Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2953 CWSA 09⧸09⧸25

00:00:00.000 you are hello come on in i was just checking on your stocks well if you have tesla that's

00:00:09.260 up a little bit otherwise it's kind of flat would you like to have a show yes you're used

00:00:18.200 to it you like it and you're gonna get it probably the best thing that'll happen to

00:00:27.900 you all day good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:45.000 coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take a chance

00:00:51.060 of elevating your experience up to levels that no one can even comprehend with their tiny

00:00:57.480 shiny human brains all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass a tankard chalice or stein

00:01:05.080 a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee

00:01:10.240 and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the end of the day the thing that

00:01:14.900 makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go

00:01:20.500 well it looks like everything's working the sound etc i've been tinkering with my setup so

00:01:36.340 you never know what could happen well here's a uh tech story that i don't know if i believe it

00:01:45.380 it looks like a prank but allegedly there's a company called alter ego that's a uh little wearable

00:01:54.660 that you put around like sort of like headphones except doesn't cover your ears sort of like the uh

00:02:01.780 you know the kind that just wrap around the back of your head anyway they allege that that that thing

00:02:10.900 can read your thoughts uh well enough to know what you would like to be sending to a screen

00:02:19.380 with almost you know perfect precision and happens kind of quickly and they showed this demo of a guy who

00:02:26.100 is you know wearing one and he was writing an email by thinking what he wants in the email now

00:02:35.940 how in the world can they pick out the words in your head that you want to send from the words in

00:02:42.900 your head that you don't want to send and i thought to myself how does that work with people who have a

00:02:51.140 conversation in your head all the time the way i organize my thoughts to make sure that they make

00:02:58.500 sense is i put them in sentences and i think of them as full spoken sentences and i'll keep rearranging

00:03:07.540 them until until they make sense when i hear them because it's sort of like i'm listening to myself

00:03:14.020 now how in the world and they allege that they can uh they can detect they allege that they can detect

00:03:24.180 um the the thoughts if i can say it right i'm probably not saying it right but something like

00:03:32.100 just when you're going to verbalize a thought so they get it when you've decided to verbalize it

00:03:38.260 but they won't get it prior to you deciding to verbalize it but in this case you don't actually

00:03:44.820 verbalize it it just picks up your intention to verbalize it do you believe that there's a thing

00:03:52.100 that can attach to the outside your head you know like little headphone things little sensors that would

00:03:58.740 be currently sensitive enough and smart enough to determine what you intend to say

00:04:08.180 does that sound even a little bit likely that that's true i would love i would love to know that

00:04:15.620 it is true that'd be kind of cool but i'm gonna go with nope yeah let's let's let's grade that one nope

00:04:24.340 um but like i say yeah i would love to be wrong so if that's a real thing really cool but nope all right

00:04:39.460 um allegedly open ai is uh planning to make a feature-length animated movie that would debut at

00:04:48.020 the can film festival and it'd be done in nine months and a budget of 30 million dollars

00:04:55.140 um do you believe that they'll be able to do that and if they can do it does that mean that the tool

00:05:03.460 would allow you to do it because seems like there'd be a massive storage element you know we're asked to

00:05:12.500 store what it's already done to make sure that what it does next is compatible with all that

00:05:17.620 do you think that will be available to the average person or or are they going to demonstrate that if

00:05:25.460 you want the studio model oh that's the studio model is 10 million dollars a year because you're

00:05:32.660 going to make so much money making movies maybe i i am uh skeptical that you'll be able to use the

00:05:41.300 the off-the-shelf open ai to make yourself a movie anytime soon someday but no time soon so we'll see

00:05:49.700 that's pretty ambitious i like it well uh elon musk has decided to make the uh the code on x for

00:06:01.700 recommending what it recommends to you uh open source so people who know how to look at code can look at

00:06:09.140 it and say hey now i know why it doesn't show me james wood or whatever it's allegedly hiding from people

00:06:17.380 and why does it show me other things so i love that let's say uh that is a solid elon musk play

00:06:28.660 that uh feels sort of uniquely him you know something you wouldn't expect from other people

00:06:36.260 and i like it so speaking of tesla yesterday they had a big announcement about what's called the mega pack

00:06:45.940 which is there are big battery structures that they sell into power utility grids so it'd be become

00:06:53.700 part of an existing grid and it would store power when it was cheap to make or possible to make and use

00:07:02.340 it when it was needed later so apparently i didn't know this but um

00:07:10.500 apparently they're making billions of dollars on this line of business

00:07:15.540 and that's part of tesla so i remember hearing adam or saying adam townsend he did a post

00:07:24.500 several years back in which he said that tesla was actually a energy company uh in disguise as a car

00:07:33.700 company and i don't know if i buy that a hundred percent or that he even meant it a hundred percent but

00:07:41.300 um how big could that business be i mean if they're if they're the top or even number two

00:07:51.380 in the business of putting in enormous battery packs then the interesting thing is that he's got a company

00:08:00.100 the mega pack battery the mega pack battery thing that would be benefiting from ai because ai is gonna

00:08:08.100 require that you know every form of energy and saving energy and storing energy becomes super

00:08:14.740 valuable because we're valuable because we can't get enough of it ai will be sucking up all that energy

00:08:19.700 so he's got a very compatible company there and at the same time speaking of compatible companies

00:08:28.580 um his uh spacex company is doing a deal to buy a whole bunch of spectrum from echo star

00:08:37.780 which apparently will be key to turning their satellites because spacex is a very compatible

00:08:46.980 company with starlink you know the network of elon musk satellites that are around the earth already

00:08:54.980 they were launched by spacex so those are the two most compatible companies you can imagine except if

00:09:02.900 you if you could have a satellite company what would be the the best thing you could introduce next

00:09:10.580 a phone that happens to work or you work with somebody else on phone service all over the globe and

00:09:17.780 it looks like that's what he's gonna do so he's gonna have batteries all over the globe and ai is gonna

00:09:25.380 drive that demand he's got he's gonna have uh uh or he has he's already got satellites all over the world

00:09:34.500 and they're not far away from turning that into um worldwide phone service that would compete with

00:09:41.140 everybody apparently the speeds would be great the latency would be low and uh he's really he's looking

00:09:49.940 to take cell phones i mean just just even imagine the enormity of that business and and musk is sort of

00:10:00.660 you know year after year he's just building these assets they can walk right up to the the domain of

00:10:08.900 cell phone industry and possibly take over the entire industry because he's built exactly the right

00:10:18.100 compatible assets from rockets to satellites um to batteries you know which you need for phones so

00:10:27.780 and then of course he's have access to the best engineers and it all kind of kind of comes together doesn't it

00:10:34.980 anyway um there's a ex-engineer at meta where he was at meta who claims that uh whatsapp the app that's

00:10:48.260 owned by meta um had some privacy problems and specifically what he said was um there were about 1500

00:11:00.180 which listen to this he claims that there were 1500 whatsapp engineers that had full access to private

00:11:09.620 user data with no logs no audits and no way to know if anything was taken

00:11:16.180 now user data would include their messages right so there were 1500 people who all they had to do

00:11:24.900 as want to and they could look at all your private messages and what you thought was your super private

00:11:31.140 message thing remember what i tell you about privacy the only protection you have is to be uninteresting

00:11:41.700 that's it so there were yeah presumably you know most of the millions of people who used whatsapp had

00:11:49.620 nobody looked at their messages because there were no reason to they're not very interesting

00:11:54.660 but if they had any reason at all to look at your messages and let me let me just put you into the room

00:12:03.540 let's say you're one of those engineers and if this allegation is true i'm not sure it is right so i'm not going to take it at face value

00:12:12.580 but what if it is what if it's true that there were 1500 people who could anytime they want look into

00:12:21.540 everybody's messages on whatsapp and nobody would catch them and they knew that what would happen when they

00:12:29.620 get a divorce what would happen when you know they get into a relationship that breaks up

00:12:37.060 do you think all 1500 of those engineers said to themselves you know i could just look at all of

00:12:45.380 her messages back as long as i wanted to but uh nah nah i'm not going to do that i'm not the kind of guy

00:12:54.900 who would find out something really really useful and have no risk whatsoever of ever getting caught i'm

00:13:01.700 not that kind of guy or am i so yeah if these allegations are true i would say that would be

00:13:10.660 something to worry about um apparently there was some massive power outage in berlin this morning

00:13:19.060 50 000 homes without electricity there are two high voltage masts you know big artificial towers that

00:13:26.580 caught on fire uh it's a suspected arson attacked well i would think so if there are two of them

00:13:34.340 unless they were right next to each other you know you would think it would be a pretty big coincidence

00:13:40.020 if two of them caught on fire i would even say it's weird if one of them catches on fire because how

00:13:46.340 much burnable material is in a is in a cell phone tower i don't know or high voltage tower either way it

00:13:55.700 can't be much it's not it's not like it's made of wood so yeah i believe they all need a tesla powerwall

00:14:05.380 to get past that kind of risk well you know that greta tunberg is now an activist about uh the

00:14:13.220 palestinian cause and uh she's uh she's on her second uh cruise if you can call it that she's on a flotilla 0.73

00:14:23.700 uh they're going over there to protest israel's treatment of the gazans or something like that

00:14:33.220 but apparently she got to tunisia in the in tunisian waters she may have and uh this is disputed so we

00:14:43.540 don't know if this is true but allegedly um a drone uh attacked her boat now i think it caused something

00:14:53.380 on fire they say but it didn't uh didn't kill anybody nobody was injured so that's good but there is

00:15:01.620 some dispute the tunisian authorities say there was no drone hitting your boat somebody dropped a

00:15:08.820 cigarette on some life life preservers so so they were either one of two things they were either

00:15:19.060 attacked by by another country in a bold raid in which they sent a drone from a long distance or

00:15:26.820 they had somebody stationed there waiting for greta and then they tried to assassinate her 1.00

00:15:33.220 without leaving a trace by using their sophisticated drones so that's one possibility

00:15:40.660 the other possibility is that greta was taking a smoke break

00:15:44.020 and she was she was just out by the life preservers

00:15:51.860 you know uh i'm having a real good time protesting this gaza situation

00:16:02.660 flick and then she flicks her lit cigarette into the life preservers and the next thing you know

00:16:09.460 uh we better tell people that was a drone so we don't know what happened my point is

00:16:16.580 the fog of war makes it impossible to know how much of that story is true if any of it

00:16:24.980 well you know the story about anthropic the ai company that got sued by a bunch of

00:16:31.140 a bunch of uh authors and the authors you know banded together as a class and sued and uh

00:16:39.300 they won and so the authors were going to split up 1.5 billion dollars that was the judgment and

00:16:47.140 who knows how much their lawyers were going to get but what would be typical class action does the lawyer

00:16:55.300 get or the lawyer firm do they get a third um what what is typical so if it had been let's say

00:17:04.500 1.5 billion and the lawyers get a third you know they'd be looking at half a billion dollars for some

00:17:12.660 lawyering but apparently it was had to be overseen by a judge and the federal judge that was going to

00:17:19.780 oversee it looked at the deal that the lawyers made and said uh really this doesn't even look like you did

00:17:28.740 this deal for the benefit of the authors it looks like maybe you did the deal for the benefit of the

00:17:35.220 lawyers because it would not be irrational for a lawyer to say seriously they're offering us 1.5

00:17:43.460 billion i don't know if you guys done the math that's a hundred million dollars a piece all we have

00:17:49.700 to do is say yes and we will get a hundred million dollars a piece we will never have to worry about money

00:17:57.060 again all you have to do is say yes or you could fight that case for months and maybe it would get

00:18:05.380 appealed and maybe they'd win you know maybe the other side to win but but you'd fight to try to get

00:18:11.940 more for the authors because if the authors win with this measly 1.5 billion dollar award

00:18:18.660 um it might first of all set the price low for other lawsuits for other entities but

00:18:27.220 uh it doesn't work out too much per author so an author would lose you know their their entire

00:18:35.700 intellectual property for all practical purposes and in return they would get i don't know a thousand

00:18:43.220 dollars if they were well established so the judge just said nope and put a pause on it i don't know where

00:18:52.900 it goes next but the federal judge didn't think it looked like a proper deal i don't know maybe

00:19:02.340 um so you know you've noticed that i've been ignoring the story about the um the ukrainian refugee

00:19:11.620 woman who got stabbed to death in charlotte when she was on the light rail train well it turns out that

00:19:18.820 now it's it's morphed from a crime story um no gary off the keyboard uh it's morphed from a crime story

00:19:31.780 into a big political story because now the uh let's call it the anti-trump press of the world has

00:19:40.740 decided that the way the people on the right the mega supporters are uh talking about it somewhat

00:19:48.900 obsessively is that uh it's obviously kind of racist and so uh cnn had a big hit piece on that and

00:20:02.340 i wasn't going to talk about it because i don't do crime but now that it's sort of a political thing

00:20:07.380 and a persuasion thing and you know it's now slopped into my domain uh i'll give you my thoughts on it

00:20:15.300 number one if she had not been a hot blonde would we be talking about it you tell me if she had not 1.00

00:20:23.700 been a hot blonde literally some kind of a model i think would we even be talking about this don't people 1.00

00:20:31.540 get stabbed and murdered kind of often you know way more than you know because it's not somebody pretty

00:20:42.820 and they're not from ukraine and it's not a black attacker and a white victim but if she is pretty

00:20:53.060 and we've got video that that makes a big difference um and it fits into a narrative that a lot of

00:21:02.660 people are seeing in the larger world you know beyond this one one thing there's a lot of discussion

00:21:08.900 about the crime rate and who's committing the crimes and you know this has something that needs to be

00:21:15.300 addressed so it kind of fits their rights narrative perfectly and it's it's just made for memeing and

00:21:23.060 um it's just made to be viral because of her looks so the uh you know the anti-magic people they're 1.00

00:21:34.340 doing their best to try to figure out how it can be racist and i do believe i've seen it myself

00:21:41.220 that in the comments not so much what the big influencers are saying that's that doesn't sound

00:21:47.140 racist to me but a lot of the comments are flat out as racist as you could possibly be

00:21:56.100 now you could argue whether that needs to be stopped or not and you could also argue um is it racist

00:22:04.340 if you're talking statistical right so that that's what people would say it's like well if i'm just

00:22:12.100 talking about the statistical risk that's not that racist does it but there are other people who are

00:22:18.980 using certain language that you would most of you i think we would agree is over the line so but that's

00:22:26.660 the real world in the real world there are people who are going to go over every line and you see that

00:22:32.340 online so i would imagine that your feed would be different from mine which should be different from

00:22:38.340 everybody else's i may see more of it than you do um we believe but i'm not positive this is true so

00:22:49.300 there's still a little fog of war in this story but is it true because i haven't seen it and i wouldn't

00:22:55.220 know if it was real if i saw it that there was a video that came out after the main murder video on the

00:23:01.540 train that showed the murderer saying quote uh they got that white girl which would um strongly suggest

00:23:13.060 that he had a racial motive even if he's a crazy person so you know that's that's good enough to

00:23:19.220 throw it in that uh you know does it prove something about the bigger world box um personally

00:23:26.740 uh i saw this as more like a crazy person situation but i saw uh greg gotfeld's uh monologue i was

00:23:36.900 watching that and he points out that for a crazy person he certainly made a lot of uh let's say sane

00:23:45.460 judgments about how to get away and you know how to plan it and you know that so so it's it's always a

00:23:52.820 mixed bag it's not so crazy that you're running around naked throwing your feces but you know 0.60

00:23:59.620 they're they're pockets of non-crazyness um so what do you do with that so obviously race was part of the

00:24:10.100 story and remains part of the story um and then trump trump seizing uh on the situation because he

00:24:19.300 he's uh anti-crime as you know and uh so now cnn says he's seizing on the moment

00:24:28.260 because it's you know it's getting a lot of attention so he wants to maybe get in front of it um

00:24:36.820 and uh

00:24:40.260 anyway he's i guess he's threatening to withhold federal dollars from the city of charlotte

00:24:45.940 because of that murder and uh i don't know who said this i saw a quote online but the quote

00:24:54.980 might have been trump but somebody said i guarantee that if i find what i think i'm going to find they're

00:25:00.820 not going to have your federal tax dollars going to their public transportation system zero none so

00:25:07.860 there's some allegation but i'm not entirely sure who's making it unless it's trump um that that

00:25:16.020 they know something about charlotte that's corrupt or dirty now have you noticed the pattern yet that

00:25:24.020 every local government is corrupt where it seems that way except correct me if i'm wrong

00:25:31.540 it feels like it's just always democrat government yeah every story i know it's not literally true

00:25:41.460 there they're obviously republicans who have been arrested and indicted and stuff for for crimes it's

00:25:47.940 not like it doesn't exist but the news that i see isn't something like 10 to 1 in one direction

00:25:56.980 and what do you do about that it's like 10 to 1 isn't it all right

00:26:05.940 um and then the then that murder is bringing into the larger conversation

00:26:13.700 um the following statistics that i see literally every day on social media i don't know if these are

00:26:21.220 exactly true or true enough but it's what people are saying so that's the important part um but

00:26:30.420 i keep seeing on social media people saying black people make up 13 of the u.s population but they 0.83

00:26:38.100 claim and i don't know if this is true that that black people commit 56 of the murders

00:26:43.860 now is that true and then do you um do you further calculate how many of them were uh other black 0.66

00:26:57.700 people who were the victims because it would be mostly right like would it be three quarters of their

00:27:04.980 victims would also be black or more more than three quarters right um then there's a whole bunch of 0.99

00:27:13.700 other statistics uh the murder rate among black people is six to eight times higher than among white 0.93

00:27:18.900 people blah blah so that's the sort of stuff that's going around social media 0.85

00:27:25.460 and uh elon musk is getting into it by saying that a small group of criminals

00:27:32.340 are the repeat violent offenders now that is a far less racial way to approach this

00:27:40.820 so i think elon musk is probably the you know going on the most productive path because as soon as it

00:27:48.580 gets into a race nothing happens you everybody just hates everybody so you can just forget that 0.80

00:27:55.140 but if you were to focus on the repeat offenders um that's purely a you know behavioral thing and it

00:28:05.380 it only kicks in if objectively speaking somebody's been you know convicted a certain number of times

00:28:11.460 for a certain number of things certain type of things so but the vast majority of all crime

00:28:18.900 is committed by people who have at least three prior arrests so these are you know pretty measurable things

00:28:27.460 um so elon saying if we look at that and lock up the repeat criminals our crime situation would be

00:28:38.980 vastly improved um i remember when that was a that was a thing in california i think it got reversed but

00:28:46.900 for a time there was that three strikes thing and people argued before that was implemented

00:28:54.420 that if you locked up the people who did the vast majority of the crimes you know that the three strike

00:29:00.820 people they they actually argued that if you locked up in jail and kept them there forever

00:29:09.540 the people who did eighty percent of all the crimes that it wouldn't change the crime rate

00:29:15.620 that was actually what smart people were saying in public in their arguments well it's not going to change

00:29:24.900 the crime rate just because you put the people who do all the crimes in jail forever

00:29:32.420 and i used to jokingly say so let me see if i understand your hypothesis your hypothesis is that if they lock up

00:29:42.740 a hundred percent of the people who are doing eighty percent of the crimes that the crime rate won't go

00:29:49.140 down but rather the people who were not planning to do any crimes would increase the number of crimes they

00:29:56.660 were committing beyond what they had planned to make up for the repeat criminals being in jail that's

00:30:04.340 that's how you would get a balance and nothing would change right and 0.97

00:30:08.100 that the conversation would quickly turn into insult because when people realize how dumb their opinion 0.99

00:30:16.580 is that's that's not really an opinion opinion is it that's really just somebody's a dumb 1.00

00:30:23.460 fuck people who are in jail don't commit crimes outside of jail i mean unless they have access to a 0.99

00:30:29.620 telephone i guess or a henchman to do their work like a crime boss but generally speaking if you're in 1.00

00:30:36.740 jail it does stop you from murdering mostly except in jail ontario the wait is over the gold standard

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00:31:38.580 casino.com for details please play responsibly well if you're wondering why are some communities more

00:31:47.620 dangerous than others and you don't have enough of a racist opinion about why let me give you a

00:31:55.700 a lesser a lesser racist opinion about why some places are more dangerous

00:32:03.300 apparently according to neuro science news aggression is contagious meaning that if you observe your

00:32:11.380 parents in particular so it's more of a family thing observing strangers doesn't have the same

00:32:17.300 effect it must have some but if you observe family members being physical yeah you're more likely to be

00:32:26.500 that way yourself but i went immediately to grok and i said uh can you tell me grok is uh violence and

00:32:36.900 aggression are those things ever hereditary because it would make sense to me that if they were hereditary

00:32:44.420 you know not 100 percent but at least in any way that uh it might not be because you're watching your

00:32:52.980 family be aggressive it might be because you all have the aggressive gene so it seems to you that

00:33:00.340 maybe the cause is that you're observing it or you're around it but it could be according to grok

00:33:07.220 that uh there are some people who think that aggression is about 50 percent um inherited

00:33:15.940 so the studies of twins i guess 50 percent of variance in aggressive behavior might be genetic

00:33:25.140 so here's my suggestion for fixing things if the if the people who are who are being violent

00:33:34.820 um are being perpetuated by seeing their family being violent and it becomes this this cycle

00:33:43.700 maybe the best thing you could do because it's hard to fix that directly i mean you know what are you

00:33:49.860 going to do uh people spend time with their family how are you going to stop that so if you can't do

00:33:57.940 anything about it i've often wondered if the best solution isn't for people to apply for let's call

00:34:05.700 it a grant or a scholarship to move out of whatever bad place has a bad example that's being set for

00:34:13.220 them not just in this regard but someplace safe where they can you know really concentrate on school or

00:34:19.220 whatever don't you think that that would be one way to save a failing neighborhood literally to let

00:34:26.660 people say all right give me your best argument if you're really serious about you know having a

00:34:33.140 successful honest life write us a little thing or send us a video and you know maybe we'll sponsor

00:34:40.980 you or a number of people will sponsor you to get enough money to move to a place that's lower crime

00:34:47.060 better schools so it would be great if the people who have the ability to thrive in a different

00:34:54.900 atmosphere had the opportunity to get there and they wouldn't always be able to do it themselves

00:35:02.100 so just an idea well there's a chicago alderman who was uh ripping into um both the governor and the

00:35:12.580 mayor johnson and prisker um about the topic of uh trump offering aid to chicago newsmax is reporting

00:35:22.580 this michael cats and uh it but he's basically saying and he's obviously a democrat as well but he's on

00:35:32.420 their team and if he's even he's saying um no we got a little bit too much crime here maybe maybe you

00:35:40.580 should accept his help so if you're wondering if uh reasonable common sense people would agree with

00:35:49.300 trump well there you go sounds like he's a very reasonable alderman

00:35:56.420 but uh here's a question that i ask that you might be asking yourself how much should i care about crime

00:36:04.740 in chicago in chicago if i don't live in chicago and the people who do live there are electing people

00:36:12.900 who allow this much crime and probably could do something i.e let trump come in with some extra help

00:36:21.940 they probably could do something to lower it but for whatever reason their priorities are not that

00:36:28.740 um so am i supposed to care a lot i mean i i i very much wanted trump to move the national garden to

00:36:40.180 washington dc even though i don't live there because it's my capital right it's my capital of course i want

00:36:47.860 that cleaned up of course that that represents me but if the people in chicago um don't want the help

00:36:56.020 should we really force it upon them i mean they do have the ability to vote in people who would

00:37:03.940 change that and they apparently are not choosing that path at what point does it just mean their problem

00:37:13.220 so i don't know how much of my tax dollars i want to spend sending the military or any form of the

00:37:19.300 military into chicago uh it's not that it wouldn't work i think it would work and i think politically

00:37:27.060 probably be a total winner um but uh i don't know if it's because of my empathy um don't ask me to have

00:37:38.020 more empathy than they have for themselves that doesn't make sense i i should have maybe equal to

00:37:45.460 but not more empathy than they have for themselves anyway uh i guess trump's trump and the team

00:37:57.060 won another court victory so now a judge is going to allow the uh the ice i guess to sweep up immigrants 1.00

00:38:06.100 and raids um and partially they can use the race of the people as part of their decision making but it

00:38:14.420 can't be all of it so if the only reason they stopped somebody to find out their status was

00:38:20.660 because they looked like they were um hispanic that would not be allowed that would be pure racism but 1.00

00:38:28.340 um the court has allowed the supreme court has now allowed that it would be one of the elements you

00:38:35.380 might look at so for example if they were hispanic uh and standing at the home depot i'm making that up

00:38:44.660 and speaking only spanish uh i don't know there might be some other elements but you could use it as

00:38:53.300 one variable but not the variable um i don't know how i feel about that um so moving on

00:39:06.500 apparently uh nepal is having some issues the parliament building is on fire

00:39:19.060 and the public had revolted um except there's there's something a little bit weird about this nepal 0.99

00:39:28.020 situation as in why it happened um

00:39:35.860 so so i guess it started because the country was trying to ban some fake social media accounts

00:39:42.660 but the issue of banning some fake fake right fake social media accounts that turned into

00:39:54.100 the public being mad about corruption and digital censorship that turned into riots in the street

00:40:00.100 and then the um it looks like you know maybe the country has fallen i can't tell but here's the thing

00:40:09.060 when you hear that nepal has uh you know done this street protest against the government and burned down

00:40:17.380 the building and dragged down some of the politicians i don't know what happened to them but some of them got

00:40:22.820 dragged out um do you assume that that happens spontaneously or do you believe that there's just no such thing

00:40:32.660 anywhere of a you know this kind of organized thing unless there's some external source maybe a color

00:40:41.620 revolution kind of a situation some foreign country maybe maybe some intelligence people within the country

00:40:49.940 you know who knows but uh i'm way beyond imagining that this kind of stuff happens on its own

00:40:58.980 so i would have some questions about who might have been who might have been involved behind the scenes if you know what i mean

00:41:09.940 um anyway

00:41:11.780 so according to a post i saw on x by wall street apes there's some independent uh investigation

00:41:24.260 about uh gavin newsom's association to some ngos which allegedly

00:41:35.380 all these uh uh democrat conspiracies and alleged corruption things were also

00:41:41.300 complicated where he allegedly was doing something called behested payments so this would be legal

00:41:50.660 so so allegedly somebody like newsom could go to a bunch of rich donors and say hey uh i behest you to

00:42:00.900 put a bunch of money into these ngos it's a charity it's really good and then the rich people go oh

00:42:07.460 got it wink wink so if i put a bunch of money into the charities then you'll be good to me when i need a

00:42:15.460 favor well i can't say that but if you put a bunch of money in these charities i sure would be good for

00:42:20.660 those charities and then you work it out with the charities or you've chosen them because they're working

00:42:28.260 with you where they say if you can get us a bunch of money from a bunch of rich people

00:42:33.460 in return for you giving them favors we'll make sure that a bunch of this money benefits you directly or indirectly

00:42:44.420 so um the allegation is that the 400 million dollars have flowed through this process

00:42:51.300 and uh it's hard to imagine that governor newsom didn't give anybody any favors for being a conduit

00:43:01.860 allegedly don't know if any of this is true but uh if he if he really were the conduit for 400 million

00:43:08.900 dollars flowing through it's hard to believe he didn't get a taste of that maybe not directly but

00:43:16.260 through circuitous routes which is how they do it that's how they do it um so again i remind you that

00:43:26.900 all local government and maybe all government is corrupt um so health and human services is going to

00:43:37.220 release a report that uh seems to tie tylenol use in pregnant women with autism

00:43:46.500 but there is apparently uh there's some conflict in the science there's some science that suggests

00:43:54.420 there is a link and some some science that suggests there's not so what would you and i assume about

00:44:02.660 that we should assume that we don't know anything because there's some science that says there's a link

00:44:09.780 some says it isn't we don't really trust either one of them so i don't trust any data and certainly

00:44:17.300 any study like that i'm way beyond being able to trust them but at the same time

00:44:26.660 um

00:44:29.700 at the same time let's see what else is happening uh president trump i guess he reposted a video on social

00:44:36.100 media that uh linked vaccines to autism so according to modernity is reporting that

00:44:45.940 so it looks like if you read the tea leaves the government is going to suggest that there

00:44:54.580 you know more than one thing that might be behind autism and uh maybe they're not going to say we know

00:45:00.740 100 100 sure what it is or how much each of these contribute they might say well as far as we can

00:45:08.340 narrow it down it might be these things so um but i do believe i do trust

00:45:18.020 that if any big decisions are made about vaccines i do trust that that would be based on data that we

00:45:24.980 can all see so people who have a chance to say you read that data wrong or they collected that data

00:45:32.340 wrong so that's coming

00:45:38.660 did you lock the front door check close the garage door yep installed window sensors smoke sensors and

00:45:43.940 hd cameras with night vision no and you set up credit card transaction alerts a secure vpn for a

00:45:49.060 private connection and continuous monitoring for our personal info on the dark web uh i'm looking into

00:45:54.740 it stress less about security choose security solutions from telus for peace of mind at home

00:46:00.260 and online visit telus.com total security to learn more conditions apply all right andrew cuomo who as you

00:46:08.740 know is running for mayor of new york against mayor adams and the communist guy mamdami um and uh

00:46:17.540 carissa sliwa so andrew cuomo i just watched him on a video and he said democrats want someone to

00:46:25.780 defend them against president trump i am that person because i have done that now is it my imagination

00:46:34.900 or does andrew cuomo have the easiest job in the world which would be to become mayor of new york

00:46:43.540 given who he's running against shouldn't he easily be able to win this it feels like he should but

00:46:52.500 here's what he's doing wrong mamdami comes in and he talks about affordability and people go oh you have

00:47:00.980 my attention that's exactly what i'm worrying about cuomo comes in and he's making it about attacking trump

00:47:08.180 now i don't argue that people are asking him to attack trump i'm sure they are but really he doesn't

00:47:16.340 see that that's not the winning message the winning message is what mom donnie is doing he says you got

00:47:22.660 a problem i will i i have a magic plan to deal with your biggest problem so it's just it's just jaw

00:47:32.340 dropping and head shaking that when he's talking about why you should you know make him the mayor

00:47:38.260 it's to fight trump that that's that's just the worst reason anybody ever had to run for mayor

00:47:45.700 well there's a rumor going around that scott basant treasury secretary and bill pulte

00:47:55.060 um who is head of the federal housing finance whatever it is i can never remember the name of

00:48:03.140 the organization freddie and fanny and uh apparently they went to a dinner and uh scott basant threatened

00:48:13.140 to punch pulte in the face and he wanted to step outside and and fight him so uh and then reportedly

00:48:24.820 but i don't believe anything about this story at this point we never know the real context of these things

00:48:29.860 um reportedly bill wasn't sure if he was serious but he said he was serious about punching him and uh

00:48:41.860 so i don't know how the dinner ended or who picked up the check but uh that sounds pretty bad i guess uh

00:48:49.460 basant was complaining because he believed that uh bill pulte had said something negative to him about

00:48:57.220 to trump uh i don't know what that was allegedly but i don't know how to feel about it because

00:49:04.580 it would depend entirely upon what it was he may or may not have said to trump you could certainly imagine

00:49:12.020 that it could have been something really important that trump would need to know

00:49:16.740 in which case you know bulte had to do it that would just be part of his job

00:49:22.100 um but you could you could imagine that uh basant wouldn't like it no matter what it was so um

00:49:32.340 i like bill too much to have an opinion on this so i'm just gonna say that uh we'll never know

00:49:39.860 exactly what happened in that situation but i don't think bill's gonna be talking to anybody

00:49:45.460 about anything important unless it's important so we'll never know what that's about

00:49:52.100 um so there's a new uh laser defense weapon to shoot down drones and it's uh better than ever

00:50:04.180 before it can kill 50 drones a minute which actually doesn't sound like that many 50 drones a minute

00:50:10.820 if they're sending a swarm of a thousand drones um unless it's the really big ones

00:50:15.860 that don't come that don't swarm i don't know but uh here's what i was uh wondering as i was reading

00:50:24.100 that story what are the odds that uh drones become the main weapon of choice at the same time that

00:50:32.020 lasers finally become cost effective to shoot them down is that kind of weird that those two technologies

00:50:41.140 that have both been out there for a while you know years and years but they both kind of matured

00:50:47.460 at the same time that just when the drones can do all kinds of things and there could be thousands

00:50:54.340 of them in the sky you know autonomously attacking you is exactly the same time that we've built all

00:51:02.100 these deadly lasers that can shoot them out of the sky what are the odds that those two technologies

00:51:09.140 are peaking at about the same time that's weird it's a simulation

00:51:19.060 wells uh one of the russian advisors to putin accused the u.s and accused trump of thinking about

00:51:27.540 using crypto to wipe out our debt now if you like me you said wait how how would you do that

00:51:36.740 how would you wipe out 35 trillion dollars worth of debt with crypto uh without making things worse

00:51:43.700 now you might remember that i've asked that question a bunch of times but not saying how it would

00:51:49.460 happen but asking if there's any way to make it happen and i the answer that i got from everyone is

00:51:56.660 uh no you you can't like do it with one magic trick of crypto you might be able to make crypto your

00:52:04.420 only money and then inflate away the value of the dollar over time and maybe that's literally the

00:52:10.500 only way we'll ever get out of it so that might happen but uh so i went to grok and i put that story in

00:52:21.220 there and i said is that something that could ever work and grok said not really so grok would

00:52:29.380 went into all the details but basically said now you know every way that you could go with that

00:52:35.780 this is me paraphrasing it but every way you could go with that with some kind of clever crypto thing

00:52:41.780 would make something way worse and you know would be unacceptable so no that probably won't happen

00:52:51.300 um but you can see why they're afraid of it because the u.s has

00:52:55.060 uh played around with the gold standard for example in the past well politico is talking about

00:53:03.940 france's government collapsing a lot of collapsing happening lately so the uh joshua berlinger is

00:53:10.420 writing about this so i guess macron has to appoint now his fifth prime minister in less than two years

00:53:18.580 um and there's protests um and there's protests and things are falling apart so um i don't think

00:53:27.860 i hate to say it but i don't really see a way that france can survive do you i know i suppose that would

00:53:36.660 be true of everybody in the medium run but i don't see i don't see a path

00:53:43.860 um i hate to say that because you know i'm pretty optimistic and i generally don't buy into the oh

00:53:52.260 this country is going down the drain you know we've talked about yeah i don't think china is really 1.00

00:53:57.620 about to go down the drain i don't think russia is really about to go down the drain and i don't think

00:54:03.460 france is going down the drain this year um but it seems like just demographically

00:54:11.540 they're in an unrecoverable situation but we'll see and i guess uh macron is mad at the u.s for uh

00:54:23.540 barring visas for most palestinians but like that's the biggest problem he's got 75 cities in lockdown 0.96

00:54:32.580 uh and he's worried about palestinian visas all right um in other news israel has reportedly said yes

00:54:45.460 to trump's suggestion for a gaza ceasefire so that would make you think ah we're 50 toward peace because

00:54:57.220 at least one side said yes um except that what israel is uh requesting and what uh i guess trump is

00:55:07.140 requesting um requesting would be too weak demanding is that they give up all the hostages

00:55:14.340 and lay down their arms now if you were hamas do you think you're going to give up your hostages and 0.56

00:55:22.580 lay down your arms because what happens to you the minute that that happens it's not like part of the

00:55:29.940 deal is for safe passage or something it's not like you're going to get a you know you're going to be

00:55:37.140 pardoned 100 of the people who have a weapon and are in a tunnel and are working for hamas a hundred

00:55:45.460 percent of them are going to be in jail or killed why exactly would they want to hurry that up

00:55:51.780 while they have hostages so to me uh it's easy for israel to say uh we will accept your total surrender 0.54

00:56:02.900 so that we can do what we want with you so i get why they say yes but how in the world

00:56:11.700 is is some awesome we're going to say yes to that well unless you know they have no other choice

00:56:17.620 and everything's worse and that's it looks like that's where things are heading it's going to get

00:56:23.380 a lot worse but uh just before i got on apparently there was some kind of big explosion in qatar or

00:56:31.860 qatar as you like to say uh in doha some say it was an israeli assassination strike as senior hamas

00:56:41.460 officials but uh i heard that just before i went live so by now we probably have better information

00:56:49.940 but we're still in the fog of war so i wouldn't believe anything about that story yet uh i definitely

00:56:56.980 wouldn't believe that it was an israeli attack yet it totally could have been you know i wouldn't rule

00:57:05.060 it out but uh too soon i wouldn't jump to that conclusion so i wouldn't trust any of the reports

00:57:11.940 coming out but if it were true that uh israel figured this was a good time to take out their 1.00

00:57:19.300 leadership in qatar well there's probably no no bad time to do it

00:57:27.860 and uh uh san mateo one of my local airports here uh is launching uh the first flying car with vertical

00:57:40.180 takeoff um it's going to test flights at half moon bay and hollister and you could you could buy one

00:57:48.900 for or and you could put in a pre-order for your flying car at three hundred thousand dollars

00:57:54.500 now i think you know that that there have been news stories about flying cars for

00:58:04.900 30 years and we're always right around the corner oh we're so close you are gonna have a flying car

00:58:12.500 any minute now well maybe it's happening maybe we'll see but if it does can we agree on one thing

00:58:24.500 if we get our flying cars that is the golden age everybody agree i think that would settle it we

00:58:33.780 still need to work on our affordability but uh in many other ways golden age all right ladies and 1.00

00:58:42.260 gentlemen sorry about my cat related disturbances if it sounded a little choppy over here i was

00:58:49.140 fighting a cat with one hand and using my brain to entertain you with my other hand all right that didn't work

00:58:59.380 flying cars will be a disaster it does seem like it would be a problem um unless the flying cars are

00:59:07.940 uh self-driving uh self-driving by law i can imagine that it would keep them out of trouble

00:59:18.420 all right thank you sergio i'm going to say a few words privately to the beloved members of locals the

00:59:27.780 rest of you i'll see you tomorrow same time same place i enjoy it every morning so make sure you come

00:59:34.580 back i'd miss you if you didn't

01:00:04.980 um

01:00:09.540 demandé

01:00:10.180 o

01:00:10.500 ザ

01:00:11.180 a

01:00:11.420 o

01:00:12.320 ザ

01:00:13.420 o

01:00:13.500 o

01:00:13.900 Thank you.

01:00:43.900 Thank you.

01:01:13.900 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 09, 2025

Episode 2953 CWSA 09⧸09⧸25

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