Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2999 CWSA 10⧸25⧸25

00:00:00.000 hey there you are come on in there's still room up front if you want to grab a chair

00:00:10.720 grab a chair grab a beverage i'll check your stocks for you oh looking good

00:00:17.360 your stocks are up even your bitcoin is up a little bit how's your tesla oh tesla's down

00:00:24.880 nvidia is up nuclear is up well let's do a show huh you guys ready for this you should be

00:00:40.960 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:45.200 coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to try to take

00:00:51.040 a chance and elevate your experience up to levels that nobody can even really understand with their

00:00:56.880 tiny shiny human brains all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass of tankard shells to

00:01:03.520 stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee

00:01:10.960 and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes

00:01:15.680 everything better it's called the simultaneous slip it happens now go

00:01:27.200 oh i've never been more complete well after the podcast today as tradition requires uh owen gregorian

00:01:37.520 will be hosting a spaces event on x so just look for owen gregorian or you could go to my

00:01:44.240 my my x feed if you know where that is i've also reposted it and you can get a little more but first

00:01:53.760 according to our other tradition that we're developing i will read you a new reframe from

00:01:58.320 my book reframe your brain changing all of your lives one frame at a time remember

00:02:05.120 not all the reframes are for every person all right um that one i've done already

00:02:18.160 i'm gonna say this one

00:02:22.160 all right yeah i already did that one too i'm gonna get you the best one that will get your weekend off to

00:02:28.160 a good start um oh here's one so a typical frame that you may have heard all your life is that success

00:02:38.560 depends on who you know have you ever heard that one it's really who you know if you know the right

00:02:45.520 people then you could be successful well i'm not going to say that's untrue i'm just going to reframe it

00:02:53.360 more effective instead of saying it's who you know which is sort of discouraging if you don't

00:02:59.760 know anybody who's useful am i right if i said it's about who you know and you don't know anybody

00:03:08.880 suddenly it's like oh it's about who i know and i don't really know anybody who could help me

00:03:15.120 so you feel kind of helpless so don't do who you know a better reframe is how many people you know

00:03:24.560 now if i tell you it's based on how many people you know you instantly know what to do like oh

00:03:31.680 you mean if i joined uh some kind of social group and met a bunch of people i'd be better off yes yes

00:03:38.640 you mean if i went to my family reunion instead of staying home i might be better off yes yes that's

00:03:45.440 what i mean it doesn't matter who's there it matters how many people you meet over your life

00:03:51.200 because it's a numbers game if you meet enough people somebody's going to have the thing you want

00:03:57.600 the connection you want somebody will know the person you want to meet numbers go for numbers

00:04:04.080 that's your reframe of the day it's not who you know it's how many people you know boom

00:04:13.600 all right let's talk about the news

00:04:17.520 apparently newsmax and others are reporting that there's going to be some maybe as many three

00:04:23.200 interest rate cuts from the fed in the coming months that would be cool so i guess the uh inflation

00:04:31.040 went up a tiny bit but it could have gone up more and so i guess it's still low enough

00:04:38.160 that the fed doesn't mind stimulating the economy so that's good news michael schellenberger has a uh

00:04:47.600 i guess an exclusive i guess it would be an exclusive but you know how at least my audience we've been

00:04:54.080 talking forever how the climate change models have not borne out and as part of that we've talked

00:05:00.880 about how the sea level rise never really rose as much as the climate model said that they would

00:05:09.920 but the new part that michael is adding is that the experts always knew that the that the uh

00:05:18.880 water level numbers were fake

00:05:20.560 did did did he hear that the experts always knew that this rising sea level story was not based on

00:05:32.800 science and that's that's what michael has uncovered with i guess he had exchanged 50 emails with

00:05:41.040 one particular sea level expert but some other some others as well and uh he basically has a uh i don't

00:05:49.600 know if you'd call it a whistleblower but he has somebody who's like like one of the greatest experts

00:05:54.480 in this domain telling him that it was never real and that they knew it and sure enough 30 years later

00:06:04.640 sea level has not risen in any alarming way and they always knew it so i'm going to recommend you to

00:06:12.880 his article in public so it's michael schellenberger if you're not following michael what are you doing

00:06:21.440 yeah if you're on x follow michael schellenberger just do it just do it yeah no you don't have to

00:06:29.440 research it just take my word for it just do it you'll be happy you did anyway so

00:06:36.320 it's funny because wouldn't that be the biggest story in the world if it were up to you to decide

00:06:45.600 what are the big stories today would the big story be about the ballroom no no if it were up to you

00:06:54.080 this would be the biggest story of the last 10 years that the scientists have been lying to us about a

00:07:00.160 multi-trillion dollar thing that changed all the economies in the western world and maybe even

00:07:08.240 destroyed some of them what would be a bigger story than this even even if you thought you know there was

00:07:15.040 a another side to the story it wouldn't matter even if there's another side to the story

00:07:20.800 it would still be the biggest story but because it i know the answer to the question by the way

00:07:29.120 years ago i heard this story but i don't know if it's true i think it is it's one of those stories

00:07:35.120 that if it isn't true it still tells you what i want to tell you so i'm gonna i'm gonna act like it

00:07:40.080 was true but i believe that the watergate story that was broken in the washington post i'll have to get

00:07:47.680 a fact check on this somebody can fact check me while we're while we're live is it true that

00:07:52.480 there was some smaller publication that already had that story because that's what i heard at the

00:07:59.200 time i heard at the time that there was some small newspaper who was reporting watergate just the way

00:08:05.200 the washington post eventually did and uh they didn't get any attention do you know why that is

00:08:11.040 it's the it's the michael schellenberg thing somebody and it's not you and it's not me and

00:08:18.800 it's not michael somebody decides what the news is did you know that that somebody decides what the

00:08:26.800 news is it's not what's happening it's not what's important somebody literally decides what you're going

00:08:34.240 to what you're going to think is the news and everything else they'll ignore so the two entities

00:08:41.440 that decide what is the news back in the watergate days were the washington post and the new york times

00:08:48.880 so the fact that this that the watergate story had been again i need a fact check on this but even if

00:08:55.200 it's not true that the gatekeeper thing is still true that there were only two entities

00:09:00.560 they could tell the world if it was a story otherwise they just ignored it and then if you were a small

00:09:07.920 if you were a small uh outlet you knew that if you had just your own little weird stories that

00:09:13.680 were not also in the big outlets nobody would take it seriously so the reason that

00:09:22.640 the reason that michael schellenberger's scoop which in my opinion could easily

00:09:30.560 something's talking to me i don't know what it is

00:09:37.360 hello is something talking to me

00:09:41.840 there's some electronic device on my desk that's trying to have a conversation with me i don't even

00:09:46.800 know what it is none of my devices look like they're talking all right probably a poltergeist

00:09:54.000 probably a poltergeist or the cast of learn to talk you know i was worrying about that i got the

00:09:59.680 cast when they're young they were always around the english language i didn't want them to learn

00:10:05.200 english but i think they have anyway that's why michael michael's uh scoop will get less attention

00:10:12.560 than it should because he's not a newsmaker that that's how the real world works

00:10:19.200 you've heard of the global engagement center that's one of the things that under the trump

00:10:29.600 administration and doge we found that there was this thing called the gec we heard a lot about it

00:10:35.440 from mike benz but paul sperry is reporting that the state department has officially dismantled it

00:10:41.920 why do you care because it was an entity for censoring mostly conservatives um so it was it was

00:10:51.440 trying it was trying to look like it was something else but it was really just a censoring

00:10:55.920 conservatives so i guess they had an impact on the daily wire the federalists and a bunch of other

00:11:01.360 news sites that would be uh let's say not associated with the left

00:11:06.880 all right so i think all of you are aware of my current uh health challenges and so you would be

00:11:15.600 aware that after i'm done with the show uh i get into major let's say pain management mode which i don't

00:11:24.080 do you know before the show because i wouldn't be able to talk uh so by you know last night i was in my

00:11:33.200 man cave last night it was probably after eight o'clock at night and i was winding down for the night

00:11:40.880 now winding down in my particular case means i've taken my my strongest pain meds and they're really

00:11:48.000 going to knock me out but because it's legal and because i can and because it helps i smoke a massive

00:11:55.680 amount of marijuana before i go to bed now since i'm a chronic lifetime you know marijuana user

00:12:04.800 uh i have to smoke quite a bit before i get the effect that somebody else will get

00:12:10.720 so i'm quite dedicated to removing my pain and getting a good night's sleep so i was really hitting

00:12:16.880 it hard i was probably more zonked out and higher than i've been i don't know in years maybe and it

00:12:27.280 was all safe you know i'm literally just in my own home and i'm 10 feet away from where i'm gonna sleep

00:12:33.040 for the night so it's not like there's any danger or anything but i'm sitting there and i have my phone

00:12:37.920 on and it's playing videos from x oh yeah i'm definitely getting the good stuff uh so the videos

00:12:47.360 on x will automatically play you don't have to advance to the next one when one is done another

00:12:53.360 one pops up and all of a sudden i look over and there's bill maher on my phone and he's talking about

00:13:00.880 me and i had this moment where i'm thinking am i just really high or did my phone just start talking 0.77

00:13:09.840 about me my phone is talking about me damn it what's my phone saying about me

00:13:17.760 and sure enough bill maher decided to rip on me and and mike cernovich last night on his show so it was 0.84

00:13:24.160 a clip from the show about me earlier that day jesse waters had also been uh talking about me on the five

00:13:36.560 i'm just trying to people i'm just trying to get through the day and my phone keeps talking about me

00:13:42.080 shut up stop talking about me anyway here's what bill maher's complaint was as you know if you're 0.75

00:13:50.400 if you're my regular audience you know that i've been trying to um talk bill maher and of his belief 0.73

00:13:57.440 in the january 6 insurrection if he can get past that you might understand what's happening and he's

00:14:05.440 so close so i'm rooting for him at the same time that he's not exactly on my team if you know what i mean

00:14:13.440 but i very much would like to see him make you know a complete let's say awareness event

00:14:23.920 he's halfway there i mean the fact that he learned that trump is not a monster in person

00:14:30.080 it's a pretty big deal pretty big deal but he still has some beliefs about january 6 and things that are

00:14:36.960 just batshit crazy now i'm pretty sure that my criticism of him on that topic may have gotten

00:14:44.960 through the the filter he does i don't think he even looks at social media so it would have had to be

00:14:49.680 somebody told him but the fact that i got on his target list at all suggests that i maybe broke through

00:14:57.840 some some kind of barrier to uh to get to him now here's what's interesting the way he decided to

00:15:05.440 include me and cernovich in his in his monologue is by saying that the tds is not limited to the left

00:15:16.560 and that there is a derangement syndrome that the people on the right

00:15:21.040 have and he decided that i would be a good example of someone who is not understanding reality

00:15:27.040 me literally literally one of the most prolific debunkers of fake news in the history of fake

00:15:38.640 news who's done more of it than i have i mean except for the websites that do it full-time

00:15:45.200 america debunk for example but i'm literally i'm literally famous for getting it right i was on

00:15:52.640 bill moore's show once in 2016 do you know what i predicted i predicted that trump would win back when

00:16:01.840 almost nobody was doing that he didn't remember that properly so here's what here's why he surfaced

00:16:09.920 to show that i'm a a nutbag he surfaced two of my best predictions of all time

00:16:17.040 because he thought they were false number one prediction was in 2020 when i said if if biden

00:16:24.000 gets elected you could be dead in a year and the other one was if biden was elected republicans will

00:16:32.160 be haunted so those are two tweets i did those are considered by the political right as two of the best

00:16:39.920 predictions ever made by anybody at any time now is it true that bill moore doesn't know about charlie

00:16:50.080 kirk you didn't hear about that does he not know that trump got shot in a year once and maybe almost

00:16:57.840 shot another time didn't hear about that what about that health care guy do you think he was a democrat

00:17:04.400 i don't know maybe he was what about uh the january sixers see this is this is the problem

00:17:12.240 bill moore still thinks that the january sixers were treated appropriately doesn't know that that was

00:17:20.000 just hunting republicans so the so he's got a blind spot for that and obviously his problem with the

00:17:27.840 january sixers is that nobody will do the the one simple test that i recommend if anybody wants to

00:17:34.160 know what's going on with the january sixers ask any person who is there any january sixer

00:17:42.160 ask them if their intention was to overthrow the government or to make sure that the government had

00:17:48.160 correctly chosen the right person which one was it because it's not illegal to ask your government to

00:17:55.600 make sure it correctly chose the right person that's why they were there and and somehow bill

00:18:02.880 moore is the last person on earth to know why they were there i guess he believes that the you know if

00:18:09.360 there were two percent of them were unambiguously violent and there's not a i don't think there's a

00:18:17.040 single republican who thought that the people who were unambiguously violent should go unpunished

00:18:24.240 i've never heard of one republican say that or even a maggot person or anything so he's living in this uh

00:18:31.520 this sort of fantasy about january 6 but he's but mar has said explicitly that his main view around trump

00:18:41.360 revolves around january 6 and and what that implies about him wanting to stay in office as a king or

00:18:47.680 something like that so his whole world view will be collapsed once he realizes what they did to him

00:18:54.960 on january 6 and what i mean by they is the news the news reports there was a bunch of insurrectionists

00:19:01.920 and he somehow has believed that nothing like that happened that nothing like that happened in the real

00:19:08.240 world there was a bunch of people wanting to prevent an insurrection very overtly and obviously and they

00:19:14.800 will tell you and 100 of them will tell you the same thing there's no other side of that there's

00:19:20.640 no two sides of that nobody was there not even a single person to overthrow a government

00:19:30.960 as if they would show up without guns to overthrow the government

00:19:34.160 so here's the good news the fact that bill felt or his probably his writers thought that they needed

00:19:43.760 to work me into the mix and cerno into the mix let me ask you this question what do mike cernovich and i

00:19:52.240 have in common relative to bill mars show go what do cernovich and i have in common relative to bill mars show

00:20:06.400 at the moment there's no way that either of us would ever be invited as a guest

00:20:13.280 right it's kind of easy to go after us isn't it because he has it he has a show where you would normally

00:20:20.000 invite as a guest because he's not afraid of inviting guests who disagree with him you would

00:20:25.600 normally invite a guest who had that level of disagreement with you to come on the show and act

00:20:31.360 crazy so he could show his audience how crazy i am but he would also because bill mars a fair guy

00:20:39.840 he would allow me to have my time to say my piece do you think he knows that if i went back on the show

00:20:46.240 i'm not going to go back in the show because health reasons but if i could go back in the show

00:20:51.920 do you think he doesn't know that i would destroy his entire world view he might

00:20:59.200 there aren't many people who can destroy somebody's world view in a five minute media hit but i'm one of

00:21:06.800 them i'm one of them it wouldn't work with every person but it would definitely work with a thinking

00:21:13.040 person he's a thinking person who's smart enough to know what i'm saying and know his own argument

00:21:18.880 and know it all fits together he's definitely smart enough for that and uh and know my skill set

00:21:26.880 my specific skill set

00:21:30.480 five minutes give me five minutes and i will dismantle his january 6 illusion and he will be free

00:21:37.360 i can free him now i don't think it'll happen because you know my my window is closing faster than

00:21:44.880 that could happen but maybe a cerdovich maybe so uh i would uh i would certainly be delighted

00:21:54.240 to see mike cerdovich get uh invited as one of the special guests not one of the panelists i think mike's

00:22:01.440 too important to be a panelist i think he needs to be like one of the special guests that you know he

00:22:06.800 talks to for a few minutes up front but uh i would certainly trust mike to take forward any

00:22:14.080 argument that i would have taken forward you know if it's a good argument he could do it if it's a

00:22:19.760 bad argument on my case on my end he wouldn't do it so i would be uh comfortable with that

00:22:28.000 anyway so that's that's what my life is like my phone talks to me sometimes when i'm high

00:22:33.600 liz warren wants to launch an investigation into this whole ballroom thing 1.00

00:22:41.040 all right that watching trump completely own the dems with his ballroom is not going to get less

00:22:48.400 funny it's just going to get funnier because they keep doubling and tripling down on the least

00:22:54.480 important thing in america stop somebody on the street and say could you list your biggest three

00:23:01.600 worries in america oh it was the national debt and it was nuclear war but now now it's that ballroom

00:23:13.440 have you seen it have you seen it so everything about that's funny but launching an investigation

00:23:21.840 because she wants to find out if the big companies that are going to help fund it 0.80

00:23:26.080 are going to get any favors in return to which i say really you don't understand that's how the

00:23:35.840 whole city works of course they'll get some favors in return that's why they do it

00:23:43.520 that's why they do it but it's not as it's not as clean as a favor it's more like who's on your side

00:23:51.120 and then you know maybe someday that'll matter but it's not like you need to figure out what

00:23:57.920 would be the specific favor that's being traded for this probably no specific favors probably more

00:24:04.800 along the lines of if one of these billionaires calls trump and maybe had contributed toward the

00:24:11.520 ballroom you might call them back a little faster isn't that the way the whole town works

00:24:18.240 are we going to try to get rid of that that's like the operating system of the whole government

00:24:26.560 it's not just trump so yeah if you get rid of once you get rid of a pack and get rid of all all the

00:24:35.600 special interests get rid of all the lobbyists and then get back to me about this ballroom

00:24:42.080 right it's it's just all the same thing do i love it that people are donating money and might get

00:24:48.560 special access no don't love it but it's a universal truth it's not something that just popped up with 0.88

00:24:56.240 this ballroom anyway so that's weak and stupid but it keeps liz warren busy and that's important as long 0.97

00:25:05.600 as long as liz warren is working on that she's not working on anything that will hurt trump so good keep 0.98

00:25:12.960 working on that um brian stelter took it to another a new level of crazy by posting about uh there's a

00:25:24.080 movie critic named richard roper who on x he shared a photo of the white house demolition and then did some

00:25:32.080 movie movie imagining and he imagined it was from a disaster disaster movie from some famous person

00:25:39.280 and then uh roper said they thinks that maybe one of the reasons that people are getting so worked up

00:25:45.200 about the the east wing is that he thinks disaster film iconography iconography is a factor

00:25:52.960 now how far away from reality can democrats get

00:26:02.560 trump just says we don't have enough room for a proper ballroom

00:26:06.560 so i'm gonna build one and i'm gonna get these other people to pay for it hopefully

00:26:12.080 is there anything about that that seemed weird or you know inappropriate for the country

00:26:18.960 or something that something that something the president shouldn't be doing you know making

00:26:23.600 the country look good by having a proper facility for greeting people that's he shouldn't be doing that

00:26:30.160 no this is the democrats it was getting people uh all angry because of the disaster film iconography

00:26:41.440 and then brian stelter thought that was such a good point

00:26:44.160 that the that because it looks like a horror movie scene that people are reacting as if they were

00:26:50.800 watching a horror movie and that would explain why they're so worked up

00:26:57.280 no people can i can i simplify this for you it's just tds it's only tds tds explains 100 of what we're

00:27:09.760 observing there's nothing left over you don't need to add in disaster film iconography

00:27:18.640 if you ever find yourself trying to improve on an explanation of what happened in the real world

00:27:24.720 by adding disaster movie film iconography you will not be invited to anything that i'm at you will you will

00:27:33.200 not yeah no that does not the only explanation for the intense reaction is that the news told people

00:27:41.040 to have an intense reaction if if the news had told people people it's just another one of the upgrades

00:27:49.200 in the white house there have been several obama built a basketball court kennedy built a pool blah blah

00:27:56.400 if they had reported it that way do you think the public would be all worked up no of course not

00:28:03.680 the public doesn't make up its own opinions the public is assigned opinions and they assign the opinion

00:28:11.840 that this was a big big deal and you should get really worked up about it and and they're actually

00:28:17.040 trying to sell it as a metaphor for trump's other activities so you want to stop that metaphor

00:28:24.160 what what do we really need to get involved in stopping a metaphor why none of it makes any sense at all

00:28:38.800 uh

00:28:42.640 so cnn has uh j j plemons was pointing the sound on x uh the cnn pivoted from trump is destroying the white

00:28:51.360 house to trump is renovating the white house because he's planning to stay for a third term

00:28:57.360 so so they had these two competing messages and i think they didn't realize they don't fit together

00:29:03.440 but jay did you can't have both he's not destroying the white house but also improving it so he can stay

00:29:10.560 there for a third term pick one he's either destroying it or he wants to live there forever

00:29:18.960 and by by the by the way this whole uh third term thing uh i floated the idea that it's actually kind

00:29:27.440 of brilliant by bannon because uh if you think that you can just wait trump out just all right it's only

00:29:36.800 it's like three years we can we'll just wait him out then he loses his power right that the maybe not yet

00:29:47.040 but certainly the last two years of his uh of his term he would lose all his power because they'd say

00:29:54.000 we just wait two years not that long but if you think there's any chance that he might be here for

00:30:01.200 a third term you're going to say to yourself too soon we we better not try to take him out too soon

00:30:09.360 because if we try to take him out and it doesn't work he's going to be around for another six years

00:30:16.720 and he's going to come for us so i don't know what's in bannon's brain and it's always a mistake

00:30:23.760 to imagine you can read the mind of somebody who knows more than you do especially on this topic

00:30:30.800 but it does seem to me that there's plenty of room in there for what looks like a crazy idea

00:30:37.200 to be a brilliant idea but not really about a third term there's no real risk of a third term

00:30:43.520 in my opinion but if they think there is it gives them something to talk about that doesn't affect us much

00:30:50.800 right it's like it's like the ballroom it just gives them something to talk about

00:30:55.200 because they need something to talk about but it wouldn't won't make much difference to the real world

00:31:00.320 well minority leader hakeem jeffries uh finally he's endorsing uh mondami for mayor of new york

00:31:11.360 now some say that that would be the end of the democrats because once you get you know top democrat

00:31:16.800 endorsing him now all the uh whatever it is that we don't like about mom domi can now be transferred

00:31:23.840 over to all democrats right when there were no top democrats endorsing him so schumer has not endorsed

00:31:32.400 him as far as i know and uh hakeem jeffries had not until today endorsed him so as long as the top

00:31:41.440 democrats are not endorsing him they could you know have a little distance and say well you know

00:31:47.600 that's his race we're doing our thing he's doing his thing but now that jeffries has endorsed him it

00:31:53.600 seems to me that all the the stink will be on both of them and there's no way around it

00:31:58.800 um but here's the bigger the bigger issue the democrats had this gigantic uh hole in their

00:32:09.280 leadership as in no leader of course jeffries tries to be the leader but wasn't doing much 0.93

00:32:16.400 of a good job chuck schumer tries to be a leader but he's literally pathetic that the one word that 0.98

00:32:23.120 you would most most most use for chuck schumer would be pathetic right he just sort of looks pathetic

00:32:31.200 um so he didn't really have any leadership but as soon as i think hakeem jeffries may have 0.89

00:32:38.320 he may have known that if he endorsed uh mondami it kind of makes mondami the leader of the party

00:32:46.640 it makes him leap leapfrog both jeffries and schumer and he only needed one of them to say you're okay

00:32:52.880 i'll endorse you so it probably made sense for jeffries to hold back as long as possible

00:32:58.720 because he knew that the moment he endorsed him mom domini would leapfrog him in terms of leadership

00:33:05.760 you know brightness he would just shine a little brighter than the top guys

00:33:11.120 now what would it take for mom domini to literally be the leader of the democrats 0.99

00:33:16.960 in the way that even the other democrats would agree because they would not agree with that assessment

00:33:21.920 today what would it take all it would take is for mom domini to come up with policies 1.00

00:33:29.840 that other democrats say well that's a policy well why don't we do that the affordability thing

00:33:37.120 i hate to tell you is brilliant affordability as a rallying cry for democrats absolutely brilliant

00:33:44.960 can he do that again i don't even know if he did or somebody advised him of it

00:33:49.360 but whoever came up with affordability that was the professional if there's a hypnotist in the wood

00:33:57.600 pile there somewhere you know maybe a professional persuader who came up with affordability whoever it

00:34:04.800 was is not the normal democrat the normal democrat just simply isn't that good or that smart because

00:34:13.360 affordability isn't just a good play it's it's a base clearing home run you don't see that very often

00:34:22.000 so yeah i mean it's just amazingly the right the right play so if he could do that more than once

00:34:28.640 you know let's say affordability is one domain but if he can do that with maybe another domain or two

00:34:34.240 he's the leader of the party because nobody else has any ideas and certainly not as clever as that one

00:34:44.000 so i think we just saw the the keys being handed off to the new leader of the party because he's

00:34:50.400 certainly going to win everybody thinks anything anything could happen but at the moment it looks

00:34:55.600 like he would certainly win and he's got policies and if he can make even one thing work in new york

00:35:04.000 two years from now you know he can't run for president because of where he was born but uh he might be the

00:35:10.880 leader of the party well did you know that uh tulsi gabber said back in april quote we have evidence of

00:35:21.120 how these electronic voting systems have been vulnerable to hackers for a very long time and

00:35:27.440 vulnerable to exploitation to manipulate the the votes so so we know for sure that the machines at least

00:35:37.680 had some vulnerabilities which is different from knowing that anybody cheated separately i've been

00:35:44.080 following and i've been telling you about this uh rasmussen report uh account on x is a lot of fun

00:35:51.760 i don't know what's real and what's not so if it sounds like i know what's real turn that off for the

00:35:59.200 next five minutes i don't know what's real i only know what people think is real and there are a lot of

00:36:05.280 people who think the 2020 election was stolen and there's this book called stolen elections the

00:36:10.640 takedown of democracies and what rasmussen is doing is reading that book which apparently is well

00:36:16.800 researched uh giving the page numbers and then telling you some provocative things from the book

00:36:23.360 that i never heard these are things i never heard before but apparently somebody who has enough

00:36:29.840 credibility for at least rasmussen and other people reading the book i don't have i don't have a

00:36:36.720 independent opinion about the credibility of this i'm going to report it because it's fun okay it's sort

00:36:44.240 of fun to to see that maybe trump is winning on every domain everywhere he's just winning everything

00:36:52.160 everywhere and the the big one would be if we could get a definitive answer if the 2020 election was rigged

00:37:01.280 and again i i personally don't have definitive information about that i don't want to get sued

00:37:06.640 and act like i do i don't but i also don't know if this book is credible or not credible and i have no

00:37:12.880 way to really know but here are the claims this is broken down by rasmussen so you should just follow

00:37:20.480 follow rasmussen the next um that china provided the money to run the system this is our election

00:37:28.000 systems uh and they build the election election machines meaning that chinese technology is in our

00:37:34.960 election machines and then they're sent to a warehouse in taiwan the machines where they're

00:37:41.520 repackaged and loaded with smartmatic software all right so this is the claim in the book it's not my claim

00:37:49.120 and then china also owns because they own huawei these massive servers in serbia they're used to store

00:37:59.600 voting data and run the system remember you heard that there were servers in serbia that had our american

00:38:07.360 data information and you thought to yourself that can't be right that can't be true there's no way that

00:38:14.560 our voting information in real time is being sent to serbia during election but the claim is that it is

00:38:23.920 so there's a there's a claim that that's exactly what happened uh iran apparently provides some

00:38:30.640 technical services that's the claim again allegedly and they also helped pay for it i don't know about i

00:38:38.480 don't know about the iran or the ram connection um but apparently the iran foreign minister reportedly on

00:38:46.960 our election day in 2020 was in venezuela to watch the steal now again i can't confirm that any of that's

00:38:56.320 true uh russia allegedly supplied some engineers to help run the electronic voting system all right i'm not

00:39:05.440 sure i believe that and that cuba was involved with some engineers so i'm going to say as i read through

00:39:13.920 the claims um i i do not find them credible doesn't mean they're fake doesn't mean they're fake

00:39:26.400 but that's uh that's more countries than i would expect to be involved in a top secret plot i i don't

00:39:35.600 see that this many countries could be in on this and it wouldn't have been you know easily uncovered

00:39:43.120 so i don't know make your own decision about how credible that is david sachs of the all in pod had

00:39:50.880 fascinating thing to say about the source of wokeness now i know you're going to say that

00:39:56.960 companies had to act woke because they were partly owned by blackrock and state street and vanguard

00:40:03.600 who own a lot of they own parts of a lot of the biggest companies and apparently they were putting

00:40:08.960 pressure on them to do esg and dei etc so we kind of most of us knew about that but what i didn't know

00:40:17.120 and this is what david sachs explained is that they're that most of the stocks or maybe half of

00:40:26.800 all stocks are owned by index companies companies that just say all right we will own all of the s p

00:40:33.040 500 stocks so if you're an index fund and you also have to vote with shareholders you don't really want

00:40:41.440 to be in the business of making decisions for each company in your index fund so you buy a service you

00:40:48.240 buy a third-party service uh i heard it listed but i didn't see how they're spelled something like glass

00:40:54.480 list and iss give me a fact check on those two company names but there are two companies that exist

00:41:02.160 just to help the index funds vote on all the many stockholder votes that come through if you own stocks

00:41:10.560 so they don't have to make a decision the whoever owns the index fund or runs it they they just say

00:41:16.320 are you guys we paid you to make our decisions uh did you vote on these oh yes we did so that gave those

00:41:23.120 two companies uh an immense amount of power because if the companies would say we're thinking of going esg or

00:41:32.080 dei these these two proxy companies would say oh yeah yeah get yourself some esg and some dei we'll vote for

00:41:39.600 that so if you thought that things became the way they are because the public sort of coalesced on

00:41:49.440 that those opinions and then then you know public preference got expressed through our various

00:41:56.000 organizations and businesses didn't happen that way nope the public was assigned to their opinion

00:42:03.840 by a few companies that had a profit motive we were assigned to those opinions it did not happen

00:42:12.880 organically unbelievable now how many of you knew that that's the first time i'd ever heard that

00:42:21.200 it's like one of the foundational understandings of how anything is happening in the united states just

00:42:28.000 foundational if you didn't know that that's where this came from you would be all where does this

00:42:34.640 come from that's where i've been for years for years i've been where exactly did this come from

00:42:40.640 like how whose idea is this and then you automatically you know blame george soros for everything

00:42:46.240 i don't know if you do but sometimes i do maybe it wasn't him maybe this one wasn't soros but it might be him a little bit too

00:42:58.080 also in the all in pod uh chamath and friedberg were saying that uh that optimist robots

00:43:07.360 might colonize mars but they could unlock the rare earth minerals on earth so apparently if you

00:43:15.520 could just be a little bit better at getting the rare earth minerals if if human beings could take

00:43:21.600 more pressure and heat than a human being could take we would have access to way more minerals

00:43:28.160 because we could put humans in there to mine them and they could handle the pressure and the heat

00:43:33.200 but humans are weak and we cannot handle much pressure and heat robots however could handle more pressure

00:43:42.000 and more heat so the thinking is that there's a if you get the robots to be able to mine and we're

00:43:49.360 probably right at the precipice of being able to do that if you throw enough robots at the mine

00:43:55.360 uh humans don't get injured and the robots can go down to that next level of rare earth mining availability

00:44:04.960 where apparently there is lots of rare earth so we don't have a problem with finding it or mining it

00:44:13.600 we have a problem with staying alive while we're mining it and that might be solved entirely by robots

00:44:20.880 because they'll stay alive so to speak so sometimes your biggest problems could be your smallest problems

00:44:30.240 it's entirely possible that in 18 months we're going to have armies of robots digging through the ground

00:44:38.560 getting all this rare earth and suddenly problem solved yeah and including the processing now the

00:44:45.600 processing is also environmentally destructive but we could probably

00:44:52.400 do better at that

00:44:55.280 anyway speaking of mom dami um there's some controversy about whether he has ever

00:45:02.000 used the phrase global jihad because if he ever used it in a positive way that would look like he just

00:45:08.720 wants to be part of the taken over the world for the benefit of the muslims 1.00

00:45:13.680 which would not be too popular in the united states he says he has never he has never endorsed a global jihad

00:45:20.480 and nobody has any evidence that he did right he has never he has never supported a global jihad

00:45:28.480 and there's no evidence that anybody has that he ever did he has however uh taken pictures with people who do

00:45:36.960 uh he does however have supporters who totally are on the global jihad side of things and he's not

00:45:46.880 exactly disavowing them now you can fact check me on the following as well is it true that he has never

00:45:54.320 condemned the phrase global jihad i do accept that if nobody has any evidence he's ever embraced it

00:46:01.680 that he's never embraced it in public but has he ever condemned it because it feels like that would be

00:46:09.360 appropriate wouldn't it um so that's my question has anybody even asked him if he's condemned it i

00:46:17.040 haven't seen that happen um but he says he he says he won't condemn the phrase but he's opposed to the

00:46:23.920 violence so i think he's actually said he won't condemn it because that's just somebody else's opinion or

00:46:28.800 something but if you don't condemn that and i know i saw somebody mentioned takia if that's the right

00:46:37.760 pronunciation the idea that if you're a muslim you're not encouraged but you're totally allowed to lie 1.00

00:46:45.200 about your ambitions for taking over the world because the lying might help you do it so that doesn't

00:46:54.160 mean he's lying it just means you can't tell by what he says it's exactly in the domain where lying

00:47:02.800 would be allowed explicitly it would explicitly be allowed to lie if you had an islamic world view

00:47:09.760 and you bought into you know the islam has to dominate the world eventually and maybe maybe you 0.98

00:47:16.400 need to bend the truth to get there that would be totally totally allowed so you can't trust anything

00:47:22.720 he says on that topic because he happens to be part of a team which explicitly allows you to lie

00:47:31.120 on that question so you know it would it be my fault if i don't believe him it's not my fault if i

00:47:39.520 don't trust him right that would just be built into the system and we're just observing the system oh

00:47:46.400 it's a system in which people who are in this channel are encouraged to lie about exactly this

00:47:53.920 question so then when he says something about that question should i say oh he's the one person who's

00:48:00.800 decided not to lie about it i don't know what he's thinking i mean obviously i can't read his mind

00:48:07.360 he might be just a good american who you know that comes from a different background can't rule it out

00:48:16.000 but would you trust him see trust and credibility are different from what's true he might say only

00:48:24.240 things that are true how would you know could you trust him no no he can't really trust any politicians

00:48:33.040 so the fact that it's even possible that he would be friendly with the idea of a global jihad

00:48:40.560 just doesn't want to say it should be disqualifying but it won't be

00:48:48.240 speaking of that 25 according to new york post craig mccarthy's writing some survey that said that 0.96

00:48:55.840 25 of new yorkers would consider fleeing new york city if mom dummy wins this is a garbage poll

00:49:03.840 i think maybe there were only 500 people that they talked to which is not enough 0.67

00:49:08.720 and when you when you word it this way would you consider that doesn't mean anything

00:49:14.800 if 25 considered it how many would actually do it one one percent and maybe they had different

00:49:25.280 reasons than what they said maybe none uh i think boston had a similar situation when their

00:49:33.040 when their billionaire taxes were being raised everybody said oh the billionaires will move out

00:49:38.400 but not too many did so i i would not pay attention to a 25 considering fleeing because people consider

00:49:50.320 all kinds of things they don't do it all right so trump apparently is doing his uh trip to the east

00:49:59.760 so he's going to visit malaysia japan south korea trying to get some trade deals and minerals and

00:50:05.120 ceasefire ceasefire ceasefire deals and all that could be a successful trip we'll see he might be

00:50:13.440 with china's xi but that's not set up it's hard for me to imagine that president xi of china would do a

00:50:22.720 sort of semi-unplanned hey i'm in the neighborhood can i stop by i feel like it would be such a big event

00:50:30.720 if a president visits that you don't just slap that together and meet on the tarmac so i don't know

00:50:37.440 that he's going to meet xi but it would be it would be impressive if they pulled off a casual meet

00:50:43.920 i would be impressed by that actually for both of them um meanwhile putin has a new envoy over here who's

00:50:53.840 doing a lot of talking his name is uh kirill demichev and he made a little news um he said that europe

00:51:03.600 is committing civilizational suicide uh reporter asked him do you think europe will become completely

00:51:10.640 muslim and he said i think this is where they're going other things we see is for example europe uh

00:51:18.160 uh all right so jd vance has basically said the same thing as this russian envoy that europe is

00:51:27.120 essentially committing uh civilizational suicide uh this is in the clash reporter so

00:51:40.400 here's my question

00:51:41.360 yeah you want the most provocative question you're going to hear today see if anybody can top this

00:51:49.280 one for a provocative question and you tell me is this a fair question all right here's a question

00:51:56.880 that i've never heard anybody ask but you tell me is it a fair question so you're a european

00:52:03.600 let's say you're a white uh christian or um non-believing european and i told you you had two choices for

00:52:15.200 the future you could be dominated by russia or you could be uh become a islamic nation

00:52:26.800 because those are the only two choices because you know what choice you don't have

00:52:30.560 maintaining your european character you already gave it away you opened the borders too late

00:52:38.800 you you uh shrunk your militaries too late you you made yourself uh probably a little dependent on

00:52:48.480 the economics of russia and their energy it's too late so one of two things is likely to happen

00:52:55.200 europe will either become totally dominated by russia which would help prevent them from becoming 0.57

00:53:01.680 islamic or they'll become islamic because there's nothing that would stop it except 1.00

00:53:09.040 what would be the one thing that could stop europe from going islamic the one thing 0.92

00:53:15.200 conquest by russia it's the only thing 0.71

00:53:18.320 now here's where i get in trouble i'm not suggesting that would be a good idea i'm not

00:53:27.200 hoping it happens i'm not encouraging it to happen i would not celebrate it if it happened

00:53:36.400 but the cold hard truth is europe will either be dominated by russia or islam

00:53:43.680 i don't think there's any other way is there what are they doing to protect themselves from either one

00:53:51.840 not enough the us is the only thing that protects them from russia 0.98

00:53:56.720 and nothing is protecting them from islam islam's coming 1.00

00:54:01.280 so let me ask that question again if you're a european and your choice was to be dominated by russia

00:54:09.760 but it was still sort of look like europe you just have a new boss or change everything sharia law 0.66

00:54:19.120 maybe you get beheaded

00:54:22.400 i hate to tell you that the russian option might look better to some some europeans it just might 0.96

00:54:27.680 look better and i don't know if uh pudin has ever factored that into his plans but he probably should

00:54:34.720 i don't want to give him any advice but probably should

00:54:41.120 well that same envoy dmitriev says that the russian economy actually grew four percent

00:54:47.920 whereas the eu grew less than one percent so he's trying to argue that the sanctions aren't working at

00:54:54.640 all and and russia is growing like crazy do you believe that no no we do we do not believe that russia

00:55:03.040 had a uh four percent gdp no i don't think so maybe i mean anything's possible but probably not

00:55:16.080 um

00:55:18.160 but he also says the same envoy he says that u.s russia and ukraine are close to a diplomatic solution

00:55:26.560 he says i believe russia the u.s and ukraine are actually quite close to a

00:55:29.680 a diplomatic solution not just close but quite close and uh

00:55:39.120 what he what he uses as his evidence that they're close by the way there's no reporting they're

00:55:44.480 close there there's nobody in the news business who is saying he's close

00:55:50.400 doesn't look close to me but he's saying this and he's saying that one of the reasons is

00:55:54.800 that because the lens is sort of admitted that whatever whatever ending the battle looks like

00:56:02.000 it would include freezing the battle lines about where they are so his point of view is once both

00:56:08.880 sides realize that the the lines are not going to change that you're closer to an agreement than you

00:56:15.200 might admit you know maybe both sides don't want to yet admit that they both know how it's going to

00:56:22.160 end sort of looking like it looks now but it's more it's more of a problem that they just can't say it

00:56:30.080 so he might have a working theory that makes sense that the only thing that really really mattered is

00:56:35.840 where they drew the line when they stopped fighting and they're not too far off from where that line would

00:56:41.120 be drawn so maybe maybe israel continues to strike some targets in gaza you knew that was going to happen

00:56:52.080 and apparently that uh that vote in the knesset to uh annex most of the west bank is what they call

00:57:01.600 crawling forward how in the world is that even moving forward by inches how is that moving forward

00:57:11.600 now here's my well i guess i'm going to be provocative again if you're natanyahu

00:57:20.080 and uh let's say the fighting's over and they they cobble together gaza the gaza residents move back in

00:57:28.640 hamas still exists because they didn't eradicate it so what would happen if there's still a hamas

00:57:36.160 there's a rebuilding of gaza and there's no annexation of anything in the west bank or of gaza

00:57:44.480 what would that look like for natanyahu it would look like he he traded off all of the goodwill of the

00:57:51.520 holocaust by doing something that the public a lot of the public not all of it called a uh a genocide

00:58:00.240 now it doesn't matter if you think it's a genocide

00:58:04.000 i'm not i'm not quizzing or doing a poll it doesn't matter if you think it's a genocide

00:58:08.960 it matters that a lot of the world thinks it's a genocide and so if israel becomes branded as this

00:58:17.440 genocidal country which it now has been uh they lose all the goodwill of the holocaust 0.99

00:58:24.880 one of their main assets if not the main asset it's not like they have a lot of oil in the ground

00:58:30.560 that the the way they manage the psychology of their their partners and even their adversaries was

00:58:36.960 sort of their biggest asset and that got traded away now if if netanyahu had succeeded in eventually

00:58:47.120 annexing both gaza with no hamas there at all like literally getting rid of all of them and also the 1.00

00:58:55.120 west bank what would netanyahu's uh brand or his reputation be in in history if he if he had pulled

00:59:05.680 that off he would get intense intense criticism right because it would look like he's just stealing

00:59:13.280 land from the palestinians but then you fast forward 100 years what's it look like then if you

00:59:20.720 go forward enough in time the person who made your country bigger and not just a little bit bigger if

00:59:26.960 they had annexed that territory it would be a much bigger country whoever makes your country that much

00:59:33.840 bigger if you wait 100 years they're going to be treated as a hero there's going to be a statue

00:59:40.720 to that person but if you quit if you quit halfway there which is what happened you got rid of the

00:59:48.080 holocaust asset you created a gigantic liability which is the uh the narrative from your enemies that you just

00:59:58.000 did a genocide that's that's a pretty big cost and then you've got to you've got to manage the rebuilding

01:00:06.560 and you somehow got to manage the fact that hamas will be at least a little bit reconstituted

01:00:14.160 so here's here's my summary of that at the moment netanyahu has lost everything

01:00:20.160 it's the worst case scenario because i don't know that once he leaves power that he will be respected

01:00:29.600 enough by either side because he didn't get what the right wing wanted which is annexation

01:00:35.680 and he didn't get what the left wing wanted which is you should have stopped a long time ago

01:00:40.240 so he's got two sides of his public that he would have deeply disappointed and that would be his future

01:00:48.400 no statue right so i would say that the current situation would be a gigantic um definite loss for

01:00:56.240 natanyahu um

01:01:02.000 so do you think that natanyahu is going to passively

01:01:05.120 just to allow things to go the way trump wants them to go

01:01:11.280 i don't think so i think that there will be uh fairly ambitious activities by some people in israel

01:01:20.400 and i'm not not even saying it would be not not yahoo necessarily you might be uninvolved you

01:01:26.160 you might just say all right this is the best we can do so it's possible that then yahoo's

01:01:30.480 almost totally on board with trump just because it's there's no better plan maybe

01:01:38.960 but there got to be a bunch of people who would have been on the pro-annexation side

01:01:45.520 who are doing everything they can to make sure that the peace doesn't hold

01:01:49.360 hamas looks like they're still in power and uh and that they've got to go hard and annex everything 0.76

01:01:54.960 so that's my prediction my prediction is that some factors in israel will not give up the annexation

01:02:06.320 and netanyahu is not strong enough to make them give it up nor would it be in his benefit if they did

01:02:14.560 that's what i think but i can't read i can't read netanyahu's mind so if i do anything that looks like

01:02:21.040 mind reading you have my permission to criticize that because i mean it really does depend i'm sort

01:02:30.480 of guessing what other people are thinking and how good are we at that not we're not good at guessing

01:02:36.240 what other people are thinking we're very bad at it so i'm probably bad at it too presumably

01:02:42.800 all right what else has happened um

01:02:51.840 so steve bannon says that turkey the country of turkey might be the security force in gaza

01:03:00.000 and the way steve says it he goes we've unwound in two months what uh what took a hundred years to end

01:03:07.040 the ottomans are back i love how steve bannon puts context on things so we're all the way back to the

01:03:16.160 ottoman empire they took a little time off but they're back uh the greater israel project blew up 0.79

01:03:21.920 in netanyahu's face um and the ottomans are playing the long game so it sounds like steve is saying the

01:03:30.240 same thing i'm saying which is that netanyahu can't be happy with the way things are going because there's

01:03:36.000 just no way it's going to work out for him and his 100 year plan to be the most consequential israeli

01:03:44.400 probably ended with peace

01:03:48.400 anyway it is time for the after party owen gregorian so that completes my comments i'm going to say a few

01:03:57.760 words privately to my beloved local subscribers they're the best

01:04:04.160 yes um erdogan wants to be the caliph does he they probably all want to be that

01:04:15.920 all right everybody i'll be private with the locals people in 30 seconds if all my

01:04:21.760 bottom are working i feel lucky today good my cat's going

01:04:34.160 nice

01:04:36.960 Duty

01:04:38.880 again

01:04:43.600 good

01:04:45.920 good

01:04:47.520 you

01:04:48.480 good

01:04:50.000 good

01:04:54.040 good

01:04:55.120 good

01:04:58.080 good

01:04:59.120 Thank you.

01:05:29.120 Thank you.

01:05:59.120 Thank you.

01:06:29.120 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 25, 2025

Episode 2999 CWSA 10⧸25⧸25

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