Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 29, 2025


Episode 2911 CWSA 07⧸29⧸25


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 13 minutes

Words per minute

128.41672

Word count

9,498

Sentence count

603

Harmful content

Misogyny

12

sentences flagged

Toxicity

35

sentences flagged

Hate speech

34

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

A new study says ultra-processed foods trigger addictive behaviors, and that it meets a clinical criteria. Scott Adams talks about his experience with an addiction to ice cream, and why he doesn t keep it in the house anymore.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Let me check your stocks, if you have any.
00:00:04.760 Yeah, it's kind of flat.
00:00:07.940 All right, well, we'll keep our fingers crossed.
00:00:13.420 You never know.
00:00:18.160 Hey, everybody, come on in.
00:00:20.520 It's good to see you.
00:00:23.040 Have you been exercising?
00:00:24.900 You look so good this morning.
00:00:26.440 May I remind you that you're the sexiest person in your house right now?
00:00:34.900 Probably.
00:00:43.380 Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:52.260 Imagine, it's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.
00:00:56.900 But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating this experience to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,
00:01:07.820 well, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tankard shell, a steinocanteen, jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind,
00:01:18.620 fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:01:20.560 I like coffee.
00:01:22.240 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:01:27.580 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now.
00:01:31.600 Well, if you were one of the subscribers to the Dilbert comic,
00:01:43.920 which would mean you were either an ex-subscribing or on Locals,
00:01:50.160 you would know that Wally has done the impossible.
00:01:56.540 He figured out how to not work at work, but then he got a Tesla self-driving car
00:02:04.460 so that he doesn't have to work at his commute, and then he doesn't have to work at his job,
00:02:10.460 and then when he goes home, he doesn't have to work at his commute again.
00:02:16.040 Well, Wally finally figured out how to do no effort whatsoever all day long.
00:02:22.460 Thanks to Tesla.
00:02:23.900 Well, I wonder if there's any scientific news about studies that you didn't need to do
00:02:33.000 because you could have just asked me.
00:02:36.460 Oh, here's one.
00:02:37.840 According to Science News, Simon Macon is writing,
00:02:41.740 that if you show people sick faces, it primes the immune system to repel invaders.
00:02:48.520 So, all you need to do is show people pictures of sick-looking faces,
00:02:57.240 and it will cause your immune system to kick in
00:03:01.340 so that you don't become one of those sick-looking people.
00:03:05.880 Now, how did I know that that was probably going to be true?
00:03:11.180 It's a hypnosis thing.
00:03:12.880 A hypnotist would know that your body works in two directions.
00:03:17.920 One, if you're happy, it might make you smile.
00:03:21.800 But if you smile when you're not happy, it might help make you happy.
00:03:26.380 So, your body is sort of a two-way system.
00:03:30.380 But it does make sense to me that if your body recognized the threat
00:03:34.960 by looking at somebody who looked unhealthy,
00:03:37.920 and you think to yourself, ooh, I can catch that maybe,
00:03:41.220 I can see how your body would have evolved to automatically go to defensive mode.
00:03:48.220 So, next time, just ask me.
00:03:52.080 Well, there's a new article from the University of Michigan,
00:03:58.580 a new study, that ultra-processed foods trigger addictive behaviors,
00:04:04.460 and that it meets a clinical criteria.
00:04:08.360 So, we might be approaching the time when addiction includes more than alcohol and illicit drugs.
00:04:17.140 It might include ultra-processed foods.
00:04:21.580 Now, I told you, well, some of you, about my experience several days ago,
00:04:27.960 which is I was trying to gain some weight because I lost too much weight in battling this.
00:04:34.360 Well, you know.
00:04:35.580 So, I had lost too much weight.
00:04:37.720 So, I was just trying to gain it back as quickly as possible.
00:04:41.460 And I said to myself, I'll bet you I could eat ice cream,
00:04:46.760 which I hadn't had in 25 years.
00:04:48.920 And I thought, well, I'll just eat some ice cream.
00:04:53.180 And I ended up, I probably had a quart.
00:04:58.380 I think a container about this big.
00:05:01.260 I just ate it right to the bottom.
00:05:02.940 And I could not stop.
00:05:08.160 It was addictive.
00:05:10.240 And because I don't normally eat food that is processed or highly processed,
00:05:16.920 I'm not really exposed to addictive foods.
00:05:20.980 I just avoid them.
00:05:22.920 Hey there, Gary.
00:05:23.920 Come on up.
00:05:24.540 So, after avoiding all the sugary addictive foods for years, really,
00:05:34.120 I don't even keep them in the house,
00:05:36.460 when I finally let myself experience the ultra-processed foods,
00:05:41.880 I was so aware that my body had been taken over.
00:05:47.140 The experience was like being in a robot
00:05:49.540 and watching the arms and the legs and the mouth and stuff.
00:05:53.120 I couldn't stop.
00:05:55.500 It was every bit an addiction.
00:05:58.440 It totally took over my brain.
00:06:01.400 So, the only way that I can avoid stuff like that
00:06:05.380 is I can't have it in the house.
00:06:08.940 Otherwise, it is just too strong.
00:06:14.960 Well, 21 states, I assume these are the red states,
00:06:20.700 have warned J.P. Morgan, Jamie Dimon, the head of J.P. Morgan,
00:06:27.080 and BlackRock's Larry Fink,
00:06:29.780 that both of those banker types, those money guys,
00:06:34.480 need to get rid of their woke environmental requirements.
00:06:38.700 So, a letter was signed by 26 state financial officers,
00:06:47.500 and they ordered those firms to take five concrete actions
00:06:51.480 to demonstrate their commitment to a fiduciary model
00:06:55.180 grounded in financial integrity, not political advocacy.
00:06:59.780 So, in other words, they wanted to make sure that the big money people
00:07:04.160 were making decisions based on their customers
00:07:08.460 and not making decisions based on climate change
00:07:13.360 and, you know, I want to change the world
00:07:15.500 and have more diversity and stuff like that.
00:07:18.880 So, the pendulum has completely reversed,
00:07:24.500 and now it's, if you're doing those things,
00:07:27.420 you're somebody who needs to change what you're doing.
00:07:33.180 All right.
00:07:35.440 Well, you've been following the dispute
00:07:38.080 between the Trump administration and Harvard.
00:07:41.500 Harvard was too woke and too racist,
00:07:44.780 and now Harvard watched what happened
00:07:49.340 when Columbia, was it Columbia?
00:07:52.780 Which is the one that, yeah,
00:07:54.220 Columbia just settled for 200 million plus,
00:07:57.320 and now Harvard is indicating
00:07:59.200 they might be willing to settle up
00:08:01.600 with the administration
00:08:02.500 for as much as $500 million.
00:08:07.740 Now, I don't know if that's true
00:08:09.620 because this is a sort of reporting
00:08:13.000 that feels a little mind-reading, reader-ish.
00:08:16.820 So, I don't know that that's a real number.
00:08:19.560 But Newsmax is reporting it,
00:08:21.820 that they might be ponying up $500 million
00:08:24.580 just to resolve it
00:08:26.080 and to get their federal funding released.
00:08:30.680 And so, once again,
00:08:32.680 I am impressed
00:08:33.660 at how President Trump can monetize his problems.
00:08:37.700 Not only will the universities
00:08:42.160 ideally address their racism,
00:08:46.380 but they will also pay a bunch of money
00:08:49.380 into the Treasury
00:08:50.780 so that Trump can lower the deficit.
00:08:55.020 I just love that.
00:08:56.740 No other president
00:08:58.060 has really ever tried
00:09:00.480 to monetize all of his biggest problems.
00:09:03.380 But Trump is doing it one after another,
00:09:05.400 and every time he does it,
00:09:08.080 you know,
00:09:08.380 you kind of fail to notice
00:09:10.140 that it's part of a pattern
00:09:11.200 that he's just monetizing everything.
00:09:15.080 It's very impressive.
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00:10:18.620 So you want to be frightened
00:10:21.880 about something?
00:10:22.900 You should be.
00:10:24.400 So Sam Altman warns,
00:10:26.180 I think he was on
00:10:27.020 Theo Vaughn's podcast,
00:10:29.040 and he warns that
00:10:30.780 ChatGBT remembers
00:10:32.660 its conversations with you.
00:10:34.900 It also remembers
00:10:36.080 what you've asked it about.
00:10:38.120 So if ever there were
00:10:41.460 some kind of lawsuit
00:10:42.520 in which it became necessary
00:10:46.500 to find out
00:10:47.580 what you've been saying
00:10:48.500 and thinking lately,
00:10:50.600 they could, with a warrant,
00:10:53.060 they could access
00:10:54.060 all of your questions to AI.
00:10:57.940 So how many people do you think
00:11:00.220 have contemplated breaking the law
00:11:03.000 and asked AI how to do it effectively
00:11:05.960 and get away with it?
00:11:07.540 I don't know how many,
00:11:09.360 but I'm guessing
00:11:10.180 a lot of people.
00:11:14.080 I'm guessing that a lot of people
00:11:16.340 have asked AI
00:11:17.620 how to get away with a crime.
00:11:19.720 A lot of people.
00:11:21.160 At the very least,
00:11:22.820 you know,
00:11:23.080 how to hide your tax money illegally
00:11:25.420 or how to do something illegally.
00:11:27.720 So I'm proud to say
00:11:31.560 that I knew that was a risk
00:11:33.420 from the start,
00:11:34.740 and so I do not use
00:11:36.720 Google search engines
00:11:38.060 to look for anything
00:11:39.360 that I wouldn't want
00:11:41.100 the entire world to know about.
00:11:43.640 You should adopt that standard.
00:11:46.360 Let me say it again.
00:11:48.000 Don't use a search engine
00:11:49.740 or AI
00:11:50.680 to look for anything,
00:11:54.260 anything at all,
00:11:55.380 that you wouldn't want
00:11:56.960 the whole world
00:11:57.620 to see publicly
00:11:58.480 because the odds of them
00:12:00.820 someday seeing it publicly,
00:12:02.800 not very bad.
00:12:04.640 There's a good chance they will.
00:12:07.960 So follow that advice.
00:12:11.960 So you may have noticed
00:12:13.540 that the whole Russia hoax collusion story
00:12:17.920 should be the biggest story in America
00:12:20.780 because now even more
00:12:23.440 than we already knew,
00:12:24.980 we know that,
00:12:26.200 I think we know it.
00:12:27.780 I feel like the information
00:12:29.320 is sufficient at this point
00:12:31.660 for me to call it a fact.
00:12:33.840 It's a fact
00:12:34.980 that Obama
00:12:36.240 and Brennan
00:12:37.100 and Clapper
00:12:37.820 and Comey 1.00
00:12:39.560 and a bunch of others
00:12:42.020 colluded
00:12:43.260 to overthrow
00:12:44.860 the government
00:12:45.440 of the United States.
00:12:46.560 to me,
00:12:48.360 based on what we've been told
00:12:49.680 by Tulsi Gabbard
00:12:50.960 and what we know
00:12:51.940 from other reporting,
00:12:53.420 I believe that that's
00:12:54.660 no longer in question.
00:12:56.060 Is it?
00:12:57.240 Is there even a question
00:12:59.160 about whether those cats
00:13:02.120 I mentioned
00:13:02.760 were trying to
00:13:04.280 change the result
00:13:06.040 of elections
00:13:06.740 or get rid of Trump
00:13:07.980 once he got elected?
00:13:09.300 There's no doubt about it.
00:13:11.580 Right.
00:13:12.820 So,
00:13:13.560 the question is,
00:13:14.620 why is it not
00:13:18.060 a bigger story?
00:13:19.500 If you're following
00:13:20.680 only the news
00:13:21.580 on the political right,
00:13:23.380 you think it's a big story.
00:13:26.180 But nobody
00:13:27.260 on the political right
00:13:28.300 is changing their opinion
00:13:29.500 about any of it
00:13:30.300 because we already knew,
00:13:31.840 we kind of already knew it,
00:13:33.040 right?
00:13:33.780 But the people
00:13:34.640 on the left
00:13:35.280 who don't know
00:13:36.520 anything about it
00:13:37.740 and indeed
00:13:38.580 still think
00:13:39.900 that the dossier
00:13:41.300 was real
00:13:42.080 and that
00:13:43.460 Mueller proved
00:13:45.060 there was
00:13:45.620 collusion.
00:13:47.120 If you talk
00:13:48.100 to Democrats,
00:13:49.520 they will tell you that.
00:13:51.460 That Mueller
00:13:52.060 proved collusion.
00:13:55.840 That Russia
00:13:56.800 tried to help
00:13:57.580 Trump
00:13:58.040 and
00:13:59.880 that's all
00:14:02.680 there is
00:14:03.020 to the story.
00:14:03.580 they'll have
00:14:05.920 no idea
00:14:06.600 that,
00:14:07.820 you know,
00:14:08.060 the worst
00:14:08.800 political
00:14:09.660 actors
00:14:11.000 in our lifetime,
00:14:12.540 maybe ever,
00:14:13.880 pulled off
00:14:14.740 the most despicable
00:14:16.040 coup attempt
00:14:17.540 and it's just
00:14:19.060 not really
00:14:19.740 something their news
00:14:21.420 is interested in.
00:14:22.980 Now,
00:14:23.300 it makes sense
00:14:24.000 that the mainstream news
00:14:25.460 wouldn't cover
00:14:26.340 much of it.
00:14:27.780 They've all mentioned it,
00:14:28.920 of course,
00:14:29.500 so it's not like
00:14:30.440 somebody's completely
00:14:31.400 ignored it.
00:14:31.980 but they
00:14:36.240 can't really
00:14:37.180 say what's
00:14:37.960 true
00:14:38.400 because that
00:14:39.940 would implicate
00:14:40.840 themselves
00:14:41.460 and they're
00:14:42.320 already implicated
00:14:43.240 enough
00:14:43.780 with the
00:14:44.780 Biden brain
00:14:45.520 cover-up.
00:14:47.060 Imagine if they
00:14:48.080 go from the
00:14:48.840 Biden brain
00:14:49.640 cover-up
00:14:50.360 to,
00:14:51.720 well,
00:14:52.340 I guess we
00:14:53.180 also covered
00:14:54.080 up the
00:14:54.680 Russia
00:14:55.660 collusion
00:14:56.440 hoax.
00:14:57.860 Yeah,
00:14:58.360 that's the other
00:14:59.280 thing we did.
00:14:59.960 We covered that
00:15:00.600 up.
00:15:00.780 And now
00:15:01.520 they're
00:15:01.740 covering it
00:15:02.360 up again.
00:15:03.480 How in the
00:15:04.160 world can
00:15:04.660 they get
00:15:05.040 away with
00:15:05.480 that?
00:15:06.380 And the
00:15:06.680 answer is
00:15:07.320 because it's
00:15:08.840 a complicated
00:15:09.520 story.
00:15:11.180 All you
00:15:12.000 need is
00:15:13.060 a complicated
00:15:13.860 story with
00:15:15.100 lots of
00:15:15.520 actors and
00:15:16.340 actions and
00:15:17.180 you know,
00:15:17.800 it goes
00:15:18.120 across time.
00:15:20.320 You combine
00:15:21.280 the complicated
00:15:22.100 story with
00:15:23.460 all of the
00:15:24.040 people on
00:15:24.480 the mainstream
00:15:24.940 media for
00:15:26.520 their own
00:15:27.000 use,
00:15:27.520 their own
00:15:27.880 reasons,
00:15:28.380 so they
00:15:28.520 don't have
00:15:28.820 to be
00:15:29.020 talked into
00:15:29.540 it,
00:15:30.280 minimizing
00:15:30.800 the story
00:15:31.660 and acting
00:15:32.440 like there's
00:15:32.940 nothing there.
00:15:34.560 That's all
00:15:35.460 you need to
00:15:36.180 make it go
00:15:36.760 away.
00:15:38.060 So,
00:15:38.540 what's
00:15:39.040 interesting is
00:15:39.960 the only
00:15:42.420 way the
00:15:43.500 story,
00:15:44.260 which is the
00:15:44.760 most relevant
00:15:45.440 story in
00:15:46.080 American
00:15:46.500 experience at
00:15:48.720 the moment,
00:15:49.840 it's the
00:15:50.460 biggest one,
00:15:51.600 but it's
00:15:52.280 totally going
00:15:53.240 away,
00:15:53.640 and the
00:15:54.780 Democrats
00:15:55.340 will succeed
00:15:56.540 in disappearing
00:15:57.860 it right in
00:15:58.420 front of you
00:15:58.900 and their
00:16:00.000 voters won't
00:16:01.000 even imagine
00:16:03.180 that it
00:16:03.680 matters when
00:16:04.340 they go to
00:16:04.700 the voting
00:16:05.040 booth,
00:16:05.540 won't even
00:16:06.040 be on
00:16:06.600 their minds
00:16:07.800 at all,
00:16:08.320 won't be in
00:16:08.720 the top
00:16:09.040 20 of
00:16:10.120 things they're
00:16:10.640 thinking about.
00:16:12.280 The only
00:16:13.260 thing that
00:16:13.760 would change
00:16:14.280 that is
00:16:16.080 a perp
00:16:16.840 walk or
00:16:18.480 actually arresting
00:16:19.780 Obama or
00:16:21.620 Brennan or
00:16:22.340 Clapper or
00:16:23.200 Comey.
00:16:24.600 So,
00:16:25.680 I've said
00:16:27.160 before that
00:16:27.760 normally I'm
00:16:28.440 not too
00:16:30.540 keen on
00:16:31.340 one administration
00:16:32.220 punishing the
00:16:33.120 last administration
00:16:34.100 because that's
00:16:36.300 a slippery
00:16:37.520 slope to
00:16:38.380 complete chaos,
00:16:40.040 but that's
00:16:41.900 only if you're
00:16:42.520 the one who's
00:16:43.040 starting it.
00:16:44.280 If the other
00:16:45.260 side started
00:16:46.120 it and they
00:16:46.960 made it clear
00:16:47.580 that they
00:16:47.980 will do
00:16:48.280 absolutely
00:16:48.840 anything,
00:16:50.160 including
00:16:50.600 the
00:16:52.160 fine people
00:16:53.680 hoax,
00:16:54.340 including
00:16:54.820 covering up
00:16:56.020 Biden's
00:16:56.500 brain,
00:16:57.200 including
00:16:57.700 saying things
00:17:00.100 that would
00:17:00.380 get Trump 0.89
00:17:00.860 assassinated, 0.96
00:17:02.540 and including
00:17:03.300 the Russia
00:17:03.780 hoax.
00:17:04.940 There's
00:17:05.500 absolutely
00:17:05.960 nothing that
00:17:06.720 they wouldn't
00:17:07.140 do to
00:17:08.760 retain power.
00:17:11.000 So,
00:17:11.480 anyway,
00:17:13.920 that's happening.
00:17:14.840 The only way
00:17:15.600 to keep it in
00:17:16.480 the news is
00:17:17.140 to arrest a
00:17:17.900 high-level
00:17:18.300 person.
00:17:18.760 So,
00:17:19.720 if I were
00:17:20.100 Trump and
00:17:21.240 his team,
00:17:23.160 I would be
00:17:24.420 thinking,
00:17:25.180 who should we
00:17:25.660 go after
00:17:26.080 first?
00:17:27.680 And somebody
00:17:29.060 needs to get
00:17:29.660 arrested.
00:17:30.880 Now,
00:17:31.380 that doesn't
00:17:31.760 mean they'll
00:17:32.100 go to jail.
00:17:32.820 I think the
00:17:33.260 odds of any
00:17:33.800 of them going
00:17:34.280 to jail are
00:17:34.900 pretty low
00:17:35.380 because there's
00:17:36.740 a thing called
00:17:37.400 lawyers and
00:17:38.200 there may be
00:17:39.320 some credible
00:17:40.140 deniability.
00:17:41.680 And I feel
00:17:42.820 like they may
00:17:43.440 have created a
00:17:44.560 situation where
00:17:45.340 they can weasel
00:17:46.080 it, sort
00:17:47.100 of like they
00:17:47.520 did the
00:17:48.100 Hunter laptop,
00:17:49.520 where they
00:17:50.300 say, we
00:17:50.940 never said it
00:17:51.760 was Russian.
00:17:52.920 No, we
00:17:53.280 never said
00:17:53.800 that.
00:17:54.380 That's what
00:17:54.760 you believe
00:17:55.700 we said.
00:17:56.700 But if you
00:17:57.260 look at our
00:17:57.740 actual words,
00:17:59.200 what we said
00:18:00.220 was, it has
00:18:01.380 all the look
00:18:03.100 of being a
00:18:03.680 Russian product.
00:18:04.800 We didn't
00:18:05.400 say it was,
00:18:06.820 which would
00:18:07.300 have been
00:18:07.540 wrong.
00:18:08.320 We just
00:18:08.960 said it
00:18:09.360 really looks
00:18:10.020 like it.
00:18:11.200 So, there's
00:18:12.060 going to be
00:18:12.400 some version
00:18:13.100 of that that
00:18:14.640 would probably
00:18:15.160 be a sufficient
00:18:15.940 defense, you 1.00
00:18:17.140 know, at
00:18:17.660 least with
00:18:17.940 the jury
00:18:18.280 trial.
00:18:21.020 Anyway,
00:18:22.000 Sean Davis
00:18:26.500 is pointing
00:18:27.060 out that
00:18:27.700 Gina Haspel,
00:18:29.440 who had
00:18:29.800 been the
00:18:30.100 head of
00:18:30.320 the CIA,
00:18:33.240 she reported
00:18:34.900 prior to
00:18:35.460 the 2020,
00:18:36.280 oh, I guess
00:18:36.920 Sean Davis
00:18:37.500 was writing
00:18:38.380 about this
00:18:38.920 all the way
00:18:39.640 in 2020,
00:18:41.720 that she
00:18:42.720 personally
00:18:43.300 blocked the
00:18:43.980 release of
00:18:45.460 key documents
00:18:46.320 exposing the
00:18:47.300 Russia collusion
00:18:48.020 hoax, and
00:18:49.520 that she was
00:18:50.340 personally banking
00:18:51.460 on a Trump
00:18:52.120 election loss
00:18:53.140 to keep all
00:18:54.480 the evidence
00:18:55.000 hidden.
00:18:55.700 Now, I don't
00:18:56.040 know exactly
00:18:56.580 how Sean
00:18:57.260 Davis has
00:18:57.880 that exclusive
00:18:59.800 scoop, but
00:19:01.800 he's a
00:19:02.460 credible guy,
00:19:03.560 so if he
00:19:04.220 says so, I
00:19:05.060 believe it.
00:19:06.400 So, could
00:19:07.800 that be much
00:19:08.440 worse than
00:19:09.780 having the
00:19:10.280 CIA, the
00:19:11.200 CIA working
00:19:12.340 against the
00:19:13.780 country, well,
00:19:16.640 that's about
00:19:17.040 as bad as
00:19:17.480 it gets.
00:19:20.400 All right,
00:19:22.000 Senator
00:19:22.520 Hawley,
00:19:23.440 Josh Hawley,
00:19:24.120 is introducing
00:19:24.660 the bill to
00:19:26.480 take the
00:19:27.660 $600 million,
00:19:30.020 not million,
00:19:31.960 billion, right,
00:19:32.840 $600 billion
00:19:33.620 that we've
00:19:35.160 made from
00:19:35.620 tariffs, or
00:19:36.580 that we will
00:19:37.100 make from
00:19:37.540 tariffs by the
00:19:38.220 end of the
00:19:38.520 year, and
00:19:39.660 give rebate.
00:19:42.900 Oh, no, he's
00:19:43.780 talking about a
00:19:44.320 $600 tariff
00:19:45.560 rebate check.
00:19:46.660 Sorry, it was
00:19:47.260 completely written.
00:19:49.260 So, he wants
00:19:49.980 to give rebate
00:19:50.640 checks based on
00:19:51.680 all the tariff
00:19:52.300 money coming
00:19:52.820 in.
00:19:54.860 What do you
00:19:55.420 think of
00:19:55.740 that?
00:19:56.740 Do you
00:19:57.400 think that
00:19:58.760 Trump's base
00:20:00.740 wants to get
00:20:01.840 a tariff
00:20:02.980 rebate check,
00:20:03.940 and it would
00:20:04.300 only be for
00:20:04.860 people under
00:20:05.480 a certain
00:20:05.880 income?
00:20:06.260 And do
00:20:07.920 you think
00:20:08.140 they'd rather
00:20:08.700 do that or
00:20:09.620 have it go
00:20:10.360 toward paying
00:20:11.020 down the
00:20:11.900 national debt?
00:20:13.940 Well, the
00:20:14.840 answer is, I'm
00:20:15.960 pretty sure
00:20:16.660 most Republicans
00:20:18.700 would say pay
00:20:19.620 down that
00:20:20.080 debt.
00:20:21.760 Remember I
00:20:22.600 told you that
00:20:24.100 Congress is
00:20:25.800 so broken
00:20:26.540 that no matter
00:20:27.920 how much
00:20:28.400 money Doge
00:20:29.200 could save,
00:20:30.460 and this
00:20:30.840 applies to
00:20:31.600 the tariffs,
00:20:33.020 no matter
00:20:33.340 how much
00:20:33.820 money the
00:20:34.540 tariffs make,
00:20:35.280 that instead
00:20:36.640 of seeing
00:20:37.220 it as a
00:20:38.080 reduction in
00:20:38.800 your expenses
00:20:39.460 or a
00:20:40.000 reduction in
00:20:41.140 your deficit,
00:20:42.860 that Congress
00:20:43.640 would see it as
00:20:44.420 a source of
00:20:45.060 money to
00:20:45.500 spend.
00:20:46.640 That's what
00:20:47.320 this is.
00:20:48.580 So Josh
00:20:49.180 Hawley is
00:20:49.860 seeing this
00:20:51.180 tariff stuff
00:20:52.480 as a source
00:20:53.360 of money to
00:20:54.140 spend to,
00:20:55.960 what,
00:20:56.240 directly buy
00:20:56.940 some votes
00:20:57.580 by just
00:20:59.420 sending people
00:21:00.040 a check.
00:21:00.420 I assume
00:21:01.800 it polls
00:21:02.540 well,
00:21:03.820 because Hawley
00:21:04.400 is pretty
00:21:04.840 smart,
00:21:05.640 so he
00:21:06.220 wouldn't
00:21:06.500 suggest it
00:21:07.260 unless he
00:21:09.140 probably had
00:21:09.660 some internal
00:21:10.300 polling or
00:21:10.980 something that
00:21:11.460 says, oh
00:21:11.820 yeah, if you
00:21:12.380 send people a
00:21:13.220 check, they
00:21:14.380 remember the
00:21:15.000 check, and
00:21:16.220 they might want
00:21:16.760 another one,
00:21:17.420 so it'll help
00:21:19.300 Republicans get
00:21:21.100 elected.
00:21:21.860 But I'm
00:21:22.680 opposed to it,
00:21:23.700 but I can
00:21:26.720 understand why
00:21:27.840 they'd want to
00:21:28.380 do it, if
00:21:29.260 it's good for
00:21:29.920 them getting
00:21:30.540 re-elected.
00:21:34.660 According to
00:21:35.660 Axios,
00:21:37.720 Democrats have
00:21:38.980 a reason to
00:21:39.560 be optimistic
00:21:40.280 about the
00:21:40.920 2026 midterm
00:21:42.540 elections.
00:21:43.920 So here are
00:21:44.720 the reasons
00:21:45.260 that Axios
00:21:46.140 gives for
00:21:47.720 why Democrats
00:21:48.840 would do
00:21:50.040 well in the
00:21:50.760 midterms.
00:21:51.340 Now keep in
00:21:51.960 mind that you
00:21:53.200 don't need
00:21:53.660 any reasons.
00:21:55.580 We have such
00:21:56.720 a long track
00:21:57.740 record of the
00:21:58.820 party that's
00:21:59.500 not in power
00:22:00.340 gaining seats
00:22:02.140 in midterm
00:22:03.640 elections.
00:22:04.860 So it
00:22:06.220 almost doesn't
00:22:07.040 matter who
00:22:07.460 the president
00:22:08.000 is, and
00:22:08.840 probably it's
00:22:10.480 just going to
00:22:10.900 go that usual
00:22:11.600 way.
00:22:12.260 However, if
00:22:13.700 ever there
00:22:14.840 was a time
00:22:15.540 that it
00:22:16.400 wouldn't go
00:22:16.980 the usual
00:22:17.640 way, it
00:22:18.640 would be
00:22:18.880 this time.
00:22:20.520 So the
00:22:21.980 historical
00:22:22.720 trend,
00:22:23.320 which even
00:22:24.700 if it
00:22:25.040 had been
00:22:25.300 100%
00:22:25.980 of the
00:22:26.240 time up
00:22:26.880 until now,
00:22:27.920 this would
00:22:28.260 be the
00:22:28.560 one time
00:22:29.180 you could
00:22:29.580 legitimately
00:22:30.140 say,
00:22:30.800 well, this
00:22:32.520 situation is
00:22:34.120 fundamentally
00:22:35.380 different.
00:22:36.480 And what's
00:22:36.900 fundamentally
00:22:37.580 different is
00:22:39.080 that the
00:22:39.660 favorability of
00:22:40.760 Democrats is
00:22:41.560 at an all-time
00:22:42.240 low.
00:22:43.160 And that
00:22:44.040 Trump is
00:22:44.760 having the
00:22:45.300 presidency of
00:22:46.240 all presidencies.
00:22:47.780 Now, not
00:22:48.420 everybody's going
00:22:49.180 to give
00:22:49.480 him as
00:22:49.960 high marks
00:22:50.560 as his
00:22:50.980 base, but
00:22:52.500 we'll talk
00:22:53.400 about that.
00:22:54.060 Even the
00:22:54.840 Democrats are
00:22:55.500 starting to
00:22:56.140 say, all
00:22:57.120 right, well,
00:22:58.000 okay, I
00:22:58.460 gotta admit,
00:22:59.260 that was
00:22:59.640 pretty good
00:23:00.380 what you did
00:23:00.900 there, Trump.
00:23:02.040 So that's a
00:23:03.220 situation that's
00:23:05.160 very rare.
00:23:07.000 Will it be
00:23:07.540 enough?
00:23:08.720 I don't know.
00:23:09.920 But listen to
00:23:10.780 Axios'
00:23:11.480 five things
00:23:14.400 that would
00:23:15.600 make Democrats
00:23:16.400 have a better
00:23:16.940 midterm,
00:23:17.560 right?
00:23:18.400 They say the
00:23:19.420 big, beautiful
00:23:20.020 bill is
00:23:20.620 polling terribly.
00:23:23.620 Well, I
00:23:25.160 think people
00:23:25.860 would only care
00:23:26.500 about individual
00:23:27.340 things that
00:23:29.520 are in the
00:23:30.120 bill.
00:23:30.420 I don't think
00:23:30.880 they would
00:23:31.420 vote or
00:23:32.900 show up to
00:23:33.640 vote or
00:23:34.280 decide not to
00:23:35.660 stay home
00:23:36.160 because of the
00:23:36.760 big, beautiful
00:23:37.320 bill.
00:23:38.120 Does that
00:23:38.520 one sound
00:23:39.300 persuasive to
00:23:41.320 you, that
00:23:42.420 because people
00:23:43.080 don't like the
00:23:43.780 big, beautiful
00:23:44.400 bill, that
00:23:46.460 more Democrats
00:23:47.340 will show up
00:23:47.960 for the
00:23:48.220 midterms?
00:23:49.440 I don't feel
00:23:50.300 like it.
00:23:51.380 I feel like
00:23:52.460 if you had a
00:23:53.020 conversation with
00:23:53.860 any Democrat,
00:23:55.000 you'd stop
00:23:55.480 them on the
00:23:55.920 street, you 0.92
00:23:56.900 go, tell me
00:23:57.440 about Trump
00:23:58.860 and why you'd
00:23:59.640 want Democrats
00:24:01.100 to win the
00:24:01.600 midterm.
00:24:02.940 Would any
00:24:03.920 of them say,
00:24:04.960 well, I'm
00:24:05.440 still mad about
00:24:06.180 that big,
00:24:06.720 beautiful bill
00:24:07.320 that I don't
00:24:07.860 even know what
00:24:08.440 was in it?
00:24:09.500 I don't feel
00:24:10.360 like it.
00:24:11.320 So I'm
00:24:11.600 going to
00:24:12.800 disagree with
00:24:13.720 Axios on
00:24:14.460 the first
00:24:14.840 one.
00:24:15.320 Number two,
00:24:16.020 custom Medicaid
00:24:16.920 and the
00:24:17.500 Affordable Care
00:24:18.120 Act, which
00:24:20.240 is part of
00:24:20.640 the big,
00:24:20.940 beautiful bill.
00:24:23.140 Let's
00:24:23.620 be mad at
00:24:24.160 that.
00:24:24.540 That's a
00:24:25.260 possibility.
00:24:27.360 But if
00:24:29.000 we go
00:24:30.940 another year
00:24:31.800 and the
00:24:33.440 people who
00:24:33.960 vote have
00:24:35.000 not personally
00:24:35.780 lost their
00:24:36.420 health care,
00:24:38.080 do you think
00:24:38.640 they'll have
00:24:39.300 as much
00:24:39.760 interest in
00:24:40.380 it?
00:24:41.160 It will
00:24:41.920 be true
00:24:42.500 that illegal
00:24:44.520 non-citizens
00:24:46.160 will lose
00:24:46.680 their coverage.
00:24:47.660 It will
00:24:48.140 be true
00:24:48.660 that some
00:24:49.340 able-bodied
00:24:51.280 people who
00:24:51.920 should have
00:24:52.280 done something
00:24:52.960 more to
00:24:53.800 make sure
00:24:55.180 that they
00:24:55.480 got their
00:24:55.860 health care,
00:24:56.760 i.e.
00:24:57.640 get off the
00:24:58.100 couch and
00:24:58.520 get a job.
00:25:01.360 Are those
00:25:02.140 the people
00:25:02.540 who are
00:25:02.840 going to
00:25:03.120 vote?
00:25:03.440 if you
00:25:05.220 were so
00:25:05.620 lazy that
00:25:06.280 you wouldn't
00:25:06.600 even get
00:25:06.980 a job so
00:25:08.360 that you
00:25:08.700 can also
00:25:09.340 have health
00:25:09.860 care, do
00:25:11.760 you think
00:25:12.060 you're voting?
00:25:13.660 I don't know.
00:25:14.820 So it's
00:25:15.560 possible that
00:25:17.140 while in
00:25:18.120 concept, the
00:25:19.800 Democrats would 0.89
00:25:20.520 be very against
00:25:21.300 anybody losing
00:25:22.020 health care,
00:25:22.920 but they might
00:25:24.080 just forget
00:25:24.760 about it because
00:25:25.740 they might not
00:25:26.260 know anybody
00:25:26.900 who actually
00:25:27.380 loses their
00:25:28.000 health care
00:25:28.480 and didn't
00:25:31.200 have it
00:25:31.540 coming.
00:25:32.440 So we'll
00:25:32.860 see.
00:25:33.860 So that
00:25:34.700 one could
00:25:35.300 make a
00:25:35.940 difference,
00:25:37.300 but not
00:25:38.280 100%.
00:25:39.020 Then there
00:25:41.240 is the
00:25:41.700 fact that
00:25:42.560 prices are
00:25:43.200 still high
00:25:43.740 under Trump
00:25:44.400 and he
00:25:45.200 had promised
00:25:45.740 to lower
00:25:46.220 them.
00:25:47.640 Let me
00:25:47.980 ask you
00:25:48.380 this.
00:25:49.100 How many
00:25:49.580 of you
00:25:49.880 think that
00:25:50.740 a president
00:25:51.420 has any
00:25:52.360 control over
00:25:53.380 prices?
00:25:55.960 Why are we
00:25:56.740 even talking
00:25:57.240 about it?
00:25:58.480 The only
00:25:59.200 thing a
00:25:59.600 president can
00:26:00.240 do is not
00:26:01.460 overspend.
00:26:03.300 That's it.
00:26:04.660 They basically
00:26:05.460 have one
00:26:05.960 button.
00:26:06.800 Don't run
00:26:07.300 up the
00:26:07.600 debt so we
00:26:08.200 have to
00:26:08.480 print a
00:26:08.860 bunch of
00:26:09.200 money.
00:26:09.640 Nothing
00:26:09.880 else.
00:26:11.260 Now,
00:26:11.680 Trump also
00:26:12.280 has the
00:26:12.820 energy thing,
00:26:14.340 which is an
00:26:15.300 inspired way
00:26:16.280 to look at
00:26:16.780 it.
00:26:17.540 So if he
00:26:18.400 gooses energy
00:26:19.260 production and
00:26:21.580 he has been,
00:26:23.320 let's say,
00:26:24.620 judicious with
00:26:25.740 the debt so
00:26:27.160 that it's
00:26:28.140 not spiraling
00:26:28.940 out of
00:26:29.260 control and
00:26:30.060 he's doing
00:26:30.920 some doge
00:26:31.620 things,
00:26:33.240 that's all
00:26:34.360 he can do.
00:26:36.200 Well, if you
00:26:37.300 look at things
00:26:37.880 like eggs,
00:26:39.940 the government
00:26:41.260 can subsidize
00:26:43.220 one area of
00:26:44.340 expenses for a
00:26:45.320 while or they
00:26:46.860 can change
00:26:47.920 some regulations
00:26:49.880 so that one
00:26:50.820 part of the
00:26:51.420 economy improves
00:26:54.780 like eggs.
00:26:55.420 things, but
00:26:57.400 basically you
00:26:58.200 don't have
00:26:58.500 really any
00:26:58.980 tools.
00:27:00.480 You're just
00:27:00.880 doing more
00:27:01.440 energy because
00:27:02.800 that lowers
00:27:03.280 all the
00:27:03.720 energy costs
00:27:04.380 and you're
00:27:05.600 so I don't
00:27:08.460 know.
00:27:08.640 I do think
00:27:09.640 that people
00:27:10.160 have an
00:27:11.440 affordability
00:27:12.140 problem and
00:27:12.820 that that
00:27:13.200 will matter
00:27:13.960 even though it
00:27:16.100 shouldn't maybe.
00:27:18.040 Then there's
00:27:18.880 Trump's
00:27:19.280 deportation
00:27:20.120 because he's
00:27:20.640 sending back
00:27:21.260 more than
00:27:21.800 just the
00:27:22.280 worst first.
00:27:23.920 But I have
00:27:25.620 not heard
00:27:26.280 anybody complain
00:27:27.160 about it yet.
00:27:28.400 Have you?
00:27:29.600 Is there
00:27:30.240 anybody in
00:27:30.880 your real
00:27:31.480 world who's
00:27:34.260 complaining that
00:27:35.260 too many of
00:27:36.280 the wrong kind
00:27:36.800 of people are
00:27:37.300 being shipped
00:27:37.920 out of the
00:27:39.060 country?
00:27:40.080 I've complained.
00:27:42.400 Nobody I
00:27:43.200 know has
00:27:44.360 been shipped
00:27:44.800 out of the
00:27:45.200 country.
00:27:45.640 Nobody I
00:27:46.060 know has
00:27:46.360 been deported.
00:27:47.520 But I do
00:27:48.780 have a problem
00:27:49.440 with somebody
00:27:50.060 who's lived
00:27:50.820 and worked
00:27:51.220 here for
00:27:51.560 20 years
00:27:52.300 being deported.
00:27:54.140 I'm not
00:27:54.780 going to hide
00:27:56.420 that just
00:27:56.980 because I
00:27:57.300 know that's
00:27:57.700 not popular
00:27:58.340 to say on
00:27:58.940 this broadcast.
00:28:00.480 And you
00:28:00.780 might have a
00:28:01.280 different opinion
00:28:01.900 and I would
00:28:03.120 respect that.
00:28:05.520 But the one
00:28:06.480 thing I'll tell
00:28:06.980 you is that
00:28:07.500 the more
00:28:08.020 personal contact
00:28:09.320 you have
00:28:09.960 with members
00:28:11.480 of the
00:28:12.020 immigrant
00:28:12.400 community,
00:28:13.460 there's no
00:28:14.820 way that
00:28:15.140 doesn't affect
00:28:15.860 you.
00:28:16.860 And I've
00:28:17.500 had a lot
00:28:17.900 of contact.
00:28:18.560 contact.
00:28:19.320 So, you
00:28:20.660 know, if
00:28:21.920 you had as
00:28:22.460 much contact
00:28:23.280 as I did
00:28:23.920 over the
00:28:24.420 course of
00:28:24.880 your adult
00:28:25.320 life, you
00:28:26.600 would probably
00:28:27.140 agree with
00:28:27.820 me.
00:28:28.820 But most
00:28:29.540 of you
00:28:29.800 haven't.
00:28:30.920 So on
00:28:31.300 paper, if
00:28:33.180 there were
00:28:33.720 no humans
00:28:34.380 involved just
00:28:35.120 on paper,
00:28:36.080 I would say,
00:28:36.580 yeah, of
00:28:36.940 course, deport
00:28:37.700 everybody.
00:28:38.900 Absolutely.
00:28:40.240 But once it
00:28:40.880 becomes personal,
00:28:42.600 well, it's
00:28:43.740 harder.
00:28:44.000 All right.
00:28:49.200 Then the
00:28:49.940 fifth thing
00:28:50.460 from Axios
00:28:51.120 is that
00:28:51.820 Democratic
00:28:52.900 enthusiasm to
00:28:54.300 go vote in
00:28:54.840 the midterms
00:28:55.360 is much
00:28:56.160 higher than
00:28:57.000 Republican
00:28:58.060 enthusiasm.
00:29:01.140 But I
00:29:02.060 wonder if
00:29:02.880 that's
00:29:03.400 something you
00:29:03.960 can measure
00:29:04.540 yet.
00:29:05.960 Because when
00:29:06.740 the midterms
00:29:07.360 get close,
00:29:08.420 Trump is
00:29:08.860 going to get
00:29:09.320 really active.
00:29:10.080 and even
00:29:11.700 though he's
00:29:12.100 not in
00:29:12.560 that election,
00:29:13.840 he's going
00:29:14.260 to make
00:29:14.540 sure you
00:29:15.020 think it's
00:29:15.560 the end
00:29:15.860 of the
00:29:16.100 world if
00:29:16.540 you don't
00:29:16.840 vote.
00:29:17.860 So I
00:29:18.580 would kind
00:29:19.700 of suspect
00:29:20.520 that Republican
00:29:22.280 enthusiasm for
00:29:24.540 voting might be
00:29:25.240 a lot higher
00:29:25.780 once we get
00:29:26.800 there.
00:29:27.820 But also, I
00:29:28.980 don't know that
00:29:29.620 Republicans need
00:29:30.600 enthusiasm to
00:29:31.740 vote.
00:29:34.120 Democrats
00:29:34.680 might.
00:29:35.600 They might
00:29:36.020 need to get
00:29:36.580 whipped up to
00:29:37.260 vote.
00:29:37.880 But I feel
00:29:38.420 like Republicans
00:29:39.500 vote because
00:29:40.580 it's civic
00:29:41.460 duty.
00:29:44.440 And, you
00:29:45.280 know, there's
00:29:45.520 stuff you
00:29:45.880 want.
00:29:47.140 So I
00:29:47.960 don't know.
00:29:48.380 I don't
00:29:48.640 know if
00:29:48.920 enthusiasm
00:29:49.640 really tells
00:29:50.560 you what
00:29:50.960 Republicans are
00:29:51.800 going to
00:29:52.080 do.
00:29:53.000 I just
00:29:53.420 have an
00:29:53.760 open question
00:29:54.580 on that.
00:29:57.920 According to
00:29:58.800 Mike Benz,
00:30:01.060 I guess the
00:30:01.980 National Endowment
00:30:02.980 for Democracy,
00:30:04.820 better known as
00:30:05.980 NED,
00:30:07.220 got fully
00:30:08.020 funded by
00:30:08.960 the House
00:30:09.320 Republicans.
00:30:11.900 Trump had
00:30:12.720 asked for
00:30:13.120 that to
00:30:13.380 be zero
00:30:13.900 doubt and
00:30:14.720 the entire
00:30:15.260 National Endowment
00:30:16.140 for Democracy
00:30:17.020 to be
00:30:17.920 eliminated.
00:30:19.120 Now, I
00:30:20.160 can't explain
00:30:21.380 this story as
00:30:23.420 much as
00:30:23.960 Mike Benz
00:30:24.920 could.
00:30:25.860 So let me
00:30:26.380 say, if you're
00:30:26.820 not following
00:30:27.380 Mike Benz,
00:30:28.620 you probably
00:30:29.220 are just
00:30:29.580 flying blind
00:30:30.480 trying to
00:30:31.540 understand why
00:30:32.260 everything is
00:30:32.940 the way it
00:30:33.340 is.
00:30:34.180 You really
00:30:34.760 need to
00:30:35.140 follow him.
00:30:35.640 it's
00:30:36.900 completely
00:30:37.440 spin your
00:30:40.260 brain around
00:30:40.820 in your
00:30:41.400 head.
00:30:41.960 But I
00:30:42.180 think the
00:30:42.540 bottom line
00:30:43.160 is that
00:30:43.860 National
00:30:44.600 Endowment
00:30:45.300 for Democracy
00:30:46.160 may have
00:30:47.780 been something
00:30:48.560 that the
00:30:49.940 CIA uses
00:30:51.040 to further
00:30:51.820 its goals.
00:30:53.460 And maybe
00:30:53.800 that's the
00:30:54.180 reason they're
00:30:54.580 keeping it.
00:30:55.380 I don't know.
00:30:56.600 So I can't
00:30:58.040 give you the
00:30:58.580 full story.
00:30:59.720 I'll refer
00:31:00.220 you to Benz
00:31:01.680 on that.
00:31:05.580 So Trump
00:31:06.660 is now
00:31:07.200 suggesting that
00:31:08.380 the Democrats
00:31:09.340 might have
00:31:09.860 planted some
00:31:11.220 names in
00:31:11.860 the Epstein
00:31:12.300 files.
00:31:13.680 He said
00:31:14.060 those files
00:31:14.840 were run
00:31:15.420 by the 1.00
00:31:15.780 worst scum 1.00
00:31:16.660 on earth. 1.00
00:31:17.860 That's when
00:31:18.560 Biden was
00:31:19.140 in control.
00:31:20.120 The whole
00:31:20.460 thing is a
00:31:20.960 hoax.
00:31:21.540 They ran
00:31:22.160 the files.
00:31:23.140 I was
00:31:23.520 running against
00:31:24.180 somebody that
00:31:25.120 ran the
00:31:25.560 files.
00:31:26.040 If they
00:31:26.380 had something,
00:31:27.560 something bad
00:31:28.500 for Trump,
00:31:29.500 they would
00:31:30.560 have released.
00:31:31.680 I think
00:31:32.020 that's
00:31:32.320 true.
00:31:33.980 He says
00:31:34.840 now they
00:31:35.860 can easily
00:31:36.500 put something
00:31:37.180 in the
00:31:37.700 files that's
00:31:38.860 phony.
00:31:40.420 Well, to
00:31:41.280 me, it
00:31:41.660 seems like
00:31:42.160 he's
00:31:42.460 inoculating
00:31:43.220 us just
00:31:44.440 in case
00:31:44.940 there's
00:31:45.220 something in
00:31:45.720 there that
00:31:46.080 doesn't look
00:31:46.600 good for
00:31:46.960 Trump.
00:31:48.280 And my
00:31:48.700 guess is
00:31:49.300 apparently he's
00:31:49.900 mentioned a
00:31:50.500 bunch of
00:31:50.840 times but
00:31:51.420 never went
00:31:51.860 to the
00:31:52.120 island.
00:31:53.060 There's no
00:31:53.700 direct evidence
00:31:55.000 that he was
00:31:55.400 involved in
00:31:55.940 anything illegal
00:31:56.880 or unethical
00:31:58.440 with Epstein.
00:32:01.680 But there
00:32:04.020 might be
00:32:04.540 something in
00:32:06.260 there that
00:32:06.500 he doesn't
00:32:06.900 know about.
00:32:07.820 So he's
00:32:08.180 just inoculating
00:32:09.060 us by saying
00:32:09.700 but you
00:32:10.060 know, they
00:32:11.360 could put
00:32:11.740 fake stuff
00:32:12.400 in there.
00:32:14.420 All right.
00:32:18.460 Bank more
00:32:19.260 encores when
00:32:20.080 you switch to
00:32:20.640 a Scotiabank
00:32:21.380 banking package.
00:32:23.360 Learn more
00:32:23.780 at
00:32:23.940 scotiabank.com
00:32:25.000 slash
00:32:25.380 banking packages.
00:32:26.680 Conditions
00:32:26.980 apply.
00:32:28.440 Scotiabank.
00:32:29.220 You're richer
00:32:29.700 than you
00:32:30.020 think.
00:32:32.280 Apparently
00:32:32.920 the CIA
00:32:35.180 person who
00:32:38.240 put together
00:32:39.020 the Russian
00:32:39.580 report about
00:32:41.280 the Steele
00:32:42.380 dossier,
00:32:44.020 or did
00:32:45.100 she just 0.65
00:32:45.440 put together
00:32:45.960 a Russian
00:32:46.400 report?
00:32:48.080 She led
00:32:48.980 the team
00:32:49.560 that created
00:32:50.880 the draft
00:32:51.560 intel community
00:32:52.500 assessment on
00:32:53.380 Russian meddling
00:32:54.200 in 2016.
00:32:55.840 And she's
00:32:56.880 still all in
00:32:57.800 and she
00:32:58.760 still embraces
00:32:59.740 the Steele
00:33:00.300 dossier.
00:33:01.800 And in
00:33:02.640 her social
00:33:03.180 media
00:33:03.660 of the past,
00:33:05.180 she's referred
00:33:05.860 to Trump
00:33:06.380 as a
00:33:06.720 dictator
00:33:07.220 and
00:33:08.360 mega as
00:33:09.920 Nazis.
00:33:11.200 So that's
00:33:12.420 who was
00:33:12.800 giving you
00:33:13.320 your objective
00:33:15.540 assessment of
00:33:17.380 Russia.
00:33:18.240 Someone who
00:33:19.140 thought Trump
00:33:20.300 was Hitler. 0.87
00:33:20.860 and apparently
00:33:24.900 she's now
00:33:25.760 doing some
00:33:26.260 interviews.
00:33:28.800 Susan Miller,
00:33:29.800 recently retired
00:33:30.740 CIA
00:33:31.620 counterintelligence
00:33:32.700 officer.
00:33:34.680 So she was
00:33:35.880 tight with
00:33:36.460 Brennan, I
00:33:37.100 guess,
00:33:37.740 putting that
00:33:38.180 stuff together.
00:33:40.380 And
00:33:41.060 apparently
00:33:43.540 Susan Miller,
00:33:45.360 the CIA
00:33:46.020 person,
00:33:46.660 according to
00:33:48.380 Paul Sperry,
00:33:50.100 is best
00:33:51.100 friends with
00:33:51.840 Caroline Kennedy
00:33:52.880 and she
00:33:55.120 also helped
00:33:55.760 write the
00:33:56.220 Mueller report.
00:33:59.360 Unbelievable.
00:34:01.160 So again,
00:34:02.380 I say,
00:34:03.700 it's so
00:34:04.200 obvious
00:34:04.800 that this
00:34:06.400 was a coup
00:34:07.300 attempt.
00:34:08.580 Somebody needs
00:34:09.500 to get
00:34:09.800 arrested.
00:34:11.200 They really,
00:34:11.900 really do.
00:34:12.300 Well,
00:34:15.100 Trump says
00:34:15.800 he's now
00:34:16.340 shortening
00:34:16.900 the time
00:34:17.440 he's given
00:34:17.920 to Vladimir
00:34:18.720 Putin.
00:34:19.920 He's given
00:34:20.480 him 50
00:34:21.560 days,
00:34:22.240 some of
00:34:22.600 those days
00:34:23.200 that expired,
00:34:24.260 but he's
00:34:24.560 now reducing
00:34:25.120 it to 10
00:34:25.680 to 12
00:34:26.060 days to
00:34:27.260 reach a
00:34:27.700 ceasefire
00:34:28.200 with Ukraine
00:34:28.840 because Trump
00:34:29.900 says we
00:34:30.380 just don't
00:34:30.840 see any
00:34:31.300 progress
00:34:31.820 being made.
00:34:36.140 And then
00:34:37.060 he's talking
00:34:37.940 about how
00:34:38.700 if there's
00:34:39.500 no progress
00:34:40.120 made in
00:34:40.800 10 or
00:34:41.380 12 days,
00:34:42.300 that they'd
00:34:43.780 put these
00:34:44.240 gigantic
00:34:44.760 secondary
00:34:45.580 tariffs on
00:34:46.400 them.
00:34:47.280 So the
00:34:47.660 secondary
00:34:48.240 tariff is
00:34:49.400 a tariff
00:34:49.860 on people
00:34:50.400 who are
00:34:50.840 doing business
00:34:51.620 with Russia
00:34:53.040 because we've
00:34:54.180 already tariffed
00:34:55.040 Russia directly,
00:34:55.880 I guess.
00:34:56.640 So there's
00:34:57.200 nothing left
00:34:57.840 to tariff.
00:34:59.400 So what
00:35:01.100 if the
00:35:02.020 12 days
00:35:02.680 go by
00:35:03.300 and then
00:35:04.680 what if
00:35:05.200 Trump does
00:35:06.140 in fact
00:35:06.600 put in
00:35:07.060 these
00:35:07.320 secondary
00:35:07.780 tariffs?
00:35:08.480 So it
00:35:08.680 would be
00:35:08.840 kind of
00:35:09.260 devastating.
00:35:10.420 But what
00:35:11.020 if they
00:35:11.280 don't work?
00:35:12.300 What then?
00:35:15.600 What then?
00:35:17.440 Because do
00:35:18.660 you think
00:35:19.060 that Russia 0.72
00:35:19.540 is going
00:35:20.000 to cave
00:35:20.700 because of
00:35:21.320 the secondary
00:35:21.960 tariffs?
00:35:22.880 Or is it
00:35:23.640 more likely
00:35:24.200 they'll just
00:35:24.740 find ways
00:35:25.360 to avoid
00:35:26.300 being detected
00:35:27.280 and they'll
00:35:28.260 do as much
00:35:28.820 trading as
00:35:29.420 they always
00:35:29.780 did?
00:35:30.080 Or maybe
00:35:31.400 China will 0.99
00:35:32.260 say we're
00:35:35.020 going to
00:35:35.420 tariff you
00:35:36.000 if you
00:35:36.400 tariff us
00:35:37.080 500%.
00:35:38.420 So I
00:35:40.180 don't feel
00:35:40.820 like there's
00:35:41.380 really a
00:35:41.820 path to
00:35:42.440 a solution.
00:35:45.060 But he
00:35:45.760 might be
00:35:46.200 monetizing
00:35:46.820 it.
00:35:47.740 It might
00:35:48.440 be that
00:35:48.760 that's all
00:35:49.180 it is.
00:35:49.540 He's just
00:35:49.880 monetizing
00:35:50.460 the war
00:35:50.920 the second
00:35:51.760 way.
00:35:52.380 Because he's
00:35:52.900 already
00:35:53.140 monetized
00:35:53.780 it by
00:35:54.200 not providing
00:35:56.020 money to
00:35:56.580 Ukraine but
00:35:57.240 only selling
00:35:57.920 weapons to
00:35:58.600 Europe to
00:35:59.060 give to
00:35:59.360 Ukraine.
00:36:00.220 So he's
00:36:00.580 monetized
00:36:01.120 it one
00:36:01.480 way.
00:36:01.740 if he
00:36:02.780 monetizes
00:36:03.400 it with
00:36:03.840 these
00:36:04.060 secondary
00:36:04.520 tariffs he's
00:36:06.280 monetized it
00:36:07.040 a second
00:36:07.500 way.
00:36:09.000 But there's
00:36:09.580 no real
00:36:10.080 chance that
00:36:11.080 that's going
00:36:11.520 to settle
00:36:11.940 anything.
00:36:13.460 Right?
00:36:15.060 Meanwhile
00:36:15.660 in a related
00:36:16.380 story Russia
00:36:18.500 is testing
00:36:19.420 a remote
00:36:21.380 controlled
00:36:22.020 tank.
00:36:24.180 And it's
00:36:24.700 a tank
00:36:25.100 that's
00:36:25.440 hardened
00:36:25.860 against
00:36:26.460 drones
00:36:27.860 bombing
00:36:28.620 etc.
00:36:30.080 So remember
00:36:31.100 my prediction
00:36:32.020 that the
00:36:33.760 Ukraine
00:36:34.380 Russia war
00:36:35.400 at least
00:36:35.880 the front
00:36:36.340 line will
00:36:37.460 turn into
00:36:37.940 an all
00:36:38.420 robot war.
00:36:40.220 So now
00:36:40.700 Russia will 0.98
00:36:41.780 be able to
00:36:42.480 have a
00:36:43.180 tank brigade
00:36:45.100 I don't know
00:36:45.940 if I'm using
00:36:46.400 that word
00:36:46.780 right but a
00:36:47.640 bunch of
00:36:48.020 tanks that
00:36:49.580 can attack
00:36:50.140 a position
00:36:50.700 and there
00:36:52.240 won't be a
00:36:52.640 single person
00:36:53.300 in the
00:36:53.620 tanks.
00:36:54.960 And they'll
00:36:55.180 just be
00:36:55.560 fully functional
00:36:56.320 tanks.
00:36:57.980 So yeah
00:37:00.100 it's going to
00:37:00.640 be robot
00:37:01.660 on robot.
00:37:04.660 You may be
00:37:05.740 following the
00:37:06.320 story in
00:37:06.960 Gaza in
00:37:08.520 which a
00:37:09.760 lot of
00:37:10.020 people are
00:37:10.400 saying that
00:37:10.920 there's a
00:37:11.660 famine there
00:37:12.620 that the
00:37:13.520 poor
00:37:15.380 citizens who
00:37:16.900 are still in
00:37:17.400 that area
00:37:17.900 are having
00:37:19.340 some starvation
00:37:20.200 there were
00:37:20.660 reports of
00:37:21.200 people dying
00:37:21.780 of starvation
00:37:22.480 but I remind
00:37:23.600 you that all
00:37:24.380 information coming
00:37:25.340 out of the
00:37:25.700 war zone
00:37:26.200 is unreliable.
00:37:28.560 It doesn't
00:37:28.820 matter who's
00:37:29.280 saying it.
00:37:30.220 It doesn't
00:37:30.640 matter if
00:37:31.000 it's Israel
00:37:31.560 or Israel's
00:37:32.820 enemy.
00:37:34.140 You can't
00:37:34.920 really believe
00:37:35.600 anything that
00:37:36.260 comes out of
00:37:36.700 the war zone
00:37:37.200 especially on
00:37:38.680 stuff like
00:37:39.200 this.
00:37:40.200 However
00:37:40.700 when Trump
00:37:42.300 was asked
00:37:42.800 about it
00:37:43.280 he said
00:37:45.300 there's no
00:37:46.960 way that
00:37:47.340 that's a
00:37:47.820 fake
00:37:48.360 because he's
00:37:49.820 seeing the
00:37:50.500 actual children
00:37:51.620 on TV
00:37:52.400 and he goes
00:37:53.340 they're hungry.
00:37:53.960 he goes
00:37:55.140 you can't
00:37:55.860 fake starvation
00:37:57.000 and I
00:37:58.380 think Trump
00:37:58.860 is right
00:37:59.220 about that.
00:38:00.440 So if
00:38:01.060 he's looking
00:38:01.560 at the
00:38:01.860 images of
00:38:02.540 the actual
00:38:03.020 citizens and
00:38:03.940 they look
00:38:04.300 like they're
00:38:04.760 starving
00:38:05.180 that's not
00:38:07.540 something you'd
00:38:08.140 be wrong
00:38:08.500 about.
00:38:10.080 So my
00:38:11.120 guess is
00:38:12.380 that while
00:38:14.400 Israel might 0.96
00:38:15.120 be trying as
00:38:15.880 hard as they
00:38:16.340 can to avoid
00:38:17.040 it there's
00:38:18.260 probably some
00:38:18.800 starvation
00:38:19.360 happening.
00:38:19.720 that's a
00:38:23.080 lie Scott
00:38:23.820 we all
00:38:24.300 know it's
00:38:24.720 happening.
00:38:26.340 Yeah so
00:38:27.220 anyway so
00:38:28.800 the I
00:38:30.900 think as
00:38:31.840 soon as you
00:38:32.380 say we all
00:38:33.140 know that
00:38:33.600 something's
00:38:34.060 happening then
00:38:35.460 you're not a
00:38:36.060 serious person
00:38:37.000 because you
00:38:38.360 can't really
00:38:38.860 know too
00:38:39.540 much about
00:38:40.120 what's happening
00:38:40.680 over there
00:38:41.140 even if you
00:38:42.180 think it's
00:38:42.540 really obvious
00:38:43.220 probably we
00:38:44.720 don't.
00:38:48.080 But there's
00:38:49.120 more on
00:38:49.540 this topic
00:38:50.160 apparently
00:38:52.540 and then
00:38:53.280 Trump quite
00:38:54.600 reasonably is
00:38:55.480 talking about
00:38:56.120 the need to
00:38:56.700 feed the
00:38:57.240 people so
00:38:59.420 that's the
00:39:00.360 right focus.
00:39:01.520 I like it
00:39:01.920 when he does
00:39:02.380 that.
00:39:03.440 Trump gave
00:39:04.400 Keir Starmer
00:39:06.100 of the UK
00:39:07.360 what the
00:39:09.220 Independent is
00:39:10.000 calling a
00:39:10.500 green light
00:39:11.180 to recognize
00:39:12.380 the Palestinian
00:39:13.140 state.
00:39:13.920 You probably
00:39:14.280 heard that
00:39:15.620 France decided
00:39:16.880 to recognize
00:39:18.000 Palestinian
00:39:20.760 state or
00:39:21.540 promote a
00:39:22.340 two-state
00:39:22.720 solution I
00:39:23.440 guess.
00:39:24.280 So now
00:39:24.760 Starmer wants
00:39:25.760 to do that.
00:39:26.800 It's not a
00:39:27.380 done deal but
00:39:28.720 he checked
00:39:29.460 with Trump
00:39:30.140 and Trump
00:39:30.680 said you
00:39:31.980 could do
00:39:32.300 that.
00:39:33.300 Now that's
00:39:34.220 interesting to
00:39:35.160 me because I
00:39:35.920 don't remember
00:39:36.740 Trump ever
00:39:37.540 saying he
00:39:38.960 favored or
00:39:39.660 did not
00:39:40.080 favor a
00:39:40.600 two-state
00:39:41.100 solution which
00:39:42.820 is weird that
00:39:43.860 I don't know
00:39:44.340 that because
00:39:46.460 that would be
00:39:46.800 the most
00:39:47.160 important thing
00:39:47.760 to know
00:39:48.140 right?
00:39:48.880 Does anybody
00:39:49.320 know?
00:39:50.320 Has Trump
00:39:51.040 said anything
00:39:51.760 recently about
00:39:53.800 a two-state
00:39:54.660 solution versus
00:39:55.560 a one-state
00:39:56.340 solution?
00:39:58.180 I don't know.
00:40:01.020 However, in
00:40:02.020 my opinion it
00:40:02.760 doesn't matter
00:40:03.220 what anybody
00:40:03.720 else wants
00:40:04.300 because Israel
00:40:05.400 is the only
00:40:05.840 one that's
00:40:06.260 going to
00:40:06.520 decide and
00:40:07.400 I don't think
00:40:08.240 that they're
00:40:08.800 anywhere near
00:40:09.700 wanting a
00:40:11.060 two-state
00:40:11.560 solution.
00:40:12.980 So we'll
00:40:14.680 see how many
00:40:15.260 people line
00:40:15.940 up against
00:40:17.540 Israel's 0.75
00:40:18.400 one-state
00:40:19.100 solution and
00:40:20.220 it might be
00:40:20.700 the United
00:40:21.120 States.
00:40:22.100 It's entirely
00:40:22.740 possible that
00:40:24.700 Trump has
00:40:25.420 the capital.
00:40:29.940 I hope you
00:40:31.240 can't hear my
00:40:31.880 cat with this
00:40:33.140 cat toy over
00:40:33.920 there.
00:40:35.420 Trump has the
00:40:36.460 political capital
00:40:37.680 to say,
00:40:39.420 you know what,
00:40:39.900 you really need
00:40:40.600 to make a
00:40:41.000 two-state
00:40:41.440 solution.
00:40:42.660 Now I'm not
00:40:43.140 saying I'm in
00:40:43.740 favor of that
00:40:44.300 or that's a
00:40:44.860 good idea.
00:40:46.980 What I say
00:40:47.880 is I'm
00:40:49.500 American so 0.91
00:40:50.600 they just
00:40:51.080 need to
00:40:51.420 work it
00:40:52.060 out and
00:40:53.320 I will
00:40:55.020 just observe.
00:40:56.140 I will not
00:40:56.580 condemn and
00:40:57.600 I will not
00:40:58.100 recommend.
00:41:02.440 Trump does
00:41:03.300 say he
00:41:03.880 wants Netanyahu
00:41:05.320 to quote
00:41:06.200 soften his
00:41:06.960 tactics in
00:41:07.840 Gaza.
00:41:08.780 He may have
00:41:09.300 to do it a
00:41:09.820 different way.
00:41:11.040 We don't
00:41:11.560 know what that
00:41:11.980 different way
00:41:12.460 would look
00:41:12.800 like, but
00:41:14.940 here's the
00:41:17.600 big question.
00:41:18.360 I'm going to
00:41:18.680 teach you
00:41:19.300 something about
00:41:20.160 debate today.
00:41:22.340 You may have
00:41:23.140 heard me say
00:41:23.660 this before,
00:41:24.640 but if
00:41:25.220 somebody tries
00:41:25.960 to win a
00:41:26.540 debate by
00:41:27.880 forcing you
00:41:28.660 to accept
00:41:29.300 their definition
00:41:30.300 of a word,
00:41:32.000 that's not a
00:41:32.640 debate.
00:41:34.280 That's not a
00:41:35.180 reason.
00:41:36.460 That's somebody
00:41:37.040 trying to
00:41:37.660 weasel you
00:41:38.360 into winning
00:41:38.920 a debate by
00:41:40.640 getting you
00:41:41.120 to accept
00:41:41.620 their own
00:41:42.760 definition of
00:41:43.720 a word.
00:41:45.300 For example,
00:41:46.920 with abortion,
00:41:50.220 if you say
00:41:51.620 that's a
00:41:52.260 living human
00:41:53.040 person as
00:41:53.760 soon as
00:41:54.260 the body
00:41:57.540 produces
00:41:58.120 whatever the
00:41:59.020 fetus is,
00:42:00.080 if you say
00:42:01.120 it's a person,
00:42:02.380 then it sounds
00:42:03.000 like murder
00:42:03.780 if you do
00:42:04.340 an abortion.
00:42:04.740 if you say
00:42:05.980 it's a fetus,
00:42:07.380 then it
00:42:09.320 doesn't sound
00:42:09.780 so much like
00:42:10.360 murder.
00:42:11.300 So with a
00:42:12.080 lot of our
00:42:12.660 debates,
00:42:13.540 we try to
00:42:14.420 win the
00:42:14.840 debate by
00:42:16.140 insisting that
00:42:17.160 somebody accept
00:42:17.920 our definition
00:42:18.760 of something.
00:42:20.540 For example,
00:42:21.780 in the
00:42:22.460 pandemic,
00:42:25.760 if I say
00:42:26.520 to you,
00:42:27.320 the experts
00:42:28.440 have created
00:42:29.120 a kind of
00:42:30.820 a shot
00:42:31.320 that can help
00:42:32.380 you in
00:42:32.740 various ways,
00:42:33.460 but you
00:42:35.420 say,
00:42:36.700 no,
00:42:37.300 it's an
00:42:37.740 experimental
00:42:38.420 shot.
00:42:39.920 If you
00:42:40.660 could make
00:42:41.100 me accept
00:42:41.760 that it's
00:42:42.360 experimental,
00:42:43.780 then you've
00:42:45.000 won the
00:42:45.360 argument.
00:42:46.840 There's
00:42:47.440 nothing else
00:42:47.960 to say.
00:42:49.400 So here
00:42:50.760 again with
00:42:51.740 Israel,
00:42:54.040 the word
00:42:54.580 genocide
00:42:55.080 is becoming
00:42:56.720 the debate.
00:42:58.460 So if
00:42:59.740 you could
00:43:00.220 get the
00:43:01.580 people who
00:43:02.060 disagree with
00:43:02.760 you,
00:43:02.960 to accept
00:43:04.380 the definition
00:43:05.680 of genocide
00:43:06.380 that you
00:43:07.200 want to
00:43:07.560 push forward,
00:43:08.660 and you
00:43:08.980 could say
00:43:09.440 Israel is
00:43:10.900 involved in
00:43:11.440 genocide.
00:43:12.840 But if
00:43:13.720 somebody else
00:43:15.600 can get you
00:43:16.180 a definition
00:43:16.780 that doesn't
00:43:17.640 say that,
00:43:19.220 then they
00:43:19.680 can win
00:43:20.680 their argument
00:43:21.240 just by
00:43:22.240 definitions
00:43:22.820 again.
00:43:23.920 So I
00:43:25.020 went to
00:43:25.640 Brock
00:43:27.140 and asked
00:43:28.440 it to
00:43:29.160 define
00:43:29.640 genocide,
00:43:30.220 because I
00:43:31.300 was pretty
00:43:31.780 sure I
00:43:32.380 didn't know
00:43:32.740 exactly the
00:43:33.500 definition.
00:43:35.780 So let
00:43:36.360 me tell you
00:43:36.780 what
00:43:37.060 Grok says
00:43:39.180 is genocide,
00:43:40.560 and then you
00:43:41.180 can say,
00:43:41.820 is that
00:43:42.300 happening over
00:43:43.460 in Gaza?
00:43:43.920 So it
00:43:45.280 would include 0.99
00:43:45.800 killing 1.00
00:43:46.280 members of 0.99
00:43:47.000 the group,
00:43:48.340 but that's
00:43:49.980 not by
00:43:50.780 itself.
00:43:51.440 That wouldn't
00:43:51.940 be enough
00:43:52.340 by itself,
00:43:53.020 because there's
00:43:53.480 lots of
00:43:53.880 wars where
00:43:55.140 people are
00:43:55.620 killing members
00:43:56.420 of the 0.98
00:43:56.740 other group,
00:43:57.340 but those
00:43:58.260 wars are not
00:43:59.000 all genocide.
00:44:00.720 So that
00:44:02.400 would be an
00:44:02.820 indicator,
00:44:03.480 but it
00:44:04.040 wouldn't be
00:44:04.380 enough by
00:44:04.820 itself.
00:44:05.900 Causing
00:44:06.460 serious bodily
00:44:07.460 or mental
00:44:07.940 harm,
00:44:08.540 that would
00:44:08.860 be in the
00:44:09.640 same category
00:44:10.340 of causing
00:44:11.620 harm to
00:44:12.060 people.
00:44:13.000 Inflicting
00:44:13.420 conditions to
00:44:14.500 bring about
00:44:14.960 physical
00:44:15.760 destruction.
00:44:17.580 Is that
00:44:18.360 happening in
00:44:19.080 Gaza? 0.52
00:44:20.240 Is Israel 0.87
00:44:20.980 inflicting
00:44:21.660 conditions to
00:44:22.720 bring about
00:44:23.260 physical
00:44:23.880 destruction?
00:44:25.560 Yes.
00:44:26.700 Yes, they
00:44:27.300 are.
00:44:27.980 But that
00:44:28.340 doesn't mean
00:44:28.720 it's genocide.
00:44:30.200 We're going
00:44:31.100 to look at
00:44:31.420 all the
00:44:31.980 definition
00:44:32.420 before we
00:44:33.020 decide.
00:44:33.880 Claudia was
00:44:34.720 leaving for
00:44:35.140 her pickleball
00:44:35.740 tournament.
00:44:36.300 I've been
00:44:36.540 visualizing my
00:44:37.340 match all
00:44:37.980 week.
00:44:38.880 She was so
00:44:39.380 focused on
00:44:39.880 visualizing
00:44:40.480 that she
00:44:40.920 didn't see
00:44:41.380 the column
00:44:41.760 behind her
00:44:42.220 car on
00:44:42.820 her back
00:44:43.160 hand side.
00:44:45.080 Good thing
00:44:45.480 Claudia is
00:44:45.920 with Intact,
00:44:46.740 the insurer
00:44:47.280 with the
00:44:47.720 largest network
00:44:48.420 of auto
00:44:48.800 service centers
00:44:49.400 in the
00:44:49.840 country.
00:44:50.500 Everything
00:44:50.800 was taken
00:44:51.260 care of
00:44:51.680 under one
00:44:52.140 roof and
00:44:52.660 she was
00:44:52.960 on her
00:44:53.200 way in
00:44:53.460 a rental
00:44:53.760 car in
00:44:54.320 no time.
00:44:54.960 I made
00:44:55.460 it to my
00:44:55.880 tournament and
00:44:57.180 lost in
00:44:57.500 the first
00:44:57.800 round.
00:44:58.440 But you
00:44:59.020 got there
00:44:59.460 on time.
00:45:00.280 Intact
00:45:00.600 Insurance,
00:45:01.440 your auto
00:45:01.840 service ace.
00:45:02.900 Certain
00:45:03.060 conditions
00:45:03.440 apply.
00:45:05.460 What about
00:45:06.240 preventing
00:45:06.820 births within
00:45:08.120 the group
00:45:08.800 that's being
00:45:09.280 targeted?
00:45:10.500 Well,
00:45:10.980 there's no
00:45:11.420 evidence that
00:45:12.340 Israel is
00:45:13.900 intentionally
00:45:14.840 preventing
00:45:15.600 births,
00:45:16.620 but I
00:45:17.660 would guess
00:45:18.100 there are
00:45:18.400 fewer of
00:45:18.980 them under
00:45:19.780 the current
00:45:20.180 situations.
00:45:21.060 I don't
00:45:21.180 know.
00:45:21.420 It could be
00:45:21.700 wrong.
00:45:21.960 It might go
00:45:22.280 the other
00:45:22.560 way.
00:45:22.800 But again,
00:45:25.540 these are
00:45:26.180 not, you
00:45:26.720 must have
00:45:27.240 checked all
00:45:28.180 the boxes.
00:45:29.160 So it's
00:45:29.500 not an
00:45:29.900 every box
00:45:30.560 situation.
00:45:32.000 And then
00:45:32.640 forcibly
00:45:33.260 transferring
00:45:33.940 children to
00:45:34.820 another group.
00:45:37.900 There may be
00:45:38.900 some of
00:45:39.420 that for
00:45:40.680 orphans, but
00:45:42.440 it doesn't
00:45:43.040 seem like
00:45:43.420 that's a
00:45:44.640 major element
00:45:45.460 that's going
00:45:45.880 on.
00:45:46.120 And then
00:45:47.160 here's the
00:45:47.600 important part.
00:45:48.580 For something
00:45:49.800 to be legally
00:45:50.940 categorized as
00:45:52.200 genocide,
00:45:53.600 listen to this
00:45:54.520 part.
00:45:54.860 This is the
00:45:55.280 most important
00:45:55.800 part.
00:45:56.540 You would
00:45:56.980 have to
00:45:57.460 prove intent.
00:45:58.740 So if
00:46:01.060 Israel's 0.75
00:46:01.820 intent is
00:46:03.140 self-defense
00:46:04.120 and all of
00:46:05.720 their documents
00:46:06.300 say that and
00:46:07.060 all their
00:46:07.340 public statements
00:46:08.040 say that and
00:46:09.420 you can't find
00:46:10.140 any counter to
00:46:11.020 that, it just
00:46:11.660 looks like this
00:46:13.060 is their
00:46:13.500 version of
00:46:14.320 what would
00:46:14.780 help their
00:46:15.360 self-defense.
00:46:16.420 If that's
00:46:17.240 true, it's
00:46:17.600 not genocide.
00:46:19.620 And as
00:46:20.500 far as I
00:46:20.980 know, there
00:46:21.420 has not
00:46:21.760 been any
00:46:22.480 statement or
00:46:24.200 leak or
00:46:24.900 whistleblower
00:46:25.620 who would
00:46:26.400 say, oh,
00:46:27.440 yeah, the
00:46:28.080 real
00:46:28.600 intention is
00:46:29.340 to, you 0.99
00:46:30.360 know, kill 1.00
00:46:30.900 as many of 1.00
00:46:31.520 the residents
00:46:33.300 of Gaza as
00:46:34.000 we can and
00:46:35.260 depopulate it.
00:46:36.500 I don't
00:46:36.960 believe you
00:46:37.420 would find
00:46:37.840 that.
00:46:38.700 If you
00:46:39.260 did and
00:46:40.600 it was
00:46:40.840 coming from
00:46:41.380 the top,
00:46:42.740 well, that
00:46:43.600 would be a
00:46:43.840 pretty good
00:46:44.240 argument that
00:46:44.880 it's genocide, 0.73
00:46:45.720 but I don't
00:46:46.120 believe we've
00:46:46.580 seen that.
00:46:50.500 And
00:46:50.980 experts are
00:46:52.200 split on
00:46:53.520 the question
00:46:53.980 of whether
00:46:54.340 scale makes
00:46:55.440 a difference.
00:46:56.660 So in
00:46:57.060 other words,
00:46:57.520 if it's a
00:46:57.900 big enough
00:46:58.420 killing, 0.99
00:47:00.960 then some 0.81
00:47:01.840 would say,
00:47:02.380 some experts
00:47:03.060 would say,
00:47:03.820 the size of
00:47:04.760 it alone
00:47:05.300 tells you
00:47:06.600 their intention
00:47:07.360 because nobody
00:47:10.120 accidentally kills
00:47:11.320 millions of
00:47:11.920 people of
00:47:13.160 the same
00:47:13.540 group.
00:47:14.620 Right?
00:47:14.760 So if it's
00:47:15.180 big enough,
00:47:16.180 you don't have
00:47:16.700 to ask
00:47:17.100 yourself,
00:47:17.620 well, is
00:47:18.020 there a
00:47:18.320 document that
00:47:19.020 says that you
00:47:19.620 intended to
00:47:20.300 do it?
00:47:20.700 Well, it's
00:47:21.540 so big.
00:47:23.440 Killing millions
00:47:24.240 of people, 0.99
00:47:24.780 obviously, you
00:47:25.380 intended it,
00:47:25.960 sort of like
00:47:26.700 the Holocaust. 0.58
00:47:28.420 You know,
00:47:28.720 you don't have
00:47:29.280 to ask,
00:47:30.400 well, could
00:47:31.180 you give us
00:47:31.660 some more
00:47:31.960 thinking about
00:47:32.920 that Holocaust 0.99
00:47:33.620 situation?
00:47:34.280 What were
00:47:34.560 they thinking?
00:47:36.260 You could
00:47:36.840 talk about
00:47:37.300 that all day
00:47:37.840 long, but
00:47:38.260 the scale
00:47:38.940 of it is
00:47:41.140 enough to
00:47:41.560 say it was
00:47:41.880 a genocide.
00:47:42.980 You don't
00:47:43.600 need to know
00:47:44.100 too much about
00:47:44.780 their inner
00:47:45.160 thoughts.
00:47:45.600 So it's
00:47:48.280 subjective.
00:47:50.320 And I'm
00:47:52.840 not going
00:47:53.340 to make a
00:47:53.980 determination
00:47:54.660 about whether
00:47:55.660 that's genocide 0.50
00:47:56.500 or not.
00:47:58.660 The closest
00:47:59.820 you could get
00:48:00.640 is that Israel
00:48:01.580 says they
00:48:02.140 want total
00:48:03.420 victory.
00:48:05.360 And I'm
00:48:07.040 wondering,
00:48:07.540 is that what
00:48:08.080 Germany and
00:48:09.240 Japan experienced?
00:48:11.860 Would you
00:48:12.600 say that
00:48:14.580 the U.S.
00:48:15.260 had a
00:48:17.740 genocide in
00:48:18.780 Japan at
00:48:19.640 the end of
00:48:20.020 World War II?
00:48:21.600 Or would
00:48:22.020 you say there
00:48:22.520 was a
00:48:22.880 genocide in
00:48:24.100 Germany after
00:48:25.700 Germany surrendered?
00:48:27.640 Because it
00:48:28.340 got pretty
00:48:28.820 ugly.
00:48:30.060 There was a 0.91
00:48:30.460 lot of
00:48:30.720 starvation in
00:48:31.480 Germany in
00:48:32.040 particular,
00:48:32.880 probably in
00:48:33.840 Japan.
00:48:36.340 So I'll
00:48:37.400 just say
00:48:37.840 this.
00:48:38.740 To me,
00:48:39.340 the Hamas
00:48:41.220 versus Israel 0.99
00:48:42.440 situation has
00:48:43.640 that weird
00:48:44.260 quality.
00:48:45.260 which is
00:48:46.320 that if
00:48:47.760 Israel were 0.93
00:48:49.200 not doing
00:48:49.780 what it's
00:48:50.200 doing and
00:48:50.820 Hamas got 0.95
00:48:51.540 its way,
00:48:52.740 they would
00:48:53.160 create a
00:48:53.760 genocide of 1.00
00:48:55.140 the Israelis. 0.94
00:48:56.940 So if
00:48:58.020 you're trying
00:48:58.380 to determine
00:48:58.920 if one
00:48:59.460 side is
00:48:59.900 doing a
00:49:00.280 genocide,
00:49:01.740 I feel
00:49:03.080 like it
00:49:03.400 matters,
00:49:03.880 like who
00:49:06.080 your target
00:49:06.680 group is.
00:49:07.600 If your
00:49:08.040 target group
00:49:08.680 is somebody
00:49:09.140 who you
00:49:10.460 could reasonably,
00:49:11.640 very reasonably
00:49:12.340 say, if
00:49:13.520 they had
00:49:13.900 the power,
00:49:15.080 they would
00:49:15.440 genocide us. 0.87
00:49:17.720 If Hamas 0.90
00:49:18.660 had the
00:49:19.000 power, would
00:49:19.560 they genocide
00:49:20.180 Israel? 0.53
00:49:21.540 It looks
00:49:22.300 like it,
00:49:23.400 right?
00:49:24.380 So if you
00:49:26.140 have two
00:49:26.900 entities that
00:49:28.400 appear like
00:49:29.160 they both
00:49:30.120 think their
00:49:30.540 only option
00:49:31.100 is to
00:49:31.520 genocide the
00:49:32.180 other one,
00:49:33.420 do you even
00:49:33.980 talk about
00:49:34.480 genocide?
00:49:34.840 it just
00:49:36.680 feels like
00:49:37.140 it's not
00:49:37.460 even the
00:49:37.780 right
00:49:37.940 conversation.
00:49:39.480 So it's
00:49:39.820 a very
00:49:40.020 special case
00:49:40.920 where you've
00:49:41.480 got such
00:49:42.360 extremism on
00:49:43.520 both sides.
00:49:44.040 It's not
00:49:44.300 like a war.
00:49:45.980 It's not
00:49:46.620 like a war
00:49:47.120 where someone
00:49:47.600 wants to
00:49:47.940 capture some
00:49:48.520 territory or
00:49:49.820 something like
00:49:50.380 that.
00:49:51.060 Like Ukraine. 0.61
00:49:52.040 Ukraine's a 1.00
00:49:52.540 war.
00:49:54.780 But whatever
00:49:55.580 is going on
00:49:56.280 in the Middle
00:49:56.960 East, you
00:49:59.400 got some
00:49:59.900 extremism there
00:50:01.060 that's not
00:50:01.540 like anything
00:50:02.180 else.
00:50:03.060 So I will
00:50:03.880 not give
00:50:04.320 you my
00:50:04.660 opinion of
00:50:05.260 whether
00:50:05.480 genocide is
00:50:06.240 happening
00:50:06.560 because that
00:50:07.340 would be
00:50:07.740 trying to
00:50:08.260 win an
00:50:08.660 argument with
00:50:09.880 a definition.
00:50:11.380 And the
00:50:11.660 definition has
00:50:12.420 enough squishiness 1.00
00:50:14.060 in it and
00:50:15.280 the situation
00:50:16.240 is unique
00:50:17.700 enough that
00:50:19.540 you're trying
00:50:20.680 to stop
00:50:21.200 somebody who
00:50:21.820 you think
00:50:22.680 would genocide
00:50:23.200 you if you 0.56
00:50:24.300 didn't stop
00:50:24.780 them.
00:50:25.980 So I would
00:50:27.620 just avoid
00:50:28.180 that word
00:50:29.140 altogether.
00:50:31.500 Trump reminds
00:50:32.500 us on
00:50:32.940 True Social
00:50:33.640 that he's
00:50:34.600 quote not
00:50:35.200 seeking a
00:50:36.020 summit with
00:50:37.040 Xi of
00:50:38.200 China.
00:50:39.440 Now
00:50:39.680 apparently there
00:50:41.020 was some
00:50:41.340 reporting that
00:50:42.160 says he was
00:50:42.780 seeking a
00:50:43.440 summit which
00:50:44.080 would make
00:50:44.440 him look
00:50:44.800 weak like
00:50:45.980 he's begging 0.99
00:50:46.600 Xi for a
00:50:47.380 meeting.
00:50:48.420 And Trump
00:50:49.140 says no he's
00:50:50.020 not seeking a
00:50:50.940 summit.
00:50:51.920 He would only
00:50:52.640 do that if
00:50:53.340 he's invited
00:50:53.940 which he has
00:50:54.660 been.
00:50:56.240 But he
00:50:56.860 wants you to
00:50:57.380 know it's
00:50:58.200 up to him
00:50:58.720 if they
00:50:59.420 meet.
00:51:00.420 It's not
00:51:00.900 that he's
00:51:01.260 begging Xi.
00:51:04.660 It's only a
00:51:05.500 few days
00:51:06.160 before Trump's
00:51:07.940 automatic
00:51:09.580 tariffs kick
00:51:11.240 in and that
00:51:12.420 would only
00:51:12.820 apply to
00:51:13.640 the
00:51:15.420 auto
00:51:15.660 I got a
00:51:17.540 little cat
00:51:17.980 situation going
00:51:18.820 on here.
00:51:20.300 Come here
00:51:20.560 Gary.
00:51:24.360 Come on.
00:51:26.860 Let go of
00:51:27.660 that cable.
00:51:30.260 All right.
00:51:31.180 Stop.
00:51:32.580 Stop.
00:51:33.240 Don't fight.
00:51:33.920 Say hi.
00:51:35.640 All right.
00:51:36.100 You can go
00:51:36.540 down.
00:51:37.920 All right.
00:51:38.420 So we don't
00:51:39.400 know what will
00:51:39.740 happen when that
00:51:40.440 happens but
00:51:41.080 we're hearing
00:51:42.840 lovely things
00:51:44.040 about the
00:51:44.700 European Union
00:51:45.500 deal that
00:51:46.020 Trump got
00:51:46.500 into.
00:51:47.500 Would you
00:51:47.980 believe that
00:51:48.660 people don't
00:51:49.240 agree about
00:51:49.880 whether it
00:51:50.280 was a good
00:51:50.780 deal?
00:51:51.560 So the
00:51:51.920 Europeans
00:51:52.440 think that
00:51:54.720 America got 0.81
00:51:55.420 everything and
00:51:56.200 that Trump
00:51:57.020 just rolled
00:51:57.760 Europe and
00:51:58.540 got everything.
00:52:03.340 And some
00:52:04.980 smart people
00:52:05.620 say that.
00:52:06.920 But here's
00:52:07.760 what the
00:52:08.460 deal includes.
00:52:09.960 The EU is
00:52:11.040 going to pay
00:52:11.460 a 15%
00:52:12.340 tariff on
00:52:13.060 everything.
00:52:14.040 We will
00:52:14.560 have no
00:52:14.940 tariffs.
00:52:16.220 So that
00:52:16.680 just looks
00:52:17.220 like America 0.94
00:52:17.800 winning.
00:52:18.840 The EU
00:52:19.380 agreed to
00:52:19.880 invest $600
00:52:20.700 billion in
00:52:21.360 the US
00:52:21.900 just because
00:52:23.820 Trump wanted
00:52:25.060 them to.
00:52:25.440 but apparently
00:52:27.180 that one's
00:52:28.340 not one that
00:52:30.360 will be
00:52:30.660 carefully
00:52:31.140 monitored.
00:52:32.500 So I feel
00:52:33.000 like that's
00:52:33.480 the honor
00:52:34.120 system that
00:52:35.100 they would
00:52:35.400 invest $600
00:52:37.500 billion in
00:52:38.160 the US.
00:52:39.080 So I
00:52:39.720 wouldn't hold
00:52:40.120 my breath
00:52:40.580 on that
00:52:40.860 one.
00:52:42.520 And that
00:52:43.160 the EU
00:52:43.660 will purchase
00:52:44.360 hundreds of
00:52:44.920 billions of
00:52:45.340 dollars of
00:52:45.840 American
00:52:46.180 military
00:52:46.660 equipment.
00:52:47.180 I feel
00:52:48.400 like maybe
00:52:48.840 that was
00:52:49.260 going to
00:52:49.520 happen
00:52:49.720 anyway.
00:52:50.680 And the
00:52:50.940 EU commits
00:52:51.620 to buying
00:52:52.280 a whole
00:52:52.700 bunch of
00:52:53.120 our LNG,
00:52:54.780 our gas,
00:52:56.280 even though
00:52:58.200 it's not
00:52:58.520 the cheapest
00:52:59.020 source for
00:53:01.020 energy.
00:53:04.300 Anyway,
00:53:05.120 in exchange
00:53:06.060 for what
00:53:07.360 are being
00:53:08.020 called
00:53:08.300 concessions,
00:53:09.900 the EU
00:53:10.620 would get
00:53:11.100 nothing.
00:53:12.360 Because
00:53:12.600 apparently
00:53:13.580 America did 0.96
00:53:14.580 not agree to
00:53:15.240 give them
00:53:15.560 anything.
00:53:16.720 It just
00:53:17.180 agreed what
00:53:17.860 we were
00:53:18.980 going to
00:53:19.260 take.
00:53:21.760 Well,
00:53:22.460 Schumer
00:53:22.760 says it's
00:53:23.440 a fake
00:53:23.960 deal because
00:53:25.680 some elements
00:53:26.960 of this are
00:53:27.440 non-binding.
00:53:29.420 So I
00:53:30.340 think the
00:53:30.920 commitments
00:53:31.640 to buy
00:53:32.360 energy and
00:53:33.020 weapons and
00:53:33.820 the invest
00:53:35.020 $600
00:53:35.400 billion,
00:53:36.860 maybe sort
00:53:38.120 of window
00:53:38.560 dressing that
00:53:39.580 Trump is
00:53:40.220 smart enough
00:53:40.780 to put on
00:53:41.220 this deal
00:53:41.740 because it
00:53:43.000 sounds like
00:53:43.440 more of a
00:53:43.900 win.
00:53:44.100 but Europe
00:53:45.660 may have
00:53:46.160 been
00:53:46.360 cleverly
00:53:47.080 understanding
00:53:47.900 that he
00:53:49.200 needs to
00:53:49.660 announce a
00:53:50.320 win,
00:53:51.120 but when
00:53:51.820 it comes
00:53:52.160 right down
00:53:52.560 to it,
00:53:52.920 maybe they
00:53:53.300 won't do
00:53:53.720 as much
00:53:54.160 of this
00:53:54.460 as they
00:53:54.820 say.
00:53:55.440 We'll
00:53:55.700 see.
00:53:56.360 It's
00:53:56.580 not
00:53:56.780 binding.
00:53:59.960 According
00:54:00.440 to the
00:54:00.880 Brussels
00:54:01.320 signal,
00:54:03.900 the tariff
00:54:05.260 deal in
00:54:05.700 Europe will
00:54:06.280 really hurt
00:54:06.900 the German
00:54:07.560 car makers.
00:54:08.260 So we're
00:54:10.200 adding a
00:54:10.720 tariff that
00:54:11.280 will jack
00:54:12.440 up the
00:54:12.760 cost of
00:54:13.180 a German
00:54:13.540 car in
00:54:13.940 the U.S.
00:54:15.140 And here
00:54:16.720 is my
00:54:17.140 take.
00:54:17.840 This might
00:54:18.480 be just
00:54:19.060 me, but
00:54:21.700 you probably
00:54:22.680 know that
00:54:23.100 I think one
00:54:24.120 of the best
00:54:24.580 selling cars
00:54:25.240 in the world
00:54:25.760 is the
00:54:26.320 Tesla Model
00:54:27.740 Y.
00:54:28.920 Is that
00:54:29.280 true?
00:54:30.060 I think it's
00:54:30.520 maybe one of
00:54:31.100 the top
00:54:31.440 selling cars.
00:54:32.460 But when I
00:54:32.960 think of what
00:54:34.060 competes with
00:54:35.140 Tesla, I
00:54:36.860 usually think
00:54:37.540 German cars.
00:54:39.620 Do you?
00:54:40.960 If you said
00:54:41.960 to yourself,
00:54:42.580 I'm thinking
00:54:43.080 of getting
00:54:43.480 one of the
00:54:44.160 more expensive
00:54:45.880 Teslas,
00:54:47.220 what would be
00:54:48.140 your second
00:54:48.780 choice for a
00:54:49.520 car?
00:54:51.240 Probably a
00:54:52.000 German car,
00:54:52.660 right?
00:54:53.100 Mercedes,
00:54:53.980 BMW,
00:54:55.640 what's the
00:54:57.540 other one?
00:54:59.800 And so it
00:55:00.880 makes me
00:55:01.340 wonder if
00:55:02.300 Tesla is
00:55:03.360 going to be
00:55:03.700 the big
00:55:04.040 winner.
00:55:05.140 if it
00:55:05.700 makes it
00:55:06.060 look like
00:55:06.440 the competing
00:55:07.260 cars are
00:55:09.280 going to be
00:55:09.580 more expensive.
00:55:13.940 So we'll
00:55:14.620 see.
00:55:15.260 Anyway,
00:55:16.160 Bill Maher
00:55:16.840 continues to
00:55:18.620 turn MAGA,
00:55:22.340 but it's
00:55:22.860 only like
00:55:23.360 one degree
00:55:24.020 per week.
00:55:26.120 Now he
00:55:26.560 would say
00:55:26.980 that's not
00:55:27.480 happening at
00:55:28.020 all, but
00:55:29.460 in his
00:55:30.960 recent show,
00:55:32.980 what's it
00:55:33.960 called,
00:55:34.300 Club
00:55:34.640 Club
00:55:35.120 Random
00:55:35.500 show,
00:55:36.880 he says
00:55:37.600 to his
00:55:38.060 guests,
00:55:38.540 look,
00:55:39.040 the stock
00:55:39.480 market is
00:55:40.360 at record
00:55:40.860 highs.
00:55:41.640 I don't
00:55:42.000 see a
00:55:42.380 country in
00:55:42.880 depression at
00:55:43.520 all.
00:55:44.100 I would
00:55:44.440 have thought,
00:55:45.100 and I
00:55:45.480 got to
00:55:45.760 own it,
00:55:46.680 that these
00:55:47.180 tariffs were
00:55:47.840 going to
00:55:48.460 effing sink 1.00
00:55:50.280 this economy
00:55:50.980 by this time,
00:55:51.920 and they
00:55:52.320 didn't.
00:55:54.120 So if
00:55:54.940 you're keeping
00:55:55.460 track,
00:55:56.880 here would
00:55:57.300 be all the
00:55:57.880 things that
00:55:58.560 Bill Maher
00:55:59.840 has now
00:56:00.380 acknowledged
00:56:01.000 about Trump.
00:56:05.040 One, he's
00:56:06.440 not a
00:56:06.860 monster in
00:56:07.680 person,
00:56:08.540 because they
00:56:08.920 had dinner
00:56:09.300 together.
00:56:10.320 Now he
00:56:10.680 says, I
00:56:11.080 still disagree
00:56:11.800 with all
00:56:12.200 his policies,
00:56:13.060 a bunch of
00:56:13.520 policies,
00:56:14.700 but I have
00:56:15.700 to say that
00:56:16.180 in person,
00:56:16.840 he's not
00:56:17.820 ailler.
00:56:19.120 So that's
00:56:19.580 a start.
00:56:21.360 Then correct
00:56:22.220 me if I'm
00:56:22.700 wrong,
00:56:24.120 Bill Maher
00:56:24.660 agrees with
00:56:25.740 Trump on
00:56:26.260 the trans
00:56:27.060 issue in
00:56:28.940 sports.
00:56:30.340 He believes
00:56:31.500 that Trump
00:56:31.980 did a good
00:56:32.560 job on
00:56:33.040 the border,
00:56:33.980 if not a
00:56:34.580 great job.
00:56:36.640 He praised
00:56:37.900 Trump for
00:56:38.700 the bombing
00:56:39.480 of the
00:56:39.940 Iranian
00:56:40.280 nuclear
00:56:40.780 facilities.
00:56:41.920 I think
00:56:42.180 Maher was
00:56:42.680 way on
00:56:43.140 board with
00:56:43.560 that.
00:56:44.600 He likes
00:56:45.420 the fact
00:56:45.880 that Trump
00:56:46.380 is pushing
00:56:46.920 American
00:56:47.460 patriotism.
00:56:49.420 I think
00:56:49.800 he likes
00:56:50.180 that.
00:56:51.840 And he
00:56:52.620 does believe
00:56:53.320 that the
00:56:53.820 Republicans,
00:56:54.740 weirdly,
00:56:55.000 are the
00:56:55.960 free speech
00:56:56.940 party now
00:56:58.040 and that
00:56:58.840 all the
00:56:59.140 wokeness
00:56:59.760 and all
00:57:00.420 that stuff
00:57:00.900 was coming
00:57:01.400 from his
00:57:01.820 own team
00:57:02.360 and that
00:57:04.540 the
00:57:04.860 anti-Semitism
00:57:05.740 might be
00:57:06.340 coming from
00:57:06.840 his own
00:57:07.200 side.
00:57:09.040 So I
00:57:10.240 may be
00:57:11.540 mischaracterizing
00:57:12.680 some of
00:57:13.260 his opinion
00:57:13.840 there,
00:57:14.360 so don't
00:57:15.360 blame him
00:57:15.880 if he
00:57:16.480 heard it
00:57:16.780 from me.
00:57:19.960 But here's
00:57:21.100 what jumped
00:57:22.520 out at me.
00:57:23.880 Apparently
00:57:24.440 Bill Maher
00:57:25.240 had a
00:57:25.780 very firm
00:57:26.520 opinion
00:57:27.040 about what
00:57:28.320 would happen
00:57:28.820 with tariffs
00:57:29.540 and he
00:57:31.180 thought it
00:57:31.520 would tank
00:57:32.040 the economy
00:57:32.660 and that
00:57:33.200 by now
00:57:33.660 we would
00:57:34.060 see all
00:57:35.300 that chaos
00:57:36.000 it caused
00:57:36.520 which he
00:57:37.120 acknowledged
00:57:37.500 just didn't
00:57:37.900 happen.
00:57:38.960 And so
00:57:39.240 my question
00:57:39.800 is this,
00:57:41.080 why did
00:57:41.760 he have
00:57:42.560 certainty
00:57:43.100 that turned
00:57:44.540 out to be
00:57:44.940 wrong,
00:57:45.740 why did
00:57:46.100 he have
00:57:46.320 certainty
00:57:46.740 about tariffs?
00:57:48.220 What would
00:57:48.700 cause you to
00:57:49.400 have any
00:57:49.780 kind of
00:57:50.120 certainty
00:57:50.460 about which
00:57:50.980 direction that
00:57:51.720 was going
00:57:52.100 to go?
00:57:52.420 You could
00:57:53.460 have
00:57:53.660 optimism,
00:57:55.220 you could
00:57:55.620 have
00:57:55.820 pessimism,
00:57:57.000 but it
00:57:57.940 almost sounded
00:57:58.620 like he
00:57:59.080 had something
00:57:59.560 closer to
00:58:00.340 certainty
00:58:00.780 than it
00:58:01.620 was a
00:58:01.880 mistake.
00:58:02.860 Where would
00:58:03.300 he get
00:58:03.600 that
00:58:03.780 certainty?
00:58:05.160 From
00:58:05.760 watching
00:58:06.120 TV
00:58:06.620 and
00:58:07.840 reading the
00:58:09.800 New York
00:58:10.080 Times,
00:58:10.520 right,
00:58:11.080 and whatever
00:58:11.920 else.
00:58:12.660 You don't
00:58:13.360 get that
00:58:13.740 certainty
00:58:14.240 on something
00:58:15.280 you've had
00:58:15.680 no exposure
00:58:16.460 to and
00:58:16.960 nobody's
00:58:17.340 ever done
00:58:17.880 and there
00:58:18.980 are smarter
00:58:19.420 people on
00:58:19.920 both sides.
00:58:21.180 You don't
00:58:21.840 get certainty
00:58:22.580 from that.
00:58:24.780 Now,
00:58:25.120 I'll say
00:58:25.700 again that
00:58:26.280 the wisest
00:58:27.320 opinion I
00:58:28.060 heard on
00:58:28.760 tariffs the
00:58:30.840 entire time,
00:58:31.840 the wisest
00:58:32.460 opinion was
00:58:33.720 Dana Perino
00:58:34.480 who said,
00:58:35.340 can't tell,
00:58:36.760 we'll just
00:58:37.040 wait and
00:58:37.360 see.
00:58:38.520 No way
00:58:39.160 to know,
00:58:40.300 just wait
00:58:40.780 and see.
00:58:42.000 And so I
00:58:42.960 adopted her
00:58:43.700 opinion.
00:58:44.500 I said the
00:58:44.940 same.
00:58:45.260 It's like,
00:58:45.600 don't ask
00:58:46.560 me, we've
00:58:47.860 never done
00:58:48.380 this.
00:58:48.960 We don't
00:58:49.420 know how
00:58:49.740 Trump's
00:58:50.100 going to
00:58:50.320 play it.
00:58:51.100 We don't
00:58:51.480 know if
00:58:51.800 it's just
00:58:52.320 a negotiation.
00:58:53.460 We don't
00:58:53.740 know if
00:58:54.680 he's going
00:58:54.980 to be
00:58:55.160 flexible.
00:58:55.920 We don't
00:58:56.180 know how
00:58:56.440 many times
00:58:56.840 he's going
00:58:57.200 to be
00:58:57.400 unpredictable
00:58:57.960 and change
00:58:58.720 things.
00:58:59.420 We don't
00:58:59.780 know.
00:59:00.760 It could
00:59:01.300 work and
00:59:03.180 it might
00:59:03.480 not.
00:59:04.740 So to
00:59:05.440 me that
00:59:05.800 was the
00:59:06.160 only reasonable
00:59:06.980 take that
00:59:09.020 might work.
00:59:10.680 You just
00:59:11.060 don't know.
00:59:13.100 And now
00:59:13.680 we know
00:59:13.960 that it
00:59:14.280 did.
00:59:15.280 So
00:59:15.640 you just
00:59:19.100 watch.
00:59:19.780 What is
00:59:20.280 left of
00:59:22.240 all the
00:59:22.780 things that
00:59:23.700 Bill Maher
00:59:24.360 once thought
00:59:25.080 about Trump,
00:59:26.040 he also
00:59:26.400 used to
00:59:26.960 believe that
00:59:28.980 only the
00:59:34.240 Republicans
00:59:34.740 doubted the
00:59:35.900 elections.
00:59:38.120 And then
00:59:38.320 it was
00:59:38.700 Megyn Kelly
00:59:39.560 who showed
00:59:39.920 him a
00:59:40.180 compilation
00:59:40.660 clip of
00:59:42.000 Hillary Clinton
00:59:42.920 and other
00:59:43.680 Democratic
00:59:44.940 leaders
00:59:45.400 doubting
00:59:45.900 that
00:59:46.220 Trump
00:59:46.480 really
00:59:46.780 won.
00:59:48.940 So he
00:59:50.720 knows that.
00:59:51.440 He also
00:59:51.940 knows the
00:59:52.660 fine people
00:59:53.320 hoax was
00:59:53.880 a hoax.
00:59:55.460 What's
00:59:56.100 left?
00:59:58.380 What does
00:59:59.340 he have
00:59:59.580 left?
01:00:00.740 That he
01:00:01.660 wishes
01:00:02.240 Trump
01:00:03.360 didn't cut
01:00:04.080 health care?
01:00:05.760 But even
01:00:06.660 the cuts to
01:00:07.380 health care
01:00:07.820 were to
01:00:08.340 preserve it
01:00:09.040 not to
01:00:09.480 destroy it.
01:00:10.140 so I
01:00:12.580 don't know.
01:00:13.700 I don't
01:00:14.580 think it's
01:00:15.540 likely that
01:00:16.080 Bill Maher
01:00:16.520 will ever
01:00:16.900 become
01:00:17.300 Republican
01:00:18.060 or Trump
01:00:18.820 supporter.
01:00:20.220 But it's
01:00:21.120 funny watching
01:00:21.980 like all
01:00:23.900 of the
01:00:24.200 things that
01:00:24.680 support his
01:00:25.400 prior point
01:00:26.560 of view.
01:00:27.400 One by one,
01:00:28.620 each of these
01:00:29.120 pillars is
01:00:29.760 being tapped
01:00:31.480 out.
01:00:33.080 There's
01:00:33.680 nothing left,
01:00:34.640 Bill.
01:00:34.840 you might
01:00:35.880 as well
01:00:36.100 just come
01:00:36.540 to the
01:00:36.840 other side
01:00:37.400 because that's
01:00:38.960 where all
01:00:39.260 the common
01:00:39.660 sense is
01:00:40.160 happening.
01:00:40.960 When I
01:00:41.580 found out
01:00:42.000 my friend
01:00:42.460 got a
01:00:42.820 great deal
01:00:43.420 on a
01:00:43.780 wool coat
01:00:44.180 from
01:00:44.420 Winners,
01:00:45.020 I started
01:00:45.780 wondering,
01:00:46.700 is every
01:00:47.520 fabulous item
01:00:48.300 I see
01:00:48.720 from Winners?
01:00:49.780 Like that
01:00:50.320 woman over 0.99
01:00:50.800 there with
01:00:51.260 the designer
01:00:51.700 jeans.
01:00:52.520 Are those
01:00:53.120 from Winners?
01:00:54.040 Ooh,
01:00:54.680 or those
01:00:55.020 beautiful gold
01:00:55.640 earrings?
01:00:56.520 Did she
01:00:56.780 pay full
01:00:57.100 price?
01:00:57.860 Or that
01:00:58.120 leather tote?
01:00:58.880 Or that
01:00:59.120 cashmere
01:00:59.480 sweater?
01:01:00.100 Or those
01:01:00.400 knee-high
01:01:00.720 boots?
01:01:01.540 That dress?
01:01:02.320 That jacket?
01:01:03.000 Those shoes?
01:01:04.020 Is anyone
01:01:04.800 paying full
01:01:05.460 price for
01:01:06.000 anything?
01:01:06.980 Stop
01:01:07.460 wondering.
01:01:08.260 Start
01:01:08.500 winning.
01:01:09.180 Winners.
01:01:09.760 Find
01:01:10.000 fabulous for
01:01:10.800 less.
01:01:12.000 But meanwhile,
01:01:13.660 James Carville
01:01:16.060 says he's
01:01:16.700 not remotely
01:01:17.400 worried about
01:01:18.240 the future
01:01:18.900 of the
01:01:19.180 Democratic
01:01:19.540 Party
01:01:19.980 because the
01:01:20.940 Democrats
01:01:21.480 have,
01:01:22.120 quote,
01:01:22.640 bucket loads
01:01:23.440 of talent
01:01:24.060 coming.
01:01:24.940 Bucket loads.
01:01:26.660 Pam Key
01:01:27.560 at Breitbart
01:01:28.240 News is writing
01:01:28.980 about this.
01:01:29.840 It was on,
01:01:30.320 I guess,
01:01:30.680 Fox News.
01:01:32.020 Had an
01:01:32.360 interview with
01:01:32.900 him.
01:01:33.540 He was
01:01:33.780 talking to
01:01:34.180 somebody on
01:01:34.700 Fox News
01:01:35.580 on the
01:01:37.160 story.
01:01:38.780 This is the
01:01:39.340 name of the
01:01:39.640 show.
01:01:40.540 And what
01:01:41.400 do you
01:01:41.580 think?
01:01:42.720 He said,
01:01:43.280 I think the
01:01:44.000 hand-wringing,
01:01:45.020 well, I agree
01:01:45.680 to the image
01:01:46.260 of the party
01:01:46.740 is at an
01:01:47.520 all-time low.
01:01:48.820 He goes,
01:01:49.400 there's a
01:01:50.000 bucket load of
01:01:50.660 talent coming
01:01:51.240 online.
01:01:52.720 Now,
01:01:53.360 can you
01:01:54.880 explain to
01:01:55.740 me why the
01:01:57.160 Democrats are
01:01:57.940 hiding all
01:01:58.740 this talent?
01:01:59.300 so according
01:02:02.140 to Carville,
01:02:03.840 their party
01:02:04.960 is in
01:02:05.600 complete life
01:02:06.980 support.
01:02:08.140 It's basically
01:02:08.920 the lowest
01:02:12.560 it's been
01:02:13.100 in 35
01:02:13.620 years.
01:02:16.000 And according
01:02:16.720 to Carville,
01:02:18.220 waiting on the
01:02:19.080 sidelines is a
01:02:20.520 bucket load of
01:02:21.420 highly talented
01:02:22.300 people.
01:02:22.780 what is it
01:02:24.960 that's causing
01:02:25.540 them not to
01:02:26.360 make themselves
01:02:27.200 known right
01:02:27.860 now?
01:02:29.080 Do they think
01:02:30.100 that if they
01:02:30.940 start too early
01:02:31.760 they'll peak
01:02:32.400 too soon?
01:02:34.200 How in the
01:02:35.000 world could
01:02:36.800 you say that
01:02:37.360 they have a
01:02:37.780 bucket load of
01:02:39.060 talent, but
01:02:40.260 they're all
01:02:40.640 hiding?
01:02:41.600 All the talented
01:02:42.360 people are,
01:02:43.480 well, maybe
01:02:44.680 I'll just hide
01:02:45.940 over here or
01:02:47.360 ride it out
01:02:47.920 while I'm
01:02:48.260 hiding.
01:02:49.740 No, James
01:02:50.620 Carville, they
01:02:51.940 would not be
01:02:52.540 hiding if they
01:02:54.460 had bucket
01:02:54.960 loads of
01:02:55.400 talent.
01:02:56.420 They would
01:02:56.740 not be
01:02:57.060 hiding.
01:03:00.680 Well,
01:03:01.580 according to
01:03:03.380 the economists
01:03:05.800 who were
01:03:06.100 looking at the
01:03:06.680 tariffs so
01:03:07.300 far, do you
01:03:08.300 know who is
01:03:08.820 paying for the
01:03:09.620 tariffs?
01:03:11.960 Is the
01:03:12.860 end user
01:03:13.800 paying for
01:03:14.360 them in the
01:03:15.120 form of
01:03:15.520 higher prices?
01:03:17.320 That's what
01:03:17.820 Democrats said
01:03:18.760 would happen.
01:03:20.160 Is the
01:03:21.520 importing of
01:03:22.520 American
01:03:22.980 company paying
01:03:24.900 for it with
01:03:25.640 lower
01:03:25.960 margins, profit
01:03:27.040 margins, or
01:03:28.820 is the
01:03:29.640 foreign company
01:03:30.640 paying for
01:03:31.220 it by just
01:03:33.060 paying for
01:03:33.500 it because we
01:03:35.080 won't buy it
01:03:35.700 unless they
01:03:36.100 pay it?
01:03:37.320 So which of
01:03:37.940 those is
01:03:38.280 paying for it?
01:03:38.840 Well, the
01:03:39.400 early indication
01:03:40.200 is that the
01:03:41.220 American
01:03:41.920 importers are
01:03:44.500 absorbing most
01:03:45.620 of the cost.
01:03:46.740 Not all of it,
01:03:47.460 but most of it.
01:03:48.060 Now, if
01:03:49.360 that's the
01:03:49.820 case, what
01:03:51.240 would be
01:03:51.540 another way
01:03:52.200 to describe
01:03:52.980 that?
01:03:54.380 The big
01:03:54.960 American
01:03:55.540 companies, also
01:03:56.940 small ones, but
01:03:57.920 the big ones
01:03:58.620 would be the
01:04:00.040 biggest bang
01:04:00.740 for the buck,
01:04:02.020 they're eating
01:04:04.480 most of the
01:04:05.020 tariff costs.
01:04:06.800 Doesn't it
01:04:07.400 seem like
01:04:07.980 Trump found
01:04:08.980 a way to
01:04:09.560 tax the
01:04:10.340 oligarchs? 0.99
01:04:11.100 And meanwhile,
01:04:14.740 while Bernie
01:04:15.380 and AOC
01:04:16.880 were running
01:04:17.440 around the
01:04:17.800 country saying,
01:04:18.860 oh, the
01:04:19.280 oligarchs, the 0.99
01:04:20.380 oligarchs, they 1.00
01:04:21.180 need to pay
01:04:21.620 their fair
01:04:22.080 share.
01:04:23.240 Meanwhile,
01:04:24.360 Trump is
01:04:24.860 implementing
01:04:25.360 these tariffs
01:04:26.160 which have
01:04:26.800 the unexpected
01:04:29.280 effect of
01:04:31.060 taxing the
01:04:31.740 oligarchs. 0.98
01:04:34.240 He taxed
01:04:35.340 the oligarchs.
01:04:36.620 And he
01:04:37.020 passed them
01:04:37.520 tax relief
01:04:38.400 that should
01:04:39.460 help all the
01:04:40.320 lower-income
01:04:40.820 people, while
01:04:42.680 he is taxing
01:04:43.500 the oligarchs.
01:04:45.120 It's called
01:04:45.580 the golden
01:04:46.000 age people.
01:04:49.140 I guess the
01:04:49.740 Fed is
01:04:50.180 meeting to
01:04:50.680 talk about
01:04:51.100 interest rates
01:04:51.820 and now
01:04:52.240 there are a
01:04:52.560 few members
01:04:53.140 of the
01:04:53.460 Fed who
01:04:54.580 are in
01:04:54.900 favor of
01:04:55.600 lowering
01:04:56.120 them, but
01:04:57.180 it looks like
01:04:57.840 the Fed is
01:04:58.440 not overall
01:05:00.120 likely to
01:05:01.260 lower rates.
01:05:03.060 So there's
01:05:03.500 that.
01:05:04.140 Are you
01:05:04.440 following the
01:05:05.200 Sidney
01:05:06.020 Sweeney
01:05:06.760 drama?
01:05:09.380 So a
01:05:09.980 company called
01:05:10.540 American
01:05:10.900 Eagle, they
01:05:11.580 make casual
01:05:12.900 clothes.
01:05:14.080 They hired
01:05:14.900 Sidney Sweeney
01:05:15.800 who's a
01:05:16.640 blonde, 0.99
01:05:17.960 sexpot 0.99
01:05:19.380 kind of 0.99
01:05:20.340 actress who's
01:05:21.520 well-known.
01:05:23.340 And so she
01:05:24.380 doesn't go
01:05:25.360 overboard in
01:05:26.080 my opinion,
01:05:26.780 but she
01:05:27.420 makes it
01:05:27.960 sexy.
01:05:29.840 Sort of
01:05:30.640 girl-next-door
01:05:31.900 sexy, you
01:05:32.780 know, not
01:05:33.260 gross sexy.
01:05:34.660 and I 0.84
01:05:35.880 think she
01:05:36.320 does it
01:05:36.860 really well.
01:05:39.020 And
01:05:39.340 apparently
01:05:40.340 there's some
01:05:40.940 outrage over
01:05:41.720 it and
01:05:42.980 some
01:05:43.620 progressives
01:05:44.320 are calling
01:05:44.780 it white
01:05:45.240 supremacy
01:05:45.840 propaganda
01:05:46.520 because she
01:05:50.140 said something
01:05:50.800 about she
01:05:51.460 has good
01:05:51.980 genes,
01:05:53.340 meaning she's
01:05:54.220 pretty because
01:05:54.960 she has good
01:05:55.520 genes, but
01:05:56.120 she's also
01:05:56.640 selling blue
01:05:57.820 genes.
01:05:58.180 And
01:05:59.620 apparently
01:06:00.360 if you
01:06:01.480 mention your
01:06:02.000 genes and
01:06:03.660 you're a 0.56
01:06:04.200 pretty white
01:06:05.060 woman, 1.00
01:06:07.040 that's some
01:06:08.260 white supremacy
01:06:08.960 right there.
01:06:12.400 And then
01:06:13.400 CNN reported
01:06:14.640 that this
01:06:15.220 latest mass
01:06:16.080 shooter who
01:06:16.900 went into a
01:06:18.280 building in
01:06:18.840 Manhattan,
01:06:20.400 that he was
01:06:22.560 possibly a
01:06:23.620 white male.
01:06:25.340 Unless you
01:06:26.320 see his
01:06:26.700 picture.
01:06:28.180 And he
01:06:28.520 is not
01:06:28.920 possibly a
01:06:29.600 white male.
01:06:30.520 Let me
01:06:30.820 just put it
01:06:31.260 that way.
01:06:33.100 But
01:06:33.580 apparently the
01:06:34.440 early reports
01:06:35.180 are that he
01:06:35.680 had some
01:06:36.820 kind of 0.58
01:06:37.260 mental health
01:06:38.020 issue.
01:06:38.820 So we
01:06:39.460 don't know
01:06:39.940 exactly why
01:06:40.720 he did what
01:06:41.200 he did.
01:06:42.180 But mental
01:06:42.860 health issue
01:06:43.460 for sure.
01:06:45.980 I wasn't
01:06:46.820 going to talk
01:06:47.340 about this,
01:06:47.980 but there's an
01:06:48.500 angle that I
01:06:49.380 will.
01:06:50.320 So you
01:06:50.840 know the
01:06:51.180 story that
01:06:51.740 in Cincinnati
01:06:52.780 the other
01:06:53.480 day, there
01:06:54.040 was a music
01:06:54.680 festival.
01:06:56.040 And then I
01:06:56.540 think it was
01:06:56.960 after the
01:06:57.400 festival,
01:06:58.180 there was a
01:06:59.380 large crowd
01:07:00.360 of black 0.83
01:07:02.680 people who 0.99
01:07:04.000 beat up 0.52
01:07:04.580 several white 0.99
01:07:05.900 people and 0.96
01:07:06.520 really beat
01:07:07.060 them badly.
01:07:08.020 Well, a
01:07:08.800 hundred or so
01:07:09.540 people watched
01:07:10.380 and filmed.
01:07:12.400 And here's the
01:07:13.060 part that caught
01:07:13.600 my attention.
01:07:15.020 Apparently only
01:07:15.840 one of the
01:07:16.620 100 people
01:07:17.700 called 911.
01:07:18.700 one.
01:07:18.980 So there
01:07:21.460 were a
01:07:22.060 hundred black 0.84
01:07:23.420 Americans
01:07:23.980 watching what
01:07:27.060 looked like
01:07:27.740 entertainment to
01:07:28.800 them, the
01:07:31.140 brutal beating 0.99
01:07:32.400 of some white 0.99
01:07:33.420 people, and
01:07:35.300 only one of
01:07:36.680 the 100
01:07:37.020 people thought
01:07:38.900 to do
01:07:39.300 something about
01:07:39.980 it.
01:07:40.760 Now, I
01:07:41.380 don't know if
01:07:41.880 any of the
01:07:42.280 100 people
01:07:42.800 tried to
01:07:43.280 physically stop
01:07:44.620 the beating
01:07:45.100 because I
01:07:45.760 didn't see
01:07:46.200 that in
01:07:46.640 any of the
01:07:47.120 videos.
01:07:48.900 But someday
01:07:50.960 I'm going to
01:07:51.520 share my
01:07:52.000 secret on how
01:07:52.860 to avoid being
01:07:53.600 brutally attacked.
01:07:55.180 I don't know if
01:07:56.020 you've heard me
01:07:56.820 talk about it
01:07:57.440 before, but I
01:07:58.160 have a secret.
01:07:59.920 If you want to
01:08:00.760 avoid being
01:08:01.320 brutally attacked
01:08:02.160 by a crowd of
01:08:04.060 people who will
01:08:04.800 not call 911 and
01:08:06.180 not try to stop
01:08:07.020 it, I do know
01:08:08.720 how to do that.
01:08:10.460 Someday I'll tell
01:08:11.060 you about it.
01:08:13.040 What?
01:08:18.320 Binghamton
01:08:18.840 University says
01:08:19.920 there's some
01:08:21.140 study that says
01:08:22.160 that most women 1.00
01:08:23.240 in the field of
01:08:24.840 STEM, they're
01:08:26.000 still in school,
01:08:26.900 I guess, feel
01:08:29.700 like frauds.
01:08:31.580 So they, more
01:08:33.340 than men, I
01:08:33.900 guess.
01:08:34.540 Yeah, I think a
01:08:35.100 lot of the men
01:08:35.520 would feel like
01:08:36.100 frauds as well.
01:08:37.480 But a lot of
01:08:37.960 the women, and
01:08:38.920 it's, what
01:08:39.920 percentage was
01:08:40.760 like 97.5% of
01:08:42.860 women in STEM
01:08:43.680 graduate programs
01:08:45.340 report at least
01:08:46.660 a moderate level
01:08:47.500 of imposter
01:08:48.300 experiences.
01:08:49.560 So they don't
01:08:50.400 feel like they're
01:08:50.940 qualified for the
01:08:52.060 field they're in.
01:08:54.020 Now, I have a
01:08:57.040 cure for that.
01:08:58.700 You ready?
01:09:00.280 So this is
01:09:01.300 something that
01:09:01.760 took me a long
01:09:02.380 time to learn.
01:09:03.920 When I first
01:09:05.080 entered the
01:09:06.000 workforce, I, of
01:09:08.880 course, believed
01:09:09.580 that I was
01:09:10.300 worthless because
01:09:11.120 I didn't know
01:09:11.600 anything, had no
01:09:12.340 experience, didn't
01:09:13.300 know how the
01:09:13.640 company worked, and
01:09:15.300 that I was a
01:09:16.200 total imposter, and
01:09:17.720 that I had to just
01:09:18.420 sort of pretend I
01:09:19.440 knew what I was
01:09:19.940 doing.
01:09:20.880 Then eventually, you
01:09:22.040 know, you learn how
01:09:22.720 some things work.
01:09:24.160 But then I would
01:09:25.480 get promoted or
01:09:26.900 change jobs just
01:09:28.640 when I was learning
01:09:29.420 how the thing
01:09:30.180 worked.
01:09:30.940 And then I would
01:09:31.700 be in a new
01:09:32.260 unfamiliar situation
01:09:33.580 in which I was,
01:09:35.140 once again, the
01:09:36.460 least capable person
01:09:37.720 in that
01:09:38.060 environment, but
01:09:39.720 I'd work on it
01:09:40.500 until I could
01:09:41.340 build up some
01:09:41.940 experience and
01:09:42.720 capability, and
01:09:43.440 then I would
01:09:43.780 change jobs again.
01:09:45.500 I changed jobs a
01:09:46.420 lot every, I
01:09:47.340 don't know, six
01:09:47.820 to nine months
01:09:48.460 when I was a
01:09:49.040 banker.
01:09:50.980 And so I
01:09:53.120 often, almost
01:09:55.240 continuously, had
01:09:57.120 the imposter
01:09:57.880 syndrome.
01:09:59.760 But it never
01:10:01.520 really bothered
01:10:02.200 me, except for
01:10:03.860 maybe the first
01:10:04.580 few months.
01:10:06.160 Here's my
01:10:06.860 reframe so
01:10:08.600 that you can
01:10:09.220 learn to avoid
01:10:10.240 your own
01:10:10.660 imposter syndrome.
01:10:12.100 It goes like
01:10:13.020 this.
01:10:14.700 Everybody is an 0.74
01:10:15.820 imposter.
01:10:17.280 Everybody is
01:10:18.000 bluffing.
01:10:18.980 Everybody.
01:10:20.300 All the time.
01:10:21.520 And they also
01:10:22.440 feel that you
01:10:23.720 can tell that
01:10:24.400 they're bluffing.
01:10:25.360 And they're
01:10:25.820 hoping that you
01:10:26.400 don't know that
01:10:27.020 they're bluffing.
01:10:28.260 The moment you
01:10:29.380 realize it's
01:10:30.060 universal, that
01:10:31.540 everybody's bluffing,
01:10:32.980 and they all feel
01:10:34.080 like they don't
01:10:34.600 know enough
01:10:35.040 about their
01:10:35.480 own field,
01:10:37.000 then it won't
01:10:37.440 bother you.
01:10:38.880 You're not the
01:10:39.680 one person who's
01:10:41.480 the imposter.
01:10:42.680 It's all
01:10:43.640 imposters all
01:10:44.600 the way down.
01:10:45.880 It's turtles
01:10:46.400 all the way
01:10:46.940 down.
01:10:48.340 So try that
01:10:49.240 reframe.
01:10:50.560 And by the
01:10:51.000 way, I
01:10:51.560 guarantee it's
01:10:52.400 true.
01:10:53.240 So you don't
01:10:53.860 have to just
01:10:54.360 say it and
01:10:55.360 then not
01:10:55.740 believe it.
01:10:56.520 It's true.
01:10:58.340 Everybody
01:10:58.820 believes that
01:10:59.540 they're an
01:10:59.860 imposter to
01:11:00.520 some degree.
01:11:02.080 So don't
01:11:02.780 worry about
01:11:03.200 it.
01:11:03.360 You can
01:11:04.140 feel that
01:11:04.620 you're an
01:11:05.200 imposter,
01:11:05.980 but don't
01:11:06.780 feel like it
01:11:07.380 matters.
01:11:08.500 That's a
01:11:09.200 completely
01:11:09.600 different
01:11:10.000 question.
01:11:10.480 It doesn't
01:11:10.720 matter.
01:11:12.740 It's the
01:11:13.280 way it's
01:11:13.640 always been.
01:11:16.360 And that,
01:11:17.220 ladies and 0.98
01:11:17.460 gentlemen, is
01:11:18.000 all I have to
01:11:18.640 say for
01:11:19.020 today.
01:11:20.000 And I
01:11:20.620 hope you
01:11:21.060 enjoyed it
01:11:21.860 even a
01:11:22.320 little bit
01:11:22.760 or even
01:11:23.820 a lot.
01:11:24.760 I'm going
01:11:25.320 to talk
01:11:25.860 privately to
01:11:26.640 the people
01:11:27.280 on
01:11:27.760 locals, my
01:11:30.900 beloved
01:11:31.340 subscribers.
01:11:33.040 And the
01:11:33.420 rest of
01:11:33.720 you, thanks
01:11:34.180 for joining.
01:11:34.800 I will see
01:11:35.320 you same
01:11:35.740 time, same
01:11:36.220 place tomorrow
01:11:37.480 for more
01:11:38.440 fun.
01:11:39.280 We'll solve
01:11:39.820 all the
01:11:40.180 problems in
01:11:40.660 the world,
01:11:41.380 and then we'll
01:11:42.240 really launch
01:11:42.880 that golden
01:11:43.400 age.
01:11:44.700 All right,
01:11:45.400 locals,
01:11:46.780 coming at
01:11:47.580 you in 30
01:11:48.560 seconds.
01:11:57.760 .
01:12:27.760 Thank you.
01:12:57.760 Thank you.
01:13:27.760 Thank you.