Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2885 CWSA 07⧸02⧸25

00:00:00.000 come on in yeah it's been a while come on in and grab a seat i'll uh i'll check the stocks for you

00:00:12.480 um the s p is flat tesla is up bitcoin is up all right well let me get the comments working

00:00:26.880 and then we got a show for you you'll love it all right there we go

00:00:38.240 good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human civilization civilization

00:00:58.400 yeah it's probably the best time you'll ever have in your life but if you'd like to take a chance of

00:01:05.120 taking it to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains

00:01:12.560 well for that all you need is a cup or mug or glass a tankard shells just tie in a canteen jug or a

00:01:18.880 flask a vessel of eight kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for

00:01:25.600 the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day thing that makes everything better it's called

00:01:31.440 the simultaneous sip and it happens now go

00:01:41.680 excellent

00:01:45.680 well

00:01:48.080 i wonder if there's any science that they wasted their money on oh yeah here's some um 0.98

00:01:58.800 there's a study in penis

00:02:03.680 p-n-a-s is the acronym for this uh publication and i don't know how you would pronounce that acronym 0.99

00:02:12.560 p-n-a-s other than penis so in the prestigious penis 1.00

00:02:20.000 there's a study that says that if you get enough sleep you're more likely to be active and visit to be 0.99

00:02:30.160 physically active the next day can you believe it

00:02:34.000 uh what are the odds well maybe they should have asked me first scott we're thinking about spending

00:02:44.240 a million dollars to do a survey to find out or a study if getting enough sleep helps you be

00:02:52.640 physically active the next day and i would have said save your money save your money for half of that

00:03:00.320 i'll give you the answer yes

00:03:04.480 well according to the city university of london uh one in four young adults are living with mental health

00:03:12.640 conditions um one in four now you know how i always make fun of surveys and i always tell you

00:03:23.200 um it seems like 25 of the public gets every survey question wrong you know if you asked is it good for

00:03:32.480 people to eat food 25 would say oh i don't think so i don't think you should eat food so it doesn't

00:03:41.360 matter what the question is 25 will be on the wrong end of every question but about one in four young

00:03:51.920 people have mental health conditions do you think that's the same people because i hope it is 1.00

00:03:59.520 because if we've got 25 of the public is just stupid and 25 is mentally ill that's that's no world i want 0.99

00:04:11.760 to live in but i think i do i think maybe it's not the same people 1.00

00:04:19.200 well i have a confession uh i would like to throw myself on the mercy of the court

00:04:25.920 um because i know this won't be popular but lately because there's not much on tv in the summer

00:04:35.520 and i've been spending a lot of time in front of it because i'm not as active as i used to speak

00:04:42.320 um i've started to enjoy women's basketball i know i know you you can give me all your insults 0.99

00:04:54.320 but when was the last time you actually watched a wnba game so there's a couple of things i like about it

00:05:04.160 number one men's basketball has turned into garbage because it's nothing but the three-point shots and

00:05:11.760 and then seeing which which fell the referees want to call when i'm watching men's basketball 0.90

00:05:19.040 all i i feel like the only thing i'm watching is the referees deciding when to call a foul because

00:05:27.440 there's a foul on every play multiple players all the time there's nothing but non-stop fouling

00:05:36.560 and so watching seven foot guys do free throws it's just not fun and and it starts looking like

00:05:46.640 every player looks like every other player you know not physically but the way they play

00:05:53.520 so you turn on wnba and there are two things that they do right that makes me like it one is

00:06:03.760 that they don't play good defense

00:06:07.360 you know relative to what the men do when the men are playing hard defense you know especially like

00:06:12.320 a playoff game they're just smothering the other side and fouling them every second there's just no 0.67

00:06:18.160 fun to watch but the women you know give the other women a little extra space until they get you know 1.00

00:06:25.360 really close to the basket so there is more scoring and less fouling it looks like but the other thing

00:06:33.520 they do right which is kind of funny is they have a multi-colored basketball

00:06:38.560 basketball so it's two or three colors i'm not sure what it is but it's a colorful basketball

00:06:46.320 as opposed to the men's which is just one color and what what happens is when the women shoot 1.00

00:06:53.200 especially the three-point shots you can see the uh the rotation of the ball and the rotation of the ball

00:07:02.560 as it's heading toward the basket makes me happy because they're really good shooters

00:07:09.920 have almost this perfectly designed backwards um rotation so as soon as it leaves their hand

00:07:18.640 you say to yourself oh it looks like they you know had a good handle on that one so it's actually more fun

00:07:24.320 so i've been enjoying it will it work for you probably not but that's my confession um the dalai lama

00:07:36.160 as you know is very old he's uh he's about 90 now and he's planning to reincarnate because that's what your

00:07:44.640 dalai lamas do uh but he wants to make one thing clear it's not up to china who his reincarnation is

00:07:54.080 so china has already claimed that only they will be the ones to judge who the new dalai lama is

00:08:02.560 now the political part of that is that you know china wants to dominate tibet and so they don't want a

00:08:10.480 new dalai lama who's too popular or too political so they want to they want to pick their own

00:08:17.280 but the dalai lama says no no china cannot pick my reincarnation um he he wants to say that only his

00:08:28.480 trust can i don't know what that means so i guess there's some process where the tibetans

00:08:35.360 pick their own reincarnation for the dalai lama i don't know but uh i want to get in on this

00:08:44.960 um can i also designate who picks my reincarnation

00:08:50.080 or is this limited only to the dalai lama because i kind of like where this is heading i'd like to put

00:08:57.600 it in my my estate plan that there's a committee committee of five people that would get to decide

00:09:06.800 who my reincarnation is which to me would be hilarious especially if my reincarnation didn't

00:09:15.200 want the job well looks like you're the new scott adams what i don't want to be the new scott adams

00:09:24.720 well i'm sorry the reincarnation committee has chosen you you're the new one as i uh quote by zuby

00:09:34.480 this morning on x that i like he said uh people who think life is a zero-sum game are dangerous to be

00:09:42.640 around do you know who thinks that socialists do you know who else thinks that the people who chant

00:10:01.040 death to america now i'm no geopolitical expert but it seems to me that if you're chanting death 0.92

00:10:10.320 to america you're not thinking of a win-win scenario all right well you'll you'll die 0.98

00:10:18.000 and then we'll do great so we're both winners no no no i think you should stay away from people who

00:10:26.800 think life is a zero-sum game some would say that i got cancelled for saying something very similar

00:10:35.200 but that would be unfair um well jerome powell uh was giving a talk at some event and he was saying

00:10:45.360 that the uh the economy is looking pretty good inflation's close to two percent core inflation

00:10:52.720 2.7 unemployment 4.2 not terrible numbers you know they're not the best but they're not bad the economy's

00:11:02.320 looking good and then separately other experts are saying that the stock market is at all-time high i

00:11:11.600 guess and uh that can only be because the market has sort of priced in the uncertainty over tariffs

00:11:20.560 and by priced in i mean is treating it like it's no price at all basically uh so that's what's happening

00:11:29.680 um and uh powell says he expects to see higher inflation over the summer why would that be is that

00:11:38.960 because he thinks the tariffs will kick in and that'll create some some inflation we haven't seen yet 0.98

00:11:45.840 maybe maybe uh what does president trump think about that well he called uh jerome powell a quote moron 0.96

00:12:00.800 how would you like to wake up every day and the and the most important person in the world the 0.99

00:12:06.320 president of the united states is coming up with brand new insults for you

00:12:11.680 uh that must be weird anyway the uh the p diddy verdict uh we're getting close

00:12:24.400 uh apparently of the multiple counts there was one that the jury could not decide on

00:12:30.560 and that was the big one the rico cons you know racketeering conspiracy one

00:12:35.680 and the judge is apparently going to send her back to try to get a unanimous decision now we assume

00:12:45.040 that the holdouts are probably the ones who don't want to convict but i don't know that we know that

00:12:53.840 i think it's just an assumption because um it looks like they have a decision on sex trafficking

00:13:02.720 and on the charge of trafficking to engage in prostitution two counts apiece and those decisions have been made

00:13:13.760 which i think we assume means guilty right but we don't know for sure so uh trey gowdy was explaining on

00:13:23.360 fox news yesterday that uh trying to get a rico conviction is really really hard because juries don't

00:13:31.840 fully understand all the predicates and the nuance of that law but it's easier to say um did you transport

00:13:42.720 somebody for sex you know it's more of a yes no situation so i didn't realize this but um the diddy defense

00:13:52.160 didn't put on any uh any witnesses now that presumably means that they were depending on the prosecution not

00:14:03.840 making the case which um sort of looks like you know maybe they made the right the wrong play but i doubt

00:14:13.760 there were uh there were many witnesses that would kind of say he was innocent i don't know but

00:14:21.840 uh diddy's defense was basically that everything was um voluntary and you know just good fun among

00:14:31.280 adults i don't think any of you think that's true but we'll see i would say the odds are that

00:14:39.840 diddy is going to spend at least 10 years in jail um we'll see cbs allegedly has settled the lawsuit

00:14:50.160 that trump had against them for their uh alleged um inappropriate edits of kamala harris back in

00:14:59.200 october of last year and as you know they edited for conciseness and clarity that's what cbs would say 0.89

00:15:08.560 and what trump would say is they made her dumb answer look like it wasn't so dumb which is interfering with 0.79

00:15:15.440 the election and uh he sued now i feel like lawyers would say that he never would have prevailed in this 0.97

00:15:26.400 lawsuit except that the entity paramount is trying to get government approval for a big merger

00:15:35.360 and that might be on hold so i don't know if this is a good indication of what the law you know is or

00:15:45.040 should be or what justice is but trump won 16 million dollars it looks like assuming that that gets finalized

00:15:54.400 now that's on top of you might remember abc news settled with trump for 15 million dollars that went to the

00:16:03.520 trump presidential library for their their statements that he considered defamatory and i believe that

00:16:11.920 paramount has made the same offer that the money will not go to trump it will go to his library

00:16:18.000 so apparently trump found a way to fund his his presidential library which is suing the fake news

00:16:27.920 that have been the bane of his existence for 10 years and he's making the fake news pay for his

00:16:34.640 presidential library now on one hand you might say to yourself oh well they they found a clever way

00:16:45.280 to not pay trump any money but trump doesn't really need the money does he i mean not these amounts but he

00:16:54.800 definitely needs money for his presidential library so if he asked me that's like winning twice

00:17:02.320 twice once is winning the lawsuit but twice is getting your your fake news enemies to pay for your

00:17:10.880 presidential library that will last forever now that's that's funny i mean that's just good stuff

00:17:20.000 and uh you might remember that meta paid uh reportedly 25 million dollars to settle the trump lawsuit

00:17:27.520 um over suspending um over suspending him um when they had him suspended on facebook so that would and

00:17:36.720 i don't think that 25 million went to the presidential library but it'd be funnier if it did it's just that

00:17:45.040 you know facebook is not exactly the fake news it's just funnier if the fake news

00:17:50.640 pays for his library to me that's just just perfect

00:17:57.360 so i've got a observation

00:18:01.360 and maybe you can add to this but if you notice that the uh the anti-trump press

00:18:09.920 um has started to use his his branding and his nicknames

00:18:13.360 so even when cnn or msnbc talk about the legislation they also call it the big beautiful bill

00:18:23.520 although its name has now changed because i think schuber introduced a name change so it's not

00:18:30.480 technically one big beautiful bill that's what it was um but is it my imagination

00:18:39.760 or did trump get everybody to finally just surrender to his branding ideas and that when he brands

00:18:47.360 something everybody just uses his nickname and they they don't they don't push back too hard

00:18:55.280 anymore it's like all right it's a big beautiful bill likewise uh alligator alcatraz

00:19:02.480 now that's not one that trump invented he just sort of adopted it and boosted it but it's not my

00:19:10.640 imagination that cnn and msnbc also call it alligator alcatraz right so they've sort of accepted that

00:19:19.920 branding as well um and then of course he's calling uh zoran mamdani the guy running for mayor in new

00:19:28.720 york communist um i think so far mostly just the right is adopting that and then he he calls powell

00:19:39.440 too late is that what he calls powell jerome powell the fed chair too late powell i don't think that

00:19:47.600 one's quite stuck yet but it does feel to me that trump's branding is so strong that even the

00:19:55.920 the you know even the news that you think is fake news just sort of accepts it at this point

00:20:04.480 um msabc was looking at some article from playbook publication playbook and was wondering if the

00:20:15.680 alligator alcatraz play by the republicans is just a trap to paint democrats as the open border party

00:20:26.240 what do you think do you think alligator alcatraz is by design so not accidentally but is it by design

00:20:37.920 that the republicans really want the the critics to argue against deportations basically or against

00:20:48.960 strong borders i don't know that that's intentionally what they're doing but it that's what's happening

00:20:58.240 but but to me it's more of a trap that they set for themselves

00:21:01.360 is it really the republicans setting the trap when the democrats have promoted open borders

00:21:11.040 you know that they typically don't say they're promoting open borders

00:21:15.520 but everybody can see it so i would say it's more likely that the democrats created their own trap

00:21:23.680 and then fell into their own trap which is being against border security

00:21:31.600 anyway um joy reed predictably you know the fired ex-host of msnbc joy reed 0.64

00:21:40.080 um she says that trump has constructed quote concentration camps to deport brown people

00:21:50.960 do you think that'll stick it might

00:21:54.800 i could easily imagine other people saying i told you he was gonna form concentration camps for brown 1.00

00:22:02.160 people and there it is but of course it's really just a convenience for stuff they were doing anyway which

00:22:09.600 is deporting they're they're not planning that people will stay there

00:22:16.080 it's sort of where they go while they're waiting to be deported

00:22:20.080 i'm chris hadfield i'm an astronaut an author a citizen of planet earth join me for a six-part

00:22:26.960 journey into the systems that power the world real conversations with real people who are shaping the

00:22:34.000 future of energy no politics no empty talk just solutions focused conversations on the challenges

00:22:41.840 we must overcome and the possibilities that lie ahead this is on energy listen wherever you get your podcasts

00:22:50.960 um so cnn

00:22:52.960 uh their host said that uh the end of usa id the program that doge targeted for elimination and now

00:23:04.480 um got rolled into the state department so rubio is keeping you know some of its functions but not most of it

00:23:12.960 but cnn is talking about it as though it will lead to the death of 14 million people

00:23:22.720 because 14 million people will die without the usa id funding do you believe that

00:23:30.880 well they also had former usa id administrator samantha power who's now fired and she says that

00:23:39.680 uh it could kill 12 million people so somewhere between 12 and 14 million people will be killed

00:23:50.080 by this trump policy to decrease the usa id funding um what do you think of that

00:23:59.760 and they claim that one of the entities alone saved 25 million lives and that they will stop selling

00:24:08.080 that they will no longer be saving 25 million people because of funding well let me put the dilbert filter on

00:24:17.840 this so this is a perfect situation that you might see in a dilbert comic where the staff member or the

00:24:27.120 manager claims that they had saved a bunch of money and then if something changes even though it might be made

00:24:35.680 up in hyperbole like oh that change means that we'll lose all that money or people will die

00:24:43.360 do you think do you think that the 14 million people was documented so well that we could tell

00:24:52.880 that when the funding got cut that 14 million people started dropping dead within 12 months

00:24:58.800 does it does it does it seem likely that the people who are tracking that stuff could tell you who is going to die

00:25:08.960 it doesn't seem super likely to me but um did you know here's some context for you

00:25:20.160 did you know at least the unusual whales is reporting this on x that uh the g7 countries you know the big

00:25:29.120 industrial countries the g7 um collectively are cutting globally by 28 percent for the coming year

00:25:38.560 now that's according to axios so does that seem like the entire world is going to be killing 14 million a

00:25:48.640 piece so if the u.s doing its cuts um if the u.s is going to be responsible for killing

00:25:58.480 14 million people but the entire g7 is also massively reducing their global aid don't they also kill 1.00

00:26:08.240 a certain number themselves so would you say it's 14 million times seven

00:26:14.480 or you know maybe their their funding was not as big but uh so that would very quickly get you to a

00:26:21.600 a number like a hundred million people

00:26:25.200 are dying because of cuts and foreign aid does that sound even a little bit true to you

00:26:32.480 do you believe that that you know five years from now we'll look back and say well

00:26:37.840 a hundred million people died because the g7 cut their global aid it doesn't seem likely to me

00:26:47.200 but let me give you a little additional con context i went to grok the ai and i said how many people in

00:26:56.400 the world are currently starving as in not enough food you know daily um what do you think the answer

00:27:06.720 is the number of people in the world today who don't have enough food which would suggest they also

00:27:13.520 don't have enough health care and don't have clean water and all the rest the answer is 733 million

00:27:23.280 did you know that 733 million so i would like to add the following horrible thoughts are you ready for

00:27:34.240 horrible thoughts things you're not supposed to say in public that's my specialty

00:27:42.320 all right here's something you're not supposed to say in public happiness depends

00:27:49.120 happiness depends on not knowing too much about the people you could have saved

00:27:56.800 if you were willing to make yourself less happy doing it

00:27:59.440 and there's no way around it there's no way around it the only way you can pursue happiness

00:28:10.000 is by consciously ignoring all the people who will die 14 million of them maybe 100 million

00:28:20.240 they will die unless you stop your enjoyment and give them all your extra money

00:28:26.400 money now does anybody say that out loud no you've got this whole industry of people

00:28:35.440 you know which i'm part of trying to tell people how to be happy in their lives but they conveniently

00:28:42.240 conveniently they all leave out this most important variable you have to consciously ignore

00:28:51.120 the people who are suffering that you could have helped you know even in your small way you could have

00:28:57.840 helped them but you didn't instead you decided to live your own life and you know make sure your

00:29:05.440 kids have everything they need and all that so that's the first thing

00:29:09.520 are you ready for the even more controversial second thing can you handle this it's gonna get worse

00:29:21.200 all right here it is did you know that if you were to rank the countries by economics you know the ones

00:29:30.320 that are making the most money us and european countries etc and then you were to rank them by

00:29:38.320 reproductive success meaning are you making enough children to replace yourself plus extra you would find that those are the opposite

00:29:50.480 you would find that the people who are reproducing at the highest rates

00:29:55.200 are almost entirely the countries that need our aid

00:30:00.080 let me say that again the countries that have the highest fertility rate and are making the most children

00:30:10.320 are the same countries that need our help and how do we afford helping

00:30:17.680 africa and other places how do we afford that

00:30:20.480 we afford it by reducing our own reproductive um situation the reason the reason that americans and 0.97

00:30:33.040 europeans can afford to buy food is because they don't have 10 kids if if we all had 10 kids how much money could we give

00:30:44.640 to other countries for foreign aid none none so it's not a question of uh we have everything we want

00:30:54.880 so we'll give a little extra to the countries that need it because they're suffering we are literally

00:31:01.600 deciding to have fewer children so that we can afford to pay the people who are having more children

00:31:08.560 we're literally funding our own future destruction

00:31:15.040 about that do you ever think of it that way we we always look at the money

00:31:20.720 where we track the number of people who are starving or the number of people who maybe were saved

00:31:25.840 but shouldn't we be tracking reproduction because the countries that are reproducing the most

00:31:33.520 are winning that's winning if you have the most children and your your country no matter how poor

00:31:43.600 ends up with the most extra people at the end of the year and and they convince some soccer country

00:31:50.800 that they could guilt them into paying to not have their own children because you can't afford it

00:31:57.600 but to pay a lot extra so that other people can have more children

00:32:02.960 that's a frame isn't it

00:32:07.600 aren't you glad you watched today because that's the most provocative thing you'll hear today

00:32:13.840 anywhere that we should be measuring reproductive success

00:32:18.560 that's the ultimate goal of of every species for every species the ultimate

00:32:26.640 top level goal is the highest level of reproduction because if you don't do that

00:32:34.240 somebody's gonna produce you and eventually conquer you and you know so that's where it's heading

00:32:41.120 so we have to create the fiscal and it's worse than that it's not that you're just it's worse than that

00:32:49.920 remember i i said that um the g7 countries would have to give up their own reproductive

00:32:57.840 potential so they had enough money to pay the people who were having tons of babies 1.00

00:33:03.200 is worse than that we're not just giving up our current expensing we're driving up our debt to the

00:33:11.280 point where we're literally destroying our own civilization because we can't pay the debt so we're not just

00:33:19.120 giving our extra to other countries that have higher reproductive rates

00:33:24.000 we're guaranteeing the destruction of our entire civilization to help fund other countries have more babies 1.00

00:33:34.560 that's actually happening nobody talks about it that way right we always we always measure some

00:33:40.560 other variables but those are the big ones all right

00:33:44.880 well the uh conversation about medicaid cuts and the big beautiful bill um seems to come down to

00:33:55.680 the democrats are claiming that the cuts will kick off kick people off the program so they won't have

00:34:03.280 medical coverage whereas the republicans are saying no it's only tightening the requirements it's getting

00:34:12.960 people who should not be having it off there you know undocumented people and getting the lazy people 1.00

00:34:20.400 who should be working a job off the couch and so that they could qualify for it um i don't know that

00:34:27.600 either of those is exactly the right frame because it's probably something in between but i'll tell you

00:34:33.920 what you can't do you cannot forever increase programs where you're transferring money from one group to another

00:34:42.960 so will it be a giant hardship for some people who are getting medicaid and now they won't

00:34:50.960 probably it will be a giant hardship but again is that your problem

00:34:59.440 why is it why is it my problem why do i have to pay for people i don't know and who are not working

00:35:07.760 or not citizens why why do i have to pay for them so i would love them to do well but is it my job

00:35:19.200 is it my job to take care of the people who can't get off the couch or here illegally i don't know i'd 0.96

00:35:26.320 say no i'd say that's not my job and i don't feel guilty about that

00:35:30.640 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

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00:35:46.000 think well cnn as biased as they might be i feel like they are um moving toward the middle

00:35:57.520 you know that that was their ambition at least the management's ambition was to try to move toward

00:36:04.160 the middle um and i'm seeing small signals maybe bigger bigger than small that they're actually trying

00:36:12.160 to do that for example um cnn had jamie raskin on and i think it was uh casey hunt was the uh the host

00:36:23.920 police and he was uh he was complaining about all the bad things in the big beautiful bill

00:36:30.720 so raskin is their designated liar he's he's the one they bring on the democrats he's he's a democrat

00:36:38.640 that will say the thing that would just be too embarrassing for regular people to say 0.98

00:36:43.600 he would just tell any ridiculous lie in public he's one of several people that they use for that

00:36:51.400 so after he had been maligning the big beautiful bill casey hunt said is there anything is there

00:36:59.640 anything in this bill that you would support and he's like oh you know changes the subject and then she

00:37:08.680 gives him a specific she goes uh what about uh no tax on tips now suppose you're the prominent

00:37:18.440 designated liar for the democrats and cnn asks you if you are okay with not taxing tips

00:37:29.240 what exactly is a democrat supposed to say since the you know their big the complaints about the

00:37:35.800 democrats is that they stopped supporting the working people well the people who work for tips

00:37:41.800 are the working people it's exactly the people that they haven't been serving and it's the reason for 1.00

00:37:49.320 their demise um and so what did jamie raskin say did he support the no taxes and tips and he said

00:38:00.520 i'm doing a long pause because he did a long pause

00:38:08.120 uh i don't know i haven't looked at it

00:38:13.480 i haven't looked at it i just told you what it is it's no tax on tips what part of that do you not

00:38:21.320 understand i haven't looked at it

00:38:23.800 now that was a weak ass answer but it's not about jamie raskin who can be 0.90

00:38:31.640 dependent on to lie about every topic that's just sort of what he does 0.96

00:38:37.640 but do you think do you think cnn would have asked that question during trump's first term

00:38:46.280 because it was a really good question the good question was it's got 25 topics in it or more

00:38:52.360 the bill is there anything you think is reasonable that is a darn good middle of the road

00:39:01.000 serves the viewers kind of question so that's my first example where it looked like cnn was trying

00:39:08.840 to find you know this middle unbiased reporting place but um we also talked the other day about

00:39:18.520 burke khanish on cnn who you know somewhat um i guess many of you would have been surprised by it but

00:39:27.800 i wasn't they gave a fairly uncritical objective um analysis of trump having an amazing few weeks

00:39:39.320 and he didn't he didn't uh try to say but you know he's also hitler he just said that trump had an 0.59

00:39:45.880 amazing successful two weeks would you have seen that during his first term you know you could argue

00:39:53.560 he didn't have two weeks like that but i don't know maybe from spur khanish um and then harry enton

00:40:00.360 their data guy the guy who talks about the latest polling he i won't say he's pro trump but when the

00:40:08.520 numbers go pro trump which by the way they did recently he reports it enthusiastically so he doesn't

00:40:17.960 say well for a hitler we don't know why he's so popular he just uncritically tells you that the polling

00:40:28.440 looks really good so he was uh harry enton was just talking about how uh trump according to the latest

00:40:35.720 survey is the most beloved the most loved republican president in all of history and he beat ronald reagan

00:40:45.640 let me say that again cnn harry enton reported enthusiastically that trump is the most loved

00:40:55.080 republican president in history now obviously mostly loved by republicans but still he beat reagan

00:41:05.720 and they they reported that without again without saying stuff like well i don't know why so many

00:41:12.840 people like hillary they simply reported that his popularity is through the roof at the moment

00:41:21.160 and then all of you know that scott jennings is uh getting a lot of airtime on cnn and does an unusually

00:41:29.160 you know great job of presenting the other side so um do you remember when uh steve cortez was in that role i

00:41:41.080 would say in cnn and then steve cortez got sort of pushed out by cnn do you know why steve cortez got

00:41:49.560 uh pushed out of cnn because he was doing too good of a job i think he was just a little bit too good

00:41:58.440 and he was especially attacking him on the um fine people hoax you know the charlottesville

00:42:05.240 fine people hoax so they they couldn't handle steve cortez but at the moment scott jennings is doing

00:42:13.080 uh a similarly amazing job um and they seem to be happy with that at least you know from what we can

00:42:21.480 observe so see then still biased we assume but uh there are a number of bright spots in the show and uh

00:42:33.400 keep an eye on that

00:42:34.280 well um i don't know about your town but uh i got a little inside um scoop on my town

00:42:45.400 and apparently the people who live and work around here who are not documented citizens of this country

00:42:54.680 have definitely changed their routines so it used to be that if you were here and you were undocumented

00:43:02.040 you would just sort of live your life like everyone else if you wanted to go someplace you went

00:43:07.320 someplace you go to work etc but i am hearing uh that the undocumented people are only going out of their 1.00

00:43:17.800 house if they have to so that would include going to work but they're not spending a lot of time outside

00:43:24.360 the house because of the uh ice news is is really putting a chill on on the risk so the one thing i was

00:43:36.520 not really expecting is that trump has done so well on the border closing and ice has done so well

00:43:44.520 in promoting what they're doing that uh the undocumented people are feeling a lot of pressure

00:43:51.800 and they don't want to you know be driving a car and run a run a stop sign because they'd be shipped back

00:44:00.200 to be shipped over to alligator alcatraz so the uh the lifestyle of the people who are here who are not

00:44:09.320 citizens is really compacted and i would bet that that's the same where you are now i'm not saying that's

00:44:19.400 good or bad you can put your own judgment on it i will tell you that if you don't know anybody in that

00:44:27.320 community it's a lot easier to be you know cold and calculated and saying we're going to ship you back

00:44:34.680 if you do you probably have had the feeling that many of us had at least in california this is true

00:44:42.520 that we really like them they're in many cases they're just tremendous people and they're just

00:44:49.560 working hard trying to improve their life and you you can find a lot to relate relate um but whether or

00:44:57.880 not they're awesome people um this gets back to my earlier comment at what point am i morally obligated

00:45:06.760 to transfer my wealth to other people because they're awesome and they are awesome and i i do have genuine

00:45:13.720 empathy for the people who are being affected by this it's doesn't look fun and going back to their

00:45:20.840 home country doesn't look like a bargain but is it my job to keep all of them alive and you know bring more

00:45:30.840 in i'd say no so this gets back to the only way you can live a happy life is by intentionally ignoring

00:45:41.640 the suffering of you know a billion other people a billion you have to ignore a billion people struggling

00:45:50.600 otherwise you can't be happy yourself there's no way to get there all right so that may be the

00:45:57.640 same where you live um borders our uh tom holman uh according to the gateway pundit um he said that

00:46:09.800 the goj is looking into aoc because she was employing an illegal alien on her staff and she was helping 0.99

00:46:18.840 um undocumented um undocumented illegal people evade ice so apparently the accusation or allegation

00:46:28.200 is that uh she was publicly telling people how to avoid getting picked up by ice which i believe would

00:46:35.800 be interfering with law enforcement and a crime and if she knowingly was hiring an illegal alien or employing

00:46:45.320 on her staff that must be some kind of a crime i don't know what but i'll tell you um democrats might

00:46:54.760 be feeling like it was a mistake to lawfare president trump for years because if he won 0.96

00:47:04.440 he's gonna lawfare the shit out of them in revenge now he doesn't have to say it's revenge 0.61

00:47:11.240 he can just say no one is above the law something they introduced no one's above the law so i have 0.50

00:47:21.240 again mixed feelings in a normal world um i'm not sure that aoc has gone far enough that you know putting

00:47:30.920 her in jail would make sense to me i mean i get i get what the problem is i understand the allegations

00:47:37.960 but i'm not sure that was you know worth too much resource to go after it but these days because the

00:47:47.080 democrats were so lawfare wild against trump if trump's administration decides to go a little bit hard

00:47:55.720 on lawfare against the prominent members i feel like they brought that on themselves

00:48:02.680 it feels like again it's not a case as a republican setting a trap for the democrats this would be a

00:48:11.160 trap that the democrats set for themselves so the way they set it for themselves is by going too far

00:48:19.240 with the lawfare against trump which probably helped him get elected and then it pretty much guaranteed

00:48:27.560 that he wasn't going to be generous when it came to looking at their own legal problems

00:48:33.640 so was that a trap that the republicans set no that was a trap that the democrats fully created on their

00:48:42.200 own and they're getting the somewhat obvious outcome of all that so we'll see where that goes i don't think

00:48:51.400 aoc's going to jail seems unlikely but the fact that they're even investigating it

00:48:58.360 that should scare all right uh so the big beautiful bill was passed by the senate but because of our

00:49:06.040 weird lawmaking process it has to go back to the house the house which passed the original version and now

00:49:14.840 they're going to look at the modified greatly modified version that comes out of the senate and they have to vote

00:49:21.080 again whether they accept the senate's modifications now apparently some of those modifications were pretty big

00:49:31.080 and not every member of the house republicans are going to be for it they might have to be coerced

00:49:40.680 but russ vote who's part of the trump administration and budgets especially

00:49:50.120 he says that part of the plan is to explain to people especially the house who has to approve the

00:49:57.240 big beautiful bill to explain the longer term plan to reduce the deficit so i feel like he's sort of

00:50:05.960 accepting that this one the big beautiful bill might not be a deficit fix strategy at all although there's you

00:50:15.640 know disagreement about whether it will i think uh scott besant is saying that it will improve the economy

00:50:25.080 the big beautiful bill will it'll uh goose the economy so much that we'll make more money and receipts for

00:50:33.560 the irs then uh if we didn't do it and therefore it would be reducing the deficit do you believe it

00:50:43.160 well i don't think any of us understand what's in that big beautiful bill

00:50:47.560 so maybe but i wouldn't bet my life on it however um if they make the argument um you know it sounds

00:51:00.280 like where russ vote is coming from but i don't want to put words in his mouth but what it sounds like

00:51:07.240 is that he thinks the best way to sell the big beautiful bill would be to sort of acknowledge

00:51:13.080 that that's not where the big deficit reduction is going to come from but rather it's just a bunch

00:51:18.600 of stuff republicans want and you know we'd be happy or republicans would be happy if they got it

00:51:27.080 so that might be a good approach but uh scott besant is saying directly that it should make a big

00:51:33.880 difference in reducing the budget or reducing the deficit so you can pick either one of those and

00:51:40.840 it would give you a reason to be for it i don't know i'm not sure i buy any of that but that would

00:51:48.440 be the argument um apparently uh speaker johnson says that the house will vote on it maybe thursday

00:51:57.080 so they're still rushing to try to get it done by the fourth of july but um you've got a number of

00:52:04.360 people who are going to be working against it so marjorie taylor green thinks it's gonna 1.00

00:52:10.280 bust the budget um and she she wasn't happy with the bill um and the ogles from tennessee he called

00:52:22.680 the senate bill a dud that quote guts key trump provisions i don't know which ones he was referring

00:52:29.640 to chip roy of texas um he's not happy about the bill's treatment of clean energy tax credits he would

00:52:39.000 like that to be more aggressive he says it's a it's a deal killer um if they don't do that then

00:52:47.400 uh representative ralph norman he said they should send it back to the senate and leave town

00:52:54.760 uh representative uh validao california said in a social media post i've been clear from the start that i

00:53:03.320 will not support a final reconciliation bill that makes harmful cuts to medicaid so there are at

00:53:09.560 least six republican knows um at this point um but here's what's interesting according to me

00:53:22.440 why would any republican vote for the bill either in the senate or the house

00:53:27.880 because it feels like everybody's a little bit unhappy with it they have different reasons but

00:53:36.200 everybody's got their little complaint uh i would argue that at this point the congress is doing nothing

00:53:44.200 but trying to avoid being targeted by trump so if you think that any of these votes on the big beautiful

00:53:52.280 bill are going to be based on the details of what's in the big beautiful bill it's not

00:54:00.920 we are in a world where that thing we call our uh democratic republic you know whatever our system of

00:54:08.760 government is it's entirely broken and right now the republicans in the house and the senate

00:54:17.080 are simply just trying to keep their jobs by not pissing off trump they are not voting on what would

00:54:25.160 be good for the people they're not it's not it's just not even a variable they are not involved in

00:54:32.920 what's good for the country they are only involved in trying to avoid trump's wrath because he says he's

00:54:40.840 going to go after him but interestingly um since musk has targeted the people who vote for it and trump

00:54:50.280 has targeted the people who are going to vote against it you have this weird situation where the

00:54:57.400 republicans have created a trap for themselves the trap for themselves is that if they vote for it

00:55:05.400 musk will try to take them out through funding a primary challenge if they vote against it trump

00:55:14.920 will try to take them out so they have two ways to lose and no way to win and who created that

00:55:23.640 situation it wasn't the democrats there was not one democrat involved in that but the republicans have

00:55:31.960 created created a trap that they can't get out of there's there's no way that this works out for the republicans

00:55:41.880 in congress they get they get to choose which way they destroy themselves voting for it or voting against it

00:55:49.800 so what happens well under those situations if i could predict i would predict it will get delayed

00:55:58.360 what would you do if you knew that no matter what you do it's going to be bad for you you would look to

00:56:07.480 delay it so uh i would not be surprised if instead of it getting you know approved although i think

00:56:16.280 there's a high chance it'll be improved approved on uh thursday there's a pretty high chance because going

00:56:23.240 going against trump is certain death politically going against musk is probably a real big problem

00:56:35.800 but they might judge that musk that musk is not as scary as trump or would not be as effective at

00:56:43.560 taking their jobs and they might be right about that so that thing called our democratic republic the

00:56:51.240 system that you think you're in where you vote for your representatives and then the representatives

00:56:57.800 take your interests and you know try to negotiate them with the other elected officials nothing like

00:57:05.080 that is happening instead we've created the system where they're just saying who is scarier musk or trump 0.97

00:57:13.960 what the fuck kind of a political system is that well no worse than what we had 0.92

00:57:26.440 um i guess one of the big changes in the big beautiful bill would be to instead of being a joe biden 0.99

00:57:35.080 and forgiving everybody's student debts um the reconciliation bill will make it

00:57:42.200 uh put more pressure on people to pay back their student debts basically but it will eliminate all

00:57:49.080 the all the ways they can do it and uh make that a little bit of a tighter process so that's a big deal

00:57:57.000 which will obviously cost them some votes with students who have loans um let's see what else happened

00:58:06.760 at the moment according to the hill it's reporting on a npr pbs news marist poll uh republicans are more

00:58:20.520 popular than they've been in a long time so the republicans in congress uh are up to a 36 percent of

00:58:29.880 registered voters approved for the job republicans are doing and in congress not just trump the highest

00:58:37.080 level recorded since they started asking the question in 2011. so even though the big beautiful bill is not

00:58:46.280 passed it would appear that republican voters are liking the effort now like i say it's a it's a totally

00:58:56.120 bastardized sick process you know where they're just trying to keep their jobs and deciding if musk or 0.77

00:59:04.440 trump is more dangerous to their their profession but apparently the public is happy that they're fighting 0.88

00:59:12.520 it out and that there's a lot of stuff in the bill that republicans like

00:59:16.840 but it's not like uh all politicians are getting more popular because the democrats are down 12 points

00:59:27.480 in popularity according to the same poll since february february of 2024. so now they're down to 27

00:59:38.120 i think they're doing a good job in congress the democrats all right um i saw that tesla stock was

00:59:46.280 up a little bit after it had been drifting down because of musk and trump uh fighting over the big

00:59:53.880 beautiful bill and uh today musk said on x quote so tempting to escalate this so so tempting but i will

01:00:04.040 refrain from now for now so um it could be that because elon looks like he's gonna moderate his reaction to

01:00:14.920 it that people are saying oh it's time to jump back in that tesla stock that might be what's happening

01:00:22.760 but there are a lot of variables there too meanwhile speaking of musk uh i saw the mario nawfall post

01:00:31.240 who by the way you should all be following if you're not following mario nawfall on x you're missing a lot of

01:00:39.480 good uh independent reporting about the news um he reports that uh i guess the source here was a breaking defense

01:00:52.680 that spacex uh has a contract with um with space force to or with our military

01:01:04.040 to build 480 plus military satellites for a new network that would be just for the military of just

01:01:12.360 satellites and it's a gigantic deal um the details are classified but doesn't it seem to you that

01:01:24.680 the government needs tesla or the government needs musk as much as musk needs the government it's hard

01:01:33.400 for me to see that uh all the rhetoric especially what trump is using about you know maybe they should

01:01:41.400 look at cutting his funding and maybe they should look at deporting him we assume that that's just talk

01:01:50.120 and that you know as people pointed out to me trump didn't start the fight at least not directly he's

01:01:59.080 just responding to musk's provocations so i'll accept that i'll accept that it does seem inappropriate

01:02:10.280 the things that trump is saying about musk i i don't like the fact that he even teased about deporting him

01:02:17.560 i don't think you should even tease about that but it is true that trump didn't start it and that

01:02:26.200 he hits back as hard as he gets hit and if you were to say that's no harder than musk was hitting him

01:02:33.480 first i could see that so i will i will grudgingly say that in this one situation going too far might be

01:02:44.520 pretty predictably just ordinary trump stuff it doesn't mean much

01:02:51.880 well in other news um the white house says it's close to well as a deal with israel for a 60-day

01:03:00.200 ceasefire with hamas but hamas has not approved it i don't know what the odds are that hamas would say yes

01:03:06.440 yes and um i don't think hamas wants a temporary ceasefire i think they only want to say yes to

01:03:15.240 something that would end the fighting entirely but it might be that the temporary ceasefire is how you

01:03:21.480 start i'm no expert but um the fact that israel has a ceasefire plan and the white house likes it

01:03:33.000 that's not nothing and it seems to me that trump would like to follow up on what looked like the

01:03:39.960 best month that any president ever had by adding a gaza ceasefire and maybe maybe eventually a peace deal

01:03:49.560 um to that part of the world because that would unlock the abraham accords it would allow other

01:03:56.280 countries to join and he could just be rolling up the victories like crazy so he's already in um

01:04:05.480 i would say uncontested best president ever territory now obviously democrats would disagree but in my

01:04:14.280 opinion he is now already trump is in best president of all time to me it looks that way i mean we haven't

01:04:24.840 seen anything like this in our lifetime and before that i wouldn't know but uh if he got gaza too

01:04:33.880 oh my goodness and it it kind of makes sense now that trump was supporting that yahoo about his his uh 0.95

01:04:45.400 court situation it it could be that this is just trump being trump where if he needs somebody to do

01:04:53.400 something that maybe is not comfortable such as a ceasefire with hamas that he might make sure that they 1.00

01:05:01.000 got a win for it and the win would be that he's backing netanyahu really hard and saying great things

01:05:08.360 about him so that might have been necessary to get israel to say yeah we could work on a ceasefire

01:05:17.000 even if it's not what they wanted to do but if trump gets that um i think that you know unless something

01:05:26.920 weird happened after that he would be just unambiguously history will record him as

01:05:34.760 our most effective most important president um probably he's already there but man just imagine

01:05:42.920 adding gaza to your win list and the timing is right i mean that they must have war exhaustion on both 0.77

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01:06:56.200 meanwhile iran's president said that they're going to suspend iran will suspend their cooperation with

01:07:02.600 the iaea which is the group that would inspect their domestic nuclear power programs to make sure it

01:07:09.960 wasn't being weaponized now here's my question if iran is going to suspend their cooperation with

01:07:18.120 the iaea are they not signaling that they plan to build a nuclear weapon because if they plan to just

01:07:29.880 have nuclear domestic power it seems like they would sign up for saying all right all right

01:07:36.760 we'll definitely have the iaea investigate because that's that would make everybody comfortable

01:07:43.720 so they're one of two possibilities when they say they're you know not going to cooperate with them

01:07:51.800 they either have a death wish because this would kill them all basically if they just started

01:07:57.720 rebuilding their nuclear program the weaponized part um or is it a negotiating chip

01:08:06.760 could it be that iran is cleverly sort of in a trump-like way creating an asset

01:08:14.520 that they will later trade away so for example the asset they've created is that they would not

01:08:21.800 cooperate with the iaea they just created that that asset just by saying they won't do it now they have

01:08:29.800 something to trade so they'll say all right all right if you drop the sanctions we might change our mind 0.94

01:08:37.720 about these inspectors so could be that they're just crazy you know crazy people who want to have a death 0.66

01:08:47.320 wish but it could be just a negotiating chip we'll see all right i have a suggestion about how to minimize 0.93

01:08:58.120 mom danny zoran mom danny as you know and i often talk about it uh the facts don't matter so much as the

01:09:07.000 persuasion when it comes to politics it's how you feel about something and when mom danny says stuff

01:09:15.880 like i'm going to work on your affordability the average voter might not look that deep into it

01:09:22.760 to find out that there's any downside to that and say affordability i like that yeah i wouldn't i

01:09:29.720 wouldn't mind a little affordability so if you're going to attack him it would be hard to attack him

01:09:36.120 on policy because voters are not really engaged at the policy level beyond affordability sure

01:09:43.400 so how could you attack somebody who's so good at what he does he's really good at social media he's

01:09:51.320 good at interviews etc well i have a suggestion he has a creepy smile one of the things that makes him

01:10:04.200 popular is he always seems smiling i believe that trump especially trump could reframe his smile

01:10:13.720 as a sign of being disingenuous as a sign of being disingenuous and a scam artist because the smile to me

01:10:21.400 sometimes looks natural but i can easily convince myself that it's creepy so imagine if you will

01:10:32.040 that trump started saying the communist with a creepy smile do you feel that

01:10:40.760 the communist with a creepy smile because if you're a democrat and somebody says some stuff that you

01:10:50.040 like to hear oh affordability i like that are you going to feel the same if he gets branded as having a

01:10:58.440 creepy smile that creepy smile that creepy smile thing you can feel it can't you yeah you tell yeah creepy

01:11:07.960 copy smile the communist part might not be enough to stop him from taking office there might be enough

01:11:15.880 voters who are like ah every republicans call everybody a communist so i'll just ignore that part 0.70

01:11:23.080 but creepy smile that's a death blow that's a kill shot 0.89

01:11:29.400 so if it were me and i would say don't fall for the communist with a creepy smile 0.79

01:11:38.680 he's he's up to no good he'd you know he's he's not your friend

01:11:45.240 because everybody would interpret creepy smile in their own way which is really good persuasion you don't

01:11:52.520 want you don't want to tell them what to think you just want to guide them into an area that they

01:11:58.120 weren't thinking about which is that his smile looks disingenuous and there's something off about him

01:12:08.120 now i'm just watching the comments to see if that's hitting doesn't that feel like they hit you right in the

01:12:14.520 the stomach as opposed to talking about policies you can feel that can't you the creepy smile you would

01:12:23.880 never get that out of your head creepy communist smile so that's my suggestion all right uh i would

01:12:33.080 also refer to him as the shirtless guy with the flag at the uh at the ice protests do you remember the

01:12:41.640 iconic uh guy who had a mask on so you couldn't see his face but he was shirtless and he was standing

01:12:48.760 on top of burning cars and he was waving the palestinian flag if i were running against him

01:12:58.200 i might sort of tongue-in-cheek suggest that that was him because the guy's wearing a mask and it looks

01:13:05.880 like a you know skinny young guy just like him anyway um so the white house is working on a way to

01:13:19.240 exclude undocumented illegal aliens from the u.s census steven miller is talking about that

01:13:27.080 now the reason to do that and the reason they would want to do an immediate new census

01:13:31.880 um would be that uh if you could exclude the non-citizens in california alone it would

01:13:43.080 it would remove four house seats because the number of representatives you get depends on the

01:13:49.160 population of your state so if they reduce the number of people who are counted in terms of your

01:13:56.680 population which is what a census would do if they didn't count the undocumented people then it would 0.94

01:14:04.600 force the system to reduce the number of representatives now if they could get away with that

01:14:12.520 that would be a super clever political move but i feel like that probably would not work

01:14:20.360 work the one time they tried it a federal judge blocked it but now that the supreme court has said that

01:14:30.200 federal judges can't block stuff um they might just do another executive order and see what happens

01:14:39.480 i guess it would probably be class action suits and stuff but uh maybe maybe that lane is open that they

01:14:48.200 they could get away with that i'm betting against it i don't think they'll get away with it

01:14:54.120 because it's a little too close to a constitutional question that might be black and white so i'm no

01:15:02.040 expert meanwhile the libs of tick tock is telling us that stanford medicine is going to end their

01:15:10.680 transgender surgery for minors because of pressure from the trump administration

01:15:15.640 um so we keep hearing more stories about that meanwhile um uh chairman jim jordan according to politico

01:15:30.040 is asking for documents uh from penn and from brown universities

01:15:37.240 um and they're they're probing into seeing if they did price fixing that the uh the ivy league schools

01:15:48.120 may be coordinating their tuition so that you can't you know easily go to the cheaper ivy league school

01:15:56.200 so if they find that that's true that's going to be a lot of pressure on the ivy league schools if

01:16:03.560 they were actually colluding to keep their prices high maybe i imagine that they wouldn't be asking

01:16:11.960 for documents about it unless they had some whistleblowers said that meanwhile the fbi according to the epoch

01:16:21.000 times um has charged four californians with the largest ever covid tax fraud scheme

01:16:29.960 they allegedly stole 93 million dollars in covet tax credits um so do you ever wonder where all the money went

01:16:43.320 just in general you know we have this rich country and then suddenly we've got 37 37 trillion dollars in debt

01:16:51.240 and you said to yourself what where did all that money go well my guess is something like a i don't know

01:17:03.080 half a trillion dollars a year just goes to fraud because we're bad at checking where our money goes

01:17:10.360 but maybe that'll turn around in other news this didn't happen right away but i just saw it today

01:17:17.960 did you know that trump had authorized the building of a new air force jet which will be the f47 which is

01:17:25.960 funny because he's the 47th president and boeing won that competition and in three years or so they might

01:17:34.440 have a new a new jet the f47 over in china china has uh put on a soccer competition with just robots

01:17:47.240 now uh those robots were not very good at playing soccer so it didn't look like it was the best

01:17:55.160 state-of-the-art robots but they played soccer um it was compared to a five or six year old child

01:18:04.280 playing soccer but they did run after the ball and kick it towards the goal and you know tried to block

01:18:11.320 it if it was coming the wrong way so there are now ai-controlled robots that play soccer poorly

01:18:19.640 but that'll be better by next year all right i'm going to give you a little micro lesson

01:18:27.320 that i know you you need because many of you were criticizing me online because you thought you

01:18:34.600 had better information than i did about putting batteries and solar in the network so

01:18:42.440 um i was criticizing doug bergam for saying that solar power doesn't work when it's when it's nighttime 0.98

01:18:51.640 and i said you know it just makes you feel it makes you look stupid if you don't acknowledge that 0.92

01:18:58.200 there's batteries in the network so the solar charges the batteries and then the batteries can run at night 1.00

01:19:05.080 now people said scott you idiot you fool how do you not know that it is uneconomical 0.99

01:19:17.560 to put batteries and solar power into the grid how do you not know that to which i say um 1.00

01:19:27.000 maybe you need a little update on your technology so that's what i'm going to give you

01:19:32.120 uh according to grok how many of these uh solar powered and then battery you know matched with

01:19:43.480 batteries how many of them are currently in the grid if it's uneconomical then nobody would do it right

01:19:53.320 right nobody would do it if it's uneconomical and so many people told me it's just never going

01:19:59.320 to be economical well why are there 1600 of them with 125 in construction around the world so you're

01:20:08.760 telling me that uh thousands thousands of different experts are unaware of what you know

01:20:18.520 that it would never make sense to build a solar solar energy and add batteries to it

01:20:24.520 it why are they doing it if it's uneconomical in every country it's like all over the place it's

01:20:32.520 not just one country or anything um and the us has 575 of them across seven major grids are you telling

01:20:43.640 me that all of those projects were uneconomical and the people who built them didn't know it is that what

01:20:51.080 you believe here's what you were trying to tell me you're trying to tell me but scott the batteries

01:20:59.400 will only last two to four hours and they're only good for handling peak loads right now you're getting

01:21:07.480 really mad at me already right because you're sure that i didn't know that no i do know that i do know

01:21:16.120 that the current technology is that it's only going to handle your peak periods so does that

01:21:24.040 mean you shouldn't build it no obviously it works out obviously the economics do work that's why there's

01:21:32.280 so many of them so given that we're uh approaching the ai era we're well we're in the ai era and knowing

01:21:43.960 that we need every bit of electricity we can do do you think it's a bad idea to have systems that can

01:21:52.520 only do two to four hours of peak load no that's not a bad idea the the thing with energy that you need

01:22:01.800 to know is that more is better and suppose it's the not the most economical way to do it still do it

01:22:10.680 still do it we're not in a we're not in a place in history where the only power that you add to the

01:22:18.520 network is the most economical power maybe there was a time when that made sense but now we're in a

01:22:26.760 place where if you can make any kind of electricity in any way or you can help help the existing power

01:22:36.680 plants get over a peak period hump if you can do anything with any technology that allows you to

01:22:45.960 have more electricity than you would have had otherwise it probably is economical because ai will

01:22:53.320 you know be such a big uh you know a big money maker that they're going to spend a lot of money

01:22:59.320 to make sure they have power now some of you said but scott you know what about the recycling of the

01:23:06.360 batteries well that's that's changing quickly the ability to recycle batteries the big batteries that

01:23:13.240 are in the network that's you know their companies are working on that now what about the necessity of 0.80

01:23:21.000 rare earth minerals to make batteries some people said scott you fool that would make us do all this

01:23:27.800 you know this this mining that's bad for the environment and we don't have enough of the rare earth to

01:23:35.480 which i say this is the reason that i read to you almost every day that there's a new laboratory

01:23:43.880 breakthrough in batteries and many of them are about not needing those critical minerals

01:23:50.920 or materials so there's a whole bunch of stuff that's happening in the development of batteries

01:23:57.240 that would make them easier to recycle last longer and be cheaper and remember if you're putting them

01:24:05.400 in the network they don't have to be lightweight so it doesn't have to be really light like it would

01:24:11.000 in a car they could be you know 10 times bigger than you think they ought to be because it's just going

01:24:17.800 to be sitting in the network somewhere so here's the next thing that my critics got wrong

01:24:24.600 if it's true that that the only thing that you'd be happy with is 16 hours of battery storage we will

01:24:34.040 have that probably in 10 years so that i i think elon musk was talking about that musk was talking about

01:24:42.200 building a gigafactory for solar in the united states and one of the commenters said wait what if you

01:24:51.560 combined an ai data center that needs all this power with a solar powered you know battery battery kind of

01:25:02.120 network and he winked which suggests that was on point and that he's looking to use gigantic solar

01:25:13.000 with batteries uh networks to partially power the data centers so he might be looking to build that gigafactory

01:25:22.120 right now so why would he do that if it's not economical according to my critics

01:25:28.680 do you do you think that elon musk is not aware of the economics of solar or batteries do you think

01:25:38.520 you know more about batteries and solar than elon musk does i'm pretty sure that he's going to be

01:25:46.280 leaping into that business and playing the long game so in in somewhere in the 2030s

01:25:54.600 it looks like batteries it looks like batteries probably will be good enough that they could last

01:25:59.720 for 16 hours and cheap enough so it makes sense to use them and easy enough to recycle and easy enough

01:26:08.040 to get the rare earth minerals because it wouldn't use many rare earth minerals so my critics also said

01:26:17.480 scott you fool um you know even if you think that this could work solar is um solar is not as good

01:26:27.000 an idea as nuclear that nuclear would have better economics and produce you know more consistent 0.98

01:26:34.120 base load doesn't have a nighttime problem so solar so nuclear is the way to go right

01:26:40.440 but do you see the inconsistency of comparing nuclear to solar let me tell you it's a timing thing

01:26:52.120 if i said to you start building your nuclear power plant today how long do you think it would take you to

01:26:58.440 get it done if you were to use existing technology to build a nuclear power plant would it take 20 years

01:27:09.560 and cost 30 billion dollars i don't know how long it would take do you know why nuclear is is so uh

01:27:18.520 has such a high potential it's not because of the things we already know how to do

01:27:24.360 it's because there's a lot of work happening in developing nuclear so that it's a whole different

01:27:30.520 engineering situation and you can make them you know you can make them easier cheaper and safer

01:27:37.800 so if you're going to allow that nuclear is the future but you couldn't do it today you you kind

01:27:45.480 of have to you know you're gonna have to test a number of uh startups basically startups who are

01:27:52.440 trying to build nuclear power plants in the best way and it's going to be 10 years

01:27:59.960 it's going to be 10 years before you see a bunch of nuclear power coming online it's just going to take

01:28:06.440 that long so if you're going to say that nuclear is the future but not what we have now but rather

01:28:14.520 what we can develop fairly quickly next few years then you should use the same analysis for batteries

01:28:22.360 what we could do right now with batteries not ideal you know you get two to four hours of peak

01:28:28.760 coverage in your network not too impressive but if we keep hammering at it and keep developing it and

01:28:37.000 make sure that the market exists what do you think batteries are going to look like in 10 years so

01:28:45.000 that's my micro lesson on batteries um i hope that helped all right

01:28:51.560 and uh russia took full control of the luhansk region in ukraine newsmax world is reporting which uh

01:29:04.840 tells you why putin is willing to keep fighting because he's nibbling more and more of ukraine

01:29:11.400 so why would putin want to want peace when he's still gaining territory so that one's going to be a

01:29:20.440 tough one uh blaze media says uh that uh cash patel is uh his fbi is resting a bunch of chinese spies

01:29:33.080 that have been targeting u.s uh military people trying to convert them to spies how many spies do we have

01:29:39.800 in this country i don't know and then a new study says that senior citizens are going to marijuana and

01:29:49.560 in record numbers uh the use of cannabis by older adults is quadrupled and then there's a new study

01:29:57.880 that says if you use a lot of cannabis um it will be bad for your memory but if you use a low dose it

01:30:06.840 might even improve your memory if you're a middle-aged human do i believe that no not really but sounds good

01:30:16.600 all right that's all i got for today sorry i ran long um i will talk to you all tomorrow same time

01:30:25.080 same place if you're a locals beloved subscriber stay around because i'm going to go private with

01:30:32.360 locals right now for a very short moment the rest of you thanks for joining see you tomorrow

01:30:46.600 uh

01:30:49.560 you

01:31:16.600 Thank you.

01:31:46.600 Thank you.

01:32:16.600 Thank you.

01:32:46.600 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 02, 2025

Episode 2885 CWSA 07⧸02⧸25

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