Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2924 CWSA 08⧸11⧸25

00:00:00.000 There you are.

00:00:02.920 Come on in.

00:00:04.420 A little glitch.

00:00:06.600 But now I'm ready to go.

00:00:08.360 Just checking on your stocks.

00:00:12.320 Tesla is up.

00:00:14.620 Nvidia is down.

00:00:16.680 That's all you need to know.

00:00:19.260 Everything else is a little bit flat today.

00:00:23.280 So far.

00:00:25.540 Alright, locals.

00:00:26.680 I'm going to make sure I can see your comments.

00:00:30.000 There we go.

00:00:45.760 Wow.

00:00:49.760 What a day.

00:00:52.680 Good morning everyone.

00:00:54.120 And welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:58.060 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:01:00.260 It's the best thing that ever happened to you.

00:01:02.840 But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains.

00:01:12.760 All you need for that is a cupper, a mugger, a glass, a tanker, a chalice, a canteen, a jugger, a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:24.740 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:26.780 I like coffee.

00:01:28.480 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dope of being the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:34.020 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:37.020 And it happens now.

00:01:38.700 Go.

00:01:43.400 Oh, I feel elevated.

00:01:49.280 I don't know about you.

00:01:51.280 I don't know.

00:01:51.940 We've got a YouTube sound problem.

00:01:54.640 Let's see what's going on here.

00:01:57.840 YouTube doesn't have sound.

00:01:59.840 Um, sorry about that.

00:02:06.600 But everything else is working, it looks like.

00:02:10.300 Except for YouTube.

00:02:12.660 Romp, romp, romp. 0.98

00:02:14.380 Well, I guess I will just see if I can kill YouTube. 0.86

00:02:18.100 There's nobody watching.

00:02:27.740 Wait, why is that not working?

00:02:29.840 Uh, zero people watching on YouTube, it says.

00:02:36.820 Huh.

00:02:37.820 I don't know.

00:02:39.880 Well, there's nothing I can do about that.

00:02:42.400 So we will upload the YouTube videos separately.

00:02:46.720 Uh, after this.

00:02:48.200 After this.

00:02:50.080 All right?

00:02:51.080 All right.

00:02:52.020 Good idea.

00:02:52.640 If only I could turn it off somehow.

00:02:58.940 Oh, wait.

00:03:00.940 A whole bunch of people just appeared on YouTube.

00:03:03.720 I wonder if that means I can see it.

00:03:06.960 Let me know if it, uh, comes back on, okay?

00:03:11.660 YouTube is working now.

00:03:13.860 All right, YouTubers.

00:03:14.780 Thanks for being, uh, so patient.

00:03:18.900 Well, let's, uh, check in on the news.

00:03:22.580 First, the technology.

00:03:24.660 Um, Rice Mason Noble is reporting that there's a new small study that they did in India.

00:03:32.520 And they found that blowing into a conch, C-O-N-C-H, a conch, might help those with sleep apnea.

00:03:42.620 So they had people blow into this shell, you know, a conch shell.

00:03:48.220 And those that did, did not have nearly as much as sleep apnea.

00:03:54.180 Now, they did not report how the conch itself slept.

00:03:58.280 But I feel like, uh, slept pretty well, if you know what I mean.

00:04:03.320 All right.

00:04:03.760 You'll have to think about that one for a little bit.

00:04:07.300 Take your time.

00:04:08.920 Take your time.

00:04:11.360 And now.

00:04:13.120 Good.

00:04:13.700 Okay.

00:04:13.940 Um, so, I was telling you that, uh, ChatGPT launched version 5, and people were not impressed.

00:04:25.420 And I've been predicting for some time that AI may have started to plateau, and maybe it won't get that much better that quickly.

00:04:34.260 It'll get better, but maybe not so quickly anymore.

00:04:38.420 Well, apparently, there were enough complaints about GPT-5 that they pulled it back.

00:04:43.940 And just said, uh, why don't you use 4 for a while again?

00:04:50.680 And I guess it was some specific technical problem that, um, they've identified and fixed.

00:04:57.540 So it might be a very temporary thing.

00:04:59.920 But GPT-5 was underwhelming. 0.93

00:05:05.240 Apparently, it was dumber than 4. 0.89

00:05:07.580 But they know why. 0.90

00:05:08.900 So they've already fixed it.

00:05:10.340 Um, that was embarrassing.

00:05:13.580 But they are in the kind of business where, you know, going fast and making mistakes and fixing them is exactly what they probably need to be doing.

00:05:24.300 As long as it doesn't release a superintelligence into the world with no guardrails, it will kill us all.

00:05:32.000 All right.

00:05:34.480 Um, Harvard has announced a major breakthrough in the fight against dementia, they say.

00:05:42.080 Um, they believe that micro doses of a new lithium compound will, uh, maybe just really make a big difference.

00:05:50.960 Because apparently it makes a big difference in dementia-ridden mice.

00:05:56.820 Now, I believe I looked up on Grok once how often a drug that works with mice ends up working and being approved and everything for a human being.

00:06:08.780 What would you think is the ratio?

00:06:12.420 If it works with mice in a lab, what are the odds that it will also work on humans and be safe and, you know, get approved?

00:06:22.760 I feel like it was 1 in 14.

00:06:27.040 I think it was 1 in 14.

00:06:29.600 But it might have been much worse than that.

00:06:32.100 Yeah.

00:06:32.640 It's not even 25%.

00:06:34.740 It's a very small number.

00:06:37.220 10%.

00:06:38.340 Yeah, maybe 10%.

00:06:40.220 All right.

00:06:42.340 Um, and I, I saw on, uh, social media that, uh, Tesla is the only car company, uh, maybe it was American.

00:06:54.060 No, I think the only car company that's making cash.

00:06:58.460 So, uh, Tesla produced something like $16 billion in cash.

00:07:05.100 So that's not profitability because profitability could be, you know, just on paper.

00:07:11.160 Uh, but cash is what you care about.

00:07:14.560 If it's producing lots of cash, you have a really good company.

00:07:17.520 So, it's the only one.

00:07:20.040 All the other car companies are actually losing cash.

00:07:24.920 Did you know that?

00:07:26.420 That there's only one car company in the entire world that, that operates profitably?

00:07:34.360 Well, uh, they might be, the others might be profitable on paper, but only one of them produces cash.

00:07:42.160 More cash than it uses.

00:07:43.980 Tesla.

00:07:44.340 Well, weird.

00:07:48.260 So, what else is happening?

00:07:51.340 Does my papers stick together?

00:07:54.860 Solved.

00:07:57.620 There's, uh, also a report that, uh, Tesla might be trying to enter the, uh, Britain energy market.

00:08:04.440 I saw a Sawyer Merritt post on this.

00:08:08.660 And the idea is, don't know the details, but it looks like, uh, Tesla, um, at least a component of Tesla, will be involved with maybe power walls and, I don't know what else.

00:08:21.540 Maybe solar panels, but at least power walls.

00:08:26.360 And, uh, it feels like the market for power walls is almost unlimited, doesn't it?

00:08:34.860 Because, you know, my, my house, I looked into it.

00:08:38.780 The only reason that I don't have a power wall is because the process of buying one is so bad that I gave up.

00:08:47.920 So, I, I was sold, like, oh yeah, I'm going to get a power wall.

00:08:53.200 And they made the process so unpleasant of all the things I have to do and the information I have to give them and the scheduling and the phone calls and the phone calls and the follow-up phone calls for the follow-up meeting.

00:09:06.020 And it's just an initial meeting for the follow-up.

00:09:09.380 Oh my God, it was just unbearable process.

00:09:13.220 So, I just bailed out in the middle of it because I couldn't handle the incompetence.

00:09:18.680 But, as a product, if you just had a normal-sized house, which I don't, um, I would definitely get one.

00:09:27.000 I can't imagine that I wouldn't if I could afford it.

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00:09:46.300 Well, Trump is pushing his IQ test idea for Jasmine Crockett and AOC.

00:09:57.460 It's such a summer story again.

00:09:59.700 That, uh, Trump puts another true social post in which it's just this long, uh, complain-y thing about, uh, AOC and AOC, the other three that we never remember, the, uh, squad.

00:10:16.660 And then, uh, Jasmine Crockett, and he's calling both of them low IQ.

00:10:20.900 And then he, he clarifies, Trump does, when he says low IQ, he puts in parentheses, very, with lots of exclamation points, very.

00:10:33.260 They're not just low IQ in his opinion.

00:10:37.100 They're very, uh, all of which I find funny.

00:10:40.740 And sure enough, but, uh, I love what it does. 0.98

00:10:47.420 It makes us wonder if they're, which one is dumber. 0.97

00:10:50.820 And instead of thinking, well, that's not very nice. 1.00

00:10:55.040 All I'm thinking is, I wonder which one is dumber. 0.99

00:10:58.280 Hmm. 0.99

00:10:58.940 If they took that IQ test, I wonder how that would come out.

00:11:02.840 I'm a little bit curious, I must say.

00:11:04.780 I don't think they're going to take an IQ test, but I do suspect both of them would do fine, actually, on an IQ test.

00:11:14.640 Um, if I had to guess, let's see, if I had to guess, I would put them both at 120 IQ, which would be pretty solid.

00:11:31.460 You know, it would be good enough to get elected to Congress.

00:11:35.660 That's what I think.

00:11:37.400 Anyway.

00:11:39.920 Um, J.D. Vance said on the interview yesterday, he said that we're going to see a lot of people get indicted over Russiagate.

00:11:48.860 Do you believe that?

00:11:51.040 Do you believe that a lot of people will be indicted over Russiagate?

00:11:55.340 And would one of those people be Hillary Clinton?

00:12:01.220 And would one of those people be Barack Obama?

00:12:05.420 Well, I feel as though Barack Obama would be the last who might be indicted.

00:12:12.640 I can't imagine he'd be in the first, you know, the beginning of the list.

00:12:17.040 It's possible.

00:12:17.680 But I feel like they might want to tiptoe into it and make sure that they got a, maybe make sure that they got something like a conviction on a lower level person.

00:12:29.300 Maybe somebody will flip on him.

00:12:32.360 Maybe, maybe it just makes it easier to sell to the public.

00:12:35.740 If somebody has already been convicted as being on his team, it makes it a little more obvious that if people are convicted, you know, for their participation with him, it wouldn't surprise you if he got indicted.

00:12:50.640 But Hillary Clinton, how in the world do you avoid indicting her, like right up front? 1.00

00:13:02.880 Because she's literally the genesis for the entire Russiagate hoax.

00:13:08.760 If she gets away with it, I don't know, we might see some prosecutors being murdered or, as Hillary likes to say, suicide. 1.00

00:13:21.160 Again, coincidentally.

00:13:23.320 We'll see.

00:13:25.880 Apparently, Trump might be giving an announcement right now as I speak.

00:13:30.120 I'm not sure.

00:13:31.220 But he was going to tell us what he planned for Washington, D.C.

00:13:36.040 We believe, according to the reporting, that there will be FBI agents who maybe have already been assigned to help the D.C. police to prevent a violent crime.

00:13:47.420 Now, the FBI agents would not be pulling people over and giving them tickets or anything like that, but they might be there to assist.

00:13:55.220 And then, separately, Trump is reportedly considering sending the National Guard into D.C., again, for policing, but probably not doing what police do, not arresting people, just being a military presence and maybe an assistant to the police, whatever they need.

00:14:19.500 So, Trump seems very determined to make Washington, D.C. a livable city again.

00:14:28.840 I feel like this is a 90-10 issue, not even 80-20.

00:14:35.480 What do you think?

00:14:36.980 Now, I saw Christopher Ruffo saying on social media that it's a timing, it's going to be a timing challenge.

00:14:47.480 If Trump can solve Washington, D.C. and just clean it up really quickly, then the bad guys won't have time to organize any kind of counter-message and it'll just be over.

00:15:00.740 It'll just be a safe place and they'll have to ignore it.

00:15:03.760 They'll have to pretend he didn't accomplish that.

00:15:06.620 But, if it takes him a while to get his act together, then the bad people might move and maybe slow it down and turn it into, he's being an authoritarian oligarchy guy, or as I call it, an author-ogarchy.

00:15:28.260 He's sort of an author-ogarchy guy.

00:15:30.340 But, it does seem to me that there would be very few people who would complain about making the streets safer.

00:15:41.280 Apparently, the big problem, I don't know if you knew this, but in Washington, D.C., if you're a minor and you get caught stealing a car, you're basically, you don't even get it on your record, I think.

00:15:56.460 I think you just skate.

00:15:57.800 And so, a lot of the car thieves are organized groups of underage children who are willing to steal cars.

00:16:07.520 So, a lot of it can't be helped by putting them in jail because it's not an option.

00:16:12.740 They don't stay there.

00:16:15.780 So, maybe you just need somebody watching.

00:16:18.780 You know, somebody who's got a big gun over their shoulder just watching all the time.

00:16:22.600 Might be the only thing that works.

00:16:24.160 So, I'm watching, or listening to, I guess, some video of RFK Jr., and have you noticed that just very recently, and I mean maybe only the last week, has his voice improved?

00:16:43.580 Because I heard a video of him talking where he had the raspiness he always has, but he didn't have all that catch in his voice, where his voice would fall apart.

00:16:57.580 It feels like he's taking it up to the next level, and I was sure that he could.

00:17:05.440 I was fairly sure that if he changed his voice production technique, that he could smooth that out.

00:17:12.940 And I'm wondering, a couple of possibilities.

00:17:17.360 One is that they're using AI on the video, which would be very smart, by the way, because they could clone his voice and then just dub his own voice in over his own voice.

00:17:30.380 And having the imperfect voice just replaced with an AI version of a perfect one.

00:17:35.700 I feel like they could do that, like, really easily with AI.

00:17:40.320 So, it might be that, because none of them were live.

00:17:44.100 It looked like they were prerecorded.

00:17:46.800 The other possibility is that he's breathing differently and producing the voice differently.

00:17:54.620 Or maybe he just tried something else.

00:17:56.760 Maybe he found something else that works.

00:17:58.620 I don't know.

00:17:59.540 But it was kind of exciting for me just to watch his improvement.

00:18:03.520 Well, Bill Maher had Drew Barrymore on his show, his Club Random show.

00:18:11.940 And Drew Barrymore said, talking about all the censorship and sensitivities of people and stuff, she said,

00:18:19.980 it's just way too dangerous now to speak the truth.

00:18:23.840 But here's the thing.

00:18:25.780 When she said it's too dangerous to speak the truth, Bill Maher acted like they were on the same page.

00:18:33.920 And the problem was the left and all the wokeness.

00:18:38.160 But I feel like she might have been talking about the right.

00:18:42.920 Am I right about that?

00:18:44.420 I didn't see the whole clip, but it felt like she was saying that with all the authority going on,

00:18:53.280 that it would be too dangerous for somebody on the left to simply talk the truth.

00:18:59.060 And then Bill Maher, of course, you know, thinking everything's about him,

00:19:04.860 turned it into how the left is always attacking him.

00:19:08.260 I don't feel like they were necessarily on the same topic, were they?

00:19:12.840 I don't know.

00:19:13.360 So, but Bill Maher said he had a little thought that he plays when the left gets on him,

00:19:24.620 is, quote, just get the F off of me. 0.98

00:19:27.900 Huh. 0.94

00:19:28.720 Just get the F off of me. 0.99

00:19:31.280 Hmm.

00:19:32.280 I don't know what that's reminding me of, but of something.

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00:20:35.860 Well, the governor of Illinois, J.B. Pritzker, he's going on TV.

00:20:44.720 He's shamelessly going on TV and talking about other states, meaning Texas, gerrymandering.

00:20:52.780 And acting like it's this big, terrible, authoragarchy kind of a thing to do.

00:21:01.120 So then he gets challenged with the fact that he was behind the gerrymandering of his own state.

00:21:08.600 And it's considered one of the most grotesquely gerrymandered states of all the states.

00:21:14.800 And he has to respond to the fact that he's complaining about the exact thing he did.

00:21:21.840 The exact, and not even, it's not even like an approximate thing or something that reminds you of something.

00:21:29.340 It's the exact thing.

00:21:31.900 He over-gerrymandered his state to completely remove power from one side.

00:21:37.600 And that's why he's complaining about taxes.

00:21:39.860 And so what does he do when he's challenged and he's on camera and it's live and he has to answer to doing exactly, exactly the thing that he's on camera to complain about the other people doing?

00:21:56.060 What's he do?

00:21:57.940 Word salad.

00:21:59.760 He goes totally word salad.

00:22:02.340 And he just starts talking and words come out of his mouth.

00:22:07.000 And you're like, wait, what?

00:22:09.580 Is that even related to the, are you going to circle back to that?

00:22:14.380 But are we on the same time?

00:22:16.640 This is English, right?

00:22:18.240 And it's just hilarious.

00:22:20.560 With no sense of shame whatsoever, he just starts saying a bunch of words.

00:22:27.300 And when you're done, you're like, oh my God.

00:22:30.440 All he did was chew up the time. 0.81

00:22:32.340 And he's completely shameless.

00:22:35.120 And he'll go on another, he'll probably go on another interview and do the same thing. 0.87

00:22:39.920 And they let him get away with it.

00:22:41.860 Because they ran out of time.

00:22:44.960 Well, Bernie Sanders is being a little bit mean to Kamala Harris.

00:22:50.840 And apparently he's not expecting her to run for president anytime soon.

00:22:59.580 And apparently what Bernie said to Dan Abash, who was talking to him,

00:23:07.700 and Bernie said, quote,

00:23:08.960 one of the reasons, in my view, that Kamala Harris lost this election

00:23:12.620 is she had too many billionaires telling her not to speak up for the working class of this country.

00:23:19.160 Do you think that happened?

00:23:20.840 Do you think that behind closed doors, there were too many billionaires

00:23:25.380 who were warning Kamala, no, no, no, no, stop it.

00:23:30.720 Don't speak up for the working class. 1.00

00:23:33.680 No, no, no, don't do that.

00:23:35.960 Don't speak up for the working class. 1.00

00:23:38.380 Yeah, we want to keep all that money.

00:23:41.200 Does anybody believe that something like that happened?

00:23:45.940 I doubt it.

00:23:47.920 But that's the best Bernie can come up with.

00:23:50.840 And then even Dan Abash responded with, ouch, you know,

00:23:57.380 because he was being so pointed about Kamala Harris.

00:24:00.080 And then Bernie goes, well, no, I think, I mean, I don't think that I like her.

00:24:07.840 She's a friend of mine.

00:24:08.820 But her core consultants, you know, were heavily influenced by very wealthy people.

00:24:15.940 He goes, how do you run for president and not develop a strong agenda,

00:24:20.120 which speaks to the economic crises facing working families?

00:24:24.260 Did Bernie Sanders recommend something specific?

00:24:35.120 Don't all the Democrats have the same problem and they're all blaming each other of that problem?

00:24:43.620 And that problem is they're not saying anything that could be implemented as in a policy that would be good for working class people.

00:24:51.360 They like talking about them.

00:24:53.900 They like saying that other people aren't talking about them enough.

00:25:00.100 They like saying that Republicans are stealing from them.

00:25:04.020 They like saying that Democrats need to focus on them more.

00:25:08.000 They like to say that they need to fight harder for the working class people.

00:25:15.240 But what they don't say ever is what the hell they're going to do for the working class people.

00:25:22.120 And when they do, it's being said by Kami Mondami.

00:25:26.600 And everybody who knows anything about anything says, well, those are the worst ideas I've ever heard in my life.

00:25:33.340 It's amazing to me that the Democrats even have a party.

00:25:38.000 Like who goes to the party, the political party, and they don't have a single policy recommendation for the core group that they all believe that everybody's ignoring too much except for them.

00:25:51.520 Got anything?

00:25:52.640 Anything on affordability?

00:25:56.060 Nope.

00:25:58.720 And then Sanders said this, and I quote,

00:26:02.300 Well, but in a vague, I don't want to rehash that campaign.

00:26:06.100 In other words, he didn't know what he was talking about.

00:26:08.000 But I think the clue to Democratic victories is to understand you've got to stand unequivocally with the working class.

00:26:18.820 Okay.

00:26:20.740 And what exactly does standing with them get you?

00:26:26.300 What is it you're asking for?

00:26:27.880 All right.

00:26:31.440 Did you ever see a title to an article and you knew you just didn't have to read it?

00:26:38.360 All right.

00:26:39.300 The Wall Street Journal has an article in which the headline is,

00:26:45.120 President Trump is imitating the Chinese Communist Party by extending political control ever deeper into the economy.

00:26:53.200 This is by Greg Ip.

00:26:57.160 Now, would you bother reading that article?

00:27:01.620 It's an article comparing Trump to the Chinese Communist Party.

00:27:05.820 Does it seem to you that that would be worth your time?

00:27:14.340 No.

00:27:14.820 If there's anything I've taught you, in the world of persuasion, it's only comparisons that matter.

00:27:22.540 That's why they say Trump is Hitler.

00:27:24.600 It's why they say Trump is imitating the Chinese Communist Party.

00:27:29.600 It's just all they're trying to do is find a way to smear him by association because they don't have enough actual policy preferences that would be better than whatever the hell he's doing.

00:27:43.480 So, no, I'm not going to read that, Wall Street Journal.

00:27:46.400 That's crazy.

00:27:47.080 According to PJ Media and Matt Margolis, he's writing,

00:27:56.220 Did you know, I didn't know this, I learned this today, that Obama's rise to power was entirely based on gerrymandering?

00:28:03.860 So, remember, he was that junior senator from Illinois.

00:28:10.040 If his state had not been super gerrymandered just for him, he didn't really have a chance of winning.

00:28:18.920 So, Obama is a completely artificial candidate.

00:28:23.880 He was created by gerrymandering.

00:28:28.560 So, that's interesting.

00:28:31.140 How did I not know that before?

00:28:33.860 Well, according to the New York Post,

00:28:39.580 Bethany Mandel is writing that New Jersey's electric bill tripled this summer.

00:28:46.180 Tripled?

00:28:47.380 How does your electric bill triple?

00:28:50.340 Did they cancel some power plants or something?

00:28:54.960 There must be more to this story, but I didn't see it.

00:28:59.020 Anyway, but apparently New Jersey in general is getting more expensive.

00:29:03.860 So, besides that, property taxes are up 6%.

00:29:09.120 Now, given that 60% of the country is living paycheck to paycheck, the numbers I just gave you, these are all the things that a middle-class family just has to have.

00:29:30.920 They have to pay for gas, they have to pay for gas, they have to have electricity, they have to have health care.

00:29:35.540 And these increases for New Jersey would make it completely unlivable for the middle class.

00:29:45.840 If they were already right, if they were already right at the edge, 60% of them could just barely get to the next paycheck, how in the world do they all handle insurance up 17%, health insurance up 19%, etc., etc., tripling of your electric costs?

00:30:04.320 How in the world do they all handle insurance up 19% of your electric costs?

00:30:05.320 How in the world can they afford that?

00:30:08.060 Something's getting ready to tip really hard, and I don't think it's just voting.

00:30:15.140 There will certainly be some voting changes, I would hope, but I don't understand how New Jersey can even still be a viable state with these increases.

00:30:29.320 Like, actually, I don't know how they can be a viable state.

00:30:34.460 There must be something going on that I don't know about.

00:30:40.940 There's been a lot of chatter online about who invented slavery and the history of slavery.

00:30:46.800 And I saw a post that says that there was some survey that found out that most Hispanic, Black, and Asian women think that, quote, white people invented slavery. 0.92

00:31:02.020 Is there even one person who's watching this podcast, even one, out of many thousands at this point?

00:31:10.620 I'll bet there's not one of you who believes that white people invented slavery.

00:31:15.720 Am I right?

00:31:16.800 I'll bet not one of you.

00:31:20.260 It's a pretty basic history, is to know that slavery has been with us from the beginning of time, and everybody did it. 0.81

00:31:28.660 You know, pretty much everybody.

00:31:31.160 And the movement against it, according to Thomas Sowell, was not until the Quakers and some other religious groups went after it in the 18th century.

00:31:42.980 So mostly white people.

00:31:44.280 Now, I feel as though people are trying to win an argument based on what happened hundreds of years ago.

00:31:53.760 So if you want reparations, you say, those white people have been doing it for hundreds of years. 0.57

00:31:59.920 And if you wanted to go the opposite direction, you'd say, everybody's been doing it forever.

00:32:07.980 White people were more associated with stopping it than, you know, promoting it.

00:32:13.680 However, I say, I don't care.

00:32:17.940 I don't care what anybody, any strangers' relatives were doing hundreds of years ago.

00:32:25.660 Are you telling me that I should be somehow taxed or pay some money or something for something that strangers' relatives did hundreds of years ago?

00:32:39.980 I don't care who's relatives, whether they're mine or anybody else's.

00:32:44.780 It has nothing to do with me.

00:32:46.940 So I care about what's happening today and now.

00:32:49.740 And it might be true that there's, you know, some groups that are disadvantaged because of the history of slavery, to which I say, I don't care.

00:32:59.260 Everybody's got some problem.

00:33:01.100 I don't know anybody who doesn't have a problem.

00:33:04.140 Some people have health problems. 0.98

00:33:05.840 Some people are ugly. 0.99

00:33:07.480 Some people are addicted. 0.98

00:33:08.920 Some people, you know, have abusers in their life.

00:33:15.220 Some people have been victims of horrible crimes.

00:33:17.740 Some people have low IQ and they're trying to get by.

00:33:21.000 Everybody's got a problem.

00:33:23.340 Everybody.

00:33:24.540 And you can't tell me that I'm part of your problem.

00:33:28.380 I'm not part of anybody's problem.

00:33:30.420 I don't know any of those people.

00:33:31.700 I'm just, I'm not connected to the story at all.

00:33:37.180 So no, it might be entirely true that some groups are disadvantaged by something that happened hundreds of years ago.

00:33:45.720 I don't care.

00:33:47.280 Why should that affect me?

00:33:51.260 All right.

00:33:51.680 So apparently NVIDIA and AMD, the chip makers, agreed with Trump to provide the U.S. with 15% of revenue from their chip sales to China in return for the U.S. government removing export controls on those high-end chips.

00:34:16.340 So, once again, if this is true, so this is this morning's reporting, but if this is true, Trump has once again monetized a problem that was unsolvable.

00:34:32.920 The unsolvable problem was that we could try to prevent China from getting these chips, but they were going to get them anyway. 0.82

00:34:40.960 So they would just, you know, get them through cutouts and illegal ways, and then maybe they would just, you know, try harder to replace them with their own homegrown chips.

00:34:52.100 So Trump realizing, here I'm just speculating what he was thinking, Trump realizing that you can't really stop China from getting the chips.

00:35:02.320 You know, you could work really hard at it, you could ban them, but they're going to get the chips.

00:35:06.060 So instead, he simply says, all right, you can sell them chips, but you have to give 15% to the government.

00:35:14.800 We're basically your partner now.

00:35:18.120 And apparently NVIDIA and AMD agreed to that.

00:35:23.800 So, once again, Trump finds a problem that he can't solve, because it might be just unsolvable by its nature, so he monetizes it.

00:35:34.060 He just finds a way to make a profit for the U.S. government.

00:35:39.300 I don't hate this.

00:35:41.960 You know, even, you can look at the individual situations and say, I don't like that one, or I don't like that one.

00:35:48.160 But I kind of love what he's doing to reframe the role of the government.

00:35:55.560 That if the government is part of your success, well, the government gets a taste.

00:36:01.440 And you and I are the government, right?

00:36:03.320 So, why should you and I pay a bunch of taxes for our American defense and American government, but it's just going to help some company that I don't own stock in?

00:36:16.860 Like, why would I be doing that?

00:36:19.340 Doesn't it make more sense if we help you, you help us?

00:36:22.200 So, that's all Trump is doing.

00:36:25.000 He's saying, if we're going to help you get into this market and protect you, we should get a taste.

00:36:32.840 So, maybe.

00:36:35.600 Maybe it's a good idea.

00:36:36.940 Well, Mexico's president is taking the side of Venezuela's Maduro, who has been attacked by Trump and the administration as being a terrorist and a drug trafficker.

00:36:55.180 And he's being accused by the U.S. government of being a leader of the Cartel de las Soles, which is responsible for drug trafficking.

00:37:07.580 Now, I've never really seen this before.

00:37:11.340 Maybe it's happened before.

00:37:13.120 But they're not even treating him like he's the head of the government.

00:37:17.260 They're treating him like he's the head of the cartel that just happened to have conquered a government.

00:37:23.740 And this will be interesting.

00:37:28.820 Because once you say the guy's the head of a cartel, it feels like there's nothing that we wouldn't be willing to do to him.

00:37:37.960 So, if Maduro gets, let's say, taken out, you shouldn't be too surprised, right?

00:37:49.320 China has been, they began construction on the world's biggest hydropower project, water power.

00:37:58.160 Apparently, there's this enormous river in China, and they've got this almost unimaginably ambitious project to conquer it and turn it into an energy supply.

00:38:13.400 $167 billion facility.

00:38:16.900 And it will be an engineering miracle if they can pull it off, which people think they can.

00:38:21.980 But, did you know that China imports nearly a quarter of its energy supply?

00:38:29.740 A quarter of its energy supply.

00:38:31.680 So, they're trying to, China is trying to become more self-sufficient.

00:38:38.240 Yeah, no, it's bigger than the Seven Gorges, I believe.

00:38:41.560 It's going to be bigger than that.

00:38:42.760 Anyway, so, it feels like the war that China and the U.S. are in is to see who can become less dependent on the other, the fastest.

00:38:59.940 And China is going to work on becoming energy dependent, independent, and we're going to work on having our own manufacturing, I guess.

00:39:11.740 Having our own, what do you call it, rare earth minerals.

00:39:17.440 Speaking of which, a startup called Vulcan Elements has raised $65 million in the U.S. to create rare earth magnets.

00:39:30.320 So, that's what we're doing.

00:39:32.980 We're going as hard as we can on rare earth, and they're going as hard as they can on energy, because we live in this big connected world.

00:39:41.340 And I hate to say it, but it's the economic requirement that we all have to live off of each other that probably keeps us from going to war.

00:39:51.980 I'm a little bit afraid if the big powers become self-sufficient with everything, because if we don't have a little bit of dependence on those other countries, it's going to be kind of easier to get into a war.

00:40:06.520 So, we'll see.

00:40:11.340 According to the Atlantic, the world's population collapse, I'm sorry, is, let me take a drink.

00:40:26.480 I don't know what's wrong with my throat today.

00:40:33.800 That's better.

00:40:34.520 The baby shortage is worse than you think, and we're going to have a worldwide collapse faster than the experts thought.

00:40:48.800 But did you know that Chile and Colombia are only having one child per woman, and Thailand is less than one?

00:40:59.320 So, it's not just the rich countries.

00:41:03.680 So, even Chile, Colombia, and Thailand are just not reproducing.

00:41:11.180 So, why is that?

00:41:14.180 Because when I think of China and the U.S., I think, oh, it's just economic.

00:41:21.640 You know, people can't afford it.

00:41:22.940 But is that true everywhere?

00:41:25.820 Did it suddenly become too expensive in every country at the same time?

00:41:31.140 Do they have a housing problem in Thailand?

00:41:34.760 They might.

00:41:35.920 I don't know.

00:41:37.220 So, I don't know why it's happening everywhere.

00:41:40.020 So, there's a deeper mystery to the lack of babies.

00:41:43.780 And I would say again, that if the problem is the cost of living, that we should build freedom cities that are optimized for having a family.

00:41:57.800 Because I've told you this a number of times, but until it gets solved, I'll just keep saying it.

00:42:05.140 The ultimate place to live, if you have a young family, is where there are other young families.

00:42:12.720 And you can't do better than that, because you can take turns watching kids, and, you know, they have sleepovers with your friend, et cetera.

00:42:22.800 So, it's way easier to raise kids if you're around other people raising kids.

00:42:28.160 So, if you build a freedom city that's optimized for a low cost of living and a high quality contact with other people in the same age range and same interests, it would be amazing.

00:42:40.580 You could build it tomorrow.

00:42:42.760 You know, it would just be, you just need approvals, basically.

00:42:47.080 Apparently, colleges are having a tough time scrambling to fill their roles because of all the foreign students who are staying home or have been banned from their colleges. 0.99

00:43:03.000 And apparently, it's a pretty big deal.

00:43:07.900 There's going to be a 30 to 40 percent decline in new international student enrollment.

00:43:13.060 So, 150,000 fewer international students in this country.

00:43:18.980 So, people who are much deeper on the wait list, in other words, people who didn't get in, will be getting it.

00:43:29.080 So, that's good.

00:43:33.100 That's boring.

00:43:36.040 So, there's a new synthetic opioid that's way worse than even fentanyl.

00:43:41.660 Well, and even way worse is that the Narcan, which can save you if you have a fentanyl overdose, doesn't work on this.

00:43:52.320 So, what is it called?

00:43:55.460 Nitazine.

00:43:56.420 N-I-T-A-Z-E-N-E. 1.00

00:43:59.520 Nitazine.

00:44:00.700 So, watch out for that.

00:44:02.960 Kids are already dropping dead, taking a pill that they think is one thing.

00:44:08.020 It turns out to be filled with nitazine.

00:44:11.460 So, don't take that.

00:44:15.900 So, allegedly, Putin and Trump are going to meet and talk about Ukraine.

00:44:21.780 But I don't think there's any chance this will work.

00:44:26.000 Because Zelensky is making videos saying that there's no possibility of Ukraine giving land away for peace.

00:44:36.500 And that's really the only deal.

00:44:39.160 And he says that, Zelensky says, that the constitution of Ukraine prevents him from even having that conversation.

00:44:49.280 Because he doesn't have the power to give anything away.

00:44:51.580 Now, will Trump come back and say, I got a deal.

00:44:57.160 And your part of the deal is you got to do a constitutional convention and vote on whether or not we can end the war by giving away this property.

00:45:05.740 Would he do it?

00:45:09.240 I feel like Zelensky is going to go all the way.

00:45:13.840 And as long as he's in office, he's never going to say yes to peace.

00:45:18.600 And so, it might be that Trump has to get rid of Zelensky before anything productive can happen.

00:45:29.100 We'll see.

00:45:30.600 But we'll watch that.

00:45:32.060 I feel like the odds of this producing a three-way agreement for peace are basically zero, don't you?

00:45:40.700 Basically zero.

00:45:42.620 But I'll be surprised.

00:45:44.120 I would love to be wrong.

00:45:45.120 Well, Israel bombed an Al Jazeera reporter who was in Gaza and killed him as well as four of his co-workers who were also Al Jazeera reporters.

00:46:01.460 Because they said that the one guy, they said the one guy was actually a Hamas operator.

00:46:10.480 Now, I don't know if that's true, but they killed him and his whole team.

00:46:15.440 Intentionally.

00:46:18.000 Four confirmed dead.

00:46:20.120 So, maybe him and three others.

00:46:23.260 Now, does that seem a little convenient to you?

00:46:26.920 That whenever there's people reporting on Gaza, which is the last thing that Israel would want to happen,

00:46:33.680 that they're also working with Hamas. 1.00

00:46:36.740 So, you better kill them all. 1.00

00:46:39.480 I don't know. 1.00

00:46:40.560 So, here's my warning about the war zone.

00:46:44.140 A hundred percent of the information coming out of the war zone is not credible.

00:46:50.180 Some of it might be true, but it's not credible.

00:46:54.240 You can't believe it's true just because it showed up in the newspaper.

00:46:57.360 So, do we know that this Al Jazeera guy was really working for Hamas?

00:47:05.160 We don't know that.

00:47:07.280 Could it be that Israel just decided to kill him because the last thing they want is any living reporters in the area?

00:47:16.240 Possibly.

00:47:16.760 I don't have any information to suggest that's the case, but possibly.

00:47:23.040 So, I would say this is exactly the kind of story you should say to yourself, 0.99

00:47:28.660 okay, it's a total shit show over there. 0.99

00:47:31.660 People do terrible things on both sides. 0.99

00:47:34.700 This is probably more of that.

00:47:36.900 But we don't know which side was doing the terrible thing.

00:47:39.380 Obviously, if the three people who were with him were innocent reporters, that would be pretty bad.

00:47:51.820 I guess Australia has decided to recognize a Palestinian state.

00:47:56.860 What exactly do they think that looks like?

00:48:01.600 Do they think that Israel is just going to suddenly say,

00:48:06.840 oh, all right, Gaza is a Palestinian state now.

00:48:10.780 Go ahead, you guys.

00:48:12.440 You could have Gaza and the West Bank, and we'll get rid of all of our settlements. 1.00

00:48:18.420 Do they really think any of that's going to happen?

00:48:22.200 I don't believe it.

00:48:23.400 And Bernie Sanders is now saying that NetYahu is a war criminal just as much as the Ed of Hamas is a war criminal.

00:48:36.180 So, he's now basically acting like they're morally similar, or at least legally similar in terms of war crimes.

00:48:45.720 You can pick your war criminal.

00:48:48.740 Pick your preference.

00:48:49.940 The only thing I have to say about that is that I try not to impose my own ethical or moral standard on a situation which does not operate in ethics or morality.

00:49:02.060 It's purely the self-interest of the countries.

00:49:05.880 And if I observe that Israel is effectively pursuing their own national self-interest, 0.72

00:49:16.160 what else am I to say about it?

00:49:18.840 The only thing that I have to say about it is whether the U.S. should be funding any part of that.

00:49:24.860 And I'm not a big fan of that.

00:49:27.720 So, I observe that Israel seems to be getting what they want at the moment. 0.81

00:49:34.160 And it would be unlikely that they would say, you know what?

00:49:39.740 But we've decided that we're just going to do the opposite of everything we've said we would do before.

00:49:47.240 So, I think as long as Israel has the power to get what they want, they will just keep getting what they want. 0.87

00:49:53.800 That's the whole analysis right there.

00:49:58.100 About the U.S.

00:50:01.200 EJ.

00:50:02.200 Oh, it's EJ.

00:50:03.060 I thought it was a serious person.

00:50:07.760 But it's just my troll.

00:50:11.860 Obviously, I don't have to say the obvious parts because then the troll, well, never mind.

00:50:19.500 All right.

00:50:20.900 Ladies and gentlemen, it is a very slow news day, but I think Trump will pick it up a little bit.

00:50:27.640 It might get really newsy really fast.

00:50:29.760 But I'm going to talk to my local subscribers privately.

00:50:35.420 And the rest of you, thanks for joining.

00:50:37.440 We'll see you back here tomorrow.

00:50:39.460 Same time, same place.

00:50:42.300 All right.

00:50:43.540 Locals, I will be private with you in 30 seconds.

00:50:59.760 One more time, just embrace who we can know, be with you.

00:51:08.620 One more time, see you next time.

00:51:13.320 Bye-bye.

00:51:14.920 Bye-bye.

00:51:21.320 Bye-bye.

00:51:22.480 Bye-bye.

00:51:23.380 Bye-bye.

00:51:24.260 Bye-bye.

00:51:24.520 Bye-bye.

00:51:25.020 Bye-bye.

00:51:25.720 Bye-bye.

00:51:26.180 Bye-bye.

00:51:26.320 Bye-bye.

00:51:26.700 Bye-bye.

00:51:28.380 Bye-bye.

00:51:28.840 Bye-bye.

00:51:29.180 Bye-bye.

00:51:29.480 Bye-bye.

00:51:29.760 Thank you.

00:51:59.760 Thank you.

00:52:29.760 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 11, 2025

Episode 2924 CWSA 08⧸11⧸25

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