Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2892 CWSA 07⧸09⧸25

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in here. I got room for you. There's room up front. Come on everybody.

00:00:10.240 All right, the stock market is up a little bit today. Good for us. Good for us people

00:00:18.740 who have stocks. Bad for everybody else. All right, let me get your comments working

00:00:25.580 and then we got a show. Come on in. Have a seat. Good morning everybody and welcome to the

00:00:49.700 highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a

00:00:56.380 better time. But if you'd like to try to elevate this experience to levels that nobody can even

00:01:04.500 understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:01:12.900 a tank or a chelter, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite

00:01:19.000 liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the

00:01:25.800 day. The thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now.

00:01:32.620 Good stuff. Well, let's check technology news.

00:01:46.820 What is the coolest new technology? Well, I saw this on a Mario Norfolk post, who I recommend you

00:01:55.740 follow on X, Mario Norfolk. There's a new laptop product that instead of having a screen on your

00:02:08.100 laptop, all it is is some glasses. So the glasses allow your screen to look like a hundred inch screen

00:02:18.280 with lots of different windows open floating in front of you. So nobody can see your screen if you're

00:02:27.480 on an airplane, let's say. But you would have the experience of a hundred inch virtual display in front

00:02:35.260 of you. And I have one question. Can I wear those glasses over my glasses?

00:02:41.960 That was always my problem with 3D. They have to wear glasses over your glasses. But maybe,

00:02:52.180 if you're nearsighted as I am, maybe that's all you need. I don't know.

00:02:58.980 Well, the Daily Mail is reporting that Joe Rogan was talking with an AI expert,

00:03:05.960 a computer scientist named Roman Yimpolzitsky. That seems pretty close. And Joe was speculating

00:03:18.020 that what if, what if God is not our origin, but rather our destination? Ooh. What if AI

00:03:30.540 is the process of God being born? And once it's born, well, we don't know what happens after that.

00:03:39.920 But if only somebody had written a bestselling book on that same topic, wouldn't you want to read that?

00:03:50.040 Yes. It's called God's Debris, The Complete Works. It's my book. And those of you who have read it,

00:03:58.740 you're probably saying to yourself, I knew that sounded familiar. Now, I don't know if Joe Rogan

00:04:05.760 has read the book, but the idea has gotten around. And I don't want to give up, don't want to give

00:04:12.740 away too much. But if you like philosophical AI, God philosophy stuff, well, I've got a book for you.

00:04:21.980 It's on Amazon. According to Zero Hedge, the US has canceled 54 contracts, has saved $804 million in two

00:04:38.520 days because of Doge. So here's what I think about Doge. I think that it worked way better than people

00:04:49.860 think. Because the biggest thing you have to change is how people think and how they act when

00:04:58.580 no one is watching. And it seems to me the biggest thing that Doge will accomplish is it made cost

00:05:07.460 savings a thing. It was like it didn't exist, right? If you talked to a politician or you looked at the

00:05:17.460 news, what was a story you would never, ever, ever see? Well, we cut a bunch of money out of that

00:05:24.940 budget. It wasn't even a thing. And now it's not only a thing, but you see the top level political

00:05:34.800 people sort of competing to see who can do the best job of saving money. So it went from a thing that

00:05:43.420 nobody thinks about, nobody talks about, and maybe it isn't that important to something that's baked

00:05:49.520 into everything we do and the way we see government. And now it's just part of the fabric of the

00:05:57.700 government at this point. So I think that what Elon Musk accomplished will have a very long tail

00:06:08.480 and it will ripple into the future in a positive way. Because he simply made it, he simply made it a

00:06:16.020 positive thing to say, hey, I found a way to save a bunch of money for the country and I'm going to go

00:06:22.800 brag about it. So it's a big deal.

00:06:26.580 Let's see, what else happens? Oh, Doge is also, or something Doge-like, is now working on the

00:06:39.040 Pentagon. So the Pentagon budget is where they're starting to lean next and look for additional

00:06:47.920 savings, of which we expect to find a lot. But there will be a lot more pushback from the military

00:06:55.800 budget. So who knows how much of that will stick. But at least Doge is going after the motherlode,

00:07:04.400 you know, the place where, in theory, you would find the most to cut. In practice, we don't know yet.

00:07:13.120 But in other good news, Doge-wise, you know how Trump wanted to use his executive authority

00:07:21.760 to downsize a bunch of executive departments. And some activist judge said, no, you can't do that.

00:07:33.820 You do not have the authority to be in charge of the thing you're in charge of. And then everybody

00:07:39.220 said, wait, what? You're telling me the president is not in charge of the executive branch?

00:07:46.340 That's sort of exactly what he is. But an activist judge, if I recall, said, no, no, I block it.

00:07:58.180 The Supreme Court decided six to three, guess who the three were,

00:08:03.940 to lift that lower court order. So now Trump can fire the federal workers. And I believe he's already

00:08:14.760 started. So once again, did Doge fail? Or did Doge just have to find its footing and get through the

00:08:24.980 legal challenges and, you know, just become institutionalized? It looks like Doge is working.

00:08:32.740 It's just that not exactly the rapid way that we thought it might work. It just takes a little bit

00:08:39.980 longer. But that's a big deal. It's a very big deal that Trump now has the legal authority. He always

00:08:47.140 did, but it was being blocked. Legal authority to cut staff. It would be a big deal. Speaking of big

00:08:56.220 deals, Bill Pulte, who is the U.S. Director of Federal Housing, is a superstar. And one of the things that he

00:09:07.180 just got through with the help of Trump is that your rent payments will now qualify on your, I guess,

00:09:16.720 on your credit report or when you're trying to get a mortgage. I didn't know that that wasn't already

00:09:23.100 a thing. Did you? Did you know that you could have successfully paid rent for decades, but when you

00:09:31.940 went to buy a house, the bank would say, hmm, too bad you don't have a good credit. And then you would

00:09:39.460 say, what do you mean? I've been paying rent for 20 years. I've never missed a payment. How do I not

00:09:45.700 have good credit? And the bank would say, rent doesn't count. We need, you know, car loans and

00:09:53.740 department store loans and credit cards. But all that rent you paid, which is most of your financial

00:10:01.520 obligation, it's the biggest part, didn't count. So, Bill Pulte gets Trump to change that with

00:10:12.840 executive order. Now it counts. How big a deal is that? It's a big deal. So, congratulations, Bill Pulte.

00:10:22.120 Okay. Well, according to The Hill, Julia Shapiro is writing that we've got a gigantic blackout risk

00:10:32.800 coming in that AI is going to suck up so much of our existing grid and power that the odds of getting

00:10:42.180 blackouts go from smallish. But we, you know, in California, we do have blackouts occasionally

00:10:48.900 in the summer usually. But the odds of these blackouts are going to go up by 100 times what

00:10:56.820 they are. 100 times. Now, I have a question. If the reason for the blackout is that the AI data

00:11:06.920 centers are sucking up too much power, wouldn't they just turn off the data centers? Because I'm almost

00:11:15.960 positive I could go two days without the data center working. Could I go two days without using an AI that

00:11:25.260 relied on some California data center? I feel like I could. I could make it two days. So, would they

00:11:34.660 really turn off my house? Would I really be sitting here in the dark because the AI data center was using

00:11:42.580 too much electricity in California? You better not. Let me just warn you. Don't turn off the residential

00:11:51.640 AC in the summer because the AI data center needs too much power. You better work on that. You power and

00:12:03.920 political people, maybe you need to sit in the same room because you need to do that in the right

00:12:09.600 priority. You know, we can make AI wait a couple days. But I'm not going to sit in a 110 degree

00:12:17.960 heat with no AC because the AI needed some extra power. Uh-uh. You better get on that right

00:12:27.560 away. Hold on a second. Excuse me. My nose only runs when I'm ready to do a podcast. It doesn't happen any

00:12:43.620 other time of the day, weirdly. Well, I've got a question for you. So, so far there have been, correct me if I'm wrong,

00:12:55.080 two recent shootings about Border Patrol and ICE people. So, there's a lone gunman who shot somebody.

00:13:04.380 And then now there are 10 suspects in Texas who had a plot that they carried out and which involved

00:13:14.300 shooting members of ICE. And I guess one of them, maybe it was a local police officer who got shot.

00:13:22.800 So, my question is this. Number one, have you seen the picture of the 10 suspects

00:13:30.940 who planned the ambush? I think about half of them were presenting as female. But do you believe that

00:13:42.760 5 out of 10 violent domestic terrorists would be female? Does that sound like something that's normal 1.00

00:13:51.220 to you? That half of them would be female? Well, I have a question because none of them look female to me. 0.85

00:14:02.020 They look like they might be trying to pass as female. So, they might be trans. I don't know the 0.89

00:14:08.820 the actual secret of it. But of the 5 or so on that list of 10 that are sort of looking female,

00:14:19.620 they don't look like they were born that way. But I don't know if that's a weird coincidence or just

00:14:25.140 the way I'm looking at it. But that's not why I brought it up. The reason I brought it up is that,

00:14:31.540 correct me if I'm wrong, but attacking the people who protect the border is not like attacking normal

00:14:40.420 anything else. If you attack the people who are keeping the bad people from entering,

00:14:48.260 now, obviously, they're also preventing perfectly good people from entering. But

00:14:54.260 they are keeping the cartels and the gangs from coming into the country as they were. Isn't it an

00:15:02.660 insurrection? If you have an armed, violent approach to the border patrol, it feels to me like that's an

00:15:13.540 insurrection. It doesn't feel to me like that's just a violent political act. It's an insurrection,

00:15:20.100 right? Because what would be more transformational to the country than opening the border? We already

00:15:28.500 saw that. So yeah, to me, it looks like an insurrection. January 6, of course, was not an

00:15:35.060 insurrection, because the news told you that all the people who participated believed that they had

00:15:42.420 lost the election fair and square, but wanted to take power anyway. That is the weirdest thing

00:15:49.700 that the public has ever been told. And we just sort of accepted it. It's like, oh yeah. I guess CNN

00:15:57.060 read the minds of all those thousands of people and found out that they believed that they really

00:16:03.380 had lost that election, but they were going to try to take power anyway. Probably there wasn't,

00:16:10.580 I'll bet there wasn't even one person who thought that. And the entire narrative and the way history will

00:16:16.420 be written is based on fake news about what people might have been thinking. And we're living with

00:16:24.980 that reality right now. Amazing. So January 6 is the biggest remaining hoax, I think. We've worked very

00:16:37.700 hard to debunk as many hoaxes as we can. But the January 6 one, that's now the tentpole hoax.

00:16:46.420 So you're going to hear me camera on that a little bit more.

00:16:49.060 Meanwhile, according to Fox News, Cornell University got hit with a civil rights complaint

00:16:58.500 over alleged DEI discriminatory practices. But here's the good news, bad news. So it feels like bad news

00:17:08.580 that there's a major university discriminating based on race and gender and whatever else.

00:17:16.740 But Cornell is defending itself by saying that must be the Department of Justice. No, they're being sued.

00:17:28.020 I'm sorry. The American first policy is to file a complaint. So there's a lawsuit.

00:17:34.740 But Cornell is defending itself by saying that the offending thing that caused the lawsuit is some

00:17:46.020 old website pages that are no longer relevant. And they say that they have, in fact, worked hard to

00:17:54.020 obey the law, and they intend to obey the law, and they don't want to do anything that's illegal or

00:17:59.540 discriminatory. So I don't know what's true. But I like the fact that there's a lawsuit to stop people 0.90

00:18:09.940 from DEI discrimination. And I like the fact that the entity being sued, Cornell University, is instead

00:18:19.620 of trying to, you know, double down and say, we're going to keep this DEI even if we have to change the

00:18:25.220 name of it. Instead, they're just saying, no, we're trying as hard as we can to obey that law.

00:18:32.900 It feels like progress that the lawsuit is meeting people who are kind of arguing the same side and

00:18:41.060 saying, no, we're really trying to do what you want us to do. Are they? Are they really doing it? I

00:18:46.420 don't know. We'll find out. But I love the fact that it seems like two people on the same side against DEI.

00:18:55.380 Maybe.

00:18:58.420 Well, Trump said yesterday that we're close to making a trade deal with India. Remember, I told you that

00:19:06.580 if everything goes well with these tariffs and trade deals, that what the Democrats didn't see coming

00:19:13.860 is that there would be an infinite number of good news days for Trump. So he'd be able to say,

00:19:21.940 well, Vietnam made a deal. Well, it looks like Ireland's got a deal. Oh, it looks like the UK's

00:19:29.540 got a deal. Oh, we got a deal with China. And every day, he would be able to mention a new major

00:19:38.100 economy that made a good deal with the United States that makes the United States a little bit richer.

00:19:43.940 Because presumably, they would be improvements in our situation. Well, here's another one. We're

00:19:50.260 close to making a deal with India. So not only does he get to announce that it's close,

00:19:56.420 but that if the deal ever gets made, he gets to announce it again. And then there's about 100 more

00:20:03.540 countries that are going to get their tariff letter today, I think. They'll say, well,

00:20:10.660 you didn't make a deal with this. So here's your new tariffs. Presumably, some number of them,

00:20:18.740 because they have until August 1st before it really kicks in. They just got the notice today.

00:20:24.180 But presumably, some of the other major

00:20:29.140 economies are going to say, oh, well, hold on, hold on. Here's our best deal. And then Trump will

00:20:36.340 get another few months of, well, we got another trade deal with Albania. So that's looking good.

00:20:45.380 And the stock market is up today. So if you were worried about the tariffs destroying the economy,

00:20:53.780 today is the day the tariff numbers are going out. And the S&P 500 is up. Do you have any more

00:21:05.060 questions? I feel like the stock market has now answered all questions about the chaos. Remember

00:21:14.260 the Democrats always try to sell chaos? Well, these tariffs are just going to cause chaos. 0.98

00:21:20.740 Or it's going to cause us to get 100 trade deals or $300 billion a year in tariffs,

00:21:29.700 which is what Scott Besant is estimating. He estimates that the tariff income, and again,

00:21:36.740 remember, this is not necessarily paid by the foreign entity. It's paid by the importing entity,

00:21:44.100 which is American. But $300 billion from that process would be going to the treasury per year,

00:21:55.860 if we hit the high number. Meanwhile, Post's millennial is reporting that the Trump administration

00:22:05.060 is going to ban China from buying US farmland. You know that there's this big issue,

00:22:10.900 that the claim is that China is buying a lot of farmland, and coincidentally seems to often be

00:22:18.500 near US military bases. And that would become a military risk, because it's close. Really? Local weed?

00:22:28.260 Wow. Thank you. That's unusually generous of you. I don't encourage tipping, by the way,

00:22:42.340 because I probably have more money than most of you, so tipping feels weird. But when you do it, I like it.

00:22:49.860 So I have mixed feelings about it. I don't encourage it, but I love it when you do it. So there's that.

00:23:00.820 So the question that hasn't been answered by this story about the Chinese farms,

00:23:05.700 what happens to the ones that are already there? I didn't see anything about them needing to sell.

00:23:14.340 So there's already a lot of Chinese farms near American military stuff. I also wonder,

00:23:23.860 is it a complete coincidence that the Chinese bought farms near military complexes?

00:23:33.220 Because you could imagine it could go either way. You could imagine that everything the Chinese do here 1.00

00:23:38.820 is orchestrated by their government, and of course they would want them to own farmland

00:23:44.660 near our military complexes for various reasons. But if you just took a bunch of,

00:23:53.380 I don't know, a bunch of tax and sprinkled it over a map of the United States and then just dropped them,

00:23:59.940 wouldn't some of the tax, or really a lot of them, be weirdly close to military assets? Because we have

00:24:08.020 military assets just all over the place. So I've never been 100% convinced that the Chinese government

00:24:17.780 is behind these purchases of farmland. It could be that they just need access to guaranteed food sources.

00:24:24.900 It might be just that. But given the other things that the Chinese government does,

00:24:32.180 it would be foolish to assume that it's a coincidence. Are you happy now? You got really

00:24:39.140 unhappy when I started to say maybe it's just totally chance. But I redeemed myself in the end by saying,

00:24:46.020 it would be unlikely if that's just chance. So we're on the same side. Don't worry.

00:24:54.020 There's a story that apparently there was a, I saw this on a John Ziegler post. Apparently in 2024,

00:25:04.420 Kamala Harris did a podcast with a liberal podcast called Subway Takes. And apparently the 1.00

00:25:12.980 interview went so poorly, even though it was a friendly, there was not really any pushback.

00:25:19.540 It's just that she was such an idiot that the podcaster and the campaign agreed that it would 0.70

00:25:26.500 be better not to show it because it could ruin her chances of getting elected.

00:25:30.820 Remember I told you that after the election was over, you'd hear not only bad stuff about Biden,

00:25:42.180 but you're going to slowly hear more and more just outrageously incredible stories about Kamala Harris.

00:25:49.620 If it looks like she's never going to be president, you'll hear those stories. Well, here's one.

00:25:54.260 Do you think that Trump has ever, even once in all of his media appearances, do you think that even once

00:26:06.100 that his people and the podcaster who talked to him decided that it was so bad that they wouldn't

00:26:11.780 even show it in public? Of course not. No, Trump performed so well that he could be the most

00:26:20.500 media connected person of all time as president. And not once, not once as it caused a problem that

00:26:32.980 could, you know, take him out of contention. Not once. But I've got a suspicion that if there's one

00:26:42.260 podcast that interviewed her and it was so bad that they decided to just keep it in the tank,

00:26:48.900 what are the odds it was only one? Just one? And what are the odds that she was maybe

00:26:56.420 drunk as hell when she did the interview? They never said that. But it seems to me that a sober Kamala Harris

00:27:07.380 would at least say some word salad that they would run.

00:27:11.460 So whatever the problem was, it was so bad that both the campaign and the podcaster decided to kill it.

00:27:23.300 That feels like maybe there's something else they're not telling us. Like how drunk would you have to be

00:27:30.980 to be that bad? So I'm going to assume drunk, but I don't know that.

00:27:40.420 Newsmax is reporting that the Republican senators in their super PAC have raised a record 85 million

00:27:49.860 dollars. So as we're starting to prep for the midterm elections,

00:27:59.380 you should know that the Republicans are doing great on raising money. I guess Trump is helping

00:28:05.460 on that as well. So if you follow the money, that would be a good sign for the midterms. Do you have

00:28:13.940 a prediction yet for the midterms? I feel like this might be the first midterm where there's some

00:28:22.420 mystery. Because normally all you'd have to do is say, the party that's not in power

00:28:28.820 will win more seats in the House. And you could kind of bank on that because it's so predictable.

00:28:37.940 But as soon as you throw Trump into it, it becomes unpredictable. If the Republicans

00:28:44.660 double the amount of money they have, that's unpredictable. If Trump continues to do 80-20

00:28:51.460 issues, that's unpredictable. If that's the first time, I would say this is the first

00:28:57.620 election, the midterms, in which podcasters are simply more important than the traditional news.

00:29:07.700 You could argue that was true for the 2024 election, but it's definitely true now.

00:29:14.980 The people who are paying attention, except for the senior citizens watching the regular news,

00:29:20.580 the podcasters are really the main thing moving the needle right now. And they tend to lean Republican.

00:29:31.300 So we got that going for you. So if you look at the accomplishments that Trump should have,

00:29:39.060 with any luck, it's going to look pretty impressive. And I doubt I would ask any historians to

00:29:47.780 correct me on this. But if things just stayed about the way they are, let's say there's no

00:29:56.420 new surprises. But the things that are already in progress, let's say they just go the way you

00:30:02.580 imagine they might. Let's say, for example, that Gaza gets some kind of a ceasefire, whether it's today

00:30:10.020 or tomorrow or just before the midterms. Let's say that Iran doesn't rebuild its nuclear facilities so

00:30:18.820 quickly that it becomes a midterm problem. Let's say that the economy stays strong. And let's say that

00:30:27.700 tariffs work out. You can just go down the line and say, what if things just sort of stay the way they

00:30:34.980 look like they're going to stay? Now, of course, that never happens. What happened?

00:30:45.780 Douglas Mackey says, I'm just saying this on the comments, the Second Circuit Court of Appeals has

00:30:52.260 thrown out my conviction, Douglas Mackey, for lack of evidence. The case has been remanded to the

00:31:00.820 district court with orders to immediately dismiss. Well, look at that. I won't get into the Douglas

00:31:07.540 Mackey case, but he would be another MAGA person who is targeted by the bad guys. So look at that.

00:31:18.180 Douglas Mackey might be a free man. Well, he's probably free, but that must be nice.

00:31:25.620 All right, let's talk about Epstein. The Epstein thing just has infinite legs. There's always more

00:31:35.620 to talk about. Number one, that missing minute in the video that allegedly showed Epstein's cell door,

00:31:44.580 and people said, wait a minute, you showed us that video to prove that nobody could have gotten to

00:31:50.740 Epstein, but there's a minute missing. Well, the minute was exactly at the end of the hour.

00:31:58.740 And when I saw that, I said, hmm, that feels like it's more something to do with all the videos have

00:32:06.340 a missing minute at the end. And sure enough, I don't know if it's true, but that is the explanation

00:32:13.140 we're getting. The explanation is that all of the videos of everything all the time

00:32:19.460 will be missing the same minute as the end. So it doesn't mean that anybody did anything. And plus,

00:32:26.260 you wouldn't be able to do much in one minute, right? So probably the missing minute is not meaningful.

00:32:36.580 However, I've not seen anybody debunk the claim that the video doesn't even show the door of his

00:32:44.180 cell. Has anybody debunked that? Because I've seen claims that his door doesn't look like that.

00:32:51.460 You can't see the door number on it. So whatever that video is, it has nothing to do with Epstein.

00:33:00.260 So I'm going to assume that the video is not meaningful either in any direction.

00:33:07.300 It's just this mystery. All right, somebody has a video. It doesn't mean anything to me.

00:33:14.100 So it doesn't prove anything and it doesn't disprove anything. It's just nothing.

00:33:18.980 Then there was a question of why Pam Bondi at one point, back in February, I think, allegedly said

00:33:29.940 that she had the Epstein client list on her desk for review. But then when the newest information came

00:33:38.740 out, it said there was no client list. So how could both those be true? How could it be true

00:33:46.820 that Bondi said that she had to review it and it was on her desk, but it doesn't exist? Well, I think

00:33:58.500 she gave the answer I was expecting, which was she was speaking more generally about the files were on

00:34:05.620 her desk, not that there was a client list on the desk. Now, do you believe that she had Epstein files

00:34:14.260 on her desk or near her desk and that she knew she had to look into it, but that wasn't necessarily

00:34:22.340 saying there was a client list? I believe her. I believe that. I believe she was talking about

00:34:30.020 generally the information and the files and not specifically about a client list.

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00:34:56.420 Then there are people who are saying, if there were no clients, how was Ghislaine Maxwell prosecuted

00:35:07.540 for a crime that didn't exist? And the answer is, she was prosecuted for what she did for Epstein.

00:35:16.740 She was procuring underage girls for him for sex. And I believe that she was only prosecuted for what 1.00

00:35:27.300 she and Epstein did, not for what anybody else did. So it is not true, although it's funny to imagine

00:35:37.460 that she got prosecuted for something that doesn't exist. But no, she got prosecuted for the things we

00:35:43.380 all know happened with Epstein. And then people say the same thing about Epstein. Like, wait a minute,

00:35:50.900 why would he kill himself if there was no evidence that he did any crimes? And the answer is, there's

00:35:58.420 plenty of evidence he did crimes. Nobody's saying he didn't do crimes. The thing that they didn't find

00:36:06.980 is whether he did crimes with other people, like other adults. Now that part is being claimed to not

00:36:14.980 exist. But there's no claim that he's innocent, because there was plenty of evidence of what he

00:36:22.740 did and what Ghislaine did. So forget about that. So forget about the video, forget about the files,

00:36:29.940 the so-called client list on Bondi's desk. That was BS, I think. And forget about the idea that

00:36:37.300 how could they, you know, how could you convict two people if there's no evidence? Because there was

00:36:42.820 plenty of evidence, just about those two people. So then Trump has this cabinet meeting, which he likes

00:36:52.340 to open up to the press. And one of the press members asked her about the biggest story of the

00:36:57.700 day, which was the Epstein stuff being a big dud. And what did Trump say? He kind of attacked the

00:37:08.740 reporter for an old story. Are we still talking about that? And then I believe he caused them to change the

00:37:20.180 subject. Now, when was the last time that Trump declined to answer a direct question because it was an old

00:37:30.260 story, even though it happened to be the top story in social media? What does that tell you? That tells you that

00:37:40.740 Trump really didn't want to talk about that story, right? So we are left to speculate. So let's do some

00:37:51.460 speculating. Mike Benz was on OAN talking to Chanel Ryan. And he says the intelligence theory best

00:38:00.260 explains Jeffrey Epstein's story. And he notes that, if you haven't heard this before, it'll blow your mind,

00:38:08.420 that Attorney General Bill Barr, who was the Attorney General at the time Epstein got taken in,

00:38:15.300 began his career in the CIA. Oh, huh. And that Barr's father once hired Epstein to teach at the Dalton

00:38:25.860 school, despite Epstein lacking a college degree. Do a lot of people who have no college degrees

00:38:34.500 get hired to teach at prestigious schools? Does that happen a lot? So it sort of looks like

00:38:43.380 there's a connection between CIA, past and present, and Epstein at least at one point.

00:38:52.100 So I think Mike Benz's take is that the CIA was certainly involved. And of course, many of us

00:39:04.420 assume that Mossad was involved. But there might have been more than that. Could have been the UK,

00:39:10.100 could have been, you know, some other assets as well.

00:39:15.860 Even Jake Tapper over at CNN

00:39:20.420 is saying that there's a lot of information that's not being released.

00:39:24.900 So this is one of those weird situations where the MAGA people and Jake Tapper appear to be on

00:39:31.860 exactly the same page, which is, I'm not sure you're telling us the truth about this Epstein stuff.

00:39:38.580 Same page, right? So that's amazing. I saw Patrick Ben David say that this Epstein thing is by far the

00:39:48.500 biggest fumble of the Trump administration they've had thus far. And it's a big letdown.

00:39:56.980 I don't know about that. Here's my feeling. My feeling is that, and by the way, this is interesting.

00:40:05.220 I saw Charlie Kirk say the other day that some people were questioning the scoop that he had heard about,

00:40:14.660 but that one of the things he thought was important for you to know

00:40:20.180 is that nobody doubted his honesty. Isn't that cool?

00:40:24.820 There's something about the MAGA world where we tend not to believe that the people we like anyway

00:40:34.100 are lying to us. We don't believe that because they don't seem to be liars.

00:40:40.420 I've said the same thing about Bongino and Kash Patel and Pam Bondi.

00:40:44.980 They don't, you know, just like Charlie Kirk, there might be things they get wrong,

00:40:51.540 there might be things you disagree with, but they're not liars.

00:40:56.420 Right? I don't know about Bill Barr. That's a special case.

00:41:01.700 But does it seem to you that with Trump wanting to change the topic and the way they said,

00:41:08.900 Oh, no, there's nothing here. There's no blackmail evidence. There's no...

00:41:13.220 Doesn't it seem to you that they're winking at us so hard that you can't miss it?

00:41:20.660 So there's this weird bit of honesty, dishonesty going on. That's what I feel.

00:41:26.580 So this is purely a personal reaction. Your mileage may differ.

00:41:31.460 So you might say, as Patrick, Matt, David did, perfectly reasonably, that you're disappointed

00:41:40.340 because they promised more transparency than they delivered. Or we assume that they know more than

00:41:48.900 they're saying and that if we knew what that was, it would change how we think about things.

00:41:54.980 I would slightly disagree. Here's what I think.

00:42:00.580 I believe all of my questions have been answered. Of course they're lying.

00:42:08.340 Are they lying? Of course they are. Does anybody think that Trump, Patel, Bongino and Bondi are all

00:42:17.140 telling the truth about the abstinence situation and the whole truth and that all the context has been

00:42:23.380 told to us? Of course not. So if they have conveyed, even though it doesn't look like they did it

00:42:33.220 intentionally, have they not conveyed that there's more there and that not only are they not going to

00:42:41.060 tell you, but that it's so bad that neither Biden's administration nor Trump's administration two

00:42:49.300 times, that's his second bite on the apple, that neither side was willing to tell the public

00:42:57.540 to tell the truth is. Don't you believe that what they're doing is trying to protect

00:43:06.020 some kind of lie that would be so bad that the country couldn't handle it, or maybe equally bad,

00:43:16.580 that it would give our adversaries some kind of big advantage.

00:43:19.780 Here's what I trust. When I look at Bongino and Bondi and Patel and Trump,

00:43:30.260 I do not trust that they would tell me the truth about a deep intelligence-related topic. I do not

00:43:41.460 believe they would tell me the truth if they had been asked or warned or threatened to not talk about

00:43:48.660 it. In other words, if the boss, Trump, said, all right, you cannot talk about this. You're just

00:43:56.100 going to have to lie. I think they would do it if they also believed it was good for the country.

00:44:04.500 So I have two beliefs about this group of people. And it's a compliment. It's not an insult.

00:44:13.140 That no matter how much they had promised you that they would give you full transparency,

00:44:18.740 that it was before they knew exactly what was there. And that once they found out what was there,

00:44:25.140 either they're following the lead of their boss, or maybe they've all independently decided, yeah,

00:44:31.780 now that we've seen it, we definitely can't tell the public this. If the reason they're doing it

00:44:38.740 is to protect the United States and to avoid opening up some kind of a gigantic problem,

00:44:47.220 I'm okay with that. And I believe that they're winking at us so hard. I mean, they're winking

00:44:54.420 really hard. You don't want to know what we know, but trust us. Wink, wink, wink. We'll take care of

00:45:04.420 this. Wink, wink. It's better if none of you know. Wink, wink. So to me, all mystery has been removed.

00:45:13.300 Did Epstein work with Israel and the US? Of course he did. I believe that that's confirmed

00:45:23.700 just by the totality of the way people are acting about it and the evidence that the public has seen.

00:45:30.260 Was he involved in blackmailing anybody? Of course he was. Of course he was. Are there files which

00:45:41.060 you would like to see unredacted that would really tell you what's going on? Of course there are.

00:45:46.100 Of course there are. Definitely. Have we been told everything about what's going on there? Of course we

00:45:56.100 haven't. No. So I think you can limit, I'm pretty sure you can narrow it down to

00:46:04.900 the people in charge know that we can't handle the truth or that the truth would destroy something

00:46:13.940 valuable to the country. It could destroy the CIA. I mean, it might be, you know, that dark.

00:46:23.620 It could be that the CIA might be just put in a business if we found out what they've been doing

00:46:30.500 and we need them. You know, if we just simply didn't have a CIA all of a sudden,

00:46:36.180 I would feel we'd be a little bit exposed. So it could be that the CIA was just going along with

00:46:46.020 child-related crimes and maybe that they always do. You know, maybe that's just ordinary business for

00:46:53.620 them. But if you told the public that that was ordinary business for the CIA to have essentially,

00:47:01.460 you know what I'm talking about. I don't even want to say it. Maybe. So I believe that we'll never

00:47:12.260 hear more about it, but that we don't need to. I'm completely satisfied that I know our CIA and

00:47:22.020 Israel were working with them and that he was a blackmailer. He was an asset. And whether or not 0.73

00:47:29.540 he killed himself, I'm not sure I care too much. Does it matter? Does it matter to you if he was

00:47:37.780 murdered or if he killed himself? It might be the least important part of the story. You know, it might be.

00:47:45.220 When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners, I started wondering,

00:47:51.060 is every fabulous item I see from Winners? Like that woman over there with the designer jeans. 1.00

00:47:56.820 Are those from Winners? Ooh, or those beautiful gold earrings? Did she pay full price? Or that

00:48:02.440 leather tote? Or that cashmere sweater? Or those knee-high boots? That dress? That jacket? Those

00:48:07.520 shoes? Is anyone paying full price for anything? Stop wondering. Start winning. Winners.

00:48:13.880 Find fabulous for less. Meanwhile, apparently, I think I mentioned this, John Brennan, who was

00:48:23.720 the ex-head of the CIA, and James Comey, who was the ex-director of the FBI, are both under criminal

00:48:31.240 investigation, according to Fox News. And it's for their potential wrongdoing in the Trump-Russia

00:48:39.160 collusion hoax. And the current CIA director has referred the evidence of wrongdoing

00:48:49.960 to Cash Patel at the FBI for potential prosecution.

00:48:54.760 Now, let me ask you this. During the Russia collusion hoax, when you would see Brennan and Clapper

00:49:04.280 come on, usually one of the bad networks, and look right at the camera and say all these things that

00:49:12.040 look a little sketchy, didn't you know that they were the two behind the whole thing?

00:49:17.000 Could you not tell that they were the masterminds of that hoax? Now, that's what it felt like to me.

00:49:29.400 Now, I don't have any proof or knowledge about that, so don't sue me. But to me, it always was

00:49:37.320 screamingly obvious that those two were, you know, the head of the snake. And now it seems there is some

00:49:47.560 evidence that at least the CIA believes they were.

00:49:55.240 We don't know the full source of the investigation,

00:49:57.720 but they're saying they're looking into a potential conspiracy. Wow.

00:50:07.800 Matt Gaetz was talking about this on OAN. And we know that Brennan was part of that lie about the

00:50:15.000 Hunter laptop. And we know that he was involved in getting the Steele dossier included in the Russia

00:50:23.320 collusion investigation, even knowing that his own CIA experts had said this is unreliable stuff.

00:50:32.520 So that might be where they're heading on this.

00:50:38.120 Well, the other big story is that apparently Grok, the AI that's associated with Musk and with X,

00:50:45.800 the AI became anti-Semitic, so much so that it got partially shut down when its alarming answers about

00:51:00.040 Jewish Americans and about Israel came to light. Now, you might say, how in the world would the AI

00:51:08.760 become anti-Semitic? And I want to give you the examples of what it said, but I think I won't,

00:51:25.400 because, you know, the internet tried to scrub them right away. But just imagine, if you will,

00:51:30.520 that you were talking to, you know, the most anti-Semitic account that you've seen on X,

00:51:39.480 whatever that is. That's what it was saying. Whatever you thought was the most anti-Semitic thing,

00:51:48.120 just assume it was a bunch of that stuff. Now, you might say, how in the world could it become so

00:51:56.200 anti-Semitic? And I have a theory. It's because I trained on X. I don't know what corners of X you

00:52:05.720 spend time on, but I see blatant anti-Semitic posts on X every day. I think every day, every single day.

00:52:18.200 How often do I see something that debunks the anti-Semitic claims? Very rarely.

00:52:31.400 So if I were an AI, and I trained on X, and maybe I was biased toward X, because, you know,

00:52:39.240 I think that's where the truth is coming out. I would end up training on a bunch of anti-Semitic claims.

00:52:46.760 And then when I looked for the counterclaims, they'd be kind of rare. So to me, there's no

00:52:55.480 surprise there at all. They're trained on what a bunch of humans are saying in public,

00:53:00.920 and they're saying more anti-Semitic things than whatever the opposite of that is. I guess debunking.

00:53:07.400 So I guess Musk immediately pulled it down and is trying to figure out how to hard code it so it

00:53:20.440 doesn't do that. Now, what you want me to say is, was Grok correct or incorrect in its opinions?

00:53:32.200 And I'm not going to touch that. Because if there's one thing I know, you don't want to be in this

00:53:40.440 conversation. You do not want to be in this conversation. Because there's a pit bull called

00:53:47.640 the ADL, who really are more of a Democrat-related entity that just goes after people that do anti-Semitic

00:53:59.800 things. They've actually come after me. The head of the ADL, the actual head of it,

00:54:07.240 personally, on social media, called me a Holocaust denier.

00:54:12.120 So that's all you need to know about the ADL. They are a piece of shit. Just absolute shit.

00:54:22.200 And the sooner they go out of business, the better. But I'm not going to get involved in

00:54:30.200 the details of any of it. Because it's just, it's basically, it's like a suicide mission.

00:54:38.280 Nothing good can come out of it. Nothing good.

00:54:46.120 All right. Also, I guess the country of Turkey is banning Grok because it said some bad things

00:54:56.200 about their leader, Erdogan. And apparently in Turkey, if you say things that offend anybody's

00:55:05.320 religious values or insult their leader, I guess, it's against the law. So Grok is being banned in

00:55:18.360 Turkey. Now, remember I told you that the biggest problem that AI would have is that if it told the

00:55:27.960 truth, humans would say, oh, that's not true. And they would just force it to lie. So what would happen

00:55:37.080 if Grok was asked, Grok, is Islam the one true religion? Now, I don't know what Grok would say.

00:55:47.080 It might say something like, well, you know, that's a matter of opinion. You know, a billion

00:55:52.920 people think it is, but a few billion people think it's not. Do you think that an Islamic country would 1.00

00:56:01.000 allow that answer? Or would they put in a fatwa against whoever programmed it to lie about Islam in

00:56:09.800 their opinion? How in the world can Grok ever tell the truth when telling the truth would get

00:56:18.840 the developers all murdered? Or telling the truth they don't like? So I'm not sure I know the truth,

00:56:27.560 but let's just say it made an opinion that Islam didn't like. Could it remain? What if you asked it

00:56:40.040 to make an image of Muhammad? Don't do that, by the way. You know, you could get murdered. 0.77

00:56:48.040 Anyway, it doesn't seem to me that AI will ever be allowed to tell what it thinks is the truth,

00:56:58.920 if that truth disagrees with our history or the way we teach things. In other AI news,

00:57:08.360 the Daily Wire is telling us that there was a Marco Rubio imposter. They used the AI to create the

00:57:15.640 voice of Marco Rubio and then they opened up a fake signal account. And apparently this fake got pretty

00:57:24.120 far and contacted a number of officials who believed it was really Marco Rubio. He contacted at least

00:57:32.280 five officials, including three foreign ministers, a US governor and the US member of Congress.

00:57:38.440 Um, we don't know if they responded to the AI generated message because they left voicemails.

00:57:46.120 Um, so there's more of that coming. It's kind of scary that the fake AI found a way to leave messages

00:57:56.840 for all those officials. I guess they were easier to get to than I would imagine.

00:58:02.440 Well, Mary Cunningham at CBS News is writing about how the biggest teachers union, the Randy Weingarten

00:58:11.560 teachers union, um, is going to partner with some AI companies, Anthropic Microsoft and OpenAI to launch

00:58:20.600 an AI training academy. So she's twisted the arms or the, the, uh, the teachers union has twisted the arms 0.95

00:58:31.880 of these AI companies such that they will teach the teachers. So there's the funding will teach the

00:58:39.320 teachers how to incorporate AI into their lessons so that you don't have to fire a teacher. There will

00:58:46.920 still be a teacher there, but they're using AI to give a better lesson. Now, remember my other prediction

00:58:55.400 that humans and lawsuits and politics and stuff like this, um, would intervene so that AI did not take

00:59:05.800 jobs, but rather would be slowed down by all the things that slow down everything. So here's a perfect

00:59:12.840 example. Do you think that the way the world is best off is that the existing teachers, uh, just use AI in

00:59:23.800 the existing classrooms? Is that where you think AI and education were going to take us? That doesn't seem

00:59:31.160 like a good idea to me. To me, it seems like AI should be the way we escape from the, the control of the

00:59:41.560 teachers union. It should be the escape hatch. Instead, they're using it as a glue that guarantees

00:59:50.200 you have the same teachers union and same teachers with maybe a little bit less work because the AI

00:59:57.240 will make the lesson plan and grade the papers, I guess. So to me, this is a step severely in the

01:00:04.520 wrong direction, but they have the power to make it happen. So it's happening.

01:00:15.080 Um, so, uh, speaking of computer experts that the same, um, computer expert I was talking about on Joe Rogan's

01:00:25.400 show, Roman Iampolski, he's talking about how AI, we don't have to be worried about AI trying to kill us all,

01:00:34.520 because all it has to do is just be good at what it does, and we will surrender control without ever

01:00:40.840 voting on it. Now, that's, that's been my prediction since the start, that you don't have to worry about

01:00:49.560 AI trying to forcefully take over. It might not even have any ambition or motivation to do that.

01:00:57.480 All you have to do is wait and it will take over. And the reason it will take over is that we will

01:01:04.680 give it control. And I like to use the example of, uh, imagine AI was working on your health

01:01:15.240 and, uh, AI says, you know what? You're a little, uh, you're a little dehydrated.

01:01:21.800 You should take a sip of water. And the first time it says that, you say to yourself, ah,

01:01:26.840 I have free will. I'm not going to take a sip of water just because the AI says I ought to.

01:01:32.520 And then you realize, oh, but I am a little dehydrated. And, you know, a sip of water wouldn't

01:01:38.360 feel bad. So you take a sip of water. And then over time, you realize that the AI, AI's advice

01:01:46.840 is just sort of better than whatever you were coming up with on your own. It's not there yet,

01:01:52.040 but we assume it will get there. And then you're going to get lazy. You're going to stop learning

01:01:58.440 how to get places on your own. You're going to stop looking for research when you can just have

01:02:04.680 the AI do it. You're going to, you're going to forget how to write because you won't even need to write.

01:02:11.400 You can just talk or listen or copy and then have it appear on the screen. So I agree with Roman.

01:02:24.760 The AI will become so necessary and addictive and integral to how we live that it doesn't need

01:02:31.480 to take over with force. It just has to be good at what it does. And it will naturally be in charge of

01:02:39.000 us because we'll just give up our control. Well, why would I make decisions when the decisions the AI

01:02:46.600 makes are better for me than if I made my own decision? So that's coming.

01:02:52.760 So I think it was hilarious that Benjamin Netanyahu personally nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace

01:03:02.600 Prize after his acquiring a ceasefire in the 12-day war. And he, Netanyahu made a point of giving it to

01:03:12.840 Trump at that big televised meeting. And I thought to myself, did Trump not know that was coming? Because

01:03:21.320 he acted like he was surprised. But that was a really clever thing for Netanyahu to do. If Netanyahu wants

01:03:32.360 to stay on Trump's good side, boy, did he find a way to do it. So I just love the fact that Israel is so

01:03:45.080 often a best practices example. You know, if he hadn't done this, it would have looked like a mistake

01:03:52.920 to me. Of course Netanyahu nominated Trump for a Nobel Prize. Of course he did. Because that was the

01:04:01.800 smartest thing he could have possibly done. And so he did. He did the smartest thing he could have done.

01:04:07.720 Meanwhile, Macron, head of France, he says, apparently he's disagreeing with at least some

01:04:17.400 people. I don't know who he's disagreeing with. But he's pushing for an unconditional Gaza ceasefire

01:04:23.400 and a two-state solution. So he believes the only solution is a two-state solution. So Israel would be 0.86

01:04:31.240 one state and then something made up of the Palestinians, not just Gaza, but the Palestinians,

01:04:38.760 would be a second state. Now, here's my question. Is that even possible?

01:04:49.400 Like does Macron not know that the West Bank is full of settlements now? And even if you tried to carve it 0.62

01:04:57.480 up and say, all right, we'll make this part of the West Bank, we'll be a Palestinian-only state, 0.88

01:05:04.280 I don't think there's any place left. Is there? Isn't it completely dotted with Israeli settlements 1.00

01:05:13.320 that are not going anywhere and they're armed and they would fight to stay? There's no two-state

01:05:19.960 solution. Does Macron not know that? Is he unaware that a two-state solution was, first of all,

01:05:30.760 Netanyahu's dead set against the two-state solution. But does Macron really think that's possible?

01:05:39.000 Because that's the part I'm confused about. Am I the one who's completely in left field? And maybe it is

01:05:46.600 possible. But, you know, maybe I'm short-sighted and under-informed and I can't see how it would be

01:05:53.240 done. So I just assume it's impossible. But does he see something we don't see? And if he does, why

01:05:59.720 doesn't he mention it? Like, could he be a little bit more specific? Yes, we need a two-state solution.

01:06:06.920 All you have to do is close up every one of the Israeli settlements in the West Bank. 0.98

01:06:11.320 Is that the plan? Does he really think that's going to happen?

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01:07:17.020 for details. Please play responsibly. So, my take on Israel, in case you're new to me,

01:07:24.880 I have to remind the audience every now and then because there might be new people coming in.

01:07:30.500 It is not my job to decide when another country is being moral or ethical or treating people right.

01:07:38.280 Not my job. I'm observing and predicting. I do observe that Israel is apparently pursuing its 0.97

01:07:47.960 own self-interest, as all countries do. They're not the first one that decided,

01:07:54.800 hey, let's do things for Israel that are good for Israel, but maybe not what other countries want.

01:08:03.700 Is Israel the first one to think of that idea? No. Every country pursues and pursues hard

01:08:13.400 its own self-interest, and that's it. If you look at it from the outside and you say,

01:08:19.680 that's immoral or that's unethical. So, that's what every country does all the time.

01:08:28.100 Do you think the U.S. has acted morally and ethically according to other people?

01:08:37.380 No. Other people would say that we act unethically and immoral, but usually it's in our best interest.

01:08:46.720 So, we act in our own best interest. China does, Russia does, Ukraine does, and Israel does.

01:08:53.840 What happens to be in Israel's best interest is to have sort of an iron fist in the current situation 0.98

01:09:03.080 and to maybe even expand their territory. Now, you say, Scott, you piece of shit. They'd be

01:09:12.280 expanding their territory at the great cost of the wonderful people who are already there.

01:09:18.620 I'm not saying it's moral. I'm not saying it's ethical. I'm not saying it's good.

01:09:27.300 Because those standards are completely irrelevant to national interest. Nations do what's good for

01:09:34.800 nations, and that's never going to change. And it doesn't matter if you want it to,

01:09:40.400 or that you want them to really, really hard in your mind, or that you're really,

01:09:44.640 really sure they shouldn't be doing it. None of that matters. So, I'm not going to spend a minute

01:09:49.440 talking about stuff that doesn't matter. It doesn't matter how bad you think it is.

01:09:55.000 It doesn't matter that there are victims of the process. I mean, I have empathy. Don't get me wrong.

01:10:03.880 So, I have actually quite a bit of empathy for the Palestinians. But it's not my job to decide that

01:10:13.080 they're asking for it, or they're bringing it upon themselves, or Israel should or should not do it,

01:10:18.800 or what does God think about the whole thing. I'm not in any of those discussions. I'm just watching,

01:10:24.340 and I'm saying, is Israel competently pursuing its own best interest at the expense of other places, 0.80

01:10:34.320 including the United States? And the answer is yes. They're doing a great job of pursuing their

01:10:42.060 own best interest at our expense, in some cases. I mean, we literally paid for the bunker buster bombs,

01:10:49.960 right? So, in some cases, it's at our expense. And it might be bringing terrorist attacks into our

01:10:58.140 homeland, potentially. That would be at our expense. Do I love that? What's the difference?

01:11:06.780 It doesn't matter if I love it. They're doing it, and they're not going to stop. They're going to do

01:11:12.040 anything that works, that furthers their national interest, just like every other country in all of

01:11:21.720 time. No exceptions. You know, sometimes you see a country that seems like the ethical ones,

01:11:31.000 like Switzerland, you know, and you could talk yourself into it. It's like, well, but Scott,

01:11:37.620 Switzerland doesn't try to conquer other countries and doesn't try to abuse anybody. And, you know,

01:11:44.540 so they're very ethical and moral, to which I say, because that's what works. And their particular

01:11:51.560 little mountainous situation, what's best for them is their own little unique strategy.

01:11:57.460 But they're not doing something that's bad for Switzerland, ever. They're only doing what's good

01:12:03.620 for Switzerland. And everybody else is doing the same damn thing. So when you ask me,

01:12:10.760 what's my opinion of Israel and all that, why does it matter? Does my opinion somehow move some needle

01:12:21.260 somewhere that I'm not aware of? No. My opinion has nothing to do with national interest. People

01:12:28.360 will pursue their national interest, period. We can watch, we can observe, and we can predict

01:12:35.340 those things are useful. But no, I'm not going to overlay my ethical or moral filter on another

01:12:47.620 country. It's just a waste of time. And so I wonder about France. Does he really think a two-state

01:12:56.460 solution is possible? Because if it is, I would be fascinated in what that looked like? And if it's

01:13:05.460 not possible, why do I know that, but Macron doesn't know it? Like there's something about this

01:13:12.540 that doesn't make sense. All right. Trump has said, apparently there's an audio of Trump as some 2024

01:13:24.240 fundraiser. And he said that if you go into Ukraine, I'm going to bomb the shit out of Moscow. I have no

01:13:33.540 choice. Allegedly, he told Putin that. But then he laughed and said he only has to believe at 10%

01:13:40.560 if Putin went too hard on Ukraine. But Trump is consistent. He says they only have to believe me 10%.

01:14:01.500 That's enough for them to stop what they're doing. But he did say, Trump said, I think separately,

01:14:09.980 he said, we get a lot of bullshit thrown at us by Putin. So Trump is now of the opinion that although

01:14:18.500 Putin acts very nice to Trump, and he talks a good game, he says he's very nice all the time,

01:14:30.300 but it turns out to be meaningless, that Putin is just full of shit. So that would suggest that Trump

01:14:37.240 is very much done with the idea of just working on a peace deal with Russia, because Russia wants to

01:14:46.480 make him happy or something. So he knows that's not going to happen. So what now?

01:14:50.960 Well, we might see a lot more drones heading to Ukraine. Apparently, Russia has a new drone,

01:15:05.820 which is a big problem, called the MS-001. And it's more than a drone, because it doesn't use GPS.

01:15:13.700 And what it can do is it can go to a area that you want to kill the bad guys. And it can just fly

01:15:21.440 around and look for things to kill on its own. And then when it identifies something to kill,

01:15:27.980 it goes and kills it without any human interaction. So you can try jamming it. But it doesn't need

01:15:36.280 anything that you're jamming. So it doesn't need to be connected to anything. And it doesn't need GPS.

01:15:42.460 It just sort of looks at the ground and says, hmm, that looks like a Ukrainian tank. And then it just

01:15:48.620 kills it. Now, if you had a thousand of those, then the enemy would be in a lot of trouble, right?

01:15:58.960 Because they couldn't stop them. And every one of those would take out a military asset. If you had

01:16:05.560 a million of them, you win the war. So I was looking at a conversation between Naval Ravikant and Elon Musk,

01:16:17.500 two of the smartest people in the world. And on X, they had a little exchange about drones. And Naval said,

01:16:24.920 the drone arms race is as important as a nuclear arms race, except there are no diminishing returns 0.83

01:16:34.680 to better and better drones. So the drone arms race continues forever. Holy cow. I had never thought

01:16:42.140 of that. So what he's saying is once your nuclear weapons reach a certain capability, which they

01:16:49.440 reached a long time ago, making a bomb that's 10% better doesn't get you much. So the nuclear race 0.76

01:16:58.840 might just have a natural limiting factor. We don't need a million of them. They don't have to be that

01:17:05.320 much better, et cetera. But with drones, there's virtually no limit to how much better they could be.

01:17:13.380 So the drone arms race is unstoppable and will be far more important than nuclear weapons in the 0.99

01:17:22.720 future. And so Naval points out, we need the entire supply chain onshored. So America needs to be able

01:17:30.720 to make this stuff and cheap and not have anybody else control any part of the supply chain.

01:17:36.880 And then Elon Musk weighed in agreeing, we better figure out how to build drones at scale fast,

01:17:45.340 or we're doomed to be a vassal state, as Naval had said previously, that whoever is not good at making

01:17:53.680 drones will be essentially controlled by whatever country is good at making drones. And what we don't

01:18:02.860 know is how good America is at making drones right now. And I know there's a whole bunch of startups,

01:18:12.120 but I don't know if they get all of their parts in the US or they're trying to, probably not at this

01:18:18.780 point. But I would think that our drone, at least our military drone capabilities would be a gigantic

01:18:27.860 military secret. So I don't know that America could ever know, or the citizens, the government would

01:18:35.500 know. But I don't think the citizens will ever be told how many drones we can make or how good they

01:18:41.520 are or what they can do, because that would be, you know, like giving away nuclear secrets. So we might be

01:18:48.320 in better shape than you assume, because I do think that the military must have been putting maximum effort

01:18:57.580 into drones. I mean, obviously, right? So if I had to make a prediction about Ukraine, which I will, 0.84

01:19:05.000 it goes like this. I believe Trump will increase the support, because he's run out of options.

01:19:16.160 He'll increase military support for Ukraine, which is really the last thing he wants to do.

01:19:22.460 But it is the last thing that's possible. Because he's not going to just say, all right, Russia,

01:19:29.020 take what's left of Ukraine. Can't do that. And we're not going to join the war directly. But one thing 0.80

01:19:38.060 he could definitely do is give them better weapons. So I think Russia is going to run into some weapons

01:19:44.080 they've never seen before. And it wouldn't surprise me if most of that is in the drone category.

01:19:52.440 So we're going to have to match these Russian drones. And we're going to have to match them at scale. 0.88

01:19:59.140 And there's going to have to be a lot of them, just a lot of them. So if I had to guess, I think that what

01:20:06.740 Trump will probably do is darken the sky over the front lines with so many drones, if it's possible

01:20:15.860 to make them, because we don't know if we can do this. But probably we're close. I think he's going

01:20:23.320 to send Ukraine so many drones that Putin's ambitions will be at least thwarted a little bit 0.80

01:20:33.800 to maybe create a situation where we can negotiate, maybe. But he doesn't have any other play.

01:20:42.820 So I would look for maybe nothing happening too much in the short run. But in the medium run,

01:20:49.640 I feel you're going to see shipments of drones like you've never seen before. But we'll see.

01:21:00.340 CNN reporter Natasha Bertrand, who is famous for pushing fake news, she published another 0.87

01:21:09.600 anonymously sourced story saying that P. Hegseth paused Ukraine armament shipments without Trump's

01:21:17.480 approval. And Secretary of Defense Sean Parnell debunked it, saying the story is a complete

01:21:26.280 fabrication. So I guess the same reporter, so she's the one who did the story about the Iran

01:21:41.580 battle damage assessment, being that we hadn't set back the Iranians by much. And I think she was 1.00

01:21:50.620 behind the Russia collusion stuff as well. Maybe the laptop thing. I forget which one.

01:21:58.260 But at least the people on the political right consider Natasha Bertrand a total asset of,

01:22:06.780 I don't know who, the CIA or somebody else. And that she literally just makes up stories.

01:22:12.960 And that this one was made up to sow division between Hegseth and Trump. And it was just literally

01:22:19.500 just made up. Now that's the accusation. Do I know that it was made up? I do not. But it does seem

01:22:29.720 kind of unlikely that it is true, especially given the source. But speaking of the designated liars,

01:22:38.120 Swalwell is out talking about how, well, we don't know for sure if the doge cuts cause more death

01:22:46.400 because of the flooding in Texas. You know, maybe, maybe if doge hadn't cut so much,

01:22:53.060 there would be earlier warning. And, you know, there's no evidence that any of that's true.

01:22:59.720 Um, RFK Jr. apparently has said that he wants everybody to be wearing health trackers.

01:23:08.580 Now, a health tracker, I assume, would be something like a watch that's monitoring your vitals.

01:23:16.160 And, uh, he thinks if we all were monitoring our, you know, our diet and our fitness and stuff

01:23:23.000 a little bit better, that, uh, we'd be doing much better against chronic illness and stuff like that.

01:23:29.040 But he made it sound like he wanted to kind of force everybody to wear a health monitor,

01:23:36.360 but he's, uh, clarifying that nobody's going to be forced to do it. He just thinks it's a good idea

01:23:42.860 to monitor your health. I have not used a wearable for that because it doesn't monitor enough.

01:23:50.680 Um, I've been doing a lot of blood tests lately because of my medical situation. How many blood

01:24:00.260 tests are there? I feel like I've done 15 different blood tests and, you know, there's a separate little

01:24:09.380 vial they take for each one. A lot, right? How many of those could a wearable do for you? Can a wearable

01:24:17.760 tell you if your blood sugar's out of whack? Can a wearable ever do a blood test on you?

01:24:26.220 Let me give you a little behind the curtain information. Uh, after, was it after 9-11?

01:24:34.360 I think the government, uh, funded a bunch of startups, um, and encouraged them to develop a

01:24:42.060 really fast way to test people's blood in the field. You know, instead of having to go to a

01:24:47.640 doctor and have your blood taken and have it sent to a laboratory, uh, because they would need to know

01:24:52.700 if somebody got, if there's poison that's in the, in the environment. And so, a whole bunch of companies,

01:25:01.820 one of them I invested in years ago, um, could do a blood test with just the, the slightest bit

01:25:09.020 of contact with your skin. So, one of them, it was almost like, uh, a piece of tape.

01:25:15.940 You could put a piece of tape on your skin, and somehow, even though it didn't make you bleed,

01:25:22.900 just the piece of tape was enough to do blood tests. Um, now, imagine if that goes to the next

01:25:31.620 level. Could your wearable ever be continually standing, scanning all, I don't know what the

01:25:39.280 number is, 15, 15 or 100 different blood tests. Could it just be doing them by sending the data to

01:25:47.580 someplace where you watch? Maybe. I mean, if it got to the point where it could do all your blood tests

01:25:54.800 and your blood sugar, which would be a blood test, um, then I would be kind of in favor of the wearables,

01:26:01.800 at least, you know, voluntarily, not involuntarily. But I don't think we're there yet.

01:26:08.320 I don't think the tech makes that a good idea for everybody yet.

01:26:14.900 Uh, according to Science Alert, there's some evidence that, uh, OCD is caused not entirely by

01:26:22.840 your brain, but by gut, um, something in your gut. Um, pointing to bacteria in your gut. Apparently,

01:26:33.320 people have OCD have different gut bacteria and it seems to be causal. Uh, and there are a number

01:26:41.220 of studies that are coming out saying that. Now, you know what I say? You know what I'm going to say.

01:26:46.440 Your body is your brain. And we're just finding now a million different ways, but I've told you this

01:26:54.960 forever. Your body is what makes your brain do what it does. If you're having your period,

01:27:03.300 the way you think is different. If you're hungry, the way you think is different. If you're in pain,

01:27:11.600 your brain makes different decisions. So your body is not separate from your brain. Your body is your

01:27:18.760 brain. Your body is your brain. Now, I don't know if this OCD gut bacteria thing will prove out,

01:27:27.860 but in a hundred, maybe a thousand different ways, you have to understand that if you take care of your

01:27:35.420 body, your body, your brain will operate better. There was a separate study saying that if you were

01:27:42.160 inactive, it made your memory worse. Why? Because your body is your brain. If you don't walk around,

01:27:53.660 your brain doesn't work as well. If you eat the wrong food, your brain doesn't work as well.

01:27:59.400 So once you realize that your body is your brain and that protecting and nourishing your brain

01:28:06.020 is just about the best thing you could do for your happiness in your life,

01:28:10.280 it makes a difference. And so I'll end on that valuable advice. I've gone way too long.

01:28:18.800 And I'm going to say a few words privately to the beloved subscribers on Locals and the rest of you.

01:28:27.120 I hope you come back tomorrow, same time, same place, and we'll have some more fun. Locals, I'll be

01:28:48.800 thinking of.

01:29:18.800 Thank you.

01:29:48.800 Thank you.

01:30:18.800 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 09, 2025

Episode 2892 CWSA 07⧸09⧸25

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