Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 3001 CWSA 10⧸27⧸25

00:00:00.000 Thank you.

00:00:30.000 That's better.

00:00:52.940 That's better.

00:00:53.920 Now you can hear me.

00:00:56.100 I better back up and do that again.

00:00:57.960 And that's what happens when the cat walks on your keyboard after you think you have

00:01:02.680 all your settings done.

00:01:05.440 The cat walked on my mute button.

00:01:11.080 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:01:15.360 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:01:17.060 And you've never had a better time.

00:01:18.880 But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can

00:01:24.540 even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or

00:01:31.320 mug or a glass of tank or chalice, a stein, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any

00:01:35.500 kind.

00:01:36.120 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:38.340 I like coffee.

00:01:39.020 And join me now for the unparalleled buzzer, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes

00:01:44.880 everything better.

00:01:45.880 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:48.480 And it happens now.

00:01:49.380 Go.

00:01:49.540 All right.

00:01:58.880 Our new tradition.

00:02:00.660 One reframe will be read from my book, Reframe Your Brain, the book that changes everybody's

00:02:06.920 life for the better.

00:02:08.660 Sometimes just with one sentence that I have not yet read to you.

00:02:15.120 All right.

00:02:15.480 How about this?

00:02:16.040 How about, here's one of the things that people argue all the time.

00:02:29.380 They argue that a plan will either work or it won't work.

00:02:33.400 That's sort of a common frame.

00:02:36.200 Hey, your plan will work or your plan will never work.

00:02:39.840 A better reframe from that is that friction and incentives always work.

00:02:47.860 We just don't know how well until they're tested.

00:02:50.320 If you put a disincentive somewhere, you can't say it won't work.

00:02:55.300 It'll work a little.

00:02:57.100 You have to wait and see.

00:02:58.680 So instead of saying something doesn't work or it does work, you just say, can I test it?

00:03:04.140 Can I test it?

00:03:06.060 Find out if it works.

00:03:07.760 Winners, find out if it works.

00:03:11.120 Losers, say, that'll never work. 0.95

00:03:15.320 There you go. 1.00

00:03:16.000 That's your reframe for the day.

00:03:18.880 Change your life.

00:03:20.400 Hey, I wonder if coffee is good for you.

00:03:22.340 Oh, according to Nicholas Fabiano, MD, there's a study that says that coffee consumption is

00:03:27.980 associated with increased brain white matter integrity and cortical thickness.

00:03:35.380 I don't know.

00:03:36.140 I'll have to test that.

00:03:39.120 I've been feeling a little bit thin in my cortical area, but it says here this coffee can thicken

00:03:44.980 that up.

00:03:45.920 I'll test it.

00:03:50.800 Yeah, it's working.

00:03:54.300 It's working.

00:03:54.980 I can feel my cortical thickness.

00:03:57.560 Yeah, it's about twice as thick now.

00:04:01.020 You know, sometimes you read this medical news and you don't know if it's real, but that

00:04:05.400 was real.

00:04:07.260 Well, there's a Category 5 hurricane that's heading for Jamaica.

00:04:13.140 Jamaica?

00:04:14.440 No, she went willingly.

00:04:18.460 That's enough of that.

00:04:19.460 So Representative Luna, one of my favorite representatives, is suggesting that on some, was she on a

00:04:30.160 PBD show?

00:04:31.240 She was on a podcast.

00:04:32.880 That the so-called UFOs or UAPs, she seems to have an inside track on that, and they're what

00:04:41.800 she believes are interdimensional beings, according to other people.

00:04:45.900 At the same time, there are reports of some app called the UFO Tracker, some kind of UFO

00:04:52.720 tracker, that shows that there's an enormous amount of unexplained activity, some kind of

00:04:59.900 vessels, that are underwater all over our coast.

00:05:03.480 So my question is, do interdimensional beings use submarines that glow in the dark?

00:05:15.140 Because if I'm going to go to another dimension, I need to know what to travel in.

00:05:20.040 Do we take a spaceship?

00:05:22.240 Submarine?

00:05:23.600 What's on the other side there?

00:05:24.680 I did hear somebody say that if you were a creature from some, you know, some other

00:05:31.880 part of the, I don't know, universe, you might be more comfortable underwater than you would

00:05:38.520 be in our air, so that it would make sense that even if somebody visited Earth, that their

00:05:44.440 impression of Earth was whatever's under the sea, and that they're not even interested in 0.99

00:05:50.740 what's above water, because it's just a pain in the ass. 0.98

00:05:53.140 It's just something on the way to the ocean. 0.99

00:05:55.700 Maybe.

00:05:57.880 Remember I told you that if robots were real, meaning that we really were going to have

00:06:03.060 robots walking around in 12 months, that they would already be doing the things that the

00:06:09.440 market would be seeing?

00:06:11.320 Well, maybe we're there, because Elon Musk says that if you were to visit Tesla's engineering

00:06:19.820 headquarters in Palo Alto, the robots are in fact just walking around, they're on their

00:06:25.800 own, and you could ask them for directions, and the robot would happily take you to the

00:06:31.140 place that you wanted to go.

00:06:32.160 And so this was the point I was waiting for.

00:06:37.520 Approximately one year before you can get a robot, you would expect that the people making

00:06:42.560 the robots would be fully enjoying the wonders of a robot, at least in the office.

00:06:49.620 And it looks like that's either happening or it's very close to happening.

00:06:53.660 So we might be getting close to robots.

00:06:59.680 Anyway, Tesla also says, they showed a video of it, it's pretty impressive, that in order

00:07:05.980 to train their cars, and I think their robots too, they're doing simulated worlds.

00:07:11.280 So instead of having the devices learn on the real world, because there's not enough real

00:07:18.140 world to train them as fast as they want, they have the computer make up a fake world,

00:07:23.720 and then they have it train on the fake world.

00:07:27.040 So now do you believe you live in a simulation?

00:07:31.380 Because you know, the AI doesn't know it's looking at a simulation.

00:07:37.780 Just think about that.

00:07:38.980 The AI is being trained on these virtual worlds.

00:07:44.620 It doesn't know that they're virtual.

00:07:47.800 Can't tell the difference.

00:07:49.680 Why do you think you can?

00:07:53.060 You couldn't tell the difference.

00:07:54.900 If we were a simulation, the whole point is you wouldn't be able to tell the difference.

00:08:01.260 It would be programmed so that even if you thought you wanted to tell the difference,

00:08:06.180 you couldn't tell the difference.

00:08:07.460 You would be programmatically prohibited from realizing your reality.

00:08:15.440 That's what I think, unless you're a player and not an NPC.

00:08:21.280 Well, Javier Millet in Argentina, I guess they had a big win in their midterm elections,

00:08:28.580 which people would say would be somehow good for Trump because, you know, Trump likes him.

00:08:33.240 But his party won 41% of the votes and they're going to pick up a whole bunch of parliament seats.

00:08:40.000 And Javier is really happy.

00:08:42.600 You know, I've been sort of a quiet skeptic of the Argentina miracle.

00:08:50.900 Didn't it always seem a little too good to be true?

00:08:53.060 You know, I mean, I like his vibe.

00:08:57.520 I like his general approach.

00:08:59.620 You know, I like his free market stuff.

00:09:02.860 So I don't have a specific complaint.

00:09:05.360 But it just looked like it was a little too easy, too clean, too promoted.

00:09:15.920 There was something about it that didn't look 100% legitimate.

00:09:20.240 So I've been, you know, you've probably noticed, I have not been a fanboy.

00:09:27.440 I enjoy watching the show, you know, watching what Javier Millet does.

00:09:32.260 It's very interesting.

00:09:33.740 But I'm trying not to be a fanboy because I feel like there might be more news coming someday.

00:09:40.900 Does anybody else have that feeling?

00:09:43.020 There might be more news coming.

00:09:45.300 You don't want to be too far on that train when it happens.

00:09:49.360 Because it's never all good news.

00:09:51.700 There's always something out there.

00:09:53.760 We'll see.

00:09:54.720 Well, I guess in New York City, Governor Huckle and Zoran Mondani and I think KUC were there.

00:10:01.440 They had a big rally.

00:10:03.140 There's their elections coming up Tuesday.

00:10:07.760 Tuesday next week?

00:10:09.960 Yeah, Tuesday next week, I think.

00:10:12.060 And they got up there and they promised free child care and free universal.

00:10:16.500 Universal, yeah, universal child care, free rent or freeze rent, not free.

00:10:22.380 And free buses.

00:10:24.720 I don't know what other free stuff they're giving away.

00:10:27.240 But the people in the stadium were chanting, tax the rich, tax the rich, tax the rich.

00:10:33.080 Meanwhile, the rich were packing up their bags to get as far from New York as they can.

00:10:40.320 Oh, my God.

00:10:42.200 I'm so glad.

00:10:43.420 Well, I'm sure if they tried to do that chant in California that people would do the chant.

00:10:47.640 But how would you like to have a little extra money and live in a state where they're chanting to tax you?

00:10:54.320 You want to leave when the chanting starts, you know, before they get the pitchforks and the torches.

00:11:04.120 Because right after chanting, pitchfork and torches.

00:11:09.340 Now, I don't know if that's coming, but it feels like it is.

00:11:11.700 Well, Wall Street Apes, an accountant on Axley you should follow, Wall Street Apes, they're pointing out that, did you know that the SNAP benefits, which are going to end, I guess, right away, that's the one that feeds the people who don't have enough money to feed themselves. 0.70

00:11:33.560 Did you know that there are 43 million people on that?

00:11:36.340 Americans, well, residents of America.

00:11:42.080 43 million people are being fed by the other people.

00:11:47.260 Did you have any idea it was that big?

00:11:49.880 I had no idea.

00:11:52.420 That's a lot of people.

00:11:54.900 And apparently 54% of immigrant households have at least one major welfare program.

00:12:02.300 Hmm.

00:12:04.000 I wonder what it is for the residents.

00:12:05.980 It's probably not that far off from the residents, actually.

00:12:09.280 So, so here's the question.

00:12:13.600 I think Jake Tapper put it this way to, he was talking to some Democrat.

00:12:21.240 Oh, Murphy. 0.98

00:12:22.120 He was talking to Murphy. 0.96

00:12:23.220 Murphy is the new designated liar. 0.88

00:12:26.800 You know how I always tell you that Swalwell and Schiff and Raskin are designated liars? 0.98

00:12:31.700 They send them out when the lie is just so gross that regular normal Democrats don't want to say it out loud. 0.61

00:12:40.120 But they'll send those guys.

00:12:42.100 You know, they'll say anything.

00:12:43.840 So Murphy's one of those.

00:12:45.560 He's joined the, you know, designated liars will say anything club.

00:12:48.820 So Jake Tapper on CNN, who is now under, is he under the Ellison umbrella already?

00:12:57.920 So what people are looking for is to see if the conservative purchases of these big news entities, everything from TikTok, I guess, is going to go through to CNN to who knows.

00:13:12.480 But we're looking for any subtle changes in coverage that would suggest that the news is either moving toward the middle or even leaning toward the right because of new ownership.

00:13:25.000 But Jake Tapper asked this question, which suggests that he's at least finding the middle, if not leaning to the right.

00:13:32.580 He said to Murphy, funding for food stamps, that would be the, what I'm talking about, is expected to run out at the end of this week.

00:13:41.800 This is happening because Democrats, now watch how Jake Tapper frames this.

00:13:47.440 He says it's happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government.

00:13:52.880 Now, do you think he would have put it that way if he were not owned by a right-leaning entity?

00:14:02.360 Because that's a really powerful framing.

00:14:06.540 And it's very powerful for the benefit of Republicans.

00:14:10.120 I don't know that I've seen Jake go this strong on a narrative that's just pure Republican.

00:14:18.920 But let me finish.

00:14:20.700 So he says this is happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government.

00:14:25.220 Now, Jake has said that a few times, a number of times.

00:14:28.320 He said, you know, how is this not the Democrats?

00:14:31.340 They're the ones who aren't voting for it.

00:14:33.480 You can't blame the people who are voting to open the government.

00:14:36.260 And yet they were.

00:14:39.340 He's making the common sense observation that it's the people voting not to open the government

00:14:44.500 who are the ones voting to not open the government.

00:14:48.980 It's not a hard point.

00:14:50.940 But before, I don't think you would have seen it.

00:14:53.700 But then he goes on with the, this is just a kill shot.

00:14:58.060 So then Jake says, so is this a trade-off you're willing to make?

00:15:07.120 Letting some Americans go hungry until these Obama subsidies get extended?

00:15:13.320 Let me read that again.

00:15:15.040 This is an absolute kill shot.

00:15:18.060 There should be nothing left of the Democrat Party by now, if anybody saw this question.

00:15:23.100 So, is this a trade-off you're willing to make?

00:15:27.540 See, even putting it in the terms of willing to make strengthens it, and continue to make strengthens it again.

00:15:36.720 You've done it, and you continue to do it.

00:15:38.960 He was letting some Americans go hungry until these Obamacare subsidies get extended.

00:15:45.220 Because, I don't know about you, but, you know, if you say healthcare, I obviously care a lot, because that's important.

00:15:54.300 But if you say hunger, I go to a whole different level of caring, right?

00:16:00.720 Hunger comes before kind of everything, except, you know, immediate physical safety.

00:16:06.760 So, it's really strong.

00:16:09.060 So, I'm going to give Jake a sitting, standing ovation for that journalism move, because that was exactly the right question, exactly the right time, and exactly the right person to ask it.

00:16:22.300 What do you think he did with that question?

00:16:24.400 What do you think Murphy did?

00:16:25.640 Did he say, yeah, we're intentionally going to starve 43 million people, which, by the way, the Republicans don't want to do?

00:16:34.640 They want to open the government and give them their money, their food.

00:16:39.060 So, they're going to starve Republicans so that they can get a political win on healthcare. 0.99

00:16:47.660 Now, even if you were to say, but, Scott, you know, we need both of those things, so ranking them doesn't even make sense.

00:16:55.800 Those are two essential things you have to have on both.

00:16:59.080 So, putting them up against each other isn't fair.

00:17:02.080 It's just two things you need.

00:17:04.300 Okay.

00:17:05.460 Doesn't feel like that, though.

00:17:07.060 Doesn't feel like that.

00:17:07.980 Feels like you need to eat before you go to the doctor.

00:17:12.800 Well, so that was, to me, that was really interesting as maybe a sign of the times.

00:17:21.020 So, Trump's, I guess, Trump's in Tokyo.

00:17:23.700 He's already met with the Prime Minister of Japan.

00:17:28.220 And his alleged victories so far in his Asia trip.

00:17:34.600 So, he's touring Asia right now.

00:17:37.880 I don't know how much to believe because the reporting seems a little light.

00:17:44.220 But there's reason to think that Trump set up a number of alternative paths for rare earth minerals through other countries that he's meeting.

00:17:55.400 And he's not done yet.

00:17:56.760 He's still going to South Korea.

00:17:58.200 He might even meet with Kim Jong-un if he wants to catch up.

00:18:02.060 I love the way he does that.

00:18:05.760 We'll talk about that in a minute.

00:18:07.380 So, the question is, did Trump successfully find alternative paths for all of the rare earths?

00:18:16.360 Do we have a new, more robust alternative path that's not China? 0.97

00:18:23.340 And does it cover everything we need?

00:18:26.140 Or does China still have a hand on us?

00:18:30.080 Well, it seems that around the time that these other deals with other countries were being made, China got flexible.

00:18:38.420 And we don't know if that flexibility is because they realize they're going to lose the entire rare earth market, which they might.

00:18:48.400 They might lose the entire rare earth market for ever having tried to restrict it.

00:18:55.400 Would you ever buy rare earth from somebody who had ever tried to restrict it for political purposes?

00:19:02.120 No.

00:19:02.780 Not if you had a choice of buying it from somebody who never did that.

00:19:06.480 You know, it's the same rare earth materials.

00:19:09.240 So, China may have realized how much they shot themselves in the foot with threatening the world with rare earth restrictions. 0.98

00:19:17.360 Maybe.

00:19:18.300 See, this is the part I don't know.

00:19:20.260 Because there might be levels and levels of, you know, what's happening behind the scenes.

00:19:24.920 But apparently there's a soybean agreement.

00:19:29.340 Scott Bessent said he was a soybean farmer himself.

00:19:33.540 I asked Grok and I said, well, he's not a farmer, but he does own farms.

00:19:39.660 So, he's a landlord.

00:19:41.760 He's a landlord who owns some farms that would have been growing soybeans, but China didn't want to buy it until now.

00:19:48.200 Now, I guess they're going to do a big soybean purchase.

00:19:50.280 And they also have agreed, allegedly, with the sale of TikTok to some American entities that will be running all the sensitive stuff so you don't have to worry about China stealing your stuff, we think.

00:20:04.580 So, that's the question.

00:20:06.940 We don't know how successful Trump has been on this trip.

00:20:10.000 We know that everybody's treating him like a superstar.

00:20:12.660 We know that he's, you know, he's our celebrity in chief.

00:20:17.540 They seem to love him.

00:20:18.740 Do you remember the days when it was reasonable for his critics to say that the other leaders were not respecting him and that that was, you know, some of that disrespect was coming on us by extension?

00:20:33.160 When was the last time you heard, oh, those other foreign leaders don't respect Trump?

00:20:39.060 That's gone.

00:20:39.680 I don't know if that's ever coming back, but apparently they got used to him, and they got used to him as a star, a superstar.

00:20:51.360 They didn't just get used to him.

00:20:53.400 They kind of love him.

00:20:55.200 They kind of love him.

00:20:57.440 So, I guess we'll have to wait to see how much of a, you know, a real, real world deal making happened.

00:21:03.680 But the stock market likes it.

00:21:05.200 So, the stock market's up.

00:21:07.040 Seems to be happy.

00:21:07.840 Also because it's now several months into tariffs, and we've collected pretty enormous amounts of tariffs, and inflation barely budged.

00:21:20.840 Now, there weren't many people who thought that could happen.

00:21:25.440 I was sitting on the sidelines watching, saying, maybe it could happen.

00:21:30.260 There are a bunch of smart people who think it can happen, meaning that we collect the tariffs, and we use it as a trade negotiation, and it doesn't create inflation.

00:21:42.620 Not many people saw that coming.

00:21:44.620 Not many people saw that coming.

00:21:46.300 I didn't.

00:21:47.540 I was open to it, but I can't say I predicted it.

00:21:52.720 But here we are.

00:21:54.040 So, maybe in a few more months, things will change, but at the moment, it's looking good.

00:21:57.260 So, the people who are rumored to be buying TikTok would be Oracle, Larry Ellison.

00:22:04.180 So, that would be a pal of Trump's.

00:22:06.940 Fox Corporation.

00:22:09.140 Can you believe that?

00:22:10.680 So, that would be the owners of Fox would also own part of TikTok.

00:22:16.680 That makes perfect sense, doesn't it?

00:22:20.020 As an investment for Murdoch, it makes perfect sense.

00:22:25.220 Andreessen Horowitz will be part of that, and Silver Lake Management.

00:22:28.540 So, I like anything that Mark Andreessen's associated with, because he's a voice of reason.

00:22:36.040 He's not really, not really, he's not at all.

00:22:39.820 He's not political in any sense that you normally think of it.

00:22:42.980 He is a common sense guy, and real rich and real smart.

00:22:48.440 So, the more you give me the common sense guys who are real rich and real smart, yeah.

00:22:53.600 I want you on the board of directors of Oracle.

00:22:56.680 I'm sorry, of TikTok.

00:22:59.880 That works for me.

00:23:03.060 Well, here's a funny little drama.

00:23:05.740 So, Carney, the head of Canada, as you know, there was one minister,

00:23:12.980 Ford, I guess it was, who ran that Reagan ad where Reagan allegedly was against tariffs,

00:23:19.600 and it was to embarrass Trump, because Trump likes Reagan, Republicans like Reagan.

00:23:24.640 And Trump's reaction was to give them 10% more tariffs and stop talking to them on trade deals.

00:23:31.880 So, here's the news from Reuters at that ASEAN summit that Trump's at, and I guess Carney's at, too.

00:23:42.060 Reuters says, from the sidelines of the ASEAN summit, Canada's Prime Minister Carney sent a not-so-subtle message to Washington.

00:23:49.520 We're waiting on you.

00:23:52.260 Carney said that Ottawa is, quote, ready to sit down with the United States,

00:23:56.140 but admits there's been no contact with Trump since Thursday.

00:24:01.120 So, Trump is just freezing him.

00:24:04.040 It's like freezing the kicker.

00:24:06.140 He's just making him wait.

00:24:08.480 Like there was no way he could send him a text message or anything.

00:24:11.260 He's just going to wait.

00:24:12.740 So, Carney's like, I don't know what's happening.

00:24:14.260 Anyway, so, Canada's posture, says Reuters, is polite patience.

00:24:23.140 Polite patience.

00:24:24.840 So, you've got the rudest leader in the world, Trump, against the politest country in the world.

00:24:31.780 There are good buddies in Canada.

00:24:33.920 So, anyway, this is just funny.

00:24:36.480 I don't think it makes any difference in the real world, does it?

00:24:38.980 It's just like they've got this little high school interpersonal drama thing going on that will take care of itself.

00:24:47.840 Well, here's a little update on, you remember I told you the story that Bill Maher used me and Mike Cernovich as examples

00:24:55.440 of crazy, hallucinating conservatives, as they called us.

00:25:02.540 Because, I'll just talk about my own prediction. 0.79

00:25:05.840 My own prediction was that Republicans would be hunted if Biden got in office, and also that they would be in danger of death.

00:25:15.340 Now, the danger of death is obvious, because if you put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football, which is what we did,

00:25:22.860 we put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football, can you tell me that wasn't dangerous?

00:25:29.780 Trump says there would have been no war in Ukraine with Putin.

00:25:34.340 He might be right.

00:25:37.220 Was it more dangerous to have a president who sort of encouraged an arm to one side?

00:25:42.960 Don't know, but it looked dangerous to me.

00:25:45.860 Was it dangerous that we had a president who, if he had been elected for a second term,

00:25:51.400 wouldn't really be able to function that well?

00:25:54.220 Yeah, that looks pretty dangerous to me.

00:25:56.280 Would it be dangerous that your foes around the world see you as incompetent?

00:26:02.340 Would that make it more likely, or less likely, that China would have made a play for Taiwan?

00:26:09.800 Probably more likely.

00:26:11.260 Now, they didn't, but remember, I was talking about likelihoods.

00:26:15.080 I wasn't predicting.

00:26:17.520 I was talking about the odds.

00:26:20.020 And the point was that the odds for our survival would go down if Biden was elected.

00:26:26.340 Now, those are some pretty clean examples.

00:26:30.940 Compare that to Trump, who's stopped eight out of nine wars or something.

00:26:34.920 He's working on the ninth.

00:26:36.960 Is that dangerous?

00:26:38.700 Feels the opposite of dangerous.

00:26:41.300 How about the guy who emphasizes making our military more lethal?

00:26:46.360 Does that make us safer?

00:26:48.100 Yes.

00:26:49.160 Yes, it does.

00:26:49.980 So, I believe that that point has stood.

00:26:55.560 It stood the test of time.

00:26:57.920 But the other one was that Republicans would be arrested, basically.

00:27:03.720 Jailed if Biden came to office.

00:27:06.900 Hunted is the word I use.

00:27:09.120 And then I saw a post by Mila Joy on X, in which she lists.

00:27:13.920 It's, I don't know, this is the beginning of the list.

00:27:18.560 This is the second page of the list.

00:27:20.780 These are the public figures that got arrested or indicted.

00:27:27.140 Just the public figures.

00:27:28.900 So, it'd be like Trump's lawyers, Trump's whatever.

00:27:32.140 People who worked in that domain.

00:27:33.680 That's not even counting the January 6th citizens who were hunted down as well.

00:27:41.480 Doesn't count people like me who were canceled.

00:27:44.400 We got kind of hunted.

00:27:47.160 Right?

00:27:48.580 So, does my point stand that Republicans were hunted or not?

00:27:54.400 Were they?

00:27:56.700 Were they?

00:27:57.980 Was this going to happen on its own?

00:28:01.720 These people, just in a normal situation, no matter who had been elected,

00:28:07.200 they were all going to get arrested?

00:28:09.880 I don't think so.

00:28:11.560 No, I think they were hunted.

00:28:12.480 So, here's what I think is probably going to happen.

00:28:19.640 I don't think Bill Maher follows me or even kind of knows anything about me.

00:28:24.140 Because when he introduced me on his show as the topic, not as a person, but as the topic,

00:28:30.600 he described me as a conservative cartoonist.

00:28:33.400 How many of you think that I'm a conservative?

00:28:39.860 So, you're the ones who know me best, right?

00:28:42.840 You've been with me almost 10 years.

00:28:45.360 How many would call me a conservative?

00:28:46.920 I've told you for sure that I prefer conservatives.

00:28:52.880 I prefer their company.

00:28:55.660 You all know that.

00:28:57.640 And I, right?

00:28:59.020 Yeah, look at the comments.

00:29:00.780 There's nobody who actually knows my work who would call me a conservative.

00:29:04.860 You know, I like my marijuana too much.

00:29:11.140 I don't get involved in the abortion question at all.

00:29:14.420 I think women need to work that out and let us know how it goes. 1.00

00:29:18.280 Right?

00:29:19.440 I'm not a religious person, but I like religion.

00:29:22.360 I'm a big fan of Christianity, but I'm a fan.

00:29:27.220 I'm not a believer.

00:29:29.400 Right?

00:29:30.680 How conservative am I?

00:29:32.580 When I describe myself, my current best description of myself is that I'm a Trump-supporting common

00:29:40.140 sense guy, and that when he does things that look like common sense to me, I don't care

00:29:45.300 if it's left or right or middle.

00:29:48.560 I just like it.

00:29:49.420 So, you're more of a libertarian?

00:29:52.600 I don't call myself a libertarian, because there are too many differences there.

00:29:57.200 Yeah.

00:29:57.960 But have we demonstrated for sure that I don't have to agree with all of your opinions for

00:30:05.320 you to embrace, that I add some value to your...

00:30:10.320 God, I wish I knew what I was talking.

00:30:12.340 God, I need...

00:30:16.000 Something just talks to me in a digital voice every now and then.

00:30:20.180 It's not my phone.

00:30:21.280 It's none of my devices.

00:30:23.520 There's some extra device around here.

00:30:25.820 I must have a listening.

00:30:27.540 I might be bugged.

00:30:28.960 I'm not sure what's going on.

00:30:30.860 Anyway, let's talk about Trump in the third term.

00:30:33.380 That's heating up.

00:30:34.280 I think I might be part of the reason that's heating up, because I added to that noise a

00:30:39.420 little bit, you know, 1%.

00:30:40.920 Bannon's the one driving it, but the idea of Trump staying for a third term is not being

00:30:45.780 dismissed by Trump too hard.

00:30:48.540 So they asked him on the plane about the third term, and Trump says, I haven't really thought

00:30:55.140 about it.

00:30:56.840 Does anybody believe he hasn't really thought about it?

00:30:59.720 Okay.

00:31:00.920 We have some very good people, as you know, but I have the best poll numbers I've ever

00:31:04.580 had.

00:31:07.600 He said something about he would love to do it.

00:31:10.920 So the reporter says, you're not ruling it out?

00:31:13.800 And he doesn't answer as directly as he could.

00:31:16.300 He goes, I think if they ever formed a group, it would be unstoppable.

00:31:23.080 Now, I don't know what the group is, but he talks about J.D.

00:31:25.840 Vince and Marco Rubio being part of it.

00:31:28.500 I don't know if there's more to the group than those two.

00:31:31.260 But he thinks that they would be amazing.

00:31:35.460 But what would be the argument?

00:31:37.760 Apparently, Bannon has some argument that he hasn't trotted out for why a third term in

00:31:44.240 this particular case could be sold.

00:31:47.220 Now, you know my reasoning.

00:31:49.720 My reasoning is that as long as people like Carville are saying that Republicans should

00:31:57.960 be put in orange jumpsuits, paraded through town and spit on after Trump is out of office,

00:32:03.980 and he actually said that, that as long as that's waiting for us, and they're saying so

00:32:08.720 directly, and it's coming from somebody who has some gravitas in the party, then I think

00:32:16.760 that the safest thing for Republicans is to never have a Democrat president, whatever that

00:32:22.140 takes, whatever it takes.

00:32:24.460 And if it takes keeping Trump to keep them from putting me in jail and spitting on me,

00:32:32.400 I'll take the third term.

00:32:34.700 And as I've been saying consistently, there's nothing else that would make me be in favor

00:32:39.900 of violating the Constitution so grossly.

00:32:42.420 But I would definitely violate the Constitution to increase the chance of living.

00:32:47.580 Wouldn't you?

00:32:51.760 I mean, really, wouldn't you?

00:32:53.800 To increase your own chance of living and not being paraded through town and spit on?

00:32:59.420 Yeah.

00:33:00.160 If those are my choices, I'll take the violation to the Constitution.

00:33:04.980 And, you know, and you'll have to live with another four years of Trump.

00:33:10.480 I don't think that's going to happen, but I feel like it's the right, it's the right trade-off.

00:33:15.340 So what would be the argument for keeping him?

00:33:19.620 I'm going to give you my best argument, which I don't think is good, but it'll be an argument

00:33:26.900 for keeping Trump for a third term.

00:33:30.160 You ready?

00:33:30.820 Do you think I could pull this off?

00:33:33.200 Do you think I could give you a persuasive argument why he should get a third term?

00:33:39.940 Well, I don't know if this is unique or if other people have said this.

00:33:43.600 So it might not be, might not be original.

00:33:46.640 Here's my argument.

00:33:48.740 They stole his first and second term with a hoax.

00:33:55.820 The government stole it.

00:33:57.360 The government denied him a full regular term by making him fight to stay in a jail the entire

00:34:07.840 first term and then using the lies that they created in the first term to prevent him from

00:34:16.060 being elected in the second term.

00:34:17.800 Now, I don't know if there was also any chicanery with the votes itself.

00:34:22.180 I don't have any proof of that.

00:34:23.980 But what we do know is that they had a well-organized from the top, from the top, Obama, plan to deny

00:34:36.060 him a normal presidential term.

00:34:38.580 And I would argue if you look at what he's accomplished in his current term, where he's not having to

00:34:46.660 do all this, you know, impeachment hoax stuff, you can see the difference between what it would

00:34:52.220 look like if he had been unfettered, where he is now, versus the way they treated him and

00:34:58.560 essentially denied him a real presidential term.

00:35:02.060 Now, you could say, well, they denied him his second term.

00:35:07.480 Or you could say they denied him his first term.

00:35:12.560 You could say they denied him his first term.

00:35:15.320 He was president, but with such an anchor on him that they put on him, it was like he couldn't really

00:35:21.540 serve his term.

00:35:22.200 So, is that a good enough argument to overcome the very clear wording in the Constitution that

00:35:31.220 you only get two?

00:35:33.960 No.

00:35:35.460 No.

00:35:36.320 The only way that would fly is if the Supreme Court just went totally rogue.

00:35:43.080 Could they?

00:35:44.700 Could the Supreme Court go rogue and vote just by conservative majority?

00:35:50.640 Yeah, that is true.

00:35:51.840 They did steal his first term.

00:35:53.620 We're going to give it back to him.

00:35:56.360 I don't think so.

00:35:58.220 I think that's too far.

00:35:59.860 I can't see Roberts going for that at all.

00:36:03.580 And not really the other ones either.

00:36:05.780 I can't see Kavanaugh.

00:36:07.160 I can't see any of them voting for it, frankly.

00:36:09.840 I think it would be 0-9.

00:36:12.220 But that's the best argument I have.

00:36:14.520 It's not terrible.

00:36:16.200 I just don't think it would pass any kind of scrutiny.

00:36:22.380 All right.

00:36:24.360 All right.

00:36:26.100 Here's more of this.

00:36:27.400 Is the media changing to be more right-leaning?

00:36:29.740 So now that Barry Weiss is going to be taking over CBS News, or already has, I'm not sure where that is,

00:36:36.780 but somebody pointed out that Margaret Brennan, in her interview with Hakeem Jeffries,

00:36:44.740 seemed a little more right-leaning than what they expected.

00:36:48.640 So she was pointing out that Hakeem Jeffries and all the Democrats have been saying forever that Trump is a monster for claiming that the 2020 election was rigged.

00:37:07.780 And that if you claim elections are rigged, you can't be a politician in this country because you're just starting stuff.

00:37:16.720 But Jeffries himself is saying that the gerrymandering that Trump and others want to do is rigging the election.

00:37:27.380 Somehow he's ignoring the fact that all of the 100% of the Democrat states have already gerrymandered,

00:37:34.380 and that California is going to do some more, and maybe Massachusetts too. 0.98

00:37:38.520 So his argument is stupid, but Brennan actually challenged him on the fact that he said rigging the election is the worst thing you could say 0.98

00:37:50.300 while he says that rigging the election is what's happening. 0.99

00:37:54.560 But he's arguing that he's not talking about the election that happened,

00:37:59.400 but rather he's warning that the gerrymandering would be like rigging an election.

00:38:04.340 Is that a good enough nuance?

00:38:07.160 No.

00:38:08.520 It was good to see him challenged on that.

00:38:12.860 I'm not sure we would have seen that challenge before.

00:38:15.200 So that does look to me like the news CBS is moving a little bit to the right.

00:38:20.000 We'll see.

00:38:21.560 Gavin Newsom was on some podcast in which he said that the anti-woke stuff is just anti-black, period, full stop.

00:38:32.380 What have I taught you about people who say, period, full stop?

00:38:35.880 It means they know it's not true.

00:38:40.300 Do you know why people put period, full stop at the end of a sentence?

00:38:44.500 Because they didn't have a reason.

00:38:47.680 If you had a reason, you'd sort of slot that in there.

00:38:50.180 So let me give you an example of when you don't need it.

00:38:54.380 If you don't reopen the government, people will not give food and they'll be hungry.

00:39:01.460 Did I need to say, full stop, period?

00:39:07.120 No.

00:39:08.020 No, because as soon as you heard people won't get fed, argument is made.

00:39:13.120 I'm done with my argument.

00:39:14.240 But if you say something like this, anti-woke stuff is just anti-black, period, full stop, you're really saying I don't want to debate any nuance of this thing because I don't even believe it myself.

00:39:27.240 I have to say, you know, being completely immersed in the conservative worldview, as I often am, I don't really see anybody talking about DEI as being anti-black.

00:39:42.660 I've literally never heard that.

00:39:44.880 I've never suspected it.

00:39:47.960 I've never thought it was like between the lines.

00:39:51.980 It's entirely stop being anti-white.

00:39:56.240 It's not the same.

00:39:58.560 If you want the world to stop discriminating against, in my case, white men, how is that anti-black?

00:40:07.980 It's just not.

00:40:10.860 So notice my argument.

00:40:13.460 And my argument has a reason, that the actual people I know, I've observed for 10 years, don't have any anti-black rationalizations, even in private, like private conversations.

00:40:29.700 Nobody talks like that.

00:40:31.280 Literally nobody talks like that.

00:40:33.380 All they say is, I got discriminated against and I don't want to be discriminated against.

00:40:38.140 So I'm not in favor of being discriminated against.

00:40:40.760 I don't want my kids to be discriminated against.

00:40:43.460 It has nothing to do with what black Americans do or do not get into life.

00:40:49.580 It just has to do with your own discrimination, that you don't like it.

00:40:55.080 So Gavin, but I will give him credit that he did reframe that in a way that politically might be powerful.

00:41:03.780 But what I like about any of the conversations about black America and who's getting what and reparations and all that, have you noticed there's always a Thomas Sowell quote that fits the story?

00:41:17.780 And somebody always puts it in the comments to every one of these X reports.

00:41:22.200 So here are the Thomas Sowell quotes that somebody stuck in the story about Gavin Newsom saying anti-woke stuff is just anti-black.

00:41:31.780 Thomas Sowell, famous black economist, who is widely, widely beloved on the right, probably more than the left, because he's more of a conservative, take care of yourself kind of a guy.

00:41:48.380 So one of his quotes that somebody stuck in there is that when people get used to preferential treatment, equal treatment seems like discrimination.

00:41:56.740 Boy, was that on target.

00:42:00.240 That's exactly on target. 0.96

00:42:03.420 That getting rid of DEI is not crippling black people.

00:42:08.940 It's simply taking away an obvious advantage that they had been enjoying.

00:42:13.480 So if you take away somebody's obvious advantage, they're going to think you're discriminating against them.

00:42:19.680 Thomas Sowell.

00:42:20.620 Then there was a second one on the same comment thread.

00:42:24.320 Also Thomas Sowell.

00:42:25.380 He says it is usually futile to try to talk facts and analysis to people who are enjoying a sense of moral superiority in their ignorance.

00:42:35.460 Exactly.

00:42:36.760 So when somebody like Newsom says that the anti-woke is really anti-black, don't you think he is?

00:42:47.140 I think he was talking to a black podcaster, if I recall.

00:42:50.360 I'm not sure.

00:42:51.420 Fact check on that.

00:42:52.360 But don't you think he was sort of leaning into his sense of moral superiority?

00:43:00.080 That's what that was, right?

00:43:01.960 He was leaning into his moral superiority.

00:43:05.100 Thomas Sowell.

00:43:06.680 Nails it.

00:43:07.260 Speaking of that, Fox News, Preston Mazzella is writing that the University of Washington, they had a job posting that requires some DEI stuff.

00:43:19.740 And one of their white professors did a video totally outing them about what you have to say to get hired.

00:43:26.560 So if you're whoever you are, you don't even have to be white, but you have to say a statement about DEI.

00:43:33.240 It used to be that you just had to say, do you like DEI?

00:43:37.000 Yeah, I like DEI.

00:43:38.120 Okay.

00:43:38.880 All right.

00:43:39.240 You could be hired.

00:43:39.900 But now you have to go deeper.

00:43:43.140 Yeah.

00:43:43.580 According to the professor, this white professor, he says, you have to say that you have deep knowledge of the DEIs in order to get a high rating on all this.

00:43:53.460 He says, the funny thing is, I'm convinced I would not be hired if I applied today.

00:43:59.040 So he's currently one of the highest rated teachers.

00:44:03.840 He won the Distinguished Teaching Award at his university, and he believes there's actually no way that he would ever be hired.

00:44:12.360 So that's your world.

00:44:14.420 So if you were to allow this Distinguished Teaching Award guy to be hired at that university, you would say, oh, that's an even playing field.

00:44:25.820 But if you insist that it has to be a DEI-loving candidate, it's kind of like a special treatment, that if I had special treatment, I wouldn't want to take it away.

00:44:42.920 But Thomas Sowell rings in my mind.

00:44:47.020 All right.

00:44:47.360 President Biden came out and called these the dark days.

00:44:50.680 I've heard some others say that recently.

00:44:52.300 They keep saying that the dark days are here and the bad stuff's happening.

00:44:59.780 And I keep saying, where?

00:45:01.780 Where?

00:45:02.520 Where's the dark stuff?

00:45:04.140 Where's the bad stuff?

00:45:05.460 And then they would add things like, well, Democrats are preventing 43 million people from eating today.

00:45:12.840 And I think, OK, that is dark.

00:45:16.060 But that wasn't Republicans.

00:45:19.020 Republicans are open to feed them today.

00:45:22.300 Just vote on it.

00:45:23.640 We'll feed them today.

00:45:26.040 And then you go to the list.

00:45:27.780 What is the other dark stuff?

00:45:29.940 Was it the solving of all those wars and the fact that Gaza is under control and the fact that Ukraine and Russia were working as hard as we possibly can to de-escalate that before super winter kicks in?

00:45:43.300 Where's the dark part?

00:45:44.440 Where's the dark part?

00:45:45.800 Is it the fact that the tariffs worked, that inflation's under control, that eggs and gas prices are dead?

00:45:53.540 The grief's a little high, but we're working on it.

00:45:58.460 Where is all the darkness?

00:45:59.800 Is it because we stopped doing transitioning youth?

00:46:06.720 Is that the darkness?

00:46:08.340 It feels like an upgrade.

00:46:09.780 But as I've told you before, back in 2016, when the Democrats started calling everything that Trump did dark, you say that because you don't have specific credible complaints.

00:46:24.280 You do it because it can collect all of your fears.

00:46:29.780 The Democrats are not about policy.

00:46:31.860 They're about fear and about personal attack.

00:46:36.260 If they can make you afraid, then they can get elected.

00:46:39.780 So when they say stuff like dark, but they don't give any details of what exactly is the dark part?

00:46:46.260 What are we missing?

00:46:48.920 The reason they can't give you details is if they did, you'd say, oh, well, that looks like temporary.

00:46:55.480 Or, well, yeah, that's true, but Trump's working on that.

00:46:59.240 Or nobody solved it before.

00:47:02.120 Right?

00:47:02.800 So they can't give you reasons. 0.98

00:47:04.500 Because if they gave you reasons, it would look weak and pathetic and, you know, not common sense. 0.95

00:47:11.400 But they can say it's dark. 0.97

00:47:13.380 The dark days have come.

00:47:15.760 Eric Swalwell.

00:47:17.880 I didn't even, I didn't think this was real.

00:47:20.840 But I think it's real.

00:47:22.580 When I first saw it, I thought, that can't be real.

00:47:24.580 So Swalwell said now on social media that the only Democrat candidate who would be, let's say, the only valid presidential candidate for the Democrats would be somebody willing to say in advance that they would bulldoze the ballroom if they won.

00:47:43.860 That's a real thing that happened.

00:47:50.500 Swalwell actually, and by the way, if I'm wrong about, please correct me immediately so I don't go too far.

00:47:56.840 It doesn't look like something that's real.

00:47:59.700 Does it?

00:48:01.320 It doesn't look like it's real.

00:48:03.960 Because it's too on the nose. 0.99

00:48:05.640 It's too on the nose for what, like, the dumbest Democrat would say. 0.98

00:48:11.080 But is it real? 0.97

00:48:11.940 Well, I believe it's being treated as real, right?

00:48:18.540 And can you even imagine bulldozing a $350 million building that even the Democrats have been saying they needed for decades? 0.99

00:48:30.980 Is that the dumbest thing you've ever seen? 0.84

00:48:33.100 And to imagine that maybe the Democrats have enough of a base that would agree with this, that he would think that saying it would somehow boost his political situation? 1.00

00:48:48.440 It's incredible.

00:48:49.500 Well, Russia, Ukraine has turned into two movies on one screen.

00:48:57.600 Depending on which propaganda site you look at, it's a completely different war.

00:49:01.660 So there's somebody named Yasmina on X.

00:49:06.180 Don't know anything about Yasmina.

00:49:08.320 I do not believe that anybody on X is credible when it comes to the war.

00:49:14.960 But I'll just give you a sense of the two sides, what they're saying.

00:49:19.640 Yasmina is on the side that Russia's economy is close to collapse. 1.00

00:49:29.560 And that's one movie.

00:49:32.180 The other movie is that Ukraine is going to lose all of its energy resources before winter and freeze to death.

00:49:39.620 And that Russia has never been serious as they are now about turning off the power in Ukraine.

00:49:46.220 And now that Ukraine is attacking them deep within Russia and taking out some of their energy resources,

00:49:53.020 that Russia will have no gating factor to keep them from taking out all of Ukraine's energy.

00:50:02.000 It looks like what they want to do is make half of Ukraine go dark to force the people who lived in the dark part 1.00

00:50:09.380 to move to the part that still has energy, which would essentially clear out a big swath that they can just reenter.

00:50:17.020 It would make it easier to conquer if they moved down to all the people who didn't have electricity.

00:50:23.300 So that looks like the movie, both of them trying to crush the other's economy.

00:50:28.360 And they have much better weapons this winter than they had last winter.

00:50:32.580 So the odds of them being able to do it in both cases are now closer to, I don't know, closer to 100%.

00:50:42.260 Maybe not 100%.

00:50:44.460 But I don't think they could have done it before.

00:50:47.820 I think they could do it now.

00:50:50.040 And I guess Ukraine sent 193 at Russia just last night.

00:50:56.160 So most of them get shot down these days.

00:50:59.700 But 193 drones a night going after your energy resources?

00:51:04.500 How many nights do you need before you get them all?

00:51:07.880 So I guess one of their biggest refineries got shut down in Russia.

00:51:12.840 But again, you don't even know if that's real.

00:51:15.300 So all the fog of war stuff is completely impossible to sort through.

00:51:20.740 But the U.S. is working on reducing Russia's access to oil.

00:51:31.100 And again, there's two movies on one screen.

00:51:34.160 One movie says that the U.S. is making a big difference

00:51:36.940 and that the sanctions that we put on third-party countries like India and China

00:51:44.540 are actually making them change their behavior.

00:51:47.440 So in the short run, India and China aren't really changing their importing of Russian oil.

00:51:55.700 In the long run, it looks like they might want to avoid the problems

00:51:59.460 that the sanctions will cause them.

00:52:01.480 So it looks like they might be looking for alternatives

00:52:04.000 and that the only thing that would keep them from getting off of Russian oil,

00:52:08.580 which would bring them problems in their own country from the United States,

00:52:12.260 might be just having another source.

00:52:17.080 And that might not be impossible.

00:52:19.740 So if things ramp up in other places.

00:52:24.260 But we'll see.

00:52:25.400 And then apparently there's not a glut of oil,

00:52:28.960 but there's an extra oil being pumped in the Middle East.

00:52:31.640 That's probably at least partly from Trump's influence.

00:52:35.580 Because if the price of oil stays around $60 a barrel,

00:52:40.160 then our domestic industry survives.

00:52:45.540 But Russia would have way less money to press the war.

00:52:49.400 They would also probably survive,

00:52:51.580 but they wouldn't have the extra for the war that they would want.

00:52:56.460 So anyway, fog of war.

00:52:59.720 I saw an older post from February

00:53:05.220 by an AI pioneer, founder kind of guy, Andrej Karpathy.

00:53:11.240 And he had something interesting to say about intelligence

00:53:13.620 versus what we call agency.

00:53:16.480 Agency, in this case, is defined as a personality trait

00:53:21.640 that refers to your capacity to take initiative, make decisions,

00:53:26.160 and exert control over your actions and your environment.

00:53:29.720 That would be your agency.

00:53:31.700 And what Karpathy points out is that

00:53:34.940 we already have a lot of intelligence.

00:53:38.580 So our AIs are doing good on intelligence.

00:53:41.440 They can often or usually beat a human being on what they know.

00:53:46.780 So that's a kind of intelligence.

00:53:48.580 But what they don't have is agency.

00:53:50.980 And that until you start building agency into the robots and the AI,

00:53:56.720 you don't have what you need.

00:53:58.180 So I don't know how you could give them agency

00:54:01.220 without them being too dangerous.

00:54:05.320 So we'll see where that goes.

00:54:09.000 General Motors says they're getting closer

00:54:12.040 to what they call an eyes-off vehicle.

00:54:14.680 They want to make a vehicle where you don't have to watch,

00:54:17.200 sort of like the Tesla model, self-driving.

00:54:19.800 But it doesn't look like they're that close.

00:54:21.740 I think they've got one really expensive car

00:54:24.200 that they think they'll be able to do it with, the Cadillac.

00:54:29.280 And then they want to build Gemini AI into their cars

00:54:32.580 so you can just talk to the car and have it do what you want.

00:54:37.380 Remember I always talk to you about products that have never been tested?

00:54:40.900 Have you ever been in a car with even one other person

00:54:46.220 and tried to use a voice command for anything?

00:54:49.660 Have you ever been in a room where you wanted to use a voice command on your phone,

00:54:54.060 but there are other people in the room?

00:54:56.740 Does it work?

00:54:58.180 Never.

00:54:58.600 If you are obviously doing a voice command to your car or your phone,

00:55:04.860 all of your guests and everyone around you

00:55:07.460 will pretend they can't see that you're doing that,

00:55:10.160 and they will talk normally.

00:55:12.280 And then they'll turn on the music.

00:55:14.420 And you'll be like,

00:55:16.420 seriously, you don't see that I'm giving a voice command to my phone right now?

00:55:21.220 You can't tell that I'm doing that,

00:55:22.820 and you're just talking right over it.

00:55:25.160 It never works.

00:55:28.600 You'd have to have a long trip by yourself with the radio off.

00:55:33.440 And who does that?

00:55:35.160 You'd have to turn off the radio every time you talk to your car.

00:55:39.280 Anyway, I think GM's way behind.

00:55:46.540 Here's an article from IFL Science, Dr. Katie Spaulding.

00:55:51.140 Do you guys know how the 2,000 calories a day recommendation for humans came about?

00:55:56.960 Do you ever wonder about that?

00:55:59.100 Like, who came up with 2,000 calories as sort of the baseline?

00:56:03.920 And there's a long story to it, but basically it's just made up.

00:56:08.320 It's just a number that a bunch of people sat in the committee and said,

00:56:11.580 how about 2,000?

00:56:12.960 Well, you know, big people who were getting ready for a competition,

00:56:18.580 they might need more.

00:56:19.640 Yeah, but 2,000 is a round number.

00:56:21.280 So basically the reason is 2,000 instead of 2,350,

00:56:26.600 which they think might have been a more accurate number,

00:56:29.840 is that it's easier to remember 2,000.

00:56:32.020 So they can manipulate people easier if they said 2,000 instead of 2,350.

00:56:37.520 And of course, everybody should be getting their own amount based on how big they are.

00:56:45.300 Roman.

00:56:48.200 What's the matter, Roman?

00:56:49.040 Roman.

00:56:49.120 Roman.

00:56:49.140 Roman.

00:56:49.160 Roman.

00:56:49.180 Roman.

00:56:49.220 Roman.

00:56:49.260 Roman.

00:56:51.260 That was quite a whale. 0.95

00:56:53.840 Row.

00:56:55.480 All right.

00:56:56.620 You'll take care of him.

00:56:58.280 All right.

00:56:59.140 So, yeah, everything about nutrition is made up and fake, 0.98

00:57:02.380 and all the science around it is sketchy and ridiculous. 0.98

00:57:06.360 So there's that.

00:57:09.260 Israel says that they're not in favor of Turkey taking a security role in Gaza.

00:57:15.460 Why is that big news?

00:57:17.020 Well, it's big news if Turkey had been willing to do it. 0.76

00:57:21.260 That would have been pretty big news.

00:57:23.480 I don't know if they're willing.

00:57:25.480 But Israel says they're the ones who get to decide which other Arab countries do security,

00:57:32.140 and nobody else gets to decide.

00:57:34.280 And I agree.

00:57:34.980 Obviously, Israel would have to be okay with whoever goes in there. 0.69

00:57:38.500 But that does eliminate what I thought was the most likely contender for this security.

00:57:46.760 What would be next?

00:57:48.020 Would they say yes to Saudi Arabia?

00:57:51.200 Would they say yes to Jordan? 0.59

00:57:53.660 Who would they say yes to who had a dependable military?

00:57:59.900 Because the dependable military is a big part, right?

00:58:03.180 It can't be everybody.

00:58:05.360 Well, here's my prediction.

00:58:07.120 I believe that, as I said before, that Netanyahu loses if what happens after the end of the war is Gaza gets rebuilt,

00:58:17.160 Hamas has a role in it, and in the end, there's no one-state solution. 0.98

00:58:24.540 Because all of that was possible if Netanyahu had been allowed to just take it to the ultimate conclusion,

00:58:33.280 which would have taken a few years.

00:58:35.520 But 100 years from now, as I say, if Netanyahu had turned the entire West Bank and Gaza into Israel,

00:58:44.120 and it just was one big country, if he had pulled that off,

00:58:47.500 in the short run, of course, he would just be called a war criminal

00:58:51.800 and whatever is the worst criticisms you can come up with, 0.76

00:58:55.540 genocidal maniac, in the short run.

00:58:58.180 But if you waited 100 years, it would be a big statue to him, 0.70

00:59:01.640 and he would be the greatest Israeli who ever lived,

00:59:04.360 because he created the greater Israel.

00:59:07.420 So he was, of course, I can't read his mind,

00:59:11.740 but it's obvious that he didn't want a two-state solution,

00:59:15.920 and it's obvious that if he'd had his way for a few more years,

00:59:21.720 he probably could have gotten just about anything he wanted.

00:59:25.440 But Trump stood in.

00:59:27.860 Trump took the credit for ending the war.

00:59:30.400 He took the credit, but he also ended the killing, most of it.

00:59:35.060 There's still a little bit going on, but he ended most of it.

00:59:37.860 So I don't disagree with Trump putting a big old Trump boot on that whole situation,

00:59:44.140 because that's America first.

00:59:46.640 It's not America first to have a one-state solution.

00:59:50.220 It's probably America first to have something that's neither one nor two,

00:59:56.740 which is where we are now.

01:00:00.460 So here's my prediction.

01:00:03.420 Netanyahu will stall as long as he can,

01:00:06.260 and when Trump leaves office, if he leaves office after this term,

01:00:12.020 assuming he does,

01:00:14.160 that Gaza will look pretty much the way it looks now, 0.85

01:00:17.400 and that there will be no hurry to clean it up

01:00:20.900 or to make it more habitable,

01:00:24.100 because Netanyahu might want to just wait for Trump to be out of office

01:00:28.000 and then see if he's got a little more flexibility if that happens.

01:00:32.080 That's what I'd do.

01:00:33.380 If I were Netanyahu, I would pretend I was on board 0.97

01:00:36.240 and I would be tapping Trump along and not doing any cleanup.

01:00:40.600 And that's why I would say that it's not done.

01:00:44.220 It's like, well, that cleanup.

01:00:46.120 If only you would give us a billion dollars for the cleanup,

01:00:49.720 we'd start right away.

01:00:51.380 And we'd be like, why are we paying?

01:00:53.920 And then there would be an argument over the funding.

01:00:56.840 And then Netanyahu can say,

01:00:58.560 no, we want to clean it up as fast as possible.

01:01:00.820 We just don't have the funds.

01:01:02.880 So if one of you wants to give us a billion dollars,

01:01:05.320 we'll be all over that.

01:01:06.460 We'll get that cleaned up right away.

01:01:08.240 So there's probably a hundred ways that he can stall

01:01:10.980 and make it look legitimate.

01:01:13.980 Well, we still got a pocket of resistance there.

01:01:16.960 Well, we still got to do some toxic cleanup.

01:01:19.840 Well, we still got to get a security situation

01:01:23.980 that we could be happy with.

01:01:26.580 Yeah.

01:01:27.220 Do not expect Gaza to turn into a gleaming city 1.00

01:01:30.480 full of Gazans returning.

01:01:34.200 All right, ladies and gentlemen,

01:01:37.520 that's what I got for you today.

01:01:39.220 Boy, is my timing good.

01:01:41.540 Excellent timing.

01:01:43.380 I'm going to say a few words privately

01:01:44.860 to the locals people who are my beloved,

01:01:49.040 my beloved local subscribers.

01:01:51.640 The rest of you, thanks for joining.

01:01:54.300 I hope I added a little bit of something to your day.

01:01:57.920 All right, locals coming at you privately in 30 seconds.

01:02:10.980 I just needed a couple minutes.

01:02:12.720 I have a few more info and Linux.

01:02:13.860 I like we got my money either.

01:02:14.860 And I've got some extra stuff in 좀.

01:02:15.960 You can own through my wenigS

01:02:30.620 in terms of talking in some ways.

01:02:32.620 So please, I'm going to ask you to hon the air youreni.

01:02:34.500 Thank you.

01:03:04.500 Thank you.

01:03:34.500 Thank you.

01:04:04.500 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 27, 2025

Episode 3001 CWSA 10⧸27⧸25

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript