Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2919 CWSA 08⧸06⧸25

00:00:00.000 you are. Hi. Just checking on stocks. Stocks are up a little bit. There you go. It's not

00:00:10.800 the end of the world yet. Let me check on your comments, make sure they're working.

00:00:18.100 And then we're going to have some fun. Happy Wednesday. We've got lots of room in here.

00:00:23.820 Come on in. Doesn't it feel like you're actually going to a real place? And if you close your

00:00:30.480 eyes and just listen to me talking to you, you'll be pretty sure you're the only person

00:00:36.680 I'm talking to. It'd be like getting a phone call from your boring friend who just wants

00:00:42.780 to talk about the news all the time. Okay, that's me.

00:00:53.820 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called

00:01:04.220 Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take

00:01:10.760 a chance on elevating this experience up to levels that no one can even understand with

00:01:17.620 their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass of 0.96

00:01:24.260 tankard shells or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of a kind. Fill it with your

00:01:29.960 favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine

00:01:37.700 at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous

00:01:42.500 sip. And it happens now.

00:01:47.620 One word, exquisite. Well, I wonder if there are any studies that could have been skipped

00:02:03.480 just by asking Scott. Hmm. Oh, here's one. The AP is talking about a poll that they did.

00:02:13.420 So the AP did a poll, and they discovered, I know this will be a shocker for you, that

00:02:20.360 young adults are less likely to follow politics or say voting is important. Huh. How in the

00:02:29.700 world would we ever know that young people are less likely to follow politics? Would it be

00:02:37.600 if you had ever met even one young person in your life? How many young people do you know who are

00:02:46.280 following politics? I don't know any. I literally don't know any in my real life. So yeah, I'm sure

00:02:55.540 you got some, you know, a few people who are doing it. But no, just ask me next time you want to know,

00:03:02.540 hey, who's paying attention to politics? Is it young people? Or is it older people? I'll tell you.

00:03:10.220 Well, I just saw before I went live here that Howard Stern will not be renewed by Sirius. So Howard

00:03:22.000 Stern just got canceled. And I shouldn't feel happy about it. I mean, he's probably worth, I don't know,

00:03:32.240 500 million dollars or something. So he'll do okay. It's probably time. But does it seem to you that

00:03:41.260 everything that's anti-Trump is having a bad year? Does it seem like that to you? It feels like that.

00:03:49.600 I feel like Trump has outlasted all of the media entities that were after him. And Howard Stern was

00:03:58.320 no friend of his. I also understand that the Republicans in Congress are subpoenaing the

00:04:08.500 Clintons to talk about Epstein's Island or Epstein or something. And I don't know what they think will

00:04:16.840 come out of that. But obviously, they're just trying to control the summer headlines. Let me tell you,

00:04:25.240 this administration has done the best job I've ever seen of managing the headlines across the summer

00:04:34.580 so that Trump is always giving us, and the Republicans, they're just continuously giving

00:04:42.080 us something to talk about that isn't really very important, but it's something to talk about during

00:04:48.820 the summer. All right. Apparently, according to futurism, and Victor Tangerman, he's writing,

00:04:58.580 that job seekers now, when they think they're going to an interview with a real-life company,

00:05:05.620 find that the interviewer is an AI. So there are people who think they're going for an actual

00:05:12.900 human-to-human job interview, and they're either put in front of a computer, or they do it from home,

00:05:20.240 I guess, without having to go in. But people are having a tough time getting past the AI.

00:05:26.900 To which I ask the following question. How bad would you have to be interviewing for an AI to stop you?

00:05:35.920 How many of you could not lie your way past an artificial intelligence at this stage of their

00:05:43.720 artificial intelligence? I mean, really? You couldn't figure out how to lie your way past an AI

00:05:51.760 until you could get to a real person? Come on. How hard would it be? Because the AI is not programmed

00:06:00.300 to distrust you. So it's going to believe anything you tell it. And if you just simply act like the

00:06:07.560 most awesome person in the world, do you think the AI would know the difference? Do you think the AI

00:06:13.540 could even tell if you were being sarcastic? As soon as you get the AI, just say, oh, it's good to see

00:06:21.180 you. I can't wait until I go back to feeding the poor. And I've got a patent I'm working on that will

00:06:29.440 give free energy to the world. And I'd sure like to talk to a real-life human. All right. Well,

00:06:37.440 I'll give you lessons on how to thwart the AI interview. Well, the New York Times has a story

00:06:45.000 that says that there have been 400,000 cases of reported sexual assault and sexual misconduct in Uber

00:06:55.980 rides from 2017 to 2022. Now, that's not funny because, you know, these are serious accusations. But

00:07:10.140 400,000? Now, I guess that would include, you know, every kind of sexual comment and language and stuff

00:07:20.820 like that. But holy cow. It's hard. I can't even imagine being female and getting into an Uber at this

00:07:31.400 point. Because the odds are not good. I sometimes forget what it's like to be male.

00:07:40.140 And how I'm not really afraid of anything in public. Do any of you have that experience? Even if you go

00:07:49.120 someplace where, you know, maybe it's not the safest place. You just have this sort of cone of safety

00:07:57.320 around you because you're male. You know, nobody's going to want to, you know, sexually attack me. 0.81

00:08:02.840 If they thought they wanted to rob me, they'd, you know, better have a good weapon.

00:08:09.480 So, it must be terrible. I mean, I'm being serious, by the way. I'm trying to wrap my head around the

00:08:17.960 fact that if I just wanted to take a, you know, a ride in a cab-like unit, that I'd be putting my,

00:08:26.320 you know, my honor in my life at risk, I'd never feel that way. I've just never had that experience.

00:08:33.060 To me, just everything's about the same level of risk. I don't even notice. Wow. So,

00:08:40.880 will the driverless cabs have an advantage over Uber? Oh, yes, they will. So, Uber,

00:08:51.780 I'm not entirely sure how they survive in the long, long run. In the short run, sure. But

00:08:59.880 don't they have to be replaced by driverless cars because the drivers are the big risk?

00:09:05.740 It feels like inevitable.

00:09:35.720 Well, Tulsi Gabbard was on a podcast, Pod Force One. And she was being asked about aliens,

00:09:46.720 you know, because she's a DNI head. So, she would be the one to know. In theory, by now,

00:09:54.460 Tulsi Gabbard would know more, or at least have the authority to know more, about the potential

00:10:02.060 that there are aliens that have visited or might visit the Earth than anyone else alive. So,

00:10:10.680 wouldn't you like to know what she says about it?

00:10:12.960 She still has a lot of questions about the New Jersey drone incidents and believes that there's more to

00:10:22.080 that story than what the government has told us, meaning that the government doesn't really know

00:10:28.280 what was going on. And that the sightings were a lot more than New Jersey. So, there was something massive

00:10:35.800 that was going on, and the government doesn't know what it was. So, that's a little bit scary.

00:10:45.240 Doesn't mean it's aliens. Just doesn't mean we're under-informed.

00:10:48.480 And she was, by the way, she was talking to Miranda Devine. And she said, she has a lot of questions

00:11:02.340 unanswered about the New Jersey drones. And then, in terms of the larger question of, you know, aliens,

00:11:10.980 she said, she's, quote, she is, there's nothing that she's prepared to talk about.

00:11:19.520 And that her team will be transparent when the time is right. And that they continue to look for the

00:11:27.920 truth so that they can share it with the American people. So, doesn't that sort of suggest

00:11:34.100 that whatever it is that she knows, which would be, in theory, more than anybody knows,

00:11:41.420 she would know more than anybody. And she's not willing to say, there's no such thing as aliens.

00:11:50.640 Isn't that interesting? Because if what she knew is that there were no credible alien anythings,

00:11:59.020 wouldn't she tell us that? Yes, we've been looking into it for years. That's the first thing

00:12:04.040 I looked into when I got the, you know, all the top secret clearances. And I can assure you that

00:12:10.740 there's nothing credible that looks like an alien. She was not willing to say that.

00:12:19.140 She's still got questions. I don't know what to make of that. Now, personally, I do not believe

00:12:26.420 there are any aliens who have visited or will visit. So, I'm not a believer. But,

00:12:33.460 not just to make it fun, there is a new UFO whistleblower, just a random looking guy on social

00:12:42.040 media, who believes that in his day job, he was made aware by, I guess, an email that went to him

00:12:53.280 that wasn't supposed to. This is such a bad story. Don't believe anything I'm about to say.

00:13:01.860 It was on social media. So, I'm not making it up. But I would say the credibility is quite low.

00:13:08.860 So, allegedly, somebody who worked for the Pentagon got an email that was meant for somebody with a

00:13:16.480 similar name, but it wasn't meant for him. And he alleges that he learned that the Pentagon expects

00:13:28.500 contact with a sentient alien force on October 29th.

00:13:36.320 Now, is it my imagination, or was there not an actual movie that involved aliens visiting the Earth?

00:13:46.120 It was E.T., right? Didn't E.T. come to Earth coincidentally on Halloween,

00:13:52.220 so they could walk around and nobody would know it was an alien. So, these sentient beings are

00:14:00.740 supposed to show up around October 29th. Will they reveal themselves on October 31st?

00:14:08.080 On Halloween? I wonder. Well, I know what my costume is going to be. I will be one of those aliens.

00:14:15.280 All right. So, we're not even going to notice. We might have aliens walking among us all Halloween

00:14:22.960 day, and we'll just say, nice costume. Where'd you get that? Well, here's a story that I don't know if I

00:14:32.260 can truly express. Some things you have to see, and you're just listening to me, so you don't get to see it.

00:14:39.560 But Google, their AI, Genie, it's now Genie 3, I saw a demo of the worlds it can create for you

00:14:51.360 with one prompt. So, you might write one sentence that says, it's the beach, and a perfect beach will

00:15:01.460 appear. But it won't be just a static picture of a beach. It'll be a video of a beach. Well,

00:15:07.300 it'll seem like a simulated reality. And you can look around in all directions,

00:15:12.560 and it would create itself in real time as you were turning to look. So, nothing would be there

00:15:19.100 until you wanted to look in that direction and it would create it. So, it would be a complete

00:15:25.920 simulated world. And then, you can add stuff to it with just another prompt. So, you could say,

00:15:32.500 okay, and there's a unicorn. And then, a unicorn would, you know, gallop by. It would look exactly

00:15:39.160 like it's a real unicorn, you know, because I've seen a lot of real unicorns, and you can

00:15:44.220 tell the difference from the fake ones. But you might be saying to me, Scott, every day,

00:15:55.300 there's another report of a, wow, you can make a little movie scene. But this is the first

00:16:00.840 one that can remember changes and make itself on the go. So, it showed a demonstration where

00:16:09.280 somebody told it to put some paint on a wall. And then, you can go wander around in other places.

00:16:17.400 And when you come back, that paint will still be on the wall right where you put it.

00:16:21.460 So, aren't we very close to being able to create a simulated environment with a simulated creature

00:16:31.580 that says it's sentient and says it's conscious and acts like it has purpose and reason and, you know,

00:16:44.180 curiosity and all the things that humans have? How far away are we from knowing that we are a

00:16:52.380 simulation ourself because we created one where the person in the simulation swears they're real

00:17:00.420 and has no way to know they're not? And the answer is one year.

00:17:06.440 We are one year away from knowing for sure that we are a simulation because we will be able to create

00:17:17.140 one. And once we've created one, do you think we'll create another one? Of course, because it'd be easy

00:17:26.780 to create another one once you've done it once. And once we had more simulated worlds than we had real

00:17:33.080 ones and all the characters within the simulated worlds believe they're real and act like they

00:17:39.700 believe it and they seem to have consciousness as far as we can tell. Because remember, I can't tell

00:17:46.480 that you're conscious. I just have an impression. I think I'm conscious because of my internal sensation

00:17:56.260 of it, but I don't know that you are. I mean, I don't know it. So, if we created these

00:18:02.820 artificial worlds where there were characters that, let's say, were not conscious, but it seemed

00:18:10.660 like it to us, it would be just like people. So, the whole world will be very different in

00:18:19.220 one year, partly because we'll understand our true nature much better.

00:18:24.520 Trump administration continues to do smart things when it comes to simplifying regulations.

00:18:35.940 So, I guess the Trump administration is going to look at drone approval process. So, if you were

00:18:42.960 an entrepreneur and you wanted to start a drone company and you wanted it to do something that

00:18:49.260 wasn't strictly approved already, it would be really hard to get approval, even if you were asking

00:18:56.340 for something quite, you know, harmless. So, apparently there's a tangle of regulatory things

00:19:04.600 that could be simplified and would help the U.S. become dominant in drones. Because if there's one

00:19:13.820 thing I know, we've got to be dominant in drones, I think one of the things that Trump is doing a

00:19:19.280 great job in is teaching us that everything's a competition and that drones are not just a cool

00:19:28.580 new technology. They are something we better be better than everybody else at. AI isn't just a new

00:19:37.780 user interface. It's something that the U.S. is going to have to be the best at or we're going to pay

00:19:43.800 for that. Same with our economy, same with our, you know, military, etc. We don't really have an

00:19:50.560 option of falling behind, you know, or letting other countries be our manufacturing base or stuff

00:19:57.460 like that. So, I do love the fact that Trump makes you think everything is a, you know, winner-take-all

00:20:07.320 battle because it kind of is. And it feels like that makes you do the right stuff.

00:20:13.800 All right. So, um...

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00:21:19.280 According to Newsmax, Missouri is thinking about doing a little redistricting, you know,

00:21:26.300 redrawing the map so that they have more Republicans in that case. But did you know, the, according

00:21:39.960 to the Wall Street Apes account I saw on X, that the real reason that the Democrats don't

00:21:46.560 like Texas doing the gerrymandering, aside from the obvious, it creates more positions for Republicans

00:21:54.280 and in Congress. The reason they don't like it is that even though California could match

00:22:01.200 it and they could do their own redistricting and, you know, cancel out what Texas did, that 0.94

00:22:07.760 if all the states did that, here's what you would discover. You would discover that the only

00:22:13.620 Democrat states that haven't completely done it so far are New York and California. But apparently

00:22:22.440 there are more states that are Republican-leaning that haven't fully maximized their redistricting

00:22:30.420 and gerrymandering, that if both sides went completely wild and just gerrymandered everything

00:22:37.360 they could as soon as they could, Republicans would come out way ahead. How many of you knew

00:22:44.340 that? Now, I only know it because I read the Wall Street Apes account, so I'm going to take their 1.00

00:22:50.400 word for it because it showed details, et cetera. But isn't that the most important part of the story?

00:22:57.720 The most important part of the story is that the Democrats can't call the Republicans bluff

00:23:05.840 because the bluff is, hey, if you do that, we'll do this, and then, you know, it'll be this war

00:23:12.200 of redistricting. The Republicans would love a war of redistricting because they have more ammunition

00:23:18.820 and they would come out ahead. So the weird thing is that not only are the Democrats, you know,

00:23:26.480 just guaranteed to lose when it comes to the Texas politicians who left town so that there wouldn't be

00:23:34.940 a quorum so that there wouldn't be a finalized vote, so that they wouldn't redistrict and add some

00:23:40.680 Republicans, they don't really have a chance of winning that, right? There's no path to victory.

00:23:48.560 All they're doing is, you know, sort of demonstrating in a way that gets some attention. But ultimately,

00:23:56.440 they're going to lose. So I did a little micro lesson for my subscribers earlier this

00:24:04.920 morning, but I'll give you a summary of it. If you'd like to learn how to be a Democrat consultant

00:24:12.800 and give them good advice, here's how you do it. The Democrats' problem, as we all know,

00:24:22.140 is that they have terrible policies or none at all and terrible candidates or none at all.

00:24:30.280 So what do you do if you have bad policies and bad candidates? Well, as your Democrat consultant,

00:24:37.840 let me tell you, number one, you need to curse a lot more. You need to do a lot more cursing. But you

00:24:44.560 also have to pretend that you're fighting, which is largely something you do with words and by making

00:24:52.160 your eyes really wide like this. Oh, oh, we're going to fight. We're really going to fight.

00:24:58.320 Ah, ah, ah, fight. Yeah, yeah. We can't let them push us around anymore. We're going to take a knife

00:25:05.320 to a knife fight. Fight. Ah. So, so it doesn't do anything, but you got to make your eyes really 0.94

00:25:12.360 wide and say a lot of fighting words and that will help. So you get your swearing and your, your fighting

00:25:19.640 words. Um, and then it would be good to put on some skits, you know, like, uh, leaving the city

00:25:27.340 and, you know, doing some videos of you on the tarmac and stuff like that. Nothing that will make

00:25:34.320 the world any different. It's more like a little movie skit, you know, something that you used to

00:25:39.480 do for your parents when you were eight, that sort of thing. So do a skit. Um, so you got your

00:25:46.520 cursing. You're sauceride, uh, complaining with words that sound like fight. Uh, yeah. Okay.

00:25:57.260 And, uh, then you should also do some cringy social media videos. If you do all of those things,

00:26:06.460 the cursing, the cringy videos, the skits, if you get it all right, especially the saucerides,

00:26:12.920 then you have a pretty good chance that you can get your Democrat approval level up to

00:26:17.980 23%. And of course you'll have no power in the government whatsoever. But the important

00:26:25.980 thing is that I, as your consultant was well compensated. So that's your micro lesson of

00:26:33.220 the day, how to be a Democrat consultant. You're welcome. Well, Stanford University, this

00:26:42.860 is going to lay off 360 employees and they cite it's because of Trump's policies. Uh, Newsmax

00:26:50.500 is reporting that. Now, my first question was 360 employees. And here I'm only being partly

00:26:59.820 serious. When I say, I asked myself, how many employees do you need to run all of Stanford?

00:27:06.720 Stanford? Because if you would ask me, how many employees does Stanford have? You know,

00:27:12.060 just the total number of employees, I would have said, I don't know. They must have about

00:27:17.060 400 employees, but they're laying off 360. So I went to Grok and I said, how many employees

00:27:27.580 are there at Stanford? And the answer is, uh, 25,000? They have 25,000 employees. And then I said, oh,

00:27:39.500 wait a minute. How many, uh, students do they have? So now this is according to Grok, so who knows?

00:27:48.400 But, um, apparently they only have, uh, 18,000 students. Now that sounds worse than it really is.

00:28:03.240 So they have 18,000 students and 20, 25,000 staff, but that's because Stanford's not like a regular

00:28:12.180 college. They are so important that they also have, uh, um, a whole bunch of, what do they have?

00:28:21.420 Uh, research institutions and with extensive operations and they've got a medical school and

00:28:28.060 all that. So there's a whole bunch of, there's a big part of the operation. That's not, you know,

00:28:33.580 classrooms and teachers. But, uh, did you know that? So 360 people laid off out of 25,000. It's less

00:28:43.840 than 2%. Um, but if you can blame it on Trump, it becomes a headline story. So they did.

00:28:54.200 Um, let's see. Can you guess who was behind funding the, uh, the tech,

00:29:03.580 Texas politicians to get out of town? So there wouldn't be a quorum. So there wouldn't be a vote

00:29:08.560 on redistricting. Well, if you guess, huh, that sounds like something that Soros organization

00:29:15.220 might've done, you would be right according to some. And then there's also a report that Beto O'Rourke

00:29:22.280 has some, uh, some political action committee that also may have paid for it. So Beto and George

00:29:30.360 Soros, a couple of winners right there. Um, some say Pritzker. Yeah, I think Pritzker was part of

00:29:37.400 that too. Um, so here's some news that I guess is good news. The, there's an AP NORC poll,

00:29:50.340 N-O-R-C. I don't know what that stands for. Uh, that was just released. They found a significant

00:29:55.780 drop in U.S. adults who perceive there to be racial discrimination against black Americans.

00:30:03.420 So a big drop in people who perceive it. And so today, 45% of those polls say there was a

00:30:12.080 great deal of discrimination or quite a bit against, uh, black Americans, but this is down.

00:30:19.180 45% sounds like a big number, right? If you're talking about discrimination against one group

00:30:25.440 of people, but it's down from 61%, uh, when they started the poll in 2021. So that was only a year

00:30:33.560 after George Floyd. So, um, do you think that's accurate? Do you think, so 45% says a great deal

00:30:44.080 of discrimination against black Americans? How many of you would agree with there's a great deal 1.00

00:30:50.040 of discrimination against black Americans? Uh, I'll give you the correct answer. The correct 1.00

00:30:57.160 answer is, it depends where you are. It just depends. There are definitely places in this big

00:31:04.620 old country where there would be more discrimination against you if you're not whatever the people

00:31:10.880 who already live there are. That definitely exists. But there are also, uh, pockets, big ones,

00:31:19.300 like every Fortune 500 company and the entire, in the entire government, in which being a, uh,

00:31:26.840 member of a minority group would give you a leg up and the discrimination would be the opposite there.

00:31:33.920 So it cannot be said that America on average is biased one way or the other, because it just

00:31:43.320 depends where you are. You can find, you can find bias in any direction you want, depending on what

00:31:49.480 pocket of America you find yourself in. So here's my advice. If you find yourself in a place

00:31:57.260 that's bad for you for any reason whatsoever, and there's a place that that would not be the case,

00:32:05.220 you should think about moving to the place where it wouldn't be the case. So if you're black American 0.93

00:32:14.020 and you're in a place where, uh, there is quote, a great deal of discrimination against you,

00:32:19.960 I don't know exactly where that would be, but I, I accept that such places exist, but it's gotta

00:32:27.920 be pretty easy to find a place where that's not the case. It can't be that difficult. Uh, most places

00:32:35.280 would not have that as an issue. Hurry. What is the rush? They're only open until September. What?

00:32:43.040 Leguan's. Is that why we're in Coburg beach? Order me the mother cluckers. A chicken sandwich. Not just a

00:32:49.260 chicken sandwich, Arthur. Chicken. Marinated for 24 hours and tossed in their blend of herbs and

00:32:54.960 spices before they become cold and crispy. Slapped between two Guyanese sweet buns that are toasted to

00:33:01.640 buttery perfection. It's the best chicken sandwich in the world. All right. Yeah, that does sound

00:33:07.320 pretty good. You're damn right. Well, allegedly, according to the FBI, uh, violent crime is falling. 0.78

00:33:16.720 The rate is falling. Hmm. Dropped, uh, let's see, um, compared 2024 compared to 2023, murder and non-negligent

00:33:27.660 manslaughter dropped 15%. Um, do you believe any crime data? I feel like I'm so jaded and cynical at this

00:33:40.240 point that if you tell me, Hey, I've got some new data on crime. I say, well, is it as accurate as our jobs

00:33:48.840 data? Um, um, is it as accurate as our climate models? Um, is it as accurate as all the smart

00:34:01.060 economists predicting what would happen this summer because of tariffs? Um, I don't know. I don't know

00:34:11.740 what to believe, but I'll tell you one thing I don't believe is crime statistics from one year to

00:34:17.860 the next. There's just too much going on. Uh, and I think I saw some posts from Mike Cernovich yesterday

00:34:25.720 in which he was talking about the, the known ways to game the crime numbers. Um, the, the basic idea

00:34:34.880 is that if you, if you charge people with less than the maximum crime, it might look like crime is

00:34:43.760 falling, but it would be just a reflection that people aren't being charged what they used to be

00:34:48.920 charged. So you can do it that way. Um, and there was some other way that he mentioned that you could game

00:34:55.440 in. Oh, just not taking the calls, you know, just process fewer complaints and it would look like

00:35:02.700 the crime went down when actually you're just being inefficient, something like that. So I don't

00:35:08.520 believe any of those numbers, but it'd be good if it would be good if they're heading in the right

00:35:14.200 direction. Well, Trump was asked, um, whether JD Vance is the heir apparent to MAGA or not. And

00:35:24.040 he gave what started out to be a very direct answer. And then he trumpetized it at the end

00:35:31.420 in his classic way. He said, quote, I think most likely, meaning that JD Vance would be the heir to

00:35:38.660 MAGA. He goes, I think most likely in all fairness, he's the vice president. And I think Marco is also

00:35:45.700 somebody that would get together with JD in some form. See, that's the perfect part. He would get

00:35:51.780 together with JD in some form. Now, are they suggesting that Marco would be the vice presidential

00:36:01.340 candidate or, uh, stay on at secretary of state? That seems less likely. And would Rubio be willing

00:36:10.860 to be second behind, uh, JD Vance, who's, you know, younger and less experienced? Well, I don't know,

00:36:21.780 maybe. Um, so Trump has this way of injecting something that looks like, um, let's see, something that

00:36:34.100 looks like he answered the question. So it doesn't look like he's avoiding the question, but he, he

00:36:40.720 inserts a little mystery into it as to what role Marco would have, Marco Rubio. Um, but I love the

00:36:48.040 fact that there are, you know, two people that you could feel could make things work without Trump.

00:36:54.980 He leaves a little mystery. That's, that's Trump's magic. Um, according to, uh, let's see, it was a

00:37:06.140 recent poll, Rasmussen poll. Um, and one American news is reporting on this. Most voters now, a majority

00:37:14.920 believe that the Obama administration likely committed crimes in Russiagate. So Russiagate being, you know,

00:37:23.400 running the hoax and covering it up and knowing that the steel dossier was fake, um, or, and, uh,

00:37:34.320 essentially running, you know, just as major operation on the public and on, on Trump. Uh, so 54%

00:37:43.120 believe that former members of Barack Obama's national security team probably committed crimes.

00:37:51.380 Now, as you know, um, we don't know the names of the people, but some amount of people have

00:37:58.340 been turned over to the grand jury process by the department of justice. So there will be

00:38:05.820 likely because grand jury is usually indict. So it's likely that there will be indictments

00:38:12.660 for Barack Obama's ex security team. You know, the Brennan's and clappers and whatnot.

00:38:21.380 Now, do you think the country could handle Barack Obama being convicted of a crime and

00:38:30.900 jailed? Do you think they could handle that? The answer is yes and no. The beauty is if

00:38:40.500 they have the option, they should not go after Barack Obama first. They should not go after

00:38:47.080 him first. You want to, you want to break the country in. So you might go after, let's say

00:38:53.400 a John Brennan, where let's say the evidence is stronger. I don't know that that's true, but

00:38:59.920 based on the reports, it sounds like it is. So the Brennan story, if they convicted him,

00:39:07.480 it would be in the headlines and it would get everybody used to the fact that some bad stuff

00:39:14.020 happened in the Obama administration. Now let's say that Brennan got convicted and it educated

00:39:21.740 the public on the whole situation. Then let's say they went after, I don't know, another one,

00:39:28.140 but it wasn't Obama. By the time they decided to go after Obama, assuming they had the goods,

00:39:35.920 and I don't know that they do, the country would be used to it. They would understand

00:39:43.240 that if the people worked for him, you know, if there's an indication that Obama was in on 0.91

00:39:51.560 it, people would just say, oh, damn it, we don't like this, but it's not where I'm going 0.84

00:39:57.480 to, I'm not going to fight my final fight over this. So I feel like we're actually in a world 0.97

00:40:05.640 in which Obama could be convicted and jailed. And here's the main reason why. Because the

00:40:13.640 lawfare against Trump opened the door for jailing ex-presidents. You just had to have the goods.

00:40:23.940 The Democrats didn't get it done, but it allowed us to imagine the unimaginable,

00:40:31.300 that an ex-president could be jailed. So because of that, and because it wasn't Trump who broke the

00:40:38.520 seal, he's not the one who started the idea that you jail him. In fact, he did the opposite.

00:40:43.880 He didn't go after Hillary Clinton. She wasn't, she was never president. But same situation.

00:40:50.540 He had decided not to go after her when he probably could have.

00:40:53.620 Well, I think that may have changed. So yeah, I do believe that as much as people would holler,

00:41:04.100 we are at a point where if the evidence showed, and if it came after Brennan, it may be after others,

00:41:11.560 who knows, the country would very grudgingly, and with a lot of friction, would accept it.

00:41:20.120 And that's a very rare situation. I don't think we've ever been in this situation where that's

00:41:27.900 even something you could voice without sounding like you're crazy. But now it doesn't sound crazy,

00:41:34.480 does it? It sounds very doable. So sure enough, the grand jury is forming. It almost doesn't seem

00:41:44.240 real. At the same time, we hear that Adam Schiff is under criminal investigation for his alleged

00:41:53.020 mortgage fraud violations. Now the charges that he had two homes, one near Washington and one in

00:42:01.800 California where he's a senator from, and that at various times he's claimed both of them as his

00:42:07.700 primary residence, which would be illegal. So that's happening. So I think it was Bill Pulte who kind of

00:42:22.180 pushed forward these allegations, and now they seem to have been reached into the criminal realm.

00:42:31.480 So there's some chance that by the end of the Trump term, let's see, what would today's score be?

00:42:45.100 It would be Howard Stern loses his job, CBS pays him money, Colbert goes out of business, Adam Schiff might be

00:42:56.660 prosecuted. All the Obama people are being indicted. Trump is winning pretty hard. And that's not even

00:43:07.620 counting the colleges and universities that are paying him, et cetera. Well, Matt Taibbi had a comment

00:43:17.380 about AI, and he goes, I'm not sure what he's talking about, but it won't matter for my point. He goes,

00:43:24.600 this is why AI is dangerous. Ultimately, it has no ability to assess and detect incorrect media

00:43:31.300 reports. It overcounts the, quote, authority of certain media brands and undercounts primary sources.

00:43:39.800 And then Elon Musk commented on that, which is why I mentioned it. He goes, Elon says, the actual problem

00:43:45.860 is that AI still thinks the news is real. LMAO, laughing my ass off. Yeah, that would be the way

00:43:54.400 to summarize that. The AI still believes that the news is real. I don't know if the news has ever

00:44:05.520 been real. It doesn't feel like it, but I don't know. Well, even though the news is not real, at least

00:44:14.860 science is real. Am I right? Now, aren't you happy about that? You know, sure, the elected politicians who

00:44:22.880 are supposed to be guarding your money and your safety. Yeah, they're all corrupt, and that's all

00:44:29.240 a mess. But at least the field of science is virginal and perfect, and it's propelling us forward. Oh,

00:44:40.420 wait, maybe not. Did you know that there's a giant, gigantic fraudulent business in selling people

00:44:51.140 papers that they can put their own name on so that it can look like they've published a lot of

00:44:56.220 scientific papers? And did you know that at the moment there are more fake papers that weren't

00:45:04.980 even written by the author? The author just puts their name on it, and they buy a service. There are

00:45:10.220 more fake papers than there are real ones. And that if you were to look at just the real ones,

00:45:17.800 half of them would not be reproducible. All right, let me say it again. Those are two separate

00:45:26.020 problems. But look how big they are when you add them together. Number one, the majority of new papers

00:45:33.800 are from the frauds. It's somebody who just said, well, I'm a bad scientist, but if I had published a lot

00:45:42.380 of things, I could get that prestigious job at the university, so I'll just buy some papers. Now, AI creates

00:45:51.480 them, and sometimes even the data is just entirely made up. So more than half of the new papers are

00:46:02.420 completely fraudulent. But of the ones that are not intentionally fraudulent, half of those will never be

00:46:14.100 reproduced because there was a problem with the methodology or the data was flawed or something. So, you know,

00:46:22.800 you can't come up with an exact number, but something like one in four published papers is not complete 0.97

00:46:33.200 bullshit. So, it's something like three to one ratio of bullshit to real science. And how are you going to 0.99

00:46:41.680 tell what's real? You know, I was saying the other day that nearly everything I learned about nutrition

00:46:47.440 from the time I was a kid, almost everything was fake. Almost everything. I mean, I went through the

00:46:56.780 period of a little bit of alcohol is probably good for your heart. And then there was the upside down,

00:47:03.860 you know, food pyramid, and, you know, I could go on. But I don't think, you know, the stuff about

00:47:10.620 carbohydrates probably wasn't real. The problem with fat wasn't real. We live in a fake world, people.

00:47:22.040 Trust and safety is becoming a key driver of customer experience, influencing how users engage,

00:47:28.800 how safe they feel, and ultimately, how likely they are to return. Because I don't know about you,

00:47:34.440 but if I've had too many bad experiences on a platform, I'm definitely not rushing back for more.

00:47:39.880 This is the intersection we're here to explore today.

00:47:43.240 Tap to keep listening to how trust and safety redefined CX for brands like TikTok, Trustpilot, and more.

00:47:49.320 A conversation with InTouchCX.

00:47:54.700 So, Debbie Dingleberry has been in the news, and she says that the Epstein files,

00:48:03.040 she should be a Democrat, anti-Trumper kind of person. Debbie Dingleberry is her name. 0.93

00:48:08.600 And she said about the Epstein files, it's very clear that Trump wants it to go away.

00:48:15.140 It's very clear that it's not going to go away. Now, I don't know if I'm unusual because I spend too much time

00:48:23.560 looking at the news, but I'm so tired of the Epstein stuff that as long as there's still something happening,

00:48:32.880 as in the government says, oh yeah, we're still vetting some files and there's more to come.

00:48:39.060 As long as there's something coming, I'm just so bored with it that it just doesn't seem like an impactful story that will affect politics.

00:48:49.380 I just don't see it affecting the midterms.

00:48:53.360 Like, why would you punish some unrelated Republican in the midterms just because you didn't like what Trump said

00:49:01.360 who's not even in the midterm election?

00:49:04.280 So, I'm going to go with, I think the Epstein file stuff will have absolutely no impact on the politics of the future.

00:49:14.060 It's boring. It's over. I feel like we know what we need to know, except for the names of the potentially guilty parties.

00:49:25.100 And I don't think we'll ever know them.

00:49:28.460 So, I don't know. Debbie Dingleberry? 0.59

00:49:33.160 I feel like Trump supporters are losing interest.

00:49:38.480 I mean, think of the things that Trump is doing every day that you like.

00:49:43.740 And then just imagine trying to kneecap him because there's that one thing.

00:49:50.020 And I know how important it is. I get it.

00:49:52.740 But it is one thing.

00:49:55.160 And would you kneecap him for that?

00:49:58.300 I don't know.

00:49:59.140 I think we're just going to get used to the fact that we don't know everything that can be known.

00:50:04.920 We'll just get used to it.

00:50:06.820 And then we'll move on.

00:50:08.480 That's what I think.

00:50:11.520 Which is not a preference, by the way.

00:50:14.880 My preference would be just like yours.

00:50:16.920 I'm curious.

00:50:17.840 I'd like to know everything that can be known.

00:50:20.140 I just don't think we will.

00:50:22.080 And I think we'll get used to it.

00:50:24.160 Not knowing.

00:50:24.820 Well, did you see President Trump's response to Elizabeth Warren and her endorsement of Kami Mandami, Zoran Mandami?

00:50:37.400 And I watched it.

00:50:39.680 And I have to say, I was asking myself, is she on drugs? 0.98

00:50:44.340 Because her eyes were gigantic and she was jumping around and she looked like she was, looked like there was something going on there.

00:50:51.120 And even Trump commented on it, like, like, I don't know why she was on or something like that.

00:50:57.840 But she did look like that wasn't natural.

00:51:02.060 Now, I, of course, mock a lot of Democrats for their terrible approach.

00:51:08.940 But if I watch somebody like, let's say, Randy Weingarten, the head of the teachers' union, big teachers' union, and she, you know, she's very demonstrative.

00:51:18.980 But she doesn't look like she's on drugs.

00:51:21.360 She looks like she learned to be demonstrative because it got the crowds going.

00:51:26.240 But when I looked at Elizabeth Warren, my first impression was that it looked like drugs, good ones, you know, something that was an upper.

00:51:40.200 Or she's, what's that word, bipolar?

00:51:47.060 You know, maybe she was having a bipolar episode or something.

00:51:50.200 But whatever that was, that didn't look normal to me.

00:51:54.160 So, it seems to me that we've got at least three examples of people who, when they're demonstrative, you wonder if they're on drugs.

00:52:07.200 Newsom is one.

00:52:09.400 Doesn't Newsom make you wonder, hmm, I don't know.

00:52:13.880 It looks like you might be on drugs right there.

00:52:16.480 And, of course, Kamala Harris would often look like she was drunk in public, right? 1.00

00:52:21.380 Which is not common.

00:52:22.520 It's not like I say that about every Democrat.

00:52:27.440 I don't say every Democrat looks like they're, you know, does Swalwell ever look like he's drunk or on drugs?

00:52:35.560 Not really.

00:52:36.560 Does Adam Schiff?

00:52:37.980 No.

00:52:38.900 Maybe he'd be better if he were.

00:52:40.320 But Newsom, Harris, and now Elizabeth Warren, I do have my questions.

00:52:47.920 And I wonder, is there any Republican that, just to be fair, you know, because it'd be hard to believe it only works on one party.

00:52:56.340 But do you think there are any Republicans that, when they speak in public, you ever say to yourself, huh, that looks like you might be a little bit on some drugs.

00:53:08.580 I can't think of one.

00:53:10.840 Can you?

00:53:12.900 I don't know.

00:53:13.580 So, maybe that's just a Democrat thing.

00:53:16.880 And, again, I don't have any evidence that any of them are on drugs.

00:53:20.940 They just act like they are.

00:53:24.660 Arnold Schwarzenegger says he wants to see what he can do to stop California from redistricting,

00:53:30.980 because he calls it evil to take away the power of the people with the redistricting.

00:53:37.800 But Arnold has no say over anything, so that looks performative, too.

00:53:46.440 So, Trump has threatened Big Pharma up to a 250% tariff.

00:53:54.920 So, what he's trying to do is he's got this tariff structure that will increase every year until the Big Pharma moves their manufacturing to the U.S.,

00:54:05.600 so that it's stationed here.

00:54:08.040 But in one year, in a half years maximum, he says, it's going to go to 150%.

00:54:13.600 Now, obviously, Big Pharma would hate this stuff.

00:54:18.340 This is being reported in The Hill.

00:54:20.820 So, but I asked this amusing question once again.

00:54:28.040 Who are the oligarchs?

00:54:31.400 Wouldn't you think the oligarchs would include the owners of the Big Pharma?

00:54:36.120 I mean, they're like the biggest oligarch of all.

00:54:39.540 But apparently, Trump is going hard against the oligarchs

00:54:44.300 and trying to help the middle class or lower-income people get more affordable stuff.

00:54:52.180 So, is this the oligarch that they're worried about?

00:54:55.720 Or is it the oil companies who wish that the price of oil were higher

00:55:00.860 and maybe the supply wasn't so high?

00:55:03.740 Are those oligarchs all pro-Trump?

00:55:06.460 I don't know who the oligarchs are, but Trump's not making them all happy.

00:55:14.320 I mean, Trump went against the banks recently.

00:55:18.380 What about those oligarchs?

00:55:21.000 All right.

00:55:26.000 Amazingly, have I ever told you that there are some people

00:55:29.000 who, for reasons that cannot be explained,

00:55:32.040 find themselves at the center of history all the time?

00:55:36.460 Have you ever noticed that?

00:55:39.400 I'm one of those people who I can just wake up one day

00:55:43.440 and find myself in the center of some big controversy.

00:55:47.740 Sometimes I break it on myself, but other times I just wake up into it.

00:55:51.920 And it's always been like that for me.

00:55:54.860 And other people will avoid any controversy or drama their whole life.

00:56:02.720 And why is that?

00:56:03.960 Well, I bring that up because remember the Doge employee, Big Balls?

00:56:10.020 Apparently, he was violently beaten in Washington, D.C.

00:56:14.880 I think he was with a woman in a car, and there was a carjacker,

00:56:19.700 and maybe he tried to resist.

00:56:22.040 So he was beaten by a group of teens,

00:56:25.200 and he was bloodied and got a concussion.

00:56:28.180 And Trump was talking about how things are so bad in Washington, D.C.,

00:56:33.520 he might have to federalize it.

00:56:35.720 In other words, take control from the local government.

00:56:40.040 So once again, if it had not been Big Balls,

00:56:45.760 would Trump feel that federalizing D.C. was necessary?

00:56:50.060 Probably not, because Big Balls just would have been another stat.

00:56:56.700 It wouldn't have even, you know, come to our notice.

00:56:59.820 But because it was Big Balls, you know,

00:57:03.320 Trump has a different feeling about it,

00:57:05.040 and now he's taking it to a next level.

00:57:07.580 And wouldn't you love to see what would happen if D.C. got federalized?

00:57:12.140 What would happen if D.C. got federalized

00:57:15.480 and the feds cleaned up crime, like, in six months,

00:57:21.040 or at least got it off the streets?

00:57:24.380 Wouldn't other cities say,

00:57:26.380 did you just clean up crime in six months?

00:57:31.120 Can you do that to our city?

00:57:33.440 It might create a model where the feds come in 0.97

00:57:36.800 and just get rid of all the corrupt people,

00:57:38.880 and maybe at some point they return control.

00:57:43.260 But you might have cities begging for it.

00:57:47.160 No, federalize us next, please.

00:57:49.720 Do what you did to D.C.

00:57:51.480 But here again, Big Balls may have changed the course of history

00:57:57.120 just by being who he is.

00:58:00.240 And by the way, if he got in a fight with several carjackers, 0.90

00:58:04.860 he has Big Balls.

00:58:06.300 I feel like I would have given them the car.

00:58:11.240 I don't know.

00:58:12.140 I don't know the details, though.

00:58:15.700 Would you like to hear the least shocking story in the news?

00:58:20.940 Say yes.

00:58:22.340 Yes, you would?

00:58:23.320 Okay, good.

00:58:24.740 The least shocking story, according to the Brussels signal,

00:58:29.020 is that Ukraine has discovered

00:58:31.280 that there are six officials who are corrupt,

00:58:35.680 and they had some corrupt scheme

00:58:39.060 where they're skimming money off a drone procurement.

00:58:43.820 Okay. 0.80

00:58:45.640 Ukraine is the most corrupt country in the world 0.74

00:58:48.540 in the middle of a war

00:58:50.220 with gigantic amounts of money slopping around,

00:58:53.980 especially for the production and procurement of drones.

00:58:57.620 And now we learn, surprise, surprise,

00:59:02.560 that exactly where that giant amount of money

00:59:05.200 is slopping around for the drones,

00:59:08.540 that in the most corrupt country in the entire world,

00:59:12.400 that the people in charge of that were corrupt.

00:59:16.260 I mean, who saw that coming?

00:59:19.660 I'm going to fall out of my chair with surprise. 0.90

00:59:22.540 Yep, there are some corrupt people in Ukraine, people. 0.97

00:59:28.300 People.

00:59:29.520 All right, that's all I got for you today.

00:59:33.020 I'm sure there will be lots more exciting stories

00:59:35.760 happening in the news today.

00:59:37.520 Trump's keeping it interesting.

00:59:39.500 Apparently he's not taking a vacation this summer,

00:59:42.420 so that's something.

00:59:43.760 And I'm going to talk privately

00:59:47.560 to the beloved members of Locals

00:59:52.360 and the rest of you.

00:59:54.520 Thanks for joining,

00:59:55.660 and I will see you tomorrow, same time, same place.

00:59:59.680 But in 30 seconds, I'll be private with Locals. 1.00

01:00:13.760 Thank you.

01:00:43.760 Thank you.

01:01:13.760 Thank you.

01:01:43.760 Thank you.

01:02:13.760 Thank you.

01:02:14.780 Thank you.

01:02:14.820 You

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 06, 2025

Episode 2919 CWSA 08⧸06⧸25

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