Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2913 CWSA 07⧸31⧸25

00:00:00.000 there you are come on in i'm checking the stock market which appears to be up

00:00:11.040 so far so good not tesla tesla's down a little bit

00:00:16.000 all right we'll put that on hold while we do a show that you deserve yeah you deserve it

00:00:30.000 all right let's make sure this is all working it's all working

00:00:48.880 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:54.080 coffee with scott adams and if you'd like to take this experience that's already the best thing

00:01:00.560 that ever happened to you up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human

00:01:06.880 brains well all you need for that would be a cup or a mug or a glass a tankard shells a stein

00:01:14.720 a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join

00:01:21.120 me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day the thing that makes

00:01:25.040 everything better it's called the simultaneous sip that happens now go

00:01:37.200 so very good

00:01:43.120 well here's a little uh a little uh tip for you

00:01:46.560 um you might know that my book loser thing was one of the books that got cancelled when i got

00:01:55.120 cancelled so if you tried to buy this you would not be able to but we are gonna reissue it

00:02:01.360 so there'll be a second edition it'll be on amazon and maybe a month or two

00:02:08.000 i will let you know but there's a uh chapter here this was written in 2019

00:02:14.960 and the chapter is called the golden age filter and in it i made a bunch of predictions about how

00:02:24.160 the golden age would unfold and you might say to yourself oh i wonder if those predictions are

00:02:32.160 anything like what's actually happened now that uh the predictions were actually before the pandemic

00:02:38.560 right before so you might want to check that out i think you'll be amused

00:02:43.040 see what i got right see what i got wrong well i would like to get your brains ready for the rest

00:02:51.120 of the show with a little bit of an exercise all right uh those of you who are my regular viewers

00:02:58.880 i would like you to give me the answer to the question i haven't asked yet go

00:03:03.040 if you're new boy are you going to be impressed watch this all right everybody the answer to the

00:03:11.680 question before i ask the question go there it is that is the correct answer 25

00:03:22.320 well rassima said in the polling company says that uh 73 percent of likely u.s voters

00:03:29.120 believe that requiring a photo id to vote is a reasonable measure to protect the integrity of

00:03:35.760 elections so let's see if 73 percent think it's a good idea and there are a few people who don't know

00:03:44.880 what they're doing but uh 21 percent disagree 21 percent think it's not reasonable to check id

00:03:53.440 but i will give you full credit for 25 percent because you know margin of error

00:04:02.400 well according to new atlas uh one diet soda a day increases type 2 diabetes risk by 38 percent

00:04:10.800 according to a new landmark study 14 year study so let's see um if a diet soda can give you type 2

00:04:23.040 diabetes or make your risk of it much higher let me check okay yes yes a hundred percent of the

00:04:32.080 things i was told as a kid have turned out to be wrong all of it i don't know about you but i learned

00:04:41.440 you can't eat a sandwich and go swimming for an hour totally made up i don't know about you but i learned

00:04:48.960 you have to drink how many how many glasses of water every day totally made up totally made up i learned

00:04:57.120 that the safest thing you could do for your health is put on sunscreen before you go out in the sun

00:05:03.920 well maybe the jury is still out on that but the smartest people i know are not using sunscreen

00:05:11.760 because apparently it's just a chemical that gets in your body then of course there was the food pyramid

00:05:17.360 you all remember that right completely upside down and wrong and probably still is let's see what else

00:05:26.800 then there was uh what we believed about carbohydrates there was uh alcohol is good

00:05:33.520 for you in moderation which turned out not to be true so yes 100 of everything i was taught as a young

00:05:42.880 person was made up all of it but my my whole uh first part of my life was just fake but thank god

00:05:57.760 that you're here and i'm here at this time when finally we have all the correct answers to all the

00:06:04.560 scientific questions am i right yeah just think about how lucky that is that after i don't know let's say

00:06:13.840 the last 1.5 million years of evolution where we were completely wrong about reality just totally wrong

00:06:23.280 didn't didn't have a clue and then during my childhood we were still wrong during my life still wrong about

00:06:32.720 everything but thank goodness i had i'm still alive when we figured out everything and now we're not wrong

00:06:40.960 about anything right wait right how many of you have fallen for the illusion

00:06:53.680 that we used to be wrong in the past but but now we've got things pretty well figured out

00:06:59.280 i used to believe that i used to believe that the humans were fundamentally desperately wrong about

00:07:10.640 all the important questions for 1.5 million years in a row but thank goodness thank goodness i was born

00:07:19.280 in the time when we finally got everything right there's almost no chance that the things you believe

00:07:26.000 are true and right are true and right are true and right there's almost no chance it's never been true

00:07:33.040 we've never been right about anything important

00:07:39.200 but you it would make you crazy to imagine that we were just wrong about everything so you you tell

00:07:46.640 yourself this weird little story that well we were wrong for 1.5 million years in a row

00:07:53.040 but finally got it right just when you were born uh-huh uh-huh uh well cj pearson has a opinion piece

00:08:02.880 in fox news cj is uh talking about the war on hot women

00:08:09.280 i could tell you what uh month it is by telling you what stories are the top stories

00:08:15.680 it's summertime people it's summertime so the big story is the war on hot women 0.86

00:08:26.240 and somehow the uh the pundits have managed to turn it into an actual story by uh uh by pretending

00:08:35.360 that sydney sweeney who did the uh advertisement the sexy advertisement for american eagle which apparently

00:08:42.800 worked really worked really well and they sold out of their jeans they sold out if you wanted to buy

00:08:49.120 some of those jeans couldn't do it it was so successful and uh finally we're allowed to be

00:08:57.360 commonsensical again even if it hurts people's feelings so apparently the uh the ugliest people 0.90

00:09:05.360 are very unhappy that uh that sydney sweeney and american eagle would be talking about jeans

00:09:14.240 even though it was a joke and even though we can clearly see that that young woman has good genes

00:09:21.280 we're not allowed to say that anybody has good genes you're not allowed to say it because if you did

00:09:27.600 it would sort of change all of society because then you might say well you know maybe maybe things are

00:09:38.080 the way they ought to be because uh people had the good genes did the best uh oh can't say that

00:09:44.960 cannot say that you know how i always tease that billionaires when billionaires are asked what's

00:09:51.520 the secret of their success do you know what they'd never say well to be perfectly honest i'm just

00:09:58.640 smarter than the people who didn't do as well because that plus hard work will explain a lot mark zuckerberg

00:10:10.480 was he successful just because he tried hard no although he did try hard he is really smart

00:10:19.200 elon musk is it because he worked hard well he did work hard still does but he's smarter than the

00:10:27.520 average person and i could go down the line and you would find that all these super successful people

00:10:34.960 are unusually smart and we're supposed to ignore that right and act like none of that mattered all right

00:10:46.320 all right fine but the uh sydney sweeney thing does show that apparently there's a little bit of common

00:10:54.160 sense that's coming back but if you were one of those people who is um let's say jealous and angry

00:11:02.080 that uh sydney sweeney is getting attention for you know being attractive and being born that way mostly 1.00

00:11:07.360 i would give you this following consolation there has never been an easier time to be in the top 10

00:11:17.920 of attractive adults still hard to do it if you're young because you know that's just what you're born

00:11:25.120 with but if you wanted to be in the top 10 of attractive adults all you have to do is eat right and go to the

00:11:32.320 gym that's it you know maybe put a little of attention a little bit of attention in what you do with your

00:11:38.880 haircut and you know maybe learn a little bit about how to dress but oh my god it's never been easier

00:11:46.960 to be in the top 10 percent so if you're not in the top 10 percent maybe you put a little bit of work

00:11:55.280 into it and you can get there uh elon musk speaking of elon is bragging that uh x is now the number one 0.90

00:12:05.280 news app in the usa do you remember uh all the smart dumb people you know the people with high iqs

00:12:15.200 who told you that uh x had no chance of success and that uh it was a terrible move by musk uh he is 0.86

00:12:24.960 he's only good at building cars and rockets there's no reason to think he would be good at running a 0.93

00:12:30.240 social media company and then he fired 80 of his staff and then all the smart dumb people said well 0.96

00:12:37.040 told you look you have to fire everybody and then and then the advertisers started uh joining together 0.88

00:12:45.280 to boycott it and then he said well there you go there's no way that's ever going to work

00:12:50.400 well it turns out that elon musk had one thing that other people didn't have

00:12:58.880 he is way smarter than you are he's smarter than i am and apparently he knew how to make it work and he

00:13:06.960 has it's now the number one news app in the usa well kamala harris has announced that she will not be

00:13:16.400 running for california governor now i would like to announce that i will also not be running

00:13:25.520 to be governor of california now my reason is that i wouldn't have a chance in hell of winning i wonder what

00:13:31.840 her reason would be could it be that she doesn't have a chance in hell of winning and it would end 1.00

00:13:38.480 all of her prospects forever if she ran for that and lost which she probably would the smart people

00:13:45.120 say um however i would like to suggest there might be one other reason i mean maybe she's planning to run 0.99

00:13:54.480 for president yet maybe she hasn't ruled it out i don't know uh but she may have some personal reasons

00:14:03.120 for doing it we don't know well uh jerome powell did and the fed did not cut interest rates yesterday at

00:14:14.080 their meeting where they told us their decisions they did not cut interest rates now of course uh trump is 0.99

00:14:20.960 not too happy about that um he said that uh jerome powell is uh too late too angry too stupid and too 0.99

00:14:30.800 political total loser now you know how i always compliment trump for being um able to read the 0.99

00:14:40.880 room and being persuasive and especially one-on-one like with individuals but it's hard for me to imagine 0.93

00:14:49.920 that jerome powell could ever give trump what he wants knowing that jerome powell's contract is up in may

00:14:57.520 if my contract were up in may and uh my political enemy had been absolutely savaging me for months

00:15:08.400 i wouldn't give them what they wanted even if it were really important to the country

00:15:13.840 i would be just so mad that i would just say i guess i won't become your interest rates

00:15:19.360 because people are humans so i think that uh there was probably no chance that the government could

00:15:27.440 browbeat jerome powell into doing that and he didn't we'll talk about that some more apparently in

00:15:33.680 2024 which would be if you're keeping track of your calendar last year last year uh democrat elizabeth

00:15:42.080 warren senator warren um was on tv saying that jerome powell needs to cut interest rates

00:15:49.360 what does she say now that trump is president now she says 2025 trump needs to stop calling for

00:15:57.200 jerome powell to cut interest rates

00:16:01.360 yes elizabeth warren is one of the designated liars there are there's a handful of people democrats who 1.00

00:16:10.240 i always tell you if you see them go on tv that means that they've decided they have to go with a lie

00:16:16.320 and it's not just an ordinary lie it's a big one one that you could easily debunk with you know a few

00:16:23.760 minutes of effort but there are several people from swalwell to raskin to elizabeth warren who you could

00:16:31.680 pretty much depend on will say whatever lie needs to be said at the time so elizabeth warren

00:16:46.080 so senator josh hawley has introduced legislation to ban members of congress from owning or trading

00:16:54.560 individual stocks the individual stocks the problem is that they have inside information so if they were

00:17:01.040 to trade stocks um they would be tempted to cheat or we'd expect that they might cheat so it's an ugly

00:17:10.400 situation and of course uh people blame nancy pelosi for insider trading which she denies 1.00

00:17:17.120 uh even though it would be totally legal congress is the one entity that has legal right to do insider

00:17:24.560 trading um and president trump was asked about that and apparently even republicans don't like the idea

00:17:33.760 that uh holly is putting forward the idea of uh banning congress members from added from owning stock

00:17:41.120 but trump was asked about it and he said well i like it conceptually he said i don't know about it but i

00:17:49.040 like it conceptually um i'm going to surprise you probably by saying i'm opposed to holly's legislation

00:18:01.280 because people in congress are not exactly overpaid you know that if anything they're probably underpaid

00:18:08.880 trade and i understand that they have advantages but i would handle it with transparency

00:18:17.760 now there are already i think there's already a website or a startup or something there are reports

00:18:23.680 whenever congress makes a trade so that you could match it now there might be a timing problem

00:18:31.360 that congress you know can get in a few days before you know about the trade or something like that

00:18:36.320 but you you basically know what the trade is and if you wanted you could match your own investments

00:18:44.560 to be the same as the politicians and then you can if they make money you make money um i don't like

00:18:54.080 i don't like taking a basic right away from politicians who are trying to serve the country that's you know

00:19:00.880 best case scenario um do you think we should deny them the right to do the most basic financial thing that anybody does

00:19:09.120 it's pretty basic

00:19:12.160 if the if the legislation says that they can own stocks but only if they're in funds

00:19:20.240 so it's not about individual companies it's about funds like the whole stock market

00:19:25.280 i definitely wouldn't have any problem with that because then they would they would have some skin 0.87

00:19:31.680 into the game of america but uh no i don't like this um i would rather have transparency and if they have

00:19:40.240 some insider information you would have it too because you'd say oh that would always use this insider

00:19:46.080 information which is legal and that if you see the move you just copy the move if it bothers you

00:19:52.480 um nancy pelosi agreed to go on cnn she thought she was going to be asked questions about the 0.98

00:20:01.040 60th anniversary of medicaid and that would give her i guess an excuse to say bad things about 0.94

00:20:08.160 republicans and trump so she goes on and jake tapper um asked her about the idea of uh insider trading

00:20:18.160 and uh she had a bit of a meltdown over that and she said why do you have to read that that's not

00:20:26.880 what i agreed to come and talk about so she got mad at the question don't you think

00:20:34.960 that getting mad at that question is sort of a tell because if you put me in that position i would

00:20:42.640 say something like well i leave all my investing to my husband we don't talk about work you know which

00:20:51.040 i'm sure is not true but it'd be an easy way to defend yourself and then you could say something like

00:20:58.720 well you know it's all public it's all transparent you can see exactly what stocks i buy and when

00:21:04.480 and if you wanted to copy it you could so i would say that her reaction that she wasn't being treated

00:21:16.400 special by the news tells you something doesn't it she agrees to go and cnn and believe that she had

00:21:25.040 successfully told them what they could and could not ask on a news program and then to his credit

00:21:32.480 um jake tapper asked her anyway she got mad so brown university is going to settle with the white 0.99

00:21:41.440 house for 50 million dollars uh that they're going to give to some workforce development organizations

00:21:48.480 so it's a settlement but you know the money doesn't go into the into the uh government's coffers it goes

00:21:55.520 into some things that the government wanted them to put it into which is good news max is

00:22:02.080 reporting on this and uh so that is how many how many colleges that now have decided to fund something

00:22:12.000 that trump wanted them to fund so he's got law firms giving him money or giving his campaign money

00:22:23.200 or doing some kind of pro bono stuff he's got universities lining up to give him millions of

00:22:28.000 dollars or at least put it into things that the trump administration wants so that's working

00:22:38.960 news max is also saying that uh elon musk's uh america party that he threatened he would launch a third

00:22:47.120 party political party appears stalled now i don't think we can conclude that because there's no super hurry to

00:22:56.480 form it so he might he might still be you know asking around and doing some research maybe we don't know

00:23:04.000 we don't know what he's thinking but uh at least some people believe that he may have been threatening

00:23:11.600 it to blow off steam and that he's now just fully committed to working on his companies and probably

00:23:18.000 has no particular interest driving him to do that third party i don't know i feel like that could go

00:23:25.600 either way but if i were to predict which i will i predict he will not form the third party

00:23:35.440 um i think he would prefer having it out there as maybe a risk in case people go after him but

00:23:43.600 probably he'll hold back that's just my guess don't really know julie 0.99

00:23:50.480 julie julie don't be a piece of shit julie um too late when i found out my friend got a great deal 0.99

00:24:00.800 on a wool coat from winners i started wondering is every fabulous item i see from winners like that 1.00

00:24:07.680 woman over there with the designer jeans are those from winners ooh or those beautiful gold earrings did 1.00

00:24:14.000 she pay full price or that leather tote or that cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress 1.00

00:24:19.600 that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full price for anything stop wondering start winning winners

00:24:27.040 find fabulous for less well china has unveiled a humanoid robot another company i haven't mentioned yet

00:24:36.240 with a brain that runs 275 trillion operations per second right what do you think you could do with a robot

00:24:46.800 whose brain could do 275 trillion operations per second well so far all it can do is move boxes from one place to another

00:24:58.320 that's all it does it just moves boxes but they're very proud of the fact that it can tell the difference

00:25:06.560 between a small box and a big box and it knows what to move where all right sure uh shanghai electric

00:25:16.560 that's the name of the company so i am not impressed by the robot that can move boxes of various sizes

00:25:24.720 um but then an american company named figure is also building a humanoid robot and their leader brett adcock

00:25:37.360 um showed us a video of one of the robots he has in his home that is uh putting laundry into the washing

00:25:45.760 machine so it's reaching into a laundry bag and putting the laundry into the into the washing machine

00:25:53.040 now what did the video not show here's what the video did not show could the robot also put um

00:26:04.560 soap in the washing machine and know how to operate the controls and turn it on could it come back later

00:26:11.680 and move that wet laundry into the dryer and then use those controls to dry it i'm guessing that if it

00:26:20.080 could do those things that the video would have been edited to show that it can do the entire laundry

00:26:27.360 process but i would like to triple down on my prediction that we do not have the technology that

00:26:35.840 would power robots obviously we all think we can get there but we're not really even in the right domain

00:26:45.600 i don't even think they have the right you know approach it looks like it's just sort of not possible

00:26:56.240 now if i had to bet on it i would bet that they would you know it will be solved at some point in

00:27:02.400 the history but if you think that we're a few months away from humanoid robots which by the way last year

00:27:10.480 i believe elon musk was saying that the end of this year which is sort of right around the corner um

00:27:18.880 that we see our first humanoid robots with a general sort of general intelligence some version of it we're

00:27:26.480 not going to see that would you agree we're definitely not within a year of having a autonomous

00:27:34.960 robot that you can just give it assignments that is never seen before like imagine a robot where you

00:27:41.280 could say um i want you to reorganize these shelves but it's never been taught to do that we're not

00:27:51.280 really we don't have any way to make that happen but we can move boxes from one place to another and we

00:27:59.680 can have a robot take laundry out of one one container and put it in another and that's it

00:28:06.880 that's apparently that's all they do

00:28:11.840 well in economic news the jobless claims numbers came in and they're just a pretty close to estimates

00:28:22.880 i guess a stock market like that because the market's higher did you see that the gross domestic product

00:28:30.320 was at three percent um which is better than it was in the spring um three percent would be a good

00:28:38.480 solid gdp number and inflation also is not too bad so i would like to save for the record because i

00:28:49.600 haven't said this and i feel very bad about it if you believe the gdp number that would be a mistake

00:28:57.200 a lot of uh trump supporters and i'm one of them have sort of celebrated that inflation did not go up

00:29:06.640 with tariffs and they have it hasn't really and that the gdp

00:29:12.480 you know was solid but here's why you should not be too happy about that

00:29:17.840 the the tariffs haven't even kicked in we we have no idea um what impact the tariffs will have on

00:29:27.600 inflation why do you think we already know the answer to that we don't know the answer to that

00:29:32.560 there have been a few special deals but probably almost nothing compared to what it will be or

00:29:41.280 could be in terms of the total tariff impact so i'm one of the people who was doing a little bit of

00:29:50.400 too early celebrating saying whoa look at this trump's a genius and he was right the tariffs have no no real

00:29:57.760 effect or at least not one that's going to stop us uh on inflation we don't know that

00:30:05.280 hasn't even we're not even in the uh tariffs have happened phase much less the knowing the long-term

00:30:13.120 impact now i'm not opposed to the tariffs i'm not opposed to them but i'm going to retreat to

00:30:20.240 what i keep calling the dano perino perino um view which is we really don't know

00:30:29.360 maybe it would be the best idea that anybody's ever had maybe it will just cause too much inflation

00:30:36.240 and we'll wish it hadn't happened both of those are still possible you know and maybe we'll know by

00:30:42.880 the end of the year but we don't know yet and so i would say with inflation and gdp

00:30:50.160 that they both look good but there are reasons that they would look good at the moment

00:30:56.400 that would not apply to the rest of the year so i i like the optimism i like the fact that the

00:31:03.760 republicans are touting it as a win i like the fact that the pundits are touting it as a win and i was

00:31:10.880 touting it as an economic win as well but i want to just be on record saying i'm not stupid

00:31:20.240 it's way too early it's way too early to know it's a win so i'm not stupid but i'm optimistic

00:31:28.720 so you know i don't mind rolling with a little bit because optimism is what drives the economy

00:31:35.120 if you act optimistic even if you're just acting it's good for the economy because it makes other

00:31:41.280 people think things are fine and then they invest and spend and do all those things that drive the

00:31:46.560 economy all right um president trump put a 50 tariff on brazilian goods so that's likely to increase the

00:31:57.280 price of the price of what

00:32:02.480 what 50 percent increase of tariff on brazilian goods is likely to lift the price of

00:32:09.280 coffee

00:32:16.960 well remember i told you it wasn't a perfect world the price of coffee might go up

00:32:23.600 but trump is also citing an executive order and then what is called the de minimis trade loophole

00:32:33.840 for low value packages so it used to be that if you sent um ship something into the u.s some goods that

00:32:41.120 you were selling to companies in the u.s um you didn't have to pay a tariff if it was below

00:32:47.680 800 but now you will pay a duty or a tariff on all that so will that increase inflation it should

00:33:01.680 it should increase inflation i mean that's how things work but maybe not maybe not we'll see

00:33:14.320 well the uh this trend that i love to death of trump being able to announce a new trade deal

00:33:21.920 you know like once a week or once every few days and once again he's got another big win or at least

00:33:28.800 on paper it looks that way south korea has agreed to a deal and part of that deal involves them

00:33:37.680 putting money into u.s investments that the u.s would direct so we would tell them where to invest

00:33:44.400 or at least approve where they invest and they said yes to that now if you're if you're not catching

00:33:51.680 the pattern yet it looks like this that it looks like trump is injecting into the conversations

00:34:00.160 that they need to commit to some kind of you know huge multi-billion dollar amount of investments in

00:34:07.040 the united states technically that would not be part of trade but also technically i don't believe there's

00:34:16.160 the penalty if they don't do it so i'm not sure how many of these billion dollar investments in the

00:34:24.720 u.s are really going to happen if they don't happen i suppose trump could you know increase their tariff

00:34:32.800 so he does have a lever and a stick um but i'm not sure i believe the numbers i suspect most of those

00:34:40.560 companies say to themselves uh it would be better to say we're going to do this and then wait for the

00:34:47.120 next president to get in office and maybe he won't push it so much so if we don't do it all in you know

00:34:53.200 within trump's term we'll say how about we give you 350 billion investments over 10 years because then

00:35:01.120 you know they can just wait for trump to be out of office so but on paper and in terms of the news

00:35:08.000 cycle big win south korea major trading partner came in under the deadline but also we hear from

00:35:18.080 howard ludnick commerce secretary that uh we also have a deal with thailand and cambodia

00:35:27.840 for a trade deal don't know the details of that some say it's not quite done some say it is

00:35:33.440 but another great week for trump and uh trump has allegedly struck some kind of an oil deal with

00:35:44.480 pakistan uh that's a big deal big deal for deals it's days away from finalization so it's not done

00:35:53.040 done but it looks like it's going to happen and uh i think what it does is allow a u.s company that has

00:36:01.520 not been yet named to be the you be a major player in exploiting the uh oil that pakistan has so that

00:36:10.560 sounds positive every one of these trade deals and that oil deal i say to myself nobody thought of this

00:36:20.080 before like it feels like trump is just picking up all this free money it's like well why don't we

00:36:27.920 negotiate with them okay and then he got he has this tariff idea that allows him to negotiate effectively

00:36:38.800 and also put a you know artificial time limits on when they have to make a deal i believe there's a

00:36:46.160 really good chance assuming that inflation doesn't get out of control but if things keep going well

00:36:52.560 and so far they are but remember we don't know yet by the end of the year we'll know a lot more if if

00:36:59.600 trump keeps pushing this approach where the tariffs are used as a lever and a weapon and then he simply

00:37:10.560 proposes deals with all kinds of different countries he could just keep doing that forever

00:37:16.880 and it will go down into history that's probably just the smartest thing any american president ever

00:37:23.920 did um i don't know if history will ever give him the full weight of a uh of let's say respect

00:37:32.880 for how he's created an asset out of nothing he created an asset out of nothing the the whole tariff thing

00:37:41.520 it was like it didn't exist until he got there now it not only exists he's made it the biggest thing

00:37:49.040 that our our allies worry about so they better get that fixed otherwise it's going to cost them

00:37:57.760 claudia was leaving for her pickleball tournament i've been visualizing my match all week she was so 0.99

00:38:03.040 focused on visualizing that she didn't see the column behind her car on her backhand side

00:38:07.360 good thing claudia's with intact the insurer with the largest network of auto service centers in the

00:38:13.520 country everything was taken care of under one roof and she was on her way in a rental car in no time

00:38:18.560 i made it to my tournament and lost in the first round but you got there on time intact insurance

00:38:25.040 your auto service ace certain conditions apply anyway so that's happening and then uh

00:38:32.320 according to i saw a post on x by nas tech ai which i don't know if it's if that's an ai account

00:38:40.320 or somebody who's just involved in the ai by the way it was good summary there of the what the maha

00:38:46.560 make america healthy again commission delivered uh apparently they've delivered their report

00:38:53.200 and uh they found four root causes that i believe they want to look into more they're causing all the

00:39:00.400 childhood um what do you call it chronic diseases because the chronic diseases are out of control

00:39:08.880 they've narrowed it down to ultra processed foods environmental toxins chronic stress and inactivity

00:39:16.400 and over medicalization of children and to me that feels right again i remind you that everything we

00:39:25.680 knew about health for the last 1.5 million years all of it wrong but finally we're right i don't know we'll see

00:39:37.280 and then uh apparently some things are getting done that are good such as uh trump approved uh waivers

00:39:46.800 to snap that's the food that's made available through the government to people who can't afford food snap

00:39:53.680 um but snap will not now you won't be able to buy junk food with your food stamps so nebraska indiana and

00:40:03.600 iowa have already signed on to that so you can't buy junk food um and the fda is phasing out eight common

00:40:12.560 artificial food dyes so they will no longer be approved by the fda after the little time has gone by to

00:40:19.440 phased amount um and then trump is doing that most favored nation thing with pharmaceutical stocks

00:40:27.280 where he says we won't pay more than the other countries pay so that could be a big saver we'll see

00:40:34.240 um and of course he's got that uh tariff club he's using on that too um and then i guess rfk jr is

00:40:44.160 doing something about institutional capture which is where the fda and other approving organizations

00:40:52.640 um get staffed with people who know they have a job at the very place that they're approving this as

00:40:58.560 they're done so you want to get rid of that that conflict of interest so those are good things

00:41:06.240 things i don't know if that's enough but they're good things i was listening to uh rfk jr uh talking at some event

00:41:18.000 and he very cleverly started his comments by saying that he's been coming to the white house for 65 years

00:41:26.320 um you know because his relatives were or jfk was there and he said that the white house has never looked better

00:41:35.760 just you know just the physical look of the inside of it uh apparently he's impressed

00:41:43.200 with how trump has improved the uh the decorations or the furniture or whatever

00:41:50.240 and so he brought that up to sort of compliment trump in front of a room full of people while the

00:41:56.240 cameras were going and it was one of the smartest compliments you'll ever see in your life

00:42:01.760 because you know that trump cares about that he cares that he could make the white house look better

00:42:09.600 than it had ever looked before great compliments so if you you know here's one of the things i i try to

00:42:17.040 teach in my my books compliments are free if you're thinking of giving somebody a compliment

00:42:26.320 and it's genuine you're really impressed by something and you keep it to yourself

00:42:33.200 that's not exactly something to be proud of it didn't cost you anything and if you deliver that

00:42:40.640 compliment there would probably be some great payoff at least to the person who got the compliment

00:42:45.040 so compliments are something you should learn how to give you'll never see a better one rfk jr knows

00:42:54.000 how to give a compliment that was one hell of a well-crafted compliment that came at an unexpected

00:43:00.960 time that which also helps by the way here's the here's the other tip a compliment that's not expected

00:43:09.040 it's not triggered by something in the atmosphere is way more powerful if you just drop a compliment

00:43:15.520 nobody expected like that but i also noticed that rfk jr's voice appeared the best it's ever been

00:43:28.000 and i wondered if he's continuing to improve or maybe because he's not actually running for election

00:43:35.120 for anything maybe he's talking less and maybe that you know gives his voice some strength but have you

00:43:41.440 noticed that his voice isn't perfect but if you were to compare it to what it was three years ago

00:43:50.480 it looks really improved and my observation which i'd love to give to him in person is that it looks

00:43:56.880 well it looks like he's figuring out the mechanics of speech and every now and then when he tries to speak

00:44:06.160 and he doesn't have enough air um it's imperfect but when he takes a nice breath and makes everything

00:44:15.760 vibrate when he speaks and speaks up in the mask of his face it's uh nearly perfect so i feel like

00:44:24.880 if he's figured out how to produce the perfect voice all he has to learn is how to pause so that he can

00:44:32.400 stay perfect because the the temptation is to finish your sentence if you're talking in public you know if

00:44:40.400 you start a sentence and then you run out of air you still want to finish the sentence because you know

00:44:46.560 you started it and it would be weird if you just stopped in the middle but i would advise anybody who has

00:44:52.000 a similar situation to stop in the middle people won't even notice watch this i'm going to start a

00:44:59.840 sentence and then i'm going to make you wait before i finish the sentence all i did was take a breath

00:45:08.880 so that the second part of the sentence is as strong as the first part because i was running out of breath a

00:45:18.240 little bit that's it so i think uh rfk jr is on he's on the verge of fixing his voice just through his own work

00:45:29.200 i think well i saw chanel ryan of oan talking about gina haspel who was the head of the cia under uh

00:45:40.320 trump and um biden right um did you know that she was uh sort of a favorite of john brennan

00:45:49.680 and he had picked her to be the london station um chief of the cia so when brennan was ahead of the cia he

00:46:01.360 picked her for one of the you know most important assignments and she was there in london when the

00:46:10.400 steel dossier was created and according to cash patel she had also blocked some russia gate evidence

00:46:20.560 so chanel ryan is suggesting uh that the the hint is that she might be one of the one of the bad guys

00:46:32.000 so i i don't think we have proof of that but more documents are coming out and uh so apparently

00:46:40.480 according to just the news there will be some newly declassified evidence coming out

00:46:45.840 that says the fbi conspired with clinton to legitimize the russia gate allegations and

00:46:55.040 we expect that the new declassified documents again this is according to just news who has some

00:47:01.280 sources uh the new stuff is going to say that the fbi was a willing participant in the plot

00:47:08.480 they weren't somebody who was also fooled by clinton they knew exactly what she was doing

00:47:16.160 and they participated now if that's true meaning that it's true that we have documentation that

00:47:24.720 demonstrates that clearly oh my goodness oh my goodness well brennan and clapper apparently did a

00:47:33.520 opinion piece of the new york times um to try to defend themselves their defense is we did not

00:47:43.200 technically say anything wrong we said that uh the assessment said that russia didn't directly change

00:47:50.640 votes with their hacking uh we did not say that russia um influenced things with their influence campaign

00:48:01.680 now um so that's what they said so they they basically use the complexity of the situation

00:48:12.880 along with the fact that they know that 99 of the public can't follow this story

00:48:18.000 i can just sort of barely keep up by warning that i probably get some of the details wrong

00:48:26.480 you know i'm smart and it's part of my i guess you'd call it my my job at the moment

00:48:33.040 um to keep up with it and i can barely do it and and you know i have a what would you call it uh imposter

00:48:41.440 syndrome it's not really imposter syndrome if it's true that you're not good at the thing and i'm

00:48:50.160 definitely not good at the thing the thing being explaining the story about the russia hoax but

00:48:57.760 luckily we have sean davis ceo and co-founder of the federalist who is on x which you might know as the

00:49:06.480 number one news app in the world so if you're not on x you're probably a little lost about everything

00:49:13.840 honestly if you're not on x you really don't know what's going on have you tried to look at news

00:49:21.040 without without x as the explainer oh my god you wouldn't know anything you need x and all the

00:49:30.880 commenters who have a different angle on stuff before you can actually get a 3d picture of what's

00:49:36.960 going on so sean davis is especially good at explaining stuff and i just want to read you

00:49:44.240 his counter to brennan and clapper saying we didn't do anything wrong uh you just don't understand

00:49:51.040 what we did versus what we're accused of and once you understood it well then you'd see we didn't

00:49:56.080 do anything wrong so sean davis says in their latest op-ed in the new york times brendan and

00:50:01.200 clapper claim that the bogus steel dossier was not included or referenced in the infamous 2016 2017

00:50:10.240 ica that's intelligence an intelligence report the ica falsely alleging that putin stole the election

00:50:17.760 from hillary so this is what they brendan and clapper said in their in their op-ed they said we have

00:50:26.800 testified under oath in the reviews the assessments have confirmed that the dossier was not used as a

00:50:34.400 source or taken into account for any of its analysis or conclusions now that's the most important thing

00:50:42.240 because apparently it's easy to demonstrate that they did not have credibility so we know that the

00:50:49.840 report did not have credibility we also know that uh oh that brendan and clapper i think we know this

00:50:58.720 didn't think it was credible so they were aware it wasn't credible so if they did not include it in

00:51:05.600 their reports then that's fine right but what if they just lied about that okay so here's what sean

00:51:15.360 davis tells us he goes so not only did brendan and clapper use the steel dossier in the ica which would be

00:51:21.920 the opposite of what they just said they did they produced separate versions of the ica to hide their

00:51:28.240 tracks oh so they can claim that they didn't do it because there are two icas and they'll just talk 0.98

00:51:39.040 about the one that doesn't have it all right they produce separate versions of the ica to hide their

00:51:45.920 tracks they lied to congress about what they did knowing that congress only had access to the version of

00:51:53.040 the document that comported with their lies oh sean davis good job they leaked steel dossier lies to media

00:52:04.080 to inject the claims into the public bloodstream well i don't know if we know the path of leaking but

00:52:12.560 that's the accusation and then continue to lie about what they did for the next nine years including in

00:52:19.440 this op-ed including in this op-ed which means the statute of limitations has not run out because

00:52:32.400 they're still doing it this week and the statute of limitations uh starts counting when they stop doing

00:52:41.040 things that are the thing you're accusing them of this would suggest that they're still doing the hoax

00:52:46.720 if sean davis is correct in his analysis um in the secret non-public version of the ica four bullet

00:52:57.120 points were listed in support of the key judgment so there's one version of the report referred to the

00:53:03.360 steel document uh you know very specifically said we're looking at these things the fourth was sourced

00:53:11.200 directly to the steel dossier annex but in the versions of the ica provided to congress and the public

00:53:17.760 the fourth bullet citing the steel dossier and the annex itself were removed from the document without a

00:53:25.520 trace all footnotes to cited material were also removed so if you removed all the footnotes to it it didn't

00:53:35.360 happen by itself that that sort of if you see the turtle on the on the fence post it didn't get there by

00:53:42.880 itself and uh sean davis says they are clearly engaged in an ongoing criminal conspiracy to cover

00:53:51.520 up their crimes and they deserve to be held accountable um to what they did and continue to do to the country

00:53:58.320 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package learn more at scotia bank.com

00:54:08.320 slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer than you think

00:54:15.040 all right and i guess the federalist has a uh big story today that a whistleblower who called shenanigans

00:54:24.240 on the claims in the in that ica report was threatened for refusing to sign on to the false claims

00:54:32.960 so this is what i've been waiting for i've been waiting for the whistleblowers because you know

00:54:40.080 there's people there who have their lips up to the whistle and they're just thinking ah oh i so want to

00:54:47.680 talk about this i really really want to talk about this but you know my career would be over if i do

00:54:55.600 and it probably will be um well maggie hemingway also of the federalist um says the obama team is

00:55:06.400 acting uh absolutely terrified about being held accountable for the russian collusion hoax

00:55:11.920 and i couldn't be happier about it now she she has better sources than most of us so um i don't know

00:55:20.240 that they're being terrified but when i saw brennan uh being asked about it on msnbc he looked terrified

00:55:28.960 to me now that may have been my bias because i expected him to be terrified so maybe i just imagined

00:55:37.680 it could have just imagined it um but i would love to know what they're saying behind the closed doors

00:55:43.760 i will note that trump is torturing them um like a cat with a mouse by sending out these memes showing

00:55:52.640 that um showing them behind bars and suggesting that they need to be indicted now he's not doing those

00:56:01.680 things but it looks like the mechanism for that to happen isn't is an action so i do believe that the

00:56:10.160 department of justice is looking into it and may have already come up with a bunch of uh ideas about

00:56:17.520 how to prosecute so i feel like it's going to happen and the question i have now is what would happen to

00:56:27.200 the country your common sense tells you that if the prior administration is seriously indicted and

00:56:37.680 put in jail that that would be just ripping apart the fabric of the country and so you shouldn't do it

00:56:45.360 even if you know that justice requires it but you know you don't want to destroy the country just to

00:56:51.280 have that bit of justice that you so desperately want here's what i think i don't know what democrats

00:56:59.360 would say about this i feel like it would be a split opinion because the evidence of their crimes

00:57:07.680 appear to be really clear meaning it's all documented and there almost certainly will be

00:57:13.840 more whistleblowers coming forward so would the democrats decide that they had to i don't know do what

00:57:23.200 take up weapons what would they do if if it were proven that their team was behind one of the most

00:57:32.880 destructive hoaxes in the history of humans what would they do would they say oh you know i'm on this

00:57:43.520 team so i have to fight hard or would they do what they're doing now i talked about this yesterday

00:57:52.240 half of the democrats are still scrappy and trying to make something of their bad situation but half of 0.99

00:57:58.880 them are just insulting the other half and saying you're idiots we got to get rid of the woke stuff 1.00

00:58:06.720 we don't have any ideas that people like we don't have any policies we don't have any good leaders we 1.00

00:58:11.360 don't have any messages so i feel as if the democrats have um through their own actions created a

00:58:19.200 situation where they're not so team oriented as they were even one year ago and that uh they only have

00:58:28.320 to have a split opinion in order for trump to be able to get away with um indicting these past leaders in

00:58:37.360 other words if we thought that 98 percent of democrats would say whoa whoa they did not break

00:58:46.160 any laws there's no evidence you're just law-faring them then it wouldn't be a good idea it would it 0.63

00:58:52.640 would tear the country apart and even i would say damn it you know maybe we should let this go

00:58:58.960 but when you have a situation where the democrats are already already tearing each other apart and saying 0.95

00:59:05.760 you know we can't we can't we can't act like this anymore it doesn't work then you're just throwing

00:59:11.680 more more logs onto the fire that's already burning which is democrats blaming themselves

00:59:19.120 or their party for horrible performance and maybe even some crime so there probably is no other time

00:59:28.640 when this would work uh but trump could sell it and so you know sometimes i sometimes you blame me

00:59:37.680 for sitting on the fence about things usually i don't think that's what's going on sometimes i just

00:59:43.680 don't know the right answer so so like with the tariffs i'm not sitting on the fence with the tariffs

00:59:50.800 i just genuinely don't know if it's going to cause inflation or not i don't know but on this one

00:59:57.600 i'm going to give you a solid opinion they have to go to court now if the court decides that they're

01:00:06.960 not guilty i will accept that but this has to go to court there's no way that the country can heal

01:00:16.240 or the history will even understand what happened unless we take this through the court system so i

01:00:22.640 think that every one of these people that have been mentioned uh they need to be dragged through

01:00:27.600 the court by trump and he has um a free punch i mean what they've done to him has been so grotesquely

01:00:39.040 out of bounds up to this point that uh he just has the freedom that nobody else would ever have

01:00:46.240 because what he's doing is setting the world straight you know he he has the right to rebalance

01:00:54.080 and things are terribly under balance if the only thing he does is say here's what you did to me and 0.97

01:01:01.120 you made up all of this shit or you exaggerated it or you turned almost nothing into a big something 0.93

01:01:07.840 um all i'm going to do is let the courts decide based on these documents and the whistleblowers 0.99

01:01:15.760 whether any any crimes were committed and uh i'll just watch so yeah i believe that there would not be

01:01:25.280 a civil war and i believe that it would not even necessarily affect us economically or geopolitically

01:01:33.440 i feel like the democrat party is in such disarray and they hate each other as much as they hate

01:01:41.360 republicans at this point that this is the one time in history trump can just put the boot down

01:01:48.880 and will they say oh he's acting like a uh autocrat sure but that hasn't made any difference yet

01:01:59.200 they would say he's acting like a king and then we would say um this is being handled by the courts

01:02:06.960 and the courts are not doing anything that's illegal this is actually what they do so yeah

01:02:12.640 um i'm gonna go in i'm all in on the fact that the risk to the country of making this an actual

01:02:22.240 you know department of justice big deal i think the risk to the country is low i think it's low

01:02:30.320 and i think that this is just the it just has to happen now so uh when i when i think about all the

01:02:39.680 lives that were destroyed by these hoaxes and uh really the country itself was essentially destroyed

01:02:48.960 we can build back you know i think we'll get back but at the moment i mean just think about the fact

01:02:55.600 that people can't even spend time with their own families that's what this kind of hoax gets you

01:03:01.200 that plus the fine people hoax so yeah i'm all in jail um apparently there's a report that a number of

01:03:12.160 the worst documents there might be some bad ones we haven't seen yet were found in a secret locked room

01:03:20.480 in burn bags now a burn bag is a bag you put a document in if you're planning to have it all burned

01:03:28.000 to get rid of it because you can't just throw classified stuff in the regular garbage so why

01:03:34.400 were there burn bags were they burn bags that simply hadn't yet been burned and there's nothing

01:03:40.880 to see here it's just stuff they didn't need so they put them in a burn bag or i think we've already

01:03:46.560 been told that the burn bags have the good stuff in them which would suggest they knew exactly what

01:03:52.800 they were doing and hid them general flynn notes that those burn bags probably could be fingerprinted

01:04:01.360 what did you think of that the burn bags probably can be fingerprinted

01:04:12.080 now i hope i hope they haven't been touched by too many other hands they probably have been but

01:04:17.280 kind of an interesting thought isn't it that they could be fingerprinted

01:04:26.880 and then there's some information about do you remember was it stephen helper the british

01:04:33.280 spy related guy who was part of that steel dossier and i guess he was a big part of making the the

01:04:39.760 fake case against general flynn and so general general flynn is uh he's going all caps on his uh

01:04:48.080 ex post today uh i'll just read you what he posted he said it is noted many times by

01:04:53.920 said lana helper so that was the british spy guy was not even there that night he made up the whole story 0.65

01:05:02.080 uh he goes that fat bastard helper made the entire story up all in caps we've always known this the 0.98

01:05:09.520 crooked cops inside the fbi and those in the white house and at the cia all went along all done to 0.99

01:05:15.040 overthrow the united states of america enough is enough start arresting people yep general flynn i am uh

01:05:23.760 100 percent down with that opinion it's time to arrest people

01:05:31.680 well galene maxwell as you know has been uh talking with the house oversight committee well actually

01:05:38.320 she's been invited to talk to them but she will not consider it unless she gets congressional immunity

01:05:44.320 which we would be different from um what's that other word uh if she gets clemency 1.00

01:05:57.040 so she wants clemency and also immunity um and she's unlikely to get any of that 0.99

01:06:06.240 so do we expect her to tell the truth if she doesn't get something in return

01:06:12.960 well it it appears um it appears that uh

01:06:22.720 she's not going to get those things because it would be politically impossible

01:06:26.880 it would be a bad idea for trump to grant any of that so i'm hoping we can find out what she knows

01:06:33.280 from some other mechanism there's a lawyer who represented nine of epstein victims who was on one of the shows

01:06:40.480 um recent recently and he's questioning what dershowitz said

01:06:48.480 um about the client epstein's the the epstein clients not being real now i did not see i did not

01:06:57.520 hear dershowitz say anything like that so i don't want to characterize what dershowitz said

01:07:02.640 i'll just tell you what the other lawyer says he says i've uh i've represented not only

01:07:11.200 the nine victims but i've seen the evidence on behalf of the 40 victims that the fbi

01:07:16.800 investigated at the time to prove conclusively that epstein had trafficked and underage girls children as

01:07:24.000 young as 14 years old um for sex not only that he's using these young children uh blah blah blah

01:07:31.760 but so was galaine maxwell so she's accused of being physical as well and then he was trading out

01:07:39.840 these favors with these young people to people in palm beach and in the manhattan home as well as

01:07:45.600 transporting people to these to the islands in the virgin islands so i think we make too much of a big deal

01:07:53.040 about who went to the island because he had three homes in the united states right new mexico new york

01:08:01.760 and palm beach and he had lots of entertainment and parties and people going and back and forth so

01:08:08.000 i don't think that who did or did not go to the island is telling you a lot because it would have

01:08:17.200 been smarter for them all to just visit in one of his homes because you wouldn't have to even be on

01:08:22.160 his airplanes to go there so we'll see what happens there so it is kind of amazing that apparently there

01:08:33.200 may be dozens of famous people who were credibly accused of very specific horrible crimes as far

01:08:41.040 as we know none of them are being prosecuted now i understand that the victims may have settled

01:08:48.000 and there may have been like a gazillion dollar settlements and if if you had already been victimized

01:08:55.280 you might want to keep your 20 million dollars more than you want to see somebody go to jail

01:09:01.360 so might be tough to ever find out what happened for sure ontario the wait is over the gold standard

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01:10:03.680 details please play responsibly in other news media matters um that horrible publication

01:10:10.720 that's sort of a a pit dog for the democrats it's just a way to go after republicans basically uh mike

01:10:18.480 gets shut down rod martin is writing about this on x he's got a nice thread on this but it was founded

01:10:25.360 by david brock in 2003 and uh now apparently they're drowning in legal bills and the main reason would be

01:10:34.800 uh elon musk is is uh going after them for uh what was their claim oh they they did a fake test where it

01:10:46.000 showed that x was pairing nazi propaganda next to advertisements but it was a fake test so they got

01:10:53.600 busted for that uh at least in terms of that's why the lawsuit is there but also they uh would try to

01:11:01.840 organize um advertise um advertiser boycotts against sex so this is just the worst organization that

01:11:10.720 they really should not exist and uh apparently there's they're really sucking wind on money

01:11:18.320 and uh here's the funniest part they got cut off from their law firm for not paying their bills

01:11:24.800 the law firm is uh mark elias's firm now one percent of the world knows why that's funny

01:11:31.840 because mark elias and that law firm also like media matters we're just a democrat pitbull kind of an

01:11:40.080 organization um so yeah the democrats are falling apart entirely well in good news there's a new robot

01:11:51.040 for picking mushrooms according to the robot report and uh that's important because mushrooms can double in

01:12:00.160 size in like a day so you have to pick them every day now i saw separately i saw a broccoli picking robot

01:12:08.400 now these robots don't look like humanoids they're just big tractor related things with lots of arms that

01:12:16.080 identify and pick the stuff but are we heading rapidly toward a point where farming will be almost no

01:12:24.400 human labor because farming is very predictable like you know exactly what you have to do and it's not

01:12:32.000 that much different you know you know you have to get rid of the weeds you have to pick the fruit you

01:12:36.800 gotta plant the seeds you gotta i mean there's not much to it so it seems that would be exactly the

01:12:44.240 kind of thing you could get robots to do more and more then you don't have to worry about uh uh immigration to

01:12:51.920 pick your food well in other news north carolina state university um says researchers have devised a

01:13:05.200 way to improve the large climate models the models that predict what the temperature will be in

01:13:11.680 50 years um and they demonstrated that their new tool makes the models more accurate

01:13:18.320 different to which i say wait a minute i thought the the models were already accurate or accurate enough

01:13:29.840 so about once a week i see a story where somebody says oh here was something wrong with those models oh

01:13:37.840 they were pretty good but we're going to make them even better really how many how many ways do you think you

01:13:45.280 can tweak those models and still have them come up with roughly the same answer because if they come up

01:13:53.200 with wildly different answers every time you tweak a variable or you discover a new way to do it

01:13:59.760 then you've proven that they're useless however if you don't prove that they're useless

01:14:06.800 by showing that every time you get new information that the model is wildly different if it turns out that no

01:14:13.280 matter what you do to the model it still predicts roughly the same thing that would also tell you the

01:14:20.400 models are fake the the glaring signals that the climate models are going to be next on the chopping block

01:14:30.800 like it'll be the next thing that just blows your freaking mind when you find out what the whistleblowers say

01:14:36.560 about their own climate models and that's common that is so coming i don't know when might not be

01:14:43.920 this year or next year but it's definitely coming and wait till you find out about climate models

01:14:52.960 um well nvidia who makes those high-end ai chips uh had been restricting that the type of chips that

01:15:02.480 they were sold to china and they had this special chip called the h20 that was good enough to do ai

01:15:11.040 but not as good as the american stuff so america could continue to have its advantage in the technology

01:15:18.880 however um 20 national security experts have suggested that that h20 chip is a little bit too good

01:15:28.400 and that we're putting ourselves in a dangerous situation in allowing china to have access to it

01:15:37.520 i don't know but people don't agree on how much technology china should have

01:15:46.000 canada has announced it's going to back a palestinian state and trump says it will be very

01:15:53.760 hard for us to make a trade deal with canada um now that they're backing a palestinian state which

01:16:01.440 israel doesn't back and the u.s doesn't back at the moment um to which i say why would i as an american

01:16:12.320 care what canada says about the middle east and would i be willing to have a worse trade deal

01:16:20.240 one that maybe increases my inflation to force canada to have a different opinion about

01:16:26.720 the palestinian situation i don't feel like that's the right place to apply the tariff panel

01:16:35.920 i feel like canada can have whatever opinion they want

01:16:40.480 why in the world can't they have an opinion about a part of the world that we don't even live in

01:16:44.800 what i mean i i do appreciate and i'm impressed by trump's ability to create this little weapon the

01:16:53.840 tariff and then use it to get better trade deals and decrease fentanyl maybe and a bunch of other stuff

01:17:00.480 but are we really policing the free speech of canadians

01:17:06.800 don't you think that the that the people of canada should be able to say whatever they want about

01:17:12.560 whatever they want well why are we tamping down on their free speech i don't know i don't love that

01:17:23.920 there's a report that trump said something privately to some jewish donor and so who knows if it's true

01:17:33.600 generally speaking the least credible stories are somebody heard somebody said something to somebody

01:17:40.720 privately privately those are almost never real but it's in the news so i'll tell you about it

01:17:46.880 so apparently the the report is that trump told a jewish donor that quote my supporters are starting to

01:17:53.680 hate israel now of course there probably was a whole bunch of context to that but i went to grok to see if

01:18:01.360 there had been a change and sure enough um according to polls uh hate is too strong a word but trump

01:18:10.080 always speaks in hyperbole uh there's a big difference so since october 7th um

01:18:18.560 the uh let's say the support for israel initially was high because they'd been attacked but now has

01:18:25.760 reached a new low so uh it's nowhere near hating israel so that that would be going too far but yeah support for israel

01:18:36.960 probably probably probably pretty low even among republicans um now when i say pretty low i mean pretty

01:18:47.040 low compared to what it was it is it's not it's not low low it's just going down so let me let me be

01:18:55.040 clear it's going down it's not that low um and uh trump has said in a truth social post that the

01:19:06.960 fastest way to end the gaza crisis is for hamas to surrender and release the hostages now that of

01:19:14.560 course is what israel's been saying for a long time you know that you got to do those things but i do love

01:19:21.520 trump's trump's framing of it um he should just repeat that sentence every time it comes up

01:19:30.080 gaza crisis can be settled immediately if hamas surrenders and releases hostages

01:19:37.600 that's it just say that over and over again because the debate acts like israel has

01:19:45.920 the option of just putting hamas back in charge and then going on with their day i don't feel like

01:19:53.600 they think that's an option i feel like they think that hamas has to be 100 gone and all of the

01:20:01.600 hostages have to be released or or there's just nothing you can do you just got to make that happen

01:20:09.120 so i remind you that i'm not pro or anti-israel it's not my country i'm simply observing and

01:20:19.360 anything that i think they should do is irrelevant anything that i think is more or less ethical or

01:20:26.320 moral irrelevant it's not my country i just observe that all countries do what seems to be good for their

01:20:33.120 country and israel is doing a really good job of that um however it does seem to me that things keep

01:20:41.680 going in the direction they're going that uh israel will have spent their holocaust premium 0.95

01:20:50.720 what i mean by that is the narrative of the holocaust gives israel some superpowers because when

01:20:58.000 that's in your mind you automatically will side with them when they do something to defend their

01:21:04.320 country because you don't want another holocaust never again so if you if you've you know completely 0.90

01:21:11.600 internalized and accepted the holocaust as the way to understand israel it's a real powerful weapon 0.86

01:21:19.520 for persuasion so you know once they bring up that holocaust it's impossible to be on the other side 0.94

01:21:26.640 because it would be like you're doubting the holocaust or you're supporting another one or something so it's

01:21:32.720 really powerful that that narrative exists however my observation is that that goodwill or that power

01:21:40.160 that they get from that historical narrative is being used spent to get control of gaza now that might be

01:21:52.080 a good expense if you know if they can somehow get rid of all the bad elements in the palestinian 1.00

01:22:02.240 properties and they don't create a second state that becomes you know their new threat and they continue

01:22:09.520 being the ones who provide the security the defense for all that area i feel like they would be

01:22:16.000 they would get a good deal even if what they did was greatly degraded the power of the holocaust 0.97

01:22:25.200 narrative because then people who don't like israel would say well yeah the holocaust was plenty bad 0.98

01:22:31.360 for sure but look what you did and yeah again i'm not taking that point of view i'm just telling you

01:22:40.320 that people will take that point of view so it's expensive what israel wants to do with gaza but i'm

01:22:48.480 not sure they have a choice and the way i look at it is what would we do if it were your country and

01:22:58.560 you knew that reconstituting gaza and putting hamas back in charge guaranteed that there would be more 1.00

01:23:05.600 missile attacks and more october 7th and you know an endless number of future problems what would you

01:23:12.960 do what would trump do yeah so i don't judge anybody over there they're everybody's just pursuing their

01:23:23.120 their best self-interest as they see it um so according to the vigilant fox a great account on x with

01:23:34.640 lots of good summaries of what's happening in the world um they're talking about you probably knew

01:23:41.520 that youtube now can monitor the behavior of a user and they will know just by the behavior and what

01:23:49.520 you visited and how you click and stuff that you're probably under 18 and then they would restrict you

01:23:55.520 from things you should not see if you're a child but australia is trying to get other products like

01:24:04.160 google maps and apple max and bing and more uh wants to get them all powered so that they can really

01:24:10.800 tell who you are and what age you are um the the fast version of this is that apple apparently has a

01:24:18.240 patent that can verify your identity based on your body your clothes and your movements

01:24:25.040 so there are a bunch of ways to identify who you are based on what you do online

01:24:34.000 so that would suggest that you would lose all privacy before going to naughty sites or whatever

01:24:42.480 it is you're going to because they'll know who you are now that is not fully implemented but there's a

01:24:49.040 good chance it will be so don't do anything online that you wouldn't do in front of people all right

01:24:55.520 that's all i got for today sorry i went a little bit long uh locals i'm going to say hi to you my

01:25:00.800 beloved locals subscribers the rest of you someday i'll tell you why locals is so awesome so that you

01:25:09.040 might want to join too but thanks for joining everybody i'll see you same time tomorrow same place

01:25:16.800 and locals coming to you private

01:25:19.920 you

01:25:26.560 you

01:25:29.040 you

01:25:49.040 Thank you.

01:26:19.040 Thank you.

01:26:49.040 Thank you.

01:27:19.040 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 31, 2025

Episode 2913 CWSA 07⧸31⧸25

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