Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2934 CWSA 08⧸21⧸25

00:00:00.000 there you are come on in come on in we almost have a quorum so we can redistrict

00:00:10.640 no there won't be any redistricting today not here anyway texas yeah maybe

00:00:20.880 all right once your comments are working we'll get busy with the show that you can't wait to hear

00:00:30.000 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization

00:00:45.680 it's called coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take

00:00:52.240 a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that no one can even understand with

00:00:58.560 their tiny shiny human brains well all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass a tankard

00:01:06.560 shells or a stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind to fill it with your favorite liquid

00:01:13.120 i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine at the end of the day

00:01:18.480 the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip it happens now go

00:01:26.240 um pretty good pretty good not the best but it's right up there well the uh restaurant chain called

00:01:41.440 cracker barrel has decided to go broke but uh the way they'll get there is by going woke

00:01:50.240 so apparently they have a newish ceo a woman who's uh quite gung-ho for all things dei and one of the 0.98

00:01:59.520 things they did was they removed from their logo the old man uh who i always thought was a cracker

00:02:09.520 and then he was leaning on a barrel so they got rid of the cracker and they got rid of the barrel

00:02:15.120 i don't know what's left well if you had to guess uh what is most likely is it most likely that they're

00:02:26.960 moved toward dei and making a big deal about it and changing the logo and getting rid of the old white 0.97

00:02:33.920 man on the logo is that going to help their bottom line if you had to guess would you guess well this

00:02:42.720 will all work out well let's uh check in with um target target stores who went through their own uh

00:02:52.320 wokeness uh talk friendly swimsuit uh kind of event and i'm reading from red state bob hogue is writing

00:03:01.920 in red state that uh let's see uh the target ceo is leaving his post next year

00:03:12.800 and it looks like they never really recovered um from their their wokeness uh drama but here's the

00:03:21.920 funny thing um so the way cnn describes it is that the problem is a backlash to its retreat on dei

00:03:32.640 so if you get your news from cnn it will say the problem with uh target sales

00:03:39.520 is not that people didn't like them being woke but rather they didn't like when they were woke and

00:03:49.520 then they became less woke so it was the becoming less woke because it was such an uproar that that

00:03:58.080 really hurt their sales what do you think was it the being woke or was it the retreating from being

00:04:06.880 woke they hurt their sales well probably both my guess is that anytime you change anything it gives

00:04:16.160 somebody a reason not to not to shop there but what it definitely didn't do is give somebody a reason

00:04:22.960 to shop if they didn't already have one it could give you a reason not to shop either way because they

00:04:30.640 got too woke or they retreated from the woke but which of those things would cause you to buy more

00:04:37.600 would you say oh target's really woke now i'm gonna buy a few extra pairs of pants

00:04:43.280 no it can only go one direction whether you go woke or you go less woke it can only cost you customers

00:04:52.400 just because it's a change and there's no way there's an upside so we'll see meanwhile kroger

00:04:59.360 stores have announced that they're gonna close multiple supermarkets in washington state

00:05:05.040 due to crime according to the gateway pundit mike lachance is writing about that and uh what do you

00:05:15.520 think of that so kroger has uh decided that instead of staying in the high crime area they're gonna get

00:05:24.560 the fn there huh well that's uh that's some advice isn't it i wonder if they could get cancelled for

00:05:33.520 saying that they should get out of a high crime area i feel like they should be cancelled for that

00:05:39.200 no no just kidding don't don't turn kroger um but what will happen will kroger's sales go up or down

00:05:48.480 well they'll have fewer sales in the high crime area but they probably were losing money and

00:05:54.560 employees too meanwhile bed bath and beyond which at one point was bankrupt but i guess it got

00:06:01.360 rescued by some big money entity but uh they're trying to rebuild and they have announced that they

00:06:09.760 will not build any stores in california can you even hold this in your head that california

00:06:21.120 is uninvestable if you're a big company they've just said there's overregulation and taxes and um

00:06:32.160 basically those two things overregulation and taxes so they say it's just not even worth it it's too

00:06:38.640 risky so the two risky places to do business three uh well four if we count ukraine

00:06:47.520 um would be china ukraine gaza and california but also uh apparently washington state but also washington dc

00:07:04.160 so there's a whole bunch of places you just don't want to be

00:07:07.280 and unfortunately i live in one of those places so i'm thinking of moving to ukraine

00:07:15.360 for the friendly business environment

00:07:20.400 well sam altman uh out of uh chat gpt uh apparently according to zero hedge has hired some top democrat

00:07:30.640 operatives to help them uh grease the gears so to speak as zero hedge puts it grease the gears with

00:07:39.200 california politicians um because they need to restructure the company and eventually go public

00:07:46.880 and they need california to be a friendly business environment do you know what will happen

00:07:54.720 if they don't get what they want this is uh in politico by the way um well will they leave california

00:08:04.800 what will their ai tell them to do but uh it seems unbelievable to me that uh a company as big as uh

00:08:15.600 open ai and chat gpt that they have to hire people just to figure out how to navigate the democrat

00:08:22.480 the success pool that is california that's not good that's not good and what could you say about

00:08:31.040 the governor of a state that's so poorly run that bed bath and beyond is not willing to do business in

00:08:38.880 this state and chat gpt had to hire expensive democrat weasels to try to figure out how to do business with 0.99

00:08:48.000 the state what would happen to that governor well obviously obviously his political career would be

00:08:55.360 oh what oh he is the highest polling person to be the presidential candidate oh okay so we'll talk a

00:09:06.320 little bit later about how democrats are not taking the best advice but what about walmart

00:09:13.200 don't you think walmart's having some issues with wokeness or dei or uh do you think they're having

00:09:21.280 some issues with tariffs well walmart is once again you know arguably one of the most impressive

00:09:31.440 companies in the history of the united states because their sales are up so they've got a four percent

00:09:38.160 4.6 sales increase in the last three months and that's even including the fact that they've got

00:09:47.360 tariffs that are built into their prices now now they have raised some of their prices because of

00:09:52.960 tariffs but only one-third of their goods come from overseas and they're not passing along the entire

00:10:01.280 cost of the tariffs they're they're absorbing some and passing some along but it wasn't enough to

00:10:08.240 decrease their sales and apparently i haven't heard of them doing anything that would make anybody

00:10:15.280 mad about dei or about trans or wokeness or any of that so somehow they've avoided all of that

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00:11:30.640 well speaking of big companies doing stuff axios is reporting that morgan stanley did some data analysis

00:11:41.040 and this is what morgan stanley and this is what morgan stanley came up with now i'm laughing because

00:11:46.400 it used to be my day job at a big corporation to do financial uh estimates and projections and decide

00:11:54.720 which path was the the best one financially so i have a little bit of appreciation of how accurate you can be

00:12:05.440 in doing this which is morgan stanley did an analysis of how much money ai could save the big companies

00:12:15.280 and they said it could save them nearly one trillion dollars a year um in reducing i think mostly employee costs

00:12:24.320 so they came up with one trillion dollars a year and um um that's only the beginning

00:12:37.280 they say long term it could result in 13 to 16 trillion dollars in market value creation

00:12:44.960 for the companies in the index i figure that's the s p 500 index i think that's what that means all right

00:12:55.440 do you believe

00:12:59.760 i'm giving it away by laughing at it but do you believe that morgan stanley has somebody on their payroll

00:13:08.000 they can estimate the trillions of dollars of impact of ai no no they don't have anybody who knows how to

00:13:16.960 do that this is pure there was somebody who was no doubt assigned the project

00:13:25.600 that's the sort of project i would have been assigned to do you think i would have not produced the number

00:13:31.520 of course i would if i had been working for morgan stanley and they said scott got an important

00:13:38.400 assignment for you it will be up to you to decide you know how much money can be saved by ai i'd be like

00:13:46.800 all right and then i'd go off and i start making some assumptions well let's assume 46 of all the

00:13:57.280 companies fire 20 of their staff within eight months uh where did you get that assumption um

00:14:08.720 look over there it's a deer change the subject yeah no you can't really do that kind of an estimate

00:14:16.160 it's entirely possible the ai will just be wonderful and companies will make more money

00:14:22.400 and all the people who lose their jobs will be instantly retrained and have ai as a buddy and

00:14:28.160 they'll go off and make more oh it's all possible but if you tell me that anybody can estimate

00:14:35.120 what's going to happen in even three years no no nobody can do that

00:14:43.840 um but google's generative ai team according to futurism newer lcb

00:14:52.400 is writing about this cbi i don't know um that uh there would be no point in getting a law degree

00:14:59.680 or a medical degree if you are going to start today and the reason is that ai will just eat your lunch

00:15:07.600 and you could get that expensive education it might take seven to eleven years to become a practicing

00:15:15.040 doctor but by then there's almost no chance the ai won't do it better and cheaper and faster

00:15:25.520 you'll still need nurse type people you know to put on splints and do physical stuff well i guess you

00:15:32.720 could do a lot of that in the hospitals um but in terms of analyzing something and prescribing something

00:15:40.320 i feel like i would agree that your regular doctors got some problems and lawyers too but i will point out

00:15:50.640 that uh chat gpt just had to hire some humans to help them navigate california and i suspect that one of the

00:16:03.360 big advantages of big law firms is that they have connections um they literally know the judge

00:16:11.120 they uh you know their brother-in-law is in some political office so i suspect that the big law firms

00:16:20.560 that charge a lot and get the most powerful people out of trouble and most powerful companies

00:16:28.160 it probably is more about their weaselly ways and who they know and what they've done and who owes them

00:16:35.120 a favor and uh i don't know if ai can keep up with that i mean they would use ai but i suspect that the

00:16:43.760 lawyers are going to get together and make make it illegal to have an ai only lawyer imagine imagine if you

00:16:53.920 will just a few years in the future where there's a uh a accused felon who goes to trial and says uh your

00:17:03.840 honor um i'd like to uh exercise my right to have an ai attorney uh we've edited all the documents and

00:17:13.120 it's ready to go and then the ai just sits there on a box and argues against maybe another ai

00:17:20.720 is that going to happen i don't know because you would have to train your ai to be somewhat dishonest

00:17:32.800 well let's say dishonestly persuasive especially if you were the defense and your client was guilty 0.93

00:17:40.480 the only way your client can win is if your ai is a lying weasel you know just like the human would be 0.95

00:17:48.560 defending you so will it ever be legal for for ai to be programmed to lie to the jury to get a guilty

00:17:59.680 person off i don't know i i feel like the existing lawyers are going to find ways to make it illegal

00:18:07.760 to have an ai lawyer now will the medical community do the same probably i would say

00:18:16.960 um probably it won't be long before you start seeing stories in the news about somebody who died

00:18:25.280 because they took advice from ai oh you know that's coming that it'll be you know those stories will be

00:18:33.120 planted by let's say you know some doctor the ama or some doctor you know benefiting organization

00:18:42.160 and suddenly your your brain will think wow ai just keeps killing people with bad advice oh it told

00:18:51.760 him to take horse paste or whatever and then you'll say huh i only want a human doctor 0.62

00:19:01.120 and it will all be fake but the doctors will hire the human lawyers to make sure that it's illegal

00:19:09.440 to have an ai only doctor because it's far too dangerous that's what they'll say

00:19:17.520 well there's a physicist who believes he has a theory his name is miguel alquibari he has a theory for how

00:19:28.800 to do faster than light engines so sort of warp speed kind of thing faster than light and the way he would do it

00:19:38.880 since it's impossible to go faster than light is instead of making the object go faster than light

00:19:48.400 he will bend space that's his proposition you could bend space so that there's uh let's say

00:19:59.440 so that there's less of it in front of you than there is behind you or something like that and then

00:20:04.480 bending the space gives you the functional equivalent of traveling faster than light but you're technically

00:20:12.400 not because within your you know your small local domain you're not faster than light it's just that

00:20:19.440 you're bending space in front of you that you're not in yet and behind you now does that make sense i don't

00:20:27.200 know i mean i may not have explained it perfectly but uh does it seem impossible that you could bend

00:20:35.760 space in space in front of you and behind you i don't know how you do that we don't know how to do that

00:20:42.080 now right so i wouldn't be holding my breath for waiting for that but hey you never know mario

00:20:49.600 norfolk found that story you should follow mario norfolk on x he does great summaries of the news every

00:20:59.520 day bank more encores when you switch to a scotiabank banking package learn more at scotiabank.com

00:21:09.920 slash banking packages conditions apply scotiabank you're richer than you think

00:21:17.280 um elon musk has made a uh provocative and non-obvious uh uh prediction he said that ai

00:21:28.160 is going to obviously uh one shot the human limbic system now i don't know exactly what he means by

00:21:36.480 that part but the real prediction comes next he said that said i predict counterintuitively that it

00:21:44.880 will increase birth rate mark my words and then he goes also we're going to program it that way well

00:21:52.320 the only one he can program is is his you know grok x ai um and i could certainly imagine that it would

00:22:04.400 program it to optimize human reproduction but i don't think the other ais are going to necessarily do

00:22:11.920 that are they and it also seems to me like that could be its own set of problems i feel like maybe ai

00:22:20.160 should just stay out of it but hey you know he's obviously got a he's done more thinking on this

00:22:28.000 specific topic than i have so he might have something oh i'll be open-minded on that but why would ai

00:22:36.000 increase birth rates he does say it's counterintuitive but then he doesn't help us out with the reasoning

00:22:43.600 do you see it how many of you is it because the ai will hypnotize us into reproducing is it because

00:22:55.360 the ai will take away all our uh workload and we won't have much to do and we'll be staying home

00:23:05.200 and so it'll be like well if we're gonna be home a lot we won't have any problems watching the kids we

00:23:11.760 don't need so maybe it just makes life easier and maybe it makes it easier to afford things too

00:23:20.240 we might get to the point where you know energy and housing costs are all low because the robots

00:23:26.480 are building the houses and you know we we've solved energy by just having smarter you know nuclear power

00:23:34.720 and stuff so i don't think this is going to happen right away but i can imagine getting to the point

00:23:43.200 where if you're a family or let's just say you're married that you wouldn't have anything to do 0.85

00:23:50.160 unless you had kids so might be that having families is the only thing that will have meaning

00:23:58.000 because you won't be able to get meaning through work the robots will be doing the work so i think

00:24:04.800 he might be right you know as i'm as i'm thinking it through um i could if you could get to the point

00:24:12.880 where people don't have to work and everybody has enough of the basics yeah people will be bored

00:24:19.120 and they're going to want to just have babies probably 1.00

00:24:25.120 well did you know according to cell press that reading for pleasure in the u.s has decreased

00:24:32.000 over the past 20 years um do you think they needed to do a study of that i feel like i would have known

00:24:39.920 that isn't that purely because of alternative uses of our time you know if you've got a phone in your hand

00:24:49.120 um you don't need to read that much now personally i read way more now than uh than i did before

00:25:02.160 computers because you know it's only rarely that i pick up a book but uh you know if if you're on the

00:25:11.200 internet all day if you're on x or you're reading stuff all day i mean i read probably the equivalent of

00:25:18.080 about a quarter or half of a book just getting ready to do this podcast i mean the amount the amount that

00:25:25.120 i read in the past two hours it's pretty pretty uh large amount so yeah reading for pleasure i was

00:25:36.560 trying to remember the last time i read fiction for pleasure and i couldn't even remember i think it

00:25:44.320 was you can help me out on this um i've read non-fiction books of course but fiction for

00:25:53.440 pleasure probably the last one was the second harry potter book so if you told me what year that was

00:26:03.600 the second harry potter book when it just came out i think that's might be the last book i read for

00:26:09.440 pleasure that was a while ago anyway um according to newsweek some schools are going to test out uh

00:26:19.920 schools in florida are going to test out putting armed drones in schools um to defend against school

00:26:29.120 shooters now when i say armed i don't mean necessarily with bullets but rather with that pepper spray and

00:26:36.720 some kind of some kind of some kind of glass breaking device so it doesn't get trapped behind a glass door

00:26:44.080 i guess um and what would happen is if there was a if somebody did the secret button um presumably it

00:26:54.160 would be the administrator who did it then the drone would take off and it would be operated remotely by

00:27:00.960 somebody who would know to do it and they would look for that uh the shooter and at the very least

00:27:08.560 you know they'd get more information about the shooter but it could also interfere with them so the

00:27:14.000 the drone could uh try peppering him and you know he's gonna have to turn his the shooter would have to

00:27:19.760 turn its attention on the drone just so the drone didn't take him out so that would be fun that seems like

00:27:28.880 a good idea we'll know because you could deploy that drone in like five seconds 0.64

00:27:38.080 well i'm loving watching the bad advice that democrats are giving to other democrats

00:27:43.360 um james carville was on some show talking about what the democrats should have done

00:27:50.240 when jd vance took his summer vacation because i guess he went to england and a place called oxfordshire

00:27:58.080 it took the family and uh that's sort of an upscale place in england and james carville says that the

00:28:06.960 democrats should have hammered him because there are vacation spots in the united states that are not

00:28:13.920 doing as well as they could be doing and what's he doing taking his american money and wasting it overseas

00:28:20.880 and he says that they should have just been all over him on that and made a big deal about it is

00:28:27.360 that some of the worst advice you've ever heard

00:28:31.520 how many people care where the vice president is taking his family on vacation

00:28:39.520 how many people care about that

00:28:42.560 most americans would be perfectly happy to take an overseas vacation you know different countries they might

00:28:49.520 prefer but is there any american who doesn't think that they would like to take an overseas vacation

00:28:56.080 someday and do we really think that we're all going to be taking the same kind of vacation as the 0.73

00:29:03.120 president and the vice president of the united states that is ridiculous it's just the worst advice

00:29:12.960 if the can you imagine some democrat voters like well you know uh uh i was uh gonna vote for trump but

00:29:23.360 then i found out that jd vance and his family went on a vacation in oxfordshire england that changes

00:29:29.920 everything are the democrats of this lost that that seemed like good advice oh my god oh my god

00:29:40.000 in other news um apparently the uh arctic sea ice the guardian was reporting this there's a new study

00:29:52.640 that says that the arctic sea ice has not reduced um in 20 years now if you believed in climate change

00:30:03.280 and you believe the planet's getting warmer and uh it might be it might be getting warmer but wouldn't

00:30:11.120 you also predict that that warming would increase the ice loss well apparently it didn't happen however

00:30:20.320 instead of saying uh-oh it looks like our prediction models are wrong because you can't go 20 years without

00:30:27.760 losing some sea ice if the planet's getting warmer no instead the the climate people say that they have

00:30:36.240 at least two climate models that would uh allow for such long pauses including another 10 years

00:30:45.760 so they say that there are two existing credible climate models which would allow the planet to get warmer for

00:30:55.600 30 years but the ice in the arctic not to change for those same 30 years

00:31:07.280 does that sound even a little bit like they they know what they're doing and they've got a they've got

00:31:14.080 a handle on this thing it sounds like a dilbert response right well yeah my prediction model is no

00:31:24.080 no matter how warm it gets or for how long the ice won't melt all right okay got it

00:31:35.440 well i don't know what to believe there but you know what i always say wait until you find out about climate models

00:31:44.960 it's so funny i i think people are slowly starting to get the idea

00:31:50.960 when they see that every other thing in our environment is fake the news is fake our employment data is fake

00:31:59.840 certainly all of our casualty numbers from war all fake the reasons we get in war all fake

00:32:07.840 the russia hoax all fake most of our political stuff all fake

00:32:14.880 but people still believe that the most ridiculous of all those things the climate models that we could

00:32:23.680 somehow monitor we could somehow model climate into the future that we still believe that one's real

00:32:31.040 when all the other things from yeah from flu deaths to everything else are all fake and we know

00:32:38.960 they're fake but there's one thing oh that one's true you know what i'd love to see since the best

00:32:46.960 argument for the non-scientist is that there are so many scientists who say it's true

00:32:52.240 how many other topics has science had 98 percent agreement we'll just ran i know it's not 98 percent

00:33:01.520 but let's just say uh 90 how many how many items in science have had 90 agreement and then later

00:33:11.600 turned out not to be true i feel like there's a pretty long list isn't there

00:33:16.960 certainly the uh nutrition pyramid probably had 90 percent agreement of dietitians and whatnot and

00:33:26.080 that was fake right so if you knew how many times science had been wrong when nine out of ten scientists

00:33:36.800 believed something was true wouldn't that change how you saw the climate stuff it would that would be

00:33:43.840 important context and i don't know it i don't think you know it either but certainly they're yeah

00:33:50.800 certainly eggs are bad i'm seeing some other some other examples go by yeah and then we believe that our

00:33:59.840 elections are pristine really everything's broken but our elections are fine and climate science

00:34:08.320 once you realize that everything is fake if it's complicated and there's a lot of money involved and

00:34:15.920 it really matters it's definitely fake all right um um scott besant was asked about uh getting a trade

00:34:26.400 deal with china which we don't have yet and bright martin news ian hanchett is writing about this and

00:34:33.440 apparently uh the sense take is that we don't need a deal because we've uh passed tariffs along and the

00:34:43.040 tariffs include things like you know grotesque higher tariff because of fentanyl and apparently

00:34:50.960 um china is our biggest source of tariff money right now now i'll remind you it doesn't mean that china

00:34:58.960 is paying it although in some cases they might by taking lower profit margins but uh the company that's

00:35:07.120 importing is still paying it but uh apparently china is not complaining too much and we're getting all

00:35:17.520 kinds of revenue toward uh you know the deficit and we don't really need to do anything

00:35:25.200 uh i have to admit i did not see that coming i did not see us getting to the point where our trade

00:35:33.680 deal with china is you know what if they want to keep having these tariffs we'll be happy to keep them on 1.00

00:35:41.360 there so you just instead of uh solving the problem um trump monetized it as he does

00:35:50.800 and basan says if it's not broke don't fix it so he's happy to just plot along and keep the tariff money

00:36:03.040 well the u.s has a bunch of warships and 4 000 marines off the coast of venezuela because madura the

00:36:12.320 leader is accused of being more cartel than national leader although he's both and uh i guess maduro

00:36:23.920 is uh activating a bunch of reserves so he's got millions of soldiers just in case and i'm going to

00:36:31.840 give you my conspiracy theory of the day now i wouldn't say that i believe this is true but

00:36:42.960 some of you are going to say that's a pretty good conspiracy theory you ready like many of you

00:36:51.040 i also believe that when a president gets in office that there's something like what i'm going to

00:36:57.440 describe that happens maybe not exactly this but it's what you imagine happens that someday some spooky

00:37:06.400 guy it's always a guy in a nice suit will visit the new president and say let me explain to you how it

00:37:14.080 works the military industrial complex runs the country and you're going to give us at least one

00:37:21.200 ongoing war all the time if you don't we will probably take you out one way or the other

00:37:29.920 what take me out what do you mean like kill me if we have to but the important thing is

00:37:37.840 the country needs at least one war all the time so what if and again this is just um i'm having fun

00:37:46.560 with a conspiracy theory so don't believe this this is just for fun what if trump knows that

00:37:56.480 and so in order to end the war in ukraine he knows the only way to do it is to promise a brand new war

00:38:04.320 really fast and so again it's just for fun i'm not i'm not alleging that this is true so then

00:38:15.280 what do you do is put a bunch of military forces around venezuela because you could credibly believe

00:38:23.360 that he might be planning for a war and then you say to that spooky guy in the suit hey uh here's the

00:38:31.040 deal if you help me get out of the ukraine situation we'll start something locally and we'll we'll have

00:38:37.520 a brand new one with venezuela deal how do you like that for a conspiracy theory that's the most cynical

00:38:47.440 you could get that we that what matters is we have to have a war so when you see the new one getting

00:38:53.760 queued up just in time huh isn't that weird it's just in time because the other one might be ending

00:39:01.280 huh that's a little bit of a coincidence isn't it well it might be just a coincidence so don't take it

00:39:08.880 too seriously but uh we'll see what happens in venezuela

00:39:18.640 um apparently the department of homeland security has pulled funding from groups that are quote

00:39:26.320 uh alleged terrorist ties

00:39:30.240 um how much money does our government have

00:39:34.000 that we don't know that some of it is going to organizations that have a terrorist connections

00:39:40.480 well turns out there's a good reason to believe we've been giving money to some groups

00:39:47.280 that had terrorist connections um we're giving way too much money away um so fox news digital got this

00:39:56.000 scoop i guess 49 projects with alleged affiliations to terrorist activities

00:40:02.320 have already been canceled 49 49 funded projects that our government

00:40:10.880 and your tax paying money went to support have some kind of terrorist connection

00:40:18.880 it took until now to say hey hey maybe we shouldn't be giving them money all right all right

00:40:26.320 and in related news tulsi gabbard head of the dni um is now sweeping overall and is going to get rid

00:40:37.280 of 40 percent of staff um i love the fact that even though trump is not crowing about his cost savings

00:40:47.680 in government that it seems like all the department heads know that uh winning means cutting costs

00:40:57.440 and so they're all doing it and they're it's almost like they're competing to see who can cut the most

00:41:02.960 because that's how you win favor but it is strange that trump's not bragging about

00:41:10.640 he could

00:41:15.440 just a minute

00:41:19.840 when i found out my friend got a great deal on a wool coat from winners i started wondering is every

00:41:26.080 fabulous item i see from winners like that woman over there with the designer jeans are those from 1.00

00:41:31.920 winners ooh are those beautiful gold earrings did she pay full price or that leather tote or that 1.00

00:41:37.680 cashmere sweater or those knee-high boots that dress that jacket those shoes is anyone paying full

00:41:44.080 price for anything stop wondering start winning winners find fabulous for less

00:41:49.680 all right i'm back

00:41:57.280 all right so

00:42:02.800 um

00:42:06.000 the reason that the democrats are losing so many uh registered voters i guess there's a 4.5 million

00:42:14.240 voters swing from democrat republican in the last few years

00:42:20.240 and a poll

00:42:23.120 by a democrat super PAC unite the country showed that what democrats thought of their own party

00:42:30.560 is that it was out of touch woke and weak out of touch woke and weak and so apparently their response

00:42:40.160 to being out of touch woke and weak is to talk more and mock trump more

00:42:49.600 does that sound like what the country wants from them

00:42:54.000 now i would agree it might be that the poll did get those results and that that's what people said but

00:43:01.360 don't you think that being strong and not being out of touch would involve having good policies for

00:43:09.680 solving our big problems as opposed to finding a clever way to do a skit that involves mocking trump

00:43:19.040 no the theater kids only have one play what kind of theater can we put on

00:43:25.520 uh to get power um the the russia russia gate hoax was theater was it not it was literally imaginary

00:43:39.280 characters with an imaginary plot it was fiction most of the hoaxes from the 51 intel people with the laptop

00:43:49.280 to the fine people hoax to the january 6 hoax um they're all fiction so and then you've got uh newsom

00:43:59.760 who's doing this clever but not really effective uh mockery of president trump by doing social media posts in his voice

00:44:09.440 um to me that seems out of touch

00:44:16.560 because it's not addressing any problem and it seems um it's not woke it's just ignoring woke um and it

00:44:26.880 feels weak so

00:44:31.840 do you notice that the reason that uh that mockery of trump works is that everybody knows how he talks

00:44:40.400 and trump has proven that the way he talks is the most persuasive and effective way anybody could ever

00:44:48.000 talk we all kind of know that now we didn't know that when he first ran for the first uh first term

00:44:56.640 but at this point everybody who is paying attention knows okay he he doesn't talk like other people but

00:45:03.440 it's the most effective political talking we've ever seen so when you mock the most effective political

00:45:12.320 communication you've ever seen by simply matching it you haven't really mocked anything

00:45:18.800 you haven't mocked anything because the thing that he's mocking is well understood to be the the superior

00:45:29.760 form of communication if he mocked something that wasn't working well then he'd have something right but

00:45:38.320 you can't mocked something that worked so well it made him president twice the way trump communicates

00:45:47.280 is not a flaw it's not the thing that the country needs to get rid of at all it's very effective so

00:45:57.920 i don't think that mocking the most effective form of communication we've ever seen in that domain

00:46:05.760 is buying them much but it's a skit and the important thing if you're a democrat apparently

00:46:15.040 is to be part of a play and so newsom's got this little character he plays that's like the president

00:46:23.520 and so he's happy because democrats are saying yeah look at that he's playing a part look at that play

00:46:31.120 i want to bring my friends to the play i got a ticket they they seriously are about the act

00:46:37.200 they really are about the act now of course all politics is a little bit acting but not like this

00:46:45.920 this is literally living in fiction world and having uh no regard whatsoever to policies or

00:46:54.960 the things which you would imagine would help them more

00:47:00.160 well texas indeed passed its new uh redistricting map so it looks like they'll get

00:47:07.120 some extra seats in the house and uh newsom um one in california courts i guess the republicans

00:47:18.000 tried to stop him from his plans of redistricting california but he probably will now uh first he has to

00:47:26.400 win the power to do it in a referendum uh but he might he might get that and uh trump has announced that

00:47:35.360 missouri is going to redistrict so trump says he wants all the republican states that haven't

00:47:42.720 to redistrict and in if if you believe the reporting on this if all the republicans did it

00:47:51.040 and all the democrats did it that haven't done it yet at least to the max um the republicans would come

00:47:57.840 out way ahead i'm not a hundred percent sure that's true but uh looks like a good play for trump

00:48:07.200 and uh i guess democrats not democrats but people are beginning to receive letters in the mail saying

00:48:15.520 that they have to complete 15 hours of community service per week in order to get their benefits

00:48:22.640 um they don't like taking time out of their day to get benefits so we'll see how see how that goes

00:48:33.280 i guess trump has threatened to cut funding to uh california public schools if they don't follow the

00:48:41.440 federal policy on not allowing trans athletes in women's sports

00:48:46.880 and sometimes if they cheat on dei so we'll see if any schools lose their funding for that

00:48:57.280 uh chris cuomo i didn't realize this but chris cuomo is not a democrat i i assume he was at one point

00:49:05.360 but he was talking to uh benny johnson and he was talking about you know what the democrat party has

00:49:12.480 become it was pretty brutal um uh apparently he thinks that the democrats have become the party of

00:49:20.080 elitism open borders socialism and defunding the police and that those ideas are so bad they killed

00:49:26.880 the modern democratic party he says the uh the democratic party that his father was a part of

00:49:33.760 no longer exists and he doesn't know why um he doesn't know why his brother is still registered as a

00:49:40.640 democrat so as supportive as he is of his own brother he can't even say that the brother belongs to a

00:49:50.960 party for a good reason he goes my brother's a democrat i don't know why but he is my father was a

00:49:58.080 democrat but his party doesn't exist anymore well here's what i think

00:50:02.560 cuomo um in his current opinion of the democrats and not wanting to be one of them feels like

00:50:12.800 where bill maher is being drawn i don't think bill maher is going to make it you know over the line

00:50:19.600 i i think that he just he'll have to stop before he becomes a republican and it's not like chris cuomo

00:50:26.320 became a republican you know he's an independent but do you think it's possible that bill maher will be

00:50:35.280 you know pulled so far that he just you know denounces the democrats and says all right i just can't

00:50:41.520 even support you anymore i feel like uh he's really close so he might i don't think he's he'll ever become

00:50:49.600 a republican but he doesn't need to he just needs to denounce the badness um this uh the issue that

00:51:01.360 trump has created with the smithsonian and the other museums he wants the museums to focus more on the

00:51:08.720 positive accomplishments of america and less focused around an emphasis on slavery

00:51:16.320 and uh to this point molly hemingway who was reporting on an axe she said i overheard an older

00:51:26.000 white woman sitting behind me on a plane ride today talking to her husband she was aghast at the idea 1.00

00:51:31.440 that the smithsonian might not make the history of slavery the centerpiece of the institution

00:51:37.520 now we all agree that slavery was a big part of the story of the you know the early united states so

00:51:48.080 everybody agrees with that but does it make sense that your museum focuses on the thing that was the

00:51:56.960 worst part well depends what you're trying to accomplish if what you're trying to accomplish with

00:52:04.480 your museum is a history lesson well then you just make sure that it covers all the history and slavery

00:52:14.400 was a big part of it but if you're trying to make uh americans feel good about being americans which i

00:52:22.000 feel like is the more important use for the national museums it could be private museums to do whatever

00:52:28.640 they want but for a national museum i feel like it should absolutely be focusing on the positive

00:52:39.360 so that we'd feel positive about the country but i will go further than that i believe that the more

00:52:45.760 attention that's giving to slavery as the original sin and biggest part of our history it's all bad for

00:52:53.520 black americans today does anybody know why it's something i've taught you

00:53:00.560 many times and it's just glaringly obvious in this case and here it is

00:53:08.560 people don't think logically they think by association so if you can say somebody was good friends with epstein

00:53:17.520 you could ruin them even if they didn't do anything wrong because it's just the association

00:53:24.720 what does it do to modern black americans if when you're thinking of black americans you're thinking

00:53:32.320 of slavery because it's just in your mind and it's really part of the narrative what does that do

00:53:38.640 to how you feel about black americans and how they feel about themselves and how they fit in

00:53:44.400 well since being a slave would be a horrible association you're taking modern black americans

00:53:52.720 and you're making you making people think about their existence as slaves

00:54:00.400 that is the worst association you could ever put on anybody if you want them to be successful in the

00:54:07.120 modern world so from a history perspective yeah if you're just trying to describe what happened of

00:54:16.080 course you want to include as much of the history of slavery as makes sense of course but if you're

00:54:23.760 trying for people to be happy and successful then persuasion and how people feel about things and

00:54:30.960 associations and the psychological impact of things has to be a big part of the the decision and i can

00:54:39.200 tell you for sure that black americans would be way better off if there were some device that you could hold 1.00

00:54:46.640 up to everybody's head to make them forget that slavery ever happened if you could make everybody forget 0.99

00:54:54.800 that slavery had ever happened then black people would wake up in the morning and say huh i guess 0.98

00:55:02.800 anything's possible and they would just work toward their best life and they would have the best outcomes

00:55:09.920 that you know are possible in the in the real world but will that ever happen no that will never happen

00:55:17.840 because there are people who make money by emphasizing the negative parts so as long as there's a

00:55:24.960 business to be made in emphasizing the negative people will do it um yeah

00:55:34.800 so that's what i think um elon musk has denied on x the wall street journal's report that he's

00:55:45.040 decided to uh scrap his third party idea he has not decided um definitively to scrap that in favor of

00:55:55.280 supporting jd vance so uh musk told us to not believe everything you read in the wall street journal

00:56:04.880 so we won't believe that until we have some confirmation if it ever comes

00:56:10.080 well the university of california san francisco reports that at ucsf they discovered a protein

00:56:21.680 that reverses brain aging in mice how many times have you seen a story in the news that somebody reversed

00:56:34.320 aging in a mouse i feel like this story has been coming out for 40 or 50 years

00:56:43.520 every few weeks hey we discovered something that will reverse aging in a mouse now how many things have

00:56:52.480 reversed aging in human beings zero is there any pill that i could buy that i'm not

00:57:00.960 not that would reverse my aging and yet and yet and yet every freaking week for 50 years we figured out

00:57:09.920 how to reverse aging in a mouse

00:57:16.080 you should not believe anything that is reported about success with a mouse the the percentage of those

00:57:25.040 those that translate into a real you know functional human medical process is really low

00:57:32.800 it's very unusual but the way the news reports it it makes you think wait it worked on the mouse

00:57:40.960 and they wouldn't bother testing it on the mouse unless i would tell you something about whether it would work on a human being

00:57:48.000 so wow this is promising no it's not it's not promising it's the the odds of any of this ever seeing the

00:57:56.480 light of day and turning into a pill that will reverse your your brain's age it's really really low like

00:58:04.160 really really low so low don't even think about it anyway so i've noticed that ukraine and the ukrainians

00:58:15.520 have what i call a sunk cost problem so in economics a sunk cost is money you've already spent so what

00:58:25.520 you should never do is say damn it i've already spent so much in this project that i have to keep spending 0.68

00:58:32.320 more to finish it no you don't the amount that you've already spent is just gone you should make

00:58:39.280 your decision as if it didn't make any difference at all and uh gamblers will do the same if you're

00:58:46.720 gambling and you've lost you know a million dollars so far if you say to yourself i can't stop now

00:58:53.840 because i've already i'm down a million i got to win it back that's sunk cost you should look at every bet

00:59:02.080 as if it's a new decision independent of anything you've already done and likewise the ukrainians

00:59:10.640 often are saying stuff like we can't give up any land to putin because so many ukrainians have died

00:59:19.520 trying to keep that land to which i say that's a sunk cost those people are not going to pop back to

00:59:27.680 life no matter what you do they are just gone and while you can respect their sacrifice you should

00:59:36.960 not be making your new decisions based on the fact that they died and it looks like they are doing that

00:59:45.040 and that's a sunk cost fallacy now i don't know if the leaders are doing that but you're hearing that

00:59:52.000 from you know ukrainians uh we can't can't give this land up because people so many people sacrifice to

01:00:01.840 to try to keep it you should count that as zero if if millions of ukrainians died trying to protect that

01:00:10.240 land zero you should not include that in your decision however

01:00:17.680 however since we're not a logical species we're a persuadable psychologically uh emotional species

01:00:27.360 it does matter if people feel like they they can't make a certain decision but you you need to

01:00:36.000 separate what is them feeling a certain way oh we can't give up this land because we've sacrificed so

01:00:43.040 much with what makes sense what makes sense is it doesn't matter at all how many people died protecting

01:00:51.920 trying to protect that land it doesn't matter it's already over they're dead you have to make your

01:00:58.160 decision like you woke up into the game today and the only thing you know is what what's true going

01:01:05.760 going forward so here's my prediction i think putin is going to keep yanking the football we're already

01:01:14.000 seeing some indications that uh putin isn't so keen on getting a deal which would be no surprise and

01:01:25.040 eventually uh if it hasn't happened already whatever goodwill putin has developed with trump

01:01:32.480 will evaporate and reverse really quickly and when trump decides that he's pissed off at putin and

01:01:40.800 there's no redeeming it's gonna get ugly and i'm almost guaranteeing that's where it's gonna go i don't

01:01:49.120 think putin is going to deal with trump and with europe and ukraine in a productive way i don't think he

01:01:57.440 wants to i don't think he plans to because time is on his side and he probably thinks that trump and

01:02:04.960 the europeans have used all of their uh all their chips that there's not much else they can do to him

01:02:11.840 and he can just last forever but as i mentioned before um india went from one percent of its oil

01:02:22.400 oil that it purchased being from russia to forty percent and it turns out that the reason it went

01:02:29.200 so high is that it's not that they're buying it to use it in india but some entities in india are

01:02:35.760 buying it and reselling it because it's cheap oil so they're just keeping the difference so basically

01:02:42.720 some indian entities there can't be that many of them because you would have to be in that specific

01:02:48.240 line of business how many people are in that line of business that they can move gigantic amounts of

01:02:54.160 oil from one country to another can't be that many people i think that trump says to india here's the

01:03:00.880 deal you've got half a dozen companies that are allowing russia to move its oil i know you india as a

01:03:10.720 government want to keep good relationship with uh with uh putin however there's nothing that's going to

01:03:18.560 stop us from taking out your six companies their ceos are going to start dropping dead uh we will

01:03:26.240 sanction them individually we'll just take out those companies and what will india do will india say you

01:03:34.560 can't do that i want to protect my companies that are thwarting the sanctions on russia so that the

01:03:41.840 ukrainian war will last longer what are they going to do well i don't know the full situation so you

01:03:51.040 know i'm i'm in in way over my head talking about indian buying and reselling oil but if it's true

01:03:58.000 that there are a handful of companies in india that are keeping russia alive i believe that we could

01:04:05.440 target them i believe that we could just tell india look you know there those companies are going to

01:04:13.280 start having some real bad luck and you might not know where it came from but trust us those companies

01:04:21.280 are going to have some real bad luck and it's going to happen really fast so here's what i think i

01:04:29.600 think putin is going to believe that he can get away with uh stalling and that will cause the europeans

01:04:36.480 to be mad at trump and that'll all be good for russia but i think trump is going to say um you've now

01:04:44.080 crossed the line and now i'm going to take your economy and maybe it will be the india play

01:04:52.400 maybe not but i do think that there is um let's say a more aggressive way that trump could

01:05:01.600 just take the knees out and i think he would do it so i think that's where it's added

01:05:06.000 and maybe something with giving ukraine better weapons too that might happen trump's uh 464 million

01:05:18.160 civil fraud penalty was vacated on appeal really so zero hedges reporting that the

01:05:27.680 i was that not the latisha james case with the banks and uh that just got thrown out on appeal 0.97

01:05:38.400 if if that's true so we'll see anyway you know what is the dumbest comment i just saw the dumbest 0.87

01:05:48.560 comment here on locals bad take bad take bad take i don't think once someone has ever told me i had 0.93

01:05:57.520 a bad take and then could follow it up with what was wrong with it as soon as i hear bad take i just 0.99

01:06:05.520 think oh you're a fucking idiot because if you had a real reason it would have taken about as many words 1.00

01:06:14.320 as bad take you know you could have said something like that's not how that works or well that that's too 1.00

01:06:21.840 generic too uh cnbc reported it as well wow

01:06:31.680 wow now does that mean that he's not guilty of any of those charges or that he just doesn't have to pay

01:06:42.080 i wonder what that means i don't know how that works all right we'll look into that

01:06:46.000 um all right ladies and gentlemen i'm going to talk to the uh the beautiful people my beloved

01:06:54.880 people on locals subscribers and the rest of you thanks for joining i hope you enjoyed it

01:07:02.400 see if we can end some wars all right locals i'll be coming at you privately in 30 seconds

01:07:08.960 see if it works all right that feature is not working today

01:07:19.360 or is it let me try

01:07:38.960 do

01:07:58.000 you

01:07:58.080 you

01:08:08.960 Thank you.

01:08:38.960 Thank you.

01:09:08.960 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 21, 2025

Episode 2934 CWSA 08⧸21⧸25

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