Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2995 CWSA 10⧸21⧸25

00:00:00.000 How are you all doing? Everybody good? Get in here. We've got a podcast to do for your

00:00:10.360 entertainment. As soon as I'm ready. Hey, there it is. What is today? 21st?

00:00:30.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called

00:00:44.060 Coffee with Scott Adams. You've never had a better time, but if you'd like to take a

00:00:48.980 chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with

00:00:54.140 their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need is a cup of mug or a glass of tankard shells

00:00:59.260 or steinacanthine jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:04.540 I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing

00:01:09.740 that makes everything better, including your oxytocin. And it happens now. Go.

00:01:15.940 Thank you, Paul. Paul doesn't like me to thank him too often, but I like to do it.

00:01:29.380 All right. How would you like to see a reframe to start your day from my incredibly successful book,

00:01:36.100 reframe your brain? So this is our new system. Every morning you get a new one. It will change your life.

00:01:46.860 And remember, not every reframe works for every person, so you're looking for your magical one.

00:01:51.820 Let's see. How about this? Oh, you already know systems rather than goals, so I can skip that one.

00:02:05.440 And you already know about talent stacks, so I'm going to skip that one for now. I might double back to that one.

00:02:11.860 All right. Here's another one. How often do you find yourself with a problem that just sort of popped up

00:02:21.220 and you're like, oh, God, another problem. I don't need a problem. So here's a reframe for when you get

00:02:30.540 that bad mood because you got a new problem. Instead of saying another problem, why me? Say, ooh, new puzzle to solve.

00:02:41.860 Watch what happens when you redefine your problem as a puzzle to see if you can solve it.

00:02:50.400 The thing with the reframes is when you first hear them, they don't really sound that powerful,

00:02:55.300 do they? If you just hear them the first time. But watch what happens. So this will be my challenge to you.

00:03:03.760 Next time you have a problem, just a life problem, just say, ooh, a puzzle. I got a puzzle.

00:03:11.860 To solve. And then see if you can solve it. It will change everything. This one's very powerful.

00:03:18.340 I use this one a lot. And it definitely, definitely helps.

00:03:26.180 Well, according, all right, here's some fake news. I guess TMZ is inaccurately reporting

00:03:32.020 that Trump was considering commuting Denny's prison sentence. I think probably a lot depends on the word

00:03:40.560 considering. Because people used to ask me if I was considering things that I was definitely not

00:03:47.740 going to ever do, such as, well, I won't even say it. But I always say, well, yeah, I considered it.

00:03:56.160 I considered it. And then I ruled it out. So would it be true that Trump may have considered it?

00:04:03.360 Maybe. Probably. Well, almost definitely. He almost definitely considered it.

00:04:10.240 But it doesn't look like he's likely to do it, which is a big difference.

00:04:17.200 Did you know that the X platform now has a chat function that's sort of a super-powered DM?

00:04:26.080 I still don't know all the differences between the DMing and the chatting on X,

00:04:30.160 because the chatting is new. But apparently the chatting has what DM doesn't have,

00:04:34.480 which is strong encryption. And Elon Musk says that even he could not read your messages,

00:04:42.960 even if he wanted to. Do you ever believe that? If the person who owns the platform says,

00:04:51.820 even I can't read the message, do you believe that? Do you believe that the CIA couldn't force him

00:04:58.660 to open a back door? Could they? You know, he's a unique character. He's not like anyone else.

00:05:09.060 So maybe he would risk pissing off the CIA if they said, no, you really, really have to open this up.

00:05:18.260 We will make your life a living hell. You will lose all your government contracts.

00:05:23.540 We'll come after you in ways you didn't know anybody could come after anybody.

00:05:26.860 You're going to have to give us a back door. Would he have the stones and the character to say no to that?

00:05:35.680 If he could bring down the entire empire and all the good that he would be able to do?

00:05:39.860 If it canceled him from being able to ever colonize Mars, would he open up a back door to the chat?

00:05:50.020 He suggests that he wouldn't. But we live in a world where people are humans.

00:05:56.240 They're not robots. If you put enough pressure on a human, you can get him to do anything.

00:06:04.000 There's no real limit to what you can get a person to do if you have enough pressure,

00:06:08.340 especially if they have, well, I don't want to say it, but there are lots of points of pressure,

00:06:13.100 obviously, for somebody like him. Anyway, they got chat.

00:06:18.460 So one of the pioneers, the most famous architects of the AI world we're in is this guy, Andre Carpathy.

00:06:30.640 So he was one of the original open AI guys, and he's worked for Tesla,

00:06:35.840 and he's went back to open AI at one point.

00:06:38.780 And he's the one who came up with the term vibe coding, which you hear a lot in AI.

00:06:44.640 So I bring this guy up because of people who understand the current and future direction of AI.

00:06:54.380 He would be right at the top. Can we agree on that?

00:06:58.920 Given his background and his experience,

00:07:01.720 that if you were going to try to guess what AI will turn into or, you know, figure out where it's going,

00:07:08.880 you would want to talk to him.

00:07:11.060 And the reason I bring him up is his opinion is the same as mine,

00:07:15.140 and I don't have any qualifications at all.

00:07:18.660 So how long have I been telling you this?

00:07:24.120 He said that today's agents, which is, you know,

00:07:27.540 if you wanted your AI to act like a little person who does things that you wanted to do,

00:07:32.220 that would be like an agent.

00:07:33.760 He said the agents aren't ready to work like real workers or interns,

00:07:37.580 and they might not work for five to ten years.

00:07:44.280 Now, which of the other AI experts are telling you

00:07:47.740 that AI basically won't work for five to ten years?

00:07:53.800 Just me.

00:07:54.520 I think I'm the only other person who said,

00:07:58.140 I don't know what you're looking at,

00:08:00.260 but if they don't know how to make you stop hallucinating,

00:08:03.060 you don't have a product, right?

00:08:05.860 Have I not been telling you that for two years?

00:08:08.220 If you can't make you stop hallucinating,

00:08:10.600 and they don't know how to make you stop hallucinating.

00:08:14.780 They don't.

00:08:15.760 They don't know how to be a little agent that doesn't turn against you.

00:08:19.880 The most basic things that you thought AI would do,

00:08:22.760 five to ten years away.

00:08:25.720 Do you know what's another way to understand five to ten years away?

00:08:29.700 They have no idea how to do it.

00:08:33.000 None.

00:08:35.060 If it were a year away, you would already see it.

00:08:38.160 They would just say, well, it's not commercialized,

00:08:40.440 but look what we can do.

00:08:42.080 In a year, we'll make this commercial.

00:08:44.900 Nowhere near it.

00:08:45.820 So, you know, the exception might be the self-driving cars

00:08:53.460 because they need to be trained in mostly a video way.

00:08:58.160 So it's a completely different path for the self-driving cars.

00:09:01.820 But Axios is reporting that the Uber drivers are now getting trained optionally,

00:09:09.980 they don't have to do it, to train their robot replacements.

00:09:15.200 So obviously, at some point, the Ubers will be self-driving like their competition.

00:09:21.780 And Uber is having their real-life drivers train voluntarily

00:09:27.080 so that the AI can watch what they're doing

00:09:30.400 and respond the way they respond to people and stuff like that.

00:09:34.320 So that's coming.

00:09:36.660 Imagine being in that job where you are already not happy

00:09:40.800 that your best job could be an Uber driver,

00:09:43.420 which is a solid job, right?

00:09:46.200 I don't want to say anything bad about real work.

00:09:49.360 Real work is all honorable.

00:09:50.780 And I have a lot of respect for the people who do that kind of work in particular.

00:09:56.160 But they're being put in a humiliating situation

00:09:59.640 where they're essentially being told that they're being replaced

00:10:04.940 and they can be replaced.

00:10:07.960 That's not exactly a comfortable place to be.

00:10:11.360 If you didn't love your job in the first place,

00:10:14.180 you know, it's not going to make you rich.

00:10:15.460 And you're going to be replaced by a robot.

00:10:20.060 And you have to train the robot to replace you.

00:10:24.740 Not so good.

00:10:26.320 Not so good.

00:10:28.300 But the good news is, for Uber drivers,

00:10:30.640 the average price of gas is now at a four-year low.

00:10:34.620 So a lot of places, it's below $3 a gallon.

00:10:37.420 If you're an Uber driver,

00:10:39.940 I'll bet you care a lot more about the price of gas today

00:10:43.960 than you care about the robot replacing you

00:10:47.540 in two years, maybe two years.

00:10:52.120 So at least you'll be happy about the price of gas.

00:10:57.740 Did you know that despite the fact that

00:11:00.180 a huge portion of our GDP in the United States

00:11:03.520 is because of AI already,

00:11:05.820 AI was such a big thing so fast

00:11:07.860 that it's just like a big chunk of our GDP.

00:11:11.280 But did you know that despite the boom in AI,

00:11:17.180 that the country is slowly losing tech jobs in general?

00:11:22.580 They're not losing them in AI,

00:11:24.940 but the tech jobs in general have gone down a little bit.

00:11:30.040 So I'm not sure if this is the beginning of a gigantic trend,

00:11:33.240 but I don't think many jobs have been lost because of AI.

00:11:38.700 How many people said two years ago,

00:11:42.140 oh, in two years, there'll be massive layoffs in tech?

00:11:45.860 Not me.

00:11:48.680 By the way, did I sell my hypothesis?

00:11:54.040 My hypothesis is that one of the most well-informed AI people

00:12:00.400 says AI doesn't work and it won't work for five to 10 years.

00:12:03.900 And I believe I'm the only other person

00:12:06.000 who has ever said that, at least publicly.

00:12:10.200 And I did that with no experience whatsoever.

00:12:14.280 I think I'm right.

00:12:16.120 Pretty sure I'm right, actually.

00:12:17.520 Anyway, I saw an article.

00:12:24.220 Oh, damn it.

00:12:25.120 Did I not write down where this was?

00:12:27.920 I want to give credit to whoever wrote this.

00:12:30.100 The source is Wall Street Journal and CNBC,

00:12:32.400 but I saw it on Mario Knopfel's post.

00:12:36.340 So there's some thinking that open AI

00:12:39.220 has engineered itself to be too big to fail.

00:12:42.980 Too big to fail.

00:12:44.100 And I didn't know what that quite meant

00:12:46.440 until I read a little bit into it.

00:12:49.620 And sure enough, so apparently open AI,

00:12:53.140 since it sort of immediately became worth

00:12:56.500 billions and billions of dollars,

00:12:58.460 had all kinds of assets which they could use

00:13:00.860 to buy other companies or to buy into

00:13:03.240 or to get equity in other companies.

00:13:05.400 So what they wisely did is they took big positions

00:13:08.600 at other AI companies

00:13:10.240 so that they would own a little bit of NVIDIA

00:13:13.140 and they don't Oracle,

00:13:16.800 they don't a little AMD, Broadcom, Microsoft.

00:13:20.020 So they would basically get really, really wet

00:13:22.560 with all these other big AI companies.

00:13:25.420 And so wet and so big

00:13:28.280 that these other companies would be tanked

00:13:31.980 if open AI went down.

00:13:35.500 Which means that you would automatically have

00:13:38.440 all the resources of these other companies,

00:13:40.960 which are in the trillions.

00:13:43.900 They would be arguing to keep you in business

00:13:46.260 even if you weren't making money.

00:13:48.740 So they would basically buy their big investments,

00:13:52.080 buy all these teammates

00:13:53.640 who, if they started to fail,

00:13:56.240 because open AI is only going to generate,

00:13:58.920 according to this theory,

00:14:02.780 open AI will only generate 13 billion

00:14:04.960 in revenue this year.

00:14:06.300 That sounds like a lot, right?

00:14:07.580 13 billion.

00:14:09.260 Except they're dealing with trillions.

00:14:13.080 To be open AI

00:14:14.660 and to be chat GPT

00:14:16.900 is going to require spending trillions

00:14:21.760 for the data centers.

00:14:24.560 So if you tell me

00:14:25.620 you're making $13 billion a year,

00:14:28.400 even if you tell me,

00:14:29.600 yeah, but that's going to go way up.

00:14:31.600 And that's just the beginning.

00:14:32.620 It takes a while to get to trillions.

00:14:36.000 So some people are thinking

00:14:39.560 that the math doesn't work and can't work,

00:14:42.900 meaning that open AI could never really make money.

00:14:46.320 It's just the cost to create it

00:14:49.300 will be so immensely larger

00:14:51.180 than the revenue potential could ever be.

00:14:55.120 That is, the only way they can survive

00:14:57.300 is by being too big to fail,

00:15:00.180 connecting themselves to all these other companies

00:15:02.400 that we also don't want to fail,

00:15:04.620 because the whole country would go down if they did.

00:15:07.260 So they'll just make it impossible

00:15:09.020 for them to go into business,

00:15:10.520 which is a really smart strategy.

00:15:13.880 And I would expect no less

00:15:15.580 from a company that is really

00:15:17.900 literally being run by geniuses

00:15:20.160 and they're literally developing

00:15:22.320 a new form of intelligence.

00:15:24.680 So if open AI couldn't figure out

00:15:28.140 a way to stay in business

00:15:29.240 with all of that going on,

00:15:31.520 I'd be disappointed.

00:15:32.720 But apparently they can.

00:15:34.440 I don't know that any of this is bad, by the way.

00:15:37.520 So if you're reading between the lines,

00:15:40.220 it looks like just smart business.

00:15:44.020 And I also think

00:15:45.480 that the strategic imperative

00:15:47.920 of getting to AI before China

00:15:50.660 and everybody else

00:15:51.520 is probably more important

00:15:52.880 than even a few trillion dollars in GDP.

00:15:55.900 So I feel like we're in good shape.

00:15:59.280 It's just an interesting observation

00:16:01.060 that they might actually have designed themselves

00:16:03.920 intentionally to be too big to fail

00:16:06.720 and it would be brilliant.

00:16:07.820 That would be the smartest thing

00:16:09.000 they could have done.

00:16:11.200 But it's not innovation.

00:16:12.880 It would be financial engineering

00:16:15.680 as opposed to innovation.

00:16:17.180 Speaking of ChatGPT,

00:16:20.960 they're going to work shopping into it.

00:16:23.900 So if you're talking to your AI

00:16:25.400 and you're asking it,

00:16:27.800 what's good, whatever I should buy,

00:16:30.420 you can just tell it to buy it.

00:16:32.600 Now, it's not ready yet.

00:16:34.180 So that connection is not hot.

00:16:36.820 But very soon,

00:16:38.060 they've decided they're going to do it.

00:16:39.480 So I guess they'll have access

00:16:41.400 to the shop app or something.

00:16:46.080 So you'll be able to buy a lot of stuff

00:16:47.720 from OpenAI.

00:16:49.360 Now, interestingly,

00:16:51.040 one of the applications I mentioned

00:16:54.240 is the AI could look on your calendar

00:16:57.480 and find out what it is

00:16:59.960 you're in the mood to buy.

00:17:01.800 So for example,

00:17:02.640 if you put it on your calendar,

00:17:05.320 you meet up with your friend

00:17:07.600 who knows about cars

00:17:08.660 to buy a car on Saturday,

00:17:10.920 if that was on your calendar,

00:17:13.000 then instead of just getting

00:17:14.420 random advertisements,

00:17:16.600 when it was time to get that car,

00:17:18.640 you would just go to your calendar

00:17:19.860 and click on that entry.

00:17:21.960 And only then,

00:17:23.820 when you definitely want to look

00:17:25.160 at advertisements for local cars,

00:17:27.660 it gives you advertisements

00:17:28.600 for local cars.

00:17:30.240 The exact thing you're looking for

00:17:32.040 at the exact day

00:17:33.640 that you want to look for it.

00:17:35.800 Now, about 15,

00:17:36.660 I think it was 15 or 20 years ago,

00:17:39.980 I filed a patent on that idea.

00:17:42.940 So the idea was

00:17:44.460 digital calendars were kind of newish.

00:17:47.600 And I said,

00:17:48.480 wait a minute,

00:17:49.400 if I put it on my digital calendar

00:17:51.360 that I want to do,

00:17:53.100 let's say,

00:17:53.540 back to school shopping

00:17:54.760 on a certain date,

00:17:56.660 shouldn't there be some connection

00:17:58.760 to my calendar

00:17:59.500 so people can feed

00:18:01.420 exactly those kind of products

00:18:03.440 just onto the entry

00:18:05.300 of my calendar,

00:18:06.200 I'll never have to see them.

00:18:08.420 Unless I click on the entry,

00:18:10.160 I'll never see them.

00:18:12.180 But if I do want to see them,

00:18:13.740 it's the exact day

00:18:14.540 I want to buy them.

00:18:16.580 And the,

00:18:18.200 so I went through

00:18:19.100 the patent process,

00:18:20.340 partly to,

00:18:21.380 you know,

00:18:21.660 learn about it.

00:18:22.660 You know,

00:18:22.820 I do a lot of things

00:18:23.540 just to learn about them.

00:18:25.340 And it got rejected.

00:18:28.320 And it was rejected

00:18:29.560 because somebody

00:18:30.660 had a prior claim

00:18:31.840 that had nothing

00:18:33.080 to do with calendars.

00:18:35.280 Nothing to do

00:18:36.040 with calendars.

00:18:37.240 And it was just

00:18:38.020 this weird generic claim

00:18:40.260 that I looked at it

00:18:41.060 as a non-lawyer.

00:18:42.480 I was like,

00:18:43.000 ah,

00:18:44.000 this doesn't even look like

00:18:45.280 it's in the ballpark.

00:18:47.100 So I talked to my patent lawyer

00:18:48.740 and said,

00:18:49.220 all right,

00:18:49.740 can we fight this?

00:18:53.040 And the answer is,

00:18:54.160 yes,

00:18:54.700 I mean,

00:18:54.940 if you want to spend

00:18:55.520 infinite money,

00:18:56.300 you can fight anything.

00:18:57.460 But it didn't have

00:18:58.200 an economic value

00:18:59.220 at the time.

00:19:00.680 It was just something

00:19:01.320 I thought would have

00:19:02.220 an economic value.

00:19:04.200 So I decided to drop it.

00:19:06.480 So the funny thing is,

00:19:08.260 there is someone

00:19:10.300 who probably has a patent,

00:19:14.200 the one that blocked

00:19:15.360 my patent,

00:19:16.440 that doesn't say

00:19:17.220 anything about calendars.

00:19:19.660 And therefore,

00:19:20.300 they're probably unaware

00:19:21.440 that they can make

00:19:22.860 Google Calendar

00:19:23.740 or pay for that patent.

00:19:26.780 Maybe.

00:19:28.060 I don't know.

00:19:29.900 But it's a valuable patent

00:19:31.080 for someone.

00:19:35.300 Well,

00:19:35.800 according to the AP,

00:19:36.880 the Supreme Court

00:19:37.600 is going to consider

00:19:38.620 whether people

00:19:40.040 who regularly smoke pot,

00:19:42.320 what,

00:19:43.340 can legally own guns.

00:19:45.180 can I shortcut this

00:19:49.000 a little bit?

00:19:50.920 Yes.

00:19:52.340 The people

00:19:52.840 who regularly

00:19:53.500 use marijuana

00:19:56.900 can own guns.

00:20:00.220 And if you tell me

00:20:01.500 that they can't,

00:20:03.320 well,

00:20:05.180 we're going to have

00:20:05.780 a conversation.

00:20:07.280 Because I don't see

00:20:08.820 anything in the Constitution

00:20:09.860 that says,

00:20:10.600 if I have two ales,

00:20:12.960 I can't own a gun.

00:20:15.640 And if you're not

00:20:16.620 going to take it away

00:20:17.360 from the drinkers,

00:20:18.560 you're not fucking

00:20:19.880 going to take it away

00:20:20.640 from the stoners.

00:20:22.860 You know what I mean?

00:20:24.340 If you're not taking guns

00:20:25.860 away from drinkers,

00:20:27.340 are you kidding me?

00:20:29.700 Have you ever seen

00:20:30.440 the stats on

00:20:31.260 drinkers and

00:20:32.760 violence?

00:20:34.340 Have you seen the stats

00:20:35.540 on marijuana

00:20:36.560 and violence?

00:20:38.440 Do you know what

00:20:38.980 I don't want to have

00:20:39.740 in my hand

00:20:40.320 if I've had

00:20:40.980 any marijuana

00:20:41.760 whatsoever?

00:20:42.940 What's the one thing

00:20:43.720 I don't want near me?

00:20:45.340 I don't want it

00:20:46.180 in the room?

00:20:48.000 A gun.

00:20:49.560 I don't want a gun

00:20:50.520 near me

00:20:50.940 if I've had marijuana.

00:20:52.940 I don't want it

00:20:53.700 anywhere near me.

00:20:55.540 Literally,

00:20:56.080 I don't want it

00:20:56.580 in the house.

00:20:58.000 That's how far away

00:20:58.960 I'd want it.

00:20:59.700 At least it would be

00:21:00.560 in a gun safe.

00:21:01.860 But I don't want

00:21:03.260 to be able

00:21:03.560 to touch it.

00:21:05.100 Right?

00:21:06.300 And the reason is

00:21:07.360 the reason is not

00:21:09.280 because I think

00:21:09.920 I would be

00:21:10.380 especially dangerous.

00:21:13.120 But it changes

00:21:14.580 your risk profile.

00:21:16.660 You give me

00:21:17.240 three drinks

00:21:18.000 and it's fun

00:21:19.500 to play with

00:21:19.960 a loaded gun.

00:21:22.840 I shouldn't

00:21:23.660 say that,

00:21:24.140 right?

00:21:25.480 But it's just

00:21:26.280 true.

00:21:27.760 You know,

00:21:28.100 I don't drink

00:21:28.800 and maybe that's

00:21:29.400 a good reason for it.

00:21:30.340 But if I had

00:21:30.940 three drinks

00:21:31.680 and there was

00:21:32.720 a loaded gun

00:21:33.540 sitting on a table

00:21:34.280 in front of me,

00:21:35.320 I wouldn't do

00:21:35.980 anything bad with it.

00:21:37.840 But I'd mess

00:21:38.640 with it.

00:21:39.660 I'd pick it up.

00:21:41.460 Right?

00:21:42.100 So if you're

00:21:42.760 talking about

00:21:43.160 the risk

00:21:43.740 of somebody

00:21:44.400 who had a couple

00:21:44.920 of drinks

00:21:45.440 versus the risk

00:21:46.400 of a stoner

00:21:47.120 who owns a gun,

00:21:48.320 these are not

00:21:49.140 in the same universe.

00:21:51.280 Not in the same universe.

00:21:52.900 And you know

00:21:53.260 what's going to happen.

00:21:54.760 Whoever they send

00:21:55.680 to argue

00:21:56.300 probably will be

00:21:58.440 somebody who doesn't

00:21:59.100 have experience

00:21:59.680 with any of those things.

00:22:01.740 You know,

00:22:02.000 probably is not

00:22:02.980 a piehead.

00:22:04.860 Might not even

00:22:05.720 own a gun.

00:22:06.280 But if you

00:22:08.520 have somebody

00:22:09.000 who was a lawyer

00:22:09.700 who at least

00:22:11.320 understood what

00:22:12.100 it meant to be

00:22:12.640 a piehead

00:22:13.060 and also owned

00:22:14.340 a gun

00:22:14.720 and also knew

00:22:16.440 what it was like

00:22:16.940 to drink alcohol,

00:22:18.900 maybe that would

00:22:19.840 help.

00:22:20.800 But there's

00:22:21.540 no way in hell

00:22:22.280 you're going to

00:22:23.260 make me happy

00:22:23.900 if you ban it

00:22:24.560 for weed smokers

00:22:25.580 and not alcohol.

00:22:27.620 And you know

00:22:28.240 they can't ban it

00:22:28.900 for alcohol.

00:22:30.200 There's no way

00:22:30.880 they'd get away

00:22:31.340 with it.

00:22:32.520 So,

00:22:33.120 we'll see.

00:22:36.400 Meanwhile,

00:22:37.460 a lot of the news

00:22:38.220 is just repeat news.

00:22:40.660 You know that

00:22:41.360 the mayoral

00:22:42.580 candidate

00:22:43.280 Mamdani,

00:22:45.240 I guess he

00:22:46.180 posed with

00:22:47.000 an unindicted

00:22:47.780 co-conspirator

00:22:48.860 and Islamic

00:22:50.060 imam

00:22:51.060 who was

00:22:51.920 an unindicted

00:22:53.380 co-conspirator

00:22:54.400 in the

00:22:55.420 World Trade Center

00:22:56.480 bombing

00:22:57.040 those many years

00:22:58.340 ago

00:22:58.620 and he's

00:23:00.120 just got a

00:23:00.500 big smile

00:23:00.980 on his face

00:23:01.600 and they're

00:23:01.880 hugging and stuff.

00:23:03.020 Here's my

00:23:03.480 take on that.

00:23:04.700 I never care

00:23:05.360 about that.

00:23:08.540 If you want

00:23:09.560 to punish people

00:23:10.360 for who they

00:23:11.060 took a picture

00:23:11.820 with,

00:23:12.880 you're going

00:23:13.620 to have to

00:23:13.920 punish me

00:23:14.420 pretty hard.

00:23:16.120 Do you know

00:23:16.680 how many people

00:23:17.240 I've taken

00:23:17.660 pictures with

00:23:18.520 that you might

00:23:19.880 not like?

00:23:21.520 Because I don't

00:23:22.340 even know

00:23:22.720 who they are.

00:23:23.640 As a public

00:23:24.280 figure,

00:23:24.940 it's the most

00:23:25.460 common thing

00:23:26.080 in the world

00:23:26.520 where somebody

00:23:27.580 will say,

00:23:27.980 hey,

00:23:28.220 I bought

00:23:28.480 you a book.

00:23:29.620 Can I get

00:23:30.040 a picture

00:23:30.380 with you?

00:23:31.320 Sure.

00:23:32.520 Yeah.

00:23:33.000 Why not?

00:23:34.340 And I don't

00:23:34.840 know there.

00:23:36.260 So do you

00:23:36.880 think that

00:23:37.300 there's never

00:23:37.860 been some

00:23:39.240 criminal

00:23:39.900 terrorist

00:23:40.580 pedo

00:23:41.540 who ever

00:23:42.500 took a

00:23:43.020 public

00:23:43.340 picture

00:23:43.700 with me?

00:23:44.320 I don't

00:23:44.720 know.

00:23:45.740 But I

00:23:46.180 assume there

00:23:46.880 are some

00:23:47.140 bad ones.

00:23:48.680 I assume.

00:23:50.160 I can think

00:23:50.800 of one right

00:23:51.220 now.

00:23:52.120 Yeah.

00:23:52.320 Off the top

00:23:52.840 of my head,

00:23:53.260 I can think

00:23:53.740 of somebody

00:23:54.220 who would

00:23:54.980 get me

00:23:55.320 canceled

00:23:55.720 if just

00:23:57.580 somebody

00:23:57.900 knew that

00:23:58.360 there was

00:23:58.820 a picture.

00:24:00.840 Now,

00:24:01.380 does that

00:24:02.000 mean that

00:24:02.320 I agreed

00:24:02.860 with everything

00:24:03.420 that person

00:24:04.300 in the picture

00:24:04.840 ever said

00:24:05.320 or did?

00:24:05.900 No.

00:24:06.940 No.

00:24:07.440 Not even

00:24:07.840 close.

00:24:09.560 But there

00:24:10.180 is a picture.

00:24:11.860 Yeah.

00:24:13.580 Probably

00:24:14.060 lots of them.

00:24:17.640 There are

00:24:18.140 probably quite a

00:24:18.720 few pictures

00:24:19.240 of me with

00:24:19.940 somebody who

00:24:21.340 once said

00:24:21.860 something bad

00:24:22.600 somewhere.

00:24:23.080 that's

00:24:24.960 the kind

00:24:25.260 of people

00:24:25.580 who are

00:24:25.860 attracted

00:24:26.220 to me.

00:24:28.620 Anyway,

00:24:29.620 so that's,

00:24:30.320 I can say

00:24:30.980 that at

00:24:31.340 nothing.

00:24:32.060 I don't

00:24:32.360 really care

00:24:32.800 that he

00:24:33.000 has a

00:24:33.280 picture

00:24:33.480 with that

00:24:33.780 guy.

00:24:35.100 But

00:24:35.500 there's

00:24:37.000 a poll,

00:24:38.160 the Patriot

00:24:38.780 polling company

00:24:39.480 I've never

00:24:39.900 heard of,

00:24:40.660 but they

00:24:41.020 claim that

00:24:42.580 in New

00:24:42.920 York,

00:24:43.300 the American

00:24:44.580 born voters

00:24:45.980 would prefer

00:24:47.800 Andrew Cuomo

00:24:48.680 by 40%

00:24:49.720 to 31%

00:24:50.600 for Mamdani.

00:24:52.080 Sliwa

00:24:52.620 with 25%.

00:24:53.620 But among

00:24:54.240 the foreign

00:24:55.020 born,

00:24:56.080 but now

00:24:57.380 American,

00:24:58.440 the people

00:24:58.860 who can

00:24:59.160 vote in

00:24:59.600 New York

00:24:59.840 City,

00:25:00.440 legally,

00:25:01.520 Mamdani

00:25:02.000 is up

00:25:02.780 62%

00:25:03.960 compared

00:25:05.040 to Cuomo

00:25:05.760 24%.

00:25:06.920 Now,

00:25:07.600 what that

00:25:07.920 would say

00:25:08.420 is that

00:25:09.440 the 9-11

00:25:10.160 attack

00:25:10.680 succeeded,

00:25:12.240 meaning

00:25:12.740 that it

00:25:13.400 turned

00:25:13.780 New York

00:25:16.140 Islamic

00:25:16.600 because

00:25:18.320 the people

00:25:19.320 from other

00:25:20.480 countries,

00:25:22.080 largely

00:25:22.600 Islamic,

00:25:23.940 are going

00:25:25.380 to put

00:25:25.620 this guy

00:25:26.000 in charge.

00:25:28.360 And so

00:25:29.060 am I wrong

00:25:30.080 to say

00:25:30.440 that?

00:25:31.160 Am I wrong

00:25:32.020 to say

00:25:32.340 that 9-11

00:25:32.920 worked from

00:25:34.200 the Islamic

00:25:34.720 perspective?

00:25:35.660 Took a

00:25:36.020 while.

00:25:37.100 Took a

00:25:37.760 while.

00:25:38.280 But it

00:25:38.820 probably

00:25:39.220 caused us

00:25:40.200 to be

00:25:40.680 extra open

00:25:41.740 to letting

00:25:43.180 people in

00:25:43.740 the country

00:25:44.160 because we

00:25:44.940 didn't want

00:25:45.320 to act

00:25:45.580 like we're

00:25:45.920 big racists.

00:25:47.160 So we

00:25:47.760 had to

00:25:48.460 overcompensate

00:25:49.740 and make

00:25:50.880 sure,

00:25:51.100 oh yeah,

00:25:51.480 everybody

00:25:51.740 can come

00:25:52.160 in.

00:25:52.620 Yeah,

00:25:53.020 come on.

00:25:54.180 We don't

00:25:54.720 care where

00:25:55.060 you're from.

00:25:56.180 And the

00:25:56.520 next thing

00:25:56.900 you know,

00:25:57.320 they have

00:25:57.600 enough of

00:25:58.060 them so

00:25:59.080 that if

00:25:59.500 they vote

00:26:00.000 in a

00:26:00.340 block,

00:26:00.800 which they

00:26:01.220 tend to

00:26:01.600 do,

00:26:02.600 then the

00:26:03.900 American-born

00:26:05.860 New Yorkers

00:26:06.700 won't have a

00:26:08.280 chance.

00:26:09.520 You're going

00:26:09.980 to get the

00:26:10.320 foreign-born

00:26:10.860 just because

00:26:12.380 the numbers

00:26:12.760 work that

00:26:13.240 way.

00:26:14.160 So that's

00:26:14.740 what's

00:26:14.920 happening.

00:26:17.820 I watched

00:26:20.780 a podcast

00:26:21.440 with Andrew

00:26:22.760 Schultz and

00:26:23.580 Charlemagne

00:26:24.160 the God.

00:26:25.780 I don't

00:26:26.420 know if

00:26:26.640 they always

00:26:27.140 have one

00:26:27.580 together,

00:26:28.120 but I

00:26:28.540 see them

00:26:29.040 podcasting

00:26:30.040 together a

00:26:30.580 lot.

00:26:31.180 They're both

00:26:31.760 really interesting

00:26:32.500 characters,

00:26:33.720 and they're

00:26:34.840 both very

00:26:35.280 good at

00:26:35.680 what they

00:26:35.980 do,

00:26:37.080 podcasting.

00:26:38.220 And in

00:26:38.880 the case

00:26:39.240 of Schultz,

00:26:40.420 he's very

00:26:40.880 good at

00:26:41.300 doing his

00:26:42.740 stand-up.

00:26:43.420 Although he

00:26:44.120 said unkind

00:26:44.880 things about

00:26:45.480 me when

00:26:47.060 I got

00:26:47.380 canceled.

00:26:48.480 But I

00:26:49.100 won't hold

00:26:49.420 that against

00:26:49.860 him because

00:26:50.320 he is

00:26:50.720 generally

00:26:51.120 under-informed,

00:26:52.220 which is

00:26:52.600 my point.

00:26:53.960 And he

00:26:54.460 and Charlemagne

00:26:55.120 were doing

00:26:55.920 that thing

00:26:56.380 where you

00:26:56.720 complain about

00:26:57.480 Amazon not

00:26:58.300 paying income

00:26:59.700 taxes.

00:27:01.800 And every

00:27:02.620 time I hear

00:27:03.200 that, I

00:27:03.660 just go,

00:27:04.380 oh, if

00:27:06.380 that's the

00:27:07.140 quality of

00:27:07.840 your argument,

00:27:09.060 you should

00:27:09.480 stay out of

00:27:10.440 economics.

00:27:12.140 Because clearly

00:27:13.160 you don't

00:27:13.580 have any

00:27:14.820 appreciation

00:27:15.460 of how

00:27:15.840 anything works

00:27:16.640 in the real

00:27:17.100 world if

00:27:18.040 you think

00:27:18.380 that that's

00:27:18.880 a problem.

00:27:20.140 Do you

00:27:20.320 know what

00:27:20.540 would be

00:27:20.720 the best

00:27:21.240 news you

00:27:21.840 could ever

00:27:22.180 hear?

00:27:23.000 The best

00:27:23.680 news you

00:27:24.140 could ever

00:27:24.440 hear is

00:27:24.840 that Amazon

00:27:25.360 once again

00:27:26.320 paid no

00:27:27.200 taxes.

00:27:28.640 Do you

00:27:28.920 think they

00:27:29.240 would understand

00:27:29.860 what I just

00:27:30.380 said?

00:27:31.120 That would be

00:27:31.780 the best

00:27:32.160 news for

00:27:32.900 the country,

00:27:34.240 not just

00:27:34.900 for Amazon.

00:27:35.920 Obviously,

00:27:36.440 it would be

00:27:36.580 good for

00:27:36.900 Amazon.

00:27:37.160 But the

00:27:38.580 reason that

00:27:39.200 Amazon wouldn't

00:27:40.000 pay taxes in

00:27:41.540 any given

00:27:42.120 situation is

00:27:43.460 that the

00:27:43.780 government had

00:27:44.400 created an

00:27:45.000 incentive

00:27:45.340 structure so

00:27:47.100 that people

00:27:47.560 exactly like

00:27:48.420 them don't

00:27:50.060 pay taxes in

00:27:50.920 exactly this

00:27:51.580 situation.

00:27:53.280 Specifically,

00:27:54.760 if the

00:27:55.480 company is

00:27:56.060 massively

00:27:56.660 investing in

00:27:58.020 new facilities,

00:28:00.660 massively investing

00:28:01.700 in new

00:28:02.260 employees,

00:28:03.540 massively investing

00:28:04.440 and training

00:28:05.000 those employees,

00:28:06.380 which they're

00:28:06.940 doing massively,

00:28:09.680 then all of

00:28:10.660 those things

00:28:11.140 create tax

00:28:12.560 revenue.

00:28:13.420 All the

00:28:13.800 employees that

00:28:14.540 get hired,

00:28:15.160 they pay

00:28:15.560 taxes.

00:28:16.780 There's an

00:28:17.700 employee tax.

00:28:20.160 There's a

00:28:21.000 property tax

00:28:21.840 when they

00:28:22.820 open a new

00:28:24.020 facility.

00:28:25.180 So I

00:28:26.420 asked

00:28:26.800 Grok,

00:28:28.900 I asked

00:28:29.500 ChadGPT,

00:28:31.560 how much

00:28:32.000 taxes are

00:28:32.800 going through

00:28:33.300 Amazon.

00:28:33.900 They said,

00:28:34.440 Amazon paid

00:28:35.580 $7.2

00:28:39.040 billion for

00:28:40.400 local and

00:28:41.020 state taxes.

00:28:42.640 $7.2

00:28:43.520 billion,

00:28:44.120 just local

00:28:44.800 and state.

00:28:46.320 And another

00:28:46.840 $30 billion in

00:28:47.900 sales tax,

00:28:49.360 $30 billion.

00:28:51.080 Now you

00:28:51.440 could argue

00:28:51.940 maybe that

00:28:52.900 would have

00:28:53.140 happened if

00:28:53.680 it had been

00:28:54.100 brick and

00:28:55.060 mortar too.

00:28:57.040 But this

00:28:58.900 is the

00:28:59.200 world.

00:28:59.740 You have

00:29:00.040 to live in

00:29:00.380 the real

00:29:00.600 world.

00:29:01.460 And then

00:29:01.760 Baszler

00:29:02.160 himself,

00:29:03.240 because he

00:29:03.580 sold a

00:29:03.980 bunch of

00:29:04.280 his stock

00:29:04.720 last year,

00:29:05.860 Bezos

00:29:06.160 individually

00:29:07.180 paid $3.2

00:29:09.500 billion in

00:29:10.340 taxes.

00:29:11.700 That's just

00:29:12.440 one guy.

00:29:14.200 That's not

00:29:14.940 even counting

00:29:15.420 his other

00:29:15.980 executives who

00:29:17.220 presumably sell

00:29:19.080 stock at a

00:29:19.800 regular basis as

00:29:20.820 people do.

00:29:21.940 So probably,

00:29:23.200 I don't know,

00:29:24.360 $5 billion a

00:29:25.840 year in the

00:29:27.660 taxes just from

00:29:28.880 selling stock.

00:29:29.660 So here's

00:29:32.540 my point.

00:29:33.980 It doesn't

00:29:34.940 help Democrats

00:29:36.140 that there's

00:29:37.260 a podcast of

00:29:38.220 two people who

00:29:39.140 are mildly

00:29:41.280 Democrat, but

00:29:42.020 they definitely

00:29:42.780 are crossover

00:29:43.500 types, so I'm

00:29:44.420 going to give

00:29:44.740 them a lot of

00:29:45.340 credit for that.

00:29:46.400 They both are

00:29:47.140 able to see,

00:29:48.400 and this is so

00:29:49.840 rare, they're

00:29:50.440 both able to

00:29:51.080 see that Trump

00:29:51.660 brings benefits.

00:29:53.400 They don't have

00:29:54.240 to like everything

00:29:55.000 he does, but

00:29:56.820 if you're at

00:29:57.320 least smart

00:29:58.420 enough to

00:29:58.880 know he's

00:29:59.220 bringing benefits,

00:30:00.980 then you're

00:30:02.460 worth listening

00:30:02.980 to.

00:30:03.620 So I think

00:30:04.100 they're definitely

00:30:04.520 worth listening

00:30:05.100 to.

00:30:05.800 I would like

00:30:06.260 to, in case

00:30:08.720 anybody mentions

00:30:09.460 this to them,

00:30:10.180 that their

00:30:11.060 understanding of

00:30:12.120 economics is

00:30:13.020 weak, so if

00:30:15.140 they lead with

00:30:15.980 economics, they

00:30:17.880 should, I don't

00:30:19.780 like to use

00:30:20.200 the word

00:30:20.600 should, I'll

00:30:21.260 say it would

00:30:22.380 be beneficial to

00:30:23.340 the audience if

00:30:25.280 they tell them

00:30:26.600 that they don't

00:30:27.080 understand

00:30:27.500 economics well

00:30:28.460 enough to be

00:30:29.960 part of that

00:30:30.420 conversation.

00:30:33.160 I do that,

00:30:34.440 right?

00:30:35.620 Often you'll see

00:30:36.480 me in a topic

00:30:37.260 where I'll say,

00:30:38.200 I don't know

00:30:38.640 enough about

00:30:39.100 this, so I'm

00:30:39.840 not even going

00:30:40.300 to give you an

00:30:40.740 opinion.

00:30:41.360 They don't know

00:30:41.940 enough about

00:30:42.380 economics, because

00:30:44.040 it's kind of a

00:30:45.700 tough field, you

00:30:47.560 know, if you

00:30:47.840 haven't been

00:30:48.200 exposed to it.

00:30:51.680 Anyway, maybe

00:30:52.540 somebody could

00:30:53.180 tap them on the

00:30:54.560 shoulder and say,

00:30:55.220 you could

00:30:56.840 improve your

00:30:57.660 game on the

00:30:58.280 economics

00:30:58.800 conversation.

00:31:00.480 Meanwhile, John

00:31:01.300 Stewart is trying

00:31:02.500 to save the

00:31:03.280 Democrats, and

00:31:04.320 I'm really

00:31:05.860 enjoying watching

00:31:07.280 his arc, because

00:31:09.620 he knows that the

00:31:10.460 Democrats have

00:31:11.140 problems because of

00:31:12.940 what they're doing.

00:31:14.220 It's not something

00:31:15.460 that's being imposed

00:31:16.360 on them by the

00:31:17.800 bad MAGA people.

00:31:19.520 They are doing a

00:31:20.920 bad job, and he's

00:31:22.640 making sure that they

00:31:23.400 understand it and

00:31:24.240 can figure out what

00:31:24.960 to do, but here's

00:31:26.020 what he had

00:31:26.520 Bernie on, Bernie

00:31:27.500 Sanders.

00:31:28.740 Now, John

00:31:29.180 Stewart and

00:31:30.180 Bernie Sanders

00:31:30.800 would, in

00:31:31.520 theory, get

00:31:33.400 along really

00:31:33.900 well, but

00:31:36.320 John Stewart

00:31:38.240 tries to live in

00:31:39.040 the real world,

00:31:40.820 and Bernie

00:31:41.340 definitely doesn't

00:31:42.380 live in the real

00:31:42.980 world.

00:31:43.840 So this is

00:31:44.680 John Stewart

00:31:45.700 schooling Bernie,

00:31:47.780 and he said that

00:31:48.580 whenever the

00:31:49.220 Democrats do some

00:31:50.200 kind of program or

00:31:51.100 try to fix

00:31:51.560 something, that

00:31:52.700 there's always a

00:31:53.420 subsidy and

00:31:54.460 endless funds,

00:31:56.060 and they're

00:31:56.420 paying it to

00:31:56.860 these middle

00:31:57.380 people like

00:31:58.000 insurance companies

00:31:58.820 and universities

00:31:59.600 without price

00:32:02.220 controls and

00:32:04.680 without people

00:32:06.160 watching where the

00:32:06.840 money is going.

00:32:07.880 Now, who does that

00:32:08.640 sound like?

00:32:10.260 That sounds like

00:32:11.120 exactly me, doesn't

00:32:12.260 it?

00:32:13.400 Did I say this

00:32:14.580 maybe twice this

00:32:16.240 week?

00:32:16.540 I said that if

00:32:18.320 your system

00:32:19.720 depends on just

00:32:21.360 shoveling a bunch

00:32:22.260 of money in some

00:32:23.680 direction and then

00:32:24.600 not watching the

00:32:25.520 money, you can't

00:32:27.040 possibly succeed.

00:32:29.380 There is no path

00:32:30.840 there, no path to

00:32:32.620 succeed if you're

00:32:33.800 not watching where

00:32:34.540 the money is going.

00:32:35.600 None.

00:32:36.620 You couldn't do it

00:32:37.500 by luck.

00:32:39.060 You couldn't do it

00:32:39.840 by the other team

00:32:41.860 did a bad job that

00:32:42.840 year.

00:32:44.120 There's nothing

00:32:45.100 you can do with

00:32:45.840 that except fail.

00:32:47.560 And so, Stuart is

00:32:49.240 smart enough to

00:32:49.840 know it and he

00:32:50.360 mentions that

00:32:51.480 that's been the

00:32:52.000 problem with the

00:32:53.020 Democrats'

00:32:53.620 approach to

00:32:54.040 healthcare,

00:32:54.560 education,

00:32:55.220 pharma, and

00:32:56.600 pharma, three

00:32:57.380 examples, because

00:33:00.700 he's noticed that

00:33:01.980 when the Democrats

00:33:03.020 have power, they

00:33:04.480 just shovel money

00:33:05.380 and stuff and

00:33:06.160 then the prices

00:33:06.900 go up because

00:33:08.520 there's too much

00:33:09.080 money sloshing

00:33:09.800 around in that

00:33:10.540 area that they

00:33:11.120 were trying to

00:33:11.600 save.

00:33:11.840 And I

00:33:12.700 thought to

00:33:12.980 myself, damn,

00:33:15.560 damn John

00:33:16.660 Stewart, he

00:33:19.040 understands

00:33:19.580 economics.

00:33:21.020 That's right.

00:33:22.600 This phenomenon,

00:33:24.000 which Stewart is

00:33:25.000 explaining, where

00:33:26.580 you slop a bunch

00:33:27.840 of money into an

00:33:28.620 area, will only

00:33:29.920 make the prices go

00:33:30.880 up and we can

00:33:31.660 observe that it's

00:33:32.300 happened every

00:33:32.800 time.

00:33:34.340 Yes, yes,

00:33:36.040 that's what

00:33:37.260 Democrats need to

00:33:38.500 hear.

00:33:39.380 They need to

00:33:39.840 hear that, not

00:33:41.220 Jeff Bezos

00:33:43.660 doesn't pay

00:33:44.180 enough taxes.

00:33:47.020 And Stewart

00:33:49.320 even says, will

00:33:50.160 Democrats recognize

00:33:51.200 the poison pill?

00:33:52.200 He calls it a

00:33:52.760 poison pill that

00:33:53.460 they put in

00:33:53.940 policy.

00:33:54.940 So he's

00:33:55.280 basically saying

00:33:56.140 that the

00:33:56.760 Democrat policy

00:33:58.220 is all crap,

00:33:59.780 but will they

00:34:00.980 even know it?

00:34:01.800 Do Democrats

00:34:02.500 know their

00:34:03.040 policies are

00:34:03.700 crap?

00:34:04.680 It's a really

00:34:05.300 good question.

00:34:06.860 A really good

00:34:07.740 question.

00:34:08.880 And then

00:34:09.240 Sanders tries to

00:34:10.700 agree with

00:34:11.240 him, but he's

00:34:11.760 not really quite

00:34:12.540 on the same

00:34:12.980 page.

00:34:13.940 And Sanders

00:34:14.300 says that the

00:34:15.100 Democrats make

00:34:15.780 complicated proposals.

00:34:18.280 Things like, well,

00:34:19.380 if you make over

00:34:20.060 $49,000, you do

00:34:21.420 this, but if you

00:34:22.720 make over $46,000,

00:34:24.540 you do this.

00:34:26.060 And so Sanders

00:34:27.040 is right.

00:34:28.160 The Democrats do

00:34:29.140 complicated proposals

00:34:30.700 and they need to

00:34:31.420 simplify them.

00:34:32.100 But then he goes

00:34:33.700 off the rail

00:34:34.340 entirely on

00:34:36.100 health care and

00:34:36.800 he says, quote,

00:34:38.380 health care should

00:34:39.240 be a human right,

00:34:41.040 Bernie says, to

00:34:43.380 which other people

00:34:44.160 say, wait a

00:34:44.900 minute, how do

00:34:46.440 you have a human

00:34:47.200 right that involves

00:34:48.440 taking my money?

00:34:50.700 Do I not have a

00:34:52.300 human right to

00:34:53.220 keep the money I

00:34:54.280 make?

00:34:55.140 What gives you

00:34:56.100 the human right to

00:34:57.040 decide how my

00:34:57.880 money gets spent?

00:34:59.380 That's not a human

00:35:00.140 right.

00:35:01.080 That's not in the

00:35:01.720 Constitution.

00:35:02.880 That's not in the

00:35:03.660 Bible.

00:35:05.140 There's no human

00:35:06.060 right that says you

00:35:07.340 can take my money

00:35:08.240 for your health

00:35:08.960 care.

00:35:10.020 What the hell?

00:35:11.700 So I'm watching

00:35:12.960 this thing and I'm

00:35:13.700 watching what looks

00:35:14.380 like progress because

00:35:16.220 it looks like

00:35:16.920 Stewart is maybe

00:35:18.260 reframing Sanders

00:35:21.640 in a way that

00:35:22.420 could be a big

00:35:23.340 deal.

00:35:24.320 And then Sanders

00:35:24.940 just goes right

00:35:26.720 back into

00:35:27.260 absurdity.

00:35:28.460 The absurdity that

00:35:29.980 your money belongs

00:35:31.020 to him.

00:35:31.720 And it's his

00:35:32.260 right to have

00:35:32.860 it.

00:35:33.740 Just absurd.

00:35:35.220 Do you think

00:35:35.780 there's anything

00:35:36.520 about that that

00:35:37.240 Jon Stewart would

00:35:38.020 agree with?

00:35:38.880 That other people

00:35:39.880 deserve your money

00:35:40.760 and you have a

00:35:41.460 right to it?

00:35:43.280 I haven't heard

00:35:44.160 him talk on that

00:35:45.160 specifically.

00:35:46.560 But if you look

00:35:47.420 at the other smart

00:35:48.300 things that Stewart

00:35:49.160 says, it would be

00:35:50.840 impossible for me to

00:35:52.120 imagine that he would

00:35:52.780 be that smart.

00:35:54.220 And then when it

00:35:54.820 came to this, it

00:35:55.460 would be the one

00:35:55.940 thing he was dumb

00:35:56.520 about.

00:35:56.800 probably not.

00:35:59.140 So probably

00:35:59.900 he disagrees and

00:36:01.500 thinks that there

00:36:02.680 ought to be just a

00:36:03.300 better way, which

00:36:04.280 is what I think, a

00:36:05.500 better way to

00:36:06.100 approach the

00:36:07.680 health care.

00:36:08.260 I don't know what

00:36:08.640 it is, but there

00:36:09.140 ought to be a

00:36:09.480 better way.

00:36:10.220 All right, there's

00:36:10.600 another Republican

00:36:12.060 getting in trouble for

00:36:13.100 something he said

00:36:13.880 on chats that

00:36:15.720 weren't as private as

00:36:16.660 they should have

00:36:17.060 been, I guess.

00:36:18.100 So there's this

00:36:18.720 guy, Paul

00:36:19.700 Ingracia.

00:36:21.140 Never heard of

00:36:21.860 him.

00:36:22.000 But Trump

00:36:23.880 picked him to

00:36:24.400 lead the Office

00:36:25.020 of Special

00:36:25.660 Counsel.

00:36:28.340 And apparently

00:36:29.200 he has a little

00:36:30.180 history.

00:36:31.640 So he had told a

00:36:32.720 bunch of Republicans

00:36:33.620 in a text chain

00:36:34.720 that, I'll

00:36:36.580 summarize, he

00:36:37.960 said he doesn't

00:36:38.580 like any of the

00:36:39.240 black holidays.

00:36:40.920 So he thinks that

00:36:42.220 the MLK Junior

00:36:43.480 holidays should be

00:36:44.280 quote, tossed

00:36:45.400 into the seventh

00:36:46.300 circle of hell.

00:36:48.520 He spoke about

00:36:49.900 himself, saying he

00:36:51.180 had a Nazi

00:36:51.800 streak, in the

00:36:53.920 context of all

00:36:54.600 this stuff.

00:36:55.840 And then he

00:36:57.560 said, no

00:36:58.700 Malignan

00:36:59.860 holidays.

00:37:01.180 Now, I'm

00:37:01.740 learning today

00:37:02.660 that

00:37:03.680 Malignan, a

00:37:05.780 word I've never

00:37:06.320 heard before, is

00:37:07.640 an Italian

00:37:08.320 insult for black

00:37:09.540 people.

00:37:10.800 Have you ever

00:37:11.260 heard that?

00:37:12.520 Is that real?

00:37:14.480 M-O-U-L-I-G-N-O-N

00:37:17.640 is an insult to

00:37:19.940 Italian, is an

00:37:21.400 Italian insult to

00:37:22.520 black people?

00:37:24.360 How did I never

00:37:25.240 hear that?

00:37:27.260 Anyway, but so

00:37:29.360 Ingrassio thought

00:37:30.920 that they should

00:37:31.480 get rid of or we

00:37:32.340 should get rid of

00:37:33.000 Kwanzaa, MLK

00:37:34.720 Junior Day, Black

00:37:35.740 History Month, and

00:37:36.840 Juneteenth.

00:37:38.600 He says, every

00:37:39.500 single one needs to

00:37:40.380 be eviscerated.

00:37:42.360 All right, so

00:37:43.300 you're wondering,

00:37:44.260 what is my take on

00:37:45.240 this?

00:37:45.940 Generally

00:37:46.240 speaking, I

00:37:48.340 say you should

00:37:48.940 ignore private

00:37:49.740 conversations.

00:37:52.940 Generally

00:37:53.420 speaking, because

00:37:55.600 I don't want to

00:37:56.180 be on the side of

00:37:57.060 taking down my

00:37:58.080 own team.

00:38:01.100 Maybe if the

00:38:01.940 other team wants

00:38:02.620 to do it, go

00:38:04.040 nuts.

00:38:05.100 But if you

00:38:05.860 punished everybody

00:38:06.860 for saying things

00:38:07.740 that you think are

00:38:08.680 way over the

00:38:09.460 line, and I do,

00:38:11.020 I think this is

00:38:11.880 over the line, of

00:38:12.780 course, but does

00:38:14.740 that mean I

00:38:15.200 should be part of

00:38:16.220 punishing him for

00:38:17.720 being over the

00:38:18.320 line?

00:38:20.420 I would say it

00:38:21.660 is not unusual for

00:38:23.200 Republicans to say

00:38:24.280 we shouldn't have a

00:38:25.060 special black

00:38:25.740 holidays.

00:38:27.180 Does everybody

00:38:27.700 agree with me?

00:38:29.240 You've all had

00:38:30.020 enough exposure to

00:38:30.980 Republicans to

00:38:32.160 know that if you

00:38:33.420 take away the way

00:38:34.380 he said it, which

00:38:35.800 is separate, the

00:38:36.740 way he said it,

00:38:38.560 hard to defend,

00:38:40.700 but just the

00:38:41.400 point of it,

00:38:42.780 that he doesn't

00:38:43.580 think that black

00:38:44.680 Americans should

00:38:45.380 have their own

00:38:45.800 holidays, that's

00:38:50.060 actually not an

00:38:51.100 unusual Republican

00:38:52.320 opinion, and it

00:38:53.760 doesn't have to do

00:38:54.520 with any hatred of

00:38:55.420 black people.

00:38:56.440 It doesn't have

00:38:57.020 anything to do

00:38:57.960 with any disrespect.

00:38:59.480 It might be the

00:39:00.020 opposite.

00:39:01.720 Because the

00:39:02.340 Republican thing is

00:39:03.280 why don't we

00:39:04.360 treat everybody

00:39:04.840 the same?

00:39:06.540 That's sort of

00:39:07.360 where it comes

00:39:07.860 from.

00:39:08.740 Treat everybody

00:39:09.260 the same.

00:39:09.780 Why is there a

00:39:10.520 special day?

00:39:11.080 Why does

00:39:12.740 everybody except

00:39:13.400 white people get

00:39:14.060 a special day?

00:39:15.380 So I think that's

00:39:16.240 where it comes from.

00:39:17.120 It's not actually

00:39:17.960 unusual.

00:39:19.260 I've heard plenty

00:39:19.900 of people say,

00:39:21.320 you know, that

00:39:22.320 plenty of people

00:39:23.800 say, let's say

00:39:24.440 Juneteenth, they

00:39:26.740 don't think that

00:39:27.220 that should be

00:39:27.660 celebrated.

00:39:28.280 I'm not arguing it

00:39:29.200 either way.

00:39:29.980 I'm just saying that

00:39:30.900 there are plenty of

00:39:31.680 Republicans who have

00:39:32.460 the same opinion.

00:39:33.620 Now, the part where

00:39:34.260 he says, I have a

00:39:34.980 Nazi streak, I can't

00:39:37.440 defend that because

00:39:39.820 this is not my job

00:39:40.620 to do it and I

00:39:41.560 don't want to be,

00:39:42.920 you know, I don't

00:39:43.500 want to get a

00:39:44.440 little bit wet in

00:39:45.560 his self-described

00:39:47.060 Nazi streak.

00:39:48.460 So I'm going to

00:39:49.320 disavow that, but at

00:39:50.920 the same time I'm

00:39:51.660 going to say, that's

00:39:52.920 not a serious

00:39:53.660 comment.

00:39:55.500 That's not a

00:39:56.300 serious comment.

00:39:57.660 That is clearly

00:39:59.040 chat talk and he's

00:40:02.420 clearly sort of

00:40:04.040 mocking himself.

00:40:04.900 so to me, it

00:40:06.620 looks like he's

00:40:07.140 just mocking

00:40:07.700 himself because

00:40:09.280 he's got these

00:40:09.920 views.

00:40:11.340 They're not that

00:40:12.200 far from mainstream

00:40:13.020 Republican, which

00:40:14.120 is that there

00:40:14.640 should not be

00:40:15.380 special holidays

00:40:16.680 based on your

00:40:17.500 race.

00:40:18.620 Not unusual.

00:40:20.200 That is not

00:40:20.760 unusual.

00:40:21.480 No matter what

00:40:22.140 you think about

00:40:22.820 it, that's not

00:40:24.260 an unusual point

00:40:25.220 of view in the

00:40:26.140 Republican world.

00:40:28.260 But where he

00:40:28.940 calls him, says

00:40:29.900 he has a Nazi

00:40:30.540 streak, I just

00:40:32.280 interpret that as

00:40:33.360 somebody who didn't

00:40:34.360 think somebody was

00:40:35.080 going to be

00:40:35.420 watching and just

00:40:37.200 wanted to sort of

00:40:37.960 mock himself.

00:40:39.360 Nobody really

00:40:40.300 thinks they have a

00:40:41.040 Nazi streak or a

00:40:42.420 Hitler streak, right?

00:40:44.000 Or a Nazi streak.

00:40:45.480 It's not likely that

00:40:47.140 that's his actual

00:40:48.140 self of view.

00:40:51.380 So I didn't mean

00:40:52.880 to defend him

00:40:55.000 because that's just

00:40:55.600 his job.

00:40:57.240 You know, I can't

00:40:58.380 defend everybody who

00:40:59.260 does everything that

00:41:00.000 I don't like.

00:41:00.920 I would say that I

00:41:01.940 wish he hadn't done

00:41:02.700 it.

00:41:04.360 But that would be

00:41:06.320 true of everybody.

00:41:08.360 Everybody does

00:41:09.520 things I wish they

00:41:10.220 hadn't done.

00:41:11.640 So should I care?

00:41:14.280 Well, I wish

00:41:15.620 everybody the best

00:41:16.460 in this situation,

00:41:17.420 but I'm having

00:41:18.640 trouble caring about

00:41:19.600 it, really.

00:41:21.520 Netanyahu's meeting

00:41:22.220 with Egypt's

00:41:23.000 spymaster.

00:41:25.640 I'm trying to

00:41:26.480 figure out how to

00:41:27.040 make that ceasefire

00:41:27.920 last.

00:41:29.040 We'll see if that

00:41:30.040 works.

00:41:30.660 Obviously, the

00:41:31.320 ceasefire will be

00:41:32.160 broken every day by

00:41:33.320 both sides.

00:41:34.460 We all knew that,

00:41:35.300 right?

00:41:36.040 Is there anybody

00:41:36.580 who thought the

00:41:37.200 ceasefire would

00:41:37.800 hold?

00:41:40.780 You'd have to be,

00:41:41.900 I don't know,

00:41:43.140 18 years old to

00:41:44.880 think that any

00:41:45.580 ceasefire over there

00:41:46.480 would hold.

00:41:47.780 It would be the

00:41:48.280 most ridiculous thing

00:41:49.280 you ever thought.

00:41:50.060 Of course it won't

00:41:51.020 hold.

00:41:52.180 Now, it might be

00:41:52.980 good enough.

00:41:53.620 If I had to

00:41:55.360 predict, and I do

00:41:58.000 sort of, I have

00:41:58.800 to predict, I'm

00:42:00.160 going to predict

00:42:00.680 that it will

00:42:02.300 hold well

00:42:02.920 enough.

00:42:04.600 Well enough.

00:42:06.120 But it will be,

00:42:07.440 you know, there's

00:42:08.280 going to be

00:42:08.900 knocks against the

00:42:09.800 ceasefire every

00:42:10.500 day, and it will

00:42:12.080 look like it's not

00:42:12.880 holding.

00:42:13.920 Sometimes Israel

00:42:14.800 will be blamed.

00:42:15.920 Sometimes the

00:42:16.880 Gazans will be

00:42:18.340 blamed.

00:42:18.760 But as long

00:42:20.560 as it stays

00:42:21.140 within a certain

00:42:22.680 range of

00:42:23.340 violence, we

00:42:25.500 can probably get

00:42:26.120 to the next

00:42:26.540 level.

00:42:27.200 So I think

00:42:27.560 that's what's

00:42:27.980 going to happen.

00:42:30.580 Well, according

00:42:31.420 to Harry Enten

00:42:32.200 on CNN, the

00:42:33.140 Republicans are

00:42:33.860 winning, and

00:42:34.560 Trump is winning

00:42:35.260 the shutdown

00:42:35.960 game, the

00:42:37.560 shutting the

00:42:38.140 government down.

00:42:39.460 So apparently

00:42:40.440 this is different

00:42:42.980 than the prior

00:42:43.620 shutdown in his

00:42:44.460 first term, where

00:42:45.460 his popularity and

00:42:47.420 support went down

00:42:48.380 when he closed

00:42:48.980 it.

00:42:49.600 Now it's

00:42:50.000 actually up

00:42:50.620 slightly, but it

00:42:52.300 didn't go down

00:42:52.880 at all.

00:42:54.220 Let's see,

00:42:55.100 according to

00:42:55.640 Enten, there's

00:42:58.800 a substantial

00:42:59.420 shift in the

00:43:00.100 public's perception

00:43:01.060 of Trump's

00:43:01.900 responsibility for

00:43:03.040 the issue.

00:43:04.500 So back in

00:43:05.080 2018-19, 61%

00:43:07.260 of the public

00:43:07.900 thought it was

00:43:08.600 his fault,

00:43:10.460 basically,

00:43:11.260 Trump's fault.

00:43:12.460 But in

00:43:13.140 2025, only

00:43:14.300 48%, less

00:43:16.280 than half,

00:43:17.640 think it's

00:43:18.180 Trump's fault

00:43:18.780 that the

00:43:19.140 government is

00:43:19.620 closed.

00:43:20.800 Now, as

00:43:22.320 you know,

00:43:23.280 Trump is

00:43:23.700 using the

00:43:24.160 closure to

00:43:25.140 cut favorite

00:43:28.140 Democrat

00:43:28.700 policies and

00:43:31.280 budgets.

00:43:32.140 So he's just

00:43:33.040 sort of having

00:43:33.520 fun cutting

00:43:34.280 their budgets

00:43:34.880 while they

00:43:35.460 wait around.

00:43:37.100 So the

00:43:37.540 longer they

00:43:38.260 wait, the

00:43:39.420 more their

00:43:39.880 budgets get

00:43:40.520 cut.

00:43:41.660 He totally

00:43:42.660 has them by

00:43:43.180 the balls,

00:43:44.360 absolutely has

00:43:45.360 them by the

00:43:45.840 balls.

00:43:46.180 So he's

00:43:46.960 winning in

00:43:48.180 the polls.

00:43:50.620 But what

00:43:51.240 the hell are

00:43:51.620 they going

00:43:51.900 to do?

00:43:53.500 They're either

00:43:54.100 going to have

00:43:54.460 to cave,

00:43:55.640 which makes

00:43:56.720 them look

00:43:57.060 like losers,

00:43:58.580 which, you

00:43:59.400 know, at the

00:43:59.740 moment they

00:44:00.140 are, they

00:44:00.580 are losing,

00:44:01.860 or they

00:44:03.200 keep it

00:44:03.660 open and

00:44:04.360 he just

00:44:04.680 keeps canceling

00:44:05.540 all their

00:44:05.820 projects.

00:44:08.720 So Trump

00:44:09.540 has two

00:44:10.060 ways to

00:44:10.580 win, keep

00:44:11.980 it open or

00:44:14.100 keep it

00:44:14.480 closed.

00:44:15.960 And they

00:44:16.520 have no way

00:44:17.040 to win.

00:44:18.060 Keep it

00:44:18.500 open or

00:44:18.900 keep it

00:44:19.260 closed.

00:44:20.280 So since

00:44:21.600 you know

00:44:22.100 it's going

00:44:22.500 to be

00:44:22.720 opened, it's

00:44:23.700 not like

00:44:24.080 they're going

00:44:24.360 to go

00:44:24.620 forever and

00:44:25.300 the country

00:44:25.700 is going

00:44:26.000 to, you

00:44:26.820 know, tank.

00:44:28.840 What they

00:44:29.480 need is

00:44:30.240 some way to

00:44:30.960 claim victory

00:44:31.800 so that they

00:44:33.180 can open it

00:44:33.920 and say they

00:44:34.400 accomplished

00:44:34.820 something.

00:44:36.120 So I was

00:44:37.000 brainstorming a

00:44:37.760 little bit to

00:44:38.260 see if I

00:44:38.620 could come up

00:44:39.140 with what I

00:44:40.500 call the

00:44:40.860 fake because.

00:44:42.280 I've talked

00:44:42.720 about the

00:44:43.100 fake because

00:44:43.860 before.

00:44:44.660 Sometimes you

00:44:45.420 know what you

00:44:45.960 need to do.

00:44:47.160 They know

00:44:47.660 they need to

00:44:48.160 reopen the

00:44:48.640 government.

00:44:49.160 The Republicans

00:44:49.680 know it.

00:44:50.640 The voters

00:44:51.160 know it.

00:44:51.740 The news

00:44:52.180 knows it.

00:44:53.180 Everybody

00:44:53.620 knows it.

00:44:54.960 Everybody

00:44:55.400 knows that

00:44:56.260 they have to

00:44:56.760 cave fairly

00:44:58.860 soon.

00:44:59.980 You know,

00:45:00.220 maybe in a

00:45:00.620 week or so.

00:45:01.920 So since

00:45:02.620 everybody knows

00:45:03.620 they have to

00:45:04.020 do it and

00:45:05.060 they know

00:45:05.520 they need to

00:45:06.020 do it,

00:45:06.980 you just need

00:45:07.840 that fake

00:45:08.320 because,

00:45:09.480 which is the

00:45:10.100 reason that

00:45:10.660 somebody hadn't

00:45:11.240 said before,

00:45:12.480 but as soon

00:45:12.980 as you hear

00:45:13.460 it, you go,

00:45:14.000 oh, okay,

00:45:14.580 all right,

00:45:15.080 that's why.

00:45:15.780 Yeah, it's

00:45:16.020 because of

00:45:16.340 that thing.

00:45:17.340 No, no, no.

00:45:18.020 It's new

00:45:18.620 information.

00:45:19.540 New information.

00:45:20.580 There's a

00:45:20.900 thing that

00:45:21.220 happened.

00:45:22.160 So they

00:45:22.720 need a

00:45:23.040 thing,

00:45:24.500 whatever that

00:45:25.100 is.

00:45:26.220 Could be

00:45:26.960 the best

00:45:27.580 thing they

00:45:28.140 have is

00:45:29.360 that the

00:45:29.880 no kings

00:45:30.960 thing went

00:45:31.740 off as

00:45:32.340 at least a

00:45:33.480 well-executed

00:45:34.580 nonviolent

00:45:36.740 protest that

00:45:37.960 had a lot

00:45:38.220 of people.

00:45:38.580 So they

00:45:39.960 could say,

00:45:41.340 all right,

00:45:41.760 we did

00:45:42.500 what we

00:45:42.880 wanted to

00:45:43.400 do.

00:45:44.400 Wait for

00:45:45.000 it.

00:45:45.860 We raised

00:45:46.880 awareness of

00:45:48.660 the risk of

00:45:49.340 authoritarian rule.

00:45:51.380 Now we can

00:45:52.120 get back to

00:45:52.620 work.

00:45:54.640 But they've

00:45:55.320 got to be

00:45:55.660 able to say,

00:45:56.240 we did a

00:45:56.720 thing,

00:45:58.560 the no

00:45:59.140 kings thing.

00:46:00.120 It got us

00:46:00.920 a good result.

00:46:02.340 It raised our

00:46:03.360 profile and

00:46:04.180 our argument

00:46:04.720 point about

00:46:08.620 authoritarianism.

00:46:10.200 We made

00:46:10.700 all that

00:46:11.060 point and

00:46:12.100 we did

00:46:12.420 it without

00:46:12.760 violence and

00:46:14.760 now it's

00:46:15.100 time to

00:46:15.400 get back

00:46:15.700 to work.

00:46:17.300 So that

00:46:17.920 would be a

00:46:18.280 fake because

00:46:19.040 nothing really

00:46:20.000 changed.

00:46:20.980 Nothing

00:46:21.180 changed.

00:46:22.140 But they

00:46:22.500 could spin

00:46:23.140 it as it

00:46:24.480 did change

00:46:25.520 because I

00:46:27.260 would agree

00:46:28.500 they raised

00:46:29.360 the profile

00:46:29.900 of the

00:46:30.240 authoritarian

00:46:30.700 attack on

00:46:32.260 Trump.

00:46:32.540 it was

00:46:33.500 probably

00:46:33.800 close to

00:46:34.260 100%

00:46:34.920 awareness

00:46:35.560 that that's

00:46:36.280 what they

00:46:36.520 were doing.

00:46:37.300 But if

00:46:37.820 they got a

00:46:38.220 few extra

00:46:38.660 percent,

00:46:39.880 maybe from

00:46:40.920 90%

00:46:41.540 awareness to

00:46:42.180 94%,

00:46:43.140 they can

00:46:43.920 say,

00:46:44.200 well,

00:46:44.820 there we

00:46:45.500 are,

00:46:45.760 it worked.

00:46:47.480 So that's

00:46:48.140 why I

00:46:48.420 suggest

00:46:48.840 Democrats

00:46:49.600 claim

00:46:50.360 victory,

00:46:52.220 reopen the

00:46:52.780 government,

00:46:53.680 because you

00:46:53.980 got two

00:46:54.360 ways to

00:46:54.800 lose if

00:46:55.220 you don't

00:46:55.500 do that.

00:47:00.460 Trump is

00:47:01.160 also winning

00:47:01.800 what we

00:47:02.260 could call

00:47:02.580 the payback

00:47:03.400 retribution

00:47:04.060 game,

00:47:05.620 as he's,

00:47:06.580 now we've

00:47:07.260 got John

00:47:07.720 Bolden's

00:47:08.240 officially

00:47:08.700 indicted for

00:47:10.560 espionage

00:47:11.700 acts,

00:47:12.400 which would

00:47:13.360 include the

00:47:14.440 same thing

00:47:14.900 that Trump

00:47:15.340 was being

00:47:17.220 accused of

00:47:18.080 with his

00:47:18.620 Mar-a-Lago

00:47:19.140 documents.

00:47:20.660 So how

00:47:21.020 much do

00:47:21.360 you love

00:47:21.680 the fact

00:47:22.060 that John

00:47:22.520 Bolden was

00:47:23.100 one of the

00:47:23.480 people who

00:47:24.600 was advocating

00:47:25.300 that Trump

00:47:26.060 needed to

00:47:26.520 go to jail

00:47:27.200 for his

00:47:28.880 documents,

00:47:29.920 and now he's

00:47:31.020 being charged

00:47:31.560 for exactly

00:47:32.420 the same

00:47:32.880 crime,

00:47:33.900 with one

00:47:34.460 twist.

00:47:35.800 He did

00:47:36.560 not have

00:47:36.940 the ability

00:47:37.400 to unclassify

00:47:38.280 documents.

00:47:39.700 Trump did.

00:47:41.540 That's a

00:47:42.280 pretty big

00:47:43.000 difference,

00:47:44.240 because one

00:47:45.160 of them was

00:47:45.620 acting completely

00:47:46.460 legally,

00:47:47.860 arguably.

00:47:49.360 One of

00:47:50.000 them is

00:47:50.820 going to

00:47:51.060 have to

00:47:51.500 come up

00:47:52.500 with some

00:47:52.960 kind of

00:47:53.320 an argument

00:47:53.760 that I

00:47:54.140 haven't heard

00:47:54.560 yet as

00:47:55.800 to why it

00:47:56.260 would be

00:47:56.540 okay to

00:47:57.100 have these

00:47:57.480 classified

00:47:57.920 documents in

00:47:58.740 his personal

00:47:59.820 possession.

00:48:01.380 Trump has

00:48:02.020 an argument.

00:48:03.280 I was the

00:48:03.840 president.

00:48:05.280 So if I

00:48:06.380 make them

00:48:06.800 available

00:48:07.360 outside of

00:48:08.500 the secure

00:48:08.980 environment,

00:48:09.800 that's a

00:48:10.620 de facto

00:48:11.080 declassification.

00:48:12.840 Now you

00:48:13.280 could argue

00:48:13.880 that's true,

00:48:14.780 that's not

00:48:15.220 true, it's

00:48:15.880 not why the

00:48:16.360 case got

00:48:16.780 dropped, but

00:48:17.940 it is a

00:48:18.340 good argument.

00:48:19.220 In my

00:48:19.560 opinion, that's

00:48:20.120 a solid

00:48:20.460 argument.

00:48:21.500 What does

00:48:22.120 Bolton have?

00:48:24.580 Maybe

00:48:25.040 nothing, but

00:48:27.220 don't be

00:48:27.680 surprised if

00:48:28.240 he does

00:48:28.580 have a good

00:48:29.000 defense.

00:48:30.300 Sometimes

00:48:30.760 there's a

00:48:31.420 defense and

00:48:32.040 you just

00:48:32.400 don't know

00:48:32.840 what it

00:48:33.140 is yet,

00:48:33.900 so I'd

00:48:34.440 wait for

00:48:34.760 that.

00:48:35.500 We're

00:48:35.700 still in

00:48:36.060 fog of

00:48:36.460 war on

00:48:36.780 this

00:48:36.940 Bolton

00:48:37.200 stuff.

00:48:42.320 You

00:48:42.800 would not

00:48:43.140 be surprised

00:48:43.780 to hear,

00:48:45.060 according to

00:48:45.720 Josh Voorhees

00:48:46.640 writing for

00:48:47.260 The Guardian,

00:48:48.320 that there's

00:48:49.040 a network

00:48:50.120 of Republicans

00:48:51.020 who are

00:48:52.000 being

00:48:52.200 contacted

00:48:52.740 by Big

00:48:53.380 Soda.

00:48:54.840 So as

00:48:55.360 you know,

00:48:55.680 RFK Jr.

00:48:56.400 is trying

00:48:56.660 to reduce

00:48:57.820 our consumption

00:48:59.420 of soda

00:49:00.160 for health

00:49:01.680 reasons,

00:49:02.400 Maha.

00:49:03.380 But since

00:49:05.000 it's a

00:49:05.440 gigantic

00:49:06.020 industry,

00:49:07.020 the industry

00:49:07.740 is banding

00:49:08.400 together to

00:49:09.020 try to get

00:49:10.260 influencers and

00:49:11.540 MAGA people

00:49:12.280 to fight

00:49:13.020 the Maha

00:49:13.480 people.

00:49:14.640 So if

00:49:15.020 you see

00:49:15.520 that it

00:49:15.900 looks like

00:49:16.300 some MAGA

00:49:16.860 people and

00:49:17.460 some Maha

00:49:17.940 people are

00:49:18.580 disagreeing on

00:49:19.280 social media,

00:49:20.740 the question

00:49:21.280 you should

00:49:21.640 ask is

00:49:21.980 who are

00:49:23.280 these MAGA

00:49:23.940 people who

00:49:24.540 would disagree

00:49:25.080 with Maha?

00:49:26.420 And could

00:49:27.160 you really

00:49:27.620 be a MAGA

00:49:28.300 person if

00:49:29.540 you had

00:49:29.820 taken that

00:49:30.300 position?

00:49:31.280 I say

00:49:31.980 no.

00:49:33.360 I say

00:49:33.960 no.

00:49:35.540 MAGA

00:49:36.140 includes

00:49:36.620 Maha.

00:49:37.780 You are

00:49:38.400 not going

00:49:38.820 to carve

00:49:39.180 that out.

00:49:40.720 You are

00:49:41.140 not going

00:49:41.620 to carve

00:49:41.980 that out.

00:49:43.380 Yeah,

00:49:43.720 if you're

00:49:44.380 MAGA,

00:49:44.880 you're

00:49:45.060 Maha,

00:49:46.580 and we're

00:49:47.680 done here.

00:49:48.700 I will

00:49:49.280 not have

00:49:49.720 that

00:49:49.920 conversation.

00:49:51.540 MAGA

00:49:51.860 is Maha.

00:49:53.200 Trump is

00:49:54.360 the one

00:49:54.560 who hired

00:49:54.960 RFK Jr.

00:49:55.860 Trump's

00:49:56.200 the one

00:49:56.480 who redeemed

00:49:58.020 him in

00:49:58.800 a sense,

00:49:59.600 reputationally.

00:50:01.140 MAGA is

00:50:02.020 who wanted

00:50:03.460 him enough

00:50:04.080 that Trump

00:50:04.740 was happy

00:50:05.300 to put him

00:50:05.760 on the

00:50:06.040 team.

00:50:07.340 Oh,

00:50:07.640 we're joined

00:50:08.520 at the hip.

00:50:09.740 We're not

00:50:10.160 going anywhere.

00:50:11.640 MAGA and

00:50:12.140 Maha,

00:50:12.880 same team,

00:50:15.020 and Big

00:50:16.580 Soda's

00:50:17.060 going to

00:50:17.320 have to

00:50:17.560 just pound

00:50:18.600 salt because

00:50:19.680 no,

00:50:20.120 you're not

00:50:20.380 going to

00:50:20.580 get away

00:50:20.860 with this.

00:50:22.500 Not

00:50:23.020 getting away

00:50:23.420 with it.

00:50:27.020 Well,

00:50:27.620 let's

00:50:27.800 see.

00:50:29.720 Portland

00:50:30.240 is getting

00:50:31.660 slapped with

00:50:32.160 a civil

00:50:32.540 rights

00:50:32.840 complaint

00:50:33.400 over being

00:50:34.580 a race

00:50:35.220 first

00:50:35.800 DEI

00:50:37.320 policy

00:50:37.880 kind of

00:50:38.580 a city.

00:50:39.920 This

00:50:40.440 is,

00:50:40.860 I believe,

00:50:41.320 the

00:50:41.560 America

00:50:44.580 First.

00:50:45.540 I think

00:50:45.860 it's the

00:50:46.080 America

00:50:46.380 First

00:50:46.820 organization

00:50:47.720 that's

00:50:48.040 doing that,

00:50:48.580 which is

00:50:48.940 doing great

00:50:49.540 work,

00:50:49.900 by the

00:50:50.120 way.

00:50:50.820 The

00:50:50.940 New York

00:50:51.160 Post is

00:50:51.600 writing about

00:50:52.140 this.

00:50:52.760 Yeah,

00:50:52.920 America

00:50:53.180 First

00:50:53.480 Legal.

00:50:54.440 It's a

00:50:55.000 conservative

00:50:55.460 advocacy

00:50:56.200 group.

00:50:57.000 I think

00:50:57.280 Stephen

00:50:57.660 Miller is

00:50:58.180 behind it

00:50:58.820 or founded

00:50:59.360 it.

00:51:00.480 I believe

00:51:00.920 he's the

00:51:01.420 brainchild

00:51:02.440 behind it.

00:51:03.040 There's

00:51:03.180 probably a

00:51:03.560 few other

00:51:03.900 brainchilds

00:51:04.500 behind it.

00:51:05.300 But if

00:51:06.160 you're not

00:51:06.500 watching their

00:51:07.100 work or

00:51:08.640 following them,

00:51:09.940 you're missing

00:51:10.340 a good show

00:51:11.060 because I

00:51:12.380 think America

00:51:12.920 First Legal is

00:51:13.840 one of the

00:51:14.220 greatest

00:51:14.580 developments in

00:51:19.080 the last five

00:51:19.960 years.

00:51:20.980 Because it

00:51:21.680 always seemed

00:51:22.180 to me like

00:51:22.700 the Republicans

00:51:23.940 didn't have a

00:51:24.820 good legal

00:51:26.680 response to

00:51:27.600 a lot of

00:51:28.000 stuff.

00:51:28.720 They weren't

00:51:29.040 organized in

00:51:29.860 the lawfare

00:51:31.660 legal way.

00:51:32.720 But now they

00:51:33.240 are.

00:51:34.120 And it looks

00:51:34.540 like they have

00:51:34.920 a really strong

00:51:35.600 team because

00:51:36.140 they just keep

00:51:37.340 getting win

00:51:37.800 after win

00:51:38.300 after win.

00:51:39.300 So America

00:51:39.740 First Legal,

00:51:40.540 you should

00:51:40.820 follow them

00:51:41.460 on X if

00:51:43.160 you get a

00:51:43.480 chance.

00:51:43.780 doing good

00:51:45.120 work.

00:51:48.400 Well,

00:51:49.000 Illinois is

00:51:50.520 going to

00:51:50.800 turn to the

00:51:51.300 Supreme Court

00:51:51.940 to try to

00:51:53.520 block the

00:51:54.020 National Guard

00:51:54.640 from going

00:51:55.120 into Chicago.

00:51:56.480 But Portland

00:51:57.560 apparently tried

00:51:59.340 to block it,

00:52:00.340 but the

00:52:00.900 Court of

00:52:01.600 Appeals

00:52:02.240 unblocked it.

00:52:04.000 So now

00:52:04.280 Trump can

00:52:04.840 send in the

00:52:05.660 National Guard

00:52:07.140 just to protect

00:52:07.960 the federal

00:52:08.480 assets.

00:52:09.280 So it's

00:52:09.700 limited to

00:52:10.280 that.

00:52:10.540 So every

00:52:12.160 single day

00:52:12.820 there's a

00:52:13.280 news story

00:52:13.800 about some

00:52:14.440 state and

00:52:15.760 some court

00:52:16.560 blocking

00:52:17.880 Trump's

00:52:18.820 attempts to

00:52:20.600 reduce crime

00:52:21.320 in cities.

00:52:22.160 And then there

00:52:22.980 will be another

00:52:23.440 story where

00:52:24.140 they tried but

00:52:24.840 they failed and

00:52:25.740 Trump's going

00:52:26.260 back in.

00:52:27.420 I don't know,

00:52:28.200 it's just

00:52:28.680 Groundhog Day

00:52:29.400 all over with

00:52:30.120 these cities.

00:52:31.100 Now here's my

00:52:31.800 take on the

00:52:32.400 city crime.

00:52:34.340 If you're a

00:52:35.220 Republican,

00:52:36.300 you have been

00:52:37.240 brainwashed into

00:52:38.340 believing that

00:52:38.920 all these cities

00:52:40.220 that are named,

00:52:41.540 Portland,

00:52:42.240 Chicago,

00:52:42.980 San Francisco,

00:52:43.840 you've been

00:52:44.420 taught that

00:52:44.940 they're all

00:52:45.360 hell holes.

00:52:46.780 Correct?

00:52:48.260 And that

00:52:48.900 they're crime

00:52:49.780 hell holes as

00:52:50.560 well as homeless

00:52:51.120 hell holes.

00:52:51.940 And that

00:52:52.520 there's no way

00:52:53.480 that they're

00:52:53.820 going to get

00:52:54.140 better unless

00:52:56.700 the federal

00:53:00.920 government comes

00:53:01.540 in and does

00:53:01.980 what Trump

00:53:02.380 wants to do.

00:53:02.900 Now, the

00:53:05.960 Democrats are

00:53:07.400 weirdly claiming

00:53:08.320 that none of

00:53:08.900 this is happening.

00:53:10.840 They're claiming

00:53:11.560 that the cities

00:53:12.500 are fine.

00:53:13.720 The crime rate's

00:53:14.680 going down.

00:53:16.120 The part of

00:53:17.280 the city that

00:53:17.980 has problems

00:53:18.820 is so small.

00:53:20.400 It's just, you

00:53:21.160 know, a couple

00:53:21.560 of buildings get

00:53:22.460 protested every

00:53:23.660 night.

00:53:24.200 Not really much

00:53:25.000 violence.

00:53:26.460 And our law

00:53:27.220 enforcement's taking

00:53:27.980 care of it.

00:53:28.980 So those two

00:53:30.020 stories can't both

00:53:31.140 be true, right?

00:53:31.960 It can't be

00:53:33.280 true that there's

00:53:33.920 not really any

00:53:34.680 problem.

00:53:35.640 And what little

00:53:36.320 problem there is,

00:53:37.000 it's sort of

00:53:37.620 solving itself

00:53:38.340 with the

00:53:38.740 locals.

00:53:40.960 At the same

00:53:41.760 time, it's such

00:53:42.420 a big problem

00:53:43.040 that it can only

00:53:43.700 be solved by

00:53:44.420 the feds.

00:53:46.020 One of those

00:53:46.800 two stories

00:53:47.420 isn't true.

00:53:48.020 But here's the

00:53:49.260 fun part.

00:53:50.420 I don't know

00:53:51.160 which one it

00:53:51.640 is.

00:53:53.380 If you believe

00:53:54.520 that the

00:53:55.140 Republican

00:53:55.840 take on this

00:53:58.920 is the

00:53:59.340 accurate one,

00:54:00.280 and all the

00:54:01.640 Democrats are

00:54:02.300 lying, and it

00:54:03.020 really is a

00:54:03.620 gigantic problem,

00:54:04.860 you might be

00:54:05.460 right.

00:54:06.760 I'm not going

00:54:07.500 to argue with

00:54:08.000 you.

00:54:08.400 You might be

00:54:08.960 right.

00:54:10.320 But I

00:54:11.020 wouldn't rule

00:54:11.740 out, I

00:54:13.980 wouldn't totally

00:54:14.780 rule out the

00:54:16.160 fact that the

00:54:16.740 Republicans are

00:54:17.700 keenly aware

00:54:19.340 that this is

00:54:20.640 working as an

00:54:21.620 issue.

00:54:22.940 So that's

00:54:23.800 where I go.

00:54:26.460 That's where my

00:54:27.340 eyebrow goes up.

00:54:28.960 If this were

00:54:29.720 not working as

00:54:30.840 an issue, I

00:54:32.420 would say,

00:54:32.880 well, why would

00:54:33.940 they do it then

00:54:34.560 unless it was

00:54:35.200 just necessary?

00:54:36.480 Because it's not

00:54:37.120 even working as

00:54:37.900 a policy issue.

00:54:39.380 But it totally

00:54:40.540 is working as

00:54:41.560 a policy issue,

00:54:42.700 which suggests

00:54:43.900 that for

00:54:45.420 political reasons,

00:54:46.740 a smart

00:54:47.700 political person

00:54:48.580 would do more

00:54:49.360 of it just

00:54:50.980 because it

00:54:51.500 works politically.

00:54:53.980 So have we

00:54:55.060 entered a

00:54:55.740 period in

00:54:58.280 which it

00:54:59.660 sort of looks

00:55:00.300 like it's

00:55:00.720 necessary, but

00:55:02.580 maybe it would

00:55:03.140 have gone down

00:55:03.760 on its own

00:55:04.400 through the

00:55:04.880 efforts of the

00:55:05.580 locals, just

00:55:06.740 slower?

00:55:08.680 And so I'm

00:55:09.440 not entirely

00:55:10.240 sure if this

00:55:12.580 is really making

00:55:13.360 a big difference

00:55:14.020 in the real

00:55:14.520 world, and

00:55:15.880 that two

00:55:16.520 years from

00:55:16.980 now all

00:55:17.400 these cities

00:55:17.860 will have

00:55:18.220 low crime

00:55:18.820 because that

00:55:19.880 thing they

00:55:20.360 did for a

00:55:20.820 few months

00:55:21.240 that one

00:55:21.620 time?

00:55:22.500 Does that

00:55:23.120 seem likely?

00:55:24.320 That you

00:55:24.880 could permanently

00:55:25.760 reduce crime

00:55:26.740 in the cities

00:55:27.400 by coming in

00:55:29.060 for a month

00:55:29.660 and arresting a

00:55:31.360 bunch of

00:55:31.620 people and

00:55:31.980 then leaving?

00:55:32.900 Because obviously

00:55:33.740 they have to

00:55:34.200 leave, right?

00:55:35.580 They're not

00:55:35.900 going to stay

00:55:36.240 there forever.

00:55:36.680 So I'm

00:55:38.900 going to say

00:55:39.380 I'm a little

00:55:39.960 skeptical about

00:55:41.620 both sides

00:55:42.760 on this one.

00:55:44.940 However, I

00:55:46.360 back Trump

00:55:47.600 100%.

00:55:49.460 Is that

00:55:50.660 fair?

00:55:51.700 I do think

00:55:52.600 there's a

00:55:53.000 little bit of

00:55:53.460 hyperbole and

00:55:54.300 bullshit going

00:55:54.960 on from both

00:55:55.680 sides, and I

00:55:57.560 want to call

00:55:58.000 that out.

00:55:58.720 I don't know

00:55:59.280 what the data

00:55:59.780 is.

00:56:00.080 I don't believe

00:56:00.540 any of the

00:56:00.960 data, you

00:56:01.960 know, all the

00:56:02.340 crime data

00:56:02.840 going down.

00:56:03.480 The crime data

00:56:04.600 going down

00:56:05.120 could be

00:56:05.700 nothing but

00:56:06.260 shenanigans,

00:56:07.560 and in some

00:56:08.160 cases it's

00:56:08.760 definitely

00:56:09.040 shenanigans.

00:56:10.120 We don't

00:56:10.580 know how

00:56:10.880 much.

00:56:12.520 But if it

00:56:14.020 works, I'm

00:56:15.800 all in.

00:56:16.760 And when I

00:56:17.200 say if it

00:56:17.940 works, meaning

00:56:19.000 is Trump

00:56:19.920 actually reducing

00:56:20.840 crime in these

00:56:21.820 places?

00:56:22.840 And if he

00:56:23.760 is, maybe the

00:56:25.300 real win is

00:56:26.140 just to show

00:56:26.680 it can be

00:56:27.100 done.

00:56:28.960 Right?

00:56:29.960 A perfect

00:56:30.920 win, in my

00:56:32.300 view, would

00:56:33.220 be the

00:56:33.700 locals say,

00:56:34.580 no, it's

00:56:34.940 too hard, we

00:56:36.300 can't get the

00:56:36.820 crime down, but

00:56:37.580 we're trying as

00:56:38.180 hard as we

00:56:38.560 can.

00:56:39.200 It's going

00:56:39.680 down a little

00:56:40.120 bit, it's

00:56:41.120 going a little

00:56:41.660 bit, but we're

00:56:42.160 trying, we'll

00:56:42.740 get there.

00:56:43.740 And then Trump

00:56:44.420 comes in with

00:56:44.980 a big boot, and

00:56:46.840 makes a big

00:56:47.440 difference in the

00:56:48.060 crime stats, and

00:56:50.080 then he says,

00:56:50.560 look, it

00:56:50.880 worked, just do

00:56:52.620 what we did.

00:56:54.200 Collect, you

00:56:54.880 know, put a

00:56:55.560 police presence

00:56:56.240 where you know

00:56:56.800 you need it,

00:56:58.080 collect some

00:56:58.880 guns, I

00:57:00.460 don't know, do

00:57:01.060 whatever the, do

00:57:02.420 whatever the

00:57:02.940 feds were

00:57:03.320 doing.

00:57:03.900 And then they

00:57:04.560 can say, all

00:57:05.720 right, now you've

00:57:06.980 created this

00:57:07.600 model where we

00:57:09.260 know how to

00:57:09.620 reduce crime, but

00:57:10.820 we can do this, you

00:57:12.220 don't need the

00:57:12.680 feds here.

00:57:13.460 You have now

00:57:14.120 taught us how to

00:57:15.000 do it, we

00:57:16.060 accept the

00:57:16.660 lesson, we're

00:57:18.320 going to increase

00:57:18.920 our police

00:57:20.240 department budget a

00:57:21.160 little bit, we'll

00:57:21.660 take this.

00:57:22.580 Wouldn't that be

00:57:23.080 the perfect

00:57:23.480 answer?

00:57:24.980 None of you want

00:57:25.820 the feds to be

00:57:26.460 there forever,

00:57:27.060 right?

00:57:27.240 I feel that's

00:57:29.060 fair to say.

00:57:29.900 Not a single

00:57:30.540 one of you would

00:57:32.100 want the feds

00:57:32.780 there as some

00:57:33.300 kind of like

00:57:33.700 federal police

00:57:34.460 force.

00:57:34.880 We don't want

00:57:35.320 that, not

00:57:36.340 any of us.

00:57:37.920 But we do

00:57:38.700 want the cities

00:57:39.280 to be safer.

00:57:41.100 So if Trump

00:57:43.360 can make this

00:57:44.020 temporary situation

00:57:45.240 a model that

00:57:46.980 can turn into a

00:57:47.740 permanent situation,

00:57:48.680 that's all

00:57:49.020 win.

00:57:50.000 That's all

00:57:50.540 win.

00:57:51.300 So he does

00:57:52.080 have a total

00:57:53.480 victory path

00:57:54.960 there.

00:57:57.240 Sean Duffy

00:57:58.660 says, he's

00:58:00.740 out of

00:58:01.020 transportation,

00:58:02.340 that $40

00:58:02.780 billion of

00:58:03.200 funding will

00:58:03.640 be withheld

00:58:04.180 from California

00:58:05.040 because they

00:58:06.500 refuse to comply

00:58:07.400 with the

00:58:07.800 English proficiency

00:58:08.940 standards for

00:58:10.000 truck drivers.

00:58:11.740 And that has

00:58:12.500 been a problem.

00:58:14.400 Apparently,

00:58:15.520 truck drivers who

00:58:16.380 can't speak

00:58:16.960 English are more

00:58:17.800 dangerous because

00:58:19.380 they don't even

00:58:20.880 read the signs

00:58:21.520 right in some

00:58:22.200 cases.

00:58:22.820 More dangerous

00:58:23.660 than those who

00:58:24.300 do speak English.

00:58:25.400 That's the

00:58:25.760 thinking.

00:58:26.080 But also,

00:58:27.920 I'm sure the

00:58:29.560 Trump administration

00:58:30.600 just wants

00:58:31.220 English to be

00:58:31.900 the standard

00:58:33.060 and California

00:58:34.180 is resisting.

00:58:37.280 Meanwhile,

00:58:38.060 Trump met

00:58:38.620 with the

00:58:38.940 Australians

00:58:39.580 yesterday and

00:58:40.480 signed some

00:58:41.000 big deal about

00:58:42.080 rare earth

00:58:42.600 minerals.

00:58:44.000 These stories

00:58:44.740 are always

00:58:45.320 dangerous because

00:58:47.420 there are,

00:58:47.920 I think there

00:58:48.420 are 17

00:58:49.160 rare earth

00:58:49.820 minerals and

00:58:50.900 every one of

00:58:51.480 them has a

00:58:52.040 completely different

00:58:52.800 story about

00:58:54.400 why we don't

00:58:55.000 have it,

00:58:56.160 what country

00:58:56.680 does have

00:58:57.240 it,

00:58:58.080 how hard

00:58:58.540 is it to

00:58:58.940 mine it,

00:58:59.480 how hard

00:58:59.840 is it to

00:59:00.220 refine it,

00:59:01.360 what would

00:59:01.720 China do?

00:59:03.080 It's like all

00:59:03.720 17 of them

00:59:04.580 wrote their

00:59:04.900 own story.

00:59:07.180 So if you

00:59:07.860 hear a story

00:59:08.340 like this

00:59:08.920 one,

00:59:10.000 where there's

00:59:10.560 this big,

00:59:11.620 looks like

00:59:12.160 consequential,

00:59:13.240 quite a big

00:59:13.720 deal,

00:59:14.120 $8.5

00:59:14.700 billion mining

00:59:16.420 and refining

00:59:17.200 and recycling

00:59:17.880 deal with

00:59:18.640 Australia so

00:59:20.420 that we can

00:59:20.820 get at least

00:59:21.380 some of

00:59:22.740 those rare

00:59:23.220 earths from

00:59:23.960 Australia our

00:59:24.720 friend instead

00:59:25.500 of China our

00:59:26.900 adversary.

00:59:28.540 But it's

00:59:31.120 pointed out

00:59:31.560 that China

00:59:31.960 still processes

00:59:32.780 90% of the

00:59:33.820 global supply

00:59:34.540 of rare earth.

00:59:35.960 So even if

00:59:36.700 we mine it,

00:59:38.440 we're going to

00:59:39.000 have to figure

00:59:39.480 out how

00:59:40.540 somebody's ever

00:59:41.240 going to refine

00:59:42.000 it, which is

00:59:43.200 even a bigger

00:59:44.060 challenge apparently.

00:59:46.540 So every time,

00:59:47.860 here's what I'll

00:59:48.500 say about Trump

00:59:49.380 and the rare

00:59:49.900 earths.

00:59:51.280 I don't have

00:59:52.220 a good overall

00:59:53.440 feeling, I

00:59:55.420 won't say

00:59:55.700 feeling, I

00:59:56.180 don't have a

00:59:56.580 good overall

00:59:57.060 sense of

00:59:58.800 whether we're

00:59:59.320 getting, we're

01:00:00.300 doing a good

01:00:00.860 job or not

01:00:01.680 trying to be

01:00:03.880 free of China's

01:00:04.800 control of our

01:00:05.560 rare earth

01:00:05.980 minerals.

01:00:07.280 But it sure

01:00:08.000 looks like it,

01:00:09.100 doesn't it?

01:00:10.220 So you and I

01:00:11.160 are not close

01:00:11.820 enough to any

01:00:12.340 of that stuff to

01:00:12.980 know if it's

01:00:13.440 working or if

01:00:14.900 they're doing the

01:00:15.440 right things they

01:00:16.100 need to do or

01:00:17.020 they have a plan

01:00:18.540 for all 17 of

01:00:19.740 the rare earths

01:00:20.780 or if they

01:00:21.360 only have a

01:00:21.800 plan for six

01:00:22.660 of them, you

01:00:23.900 and I wouldn't

01:00:24.340 know that.

01:00:25.540 But I'll tell

01:00:26.200 you what I do

01:00:26.740 know.

01:00:28.420 Trump is

01:00:29.200 obviously working

01:00:30.480 hard on this and

01:00:31.460 this is obviously

01:00:32.380 a top priority.

01:00:33.940 Would you all

01:00:34.660 agree with that?

01:00:36.820 And it's sort

01:00:37.960 of, it's

01:00:39.540 inspiring to

01:00:40.420 see your

01:00:42.020 leader completely

01:00:43.720 understanding top

01:00:44.800 priorities, which

01:00:46.300 is we need to

01:00:46.940 get a handle

01:00:47.380 on the whole

01:00:47.900 China situation

01:00:49.560 and the

01:00:50.160 rare earth

01:00:50.580 thing is the

01:00:51.200 biggest lever

01:00:51.900 for doing

01:00:52.360 that.

01:00:53.200 He understands

01:00:54.260 the strategic

01:00:55.160 importance and

01:00:57.200 then we can

01:00:57.740 observe that

01:00:59.060 he's putting

01:00:59.520 the energy and

01:01:00.600 the resources

01:01:01.220 very strongly

01:01:03.000 in exactly that

01:01:04.800 area that we've

01:01:05.480 identified as our

01:01:06.400 top priority.

01:01:07.600 Now, don't you

01:01:09.280 think Biden

01:01:09.960 could have done

01:01:11.280 that?

01:01:12.480 Because we're in

01:01:13.300 the same situation

01:01:14.100 we were in.

01:01:15.760 It's not like

01:01:16.540 China only made

01:01:17.920 these inroads in

01:01:18.960 rare earth minerals

01:01:19.720 in the last six

01:01:20.480 months.

01:01:21.480 But what I

01:01:22.120 watched is,

01:01:23.280 Biden, you

01:01:25.740 know that's

01:01:26.200 like the most

01:01:27.060 important thing,

01:01:27.740 right?

01:01:28.860 Yeah, yeah.

01:01:30.140 But you don't

01:01:31.120 seem to be

01:01:31.720 working very hard

01:01:32.680 to fix it.

01:01:33.920 Oh, yeah, we're

01:01:34.680 doing a thing.

01:01:36.340 We're doing a

01:01:37.000 deal or we had

01:01:38.920 a get-together.

01:01:40.100 And I'd look at

01:01:40.720 it and I'm like,

01:01:41.700 I feel like you

01:01:42.920 don't understand

01:01:43.500 the urgency.

01:01:45.680 This isn't one of

01:01:46.640 those things you

01:01:47.240 do, you know,

01:01:48.320 if you get it done

01:01:49.060 in 20 years,

01:01:49.820 you're happy.

01:01:50.720 You really need

01:01:51.740 to pull this up

01:01:54.680 to something like

01:01:55.280 five years.

01:01:56.680 Now, I don't even

01:01:57.320 know if Trump

01:01:57.820 could do that.

01:01:59.040 But people are

01:01:59.700 talking about

01:02:00.200 five to ten years

01:02:01.540 before we have

01:02:02.200 some kind of

01:02:03.280 rare earth

01:02:04.020 independence.

01:02:06.000 But the fact

01:02:06.740 that Trump is

01:02:07.840 correctly identifying

01:02:09.260 and focusing on

01:02:10.200 the problem,

01:02:11.280 100% right,

01:02:12.320 and then putting

01:02:13.580 a level of

01:02:14.640 effort,

01:02:16.720 which he makes

01:02:17.340 public,

01:02:18.020 which is also

01:02:18.660 right,

01:02:20.040 so you can see

01:02:20.920 people getting

01:02:21.440 excited about it.

01:02:23.100 Apparently,

01:02:23.800 the stocks

01:02:24.480 in some of the

01:02:25.980 rare earth

01:02:26.400 mineral companies

01:02:27.480 just zoomed,

01:02:28.800 stock doesn't

01:02:29.640 go up until

01:02:31.060 people know

01:02:31.600 the governments

01:02:32.140 are serious

01:02:32.880 and the stocks

01:02:34.160 just went up.

01:02:35.280 So Trump has

01:02:36.040 convinced the

01:02:37.260 markets that

01:02:38.800 he's dead

01:02:39.220 serious.

01:02:39.700 now the

01:02:41.040 markets can

01:02:41.740 do what the

01:02:42.160 markets do.

01:02:43.060 The free

01:02:43.440 market can do

01:02:44.200 it because

01:02:44.540 now they

01:02:44.940 believe him.

01:02:46.440 That's why

01:02:47.020 their stock

01:02:47.420 went up.

01:02:48.060 They now

01:02:48.480 believe that

01:02:49.020 this is game

01:02:50.360 on for rare

01:02:51.220 earth.

01:02:52.300 So I'm going

01:02:53.100 to give him

01:02:53.500 an A plus

01:02:54.280 for identifying

01:02:55.960 the problem

01:02:56.580 and for putting

01:02:57.420 the right level

01:02:58.200 of attention

01:02:59.420 and resources

01:03:00.140 on it.

01:03:01.200 But just

01:03:01.620 remember,

01:03:02.140 at minimum,

01:03:03.560 it's a five-year

01:03:04.200 problem.

01:03:04.580 So if you

01:03:06.180 saw anything

01:03:06.720 that looked

01:03:07.120 like big

01:03:07.500 progress in

01:03:08.140 one year,

01:03:09.500 that's worthy

01:03:10.340 of applause.

01:03:16.460 So I guess

01:03:18.540 the planned

01:03:19.020 meeting between

01:03:19.920 Trump and

01:03:20.600 Putin got

01:03:21.180 postponed because

01:03:22.940 there was a

01:03:23.440 lower level

01:03:24.080 meeting with

01:03:24.720 Rubio and

01:03:25.400 Lavrov and

01:03:27.160 I guess they

01:03:27.680 were not on

01:03:28.120 the same page

01:03:28.820 about what to

01:03:29.540 do in Ukraine.

01:03:31.100 So that's

01:03:31.980 postponed.

01:03:32.540 So I have

01:03:33.680 the following

01:03:34.160 suggestion to

01:03:35.120 get this war

01:03:36.720 done.

01:03:38.620 So this is

01:03:39.420 based on

01:03:39.800 persuasion.

01:03:41.160 If I said

01:03:42.000 to you,

01:03:43.100 you should

01:03:43.940 stop this

01:03:44.460 war because

01:03:45.420 people are

01:03:46.740 dying,

01:03:47.660 would that

01:03:48.040 work?

01:03:48.980 No.

01:03:50.020 Because if

01:03:50.420 that was going

01:03:50.880 to work,

01:03:51.220 it would have

01:03:51.540 already worked.

01:03:52.840 And unfortunately,

01:03:54.520 the way warfare

01:03:55.320 works is that

01:03:56.280 leaders don't

01:03:57.540 care that much

01:03:58.240 about young

01:03:58.740 men dying or

01:04:00.020 even older

01:04:00.540 men dying.

01:04:01.020 So the

01:04:02.560 fact that a

01:04:02.980 whole bunch

01:04:03.300 of people

01:04:03.560 are dying

01:04:04.120 won't stop

01:04:05.600 the war.

01:04:07.400 So what

01:04:08.380 would?

01:04:10.360 Now, I

01:04:11.080 think that

01:04:11.860 the current

01:04:12.780 approach that

01:04:13.320 Ukraine is

01:04:13.880 doing, and

01:04:14.660 you could argue

01:04:15.600 that Russia is

01:04:16.240 doing the same

01:04:16.680 thing, is

01:04:17.520 they're

01:04:17.660 concentrating on

01:04:18.500 the energy

01:04:19.080 resources so

01:04:20.760 that they can

01:04:21.340 freeze the

01:04:22.320 citizens on

01:04:23.200 the other

01:04:23.500 side, and

01:04:24.760 then the

01:04:25.100 citizens on

01:04:25.800 the other

01:04:26.100 side will

01:04:26.520 say, we

01:04:26.840 give up.

01:04:28.000 We're not

01:04:28.460 even on the

01:04:29.680 front lines,

01:04:30.180 but we

01:04:30.520 give up.

01:04:31.020 Can we

01:04:31.260 just surrender

01:04:31.880 so we

01:04:32.700 can get

01:04:32.960 the heat

01:04:33.480 turned on?

01:04:34.660 So I

01:04:35.300 feel like

01:04:35.800 it's now

01:04:36.240 a civilian

01:04:36.820 war, but

01:04:40.680 in order for

01:04:42.060 Putin to be

01:04:42.780 influenced by

01:04:43.980 any negative

01:04:44.680 effects on

01:04:45.260 his civilian

01:04:45.800 population,

01:04:47.020 we're not

01:04:48.340 there.

01:04:49.740 Because it

01:04:50.400 doesn't look

01:04:51.080 like his

01:04:51.500 civilian

01:04:51.840 population is

01:04:52.740 suffering, and

01:04:54.080 it looks like

01:04:54.660 at the

01:04:55.020 moment, they'll

01:04:56.220 have enough

01:04:56.660 electricity to

01:04:57.500 get him

01:04:57.700 through the

01:04:57.980 winter, and

01:04:59.320 at the

01:04:59.640 moment, they

01:05:00.240 might have

01:05:00.580 to wait

01:05:01.000 in line

01:05:01.440 for some

01:05:01.860 gas, but

01:05:03.380 they'll get

01:05:03.700 some gas.

01:05:05.220 So Putin

01:05:05.940 doesn't really

01:05:06.440 have the kind

01:05:07.040 of pressure

01:05:07.500 from his

01:05:08.040 citizens that

01:05:08.760 would make

01:05:09.080 him want to

01:05:09.500 end the

01:05:09.820 war.

01:05:11.460 Here's how

01:05:12.020 maybe you

01:05:12.500 could do

01:05:12.860 it.

01:05:14.980 You want

01:05:15.600 to make

01:05:15.860 them think

01:05:16.340 about cold,

01:05:18.260 and you want

01:05:19.400 to do it right

01:05:19.920 away, before

01:05:20.900 you get there.

01:05:22.460 You want

01:05:22.840 to make, I

01:05:24.020 posted on

01:05:25.380 X, an

01:05:26.480 image made

01:05:27.040 by Grok

01:05:27.720 of some

01:05:28.320 Russians at

01:05:28.940 a gas

01:05:29.320 station, where

01:05:30.560 there was

01:05:30.900 snow on

01:05:31.540 the cars, but

01:05:32.840 the Russian

01:05:33.320 people were

01:05:34.060 in blocks

01:05:34.540 of ice.

01:05:37.200 You need

01:05:37.980 to make

01:05:38.340 Putin and

01:05:40.300 his public

01:05:41.020 feel the

01:05:42.400 cold.

01:05:44.000 You need

01:05:44.720 them to

01:05:45.020 feel the

01:05:45.580 cold before

01:05:46.300 the cold

01:05:46.800 comes, and

01:05:47.580 the cold's

01:05:47.980 coming fast.

01:05:49.340 They need

01:05:50.080 to feel that

01:05:51.900 a significant

01:05:52.800 portion of

01:05:53.560 their relatives

01:05:54.220 and friends

01:05:54.840 will literally

01:05:56.000 freeze to

01:05:56.740 death this

01:05:57.200 winter.

01:05:58.720 Think about

01:05:59.460 that.

01:06:00.380 How much

01:06:00.780 does that

01:06:01.080 hurt?

01:06:02.260 Have you

01:06:02.440 ever been

01:06:02.880 almost frozen

01:06:04.440 to death?

01:06:05.200 I have.

01:06:06.700 The reason

01:06:07.340 I live in

01:06:07.860 California is

01:06:08.500 I almost

01:06:08.900 froze to

01:06:09.420 death my

01:06:10.720 senior year

01:06:11.360 of college

01:06:11.820 in a

01:06:12.240 snowstorm.

01:06:13.120 I didn't

01:06:13.440 have a

01:06:13.740 jacket.

01:06:14.920 I was

01:06:15.520 outdoors in

01:06:16.220 the middle

01:06:17.520 of the

01:06:17.740 winter in

01:06:18.140 February.

01:06:19.180 My car

01:06:19.680 broke down.

01:06:20.440 I had no

01:06:20.840 jacket.

01:06:22.200 I know

01:06:22.520 what it

01:06:22.720 feels like

01:06:23.120 to be

01:06:23.360 cold.

01:06:24.220 And there

01:06:25.440 was no

01:06:25.720 traffic.

01:06:26.600 There were

01:06:26.860 no homes

01:06:27.340 and there

01:06:27.620 was no

01:06:27.860 traffic.

01:06:28.420 It was

01:06:28.520 upstate

01:06:29.380 New York.

01:06:30.620 Finally,

01:06:31.560 a car came

01:06:32.280 through and

01:06:32.800 saved my

01:06:33.220 life, but

01:06:34.380 only one.

01:06:35.940 There was

01:06:36.240 only one.

01:06:37.120 If that

01:06:37.600 one car

01:06:38.300 had not

01:06:38.720 come by,

01:06:40.500 I'd still

01:06:41.020 be in the

01:06:41.380 snowbank in

01:06:42.020 Syracuse.

01:06:44.320 So, if

01:06:45.420 you're Russian,

01:06:46.060 you felt

01:06:46.620 cold.

01:06:48.280 And you

01:06:48.920 probably didn't

01:06:49.480 like it a

01:06:49.920 lot.

01:06:51.180 So, what

01:06:51.960 I would do

01:06:52.460 is, if I

01:06:53.200 were Trump,

01:06:53.600 I would

01:06:54.060 remind

01:06:54.520 Putin that

01:06:55.620 his country

01:06:56.540 is going

01:06:57.000 to be a

01:06:57.400 gas station

01:06:58.100 frozen in

01:06:59.360 ice, and

01:07:00.740 that it's

01:07:02.380 one thing

01:07:02.940 that he

01:07:03.500 doesn't care

01:07:03.980 about his

01:07:04.380 soldiers dying,

01:07:05.700 but wait

01:07:06.140 till he sees

01:07:06.740 the moms and

01:07:07.580 kids dying

01:07:08.600 because they

01:07:09.160 can't have

01:07:09.560 heat.

01:07:10.680 If I

01:07:11.240 were the

01:07:11.540 CIA, and

01:07:13.420 I wanted

01:07:13.760 to make

01:07:15.040 it especially,

01:07:16.420 let's say,

01:07:17.460 impactful in

01:07:18.680 Moscow, I

01:07:19.760 would first

01:07:20.140 of all make

01:07:20.520 sure that I

01:07:21.080 was dealing

01:07:21.780 with the

01:07:22.080 cities, the

01:07:23.180 ones that

01:07:23.580 have power,

01:07:24.120 not the

01:07:24.540 rural.

01:07:25.120 Nobody cares

01:07:25.680 about the

01:07:26.060 rural anything.

01:07:29.080 And I

01:07:29.660 would make

01:07:30.040 sure that the

01:07:30.920 CIA said

01:07:32.940 that there's a

01:07:33.580 run on

01:07:34.020 firewood and

01:07:35.500 that there

01:07:35.980 won't be

01:07:36.280 enough firewood

01:07:36.980 this year,

01:07:38.080 even if

01:07:39.060 that's not

01:07:39.540 true.

01:07:40.740 And then you

01:07:41.420 want to say

01:07:42.020 these stores

01:07:44.900 have already

01:07:45.480 run out of

01:07:46.460 generators

01:07:47.240 because you

01:07:49.080 bought them

01:07:49.480 all.

01:07:50.980 So if I

01:07:51.600 were the

01:07:51.840 CIA, I

01:07:52.500 would be

01:07:52.820 getting rid

01:07:53.340 of the

01:07:53.760 alternative

01:07:54.480 ways that

01:07:55.220 you could

01:07:55.500 heat yourself

01:07:56.180 while making

01:07:57.460 it look like

01:07:57.960 it's just

01:07:58.300 market forces.

01:08:00.620 See what I'm

01:08:01.300 doing there?

01:08:02.120 So that if

01:08:02.900 you're a

01:08:03.300 citizen, you're

01:08:03.920 saying, okay,

01:08:05.100 well, at least

01:08:05.660 I can start a

01:08:06.400 fire, what?

01:08:08.440 I won't be

01:08:09.160 able to start

01:08:09.620 a fire?

01:08:10.680 I can't use

01:08:11.520 my fireplace?

01:08:13.540 No, there

01:08:13.880 will be no

01:08:14.300 wood because

01:08:15.780 everybody's

01:08:16.400 expecting a

01:08:17.120 massive energy

01:08:19.100 shortage this

01:08:19.780 winter.

01:08:20.520 So if you

01:08:21.280 don't already

01:08:21.940 have your

01:08:22.360 wood for the

01:08:22.920 whole winter,

01:08:23.680 you won't

01:08:24.080 have wood.

01:08:26.040 And they

01:08:26.600 could make

01:08:26.900 that happen

01:08:27.460 just by

01:08:28.220 snapping up

01:08:29.400 the wood

01:08:29.800 supplies in a

01:08:30.540 few places

01:08:31.080 and then

01:08:31.660 starting the

01:08:32.220 rumor.

01:08:33.160 And next

01:08:33.620 thing you

01:08:33.860 know, Russia

01:08:34.880 would be in

01:08:35.300 an energy

01:08:35.760 panic.

01:08:36.860 Because they

01:08:37.500 know they

01:08:38.500 won't have

01:08:38.820 electricity.

01:08:40.160 They won't.

01:08:41.880 And now they

01:08:42.640 could know that

01:08:43.140 they won't

01:08:43.440 have wood.

01:08:44.840 I don't know

01:08:45.300 if they use

01:08:45.740 wood to heat

01:08:46.400 anything in

01:08:46.860 Moscow.

01:08:47.600 But look at

01:08:48.420 the general

01:08:48.940 argument, not

01:08:49.600 the specific

01:08:50.200 argument.

01:08:51.040 The general

01:08:51.820 argument is

01:08:52.620 you want them

01:08:54.120 to think and

01:08:55.580 feel cold.

01:08:59.700 Winter's

01:09:00.180 coming.

01:09:00.500 And you

01:09:03.700 need to do

01:09:04.140 it to both

01:09:04.560 sides.

01:09:05.660 So everything

01:09:06.360 I said about

01:09:07.040 Russia applies

01:09:07.940 to Zelensky.

01:09:09.900 Zelensky has

01:09:10.620 to feel that

01:09:12.820 nobody's going

01:09:13.420 to have

01:09:13.580 electricity in

01:09:14.380 Kiev.

01:09:15.440 I don't know

01:09:16.140 if they will,

01:09:17.400 but he needs

01:09:18.000 to feel like

01:09:18.500 they won't and

01:09:19.980 that they'll

01:09:20.300 freeze to death

01:09:20.960 and it will be

01:09:21.820 his fucking

01:09:22.300 fault.

01:09:23.680 So both of

01:09:25.260 them need to

01:09:25.800 feel that

01:09:27.040 they're now

01:09:27.860 going to kill

01:09:28.320 the women

01:09:28.740 and children

01:09:29.180 with their

01:09:29.760 current strategy,

01:09:31.580 which they

01:09:31.900 might, by the

01:09:32.460 way.

01:09:33.140 They might

01:09:33.600 kill the

01:09:34.020 women and

01:09:34.420 children with

01:09:34.940 their current

01:09:35.360 strategy because

01:09:36.880 both places

01:09:38.280 will become

01:09:38.800 unlivable in

01:09:40.200 the next two

01:09:40.740 months.

01:09:42.260 Moscow is

01:09:42.860 probably only

01:09:43.440 livable for

01:09:44.120 two more

01:09:44.540 months.

01:09:46.260 Did that

01:09:46.900 sound like

01:09:47.280 hyperbole?

01:09:48.720 It was.

01:09:49.840 It was

01:09:50.380 hyperbole.

01:09:51.560 But I'm

01:09:51.900 not far

01:09:52.300 off.

01:09:53.340 I'll bet

01:09:53.640 Moscow will

01:09:54.340 only be

01:09:54.920 livable for

01:09:55.560 two months

01:09:56.140 because I

01:09:57.020 after that

01:09:57.420 they're going

01:09:57.700 to lose

01:09:57.940 power, I

01:09:59.540 think.

01:10:00.940 And then

01:10:01.240 what do

01:10:01.460 you do?

01:10:01.960 Middle of

01:10:02.440 the winter

01:10:02.780 in Moscow?

01:10:05.020 Do you

01:10:05.560 have to

01:10:05.800 leave?

01:10:06.900 What would

01:10:07.280 you do?

01:10:08.960 Tear down

01:10:09.640 the house

01:10:10.000 to make

01:10:10.400 firewood?

01:10:16.780 What's

01:10:17.260 that?

01:10:18.640 Seeing

01:10:18.960 somebody

01:10:19.340 whoops.

01:10:20.640 Damn it.

01:10:23.980 Anyway,

01:10:24.540 I'm looking

01:10:24.860 at the

01:10:25.120 comments to

01:10:25.680 see how

01:10:26.260 much

01:10:26.460 disagreement

01:10:27.100 I'm

01:10:27.440 getting.

01:10:28.680 But I

01:10:29.300 don't see

01:10:29.700 any.

01:10:30.280 Vodka?

01:10:31.780 As long

01:10:32.260 as they

01:10:32.460 have vodka

01:10:32.880 it'll be

01:10:33.200 okay.

01:10:35.640 All right.

01:10:36.140 Well,

01:10:36.560 it'll be

01:10:37.000 easier to

01:10:37.780 sell the

01:10:38.280 cold when

01:10:39.840 it gets

01:10:40.300 colder.

01:10:41.480 So every

01:10:42.340 day that

01:10:43.520 we get

01:10:43.840 closer to

01:10:44.480 the middle

01:10:45.060 of winter,

01:10:46.240 it'll be

01:10:46.700 easier to

01:10:47.220 sell this

01:10:47.620 idea that

01:10:48.220 maybe we

01:10:49.100 should try

01:10:49.540 to get

01:10:49.820 warm.

01:10:51.760 Trump

01:10:52.340 could even

01:10:52.800 say,

01:10:53.320 let's just

01:10:53.940 stay warm

01:10:54.460 this year

01:10:54.940 because if

01:10:56.780 you contrast

01:10:57.620 warm with

01:10:59.940 what's actually

01:11:00.520 going to

01:11:00.820 come at

01:11:01.220 them,

01:11:02.160 because there's

01:11:02.780 no way that

01:11:03.300 they blew up

01:11:03.860 all these

01:11:04.260 energy industries

01:11:05.340 unless they're

01:11:06.460 planning to

01:11:06.960 shut down the

01:11:07.540 other one in

01:11:08.040 the winter.

01:11:09.140 And I think

01:11:09.920 they're planning

01:11:10.360 to shut down

01:11:10.940 the other one,

01:11:11.860 both sides.

01:11:12.520 anyway.

01:11:17.580 The U.S.

01:11:18.380 military has

01:11:19.040 allegedly killed

01:11:20.200 32 people

01:11:21.200 off the

01:11:21.580 coast of

01:11:22.000 Venezuela

01:11:22.380 so far

01:11:23.380 without,

01:11:25.160 this is

01:11:25.700 actually I was

01:11:26.200 reporting on

01:11:26.780 this,

01:11:27.300 without telling

01:11:27.880 Congress or

01:11:28.560 the American

01:11:28.940 people who

01:11:29.500 was killed

01:11:30.000 or on

01:11:30.880 what evidence.

01:11:32.280 Do you

01:11:32.580 care?

01:11:33.820 How many

01:11:34.480 of you care

01:11:35.320 that the

01:11:36.320 U.S.

01:11:36.700 government has

01:11:37.260 killed 32

01:11:38.060 suspected

01:11:39.060 drug smugglers

01:11:40.280 off the

01:11:40.740 coast of

01:11:41.120 Venezuela?

01:11:41.480 Do you

01:11:42.660 care that

01:11:43.100 you don't

01:11:43.420 know their

01:11:43.740 names or

01:11:45.180 that they

01:11:45.500 didn't have

01:11:45.880 due process?

01:11:47.380 I don't.

01:11:49.220 No.

01:11:49.840 When it

01:11:50.240 comes to

01:11:50.740 the drug

01:11:51.340 cartels,

01:11:53.260 I would be

01:11:55.000 happy with

01:11:55.460 any kind

01:11:55.880 of summary

01:11:56.420 execution.

01:11:58.720 I would be

01:11:59.340 happy if

01:11:59.920 the moment

01:12:00.700 they captured

01:12:01.860 them,

01:12:02.860 they just

01:12:03.500 shot them

01:12:03.820 in the head

01:12:04.160 and left

01:12:04.760 them there.

01:12:06.140 I would be

01:12:06.920 happy with

01:12:07.280 that.

01:12:08.080 I don't

01:12:08.560 need my

01:12:09.640 military to

01:12:10.380 explain every

01:12:11.060 kill.

01:12:11.480 once we've

01:12:13.420 agreed it's

01:12:14.000 a war,

01:12:15.800 we're a

01:12:16.340 terrorist

01:12:16.720 situation,

01:12:18.680 and we

01:12:18.980 have,

01:12:19.960 so we're

01:12:20.660 already past

01:12:21.200 that.

01:12:21.540 It's a

01:12:21.820 terrorist

01:12:22.040 situation.

01:12:22.820 I don't

01:12:23.120 care what

01:12:23.440 you do

01:12:23.680 with them.

01:12:24.800 I do

01:12:25.380 not care

01:12:25.900 what you

01:12:26.220 do with

01:12:26.500 them.

01:12:26.700 I don't

01:12:27.000 want to

01:12:27.860 know their

01:12:28.140 names.

01:12:28.660 I don't

01:12:28.820 want to

01:12:30.020 mess with

01:12:30.440 any due

01:12:31.320 process.

01:12:32.500 Do I

01:12:32.920 think that

01:12:33.380 that might

01:12:33.740 cause the

01:12:34.360 death of

01:12:34.740 an innocent?

01:12:35.260 innocent?

01:12:36.600 Maybe.

01:12:38.720 That's war.

01:12:40.560 I'm not in

01:12:41.320 favor of it.

01:12:42.460 I'm not in

01:12:43.160 favor of any

01:12:43.780 innocent people

01:12:44.460 being killed,

01:12:46.080 but I

01:12:48.280 didn't create

01:12:48.700 this situation.

01:12:49.820 You take the

01:12:50.540 situation as

01:12:51.220 it's given

01:12:51.620 to you.

01:12:53.480 Anyway,

01:12:54.160 over in

01:12:54.680 Ireland,

01:12:55.660 Ireland plans

01:12:56.400 to make

01:12:56.780 $15 a month

01:12:58.800 basic income

01:12:59.600 for artists

01:13:00.300 permanent,

01:13:01.200 according to

01:13:01.620 Business Insider.

01:13:02.500 So they

01:13:03.360 tried a

01:13:03.780 trial where

01:13:05.000 some artists

01:13:05.620 were paid

01:13:06.060 $1,500 a

01:13:07.180 month, no

01:13:07.920 matter what

01:13:08.300 they did.

01:13:09.020 It wasn't a

01:13:09.720 job.

01:13:10.100 They just

01:13:10.440 give them

01:13:11.240 free money

01:13:11.780 for being

01:13:12.800 artists.

01:13:13.720 And now

01:13:14.340 they want to

01:13:14.740 make that

01:13:15.060 permanent in

01:13:15.700 the budget

01:13:16.060 because it

01:13:16.400 worked out

01:13:16.760 so well.

01:13:21.520 I don't

01:13:22.120 know if

01:13:22.340 they talked

01:13:22.780 to any

01:13:23.100 artists,

01:13:24.580 but as

01:13:25.520 an official

01:13:26.140 artist myself,

01:13:28.040 sort of,

01:13:29.640 let me tell

01:13:30.320 you how art

01:13:31.020 works.

01:13:31.460 If you

01:13:32.800 pay me to

01:13:33.560 not make

01:13:34.100 art, how

01:13:35.980 much art am

01:13:36.520 I going to

01:13:36.820 make?

01:13:38.000 If you

01:13:38.620 pay me

01:13:38.980 whether I

01:13:39.380 make art

01:13:39.820 or not,

01:13:40.720 how hard

01:13:41.280 am I going

01:13:41.640 to work

01:13:41.940 to make

01:13:42.300 a good

01:13:42.620 art?

01:13:44.580 Not very

01:13:45.280 hard.

01:13:46.200 The reason

01:13:46.780 that I try

01:13:47.340 really hard

01:13:47.960 every time I

01:13:48.640 draw a comic,

01:13:49.580 and I do,

01:13:50.720 every single

01:13:51.480 time, I

01:13:52.900 try really

01:13:53.500 hard.

01:13:54.880 Do you

01:13:55.100 know why?

01:13:56.200 Because it's

01:13:56.660 a business.

01:13:58.580 That's my

01:13:59.260 obligation.

01:13:59.820 obligation.

01:14:00.340 My obligation

01:14:01.180 is to try

01:14:02.360 as hard as

01:14:02.820 I can to

01:14:04.420 make the

01:14:04.760 best thing I

01:14:05.280 can, because

01:14:06.640 there's money

01:14:07.560 going back and

01:14:08.260 forth.

01:14:09.760 But if I

01:14:10.440 got paid no

01:14:11.100 matter what I

01:14:11.620 produced,

01:14:13.180 let's just say

01:14:15.600 my work would

01:14:16.240 go a lot

01:14:16.660 faster, a lot

01:14:17.720 faster.

01:14:18.760 So no, this

01:14:19.260 is the worst

01:14:19.760 idea ever.

01:14:20.920 I don't know

01:14:21.300 if they include

01:14:21.840 musicians in

01:14:22.660 this, but

01:14:24.060 it's crazy.

01:14:25.140 somewhere over

01:14:28.360 in Canada,

01:14:30.720 let's see,

01:14:31.940 in the

01:14:32.320 Richmond,

01:14:32.860 British,

01:14:33.260 Columbia part

01:14:34.160 of Canada,

01:14:35.380 apparently

01:14:35.680 there's some

01:14:36.180 court ruling

01:14:37.020 in which

01:14:38.420 some homeowners

01:14:39.580 are going to

01:14:40.160 have to give

01:14:40.600 their property

01:14:41.340 back to the

01:14:42.020 Native Americans.

01:14:45.080 That doesn't

01:14:45.820 even seem like

01:14:46.380 it could be

01:14:46.760 real, does

01:14:47.320 it?

01:14:48.620 That in

01:14:49.660 2025,

01:14:51.020 there's going

01:14:51.920 to be an

01:14:52.460 actual process,

01:14:54.920 I don't know

01:14:55.460 if it will

01:14:55.780 succeed, but

01:14:56.480 the process

01:14:57.140 will look at

01:14:57.900 maybe taking

01:14:59.540 the homes from

01:15:00.340 the modern

01:15:01.740 people who

01:15:02.400 own the homes

01:15:03.080 and have

01:15:03.420 owned it,

01:15:03.940 maybe owned

01:15:04.540 it all their

01:15:04.960 life, or

01:15:05.740 thought they

01:15:06.160 owned it,

01:15:06.800 and now the

01:15:07.540 courts will

01:15:07.900 say, you

01:15:08.240 never owned

01:15:09.100 that, because

01:15:10.080 it was stolen

01:15:10.700 property.

01:15:12.560 So they're

01:15:13.240 going to give

01:15:13.620 your stolen

01:15:14.160 property back

01:15:14.900 to the people

01:15:15.420 who also never

01:15:16.240 owned it because

01:15:16.900 they weren't

01:15:17.300 even born.

01:15:19.540 That's literally

01:15:20.420 happening in

01:15:21.140 Canada.

01:15:22.400 Now, as

01:15:23.060 somebody pointed

01:15:23.680 out, if

01:15:24.920 that happens,

01:15:26.960 and somehow

01:15:27.960 I still have

01:15:29.240 hope that it

01:15:29.900 will be pulled

01:15:30.440 back and

01:15:31.020 couldn't possibly

01:15:31.640 happen, but if

01:15:32.580 that happens, it

01:15:33.140 would be the

01:15:33.520 end of land

01:15:34.220 rights in

01:15:34.760 Canada, and

01:15:36.140 capitalism would

01:15:37.120 be destroyed in

01:15:37.960 Canada forever.

01:15:39.720 You couldn't

01:15:40.340 have capitalism.

01:15:42.220 Capitalism would

01:15:43.000 never exist

01:15:43.900 anywhere where

01:15:44.880 the capitalists

01:15:45.520 had to give

01:15:46.060 back what they

01:15:46.740 stole.

01:15:47.840 Let me say

01:15:48.300 that again.

01:15:48.720 there's no

01:15:50.480 place on

01:15:51.040 earth that

01:15:52.440 capitalism could

01:15:53.360 survive if

01:15:55.220 they were forced

01:15:55.740 to give back

01:15:56.540 what they stole

01:15:57.420 at some point

01:15:58.160 in the past.

01:16:00.320 Sorry, I'm

01:16:01.840 not in favor of

01:16:02.820 capitalists stealing

01:16:04.180 your stuff.

01:16:05.180 That's not where

01:16:05.940 I'm going.

01:16:06.960 I'm not saying

01:16:07.620 it was good.

01:16:08.600 I'm not saying

01:16:09.040 it was moral.

01:16:10.100 I'm not saying

01:16:10.540 it was ethical.

01:16:11.920 It just is.

01:16:12.900 So if you

01:16:14.700 want capitalism

01:16:15.560 into your life,

01:16:17.560 you can't be

01:16:18.320 giving back the

01:16:18.980 stuff the

01:16:19.360 capitalists stole

01:16:20.140 100 years ago.

01:16:21.540 You just can't

01:16:22.060 do it.

01:16:25.540 Anyway, I guess

01:16:26.300 the Trump

01:16:26.680 administration,

01:16:27.560 according to

01:16:27.900 Fox News, is

01:16:28.680 shattering the

01:16:29.820 deportation record.

01:16:32.280 So half a

01:16:33.340 million have

01:16:33.820 been deported

01:16:34.540 and 1.6

01:16:36.680 million self-deported

01:16:37.860 because they knew

01:16:38.760 that they would

01:16:39.200 be next.

01:16:40.340 You add them

01:16:40.860 together, you get

01:16:41.480 over 2 million

01:16:42.540 people who did

01:16:44.980 not have a

01:16:45.480 strong enough

01:16:46.060 claim to stay

01:16:47.000 in the United

01:16:47.440 States that

01:16:48.060 they wanted to,

01:16:49.600 you know, that

01:16:50.780 they're still

01:16:51.140 here.

01:16:52.220 So is that

01:16:54.640 good?

01:16:56.480 2 million in

01:16:57.600 six months?

01:16:59.360 It looks pretty

01:17:00.340 good.

01:17:01.420 I'm going to

01:17:01.920 have to say,

01:17:03.000 once again,

01:17:04.480 Trump has

01:17:05.180 identified the

01:17:06.480 big problem

01:17:07.080 and put massive

01:17:09.400 resources against

01:17:10.480 it, and then

01:17:11.760 we can observe

01:17:12.420 it.

01:17:13.720 How much do

01:17:14.480 you love that?

01:17:15.840 That he identifies

01:17:16.660 correct problems

01:17:17.860 and then puts

01:17:19.220 massive resources

01:17:20.260 against solving

01:17:21.020 them right away.

01:17:22.680 Like he doesn't

01:17:23.220 even wait.

01:17:24.040 It's just like

01:17:24.400 right away.

01:17:26.360 We'll never see

01:17:27.360 this again.

01:17:28.360 I don't believe

01:17:29.440 we'll ever see

01:17:30.240 this again.

01:17:31.660 He's just the

01:17:32.340 best president

01:17:32.900 we've ever had

01:17:33.660 by far.

01:17:35.160 I think that

01:17:36.740 competition is

01:17:39.080 basically over,

01:17:39.800 unless he does

01:17:40.640 something terrible

01:17:41.300 between now and

01:17:42.100 the end of his

01:17:42.600 term.

01:17:44.660 All right.

01:17:46.140 That's what I

01:17:46.800 had to talk

01:17:47.300 about today.

01:17:49.420 And that's all

01:17:50.220 I got.

01:17:50.680 But I'm going to

01:17:51.020 say a few words

01:17:51.720 privately to my

01:17:53.020 beloved local

01:17:55.100 subscribers.

01:17:56.140 If you're a local

01:17:56.940 subscriber, you know

01:17:57.960 that I've been doing

01:17:58.600 some drawing

01:17:59.400 lessons, I guess

01:18:02.160 you'd say.

01:18:02.660 Not really

01:18:03.120 lessons, but when I

01:18:04.360 do my drawing of

01:18:05.240 the comic, I've

01:18:06.260 now got a little

01:18:07.000 caller device that

01:18:09.600 holds my phone so

01:18:11.460 that the phone is

01:18:12.480 just looking down on

01:18:13.420 my hands while I

01:18:14.240 work.

01:18:14.940 So I've done a few

01:18:15.580 of those just for

01:18:16.240 the locals people.

01:18:17.320 I did one for the

01:18:18.580 ex-audience the

01:18:19.960 other day.

01:18:22.100 But locals will

01:18:23.120 get more of them

01:18:23.740 because I enjoy

01:18:24.720 working while people

01:18:25.600 are just hanging

01:18:26.060 out with me.

01:18:27.160 All right.

01:18:27.660 I'm going to go

01:18:28.220 privately to

01:18:29.300 locals in 30

01:18:30.880 seconds.

01:18:33.300 Damn it.

01:18:33.760 It's not working.

01:18:34.280 Sorry, locals.

01:18:36.760 Sometimes the

01:18:37.400 button just doesn't

01:18:38.140 work.

01:18:38.680 I don't know why

01:18:39.160 that is.

01:18:41.400 I can't go

01:18:42.440 private with you.

01:18:45.540 But I think

01:18:46.600 you'll live.

01:18:49.660 Sometimes the

01:18:50.320 button doesn't

01:18:50.800 work, and I

01:18:51.260 don't know why.

01:18:53.700 Thank you,

01:18:54.460 Gunner the Cat.

01:18:55.820 Appreciate it.

01:18:56.800 All right.

01:18:57.040 I'm going to take

01:18:57.480 off and get some

01:18:58.120 breakfast.

01:18:58.680 You do the

01:18:59.100 same.

01:19:00.540 Bye for now.

01:19:04.280 It doesn't

01:19:09.800 work.

01:19:34.280 I'm going to do it.

01:19:36.160 Thank you.

01:19:44.780 All right.

01:19:45.820 Thank you.

01:19:46.840 Bye for now.

01:19:47.340 Bye for now.

01:19:47.600 Bye.

01:19:48.040 Bye.

01:19:48.660 Bye for now.

01:19:51.120 Bye.

01:20:01.260 Bye.

01:20:01.820 Bye for now.

01:20:02.140 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 21, 2025

Episode 2995 CWSA 10⧸21⧸25

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