Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2898 CWSA 07⧸15⧸25

00:00:00.000 And grab a seat.

00:00:02.980 We are going to have some fun today.

00:00:06.600 Won't we?

00:00:08.080 Happy Tuesday.

00:00:13.020 I'm checking your stocks so you don't have to.

00:00:17.780 And we'll see how the stock market is doing.

00:00:22.260 Well, the S&P 500 is up a little bit.

00:00:25.840 Bitcoin is down a little bit.

00:00:27.700 Tesla is up a little bit.

00:00:29.020 And Vidya, doing well.

00:00:32.440 All right.

00:00:33.440 All right, we'll accept that.

00:00:36.780 Let me get your comments working, and then we're good to go.

00:00:47.140 Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:56.720 It's the best thing that ever happened to you.

00:01:00.060 But if you'd like to see if you could take this rare and special experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains.

00:01:11.000 All you need for that is, well, I'll bet you know, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tanker chalice, a cyanide, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of a kind.

00:01:22.300 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:24.620 I like coffee.

00:01:26.060 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:28.980 Don't be into the day.

00:01:30.440 The thing that makes everything better is called a simultaneous sip.

00:01:35.620 And it happens now.

00:01:37.580 Go.

00:01:37.820 So, so good.

00:01:47.300 Well, I wonder if there's any science that could have been avoided if they had just asked me.

00:01:56.300 Oh, here we are.

00:01:58.880 According to the Chinese Academy of Sciences, which is why, which is the only reason that you're hearing about it, is that it's a Chinese study.

00:02:09.280 It's a study that if you did in the United States, you wouldn't be able to do in the United States.

00:02:17.340 Here's what it is.

00:02:18.700 So, Chinese Academy of Sciences determined that intelligence is partly genetic.

00:02:29.300 How many of you knew that?

00:02:31.420 How many of you already knew, without any science whatsoever, that smart parents are more likely to have smart children than two dumb parents?

00:02:43.220 Is there anybody who didn't know that?

00:02:48.700 So, they could have saved a little bit of time just by asking me.

00:02:53.420 But I learned the other day, because I was watching some podcast I don't remember, that in the United States, if you said that intelligence is even partly genetic, you would be called what?

00:03:09.540 A racist.

00:03:12.260 You're not even allowed to consider that possibility in the United States.

00:03:17.460 And the funny part is, 100% of the world is completely aware that intelligence is partly, you know, it's not 100%, but certainly partly genetic, no doubt about that.

00:03:34.600 Anyway, we'll see if I can get canceled for quoting a Chinese science.

00:03:41.380 Well, Trump continues to be the funniest president of all.

00:03:47.940 He was at a White House faith office luncheon, which makes this extra funny.

00:03:53.960 Now, one of the things that Trump really understands in the comedy world is that it's not what you say.

00:04:02.380 It's the fact that you would say something in a particular audience or at a particular time.

00:04:09.060 So, he's really good at making sure that the things he says are a little bit inappropriate for the audience.

00:04:16.700 That's sort of the secret of what makes you laugh about it.

00:04:19.560 Well, here he's talking to the White House faith office at a luncheon, and he was talking about the good things that his big, beautiful bill would do to make everybody richer.

00:04:33.560 And Trump said, I said to one guy, he's a very, very unattractive man.

00:04:38.160 So, that's the first thing that no president ever said about anybody before.

00:04:46.340 No president ever has stood in front of an audience and talked about somebody he knew and said they were a very, very unattractive man.

00:04:56.820 And that's only the first part.

00:05:00.140 It's already funny.

00:05:02.860 Anyway, he's a very, very unattractive man, but he's smart and he's rich.

00:05:08.160 And I said, you better hope we get this thing passed, talking about his big, beautiful bill, because your wife will be gone within about two minutes. 0.97

00:05:20.900 So, he's telling people at a faith luncheon that the ugly, rich guy is going to lose his trophy wife unless Trump's tax bill goes through.

00:05:35.460 He's the funniest president ever.

00:05:38.160 Well, Mark Zuckerberg, who allegedly is using gigantic piles of money to recruit AI experts to Meta,

00:05:50.860 says it's not just because of the money, that people want to work for him for another reason that might not be so obvious to you,

00:05:59.900 but not just about the money.

00:06:00.900 But not just about the money.

00:06:03.200 The researchers want access to the maximum amount of compute because you could be an AI expert.

00:06:13.200 But if every time you log on to do some AI stuff, you don't have enough compute power, you're not going to go very far.

00:06:22.620 So, it sounds like the people who know the most about AI really want to be in an environment where they have the maximum GPUs.

00:06:31.360 And Zuckerberg promises them that they'll be part of a smallish team that will report directly to the CEO.

00:06:40.840 And I'm thinking to myself, that's actually a pretty good package.

00:06:47.420 If he knew you were, you know, directly connected to the top guy and you were getting a lot of money,

00:06:53.620 but also you had the most compute power, which they don't have yet.

00:06:58.360 But listen to this.

00:07:00.700 Now, this is, I saw this on X, a Sawyer Merritt.

00:07:05.500 He has a good site.

00:07:07.160 He's a good follow.

00:07:08.140 Sawyer Merritt.

00:07:09.660 He does a lot of reporting on X about Tesla and Musk related stuff.

00:07:16.640 But he's got this story that I'm having some trouble believing.

00:07:22.140 So, it is true, I believe, that Zuckerberg is planning enormous, just enormous, building, build-outs of computer centers to run his AI stuff.

00:07:38.480 And they're building several multi-GW clusters.

00:07:43.920 They're calling the first one Prometheus.

00:07:46.340 And they're building another one called Hyperion, to which I say, I love this idea of giving your data centers awesome names, like Hyperion and Prometheus.

00:08:00.920 It's pretty good.

00:08:01.820 Pretty good naming.

00:08:03.640 Anyway, the reporting says that just one of these buildings that will compute, will have, you know, massive computing,

00:08:13.420 that one of them will cover a significant part of the footprint of Manhattan.

00:08:18.980 Now, it's not going to be in Manhattan.

00:08:21.080 They're just using Manhattan as a comparison.

00:08:24.200 And I saw a graphic of how big the building would be compared to the entire island of Manhattan.

00:08:32.560 And it covers most of it.

00:08:35.900 Now, does that sound true to you?

00:08:38.480 Do you believe that Facebook is, right now, building multiple data centers for AI?

00:08:46.900 Each one, just one of them, would be the size almost of the entire Manhattan island?

00:08:54.800 Do you believe that?

00:08:56.700 I mean, it's in Sawyer Merritt's XFeed.

00:09:00.480 So, he's, I think he's quite credible.

00:09:07.720 But I would be surprised if that's even possible.

00:09:11.720 It doesn't seem like it's possible.

00:09:15.860 You're probably aware, according to Wired Magazine, that there are a bunch of AI nudify websites.

00:09:26.420 Nudify.

00:09:27.340 There are about 85 of them.

00:09:28.860 And what they do is you can take a picture of somebody's face, and it will give them a naked body.

00:09:37.560 So, AI adds a naked body.

00:09:42.000 And there are 85 of them, and they're making millions of dollars.

00:09:46.380 And, of course, you might be surprised and amazed to learn this.

00:09:51.720 I know this will be quite a surprise, but apparently the nudify AI websites are quite used by male high school students to bully their classmates.

00:10:06.860 Now, that's the most predictable thing you could have ever predicted.

00:10:11.520 Scott, we're thinking of making an AI website that will make any picture of anybody look like they're naked and doing embarrassing things.

00:10:23.220 Who will be our target market?

00:10:24.880 Well, I'm glad you asked, but teenage boys.

00:10:30.900 And after that, disgruntled ex-boyfriends and husbands.

00:10:36.840 And after that, probably memers and all kinds of stuff.

00:10:41.420 But I'm going to suggest that this might be a self-solving problem.

00:10:51.780 In 2025, if you were, let's say, a high school 16-year-old girl or something, and some male bully in your class started sending around an AI picture that was your face, but it looked like you naked, but it would be made by AI.

00:11:10.820 In 2025, that would be terrible, because it would scar you for life, and everybody would be teasing you, and they'd be sending you around, and, you know, you'd never know who's giggling behind your back, and it would be humiliating and horrifying.

00:11:32.340 But what happens if it becomes so common that the moment you saw somebody you know with, you know, a naked picture, you said to yourself, oh, it's AI?

00:11:44.660 You wouldn't be interested at all, because you could make your own AI nude stuff anytime you wanted, and now it's the millionth time that somebody's sitting around one of your classmates looking naked,

00:11:59.240 and you know that it's not really them, and you know that it's not really them, it's an AI body put on them, how much attention would that even get?

00:12:07.660 So my guess is that the way through it is to do more of it, and then just wait for young people to be totally bored by it, you know, right?

00:12:20.400 Every time there's a new AI thing, you know, the first time you see it, you go, whoa, are you kidding?

00:12:27.380 AI made a picture of two cats that appear to be talking?

00:12:32.160 This is so cool, I have to show all my friends.

00:12:35.540 And then by the hundredth time, you see a meme of two cats talking, and it's made by AI.

00:12:42.320 Do you send it around, or do you say, oh, God, not another AI of two cats talking?

00:12:49.840 Now, I know that, you know, nude people is more exciting than cats talking, but wouldn't you get bored with this?

00:12:59.400 And wouldn't it become a big nothing?

00:13:01.640 Once everybody understood that the nude person is not really there, it's just AI, I don't feel like it's going to have much impact.

00:13:09.100 But it might take, you know, three to five years to get to the point where people go, eh, don't send that to me anymore.

00:13:18.260 Speaking of that, allegedly, Conor McGregor sent full nude pictures of himself to rapper Azealia Banks, who apparently posted them on social media to mock him.

00:13:32.920 To which I say, is it too soon for Conor McGregor to say, that wasn't me, that was somebody who did that with AI?

00:13:44.200 He would be a tough one to nudify, because he's got tattoos all over his body, and AI might not know where his tattoos are.

00:13:52.600 So, I would do a check on his tattoos.

00:13:57.100 If the tattoos are under his clothes, or would have been if he had had clothes, and they still look right in the picture, well, he probably took a picture of himself naked in the senator, probably.

00:14:12.580 But, if the tattoos don't line up, it might be AI.

00:14:17.140 So, Conor McGregor, if he had waited another two or three years, he could probably send his naked pictures to anybody, and whoever got him would say, oh, I'm so tired of getting AI-generated naked pictures.

00:14:34.120 And they wouldn't think twice about it.

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00:14:54.620 Meanwhile, over at North Carolina State University, it was talking about an AI-powered lab for materials science, materials engineering.

00:15:08.260 So, there's now a lab that can, using AI, it can decide what things to test,

00:15:16.400 in terms of materials, you know, creating materials that have special properties for making various things.

00:15:24.500 And it can decide what to test, and then it can very rapidly, because it's machines,

00:15:30.780 test a whole bunch of different material combinations, and figure out which ones are commercial.

00:15:36.740 And it does that without human intervention.

00:15:41.820 So, the AI decides what to test, and then it tests it very quickly, and decides whether to keep it or release it.

00:15:50.400 And that's already up.

00:15:52.520 That's like a real thing that's already here.

00:15:54.920 So, we've got an automated AI factory.

00:15:58.960 Do you know how big a deal that is?

00:16:00.860 Do you have any idea the upside potential of new materials?

00:16:08.920 You know, stuff that's super hard, but also super light.

00:16:12.520 Stuff that can conduct electricity better than other stuff.

00:16:16.580 The upside potential of just materials.

00:16:19.680 It sounds like a boring thing, but it's really a lot.

00:16:23.560 There was a story that I decided not to talk about until just this moment.

00:16:30.940 There's some teenage kid who allegedly invented an electric motor that doesn't require these magnets that are rare earth.

00:16:40.920 And the idea is that, you know, he would change, you know, the entire situation with making electric motors.

00:16:52.600 Because if you could get rid of the magnet part, you wouldn't need any rare earth minerals for making magnets.

00:16:59.520 Now, I saw in the comments that people said, we've always had that kind of engine.

00:17:04.160 He didn't invent anything.

00:17:05.880 I don't know about that.

00:17:07.340 But that's the size of the opportunity.

00:17:09.800 It could be as big as, hey, we found a way that you don't need these rare earth materials.

00:17:17.180 That would be a pretty big deal.

00:17:21.200 Anyway, Mark Cuban is helping the Democrats decide what to do.

00:17:29.340 I don't know if the Democrats know that or they welcome it.

00:17:32.520 But he was saying on an interview yesterday, I think, that the Democrats' only message is Trump sucks and that's not going to get it done.

00:17:43.660 So, how much, I feel as if everybody who cares about the Democrats doing well, that they don't really have good suggestions for them.

00:18:00.220 It's definitely a good suggestion to stop doing what they're doing.

00:18:03.720 I think that part is solid.

00:18:06.320 But what should they be doing?

00:18:09.300 I think everybody stops with, you know, you should have a better message.

00:18:14.520 Well, everybody knows that, right?

00:18:17.740 They all know they should have a better message.

00:18:21.460 But who is it who's coming up with a better message?

00:18:25.500 At what point do you say, we all know we suck?

00:18:30.120 Do you have any idea how we could do this better?

00:18:34.820 But, of course, it's not just the message, is it?

00:18:38.320 It's also the messenger.

00:18:39.600 So, if you don't have the right messenger, it doesn't matter if you have the right message.

00:18:45.560 And that's, of course, the big secret to Zoran Mondani in New York City.

00:18:51.760 He's literally a socialist.

00:18:54.760 Some would say a communist.

00:18:57.280 But because his policy is so clean and well-represented, you know, the affordability stuff,

00:19:03.080 and because he's an appealing messenger, he's actually overcoming being a communist.

00:19:14.680 If you wondered how much power you can get from having the right message and being the right kind of messenger,

00:19:22.520 well, there's a guy called Trump who had the right message at the right time,

00:19:29.720 and he was the right messenger, and now he's the most influential person in the world.

00:19:36.760 That's how important it is.

00:19:41.040 And you might ask yourself, how in the world did voters get comfortable with the fact that Trump is accused of all manner of things I won't even mention?

00:19:52.920 And the answer is, he had the right policy, he had the right message, and he was charismatic,

00:20:01.200 and he could deliver that message and deliver results.

00:20:05.020 So, yeah, you could be a communist, or you could be accused of absolutely anything.

00:20:11.360 But if you get those two things right, the right message and you're the right charismatic messenger,

00:20:16.800 people will say, you know what, that's kind of rare.

00:20:22.560 So, we're going to overlook all those other things that otherwise might bother us.

00:20:31.840 In other news, the Supreme Court has ruled once again that Trump can do what he wanted to do,

00:20:39.020 which was fire hundreds of employees at the education department, which he would like to get rid of.

00:20:47.560 And I guess that had been blocked once again by some district judge.

00:20:53.620 And once again, Trump wins when it goes to the Supreme Court,

00:20:57.720 which you could argue proves that the judges are corrupt.

00:21:04.140 The judges have blocked it in the first place, because they probably know it's going to the Supreme Court,

00:21:12.220 and they probably know they're going to lose,

00:21:14.860 and that the Supreme Court will give Trump the power to do what the president should be able to do,

00:21:22.620 which is hire and fire people in the executive branch.

00:21:28.880 But doesn't it feel to you like you're just hearing the same story over and over again?

00:21:34.140 How many times have you read or heard the story?

00:21:38.380 Well, a more local judge blocked Trump from doing whatever.

00:21:45.660 And then it went to the Supreme Court, and the Supreme Court sided with Trump.

00:21:50.660 So, now he can do it.

00:21:52.920 I mean, literally, how many times have we heard that now?

00:21:55.920 I don't know the answer to my own question, but is it a dozen times?

00:22:00.880 Or am I just remembering it weird?

00:22:04.780 Is it five times?

00:22:07.300 How many times has the Supreme Court slapped down the lower court judges?

00:22:14.640 It's a lot, right?

00:22:16.240 I don't even know the number.

00:22:19.900 Well, you want to stop talking about Epstein, but we can't.

00:22:23.620 We can't quit it.

00:22:25.380 It's just something new every day.

00:22:27.320 So, yesterday was Monday, and we were all waiting to see if Dan Bongino showed up for work or if he quit.

00:22:37.600 As far as I know, and of course, things can change quickly, he did not quit.

00:22:44.760 And there were meetings in the White House in which all three, Bondi and Patel and Bongino,

00:22:50.760 apparently all visited the White House.

00:22:52.540 There's some reports that J.D. Vance might have been trying to talk people off a ledge.

00:23:00.280 There was talk that Bongino had threatened to quit if Pam Bondi didn't get fired or leave,

00:23:09.000 or if she didn't change her approach to what was being released.

00:23:14.980 So, the first thing I would say about that reporting is, I don't trust any of it.

00:23:22.260 This is exactly the kind of reporting that never really captures the whole thing behind the curtain.

00:23:31.060 I mean, some of it might be true.

00:23:33.480 They'd be out of context, and you'd be missing parts, and you wouldn't know who said what,

00:23:37.960 and you wouldn't know their internal feelings.

00:23:40.200 When somebody else says they're really mad, you don't know if they really are or they're pretending.

00:23:47.120 So, whenever I hear these stories about who said I'll quit, or if you don't do this, I'll do that,

00:23:54.360 I don't fully believe them to be literally true.

00:23:59.800 I treat them more like, well, this is what people are saying.

00:24:04.440 You know, you don't know what's really happening behind the scenes there.

00:24:07.140 But, we would know if Bongino quit, we would know that.

00:24:13.960 So, apparently he did not quit.

00:24:16.700 And there's some reporting that maybe they're re-looking at their approach to what they revealed about Epstein.

00:24:25.900 So, maybe, possibly, there might be more to come.

00:24:30.120 And it might be that that more to come is the only thing that keeps Bongino staying there.

00:24:38.380 Because he needs to get a win.

00:24:41.320 Because he really, Bongino got kind of screwed in this whole situation.

00:24:47.500 He gave up this lucrative, incredible podcasting gig he had to have the worst job in the world,

00:24:55.220 which is working for the government, and trying to make a difference.

00:24:58.760 And then he gets, you know, totally shat upon by this whole Epstein situation, 0.94

00:25:04.600 which he had a reason to believe would go differently.

00:25:09.040 So, if, to me, Bongino is the canary in the coal mine.

00:25:17.340 Meaning, if he doesn't quit, and nothing else happens, that's going to give me one view of the whole situation.

00:25:26.560 Versus, if he did quit, and says, I can't talk about it, but I can't work here anymore.

00:25:33.160 And if you're guessing it's because of the Epstein stuff, you'd be right.

00:25:37.800 But I can't tell you more than that.

00:25:39.540 Now, that would tell me that the cover-up was something that didn't really need to be covered up.

00:25:49.380 But maybe, you know, there's some billionaire who's being protected or something like that.

00:25:55.160 And that would not be cool with the public or with him as well.

00:25:59.900 But if he doesn't quit, then I would have to assume that he's been convinced that not releasing the information is better than releasing it.

00:26:13.860 Which would tell us that there's something really big that's been, like, really big.

00:26:19.900 More than just one person's, you know, career or life or freedom.

00:26:24.520 Maybe something at a national level.

00:26:28.160 You know, something that would derail the country entirely if it got out.

00:26:32.860 So, I'll be watching him.

00:26:36.080 Benny Johnson, on his podcast, says there's a massive disclosure coming on the Epstein files.

00:26:43.820 So, he's got good sources.

00:26:46.300 And so, Benny says that Bongino's back at work and there's a major push for more transparency, etc.

00:26:57.860 Separately, while we're waiting for that, there's a story in Rolling Stone.

00:27:03.480 They've got an exclusive, apparently.

00:27:05.080 That way back, Jeffrey Epstein hired private investigators to follow and intimidate the FBI agents who were surveilling him.

00:27:17.580 Because he knew he was being investigated by the FBI.

00:27:21.380 So, he hired people to harass them.

00:27:24.720 You know, I don't know about you, but the more I hear about this Epstein guy, the more I'm thinking he's not a nice guy.

00:27:33.340 Yeah, that's a Norm Macdonald joke.

00:27:36.560 I stole it.

00:27:37.320 He was talking about a hitler.

00:27:38.820 But it works for Epstein.

00:27:41.300 All right.

00:27:42.720 You know, I always tell you that you don't know what's happening in the story until Dershowitz tells you.

00:27:50.320 If there's anything that has anything to do with legality, you just have to wait for Dershowitz.

00:27:56.820 And I've been saying this for years now.

00:27:59.280 Here it is again.

00:28:00.820 So, Dershowitz was on Chris Cuomo's.

00:28:03.340 Most of you know that Dershowitz was a lawyer for Epstein.

00:28:08.000 So, he's not guessing.

00:28:10.560 So, you know, a lot of stuff is speculation and guessing.

00:28:15.180 But Dershowitz is not guessing.

00:28:17.760 He knows.

00:28:19.300 And one of the things he knows is that there's not a client list, per se, you know, where Epstein put a list together of all of his bad actions.

00:28:29.620 That doesn't exist, as far as Dershowitz knows.

00:28:33.940 And I assume it does not exist as well.

00:28:36.840 But he says there is a redacted FBI affidavit from the accusers.

00:28:43.780 So, this would go way back.

00:28:45.760 And there are several of them.

00:28:48.180 So, several instances in which the accusers have named names.

00:28:53.220 And those documents exist.

00:28:56.980 But they've been redacted.

00:29:00.240 So, Dershowitz says he knows the names because he was the lawyer he was involved.

00:29:06.560 So, he says now, of course, because as lawyer, and I did only investigations, I know who all these people are.

00:29:16.840 So, Dershowitz knows the truth.

00:29:22.180 He knows who the bad guys are who have been accused.

00:29:28.600 But because he's a lawyer and ethical, he can't tell you.

00:29:34.080 But he can tell you that if you could penetrate those redactions, you would know who was being blamed.

00:29:41.440 Now, to complicate things, at one point, Dershowitz himself was being accused.

00:29:51.040 And his accuser, who has recently died, that Virginian Joffrey, well before she died,

00:30:00.200 she withdrew her accusation and said she was mistaken and that she does not, at the moment, she does not,

00:30:08.500 well, she's dead now, but she went to the grave having said that she did not mean it

00:30:16.720 and that Dershowitz did not do anything illegal that she knows of.

00:30:23.200 So, here's my question.

00:30:25.680 Now that we know exactly what document would tell us what we need to know,

00:30:30.000 but it might not be accurate because, remember, if it's true that Virginia Joffrey simply made up a story

00:30:39.360 and it's also true that apparently there was some kind of fund established

00:30:45.660 that would pay off victims who wanted to settle.

00:30:50.400 So, allegedly, one of the reasons that we're not hearing from the alleged victims of Epstein's Island

00:30:57.000 is that they probably signed NDAs, non-disclosure agreements,

00:31:02.640 and they probably took large amounts, potentially, of money from a fund that was set up,

00:31:09.840 I think, with Epstein's money to pay off people who had a civil complaint.

00:31:16.140 So, that's something that could be, the NDAs could be penetrated in the context of a criminal case.

00:31:28.480 So, the people who signed the NDAs would probably sacrifice something if they talked,

00:31:36.000 but not if a court made them.

00:31:37.940 So, we've got the possibility that some court somewhere will say,

00:31:44.460 I know you signed NDAs and I know you got paid for being quiet,

00:31:49.380 but there's a legal case here and you just have to tell us.

00:31:54.060 And then they would know all.

00:31:56.180 So, now we have all the characters are at work today, as far as we know.

00:32:03.100 Bongino, Bondi, and Patel, still at work.

00:32:05.680 And now Dershowitz has said, this document, or this set of documents,

00:32:12.660 these are the ones, these are the exact documents, which we know exist.

00:32:18.200 There's no question that they exist.

00:32:21.020 And all you have to do is penetrate the redactions.

00:32:26.020 So, my question would be, is that what the conversation is now?

00:32:32.060 Did Bongino say, here's the deal.

00:32:35.680 I'm just going to kick the shit out of the administration if they leave me hanging out to dry,

00:32:41.880 which I would love it if he did that.

00:32:43.600 We don't know anything about what happened.

00:32:46.080 But I would love it if Bongino said, you guys hung me out to dry.

00:32:51.960 I'm going to take down the whole operation,

00:32:54.420 unless you redact these names and put them out.

00:32:57.360 What would they do?

00:32:58.400 Well, they're not going to murder him.

00:33:03.300 And he has the power now.

00:33:05.960 He has the power to take down the whole process.

00:33:08.740 He could take down Trump easily.

00:33:11.100 All he'd have to do is say, look, I've seen everything.

00:33:14.740 And if you vote for Democrats, or if you vote for Republicans in the midterm, you're crazy.

00:33:20.100 Because the whole Republican thing is, you know, covering up stuff.

00:33:26.840 So, weirdly and ironically, Bongino is a blackmailer.

00:33:34.880 Now, I say that jokingly, so he's not breaking any laws as far as I know.

00:33:43.800 But don't you think that Bongino knows enough about what's happening on the other side of the curtain

00:33:49.240 that if he had a conversation with Trump, he could say, here's the deal.

00:33:54.780 You can't make me a liar.

00:33:57.060 You cannot make me a liar.

00:33:58.960 If you don't release more, I'm going to tell people what I know.

00:34:05.360 But I won't do it within the administration.

00:34:08.180 And you're going to have to deal with the blowback for that.

00:34:10.940 So, how would you like to do a better job of transparency?

00:34:17.500 That's my guess.

00:34:20.320 My guess is that Bongino had so much power, because he has knowledge,

00:34:26.560 that he can force them to disclose more than they wanted to.

00:34:33.900 So, we'll see.

00:34:36.320 Now, of course, you know that the risk here, as with Dershowitz,

00:34:41.160 is that people were making false accusations to get paid out.

00:34:46.420 So, if you see a list of people who were accused of being abusers on Epstein Island,

00:34:53.220 my advice would be to assume that half of them are not true.

00:34:59.700 But you'll never know which half.

00:35:03.260 That's the best I could do.

00:35:05.020 I mean, it would destroy the reputations and lives and marriages, probably,

00:35:10.020 of anybody who gets named.

00:35:12.580 But there's a good 50% chance that anybody named

00:35:17.560 didn't actually do what they're accused of.

00:35:20.740 So, we have to deal with that.

00:35:24.140 Well, of course, the Democrats are having fun with the Epstein file stuff,

00:35:30.720 because as long as we don't know what the story is,

00:35:34.640 the Democrats can kind of suggest that it's much worse than you think.

00:35:39.860 So, Representative Hakeem Jeffries, he says, quote,

00:35:44.300 quote, if you're trying to hide something, as many of Donald Trump's MAGA supporters

00:35:48.560 apparently believe, then Congress should actually work hard to uncover the truth

00:35:53.180 for the American people.

00:35:54.880 So, he's pushing on that division in MAGA of the people who want to see what's going on.

00:36:00.480 Then Jamie Raskin, who I call one of the several designated liars on the Democrat side,

00:36:08.700 he said, at this point, the president owes it to the country to put it to rest one way or the other.

00:36:15.960 And I agree.

00:36:18.120 I agree with that.

00:36:19.380 The president owes the country.

00:36:23.060 Maybe not all the redacted information,

00:36:27.540 but definitely a better excuse for why we're not seeing it.

00:36:32.020 I don't know about you, but if Trump came out and said, here's the deal,

00:36:39.020 the country would be at a great disadvantage if this information came out,

00:36:45.720 and I can't tell you why.

00:36:48.460 But trust me, it's not about the individuals we're protecting.

00:36:52.440 I'm protecting the country.

00:36:54.920 And I'm making the tough decision.

00:36:57.180 I know you all wanted to see it,

00:36:59.140 but you're going to have to trust me on this.

00:37:00.720 The country would be much worse off if I release everything.

00:37:05.980 Now, I'm not saying that's the case.

00:37:08.260 We don't know what the case is.

00:37:10.220 But at least if Trump said that,

00:37:14.060 I would say to myself, all right,

00:37:16.700 under the sort of republic that we live in,

00:37:21.040 we hired him to make those decisions.

00:37:23.380 He's telling us that he is hiding something,

00:37:26.200 and there's a reason for it.

00:37:27.600 Some people, not everybody, would say, you know what?

00:37:33.720 At least that's better than what we had.

00:37:36.480 I can move on now.

00:37:41.660 You prefer truth.

00:37:42.960 Well, what I learned is that many people are really bad

00:37:47.760 at understanding themselves

00:37:49.680 and at understanding how to do a risk analysis.

00:37:54.720 So if I say to you,

00:37:57.140 releasing the full Epstein files would cause a nuclear holocaust, 0.81

00:38:02.300 apparently an alarming number of you would say,

00:38:05.280 that's okay.

00:38:06.620 I'd rather have the truth.

00:38:08.060 And you would put up with a nuclear holocaust? 0.92

00:38:15.200 Okay.

00:38:17.200 If you say that, you're either a liar,

00:38:20.360 you're an idiot, 0.98

00:38:23.820 is there any other,

00:38:26.000 or you haven't really thought it through.

00:38:28.400 Because I think people want to,

00:38:30.280 I think one of the people want to present themselves

00:38:33.280 as the strongest voice

00:38:36.020 against these particular kinds of heinous crimes against children.

00:38:40.880 So a lot of it feels like just positioning.

00:38:45.520 And if you were the president

00:38:47.200 and you really thought genuinely

00:38:49.780 that releasing it would cause a nuclear holocaust,

00:38:53.740 you're telling me you'd really release it?

00:38:56.500 Really?

00:38:57.920 Really?

00:38:58.820 If you had to make the decision,

00:39:01.460 you would allow the entire world to burn

00:39:04.100 just to know the names of those accusers?

00:39:07.780 Really?

00:39:08.720 Even knowing that maybe they're falsely accused?

00:39:12.180 I don't believe that.

00:39:13.720 I don't believe there's one person who would do that.

00:39:16.200 Not even one.

00:39:17.620 But I'll bet you a quarter of the people asked

00:39:21.260 would say they would.

00:39:23.200 Because it's a president.

00:39:24.460 I don't care if the entire world

00:39:27.420 burns up in a nuclear fire.

00:39:29.420 It's that principle of the thing.

00:39:32.500 As if your government

00:39:33.840 has been honest to you about the other stuff.

00:39:38.740 If this were the one thing

00:39:41.460 that the government lied about,

00:39:43.620 I'd say, you know,

00:39:45.640 there is a principle involved here.

00:39:47.980 We don't want our government

00:39:49.080 to lie to us about even one thing.

00:39:51.300 But is that the situation?

00:39:54.180 The situation I see

00:39:56.600 is that the government lies to us

00:39:58.440 about everything all the time.

00:40:00.660 And this is just more of that.

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00:41:06.840 Well, Trump says he's had enough of Putin

00:41:10.680 and Putin talking nice,

00:41:13.460 but bombing Ukraine five minutes later.

00:41:16.800 And so he has issued a 50-day ultimatum

00:41:20.640 to end the war in Ukraine.

00:41:22.340 And the ultimatum is that he will do secondary tariffs

00:41:27.000 of up to 100% on Russian goods

00:41:30.200 that are going to other trading partners.

00:41:33.600 So the tariff would be on anybody

00:41:36.360 who deals with Russia,

00:41:38.120 not just on Russia directly.

00:41:41.060 Now, I don't know how much impact that would have

00:41:45.500 because I don't know how much exports Russia does.

00:41:49.540 I mean, if they're selling stuff to China,

00:41:54.180 will we put 100% tariffs on that?

00:42:00.140 You know, will China, 0.96

00:42:02.520 will we shut down our own trade with China,

00:42:05.600 which would destroy the United States,

00:42:08.000 so that we could stop Russia from trading with China?

00:42:12.760 I don't know.

00:42:13.460 So I'm a little questioning whether this would be effective,

00:42:18.360 but it's better than nothing.

00:42:21.100 Then Trump confirmed that the U.S.

00:42:23.140 is going to send Patriot missiles and systems to Ukraine,

00:42:28.220 and it will be funded by the European countries and Canada.

00:42:32.780 Now, he doesn't say NATO,

00:42:35.300 but I'm wondering if he means NATO.

00:42:38.100 Does he mean NATO?

00:42:39.140 Because Ukraine is not part of NATO.

00:42:46.140 So presumably,

00:42:47.700 I'll take a fact check on this, by the way.

00:42:52.140 Presumably, the budget that goes to NATO

00:42:54.760 would not be used by a non-NATO country.

00:42:59.840 So it could be that this is on top of

00:43:02.400 that 5% that Trump's trying to get all the countries to.

00:43:05.980 But it would be the NATO countries.

00:43:11.860 It was not all of them,

00:43:13.480 because I guess Turkey would not be involved here.

00:43:17.040 So it looks like it's not NATO,

00:43:18.940 but rather the countries individually.

00:43:21.240 And I'm guessing that because Turkey is not mentioned.

00:43:24.760 And I don't believe that Turkey 1.00

00:43:26.240 would want to be funding weapons over there.

00:43:29.180 Anyway, but Trump has said

00:43:34.720 it's not going to be just defensive weapons like the Patriot.

00:43:38.600 It's going to be everything, all of them.

00:43:41.360 So he's talking about offensive weapons

00:43:44.120 that we have so far tried to not send there.

00:43:48.100 And then now he's willing to send missiles

00:43:53.120 that could reach Moscow.

00:43:54.200 And there's some reporting,

00:43:56.120 I don't know how reliable it is,

00:43:57.900 that Trump is completely aware

00:44:00.160 and checked that Ukraine would use new weapons

00:44:04.400 to attack Moscow itself.

00:44:06.760 So here's what I think the play is.

00:44:10.320 I think Trump is literally going to bomb Moscow,

00:44:14.480 but he's going to do it through our proxy, Ukraine.

00:44:17.940 Literally going to bomb,

00:44:20.480 not bomb, but let's say send missiles and drones

00:44:23.560 at a large scale.

00:44:27.980 We've been sending offensive weapons for years now.

00:44:31.020 Probably not the good stuff, though.

00:44:34.800 So I think Trump is teasing

00:44:37.540 that we may have held back some of the good stuff

00:44:39.940 and that that would be the difference.

00:44:42.240 But I take that correction.

00:44:44.960 I would be surprised, very surprised,

00:44:48.060 if we have never sent them

00:44:49.400 any form of offensive weaponry.

00:44:51.420 You know, and it's also hard to define

00:44:54.720 what is offensive and what is defensive.

00:44:57.600 So I would say if we're selling them missiles

00:45:02.300 that are meant to be shot at a foreign city 1.00

00:45:05.400 as far away as Moscow,

00:45:07.720 to me that feels like an offensive weapon.

00:45:11.560 So I think that's what's going to happen.

00:45:13.240 Anyway, so we'll see how that goes.

00:45:20.680 It feels like the odds of nuclear war are not that high

00:45:24.840 just because Putin is not insane

00:45:28.120 and the last thing he wants is a nuclear war.

00:45:31.320 So it could be that Trump is just calling his bluff

00:45:35.120 and saying, you know what?

00:45:37.440 There's no limit to what we're going to do to you

00:45:42.040 if you keep doing this.

00:45:44.880 There's no upper limit.

00:45:46.220 We'll just keep ratcheting up.

00:45:48.140 We're going to give Ukraine better and better weapons. 0.86

00:45:51.140 And I'll say again

00:45:52.240 that we're probably three years away

00:45:55.340 from the front lines of this war

00:45:57.640 being only robots

00:45:59.180 and not even controlled by humans,

00:46:02.660 but just robots.

00:46:03.940 You know, nothing but robots

00:46:06.000 because both sides are going to run out of humans

00:46:09.100 on the front lines.

00:46:10.920 They'll just be dead.

00:46:12.800 And the robots and the drones and the AI

00:46:16.060 will be the new battle.

00:46:19.680 So do you think that Russia

00:46:21.800 believes it could keep up with Ukraine 0.99

00:46:25.980 if the Ukraine has the full backing

00:46:27.760 of the United States

00:46:28.880 and the other countries

00:46:30.860 to make as many drones

00:46:33.240 and the most powerful ones

00:46:35.140 they could possibly make?

00:46:37.860 Is it possible

00:46:38.960 for Russia to keep up?

00:46:42.900 Well, they've got China on their side, right? 0.97

00:46:45.640 So they could buy a lot of drones.

00:46:49.220 And I guess Iran, maybe?

00:46:52.020 I don't know if they have anything left to sell.

00:46:53.980 But it's going to be a robot-only war

00:46:58.600 because I don't think

00:47:00.840 that Putin's going to back down

00:47:03.080 and make peace.

00:47:05.040 And I don't think he's going to quit.

00:47:07.420 And I don't think Ukraine's going to quit.

00:47:09.900 And now the U.S. has turned it

00:47:11.560 into a profit center

00:47:12.640 where we're just selling our arms

00:47:14.780 and somebody else is paying for it.

00:47:17.140 So we're not going to quit.

00:47:19.280 And Europe doesn't want to lose

00:47:21.100 because they don't want Putin

00:47:22.540 to roll through Europe, they think.

00:47:24.640 So there's nobody who really

00:47:26.820 has any chance of wanting to quit.

00:47:31.620 So in three years,

00:47:33.400 the people will be mostly dead

00:47:35.160 on the front lines

00:47:36.140 and just be robots.

00:47:37.940 And then you're going to really see the future.

00:47:43.080 All right.

00:47:44.080 Then Trump wants to put...

00:47:46.460 Let's see.

00:47:47.840 What else is he doing?

00:47:48.940 Apparently, if Trump puts the big tariff

00:47:54.140 on Russian oil,

00:47:55.960 that will make oil prices everywhere go up

00:47:59.200 because Russia is a big enough exporter

00:48:01.520 that if you crush their oil industry

00:48:04.580 and reduce the supply,

00:48:07.340 the entire world will pay more.

00:48:09.580 According to Bloomberg.

00:48:12.160 So Wall Street and the stock market

00:48:16.220 did not go down

00:48:18.220 when Trump threatened

00:48:20.120 to make oil prices go up

00:48:22.460 by blocking Russian oil.

00:48:24.860 Which means,

00:48:26.500 according to Bloomberg,

00:48:28.520 that Wall Street doesn't believe

00:48:30.040 he's going to do it.

00:48:31.260 In other words,

00:48:32.060 the investors

00:48:33.440 don't believe

00:48:35.200 that Trump will successfully

00:48:38.440 do anything that would cut down

00:48:40.020 on Russian oil sales.

00:48:41.120 So...

00:48:43.120 We'll see.

00:48:47.480 There's a new poll,

00:48:49.500 Harvard-Caps-Harris poll,

00:48:51.300 that was just released yesterday,

00:48:52.720 that says the Democratic Party's approval rating

00:48:55.000 is at a new low.

00:48:58.240 It dropped from 42% to 40.

00:49:01.440 So 4 in 10 respondents approved

00:49:03.680 of the Democrat Party,

00:49:05.960 which is down from June.

00:49:07.900 Two points.

00:49:08.420 So my question is this.

00:49:14.840 It's the weirdest situation

00:49:16.720 when the Democrats

00:49:20.000 are at the lowest approval

00:49:21.800 that we've seen,

00:49:24.020 but at the same time,

00:49:25.940 all the smart people are saying

00:49:27.340 that the Democrats

00:49:28.080 are probably going to pick up seats

00:49:30.140 in the midterm.

00:49:33.100 Now, I know the reason for that

00:49:34.980 is that everybody likes

00:49:36.240 their own representative.

00:49:37.400 But they think

00:49:39.120 that the other ones are bad.

00:49:40.480 So they vote

00:49:41.140 for their own representative

00:49:42.220 and then next thing you know,

00:49:44.060 you get a Democrat win

00:49:46.300 when Democrats

00:49:47.720 have the lowest approval level,

00:49:49.820 like of all time.

00:49:51.320 I don't know if it's all time,

00:49:52.860 but it might be.

00:49:55.260 So that's a weird situation.

00:49:57.180 Obviously,

00:49:57.740 that's a system problem.

00:49:59.140 But speaking of bad advice

00:50:03.580 for Democrats,

00:50:05.200 who would you say

00:50:06.360 is the Democrats'

00:50:08.100 smartest player

00:50:09.320 if you had to pick one person?

00:50:12.040 The one experienced,

00:50:14.340 smart,

00:50:15.560 proven,

00:50:16.620 brilliant messenger,

00:50:18.740 not only a good messenger,

00:50:21.880 but somebody who's good

00:50:22.900 at coming up with a message.

00:50:24.300 Who do you think

00:50:25.520 would be the very best,

00:50:27.320 the best you could get

00:50:28.480 on the Democrat side?

00:50:31.180 I'm seeing Ro Khanna,

00:50:33.480 Fetterman,

00:50:34.800 Fetterman.

00:50:35.580 I was going to say Obama.

00:50:38.400 Don't we all believe

00:50:40.240 that Obama was gifted

00:50:41.920 in terms of political skill?

00:50:46.020 Even Republicans say that.

00:50:49.440 Even Republicans would admit,

00:50:51.760 yeah,

00:50:51.980 we don't like what he did,

00:50:53.880 but he has skill.

00:50:55.660 Like,

00:50:56.020 he was good

00:50:56.740 at this politics stuff,

00:50:58.500 good at talking in public,

00:51:00.000 good at having messages

00:51:00.960 that resonated with people.

00:51:04.020 Well,

00:51:04.420 here is Obama's advice

00:51:06.600 for Democrats.

00:51:08.800 You ready for this?

00:51:10.180 Here's their best guy,

00:51:12.440 their best,

00:51:13.220 smartest,

00:51:13.860 experienced guy.

00:51:15.980 He says,

00:51:16.820 don't tell me

00:51:18.840 you're a Democrat,

00:51:19.960 but you're kind of

00:51:20.900 disappointed right now,

00:51:22.160 so you're not doing anything.

00:51:23.640 No,

00:51:24.180 now is exactly the time

00:51:25.700 you get in there

00:51:26.940 and do something.

00:51:28.980 Okay,

00:51:29.360 so the first part

00:51:30.240 of his advice

00:51:31.400 is to do something.

00:51:35.580 So,

00:51:36.460 did that help?

00:51:38.020 Were there any Democrats

00:51:39.460 who didn't know

00:51:40.740 that doing something

00:51:42.900 would be an advantage

00:51:44.700 for them

00:51:45.140 as opposed to doing nothing?

00:51:46.820 And continuing to,

00:51:48.460 you know,

00:51:49.540 suck. 1.00

00:51:51.140 So,

00:51:51.920 that's a little bit generic,

00:51:53.420 Obama,

00:51:54.240 but there's more.

00:51:59.660 He said that they should

00:52:01.120 toughen up.

00:52:03.840 Oh,

00:52:04.280 okay.

00:52:05.280 So,

00:52:05.880 they should do more

00:52:06.860 and they should

00:52:07.800 toughen up.

00:52:10.040 Okay,

00:52:10.700 that's a little bit generic,

00:52:11.820 but is there more

00:52:13.580 from their best,

00:52:15.500 wisest advisor?

00:52:16.880 Yes,

00:52:17.340 there's more.

00:52:18.460 He also said

00:52:19.220 they should do

00:52:19.780 less navel gazing.

00:52:23.360 And that's it.

00:52:25.220 Did he have

00:52:26.600 a specific suggestion

00:52:28.400 about some messaging

00:52:30.360 that might work?

00:52:31.960 No,

00:52:32.420 no,

00:52:33.140 he didn't.

00:52:33.860 All he had

00:52:36.020 was generic advice

00:52:37.900 about toughening up,

00:52:39.920 doing something,

00:52:41.680 and having less

00:52:42.360 navel gazing.

00:52:44.860 Do you imagine

00:52:46.140 that he could have been

00:52:46.980 more worthless

00:52:47.740 if it had been

00:52:49.120 his intention

00:52:49.760 to do it?

00:52:51.140 It's almost like

00:52:52.060 if he had a contest

00:52:53.180 to see who could do

00:52:54.740 the least useful thing

00:52:56.260 for Democrats,

00:52:57.420 it would be right here.

00:52:58.800 he would win

00:53:00.320 the contest

00:53:01.040 of the most

00:53:02.200 useless advice

00:53:03.580 ever given.

00:53:05.100 Do something,

00:53:06.020 toughen up,

00:53:06.900 and less navel gazing.

00:53:09.680 That's their best guy.

00:53:13.880 If you try to find

00:53:15.420 the second best guy,

00:53:17.840 and here a guy

00:53:18.780 means man or woman,

00:53:22.600 it's going to be

00:53:23.840 somebody like Fetterman

00:53:24.880 that even the Democrats

00:53:26.520 are mad at

00:53:27.160 because Fetterman

00:53:27.840 keeps agreeing

00:53:28.620 with common sense.

00:53:31.840 Anyway,

00:53:32.560 so that's pretty worthless.

00:53:36.160 When I found out

00:53:37.220 my friend got a great deal

00:53:38.640 on a wool coat

00:53:39.400 from Winners,

00:53:40.200 I started wondering,

00:53:41.920 is every fabulous item

00:53:43.520 I see from Winners?

00:53:44.840 Like that woman over there 1.00

00:53:46.320 with the designer jeans.

00:53:47.740 Are those from Winners?

00:53:49.280 Ooh,

00:53:49.900 or those beautiful

00:53:50.580 gold earrings?

00:53:51.740 Did she pay full price?

00:53:53.080 Or that leather tote?

00:53:54.100 Or that cashmere sweater?

00:53:55.280 Or those knee-high boots?

00:53:56.760 That dress?

00:53:57.560 That jacket?

00:53:58.080 Those shoes?

00:53:59.060 Is anyone paying full price

00:54:00.980 for anything?

00:54:02.300 Stop wondering.

00:54:03.500 Start winning.

00:54:04.400 Winners find fabulous

00:54:05.660 for less.

00:54:06.400 So, according to

00:54:08.880 just the news,

00:54:12.580 the reason that we're

00:54:14.240 not hearing much

00:54:15.040 from the Department

00:54:16.480 of Justice,

00:54:17.140 I guess,

00:54:18.260 on the Russia

00:54:19.620 collusion investigation

00:54:21.180 is that they're trying

00:54:22.460 to make a RICO case

00:54:23.800 out of it.

00:54:24.960 Now,

00:54:25.300 RICO

00:54:25.560 means that

00:54:26.980 it's not just

00:54:27.760 an individual

00:54:28.740 bad behavior

00:54:29.680 by any person

00:54:31.060 or persons,

00:54:31.640 but rather

00:54:32.620 it's an organized,

00:54:34.320 ongoing

00:54:34.800 plot

00:54:37.360 to do something

00:54:39.160 illegal.

00:54:40.660 Now,

00:54:41.260 you tell me,

00:54:42.920 do you think

00:54:43.400 they could make

00:54:43.960 the case

00:54:44.620 that the

00:54:46.040 Russia collusion

00:54:47.140 hoax,

00:54:48.180 which apparently

00:54:48.800 was well-known

00:54:49.780 as a hoax

00:54:50.820 because they knew

00:54:51.840 the steel documentary,

00:54:53.360 the steel document

00:54:54.360 was fake,

00:54:55.620 they knew

00:54:56.180 that Hillary's 0.90

00:54:57.040 campaign was

00:54:57.860 paying for it

00:54:58.560 from the start

00:54:59.420 and that,

00:55:00.820 you know,

00:55:01.200 Brennan and Obama

00:55:02.280 and Clapper,

00:55:03.120 they all knew.

00:55:04.660 So,

00:55:05.440 could,

00:55:06.240 do you think

00:55:06.940 that the Trump

00:55:07.760 administration's people

00:55:09.040 could make the case

00:55:10.980 that would stand up

00:55:11.880 in court

00:55:12.420 that it wasn't

00:55:13.720 just an isolated incident,

00:55:15.320 it was an organized

00:55:16.680 Democrat

00:55:18.360 attempt

00:55:20.180 to do a series

00:55:21.400 of illegal things?

00:55:23.840 Maybe.

00:55:25.500 Yeah,

00:55:25.900 the dossier,

00:55:26.600 not the document.

00:55:28.560 But on top of that,

00:55:30.840 to really round it out

00:55:32.120 would be the

00:55:32.880 lawfare stuff.

00:55:35.040 So,

00:55:35.340 not only

00:55:36.020 allegedly

00:55:37.540 was there a conspiracy

00:55:39.020 to come up with

00:55:40.060 hoaxes

00:55:40.780 about Trump,

00:55:42.000 the Russia collusion

00:55:42.820 hoax

00:55:43.200 and,

00:55:44.240 you know,

00:55:44.460 all the other ones,

00:55:45.960 but the Russia

00:55:46.620 collusion hoax

00:55:47.400 is the one

00:55:47.760 they'd focus on,

00:55:49.160 but

00:55:49.380 could they also

00:55:51.000 make the case

00:55:51.980 that they had

00:55:53.220 gone after Trump

00:55:54.220 with lawfare

00:55:55.280 that was organized,

00:55:57.220 let's say,

00:55:57.620 by Joe Biden

00:55:58.500 or organized

00:55:59.380 by the top?

00:56:00.780 Could they make

00:56:01.600 that case?

00:56:02.820 Because then

00:56:03.440 they would have

00:56:04.000 two parts

00:56:05.780 that both

00:56:07.360 individually

00:56:07.980 would be a little

00:56:08.940 RICO-like, 1.00

00:56:09.820 but if you put

00:56:10.360 them together

00:56:10.920 and you sold

00:56:12.440 both of them

00:56:13.040 to a jury,

00:56:14.780 would it be

00:56:15.340 compelling?

00:56:17.320 What do you think?

00:56:19.560 it feels like

00:56:21.940 it probably

00:56:23.360 is too tough

00:56:24.180 to get a conviction

00:56:25.140 because

00:56:26.360 one of the things

00:56:27.880 I understand

00:56:28.680 from Trey Gowdy

00:56:29.820 and people

00:56:30.520 know more than I do

00:56:31.400 is that getting

00:56:32.860 a RICO conviction,

00:56:34.180 well,

00:56:34.360 we learned this

00:56:34.880 from the

00:56:35.300 Diddy situation

00:56:37.140 because the

00:56:38.140 prosecutor

00:56:38.640 dropped the

00:56:39.360 RICO stuff 0.80

00:56:40.100 and the reason

00:56:41.680 I dropped it

00:56:42.280 is it's just

00:56:42.840 really hard

00:56:43.340 to make the case

00:56:44.260 that it's organized,

00:56:45.780 but in this case

00:56:47.720 do you think

00:56:48.860 they can find

00:56:49.500 enough documents

00:56:50.400 and meetings

00:56:51.100 and connections

00:56:52.540 that they could

00:56:53.620 prove that the

00:56:54.340 lawfare was organized

00:56:55.520 and also

00:56:57.620 that the

00:56:58.360 Russia collusion

00:57:00.000 hoax

00:57:00.440 was organized

00:57:02.340 and they all

00:57:03.080 knew they were

00:57:03.520 in on it.

00:57:04.240 They knew they

00:57:05.020 were doing

00:57:05.320 something illegal

00:57:06.480 if not

00:57:07.440 just immoral.

00:57:09.260 I don't know.

00:57:10.580 I think it would

00:57:11.240 be tough.

00:57:13.200 I wouldn't want

00:57:14.100 to get you all

00:57:14.660 excited

00:57:15.120 like the

00:57:16.200 Epstein stuff

00:57:17.040 where you

00:57:17.980 think that

00:57:18.660 oh man

00:57:19.460 now these

00:57:20.620 people are

00:57:21.080 going to

00:57:21.380 pay the

00:57:21.760 price

00:57:22.060 and go

00:57:22.420 to jail.

00:57:24.620 I doubt

00:57:25.640 this will

00:57:26.740 be successful

00:57:27.580 but I like

00:57:29.040 the fact

00:57:29.440 they're trying

00:57:29.960 because I do

00:57:31.360 think that

00:57:31.820 there's a

00:57:32.160 real crime

00:57:32.700 there.

00:57:34.400 So might

00:57:35.240 as well

00:57:35.420 take a run

00:57:36.080 at it.

00:57:37.960 Well,

00:57:38.640 here's a

00:57:39.940 little story

00:57:40.940 that makes

00:57:42.060 me

00:57:42.480 or reminds

00:57:43.840 me

00:57:44.180 that who

00:57:45.420 you know

00:57:46.080 makes a

00:57:47.800 difference

00:57:48.180 between

00:57:48.620 whether you

00:57:49.060 get rich

00:57:49.480 or not.

00:57:51.420 Apparently

00:57:51.980 the U.S.

00:57:53.380 had a

00:57:53.860 one big

00:57:54.780 company

00:57:55.220 that was

00:57:56.460 involved in

00:57:57.220 making rare

00:57:58.260 earth materials

00:57:59.220 mining it

00:58:00.260 and it was

00:58:01.620 called

00:58:02.140 materials,

00:58:06.320 what's it

00:58:06.600 called?

00:58:06.920 MP or

00:58:08.140 something.

00:58:10.240 MP materials

00:58:11.440 I think it's

00:58:11.960 called.

00:58:13.180 And so

00:58:15.300 when it

00:58:15.680 became a

00:58:16.160 big thing

00:58:16.780 that China 0.93

00:58:17.900 was going

00:58:18.340 to block

00:58:18.940 our rare

00:58:19.700 materials

00:58:20.320 because of

00:58:20.780 the

00:58:20.920 tariff

00:58:21.200 force,

00:58:23.020 if I had

00:58:24.020 known,

00:58:25.060 if I had

00:58:25.840 been aware

00:58:26.400 that there

00:58:27.480 was a big

00:58:28.220 American

00:58:28.640 company that

00:58:29.340 was in

00:58:29.700 this space,

00:58:30.700 what would

00:58:32.020 I have

00:58:32.340 done?

00:58:32.860 I would

00:58:33.200 have bought

00:58:33.480 that stock

00:58:34.200 if I had

00:58:35.400 known that.

00:58:36.620 But for

00:58:36.980 some reason

00:58:37.600 it never

00:58:39.280 really occurred

00:58:40.060 to me that

00:58:40.920 there would

00:58:41.140 be some

00:58:41.600 large-ish

00:58:42.340 publicly

00:58:43.340 traded

00:58:43.900 company in

00:58:44.560 the U.S.

00:58:45.680 that would

00:58:46.140 obviously,

00:58:47.320 obviously

00:58:48.400 benefit a

00:58:49.400 lot from

00:58:50.880 the government

00:58:52.540 saying we

00:58:53.100 should do

00:58:53.480 more of

00:58:53.820 this

00:58:54.060 domestically.

00:58:55.660 Because if

00:58:56.380 you get the

00:58:56.860 government on

00:58:57.500 your side,

00:58:58.120 that's when

00:58:58.540 you have

00:58:58.820 the big

00:58:59.580 gains.

00:59:00.760 But I

00:59:01.380 didn't know

00:59:01.720 that.

00:59:02.580 I didn't

00:59:02.920 know that.

00:59:03.380 Never heard

00:59:03.740 of that

00:59:04.000 company.

00:59:04.520 Didn't

00:59:04.700 know we

00:59:05.040 even had

00:59:05.400 a big

00:59:05.680 company that

00:59:06.200 was in

00:59:06.480 that space.

00:59:07.760 But if I

00:59:08.400 did, it

00:59:09.680 was free

00:59:10.200 money.

00:59:10.660 It's already

00:59:11.100 tripled.

00:59:12.880 Now this

00:59:13.360 is not

00:59:13.780 investment

00:59:14.280 advice,

00:59:14.960 because remember,

00:59:15.960 it already

00:59:16.680 tripled.

00:59:17.800 So that

00:59:18.200 doesn't mean

00:59:18.700 it's going

00:59:19.080 to keep

00:59:19.400 going up.

00:59:21.340 But the

00:59:23.120 people who

00:59:23.640 knew that,

00:59:25.440 and it

00:59:26.160 was sort

00:59:26.940 of publicly

00:59:28.100 available

00:59:28.640 information,

00:59:29.740 but the

00:59:30.000 people who

00:59:30.420 knew that,

00:59:31.000 they just

00:59:31.500 got free

00:59:32.080 money.

00:59:33.460 All you

00:59:34.080 had to

00:59:34.340 do is put

00:59:34.820 a few

00:59:35.100 bucks in

00:59:36.000 that company

00:59:36.640 and it

00:59:37.820 was about

00:59:38.780 as close

00:59:39.440 as you

00:59:39.840 could get

00:59:40.260 to a

00:59:40.680 guaranteed

00:59:41.120 payoff.

00:59:42.300 It wouldn't

00:59:42.980 be like

00:59:43.400 regular

00:59:43.740 investing or

00:59:44.540 gambling at

00:59:45.080 all.

00:59:45.740 It would be

00:59:46.120 just like,

00:59:47.300 here's a

00:59:47.640 dollar,

00:59:48.100 give me

00:59:48.320 three dollars

00:59:48.920 back.

00:59:50.400 And when I

00:59:51.240 look at this

00:59:51.780 sort of

00:59:52.160 situation,

00:59:53.020 I think to

00:59:53.580 myself,

00:59:54.360 it's terribly

00:59:56.400 unfair that

00:59:58.180 some of

00:59:58.680 us are

00:59:59.000 paying

00:59:59.280 attention.

01:00:01.760 How many

01:00:02.740 people have

01:00:04.620 already made

01:00:05.360 huge gains

01:00:06.480 by investing

01:00:08.620 in AI

01:00:09.400 companies

01:00:10.100 because they

01:00:11.360 were following

01:00:11.940 that and

01:00:12.600 other people

01:00:13.100 weren't?

01:00:13.860 How many

01:00:14.300 people made

01:00:14.840 a killing

01:00:15.420 in Bitcoin

01:00:15.980 because they

01:00:17.900 simply paid

01:00:19.040 attention and

01:00:20.260 they knew more

01:00:20.880 about it than

01:00:21.460 people who don't

01:00:22.160 know about it?

01:00:22.840 A lot.

01:00:24.920 How many

01:00:25.480 people,

01:00:26.720 now this one

01:00:27.420 could be a

01:00:27.980 wild card,

01:00:28.960 but how many

01:00:29.460 people invested

01:00:30.500 in Tesla and

01:00:32.540 have already

01:00:33.040 made a bunch

01:00:33.620 of money because

01:00:35.320 they understood

01:00:36.200 that Tesla took

01:00:37.160 a different

01:00:37.620 approach to

01:00:38.420 the full

01:00:39.440 self-driving

01:00:40.260 AI?

01:00:43.360 If you knew

01:00:44.380 that, you'd

01:00:45.640 say to yourself,

01:00:46.320 oh my God,

01:00:47.640 this is going

01:00:48.240 to be bigger

01:00:48.760 than Uber.

01:00:51.220 And then if

01:00:51.720 you knew that

01:00:52.420 Tesla was

01:00:53.180 also making

01:00:53.800 robots, which

01:00:56.100 isn't something

01:00:56.760 that most

01:00:57.420 people know,

01:00:58.420 you know,

01:00:58.620 maybe at

01:01:00.020 most 10%

01:01:02.100 of the country

01:01:02.740 knows that

01:01:03.380 Tesla is even

01:01:04.180 in the robot

01:01:04.840 business.

01:01:06.100 You know,

01:01:06.360 if you follow

01:01:07.240 the news like

01:01:07.840 most of us

01:01:08.460 do, you

01:01:09.520 think everybody

01:01:10.200 knows that,

01:01:11.140 but they

01:01:11.380 don't.

01:01:12.380 Probably 90%

01:01:13.200 of the country

01:01:13.800 would not know

01:01:15.060 that the Tesla

01:01:16.080 company is also

01:01:17.220 making robots.

01:01:19.720 So that little

01:01:20.780 bit of knowledge

01:01:21.600 I've used

01:01:25.240 because I've

01:01:26.320 invested in

01:01:27.060 AI and I've

01:01:27.920 invested in

01:01:28.740 nuclear power

01:01:30.320 because I've

01:01:31.560 been following

01:01:32.080 the nuclear

01:01:32.680 industry.

01:01:34.100 And I knew

01:01:34.540 that pretty

01:01:36.360 soon nuclear

01:01:38.040 is going to

01:01:38.600 be on fire.

01:01:39.880 Well, not in

01:01:40.540 a bad way,

01:01:41.120 in a good way.

01:01:43.240 So some

01:01:44.760 time ago I

01:01:45.520 put money in

01:01:46.240 nuclear ETF

01:01:48.540 because I didn't

01:01:49.600 want to pick

01:01:50.060 individual companies

01:01:51.160 and AI

01:01:53.180 and Tesla.

01:01:55.780 Now, I feel

01:01:56.860 almost guilty

01:01:58.020 because those

01:01:59.480 are not like

01:02:00.060 regular investments.

01:02:02.100 Those are simply

01:02:02.940 I just knew

01:02:03.660 more about the

01:02:04.320 news.

01:02:05.520 It's all public.

01:02:06.920 I just paid

01:02:07.720 attention and

01:02:08.700 if you didn't,

01:02:10.620 you wouldn't know

01:02:11.300 that these were

01:02:11.880 all free money.

01:02:12.620 and I didn't

01:02:14.660 know about this

01:02:15.220 materials company

01:02:16.320 that does the

01:02:17.420 rare earth.

01:02:18.280 If I had,

01:02:19.840 do you think I

01:02:20.540 would have

01:02:20.820 invested?

01:02:21.800 Yes, absolutely.

01:02:24.080 I would have

01:02:24.760 put some money

01:02:25.320 in it and I

01:02:26.120 would have gotten

01:02:26.520 some free money

01:02:27.360 back already.

01:02:29.260 So yeah,

01:02:29.760 what you know

01:02:30.560 and who you know

01:02:31.460 and whether you

01:02:32.180 know somebody

01:02:32.740 who is in this

01:02:33.820 space is the

01:02:35.260 difference between

01:02:35.980 making money and

01:02:36.820 not making money.

01:02:37.720 It's not fair.

01:02:38.640 It just is.

01:02:44.180 And let's see

01:02:45.300 what else is

01:02:45.740 happening.

01:02:47.000 So Senator

01:02:48.560 Rand Paul,

01:02:51.080 he wants to

01:02:52.640 reissue criminal

01:02:53.700 referrals about

01:02:54.700 Fauci and

01:02:56.780 Fauci's involvement

01:02:57.900 with the

01:02:58.820 lab and

01:03:00.980 funding it and

01:03:01.620 all that.

01:03:02.420 And I think it

01:03:03.140 was related to

01:03:04.620 Fauci allegedly

01:03:05.720 lying under

01:03:06.920 oath.

01:03:07.240 But when

01:03:11.240 it looked like

01:03:11.900 Fauci had a

01:03:13.000 pardon from

01:03:14.380 the Biden

01:03:15.020 auto pen

01:03:15.780 process, then

01:03:17.560 there was no

01:03:18.060 point in having

01:03:18.820 a criminal

01:03:19.520 referral because

01:03:20.600 he was already

01:03:21.400 pardoned for

01:03:22.180 everything.

01:03:23.360 But now,

01:03:24.400 since the

01:03:25.020 auto pen is

01:03:25.820 being questioned

01:03:26.620 and some people

01:03:28.080 are saying,

01:03:28.800 was it even

01:03:29.300 legal to do

01:03:30.860 all these

01:03:31.240 pardons if

01:03:32.080 Biden maybe

01:03:33.340 didn't even

01:03:33.860 know what he

01:03:34.260 was doing or

01:03:35.160 went through

01:03:36.200 underlings?

01:03:38.200 So that was

01:03:39.240 enough of an

01:03:39.820 opening for

01:03:40.460 Senator Paul to

01:03:42.140 reissue his

01:03:43.140 criminal referral.

01:03:44.740 It seems to

01:03:45.460 me like I

01:03:46.900 just see Moby

01:03:47.680 Dick when I

01:03:49.400 read about

01:03:50.420 Rand Paul going

01:03:51.740 after Fauci.

01:03:53.500 I feel like

01:03:54.320 Fauci is just

01:03:55.220 his great white

01:03:56.040 whale and

01:03:57.560 Rand Paul will

01:03:58.700 go to his

01:03:59.540 grave trying to

01:04:01.080 put that guy in

01:04:01.840 jail.

01:04:03.220 I don't know

01:04:04.120 if he ever will,

01:04:04.820 but he's

01:04:06.320 trying.

01:04:10.180 Let's talk

01:04:10.960 about the

01:04:11.440 auto pen

01:04:12.140 situation.

01:04:13.840 So if you

01:04:14.500 follow the

01:04:15.220 right-leaning

01:04:15.980 news, as

01:04:16.800 most of you

01:04:17.440 do, but you

01:04:18.860 don't follow

01:04:19.660 other news or

01:04:20.800 other podcasters,

01:04:21.980 you would

01:04:22.560 probably think

01:04:23.160 this auto pen

01:04:24.040 thing is a

01:04:25.380 real big scandal

01:04:26.400 and it really

01:04:27.820 matters and it's

01:04:28.700 going to change

01:04:29.800 things if we get

01:04:30.760 to the bottom

01:04:31.260 of it.

01:04:31.600 I don't feel

01:04:33.040 that that's

01:04:33.560 true because

01:04:35.340 I don't feel

01:04:36.620 there's necessarily

01:04:37.580 a crime there

01:04:38.720 and I don't

01:04:40.020 feel that any

01:04:41.260 of his rules

01:04:42.040 will be

01:04:42.680 reversed because

01:04:45.760 Biden has

01:04:46.860 confirmed that

01:04:48.020 he individually

01:04:49.380 approved everything

01:04:50.360 that was signed.

01:04:51.760 Now, did he?

01:04:53.200 No.

01:04:54.160 Of course not.

01:04:55.620 He didn't know

01:04:56.360 everything that got

01:04:57.340 signed.

01:04:58.500 I don't even

01:04:59.260 know if he knew

01:04:59.760 his name, but

01:05:02.400 he's the only

01:05:03.760 one who could

01:05:04.480 testify that

01:05:08.300 he knew or

01:05:08.960 didn't know what

01:05:09.540 he was doing.

01:05:10.900 And I also

01:05:11.460 think that the

01:05:12.520 excuse that he

01:05:13.900 gave some

01:05:14.400 guidelines, you

01:05:15.860 know, you can

01:05:16.300 pardon people if

01:05:17.200 they fall under

01:05:17.820 these guidelines.

01:05:19.060 I don't think

01:05:19.940 it's a big deal

01:05:20.820 if he didn't

01:05:22.020 know the

01:05:22.420 specifics and

01:05:23.900 then his staff

01:05:24.740 said, all right,

01:05:25.340 we have the

01:05:25.740 guidelines, so as

01:05:27.560 long as we're

01:05:28.100 within the

01:05:28.640 guidelines, he's

01:05:30.240 pre-approved it, and

01:05:31.560 then you auto-pen it.

01:05:33.260 Is that the biggest

01:05:34.560 problem in the

01:05:35.280 world?

01:05:36.560 Not really.

01:05:37.780 Is that illegal?

01:05:39.680 Not that I know

01:05:40.660 of.

01:05:41.600 Apparently, there's

01:05:42.500 enough of a paper

01:05:43.800 trail that you can

01:05:45.500 determine that the

01:05:46.520 aides were talking

01:05:47.580 to Biden in the

01:05:49.740 process of figuring

01:05:50.800 out what to

01:05:51.340 auto-pen.

01:05:52.260 If you knew that

01:05:53.440 they were talking

01:05:54.020 to Biden about

01:05:55.640 what to auto-pen and

01:05:56.740 what not to, and

01:05:58.000 Biden also said,

01:05:58.960 oh, yeah, I

01:06:00.720 basically approved

01:06:01.640 everything.

01:06:03.100 There's not much

01:06:04.140 there, right?

01:06:06.640 So if you're

01:06:07.580 waiting for this

01:06:08.240 auto-pen thing to

01:06:09.580 become a much

01:06:11.120 bigger legal thing

01:06:12.500 or something like

01:06:13.140 that, I don't

01:06:13.660 think it will, and

01:06:14.760 I don't think any

01:06:15.500 of them will be

01:06:16.140 reversed.

01:06:17.280 I could be

01:06:18.120 surprised, but my

01:06:19.880 prediction will be

01:06:20.820 none of the auto-pen

01:06:21.980 stuff will be

01:06:22.720 reversed by a

01:06:24.500 court or anything

01:06:25.200 else.

01:06:26.740 But I saw

01:06:30.960 Mark Halperin on

01:06:32.460 his podcast,

01:06:34.280 Two-Way, which

01:06:35.120 is great, by the

01:06:35.940 way, great podcast.

01:06:38.020 He was saying

01:06:39.020 that there's

01:06:41.080 something missing,

01:06:41.900 there's a dog not

01:06:42.840 barking in the

01:06:44.360 New York Times

01:06:45.100 coverage of it,

01:06:46.160 because you

01:06:46.500 probably said to

01:06:47.120 yourself, well,

01:06:48.360 why did it take

01:06:48.900 the New York Times

01:06:49.700 so long to get on

01:06:50.940 that story about

01:06:51.680 the auto-pen?

01:06:53.760 But then they

01:06:54.540 eventually did, and

01:06:55.500 they did a big

01:06:56.140 feature story on

01:06:57.220 it, so you

01:06:57.680 say to yourself,

01:06:58.380 all right, all

01:06:59.480 right, a little

01:07:00.000 later than I

01:07:00.680 wanted, but at

01:07:02.040 least the New York

01:07:02.780 Times, you know,

01:07:04.200 legitimately looked

01:07:05.120 into it.

01:07:06.400 But then Mark

01:07:07.780 Halperin points

01:07:08.520 out that there

01:07:09.280 are some things

01:07:10.040 that you definitely

01:07:10.840 would have seen in

01:07:11.700 the story if it

01:07:13.200 had been a story

01:07:13.880 about Republicans

01:07:14.840 and Trump.

01:07:15.800 and he says, so

01:07:18.600 what do law

01:07:19.240 professors think

01:07:20.100 about that?

01:07:21.060 What do

01:07:21.400 Republicans think

01:07:22.260 about that?

01:07:23.520 And I thought,

01:07:24.480 yeah, is there

01:07:26.260 no reference to a

01:07:27.540 law professor in

01:07:28.820 the New York Times

01:07:29.600 article where the

01:07:30.960 law professor would

01:07:31.800 say, oh, he could

01:07:32.920 totally use the

01:07:33.740 auto-pen, there's

01:07:34.600 no problem, or the

01:07:36.140 law professor would

01:07:36.980 say, oh, no, if

01:07:39.260 there's no paper

01:07:40.480 trail that he

01:07:41.360 specifically approved

01:07:42.520 it, that can't

01:07:44.380 stand.

01:07:45.400 So wouldn't you

01:07:46.440 expect that if

01:07:48.000 they had been a

01:07:48.560 Republican, they 0.86

01:07:49.880 would have talked

01:07:50.460 to a law professor

01:07:51.380 who would have

01:07:51.980 said, oh, no,

01:07:52.960 Trump can't do

01:07:53.600 that, we have to

01:07:54.960 reverse all that?

01:07:56.260 But when it was

01:07:57.100 about Biden, no

01:07:58.700 law professor, nope,

01:08:00.680 didn't need to talk

01:08:01.460 to any law

01:08:01.980 professors.

01:08:07.960 And then they'd

01:08:12.100 also have a

01:08:12.760 Republican saying

01:08:14.000 this needs to be

01:08:14.780 investigated.

01:08:17.300 So that's

01:08:18.460 probably true.

01:08:19.560 So where is the

01:08:20.740 Democrat?

01:08:21.740 Is there not one

01:08:22.660 Democrat, nobody

01:08:24.540 in Congress, not

01:08:26.240 one, who says the

01:08:28.020 auto-pen thing

01:08:28.840 ought to be

01:08:29.260 investigated?

01:08:31.320 You would

01:08:32.000 definitely see it if

01:08:32.800 it was a Republican.

01:08:34.300 So he's right from

01:08:35.240 that.

01:08:35.860 So it's absent from

01:08:36.780 the story, Daily

01:08:38.340 Caller is writing

01:08:39.160 about that.

01:08:43.080 You probably

01:08:44.120 already know the

01:08:44.960 answer to this, but

01:08:45.920 apparently the June

01:08:47.780 inflation numbers are

01:08:49.960 out.

01:08:53.060 Have you seen them

01:08:54.260 yet?

01:08:55.100 Are the June

01:08:56.240 inflation numbers

01:08:57.420 good or bad?

01:09:01.260 It looked like the

01:09:02.240 stock market was kind

01:09:03.340 of happy, so it must

01:09:04.240 be in line with

01:09:04.980 expectations.

01:09:05.840 But that's today.

01:09:09.640 So keep an eye on

01:09:10.680 that.

01:09:10.960 We'll see if those

01:09:11.780 tariffs are working

01:09:14.040 their way into the

01:09:14.740 inflation numbers.

01:09:17.140 Fox News is

01:09:18.340 reporting that

01:09:19.900 police officers in

01:09:21.980 blue cities are

01:09:23.200 leaving in large

01:09:25.980 numbers to go to

01:09:27.940 red states because

01:09:29.140 if you're a police

01:09:30.060 officer in a red

01:09:31.040 state, the people

01:09:34.580 in charge actually

01:09:35.440 appreciate you.

01:09:37.480 If you were a

01:09:38.560 police officer in a

01:09:39.740 blue city, you

01:09:41.440 might be arresting

01:09:43.260 people all day

01:09:43.960 long and they're

01:09:44.660 just getting

01:09:45.120 released and

01:09:46.720 everybody hates

01:09:47.900 you.

01:09:49.140 So I would add

01:09:50.940 this to the list

01:09:51.760 of how in the

01:09:52.620 world could blue

01:09:53.780 cities survive?

01:09:55.960 Because they're

01:09:56.680 spending themselves

01:09:57.600 into ruin.

01:10:00.560 Their real estate

01:10:02.440 will become

01:10:02.960 worthless such

01:10:04.240 as a crime

01:10:05.480 scene.

01:10:06.620 And the

01:10:07.120 people who

01:10:08.080 would keep

01:10:09.100 the peace are

01:10:10.460 leaving like

01:10:11.180 crazy.

01:10:12.760 Is there any

01:10:14.500 narrative that

01:10:17.240 would save the

01:10:18.140 blue cities?

01:10:19.800 And I think the

01:10:20.560 answer is no.

01:10:22.420 No.

01:10:23.420 I think they

01:10:24.660 will actually

01:10:25.400 fail.

01:10:26.800 Now I don't

01:10:27.180 know about New

01:10:27.740 York City because

01:10:28.500 that's sort of a

01:10:29.260 special case.

01:10:30.080 But I do

01:10:31.560 expect a lot

01:10:32.420 of cities to

01:10:33.900 just turn into

01:10:34.840 escape from New

01:10:36.480 York kind of

01:10:37.340 hellscapes, even

01:10:39.360 more than they

01:10:39.920 are.

01:10:41.200 So I'd love to

01:10:43.240 see some

01:10:43.740 Democrat even

01:10:44.800 explain how

01:10:45.740 they could ever

01:10:46.840 right the ship

01:10:47.660 because I don't

01:10:48.760 see any way.

01:10:49.980 To me it looks

01:10:50.580 like it's a

01:10:51.100 one-way trip to

01:10:52.220 being Detroit.

01:10:56.360 Has Detroit

01:10:57.280 ever recovered

01:10:58.100 from the car

01:10:59.460 industry leaving?

01:11:01.660 It hasn't,

01:11:02.400 right?

01:11:03.380 Isn't Detroit

01:11:04.340 still in a

01:11:05.400 horrible situation?

01:11:06.880 I think it is.

01:11:08.480 I don't see how

01:11:09.340 that's going to

01:11:09.880 change.

01:11:12.420 Well, Ron

01:11:12.960 DeSantis has a

01:11:15.100 big win.

01:11:15.780 Fox News is

01:11:16.560 talking about

01:11:17.020 this too.

01:11:18.060 So six

01:11:18.800 southern states

01:11:19.880 have banded

01:11:20.700 together to

01:11:21.800 create a new

01:11:22.620 accreditation

01:11:23.600 commission for

01:11:25.560 higher education.

01:11:27.940 Now, if you

01:11:29.020 don't know how

01:11:29.560 important that

01:11:30.160 is, it's

01:11:31.100 really important

01:11:31.860 because if the

01:11:33.780 liberals are the

01:11:34.560 only ones who

01:11:35.100 can say your

01:11:35.720 college is

01:11:36.360 accredited and

01:11:37.660 nobody wants to

01:11:38.400 go to a

01:11:38.780 college that's

01:11:39.340 not accredited

01:11:40.580 by somebody,

01:11:42.160 then the left

01:11:44.520 has all the

01:11:45.080 power about

01:11:45.740 what is an

01:11:48.120 acceptable

01:11:48.740 college.

01:11:50.660 So now

01:11:51.920 there's going

01:11:52.640 to be a

01:11:52.960 competing

01:11:53.400 accreditation

01:11:54.420 process, at

01:11:56.960 least for

01:11:57.280 six states,

01:11:58.840 in which if

01:12:00.100 you're a

01:12:00.420 college, you

01:12:01.660 can get

01:12:02.160 accredited by

01:12:03.340 this new

01:12:05.340 organization and

01:12:07.040 then you don't

01:12:07.580 have to be

01:12:08.040 super woke

01:12:08.880 because I

01:12:10.120 imagine that

01:12:11.220 you have to be

01:12:11.700 super woke to

01:12:13.400 be accredited by

01:12:14.380 the old

01:12:14.940 accreditation

01:12:15.880 system.

01:12:16.580 So this might

01:12:17.040 be a really

01:12:17.440 big deal.

01:12:17.980 we'll see.

01:12:25.240 All right.

01:12:28.680 So according

01:12:29.480 to a

01:12:31.100 publication

01:12:31.600 called European 0.61

01:12:32.600 Conservative,

01:12:34.300 the European

01:12:35.120 Union is

01:12:36.120 having a

01:12:36.940 tough time

01:12:37.420 trying to

01:12:37.780 figure out

01:12:38.260 how to

01:12:38.860 address

01:12:40.020 Trump's

01:12:41.260 tariff and

01:12:41.960 trade

01:12:42.440 escalation.

01:12:44.400 So you

01:12:46.760 would not be

01:12:47.300 surprised to

01:12:47.940 learn that

01:12:48.480 the European

01:12:49.240 Union is

01:12:50.540 full of

01:12:50.920 countries that

01:12:51.540 don't all

01:12:51.940 agree with

01:12:52.420 each other

01:12:52.920 about what

01:12:53.560 to do

01:12:53.860 and when.

01:12:55.980 So it's

01:12:56.740 like herding

01:12:57.380 cats.

01:12:58.720 So apparently

01:12:59.440 the European

01:13:00.240 Union believed

01:13:01.600 that they

01:13:02.040 were negotiating

01:13:04.920 with Trump on

01:13:05.840 a trade deal

01:13:06.500 and things

01:13:07.380 were going

01:13:08.020 along fine.

01:13:09.320 They weren't

01:13:09.720 close to a

01:13:10.320 deal, but

01:13:11.260 they felt

01:13:11.780 things are

01:13:12.840 moving along.

01:13:13.920 And then

01:13:14.200 suddenly Trump

01:13:14.900 says, yeah,

01:13:15.820 we're not

01:13:16.120 negotiating anymore.

01:13:17.660 Here's a

01:13:18.240 30% tariff.

01:13:20.260 Thank you for

01:13:21.060 your business.

01:13:22.660 Which I'm

01:13:23.360 starting to

01:13:24.060 love as a

01:13:25.720 technique.

01:13:27.860 I do love

01:13:28.880 the fact that

01:13:29.620 Trump says,

01:13:30.360 we gave you

01:13:30.800 plenty of

01:13:31.340 time.

01:13:32.340 If you

01:13:33.080 can't come

01:13:34.040 up with a

01:13:34.440 trade deal

01:13:34.900 that we

01:13:35.280 can live

01:13:35.700 with, we'll

01:13:37.020 just send

01:13:37.480 you the

01:13:37.780 bill.

01:13:39.060 And then

01:13:39.420 if you

01:13:39.700 want to

01:13:40.020 have access

01:13:40.620 to our

01:13:41.100 markets,

01:13:41.740 you'll pay

01:13:42.580 the bill.

01:13:43.520 If you

01:13:44.140 don't want

01:13:44.620 access to

01:13:45.300 our markets,

01:13:45.880 well, your

01:13:47.100 entire

01:13:47.420 economies will

01:13:48.300 be in

01:13:48.700 big trouble.

01:13:50.100 So I

01:13:50.980 kind of

01:13:51.380 love the

01:13:51.820 fact that

01:13:52.520 instead of

01:13:53.020 pushing hard,

01:13:54.320 he's simply

01:13:55.100 saying, do

01:13:55.900 what you

01:13:56.140 want to

01:13:56.440 do.

01:13:57.040 But we're

01:13:57.700 going to do

01:13:58.080 what we

01:13:58.440 want to

01:13:58.780 do, which

01:13:59.640 is charge

01:14:00.200 30% if

01:14:01.540 you want

01:14:01.760 access to

01:14:02.320 our markets

01:14:02.820 and then

01:14:03.660 just make

01:14:04.100 it their

01:14:04.440 problem.

01:14:06.340 That's the

01:14:06.940 beauty of

01:14:07.380 it.

01:14:07.820 It just

01:14:08.180 makes it

01:14:08.560 their

01:14:08.740 problem

01:14:09.160 instead of

01:14:10.260 our

01:14:10.480 problem and

01:14:11.140 their

01:14:11.320 problem.

01:14:12.180 No, it's

01:14:12.580 just your

01:14:12.920 problem.

01:14:14.200 You know,

01:14:14.540 just here's

01:14:15.300 the bill.

01:14:16.260 I do love

01:14:17.120 that.

01:14:19.920 All right.

01:14:21.420 I saw

01:14:22.080 Zuby.

01:14:23.340 You know

01:14:23.960 Zuby.

01:14:25.940 You've seen

01:14:26.580 him on X.

01:14:27.300 You've seen

01:14:27.660 him on

01:14:27.940 podcast and

01:14:29.460 he was

01:14:29.960 published on

01:14:31.000 X, the

01:14:31.520 median age

01:14:32.660 by country.

01:14:33.900 Now, for

01:14:34.800 those of

01:14:35.220 you who

01:14:35.580 are not

01:14:35.980 nerds,

01:14:36.840 median

01:14:37.220 doesn't

01:14:39.020 mean average.

01:14:39.700 It means

01:14:40.020 half of the

01:14:40.760 people are

01:14:41.180 above that

01:14:41.780 and half

01:14:42.600 of the

01:14:42.800 people are

01:14:43.180 below it.

01:14:44.220 So in

01:14:45.000 Monaco,

01:14:46.260 the median

01:14:47.180 age is

01:14:47.840 57.

01:14:49.520 Half of

01:14:50.200 all the

01:14:50.500 people in

01:14:50.920 Monaco are

01:14:51.640 older than

01:14:52.280 57.

01:14:54.040 That's

01:14:54.520 pretty old.

01:14:56.400 But you

01:14:57.060 have to

01:14:57.320 have a lot

01:14:57.660 of money

01:14:57.980 to live

01:14:58.380 in Monaco,

01:14:59.080 so that's

01:14:59.400 probably why.

01:15:00.600 Japan is

01:15:01.320 50.

01:15:03.180 That's the

01:15:03.720 median age

01:15:04.980 in Japan

01:15:05.440 is 50.

01:15:08.660 That's

01:15:09.260 way up

01:15:10.620 there.

01:15:12.260 If you

01:15:13.020 get all

01:15:13.420 the way

01:15:13.640 down to

01:15:14.720 China and

01:15:16.120 the USA,

01:15:17.240 we're very

01:15:17.900 similar.

01:15:18.640 China,

01:15:19.160 the median

01:15:19.960 age is

01:15:20.500 40 and

01:15:21.800 the USA

01:15:22.340 is 39.

01:15:25.160 If you

01:15:25.940 took away

01:15:26.720 illegal

01:15:27.880 immigration,

01:15:29.780 I believe

01:15:30.340 our median

01:15:31.300 age would

01:15:31.920 probably jump

01:15:32.600 up pretty

01:15:33.060 high, but

01:15:33.680 I don't

01:15:33.920 know about

01:15:34.320 that for

01:15:34.700 sure.

01:15:37.480 But then

01:15:38.080 you keep

01:15:38.520 going down

01:15:39.000 the list.

01:15:40.580 India,

01:15:41.200 the median

01:15:41.800 age is

01:15:42.420 30.

01:15:44.420 Just think

01:15:44.940 about that.

01:15:46.060 In Japan,

01:15:47.120 the median

01:15:47.800 age is

01:15:48.500 50,

01:15:50.060 and in

01:15:50.800 India,

01:15:51.400 it's 30.

01:15:52.440 In Mexico,

01:15:53.080 it's 31.

01:15:53.860 So these

01:15:55.120 are very

01:15:55.420 young

01:15:55.700 countries.

01:15:57.040 But it

01:15:57.540 gets younger.

01:15:58.420 Philippines,

01:15:59.120 26,

01:15:59.880 Egypt,

01:16:00.300 24,

01:16:00.920 Ghana,

01:16:01.320 21,

01:16:02.020 Nigeria,

01:16:02.680 18,

01:16:03.680 and Niger,

01:16:04.600 15.

01:16:06.440 The country

01:16:07.500 of Niger,

01:16:09.200 the median

01:16:10.060 age,

01:16:11.380 is 15.

01:16:14.620 In Japan,

01:16:16.540 it's 50.

01:16:17.660 No,

01:16:17.980 in Japan,

01:16:18.660 it's 50.

01:16:19.280 Wow.

01:16:23.060 Now,

01:16:23.640 obviously,

01:16:24.540 we assume

01:16:25.540 that Niger,

01:16:26.940 the people

01:16:27.520 are having

01:16:27.860 lots of

01:16:28.300 babies.

01:16:29.820 So,

01:16:31.000 it's probably,

01:16:32.100 you know,

01:16:32.580 if you look

01:16:33.060 at the

01:16:33.360 birth rate

01:16:34.060 plus the

01:16:35.260 age,

01:16:36.340 you've got

01:16:36.920 a pretty

01:16:37.600 good way

01:16:38.160 to predict

01:16:38.720 who's going

01:16:39.260 to be doing

01:16:39.800 well in the

01:16:40.340 future.

01:16:40.920 If I had

01:16:41.360 to guess,

01:16:43.340 if I were

01:16:44.120 an investor,

01:16:45.080 and this is

01:16:45.580 not investment

01:16:46.380 advice,

01:16:47.600 but if I were

01:16:48.140 an investor,

01:16:48.660 I'd say,

01:16:49.420 hmm,

01:16:49.880 Japan looks 0.93

01:16:50.560 like a

01:16:50.880 problem.

01:16:52.720 Germany is

01:16:53.500 47.

01:16:54.420 That's kind

01:16:55.020 of old.

01:16:56.480 But then I

01:16:57.360 would look at

01:16:57.800 Mexico,

01:16:58.900 where the

01:16:59.320 average age is,

01:17:00.300 or the median

01:17:00.960 age is 31,

01:17:02.520 where India

01:17:03.520 is 30,

01:17:04.640 and I would

01:17:05.820 tell myself,

01:17:07.040 hmm,

01:17:08.120 there's going

01:17:08.600 to be a lot

01:17:09.080 of energy

01:17:09.740 in those

01:17:10.200 countries.

01:17:11.840 So,

01:17:12.440 if you had

01:17:12.700 a very long

01:17:13.680 investment

01:17:15.120 horizon,

01:17:16.720 I would

01:17:17.960 favor the

01:17:18.560 younger

01:17:18.880 countries,

01:17:20.340 the ones

01:17:20.980 that at

01:17:21.260 least are

01:17:21.600 developed a

01:17:22.320 little bit.

01:17:23.960 So,

01:17:24.520 don't invest

01:17:25.300 based on

01:17:26.020 my

01:17:26.840 commentary.

01:17:29.040 I'm not

01:17:29.440 investment

01:17:30.080 advice guy.

01:17:32.400 But,

01:17:32.700 ladies and 0.98

01:17:33.560 gentlemen,

01:17:34.360 that's all I

01:17:35.140 have for

01:17:35.400 today.

01:17:36.260 Kind of a

01:17:36.720 slow news

01:17:37.300 day.

01:17:37.980 I suspect

01:17:38.900 there will

01:17:39.180 be lots

01:17:39.560 more this

01:17:40.100 afternoon.

01:17:42.420 And I'm

01:17:43.120 going to say

01:17:43.400 some words

01:17:43.860 privately to

01:17:44.740 the beloved

01:17:45.780 people on

01:17:46.640 Locals.

01:17:47.980 The rest

01:17:48.580 of you,

01:17:49.020 thanks for

01:17:49.420 joining.

01:17:50.060 I will

01:17:50.380 see you

01:17:51.060 tomorrow.

01:17:53.660 Same time,

01:17:54.180 same place.

01:17:55.540 All right.

01:17:57.020 Locals,

01:17:57.760 coming at

01:17:58.240 you,

01:17:59.200 private,

01:18:00.240 in 30

01:18:01.140 seconds.

01:18:15.780 Let's

01:18:17.320 on

01:18:18.200 your

01:18:18.380 home.

01:18:20.340 See you

01:18:21.240 on

01:18:21.740 your

01:18:22.020 edge

01:18:22.620 and

01:18:23.260 there

01:18:23.940 is

01:18:24.300 the

01:18:24.620 one

01:18:26.160 you

01:18:30.440 you

01:18:31.520 have

01:18:32.320 fifth

01:18:33.180 in

01:18:33.640 one

01:18:34.060 another

01:18:34.180 one

01:18:35.700 one

01:18:36.520 one

01:18:37.480 ¥

01:18:39.240 or

01:18:40.360 what

01:18:40.740 do

01:18:41.320 and

01:18:41.860 it

01:18:42.640 in

01:18:43.460 one

01:18:45.100 Thank you.

01:19:15.100 Thank you.

01:19:45.100 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 15, 2025

Episode 2898 CWSA 07⧸15⧸25

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