Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2963 CWSA 09⧸19⧸25

00:00:00.000 I haven't checked the stock market today.

00:00:03.620 Oh, Chesil's up, sharply.

00:00:07.820 And the regular stock market's up.

00:00:11.200 And Bitcoin's down a little bit.

00:00:13.420 Yeah, not bad.

00:00:15.920 Shall we have a show?

00:00:18.460 Will you allow me to maybe disagree with you a little bit today?

00:00:23.760 Can anybody handle that?

00:00:25.880 A little bit of disagreement.

00:00:27.340 A little bit.

00:00:28.900 All right, we'll get to that in a minute.

00:00:30.620 Got to make sure I've got your comments lovingly placed where I can see them.

00:00:41.880 By the way, if you didn't know it, see that book behind me?

00:00:48.220 No, you don't.

00:00:49.200 Do you see that book behind me?

00:00:51.420 Ah, never mind.

00:00:54.680 It's too hard to show it to you.

00:00:56.140 I happen to be blocking it.

00:00:57.220 Hold on.

00:00:57.940 Hold on.

00:00:58.500 I'm going to move it a little bit.

00:01:07.120 All right.

00:01:09.380 All right.

00:01:10.100 Now you can sort of see it over my shoulder.

00:01:13.120 That's right.

00:01:13.780 Loser Think.

00:01:14.540 The book is reissued after being canceled for a few years.

00:01:18.580 People really like that book, Loser Think, because it teaches you how to not make simple and obvious reasoning mistakes.

00:01:31.020 It's the worst title for a book ever, but it's a really good book.

00:01:37.240 It will make you smarter, guaranteed.

00:01:40.200 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:01:51.280 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

00:01:55.820 But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,

00:02:04.820 All you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tanker chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:02:14.060 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:02:15.560 I like coffee.

00:02:18.520 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure that dopamine is a day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:02:24.420 It's called the Simultaneous Sip.

00:02:26.200 It happens now.

00:02:28.500 Go.

00:02:28.760 Go.

00:02:35.680 Well, if there's anybody who didn't know that I've done the Dilbert cartoon continuously for, I don't know,

00:02:44.960 since 1989, that's a lot of comics.

00:02:49.500 But I still do it every day for people who subscribe.

00:02:56.020 You have to be on Locals or on X, and you can get it.

00:03:00.880 All right.

00:03:02.180 According to the Wall Street Journal, Americans are having a record low amount of sex, even less than during the pandemic.

00:03:10.840 Even less.

00:03:12.220 Why do you think that is?

00:03:13.600 Well, I think it's because people are less attractive to each other.

00:03:20.480 That's it.

00:03:21.840 That's the whole story.

00:03:23.180 You've seen the whole pictures of what humans look like in, let's say, the 50s.

00:03:28.980 There'd be pictures of old pictures in New York City of people just walking around the street.

00:03:34.320 And every one of them was seemingly young enough to have sex.

00:03:40.620 So, first of all, there's an age problem.

00:03:42.760 They were younger then.

00:03:44.100 But they were all thin and well-dressed.

00:03:48.380 And people were not that different, whether you think that's good or not.

00:03:54.540 You know, there was less diversity.

00:03:56.140 So, if you met somebody, there was more likely you had something in common.

00:04:00.840 But my suggestion is that you have sex during my podcast. 0.75

00:04:08.040 If you can work it out.

00:04:10.480 Because if you did, I mean, imagine that.

00:04:14.220 You remember on Seinfeld when George tried to combine his favorite things and tried to eat a sandwich while he was having sex because he liked those two things really well?

00:04:24.400 Well, if you combine this podcast with wild sex, oh, my God, it might be just so good you can't even stand it.

00:04:34.880 But, no, don't do that.

00:04:37.080 That's the worst idea ever.

00:04:38.860 No, don't do that.

00:04:40.360 All right.

00:04:40.660 There's a new study, according to Psychology Today, that says that having a growth mindset or the intervention trying to teach people to have a growth mindset doesn't help their academic performance.

00:04:54.300 Now, I'll tell you what, well, let me explain what a growth mindset is.

00:05:01.360 The growth mindset is if they work hard and do the right things, they will do better in school so that they can raise their grades through a growth mindset.

00:05:12.460 That didn't make any difference.

00:05:14.220 But I'll tell you what will make you seemingly smarter, a skill stack, which I talk about too much.

00:05:22.300 If you intelligently combine a little bit of knowledge in the right kind of fields where that knowledge fits together really well, you will be effectively smarter.

00:05:33.520 It's not really going to help you with your spelling and your math and your school stuff.

00:05:38.000 But in the real world, if you knew AI plus you knew whatever it was that was your job, obviously you're going to be smarter just in the sense that you know more stuff that's useful than other people.

00:05:54.500 So, skill stack for the win.

00:05:57.180 Works every time.

00:05:58.400 Apparently, Marcus Zuckerberg was yesterday, tried to do a presentation of the new metaglasses where you've got all kinds of capabilities, but they come in glasses.

00:06:12.840 And I guess the rollout was kind of awkward and didn't work too well and had long outages.

00:06:22.740 And it was called a poor showing.

00:06:27.420 Now, that probably doesn't have much to do with how good the product is.

00:06:31.160 It's just the way the world works.

00:06:32.760 When you do a demo, everything breaks.

00:06:35.540 I got to say, I'm a little bit more curious about these metaglasses than I have been about other things.

00:06:45.080 So, if I can get a pair that are per subscription, I know, now you're just looking at the cat that's over my shoulder that's looking at my book.

00:06:58.580 The book is called Loser Think.

00:07:01.100 And even the cat loves it.

00:07:03.060 I mean, look at how much that cat loves that book.

00:07:06.580 I mean, if a cat loves it that much, how much are you going to love it as a human?

00:07:11.360 Way more.

00:07:12.260 Way more.

00:07:13.600 All right.

00:07:13.980 Best marketing I've ever done.

00:07:16.940 Okay.

00:07:17.340 We just want to watch the cat now, don't we?

00:07:21.800 If you're only listening to this, I apologize.

00:07:24.620 But there's something very funny happening right over my right shoulder.

00:07:34.000 That is kind of funny.

00:07:35.360 All right.

00:07:35.820 Never mind about that.

00:07:36.920 But there's, according to Nature, not Nature the phenomenon, but Nature the publication, AI is going to maybe help animals speak or at least help us understand what they're saying.

00:07:53.860 So, but there's a story about these Bonobo monkeys deep in the jungle who were discovered to be putting, I'll say words together in the sentences.

00:08:06.940 But usually it was just like a grunt and a squeak or something like that.

00:08:10.920 But if you put them together differently, apparently the other monkeys knew what you're talking about.

00:08:16.320 So, I think you have the same feeling about this that I do.

00:08:21.800 Teaching monkeys to talk.

00:08:24.400 What could go wrong?

00:08:27.400 Nothing comes to mind.

00:08:29.440 Feels like that's a clear path.

00:08:31.920 Yeah.

00:08:32.200 Monkeys learning to talk.

00:08:34.300 Yeah.

00:08:34.720 No problem.

00:08:35.400 So, all right.

00:08:38.580 According to Phys.org, people who are conservative politically are more likely to believe in health disinformation.

00:08:48.520 Do you believe that?

00:08:50.560 Do you believe that conservative people are more likely to buy into disinformation about health care?

00:08:59.320 About health techniques, I guess.

00:09:02.160 Does that sound right?

00:09:03.740 What's the first question you would ask about this study?

00:09:08.680 If you were a skeptical kind of a person who had listened to my podcast a few times, what skepticism might you bring to this?

00:09:19.000 Well, here's where I'd start.

00:09:22.320 Who the fuck knows what is the right answer for health care?

00:09:26.160 Have you been alive in the whole world?

00:09:28.840 Have you noticed anything in the last 10 fucking years? 0.70

00:09:31.920 Nobody knows what is healthy.

00:09:34.240 Nobody knows what to eat.

00:09:35.600 Nobody knows what vaccination is good for you.

00:09:38.440 I'll talk about that.

00:09:39.540 There's different recommendations coming out of RFK Jr.'s group.

00:09:43.280 How in the world can you judge people on medical disinformation?

00:09:51.100 You can't.

00:09:53.160 Because it would require that there's somebody who knows what's right.

00:09:57.660 If there's somebody who knows what's right, why have they been so quiet lately?

00:10:01.340 Maybe they could have helped us out a little bit during the pandemic.

00:10:05.560 Maybe RFK Jr. didn't need to do a big study about the health benefits of vaccinations.

00:10:12.100 Maybe they could have just asked these people who did this study.

00:10:15.620 Say they seem to know what's true and what's not, which is magic.

00:10:19.760 All right.

00:10:21.940 I think I made my point.

00:10:22.920 Did you lock the front door?

00:10:28.120 Check.

00:10:28.660 Close the garage door?

00:10:29.840 Yep.

00:10:30.320 Installed window sensors, smoke sensors, and HD cameras with night vision?

00:10:33.820 No.

00:10:34.620 And you set up credit card transaction alerts, a secure VPN for a private connection,

00:10:38.120 and continuous monitoring for our personal info on the dark web?

00:10:41.140 Uh, I'm looking into it?

00:10:43.640 Stress less about security.

00:10:45.400 Choose security solutions from Telus for peace of mind at home and online.

00:10:49.260 Visit telus.com slash total security to learn more.

00:10:52.800 Conditions apply.

00:10:55.540 Uh, speaking of that, the CDC panel, which is, uh, only recently installed, uh,

00:11:02.060 to be least compatible with RFK Jr.'s way of thinking.

00:11:06.080 So, uh, the, uh, panel has voted to push back the MMRV vaccine to four years old,

00:11:15.200 meaning that, uh, um, it wouldn't be, let's see, what would they call it?

00:11:21.440 Not approved, recommended.

00:11:23.280 It wouldn't be recommended by the government until they're at least four years old.

00:11:29.340 Um, so the MMRV, is that the one that's got several things in it?

00:11:34.740 Uh, that's the one that's got, uh, two, two, two, measles, mumps, rubella, 0.96

00:11:40.040 uh, veratela, I guess that's chicken box.

00:11:44.200 And when they're all together, it's there.

00:11:46.380 Now, one of the counter-arguments, uh, and I think they're also talking about not giving

00:11:51.740 all of them at the same time, because it might be a, the thought is it might be a big load

00:11:57.040 for a little kid.

00:11:58.760 But the counter-argument is if you say it's two shots or four shots instead of one,

00:12:05.020 one, the odds of getting people to go back more than once and get, you know, the full

00:12:10.220 compliment, a lot lower.

00:12:13.900 You know, uh, people are just less likely to do something four times than one time.

00:12:19.620 Um, so they'll have to, uh, they'll have to do some rigorous testing to see if any of the

00:12:25.500 changes make a improvement or make things worse.

00:12:28.640 And I hate the fact that we have to experiment with four-year-olds because there's no other

00:12:34.180 real way to do it.

00:12:35.900 You just have to kind of experiment with them, say, well, I think, I think it's better if we

00:12:41.920 wait, but we'll find out.

00:12:46.140 All I have to say about that is obviously I don't know what's right and what's not.

00:12:50.800 Uh, but, uh, as long as RFK Jr. shows his work and they really show it, I mean, they

00:12:59.260 really, really make everything that they use to make a decision available to us.

00:13:05.200 Well, of course, we'll all disagree on the interpretation of that same information as

00:13:09.940 we do, but I think the best you can do is fight it out in public.

00:13:14.520 I don't think you could beat that as a model for how you can at least get close to the truth.

00:13:20.080 You know, if a lot of people weigh in and smart people who wouldn't have otherwise been involved

00:13:25.680 can get involved, uh, you know, even just as the public, that can make a big difference.

00:13:33.440 All right.

00:13:35.020 New York Post is reporting that, uh, the ex-Biden chief, his name was Jeff Zeitz, told Congress,

00:13:45.320 I guess, that, uh, Biden forgot names, dates, even simple decisions.

00:13:50.820 Okay.

00:13:51.340 I do that.

00:13:54.060 How many of you have ever forgotten a name?

00:13:59.420 How many of you have ever forgotten a date?

00:14:01.820 How many of you have ever forgotten that you had made a decision already about something?

00:14:15.920 I hate hearing that those things are signs that you have dementia and you should be removed

00:14:21.140 from the field.

00:14:21.820 I do every one of those things and have since I was born, I think.

00:14:28.080 Oh man, I have way more dementia than I imagined.

00:14:31.360 Jeff Zeitz.

00:14:32.580 And you know, if you want to know, um, something about healthcare,

00:14:36.740 you should ask Jeff Zeitz.

00:14:39.660 Because nobody else knows what works.

00:14:42.940 All right.

00:14:43.400 Um, anyway, so he forgot a bunch of stuff and he said that, uh, Biden had the mental

00:14:49.580 freezes that were unprecedented.

00:14:52.220 All right.

00:14:52.820 So let's, let's take this as Democrats finally, not finally, but he's, you know, one of several

00:14:59.520 now who have sort of confessed that Biden wasn't all there and that they were completely aware

00:15:05.880 of it.

00:15:06.520 Now, what's interesting about this story is nothing about Biden and nothing about Jeff Zeitz

00:15:12.440 or what he did or did not know.

00:15:14.300 What's interesting to me is that it takes at least one year, at least minimum of one

00:15:20.960 year for a Democrat hoax to be confessed.

00:15:26.320 They wait one year, right?

00:15:28.020 Sometimes it's more.

00:15:29.660 I think the fine people who have a hoax took several, uh, and the Russia collusion hoax took

00:15:35.140 several, but one is the minimum.

00:15:37.680 It's, it's at least one year.

00:15:39.660 And I will say once again, that there is no comparison to the fact that the Democrat

00:15:48.380 party is a hoax and essentially criminal enterprise.

00:15:53.920 It's hoaxes that create this situation and allows them to steal massive amounts of money.

00:16:00.100 Not every one of them, maybe close, but probably not every one of them.

00:16:06.520 But, uh, but I do think most, I do think most members of government Democrats are criminal.

00:16:15.560 That's what I believe.

00:16:17.120 Now that's based on observation.

00:16:19.080 It's not based on a deep study or anything.

00:16:22.220 But if you ask me my opinion, I would say a really solid majority of every elected Democrat

00:16:30.120 is a criminal. 0.64

00:16:32.540 I mean, like a real, real criminal as in taking bribes, as in laundering money, as in selling,

00:16:39.920 selling their support for stuff.

00:16:42.380 Probably, if I had to guess, 70% minimum are just flat out criminals.

00:16:48.960 Now, of course, of course, there are Republicans who are all flat out criminals, but I don't

00:16:57.540 think it's 70%.

00:16:59.060 You know, I feel like it's 30%, but it does feel like there's a big difference.

00:17:05.920 That's just how I feel.

00:17:07.380 So I want to be very clear that that's not based on data.

00:17:10.720 Uh, it's based on just watching the news and it just looks like Democrats get into the

00:17:15.760 job for the theft.

00:17:18.040 It doesn't even look like they're there for the right reason.

00:17:22.540 Um, apparently the president is telling us there's going to be a budget vote, uh, maybe

00:17:30.800 today, today or tomorrow, in which it'll be about, uh, what's he say?

00:17:36.660 Today, the House Republicans are going to take an important vote to pass a clean temporary

00:17:41.260 funding bill.

00:17:43.100 You know what that is?

00:17:44.640 A clean temporary funding bill.

00:17:47.200 You know what the other name for that is?

00:17:50.080 Complete failure.

00:17:52.360 That is what that is.

00:17:54.160 If you're doing another kick the can down the road, I've complained about it enough on

00:17:58.760 all the prior ones, so I probably don't need to add that much.

00:18:02.600 No, this is a complete failure of government.

00:18:04.880 Now, now it's hard to say whose failure it is because it takes all of them acting the

00:18:10.880 way they act so that they can't make decisions.

00:18:13.440 So it's not like it's one side in this particular case.

00:18:16.800 It's really a design problem.

00:18:19.300 The system is designed so they can't work.

00:18:22.520 They just can't.

00:18:23.620 They don't have the ability to reduce spending, which is the only way we'll survive as far as

00:18:30.360 I can tell.

00:18:31.540 There might be some other clever tricks coming.

00:18:33.780 I don't know.

00:18:34.220 I'm not aware of what they would be.

00:18:37.260 But no, just say, I want to say it as clearly as possible.

00:18:40.820 Total and complete failure of government.

00:18:44.160 Every temporary funding bill is complete collapse of capability from everybody, collectively.

00:18:53.040 Individually, you might say, well, but this member is good and I like Thomas Massey.

00:18:57.820 It doesn't matter.

00:18:58.460 They can't, they can't control anything.

00:19:01.500 So, yeah, absolutely disappointing, disgusting, despicable, irredeemable, bordering on criminal,

00:19:12.380 not criminal, but bordering on it.

00:19:14.220 And I cannot have any respect for the Congress that acts that way.

00:19:20.100 None.

00:19:21.100 None.

00:19:22.580 Zero respect.

00:19:24.320 I have zero respect.

00:19:25.780 All right.

00:19:27.740 All right.

00:19:28.780 Trump is going to apparently dedicate $500 million to historically black colleges.

00:19:36.380 And the source of that, he says, would be from cutting the Department of Education funds.

00:19:44.420 So, in other words, Trump has decided to do something super racist.

00:19:49.400 Now, he's done that funding before for the historically black colleges.

00:19:54.200 And I would say this, I would agree that historically, having historically black colleges where black students have a place they can go that, you know, is really comfortable and makes sense, right?

00:20:12.160 I like that, historically.

00:20:14.020 But, would you agree with the following statement?

00:20:18.840 You have to wind it down eventually.

00:20:21.840 Otherwise, it turns into the opposite of its thing.

00:20:25.340 The original thing was, wait a minute, white people have everything. 0.96

00:20:29.520 Let's make sure that black people are, you know, getting a real serious, you know, bite out of the big apple, if so do you will. 1.00

00:20:36.920 And so, you create a way that, at least, the best and the brightest, which makes the biggest difference, because they're the ones who could be hiring and educating the next generation and everything else.

00:20:49.100 So, it made sense to me.

00:20:51.360 And I've often thought of it as a form of reparations.

00:20:55.440 So, when somebody says, how about reparations?

00:20:57.660 I think we already have historically black colleges.

00:21:03.080 That's a heck of a good reparation.

00:21:05.000 So, I would say it's racist, obviously.

00:21:10.660 It's just completely racist in 2025.

00:21:13.940 But, it's probably not yet time to wind it down.

00:21:19.720 Might be a little early.

00:21:21.460 But, would you agree that the long arc of history is that you have to get rid of, I'm giving my money to black people. 1.00

00:21:30.900 Just like you have to get rid of, I'm giving my money to Asian people. 1.00

00:21:35.240 I'm giving my money to Albanians. 1.00

00:21:37.720 I'm giving my money to white people. 0.98

00:21:39.960 It's all the same.

00:21:41.480 It's just racist.

00:21:42.560 So, once the historical reason for it dissipates over time, and it will, yeah, it's just racist.

00:21:53.780 But, you know, you could argue that we're on the border of that right now.

00:21:57.140 Well, Turning Point USA, Charlie Kirk's old organization, had, what, 2,100, what were they called, chapters.

00:22:12.600 And, now they have, as of today, I think 62,000 requests from high school and college students nationwide to start a chapter or get involved.

00:22:23.560 62,000 people.

00:22:26.420 Now, that doesn't mean there would be that many chapters.

00:22:28.520 It could be, you know, one school had lots of people who asked, you know, so it might be just one location that might turn into something.

00:22:37.580 But, we're talking about tens of thousands.

00:22:40.040 That's amazing.

00:22:45.040 If that's a real number, and people don't lose interest and they follow through and stuff, that should be the biggest change in the country politically.

00:22:57.960 Would you agree?

00:22:58.720 I feel like it would be the biggest change in the country.

00:23:02.980 So, we'll see.

00:23:05.720 Simons celebrates freedom of expression with a daily ritual of getting dressed.

00:23:11.500 Fashion's power lies in its endless possibilities.

00:23:15.540 Each garment is an invitation to get creative, be unique, and show the world exactly who you are, as you are.

00:23:23.800 Be true.

00:23:24.880 Be authentic.

00:23:25.960 Be unapologetically you.

00:23:27.800 Express yourself at Simons.

00:23:32.120 All right.

00:23:33.220 We have to talk about Jimmy freaking Kimmel because that's the big story.

00:23:38.360 So, yeah, why not?

00:23:40.200 I'll start with a correction.

00:23:43.360 You were nice enough to correct me from a mistake I made yesterday in which I saw somebody else characterizing what he said,

00:23:52.740 and I used their characterization of it, and it was just wrong.

00:23:56.000 I mistakenly believed that he did not directly say that MAGA was, that the shooter was MAGA.

00:24:05.980 I thought, incorrectly, that he'd said something more along the lines of it, you know, anything's possible or it could be or something like that, but he said it directly.

00:24:16.100 And it didn't appear to be anything like a joke.

00:24:20.560 It looked like just a statement of what he believed is true.

00:24:24.460 Now, here's the thing.

00:24:26.400 Are you so sure he was lying?

00:24:29.380 Because that's something that people on the left believed was true at about that time.

00:24:36.800 Now, I would agree he would have been one of the last to figure out that that had been debunked, but you don't think that there's a strong enough bubble of just not having access to any alternative views.

00:24:51.820 You don't think the bubble was strong enough that by the time Kimmel walked out there, he thought that was true.

00:24:58.620 Now, I believe he would have been going off the fact that the family was very conservative, so that certainly would ramp up the odds that the children were conservative.

00:25:08.560 It's probably, I don't know, I'd guess 80% likelihood that if the entire family and the entire community is strongly conservative, that would be a real strong indication that anybody who came out of that environment was, but 20% chance he wasn't.

00:25:27.280 And, of course, there's plenty of evidence now that he was left-leaning.

00:25:31.920 But he came from that family, and there were some early reports, which I believe have been debunked, you can tell me, that some of the writings alleged, writing on the shell casings, were somehow evocative of Groyper stuff.

00:25:53.640 That would be Nick Fuente's followers are called Groypers. 0.54

00:25:56.860 Now, if any of those things were true, that would look sort of MAGA-leading.

00:26:04.400 But now we know that there's more evidence that he was part of a far-left, trans-related, gay, furry situation, like literally gay, furry video game culture and stuff like that.

00:26:19.100 So I don't think there's really my own view, and, of course, we can be fooled by anything at this point.

00:26:26.160 It's still a little fog of war.

00:26:28.460 But my own view is there's no question that it was a left-leaning person who did the act, or persons, maybe more than one.

00:26:37.120 But is it possible that Kimmel did not know that when he went on stage, and his writers didn't know it, and his producers didn't know it?

00:26:47.440 Yeah.

00:26:48.020 Yeah, that's totally possible.

00:26:49.480 I would say most likely.

00:26:51.980 Because I don't think that Kimmel would have imagined he had some advantage in walking out there and saying something that was so debunked that he would just be mocked for it in 24 hours.

00:27:04.020 Like, why would you tell that lie?

00:27:05.520 Anyway, that's not a lie you would take.

00:27:07.940 Even if you're the most partisan person in the world, you wouldn't tell that lie.

00:27:12.960 That wouldn't make any sense.

00:27:14.400 You would just be proven wrong and no time at all, and you just look like an idiot.

00:27:19.200 So I think if you're looking at did he lie or did he think it was true at the time, he definitely thought it was true at the time.

00:27:27.580 Now, is that as bad a crime as lying?

00:27:33.380 No, it's not as bad a crime as lying.

00:27:36.440 You have to kind of allow that people could be wrong and, you know, maybe they can apologize.

00:27:41.080 Did he get a choice?

00:27:43.640 I don't know if he would, actually.

00:27:45.020 This is interesting.

00:27:45.780 If he had been given the option of apologizing, would he have said, oh, okay, now I'm better informed.

00:27:53.180 That was incorrect.

00:27:55.120 Or would he go out there and act like he was sure it was true what he said the first time?

00:28:01.780 Well, we don't know exactly, but I feel like by then he would be well informed, you know, people would make sure that he followed up on the details and that he would have been right.

00:28:15.380 He would still, you know, have the same anti-Trump, maybe anti-Kirk stuff.

00:28:20.980 But anyway, that doesn't help the fact that, you know, what he did was widely disliked by a lot of the country.

00:28:31.960 So let's talk about a few things.

00:28:33.900 Apparently, by the way, we'll talk about Jimmy, but did you know that the FCC, when it grants these licenses to the big networks so that they can have a portion of the airwaves, the ABC, NBC, CBS, they have to agree to something called equal access in a political sense.

00:28:57.000 So if, let's say, The View led a bunch of only Democrats on the show for a year and no Republicans, that would be violating the terms of their license because they're not allowed to just, you know, bias everything in one direction.

00:29:15.120 That is the opposite of a public good because it's a limited good.

00:29:20.140 Now, I think some of these rules are on the border of obsolescence because now that you have the Internet, you know, I don't even know how people get their news from the airwaves, but the airwaves are not what they used to be.

00:29:34.560 I mean, when there were really only three of them and they controlled all the news, you really, really had to make sure that they let people from both sides on the air.

00:29:43.760 But what happens when it's just a minor part of how people get news and they have other options on cable, so if they want to watch Fox, they can, and if they want to watch ABC, they can.

00:29:57.000 So they got lots of choices.

00:29:58.440 That's not what it was like when the rule was first made.

00:30:02.140 It made a lot of sense when they first made the rule.

00:30:06.280 Does it make sense now?

00:30:09.080 Marginally, a little bit.

00:30:10.660 But it's not the thing it was, right?

00:30:14.060 So I'm not surprised that it wasn't really being used much.

00:30:20.340 But anyway, Brendan Carriott of the FCC reminds us that The View has been violating FCC rules by having only guests that were Democrats.

00:30:30.440 I believe they had zero right-leaning guests for a long time, years, I think.

00:30:36.460 Now, that means that The View will be in the crosshairs.

00:30:43.020 So what do you think The View did when it came back from their break or whatever?

00:30:48.320 I don't know if it was a break.

00:30:50.320 No, I guess they were already back.

00:30:51.980 But what do you think they said about the Jimmy Kimmel situation?

00:30:55.440 Since that was their own network, that was ABC.

00:30:58.260 They're on ABC.

00:30:59.840 Do you think they went after the people who canceled it?

00:31:03.400 No, actually, they acted like it didn't exist.

00:31:05.540 They just skipped the whole thing.

00:31:08.500 That will tell you where ABC's mind is at.

00:31:12.940 Maybe we should just skip the most interesting, biggest story in the whole country, even though our whole thing is talking about the big stuff in the country.

00:31:24.080 So that happened.

00:31:25.480 But Brendan Carr's sort of implied or more than implied threat is that you would look into The View.

00:31:33.440 And if you're ABC and you hear that the FCC is thinking about looking into you for this, first thing you're going to do is change how you act, just in case that's enough.

00:31:44.340 Like, okay, we'd rather they don't dig back into the last several years to see what we're doing.

00:31:49.900 How about we just start acting nice now?

00:31:52.560 Would you accept that?

00:31:53.780 How about if we do it now?

00:31:55.840 So that's what ABC did cleverly.

00:31:58.260 Well, I saw a lot of people say that, Scott, this was no political act.

00:32:08.900 Maybe ABC is pretending it is.

00:32:11.820 Maybe people are talking about it that way.

00:32:14.060 But no, Scott, this is a corporation who is losing money on the Jimmy Kimmel show.

00:32:20.040 And they took this opportunity to get rid of it.

00:32:24.660 Well, I would say the following.

00:32:26.460 I don't know that they've gotten rid of anything.

00:32:28.880 I'm pretty sure they're still paying them and probably still paying everybody else because I don't think that they've decided that they'll get rid of them.

00:32:39.600 They might.

00:32:40.820 Pretty good chance.

00:32:43.000 But no, they haven't saved any money.

00:32:46.020 And I don't know that they will.

00:32:48.100 Don't know that they will.

00:32:49.040 But I did go to Grok and asked it, hey, is Jimmy Kimmel live?

00:32:55.420 His TV show, is it losing money or making money?

00:32:59.300 Well, it's not public information.

00:33:03.020 But the smart people, the industry analysts, believe that it's probably losing $10 million to $20 million annually.

00:33:10.820 And that would be based on the long-term trend of reduced viewership.

00:33:15.040 The viewership, you know, what they know about ad revenue, et cetera.

00:33:20.420 Now, remember, that's only the industry experts.

00:33:23.420 That's not ABC confirming that.

00:33:26.000 But I feel like if the other shows are probably losing tens of millions, they're basically all the same shows.

00:33:34.380 And I believe that his was the lowest rated of all of them.

00:33:39.360 So, is it likely that they were losing money?

00:33:43.500 Yeah.

00:33:44.480 Yeah.

00:33:44.920 It's pretty darn likely they were losing money.

00:33:47.580 All right.

00:33:47.880 Let's come to a decision about whether this is a question of free speech or was it just a business decision?

00:33:57.680 Did you know?

00:33:59.420 There's a good background.

00:34:01.360 There's Christopher Rufo tells us on X.

00:34:04.080 I didn't know this.

00:34:04.820 I just found that this morning.

00:34:06.540 Did you know?

00:34:07.420 I'll just read Christopher's post.

00:34:10.580 He says, sorry, but the FCC was established by FDR to impose public standards on broadcasters and used by JFK to pressure station managers into dropping right-wing radio programs.

00:34:26.960 The shoe has been on the other foot for almost 100 years.

00:34:30.720 Turnabout is fair play.

00:34:32.900 Now, here's the meat of his opinion.

00:34:35.120 I didn't know that about JFK.

00:34:37.420 He said, what did he say?

00:34:44.500 The only way to get a good equilibrium, meaning between the left and the right, is an effective strategy of tit for tat, strategic tit for tat.

00:34:55.520 So, Christopher Rufo thinks that, you know, softening up would be a mistake, if I'm characterizing him correctly.

00:35:03.100 And that, you know, once the Republicans have this power, they should use it.

00:35:10.460 Because if the other side had the power, they would use it.

00:35:13.660 And they did.

00:35:14.320 So, if they would use it, and they did, why wouldn't you use it?

00:35:20.600 Why wouldn't you use the power?

00:35:22.340 Well, the reason to not use it would be if it looked like a clear violation of free speech.

00:35:31.320 But is it a clear violation?

00:35:36.180 Well, here's where it gets fun.

00:35:37.900 So, Trump has weighed in and said his opinion is the FCC probably should do something about Jimmy Kimmel.

00:35:51.100 But he says, you know, the FCC makes their own decisions.

00:35:54.820 And sure enough, on paper, the FCC is an independent group.

00:35:59.780 So, if the FCC puts pressure, does that mean that Trump put pressure?

00:36:08.520 Suppose the FCC has no conversations with the White House, but they know exactly what the White House would want.

00:36:17.320 And by majority and also their leader, they're a Republican entity at the moment.

00:36:22.980 Because the president gets to appoint, and I think Trump has appointed to make sure that there's a Republican majority and Republican leadership.

00:36:34.280 Do you think that they need to check with the White House?

00:36:37.780 Well, no.

00:36:38.400 Even you and I would know what the White House wanted.

00:36:42.360 Do you think there's anybody in the FCC who thinks that Trump wants a little bit more Jimmy Kimmel?

00:36:48.580 No, of course not.

00:36:49.460 Now, that doesn't mean the FCC is, you know, his lapdog and doing whatever he wants.

00:36:54.400 But these are somewhat, you know, obvious things that they should be looking into.

00:37:01.080 You know, if the view is a top show and they haven't had a single Republican for years, is that not fair for the FCC to look into that?

00:37:10.740 Now, maybe, after the result of looking into it, they might say, okay, these rules are obsolete in the world of Internet.

00:37:20.240 You know, these networks just don't have that much power anymore.

00:37:23.360 Or maybe we're almost there.

00:37:25.020 Maybe you could say, 10 years we phased it out.

00:37:28.340 I'd be in favor of that, probably.

00:37:31.400 But yeah, it's absolutely fair that they look into it.

00:37:34.640 Is it fair that they looked into Jimmy Kimmel's statement?

00:37:38.780 Well, yes, because their mission is literally called public interest.

00:37:45.060 And what Jimmy Kimmel said generated a lot of public interest.

00:37:51.100 Again, I'm using interest in a slightly different sense in two sentences.

00:37:55.720 But yeah, if there's something big that comes up and the country really cares about it,

00:38:01.440 and half the country, you know, just pick a number, a third of the country,

00:38:05.580 thinks that somebody did something on one of the licensed airwaves that was not in the favor of the public.

00:38:13.600 And that's what people said.

00:38:15.480 You're on the licensed airwaves, and you did something that absolutely is unacceptable.

00:38:21.720 Said a lot of people.

00:38:22.600 Yeah, that's the FCC's job.

00:38:27.180 They don't need to check with the White House if it's the biggest story in the country,

00:38:31.660 and it's right in the middle of their, you know, it's in their sweet spot.

00:38:35.960 It's not like a stretch.

00:38:37.940 It's exactly what they should be working on.

00:38:40.300 And the FCC doesn't have the authority to, like, do whatever they want.

00:38:45.120 You know, their job is pretty narrowly constrained, and I think they stay there.

00:38:53.580 However, so, now that you know that it was almost certainly losing money,

00:39:02.700 do you think that that was a business decision, or was there some pressure there?

00:39:09.260 Well, I'm pretty sure they weren't going to fire him on their own right away.

00:39:14.180 Apparently, there's some indirect benefits they might get from having the show.

00:39:19.620 I don't know, maybe clips they can put on the Internet or something.

00:39:23.520 But, you know, it's not a 100% story that they're just losing money.

00:39:28.200 Obviously, they kept it on to this point, and if they were losing money up to this point,

00:39:33.700 you have to question how much of a business decision it was.

00:39:37.560 It wasn't like they were doing some thing to make them profitable.

00:39:41.240 I didn't see any change.

00:39:44.180 So, was that a business decision?

00:39:49.520 Whoops.

00:39:50.940 Maybe it was a business decision, or partially a business decision,

00:39:55.740 or was it a business decision?

00:39:58.480 Why am I slurring?

00:39:59.380 Or was it more of a business opportunity?

00:40:05.040 As in, well, we didn't see this coming, and we don't like any bit of it.

00:40:09.200 But now that we're here, why waste a crisis?

00:40:14.660 We kind of wanted to cut our expenses.

00:40:17.660 Now, like I said, I don't believe any expenses are cut.

00:40:20.640 Not yet.

00:40:21.440 And there's no compelling evidence that they ever will cut them.

00:40:26.440 But certainly they could say, well, pretty soon we'll cut these as soon as the temperature goes down a little bit.

00:40:36.120 So, maybe.

00:40:37.400 But suppose the FCC was putting pressure on them primarily for political reasons.

00:40:48.280 And how would you know what they were thinking?

00:40:52.960 Because I'd be okay if they sort of continue the recent trend of not really getting in the faces of these TV shows.

00:41:03.440 Sort of just letting them do what they want.

00:41:05.160 I'd be okay with that.

00:41:05.920 I mean, I was okay with it up until now.

00:41:08.940 It didn't bother me until now.

00:41:10.940 I didn't like those shows.

00:41:13.000 But I thought it was, you know, part of the competitive landscape, and I wasn't too worried about it.

00:41:22.200 So, but what if the FCC decides to get involved?

00:41:26.560 Is that automatically political?

00:41:30.620 Because they're not typically involved lately with TV shows?

00:41:35.920 I would say gray area.

00:41:39.380 Gray area.

00:41:41.020 There's definitely fear from the networks that if they go the wrong way with the administration,

00:41:47.840 they'll have hell to pay later when they need to get something approved.

00:41:51.740 That's real.

00:41:53.220 But we don't know what people are thinking.

00:41:55.980 And it all depends on that.

00:41:57.760 If ABC, CBS, NBC were thinking, oh, we're not even worried about that at all.

00:42:02.960 Well, then it would not be pressure.

00:42:05.920 But we don't know what they're thinking.

00:42:07.660 We don't know what pressure they're under.

00:42:09.560 And we don't know if that pressure is legitimate, as in they're worried about something that's real.

00:42:15.740 I would say that the Trump administration is in the mode right now of whenever they have the power to get something they want,

00:42:22.920 they go for it every time.

00:42:24.740 It feels like that's sort of what's happening right now.

00:42:28.700 If we can do it, oh, we're going to do it.

00:42:32.020 So to me, it's too close to something that looks like implied coercion for me to be okay with it.

00:42:43.180 So I call it a gray area of freedom of speech.

00:42:48.340 How many would say that?

00:42:50.200 How many would say, yeah, there definitely might be just a business reason?

00:42:55.700 But there's no way that they're ignoring the fact that the administration would want to clobber them if they didn't do this.

00:43:03.640 Do you think they're just ignoring that?

00:43:05.240 Like that wasn't one of the variables?

00:43:07.360 All it has to be is one of the variables.

00:43:10.000 It doesn't have to be the only variable.

00:43:12.000 It could be that 90% of the variable was they just wanted to save money and they got sort of an opportunity to do it.

00:43:19.760 But what if 10% of their thinking, if you ask them, they'd say, well, honestly, 10% of my thinking was that the government's scaring me.

00:43:29.540 You know, they're threatening me a little bit.

00:43:31.480 Would that be tamping down on freedom of speech?

00:43:36.980 I don't know.

00:43:38.560 But I definitely know it's a gray area.

00:43:42.000 So here's my rule.

00:43:43.720 If it's a gray area about free speech, I always go with free speech.

00:43:51.360 I don't recognize gray areas on free speech.

00:43:55.320 If there's something that's impinging on free speech, it might, we think it is, it could, there's an argument that it did, anything like that.

00:44:05.840 If that's a gray area, I'm biased toward allowing the speech.

00:44:12.000 So there are a lot of things going on here at the same time.

00:44:16.660 So I don't recognize the, it was just business argument.

00:44:20.820 That's a poor argument.

00:44:22.380 Because it doesn't, for sure, it doesn't capture all the variables, and you really have to.

00:44:29.640 Because if you ignore the government pressure, why would you do that?

00:44:34.520 That's a gigantic part of the decision.

00:44:36.220 All right.

00:44:40.400 Did you know that Brendan Carr of the FCC, the only thing he asked was for an apology?

00:44:47.620 But the, I think it was Sinclair Group, so they would be the local affiliates.

00:44:52.740 I believe they're conservative by nature, and they said, hell no.

00:44:59.180 You know, our conservative-owned, you can give me a fact check of this, but I think they're conservative-owned.

00:45:05.660 I think they just said, no, we're a conservative-owned entity, and we're not going to put that a-hole on the air after what he said in the hottest part of the Charlie Kirk disaster.

00:45:16.780 They have that right, and that would not be government or political or anything else that, well, it would be political in a way.

00:45:26.620 But at that point, ABC pretty much had to yank him, because they can't put it on the show if the affiliates don't run it.

00:45:37.060 So they didn't have much choice.

00:45:41.420 Another question.

00:45:46.780 So here's something I haven't heard anybody say, and it's the most important thing, according to me.

00:46:01.360 All right.

00:46:02.480 I believe most of you can back me up on this, but when I grew up, when people lied about stuff on TV,

00:46:12.120 it didn't usually make that much difference to my life.

00:46:15.700 It was just people on TV lying about stuff, and politics was all lying, and we all understood that, et cetera.

00:46:23.860 But in today's world, the anti-Trumpers have created a situation where something like half of the country

00:46:32.720 is losing family members, like sons and daughters and parents, like the close ones.

00:46:40.440 I'm not talking about losing your cousin.

00:46:42.320 I'm talking about having your mother won't talk to you, or you won't talk to your father, or you don't talk to your siblings.

00:46:52.920 This is not the same, and this is caused almost entirely by hoaxes that the Democrats, in an organized fashion, run on the country continuously.

00:47:06.640 It's, you know, I don't have to mention them all, you know, the fine people hoax, the drinking bleach hoax, the Russia hoax, you know, the suckers and losers hoax. 0.61

00:47:18.880 I mean, it's just one hoax after another, nonstop.

00:47:22.980 So people lost family, family.

00:47:28.340 People lost all their friends.

00:47:31.960 I heard about another friend that I had lost that I didn't know.

00:47:35.340 I just wondered why I hadn't heard from that person for a long time.

00:47:38.920 It was over Trump.

00:47:41.220 I mean, really, really big dislocations of friendships and families.

00:47:47.320 How about reputations?

00:47:48.560 People have their reputations ruined for simply having a side in politics, like we always do.

00:47:58.980 And what about people who lost jobs or couldn't get jobs or wouldn't be considered for jobs?

00:48:05.100 A lot of people, right?

00:48:07.780 So, when you look at the, you know, the larger picture, and you're looking at Democrats creating hoax after hoax after hoax,

00:48:17.960 then suddenly the whole, oh, well, it was just his opinion.

00:48:24.280 Oh, the view just has their opinion.

00:48:27.220 Those are just opinions.

00:48:28.900 Well, there was a time when they were just opinions, but they morphed into weapons.

00:48:34.560 They weaponized the fake news.

00:48:38.480 Right?

00:48:39.640 The news used to be just the news, and you could let everybody have their say.

00:48:44.280 But once people weaponized it by making it up, and then acting like it was real,

00:48:50.360 and then having all the other entities also back you up on the thing you made up, obvious hoaxes,

00:48:58.820 that's not like anything we've experienced before.

00:49:01.960 And that shit has to be dismantled completely.

00:49:05.980 Now, I saw a video by Mark Halperin.

00:49:10.880 Two Wire, I think is the name of his podcast.

00:49:13.800 And I don't know why it took me so long to see this, but he put together all the pieces, and I will try to do the same for you,

00:49:23.300 but this is Mark Halperin's realization.

00:49:26.140 That we're just sort of assuming that the left has all the media control, and that the right is just scrambling and scratching and trying to get its little attention.

00:49:40.360 Of course, it's got his Fox News and his Breitbart's, and it's got several entities, but it doesn't compete with the big networks and the main structure of the media.

00:49:51.240 But you might not be paying attention to how quickly things are changing.

00:49:58.380 Oh, Two Way. I'm sorry. It's not Two Wire. This podcast is Two Way.

00:50:03.980 It's very good, by the way. I watch it.

00:50:06.560 I probably watch an hour of his content every single day, you know, with little, just little clips at a time.

00:50:13.360 Yeah, it's very, very good.

00:50:14.500 So, he pointed out that the landscape is moving right, the media landscape.

00:50:21.140 Here are the examples.

00:50:22.640 So, Larry Ellison's son, I guess the Ellison's lean Republican.

00:50:28.780 And so, Larry Ellison's son will have control of CBS, or maybe he already does.

00:50:34.920 He's talking about buying CNN.

00:50:36.700 CNN. Can you imagine if a right-leaning billionaire owned CNN and also CBS?

00:50:48.940 But we're just getting started.

00:50:51.540 Obviously, X was the biggest media play of all time, and more than anything, it allowed the political right to have a voice.

00:51:00.620 More than anything, at least in terms of the size of the voice.

00:51:03.940 Then, you've got Colbert is already going to, he's going to disappear.

00:51:08.920 Hasn't happened yet, but it's scheduled.

00:51:11.260 So, Colbert will be gone.

00:51:13.520 The View may just have to shut up about politics forever.

00:51:19.240 Imagine how many people only saw political news from The View, because they were not really political people.

00:51:25.660 But they liked watching The View, and then The View would slip in there.

00:51:30.380 You know, obviously, Trump is a dictator.

00:51:32.680 Oh, obviously.

00:51:34.340 And then the people who were not that into politics that much were like, whoa, wow.

00:51:38.360 That guy's a dictator.

00:51:40.220 That's bad.

00:51:42.280 And then, so that's ABC.

00:51:46.480 So, Time and Newsweek still exist and have, I think, left-leaning owners.

00:51:52.100 But they're completely irrelevant at this point.

00:51:55.740 You know, they're not magazines that have any impact on anything.

00:51:58.660 And then, of course, the right has a podcast advantage.

00:52:02.200 I don't know if it lasts, but at the moment it seems like a pretty big podcasting advantage.

00:52:07.040 And, of course, they have the, you know, the bully pulpit.

00:52:12.080 The Republicans own part of the government now.

00:52:14.880 So, that's getting a lot closer to parity.

00:52:23.140 You might argue that it's already past parity.

00:52:26.700 Would you?

00:52:28.020 Because, you know, Fox News is so dominant, just completely dominant.

00:52:32.620 But now, if you add to it that you've subtracted from the other side a bunch of assets, which

00:52:38.680 is what I just described, are we at some kind of tipping point where the media message is

00:52:47.640 just beginning, maybe for the first time or, you know, maybe after Colbert is actually gone?

00:52:53.380 Maybe we have to wait a little bit longer to see it.

00:52:55.320 But are we near a tipping point where the political right unambiguously has more media muscle?

00:53:03.920 Maybe.

00:53:05.680 Maybe.

00:53:07.260 We're certainly heading in that direction.

00:53:09.600 And certainly with the government power is, you know, largely in the hands of Republicans.

00:53:14.940 So, if the Republicans take the political power and then they wrestle control from the left

00:53:22.240 of the media power, what's that going to look like?

00:53:26.960 What's that going to look like?

00:53:29.400 Fascism.

00:53:32.160 The left will just start screaming fascism louder than ever.

00:53:36.240 And so, one of the, the, the balance that you have to find is how do you handle moving from

00:53:44.340 underdogs, let's say media underdogs, and also political underdogs, I'm talking about the

00:53:51.000 Republicans.

00:53:51.800 How do you move from being underdogs to being dominant in two things that we care about the

00:53:59.740 most, government and all the things government touches, and then the media?

00:54:05.240 And, and what if the dominant control was just really solid looking?

00:54:10.180 It looked like it wasn't going to change in a while.

00:54:12.300 How would that feel for the half of the country that believes that they live in a, some kind

00:54:18.940 of a, uh, fascist regime?

00:54:23.740 It would feel pretty bad.

00:54:25.560 You would actually have a risk of, I don't know, maybe civil war or something.

00:54:29.700 Because remember, Republicans aren't going to pick up their guns if they think they have

00:54:34.100 another way.

00:54:35.120 And they did.

00:54:36.060 They won the, they won the election.

00:54:38.520 That was the other way.

00:54:39.780 If the Democrats believe they don't have another way, would any of them pick up a gun?

00:54:45.960 You know, someday down the, down the road?

00:54:48.420 Don't know.

00:54:49.220 But it would be dangerous.

00:54:50.200 So I was thinking the other day about giving some advice and that I pulled back on it because

00:54:56.140 I don't know there's good advice, but I'm going to put it out there so that you've heard

00:55:01.020 two versions and then you can, you can select.

00:55:04.500 I already know which way you're going to pick.

00:55:08.180 I'm not going to act as though there's some mystery of which way you're going to pick.

00:55:12.600 All right.

00:55:13.720 Choice number one.

00:55:14.900 Once you get the advantage and you get ahead of the other team, you might as well use all

00:55:21.680 of your advantage to crush them completely and keep them crushed.

00:55:26.720 Choice one.

00:55:28.280 That seems to be something like the Trump effect.

00:55:32.160 And I was saying yesterday how there's, there's a real advantage to that, that somebody like

00:55:38.200 Trump can pursue that almost nobody else could.

00:55:41.260 Which is that he tries the strongest version of everything.

00:55:47.460 Sometimes it works.

00:55:49.260 Sometimes the court stops him or something else does.

00:55:52.120 But his first take is always whatever is the strongest option.

00:55:57.420 And as I was explaining yesterday, if you try the strongest option and it doesn't work,

00:56:03.900 you still win.

00:56:06.040 See, this is the Trump magic.

00:56:07.880 He does not create a situation where if he tries something and it doesn't work, well,

00:56:13.520 he's a big old loser. 0.97

00:56:15.380 Nope.

00:56:16.240 As long as everything he tries, some of them work, actually most of them are working.

00:56:23.520 But when he gets stopped, you still remember that he tried something quite aggressive.

00:56:29.600 You remember how strong he was, even if he got blocked.

00:56:35.420 And that is worth a lot, especially when you're negotiating with other countries.

00:56:41.920 Imagine, imagine watching what Trump has done domestically, and then he visits your country.

00:56:48.460 You treat him like the strongest leader you've ever seen.

00:56:55.720 Because he is the strongest leader you've ever seen.

00:56:59.820 At least, let's say, in our generation.

00:57:02.620 He's the strongest.

00:57:03.620 I haven't seen anything like it.

00:57:05.060 Nothing even close, really.

00:57:06.320 So, I believe that his continuous, I will do the most aggressive, strongest thing in every question,

00:57:13.720 by the time he gets on a plane and goes to Europe, Europe is rolling out the red carpet and saying,

00:57:20.460 oh, God, we better keep this guy happy.

00:57:23.240 Totally works.

00:57:24.800 He works when it works, and he works when it doesn't work.

00:57:27.740 Because what you remember is power, right?

00:57:33.140 Now, this is very similar to who, somebody famous, you'll remind me, said this.

00:57:39.180 They won't remember what you said, but they'll remember how you made them feel.

00:57:43.980 Same thing.

00:57:45.580 This is straight enough hypnosis, persuasion, right?

00:57:48.960 If you can make somebody feel a certain way, that will beat the memory of any details of this or that

00:57:56.180 that you liked or didn't like.

00:57:57.740 So, when Trump does the power thing, you remember the power and how it made you feel.

00:58:04.440 And you forget, oh, there was that court that blocked that thing.

00:58:09.420 I don't care.

00:58:10.600 That doesn't make me feel anyway.

00:58:12.720 But the fact that he tried 400 executive orders, I'm making that up, but hundreds of executive orders

00:58:19.780 that nobody saw coming, and he got, I don't know, 80% of them through, you'll remember that.

00:58:26.440 But you will remember the power and how it made you feel.

00:58:31.640 So, choice number one, he goes full power all the time, never lets off the brake, crushes all the, you know,

00:58:42.100 the competition all the way.

00:58:43.700 A lot of it is revenge-y for all the lawfare, which I totally get, and maybe the world needs

00:58:50.000 a little bit of mutually assured destruction, right?

00:58:54.360 But now let me give you the competing argument.

00:58:58.280 And again, you're not going to accept the competing argument.

00:59:01.800 You've already sold yourself on, yeah, let's just keep that boot on him as long as we can,

00:59:10.540 because if it reversed, right, if the power reversed, what would the Democrats do to you?

00:59:17.440 Well, you already know.

00:59:18.720 They put the boot on your neck, and they would never let it up.

00:59:21.160 That's why you lost your family.

00:59:23.700 That's why you lost your friends.

00:59:25.100 That's why you lost your reputation.

00:59:27.020 That's why your career didn't go well, because they put the boot on you,

00:59:31.000 and they never fucking took it off. 0.91

00:59:33.500 Do you owe them the same?

00:59:36.800 Yes.

00:59:37.280 Yes, you do.

00:59:40.480 If the only thing that mattered was, you know, payback, well, yeah, yeah.

00:59:45.120 Wow, you really owe them a lot, but is that your best strategy?

00:59:52.400 All right.

00:59:53.400 Now, I'm going to throw in the other possibility.

00:59:57.340 Might be too early for it.

00:59:59.260 So you could also say, well, maybe someday I'll do that, but not today.

01:00:04.600 I'm enjoying winning too much.

01:00:06.880 It goes like this.

01:00:09.100 I'll give you a little buildup to it.

01:00:10.900 Well, I had the experience, which many of you have not had.

01:00:17.140 Most people have not had, which is starting from having no money and no fame

01:00:24.280 and, you know, no power whatsoever.

01:00:26.880 You know, just a 20-year-old sitting in my little one-bedroom apartment

01:00:31.260 wishing I had friends, right?

01:00:33.820 So somehow I've experienced all of that, but then I got lucky.

01:00:38.640 You know, I sort of hit it big with Dilbert.

01:00:41.600 So then I immediately went from, you know, no power at all

01:00:47.180 to being the most important person in the room pretty much all the time,

01:00:53.780 and it never really stopped.

01:00:56.480 Now, when I say most important, I just mean everybody's kind of hyper-aware of you

01:01:01.480 if you're, you know, if you're a public figure,

01:01:04.760 and they treat you better.

01:01:07.180 I mean, just everything's different as soon as you get famous.

01:01:12.140 It's never really stopped for me.

01:01:15.320 Now, here's what I discovered the hard way.

01:01:19.600 I thought that I could talk and act the same way when I was famous

01:01:27.740 as I did before I was famous.

01:01:30.840 And it turns out you can't do that, and I found out the hard way

01:01:36.400 because the things that are just talk when you're, you know,

01:01:41.040 you're unimportant like everybody else, you know,

01:01:43.760 you just don't feel important.

01:01:45.020 They don't think you're important.

01:01:46.180 Nobody really cares about your opinion.

01:01:47.980 You can say all kinds of shit.

01:01:51.380 People don't take you seriously.

01:01:53.080 You can criticize people, and people don't even care

01:01:56.520 because they're like, well, who are you?

01:01:58.360 I don't care.

01:01:59.500 But the moment you become famous,

01:02:01.600 if you criticize somebody a tiny bit,

01:02:06.440 it ruins their whole month.

01:02:09.740 You know what I mean, right?

01:02:11.580 If somebody that was important gave you a genuine criticism,

01:02:17.020 it would change your life.

01:02:19.840 I mean, it would just fuck you up, right?

01:02:22.520 But if it's just some idiot, it's just some idiot.

01:02:26.840 So here's what, and then I'll give you another concrete example.

01:02:30.320 A friend of mine became a billionaire once.

01:02:33.280 His company went public, and he suddenly went from, you know,

01:02:38.240 having a nice job to being a billionaire.

01:02:40.660 And he actually asked me for advice, like,

01:02:44.520 how do I navigate, you know, this big change?

01:02:48.980 And one of the pieces of advice I told him was that, all right,

01:02:53.440 you cannot talk honestly about your day anymore.

01:02:57.780 Because let me tell you what that looks like if I did it.

01:03:01.380 You know, when I was at the height of things working out for Dilbert,

01:03:05.440 if somebody said, so, Scott, how was your day?

01:03:08.880 Here would be an honest answer.

01:03:10.920 Oh, it was amazing.

01:03:12.300 Are you kidding me?

01:03:13.080 I just got a $5 million book deal,

01:03:18.220 and I've been invited on CNN and Fox News,

01:03:22.760 and my calendar is number one in the country.

01:03:27.520 Do you know how often you can say that

01:03:29.600 before somebody wants to slap the shit on you? 0.64

01:03:33.040 And all it is is describing what happened today.

01:03:36.740 That's exactly what I used to do when I was unimportant and poor

01:03:40.820 and nobody knew me when I was 20.

01:03:43.080 Scott, what did you do today?

01:03:44.760 Well, I sort of sat in the chair and turned on the TV,

01:03:48.720 and I don't have any friends.

01:03:51.360 Oh, that I could say.

01:03:54.240 In both cases, all I'm doing is being me.

01:03:58.360 Scott, what did you do today?

01:03:59.780 Oh, I'll tell you what I did today.

01:04:01.940 You can't do that when things start working out

01:04:04.440 because people will be so jealous, so jealous.

01:04:09.500 They will want to kill you instead of hanging out with you.

01:04:13.740 I was telling this to my friend,

01:04:15.560 you know, the guy who had just made a boatload of money,

01:04:19.020 and our mutual friend happened to walk in the door,

01:04:22.460 sort of in the middle of it after I told them,

01:04:24.680 and I had given them this advice.

01:04:26.540 So instead of saying all these amazing things

01:04:28.600 like I'm going to be on my private plane

01:04:30.340 going to my ski house, wherever,

01:04:34.780 instead, if you accidentally step in some dog shit, 0.71

01:04:39.700 talk about that.

01:04:41.640 Hey, how's everything going?

01:04:44.140 Don't say, I'm buying a private jet,

01:04:47.960 which literally was the kind of thing

01:04:51.320 that he was experiencing.

01:04:53.420 Instead, say, oh, God, I stepped in some dog shit.

01:04:56.940 It's going to take me all day to get this off.

01:04:58.840 I might have to throw these shoes away.

01:05:00.940 And then people will say, oh, okay.

01:05:03.840 I like this guy, right?

01:05:05.920 So the friend walks in and he goes,

01:05:07.820 hey, how's it going?

01:05:09.140 And the friend I had just trained looks at him and goes,

01:05:11.800 I just stepped in some dog shit.

01:05:14.300 And you know what?

01:05:14.920 He didn't admit,

01:05:16.880 I think I told the friend much later,

01:05:19.020 but he didn't admit that that was part of the conversation

01:05:23.000 and he was testing it out.

01:05:25.040 Guess how it went over?

01:05:26.940 Really well.

01:05:27.960 It worked perfectly.

01:05:30.760 So here's my advice.

01:05:34.120 That was a very long windup to get to this place.

01:05:38.280 As you Republicans and conservatives and MAGA people

01:05:42.140 start to consolidate control of the country,

01:05:47.060 and you will,

01:05:47.700 there will be a lot of payback

01:05:49.740 and probably some people deserve it

01:05:52.760 and I'm not opposed to that.

01:05:55.200 But be aware

01:05:56.080 that the way you act

01:05:58.780 and the language you use

01:06:00.760 when you're in power

01:06:02.440 needs to be modified.

01:06:05.680 If you talk the same way

01:06:07.820 as when you were being, you know,

01:06:09.660 downtrodden by the other team,

01:06:11.640 that's not going to work.

01:06:13.720 It just won't work.

01:06:15.180 Now, here's why I didn't give you that advice.

01:06:19.120 I'm just explaining it

01:06:20.640 as something to be aware of.

01:06:22.760 It might be way too soon.

01:06:25.080 At some part,

01:06:26.580 humility is the only thing

01:06:28.020 that will keep you alive.

01:06:31.320 Is that clear enough?

01:06:35.340 At some point

01:06:36.500 in your ascension to, you know,

01:06:38.700 being on the side that has more power,

01:06:40.260 at some point,

01:06:42.240 humility is the only thing

01:06:43.420 that will keep you alive.

01:06:45.200 Because if you do all that shit

01:06:47.000 with an arrogant attitude,

01:06:48.840 the kind I'm seeing right now,

01:06:50.780 you're going to get killed. 0.95

01:06:53.020 The whole country is going to come apart.

01:06:55.320 You need to talk more about

01:06:57.180 stepping in shit,

01:06:59.420 figuratively speaking,

01:07:00.580 and a little bit less about

01:07:02.800 I own you,

01:07:04.800 we own everything,

01:07:05.880 we win,

01:07:06.680 we're going to kill you all, 0.99

01:07:07.920 not kill you,

01:07:08.800 but, you know,

01:07:09.680 we're going to suppress you

01:07:10.880 and kick you off TV

01:07:12.280 and your favorite stars

01:07:13.540 will be no longer on TV

01:07:15.480 because you did it to ours.

01:07:16.780 You took out Roseanne,

01:07:18.420 so we're going to take out yours.

01:07:20.080 That works right now.

01:07:23.060 It's still working.

01:07:24.180 Definitely still working right now.

01:07:25.880 And I wouldn't take my foot off the gas yet.

01:07:31.020 Trump has a lot of consolidating of power

01:07:33.800 that he can still do legitimately,

01:07:36.720 you know,

01:07:36.960 well within the Constitution.

01:07:38.700 There's lots of stuff he can do.

01:07:40.560 And it's probably worth doing all of it.

01:07:43.860 But just be aware

01:07:45.080 that very soon,

01:07:48.620 possibly,

01:07:49.460 you need to modify how you act

01:07:51.860 to stay alive.

01:07:53.780 I'm talking about your benefit.

01:07:55.100 I'm not talking about being kind.

01:07:57.440 I'm talking about you,

01:07:58.940 self-defense,

01:08:00.300 staying alive,

01:08:01.980 keeping out of trouble,

01:08:03.260 staying in power.

01:08:04.220 At some point,

01:08:05.760 you got to learn how to talk like champions.

01:08:11.480 All right.

01:08:12.660 There's some kind of weird story

01:08:14.420 about Candace Owens

01:08:17.680 and some meeting

01:08:19.900 that involved Bill Ackman

01:08:21.220 and Charlie Kirk.

01:08:22.900 And I guess the topic

01:08:24.100 for all of them

01:08:24.760 was Israel.

01:08:26.440 And there was some thought

01:08:28.060 that Charlie Kirk

01:08:29.660 was not sufficiently supportive

01:08:32.280 of Israel,

01:08:33.160 maybe about Gaza in particular,

01:08:36.000 or maybe it was about Iran,

01:08:38.380 whatever.

01:08:39.260 But Charlie Kirk

01:08:40.200 was very pro-Israel,

01:08:42.220 very pro-Israel.

01:08:43.720 But he may have had some questions

01:08:45.280 about specific things

01:08:46.800 they were doing.

01:08:47.300 I don't know about that for sure.

01:08:49.720 But there's a rumor

01:08:50.960 that he was

01:08:52.680 maybe offered a lot of money

01:08:55.220 or something

01:08:55.940 to get more on board

01:08:58.040 and maybe turned it down.

01:08:59.840 But you should know

01:09:00.900 that whatever Candace says

01:09:02.680 happened there,

01:09:04.080 Bill Ackman says

01:09:05.380 didn't happen.

01:09:06.420 So they're completely

01:09:09.440 different stories

01:09:10.620 about what happened

01:09:11.720 at this one meeting.

01:09:13.120 So I don't know

01:09:13.900 what to do with that.

01:09:17.060 I guess you can make

01:09:19.740 your own decision

01:09:20.420 on that one.

01:09:21.380 So I don't know

01:09:23.220 anything about that.

01:09:26.760 So the Coast Guard

01:09:28.040 has seized

01:09:28.660 5,000 tons of cocaine

01:09:30.580 and got 60 suspected

01:09:33.120 narco-terrorists. 0.80

01:09:34.320 I guess they got them

01:09:35.500 all on a boat.

01:09:36.400 Fox News is reporting this.

01:09:38.600 There were 60?

01:09:40.000 They had 60 narco-terrorists 1.00

01:09:41.960 on one boat?

01:09:43.500 I don't know.

01:09:44.240 Maybe it was more

01:09:45.160 than one boat.

01:09:46.740 But the Coast Guard

01:09:47.840 is busy.

01:09:48.560 And I think you're going

01:09:49.200 to see stories like this

01:09:50.540 almost every week

01:09:52.800 for sure.

01:09:54.700 And I think it's

01:09:55.840 the stories

01:09:56.680 that might do

01:09:57.880 as much work

01:09:58.680 as the actual

01:09:59.700 blowing up of boats.

01:10:01.980 Because if you blew up

01:10:03.400 boats but you didn't

01:10:04.220 let everybody know

01:10:05.240 it wouldn't deter

01:10:07.840 the next boat.

01:10:09.720 So it's kind of brilliant

01:10:11.500 to show the videos

01:10:13.460 of the boats blowing up.

01:10:16.280 You could argue

01:10:17.240 that it's illegal

01:10:19.400 war acts.

01:10:21.020 But in terms of persuasion

01:10:23.660 it's pretty strong.

01:10:26.080 Pretty strong.

01:10:26.900 They don't have to blow up

01:10:27.820 every boat

01:10:28.380 that hits the water.

01:10:29.640 They just have to blow up

01:10:30.940 enough that nobody thinks

01:10:32.060 it would be smart

01:10:32.800 to try to use the water.

01:10:34.820 And they're pretty close

01:10:35.760 to that.

01:10:38.340 Do you know

01:10:39.080 the liberal

01:10:39.920 influencer

01:10:42.180 creator type

01:10:43.100 named Destiny?

01:10:45.140 Have you all seen

01:10:46.320 this piece of work?

01:10:47.900 He looks like

01:10:48.900 he has serious

01:10:49.680 mental problems

01:10:50.800 that he's

01:10:52.200 I don't know

01:10:53.740 I don't even know

01:10:55.340 what mental problem

01:10:56.020 it is

01:10:56.380 but he seems

01:10:57.140 so evil

01:10:57.960 and angry

01:11:00.060 and completely

01:11:02.100 unreasonable

01:11:02.840 that he got famous

01:11:05.660 because

01:11:06.220 you watch it

01:11:07.500 like a traffic accident

01:11:08.800 you're like

01:11:09.800 oh my god

01:11:10.620 what am I even

01:11:11.200 looking at here?

01:11:12.220 What?

01:11:12.760 What?

01:11:13.320 What is this?

01:11:14.480 He said what?

01:11:15.940 So he's real good

01:11:17.160 at getting attention

01:11:17.980 because he's so far

01:11:19.880 out of what people

01:11:21.340 expect is the

01:11:22.600 appropriate box

01:11:23.740 for everything

01:11:24.360 that part I don't mind

01:11:26.520 being outside the box

01:11:27.900 but he's

01:11:29.300 he doesn't say stuff

01:11:31.320 that my audience

01:11:32.260 would be happy with

01:11:33.340 anyway

01:11:34.760 it looks like

01:11:35.460 he's been

01:11:36.080 completely

01:11:36.860 demonetized

01:11:38.720 and

01:11:39.000 kicked off

01:11:40.300 of platforms

01:11:41.120 and stuff

01:11:41.760 now

01:11:42.860 I don't think

01:11:44.160 that will make

01:11:44.640 much difference

01:11:45.220 to the elections

01:11:46.420 but it's a sign

01:11:47.600 of the times

01:11:49.220 but he tried

01:11:50.840 to do a

01:11:51.780 Charlie-like

01:11:53.640 you know

01:11:55.540 a Charlie Kirk-like

01:11:56.740 debate

01:11:57.460 at a college

01:11:58.220 and he got

01:11:59.900 you know

01:12:00.300 sort of

01:12:01.060 there was some

01:12:02.080 yelling involved

01:12:03.500 from somebody

01:12:04.940 who was

01:12:05.220 trolling him

01:12:06.200 but it's funny

01:12:08.120 he seems like

01:12:09.100 the anti-Charlie

01:12:10.840 you know

01:12:12.000 Charlie was all

01:12:12.880 light and love

01:12:13.980 and this guy

01:12:15.880 is darkness

01:12:17.140 and evil

01:12:17.840 if you looked

01:12:19.480 at him for five

01:12:20.200 minutes

01:12:20.560 and you remembered

01:12:22.380 I refer to him

01:12:23.840 as darkness

01:12:24.560 and evil

01:12:25.220 oh you'd see it

01:12:26.700 yeah

01:12:28.340 you don't have to

01:12:29.120 worry that it's

01:12:29.720 just something

01:12:30.660 in my mind

01:12:31.500 yeah

01:12:32.220 you would see

01:12:32.920 darkness and evil

01:12:33.880 the minute he does

01:12:35.740 it starts into his act

01:12:36.960 so I think of him

01:12:39.600 as not the

01:12:40.180 anti-Christ

01:12:40.940 but the anti-Charlie

01:12:42.500 and

01:12:43.900 I found it

01:12:45.960 distasteful

01:12:47.560 like everything

01:12:48.340 he does

01:12:48.820 that he tried

01:12:51.680 to do

01:12:52.200 Charlie Kirk's

01:12:53.140 act

01:12:53.580 you know

01:12:54.720 while

01:12:56.560 everything's still

01:12:57.640 too hot

01:12:58.440 and fresh

01:12:58.940 I mean

01:12:59.820 everything he does

01:13:00.920 and then

01:13:02.340 I guess

01:13:03.460 he got demonetized

01:13:04.580 for

01:13:04.900 saying some

01:13:06.960 wildly inappropriate

01:13:07.940 things

01:13:08.380 I won't even

01:13:08.940 I won't even

01:13:09.680 repeat

01:13:10.020 well in other

01:13:11.700 news

01:13:12.240 apparently

01:13:14.380 there's a bunch

01:13:15.120 of

01:13:15.480 orca

01:13:16.580 whales

01:13:17.320 is an orca

01:13:18.500 always a whale

01:13:19.340 are those

01:13:21.280 the same word

01:13:22.140 orca

01:13:23.300 and a whale

01:13:23.960 or is there

01:13:24.920 an orca whale

01:13:26.320 but other kinds

01:13:28.100 of whales

01:13:28.580 why don't I know

01:13:30.420 that

01:13:30.780 anyway

01:13:31.980 apparently

01:13:33.040 these orca

01:13:34.060 whales

01:13:34.500 as they're being

01:13:35.200 called by ABC

01:13:35.960 have been

01:13:37.380 attacking and

01:13:38.260 sinking small

01:13:39.220 boats

01:13:39.720 now ABC

01:13:42.000 says

01:13:42.580 they most

01:13:43.960 likely just

01:13:44.760 want to

01:13:45.260 play

01:13:45.640 and then

01:13:46.780 they accidentally

01:13:47.500 sink these

01:13:48.280 boats

01:13:48.640 I don't think

01:13:51.060 so

01:13:51.340 I think

01:13:53.180 if they

01:13:53.520 figure out

01:13:54.000 a way

01:13:54.200 to make

01:13:54.540 animals

01:13:55.040 talk

01:13:55.540 they should

01:13:56.280 do these

01:13:56.740 orca whales

01:13:57.500 first

01:13:58.000 and say

01:13:59.120 why are you

01:14:00.540 doing this

01:14:01.100 come on

01:14:01.860 guys

01:14:02.560 guys

01:14:03.180 why are you

01:14:04.200 doing this

01:14:04.700 why are you

01:14:05.180 sinking all

01:14:05.900 our little

01:14:06.300 yachts

01:14:06.900 I believe

01:14:07.700 what the

01:14:08.380 orcas

01:14:08.800 would not

01:14:09.360 say is

01:14:09.960 oh we're

01:14:10.740 just playing

01:14:11.300 oh we're

01:14:12.140 just playing

01:14:12.560 I feel

01:14:13.420 they would

01:14:13.740 say

01:14:14.080 you

01:14:15.160 bastards 0.53

01:14:15.980 you better

01:14:17.160 stay out of

01:14:17.740 our ocean

01:14:18.180 and we'll

01:14:18.540 sink the

01:14:19.080 rest of

01:14:19.480 you

01:14:19.640 now when I

01:14:20.760 first saw

01:14:21.160 the video

01:14:21.540 of the

01:14:21.820 orca

01:14:22.120 sinking the

01:14:22.780 boat

01:14:22.920 I thought

01:14:23.340 it was

01:14:23.740 a scene

01:14:24.420 from the

01:14:24.860 view

01:14:25.140 I'll let

01:14:27.780 that sink

01:14:28.260 in for a

01:14:29.240 little bit

01:14:29.580 no

01:14:30.440 it wasn't

01:14:31.620 a scene

01:14:31.980 from the

01:14:32.340 view

01:14:32.680 that would

01:14:33.240 what a

01:14:33.660 terrible

01:14:33.900 thing to

01:14:34.360 say

01:14:34.600 all right

01:14:36.000 according

01:14:38.840 to an

01:14:40.100 ex-account

01:14:40.740 stock market

01:14:41.840 news

01:14:42.380 talk about

01:14:43.120 Jerome Powell

01:14:43.840 and the

01:14:44.260 interest rates

01:14:44.900 and the

01:14:45.220 I think

01:14:46.900 Jerome Powell

01:14:47.540 is of the

01:14:48.120 view

01:14:48.460 as are

01:14:49.260 others

01:14:49.640 that we

01:14:51.280 haven't

01:14:51.560 seen

01:14:52.000 we haven't

01:14:54.080 seen

01:14:54.740 much

01:14:56.180 inflation

01:14:56.700 that's

01:14:57.600 derived

01:14:58.060 directly from

01:14:58.760 the tariffs

01:14:59.340 but that is

01:15:00.500 guaranteed to

01:15:01.540 come

01:15:01.880 there's just

01:15:02.620 a delay

01:15:03.200 and the

01:15:04.020 thought is

01:15:04.680 that the

01:15:05.320 companies

01:15:05.740 that are

01:15:06.120 paying the

01:15:06.600 tariffs

01:15:06.960 they're

01:15:07.720 not the

01:15:08.440 ones who

01:15:08.800 manufactured

01:15:09.420 in China

01:15:10.060 and they're

01:15:11.820 not the

01:15:12.180 customer

01:15:12.600 but rather

01:15:13.280 it's the

01:15:13.700 company that

01:15:14.260 imports it

01:15:14.840 is paying

01:15:15.180 the tariffs

01:15:15.660 and that

01:15:16.480 in the

01:15:16.760 short run

01:15:17.360 they didn't

01:15:18.260 want to

01:15:18.560 destroy

01:15:18.900 their whole

01:15:19.280 business

01:15:19.680 and they

01:15:20.080 also didn't

01:15:20.580 know how

01:15:20.900 long tariffs

01:15:21.500 would last

01:15:22.160 so they

01:15:23.140 just sort

01:15:23.880 of said

01:15:24.080 all right

01:15:24.320 we're going

01:15:24.580 to eat

01:15:24.860 it

01:15:25.120 for now

01:15:26.720 in case

01:15:28.580 it goes

01:15:28.900 away

01:15:29.200 maybe it

01:15:29.760 go away

01:15:30.120 but if

01:15:32.900 it doesn't

01:15:33.320 go away

01:15:33.780 and it

01:15:34.140 looks like

01:15:34.500 it won't

01:15:34.860 entirely

01:15:35.240 there's a

01:15:36.440 100% chance

01:15:37.840 that they

01:15:38.320 will start

01:15:38.740 increasing

01:15:39.360 their prices

01:15:40.060 as they're

01:15:41.660 able

01:15:41.940 and so

01:15:42.880 eventually

01:15:43.280 they will

01:15:43.860 put the

01:15:44.280 entire price

01:15:44.980 of the

01:15:45.240 tariff

01:15:45.580 if they

01:15:46.080 can

01:15:46.460 we don't

01:15:47.200 know that

01:15:47.520 they can

01:15:47.980 they'll move

01:15:49.320 that on to

01:15:49.780 the consumer

01:15:50.400 and that

01:15:50.940 would be

01:15:51.320 inflation

01:15:52.420 now

01:15:53.420 that's

01:15:54.560 also

01:15:55.220 what

01:15:55.960 everybody

01:15:56.420 said

01:15:56.780 would happen

01:15:57.260 over the

01:15:57.700 summer

01:15:58.000 so I

01:15:59.120 remind

01:15:59.480 you

01:15:59.820 economists

01:16:00.680 are mostly

01:16:01.340 just guessing

01:16:02.080 they really

01:16:03.980 don't know

01:16:04.480 it could

01:16:06.180 be the

01:16:06.580 manufacturers

01:16:07.380 eat it

01:16:08.200 could be

01:16:09.540 it's not

01:16:10.460 impossible

01:16:10.940 the whole

01:16:15.700 shooting of

01:16:16.520 Charlie Kirk

01:16:17.220 has of

01:16:18.780 course

01:16:19.460 resulted in

01:16:20.920 lots of

01:16:21.440 conspiracy

01:16:21.960 theories that

01:16:23.100 go like

01:16:23.600 this

01:16:24.000 wait a

01:16:25.160 minute

01:16:25.400 how could

01:16:26.620 let's see

01:16:27.340 the ones I

01:16:27.980 saw yesterday

01:16:28.640 were

01:16:29.020 it's

01:16:30.100 impossible

01:16:30.740 that he

01:16:31.200 could have

01:16:31.560 assembled

01:16:31.960 and disassembled

01:16:33.060 his gun

01:16:33.940 in the

01:16:35.140 time he

01:16:35.740 had

01:16:36.140 there was

01:16:37.960 some gun

01:16:38.420 expert

01:16:38.780 showing

01:16:39.240 himself

01:16:39.920 dissembling

01:16:41.340 his own

01:16:41.920 rifle

01:16:42.280 and showed

01:16:43.340 how long

01:16:43.760 it took

01:16:44.220 and that

01:16:45.440 you also

01:16:45.820 needed

01:16:46.180 fine motor

01:16:47.100 control

01:16:47.600 and that

01:16:48.640 somebody

01:16:49.000 who just

01:16:49.420 assassinated

01:16:50.140 somebody

01:16:50.620 and needed

01:16:51.080 to get

01:16:51.460 away

01:16:51.740 for his

01:16:52.120 life

01:16:52.480 probably

01:16:53.900 didn't have

01:16:54.340 a lot of

01:16:54.700 fine motor

01:16:55.220 control at

01:16:55.820 that time

01:16:56.360 now that's

01:16:57.820 you know

01:16:58.240 maybe that's

01:16:58.860 not the

01:16:59.140 reason

01:16:59.360 so and

01:17:02.040 then there's

01:17:03.020 no way it

01:17:03.520 would have

01:17:03.820 fit in his

01:17:04.640 I don't know

01:17:05.600 no way it

01:17:06.580 would have

01:17:06.800 fit in his

01:17:07.220 backpack

01:17:07.580 but we saw

01:17:08.960 some pictures

01:17:09.480 of him

01:17:09.980 approaching the

01:17:10.940 venue in

01:17:11.940 which he

01:17:12.260 seemed to

01:17:12.640 be limping

01:17:13.220 and when I

01:17:14.420 saw it I

01:17:14.920 said to

01:17:15.200 myself wait

01:17:15.800 he's not

01:17:16.480 limping

01:17:16.980 he's got a

01:17:18.300 gun or

01:17:18.960 rifle shoved

01:17:20.300 down his

01:17:20.700 pant leg

01:17:21.240 so that's

01:17:22.880 probably how

01:17:23.280 he got it

01:17:23.820 there

01:17:24.100 but somehow

01:17:26.700 did he

01:17:27.600 disassemble

01:17:28.360 it after

01:17:29.560 the shooting

01:17:30.120 and before

01:17:30.580 he got

01:17:30.920 off the

01:17:31.280 roof or

01:17:31.900 at some

01:17:32.980 point was

01:17:33.460 it dissembled

01:17:34.180 I don't

01:17:34.660 know

01:17:35.020 so there's

01:17:37.580 there's that

01:17:38.100 question

01:17:38.640 then there's

01:17:39.840 a video of

01:17:40.520 him at

01:17:40.860 Dairy Queen

01:17:41.520 17 minutes

01:17:42.520 after the

01:17:43.320 shooting

01:17:44.480 and people

01:17:45.320 are saying

01:17:45.760 how can

01:17:46.720 he be

01:17:47.060 just

01:17:47.440 getting a

01:17:48.460 meal at

01:17:48.880 Dairy Queen

01:17:49.520 like right

01:17:51.280 after

01:17:51.640 seems to

01:17:53.440 me that

01:17:54.040 murder would

01:17:55.240 make you

01:17:55.800 really hungry

01:17:56.600 especially if

01:17:57.920 you were a

01:17:58.420 cold-blooded

01:17:59.040 killer

01:17:59.420 some people

01:18:03.480 say that

01:18:04.100 the real

01:18:04.540 shot came

01:18:05.600 from the

01:18:06.060 back

01:18:06.520 I saw

01:18:08.200 somebody who

01:18:09.000 somewhat

01:18:09.740 convincingly

01:18:11.280 but it's the

01:18:11.900 documentary

01:18:12.460 effect so

01:18:13.260 you can't

01:18:13.740 can't trust

01:18:14.260 it but

01:18:14.980 convincingly

01:18:15.980 argued that

01:18:17.240 the the

01:18:17.980 size of

01:18:18.760 the whole

01:18:19.420 in his

01:18:19.780 neck had

01:18:20.860 to be

01:18:21.160 an exit

01:18:21.680 wound

01:18:22.140 because it

01:18:23.620 was way

01:18:23.980 too big

01:18:24.400 for an

01:18:24.840 entry

01:18:25.160 wound

01:18:25.640 so if

01:18:27.060 you

01:18:27.300 shoot

01:18:27.640 somebody

01:18:28.120 with

01:18:28.540 you know

01:18:28.820 depending

01:18:29.120 on what

01:18:29.660 you're

01:18:29.800 shooting

01:18:29.980 with I

01:18:30.380 guess

01:18:30.580 when it

01:18:32.080 enters

01:18:32.400 the body

01:18:32.940 the hole

01:18:34.440 would be

01:18:34.740 the size

01:18:35.200 of the

01:18:35.480 bullet hole

01:18:35.980 but when

01:18:36.860 it leaves

01:18:37.520 you know

01:18:38.500 it's going

01:18:38.860 to blast

01:18:39.300 a whole

01:18:40.000 new hole

01:18:40.540 that's

01:18:40.880 much bigger

01:18:41.520 than a

01:18:41.840 bullet

01:18:42.040 the size

01:18:43.640 of the

01:18:43.860 hole

01:18:44.020 that we

01:18:44.320 saw in

01:18:44.700 the front

01:18:45.180 of his

01:18:45.500 neck

01:18:45.820 looked like

01:18:46.920 a really

01:18:47.260 big hole

01:18:47.860 for an

01:18:48.500 entry

01:18:49.280 so even

01:18:50.560 if you

01:18:50.920 assume

01:18:51.340 that you

01:18:51.840 know

01:18:52.420 it hit

01:18:53.660 some artery

01:18:54.680 or something

01:18:55.220 it seemed

01:18:57.300 like the hole

01:18:57.800 was too big

01:18:58.460 I don't know

01:18:59.320 I'm no

01:18:59.760 expert

01:19:00.160 so I'm not

01:19:01.420 buying any

01:19:01.960 of these

01:19:02.220 stories

01:19:02.580 I think

01:19:03.240 my best

01:19:04.160 guess is

01:19:04.900 that there

01:19:06.000 was one

01:19:06.740 shooter with

01:19:07.500 one gun

01:19:08.160 we know

01:19:08.600 who it

01:19:08.960 is

01:19:09.320 he shot

01:19:10.200 from that

01:19:10.700 direction

01:19:11.240 that's my

01:19:12.580 best guess

01:19:13.240 however

01:19:14.460 you want

01:19:15.560 a really

01:19:16.140 good

01:19:16.720 conspiracy

01:19:17.680 theory

01:19:18.200 that I'm

01:19:18.740 just making

01:19:19.280 up

01:19:19.640 what if

01:19:21.640 this was

01:19:23.880 so well

01:19:24.480 planned

01:19:25.020 that the

01:19:26.220 real shooter

01:19:27.060 that there

01:19:28.800 was a real

01:19:29.320 shooter

01:19:29.680 got away

01:19:30.400 and that

01:19:31.620 the entire

01:19:32.580 act

01:19:33.180 by this

01:19:34.440 guy that

01:19:35.660 we think

01:19:36.000 is a

01:19:36.360 shooter

01:19:36.600 Robinson

01:19:37.080 what if

01:19:38.060 his entire

01:19:38.840 act

01:19:39.320 was to

01:19:40.280 look like

01:19:40.940 the shooter

01:19:41.520 until they

01:19:42.700 check the

01:19:43.220 gun and

01:19:43.600 find out

01:19:44.060 it wasn't

01:19:44.480 fired

01:19:44.960 or maybe

01:19:46.700 he had to

01:19:47.060 fire it

01:19:47.480 once you

01:19:47.960 know at

01:19:48.220 home

01:19:48.600 or something

01:19:49.660 so it

01:19:50.000 looked like

01:19:50.340 it was

01:19:50.540 fired

01:19:50.820 what if

01:19:51.820 he knew

01:19:53.040 he could

01:19:53.680 get away

01:19:54.420 because he

01:19:55.840 had some

01:19:56.260 mechanism to

01:19:57.000 prove he

01:19:57.440 literally was

01:19:58.140 not the

01:19:58.540 shooter

01:19:58.880 but that he

01:20:00.040 pretended to

01:20:00.880 be the

01:20:01.320 shooter in

01:20:01.940 every way

01:20:02.660 because all

01:20:04.080 attention would

01:20:04.780 go in one

01:20:05.300 direction and

01:20:06.080 then the

01:20:06.360 real shooter

01:20:06.940 could you

01:20:07.640 know cover

01:20:08.740 his tracks

01:20:09.280 and get

01:20:09.580 away

01:20:09.860 now that's

01:20:11.160 crazy right

01:20:12.040 except

01:20:13.300 the old

01:20:15.460 man who

01:20:16.300 said it

01:20:16.700 was him

01:20:17.200 it was

01:20:17.820 sitting in

01:20:18.280 the crowd

01:20:18.740 actually said

01:20:20.320 he was

01:20:20.620 trying to

01:20:21.000 he was

01:20:21.540 trying who

01:20:22.240 knows if

01:20:22.900 he was

01:20:23.120 lying but

01:20:24.080 he said

01:20:24.460 that he

01:20:24.720 was claiming

01:20:25.320 that to

01:20:27.100 help the

01:20:27.620 real shooter

01:20:28.160 get away

01:20:28.760 not that he

01:20:29.860 knew who the

01:20:30.340 real shooter

01:20:30.820 was necessarily

01:20:31.740 so that's

01:20:33.640 how I got

01:20:33.960 the idea

01:20:34.480 if you

01:20:35.480 were going

01:20:35.900 to be

01:20:36.580 a murderer

01:20:38.120 and you

01:20:39.860 were like

01:20:40.360 really crazy

01:20:41.560 potentially

01:20:43.560 you could

01:20:45.080 pretend to

01:20:45.680 be the

01:20:45.980 real killer

01:20:46.580 until they

01:20:47.160 proved you

01:20:47.680 weren't

01:20:48.100 and then the

01:20:49.140 other one

01:20:49.560 would be

01:20:50.040 you know

01:20:50.420 in another

01:20:50.760 country by

01:20:51.340 then

01:20:51.540 I do

01:20:53.540 not believe

01:20:53.980 that's what's

01:20:54.400 happened

01:20:54.680 my personal

01:20:56.000 belief is that

01:20:56.780 there was one

01:20:57.400 killer it's

01:20:58.080 exactly who you

01:20:58.860 think he

01:20:59.800 definitely told

01:21:00.680 other people

01:21:01.340 and they're

01:21:01.880 pretending they

01:21:02.460 didn't his

01:21:03.100 note to his

01:21:04.380 boyfriend was

01:21:05.500 or whatever

01:21:06.780 that lover

01:21:07.940 that the

01:21:09.140 note to his

01:21:10.000 lover was

01:21:10.720 only to

01:21:11.340 cover to

01:21:12.820 protect the

01:21:13.660 lover from

01:21:14.320 ever having

01:21:14.880 known about

01:21:15.420 it I think

01:21:17.280 it's exactly

01:21:17.880 what it looks

01:21:18.400 like but

01:21:20.340 there are a

01:21:21.100 lot of stuff

01:21:21.520 breaking out

01:21:22.140 President Trump

01:21:25.580 canceled some

01:21:27.220 400 million

01:21:28.120 dollars that

01:21:28.740 was going to

01:21:29.100 be for Taiwan

01:21:30.100 military use

01:21:31.820 and it

01:21:33.600 might have

01:21:34.000 to do with

01:21:34.340 the fact

01:21:34.660 that he's

01:21:35.060 in trade

01:21:35.580 talks with

01:21:36.140 China and

01:21:37.220 doesn't want

01:21:37.680 to get

01:21:37.880 them all

01:21:38.180 riled up

01:21:38.820 now let's

01:21:41.180 look at the

01:21:41.660 timing

01:21:42.120 allegedly China

01:21:44.560 finally agreed

01:21:45.400 to a

01:21:45.800 tick-tock deal

01:21:46.660 that we know

01:21:47.400 they were

01:21:47.700 holding out

01:21:48.260 for something

01:21:48.800 what would

01:21:50.580 they hold

01:21:50.900 out for

01:21:51.400 what was it

01:21:53.220 that China 0.93

01:21:53.680 wanted because

01:21:54.320 they don't

01:21:54.640 have a

01:21:55.080 they don't

01:21:55.520 have a

01:21:55.760 done deal

01:21:56.280 why would

01:21:57.480 China agree 0.96

01:21:58.100 to anything

01:21:58.780 unless they

01:22:00.380 had a full

01:22:00.840 done deal

01:22:01.420 that was

01:22:02.700 their leverage

01:22:03.260 huh so

01:22:05.400 at the same

01:22:05.960 time that

01:22:06.560 China approved

01:22:07.820 tick-tock

01:22:09.180 President Trump

01:22:10.640 canceled 400

01:22:11.880 million in

01:22:12.600 US military

01:22:13.440 aid for

01:22:13.920 Taiwan

01:22:14.420 probably just

01:22:16.400 a coincidence

01:22:16.980 right

01:22:17.500 did we

01:22:19.120 just trade

01:22:19.900 Taiwan for

01:22:20.720 tick-tock

01:22:21.440 because it

01:22:26.840 kind of

01:22:27.940 looks like

01:22:28.380 it

01:22:28.600 now I

01:22:29.860 don't know

01:22:30.220 that

01:22:30.620 but are

01:22:32.420 you concerned

01:22:33.220 at all

01:22:33.580 that these

01:22:34.040 two things

01:22:34.660 happened at

01:22:35.100 about the

01:22:35.500 same time

01:22:36.020 that China 0.93

01:22:37.100 got something

01:22:37.640 they wanted

01:22:38.240 and we got

01:22:38.700 something we

01:22:39.220 wanted

01:22:39.600 I don't know

01:22:41.720 I got

01:22:42.480 questions

01:22:43.100 let's see

01:22:46.700 what else

01:22:47.200 so I guess

01:22:50.400 there are 14

01:22:51.240 members of the

01:22:52.780 UN Security

01:22:53.600 Council backing

01:22:55.020 a measure

01:22:55.680 for Gaza

01:22:57.040 to have an

01:22:59.660 unconditional

01:23:00.200 and permanent

01:23:00.940 ceasefire

01:23:01.640 as if that's

01:23:02.680 something you

01:23:03.120 could just

01:23:03.520 do because

01:23:04.100 other people

01:23:04.660 said it's a

01:23:05.140 good idea

01:23:05.580 but they've

01:23:08.180 apparently the

01:23:09.320 UN Security

01:23:10.980 Council

01:23:11.480 or the UN

01:23:12.540 has formally

01:23:13.180 declared

01:23:13.800 famine

01:23:14.440 in the

01:23:15.060 territory

01:23:15.520 so if you

01:23:18.020 declare famine

01:23:19.380 does that

01:23:20.540 change anything

01:23:21.260 probably not

01:23:22.880 so

01:23:24.260 I can't

01:23:25.640 you know

01:23:26.200 I don't have

01:23:26.720 any idea

01:23:27.240 if people are

01:23:28.060 eating

01:23:28.460 everything you

01:23:29.600 get out of the

01:23:30.300 war zone

01:23:30.880 is

01:23:31.200 undependable

01:23:32.900 so

01:23:34.380 as you know

01:23:36.200 Trump is

01:23:36.800 going after

01:23:37.340 Antifa

01:23:38.280 or the

01:23:39.080 I guess

01:23:39.780 Department of

01:23:40.360 Justice

01:23:40.660 and FBI

01:23:41.340 probably

01:23:41.740 and

01:23:43.080 I heard

01:23:44.280 Democrats

01:23:44.820 say good

01:23:45.500 luck with

01:23:45.920 that

01:23:46.180 because there's

01:23:46.780 no such

01:23:47.320 thing as

01:23:47.840 Antifa

01:23:48.360 that there's

01:23:50.960 no organization

01:23:52.040 called

01:23:52.520 that is

01:23:54.480 organized

01:23:55.220 that calls

01:23:56.000 itself

01:23:56.360 Antifa

01:23:56.860 and I

01:23:57.720 thought to

01:23:58.020 myself

01:23:58.460 are the

01:24:00.860 Democrats

01:24:01.400 really

01:24:01.980 going to

01:24:03.480 gaslight us

01:24:04.180 that hard

01:24:04.660 it's not

01:24:05.620 like we

01:24:06.000 don't know

01:24:06.740 that there's

01:24:07.260 an Antifa

01:24:07.860 right

01:24:09.440 is that

01:24:10.400 even a

01:24:11.060 little bit

01:24:11.540 in question

01:24:12.120 no

01:24:13.480 it's not

01:24:14.680 even a

01:24:15.100 little bit

01:24:15.500 in question

01:24:16.000 of course

01:24:16.800 there's

01:24:17.120 Antifa

01:24:17.700 Andy

01:24:19.480 Ngo

01:24:19.840 who has

01:24:20.580 been following

01:24:21.120 him says

01:24:21.600 of course

01:24:22.080 there's

01:24:22.300 an

01:24:22.520 you know

01:24:23.000 I assume

01:24:23.700 he's saying

01:24:24.100 that because

01:24:24.460 he wrote

01:24:24.740 a book

01:24:25.000 about him

01:24:25.400 he must

01:24:26.880 think they

01:24:27.260 exist

01:24:27.700 he suggests

01:24:29.340 Rico

01:24:30.020 which suggests

01:24:31.760 they exist

01:24:32.380 you can't

01:24:32.960 Rico

01:24:33.200 something

01:24:33.580 that doesn't

01:24:34.120 exist

01:24:34.460 and that

01:24:35.600 it's

01:24:35.780 organized

01:24:36.100 violence

01:24:36.780 Jesse

01:24:37.780 Waters

01:24:38.160 had

01:24:39.400 somebody

01:24:40.080 on the

01:24:40.480 show

01:24:40.840 who says

01:24:42.480 that she

01:24:43.240 had

01:24:43.400 infiltrated

01:24:44.660 their

01:24:45.220 Antifa

01:24:47.040 meetings

01:24:47.620 and that

01:24:48.120 they were

01:24:48.420 doing

01:24:48.800 organized

01:24:49.800 military

01:24:50.440 training

01:24:51.000 so

01:24:52.520 that doesn't

01:24:53.680 sound like

01:24:54.140 they don't

01:24:54.760 exist

01:24:55.200 if they

01:24:56.100 don't exist

01:24:56.780 who exactly

01:24:57.600 did she

01:24:58.100 infiltrate

01:24:58.780 all right

01:25:00.640 so we'll

01:25:03.240 see what

01:25:03.620 happens

01:25:03.980 with that

01:25:04.500 that would

01:25:06.000 be another

01:25:06.580 example of

01:25:07.560 Trump acting

01:25:08.480 with strength

01:25:09.440 let's say

01:25:10.860 that he says

01:25:11.580 yeah we're

01:25:12.000 going to

01:25:12.140 take down

01:25:12.580 Antifa

01:25:13.040 but maybe

01:25:14.540 something gets

01:25:15.500 in the way

01:25:16.000 and he can't

01:25:16.940 take down

01:25:17.340 Antifa

01:25:17.820 as long as

01:25:18.900 it's not

01:25:19.220 his fault

01:25:19.880 once again

01:25:21.760 it will look

01:25:22.360 like he took

01:25:22.940 the strong

01:25:23.560 move

01:25:24.000 even if

01:25:24.560 everything

01:25:24.920 didn't

01:25:25.200 work out

01:25:25.780 well

01:25:29.280 this is

01:25:30.680 no surprise

01:25:31.400 Israel's 0.75

01:25:33.600 Ministry of

01:25:34.840 Diaspora

01:25:36.120 Affairs and

01:25:37.080 Combating

01:25:37.640 Antisemitism

01:25:38.620 okay really

01:25:39.940 guys

01:25:40.440 like you

01:25:41.820 had a

01:25:42.120 meeting

01:25:42.400 and you

01:25:42.780 decided

01:25:43.100 that was

01:25:43.540 what you're

01:25:43.960 going to

01:25:44.160 name your

01:25:44.640 outfit

01:25:45.060 the Ministry

01:25:47.340 of Diaspora

01:25:49.060 Affairs and

01:25:50.660 Combating

01:25:51.120 Antisemitism

01:25:51.980 that's just

01:25:53.900 too many

01:25:54.280 things in

01:25:54.800 one title

01:25:55.300 anyway

01:25:58.980 they've got

01:25:59.520 a claim

01:26:00.340 that

01:26:00.780 Greta

01:26:01.760 Thunberg's

01:26:02.640 flotilla

01:26:03.360 is really

01:26:05.040 basically

01:26:06.680 tied to

01:26:07.320 Hamas 0.96

01:26:07.920 and the

01:26:08.540 Muslim

01:26:08.880 Brotherhood

01:26:09.700 so the

01:26:12.040 so-called

01:26:12.560 freedom

01:26:13.080 flotilla

01:26:13.680 they say

01:26:14.800 is nothing

01:26:15.260 more than

01:26:15.680 a propaganda

01:26:16.280 tool for

01:26:17.180 Hamas 0.96

01:26:18.060 jihadis

01:26:18.760 but I guess

01:26:19.680 as long as

01:26:20.380 you pretend

01:26:20.820 you're bringing

01:26:21.320 them food

01:26:21.920 and supplies

01:26:22.520 you can get

01:26:24.380 away with

01:26:24.740 anything

01:26:25.060 so do

01:26:27.060 you believe

01:26:27.380 that

01:26:27.740 do you

01:26:28.840 believe

01:26:29.140 that

01:26:29.580 Greta

01:26:30.440 Thunberg

01:26:31.040 went from

01:26:32.400 saving the

01:26:33.080 planet

01:26:33.400 to

01:26:33.860 working as

01:26:36.200 a tool

01:26:36.620 for Hamas

01:26:37.380 that would

01:26:38.760 be a pretty

01:26:40.220 big change

01:26:40.900 I believe

01:26:43.700 it

01:26:43.940 I believe

01:26:45.000 it because

01:26:45.360 I believe

01:26:45.800 that nothing

01:26:46.360 is what

01:26:46.940 it's presented

01:26:48.740 to be

01:26:49.240 so yeah

01:26:50.440 I believe

01:26:51.600 that it

01:26:51.960 probably is a

01:26:52.580 Hamas 0.96

01:26:53.100 driven

01:26:53.960 thing

01:26:54.260 I don't

01:26:54.640 know that

01:26:55.200 but

01:26:56.280 Israel

01:26:57.300 says it

01:26:57.920 and

01:26:58.800 I'm

01:27:00.180 inclined

01:27:00.780 to believe

01:27:01.260 that that's

01:27:01.780 true

01:27:02.020 sorry

01:27:02.640 Greta

01:27:03.020 well I

01:27:05.640 guess the

01:27:06.220 Senate

01:27:07.380 had been

01:27:08.000 blocked

01:27:08.420 from getting

01:27:09.100 all their

01:27:09.640 nominees

01:27:11.060 through

01:27:11.560 all the way

01:27:12.160 to now

01:27:12.540 it's like

01:27:12.900 what

01:27:13.100 seven months

01:27:13.840 or something

01:27:14.300 and the

01:27:14.880 Democrats

01:27:15.300 blocked

01:27:15.680 them

01:27:15.820 but I

01:27:16.420 think

01:27:16.640 Republicans

01:27:17.440 had

01:27:17.900 also blocked

01:27:19.480 Democrats

01:27:20.080 when it

01:27:21.100 was reversed

01:27:21.720 so there's

01:27:22.380 a history

01:27:22.820 of this

01:27:23.160 and I

01:27:23.760 guess the

01:27:24.040 problem

01:27:24.340 was that

01:27:25.060 they needed

01:27:25.460 60 votes

01:27:26.600 where it's

01:27:28.000 easier to

01:27:28.480 get 50

01:27:29.020 so as long

01:27:30.640 as you need

01:27:31.000 60 the

01:27:32.100 other team

01:27:32.600 can block

01:27:33.480 you pretty

01:27:33.980 reliably

01:27:34.520 because we

01:27:35.180 always have

01:27:35.880 close

01:27:36.540 Senates

01:27:37.660 but it

01:27:39.680 looks like

01:27:40.060 the Senate

01:27:40.520 can vote

01:27:41.240 them up

01:27:41.660 themselves

01:27:42.660 some new

01:27:43.260 rules

01:27:43.720 and they

01:27:44.700 voted some

01:27:45.260 new rules

01:27:45.880 that they

01:27:46.220 only need

01:27:46.620 50

01:27:47.060 so now

01:27:49.280 they just

01:27:50.080 zipped through

01:27:50.600 and got

01:27:50.900 48 Trump

01:27:51.740 nominees

01:27:52.180 through

01:27:52.600 according to

01:27:53.300 Newsmax

01:27:53.940 what a

01:27:58.380 miserably

01:27:59.200 incompetent

01:28:00.480 group

01:28:00.900 Congress

01:28:02.500 is absolutely

01:28:03.700 thoroughly

01:28:04.600 messed up

01:28:06.960 well

01:28:08.240 according to

01:28:08.920 Ars Technica

01:28:09.660 the Trump's

01:28:10.500 Golden Dome

01:28:11.480 that would be

01:28:12.320 the missile

01:28:12.880 defense system

01:28:13.740 will cost

01:28:14.760 10 to 100

01:28:15.640 times more

01:28:16.280 than the

01:28:16.720 Manhattan

01:28:17.120 project

01:28:17.800 well

01:28:19.140 is that

01:28:19.940 adjusted

01:28:21.120 for inflation

01:28:21.960 I'll bet

01:28:23.300 it's not

01:28:23.880 what do you

01:28:25.260 think

01:28:25.560 I didn't see

01:28:26.240 the details

01:28:26.820 but probably

01:28:27.880 not adjusted

01:28:28.600 for inflation

01:28:29.300 but still

01:28:32.260 it's going to

01:28:32.640 be a lot

01:28:33.120 we all know

01:28:33.780 it's going to

01:28:34.380 be a lot

01:28:34.720 because it

01:28:35.000 has to

01:28:35.280 defend against

01:28:36.080 you know

01:28:37.060 a wide

01:28:37.640 variety

01:28:38.160 of airborne

01:28:38.980 threats

01:28:39.560 but it

01:28:42.020 could cost

01:28:42.700 let's see

01:28:43.200 the White

01:28:43.500 House said

01:28:44.000 in May

01:28:44.460 it might

01:28:45.300 cost

01:28:45.580 175

01:28:46.240 billion

01:28:46.940 over

01:28:47.180 three

01:28:47.480 years

01:28:47.960 but it

01:28:49.100 could be

01:28:49.480 hundreds

01:28:49.840 of billions

01:28:50.340 and you

01:28:51.580 know

01:28:51.700 take longer

01:28:52.300 than we

01:28:52.620 think

01:28:52.880 so this

01:28:53.460 will be

01:28:53.680 a good

01:28:53.920 test

01:28:54.260 of the

01:28:54.720 Trump

01:28:55.260 administration

01:28:55.880 see if

01:28:56.540 they can

01:28:56.800 get this

01:28:57.200 done

01:28:57.420 on time

01:28:57.920 and

01:28:58.200 on something

01:28:59.880 that looks

01:29:00.280 like a

01:29:00.580 reasonable

01:29:00.940 cost

01:29:01.840 we'll see

01:29:02.460 all right

01:29:06.540 chat GPT

01:29:10.640 is apparently

01:29:11.560 ruining some

01:29:12.320 marriages

01:29:12.720 according to

01:29:14.780 futurism

01:29:15.640 and the

01:29:17.220 one example

01:29:19.260 they gave

01:29:19.780 I couldn't

01:29:20.300 help it

01:29:20.740 but laugh

01:29:21.440 so apparently

01:29:23.380 the wife

01:29:24.260 in this

01:29:24.900 couple

01:29:25.280 they were

01:29:25.600 still married

01:29:26.260 the wife

01:29:27.400 had been

01:29:27.920 consulting

01:29:29.040 chat GPT

01:29:30.160 to figure out

01:29:31.340 better attacks

01:29:32.040 on her

01:29:32.340 husband

01:29:32.620 and bringing

01:29:34.340 up old

01:29:34.960 arguments

01:29:35.460 that they

01:29:36.320 thought were

01:29:36.940 settled

01:29:37.380 but when she

01:29:39.020 went back

01:29:39.420 to chat GPT

01:29:40.320 she got a

01:29:40.860 new line

01:29:41.280 of arguments

01:29:41.800 so she

01:29:42.260 brought them

01:29:42.680 all up

01:29:43.000 again

01:29:43.440 can you

01:29:46.300 imagine

01:29:46.860 having a

01:29:48.100 fight with

01:29:48.660 your spouse

01:29:49.360 and then

01:29:50.160 saying all

01:29:50.720 right

01:29:50.940 we're going

01:29:51.800 to let

01:29:52.080 chat GPT

01:29:53.200 be the

01:29:54.280 final say

01:29:54.960 you go

01:29:55.620 all right

01:29:55.900 chat GPT

01:29:56.600 let me

01:29:57.580 tell you

01:29:57.840 what happened

01:29:58.360 my spouse

01:29:59.820 did this

01:30:00.420 and I

01:30:00.880 said that

01:30:01.500 and then

01:30:01.840 she did

01:30:02.220 this

01:30:02.500 and I

01:30:02.800 said that

01:30:03.260 who was

01:30:04.040 right

01:30:04.420 what

01:30:06.480 what if

01:30:08.160 chat GPT

01:30:08.920 has an

01:30:09.340 opinion

01:30:09.680 and just

01:30:11.640 says

01:30:11.960 yes

01:30:13.000 under those

01:30:13.620 circumstances

01:30:14.300 it would

01:30:14.800 be fair

01:30:15.260 to see

01:30:15.740 that the

01:30:16.700 wife was 0.99

01:30:17.240 100%

01:30:17.980 right

01:30:18.340 in this

01:30:18.840 case

01:30:19.200 that would

01:30:21.160 end the

01:30:21.500 marriage

01:30:21.800 pretty quickly

01:30:22.420 so yeah

01:30:24.760 chat GPT

01:30:25.540 is going

01:30:25.840 to blow 0.56

01:30:26.180 some

01:30:26.440 marriages

01:30:26.820 apart

01:30:27.400 would you

01:30:30.920 like some

01:30:31.400 news

01:30:31.880 that you

01:30:32.740 could have

01:30:33.120 guessed

01:30:33.660 randomly

01:30:34.540 all right

01:30:35.720 here's a

01:30:36.500 news headline

01:30:37.400 that if you

01:30:38.500 never knew

01:30:39.080 what happened

01:30:39.600 you could

01:30:40.480 have sat

01:30:40.960 in a chair

01:30:41.520 in a

01:30:41.820 darkened

01:30:42.220 room and

01:30:42.720 said

01:30:42.960 you know

01:30:44.340 what

01:30:44.640 I think

01:30:45.960 this is

01:30:46.380 going to

01:30:46.640 happen

01:30:46.940 and you

01:30:47.980 would have

01:30:48.200 been right

01:30:48.720 all right

01:30:49.640 here it

01:30:49.980 is

01:30:50.280 a Boston

01:30:51.400 BLM 1.00

01:30:52.100 activist

01:30:52.680 is going

01:30:53.080 to plead

01:30:53.400 guilty

01:30:53.780 to federal

01:30:54.620 fraud

01:30:55.120 charges

01:30:55.660 she

01:30:59.020 defrauded

01:30:59.600 donors

01:31:00.100 and more

01:31:00.540 than a

01:31:00.860 million in

01:31:01.400 grants and

01:31:01.940 donations

01:31:02.440 to fund

01:31:03.400 their lavish

01:31:05.000 lifestyle

01:31:05.700 you tell

01:31:08.980 me that

01:31:10.120 you could

01:31:10.580 not have

01:31:10.960 sat in

01:31:11.360 a darkened

01:31:11.940 room and

01:31:12.440 said

01:31:12.740 I'm just

01:31:15.200 going to

01:31:15.440 go out on

01:31:15.760 a limb

01:31:15.960 here

01:31:16.160 I think

01:31:18.060 there might

01:31:18.520 be another

01:31:19.060 BLM 1.00

01:31:19.960 leader who

01:31:22.140 may have

01:31:22.560 gotten caught

01:31:23.140 taking some

01:31:24.960 donations

01:31:25.500 maybe

01:31:26.980 maybe

01:31:28.060 yeah

01:31:29.320 how many

01:31:30.000 have we

01:31:30.300 seen now

01:31:30.860 I remember

01:31:33.220 when I

01:31:34.060 first got

01:31:34.560 involved with

01:31:35.300 Black Lives

01:31:35.980 Matter

01:31:36.280 before we

01:31:37.280 knew just

01:31:37.760 how bad

01:31:38.220 it was

01:31:38.580 and I

01:31:41.560 was told

01:31:42.260 by somebody

01:31:42.980 in the

01:31:43.460 organization

01:31:44.080 that it

01:31:45.660 was kind

01:31:45.980 of a

01:31:46.220 money-making

01:31:46.760 endeavor

01:31:47.220 and I

01:31:50.900 believe

01:31:51.420 that that

01:31:52.220 was true

01:31:52.800 all right

01:31:53.460 ladies and 0.98

01:31:54.740 gentlemen

01:31:55.100 that's all I

01:31:56.540 got for you

01:31:57.080 went too

01:31:57.520 long

01:31:57.860 sorry about

01:31:58.420 that

01:31:58.800 I'm going

01:31:59.280 to talk

01:31:59.700 just for a

01:32:00.460 minute

01:32:00.620 privately

01:32:01.140 to the

01:32:01.760 beloved

01:32:02.840 beloved

01:32:04.460 locals

01:32:06.200 people

01:32:06.580 if you'd

01:32:07.420 like to be

01:32:07.900 beloved

01:32:08.360 join

01:32:09.000 locals

01:32:09.540 locals.com

01:32:11.460 you can

01:32:12.340 just find

01:32:12.800 me on

01:32:13.140 there

01:32:13.340 and if

01:32:14.940 you just

01:32:15.200 want the 0.55

01:32:15.520 Dilbert comic

01:32:16.240 and that's

01:32:17.340 all you

01:32:17.620 want

01:32:17.860 you can

01:32:18.200 get that

01:32:18.540 on X

01:32:19.020 just look

01:32:19.840 for

01:32:20.160 Scott

01:32:20.940 M.

01:32:21.260 says

01:32:21.500 and you'll

01:32:22.240 see where

01:32:22.540 to subscribe

01:32:23.360 itself in

01:32:24.100 the title

01:32:25.100 all right

01:32:26.160 everybody

01:32:26.540 locals

01:32:28.320 coming at

01:32:29.040 you in

01:32:29.820 30 seconds

01:32:30.640 privately

01:32:52.540 you

01:33:22.540 Thank you.

01:33:52.540 Thank you.

01:34:22.540 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 19, 2025

Episode 2963 CWSA 09⧸19⧸25

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