Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2893 CWSA 07⧸10⧸25

00:00:00.000 Come on in, grab a seat.

00:00:04.220 There's always an available seat up front.

00:00:08.240 And it is wonderful to see you again.

00:00:12.300 Let me make sure I can see all your comments here.

00:00:16.820 And then we've got some fun for you.

00:00:20.280 Boom, boom, boom, boom.

00:00:24.920 Boom, boom, boom, boom.

00:00:31.640 Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:41.600 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

00:00:46.060 But if you'd like to take a chance on taking this experience up to levels that no one can understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard, chalice, or stein, a canteen, jug, or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:09.620 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:11.500 I like coffee.

00:01:12.260 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of dopamine at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:19.460 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:01:27.640 Oh, yeah.

00:01:29.100 That was really good.

00:01:32.060 That was good.

00:01:33.660 Oh, boy.

00:01:34.300 Well, I wonder if there's any scientific study about the benefits of magic mushrooms.

00:01:44.120 Oh, yeah.

00:01:44.640 Here's one.

00:01:46.160 According to IFL Science, psilocybin shows potential in slowing human cell aging.

00:01:54.800 So, not only will the magic mushrooms cure your depression, your anxiety, fix all of your problems, but it might make you live longer.

00:02:11.500 Is there anything mushrooms can't do?

00:02:15.180 No.

00:02:15.940 No, there's not.

00:02:17.120 Apparently, they can do everything.

00:02:19.220 Well, this might seem like a nerdy little news thing, but it might be a big deal.

00:02:27.520 PJ Media is reporting that four independent pollsters have decided to join forces in some kind of an association of just the four of them.

00:02:39.740 There'll be the National Association of Independent Pollsters.

00:02:50.000 Now, you might say to me, why is that interesting that four pollsters, and of the many, many pollsters, have decided to create their own little organization?

00:03:02.120 Why would they do that?

00:03:03.440 Well, here are the pollsters.

00:03:06.920 Big Data Poll, Insider Advantage, Trafalgar Group, and Rasmussen.

00:03:13.200 Now, if you're a real nerd, and you really watch your politics, you know where this is heading.

00:03:20.440 But for the rest of you, let me tell you what this means.

00:03:23.600 These four are the ones who are calling out the other pollsters for being frauds.

00:03:35.440 Rasmussen, of course, has been doing it for a long time.

00:03:38.760 But these are all top ten pollsters who tend to be accurate and not gaming the system.

00:03:46.800 So, I believe their claim will be that these are four you can depend on, and all the rest are likely to be gaming the system, especially for the political stuff.

00:04:01.220 So, I feel like this is a big move.

00:04:05.160 Because if one pollster says, oh, those other ones seem fraudulent, how much are you going to pay attention to it?

00:04:14.860 But if there's an organization of pollsters, they have organized specifically because they're the ones who are not frauds, and they're calling out the rest of them in the industry for being frauds, that's got a little bit of weight behind it.

00:04:32.400 So, that could get interesting next time there's a political poll.

00:04:37.500 Well, Grok 4 maybe is released, or maybe they're just still talking about it.

00:04:46.160 I cannot tell by looking at my own Grok that I pay for what I have and what I don't.

00:04:53.940 I think I have four, but there's a heavy four.

00:04:58.840 There's one that's $300 a month.

00:05:00.920 I don't have that one.

00:05:01.760 So, Elon Musk says we're in the beginning of an immense intelligence big bang right now, and we're at the most interesting time to be alive any time in history.

00:05:17.160 Now, you want to know how I know we're living in a simulation?

00:05:23.100 All right, just imagine this.

00:05:24.580 Imagine the, depends where you want to go, let's say 300,000 years of human development.

00:05:35.180 What are the odds that you happen to be here at exactly the most interesting time?

00:05:43.360 What are the odds of that?

00:05:45.780 That's really small, right?

00:05:47.400 So, it seems to me that whenever something that's unusual happens in my lifetime, I say to myself, what are the odds that I was born in this time zone?

00:06:02.900 You know, not time zone, but, you know, time period.

00:06:06.040 I feel like, I feel like maybe, you know, this is proof or a simulation.

00:06:11.840 Well, Grok is also going to be put into Teslas very soon, maybe next week.

00:06:19.800 And Elon has gone so far as to say that he'd be shocked if Grok hasn't discovered new physics by next year.

00:06:30.120 Apparently, Grok 4 is now the leading AI.

00:06:34.400 It benchmarks better than all the other AIs for now.

00:06:38.680 And Elon says that with respect to academic questions, Grok 4 is better than a PhD level in every subject.

00:06:52.960 And it may be discovering new things that no AI has discovered before.

00:07:01.600 And it might discover new physics.

00:07:04.600 I mean, just think about that.

00:07:06.400 So, according to Elon, the current version, the one they're releasing, I guess the expensive version, should be able to figure out things that do not exist already on the internet.

00:07:22.780 Now, that would be a big deal.

00:07:25.000 Because the large language models, largely, they look at what has gone before.

00:07:31.740 You know, the body of knowledge that humans already have.

00:07:35.600 And then it learns from what humans already know.

00:07:38.980 But it doesn't figure out new stuff.

00:07:42.660 The large language models don't do that.

00:07:45.240 If Grok can do that, and I think it's still an open question.

00:07:49.760 If Grok can figure out new truths that do not exist already in human knowledge, that would be really scary and exciting and a really big deal.

00:08:05.300 So, the odds of Grok or AI fixing cancer seems pretty good, but mushrooms will do that too.

00:08:15.600 So, I forgot to tell you that the mushrooms that might be operating on your telomeres and allowing you to live longer, they're going to study mushrooms, the magic mushrooms, to see if they also are a treatment for cancer.

00:08:36.240 So, what do you think will work first?

00:08:40.860 Do you think the mushrooms or Grok will cure cancer first?

00:08:46.900 I don't know.

00:08:47.880 Could be a dead heat.

00:08:50.980 Meanwhile, Apple stock is apparently down this year for the year, even as the other big tech firms are doing great.

00:09:01.140 And, of course, people are saying that the problem is that if Apple doesn't figure out AI, and there's no evidence that they're even close, that they will be left behind, and that you can't be the big, you know, leading tech company if you don't even really have an AI platform.

00:09:22.160 So, maybe some say that Apple will try to buy diversity or perplexity.

00:09:29.280 I don't know about that, because it would be about $30 billion.

00:09:34.360 But I'm going to re-up my prediction.

00:09:37.320 I feel like the risk to the smartphone companies is that somebody with an AI platform is going to make a phone that doesn't use apps, at least not directly.

00:09:54.680 The biggest problem with the iPhone, the thing I hate, is that I have to find an app first, and then I do my thing.

00:10:04.200 And sometimes you've got to update the app, and sometimes you've got to sign into the app, and oh, my God.

00:10:11.160 Imagine if you would, a phone with AI as its operating system, if you will, but not really having an operating system.

00:10:20.220 And it's just a blank phone.

00:10:21.780 And if you left your phone on the kitchen table, and I picked it up by accident, it would look at my face, and it would turn into my phone.

00:10:35.080 But only as long as I'm using it.

00:10:37.440 As soon as I put it down again, it would become generic, and then the owner could pick it up, and it would be their phone.

00:10:44.320 So, that's the first thing.

00:10:46.060 It could identify you with more certainty than a non-AI entity could.

00:10:51.780 The other thing I want to say is I want to start working before I pick an app.

00:11:01.060 So, for example, if I want to text somebody I know, I want a blank screen every time, nothing but a blank screen, and then just start typing a message.

00:11:11.060 And then the AI says, oh, he's making a short message on this topic where he was just talking to Bob.

00:11:21.560 So, then it will indicate as I work that it plans to open up a text, send a text message to Bob.

00:11:30.560 Now, if that's not what I intended, or if there maybe is more than one thing that I might be, you know, potentially hinting I want, it would give me a couple of choices.

00:11:40.760 But I would do the selecting of the app at the end, or not at all, because AI would know.

00:11:49.400 Suppose I wanted to work on a spreadsheet.

00:11:51.520 So, I've got some existing spreadsheets that, you know, I update now and then.

00:11:58.740 If the only thing I did is start writing the new data for the new spreadsheet, the new spreadsheet should just appear, and then it asked me if I wanted that data to be on this column in this place.

00:12:11.740 So, you see how awesome that would be?

00:12:16.520 But the problem is that Apple has commercialized this whole app model, which has been, you know, great for revenue, I guess.

00:12:26.500 But I don't want apps.

00:12:29.040 I don't want any apps.

00:12:31.500 I want just stuff to work.

00:12:33.520 And I want to just start working as soon as I open the phone.

00:12:36.480 Now, you might say to yourself that that would be a terrible idea, but it depends on implementation.

00:12:44.120 Well, in other news.

00:12:46.340 When I found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from Winners, I started wondering, is every fabulous item I see from Winners?

00:12:54.960 Like that woman over there with the designer jeans. 1.00

00:12:57.880 Are those from Winners?

00:12:59.440 Ooh, or those beautiful gold earrings?

00:13:01.880 Did she pay full price?

00:13:03.220 Or that leather tote?

00:13:04.200 Or that cashmere sweater?

00:13:05.120 Or those knee-high boots?

00:13:06.900 That dress?

00:13:07.680 That jacket?

00:13:08.360 Those shoes?

00:13:09.400 Is anyone paying full price for anything?

00:13:12.340 Stop wondering.

00:13:13.600 Start winning.

00:13:14.540 Winners.

00:13:15.120 Find fabulous for less.

00:13:18.860 DJI, that's the big drone maker in China.

00:13:23.440 They have made a drone that can lift about 176 pounds and transport it for 16 miles.

00:13:35.120 That's the weight of a human.

00:13:36.120 That's the weight of a human that can carry for 16 miles.

00:13:42.440 What?

00:13:44.540 And it's not that big.

00:13:46.180 The drone itself looks like, I don't know, maybe a six-foot wingspan or something like that.

00:13:51.740 But if you can carry 176 pounds for 16 miles, you've got yourself a pretty good assassination machine right there.

00:14:03.400 Because we know now that the Russians have the ability to have a drone that just loiters and just hangs around and looks for its targets.

00:14:16.900 It's unjammable.

00:14:18.440 So imagine it being unjammable, can travel 16 miles, can find the target on its own after you've specified some stuff, I guess.

00:14:29.740 And then it can drop 176 pounds of explosives in that area.

00:14:36.720 So that would be pretty bad.

00:14:40.440 But on the positive side, maybe they'll use it for rescuing people in remote locations.

00:14:50.280 Or maybe it will be delivering your lunch.

00:14:52.720 I don't know.

00:14:55.160 I tell this story all the time, but I haven't told it in a while, so it's worth re-upping.

00:15:00.680 Years ago, when drones were a little bit newer and less powerful, I attended a startup pitch event at Berkeley, Berkeley the college.

00:15:14.460 And I was one of the judges of the pitches.

00:15:18.320 And one of the companies pitching had developed a new kind of blade for drones that they claimed would vastly improve its cargo carrying ability from what it was at the time, which wasn't very much.

00:15:37.000 And I remember asking the startup crew, and remember this is Berkeley, so it's the most lefty-leaning group of people you've ever seen in your life.

00:15:48.320 And I said, well, with this new ability to carry more cargo, I would think the military would be very interested in your product.

00:15:57.940 Well, you should have seen their faces.

00:16:02.820 When this left-leaning group of entrepreneurs in Berkeley just realized that they had designed death weapons from above, but they weren't aware of what they had done.

00:16:18.320 Lithuania got attacked by a Russian suicide drone?

00:16:24.980 I'm seeing somebody report that in the comments, but I wouldn't take that as a fact yet.

00:16:30.980 That sounds unusual.

00:16:33.300 All right.

00:16:35.180 Apparently, T-Mobile had a thriving DEI program or set of programs.

00:16:43.100 But they're going to get rid of all their DEI, according to Newsmax, because they need FCC approval for some mergers and deals they want to do.

00:16:54.500 So once again, it wasn't enough that DEI is illegal.

00:17:01.280 That wasn't enough to make them stop doing it.

00:17:03.820 It's just until they needed an approval from the government, they were just going to keep doing the illegal thing, I guess.

00:17:12.560 But now they've agreed to wipe it clean and get rid of all that DEI illegal stuff so that they can get their deals done.

00:17:22.080 So T-Mobile, you're a little bit slow, but maybe you got to the right place.

00:17:29.760 And I was listening to Alex Jones.

00:17:38.020 He had a guest on, Kyle Serafin.

00:17:41.220 He's a FBI whistleblower who's been around for a while on the podcasting and interview circuit.

00:17:49.220 So he's not a brand new FBI whistleblower.

00:17:53.500 He's a whistleblower from the not-too-distant past.

00:17:57.040 And he believes that the announcement that Comey and Brennan will be investigated for criminal activity is a distraction from the Epstein case.

00:18:12.120 Do you believe that?

00:18:14.100 Do you believe that it's not a coincidence that you heard about Brennan and Comey right at the time that the government wants to distract you from the Epstein situation?

00:18:27.720 I don't know.

00:18:29.440 Maybe.

00:18:30.460 I always think the government has a million things that they could use as a distraction.

00:18:36.540 So in a sense, maybe.

00:18:40.980 I mean, it works as a distraction.

00:18:43.400 But that doesn't mean that they planned it that way.

00:18:46.780 Or did they?

00:18:47.900 It's possible.

00:18:48.640 And then Kyle was pointing out, Kyle Serafin, on Alex Jones' show, he was pointing out that Fox News is reporting

00:19:02.240 that Comey and Brennan would be looked at for perjury for things that they said to, I guess, under oath to Congress that turned out not to be true.

00:19:16.080 Except that there's a statute of limitations, says Kyle Serafin, of five years.

00:19:22.880 So it wouldn't really make sense to investigate them for something they couldn't be charged for anyway.

00:19:31.220 So maybe there's more to it.

00:19:33.700 We don't know.

00:19:34.420 But then I saw separately, I saw a CIA whistleblower.

00:19:43.860 I love the whistleblowers.

00:19:45.660 John Kiriakou.

00:19:47.720 You've probably seen him on social media.

00:19:49.700 He's there quite a bit.

00:19:50.640 And he had a lot of contact with John Brennan because they were in the CIA at the same time.

00:19:59.520 And he describes John Brennan as a ruthless, quote, very bad guy.

00:20:06.180 He said, quote, John was just torture, torture, torture.

00:20:09.960 We've got to torture these guys, talking about terrorists and stuff.

00:20:14.720 We've got to do this. 0.94

00:20:16.060 We've got to do that. 1.00

00:20:17.160 We need to start killing more people. 1.00

00:20:18.840 We need to get out there and start shooting. 1.00

00:20:21.660 John Brennan is a very bad guy. 0.99

00:20:23.780 From day one, he was a bad guy.

00:20:27.260 Well, and I guess Brennan was notorious for expanding drone strikes and brutal interrogation tactics.

00:20:40.660 Well, John Brennan appeared on MSNBC, the network that we think is most associated with

00:20:47.760 being a tool of being a tool of the CIA.

00:20:51.580 And I've seen him.

00:20:53.920 I've seen John Brennan in a lot of interviews, but I've never seen him look this worried.

00:21:00.660 He acted like he was scared to death, like they have him.

00:21:06.260 And he lashed out in exactly the way you'd expect.

00:21:12.880 He compared the U.S. to Nazi Germany, you know, under Trump.

00:21:16.960 And he said, if the president of the United States is willing to weaponize intelligence and justice,

00:21:23.640 we really are in deep, deep trouble.

00:21:26.960 Now, do you recognize that approach?

00:21:30.660 Have we ever mentioned that the Democrats always project?

00:21:36.140 Literally, the reason that he's being, he's in the public eye is because he's being accused

00:21:47.280 of the very thing he says that Trump is doing, which is weaponizing the CIA and the FBI and

00:21:53.880 Department of Justice.

00:21:55.000 So, he might have a point that weaponizing those things would be a bad idea, but it doesn't

00:22:07.160 mean that's what's happening now.

00:22:09.760 It seems to me that there are pretty credible accusations that would suggest he was behind

00:22:16.400 an insurrection and that Obama knew about it and was part of it.

00:22:21.480 And that they were trying to overthrow or change the government of the United States without

00:22:28.100 using the legal process.

00:22:31.600 Now, do you think he's guilty?

00:22:35.460 Well, I'm no expert, but I can tell you I thought he was guilty from the first time I

00:22:42.120 saw him and he and Clapper doing their interviews.

00:22:45.660 They just looked guilty as hell.

00:22:48.100 I've never seen two people who acted more guilty from the start than those two guys.

00:22:55.360 But, you know, I'm not magic.

00:22:57.500 I can't read minds.

00:22:58.960 I just know that my impression of them from the start was, whoa, not only are you lying,

00:23:06.560 it seemed to me, but it looks like you're the masterminds behind the whole thing.

00:23:12.860 And apparently they're being accused of being the masterminds behind the whole thing.

00:23:21.620 Why did it take us years to get to this point?

00:23:25.440 Well, apparently the way our government works and the justice system is that it takes five 0.98

00:23:35.420 years before somebody admits that something was wrong and action is taken.

00:23:40.340 And by then you're just tired of the story and it just doesn't have the impact it would if

00:23:47.300 they had started from the beginning.

00:23:50.520 So that's happening.

00:23:53.300 So, well, I guess we'll find out if our system is completely rigged because doesn't it seem

00:24:04.560 to you that no matter what kind of evidence they have against Brennan that he's not going

00:24:10.380 to go to jail?

00:24:12.560 Don't you have that feeling?

00:24:13.680 Don't you think that it really wouldn't make any difference how good the case was, how

00:24:20.000 illegal it was, the statute of limitation hasn't run out yet for some stuff, I suppose.

00:24:26.460 But do any of you believe that the justice system would lock him up?

00:24:32.080 Well, it seems unbelievably, you do?

00:24:39.140 Do you believe he might get locked up?

00:24:41.900 And Comey, what do you think?

00:24:44.320 I think no.

00:24:46.100 I believe that at that level, they're just always protected.

00:24:50.180 And that, you know, somebody would get blackmailed or bribed or something.

00:24:58.380 Yeah.

00:24:59.020 To me, it seems impossible that Brennan will go to jail.

00:25:03.420 No matter what he did.

00:25:05.020 And no matter what the evidence is.

00:25:06.660 I just don't think we live in a country that can bring that kind of justice to this kind

00:25:11.720 of situation.

00:25:13.620 We'll see.

00:25:15.320 That's my prediction.

00:25:16.500 My prediction is that you might see evidence that looks really, really damning, followed

00:25:23.280 by, oh, several years are going by and he spent some money on lawyers, but he's still

00:25:30.900 free.

00:25:31.900 We'll find out.

00:25:36.140 Bank more encores when you switch to a Scotiabank banking package.

00:25:41.080 Learn more at scotiabank.com slash banking packages.

00:25:44.380 Conditions apply.

00:25:45.120 Well, Joe Biden's personal doctor, from when he was in office, agreed to go talk to the

00:25:59.220 committee, Comer's committee, but he didn't answer questions.

00:26:06.640 Instead, he took the fifth.

00:26:08.020 Why would the personal doctor have to take the fifth?

00:26:13.740 Because it wasn't like he was being asked, you know, HIPAA questions that were private,

00:26:19.260 you know, private medical things.

00:26:21.660 It looked like he was quite aware that if he answered honestly, there would be some liability there for

00:26:31.780 somebody, either his boss, you know, either Biden or him or the family.

00:26:36.820 So let's add the let's add the Biden's doctor to the list of things that are probably exactly what they look like.

00:26:49.860 It's probably exactly what you think that he was in on it.

00:26:54.340 He knew that Biden was degraded.

00:26:55.820 He decided, for whatever reason, that he wasn't going to make a deal, a big deal of it.

00:27:02.020 And he just went with it.

00:27:04.160 But how much of that is because people like John Brennan told the public that Trump was Hitler.

00:27:11.540 and said that the only thing that mattered was that Trump didn't get back in office.

00:27:18.900 Probably everybody was infected by the same problem, which may have started from Brennan.

00:27:29.800 Well, speaking of justice, do you remember Douglas Mackey?

00:27:35.400 So he was the fellow who went by the online name Ricky Vaughn.

00:27:42.420 And he was convicted in 2023 because he said on a meme, they said that the voting was for Democrats.

00:27:54.440 The voting was the day after the election.

00:27:57.480 Now, it was a joke and it was a meme, but he was convicted.

00:28:05.540 Convicted for breaking a law which would be trying to interfere with an election.

00:28:11.540 It was a meme, a joke.

00:28:15.200 But here's the good news.

00:28:17.420 The Second Circuit Court of Appeals just threw out his conviction, just threw it out.

00:28:24.200 And the reason they gave for throwing out the conviction,

00:28:27.540 there was no evidence that he did it for any reason other than it was funny.

00:28:32.680 There was no evidence that it was a crime because you would have to intend it.

00:28:42.280 You would have to intend that it misleads people.

00:28:46.140 And there was no evidence, apparently, during the trial that he got convicted for.

00:28:53.600 There was no evidence that he ever intended it as anything but a meme or a joke.

00:28:58.860 So, he was a free man.

00:29:01.840 Good for him.

00:29:04.420 And it reminds us of just how dangerous it was to just be a Trump supporter during that period.

00:29:11.500 Because people were just being targeted for destruction, wouldn't you say?

00:29:18.140 How many of you think that my cancellation is because of what I said versus I was just, you know,

00:29:26.920 targeted as being a Trump supporter and they used whatever they could use?

00:29:31.900 Well, I don't know, but I will tell you that zero Republicans canceled me.

00:29:38.860 None.

00:29:40.380 Zero. 0.98

00:29:42.340 Zero black Republicans. 0.98

00:29:44.540 Zero.

00:29:45.500 Not a single Republican said, I won't talk to you or I won't book you on a podcast or I won't buy your stuff.

00:29:53.280 None.

00:29:54.780 Do you think that Republicans somehow are such bad people that they can't tell what horrible things

00:30:01.540 I thought or said?

00:30:03.340 No, actually, they looked at what I actually thought and said and didn't see a problem.

00:30:09.100 Because nobody disagreed with what I said.

00:30:13.120 Nobody.

00:30:13.980 Left or right.

00:30:15.760 They just use it as an excuse to cancel me.

00:30:19.060 So, Douglas Mackey and a lot of us who got all kinds of, you know, public attacks,

00:30:27.000 sometimes physically, sometimes people got, you know, what do you call it, what do you call SWAT, SWAT-ed?

00:30:39.420 And if you look at the abuse that Republicans were Trump supporters took during the last 10 years,

00:30:52.300 we had careers destroyed, reputations destroyed, the January 6th people put in jail.

00:30:59.760 If you wore a MAGA hat outside, you got beaten up.

00:31:06.840 And the January 6th thing was the ultimate, that they just, you know, massively started jailing

00:31:14.020 the most ardent supporters of the president without ever asking them why they were there

00:31:19.700 to protest in the first place.

00:31:21.560 Was it because they knew that Trump lost and they wanted him to be president anyway?

00:31:27.740 No, probably not one person had that thought.

00:31:33.380 Did we ever see in the news what they were thinking?

00:31:36.660 Which would be easy to determine.

00:31:38.800 You could just bring a few of them into a room and say, what were you thinking?

00:31:43.380 And they would say, well, it looked to us like the election was irregular and we wanted

00:31:49.340 it not to be certified until somebody in charge looked at it and determined that it was a good

00:31:57.140 election.

00:31:57.740 Nobody's ever reported that.

00:32:01.880 They've never reported the truth about that story.

00:32:07.240 And then, of course, there was the whole white supremacy thing and DEI so that people like

00:32:13.360 me could be targeted for being what?

00:32:17.000 Just white and being alive? 0.96

00:32:19.120 So, um, I'm, uh, and now the ICE officers are being attacked, you know, violently.

00:32:28.440 So, um, so it's really easy.

00:32:32.180 I feel like I fell into a trap that because these things happen, you know, one at a time and

00:32:39.540 sometimes it doesn't affect me personally and, you know, then a few weeks go by and there's

00:32:45.560 a different situation and you don't like any of them, but you don't realize that collectively they

00:32:53.060 create, uh, a story that I don't know how historians are going to deal with it in the future.

00:33:00.360 Because the truth is that half of the country got weaponized against the other half. 0.58

00:33:06.960 And it was a dark, dark time.

00:33:11.420 And we're not necessarily out of it because, you know, we're, we're having this little golden

00:33:17.580 era because Trump's in office.

00:33:19.620 I don't know what happens when he leaves.

00:33:22.800 I don't know what happens unless there's another strong Republican there.

00:33:27.980 Do we just go back to this reign of terror where just waking up and being a Republican

00:33:34.360 makes it dangerous to be an American?

00:33:36.780 Is that what's going to happen?

00:33:39.720 I don't know.

00:33:41.640 Um, but apparently, uh, I saw, uh, Joshua Steinman made an observation.

00:33:50.080 That the, uh, deportations may have made the traffic in LA really manageable.

00:33:58.660 Now, um, I guess it's just a fact that there are mass deportations in effect in LA.

00:34:08.960 And also the traffic is the lightest it's been in anybody's recent memory.

00:34:15.100 Are those related?

00:34:17.900 Or is it just because this is the peak vacation period of the year?

00:34:24.000 Is it just maybe people are on vacation?

00:34:27.320 I don't know.

00:34:28.600 Might be a little of both.

00:34:31.140 Um, I saw, uh, there was a viral clip from Sean Ryan's podcast.

00:34:38.820 He was talking to a journalist, Nick Bryant, who believes that, uh, the reason the Epstein

00:34:46.720 case is being covered up is because it would destroy their entire operational system of

00:34:52.940 the government if they revealed it.

00:34:54.880 How many of you buy into that narrative that the reason that we can't know about the Epstein

00:35:08.600 truth is that we would learn that the entire government is a blackmail operation and maybe

00:35:15.400 always has been, maybe all of them are, you know, if you remember the stories from, uh, J. Edgar Hoover

00:35:23.140 and correct me if I'm wrong, I'm no historian, but don't we know for sure that J. Edgar Hoover

00:35:31.440 was controlling the government with blackmail?

00:35:35.320 Well, we know that as a fact, right?

00:35:39.880 What exactly changed since J. Edgar Hoover's time?

00:35:44.980 Anything?

00:35:46.300 Did any, did any laws make that go away?

00:35:49.980 Is there a new system in place to prevent people from getting blackmailed?

00:35:54.380 I don't believe so.

00:35:56.460 So if it worked for J. Edgar Hoover, why would you ever imagine that people stopped doing it?

00:36:03.240 It's probably the most effective thing than anything that happens in our government.

00:36:09.700 But I'm not willing to say that's the only reason that you're not seeing the, uh, the Epstein stuff.

00:36:17.680 Uh, I believe that one of the things that Trump said, which rings true, is there might be a lot

00:36:24.280 of names associated with Epstein, and Trump would be one of those names, that, uh, are not implicated

00:36:31.360 at any crimes.

00:36:33.640 But as soon as you made that public, then every single person he talked to who returned a phone 0.90

00:36:40.360 call would look like a, you know, horrible sex criminal. 0.97

00:36:45.020 So you would destroy maybe, I don't know, maybe a hundred people's lives would be completely

00:36:54.300 destroyed who didn't deserve it, because they would have no criminal activities in their,

00:37:00.300 in their resume.

00:37:02.660 But they had some contact with Epstein, maybe before they knew what he was up to.

00:37:08.240 So would that be a good enough reason to, uh, to not release the files?

00:37:15.840 Hmm.

00:37:16.500 I hate to say it, but it would be.

00:37:20.640 Because that would very much be a case of, well, you don't, you don't throw away a hundred

00:37:26.220 people's lives and their families and everything else.

00:37:29.660 You don't throw away a hundred people's lives because the public has a right to see some files.

00:37:34.940 I wouldn't go that far.

00:37:38.500 Suppose, suppose that the Trump administration is, uh, very serious about protecting the country

00:37:48.700 and protecting the Republican, you know, view of what, how things should be.

00:37:55.000 And they realize that if they release the Epstein files, it could destroy the entire government,

00:38:02.720 maybe bring down every government, you know, not just the current one, but maybe all the

00:38:08.720 ones in the past, uh, if we found out what was really going on, what would be the right

00:38:14.480 play for Trump?

00:38:17.800 Now, this is just speculation hypothetical, but suppose that revealing the full story about

00:38:26.080 Epstein would crash the United States as a, as a government.

00:38:31.580 Like we would just lose everything.

00:38:34.240 Is that possible?

00:38:35.960 It's totally possible.

00:38:37.860 It's totally possible that if we found out we were a black male operation, um, and always 1.00

00:38:45.820 were, it's totally possible we would crash the whole country.

00:38:50.140 What about if, if Trump was trying to protect some other country, let's say France or the

00:38:58.560 UK or, uh, Israel or some other ally, would it be a good enough reason to not tell the,

00:39:07.360 you know, the citizens of the US what the truth is if it would destroy an ally?

00:39:14.520 I mean, just, just absolutely devastate another country.

00:39:19.340 Would that be a good enough reason to keep it a secret?

00:39:24.380 Here's my take.

00:39:25.660 If you trust Trump, you have to also trust him to lie to you when it's in your best interest.

00:39:38.080 I know it's uncomfortable, but how many of you know that there's something called the CIA?

00:39:45.100 Have you heard of it?

00:39:48.140 If you know that there's a CIA and you have not been railing to completely eliminate them

00:39:54.400 from our system, then you've already bought into the idea that your government can lie to you.

00:40:01.480 So don't act like you're all, you're all above it.

00:40:04.900 And we're not above it.

00:40:07.340 I wake up knowing that my country has a CIA and that their job is to not tell the truth.

00:40:15.700 I mean, it's built into the job and I don't expect them to tell me the truth, but I do,

00:40:22.100 I do expect them to keep me safe.

00:40:26.220 So, you know, they're not going to be perfect and there'll be some corruption that gets into

00:40:30.600 every system.

00:40:32.100 But if you trust Trump to handle the country's interests first,

00:40:39.660 then you should also trust him to know when to lie to you and that when that's in your best

00:40:47.900 interest or the best interest of the country as a whole.

00:40:51.660 So that's where I'm at.

00:40:53.040 To me, it's obvious that Bongino and Bondi and Kash Patel and Trump are all lying.

00:41:04.320 I just accept that as a fact because they could not wink at us any harder, could they?

00:41:12.120 Wink, wink.

00:41:13.380 We didn't find anything.

00:41:15.380 Wink, wink, wink.

00:41:16.680 To me, to me, they're doing the best they can, which is letting you know without letting you know

00:41:25.180 that they're lying to you.

00:41:28.400 And you would have to trust that all four of those people, because we presume they all have

00:41:34.640 some version of the truth.

00:41:36.700 I don't think they're in the dark.

00:41:39.980 I think they know the truth.

00:41:41.100 And would you trust that all four of them, with nobody defecting, because that's important,

00:41:50.160 none of them turned whistleblower, none of them resigned, none of them said, well,

00:41:55.540 I disagree with this decision.

00:41:57.580 They all got right on the same page, which suggests that they probably think that the

00:42:05.880 country is better off if they just don't let us know the full truth.

00:42:09.800 Now, it could also be that there is no full truth to find, because all the records have

00:42:16.760 been scrubbed long ago, so there was nothing to find.

00:42:20.000 So it could be that they simply have their own suspicions about the data being deleted

00:42:26.160 and the files disappearing and stuff.

00:42:28.340 They may have their own suspicions, but it's also possible they don't have any proof of any

00:42:34.420 crimes that we don't know about.

00:42:36.440 So if they didn't have any proof, because it had all been removed from the files, what

00:42:43.560 are they going to do?

00:42:46.140 What would you do?

00:42:48.660 Because it's not your job to spread rumors or hunches.

00:42:52.880 You would unfortunately do what they did.

00:42:55.340 You'd say, well, I looked at all the files and I didn't see anything to show you.

00:43:01.900 Anyway, so my current take is that I'm going to trust that the four of them are more patriots

00:43:12.700 than weasels, because I don't think any of them lack bravery.

00:43:18.900 Would you agree with me on that?

00:43:21.500 Would you say that the four of them, Trump, Bondi, Patel, and Bongino, they don't lack bravery?

00:43:29.680 So they're not afraid.

00:43:33.280 They're probably protecting us.

00:43:36.260 Now, is that the most generous take you could ever imagine?

00:43:39.420 Probably.

00:43:40.720 But have those four people earned a little extra trust?

00:43:48.000 And the answer is yes.

00:43:49.660 Yes, I have.

00:43:51.360 Now, does that mean I'm right?

00:43:53.420 I don't know.

00:43:54.140 But, you know, you have to take a position, because you have to live in this world, and

00:44:00.620 you're going to have to accept some interpretation as more likely than the other.

00:44:05.520 I feel like the most likely interpretation is that they know it would be bad for the country

00:44:11.580 to be fully disclosing what they know.

00:44:15.000 It doesn't mean that they're bad people.

00:44:19.620 It could mean the opposite, that they're protecting us.

00:44:23.380 But I don't know.

00:44:25.780 Maybe someday we'll find that out.

00:44:29.100 As Alex Jones says, and others have said, maybe the other possibility is that Trump found

00:44:36.080 it really useful to have all that blackmail for himself.

00:44:39.440 So, let's say you wanted to do a deal with some other country that's an ally.

00:44:47.360 Wouldn't it be useful if that ally was fully knowledgeable that you knew everything in the

00:44:53.320 Epstein file?

00:44:55.680 And if you wanted to, you could release it.

00:44:59.120 You could leak it, or you could announce it.

00:45:02.100 Wouldn't that make you very flexible when dealing with the United States?

00:45:06.700 Yes, it would.

00:45:07.460 So, one possibility is that once Trump found out what the actual blackmail was all about,

00:45:17.700 and we have no evidence that he did this, by the way.

00:45:20.460 I'm just, this is more of a what if.

00:45:24.720 Wouldn't it make sense for him to use it instead of ruining the asset?

00:45:31.480 Because imagine how valuable that asset would be.

00:45:34.080 What if it felt like the difference between getting the Abraham Accords done and not?

00:45:42.920 I'm not saying, you know, Israel's the target or anything like that.

00:45:46.500 I'm just saying, there are things that are way bigger, way bigger, than what Epstein knew

00:45:53.660 or videoed or blackmailed about.

00:45:57.240 What if keeping that blackmail alive is what allows Trump to get a peace deal between Ukraine

00:46:06.380 and Russia, which I don't think is going to happen anytime soon.

00:46:10.380 But what if it did?

00:46:12.420 Wouldn't you be better off if he didn't tell you and just used that leverage and got a peace

00:46:18.720 deal for the world that kept us on at World War III and the nuclear holocaust? 0.59

00:46:22.420 I don't know.

00:46:25.340 I wouldn't feel bad about it.

00:46:27.500 So we'll probably never know what the truth is, but let's see.

00:46:34.960 So apparently there are several healthcare organizations.

00:46:40.500 I saw this on a post by the Vigilant Fox, who's a real good follow on X.

00:46:45.900 If you're not following the Vigilant Fox, you might be missing a lot of stories.

00:46:53.420 But so RFK Jr. had said that the people, kids and pregnant women should not be getting

00:47:03.020 the COVID vaccination.

00:47:05.760 Now, you probably said to yourself, well, I'm pretty sure the science strongly indicates

00:47:12.500 that it doesn't make sense for pregnant women and children, young children, to get the shot.

00:47:19.060 But you might be wrong.

00:47:21.360 According to the American Academy of Pediatrics, the American College of Physicians, the American

00:47:27.000 Public Health Association, and the Infectious Diseases Society of America, because they all

00:47:32.860 got together.

00:47:33.420 And they're filing a federal lawsuit against Kennedy for banning the COVID vaccine from

00:47:44.020 kids and pregnant women. 0.93

00:47:45.900 Now, do you think that they have the data to back up that lawsuit?

00:47:52.380 Because the reason for banning it was the data.

00:47:57.460 Is there two sets of data, one that says it's a great idea and one that says it's not?

00:48:04.300 How in the world is this even a decision?

00:48:10.620 Is there really just two completely different worlds of data?

00:48:15.960 And one says, oh, yeah, give these to those pregnant women for sure. 1.00

00:48:20.600 And the other says, whatever you do, don't give it to pregnant women. 1.00

00:48:24.600 What?

00:48:25.080 How is it even possible?

00:48:28.120 Well, the thing that you would have to wonder about is, are these four associations heavily

00:48:35.940 funded by Big Pharma?

00:48:38.240 Hmm, I wonder.

00:48:40.200 And is it really just Big Pharma trying to increase their revenue?

00:48:44.400 And they're doing it indirectly through these, you know, organizations that look, they look

00:48:51.200 to us like they're legit, right?

00:48:52.900 If I told you that the American Academy of Pediatrics decided that it was something that was safe

00:49:00.440 for children, wouldn't you automatically think, well, they don't sound like criminals to me.

00:49:07.320 It's the American Academy of Pediatrics.

00:49:09.780 So if I were a Big Pharma, I would use my clout with big organizations that I fund, or I fund

00:49:19.220 maybe speaking fees for people in the organizations, that sort of thing.

00:49:24.300 And I would use them to go after RFK Jr.

00:49:27.240 So that it didn't look like it was me.

00:49:33.940 I don't know if that's what's happening, but that's how I would see the world.

00:49:39.100 Christy Noem, head of Homeland Security, said that after the Maui fires, and while Biden was

00:49:51.020 in charge of FEMA, I don't know if I believe this, but one in six survivors of the Maui fires

00:49:57.800 had to trade sexual favors for basic supplies to survive. 0.99

00:50:02.620 Do you believe that?

00:50:05.800 One in six?

00:50:08.080 Now, I assume that we're not counting men in that.

00:50:14.040 So if you eliminate men, you know, there might have been some gay men or whatever who were 0.87

00:50:20.860 offering sex for food, but it feels like it'd be more like one in three. 0.95

00:50:26.780 If one in six survivors, but let's say half of them are women, half of them are men, wouldn't

00:50:33.420 that suggest, since mostly the women would be offering the sex for supplies, I don't know, 0.95

00:50:42.500 I'm not buying it.

00:50:43.440 One in three?

00:50:45.480 Hmm.

00:50:46.880 Does that sound right to you?

00:50:49.860 You know, it's a horrible world, but one in three?

00:50:55.540 And we're just hearing about it?

00:50:59.140 Eh, I don't know.

00:51:01.560 Oh, the article says one in six women. 0.99

00:51:04.120 I'm seeing in the comments.

00:51:08.060 What I see is one in six survivors.

00:51:12.720 So that's the quote I got from the news.

00:51:15.580 One in six survivors.

00:51:19.480 So, I don't know.

00:51:21.900 I'm going to say I don't believe that one.

00:51:25.540 If it happened to even one person, it's horrible.

00:51:29.880 So, you know, let me make sure that I'm not minimizing the potential of how bad that was.

00:51:36.540 But it seems a little exaggerated.

00:51:40.200 Marjorie Taylor Greene is wondering about Ghislaine Maxwell's little black book that has over 2,000 names in it, we believe.

00:51:51.060 And that would include the rich and the powerful.

00:51:53.940 And I guess that her little black book was sealed by the court as part of her legal defense there. 0.56

00:52:01.340 But this would be a perfect example of if there are 2,000 names in her book and she was known to be a big networker, how many of the 2,000 names committed any kind of a crime?

00:52:18.000 How would you like to be somebody that she met at a party and you traded phone numbers and you didn't know anything about any bad behavior and the next thing you know, you're being outed in the news for being in her little black book?

00:52:33.700 That would be pretty bad.

00:52:38.260 So I guess I would disagree with Marjorie Taylor Greene that the Ghislaine Maxwell's little black book should be made public.

00:52:49.120 Because people would just draw conclusions and all it would be would be a name and a phone number or an email address.

00:52:57.600 And we would go nuts and say, well, look who's in that book.

00:53:02.620 Look what people did.

00:53:03.940 We're just seeing the flight information to the island.

00:53:08.620 I assume that there were people who went to the island and committed no crimes whatsoever.

00:53:16.320 I assume so.

00:53:18.560 But don't we treat it like they all did?

00:53:22.140 Like everybody who was on this, you know, flight thing.

00:53:25.760 Anybody who was ever on this plane.

00:53:28.180 Anybody who ever whispered in his ear at a party like Trump did.

00:53:32.220 Don't we use that to say, well, you know, there you go.

00:53:37.080 They must have been involved in that bad behavior.

00:53:40.460 So, yeah, that would be a little dicey to release those names.

00:53:47.620 Here's something interesting.

00:53:49.000 So, Akeem Jeffries, Democrat, he would be the minority leader, I guess.

00:53:57.880 He says he trusts Democrats to run the next election legally and appropriately in the Democrat managed states.

00:54:08.560 But he believes that the Republican managed states, the states where the Republicans were handling the election in those states.

00:54:16.480 He doesn't trust them.

00:54:18.080 So, do you realize what a big deal that is?

00:54:23.040 The whole January 6th thing depends entirely on the question of whether our elections are unriggable.

00:54:33.780 Because if they're unriggable, then the people involved and, you know, storming the Capitol that day should have known that the election was pristine because they're unriggable.

00:54:49.640 And, therefore, it would look a lot like an insurrection because, hey, there's nothing to complain about the election.

00:54:59.820 It's unriggable. 0.99

00:55:01.600 And the Democrats on the news, who are all fucking assholes, have been telling us with a straight face that there was no way that the election was anything but factually good in 2020. 1.00

00:55:15.800 And now, the same assholes are telling us that they think the Republicans can rig an election in their states. 1.00

00:55:25.080 Really? 0.99

00:55:26.260 So, you think the Republicans can do that, but that the Democrats can't or wouldn't?

00:55:35.260 That is a complete surrender on the question of whether we know for sure our elections are ringgable or unriggable.

00:55:43.840 Well, if everybody from Rosie O'Donnell to, you know, I think Hillary Clinton said it at one point, and now Hakeem Jeffries is saying it, they're saying out loud that they believe the elections could be rigged by Republicans.

00:56:01.880 And it sort of implies they could do it without getting caught.

00:56:08.800 Now, they don't say that.

00:56:10.760 They don't say the part about they could do it without getting caught.

00:56:13.620 But why would Republicans or Democrats or anybody attempt to rig something if they didn't have a really good way to get away with it?

00:56:24.720 It's not going to be like, if you knew enough about the system to have a way to rig it, wouldn't you know enough about the system to know whether they could easily catch you or not?

00:56:39.480 You know, wouldn't you say, well, here's all the ways they could catch us, so if we can't get around this, we won't do it?

00:56:48.140 So, of course, the Democrats have now admitted that it was possible that any election was rigged, and we don't know it.

00:56:59.700 Well, Tom Cotton has introduced the bill to make it easier to mine rare earth minerals in the U.S., which, as you know, for whatever reason that I don't understand,

00:57:16.720 mining for rare earth minerals is way more ecologically damaging and dangerous than a lot of different things.

00:57:25.420 So, Tom Cotton's bill would make it easier for a number of these environmental laws to be looked at individually,

00:57:37.340 and if it makes sense to be, let's say, to do a workaround to those.

00:57:44.540 Now, why did it take so long for this?

00:57:47.980 Is there something I don't know about this story?

00:57:50.100 I feel like we should have, you know, had this bill a long time ago.

00:57:55.840 It's not even passed.

00:57:57.320 It's just introduced.

00:57:59.720 So, again, I can't give Congress full credit for doing what makes sense, because they haven't voted on it yet.

00:58:12.860 Who knows if they will?

00:58:15.880 And why did it take so long?

00:58:17.580 Haven't we been talking about China and their rare earth mineral monopoly for now years?

00:58:26.180 It's been years, right?

00:58:27.840 And just now they're coming around, hey, I've got an idea.

00:58:32.640 Why don't we make it easier to do it in the U.S.?

00:58:35.640 Yes.

00:58:36.500 Yeah, why don't you do that?

00:58:39.500 All right.

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00:59:44.940 Trump had the leaders of five African nations over at the White House.

00:59:51.440 And he declared, Trump did, that it's time to benefit Africa by trading with them as opposed to just sending them money.

01:00:03.120 So the USAID thing is winding down.

01:00:08.180 And some say that that was, you know, keeping people alive in other countries.

01:00:14.200 And others say it was just a CIA cutout and anything that looked like charity was really just a trick to get control over the area.

01:00:24.200 But Trump is saying, no, about now, you might be better off if we just trade with you.

01:00:33.180 So let's do that instead.

01:00:35.620 So that's a new way.

01:00:38.860 So I saw that Trump took a bunch of questions at that meeting yesterday.

01:00:44.920 But I'm very impressed at how tight his answers are to some kinds of questions.

01:00:52.100 So I'm just going to read you a few of his answers.

01:00:56.540 He was asked about Harvard and going after Harvard, the government going after them for being anti-Semitic and stuff.

01:01:04.060 So here's what Trump said.

01:01:05.240 He said, quote, Harvard's been very bad, totally anti-Semitic.

01:01:09.880 And, yeah, they'll absolutely reach a deal saying that they'll come up with some kind of deal with the government.

01:01:17.040 Now, isn't that a tight answer?

01:01:19.680 Harvard's been very bad, totally anti-Semitic.

01:01:22.300 Yeah, they'll absolutely reach a deal.

01:01:24.800 Nothing else to say.

01:01:27.000 I love how tight that is.

01:01:28.620 And then Peter Ducey asked about the fact that Cory Booker and Alex Padilla want the border police and ICE officers to have IDs so you can tell who they are and to not cover their faces.

01:01:48.880 And so Trump says, quote, they wouldn't be saying that if they didn't hate our country, and they obviously do.

01:01:55.520 So, what?

01:01:59.760 Now, I don't believe that you can know what people are thinking and that you can know that they hate the country.

01:02:07.960 But the fact that that's his only answer to that, and it's so tight, they wouldn't be saying that if they didn't hate our country, and they obviously do.

01:02:16.540 Next question.

01:02:17.240 It does seem that they act as if they hate the country.

01:02:26.400 Because if you're trying to stop the people who are stopping the flood of immigrants coming across the border, it doesn't really look like you're on the same side as the country.

01:02:39.880 It feels like you're against your own country.

01:02:43.780 And why would you be against your own country?

01:02:46.020 Well, Trump suggests that they hate the country.

01:02:51.520 Do you think that's true?

01:02:53.820 Do you think that Cory Booker and Alex Padilla hate the country?

01:02:59.680 Well, you know, if there were some way to find out for sure, I'd probably bet against it.

01:03:06.040 But it's such a good response.

01:03:09.500 Yeah, they wouldn't do it unless they hate the country.

01:03:12.080 Obviously, they do.

01:03:16.020 Peter Nussi asked Trump if he wanted to see James Comey and John Brennan behind bars.

01:03:24.140 Now, imagine all the ways that Trump could answer that wrong.

01:03:28.620 Would you like to see Brennan and Comey behind bars?

01:03:32.140 Brennan and Comey are people who tried to put Trump out of office, if not behind bars.

01:03:38.080 And what's he say?

01:03:41.900 I think they're very dishonest people. 1.00

01:03:44.440 I think they're crooked as hell. 0.99

01:03:46.660 And maybe they have to pay a price for that. 0.98

01:03:49.260 But he acted like he didn't know the details.

01:03:53.200 So, pretty tight.

01:03:56.100 Good answer.

01:03:56.880 Remember, you don't have to agree with his answer.

01:04:02.940 I'm just impressed at how tight they are.

01:04:05.620 No word salad there.

01:04:08.540 Trump has threatened 200% tariffs, according to the New York Post, on pharmaceuticals if they're being made in other countries.

01:04:18.000 But he might wait a year and a half before imposing that to give them time to try to reshore it in the United States.

01:04:26.020 But a 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals come in.

01:04:29.020 Now, obviously, the purpose of that is to encourage them to move to the U.S. to manufacture that stuff.

01:04:39.200 I don't know if they can do that in a year and a half.

01:04:42.340 And I don't know how this will not raise prices.

01:04:47.600 It doesn't seem likely to me that this will have no impact on prices.

01:04:53.460 So, you might see some of your pharmaceutical drugs go up in price.

01:04:59.020 Speaking of which, have I told you how expensive my testosterone blockers are?

01:05:09.240 Oh, my God.

01:05:11.920 With health care, this is with health care.

01:05:16.300 So, this is not the full price.

01:05:19.160 I paid $1,400 for a month of supply.

01:05:24.380 $1,400.

01:05:26.340 Now, that's with health care.

01:05:27.940 Apparently, the real price might have been, I think it was like $10,000 for something that you would need every month for years.

01:05:39.940 What?

01:05:40.420 How would somebody who didn't have a lot of money even afford that?

01:05:48.380 I guess there are alternatives that don't cost that much but have side effects.

01:05:54.080 So, you would have to pick the one that had side effects and not good side effects either because you wouldn't be able to afford the good stuff.

01:06:04.020 Now, I sort of blundered into it.

01:06:06.420 I didn't know.

01:06:06.960 I didn't know it was the good stuff until I got it.

01:06:11.720 But, wow, does it work well.

01:06:14.180 I mean, that's my experience.

01:06:17.180 But can you imagine it?

01:06:19.300 $1,400 a month for a person with a normal income and a normal job?

01:06:25.940 Just like put that right on top of everything else?

01:06:29.200 That's unbelievable.

01:06:31.820 Anyway.

01:06:34.860 According to News Nation, Trump is considering some harsher sanctions on Russia or the Congresses or somebody else.

01:06:43.260 But I asked Grok, what kind of sanctions are left?

01:06:47.960 Like, what are they even thinking about?

01:06:50.200 And Grok, this is not the smart new Grok, but the old Grok, said it would be maybe, potentially, secondary sanctions for any financial institute that's dealing with Russia or maybe a 500% tariff on any country buying Russian oil or natural gas or uranium.

01:07:13.260 But how are we going to do that?

01:07:16.060 We're just going to slap a 500% tariff on China and India?

01:07:21.920 That's not going to happen.

01:07:25.780 Holy cow. 0.89

01:07:29.000 Wow.

01:07:29.680 I'm seeing somebody else's drug expense there.

01:07:33.180 Wow.

01:07:35.540 So, to me, it doesn't look like...

01:07:37.900 Oh, and then the other thing would be to seize Russia's $300 billion.

01:07:42.040 I guess we have frozen Russian assets and then use them for arms purchases in Ukraine.

01:07:49.360 Well, I don't believe that any of these harsher sanctions are practical.

01:07:57.020 I don't believe we're going to put a 500% tariff on everything that comes from China and India because they buy gas from Russia.

01:08:06.400 Does that sound like something we could actually do and get away with?

01:08:09.860 I don't think so.

01:08:12.660 And penalizing the banks?

01:08:17.200 Maybe.

01:08:18.480 But wouldn't we have done that already if there were no problem with doing that?

01:08:23.600 So, I'm kind of thinking that maybe there are any harsher sanctions.

01:08:28.400 There's a story in Newsmax that Russia is turning Ukrainian teenagers into unwitting suicide bombers.

01:08:42.300 So, the way they do that would be they'd say, I'll give you $1,000 if you go do some, let's say, some, what would they call it, to vandalize a police station in Ukraine.

01:09:01.380 So, imagine you're a teenager in Ukraine and some Russian contact offers you $1,000 to go vandalize a Ukrainian police station.

01:09:14.460 Well, it would be pretty hard to turn down $1,000 if you're a teenager and all you had to do is do some graffiti or something on a police station.

01:09:24.360 And then they'd give you a backpack and say, all right, here are your supplies for vandalizing.

01:09:30.560 And then when you get to the police station, you realize that the backpack they gave you was explosives and they just detonated it.

01:09:38.980 So, they basically just turned these teenagers into suicide bombers, but they don't know they're suicide bombers.

01:09:45.860 They think they're just doing some other thing for money.

01:09:48.920 And, but apparently some of them, maybe they're just flipping and they don't mind, you know, they're not being killed themselves, but they're doing some work for Russia.

01:10:03.560 I'll tell you, these are, it's hard to root for Ukraine if their own teenagers are attacking them, at least in small numbers. 0.99

01:10:17.140 Well, the ex-CEO of X, no, it's funny, the ex-CEO of X, who's the, let's call her the ex-CEO, Linda Iaccarino.

01:10:39.080 It's about X.

01:10:40.400 And Elon Musk said a little bit less, something like, thank you for all the contributions.

01:10:50.560 So, I don't think they left on the best of terms, just a guess.

01:10:56.200 And we don't know exactly what the, we don't know exactly what the problem was or why she left.

01:11:03.360 But, we do know that the timing was after Grok got accused of being anti-Semitic.

01:11:14.040 So, it could be, although we'd only be guessing, that she just didn't like that kind of heat and didn't think she needed it in her life.

01:11:23.480 Maybe.

01:11:23.700 It could be that she's got some other opportunities that she hasn't mentioned.

01:11:30.660 Maybe.

01:11:32.260 It could be it was just too hard to work with Elon Musk, because as much as we love him, I don't know that I would want him to be my boss.

01:11:43.160 Because he'd be pretty tough.

01:11:44.920 So, we don't know why, but she's on her way.

01:11:51.580 And the U.S. Secret Service has suspended six of the agents who were working at that Butler event where Trump got a shot in the ear.

01:12:04.240 So, after the long investigation, they decided that there were six people who should have done something different than what they did.

01:12:12.960 Six?

01:12:14.920 That's kind of hard to believe, isn't it?

01:12:17.800 That for one event, there would be six individuals who all didn't do their job at the same time, and it was enough that they would get, at least for a while, they got suspended from 10 to 42 days.

01:12:34.680 Hmm.

01:12:35.820 I don't know about that.

01:12:39.100 I think that was from CBS News.

01:12:41.340 According to CNBC, Germany has agreed to import more liquefied natural gas from America.

01:12:53.540 And now the U.S. is officially Germany's largest supplier of LNG.

01:13:01.260 So, I assume that that had been Russia in the past.

01:13:05.700 And so, I see about one story every day where some country agreed to buy more of our stuff, often energy, because that's the easiest thing.

01:13:16.720 And everybody needs some.

01:13:17.640 And so, that goes to Trump's benefit.

01:13:26.600 I saw an interesting article by Oren McIntyre, who was at The Blaze.

01:13:33.240 And he said, the right is facing a serious problem about how to handle its intellectuals.

01:13:41.920 And I thought, the right has intellectuals?

01:13:45.400 Who are these intellectuals?

01:13:48.320 And what is this problem?

01:13:49.780 Well, I think I'll just read you his opinion, and then I'll give you mine, right?

01:13:56.500 So, he says, Oren McIntyre says,

01:14:00.600 The right is facing a serious problem about how to handle its intellectuals.

01:14:06.040 The left has a university where it can assign smart people good-paying, high-status jobs,

01:14:12.540 where they can explore and cultivate ideas.

01:14:15.920 But the right has no similar institutions.

01:14:18.320 So, right-wing intellectuals end up in think tanks or content production.

01:14:25.160 This creates the public intellectual who comes onto the scene with a burst of insight.

01:14:32.560 But content production is a grind.

01:14:36.560 Even if you're saying intelligent things, eventually the need to say something about everything

01:14:40.800 leaves you little time to think deeply about anything.

01:14:44.620 Academics are also not really equipped to be public figures.

01:14:49.820 They are not built to do battle with the hostile public on a regular basis.

01:14:53.780 So, what I'm reading into this is that if you get on the grind of having to say something about everything,

01:15:02.520 that you just don't have the ability to do what you might be able to do in a university,

01:15:09.380 which is take some time to really think through something more deeply.

01:15:13.740 But I have a completely different view.

01:15:19.080 My view is that you should not look at the smart people on either side as individuals.

01:15:26.120 Rather, you should see them as a system or one intelligence.

01:15:30.220 What I see on the left is that their system of how to deal with smart people on the left is that they are minimized 0.99

01:15:43.600 and that the left surfaces the worst takes from the dumbest people. 0.99

01:15:50.480 Now, you've seen it, right? 0.98

01:15:51.980 The people on the left are not being driven by their smartest people.

01:15:58.460 I mean, very clearly. 0.99

01:16:01.040 They are literally, they have some kind of upside down system where the loudest, most prominent voices are actually their dumbest people. 0.98

01:16:10.980 The Jasmine Crockett's, et cetera. 0.99

01:16:13.620 Right?

01:16:14.340 And you see it consistently. 0.99

01:16:15.920 If somebody is really dumb and they're a Democrat, you're going to hear from them a lot. 0.99

01:16:23.740 Okay? 1.00

01:16:24.540 But it seems to me that the smartest people on the right operate like one brain.

01:16:33.800 You know, your own brain wrestles with things and disagrees with itself all the time, right?

01:16:38.820 You have that experience.

01:16:40.260 If it's just you thinking about a new topic in the news, you'd probably go back and forth in your own mind.

01:16:47.120 Well, it could be this.

01:16:48.220 It could be that.

01:16:49.340 What if it's this?

01:16:50.220 What if it's that?

01:16:52.560 The political right, and I'm not going to use the word intellectuals.

01:16:57.500 I'm going to say the smartest people.

01:17:00.120 All right?

01:17:00.340 So, I'm going to include like your Charlie Kirks, your Steve Bannons, your Tucker Carlson's.

01:17:07.760 Nobody would say that they're intellectuals per se.

01:17:11.440 They're just some of the many smart people on the right.

01:17:16.440 But what happens when the right disagrees, which has happened a few times recently,

01:17:22.700 the conversation is all public, and we all look at each other.

01:17:30.400 And, you know, I might be looking at what Charlie Kirk says.

01:17:33.800 I might be looking at Jack Posobiec, the way he says.

01:17:38.060 I might be looking at a couple of other podcasters.

01:17:41.240 You know, maybe I'm looking at what Megyn Kelly says.

01:17:43.800 And then I'm forming my opinion, which is informed by all of their opinions.

01:17:51.440 And I might make some mistakes.

01:17:54.100 I might make some corrections.

01:17:56.180 But overall, doesn't it seem to you that the right has a system in which you get to see a pretty good debate

01:18:07.620 over what's real and what's not?

01:18:10.280 And they don't all agree.

01:18:12.140 But then you get to a point where the smartest people seem to have surfaced.

01:18:18.700 And there might be more than one.

01:18:20.820 So there might be smart people that say we should do A and smart people say we should do B.

01:18:26.340 I think that happened with the big, beautiful bill. 0.99

01:18:29.680 That you saw not a smart opinion and a dumb opinion. 0.97

01:18:35.000 I think you saw two smart opinions. 0.98

01:18:37.060 One smart opinion is we have to deal with the deficit.

01:18:42.300 That's just got to be top priority.

01:18:44.660 And another smart opinion is said we will, but not on this bill.

01:18:49.940 Because we have these other priorities.

01:18:51.920 But trust us, we're going to get to it.

01:18:54.100 We understand that that's top priority.

01:18:56.280 Now, to me, that's a system that is really, really good.

01:19:04.400 And part of it is driven by the fact that we know that Trump listens.

01:19:09.840 I don't know how he does it.

01:19:12.820 Presumably, it's people talking in his ear that did the listening.

01:19:16.480 But Trump is paying attention to all these people I mentioned, plus dozens more.

01:19:22.520 And because he pays attention, it kind of makes your game a little bit better.

01:19:29.480 You know, you know that somebody important might be listening to you.

01:19:33.000 So you kind of make sure you think it through as well as you can.

01:19:37.500 So I would argue that it's not so much the grind of producing.

01:19:43.700 Because I do this every day.

01:19:45.560 I mean, seven days a week.

01:19:47.480 And I don't feel it a grind at all.

01:19:49.580 In fact, you know, the more I interact with content, the more I see the connections.

01:19:56.440 So I would argue that the right has developed a system, somewhat accidentally, I don't think

01:20:02.300 it was conscious, in which the smartest people act like one brain that often has more than

01:20:09.260 one opinion.

01:20:10.960 But the smartest opinions eventually bubble to the top.

01:20:15.600 And consistently so.

01:20:17.340 And on the left, the least capable thinkers, for whatever reason, bubble up to the top.

01:20:26.360 It's a big, big difference.

01:20:29.180 So that's my take.

01:20:31.080 But I appreciate Oren McIntyre's raising, well, actually, it was a perfect example.

01:20:38.600 So, yeah, we might have a different opinion of this intellectual stuff, but we both get

01:20:46.940 to say our thing.

01:20:48.260 And then you get to decide which one bubbles to the top.

01:20:53.360 All right.

01:20:54.080 So Axios is saying that the top mega-influencers are warning that this Epstein stuff is going

01:21:09.360 to cause a loss of trust in Trump.

01:21:12.580 Well, we already talked about that, but do you believe that?

01:21:15.620 Do you believe that the top mega-influencers are going to lose trust?

01:21:20.700 Maybe, a little bit, temporarily.

01:21:23.720 But I'll bet they'll get over it, because the alternative is to trust Democrats.

01:21:29.580 Not much of an alternative.

01:21:32.040 So I think a disagreement looks completely different on the right.

01:21:37.040 It doesn't look like it's a game-ender.

01:21:38.860 We just go forward with a little disagreement about what we just saw.

01:21:44.080 That's it.

01:21:45.460 It doesn't drive the mega part.

01:21:48.940 It's not some long-term beginning of the end.

01:21:53.460 It's just we recognize that there are other smart people who have a different opinion.

01:21:58.120 That's it.

01:21:59.260 And then we allow that, and then we go forward.

01:22:01.420 The College Fix, which is a publication, has an article that says that college grads are now

01:22:14.620 unprepared and more unpopular with hiring managers than ever.

01:22:19.820 Now, doesn't that feel like a story you've heard every year of your life, for your entire life,

01:22:25.200 that the young people are worse than they've ever been? 1.00

01:22:27.960 And I thought to myself, if it's true every single year that the young people are worse, 1.00

01:22:35.020 you know, worse character, they're lazier, they have the wrong priorities, etc.

01:22:40.380 If every year, I remember when I was the college graduate, I'm positive that we were being blamed

01:22:48.760 for being the worst generation of all time. 1.00

01:22:51.500 You hippies, get a haircut. 0.99

01:22:54.760 You've ruined everything. 1.00

01:22:56.100 You've ruined America.

01:22:57.100 So, do you believe, even though there are plenty of examples, and you may have seen plenty

01:23:04.460 of them yourself, do you believe that the recent batch of job applicants are the worst we've

01:23:12.260 ever seen?

01:23:13.780 Do you believe that?

01:23:14.940 I always have this view, that the people who matter in commerce and science is maybe 1%, and

01:23:28.100 everybody else is just keeping the lights on, and that it doesn't matter that much how many

01:23:33.860 bad ones there are, because they weren't moving the needle anyway.

01:23:37.620 But if the top 1% is as good as they've always been, and I would argue that they're better than

01:23:46.280 they've ever been, better, because we have more people to choose from, and now they have

01:23:51.980 AI tools to boost their intelligence, etc. 0.74

01:23:54.540 As long as our top 1% is the best it's ever been, everybody else is just making sure that the garbage

01:24:03.260 gets picked up and the lights stay on, and that's fine.

01:24:07.400 So, I'm not too worried, but maybe I should be.

01:24:11.080 You know how I keep telling you that there are all these breakthroughs in battery technology?

01:24:19.780 I saw a counter to that on What's Up With That.

01:24:26.060 Willis Eschenbeck did an article saying that one of the recent stories I told you about a

01:24:34.660 new battery that could charge in a very short time, that there's no practical way to do it.

01:24:41.980 It's just something you can do in the lab, but if you wanted to do that fast charging in the real

01:24:47.560 world, you would have to vastly change the entire charging network in ways that would be impractical

01:24:54.500 to change them. So, just be aware that whenever you hear these stories about amazing breakthroughs

01:25:01.720 and battery technology, they might be a little exaggerated, and they might not be so practical

01:25:09.180 to actually roll out in our lifetime.

01:25:17.660 So, here's another difference between Democrats and Republicans.

01:25:21.940 I always tell you that Democrats get the incentives wrong, that they don't understand people for some

01:25:28.820 reason. I mean, it's weird. Like, who could live in the world their whole life surrounded by people

01:25:35.860 and then not understand people at least a little bit? So, here's an example compared to the Republicans.

01:25:47.900 So, Brooke Rollins, the Ag Secretary, was noting that the new rules about Medicaid that were part of the

01:25:57.860 big, beautiful bill, which would cause people to need to work if they were able-bodied. They would

01:26:04.380 have to work to get their healthcare, to get their Medicaid. Now, at the same time, Republicans are doing

01:26:12.400 a mass deportation, which is taking workers away from employers. At the same time, that the Medicaid rule

01:26:22.440 should, if everything goes right incentive-wise, make people who weren't, you know, sleeping on the couch

01:26:30.000 say, all right, all right, I guess I'll take these jobs that have now been opened up by the deportations.

01:26:36.800 So, that would be an example of two policies that are complementary. Here, we're getting rid of the people. 0.98

01:26:44.060 I don't want to say get rid of, because that's sort of demeaning. But rather, there's a mass

01:26:52.120 deportation of workers that opens up a bunch of jobs that can be filled by people who want

01:26:59.360 to keep their Medicaid, and all they needed was a job. Very compatible systems, right?

01:27:05.300 Now, let's compare that to the Democrats, who want to push climate change and affordability at the same

01:27:12.960 time. Is the climate change agenda, you know, which would suck up a tremendous amount of resources

01:27:21.140 and put them in more expensive forms of energy, and would decrease your ability to get the less expensive

01:27:29.880 energy? Is that compatible with, we want to make things more affordable? No, it's not compatible.

01:27:39.080 So, once again, you see the Republicans build this beautiful system where they understand the

01:27:47.140 incentives of human beings, and then they build a system that matches those incentives. And then you

01:27:53.020 look at the Democrats, and it looks random. It just looks random. It's like they hadn't thought

01:27:59.240 through anything. So, look for that pattern. You'll see it. Well, according to the Public Library

01:28:08.300 of Science, there's an article there saying that loneliness predicts poor mental and physical

01:28:12.620 health outcomes. Are you surprised that people who are lonely, it affects their mental health

01:28:21.280 and physical health? Now, you know that I usually say, well, maybe that's backwards correlation. Maybe

01:28:29.140 people who have bad mental and physical health have trouble making friends. So, they would end up

01:28:36.480 being lazier, not lazier, lonelier. So, it probably works both ways. But I'm totally willing to believe

01:28:44.280 that loneliness can cause you less good health. And I'm going to offer you a solution to that.

01:28:55.880 Many of you come to watch this show every day. And you see that the reason I do it live

01:29:03.440 is because of this loneliness factor. Don't you feel as if I'm sort of your morning friend who visits

01:29:13.000 with you every morning? In the comments that are going by live right now, I know you feel that because

01:29:20.480 you tell me that all the time. And I have very consciously, it's not an accident, I've presented

01:29:29.360 myself as your daily friend. Because you are my friends. But you've also made friends with the

01:29:38.400 other people in the comments. And before I do the show that you're watching, you know, my regular

01:29:44.480 live stream, for my subscribers on Locals, I do about a half an hour of a pre-show. Now, I used to

01:29:55.060 have a little bit of resistance to doing the pre-show, because people weren't listening to me.

01:30:04.660 You know, all I'm doing is preparing for the show and getting my coffee. And I go down to my little

01:30:10.400 putting room downstairs, and I shoot three putts to see how the day will go. But if I look at the

01:30:16.720 comments, 90% of them are people talking to other people in the comments. And they've made

01:30:24.860 friends with each other. So they don't know each other except in the comments, although some of

01:30:29.760 them have actually gotten together. But they feel this community of people who are just there because

01:30:38.100 they're lonely. And it's really not about what content that I give them during the pre-show. It's really

01:30:45.040 about just creating this little forum that people who would otherwise be sitting there lonely, they get to

01:30:52.760 interact with the other people. And it took me a long time to figure out why when I first fire up

01:30:58.800 the pre-show, which is also a live stream, it took me a long time to figure out why everybody just said

01:31:05.620 hi to each other. So for the first 10 minutes, it's nothing but good morning. How you doing? Good

01:31:12.640 morning. And not just to me, but they're saying good morning to the other chatters as they see them

01:31:18.720 coming online. It's like, hey, magician. You know, hey, hey, this or that. Magician is one of the

01:31:25.980 common users. Common as in every day. So here's what I'm going to add to it. Loneliness is

01:31:38.780 definitely dangerous. And I've accidentally created a model where people can feel a little less lonely

01:31:48.080 every day. So if you were not taking it in that vein, well, maybe you could. Because I'll be here

01:31:55.360 every day as long as I can. And you might be some people that you want to say good morning to every

01:32:02.280 morning. And you might feel a little bit less lonely. All right, that's all I got for you. I'm going to talk

01:32:09.220 again privately to my local subscribers, who are beloved, as you know. And the rest of you, I'll see

01:32:17.660 tomorrow. Thanks for joining. Sorry I went so long. All right, locals coming at you privately

01:32:25.500 in 30 seconds.

01:32:47.660 Thank you.

01:33:17.660 Thank you.

01:33:18.500 Thank you.

01:33:47.660 Thank you.

01:33:48.500 Thank you.

01:34:18.000 Thank you.

01:34:18.200 Thank you.

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01:34:22.860 Thank you.

01:34:23.060 Thank you.

01:34:23.920 Thank you.

01:34:23.940 You

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 10, 2025

Episode 2893 CWSA 07⧸10⧸25

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