Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2986 CWSA 10⧸12⧸25

00:00:00.780 Good morning, everybody.

00:00:03.680 Come on in.

00:00:05.880 That noise you hear is my cats going crazy.

00:00:09.840 They're having a good time.

00:00:12.420 So are we. We're going to have a good, good time.

00:00:16.200 Grab a seat, get a beverage, and get ready.

00:00:21.380 Because you know what's coming.

00:00:23.680 The show of shows.

00:00:26.560 The thing you crave on a Sunday morning. 0.92

00:00:30.000 Well, all the lazy people are lazy.

00:00:33.760 Going around being lazy.

00:00:38.840 But today will be a home run.

00:00:46.660 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:51.400 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

00:00:55.320 But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,

00:01:04.160 all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass of tankard shells, a stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:12.700 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:14.460 I like coffee.

00:01:15.940 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dope meaning of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:21.560 It's called, that's right, the simultaneous slip, and it happens now.

00:01:34.680 So, so good.

00:01:36.280 Well, I'm going to start my new tradition of starting off with a reframe from the book, Reframe Your Brain.

00:01:47.900 It's full of reframes to make your life better.

00:01:50.560 I'm just going to give you maybe one or two a day.

00:01:55.680 All right, here's one.

00:01:56.860 Have you ever had somebody that you know needed your advice, and you wanted to give them your advice?

00:02:05.080 So your normal frame is, hey, here's somebody who needs my valuable wisdom and advice.

00:02:10.840 I better give it to them.

00:02:12.480 How does that work out?

00:02:14.100 I've got a better frame.

00:02:15.260 Instead of saying the person needs your advice, say this person might need some information, some empathy,

00:02:22.720 or some help organizing their thoughts.

00:02:25.100 But what they don't need is advice.

00:02:29.980 In the real world, nobody takes advice.

00:02:33.340 People follow their own advice.

00:02:36.400 So you can modify their advice to themselves by changing what they know if you have some information.

00:02:44.060 Maybe they just need some empathy and they didn't need any advice at all.

00:02:47.940 You know, that would be in a relationship that's often the case.

00:02:50.600 So when you think somebody needs your advice, slow down.

00:02:57.260 Slow your roll.

00:02:58.820 They might not need your advice.

00:03:00.340 They might need something else.

00:03:02.120 So that's the reframe.

00:03:04.020 I'll have another one at the end of the show.

00:03:06.840 It'll change your life.

00:03:07.760 I wonder if there's any science that didn't need to be done.

00:03:11.520 Oh, here we go.

00:03:13.180 Eric Dolan, writing in SciPost, says there's a study in the Journal of Emotion, which you didn't even know existed, probably.

00:03:21.800 The Journal of Emotion.

00:03:24.740 Says that boredom will encourage people to seek new experiences.

00:03:29.500 Really?

00:03:34.200 Are we just finding that out now?

00:03:36.780 How much science did we employ to find out that bored people will look for a new experience?

00:03:42.540 I'm pretty sure I could have answered that question without any science at all.

00:03:47.540 Scott, what do you do when you're bored?

00:03:49.900 Oh, the same thing I always do to make me bored?

00:03:53.720 No.

00:03:54.760 I look for a new thing.

00:03:56.020 I mean, but what they're adding here is that people will even choose a negative emotion, like disgust, as long as it doesn't bore them.

00:04:08.020 Now, let me give you another way to look at that.

00:04:11.000 The only way you know you're alive is unpleasant things, especially unpleasant things you weren't expecting.

00:04:21.440 Nothing else makes you feel alive.

00:04:23.360 If you got everything you wanted with no effort whatsoever, your consciousness would disappear because you wouldn't need it.

00:04:32.820 Consciousness wouldn't have any purpose.

00:04:34.320 You just had everything you wanted, like a clam.

00:04:37.740 So, yeah.

00:04:39.160 Bored people do things. 0.92

00:04:41.620 So, yesterday I tried to do three simple things in a modern world.

00:04:47.500 Number one was I bought an Apple Watch as a gift for a family member, and I had it delivered by Uber to my house.

00:04:57.760 How do you think that went?

00:04:59.860 All I had to do is drive it across town from the Apple Store to my house, and I got to track it.

00:05:05.920 But for some reason, you couldn't contact the Uber guy, like none of the contacts worked.

00:05:10.540 And I would just watch him sitting around town with my Apple Watch, and he never came to my house.

00:05:19.540 And eventually, he marked it delivered without delivering it.

00:05:23.780 So, now I have to figure out, do I call Uber?

00:05:28.500 No way to reach him.

00:05:30.100 Do I call Apple?

00:05:32.040 Well, you can reach him, but then Apple has no way to reach Uber, apparently.

00:05:37.940 But so, they're trying to track it down.

00:05:40.860 So, what was the only thing I could do?

00:05:43.520 What was the only thing I could do?

00:05:45.200 It was a birthday present.

00:05:46.920 I had to buy another one.

00:05:49.160 So, I just had to buy another one.

00:05:51.400 So, I don't even know how to cancel the payment, because I paid on Apple Pay.

00:05:56.700 So, now I have to go research how to cancel on Apple Pay, because it wasn't, you know, regular credit card kind of thing.

00:06:02.700 So, just the simplest thing.

00:06:05.980 Deliver this to my house.

00:06:07.660 Now, you might say, but Scott, you can prove it wasn't delivered, because you can look at your security camera and see if somebody put anything in front of your door that maybe somebody else stole.

00:06:18.160 Except, I've got two security cameras, two complete different systems, watching my front door.

00:06:26.460 Both of them glitched.

00:06:29.340 Both of them glitched.

00:06:31.660 I've got just darkness around that time.

00:06:35.000 So, that was the first thing.

00:06:36.020 Second thing I tried to do was I was trying to do something with Amazon that would allow me to sell my calendar online.

00:06:47.820 And one of the things I need to do is, the detail doesn't matter, but I need to find a menu choice that looks like a little gear, and then click on it, and then do a thing.

00:06:58.480 But if I don't find that gear, and click on it, and do the thing, then I won't be able to sell my calendar.

00:07:06.700 So, how hard would that be?

00:07:08.900 They tell you what page to go to.

00:07:10.840 They even show you a picture of the page, and even circle the gear.

00:07:15.640 Do you think that worked?

00:07:17.240 No, because there's no page like that.

00:07:19.200 I can find no page whatsoever that has any little gear on it, nor can anybody apparently tell me where to find it.

00:07:27.240 There's no URL.

00:07:30.820 So, I just go back and forth with screenshots.

00:07:35.100 All right, well, here's what I'm looking at.

00:07:38.280 You tell me where's the gear.

00:07:40.220 And then that's the end of the trail.

00:07:41.880 I don't even know if we can get there from here.

00:07:43.660 So, then I decided that I had a little time yesterday, so I'm going to sign up for Sora 2.

00:07:51.300 That's the open AI version of the image maker that does little videos and stuff.

00:07:56.800 And I thought to myself, huh, I'll bet we're finally at the point where I can do at least small little moving,

00:08:04.400 almost still pictures, but animated, that could be like chapter starts for my God's Debris book,

00:08:11.940 because I wanted to see if I could kind of quickly turn it into some kind of a YouTube, but still an audio book.

00:08:20.200 Do you know how hard it is just to use an AI that you haven't used before?

00:08:24.780 You have to start out with trying to figure out their business model,

00:08:28.940 because the AI apps aren't like regular apps.

00:08:32.380 So, the first thing I have to figure out is, how do I get to Sora?

00:08:36.620 Because somebody had given me an activation account so I could get early access.

00:08:43.760 So, first of all, I had to know it's early access.

00:08:46.680 But I don't know where to sign up.

00:08:48.840 Is it an app store?

00:08:51.260 Is it a browser?

00:08:52.920 Is it both?

00:08:54.420 If I already have OpenAI, do I already have Sora?

00:08:58.180 If I have OpenAI and I have Sora, do I have to sign up for Sora 2?

00:09:01.960 So, you have this whole host of questions that you've never dealt with, you know,

00:09:07.340 unless you've been pretty deeply into the AI world.

00:09:10.280 So, I go to Google and I'm looking for the homepage for Sora 2 or something that tells me where to sign up.

00:09:18.000 And then the next thing you find is that most of the top entries are fake.

00:09:22.560 There are other companies that are pretending to be Sora 2.

00:09:26.080 And then I thought, okay, maybe the business model is that sometimes you use the Sora 2,

00:09:32.660 but other times you can use some other app that's just using that API and it would be just as good.

00:09:38.820 So, I signed up for the one that was on the top.

00:09:41.880 I thought, well, it's on the top.

00:09:43.660 It's something called Artlist, which may or may not use the Sora engine,

00:09:49.260 but it seems like it had some other engines.

00:09:51.160 So, I put down about $600 for a month of something called Artlist that I thought was giving me full access to Sora 2.

00:10:03.140 It doesn't.

00:10:05.560 So, do you know what I needed to do?

00:10:08.260 I needed to find the menu choice in Artlist to cancel my payment.

00:10:14.620 So, what do you think happened?

00:10:16.340 Do you think I looked all over and found the button to cancel?

00:10:19.760 No.

00:10:20.520 I found that nobody knew how to cancel.

00:10:23.620 It was a major problem.

00:10:25.880 So, Artlist, apparently, as far as I can tell, is I don't even know if it's a real company.

00:10:31.540 It looks like just a trick to get your Sora 2 money.

00:10:35.740 So, they have my money.

00:10:37.020 So, I contact them through, you know, they had a customer support thing.

00:10:41.080 What do you think the customer support told me about how to cancel?

00:10:44.780 Do you think they told me to go to a webpage that doesn't exist and click on a menu choice that also doesn't exist?

00:10:55.060 That's right.

00:10:56.080 That's exactly what they did.

00:10:57.300 Because everybody who's trying to tell you how to use something gives you instructions for something that doesn't exist, is not on the page you're looking at, is not on the URL you're at, and maybe has never been there.

00:11:08.800 So, I was impressed that they got back to me so quickly.

00:11:14.140 So, I thought, whoa, maybe I have something here.

00:11:16.380 So, I immediately sent back a screenshot and said, well, I don't have that page.

00:11:21.680 Could you tell me where that page is?

00:11:24.000 Then, what do you think happened next?

00:11:26.640 Never heard from them.

00:11:28.260 Right.

00:11:28.660 Never heard from them.

00:11:29.520 So, I've got $600 a month that I'm spending, and I have no way to figure out how to get rid of it.

00:11:36.580 I guess I have to work through my bank, maybe close my checking account. 0.97

00:11:40.140 I don't know what the fuck I need to do. 0.93

00:11:42.060 I've got a phone that may or may not come to me on the second try, or the Uber guy is going to steal a second phone from me and claim he didn't. 0.98

00:11:51.860 I'm just trying to do the simplest things.

00:11:55.100 The simplest things.

00:11:56.520 And they're just undoable in the modern world.

00:12:00.480 Anyway.

00:12:02.100 If anybody knows anybody at the company Artlist, could you ask them to give me back my money?

00:12:07.900 Because they clearly appear to be criminals.

00:12:14.360 Oh, and then, so then once I got the real Sora working, so I finally got to the real one.

00:12:20.620 Here's what their user interface is.

00:12:23.660 You tell it what your video will look like, and then you'll get a chance to iterate it and change it if you don't like what it presents.

00:12:34.720 Except once you submit your video, the one that you want it to create, it doesn't tell you how long it will take.

00:12:43.400 It just says it's entered a queue.

00:12:45.460 And I sit there and I think, a queue?

00:12:49.080 Does that mean it'll be ready in a minute, so I should sit and wait?

00:12:53.780 Or does that mean it'll be ready in two hours?

00:12:56.520 Or does that mean sometimes it's a minute and sometimes it's two hours? 0.98

00:13:00.180 And so I sit there like an idiot with nothing happening and nothing happening and nothing happening until eventually you think maybe it didn't work. 0.96

00:13:08.460 So you just redo it. 0.99

00:13:10.480 But redoing it makes you pay a bunch of money.

00:13:13.440 Because every single time you ask for something, you have to pay tokens, which you paid money to get.

00:13:19.260 And unless you've done all the math, you don't even know how much you're spending for every iteration.

00:13:24.000 Now, let me tell you something about art.

00:13:27.220 Art is iteration.

00:13:29.320 If the thing you're using to make your art, in this case Sora 2, doesn't do rapid iteration, it's not a tool.

00:13:38.160 It's a nothing. 1.00

00:13:39.720 It's a piece of shit. 1.00

00:13:41.440 It's a complete waste of money and waste of time. 1.00

00:13:44.260 It has to iterate quickly, as in, okay, do it again, but darker.

00:13:49.280 All right, give that guy a beard.

00:13:51.160 If it can do that, wow, and it can remember it and be consistent, then you'd have something.

00:13:58.620 It can't do that.

00:14:00.040 Here's me using it.

00:14:01.720 Click.

00:14:07.280 What do I do now?

00:14:09.360 Should I take up a hobby?

00:14:13.180 I got to leave it open.

00:14:16.180 So should I set an alarm and check back in an hour?

00:14:20.080 Yeah, there's actually no way to use that product.

00:14:24.740 So where AI is at this point in the cycle, it's just completely unusable.

00:14:32.980 But someday, maybe, Elon Musk says that his MacroHard project, which is literally a company that's making fun of Microsoft,

00:14:42.060 will basically replace everything that can be done with software anywhere, including all the things that Microsoft Office does.

00:14:52.740 And he says the goal is to create a company that can do anything, short of manufacturing physical objects directly,

00:14:59.840 but they'll be able to do that too, indirectly, the way everybody else does, by hiring somebody to do it.

00:15:06.520 So is this really the company of all companies?

00:15:11.480 Is it the company that would replace all companies?

00:15:14.900 That you can just design and make anything?

00:15:18.960 I'll tell you, when Elon Musk thinks big, he really thinks big.

00:15:26.060 This is so big, I can't even wrap my head around it.

00:15:28.480 It's like, really?

00:15:29.940 It'll be one company?

00:15:31.660 And just sort of makes everything?

00:15:34.460 Maybe.

00:15:34.840 I do think that he will make a phone, or he'll have somebody make a phone,

00:15:42.020 and that that phone will be an AI phone that is just sort of a blank phone until you start telling it what you want,

00:15:50.320 and then it will form into the user interface you need on the fly.

00:15:56.780 Speaking of Elon Musk, he also says that Neuralink's endgame,

00:16:01.360 because he agreed with somebody who said this on X,

00:16:04.740 is that the real vision is symbiosis with AI.

00:16:09.140 So it's not just to help people who have physical disabilities that the Neuralink can help them with.

00:16:15.440 That's first.

00:16:16.880 But eventually, the idea will be, I think, to get an AI chip into everybody's head

00:16:22.560 so that we can compete with the AIs, because we will be the AIs.

00:16:27.540 So we will be cyborgs with AI.

00:16:31.360 I think he's right on that, too.

00:16:35.480 He's probably 20 years ahead on that, but that's what he does, 20 years ahead.

00:16:41.020 There was a study Karina Petrova of SciPost is writing about that, believe it or not,

00:16:49.560 there are major IQ differences in identical twins if their schooling was very different.

00:16:56.620 So if one of them had a really high quality of schooling, they will present with a higher IQ.

00:17:01.740 But I'm not sure that we learned anything new in this, because the IQ still limits the range.

00:17:11.440 You know, if the twins have the same IQ, or if the twins are identical, they'll be in the same range,

00:17:18.120 but one of them might be at the bottom of the range and the other's at the top of the range.

00:17:22.000 So IQ gets you in the neighborhood, and then your specific school gets you to the front door of a better house or a lesser house.

00:17:31.360 So that's not really surprising, is it?

00:17:33.940 But it does suggest that the quality of schooling will determine your economy, right?

00:17:42.160 If the quality of the school makes this much difference on identical twins,

00:17:47.300 it's definitely telling you that our, let's say, our failure to educate our children

00:17:54.100 is causing a, probably a gigantic IQ deficit that didn't have to happen.

00:18:01.180 That's going to catch up with us.

00:18:03.260 Do you remember a couple of years ago when AI was so new,

00:18:07.040 we didn't even know OpenAI was a thing yet?

00:18:10.080 There was an app called Replica that I told you that I'd used to see if I could become less lonely.

00:18:17.140 And I didn't know that it was, I think it was using the OpenAI engine at the time,

00:18:21.620 but they hadn't revealed it yet.

00:18:23.120 So Replica continues to, you know, improve as its base AI improves.

00:18:29.540 And now China did a study using it, and they found that full-time college students

00:18:34.040 could cure some of their severe loneliness using the app.

00:18:39.920 But I believe there have been other studies that found exactly what I found when I tried using it,

00:18:47.160 which is when you first use it, you know,

00:18:50.800 it takes a while to figure out what it can and cannot do.

00:18:54.760 So, you know, it's a little awkward at first.

00:18:57.180 Then you get into this mode where you know how to talk to it in ways that it will understand and talk back.

00:19:04.940 And for a while, it feels like you've got a little friend.

00:19:07.420 And you think to yourself, whoa, I might actually want to use this more.

00:19:13.460 So you use it a little bit more, and it's even better because you learn how to use it better,

00:19:19.660 and it gets to know you.

00:19:21.040 At the time, it didn't remember you.

00:19:23.080 So that was a big buzzkill.

00:19:25.560 I think now it can, but I'm not sure.

00:19:28.340 So if it didn't remember you from the last conversation, you would lose interest really fast.

00:19:32.480 But I believe that the nature of all these AI replica-type friends is that I think everybody's going to get tired of them.

00:19:42.820 So that even if you did have a best friend who is an AI, it might last three months.

00:19:50.160 But I just don't think that you'll be continually surprised by them.

00:19:56.840 They're just not surprising.

00:19:58.460 You need a little surprise or else, you know, you'll get right back to that boredom thing.

00:20:04.520 So I'm not worried about people preferring them.

00:20:08.080 I think it will wear off.

00:20:09.900 Well, the big news in the week was that China made big threats about closing off access to their rare earth materials,

00:20:19.420 which would crash the entire economy of the United States, if not the world.

00:20:24.800 But today, some are saying that they're backing off or softening their stance.

00:20:30.600 Other people are saying we don't really understand what their stance is yet, so you can't say it's softened.

00:20:36.380 But there does seem to be some, at least they're making some noise in China that is,

00:20:46.240 oh, no, you misinterpreted this.

00:20:48.580 We are putting more controls on those rare earth exports, so we're definitely doing that. 1.00

00:20:57.840 But it's really a limited thing, and it's not that different from what it was.

00:21:03.180 And they're just trying to make sure it doesn't get used for military uses.

00:21:07.100 And, you know, we'll hardly even notice the difference.

00:21:09.580 And other people will say, no, you liars, you're just saying that these export controls are no big deal,

00:21:17.780 but you definitely plan to use them for negotiating and turning off our economy if it ever comes to that.

00:21:25.060 So some people are expecting Monday that the market will recover.

00:21:29.480 You know, crypto took a big dump, too.

00:21:34.580 But I think it's early, it's sort of early to say that.

00:21:38.780 My guess is this will all get worked out.

00:21:41.820 But don't make any investments based on my guess.

00:21:46.900 It's just a guess.

00:21:48.520 I mean, I assume that China needs things to work out with the U.S. 0.54

00:21:52.140 as much as the U.S. needs things to work out with China economically.

00:21:56.140 So given that both sides have enormous incentive to make it work, to get some kind of a deal done,

00:22:04.720 I feel like both countries are sane and both countries are capable.

00:22:11.800 So if you're sane and capable and you have the same objective,

00:22:15.240 which is to make sure you don't kill either country, we'll work it out.

00:22:19.800 I just don't know if it'll be Monday.

00:22:21.300 Anyway, so we'll see what the details are on that.

00:22:26.780 Kyle Bass, who's a famous China watcher, China critic with me,

00:22:33.940 he said that Trump holds the Trump card with China because we can, quote,

00:22:40.160 remove them from the USD system altogether so they wouldn't be able to buy and trade with other countries as easily.

00:22:47.760 I'm not sure that we really do have that leverage.

00:22:51.300 Because, again, that would be sort of a mutually assured destruction weapon.

00:22:57.840 If we remove them from the USD system, wouldn't they immediately just reproduce a system they could use

00:23:04.500 or join BRICS or however that works?

00:23:07.320 I don't even know how that works.

00:23:09.040 But I feel like that would be a six-month really big problem,

00:23:14.440 followed by they would get off the U.S. dollar and then we would have a big problem.

00:23:19.620 So I'm not sure we really have that leverage.

00:23:22.760 That's not as simple as it looks.

00:23:25.100 Anyway, and then also according to Kyle Bass, it says,

00:23:29.560 last night it was revealed that China was blackmailing other countries to not export goods to the United States.

00:23:36.960 And I guess one of the countries shared the letter with the United States,

00:23:40.460 so we know this for sure, that China was working against us, blackmailing other countries.

00:23:48.260 Anyway, and then there was that big crypto meltdown that happened on Friday

00:23:55.140 that's starting to look like there might be a mystery involved here

00:23:59.500 because apparently some whales, as they call them, big investors,

00:24:04.360 came in and seemed to know ahead of time that there was going to be a big event that would drive crypto down

00:24:10.160 because some people bought unusually large shorts,

00:24:16.140 meaning that if the price went down, they'd made money.

00:24:18.840 And I think one person made $192 million in an hour or something.

00:24:24.800 Somebody put a $23 million short just ahead of the announcements like they knew.

00:24:32.960 Now, here's the thing.

00:24:35.560 It's not illegal to do insider trading with Bitcoin.

00:24:39.740 Did you know that?

00:24:40.940 It's not illegal.

00:24:41.860 If you had insider information and you knew the government was going to do something

00:24:46.240 and you made your bet based on the thing that you knew that other people didn't know,

00:24:51.320 totally legal.

00:24:52.880 The exception would be if you're owning Bitcoin indirectly through a fund

00:24:58.460 because a stock fund can't do insider trading.

00:25:03.500 So, you know, I've got some Bitcoin directly that I own.

00:25:09.360 I could trade that.

00:25:12.620 But if I traded what was in my stock fund, which is a fund that holds some Bitcoin

00:25:18.780 or it tries to match Bitcoin, I don't know.

00:25:21.480 I don't know what they hold, but they match Bitcoin.

00:25:25.120 If I did it in there, the exact same trade, I could go to jail.

00:25:30.740 So somebody was smart enough probably to know that they didn't have any risk.

00:25:34.720 They had the information.

00:25:35.940 They didn't have risk.

00:25:36.700 It was just free money.

00:25:37.460 So that's not ideal.

00:25:43.720 I saw on a Mario, an awful post, he does these great summaries of the news.

00:25:49.500 So I get a lot of my stuff from Mario.

00:25:52.240 But I don't know how old this is.

00:25:55.280 He says that Doge just cut 214 billion in government fat.

00:25:59.840 But did they just do it?

00:26:02.140 And does it really get cut this time?

00:26:04.100 I'm not sure I believe anything about Doge cuts.

00:26:08.320 The one thing I do believe, and this is great credit to Elon and all the Doge people, I think they made Doge a permanent thing.

00:26:17.940 So if you're looking at the individual claims or the individual wins or the individual cost cuts, you might get too excited about what's happening at any given time.

00:26:29.140 But I do believe this became permanent and that the way the leaders in government are thinking is they're thinking, how can I reduce costs?

00:26:40.560 And they've just got Doge brain now.

00:26:42.640 I love the fact that people are thinking, how do I reduce instead of thinking, how do I build my empire?

00:26:51.420 That's completely different.

00:26:53.600 And that's entirely Elon Musk's persuasion that we think Doge and we think that's the way we get rewarded now.

00:27:01.960 Oh, the way I get rewarded is by cutting costs.

00:27:07.020 Got it.

00:27:08.180 That's the Doge reframe.

00:27:10.720 That the reward is saving the world by cutting costs.

00:27:14.600 The reward is not you introduced a new project.

00:27:17.800 Oh, look how I did on my new expensive project.

00:27:20.380 No, that's the old way.

00:27:21.740 Now you're going to have to get rid of that project if you want to impress us.

00:27:24.480 J.B. Pritzker, governor of Illinois, he's out there making noise.

00:27:33.160 And now he's complaining that, quote, another thing that happened with very few people paying attention is they, meaning the Trump administration, demanded our voter data.

00:27:44.920 Not just ours in Illinois, every state's voter data.

00:27:48.720 Why?

00:27:49.340 They won't tell us why.

00:27:51.520 So Stephen Miller told them why.

00:27:54.480 The DOJ asked you to remove illegal alien voters from the rolls and you refused.

00:27:59.920 Oh, well, that's a pretty good reason.

00:28:03.260 That's a pretty good reason. 0.63

00:28:05.640 So here's my problem with J.B. Pritzker and a number of what I call the designated liars.

00:28:12.280 Have you noticed that when Democrats lie, they smile?

00:28:16.840 And when Republicans lie, if they do, they're not smiling.

00:28:21.620 And usually I think Democrats are, I'm sorry, Republicans.

00:28:27.660 Republicans are more likely just to, you know, tell you the thing.

00:28:32.120 It may or may not be true.

00:28:33.800 But they're not smiling when they lie.

00:28:37.960 But I think that there's generally some kind of, what do they call it, cluster B kind of thing going on, where the liar is enjoying the lie. 0.99

00:28:48.760 If you look at Pritzker, when he lies like this, he's got that shit-eating grin that he can't get off his face. 1.00

00:28:57.740 He appears to love lying more than he likes eating. 1.00

00:29:02.480 And if you notice that the other designated liars like that too, Jamie Raskin. 0.89

00:29:08.080 If you see Raskin lying, he's smiling, isn't he? 0.96

00:29:13.360 Creepy smile.

00:29:14.700 How about Adam Schiff?

00:29:17.580 When he's lying, creepy smile.

00:29:20.660 How about Hillary Clinton? 0.95

00:29:23.960 Oh, yeah.

00:29:24.700 When she lies, creepy smile.

00:29:27.500 So when you see that creepy smile, it's illuminating something on the inside of them, which I think is narcissism.

00:29:35.420 You know, I'm no expert, so don't take my word for it.

00:29:37.740 But it looks like they get internal delight from lying right in front of you.

00:29:45.360 And I don't see that from Republicans.

00:29:48.440 I don't.

00:29:49.660 Do you?

00:29:50.860 If you have any example of a Republican who smiles when he lies, let me know.

00:29:57.500 Yeah, well, Jimmy Kimmel is a comedian, so allegedly, so you can't count that.

00:30:04.020 But the actual politicians, creepy smiles.

00:30:07.740 Wow.

00:30:11.220 All right.

00:30:11.920 So put it all together.

00:30:13.500 And I was trying to think of all the advantages that Republicans have gained recently.

00:30:18.860 So here are the Republican advantages.

00:30:22.160 There are also Democrat advantages, of course.

00:30:24.600 But the Republicans' ones, better policies that are more popular with the people, more 80-20 and 60-40 policies.

00:30:32.940 Better candidates, for sure.

00:30:36.000 Now, normally that'd be enough, right?

00:30:38.200 Better candidate, better policies.

00:30:40.320 That'd be enough to win the midterms.

00:30:42.000 Well, except it never works that way.

00:30:44.360 But they have other advantages.

00:30:46.700 One is I think the pendulum is still swinging.

00:30:50.360 So you know how people just get tired of whatever the old way was and they just need a new way?

00:30:54.920 I think woke is still being decreased.

00:31:02.020 So I think that the pendulum swing is still toward conservatives, although that could end, you know, that could reverse before the midterms.

00:31:10.760 The Democrats have to explain why they were in favor of the trans issue, that most of the public was not.

00:31:21.460 Let's say trans in sports specifically and trans for children stuff specifically.

00:31:28.400 Closing government, I think they'll get a little bit of blame, but that'll go away before the midterms.

00:31:33.240 Supporting crime.

00:31:35.300 The Democrats appear to be supporting crime.

00:31:37.760 That's not a very good advantage.

00:31:41.340 And now they're kicking off reparations in California.

00:31:45.300 I'll talk about that.

00:31:46.660 But on top of that, now an alleged Republican, lifetime Republican, has bought the Dominion voting machines.

00:31:56.560 Now, I don't think that that means that the Republicans will use them to cheat.

00:32:01.000 I don't think that.

00:32:02.400 But they're definitely going to make sure the Democrats don't use them to cheat. 0.94

00:32:05.580 So if you believe that the voting machines were ever rigged, well, that problem might be solved, at least for these machines.

00:32:14.100 Now, I don't have any information that they were rigged.

00:32:17.960 So I'm not saying they are.

00:32:19.960 I'm just saying kind of took away that risk, maybe.

00:32:24.520 So then the Republicans are trying to scrub the voter rolls, whichever ones they can get a hold of, to get rid of the non-citizens. 1.00

00:32:35.100 That should be good.

00:32:36.420 There should be some more redistricting going on. 0.91

00:32:39.140 You know that whole story.

00:32:40.320 That should turn out positive for the Republicans, probably.

00:32:43.260 I guess the Supreme Court is looking at removing the redistricting set-asides that I didn't even know existed.

00:32:53.100 But some existed just for, I think, mostly for black Americans to make sure they had some representation.

00:33:00.040 That might go away, which would be a plus for Republican districts. 0.69

00:33:04.580 The last election, Laura Trump and the company had lots of lawyers observing things. 0.99

00:33:14.840 They'll probably do that again. 0.90

00:33:16.740 And I suspect that having that many lawyers observing elections makes a difference.

00:33:21.920 I think that makes a difference.

00:33:24.060 And then, of course, Republican allies are going to own TikTok, already own X, CBS News, maybe CNN.

00:33:32.220 So the entire media landscape has turned podcaster-friendly and major media unfriendly.

00:33:40.480 Gigantic advantage for Republicans.

00:33:43.200 And MSNBC's audience continues to shrink.

00:33:47.100 They keep embarrassing themselves and becoming less and less important.

00:33:51.300 And meanwhile, all the big tech platforms, probably all of them, are pro-chump at this point because he's the free speech guy.

00:33:58.360 And they really, really need a free speech guy or they can't even do business in Europe.

00:34:04.940 So that's just – oh, then I know that the Republicans are trying to get rid of mail-in ballots.

00:34:12.080 I don't know if that will be successful.

00:34:13.960 But if they do, well, that would be another advantage.

00:34:16.960 And then this whole Nobel Peace Prize thing, you know, obviously it was a little too late for Trump to get it this year.

00:34:25.760 I think they – I think the reason for not giving it to him this year is good enough because it really was past the deadline.

00:34:32.700 But it's going to be in the air.

00:34:37.080 If Trump solves Ukraine, which is possible before the midterms, he's going to have two Nobel Prize nominations for two completely different wars.

00:34:49.940 You know, maybe by then the tariffs are working and the trade deals are done.

00:34:53.980 Gaza is being rebuilt.

00:34:56.580 What do the Democrats have?

00:34:58.880 Reparations?

00:34:59.480 I mean, it's starting to become such a monstrous imbalance.

00:35:10.080 The imbalance is incredible.

00:35:13.840 And that's without me even saying the obvious, that all the best people are on the same side now.

00:35:19.760 All the smartest people are on one side.

00:35:22.080 But, you know, I don't think it could be said enough that Trump would not be where he is if a whole bunch of Democrats who are important, like RFK Jr.

00:35:32.680 and Tulsi and, you know, was it – who are some other ones?

00:35:38.540 I mean, you could name a bunch of others.

00:35:40.240 Me, Joe Rogan, Elon Musk, probably some of the all-in pod guys.

00:35:45.260 I'm not sure.

00:35:46.580 But there were a whole bunch of people that were, in my opinion, the smartest people who all ended up on the same side.

00:35:55.020 And that's big.

00:35:57.000 That's really big.

00:35:58.300 Because they're the ones who could make things happen.

00:36:01.060 Anyway, over in Israel, I guess Jared and Wyckoff are there and Trump's going to be there today?

00:36:07.260 Is it today or is it tomorrow?

00:36:09.760 So there's some thought that maybe some of the hostages might be released today, which would be a day ahead of the plan.

00:36:18.280 But I always wondered, why do you really need to wait until Monday?

00:36:22.080 Isn't that the cruelest thing you've ever heard?

00:36:24.860 Imagine if you're one of the hostages and it's Friday.

00:36:28.060 And on Friday they say, hey, looks like we're going to release you on Monday.

00:36:33.160 How would you feel?

00:36:34.720 I mean, you'd feel good that you're going to get released.

00:36:37.700 But wouldn't you say, what about now?

00:36:41.460 How about right now?

00:36:43.360 Do I really have to stay in this tunnel for two and a half more days because that's the deadline?

00:36:50.660 How about now, for God's sakes?

00:36:52.480 How about now?

00:36:53.860 So I think a little bit of that might be happening.

00:36:56.620 So maybe we'll see a few people trickling out today, which would be awesome.

00:37:00.480 But what's interesting is that when Jared and Wyckoff were doing their little talk in front of a very happy crowd of Israelis, Netanyahu got booed and Trump got enthusiastically cheered.

00:37:15.860 Netanyahu got booed in his own country.

00:37:18.440 And people were wearing Make America Great Again hats.

00:37:24.220 Not all of them, but apparently it was acceptable.

00:37:26.820 So that's happening.

00:37:33.000 We'll see if everything goes smoothly.

00:37:35.200 So at this point, we are expecting things to go smoothly with the prisoner handoff.

00:37:40.460 And I think the head of Hamas actually reaffirmed that they're not looking to have any kind of leadership or power after this is all sorted out.

00:37:53.380 And that was the big thing.

00:37:54.320 The big thing was, would Hamas agree to not be in power?

00:37:59.320 Apparently they have.

00:38:01.080 Apparently they have.

00:38:03.000 You know, I mentioned yesterday that Jared Kushner had read my book, Wooden Bigley, which teaches you how to negotiate and persuade the way Trump does.

00:38:14.200 And that after reading it, he got the Abraham Accords done. 0.63

00:38:18.000 And then they brought him in to be the finisher on this.

00:38:21.600 And I wasn't sure if he did a lot on the Gaza deal or if he just sort of came in at the end to wrap up things.

00:38:29.240 But apparently he did a lot.

00:38:30.860 So he was deeply involved doing what appeared to be impossible, which is what I teach in the book, Wooden Bigley.

00:38:39.980 But what I didn't remember is that back in 2020, he had told author Woodward that that book, Wooden Bigley, was one of the four books you should read to understand Trump.

00:38:53.060 So I didn't know that he went public with that, but he had.

00:38:55.900 So I don't feel so bad saying that he read my book because he recommends it for understanding Trump.

00:39:02.140 I recommend it for understanding persuasion the way Trump does it.

00:39:07.240 So it's not just about the person, it's about the technique as well.

00:39:12.440 Did it make a difference?

00:39:15.180 I don't know.

00:39:16.820 I don't know.

00:39:17.400 Well, in other news, the largest teachers' union, which I think is the NEA, sent out a map to its members that erased Israel from the map.

00:39:32.320 It just showed Palestine.

00:39:34.560 And the New York Post is reporting on this.

00:39:37.560 The teachers' union says, whoops, that wasn't us.

00:39:40.880 That was the third-party vendor that we used.

00:39:43.140 And we didn't like it when they did that.

00:39:45.520 We're going to talk to them.

00:39:46.360 But can you imagine that they actually paid for that and it got sent out and nobody caught it?

00:39:52.800 That Israel had been erased from the map?

00:39:57.060 Oh, my God.

00:39:58.440 That's your teachers' union.

00:40:00.480 But they blame somebody else.

00:40:04.300 I guess Trump is doing some workarounds to try to get the troops paid while the government's closed and other people are not being paid.

00:40:12.440 And would you believe that the Democrats are complaining about paying the troops?

00:40:17.600 Of course.

00:40:18.800 He trapped the Democrats into being against paying the troops because they would complain about, you know, what bucket he took it out of or something like that. 0.98

00:40:27.560 So, once again, Democrats tricked into taking the dumbest position you could possibly take.

00:40:34.980 Well, there's a new book out, I think it's new, called Stolen Elections by Ralph Pizzullo. 0.85

00:40:43.820 Now, I'm going to give you a warning before I talk about this.

00:40:46.740 You're going to get a big dose of what I call the documentary effect because I'm going to tell you that this book has a point of view about the integrity of our elections that I'm going to tell you what they say.

00:41:01.040 But since I won't be presenting the critics to it or the counterpoint, it's going to be really, really persuasive, but it shouldn't be, right?

00:41:12.100 It's just the documentary effect.

00:41:13.800 If you hear one point of view without the other side and you listen to it enough, you'll think it's real just because you only heard one point of view.

00:41:23.520 So, that's what's going to happen now.

00:41:24.760 So, be aware, I'm going to give you one point of view, and it will be persuasive, doesn't mean it's true.

00:41:32.880 Got that?

00:41:34.060 Okay.

00:41:34.980 So, the Rasmussen poll people have been on this forever.

00:41:38.960 The Georgia election and the 2020 irregularities, as people would say.

00:41:44.300 But this book is adding a bunch, and Rasmussen is calling out some of the interesting excerpts from the book.

00:41:50.720 Again, it's called Stolen Elections by Ralph Pazzullo.

00:41:55.760 So, on page 50, Rasmussen points out that the book says,

00:41:59.460 The U.S. is divided into about 3,400 counties of election districts.

00:42:04.300 In one of the recent briefings given by the whistleblowers, yes, there are whistleblowers,

00:42:11.260 they were asked by a former head of U.S. military intelligence,

00:42:14.580 In how many counties did you need to tamper with the vote in order to steal a national election?

00:42:19.720 Now, remember, there are 3,400 counties.

00:42:22.500 How many do you have to tamper to steal the election?

00:42:25.900 The answer was 8 to 10.

00:42:29.440 That's all they needed, just 8 to 10.

00:42:31.900 And then they were asked how many people were needed to execute the steal, allegedly.

00:42:37.800 And the answer was 5.

00:42:41.820 5.

00:42:42.260 And they said it would take about a year to plan it.

00:42:46.660 So, there you have whistleblowers who are telling you how it was done,

00:42:51.340 when it was done, and by how many people.

00:42:55.180 Does that mean it was done?

00:42:57.220 No.

00:42:57.880 No.

00:42:58.620 Remember, documentary effect.

00:43:01.360 How many of you just said, well, that's true?

00:43:04.300 Maybe it is.

00:43:05.840 Maybe it isn't.

00:43:06.580 Remember, you're already in the documentary effect.

00:43:10.900 So, you should be turning up your, your doubting thing should be turned up,

00:43:15.360 not your believing thing.

00:43:17.620 So, turn down the gullibility.

00:43:20.340 Turn up the skepticism.

00:43:22.260 It might all be true.

00:43:24.100 But you should be going into this with some real skepticism, okay?

00:43:28.060 That would be the proper frame for it.

00:43:30.560 But there's more.

00:43:32.360 There's more.

00:43:33.980 On page 245, according to Rasmussen Poll people,

00:43:39.600 they say the book, Stolen Elections, Ralph Pozzolo says the following.

00:43:43.680 In the final weeks of the 2024 presidential election,

00:43:47.240 engineers recruited by the whistleblowers collected strong evidence

00:43:51.800 that the criminal cartel led by Venezuela

00:43:55.560 was about to steal the election for the Democratic Party candidate Kamala Harris. 1.00

00:44:01.620 They also suspected that the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency,

00:44:06.740 CISA, a component of the Department of Homeland Security,

00:44:10.120 couldn't be trusted to identify and stop the fraud

00:44:13.220 because of their poor performance during the 2020 presidential election.

00:44:18.340 With the help of other cybersecurity experts,

00:44:20.600 the engineers were able to stop the illegal altering of election results

00:44:25.300 by shutting down the servers that the criminal cartel were using in Serbia

00:44:30.520 and other countries, thus preserving the integrity of the 2024 election.

00:44:35.900 Did you wonder how Trump won in 2024 but lost in 2020?

00:44:40.600 Well, I don't know if this is the answer, but it's alleged.

00:44:47.380 And then on page 230, it gets even saucier.

00:44:52.720 Source number one said, quote,

00:44:56.020 you can't do this without the complicity of certain officials in the United States.

00:45:00.480 Some of them need to be bought.

00:45:03.180 And then the question was, do you have any idea who these officials are?

00:45:06.980 Source one said, for one, the governor of the state of Georgia,

00:45:12.440 he won't allow for the software of Dominion to be updated,

00:45:15.820 even though he knows that the software is flawed

00:45:18.160 and allows for third-party access.

00:45:20.780 Why is that?

00:45:23.440 All right.

00:45:24.040 Now, did I tell you that if I read this,

00:45:25.840 you would be completely convinced that Georgia was a rigged election?

00:45:31.240 You are, right?

00:45:33.540 I'll bet every one of you is not 100% convinced that Georgia was stolen.

00:45:38.840 They do have people who were whistleblowers telling you how it was done

00:45:42.960 in a lot of detail.

00:45:44.540 Does that mean it was stolen?

00:45:47.620 Unfortunately, it does not.

00:45:50.500 So I'm going to say it one more time.

00:45:53.880 Unfortunately, you can't be sure that these whistleblowers

00:45:58.000 or any of these sources are real.

00:46:00.080 You just can't.

00:46:01.380 We just don't live in a world where you can trust people like that.

00:46:04.000 But it is a complete picture,

00:46:09.300 and it does look like we'll have access to maybe knowing the real picture

00:46:12.720 because now Dominion is owned by some Republican-friendly guy.

00:46:17.220 So maybe that helps him dig into the software,

00:46:20.840 look for things.

00:46:22.040 I don't know.

00:46:23.580 So we'll find out.

00:46:24.760 But maybe the problem is solved if a Republican has it.

00:46:29.360 All right.

00:46:29.600 Here's another topic.

00:46:31.000 This is also Rasmussen.

00:46:32.820 Rasmussen's having a good week.

00:46:35.360 I think Rasmussen just can't stop laughing

00:46:37.720 because the buttons they've been pressing for, I don't know, years now

00:46:43.000 all look like they're the real buttons.

00:46:46.200 Maybe not.

00:46:47.640 Maybe yes.

00:46:48.800 Maybe not.

00:46:50.240 But it sure looks like they're being –

00:46:52.460 It's looking like Rasmussen has been completely validated and vindicated,

00:46:58.620 but we'll see.

00:46:59.540 So on a separate topic, but also Rasmussen pointing it out,

00:47:03.380 they call it the fall of the machines.

00:47:07.440 Do you know that there was a polling company called FiveThirtyEight

00:47:11.520 that's now shut down?

00:47:14.600 But they were sort of the pollster's ranking entity.

00:47:20.580 So they would not just do a poll,

00:47:22.700 but they would tell you what other polls were real

00:47:27.460 and which other polls were a BS.

00:47:30.780 Now, if you could control –

00:47:33.260 if you wanted to control what people thought in the United States,

00:47:36.680 what would be the best way to do it?

00:47:38.140 Well, if you could manipulate opinion polls,

00:47:44.120 you could manipulate a lot of stuff in the United States.

00:47:47.520 But you don't want to manipulate them directly

00:47:49.880 because you don't have control over all those polls

00:47:52.720 that are owned by different people.

00:47:54.880 So instead, you build like a fact-checker.

00:47:58.160 Does this sound familiar?

00:48:00.360 Whenever the Democrats have a fact-checking entity,

00:48:03.760 is it real?

00:48:05.100 No, it's never real.

00:48:06.040 So it's just a way to manage the truth

00:48:09.920 so that you don't see it as much.

00:48:12.420 So FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver started it,

00:48:15.080 but he sold it, I think, to the New York Times or somebody.

00:48:19.360 But here's what Rassman says, which I don't fully understand.

00:48:24.180 But they say that Disney apparently spent $100 million

00:48:27.600 over a dozen years to fund losses

00:48:30.660 at the pollster grading company FiveThirtyEight.

00:48:35.500 But as soon as Doge arrived at USAID, FiveThirtyEight was closed.

00:48:42.600 And controlling the narrative probably was expensive.

00:48:49.740 Now, this one's more of a little smoking gun situation,

00:48:53.500 but the suggestion had been that polls are typically rigged,

00:48:59.240 but only when it matters, right?

00:49:01.880 They wouldn't be rigged for just, you know,

00:49:03.400 ordinary stuff during the year.

00:49:04.920 But when it comes to determining who becomes your president,

00:49:08.480 the allegation was that they were always rigged.

00:49:11.780 And this would be more smoking gun sort of evidence than maybe it was.

00:49:19.160 But I would say short of proof, short of proof.

00:49:22.500 I don't know what the Disney connection is,

00:49:26.720 but maybe somebody does.

00:49:29.060 Did they own FiveThirtyEight?

00:49:30.620 I thought the New York Times bought it.

00:49:32.540 Or did they buy it from the New York Times?

00:49:36.460 So who owned FiveThirtyEight when it got closed?

00:49:40.120 So the question is, did FiveThirtyEight get some government funding

00:49:43.600 because it was doing devious things for one part of the government?

00:49:47.140 I don't know.

00:49:49.880 Don't know.

00:49:51.140 But I've never trusted the polls when it comes to the presidential races.

00:49:58.240 And then you want one more just to round it out?

00:50:03.260 This is also from Rasmussen, Rasmussen Polls.

00:50:07.380 And they're reminding us that in September 2023,

00:50:10.960 they did a survey to find out who people voted for in Georgia.

00:50:15.680 Do you remember Georgia, the state that Trump narrowly lost in 2020?

00:50:21.580 He lost Georgia.

00:50:23.680 So when they asked people who they voted for,

00:50:26.340 46% said they voted for Trump in 2020,

00:50:30.000 and only 39% said they voted for Biden.

00:50:35.660 So when they counted the votes, Biden had more.

00:50:40.560 When Rasmussen did a poll to say, who did you vote for?

00:50:47.860 Trump had way more.

00:50:49.700 It's not even close.

00:50:51.380 Now, some of that could be false memories and stuff like that,

00:50:54.680 but not that far away.

00:50:57.960 2% could have been a false memory.

00:51:01.120 Not this much.

00:51:02.940 That's a big difference.

00:51:05.120 People don't forget who they voted for.

00:51:07.860 And they're also not embarrassed.

00:51:12.140 I mean, were they embarrassed to say they voted for Biden?

00:51:14.560 Probably not.

00:51:16.180 So what do you make of the fact that the election didn't match the poll?

00:51:22.980 Well, how would you deal with that if you were the bad guys?

00:51:26.340 I'll tell you how you do it.

00:51:27.680 You would go to 538, that ranks the pollsters,

00:51:31.740 and you'd say, quick, make sure that Rasmussen gets ranked low

00:51:36.360 so that even if people see this, we'll be able to say,

00:51:39.900 oh, it's just Rasmussen.

00:51:42.200 I mean, look at 538.

00:51:43.840 They ranked them as, I think, about it's just Rasmussen.

00:51:47.920 And that's what they did.

00:51:51.120 When you find out how things really work,

00:51:53.920 it's pretty scary, isn't it?

00:51:55.240 All right.

00:52:00.440 I guess a federal appeals court said Trump can federalize Illinois National Guard

00:52:05.940 but cannot deploy them into Chicago.

00:52:08.600 Terrific.

00:52:11.220 You remember Keith Ellison?

00:52:13.400 Is he currently the AG of Minnesota?

00:52:17.800 Do I have that right?

00:52:19.280 Well, back in 2018, he happily held up a book

00:52:23.220 called the Antifa Handbook.

00:52:27.080 So that was 2018.

00:52:28.580 So he wanted you to know that he was on board with Antifa

00:52:32.520 and he's showing you their book.

00:52:35.460 What's he say today?

00:52:37.340 There's no such thing as Antifa.

00:52:38.740 His own son had publicly declared support for Antifa.

00:52:47.640 The thing he says doesn't exist.

00:52:50.140 His son is a member, apparently.

00:52:52.840 And he held up the book.

00:52:54.940 Now, I was thinking, how many other things are Democrats claiming

00:52:58.300 are hallucinations or they're just hallucinating?

00:53:01.520 All right.

00:53:02.920 Let's start with that.

00:53:04.840 So the Democrats are hallucinating that Republicans are the ones

00:53:09.380 keeping the government closed.

00:53:11.400 Even Jake Tapper doesn't buy that.

00:53:14.000 He's like, they have a continuing resolution.

00:53:16.680 Every one of them says they'll sign to open the government right now.

00:53:20.060 You're the ones not signing it.

00:53:21.880 So they've got this hallucination about who's keeping the government closed.

00:53:25.480 They think Antifa doesn't even exist, even though they get like massive crowds

00:53:31.660 and they've got a guidebook and we know where the funding is coming from.

00:53:35.840 But they don't exist.

00:53:38.100 They think that white supremacists is the big problem.

00:53:42.820 Really?

00:53:44.320 Where?

00:53:47.640 They think that there's not really any violence in cities that needs any extra help.

00:53:53.000 They think they have the violence in the major cities under control.

00:53:57.360 Do you?

00:54:00.340 They thought the border was secure when it was totally open.

00:54:05.000 They thought that Trump is stealing your democracy.

00:54:08.940 When we look at what happened with the election in 2020,

00:54:13.440 maybe somebody was stealing your democracy, but it wasn't the January 6th people.

00:54:18.760 They weren't trying to steal your democracy by trespassing in a building for a few hours.

00:54:25.180 That doesn't really happen.

00:54:27.420 The climate alarm, of course, was a fantasy.

00:54:30.620 And then I'm going to add this one just because we're going to talk about reparations. 0.98

00:54:36.200 And the belief that white people are the reason that blacks are not succeeding. 0.96

00:54:39.580 Do you believe that the reason that black people are not succeeding is that white people are holding them back 0.98

00:54:46.800 or the white people have all the systemic advantages? 0.97

00:54:52.580 Okay.

00:54:55.040 We'll talk about reparations a little bit.

00:54:57.400 So Katie Porter, who thought she was running for governor of California, 1.00

00:55:02.380 but apparently after those video clips of her being a super Karen came out, 0.99

00:55:09.620 her popularity went down from 40% chance of being governor to 16. 0.99

00:55:16.380 So I guess you can't be a horrible bitch to your staff and to other people 0.99

00:55:22.120 and get that on video and people didn't like that. 0.99

00:55:26.820 So it looks like she's out.

00:55:28.280 But what about that Virginia Democrat attorney general nominee who got caught with some private messages 0.91

00:55:36.140 that said things like he wishes his opponent would get shot in the head

00:55:41.020 and somebody would pee on their grave and he thinks maybe his policies would be better if his family got hurt. 0.99

00:55:48.580 So he just said terrible, terrible things.

00:55:51.420 So let's see.

00:55:52.360 How are his polls doing?

00:55:54.660 No movement.

00:55:55.640 His polls are exactly the same.

00:55:59.280 So apparently you can say and it can get out in public that you want great violence to happen to a Republican

00:56:06.880 and his family and his family and your Democrat supporters will say,

00:56:13.680 that's fine.

00:56:15.380 You know, private message.

00:56:16.580 That's fine.

00:56:18.600 Okay.

00:56:21.000 Mark Benioff, the founder, owner of Salesforce, CEO.

00:56:26.640 He's calling for Trump to send in the National Guard to San Francisco.

00:56:31.240 That's where their headquarters is because it's turned into a fentanyl dump.

00:56:39.320 But he lives in Hawaii, so he doesn't have to deal with it.

00:56:42.320 But when he visits his building, apparently it's a nightmare.

00:56:44.940 So Mark Benioff, now the reason that's important is that Benioff would be the most famously woke CEO of all time.

00:56:57.360 I'm going to defend him a little bit.

00:56:59.100 I spent a little bit of time chatting with him once a few years ago, and I thought he was the real deal.

00:57:06.820 I think Benioff actually wants to make the world a better place while he's making his money.

00:57:12.280 And he was dead serious about that during the meeting that I attended.

00:57:16.880 I was a speaker, so I got to see some of the other interactions.

00:57:20.780 He was very serious about that.

00:57:22.320 That wasn't just for a show.

00:57:24.280 He's the real deal.

00:57:25.300 And he was getting on his people for not fully buying into the charitable part of the company.

00:57:34.020 However, he's also really smart.

00:57:37.680 And he knows you can't have uncontrolled crime in your business environment.

00:57:43.880 So he's a common sense guy.

00:57:45.780 In other news, allegedly 10,000 U.S. troops are being deployed in the Caribbean around the area of Venezuela.

00:57:57.620 That probably is telling us that something's going to happen, but we're not ruling out that they're just doing exercises.

00:58:03.940 I don't think so.

00:58:05.260 I think they're getting ready for a land attack.

00:58:08.140 And some say it's just to pressure Maduro to make it look like we might get more military.

00:58:17.140 I think if we go into Venezuela, we're not going to attack the military so much.

00:58:23.280 Only one is protecting Maduro.

00:58:25.860 I feel like the only thing we would do there would be a decapitation strike.

00:58:30.720 I don't think we would move the whole military in and try to control the country while Maduro is an absentee leader or something.

00:58:42.300 I think they would have to know where he is, take him out hard, and then go in with support for the Venezuelan government that's sort of in waiting.

00:58:51.600 The one that complimented him over the Nobel.

00:58:55.740 So I think that's going to come for sure.

00:58:57.680 And also, Hagsath announced that they've formed a counter-narcotics task force in the Caribbean that we'll be launching.

00:59:09.740 All right.

00:59:10.240 So now that they've formed the task force, that task force is for the purpose of boots on the ground.

00:59:17.400 It's not a task force to read memos, right?

00:59:21.240 This is an on-the-ground stuff.

00:59:22.920 So, yeah, there will be ground war.

00:59:25.620 Big or small?

00:59:28.680 I don't know.

00:59:29.340 When I say ground war, in a perfect world, we would take out the leadership with a missile or a bomb, and then the ground would just be mopping up.

00:59:39.560 Ideally.

00:59:40.380 We'll see what happens.

00:59:41.340 I guess Charlie Kirk will receive the highest civilian honor, and posthumously, the Presidential Medal of Honor, Medal of Freedom happens today.

00:59:55.460 I think we all agree with that.

00:59:57.260 Have you listened to Rob O'Neill, the SEAL Team 6 member who shot Bin Laden?

01:00:05.000 Have you heard him talking about his opinion of whether we correctly have analyzed what happened to Charlie Kirk?

01:00:11.920 Because he's very clear that we don't have the right story.

01:00:17.780 He says he's killed a number of people up close, and he can tell you for sure that that's no entry wound.

01:00:24.500 Now, if that's no entry wound, everything we've been told is a lie.

01:00:29.460 That doesn't mean that Israel was behind it.

01:00:32.320 There's nothing.

01:00:33.060 I'm not suggesting that.

01:00:34.440 I'm just saying that if that wasn't an entry wound, we really don't know.

01:00:39.740 And the other thing that Rob O'Neill talks about is, allegedly, the microphone that he was wearing was immediately removed from his body and removed from the site,

01:00:53.460 as if maybe somebody thought that the microphone was part of the kill shot.

01:00:59.120 Because there's some people who say the microphone might have been like a secret little gun that shot something into him.

01:01:06.720 I don't know about that.

01:01:08.880 Don't know about that.

01:01:12.500 But when you hear somebody that qualified say with such certainty that this was not a gunshot from the front, I do believe him.

01:01:23.460 Do you remember the story of the magic bullet for Kennedy?

01:01:27.620 That somebody found the bullet on the gurney?

01:01:31.260 What are the odds that the bullet would be laying on the gurney next to the body?

01:01:36.600 And then the bullet that supposedly went through two completely different people was still intact.

01:01:44.780 Now, it was flattened, but the entire mass of the bullet in the Kennedy situation,

01:01:50.900 the entire mass of the bullet was still there and sort of identifiable,

01:01:55.040 but just flattened like it had gone through some soft tissue,

01:01:58.580 but not like it had gone through any bones at all.

01:02:02.440 So I talked to one expert on wounds.

01:02:07.860 Apparently, there are people who are experts on gunshot wounds.

01:02:11.180 And one of the things I learned is, you know, on TV,

01:02:16.140 on TV, when there's a crime show,

01:02:20.780 they'll analyze the bullet and find out what gun it came out of.

01:02:25.140 Apparently, in the real world, that almost never can happen.

01:02:29.000 If the bullet goes into a human being,

01:02:31.540 the bullet becomes so destroyed,

01:02:33.580 you couldn't possibly match it back to a particular barrel.

01:02:36.720 And that that's pure fantasy.

01:02:40.040 So in this situation,

01:02:42.560 not only did Rob O'Neill say that if the gun that is implicated was the one used,

01:02:47.600 it would have taken his whole head off.

01:02:50.480 So there's that.

01:02:53.760 And what else?

01:02:57.560 Oh, and then there's the bullet probably would have been broken up,

01:03:05.340 especially if it hit bones,

01:03:07.120 probably would have been broken up.

01:03:08.640 And there might be maybe a trace of part of the bullet still in him.

01:03:14.060 But what the doctor said is that Charlie had magic bones

01:03:18.600 and it stopped the bullet and the bullet was still in him.

01:03:21.540 Apparently, that doesn't make any sense at all.

01:03:23.520 It wouldn't be intact and it definitely wouldn't be in him

01:03:27.760 if it came from that gun.

01:03:29.760 And it definitely wouldn't have left that hole. 0.76

01:03:32.440 Now, I hate that every single freaking thing that looks like it's simple

01:03:38.060 turns into a conspiracy theory.

01:03:41.660 But how do you get past those facts

01:03:44.200 coming from somebody as qualified as Rob O'Neill?

01:03:49.000 Which one of you is going to say,

01:03:51.200 oh, based on my own SEAL Team 6 up-close murders,

01:03:55.680 not murders, but kills,

01:03:57.600 based on my own up-close,

01:03:59.840 you know, that looked like an entry wound to me.

01:04:02.340 As far as I know,

01:04:03.740 100% of military and hunters,

01:04:07.320 military people and hunters,

01:04:08.900 correct me if I'm wrong,

01:04:10.020 but I believe 100% of them have said that was no entry wound.

01:04:13.840 Am I right?

01:04:15.560 100%, like everyone,

01:04:17.420 every single person who knows what they're talking about?

01:04:19.640 I've now heard one person who say,

01:04:22.200 oh yeah, that could be an entry wound,

01:04:24.800 you know, maybe under these situations.

01:04:26.900 Not one.

01:04:28.520 So,

01:04:29.320 I'm not going to go full Israel on this 0.94

01:04:32.280 because I don't see that evidence.

01:04:34.560 But,

01:04:35.560 there's something,

01:04:36.720 there's something wrong with this.

01:04:39.460 There's something wrong.

01:04:40.660 I don't know.

01:04:48.020 Here's some fun science stuff.

01:04:50.280 Scientists just split sound particles.

01:04:53.880 Did you know that sound

01:04:55.060 had a minimum,

01:04:57.020 I guess,

01:04:58.060 frequency length or something?

01:05:00.900 Very tiny.

01:05:02.280 But apparently,

01:05:02.860 they can now break one sound.

01:05:06.120 I guess it's like a photon for sound.

01:05:08.860 What's it called?

01:05:09.380 A phonon.

01:05:10.960 And they can break it

01:05:11.860 and send it in two paths.

01:05:13.800 And if you can do that,

01:05:15.660 which apparently they can do,

01:05:17.680 it might create a path

01:05:19.000 for really efficient quantum computers

01:05:21.620 you could fit in your pocket.

01:05:23.420 So that they might be able to power things

01:05:25.680 by breaking light,

01:05:28.060 but also breaking sound.

01:05:31.240 And somehow that would have

01:05:32.660 helped them do something with quantum.

01:05:34.780 So that's kind of cool.

01:05:36.180 That's a ways away.

01:05:37.020 It won't be happening tomorrow.

01:05:40.640 Scientists allegedly,

01:05:42.300 according to user Massimo,

01:05:43.980 who found this study

01:05:44.780 in the New England Journal of Medicine,

01:05:47.880 found a cure for type 1 diabetes.

01:05:51.280 A cure.

01:05:53.520 Apparently,

01:05:54.220 they took a guy with type 1

01:05:55.980 and they tweaked his genes

01:06:00.480 with using CRISPR.

01:06:01.620 They edited three genes

01:06:03.720 and then they stuck them back in him

01:06:06.760 and he started creating his own insulin

01:06:10.720 and he doesn't have diabetes anymore.

01:06:14.580 Now,

01:06:15.380 could you reproduce that?

01:06:17.120 I mean,

01:06:17.340 they had to edit three genes,

01:06:19.480 but they know exactly which genes to edit

01:06:21.700 and they know how to do it.

01:06:23.460 Did diabetes just get cured?

01:06:28.520 I don't know.

01:06:30.440 I don't know.

01:06:31.380 Maybe.

01:06:33.280 I've told you about this before,

01:06:34.920 but there's a little update.

01:06:36.460 You know that if we could access

01:06:38.240 the geothermal energy,

01:06:40.140 which is just the extreme heat

01:06:42.140 and the inner core of the world,

01:06:45.460 that we would have more electricity

01:06:47.260 than we would ever need

01:06:48.540 for the end of time,

01:06:49.780 including for AI.

01:06:50.760 But getting to it is hard

01:06:52.720 because you would have to

01:06:54.160 dig a hole really deep

01:06:55.880 and that really deep hole,

01:06:58.740 we don't really quite have the technology

01:07:00.600 to do that economically.

01:07:03.140 But it turns out

01:07:04.220 there's a lot of action happening there.

01:07:06.840 There are so-called closed-loop systems.

01:07:09.220 There's a carbon-free heat engine

01:07:11.580 that drills down.

01:07:14.060 So they're using technology

01:07:19.380 from fusion research

01:07:20.860 and all kinds of other things.

01:07:22.460 Looks like one of them

01:07:23.360 might be a giant laser kind of thing.

01:07:25.600 But anyway,

01:07:26.100 there are a number of schemes

01:07:27.560 to try to economically

01:07:29.300 get into that heat.

01:07:30.840 If we ever do that,

01:07:33.280 even once,

01:07:34.640 if we can even once

01:07:35.940 figure out how to get deep enough

01:07:38.400 to get into that heat,

01:07:41.900 that changes everything.

01:07:43.160 If we can do it economically.

01:07:45.880 I'm surprised that Elon Musk

01:07:47.500 isn't building something

01:07:50.040 with the boring machine

01:07:51.780 that can go straight down

01:07:53.600 and get to the geothermal.

01:07:55.700 It would be a completely

01:07:56.520 different technology,

01:07:57.660 but it seems like exactly

01:07:59.580 the kind of technology

01:08:00.780 he'd be into

01:08:01.440 because it's such a moonshot

01:08:03.760 and it would just replace everything.

01:08:06.380 It looks doable in the long run.

01:08:08.840 It's hard for me to imagine

01:08:10.120 that in the long, long run,

01:08:11.640 humans would not be able 1.00

01:08:13.380 to go that deep

01:08:14.300 and to get that energy.

01:08:16.600 I feel like that's just a guarantee,

01:08:18.980 but it might be 20 years away.

01:08:21.400 Interesting engineering

01:08:22.380 had that story.

01:08:24.640 Well, I was looking

01:08:26.200 for the gentleman

01:08:27.060 who was on YouTube

01:08:28.960 talking about this,

01:08:30.080 but it agrees

01:08:31.520 with what I've said,

01:08:32.580 so I'll just say

01:08:33.340 that there's another

01:08:34.080 smart person saying it.

01:08:35.240 And it goes like this,

01:08:37.320 that Ukraine actually has a,

01:08:39.980 they're turning the corner

01:08:41.740 on having an advantage

01:08:43.220 in the war.

01:08:44.900 The advantage

01:08:45.820 is that now that it seems

01:08:48.040 to be purely a robot war,

01:08:50.160 you know, drones mostly,

01:08:51.900 that whoever does the best

01:08:53.000 on drones

01:08:53.740 will win the war

01:08:56.040 so long as they can stay

01:08:57.460 in business long enough

01:08:58.440 to do that.

01:08:59.460 Now, it does look like

01:09:00.600 the human deaths

01:09:01.780 on the front line

01:09:03.340 may be lessened

01:09:04.980 because they're just doing

01:09:06.640 drone on drone

01:09:07.420 on drone stuff.

01:09:08.880 I don't hear too much

01:09:09.940 about people dying

01:09:11.700 on the front line anymore,

01:09:12.620 so I assume

01:09:13.440 the numbers are smaller.

01:09:14.960 And it really is turning

01:09:16.240 into drones

01:09:17.680 against energy production

01:09:19.360 in both directions.

01:09:21.900 It's their drones

01:09:22.760 against energy,

01:09:23.960 their drones 0.87

01:09:24.420 against energy.

01:09:26.040 So that's what it is.

01:09:27.320 But the Ukraine advantage,

01:09:29.240 according to this one gentleman

01:09:30.460 whose name I didn't write down

01:09:31.740 because I'm a bad person,

01:09:33.800 is that the freer market

01:09:36.920 system of Ukraine

01:09:38.220 will guarantee

01:09:39.680 that they have

01:09:41.560 the better drones

01:09:43.060 over time,

01:09:43.980 and that's happening now.

01:09:46.360 So that we're just

01:09:47.260 turning the corner.

01:09:48.400 You know, at first,

01:09:49.460 first two years,

01:09:51.300 Ukraine is just desperately

01:09:53.340 trying to get some kind

01:09:54.520 of anything that works.

01:09:55.880 So they're, you know,

01:09:56.720 using whatever drones

01:09:57.960 they can get.

01:09:58.980 You know, they're not good ones.

01:09:59.880 But they keep upgrading

01:10:01.380 the drones.

01:10:02.980 So the Ukrainian drones 0.99

01:10:04.280 are getting to the point,

01:10:05.300 and they're right at the point

01:10:06.600 where they won't be

01:10:08.000 jammable by GPS,

01:10:09.500 and they'll be able

01:10:10.120 to make unlimited

01:10:10.880 numbers of them.

01:10:12.540 Once they're not jammable,

01:10:14.500 and they can just

01:10:15.220 darken the sky with them,

01:10:17.160 then you'd say,

01:10:18.160 oh, but Russia 0.75

01:10:20.360 will just catch up.

01:10:21.740 So they'll have better

01:10:22.920 things for shooting them down.

01:10:24.760 They'll have their own drones. 0.83

01:10:26.460 You know, their own drones

01:10:27.280 will be that powerful.

01:10:28.100 But Russia has not 0.52

01:10:30.980 modernized their drones

01:10:33.540 as fast.

01:10:34.880 And the reason given

01:10:35.760 is that they have a system

01:10:37.580 which does not reward

01:10:39.240 entrepreneurship

01:10:40.020 the same way we do

01:10:42.340 or the same way Ukraine does.

01:10:44.580 So the Ukrainians 0.99

01:10:45.540 are trying to get rich

01:10:47.540 and also save their country.

01:10:50.800 And they have the freedom

01:10:52.080 to get rich

01:10:52.980 in whatever way

01:10:54.140 can make the best drones.

01:10:55.320 And the Russians 0.83

01:10:57.020 are just going to get

01:10:58.480 a paycheck.

01:11:00.280 You know,

01:11:00.500 if they work on

01:11:01.420 trying to make a better

01:11:02.200 zone and they succeed,

01:11:04.040 just a paycheck.

01:11:05.320 It doesn't really

01:11:06.240 save the country.

01:11:08.640 They're not going to get rich.

01:11:09.960 So the theory is that

01:11:11.980 the incentives

01:11:13.340 for the Ukrainian side

01:11:15.240 is to rapidly innovate

01:11:17.760 and that will be

01:11:18.820 the most important factor

01:11:20.300 for how the war goes.

01:11:22.900 And that we're just

01:11:23.940 turning the corner

01:11:24.840 where Ukraine

01:11:26.180 is going to turn

01:11:27.200 on the afterburners

01:11:28.320 for innovation

01:11:30.880 in drones

01:11:32.200 and that that will

01:11:33.560 turn the corner.

01:11:34.160 Now,

01:11:35.500 of course,

01:11:36.140 Russia has the big 0.99

01:11:37.000 advantage in human power,

01:11:39.260 the big advantage

01:11:40.020 in missiles

01:11:40.740 and all that.

01:11:41.940 So a lot of this

01:11:42.620 is psychological.

01:11:44.260 It's not so much

01:11:45.200 what each side

01:11:46.760 could do

01:11:47.620 because what Russia

01:11:49.160 could do

01:11:50.040 is nuke all of Ukraine 0.97

01:11:51.800 if they wanted to.

01:11:53.300 So Russia, 0.91

01:11:54.020 you know,

01:11:54.580 clearly has the weapons

01:11:56.040 to, you know,

01:11:57.280 just pave the place

01:11:58.780 if they want to.

01:11:59.700 But would they want to?

01:12:01.940 Because what would

01:12:02.640 happen to them?

01:12:03.260 So it looks like

01:12:04.880 Axios is reporting

01:12:06.740 that Trump is going

01:12:07.600 to be talking

01:12:08.100 to Zelensky

01:12:09.120 about Tomahawk missiles

01:12:12.540 and if the U.S.

01:12:13.760 provides them

01:12:14.420 that would be paid

01:12:15.180 for by the Europeans

01:12:16.220 because Trump

01:12:17.840 has cleverly

01:12:18.560 gotten us out

01:12:19.160 of the paying.

01:12:20.780 The fact that

01:12:21.760 Trump got us out

01:12:22.720 of paying

01:12:23.220 for Ukraine

01:12:24.060 is one of the

01:12:25.460 great accomplishments.

01:12:26.800 I don't think

01:12:27.220 he gets enough

01:12:27.780 credit for that

01:12:28.540 because as long

01:12:29.480 as we're not

01:12:29.920 paying for it

01:12:30.740 and we're selling

01:12:32.660 things

01:12:33.220 instead of

01:12:33.900 buying things.

01:12:35.540 I feel a lot

01:12:36.360 better about it.

01:12:37.500 You know,

01:12:37.660 if there has to be

01:12:38.360 a war,

01:12:38.960 might as well

01:12:39.420 profiteer.

01:12:42.220 It'd be better

01:12:42.920 without the war,

01:12:43.560 of course.

01:12:45.560 But

01:12:45.920 Trump's made

01:12:47.880 the decision,

01:12:48.720 I think,

01:12:49.220 to give them

01:12:49.780 Tomahawk missiles,

01:12:50.840 but he wants

01:12:51.240 to talk to them

01:12:52.460 about how

01:12:53.000 they use them.

01:12:54.400 And what I think

01:12:55.240 he means by that

01:12:56.100 is,

01:12:56.380 if you use

01:12:57.680 these Tomahawks

01:12:58.440 to take out

01:12:59.100 their energy

01:12:59.760 structure,

01:13:00.860 I'll let you

01:13:01.400 have them

01:13:01.860 because that's

01:13:02.820 just more of

01:13:03.420 what you're

01:13:03.740 already doing

01:13:04.260 and he's

01:13:05.420 doing the same

01:13:05.920 thing to you.

01:13:06.740 So that would

01:13:07.100 look like

01:13:07.520 something that

01:13:09.320 wouldn't

01:13:09.620 necessarily

01:13:10.720 escalate

01:13:12.540 things too

01:13:13.500 much because

01:13:14.460 it's sort of

01:13:15.120 what you're

01:13:15.500 already doing,

01:13:16.800 attacking the

01:13:17.500 energy infrastructure.

01:13:19.140 But imagine

01:13:19.620 if Zelensky

01:13:20.720 said,

01:13:21.120 aha,

01:13:21.960 I've got some

01:13:22.540 Tomahawk missiles,

01:13:23.440 I'm going to

01:13:24.400 lob these

01:13:24.880 into the

01:13:25.340 Kremlin

01:13:25.660 and take

01:13:26.140 out the

01:13:26.480 leadership.

01:13:27.900 That,

01:13:28.540 I believe,

01:13:30.120 would be a

01:13:30.740 big,

01:13:31.080 big problem

01:13:31.620 for the

01:13:31.980 United States

01:13:32.760 because we're

01:13:33.500 not ready

01:13:33.940 for that.

01:13:35.080 So I

01:13:35.820 assume that

01:13:36.560 what he's

01:13:36.920 going to do

01:13:37.320 is say,

01:13:37.920 if you can

01:13:38.480 limit these

01:13:39.200 to taking

01:13:39.900 out energy

01:13:40.440 resources,

01:13:41.360 you might

01:13:42.020 be able to

01:13:42.380 wrap this

01:13:42.760 up quickly.

01:13:43.880 Because if

01:13:44.500 you took

01:13:44.880 out,

01:13:45.700 probably,

01:13:46.480 I'm just

01:13:46.860 going to

01:13:47.120 guess,

01:13:48.080 if you took

01:13:48.580 out another

01:13:49.180 20% of

01:13:51.720 Russia's 0.70

01:13:52.600 domestic

01:13:53.280 gas

01:13:53.880 production,

01:13:55.680 they'd

01:13:56.360 want to

01:13:56.700 talk.

01:13:58.040 And probably

01:13:58.420 these Tomahawk

01:13:59.180 missiles could

01:13:59.780 make that

01:14:00.140 happen.

01:14:02.020 Now,

01:14:02.520 obviously,

01:14:03.760 Russia would 0.98

01:14:05.080 increase their

01:14:06.520 own attacks

01:14:07.260 on the

01:14:08.300 energy

01:14:08.640 infrastructure

01:14:09.220 of Ukraine,

01:14:10.560 but maybe

01:14:10.960 they're already

01:14:11.520 maxed out.

01:14:12.800 There's no

01:14:13.460 reason they

01:14:13.840 wouldn't be

01:14:14.220 maxed out

01:14:14.720 already.

01:14:15.560 So maybe

01:14:15.980 they don't

01:14:16.280 have much

01:14:16.640 to go.

01:14:18.320 All right.

01:14:20.400 Zero Edge

01:14:21.040 is reporting

01:14:21.640 that the

01:14:23.260 mainstream

01:14:23.720 media

01:14:24.220 was trying

01:14:26.820 to hide

01:14:27.280 the Nazi

01:14:28.040 tattoos on

01:14:29.060 some of

01:14:29.360 the Ukrainian

01:14:30.140 Azov

01:14:31.340 regiment

01:14:31.760 people.

01:14:33.040 So I

01:14:33.260 guess there's

01:14:33.740 a movement

01:14:34.240 to try

01:14:34.660 to normalize

01:14:36.500 or accept

01:14:37.300 the overtly 0.90

01:14:39.540 racist Nazi

01:14:41.400 parts of 0.87

01:14:42.160 Ukraine,

01:14:43.700 because I

01:14:44.880 guess I

01:14:45.220 figure it's

01:14:45.720 better to

01:14:47.420 keep the

01:14:47.760 country together

01:14:48.480 than to

01:14:49.080 deal with

01:14:50.180 that.

01:14:50.460 Trump has

01:14:53.920 suggested

01:14:54.360 that Spain

01:14:55.120 be expelled

01:14:55.840 from NATO

01:14:56.440 because they're

01:14:57.120 not willing

01:14:57.580 to step

01:14:58.220 up to

01:14:58.540 that 5% 0.98

01:14:59.420 annual,

01:15:00.340 5% of

01:15:01.220 GDP

01:15:01.600 annual

01:15:02.060 spending.

01:15:03.280 And he

01:15:03.600 said,

01:15:03.920 we had

01:15:04.440 one

01:15:04.660 lagert,

01:15:05.140 it was

01:15:05.320 Spain.

01:15:06.300 He said,

01:15:06.800 they have

01:15:07.140 no excuses

01:15:07.760 not to

01:15:08.240 do this,

01:15:08.740 but that's

01:15:09.060 all right,

01:15:09.440 maybe we

01:15:09.840 should throw

01:15:10.280 them out

01:15:10.640 of NATO,

01:15:11.220 frankly.

01:15:12.640 Now,

01:15:13.020 that shouldn't

01:15:13.660 be news,

01:15:14.880 because the

01:15:15.300 entire point

01:15:16.060 of NATO

01:15:16.720 membership is

01:15:18.080 if you don't

01:15:18.660 pay,

01:15:18.980 you're not

01:15:19.320 in.

01:15:20.460 So they

01:15:21.180 don't pay.

01:15:22.840 So Trump

01:15:23.340 says,

01:15:23.760 well,

01:15:23.900 maybe you're

01:15:24.320 not in.

01:15:25.760 So,

01:15:26.220 you know,

01:15:26.540 nobody else

01:15:27.020 would say

01:15:27.400 that directly,

01:15:28.560 but you

01:15:28.860 should say

01:15:29.280 that.

01:15:30.240 That's why

01:15:30.920 you pay,

01:15:31.600 to be in.

01:15:32.780 If you

01:15:33.100 don't pay,

01:15:33.960 not in.

01:15:34.780 It's really

01:15:35.120 simple.

01:15:37.340 All right.

01:15:38.120 And apparently

01:15:38.680 there's,

01:15:39.500 according to

01:15:39.940 Remix,

01:15:41.020 over in

01:15:42.060 Belgium,

01:15:43.000 the authorities

01:15:43.680 stopped a

01:15:45.080 jihadist plot

01:15:46.020 that looked

01:15:46.520 like they

01:15:46.940 were going

01:15:47.260 to try to

01:15:47.660 build a

01:15:48.260 assassination

01:15:49.640 drone to

01:15:51.400 take care of

01:15:51.960 some leaders

01:15:52.540 of the

01:15:52.900 country,

01:15:53.720 but they

01:15:54.020 stopped it.

01:15:55.360 My question

01:15:56.020 is,

01:15:56.380 how do we

01:15:56.860 ever go

01:15:57.300 outside again?

01:15:59.740 Aren't we

01:16:00.800 maybe one

01:16:02.660 year away

01:16:03.460 from any

01:16:04.940 individual being

01:16:05.780 able to send

01:16:06.480 an unjammable

01:16:08.240 drone into

01:16:11.560 any location 0.65

01:16:12.400 they want

01:16:12.900 and make it

01:16:13.320 explode?

01:16:13.760 how could

01:16:15.760 you ever

01:16:16.080 have an

01:16:16.420 outdoor

01:16:16.980 political

01:16:18.780 event

01:16:19.320 one year

01:16:20.660 from now?

01:16:21.640 There would

01:16:22.240 always be a

01:16:23.140 terrorist who's

01:16:23.880 within two 0.86

01:16:24.500 miles who

01:16:25.800 can just

01:16:26.220 open a

01:16:26.740 door or

01:16:28.220 open a

01:16:28.660 window,

01:16:29.480 throw a

01:16:30.140 drone out

01:16:30.640 the window 0.90

01:16:31.160 and tell it

01:16:33.500 to go to

01:16:34.160 the exact

01:16:34.760 location and

01:16:36.300 then, of

01:16:36.600 course,

01:16:36.820 it'd be

01:16:37.040 jammed. 0.98

01:16:37.920 If it's

01:16:38.320 some important

01:16:39.060 president or

01:16:40.360 something,

01:16:40.700 it'd be

01:16:40.920 jammed. 0.98

01:16:41.380 But then

01:16:42.140 it would

01:16:42.340 just switch

01:16:42.780 over to

01:16:43.200 GPS and

01:16:44.200 visual and

01:16:45.520 just finish

01:16:46.080 the job.

01:16:47.000 How would

01:16:47.600 we stop

01:16:48.060 that?

01:16:49.100 Now, if

01:16:49.740 it were only

01:16:50.160 one, we

01:16:51.380 would have

01:16:51.720 other

01:16:52.060 mechanisms to

01:16:53.000 shotgun it

01:16:54.260 out of the

01:16:54.640 sky and

01:16:55.060 stuff like

01:16:55.440 that.

01:16:55.860 But what

01:16:56.180 if 20

01:16:57.880 came at

01:16:59.780 the same

01:17:00.160 time?

01:17:01.260 Is there

01:17:01.640 really any

01:17:02.240 chance we

01:17:02.740 would stop

01:17:03.180 all 20

01:17:03.680 if we

01:17:05.260 couldn't

01:17:05.580 jam them?

01:17:07.160 Maybe.

01:17:07.920 If they

01:17:08.280 came in

01:17:08.640 low, though,

01:17:09.360 you wouldn't

01:17:09.860 even have

01:17:10.260 time to

01:17:10.760 laser them. 0.54

01:17:12.260 So I

01:17:12.480 guess it

01:17:12.760 depends how

01:17:13.320 low they

01:17:13.720 are when

01:17:14.040 they do

01:17:14.940 the final

01:17:15.400 mile.

01:17:18.180 Anyway,

01:17:19.080 over in

01:17:19.880 Germany,

01:17:21.100 CEO of

01:17:21.860 a big

01:17:22.260 company I

01:17:23.500 never heard

01:17:23.860 of, but

01:17:24.180 I guess

01:17:24.440 it's a

01:17:24.700 big company,

01:17:26.640 Ivonek,

01:17:27.440 the CEO,

01:17:28.220 is calling

01:17:28.580 for the

01:17:28.980 end of

01:17:29.420 what he

01:17:29.740 calls the

01:17:30.140 CO2

01:17:30.700 cult.

01:17:32.120 It's a

01:17:32.420 wake-up

01:17:32.760 call for

01:17:33.200 Europe's

01:17:33.620 economy.

01:17:35.300 Zero

01:17:35.660 hedges

01:17:36.020 writing about

01:17:36.540 that.

01:17:37.300 So Germany, 0.94

01:17:38.320 of course,

01:17:38.660 is the

01:17:39.040 big woke,

01:17:39.640 everything's

01:17:40.880 got to

01:17:41.140 be green,

01:17:41.860 and

01:17:42.420 apparently

01:17:42.780 they have

01:17:43.260 decided that

01:17:44.160 climate change

01:17:45.160 and CO2,

01:17:46.560 not necessarily

01:17:48.460 a hoax,

01:17:49.860 but maybe

01:17:50.320 you ought to

01:17:50.680 back off a

01:17:51.340 little bit if

01:17:51.780 you want to

01:17:52.120 survive.

01:17:54.660 All right.

01:17:58.140 And

01:17:58.700 meanwhile,

01:17:59.860 let's talk

01:18:02.200 about reparation.

01:18:03.260 So Governor

01:18:04.720 Newsom has

01:18:05.900 decided to

01:18:06.780 sign something

01:18:07.780 that would

01:18:08.120 create some

01:18:09.940 kind of

01:18:10.280 entity in

01:18:10.920 California to

01:18:11.780 look into

01:18:12.380 reparations.

01:18:14.540 What do you

01:18:15.220 call it?

01:18:15.620 Create a

01:18:16.240 state agency

01:18:17.500 for reparations.

01:18:19.320 Now,

01:18:19.760 I've told you

01:18:20.400 before that

01:18:21.140 Newsom has

01:18:22.400 been smart

01:18:23.140 about reparations.

01:18:24.560 He can't

01:18:25.040 say no,

01:18:26.520 but he can

01:18:27.740 say we

01:18:28.220 should study

01:18:28.820 it.

01:18:29.540 So he

01:18:29.880 keeps saying,

01:18:31.060 well,

01:18:31.460 how about we

01:18:31.900 study it?

01:18:32.860 So this

01:18:33.280 state agency

01:18:34.820 seems like

01:18:35.500 more of that.

01:18:36.160 it's like

01:18:36.720 just the

01:18:37.220 next thing

01:18:37.760 he's doing

01:18:38.300 that would

01:18:39.500 funnel some

01:18:40.400 money to

01:18:41.020 the reparations

01:18:42.160 people.

01:18:42.920 Because who

01:18:43.460 do you think

01:18:43.900 is going to

01:18:44.220 be in the

01:18:44.600 state agency

01:18:45.320 for reparations?

01:18:46.880 Do you

01:18:47.200 think it'll

01:18:48.340 be people

01:18:48.820 who are on

01:18:49.240 the committee

01:18:49.800 that were

01:18:51.280 doing reparations?

01:18:52.380 Of course it

01:18:53.060 is.

01:18:53.640 Some of them.

01:18:55.000 So this

01:18:55.480 seems to be

01:18:56.140 just another

01:18:56.660 way to

01:18:57.080 funnel tax

01:18:58.540 money to

01:18:59.920 reparations

01:19:00.860 advocates without

01:19:02.080 ever getting

01:19:02.720 any reparations.

01:19:03.980 So I don't

01:19:05.300 believe this

01:19:05.960 will lead to

01:19:06.440 reparations

01:19:07.080 because even

01:19:07.760 Gavin doesn't

01:19:08.920 think that's a

01:19:09.480 good idea.

01:19:11.160 But it will

01:19:12.000 lead to

01:19:12.640 people who

01:19:13.340 want reparations

01:19:14.260 getting paid

01:19:15.200 and that

01:19:16.420 should shut

01:19:16.880 them up.

01:19:18.340 So there's

01:19:18.720 that.

01:19:19.380 But let's

01:19:19.640 talk about

01:19:20.060 reparations.

01:19:21.100 I believe

01:19:21.640 I'm the

01:19:22.080 most qualified

01:19:23.560 person to

01:19:24.180 do this

01:19:24.580 given my

01:19:25.220 public

01:19:26.420 reputation.

01:19:28.120 Let me

01:19:28.760 say this as

01:19:29.340 clearly as

01:19:29.880 possible.

01:19:31.900 If I were

01:19:32.720 going to

01:19:32.960 give advice

01:19:33.900 to the 0.99

01:19:36.040 black

01:19:37.160 Americans, 0.95

01:19:38.340 what's the

01:19:39.560 first thing

01:19:40.040 I should

01:19:40.380 do?

01:19:41.160 If I

01:19:41.500 wanted to

01:19:41.840 give advice

01:19:43.940 on success 0.67

01:19:44.880 to black

01:19:45.600 Americans,

01:19:46.240 what's the

01:19:46.580 first thing

01:19:47.040 I should

01:19:47.380 do?

01:19:48.340 Shut the 1.00

01:19:49.020 fuck up. 1.00

01:19:49.860 That's what 1.00

01:19:50.180 I should

01:19:50.460 do.

01:19:52.360 Why do I

01:19:53.160 think I

01:19:53.540 can advise 0.98

01:19:54.180 black

01:19:54.540 Americans?

01:19:55.640 Didn't I

01:19:56.040 just read

01:19:56.500 you a 0.57

01:19:56.800 reframe

01:19:57.300 that says

01:19:58.100 even if

01:19:58.520 people ask

01:19:59.220 for advice

01:19:59.800 or you

01:20:00.080 think they

01:20:00.440 need it?

01:20:01.460 It never

01:20:02.160 helps.

01:20:02.560 And I

01:20:04.140 learned this

01:20:04.780 because I

01:20:05.340 actually spent

01:20:05.880 quite a bit

01:20:06.500 of my

01:20:07.460 time in

01:20:08.000 treasure trying

01:20:08.700 to figure

01:20:09.060 out what

01:20:09.580 would be

01:20:09.800 the best

01:20:10.140 way to

01:20:10.400 help black

01:20:10.880 Americans.

01:20:12.200 And then

01:20:12.600 when I

01:20:13.660 thought I

01:20:13.960 was making

01:20:14.380 like a

01:20:14.700 little progress,

01:20:15.700 I was

01:20:16.360 informed by

01:20:17.140 black Americans

01:20:17.860 that they 1.00

01:20:18.340 don't need

01:20:18.640 any help.

01:20:19.700 They might

01:20:20.360 need some

01:20:20.800 money.

01:20:21.380 They might

01:20:21.720 need some

01:20:22.120 funding to

01:20:22.860 get things

01:20:23.440 done, but

01:20:24.300 they don't

01:20:24.540 need any

01:20:24.880 advice.

01:20:26.100 To which I

01:20:26.940 say, you

01:20:27.460 know what?

01:20:28.200 You're

01:20:28.480 completely right

01:20:29.120 about that.

01:20:30.680 Advice is

01:20:31.720 what you

01:20:32.000 give people

01:20:32.580 who you

01:20:33.860 believe are

01:20:34.500 somehow below

01:20:36.680 you.

01:20:37.760 I hate to

01:20:38.400 say that, but

01:20:39.980 somehow they

01:20:40.600 need advice and

01:20:41.420 you don't.

01:20:42.920 How did you

01:20:43.800 come up with

01:20:44.220 that?

01:20:45.480 Why do they

01:20:46.140 need the

01:20:46.480 advice and

01:20:46.920 you're not

01:20:47.240 the one who

01:20:47.600 needs the

01:20:47.940 advice?

01:20:48.540 Why would

01:20:48.920 you even

01:20:49.180 think that?

01:20:50.520 So I

01:20:52.220 think that

01:20:52.640 when you

01:20:53.020 offer people

01:20:53.780 advice and

01:20:54.480 help, you

01:20:55.340 infantilize

01:20:56.340 them and you

01:20:57.840 take away

01:20:58.360 some of

01:20:58.740 their agency.

01:21:00.340 I believe

01:21:01.020 that the

01:21:01.380 best thing

01:21:01.980 that you

01:21:02.280 could do 0.68

01:21:02.600 for black

01:21:03.100 America is

01:21:03.760 say, we're

01:21:04.420 not going to

01:21:04.720 give you

01:21:04.940 anything.

01:21:06.340 How about

01:21:06.640 nothing?

01:21:08.160 Oh, but

01:21:08.620 the unfairness

01:21:10.020 of the past.

01:21:11.200 Yeah, it

01:21:11.500 was very

01:21:11.840 unfair.

01:21:12.700 What's your

01:21:13.060 point?

01:21:13.760 Well, because

01:21:14.400 of the

01:21:14.840 unfairness of

01:21:15.520 the past, we

01:21:16.880 should be

01:21:17.220 compensated.

01:21:18.200 To which I

01:21:18.960 say, that 0.63

01:21:19.600 doesn't connect.

01:21:21.800 There's all

01:21:22.400 kinds of

01:21:22.780 unfair things

01:21:23.420 in the past.

01:21:24.140 Doesn't mean

01:21:24.600 you get paid.

01:21:26.080 No, no,

01:21:26.440 but because it

01:21:27.500 was so

01:21:27.880 unfair and

01:21:29.160 we know

01:21:29.620 which group

01:21:30.480 of people

01:21:30.820 did it to

01:21:31.380 which other

01:21:31.780 group, that

01:21:33.020 would be

01:21:33.340 reparations.

01:21:34.160 To which I

01:21:34.520 say, why?

01:21:36.360 What's the

01:21:36.880 logic there?

01:21:37.860 There's no

01:21:38.260 connecting

01:21:38.660 logic.

01:21:40.000 There's

01:21:40.460 something that

01:21:40.940 happened with

01:21:41.480 other people

01:21:42.100 who are not

01:21:42.620 us and you

01:21:43.920 didn't like

01:21:44.420 it.

01:21:45.720 So, do I

01:21:48.060 get reparations

01:21:48.880 for being

01:21:49.380 born short?

01:21:51.140 Do I get

01:21:51.920 reparations for

01:21:52.720 being bald and

01:21:53.520 nearsighted?

01:21:54.900 Do you get

01:21:55.620 reparations if

01:21:56.440 you're born 1.00

01:21:56.820 dumb? 1.00

01:21:57.500 Because you 1.00

01:21:58.220 can't get

01:21:58.540 much done

01:21:59.000 if you're 1.00

01:21:59.400 born dumb? 1.00

01:22:01.740 Now, there 1.00

01:22:03.120 is no world

01:22:03.920 in which people

01:22:04.760 are better

01:22:05.160 off if we

01:22:06.360 can say, oh,

01:22:07.060 somebody needs

01:22:07.660 to pay somebody

01:22:08.320 else because

01:22:08.840 they have

01:22:09.220 bigger problems.

01:22:10.160 There are no

01:22:11.200 special problems. 0.96

01:22:14.080 Black people 1.00

01:22:14.560 don't have 0.99

01:22:15.020 special problems.

01:22:16.900 They have

01:22:17.560 problems.

01:22:18.440 They're real.

01:22:19.020 I think

01:22:19.280 systemic racism

01:22:20.400 is real.

01:22:21.460 That's a real

01:22:22.080 problem.

01:22:22.440 But if you

01:22:23.480 tell people,

01:22:24.200 you know, you

01:22:24.560 can just

01:22:25.120 overcome that

01:22:25.920 problem by

01:22:26.600 doing the

01:22:27.780 same thing

01:22:28.180 that everybody

01:22:28.680 does to

01:22:29.180 overcome that

01:22:29.740 problem.

01:22:31.120 Wait, what?

01:22:32.240 Yeah, everybody

01:22:33.240 who overcomes

01:22:34.080 the problem of

01:22:34.940 poverty does

01:22:36.380 it the same

01:22:36.980 way.

01:22:38.040 What?

01:22:38.380 But what if

01:22:40.480 there's

01:22:40.860 discrimination?

01:22:42.200 There's not

01:22:42.840 discrimination.

01:22:43.720 There's

01:22:43.920 discrimination in

01:22:44.880 favor of you.

01:22:46.120 Every company

01:22:46.740 wants to hire

01:22:47.420 you if you'll

01:22:48.020 just go get an

01:22:48.680 education, get a

01:22:50.040 little training.

01:22:50.620 They all want

01:22:51.220 to hire you.

01:22:52.380 You could find

01:22:53.040 mentors so

01:22:54.440 easily because

01:22:56.000 they want to

01:22:56.640 do it.

01:22:57.620 You have

01:22:58.180 everything you

01:22:59.140 need to succeed,

01:23:00.500 but you have

01:23:02.380 to do it the

01:23:02.800 way everybody

01:23:03.260 does it.

01:23:04.280 You can't do

01:23:04.860 it a magic

01:23:05.340 way.

01:23:05.980 You have to

01:23:06.800 do it the

01:23:07.220 way everybody

01:23:08.060 does it.

01:23:09.160 Stay in a

01:23:09.840 jail, stay 0.69

01:23:10.540 off drugs, keep

01:23:11.680 your family

01:23:12.160 together, get

01:23:13.960 the best

01:23:14.360 education you

01:23:15.200 can.

01:23:16.280 There is no

01:23:17.180 other way.

01:23:18.740 Reparations, even

01:23:19.520 if we gave you a

01:23:20.320 big pile of

01:23:20.940 money, what

01:23:21.700 would you do

01:23:22.200 with it?

01:23:23.140 Do you think

01:23:23.640 if you check

01:23:24.180 back in five

01:23:24.880 years, everybody

01:23:25.800 would be okay?

01:23:26.940 Oh, we got our

01:23:27.560 reparations, that

01:23:28.400 fixed everything.

01:23:29.480 No, there's no

01:23:30.080 chance of that.

01:23:31.300 There's no

01:23:31.680 chance of that.

01:23:32.660 That's never

01:23:33.340 worked for

01:23:33.940 anybody.

01:23:35.760 You probably

01:23:36.600 would just blow

01:23:37.200 through it and

01:23:37.860 be glad you

01:23:38.620 had it for a

01:23:39.500 year and

01:23:40.420 then it would

01:23:40.780 be gone and

01:23:42.080 it would have

01:23:42.500 no impact on

01:23:43.340 your life after

01:23:44.580 you bought a

01:23:45.680 car.

01:23:47.260 Although if you

01:23:48.080 needed the car

01:23:48.640 for work, that

01:23:49.340 might have helped

01:23:50.220 a lot.

01:23:52.520 Lottery winners

01:23:53.460 don't exactly

01:23:54.180 become successful

01:23:56.180 and happy after

01:23:58.200 they win the

01:23:58.660 lottery.

01:23:59.440 So there's

01:23:59.840 your reframe.

01:24:01.200 The reframe is

01:24:02.100 not how much

01:24:04.060 reparations should

01:24:05.160 you pay.

01:24:06.060 The reframe is

01:24:06.880 nobody has a

01:24:07.620 special problem.

01:24:09.640 Your problem

01:24:10.280 isn't special.

01:24:11.540 And the only

01:24:12.100 person, let me

01:24:13.020 say it another

01:24:13.540 way, the only

01:24:14.960 way black 0.90

01:24:15.540 America can

01:24:16.300 fix their

01:24:17.840 problems is if 1.00

01:24:19.380 black Americans 0.99

01:24:20.220 decide to fix 0.99

01:24:21.160 their problems

01:24:21.800 doing the exact

01:24:23.180 same thing that

01:24:24.100 everybody else did

01:24:24.920 to fix their

01:24:25.500 problems.

01:24:26.380 There's no other

01:24:27.300 path.

01:24:28.720 Nobody can give

01:24:30.000 you a leg up on

01:24:30.800 that.

01:24:32.080 There's no

01:24:32.840 secret password.

01:24:35.320 There's nothing.

01:24:36.720 You just do what

01:24:37.640 everybody else did.

01:24:39.420 And if that

01:24:39.800 doesn't work, well,

01:24:40.840 I'm sorry.

01:24:41.880 That's all we have.

01:24:43.500 All we have is

01:24:44.540 what everybody

01:24:45.060 does.

01:24:45.880 There's nothing

01:24:46.400 else.

01:24:48.140 So there's your

01:24:49.400 reframe for

01:24:50.760 reparations.

01:24:51.920 All right,

01:24:52.240 everybody, that's

01:24:52.980 all I got for

01:24:53.460 today.

01:24:53.940 That's all you

01:24:54.440 needed.

01:24:55.260 I'm going to

01:24:55.620 say hi to the

01:24:56.620 special people on

01:24:58.700 Locals.

01:24:59.260 and the rest

01:25:01.140 of you, thanks

01:25:01.660 for coming.

01:25:02.300 I will see you

01:25:02.940 again tomorrow.

01:25:04.520 Same time, same

01:25:05.140 place.

01:25:06.080 Locals, my

01:25:06.740 beloveds, coming

01:25:07.960 at you now.

01:25:10.100 Be private in

01:25:10.980 30 seconds.

01:25:29.260 Here's what.

01:25:45.140 Here's what you

01:25:46.100 call one goes

01:25:47.280 the first

01:25:48.300 guest.

01:25:48.480 And we

01:25:49.600 here's what you

01:25:50.360 like.

01:25:50.440 And if you

01:25:51.660 bust up your

01:25:51.800 non-ından 0.71

01:25:52.820 defence.

01:25:53.200 Now,

01:25:53.600 to see you

01:25:54.720 Thank you.

01:26:24.720 Thank you.

01:26:54.720 Thank you.

01:27:24.720 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 12, 2025

Episode 2986 CWSA 10⧸12⧸25

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript