all party on his yacht i don't know

00:21:42.160 the other supreme court decision is that parents can opt out for their kids if the school lesson is about

00:21:51.920 lgbtq content so i guess that makes a lot of conservatives happy

00:22:00.000 so if you know that your public school is going to be um uh what would you say uh training your kids

00:22:11.440 on lgbtq content you can opt out for at least that lesson um axios is reporting that the so-called mega

00:22:25.920 division has ended do you remember the mega division that's when uh people did not agree about

00:22:35.440 what to do about iran and whether or not the u.s should get involved and then the president gets involved

00:22:43.120 and uh because the military is awesome got a spectacular what looks like a win

00:22:50.400 and now everybody's getting back together do you remember my prediction about the division in mega

00:23:02.560 i believe i said in public you know you can tell me if i'm imagining this didn't i tell you that success

00:23:10.400 would fix everything and that whatever happened and i just certainly didn't know what was going to happen

00:23:16.560 i told you that as long as trump gets a good result mega will come back together no matter what he does

00:23:25.840 he just has to win so winning fixes almost everything and i also told you that you know once we got past

00:23:38.880 this the mega people they're not going to turn into democrats so of course they're going to come back

00:23:45.520 together you know there may be some personalities who don't want to go to the same dinner together

00:23:51.680 anymore you know some of it got pretty ugly the accusations but no people are going to be pretty

00:24:00.080 solidly pro-trump because he's winning and winning fixes everything

00:24:07.440 well there's some more fake news that i gave you so i'll correct my own fake news um you know the

00:24:19.840 story about the parliamentarian so apparently congress has a parliamentarian who judged the big beautiful bill

00:24:28.720 and said there's a bunch of stuff on here that you can't do according to the rules of the senate and the parliamentarian knows the rules

00:24:39.840 and um i thought that might be forcing the republicans to change the bill

00:24:47.280 but apparently and i i don't understand how this works but politico says um

00:24:57.440 that uh they've been working with the parliamentarian and changing some of the language

00:25:03.840 so the parliamentarian would accept it now does that make sense to you this is in politico

00:25:11.600 how does it make sense that the only thing they're changing is the language

00:25:20.320 because she wasn't objecting to the language she was objecting to the fact that the uh the bill was

00:25:30.320 trying to change policy and you're not allowed to make big policy changes in this kind of a bill

00:25:37.120 unless you get 60 people to vote for instead of 50 and they were trying to avoid that because they know

00:25:43.520 they can't get 60 so do they really fix it by rewarding it but i also learned that they could fire the

00:25:54.960 parliamentarian or just ignore the parliamentarian now i think they would have to vote to ignore

00:26:00.880 um but apparently it's not it's not the end of the bill so i think i i may have misled you into

00:26:10.240 thinking that the parliamentarian could just sort of stop a bunch of stuff but it looks like there's

00:26:16.800 just so many weasel ways to get around the parliamentarian that maybe the parliamentarian is

00:26:22.880 in more trouble than the bill but we'll see so i have a question about how you can

00:26:30.720 make it acceptable by changing the language if somebody if somebody knows how that works let me know

00:26:42.960 um the uh the treasury has apparently issued some sanctions against three mexican uh financial

00:26:53.440 institutions i don't know i guess they're not banks per se but there are three big mexican

00:27:00.160 financial institutions they're being blamed for um participating in the fentanyl trafficking business

00:27:09.280 so they facilitated money transfer allegedly for the chemical precursors from china that would be used to

00:27:17.520 make fentanyl in mexico so that feels promising

00:27:23.120 it does seem like if you cut off the uh the money flow that you're going to get less fentanyl but

00:27:33.040 still i think it proves that um china is not doing anything to and china is not going to do anything to

00:27:41.520 reduce the fentanyl flow so if you thought they were good luck with that apparently the whole fentanyl thing

00:27:50.320 seems to be completely missing from the trade talks with china surprise

00:27:58.560 all right so you know our favorite uh socialist uh probably new mayor of new york city

00:28:06.960 uh his name is mom donnie and can you believe that in the real world he said in public i don't know

00:28:17.280 if he said it more than once that uh in order to pay for some of the progressive socialist stuff he

00:28:24.240 wants if he wins and it looks like he will win he wants uh he thinks that white neighborhoods should

00:28:30.880 pay higher property taxes white neighborhoods should pay higher property taxes in new york city

00:28:40.640 now let me give you some advice if you live in a city where people can even have that conversation

00:28:52.880 and not be immediately eliminated for running for office or fired you should get out of there as fast as

00:29:00.400 you can if you happen to be white because um i'm not even talking about whether they do it 0.95

00:29:11.600 just think about the fact that he can say this openly he can openly suggest taxing white people more

00:29:21.680 in in the area that he would be in control of them as mayor if you can even have that conversation

00:29:29.360 and keep your job and you if you're a white person living there you should really think about leaving

00:29:37.680 because that is a that is way over the line yeah there's no way that's gonna make you happy so run

00:29:51.920 you know one of the uh questions that i have that you're gonna hate because i know i've brought up

00:29:57.600 i brought this up before and just makes all of you get really mad at me which makes me even more

00:30:03.280 determined to sell it and it goes like this i believe it never works if you try to overlay a

00:30:12.400 whole bunch whole bunch of you know too much socialism on top of a capitalist system

00:30:18.880 i don't think i've ever seen it work have you so if you've got a capitalist system that's cooking

00:30:27.200 along and then you say well we'll add a little bit of socialism a little bit you could probably

00:30:34.640 handle a little bit which we do but if you keep piling it on there's a hundred percent chance you

00:30:42.960 destroy the whole system and everybody starves to death and you become cannibals right we we pretty 1.00

00:30:48.560 much all agree on that but here's a question that i have what if you designated some areas to be

00:30:59.840 socialist only and you built them from the ground up to be socialist um but still with jobs so people

00:31:09.600 would still be able to you know get a job at a market rate and earn their own money and stuff

00:31:14.720 but that all the things that socialist leaders want would be there so if you want free transportation

00:31:24.320 yes if you want free child care yes um if you want low rent yes but you would have to design it

00:31:35.120 to be the socialist only opt-in opt-in stop it if you're an npc you're gonna say that you would never

00:31:46.560 live there don't do that because then you're an npc because i'm not suggesting you live there i'm not

00:31:53.680 suggesting anybody be forced to live there what i'm suggesting is wouldn't it be good if there was one

00:32:02.480 city or county somewhere in the country that was fully socialist from the ground up

00:32:10.480 now how could you accomplish some of these free services by designing it right so suppose

00:32:20.560 everybody has a job there right so if you can work you have a job and you still you still have to buy your

00:32:29.760 food so you have to work it's not so socialist that nobody's working you have to work but imagine if

00:32:38.960 they designed underground e-bike um transportation you can bring the cost of public transportation

00:32:49.200 down to almost nothing if you designed it from the bottom up to make transportation easy

00:32:55.600 right what about um child care if you designed the city properly there would always be some grandmas who 0.99

00:33:08.320 wanted to watch your kids yeah but they would be vetted and you know wouldn't be too far away

00:33:14.560 and all that so you could probably get yourself almost free transportation almost free child care almost free

00:33:24.560 dog watching um and you could build the build the uh rental units in the cheapest possible way that

00:33:34.240 is also very durable and livable so you could bring the rents way down so my question is this

00:33:44.640 even if you thought it would fail wouldn't it be good to have one so that you wouldn't have to worry about

00:33:51.440 people trying to overlay the socialism on your capitalist place you'd say hey look if any of that 0.98

00:33:59.280 shit worked it would be working over in socialism town but look out they're all struggling and and dying 0.96

00:34:10.320 why not it's only a problem when you try to combine two systems together that are not meant to be 0.98

00:34:16.400 combined together but if you built it from scratch would people go there would they like it would they

00:34:24.960 be happy having a low income but also very low expenses maybe probably the biggest thing you'd have to do is

00:34:34.800 make sure that you didn't let everybody in you you would have to make it impossible to move in if you 0.99

00:34:43.360 had a criminal record or impossible to move in if you had bad credit so if you selected people who were

00:34:52.080 good citizens and employable and they just liked the socialist system a little bit better

00:34:59.600 maybe maybe make it work somewhere but just don't lay it on to new york city or anywhere where

00:35:06.640 the other system is already cooking along um trump is mad at canada again um because canada wanted to

00:35:21.920 impose a digital services tax on american tech companies now i don't think that there are too many companies

00:35:30.560 from other countries that would even be qualified for a having to pay a digital services tax but i think

00:35:38.960 that's sort of aimed at um our social media giants and it just looks like a way for canada to pick our

00:35:48.480 pockets so trump is defend defending the big tech companies by telling canada we're going to drop all

00:35:56.960 all all of her uh negotiations so there just won't be any negotiations about trade and he's just going

00:36:06.000 to send them the bill i i do like this new approach where he says if you don't want to have a new trade

00:36:14.720 agreement you don't need one we'll just send you the bill and tell you what your tariff is so he's going

00:36:21.520 to try this in canada first i guess we're going to send you the bill sorry you uh you are no longer

00:36:28.880 appropriate as a you know as somebody that we want to negotiate with we're just going to send you the bill

00:36:39.600 we'll see if that changes anything and at all by the way speaking of bills the big beautiful bill

00:36:48.000 that trump is trying to get passed before july 4th it looks like it might be close

00:36:56.000 i'm not gonna i won't predict it will get done because there's a lot of resistance but it might

00:37:02.960 they're they're pushing pretty hard to see if they could get it done before the fourth

00:37:07.280 so maybe but at this point is it fair to say that literally nobody knows what's in the bill

00:37:13.680 because you've got the house version that's so big that i don't know how many people even know

00:37:22.800 all the things that are in it then it goes to the senate and they tweak it like crazy

00:37:30.000 and then the parliamentarian says you can't do that and then they have to change the language or

00:37:37.120 i don't know maybe change the policies and by the time it's done and then there's a negotiation

00:37:44.640 within the senate to all right we'll change this if we do this we'll change that if you'll vote for it

00:37:51.680 so do you feel like you know what's in this thing i am very confused i mean i think it still has

00:38:01.200 you know the tax elements that we're expecting but i don't know what else is in there

00:38:10.560 um all right so iran well here's the story that i would not give high credibility to yet

00:38:20.880 so i saw this in the post by mario and i'm awful and he's generally generally i would say

00:38:28.720 um credibility is good because he always shows the sources and you can you know look for yourself

00:38:35.280 um but the sources for this are entities foreign entities that i've never heard of before

00:38:42.480 so uh i would wait to see if any other news sources pick this up but the report which i would give

00:38:51.040 of low credibility to but maybe is that iran's u.s uh u.n ambassador said that iran would be willing to

00:39:01.520 transfer its most enriched uranium which would suggest that they still have it uh to another country in

00:39:10.480 exchange for yellow cake now if i know my nuclear energy yellow cake would be something you could use

00:39:19.360 use for domestic energy production but you wouldn't be able to make a bomb out of it so do you really

00:39:28.000 think that happened do you really think that iran is seriously offering to transfer all of their

00:39:36.800 more enriched uranium to another country if they can get in return uh a non-weaponized material that

00:39:45.440 take a use for energy i'm going to say that sounds a little too good to be true but if it is true

00:39:55.360 um i'm going to say that that would suggest that the supreme leader is no longer in charge

00:40:03.440 so one i'm going to predict that one of two things is true either that story is not true

00:40:11.440 and they're not proposing any kind of a yellow cake anything so it's either not true or if that is

00:40:20.560 true and they really mean it that would suggest that the supreme leader is not making the decisions

00:40:27.200 right now there's some maybe a military you know maybe there's some kind of military control

00:40:34.240 so we'll see

00:40:38.960 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:40:43.440 learn more at scotia bank.com slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you think

00:40:50.480 um harvard is trying to find a workaround for the fact that trump is trying to block foreign students

00:41:02.880 from attending harvard and harvard's university john fk uh yeah john f kennedy school of government so

00:41:12.800 that's not the whole not the whole harvard but the school of government is working on a deal with a

00:41:21.600 canadian um university called toronto's monk school of global affairs and public policy

00:41:31.920 and the idea is if these foreign students who are already harvard students want to complete their

00:41:39.200 education at harvard but they can't do it because they would be blocked by presidential order

00:41:46.800 well then they would say you could go to canada and you can attend the

00:41:53.920 the university of toronto's monk school of global affairs and public policy

00:42:00.240 and they would apparently share some professors with harvard and then they would tell you that

00:42:07.840 you got a harvard degree but you got it at the university of toronto's monk school of global

00:42:15.360 affairs and public policy now uh let me suggest that there's something that harvard might not understand

00:42:25.200 about harvard well why does anybody go to harvard well mainly you go to harvard so that when you're done

00:42:37.120 you can say you went to harvard uh do you think that that will thrill foreigners who want to be able

00:42:44.560 to say they graduated from harvard you say look you can say you graduated from harvard even though really

00:42:53.040 you got half of your degree from the university of toronto's monk school of global affairs and public

00:42:59.200 policy so how about that does that impress you friends are your parents really proud of you

00:43:06.160 oh i don't i don't know about your child but mine went to the i won't say it again uh then the other

00:43:16.640 thing is the the casual contact with the networking of being on the harvard campus so you would lose the

00:43:27.280 networking of being on the harvard campus you would get a little bit in this monk school

00:43:35.920 it's monk as in m-u-n-k not m-o-n-k so it must be named after somebody named monk

00:43:45.520 anyway so that sounds pretty desperate it's not a done deal it depends if there's enough demand for it

00:43:52.800 according to npr and it's weird the npr would be reporting this but uh domenico montanaro is writing

00:44:03.840 for npr that according to pew research if everybody who did not vote in the 2024 election because only about

00:44:16.000 two-thirds of the registered people vote but if all of them had voted trump would have won by even more

00:44:25.680 this is on npr so npr is saying that the more people who voted the bigger the lead that trump

00:44:35.360 would have had in the general election so did i mention that things are going trump's way this summer

00:44:43.520 what were the odds that npr would be confirming his popularity in a feature story i don't know what

00:44:53.680 the odds of that were but you know i certainly didn't predict it but there it is

00:45:01.520 um trump has apparently abandoned plans according to the post-millennial thomas stevenson's reporting

00:45:10.560 that uh trump was talking about lifting sanctions on iran but then the ayatollah said that iran won the war

00:45:21.600 and now trump is saying if you're going to say that you won the war when clearly you did not

00:45:30.240 then i'm not going to lift the sanctions what

00:45:34.240 well one of the odds that iran is going to modify their message and tell their residents okay now

00:45:44.560 really remember when we said we totally slapped america in the face and and beat them at war well

00:45:52.560 okay that was fake news we just made that up we totally lost the war and surrendered

00:45:58.000 and then if they admit that they lost the war and that trump beat them then and only then will trump

00:46:11.280 look into lifting the sanctions on iran's economy so i don't know if any of that story is true

00:46:20.000 but maybe there is a truth social post in which trump is saying directly exactly that he he's saying

00:46:30.720 exactly what i told you that it's because they're claiming victory that he's discontinuing any

00:46:38.000 conversation about getting rid of sanctions so that part is true it's true that he said it

00:46:42.800 i don't know how true it was that he was really looking into lifting the sanctions it could be

00:46:53.040 that when he brought up lifting the sanctions he got so much pushback that he knew it wasn't possible

00:47:00.320 and then it would be easier to blame it on iran and say all right i was totally going to lift these

00:47:06.560 sanctions and it had nothing to do with how much blowback i got from israel and god knows where else

00:47:14.320 it has nothing to do with that it has everything to do with your poorly poorly worded statements about

00:47:21.440 how you won all right so apparently today maybe this has already happened post-millennial

00:47:29.520 is reporting hannah nightingale that uh the trump administration had brokered some kind of historic

00:47:37.600 peace agreement between the republic of congo and rwanda who apparently were having a very major war that

00:47:49.520 most of us were not paying attention to whatsoever but marco rubio's team apparently

00:47:56.000 um brokered um brokered a peace deal it's a big deal and i guess they're signing it today

00:48:03.920 and or have signed it now if you're keeping count that would be two and a half wars that trump has ended

00:48:14.560 so let's give him credit for ending the iran israel conflict we'll give him credit for the congo

00:48:23.040 rwanda thing now remember this is all in one summer and there's a possibility i'm not going to predict it

00:48:33.280 will happen that would be too far but there's a possibility that because of uh trump's you know

00:48:42.080 victory and getting a ceasefire that he might be able to browbeat israel because there's some reporting

00:48:49.680 about this but it's low low credibility reporting so far there's some reporting that trump may have

00:48:59.440 already worked out with israel ahead of time that within two weeks of the ceasefire with iran

00:49:07.600 that they would have to come up with some kind of a gaza i'll call it a peace deal

00:49:13.120 so there's a pretty good chance that'll happen because that would be what opens up the abraham

00:49:21.520 accords for other countries you know the other muslim countries that want to join the join the accords

00:49:28.480 which would give them some you know certain economic advantages so there's a pretty good possibility

00:49:37.840 that trump will end three wars this summer he might you know if if you give him that he ended iran israel

00:49:51.200 if you give him that he did uh congo and rwanda and if he gets and i think he might because israel has to

00:50:01.520 you know do something different um they're going to have to they're going to have to make some kind of

00:50:08.160 um let's say compensation to the rest of the area to get the abraham accords going again so i think he's

00:50:18.960 got a shot the summer of ending naza that would be three right and then putin um is talking about the

00:50:32.880 need to you know have a summit and he says he wouldn't do a summit with zielinski unless they'd sort

00:50:40.640 of agreed on the peace deal so that the summit would come after they decided how to end things

00:50:48.160 so putin isn't really acting like he wants to end the war but he's talking like it and everything

00:50:56.720 does have to end eventually zielinski is definitely talking like he wants to end the war

00:51:06.000 there is a possibility and i wouldn't i wouldn't predict it will happen but there's a solid

00:51:12.960 possibility because the war has to end sometime it has to end for some reason um it might happen this

00:51:22.640 summer that would be four wars

00:51:28.640 trump has a legitimate chance of ending four wars in one summer and i'm not even counting giving him any

00:51:39.280 credit for the pakistan india flare-up that um i think india is saying that the military

00:51:47.920 brought the ceasefire but i think it was a pakistan who was giving trump a little bit of credit for

00:51:54.640 that i don't remember if it was pakistan or just trump so pakistan india may or may not have been a

00:52:02.320 trump influence so that one's a little bit of a gray area so he has a chance i don't know what the odds are

00:52:12.000 but a chance of ending four and a half wars in one in half a year depending how you score the pakistan india

00:52:24.000 conflict have you ever seen anything like this and then the the stock market is fully recovered

00:52:33.840 interest rates will probably go down in 2026 you know because you'll get a new uh new head of the federal

00:52:42.160 reserve and even even economists who said that trump was crazy and destroying the country with his tariffs

00:52:54.640 the tariff thing apparently worked now not perfectly and maybe not as well as anybody wanted but it looks

00:53:05.040 like he's getting credit for being the only person who knew that the tariff thing could work yeah with his

00:53:11.760 advisors how big is that that is so big it's almost unimaginable then you add on top of it all of his

00:53:22.800 executive orders then you add on top of it the supreme court victories that he's that he seems to be

00:53:29.360 rolling up left and right oh i've never have you ever seen anything like this i don't remember

00:53:38.320 in my lifetime i don't remember any president who was anywhere near this level of effectiveness not

00:53:48.640 anywhere near it so will he get a nobel peace prize so my question is this how many wars does one man need

00:54:00.560 to stop before he gets a nobel peace prize i feel like three won't be enough

00:54:10.240 if he ended up stopping you know congo rwanda iran and then gaza if he got all three of those i don't

00:54:19.920 think he'd win i think he would have to get at least the ukraine russia thing to look like it was solved

00:54:28.960 and then the nobel prize committee would just freaking have to give it to him

00:54:37.280 how many would agree that if he ends three wars in one summer still not enough just because it's trump

00:54:45.680 still not enough but if he ends four i think they just have to they would just have to give it to him

00:54:54.400 at that point they'd probably give it to zelensky or putin but uh it would be hard to resist giving

00:55:02.000 it to him if he gets four wars in one summer anyway um also fox news brooke singman is reporting that uh

00:55:16.400 trump has a record-shattering 1.4 billion dollars in his political war chest you know i kept wondering why

00:55:26.640 i i kept getting all these uh fundraising requests from trump and i would think to myself he's not really running again

00:55:36.240 why does he need you know political donations and the answer is he would use them for the uh midterms

00:55:46.160 so the democrats are broke uh their most famous members are literally socialists who trump calls communists

00:55:56.960 and trump has got a gigantic war chest and some of the biggest victories that you've ever seen in a

00:56:05.920 political context whatsoever is that enough to win the midterms not necessarily because the midterms are

00:56:17.200 weird animals and if trump is not actually on the you know in the election um anything could happen and the

00:56:28.160 the history of the party that's out of power picking up seats it's hard to go against that history but if

00:56:36.000 anybody could if if it were possible trump trump would be the one to do it

00:56:43.600 all right uh there's a university of virginia president who is resigning because of the pressure over dei

00:56:55.600 so they look like a white guy to me james ryan so he's quitting his job as a university of virginia

00:57:04.480 president because it's illegal to do dei and he wants to really really do some dei

00:57:11.600 so he's gonna he quit his posts according to the new york post so good he will not be missed

00:57:25.120 um unbelievable let's talk about uh governor newsom again so believe it or not

00:57:35.760 and i don't know if i believe this story so there's something about the story that doesn't

00:57:41.440 add up yet but i'll tell you what it is um allegedly gavin newsom has figured out how to

00:57:50.560 essentially balance the impossible to balance california budget by he had he had a 12 billion dollar deficit

00:58:00.800 now that's a gigantic number for a state and there's really it looked like there was no way

00:58:07.360 he could close it without you know massively raising taxes on whoever he could raise it on but allegedly

00:58:15.840 he has closed you know with his lawmakers closed the 12 million dollar deficit for the proposed upcoming

00:58:24.240 budget and the way he did it was by denying health care to illegal immigrants 0.81

00:58:32.560 the way he closed it was by denying all the progressive stuff that the state wanted to do

00:58:44.800 that every republican would have voted against

00:58:49.760 so at least gavin newsom has figured out that you can't just give away everybody's money

00:58:56.560 and expect to still have a future in politics so i don't even know what to say i mean basically

00:59:07.120 the only things that work in california the only things that work are when the democrats throw up

00:59:13.440 their hands and say all right we'll just do what a republican would have done everything else just looks

00:59:20.000 ridiculous but as soon as as soon as he acts like a republican would because you know in his podcast he said 0.62

00:59:28.560 that he would be opposed to uh trans athletes uh competing in women's sports and nobody saw that coming 0.94

00:59:39.040 so in order for him to get into the you know the common sense area he just had to

00:59:44.000 sort of do what a republican would do which is exactly this so i don't know if he closed the budget deficit or if this is a done deal

00:59:55.600 but the fact that the fact that it's even being reported they close this giant deficit by not giving away our money

01:00:04.960 that seems like a big deal 0.96

01:00:10.480 well you'll be happy to know that the former doge employee whose nickname was big balls 0.97

01:00:18.720 who left doge and you said to yourself oh no wouldn't it be better if big balls was working for the country

01:00:27.040 well he's back but not on doge he's going to be working for the social security administration

01:00:35.600 to modernize their computer network to which i say yes

01:00:41.360 there we go

01:00:43.120 let's uh let's bring big balls back and put him slot him in there at one of the 0.97

01:00:48.240 most important and most difficult things you could ever do

01:00:52.400 and uh let him continue serving the country i like him

01:00:59.120 all right people

01:00:59.840 that's all i've got for you uh remember that owen gregorian will be hosting a spaces in just a few

01:01:08.640 minutes so look for him on the x platform and you'll see the link to spaces it's an audio only

01:01:17.120 so you can uh talk and other people can listen and that'll be happening in just mere mere minutes

01:01:24.800 but i'm going to say a few words to the people on locals my beloved beloved local subscribers

01:01:31.920 the rest of you you can run over and see if owen has fired it up yet um or i will see you tomorrow

01:01:40.880 same time same place all right locals i'm going to come at you in 30 seconds

01:02:01.920 where are you um

01:02:08.720 no

01:02:13.120 no

01:02:14.880 no

01:02:15.120 no

01:02:15.680 no

01:02:15.920 no

01:02:16.180 no

01:02:28.480 Thank you.

01:02:58.480 Thank you.

01:03:28.480 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 28, 2025

Episode 2881 CWSA 06⧸28⧸25

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