Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2990 CWSA 10⧸16⧸25

00:00:00.000 You are, come on in.

00:00:01.560 It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:04.980 Grab yourself a beverage, get a good seat up in the front.

00:00:09.040 And while people are pouring in, I'll check your stocks for you.

00:00:14.440 It's kind of flat, up a little bit.

00:00:18.020 It'll be jumping around today, I guess.

00:00:21.620 Let me make sure I can see your comments and we'll get it going.

00:00:27.360 No, not that.

00:00:30.000 How about that?

00:00:32.260 Everybody feeling good today?

00:00:34.700 How are you all doing?

00:00:38.060 By the way, if you subscribe to Dilbert on either the locals platform or you can do it on X,

00:00:46.760 you'll see that Dilbert's company has been asked to program some voting machines.

00:00:54.020 So Dilbert will be in charge of programming the new voting machines.

00:00:58.060 Just in case you wondered.

00:01:02.680 All right, why is this not working?

00:01:04.260 Come on.

00:01:05.940 Come on.

00:01:09.320 All right, that didn't work.

00:01:11.000 But this will work.

00:01:11.960 Sure enough.

00:01:18.140 Do, do, do, do, do, do, do.

00:01:20.840 Do, do, do, do, do, do.

00:01:23.080 Boom, boom, boom, boom.

00:01:25.720 Do, do, do, do, do, do, do.

00:01:29.900 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:01:33.980 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

00:01:39.160 But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can

00:01:44.820 even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or mug

00:01:50.280 or a glass of tank or chalice, just tie it in a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:55.700 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:57.420 I like coffee.

00:01:58.680 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes

00:02:03.400 absolutely everything better.

00:02:04.800 Whatever it's called, that's right, the simultaneous sip.

00:02:08.220 Go.

00:02:12.980 Oh.

00:02:15.960 So yesterday during, I saw one of the comments on X.

00:02:21.800 Someone asked me if I could recommend a book on hypnosis.

00:02:26.860 And I said, no, I don't know any books on hypnosis.

00:02:30.480 And then I was on Amazon looking at the results of my own book, Reframe Your Brain.

00:02:39.540 And it turns out I have the number one book in the world on hypnosis, which I was completely

00:02:46.980 unaware of.

00:02:48.080 So on Amazon's ranking for hypnosis books, I'm not even sure why this is on that list.

00:02:54.400 It's sort of like hypnosis, but it's more of a conversational version.

00:02:59.860 It's not going to put you in a trance.

00:03:02.500 But as recent tradition requires, I'm going to give you a reframe from this book, see if

00:03:09.120 it makes any difference.

00:03:11.920 Oh, here's a good one.

00:03:13.980 So the usual frame when we're dealing with other people is something like other people

00:03:20.460 think approximately the same as I do.

00:03:24.400 Do you ever think that?

00:03:26.060 You assume that the way you think is probably pretty similar to the way other people think.

00:03:33.800 That is a big problem.

00:03:36.020 Here's a reframe that's better.

00:03:38.360 Instead of others think and feel approximately as I do, others are unimaginably different.

00:03:46.040 Unimaginably.

00:03:46.780 You can't even imagine how different they are.

00:03:48.880 So if you start with the assumption that they think like you, everything gets confusing.

00:03:56.000 Because you'll be like, well, why don't you agree with me?

00:04:00.600 Why aren't you thinking like me?

00:04:02.620 If you imagine that people's inner thoughts are just unimaginably different, which they

00:04:09.420 largely are, you'll have much less stuff to worry about.

00:04:14.420 All right.

00:04:15.280 Let's talk about the news.

00:04:19.080 The Stockholm School of Economics did a study to find out if people who had men, if they

00:04:26.580 had extra testosterone, if they would take more risk-taking in their financial decisions.

00:04:33.420 What do you think?

00:04:34.320 Did people take more risks, men, when they got a testosterone shot?

00:04:40.960 The answer was no.

00:04:42.840 The answer was no.

00:04:43.860 That they made the same economic decisions.

00:04:46.780 However, I have a little insight into this topic because, as you know, I've turned off

00:04:53.840 my testosterone chemically because of the cancer stuff.

00:04:57.900 So I've experienced what's it like to have probably too much, based on my own assessment,

00:05:06.920 probably too much, because I do have a lifelong issue with being a little too aggressive sometimes.

00:05:15.160 So I always thought that was testosterone.

00:05:17.160 And now that I don't have it, now that I'm, you know, testosterone empty, basically, I don't

00:05:23.260 feel that, you know, those sudden angry urges that I used to have.

00:05:28.540 So it seems, it does seem like my behavior changed.

00:05:31.780 But here's what I'm going to add to this economic study.

00:05:35.020 The other thing I noticed is that since I'm a grown-ass adult with lots of, let's say,

00:05:41.840 training for how to do things like invest, and lots of habits, which I've developed over

00:05:49.380 my lifetime.

00:05:50.780 And what I think is that if you temporarily, temporarily is the key word here, change somebody's

00:05:57.420 testosterone, that it doesn't make as much difference as you think because their training

00:06:03.640 and their habits would be strong.

00:06:06.760 It might be different if you're 19.

00:06:08.460 But if you're an adult, and you've been one for a while, you've got all this habit and

00:06:15.100 training.

00:06:15.860 So if I were making an economic decision, I'm pretty sure I would make it the same way I've

00:06:21.800 always made them.

00:06:23.300 So I would make sure I diversify it, you know, just ordinary things.

00:06:27.120 So if you're trained and you have habits, you wouldn't see any difference in the short

00:06:32.420 run.

00:06:33.020 In the long run, you probably would.

00:06:35.020 So that's my, this is my addition.

00:06:38.460 China is going to mass produce flying cars next year, a company called Xpeng.

00:06:44.360 And it makes me wonder, is China going to win the flying car industry?

00:06:51.860 I'm not, I'm not 100% sure that flying cars ever need to be a thing unless they're self-flying.

00:07:01.000 I wouldn't want people flying their own flying cars.

00:07:03.920 That'd be a disaster.

00:07:04.920 But if they were sort of self-driving flying cars that are more like Ubers, maybe, I can

00:07:12.700 see it.

00:07:13.320 But the US is going to have a massive regulatory problem because every state will have its

00:07:19.280 own regulations and there'll be environmental things and noise prohibitions and everything

00:07:26.440 else.

00:07:26.800 So we got a problem.

00:07:28.640 I don't think we'll be winning the flying car competition.

00:07:31.940 But Elon Musk tells us that Starlink, the satellite internet connections will be, are now available

00:07:40.300 on United Airlines flights.

00:07:44.380 I kind of thought that they already had something like that, but not as good as Starlink.

00:07:48.340 Can you even hold in your head how shitty the United States has become that it took until

00:07:56.740 2025 to have internet on a plane?

00:08:01.720 Really?

00:08:02.940 It took this long to get internet on a plane?

00:08:08.240 Flying was the, I also wonder if this will have an impact on book sales.

00:08:12.720 Because in my life, the time to read a book is on an airplane and no other time.

00:08:23.880 When I hear about people who read a lot of books, I automatically think they travel a lot.

00:08:30.360 Because if you're not trapped on an airplane, you're probably going to be more on the internet

00:08:35.520 than reading a book.

00:08:37.240 But if you only have, you know, if it's the only thing you have to do, you read a book.

00:08:41.920 So, yeah, I think of people like Charlie Kirk.

00:08:47.820 He was a big reader, but also a big traveler.

00:08:51.220 So it makes me wonder if Starlink on airplanes will make book sales plunge.

00:08:56.860 Might.

00:09:00.100 Joy Behar of The View said recently, it's kind of funny, quote, I think we should have more

00:09:06.900 Republicans on the show, but they don't want to come on.

00:09:10.000 They're scared of us.

00:09:11.920 Are they?

00:09:13.960 Do you think there's even one Republican in the entire planet who would be afraid to go

00:09:19.940 on The View because it's The View?

00:09:22.500 Now, there might be people who don't want to go on TV at all.

00:09:25.760 You know, maybe they're shy or something.

00:09:28.020 But I'll bet there are zero people in the world, zero, who are Republican and not shy,

00:09:34.660 who would say no to going on The View.

00:09:36.780 Do you notice the pattern?

00:09:41.520 The pattern is really clear, that the thing that Democrats are worried about, obsessed about,

00:09:47.540 and blaming Republicans for, what quality do all of those criticisms have?

00:09:55.020 They have one quality about them.

00:09:57.180 No matter what the criticism is about, if it's about Republicans, there's always one quality

00:10:02.540 that exists, and that quality is it's not real.

00:10:06.900 It just isn't real.

00:10:08.540 There's no Republican who's afraid of going on The View.

00:10:12.000 None.

00:10:12.960 Probably none.

00:10:14.080 You could search the whole world.

00:10:15.420 You wouldn't find one.

00:10:16.160 But that's her worldview, that she's surrounded by people who are afraid of her.

00:10:22.580 It must be tough to be a Democrat.

00:10:25.020 Speaking of that, Fetterman continues to be a thorn in the side of the Democrats.

00:10:30.380 He said recently, quote, I love people who voted for Trump.

00:10:34.600 They aren't fascists.

00:10:36.160 They aren't Nazis.

00:10:37.600 They aren't destroying the Constitution.

00:10:39.980 He says, we have to turn down the temperature.

00:10:41.900 Now, here's the thing.

00:10:46.340 Unless all of the senators or high-level Democrats, unless all of them say Trump is a fascist,

00:10:55.340 Nazi, Constitution-tearing-up dictator, it doesn't really work, does it? 0.67

00:11:02.360 You only need one Fetterman to put the lie to the whole thing.

00:11:06.900 You know, as long as there's one reasonable elected Democrat who said no, you know, it's

00:11:15.140 not even, he's not just sort of ignoring the category, which would be one thing.

00:11:20.720 It's not that he doesn't participate in those types of insults.

00:11:27.180 It's that he's saying directly, this is bullshit, you need to stop this for our own benefit.

00:11:34.580 That's pretty powerful.

00:11:38.120 So no matter what you think of Fetterman, just his existence as someone who's willing to stand

00:11:43.780 in the middle of that bullshit and call bullshit on the bullshit, that's really important.

00:11:49.320 I think that's a bigger deal than people imagine.

00:11:53.600 Well, the so-called No Kings protest will be happening this Saturday, and I guess there's

00:12:01.580 a little drama because at the same time, there's some kind of 250-year celebration of the Marines

00:12:10.300 or something that might be happening in Southern California, and that it might include, I kind

00:12:15.980 of doubt this, doesn't seem possible, but some are saying that there would be a live launch

00:12:21.180 of missiles, and a vanity parade, it's being called, and it would shut down portions of

00:12:28.460 the I-5 during the No Kings protest.

00:12:31.500 So I don't have enough information about this, but I don't believe that there will be live

00:12:36.980 missile launches anywhere.

00:12:39.160 That just doesn't seem like that could happen.

00:12:42.100 Oh, it's the Navy?

00:12:42.780 Anyway, I'm being corrected, 250 years of the Navy in the comments, I see.

00:12:50.880 And I don't know exactly how the No Kings protest is going to overlap with that event.

00:12:58.320 I mean, it would only be one part of the country anyway.

00:13:02.360 I guess the events would be everywhere.

00:13:04.500 Anyway, I would hate that the missile launches would interfere with their walking around trying

00:13:11.260 to save the country by walking around.

00:13:14.880 You know, I thought my comments would be more viral than it was when I said that the Democrats

00:13:21.140 have imaginary problems.

00:13:23.540 They just imagine that their democracy is being stolen and all that.

00:13:28.400 But they've matched it with imaginary solutions, which is the No Kings event.

00:13:34.860 If we just wander around and carry signs that other people bought and provided to us,

00:13:41.240 I feel like we could save our democracy.

00:13:45.440 I don't think there's even one person in the protest who believes their own protests.

00:13:50.640 Do you?

00:13:52.220 They're just fighting Trump.

00:13:54.220 Well, speaking of fighting Trump, as you know, Gavin Newsom is doing this thing where he's

00:14:02.880 sort of mocking or pretending to act like Trump in his social media, because it's kind of funny.

00:14:10.260 And it didn't work for a little while.

00:14:12.420 When he first did it, it was different.

00:14:16.820 It was provocative.

00:14:18.140 And it was well executed.

00:14:19.540 So when he was, you know, mocking the way that Trump spoke, you looked at it and you thought,

00:14:24.740 oh, okay, that's actually kind of clever.

00:14:27.020 You know, nicely done.

00:14:29.040 But the one thing I predicted is that they wouldn't be able to expand that success.

00:14:35.560 That, you know, those several fake truth social posts that they did that supposedly sounded like Trump,

00:14:43.720 I knew they could pull that off after they did one or two.

00:14:47.660 So you could see that that was a reproducible thing.

00:14:51.100 But I knew that if they tried to continue to expand that, it would all fall apart,

00:14:56.620 because it would require way more talent than they demonstrate.

00:15:02.760 So here we are.

00:15:04.240 He sort of stretched it too far now.

00:15:06.400 But he's now talking about something called California derangement syndrome,

00:15:11.120 which he's partially blaming on Greg Gottfeld.

00:15:15.780 He posted a clip from The Five where Greg was talking about California in a negative way.

00:15:25.680 So Greg said, CDS, hoping that you knew what that was, is not CDS if the data is real, right?

00:15:34.120 So it's not derangement if you're looking at just data.

00:15:37.780 But Trump derangement is real, as a phenomenon is real, because it's based on not data.

00:15:49.320 So one of them is based on data and one of them is not.

00:15:51.900 So one's real and one's not.

00:15:53.840 Anyway, then Newsom goes in with the post.

00:16:00.980 It goes, sad to see CDS, California derangement syndrome, has infected so many of Fox,

00:16:07.800 hoping some Tylenol can help them recover.

00:16:11.460 Now, do you think the Democrats are on safe territory, mocking Tylenol as a cause of,

00:16:21.020 obviously this is a callback to Tylenol being a potential cause for autism.

00:16:25.100 Don't you think that the data is strong enough that you shouldn't be mocking Tylenol

00:16:33.220 that may or may not have caused autism in, what, hundreds of thousands of children?

00:16:40.560 Isn't that kind of a serious topic?

00:16:43.060 Is that what you want to joke about, Tylenol?

00:16:46.040 You know, the potential, you know, life-altering chemical for children and babies?

00:16:55.540 That feels like just such a mistake.

00:16:58.280 Anyway, Joel Pollack commented on Gavin Newsom's comment, and he said exactly what I was thinking.

00:17:05.940 He said, Newsom copies everything Trump does except the things that work best.

00:17:11.380 That's exactly what they're doing.

00:17:13.080 They've looked at Trump and said, all right, Trump keeps winning.

00:17:18.240 What is it he's doing that's allowing him to win?

00:17:22.980 But the trick is that if you're a Democrat, your brain can't wrap itself around the fact

00:17:28.860 that your policies and your politicians are terrible.

00:17:32.520 So that's off the table.

00:17:35.800 The entire explanation of why Trump is succeeding and Democrats are less so

00:17:42.320 is that he's got a tremendous amount of talent, and they don't.

00:17:49.540 That's it.

00:17:51.320 You can't reproduce that.

00:17:53.420 You would have to find new people with talent.

00:17:56.300 So you can't just copy it.

00:17:59.220 That would be like, you know, Einstein had some good ideas.

00:18:04.060 I've got an idea.

00:18:05.240 I'm going to wear my hair like Einstein.

00:18:11.400 Doesn't that feel like that's what they're doing?

00:18:14.040 Because they can't actually be Einstein.

00:18:17.040 You can't copy Einstein because you're not smart enough.

00:18:21.900 But you can't do nothing.

00:18:23.400 If Einstein's winning and you're not winning, so you're like, all right.

00:18:26.700 All right.

00:18:27.080 We'll copy Einstein.

00:18:28.300 I'm going to talk in a German accent, and I'm going to have wild hair.

00:18:33.700 That should do it.

00:18:35.200 Now, if you think that's a ridiculous analogy, look what Democrats say out loud that they're doing.

00:18:43.340 When they talk about what they're going to do, they say, we're going to fight Trump.

00:18:47.780 Fight Trump?

00:18:48.600 Where is that on my list of priorities?

00:18:53.500 Don't you want to get policies in?

00:18:57.340 Isn't it more like, I want to get something done?

00:19:00.640 Where's your plan?

00:19:02.080 No, we just want to fight Trump.

00:19:03.800 And the way they're going to do it is they think they have to get tougher.

00:19:07.560 Because Trump is tough.

00:19:09.940 So they're like, all right, how do we get tough?

00:19:12.080 Got it.

00:19:13.380 We're going to act like we're trying to appeal to men.

00:19:17.360 Yeah.

00:19:18.120 Yeah, that's what he's doing.

00:19:19.360 He's going to all those fighting events and doing manly things.

00:19:24.440 So we'll have to act like men.

00:19:26.400 And then they've got Tim Walsh trying to act like a man.

00:19:30.640 I've got a gun.

00:19:32.160 I can fix a carburetor.

00:19:34.660 And it all just looks stupid.

00:19:37.440 Because they're copying the wrong thing.

00:19:40.120 Even if they could do it, it'd be the wrong thing.

00:19:42.280 And then they started copying Trump's occasional use of cursing.

00:19:49.840 Because they thought that would make them look tough.

00:19:53.620 So they've literally found every single thing that isn't important.

00:20:00.660 All the somewhat inactive ingredients.

00:20:04.060 And they're just like, ah, if we use the inactive ingredients, we'll get something done.

00:20:08.700 No, the thing you can't copy is he's brilliant.

00:20:14.840 He's just really, really smart at exactly the kind of stuff that you need to be a president.

00:20:21.680 Which some of us saw early.

00:20:23.720 And some of us will just find it out.

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00:20:52.420 We'd love to talk business.

00:20:58.800 Anyway.

00:21:01.520 Apparently, the FBI has been busy all summer.

00:21:04.000 They say they got 8,000 arrests of dangerous criminals.

00:21:08.400 According to Ben Whedon in Just the News.

00:21:12.100 He said he, Trump said we kept it a little quiet and it had a big impact.

00:21:18.060 Did they keep it quiet?

00:21:19.220 I guess they did.

00:21:19.880 But doesn't that seem like an impressive number?

00:21:24.500 8,000 dangerous criminals?

00:21:27.780 If you assume every dangerous criminal, dangerous, probably hurts more than one person going forward.

00:21:35.540 You know, they may have like saved 30,000 people from some kind of horrible death or destruction or theft or something.

00:21:45.180 Well, there's a funny story.

00:21:48.980 Candace Owens, well, it's not funny to her, I guess, was going to do a tour of her podcast.

00:21:55.720 And that would include Australia.

00:21:57.620 But Australia has banned her. 1.00

00:21:59.120 So Candace Owens can't go to Australia because they say she's said things they don't like. 0.98

00:22:08.940 But here's a list of things that allegedly, according to Australia, these are things that Candace Owens has talked about that they don't like.

00:22:20.080 They don't like about her comments on Muslims.

00:22:23.560 Okay.

00:22:24.100 Don't like the Muslim comments.

00:22:26.140 They don't like her comments about black people.

00:22:30.780 Is this even real?

00:22:33.500 Doesn't it feel like this could possibly be real, right?

00:22:36.320 They don't like the black woman's comments about black people. 0.96

00:22:39.960 Don't like her comments about Jewish people.

00:22:41.900 And don't like their comments about LGBTQIA.

00:22:47.360 I do not know what the I and the A stand for. 1.00

00:22:50.480 So we're getting a little long on the letters there.

00:22:54.320 And not only that, but there was a hearing involved.

00:22:58.300 Yeah.

00:22:58.640 A court hearing to see if she'd be allowed in the country.

00:23:01.660 And since she's not being allowed, she's being ordered to pay the hearing's legal costs.

00:23:06.820 Now, here's my question.

00:23:13.600 If Candace Owens is banned for things she said on social media and on her podcast, would I be able to go to Australia if I wanted to?

00:23:24.780 Because I'm pretty canceled.

00:23:27.260 I don't know if you've heard.

00:23:28.140 But if Australia went by what the news says I said, I would be banned from Australia, would I?

00:23:38.960 Am I wrong?

00:23:40.980 Now, if they went by what I actually said and what I meant in the proper context, I wouldn't be banned from anything.

00:23:47.720 And I wouldn't be canceled either.

00:23:49.380 But that's not the way the world works.

00:23:51.360 The world works based on what people imagine is what happened.

00:23:55.560 And what people imagined what happened is that I said some insulting thing to black people, which never happened.

00:24:02.340 In the real world, nothing like that ever happened.

00:24:06.280 So I probably banned from Australia.

00:24:09.020 And I don't even know it.

00:24:10.660 But the good news is I don't want to go to Australia.

00:24:15.600 They've got a lot of killing animals there. 0.99

00:24:17.780 My understanding is as soon as you get off the plane in Australia, a large crocodile attacks you.

00:24:26.220 And then it just gets worse from there.

00:24:28.180 Spider the size of a dog.

00:24:30.420 I don't know.

00:24:30.860 I hear stories.

00:24:31.660 So the Pentagon press corps decided to make the story about themselves, and they walked out, most of them.

00:24:42.700 They walked out because they're protesting the new Pentagon policy on dealing with the press.

00:24:49.660 Now, I've been trying to get interested in that story, but it's kind of hard because it's really just the media dealing with their own stuff.

00:24:58.440 But as I understand it, the only thing that's newly banned is that the reporters are not supposed to be working people for information that those people should not be giving.

00:25:13.080 Am I right that the only thing that changed is that the media is banned from asking people stuff that the military doesn't want to give out?

00:25:23.280 So some people who are smarter than me, who are looking at this, say, nothing changed, you idiots.

00:25:31.920 Go back to work.

00:25:33.060 There's no real difference because, well, 28,000 arrests, somebody's saying.

00:25:42.760 Maybe it's more than 8,000.

00:25:43.940 Anyway, they're treating it like it's the end of an era and that those reporters won't be able to report because they're leaving the Pentagon.

00:25:57.260 It was the most professional relationship, and now it's over.

00:26:02.780 I don't know.

00:26:03.340 I don't know how to judge this one.

00:26:04.780 My guess would be that the press will sort of quietly trickle back because they have to do their job.

00:26:13.820 I don't think they're going to quit.

00:26:16.080 So probably that was just for show.

00:26:19.660 There are big layoffs underway, allegedly, today at NBC News and also some coming later this quarter at CBS News.

00:26:28.100 So there would be 150 staff let go.

00:26:34.320 According to one report, a lot of the staff that are being let go are responsible for the, what would you call it, the diversity stuff.

00:26:46.100 So it would be the people who are making sure that there's DEI.

00:26:49.420 I guess they're all getting fired.

00:26:52.180 Here's what I think.

00:26:53.240 Here's my prediction.

00:26:54.020 If people keep getting fired from the mainstream regular media, where are they going to go to work?

00:27:03.340 Well, I think the more entrepreneurial ones will probably get involved in podcasts.

00:27:10.120 So some of them will start a podcast if they were on-air people, but others will be support for making podcasts a bigger deal.

00:27:20.440 If you look at, say, Megyn Kelly's operation, or you look at, well, Alex Jones before he got sued to death, or you look at PVD, you know, they have studios.

00:27:36.780 Bigger than the Rogan operation.

00:27:39.820 I think he's just one engineer.

00:27:41.360 But I'll bet you you're going to see podcasts turn into more professional-looking TV shows, because all those people with those talents, everything from set production to everything else, will be looking for work.

00:27:57.580 I think they'll just team up with big podcasters.

00:28:00.560 Yeah, Talker.

00:28:01.360 Talker's another one.

00:28:02.620 So I think you'll see more of that.

00:28:03.900 So are we over that young Republicans group that had some bad things to say on their private messages?

00:28:17.960 I kind of like J.D. Vance's approach.

00:28:21.820 He says, I refuse to join the pearl clutching about that topic when powerful people call for political violence.

00:28:28.440 So what he did was contrast it to speech that actually matters, you know, if somebody's talking about violence, versus just people trolling, basically.

00:28:40.460 I wouldn't have compared the two things, I don't think.

00:28:43.400 I think that took a little bit away from it.

00:28:45.940 It would have been stronger just to say, in any large group of people, 10% of them are going to say horrible things.

00:28:56.080 That's the whole story.

00:28:57.100 In every group, every large group, 10% of them are going to be trolls.

00:29:03.940 It wouldn't matter if they're Republican.

00:29:05.900 It wouldn't matter if they're Democrats.

00:29:07.880 Do you think if you had 1,000 Democrats in an organization, and it was specifically a young-oriented organization, so it skewed for younger people,

00:29:19.960 do you think that out of 1,000 Democrats in an organization, you wouldn't find 10% of them who said things that were so bad you think they should close down the whole organization?

00:29:33.500 You don't think there would be 10% who are wishing for the violent death of prominent Republicans?

00:29:41.220 Of course there are, yeah.

00:29:43.980 So anybody who's under the illusion that there was something special or unusually bad about this group of Republicans,

00:29:54.720 what world do you live in?

00:29:57.020 The world I live in, there's 10% of these people in every group.

00:30:00.540 Reliably, every time, if they're young.

00:30:05.120 You know, at some age, maybe that goes away.

00:30:08.380 But if it's young people, and if it's males, young males, of course they're going to be like this.

00:30:16.100 Most of them grow out of it.

00:30:17.260 James Carville was talking about this issue, and he said that some people are, quote,

00:30:26.940 worried about some 20-year-olds not noticed in Kansas who's an insignificant little shit if one ever lived, 0.71

00:30:33.660 and we're not focusing on the main target, which is change events.

00:30:38.280 And then he went on.

00:30:39.320 So Carville says this about the Republicans.

00:30:43.060 He said that not all President Trump supporters are racist,

00:30:46.080 but I will say this, all racists are Trump supporters.

00:30:51.060 Really?

00:30:53.140 Really?

00:30:54.440 James Carville, you actually believe that all racists?

00:30:58.860 All racists.

00:31:01.320 They're all Republican?

00:31:03.400 That might be the dumbest thing he's ever said.

00:31:07.200 There's one thing I think we can all agree on.

00:31:11.260 There are racists in both parties.

00:31:13.180 That's the most obvious, observable thing you could ever see in your life.

00:31:19.220 I got canceled for pointing out that there was a respectable survey that showed that, let's say, Democrats are super racist.

00:31:32.460 Now, you could argue about the validity of that poll, but they did reproduce it with a larger subset and got the same number,

00:31:41.500 and they are one of the most accurate pollsters.

00:31:44.740 So I do think the data shows that we've got some racists in both parties.

00:31:50.800 Meanwhile, speaking of that, the Voting Rights Act is being discussed at the Supreme Court.

00:31:58.200 The ramifications of that are that if the voting rights thing gets, at least one element of it gets overturned,

00:32:07.880 then there would not be these racial set-aside districts for voting.

00:32:13.000 So apparently, I didn't even know this until recently, I didn't even know this was a thing.

00:32:19.040 But apparently, historically, there were some areas that had a lot of black and brown people in them,

00:32:24.320 and they weren't necessarily getting the leaders that would represent them, they thought.

00:32:28.900 So there was some kind of forced redistricting so that they would, you know,

00:32:36.580 there would at least be a few places that were majority black and they could get their leaders that they wanted.

00:32:42.440 Now, that, of course, is called what?

00:32:45.880 Racism.

00:32:47.320 Because if you're organizing your vote based on the race, what's that?

00:32:53.580 It's racism.

00:32:54.260 You might say it's the good kind.

00:32:57.840 You might say it's the good kind.

00:33:00.020 But it's still racism.

00:33:02.260 And I think it was Gorsuch who was pointing out what I point out often,

00:33:06.680 which is a lot of these racial set-asides and racial, let's say, preferences

00:33:14.100 made sense at some point in our history.

00:33:19.860 You could argue that it didn't, but I'll argue that it does.

00:33:22.580 So I've made this point a few times.

00:33:26.540 If your problem is slavery, the solution has to be a big solution, like a civil war. 0.67

00:33:34.880 Gigantic problem.

00:33:37.340 Gigantic scaled solution.

00:33:40.460 But then you've got the, you know, just the ordinary discrimination that kicks in in normal life.

00:33:47.380 So then you've got your Jim Crow stuff. 0.52

00:33:49.400 So you pass some laws to make sure that there's not just grotesque discrimination against all black people and anybody else.

00:34:01.600 Now, that makes sense to have a whole law that, you know, really will punish you for discriminating if we're still super racist, right?

00:34:12.740 We basically, you know, just got over slavery practically.

00:34:17.920 And things haven't changed that much.

00:34:19.920 So then you still need a big solution using the legal system, but not as big as the civil war.

00:34:27.700 Because you're matching the solution to the size of the problem.

00:34:31.380 Still very big.

00:34:32.380 And then Gorsuch asks, and I've said the same thing, isn't there some point where you have to stop it?

00:34:44.540 Because once you get closer, but not identical, you just have to be in the same neighborhood of same opportunity.

00:34:53.500 Not equal, that's largely impossible.

00:34:57.400 But if you get in the neighborhood, the laws that give you preference are going to hurt you more than they're going to help you.

00:35:04.700 That's what DEI is.

00:35:06.660 The reason that DEI is a double-edged sword is if you're, let's just use black as the example. 1.00

00:35:15.520 If you're black and you get the advantage of DEI, you know, a little extra leg up, so that's good. 1.00

00:35:23.160 So you would look at that and say, yay, DEI worked for me.

00:35:28.000 I made sure that I got, you know, a little extra attention, first in line, got the job.

00:35:34.100 But what happens to the other people who are observing?

00:35:38.200 And they say, you know, discrimination isn't what it used to be.

00:35:43.440 I never even run into it, really.

00:35:45.520 It's not something I encounter at all.

00:35:48.100 And they would say, doesn't that make the people in these DEI positions a little suspect that maybe they didn't get there by merit?

00:35:57.500 Some did, but how can I tell?

00:36:00.680 Because I can tell that the white people probably had to get there by merit. 0.88

00:36:05.240 But can you tell that about everybody?

00:36:07.040 So regardless of what the reality is, it creates an impression that one group is crippled and disabled and can't make it on their own.

00:36:17.860 At some point, you can't get to anything that looks like equality unless you drop the special preferences.

00:36:26.580 But it only makes sense when things get close enough that everybody can figure out a way to get where they need to go.

00:36:34.040 So even if there's, you know, some discrimination against one group or another, as long as you have a path, you know, there's something you can do, you can move, you can, you know, somehow you can navigate around it.

00:36:46.600 But then it's time to drop it.

00:36:49.180 And so the Supreme Court's talking about these special set-aside districts and whether it's time to drop them.

00:36:56.180 It looks like the smart people, like Jonathan Turley, are saying that the way the arguments are going so far is that it looks like maybe the majority will want to at least tweak the situation, if not get rid of it entirely.

00:37:13.440 So we don't know how that's going to settle.

00:37:16.660 But the big news is that if it does go that way, it almost guarantees that the Republicans will still have the House and they'll probably keep the Senate.

00:37:28.480 So this is a gigantic deal.

00:37:32.000 Maybe the Republicans would have won without this, you know, potential tweak.

00:37:37.120 But it certainly makes it like a slam dunk if they get all those extra districts redistricted.

00:37:49.040 So anyway, that might happen.

00:37:51.960 And CNN has been quite, let's say, stark about that, saying that Republicans have this enormous advantage.

00:38:01.060 Apparently there are more things that Republicans can redistrict, not even counting this, and this would be a bunch of seats.

00:38:10.040 But the Republicans have room to redistrict to get more seats, and the Democrats do not, because they've already used up all of those possibilities.

00:38:19.640 So I don't know what's going to happen, because usually the party and the power wins the midterm, but this time it looks like the rules changes, especially if the Supreme Court goes the way we think it might, the rules changes will determine who's in charge of the country, at least the Congress.

00:38:39.800 So I made the mistake of saying something on social media, on X.

00:38:47.320 I said I was, I'm paraphrasing, but I'm uncomfortable living in a system where we pick our government based on rule changes.

00:38:57.780 There shouldn't be rule changes.

00:39:00.320 There should be votes.

00:39:02.160 We should learn, you know, who's got what policies and then vote.

00:39:06.560 But when was the last time we had an election that was based on voters?

00:39:12.300 It feels like it's all based on, well, we've got a pandemic, so we'll, you know, we'll do it this way.

00:39:18.940 Or, well, we're not going to do a regular primary if you're a Democrat because Joe Biden, blah, blah, blah.

00:39:26.680 So it's always, it's all this little rule change stuff that's determining who's in charge instead of anything that looks like a, you know, Democratic Republic situation.

00:39:40.220 Anyway, so some people said, but Scott, are you arguing that they should not change those districts and things?

00:39:47.540 No, no, of course, if the current law is racist, which is the claim, of course I want that to change so it's not racist anymore.

00:40:00.920 Of course I do.

00:40:02.280 So it's just that how can you be comfortable, you know, supporting the Constitution, supporting America?

00:40:09.080 At the same time, you're completely comfortable that the government is picked by rule changers, you know, the courts.

00:40:20.140 That's just not a comfortable situation, even though I like it.

00:40:25.300 If I had to choose, I would want the Supreme Court to throw out those special districts. 0.88

00:40:33.640 But you get the point, right?

00:40:35.560 You know, it's not a perfect world.

00:40:36.820 So anyway, we'll see what happens there.

00:40:42.780 You heard about the decision by the judge in the Big Balls case, you know, the Doge guy, Big Balls.

00:40:51.820 He got beaten up by a gang of mostly young people in the streets of D.C.

00:40:58.780 And those people got caught, and apparently they got a very light sentence, simple probation.

00:41:07.700 So they beat the hell out of this guy, and they got probation.

00:41:11.260 And the judge, a black woman, which is important to the story, she said her job is to rehabilitate, not punish. 0.93

00:41:19.540 And Elon Musk weighed in on this, and he said, this was a racist verdict by a racist judge.

00:41:28.860 Do you think that's true?

00:41:30.540 Now, his test is if you reverse the races, and it had been a group of white people who beat up a black citizen on the streets,

00:41:39.660 that the white people would get a stronger, you know, more of a sentence.

00:41:47.020 Do you believe that's true?

00:41:49.440 I don't think that's proven.

00:41:52.180 Yeah, we believe it's true, right?

00:41:54.220 We believe it's true.

00:41:55.500 But check yourself.

00:41:57.760 You know, check yourself.

00:41:58.560 I would need to know that this judge has a track record of treating black and white people differently.

00:42:07.960 If so, then I completely agree with Musk.

00:42:11.920 But if there's no track record of that, maybe she's just an easy judge.

00:42:17.720 Can't rule it out.

00:42:19.380 But certainly we, our antennas go up and go, hmm, hmm, it doesn't look right.

00:42:28.560 All right.

00:42:32.360 Anyway, so I guess during the court case, Katanji, what's her name?

00:42:42.080 Katanji Jackson was using an analogy to make a point.

00:42:47.860 And she apparently analogized people with disabilities to black citizens who are not being represented.

00:42:57.720 Now, what do I tell you about analogies as an argument?

00:43:04.300 Sometimes an analogy is a good way to make a point to explain something that needs to be explained.

00:43:11.520 But it's never an argument.

00:43:12.960 And here she is a Supreme Court justice, and she tries to use an analogy.

00:43:20.340 And I think the analogy, as has been pointed out by others, proved the other point instead of the one she wanted.

00:43:28.240 So the analogy was to disabilities, and somebody said, a disability is permanent, but, you know, but, no, what was it?

00:43:44.220 Disability is permanent. 0.77

00:43:45.460 Anyway, it was a terrible analogy.

00:43:46.800 And once again, people are saying, how did she become a Supreme Court person with that kind of thinking?

00:43:57.500 But that's for other people to work out.

00:44:01.200 Let's see, what else is going on?

00:44:02.620 Apparently, Trump has now authorized the CIA to do some dirty work in Venezuela as part of that, trying to stop the drug traffic and maybe trying to overthrow Maduro.

00:44:18.080 Here's where I thought.

00:44:20.060 Did you know that the CIA wasn't already working in Venezuela?

00:44:27.220 So what exactly got approved?

00:44:29.200 Did they approve doing dirtier stuff?

00:44:34.460 I don't know.

00:44:34.980 It could get kind of wet.

00:44:39.720 And then Trump says that, you know, we took out another one of those drug boats.

00:44:44.760 I think there have been five of them now that we blew up with missiles.

00:44:49.800 And somebody asked why he's doing that.

00:44:54.820 And Trump said that every Venezuelan drug boat that we knock out, we save 25,000 American lives.

00:45:03.100 Now, I saw that reported on the news.

00:45:06.580 I saw it reported on social media.

00:45:09.180 And I'm waiting for people to laugh at that.

00:45:12.140 You're not saving 25,000 lives every time you blow up a boat.

00:45:17.620 That's insane.

00:45:19.600 Where would you even get that number?

00:45:21.160 I think 100,000, maybe 80,000 people die of overdoses every year.

00:45:28.980 And it's not all fentanyl, but overdoses.

00:45:32.520 We've already blown up five boats.

00:45:34.420 That would be 125,000 people we saved already, and of 80,000.

00:45:39.260 It's just a ridiculous number.

00:45:40.900 Now, what I do think might be true is that each boat might have enough drugs to overdose 25,000 people.

00:45:51.380 But they're not all overdosing.

00:45:54.460 So the fact that Trump even puts that number out there, when you don't have to be an expert at anything to know that that's not even close to reality.

00:46:03.740 But it still works.

00:46:07.400 How many times have I told you that as long as he's directionally correct?

00:46:12.400 I don't really care.

00:46:13.700 I don't really care about the details.

00:46:16.120 Is he directionally correct that these drug boats are coming over and killing Americans at numbers that we think are shockingly high?

00:46:25.080 Yes.

00:46:26.260 Yes.

00:46:27.440 The boats are full of death that will bring shockingly high, bad results to the United States.

00:46:34.740 So if he wants to sell that as 25,000 people saved per boat, okay.

00:46:41.660 I don't have any problem with that at all.

00:46:44.200 There are reports that the IRS is going to be modified a little bit to make it easier for the Trump administration to go after the left-leaning major funders of bad behavior.

00:47:01.540 Bad behavior being, you know, Americans who are, what would they be doing? 1.00

00:47:08.980 Doing illegal kinds of protests and stuff.

00:47:12.460 So I guess this is a way to get to the Soros type of people who are putting money into the system in ways that we don't exactly know and don't like.

00:47:24.140 So that's happening.

00:47:26.300 I don't know how much of that reporting is true.

00:47:29.460 But maybe.

00:47:30.360 I think it only involves maybe personnel changes to get somebody who's willing to do that work.

00:47:37.680 I asked, I think yesterday, how would Alex Jones ever support himself now that he's been sued for $1.4 billion and lost?

00:47:49.720 And somebody said that one of the workarounds is you could just keep going to work, except that you would put the business, put a new business, because the old one got attached.

00:48:03.340 You create a new business in his wife's name only.

00:48:06.100 So that he could just be an employee for $1 a year, so he wouldn't have any income to pay to anybody as part of the judgment.

00:48:15.660 But that he would have all the same, you know, lifestyle, because he would live in his wife's house and work for his wife's company.

00:48:23.580 And, you know, maybe they would pay for his expenses and stuff.

00:48:27.320 Now, I don't know how well that works, but let me tell you what would be wrong with this plan.

00:48:35.160 First of all, it would make it impossible for him to ever get a divorce.

00:48:40.560 So it would take the power, which might have been, you know, maybe he had more in his marriage.

00:48:48.280 Maybe it was equal.

00:48:49.280 But as soon as you put all the assets in the wife's name, and she knows that if he misbehaved, and if she asked for a divorce, anything that he wanted in the divorce, he'd have to give away.

00:49:06.580 So he basically, he would just become his wife's bitch forever. 1.00

00:49:10.800 So I'm not sure that works.

00:49:13.100 But I also am curious, how do you navigate that situation?

00:49:17.360 How do you navigate owing $1.4 billion and having the court be able to attach any income you got for the rest of your life?

00:49:27.800 What do you do?

00:49:29.160 I'm genuinely concerned about him and curious about how to navigate that.

00:49:34.820 Is the technology such that it's going to go up?

00:49:37.060 Is it going to come down?

00:49:38.380 Do you think it's going to be just sort of an extrapolation of where it is right now?

00:49:41.920 Well, I think there's a lot of smart people wrestling with that right now.

00:49:45.040 Today, I'm speaking with Michelle Herodice.

00:49:47.540 She's the Executive Vice President of Enbridge, Inc. and President of Enbridge Gas.

00:49:52.840 She's a leader helping us reshape how millions of us experience energy at home.

00:49:58.800 Join me, Chris Hadfield, on the On Energy podcast.

00:50:02.400 Listen wherever you get your podcasts.

00:50:04.100 Well, the UN, there's a component at the UN called the International Maritime Organization.

00:50:12.440 They've proposed taxing all global shipments, seafaring shipments.

00:50:20.260 And they would use that money for creating green shipping fuels. 0.64

00:50:24.480 So basically, it's a climate change sort of situation.

00:50:27.300 Now, what do you think the Trump administration said when the UN proposed taxing Americans?

00:50:35.380 No.

00:50:36.860 How about no freaking way?

00:50:40.380 We're not going to give a taxing authority to some international global organization that never had it before.

00:50:47.560 Not a chance.

00:50:50.580 There isn't even the slightest chance.

00:50:52.960 We would attack the UN, like actually militarily, before we would pay their fucking taxes.

00:51:03.400 No, that's not going to happen.

00:51:05.180 But didn't we have a revolution in the United States because a foreign entity tried to tax us?

00:51:14.640 And we said, no taxation without representation.

00:51:18.160 And they said, well, we're going to do it anyway.

00:51:20.180 And then we said, you better get some guns because we have guns and we're not going to pay that fucking tax. 0.99

00:51:27.500 Revolution time. 0.53

00:51:28.960 And then the UN tries it.

00:51:31.140 We would literally attack the UN before we would pay those taxes.

00:51:37.280 I don't know, literally, but anyway, there's a report that India is actually moving to reduce their consumption of Russian oil.

00:51:48.340 Now, that's a gigantic deal because India and China are the main purchases of Russian oil.

00:51:55.660 And if they can't sell their oil because there's a lot of sanctions, there aren't too many people who buy it.

00:52:00.740 If they can't sell it to India, their economy will suffer and they may not be able to press their war forward as much as possible.

00:52:11.020 But there is a really big problem that I've heard about a few times that I think is real.

00:52:16.900 That might suggest that Moscow or Russia is closer to a really bad situation than is obvious.

00:52:28.860 So there have been something like 58 attacks by Ukraine on Russian energy stuff just in the last month or so.

00:52:39.000 Whereas the months before that, it was just like a few.

00:52:41.880 So Ukraine has massively increased the number of attacks on the energy infrastructure.

00:52:49.920 Now, if on top of that, because that wasn't enough to stop the war, if on top of that, India starts buying less Russian oil,

00:52:59.040 and maybe, although I don't think this will happen, maybe part of the China tariff negotiations might be to see if they would agree to buy less Russian oil.

00:53:09.640 Well, I don't think that's going to happen because I think they want that Russian oil.

00:53:14.680 But India is more of an ally.

00:53:17.160 So India looks like they're actually moving toward alternative sources, and that would be a gigantic deal.

00:53:22.000 But here's the part that some of you haven't heard of.

00:53:26.980 The pipelines have to be active or they self-destruct.

00:53:33.600 Have you ever heard of that?

00:53:34.780 So the oil pipelines, of which there would be numerous ones in Russia, and they would be critical to moving the oil to where it needs to be,

00:53:43.280 if they don't have anybody buying the oil, like in real time, at the end of the pipeline,

00:53:49.620 and the pipeline goes quiet, meaning that the oil stays in there, but it's not moving fast enough to keep it from freezing,

00:53:58.980 I didn't even know oil can freeze.

00:54:01.860 Did you know oil can freeze?

00:54:03.960 But apparently the pipelines can freeze if they don't have anybody taking it out on the other end,

00:54:08.980 and the entire pipeline would have to be replaced.

00:54:12.780 The entire pipeline.

00:54:15.240 Now, and it looks like Ukraine is getting close to that crossover point,

00:54:22.680 where as soon as the oil stops, what are they going to do?

00:54:26.820 Just open the spigot and spill the oil into the ocean?

00:54:31.440 Maybe they would.

00:54:32.460 I don't know.

00:54:33.740 But so there's some possibility that the combination of bombing the energy stuff,

00:54:41.940 getting India to buy less of it,

00:54:43.720 and then just the temperature, because winter's coming,

00:54:49.020 it might destroy the entire Russian energy situation.

00:54:53.860 Now, obviously, Ukraine has the same problem,

00:54:57.280 because they're also being attacked in their energy infrastructure.

00:55:01.260 But that whole pipeline thing is really a wild card I didn't know about.

00:55:05.360 That might make a big difference.

00:55:06.580 Well, I also think that if the war in Ukraine goes the way it looks like,

00:55:17.520 you know, it's a robot energy war,

00:55:19.560 I think Trump's the only one who could get India to buy less oil.

00:55:24.980 Would you agree?

00:55:27.180 I don't believe that anybody else would have the clout

00:55:31.360 or the personal relationship with Modi

00:55:34.100 or the reputation or the, you know, recent successes, et cetera,

00:55:40.180 that he would have enough clout to go to India and say,

00:55:43.660 I know it's going to cost you a lot more,

00:55:46.000 but stop buying this Russian oil

00:55:47.560 and actually get India to do it?

00:55:51.820 Would you agree that might be a,

00:55:54.320 nobody else could do that situation again?

00:55:56.920 We don't know if he's going to pull it off,

00:55:59.140 but I don't think anybody else could pull it off.

00:56:01.480 So that might be another win coming.

00:56:06.560 The European Union is going to build what they call a drone wall against Russia.

00:56:12.780 So the drone wall would be technology, not an actual wall,

00:56:16.360 but it would be a whole bunch of electronic and other means

00:56:19.780 to shoot down incoming drones to protect Europe.

00:56:22.640 Yeah, so even a wall is now a good idea.

00:56:28.180 So they can say wall.

00:56:31.000 That's another big change in the Trump world.

00:56:34.960 They can say wall.

00:56:36.580 All right, ladies and gentlemen, it's kind of a slow news day,

00:56:38.980 so I'm going to wrap it up there,

00:56:41.640 but I'm going to give you one more reframe from my book,

00:56:46.040 Reframe Your Brain.

00:56:46.840 I will somewhat randomly pick one because they're all just golden.

00:56:52.880 They're all just golden.

00:56:55.320 All right.

00:56:56.940 Oh, here's one of my favorites.

00:56:58.560 You may have heard this before, but this is the hypnotist reframe.

00:57:02.200 If you're not a hypnotist,

00:57:04.100 you probably go through life thinking that people are rational,

00:57:08.320 and 90% of the time.

00:57:10.400 90% of the time they're just rational,

00:57:12.460 but 10% of the time they get crazy.

00:57:14.460 You know, everybody, you know, me, you, everybody.

00:57:19.000 But the hypnotist reframe is that people are only rational 10% of the time,

00:57:24.720 if that.

00:57:26.100 Once you realize that people are irrational pretty much all the time

00:57:31.420 and that they rationalize what they did,

00:57:35.580 they don't think it through.

00:57:38.000 They explain it later,

00:57:39.700 and sometimes that sounds dumb to other people.

00:57:41.980 This is like one of those reframes that doesn't seem like a big deal.

00:57:47.960 But let me tell you,

00:57:48.840 once you realize that nobody's ever,

00:57:53.500 well, 90% of the time,

00:57:54.720 once you realize that they're irrational 90% of the time,

00:57:58.080 then that tells you how to deal with situations.

00:58:01.000 If you thought people were rational 90% of the time,

00:58:04.540 you would try to change their minds with reason and data.

00:58:07.520 Have you ever tried that?

00:58:10.560 It doesn't work at all, does it?

00:58:12.680 Your reason and your data,

00:58:14.280 it's because you're assuming that you're talking to a rational player.

00:58:18.940 You're not.

00:58:20.040 Almost never.

00:58:21.680 So instead, you use persuasion.

00:58:25.220 You make them feel a certain way.

00:58:27.560 And if you can make them feel a certain way,

00:58:29.880 then they will rationalize decisions that make them feel better.

00:58:33.440 So remember, 90% irrational.

00:58:37.820 And then you'll understand life.

00:58:41.720 All right, ladies and gentlemen,

00:58:43.280 I'm going to say a few words privately to my beloved subscribers on Locals.

00:58:49.100 And the rest of you, thanks for joining.

00:58:51.360 A little slow news today.

00:58:52.640 It'll be better tomorrow.

00:58:54.480 And Locals coming at you privately in 30 seconds 1.00

00:58:59.360 for an extra sip of coffee.

00:59:03.440 Thank you.

00:59:33.440 Thank you.

01:00:03.440 Thank you.

01:00:33.440 Thank you.

01:01:03.440 Thank you.

01:01:04.060 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 16, 2025

Episode 2990 CWSA 10⧸16⧸25

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