Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2884 CWSA 07⧸01⧸25

00:00:00.000 come on in grab a seat we got lots of chairs available up in front

00:00:06.900 well you look marvelous this morning even better than normal dare i say it looks like you've lost

00:00:16.960 weight gotten a tan and become sexier yeah that's you well stocks are down a little bit

00:00:26.160 um tesla was down over seven percent but now it's down five percent so maybe people will get over that

00:00:36.760 that would be the optimistic take if people just get over it

00:00:43.220 all right let's get our comments going and then you know what happens then that's right you get the

00:00:53.180 show you deserve which is a great show

00:00:58.720 good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called coffee with scott

00:01:16.260 adams and it's the best time you'll ever have in your life but if you'd like to take a chance

00:01:22.860 i'm making it even better than that well all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass

00:01:30.180 a tank or chalice or stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite

00:01:36.660 liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure with dopamine at the end of

00:01:43.140 the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens

00:01:48.240 now

00:01:49.200 oh that was a good one well done your synchronicity is excellent today

00:02:01.360 mike bends went for six hours on a live stream well i could top that

00:02:12.720 so today we'll go seven hours

00:02:17.180 no we won't uh all right i wonder if there's any new science that they could have saved some money

00:02:28.380 just by asking me instead of doing the study hmm oh here we go according to neuroscience news

00:02:37.460 and you won't believe it but people prefer human empathy even when ai says the same thing

00:02:46.020 how how many of you thought that the research was going to find that people liked

00:02:53.780 ai empathy the same as human empathy is there anyone who thought those would be similar

00:03:00.740 next time you don't need to do the science just ask me i'll give you i'll give you all the answers

00:03:10.020 you need well according to unusual whales on x amazon now has one million robots working in their

00:03:21.300 their various uh warehouses one million robots so but at least they're mostly not the intelligent

00:03:31.220 kind that'll come and kill us all but one million robots on amazon wow uh speaking of technology

00:03:40.900 a company called cloudfare hmm sounds familiar but i think it's a different company cloudfare uh will now block

00:03:50.740 ai bots from your website so if you're the new york times for example and if you were to hire a

00:03:59.060 cloudfare to protect your website then if an ai bot tried to read it for trading purposes it would block it

00:04:09.940 and it would also offer a a revenue model where the ai could still read your site and still trade on it

00:04:18.900 but it would have to pay it would have to pay it would pay a micro payment for trading on your website

00:04:27.140 so we went from ai is stealing all of your um your intellectual property which you could argue that it was

00:04:39.380 um we went all the way to you can't read my intellectual property i'm gonna hide it

00:04:44.820 but if you want to taste you have to pay for it and i thought to myself i wonder if i could use that

00:04:52.660 how much does cloudfare cost because don't you think that ai looks at the dilbert website yeah right now

00:05:01.620 it doesn't have much on it but it will pretty soon so maybe i could maybe i could monetize that i doubt it

00:05:10.420 um and also what happens to ai as a business model if it could no longer train for free

00:05:20.980 wouldn't you say that the main reason that ai is even such a big deal is that their their primary input

00:05:28.820 is other people's work that they take for free what if they couldn't get it for free well we might find

00:05:37.780 out because if this cloudfare product catches on um then the ai will have to pay for its content i don't

00:05:46.740 know if it would be as economical then well senator chris murphy says democrats would win a lot more

00:05:56.340 elections if they borrowed some of the techniques from our favorite socialist zoran momdani who's running for

00:06:05.220 mayor of new york um but he's not talking about the the socialist communist parts he's talking about

00:06:14.100 the affordability and the shifting power from you know the powerful to the less powerful and i think

00:06:21.540 he's right about that but why is it that when the the democrats finally find somebody who knows how to

00:06:31.300 message knows how to come up with policies that his own people would vote for um he's a great communicator

00:06:40.420 and policy guy why did he have to be the communist like they they couldn't get one one person

00:06:49.380 in the entire democrat party of tens of millions of people they couldn't find one person who could also

00:06:59.540 say we need to work on affordability and shifting power but i'm not gonna try to seize your means of

00:07:07.300 production nobody there was nobody in the entire party who could just say the right thing without also

00:07:16.820 being anti-semitic and communist nobody tens of millions the closest you could get was a communist

00:07:26.260 anti-semite now that's what people are saying now when uh you probably heard me say the other day that

00:07:35.460 when trump called uh um a mondi mamondi when trump called him a communist i pushed back on that a little bit

00:07:44.980 and i said well he's not a communist he is a socialist and you know that could be bad enough

00:07:53.220 if you go too far with your socialism so i wasn't defending him i was just saying that that word communist

00:08:01.220 is a little bit hyperbolic boy was i wrong so i looked up the definitions of communist versus

00:08:10.340 socialists and first of all they're not that different the the communist problem is that you

00:08:18.340 know generally some dictator is in charge but they also have uh control of the means of production

00:08:26.500 now either the socialist or the communist model could still end up with a dictator but

00:08:33.460 um but um but there's a video in of 2021 where mom donnie is answering some questions on a video and he actually says as an aside

00:08:47.220 that the end goal is seizing the means of production that's pure communist

00:08:54.420 so i would like to apologize to president trump and everybody else who was calling him a communist

00:09:05.060 while i was scoffing at it like he's not a communist i mean come on people what are the odds that a

00:09:13.700 communist would be leading in the polls to be mayor of new york i mean that's crazy it's crazy and so i

00:09:22.580 rejected it as being something that you know couldn't really happen in the real world well i was wrong

00:09:31.700 100% wrong he is a flat-out communist he's a pure communist the part about the dictator is optional

00:09:42.340 you know dictator is something that arises out of it but it's not how it starts

00:09:47.060 and uh if you say that you want to seize the means of production that's not adding a little bit of

00:09:55.620 socialism on top of your capitalism that's that's pure communist so trump is right on that i i join you

00:10:05.780 in calling him a communist you might be a little bit anti-semitic too we'll talk about that a little bit

00:10:13.220 but uh the big beautiful bill is still being ground up like sausage in the senate i guess they have the

00:10:21.940 voter rama last night maybe it's still going the voter rama is when usually i think the minority party

00:10:30.980 recommends all kinds of things to add to a bill and then the majority party votes all of it down

00:10:37.140 so it's a complete waste of time that for some reason they feel like they need to do i don't know

00:10:44.740 what that reason is i guess just the process requires it but they're in that weird process now but one of

00:10:51.460 the things that apparently they rejected was uh kicking illegals off of medicaid

00:10:59.780 it didn't pass it didn't even pass with the republicans so as 56 44 was a vote

00:11:30.340 susan collins voted no on that one according to the gateway pundit

00:11:37.060 so we got that going on um wasn't that like one of the main things the republicans wanted

00:11:45.860 so at this point we started with this bill over in the house of representatives that gets sent to the

00:11:54.820 senate and they can change it all up and make a bunch of changes and then the parliamentarian gets

00:12:01.220 a hold of it makes a bunch of changes and then they do the voter rama makes a bunch of changes which

00:12:08.420 have you know they've already negotiated a bunch of changes within the senate itself

00:12:12.580 so now this bill that i feel like started out as a semi-good idea we don't even know what it is anymore

00:12:23.940 or we just don't even know so the one thing we could know for sure is the people involved don't

00:12:30.980 understand what they're voting for entirely that part i think we we know for sure because like i said

00:12:38.580 it's 25 different topics within that bill and they're all kind of convoluted and backwards and

00:12:45.140 you know doesn't make sense on the surface but there's some backstory that makes it make sense

00:12:51.060 how many how many people in the senate do you think studied all of that not many

00:12:56.500 well according to unusual whales a site on x um and i think this was based on asking grok

00:13:09.060 well no i'll just say that grok agrees this comes from bloomberg so unusual whales is just reporting

00:13:16.500 what bloomberg said and they say the senate's version of the big beautiful bill will cost the

00:13:23.940 bottom 20 percent of taxpayers an average of 560 a year so that would say that it would make poor people

00:13:33.140 more poor and while giving an average boost of six thousand dollars to those at the top end

00:13:40.660 so according to bloomberg it does indeed take money from the poor and give it to the rich

00:13:46.660 the rich what do you think is that a fair interpretation and then i asked grok if that was

00:13:57.460 accurate and grok said largely yes that it would be accurate that it would cost the bottom 20 percent of

00:14:05.220 taxpayers but it would benefit the people at the top end now do you believe that that is knowable

00:14:13.540 do you believe that ai can do the math or bloomberg can do the math no i guarantee that this does not

00:14:24.900 capture what would happen with this bill over 10 years because nobody could calculate that this is very

00:14:31.380 much like uh climate models do you think a climate model can accurately tell you what the temperature will

00:14:40.180 be on average in 20 years no we can't do that do you think a budget estimate that has you know hundreds

00:14:51.540 of moving parts do you think it can predict what's going to happen in even one year much less 10 years

00:15:00.020 which is the term they're looking at no no that's not a thing it's not a thing that anybody knows what's

00:15:09.140 going to happen probably when they look at these numbers they're ignoring any stimulus benefit

00:15:18.340 which is what trump would say if you don't count the stimulus benefit

00:15:24.420 then maybe this is what happens but if you counted the stimulus benefit and i don't know that there will be

00:15:32.500 a stimulus but that's you know that would be the that would be the claim wouldn't it make uh

00:15:41.060 the bottom 20 percent more likely to be in a good economy if you take somebody and you take the bottom 20

00:15:49.700 percent of taxpayers and you say i'm going to take 560 dollars in taxes away from you or you know by taxing you

00:15:57.700 um but we're going to raise the gdp to seven percent which would be enormous do you think the bottom 20

00:16:09.140 percent would come ahead they might they might but that wouldn't be captured in any of the uh estimates how

00:16:18.740 about uh uh let's see what else so what about the effect of um closing the border and deporting all 0.82

00:16:32.820 the illegal workers would that make a difference to the average income of a low-income person yes

00:16:41.140 yes you know supply and demand suggests that the income you know just the wages of the average low

00:16:49.060 income person would go up because they would no longer be competing with you know 10 or 20 million

00:16:55.620 illegal people who want those same jobs so is that calculated by the cbo or bloomberg no of course not

00:17:05.380 no these it is completely unknowable how this would shake out if trump is right and there's this great

00:17:15.300 stimulus and at the same time he's sending back people who compete for those jobs and as we've seen

00:17:22.100 the average wage for blue-collar people went up since trump spent in office if he if he can find a way to

00:17:30.820 decrease inflation again the money would be worth more so none of this is is something you can calculate

00:17:41.060 i would say that like climate models um when you're looking at these budget estimates it's really just

00:17:49.460 political so if you want trump to fail you calculate it one way if you want him to succeed you calculate it

00:17:57.780 the other way but you might know by now that elon musk is not really happy with this uh this bill

00:18:09.060 um one of the things he doesn't like or maybe the main thing it is uh musically asked on x what's the

00:18:15.860 point of a debt ceiling if we keep raising it to which i say uh right did you ever wonder that

00:18:26.260 so the congress imposes on itself a debt ceiling meaning that they agree that they will never

00:18:34.420 raise the debt beyond this this level and then what do they do every single year they change the debt

00:18:42.100 level they change the ceiling so that they can add more to the debt so musk is correctly asking the

00:18:50.500 question why do you even have a debt ceiling if you can change it at will and you do and you do it every

00:18:59.220 single time it's a pure waste of time right

00:19:06.180 musk also says there's a quote a massive strategic error is being made

00:19:13.220 uh uh in the uh bill because i guess it removes it removes uh some government support for solar and

00:19:23.620 battery technology uh that will leave america extremely vulnerable in the future

00:19:30.820 so we of course need every bit of electricity we can get because ai will be you know increasing the need

00:19:38.980 for electricity by i don't know a thousand or something something ridiculous so for us to compete with china 1.00

00:19:46.420 and other countries we're going to need a lot of electricity um musk says that if we if we're not

00:19:55.460 going full out in the uh solar and solar batteries for the uh for the network we'd be losing out on you

00:20:03.460 know obviously a big source um we'll get to let me get to that in a minute i've got more to say about that

00:20:13.060 so so i looked at uh grok i had to use grok for all of my prep this morning because every time i saw a

00:20:24.180 new story i would say to myself uh i think i need some context on this and crock is amazing at that

00:20:32.900 just amazing at context so almost everything i'm going to talk about i grok there first

00:20:39.700 to find out if i know what's really going on um so musk is called the uh this bill the big beautiful bill

00:20:49.540 that's 940 pages uh he called it utterly insane and destructive he said it would destroy millions

00:20:57.220 jobs and harm future industries while favoring favoring industries of the past um and he said

00:21:05.140 it would be political suicide for republicans now a lot of that i think is because it cuts green green

00:21:13.140 energy projects which i assume i assume most things uh would be essential because we're not gonna do

00:21:20.660 everything we need to do with gas and oil and even nuclear you know we're gonna have we're gonna have

00:21:27.220 to do something a lot more than we're currently planning to do so he's right about that i think i'm chris

00:21:34.740 hadfield i'm an astronaut an author a citizen of planet earth join me for a six-part journey into the

00:21:42.180 systems that power the world real conversations with real people who are shaping the future of energy

00:21:49.620 no politics no empty talk just solutions focused conversations on the challenges we must overcome

00:21:57.300 and the possibilities that lie ahead this is on energy listen wherever you get your podcasts

00:22:05.700 so musk is urging people on x to oppose the bill and especially the four trillion dollar deficit increase

00:22:15.620 that he says is pork filled and uh trump is responding by calling him a wonderful guy in a fox news interview

00:22:25.940 recently um but mother but uh but trump is suggesting that the reason musk is opposed is because it uh removes the ev

00:22:38.580 mandate which would have an impact on all the electric car companies including tesla and he said that uh you know musk

00:22:47.860 campaigned with him and should support the bill and uh but trump didn't want to get into you know direct

00:22:54.660 confrontation but later he did when somebody asked asked trump about um denaturalizing

00:23:04.900 people who are citizens if they've acted poorly because the uh i guess ice well well the government

00:23:13.460 uh has a new priority that they're going to deport you even if you are a citizen if you've also done

00:23:21.460 something that's super destructive you know like committed a crime you know that's really bad or something

00:23:28.980 so somebody asked uh trump about is it possible they could deport 0.57

00:23:35.060 elon musk back to south africa and instead of slapping that down as ridiculous trump said he might look into it 0.79

00:23:45.380 now

00:23:47.620 i don't know that i'm a hundred percent right but it seems to me that that is completely a bluff

00:23:54.260 um because if trump actually literally tried to deport elon musk the country would be ripped apart

00:24:03.060 there's no way he's going to try that but i've been wrong before recently

00:24:11.380 is it possible that trump actually would try to deport him uh because musk has promised that whoever votes

00:24:20.100 for this bill which would be republicans that he's going to try to primary and of their office

00:24:27.380 and he's going to try as hard as he can to get every one of them out of office

00:24:31.860 and he probably does have you know the money and the power that he could certainly put a big dent

00:24:39.860 in the republican majority and musk also says that the day it passes he's going to start a third party

00:24:47.460 uh the america party or something so he would create an alternative to the republicans

00:24:56.020 and i gotta say if it were my job to cut the budget and i did all that work and took all that

00:25:06.180 personal pain and all that personal and business risk and i risked everything including my life

00:25:14.500 and my career and my reputation to lower the debt and then the republicans just added to the debt

00:25:23.220 like in that like it never happened i might want to take them down too

00:25:30.020 so boy do i understand where musk is coming from boy do i understand now the only thing that

00:25:40.260 gives uh let's say the possibility that they're sort of both right you know musk and trump if it's true

00:25:49.940 that trump can boost the the economy not just with um the big beautiful bill which would do which would

00:25:57.620 be a little bit stimulative but suppose uh he also gets interest rates down by percent or two

00:26:05.300 which is possible i mean it might take till may but it's possible um suppose the tariffs continue to

00:26:15.780 bring in tens of billions of dollars which they are now that's possible so there is there is a version of

00:26:24.820 this where the bill does add to the debt at the surface level but that trump would do so many other things

00:26:35.540 for the economy that the economy would start zooming and that zooming economy would make up for any

00:26:42.100 shortfall um and be uh be able to pay down some of the debt

00:26:47.780 that now is that possible that does it sound even a little bit credible that trump would be pushing

00:26:59.300 a whole bunch of different buttons from tariffs to border control to you know stimulus to lowering

00:27:07.460 lowering taxes on some things if you put all of that together plus the lower interest rates if you put it

00:27:15.300 all together is it possible that trump can stimulate our economy so much that it starts paying down the debt

00:27:26.660 it's a stretch but has trump done anything that was surprisingly effective that even the smart people

00:27:34.900 thought wouldn't work well yeah not only has he done it he seems to do it somewhat regularly you know

00:27:44.820 the uh the tariffs are working better than the experts said the israel loran ceasefire

00:27:52.260 and the bombing of the you know nuclear facilities definitely went better than all the smart people

00:27:58.260 said it would so far so the uh the option of betting against trump it doesn't look as good as it used to 0.97

00:28:10.260 look right there was a time when you could just say ah that crazy clown you know he's got crazy ideas and 0.77

00:28:18.020 you could bet against it but it's getting really hard to bet against trump because he just keeps making 0.83

00:28:25.700 things work that you wouldn't think would work so who's right well if i were musk i would definitely be

00:28:35.700 uh up in arms because they put me through this the ringer and they didn't cut the uh budget and more of a

00:28:44.820 more of an obvious start on day one cut it as opposed to hoping that other things will make the

00:28:53.780 the deficit go down so they both have a pretty good argument here i don't know which one's right actually

00:29:02.740 i it's hard to bet against either one of them um and then uh apparently uh tesla and spacex have large

00:29:15.460 government subsidies and trump has implied that maybe they should look at those subsidies and cut them

00:29:22.740 so again it's probably hyperbole and it's probably just a threat um but i did see that uh in the amuse account

00:29:32.740 on x it's a good account to follow amuse that tesla is not the only car company in the us getting

00:29:41.060 subsidies from the feds um so tesla is getting i'll just round off 12 billion in subsidies but gm uh got

00:29:53.380 about 50 billion ford is also 15 billion chrysler 12 billion and that congress created these subsidies

00:30:03.620 because they thought it would be good for the country so tesla would just be one of the car companies

00:30:10.260 that's accepting the subsidy because the government you know wanted our our car business to do well

00:30:16.820 apparently and spacex um got a combined 23 billion in federal contracts and support but did you know that

00:30:28.740 boeing and lockheed uh also received a whole bunch of billions in support while spacex launched 90 of

00:30:39.060 the payloads to space uh with the jv team sending only three percent into orbit so musk has actually said

00:30:49.060 go ahead and cut all of the subsidies as long as you do it for everybody just cut all the subsidies

00:30:56.340 now is he bluffing maybe yes and maybe no because he probably could still be in the strongest financial

00:31:06.900 situation relative to the other car companies if they all lost their subsidies so he'd probably still

00:31:13.780 be competitive we don't know if gm would would spacex survive probably he probably has enough business

00:31:22.660 from you know private satellite people who want to put satellites up and stuff that spacex would survive

00:31:30.260 as well so they're both maybe bluffing you know maybe trump is only bluffing that he would take the subsidies away from tesla and spacex

00:31:41.460 but musk might be also bluffing that uh that he wants those taken away because he'll he'll find a way to make it work

00:31:51.300 and then nobody's got subsidies so that got interesting anyway um so musk as i said did a little poll on x

00:32:04.340 to ask if people thought there was time to create a new political party in america 80 of the people

00:32:11.140 answered said yes um and trump is over untruth saying don't be a panicking the jokey name for republicans 1.00

00:32:22.980 who panic a panic and a new party based on weak and stupid people so that's what he's calling the new 0.99

00:32:29.860 party the panicans trump says be strong courageous and patient and greatness will be the result 0.99

00:32:39.060 so trump very consistently and very expertly and very effectively is making the case that we need to go

00:32:50.180 through the problem not around it um so i'm talking about the debt going around it would be oh we are

00:32:59.540 spending too much we better cut our spending so that would be sort of the defensive you know weak way to

00:33:07.620 approach it no uh don't want to spend too much whereas he's doing the what he would call the strong

00:33:15.060 courageous and patient method of greatness which is you just blast through the middle of it and don't

00:33:23.220 run up the budget or don't run up the deficit but rather you have such good growth and such a strong

00:33:30.260 economy that the deficit looks small in comparison could he do it well no one else could

00:33:41.380 if it were any other president i would bet against it and say you can't go through it

00:33:47.780 you're gonna have to retreat you're gonna have to back up and cut your expenses

00:33:52.660 but he says just go right through it is he right i don't know and that's i hate to say this kind of fun

00:34:03.460 that i don't know uh because usually this stuff is a little more obvious

00:34:09.060 but i really don't know could he do it nobody else could but could trump

00:34:15.540 man it's like a coin flip he might be able to do that and it would be glorious it would be one of

00:34:24.580 the most amazing things america has ever experienced if he can do it maybe but if he's uh doesn't get

00:34:34.260 his bill passed and elon musk primaries everybody uh if it does get passed you can imagine that things

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00:35:41.460 casino.com for details please play responsibly um doug burgum is secretary of interior was uh on fox

00:35:51.060 talking about solar power and he was making the case that solar is unreliable um because it doesn't work

00:36:00.500 at night now i complained about that online and said if you're still saying the solar doesn't work

00:36:09.620 because the sun goes down you don't sound like the smart person in the room anymore there was a time

00:36:17.060 when that was the smart thing to say you'd say well how can you make electricity when the sun is down

00:36:23.060 but in today's world the the model is that you collect the sun put it in batteries and then when 0.85

00:36:32.820 the sun goes down you release the batteries so i was calling doug burgum um dumb for acting like there's

00:36:42.260 no such thing as batteries and and acting as if we don't already have these these very exact things

00:36:50.340 solar solar solar powered batteries that are in networks china has them other countries have them

00:36:58.740 we have them however i was corrected by uh people who know more than i do about this who said that you

00:37:08.340 would never get the batteries to last all nights so the batteries might be good for peak periods where

00:37:16.100 you're just filling in where you don't have enough other energy so you might get two to four hours

00:37:21.860 but if you really wanted it to last overnight you need about 16 hours of battery power and we're nowhere

00:37:29.380 near that so the best technology if you stretched it you might get to six hours but then you would still

00:37:39.060 need you know three entire networks of batteries to get there and it would be uh not not price competitive

00:37:48.180 so what does elon musk say since he's in that business and he's smarter than all of us about you know the

00:37:55.220 direction of these technologies well he would say and others would say grok says this too that uh

00:38:03.300 uh we're probably you know eight to ten years away from having batteries that can last all night

00:38:11.860 and be economic so was the big beautiful bill talking about using our current technology or was if we're

00:38:22.020 boosting uh boosting companies that are trying to invent our way into the time when the batteries will last

00:38:29.860 all night and it would be our best source of electricity well maybe we don't need to know the answer to that

00:38:38.340 because doug burgum is still wrong even though i'm wrong about the economics uh he's still wrong

00:38:46.580 if he thinks that solar doesn't have a place in the network because its place is to handle the peak

00:38:54.340 that that's what it's for so if it can do that then you don't need those other sources of power because

00:39:03.620 your solar would handle the peak so um i would say that uh doug burgum is off point what he should have

00:39:14.500 said is that it would take 10 years or so before this would be economical so maybe we should wait or maybe

00:39:22.580 private industry should fund it or maybe we don't need to give subsidies to people like tesla because

00:39:28.900 they have enough money to do it on their own maybe that one has sounded smart to me but if he just says 0.87

00:39:35.540 the sun doesn't shine at night he just sounds like a dumb guy who's sort of not up to date i'm sure he is 0.87

00:39:42.660 up to date by the way wait what is i'm seeing another comment uh 0.96

00:39:53.940 breaking what did bus say bannon is going back to prison this time for a long time

00:40:00.340 bannon wants to nationalize spacex uh and i guess must said bannon is going back to prison

00:40:08.100 this time for a long time i don't know if he knows something we don't know

00:40:12.900 but uh things are heating up it's getting spicy out there people getting spicy

00:40:21.220 anyway so um i asked grok again uh where we are in terms of batteries and uh apparently musk

00:40:32.340 predicted that we would have terawatts from that source solar uh annually by 2030 so that's only

00:40:41.620 five years away so shouldn't we be you know subsidizing and working like crazy

00:40:48.740 um at the moment so that five years from now there will be enough battery power and the network

00:40:54.660 to make solar work well we'll see all right um stephen miller who was uh trying to defend the big

00:41:04.820 beautiful bill but he wisely stayed away from the economics so rather than defending you know what it

00:41:13.300 would do to the deficit which is a tougher sell he quite wisely because he's good at this um said that

00:41:22.020 each part of the bill would be a huge accomplishment for a president they talked about things like

00:41:27.060 building the missile shield and border security and things we like you know we like to be safer so

00:41:34.980 that's a pretty good argument but it doesn't get to where trump is at or massey's at or uh even where

00:41:44.340 i'm at the people who think that the deficit is the big problem

00:41:50.740 and according to bill o'reilly the fate of the big beautiful bill is uh it's all on the line for

00:41:58.820 president trump's legacy do you think that's true that if this doesn't pass that trump's legacy will be

00:42:07.940 damaged well i would argue he's already done so many good things that his legacy is going to

00:42:14.260 be amazing um and it doesn't seem like the bill would be completely destroyed you know maybe has

00:42:23.540 to be pared down to just the things we really really really care about and agree on so maybe

00:42:29.700 something smaller will end up out of this maybe but uh as you might imagine tesla shares have dropped

00:42:39.620 because the trump musk feud do you know how do you know how angry elon musk must be uh and maybe angry

00:42:49.780 is the wrong word you know maybe just determined uh that he would once again put put his entire assets

00:42:59.460 in play at risk over this over this issue he knows he's putting everything at risk and as a a tesla stockholder

00:43:10.420 which i am i'm a little bit uncomfortable with him putting you know my my finances at risk as well

00:43:19.860 but i do appreciate that he's willing to go all in and i do appreciate that he's not lying he he's treating

00:43:32.500 the deficit like an existential threat and he is all in and if it's not an existential threat

00:43:41.460 well then don't be all in and if you say that it is which it is you kind of have to be all in so

00:43:51.620 i do like his consistency you know if he had if musk had been so much about cutting the deficit

00:44:00.820 and then suddenly when the big beautiful bill comes up if he had been all right well these are all really

00:44:06.980 good ideas because you know every one of these would be something their president would be happy to get

00:44:13.220 and there's 25 of them in the bill i would not be happy with that that would that would look like he

00:44:19.620 flipped on his most important existential threat which is the debt but he didn't flip he's staying completely consistent

00:44:29.380 meanwhile the according to reuters the u.s dollar's doing uh poorly had its worst first half since the 70s

00:44:42.660 yikes and the reason for that is just all the roiling of things are going on so uncertainty etc

00:44:51.540 um but the dollar has taken a taking a dump compared to some compared to the currencies of other countries

00:45:00.500 so that's not good

00:45:04.420 apparently jd vance is in the capital in case he has to break a tie on the vote

00:45:12.660 and they're trying to flip lisa murkowski i guess to get her to vote for it we'll see where that goes

00:45:18.740 um the u.s has also according to al jazeera approved uh another half a billion dollars for arms sales to israel

00:45:29.140 so we would be up to uh in in 2023 that might be the last number we have uh mila u.s military aid to israel

00:45:41.380 uh hit uh 18 billion dollars 18 billion dollars just in 2023 now obviously because there was some

00:45:52.820 military action that sort of makes sense that the number would be bumped up a little bit at the moment

00:46:00.020 because some of that is you know to the benefit of the united states too

00:46:04.340 um um but uh do you know what the uh the annual aid cap is for israel so the aid cap that was passed

00:46:17.220 in 2016 by the congress um capped the amount we would give to israel at 3.8 billion and 2023 it was 18

00:46:27.780 billions so let me tell you what congress is really bad at putting caps on spending apparently they just

00:46:38.180 ignore all their caps on spending so when it comes to the budget or it comes to israel

00:46:44.420 um but a lot of that military spending goes back to the u.s i don't know what percentage but it goes back

00:46:50.740 to u.s companies to sell the weapons that israel needs not all of it but some of it 0.63

00:47:01.300 in other news uh russia has put up some kind of a suspicious satellite asset that appears to be

00:47:10.100 stalking a u.s satellite so it's an unknown object that i think came out of a satellite one of their

00:47:17.540 satellites and some say it's a some kind of a weapon to destroy a satellite and some think it's something

00:47:27.300 else like research or you know maybe trying to gather deep information from our satellites i don't know

00:47:34.500 but it's uh sketchy so russia has a satellite threatening asset next to our our satellites

00:47:43.460 here's a story that if there hadn't been so much other things going on would be the biggest story

00:47:51.140 of the day so rfk jr was on tucker's podcast and here's what rfk jr says now imagine this being like

00:48:01.060 the seventh biggest story of the day just just listen to this and it would only be the seventh biggest

00:48:09.940 story i'm just making up the seventh part but rfk jr says that the cdc covered up so remember the

00:48:20.980 cover-up is sometimes worse than the offense they covered up an internal study so it was the cdc's own

00:48:28.340 internal study which found a uh 1135 increase in autism risk from people who took the hepatitis b vaccine

00:48:42.820 now that would be young people of course um now you might say how did they cover that up

00:48:50.740 well the way they covered it up was once they got this result that they didn't like

00:48:55.860 they removed from their data set the older children do you know why they did that

00:49:02.740 because younger children don't yet shows symptoms of autism so they eliminated from their data set

00:49:11.620 the ones that you would expect to show symptoms and they limited it to people that you wouldn't notice if

00:49:18.980 they had it now wouldn't that be the biggest story in the country if everything else was even a little

00:49:30.100 bit normal you like fewer wars and musk and trump stuff how is that not the biggest story and then rfk

00:49:40.180 jr who at one point reportedly was considering banning pharmaceutical ads on television has now reversed that

00:49:50.500 and says he's only only wants them to be more honest how in the world are you going to accomplish

00:49:57.940 that how are you going to make them more honest that's not really a standard that you know is a it's not

00:50:07.140 really a um a variable that you can manage to because one person's opinion of what is honest enough

00:50:15.220 is not really going to be what other people's opinion is so i think one of the examples was

00:50:21.540 you know showing people living all happily you know just in case they don't all live happily

00:50:27.620 is that is that is that a case being dishonest or is it just what commercials do so i would worry that big pharma

00:50:39.140 has a flipped rfk jr or maybe the big network tv people said uh we can't do the news

00:50:48.340 if we don't have big pharma ads because they pay our bills something happened

00:50:52.980 somebody got to him and changed him from uh we're going to get rid of these ads all the way to

00:51:02.660 well we'll just make sure that they're honest as if that's going to make any difference so that's

00:51:09.460 disappointing in weird news um trump has trump has introduced a fragrance which he's selling

00:51:23.140 called trump 45 to 47 and the funniest part is it is for men or women who want to uh smell like success

00:51:37.700 trump says in the advertisement get yourself a bottle and don't forget to get one for your loved

00:51:44.980 ones too so if you're trump supporters you can spray each other with this fragrance

00:51:52.740 and then sit around on the couch and smell like winners

00:52:01.060 so i'm a little i'm having a little bit of uh

00:52:05.380 agreement with the with the democrats who are saying the trump family is using the office to uh

00:52:12.580 increase their wealth now i don't know how much wealth they're going to increase with their fragrance

00:52:18.500 but but but it does seem like he's using the office to increase his wealth

00:52:26.340 i tend not to uh it doesn't bother me as long as it's transparent

00:52:32.340 so you know truth social totally transparent you can see what he's doing um whatever he's doing with

00:52:39.220 crypto again kind of sketchy enterprise but it's all transparent right so i don't i don't have the same

00:52:49.700 opinion about people who are not hiding anything uh so if trump can uh can monetize the presidency

00:52:58.740 by selling the fragrance as long as everybody knows exactly what he's doing i don't have a problem with

00:53:05.620 it but the i think the democrats do have a little bit of a point a little bit of a point that there

00:53:12.820 does seem to be a little monetizing going on here

00:53:17.860 then another story that is so massive that again it would be the only story if we didn't

00:53:24.580 have so much going on um i guess our our law enforcement people found that there was a massive medicaid fraud

00:53:34.020 that had already stolen 15 billion dollars from the medicaid program 15 billion dollars

00:53:43.220 i'm not misspeaking it wasn't million and it wasn't 15 dollars it was 15 billion dollars

00:53:54.820 and apparently the way the scam worked is some over overseas entities i don't know which ones

00:54:03.140 bought a bunch of medical device outlets so that they owned real companies that until the fraud started

00:54:12.420 were doing real things they were selling you know medical devices and then they got 94 doctors and a few

00:54:20.260 hundred nurses to be in on the scheme presumably they were benefiting financially so the doctors would

00:54:29.780 prescribe things like catheters and then the bad guys would just use their fake stores to say that

00:54:39.940 they'd sold catheters to a list of people that they knew were on medicaid but they were not actually

00:54:47.220 doing any business with them so people would notice they look at their medicaid uh records i guess and

00:54:56.260 they'd say hey i didn't i didn't buy any catheters or anything or whatever other medical devices but if

00:55:04.260 they tried to complain the bureaucracy would just stymie them so if you were just one person who believed

00:55:12.100 there was one thing on your bill they shouldn't have been there first of all it wasn't you paying for

00:55:19.540 it it was medicaid so how much did you care second of all if you tried to do anything about it there

00:55:25.940 wasn't really a process for that so you would just be stymied by the bureaucracy so they have this perfect

00:55:32.900 little medicaid fraud going where the only people who would notice it didn't really have an incentive or

00:55:40.020 even a channel to complain too much but it got to 15 billion dollars and it looks like uh looks like

00:55:48.180 the fbi has taken them down and department of justice

00:55:53.860 anyway um

00:55:55.060 let's see trump's getting in more more trouble because he wants to go after the

00:56:04.500 the naturalized citizens and deport them but only if they've done terrible things you know broken laws 0.99

00:56:10.900 and stuff so that's out there um there's some big hacker network that apparently is uh blackmailing

00:56:20.180 doing ransomware blackmailing some airlines at the moment and uh they think it's something called

00:56:27.700 scattered spider it's a ransomware crew uh and they're they're doing ransomware on big companies by

00:56:36.580 essentially locking up their networks and telling them they won't unlock them unless they give them you

00:56:42.580 know tens of millions of dollars and apparently they're doing real well they're linked to russian-aligned

00:56:50.420 actors and they're recruiting fluent uh engineers with zero accent so forbes is forbes is reporting on that

00:57:02.580 um candace owens who continues to be fascinating um is claiming that somebody at the

00:57:12.500 white house called her to ask her to stop talking about um bridget macron that would be the french 1.00

00:57:21.300 first lady allegedly um because candace had done a series in which she uh followed her hypothesis that 1.00

00:57:32.340 bridget macron was born a man and uh has always been a man just dressed as a woman i guess

00:57:40.100 now i do not personally uh feel that i'm convinced that's true

00:57:49.220 it's really interesting and if you if you listen to the evidence that she has for it it is compelling

00:57:58.100 but as i've warned you many times of the documentary effect you know what i'm talking about right

00:58:05.380 if you watch a documentary that has one point of view by the time you're done with that documentary

00:58:11.860 you will believe that it's all true because there's no counterpoint a documentary just shows one point of

00:58:17.860 view and if you watch something for an extended time it's just one one fact after another that's all on the

00:58:25.380 one side of an issue you will be convinced but that doesn't make it true it's it's an effect that i call

00:58:34.260 the documentary effect if you watch a long form of any one point of view you'll probably be convinced

00:58:43.700 so you really have to see the other point of view to you know really know what's going on so the first

00:58:48.580 thing you need to know is that although candace owens evidence for her hypothesis that bridget macron is 0.98

00:58:56.580 really a man is really convincing i've watched i've watched quite a bit of it and i have to say when

00:59:03.940 i'm watching it i think to myself wow that's pretty convincing that's a pretty good argument you got there

00:59:10.260 however i'm also aware that i'm being affected by the documentary effect so if you told me scott you

00:59:20.340 have to bet your entire net worth on whether whether it's true i wouldn't i wouldn't i'd probably bet

00:59:28.980 against it even though it's possible i mean anything's possible and let me let me also go further and say

00:59:38.100 i really don't care does it matter does it matter does it matter to the united states

00:59:45.780 whichever way it is if she's a man or or a woman does that matter to me it only matters to macron and

00:59:53.860 obviously he's happy with whatever his situation is so why would i even care so first of all i don't

01:00:01.540 care and i don't judge him no matter what it is you know it's just it's just not my business um however

01:00:11.300 candace has now said that the top white house uh person called her and told her to cool it on that

01:00:19.220 story because uh we need france to help uh negotiate something with russia and ukraine

01:00:26.020 and france might be stalling a little bit to try to see if they could put some pressure on candace 1.00

01:00:34.260 now some people said candace made up the whole thing not just the bridget macron thing but some

01:00:41.460 are saying that she made up the fact that somebody at the white house called her and told her to cool

01:00:47.460 it on the story what do you think well i'll give you my opinion of candace which is as far as i know

01:00:58.260 i don't know that she's ever been accused of telling them like a bald-faced lie has she

01:01:06.020 i've never seen that so she always strikes me as somebody who might be right

01:01:11.460 sometimes might be wrong like every other person who talks in public like me might be right might be

01:01:19.140 wrong but lying now how many of you believe that she would just make up like a like a lie that's that 0.98

01:01:30.420 specific that doesn't sound real does it i don't know i'd have to see if some of you have some other

01:01:39.300 example where you know that she you know you know that she knew she was lying and did it anyway

01:01:46.660 then maybe i'd change my mind but i'm not aware of anything like that my my sense of her is very

01:01:52.900 similar to my sense of all the independent journalist types you know if i see glenn greenwald say something

01:02:00.820 it might be right it might be wrong but is he lying no no uh how about michael schellenberger

01:02:09.860 he might say something that maybe you know because like i say not everybody's going to be right

01:02:15.860 every single time might say something that doesn't check out but would he be lying about it how about

01:02:22.660 matt taibbi if he got something wrong would you guess that he was lying about it no because there's no

01:02:30.900 evidence that that any of them are about lying it just just doesn't seem like a thing

01:02:40.180 so i'm going to say that i don't know anything about bridget macron's um

01:02:47.460 biological reality it doesn't matter to me one way or the other but no i don't think that she would make

01:02:54.660 that story up is to me it sounds perfectly natural that the white house would say you know

01:03:02.500 you're making a little bit tough on us could you you know pull back a little bit on that

01:03:07.380 that makes sense to me so i'm going to say that that's real

01:03:13.460 well so uh let's talk about the communist mamdani again running for mayor of new york city

01:03:20.500 um apparently um he's lost uh msnbc

01:03:28.580 imagine being the the most prominent democrat at the moment and uh david uh donnie deutch was on msnbc

01:03:40.820 saying basically this guy's too close to anti-semitism um and it's a problem now that's msnbc is one of the

01:03:52.260 main voices that you hear on msnbc and uh how could you possibly win an office if you can't win msnbc

01:04:03.380 if you're a democrat republican obviously never wins msnbc but is that even possible now here's why

01:04:13.140 here's what got him in trouble so apparently there are people who say globalize in uh into intifada

01:04:23.140 so if you say globalize into fada am i saying that right into fada yeah um

01:04:31.540 as donnie george points out if you're jewish and even if you're not you interpret that as a cult of

01:04:38.020 violence against uh jewish people everywhere now you don't have to agree with that interpretation

01:04:46.100 you just have to know that that would be a common interpretation that other people do believe in

01:04:52.820 that interpretation so if you're just looking at his odds of winning the election

01:04:57.380 he was asked on meet the press if he would uh disavow the people who say globalize intifada now

01:05:08.900 apparently he has not said that so he's not being accused of being one of the people who said it

01:05:15.220 he's being accused of being unwilling to disavow it and say that he's he doesn't agree with it so when

01:05:24.900 pressed on the topic instead of doing the easy thing which is oh i don't say that and the reason

01:05:31.860 i don't say it is that i you know don't believe it and i disavow it that would have been sort of the

01:05:40.180 non-anti-semitic version of how to deny it but instead he went all weasel and said oh i don't say

01:05:49.380 that but i don't like to disavow things because if i start disavowing the language used by other people

01:05:56.100 uh i would become like trump really really that was that was his concern that he wouldn't disavow

01:06:09.380 what looks like to many people a cult of violence against jewish people around the world

01:06:15.220 he wouldn't disavow that because doing so would make him sound like trump

01:06:21.380 now that doesn't even sound a little bit like that's a real reason does it and first of all

01:06:29.540 trump did disavow the neo-nazis and uh in charlottesville so it's not like trump has never

01:06:36.660 disavowed anything he's disavowed quite a few things i don't think it hurt him

01:06:42.260 so we got that and then uh um i think deutsch was talking about how uh he talked about uh taxing white

01:06:53.060 people and he's not running away from that he's just saying oh that was just sort of a way to refer

01:06:59.620 to rich areas i'm not buying that sorry i think it was exactly what he meant to say

01:07:12.260 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package learn more at scotia bank.com

01:07:18.500 slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you think

01:07:25.140 but msnbc also had a guest uh pablo torre who said that uh mom donny's refusal to condemn the phrase

01:07:35.140 globalize the interfada uh is actually smart and it might be a chess play um because he doesn't want 0.99

01:07:44.580 to get caught i don't know condemning or apologizing things like like trump would but uh i would argue

01:07:52.980 that he's using a trump strategy right now which is trump does not spend time uh explaining or apologizing

01:08:02.420 or walking back statements um he doesn't do that and that does make him look stronger

01:08:12.020 but how in the world can you lose oh and then and then uh uh uh what was his name uh hakim jeffries

01:08:23.860 was asked about the fact that mamdani is not disavowing the phrase uh globalize the intifada

01:08:31.300 so what does hakim jeffries say he says uh that they'll need to work with him on that to like

01:08:39.220 improve that messaging but basically even hakim jeffries was saying that if you don't fix that

01:08:47.540 you're going to have trouble getting elected so mamdani seems to have lost msnbc

01:08:55.540 and lost democrat leadership because he's unwilling to condemn what many would see as a call to violence

01:09:05.300 against jewish people around the world and he still is unwilling to do it 0.98

01:09:10.900 wow so not only is he a communist but he's uh i would say the the uh accusation that he's an anti-semite

01:09:24.260 i would say that that's demonstrated wouldn't you would you at this point say that that's in question

01:09:30.980 i don't think it's really a good question is it i i think he's a fairly pure anti-semite and uh

01:09:42.740 anti-white it seems like it

01:09:45.460 so can he really get elected i don't know you know it would be the most amazing thing if he did

01:09:55.300 but but it would prove to you that all it took for a democrat to get elected

01:10:01.540 was to have a policy that people liked and his policy that says i'll make new york city more

01:10:09.140 affordable well your your low knowledge voter is going to say well i like that i like i like a city

01:10:17.220 that's more affordable but i think new york city has the doesn't have the highest uh number is a number

01:10:24.980 of percentage of jewish residents how in the world does that city elect an anti-semite

01:10:33.700 mayor is that even possible the the fact that this looks not just possible but probable is absolutely

01:10:43.700 mind-blowing but that's the power of having an actual policy so you know if the other democrats catch

01:10:52.500 on chris murphy was correct if the other democrats catch on and they start saying we can make things more

01:10:59.620 affordable they don't even have to be telling the truth because people are just going to say yeah

01:11:05.940 more affordable sign me up so there's that uh according to reuters taiwan is going to be doing some war

01:11:18.340 games in which they'll simulate a chinese invasion so how would you like to be taiwan at the moment

01:11:26.340 when you're wondering if you know you're next in our game of thrones um i don't know how much of a fight

01:11:37.620 they could put up but my suspicion is that china will not directly attack um maybe in our lifetime

01:11:48.180 well your lifetime mine might be shorter than yours um i don't think they will because china is not really 1.00

01:11:55.940 an aggressive um offensive military they've they've done very well by not starting fights and if they

01:12:06.340 started to fight with taiwan they don't know how that would go you know there's no way that for them to

01:12:11.860 know for sure that that's you know going to be a one-week operation that could be that could be devastating

01:12:20.100 for china so i'm gonna i'm gonna predict that you will not see china attack taiwan i'll say during

01:12:29.860 the trump administration that's as far as i'll look out but during the trump administration i say

01:12:36.580 no chinese attack on taiwan because they would they wouldn't want to do it under his regime for sure 0.94

01:12:42.980 well uh trump sent a note a personal note to fed chairman jerome powell showing a list of other

01:12:54.500 countries they have much lower interest rates and arguing that uh that means we should lower our

01:13:01.620 interest rates now as you know they've been trump's been on him forever and wants him to retire and

01:13:09.140 drop out and wants to fire him if he could but that would be hard um but does it make sense

01:13:17.460 for trump to compare us to other countries no it doesn't it's a persuasive argument because people

01:13:27.780 who see the argument would say hey you know why does switzerland have a one percent interest rate we've got

01:13:35.540 you know five whatever so if you're trying to be persuasive it's a really good argument

01:13:44.340 but what do i tell you about analogies so he's he's analogizing the united states

01:13:52.020 to this list of other countries do you think maybe there's a reason that they have lower interest rates

01:13:58.980 than we do yes there's a reason because we're different the the countries that already have low to

01:14:07.780 no inflation can lower their interest rates because higher interest rates are what you do if you're

01:14:14.500 trying to tamp down on inflation so in the united states uh even though our inflation is at a reasonable

01:14:23.060 number at the moment which would be you know trump's argument hey inflation's under control at the

01:14:28.180 moment it's not as low as it is in switzerland or those other places that have low interest rates

01:14:36.020 it's not as low as them um but we also have the extra risk hanging over us of you know what will

01:14:43.620 happen with the trade deals and you know maybe some other stuff what will happen with the big beautiful 0.99

01:14:48.820 bill so we have some uncertainty in the united states which powell would argue is good enough

01:14:56.340 reason to wait a little bit see how things shake out before you lower interest rates um but do not be

01:15:03.540 fooled by looking at a list of other countries there's a reason that these other countries act differently

01:15:10.660 and the difference is they have different economies they have they have different uh different export and

01:15:16.820 import ratios which apparently makes a big difference to you know this conversation so no they're just

01:15:24.580 different but is it persuasive yes it's absolutely persuasive because i'm probably the only person today

01:15:35.380 who will tell you it doesn't make sense to compare countries uh watch the news today see see how many of the

01:15:43.060 talking heads bother to research it and find out that it doesn't make sense to compare to other countries we'll see

01:15:53.860 um senator tommy tuberville says that uh powell could drop interest rates just one point and we'd save taxpayers 400

01:16:04.020 billion dollars uh because he says inflation is as low as it's ever been so it's just about politics

01:16:13.380 it feels like it you know i have to say that the current interest rates it feels like politics more than

01:16:21.140 it feels like good economic decisions but uh 400 billion dollars that would take a nice bite out of our deficit

01:16:30.660 wouldn't it so now imagine you're trump and you've got uh elon musk you know chewing at your heels for

01:16:40.980 for bringing up the deficit imagine if you will that trump could get interest rates lowered by one percent

01:16:48.820 by just jawboning the fed forever i don't think it'll work but uh by may there'll be a new fed chairman so

01:16:56.820 so so by may it'll work when he's got his own guy in there or lady so what if trump gets us 400 billion

01:17:06.820 per year in interest rates and another 200 billion per year in extra tariffs that we weren't expecting

01:17:15.460 even though american companies pay for a lot of that were and then then let's say that the big beautiful bill

01:17:23.860 did work as a stimulus so let's let's say he gets another couple hundred billion dollars from the

01:17:31.140 stimulus and then let's say that the upcoming budget packages in which speaker johnson says those are the

01:17:40.660 ones that you would get the doge cuts in what if they got 100 billion so you could sort of crawl your

01:17:49.220 way up to a trillion dollars in um in work against the the deficit now i think we're spending like

01:17:59.700 two trillion a year more than we bring in so it's still only only half of the deficit but it probably

01:18:07.540 that it would calm things down so um so it seems to me that trump has a play

01:18:20.420 that only he can make work because you know he's the only one who would do tariffs he's the only one

01:18:25.300 who would you know browbeat the fed he's the only one who could get big beautiful bill passed if he does 0.95

01:18:32.820 get it passed so these are very much only trump things and they might be worth a trillion dollars a

01:18:40.340 year collectively so if he gets that done it's certainly going to look like he did something

01:18:46.500 positive for the uh for the overall debt but it would still only be halfway there so i don't know

01:18:54.900 i don't know if it'd be enough cnn is uh was doing some news reporting about a new app that the anti

01:19:04.580 immigration deportation people um have called ice block and i guess i'm doing the same thing cnn was

01:19:13.940 doing which is telling you about something that was bad for ice people so i won't give any more details

01:19:20.900 i'll just say that tom homan when asked about it says the doj needs to look into cnn because it would 0.90

01:19:29.220 be like they're assisting people trying to avoid law enforcement or assisting people to hurt law enforcement

01:19:37.300 because they would know where they're going to be so i won't say more about that but that's a dicey

01:19:43.300 situation um apparently pam bondy says that the government is the doj is going to be suing the 0.88

01:19:54.100 sanctuary cities so la new york illinois new jersey colorado minnesota so she's suing all of them for 0.99

01:20:03.300 their sanctuary city policies i don't know if that'll work but maybe

01:20:09.700 and let's see uh ran paul is continuing his uh his quest to put uh fauci in jail um and he says now

01:20:26.740 in a new new video he was on ran paul says uh that there are new documents that reveal anthony fauci did

01:20:34.260 know gain of function research could be the cause of the covet pandemic and that they're gonna force

01:20:42.260 him to testify under oath now as far as i know fauci is covered by pardon right so a preemptive

01:20:52.580 universal pardon so i don't know if you could ever put him in jail for that or anything else

01:20:57.300 but uh it would be nice to know um how many of you think fauci is is as dirty as ran paul claims

01:21:09.460 and that he knew he was funding it he knew there was a risk and then when it happened you know the

01:21:14.900 worst case scenario it got out that he uh covered it up and lied about it how many of you think that's

01:21:23.940 a description of reality well i don't know but i'm definitely interested in hearing what

01:21:31.220 ran paul and congress has to say about it because uh i don't feel like ran paul is somebody who would

01:21:39.780 just make shit up he must have a really strong case or he wouldn't be going this hard you know i 0.70

01:21:49.060 so ran paul is another one that i trust that even if i disagreed with him it wouldn't be because he 0.98

01:21:54.820 was lying you know so i don't think he's lying but we'll see if he's also correct

01:22:03.060 um apparently trump has signed some executive orders about syria to drop some of the sanctions

01:22:10.740 um without asking for anything in return so he's just going to drop the sanctions on syria now that's

01:22:16.740 um presumably because the new dictator in syria is uh been cooperative and may in fact be part of you

01:22:28.900 know an increased um an increased deal in the middle east for the uh abraham accords so it looks like trump

01:22:38.660 is uh probably smartly assuming that if we play nice with them they're going to play nice with us

01:22:46.900 so that would be a function of you know knowing if their leader is that kind of personality

01:22:52.580 so going first and just giving something to syria that doesn't seem very trump-like you know normally

01:23:01.860 he'd be asking something in return so probably there's something that the leader of syria has promised

01:23:09.060 you know privately if you do this um we'll be cooperative in the middle east

01:23:16.740 um i think one of the questions would be the golan heights so maybe maybe they want to make

01:23:24.500 sure that syria gives up the golan heights forever um to uh to israel we'll see um iran is asking the

01:23:37.860 un breitbart is reporting this francis martel that uh iran is asking the un to make the u.s pay reparations

01:23:48.260 for the bomb nuclear sites in iran

01:23:50.500 i don't feel that that will be successful however is iran smart for trying yeah yeah from

01:24:02.340 a persuasion perspective obviously it won't work but if they can get some headlines saying hey you

01:24:10.740 should pay reparations it's making you think past the sale the sale is should we have bombed them 0.53

01:24:19.700 if you're talking about reparations they're making you think past the bombing

01:24:24.660 to how much should the u.s pay for its terrible terrible mistake of bombing them

01:24:31.140 so persuasion wise a plus chances of success zero

01:24:39.140 um i guess texas is now banning land purchases by china russia iran and north korea according to the

01:24:45.860 national pulse so greg abbott signed it into law if you're if you're uh if you're a citizen of any

01:24:54.980 one of those countries you will not be able to buy land i wonder if i wonder why the states have to do

01:25:02.180 that i feel like that's just embarrassing to the federal government because it feels like the federal

01:25:08.500 government should have done that not just a state so we'll see if that makes a difference

01:25:15.380 meanwhile in science um northeastern university is writing about this there's a there's a discovery

01:25:24.020 in quantum materials that could make electronics a thousand times faster so researchers at northeastern

01:25:31.700 university have figured out how to change the electronic state of matter on demand so it's a quantum

01:25:40.820 matter transition technique that apparently if you built it into the computers maybe a thousand times

01:25:49.380 faster that's pretty exciting all right ladies and gentlemen i ran a little bit long but that's

01:25:56.820 all i have for today i'm going to say a few words privately to my beloved subscribers on locals and the rest

01:26:04.580 of you thanks for joining i will see you again tomorrow same time same place and locals coming at you privately

01:26:34.580 you

01:27:04.580 Thank you.

01:27:34.580 Thank you.

01:28:04.580 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 01, 2025

Episode 2884 CWSA 07⧸01⧸25

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