Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2945 CWSA 09⧸01⧸25

00:00:00.000 It's time. Happy Labor Day. Unlike all those lazy podcasters, I'm still working. Yep, every

00:00:11.200 day. Because you deserve it, my beloved audience. Not as beloved as my local subscribers, but

00:00:19.980 still, fairly beloved. All right, how are we looking? Let me get my comments working

00:00:27.660 in and then we got a show. Don't you love the fact that depending on which platform you're

00:00:37.040 using, that you get an hour of entertainment without commercials? I mean, you'd have to

00:00:44.400 be paying on YouTube to get that deal, but we're on Locals. Or on X. Lots of ways to do

00:00:50.820 it. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's

00:01:09.620 called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I guarantee you've never had a better time. But if you'd

00:01:16.720 like to take a chance of elevating your experience to levels that no one can even understand

00:01:22.780 with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need is a copper mug or a glass of tank or 0.72

00:01:28.440 chalice or stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite

00:01:34.280 liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit

00:01:39.760 of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And

00:01:45.940 it happens now.

00:01:52.200 Ah, unbelievably good. So, so good. Well, I've decided as of this morning, I was watching

00:02:03.400 all the news bits. And I've decided to start judging people by their hairstyle. Are you

00:02:11.820 with me? I was looking at Greta Thunberg. I'll talk about her. And I thought to myself, you

00:02:19.400 know what? Her haircut tells me everything I need to know about her. Then I saw another 1.00

00:02:24.740 story about some liberal person doing something terrible. And I said, you know what? I could

00:02:31.740 have guessed by your haircut. There's something deeply wrong with you. And so, if you don't

00:02:39.860 mind, from now on, even if it's people I like, even if they're sort of on my side, I'm still

00:02:46.880 going to judge them by their haircuts. You know that Alex Karp, the head of Palantir? And

00:02:56.520 he's got this gigantic hair situation that looks like he lost a bet. And I say to myself, I can't

00:03:08.840 get past that. You're going to have to do something with your damn hair. Or I just can't take you 1.00

00:03:15.060 seriously. And if you don't believe that you can judge people by their haircuts, well, let me prove

00:03:23.520 to you that it's something you can do. See? Now, if this were my natural hair, would you

00:03:31.260 take me seriously at all? No. No, you would not. Let me read this news story. And we'll see

00:03:43.420 if my hairstyle is distracting. I'll bet it is. I'll bet it is. Well, according to ZME Science,

00:03:52.660 the world's largest solar plant is being put up in Tibet. How big is it? Well, it's going to be the

00:04:01.440 size of Chicago. So, it's a solar plant in Tibet the size of Chicago. I feel like there would be less

00:04:10.140 murder. It would only be the size of Chicago, but much safer. And it makes me wonder if it's

00:04:19.440 cost effective and maybe even essential for China to have a solar plant that's the size of Chicago.

00:04:29.380 Are we going to do that? I feel like we're going to go hard at nuclear, but maybe solar is faster.

00:04:38.620 You could probably put up a solar outdoor facility in, say, five years with all the permitting and

00:04:47.320 whatnot. But how long would it take you to build a nuclear power plant? Longer than five years is my

00:04:54.220 bet. Well, as you know, there's a mayoral race coming up in New York City. Hey, look who's visiting.

00:05:02.800 It's Gary the cat trying to steal the show. I was hoping Gary wouldn't recognize me with my new

00:05:17.600 hairstyle, but apparently he does. All right, Gary, I'm talking about cats. The story is about cats.

00:05:27.340 So Curtis Sliwa has recommended feral cat colonies to deal with all the rats in New York City.

00:05:39.040 So I have a special guest that I would like to interview about this idea of cats, and it's

00:05:46.900 featuring Gary the cat. Gary the cat. Gary, what do you think of the idea of introducing feral

00:05:54.040 cats to deal with the rat problem in New York City? Uh-huh. Uh-huh. Now, if you don't understand

00:06:02.440 the purr talk, that's how cats communicate. I'll translate it for you. Say more. Uh-huh. Uh-huh.

00:06:09.780 Okay. All right. Turns out Gary is a big fan of Curtis Sliwa and absolutely supports the idea

00:06:17.500 of cats solving all of our problems. Now, you might ask, Scott, how many problems can cats solve?

00:06:28.160 I don't know, but I feel like it could be all of them. I mean, they could end wars. They could make

00:06:33.280 you less lonely. Yeah. They could keep, uh, keep marriages together. I think cats could do all of

00:06:39.800 that. Meanwhile, in California, um, California Highway Patrol is going to team up with local

00:06:50.460 law enforcement to sort of surge against crime. Now, that seems like a reasonably, hey, hey,

00:06:59.280 Gary, um, it seems like a reasonably good idea, but do you think that California would do that

00:07:07.640 if, uh, Trump had not put the pressure on, you know, in DC and talking about Chicago and talking

00:07:15.380 about going into California? I don't think so. So, while this looks like a win for Newsom,

00:07:23.740 because it makes it look like he's dealing with a crime problem, I feel like that's not the message

00:07:30.020 I'm getting. The message I'm getting is that he wasn't going to deal with a crime problem

00:07:35.300 until Trump embarrassed him publicly. Is that what you see? Or do you see this go-getter governor who's,

00:07:44.000 who's all over this problem and he recognizes what the regular people are feeling about crime,

00:07:50.380 and so he's activated his resources? I don't feel that at all. I feel like the only way this would

00:07:57.420 have happened, and it's probably a good thing, is because Trump embarrassed him. I'm going to give

00:08:03.660 the win to Trump if this works, right? I don't think that's unreasonable to say that this would be

00:08:09.460 Trump's success if Newsom is successful, because he wouldn't have done it. I mean, I'm not a mind

00:08:17.480 reader, but really, did he see any movement in this direction? No, not until Trump made it a very big thing.

00:08:28.740 Well, here's a story from Ars Technica. Samuel Axson is writing about this. Apparently, Microsoft,

00:08:36.380 which, as you know, is in this deep partnership with OpenAI, and he uses OpenAI as its own AI,

00:08:44.520 as well as what it's producing. Weirdly, Microsoft, separate from OpenAI, is developing AI.

00:08:56.520 So, does that signal that there's something wrong with the partnership? Did somebody not foresee

00:09:05.940 some problem happening? Now, they're trying to pass it off as, yeah, these are more specifically

00:09:12.840 trained AIs that would be, you know, a little bit more powerful than OpenAI would be, because that's

00:09:20.340 more of a general AI. To which I say, really? You couldn't just train the general model, which you

00:09:28.880 have some degree of control over. You couldn't just make OpenAI know how to do the specific AI things as

00:09:36.360 well. I don't know. Do you need your own AI for other stuff that OpenAI can't do? I don't know.

00:09:46.540 I don't know. So, I guess what I'm suggesting is there might be, this might be telling us something,

00:09:55.700 but I don't know what. So, it might be telling us that OpenAI doesn't have a future.

00:10:01.160 Now, I'm not, I don't see evidence of that specifically, but why would they be building

00:10:07.680 alternative models when they have the dominant AI model in the world, and it doesn't, you know,

00:10:15.680 does that make sense? So, I'm not buying the story of why they have multiple AIs, but it does make me

00:10:23.100 think that they have some, let's say, insecurity that OpenAI will do what they want it to do in the

00:10:29.480 future and meet all their needs as well as other people's, I guess. So, I'd say keep an eye on that.

00:10:39.880 Did you lock the front door?

00:10:41.220 Check.

00:10:41.780 Close the garage door?

00:10:42.960 Yep.

00:10:43.440 Installed window sensors, smoke sensors, and HD cameras with night vision?

00:10:46.940 No.

00:10:47.780 And you set up credit card transaction alerts, a secure VPN for a private connection,

00:10:51.040 and continuous monitoring for our personal info on the dark web?

00:10:54.280 Uh, I'm looking into it?

00:10:56.380 Stress less about security. Choose security solutions from Telus for peace of mind at home

00:11:01.440 and online. Visit telus.com slash total security to learn more. Conditions apply.

00:11:08.960 I just saw a chart. I don't know if it's right, but let's say it is because it's Labor Day. It'll

00:11:14.760 be fun to say it's right. Where are the large language models, the AIs, get their facts?

00:11:21.480 Yes. So, apparently the most, uh, the single biggest, uh, source, I guess, of training is

00:11:31.160 Reddit posts. Are you comfortable knowing that the advanced intelligence learned to be that

00:11:37.940 way by Reddit posts? Do you see, do you see any problem that that might cause? Um, number

00:11:47.940 two is Wikipedia. Do you see any problem that that might cause? And then there's YouTube where

00:11:57.720 people like me are literally, as far as I can tell, capped in influence. Do you think the

00:12:04.800 fact that I'm, um, somehow throttled or, or, I don't know, semi-canceled by YouTube, do you

00:12:12.340 think that that affects how the, uh, large language models, um, let's say get trained on

00:12:19.300 my material? Maybe, I don't know. And then there's Google and Yelp. Uh, I used to own a small business

00:12:29.320 and I can tell you that Yelp, uh, is something that I deeply hate because people would give me a bad

00:12:39.760 Yelp review for my restaurant if they didn't like my opinion on some political thing or some social

00:12:46.400 thing. If there was anything that I disagreed with them, they would go to Yelp and give my restaurant,

00:12:52.660 which had nothing to do with anything, I didn't even manage it directly, give it, they would give

00:12:57.440 it a bad review. So that's Yelp. You know, as soon as Yelp, uh, started to become a thing,

00:13:06.000 I said to myself, I hope all the businesses are smart enough to starve it so that it goes out of

00:13:13.640 business because otherwise it would have the power to destroy your business. And sure enough,

00:13:19.900 it has the power to destroy your business. And then the next, uh, biggest source would be Facebook.

00:13:26.360 So Reddit, Wikipedia, YouTube, Google, Yelp, and Facebook would be most of the training.

00:13:31.940 You okay with that? That just seems like asking for trouble, doesn't it? I don't trust any of those

00:13:42.580 sources, but I guess, uh, I don't know if, uh, it's the facts. Well, I don't know. They may have

00:13:50.820 some way to compensate for the low credibility of some of these sources, but I'll, uh, I'll keep an open

00:13:57.000 mind. Well, as you know, for the last several days, the internet has been a buzz

00:14:02.100 with, uh, what's going on with Trump. Apparently he's not dead because he was shown going golfing

00:14:09.880 with his, uh, granddaughter, Kai. And, uh, he's been posting, but some people think that that could

00:14:18.460 be other people posting for him. But I guess yesterday he posted in all caps, never felt better

00:14:25.020 in my life. So he wants you to know he's never felt better in his life. Now of all the things that

00:14:34.200 could be going on, it could be something medical. I mean, suppose, let's say, uh, he was just getting

00:14:43.760 ready for a colonoscopy. He might not want to tell you that. And it would take, you know, the preparation

00:14:50.620 day and then the day it happens. And, you know, so it could be some, you know, routine medical thing.

00:14:56.720 He just doesn't want to get into. Yeah. So I know he's got those problems on his hands.

00:15:06.160 So I don't know if that's anything to worry about or not. So I saw some photos today of the actor,

00:15:13.640 The Rock. Do you remember the last movie you saw with The Rock? And he probably was just gigantic,

00:15:21.940 like just so muscular. It's like crazy. Well, it turns out he's lost his muscles.

00:15:29.340 So the story is that he's getting ready for a role as a MMA fighter, but it's, um, the MMA fighter that

00:15:38.200 he's going to portray is not nearly as big as a big muscular guy. So he's got to get down to a

00:15:44.540 sort of a fighting weight that would be more similar to an MMA guy. But, uh, I'll tell you,

00:15:53.440 he doesn't look healthy and he, he lost the thing that made him special.

00:15:59.720 I'm a big fan of The Rock, by the way. I think he's incredibly, um, talented and hardworking.

00:16:09.420 And, you know, I just sort of like everything about him. But one of the things that works so

00:16:15.480 well about him is that his personality and his physical situation were sort of an interesting

00:16:23.580 combination. I don't know what's going to happen because it looks like he's looking for

00:16:29.420 permanent downsizing of his muscles because he's 52 years old. And, uh, I guess it's hard on the

00:16:36.480 body to maintain that when you're 52, duh. Um, and carrying the weight, carrying around all that

00:16:42.600 extra weight because his muscles were so big, it was like, you know, carrying a barrel of oil with

00:16:48.320 you wherever he went. So probably it makes sense from a long-term health perspective. Um, some people

00:16:57.920 are saying he must've been on steroids and now he's off. Maybe, I don't know, maybe. Um,

00:17:05.780 but I'm certainly, uh, hopeful that he's found some healthy path, but he doesn't look healthy.

00:17:14.380 So unfortunately, I don't know if it's because of what I'm used to, because I imagine him as that

00:17:21.060 more robust version, but I hope there's nothing else to the story, but that he's preparing for a role

00:17:28.680 and trying to be a more healthy person into his older age. Well, here's a story I don't fully believe,

00:17:39.200 but maybe. So apparently the, uh, European commission president that Ursula von der Leyen, 1.00

00:17:46.440 uh, the name I have to say more than once, cause it's so fun to say, say it with me. Ursula von der Leyen.

00:17:56.520 That was kind of fun. All right. But apparently she, she was on a plane and she was, uh, wanting to land

00:18:02.980 in Bulgaria and, uh, there was some kind of GPS interference attack that made the airplane blind to GPS.

00:18:13.280 Now they, they were still able to land safely after circling for an hour. Uh, the pilot used analog maps

00:18:22.600 to which I say, I wonder how old the pilot was because I hope the pilot was trained at a time

00:18:32.600 when they just didn't use GPS. Well, how long, how old is GPS? Um, I don't know how long GPS has been

00:18:41.460 around. So maybe that's not possible to have a pilot that old, but it was somebody who obviously knew

00:18:48.300 how to do it without. So she was, she safely landed, but they're blaming the attack on Russia.

00:18:55.820 Do you think that Russia tried to murder the European commission president in a way that people would

00:19:04.100 probably guess was Russia? Does that story track with you? Or does it feel more likely

00:19:11.820 that the GPS equipment on the plane just malfunctioned? Which one sounds more likely?

00:19:20.740 No, I'm not, I'm not automatically going to buy the Russia tried to assassinate the European 0.51

00:19:27.180 Union leader because it's a little bit too on the nose, especially if somebody like Zelensky just say

00:19:36.820 to pick a name randomly was planning to try to assassinate Putin. Right? If, if you could be sold on the

00:19:47.460 story that Putin may have tried to kill the president of the European Union, wouldn't you be far more

00:19:56.920 accepting if somebody like Zelensky murdered Putin? You'd say to yourself, well, I mean, he tried to

00:20:05.300 take out a leader in Europe. Zelensky took him out. It's not like we started it. So I'm just totally

00:20:14.360 skeptical that this is the kind of story where we know all the details correctly. I mean, it could be

00:20:20.820 anything. I'm not saying it's necessarily a plot, but, uh, I don't believe the cover, the, the surface

00:20:28.660 story. Well, according to PJ media, Catherine Salgado is writing that the doge people, um, I guess they

00:20:39.340 regularly do reports on what money they've saved or what programs they cut. And they're cutting a lot of

00:20:46.340 them. They have silly sounding missions or at least missions where you say to yourself, why is my tax

00:20:53.020 money being used for that? For example? Um, and apparently they're finding billions that they're

00:20:59.020 canceling. So over the last, uh, five days, they terminated 50, what they called wasteful contracts

00:21:07.040 that were worth up to about $3 billion and they saved maybe 762 million. How many contracts,

00:21:16.260 does our government have? Oh my God. These are just the, that one week of canceled unnecessary

00:21:23.760 contracts, $3 billion. That's one week, five days. One, it's, it's not even a week. It's work week.

00:21:31.940 So here are some of the things that got canceled. Uh, transgender health medical evaluation unit services.

00:21:39.080 Uh, I don't know. And that was in the department of defense. Now we don't know what that was all about,

00:21:47.780 but it does make me ask this question. Well, I'll do, I'll give you the next one. It was, there's also a

00:21:53.220 department of defense contract that got canceled for LGBTQ magazine advertising campaign.

00:22:00.580 Do you think we really needed to spend that money on? It was $129 million on an LGBTQ magazine advertising

00:22:12.680 campaign. I don't even know that magazines are still a thing. When, when was the last time a LGBTQ 1.00

00:22:20.520 member read a magazine? I can't tell you the last time I read one. I don't even remember. I guess they

00:22:29.320 still exist. Uh, and then there was a 49 million for a USAID contract, uh, for quote, the Belarus regional

00:22:39.540 initiative to provide transition activities in Belarus and other countries in Europe. Okay. I have no idea

00:22:47.360 what that's about. It sounds like it might've been, you know, maybe some spook or CIA or defense

00:22:55.260 related thing disguised as some other thing, maybe, I don't know, but I don't think I can live in a world

00:23:02.760 where I pay my taxes into a black box. And then a bunch of people say, you know, you shouldn't know

00:23:09.780 what we're spending this on because it'll ruin the whole thing. It's a big old secret. So we're going

00:23:15.040 to spend a lot of your money on big old secret stuff, but trust us, we looked into it really

00:23:20.600 carefully and it's a really good use of money because we say so. I don't know. So definitely

00:23:30.020 I think doge will end up canceling some things that are tragic. On the other hand, uh, I oppose the

00:23:39.280 idea that some people have special problems. Don't you all have problems? You know, if your problem is

00:23:48.700 that you're trans or LGBTQ or that you're descended from slaves, those are real problems, but why are

00:23:57.020 they special problems? But why, why is somebody else's problem? Cause they're a member of some

00:24:02.820 group. Why is that more important than whatever problem you and I have? I'll bet I could randomly

00:24:09.500 pick any one of you and say, do you have any problems? And you say, Oh my God, yes. There'd be

00:24:14.400 some health problem or, you know, you're, you're short, which is a big problem in the U S or you have

00:24:22.740 some body problem where you're disabled or, uh, you're in a, you're in a dangerously abusive 0.85

00:24:30.020 relationship. Don't we all have gigantic problems in the, that that's life that we're all navigating

00:24:38.660 our own little problems. But why do some people have special problems that my money needs to go

00:24:44.580 away from me where I would be using it for my own problems and my family's problems and that sort of

00:24:51.220 thing. Uh, so who gets to say that any class of people have special problems that have to be funded

00:25:01.000 with my money? You know, certainly there, I do agree that there are some things that the, you know,

00:25:08.120 the government should take care of because nobody else could, that sort of thing. But I don't know how

00:25:14.280 many things fall into that category. Uh, let's see what else. Um, so apparently Florida is going to get into

00:25:25.720 the redistricting. Oh, I didn't even notice. This is my other cat, Roman. I thought it was Gary again.

00:25:33.320 Hey, Roman. Say hi to everybody. Roman does not have nearly the personality of his sibling, Gary.

00:25:45.960 Roman's more of a, I'm just passing through. Uh, I don't need to interact with you. I mean, I appreciate

00:25:51.640 a pet now and then, but I'm not obsessed by it. I'm not addicted to it. So you can keep your pets

00:25:57.400 if you want to. I mean, I'm not going to tell you they're great or anything. That would be Gary.

00:26:03.400 Gary. I'm sorry. That would be Roman. Gary believes that all human contact is incredible.

00:26:12.760 Okay. We'll be knocking things on the floor.

00:26:15.240 Um, anyway, uh, PJ media, Matt Margolis is writing about, uh, how Florida, um, I've got a two cat

00:26:27.080 wrestling situation going on here. So it's going to get intense in a moment.

00:26:34.600 Let me just give you a preview of what's about to develop here.

00:26:37.960 Yeah. You don't like it when I pay attention to you. They're going to fight. All right. You watch

00:26:48.520 that while I tell you the news. So Florida is going to get into redistricting, which would be, um, part of 0.65

00:26:57.000 a larger move where the Republicans are going to make a big gain on redistricting. That's enough of that.

00:27:04.120 Um, so I'll tell you the Democrats, um, it looks like they're going to lose the redistricting game and

00:27:14.600 they're going to lose it big. Oh, well, well, speaking of Greta Thunberg, she's now 0.99

00:27:25.160 boarded a boat to go break the siege, as she says in Gaza.

00:27:29.880 And, uh, she's saying that Israel can't stop her this time. Hmm. Israel can't stop Greta. Hmm.

00:27:39.560 Um, how many, how many, uh, journalists have been slain in Gaza so far? Because I would say that Israel 1.00

00:27:48.520 stopped them, stopped 200 journalists. You know, some of them might've been actually closer to Hamas

00:27:56.200 operatives than journalists, but they managed to stop 200 of them. Do you think they can't stop

00:28:02.200 one more? I think they can. Now, I don't think that Israel would intentionally target Greta,

00:28:09.880 but you know, it's a war zone. Things happen. Things happen. No, I don't think that they care.

00:28:16.360 I don't think Greta has enough, uh, pull that it would even, that it would even be worth targeting her. 0.98

00:28:22.760 Um, she seems like a sort of a ridiculous character now, because one of the things that happened is

00:28:31.560 she got a lot older except the way she looks. So she looks like one of those, uh, troll dolls. 0.98

00:28:40.200 What were they called? Were they called troll dolls? That the little, you know what I'm talking about?

00:28:45.240 So she's no longer the, the cute young person who's so young that that's what makes it special.

00:28:54.120 Now she's exactly the same as she was, except she's older and it kind of doesn't work anymore.

00:29:02.520 God, it doesn't work. So we'll see if she can solve that whole Gaza thing. But it turns out 1.00

00:29:09.240 that the, according to the New York Post, there's some big plan. Uh, I don't know to what extent

00:29:15.800 Trump is behind this, but it's being announced that, uh, there would be a Gaza rebuilding plan.

00:29:24.200 It'd be a 10 year plan to move out all the residents to all of them, just move everybody out, uh,

00:29:32.040 so that it can be rebuilt. And the plan is that they would be given $5,000 a piece to relocate.

00:29:40.200 Uh, they'd have to relocate for 10 years. They couldn't come back. And that during that time,

00:29:45.480 the Gaza Strip would be transformed into the Riviera of the Middle East. So at least the coastal part, 0.95

00:29:53.960 they're imagining, you know, hotels and recreation. And they're imagining that, uh,

00:30:00.600 uh, there would be businesses around the perimeter, I guess, and they'd build it all up. And, uh, the,

00:30:07.720 the people who would be asked to leave for the $5,000 cash would also get four years of free rent

00:30:14.520 somewhere else and a year's supply of food again, somewhere else. Now, the part that's unspecified

00:30:22.760 is who's going to pay for all of this. The idea is that somehow the United States would be,

00:30:29.720 I don't know, some, some kind of owning or governing the area, but maybe not officially. Um, but then

00:30:37.000 when it was all built up and ready to go, there would be presumably, you know, some temporary entity

00:30:43.960 of, uh, you know, Arab leaders getting behind it. So I don't know who would pay for all this, but, 0.98

00:30:51.880 uh, we'll see. I would have to say, uh, if, if the United States is paying for it, I'm opposed to it.

00:31:02.440 And I would also say that if the way it's received is that it makes the United States more actively

00:31:10.360 involved in depopulating Gaza, I'm not sure we want that on our permanent record,

00:31:16.760 because that would make you more of a target for terrorism, wouldn't it? Whereas if we say,

00:31:23.640 hey, you know, we just want everybody to be alive. Israel's doing what Israel does. We're not trying 1.00

00:31:29.880 to stop it, but, you know, we recognize their right to do what they need to do.

00:31:35.320 So I would be concerned that although this is an impressive offer, it's probably good

00:31:43.640 from the perspective of showing that there's some path potentially that the people won't lose hope,

00:31:52.280 although that might feel like losing hope. I don't know. Um, so it's probably good. I would say

00:31:59.000 it's a good idea that there's something out there that people can talk about because it shows that

00:32:04.760 there's some thought about keeping people safe, but they're not going to like it.

00:32:11.240 They're not going to like anything that comes out of this war, of course.

00:32:14.840 So I don't know if it'll solve anything, could make things worse for the United States,

00:32:19.800 and I would not be in favor of making anything worse for the United States.

00:32:23.800 Yeah, let's see what else.

00:32:31.240 Looks like it might be, well, and then the thinking is that whoever invests in this project,

00:32:37.720 we get a four-fold return over 10 years. I don't think anybody can really predict that kind of thing.

00:32:45.080 Um, but at least it makes sense that they can present it as a money-making opportunity for

00:32:52.280 the people who put money into it. It might be, but it also would suggest that the prior owners,

00:32:59.480 the Palestinian, well, the Gaza residents, presumably they would be losing everything 0.99

00:33:08.040 to these investors, or almost everything. Um, I saw an article by Red State saying that the Democrats

00:33:17.800 are losing credibility because they cried wolf too often. In other words, they denied the obvious too

00:33:23.880 often, like Biden especially. Oh, Biden's fine. And now the Democrats have to look at their own party

00:33:32.040 and say, uh, did my own party lie to the whole country, including me, about how safe we were with

00:33:40.920 Biden as president? And would that influence how much trust they have in their leadership going forward?

00:33:48.760 Well, common sense tells you that the Democrats would notice that they've been lied to by their own

00:33:55.480 team and not, not a small lie, not a little one, a really, really big one, like a historically big lie,

00:34:05.320 uh, that mattered. Well, I guess, uh, Charlemagne the God, as we call him, um, is making that case

00:34:13.960 that they're not to be trusted at this point. Um, he said, quote, but here's the thing. If you shout

00:34:21.560 apocalypse every day and the constitution is still standing, oh wait, no, I think this is from the

00:34:26.760 author of the article. If you shout apocalypse every day and the constitution is still standing,

00:34:31.560 nine years later, people tune out. That's what I think is happening with all the Hitler stuff. 0.97

00:34:37.960 We had years of people calling Trump Hitler and he hasn't done any Hitler stuff. The only,

00:34:45.240 the only thing they've done is the part that they're also lying about, which is that January 6th

00:34:50.280 was an insurrection when obviously it was not. And you would have to be deeply, um, hypnotized to

00:34:59.000 imagine that the most armed population in the world held a insurrection and left their guns home.

00:35:07.480 That that's the first thing, but also there's not a single person who's ever been interviewed

00:35:13.160 from the thousands and thousands of people on January 6th. Not a single person, not one has ever said,

00:35:20.840 you know, I really thought we could overthrow the country because nobody had that plan. They were

00:35:27.560 literally protesting. They weren't overthrowing anything. They didn't have any mechanism to overthrow

00:35:33.000 anything. No plan, no secret meetings, not a single, single person said, yeah, you know,

00:35:42.680 I thought we could, we could trespass our way to taking over the country. There's nothing you can

00:35:49.080 even say that wouldn't sound ridiculous. You know, I really thought it'd work. Not once. How hard would it 0.94

00:35:56.600 be to get one of the attendees who protested on January 6th? How hard would it be to get them

00:36:02.520 on camera and say, all right, we just have to understand, did you think you were overthrowing

00:36:08.120 the country? And they wouldn't even understand the question. It's like, what? How in the world could I

00:36:14.280 overthrow the country wandering around taking selfies? Like what, what was the mechanism that connects

00:36:21.080 those two things? All right. So yeah, Charlemagne, you're right.

00:36:28.360 I saw a article in Science by Kai Kupperschmidt. There's a new study that looked at US and Brazil,

00:36:39.480 and they were looking at ways to counter what they call election misinformation.

00:36:44.040 Red flag, boop, boop, boop, boop, red flag. When anyone writes an article about countering

00:36:54.760 election misinformation, what should your brain immediately lead you to believe? That's an

00:37:01.480 intelligence operation by somebody. Yeah. The article treats it as a objective fact that we know that the

00:37:13.640 US and Brazil do not have rigged elections. And that the real problem is that people believe they might

00:37:19.880 be. You can't get past like the first sentence without knowing, oh, this isn't real science, is it?

00:37:29.400 This is more like, people want you to believe that the system is secure. So here we are.

00:37:35.160 Apparently in January 2023, thousands of people stormed Brazil's National Congress, and this is from the

00:37:45.640 article in Science, convinced that the country's presidential election had been stolen.

00:37:54.520 Now, why didn't they call it an insurrection? What's the difference between a whole bunch of

00:38:02.680 Brazilians, thousands of them, quote, storming the National Congress because they thought the election was rigged?

00:38:11.080 That's exactly January 6th. But why is one an insurrection and the other is a protest?

00:38:20.120 This is all just made up facts. You know, these are all narratives.

00:38:25.480 But they did a study and they found that in both countries, people's trust of the election increased

00:38:34.680 after receiving both a warning that they might see some misinformation. Now, do you see that this is

00:38:41.480 propaganda? They say that when they warn people that they might see misinformation, that those people are

00:38:49.400 better equipped to know what to trust. Well, why is it that there's one entity that knows what's true

00:38:57.720 and what isn't? That doesn't exist. How in the world can they pre-bunk stuff? So they call it pre-bunking,

00:39:08.280 where they tell people in advance that people will make claims and they won't be true.

00:39:12.600 And they also call it inoculation. If you see pre-bunking and inoculation in the same story,

00:39:23.240 that's propaganda. They're trying to tell you that there's somebody, the people in charge,

00:39:29.880 who know what's true. And here's the important part. Not only do they know what's true, unlike you,

00:39:36.600 but they really want to tell you the truth. Do you live in that world where your government knows what's true

00:39:46.360 and they want you to know the truth? We don't live in any kind of a world like that.

00:39:51.960 The government wants you to believe whatever is best for the government.

00:39:56.360 You know, it might also be best for the country, but no, that's all propaganda. It's all brainwashing.

00:40:01.880 So, um, then you also have to watch out for the documentary effect. If, uh, you could have just

00:40:10.120 asked me, Scott, if you can make people sit down and pay attention to an argument that says that the

00:40:17.640 election, uh, mechanisms are all trustworthy and there's no counter argument. It's just,

00:40:23.800 you have to listen for half an hour while we tell you why cheating would be almost impossible

00:40:30.600 with this election. Of course it would work. It's a documentary effect. If anybody gets to

00:40:37.000 give you one side of an argument and you'll listen to it for half an hour, you will go away thinking

00:40:42.520 there was something to it, even if there isn't. It's just how we were wired. So yeah, of course,

00:40:50.360 pre-bunking and inoculation work, but the only people who talk that way are the people who are trying

00:40:56.920 to hide the truth, not reveal it. That's what I say.

00:41:03.960 According to Eric Dolan writing in SciPost, people who believe in conspiracy theories process

00:41:10.600 information differently at a neural level. So they're not saying that people's brains have, you know,

00:41:17.800 different big areas and active areas, well, maybe active areas, but that they can actually,

00:41:23.400 you know, look at what your brain is doing when you're processing conspiracy theories and they

00:41:29.400 can find that some people use, use a structure of the brain that other people don't use. So

00:41:38.680 didn't you all know, didn't you all know that conspiracy theorists, their brains are wired differently?

00:41:45.240 I feel like we all knew that. Because you know what? Your brain is very involved with what your

00:41:53.400 choices and your beliefs are. Yeah, that's right. So people have different choices and different beliefs

00:41:59.160 are obviously using a different set of neural pathways. And it's not a matter of being more gullible,

00:42:09.960 it's a matter of which parts of the brain or part of the processing they say. I don't know.

00:42:17.400 I think everything's bullshit. So it doesn't matter what part of your brain you use, you're not going 1.00

00:42:23.080 to get the right answer. That is not available to us usually. Well, speaking of crazy people,

00:42:31.000 Illinois Governor Pritzker, he's now floating the conspiracy theory that Trump has other reasons for

00:42:39.640 wanting to flow the National Guard into our cities and that he wants to do it so he can come up with

00:42:47.240 some excuse for why the 2026 or 2028 elections should be canceled. And then he would stay in power

00:42:56.200 because the election is canceled and he would have his private army, that's what he would say,

00:43:03.560 the National Guard and all the major metropolitan areas. So Pritzker says about Trump, he has other

00:43:10.760 aims other than fighting crime, he said to face the nation. So here's my question about Pritzker.

00:43:19.560 Pritzker. Does he believe that? Does he? Really? Does he really believe that? Or does he know exactly

00:43:30.600 what he's doing? And he's part of the Democrat obviously is coordinated where they get to say,

00:43:36.760 all right, we don't have any policies and we don't have any good candidates. So the best we can do

00:43:41.560 is make up another Russia hoax about Trump. So it's not Russia related, but it's still just a made up

00:43:51.640 bunch of shit. It's just made up stuff. So the Democrats only have one mode, which is, 1.00

00:43:59.240 oh, we don't have a policy that people would like and we don't have candidates that people would like,

00:44:05.480 but I'll bet we've got a story that would light up the neural networks of the conspiracy theorists.

00:44:11.960 So let's try that. So it's disgusting and ridiculous and obscene. One of the White House, 0.99

00:44:20.680 one of the White House communications people referred to Pritzker as a slob.

00:44:25.800 And obviously that's Trump's framing, but it's funnier when the staff starts picking it up and 0.94

00:44:35.960 just calling the governor a slob. You know, it works because people don't want to listen to or follow

00:44:44.840 a slob. It's just one of those words that gets right to our core icky feeling. You just don't really

00:44:53.080 want to spend any time around somebody that you think is a slob. So Trump just has to say it a

00:44:59.720 number of times until it's the first thing you think of when you see him, which is what it's the

00:45:05.480 first thing I think of when I see him now. And it will chip away at his credibility. Slob is a really 1.00

00:45:12.680 powerful word. While other money managers are holding, dynamic is hunting. Seeing past the horizon,

00:45:21.720 investing beyond the benchmark, because your money can't grow if it doesn't move. Learn more at

00:45:28.840 dynamic.ca active.

00:45:34.920 And let's see, Mayor Brandon Johnson of Chicago says that Trump has declared a war on poor people.

00:45:42.360 A war on poor people. Okay. Brandon Johnson finds new levels of incompetence every week.

00:45:54.360 Yeah. He declared a war on poor people. Okay. And I guess he's saying that because he's taking

00:46:01.640 Medicaid and SNAP away from the residents. Now, of course, he's not taking that away. He's just making

00:46:07.400 sure that people who shouldn't be on those programs don't have access to it or they have to do something

00:46:12.520 to get it, which is reasonable. But I'm trying to connect the dots. So if support of the phrase

00:46:20.760 that Trump is declaring war on poor people, the evidence for that is that some people who probably 0.60

00:46:28.600 shouldn't be getting it would be losing Medicaid and SNAP would be losing Medicaid and SNAP. So connect

00:46:33.960 the dots for me. Let's see. Because the context is reducing violent crime. So is Mayor Brandon

00:46:46.920 Johnson saying that people are doing more murdering because they're trying to make money to pay for

00:46:54.840 their health care that they lost? Were they doing more murdering so that they can buy a soda with

00:47:00.360 their SNAP payments? How in the world does violence come out of the idea that there's a war on poor

00:47:11.400 people? None of it fits together. It's just like nonsense words stuck together. So Mayor Brandon Johnson

00:47:18.840 is stuck in some kind of a conspiracy theory, delusional thinking to war on poor people.

00:47:29.800 But Trump did target affordable housing programs or one in particular. Apparently, according to the AP,

00:47:40.040 there was some very large government program called the Home Investment Partnership Program. I guess it was

00:47:48.120 through HUD and funded over 1.3 million affordable homes. Now, what that means, it was some combination of

00:47:58.520 subsidies to fix up existing homes and helping people get into their first home. And it was a variety of

00:48:06.280 things. But a lot of those homes that were being helped by that were in rural districts. So the story is

00:48:15.400 that Trump is hurting his own voter base by taking a government program away from them to help them get a

00:48:21.320 home. But I say, wouldn't the free market solve that faster? And is the reason that the free market

00:48:31.880 isn't making homes available is that the federal government had done all the wrong things so that

00:48:38.040 you couldn't build homes easily? Wouldn't it make more sense that instead of the government getting

00:48:44.680 in to subsidize these, you know, use of inefficient real estate in a non-free market, wouldn't it make

00:48:51.720 more sense for the government to get out of the way? If the government just said, how about we don't do

00:48:57.160 anything? We won't have any regulations or rules you have to follow. I mean, I'm exaggerating just to

00:49:04.520 make the point. You'd want some. It just got out of the way. Don't you think the free market would

00:49:11.480 provide more housing at a lower cost over time? I don't know. And what about those freedom cities that

00:49:17.720 Trump promised us? I don't see any of that happen. So I would be happy if Trump said,

00:49:25.160 we're going to do something in the US that's at least as good as what we plan for Gaza. 0.61

00:49:30.280 We're going to take some government land and we're going to say, the government is not going

00:49:34.840 to build the cities or even design them. We want private people to do it. The only thing we're going

00:49:41.000 to do is make some government land of which we have lots of available. So I'd like to see that.

00:49:51.960 So there was a guest on Tucker Carlson's show. I didn't have his name when I talked about him

00:49:57.480 before. Psychiatrist Joseph Witt-Doring. So that psychiatrist, Witt-Doring, says that millions

00:50:05.560 Americans are taking these antidepressant SSRIs long-term and he says there is no safety data.

00:50:13.480 Well, I don't know if there's no safety data, but maybe there's not anything that's sufficient.

00:50:20.440 And apparently it's 7% to 10% of Americans are on these long-term drugs. So I don't have an opinion

00:50:29.240 of how safe or unsafe those are, but it does seem to be yet another example where you thought

00:50:35.400 there was lots of science, but maybe there isn't. Maybe the science is bullshit. Maybe the only science 0.99

00:50:44.200 was funded by the people who want to sell you these pills for life. Well, I saw, related to this

00:50:53.160 tangentially, is I saw a post by the real IRYC saying that that new fat miracle drug, the GLP-1

00:51:03.080 receptor agonist. Apparently there's a claim that they have other massive health benefits.

00:51:12.840 Now I'm going to read what the claims are, but then I'm going to tell you that Grok says 0.99

00:51:17.880 that those claims are bullshit. Okay? So before you say, wait a minute, that's not true. 0.99

00:51:23.720 Just remember that that's what I'm going to say when I'm done telling you, that it's not true.

00:51:29.720 Suicide, 58% reduction. So the claim is that people on the GLP-1, that drug, also get these

00:51:37.160 other benefits that we weren't expecting. Depression down 37%, substance use down 42%. By the way, that one

00:51:44.360 might be real, et cetera. So I asked Grok, I said, is it true that these GLP-1s are having all these

00:51:57.080 other related health benefits? And Grok says that is not fully substantiated. There is some evidence

00:52:06.600 that would give you the suggestion that maybe it's true, but it's not proven at a scientific level.

00:52:14.280 The thing I think that's closest to being true is the substance abuse. Because I believe that

00:52:25.000 whatever it is that makes you eat less has a, you know, close cousin mechanism to make you do fewer

00:52:33.080 drugs or alcohol. So I'm not 100% sure that's true, but at least it's more believable than the other

00:52:40.120 stuff. Anyway, it could be that it is a miracle drug, but I would suspect that the people looking

00:52:47.080 to sell it to you are behind most of those studies. And once again, the topic of birth control pills,

00:52:55.480 are ruining your brain. There's a, there's an article in Medical Express, and I saw Elon Musk had boosted

00:53:05.320 that on, on X. So, um, new research suggests that the pill isn't, uh, isn't just stopping pregnancy,

00:53:14.600 but it might be rewiring how your brain feels and remembers stuff and not in a good way,

00:53:21.080 according to Medical Express. So there's a new study, Rice University, that found that, uh,

00:53:27.720 girls on hormonal birth control had way stronger emotional reactions and remembered fewer details

00:53:34.200 from bad moments. Now you might say it's, it's good that you remembered fewer bad moments, but if your

00:53:42.760 brain is not, um, designed for that, you know, it might give you an unintended bad part.

00:53:51.160 Anyway, so do you believe that's true? So allegedly the pill would give some people mood swings,

00:53:57.960 emotional numbness, weird memory glitches, et cetera. Um, well, I don't know that it's true,

00:54:06.760 but what would you look for in the world as, you know, let's say circumstantial evidence that it might

00:54:15.000 be true that people on the pill are having more emotional problems? Well, if you're looking at politics,

00:54:23.320 you would say to yourself, why is it that there are so many single young women, white women, um, 1.00

00:54:31.160 who are Democrats? And why is it that when we see them, um, talking, they seem like they're emotionally

00:54:38.840 out of control? Now we see lots of people, male and female, um, being assertive, you know, like, uh,

00:54:47.080 Randy Weingarten, she, she dances around and yells and stuff. But to me, that just looks like 0.71

00:54:53.080 theater, she looks like she knows exactly what she's doing. She doesn't look emotional and crazy.

00:54:59.400 So it's not like it's, you know, something that affects all Democrat females. But I'm wondering,

00:55:06.120 is it possible that the reason that the Democrats seem to own the market for young, white, highly

00:55:13.800 educated women, is it because they're more likely to be on the pill and then they can be manipulated by 1.00

00:55:20.520 emotions? So are the people who want to take care of all the immigrants and leave the border open, 0.83

00:55:28.120 are they operating on logic or emotion? Emotion, right? Because in the long run,

00:55:34.600 it would be bad for everybody. The whole country would fail if you just let everybody in. 1.00

00:55:38.760 So I went to Grok and I said, uh, what, uh, demographic is on the pill the most? And it's

00:55:48.280 white women. It's white women. And I said, um, is it more for educated women? Yep. If you're more 0.99

00:55:57.320 educated and you're white, your odds of being the pill are much higher. And it makes me wonder if the

00:56:04.280 things you think are political conversations are nothing but medical malpractice. I'll just let that

00:56:11.960 one sit there. All right. Um,

00:56:20.840 what else? So here's a little sort of a mystery, but maybe not. How many of you believe

00:56:30.280 that, uh, it is now proven by science and certainly sufficient studies that there was nobody who was

00:56:40.760 better off getting the COVID vaccination? How many of you believe that to be true? That we now have

00:56:48.040 evidence like strong scientific evidence that literally no one was better off on a risk reward basis

00:56:58.440 for getting the shot. How many of you believe that? So while I'm waiting for your messages to appear,

00:57:04.440 because I'm wondering who believes that, um, how, if you did believe that, how would you explain

00:57:12.600 that RFK Jr., who is probably the most famous anti-vaccination person, but that's really not fair.

00:57:20.200 I wouldn't call him anti-vax, but you know what I mean, right? He would be the strongest skeptic.

00:57:27.800 It's not anti because he's in favor of some kinds of vaccinations. He's just wants more science. So

00:57:35.880 if RFK Jr. is now in charge of deciding whether the COVID vaccination is going to kill you or not,

00:57:43.480 I mean, whether it's safe enough to be, uh, available, he seems to at the moment not see enough

00:57:51.960 science to tell, to say that people over 60 or over 65, I guess, um, who have a comorbidity,

00:58:02.280 he doesn't have evidence to say that they would be worse off getting vaccinated.

00:58:06.280 Now, does that surprise you? Because remember, he would be the one guy who, if that evidence

00:58:14.360 existed, that everybody over 65 with a comorbidity probably would have been, you know, on average,

00:58:21.880 would have been better off if they hadn't been vaccinated. If that existed, don't you think we'd

00:58:28.040 know about it by now? Because Kennedy would say, all right, I looked at the science. It's very clear

00:58:34.040 that there is no group. There's no group that can be benefited by it more than they might be hurt.

00:58:41.720 Wouldn't you know that by now? And so I'm wondering, because I'm coming from a point of

00:58:46.600 ignorance, not from a point of, if it sounds like I'm trying to win an argument here, that's not what's

00:58:52.760 happening. I'm trying to understand how the things I'm observing fit together. How could it be that the

00:59:01.400 number one strongest skeptic, I'll use that word, of vaccinations, who has now access to the most

00:59:10.280 reliable, complete evidence on the topic? He's not yet. Having been there for months and months,

00:59:18.360 he's not there yet to say that the COVID is more bad than good. And my understanding, which could be

00:59:27.160 wrong, is that the reason some people left the CDC is that Kennedy is leaning toward, but doesn't have

00:59:35.480 science tobacco yet, leaning toward that the COVID vax maybe wasn't good for anybody.

00:59:43.320 When I say anybody, there still could be some specific exceptions, but generally speaking,

00:59:48.920 it wouldn't be, wouldn't be good. So I don't know if that's true. But the one thing that we can say

00:59:56.360 with some confidence is that there is not really strong evidence that is always bad all the time.

01:00:05.160 Right? Are we all on the same page? Because Kennedy would be all over that. I think he would fight

01:00:14.680 that to the death. If the science said nobody benefited under any condition, he would tell us that,

01:00:23.960 right? So it has to be true that even though there might be some studies that suggest that,

01:00:30.680 that maybe they're not meeting the scientific standards that he's comfortable with.

01:00:36.360 Which is to me, this is a tremendous credibility booster because the easiest thing for him to do

01:00:44.840 would be to sort of agree with the public. All right, we're going to get rid of these.

01:00:49.880 Well, actually, I don't know what percentage of the public agrees with that, but certainly the

01:00:54.040 Republicans would be more likely to say, all right, we like that. And he still doesn't have the data to

01:01:01.000 do it. Anyway, he might. So I'm not, I'm not going to predict that it will never exist. It might,

01:01:11.640 but it doesn't exist yet. Apparently, apparently it doesn't exist.

01:01:16.120 Well, Putin's doing that four-day visit in China and they're trying to make it look like their best

01:01:26.200 buds now, China and Russia. And it's signaling that the tariffs won't work because they'll just do more

01:01:34.680 business with China. To which I say, why is it that we can't tell as consumers of news, we really can't

01:01:44.200 tell if the Russian economy is on the brink of collapse, which some people say, or is it invulnerable

01:01:52.280 because they can always just do more business with China if they need to. So which is it? Is Russia on

01:02:00.680 the verge of economic collapse or is it nowhere near it? I don't know the answer to that, but I'm going to

01:02:09.880 say that my gut is that they're not that close to any kind of collapse. I'd be, I'd be surprised

01:02:19.560 actually, because they, they just have too much energy. There's going to, they're going to find some

01:02:24.360 way to sell the energy no matter what. All right. That ladies and gentlemen is my Labor Day show.

01:02:33.960 I feel it was a lot better with the wig on, but I'll take it off for the end.

01:02:43.720 I'm going to say a few words privately to the beloved subscribers at Locals. The rest of you

01:02:51.240 have a good day off, I hope. I hope most of you have the day off. And we'll, we'll see you tomorrow.

01:03:01.160 Same time, same place. Locals, I'll be private with you in 30 seconds, which gives us just enough time.

01:03:31.160 to see you later.

01:04:01.160 Thank you.

01:04:31.160 Thank you.

01:05:01.160 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 01, 2025

Episode 2945 CWSA 09⧸01⧸25

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