Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2980 CWSA 10⧸06⧸25

00:00:00.000 Here, grab a seat, grab a beverage, you're going to need it.

00:00:07.940 Checking your stocks, and your stocks are up, people, your stocks are up.

00:00:14.240 Good news, if you're wondering why my voice is so sexy, it's from not sleeping for two days.

00:00:23.100 Too much pain.

00:00:25.220 But we'll try to do a show.

00:00:27.620 That's what we're going to try to do.

00:00:31.000 One moment, we'll be ready.

00:00:36.400 Close enough.

00:00:42.540 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:52.260 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

00:00:55.980 But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass of tank or chalice or stein.

00:01:09.960 Have a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind, and fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:15.580 I like coffee.

00:01:17.560 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:22.960 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:01:26.980 Go.

00:01:27.160 Well, let's see if we can get through this today.

00:01:37.540 It'll be a little harder than normal.

00:01:39.040 So there's a new study at Cornell University that says that strong friendships may literally slow aging at the cellular level.

00:01:51.140 So if you've got a good social situation, it might make you age slower.

00:01:58.760 Now, I have a hypothesis, which is a crazy one that I've had for a long time, that there's something about the human body and the brain that allows your body and your brain to conform to whatever it is you think you need.

00:02:15.640 So if you had no friends, your body would say, well, there's no reason to hang around.

00:02:22.800 I don't need to live very long.

00:02:24.740 I don't even have any friends.

00:02:26.520 But if you had a really good social situation, your friends would depend on you.

00:02:31.800 You would depend on your friends.

00:02:33.300 And mentally, you would have the feeling that you were important and that there was a reason you should hang around and be alive.

00:02:41.640 So I feel like just knowing that you're important and you have a role might keep you younger.

00:02:50.920 That's what I think.

00:02:51.980 I believe your body gives you what you think you need in small ways.

00:02:57.080 In New York, apparently, it's hard to open a liquor store these days because so few people are drinking liquor these days that they don't want to put the existing ones in that business.

00:03:13.640 So if you apply for a liquor license in New York, they're going to say people aren't drinking nearly as much.

00:03:21.180 We don't want to put the existing ones out of business.

00:03:23.400 So 70% of the license applications for alcohol have been rejected.

00:03:32.920 Well, alcohol is poison.

00:03:37.500 According to a new Gallup poll, the percentage of Americans who say that college is, quote, very important has fallen from 75% in 2010 to 35% in 2025.

00:03:54.120 Now, do you think that's because people realized that a college education isn't as good as you thought?

00:04:02.000 Or did the colleges become crap, overpriced crap?

00:04:07.400 I think it's the second one.

00:04:09.720 I don't think that people just change their opinion.

00:04:12.520 I think college went from, you know, one of the best things you could ever do to maybe one of the worst.

00:04:20.380 You know, it'll make you broke and woke.

00:04:24.480 And being broke and woke is no way to go through life.

00:04:27.500 So I understand this.

00:04:29.380 Makes sense.

00:04:29.960 Well, according to P. Gosselin at the No Tricks Zone, he's reminding us that the sea level rise has never really happened.

00:04:42.800 Apparently, 74 out of 101 islands in, what is it, the Marianas, or no, the Maldives, is growing.

00:04:53.020 So there are as many islands, actually more, 75% of them are growing instead of shrinking.

00:05:01.840 Do you believe in climate change now?

00:05:04.140 Well, I would say the most, the single most basic thing that climate change predicted is that the sea level would rise.

00:05:15.520 Doesn't seem to be anything like that happening.

00:05:18.180 Some places it rises, some places it falls.

00:05:21.960 It's complicated.

00:05:23.300 But what's not happening is that we're not underwater.

00:05:26.960 It doesn't look like that's going to happen.

00:05:29.140 Anytime soon, anyway.

00:05:30.080 Do you believe that long COVID is real?

00:05:35.420 How many of you think long COVID is real?

00:05:38.760 I know you're going to say it's really long, long vaccination.

00:05:42.860 It's not the COVID.

00:05:44.080 It's the vaccination.

00:05:45.960 But how many think that there's something like that that's, I don't know.

00:05:51.220 I see mixed reports that maybe it's not even a real thing.

00:05:57.340 And then other times I see reports that it is.

00:06:01.660 But there's some new Japanese research on that.

00:06:07.380 And they believe that they've not only identified long COVID, but the exact mechanism.

00:06:13.780 Something called a massive spike in the AMPA receptors.

00:06:18.260 So apparently they can now scan you and they can know for sure if you have long COVID, they say.

00:06:26.760 So then I guess you could get some treatment.

00:06:29.360 I don't know what it would be.

00:06:30.880 But they talk about brain fog and everything.

00:06:34.480 I'm pretty sure that I had long COVID.

00:06:38.120 Maybe I had long vaccination, but I think it was long COVID.

00:06:41.240 Because I definitely had brain fog for months and months.

00:06:47.900 I could feel that for sure.

00:06:50.640 I don't know.

00:06:51.340 But it could also be in my head.

00:06:53.980 Don't know.

00:06:55.600 Meanwhile, Trump is trying to send a bunch of National Guard people to Chicago.

00:07:01.180 But Chicago doesn't want that help with their crime situation.

00:07:05.660 But just to make things fun, Governor Abbott has offered that if Illinois won't use its own National Guard,

00:07:17.620 that Texas would be happy to send 400 National Guard up to Chicago to do the job for them.

00:07:25.440 Which is kind of funny.

00:07:27.680 Abbott's pretty good.

00:07:29.600 He's always got a good response to everything.

00:07:32.960 Anyway, so I don't think that'll happen.

00:07:37.620 Maybe it will.

00:07:38.680 I don't know.

00:07:39.300 It's possible.

00:07:40.480 But it's kind of clever how they're gaming this out.

00:07:42.720 It's like, all right.

00:07:44.000 Well, if you won't give us your own National Guard, we'll nationalize them.

00:07:48.800 You can't do that.

00:07:50.060 You can't nationalize my state National Guard.

00:07:53.160 All right.

00:07:53.720 If I can't nationalize them, how about Texas?

00:07:56.600 We'll send some.

00:07:57.400 You can't do that.

00:07:58.440 That's a different state.

00:07:59.860 It doesn't matter.

00:08:00.920 It's federal.

00:08:01.440 Well, it's a federal issue.

00:08:03.500 It doesn't matter what state they're from, especially if you nationalize them.

00:08:08.260 Anyway.

00:08:10.000 But, of course, a federal judge, as you remember, had blocked the deployment of National Guard to Portland.

00:08:17.560 It looks like maybe they've blocked it a second time.

00:08:24.040 Anyway.

00:08:24.780 Gavin Newsom is bragging that they just won in court again, meaning blocking the Portland deployment.

00:08:32.800 So, that's what Governor Newsom calls winning.

00:08:36.780 So, for him, winning is not solving crime.

00:08:41.720 Isn't that weird that they're literally celebrating, yay, we didn't solve any crime.

00:08:51.180 Look at us.

00:08:52.320 Look how good we are.

00:08:54.480 Well, the Supreme Court's back in session, and Fox News is telling us what's coming up.

00:09:00.460 I guess we're going to have a case in the Supreme Court about the death penalty for low IQ people.

00:09:10.740 How low is the IQ before you can't get the death penalty?

00:09:16.860 It makes you wonder, is it 85, 70, 50?

00:09:22.080 Where's the cutoff?

00:09:23.900 I don't know.

00:09:25.120 But Jasmine Crockett would be the most worried, because apparently low IQ people can now get the death penalty, 1.00

00:09:32.700 unless the Supreme Court rules against it, which it might.

00:09:36.780 I guess there's a bunch of LGBTQ cases.

00:09:39.740 I don't know what they're about.

00:09:40.940 Birthright citizenship is on the docket.

00:09:45.400 And also, can the President fire the heads of agencies?

00:09:49.040 That's the Supreme Court question.

00:09:52.800 And then something about tariffs.

00:09:54.480 There's always something about tariffs.

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00:10:26.920 All right.

00:10:28.540 Well, Rob Reiner has emerged from whatever rock he was under

00:10:33.500 to once again try to get Republicans killed

00:10:38.760 by whipping up some kind of a Nazi frenzy.

00:10:43.080 So, this is what Rob Reiner said on the interview.

00:10:47.780 This is just the beginning, and people have to understand

00:10:50.300 our democracy is being taken away from us.

00:10:53.160 We have a year before this country becomes a full-on autocracy,

00:10:57.240 and democracy completely leaves us.

00:10:59.760 Donald Trump knows in a free and fair election he will lose.

00:11:05.720 Donald Trump knows that in a free and fair election he will lose?

00:11:09.200 He's not running.

00:11:14.200 He'll lose what?

00:11:16.080 Lose the midterms?

00:11:19.300 I don't even know if Rob Reiner knows what country he's in.

00:11:25.820 I worry about that guy.

00:11:27.220 I used to think, oh, he's just a partisan,

00:11:31.100 so he's just acting very partisan.

00:11:33.140 Now I think he's actually mentally ill.

00:11:36.100 I'm pretty sure that's just mental illness.

00:11:38.120 What do you think?

00:11:39.560 It doesn't look like anything but mental illness at this point.

00:11:43.940 So, I hope he does well.

00:11:47.820 Dr. Asim Malhotra, who I don't know,

00:11:52.320 but I suppose by the Children's Health Defense,

00:11:55.180 where he was saying that 20 to 50% of all healthcare activity

00:11:59.680 in the United States brings no benefit to the patient,

00:12:03.380 is harmful or wasteful.

00:12:04.880 Do you know why?

00:12:07.320 Up to half of all the medical processes are not helpful?

00:12:11.460 Well, he says the reason for that is because mostly the published literature

00:12:16.280 and medical research is poor quality.

00:12:19.300 In other words,

00:12:20.760 most of the published studies are absolute bullshit,

00:12:25.540 but doctors don't know that,

00:12:27.400 so they still prescribe based on the studies.

00:12:31.860 Great.

00:12:33.380 And he says the reason the problem persists is that most doctors don't know that.

00:12:39.060 How many of you thought that doctors were good at reading scientific studies

00:12:44.900 and then knowing how true they were?

00:12:47.920 Did any of you think that doctors would be good at that?

00:12:50.340 Nobody's good at that.

00:12:54.300 Scientists are not at that.

00:12:56.000 That's why peer-reviewed papers are more likely to be fake than not fake,

00:13:01.800 because nobody's good at it.

00:13:03.380 Not scientists, not doctors.

00:13:05.380 They don't look at the raw data.

00:13:09.280 They just sort of look at the data you gave them,

00:13:11.380 and then you go,

00:13:12.060 oh, okay.

00:13:12.620 Well, if that data were correct,

00:13:15.180 then your conclusion might be correct.

00:13:17.640 But they don't know if the data's correct.

00:13:19.580 That's not what the reviewers check.

00:13:22.900 So, anyway.

00:13:25.280 OpenAI and chipmaker AMD have entered a big multi-bazillion dollar deal.

00:13:34.580 So, AMD is going to make chips for OpenAI

00:13:38.360 and maybe someday cut NVIDIA out of the process.

00:13:43.740 Wall Street Journal is writing about this.

00:13:46.680 It does make me wonder how much chaos is going on at OpenAI.

00:13:52.880 OpenAI is competing against,

00:13:57.100 but also working with everything.

00:14:01.920 It seems like they have so many things going on at OpenAI.

00:14:05.540 How in the world could they possibly manage that?

00:14:09.620 I'm very curious if it's...

00:14:12.180 I'll bet if you were there,

00:14:13.500 it would seem like total chaos,

00:14:15.220 because they're moving so fast

00:14:16.620 and nobody knows what anybody else is doing.

00:14:20.280 But, anyway, they got a big chip deal.

00:14:23.700 Meanwhile, the new prime minister of France

00:14:26.760 resigned after about five minutes.

00:14:30.880 He's the fifth prime minister to resign in 21 months.

00:14:34.240 Five and 21 months?

00:14:37.960 That must be the worst job in the world.

00:14:41.300 Here's the good news.

00:14:42.740 The good news is you've been selected

00:14:44.400 to be prime minister of France.

00:14:48.200 The bad news is everybody who was selected

00:14:51.040 to be the prime minister of France

00:14:52.660 soon finds out it's a terrible deal

00:14:55.380 and you'll be bailing out as fast as they did.

00:14:57.980 So, they still have their president, Macron,

00:15:01.660 but he's in trouble politically.

00:15:03.580 We'll see.

00:15:05.040 I feel like Macron has been in charge forever.

00:15:08.540 How many years has it been

00:15:09.800 that Macron's been president of France?

00:15:13.360 It feels like...

00:15:14.420 It feels like 15 years.

00:15:17.400 I mean, it couldn't possibly be, right?

00:15:20.000 But it feels like it.

00:15:20.940 Trump says he's going to start authorizing attacks

00:15:26.560 on land-based drug dealers.

00:15:30.120 He's been blown up boats.

00:15:31.600 I think he's blown up five, we think.

00:15:35.260 Five drug boats.

00:15:36.460 He's blown out of the water.

00:15:37.980 But now he says, reasonably, makes sense,

00:15:41.080 that there are fewer drug boats

00:15:43.040 because they know they'll get blown up.

00:15:45.560 So, now he has to go hunt them on land,

00:15:49.360 which he's going to do.

00:15:51.880 So, that's happening.

00:15:53.060 It's the same time.

00:15:54.340 There's some chatter about

00:15:55.660 the U.S. might be getting ready to

00:15:58.100 occupy and or invade Venezuela on ground.

00:16:05.180 So, apparently the U.S. has tightened

00:16:06.940 their siege around Venezuela

00:16:08.760 and we're apparently prepared,

00:16:14.000 if we get the order, the U.S. is,

00:16:17.120 prepared to seize ports and airfields.

00:16:20.760 So, do you think there's any chance

00:16:24.580 that won't happen?

00:16:26.440 Do you think that Venezuela is going to say,

00:16:29.480 oh, oh, now that you're really serious

00:16:32.140 about attacking, we'll work with you.

00:16:35.460 We'll negotiate.

00:16:36.800 We'll work this out.

00:16:38.860 Not in the real world.

00:16:40.460 In the real world, that never happens.

00:16:42.180 In the real world,

00:16:44.420 they will know that negotiating

00:16:46.420 might be bad for them.

00:16:48.080 So, they will try to stay there

00:16:50.940 as long as they can.

00:16:51.980 So, Maduro probably has to be taken out.

00:16:56.040 That would be my guess.

00:16:57.720 I'm not sure if that's a good idea

00:16:59.460 or a bad idea,

00:17:00.580 but I'm a big fan of the Monroe document.

00:17:03.020 And, right now, Venezuela seems to be

00:17:07.180 in conflict with the Monroe document,

00:17:10.680 which says that the U.S. is the dominant player

00:17:14.000 in this hemisphere.

00:17:15.580 And if you mess around with us,

00:17:17.640 we're going to take you out.

00:17:19.580 As long as it's in this hemisphere.

00:17:21.860 You know, you can't mess with us

00:17:23.320 in this hemisphere.

00:17:25.520 And it looks like they're messing with us

00:17:27.200 in this hemisphere.

00:17:27.900 So, I would expect

00:17:30.780 that Trump will act

00:17:32.800 and that we'll be in something like

00:17:35.800 a war with Venezuela.

00:17:38.440 Or maybe it'll just be

00:17:39.520 a decapitation strike.

00:17:41.300 Or maybe we'll just occupy

00:17:43.560 some key assets

00:17:44.960 and use it as a base

00:17:46.020 to attack the cartels.

00:17:47.900 Could be any one of those things.

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00:18:50.660 Well, let's talk about Gaza.

00:18:54.040 We don't know if the Gaza residents

00:18:57.640 like the proposed deal

00:18:59.900 that's on the table right now,

00:19:01.600 but one news source

00:19:04.760 contacted a number of people,

00:19:06.740 and every person they contacted

00:19:08.160 was positive about it.

00:19:10.900 They all say,

00:19:11.660 yeah, it's time to end the war.

00:19:12.860 Now, that was a non-scientific sample,

00:19:16.860 but they couldn't find anybody

00:19:19.220 who wanted to keep fighting.

00:19:22.780 You know, for the,

00:19:23.520 at least,

00:19:24.320 we're not talking about Hamas,

00:19:25.660 we're talking about the,

00:19:26.540 just the residents.

00:19:27.720 The residents are just done,

00:19:29.800 it looks like.

00:19:30.560 It looks like they're just done,

00:19:31.660 and they want this over.

00:19:33.520 So we'll see.

00:19:34.420 But as I described yesterday,

00:19:38.660 Trump's approach to this,

00:19:40.980 to take a no as a yes,

00:19:43.340 and then try to bully everybody

00:19:44.820 into taking the no as a yes,

00:19:47.480 is really interesting.

00:19:48.800 And there's nobody else in the world

00:19:51.140 that could even try that

00:19:52.260 and get away with it.

00:19:53.940 Because we all know what he's doing.

00:19:56.720 He's doing it right in front of us.

00:19:58.680 Oh, Hamas said yes, 0.99

00:20:01.520 but really with conditions

00:20:03.280 that couldn't possibly be met,

00:20:05.020 which is that they want to stay in power

00:20:06.580 and keep some weapons.

00:20:07.900 So that's not going to happen.

00:20:10.360 And then Israel probably wants to be set up 0.99

00:20:13.340 for a, you know,

00:20:14.440 never have a two-state solution.

00:20:16.320 And they're not getting what they want.

00:20:20.820 So Netanyahu said yes,

00:20:24.280 but in all of his detailed descriptions

00:20:26.920 of, you know,

00:20:27.740 what they can put up with,

00:20:28.860 he says no.

00:20:30.140 So it's a yes, no.

00:20:32.040 Oh, yes, totally.

00:20:33.560 All we have to do is work out these things

00:20:35.280 that could not possibly be worked out.

00:20:38.060 And then Hamas is doing the same thing. 0.65

00:20:40.060 Oh, yes, totally.

00:20:41.820 All we have to do is work out these few items

00:20:44.280 that can't possibly be worked out.

00:20:46.740 There's no way they could be worked out.

00:20:48.880 So what Trump is doing,

00:20:51.260 which is so interesting,

00:20:53.920 he's trying to create a reality

00:20:56.200 that doesn't exist.

00:20:59.740 And he might be able to pull it off.

00:21:02.140 You know, it might be,

00:21:03.040 he's probably got like a 50% chance

00:21:04.960 of pulling it off.

00:21:05.960 And the way that would work,

00:21:08.420 can you get rid of Teddy?

00:21:10.320 Teddy needs,

00:21:11.380 Ted.e needs to go away right away.

00:21:14.280 Talking to my engineer.

00:21:18.100 All right.

00:21:21.100 So,

00:21:22.060 we'll see.

00:21:24.240 But what's happening is

00:21:25.160 Trump is trying to bully people

00:21:26.760 into turning their fake yes,

00:21:31.200 where it was really a yes but,

00:21:33.000 and then the but was stuff

00:21:34.060 that could never happen.

00:21:35.380 He's trying to turn their yes but

00:21:37.140 into yes.

00:21:38.680 And probably just embarrassing them

00:21:41.580 and bullying them

00:21:42.900 and twisting their arm.

00:21:45.380 I don't know if that'll work.

00:21:47.500 But it's the closest we've ever been

00:21:49.720 to something that looked like

00:21:51.660 something that could work.

00:21:54.060 So I'm just totally impressed

00:21:57.160 with Trump's approach to this.

00:21:59.580 because he's essentially

00:22:01.440 changing reality.

00:22:04.260 He's not negotiating.

00:22:06.140 If it looks like negotiating to you,

00:22:09.260 I think you're missing

00:22:10.460 the bigger picture.

00:22:11.720 He's modifying reality itself.

00:22:15.140 That's what he does.

00:22:17.140 He does that better than anybody

00:22:18.880 except Steve Jobs

00:22:20.640 back in the day.

00:22:21.720 So he's changing the reality

00:22:23.460 from a yes but to a yes.

00:22:25.920 Can he do that?

00:22:27.380 Yes but to a yes?

00:22:30.160 Well, nobody else could do it.

00:22:32.660 I can say with some confidence

00:22:34.200 nobody else would be able to do that.

00:22:36.900 Could he?

00:22:37.980 Can Trump pull that off?

00:22:40.220 Coin flip.

00:22:41.360 50%.

00:22:41.920 50% would be amazing, by the way.

00:22:44.960 Anybody who had a 50% chance

00:22:47.100 of pulling off a complete

00:22:49.060 redefinition of reality,

00:22:52.060 that's pretty impressive.

00:22:54.080 But I think he has a 50% chance

00:22:56.280 of pulling it off.

00:22:57.500 So we'll see.

00:23:00.200 Netanyahu was on some interview,

00:23:02.380 Clash Report, Euro News.

00:23:05.160 He said that Europe has, quote,

00:23:06.660 caved in.

00:23:07.720 I think he means to the Islamic folks.

00:23:10.740 He says, don't capitulate to terror.

00:23:14.620 And he says that Europe has been absent

00:23:16.760 because Europe has basically

00:23:18.160 caved in to Palestinian terrorism,

00:23:20.840 to radical Islamist minorities.

00:23:22.560 Let's do, just give them a,

00:23:26.600 so Netanyahu is mocking the deal.

00:23:30.380 He says, yeah, let's do,

00:23:31.680 let's just give them a Palestinian state,

00:23:33.740 which would be the ultimate reward

00:23:35.780 for Hamas after doing the greatest massacre 0.95

00:23:38.340 against the Jews since the Holocaust.

00:23:39.780 So what do you think of that?

00:23:45.880 So Netanyahu says,

00:23:48.180 you can't possibly reward

00:23:49.860 one of the greatest terror acts

00:23:51.740 by giving them their own country

00:23:54.400 and then putting it right next to ours?

00:23:57.140 It'd be one thing to give them a country.

00:23:59.620 I mean, that would be bad enough

00:24:00.780 from Israel's point of view

00:24:02.280 because it'd be rewarding them for terrorism.

00:24:05.120 But isn't it a hundred times worse

00:24:09.400 if that country that you give them

00:24:11.080 is right on your border

00:24:12.080 and they're not done with you yet?

00:24:15.020 It's way worse, way worse.

00:24:17.420 So I see Netanyahu still saying no to the deal

00:24:21.160 while pretending to say yes.

00:24:24.180 And then he talks about

00:24:25.180 how Gaza must be de-radicalized 0.86

00:24:28.300 and he used Germany and Japan

00:24:30.500 after World War II as an example.

00:24:32.320 And of course that got me

00:24:34.800 into a conversation on X

00:24:36.400 about whether children

00:24:38.160 are routinely brainwashed.

00:24:41.600 Of course they are.

00:24:43.920 All children are brainwashed

00:24:46.000 if they go to any kind of a school

00:24:47.820 or church, they're brainwashed.

00:24:50.180 And you have to.

00:24:51.900 You couldn't possibly have a nation

00:24:54.000 where people were not,

00:24:55.840 at least the children,

00:24:57.080 were not brainwashed

00:24:58.280 to somewhat uncritically

00:25:00.560 take the side of their own team

00:25:02.400 in every situation.

00:25:05.440 So can you do that in Gaza?

00:25:09.760 I'm going to say no.

00:25:11.580 I'm going to say that wouldn't be possible.

00:25:13.720 Because if you looked at Germany 0.95

00:25:15.580 and Japan after World War II,

00:25:17.780 they were not operating

00:25:19.200 on any religious principle, were they?

00:25:22.320 There's no religious principle.

00:25:24.060 They were just trying to survive.

00:25:25.200 So if you said, all right,

00:25:27.200 the way you can survive

00:25:28.560 is by letting us brainwash your kids 0.99

00:25:34.000 so that they don't want to kill

00:25:35.520 Americans and other people.

00:25:37.680 That's how you survive.

00:25:39.460 Well, Japan and Germany 0.79

00:25:41.500 probably didn't have a big problem with it

00:25:43.960 because they wanted to survive.

00:25:45.900 They didn't want to restart the war

00:25:48.600 and they didn't have any religious blockage

00:25:52.840 that would make them not do it.

00:25:55.060 But Hamas is totally religious driven.

00:26:00.340 I don't think you can brainwash

00:26:02.260 religious people.

00:26:04.640 I've never seen that done.

00:26:06.600 Because they would simply resist harder.

00:26:09.180 The harder you tried to brainwash them,

00:26:10.740 the harder they would resist.

00:26:11.720 So I don't really see a way

00:26:15.400 that they could be de-radicalized.

00:26:19.840 So you're going to have to decide.

00:26:21.620 I mean, anything's possible

00:26:23.300 in the long, long term.

00:26:25.340 If you look at 50 years, maybe.

00:26:27.380 If you look at 10 years or 20 years,

00:26:29.800 no, not a chance.

00:26:31.000 They could not de-radicalize anybody

00:26:32.560 in 20 years.

00:26:35.480 Let's see.

00:26:36.100 And tomorrow is October 7th.

00:26:41.100 So that will probably put some pressure

00:26:44.860 on people to get this deal done

00:26:46.640 because they're going to want to,

00:26:47.980 probably they're going to want to wrap it up

00:26:49.880 because it's a meaningful date, October 7th.

00:26:53.960 But apparently Israel is continuing to bomb.

00:26:58.520 So you all remember the story

00:27:00.700 where Trump said,

00:27:03.460 basically he said,

00:27:04.740 they ordered Israel to stop bombing

00:27:06.580 and they agreed.

00:27:09.540 Well, apparently he did not order Israel

00:27:12.020 to stop bombing and they agreed.

00:27:14.240 He may have ordered them to stop,

00:27:16.420 but they did not stop.

00:27:18.380 They continued to bomb.

00:27:20.120 Now, I doubt it's as much as it used to be.

00:27:23.180 You know, maybe it's just opportunistic.

00:27:24.900 If they see a target,

00:27:25.940 they're like,

00:27:26.260 oh, we're not going to get another chance

00:27:27.660 at this one.

00:27:28.640 Let's take that target out. 0.99

00:27:30.480 So it might be that.

00:27:32.740 Anyway,

00:27:33.160 so keep an eye on that.

00:27:35.460 I still say it's a coin flip

00:27:37.560 whether peace is accomplished.

00:27:40.840 I don't think Israel is looking for a peace.

00:27:44.500 I think they're looking for

00:27:46.000 a, let's say,

00:27:49.020 a positive conclusion from their perspective,

00:27:52.420 which may or may not include peace.

00:27:54.980 So I think Netanyahu will derail it

00:28:00.000 if Hamas doesn't derail it first. 0.77

00:28:02.540 One of them will derail it.

00:28:05.280 Most likely.

00:28:06.760 50% chance.

00:28:08.120 50%.

00:28:08.880 I saw Mario Norful,

00:28:12.200 who does these great summaries of the news every day.

00:28:16.020 You should follow him.

00:28:17.200 Mario Norful.

00:28:18.880 N-A-W-F-A-L. 1.00

00:28:20.180 But anyway,

00:28:21.660 he referred to the Ukraine-Russia thing

00:28:24.400 as an energy war.

00:28:27.220 So it's good to see that phrase 0.99

00:28:29.500 make it into the popular notions,

00:28:32.960 an energy war.

00:28:34.540 And sure enough,

00:28:36.120 yet again last night,

00:28:38.240 22,000 people lost power

00:28:41.120 in Ukraine's Kharkiv region

00:28:43.140 because the Russians attacked

00:28:44.900 their energy infrastructure.

00:28:46.740 But Kiev was attacking Russia's refinery

00:28:51.160 and energy structure too.

00:28:53.220 So at this point,

00:28:54.300 it's robots versus energy infrastructure.

00:28:58.320 And it looks like that's the war.

00:29:01.500 When was the last time you saw

00:29:02.820 a casualty number from Ukraine

00:29:05.680 that was updated?

00:29:07.840 Think about that.

00:29:09.180 I haven't seen a casualty number

00:29:11.600 as in this week,

00:29:14.300 you know,

00:29:14.560 1,000 people died.

00:29:15.620 I haven't seen a casualty number at all.

00:29:18.880 And it makes me wonder

00:29:19.680 if the human casualties are so low

00:29:22.120 that the real war

00:29:24.660 is now the energy infrastructure.

00:29:26.700 And I think that might be the case

00:29:28.080 because I think the humans

00:29:29.620 are just hiding

00:29:30.420 and sending out their drones

00:29:33.080 and their robots

00:29:33.880 when they get a chance.

00:29:35.980 So it's a robot war for sure.

00:29:37.940 And Zelensky knows what's going on.

00:29:44.900 He says,

00:29:45.260 Russia is openly trying to destroy 0.91

00:29:46.960 our civilian infrastructure right now.

00:29:50.320 And sure enough,

00:29:51.500 they are.

00:29:52.640 There's a giant fire

00:29:54.200 that's erupted

00:29:55.300 as if that wasn't caused

00:29:57.580 by the Ukrainians.

00:29:59.920 A massive fire erupted

00:30:01.120 all by itself,

00:30:01.920 I guess,

00:30:02.700 at the largest oil terminal

00:30:04.140 in occupied Crimea.

00:30:05.960 So that's Russian-occupied.

00:30:08.800 So Crimea,

00:30:10.900 being sort of easy to get to

00:30:13.300 if you're going to do some,

00:30:15.440 you know,

00:30:16.300 bombing or droning,

00:30:18.460 I would say that

00:30:19.540 their infrastructure

00:30:20.560 is in a lot of trouble.

00:30:21.900 But Russia says

00:30:24.820 they shot down

00:30:25.560 251 Ukrainian drones

00:30:28.760 last night.

00:30:31.800 251.

00:30:32.600 And one night

00:30:33.240 they shot down.

00:30:34.600 So how many were there?

00:30:36.400 Were there 1,000?

00:30:38.740 Like,

00:30:39.120 there's a lot of drones now.

00:30:42.660 Some country

00:30:45.400 is going to get to a million.

00:30:47.460 Somebody's going to get

00:30:48.240 to a million drones

00:30:49.380 that they would deploy.

00:30:50.460 You know,

00:30:51.360 all million at the same time.

00:30:53.320 That's going to happen

00:30:54.100 in a few years.

00:30:57.560 Putin

00:30:58.080 has decided

00:30:59.700 that this would be

00:31:00.340 a good time

00:31:00.800 to offer a nuclear

00:31:02.000 arms control deal

00:31:03.300 that would apparently

00:31:04.640 be more voluntary.

00:31:07.460 Is that a thing?

00:31:08.900 A voluntary

00:31:09.720 nuclear arms deal?

00:31:11.300 Well,

00:31:11.720 probably that's the only way

00:31:12.800 there is.

00:31:13.700 Because it's not like

00:31:14.880 if we make

00:31:15.640 a nuclear arms deal

00:31:16.700 and Russia

00:31:17.700 doesn't do their part.

00:31:18.740 It's not like

00:31:19.760 we can punish them.

00:31:21.680 So,

00:31:22.280 it's sort of

00:31:23.440 all voluntary.

00:31:24.940 You know,

00:31:25.160 you don't even have

00:31:25.760 to add that part.

00:31:27.340 But Trump says

00:31:28.480 it sounds like

00:31:29.060 a good idea.

00:31:30.280 They haven't talked

00:31:30.960 about any details,

00:31:31.880 but he likes that idea.

00:31:35.080 Meanwhile,

00:31:35.700 and this doesn't

00:31:36.260 make any sense to me,

00:31:37.240 unusual Wales

00:31:38.180 is reporting this,

00:31:39.700 that China 0.93

00:31:40.680 is floating

00:31:42.500 the idea

00:31:43.220 of investing

00:31:44.280 a trillion dollars

00:31:45.360 in the United States,

00:31:47.120 according to Bloomberg.

00:31:48.740 why would China

00:31:50.140 float the idea

00:31:51.920 of investing

00:31:52.800 a trillion dollars

00:31:54.220 in the United States

00:31:56.060 at the same time

00:31:57.820 that we've discovered

00:31:58.700 that China 0.93

00:31:59.340 was doing those

00:32:00.700 SIM card

00:32:01.960 ops

00:32:03.640 where they had

00:32:04.700 built this ability

00:32:05.720 to take down

00:32:06.460 all the cell phones

00:32:07.420 in New York?

00:32:09.620 Do we really want

00:32:10.940 their investments

00:32:11.600 if we're at war

00:32:13.700 with them?

00:32:14.360 We're basically

00:32:15.140 at war, right,

00:32:15.980 with China.

00:32:19.240 I don't know

00:32:20.120 why we would even

00:32:20.880 accept their

00:32:21.500 trillion dollars

00:32:22.260 investment.

00:32:24.060 So my best guess

00:32:25.360 is that China

00:32:26.180 thinks that

00:32:26.920 the more they invest,

00:32:28.380 the more power

00:32:29.360 they have over us.

00:32:31.000 So I suspect

00:32:32.120 there might be

00:32:33.280 some things

00:32:33.740 they want,

00:32:35.040 such as,

00:32:35.900 you know,

00:32:36.520 resources or something.

00:32:38.400 So they might want

00:32:39.220 something,

00:32:39.620 and they might know

00:32:41.240 that they have to

00:32:41.840 make an investment

00:32:42.740 to get it.

00:32:44.800 But I feel like

00:32:46.740 the real play

00:32:47.580 is that

00:32:48.640 if we assume

00:32:50.720 that someday

00:32:51.320 they'll have a lot

00:32:52.040 more money

00:32:52.520 than we will,

00:32:53.740 because they're,

00:32:54.300 you know,

00:32:55.320 big population

00:32:56.300 in a growing country

00:32:57.400 and they're good at it,

00:32:59.000 that once they have

00:32:59.620 way more money

00:33:00.320 than we do,

00:33:01.020 and they're not there,

00:33:02.040 but someday

00:33:02.800 they probably would be,

00:33:04.200 that they can simply

00:33:05.080 buy us.

00:33:06.960 You know,

00:33:07.220 if they had enough

00:33:08.380 trillions of dollars

00:33:09.400 and it was invested

00:33:10.660 in enough American stuff,

00:33:13.020 they could just

00:33:14.060 sort of own us.

00:33:15.160 They don't have to have

00:33:15.820 any kind of war.

00:33:17.940 They can attack Taiwan 0.96

00:33:19.120 because there'll be

00:33:21.000 so many,

00:33:21.680 you know,

00:33:22.000 big business,

00:33:23.000 billionaire interests

00:33:23.900 in the United States

00:33:24.820 that want that Chinese money

00:33:26.180 that will be like,

00:33:27.520 oh,

00:33:27.980 well,

00:33:28.560 yeah,

00:33:29.020 we don't want you

00:33:30.420 to attack Taiwan,

00:33:32.200 but on the other hand,

00:33:33.900 we like these trillion

00:33:34.940 dollar investments

00:33:35.660 you keep making over here.

00:33:37.160 So,

00:33:37.480 I might let it go.

00:33:41.180 All right.

00:33:45.860 That,

00:33:46.540 ladies and gentlemen,

00:33:47.140 is all I can handle today.

00:33:49.880 There's not much news today,

00:33:51.360 is there?

00:33:52.020 Does it feel like

00:33:52.720 all the news is a repeat?

00:33:55.280 Trump,

00:33:55.960 something about tariffs.

00:33:58.540 Trump,

00:33:59.440 something about

00:34:00.200 surging

00:34:00.900 the National Guard

00:34:02.860 into this city

00:34:04.500 and then that city

00:34:05.740 and then this city.

00:34:07.620 It's all the same news,

00:34:09.000 right?

00:34:10.100 Ukraine

00:34:10.580 seems to be

00:34:12.020 sending drones

00:34:12.940 at each other

00:34:13.640 again.

00:34:15.840 China wants to make 0.99

00:34:17.020 a big investment

00:34:17.760 again.

00:34:18.980 am I wrong?

00:34:22.580 The news

00:34:23.080 just stopped being

00:34:23.900 different

00:34:24.340 and now

00:34:25.400 even Gaza,

00:34:27.440 you know,

00:34:27.760 it feels like Gaza 0.97

00:34:29.040 is,

00:34:29.800 you know,

00:34:30.140 the shiny exception

00:34:31.320 that something big

00:34:32.960 could happen there

00:34:33.700 and it could lead

00:34:34.260 to the whole,

00:34:35.760 you know,

00:34:36.980 Abraham Accords

00:34:37.800 getting stronger

00:34:38.720 and all that.

00:34:39.320 So,

00:34:39.840 it could be

00:34:40.240 a really big deal

00:34:41.100 and it would be

00:34:41.900 one for the ages.

00:34:43.100 If Trump gets it done,

00:34:45.980 he's the best president

00:34:47.620 we've ever had.

00:34:48.980 I mean,

00:34:49.340 that would just seal it,

00:34:50.460 I think.

00:34:51.580 But 50% chance,

00:34:53.280 I'll give him.

00:34:55.040 And otherwise,

00:34:56.040 if it doesn't get done,

00:34:57.580 it's going to look like

00:34:58.480 every other news cycle.

00:35:00.380 Well,

00:35:00.820 we were talking about

00:35:01.800 making a deal,

00:35:02.920 but

00:35:03.120 there's no deal

00:35:04.680 to be made.

00:35:06.140 Just like

00:35:07.020 every other week.

00:35:08.540 no deal

00:35:09.940 to be made.

00:35:11.180 All right,

00:35:11.560 I'm in severe pain,

00:35:12.980 so I'm going to

00:35:13.820 say bye.

00:35:15.880 I think I'm not

00:35:16.820 going to talk

00:35:17.320 to the,

00:35:17.880 my beloved

00:35:19.520 subscribers today.

00:35:21.060 I just don't feel

00:35:21.720 good enough.

00:35:22.640 But,

00:35:23.540 I'm hoping I'll

00:35:24.200 feel better tomorrow

00:35:25.060 and we'll be back

00:35:26.360 here tomorrow.

00:35:28.080 Thanks for joining

00:35:28.820 everybody.

00:35:29.980 Say goodbye.

00:35:38.540 Bye.

00:36:01.820 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 06, 2025

Episode 2980 CWSA 10⧸06⧸25

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