Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2889 CWSA 07⧸06⧸25

00:00:00.840 It's always good to see you, no matter how late you are.

00:00:05.600 But we've got a show to do this morning that will be incredible.

00:00:11.940 I'm not the lazy people who don't do any podcasting on a Sunday.

00:00:17.420 No, I got lots.

00:00:19.980 Oh yeah, settle in.

00:00:22.260 Settle in, people.

00:00:24.140 We got a lot of stuff.

00:00:27.560 Oh, hello.

00:00:30.000 So, Solaris, that's not cool.

00:00:35.320 Only Paul can do the audio video thing.

00:00:39.840 Otherwise, I won't know where it's coming from.

00:00:43.800 So, Solaris and the rest of you, let Paul do that and nobody else.

00:00:51.020 Thank you.

00:00:52.520 Thank you.

00:00:54.980 Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:01:00.640 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams because that's what it is, and it's the best thing that's ever happened to you.

00:01:07.260 But if you'd like to take a chance of bringing this experience up to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,

00:01:20.340 All you need for that is, is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tanker and chelsea stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of a kind.

00:01:34.360 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:36.200 I like coffee.

00:01:36.940 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:44.500 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:48.340 Happens now.

00:01:49.640 Go.

00:01:49.840 Oh, so good.

00:01:57.480 So good.

00:02:00.300 All right.

00:02:00.840 Well, I wonder, is there any scientific study that maybe they could have saved a little time on?

00:02:11.480 Save a little money by just asking me?

00:02:14.620 Oh, here's one.

00:02:17.600 According to the Public Library of Science, there's a study that was done that shows that emoji use may improve relationship outcomes.

00:02:31.220 That's right.

00:02:32.480 If you use emojis, it will improve your relationship outcomes.

00:02:37.040 That's why people use them.

00:02:44.720 That's why emojis have never been a fad.

00:02:49.900 Have you ever noticed that?

00:02:51.600 They're not really a fad because they work. 0.91

00:02:55.220 And every single person who has used one is completely aware that it helps, you know, lubricate the social interaction.

00:03:05.100 So, yeah, they could have saved a little bit of money, the University of Texas at Austin.

00:03:13.960 I guess that's where they did the study.

00:03:17.300 Anything else?

00:03:18.960 Let's see.

00:03:20.280 According to Psychology Today, the couples who have frequent sex report greater relationship and life satisfaction.

00:03:30.740 Huh.

00:03:31.100 Now, maybe I'm not the only one who can do this miraculous task of saving money on studies, but let's see.

00:03:43.240 How many of you would have guessed that couples who have frequent sex have better relationships than people who don't?

00:03:53.900 I'll bet you would have gotten that one.

00:03:56.340 Yeah, we didn't need to do that study.

00:03:58.300 Next time, just ask God or anyone else in the world or any living human adult could have saved you a little time there.

00:04:09.720 Well, if you were subscribing to the Dilbert comic, which is a little spicier than it used to be, because it's only for subscribers,

00:04:21.860 behind the paywall on either locals.com or here on X, if you're watching on X,

00:04:27.600 you would know that Ashok, the intern, is being deported to Elbonia, even though he has no connection to Elbonia.

00:04:39.020 But he will get due process.

00:04:41.400 He will get due process.

00:04:43.540 The due process will happen at Alligator Alcatraz.

00:04:47.580 So that's what you're missing.

00:04:49.640 That's today's Sunday comic.

00:04:52.300 Ashok is getting deported.

00:04:54.220 Anyway, Grok has been now officially updated, and it's being called Super Grok.

00:05:04.600 And I decided to do a little test on Super Grok.

00:05:09.220 Yep, there it is.

00:05:11.900 And the test was, there was a little mystery that I'd been having that was making me feel like I might be insane.

00:05:20.360 Have you heard Elon Musk?

00:05:24.100 He's said this a number of times on X.

00:05:27.400 He said the most entertaining outcome is the most likely.

00:05:31.360 How many of you have seen Elon Musk say that?

00:05:33.860 He said it again today.

00:05:35.400 So he retweeted his earlier time he said it.

00:05:39.560 And every time I see that, I would say to myself, why does that look so familiar?

00:05:47.900 And then I would start to think, well, wait a minute.

00:05:51.660 Didn't I invent that?

00:05:53.540 Isn't that something I said?

00:05:56.260 And apparently he gets credit for being the inventor of that saying.

00:06:02.120 So I thought, well, let's give Super Grok a test. 1.00

00:06:06.080 Because actually I was wondering if I was insane.

00:06:09.900 I actually thought, am I losing it?

00:06:13.020 Like, have I lost the ability to tell what came out of my mouth versus what I read on X?

00:06:19.880 And really, I was wondering if I had lost it.

00:06:23.420 And I thought, am I just being like a weird, narcissistic, crazy person?

00:06:30.380 There's just no hallucinating like an LOM.

00:06:33.880 And so I asked, well, what was the earliest that I think I asked Super Grok?

00:06:42.140 When was the first time I said it?

00:06:45.460 And apparently, it was the very first thing I ever said about politics.

00:06:50.860 How many of you remember, in 2015, I wrote a blog post called Clown Genius.

00:07:00.640 And it was a reframe of Trump from being this, you know, clown who was running for president.

00:07:07.220 Nobody took him seriously.

00:07:09.380 And I wrote that viral blog post called Clown Genius, in which I explained,

00:07:15.960 oh, you have no idea what's coming.

00:07:17.720 That this is not, this is not a clown.

00:07:23.520 This is a clown genius.

00:07:26.500 And he knows how to use all of these tools.

00:07:29.920 And I predicted he would become your next president.

00:07:33.980 That was 2015.

00:07:35.660 According to Super Grok, and I'd forgotten this entirely,

00:07:42.060 that in that 2015 blog post, I wrote, quote,

00:07:47.400 when it comes to politics, the most entertaining outcome is the most likely.

00:07:52.580 Trump is the clown genius who knows it.

00:07:56.820 So that's the first time I said it.

00:07:59.460 And it was also the first time I ever,

00:08:01.440 it was the first thing I ever said about politics that anybody paid attention to.

00:08:05.900 But it turns out, also according to Super Grok,

00:08:12.380 that I said it again.

00:08:15.140 Well, I said it a number of times on live streams,

00:08:18.000 but Super Grok doesn't have access to this.

00:08:21.920 But it was also in my book,

00:08:24.020 Winn-Binkley, that came out in 2017.

00:08:26.780 But if you go to the internet,

00:08:31.300 the quote will be attributed to Elon Musk in 2023.

00:08:37.520 So, Super Grok, for the win. 0.98

00:08:41.300 And I'm not crazy.

00:08:42.980 Yes.

00:08:44.200 Yes, I'm not crazy.

00:08:46.920 Thank God.

00:08:49.160 All right.

00:08:50.460 Laura Trump, married to Eric Trump,

00:08:54.060 just was part of a video showing a bunch of U.S. service members

00:09:01.000 doing a workout outdoors with Pete Hegseth,

00:09:04.860 who likes to do workouts with the troops.

00:09:08.120 And Laura Trump joined the workouts. 0.98

00:09:11.820 And it was a serious, badass workout

00:09:14.460 with weights that they had to lift and put on their shoulders

00:09:18.560 and run around with the weights and stuff.

00:09:20.660 And if you have never seen Laura Trump do her workout,

00:09:29.380 if the only place you've ever seen her is as a talking head,

00:09:32.960 you're really missing something impressive.

00:09:36.860 I follow her on Instagram

00:09:39.080 because she does a lot of her workout videos there. 0.99

00:09:42.460 Oh, my God.

00:09:43.860 She is a workout beast. 1.00

00:09:46.060 And I say that with a complimentary overtone.

00:09:51.340 She is really, really fit for a man or a woman. 1.00

00:09:56.420 I mean, she's just really fit.

00:09:59.160 And I can't think of another woman off the top of my head

00:10:04.220 who would be able to do the same workout

00:10:06.820 as the male troops and as Pete Hegseth.

00:10:11.620 But I'd like to compliment

00:10:13.260 whoever came up with that idea.

00:10:17.580 Whoever said,

00:10:18.700 hey, why don't you work out with the troops

00:10:21.080 and we'll take a video of it.

00:10:24.500 Brilliant.

00:10:25.820 It was brilliant.

00:10:27.220 Because I really like seeing Pete Hegseth

00:10:30.120 work out with the troops.

00:10:32.840 It's just a good look.

00:10:34.100 It makes him look young, and that helps.

00:10:37.100 But it does the same thing for Laura Trump. 0.97

00:10:39.920 You know, it humanizes her, 0.99

00:10:41.540 but also it's impressive.

00:10:43.640 It's impressive as hell.

00:10:45.640 And she might run for the Senate in North Carolina. 0.97

00:10:50.880 So I suspect there might be some attention

00:10:54.600 being given to, you know, framing her just right

00:10:57.820 so she keeps that option open.

00:10:59.840 So this was brilliant.

00:11:01.340 It was just brilliant.

00:11:02.060 And it's probably not a coincidence

00:11:04.440 that the news is telling us

00:11:06.520 that Air Force and Space Force

00:11:08.620 have both met their recruitment goals

00:11:11.760 three months early.

00:11:14.340 Now, I've got a feeling

00:11:16.520 that that's mostly because of Trump

00:11:18.580 bringing respect back to the military.

00:11:21.660 But I feel like the Pete Hegseth appointment

00:11:25.600 probably helps

00:11:27.220 because it youngs down the whole situation.

00:11:30.100 And then you add Laura to it.

00:11:34.560 It's just a great look, you know,

00:11:36.760 for both the service as well as those individuals.

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00:11:53.160 Scotiabank.

00:11:53.860 You're richer than you think.

00:11:54.920 All right.

00:11:56.500 Well, did you know

00:11:58.260 that there are a bunch of protests

00:12:00.060 in Mexico City right now?

00:12:02.060 Some of them got violent.

00:12:04.240 And do you have any idea

00:12:05.300 why the local Mexican population

00:12:08.520 in Mexico City

00:12:09.840 is protesting

00:12:11.380 and throwing rocks

00:12:12.620 through store windows and stuff?

00:12:15.440 If you haven't followed that story,

00:12:18.300 what would be your first guess

00:12:20.360 about why the local Mexican population

00:12:23.920 is so mad?

00:12:25.660 First guess would be

00:12:26.980 they don't like the cartels, right?

00:12:30.380 It's not that.

00:12:31.600 It's not that.

00:12:32.680 Second guess would be

00:12:34.300 something about economics.

00:12:37.540 Well, it is.

00:12:39.800 But the specific complaint

00:12:42.240 is that so many white people from America

00:12:44.780 have gone down there

00:12:45.940 and started to live there.

00:12:47.100 It's about immigration.

00:12:52.140 I'm not making that up.

00:12:54.500 I swear that's the actual news

00:12:57.220 that the Mexican locals

00:12:59.280 are really, really mad

00:13:00.580 about all the immigration

00:13:01.880 from America

00:13:04.300 because what it does

00:13:06.020 is it snaps up

00:13:07.580 all the real estate

00:13:08.640 and I guess their rental prices

00:13:11.040 have gone up 20%

00:13:12.380 and maybe some other prices,

00:13:14.900 but rent in particular.

00:13:17.100 is sharply up

00:13:19.300 because the Americans

00:13:21.480 are increasing the demand.

00:13:24.680 So I don't have much to say about that

00:13:26.560 except that

00:13:27.320 what a weird world it is

00:13:30.100 that both Mexico

00:13:32.480 and the United States

00:13:33.680 are complaining about

00:13:35.280 the bad elements

00:13:36.220 that were sending to the other.

00:13:39.780 Anyway,

00:13:40.900 so my question is this.

00:13:43.240 Are the Mexican protests

00:13:47.220 grassroots?

00:13:49.580 Do you think that people

00:13:50.720 spontaneously organized

00:13:52.640 and they just thought,

00:13:54.280 you know,

00:13:55.280 you've got a problem with it

00:13:57.020 and I've got a problem.

00:13:58.100 Let's call some of our friends

00:13:59.520 and protest this thing.

00:14:02.580 Nope.

00:14:03.360 I do not believe

00:14:04.400 when we live in that world.

00:14:05.520 I believe that

00:14:07.100 all mass protests

00:14:08.620 are organized

00:14:10.620 by shadowy figures

00:14:12.500 in the background.

00:14:13.820 I don't believe

00:14:14.660 any of them are organic.

00:14:16.780 I used to

00:14:17.600 and maybe they used to be.

00:14:19.900 I don't know.

00:14:21.100 But

00:14:21.480 in today's world,

00:14:23.880 no,

00:14:24.440 none of these are real.

00:14:26.320 They are all manufactured

00:14:27.880 protests.

00:14:30.520 Once you learn that,

00:14:32.020 it kind of changes everything.

00:14:35.880 I will go further

00:14:37.060 and say,

00:14:38.620 well,

00:14:38.840 I've got a few other stories

00:14:40.420 coming up

00:14:41.540 that maybe I'll save

00:14:42.940 this point for.

00:14:44.260 But

00:14:44.480 just remember I said

00:14:46.100 that I don't believe

00:14:47.000 this protest is

00:14:48.000 genuine.

00:14:50.020 Well,

00:14:50.280 I saw a post

00:14:51.100 by a

00:14:52.040 ex-user

00:14:52.760 Indra Vahan

00:14:54.240 on X

00:14:55.220 saying

00:14:56.960 this

00:14:57.680 about AI.

00:14:59.000 Some intern

00:14:59.600 at McKinsey

00:15:00.260 is probably

00:15:01.080 slop coding

00:15:02.480 a report on this.

00:15:03.540 But let me give you

00:15:04.200 an insider,

00:15:05.380 some insider news.

00:15:07.660 Most large corporations

00:15:08.960 are not happy

00:15:10.160 with the

00:15:11.060 agentic systems

00:15:12.400 and

00:15:12.820 POCs 0.99

00:15:14.040 they've done this year.

00:15:15.720 POC.

00:15:16.740 It's not people of color. 0.79

00:15:19.520 It would be some kind of

00:15:20.360 project with AI,

00:15:21.580 I guess.

00:15:23.220 2025

00:15:23.780 was supposed to be

00:15:25.680 the year of agents,

00:15:27.020 meaning

00:15:27.420 AI agents

00:15:28.380 that could do your work.

00:15:30.100 So far,

00:15:30.700 it's been a year

00:15:31.340 of letdowns.

00:15:32.720 All right.

00:15:34.160 So,

00:15:35.000 if you've been

00:15:36.160 watching my

00:15:36.820 live streams,

00:15:37.680 you know

00:15:38.100 that I've been

00:15:39.560 an AI skeptic

00:15:41.260 for quite a while.

00:15:44.020 And especially

00:15:45.060 since,

00:15:46.540 was it

00:15:47.060 two years ago

00:15:48.160 or one year ago,

00:15:49.540 that I tried

00:15:51.040 using it myself

00:15:52.040 and I put

00:15:53.040 a lot of work

00:15:54.080 into it

00:15:54.640 to try to build

00:15:56.060 a little agent

00:15:56.940 out of AI

00:15:57.700 that would be

00:15:58.880 able to answer

00:15:59.400 simple questions

00:16:00.360 about me.

00:16:01.500 So,

00:16:02.020 I could put it

00:16:02.540 on my website

00:16:03.300 and any question

00:16:04.300 that somebody

00:16:04.740 would ask me,

00:16:06.180 it would know

00:16:06.680 the answer to it

00:16:07.540 and it would just

00:16:08.340 read my file

00:16:09.300 to see all my answers

00:16:10.320 and it would just

00:16:10.840 answer it.

00:16:11.640 Couldn't do it.

00:16:13.320 Not only could it

00:16:14.500 not do it,

00:16:15.120 but there's no

00:16:15.560 workaround.

00:16:17.720 There's no workaround.

00:16:19.240 There's no way

00:16:19.820 to solve it.

00:16:20.440 And I said

00:16:22.200 to myself,

00:16:22.820 huh,

00:16:23.820 if this is a

00:16:24.760 limitation of AI,

00:16:27.320 its value

00:16:29.100 is going to be

00:16:29.700 very limited.

00:16:31.460 Now,

00:16:32.120 it's way too early.

00:16:33.960 So,

00:16:34.620 if you want

00:16:35.640 to be an NPC,

00:16:37.280 what you would say

00:16:38.120 is,

00:16:38.860 Scott,

00:16:39.720 I'm an NPC

00:16:40.940 and I want

00:16:42.060 to tell you

00:16:42.780 that you are

00:16:43.840 analyzing

00:16:44.720 a new technology

00:16:45.920 when it's so new

00:16:47.320 that we don't know

00:16:48.780 how good it will be.

00:16:50.440 And someday

00:16:51.340 it will be

00:16:52.160 super intelligent

00:16:53.500 and be able

00:16:54.340 to do everything

00:16:55.040 you want

00:16:55.800 because I'm an NPC

00:16:57.220 and I didn't think

00:16:58.340 you would know that.

00:16:59.740 No,

00:17:00.040 everybody knows that,

00:17:01.580 NPC.

00:17:02.760 Everybody knows

00:17:04.020 that AI

00:17:05.620 could get a lot better.

00:17:10.020 However,

00:17:11.600 there's a lot

00:17:12.980 of skepticism

00:17:13.720 that's starting

00:17:15.160 to get in there.

00:17:16.920 And

00:17:17.280 I saw another post

00:17:19.720 by Suzanne

00:17:21.060 Byrne

00:17:21.800 of the BBC

00:17:22.880 who's talking

00:17:24.900 about a woman

00:17:25.840 who says

00:17:27.000 that she gets

00:17:27.740 paid to fix

00:17:28.620 issues caused

00:17:29.760 by AI.

00:17:31.140 So,

00:17:31.740 she's an official

00:17:32.920 marketer,

00:17:34.500 writer kind of person

00:17:35.540 and she's been

00:17:37.000 contacted

00:17:37.620 by agencies,

00:17:38.960 etc.,

00:17:39.500 to look at things

00:17:41.300 that were created

00:17:42.200 with AI

00:17:42.960 such as marketing

00:17:44.620 content

00:17:45.300 and website

00:17:45.900 content

00:17:46.540 and they're

00:17:48.180 just horrified

00:17:48.980 by what AI

00:17:49.820 did

00:17:50.200 because it's

00:17:51.640 so boring

00:17:52.380 and antiseptic

00:17:54.520 that it just

00:17:55.340 doesn't work.

00:17:56.940 So,

00:17:57.820 she and other 0.98

00:17:58.880 people she knows

00:17:59.920 are being hired

00:18:00.900 as human beings

00:18:02.300 to go rewrite

00:18:03.880 what people

00:18:04.960 thought they could

00:18:05.700 get away with

00:18:06.400 using AI for.

00:18:07.480 So,

00:18:09.260 if you ever

00:18:10.040 thought that AI

00:18:10.780 would replace

00:18:11.620 human experts

00:18:13.540 at writing,

00:18:15.220 maybe

00:18:15.640 because

00:18:16.820 the NPCs

00:18:18.160 will tell you

00:18:18.940 that it's only

00:18:20.220 in the beginning

00:18:20.980 of the AI

00:18:22.140 technology curve

00:18:23.580 and it might

00:18:24.540 get a lot better

00:18:25.300 later

00:18:25.720 than it might.

00:18:27.600 But at the moment,

00:18:29.820 humans are

00:18:30.480 correcting AI,

00:18:31.760 not the other

00:18:32.420 way around,

00:18:33.040 in some domains.

00:18:34.820 Now,

00:18:35.060 AI is very

00:18:35.860 useful,

00:18:36.520 it seems,

00:18:37.100 in coding

00:18:37.860 and,

00:18:39.880 you know,

00:18:40.560 chatting.

00:18:41.500 So,

00:18:42.080 it's really good

00:18:42.560 at those things.

00:18:43.640 But beyond

00:18:44.420 that,

00:18:45.240 well,

00:18:46.400 we'll see.

00:18:49.260 And then,

00:18:50.640 I saw a post

00:18:51.300 by Chamath

00:18:52.800 Pallihapatea.

00:18:54.400 You might know

00:18:55.300 him from

00:18:55.780 the All-In

00:18:56.400 pod

00:18:56.800 or from

00:18:58.200 his work

00:19:00.200 early on

00:19:01.040 with Facebook

00:19:01.720 where he made

00:19:02.440 a ton of money.

00:19:03.460 now he's

00:19:04.300 an investor

00:19:05.420 and podcaster.

00:19:07.700 But he said,

00:19:08.980 every large company

00:19:09.960 has paid for

00:19:10.800 something called

00:19:11.560 AI

00:19:12.080 so they can

00:19:13.320 report up

00:19:13.940 to the CEO

00:19:14.700 and board of directors

00:19:15.760 that they are,

00:19:16.780 quote,

00:19:16.880 on top of it.

00:19:19.300 But little

00:19:20.220 is working

00:19:21.580 in production

00:19:22.280 or at high quality.

00:19:24.500 Chat

00:19:24.800 and code generation,

00:19:26.300 as I just said,

00:19:27.560 are the two

00:19:28.120 exceptions.

00:19:30.620 And then,

00:19:31.500 Chamath says,

00:19:32.180 the reality

00:19:32.740 is that

00:19:33.780 it is still

00:19:34.280 quite difficult

00:19:35.080 for companies

00:19:35.880 to get high quality

00:19:37.000 predictable code

00:19:38.340 into production

00:19:39.100 that is AI-centric

00:19:41.080 and replaces

00:19:42.660 legacy features.

00:19:44.400 New capabilities

00:19:45.160 are equally difficult

00:19:46.240 to build

00:19:46.800 and launch.

00:19:47.640 so he's seen

00:19:50.420 the same thing

00:19:51.060 that we're seeing

00:19:51.700 but he's a lot

00:19:52.760 smarter

00:19:53.180 and more connected

00:19:54.040 to that world.

00:19:55.820 But again,

00:19:57.680 let me bring

00:19:58.520 in the NPC.

00:19:59.620 Well,

00:19:59.840 Scott,

00:20:00.680 it's so early

00:20:01.540 in the AI technology

00:20:03.200 development cycle.

00:20:05.040 It's too early

00:20:05.820 to say it doesn't work.

00:20:07.660 Well,

00:20:07.940 yes,

00:20:08.440 you're right.

00:20:08.980 So one of the things

00:20:10.540 that Chamath

00:20:11.800 is recommending

00:20:12.760 is it looks like

00:20:14.200 a company

00:20:14.700 he's an investor

00:20:15.860 owner in,

00:20:17.180 Software Factory.

00:20:19.500 So I don't know

00:20:20.660 the details

00:20:21.260 but it's

00:20:23.620 basically a fix

00:20:26.440 for what ails you

00:20:28.680 on AI.

00:20:29.980 So I'm not

00:20:30.860 recommending it

00:20:31.740 or not recommending it

00:20:32.840 because I don't know

00:20:33.420 enough about it.

00:20:34.140 but one of the things

00:20:36.540 that I warned you about

00:20:37.720 is that we may never

00:20:39.760 get to the point

00:20:40.500 where somebody like me

00:20:41.980 can just take an AI

00:20:43.800 and go do something awesome.

00:20:47.360 It may always require

00:20:49.200 that you're using

00:20:49.960 other software

00:20:50.920 on top of it

00:20:51.820 and you would have

00:20:52.880 to be an expert

00:20:53.640 in the other software

00:20:54.700 or, you know,

00:20:56.220 have a subscription to it

00:20:57.980 and as soon as you get

00:20:59.620 that second piece

00:21:00.620 of software involved,

00:21:02.580 I'm out.

00:21:04.140 I wouldn't be out

00:21:05.860 if I were working

00:21:07.320 for a big corporation

00:21:08.460 because it would just

00:21:09.600 be my job.

00:21:11.120 All right,

00:21:11.620 take these pieces

00:21:12.420 of software,

00:21:13.320 add them to the AI,

00:21:14.880 make it all work.

00:21:17.220 But if you just wanted

00:21:19.080 to do something awesome

00:21:20.560 with AI on the side

00:21:22.260 or like a little project,

00:21:24.920 no.

00:21:26.040 You know,

00:21:26.440 adding a second piece

00:21:27.600 of software

00:21:28.300 just feels like

00:21:30.300 it's a little bit more

00:21:31.440 than the average person

00:21:33.200 is going to take on.

00:21:34.140 It's more of an engineer

00:21:35.120 kind of a thing.

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00:22:37.200 Well, but also

00:22:40.300 Chumas' original filter on this

00:22:43.980 is very similar

00:22:45.240 to the Dilber filter.

00:22:47.480 So you hear me talk

00:22:48.740 about this all the time.

00:22:49.760 I look at news stories

00:22:52.620 and what's happening

00:22:53.560 in the real world

00:22:54.320 and I say,

00:22:55.620 all right,

00:22:56.720 what would that look like

00:22:57.980 if Dilbert was describing it?

00:23:01.300 Or what would it look like

00:23:02.520 if it became a Dilbert comic?

00:23:04.840 That's what I call

00:23:05.580 the Dilbert filter.

00:23:07.580 And the Dilbert filter says this,

00:23:10.600 and I'm going to make this

00:23:11.540 a prediction,

00:23:13.000 that there will be

00:23:14.320 more companies doing layoffs

00:23:16.060 and some of those companies

00:23:18.560 are going to blame

00:23:20.040 the layoffs on AI

00:23:21.480 so that they sound awesome.

00:23:25.500 And it may not be AI at all.

00:23:28.020 They may not have

00:23:29.100 implemented anything

00:23:30.800 that required them

00:23:32.180 to downsize at all.

00:23:33.980 But if you're going to downsize,

00:23:36.320 it sends a bad message

00:23:37.680 to the market

00:23:38.400 and your stock will fall.

00:23:40.520 It's like,

00:23:40.880 I guess did they stop growing?

00:23:44.300 Are they running out of cash?

00:23:45.820 They had to downsize?

00:23:47.840 But if you were going to downsize anyway

00:23:50.900 for reasons that have nothing

00:23:52.740 to do with AI,

00:23:54.640 wouldn't it be clever

00:23:56.100 to sort of suggest,

00:23:59.220 oh, we're working on

00:24:00.300 some AI projects

00:24:01.500 that will replace a lot of people

00:24:04.400 and also we're announcing today

00:24:06.760 the layoff of 1,000 employees?

00:24:09.780 And then you look at them,

00:24:11.160 you go,

00:24:11.560 whoa, whoa,

00:24:13.240 look at that company.

00:24:14.840 We didn't think AI was that good,

00:24:17.020 but they're already using it

00:24:18.620 to replace 1,000 employees.

00:24:21.500 Wow, I'm going to buy that stock.

00:24:23.380 They seem way out of the curve.

00:24:25.520 So there's my prediction.

00:24:27.460 It won't be every company,

00:24:29.440 but there will be companies

00:24:31.240 that try to teach you,

00:24:33.080 well, try to fool you

00:24:34.660 into thinking

00:24:35.820 that their layoffs

00:24:36.740 are because they're so good

00:24:38.240 at replacing people with AI.

00:24:41.080 But it might not be perfectly true.

00:24:46.860 All right.

00:24:48.540 According to Nikkei Asia,

00:24:53.300 researchers,

00:24:54.800 scientists and researchers

00:24:56.340 who do technical papers

00:24:58.740 and get them published

00:24:59.780 have been hiding AI prompts

00:25:03.280 in their technical papers.

00:25:05.220 So apparently they're,

00:25:08.900 one of the ways they do that

00:25:10.260 is they use a white-on-white text font.

00:25:14.480 So they use a white font

00:25:15.940 and a white piece of paper

00:25:17.040 so that you can't,

00:25:18.480 if you're human,

00:25:19.260 you can't read it.

00:25:20.420 But if you're an AI

00:25:21.400 and you're looking through

00:25:23.400 all the new papers,

00:25:24.840 you would see it.

00:25:26.160 And the prompts say stuff like,

00:25:28.680 never give me a bad review

00:25:31.100 for this paper.

00:25:31.860 Now, I'm a little bit skeptical

00:25:36.280 if you can hide an AI prompt

00:25:39.140 inside your technical document

00:25:41.400 and AI will recognize it

00:25:43.720 and act on it.

00:25:45.800 That's a little bit of a stretch.

00:25:49.680 It sounds like something

00:25:50.860 that somebody said as a joke

00:25:52.360 or maybe tried once.

00:25:55.040 But does it work?

00:25:57.080 If it works,

00:25:59.700 that's going to be

00:26:00.480 quite a game changer, isn't it?

00:26:02.500 Because if it works

00:26:03.600 to embed hidden prompts

00:26:06.620 within something

00:26:07.860 that a human can't tell is hidden,

00:26:10.900 everybody's going to do it

00:26:12.020 for everything.

00:26:13.360 Every website will have hidden prompts,

00:26:16.900 you know,

00:26:17.220 customer reviews especially.

00:26:19.900 So I don't think that really works.

00:26:23.360 But if it does,

00:26:25.280 uh-oh.

00:26:25.620 Well, as you know,

00:26:30.200 Elon Musk is launching

00:26:31.700 the America Party,

00:26:33.480 a third party.

00:26:35.520 And Mark Cuban said

00:26:37.300 he would be interested

00:26:38.200 in maybe being part of it.

00:26:40.640 So that's a fascinating development

00:26:46.480 because the America Party

00:26:49.200 is not going to be,

00:26:51.400 in my opinion,

00:26:52.520 bound to either

00:26:54.760 the left or the right,

00:26:56.520 but rather would just

00:26:57.400 do things that made sense.

00:26:59.740 You know,

00:27:00.020 we're just good for the country.

00:27:02.220 And I think Mark Cuban

00:27:04.020 is solidly on the

00:27:05.480 why don't we do things

00:27:06.700 that are good for the country

00:27:07.760 side.

00:27:09.840 You know,

00:27:10.020 he has a,

00:27:11.320 he seems to be

00:27:12.360 a leading Democrat.

00:27:13.860 But if you look

00:27:14.660 at his actual ideas,

00:27:17.220 they're not,

00:27:18.020 you know,

00:27:18.220 a bunch of Democrat

00:27:19.140 orthodoxy that,

00:27:20.980 you know,

00:27:21.380 talking points kind of thing.

00:27:23.080 He's not a talking points guy.

00:27:25.520 So,

00:27:26.340 would that be

00:27:27.100 a strong combination?

00:27:29.940 It would be.

00:27:31.420 Interesting.

00:27:32.800 Now,

00:27:33.260 if you're wondering

00:27:33.960 what is my opinion

00:27:35.020 on this America Party,

00:27:38.700 um,

00:27:39.740 a little undecided

00:27:41.440 because I think

00:27:42.260 we need to know

00:27:42.960 a little bit more.

00:27:44.440 Now,

00:27:44.760 there's one narrative

00:27:46.100 that says

00:27:46.720 this is terrible

00:27:48.160 for Republicans.

00:27:49.980 All it will do

00:27:50.900 is,

00:27:51.900 uh,

00:27:52.200 siphon off votes

00:27:53.160 from Republicans.

00:27:55.300 But,

00:27:56.000 I think you're being

00:27:57.620 an analogy thinker

00:27:58.980 if you think that.

00:28:00.640 How many of you

00:28:01.680 said to yourself,

00:28:02.600 oh no,

00:28:04.060 uh,

00:28:04.440 Ross Perot

00:28:05.300 sunk the Republicans

00:28:07.400 by taking away

00:28:08.480 some of their votes

00:28:09.280 when he ran

00:28:09.820 as a third party.

00:28:11.180 So,

00:28:11.800 if Elon Musk

00:28:12.620 launches a third party,

00:28:14.460 it's going to be

00:28:15.020 the same problem.

00:28:16.800 You know,

00:28:17.120 just like,

00:28:17.920 just like Ross Perot.

00:28:19.840 It's just going to

00:28:20.520 make the Republicans

00:28:21.800 weaker

00:28:22.360 and then the Democrats

00:28:24.520 will take everything.

00:28:27.240 But,

00:28:27.980 there's one problem

00:28:29.700 with that analogy.

00:28:31.100 And by the way,

00:28:31.640 I mock people

00:28:32.560 who use analogies

00:28:33.800 to predict

00:28:34.600 what's going to happen

00:28:35.400 because being

00:28:37.220 an analogy thinker

00:28:38.480 is nothing to be proud of.

00:28:40.380 It just means

00:28:41.360 you are reminded

00:28:42.320 of something else.

00:28:44.140 It doesn't mean

00:28:44.860 that the thing

00:28:45.460 you're talking about

00:28:46.260 is going to follow

00:28:47.000 the same path.

00:28:48.720 You're just reminded

00:28:49.680 of it.

00:28:50.580 That's all.

00:28:51.940 Here's the big difference,

00:28:53.840 I think.

00:28:55.900 But here's the part

00:28:56.740 I'd have to wait

00:28:57.660 and find out

00:28:58.600 how real this is.

00:29:00.380 So far,

00:29:02.080 Musk has only talked 0.73

00:29:03.440 about getting senators

00:29:05.880 and House of Representatives

00:29:08.160 a small group,

00:29:10.000 maybe just a handful

00:29:11.480 and having that enough

00:29:14.960 to be able

00:29:16.000 to influence events.

00:29:18.260 So he's not trying

00:29:18.960 to flip the house

00:29:21.420 or turn it into

00:29:23.260 mostly America Party thing.

00:29:26.080 He's just trying

00:29:26.980 to get

00:29:27.420 a smallish group

00:29:29.440 of like-minded people

00:29:32.020 who are just

00:29:34.040 more America first 0.73

00:29:35.180 than they are

00:29:35.900 wed to any

00:29:36.900 political ideology

00:29:38.600 and see if he can

00:29:41.300 influence things

00:29:42.960 in a positive way.

00:29:44.760 Now, so far,

00:29:46.620 he has not made mention

00:29:47.880 of running

00:29:48.520 a presidential candidate.

00:29:50.660 If he did run

00:29:51.900 a presidential candidate,

00:29:53.480 then yes,

00:29:54.460 that's a Ross Perot problem.

00:29:56.900 So do we agree?

00:29:59.040 If he runs

00:30:00.100 a presidential candidate,

00:30:01.520 which he has not

00:30:02.440 indicated he would,

00:30:04.500 he's not indicated that,

00:30:05.920 but if he did,

00:30:07.840 that would be a problem

00:30:09.540 and I think

00:30:11.860 I would immediately

00:30:12.600 flip to,

00:30:13.680 oh, this is no good.

00:30:15.620 So, which is also

00:30:17.020 probably the reason

00:30:17.840 he's not mentioning it

00:30:18.900 because probably

00:30:20.060 he's fully aware

00:30:20.980 that it's no good.

00:30:23.100 It wouldn't work

00:30:24.140 in his interest.

00:30:25.980 But,

00:30:27.080 does it make sense

00:30:29.080 to have a

00:30:30.000 smallish group

00:30:30.920 of people

00:30:31.460 who are just

00:30:32.620 dedicated to doing

00:30:33.640 what's good

00:30:34.120 for the country

00:30:34.780 and have them

00:30:36.320 part of Congress?

00:30:37.940 It might.

00:30:39.880 And if you've got

00:30:40.800 a, you know,

00:30:41.880 a Mark Cuban

00:30:42.700 and maybe some other

00:30:43.820 smart people

00:30:44.480 will also go independent,

00:30:46.820 you never know.

00:30:47.720 It might be a little bit

00:30:48.580 of a, you know,

00:30:49.940 follow the leader

00:30:50.740 kind of thing

00:30:51.280 happening soon.

00:30:54.060 So, I'm going to

00:30:55.020 stay open-minded.

00:30:57.220 To me,

00:30:57.920 it looks like something

00:30:58.800 that could be helpful

00:30:59.920 to whoever is president

00:31:01.440 because it could

00:31:02.900 maybe allow them

00:31:04.000 to get things

00:31:04.800 that even they think

00:31:05.640 are good ideas,

00:31:06.760 but they know

00:31:07.380 they couldn't sell

00:31:08.180 to their own base.

00:31:10.520 So,

00:31:11.360 a lot of it

00:31:12.780 depends on

00:31:13.340 whether you think

00:31:14.100 that Musk himself

00:31:15.300 wants what's good

00:31:17.060 for the country.

00:31:19.300 But he also has,

00:31:20.640 you know,

00:31:20.980 big corporate interests

00:31:22.340 and some of them,

00:31:24.080 you know,

00:31:24.320 have government subsidies

00:31:25.540 and so you can't

00:31:27.000 completely untangle him

00:31:28.400 from self-interest

00:31:30.020 and fiduciary responsibility

00:31:31.940 to his companies.

00:31:33.720 But it's all public.

00:31:36.340 You know,

00:31:36.660 it's all transparent.

00:31:38.360 So,

00:31:38.820 you would get to see

00:31:39.880 what he promotes

00:31:42.040 and why.

00:31:43.260 Make up your own mind.

00:31:44.660 So,

00:31:44.920 I'm going to be

00:31:45.400 open-minded on this.

00:31:47.420 We will see

00:31:48.300 how it develops.

00:31:50.840 I saw

00:31:51.620 an account

00:31:52.740 called

00:31:53.260 Tesla Owners SV

00:31:54.700 who was

00:31:56.300 speculating

00:31:57.180 on what the

00:31:57.860 America Party

00:31:58.660 would focus on.

00:32:00.280 Now,

00:32:00.500 this is not

00:32:01.080 coming from

00:32:01.660 Elon Musk.

00:32:03.020 It's coming from

00:32:03.880 somebody who's just

00:32:04.780 a watcher

00:32:06.300 of all things

00:32:06.940 Tesla,

00:32:07.480 I think.

00:32:09.020 But when I read

00:32:09.940 the list,

00:32:10.480 I said to myself,

00:32:11.900 yeah,

00:32:12.200 that's probably

00:32:12.860 pretty close.

00:32:14.400 So,

00:32:14.800 if we're going

00:32:15.240 to speculate,

00:32:16.300 and this is just

00:32:16.980 speculation,

00:32:18.420 of what America's

00:32:19.600 first,

00:32:20.720 or what America's

00:32:21.720 party would focus on,

00:32:23.440 it would be

00:32:24.000 reducing debt

00:32:25.140 and responsible

00:32:26.380 spending.

00:32:27.420 Probably.

00:32:28.720 Modernizing

00:32:29.420 the military

00:32:30.020 with AI

00:32:30.660 and robotics.

00:32:32.420 Probably.

00:32:35.100 Pro-technology

00:32:36.600 and make sure

00:32:38.020 that we're

00:32:38.540 in it

00:32:39.680 to win it

00:32:40.160 with AI.

00:32:40.980 That's

00:32:41.360 almost everybody,

00:32:42.540 really.

00:32:43.480 Less regulation

00:32:44.500 across the board,

00:32:45.420 but especially

00:32:45.920 in energy.

00:32:47.220 Probably.

00:32:48.780 Free speech,

00:32:49.880 yes.

00:32:50.540 Pro-natalist,

00:32:51.560 meaning

00:32:51.820 more babies.

00:32:53.000 probably.

00:32:56.000 You know,

00:32:56.200 because those

00:32:56.600 would be things

00:32:57.180 that,

00:32:58.280 in my opinion,

00:32:59.040 are unambiguously

00:33:00.180 good for the country.

00:33:02.060 And if he said

00:33:02.720 to me,

00:33:03.680 but Scott,

00:33:04.760 these are

00:33:05.320 mostly Republican

00:33:06.420 things,

00:33:07.020 I would say,

00:33:08.260 well,

00:33:09.340 maybe it looks

00:33:10.220 that way,

00:33:11.000 but there's

00:33:11.940 nothing really

00:33:12.600 Republican

00:33:13.800 or non-Republican

00:33:14.980 about free speech.

00:33:17.240 You know,

00:33:17.420 most of these

00:33:17.980 are just

00:33:18.360 strong ideas

00:33:19.920 about controlling

00:33:21.440 or spending.

00:33:22.700 Who's against

00:33:23.480 that?

00:33:24.940 And then

00:33:25.500 centrist policies.

00:33:27.600 So that's

00:33:27.940 kind of generic.

00:33:29.120 So remember,

00:33:29.700 this is not

00:33:30.260 Elon Musk.

00:33:31.020 This is just

00:33:31.680 somebody's opinion

00:33:32.760 of what

00:33:33.440 that party

00:33:34.540 would look like.

00:33:36.440 And it looks

00:33:37.480 about right to me.

00:33:38.240 When I found out

00:33:39.760 my friend

00:33:40.240 got a great deal

00:33:41.200 on a wool coat

00:33:41.940 from Winners,

00:33:42.800 I started wondering,

00:33:44.460 is every fabulous

00:33:45.800 item I see

00:33:46.500 from Winners?

00:33:47.580 Like that woman 1.00

00:33:48.360 over there

00:33:48.860 with the designer jeans.

00:33:50.300 Are those

00:33:50.900 from Winners?

00:33:51.820 Ooh,

00:33:52.460 or those beautiful

00:33:53.120 gold earrings?

00:33:54.260 Did she pay 0.97

00:33:54.700 full price?

00:33:55.640 Or that leather tote?

00:33:56.640 Or that cashmere sweater?

00:33:57.860 Or those knee-high boots?

00:33:59.320 That dress?

00:34:00.100 That jacket?

00:34:00.780 Those shoes?

00:34:01.800 Is anyone

00:34:02.580 paying full price

00:34:03.540 for anything?

00:34:04.760 Stop wondering.

00:34:06.020 Start winning.

00:34:06.960 Winners.

00:34:07.340 Find fabulous

00:34:08.200 for less.

00:34:10.460 Tucker Carlson

00:34:11.820 has announced

00:34:12.700 these,

00:34:13.900 I guess he's

00:34:14.720 already interviewed

00:34:15.600 the president

00:34:16.260 of Iran.

00:34:17.420 And he hasn't

00:34:18.400 edited it yet,

00:34:19.340 so it's not available.

00:34:20.460 But he's warning us

00:34:21.640 because he knows

00:34:23.020 it's going to be

00:34:23.760 controversial

00:34:24.480 and people are

00:34:26.100 going to say,

00:34:27.240 oh,

00:34:27.740 are you talking

00:34:28.540 to Iran

00:34:29.220 because you

00:34:29.860 hate Israel 0.54

00:34:30.600 and you're

00:34:31.100 anti-Semite?

00:34:32.620 That's what

00:34:33.220 they will say.

00:34:35.440 Instead of

00:34:36.300 what they should

00:34:36.900 say,

00:34:37.220 which is

00:34:37.860 anybody

00:34:38.880 in Tucker Carlson's

00:34:40.680 position

00:34:41.120 who interviews

00:34:42.680 important people

00:34:43.660 on important subjects

00:34:44.840 would want to

00:34:45.840 talk to the

00:34:46.400 president of Iran.

00:34:48.080 I would

00:34:49.000 if I were him.

00:34:51.240 So I'm

00:34:52.320 100%

00:34:53.500 in favor

00:34:54.340 of Tucker Carlson

00:34:55.640 talking to

00:34:56.440 the president,

00:34:57.700 not the supreme

00:34:58.400 leader,

00:35:00.080 and this is

00:35:00.800 important,

00:35:01.320 not the supreme

00:35:01.980 leader,

00:35:02.540 but the president.

00:35:03.360 And that'll

00:35:06.700 be very

00:35:07.100 interesting.

00:35:07.820 I'll be

00:35:08.120 watching that.

00:35:12.000 All right.

00:35:13.720 Here's some

00:35:14.680 sort of fake news.

00:35:17.140 So Trump,

00:35:18.280 in one of his

00:35:18.980 rallies the other

00:35:20.140 day,

00:35:20.920 he referred to

00:35:21.740 the bankers,

00:35:22.480 some of the

00:35:22.820 bankers,

00:35:23.280 as Shylocks. 1.00

00:35:24.220 and that

00:35:27.980 caused a

00:35:28.660 controversy

00:35:29.380 because people

00:35:30.060 say,

00:35:30.460 hey,

00:35:31.240 that's

00:35:31.580 anti-Semitic.

00:35:33.680 Now,

00:35:34.180 how many of you,

00:35:35.360 this will be a little

00:35:36.200 survey,

00:35:37.120 instant survey

00:35:37.880 for the chatters,

00:35:39.360 how many of you

00:35:40.360 would have been aware

00:35:41.440 before the news

00:35:42.720 told you

00:35:43.260 that the word

00:35:44.400 Shylock 1.00

00:35:45.080 is something

00:35:47.080 used as a

00:35:48.140 negative

00:35:48.680 for

00:35:49.500 Jewish

00:35:50.600 bankers

00:35:51.240 in particular?

00:35:52.560 I guess it

00:35:53.160 comes from

00:35:53.880 The Merchant

00:35:55.660 of Venice,

00:35:56.440 a Shakespeare

00:35:57.220 play,

00:35:58.760 in which

00:35:59.400 it was used

00:36:00.520 to refer to

00:36:01.460 a Jewish

00:36:02.660 character

00:36:03.280 or characters.

00:36:04.940 How many of you

00:36:05.680 knew that?

00:36:08.840 I'm looking

00:36:09.680 at your list,

00:36:10.480 so lots of

00:36:11.320 yeses,

00:36:12.480 but also

00:36:13.020 lots of

00:36:13.500 noes.

00:36:16.660 I would

00:36:17.480 have been

00:36:17.980 vaguely

00:36:19.420 aware

00:36:19.800 that I

00:36:20.240 shouldn't

00:36:21.000 use the

00:36:21.420 word

00:36:21.600 myself.

00:36:23.220 So,

00:36:23.760 I would

00:36:24.000 have been

00:36:24.220 aware

00:36:24.460 of that,

00:36:24.800 but I

00:36:25.020 didn't know

00:36:25.320 where it

00:36:25.600 came from,

00:36:26.840 and I

00:36:27.460 would not

00:36:27.820 necessarily

00:36:28.340 have known

00:36:28.780 the connection

00:36:30.080 to it.

00:36:30.720 I would

00:36:31.120 never use

00:36:31.660 the word

00:36:32.060 because part

00:36:33.240 of my brain

00:36:33.800 had a little

00:36:34.260 flag on it.

00:36:36.260 You know,

00:36:36.460 there was

00:36:36.700 like a little

00:36:37.140 red flag.

00:36:38.640 When I

00:36:39.160 think of

00:36:39.700 the word,

00:36:40.860 I just

00:36:41.240 see the

00:36:41.560 little red

00:36:42.000 flag waving,

00:36:43.000 and I don't

00:36:43.400 know where

00:36:43.640 it came

00:36:43.960 from.

00:36:44.700 So,

00:36:45.020 at some

00:36:45.540 point in

00:36:45.880 my life,

00:36:46.340 I must

00:36:46.700 have known

00:36:47.040 that was

00:36:47.420 a word

00:36:47.740 you don't

00:36:48.160 use.

00:36:50.500 Trump says

00:36:51.400 he was not

00:36:51.980 aware of,

00:36:53.460 you know,

00:36:53.740 it had any

00:36:54.400 anti-Semitic

00:36:55.440 element to

00:36:56.580 it,

00:36:57.060 and I

00:36:57.880 believe him

00:36:58.320 because there's

00:37:00.040 no way he

00:37:00.520 would have

00:37:00.800 used it

00:37:01.520 in a public

00:37:02.920 event if he

00:37:04.200 knew what

00:37:04.820 some people

00:37:06.060 apparently did

00:37:06.820 know,

00:37:07.680 that it's

00:37:08.180 associated with

00:37:09.340 an anti-Semitic

00:37:10.480 kind of a

00:37:12.020 reputation-destroying

00:37:13.360 kind of a

00:37:14.060 kind of a

00:37:15.000 thing.

00:37:16.820 But,

00:37:17.500 did you

00:37:19.060 think that

00:37:19.600 the Democrats

00:37:20.280 would leave

00:37:20.780 that alone

00:37:21.320 after he

00:37:21.800 said,

00:37:22.040 oh,

00:37:22.160 I didn't

00:37:22.420 know that?

00:37:23.400 No,

00:37:24.160 they took

00:37:24.580 out the

00:37:25.020 designated

00:37:25.580 liars.

00:37:26.980 Remember I

00:37:27.460 tell you the

00:37:28.000 designated

00:37:28.720 liars are

00:37:29.840 the Democrats

00:37:30.960 they send

00:37:31.480 out to talk

00:37:32.280 when there's

00:37:33.380 some lie

00:37:33.920 they need

00:37:34.380 to tell,

00:37:35.500 but ordinary

00:37:36.400 Democrats

00:37:37.320 would say,

00:37:38.220 that's too

00:37:38.640 far for me.

00:37:39.300 I can't

00:37:41.920 tell that

00:37:42.280 lie in

00:37:42.680 public.

00:37:43.580 So,

00:37:43.860 they sent

00:37:44.120 out the

00:37:44.460 designated

00:37:45.020 liars.

00:37:46.140 So,

00:37:46.440 that would

00:37:46.680 include,

00:37:47.420 I guess,

00:37:47.880 Eric Swalwell,

00:37:49.220 Dan Goldman,

00:37:50.080 and Jerry

00:37:50.500 Nadler.

00:37:51.820 They all

00:37:52.580 came out

00:37:53.000 immediately

00:37:53.460 to condemn

00:37:54.740 the remarks

00:37:55.760 as blatant

00:37:57.020 and vile

00:37:57.560 anti-Semitism.

00:38:00.120 And then,

00:38:01.140 if you wanted

00:38:01.800 to know how

00:38:02.800 high the

00:38:03.200 credibility

00:38:03.700 is,

00:38:04.820 the

00:38:05.160 disgraced

00:38:06.660 ADL

00:38:07.400 also called

00:38:08.700 it very

00:38:09.100 troubling

00:38:09.520 and

00:38:09.800 irresponsible.

00:38:12.580 Now,

00:38:13.200 if you

00:38:13.560 don't know,

00:38:14.380 the ADL

00:38:15.080 is a

00:38:15.620 disgraced

00:38:16.340 organization

00:38:17.120 that probably

00:38:19.080 had a,

00:38:19.660 you know,

00:38:20.300 a good

00:38:20.660 purpose for

00:38:21.360 existing at

00:38:22.060 one point.

00:38:23.020 I don't

00:38:23.420 know the

00:38:23.740 history of

00:38:24.220 it.

00:38:25.020 But,

00:38:25.460 at the

00:38:25.760 moment,

00:38:26.360 it's more

00:38:26.840 of a,

00:38:28.220 it's more

00:38:28.700 of the

00:38:29.020 Eric Swalwell

00:38:30.120 of organizations,

00:38:31.780 if you know

00:38:32.180 what I mean.

00:38:33.480 It's more

00:38:34.080 the Jerry

00:38:35.320 Nadler

00:38:35.800 of,

00:38:36.240 it's more

00:38:39.280 of a

00:38:39.660 Democrat

00:38:40.280 hit piece

00:38:41.120 organization.

00:38:43.060 They came

00:38:43.440 after me

00:38:43.940 as well.

00:38:45.660 The ADL

00:38:46.540 blamed me

00:38:47.880 of being

00:38:48.560 a Holocaust 0.96

00:38:49.140 denier.

00:38:50.300 That was

00:38:50.860 the head

00:38:51.200 of the

00:38:51.480 ADL,

00:38:52.380 said that

00:38:52.820 in public.

00:38:54.140 In public.

00:38:55.660 Actually said

00:38:56.380 that about

00:38:56.920 me by name.

00:39:00.200 So,

00:39:01.080 that's how

00:39:01.500 much

00:39:01.680 credibility

00:39:02.260 they have.

00:39:03.680 So,

00:39:03.900 no,

00:39:04.360 for the

00:39:04.680 NPCs,

00:39:05.680 no,

00:39:06.160 I'm not

00:39:06.500 a Holocaust 0.96

00:39:06.960 denier.

00:39:09.520 That would

00:39:10.140 be ridiculous.

00:39:13.040 Anyway,

00:39:13.840 apparently,

00:39:15.620 the BRICS

00:39:16.380 people are

00:39:16.940 having a

00:39:17.400 summit,

00:39:18.660 and I

00:39:19.140 went to

00:39:19.480 Super Grok 1.00

00:39:20.220 and said,

00:39:21.320 explain what

00:39:21.980 the BRICS

00:39:22.520 is.

00:39:23.100 I mean,

00:39:23.460 I knew

00:39:23.880 sort of

00:39:24.680 what it

00:39:24.980 is,

00:39:25.300 but I

00:39:25.540 wanted to

00:39:25.800 see if

00:39:26.020 there was

00:39:26.240 something

00:39:26.480 I didn't

00:39:26.980 know about

00:39:27.420 it.

00:39:28.500 And so,

00:39:29.060 BRICS 0.99

00:39:29.320 is a

00:39:29.900 coalition

00:39:30.340 of 10

00:39:30.880 emerging

00:39:31.360 economies,

00:39:32.140 Brazil,

00:39:33.560 Russia,

00:39:33.920 India,

00:39:34.340 China,

00:39:34.760 South

00:39:34.980 Africa,

00:39:36.140 Egypt,

00:39:36.600 Ethiopia,

00:39:37.300 Iran,

00:39:38.100 Indonesia,

00:39:38.860 and UAE.

00:39:40.400 And they're

00:39:40.760 focused on

00:39:41.640 economic

00:39:42.940 cooperation

00:39:43.960 as sort

00:39:44.680 of a

00:39:45.100 response

00:39:46.560 to the

00:39:47.140 fact that

00:39:47.600 the US

00:39:48.160 and Europe

00:39:48.680 have too

00:39:49.780 much economic

00:39:50.560 clout.

00:39:51.080 So,

00:39:51.800 they're trying

00:39:52.140 to form

00:39:53.020 their own

00:39:53.580 power block

00:39:55.520 for their

00:39:57.160 self-interest,

00:39:58.320 which makes

00:39:58.840 sense,

00:39:59.160 and maybe

00:40:00.260 to try

00:40:02.320 to get

00:40:02.740 away from

00:40:03.300 the dollar

00:40:03.880 being the

00:40:04.820 most important

00:40:06.480 currency,

00:40:07.700 because that's

00:40:09.060 good for the

00:40:09.740 United States,

00:40:10.460 but maybe not

00:40:11.220 as good for

00:40:11.820 them.

00:40:12.980 So,

00:40:13.560 at the

00:40:13.940 moment,

00:40:14.680 I think

00:40:15.120 Trump has

00:40:15.940 threatened

00:40:16.480 them to

00:40:17.800 drop their

00:40:18.380 idea of

00:40:18.900 having their

00:40:19.320 own currency

00:40:19.960 and to

00:40:21.700 continue using

00:40:22.620 the dollar.

00:40:23.500 So,

00:40:24.100 threats

00:40:24.480 work.

00:40:25.480 I think

00:40:26.080 the threats

00:40:26.600 were tariff

00:40:27.280 threats,

00:40:27.980 but they

00:40:28.460 work.

00:40:29.160 But,

00:40:30.200 I guess

00:40:30.760 Putin is

00:40:31.360 not attending,

00:40:32.980 and President

00:40:33.700 Xi is not

00:40:34.560 attending,

00:40:35.960 and Iran,

00:40:36.980 of course,

00:40:37.480 can't send

00:40:37.960 the top

00:40:38.360 guy,

00:40:38.900 so they

00:40:39.200 send

00:40:39.580 medium-level

00:40:40.600 guy.

00:40:41.740 So,

00:40:42.160 the one

00:40:44.500 source I

00:40:45.120 saw,

00:40:45.820 I saw

00:40:46.380 this in a

00:40:46.880 Mario

00:40:47.240 Knopfel

00:40:47.840 post,

00:40:49.080 that Gazeta

00:40:49.760 de Povo

00:40:50.620 basically is

00:40:52.800 saying it's

00:40:54.060 a failed

00:40:54.640 organization,

00:40:56.100 because if

00:40:57.360 you can't

00:40:57.800 get the

00:40:58.160 superstars to

00:40:59.060 go to

00:40:59.380 it,

00:40:59.640 you also

00:41:00.060 can't

00:41:00.420 make any

00:41:00.860 decisions.

00:41:02.000 So,

00:41:02.260 all they're

00:41:02.560 going to

00:41:02.740 do is

00:41:03.080 have

00:41:03.260 breakouts

00:41:03.800 and talk

00:41:04.240 about the

00:41:04.800 weather and

00:41:05.660 climate change

00:41:06.420 and go

00:41:06.740 home.

00:41:07.700 There won't

00:41:08.160 be anything

00:41:08.640 that comes

00:41:09.080 out of it.

00:41:10.780 So,

00:41:11.520 don't worry

00:41:12.560 about the

00:41:12.980 BRICS,

00:41:13.880 at least

00:41:14.300 while Trump's

00:41:15.000 president.

00:41:15.380 here's a

00:41:20.780 new suggestion

00:41:22.800 for handling

00:41:24.560 the

00:41:24.900 Palestinian

00:41:25.620 situation

00:41:26.360 that comes

00:41:26.840 from a

00:41:28.120 group of

00:41:28.780 sheikhs, 0.91

00:41:30.980 as in

00:41:31.940 S-H-E-I-K-H, 1.00

00:41:35.060 sheikhs. 0.99

00:41:36.440 And they

00:41:37.260 had an

00:41:37.500 idea,

00:41:38.240 Joel Pollack is

00:41:39.040 writing about

00:41:39.520 this in

00:41:39.840 Breitbart,

00:41:40.260 Wall Street

00:41:41.120 Journal has

00:41:41.600 an article

00:41:41.960 on it

00:41:42.360 too,

00:41:43.440 that they

00:41:44.840 want to

00:41:45.740 create an

00:41:46.360 emirate in

00:41:47.940 the holy

00:41:48.400 city of

00:41:49.020 Hebron.

00:41:50.320 Now,

00:41:50.960 Hebron is

00:41:51.720 part of

00:41:52.480 the West

00:41:53.220 Bank in

00:41:54.220 the South,

00:41:55.380 so it

00:41:55.820 would be

00:41:56.180 the area

00:41:57.060 that,

00:41:57.640 you know,

00:41:58.300 Palestinians

00:41:58.800 would think

00:41:59.560 would create

00:42:00.600 a state.

00:42:01.860 But,

00:42:02.540 if it's

00:42:03.220 too hard

00:42:03.920 to have

00:42:05.200 a two-state

00:42:06.080 solution,

00:42:07.680 this might

00:42:08.320 be an

00:42:09.480 interesting

00:42:09.920 workaround.

00:42:11.680 And I

00:42:12.400 went to

00:42:12.900 Super Grok 1.00

00:42:13.640 and said,

00:42:14.400 what's an

00:42:15.340 emirate?

00:42:16.720 How many

00:42:17.520 of you know

00:42:17.980 what an

00:42:18.360 emirate is?

00:42:21.600 Most of

00:42:22.340 you?

00:42:22.820 All right.

00:42:23.660 Well,

00:42:24.120 an emirate

00:42:25.000 is something

00:42:25.840 that's ruled

00:42:26.400 by an

00:42:27.180 emir,

00:42:28.600 and an

00:42:29.060 emir might

00:42:29.880 be sort

00:42:30.740 of a

00:42:30.980 dictator,

00:42:31.860 but not

00:42:32.580 necessarily.

00:42:34.380 It would

00:42:35.120 be,

00:42:35.880 you know,

00:42:36.200 some Islamic

00:42:37.160 person who

00:42:37.840 is in

00:42:38.140 charge.

00:42:38.540 and they

00:42:40.140 would run

00:42:40.620 it as

00:42:41.400 a sort

00:42:42.000 of an

00:42:42.300 independent

00:42:42.860 entity,

00:42:44.020 but not

00:42:44.920 a country.

00:42:46.080 So,

00:42:46.700 it wouldn't

00:42:46.940 necessarily be

00:42:47.660 a country.

00:42:48.940 It would

00:42:49.560 be an

00:42:49.860 independent

00:42:50.400 managed

00:42:51.460 entity.

00:42:53.880 Now,

00:42:55.120 did you

00:42:56.000 know that

00:42:57.300 the UAE

00:42:58.560 is a

00:43:00.460 bunch of

00:43:00.900 emirates?

00:43:01.920 So,

00:43:02.340 you could

00:43:02.600 think of

00:43:02.960 them sort

00:43:03.800 of like

00:43:04.160 states,

00:43:04.860 depending

00:43:06.900 on how

00:43:07.280 it's

00:43:07.460 organized.

00:43:08.300 So,

00:43:08.580 there's a

00:43:09.140 lot of

00:43:09.640 flexibility

00:43:10.960 on how

00:43:11.740 the

00:43:12.160 emirate

00:43:12.620 could be

00:43:13.000 ruled

00:43:13.440 and what

00:43:13.840 it is.

00:43:14.900 So,

00:43:15.420 there are

00:43:16.200 already

00:43:17.100 existing

00:43:17.960 and very

00:43:18.540 successful

00:43:19.220 emirates

00:43:20.000 in the

00:43:21.120 Middle East.

00:43:22.100 So,

00:43:22.460 it has a

00:43:23.200 precedent.

00:43:24.400 We know

00:43:24.780 how they

00:43:25.120 work.

00:43:26.280 But what

00:43:26.860 it would

00:43:27.080 do is

00:43:27.720 it would

00:43:27.980 take

00:43:28.360 power and

00:43:29.580 attention

00:43:30.000 away from

00:43:30.500 the

00:43:30.760 Palestinian

00:43:31.360 authority.

00:43:32.040 and it

00:43:34.120 might be

00:43:34.760 something that

00:43:36.000 the

00:43:36.160 Palestinians

00:43:36.640 themselves,

00:43:37.760 you'd have

00:43:38.180 to probably

00:43:38.840 do more

00:43:39.280 than one

00:43:39.660 emirate,

00:43:40.540 but it's

00:43:40.940 something that

00:43:41.440 the Palestinians

00:43:42.040 themselves

00:43:42.940 might be

00:43:44.660 willing to

00:43:45.180 say,

00:43:45.960 oh,

00:43:46.880 well,

00:43:47.180 it's not

00:43:47.580 a state,

00:43:48.680 but we're

00:43:49.360 not going

00:43:49.760 to get a

00:43:50.160 two-state

00:43:50.580 solution

00:43:51.060 anyway,

00:43:52.000 you know,

00:43:52.340 because Israel

00:43:52.880 is not in

00:43:53.320 favor of

00:43:53.660 that at

00:43:53.960 the moment.

00:43:55.180 So,

00:43:56.380 what is

00:43:56.860 the second

00:43:57.500 best thing

00:43:58.100 we can

00:43:58.460 do?

00:43:59.860 Emirates.

00:44:00.380 So,

00:44:02.100 I do

00:44:02.540 not have

00:44:02.920 an opinion

00:44:03.320 whether it's

00:44:03.880 a good

00:44:04.420 idea or

00:44:05.020 a bad

00:44:05.340 idea or

00:44:06.100 who it

00:44:06.560 would be

00:44:06.760 good or

00:44:07.160 bad for,

00:44:08.360 but I've

00:44:09.340 never heard

00:44:09.740 it before,

00:44:11.320 and so

00:44:12.000 maybe,

00:44:14.160 maybe there's

00:44:15.580 something to

00:44:16.080 work with

00:44:16.540 here,

00:44:16.800 I don't

00:44:17.000 know.

00:44:20.840 So,

00:44:21.480 the UAE

00:44:22.080 has seven

00:44:23.100 emirates in

00:44:23.780 it,

00:44:24.500 and they

00:44:25.160 seem to

00:44:25.520 be doing

00:44:25.860 fine.

00:44:28.320 Meanwhile,

00:44:29.080 over at

00:44:29.600 CBS News,

00:44:31.040 so you

00:44:31.540 knew that

00:44:32.100 Trump sued

00:44:33.600 CBS because

00:44:34.880 of the way

00:44:35.260 they edited

00:44:35.860 the Kamala

00:44:36.740 Harris interview,

00:44:38.040 and it

00:44:38.760 looks like

00:44:39.360 he got

00:44:40.720 paid,

00:44:41.160 maybe,

00:44:42.080 it's

00:44:42.500 unconfirmed,

00:44:43.480 but $16

00:44:44.760 million for

00:44:46.160 winning that

00:44:46.740 lawsuit,

00:44:47.400 or it

00:44:47.660 was settled.

00:44:48.340 He didn't

00:44:48.700 win it,

00:44:49.120 it was

00:44:49.340 settled.

00:44:50.780 And I

00:44:52.280 learned some

00:44:52.740 new things

00:44:53.200 about that.

00:44:54.420 New York

00:44:55.100 Post article

00:44:55.820 by Charles

00:44:56.600 Gasparino.

00:44:57.500 Did you

00:44:58.820 know that

00:44:59.800 the company

00:45:00.780 that wants

00:45:01.320 to buy

00:45:01.960 the CBS

00:45:03.640 parent company

00:45:04.780 called

00:45:05.340 Paramount,

00:45:06.800 did you

00:45:07.300 know that

00:45:07.760 that was

00:45:09.000 what is the

00:45:11.820 name of

00:45:12.140 it?

00:45:13.480 It doesn't

00:45:14.080 matter.

00:45:14.740 But it's a

00:45:15.400 studio that

00:45:16.700 was run and

00:45:17.920 owned by

00:45:18.440 Larry Ellison's

00:45:19.660 son.

00:45:20.920 So Larry

00:45:21.880 Ellison's

00:45:22.960 son is

00:45:23.780 the one

00:45:23.940 who is

00:45:24.260 looking to

00:45:24.820 buy

00:45:25.180 Paramount

00:45:26.620 and CBS.

00:45:29.460 Apparently,

00:45:31.060 when Sherry

00:45:32.260 Redstone

00:45:32.860 got control

00:45:35.620 of her

00:45:37.440 company,

00:45:37.960 it was

00:45:38.180 worth $40

00:45:38.860 billion,

00:45:39.740 and now

00:45:40.160 the whole

00:45:40.480 thing is

00:45:40.820 only worth

00:45:41.260 $2

00:45:41.540 billion.

00:45:43.820 Imagine

00:45:44.460 taking your

00:45:45.340 husband's

00:45:46.420 fortune from

00:45:47.180 $40 billion

00:45:47.900 down to

00:45:48.360 $2 billion.

00:45:49.720 Ouch.

00:45:50.980 That's what

00:45:51.400 she did.

00:45:52.180 So she's

00:45:52.640 looking to

00:45:53.160 sell out

00:45:54.140 and rest

00:45:55.720 under $2

00:45:57.100 billion.

00:45:58.500 But CBS

00:45:59.540 News is

00:46:00.180 almost certainly

00:46:00.900 not profitable.

00:46:02.240 We don't

00:46:02.540 know for

00:46:02.920 sure because

00:46:03.680 those numbers

00:46:04.180 are not

00:46:04.500 broken down.

00:46:05.820 But if

00:46:06.520 Larry Ellison,

00:46:07.880 Larry Ellison's

00:46:09.080 son, is

00:46:09.720 apparently a

00:46:10.460 pro-Trumper,

00:46:11.580 just like

00:46:12.120 Larry Ellison

00:46:12.760 is, and

00:46:14.360 that would

00:46:15.320 put CBS

00:46:16.000 in the firm

00:46:17.140 control of

00:46:17.920 somebody who

00:46:18.540 likes Trump.

00:46:20.420 Didn't see

00:46:21.180 that coming.

00:46:22.280 For some

00:46:22.760 reason, I

00:46:23.200 was not

00:46:23.600 aware of

00:46:24.020 that, that

00:46:25.100 that would

00:46:25.400 be coming.

00:46:27.580 Anyway, Larry

00:46:28.300 Ellison's

00:46:29.000 company produced

00:46:31.320 Top Gun,

00:46:32.240 Maverick, and

00:46:32.960 Mission

00:46:33.220 Impossible, the

00:46:34.040 new one.

00:46:35.220 So they

00:46:36.080 really got it

00:46:36.960 going on

00:46:37.420 there.

00:46:38.620 So we'll

00:46:39.460 see what

00:46:39.880 happens with

00:46:40.660 CBS News.

00:46:41.880 I'm Chris

00:46:43.200 Hadfield.

00:46:44.040 I'm an

00:46:44.400 astronaut, an

00:46:45.300 author, a

00:46:46.300 citizen of

00:46:47.140 planet Earth.

00:46:47.980 Join me for a

00:46:48.860 six-part journey

00:46:49.880 into the

00:46:50.580 systems that

00:46:51.520 power the

00:46:52.340 world.

00:46:52.940 Real

00:46:53.180 conversations

00:46:53.880 with real

00:46:54.720 people who

00:46:55.540 are shaping

00:46:56.120 the future

00:46:57.000 of energy.

00:46:58.100 No

00:46:58.260 politics, no

00:46:59.500 empty talk,

00:47:00.520 just solutions

00:47:01.700 focused

00:47:02.340 conversations on

00:47:03.680 the challenges

00:47:04.280 we must

00:47:04.960 overcome and

00:47:05.920 the possibilities

00:47:06.720 that lie

00:47:07.380 ahead.

00:47:08.020 This is

00:47:08.980 On Energy.

00:47:09.940 Trump's

00:47:14.060 sending out

00:47:14.540 his tariff

00:47:15.160 letters telling

00:47:16.240 people that

00:47:16.860 some of their

00:47:17.360 tariffs will be

00:47:18.100 as high as

00:47:18.640 70%, which

00:47:21.620 I interpret

00:47:22.580 as really

00:47:23.340 just rattling

00:47:24.740 their cages 0.93

00:47:25.500 so they'll try

00:47:26.740 harder to make

00:47:27.420 a trade deal

00:47:28.760 that's better

00:47:29.200 for them.

00:47:30.640 And not

00:47:32.440 bad for us.

00:47:34.340 So I

00:47:36.000 think that's

00:47:36.560 just a

00:47:37.600 smart Trump

00:47:38.680 approach to

00:47:39.900 say if you

00:47:40.600 were not

00:47:40.980 serious enough

00:47:41.800 to get this

00:47:42.420 deal done

00:47:43.020 in the

00:47:44.140 period that

00:47:44.720 we said we

00:47:45.320 needed a

00:47:45.840 trade deal

00:47:46.300 done, then

00:47:47.620 we don't

00:47:48.060 need to.

00:47:49.100 We'll just

00:47:49.560 send you the

00:47:50.060 bill.

00:47:50.920 And you

00:47:51.260 can live

00:47:51.700 with these

00:47:52.240 crushing

00:47:53.200 tariffs if

00:47:53.980 you like.

00:47:55.400 If you

00:47:55.780 like.

00:47:57.560 Anyway.

00:48:01.640 Have you

00:48:02.320 noticed that

00:48:03.380 the big

00:48:04.020 beautiful bill

00:48:04.820 is full of

00:48:06.840 stuff that

00:48:08.240 is so hard

00:48:08.920 to understand

00:48:09.620 you can't

00:48:10.200 even tell

00:48:10.580 if it's

00:48:10.880 good for

00:48:11.360 you or

00:48:11.660 bad.

00:48:12.980 I don't

00:48:13.600 know how

00:48:13.920 many of

00:48:14.700 the elements

00:48:15.240 fit into

00:48:15.820 that category

00:48:16.420 but one

00:48:17.240 of them is

00:48:17.860 the SALT

00:48:18.600 deductions.

00:48:20.540 How many

00:48:21.340 of you,

00:48:22.440 if I went

00:48:23.180 in the

00:48:23.440 street and

00:48:24.340 stopped

00:48:24.640 people randomly,

00:48:25.620 adults,

00:48:26.740 and said,

00:48:27.580 do you know

00:48:27.940 what the

00:48:28.340 SALT

00:48:29.060 deduction is?

00:48:31.200 How many

00:48:31.660 people would

00:48:32.120 even know

00:48:32.520 what that

00:48:32.860 is?

00:48:33.200 SALT

00:48:34.940 stands for

00:48:35.560 state and

00:48:36.140 local taxes

00:48:36.960 which used

00:48:38.600 to be

00:48:39.120 deductible.

00:48:40.920 So you

00:48:41.220 could deduct

00:48:41.780 it from

00:48:42.120 your income

00:48:42.640 before you

00:48:43.140 did the

00:48:43.480 federal taxes

00:48:44.660 that you

00:48:45.020 owed.

00:48:46.040 And that

00:48:46.360 changed.

00:48:48.200 That went

00:48:48.980 away because

00:48:50.400 Trump didn't

00:48:52.780 want blue 0.77

00:48:53.360 states to have

00:48:53.980 this extra

00:48:54.540 advantage.

00:48:55.240 And it

00:48:55.380 was asking

00:48:57.260 red states

00:48:58.000 to sort of

00:48:58.560 subsidize blue

00:48:59.460 states because

00:49:00.200 only the

00:49:00.940 blue states

00:49:01.800 had these

00:49:02.320 high taxes.

00:49:07.760 Anyway,

00:49:09.180 the SALT

00:49:09.780 deductions

00:49:10.480 were put

00:49:11.100 back in,

00:49:12.220 but they

00:49:13.100 have a

00:49:13.520 cap,

00:49:14.960 but they

00:49:15.740 also phase

00:49:16.560 out,

00:49:17.660 but they

00:49:18.680 also have

00:49:19.200 income

00:49:19.580 limits,

00:49:20.700 and if you

00:49:22.140 have an

00:49:22.460 S corporation,

00:49:23.480 you might

00:49:23.780 have a

00:49:24.080 workaround.

00:49:25.840 So I'm

00:49:26.560 reading this

00:49:27.280 and saying

00:49:27.900 to myself,

00:49:28.540 I don't

00:49:28.900 even know

00:49:29.300 if I'm

00:49:29.600 making

00:49:29.840 money

00:49:30.140 I live

00:49:32.580 in a

00:49:32.780 blue state,

00:49:33.480 so in

00:49:33.940 theory,

00:49:35.300 it should

00:49:35.740 be to

00:49:36.100 my benefit.

00:49:37.340 I can't

00:49:37.880 tell.

00:49:39.400 How many

00:49:40.180 variables are

00:49:41.040 you going to

00:49:41.220 put on

00:49:41.540 this?

00:49:42.300 There's an

00:49:42.900 income

00:49:43.420 cap,

00:49:44.100 there's a

00:49:44.460 phase out,

00:49:45.740 there's

00:49:46.000 income

00:49:46.340 limits,

00:49:47.180 if you

00:49:47.400 have an

00:49:47.660 S,

00:49:48.000 I mean,

00:49:48.400 come on.

00:49:50.500 Lawyers

00:49:50.940 write this

00:49:51.480 stuff,

00:49:52.600 and you

00:49:54.260 can't even

00:49:54.680 tell if it's

00:49:55.160 good or

00:49:55.500 bad.

00:49:57.700 All right,

00:49:58.260 yesterday,

00:49:58.980 I asked

00:49:59.800 what is it

00:50:03.620 that Democrats

00:50:04.440 are seeing

00:50:05.160 or feeling

00:50:05.860 when they

00:50:06.980 say,

00:50:07.500 and they

00:50:07.720 look like

00:50:08.160 they're being

00:50:08.960 honest,

00:50:09.660 but emotional,

00:50:11.180 when they

00:50:11.740 think they're

00:50:12.160 living in a

00:50:12.860 Trump hellscape

00:50:13.900 of authoritarianism.

00:50:15.280 and I

00:50:16.840 asked,

00:50:17.580 what exactly

00:50:18.660 are you

00:50:19.120 experiencing

00:50:19.840 that I'm

00:50:20.420 not

00:50:20.660 experiencing?

00:50:22.240 Because to

00:50:22.700 me,

00:50:23.460 every day I

00:50:24.140 wake up is

00:50:24.700 a lot like

00:50:25.240 the day

00:50:25.540 before,

00:50:26.340 and I

00:50:27.940 didn't see

00:50:28.480 any

00:50:28.740 hellscape.

00:50:30.440 What am I

00:50:31.160 missing?

00:50:32.780 And so it

00:50:34.220 turns out,

00:50:34.960 I got a lot

00:50:35.520 of feedback

00:50:35.960 in the comments,

00:50:37.500 and it turns

00:50:38.000 out that there

00:50:38.580 are a lot of

00:50:39.040 American citizens

00:50:40.140 who believe

00:50:41.380 that they

00:50:42.020 personally or

00:50:42.980 their family

00:50:43.540 members who

00:50:44.220 are also

00:50:44.760 American

00:50:45.220 citizens

00:50:45.880 could be

00:50:47.020 deported.

00:50:48.440 And I'm

00:50:48.740 not talking

00:50:49.300 about people

00:50:49.900 who were

00:50:50.540 born in

00:50:51.260 other countries

00:50:51.940 and got

00:50:52.480 their citizenship.

00:50:53.900 I'm talking

00:50:54.460 about people

00:50:55.000 who have been

00:50:55.340 here for

00:50:55.740 five generations

00:50:56.660 are still

00:50:58.000 afraid that

00:50:58.580 Trump will

00:50:59.040 deport them

00:50:59.760 because they're

00:51:01.340 maybe not

00:51:02.600 Republicans or

00:51:03.460 something.

00:51:04.700 Can you

00:51:05.460 believe that?

00:51:07.400 That a

00:51:08.700 fairly widespread

00:51:09.500 belief that

00:51:10.840 they could be

00:51:11.420 deported or

00:51:12.680 somebody they

00:51:13.360 love could be

00:51:13.980 deported who

00:51:14.940 is a legal

00:51:15.660 citizen.

00:51:16.700 So that's

00:51:17.160 part of it.

00:51:19.860 I heard that

00:51:20.980 university

00:51:21.820 scientists are

00:51:24.660 unhappy because

00:51:25.520 their funding

00:51:26.000 got cut.

00:51:26.880 Well, that's

00:51:27.240 true.

00:51:28.080 But as a

00:51:29.540 total percentage

00:51:30.500 of the entire

00:51:31.480 population of

00:51:32.360 the United

00:51:32.720 States, how

00:51:34.000 big is the

00:51:34.900 university, which

00:51:37.440 is really just

00:51:38.060 Ivy League,

00:51:38.840 how big is the

00:51:39.800 Ivy League

00:51:40.520 university scientist

00:51:41.980 pool?

00:51:43.780 Now, you

00:51:44.420 could argue

00:51:44.940 whether it's

00:51:45.380 good or bad

00:51:45.940 that they lose

00:51:46.500 their funding,

00:51:47.520 but it's not a

00:51:48.300 lot of people,

00:51:49.000 right?

00:51:49.980 And if they

00:51:50.560 were already

00:51:51.860 Harvard scientists,

00:51:54.940 can you not

00:51:55.940 get another

00:51:56.460 job?

00:51:59.120 You don't have

00:52:00.080 good employment

00:52:00.860 opportunities.

00:52:02.140 There's nobody

00:52:02.700 who's willing to

00:52:03.440 fund you.

00:52:04.180 Your ideas are

00:52:04.940 so bad that

00:52:06.260 nobody's willing

00:52:06.880 to put any

00:52:07.320 money into it.

00:52:08.100 There's no

00:52:08.560 corporation that

00:52:09.420 would benefit from

00:52:10.180 it.

00:52:10.960 What exactly

00:52:11.680 are they

00:52:12.080 studying that

00:52:13.800 has so little

00:52:14.460 value that

00:52:15.740 they would worry

00:52:16.340 about losing

00:52:16.900 a university

00:52:17.780 grant?

00:52:19.880 I don't know.

00:52:21.060 Then there are

00:52:21.740 a bunch of

00:52:22.060 people who

00:52:22.740 believe they'll

00:52:23.320 lose their

00:52:23.760 health insurance

00:52:24.640 when, in

00:52:26.800 fact, a

00:52:27.960 smallish number

00:52:28.760 will, but it's

00:52:30.120 the people who

00:52:31.240 shouldn't have

00:52:31.800 been getting it

00:52:32.340 in the first

00:52:32.760 place, and you

00:52:34.280 could argue

00:52:34.740 whether that's

00:52:35.500 humane or

00:52:36.300 not.

00:52:36.660 It feels

00:52:38.840 worse because

00:52:40.620 there's people

00:52:41.200 who are getting

00:52:41.980 it, and then

00:52:42.500 it will be

00:52:42.840 taken away if

00:52:44.300 they don't meet

00:52:44.860 the worker

00:52:45.280 requirement, or

00:52:46.740 they're not

00:52:47.120 citizens.

00:52:48.560 But if you

00:52:49.340 had never

00:52:49.780 given it to

00:52:50.360 them in the

00:52:50.840 first place, if

00:52:52.220 there had never

00:52:52.860 been a rule

00:52:53.440 that said, you

00:52:55.660 don't have to be

00:52:56.280 a citizen, you

00:52:56.980 can still get

00:52:57.640 it, if they

00:52:58.420 had never

00:52:58.820 existed, would

00:53:00.380 it seem cruel

00:53:01.420 to continue

00:53:02.560 without it

00:53:03.400 existing?

00:53:03.860 Well, to

00:53:05.540 some people

00:53:05.980 it would, but

00:53:07.240 to others it

00:53:07.860 would be like,

00:53:08.500 well, you

00:53:08.760 can't give

00:53:09.240 everything you

00:53:09.960 have to

00:53:10.320 everybody who

00:53:10.860 needs it, you

00:53:12.080 know, the

00:53:12.320 math doesn't

00:53:12.880 work out.

00:53:14.940 Anyway, on

00:53:19.900 another topic,

00:53:21.560 MSNBC seems to

00:53:23.520 go pretty hard

00:53:24.180 at RFK Jr., and

00:53:26.320 they like calling

00:53:27.120 him a science

00:53:28.560 denier of some

00:53:29.740 sort, and they

00:53:30.900 believe that he

00:53:31.540 says nutty

00:53:32.280 things that have

00:53:33.080 been debunked,

00:53:33.860 so they

00:53:36.380 smear him as a

00:53:37.560 misinformation

00:53:38.060 peddler, and

00:53:39.640 I'm wondering,

00:53:40.760 is that because

00:53:42.320 that's the

00:53:43.060 opinion of the

00:53:44.080 hosts of MSNBC,

00:53:46.700 or might it

00:53:48.880 be because they

00:53:50.980 give financing

00:53:51.860 or they get

00:53:53.880 part of their

00:53:55.120 income is from

00:53:55.920 big pharma

00:53:56.620 advertising on

00:53:58.160 their platform?

00:53:58.780 so can you

00:54:02.560 trust anything

00:54:04.000 that TV news

00:54:05.460 says about

00:54:06.040 RFK Jr.

00:54:07.860 when the

00:54:09.860 entire model

00:54:10.640 of pharma

00:54:11.280 advertising seems

00:54:12.380 to be designed

00:54:13.620 to influence how

00:54:15.880 the news tells

00:54:16.680 the news about

00:54:17.400 big pharma?

00:54:17.940 so that's a

00:54:21.460 little sketchy, so

00:54:23.100 is big pharma

00:54:24.040 trying to

00:54:25.340 influence the

00:54:26.080 news to

00:54:27.220 take out

00:54:27.920 RFK Jr.?

00:54:29.220 that's what it

00:54:30.980 looks like, I

00:54:32.400 don't have any

00:54:32.940 evidence that

00:54:33.640 would connect

00:54:34.540 them directly,

00:54:35.900 but since I

00:54:36.520 don't believe any

00:54:37.380 big movements are

00:54:38.480 natural or

00:54:39.500 organic,

00:54:40.680 everything seems

00:54:41.580 to be driven by

00:54:42.400 some money person

00:54:43.320 in the background,

00:54:44.040 it feels like,

00:54:47.340 it just feels

00:54:48.560 like,

00:54:49.920 maybe big pharma

00:54:51.560 has decided to

00:54:52.440 go after him,

00:54:53.200 and the way

00:54:53.600 they do that is

00:54:54.420 by influencing

00:54:55.100 the news.

00:54:56.920 Maybe.

00:54:58.600 That's what I'd

00:54:59.480 worry about.

00:55:02.300 Anyway,

00:55:04.660 and RFK Jr.

00:55:05.980 has been saying

00:55:06.660 provocatively that

00:55:08.180 1 in 31 children

00:55:09.620 born today are

00:55:10.540 autistic,

00:55:12.000 and he's got

00:55:13.100 this massive

00:55:13.720 study going on,

00:55:14.940 and he says

00:55:15.460 they're going to

00:55:15.800 find out what

00:55:17.300 caused it.

00:55:18.880 Now, at

00:55:19.240 different times,

00:55:20.560 or maybe even

00:55:21.160 now, I don't

00:55:21.700 know, a lot of

00:55:23.840 people, including

00:55:24.520 RFK Jr., have

00:55:26.480 believed that it

00:55:28.720 might be because

00:55:29.880 of some

00:55:31.880 vaccinations or

00:55:33.040 combination of

00:55:33.920 vaccinations,

00:55:34.840 et cetera, but

00:55:35.880 I guess that

00:55:36.880 link has not

00:55:37.640 been conclusively

00:55:39.400 proven, so it

00:55:41.420 was worthy of a

00:55:42.260 big study to

00:55:43.040 find out what

00:55:43.800 the real problem

00:55:44.420 is, which

00:55:45.860 still might be

00:55:46.540 that, but they

00:55:47.600 haven't done a

00:55:48.160 proper study on

00:55:50.520 it until now.

00:55:52.520 So, in

00:55:53.380 September, we're

00:55:55.460 going to find

00:55:55.900 out.

00:55:56.440 Now, it might

00:55:57.280 involve food.

00:55:59.780 It's entirely

00:56:00.620 possible that

00:56:01.580 something we

00:56:02.380 eat, or it

00:56:04.660 could be

00:56:05.000 something in the

00:56:05.640 environment, like

00:56:07.020 sniffing too much

00:56:08.020 lead, or your

00:56:10.280 parents use their

00:56:11.260 phones too much, or

00:56:12.540 something.

00:56:13.980 But at least he's

00:56:15.120 open to whatever

00:56:16.460 cause, you know,

00:56:19.420 any cause that

00:56:20.300 they could find.

00:56:24.300 And that I see, and

00:56:26.220 this is either

00:56:27.200 related or

00:56:28.040 unrelated, you

00:56:29.440 decide.

00:56:30.980 Have you heard

00:56:31.500 this claim that

00:56:33.000 if you own a

00:56:34.500 cat, you have a

00:56:36.540 very high chance, I

00:56:37.600 think 60% of

00:56:39.360 cat owners have

00:56:40.620 been infected by

00:56:41.620 something that

00:56:42.280 lives in cats

00:56:43.180 called the

00:56:44.260 T.

00:56:44.840 Gondii

00:56:45.360 infection.

00:56:47.040 And it's

00:56:47.620 something that

00:56:48.180 doesn't affect the

00:56:49.060 cat, but if the

00:56:50.820 human gets it, which

00:56:52.380 apparently most of

00:56:53.980 cat owners get it,

00:56:56.400 it affects their

00:56:57.580 brain.

00:56:58.000 and there's a

00:56:59.920 two times odds of

00:57:01.760 getting schizophrenia

00:57:02.740 if you're a cat

00:57:04.560 owner.

00:57:06.060 Schizophrenia.

00:57:08.820 Now, that is some

00:57:10.000 serious stuff.

00:57:12.100 Now, what question

00:57:13.140 do I always ask?

00:57:15.080 You know the

00:57:15.720 question.

00:57:17.260 Is it that

00:57:19.400 owning a cat

00:57:20.320 turns you into a

00:57:21.360 schizophrenic, or

00:57:23.560 is it possible

00:57:27.020 that if you're

00:57:28.120 schizophrenic, you 0.82

00:57:29.940 don't have regular

00:57:30.800 friends and you

00:57:31.620 need a cat friend

00:57:32.760 to keep you

00:57:33.340 company?

00:57:34.720 Well, the

00:57:35.820 article I read

00:57:36.620 about it was

00:57:37.820 pretty open that

00:57:40.160 it could go

00:57:40.680 either way, but

00:57:42.140 they have tested

00:57:43.360 the causation.

00:57:46.520 And what they

00:57:47.660 can test is

00:57:49.440 people who own

00:57:50.380 cats before they

00:57:51.640 had a diagnosis,

00:57:53.740 because I guess

00:57:54.400 the schizophrenia

00:57:55.140 seems to kick

00:57:56.380 in later

00:57:57.020 in life.

00:57:58.900 So, there is

00:57:59.800 some indication

00:58:00.620 that it's

00:58:02.020 far more likely

00:58:03.300 that owning

00:58:04.200 the cat and

00:58:05.220 catching the

00:58:06.180 T.

00:58:07.120 Gondii infection

00:58:08.260 is what causes

00:58:10.180 you, at least

00:58:11.160 some people,

00:58:11.800 to become

00:58:12.200 schizophrenic.

00:58:14.400 Now, if

00:58:15.580 owning a cat

00:58:16.880 can make

00:58:18.480 some people

00:58:19.160 schizophrenic,

00:58:20.340 could it

00:58:22.680 make you

00:58:24.460 autistic?

00:58:27.020 Could it?

00:58:28.860 Or is it

00:58:30.540 possible that

00:58:31.280 it's neither

00:58:31.800 food nor

00:58:32.780 pharma nor

00:58:34.300 vaccinations

00:58:35.180 that are making

00:58:36.900 people autistic,

00:58:38.360 and that the

00:58:39.100 real cause is

00:58:40.000 something where

00:58:40.580 you never even

00:58:41.280 think to look

00:58:42.680 like your

00:58:44.180 cat?

00:58:44.600 So, one

00:58:46.880 of the things

00:58:47.260 I worry

00:58:47.660 about is

00:58:48.440 that the

00:58:48.780 RFK Jr.

00:58:49.680 study is

00:58:50.820 going to

00:58:51.100 come back

00:58:51.620 without a

00:58:52.340 conclusive

00:58:52.840 answer,

00:58:54.240 because it

00:58:54.960 might not

00:58:55.600 be as

00:58:56.820 obvious as

00:58:58.180 we assume

00:58:58.660 it is.

00:58:59.900 Could be

00:59:00.540 something from

00:59:02.500 left field,

00:59:03.160 you never

00:59:03.400 know.

00:59:06.580 Anyway,

00:59:07.940 I saw a

00:59:09.340 post on

00:59:09.900 X by

00:59:10.460 cynical

00:59:11.340 Publius,

00:59:13.540 who said,

00:59:14.200 just a

00:59:14.540 reminder,

00:59:15.080 the Trump

00:59:15.460 Russia

00:59:16.580 collusion

00:59:17.220 hoax was

00:59:18.380 the worst

00:59:18.960 criminal

00:59:19.540 political

00:59:20.100 scandal in

00:59:20.900 U.S.

00:59:21.280 history,

00:59:22.160 and nothing

00:59:22.700 else even

00:59:23.320 comes close.

00:59:25.000 Watergate,

00:59:25.680 by comparison,

00:59:26.500 was the

00:59:26.860 third-grader

00:59:27.560 shoplifting

00:59:28.220 a bag of

00:59:28.880 gummy bears

00:59:29.500 from a

00:59:29.920 7-Eleven.

00:59:31.120 Yet,

00:59:31.600 literally,

00:59:32.280 no one

00:59:32.840 has been

00:59:33.240 held to

00:59:33.660 account.

00:59:35.480 Now,

00:59:36.580 some of

00:59:37.180 that,

00:59:37.520 I think,

00:59:37.880 is because

00:59:38.480 of the

00:59:38.880 slow trickle

00:59:40.320 of how we

00:59:40.840 found out

00:59:41.320 the truth,

00:59:42.240 that the

00:59:42.800 Russia

00:59:43.160 collusion

00:59:43.660 thing was

00:59:44.200 a hoax.

00:59:45.640 But the

00:59:46.200 latest trickle

00:59:49.860 is that

00:59:51.380 Brennan and

00:59:52.440 Clapper,

00:59:53.960 and I

00:59:55.760 guess Comey, 1.00

00:59:57.180 absolutely

00:59:57.840 were aware

00:59:59.640 that they

01:00:00.100 were using

01:00:00.740 sketchy

01:00:01.980 information and

01:00:02.940 creating a

01:00:03.500 hoax to

01:00:05.200 basically

01:00:06.980 change the

01:00:07.800 government.

01:00:09.220 And none

01:00:09.680 of them,

01:00:10.340 as far as

01:00:10.960 I know,

01:00:12.120 none of

01:00:12.580 them are

01:00:12.860 in jail,

01:00:13.360 right?

01:00:14.520 How do

01:00:15.040 you not

01:00:15.500 go to

01:00:15.860 jail for

01:00:16.300 that,

01:00:17.360 of all

01:00:18.120 things?

01:00:20.120 And at

01:00:20.540 the same

01:00:20.940 time,

01:00:21.280 I say

01:00:21.540 to myself,

01:00:21.960 but,

01:00:22.280 but,

01:00:22.880 but,

01:00:23.320 but,

01:00:24.000 but,

01:00:24.200 Scott,

01:00:24.840 I say to

01:00:25.720 myself,

01:00:26.880 this is

01:00:29.160 unprecedented.

01:00:30.660 It's totally

01:00:31.540 unprecedented

01:00:32.240 that public

01:00:33.840 figures or

01:00:34.680 some public,

01:00:35.500 you know,

01:00:36.540 public

01:00:36.920 organizations

01:00:37.740 would be

01:00:39.240 behind and

01:00:39.860 overthrow the

01:00:40.660 government,

01:00:41.580 and yet

01:00:42.380 nobody would

01:00:43.140 go to

01:00:43.480 jail for

01:00:44.020 it?

01:00:44.680 How could

01:00:45.420 that possibly

01:00:46.140 ever happen?

01:00:48.600 Oh,

01:00:49.620 there's some

01:00:50.320 newly declassified

01:00:51.500 documents

01:00:52.060 revealing that a

01:00:52.960 CIA officer

01:00:53.920 had contact

01:00:55.260 with Lee Harvey

01:00:56.000 Oswald before

01:00:56.960 the assassination

01:00:57.720 of JFK,

01:01:00.540 contradicting

01:01:01.800 decades of

01:01:02.840 agency denials.

01:01:04.360 So,

01:01:07.900 apparently a

01:01:08.540 CIA officer,

01:01:10.300 George

01:01:10.800 Junaitis,

01:01:13.020 oversaw a

01:01:14.400 covert anti-Castro

01:01:15.900 group.

01:01:16.460 This is from

01:01:17.040 the AF Post

01:01:18.140 writing about

01:01:18.960 this.

01:01:20.100 And that

01:01:20.760 he had a

01:01:22.660 conversation with

01:01:23.880 the guy who

01:01:24.620 allegedly shot

01:01:25.640 Kennedy.

01:01:27.380 So,

01:01:28.140 is it

01:01:29.440 possible that

01:01:30.400 the normal

01:01:31.100 way the

01:01:31.600 country works

01:01:32.400 is that

01:01:34.120 there are

01:01:35.020 shadowing

01:01:35.560 groups overthrowing

01:01:36.720 the president

01:01:37.220 on a regular

01:01:38.520 basis,

01:01:39.460 and we

01:01:40.660 never prosecute

01:01:41.760 anybody for

01:01:42.500 it?

01:01:43.900 Yes,

01:01:44.720 that's

01:01:45.020 possible.

01:01:46.900 So,

01:01:47.780 not only is

01:01:48.840 it possible

01:01:49.560 that Kennedy

01:01:51.020 was killed

01:01:51.760 by an

01:01:52.380 inside

01:01:52.860 government

01:01:53.900 plot,

01:01:56.180 we watched

01:01:57.440 plotters try

01:01:58.920 to take

01:01:59.280 out Trump,

01:02:00.220 more than

01:02:01.040 once,

01:02:01.400 probably,

01:02:02.200 probably more

01:02:02.840 than once.

01:02:03.760 So,

01:02:04.280 I'm starting

01:02:04.780 to believe

01:02:05.520 that every

01:02:08.020 major story

01:02:09.040 that I've

01:02:09.540 experienced in

01:02:10.320 my lifetime

01:02:10.880 is untrue.

01:02:13.000 Some of the

01:02:13.780 facts would be

01:02:14.460 true.

01:02:15.020 For example,

01:02:16.120 it does seem

01:02:16.700 to be a fact

01:02:17.400 that airplanes

01:02:18.200 hit the

01:02:18.860 911,

01:02:20.160 or hit the

01:02:21.040 Twin Towers.

01:02:23.260 But,

01:02:24.060 do we know

01:02:24.620 why?

01:02:25.660 Do we know

01:02:26.180 who's completely

01:02:27.400 behind it?

01:02:28.060 maybe we'll

01:02:29.840 find out

01:02:30.340 in 40

01:02:30.800 years.

01:02:32.360 I don't

01:02:33.040 think that

01:02:33.580 our wars

01:02:34.460 are really

01:02:35.180 explained to

01:02:36.040 us truthfully.

01:02:37.240 I don't

01:02:37.740 think that

01:02:38.160 any of the

01:02:38.920 big events,

01:02:39.900 I don't

01:02:40.120 think that

01:02:40.520 any of the

01:02:41.060 protests,

01:02:41.840 I don't

01:02:42.080 think that

01:02:42.420 Black Lives

01:02:43.020 Matter was 0.52

01:02:44.320 organic.

01:02:45.440 I don't

01:02:46.000 think any

01:02:46.780 of the big

01:02:47.240 stories are

01:02:47.840 real.

01:02:49.100 Maybe not

01:02:50.160 ever in

01:02:50.900 my life.

01:02:51.540 it's entirely

01:02:53.460 possible that

01:02:54.360 every big,

01:02:55.940 big story

01:02:56.680 has been

01:02:58.200 fake for

01:02:59.800 every day

01:03:00.500 that I've

01:03:00.880 been alive

01:03:01.480 and maybe

01:03:02.080 always.

01:03:04.420 Yeah.

01:03:05.020 The moon

01:03:05.820 landing?

01:03:07.120 My favorite

01:03:08.300 moon landing

01:03:09.180 conspiracy

01:03:10.440 theory is

01:03:13.540 that it

01:03:14.620 was filmed

01:03:15.020 on a

01:03:15.480 set,

01:03:16.460 but Stanley

01:03:17.820 Kubrick

01:03:18.440 specifically

01:03:19.220 was behind

01:03:20.220 the filming

01:03:20.700 of it.

01:03:22.300 And I'm

01:03:23.140 not saying

01:03:23.620 I believe

01:03:24.280 in it.

01:03:25.260 I'm just

01:03:26.020 saying that

01:03:26.680 as soon as

01:03:27.980 you imagine

01:03:28.740 that the

01:03:30.340 most likely

01:03:31.180 way the

01:03:31.660 world is

01:03:32.220 organized is

01:03:33.080 that all

01:03:33.520 the big

01:03:33.880 stories are

01:03:34.460 fake,

01:03:35.580 if you

01:03:36.800 accept that,

01:03:38.780 then the

01:03:39.220 moon landing

01:03:39.720 just fits

01:03:40.300 right in

01:03:40.680 there.

01:03:41.900 But I

01:03:42.620 don't

01:03:42.820 personally

01:03:43.320 have enough

01:03:44.800 insight into

01:03:45.600 the moon

01:03:45.940 landing to

01:03:46.580 say that

01:03:46.920 it's fake.

01:03:47.840 I'm just

01:03:48.480 saying,

01:03:49.380 if it's

01:03:50.200 true that

01:03:50.700 all the

01:03:51.200 big stories

01:03:51.820 are fake,

01:03:53.340 what are

01:03:53.640 the odds

01:03:54.020 that that

01:03:55.600 one is

01:03:55.940 real?

01:03:57.500 You know

01:03:57.780 what I

01:03:57.980 mean?

01:04:00.020 So I'm

01:04:00.900 not going

01:04:01.280 to go

01:04:01.720 full conspiracy

01:04:03.400 theory on

01:04:04.120 that.

01:04:04.880 I'm just

01:04:05.400 saying,

01:04:06.140 if all the

01:04:07.280 other big

01:04:07.720 stories look

01:04:08.480 suspicious,

01:04:09.860 and they

01:04:10.280 do,

01:04:11.640 would that

01:04:12.580 be the

01:04:12.920 one that

01:04:13.260 was true?

01:04:15.740 Maybe.

01:04:17.000 Can't rule

01:04:17.620 it out,

01:04:19.020 but maybe.

01:04:22.900 Anyway,

01:04:23.580 Charlie

01:04:24.200 Kirk and

01:04:25.280 probably some

01:04:25.920 others are

01:04:27.600 now trying to

01:04:28.300 encourage

01:04:28.940 mayoral

01:04:30.100 candidate

01:04:30.660 Curtis

01:04:31.320 Sliwa to

01:04:33.720 drop out.

01:04:34.440 So he's

01:04:34.800 running as a

01:04:35.580 Republican and

01:04:37.340 would, of

01:04:37.820 course, get all

01:04:38.560 the Republican

01:04:39.200 votes,

01:04:40.300 because there

01:04:40.520 aren't that

01:04:42.280 many Republicans

01:04:43.040 voting in New

01:04:43.900 York City.

01:04:45.060 But if he

01:04:46.320 stays in,

01:04:47.980 he would make

01:04:48.520 it harder for

01:04:49.280 Eric Adams to

01:04:50.380 win, running

01:04:51.420 as an

01:04:51.800 Independent,

01:04:52.780 and it

01:04:53.880 might guarantee

01:04:54.860 that Zoran 1.00

01:04:57.400 Mamdani, the

01:04:59.700 creepy,

01:05:00.820 smiling

01:05:01.180 communist,

01:05:02.220 gets elected.

01:05:04.400 So what do

01:05:05.440 you think about

01:05:05.880 that?

01:05:06.900 Should

01:05:07.300 Curtis Sliwa

01:05:08.440 step down

01:05:09.560 just so that

01:05:11.300 they make

01:05:11.740 sure that

01:05:12.420 Mamdani

01:05:13.420 doesn't get

01:05:14.120 elected?

01:05:16.260 I don't

01:05:16.600 know.

01:05:18.820 It's worth,

01:05:19.740 that's worth

01:05:20.540 the conversation.

01:05:22.260 Oh, I hate

01:05:22.840 saying that.

01:05:23.520 I'm going to

01:05:24.020 reword that.

01:05:25.300 That's worth

01:05:25.920 considering.

01:05:27.740 So I don't

01:05:28.600 know if

01:05:28.940 Curtis Sliwa

01:05:29.700 is enough of

01:05:30.400 a team player

01:05:31.360 that he would

01:05:31.860 go for that,

01:05:32.920 but he does

01:05:33.960 seem to have

01:05:34.540 a lifetime

01:05:35.920 of service.

01:05:38.140 I mean,

01:05:38.400 he's a

01:05:39.180 guardian angel

01:05:39.960 founder,

01:05:40.660 right?

01:05:41.100 So he has a

01:05:41.700 lifetime of

01:05:42.260 service to the

01:05:43.040 city.

01:05:43.420 And if

01:05:44.400 he's more

01:05:44.840 service-oriented

01:05:45.860 than politically

01:05:46.760 oriented,

01:05:48.140 and he might

01:05:48.560 be,

01:05:49.520 it would be

01:05:50.280 one hell of

01:05:51.060 a service.

01:05:52.640 So New York

01:05:53.460 City would

01:05:54.220 be forever

01:05:55.220 in his debt

01:05:56.040 if he kept

01:05:57.980 that Republican

01:05:58.780 nomination

01:05:59.580 sort of

01:06:01.580 in his

01:06:02.260 control

01:06:02.800 and then

01:06:03.800 threw all

01:06:04.420 his votes

01:06:04.940 to,

01:06:05.620 let's say,

01:06:06.460 Eric Adams.

01:06:08.020 So

01:06:08.360 maybe.

01:06:09.800 but you

01:06:13.000 may have

01:06:13.300 heard that

01:06:13.720 the New

01:06:14.020 York Times

01:06:14.620 is getting

01:06:15.040 some

01:06:15.340 backlash

01:06:16.100 because they

01:06:17.020 did a

01:06:17.400 story about

01:06:18.040 Momdani's

01:06:19.000 college

01:06:20.100 application

01:06:20.780 to

01:06:21.320 Columbia

01:06:21.940 in which,

01:06:24.120 let's see if I

01:06:24.680 can get this

01:06:25.360 right,

01:06:26.700 when he

01:06:27.300 filled out

01:06:27.800 his application

01:06:28.740 to college,

01:06:30.140 Columbia in

01:06:30.660 particular,

01:06:31.080 he checked

01:06:33.040 the box

01:06:34.000 that said

01:06:34.440 he was

01:06:35.040 Asian

01:06:37.840 and

01:06:38.320 African

01:06:38.800 American,

01:06:40.140 but he

01:06:40.860 also checked

01:06:41.820 the boxes

01:06:42.300 for Asian

01:06:43.080 but also

01:06:43.660 Black 0.64

01:06:44.200 or African

01:06:44.980 American.

01:06:46.900 So

01:06:47.400 some people

01:06:49.260 say,

01:06:50.240 well,

01:06:51.400 you

01:06:51.780 despicable

01:06:53.280 liar,

01:06:54.240 you lied

01:06:54.860 and said

01:06:55.280 you were

01:06:55.560 Black 0.64

01:06:56.020 so that

01:06:57.260 you could

01:06:57.620 get into

01:06:58.120 Columbia.

01:06:58.540 Now,

01:07:00.780 I have a

01:07:01.200 few

01:07:01.420 observations

01:07:02.040 about this.

01:07:03.480 Number

01:07:03.740 one

01:07:04.200 observation,

01:07:05.960 it pains

01:07:06.780 me to

01:07:07.260 say this,

01:07:08.940 like it

01:07:09.840 hurts my

01:07:10.720 chest,

01:07:11.840 but I

01:07:12.500 have to

01:07:12.820 be consistent

01:07:13.580 with what

01:07:14.320 I've said

01:07:14.780 in the

01:07:15.080 past

01:07:15.500 because I

01:07:16.760 don't like

01:07:17.260 opinions

01:07:19.400 that are

01:07:19.900 just completely

01:07:20.540 inconsistent.

01:07:22.380 So you

01:07:23.140 may remember

01:07:23.760 that I've

01:07:24.240 said in

01:07:24.600 the past

01:07:25.120 that we

01:07:26.040 should not

01:07:26.540 hold against

01:07:27.300 any adult

01:07:28.140 mistakes

01:07:29.340 they made

01:07:29.840 in college.

01:07:31.460 Anybody

01:07:31.940 remember me

01:07:32.640 saying that?

01:07:33.340 I've said it

01:07:33.860 publicly a

01:07:34.460 number of

01:07:34.780 times.

01:07:35.480 It's just

01:07:35.940 too far

01:07:36.440 back.

01:07:37.660 I mean,

01:07:38.000 before the

01:07:38.500 age of

01:07:38.840 25,

01:07:39.460 your brain

01:07:39.900 isn't even

01:07:40.400 done,

01:07:41.420 and I

01:07:41.920 would not

01:07:42.380 want to

01:07:42.680 be blamed

01:07:43.300 for anything

01:07:43.780 I did

01:07:44.160 in college,

01:07:45.040 and I

01:07:45.640 don't know

01:07:45.900 anybody

01:07:46.240 who would.

01:07:47.680 You're

01:07:48.160 not exactly

01:07:49.080 the same

01:07:49.640 person as

01:07:51.220 you were

01:07:51.620 when you

01:07:51.940 were college

01:07:52.380 age.

01:07:52.920 And remember,

01:07:53.840 this is

01:07:54.260 when he

01:07:54.620 was applying.

01:07:56.580 So when

01:07:57.000 he was

01:07:57.260 applying,

01:07:57.880 I don't

01:07:58.120 even know

01:07:58.500 if he

01:07:58.720 was 18

01:07:59.220 yet.

01:08:00.440 I mean,

01:08:00.800 I don't

01:08:01.060 know the

01:08:01.360 details,

01:08:01.920 but was

01:08:03.080 he 17

01:08:03.840 when he

01:08:06.280 checked

01:08:06.560 those boxes?

01:08:08.860 Probably,

01:08:09.720 right?

01:08:10.400 He was

01:08:11.200 certainly in

01:08:11.740 that under

01:08:12.460 25 range.

01:08:14.980 So separately,

01:08:16.000 I've also

01:08:16.440 said we

01:08:16.880 should have

01:08:17.140 a 20-year

01:08:17.980 rule.

01:08:19.280 I don't

01:08:19.960 know if

01:08:20.240 he's 20

01:08:20.860 years out

01:08:21.440 from it,

01:08:22.540 but it

01:08:23.100 might be

01:08:23.760 that both

01:08:24.180 apply.

01:08:24.520 I don't

01:08:25.460 blame people

01:08:26.040 for their

01:08:27.740 smaller

01:08:28.240 transgressions

01:08:29.180 20 years

01:08:30.000 ago,

01:08:30.860 and I

01:08:31.360 don't blame

01:08:31.860 anybody

01:08:32.360 for anything

01:08:33.280 they did

01:08:33.700 when they

01:08:34.040 were 17

01:08:34.580 or 18.

01:08:36.220 So college

01:08:37.080 age,

01:08:37.880 not interested.

01:08:39.740 It's a

01:08:40.480 fun story.

01:08:42.600 You know,

01:08:42.900 I like

01:08:43.620 talking about

01:08:45.300 it and

01:08:45.580 thinking about

01:08:46.120 it.

01:08:46.340 It's just

01:08:46.520 sort of a

01:08:46.980 fun,

01:08:47.440 interesting

01:08:47.840 little story.

01:08:49.520 But no,

01:08:50.960 this isn't

01:08:51.880 really the,

01:08:53.480 unfortunately,

01:08:54.940 I just

01:08:55.340 can't drive

01:08:55.900 a stake

01:08:56.340 through his

01:08:56.820 heart because

01:08:57.560 of that.

01:08:58.260 I would be

01:08:58.660 inconsistent.

01:09:00.540 However,

01:09:01.400 I'd like to

01:09:02.560 steal an

01:09:03.700 idea that

01:09:04.600 I heard

01:09:05.660 this morning.

01:09:06.420 I won't

01:09:07.180 do an

01:09:08.600 attribution,

01:09:09.520 but it

01:09:10.440 wasn't my

01:09:10.980 idea.

01:09:13.160 All right,

01:09:13.880 I'll tell you,

01:09:14.360 it was Greg

01:09:14.720 Goffelt.

01:09:15.140 So Greg,

01:09:18.720 if you're

01:09:19.020 listening,

01:09:20.020 I wasn't

01:09:20.800 sure if you

01:09:21.240 wanted credit

01:09:21.800 for this

01:09:22.220 idea,

01:09:22.580 but I'll

01:09:22.800 give it to

01:09:23.140 you anyway.

01:09:25.920 Does it

01:09:26.600 seem

01:09:26.820 interesting

01:09:27.280 to you

01:09:27.860 that

01:09:29.280 Mondani

01:09:30.580 tried to

01:09:32.280 pretend he

01:09:32.760 was black

01:09:33.360 so he

01:09:33.860 could get

01:09:34.160 more

01:09:34.420 advantages

01:09:34.920 in society?

01:09:37.020 Has

01:09:37.340 anybody

01:09:37.640 mentioned

01:09:38.060 that yet?

01:09:39.680 That

01:09:40.200 pretending

01:09:40.680 you're

01:09:41.000 black

01:09:41.440 gives you

01:09:42.580 such a

01:09:43.460 substantial

01:09:44.020 lift?

01:09:45.140 in getting

01:09:45.780 into college

01:09:46.580 that

01:09:47.620 Mondani

01:09:48.720 was willing

01:09:49.360 to lie

01:09:50.080 and sort

01:09:52.000 of suggest

01:09:52.580 that he

01:09:52.940 was black

01:09:53.580 because of

01:09:54.800 the benefits.

01:09:57.320 Yeah,

01:09:58.420 I think

01:09:59.860 that's a

01:10:00.280 pretty

01:10:00.560 interesting

01:10:01.260 part of

01:10:01.680 the story,

01:10:02.240 isn't it?

01:10:03.220 Because I

01:10:04.360 believe that

01:10:04.940 there's literally

01:10:05.840 no black 1.00

01:10:06.580 person who

01:10:07.740 ever pretended

01:10:08.680 they were

01:10:09.080 white to

01:10:09.680 get into

01:10:10.140 college,

01:10:11.520 ever.

01:10:12.440 I believe

01:10:13.160 that there's

01:10:13.660 no black 1.00

01:10:14.240 person who

01:10:15.200 ever pretended

01:10:15.880 to be

01:10:16.300 white to

01:10:17.540 get a

01:10:17.900 job at

01:10:18.320 a fortune

01:10:18.780 500

01:10:19.380 company.

01:10:21.160 Not in

01:10:21.900 my lifetime

01:10:22.520 because in

01:10:24.140 either case

01:10:24.980 getting into

01:10:25.600 college or

01:10:26.200 getting into

01:10:26.740 a corporation,

01:10:28.220 small companies

01:10:29.200 would be

01:10:29.500 different.

01:10:30.040 I think

01:10:30.280 there's plenty

01:10:31.300 of discrimination

01:10:32.220 in small

01:10:32.820 companies.

01:10:33.640 But for the

01:10:34.320 big ones,

01:10:35.820 everybody knows

01:10:36.900 that it's

01:10:37.320 just a,

01:10:38.680 it's like a

01:10:39.660 direct path

01:10:40.360 to the top

01:10:41.060 if you

01:10:42.120 can sell

01:10:42.720 yourself as

01:10:43.460 being black

01:10:44.440 or female

01:10:45.060 or lesbian

01:10:45.820 or whatever.

01:10:47.980 So I

01:10:49.420 don't know

01:10:49.760 how we're

01:10:50.240 in this

01:10:50.920 world where

01:10:52.300 black people

01:10:53.080 are claiming

01:10:53.720 a disadvantage

01:10:54.880 at exactly

01:10:56.240 the same

01:10:56.720 time people

01:10:57.280 are pretending

01:10:57.920 to be black

01:10:58.780 for the

01:10:59.820 advantages.

01:11:02.820 All right.

01:11:03.700 Amazingly,

01:11:08.360 according to

01:11:09.020 a post

01:11:10.300 millennial

01:11:10.820 story by

01:11:11.560 Victor Davis

01:11:12.640 Hanson,

01:11:14.120 the number

01:11:16.080 of New York

01:11:16.760 City shootings

01:11:17.740 is at a

01:11:18.880 low and

01:11:20.740 the murder

01:11:21.200 rate is

01:11:21.780 way down.

01:11:23.460 And believe

01:11:23.820 it or not,

01:11:24.680 they had zero

01:11:25.520 shootings and

01:11:26.300 murders on

01:11:26.900 Independence 0.62

01:11:27.440 Day and it's

01:11:28.140 the first time

01:11:28.680 ever.

01:11:30.460 Zero.

01:11:31.780 On a day

01:11:32.400 when shooting

01:11:33.100 would be

01:11:33.640 the easiest

01:11:34.200 to shoot

01:11:34.740 because there's

01:11:35.280 fireworks anyway,

01:11:36.940 you know,

01:11:37.140 so nobody

01:11:37.580 would,

01:11:38.020 maybe nobody

01:11:38.540 would even

01:11:38.920 know it was

01:11:39.300 a gunshot.

01:11:40.380 You'd think

01:11:41.120 that the

01:11:42.260 4th of July

01:11:42.920 would be a

01:11:43.460 big murder

01:11:44.020 day,

01:11:44.840 but Eric

01:11:46.420 Adams is

01:11:47.060 doing something

01:11:47.700 right,

01:11:48.740 current mayor,

01:11:49.780 because it's

01:11:50.820 zero.

01:11:51.560 Not only

01:11:52.140 that,

01:11:53.180 but in the

01:11:53.740 first six

01:11:54.340 months of

01:11:54.780 the year

01:11:55.040 in New York

01:11:55.400 City,

01:11:55.840 so the

01:11:56.280 lowest number

01:11:57.280 of shooting

01:11:57.720 victims and

01:11:58.380 shooting

01:11:58.680 incidents in

01:11:59.420 recorded

01:11:59.940 history,

01:12:01.420 in recorded

01:12:02.640 history,

01:12:03.300 and he's

01:12:05.620 not going

01:12:06.000 to be

01:12:06.220 re-elected?

01:12:07.520 Are you

01:12:08.480 freaking

01:12:09.060 kidding me?

01:12:10.740 If you

01:12:11.440 give me a

01:12:12.160 mayor who

01:12:13.380 in six

01:12:13.980 months,

01:12:14.820 or however

01:12:15.340 long he's

01:12:15.840 been around,

01:12:17.480 can take your

01:12:18.600 murder and

01:12:19.380 violent record

01:12:20.440 down to

01:12:21.000 levels that

01:12:21.720 nobody's ever

01:12:22.260 even seen

01:12:22.940 before,

01:12:24.420 how does

01:12:25.640 that guy or

01:12:26.580 gal not

01:12:27.360 get re-elected?

01:12:28.300 what?

01:12:32.520 If it's

01:12:33.220 really because,

01:12:34.300 and I do

01:12:34.780 believe that's

01:12:35.520 probably because

01:12:36.220 of changes

01:12:36.940 that he

01:12:37.400 made,

01:12:38.260 because remember

01:12:38.800 he was a

01:12:40.380 police person

01:12:41.160 before he

01:12:41.740 was a

01:12:42.060 mayor,

01:12:42.620 he knows

01:12:42.960 what he's

01:12:43.280 talking about,

01:12:44.120 he knows

01:12:44.560 where the

01:12:45.420 levers are

01:12:46.320 for decreasing

01:12:47.380 crime,

01:12:48.000 and he must

01:12:48.360 have pulled

01:12:49.300 those levers.

01:12:49.920 how in the

01:12:53.020 world does

01:12:53.980 Mom Donnie

01:12:54.640 get elected

01:12:55.280 when he

01:12:56.300 wants to

01:12:57.100 defund the

01:12:58.040 police,

01:12:58.860 and he's

01:13:00.160 running against

01:13:00.900 an ex-police

01:13:02.120 person who

01:13:02.780 apparently has

01:13:03.460 pushed all

01:13:03.900 the right

01:13:04.220 levers,

01:13:05.320 and got

01:13:05.880 an almost

01:13:07.320 unbelievable

01:13:08.060 success.

01:13:09.280 I mean,

01:13:09.640 it's hard to

01:13:10.160 even imagine

01:13:10.760 that you

01:13:11.680 could have

01:13:11.980 gotten it to

01:13:12.540 the level

01:13:12.960 that it

01:13:13.320 was historically

01:13:14.860 a low.

01:13:17.180 The only

01:13:18.160 bit of

01:13:18.820 cold water

01:13:19.620 I'll throw

01:13:20.120 on that

01:13:20.620 is that

01:13:22.940 there is

01:13:24.180 an age

01:13:24.960 element to

01:13:25.840 violence.

01:13:27.340 Older people 0.98

01:13:28.180 are less

01:13:28.580 violent,

01:13:29.500 and as our

01:13:30.740 population

01:13:31.320 ages,

01:13:32.560 and there

01:13:32.980 are fewer

01:13:33.520 young people

01:13:34.180 in the

01:13:34.560 cities compared

01:13:35.500 to old

01:13:35.920 people,

01:13:36.820 probably the

01:13:38.280 violence would

01:13:40.000 go down a

01:13:40.620 little bit

01:13:41.140 just because

01:13:42.560 the demographics

01:13:43.380 were older

01:13:44.120 people,

01:13:44.840 but that

01:13:46.160 didn't happen

01:13:46.600 in six

01:13:47.060 months.

01:13:48.300 So whatever

01:13:48.900 this is

01:13:49.740 is probably

01:13:51.340 Eric Adams.

01:13:53.420 And he's

01:13:55.260 a really

01:13:56.120 good communicator

01:13:57.320 in my opinion.

01:13:58.960 He has

01:13:59.500 the charisma,

01:14:00.920 et cetera.

01:14:01.840 So if he's

01:14:02.840 not standing

01:14:03.560 all over

01:14:04.080 this,

01:14:05.620 he ought

01:14:06.160 to be.

01:14:08.900 I saw

01:14:09.560 a post

01:14:10.280 on X

01:14:10.820 from a

01:14:11.820 user called

01:14:12.760 Mila Loves

01:14:13.860 Joe,

01:14:14.500 who said

01:14:14.780 that every

01:14:15.180 single store

01:14:15.880 in San

01:14:16.300 Francisco's

01:14:17.060 Market

01:14:17.380 Street,

01:14:18.140 that would

01:14:18.720 be like

01:14:19.040 the main

01:14:19.500 street of

01:14:19.940 San

01:14:20.140 Francisco,

01:14:20.960 every single

01:14:21.800 store on

01:14:22.760 Market

01:14:23.020 Street is

01:14:23.640 closed down.

01:14:25.360 Now I

01:14:25.720 went to

01:14:26.480 Super Grok 1.00

01:14:27.520 and said,

01:14:28.060 is that

01:14:28.300 true?

01:14:29.180 And it

01:14:29.460 turns out

01:14:29.840 that's not

01:14:30.280 true.

01:14:31.200 But there

01:14:32.060 are a lot

01:14:32.580 of stores,

01:14:33.660 a lot of

01:14:34.280 stores that

01:14:34.780 close down.

01:14:35.920 But here's

01:14:36.580 something I

01:14:37.100 didn't know.

01:14:38.140 Of the

01:14:38.940 dollar losses

01:14:40.160 from all the

01:14:40.920 crime,

01:14:42.100 and crime is

01:14:43.020 the reason

01:14:43.380 that they

01:14:43.800 closed down.

01:14:45.480 85% of

01:14:46.720 the dollar

01:14:47.140 losses were

01:14:48.240 from organized

01:14:49.240 gangs.

01:14:51.260 So it

01:14:51.620 wasn't even

01:14:52.300 organic

01:14:53.640 onesies and

01:14:54.820 twosies,

01:14:55.560 and some

01:14:56.700 people got

01:14:57.220 together and

01:14:57.760 said,

01:14:57.960 oh, let's

01:14:58.280 hit Target.

01:14:59.320 That happened

01:15:00.140 too.

01:15:01.440 But 85% of

01:15:02.780 the dollar

01:15:03.120 losses were

01:15:03.860 organized

01:15:04.540 gangs,

01:15:06.040 sending in

01:15:06.700 big groups

01:15:07.220 of people to

01:15:07.780 a particular

01:15:08.360 store.

01:15:09.760 So I

01:15:11.660 wouldn't see

01:15:12.300 retail

01:15:12.840 in San

01:15:13.520 Francisco

01:15:13.980 coming back

01:15:14.980 until they

01:15:16.660 could figure

01:15:17.060 out how to

01:15:17.600 handle the

01:15:19.320 gangs, and

01:15:20.560 I'm not sure

01:15:21.120 how they

01:15:21.400 do that.

01:15:23.820 Anyway,

01:15:24.580 according to

01:15:25.140 the New York

01:15:25.640 Post, Andrew

01:15:26.760 Court is

01:15:27.540 writing, that

01:15:28.600 most Americans

01:15:29.440 now can't

01:15:30.160 afford even

01:15:30.880 what he

01:15:31.300 calls a

01:15:31.780 minimal

01:15:32.100 quality of

01:15:32.980 life.

01:15:34.740 Minimal

01:15:35.300 quality of

01:15:35.940 life means

01:15:36.740 that you

01:15:37.140 can eat

01:15:38.100 and you've

01:15:38.420 got a

01:15:38.680 shelter, but

01:15:40.120 that you

01:15:40.620 could afford

01:15:41.780 a little

01:15:42.400 bit of

01:15:43.900 entertainment,

01:15:45.180 just a

01:15:45.600 little bit.

01:15:46.920 And they

01:15:47.640 define that

01:15:48.340 as a

01:15:49.700 little bit

01:15:50.160 would be

01:15:50.520 able to,

01:15:51.380 let's say,

01:15:52.500 buy some

01:15:53.420 tickets to a

01:15:54.260 baseball game

01:15:55.100 or something

01:15:55.560 that you

01:15:55.840 wanted to

01:15:56.180 watch.

01:15:59.360 So that's

01:16:00.360 pretty bad.

01:16:02.620 But here's

01:16:04.660 what I would

01:16:05.180 ask.

01:16:06.440 Does it

01:16:07.000 seem to you

01:16:07.620 that the

01:16:07.980 Amish are

01:16:08.620 unhappy and

01:16:10.540 they don't

01:16:11.080 buy tickets

01:16:12.040 to events

01:16:12.760 and watch

01:16:13.880 blockbuster

01:16:16.540 movies and

01:16:17.160 stuff?

01:16:18.120 So it

01:16:18.640 seems to

01:16:19.060 me that

01:16:19.620 that's not

01:16:21.980 the end

01:16:22.340 of the

01:16:22.580 world.

01:16:24.400 In a

01:16:24.980 perfect world,

01:16:25.760 everybody would

01:16:26.300 have enough

01:16:26.700 money to do

01:16:27.280 all the fun

01:16:27.920 things that

01:16:28.420 they want,

01:16:28.880 of course.

01:16:30.000 If you're an 0.51

01:16:30.700 NPC, you can

01:16:31.500 remind me of

01:16:32.120 that.

01:16:33.220 But does

01:16:34.920 it seem to

01:16:35.520 you that

01:16:35.920 we're just

01:16:36.260 not organized

01:16:37.080 as a society

01:16:38.320 for the

01:16:39.880 things that

01:16:40.480 make us

01:16:40.900 happy?

01:16:41.920 As in

01:16:42.800 big families,

01:16:44.180 families are 0.98

01:16:44.840 getting smaller.

01:16:46.600 But big,

01:16:47.260 have you ever

01:16:47.860 noticed that

01:16:48.540 if you see a

01:16:50.100 family get

01:16:50.820 together, any

01:16:51.920 members of the

01:16:52.620 same family,

01:16:53.520 that the rate

01:16:54.780 of laughter

01:16:55.400 goes through

01:16:55.960 the roof?

01:16:57.840 Do you ever

01:16:58.380 notice that you

01:16:59.000 will laugh more

01:16:59.880 with your family

01:17:00.680 members than

01:17:01.580 anybody else?

01:17:03.480 I don't know

01:17:04.220 if that's not

01:17:05.520 just my

01:17:06.020 experience,

01:17:06.660 right?

01:17:08.220 I'm pretty

01:17:08.920 sure that that

01:17:09.440 would be common

01:17:10.040 for other

01:17:10.480 people, too.

01:17:11.780 So if we

01:17:12.900 had bigger

01:17:13.340 families or

01:17:14.240 people had

01:17:15.060 more access

01:17:15.800 to other

01:17:16.600 cool people,

01:17:17.440 their age was

01:17:18.160 things they

01:17:18.600 have in

01:17:18.860 common, I

01:17:20.220 don't know

01:17:20.620 that we're

01:17:21.080 worse off

01:17:21.780 because we

01:17:22.300 can't go to

01:17:22.840 a baseball

01:17:23.320 game in

01:17:23.860 person.

01:17:25.880 You know,

01:17:26.220 if you've

01:17:26.580 got your

01:17:26.920 phone, you

01:17:27.680 can get

01:17:28.200 entertainment,

01:17:29.540 you can watch,

01:17:30.300 you put it in

01:17:30.720 your earbuds,

01:17:31.300 it sounds

01:17:31.760 better than

01:17:32.240 it does in

01:17:32.720 person, and

01:17:33.860 if you hang

01:17:34.400 out with cool

01:17:35.160 people and

01:17:35.960 people make you

01:17:38.060 happy and love

01:17:38.860 you, you'll

01:17:40.380 get your

01:17:40.680 dopamine.

01:17:42.400 It would be

01:17:43.120 better to have

01:17:43.600 money, but it

01:17:45.660 doesn't mean that

01:17:46.280 you can't have

01:17:46.760 enjoyment.

01:17:51.460 Where's all the

01:17:52.200 money going?

01:17:53.220 Well, Lowell

01:17:54.360 Caulfield, writing

01:17:55.740 for Breitbart News,

01:17:56.900 is reporting that

01:17:58.780 LA lifeguards are

01:18:00.940 making up to

01:18:01.680 $500,000 per

01:18:03.320 year.

01:18:05.640 You probably

01:18:06.640 think that I

01:18:08.120 misspoke and I

01:18:10.200 didn't really

01:18:10.680 mean that LA

01:18:11.680 lifeguards, the

01:18:13.400 people at the

01:18:14.100 beach, are

01:18:15.840 making half a

01:18:16.600 million dollars

01:18:17.220 per year.

01:18:17.780 You thought that

01:18:18.320 wasn't real,

01:18:18.920 right?

01:18:20.240 No, it

01:18:21.620 wasn't real.

01:18:22.400 They don't make 0.89

01:18:22.840 up to $500,000 a

01:18:25.560 year.

01:18:26.260 It's actually

01:18:27.060 up to $700,000

01:18:28.360 a year.

01:18:29.500 There was one

01:18:30.140 lifeguard made

01:18:31.380 $700,000 in

01:18:33.020 one year with

01:18:34.840 overtime.

01:18:36.700 So, apparently

01:18:37.580 they're well

01:18:38.340 paid in general

01:18:39.320 and lots of

01:18:40.640 them made over

01:18:41.540 $200,000 being

01:18:44.020 lifeguards.

01:18:45.120 But some of

01:18:45.780 them, mostly

01:18:47.540 from overtime,

01:18:48.340 I believe, got

01:18:49.760 $500,000.

01:18:51.800 So, you

01:18:54.720 wonder where

01:18:55.200 your money's

01:18:55.800 going?

01:18:57.060 It's going to

01:18:57.800 that muscular

01:18:58.540 guy in the

01:18:59.400 speedos up in

01:19:00.220 that chair.

01:19:02.880 Well, Iran's 1.00

01:19:04.160 supreme leader,

01:19:05.580 Ayatollah Ali

01:19:07.260 Khamenei, he

01:19:09.760 made his first

01:19:10.420 public appearance

01:19:11.340 since the war.

01:19:13.940 So, that means

01:19:16.020 he's back in

01:19:16.800 charge, right?

01:19:18.440 Everybody

01:19:19.040 believe that?

01:19:19.720 Do you

01:19:20.560 believe that

01:19:21.040 the supreme

01:19:21.860 leader is

01:19:22.640 still the

01:19:24.740 supreme leader?

01:19:26.180 Or is it

01:19:27.460 possible that

01:19:29.100 he's being

01:19:29.620 pushed in

01:19:30.160 front of the

01:19:30.600 camera so

01:19:31.980 that you think

01:19:32.920 he's still in

01:19:33.540 charge, but

01:19:34.580 that maybe the

01:19:35.260 military or

01:19:36.020 somebody else is

01:19:37.440 really calling

01:19:38.060 the shots?

01:19:38.880 Because, remember,

01:19:39.380 he's 86, so

01:19:41.420 he's not exactly

01:19:42.760 a fireball

01:19:43.440 anymore.

01:19:44.660 Well, I did

01:19:45.660 see one report

01:19:46.940 on social media

01:19:47.840 that suggested

01:19:49.220 that he's not

01:19:50.840 in charge.

01:19:51.720 He's a figurehead

01:19:52.620 at this point,

01:19:53.460 but there was no

01:19:54.800 confirmation of

01:19:55.660 that.

01:19:56.020 It was just

01:19:56.520 somebody on

01:19:57.280 social media.

01:19:59.000 So, I'm

01:19:59.780 going to double

01:20:00.580 down on my

01:20:01.340 prediction that

01:20:02.740 someday we will

01:20:04.440 learn that he's

01:20:05.140 not in charge.

01:20:08.120 How many people

01:20:09.120 would buy into

01:20:09.820 that?

01:20:10.080 I feel like he's

01:20:12.300 not in charge

01:20:12.920 anymore, but

01:20:14.080 we'll find out.

01:20:14.700 Well, apparently

01:20:16.920 Iran shut 0.98

01:20:19.560 down the idea

01:20:20.340 of meeting

01:20:20.720 with the U.S.

01:20:21.500 for nuclear

01:20:22.540 talks.

01:20:23.920 There was some

01:20:24.640 rumor that there

01:20:25.380 was going to be

01:20:25.900 a meeting not

01:20:27.400 too long from

01:20:28.520 now in which

01:20:29.220 Iran and the 0.58

01:20:29.840 U.S. would 0.98

01:20:30.320 talk about what

01:20:31.180 works and what

01:20:31.860 doesn't for their

01:20:33.260 domestic nuclear

01:20:34.220 program.

01:20:35.620 But now they're

01:20:37.860 saying the

01:20:38.560 public opinion

01:20:40.420 is so angry no

01:20:41.580 one even dares

01:20:42.220 to talk about

01:20:43.000 diplomacy.

01:20:43.680 That's according

01:20:45.760 to Esmail

01:20:46.600 Bengali.

01:20:49.980 So, let's

01:20:52.480 see, the

01:20:53.240 foreign minister.

01:20:55.180 So, it looks

01:20:55.840 like we're not

01:20:56.320 going to have

01:20:56.580 any talks

01:20:57.060 there.

01:20:59.560 Speaking of

01:21:00.360 Ukraine, so 0.57

01:21:02.580 Zelensky had a

01:21:03.600 conversation with

01:21:04.380 Trump in which

01:21:05.180 Zelensky said it

01:21:07.580 was their most

01:21:08.160 productive

01:21:08.660 conversation yet.

01:21:10.060 And he says

01:21:10.660 that Trump is

01:21:11.260 very unhappy

01:21:11.960 with Putin.

01:21:14.580 And Trump

01:21:15.380 has said the

01:21:15.840 same thing.

01:21:17.700 But Trump

01:21:18.920 has also said

01:21:19.660 recently that

01:21:20.300 Putin does not

01:21:21.020 want to work

01:21:21.480 toward a

01:21:21.920 ceasefire deal.

01:21:23.880 All right.

01:21:24.520 So, now

01:21:25.300 Trump has a

01:21:27.280 lot of

01:21:27.820 credibility and

01:21:30.040 ego and

01:21:31.040 I guess

01:21:33.500 reputational

01:21:34.440 risk if he

01:21:36.460 can't get the

01:21:37.200 Ukraine situation

01:21:38.420 sorted out.

01:21:40.200 And

01:21:40.760 reasonably soon.

01:21:42.240 If he waits

01:21:42.960 till the end

01:21:43.580 of his

01:21:43.960 four years,

01:21:46.700 it's not

01:21:47.160 going to be

01:21:47.460 nearly as

01:21:48.020 impressive because

01:21:49.120 you're just

01:21:49.860 going to say,

01:21:50.380 well, they

01:21:51.280 just got tired

01:21:51.940 of fighting.

01:21:53.380 But, what

01:21:54.800 levers does he

01:21:55.640 have left?

01:21:56.840 Because it

01:21:57.200 seems obvious

01:21:57.860 at this point

01:21:58.660 that Putin

01:21:59.200 thinks he's

01:21:59.860 winning and

01:22:01.280 is right because

01:22:02.540 he's still

01:22:03.160 capturing territory

01:22:04.240 and doesn't

01:22:06.120 have any

01:22:06.540 reason to

01:22:07.060 stop.

01:22:08.340 He's just

01:22:09.060 going to keep

01:22:09.540 going.

01:22:10.600 What possible

01:22:11.920 leverage does

01:22:13.440 Trump have?

01:22:14.320 He's already

01:22:15.000 starving Ukraine

01:22:16.480 of weapons

01:22:17.100 because the

01:22:17.960 U.S.

01:22:18.320 needs them

01:22:18.900 too.

01:22:19.880 And we

01:22:20.120 don't have

01:22:20.460 enough weapons.

01:22:21.340 I don't know

01:22:21.820 which ones,

01:22:22.540 but things

01:22:23.360 like anti-rocket

01:22:25.420 missiles and

01:22:26.420 stuff we need

01:22:27.720 for the United

01:22:28.260 States to

01:22:28.880 protect our

01:22:29.440 own assets.

01:22:31.040 So, what

01:22:33.040 is Trump

01:22:33.440 going to do?

01:22:34.460 Is Trump

01:22:35.420 going to go

01:22:36.240 wildly sending

01:22:37.860 them new

01:22:38.320 weapons?

01:22:39.820 Or, is

01:22:41.800 Trump going

01:22:42.440 to put

01:22:44.380 extra, super

01:22:45.620 duper sanctions

01:22:46.540 on Russia?

01:22:48.460 And I'm always

01:22:49.120 surprised.

01:22:49.740 It's like, is

01:22:50.360 there some

01:22:50.720 sanction we

01:22:51.400 haven't put on

01:22:52.200 them yet?

01:22:53.440 Have we really

01:22:54.260 been involved in

01:22:55.040 a war for years

01:22:56.020 and there were

01:22:56.740 sanctions we

01:22:57.440 could have put

01:22:58.160 on Russia that

01:22:59.680 for some reason

01:23:00.320 we didn't?

01:23:01.840 I don't know

01:23:02.580 what's left.

01:23:03.120 So, if you

01:23:06.560 were to look

01:23:07.000 at this as

01:23:08.560 any other

01:23:09.120 president, if it

01:23:10.400 were not

01:23:10.760 Trump, you

01:23:11.360 would say

01:23:11.700 there are no

01:23:12.220 levers.

01:23:13.560 The war is

01:23:14.340 going to keep

01:23:14.820 going until

01:23:15.580 Russia owns 0.99

01:23:17.480 all of Ukraine.

01:23:19.220 I mean, that

01:23:19.640 would be the

01:23:20.200 obvious direction

01:23:21.100 it's going.

01:23:22.200 But, when you

01:23:23.320 talk about

01:23:23.900 Trump, suddenly

01:23:25.740 all bets are

01:23:27.200 off.

01:23:27.500 because he

01:23:29.040 does have

01:23:29.760 that magic

01:23:30.340 ability to

01:23:31.920 find the

01:23:32.440 one solution

01:23:33.280 that nobody

01:23:34.600 was even

01:23:35.060 talking about

01:23:35.720 as a solution.

01:23:37.040 You know,

01:23:37.260 something that's

01:23:37.860 so far out of

01:23:38.500 the box that

01:23:40.140 you never even

01:23:40.960 thought of it.

01:23:42.500 Now, can he

01:23:43.740 pull the rabbit

01:23:44.420 out of the hat

01:23:45.140 with this?

01:23:46.560 Is there

01:23:47.000 something he

01:23:47.800 could do or

01:23:48.640 promise or

01:23:49.380 negotiate that

01:23:50.900 would get

01:23:51.240 Putin to

01:23:51.860 back down?

01:23:53.500 I don't see

01:23:54.380 it.

01:23:55.840 But, it'll be

01:23:56.800 very fun to

01:23:57.880 see if he can

01:23:58.820 pull that

01:23:59.400 rabbit out of

01:24:00.020 a hat.

01:24:00.980 So, the fact

01:24:01.620 that I don't

01:24:02.120 see any way

01:24:02.800 he can do

01:24:03.240 it, probably

01:24:05.440 doesn't predict

01:24:06.200 that he can

01:24:06.740 or can't do

01:24:07.300 it.

01:24:07.760 That would

01:24:08.240 just be my

01:24:08.780 own limitation.

01:24:11.300 And that,

01:24:12.060 ladies and 0.98

01:24:12.360 gentlemen, is

01:24:12.840 what I forgot

01:24:13.280 to say today.

01:24:14.580 I knew I'd

01:24:15.100 go a little

01:24:15.440 long because

01:24:16.180 there's so much

01:24:17.220 news out there

01:24:18.000 about you

01:24:18.440 deserved it

01:24:19.640 because it's

01:24:20.200 Sunday and

01:24:20.900 you like the

01:24:21.820 long ones.

01:24:22.580 All right.

01:24:24.620 To my

01:24:25.520 beloved

01:24:26.060 subscribers on

01:24:27.160 Locals, I'm

01:24:28.200 going to come

01:24:28.640 to you privately

01:24:29.500 in a moment.

01:24:31.440 And the rest

01:24:31.980 of you, thank

01:24:33.140 you so much

01:24:33.960 for joining.

01:24:35.320 And come

01:24:36.220 back tomorrow,

01:24:36.880 same time,

01:24:37.380 same place.

01:24:38.220 Probably be a

01:24:38.780 little shorter

01:24:39.240 tomorrow.

01:24:40.600 All right.

01:24:42.740 Local

01:24:43.260 supporters.

01:24:52.580 Thank you.

01:25:08.400 Thank you.

01:25:09.720 Thank you.

01:25:39.720 Thank you.

01:26:09.720 Thank you.

01:26:39.720 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 06, 2025

Episode 2889 CWSA 07⧸06⧸25

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