Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2954 CWSA 09⧸10⧸25

00:00:00.000 there you are come on in i will uh check on the stock market for you while you're finding a seat

00:00:09.200 grab a beverage it's almost time for your favorite thing all right tesla's up a little bit

00:00:17.600 s p is up a little bit bitcoin's up a little bit all right we'll take it

00:00:24.880 but i think i know why i'll tell you in a minute hey everybody

00:00:35.280 all right as soon as i have your comments working perfectly

00:00:41.680 which is now we'll get going

00:00:54.880 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:01:03.520 coffee with scott adams and you never had a better time in your whole life but if you'd like to take

00:01:09.120 a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny

00:01:16.320 shiny human brains all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass a tanker chelsea stein a

00:01:23.920 canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me

00:01:30.800 now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine at the end of the day the thing that makes everything

00:01:36.240 better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go

00:01:46.880 all right well done

00:01:51.680 let me let me just say you're so good at sipping impressive all right what's in the news oh here's

00:02:02.000 why the stock market might be looking good um there's a new inflation report and inflation is uh well below

00:02:12.000 what was expected and estimated so 2.8 the uh core inflation um versus they thought it might have been

00:02:22.640 3.5 because it had been 3.4 so do you believe that or do you think there'll be some kind of adjustment

00:02:33.360 later remember all data is fake or out of context or short term is different from long term or there's

00:02:43.600 some kind of anomaly in it so don't get too excited but if this were real it would uh convince the fed to

00:02:53.120 lower interest rates right maybe well here's a update on uh what happens if you have a piece of content

00:03:05.120 that uh elon musk boosts now unfortunately it was not in my ex account it was someone else had made a clip

00:03:14.160 of uh something i did on the show and elon liked it enough to repost it and it's up to 20 million views

00:03:23.920 so that's what happens when elon hits two buttons um speaking of elon he was at uh appearing by video at

00:03:33.760 the all-in summit um and uh had a few things to say that were were pretty interesting um he said that if ai

00:03:44.160 and robots don't solve our national debt we're toast now do you feel comfortable knowing that the only way

00:03:53.920 we're going to survive is if ai and robots somehow can figure out how to solve our national debt

00:04:00.960 is that something you'd bet on hmm i think the ai and the robots will solve our national debt

00:04:10.160 i you know i can't tell if he believes that's you know like a likely scenario because in theory it

00:04:18.400 could boost our you know economic everything by by amounts we can't imagine right now so you know you

00:04:26.560 could follow the argument but would you bet on it the ai and robots would somehow create enough

00:04:37.120 economic whatever that we wouldn't just spend more if we made more if the government got let's say

00:04:44.400 greater tax income do you think they'd pay down the debt i don't know so maybe um

00:04:56.880 but uh i don't want to bum you out but i'm getting more and more worried

00:05:03.200 that uh ai will never be sufficient to run a general purpose robot that there'll always be lots

00:05:09.840 of robots but they'll be doing one thing like vacuuming your floor or you know being on an assembly

00:05:16.480 line or making coffee you know there's gonna be there'll be a ping pong robot there already is there's

00:05:22.320 a badminton robot there's there might be maybe a shirt folding robot but i don't think we're ever

00:05:31.680 going to get to a general robot where you could for example just show i had to do something and it

00:05:38.960 could it could work out you know the things that you didn't show it directly you could just figure out

00:05:45.920 well you know probably i'd have to do this to get this done i i'm starting to think that it's not

00:05:52.480 going to happen here's why if weren't we weren't we talking about the uh the robots would be introduced

00:06:02.880 right now you know within the next couple of months a year a year back or a year and a

00:06:10.240 half back were we not saying that the ends of 2025 we'd have what we need for you know the robots but

00:06:18.560 i don't really see the general purpose robots and still whenever there's a demonstration the damn

00:06:25.760 robots doing exactly one thing for 25 or 30 years i've been seeing news reports about somebody built a

00:06:35.600 robot that would do exactly one thing it doesn't really look like we've made gigantic progress

00:06:43.200 now the physical body of the robot looks like there's a lot of progress progress but i don't think

00:06:50.160 i'm seeing anything in our current versions of ai or even the way we do ai or the way we train it

00:06:56.720 i don't see anything that would create a robot quality ai even if we kept training it and training

00:07:06.000 it and there's some indication that we're hitting some kind of a training plateau already so is there

00:07:14.880 some unlimited amount of new training material that our current models could get us to a robot that could

00:07:22.400 just sort of live with you and figure stuff out same as you it doesn't look like it it doesn't look

00:07:29.440 like it and and don't you believe that if we were going to have that in another year which is i think the

00:07:38.560 current estimate if we were going to have that you know the real general robot don't you think that we

00:07:46.080 would already see demos that would just blow your mind right because there's a long you know cycle

00:07:53.600 lead time before you're actually in the market and you can make them in scale and everything so if they

00:07:59.920 were going to be for sale one year from now the demos you would already be seeing would be you know fully

00:08:08.640 functional so i don't know maybe maybe not

00:08:17.520 and according to joe wilkins writing for futurism there's some data that shows that ai use is actually

00:08:25.120 now declining at large companies now i don't know if that's really a useful number because you would

00:08:31.840 expect that there would be something like a whole bunch of excitement and people would overbuy it

00:08:39.680 and then over time they would say hmm wasn't quite doing what i wanted it to do and so it'd fall off a

00:08:45.920 little bit the excitement would dry up and then people would start finding legitimate uses for it and then

00:08:52.480 it would start growing back so not too surprising that there would be sort of a pullback after the initial

00:09:00.400 stuff i don't know if that's telling us anything or even if the data is real

00:09:07.520 another uh elon musk thing he said at that all in uh summit um

00:09:16.640 that the bigger goal than the moon is mars and you know he talked about wanting to um make mars

00:09:24.800 completely self-sustaining in around 30 years now the argument that he makes is that there's there are

00:09:36.000 always natural disasters and every planet will eventually be destroyed by something whether it's

00:09:42.720 an asteroid or we we nuke it ourselves so we have to have at least one other space escape point and that's

00:09:52.320 what mars would be but it raises one question with me would the easiest place to build a new non-earth

00:10:04.240 civilization be just in space in orbit around the current earth because that way you could get back to

00:10:12.160 earth you could have supplies from earth at the same time building up your you know 30 years at whatever

00:10:19.840 it takes to be self-sustaining um just as a satellite and then if you saw something coming like uh oh

00:10:28.240 there's a meteor heading toward earth you might say uh it might be time to orbit another planet

00:10:36.720 you know orbits on different planet but wouldn't it be easier to preserve life in orbit

00:10:43.760 uh because you could go back and forth so often while you're getting to the point of full self-sufficiency

00:10:52.720 no i don't know maybe there's some reason that mars is the right answer

00:11:00.240 well here's some science that i probably could have told you how it was going to turn out

00:11:05.440 emily uh caldwell's writing for the ohio state university apparently a keto diet

00:11:12.080 was linked to a 70 reduction in depression symptoms in college students but because it was a kind of

00:11:21.440 study that they didn't do a control group you know there was no placebo control group sort of thing

00:11:28.800 wouldn't you imagine that if you said to a bunch of college students hey i've got a proposition for

00:11:35.200 you what is it we're gonna put you in a scientific study and they'd be like oh no i yeah that sounds

00:11:43.120 icky i go wait you haven't heard the details we're gonna fix you delicious food you won't have to shop

00:11:52.240 prepare it uh or clean up like we'll just basically deliver you stuff on disposable dishes and it will be

00:12:00.320 delicious and healthy and by the way keto has lots of good stuff in it so you don't have to worry about

00:12:06.000 you know not having good stuff and uh and then we'll have contact with you and we'll be checking in

00:12:13.360 with you don't you think that that would almost guarantee that people would have less depression

00:12:21.120 because don't you think just being less lonely and having a purpose just the the being as part of

00:12:28.160 the research that alone no matter what they were researching if they gave you lots of points of

00:12:35.440 contact and you thought you were doing something useful and then you also had the uh the placebo effect

00:12:43.920 of believing well this looks like healthy food it's certainly going to fix many of my problems

00:12:48.960 you put all that together and it wouldn't matter what the nutritional value of the food was

00:12:55.600 i would expect people to say they had fewer depression symptoms just because of the way they

00:13:01.840 were treated you're basically treated like kings and they didn't probably didn't have to pay for their

00:13:08.560 own food so i'm assuming that the food was free so if you have free food and people fussed over you

00:13:16.720 and asked your opinion and you weren't as lonely yeah if the food was no more healthy than the other

00:13:25.120 food you had you'd probably feel a little less depressed

00:13:30.640 but i also think eating right is good for your brain so i do believe that it's healthy well apple had

00:13:40.240 some announcements they're making a thinner better phone with better cameras and stuff but the big news

00:13:47.920 if you can call it that is that apple is going harder into health sensing stuff so they they got some

00:13:57.760 stuff built into their ear pods now um they can uh it can well basically all of their stuff their watch

00:14:07.040 their air air buds and their phone are all gonna have lots more health related apps but also live

00:14:15.360 translation in five languages so that's not health related but how cool is that that you got to be alive

00:14:25.440 at the time when humans could actually put a little earbud in an ear and it would translate in real time

00:14:34.480 five different languages i'm just just hold that in your mind for a moment that you're alive

00:14:42.000 when that became a just a consumer product it's not even special so yeah you can buy it at the store

00:14:49.600 um but i guess they can also now measure everything from your sleep to your ovulation to your sleep apnea

00:14:59.200 your temperature your vitals your heartbeat your hypertension yeah so apple's gonna save your life

00:15:10.480 well the uh the maha make america healthy again they have a commission that released a

00:15:19.840 a big strategy yesterday to approve children's health because as you know children have many chronic health

00:15:28.080 problems that we didn't used to have in say my childhood and they're still trying to figure out why

00:15:34.640 um but as part of that they've got more than 120 initiatives um including advancing research on

00:15:44.960 autism more on that in a minute pesticides vaccine injury water quality and all the other stuff 120

00:15:52.480 initiatives that's a lot of initiatives is that even manageable if i told you that something was

00:16:00.320 happening and there would be 120 initiatives would you say to yourself wow that's good that's a lot of

00:16:07.360 initiatives that can only go right with that many initiatives i mean even if a few of them went bad

00:16:15.600 you still might have 80 90 great initiatives or do you say to yourself with the dilbert filter

00:16:22.960 uh the hypothetically uh the hypothetically the most number of initiatives that any entity can handle would be about

00:16:33.360 five and anything beyond that would just become a cluster you know so well i hope um but on the other hand

00:16:44.080 you know to be uh less skeptical on the other hand there probably are at least 120

00:16:53.200 environmental risks that are going to require somebody to work full-time to figure out what's

00:16:58.720 what on just that one risk so yeah i could say it 120 um

00:17:07.120 anyway just the news is reporting on that

00:17:11.600 so would you be surprised i know this will shock you i know that a judge blocked something that trump

00:17:20.160 wanted to do no no really no i'm not making that up there was a judge who decided that trump wasn't

00:17:29.040 allowed to do a thing that was just part of his normal job does it feel like groundhog day that just

00:17:37.120 every day you wake up and is there another story about another judge blocking another trump thing that

00:17:43.520 he just wanted to do which he totally has a right to do yes and now the judge is blocking the firing of

00:17:51.280 that fed governor lisa cook um i'm not even going to look into the details of that story because i imagine

00:18:00.720 it'll get appealed and i imagine that in the end the president can do the things that are the job of the

00:18:07.760 president so another probably just uh just a bump in the road probably

00:18:17.440 well another one of those uh smuggler boats has been destroyed but this time the navy was nice enough

00:18:24.800 to let the humans get off first and the drugs get off so they captured a bunch of

00:18:30.800 drugs and then they uh very uh very impressively blew up the boat blew up the uh smuggler boat

00:18:41.120 and sunk it and uh in other news um the post millennials reporting on some of this that over uh 600

00:18:51.280 suspected sinaloa cartel members were arrested by the dea in a 23 state sweep

00:18:58.480 600 cartel members now what is the first question you ask yourself when you hear that 600

00:19:11.280 cartel members just from one cartel there are more than one cartel about 600 of them were arrested in 23 states

00:19:20.240 what's the first question well my first question is how many are there is 600 did we get most of them

00:19:34.240 is that like well good news we got 95 of them or or did they get two percent of them or one percent

00:19:44.640 doesn't it really matter what percent they got have i ever told you too many times that if the only thing

00:19:52.880 they tell you is the number or the percentage but they don't tell you both if they only tell you one or

00:19:59.360 the other somebody's trying to bullshit you so it's making me wonder if we're supposed to think that we're

00:20:07.520 much safer now because 600 have been picked up or if we knew that there were really 20 000 of them would

00:20:16.240 you feel much safer so i feel like we're being managed a little bit uh it's possible that we have no

00:20:25.280 idea how many there are but uh an estimate would be useful

00:20:29.200 well apparently uh ice is uh going into chicago to uh do its job arresting people and uh

00:20:42.880 it's going to be called operation midway blitz and that part apparently is totally legal as far as i

00:20:50.880 know because it's the fed's job to do exactly that if uh so they're not dealing with crime in general

00:20:57.760 that's just the uh they're dealing with the immigration problem

00:21:04.240 and let's see what else is happening according to the guardian there was uh

00:21:12.160 there was an airport where was this he throw part of the airport he throw was evacuated because they

00:21:18.560 thought there was some kind of uh some kind of poison gas or something so people were falling

00:21:24.640 ill 21 people fell ill but when they looked into it and they analyzed all the air and everything

00:21:31.760 they determined that there was no hazard whatsoever and that the best guess is that it was a psychogenic

00:21:40.640 illness meaning that it was all in their heads now do you believe that 21 people could be so ill that

00:21:49.760 you know they became a statistic they must have reported to somebody or must have been detected

00:21:55.760 somehow but 21 people falling ill do you feel there's any chance that could be just in their heads

00:22:04.080 the answer is yeah easily that's not even hard yeah you you could reproduce this effect

00:22:11.680 fairly easily you would just get a few actors to go into a public you know crowded space and say

00:22:20.960 you know i could barely breathe what is that and then everybody would smell it like i smell something

00:22:26.560 too it's got me too yeah it would be about that easy you couldn't get everybody so you know it'd be

00:22:35.280 fewer than 20 percent you know might be affected by something like that but that would be enough

00:22:42.400 that you would wonder if some major contagion just broke out so no it's really easy for that kind of

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00:23:49.760 details please play responsibly so how many of you are following the news about the new whistleblower reports

00:24:00.880 about uh ufos and uh there's a big meeting i guess a congressional hearing there were some witnesses came in and had some amazing stories of ufo spotting and encounters

00:24:16.880 uh one of them included a glowing orb thing that they thought was some kind of alien spaceship or at least nothing we know about

00:24:26.880 about and apparently a they have video which they showed is grainy i know you're surprised it's grainy

00:24:35.360 but yeah it's blurry and grainy and black and white can you believe it and it's a ufo i mean

00:24:43.200 how how could those two things possibly happen at the same time i mean really what are the odds that something

00:24:49.760 grainy and grainy and blurry and black and white would be the only way that they'd get a picture of a ufo

00:24:58.080 okay but now they've got a picture of what they call a hellfire missile i don't know how they know that

00:25:05.520 um allegedly intercepting it but bouncing off it basically not not affecting it

00:25:12.640 so that must be alien right

00:25:20.000 okay i'm not even a little bit persuaded that that that they have a video of an alien that just happens

00:25:28.400 to look like a glowing orb that for some reason and i don't know what that reason would be that we shot

00:25:36.240 a hellfire missile at it do you really believe that we shot a hellfire missile at a glowing orb

00:25:42.080 without knowing what the fuck it was or or were we under attack and somehow the news didn't catch

00:25:49.040 that earth was in a intergalactic fight with a superior technology from another race alien race

00:25:57.680 and we're just just finding out about it now

00:26:03.120 what are the odds that we fired a hellfire missile at it whatever it was pretty low so yes there's a

00:26:11.840 claim and there's a grainy video that you've come to expect uh sort of loch ness monster style

00:26:20.640 bigfoot style so no i was not convinced by that and then there were these uh military other

00:26:28.400 whistleblowers are talking about how uh they had personally witnessed things and uh they were being

00:26:35.360 quite persecuted um in in a whole variety of ways you know things things were happening that would be

00:26:42.000 suspicious except if you understood them as revenge to which i said well you know i won't go over

00:26:50.000 everything that the gentleman said but do you believe that there's one person who saw five major ufos

00:26:58.800 like including one that's as you know big as a house do you believe that one person saw five of

00:27:04.960 them at one military base does that does that pass your sniff test and the rest of the base was just like

00:27:15.520 no look up look up there's another one third one today okay now i don't believe any of that

00:27:21.360 that and then i don't believe the stories of you know revenge and the reason they can't get jobs and

00:27:28.800 everything absolutely none of it sounds credible to me so i hate to ruin your fun but uh i'm gonna

00:27:39.600 say that there was not a hundred foot triangle flying low over at virginia's langley air force base

00:27:46.080 maybe i would love to be wrong you know i would love to eat crow and you know apologize for being such

00:27:56.880 an arrogant prick about my disbelief of the ufos but they're but whether or not the ufos are real

00:28:06.160 the the way it's being presented just doesn't have any credibility at all in my opinion

00:28:16.080 yeah there's one guy's off five unexplained incidents all right um and then there was a report that the

00:28:27.600 uh the military had been regularly destroying all police records every three years including these

00:28:34.320 reports yeah there's people destroying the records everywhere yep yeah none of that i believe

00:28:41.280 um well the representative jasmine crockett's making a little news she was on cnn and she says she

00:28:50.320 believes that uh 80 of the most violent crime in our country is white supremacy oh jasmine jasmine jasmine

00:29:04.320 that don't you wonder if she believes what she says i don't i don't think she does

00:29:11.280 but it'd be funny if she did um however i'll tell i'll tell you what the big news is if you're on

00:29:19.120 social media if you're in the right leaning social media especially there is a lot of what i'll call

00:29:24.960 racial bluntness happening a lot of white people and sometimes black people talking about the uh what they

00:29:34.320 say is uh uh a huge problem of black crime violent crime against white people now you've all heard

00:29:44.240 the statistics and you can decide if you if you think that that's a um big crime or not and um you know

00:29:52.800 most of the things that people say about this topic have all been said but there are a few things

00:29:58.560 things that maybe have not been said yet believe it or not so i'd like to add one um apparently i saw a

00:30:08.480 douglas mackie post on this apparently the new york times had decided that uh they would they would spell

00:30:16.960 black with a capital b as in the black man but the white woman would be a small w

00:30:24.000 and i guess they had some explanation for that for why the white would be a small w

00:30:34.560 but uh i think we can all agree that whatever they say is the reason that that's okay

00:30:42.640 that's not the reason well whatever is going on here it's not what they say

00:30:48.720 that's the one we can rule out no it whatever is your worst suspicion about why they only capitalize

00:30:57.920 black and not white it's that it's that it's whatever is your worst suspicion i guarantee it it's

00:31:04.000 that uh so that's going on but then i saw some people weighing in on social media who said

00:31:11.920 what i would consider the most obvious thing you would say the most npc thing you would say is that

00:31:20.080 it's not about race it's about uh income and if everybody made the same income then you wouldn't see this

00:31:29.360 disparity so do you buy that here's here's what i'll add to that if it were true that income

00:31:40.720 is the you know the direct thing that causes violence then there wouldn't be any places

00:31:47.200 that are poor and also low violent crime am i right but there are there are places that are poor

00:31:57.360 and don't have much crime so it can't be true that being poor automatically generates violent crime

00:32:05.760 at some higher than normal rate because it simply doesn't happen everywhere so if you know that's

00:32:14.400 not what it is what is it and i know you're gonna say culture because that's the next thing you say because

00:32:20.880 it's safer than the alternatives so you say culture i would say i would replace that with design

00:32:29.680 so design it might not be intentional design but but the way some communities are organized

00:32:37.920 um they couldn't possibly succeed even if you just saw it on paper it's like all right tell me

00:32:43.760 just give me the facts like you know how are you organized oh okay well that's not going to work

00:32:51.360 probably create a lot of crime you know even on paper it doesn't look like it'd work

00:32:57.280 and what i mean by design if i were going to give a positive example of good design i've made this example

00:33:05.520 before but there's a person you should follow on social media called king randall he's a young black guy who's got a school for kids

00:33:16.320 they're mostly but not 100 black and he's just trying to teach kids

00:33:23.680 basic life skills now i would call that good design because probably he's becoming a role model

00:33:32.720 for people who may not you know have a dad at home or maybe if they do he's not the best role model

00:33:39.120 so they've got at least one positive role model who cares about him and teaches them useful things and

00:33:45.040 makes them confident and and he specifically teaches them not to think as victims now that would be a design

00:33:54.560 would you call that a culture well you could if you want to but i would say that king randall has

00:34:01.920 simply designed a situation that affects probably hundreds of people by now um and on paper you

00:34:13.200 would know that that would create more successful people if you asked me to look do you would his

00:34:20.000 students let's let's say people who spent more than a year with them would i expect them to have a high

00:34:26.960 violent crime rate nope nope i would not expect them to have a high violent crime rate so design you could

00:34:37.600 design a system that just simply didn't cause as much violent crime all right that's not the only variables

00:34:47.760 involved but it's a lot of them and then then you also have to ask yourself is there any correlation

00:34:57.440 between what makes somebody poor and what makes them violent because in both cases isn't there

00:35:07.200 something in common like you know the people who can't figure out how to make money

00:35:12.080 may have to resort to what they can figure out in some cases which might be violence so

00:35:21.040 does seem like uh it's not the poverty per se it's whatever caused the poverty

00:35:29.520 did you lock the front door check close the garage door yep installed window sensors smoke sensors and hd

00:35:35.120 cameras with night vision no and you set up credit card transaction alerts a secure vpn for a private

00:35:40.080 connection and continuous monitoring for our personal info on the dark web uh i'm looking into it

00:35:46.160 stress less about security choose security solutions from telus for peace of mind at home

00:35:51.040 and online visit telus.com total security to learn more conditions apply um according to dr martin mccurry

00:36:01.760 is this the fda uh so the government used to uh send out warnings to uh pharmaceutical companies doing

00:36:10.960 commercials on tv or doing ads i guess just ads and uh they used to do hundreds of notices because that's how

00:36:20.000 many times the pharma ads would be misleading hundreds of times per year and that sort of died down

00:36:27.600 until under biden it went down to zero zero times they told the pharma hey that's misinformation but

00:36:36.080 apparently uh trump administration is gonna crank that back up and you'll get a little bit more honesty

00:36:43.920 from those commercials do you remember the story about allegedly trump drew a little bawdy birthday card

00:36:52.240 for epstein and allegedly and there's a debate over whether it's really his work um had some weird

00:37:00.000 little message kind of cryptic and there was a crude drawing of just the outline of a woman's body you

00:37:07.600 know no details and his signature and uh some say the signatures you know where the pubic hair would have

00:37:16.480 been um but i don't know maybe that's just also just the place he signed it you know maybe had nothing

00:37:24.080 to do with that but um i'll give you my opinion now that i've seen it because before we were only hearing

00:37:31.760 about it but now we've seen it and my take is uh remember how i always say trump is a great writer

00:37:41.760 just one of the best writers it's just not the way he writes and i doubt there's anything about the fact

00:37:48.160 that it was you know x number of years ago that changed him from you know whatever wrote that

00:37:54.960 to the way he writes now which i often say is some of the best writing in the world like it's just

00:38:01.120 world-class writing his posts on truth and uh anything he writes basically he's an amazing amazing writer

00:38:09.040 so to imagine that the one of the best writers you've ever seen would also have been in that

00:38:16.480 context where there was quite a bit of writing on the card to imagine that he was also the worst writer

00:38:24.160 i mean it's not even close whoever wrote the card is not a good writer like not even not even a little

00:38:32.640 bit so i'm gonna get i guess uh the white house is denying that it's actually his

00:38:43.680 i'm gonna say i would back him on that you know anything's possible right anything's possible but

00:38:51.600 i think i'd back him on that it doesn't look like his i mean not even a little bit so i'll go with that

00:38:57.840 but you never know um so uh as you know by now israel uh bombed uh i guess it was five hamas leaders

00:39:14.560 who were in qatar because qatar hosts them and you know knew knew they were there and uh explicitly

00:39:24.000 allowed them to be there um even though they were you know wanted as terrorists by israel

00:39:31.360 so israel um which i don't think anybody was really expecting um bombed them because they were all in the

00:39:39.280 same place for some reason and uh trump just weighed in and he actually sort of criticized israel

00:39:48.560 a little wink wink uh actually i don't know maybe he's really bad but let me just tell you what he

00:39:55.200 said he said he was just you know notified that day and he said he did not approve of the bombing

00:40:01.920 of a sovereign nation that is our ally so he was taking qatar's side saying it was an appropriate

00:40:11.200 bombing uh bombing uh and he said he's working very hard for peace meaning with uh gaza and uh that

00:40:19.360 that bombing did not advance our or israel's goals um but then he did say that you know he's happy about

00:40:27.440 hamas leadership being eliminated that that's that's a good thing so he managed to actually

00:40:33.120 try to keep himself out of it who knows how much conversation if any happened before the attack

00:40:42.080 but he managed to make a story where we're just finding out about it and uh we don't love it

00:40:50.560 but you know at least something good came out of it you know the getting rid of the five leaders

00:40:55.840 so i guess he's trying to have it both ways to get the uh the benefit of having

00:41:03.680 let's say a little more pressure on hamas for a piece um without saying that we were part of it

00:41:10.080 so if i were to judge him on skill level pretty good pretty pretty good yeah i mean you can't

00:41:19.840 what what would he say would he say i didn't know anything about it um which is sort of what he was

00:41:26.000 saying um it's a good answer good political answer well as you know by now maybe uh the jobs numbers for

00:41:37.360 last year were off by over 900 000

00:41:40.560 nearly a million or five million um and that they were downward revised so there was a fake impression

00:41:53.440 that we were doing well under biden but in fact we were doing not so well if you count jobs you might

00:42:00.800 know that i often say um you know the economy is complicated but if jobs are good you can usually

00:42:09.360 depend on figuring out you know everything else out but if jobs are bad then you don't have much to

00:42:17.520 work with it's just a much harder deal especially if you're 36 trillion dollars in debt

00:42:23.200 so it's a big big deal that instead of being job positive we were job negative and we were lied to

00:42:32.880 i remind you that all data is fake even things i relied on on the podcast today you can't really

00:42:41.200 believe any data that's the world you live in and the sooner you realize that you can't trust any data

00:42:49.760 just any i mean you still have to make decisions so you have to sometimes act like you trust it or just

00:42:56.240 take a leap because you gotta you gotta choose yes or no so you gotta do something but no if you trust data

00:43:02.880 it's a mistake i saw a post uh next by uh chamath uh pela hapatia from the all in podcast and uh he

00:43:12.320 said uh now can we admit it uh i think he's talking about the jobs reports being uh revised is that now

00:43:20.480 can we admit it the fed is woefully ill-equipped to set monetary policy and an economy is dynamic and

00:43:26.240 complicated as the u.s in 2025 add in the reliance on useless and wrong data

00:43:32.880 and it's a recipe for disaster so he was uh separately chamatha talked about how they only meet

00:43:42.800 ever so often so that they you know it's sort of a it's almost like um horse and buggy kind of

00:43:50.800 technology uh so they have a bad process they're not very fast and their data may be completely wrong

00:44:00.000 and they may be too late so why do we pay them uh we got questions all right how many of you saw

00:44:11.120 i guess it was a senate hearing on the safety of vaccinations and they had a lawyer who must uh

00:44:18.800 looks like he has a lot of experience in that suing people over vax injury uh aaron siri s-i-r-i

00:44:28.000 that's interesting um that must be so annoying to have your last name activate digital devices all

00:44:35.040 over the world but he was really good and one of the things that he claims is that there was a study

00:44:45.840 that 10 years ago found that of unvaccinated kids 17 of them had chronic health issues but of

00:44:54.160 vaccinated children 57 of them had at least one chronic health issue now do you know why you never

00:45:02.480 saw that study it's because they had that result so his claim is that they realized whoever did the

00:45:11.200 study realized that they would all be fired or lose their job or you know never be able to be happy again

00:45:17.840 if they published that because it would be so counter to the entire medical establishment so they put it

00:45:25.760 in a drawer uh but what they found is that um within the the vaccinated group there were 262 people with

00:45:38.800 adhd in the unvaccinated group there were take a guess 262 people with adhd in the vaccinated group

00:45:50.160 now we're not talking about covid by the way sorry i probably confused you this is not about covid

00:45:55.680 it's about childhood vaccinations you know where there are as many as 70 of them the kid gets

00:46:00.480 yeah and so they were looking at i think they looked at the combination of them so you could just look at

00:46:08.000 kids who got all their vaccinations like all of them versus the ones that didn't get any and 262 of the

00:46:16.000 vaccinated ones had adhd and the number of unvaccinated people who had adhd was zero

00:46:23.840 zero

00:46:30.240 yep zero now remember all data is fake so why would you believe what you've been told so far you know

00:46:41.840 you've been told all your life vaccinations were healthy and good and they've been tested and don't

00:46:46.400 worry about it um but if you don't believe that now why would you believe the new thing

00:46:53.520 why would you think the new study is accurate well it does have that feeling of accuracy doesn't it

00:47:02.240 because there's nobody who could make money by that study and it was shut down which is exactly

00:47:09.040 what you would have expected so i'm not saying i know it's accurate because remember i don't want

00:47:16.400 to be a sucker and assume that some data is accurate and some isn't when we live in a world where

00:47:21.920 mostly it's all inaccurate but i don't know zero zero adhd in one group um i feel as though there's a very

00:47:34.160 good chance that rfk jr is going to have a reputational turnaround like nobody's business

00:47:44.880 it might be one for the ages do you realize what might be happening we might be on the verge of

00:47:54.560 finding out that that nut job rfk jr that crazy bastard who is always spreading that misinformation

00:48:04.720 we might be finding out he was right all along

00:48:08.960 maybe not about 100 you know you know there may be some nuance there that is not 100 right but that

00:48:17.840 would be true of everybody

00:48:21.360 all right um so this uh dr s-i-r-i his name i will not pronounce um he was a really good lawyer

00:48:31.360 so of course he's asked the following question by democrat senator blumenthal uh he he said uh

00:48:40.080 are you a doctor because he talks like that are you a doctor so what would you say if you're a lawyer

00:48:47.840 who specializes it sounds like has lots of experience in this domain as a lawyer but not as a doctor and

00:48:56.320 so he's going to try to impugn his expertise by saying aren't you a doctor are you a doctor and

00:49:02.560 here was his answer he goes no but i depose them regularly including the world's leading ones with

00:49:09.840 regards to vaccines and i have to make my claims based on actual evidence when i go to court with

00:49:16.240 regards to vaccines i don't get to rely on titles oh snap i don't get to rely on titles

00:49:26.320 i have to prove it with data oh oh man i'll buy that lawyer can i can i hire him he's good

00:49:36.560 you'd want him defending you or repressing your case yeah when i got it when i go to court i got

00:49:42.320 to bring actual evidence i don't get to rely on titles bam bam that's the hardest i've ever seen

00:49:49.360 anybody judo flipped on on that accusation about expertise

00:49:56.160 here's another one here's uh rfk jr again um you want to hear a good answer to a question

00:50:04.240 listen to this so kennedy is asked by somebody um if he's so concerned about you know health and

00:50:12.480 safety why isn't maha looking at firearms now my first impression was oh that's pretty good

00:50:25.520 yeah that's a pretty good you know gotcha question because he doesn't want to be working for the trump

00:50:31.600 administration and come out against guns but on the other hand you can't really claim that there's no

00:50:38.800 gun problem i mean in the sense that people are dying from from guns so you know is he

00:50:48.880 what's he do with it here's what he says he goes we had comparably the same number of guns when i was

00:50:55.280 a kid nobody was doing uh that walking into buildings and shooting strangers he meant uh we had gun clubs

00:51:02.080 at my school kids brought guns to school and were encouraged to do so and nobody was walking into

00:51:08.720 school and shooting people so then he goes and this is not happening in other countries switzerland has

00:51:15.440 a comparable number of guns as we do and the last mass shooting they had was 23 years ago we're having

00:51:21.280 mass shootings every 23 hours so there's many many things that's happening and they're happening in the

00:51:26.560 1990s that could explain these because that's when you know the the curve went up and he goes one is

00:51:33.440 the dependence on psychiatric drugs which in our country is unlike any other country in the world

00:51:40.400 wow why do you think um the u.s has you know somebody needs for psychiatric drugs i feel like some of it

00:51:52.480 might be that we're lonelier do you ever think that maybe we're just lonelier so you get more depressed

00:52:00.080 so you get more more of those drugs but wasn't a kennedy's answer genius i'd never even heard that

00:52:07.680 argument that we had a comparable number of guns but the behavior was different so we should be looking

00:52:14.880 as something besides the guns as the cause of the problem that's pretty solid pretty solid argument

00:52:24.400 i've never heard that um all right here's a here's a post from a an anonymous economist

00:52:36.240 so there's an anonymous economist on x who has a very provocative uh post

00:52:44.080 and if i can get my cat off of my notes i will read it to you now you can make up your own mind all right

00:52:52.480 this is uh he goes by the name of dr insensitive jerk

00:52:59.280 and uh he points out that uh in uh apartheid south africa uh it is unique as the only country to

00:53:07.200 have independently developed produced and then voluntarily dismantled its own

00:53:12.880 nuclear arsenal i'm not sure everybody do that i i didn't know that um and then points out

00:53:21.360 that in uh 1993 the apartheid government destroyed its six nuclear weapons just before it handed the

00:53:28.960 keys of the government over to the uh the black population and and we should he says we should all

00:53:36.240 thank them for that he says now britain and france stand where south africa stood in 1990 uh-oh

00:53:45.840 about to hand their nuclear arsenals over to the muslims who supplant them in their own lands

00:53:52.160 great britain must immediately dismantle its 225 nuclear weapons while it still can

00:53:57.520 uh likewise france has 290 and he says disarming france and britain must be a u.s foreign policy priority

00:54:06.000 to which i say you can't say that

00:54:14.800 make your own judgment obviously i don't expect this to try to do that but if we could

00:54:24.160 i would definitely want it because i do think that uh one of those two countries will be the first muslim

00:54:30.960 country with nuclear weapons and uh there is a little extra risk if your uh understanding of the

00:54:41.520 universe is based on one set of assumptions versus another so there is an extra risk there

00:54:50.160 well this is funny apparently so there's going to be a january 6th panel that's going to look into

00:54:56.800 january 6th from uh let's say from a trump friendly point of view but i guess they have to have some

00:55:04.560 democrats on the committee too or the panel and so uh jeffries hakeem jeffries the leader uh he appointed

00:55:13.120 the people he wants to work on the january 6th panel and who do you think he appointed

00:55:18.480 he appointed jasmine crockett uh and uh uh jared moskowitz and uh did he also do swalwell all right

00:55:32.880 yeah i think he also nominated eric swalwell so how much work are they going to get done with jasmine

00:55:40.000 crockett and eric swalwell i don't know the other guy but it looks like it feels like i came jeffries was

00:55:46.560 just playing a prank it's like all right how about these two

00:55:54.640 well do you remember 2020 and you remember when the january 6 insurrection hoax was raging and there

00:56:06.000 were 15 uh accused false trump electors so one of the things that the trump um lawyers tried to

00:56:16.240 set up was to set up was to get some people to be alternate electors and apparently they

00:56:24.480 got indicted and went to trial and but now a michigan judge has thrown out the case

00:56:31.680 against the 15 so-called false trump electors you know the ones that were going to send in for the

00:56:38.400 uh the electoral college people um if if a certain set of things happen so that never happened but it

00:56:47.760 was a plan that they had and the reason this is the interesting part the reason that it was thrown out

00:56:56.560 is because there was no evidence of intent

00:56:59.760 in other words the people who were involved the only intent that they could discern

00:57:07.760 was that they intended to make the process work better by maybe rescuing what looked like a problem

00:57:16.240 now don't you think that that same thing that lack of intent is going to be the the weakness for the

00:57:24.480 the whole january 6 insurrection hoax i've been saying it for a while the january 6 insurrection hoax is

00:57:31.840 sort of the the last thing that's democrats have intact that's like a real serious you know um we'll say

00:57:41.120 federal quality uh hoax and all it would take to get rid of it is any kind of reporting

00:57:50.240 that talks to the people who participated in january 6 and ask them what was their intention

00:57:57.680 and that's it and that's the end of the hoax nobody's ever done it nobody's ever asked them

00:58:03.520 well what did you think would happen like what was your intention were you trying to overthrow the

00:58:08.480 country and overthrow the election or were you trying to repair the country and make sure the election was

00:58:16.240 not overthrown by somebody else which one were you trying to do all you need is one

00:58:22.960 serious report you know it could be like a wall street journal new york post um that just talks to

00:58:29.680 people it's not even hard you could just say we talked to 25 people who attended that day and just say

00:58:38.160 well what did they say and every one of them i'm positive would say well how would it how would we

00:58:45.920 even overthrow the country anyway what are you even talking about exactly what was our plan did you think

00:58:53.120 did you think we were going to loiter around in a building and that would overthrow the united states

00:58:58.880 is that what you think we thought

00:59:03.360 and that's it you get rid of the whole hoax you only have to ask 20 people and put a big story together

00:59:13.920 all right so that's pretty big deal the fact that the uh there's no intent found in the one time

00:59:20.080 that they looked for it the people who were presumed to be part of this large conspiracy

00:59:25.280 judge said there's no evidence of intent of course not of course there was no evidence of intent

00:59:34.640 um let's see what else is happening so for reasons that are not yet clear it looks like russia attacked

00:59:43.360 poland with a number of drones so poland shot down some of them and at least one got through or a few got

00:59:51.920 through and uh when uh when uh when pudin's uh press team was asked about it they declined to comment

01:00:01.680 and they said uh you need to talk to their defense ministry so they basically instead of denying it

01:00:10.400 so russia is not denying it it looks like they attacked poland but it's not a full-scale attack

01:00:18.400 so what exactly would be the purpose was it um just to get their attention is poland doing something

01:00:28.240 that they don't like i think poland's upgrading their weapons right so maybe russia is just saying

01:00:34.640 hey you know maybe don't upgrade your weapons that much because we're not gonna like it is that

01:00:40.400 what they're doing i mean be weird all right uh trump has asked the european union to hit china and india

01:00:51.840 with tariffs of up to 100 for dealing with um russia so do you think that'll happen i don't that's not

01:01:02.160 gonna happen i don't think but it makes sense to ask you should try well apparently the california my dumb

01:01:11.680 state um the assembly passed a bill to make it illegal for the ice officers to wear masks in california

01:01:22.480 now does my government in uh in california is the only thing they do

01:01:29.440 is sit around and say all right what's the most fucked up thing we can do does anybody have an

01:01:34.880 idea for something that should be really bad we could raise their taxes and then use it to fund

01:01:41.200 ngos which our spouses all work at and then somebody would say we're already doing that bob we're already

01:01:47.840 doing that we're looking for new ideas and then yeah uh we we could make it illegal to wear a mask if

01:01:55.760 you're a nice agent uh therefore guaranteeing the terror terrorizing of your family if you're in ice

01:02:03.040 oh now you're talking good job beth

01:02:09.840 so i i saw this article in uh breitbart joel pollock was writing about it and my question was

01:02:17.440 is it legal for the state to tell ice what clothes they can wear in california

01:02:24.560 i suppose it would be legal if they decided to go naked it would be legal for california to enforce

01:02:31.920 whatever nudity rules we have in california but can they tell the ice officers what to wear

01:02:42.000 can they it seems to me like there must be some way to challenge that

01:02:47.520 a cat with my non-existent understanding of the law well i wonder if while i was talking

01:02:56.240 two of the cutest cats in the world climbed up on this

01:02:59.280 desk and yes it's true two cats better than one all right everybody that's all i had for now

01:03:10.640 uh hope you enjoyed yourself it was a lot of news a lot of news today and uh probably a lot more being

01:03:19.920 made at this moment those ufos are about ready to land we better get to mars fast all right um i'm

01:03:28.720 going to go private with the beloved subscribers to locals and in 30 seconds after i push this button

01:03:39.280 we'll be private the rest of you i hope to see you tomorrow same time same place thanks for joining

01:03:46.080 all right locals

01:03:58.720 all right

01:04:28.720 Thank you.

01:04:58.720 Thank you.

01:05:28.720 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 10, 2025

Episode 2954 CWSA 09⧸10⧸25

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