Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2883 CWSA 06⧸30⧸25

00:00:00.000 nice try all right

00:00:06.160 good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

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00:00:58.240 all right well we're off to a slow start but where do you see the finish oh gets better every minute

00:01:07.360 well the uh political news is a little bit boring today so a little bit more about technology

00:01:15.280 google has uh released a new app called doppel d-o-p-p-l which is weird because years ago

00:01:25.440 i tried to create this app and the name i picked for it was doppelganger

00:01:32.800 so they they've actually recreated an app that i actually formed a company and tried to create

00:01:38.960 years ago before ai so theirs works a lot better than mine it's called doppel and what it does since

00:01:49.360 you probably wonder is uh it puts you in the clothing that you're looking at buying so if you're looking

00:01:57.040 at a shirt or a dress to buy you can see yourself in that shirt or dress so the ai will put you in it

00:02:05.120 now that is very cool i i think i told you um when i was trying to invent my version since that was

00:02:13.600 before ai could do this um my version was to find somebody who looks just like you and found a nice shirt

00:02:21.760 because there's always somebody who's exactly your size and would be confused for you if if you're in

00:02:31.680 the same room so you just find that person wherever they are on earth and if they say hey i got a new

00:02:38.640 outfit well you just look at their outfit and say well if it works for you it'd probably work for me

00:02:45.040 but uh google has a better one um now the uh snap app has uh glasses so they've got those uh augmented

00:02:59.760 reality glasses and now there's a third party who's made an ad blocker for people wearing glasses in the

00:03:08.640 real world you know the snap special ai glasses so what it does is if you're walking past a

00:03:16.480 advertisement in a window or a sign that has an advertisement it blocks it

00:03:23.680 so instead of blocking your ads on your online stuff it blocks advertisements in the real world

00:03:30.640 i don't know how many people need that i kind of i kind of don't mind advertisements in the real world

00:03:39.280 i only i only just like them when they're digital but anyway that's it that's a real product already

00:03:48.240 well according to fox news kurt nutsen i think that's how you say his name nothing um there's a robot run

00:03:58.720 convenience store called ven hub that's got two robotic arms that run around and grab whatever it is

00:04:06.480 you've ordered on your app now i i can't tell if this is the beginning of something big or more of a

00:04:16.160 novelty because you know there's going to be this long period of time where people are trying out all

00:04:23.200 kinds of cool ai robot things and some of them will be really successful and some of them will be

00:04:30.640 novelties we don't know what this one will be but we won't need human beings to run our convenience stores

00:04:40.320 have you ever seen the uh the estimates of what is the biggest expense for a convenience store

00:04:47.920 now other than buying the product but the biggest expense you would think would be

00:04:56.720 you know employee salaries and it might be it might be salaries but right up near the top of the biggest

00:05:05.760 expenses um are uh theft so if you can remove the employees from your convenience store you get rid of the

00:05:16.640 the biggest expense not just their salary but what they steal all right

00:05:25.840 um elon musk says that uh grok for the ai that uh that elon's working on grok for the new upgrade

00:05:38.000 is going to come out right after july 4th and musk says it will reason from first principles

00:05:46.560 now that would be very different from what the large language models have done so far

00:05:52.480 so is that going to be sort of a general intelligence will

00:05:58.640 um let me see if i can catch up on your comments some of you are still saying you can't hear

00:06:07.840 but that's old news we fixed that um

00:06:13.760 so that's kind of exciting apparently uh the new grok will be unmatched

00:06:19.760 um it will be better than all the other ais but will it really be able to reason from first principles

00:06:28.080 so the large language models that exist

00:06:32.880 they just predict what the next word will be in the sentence they don't have any understanding

00:06:38.560 but you wouldn't be able to reason from first principles would you

00:06:42.000 do unless you had some kind of general intelligence so maybe this was the beginning of something much

00:06:49.760 bigger we don't know um meta has apparently successfully poached some really expensive high-level

00:07:00.000 ai people to go work on meta's ai and leave open ai they've taken eight um key open ai researchers

00:07:09.200 uh rowan chung is writing about that do you know how much that would cost now remember i told you

00:07:17.200 it was fake news that they're paying a hundred million dollars signing bonus that's not happening

00:07:22.880 but it's probably a lot it's probably a lot so meta is really serious about uh poaching high talent

00:07:35.120 and it's working so you know how almost every show it seems like i tell you about a new laboratory

00:07:44.800 came up with a new battery improvement for your cars or whatever any battery and i always tell you

00:07:53.200 but that doesn't mean that anybody will ever build that battery so there's probably a battery breakthrough

00:07:59.120 every single day in some laboratory around the world but it turns out that tesla has been working on

00:08:07.600 their own upgraded battery so they're just finishing a factory in sparks nevada that'll have this new lfp battery

00:08:19.760 so lithium iron phosphate and they're safer and more affordable than traditional ev batteries

00:08:26.960 batteries that comes from elon musk so while all these laboratories were talking about the improvements

00:08:36.480 in batteries it looks like elon musk was building an enormous factory to make a highly improved battery

00:08:44.800 safer and cheaper all right that might be a real big deal so if you're like me you've had some trouble

00:08:54.960 figuring out what the company palantir actually does because it seems to do a variety of different things

00:09:04.240 that don't seem directly related to each other so i really don't know what they do but part of what they do

00:09:12.480 has something to do with you know having a complete index of citizens or something i don't know

00:09:20.640 something for the government but there's a new thing that apparently they've got a deal for

00:09:27.920 and they're going to make a uh some software i don't know if they already have it or they're

00:09:33.040 they're building it but they have a deal for a five-year period to build a software platform that will help

00:09:41.520 with uh putting up nuclear power plants now if you like me you probably said to yourself

00:09:50.160 why do you need software to build like what would you need this the specialized software for and i don't

00:09:58.160 know but i can imagine that building a nuclear power plant is really really hard and complicated

00:10:05.760 and you should make sure you do the steps in the right order and it would be really good if you built a

00:10:12.720 power plant that somebody had already built and got approved so probably make sure that you stay within

00:10:20.720 approvable limits and probably make sure that you can do it faster because over time you could imagine

00:10:30.320 that each of the steps would be a little bit more automated or so might be a big deal if we could come up

00:10:37.680 with a software platform where any state who wanted to build a new nuclear power plant you could just say

00:10:45.680 all right first sign up for this palantir platform and it will tell you the rest of the stuff and make sure

00:10:54.640 that you build a power plant that doesn't blow up i guess so that's kind of cool ontario the wait is

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00:12:08.560 elon musk uh when does tesla expect to get a three to one or more robo talks robo taxi to supervisor ratio

00:12:20.720 so at the moment um i believe that the cars are being watched by human beings i don't know if that is

00:12:28.160 the same as the safety person um so the the uh the robo taxis are testing in austin they have a human

00:12:39.120 being who sits in the front seat um just in case there's some problem i guess because it's still a test

00:12:45.360 a test and are these supervisors slash tele operators are they remote so are they remote

00:12:55.920 human beings who are looking through the cameras of your car to make sure that the car is operating

00:13:02.640 safely safely so um farzad says you know when do you get down to three to one so that there are more

00:13:12.320 more users than our supervisors and bus says probably within a month or two

00:13:17.920 uh we continue to improve the tesla ai with each mile driven so i do love the fact that it seems

00:13:30.240 impossible and then it seems possible but it seems really hard but musk is willing to push through all

00:13:37.520 of that you know however long it takes however many people you have to have you know what however many

00:13:45.280 people you are going to be in danger just nothing stops them i i love that so you might and apparently

00:13:54.560 the reason for the question is that the robo taxi would be according to farzad well wonderfully

00:14:01.680 profitable once you get rid of the human the human supervisors so we'll see um trump says he was talking

00:14:12.960 to maria bartiroma and he says that we'll have a buyer for tick tock um within two weeks well within two

00:14:22.080 weeks they'll announce it they says they already have a group of quote very wealthy people but it's

00:14:29.280 not going to be sold unless china says yes so you know we're also doing a trade discussion with china

00:14:38.320 so will they say yes because the alternative they think is that tick tock will be closed

00:14:45.040 i don't know i feel like the odds are against it so i feel like even if there is an approved

00:14:53.520 group of wealthy people approved by the u.s they would not necessarily be approved by china to buy it so

00:15:02.640 that might get delayed again well you probably heard um there's some crazy shooter in cordialine idaho

00:15:13.360 who has now been neutralized i guess he was such a bastard he set a fire to attract the fire department 0.84

00:15:22.960 and then he shot three of them three of the the firemen two of them died and one of them is in bad

00:15:28.880 shape and uh i guess his shooter is already dead i didn't see if the cops got him or he got himself but

00:15:36.320 the the the threat has been neutralized now before you say is that some kind of iranian sleeper cell

00:15:46.960 i have no idea but it doesn't sound like it if you were if you were a terrorist you wouldn't do

00:15:54.480 something where just a few people come to a remote forest and then you kill them he didn't shoot himself

00:16:01.840 people say um you would go into a crowded area and you know make as much noise as you could

00:16:10.240 so it doesn't have it doesn't have iranian terrorists written all over it

00:16:18.160 um i see that some of you looking at the comments some of you know more about the story than i did

00:16:23.840 because i just uh i just skimmed it before i came on all right so sorry about the victims

00:16:35.520 but it looks like the threat has been neutralized or neutralized itself according to a rasmussen poll

00:16:43.760 um that will be released this morning um 48 of the people polled i think those are usually

00:16:53.120 you know voters in the united states um 48 support a special prosecutor to look into the 2020 election

00:17:03.440 election now hold that in your head for a minute 48 of the of the people polled i guess that would be

00:17:15.600 adults in the united states uh 48 percent think it's worth having a special prosecutor look into the 2020

00:17:25.600 election now that would probably be pretty much every republican and maybe a few independents thrown in

00:17:35.040 there too so correct me if i'm wrong but it wasn't that long ago that if you even suggested that the 2020

00:17:45.680 election might not have been pristine you you were just you were just canceled you got sued

00:17:53.600 it was a terrible terrible thing to say and now even rosie o'donald is saying you know i think the 2024

00:18:01.280 election should be looked into so we've managed to go all the way from there is no way that an election

00:18:11.120 in the united states could be rigged because we have so many so many ways to check it it's going all the way

00:18:17.920 to we're pretty sure that we should look into this that's a really big change in in public opinion

00:18:27.120 a really big change and i wonder if what would happen to the january 6 hoax

00:18:36.480 if they actually found something big about the 2020 election what would happen to it because remember

00:18:43.840 people like bill maher were still in serious tds they believe that the reason the reason that republicans

00:18:55.200 mostly stormed the capitol on january 6 they believe the reason is that those citizens thought that they

00:19:03.200 had genuinely lost the election but wanted to take over the country with their preferred leader trump

00:19:11.040 anyway now those of you who were not in tds know full well that that never happened what i mean is there

00:19:20.720 were not people who believed that that the election was uh fair who were protesting there were only people

00:19:31.040 who genuinely believed and they could have been wrong they might have been wrong but they genuinely

00:19:37.760 believed that the election was obviously rigged and they were trying to delay things until we could at

00:19:44.720 least find out if that was true so going from uh going from january 6 was an insurrection which assumes

00:19:57.360 there's no way to question the accuracy of an election that's that's just off the table all the way to

00:20:03.520 48 percent want a special prosecutor to look into it and by the way 2024 might have been a little sketchy too

00:20:13.120 that is a big big change in public opinion anyway

00:20:21.520 um

00:20:23.680 as you know the supreme leader of iran

00:20:26.320 uh was immediately upon the uh the beginning of uh military action by israel was uh taken by his

00:20:35.200 military and put in their most secure bunker do you know what their most secure bunker is called

00:20:44.080 fordow okay that's just a joke he was not put in fordow but it's kind of funny to imagine that

00:20:52.640 his own military would put him in the best bunker they have oh we got a bunker that nobody could ever

00:20:59.520 bust why don't you put me in the bunker that's near my house oh no no no that bunker is not nearly

00:21:07.920 good enough you got to be in the good one the one that's so that's so secure that even two bunker

00:21:16.080 busters would not destroy it would 12 bunker busters destroy it stop asking questions and

00:21:24.880 get in this car we're taking you to fordow okay that didn't happen but it would have been funny

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00:21:46.800 however according to fox news um and people watching the satellite imagery of the fordow site

00:21:56.160 iran is getting busy there so it looks like they're trying to clear the roads and the entrances

00:22:04.080 and we don't know what else they're doing but let me ask you this question would they spend a lot of

00:22:12.000 time trying to dig stuff out of the ground if they didn't think there was some chance that important

00:22:19.600 stuff survived would they were there human beings in fordow there might have been so you know maybe they

00:22:30.160 want to you know get the bodies out to give them a proper burial maybe or is it possible that they

00:22:38.800 think there's a secret well protected pocket somewhere in there that there might be some good stuff

00:22:45.920 if they could find it we don't know but they're they're not ignoring the site they're digging around

00:22:53.040 so they're up to something we'll keep an eye on them meanwhile in another other part of iran and

00:23:01.040 tehran cnn is reporting that there was a ceremony where women would show up with their babies

00:23:09.600 so there'd be a giant crowd of women who each had a baby and they would hold their baby up in the air 1.00

00:23:15.520 and pledge their baby's life to martyrdom so basically it was mothers saying yes kill my baby

00:23:26.320 presumably mostly sons i guess maybe um so martyrdom is a pretty big concept in iran still

00:23:37.920 so if you're wondering hey i wonder if they're done fighting i'm guessing not

00:23:44.640 i'm guessing not because they don't have a concept of losing a fight

00:23:50.880 the people who stop fighting it's because they understand the concept that they lost the fight

00:23:58.720 in iran apparently they don't have that concept you either win or you die a martyr

00:24:06.720 and that's the other way to win or your child dies as a martyr that's another way to win

00:24:12.800 win so iran needs to learn that there's a way to lose a war too because otherwise there's just going

00:24:22.800 to be more of it so that's suboptimal well in related news iran's top shiite cleric who's another million

00:24:34.640 year old guy it looks like he's already dead has issued a fatwa against uh trump and net yahoo

00:24:44.880 now the fatwa is basically you know giving people permission for violence against them

00:24:51.200 but why would it be that the top cleric issued a fatwa whereas is that something that the supreme

00:25:03.680 leader normally does or could do or would endorse or wouldn't endorse so it brings me back to my central

00:25:12.720 question is the supreme leader still in charge of that country because i don't believe it i believe

00:25:21.120 he's been nudged aside and that the military is already in charge that's that's my belief at the moment

00:25:28.640 i could be wrong i wouldn't say a hundred percent but if i had to put a percentage on it

00:25:35.200 60 to 70 percent chance that the supreme leaders already moved aside or nudged aside he might still

00:25:44.800 think he's in charge but maybe the reality is a little different all right um according to newsmax world

00:25:55.840 um israel has uh postponed the trial that netanyahu was in so he was accused of

00:26:04.880 various corruption uh things and you remember that trump was making some social media noise

00:26:14.000 saying that they should stop law-faring netanyahu because he likes working with netanyahu apparently

00:26:22.960 now remember i said when i was talking about it yesterday i guess i said uh is it even like a

00:26:31.440 possibility that the israel uh judicial system will look at a truth social post by trump and then

00:26:41.440 cancel the trial and i was kind of kind of mocking that as even a strategy like why would trump even

00:26:50.080 think that could possibly work like why would he waste any time on something that couldn't possibly

00:26:56.800 happen and then it got postponed now we don't know why it got postponed they have something to do with

00:27:04.480 israel's you know vital interests um probably something military something about security but uh

00:27:13.040 the court actually postponed it now postponed doesn't mean netanyahu's out of trouble but are these related

00:27:24.400 is it possible that trump's message actually made a difference or or was netanyahu and his legal team

00:27:32.960 working on this all the whole time and you know they just had a breakthrough that the court

00:27:38.880 was willing to accept i don't know but it does seem like a bit of a coincidence that when trump talks up you

00:27:47.920 know speaks up about it israel suddenly is acting different than you imagine they would act so we'll keep an eye on that

00:27:59.040 well the big beautiful bill as trump likes to call it lots of infighting going on

00:28:05.840 um the two people who were not in favor of it are ran paul and uh tom tillis in the senate but tillis

00:28:15.920 is already he just announced that he's not going to run for a re-election

00:28:21.040 uh i guess trump criticized him in recent posts and said he was going to encourage a potential primary

00:28:28.640 challenger and if you've been paying attention to tom tillis lately

00:28:34.000 you probably said to yourself he's acting like somebody who doesn't want to run for re-election

00:28:41.040 well turns out he didn't um so and then i believe that

00:28:51.760 all right i believe it was uh laura trump who was being considered as his potential replacement

00:28:58.240 in north carolina he's north carolina right do i have that right well so he's going away um

00:29:08.800 and ray and paul he says he's basically above it because it increases the debt and he is opposed to

00:29:17.760 anything that increases the debt so not only does it push up the debt limit by five trillion

00:29:24.240 but depending on how you do the math and what weasel methods you use it either increases the

00:29:34.320 budget deficit by 3.3 trillion dollars over the next 10 years that's what the cbo says

00:29:43.600 but the republicans have come up with some kind of new math

00:29:47.520 that turned that 3.3 trillion into into you know nothing so what they do is they say well if we don't

00:29:59.600 increase taxes that's not a change so you don't count that even though it would increase the deficit

00:30:09.360 that they found a way to pretend that that that would be counting the counting the dollars wrong

00:30:17.440 oh my god yeah it's as bad as you think

00:30:23.360 so i think ran paul's on the right track there um trump has said that if it doesn't get passed

00:30:31.600 uh it will mean a 68 tax hike without the big beautiful bill 1.00

00:30:37.280 how many of you believe

00:30:41.840 that if the big beautiful bill doesn't get passed that we're going to have a 68 tax hike

00:30:51.120 how in the world do you calculate that that's that's not even slightly possible

00:31:00.160 anyway but that number is out there now

00:31:02.480 i was uh curious how the media would summarize the bill because i have a hypothesis that when it comes

00:31:13.600 to public support um all that will matter is these summarizers because there's something like 25

00:31:21.680 different topics that the big beautiful bill addresses but if you do a if you read a story about it

00:31:29.120 it's not going to list 25 things and tell you what people think about each of those elements

00:31:35.360 they're going to pick out what they think are the you know the top line things

00:31:40.480 so i was looking at the wall street journal

00:31:44.320 and i was curious how they would summarize the bill

00:31:47.520 so this is their summary and you could tell i think from the summary um not 100 with certainty

00:31:56.320 but it's suggestive of what the public will think about it because the media tells the public what

00:32:03.920 their opinions are and if the media has summarized it one way versus another way you could kind of

00:32:11.040 know what the at least their readers will uh think of it so wall street journal says broadly so this

00:32:18.800 would be just sort of a broad summary of the bill the mega bill would extend tax cuts and boost defense

00:32:26.560 and border funding while cutting spending on medicaid and food aid it would add nearly 3.3 trillion

00:32:33.840 to deficits compared to current law and compared to letting the tax cuts expire as they would

00:32:40.640 otherwise now if if you knew that that was the only thing that the public would know about this bill

00:32:49.680 would it pass nope because the democrats are going to look at the part where they say medicaid and

00:32:57.840 food aid will be cut and they're going to say nope and then the republicans will look at the part

00:33:05.280 where it's adding to the deficit by 3.3 trillion and they'll say nope so the wall street journal has

00:33:13.680 given both sides reason to say no you know even if you like extending tax cuts and boosting defense

00:33:21.040 and military you probably rank those lower than these other hot hot items like medicaid and food aid and

00:33:30.160 deficit if you ask me the deficit is more important than all the other stuff so

00:33:39.680 that would suggest there's going to be a little bit of trouble getting this approved and making it

00:33:45.360 popular enough that republicans can do well in the midterms

00:33:49.520 all right so they're using weasel math to uh to make it look like they're not increasing the deficit

00:34:01.760 but every reasonable person thinks that they are um

00:34:08.800 all right so and i guess tom tillis is opposed to the medicaid cuts as well

00:34:14.720 yeah and laura trump is seriously considering running for the north carolina seat i believe

00:34:22.800 she's from north carolina but doesn't live there presently hello how much time do you need

00:34:31.040 to go live someplace and have that as your main residence before you can run for the senate

00:34:37.040 do you have to have just a mailing address there like what is the requirement for residency i don't know

00:34:46.480 but it might happen and they say if she ran she would win easily i believe that

00:34:55.920 well you know that canada had said it was going to charge american tech companies

00:35:03.200 with some kind of digital sales tax and trump said if you're going to do a digital sales tax on our

00:35:10.160 companies we're going to cancel our our trade negotiations and just send you the bill

00:35:17.360 the bill would be here's what your tariffs are we're done negotiating and canada said

00:35:24.720 well maybe we'll drop that digital sales tax thing so we can negotiate

00:35:30.400 so that worked trump threatened them with uh with some tariff badness and canada said all right wait

00:35:41.200 wait hold on hold on all right we'll put that in pause and we'll go back to the negotiating table

00:35:49.920 but uh europe on the other hand um still has one of these digital um these digital services taxes

00:35:58.960 so they have not dropped it yet but they're still negotiating but trump says he's going to deal with

00:36:05.600 europe and the come all the countries they have not made deals yet which is most of them uh just

00:36:11.840 by sending them tariff letters and telling them what they're going to pay so on july 9th the current

00:36:19.280 extension of uh you know tariffs being held off until the negotiations were done

00:36:25.600 um that after july 9th trump is going to say um you can negotiate if you want we're open to negotiating

00:36:34.800 but until then here's your bill for tariffs um apparently the the nato agreement for the nato

00:36:46.160 countries to spend more going from two percent of their gdp up to five percent over time

00:36:51.600 um might be one of the things that solves the the trade negotiations between europe and the us

00:37:00.960 because one of the big issues for trump was that uh there was a big trade imbalance so

00:37:11.040 uh we they weren't buying enough of our stuff but the nato increase a lot of that money will go to my

00:37:19.280 american arms and so just on its own it's going to close that uh it's going to do a lot of work to

00:37:27.520 close that trade deficit so the nato stuff could have the weird effect of making the trade talks work better

00:37:37.200 um and let's see what else has happened um trump is also mad at japan because uh japan's also got a big

00:37:51.200 trade deficit with us meaning meaning that we buy more of their stuff than they buy from us

00:37:57.360 and that could get fixed according to reuters um trump is suggesting that they buy more of our energy

00:38:05.600 energy now i don't know if there's any limitations to how much of our oil and gas they could buy

00:38:12.800 but uh that would be one way to fix it and uh if not i guess they'll just get a bill

00:38:21.360 so we'll send the bill for the tariffs um

00:38:26.800 um so it was a headline that um jake tapper and cnn has conceded on the air that trump has achieved

00:38:37.440 this is his own words jake tapper what may be empirically the best week of his presidency so far

00:38:45.600 now isn't that an interesting way to remove credit from trump they're saying it might be the best week

00:38:52.160 of his presidency so the comparison is not leaders everywhere or presidents you know all the presidents

00:39:01.840 we've ever had which is what i think is the proper comparison they're comparing him to himself

00:39:10.320 so that you don't have to give him too much credit it's like well you know for his presidency that

00:39:17.120 that was a good week so it was reported like like jake tapper was finally giving him credit

00:39:25.360 well i don't think he did i think he just he said you know even trump is going to have a good week

00:39:35.360 compared to trump so it was sort of a compliment without the compliment

00:39:40.400 anyway so uh tapper mentioned the supreme court victories expanding his power the dao being at a

00:39:50.640 high and the ceasefire between israel and iran and uh and in rwanda the congo rwanda thing so even

00:40:00.560 jake tapper is seeing that trump had a good week although he should have compared him to other leaders

00:40:07.200 not to himself senator chris murphy who is becoming like the grinch of the democrats he's one of these

00:40:17.600 angry angry pundits you can always get an angry comment on him he was asked if he gives trump any

00:40:27.440 credit for getting the border under control now if you were asked on camera in public

00:40:35.760 could you give trump any credit for getting the border under control how in the world could you

00:40:44.480 spin that into something negative for trump if you had to do it as like an assignment and i said it's not

00:40:51.840 what you believe but just as an assignment could you come up with an argument that trump has failed at

00:40:59.360 the border well i i wouldn't be able to do it but uh chris murphy he says no he's not going to give trump

00:41:08.960 credit for the border crossings being low because uh trump administration is violating the law to get there

00:41:18.560 and the law that he says is being violated is the law that allows people to apply for asylum

00:41:25.040 you know i guess he was part of voting on that law so i i didn't know this but it sounds like the trump

00:41:34.560 administration has done something probably an executive order i'm guessing that uh says you can't you

00:41:43.040 cannot easily apply for asylum because that's the part that was being abused everybody was just saying

00:41:49.440 uh asylum and then you get into the country and stay here for you know years waiting for your asylum

00:41:57.440 hearing and then once the asylum hearing happens you probably in at least in the old days you could have

00:42:03.280 snuck away and stayed in the country anyway so that's what he's arguing for

00:42:10.560 so the best the democrats have and he's one of their smarter people the best they have

00:42:17.680 is arguing against process again except that the process

00:42:25.120 was completely corrupted so they're not just arguing for a good process which you could understand

00:42:33.200 oh well we had this good process so they should be following our good process it was the worst

00:42:40.960 process ever it literally effectively opened our border to anybody who wanted to walk in and claim that

00:42:47.520 they were you know asking for asylum so once again the democrats have been

00:42:56.480 i i don't even want to say tricked because they're doing it themselves

00:43:00.480 they're taking the 80 the 20 percent view on another 80 20 again and again they're not arguing about the part

00:43:12.080 that people care about was the border open before yes has the border now been closed yes

00:43:22.960 that's where the public is do you think that we really give a about some uh some asylum thing that

00:43:32.560 might be getting gamed by the the trump administration and i don't even know if it's being gamed

00:43:39.360 or if they have you know solid legal standing it doesn't matter to me does it matter to you

00:43:44.960 i only care that they closed it it was an immediate security threat an existential threat to the

00:43:53.680 country you think i care that he bent a rule if he did i don't know if he did but oh my god

00:44:01.360 how could he be so immensely tone deaf that you can't at least say all right it was good on the border

00:44:08.640 but we have all these other issues democrats wow well uh tyler winklevoss on x was saying uh quote i was

00:44:22.320 wondering what happened to the la riots they just stopped all of a sudden makes sense they were never

00:44:28.400 organic just ngo funded propaganda well apparently and i don't know if this is related but apparently

00:44:36.560 at about the same time that the uh fbi and the irs announced that they were going to look into who

00:44:43.120 was funding the protests the protest stopped now did the protests get what they wanted did they

00:44:54.560 make ice stop doing what it was doing no did they get anything they were demanding not that i'm aware of

00:45:03.520 of so why did these massive protests just stop well my guess is that tyler winklevoss is exactly right

00:45:17.040 and that uh the people funding it stopped funding it we don't know that for sure but it looks like it

00:45:26.080 so look how much we've grown up since 2016. in 2016 if i'd seen a national protest you know like black lives

00:45:38.560 matter i would have thought it was organic i would have known that you know george soros might be paying

00:45:46.720 for some signs and stuff like that but i would have thought for the most part it's organic it's just

00:45:53.280 getting a little boost from money people but now i don't think that at all now i think that none of

00:45:59.440 them are organic and that all it is is you know fake protests and you just wait a few days and it stops

00:46:07.920 especially if you talk about who funded it so we're much more uh i think understanding

00:46:15.840 that these protests are fake that these protests are fake and you can just wait them out

00:46:23.280 um i saw an analysis on x i don't know if it was done by somebody else but uh daniel greenfield

00:46:34.160 tells us that only five percent of the new yorkers voted for the socialist candidate mom donnie now

00:46:41.120 remember he's not elected mayor yet he only got through the primaries but the primaries are now

00:46:47.680 something where most people vote and there weren't any republicans voting because it was the democrat

00:46:55.040 primary so if you go through the math as daniel greenfield did and you look at you know and only

00:47:03.920 only democrats and then you take out the votes for the other candidates who's running against and

00:47:08.800 um etc only five percent of the city voted for him and he's overwhelmingly favored to win now

00:47:22.640 does that does that track does it make sense to you that only five percent voted for him

00:47:29.360 but he's overwhelmingly favored to win it could be it could be if the five percent

00:47:35.600 is sort of accidentally a good you know polling proxy for the larger market it could be and remember

00:47:43.280 the democrats matter more than republicans just because it's a democrat town so whoever gets

00:47:49.920 nominated as a democrat is overwhelmingly likely to become the next mayor

00:47:55.360 but uh it is possible uh at least this number opens up the possibility that the city could come to its

00:48:07.040 senses and realize that you know he's not the best solution um let's see here are some things he said

00:48:17.440 so uh trump is trying to label him a communist which i think is hilarious i don't believe he's technically

00:48:27.280 qualifies as a communist but communist is sort of the n word for socialists you know what i mean

00:48:35.040 it's the word you're not supposed to use because it's going too far um but it's you know socialism

00:48:43.040 sounds like maybe something you might want whereas communism sounds like something nobody wants

00:48:49.440 so it is pretty good it's good branding but uh i don't know if he technically qualifies as a communist

00:48:59.200 um so here's what uh some one of the things that mom donnie said he was asked i guess he'd

00:49:05.920 made previous comments that we shouldn't have billionaires and

00:49:13.120 so he was asked you know to comment on that and he said i don't think that we should have billionaires

00:49:22.160 and then he talked about fairness if some people are billionaires that that's obviously a sign of an

00:49:29.120 unfair system now do you remember what i always say about fairness uh i've been saying this for years

00:49:38.160 fairness fairness is a concept that was invented so that idiots and children have something to talk

00:49:44.480 about smart people don't really start with fairness as their standard and the reason is nobody agrees

00:49:54.480 what fair is if you could get two people to agree what fair looks like well maybe you know maybe you

00:50:03.200 could use that as your standard but not really in the real world we don't agree do you think it's

00:50:09.680 fair that somebody could work hard and make more money and then it could be taken away and given to

00:50:14.880 somebody who didn't work hard and didn't make much money is that fair well depends where you ask so

00:50:22.560 there's no universal standard of fairness if there were well then maybe i would say yeah go ahead and

00:50:30.800 use that under some circumstance but if nobody can even agree what fairness looks like you can't use

00:50:37.760 that as a standard that just allows you to do anything you want and just say well i've decided

00:50:44.000 this is what fair looks like so he wants to tax white people more uh specifically said taxi the whiter

00:50:56.640 neighborhoods more and now he wants to get rid of billionaires so billionaire um bill ackman was not too

00:51:06.640 happy about that um and now the other thing that i noticed today is i saw a more anti-muslim um commentary

00:51:18.800 on x than i have ever seen before i think today was the high the high limit of it now i'm not going to

00:51:28.000 say that the commentary was unfair because it talked about for example the practices of the iraqi

00:51:36.640 muslim population and i won't repeat some of the things that were claimed as being standard

00:51:45.040 operating procedure for that uh that group of people uh because it's too horrible and i don't know how

00:51:52.240 much is real and how much is you know certain people but not everybody i don't know any of that

00:51:57.840 but i will tell you that probably because of mom donnie and maybe because of the israel iran conflict

00:52:09.600 um i'm seeing people who would never have said these things out loud just going right at the muslim

00:52:16.800 culture problem now my take on it is not that i'm judging anybody as being good or bad because you know who

00:52:26.240 am i to judge anything but it's easy to say that the systems are not compatible you you can't just

00:52:34.160 take a bunch of you know hardened sharia law muslims and drop them in the community with your 1.00

00:52:42.480 non-muslims it wouldn't matter what else they were if they were just anything else it's never going to 1.00

00:52:47.520 work so well obviously there are tons of um muslim citizens in this country who don't have any radical

00:52:57.760 thoughts they're not breaking any laws or not offending you in any way and they're completely

00:53:03.200 you know part of the american experience um

00:53:06.560 um but we can all agree that the hardcore muslim version just will never be compatible with 1.00

00:53:18.080 you know the american cultural experience so unless uh unless the muslims are the ones who are conforming 0.95

00:53:27.360 so that they can fit into the current system the system would have to change

00:53:32.880 if you've got enough people who demanded that change so it does seem like there is more anti-muslim

00:53:40.400 content than i've ever seen before but i'm not going to judge that it could be because

00:53:48.000 this is the time to talk about it

00:53:52.560 well there's a story that the the mexican cartel hired a hacker i guess one of their own hackers to

00:54:02.240 hack into the phone of um of an fbi assistant legal attache who was at a u.s embassy and he broke into

00:54:12.400 the phone remotely so i think the only way you can do that is by sending somebody a file that they click

00:54:20.880 on and it can take over their phone so that's probably what happened but they got into the phone

00:54:28.320 and then they found the names of um informants

00:54:36.160 but of course the informants or who the cartel wants to kill so they found the name of the informants

00:54:43.120 but then and this is the impressive part the same hacker hacked into the public camera system in mexico

00:54:51.040 so they could track uh where the guy who owned the phone they could track him in public so it was just

00:55:00.400 like a tv show so they got into his phone and they knew who he was looking for you know who his informants

00:55:07.120 were and then they could see him actually on the street and who he met with and that allowed them the

00:55:13.760 confirmation to go out and kill the informant uh i don't know if they successfully killed any but that

00:55:20.880 was that was a risk that's uh this is like one of those stories i read about a serial killer who you

00:55:31.760 know got away with it for decades and had a you know a torture thing built in his backyard underground

00:55:39.840 and i think well you know i i certainly can't approve of the serial killer but i gotta say

00:55:48.400 he's got some good work ethic there so this hacker i have the same feeling i do not approve of him breaking

00:55:56.960 into phones and i don't approve of his hacking and i certainly don't approve that he's helping the

00:56:02.560 cartels kill informants but i have to admit that took some skill there was a lot of skill to do those

00:56:11.680 two things so there's that i guess the duke law school law journal they sent a secret memo to minority

00:56:23.440 applicants telling them they get extra points if they write about their race so they were being

00:56:30.480 coached on how to do dei without dei so they they presumably are not allowed to ask you know what's

00:56:40.480 your race and then take that into account for admissions but they would be allowed to read a

00:56:47.360 uh to read an essay that all the applicants have to write so they're saying yeah if you're gonna write

00:56:55.440 the essay you might as well put something in that essay about your race why don't ask why just put it in

00:57:05.200 there trust us we'll take care of it so they're in trouble the free beacon is reporting on this

00:57:13.680 all right ladies and gentlemen it's a lazy summer monday and the regular news is boring because the

00:57:22.400 big beautiful bill i'm so tired of that damn thing i don't know if it'll ever be passed but i'm definitely 0.63

00:57:29.520 tired of it um we got worn down however because trump is still your president and the world is a crazy

00:57:39.600 place i would expect there to be some big news that breaks because there always is on the other hand

00:57:49.200 it's entirely possible that because the news business will be going on vacation for the 4th of july

00:57:57.760 that there just won't be much news because you know your news is basically mostly fake

00:58:03.520 it's based on real stuff usually but um the news decides what to get get you worked up about

00:58:11.920 and so if enough of the front line people are on vacation you you're not going to get worked up

00:58:19.360 because they won't do the kind of content that gets you worked up so we might be entering the

00:58:25.680 boring phase of the summer or there'll be another gigantic war possible all things are possible all right

00:58:36.000 that's all i have for you today i'm going to say hi to my beloved local subscribers and stock market is not

00:58:45.440 doing so well um all right good all right locals i'm coming at you privately the rest of you i hope to

00:58:57.520 see you tomorrow same time same place all right

00:59:15.440 so

00:59:25.360 you

00:59:45.440 Thank you.

01:00:15.440 Thank you.

01:00:45.440 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 30, 2025

Episode 2883 CWSA 06⧸30⧸25

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