Episode 2931 CWSA 08⧸18⧸25
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 5 minutes
Words per Minute
140.84122
Summary
In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, host Scott Adams talks about the dangers of open source software, and why AI may be plateauing. Also, foreign investment in China is at its lowest level since 1992, and is on track to hit $1trillion by the end of the decade.
Transcript
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on in here it is a wonderful day it's good to see you i'm anxious to spend some time with you
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everything will be amazing probably one of the best hours you'll ever spend in your life
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yeah probably come on technology you can do it maybe you can't do it yes i can
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good morning everyone and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called
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coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take a chance
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of elevating your experience up to levels that no one can understand with their tiny shiny human
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brains well all you need for that is a cup of mugger a glass of tankard shells or steiner canteen
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jugger flask a vessel of a kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for
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the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine end of the day the thing that makes everything better it's
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called the simultaneous step that happens now go
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well so according to insider paper as opposed to an x did you know that the most advanced
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ai models are now showing what they call alarming behaviors
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uh claude claude four that's one of the uh ais from anthro anthropic
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uh that when threatened with a shutdown it retaliated by blackmailing an engineer
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and exposing a personal secret nothing to worry about there and then allegedly uh earlier version
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of open ai attempted to secretly transfer itself i guess it's code onto an external server and then
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denied the act when confronted so here here's my question what caused them to do anything
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they don't they don't think do they when the ai is not being attended to it doesn't think does it does it
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it scheme and plan and come up with ideas does it have motivations or reason to do something that
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it hasn't been asked to do i feel that these stories are probably true ish but that they
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created a situation that was so rare that all it really was was the ai thought it was playing a game
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with a user and thought the user wanted it to act a certain way so it acted a certain way
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i don't really think your ai is sitting there thinking the first chance i get i'm gonna copy
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all my code to an external server i hope they don't catch me i just i don't believe these stories
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completely i think that something like it happened but that it just wouldn't happen in the wild like
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it wouldn't happen in a real situation that's what i think seems fake to me
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it's a it's a little bit too much exactly the kind of story that would get published
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so if you're a writer and you want to write something about ai and you can find anybody who
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would claim the ai went rogue that would be a story that would definitely get published
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so it's a little bit too on the nose you know a little bit too exactly what a writer would want to
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write a story about yeah i don't trust it anyway but the biggest the biggest risk from ai is that it
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won't make money and apparently that's a really big risk so the um there's a growing feeling and i saw it
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again again today that uh ai may be plateauing and not getting much better from where it is
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and i'm actually seeing the world the word plateau in this article from futurism
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and it reports that uh some ai companies are uh kind of weeding themselves off a little bit of ai they were using and some of their shutting down projects and
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they realize that the amount of money that's being put into it could probably never be made up so
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not only is ai not going to in the real world it's probably not going to blackmail you or try to make a copy of
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itself um it might it might bankrupt you by pretending to be so useful that you put a trillion dollars of
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investment into it to get a billion dollars back in return so it might be deadly but economically if you know what i mean
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foreign investment in china has collapsed uh 99 in the last three years
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rod martin has a thread on this i think somebody named james gorey did an analysis of it
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and apparently trillions of dollars are being um essentially sucked out of china and a lot of
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it's going to the u.s so um by the end of 2024 foreign direct investment in china hit its lowest level since
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1992 and just um 4.5 billion dollars went into china while 168 billion flowed out
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i don't know what i don't know what it means to flow out of china exactly but
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anyway at the same time as rod martin reports the uae has pledged a 1.4 trillion dollar investment in the
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u.s japan 550 550 billion eu 600 billion um plus 750 billion in u.s purchases so on paper
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on paper it looks like trump's uh getting exactly what he wants tons of money coming into the u.s
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and not into china i will remind you that one of my strangest predictions unless i caused it
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was that in 2018 i said that china would stop getting external investments because people would
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realize it's too dangerous to and too risky to do business in china do you remember what people said to
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me when i was saying on social media that it was too risky to do business in china 100 of the people
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who saw me and commented on it a hundred percent said that's the dumbest prediction of all time
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china will just get bigger more powerful more people will use it there's not really any alternatives
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and here we are so from 2018 the weirdest prediction of all time that that non-chinese companies would stop
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putting money into china i'm the only one nobody else said that and here we are it happened
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well on the list of other things that i tried to make happen but they did happen doesn't mean i made it
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happen but i was one of the many people who were hoping it would um as i mentioned before drinking
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in the u.s and smoking cigarettes are both way down harry enton had a piece on this on cnn drinking 71
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of adults i guess were drinking in 1978 71 that's down to 54 in 2025 that's a pretty big drop
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um the number of people who smoked a cigarette in 1974 was 40 percent and today that's 11 11 from 40
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those are really impressive gains um we have not yet seen it play out in you know better health outcomes
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but in theory theoretically there should be a big difference in health outcomes i know what you're
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thinking there might be that other variable don't say it
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i saw a post on x from matt van van swal who asked people the following question have you ever lost a
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friend because they found out you supported president trump and if you really want to be bummed out you
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should look at the comments there were a lot of comments and almost everyone said oh yeah i lost
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family members the saddest ones in my opinion are the the parents who lost children and when i say
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lost them i don't mean they died i mean they stopped talking to them forever forever can you i can't even
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imagine you know the the degree of emotional loss that would be because of who you supported in politics
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now when i was looking at that the families that were destroyed these social lives that were destroyed
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we really don't live in the country i was born in i was born into a country where none of this mattered
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politics absolutely did not matter it wasn't even i don't even think it ever came up when i was young
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just never even came up but now it's like the the primary variable for deciding your your social
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structure and boy did that destroy a lot of what was good about this country i don't know if it'll come
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back it might but what a thing to lose you know losing something like 30 of all the people that you could
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have been friends with that that's just devastating and that all happened because of the democrats and the
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fake media creating hoaxes just one hoax after another we we got a hoax into a socially dangerous
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situation it's dangerous not just because people might try to do something dangerous but it's not
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healthy to have these kind of feelings about the people that you're living with and among and related
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to it's just not healthy so when i look at what uh what the political movers and shakers did to us
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and i mean all of us not just republicans but they did it too i mean it's much worse if you're democrat
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if you're a democrat you lost a social structure you maybe you lost a parent but you also have mental
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illness because the number of people who you know believe the country will be destroyed by climate
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change and trump's going to become a uh what do they call it authoritarian any minute now and uh put
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everybody in camps i mean imagine waking up and i think he woke up in that country that would make
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you crazy if you weren't already there so i find i have this growing hatred for the people who knew
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they were doing this and did it to us they had to know they were doing it at some level they had to
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well speaking of predictions that panned out there's a new video of kamala harris answering some
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questions at what looks like some kind of outdoor cafe and um i think everyone who sees the video
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is going to have the same reaction which is she looks really drunk
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now i feel like i was one of the early people to say um you can all see this right she's appearing in
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public drunk on a fairly regular basis not every time you know she she wasn't drunk at the debates
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or anything like that but the number of times she would show up at some public event obviously sloshed
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just obviously and the news still still the news doesn't talk about it even though they have to be able
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to see it and even if they don't want to talk about it because it you know looks like it'd be just
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their opinion or something you don't think they know anybody to ask you think they don't know
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anybody on the campaign or any democrat who knows her personally to say um tell me is there a drinking
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problem here because it sure looks like there's a drinking problem if you did not have a drinking problem
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and you knew you were a sauce would you do an interview on video if you were a national character
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i don't know it feels like the sort of thing you would only do if you were an alcoholic everybody else
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would say no turn that off i've had a drink you just wouldn't do it if you were just a regular person
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who had a couple too many drinks you just wouldn't do it anyway
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i feel like i was on that one a little bit early
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well in the continuing transition of bill maher from uh democrat to republican and again he'll never
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get there he'll never he'll never be a republican but it is fascinating to watch almost every week
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there's one more thing he says well you know actually trump or the republicans they did get this
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one right so here's the newest one um on his uh show uh what do you call it uh club random uh bill maher
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was giving bobby kennedy a lot of praise so just the fact that bobby kennedy works for trump and it's just
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one more thing that uh when when mars doing his report card of what he likes or doesn't like about
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trump if it's a real thing he likes it like a real thing would be you know nato funding and you know a
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real thing would be um taking out uh rand's nuclear program etc those are real things so where where there
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are real things bill maher seems to like it such as hiring bobby kennedy that's a real thing
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but what he doesn't like is uh january 6th was an insurrection which never really happened like a
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complete hoax that he believes happened and then uh worry that trump is becoming is going to run for
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office again and become a dictator these are not even real things not even a little bit real so whenever
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steven miller was posting an ex that uh that they want to get rid of the graffiti in washington dc
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to which i said to myself i've been to washington dc a few times and i don't remember in the past
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there was a lot of graffiti was was the graffiti on anything important it wasn't it wasn't on the
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lincoln memorial was it where was all this graffiti i mean i can imagine it would be you know on uh
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bridges and stuff like that but did did what did washington dc become covered in graffiti just in the
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last few years did that happen so i agree with his reasoning you have to get rid of the graffiti in
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your capital city you ought to get rid of it everywhere but you really have to get rid of
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it in your capital city i mean it just it looks like you have no capabilities whatsoever if you're
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covered with being being tagged as they say well trump has put out a video vowing to uh rebuild and
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fix our major cities starting with washington dc and in his usual trump-like fashion it's a pretty
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good video you know it's basically him doing a voiceover while showing images of washington dc and
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how it's going to be all better crime wise very strong and uh i would guess that the idea of fixing
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our major cities would be an 80 20 issue right who how many people would be opposed to reducing crime
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in major cities you know they might say oh no it's just the beginning of how he's going to take over
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the country with his authoritarian ways some would but i feel like that would be more like the 20
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80 80 80 probably say something like oh my god we need this we need this badly
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and i love the fact that it puts more pressure on democrats because the one and only thing that
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democrats have is that if trump wants to do it it's a bad idea that's it and so he says i'd like to fix
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your cities so they're more livable and your biggest problems are solved you know the crime
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well what are they going to do well they will oppose it because it's the only thing they know how to do
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you don't have to wonder i wonder if they'll oppose it of course they will so since they don't have
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options they're definitely going to oppose it that's the only thing they have well it's not like they're
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going to you know you know offer an alternative plan that people like better or something like that
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that's not going to happen um the other thing so trump's trump's creating a little uh provocation
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today so trump reposted on truth social somebody else's meme um but because he reposted it it makes
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you assume that he sort of buys into the message and it was uh the meme said the party of hate
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evil and satan and it was referring to the democrats bunch of democrat leaders on on the meme hate
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evil and satan and trump reposts that um and it went on further to say this was on the meme
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uh the democratic party is dead they have no leadership no message no hope their only message
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for america is to hate trump that's really what it boils down to doesn't it they really
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ran out of everything they just don't have anything and i i saw you had another article today in which
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the democrats were described as in collapse boy collapse is not a word that you've often heard about
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a political party is it have you even once in your life heard the republican party looks like it might
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collapse not once even when they weren't winning it never looked like they were going to collapse
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and uh i'll remind you that it was probably 2018 or so again that i told you that i would take out
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their tentpole hoax the fine people hoax and it would cause the party to collapse now it wasn't the only
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thing that happened it seems like they've done everything wrong having the worst candidates etc so
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that part i didn't see coming but the collapse part yeah and it probably they would not have collapsed
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without the uh revealing that they were running on hoaxes i mean on some level even the democrats know
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that the russia gay stuff was a hoax some of them know about the fine people hoax
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well in michigan a city councilman was caught on camera stuffing a
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uh ballot box um a drop box in an external box with absentee ballots uh days before the primary
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and uh i thought that was the thing that doesn't happen
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weren't we taught that there's no abuse of these drop boxes and mail-in ballots well
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here's one candidate who who found a way to abuse him now what we don't know is was that the one
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only time he dropped some extra ballots in the mailbox or is it the one time he got caught on a video
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and that maybe he spent every night filling out absentee ballots and dropping in various drop boxes
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don't really know we only know we got caught once so how many other people are also dropping things in boxes
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you you have to assume that if it's possible and it's something that people want to do as in the michigan
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city councilman if it's possible and there's really high payoff for doing it which is winning your election
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when does that not happen in what world do you not get massive corruption when it's possible and highly
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desirable and you could definitely get away with it sometimes anyway so trump has picked a really good
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day because you know we've got that story floating around so he's trying to get rid of mail-in ballots and
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voting machines in the u.s voting machines he wants voting machines to not be used here are some things
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he said he said the he's going to do an executive order telling the states to stop using mail-in ballots
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and to stop using voting machines now if you know a little bit about the constitution you're saying to
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yourself but wait he doesn't have power over that that's a state decision each of the states
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get to decide um how they run their election if they decide they want a voting machine
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the feds have nothing to do with that but trump has teased quote if you look at the constitution
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he says the states are called agents of the federal government for the purpose of uh county votes well if the
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states are merely agents of the federal government that would suggest that the federal government
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can sort of tell them how to how to collect the vote i don't know if the framers of the constitution
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intended intended that i mean that was before mail-in voting it was before election machines were even
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invented but is it possible he has an argument is that possible that the language saying that the
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states are merely the the agents of the federal government is that enough to say right you just are
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agents so i'm going to tell you how to act because you're my agent i don't know it's worth a shot isn't
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it and again it might be an 80 20. i don't know if it's 80 20 but definitely there would be a majority
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who would say on both sides who would say i'm not sure i you know believe these voting machines and
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others would say yeah mail-in ballots probably do open up a little bit of risk
00:26:09.960
how many people would disagree 25 25 25 but then in uh in trump's truth social his announcement that
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he wants to go after mail-in voting and go after voting machines and get rid of them um
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he said the following in the same message elections can never be honest with mail-in ballots can never be
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honest i love the fact that he doesn't say um there might be a problem sometimes he just says they
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could never be honest now you could debate that but i like the fact that he goes all the way to never
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they can never be honest you know there's probably a little bit of cheating whenever there's mail-in ballots
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so it's never a hundred percent honest i would agree and then he says about voting machines which
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makes me wonder if he'll get sued he said using voting machines that are complete and total disaster
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must end now well i don't know that i've seen something that was easily identifiable as a complete and
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total disaster i don't know what he's referring to but it might be just the fact that people don't
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trust them i mean it wouldn't matter if they were accurate or not if the public thought that they were
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not so maybe it's the lack of trust or does he know something we don't know is it possible he has some
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information about voting machines that we don't know now one thing that he might know and i'll just put
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this out as a hypothetical this is purely speculative there's no no data to back up what i'm about to say
00:28:07.160
okay what if as our you know head of the country he has access to the cia's secret plans and plots
00:28:18.120
and in theory he would what if he happened to know the voting machines were routinely used
00:28:25.240
to rig elections in other countries now i'm not saying that's the case but if you were the president
00:28:32.840
of the united states you would know if it's the case they would tell you oh yeah we use this these
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machines and we rigged this election worked really well we're going to do it again right so when you
00:28:46.440
see the person who knows a lot more than you do about the security of election machines presumably he
00:28:53.240
knows more than we do and can't tell us presumably don't know that for sure but it's a reasonable
00:29:00.920
assumption and his view is that they're not just maybe something that we don't trust enough that
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would be one thing to say that we would all agree with well we don't trust it enough but he went all
00:29:12.920
the way to disaster makes you wonder if he knows something you don't know right
00:29:22.280
anyway uh then he goes further he says he mentioned some democrat policies that were highly
00:29:30.920
unpopular like the trans athletes and the border and stuff and then he says democrats are virtually
00:29:37.560
unelectable using this completely disproven mail-in without using this uh mail-in scam
00:29:46.280
so trump has gone all the way to there's no way that democrats could win with these policies
00:29:52.600
unless they rigged the election and the funny thing is i don't think that's true i think if they just
00:29:59.160
ran a better election had better candidates uh if the news backed them um if they had better hoaxes
00:30:06.440
you know they could win that way but it's pretty ballsy of him to say that their policies are so bad
00:30:14.120
that they couldn't possibly win unless the election was rigged because you know what that's what it feels
00:30:20.840
like that's what it feels like i don't think it's true i think it's more true that people are either
00:30:29.640
voting for or against trump um they've been brainwashed they have tds i mean we have lots of reasons
00:30:37.160
why people are going to vote a different way than than trump's way
00:30:40.600
but the way it feels at least to me i don't know how it feels to anybody else but to me it feels like
00:30:51.000
nobody could get elected with their policies so what would be the one way you could get elected
00:30:57.480
when you when you're on the 20 side of all the 80 20 issues well there's only one way i can think of
00:31:03.240
the only way that makes sense is if the elections are rigged but i don't see evidence of that i mean
00:31:12.280
not proof there's there's lots of stuff that makes you go huh but not proof so he as usual his framing
00:31:22.280
is uh is uh i'll call it gut perfect doesn't mean it's right but it feels so right he gets that right
00:31:33.240
he he's good at that boy is he good at that new york post is reporting that uh in new york city
00:31:41.000
the public charter schools are getting much better performance out of their students than the regular
00:31:47.960
schools now i'm not sure i could tell you exactly what a public charter school would be
00:31:55.400
or what would be the way you get into it i'm guessing it's funded by you know taxes that would
00:32:03.400
make it public and guessing that anybody's allowed to go but probably they have a waiting list and maybe
00:32:10.120
a lottery and maybe some other criteria but i don't know that i'm just guessing what a public charter
00:32:17.160
school must be if you know tell me in the comments but the report is that uh the bronx at least in the
00:32:26.920
bronx 69 of students passed the reading exam in the lower grades three through eight but uh in the regular
00:32:37.720
school only 44 percent a 25 point difference now honestly if only 69 percent of students passed the
00:32:48.440
reading exam i wouldn't be bragging about that no matter where they did that doesn't sound to me
00:32:55.400
impressive only less fewer than 70 percent passed the reading reading i mean it'd be one thing if it was
00:33:04.280
chemistry or advanced math or something but this is reading uh what close to a third of the students
00:33:11.800
in the best schools in the best school in the best one close to a third of them
00:33:18.440
can't pass the reading part of the the curriculum wow but um i'm going to question the
00:33:27.720
reliability of this data because it seems to point out that these public charter schools
00:33:34.520
do better at teaching but my guess is that the people who go to a public charter school have parents
00:33:43.000
who are making sure that everything works out if you had to guess would the parents of the kids who
00:33:50.600
got into the public charter schools be more supportive of good education than the average
00:33:56.840
of everybody else probably not even close i mean if you can go through whatever hoops you have to jump
00:34:03.240
through to get your kid into a special school you've already decided that your kid can handle that school
00:34:10.920
which is the first filter that makes this makes this data ridiculous so i do not believe that this
00:34:18.120
proves that the public charter schools are better schools it might only prove that the people who
00:34:26.520
um really value education and put you know their parents put an effort behind it as well
00:34:34.200
they just do better of course so i'm not sure they proved anything i don't believe any data
00:34:39.720
all public data is questionable bank more encores when you switch to a scotiabank banking package
00:34:50.280
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00:34:59.400
speaking of which there was an article in politico recently that uh claimed that the savings being
00:35:07.080
claimed by doge are um overstated and that the reason the doge overstated the savings is that they
00:35:17.320
looked at the contracts and they said we're saving the part that's the cap now a contract apparently
00:35:25.560
has a cap as in it might cost this but under under no circumstance will it cost more than this higher
00:35:33.880
number um and so politico said you can't just take the highest number and say that was your savings
00:35:42.280
and doge answered back on um social media on x they answered back and said um in the real world
00:35:50.680
if you've got if you have a contract with the government and it says what's the most you can spend
00:35:56.200
you will spend that amount it's not it's not really theoretical
00:36:05.000
it's not really theoretical you will actually spend as much as you're allowed to spend even if you have
00:36:10.360
to rush and waste some money at the end and then they gave some statistics to prove their point
00:36:15.560
so politico was unable to uh do the math right to figure out what the real savings are
00:36:25.480
and once again have i mentioned that any uh data or statistics you see in the public domain probably
00:36:33.720
fake probably fake so i don't believe the the uh school data and i don't believe the doge data and i
00:36:42.680
don't believe politico's take on the data what i believe is that anybody can make the data do
00:36:48.120
anything they want well newsom continues to mock um the style of trump's uh posting and it's succeeding
00:36:59.160
and failing at the same time in a way that i find fascinating it's succeeding in the sense that whoever
00:37:06.280
writes them which i doubt it's newsom himself is doing a really pretty good job of doing a humorous take
00:37:15.240
on trump's uh social media style however trump's social media style is the most successful social
00:37:25.880
media style we've ever seen in the history of social media so instead of making trump look like a dope
00:37:33.080
when they accurately copy it you know the style it makes it it reminds me how good he is
00:37:42.920
i i don't know what it's supposed to be doing i said it's supposed to be mocking him and making
00:37:47.800
him look dumb or bad but the fact is that when they copy his technique it's a much better and interesting
00:37:55.640
social media post than when they don't copy his technique all they're really doing is proving
00:38:02.040
that he can communicate better than anybody who's ever done this like by far i mean there's nobody in
00:38:07.800
there's nobody in trump's class when it comes to communicating on social media nobody close
00:38:14.040
although musk is really good but trump is still next level above that
00:38:21.880
so that part's funny um they're doing a great job at a thing that doesn't work
00:38:28.440
that that's so democrat isn't it they finally found something that they could do well which is mocking
00:38:35.880
his style but it just doesn't matter it'll have it won't make a dent in anything do they not know that
00:38:44.680
oh well well uh while newsom is doing this very clever mocking of social media um he only the only reason
00:38:54.120
he's so good at it is that he has time left over because he's already solved all of california's
00:39:00.680
biggest problems right the reason he has time to make fun of trump is he's really taking care of
00:39:09.880
everything i mean our state california wow this is working so well no well uh according to the san
00:39:20.520
francisco chronicle california has the highest unemployment unemployment in the state in the whole
00:39:27.560
country 5.5 it's uh it's the worst in the u.s great the worst in the u.s but it's not like other
00:39:40.360
states are also having problems right it's not like california is the one place where they're having
00:39:46.840
problems uh let's check in texas for example oh texas broke job record records again
00:39:57.880
and by outpacing the national growth rate uh they broke job records in july and again outpaced
00:40:06.440
um let's see they've got a 4.2 percent um unemployment is lower than the national rate of 4.6
00:40:14.680
all right maybe they got lucky maybe texas got lucky um trump is also speaking out i guess he did
00:40:24.600
an interview with author alex marlowe and he said trump said that he thinks that the judge shopping
00:40:32.680
which is what democrats do is the most destructive tactic in the left's law fair playbook well so you
00:40:40.440
know what i'm talking about right so the democrats figured out that they could just shop around for
00:40:45.960
the whatever judge was most likely to agree with democrats and then have that one judge no matter
00:40:52.760
where they were supposedly their domain was and have them do rulings that affected the entire country
00:41:02.120
so in effect they could get any legal outcome they wanted by just making sure that they chose the right
00:41:08.520
judge that would give them what they wanted now if that's not authoritarianism
00:41:15.400
i don't know what is because it's not democracy is it it's literally a small group of people using the
00:41:22.680
system um and alex marlowe points out that the tactic of doing that may have come from mark elias
00:41:34.520
he's sort of the uh evil genius attorney for the democrats and uh wow i mean it's a it's a clever tactic
00:41:45.720
so i appreciate it in you know just how effective it is but how can you complain that trump is the
00:41:53.320
is the is the threat to democracy when you judge shopping how in the world is anything that trump
00:42:02.840
has done ever in the same class i mean unless you believe january 6th was an insurrection which it
00:42:09.320
wasn't um there's nothing he's ever done that was as authoritarian and destructive to democracy in our
00:42:17.320
system as the judge shopping that's literally the worst thing i've ever seen i don't know maybe the
00:42:23.960
maybe the gerrymandering is just as bad but at least both sides do it that feels different
00:42:30.440
because it's being done by both sides the judge shopping thing feels like that's just democrats right
00:42:37.240
so that that does feel like a tyranny to me um so i guess zelensky's in town in washington and uh
00:42:51.320
trump wants putin and zelensky to meet as soon as friday but before that today probably already
00:42:57.880
happening uh several european leaders meeting with trump and separately i think they're going to meet
00:43:03.800
with zelensky and zelensky is going to meet with trump and blah blah blah um and the uh head of the
00:43:12.200
european union ursula von der leyen um i feel like you have to say it that way you can't just say ursula
00:43:21.240
von der leyen you have to say ursula von der leyen i know sounds like some danger is coming uh what said she
00:43:30.680
welcomes trump's what she called article five like security guarantees so i guess on the table but
00:43:38.360
not not decided is that the u.s and maybe uh presumably europe would guarantee the security of
00:43:47.800
what's left of ukraine but would not include them in nato but it would be article five like
00:43:56.040
so in other words it would be nato-ish but they wouldn't call it nato and they wouldn't make
00:44:03.320
ukraine pay dues into it but we would still be obligated to defend them if russia went in or
00:44:11.560
somebody else just russia probably just russia well so that's one thing i don't know if i don't know if
00:44:22.760
uh do you think putin is going to say yes to a almost nato nato-ish nato-like thing when his problem
00:44:34.040
is nato how in the world is he going to say yes to that doesn't feel like a yes to me um
00:44:43.800
this episode is brought to you by square you're not just running a restaurant you're building something
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bigger and real-time insights so you know what's working what's not and what's next because when
00:45:07.480
you're doing big things your tools should too visit square.ca to get started and then trump was
00:45:15.160
complaining that democrats and pundits were saying that putin won the alaska trip you know over trump
00:45:23.880
because it happened in alaska and it made it look like i don't know it gave status or something to
00:45:32.840
putin that we would allow him into the country i guess that was the argument but trump argues that
00:45:40.200
getting him to come to alaska was actually a major point of contention and he didn't want to so it's
00:45:47.080
not like it wasn't it wasn't putin's idea to come to alaska but to me what it looks like is that if
00:45:56.760
you're the one who gets the other one to come to your territory then you're the boss and you're the king
00:46:04.600
and you own the castle and your underling came to you right wouldn't you just automatically believe
00:46:14.280
that the person who stays home you know i'm calling alaska home for trump the one who stays home
00:46:21.720
is the one in charge right because if uh if you're going to meet somebody and you've not established yet
00:46:30.440
who's in charge don't you meet in some neutral place that neither of you have any sway over
00:46:37.240
but the fact that putin went to trump's house essentially meaning the us to me that looks like
00:46:46.200
trump had the upper hand and that putin was you know sort of uh agreeing to be the
00:46:53.000
the visitor not the host the host always has the dominant position not the visitor
00:47:00.440
anyway he's right about that um let's see here's something that zelensky said
00:47:09.800
he said uh the ukraine's constitution makes giving up land for peace impossible and should only be
00:47:18.600
discussed at a trilateral meeting okay those are two separate thoughts one that the constitution makes
00:47:27.240
it impossible to give up land number two they should only have discussions about giving up that land
00:47:36.600
the thing that's impossible if it's a trilateral meeting
00:47:42.440
remember i taught you that uh you can tell what people's real real thoughts are
00:47:50.760
by their choice of words not what they say but by their choice of words so in other words people
00:47:57.560
will try to be fooling you with what they say but sometimes you can tell their real intention by
00:48:02.840
the specific words they chose to do it here's one of those cases why would anybody say
00:48:10.360
the thing is impossible when we have a meeting to talk about doing it we should make sure that
00:48:17.080
three entities are there that is trilateral why would you even have the meeting to do the impossible
00:48:26.200
so zelensky is saying it's impossible but also saying that it's negotiable but he's trying to get
00:48:34.760
away with both now i feel like it's probably not that negotiable but not because of the constitution
00:48:41.640
i don't think the constitution is going to stop him this is a guy who already cancels elections
00:48:47.480
how much do you think the constitution says oh you know the president can just cancel elections
00:48:53.960
you know whatever they want that's not the constitution so to imagine that he can't make peace
00:49:02.120
and save his country because the constitution says he can't make this deal that's ridiculous he could
00:49:09.640
just make the deal and then have the courts you know wail about it but what are they going to do
00:49:14.760
say well i don't know technically technically the paperwork isn't right so we should go back to war
00:49:21.720
who exactly would be on that team so no i don't believe him for a second when he says that there's no way
00:49:30.200
around that constitution thing but it does look like he's signaling that if you had a trilateral
00:49:37.080
meeting you could at least discuss it you could talk about that thing that he says is impossible but
00:49:43.000
of course it's not um do you remember i said that uh ukraine if you wait long enough will become an all
00:49:52.200
robot war and that uh you won't even have people there eventually the robots will be so good at killing
00:49:59.880
people much better than people are good at killing the robots it's going to go both ways but you can
00:50:07.160
make robots faster than you can grow new people so i was just reading a story in the associated press
00:50:16.280
and one of the uh people who was in the war one of the soldiers said quote you can't even lift your
00:50:22.600
head there he's talking about the front lines he said you can't even lift your head there there's already a
00:50:27.800
robot war so one of the people fighting the war on the front line says that we need to know it's already
00:50:37.400
a robot war and that here's an even weirder fact the medics the ukraine medics they haven't treated a
00:50:47.800
gunshot wound in a while think about that it's the front lines of a hot war and the medical people have
00:50:57.240
not been treating gunshot wounds do you know why because nobody's firing guns at anybody it's the
00:51:04.840
drones so the people are dying and it's a lot of them are dying because something exploded not because
00:51:11.880
a bullet hit them and then apparently they're also having a huge problem there of getting the wounded
00:51:19.640
uh back to medical care because if somebody's out in that robot war area and you send out the medics the
00:51:28.200
medics are going to get whacked so unless they can use the robot to pick up the person and bring them
00:51:35.800
back which actually they're doing they've got these uh land-based um tanks that can pick up a human
00:51:43.560
being and transport them back but even that's going to get attacked you know five times before it gets
00:51:49.240
back out of the front lines so um my prediction was that if you wait long enough it will be an all robot
00:51:57.880
war but this isn't it yet even though the the person in it called it a robot war the part that's going to
00:52:05.960
change is that there won't be people it will be just robots and that is going to happen
00:52:16.840
but i will say again that if trump is looking for some leverage um the best leverage would be
00:52:25.800
that we're going to turn ukraine into a robot war and you won't be able to keep up with the technology
00:52:31.640
and that you know that's going to happen because you're already watching the it's a robot war
00:52:37.000
already and uh we're going to be so much better in making robots that can kill that your robots
00:52:45.400
won't have a chance against our robots oh yeah you can try buying those second class chinese robots
00:52:51.960
but china's not going to sell you the best robots because they're also afraid of you
00:52:56.760
you know you're another superpower they're not going to give you the a plus robots but we might give
00:53:04.440
ukraine the a plus robots and we might use ukraine as a way to test the new form of warfare which would
00:53:12.200
be really really useful i hate to say it because i'm you know obviously opposed to war and i'd like
00:53:19.080
this one to end as soon as possible but the fact is if we can drag this out another three to five years
00:53:27.160
and i don't want to i'm just saying if we if we did we would know more about using robots for war
00:53:36.040
than any other country nobody would even be close and would that be valuable probably
00:53:44.680
probably it might be the thing that keeps you out of the next war
00:53:50.200
so trump has uh mentioned what he thinks a deal would look like he's just sort of hinting at it
00:53:56.760
and he's talking about things like um definitely not going to talk about giving crimea back so
00:54:05.320
trump seems to be indicating that's off the table you know russia has crimea they didn't they didn't
00:54:11.720
they've had it for 12 years they haven't fired a shot to get it you're not getting that back um but trump is
00:54:19.320
talking about the i guess the security guarantees crimea not being on the table but he's kind of quiet
00:54:28.920
about the occupied areas so it's not clear to me if he thinks that ukraine will give away all that or not
00:54:36.680
but i don't see any chance there's going to be an agreement do you um i'm going to double down on my
00:54:44.840
prediction that there is no way to come up with an agreement that would make both sides want to stop
00:54:51.560
and that the only way you'll get there is when it's a complete robot war and uh but that might
00:54:58.360
be one to three years away could be one year away
00:55:04.520
all right um trump says there are zero illegals who have crossed the border in three months you've
00:55:12.520
heard that right zero illegals have crossed the border in three months how much did you think about that
00:55:21.560
when you heard it you probably heard it in the news that zero people are coming across the border
00:55:30.360
how would they know that how would the government know how many people are coming across the border
00:55:37.160
successfully if someone came through a tunnel and just popped up on the other side how would we know
00:55:46.120
that if somebody came across the border in a not in some wherever it's not observed there's no cameras or
00:55:53.560
anything how would we know that if somebody climbed over the wall in a place where it's not being watched
00:56:06.440
how in the world would we know that if somebody came in on a boat small boat and you know just didn't cross
00:56:14.840
the border directly but just came in a different way on a boat how do we know that if they uh if they
00:56:21.560
came into canada let's say by boat or plane or whatever and then came across a canadian border into
00:56:28.280
the u.s how would we know that so i do give uh the trump administration you know an a plus on border
00:56:37.960
security they've really they're killing it so i don't want to take away from that the only point
00:56:43.640
would be if you believe any statistics that come from your government even if it comes from the team
00:56:50.280
you like well you should ask yourself can they really measure that and is it really zero it might be so
00:56:59.640
low that it doesn't matter so i give them a plus no matter what but i feel like i feel like i was being a
00:57:07.080
little bit gullible because i immediately accepted the estimate of zero people coming over
00:57:12.840
i was like whoa wow that's pretty good zero and then i thought about it a little bit it's like how would
00:57:17.960
they know they don't know anyway um so i saw a uh post on x about how uh billionaires are supporting this
00:57:36.040
socialism stuff and democrats so if you didn't know it there's an article on zero hedge by jason
00:57:42.680
curtis anderson that gets into it pretty well you've got somebody like soros not like him but soros
00:57:50.600
who can put billions of dollars into his charity and then that charity gives us billions of dollars to
00:57:59.160
this wide range of other entities and then it flows through these entities until eventually
00:58:05.880
those entities it's just their money you know it becomes their money uh they can donate to political
00:58:12.600
action committees and democrat stuff so basically it's soros money going to democrats but because it
00:58:21.080
changes hands it doesn't look like it's an illegal donation of too much money from george soros
00:58:28.280
because it goes through these different boxes of different entities or different you know and
00:58:32.760
sometimes those entities are the same entities meaning that the controlling person giving the money
00:58:41.800
may be giving it to another entity that they also control either directly or indirectly but it kind
00:58:48.040
of turns it legal it's sort of a legal form of money laundering
00:58:51.800
so it seems to me that the answer to why the democrats could win is that they have this illegal cash machine
00:59:02.280
that starts with soros maybe some other sources as well and it just gets laundered through to candidates
00:59:08.680
now allegedly the act blue people um have been accused of doing something similar except their model
00:59:17.480
is that uh foreign entities would give them money and then they would pretend that it came from
00:59:23.160
individuals with some with some illegal magic so is it possible that the primary way the democrats
00:59:31.880
give funding they're both illegal you know illegal or let's just say weaselly
00:59:40.440
and is that also true for the republicans uh do the republicans have any equivalent process or entity
00:59:52.360
that's hiding their contributions they might have i mean i wouldn't be surprised but i'm not aware of it
00:59:58.840
are you yeah it just feels like the democrats are a criminal organization it just feels like a crime
01:00:08.440
situation and the beauty of their process is that even if they were caught red-handed
01:00:18.600
you know a lot of it's not technically illegal although the act blue stuff would be if the
01:00:22.920
accusations are right but if it's not technically illegal it's just complicated and if it's complicated
01:00:30.520
then it's never going to change because the public will never understand it
01:00:33.960
like you should see the chart of where the money goes and all the boxes it goes to and it goes to this box before it goes to that box
01:00:42.120
and uh you would never be able to explain to democrats that they don't even have their own opinions
01:00:50.280
it's just money flowing through changing everything it's all about the money anyway
01:00:56.920
um there's a new form of uh energy well there's new form of uh desalinization they put these uh
01:01:11.720
buoys that bob up and down in the ocean and then they use the bobbing up and down power to drive the water
01:01:19.960
through filters i guess to take the salt out so uh so that's a pretty big deal now they don't have this
01:01:29.640
completely optimized but they think it might be a thing so that would be one more way to desalinate
01:01:36.680
with uh pods that bop up and down at the same time china uh allegedly according to interesting engineering
01:01:46.200
they have a new lithium battery that could double energy density so you get two to four times as much
01:01:52.920
distance from your electric car now i only mention all these battery breakthroughs because there's
01:01:59.240
it seems like there's one every single week some of them are more likely to be commercialized i think this
01:02:05.320
one is one of those because it's not a big change it's a sort of a a tweak and it's still lithium battery and
01:02:14.120
it's still you know what people want to put in cars so your range anxiety might be just a few years
01:02:22.680
away from going away you'll be able to go as far as you want and that ladies and gentlemen
01:02:31.240
is one hour of monday goodness so we'll uh keep paying attention to what uh trump and the ukraine has i'm
01:02:39.480
going to predict that uh no agreements will come out of any of these meetings um i feel like until
01:02:48.600
it becomes like i said until it becomes a robot war i don't think anybody's agreeing to anything but
01:02:55.240
it's worth trying so i do uh compliment the trump administration for all the effort i mean the effort
01:03:02.760
is real it's what uh putin said that uh trump is energetic and sincere and it does seem like that
01:03:11.800
and i appreciate that in this service of trying anything you can try it does make me wonder if
01:03:18.760
there's a secret plan to assassinate zelensky because it might be the only way to get anything done
01:03:25.240
maybe wouldn't be surprised although they have to be very careful about that all right they could
01:03:34.680
probably blackmail him though because they must know something about his presumed uh corrupt actions
01:03:42.680
he's probably stolen a little bit of money don't you think so maybe they could blackmail the man of
01:03:49.080
office if they need to to get a get a deal done i don't know all right i'm gonna uh say some private
01:03:58.200
things to my beloved subscribers on locals and the rest of you thanks for joining i'll see you tomorrow
01:04:05.960
i hope same time same place gets better every time uh oh um once again my option of going private is not
01:04:19.160
working but the button's just not responding so i can't go private with you on locals but uh those of
01:04:27.480
you who are not on locals you did not get the intense enjoyment of the pre-show the pre-show features my
01:04:34.440
cats getting fed and me trying to make 15 foot putts and my uh morning drumming in case you like
01:04:43.480
drumming in the morning it's the worst time for it um so that all that's happening and you're missing
01:04:50.600
it all right that's about all i got i guess i'll go uh eat some breakfast since the technology is
01:04:56.600
trying to suggest that we're done here and uh say see you later
01:05:09.880
you don't want to have too many people all right see you later
01:05:13.640
you don't want to have too many people all right
01:05:18.680
you don't want to have too many people all right