4 independent pollsters have formed a new organization, and they're calling out the other 3 major pollsters as frauds. Plus, magic mushrooms, AI, and the future of the world, and a new kind of time zone.
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00:02:19.220Well, this might seem like a nerdy little news thing, but it might be a big deal.
00:02:27.520PJ Media is reporting that four independent pollsters have decided to join forces in some kind of an association of just the four of them.
00:02:39.740There'll be the National Association of Independent Pollsters.
00:02:50.000Now, you might say to me, why is that interesting that four pollsters, and of the many, many pollsters, have decided to create their own little organization?
00:03:06.920Big Data Poll, Insider Advantage, Trafalgar Group, and Rasmussen.
00:03:13.200Now, if you're a real nerd, and you really watch your politics, you know where this is heading.
00:03:20.440But for the rest of you, let me tell you what this means.
00:03:23.600These four are the ones who are calling out the other pollsters for being frauds.
00:03:35.440Rasmussen, of course, has been doing it for a long time.
00:03:38.760But these are all top ten pollsters who tend to be accurate and not gaming the system.
00:03:46.800So, I believe their claim will be that these are four you can depend on, and all the rest are likely to be gaming the system, especially for the political stuff.
00:04:05.160Because if one pollster says, oh, those other ones seem fraudulent, how much are you going to pay attention to it?
00:04:14.860But if there's an organization of pollsters, they have organized specifically because they're the ones who are not frauds, and they're calling out the rest of them in the industry for being frauds, that's got a little bit of weight behind it.
00:04:32.400So, that could get interesting next time there's a political poll.
00:04:37.500Well, Grok 4 maybe is released, or maybe they're just still talking about it.
00:04:46.160I cannot tell by looking at my own Grok that I pay for what I have and what I don't.
00:04:53.940I think I have four, but there's a heavy four.
00:05:01.760So, Elon Musk says we're in the beginning of an immense intelligence big bang right now, and we're at the most interesting time to be alive any time in history.
00:05:17.160Now, you want to know how I know we're living in a simulation?
00:05:47.400So, it seems to me that whenever something that's unusual happens in my lifetime, I say to myself, what are the odds that I was born in this time zone?
00:06:02.900You know, not time zone, but, you know, time period.
00:06:06.040I feel like, I feel like maybe, you know, this is proof or a simulation.
00:06:11.840Well, Grok is also going to be put into Teslas very soon, maybe next week.
00:06:19.800And Elon has gone so far as to say that he'd be shocked if Grok hasn't discovered new physics by next year.
00:06:30.120Apparently, Grok 4 is now the leading AI.
00:06:34.400It benchmarks better than all the other AIs for now.
00:06:38.680And Elon says that with respect to academic questions, Grok 4 is better than a PhD level in every subject.
00:06:52.960And it may be discovering new things that no AI has discovered before.
00:07:06.400So, according to Elon, the current version, the one they're releasing, I guess the expensive version, should be able to figure out things that do not exist already on the internet.
00:07:42.660The large language models don't do that.
00:07:45.240If Grok can do that, and I think it's still an open question.
00:07:49.760If Grok can figure out new truths that do not exist already in human knowledge, that would be really scary and exciting and a really big deal.
00:08:05.300So, the odds of Grok or AI fixing cancer seems pretty good, but mushrooms will do that too.
00:08:15.600So, I forgot to tell you that the mushrooms that might be operating on your telomeres and allowing you to live longer, they're going to study mushrooms, the magic mushrooms, to see if they also are a treatment for cancer.
00:08:36.240So, what do you think will work first?
00:08:40.860Do you think the mushrooms or Grok will cure cancer first?
00:08:50.980Meanwhile, Apple stock is apparently down this year for the year, even as the other big tech firms are doing great.
00:09:01.140And, of course, people are saying that the problem is that if Apple doesn't figure out AI, and there's no evidence that they're even close, that they will be left behind, and that you can't be the big, you know, leading tech company if you don't even really have an AI platform.
00:09:22.160So, maybe some say that Apple will try to buy diversity or perplexity.
00:09:29.280I don't know about that, because it would be about $30 billion.
00:09:37.320I feel like the risk to the smartphone companies is that somebody with an AI platform is going to make a phone that doesn't use apps, at least not directly.
00:09:54.680The biggest problem with the iPhone, the thing I hate, is that I have to find an app first, and then I do my thing.
00:10:04.200And sometimes you've got to update the app, and sometimes you've got to sign into the app, and oh, my God.
00:10:11.160Imagine if you would, a phone with AI as its operating system, if you will, but not really having an operating system.
00:10:21.780And if you left your phone on the kitchen table, and I picked it up by accident, it would look at my face, and it would turn into my phone.
00:10:46.060It could identify you with more certainty than a non-AI entity could.
00:10:51.780The other thing I want to say is I want to start working before I pick an app.
00:11:01.060So, for example, if I want to text somebody I know, I want a blank screen every time, nothing but a blank screen, and then just start typing a message.
00:11:11.060And then the AI says, oh, he's making a short message on this topic where he was just talking to Bob.
00:11:21.560So, then it will indicate as I work that it plans to open up a text, send a text message to Bob.
00:11:30.560Now, if that's not what I intended, or if there maybe is more than one thing that I might be, you know, potentially hinting I want, it would give me a couple of choices.
00:11:40.760But I would do the selecting of the app at the end, or not at all, because AI would know.
00:11:49.400Suppose I wanted to work on a spreadsheet.
00:11:51.520So, I've got some existing spreadsheets that, you know, I update now and then.
00:11:58.740If the only thing I did is start writing the new data for the new spreadsheet, the new spreadsheet should just appear, and then it asked me if I wanted that data to be on this column in this place.
00:12:11.740So, you see how awesome that would be?
00:12:16.520But the problem is that Apple has commercialized this whole app model, which has been, you know, great for revenue, I guess.
00:14:55.160I tell this story all the time, but I haven't told it in a while, so it's worth re-upping.
00:15:00.680Years ago, when drones were a little bit newer and less powerful, I attended a startup pitch event at Berkeley, Berkeley the college.
00:15:14.460And I was one of the judges of the pitches.
00:15:18.320And one of the companies pitching had developed a new kind of blade for drones that they claimed would vastly improve its cargo carrying ability from what it was at the time, which wasn't very much.
00:15:37.000And I remember asking the startup crew, and remember this is Berkeley, so it's the most lefty-leaning group of people you've ever seen in your life.
00:15:48.320And I said, well, with this new ability to carry more cargo, I would think the military would be very interested in your product.
00:15:57.940Well, you should have seen their faces.
00:16:02.820When this left-leaning group of entrepreneurs in Berkeley just realized that they had designed death weapons from above, but they weren't aware of what they had done.
00:16:18.320Lithuania got attacked by a Russian suicide drone?
00:16:24.980I'm seeing somebody report that in the comments, but I wouldn't take that as a fact yet.
00:16:35.180Apparently, T-Mobile had a thriving DEI program or set of programs.
00:16:43.100But they're going to get rid of all their DEI, according to Newsmax, because they need FCC approval for some mergers and deals they want to do.
00:16:54.500So once again, it wasn't enough that DEI is illegal.
00:17:01.280That wasn't enough to make them stop doing it.
00:17:03.820It's just until they needed an approval from the government, they were just going to keep doing the illegal thing, I guess.
00:17:12.560But now they've agreed to wipe it clean and get rid of all that DEI illegal stuff so that they can get their deals done.
00:17:22.080So T-Mobile, you're a little bit slow, but maybe you got to the right place.
00:17:41.220He's a FBI whistleblower who's been around for a while on the podcasting and interview circuit.
00:17:49.220So he's not a brand new FBI whistleblower.
00:17:53.500He's a whistleblower from the not-too-distant past.
00:17:57.040And he believes that the announcement that Comey and Brennan will be investigated for criminal activity is a distraction from the Epstein case.
00:18:14.100Do you believe that it's not a coincidence that you heard about Brennan and Comey right at the time that the government wants to distract you from the Epstein situation?
00:18:48.640And then Kyle was pointing out, Kyle Serafin, on Alex Jones' show, he was pointing out that Fox News is reporting
00:19:02.240that Comey and Brennan would be looked at for perjury for things that they said to, I guess, under oath to Congress that turned out not to be true.
00:19:16.080Except that there's a statute of limitations, says Kyle Serafin, of five years.
00:19:22.880So it wouldn't really make sense to investigate them for something they couldn't be charged for anyway.
00:51:40.200Marjorie Taylor Greene is wondering about Ghislaine Maxwell's little black book that has over 2,000 names in it, we believe.
00:51:51.060And that would include the rich and the powerful.
00:51:53.940And I guess that her little black book was sealed by the court as part of her legal defense there.
00:52:01.340But this would be a perfect example of if there are 2,000 names in her book and she was known to be a big networker, how many of the 2,000 names committed any kind of a crime?
00:52:18.000How would you like to be somebody that she met at a party and you traded phone numbers and you didn't know anything about any bad behavior and the next thing you know, you're being outed in the news for being in her little black book?
00:54:18.080So, do you realize what a big deal that is?
00:54:23.040The whole January 6th thing depends entirely on the question of whether our elections are unriggable.
00:54:33.780Because if they're unriggable, then the people involved and, you know, storming the Capitol that day should have known that the election was pristine because they're unriggable.
00:54:49.640And, therefore, it would look a lot like an insurrection because, hey, there's nothing to complain about the election.
00:55:01.600And the Democrats on the news, who are all fucking assholes, have been telling us with a straight face that there was no way that the election was anything but factually good in 2020.
00:55:15.800And now, the same assholes are telling us that they think the Republicans can rig an election in their states.
00:55:26.260So, you think the Republicans can do that, but that the Democrats can't or wouldn't?
00:55:35.260That is a complete surrender on the question of whether we know for sure our elections are ringgable or unriggable.
00:55:43.840Well, if everybody from Rosie O'Donnell to, you know, I think Hillary Clinton said it at one point, and now Hakeem Jeffries is saying it, they're saying out loud that they believe the elections could be rigged by Republicans.
00:56:01.880And it sort of implies they could do it without getting caught.
00:56:10.760They don't say the part about they could do it without getting caught.
00:56:13.620But why would Republicans or Democrats or anybody attempt to rig something if they didn't have a really good way to get away with it?
00:56:24.720It's not going to be like, if you knew enough about the system to have a way to rig it, wouldn't you know enough about the system to know whether they could easily catch you or not?
00:56:39.480You know, wouldn't you say, well, here's all the ways they could catch us, so if we can't get around this, we won't do it?
00:56:48.140So, of course, the Democrats have now admitted that it was possible that any election was rigged, and we don't know it.
00:56:59.700Well, Tom Cotton has introduced the bill to make it easier to mine rare earth minerals in the U.S., which, as you know, for whatever reason that I don't understand,
00:57:16.720mining for rare earth minerals is way more ecologically damaging and dangerous than a lot of different things.
00:57:25.420So, Tom Cotton's bill would make it easier for a number of these environmental laws to be looked at individually,
00:57:37.340and if it makes sense to be, let's say, to do a workaround to those.
00:57:44.540Now, why did it take so long for this?
00:57:47.980Is there something I don't know about this story?
00:57:50.100I feel like we should have, you know, had this bill a long time ago.
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01:01:28.620And then Peter Ducey asked about the fact that Cory Booker and Alex Padilla want the border police and ICE officers to have IDs so you can tell who they are and to not cover their faces.
01:01:48.880And so Trump says, quote, they wouldn't be saying that if they didn't hate our country, and they obviously do.
01:01:59.760Now, I don't believe that you can know what people are thinking and that you can know that they hate the country.
01:02:07.960But the fact that that's his only answer to that, and it's so tight, they wouldn't be saying that if they didn't hate our country, and they obviously do.
01:02:17.240It does seem that they act as if they hate the country.
01:02:26.400Because if you're trying to stop the people who are stopping the flood of immigrants coming across the border, it doesn't really look like you're on the same side as the country.
01:02:39.880It feels like you're against your own country.
01:02:43.780And why would you be against your own country?
01:02:46.020Well, Trump suggests that they hate the country.
01:05:40.420How would somebody who didn't have a lot of money even afford that?
01:05:48.380I guess there are alternatives that don't cost that much but have side effects.
01:05:54.080So, you would have to pick the one that had side effects and not good side effects either because you wouldn't be able to afford the good stuff.
01:06:34.860According to News Nation, Trump is considering some harsher sanctions on Russia or the Congresses or somebody else.
01:06:43.260But I asked Grok, what kind of sanctions are left?
01:06:47.960Like, what are they even thinking about?
01:06:50.200And Grok, this is not the smart new Grok, but the old Grok, said it would be maybe, potentially, secondary sanctions for any financial institute that's dealing with Russia or maybe a 500% tariff on any country buying Russian oil or natural gas or uranium.
01:08:18.480But wouldn't we have done that already if there were no problem with doing that?
01:08:23.600So, I'm kind of thinking that maybe there are any harsher sanctions.
01:08:28.400There's a story in Newsmax that Russia is turning Ukrainian teenagers into unwitting suicide bombers.
01:08:42.300So, the way they do that would be they'd say, I'll give you $1,000 if you go do some, let's say, some, what would they call it, to vandalize a police station in Ukraine.
01:09:01.380So, imagine you're a teenager in Ukraine and some Russian contact offers you $1,000 to go vandalize a Ukrainian police station.
01:09:14.460Well, it would be pretty hard to turn down $1,000 if you're a teenager and all you had to do is do some graffiti or something on a police station.
01:09:24.360And then they'd give you a backpack and say, all right, here are your supplies for vandalizing.
01:09:30.560And then when you get to the police station, you realize that the backpack they gave you was explosives and they just detonated it.
01:09:38.980So, they basically just turned these teenagers into suicide bombers, but they don't know they're suicide bombers.
01:09:45.860They think they're just doing some other thing for money.
01:09:48.920And, but apparently some of them, maybe they're just flipping and they don't mind, you know, they're not being killed themselves, but they're doing some work for Russia.
01:10:03.560I'll tell you, these are, it's hard to root for Ukraine if their own teenagers are attacking them, at least in small numbers.
01:10:17.140Well, the ex-CEO of X, no, it's funny, the ex-CEO of X, who's the, let's call her the ex-CEO, Linda Iaccarino.
01:12:14.920That's kind of hard to believe, isn't it?
01:12:17.800That for one event, there would be six individuals who all didn't do their job at the same time, and it was enough that they would get, at least for a while, they got suspended from 10 to 42 days.
01:12:41.340According to CNBC, Germany has agreed to import more liquefied natural gas from America.
01:12:53.540And now the U.S. is officially Germany's largest supplier of LNG.
01:13:01.260So, I assume that that had been Russia in the past.
01:13:05.700And so, I see about one story every day where some country agreed to buy more of our stuff, often energy, because that's the easiest thing.