Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2890 CWSA 07⧸07⧸25

00:00:00.000 can you hear my AC that just went on I hope not you don't hear the background

00:00:07.600 noise do you I usually turn it off but it got me came on just when I went live

00:00:16.760 all right come on in here grab a seat up front it's gonna be wild a good time

00:00:26.040 would be had by everyone all right let me get my comments going you sound great

00:00:43.260 that's why I want to hear I want to hear that I sound great and look great and

00:00:49.020 act great good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human

00:01:02.580 civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams and it's the best thing that

00:01:07.440 ever happened to you but if you'd like to try to elevate this experience up to

00:01:13.580 levels that no one can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains well

00:01:20.300 for that you're gonna need a cup or a mug or a glass of tanker gels with stein a

00:01:26.120 canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like

00:01:32.440 coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine end of the day

00:01:37.420 the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it

00:01:42.680 happens now go so so good all right what do we have here thank you Paul well I saw a

00:02:01.680 trailer for the new Superman movie and boy was I surprised they may see the the ads

00:02:09.260 for the new Superman movie I didn't know what I was seeing because it looks like

00:02:15.860 they're actually gonna do a movie where Superman will be played by and I don't

00:02:21.560 know this for sure but it looked like a straight white man is playing Superman in

00:02:28.100 a new movie honestly I didn't see that coming I was really expecting kind of a

00:02:35.020 albino black disabled lesbian kind of a situation but no they have boldly gone 0.97

00:02:42.340 where nobody could go lately with a straight white protagonist so who I might

00:02:49.780 check that out unless they have somebody tied to a chair that's that's my rule out

00:02:56.500 for any movie did you really need to tie that guy to a chair all right well if you

00:03:05.380 watch soccer you know that the gold cup concluded yesterday and Mexico and the US

00:03:12.880 were in the finals and the better team won Mexico look like they're just a better

00:03:19.660 soccer team frankly but was it predictable was it predictable that Mexico would win

00:03:29.320 apparently Mexico doesn't usually beat the US soccer team I didn't know that but I

00:03:34.840 learned that yesterday but this time they did well if I ever told you that the

00:03:41.080 best story usually wins the best story usually wins now this is very related to my other point of

00:03:51.100 view that the most entertaining outcome is the one that's most likely the best story and the most

00:03:58.660 entertaining outcome are kind of the same now if you were going to use that to predict who would

00:04:04.060 win in the context of Trump closing the border and getting tough with Mexico and the Mexicans being

00:04:13.480 very unhappy I would guess with at least the government of the United States at the moment who is more

00:04:20.780 likely to win the bully which would be the United States even though I had nothing to do with the

00:04:26.740 soccer team or the victims of the bully which would be the Mexican soccer team but again not the actual

00:04:35.800 players just the idea of one country versus another and so if you would use that standard which is

00:04:43.720 weirdly predictive it is so predictive that the best story would win the best story was Mexico winning

00:04:51.220 and they they played like they wanted to win it was pretty pretty fun to watch we'll get to the news in a moment

00:05:00.280 but I have to tell you about the inedible sandwich somebody invented a sandwich that you can't eat I

00:05:09.640 discovered this by door dashing that sandwich so all you have to do to make a sandwich that actually can't be eaten is

00:05:18.040 you should get a nice crunchy hard baguette kind of a French bread roll and then you put in between

00:05:27.940 the two pieces of bread you put really soft things like avocado and tomato and other things are soft and

00:05:38.500 squishy because when you bite into the hard part your teeth won't go through the hard part because it just

00:05:46.420 compresses the sandwich into the soft stuff so by the time you take one bite into the sandwich a hundred

00:05:53.140 percent of the contents are on your lap now I tried everything I tried everything but it was a sandwich that

00:06:02.380 couldn't be eaten it was an inedible sandwich if you ever had one of those and you know as long as the

00:06:10.480 a bun was much harder than the contents there was no solution so I ended up you know just eating with my eating the

00:06:18.300 contents with my fingers and throwing away the bun but probably that was the healthiest thing I could do throw away the bun

00:06:27.100 well according to Elon Musk the algorithm on x has been tweaked and improved so that you could maybe discover

00:06:39.100 smaller accounts have good posts but I'll tell you one thing it didn't do is it did not change my bubble I don't even

00:06:49.100 I don't even remember the last time Democrats saw something I posted on x and I don't remember seeing anything that a

00:06:57.100 Democrat posted I get exactly one troll every time I make a comment that's in any way positive about Trump or

00:07:07.100 Republicans always one and it always looks like they're they're operating off a troll kind of instructions because they all say the

00:07:17.100 same thing now you might see it so if you if you see it in my account someday you'll know what it is they say they

00:07:25.100 don't even they don't even comment on what it is that I'm commenting on instead they leave one comment and it's always just

00:07:32.100 one person and a different one each time that's how I know it's organized and they'll say is this how you plan to spend your

00:07:40.100 remaining days on earth so they mock me for being having a terminal disease and and then they don't even mention

00:07:51.100 anything that's wrong with what I said they just try to shame me into thinking that I should not be spending

00:07:57.100 my final minutes worrying about such things one a day now if I got 10 of those a day I'd say oh I just must be people are

00:08:07.100 terrible but it's one on every political comment I mean it just looks programmed

00:08:14.100 really so anyway I have no access to any Democrats so nothing I say influences anything unless it gets to

00:08:24.100 somebody like Trump and you know maybe he quotes it or something but I can talk all day long and no Democrat

00:08:32.100 would ever see it just a couple of trolls that's it so that's not ideal so Elon has said he's thinking

00:08:44.100 about building a solar gigafactory so that would make solar panels and the batteries that would store it now I

00:08:55.100 would like to go back to all of you who told me there is no economical way to introduce solar into the

00:09:02.100 the network you know for part of the grid but why would must be even thinking about it if there's

00:09:11.100 no way to do it economically do you think he would depend entirely on government subsidies I don't think

00:09:19.100 he would gamble on government subsidies at the moment because he's pretty going pretty hard at the government

00:09:26.100 we'll talk about that but it seems to me that betting on Elon Musk is a smarter bet especially about

00:09:35.100 technology and the economics of that technology it seems like agreeing with him as a smart play

00:09:41.100 but people have decided that he's the only person in the world who can do 50 genius things in a row and then the moment 0.68

00:09:53.100 there's something that you feel like you care about you think that you're smarter than him it's the damnedest

00:10:00.100 thing like I love people's ego oh yeah well on this topic that I don't know anything about I read an article

00:10:10.100 once so I guess I'm smarter than the smartest guy in the world maybe not maybe not

00:10:17.100 when I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners I started wondering is every

00:10:25.100 fabulous item I see from winners like that woman over there with the designer jeans are those from 1.00

00:10:31.100 winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price or that leather tote or that cashmere 0.99

00:10:37.100 sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price for

00:10:43.100 anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less anyway in a related news according to

00:10:53.100 interesting engineering China one of their big tech giants Huawei just filed a patent for a battery that they've

00:11:04.100 juiced to have an 1800 mile range for automobiles and it's solid state EV and they filed a patent they think it can get over

00:11:16.100 1800 miles in one charge and charge 80% of it up to 80% of it in five minutes now I'm not saying that Elon would use that

00:11:28.100 technology because Tesla would probably invent its own stuff but I would bet you that somewhere in

00:11:34.100 Tesla there's a laboratory where they're testing all kinds of new battery manufacturing and and storage

00:11:42.100 and this one would be about three times better than normal two to three times better than normal batteries

00:11:50.100 so if you're betting on batteries and solar never being competitive economically you really have to

00:12:00.100 calculate in the fact that it can improve by you know 200 or 300 percent within a year I'm not saying it will

00:12:10.100 but its potential is it's going to improve you know maybe five times ten times in ten years

00:12:20.100 changing the topic here for a second I added an interview I guess you'd call it that a podcast

00:12:30.100 with Jordan Peterson the other day now it's not published it'll be on his site not mine so Jordan Peterson was nice

00:12:38.100 enough to talk to me for a few hours I'll let you know I'll let you know when it's on YouTube

00:12:46.100 but one of the things he mentioned is that envy is a motivator like if somebody envies something

00:12:54.100 it'll get you off the couch but not in a good way and I was thinking you know that really explains a lot

00:13:02.100 a lot of what we see that we think is politics because if you're doing fine yourself or you expect

00:13:10.100 to do fine then Trump doesn't bother you but if you're not doing fine and you don't expect to do fine

00:13:18.100 the fact that he's a billionaire who's had this privileged life and everything seems to work out for him

00:13:24.100 and you know he's he's got beautiful women in his past etc you probably have a lot of envy same with 0.99

00:13:30.100 uh musk and also same with the mega base because the mega base at the moment is getting everything at once

00:13:40.100 well not quite we'll talk about that um but they're also happy imagine being

00:13:46.100 one of the 50 percent of Democrats who are depressed and being treated by a therapist and you put out

00:13:58.100 200 job interview requests and got no answers at all so you can't even get a job and pay for your groceries 0.96

00:14:06.100 and those darn maggie people seem to be working and having babies and having a good time 1.00

00:14:12.100 I wonder if envy is something like 80 percent of all political opinion if you're a socialist it's really 0.98

00:14:22.100 about bringing down the people who did better than you right it's not even as much about improving the

00:14:30.100 people at the bottom as it is about reducing the distance between the top and the bottom so this kind of

00:14:38.100 changed my uh my filter on life i used to think oh there must be a hundred reasons to not like somebody or something

00:14:50.100 but what if there's only one if they're doing better than you you just don't like it

00:14:56.980 now i've got a unique um window into that because i was born in a town where i was not one of the

00:15:06.100 the rich ones you know we were we were on the lower end of the economic spectrum but i was directly

00:15:12.580 across from a ski slope where all the richest people hung out so every every morning i look out this big

00:15:20.340 window and i'd be standing in the house that my parents literally built with their own two hands

00:15:26.660 because they couldn't afford to buy house and i'm looking at all the rich people skiing because you

00:15:32.260 actually see them skiing and you see the big houses on the mountain and i would i would be filled with

00:15:39.300 envy and it would be very motivating and i i would think damn it i'm gonna have to be a lawyer or a

00:15:47.620 business person i gotta make some money i gotta compete with all these rich people on the mountain

00:15:54.020 so i definitely feel it um i think entry probably describes most of life but there are two kinds of

00:16:03.140 envy the benign type which is what i just described benign as in all it did was motivate me but it

00:16:11.300 definitely motivated me and then there's a malicious type where somebody says hey wouldn't it be a good

00:16:19.220 idea to destroy a tesla dealership that would be the bad kind and you saw how easily people went into

00:16:30.500 i mean were were you amazed how easy it was to get people to destroy tesla automobiles do you think that

00:16:38.180 was just a political opinion no that was envy i think that was envy disguised as some kind of political action

00:16:50.180 well as you know elon musk says he's going to start a third party called the america party

00:16:56.420 um i would like to apologize in advance that i will write that as american party instead of america

00:17:04.580 party and i will get that wrong 100 more times because that's a problem with the name it's easily easily

00:17:11.380 confused but uh he hasn't filed the paperwork yet there was a hoax hoax online that showed some fec paperwork

00:17:21.860 files but that was not true they got debunked and i noticed that when people talk about elon musk and

00:17:30.900 his third party thing that many people default to what i call analogy thinking

00:17:36.340 analogy thinking analogy thinking is where something reminds you of something else

00:17:42.900 and then you mistakenly believe that because it reminds you of something else

00:17:48.180 that the new thing will take the same direction as the thing that reminds you of

00:17:51.780 that is not reason it's not argument it's not logic

00:18:00.980 it's it's really just bad thinking now i do think that analogies can give you an idea where to look

00:18:09.860 you know if you want to look for well what are the problems with this idea an analogy might suggest

00:18:15.620 oh these other people tried to do that and they got this result so maybe you should look into that

00:18:21.780 so it might be useful the analogy but not for winning an argument and not for predicting

00:18:29.860 however the third party ambitions of musk reminded a lot of people of um

00:18:37.780 um what what's his name ross perot now the ross perot situation had so many differences

00:18:48.340 from what it is that we're experiencing that if your only analysis was didn't work for ross perot

00:18:55.060 all he did was make it impossible for a republican to win so that's what musk is doing same thing 0.92

00:19:00.900 well i don't think you fully thought it through but it's possible it's possible that the only thing

00:19:08.820 that comes out of it is that it makes it hard for republicans to win it's possible but as a prediction

00:19:16.980 it's not really a good prediction it's not like one thing leads to the other in some kind of

00:19:22.740 you know unstoppable uh line of cause and effect there's a lot of a lot of variables here

00:19:29.940 so i'd i'd looked at uh elon musk's uh statements about his third party and i did a post in which

00:19:38.820 i said the first thing you need to know i'm paraphrasing is that he's not said he's interested in

00:19:45.620 running a presidential candidate he said he was interested in getting a handful of senators and house

00:19:53.620 representatives who would be independent and you know not not wed to either party so that uh you

00:20:02.020 know for important things that matter to the country they might be able to sway the total vote

00:20:07.940 uh and uh that elon retweeted my explanation that he was not not planning to have a presidential

00:20:18.180 candidate in his third party and i thought to myself oh look at me i did something useful

00:20:24.740 so people were confused about that question and i accurately accurately determined that he wasn't

00:20:33.940 planning to do that because he retweeted it well was it maybe an hour later

00:20:40.980 i found out i was wrong so it wasn't long it was the same day he he said uh just to clarify again i'm

00:20:52.740 paraphrasing just to clarify uh i might someday want to run a presidential candidate

00:21:00.580 to which i said oh shit that's the ross perot problem if he runs a presidential candidate that's 0.61

00:21:09.300 just the ross perot problem right um and i it does seem more likely although he's never said this 0.97

00:21:17.700 that he would pick people who were more likely to take votes from republicans than democrats but he's

00:21:26.020 never said that what if it's exactly the opposite what if he went to uh get some ex-democrats who people

00:21:40.260 who were also democrats didn't find objectionable because these ex-democrats were not mega so even

00:21:49.140 you know hypothetically let's say they joined the third party and they win their election

00:21:54.500 if you were a democrat you would know that they were not mega because they would never say any mega

00:22:01.460 stuff and you might say you know what um i just can't vote for kamala harris so i'm going to take a

00:22:07.940 chance on this one so the first thing we don't know is if he's going to be picking people that republicans

00:22:14.340 will like better than democrats like them or maybe it's a you know three of three of each

00:22:20.660 we don't know i'm not sure he knows it sounds like he's sort of figuring it out as he goes

00:22:27.140 um so there is there is a hypothetical path where all he does is make the world a better place

00:22:39.300 and that would be if he stays away from the presidential choice

00:22:42.580 and he gets some uh some middle of the road standard people who democrats like

00:22:51.780 and those democrats say you know what i don't think we should spend a lot of money on climate change

00:22:58.580 i'll just pick that as my example but you still might get democrats to say all right but uh we like

00:23:06.820 because you used to be a democrat and i can't vote for trump or i can't vote for whoever replaces

00:23:11.780 trump and i can't vote for connell harris or some other democrat so there is a there is a path

00:23:19.620 where things get a lot better because congress could make decisions and get majorities

00:23:24.340 that match what the public wants it's possible but it's really possible that it goes the other way

00:23:35.060 right that all he does is weaken the republican party and then nothing gets done it's just you know

00:23:42.420 total total skunk fight but the the thing that amused me most there's a number of people who are sure

00:23:51.300 that although elon musk has conquered a number of unrelated fields that this would be the limit of

00:23:58.180 his ability that he could figure out how to you know put a rocket to mars and build electric cars and

00:24:05.220 put a put a chip in your skull he can do all that but you know there's no way that he understands

00:24:13.940 people he only understands machines and software and hardware does that sound

00:24:21.540 anything like true to you do you really believe that the guy who's one of the best posters on x

00:24:31.380 doesn't understand people the person who made products that people can't resist such as tesla do you

00:24:40.340 really think he doesn't understand the market or how people react do you really think he got all those

00:24:47.300 people to have tents in the hallway at his ai company and they're sleeping overnight and he you

00:24:54.980 know he got that to work because he does the same thing he just sleeps there until the problem is solved

00:25:00.180 do you think that's because he doesn't understand people

00:25:04.660 i would argue that he understands people as well as he understands

00:25:09.780 hardware and software which is a lot i don't see any evidence whatsoever that he doesn't understand

00:25:18.260 people now i do see evidence certainly not conclusive that there might be something bipolar going on

00:25:27.060 that you know every now and then he he uh he goes further than even he wishes he had gone and pulls it back

00:25:36.980 so there's something going on but i don't think that that's new and probably you know that's probably one

00:25:44.660 of the driving forces behind this success that uh if you're bipolar uh if you're having you know the

00:25:52.420 the manic phase you can get a lot done i know this because i'm a little bit bipolar um it doesn't affect

00:26:00.980 my life because i don't get the the down i only get the up but every now and then i'll get this what has

00:26:09.140 to be a manic phase than my last two or three weeks and wow can you get stuff done unbelievable

00:26:18.580 so i'm not sure that any of that's going to predict what's going to happen but let me just give you this

00:26:24.820 caution if you believe that elon musk is brilliant enough to do all the things that he obviously has

00:26:31.780 done but you believe he has this one area that he's not brilliant and you know more than he does about

00:26:38.340 it you should check your thinking because the hypothesis that you know more than he does about

00:26:46.660 anything about anything is a little sketchy right and even if you do know more than he does about

00:26:55.860 let's say politics how long is it going to take him to figure out more than you know

00:27:01.060 an afternoon politics isn't that complicated neither are people people are not terribly complicated

00:27:10.580 they they follow incentives if you knew that people followed incentives and they're they're also driven

00:27:17.460 on envy you would be almost done in understanding people how many times have i told you all right let's

00:27:25.460 predict predict predict something about this by saying follow the money i say it all the time i mean i

00:27:33.380 didn't invent it obviously it's an old saying but it's an old saying because it works are people really

00:27:40.660 that hard to understand that you think that elon musk is the only person who can't figure it out

00:27:47.700 because he's some sort of a robot or something no i don't know if it's going to work i don't know if

00:27:53.700 he's bluffing i don't know if he is really just trying to create some leverage to get a few things

00:27:58.260 he wants we don't know what's in his head and we definitely don't know how this third party things

00:28:03.860 are going to work out um if you want to take on it i would say at the moment i'm not sold

00:28:11.940 so i wouldn't personally join it because i don't know what it's about or you know who's going to be in

00:28:18.180 it but could he upgrade it to the point where i would yes it's within the realm of possibility

00:28:26.980 i'm not i'm not tempted at the moment because there's not enough clarity but maybe someday

00:28:35.220 i'd have to hear an argument i've never heard and the argument i've never heard would be the one that

00:28:40.020 says this is how this makes the world a better place if he can sell me on that that he's figured

00:28:47.860 down some kind of clever work around to make the world a better place with a third party i'm all 1.00

00:28:53.940 in i'm all in and i might be because the odds of him making a good argument are pretty good the other

00:29:03.620 possibility is that after he is you know he's struggled with it a little bit that he decides there's no path

00:29:12.900 that makes sense so that's possible so either one of those is possible so i'm going to reserve

00:29:18.820 judgment but no i'm not uh i'm not thinking i can't wait to join all right um

00:29:33.060 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:29:37.540 learn more at scotia bank.com banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than

00:29:44.180 you think so i saw a post on x by umair

00:29:50.180 u-m-a-i-r-h and uh the poster said do you guys think the fall of the roman empire was also this

00:29:58.980 incredibly stupid uh i've spent way too much time watching the history channel and youtube videos 0.97

00:30:09.220 about ancient civilizations that were dominant during their time and then just disappeared 0.99

00:30:14.900 you know the the romans the incans the the mayans you could just go down the list and it's very sobering

00:30:23.540 because when i was a child i believed that i would never see the end of the american empire

00:30:31.300 but i'll bet you great britain once thought that too oh we've conquered half the world probably the

00:30:38.100 mongols thought that so it turns out that uh most of the dominant uh civilizations eventually fall

00:30:49.540 um elon musk answered this fellow on x when he said do you think the roman empire was also this 0.78

00:30:57.060 incredibly stupid and elon said yeah they wrote about their own demise extensively did you know that 0.89

00:31:04.180 that that you don't have to wonder what caused the roman empire to fall they were writing about it as 1.00

00:31:10.420 it was happening and guess what it was too much debt guess why because they needed too much of a military

00:31:21.780 to defend themselves and there was too much envy i'm making up that last part but in the sense the people

00:31:31.380 who wanted more kept pushing for more and as they got more they ran out of money and then it fell apart

00:31:42.500 now i may be of course oversimplifying it greatly it could be that other civilizations died because

00:31:50.260 the spanish conquistadors came over and gave them deadly diseases and then six months later they were all dead

00:31:57.380 so there are lots of reasons it could be floods could be natural disasters could be wars there are

00:32:04.100 lots of things that can destroy a dominant empire but i'm going to summarize it this way given all of the

00:32:13.300 civilizations around the world if you think about all the countries and all the micro civilizations within

00:32:20.580 those countries everywhere there would be thousands of them right and there are only a few um countries that

00:32:30.740 have dominant civilizations you know us china maybe the european union you know maybe maybe you throw in russia

00:32:42.100 but they have kind of a tiny economy so my take is this it's very rare for all of the variables to line up

00:32:52.260 for any one country to be a dominant civilization in other words it's like me hitting putts from 15 feet

00:33:00.820 sometimes all three go in from 15 feet away i did that the other day

00:33:05.540 but far more likely i miss all three or make only one so it could be

00:33:14.180 just so obvious that what's going on is that if any civilization becomes dominant like the us is or was

00:33:23.300 and the uk was that the odds of it staying that way or just venisonly small because everything had to be

00:33:31.700 right at the same time and that would be rare so i'm not so sure that you can you can look at

00:33:40.260 somebody else's example like rome and say well rome had this set of problems so we might

00:33:47.220 but again it's an analogy so whatever problems i did have you'd probably want to look there first

00:33:54.180 say well i got an idea what we should look at should we look at our debt

00:33:58.900 and uh that's why elon musk's contribution is so important because we were sleepwalking toward complete ruin

00:34:09.620 from debt and he didn't stop it but boy did he stop the way we talk about it and think about it

00:34:18.100 and the priority we put on it and uh and look how hard he's fighting to try to reverse it

00:34:26.420 so i don't know did rome have that did rome have an elon musk with the x platform and billions of

00:34:35.220 dollars uh fighting as hard as he could to stop the spending from ruining us is it possible

00:34:44.260 that we have the variable that fixes stuff and we're not the same as all those other civilizations

00:34:51.060 that failed it's possible it's possible that we've attracted the right kind of people who are fixers

00:35:00.900 that no matter how bad the problem is as long as you have enough time that you can pull together the

00:35:06.420 right people and say all right we're dead if we don't fix this so then you fix it i don't know if rome

00:35:13.780 could have done that because they didn't have the right kind of communication to find the smartest

00:35:19.300 people and and motivate them but we do so i always think that the existence of the internet which is a

00:35:27.380 lot which allows you to gather resources and information and wisdom from far places and concentrate

00:35:34.260 them where they need to be that it could be that the internet is the thing that allows a dominant

00:35:40.900 civilization to stay there a little bit longer you know unless there's a nuclear war or new coven that 0.91

00:35:48.260 kills you which might be well meanwhile president trump has threatened to impose a 10 extra tariff on top

00:35:58.500 of his existing tariffs for any countries that align themselves with the bricks so the bricks are those

00:36:05.300 uh those uh those smallish not small but non-superpower countries

00:36:14.020 uh well actually russia's in there and china's in there so they are superpowers take that back so

00:36:19.540 there would be sort of like a anti-american block of powers trying to make sure that the u.s doesn't have

00:36:27.060 all the economic clout and trump's making sure that they don't go too far

00:36:35.300 by threatening them with tariffs will that work i don't know it might the he already scared them off

00:36:43.540 from pursuing a currency that's not the dollar they were definitely pursuing that and he threatened

00:36:50.340 them and they said oh we'll put that on hold so threats do work we've seen the tariff threat work

00:36:59.060 now a few times right and uh i guess uh trump is now sending out a hundred letters to various countries

00:37:09.380 that did not uh get a trade deal done with us and uh scott besant is framing this rather cleverly

00:37:18.580 uh besant is really good on the interviews and on the public stuff but instead of saying we gave up on

00:37:26.020 getting deals so we're just going to send them a letter telling them what they're going to pay in

00:37:30.180 tariffs he says that is the deal and he's not wrong no we have a deal with 100 countries there's 100

00:37:39.700 countries that had all the time in the world to make a deal with us and we were willing to make a deal

00:37:46.980 it didn't happen so now the new deal is we'll tell them what they're going to pay in tariffs and that's

00:37:54.260 it that's the deal now if they wanted in the next uh three weeks uh because i guess it won't go into

00:38:03.940 effect until august 1st if they wanted to the us would say oh do you want to try to get a proper trade

00:38:11.860 deal that isn't just us charging you more with tariffs and uh we would say yes to that yeah we'll do

00:38:20.500 that absolutely but i like i love his reframe that instead of failing so we're just sending them the

00:38:28.500 bill we have just succeeded but in a shortcutted way the shortcut is we don't need a new trade deal

00:38:38.260 we're just going to send you the bill that is the new trade deal i kind of love that

00:38:42.980 uh basent is really good at framing issues um and uh dana bash asked just got basent she goes that's

00:38:56.740 not a deal that's a threat that the threat would be that you know they're they're gonna have to pay

00:39:02.660 more in tariffs and basent says no that's the level that's the deal good reframe

00:39:08.660 thailand apparently did come up with a deal so thailand negotiated a deal and they're going to

00:39:18.980 import more u.s natural gas and more of our corn to reduce the trade deficit with thailand so that's

00:39:28.260 good and they're they offered to cut levies to zero on many u.s imports not 100 of them but many of the

00:39:36.820 important ones and uh they said it's not just about reducing tariffs but also about opening up trade

00:39:45.860 so there you go thailand did the smart thing by negotiating when they had a chance to negotiate so

00:39:54.900 probably they're getting a better deal than they would have gotten i hope they did

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00:41:02.580 you want to talk about epstein don't you so apparently the justice department

00:41:10.500 if you haven't heard this yet if this is the first time you're hearing this

00:41:14.020 it's gonna make your head explode but the justice department just released a 10-hour video

00:41:21.860 or some say 11-hour video of the what they say is epstein's jail cell to show that nobody went in or

00:41:30.660 out and therefore they have concluded that he did he must have taken his own life because there's no

00:41:38.180 video of him going in and out now

00:41:42.660 didn't you didn't you understand that there was no video of that

00:41:46.980 but where did they suddenly come up with some video of that

00:41:50.740 it wasn't a video of the cell it was a video of the access to the cell

00:41:55.860 and then i looked at the video and i said to myself i don't even know what doors is

00:41:59.940 i don't know what i'm looking at what the hell is this and other people weighed in and apparently

00:42:07.380 you do not see anything that would tell you whether anybody had access or not some of it is because it

00:42:13.700 looks like there's an edit that might have lost a minute some of it is it wasn't even looking in the

00:42:19.220 right place uh some of it is if somebody was already in there before the 10-hour video they could

00:42:27.620 have got it done and then left afterwards so no the video that they're showing us has no

00:42:35.940 persuasive value to any of us if any of that convinced you no because we didn't even get

00:42:43.300 really a straight story about what video existed and i guess they said that the video cameras didn't

00:42:50.100 work in his cell well that's a pretty big coincidence uh now one of the possibilities that they didn't

00:42:57.940 look into is that there was somebody already in that general area um you know before the video or

00:43:05.380 or even that the video was in the wrong place maybe maybe it wasn't even where you could tell if somebody

00:43:10.820 got in there but so we don't believe that but it gets better not only has the justice department declared

00:43:21.060 that it was definitely a suicide um but the systemic review revealed no incriminating client list

00:43:32.180 there's no client list you know how all of us for years have been saying

00:43:38.740 well why don't you show us the client list and now they're now their official pronouncement is

00:43:46.100 there was never a client list

00:43:50.820 now that might be true it might be true there was never a client list maybe he didn't write that stuff

00:43:55.860 down but uh so there was so he wasn't murdered and there was no client list

00:44:05.140 um and there was also no evidence that he blackmailed prominent individuals

00:44:14.740 no suicide no client list and no evidence that he blackmailed anybody

00:44:22.580 okay um and we did not uncover evidence this is a department of justice we did not uncover evidence

00:44:30.180 that could predicate an investigation against uncharged third parties they didn't find any evidence

00:44:40.500 that would make some non-epstein person that was involved with them guilty of a crime nothing

00:44:49.860 well end uh wokeness one of my favorite accounts to follow on x

00:44:54.180 pointed out that in 2019 the fbi raided epstein's home in new york city not the island but his home

00:45:03.540 and discovered hidden safes with computer disks and stashes of footage

00:45:09.140 um do you know what happened to all those computer tapes and uh computer disks take a guess

00:45:16.580 you want to guess you want to guess they went missing

00:45:23.860 yep went missing so now we've got the video the video of a cell was accidentally erased there were no

00:45:35.620 videos on the island apparently or they went missing and the ones from his home in new york city

00:45:42.900 they definitely exist but then they went missing

00:45:48.420 so

00:45:48.740 apparently galane maxwell got convicted for doing something that had no victims and no evidence of

00:46:00.180 any crime what did they convict her of i'm a little confused and do you remember virginia joffrey who

00:46:09.380 recently died tragically she was claiming that you know she was victimized many times and there were

00:46:17.380 many other people on the island who were victimized did they talk to all of those other people did they

00:46:23.700 talk to all of the young women who were allegedly victimized on the island and not one of them

00:46:31.060 not one of them named a name does that sound right

00:46:37.940 so

00:46:40.500 let's just say

00:46:42.980 um and then this old man which is the name of an account an ex

00:46:48.580 posts this i can't believe epstein killed himself right before it was about to be acquitted due to a

00:46:55.300 complete lack of evidence yeah why would he kill himself if there was no evidence he did any crime

00:47:08.340 it's so bad

00:47:10.340 you know this is a obviously it's a crime against the public

00:47:14.740 don't you feel like the crime is against you at this point

00:47:17.380 yes you do the crime is against us but it's so bad it just seems funny

00:47:25.940 and then mike ben's uh reminds us on x that alex acosta so he was the doj of doj official who gave

00:47:35.220 epstein the sweetheart plea deal back in 2008 so you remember there were sort of two waves of

00:47:43.460 uh of uh justice against epstein one got wrapped up by ellen dershowitz who did a good job of lawyering 1.00

00:47:51.540 for him apparently and he got sort of a good deal that nobody believed it could be that good and so

00:47:58.980 he you know got out of jail free um but alex acosta the doj doj person in charge of that

00:48:07.060 um was quoted as saying he was told to quote back off of epstein because he belonged to intelligence

00:48:16.500 so that's the doj guy telling us directly that he was told to back off because he's part of the

00:48:22.980 intelligence network do you think he would make that up do you think that the department of justice

00:48:31.700 person who was working on the case would just make up just completely event or hallucinate that he had

00:48:41.700 been told to back off because abstain is part of the intelligence world well it's not likely

00:48:50.420 but it gets better apparently uh acosta had 11 months of emails that that were for that time period

00:48:57.620 that also fill in the blank what happened to 11 months of his emails what do you think let's see

00:49:05.300 how well you can guess oh yeah they disappeared

00:49:12.100 so how many things have disappeared now virginia joffrey the the main witness she disappeared

00:49:20.340 because she died young for reasons that i don't know where i don't know we're innocent but it's part of a

00:49:29.460 pattern so we lost all this guy's emails we lost the uh all the videos and tapes that were at epstein's

00:49:37.940 house and we lost the video of the cell and apparently the um epstein did not keep records of his clients

00:49:51.300 does any of that sound real to you well how many of you remember that i've been telling you since the

00:49:58.180 beginning that even though trump was now claiming that you're going to see all the everything that

00:50:04.420 could be seen and even though i believe that kash patel meant it when he said we're going to release

00:50:10.180 everything and even though i told you that i think dan bongino is an honest guy and when he told you that

00:50:16.660 they're going to get to the bottom of it or release it they meant it and even though you knew there was

00:50:23.860 something there and you trusted trump and you trusted bongino and you trusted cash patel

00:50:31.780 for this topic i still predicted that there would be nothing coming out from the epstein files

00:50:39.620 does anybody remember me making that prediction over and over again i think i probably said it 20 times

00:50:47.380 in public or posted it that we'll never see the epstein stuff well what do you think now

00:50:54.340 now i'm sure some of you felt the same thing but do you have any doubt what's going on here

00:51:04.180 it's almost so clownishly obvious what's going on it's almost as if cash patel and bongino want you to

00:51:13.300 know the truth because i'll say again i believe that bongino and cash patel are honest guys who meant

00:51:23.300 it when they said we're going to tell you everything but they're clearly not telling us everything

00:51:29.940 so what would change that it's it's exactly what it looks like somebody got to them and said i know

00:51:38.420 you want to do this i know you want to do the right thing i know you're honest people and i know you

00:51:42.740 promised the public here's why you can't do it there would be real problems like really really big

00:51:50.820 problems as in it might take down the government it might take down the government not ours but it

00:51:59.220 might take down some government so i don't even know if we're protecting our own people or our own cia

00:52:05.940 or you know that's the obvious thing you think of but it could be we're protecting some other government

00:52:11.780 government or governments and that's not nothing so let me give cash patel and dan bongino

00:52:24.660 and pam bondi too i'm going to give them a little bit of cover it goes like this if you put me in

00:52:31.620 their situation and i had promised you i'm definitely going to show you all this stuff that that we find

00:52:37.540 and then somebody came to me and said look you're not going to believe this but if you release this

00:52:43.860 stuff one of our nato allies will go down and we just can't do that could they talk me into not

00:52:53.140 releasing it and also lying about why i couldn't release it and the answer is yes they absolutely

00:52:59.860 could talk me into it now maybe my example is not the greatest one but if they had an example where

00:53:05.700 people would die or nations would fall and their nations that are our allies or um i don't know

00:53:15.540 somebody would be murdered um i could be convinced that there was a national security reason to lie

00:53:23.140 to the public because remember if you are a spy or you are protecting national security secrets you are

00:53:31.540 allowed to lie right you're allowed to lie you're not just allowed it's your job description you you

00:53:42.020 better lie because you're protecting the country or some big national interest so obviously the uh

00:53:50.180 i think it's obvious that the epstein situation must have touched at least one um one electrified rail

00:53:58.820 and that somebody got to the people who were investigating and said nope nope i know you mean well

00:54:08.100 but this is not going to happen and it could be that they were threatened with death

00:54:14.500 you wouldn't i wouldn't rule that out it could be that the people investigating it including the

00:54:20.180 managers found out that now you're gonna you would be assassinated if you continue pushing this

00:54:26.900 this so um they may have reasons but i was pretty sure we'd never find out and then in a related news

00:54:36.980 the daily caller is reporting that trump says he's quote satisfied with the fbo fbi probe into the the

00:54:45.620 butler attempted assassination of him let me say that again the same day we're finding out that

00:54:53.860 that it looks like our government's gonna lie to us about epstein for our trump says that of this

00:55:02.980 very sketchy kind of weird assassination attempt where none of us believe that he did it alone

00:55:10.580 and he had i don't know he had some apps and and all that and none of it kind of made sense

00:55:16.580 do you believe that trump is legitimately convinced that there's nothing there to see it was just a

00:55:24.420 crazy guy acting independently do you believe that i don't i think that probably it was the same

00:55:34.660 phenomenon don't know i mean this is just a gut feeling but probably there's plenty dirty in that

00:55:42.740 story and somebody got to trump or trump figured it out on his own and he realized that pushing that button

00:55:51.620 would get somebody killed and he decided not to get somebody killed especially him or his family

00:55:59.380 so no i don't believe that he's satisfied with the fbi probe on the baller assassination attempt

00:56:06.020 i don't believe it at all i believe he said it and i believe he wants you to believe it but i don't believe it

00:56:14.820 now

00:56:17.380 um so i'm going to summarize what i've just been talking about this way

00:56:24.980 when i started talking about politics back in 2016 um and i got a little bit of traction

00:56:32.420 and people started listening to me and reading my blog posts and stuff uh that caused a series of events

00:56:40.500 where i got to meet people who knew the real story behind a variety of things you know not the epstein

00:56:48.180 thing necessarily but just the real story behind a variety of things how often was the real story

00:56:58.020 the same as the one that was in the news and the answer is never not once the every story that is

00:57:07.940 sort of a big story it certainly has elements that are true i mean i believe the president really did

00:57:14.740 take a bullet in the ear etc so there are parts of it that are definitely true i do believe that airplanes

00:57:22.340 hit the world trade towers i mean that part's true but generally speaking the interpretation or the real

00:57:31.620 story behind everything is fake let me say that again the real story behind everything just everything

00:57:41.540 is fake so no you're never going to know about epstein you're never going to know about jfk you'll

00:57:48.020 probably never know about martin luther king you'll probably never know about bobby kennedy senior

00:57:55.780 um you're never gonna you're never gonna know for sure about the warren report

00:58:03.220 um and i don't think we'll even know for sure if we landed on the moon

00:58:08.420 so i've now gone full joe rogan full joe rogan which is i used to think it was obvious we had landed on

00:58:20.420 the moon i did not question that for one second and when i saw people saying oh i'm not so sure i would

00:58:28.740 say to myself wow well people who will believe anything they actually think we didn't you know

00:58:37.940 didn't really go to the moon you know what i believe now same thing that joe rogan believes i think i

00:58:44.580 don't like to i don't like to characterize other people's opinions but i think i got this one right

00:58:50.500 that he doesn't know that we didn't go to the moon and i would agree with that i don't know that

00:58:55.860 but if tomorrow i learned that we had not gone to the moon and it was somehow confirmed would i act

00:59:03.140 surprised or would i say damn it you can see the signs i should have known that it would be the latter

00:59:12.740 it would be me saying ah i i should have been more forceful and saying that that was probably fake

00:59:19.540 fake so let me be really clear i don't have any evidence that i personally find convincing that it

00:59:28.980 was faked but everything's in play everything from the food pyramid to the vaccinations to everything

00:59:39.700 it all looks fake to me it just all looks fake i don't know if we know why the ukraine war is

00:59:47.380 happening i don't know if we really know what was happening in gaza i don't think we really know

00:59:52.260 what was the full situation with iran and its nuclear weapons i feel like it's all fake and when

00:59:59.140 we're talking about the news we're just doing some kind of parlor game where people who don't know

01:00:05.220 anything about anything act like we do just we have something to talk about that's what it feels like

01:00:12.020 but i want to be clear while i don't believe the official version of any big story just none of

01:00:20.900 them i also don't automatically believe the conspiracy theory so if i tell you i don't believe

01:00:29.780 you know one of the big stories like the moon landing it doesn't mean that i believe that stanley

01:00:35.060 kubrick filmed it he might have maybe but it doesn't mean i automatically believe that

01:00:44.900 well i guess trump is beating with prime minister netanyahu at the white house and i think they're

01:00:51.620 going to be taking a victory lap for you know their good work with iran but again just so i'm

01:00:59.540 consistent with what i said the official story is that we destroyed all of their nuclear programs

01:01:07.380 do you believe that

01:01:10.900 how would we know it's the same as saying that the 2020 election was not rigged because nobody found

01:01:19.300 any conclusive evidence that a court has ruled means it was rigged how would you know if there was

01:01:26.100 something that you couldn't find it's unknowable you you could determine if something was rigged

01:01:33.620 if you found the evidence and it it tested out but if you don't find evidence and you know that

01:01:41.780 things like elections have been rigged in the past and probably the united states has rigged

01:01:47.540 elections in other countries if you didn't find any sign of election rigging it doesn't mean a thing

01:01:54.340 it doesn't mean a thing it just means you didn't find it it doesn't mean it doesn't exist

01:02:02.180 so likewise with the nuclear program i do believe that it's very likely that all the things they tried

01:02:10.100 to bomb were completely destroyed but does that mean they didn't have anything left nothing hidden

01:02:17.620 nothing in the warehouse a different warehouse no way to know anyway um there's talk about uh

01:02:29.620 i saw some talk that gaza um the hamas leadership in gaza was completely decimated no wrong word

01:02:38.420 decimated means reduced by 10 percent the real number was 95 percent so the leadership of hamas is

01:02:48.020 down 95 percent most of them dead but they you know don't have a good communication or command and

01:02:54.100 control at this point

01:02:57.380 so maybe maybe there's a way to make a deal now don't know um and then there's some some indication that

01:03:09.700 iran wants to talk about its nuclear program but it wants to do it on its terms i believe its terms are

01:03:18.180 that we can talk about it all day long but we're definitely going to have a nuclear program and

01:03:22.180 you're not going to inspect it so i don't think there's any place to go on that but they will talk

01:03:30.260 so i mentioned this the other day but um i feel like i understand a little bit better

01:03:36.740 um there's an idea that instead of having a two-state solution where the palestinians have their own one 0.81

01:03:43.620 state and israel has the state next to it and they live in peace next to each other since nobody thinks that

01:03:50.020 that's gonna work um there there's these sheikhs who came up with the idea of having a emirate

01:03:59.860 at least in one place and presumably you could have other emirates and other parts of the

01:04:05.060 west bank but one of them would be in hebron and there's a specific sheikh who who they're proposing 0.97

01:04:13.300 would be in charge and he would be the emir but here's the part i maybe didn't mention or didn't

01:04:19.700 know yesterday that a big part of their their pitch is that they would instantly recognize israel's

01:04:28.820 right to exist the emirate would and they would look to join the the abraham accords so 0.64

01:04:38.900 i guess you wouldn't have to be a nation state necessarily to say hey we want to accept israel

01:04:48.500 and we want to be part of this trading block that you know gets extra advantages of trading with each

01:04:54.100 other i guess and uh we'll do it as an emirate now i don't know if that has any legs because i would

01:05:03.540 have to know a lot more about that area to know if that idea could go i feel like israel probably

01:05:10.420 would resist that idea on the other hand if you got let's say two or three emirates

01:05:20.260 who consolidated power and said well we don't want to rule the entire west bank where the palestinian 0.99

01:05:26.420 authority is but but this little area will be our own little emirate and we'll also accept israel and

01:05:33.940 will also be part of the abraham accords if you did that it might accomplish israel's goal of not having

01:05:41.860 a two-state solution because they would probably be happier if there were a bunch of smaller emirates

01:05:50.180 that were unlikely to attack them because the emirates apparently don't want any war so that's

01:05:56.820 that's a step in the right direction so maybe it's a divide and conquer situation so maybe israel 0.87

01:06:05.620 might consider it i don't know on the other hand they might not want um the emirates to get too

01:06:13.060 powerful and maybe they're lying about their their ambitions so lots of variables um

01:06:23.220 so there's there's some fact checking going on on the claim that um mayoral candidate uh zorin

01:06:31.780 momdani for new york city um some say he's a communist and some say he isn't

01:06:37.620 and a lot of it rests on the fact that he once said in 2019 i think um that the real goal was to

01:06:48.340 seize the means of production and uh the fact checker which fact checker politifact do you think

01:06:56.500 politifact is a reliable fact checking entity or is it a democrat tool

01:07:05.860 well did i just tell you that every single story in the news is fake

01:07:11.380 this is not an exception so yeah it's a fact-checking organization that if you asked any republicans they

01:07:19.460 would say no it's the opposite it's a it's a lying organization they're there to certify lies that make

01:07:27.860 democrats happy so this would be one of those situations if that's what you believe so they said

01:07:35.220 that uh that the uh the manifesto the communist manifesto carl marx's work they say that that's not in

01:07:46.580 there do you believe that do you believe that nowhere in the communist manifesto does it say

01:07:55.140 that they want to seize the means of production so therefore it's fake and does not represent a

01:08:03.380 desire to be a communist because that's not even in the communist manifesto do you believe that

01:08:09.620 well here's what is in the in the manifesto according to grok the proletariat will use its political

01:08:21.300 supremacy to rest w-r-e-s-t as in you know grab away by degree all capital from the bourgeoisie

01:08:30.740 to centralize all instruments of production in the hands of the state

01:08:34.260 state that's chapter two that's what it does say

01:08:45.060 um was it do i have the the wrong author i'm looking at the comments i think you're fact checking

01:08:52.820 me i'm just working from memory so i probably got some of the faculty

01:08:57.380 anyway so there's your fact check your fact check is nowhere does it say

01:09:06.020 seize the means of production no no it doesn't say that it only says

01:09:11.940 the proletariat will use its political supremacy to rest by degree all capital from the bourgeoisie

01:09:17.860 to centralize all instruments of production in the hands of the state oh well i feel a lot better now

01:09:23.060 i'm glad they didn't want to seize the means of production thank goodness so there you go what

01:09:33.060 about that no tax on tips how many of you believe that no tax on tips which is what got approved in the

01:09:39.940 big beautiful bill meant no tax on tips well here again the the real story behind the curtain

01:09:51.220 is different from the one you've been told first of all it only goes up to the first 25 000

01:09:58.100 tips if you were a uh let's say a waiter in a restaurant that a lot of tips how fast would you

01:10:06.980 get to 25 000 well if you were a full-time waiter um you could make 150 000 a year

01:10:16.420 from mostly tips so maybe 50 would be your base pay and 100 would be your tips now this would be unusual

01:10:25.540 that'd be a high-end restaurant with just tons of tipping but it would be in that range so does that

01:10:31.220 sound like no tax on tips to you i mean it's better than nothing and a lot of people who are working

01:10:39.940 part-time especially will enjoy it um but uh they're still gonna have to pay the payroll tax

01:10:48.660 and there's social security and medicare so even though there's no tax on tips there's an eight percent

01:10:54.660 tax on tips because a little under eight percent is your payroll taxes and social security and

01:11:02.020 medicare so there's still a tax on tips and there's lots of tax on tips but it's better than better than

01:11:10.980 it was just not what you thought it was all right here's something that i know um i've done wrong

01:11:17.540 um when the democrats say that the big beautiful bill is going to cut health care sometimes i would

01:11:27.540 see medicaid and sometimes i would say medicare and they're different and i would read the story and

01:11:36.980 it would say but the mean old republicans and trump are going to cut your medicaid and then i would see

01:11:43.780 another story that says um leader jeffries says they're going to cut your medicare and i actually

01:11:54.260 started to think maybe there were typos in the stories because some of it would be on social media

01:12:00.100 and i'm like oh it's just a typo and i thought it was one or the other i didn't realize it was both

01:12:05.700 so apparently the big beautiful bill cuts both but what what uh democrats call cutting

01:12:17.380 the republicans call making sure that only the people who deserve it and are qualified for it are

01:12:24.180 getting it but they've added the added the work requirement so if you're able-bodied you've got a

01:12:31.620 certain amount of time to either sign up for classes or do some volunteer work or or get a job

01:12:39.140 so you've got some options and if you're an undocumented citizen of this country you would

01:12:47.540 lose in that case i think in both cases so how many of you knew um how many of you thought the same

01:12:56.420 thing i did that it was one of them but not the other and then you found out it was both of them

01:13:01.940 now i'm not saying that that's a mistake it probably needed to be both of them

01:13:06.820 but they're very they're treated very differently um and then i thought republicans are going to have

01:13:13.940 a real problem in the midterm because all the democrats have to do is say republicans took away

01:13:20.260 health care from 12 million people that's what they say now and who knows how long before they take

01:13:27.540 it away from you and that's pretty scary pretty scary how do i know that's scary because yesterday

01:13:34.740 i got to experience having no health care so i i have kaiser permanente and i think i've got shingles

01:13:44.740 so i've got this insanely painful set of uh skin problems on one side it looks like it's shingles

01:13:52.900 probably so i use my app to contact my health care provider to set up a in-person appointment because

01:14:00.900 i'd already sent in photos of it and and they had not guessed shingles but now it looks like it's

01:14:07.060 almost certainly shingles because i checked ai ai says yeah probably shingles

01:14:13.140 um and then my app said um that there's no availability of appointments for in person

01:14:22.980 and i thought really none not a month from now or two months from now like just none

01:14:30.500 i really can't get any health care and i thought oh oh they're trying to make me do a zoom call

01:14:36.260 because you can do almost everything on zoom so i go to the other part of the app to set up a zoom

01:14:41.620 appointment and it comes back with there are no available appointments ever so

01:14:52.100 and of course this always happens on the you know the the long weekends that are a holiday

01:14:57.300 how many of you have noticed that somebody in your family maybe you always has a health problem

01:15:04.020 on a holiday always because that's when all the doctors go on vacation and you're lucky if you can get

01:15:10.740 anything so i got to experience having no health care and also having a pretty painful health problem

01:15:19.780 i mean it really hurts if you ever get shingles good luck it hurts like a mofo

01:15:28.980 now fortunately i had ai and i had other mechanisms to get what i need so i'm being treated

01:15:35.220 you know as well as i think i need to be but i didn't have any health care so um i gotta i gotta

01:15:43.380 tell you that when you realize you don't have health care even though you've been paying for it

01:15:48.980 it's uh it's a scary thing so if the democrats scare voters by saying they're going to take away your

01:15:57.380 health care next that's going to really be effective so i was trying to think what could republicans do

01:16:05.460 to get ahead of the messaging and i don't have a suggestion yet but um something like this came to

01:16:14.180 mind so this will just be uh brainstorming this is not a good suggestion but it might might make you

01:16:20.340 think of a better one um what if republicans said everyone who supports the country by working going

01:16:26.820 to school or following their laws gets to keep their health insurance everyone who supports america

01:16:34.820 by working going to school or volunteering i guess or following our laws which would take care of the

01:16:44.180 the non-citizens who are getting um they get to keep their health insurance or their health care 0.82

01:16:52.260 would that work maybe that's a little bit too uh conceptual it would be a lot better if there

01:16:59.140 was some picture or something scary so republicans are gonna have a tough time we'll keep working on that

01:17:06.420 well uh representative comer is going to bring uh biden's physician in for a uh conversation to find out

01:17:18.420 what did he know and what was the real situation with biden's health behind the scenes

01:17:23.940 i can't wait i suspect that he will be reluctant to answer questions because if he does he's gonna have to

01:17:33.860 lie like hell and i don't know that he's gonna want to do that under oath all right um so you know that 0.61

01:17:44.820 weed killer that american bread seems to have in it um called uh glyphosate and some say it's the reason that

01:17:54.980 the bread is healthy in europe but not healthy in america is that glyphosate was used as a weed killer

01:18:03.700 well i didn't know this but a lot of u.s bread companies had replaced glyphosate already so uh they replaced it

01:18:13.700 with uh what's it called uh dick what 0.99

01:18:22.900 d-i-q-u-a-t um dick what i just like saying dick what anyway 0.99

01:18:31.940 but apparently that replaced glyphosate is widely employed employed in the u.s as a weed killer 0.98

01:18:39.460 um except the there's a new report that that might even be worse for you according to the guardian so

01:18:45.780 the guardian has an article that says uh this new thing that replaces the thing that you thought was

01:18:51.220 the bad thing that the new thing can damage your organs and gut bacteria according to new research

01:18:57.620 why is it everybody in the world can make bread except americans can we really not make bread

01:19:07.060 that isn't poisonous man

01:19:10.340 um yeah i don't like that story um taiwan's got a company that has a uh tech platform they build

01:19:23.460 to detect schizophrenia so apparently they can scan your brain and then use ai and the ai can um

01:19:32.180 accurately up to 91 accuracy identify people with schizophrenia

01:19:38.580 huh and apparently it can identify other patterns as well so that's interesting

01:19:44.980 um if they can identify that you probably have schizophrenia by looking at your brain

01:19:52.020 how long will it be before they find the part of your brain that handles free will

01:19:58.100 they haven't found it yet but i know it's in there somewhere i'm joking free will doesn't exist

01:20:06.500 it's an illusion all right um and then i saw an article by antonio uh gracefo

01:20:18.900 um he was in damn it i didn't write down the publication but uh he's talking about the

01:20:26.660 problems with measuring the temperature of the earth um let's see if uh any of these sound like things

01:20:33.540 i've told you before so this would be in the topic of climate change um did you know according to

01:20:41.780 antonio gracefo that 96 percent of u.s temperature stations fail to meet noaa's own sighting standards

01:20:51.460 and are often surrounded by essentially heat islands did you know that is 96 of them don't meet the

01:20:58.420 standard i didn't know that i knew i knew a lot of them didn't but i didn't know it was 96 percent

01:21:06.580 so that's not 96 percent who were by heat islands but just 96 percent that for whatever reason don't

01:21:13.540 meet the standard then did you know that those uh thermometers transitioned from mercury to digital

01:21:22.100 sensors um between 1980 and the 2000s and that that same period where they took out one kind of

01:21:31.620 thermometer and put in another uh introduced what he calls discontinuities in the data and that happens

01:21:39.140 to be the period of accelerated warming so the very period that they were replacing the technology they

01:21:48.260 used to measure the temperature that's the period that the temperature suddenly went up okay why were

01:21:56.820 they replacing the old thermometers was it because they were totally accurate no

01:22:07.140 then how about this the early measurements were geographically concentrated in europe and north america

01:22:15.220 ignoring vast regions especially the 71 percent of the planet covered by oceans so until recently the

01:22:25.060 temperature of the oceans were ignored for climate change the oceans the world is mostly ocean

01:22:34.500 and then measurement errors of plus or minus half a degree centigrade

01:22:39.460 um often exceeds very climate signals being used to justify the policies so in other words even where

01:22:48.580 they found some warming it was below below the level that your accuracy could have told you was real

01:22:56.900 if that makes sense uh worse still says antonio much of the raw data has been adjusted or homogenized

01:23:06.660 do you know what that means when the data from the temperature sensors was homogenized have you ever heard that term

01:23:15.540 when i tell you what it means you're just going to shake your head

01:23:19.540 you go oh god god what a world what a world homogenized means made up

01:23:27.940 it means for example if you had one temperature station that had failed you know let's say a

01:23:34.500 car ran into it and it wasn't available instead of saying oh we don't have that data they would look at

01:23:41.780 other measurements and then they would look at what that used to say and then they would estimate what

01:23:48.420 that probably was the temperature in that in that measuring device that didn't exist

01:23:55.060 so homogenized means somebody used assumptions assumptions to figure out what the temperature was

01:24:04.980 so assumptions okay now those are the problems that you know about we haven't even talked about the the

01:24:15.940 models do you remember what i keep telling you about the the temperature models for climate change

01:24:25.060 so i used to say there's no way that they're accurate and i would try to make my argument and now i just

01:24:30.340 say this wait till you find out about the climate models because you will find out there there's no

01:24:39.060 chance that you won't find out and when you find out you're gonna say god that cartridge this guy was on this

01:24:47.700 early yeah there is no way that the complicated multi-variable climate models are even a little bit

01:24:57.220 reliable there's not really any way that's possible but you've been told the world has been told that

01:25:05.780 the scientists can do that so there will be there will be a whistleblower i guarantee it and that

01:25:15.220 whistleblower will say you know we just sort of make these assumptions and force it to fit where we

01:25:21.620 expect people to to expect it and uh that's how we get our funding that's what it's gonna happen

01:25:31.380 wait till you find out all right ladies and gentlemen i went too long so i'm gonna say goodbye thanks for

01:25:40.740 joining um locals just say hi very quickly uh the rest of you i'll see you same time tomorrow i hope

01:25:50.020 and uh locals coming at you privately

01:26:00.420 so

01:26:03.460 you

01:26:30.420 Thank you.

01:27:00.420 Thank you.

01:27:30.420 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 07, 2025

Episode 2890 CWSA 07⧸07⧸25

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