Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2973 CWSA 09⧸29⧸25

00:00:00.000 Oh, there you are.

00:00:02.580 Hello, everybody.

00:00:03.420 Good morning.

00:00:04.720 Come on in.

00:00:06.160 It is great to see you.

00:00:08.760 Grab a beverage, grab a seat, and get ready for, well, you know.

00:00:15.340 You know.

00:00:19.460 Stocks are up a little bit.

00:00:21.540 All right.

00:00:22.460 Good for us.

00:00:24.540 Let me get your comments working, and then I'll feel like we're ready.

00:00:28.300 Come on in.

00:00:31.600 Pull up a chair.

00:00:36.000 Oh, cat.

00:00:40.760 The things you knock on the floor.

00:00:44.260 All right.

00:00:44.820 We'll leave it there for now, because you'll just knock it over again. 0.96

00:00:49.500 Pretty sure.

00:00:52.200 No, don't eat all the Kleenex.

00:00:55.960 All right.

00:00:56.800 Well, I'll clean that up later.

00:00:59.780 Boom, boom, boom, boom, boom.

00:01:03.580 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:01:08.380 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

00:01:11.940 But if you'd like to try to elevate your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tanker, a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:30.900 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:32.640 I like coffee.

00:01:33.520 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:41.180 It's called the Simultaneous Zip, and it happens now.

00:01:45.700 Go.

00:01:45.940 So good.

00:01:51.800 All right.

00:01:53.680 If you haven't already seen it, there was a surprise podcast yesterday afternoon.

00:02:03.860 Greg Gottfeld and Dr. Drew were in the area for other business, and we decided to get together.

00:02:11.980 And we did a special podcast with the three of us in my kitchen, and people are saying they like it.

00:02:21.500 So you might want to check that out.

00:02:23.660 It's on the usual platforms.

00:02:25.820 Wherever you watch this show, it will also be there from yesterday.

00:02:32.720 Well, let's see if there's any science that didn't need to happen because you couldn't just ask me.

00:02:37.580 Eric Dolan of SciPost is writing about affection deprivation may explain why fubbing.

00:02:46.800 Have you ever heard of that?

00:02:48.120 Fubbing?

00:02:49.300 P-H-U-B-B-I-N-G. 1.00

00:02:52.080 Apparently, fubbing is when you look at your phone when you should be being social.

00:02:58.720 So if you're in a relationship, but you spend too much time on your phone in front of your partner,

00:03:05.600 you are fubbing.

00:03:07.580 I never heard of that until today.

00:03:09.420 Anyway, so apparently, can you believe it, that when people fub in front of them,

00:03:15.580 the person who's getting fubbed on, if that's right, I don't know if that's the way to say it,

00:03:22.420 the person getting fubbed on will not be happy and not feel it's a good relationship.

00:03:29.380 Did you really need to do that study?

00:03:32.500 You could have come to me and said, Scott, how would you feel if your date pulled out her phone

00:03:39.580 and started paying attention to the phone instead of you?

00:03:42.440 How would you feel?

00:03:43.820 I'd say, well, not ideal.

00:03:46.100 And then they'd say, we're going to do a study to see if other people would feel the same way.

00:03:51.760 And I'd say, whoa, slow down there.

00:03:53.620 Slow down.

00:03:54.280 You don't need to do that study.

00:03:56.220 They will feel the same.

00:03:58.180 I promise you.

00:03:59.500 Save some money.

00:04:00.120 All right.

00:04:04.200 Well, there's something going on with comedian Theo Vaughn.

00:04:09.200 Apparently, he was recording a comedy show, the Beacon Theater.

00:04:14.900 And after the show, he said something that got caught on camera.

00:04:19.720 He said it to the audience as he was interacting with them personally.

00:04:25.540 And he said, I'm having a long month.

00:04:27.980 I'm trying not to take my own life.

00:04:30.120 Wow.

00:04:32.700 Now, he did not say it with a big old smile on his face.

00:04:37.280 He kind of said it like that was real.

00:04:40.540 So, Theo, we're all going to send you some positive vibes.

00:04:45.640 I hope whatever it is that's plaguing you this month gets worked out.

00:04:50.280 I didn't realize that, separate from this story, I noticed that Theo's audience size for his podcast,

00:05:00.120 is enormous.

00:05:01.540 Did you know that?

00:05:03.040 Yeah, I knew he was doing really well and that he was one of the big ones.

00:05:06.660 But his audience is enormous now.

00:05:08.960 So, good for you, Theo.

00:05:10.760 I hope everything works out.

00:05:13.720 Well, as you know, Oregon doesn't want Trump to send in his military to take care of all the alleged unrest and crime.

00:05:25.260 But it's going to happen anyway, I think.

00:05:29.020 And Oregon is going to try to sue him to stop it.

00:05:33.400 Okay.

00:05:34.400 Kat, could you get your head out of the Kleenex box?

00:05:39.400 Find something else to play with.

00:05:41.800 All right.

00:05:46.580 So, anyway, so that's happening.

00:05:49.140 And so, there's a little bit of a fake news kind of element to this.

00:05:55.120 And I don't know which way it goes.

00:05:56.720 I don't know which part's the fake part.

00:05:58.180 But the officials in Oregon and some people who live there say, what problem?

00:06:04.640 There's no problem.

00:06:06.060 Look how great everything is.

00:06:07.720 And they'll show you a video of walking through the streets and everything looks peaceful and happy.

00:06:13.040 And then you talk to anybody on the right and they've got different videos.

00:06:18.840 Just look awful.

00:06:21.540 So, I actually don't know.

00:06:23.440 I don't know if Oregon is any worse than it ever was.

00:06:27.040 I can't tell.

00:06:28.380 I'm guessing it probably is.

00:06:30.020 Otherwise, they wouldn't bother sending in the military.

00:06:32.540 But there you go.

00:06:34.460 Well, Trump sent out two truths, you know, from Truth Social, that honestly don't look like he sent them.

00:06:44.360 So, I'm waiting to see if there's more to this story.

00:06:46.440 Because neither of them would be really something he would post online.

00:06:53.060 One of them looks like it's an entirely AI-made thing where even, you know, he's talking but it looks like just AI voice.

00:07:01.520 This sounds like him but it's AI.

00:07:03.680 And it was announcing something called MedBed, some kind of medical card that he was announcing, which isn't real.

00:07:13.280 So, we don't know why he sent that around when it doesn't seem to be real.

00:07:20.220 It's not something that anybody's doing and it's not that funny.

00:07:24.100 It wasn't funny and it wasn't real.

00:07:27.420 So, is it possible he thought it was real?

00:07:31.300 I don't think so because it was talking about what he was doing and he's not doing that.

00:07:36.840 There's no MedBed card as far as I can tell.

00:07:39.680 But he sent that around, which made me think maybe somebody else had access to his account.

00:07:46.540 And then also, yesterday, he sent out something that was praising CBD, you know, the component within marijuana, for its many medicinal uses.

00:08:00.260 Now, you could sort of imagine maybe he would send that out.

00:08:05.620 But I don't think so.

00:08:06.840 So, I've never seen him promote anything that was, you know, pro-weed, even if it was something we already knew that it was, you know, used medicinally.

00:08:17.660 So, I don't know what's going on.

00:08:19.560 There might be more to this story.

00:08:21.140 But it does not seem that Trump himself sent those two messages.

00:08:26.060 I just don't know.

00:08:26.920 Did you lock the front door?

00:08:31.980 Check.

00:08:32.540 Closed the garage door?

00:08:33.700 Yep.

00:08:34.180 Installed window sensors, smoke sensors, and HD cameras with night vision?

00:08:37.660 No.

00:08:38.480 And you set up credit card transaction alerts, a secure VPN for a private connection, and continuous monitoring for our personal info on the dark web?

00:08:45.000 Uh, I'm looking into it?

00:08:47.480 Stress less about security.

00:08:49.260 Choose security solutions from TELUS for peace of mind at home and online.

00:08:53.120 Visit telus.com slash total security to learn more.

00:08:56.660 Conditions apply.

00:08:58.820 Well, median politics is, on X, is looking at Trump's executive order to the states.

00:09:07.700 So, back in March, he signed some executive orders, or one executive order, to improve the voting integrity in the states.

00:09:15.480 Now, the states, of course, have control over how they do voting.

00:09:20.240 But Trump thinks he can impose some standards.

00:09:25.400 And what would happen when Trump tries to impose some voting process standards on a state that's blue and doesn't love Trump?

00:09:35.920 What would happen?

00:09:36.580 Well, apparently, they do the Dilbert technique, which is, sure, I'll do that.

00:09:44.920 Okay, is it done yet?

00:09:46.500 Oh, didn't have time.

00:09:49.660 Okay, but you're working on it now, right?

00:09:51.500 Oh, yeah.

00:09:52.080 Yeah, totally working on it now.

00:09:53.900 Check back in a few weeks.

00:09:55.860 Are you done yet?

00:09:57.460 Oh, oh, something came up.

00:10:00.500 Yeah.

00:10:00.880 No, and I've got to talk to somebody before I do anything.

00:10:03.600 And so, basically, they're slow-walking it so it doesn't happen.

00:10:10.060 And what else are they doing?

00:10:11.620 They're doing court challenges.

00:10:16.020 They're putting political pressure to try to make it go away.

00:10:19.140 They're missing deadlines because, apparently, it looks like there's no penalty.

00:10:24.120 So, if you just say, oh, yeah, yeah, we see your executive order.

00:10:27.400 Yeah, we'll take care of that.

00:10:28.640 Then, if you just don't do it, it doesn't look like there's a penalty.

00:10:33.600 So, I think they just don't do it.

00:10:36.420 So, at this point, it does not look like the executive order is going to make a difference.

00:10:42.960 I think it's going to be too easy for the states to say, nah, we're in charge of this.

00:10:47.780 Get out of here.

00:10:48.400 Well, I guess Trump and the top Democrats are going to talk today as a last-ditch effort to try to work out a budget compromise.

00:11:00.660 I don't think there's any chance that'll happen.

00:11:03.160 Do you?

00:11:03.620 I mean, I think Trump has to do it, have the meeting.

00:11:07.480 So, it looks like he's trying.

00:11:10.280 But, correct me if I'm wrong.

00:11:12.840 I'll take a fact check on this.

00:11:14.820 But, don't the smart people say that they think the Democrats will be blamed for closing the government?

00:11:20.340 If the Democrats are, let's say, predictably easily going to be blamed for it, why would Trump ever agree to their demands that are things that he definitely doesn't want to do?

00:11:33.900 You know, like, health care for illegal aliens and stuff.

00:11:38.900 So, I don't really think there's any possibility that anything will get fixed.

00:11:44.820 They might agree to kick it, you know, kick it down the road.

00:11:48.540 That was one of the possibilities, just to delay it again.

00:11:51.780 That might happen.

00:11:53.020 But, they're not going to, you know, he's not going to agree to their demands or anything like that.

00:11:57.120 So, Trump was asked about Christopher Wray, who was his FBI head.

00:12:07.520 And, he said that Trump said he would imagine, quote, would imagine the Justice Department is investigating him.

00:12:15.200 And, one of the reasons that Trump gave is that, apparently, Wray had said that, you know, he didn't know how many FBI people were attending the January 6th thing.

00:12:27.120 But, now we know that there might have been close to 300.

00:12:30.960 But, what I don't know yet, because it's divided into two movies on one screen.

00:12:36.560 I don't know which one is true.

00:12:38.020 One of the movies is, oh, now we have proof that the FBI was behind instigating the trouble.

00:12:45.240 Because, now we know there were 274 of them.

00:12:47.840 And, why would there be that many?

00:12:49.920 Unless they were there to influence the, you know, the bad result.

00:12:53.900 The other movie says, no, these are people who were called in after the people had already penetrated the building.

00:13:04.580 And, they were there to try to, you know, assist with law enforcement and maintain order.

00:13:10.100 But, they were in plain clothes and no way to identify them.

00:13:14.800 So, I don't know how much they could have helped.

00:13:17.760 So, what do you think?

00:13:19.400 Which movie are you in?

00:13:20.740 Are you in the movie where the FBI has now admitted that they had so many people there on January 6th that they were, in fact, to blame for the bad, you know, the bad outcomes? 0.80

00:13:33.220 Or, it's complete bullshit and the, all of those law enforcement types, FBI, came in after the people had already entered the building.

00:13:44.440 Basically, which one do you think is real? 0.98

00:13:49.660 I don't know.

00:13:51.320 I don't know.

00:13:52.260 I don't know which one's real, honestly.

00:13:54.480 And, I don't think there's any way to find out.

00:13:57.820 Because, everything's a lie.

00:14:00.540 Everything's fake.

00:14:01.380 Everything's a lie.

00:14:02.260 I don't even think we'll ever know.

00:14:03.380 So, all it does is give people an opportunity to believe whatever it was that they were inclined to believe before they found out there were 274 FBI people there.

00:14:17.280 Well, Eric Adams, no relation, dropped out of the New York City mayor race.

00:14:23.020 So, that means it's Mom Dummy and Sliwa and Cuomo.

00:14:29.840 And, it turns out that Sliwa is spell-checked to slow.

00:14:37.080 I just realized that because it says slow instead of Sliwa in my notes.

00:14:42.820 But, nobody thinks that Adams dropping out will swing enough votes to one of the others for anybody else to win except Mom Dummy.

00:14:53.780 So, Mom Dummy is on a glide path to easily winning. 1.00

00:14:59.040 And then, the big question would be, what if Curtis Sliwa also dropped out?

00:15:05.480 Would that be enough?

00:15:07.360 Would that get the race close enough that Cuomo could win?

00:15:10.600 And, do you want that?

00:15:12.820 Do you want that?

00:15:13.960 I mean, maybe that's worse than Mom Dummy.

00:15:16.800 Because, there is an argument that if we sacrifice New York City with a terrible mayor who would destroy everything, that that would be pretty expensive.

00:15:28.920 But, it would give us another 20 years without a socialist in office.

00:15:34.020 Because, we would just say, all right, come on.

00:15:36.640 Look what this guy did.

00:15:37.740 He just ruined New York City.

00:15:39.100 You can't vote for that guy.

00:15:40.240 So, it could be that both the left and the right want Mom Dummy to win, but for different reasons.

00:15:48.160 The left wants them because they like them.

00:15:51.140 The right might want them.

00:15:53.140 Some members of the right, obviously not people who live in New York City, but people who don't live in New York City might be saying, you know, the very best thing that could happen, all things being equal, is that the left finds out that their philosophy doesn't work by trying it and just showing that none of it works.

00:16:16.280 Well, as you know, the problem with the left is that they do not have a cause and effect gene where they can tell, if we do this, the way people will react will be that, and we don't want that.

00:16:32.040 They can't do that.

00:16:33.500 Apparently, that's only something people on the right can do.

00:16:35.800 If you make it free, everybody's going to come here to get it.

00:16:41.700 Like, the right just automatically sees cause and effect.

00:16:45.680 The left, nope.

00:16:47.280 They see some kind of weird ideal principle.

00:16:51.380 But then the way that they try to attack that principle is by doing something that couldn't possibly work. 0.96

00:16:57.860 I mean, it's just mad shit crazy. 0.88

00:16:59.340 There's some bad behavior going on, cat-wise. 0.85

00:17:09.500 Okay.

00:17:10.200 I've got one cat with his head in my shoe.

00:17:14.620 And now two cats.

00:17:15.900 Two cats with their head.

00:17:17.500 They both came over and just put their heads in my shoes.

00:17:21.020 All right.

00:17:22.220 There were two shootings yesterday.

00:17:25.980 One with, there were multiple victims.

00:17:27.940 We don't have a full, complete count because one of them shot up a church and then set it on fire,

00:17:35.360 so there might be more victims that they haven't found yet.

00:17:38.360 Just truly horrible.

00:17:40.040 So this one was, what state was it?

00:17:47.160 It was Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.

00:17:50.160 So it was a Mormon church.

00:17:53.520 And, you know, that should be the first thing in the story, should be where it happened.

00:17:58.940 Huh.

00:18:00.120 Somehow I did not write down the state.

00:18:05.500 What was it?

00:18:06.280 What was the state where the first shooting happened?

00:18:09.940 Is it Michigan?

00:18:11.680 Michigan.

00:18:12.260 Okay.

00:18:12.980 All right.

00:18:13.320 Michigan it is.

00:18:14.140 It's a, apparently an ex-military guy, ex-marine, I think.

00:18:20.600 And he drove his vehicle into the church, you know, just drove it right through a window or something,

00:18:27.940 and then started shooting and then set it on fire.

00:18:30.900 And by the time the law enforcement got there, they took him out in the parking lot.

00:18:37.160 So he's dead now.

00:18:38.940 But was that the only shooting yesterday?

00:18:42.460 No.

00:18:42.940 There was a gunman that fired from a boat into a North Carolina restaurant, killing three and wounding five.

00:18:50.980 Wow.

00:18:52.980 Wow.

00:18:53.620 And believe it or not, that man was also an ex-military guy.

00:19:01.460 Yep.

00:19:02.760 Two ex-military guys decided to shoot up a populated place. 0.71

00:19:08.780 They were both white, in case you're wondering.

00:19:11.440 But we don't know about their, you know, political leading or anything like that.

00:19:16.460 We'll find that out.

00:19:18.840 Anyway, the one who shot up the restaurant is known to local police.

00:19:27.700 So that could mean almost anything.

00:19:29.620 Well, there's a lot of chatter on social media about whether Bill Clinton was basically a MAGA-compatible leader in his day.

00:19:40.080 And the argument for that is that he was, he liked strong borders.

00:19:45.640 I think he cut welfare at one point, right?

00:19:48.020 Or made people work to get it.

00:19:52.400 But the counterargument is that he expanded health care and et cetera.

00:20:01.200 So some say he was basically, he was basically Trump.

00:20:07.680 But not quite.

00:20:08.900 Not quite.

00:20:10.560 Hillary was.

00:20:11.460 Hillary was for strong borders and shipping people back as soon as possible. 0.99

00:20:16.520 So she was, Hillary was basically Trump. 0.99

00:20:19.600 Not that many years ago.

00:20:22.700 So, but, and Elon Musk was noting the similarities.

00:20:27.620 But other people say, no, no, there are too many differences.

00:20:31.500 You can't call them that.

00:20:32.540 Well, according to the No Tricks Zone publication, P. Gosselin is writing that in 2025, the Arctic sea ice, the minimum neared blah, blah, blah.

00:20:45.420 But essentially, it's been rising steadily for almost two decades.

00:20:51.980 So climate change models would tell you that that ice would melt almost every year.

00:20:58.600 So it should be a lot less after two decades.

00:21:03.620 But in fact, it went up.

00:21:06.780 So there's one of your climate change predictions.

00:21:11.860 Nope.

00:21:12.460 Opposite.

00:21:13.020 But at the same time, also on climate change, they found some overestimate they were making.

00:21:22.680 This is from Mandy Carr of The Cooldown.

00:21:26.000 So they did a new study in Greenland.

00:21:28.260 And they learned more about melting ice sheets and realized that the climate models were totally wrong on that one variable, the melting ice sheets.

00:21:39.780 And that it was a kind of a big deal and could change the results of what you think of it.

00:21:45.920 Now, so that's just two stories that were in the news just today.

00:21:50.800 How many stories have I read you in the past year or two that were, uh-oh, we just found out something in our climate model was terribly wrong?

00:22:02.320 Now, at this point, the only way you could believe that climate change is the, you know, the threat that people say,

00:22:11.380 the only way you could believe that is if you believe that climate change is the only science that's valid. 0.99

00:22:18.980 Because almost everything else is complete bullshit. 0.98

00:22:25.460 You know, why would climate change be the only exception? 0.99

00:22:29.220 Oh, yeah.

00:22:29.880 Everything else is fake data from our job numbers.

00:22:35.600 Job numbers are fake or, you know, everything.

00:22:39.480 Basically, everything's fake.

00:22:40.700 Everything except climate change.

00:22:42.740 So in order to believe it, you would have to believe everything's fake except climate change.

00:22:47.560 Now, the U.K. Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, he says that climate change is, I guess, one of the main reasons he believes

00:23:00.340 why the millions of third-world military-aged Muslim men are coming to the U.K., according to WallStreetMav on X.

00:23:09.220 So apparently, WallStreetMav is pointing out, apparently, they weren't safe from climate change in any of the other 50-plus countries.

00:23:19.140 No, the only place they would be safe is in the U.K.

00:23:23.220 So that's why they came?

00:23:25.840 No, Keir Starmer, apparently, you don't know anything about anything.

00:23:30.380 Nobody came because of climate change. 0.99

00:23:32.440 Nobody, not one fucking person said, you know what? 0.97

00:23:37.480 Given this climate change, I better get myself to the U.K. right away. 0.98

00:23:41.840 Not one person.

00:23:43.560 And he's trying to sell that.

00:23:45.180 Now, I wonder why Starmer has the lowest approval that we've ever seen from a, I think, the lowest we've ever seen from a U.K. prime minister. 1.00

00:23:55.180 Well, it could be because he says dumb shit like that. 0.99

00:24:01.160 Well, I saw a video by Peter St. Ange, PhD. 1.00

00:24:06.660 So he's got a strong resume.

00:24:11.800 And he says that up to 90% of published academic studies are false, meaning they can't be replicated.

00:24:19.740 90% of published academic studies are false.

00:24:25.900 And that would include, he points out, things about cancer drugs, global warming, gender mutilation, and even vaccines.

00:24:35.320 So the NIH wants to figure out how to make science real again.

00:24:40.980 Because at the moment, science isn't even real.

00:24:43.540 It's just not real.

00:24:44.360 If 90% of it is just made up, and you can't tell what's in the 90 and what's in the 10, science is not real.

00:24:52.420 And maybe it hasn't been real for a long time.

00:24:55.420 So anyway, so Professor John Ioannidis, or Ioannidis, I can't tell if that's an I or an L.

00:25:08.280 But anyway, I think it's an I, Ioannidis.

00:25:10.040 So years ago, he determined that 97% of studies of pharma drugs are fake.

00:25:18.360 So if you see any study of any pharma test where they're comparing one, say, a new drug to the existing drug, 97% of the time it's fake.

00:25:31.620 And that's the only thing we do to approve drugs, is the thing that's 97% fake.

00:25:39.340 Not just wrong, not just wrong, but intentionally fake.

00:25:46.260 So there's your peer review right there. 0.99

00:25:48.980 Useless. 0.97

00:25:49.500 So I'll say it again. 0.83

00:25:53.240 Given that 90 or 97% of all studies are fake, in order to believe that climate change is just what they said, you would have to believe that that was a wild exception.

00:26:06.380 And I'm not saying climate change, real or not real.

00:26:10.820 I'm saying that all of the subsets of that so-called science, there'd be so many elements of that, so many parts that they think they needed to put into the model,

00:26:24.560 that if 90% of the subsets are wrong, well, you're probably not going to be right with your climate models.

00:26:35.960 All right.

00:26:36.920 Let's see what else is happening.

00:26:41.400 The Georgia State Election Board has voted to subpoena 2020 election physical ballots.

00:26:49.900 So the Gateway Pundit is writing about this.

00:26:51.960 Now, all this election stuff gets really complicated, but I believe the allegation is that in 2020, if they had access, which they might get now, to the ballots, but also the envelopes that they arrived in,

00:27:10.400 and that the main thing they want to check, the easiest thing, is does the number of ballots match the number of envelopes?

00:27:20.120 Because nobody should be taking any ballots in, like, just holding them in their hand.

00:27:26.960 So if you found that there were a whole bunch of ballots, but they did not equal the number of envelopes, that would be not proof-proof,

00:27:37.080 but it would definitely be leaning toward, looks like there's a whole bunch of fake ballots, because they don't have an envelope.

00:27:44.240 So, I don't know.

00:27:46.840 We'll see.

00:27:47.680 I think there's 20,000 votes that are in question for 2020.

00:27:53.080 You know, I don't want to get excited about any of these possibilities, because every time we got excited, it's like, whoa, looks like they got the goods on them this time.

00:28:04.620 It never really works out, does it?

00:28:08.280 And I'm not sure why that is.

00:28:11.260 Like, why is it that there have been so many allegations that didn't work out?

00:28:16.460 Maybe that's just the way it always is.

00:28:18.220 Maybe it's always 25 to 1 allegations to reality when it comes to anything complicated like an election.

00:28:24.160 So, maybe.

00:28:28.780 All right.

00:28:31.860 All right.

00:28:33.720 Looking at your comment there.

00:28:39.460 Yeah.

00:28:41.220 So, I saw somebody say that guns were going to be banned in Canada.

00:28:48.580 And I thought, what?

00:28:50.660 They're not going to ban guns in Canada.

00:28:54.160 I mean, that's crazy.

00:28:55.620 There's no way they're going to ban guns in Canada.

00:28:57.800 So, I went to Grok to see if Grok agreed.

00:29:02.920 And I said, no, no. 0.99

00:29:04.260 No, they don't ban guns, you silly goose. 1.00

00:29:08.280 They don't ban any guns. 0.99

00:29:09.700 Now, they don't allow you to buy a handgun.

00:29:12.300 It's not legal to buy a handgun.

00:29:14.400 If you had one, you can do some paperwork to keep it.

00:29:18.560 But you'll never be able to buy another one.

00:29:20.640 So, there's that.

00:29:24.840 And then they're trying to get a ban on what they would think would be military-type rifles.

00:29:31.700 So, I believe the only thing, if they got their way, the government, the only thing that would be legal, but it would still be highly regulated, would be like a bolt-action rifle for hunting.

00:29:45.820 And, you know, a few other things.

00:29:49.840 But most guns would be banned if they get what they want.

00:29:54.500 So, good luck, Canada.

00:29:57.680 Keep bringing in all the foreign nationals and ban the guns. 1.00

00:30:03.560 That should work out great.

00:30:04.720 Again, it's just another clear example of the left not understanding cause and effect.

00:30:14.080 All right, you're bringing in massive Islamic people.

00:30:19.780 Simultaneously, you're disarming the people who are here.

00:30:23.400 That can only go one way.

00:30:26.180 There's only one way that goes. 0.98

00:30:27.740 And if that's what you planned, to get rid of all the Christians in your country, good job. 1.00

00:30:34.040 You're well on the way.

00:30:37.100 Well, according to HR Drive, Laurel Kelser is writing that there's some biotech conglomerate that's being blamed of using DEI to discriminate.

00:30:50.340 And this would be no surprise to any of you that wherever there is DEI, there's massive discrimination against white males because that's how everything works in the real world.

00:31:05.680 But I'm just going to say this and see how much trouble I get into.

00:31:10.000 Based on what I see online, so this is not like a survey or anything, but based on my observations online, I don't believe, well, I'll say it a different way.

00:31:20.340 Most black Americans believe that the thing that happens 100% of the time at companies happens 0% of the time.

00:31:28.400 The thing that happens 100% of the time, black Americans think never happens. 0.99

00:31:34.660 It doesn't happen at all.

00:31:36.220 And what I'm talking about is if you have DEI or even whatever was the predecessor to that,

00:31:44.420 if you have DEI, what should happen in principle, like in a perfect conceptual world is, wow, we were discriminating so badly that there were all these qualified black and brown and female candidates that were not getting jobs,

00:32:02.380 and they really should have because they were just as capable, just as qualified.

00:32:06.320 Now, obviously, there are people in every group that are at the top level of qualified and capable.

00:32:15.080 So every group has plenty of people that are, but plenty is not enough.

00:32:20.980 It's not even close to being enough.

00:32:24.000 So my point on DEI is that you could change the races of everybody involved.

00:32:30.040 It would still be a disaster.

00:32:31.840 You could say, for example, all right, not enough Irish are being hired.

00:32:38.200 So we're going to create a system where we're really going to encourage you to hire more Irish.

00:32:43.980 And we'll check on you, and your pay as a manager will depend on if you get enough Irish. 1.00

00:32:50.140 And then you go out and you find out everybody's trying to hire the limited quantity of Irish people who have the right skills for your high-tech industry, for example.

00:33:00.160 And they would find that, uh-oh, the only way I'm going to meet my goal of getting enough Irish is I'm going to have to lower the bar for how capable they will be before I hire them, right? 1.00

00:33:16.520 That would be how every human would act in that situation.

00:33:21.920 Almost no exception.

00:33:23.700 It would be close to every single human would act that way. 0.99

00:33:26.440 Meaning that the Irish, if you got on an airplane and you saw that the pilot had, you know, red hair and looked kind of Irish, you might say to yourself, oh, crap. 0.98

00:33:39.140 They may have lowered the standards to get enough Irish. 0.99

00:33:42.620 Now, if I change the Irish to black, people say, you're racist. 0.56

00:33:47.940 It's the same argument. 0.95

00:33:51.360 You can literally switch out.

00:33:53.660 You can put white people in there. 0.80

00:33:55.180 You can put Elbonians in there. 0.99

00:33:57.340 It doesn't matter who the person is. 0.99

00:33:59.800 That's the part that black Americans completely miss. 1.00

00:34:03.940 That most of them that I've seen address the question. 0.99

00:34:08.700 They don't seem to understand.

00:34:11.180 Again, it's not every black person, blah, blah, blah. 0.99

00:34:13.820 Everybody has to say that. 0.99

00:34:14.880 But they don't seem to understand that the normal, almost guaranteed way that that will go is that the white people in charge will cover their own asses, which is really a criticism of white people. 0.99

00:34:28.800 Oh, here's the thing that people don't understand. 0.99

00:34:33.060 When conservatives complain about DEI being racist, they're normally talking about other white people being the racists.

00:34:43.320 You get that, right?

00:34:44.180 If you're a black job candidate and you were lucky enough to be favored and you got a job, or even if you weren't favored, you just got the job, you're not to blame for anything.

00:35:00.280 All you did was apply for a job and you got offered one and you took it.

00:35:04.420 So why would you be the racist?

00:35:06.520 You're not.

00:35:06.940 So it's the same when it was Charlie Kirk who said the thing about a black pilot. 0.63

00:35:14.480 The black pilot would not be the one who's to blame.

00:35:17.880 It would be whoever said, I think I have to lower my standards to get the right number of people. 1.00

00:35:22.940 That would be usually some fucking white guy. 0.99

00:35:26.340 And that's the guy who does the bad thing. 1.00

00:35:30.720 The black guy simply took an opportunity that was offered. 0.99

00:35:34.820 That's not racist.

00:35:36.600 That's not anything but smart.

00:35:38.380 I would take the job if offered. 0.89

00:35:40.380 So when I complained about DEI, it's not 100%, but probably 80% are white people that are the villains. 1.00

00:35:50.760 The villains in the story are the white people because they're the ones saying, oh, I better cover my ass and make it look like I hired diversely. 0.96

00:36:00.380 All right, we'll see if that gets to be double canceled. 0.98

00:36:08.640 Do you know about the OCCRP, which I didn't see defined, but what it is is an organization of people in the news business internationally who kind of coordinate and some might say

00:36:28.720 they coordinate the fake news.

00:36:33.260 But the U.S. has sort of dropped out of that because we're sort of onto it.

00:36:39.580 So the Gateway Fund is writing about this.

00:36:41.800 But apparently there's a documentary made in Germany that exposes just how bad the OCCRP is.

00:36:53.720 And what did Germany do when the documentary exposed how bad they were? 0.92

00:36:59.480 They banned it.

00:37:01.300 They banned it.

00:37:03.780 So, yeah, they're trying to bury it.

00:37:10.840 So I'm pretty sure that the U.S. made the right play there thanks to Trump and others.

00:37:20.160 But the OCCRP is not something you should be happy about.

00:37:26.200 Well, I guess downtown Chicago now has a bunch of federal agents and tactical gear who are deployed there.

00:37:37.500 And Trump has said that Border Patrol will take no nonsense.

00:37:42.000 So they're working in Chicago.

00:37:44.280 And there's a bunch of federalized troops there working in the streets.

00:37:49.520 And they're trying to get rid of the worst of the worst, they say.

00:37:54.300 We'll see if that works.

00:37:56.660 Let's see if they save Chicago or not.

00:37:59.120 All right.

00:38:03.780 The White House has released a list of political agitators, they call them.

00:38:09.100 So these would be people who are calling Republicans Gestapo and Hitler and all that.

00:38:15.980 Jim Hoft, Gateway Pundit is writing about this.

00:38:18.060 But so the White House has released a list of the people and what they've said.

00:38:26.400 It's a pretty long list.

00:38:28.140 So I'll just give you some of them.

00:38:30.600 So Governor Tim Walz smeared ICE as the modern-day Gestapo.

00:38:35.880 Interestingly, Gavin Newsom wasn't nearly as bad.

00:38:43.180 So he likened ICE to secret police, calling them authoritarian, and proclaimed a right to push back.

00:38:52.140 Okay.

00:38:53.140 But J.B. Pritzker said that he claimed the country is becoming Nazi Germany because ICE is grabbing people off the streets and disappearing them.

00:39:02.480 And, let's see, Robin Kelly used Gestapo, Jasmin Crockett compared ICE to slave patrols.

00:39:11.020 And it's a pretty long list.

00:39:12.780 So it goes two pages, three pages.

00:39:16.940 It's just three pages of Democrats who have said horrible things that nobody should say.

00:39:26.980 Yeah.

00:39:27.800 Representative Lynch smeared ICE agents as the Gestapo.

00:39:32.020 And nondescript thugs.

00:39:36.680 Said somebody else, John Larson said ICE is the SS and the Gestapo.

00:39:42.420 So, yeah.

00:39:43.860 I think all of that needs to be called out.

00:39:46.820 So I compliment the White House for putting out this document with everybody's quote on it so you can see how bad it was.

00:39:54.020 All right.

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00:40:59.280 So, there's a study recently that said that right-wing violence had outpaced left-wing violence for 30 years, but now that's reversed.

00:41:16.100 According to the St. Columbia, Brendan Reskis is writing about it.

00:41:22.260 So, for the first time in 30 years, they say left-wing terrorism is now outpacing right-wing terrorism.

00:41:27.920 I'm going to say I don't believe any of that.

00:41:33.060 It might be true.

00:41:34.260 I mean, I don't have a pushback to that specific claim, but I'm pretty sure that the Democrats are saying it's the opposite.

00:41:42.860 And if you haven't personally looked into the data, you can't really trust either side.

00:41:50.080 You should assume that the Republicans will say the Democrats are the violent ones, even if they're not.

00:41:56.580 And you should assume that the Democrats will say the Republicans are the violent ones, even if they're not.

00:42:02.480 So, there's no credibility whatsoever to any of these claims.

00:42:07.760 One of them is true, because they're opposites.

00:42:11.020 You know, one of them is doing more bad things.

00:42:14.160 But I don't know if he can tell.

00:42:16.000 And I'm not sure I care that much that, you know, one does a little bit more than the other.

00:42:21.000 Because most of these people are individual nutcases.

00:42:25.760 So, I don't know.

00:42:27.500 It just feels like there's definitely something to all these people getting worked up by the fake news.

00:42:34.820 That's something to worry about. 0.98

00:42:36.800 But it's a lot of crazy people. 0.56

00:42:38.560 Well, Mario Knopfel is writing about Ukraine.

00:42:44.340 Apparently, Russia launched last night 500 to 650 drones attacking Kiev and other parts of Ukraine, I guess.

00:42:54.160 Had 55 cruise missiles, eight calibers.

00:42:58.460 I guess that's a missile.

00:43:00.200 Two hypersonic missiles and several KH-59.

00:43:03.880 So, that was a pretty major attack.

00:43:05.460 So, the question is, is Russia increasing its tax?

00:43:10.240 Because Trump is now basically saying he's going to help.

00:43:15.700 Trump is essentially saying that he's going to help Ukraine actually just win the war outright.

00:43:23.700 Maybe.

00:43:24.820 I think that's more negotiating than anything else.

00:43:27.700 But it's definitely a new look.

00:43:29.880 And Trump has authorized Ukraine, according to Austin's defender on X.

00:43:39.140 He's authorized Ukraine to carry out long-range drone and missile strikes against targets inside Russia.

00:43:46.260 But some of them will require Pentagon approval.

00:43:49.040 So, why would Russia treat it like they're at war with Ukraine if we're providing the missiles and giving them permission to use them deep inside Russia?

00:44:05.980 Do you think that Russia will be able to forever resist lobbing a missile into the homeland of the United States?

00:44:12.660 I don't think we're completely safe from Russia just making a point, just lobbing some missiles into the U.S., you know, maybe not having the most damage or death, but just saying, all right, here's the deal. 0.80

00:44:28.320 If you're going to help Ukraine lob missiles into Moscow, we're going to help ourselves lob some missiles into your cities. 0.96

00:44:38.240 Because why wouldn't they?

00:44:40.840 I mean, really, why wouldn't they?

00:44:42.820 So, I do worry that there's going to be a new level of escalation here that could come to the homeland, but I don't know.

00:44:51.120 I do also assume that Trump and company know more than we do about what's up in Russia.

00:44:57.980 One possibility is that our military and our government knows, and I don't know this to be true, I'm just speculating, that Russia might be in worse shape than we think.

00:45:10.600 And they might be closer to having to fold or give up, maybe for economic reasons.

00:45:17.060 Maybe they don't want to lose their oil business.

00:45:20.120 Maybe they know that if we totally unleash Ukraine with better weapons, they're in trouble. 0.88

00:45:27.060 So, maybe Trump knows something we don't, that Russia might be closer to something like a deal or a surrender.

00:45:35.520 I don't know.

00:45:36.800 But I'll tell you, it looks pretty dangerous.

00:45:40.160 We'll keep an eye on that.

00:45:41.600 Did you know that Turning Point USA is listed by the ADL in their Glossary of Extremism and Hate?

00:45:52.600 So, that's the ADL.

00:45:55.160 Elon Musk says that's deeply wrong.

00:45:58.740 And it makes me wonder if the ADL should list themselves as a hate group.

00:46:04.920 Because do they meet all the criteria?

00:46:08.180 What would it take to be a hate group?

00:46:11.600 The ADL says that I'm a Holocaust denier.

00:46:17.320 Is that something that you do if you're not a hate group?

00:46:22.820 Why would you even do that?

00:46:27.040 Anyway.

00:46:28.240 So, you always want to be in the team that gets to label others.

00:46:32.000 You don't want to be in the team that gets labeled.

00:46:34.340 So, the ADL, I think the ADL's purpose has maybe run its course.

00:46:45.040 If I had to guess, I think there's a non-zero chance the ADL will not be in business a year from now.

00:46:51.960 Because I think it's...

00:46:53.060 Remember, the ADL is not Israel.

00:46:56.460 Israel doesn't run the ADL.

00:46:58.680 And I don't think that they're super backing them in everything they do.

00:47:03.700 So, if Israel's not, you know, completely backing them, and the United States is not completely backing them, and they're not helping anybody, because I don't think they are, I don't know.

00:47:16.140 I don't know if they'll last another year.

00:47:18.400 We shall see.

00:47:19.580 Trump and company have released what they call a 21.2 Gaza peace plan.

00:47:30.860 But here's what it would call for.

00:47:33.360 Immediate ceasefire.

00:47:35.020 A freeze on battle lines.

00:47:37.640 A release of all hostages within two days.

00:47:41.060 Hamas's weapons would be destroyed.

00:47:46.000 Fighters would have to accept coexistence with Israel. 0.95

00:47:49.580 And they'd get amnesty and safe passage abroad, so they could leave the country if they were worried.

00:47:59.120 A possible, and pave the path to a possible Palestinian statehood.

00:48:04.560 Now, Palestinian statehood is not something that Israel wants, or at least the current leader of Israel.

00:48:12.260 So, I don't know about that one happening.

00:48:14.140 And Israel would free hundreds of Palestinian prisoners in response to having all their prisoners back.

00:48:22.100 Israel would halt plans to demolish or annex Gaza.

00:48:26.280 And would gradually withdraw its forces.

00:48:30.780 And anyone who wants to return to Gaza, after leaving, will be allowed to do so. 0.98

00:48:35.660 Gaza would get a temporary government overseen by an international group involving the U.S. and Arab countries and European nations.

00:48:45.940 And they would develop a new economic plan to revitalize it.

00:48:49.360 And the U.S. and Arab allies would craft a stabilization force to build up security in Gaza.

00:48:56.460 But, well, how many of you think any of that's going to happen?

00:49:04.340 I feel like I'm so beaten down.

00:49:08.200 You know, what, two years of war since October 7?

00:49:14.160 And I just don't see any of that happening.

00:49:19.580 Do you?

00:49:21.120 I see none of that happening.

00:49:23.100 Like, just none of it.

00:49:24.800 I feel that Israel's best interest would be to just take the heat and take the country. 1.00

00:49:36.300 Because, you know, who knows if they can survive that, by the way.

00:49:39.940 That would be quite a step.

00:49:43.260 So Israel would have to deal with the repercussions of that forever.

00:49:47.700 And that would be pretty big repercussions.

00:49:49.860 So they might not even be able to survive it if they try to just take Gaza and absorb it and kick out all the Palestinians that were in Gaza. 0.99

00:49:58.660 It might not be survivable.

00:50:00.140 I don't know.

00:50:01.080 I'm not smart enough to know how much of a danger that would be.

00:50:05.380 But I don't see either side agreeing to all the important parts.

00:50:11.360 I just don't see it.

00:50:13.200 Do you?

00:50:15.240 So I'd love to be wrong.

00:50:18.260 Wouldn't it be great if they worked everything out?

00:50:20.740 But I don't know.

00:50:22.360 I don't see any chance it could happen.

00:50:24.240 Well, the UN sanctions on Iran have snapped back into place because they were unable to agree on terms for ongoing inspections of their nuclear facilities.

00:50:36.180 Are you surprised that Iran did not give the West everything it wanted in inspections?

00:50:42.640 No surprise.

00:50:43.880 No surprise.

00:50:45.020 Apparently, Russia is army and training a Chinese airborne battalion with, you know, all kinds of their best equipment and everything.

00:50:56.660 And analysts think that maybe what they're doing is preparing for a Taiwan invasion, not Russia, but who they're training in China.

00:51:05.640 Do you think?

00:51:08.520 Do you think?

00:51:08.600 Do you think that China is literally preparing for an invasion?

00:51:14.440 I wouldn't rule it out, you know, or at the very least, they might want us to think they're planning it to put the pressure on.

00:51:23.420 But I wouldn't rule it out, you know, I wouldn't rule it in, you know, I wouldn't bet on it, but I wouldn't rule it out.

00:51:31.500 I think there's a solid 25% chance that China has a, you know, a specific plan with a date that they're going to go take Taiwan.

00:51:43.720 And I'm pretty sure they could take it if they wanted to.

00:51:46.440 Bad Bunny is a music star that I didn't know much about, but apparently that will be the Super Bowl halftime entertainment.

00:51:58.180 But Bad Bunny is, I'm learning today, Puerto Rican, and his songs are primarily in Spanish with very little English.

00:52:05.720 So people are saying, why are you doing that?

00:52:09.740 You know, we're an English-speaking country.

00:52:11.940 Wouldn't it make more sense to have English-speaking music?

00:52:15.200 But Bad Bunny is very popular.

00:52:18.000 So, I mean, Bad Bunny is popular in this country, too.

00:52:22.280 So I'm not sure that's a mistake.

00:52:24.260 People will complain.

00:52:25.680 But having a little bit of interesting diversity isn't the worst thing in the world.

00:52:31.660 All right.

00:52:33.440 That's all I got for you today.

00:52:35.360 I'm going to keep it a little bit short.

00:52:36.740 I'll remind you again, if you haven't seen it, I did a podcast last night with Dr. Drew and Greg Goffeld, who were nice enough to stop by my place yesterday.

00:52:49.100 So we sat in my kitchen and did a podcast, which, according to the comments, people really, really liked.

00:52:56.540 And I got to tell you that one of the many cool things about that experience is that the three of us are so experienced at talking in public that we can just turn on the cameras and do what turned out to be 83 minutes of content without any preparation.

00:53:18.680 Now, I have to admit, there aren't too many people who could do, you know, 83 minutes of apparently content that people really enjoyed based on the comments.

00:53:32.820 But we've all been doing it for a long time.

00:53:35.300 So it went better than I could have hoped, actually.

00:53:39.960 So if you want to see what my kitchen looks like, from one angle anyway, you can watch that.

00:53:46.500 So you can find that on YouTube or on X or on Locals or on Rumble.

00:53:53.100 And so far, everybody likes it a lot.

00:53:55.900 So that's good.

00:53:57.820 All right.

00:54:01.840 Yeah.

00:54:02.280 A lot of people are saying we should do it on a regular basis, but there's one thing that the three of us have in common, is that we each have about four jobs apiece.

00:54:15.100 I don't think we can add another job.

00:54:19.360 I don't think that's an option.

00:54:22.500 But maybe we'll get to do it again someday.

00:54:24.800 We'll see.

00:54:26.080 All right.

00:54:26.380 That's all I got for you.

00:54:27.200 I'm going to talk to the Locals subscribers, the beloved Locals subscribers, privately.

00:54:34.860 And the rest of you, thanks for joining.

00:54:39.040 I will see you tomorrow, same time, same place.

00:54:57.200 Thank you.

00:55:27.200 Thank you.

00:55:57.200 Thank you.

00:56:27.200 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 29, 2025

Episode 2973 CWSA 09⧸29⧸25

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