Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2983 CWSA 10⧸09⧸25

00:00:00.160 Everybody, come on in.

00:00:02.780 Come on in and grab a seat.

00:00:05.300 Got a few seats left.

00:00:07.620 It's a special day today.

00:00:09.520 Big news.

00:00:10.920 Got a lot to talk about.

00:00:12.740 Grab a beverage.

00:00:13.720 You're going to need it in a minute.

00:00:15.520 I've checked your stocks.

00:00:17.380 Israel is up. 0.95

00:00:18.620 U.S. is kind of flat, a little bit down.

00:00:22.200 But maybe that will change.

00:00:26.360 I'm feeling lucky.

00:00:27.580 All right.

00:00:30.000 We probably should do a show.

00:00:33.820 Since you're all getting in here right on time.

00:00:41.040 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:49.260 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

00:00:52.840 But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels

00:00:58.760 that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,

00:01:02.640 all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or chalice,

00:01:06.720 a tiny canteen jug or flask, a vessel of what kind?

00:01:10.220 Any kind.

00:01:11.120 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:13.180 I like coffee.

00:01:14.440 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day,

00:01:17.960 the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:20.700 It's called.

00:01:22.260 That's right.

00:01:23.400 The simultaneous sip.

00:01:25.160 Go.

00:01:31.440 I think it's more delicious when I sell it harder.

00:01:34.780 Don't you think?

00:01:36.380 No?

00:01:36.820 All right.

00:01:39.980 Well, I've set up a little trap behind me for the cats who are wandering around.

00:01:47.640 We're going to do a test to see if the cats like laying on the blankets

00:01:51.260 or in the empty cardboard boxes between them.

00:01:55.620 So you can keep an eye on that while I do the show.

00:01:58.120 Okay.

00:01:59.160 Watch for cats.

00:02:00.040 Gee, I wonder if there's any scientific stuff that they didn't need to do

00:02:07.600 because they could have just asked me.

00:02:09.900 Save a little time.

00:02:11.240 Oh, here's one from Anglia Ruskin University.

00:02:15.600 So I did some research to find out that you can unlock autobiographical memories

00:02:21.240 about your own life.

00:02:22.900 That would be the autobiographical part.

00:02:25.020 By looking at an image of yourself that the computer makes younger,

00:02:33.240 so they can take your current face,

00:02:36.640 and while you're looking at the computer screen,

00:02:38.520 the AI will turn it into a young version of you.

00:02:43.860 And then they claim that by looking at the young version of yourself,

00:02:47.940 it triggers better, more extensive memories of your life at that time.

00:02:55.980 So did they need to do that research?

00:02:59.420 Or could they just have asked me,

00:03:02.500 Scott, do you think showing a picture of somebody looking youthful

00:03:06.500 would increase their memories of those days?

00:03:11.740 To which I would say, maybe.

00:03:14.920 But you know what it would definitely increase?

00:03:18.020 False memories.

00:03:19.120 Talk to any hymnagest.

00:03:23.960 If you did this study a hundred times in a row,

00:03:27.640 a hundred times in a row it will create false memories.

00:03:31.320 Every time.

00:03:33.660 Will some of the memories also be true

00:03:36.920 and richer or deeper than if you hadn't done this?

00:03:41.280 Probably.

00:03:42.140 Yeah, probably.

00:03:42.740 So it's a combination of, yeah, it probably works,

00:03:47.460 but the part that works would be completely buried and obscured

00:03:52.300 by the fact that you would make up all kinds of fake memories

00:03:56.340 to satisfy the researchers.

00:03:59.380 Let's see.

00:04:00.360 If you don't believe that,

00:04:02.080 look into the McMartin preschool legal case,

00:04:07.320 very famous case of false memories.

00:04:09.660 Do a little research on false memories

00:04:12.220 and you'll know that that's what's happening here.

00:04:16.240 Probably some real ones,

00:04:17.860 if they can figure out which ones are real.

00:04:22.400 Here comes the cats. 1.00

00:04:25.180 So the big news,

00:04:27.460 I usually do the technology news before the big news,

00:04:31.020 but the big news is so big.

00:04:33.620 Apparently, and things could change quickly,

00:04:36.940 even while I'm doing the podcast,

00:04:39.660 there's an agreement between Hamas

00:04:42.240 and it looks like Israel and the United States

00:04:44.340 and all the other Arab countries 0.77

00:04:45.840 or Muslim countries in the area

00:04:48.380 because that includes Turkey, non-Arab.

00:04:53.920 But it looks like we've got a deal to release the hostages,

00:04:59.140 all of them.

00:05:00.700 And it looks like it could happen Monday.

00:05:02.600 And as part of that deal,

00:05:05.120 the IDF, the Israeli military,

00:05:07.100 would pull back to some agreed lines,

00:05:09.980 which I think they're still tweaking,

00:05:12.280 where those lines would be.

00:05:14.580 And then the rest of the deal

00:05:18.020 that you would need to have a permanent peace,

00:05:19.980 such as what's going to happen

00:05:21.900 with the remaining Hamas leaders,

00:05:24.720 what's going to happen with their weapons,

00:05:26.520 do they get to keep any small weapons

00:05:28.280 or just give up the big ones?

00:05:30.800 Are they going to have any role going forward?

00:05:34.140 And we got some cat action.

00:05:36.960 And the question is,

00:05:38.740 how do we get the other stuff done?

00:05:42.860 Now, here's the first question

00:05:44.960 you should ask yourself about this.

00:05:47.960 If it's true,

00:05:51.580 and it does look true,

00:05:53.600 that Hamas has agreed

00:05:55.140 to release all the hostages on Monday

00:05:58.080 in return for just Israel 0.95

00:06:00.140 moving its line of forces,

00:06:06.120 why would Hamas give up their only leverage 0.51

00:06:10.340 before they had gotten agreement

00:06:12.560 on the things they care about the most?

00:06:15.400 Because they don't care about the hostages.

00:06:18.520 That's just something

00:06:19.580 they were holding for leverage, right?

00:06:22.020 It's not important to them

00:06:23.820 that they have hostages.

00:06:25.480 It's only for that purpose,

00:06:27.580 to get the other stuff.

00:06:29.760 So why would they go through all of this

00:06:32.160 and then give back their only leverage

00:06:34.980 without getting agreements on other stuff?

00:06:40.600 Does anybody understand that?

00:06:43.100 Like, how in the world

00:06:43.960 does that even make sense?

00:06:45.040 Well, I would submit to you

00:06:51.060 that when it comes to these war-related issues,

00:06:55.780 that the fog of war never really clears up.

00:06:59.460 We talk about the fog of war being in,

00:07:02.580 you know, during the middle of the actual fighting

00:07:05.020 or when the war starts or something like that.

00:07:07.280 But the fog of war never goes away.

00:07:09.140 And we're still in it.

00:07:11.760 So here's what I suspect

00:07:14.820 but don't know.

00:07:17.800 Just a suspicion.

00:07:19.620 That the only way we would get to the point

00:07:21.580 we're at now

00:07:22.320 where it looks like they're giving hostages back

00:07:25.320 for almost nothing in return.

00:07:28.280 Because the IDF could pull back

00:07:30.100 and then after they get the hostages,

00:07:33.080 you know,

00:07:33.340 and they get some hostages in return,

00:07:35.080 they get like 2,000 hostages in return.

00:07:37.260 But that's not why they're doing it.

00:07:39.940 I don't think they care about their hostages that much.

00:07:42.820 I think they're doing it

00:07:44.180 because they want to get to the end of the war somehow.

00:07:46.880 My guess,

00:07:48.240 without any evidence whatsoever,

00:07:50.360 is that there are some secret deals at work.

00:07:54.120 And that the secret deals would look something like,

00:07:58.400 if you do this,

00:08:00.180 we'll let the current leadership that remains,

00:08:04.080 you know,

00:08:04.560 I don't know what's left,

00:08:05.540 we'll let you guys leave.

00:08:08.440 You have to leave the area,

00:08:09.840 but we'll let you leave

00:08:10.760 and you can leave with your stolen billion dollars.

00:08:14.460 So you can be rich

00:08:15.700 and you can be alive

00:08:17.720 and,

00:08:19.160 you know,

00:08:20.220 and then they would think,

00:08:21.080 oh,

00:08:21.340 but I can also secretly reconstitute Hamas 0.81

00:08:24.060 once they let me free.

00:08:25.560 Well,

00:08:25.800 they don't have to say that part out loud,

00:08:27.380 but you can imagine

00:08:29.380 why the Hamas leadership would take a deal

00:08:31.920 that allowed them to go live in exile 1.00

00:08:35.200 with a whole bunch of money

00:08:37.040 and then who could really stop them from reconstituting?

00:08:41.340 You know,

00:08:41.440 do it slowly maybe,

00:08:43.200 but still reconstitute Hamas 0.54

00:08:44.800 if that's what they want to do.

00:08:46.180 Maybe from a foreign country, 1.00

00:08:48.260 but still doing it.

00:08:50.480 So I feel like there's a secret deal

00:08:53.540 or there's a secret blackmail

00:08:57.380 as in,

00:08:58.920 hello,

00:09:00.240 current Hamas leaders.

00:09:01.680 You know those hostages you have?

00:09:04.040 We're going to bury all of them

00:09:05.940 and you too.

00:09:06.660 And we also have control of your family

00:09:10.700 and we're going to bury them at the same time.

00:09:13.820 If one hostage dies,

00:09:15.740 we're going to bury your family

00:09:17.260 and then send you the,

00:09:18.500 we're going to send you the video of us killing your family.

00:09:21.660 Something like that.

00:09:22.760 But there's something going on that we don't know about

00:09:25.180 that's,

00:09:26.300 you know,

00:09:27.380 controlling this deal

00:09:28.820 in a way that we haven't seen before.

00:09:31.900 Could be anything.

00:09:32.840 Could be a threat.

00:09:33.580 Could be a bribe.

00:09:34.320 But as long as it works,

00:09:37.120 that would be the great thing.

00:09:38.960 I just don't see how the rest of this gets negotiated

00:09:43.600 because that was the hard part.

00:09:45.340 Again,

00:09:45.920 unless they've already made a secret deal.

00:09:50.360 So,

00:09:51.640 interestingly,

00:09:53.460 assuming that this goes through

00:09:55.500 and all indications are that it will,

00:09:58.200 some people are sort of mistaking it

00:10:01.100 for like a whole piece deal,

00:10:03.200 but it's not.

00:10:04.320 It might be the most important part of the peace deal

00:10:06.560 in the end.

00:10:08.120 It might be that it was the hardest part,

00:10:10.040 maybe.

00:10:11.240 But it's not the whole peace deal for sure.

00:10:15.000 However,

00:10:15.720 as fate would have it,

00:10:18.700 the announcements are tomorrow

00:10:22.000 for the Nobel Peace Prize.

00:10:24.260 Now,

00:10:25.600 presumably,

00:10:26.320 the Nobel Committee has already chosen

00:10:29.540 their peace prize winner

00:10:31.600 and that probably a whole bunch of work

00:10:34.000 has to be done on their side secretly

00:10:35.960 before they announce it.

00:10:38.700 So,

00:10:39.060 in all likelihood,

00:10:40.460 there's already a Nobel Peace Prize winner

00:10:43.300 and it's,

00:10:44.760 in all likelihood,

00:10:46.120 not Trump.

00:10:46.720 so,

00:10:48.220 it's possible

00:10:51.180 that they would,

00:10:53.440 they would change

00:10:54.580 all of their plans

00:10:55.780 before tomorrow.

00:10:57.620 But the only situation

00:10:59.220 I could see that happening

00:11:00.480 is if they happen to be MAGA themselves.

00:11:03.040 If the Nobel Peace Prize people

00:11:06.380 were like full MAGA,

00:11:08.720 yeah,

00:11:09.440 yeah,

00:11:09.640 they would just delete

00:11:10.660 whoever they had on their list

00:11:12.100 and say,

00:11:12.860 well,

00:11:13.160 you know,

00:11:13.780 this is a really good argument.

00:11:15.700 It's going to look weird

00:11:16.740 if we bypass Trump now.

00:11:19.260 So,

00:11:20.040 yeah,

00:11:20.740 so,

00:11:21.080 otherwise,

00:11:22.180 we'll just give it to Greta. 0.99

00:11:25.100 Yeah,

00:11:25.660 Greta will probably get it. 0.73

00:11:26.780 However,

00:11:29.160 if this works out

00:11:30.360 and it leads to a,

00:11:31.860 especially if it leads to an expansion

00:11:33.780 of the Abraham Accords 0.95

00:11:35.020 and it looks like Gaza's being rebuilt

00:11:37.500 and everything's on the right track,

00:11:39.600 a year from now,

00:11:41.140 it's going to be pretty hard

00:11:43.680 not to give it to him a year from now.

00:11:46.040 But I would bet against it happening on Friday.

00:11:49.600 And the fact that it won't happen on Friday,

00:11:52.340 it's going to be another big news story

00:11:54.120 because even,

00:11:56.080 even CNN,

00:11:58.260 MSNBC,

00:11:59.540 ABC,

00:12:00.480 all of Trump's enemies

00:12:02.160 are saying today,

00:12:03.800 okay,

00:12:04.060 there's no way Biden

00:12:04.900 could have gotten this done.

00:12:08.060 Do you realize

00:12:08.820 what a big deal that is?

00:12:10.840 That all of his biggest critics,

00:12:13.120 everyone I've seen,

00:12:14.240 you know,

00:12:14.420 the ones that you expect

00:12:15.380 to look for whatever's the worst case,

00:12:18.540 you know,

00:12:18.760 Abby Phillip,

00:12:19.960 Dana Bash,

00:12:21.800 all of the,

00:12:23.000 I don't want to say anti-Trumpers,

00:12:24.880 but certainly not on his side,

00:12:26.080 all of them

00:12:28.120 are calling this out

00:12:29.960 as something that Biden

00:12:31.020 couldn't have done

00:12:31.940 and is kind of amazing.

00:12:35.180 Isn't that weird?

00:12:37.360 That's what it took.

00:12:39.180 It took this

00:12:40.460 for somebody to give him his due.

00:12:43.220 And I feel like,

00:12:43.960 I feel like the anti-Trumpers

00:12:46.280 have had this building up

00:12:48.400 that,

00:12:49.500 you know,

00:12:49.640 they see the border being closed

00:12:51.100 and they're like,

00:12:51.620 oh,

00:12:52.740 he did close that border.

00:12:55.400 And then they see the tariffs

00:12:56.980 not being a disaster

00:12:58.640 and in some ways,

00:13:00.900 including some,

00:13:01.680 I'll tell you about today,

00:13:03.300 seeming to work

00:13:04.400 and creating revenue

00:13:07.100 that the government didn't have,

00:13:08.600 albeit much of that

00:13:10.540 from citizens.

00:13:13.080 But,

00:13:13.560 and then they go,

00:13:15.380 hmm,

00:13:16.240 he did close the border.

00:13:18.380 I do like that.

00:13:20.260 He is cleaning up crime

00:13:21.760 in these cities.

00:13:23.720 I can't say I like it,

00:13:25.520 but of course I like it.

00:13:27.760 And then,

00:13:28.440 you know,

00:13:28.720 the economy,

00:13:29.640 the tariffs,

00:13:30.360 oh,

00:13:31.180 I have to admit

00:13:32.060 the GDP is looking

00:13:33.700 kind of good

00:13:34.880 and he did get

00:13:36.360 a trillion dollars

00:13:37.540 or whatever the number is

00:13:38.660 of investments

00:13:39.820 that no way

00:13:41.460 Biden would have gotten.

00:13:43.700 And then,

00:13:44.440 suddenly,

00:13:46.860 you're like,

00:13:47.760 oh God,

00:13:48.360 there's like a lot of weight

00:13:50.040 pushing me away from TDS.

00:13:53.740 There's a lot of weight,

00:13:55.480 but not enough.

00:13:57.620 And then he does this.

00:13:59.820 How do you hold out?

00:14:02.140 At some point,

00:14:03.180 you're just going to have to admit

00:14:05.140 that Biden was

00:14:06.800 2%

00:14:08.440 of the president

00:14:09.640 that Trump is.

00:14:11.040 You're just going to have to fold.

00:14:13.460 The weight is too great.

00:14:15.400 You cannot carry

00:14:16.320 that much weight

00:14:17.200 on your back

00:14:18.040 as a lying journalist

00:14:20.000 while everybody's watching.

00:14:22.860 You know

00:14:23.900 that this is the fifth

00:14:25.500 impossible thing

00:14:26.500 he did in a row.

00:14:29.060 What do they have in common?

00:14:30.780 What are the tariffs

00:14:32.000 and closing the border

00:14:33.140 and getting

00:14:34.260 getting the hostages back?

00:14:36.420 Maybe the rest of the peace deal,

00:14:38.080 we hope.

00:14:39.100 What do they all have in common?

00:14:41.180 They were all impossible.

00:14:44.200 They were all impossible.

00:14:46.400 How many impossible things

00:14:48.260 does one person have to do?

00:14:50.760 I, you know,

00:14:51.500 name,

00:14:51.940 name one other thing

00:14:53.160 that a president did

00:14:54.460 that was thought to be impossible

00:14:56.800 when he did it.

00:14:59.060 None.

00:15:00.440 I can't,

00:15:00.940 I don't,

00:15:01.600 I can't think of any.

00:15:02.980 Can you?

00:15:03.880 I can think of things

00:15:04.920 where a president

00:15:05.540 tried hard things

00:15:06.800 and failed.

00:15:08.080 Jimmy Carter

00:15:08.920 with his helicopters

00:15:09.980 in Iran,

00:15:10.740 for example.

00:15:11.700 I mean,

00:15:12.060 nice try,

00:15:13.300 but it failed.

00:15:14.840 But Trump is dropping

00:15:17.200 precision bombs

00:15:19.100 down Iranian 1.00

00:15:20.040 vent holes

00:15:21.820 three times in a row.

00:15:25.540 I thought that was impossible.

00:15:27.880 Honestly,

00:15:28.780 I thought it was impossible.

00:15:30.660 Now,

00:15:30.960 of course,

00:15:31.860 you give the credit

00:15:32.660 to the military.

00:15:34.220 Trump was not in the plane.

00:15:36.240 But the way it works

00:15:37.580 is the president gets credit.

00:15:39.760 That's just the way it works.

00:15:41.020 He would get the blame

00:15:42.280 if it didn't work.

00:15:44.540 So,

00:15:45.240 maybe we give him

00:15:46.160 a little credit

00:15:46.840 when some miracle works.

00:15:51.160 So,

00:15:51.380 yeah,

00:15:51.540 I think it's just

00:15:52.540 getting impossible

00:15:53.420 for the anti-Trumpers

00:15:55.400 to keep up

00:15:56.180 their,

00:15:56.680 their,

00:15:58.040 their fake narrative

00:15:59.360 because they're just

00:16:00.660 watching him do miracles.

00:16:02.200 One miracle after another.

00:16:04.880 ABC News,

00:16:06.240 one of their guys

00:16:06.960 said today,

00:16:07.780 make no mistake,

00:16:08.620 it looks like

00:16:09.120 President Trump

00:16:09.780 has actually

00:16:10.360 pulled off something

00:16:11.460 here that many

00:16:12.640 presidents before him

00:16:13.920 have failed to do.

00:16:15.200 Yeah,

00:16:15.480 you know how many

00:16:16.220 presidents before him

00:16:17.420 have failed to do it?

00:16:18.900 All of them.

00:16:20.840 All of them.

00:16:22.760 When,

00:16:23.080 when MAGA supporters

00:16:24.600 say that Trump

00:16:25.960 is the best president

00:16:27.180 of all time,

00:16:29.200 it's this.

00:16:30.760 It's this.

00:16:32.420 That's the best president

00:16:33.640 of all time.

00:16:35.200 Even ABC is like,

00:16:36.440 hmm,

00:16:37.160 nobody else

00:16:37.720 could pull that off.

00:16:39.120 Now,

00:16:39.920 some of it

00:16:40.500 is you have to be

00:16:41.200 in the right place

00:16:42.100 at the right time.

00:16:43.660 So,

00:16:44.140 if the Israelis

00:16:45.340 had not killed

00:16:46.340 allegedly 65,000

00:16:48.880 people in Gaza,

00:16:50.280 could we get to peace?

00:16:53.000 No.

00:16:54.060 If they had not

00:16:54.940 taken out

00:16:55.620 Hezbollah

00:16:56.560 and Iran

00:16:57.380 and weakened Syria

00:16:58.640 and done all

00:17:00.040 of those things

00:17:00.720 that gave them

00:17:01.620 some purchase,

00:17:03.060 could we get

00:17:03.880 to this point?

00:17:05.240 No.

00:17:06.060 Probably not.

00:17:06.620 So,

00:17:07.360 you can't beat luck.

00:17:09.360 And I think

00:17:09.960 Trump actually

00:17:11.480 said something

00:17:13.220 like that himself.

00:17:14.300 You know,

00:17:15.340 having everybody

00:17:16.360 on the same page

00:17:17.580 and having all

00:17:18.740 the right situations

00:17:19.720 so that you could

00:17:20.600 get to this point,

00:17:22.040 there's luck involved.

00:17:24.500 But what is

00:17:25.680 one of the things

00:17:26.400 that we wanted

00:17:27.060 Trump to bring

00:17:27.840 to the office?

00:17:29.980 I did.

00:17:30.820 I don't know

00:17:31.220 if any of you

00:17:31.740 had this explicit thought,

00:17:33.660 but when I saw

00:17:34.760 Trump running

00:17:35.300 for president,

00:17:36.040 one of the things

00:17:36.540 I said is,

00:17:37.860 would it really be bad

00:17:39.120 to have the luckiest

00:17:40.540 guy in the country

00:17:41.280 as your president?

00:17:43.100 I mean,

00:17:43.420 just look at his life.

00:17:44.920 It just looks like

00:17:45.700 the luckiest guy

00:17:46.520 in the world.

00:17:48.000 I mean,

00:17:48.700 a good day

00:17:50.040 for young

00:17:51.540 Trump,

00:17:53.160 I think a good day

00:17:55.240 for him

00:17:55.720 would look better

00:17:56.380 than all of your

00:17:57.100 good days put together.

00:17:59.040 And that would

00:17:59.420 just be one day.

00:18:01.700 So don't you want

00:18:02.620 the luckiest person

00:18:03.660 in the entire country

00:18:04.780 to be maybe

00:18:05.920 bringing his luck

00:18:06.700 to us?

00:18:07.900 Maybe that's what

00:18:08.560 happened.

00:18:09.520 Because it does look

00:18:10.560 like there's some

00:18:11.120 luck involved,

00:18:12.060 but a whole bunch

00:18:13.720 of skill.

00:18:14.900 And one of those

00:18:15.640 skills is that

00:18:16.580 he was willing

00:18:17.200 to push Israel 0.99

00:18:18.300 as hard as they

00:18:19.680 needed to be pushed.

00:18:22.200 That probably

00:18:23.100 was the magic,

00:18:24.720 is that he was

00:18:25.340 willing to push

00:18:25.900 Israel,

00:18:26.780 not just

00:18:27.780 Hamas. 0.73

00:18:29.040 had to push

00:18:30.620 both.

00:18:31.700 And I don't know

00:18:32.120 if we had anybody

00:18:32.800 who would do that

00:18:33.320 before,

00:18:34.120 or even thought

00:18:34.860 it would work.

00:18:37.000 Yeah.

00:18:38.140 Anyway,

00:18:39.100 so,

00:18:40.180 I guess

00:18:42.100 Trump has

00:18:42.760 officially proposed

00:18:43.860 that his own

00:18:44.960 face would be

00:18:45.660 in a $250

00:18:46.740 bill

00:18:47.520 to commemorate

00:18:50.760 the 250th

00:18:51.960 anniversary

00:18:52.460 of 2026.

00:18:53.560 Now,

00:18:55.860 that's a really

00:18:56.460 good troll.

00:18:58.220 He's the best

00:18:59.040 troll.

00:18:59.740 I don't know

00:19:00.340 how much he

00:19:00.800 cares about it.

00:19:02.100 Probably doesn't

00:19:02.620 care about it.

00:19:03.220 Probably doesn't

00:19:03.700 think it would

00:19:04.180 necessarily happen.

00:19:05.340 Although,

00:19:05.720 I suppose,

00:19:06.400 if it's his

00:19:06.940 administration,

00:19:08.260 maybe they could

00:19:08.840 just pass it

00:19:09.860 with a simple

00:19:10.360 majority,

00:19:11.100 if it even

00:19:11.900 needs a vote.

00:19:12.580 I don't know

00:19:12.900 if it needs a vote.

00:19:16.200 But I love that.

00:19:17.700 The funny thing

00:19:19.320 is,

00:19:19.800 who needs a

00:19:20.680 $250 bill

00:19:22.140 besides drug

00:19:22.960 dealers?

00:19:24.320 It would only

00:19:25.200 be for drug

00:19:25.860 dealers,

00:19:26.620 but it would

00:19:27.000 have the face

00:19:28.740 of the guy

00:19:29.100 who's going

00:19:29.440 to kill them

00:19:30.000 out.

00:19:34.360 Hey,

00:19:35.020 cartels,

00:19:36.120 I've got

00:19:37.420 an offer

00:19:39.740 for you.

00:19:40.720 We're going

00:19:41.340 to make it

00:19:41.780 much easier

00:19:42.540 to move

00:19:42.960 money around,

00:19:43.820 cash,

00:19:44.580 because there'll

00:19:44.960 be a new

00:19:45.360 $250 bill.

00:19:47.700 So,

00:19:48.060 you know,

00:19:48.360 your piles

00:19:49.120 of money

00:19:49.500 will be

00:19:49.820 much smaller.

00:19:51.060 You'll be

00:19:51.380 able to move

00:19:51.800 your money.

00:19:52.340 So,

00:19:52.520 that's the

00:19:52.800 good news.

00:19:53.740 What's the

00:19:54.100 bad news?

00:19:55.280 Oh,

00:19:55.660 well,

00:19:56.540 the bad

00:19:57.120 news is

00:19:57.700 that the

00:19:58.080 picture on

00:19:58.620 the front

00:19:58.900 of the

00:19:59.120 bill is

00:19:59.480 the guy

00:19:59.800 who's

00:20:00.000 going to

00:20:00.280 fucking

00:20:00.600 kill you. 0.99

00:20:03.000 So,

00:20:04.040 there's

00:20:04.780 that.

00:20:07.460 That's

00:20:07.900 such a

00:20:08.260 good troll.

00:20:09.060 I don't

00:20:09.440 care if

00:20:09.760 it happens

00:20:10.220 or not,

00:20:10.920 but if

00:20:11.460 it did

00:20:11.740 happen,

00:20:12.260 I would

00:20:12.620 never stop

00:20:13.180 laughing,

00:20:14.340 and I

00:20:14.840 would immediately

00:20:15.660 run to the

00:20:16.300 bank and

00:20:16.700 get me

00:20:17.020 one.

00:20:18.440 I would

00:20:19.140 put it

00:20:19.420 on my

00:20:19.720 wall.

00:20:21.300 It would

00:20:21.520 be the

00:20:21.820 best art

00:20:22.380 worth $250

00:20:23.380 ever,

00:20:25.180 until somebody

00:20:26.160 steals it.

00:20:28.580 Well,

00:20:29.200 you've heard

00:20:29.600 me talk

00:20:30.520 about how

00:20:30.920 the climate

00:20:32.080 models are

00:20:32.920 all bad,

00:20:34.360 but here's a

00:20:35.080 follow-up on

00:20:35.640 that.

00:20:35.860 So,

00:20:38.240 apparently,

00:20:38.720 there's a

00:20:39.320 42-page

00:20:40.380 report from

00:20:41.440 the

00:20:41.880 president's

00:20:42.920 energy

00:20:43.340 department

00:20:43.880 that was

00:20:44.460 released in

00:20:45.060 July,

00:20:45.740 and we've

00:20:46.720 talked about

00:20:47.140 it before,

00:20:47.640 but I'm

00:20:47.880 going to add

00:20:48.300 something to

00:20:48.760 it.

00:20:49.500 And they

00:20:49.860 showed 36

00:20:51.540 climate models,

00:20:53.200 and then they

00:20:53.740 showed how

00:20:54.180 they're all

00:20:54.620 wildly off

00:20:55.720 of the

00:20:56.540 actual

00:20:57.020 temperatures

00:20:57.640 that we've

00:20:58.200 observed.

00:20:58.660 36 models.

00:21:02.160 Now,

00:21:03.120 if you've

00:21:05.060 lived in

00:21:05.460 the real

00:21:06.280 world,

00:21:06.980 or you've

00:21:07.260 been in

00:21:07.520 like a

00:21:07.800 real corporation,

00:21:09.220 or if

00:21:09.700 you're just

00:21:10.060 a certain

00:21:10.480 age,

00:21:12.120 what do

00:21:12.520 you know

00:21:13.060 if the

00:21:13.860 only thing

00:21:14.400 you know

00:21:14.720 is that

00:21:15.060 there are

00:21:15.340 36

00:21:15.820 different

00:21:16.340 models for

00:21:17.060 measuring

00:21:17.460 the weather?

00:21:18.340 What do

00:21:18.960 you know

00:21:19.200 for sure?

00:21:21.160 Well,

00:21:21.760 what I know

00:21:22.180 for sure

00:21:22.620 is if

00:21:23.060 science

00:21:23.440 was sure

00:21:25.460 that they

00:21:26.120 could model

00:21:26.760 things with

00:21:27.380 models,

00:21:27.780 there would

00:21:28.880 be one.

00:21:30.700 There would

00:21:31.260 be one.

00:21:32.180 Because it

00:21:32.700 would be the

00:21:33.040 one where

00:21:33.380 the scientists

00:21:33.860 say,

00:21:34.400 oh,

00:21:34.720 yeah,

00:21:34.860 that's the

00:21:35.200 one.

00:21:35.800 If you

00:21:36.120 have 36,

00:21:37.160 what's that

00:21:37.680 telling you?

00:21:39.520 You know,

00:21:39.840 you lived in

00:21:40.360 the real

00:21:40.660 world.

00:21:41.100 You're not

00:21:41.340 a scientist,

00:21:42.400 but you've

00:21:42.980 lived in

00:21:43.320 the real

00:21:43.620 world,

00:21:44.020 and there

00:21:44.240 are 36

00:21:44.960 different

00:21:45.940 models.

00:21:47.800 Well,

00:21:48.260 I'll tell

00:21:48.540 you what it

00:21:48.980 tells me.

00:21:49.960 It tells me

00:21:50.740 there used

00:21:51.120 to be a

00:21:51.520 hundred,

00:21:53.600 and that

00:21:54.100 the ones

00:21:55.060 that didn't

00:21:56.000 come close

00:21:56.600 enough to

00:21:57.040 reality,

00:21:57.780 they just

00:21:58.880 quietly threw

00:22:00.300 away.

00:22:01.600 So what

00:22:02.020 you're seeing

00:22:02.480 is the

00:22:02.940 surviving

00:22:03.620 models,

00:22:04.940 and they

00:22:05.280 still needed

00:22:05.820 36 of

00:22:06.660 them.

00:22:08.340 So all

00:22:09.160 you're seeing

00:22:09.540 is a

00:22:09.920 survivor

00:22:10.380 bias.

00:22:11.300 They started

00:22:11.840 with lots

00:22:12.320 of models.

00:22:13.560 They looked

00:22:14.200 at what was

00:22:14.740 really happening.

00:22:16.040 Some of

00:22:16.420 the models,

00:22:17.000 by coincidence,

00:22:17.960 were close

00:22:18.480 to reality.

00:22:19.580 So they

00:22:19.900 said,

00:22:20.120 well,

00:22:20.220 these must

00:22:20.620 be the

00:22:20.880 good ones.

00:22:21.920 No,

00:22:22.240 they're not

00:22:22.520 the good

00:22:22.900 ones.

00:22:23.260 There were

00:22:23.900 a hundred,

00:22:25.000 and they

00:22:25.320 were all

00:22:25.700 over the

00:22:26.080 place.

00:22:27.160 Some of

00:22:27.700 them were

00:22:27.980 going to

00:22:28.240 be close.

00:22:29.720 There was

00:22:30.320 no science

00:22:31.020 there at

00:22:31.300 all.

00:22:32.220 It's just,

00:22:32.820 oh,

00:22:32.940 let's keep

00:22:33.360 the ones

00:22:33.740 that were

00:22:33.980 close,

00:22:34.680 as if

00:22:35.640 they're

00:22:35.880 scientific.

00:22:37.720 But do

00:22:38.340 you think

00:22:38.680 in ten

00:22:39.120 years that

00:22:39.700 those will

00:22:40.240 be kept?

00:22:41.740 I don't.

00:22:43.020 I don't.

00:22:43.840 So here's

00:22:44.420 the thing

00:22:44.700 I'm going

00:22:44.980 to add.

00:22:46.380 If you

00:22:47.000 knew that

00:22:47.540 climate

00:22:47.840 change was

00:22:48.480 an existential

00:22:49.120 risk and

00:22:50.040 the biggest

00:22:50.520 problem in

00:22:51.040 the world,

00:22:51.820 and then

00:22:52.260 your darn

00:22:53.340 new president,

00:22:54.860 rah,

00:22:55.600 darn him,

00:22:56.740 he puts

00:22:58.020 his name

00:22:58.440 on a report

00:22:59.060 that says

00:22:59.580 the climate

00:23:00.080 models are

00:23:00.760 all bunk

00:23:01.260 and haven't

00:23:01.740 come anywhere

00:23:02.240 near reality,

00:23:04.220 what would

00:23:04.860 you do?

00:23:06.040 If you

00:23:06.880 knew that

00:23:08.200 the climate

00:23:08.760 models were

00:23:09.580 real,

00:23:10.740 and that

00:23:11.700 they represented

00:23:12.460 an existential

00:23:13.380 threat,

00:23:15.100 it was the

00:23:15.600 most important

00:23:16.280 thing in the

00:23:16.800 world,

00:23:17.820 and the

00:23:18.800 government

00:23:19.180 said they

00:23:19.740 were bunk,

00:23:21.040 what would

00:23:21.820 you do?

00:23:22.760 Well,

00:23:23.240 if you were

00:23:23.640 CNN or

00:23:24.560 MSNBC or

00:23:26.080 any of the

00:23:26.880 news people,

00:23:27.820 you would

00:23:28.260 immediately put

00:23:29.200 together a

00:23:29.960 panel of

00:23:30.620 the top

00:23:31.200 model-making

00:23:33.060 experts,

00:23:34.220 and you

00:23:34.880 would have

00:23:35.200 them argue

00:23:35.800 how their

00:23:36.260 models are

00:23:36.880 actually good

00:23:37.680 and not

00:23:39.080 bullshit.

00:23:39.440 it.

00:23:40.820 Anybody

00:23:41.420 see that

00:23:42.360 show?

00:23:44.420 Anybody?

00:23:46.080 Anybody

00:23:46.720 remember

00:23:47.180 seeing that

00:23:47.740 on MSNBC?

00:23:49.460 I don't

00:23:49.880 recall seeing

00:23:50.480 it.

00:23:51.300 Anybody

00:23:51.600 see it on

00:23:52.260 CNN?

00:23:53.600 I don't

00:23:55.100 have any

00:23:55.520 memory of

00:23:56.000 seeing it.

00:23:57.220 So,

00:23:58.400 the single

00:23:59.280 most important

00:24:00.160 thing in the

00:24:01.320 whole fucking

00:24:02.260 world,

00:24:04.380 and as soon

00:24:05.040 as there's

00:24:05.620 a dissenting

00:24:06.920 government

00:24:07.880 opinion,

00:24:09.360 all the

00:24:10.740 experts go

00:24:11.420 away.

00:24:12.840 They just

00:24:13.220 go silent.

00:24:15.320 No,

00:24:15.660 they know

00:24:15.980 they got

00:24:16.340 caught.

00:24:17.840 They know

00:24:18.680 they got

00:24:19.160 caught.

00:24:20.540 Otherwise,

00:24:22.620 you wouldn't

00:24:23.460 see anything

00:24:25.080 else.

00:24:25.980 If they

00:24:26.560 could have

00:24:26.880 used this

00:24:27.740 to bury

00:24:29.020 Trump as

00:24:30.020 the anti-science

00:24:31.220 idiot that

00:24:31.940 they've been

00:24:32.300 trying to

00:24:32.700 paint him

00:24:33.140 for 10

00:24:33.600 years,

00:24:34.240 if this

00:24:34.960 worked in

00:24:36.280 their narrative,

00:24:37.900 they would

00:24:38.300 be all

00:24:39.100 over it.

00:24:40.700 Instead,

00:24:42.020 it's very

00:24:42.460 quiet.

00:24:43.900 It's very

00:24:44.280 quiet.

00:24:45.040 If you

00:24:45.520 wanted to

00:24:45.880 see a

00:24:46.200 climate

00:24:46.480 expert

00:24:46.940 defending

00:24:47.760 these

00:24:48.140 climate

00:24:48.540 models,

00:24:49.780 you'd

00:24:50.140 probably

00:24:50.500 have to

00:24:50.900 invite

00:24:51.160 somebody

00:24:51.620 who

00:24:51.840 didn't

00:24:52.280 work on

00:24:52.760 the

00:24:52.920 models,

00:24:54.120 but

00:24:54.340 thinks

00:24:54.680 they

00:24:54.880 know

00:24:55.120 about

00:24:55.400 them.

00:24:56.280 I'll

00:24:56.640 tell you

00:24:56.940 what you

00:24:57.260 won't

00:24:57.600 get,

00:24:58.780 as the

00:24:59.160 person

00:24:59.440 who

00:24:59.720 actually

00:25:00.240 is putting

00:25:01.180 the

00:25:01.380 variables

00:25:01.760 into the

00:25:02.300 model.

00:25:03.120 Because you

00:25:03.540 know what

00:25:03.780 that person

00:25:04.280 knows?

00:25:05.540 That person

00:25:06.320 knows models

00:25:06.980 are bullshit.

00:25:08.540 Not just

00:25:09.420 his or her

00:25:10.280 own model,

00:25:11.200 but all the

00:25:11.900 other ones

00:25:12.280 do.

00:25:13.300 They all

00:25:13.780 know it.

00:25:14.800 If you

00:25:15.340 don't think

00:25:15.700 they know

00:25:16.140 it,

00:25:16.740 oh,

00:25:17.000 they know

00:25:17.340 it.

00:25:18.140 The reason

00:25:18.540 I know

00:25:18.940 it is

00:25:19.400 because I

00:25:19.740 worked in

00:25:20.800 my corporate

00:25:21.380 life collecting

00:25:22.780 data for

00:25:24.120 various

00:25:24.680 projects.

00:25:26.040 I would

00:25:26.360 collect data

00:25:26.900 to say,

00:25:27.640 should we

00:25:28.260 do this?

00:25:28.940 Would this

00:25:29.240 be more

00:25:29.600 expensive than

00:25:30.360 that?

00:25:30.820 Should we

00:25:31.140 lease or

00:25:32.540 buy?

00:25:34.060 And what

00:25:34.440 I learned

00:25:34.860 immediately

00:25:35.380 is that none

00:25:36.460 of my data

00:25:37.020 and none

00:25:37.380 of my

00:25:37.640 analyses

00:25:38.120 were

00:25:38.620 anything

00:25:39.620 but bullshit

00:25:40.280 that my

00:25:41.140 boss wanted

00:25:41.940 to see.

00:25:43.100 There's no

00:25:43.700 science to it.

00:25:45.340 So once

00:25:46.260 you're actually

00:25:46.740 in the work,

00:25:48.340 you can see

00:25:49.220 that it's

00:25:49.540 fake.

00:25:50.240 But then

00:25:50.720 you're too

00:25:51.040 invested

00:25:51.500 because that's

00:25:51.980 your job.

00:25:53.420 So you do

00:25:54.200 what I did,

00:25:54.820 which is,

00:25:55.280 well,

00:25:55.440 I guess

00:25:57.560 if my

00:25:57.940 boss or

00:25:59.040 the person

00:25:59.460 funding me

00:26:00.160 wants me

00:26:00.660 to do

00:26:01.000 more of

00:26:01.380 this,

00:26:02.760 I guess

00:26:03.240 that's my

00:26:03.620 job.

00:26:05.640 Anyway,

00:26:06.240 the dog's

00:26:06.660 not barking.

00:26:07.460 There's not

00:26:07.820 enough pushback

00:26:08.640 on the

00:26:08.980 climate models

00:26:09.640 being good

00:26:10.260 for me to

00:26:11.640 have any

00:26:12.860 belief that

00:26:13.380 they're good.

00:26:15.680 Sam Altman

00:26:16.420 is telling

00:26:18.300 us that the

00:26:18.980 Turing test

00:26:20.000 probably

00:26:21.600 wasn't that

00:26:22.940 important in

00:26:23.700 the arc

00:26:24.760 of AI.

00:26:26.000 The Turing

00:26:26.580 test,

00:26:27.260 if you

00:26:27.540 didn't know,

00:26:28.100 mostly you

00:26:29.060 know,

00:26:29.900 for many

00:26:31.180 years,

00:26:32.120 it was

00:26:32.480 thought that

00:26:33.180 a computer

00:26:34.160 could not

00:26:34.720 be considered

00:26:35.380 intelligent

00:26:36.060 unless you

00:26:37.200 could put

00:26:37.560 it on the

00:26:37.880 other side

00:26:38.280 of a

00:26:38.560 curtain

00:26:38.860 and have

00:26:39.840 a human

00:26:40.300 being

00:26:40.600 converse

00:26:41.220 with it

00:26:41.620 not knowing

00:26:42.140 if it's

00:26:42.500 talking to

00:26:42.960 a computer

00:26:43.540 or a

00:26:44.520 human on

00:26:44.980 the other

00:26:45.240 side of

00:26:45.500 the curtain.

00:26:46.360 If the

00:26:47.120 computer

00:26:47.540 could fool

00:26:48.320 the person

00:26:48.800 on the

00:26:49.160 other side

00:26:49.540 of the

00:26:49.760 curtain

00:26:50.060 consistently,

00:26:52.100 that would

00:26:52.760 be considering

00:26:53.520 passing the

00:26:54.460 Alan Turing

00:26:55.260 test.

00:26:57.260 Well,

00:26:57.620 that happened.

00:26:59.200 It happened

00:27:00.040 a while ago

00:27:00.720 and it

00:27:01.520 didn't make

00:27:01.880 much news.

00:27:03.520 Here's why

00:27:04.060 I think

00:27:05.000 it didn't

00:27:05.300 make much

00:27:05.760 news.

00:27:06.880 Because AI

00:27:08.600 can only

00:27:09.180 fool stupid

00:27:10.020 people.

00:27:12.540 Do you

00:27:13.200 think AI

00:27:13.720 could have

00:27:14.160 fooled me?

00:27:16.580 No.

00:27:17.620 I would

00:27:18.140 just ask

00:27:18.680 it to use

00:27:19.200 some banned

00:27:19.760 words and

00:27:21.460 then that

00:27:21.780 would be

00:27:21.980 the end

00:27:22.180 of it.

00:27:22.380 There's

00:27:23.220 no way

00:27:23.560 the AI

00:27:23.980 could fool

00:27:24.560 me into

00:27:25.000 thinking it

00:27:25.400 was a

00:27:25.660 human being.

00:27:26.380 Even the

00:27:27.140 current

00:27:27.560 best models,

00:27:29.180 no matter

00:27:29.540 how smoothly

00:27:30.200 they talked,

00:27:31.500 no matter

00:27:31.920 whether it

00:27:32.340 was text

00:27:33.000 or voice,

00:27:34.320 there isn't

00:27:34.820 the slightest

00:27:35.300 chance that

00:27:36.560 they could have

00:27:37.040 fooled me that

00:27:37.760 they were

00:27:38.020 human.

00:27:38.840 I mean,

00:27:39.460 I've used

00:27:39.920 the chat

00:27:40.360 bots.

00:27:41.720 I've tried

00:27:42.260 out the

00:27:43.060 anime

00:27:44.560 Grok

00:27:46.260 chat.

00:27:49.200 It's not

00:27:49.840 even close

00:27:50.340 to human.

00:27:51.940 You're not

00:27:52.700 even in the

00:27:53.500 neighborhood of

00:27:55.140 fooling me that

00:27:55.860 you're human.

00:27:56.900 Not even

00:27:57.380 anywhere close.

00:27:58.940 But it did

00:27:59.760 fool some

00:28:00.340 stupid people 0.76

00:28:01.260 enough to

00:28:02.460 say we

00:28:02.900 passed the

00:28:03.760 Turing test.

00:28:05.180 And when I

00:28:05.620 see the

00:28:06.220 AI memes,

00:28:08.760 they're clearly

00:28:09.320 AI created,

00:28:10.760 and I see how

00:28:11.360 many people

00:28:11.920 repost them,

00:28:13.800 and I look

00:28:14.580 at them,

00:28:14.940 I go,

00:28:15.120 that's obviously

00:28:15.960 AI.

00:28:16.900 That's obviously

00:28:17.720 fake.

00:28:19.280 But some

00:28:20.340 large percentage

00:28:21.120 of the public

00:28:22.460 looks at it

00:28:23.120 and goes,

00:28:23.420 oh,

00:28:23.600 it's pretty

00:28:23.980 good to

00:28:24.240 me.

00:28:25.040 That looks

00:28:25.420 real to

00:28:25.760 me.

00:28:26.460 So the

00:28:26.960 Turing test

00:28:27.620 was never

00:28:28.360 super useful

00:28:29.700 because you

00:28:30.840 could always

00:28:31.320 fool dumb

00:28:31.880 people,

00:28:32.620 but maybe

00:28:33.200 there's no

00:28:33.660 way you'll

00:28:33.980 ever fool

00:28:34.460 smart people.

00:28:35.820 So I don't

00:28:36.340 know if the

00:28:36.720 Turing test

00:28:37.260 allows for

00:28:37.800 that.

00:28:38.660 But Sam

00:28:39.340 Altman has

00:28:39.920 what I

00:28:40.320 consider a

00:28:41.480 smarter,

00:28:42.080 better test

00:28:42.820 for AI.

00:28:44.320 And he

00:28:44.760 says it's

00:28:45.340 when we

00:28:45.680 see our

00:28:46.040 first AI

00:28:46.700 scientist,

00:28:48.480 meaning that

00:28:49.040 the AI

00:28:49.560 will discover

00:28:51.740 and invent

00:28:52.360 things

00:28:52.920 scientifically

00:28:54.360 that humans

00:28:55.440 just couldn't

00:28:57.020 or didn't.

00:28:58.580 And once it

00:28:59.260 can become

00:28:59.700 like a

00:29:00.140 peer of,

00:29:01.980 hey,

00:29:02.300 I just

00:29:02.900 invented a

00:29:03.720 new thing

00:29:04.240 or discovered

00:29:06.040 a new thing,

00:29:07.280 then that

00:29:08.860 would be a

00:29:09.620 better test

00:29:10.160 than the

00:29:10.480 Turing test.

00:29:11.040 I agree

00:29:11.460 with him

00:29:11.900 completely.

00:29:14.540 Also,

00:29:15.540 interestingly,

00:29:16.600 I have a

00:29:17.600 dog in

00:29:18.040 this race

00:29:18.580 because my

00:29:20.400 current

00:29:20.800 strategy for

00:29:21.700 survival is

00:29:23.800 that I've

00:29:24.180 got one

00:29:24.680 more scan

00:29:25.460 I have to

00:29:25.960 do to see

00:29:26.700 if I can

00:29:27.120 qualify for

00:29:28.000 a drug

00:29:29.880 treatment

00:29:30.600 that's a

00:29:31.760 new one

00:29:32.100 that was

00:29:32.960 only approved

00:29:33.580 in the

00:29:33.880 U.S.

00:29:34.200 in the

00:29:34.780 spring.

00:29:35.820 But you

00:29:36.180 have to

00:29:36.660 be the

00:29:37.440 right kind

00:29:38.060 of cancer.

00:29:39.060 I have the

00:29:39.520 right kind

00:29:39.860 of cancer,

00:29:40.320 I think.

00:29:41.180 And you

00:29:41.580 have to

00:29:41.880 have gone

00:29:42.780 through

00:29:43.260 certain

00:29:44.040 things that

00:29:44.560 didn't

00:29:44.920 work,

00:29:45.760 which is

00:29:46.280 now the

00:29:46.940 case.

00:29:47.920 The

00:29:48.120 testosterone

00:29:49.360 blockers

00:29:50.000 worked for

00:29:51.040 a little

00:29:51.280 bit,

00:29:51.920 but they

00:29:52.380 kind of

00:29:52.920 stopped

00:29:53.200 working

00:29:53.640 as was

00:29:55.220 anticipated.

00:29:56.380 We just

00:29:56.760 didn't know

00:29:57.020 how long

00:29:57.340 it would

00:29:57.520 take.

00:29:57.840 It didn't

00:29:58.100 take long

00:29:58.560 before it

00:29:59.560 stopped

00:29:59.860 working.

00:30:00.180 So now

00:30:01.060 I'm riddled

00:30:02.060 once again

00:30:03.200 with tumors.

00:30:04.380 But this

00:30:04.880 new drug

00:30:05.380 is called

00:30:05.800 Pluvicto.

00:30:07.480 And for

00:30:08.100 some people

00:30:08.780 but not

00:30:09.260 all,

00:30:10.320 it can

00:30:10.700 remove,

00:30:11.680 actually just

00:30:12.300 remove all

00:30:12.820 your tumors.

00:30:13.900 Not for

00:30:14.640 most people,

00:30:16.280 but for

00:30:16.620 some.

00:30:17.700 It's like

00:30:18.300 most things.

00:30:18.940 Everybody's

00:30:19.360 different.

00:30:20.120 All the

00:30:20.460 cancers are a 0.98

00:30:21.180 little bit

00:30:21.500 different.

00:30:21.920 People are

00:30:22.420 a little bit

00:30:22.800 different.

00:30:23.440 But there's

00:30:24.040 a really good

00:30:24.760 chance,

00:30:25.800 you know,

00:30:26.020 maybe if I

00:30:27.400 had to put a

00:30:27.900 number on

00:30:28.360 it,

00:30:28.820 30%,

00:30:29.640 something like

00:30:30.700 that,

00:30:31.340 30% chance

00:30:32.320 it could

00:30:32.640 remove the

00:30:33.180 tumors,

00:30:33.960 which would

00:30:34.560 not remove

00:30:35.160 the cancer.

00:30:36.620 So I still

00:30:37.160 have the

00:30:37.440 cancer,

00:30:38.180 which means

00:30:38.860 that at

00:30:39.240 some rate

00:30:40.100 it would

00:30:40.860 return.

00:30:42.180 But,

00:30:42.600 you know,

00:30:42.800 maybe I could

00:30:43.260 knock it back

00:30:43.860 again in a

00:30:44.500 few years

00:30:44.960 or whatever

00:30:45.360 I needed to

00:30:45.880 do.

00:30:46.600 So the

00:30:47.400 treatments are

00:30:48.400 you go to

00:30:49.340 a place and

00:30:49.840 you get a

00:30:50.220 UV,

00:30:51.360 an IV,

00:30:52.420 not a

00:30:52.680 UV.

00:30:53.240 You get

00:30:53.540 an IV,

00:30:54.940 you go

00:30:55.640 home,

00:30:56.420 there's not

00:30:56.840 much

00:30:57.220 side effects

00:30:58.360 and you

00:30:59.400 do it,

00:30:59.860 you know,

00:31:00.320 like four

00:31:00.780 to six

00:31:01.220 times depending

00:31:02.120 on your

00:31:03.040 situation.

00:31:04.600 So it's

00:31:05.200 fairly

00:31:05.620 civilized.

00:31:07.040 You know,

00:31:07.200 it's not

00:31:07.400 like chemo

00:31:08.140 where I'm

00:31:08.680 going to

00:31:09.700 wish I

00:31:10.060 hadn't done

00:31:10.480 it.

00:31:12.360 However,

00:31:13.060 it's not

00:31:13.560 a cure.

00:31:15.520 But if

00:31:17.060 I can get

00:31:17.520 this one

00:31:18.180 extra scan

00:31:19.260 done,

00:31:19.980 it's a

00:31:20.380 special scan

00:31:21.360 that puts

00:31:22.000 some juice

00:31:22.520 in you

00:31:22.960 just to

00:31:23.820 find out

00:31:24.240 if the

00:31:24.640 Pluvicto

00:31:25.240 can get

00:31:25.660 to the

00:31:25.940 tumors.

00:31:26.280 You

00:31:26.760 can't

00:31:27.080 get to

00:31:27.340 everything.

00:31:28.140 But if

00:31:28.740 it can,

00:31:29.420 or it

00:31:29.820 can get

00:31:30.120 to the

00:31:30.400 tumors that

00:31:30.940 matter the

00:31:31.460 most,

00:31:31.800 have the

00:31:32.080 most lifestyle

00:31:32.900 effect,

00:31:33.820 then I

00:31:34.920 can stall

00:31:35.940 until AI

00:31:38.100 gets up to

00:31:38.780 speed.

00:31:40.140 I do

00:31:41.000 think that

00:31:41.660 AI is

00:31:42.200 going to

00:31:42.500 cure most

00:31:43.440 cancers.

00:31:45.340 I do

00:31:46.040 think so.

00:31:47.220 Maybe not

00:31:48.080 in six

00:31:48.540 months.

00:31:50.160 Maybe not

00:31:51.080 in a year.

00:31:53.200 Maybe in

00:31:54.040 two to

00:31:54.380 five.

00:31:54.780 So my

00:31:58.920 Hail Mary

00:32:01.940 is if I

00:32:03.260 can figure

00:32:03.720 out how

00:32:04.100 to use

00:32:04.420 current

00:32:04.900 technology

00:32:05.540 to stay

00:32:06.000 alive

00:32:06.480 two years,

00:32:09.300 I might,

00:32:10.940 no guarantees,

00:32:13.160 I might be

00:32:13.960 able to

00:32:14.240 bridge it

00:32:14.760 to something

00:32:16.380 closer to

00:32:17.080 an AR

00:32:17.580 treatment,

00:32:18.280 AI

00:32:21.040 treatment,

00:32:22.360 or an

00:32:22.740 AI cure.

00:32:24.020 So that's

00:32:24.580 my current

00:32:25.100 plan.

00:32:26.160 So I have

00:32:26.520 a non-zero

00:32:27.240 chance of

00:32:28.980 making it

00:32:29.380 several years.

00:32:31.000 If none of

00:32:32.020 that works,

00:32:32.560 if I can't

00:32:33.080 get on the

00:32:33.500 Pluvicto,

00:32:35.380 maybe six

00:32:36.260 months left,

00:32:38.800 my guess.

00:32:39.780 Six months

00:32:40.360 to a year

00:32:40.720 at most.

00:32:42.420 But we'll

00:32:42.740 see.

00:32:42.920 Meanwhile,

00:32:45.340 Microsoft is

00:32:46.480 looking to

00:32:47.040 start an

00:32:47.660 AI

00:32:48.240 healthcare

00:32:49.940 service.

00:32:51.560 So they

00:32:51.900 not only

00:32:53.100 are part

00:32:54.280 owner of

00:32:55.040 OpenAI and

00:32:56.100 ChatGPT,

00:32:57.380 but they

00:32:57.840 don't want

00:32:58.200 to be

00:32:58.420 reliant on

00:32:59.380 ChatGPT,

00:33:00.440 apparently,

00:33:01.160 for everything.

00:33:02.220 So they're

00:33:02.740 building their

00:33:03.440 own version

00:33:04.400 that they'll

00:33:05.560 work into

00:33:06.000 their co-pilot

00:33:06.840 program and

00:33:08.040 essentially try

00:33:08.900 to turn it

00:33:09.420 into as

00:33:09.920 much of a

00:33:11.060 doctor as

00:33:12.160 they can.

00:33:12.780 So everybody's

00:33:13.340 got their

00:33:13.640 own private

00:33:14.380 AI doctor.

00:33:16.320 Here's the

00:33:17.080 problem.

00:33:18.360 They want to

00:33:19.300 build this

00:33:19.800 thing based

00:33:20.500 on the

00:33:21.080 Harvard Health

00:33:22.020 publishing arm

00:33:23.040 and maybe

00:33:25.120 that's also

00:33:25.700 where they're

00:33:26.080 getting their,

00:33:27.900 I guess,

00:33:29.400 their most

00:33:29.760 reliable

00:33:30.380 healthcare

00:33:31.420 information.

00:33:32.860 But according

00:33:34.420 to everything

00:33:35.000 that I've

00:33:35.660 seen about

00:33:36.580 scientific

00:33:37.140 studies lately,

00:33:39.240 correct me

00:33:39.680 if I'm

00:33:40.040 wrong,

00:33:41.080 but if

00:33:41.620 AI

00:33:42.060 trained

00:33:42.540 itself on

00:33:43.560 scientific

00:33:44.940 studies,

00:33:46.640 both existing

00:33:47.880 ones that

00:33:49.680 have informed

00:33:50.480 what drugs

00:33:51.140 are available,

00:33:52.060 but also

00:33:52.680 new ones

00:33:53.320 that would

00:33:54.800 tell us

00:33:55.140 what's coming

00:33:55.660 up,

00:33:56.540 wouldn't it

00:33:56.980 be wrong

00:33:57.560 up to 50%

00:33:58.760 of the time?

00:34:00.860 How do you

00:34:01.740 train AI to

00:34:02.680 be smarter

00:34:03.200 than humans

00:34:03.920 when you're

00:34:04.840 training it

00:34:05.520 on studies

00:34:06.920 that we know

00:34:07.800 a full half

00:34:09.160 of them

00:34:09.520 are fraudulent?

00:34:11.500 But we

00:34:11.880 don't always

00:34:12.400 know which

00:34:12.800 half.

00:34:14.020 Would AI

00:34:14.580 know which

00:34:15.020 half?

00:34:15.980 Not really.

00:34:17.040 Because AI

00:34:17.600 is only going

00:34:18.120 to look at

00:34:18.480 the published

00:34:19.100 studies.

00:34:19.680 It's not

00:34:19.940 going to

00:34:20.160 look into

00:34:21.100 the data.

00:34:21.860 It's not

00:34:22.160 going to

00:34:22.400 find out

00:34:22.800 if the

00:34:23.140 publisher

00:34:23.540 is a

00:34:23.940 crook,

00:34:25.020 all that

00:34:26.200 stuff.

00:34:27.360 So how

00:34:28.060 does

00:34:28.260 Microsoft

00:34:28.740 get to,

00:34:30.440 or anybody,

00:34:31.340 get to

00:34:31.680 an AI

00:34:32.220 doctor when

00:34:33.960 it's being

00:34:34.340 trained on

00:34:35.060 50%

00:34:36.000 incorrect

00:34:36.720 data and

00:34:38.000 it doesn't

00:34:38.460 know which

00:34:38.880 half is

00:34:39.540 incorrect?

00:34:40.740 It's the

00:34:41.280 same problem

00:34:41.740 with humans,

00:34:42.960 so maybe

00:34:43.740 it's no

00:34:44.340 worse than

00:34:44.780 humans.

00:34:45.620 It might

00:34:46.020 be better

00:34:46.360 than humans,

00:34:47.180 but I

00:34:48.080 don't see

00:34:48.480 how you

00:34:48.840 get to

00:34:49.500 AI when

00:34:51.760 you're being

00:34:52.260 trained on

00:34:53.420 dumb AI.

00:34:56.200 Meanwhile,

00:34:57.900 Elon Musk

00:34:58.540 got another

00:34:59.420 $20 billion

00:35:00.240 funding led

00:35:02.040 by NVIDIA.

00:35:03.220 So NVIDIA

00:35:03.700 is going

00:35:04.540 in on a

00:35:05.100 lot of

00:35:05.360 the AI

00:35:06.540 companies

00:35:07.040 because they

00:35:07.720 want them

00:35:08.140 to succeed

00:35:09.460 so they

00:35:09.900 can sell

00:35:10.320 them more

00:35:10.720 chips.

00:35:13.440 And Elon

00:35:13.920 Musk was

00:35:14.540 saying something

00:35:15.220 on X that

00:35:16.340 the winner

00:35:18.000 in the AI

00:35:18.860 race will

00:35:20.020 be, I'll

00:35:20.960 paraphrase

00:35:21.480 him, but

00:35:21.760 it's basically

00:35:22.260 whoever builds

00:35:24.000 the biggest

00:35:24.440 data centers

00:35:25.240 and buys

00:35:26.140 the most

00:35:26.520 chips and

00:35:27.320 puts the

00:35:28.340 most cash

00:35:28.900 into it

00:35:29.560 will be

00:35:30.620 the winner.

00:35:31.960 Now, there

00:35:32.540 will be more

00:35:32.960 than one

00:35:33.300 winner in

00:35:34.000 the AI

00:35:34.420 domain, I'm

00:35:35.100 pretty sure.

00:35:36.480 I mean, I

00:35:37.200 hope so.

00:35:38.320 But there

00:35:38.880 won't be that

00:35:39.820 many and it

00:35:40.800 will definitely

00:35:41.640 make a

00:35:42.100 difference if

00:35:42.680 you're the

00:35:43.000 number one

00:35:43.500 winner or

00:35:43.980 the number

00:35:44.340 three winner.

00:35:45.320 So he's

00:35:45.680 trying to be

00:35:46.060 number one.

00:35:46.980 I like his

00:35:47.560 chances.

00:35:47.940 But what I

00:35:50.820 wondered is

00:35:51.740 if AI as

00:35:53.020 a business

00:35:53.660 is unique

00:35:55.620 in that

00:35:56.340 there's no

00:35:56.800 way to put

00:35:57.220 a moat

00:35:57.740 around it.

00:35:59.580 You know,

00:35:59.900 Facebook has

00:36:00.800 its own

00:36:01.220 moat because

00:36:02.160 once everybody

00:36:02.700 gets on

00:36:03.260 there, there's

00:36:03.740 a network

00:36:04.520 effect.

00:36:05.680 And even

00:36:06.060 if somebody

00:36:06.500 built the

00:36:07.780 Facebook

00:36:08.180 competitor,

00:36:09.000 which of

00:36:09.340 course they

00:36:09.680 tried, your

00:36:11.160 friends wouldn't

00:36:11.700 be there.

00:36:12.120 so it's

00:36:14.400 like a

00:36:14.780 moat that

00:36:15.820 protects

00:36:16.180 Facebook just

00:36:17.000 by getting

00:36:17.640 there first.

00:36:18.420 The other

00:36:18.740 social media

00:36:19.380 too.

00:36:20.360 Now, there

00:36:22.280 are lots of

00:36:22.740 other big

00:36:23.200 tech that

00:36:24.520 you can say

00:36:25.000 the same

00:36:25.400 thing.

00:36:26.380 It's like,

00:36:26.800 whoa, once

00:36:27.260 they got

00:36:27.660 there, nobody

00:36:29.160 could really

00:36:29.540 catch up.

00:36:30.380 Like, nobody

00:36:30.980 really made a

00:36:31.940 search engine

00:36:32.620 as good as

00:36:33.320 Google, you

00:36:34.780 know, although

00:36:35.220 it looks like

00:36:36.540 that's happening

00:36:37.040 with AI.

00:36:38.140 So my

00:36:39.080 question is,

00:36:40.140 is it

00:36:40.500 possible, I'm

00:36:41.420 just speculating,

00:36:42.120 here, that

00:36:43.040 AI would

00:36:43.740 be the

00:36:44.100 first mega

00:36:45.540 giant

00:36:46.260 civilization

00:36:47.200 changing

00:36:47.980 technology that

00:36:49.520 could never

00:36:50.240 be moated.

00:36:51.860 And the

00:36:52.320 reason I

00:36:52.740 think it

00:36:53.100 could never

00:36:53.580 be moated

00:36:54.400 is because

00:36:56.480 startups will

00:36:59.080 also have

00:36:59.820 AI.

00:37:01.500 And the

00:37:02.220 startups,

00:37:03.460 somebody,

00:37:04.240 this is my

00:37:04.960 prediction,

00:37:05.980 somebody fairly

00:37:07.840 soon, maybe

00:37:08.680 in the next

00:37:09.080 five years,

00:37:10.220 will spend

00:37:11.040 one billion

00:37:11.800 dollars to

00:37:12.940 recreate what

00:37:13.820 it took

00:37:14.240 Elon and

00:37:15.600 Chad GPT

00:37:16.640 a trillion

00:37:17.740 dollars to

00:37:18.860 get to.

00:37:20.540 Anybody want

00:37:21.440 to take the

00:37:21.820 other side of

00:37:22.320 that bet?

00:37:23.320 Within five

00:37:24.160 years, an

00:37:25.720 AI startup

00:37:26.580 will match

00:37:28.700 the biggest

00:37:29.640 AI, spending

00:37:31.340 one billion

00:37:32.160 dollars to get

00:37:32.920 there, where

00:37:34.480 the big

00:37:34.980 AIs have put 1.00

00:37:35.860 down one

00:37:36.420 trillion and

00:37:37.860 are figuring

00:37:38.480 some way to

00:37:39.060 monetize

00:37:39.580 that.

00:37:40.660 One billion

00:37:41.340 to one

00:37:42.480 trillion, that's

00:37:43.120 my prediction.

00:37:44.840 So, if

00:37:45.500 that's true,

00:37:46.700 and we don't

00:37:47.180 know that

00:37:47.480 that's true,

00:37:48.640 how would the

00:37:49.320 big companies

00:37:49.860 ever protect

00:37:50.540 themselves?

00:37:52.580 Is it just

00:37:53.780 owning the

00:37:55.340 biggest data

00:37:55.960 center?

00:37:57.620 Because if the

00:37:58.760 small company

00:37:59.400 figures out a

00:38:00.060 way to do it

00:38:00.600 with a small

00:38:01.340 data center,

00:38:02.440 how do they

00:38:03.460 compete with

00:38:04.020 the big data

00:38:04.500 center?

00:38:05.640 I don't

00:38:06.220 know.

00:38:08.300 I guess they

00:38:09.080 buy that little

00:38:09.720 company and put

00:38:10.480 them out of

00:38:10.780 business.

00:38:11.940 Oh, yeah, that

00:38:12.500 would work.

00:38:14.380 I just realized

00:38:15.580 that the big

00:38:16.600 AI companies

00:38:17.360 would just buy

00:38:17.980 the billion

00:38:18.480 dollar startup

00:38:19.500 and put it

00:38:20.300 out of business

00:38:20.840 and steal

00:38:22.340 their tech.

00:38:23.640 Anyway, so

00:38:24.440 maybe there is

00:38:24.940 a moat.

00:38:26.360 According to

00:38:27.000 a Rasmussen

00:38:27.560 poll, only

00:38:28.220 48% of

00:38:29.440 adults under

00:38:30.480 30 have a

00:38:32.060 full-time job.

00:38:34.020 According to

00:38:34.780 Michael Snyder

00:38:35.660 who's writing

00:38:36.080 The Economic

00:38:36.760 Collapse, does

00:38:38.180 that sound like

00:38:39.100 a problem to

00:38:39.720 you?

00:38:40.540 That only 48% 0.97

00:38:41.840 of people under

00:38:42.840 30 have a

00:38:43.460 full-time job?

00:38:45.400 Well, first

00:38:46.580 you would have

00:38:47.020 to subtract

00:38:47.980 the people in

00:38:48.740 college, right?

00:38:50.720 People in

00:38:51.280 college almost

00:38:51.900 never have

00:38:52.420 full-time jobs,

00:38:53.820 but a lot of

00:38:54.320 them have

00:38:54.620 part-time jobs.

00:38:56.320 But the

00:38:57.320 people in

00:38:57.800 college under

00:38:58.400 30 would be,

00:38:59.560 I don't know,

00:39:01.360 10% of them.

00:39:02.500 So that's not

00:39:03.780 most of

00:39:04.200 them.

00:39:07.420 But I do

00:39:08.300 wonder if

00:39:09.240 the time

00:39:10.140 in history

00:39:10.800 is sort

00:39:11.740 of weirdly

00:39:13.100 perfect,

00:39:14.260 that there

00:39:15.500 are a lot

00:39:15.800 of unemployed

00:39:16.400 young people

00:39:17.200 for reasons

00:39:18.680 that probably

00:39:19.100 have nothing

00:39:19.520 to do with

00:39:20.000 AI, but

00:39:21.720 AI is going

00:39:22.400 to make a

00:39:22.800 lot of

00:39:23.040 people maybe

00:39:24.560 underemployed.

00:39:26.500 Maybe part-time

00:39:27.460 work is what

00:39:28.200 we all want,

00:39:29.540 and then AI

00:39:30.520 fills in for

00:39:31.220 the rest.

00:39:31.680 would you

00:39:33.560 be happy

00:39:34.100 if you

00:39:34.680 had no

00:39:35.340 job?

00:39:36.680 Some of

00:39:37.320 you would.

00:39:38.280 I wouldn't

00:39:38.840 be happy

00:39:39.220 with no

00:39:39.760 job.

00:39:42.180 Let's say

00:39:42.800 I lost

00:39:43.420 my current

00:39:44.420 career

00:39:44.840 completely,

00:39:46.720 but AI

00:39:48.140 was giving

00:39:49.180 me enough

00:39:50.000 money to

00:39:50.460 live, and

00:39:51.020 I had a

00:39:51.360 house and

00:39:51.880 everything.

00:39:52.760 I would

00:39:53.500 do a

00:39:53.900 part-time

00:39:54.400 job, and

00:39:56.080 I would be

00:39:57.060 happy that I

00:39:57.740 had it.

00:39:58.940 And it

00:39:59.540 could be

00:39:59.880 working at

00:40:00.320 Starbucks or

00:40:01.080 something, but

00:40:02.240 I'm definitely

00:40:02.940 going to have

00:40:03.340 to get out

00:40:03.740 of the

00:40:03.880 house.

00:40:05.260 I'm going

00:40:05.740 to have to

00:40:06.000 do something.

00:40:07.260 I mean, I'm

00:40:07.660 not going to

00:40:08.080 sit around and

00:40:08.660 pet my cats

00:40:09.400 and wait for

00:40:09.940 my universal

00:40:11.500 payment check

00:40:14.400 to come in

00:40:15.020 and the

00:40:15.600 robots to

00:40:16.180 clean my

00:40:16.600 house.

00:40:17.440 What kind

00:40:17.760 of life is

00:40:18.160 that?

00:40:19.180 So I feel

00:40:20.360 like we're

00:40:21.120 moving toward

00:40:21.880 almost everybody

00:40:23.520 will have a

00:40:23.960 part-time job

00:40:24.760 because the

00:40:25.780 AI will do

00:40:26.380 the other

00:40:26.660 part of the

00:40:27.080 job.

00:40:27.340 China is 0.85

00:40:30.520 allegedly

00:40:31.500 tightening up

00:40:32.980 on their

00:40:33.680 sales of

00:40:34.440 rare earth

00:40:34.900 materials.

00:40:36.520 This might

00:40:37.240 be preparing

00:40:37.920 for a meeting

00:40:38.600 with Trump

00:40:39.320 so they have

00:40:39.780 more leverage.

00:40:40.940 Ha ha, you

00:40:41.620 can't get our

00:40:42.240 rare earth

00:40:42.640 materials.

00:40:43.500 So they're

00:40:43.880 doing a

00:40:44.220 number of

00:40:44.540 things to

00:40:44.920 make it

00:40:45.200 harder for

00:40:46.720 anybody to

00:40:47.360 cheat and

00:40:48.100 send out

00:40:48.800 any rare earth

00:40:49.480 materials from

00:40:50.200 China that 0.98

00:40:50.680 they don't

00:40:51.000 know about.

00:40:52.880 Given that

00:40:53.800 that seems to

00:40:54.560 be China's 0.99

00:40:55.340 primary leverage

00:40:57.060 over us more

00:40:59.000 so than

00:40:59.620 almost everything

00:41:00.440 else is this

00:41:01.340 rare earth

00:41:01.800 material stuff.

00:41:04.280 Whatever we're

00:41:05.300 doing to

00:41:06.100 take that

00:41:08.020 leverage away,

00:41:09.120 we really

00:41:10.040 need to do

00:41:10.620 that quickly.

00:41:12.920 Whatever we

00:41:14.160 think is our

00:41:14.820 biggest problem

00:41:15.520 in the world,

00:41:16.680 it might be

00:41:17.420 this.

00:41:18.920 It might be

00:41:19.720 the biggest

00:41:20.120 problem in

00:41:20.620 the world

00:41:21.000 that China 0.93

00:41:22.420 has us by

00:41:23.140 the rare earth

00:41:23.700 materials, if you

00:41:24.560 know what I

00:41:24.880 mean.

00:41:25.040 So I do

00:41:27.540 see the

00:41:28.080 government doing

00:41:29.520 what looks like

00:41:30.240 a lot of

00:41:30.820 stuff to

00:41:32.120 open up

00:41:32.720 minds and

00:41:33.360 get past

00:41:33.820 regulations and

00:41:34.920 partner with

00:41:36.040 companies that

00:41:37.360 need a little

00:41:37.840 help and all

00:41:38.360 that.

00:41:39.200 So I do

00:41:39.600 think they're

00:41:40.060 putting a lot

00:41:40.920 of effort into

00:41:41.680 it, but it

00:41:42.360 seems like the

00:41:42.960 right amount of

00:41:43.620 effort would be

00:41:44.480 just all hands

00:41:48.280 on deck kind

00:41:49.200 of thing.

00:41:50.360 So I don't

00:41:50.900 know if we're

00:41:51.480 up to that

00:41:52.620 challenge yet,

00:41:53.320 but we're

00:41:53.520 probably heading

00:41:53.920 there.

00:41:55.440 Well, I

00:41:56.080 saw a meme

00:41:57.060 that I was

00:41:58.120 so impressed

00:41:58.920 with.

00:42:00.300 I've told you

00:42:01.000 before you

00:42:01.460 should follow a

00:42:02.160 user called

00:42:02.740 Maze, M-A-Z-E. 1.00

00:42:04.840 If you're

00:42:05.360 looking for his

00:42:05.940 account, it's

00:42:06.720 Maze Moore,

00:42:07.980 M-A-Z-E-M-O-O-R-E, 1.00

00:42:11.780 all one word.

00:42:13.240 And he found,

00:42:14.540 and I don't know

00:42:15.000 how he did this

00:42:15.640 exactly, there

00:42:16.680 must be some

00:42:17.180 kind of video

00:42:18.400 search engine I

00:42:19.380 don't know about,

00:42:20.560 but he found,

00:42:21.420 I think there

00:42:23.260 were like eight

00:42:24.320 different interviews

00:42:26.220 in which Rob

00:42:27.440 Reiner was

00:42:29.200 saying, let's

00:42:30.520 see, several

00:42:32.040 years ago, he

00:42:33.720 said in the

00:42:34.460 interview, well,

00:42:35.640 we've got 241

00:42:37.100 years of self-rule

00:42:38.420 that basically

00:42:40.140 depends on keeping

00:42:41.300 Trump out of

00:42:41.980 office.

00:42:42.800 So he was

00:42:43.580 saying 241 years

00:42:45.380 of self-rule in

00:42:46.440 the United States

00:42:47.180 and Trump's going

00:42:48.300 to take it all

00:42:48.820 away.

00:42:49.820 And then the

00:42:50.560 year after, he

00:42:51.740 said, we only

00:42:54.000 have 242 years

00:42:55.960 of self-rule and

00:42:57.060 Trump's going to

00:42:57.580 take it away.

00:42:58.280 And the next

00:42:58.700 year he said, we

00:42:59.600 got 243 years of

00:43:01.560 self-rule, but

00:43:02.640 this Trump's going

00:43:03.320 to take it away.

00:43:04.000 And then the

00:43:04.340 next year he

00:43:04.780 said, well, he

00:43:06.620 got all the way

00:43:07.160 up to 249 years

00:43:08.980 and then the

00:43:09.960 last one was

00:43:10.880 teasing, was

00:43:13.620 teasing that, I

00:43:15.080 don't know if

00:43:15.460 we'll make it to

00:43:16.060 250 years.

00:43:18.680 Now, it gets

00:43:19.620 funnier as you

00:43:21.920 go along.

00:43:22.600 When you read

00:43:22.960 the first one,

00:43:23.620 you're like, I

00:43:24.180 don't know, why

00:43:25.080 are you even

00:43:25.500 doing this?

00:43:26.520 Then the second

00:43:27.180 one is incremented

00:43:28.080 by one year.

00:43:29.220 You go, okay, is

00:43:30.660 this what I think?

00:43:31.860 Then the third

00:43:32.480 one is incremented

00:43:33.360 by one year.

00:43:34.240 And then you

00:43:34.840 start laughing.

00:43:37.280 And then every

00:43:38.180 time it goes up

00:43:38.940 a year, you

00:43:39.860 laugh harder.

00:43:41.720 And you realize

00:43:42.740 that for 10

00:43:44.280 years he's been

00:43:45.560 saying that we're

00:43:46.280 going to lose

00:43:46.640 our freedom any

00:43:47.360 minute now for

00:43:49.120 10 years in a

00:43:49.980 row.

00:43:50.700 And basically

00:43:51.740 nothing's

00:43:52.360 different.

00:43:55.400 Now he says we

00:43:56.420 only have a year

00:43:57.060 to correct our

00:43:57.760 250-year

00:43:58.640 experiment.

00:44:00.320 Well, what's

00:44:01.440 going to happen

00:44:01.860 if we don't

00:44:02.400 correct it?

00:44:03.800 Will the border

00:44:04.480 get closed and

00:44:05.360 the GDP be

00:44:06.220 3.7?

00:44:07.740 And will there

00:44:09.000 be peace in

00:44:09.980 Gaza? 0.52

00:44:11.460 Is that what

00:44:11.920 he's worried

00:44:12.280 about?

00:44:12.560 Poor stupid

00:44:15.280 bastard.

00:44:18.200 And then

00:44:18.700 there's definitely

00:44:20.280 something happening

00:44:21.280 here.

00:44:22.520 Jon Stewart,

00:44:23.860 who of course

00:44:24.880 is no friend

00:44:26.120 to Mega,

00:44:27.900 but to his

00:44:30.120 credit, he's

00:44:31.580 also a pretty

00:44:32.280 straight shooter.

00:44:34.040 Like, you know,

00:44:34.680 he is willing

00:44:36.140 to say things

00:44:37.520 unpopular if

00:44:38.560 they ring as

00:44:39.460 true.

00:44:39.720 So he is

00:44:41.400 a special

00:44:42.120 kind of

00:44:42.560 character,

00:44:43.180 somewhat like

00:44:43.680 Bill Maher,

00:44:45.000 that they're

00:44:45.900 braver than

00:44:47.060 most people

00:44:47.760 who would

00:44:49.140 identify more

00:44:50.140 with the left

00:44:50.620 than the right.

00:44:51.800 But he's

00:44:53.080 going after

00:44:53.560 Chuck Schumer.

00:44:56.000 He's made

00:44:56.760 fun of Chuck

00:44:57.400 Schumer being

00:44:58.000 a bad

00:44:58.980 face of the

00:45:00.840 Democrats

00:45:01.380 because he

00:45:02.320 has to be a

00:45:02.980 Democrat.

00:45:03.360 He has to

00:45:03.540 be a Democrat.

00:45:03.560 But now

00:45:14.220 Jon Stewart

00:45:15.240 just did a

00:45:15.880 piece where

00:45:16.320 he called

00:45:16.660 Chuck Schumer

00:45:17.300 quote,

00:45:17.960 a human

00:45:18.500 flat tire.

00:45:20.740 Can you

00:45:21.500 imagine how

00:45:22.080 embarrassing

00:45:22.560 it would be

00:45:23.200 to be a

00:45:24.440 real serious

00:45:25.640 Democrat and

00:45:26.960 then watch

00:45:27.460 the face of

00:45:28.420 your movement

00:45:29.160 be Chuck

00:45:31.240 Schumer?

00:45:31.560 How would

00:45:33.580 that feel

00:45:33.980 to you?

00:45:35.920 And this

00:45:36.520 has nothing

00:45:36.940 to do with

00:45:37.360 policies or

00:45:38.140 anything else.

00:45:38.940 Would you

00:45:39.220 want that

00:45:39.660 guy to be

00:45:40.100 the face

00:45:40.540 of your

00:45:40.800 party?

00:45:42.340 I mean

00:45:42.680 seriously.

00:45:43.580 Even Jon

00:45:44.180 Stewart is

00:45:44.700 saying,

00:45:45.200 ah, we

00:45:46.820 got to do

00:45:47.320 better than

00:45:47.800 this.

00:45:48.660 We got to

00:45:49.400 do better

00:45:49.800 than this.

00:45:51.500 Anyway,

00:45:52.060 in other

00:45:52.280 news,

00:45:53.680 former FBI

00:45:54.720 director James

00:45:55.860 Comey has

00:45:56.960 pled not

00:45:57.620 guilty on

00:46:00.360 charges of

00:46:00.940 making false

00:46:01.720 statements to

00:46:02.540 Congress.

00:46:04.060 He did not

00:46:04.720 get a burp

00:46:05.320 walk.

00:46:05.800 His home

00:46:06.220 was not

00:46:06.600 invaded at

00:46:07.320 6 a.m.

00:46:08.000 Nobody

00:46:08.360 handcuffed

00:46:09.100 him as

00:46:09.500 far as I

00:46:09.960 know.

00:46:11.000 So it's

00:46:12.260 kind of a

00:46:12.800 quiet news

00:46:13.820 story that

00:46:14.640 doesn't have

00:46:15.680 much of a

00:46:16.160 visual element

00:46:16.900 to it.

00:46:18.700 I'm

00:46:19.260 expecting him

00:46:20.540 not to be

00:46:21.500 guilty.

00:46:22.960 What do

00:46:23.280 you think?

00:46:24.380 Or maybe

00:46:24.940 the case

00:46:25.380 will even

00:46:25.680 be thrown

00:46:26.120 out for

00:46:26.800 lack of

00:46:27.820 something.

00:46:30.940 I don't

00:46:31.480 think there's

00:46:31.860 really any

00:46:32.320 chance that

00:46:33.500 he's going

00:46:33.820 to get

00:46:34.120 convicted.

00:46:35.880 I don't

00:46:36.080 know.

00:46:37.940 Maybe.

00:46:39.040 I mean,

00:46:39.300 it's not

00:46:39.580 impossible.

00:46:40.840 I just

00:46:41.380 don't think

00:46:41.760 the world

00:46:42.140 works that

00:46:42.660 way.

00:46:43.700 I think

00:46:44.340 even if

00:46:44.780 they have

00:46:45.100 him dead

00:46:45.480 to rights,

00:46:46.620 they're just

00:46:47.060 going to

00:46:47.300 say,

00:46:47.680 eh, and

00:46:48.620 there'll be

00:46:48.920 at least

00:46:49.220 one juror

00:46:49.900 who said,

00:46:50.440 eh, I'm

00:46:51.860 not going

00:46:52.160 to convict

00:46:52.620 him just

00:46:52.960 for that.

00:46:53.460 Everybody

00:46:53.720 lies.

00:46:55.340 All you

00:46:55.680 need is

00:46:55.980 one juror

00:46:58.020 who says

00:46:58.540 everybody

00:46:58.920 lies.

00:46:59.440 And that's

00:47:01.280 it.

00:47:02.080 Trump

00:47:02.360 lies.

00:47:02.780 Why isn't

00:47:03.140 he in

00:47:03.400 jail?

00:47:04.440 All these

00:47:05.040 other people

00:47:05.460 lied.

00:47:06.180 Why aren't

00:47:06.520 they in

00:47:06.780 jail?

00:47:07.580 So I'm

00:47:07.880 just going

00:47:08.200 to put

00:47:08.420 this one

00:47:08.860 guy in

00:47:09.240 jail.

00:47:10.260 The one

00:47:10.620 guy.

00:47:11.540 Everybody's

00:47:11.940 lying to

00:47:12.320 Congress all

00:47:12.860 the time.

00:47:13.900 But I'm

00:47:14.440 going to

00:47:14.600 put this

00:47:14.900 one guy

00:47:15.320 in jail.

00:47:17.520 Honestly,

00:47:18.240 if you put

00:47:19.640 me on the

00:47:20.120 jury, I

00:47:22.260 don't know

00:47:22.680 that I would

00:47:23.140 convict him,

00:47:24.360 even if I

00:47:25.520 thought he

00:47:25.800 was guilty.

00:47:26.820 I'm being

00:47:27.400 honest.

00:47:27.820 Because I

00:47:29.900 like to

00:47:30.280 live in

00:47:30.540 a world

00:47:30.880 where there's

00:47:32.540 at least

00:47:33.480 some

00:47:34.220 consistency.

00:47:36.880 Right?

00:47:37.780 And if I

00:47:39.040 knew that

00:47:39.620 tons of

00:47:40.280 famous people

00:47:40.960 on both

00:47:41.460 sides had

00:47:42.560 lied to

00:47:43.080 Congress for

00:47:43.720 years and

00:47:44.240 years, would

00:47:45.540 I care that

00:47:46.560 somebody like

00:47:47.540 Navarro or

00:47:48.500 Bannon went

00:47:49.080 to jail for

00:47:49.820 not talking to

00:47:50.760 Congress?

00:47:51.960 I guess they

00:47:52.880 went for not

00:47:53.480 talking, not

00:47:54.120 for lying.

00:47:54.680 That's

00:47:54.880 different.

00:47:55.160 I don't

00:47:57.540 know.

00:47:58.440 I feel like

00:47:59.780 as a

00:48:00.400 juror, I

00:48:01.820 might just

00:48:02.280 say, go

00:48:02.780 screw

00:48:03.400 yourself.

00:48:04.440 If you're

00:48:04.840 just going to

00:48:05.200 put this

00:48:05.560 one guy in

00:48:06.240 jail, that

00:48:07.460 looks like

00:48:07.860 lawfare to

00:48:08.420 me.

00:48:09.100 I'm not in

00:48:09.560 favor of

00:48:09.860 that.

00:48:10.960 Now, that

00:48:11.880 would be if

00:48:12.300 I'm a

00:48:12.620 juror, but

00:48:13.700 I'm not a

00:48:14.160 juror.

00:48:15.220 So I get

00:48:15.920 to sort of

00:48:16.620 look at it

00:48:17.080 with my

00:48:17.480 dispassionate,

00:48:18.860 not my

00:48:19.360 responsibility

00:48:20.160 kind of

00:48:21.040 public opinion.

00:48:22.020 opinion, my

00:48:23.240 public opinion

00:48:24.080 is that you

00:48:25.080 can lawfare

00:48:25.840 the law

00:48:26.460 fareers, but

00:48:27.980 not anybody

00:48:28.480 else.

00:48:30.160 I don't

00:48:30.960 want to see

00:48:31.300 anybody getting

00:48:31.840 lawfared because

00:48:33.280 you don't like

00:48:33.780 their politics.

00:48:35.240 No way.

00:48:36.700 That's, you

00:48:37.840 know, it

00:48:38.380 wouldn't matter

00:48:38.820 if they had a

00:48:39.380 technical

00:48:39.860 violation.

00:48:40.740 No way I'd

00:48:41.320 find them

00:48:41.620 guilty if it

00:48:42.560 was just

00:48:42.880 lawfaring.

00:48:44.360 But if

00:48:45.880 you're lawfaring

00:48:46.680 the person

00:48:47.180 who tried to

00:48:47.760 lawfare you

00:48:48.600 literally out of

00:48:50.180 office as the

00:48:51.300 presidency and

00:48:52.180 into jail,

00:48:53.380 yeah, lawfare

00:48:54.080 them as much

00:48:54.520 as you want.

00:48:55.860 I call that

00:48:56.660 fair.

00:48:57.340 I don't know

00:48:58.040 if I'd call it

00:48:58.640 fair if I'm

00:48:59.160 on the jury.

00:49:01.160 But from my

00:49:01.800 current perspective,

00:49:04.720 yeah, lawfare

00:49:05.720 the lawfareers.

00:49:06.820 Absolutely.

00:49:09.760 Dana Bash

00:49:10.480 was talking to

00:49:11.740 Nancy Pelosi,

00:49:13.500 and her last

00:49:15.640 name sounded

00:49:17.100 right.

00:49:17.480 She actually

00:49:17.860 a basher.

00:49:19.840 So Dana

00:49:20.880 Bash points

00:49:21.500 out that

00:49:21.880 the Republicans,

00:49:23.620 I'll just read

00:49:24.480 it, Republicans

00:49:25.120 are voting

00:49:25.660 yes to

00:49:26.400 open the

00:49:26.860 government.

00:49:28.440 All right,

00:49:28.640 this is CNN,

00:49:30.400 Dana Bash.

00:49:31.900 She's saying

00:49:32.480 to Pelosi,

00:49:34.260 Republicans are

00:49:35.600 voting yes to

00:49:36.520 open the

00:49:36.920 government.

00:49:38.020 Democrats are

00:49:38.860 voting no.

00:49:40.340 So how are

00:49:41.680 they shutting

00:49:42.220 down the

00:49:42.640 government,

00:49:43.640 Republicans?

00:49:44.880 It's a pretty

00:49:45.220 good question,

00:49:45.880 right?

00:49:46.820 So the yes

00:49:48.700 would be on the

00:49:49.340 continuing

00:49:49.900 resolution that

00:49:50.840 just keeps

00:49:51.340 things the

00:49:51.840 way they

00:49:52.120 are, funded

00:49:53.220 for seven

00:49:54.560 weeks until

00:49:55.160 they start

00:49:55.680 arguing about

00:49:56.460 the new

00:49:56.820 budget on

00:49:58.080 the schedule

00:49:58.560 that they

00:49:59.480 plan to

00:49:59.880 argue about

00:50:00.340 it.

00:50:01.600 So yes,

00:50:02.900 all the

00:50:03.260 Democrats

00:50:04.180 would have

00:50:04.520 to do is

00:50:05.020 sign the

00:50:05.460 thing that

00:50:05.840 says,

00:50:06.280 oh, we'll

00:50:08.220 just pay

00:50:08.740 everybody for

00:50:09.280 another seven

00:50:09.920 weeks, then

00:50:10.840 everybody gets

00:50:11.500 their Obamacare

00:50:13.380 subsidies, nobody

00:50:14.740 loses anything,

00:50:15.800 everybody gets a

00:50:16.480 paycheck.

00:50:17.260 That's what the

00:50:17.780 Republicans want.

00:50:19.920 And the

00:50:20.580 Democrats are

00:50:21.620 keeping it

00:50:22.180 shut.

00:50:23.040 So was that a

00:50:24.140 fair question

00:50:24.780 from CNN?

00:50:25.880 Yeah, that's a

00:50:27.340 fair question.

00:50:28.460 How are you

00:50:29.100 saying that the

00:50:29.780 Democrats are

00:50:30.440 shutting it

00:50:30.900 down when

00:50:31.820 all the

00:50:32.160 Democrats have

00:50:32.840 to do is

00:50:33.280 sign this

00:50:34.000 document that

00:50:35.120 keeps everything

00:50:35.840 exactly the

00:50:36.860 same, which

00:50:38.620 is what they're

00:50:39.060 asking for, for

00:50:40.880 at least seven

00:50:41.360 weeks, until

00:50:42.760 you can work

00:50:43.280 out the details.

00:50:43.940 And what

00:50:44.940 did Pelosi

00:50:45.840 say when

00:50:46.580 challenged with

00:50:47.620 that?

00:50:47.960 She said, it's

00:50:48.900 not a clean

00:50:49.800 CR.

00:50:51.040 A clean one

00:50:51.920 means all it

00:50:52.700 does is say

00:50:53.180 we're going to

00:50:53.680 continue the

00:50:54.400 way we were.

00:50:55.520 A non-clean

00:50:56.480 one would be

00:50:57.220 adding things.

00:50:58.580 But the

00:50:58.960 whole point

00:50:59.880 of the CR

00:51:01.640 is that it

00:51:02.440 doesn't add

00:51:02.940 things.

00:51:04.140 That is what

00:51:04.960 it is.

00:51:05.660 It's the

00:51:06.040 thing that

00:51:06.380 doesn't add

00:51:07.040 things.

00:51:08.700 That's exactly

00:51:09.760 what it is.

00:51:11.080 A clean CR.

00:51:12.760 Nothing added.

00:51:14.440 The Republicans

00:51:15.100 know they

00:51:15.600 can't add

00:51:16.180 shit and

00:51:16.660 get away

00:51:17.020 with it.

00:51:17.880 Of course

00:51:18.400 there's nothing

00:51:18.920 added.

00:51:20.360 And they're

00:51:21.020 also smart

00:51:21.640 enough to

00:51:22.060 know that

00:51:22.560 if they

00:51:23.280 give the

00:51:23.640 Democrats

00:51:24.100 what they're

00:51:24.500 asking for,

00:51:26.000 they'll still

00:51:26.640 say no.

00:51:28.400 And they

00:51:28.800 did.

00:51:29.660 And even

00:51:30.140 CNN isn't

00:51:30.960 going to

00:51:31.180 let Pelosi

00:51:31.960 get away

00:51:32.420 with that.

00:51:33.480 So Bash

00:51:34.360 says, what's

00:51:34.960 not clean

00:51:35.560 about the

00:51:36.520 CR?

00:51:37.900 What do

00:51:38.280 you think

00:51:38.500 Pelosi

00:51:38.880 said?

00:51:40.840 I quote,

00:51:42.660 the point

00:51:43.660 is, oh,

00:51:44.500 oh, oh.

00:51:46.440 Would you

00:51:47.120 like me to

00:51:47.640 repeat that

00:51:48.100 again?

00:51:49.440 Pelosi's

00:51:49.960 answer was,

00:51:50.720 the point

00:51:51.240 is, oh,

00:51:52.120 oh, oh,

00:51:53.540 oh.

00:51:56.100 End quote.

00:51:59.000 Destroyed.

00:52:00.160 That's what I

00:52:00.980 call getting

00:52:01.560 Dana bashed. 0.85

00:52:04.340 In other

00:52:05.120 news, the

00:52:05.780 White House

00:52:06.200 says if the

00:52:06.920 government

00:52:07.180 doesn't reopen,

00:52:08.780 that it will

00:52:09.340 use maybe

00:52:10.260 tariff money

00:52:11.440 money to

00:52:12.260 pay for

00:52:12.760 some of

00:52:13.100 the

00:52:13.260 nutritional

00:52:13.900 programs

00:52:14.740 that are

00:52:15.620 very important

00:52:16.200 that are

00:52:17.140 being cut.

00:52:18.520 So the

00:52:18.720 White House

00:52:20.200 will be able

00:52:20.820 to say,

00:52:21.600 well, we're

00:52:21.880 not monsters,

00:52:22.940 so we're

00:52:23.680 going to

00:52:23.780 make sure

00:52:24.100 that people

00:52:25.080 are eating.

00:52:26.620 And we

00:52:27.200 can do

00:52:27.500 that with

00:52:27.900 some tariff

00:52:28.400 revenue,

00:52:28.740 because I'm

00:52:29.320 so darn

00:52:29.780 smart.

00:52:30.880 I've got

00:52:31.320 all these

00:52:31.640 tariffs, and

00:52:32.240 it created

00:52:32.660 this money

00:52:33.180 that's not

00:52:33.620 spoken for,

00:52:34.920 and why

00:52:35.520 don't we

00:52:35.780 just use

00:52:36.220 that to

00:52:36.580 plug the

00:52:36.940 gap?

00:52:38.100 I mean,

00:52:38.420 better would

00:52:39.420 be you

00:52:39.820 sign the

00:52:40.280 clean CR,

00:52:41.440 and then

00:52:41.760 everybody gets

00:52:42.340 what they

00:52:42.700 want right

00:52:43.120 away.

00:52:43.520 That's

00:52:43.720 better.

00:52:44.760 But if

00:52:45.140 you Democrats

00:52:45.860 are going

00:52:46.200 to starve

00:52:46.700 people,

00:52:48.740 well, we'll

00:52:49.340 feed them.

00:52:51.140 And we

00:52:51.520 found a

00:52:52.140 clever way

00:52:52.580 to do it

00:52:52.960 that only

00:52:53.320 Trump

00:52:53.580 could do,

00:52:54.400 tariff

00:52:54.660 money.

00:52:56.240 It's

00:52:56.740 pretty good.

00:52:57.940 That's

00:52:58.440 pretty good

00:52:59.020 politicking

00:52:59.560 right there.

00:53:01.460 Anyway,

00:53:02.140 in other

00:53:02.440 news, the

00:53:03.460 Palisades

00:53:04.320 fire-starting

00:53:05.400 bastard has

00:53:06.500 been caught.

00:53:08.180 It's

00:53:08.360 26-year-old

00:53:10.560 or 28

00:53:11.300 or something.

00:53:12.640 Young

00:53:12.920 guy with

00:53:13.380 long hair.

00:53:14.700 Looks to

00:53:15.140 have mental

00:53:15.620 problems,

00:53:16.300 would be

00:53:16.640 my guess,

00:53:18.060 based on

00:53:18.740 that, on

00:53:19.160 the fact

00:53:19.500 that he

00:53:20.020 speaks

00:53:20.420 French.

00:53:21.580 No, I'm

00:53:22.060 just kidding.

00:53:22.800 I'm just

00:53:23.140 kidding, but

00:53:23.560 he does

00:53:23.900 speak French.

00:53:25.120 I don't

00:53:25.420 know what

00:53:25.640 that means.

00:53:26.940 But anyway,

00:53:27.920 this young

00:53:28.720 man set

00:53:29.540 the fire

00:53:30.200 on, I

00:53:31.700 guess it

00:53:32.040 was the

00:53:32.400 first of

00:53:33.720 the year,

00:53:34.680 but it

00:53:35.540 was spotted

00:53:36.260 and the

00:53:36.920 fire department

00:53:37.760 put it

00:53:38.880 out before

00:53:39.960 it injured

00:53:40.900 any structures.

00:53:41.860 It burned

00:53:42.200 a lot of

00:53:42.560 grass, but

00:53:43.780 they got

00:53:44.140 it all

00:53:44.500 out.

00:53:45.500 Well, not

00:53:47.300 all out, but

00:53:48.840 they thought

00:53:49.300 they put it

00:53:49.820 out, and

00:53:50.800 then they

00:53:51.100 monitored it

00:53:51.880 for a while

00:53:52.480 because that's

00:53:53.880 the protocol.

00:53:55.780 They know

00:53:56.400 that sometimes

00:53:57.220 the fire will

00:53:57.940 have some

00:53:58.380 underground

00:53:59.040 smoldering

00:54:00.080 things that

00:54:00.700 they can't

00:54:01.180 detect, so

00:54:02.520 they hang

00:54:02.920 around a

00:54:03.320 little while

00:54:03.640 just to make

00:54:04.100 sure the

00:54:04.480 smoldering

00:54:04.940 doesn't take

00:54:06.080 off.

00:54:06.920 However,

00:54:08.360 depending who

00:54:09.360 you talk to,

00:54:10.200 which fire

00:54:10.880 experts, they

00:54:12.100 will tell you

00:54:12.600 that the fire

00:54:13.220 department did

00:54:13.960 not stay there

00:54:14.700 long enough.

00:54:16.220 Now, some

00:54:16.680 would say that

00:54:17.500 you need to

00:54:17.900 stay there

00:54:18.480 36 hours.

00:54:20.780 Some would

00:54:21.280 say, no,

00:54:22.860 that's not

00:54:23.180 even close.

00:54:24.220 You might

00:54:24.560 need to stay

00:54:25.020 there for

00:54:25.380 two weeks.

00:54:26.740 I think that

00:54:27.260 was the other

00:54:27.740 estimate.

00:54:28.560 So they

00:54:29.040 definitely didn't

00:54:29.660 stay there for

00:54:30.180 two weeks,

00:54:30.820 but they

00:54:32.340 did stay

00:54:32.760 there more

00:54:33.500 than just

00:54:34.840 putting out

00:54:35.300 the fire.

00:54:36.240 So nobody

00:54:37.140 has been

00:54:37.980 found, let's

00:54:39.960 say, guilty

00:54:40.980 in any kind

00:54:41.580 of a lawsuit,

00:54:43.140 but I think

00:54:43.800 some of them

00:54:44.280 might still

00:54:44.700 be pending.

00:54:46.500 So the

00:54:47.300 LA Fire

00:54:47.900 Department

00:54:48.280 probably has

00:54:49.440 some questions

00:54:52.540 to answer

00:54:53.120 because there

00:54:54.120 does seem

00:54:54.860 to be some

00:54:56.060 alleged

00:54:56.500 certainty,

00:54:58.320 at least by

00:54:59.280 the police,

00:54:59.840 that they

00:55:00.560 definitely

00:55:00.960 got the

00:55:01.380 guy, he

00:55:02.720 definitely

00:55:03.140 set the

00:55:03.680 fire, it 0.78

00:55:04.940 definitely

00:55:05.400 was put

00:55:05.920 out, and

00:55:07.420 it definitely

00:55:08.060 recurred, you

00:55:10.700 know, some

00:55:11.080 days later.

00:55:12.300 So is that

00:55:14.040 enough for the

00:55:14.600 fire department

00:55:15.180 to get sued?

00:55:17.200 I don't know.

00:55:18.680 I guess we'll

00:55:19.080 find out.

00:55:21.380 Somebody

00:55:21.900 sent me a

00:55:22.880 clip yesterday

00:55:25.060 that it cut

00:55:26.600 out the

00:55:27.040 mention of

00:55:27.460 my name,

00:55:27.940 but it was

00:55:28.320 about me in

00:55:29.140 one part.

00:55:29.840 There was

00:55:30.080 a comic

00:55:31.200 Dave Smith

00:55:31.740 talking to

00:55:32.620 provocative

00:55:33.820 Nick Fuentes.

00:55:35.560 Both of them

00:55:36.080 are provocative,

00:55:36.880 I guess.

00:55:38.040 And so

00:55:40.260 Dave Smith

00:55:40.820 mentioned me

00:55:41.660 and a

00:55:43.580 story about

00:55:44.140 he saw

00:55:45.760 what I

00:55:46.180 shockingly

00:55:46.800 said to

00:55:47.360 get canceled

00:55:47.940 in 2023,

00:55:49.060 and his

00:55:50.420 first reaction

00:55:51.180 was, oh,

00:55:51.880 man, guy,

00:55:52.780 you, you

00:55:53.060 know, went

00:55:54.120 too far.

00:55:55.120 So his

00:55:55.740 first reaction

00:55:57.460 was like

00:55:57.860 most people's,

00:55:58.660 you know,

00:55:59.120 some form of

00:55:59.940 disgust and

00:56:00.780 shock and

00:56:03.260 condemnation.

00:56:05.260 But then he

00:56:06.460 said, I

00:56:06.900 wasn't expecting

00:56:07.600 this, he

00:56:08.500 said that a

00:56:09.580 minute later,

00:56:10.720 he realized that

00:56:11.780 what I had

00:56:12.720 advised, which

00:56:13.700 is to get

00:56:14.300 away from

00:56:14.700 people who

00:56:15.400 say they

00:56:16.260 don't like

00:56:16.800 you, which

00:56:18.360 seemed like

00:56:18.820 just reasonably

00:56:19.540 good advice in

00:56:20.620 all situations

00:56:21.420 to stay

00:56:22.320 away from

00:56:22.720 people who

00:56:23.280 say, who

00:56:24.520 say they

00:56:24.940 don't like

00:56:25.380 you, not

00:56:26.300 people you

00:56:26.780 suspect, but

00:56:28.280 if there's

00:56:28.720 a, you

00:56:29.500 know, 30

00:56:30.000 or 40

00:56:30.480 percent of

00:56:31.000 some group

00:56:31.740 that you

00:56:33.000 know says,

00:56:33.940 I don't even

00:56:34.360 think you

00:56:34.940 should exist,

00:56:36.160 or there's

00:56:36.720 something wrong

00:56:37.260 with you, you

00:56:37.780 should stay

00:56:38.140 away from

00:56:38.540 them.

00:56:38.920 It doesn't

00:56:39.180 matter who

00:56:39.520 it is.

00:56:40.420 It doesn't

00:56:40.920 matter at all

00:56:41.400 who it is.

00:56:42.540 You should

00:56:43.060 just always

00:56:43.500 take that

00:56:43.980 advice.

00:56:45.280 So, anyway,

00:56:46.700 Dave Smith

00:56:47.140 said a minute

00:56:47.760 later, I

00:56:48.280 realized that

00:56:48.840 that's what I

00:56:49.540 had done,

00:56:50.140 meaning what

00:56:50.620 he had

00:56:50.900 done, and

00:56:51.560 then he

00:56:51.740 tells the

00:56:52.140 story of

00:56:52.620 looking for

00:56:53.260 a place

00:56:54.000 to move

00:56:54.500 with his

00:56:55.000 wife and

00:56:55.700 I guess

00:56:56.580 children, and

00:56:57.700 then they're

00:56:58.020 looking for

00:56:58.460 a good

00:56:58.800 school, and

00:57:00.140 he humorously

00:57:01.100 tells the

00:57:01.640 story of

00:57:02.060 looking at

00:57:02.580 I guess the

00:57:03.820 school they

00:57:04.220 ended up

00:57:04.580 picking, and

00:57:05.760 it was, I'm

00:57:07.000 paraphrasing, so

00:57:07.820 this is not

00:57:08.320 exactly what he

00:57:09.120 said, but it

00:57:09.840 was stuff like,

00:57:10.980 okay, their

00:57:11.660 college acceptance,

00:57:14.340 A+, you

00:57:15.440 know, their

00:57:15.800 math teaching,

00:57:17.140 A+, their 1.00

00:57:18.040 English teaching,

00:57:19.540 A+, and

00:57:20.620 then it

00:57:21.000 got to the

00:57:21.400 bottom of

00:57:21.760 the list, and

00:57:22.160 it was like

00:57:22.620 they got a

00:57:23.160 grade for

00:57:23.620 diversity, and

00:57:25.160 their diversity

00:57:25.880 was, I

00:57:26.400 think, D

00:57:27.060 minus, and

00:57:29.240 comic Dave

00:57:30.240 Smith jokes,

00:57:31.400 that's the

00:57:31.840 one.

00:57:33.720 So, they

00:57:34.360 picked the

00:57:34.760 one that had

00:57:35.280 the highest

00:57:36.320 academic standards

00:57:37.640 and the lowest

00:57:38.900 diversity, and

00:57:40.420 he liked both of

00:57:41.220 those things, and

00:57:43.020 he joked that

00:57:44.380 unfortunately, you

00:57:46.640 know, again, I'm

00:57:47.200 paraphrasing, the

00:57:48.660 level of

00:57:50.520 diversity can

00:57:51.520 really reliably

00:57:53.520 tell you what

00:57:54.760 the life would be

00:57:55.560 like in that

00:57:56.220 school, and

00:57:57.340 that he didn't

00:57:58.300 want that for

00:57:58.760 his children.

00:57:59.920 So, I feel

00:58:02.780 like that was

00:58:03.260 one of the

00:58:03.620 more honest

00:58:04.300 things that

00:58:04.980 anybody said

00:58:05.800 this year, and

00:58:08.360 that's pretty

00:58:09.300 honest.

00:58:10.340 I will also

00:58:10.940 go so far as

00:58:11.760 to say 100%

00:58:13.080 of all adult

00:58:14.240 humans did

00:58:15.660 the same

00:58:16.020 thing, all

00:58:17.720 of them, black,

00:58:19.500 white, Asian,

00:58:21.360 all of them.

00:58:22.540 Every single

00:58:23.360 person who was

00:58:24.160 trying to get

00:58:24.720 their kid into

00:58:26.400 a good school,

00:58:28.180 if they had the

00:58:29.220 ability to move,

00:58:30.220 not everybody

00:58:30.760 has the ability

00:58:31.260 to move, but

00:58:32.120 the ones who

00:58:32.500 have the ability

00:58:32.980 to move, you

00:58:33.420 don't think they

00:58:33.920 looked at the

00:58:34.460 quality of the

00:58:35.140 school first, you

00:58:36.900 don't think they

00:58:37.380 looked at the

00:58:37.960 diversity to see

00:58:39.520 if their kid

00:58:40.100 fits in.

00:58:41.120 I mean, if

00:58:41.520 you had a black

00:58:42.060 kid, you'd want

00:58:42.780 enough diversity

00:58:43.700 that they feel

00:58:44.300 comfortable, so

00:58:45.500 you're not always

00:58:46.480 going the same

00:58:47.040 way, but are

00:58:48.400 you making the

00:58:49.140 decision based

00:58:49.920 on diversity?

00:58:51.260 Of course you

00:58:51.820 are.

00:58:52.660 Every single

00:58:53.540 person, black,

00:58:54.880 white, rich,

00:58:55.660 poor, everyone,

00:58:57.100 he just admitted

00:58:57.800 it.

00:58:59.300 So that was

00:59:00.560 fun.

00:59:02.340 And then, just

00:59:03.420 because I was

00:59:04.300 having fun watching

00:59:05.560 the people who

00:59:07.980 were the most

00:59:08.720 provocative, I

00:59:10.960 was watching a

00:59:11.880 clip of

00:59:12.360 Candice, Candice

00:59:14.020 Owens. 0.95

00:59:15.160 Now, I've

00:59:15.900 told you I

00:59:16.440 have a very

00:59:17.280 positive, just

00:59:19.180 personal feeling

00:59:20.040 about Candice,

00:59:20.840 having just met

00:59:21.580 her once, she's 0.99

00:59:22.160 very warm.

00:59:23.580 And so I

00:59:25.580 turned it on,

00:59:26.320 and it was a

00:59:27.180 whole episode, it

00:59:28.040 wasn't a clip, it

00:59:29.020 was like a whole

00:59:29.540 long episode.

00:59:30.660 I watched every

00:59:31.660 minute of it,

00:59:32.740 which I almost

00:59:33.520 never do.

00:59:34.460 I don't watch

00:59:35.060 usually the whole

00:59:36.680 episode of anything,

00:59:38.580 but so I'm

00:59:39.540 grateful that you

00:59:40.200 do.

00:59:41.000 But I

00:59:41.780 usually can't

00:59:43.000 hang, but oh

00:59:44.520 my God, is she

00:59:45.460 talented.

00:59:47.020 If any of you

00:59:47.880 had the same

00:59:48.580 reaction, her

00:59:50.300 voice is just

00:59:52.600 perfect.

00:59:54.360 Her mastery of

00:59:56.040 her topic,

00:59:58.080 impressive.

00:59:59.760 The ability to

01:00:01.800 find an angle on

01:00:04.780 something or a

01:00:06.660 point of view that

01:00:07.620 you haven't seen

01:00:08.360 everywhere else,

01:00:09.900 amazing.

01:00:12.300 The fluency with

01:00:14.620 which she

01:00:15.240 communicates, oh

01:00:17.520 my God, so

01:00:19.520 smart, so

01:00:21.140 smart, so

01:00:22.440 talented.

01:00:23.300 I watched that

01:00:24.360 show and sat

01:00:25.320 there thinking, I

01:00:26.040 need to get out of

01:00:26.660 this business,

01:00:27.560 because I'm nowhere

01:00:29.300 near that, right?

01:00:30.780 I say great things

01:00:31.680 about Megyn Kelly,

01:00:34.120 and of course, Joe

01:00:34.820 Rogan's a legend,

01:00:36.400 and you can name

01:00:38.360 a bunch of

01:00:38.840 others, Tucker's

01:00:39.520 amazing, just

01:00:41.040 talent-wise.

01:00:41.840 You don't have to

01:00:42.380 agree with everything

01:00:43.080 they say, just

01:00:43.660 talent-wise.

01:00:45.000 But she might be

01:00:46.020 the best of all.

01:00:47.560 She might be the 0.90

01:00:48.160 best in the entire

01:00:49.660 business.

01:00:50.900 She might be the 0.90

01:00:51.520 best.

01:00:52.380 And one of the

01:00:53.240 ways I judge that

01:00:54.140 is if every minute

01:00:56.300 is interesting, and

01:00:58.720 it actually is.

01:01:00.000 Now, let me say

01:01:00.960 clearly, I do not

01:01:02.420 believe Brigitte

01:01:04.140 Macron has a

01:01:05.000 penis. 0.57

01:01:06.020 I don't believe

01:01:06.540 that at all.

01:01:07.880 But when you see

01:01:08.940 how well she supports

01:01:10.200 that theory, that is

01:01:12.080 entertaining.

01:01:13.560 All right, if you're

01:01:14.100 not entertained by

01:01:14.900 that, I don't know

01:01:16.400 what it takes to

01:01:17.020 entertain you, but

01:01:17.640 that's entertaining.

01:01:19.080 Now, when she

01:01:21.140 suggests, but does

01:01:23.860 not say, that she's

01:01:27.020 sort of open to the

01:01:28.340 possibility that some

01:01:29.520 foreign entity was

01:01:30.740 involved in the

01:01:32.180 Charlie Kirk murder,

01:01:34.100 and she doesn't have

01:01:35.180 to say it, but we

01:01:36.280 all know, based on

01:01:37.260 the context, that

01:01:38.220 she's thinking that

01:01:39.580 maybe Israel had 0.52

01:01:40.680 some involvement in

01:01:42.520 that because Charlie

01:01:43.540 had turned against

01:01:44.520 Israel at the end,

01:01:46.160 and that would be a

01:01:47.060 pretty big risk for

01:01:48.720 Israel because he 0.98

01:01:49.400 would be important

01:01:50.060 enough that if they

01:01:51.400 lost him, that could

01:01:54.240 be very expensive for

01:01:56.480 Israel.

01:01:57.480 So, she did

01:01:58.700 demonstrate that they

01:01:59.680 have a motive.

01:02:02.980 I didn't expect

01:02:04.120 that.

01:02:04.880 She actually

01:02:05.540 successfully demonstrated

01:02:07.260 that Israel had a

01:02:08.660 motive to kill him,

01:02:09.960 which is not funny,

01:02:12.000 but I'm just sort of

01:02:13.580 like so impressed

01:02:14.640 at how well she can

01:02:16.460 bring things together

01:02:17.460 that I don't believe,

01:02:19.700 but still, you know,

01:02:21.220 quite expertly sort

01:02:23.720 of teased.

01:02:25.640 So, and I told you

01:02:27.740 yesterday, I don't

01:02:28.360 believe there's any

01:02:29.100 chance that Israel

01:02:30.160 was involved because

01:02:31.720 they're way too smart,

01:02:33.300 Netanyahu especially,

01:02:34.440 way too smart to do

01:02:36.320 something that if there

01:02:37.320 was even a 1% chance

01:02:38.860 you'd get caught, that

01:02:40.820 would be the end of

01:02:41.460 the game.

01:02:42.920 That would be a dumb

01:02:43.940 risk management versus

01:02:45.960 just trying to deal

01:02:46.900 with him and, you know,

01:02:48.140 bring him back, you

01:02:49.280 know, bring him back to

01:02:50.120 a positive opinion, much

01:02:51.940 more doable, much less

01:02:54.220 risk than trying to

01:02:56.320 off him, you know, even

01:02:57.920 if you thought you

01:02:58.520 could hide your

01:02:59.080 tracks.

01:02:59.980 No, no, that's too

01:03:01.700 risky.

01:03:02.380 So I don't believe it

01:03:03.100 at all.

01:03:04.080 And the one thing you

01:03:06.100 should keep in mind

01:03:07.100 when you watch any of

01:03:09.520 the top influencers,

01:03:11.540 when they've got a

01:03:12.320 point of view that is

01:03:14.620 not common and it's

01:03:16.260 not held by other

01:03:17.020 people, two things I

01:03:18.660 want to teach you about

01:03:19.620 persuasion that I've

01:03:20.720 mentioned before, but

01:03:22.380 every time you hear

01:03:23.240 them in context and

01:03:25.260 apply it to a real

01:03:26.220 world thing, they get

01:03:27.160 a little stronger in

01:03:28.080 your mind.

01:03:29.020 Number one, the

01:03:30.580 documentary effect,

01:03:32.140 which I mention all

01:03:33.640 the time.

01:03:34.540 The documentary effect

01:03:36.060 means that if you're

01:03:36.860 listening to one point

01:03:38.180 of view for an hour,

01:03:40.540 you're going to kind of

01:03:42.060 come away thinking it's

01:03:43.020 true because you

01:03:45.600 listen to one point

01:03:46.520 of view for an hour.

01:03:47.660 It has nothing to do

01:03:49.020 with how true it is.

01:03:50.280 It will just seem more

01:03:51.440 and more true the

01:03:53.000 longer you watch.

01:03:54.580 That's just what the

01:03:55.400 documentary does.

01:03:57.220 So Candace is sort of 0.97

01:03:58.900 a, you know, an

01:04:00.420 example.

01:04:01.120 It's not a documentary,

01:04:02.180 but you know what I

01:04:02.740 mean.

01:04:03.200 It's one point of view

01:04:04.380 for an extended period.

01:04:06.940 So yes, that's going

01:04:08.280 to be very persuasive

01:04:09.540 coming from, in my

01:04:11.620 opinion, maybe one of

01:04:12.600 the best communicators

01:04:13.800 who's ever been

01:04:14.460 alive.

01:04:15.520 I mean, she's really

01:04:16.500 good.

01:04:16.860 The other example

01:04:20.620 is, the other thing

01:04:21.680 you need to know is

01:04:22.300 the Bible code.

01:04:23.640 Again, I've mentioned

01:04:24.540 it, but every time you

01:04:25.480 see an example of it,

01:04:26.680 it reinforces it.

01:04:28.640 The Bible code was

01:04:30.040 years ago, it might

01:04:30.940 have been in the 60s

01:04:32.100 or 70s, I forget.

01:04:33.720 Somebody wrote a book

01:04:34.580 called The Bible Code

01:04:35.500 in which they found

01:04:36.680 that you could

01:04:38.320 determine that the

01:04:39.300 Bible, you know, the

01:04:40.640 regular King James

01:04:41.920 Bible, had a bunch of 0.97

01:04:43.240 hidden codes in it

01:04:44.720 that could have only

01:04:46.040 come from God, and

01:04:47.940 they gave all kinds

01:04:48.880 of examples.

01:04:49.700 They said, all right,

01:04:50.880 and I'll make up this

01:04:52.160 example, but there's

01:04:53.380 stuff like, if you

01:04:54.740 took the first word of

01:04:56.000 the page, and then the

01:04:57.740 second word of the

01:04:58.540 second sentence, but

01:05:00.020 the third word of the

01:05:01.180 third sentence, they

01:05:02.640 would form a

01:05:03.680 prediction, which you

01:05:05.240 can see in history

01:05:06.100 actually came true.

01:05:07.980 It'd be like, big

01:05:09.940 bomb, 1949, I

01:05:11.560 don't know, whatever

01:05:11.900 it is.

01:05:12.200 And then they'd

01:05:13.720 say, yes, it was

01:05:14.880 forecasting the nuclear

01:05:16.020 bomb.

01:05:17.200 And the trouble was

01:05:18.700 that although those

01:05:20.020 codes did, in fact,

01:05:22.200 exist, you could go

01:05:23.840 look for yourself.

01:05:25.220 They would say, all

01:05:25.900 right, yeah, sure

01:05:26.900 enough, third word,

01:05:28.880 second word on the

01:05:29.700 next page, you know,

01:05:30.660 if you follow this

01:05:31.320 algorithm, it does make

01:05:32.500 a sentence, and it

01:05:34.160 does predict, because

01:05:35.660 you can see for

01:05:36.260 yourself that it

01:05:36.860 happened.

01:05:38.000 Do you know how the

01:05:38.880 Bible Code was 0.99

01:05:39.820 debunked?

01:05:40.520 somebody took their

01:05:42.680 algorithm and

01:05:43.580 applied it to war

01:05:44.540 and peace, and it

01:05:46.120 also made a lot of

01:05:47.260 predictions that came

01:05:48.080 true.

01:05:49.180 In other words, you

01:05:50.840 can take any big

01:05:52.540 body of anything

01:05:53.740 that's complicated,

01:05:55.460 could be a book,

01:05:57.020 could be a story,

01:05:58.960 could be a real

01:05:59.980 world event, and

01:06:01.700 you can always find

01:06:03.340 what looks like

01:06:05.140 circumstantial evidence

01:06:06.560 to any fucking thing 0.96

01:06:08.360 you want.

01:06:09.660 Do you want me to

01:06:11.120 prove that aliens

01:06:13.300 were complicit in

01:06:15.080 killing somebody?

01:06:16.980 I could probably do

01:06:17.640 it.

01:06:18.920 I could find all

01:06:19.980 kinds of, well, did

01:06:21.400 you know that there

01:06:22.060 was a report of an

01:06:22.920 alien in the area

01:06:24.040 that day?

01:06:25.660 Did you know that

01:06:26.760 there were reports

01:06:28.220 of aliens in other

01:06:29.940 places where people

01:06:31.420 were murdered?

01:06:32.900 I mean, it would

01:06:33.500 look like that.

01:06:34.380 So pretty soon I

01:06:35.260 could build this

01:06:35.860 story of all this

01:06:37.500 circumstantial evidence

01:06:39.180 that would be so,

01:06:40.800 so compelling to

01:06:42.660 you that you would

01:06:44.260 really think the

01:06:45.160 aliens were involved.

01:06:47.880 So when you watch

01:06:49.280 Candace, remember the

01:06:51.880 documentary effect

01:06:53.080 means that it will be

01:06:54.680 convincing because

01:06:56.860 it's long and

01:06:58.340 because she's really,

01:06:59.580 really good at this,

01:07:00.680 like really good.

01:07:01.560 And secondly, if you

01:07:04.100 say, but Scott, the

01:07:05.880 evidence is real, like

01:07:07.820 you could check

01:07:08.380 yourself.

01:07:09.280 There's the text

01:07:10.400 message, you know,

01:07:11.500 all that.

01:07:12.080 And I would say,

01:07:12.880 yep, yep, the Bible

01:07:15.340 code guarantees that

01:07:16.720 any complex situation

01:07:18.280 will have multiple

01:07:19.800 hypotheses that all

01:07:21.700 seem to have

01:07:22.160 evidence.

01:07:22.740 That's the whole

01:07:23.320 point of a court

01:07:24.200 case.

01:07:25.340 Do you know, you

01:07:26.080 know, the defense in

01:07:27.360 a court case is going

01:07:29.080 to have a version of

01:07:30.020 events with a whole

01:07:31.420 bunch of

01:07:31.940 circumstantial evidence

01:07:33.100 to show the person

01:07:34.020 is innocent.

01:07:35.820 The prosecution will

01:07:38.420 have a whole bunch of

01:07:39.280 stories of circumstantial

01:07:40.980 evidence that says

01:07:42.500 they're guilty.

01:07:43.860 So in every case, you

01:07:45.500 can make the case and

01:07:47.460 the opposite case if

01:07:49.340 it's a complicated

01:07:50.960 situation, something

01:07:52.320 like a book.

01:07:54.480 And the Charlie

01:07:55.400 situation is complicated

01:07:56.980 enough that that's

01:07:58.800 possible.

01:07:59.240 Anyway, if you

01:08:01.260 haven't watched

01:08:01.940 Kansas' show, I

01:08:04.700 recommend it.

01:08:05.460 It's tremendous.

01:08:07.920 But be careful.

01:08:08.860 Did you lock the

01:08:13.140 front door?

01:08:13.640 Check.

01:08:14.200 Close the garage

01:08:14.920 door?

01:08:15.360 Yep.

01:08:15.860 Installed window

01:08:16.400 sensors, smoke

01:08:17.120 sensors, and HD

01:08:18.080 cameras with night

01:08:18.740 vision?

01:08:19.360 No.

01:08:20.180 And you set up

01:08:20.760 credit card transaction

01:08:21.480 alerts, a secure

01:08:22.200 VPN for a private

01:08:23.100 connection, and

01:08:23.760 continuous monitoring

01:08:24.620 for our personal

01:08:25.140 info on the dark

01:08:25.740 web?

01:08:26.660 Uh, I'm looking

01:08:28.180 into it?

01:08:29.220 Stress less about

01:08:30.080 security.

01:08:30.960 Choose security

01:08:31.560 solutions from

01:08:32.300 Telus for peace of

01:08:33.240 mind at home and

01:08:34.340 online.

01:08:35.100 Visit telus.com

01:08:36.200 slash total security

01:08:37.280 to learn more.

01:08:38.340 Conditions apply.

01:08:40.440 All right.

01:08:41.240 Uh, there was this

01:08:42.180 meeting that Trump

01:08:43.340 was at to, I guess,

01:08:44.960 talk about the, looking

01:08:46.760 into the sources of

01:08:48.200 Antifa funding.

01:08:49.240 And they had a bunch

01:08:50.000 of, uh, independent

01:08:51.600 journalists who were

01:08:52.440 there.

01:08:52.760 Some of them had, had

01:08:53.820 run-ins with Antifa,

01:08:55.440 I guess.

01:08:56.040 And one of them,

01:08:57.160 Brandi Cruz, said,

01:08:59.200 quote, I'm living proof

01:09:00.360 that you can recover

01:09:01.260 from TDS.

01:09:03.200 So she said this in

01:09:04.360 front of the room and

01:09:05.060 in front of Trump.

01:09:05.980 She said, uh, I

01:09:07.680 think I even got a

01:09:08.480 little more attractive

01:09:09.240 after I get rid of my

01:09:10.560 Trump derangement

01:09:11.360 syndrome.

01:09:12.840 Boy, talk about saying

01:09:14.280 something that is going

01:09:15.540 to amuse Trump.

01:09:16.960 Trump couldn't get the

01:09:17.820 smile off his face.

01:09:19.040 I think he agreed with

01:09:20.020 her that she became

01:09:20.760 more attractive.

01:09:22.540 Um, anyway, so if I

01:09:27.740 had to give some

01:09:28.320 advice to Brandi, who

01:09:31.340 went from a anti-Trumper

01:09:33.440 TDS person to a, oh,

01:09:35.940 maybe I was wrong

01:09:36.660 about all that.

01:09:38.240 Maybe Trump is the

01:09:39.360 way.

01:09:40.260 Uh, if I had to give

01:09:41.340 her some advice, you 0.80

01:09:43.020 know what I'd say?

01:09:44.500 You know, all of her

01:09:45.460 old friends, the

01:09:46.640 Democrats she was

01:09:47.440 hanging around with?

01:09:49.020 What do you think

01:09:49.720 they're going to think

01:09:50.440 of her now that she's

01:09:51.560 come out as a MAGA

01:09:52.820 supporting person?

01:09:54.380 Do you think all of

01:09:55.400 her friends are going

01:09:56.200 to be okay with her?

01:09:58.180 Do you think they'll

01:09:58.780 invite her to parties

01:09:59.640 now?

01:09:59.900 Do you know your

01:10:03.000 advice I would give

01:10:04.000 her?

01:10:05.460 Get the fuck away from

01:10:07.020 Democrats.

01:10:08.280 Just get the fuck away 1.00

01:10:09.880 because you know that

01:10:11.440 at least 60% of them

01:10:12.920 are going to think

01:10:13.560 you're fucking garbage

01:10:14.860 because you like a MAGA.

01:10:17.760 Forget it.

01:10:18.640 You're going to have to

01:10:19.280 get away from those

01:10:20.240 Democrats.

01:10:21.200 That's what I did.

01:10:22.760 When, when I first

01:10:24.040 became known as a, a

01:10:25.940 Trump supporter, I

01:10:27.220 lost pretty much my

01:10:29.500 entire social structure.

01:10:32.360 Everything except family

01:10:33.720 and, and just, you

01:10:35.200 know, a handful of

01:10:35.940 close friends, but

01:10:37.340 mostly I lost my

01:10:38.500 entire Democrat

01:10:40.040 structure because I

01:10:42.560 didn't even know the

01:10:43.320 politics of my

01:10:44.040 friends.

01:10:44.980 Do you know that?

01:10:46.160 For years, we've

01:10:47.940 spent, you know, a

01:10:48.540 massive amount of

01:10:49.280 times together.

01:10:50.480 I didn't know their

01:10:51.380 politics.

01:10:52.380 No idea because it

01:10:53.380 never came up.

01:10:54.740 But boy, when it

01:10:55.460 came up, I could feel

01:10:57.840 the hatred, not

01:10:59.460 from all of them,

01:11:00.220 of course, but you

01:11:01.320 could feel it.

01:11:02.500 And what did I do?

01:11:03.580 I got the fuck

01:11:04.500 away.

01:11:06.200 And I would give

01:11:07.320 this advice.

01:11:08.420 People think that

01:11:09.200 this is somehow

01:11:09.780 limited to the one

01:11:11.580 situation where there

01:11:12.900 was a, there was a

01:11:14.320 Rasmussen poll that

01:11:15.540 said something like

01:11:16.140 30 or 40% of black

01:11:17.480 people who said it

01:11:18.280 wasn't okay to be

01:11:19.260 black.

01:11:19.860 And then I said,

01:11:21.040 the word that gets

01:11:21.920 forgotten, if.

01:11:23.640 When people tell

01:11:25.840 my story, they

01:11:26.820 always leave out

01:11:27.400 if.

01:11:27.980 Have you noticed

01:11:28.440 that?

01:11:29.580 It's the most

01:11:30.180 important word.

01:11:31.800 I said, if this

01:11:34.140 poll is accurate, and

01:11:35.760 a couple years later

01:11:36.920 they redid it with a

01:11:37.880 bigger sample, it

01:11:39.200 was accurate.

01:11:40.720 I said, if it's

01:11:41.880 accurate, you should

01:11:43.780 stay away from groups

01:11:45.660 of people if 40% of

01:11:47.840 them think it's not

01:11:48.760 okay to be you.

01:11:50.060 It wouldn't matter

01:11:51.020 if they're black.

01:11:52.260 It wouldn't matter

01:11:52.980 if they're LGBTQ.

01:11:54.740 It wouldn't matter

01:11:55.720 if they were a

01:11:56.880 bunch of Democrats

01:11:58.800 who were your best

01:11:59.540 friends.

01:12:01.080 That was my case.

01:12:02.480 There's a bunch of

01:12:03.040 Democrats.

01:12:03.660 They were all

01:12:04.100 different from

01:12:05.480 different countries.

01:12:06.520 And by the way, a

01:12:08.660 vast percentage of

01:12:10.340 my closest friends

01:12:11.480 were born in other

01:12:12.380 countries.

01:12:13.640 Or their parents

01:12:14.620 were born in other

01:12:15.340 countries.

01:12:16.600 So they had that,

01:12:18.160 you know, the

01:12:18.700 immigrant anti-Trump

01:12:21.160 view.

01:12:21.500 I understand it.

01:12:23.900 But why would I

01:12:24.860 spend time around

01:12:25.860 it?

01:12:26.920 Would it make sense

01:12:27.680 for me to spend

01:12:28.380 time around it?

01:12:29.860 Now, I only had

01:12:30.740 one family friend

01:12:33.960 who said directly,

01:12:35.860 don't want to spend

01:12:36.940 time with you.

01:12:38.940 What did I do

01:12:40.100 when my one

01:12:41.740 friend, very close

01:12:44.140 friend, said, you

01:12:46.020 know, it's better if

01:12:46.620 we don't spend time

01:12:47.460 together because of my

01:12:49.340 cancellation?

01:12:49.840 Do you know what I

01:12:52.920 said?

01:12:55.160 I said, fine.

01:12:57.100 Block the phone and

01:12:58.780 we'll never talk to

01:12:59.660 them again for the

01:13:00.280 rest of my life.

01:13:01.560 I'm going to stay the 0.64

01:13:02.540 fuck away from them.

01:13:03.780 Why would I spend a

01:13:04.840 minute with somebody

01:13:06.400 who would harbor that

01:13:07.420 feeling about me,

01:13:08.480 even if they were

01:13:09.360 nice enough not to

01:13:10.220 say it out loud?

01:13:11.640 The minute you find

01:13:12.740 somebody dislikes you

01:13:15.100 on that level, get the

01:13:17.400 fuck away from them.

01:13:19.840 And I'm not going to

01:13:20.760 ever change that

01:13:21.480 advice.

01:13:22.520 Why?

01:13:23.340 Because you all

01:13:24.020 agree with me.

01:13:25.900 Everyone who

01:13:26.680 cancels me also

01:13:27.800 agrees with me.

01:13:29.780 Everyone.

01:13:31.000 Every person who

01:13:32.200 canceled me, everyone

01:13:33.840 agrees with me 100%.

01:13:36.540 If they listen to

01:13:37.560 what I said.

01:13:38.420 If they heard a

01:13:40.060 version and a

01:13:40.700 context, then that's

01:13:41.740 different.

01:13:42.600 But if they listen to

01:13:43.420 what I said, I have

01:13:46.060 never once insulted

01:13:47.140 black people.

01:13:47.840 That's never

01:13:49.200 happened.

01:13:50.460 Would you agree?

01:13:51.800 You're the ones who 0.75

01:13:52.620 watched me the closest.

01:13:54.020 Have I ever insulted

01:13:55.400 black people?

01:13:57.300 Never.

01:13:58.320 I love black people.

01:14:00.560 Like on an

01:14:01.460 individual basis, all

01:14:04.260 good experiences.

01:14:06.300 All good.

01:14:08.360 Anyway.

01:14:08.660 But group-wise, you

01:14:12.240 can act differently

01:14:13.300 in group decisions

01:14:16.300 versus individual

01:14:17.300 decisions, of

01:14:18.160 course.

01:14:18.800 Never discriminate 0.77

01:14:20.220 against an

01:14:21.060 individual.

01:14:22.280 That's bad for

01:14:23.020 them.

01:14:24.320 And it's limiting

01:14:25.500 your own choices.

01:14:27.040 Why would you limit

01:14:27.900 your own choices?

01:14:29.720 You know, unless you

01:14:30.380 believe that like every

01:14:31.780 single person in one

01:14:33.080 group is going to be

01:14:34.800 worse than every

01:14:35.660 single person in

01:14:36.480 another group.

01:14:37.000 But nobody thinks

01:14:37.680 that.

01:14:38.900 Literally nobody

01:14:39.740 thinks that.

01:14:41.300 So, yeah, don't

01:14:42.620 discriminate against

01:14:43.760 individuals.

01:14:45.340 But groups, yeah,

01:14:46.460 totally.

01:14:48.420 If it's for your

01:14:49.480 safety, that's the

01:14:50.560 only good reason.

01:14:53.900 During that same

01:14:54.960 meeting, talking

01:14:55.620 about Antifa,

01:14:56.960 somebody asked

01:14:57.860 Trump if he would

01:14:59.040 designate Antifa as a

01:15:01.000 foreign terrorist 0.52

01:15:01.880 organization.

01:15:02.640 organization, they're

01:15:03.380 already designated as

01:15:04.760 a domestic terror

01:15:05.820 organization.

01:15:07.020 And Trump did that

01:15:07.880 Trumpy thing, which I

01:15:09.440 love so much.

01:15:10.800 He looks at his top

01:15:12.120 advisors who are also

01:15:13.240 in the room.

01:15:13.820 He goes, is that a

01:15:14.780 good idea?

01:15:15.920 Should I do that?

01:15:17.260 And one advisor says,

01:15:18.460 yes.

01:15:19.360 He looks at the next

01:15:20.360 one.

01:15:20.940 Well, we're all

01:15:21.460 watching.

01:15:21.940 It's televised.

01:15:22.800 We're all watching.

01:15:23.720 Goes to the next one.

01:15:24.680 Is that a good idea?

01:15:25.740 Should we do that?

01:15:26.980 Yes.

01:15:28.420 Should we do that?

01:15:29.380 I think he looked at

01:15:30.720 three or maybe four.

01:15:32.780 And they all said,

01:15:34.080 you know, yes.

01:15:35.860 He goes, all right.

01:15:36.860 Yeah.

01:15:37.500 I think we'll do that.

01:15:39.960 Now, did you see that

01:15:41.220 moment where you

01:15:43.320 watched him take a

01:15:45.460 public comment and

01:15:47.520 turned it into a

01:15:48.380 policy?

01:15:49.640 Because it was two

01:15:52.300 words.

01:15:53.320 Two words.

01:15:54.960 What was it?

01:15:56.640 Describe what you saw

01:15:57.900 in two words.

01:16:00.340 Common sense.

01:16:02.260 Somebody gave him a

01:16:04.020 total common sense

01:16:05.340 suggestion, which

01:16:06.900 apparently he had not

01:16:08.000 noodled on before.

01:16:09.240 He recognized it as

01:16:10.500 common sense.

01:16:12.000 He tested it with

01:16:13.340 three or four people

01:16:14.460 live.

01:16:15.880 They all seemed to

01:16:16.900 give answers that

01:16:18.180 would suggest it's

01:16:19.160 compatible with

01:16:19.860 common sense.

01:16:21.320 And then he said,

01:16:22.220 yes.

01:16:24.080 It was, in a weird

01:16:25.820 way, it was the

01:16:26.680 smallest thing that

01:16:27.580 happened yesterday.

01:16:28.340 But, boy, was it

01:16:29.980 impressive.

01:16:31.780 You know, maybe you

01:16:32.900 have to be pro-Trump

01:16:33.960 to be as impressed

01:16:35.280 at it as I was.

01:16:37.260 Was it Jack?

01:16:38.640 Was it Jack

01:16:39.520 Posobiec who

01:16:40.340 mentioned the

01:16:41.420 international thing?

01:16:42.860 I didn't catch who

01:16:43.560 said it.

01:16:45.620 But, anyway, if you've

01:16:47.280 ever seen anybody

01:16:48.380 president more

01:16:50.580 impressively than that

01:16:51.960 in front of you, I'd

01:16:53.800 love to hear the

01:16:54.500 example.

01:16:55.560 Because that was

01:16:56.300 solid presidenting

01:16:58.480 right there.

01:17:01.380 And Nick Sorter

01:17:03.080 was there with his

01:17:04.360 semi-burned flag.

01:17:07.000 And Trump suggested

01:17:08.840 that Bondi should

01:17:09.700 prosecute the person

01:17:11.820 who was burning the

01:17:12.960 flag under the

01:17:14.520 theory that I don't

01:17:15.480 think is proven.

01:17:16.520 So I don't think he

01:17:17.320 would be prosecuted.

01:17:19.560 But that the flag

01:17:21.800 burner was the one

01:17:23.840 who incited maybe

01:17:25.720 more trouble.

01:17:27.720 So the current

01:17:29.340 situation, as I

01:17:30.400 understand it, is

01:17:31.320 that it's still 100%

01:17:32.480 legal to burn a

01:17:33.580 flag if you're only

01:17:35.560 doing it to make a

01:17:36.560 point.

01:17:37.720 But if you're doing

01:17:38.540 it as part of

01:17:39.320 inciting violence or

01:17:40.920 maybe some other

01:17:42.020 kind of damaging

01:17:43.420 trouble, then it

01:17:45.920 would be considered

01:17:46.880 inciting violence.

01:17:49.840 So then it would

01:17:50.380 move out of the

01:17:51.400 free speech category

01:17:52.600 into the special

01:17:54.260 illegal category.

01:17:56.000 So I don't

01:17:56.740 believe, I can be

01:17:58.720 talked out of this,

01:17:59.740 but I don't believe

01:18:00.540 the flag burner made

01:18:01.740 much difference to

01:18:02.860 the overall event.

01:18:04.900 I think it was just

01:18:06.060 a sideshow at a

01:18:07.240 bigger event.

01:18:08.000 If that's the case,

01:18:09.340 then I would not

01:18:10.460 want that person to

01:18:11.280 go to jail.

01:18:12.820 Unfortunately, then

01:18:13.780 it's just free speech.

01:18:15.960 But we'll see.

01:18:19.040 Remember I always

01:18:19.940 tell you that one

01:18:21.020 of the things I

01:18:21.500 like about Trump

01:18:22.400 is that if there

01:18:23.920 are two positions

01:18:24.920 to take on any

01:18:26.040 issue, and one of

01:18:27.300 them is the strong

01:18:28.240 position and the

01:18:29.840 other is sort of

01:18:30.980 weak, he'll take

01:18:32.460 the strong position

01:18:33.480 every time, even

01:18:35.500 if it's not the

01:18:36.240 winning position.

01:18:37.820 And this might not

01:18:38.900 be the winning

01:18:39.420 position because I

01:18:40.340 don't know that

01:18:41.020 there's enough to

01:18:41.660 convict, but he

01:18:42.960 took the strong

01:18:43.600 position.

01:18:44.060 And what you'll

01:18:47.360 remember about

01:18:48.160 Trump, when all

01:18:49.980 the fog clears, is

01:18:51.860 that he was the

01:18:52.440 strongest leader.

01:18:54.480 You won't remember

01:18:55.600 that maybe that

01:18:56.420 court case didn't

01:18:57.820 work out.

01:18:58.940 You'll just remember

01:18:59.660 he always took the

01:19:00.460 strong side, and it

01:19:01.920 was the strong side

01:19:03.020 on behalf of

01:19:04.380 America.

01:19:05.420 You don't forget

01:19:06.660 the person who

01:19:07.860 always takes your

01:19:08.780 side even stronger

01:19:10.600 than you do.

01:19:11.900 You don't forget

01:19:12.500 that person.

01:19:13.040 Anyway, I guess the

01:19:15.980 White House released

01:19:17.460 the names of

01:19:18.480 people, rich people

01:19:20.380 funding Antifa.

01:19:22.540 Who do you think

01:19:23.420 it was?

01:19:24.060 If you guessed it

01:19:25.020 was a network of

01:19:26.020 NGOs, you'd be 1.00

01:19:28.200 right.

01:19:29.000 If you guessed

01:19:29.860 that $100 million

01:19:31.280 of taxpayer money

01:19:33.820 somehow got funneled

01:19:35.000 through NGOs, they

01:19:36.080 got funneled into

01:19:37.040 Antifa, meaning

01:19:38.480 that your taxpayers,

01:19:40.460 that your tax money

01:19:41.520 is paying the

01:19:42.480 people trying to

01:19:43.020 kill you, well, 0.99

01:19:45.180 trying to destroy

01:19:45.900 your system, which

01:19:46.720 would end up in a

01:19:47.500 lot of us dying,

01:19:48.860 you'd be right.

01:19:50.400 But also, if you

01:19:51.840 guessed George Soros,

01:19:53.360 you'd be right.

01:19:54.260 If you guessed

01:19:54.900 Arabella Funding

01:19:56.060 Network, you may

01:19:56.940 have heard some of

01:19:57.520 these names before,

01:19:58.860 the Tides Fishing

01:20:01.380 Network, they were

01:20:04.500 involved, they funded,

01:20:06.080 allegedly.

01:20:06.440 Neville Roy Singham, I

01:20:09.560 don't know who he is,

01:20:10.240 but he's got an

01:20:10.720 hour.

01:20:12.200 And then there's a

01:20:13.000 Swiss billionaire

01:20:13.820 guy who's like 100

01:20:16.160 years old, Johan

01:20:18.560 George Hans-Jork.

01:20:21.320 For some reason,

01:20:22.600 there's some Swiss 0.69

01:20:24.940 billionaire who cares

01:20:26.600 deeply about destroying

01:20:28.140 America by funding

01:20:30.300 all the wrong people.

01:20:31.940 What's up with that

01:20:33.040 guy?

01:20:34.920 Yeah, I don't see how

01:20:36.460 we let foreigners do 0.98

01:20:37.800 that, but then there's a

01:20:40.500 bunch of additional

01:20:41.100 foreign cash and other

01:20:43.080 stuff.

01:20:44.860 So, I am impressed that

01:20:47.340 the Trump administration

01:20:49.700 is going after the

01:20:51.480 funding, but also

01:20:52.400 finding it.

01:20:53.700 So, if you imagine that

01:20:55.140 Antifa is not a real

01:20:56.400 organization, who's getting

01:20:58.900 the money?

01:21:00.340 If it's not a real

01:21:01.400 organization, who are

01:21:03.700 they funding?

01:21:05.280 What is there to fund?

01:21:06.480 There's no organization

01:21:07.400 there, right?

01:21:08.560 But, apparently, there is

01:21:09.820 an organization, and

01:21:11.040 they're taking in a lot

01:21:11.960 of money.

01:21:14.380 Well, here's a story that

01:21:15.740 could be gigantic, but

01:21:17.920 I never even heard about

01:21:18.840 it until yesterday.

01:21:20.920 I saw a post by Eric

01:21:22.780 and Doherty.

01:21:23.840 Good follow, by the

01:21:24.780 way.

01:21:25.420 If you want to get

01:21:26.360 independent journalists

01:21:28.700 kind of stuff, Eric

01:21:31.120 Doherty, spelled D-A-U-G-H-E-R-T,

01:21:36.560 spelled like daughter with

01:21:37.840 a Y on the end.

01:21:42.100 So, it turns out that the

01:21:43.980 Supreme Court is going to

01:21:45.400 vote on abolishing a

01:21:48.900 specific part of the

01:21:50.160 Voting Rights Act that

01:21:52.740 allowed special districts to

01:21:56.560 be allocated for black

01:21:58.660 voters.

01:22:01.240 Well, they say for

01:22:02.180 minorities, but I suspect

01:22:03.660 the majority of that was

01:22:05.380 for the benefit of the

01:22:06.300 black community.

01:22:08.100 But, did you even know

01:22:09.700 this?

01:22:09.920 I didn't know this was a

01:22:10.800 thing.

01:22:11.500 That there were districts

01:22:12.480 that were drawn for

01:22:13.500 minorities to favor

01:22:14.860 Democrats.

01:22:15.480 So, I guess the idea was to

01:22:19.580 make sure that minorities did 0.95

01:22:21.160 not get closed down of

01:22:23.360 having representation by a

01:22:25.620 bunch of white people

01:22:26.460 redistricting.

01:22:27.780 Because you could

01:22:28.560 redistrict, you know, to

01:22:30.280 cut up the black 1.00

01:22:31.080 neighborhoods so that, you 0.61

01:22:32.320 know, they would never be

01:22:33.060 able to elect a black 1.00

01:22:34.440 leader because there just

01:22:35.460 wouldn't be enough black 1.00

01:22:36.300 people in any one voting

01:22:39.020 area.

01:22:39.540 So, it looks like in

01:22:41.240 order to protect against

01:22:44.060 discrimination in

01:22:45.760 redistricting, the law

01:22:49.060 allowed them to

01:22:50.320 redistrict for the purpose

01:22:51.900 of making sure that

01:22:55.260 black voters, I think

01:22:56.420 mostly black, had

01:22:58.540 representation.

01:23:01.600 Now, like most things,

01:23:03.580 that sounds like kind of a

01:23:04.780 good idea, right?

01:23:06.200 If you have a real

01:23:08.060 problem with black 1.00

01:23:10.420 representation being

01:23:11.640 eliminated, you know,

01:23:13.020 intentionally by

01:23:14.680 redistricting, yeah, I

01:23:17.380 think I would have been in

01:23:18.620 favor of this, actually, you

01:23:19.900 know, if you took me back in

01:23:20.960 time.

01:23:21.640 But it is time to

01:23:22.880 reassess.

01:23:25.760 Because I don't know that

01:23:28.620 Republicans would do that

01:23:31.500 in 2025, especially if it's

01:23:35.020 really obvious.

01:23:35.700 You know, the other way to

01:23:37.280 handle it is not to make it

01:23:38.860 illegal, but make it

01:23:40.620 public and say, look, look

01:23:43.160 what these dirty

01:23:44.000 Republicans did.

01:23:45.680 We Democrats would never do

01:23:47.060 something that bad to you.

01:23:48.560 So, I feel like this might be

01:23:52.120 exactly the right time to

01:23:53.540 overturn it, and not because

01:23:56.260 it didn't have a purpose.

01:23:58.120 I would say the same thing

01:23:59.400 with all of the racial

01:24:03.980 improvements have been made

01:24:05.960 over time.

01:24:06.760 There's a time to do it

01:24:08.040 when you need the

01:24:09.620 tourniquet, like things are

01:24:11.320 just so bad.

01:24:12.600 You've got to eliminate

01:24:13.840 racism, or not racism,

01:24:15.760 you've got to eliminate

01:24:16.300 slavery.

01:24:18.100 Like, you've just got to do

01:24:19.360 that.

01:24:20.440 You've got to eliminate

01:24:21.460 Jim Crow.

01:24:22.900 You've got to make sure that

01:24:24.560 black people have a seat at

01:24:26.280 the table and that they can

01:24:28.000 get interviewed like everybody

01:24:29.220 else, and if they've got the

01:24:30.400 skills, they could get the

01:24:31.400 job, all that's great, and

01:24:34.420 it's time.

01:24:36.240 So, the only question is not

01:24:37.820 whether those were good

01:24:38.860 ideas, but whether they

01:24:40.940 currently match the time, and

01:24:44.420 I don't think that they

01:24:45.580 currently match the time.

01:24:47.800 I think we have other better

01:24:49.400 ways to handle that sort of

01:24:51.740 thing, but we'll see.

01:24:55.480 There's a good chance that that

01:24:56.720 will happen, and that would

01:24:58.180 result in 19 more Republican

01:25:00.340 House seats, potentially.

01:25:02.640 I think they'd still have to

01:25:03.620 redistrict to get it, but

01:25:05.540 imagine getting 19 more

01:25:07.420 Republican seats in the House

01:25:08.760 before the midterms.

01:25:11.420 That would pretty much

01:25:13.160 guarantee the Republicans keep

01:25:16.080 the House.

01:25:19.780 So, I can't believe I didn't

01:25:21.660 know about that story before.

01:25:23.000 I saw a suggestion by a user on

01:25:31.320 Axe, nobody famous, that I

01:25:34.160 thought was so good.

01:25:36.320 It's one of those examples where

01:25:37.860 maybe the magic of social media

01:25:39.780 could work.

01:25:41.280 So, I have a large-ish account on

01:25:45.100 Axe, which means a lot of people

01:25:46.480 will see what I post.

01:25:48.040 But, I also read and consume a lot

01:25:51.900 of smaller accounts.

01:25:54.300 Usually, they're commenting.

01:25:56.300 I'll see them in my comments.

01:25:58.640 So, that creates a system where I

01:26:01.420 can see an individual who's not

01:26:03.420 famous or noted for anything.

01:26:06.020 They can talk to me, and then

01:26:08.040 people will see me, because I'm

01:26:10.380 more public and 1.3 million people.

01:26:13.620 I can guarantee that important

01:26:17.380 people in the administration, not

01:26:19.800 all of them, but important

01:26:21.300 people, will see my show, or see

01:26:24.620 my ex-posts, and then if the idea

01:26:28.080 is so good that the individual gets

01:26:31.560 to me, I'm impressed, I post it, it

01:26:34.240 goes to somebody maybe on the Wayhouse

01:26:36.060 staff, they're impressed, next thing

01:26:39.940 you know, something happens.

01:26:42.900 Now, this might be one of those.

01:26:45.720 So, let me tell you the situation.

01:26:47.180 The suggestion is from a user on

01:26:49.380 X named Misty Sunrise.

01:26:51.900 Again, don't know anything about the

01:26:53.580 person.

01:26:54.280 It's just a user on X.

01:26:56.040 Misty Sunrise had this suggestion,

01:26:59.280 talking about Trump surging the

01:27:02.460 forces into the cities for a crime.

01:27:06.060 Misty said they need to frame these

01:27:08.020 as, quote, gun violence reduction

01:27:10.640 missions.

01:27:13.480 Do you feel it already?

01:27:16.060 And she goes on, or he goes on.

01:27:17.940 I don't know who Misty is. 0.96

01:27:19.540 But white female voters love to 1.00

01:27:21.660 virtue signal on the gun violence

01:27:23.620 issue.

01:27:24.620 So, connecting the National Guard

01:27:26.700 deployments to the zip codes with

01:27:29.240 the highest rates of gun violence

01:27:31.640 would be powerful.

01:27:34.300 We need a map to go along with it.

01:27:36.300 Zip codes with highest rates of gun

01:27:37.980 violence and National Guard

01:27:39.140 deployments.

01:27:40.640 Okay.

01:27:40.980 Do you feel that?

01:27:42.960 You feel that, right?

01:27:45.540 There's some suggestions that you feel.

01:27:48.040 I feel that.

01:27:50.180 Meaning that, how in the world did we

01:27:53.380 miss the point that, you know, each

01:27:57.140 time they do one of these searches, one

01:27:58.840 of the data points that they always

01:28:00.960 report is the number of guns

01:28:03.220 confiscated, right?

01:28:06.760 If you're trying to satisfy the pro-gun

01:28:10.400 crowd, MAGA, and you're also trying to

01:28:14.400 do as best you can to satisfy the

01:28:16.460 Democrats because they're citizens,

01:28:18.860 right?

01:28:19.880 They get a service too.

01:28:22.080 If you're trying to satisfy everyone,

01:28:24.520 how did we miss the fact that we're

01:28:26.580 doing it?

01:28:28.560 And it's not being highlighted.

01:28:30.740 Now, it could be, remember, Trump

01:28:33.740 reads the room better than anybody.

01:28:36.260 So it could be that he doesn't want to

01:28:38.820 open that anti-gun box.

01:28:42.460 You know, maybe just give the data, but

01:28:44.540 don't frame it as anti-gun because then

01:28:46.840 maybe it just starts a whole anti-gun

01:28:49.120 thing.

01:28:49.800 So maybe he just wants to avoid the topic.

01:28:52.760 But when I saw this, I thought to

01:28:54.520 myself, okay, I don't know about

01:28:56.640 Portland.

01:28:58.180 I don't know if there's a lot of gun

01:28:59.640 violence in Portland, so it might not

01:29:01.160 work for every city who wants to

01:29:02.700 surge.

01:29:03.720 And I honestly, I think Portland's a

01:29:05.580 little overdone.

01:29:07.300 I just don't know there's that big a

01:29:09.140 problem in Portland, but, you know,

01:29:11.400 politically it works.

01:29:13.360 But if they pivoted, they wouldn't have

01:29:15.800 to make every deployment about guns.

01:29:17.840 But if they said, the one thing that

01:29:22.000 MAGA and Democrats will agree on is

01:29:26.100 that the criminals should not have

01:29:27.760 guns.

01:29:29.120 So we're going to at least do the thing

01:29:30.840 we all agree on.

01:29:32.220 And you just make it a gun reduction

01:29:35.020 thing instead of a crime reduction

01:29:38.140 thing, instead of just a violence

01:29:42.020 reduction thing, which it also is.

01:29:43.980 But I think the illegal gun reduction

01:29:48.080 is just sort of irresistible for

01:29:51.240 Democrats, is it not?

01:29:53.840 So here's my suggestion from Misty

01:29:57.080 Sunrise.

01:29:58.220 Maybe the administration should think

01:30:00.840 about highlighting what they're doing

01:30:02.500 to reduce gun violence, because they're

01:30:06.240 doing it the way Republicans like to

01:30:08.100 reduce gun violence.

01:30:09.940 Take them away from criminals.

01:30:11.620 Put the criminals who do gun violence

01:30:15.060 in jail.

01:30:17.840 You know, that doesn't solve everybody's

01:30:20.180 problem.

01:30:21.740 But how do we disagree on that?

01:30:24.480 There's no disagreement on that.

01:30:26.900 You know, even if you said, oh, I don't

01:30:29.000 like the federal, you know, the feds

01:30:31.820 coming in and scaring everybody with

01:30:34.260 masks and all that.

01:30:36.220 Well, if what they're doing is removing

01:30:38.880 illegal guns, you're going to put up

01:30:41.860 with the masks a lot more easily.

01:30:45.020 By the way, is it illegal for the bad,

01:30:47.540 the people on the streets to wear a

01:30:49.460 mask?

01:30:50.080 Or is it only illegal for the people

01:30:51.980 putting, trying to stop them?

01:30:54.740 I wasn't clear on that.

01:30:57.880 Well, you've seen some

01:30:59.200 online influencers, podcasters, say

01:31:05.640 things like the U.S.

01:31:06.840 is on the brink of civil war.

01:31:09.180 You've heard Tucker talk about it.

01:31:11.620 Tim Poole has talked about it.

01:31:13.000 I don't think he's predicting it, per

01:31:14.820 se, but sort of warning about it.

01:31:19.140 I'm going to be, I've seen enough of

01:31:21.720 this, and I don't want this to turn into

01:31:23.360 a self-fulfilling prophecy, which I

01:31:25.580 worry about.

01:31:26.620 In my opinion, there's no chance of a

01:31:29.100 civil war.

01:31:30.640 Do you know why?

01:31:32.520 Who would you shoot?

01:31:34.500 Who the hell are you going to shoot?

01:31:38.440 If it started tomorrow, what would you

01:31:40.280 do?

01:31:43.000 It's not like we have some big issue,

01:31:45.580 you know, like slavery, or, you know,

01:31:48.080 some nations are trying to withdraw

01:31:49.960 from the Union, or, who would you

01:31:53.940 shoot?

01:31:55.280 Your neighbors?

01:31:56.020 You just go out in the lawn and start

01:32:00.420 blazing away at your neighbor's house?

01:32:02.980 There's something missing with the whole

01:32:04.880 civil war thing.

01:32:07.180 There's nobody forming a militia,

01:32:10.040 right?

01:32:12.160 There's no militia being formed.

01:32:13.880 At least, you know, there might be

01:32:15.340 somebody in some forest somewhere, but

01:32:17.020 nobody's going to be at risk to the

01:32:18.640 system.

01:32:20.960 You're going to have to connect a lot

01:32:22.740 more dots before you can get me to

01:32:25.520 worry about a civil war.

01:32:26.780 Right now, a civil war is my smallest,

01:32:29.520 smallest concern.

01:32:31.640 I think everything is a bigger risk

01:32:33.680 than that.

01:32:34.900 Everything.

01:32:35.860 Now, I will make you this promise.

01:32:39.120 If there became a bigger risk, you know,

01:32:42.960 whether it's Antifa, it gets bigger,

01:32:44.600 or whatever, if it becomes a bigger

01:32:46.360 risk, I will spend more time persuading

01:32:49.920 it out of business.

01:32:52.100 And I think that one of the things that

01:32:53.680 we have today that not everybody fully

01:32:56.700 recognizes is that the influencers can

01:33:00.480 stop a civil war.

01:33:02.640 I believe the influencers are getting a

01:33:04.960 little bit reckless in warning us that

01:33:07.640 one might happen because, you know, the

01:33:09.580 self-fulfilling prophecy thing.

01:33:11.400 Once you get it in your head, things become

01:33:15.060 possible just because they're in your head.

01:33:17.360 So there is a little extra danger in

01:33:20.140 talking it up.

01:33:21.360 But what we have now is people like me.

01:33:25.520 There's no way for me to tell this story

01:33:28.140 without making it about me, so I apologize

01:33:31.220 in advance.

01:33:32.300 You don't think I can stop a civil war?

01:33:35.960 I probably could.

01:33:38.400 I can do it the misty sunrise way.

01:33:41.520 It's not that I have influence.

01:33:43.180 It's that if I say something that makes

01:33:46.720 common sense to you, you're going to like

01:33:49.880 it.

01:33:50.500 You're going to talk to your friends.

01:33:52.340 So as long as there are enough people

01:33:55.860 like me who, I guarantee you, I'm going

01:33:58.620 to be looking to stop a civil war if it

01:34:00.700 got anywhere near.

01:34:02.780 There'll be others like me, and we would

01:34:05.000 be powerful enough to stop a civil war

01:34:07.820 collectively, not me by myself.

01:34:10.140 But collectively, yeah, we could stop a

01:34:12.120 civil war now.

01:34:13.860 I'm sure of it.

01:34:14.940 I don't even think the government could

01:34:16.580 pull it off or a militia could pull it

01:34:19.240 off unless there was some kind of public

01:34:21.660 support, and we just make sure there

01:34:23.320 isn't.

01:34:24.160 There just won't be.

01:34:27.460 Anyway, Cash Patel said there's 110,000

01:34:31.760 gang members in Chicago streets.

01:34:34.760 Gateway Pundits reporting that.

01:34:36.380 Do you think that's true?

01:34:37.800 110,000 gang members?

01:34:40.380 I think what might be true is that if you

01:34:43.560 live in a lot of places in Chicago, you have

01:34:46.560 to at least identify with a gang to be safe.

01:34:49.860 So I don't know that that's like 110,000 gang

01:34:53.560 bangers with guns in their pants, working the

01:34:57.760 streets and selling drugs.

01:34:59.320 There might be more, you know, emmas in the gang and 1.00

01:35:03.280 little billies in the gang because everybody has to be in the gang just to

01:35:07.840 stay safe.

01:35:09.580 So I don't know what that number means, but it's a shocking number.

01:35:13.940 According to the Reese Group, domestic violence in California impacts two-thirds

01:35:19.820 of Californians.

01:35:21.680 31% identify as survivors.

01:35:24.800 The rest would have some family connection to it.

01:35:27.780 Does that sound right?

01:35:28.620 Do you believe that number, that in California, two-thirds of Californians have a domestic violence

01:35:38.200 problem?

01:35:39.780 Well, I don't know how they collect that data, but if they get it from divorcees, it's pretty

01:35:45.620 much every divorcee claims that they were domestically abused, either verbally or otherwise.

01:35:51.660 Sometimes it's both of them.

01:35:53.920 You know, both the husband and the wife will claim that they were domestic violence victims.

01:35:59.560 Now, I do think domestic violence is a way bigger problem than maybe we all realize.

01:36:05.340 So I'm not doubting the seriousness of it, just to be clear.

01:36:10.420 I'm not minimizing domestic violence.

01:36:12.720 I think it's a huge, huge problem.

01:36:15.200 And it does affect huge numbers of people.

01:36:18.220 I just wonder how they get the data, because if the way they got the data is from people

01:36:23.500 who are in divorces, there's a little bit of over-claiming of domestic abuse in divorce.

01:36:30.700 In the real world, it's underclaimed.

01:36:33.160 But as soon as you get that divorce, oh, everybody's an abuser.

01:36:40.240 Well, if you don't know that a war with Venezuela is coming, it looks like it is. 0.99

01:36:47.960 So the Senate rejected a measure that would have required Trump to seek congressional approval

01:36:54.700 before authorizing further U.S. military action in the Caribbean.

01:37:00.560 So the Senate doesn't want Trump to have to get permission to go to war with Venezuela.

01:37:09.440 What's that tell you about the odds of war with Venezuela?

01:37:13.100 Oh, we're definitely going to have boots on the ground in Venezuela.

01:37:15.500 Now, I hope that when that happens, and it's definitely going to happen, that it's a decapitation

01:37:24.300 strike and nothing else.

01:37:26.560 What I don't want to see is anything that looks like a ground war, not even a little bit.

01:37:31.920 But if we have an opening, and we can take out the top guy, and maybe, you know, several of the top lieutenants,

01:37:40.820 probably worth doing under the theory that he's really a drug dealer and not a head of state.

01:37:46.520 They would have to stay in that frame.

01:37:48.800 Oh, we're taking out a drug dealer.

01:37:49.940 So I think that's common.

01:37:56.080 There's a story in the New York Times about how Ukraine is still the most corrupt place in the world.

01:38:01.180 Now that you know that Ukraine is still one of the most corrupt places in the world, 1.00

01:38:06.660 and all the government money is being stolen in different ways,

01:38:11.080 don't you appreciate Trump more?

01:38:13.520 That he's the one who said, we're not giving you any money.

01:38:17.920 If you want to give us money, we'll take it to sell you weapons.

01:38:23.300 But we're not going to give you more money.

01:38:25.720 You're all a bunch of crooks.

01:38:28.540 I appreciate Trump for that.

01:38:30.080 Did you know that in the city, the Ukraine city of Kyrgyzstan, that Russia would like to take but hasn't yet,

01:38:38.740 that what they're doing is depopulating the city with drones?

01:38:43.680 So apparently, Kyrgyzstan used to have 300,000 people.

01:38:47.640 It's down to 65,000.

01:38:49.160 And the reporting is that the Russians are using drones with, you know, small explosives like a hand grenade

01:38:57.820 to target and kill civilians so that they'll move out.

01:39:03.460 So that if they ever want to, you know, move in with their own forces and take over the city,

01:39:09.080 there won't be anybody there.

01:39:11.100 They'll just take over an empty city.

01:39:13.080 And apparently, it's working.

01:39:14.280 If they're down from 300,000 to 65,000, and they showed a video of just some senior citizen in his SUV

01:39:21.440 being targeted by a drone, you know, and he gets, he sees the drone, so he gets out and he runs,

01:39:28.240 and the drone chases him and drops a hand grenade on him.

01:39:31.680 He survived, but it got wounded pretty badly.

01:39:34.440 Now, that is intentional.

01:39:37.500 So that very much means that the military is trying to depopulate, just kill the residents.

01:39:46.440 So it looks like there are two parts to the Soviet, Soviet, to the Russian plan.

01:39:54.420 Just got to update my references.

01:39:56.020 The Russian plan. 0.84

01:39:57.760 So they're taking down more power plants.

01:40:00.440 Breitbart London's reporting this.

01:40:01.920 So Ukraine lost one of its thermal power plants in another attack.

01:40:07.800 At the same time, Ukraine is doing the same thing, trying to take out the energy production in Russia.

01:40:14.140 So we have a robot energy war, but also a robot depopulation war using robots.

01:40:23.120 But it's all a robot war.

01:40:24.400 But once the robots clear out the humans from Kursan, then there'll be a robot war in Kursan.

01:40:31.920 Germany apparently is going to allow the police, according to Reuters, to shoot down drones,

01:40:40.400 because they still don't know what is the deal with the drones over Germany or other European countries either.

01:40:46.240 But at least the Germans are going to let the police shoot them down. 1.00

01:40:51.700 I think we're going to find out that they're domestic.

01:40:54.580 I think that it's German people with German drones that are just not admitting it's them. 1.00

01:41:02.680 So I think some will get shot down, but in the end we will not learn that they were Russian.

01:41:08.940 They might be.

01:41:10.000 I wouldn't rule it out.

01:41:11.440 But I think it's just a little more ordinary that it's domestic.

01:41:14.460 Or maybe most of them are domestic, but Russia had a few.

01:41:18.560 It does make sense for Russia to make Europe a little more nervous by showing them that they have no air control.

01:41:30.020 That would be very nervous-making.

01:41:32.900 It was nervous-making.

01:41:34.060 When we had drones in New Jersey, if Trump had not come out and said that they're ours and I would have to live with the knowledge that we had drones all over our major facilities and we didn't know what to do about it, that would have been scary.

01:41:51.280 So I don't really trust Trump's statement that they're all our drones.

01:41:58.120 I don't think they're aliens, but I would definitely not rule out that some of them were foreign for the very purpose of testing our air defense and or showing us that we don't have one. 0.99

01:42:09.000 So I would be okay if Trump or the government lied about the question of whether they're ours.

01:42:23.040 That would be an acceptable government lie because the military is not, they're really not tasked with the truth.

01:42:31.520 They're tasked with lethality and keeping us safe.

01:42:35.020 So, you know, I wouldn't mind that specific lie.

01:42:42.800 All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's all I got for you today.

01:42:45.240 I went extra long because it was so good.

01:42:48.580 I guess I won't need to talk to the local subscribers.

01:42:52.280 You got enough of me today.

01:42:53.740 So I'm going to say goodbye to everybody.

01:42:55.440 Thanks for joining.

01:42:56.240 I will see you tomorrow.

01:42:57.820 Might even be shorter tomorrow.

01:43:00.120 But better?

01:43:00.880 I don't know.

01:43:02.220 I don't know.

01:43:02.620 Could it be better?

01:43:04.080 Bye for now.

01:43:05.020 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 09, 2025

Episode 2983 CWSA 10⧸09⧸25

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