Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 10, 2025


Episode 3014 CWSA 11⧸10⧸25


Episode Stats

Length

44 minutes

Words per Minute

147.33844

Word Count

6,535

Sentence Count

510

Misogynist Sentences

1

Hate Speech Sentences

5


Summary

Trump pardons a bunch of his cronies, and it makes them look a little guilty. Also, a new deal between Microsoft and ChatGPT, and why you should be worried about super-intelligent robots.


Transcript

00:00:00.160 We got room. Lots of room today.
00:00:03.960 But people will be coming in because they need to hear what I have to say.
00:00:07.660 Because it's better than what other people have to say, as far as I know.
00:00:12.820 All right, let's see how your stocks are doing.
00:00:16.100 Wait, today's Monday, right?
00:00:19.040 It's funny that the company named Snap is probably moving on the news about Snap.
00:00:23.740 That has nothing to do with the company.
00:00:25.900 Whoa, stocks are up.
00:00:28.060 Hello.
00:00:30.000 What? Rumbles up 14%.
00:00:32.280 But it's still from low.
00:00:36.400 And then the Tesla's up too.
00:00:39.000 Not bad.
00:00:41.360 Last week was devastating, so not that good either.
00:00:46.020 All right, everybody.
00:00:47.400 Did you find a seat?
00:00:50.660 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:55.540 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.
00:00:58.800 But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience here to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains,
00:01:07.440 all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass of tankard shells or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:01:16.520 Fill it with your favorite liquid, fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee.
00:01:21.600 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the other day.
00:01:25.640 The thing that makes everything better.
00:01:27.880 If only I could lift my arm.
00:01:29.240 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:01:35.040 And it happens now.
00:01:36.860 I'll give you a second one.
00:01:41.820 See, you weren't ready.
00:01:43.200 You weren't ready.
00:01:44.680 But now you are.
00:01:45.480 All right, let me check my situation here.
00:01:51.040 Do we have any kind of news about coffee being healthy for you?
00:01:55.420 Oh, it turns out that coffee is really good for you, according to Dr. Marcus.
00:02:01.460 That your odds of surviving a heart problem if you've got a cup of coffee in you is way better.
00:02:07.180 Not because of that one cup of coffee.
00:02:09.980 But people that have coffee, coffee, coffee.
00:02:13.100 Yeah, I said coffee.
00:02:15.080 I grew up in upstate New York.
00:02:16.620 I can say coffee.
00:02:17.860 Can we agree on that?
00:02:20.600 All right.
00:02:21.580 So despite my maximum coffee influence,
00:02:25.080 I had a really good nap this morning.
00:02:28.300 I didn't think I was going to be awake for the show.
00:02:30.540 But I made it.
00:02:32.780 Pain level is currently manageable.
00:02:37.180 It's been pretty bad lately, but maybe it's a little bit less today.
00:02:41.360 That would be good.
00:02:43.100 Well, apparently Microsoft, according to Tech Explorer,
00:02:46.280 Microsoft is going to look into what they call super intelligence after the open AI deal.
00:02:52.640 So their current deal, I guess, allows them to explore with ChatGPT.
00:02:57.680 So this would be Microsoft plus ChatGPT.
00:02:59.880 Allows them to explore sort of ordinary AI, as if there's anything ordinary about it.
00:03:05.920 But if they want to go all the way to super intelligence, super intelligence,
00:03:12.440 then it looks like they would make another deal.
00:03:15.960 And that super intelligence would look different.
00:03:18.620 That would be the good stuff.
00:03:20.500 Do you know what that means?
00:03:21.720 It means they don't know how to do super intelligence.
00:03:23.760 And that whatever they're doing now is the best they know how to do at the moment.
00:03:29.340 Does that mean they'll ever be able to do super intelligence?
00:03:33.220 Probably they will eventually.
00:03:35.240 But I don't know if it's going to happen on Tuesday or anything.
00:03:39.680 All right.
00:03:40.100 So that would be when robots can do everything we can do, super intelligence.
00:03:47.120 Well, Trump is pardoned, or is it called a pardon?
00:03:51.780 I always get the pardons and the clemencies and all that mixed up.
00:03:55.200 But basically he pardoned a whole bunch of his cronies before they've been charged with anything.
00:04:01.420 So they haven't been charged.
00:04:02.580 This would be a situation where it's just getting ahead of it, just in case.
00:04:08.120 But it includes Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, Ken Chesibro, a whole bunch of people, some of the names you've heard.
00:04:15.760 But they seem to have all been involved in one way or another with the, quote, fake electors plot.
00:04:23.220 Now, that's what Democrats call it.
00:04:24.800 They call it fake electors.
00:04:26.800 Why?
00:04:27.740 Because they're word thinkers.
00:04:29.420 If they can get you to accept that a good label for what happened was that it was that,
00:04:37.080 there's a bunch of people who did some illegal stuff and they need a pardon, well, then they win.
00:04:43.240 So I did wonder if this is actually a good play.
00:04:46.280 Because it does, even though they're not even charged with anything relevant to these actions,
00:04:53.360 they're not charged with anything, it kind of makes them look a little guilty, doesn't it?
00:04:57.800 That they accepted it.
00:04:58.740 So Trump himself did not pardon himself, but does that matter if you can pardon yourself anytime you want?
00:05:05.780 He can kind of, you know, if he got in trouble, he could bang that out in a few minutes.
00:05:10.040 So I wouldn't make too much of the fact that he excluded himself from that.
00:05:14.360 He could do it anytime.
00:05:16.120 Anyway, that was good programming.
00:05:19.960 So it's one of those stories that reminds you that the Trump people may have been mistreated.
00:05:27.560 So it's kind of good that way.
00:05:29.300 But it also makes it look like maybe they needed a pardon.
00:05:33.260 What'd they do?
00:05:34.860 So this one works both ways.
00:05:37.080 But if Trump thought this was a really good timing for it, because we're too distracted with other things, he'd be right.
00:05:46.320 The distractions are all over the place.
00:05:49.040 So this one just, it isn't going to move any, you know, move anything.
00:05:53.000 So if some people he liked got some pardons, well, he wins.
00:05:58.340 I don't know if the juice is worth the squeeze, as the boring people say.
00:06:01.740 But the Democrats will get to sell this as authoritarian, right?
00:06:07.620 Because they sell everything as authoritarian.
00:06:09.960 What?
00:06:11.260 What?
00:06:12.080 He's giving pardons to his friends?
00:06:14.280 Not to his friends.
00:06:15.800 That would look like he's some kind of authoritarian.
00:06:19.660 Authoritarian.
00:06:21.240 So that's coming.
00:06:23.320 Well, here's another story.
00:06:24.780 I don't believe it all, but Dylan Butts over at CNBC is talking about China, allegedly.
00:06:32.120 Suspended some critical mineral export curbs.
00:06:35.980 How many times have we heard that China or the U.S. made some kind of change to their tariffs and their, you know, their minerals?
00:06:46.720 I feel like none of it is believable.
00:06:49.380 Are you having the same reaction?
00:06:51.380 It's like, yeah, maybe somebody did something.
00:06:53.620 But more likely, they're all just going to go ahead and do what they were going to do anyway before any of this was announced.
00:06:58.740 I just don't believe anything that comes out of, oh, China decided to do a totally reasonable trade deal with us.
00:07:06.700 Did they?
00:07:07.740 Did they really?
00:07:09.960 Well, we'll find out.
00:07:10.720 Allegedly, you were easing, somebody's easing some restrictions and blah, blah, blah, I don't believe.
00:07:17.020 So I don't believe any of it.
00:07:18.840 But it would be great if it were true.
00:07:21.260 All right.
00:07:22.200 Here is the big payoff.
00:07:24.880 So how many of you were with me in 2015 when I changed the world by introducing the reframe that it's not about the policies, it's about the persuasion.
00:07:38.120 And if you didn't see that Trump was coming, oh, he was coming in 2015.
00:07:42.440 If you didn't recognize how much power he was bringing to the domain, you were probably really surprised when he won.
00:07:51.600 But famously, I was not surprised.
00:07:54.380 So I had a worldview that predicted, would you say?
00:07:57.680 Would it be fair to say my worldview, that he's persuasive, predicted that he would win even outside of his domain?
00:08:04.380 And then he did.
00:08:07.380 So I often say that the closest you can get to reality is prediction.
00:08:14.000 So if I was able to predict that Trump would do well based on his persuasion skills, and I think most people agree that that's exactly why he's doing well, his persuasion skills.
00:08:26.100 That's now a done deal, wouldn't you say?
00:08:27.680 Okay, even the AI acknowledges that I changed the argument from policy to persuasion.
00:08:36.040 But there's one more coming.
00:08:39.160 You ready?
00:08:41.340 I've got another reframe that you haven't heard yet.
00:08:47.980 This will blow your mind.
00:08:51.560 I'm going to have to tiptoe into it a little bit.
00:08:54.520 Because once it settles in, you're going to be like, whoa, whoa, why did I never think of that?
00:09:01.700 You ready?
00:09:03.020 All right.
00:09:07.480 So here's what he does.
00:09:12.640 Do you know who Thomas Sowell is?
00:09:16.400 Thomas Sowell, famous economist.
00:09:20.020 He's a conservative.
00:09:20.840 And he does a really good job of explaining stuff, doesn't he?
00:09:27.400 He's like a really good explainer.
00:09:29.580 And I always wonder, who do the Democrats have on their side who's a good explainer?
00:09:36.000 And how important would it be if in 2015 you started training half of the country, but not the other half,
00:09:44.880 in how to think better, how to think better, which is not really persuasion per se.
00:09:56.020 You know, persuasion would be part of thinking better, but it's much bigger.
00:10:00.720 All right, let me give you some names here.
00:10:04.000 And then you're going to see this come together pretty fast.
00:10:06.080 Why did I put the thing I wanted to do first?
00:10:11.700 Last.
00:10:13.420 Because that's how I am.
00:10:14.900 All right, here it is.
00:10:16.740 So the other day, I was, remember I was naming some well-known conservative podcasters?
00:10:23.340 And I started realizing how many there are and how skilled they are.
00:10:26.840 But let me just go down the list, and I want you to see if you can find the pattern.
00:10:33.620 The pattern is that conservatives have been teaching each other how to think better and more productively for about 10 years.
00:10:42.360 And I don't think that the Democrats have even tried.
00:10:45.920 So when I look at the conservatives, Republicans, trying to figure out a new thing,
00:10:51.740 you know, let's say there's a new policy thing pops out,
00:10:54.140 you can see them thinking better than they used to.
00:10:57.980 You can see it, right?
00:10:59.420 But let me give you some names of people who are identified with the right,
00:11:03.920 and then you can see why you can see this, but the left can't.
00:11:08.820 Why are they blind to it?
00:11:10.300 I'll give you some names.
00:11:11.600 Newt Gingrich can explain, you know, any kind of history thing,
00:11:17.540 and he's got the whole context of everything from the Clintons, from the Congress, and everything else.
00:11:22.620 So when Newt Gingrich is explaining something to you, you know,
00:11:27.540 whether it's in a blog or he's doing an appearance, he's making you smarter, right?
00:11:34.620 How about Ben Shapiro?
00:11:37.260 Now, you can hate on Ben Shapiro, so I put him near first so he can get over it faster.
00:11:42.560 Just get over it.
00:11:43.740 I'm only talking about smartness.
00:11:46.680 Wouldn't you rather have Ben Shapiro on your team if you're trying to be the smart team?
00:11:53.080 Now, you could disagree with him on all kinds of policies because people are different,
00:11:57.160 but don't you want the smart team on your side?
00:12:00.260 You know, like the whole Daily Wire cast?
00:12:02.600 Like they're all smarter than, way smarter than average.
00:12:05.860 Don't you want them on your team?
00:12:07.060 Of course you do.
00:12:08.180 What about Jordan Peterson?
00:12:09.400 Now, Jordan Peterson, I don't think he tries too hard to be a Republican or a Democrat,
00:12:15.340 but he seems to get along better with the conservatives.
00:12:19.320 Who in the world is as productive in terms of telling you how to live your life
00:12:24.280 and understand reality and be effective than Jordan Peterson?
00:12:29.920 What do they have on the left?
00:12:32.580 I mean, just think of some of these names.
00:12:34.520 It's incredible the difference in skill.
00:12:37.540 And you go right down the line.
00:12:39.200 You know, you're Megyn Kelly.
00:12:40.640 She knows the law.
00:12:41.580 She knows the news.
00:12:42.420 She knows the news business.
00:12:45.480 Tim Pool.
00:12:47.400 You can do a deep dive on anything with the right set of guests.
00:12:51.520 PBD, amazing.
00:12:53.020 He has great guests.
00:12:55.820 Sean Ryan, a bunch of people.
00:12:57.760 So I would add myself to the list of people who help you think.
00:13:02.500 If you look at all of my books on the shelf behind me,
00:13:05.800 they're all in that domain.
00:13:06.940 They're what is loser think, what is persuasion, you know, systems versus goals, talent stack.
00:13:16.160 Now, let me just put it in the simplest form.
00:13:19.200 So those of you who have consumed my content for the last 10 years,
00:13:23.140 most of you have read maybe at least one of my books.
00:13:26.040 Can you validate that if every Republican read my books, that Republicans would have like a superpower?
00:13:35.260 It would just be crazy.
00:13:36.580 Well, they don't.
00:13:38.580 I'll read my books.
00:13:39.720 But they read other books from other people who are also very good at explaining things.
00:13:45.160 Thomas Hull would be a good example.
00:13:46.900 And it seems to me that we've got 10 years of conservatives teaching people how to think and operate better,
00:13:55.300 and no years of the Democrats doing that, like none.
00:14:00.640 The Democrats are more like arguing if you're a racist or not.
00:14:04.720 How many legs does that have?
00:14:08.940 If your whole strategy is arguing the other side is a bunch of racist, sexist, does that last?
00:14:14.800 I mean, is that a long-term strategy?
00:14:18.720 I don't know.
00:14:19.160 I also think that one of the reasons that we note that conservatives seem to tolerate more dissenting voices
00:14:28.920 is because they're trained.
00:14:32.280 Let me give you a specific example.
00:14:36.260 If someone who had never been introduced to Nick Fuente's content, let's say a Democrat,
00:14:42.140 were exposed to it with no preparation, just exposed to it, would you be happy with that?
00:14:48.160 I mean, it's free speech, but beyond the free speech, would you be happy with that influence?
00:14:55.220 Maybe yes.
00:14:56.540 Maybe no.
00:14:57.600 Right?
00:14:58.280 But suppose you heard that I went on, and I'm not going to do this, by the way,
00:15:04.040 but suppose you heard that I went on a show to talk to Nick Fuente's,
00:15:08.700 and you know who I am, so you know everything about me.
00:15:11.960 Would you be worried that his opinion would change my opinion?
00:15:16.600 Would you?
00:15:18.160 Do you think that might happen?
00:15:20.320 No.
00:15:20.860 There's not a chance.
00:15:21.980 But might my opinion change his opinion?
00:15:24.420 Totally.
00:15:25.520 I'm not saying it would, but if you're going to guess who is likely to change the person's opinion,
00:15:31.400 it would be the one who's trained to do it, although he's very good at it.
00:15:34.440 He's very good at it as well.
00:15:35.540 So I think the reason I can watch Candace and Nick and Tucker Carlson and Ben Shapiro,
00:15:44.500 and they're all arguing, and it sounds like somebody's anti-Semitic and somebody's not.
00:15:48.920 You know, it sounds like terrible stuff.
00:15:50.280 But I'm just trained to not treat it that way.
00:15:55.360 It's just training.
00:15:56.880 And I think a lot of conservatives are just trained the same way.
00:16:00.220 It's like, you know, I'm not saying it's a nothing.
00:16:04.200 I'm just saying that the conservatives can handle it better.
00:16:07.500 They can handle the friction better.
00:16:08.660 All right.
00:16:11.900 I'm going to go way back to where I started, because then I'm going to maybe have some more examples of this.
00:16:17.400 So as you know, the government's going to reopen maybe on Monday.
00:16:21.220 Not sure yet.
00:16:26.020 So eight Democrats crossed over and voted to reopen, which, if that holds, they'll reopen today sometime.
00:16:34.260 It might take a day or so.
00:16:35.620 I don't know.
00:16:35.920 There's only eight of them, and, of course, you should see.
00:16:40.260 Have you seen how angry the Democrats are at the ones who voted for this?
00:16:44.480 Oh, my goodness.
00:16:45.460 They're very angry.
00:16:47.280 They're calling their own team traitors and everything.
00:16:51.880 And, well, if that's how you want to play it, that your own team is traitors if they do something that's, first of all, perfectly predictable.
00:17:02.140 Perfectly predictable.
00:17:05.920 And then it happens.
00:17:07.680 All right.
00:17:08.940 Even on MSNBC, one of the hosts said, it seems like the president was kind of getting what he wanted.
00:17:15.260 Yeah.
00:17:16.960 That's what that looks like.
00:17:17.960 That's the president kind of getting what he wanted.
00:17:19.560 And he still hasn't given up on getting rid of the filibuster.
00:17:25.220 I thought he wanted to get rid of the filibuster.
00:17:28.040 It was just sort of opportunistic.
00:17:30.080 He might want to do it anyway.
00:17:31.180 But even though he gets his government reopened, he's still like, well, while we're at it, maybe we'll kill that filibuster while we're at it.
00:17:41.500 Anyway, Fetterman is one of the ones who famously cross-sized to vote for opening the government.
00:17:49.000 Good for Fetterman.
00:17:49.860 As long as he doesn't want any future in the Democrat Party, it's good for him.
00:17:56.120 He basically eliminated himself from higher office as a Democrat, I think.
00:18:00.920 Because the Democrats believe that fighting is just doing annoying things while people are watching, I guess.
00:18:09.040 I guess that's what they think fighting Donald Trump is.
00:18:11.220 All right.
00:18:13.340 So did it work that Trump threatened the filibuster or threatened to end it?
00:18:18.320 Did that work?
00:18:20.740 There's no way to know if anybody changed the vote just because of the filibuster.
00:18:25.640 But it might have.
00:18:26.720 It might have worked a little bit.
00:18:28.160 People might have thought, well, if we give him this, maybe he won't also try to get the filibuster.
00:18:34.060 To which I said, have you met Trump?
00:18:36.400 Have you heard about him?
00:18:37.360 No, he's not going to give up on the filibuster just because he got something else.
00:18:42.960 He'll try to get everything he can get, whatever is the most aggressive stance, of course.
00:18:49.060 Anyway, the other thing that's funny, going back to my theme,
00:18:54.280 is that Democrats will have no idea what's happening today
00:18:58.900 because they don't have a worldview that incorporates what they're witnessing.
00:19:04.400 They just don't have any worldview that explains this.
00:19:08.000 Like, why did all my heroes say, there's no way, no way we're going to cave,
00:19:14.240 and then they caved?
00:19:16.400 Was it ever important?
00:19:18.860 Don't you think it leaves the Democrats with some big questions about their own side?
00:19:24.060 Yeah, some big questions.
00:19:26.520 So the Democrats are going to look at their side as a bunch of wimpy losers.
00:19:29.980 There's going to be more pressure on Schumer to get the heck out of that job
00:19:35.340 because he's an embarrassment.
00:19:37.060 Bernie Sanders pointed out that the Republicans ruined health care.
00:19:44.800 He ruined health care.
00:19:47.800 Correct me if I'm wrong, but one of the things I'm watching
00:19:50.420 is that every time the Democrats ruin something,
00:19:56.400 don't they blame Republicans?
00:19:59.600 Every time the Democrats ruin something?
00:20:01.460 Because who ruined climate change?
00:20:05.080 That wasn't Republicans.
00:20:08.780 How about the border?
00:20:10.980 Not Republicans.
00:20:12.380 How about inflation?
00:20:14.140 It wasn't Republicans.
00:20:15.120 So there seems to be a clear pattern here,
00:20:18.040 which is the Democrats do these things which have gigantic downsides,
00:20:23.260 and then they sell as hard as they can that the problem was from the Republicans.
00:20:28.260 That's their whole game,
00:20:30.420 is doing dumb shit and trying to blame it on the other side.
00:20:33.960 That's it.
00:20:34.760 That's all they have, and they use it a lot.
00:20:38.760 Anyway, and apparently there's somebody who admitted
00:20:41.140 that the real play for Schumer and the Democrats
00:20:44.580 was to get crime out of the news
00:20:49.020 because I guess the Democrats thought they were losing
00:20:51.320 if they were talking about crime
00:20:53.440 because nobody liked crime.
00:20:56.700 So if they said it's really about health care,
00:21:00.540 that would be the strongest emotional pull
00:21:03.140 to pull the headlines away from anything
00:21:07.820 except what they wanted to focus on.
00:21:09.420 In this case, it was health care.
00:21:11.140 So if that's what they were doing,
00:21:13.520 it was kind of a good play, you know, politically,
00:21:16.900 if that's what they were doing.
00:21:19.920 But boy, did they get savaged.
00:21:23.300 Schumer's going to get savaged.
00:21:25.020 They're all just going to get totally thrown under the bus.
00:21:29.000 Now, on top of that,
00:21:31.260 and again, I'll go back to my main theme,
00:21:33.880 how do Democrats understand what they're seeing?
00:21:36.400 And this is something that the Republican model of the world
00:21:42.140 can completely explain.
00:21:44.740 I think it can.
00:21:45.940 Can it?
00:21:46.940 The Republican model is that Trump is very persuasive,
00:21:50.280 and if you wait long enough,
00:21:52.120 he's going to win the negotiation,
00:21:54.540 and the government will open,
00:21:56.540 and we will look back and say,
00:21:58.840 oh, why did we ever think he was going to lose this negotiation?
00:22:01.400 He's better at that than we are.
00:22:03.600 And then that's what happened.
00:22:05.400 So the Trump sort of version of the world,
00:22:09.220 where Trump is persuasive and it matters,
00:22:11.580 and he actually wins because of it,
00:22:13.680 here we are.
00:22:15.320 So isn't it true that my worldview predicted?
00:22:21.000 My worldview predicted, again.
00:22:23.440 So that doesn't mean it's true,
00:22:26.120 but it's the closest thing to being true.
00:22:30.100 All right.
00:22:31.300 So the BBC, this is hilarious.
00:22:33.960 The BBC actually,
00:22:36.740 and the fact that this is a government-funded news entity
00:22:39.920 in Great Britain,
00:22:41.220 the BBC edited some text from Trump's speech on January 6th
00:22:48.620 to make it look like he was encouraging people
00:22:51.160 to go there and be violent when nothing like that happened,
00:22:54.840 meaning that there was no language like that.
00:22:57.380 They just spliced together some existing stuff
00:22:59.620 and made it look like he was calling on violence.
00:23:04.680 Now, weirdly, but it's good,
00:23:09.360 who's the guy they call Tater?
00:23:14.380 Who's the guy on CNN that Greg Garfield always mocks Tater?
00:23:19.800 So Tater is one of the ones who bought into
00:23:23.220 the fine people hoax completely.
00:23:26.260 Then he went away, but then he came back.
00:23:28.700 And now, believe it or not,
00:23:31.060 Tater is completely supporting the point of view
00:23:35.680 that this was a fake, spliced together thing,
00:23:39.560 and it was never true,
00:23:41.280 and it was exactly the same as the fine people hoax.
00:23:44.500 Exactly the same.
00:23:45.260 They just took some words that he did say
00:23:48.180 and crafted them together in a way that he didn't say them
00:23:51.480 and then claimed they did.
00:23:53.320 Now, do you know why this didn't work?
00:23:55.660 Why didn't it work?
00:23:57.520 The only reason that didn't work,
00:24:00.680 the way it did work,
00:24:02.420 was the fine people hoax for about four years.
00:24:05.060 It did work for about four years.
00:24:07.300 The reason it didn't work
00:24:08.480 is that conservatives,
00:24:11.060 you're waiting for it?
00:24:13.420 I'm tying it all together now.
00:24:15.140 The reason it didn't work
00:24:16.520 is that we had trained conservatives
00:24:19.040 what it looks like
00:24:20.240 when they do this kind of hoax,
00:24:23.580 this specific kind of hoax.
00:24:25.940 You've all seen it.
00:24:28.080 Once you've seen how they can do it,
00:24:30.860 you, first of all,
00:24:32.140 you can see all the parts,
00:24:33.700 and then you're like,
00:24:34.220 oh, okay, I see how this works.
00:24:36.880 But you can see all the parts.
00:24:40.440 There's nothing you have to guess at.
00:24:42.260 It's all right there.
00:24:43.960 So even CNN,
00:24:45.180 who is trying to find the middle ground,
00:24:47.160 and I would say is succeeding.
00:24:48.980 I think CNN has succeeded
00:24:50.320 in finding middle ground news place.
00:24:54.400 And I give them credit for that
00:24:56.640 because they did talk about this
00:24:59.040 as sort of a scandal.
00:25:01.260 I mean, it's a competitor there,
00:25:02.940 so that's easier.
00:25:04.220 But they did talk about a scandal.
00:25:07.160 And if that had never existed,
00:25:09.000 the find people hoax,
00:25:09.900 you wouldn't have even known
00:25:10.960 that the BBC did that.
00:25:13.500 You just wouldn't have even known.
00:25:19.580 All right.
00:25:20.540 Surprisingly,
00:25:21.840 Turning Point USA has an event today
00:25:23.580 at UC Berkeley,
00:25:25.160 of all liberal places.
00:25:27.160 Now, UC Berkeley is where
00:25:28.420 I went to go get my MBA.
00:25:31.580 But I've parted ways with them.
00:25:33.320 I am not happy with UC Berkeley.
00:25:36.000 But it is good to see
00:25:37.040 that they would have welcomed
00:25:38.180 a conservative group,
00:25:40.920 which I'm not sure
00:25:42.180 they would have done that before.
00:25:43.400 So that looks like progress.
00:25:45.640 Looks like progress.
00:25:46.980 But still,
00:25:48.880 this is what I talk about
00:25:49.960 when I say that
00:25:50.780 Republicans would be haunted.
00:25:54.140 I would not feel safe
00:25:55.740 if somebody knew me by sight
00:25:58.960 and I went to a
00:26:00.440 conservative event in Berkeley.
00:26:03.000 Do you think I should feel safe
00:26:04.600 if I did that?
00:26:06.240 We're not there yet.
00:26:08.380 We're heading there.
00:26:09.380 I feel like we're heading there.
00:26:10.760 It's definitely safer
00:26:11.680 than it used to be.
00:26:13.500 But it's definitely not safe.
00:26:16.520 So is there anybody on the left
00:26:18.920 who ever experiences that,
00:26:21.540 which is they've never,
00:26:22.640 haven't broken any laws,
00:26:23.900 they're not planning to.
00:26:25.000 They just have a different opinion.
00:26:26.780 But they can't go in public
00:26:27.980 in a way that they could
00:26:29.540 express that opinion
00:26:30.560 because they get hunted.
00:26:32.640 You just can't do it.
00:26:34.580 The fact that Democrats
00:26:36.640 are not aware
00:26:37.780 that I couldn't walk outside
00:26:40.060 and go to Berkeley
00:26:40.760 with a MAGA hat,
00:26:42.780 you know,
00:26:43.020 they would think,
00:26:43.780 oh, you know,
00:26:44.500 you're whining about too much.
00:26:46.220 That's a pretty legitimate whine,
00:26:48.660 isn't it?
00:26:49.700 If you can't go outside
00:26:51.060 in your own relative neighborhood
00:26:53.340 because you might get beat up
00:26:54.920 for your political opinion,
00:26:56.060 that's completely legitimate.
00:26:58.000 Yeah, that's getting hunted.
00:27:01.180 But getting better, maybe.
00:27:02.800 Who knows?
00:27:03.980 So this is funny.
00:27:05.000 Kathy Hochul,
00:27:06.100 governor of New York,
00:27:07.580 is saying that
00:27:08.140 Zoran Mamdani's idea
00:27:09.440 of free buses,
00:27:10.440 well,
00:27:11.840 well,
00:27:12.280 maybe you won't see
00:27:13.160 any free buses.
00:27:14.500 Well,
00:27:15.300 I'm not sure
00:27:17.480 you'll ever see
00:27:18.020 any free buses.
00:27:19.180 She says,
00:27:19.980 and I quote,
00:27:20.620 I cannot set forth
00:27:21.640 a plan right now
00:27:22.640 that takes money
00:27:23.760 out of a system
00:27:24.540 that relies on the fares
00:27:25.660 and the buses
00:27:26.200 and the subways.
00:27:27.980 So all it takes
00:27:29.100 is some bureaucratic reason
00:27:30.520 and it all goes away.
00:27:33.400 So do you think
00:27:34.080 that Mamdani
00:27:35.020 will find a way
00:27:36.000 to do these things
00:27:38.100 that are not funded
00:27:38.980 but if you did fund them
00:27:41.040 you'd have to take away
00:27:41.880 something substantial
00:27:42.900 from people
00:27:44.080 who are already funded?
00:27:45.560 Do you think
00:27:46.120 he can pull that off?
00:27:48.320 I doubt it.
00:27:49.860 I doubt it.
00:27:51.300 But reality
00:27:52.140 has come to visit
00:27:52.980 the socialists.
00:27:54.740 I hope they enjoy it.
00:27:56.800 Speaking of reality,
00:27:57.880 Trump is,
00:27:59.380 I saw that he's promising this.
00:28:01.760 I don't know
00:28:02.360 if that's yet the right word
00:28:04.420 but he's teased
00:28:05.740 at least
00:28:06.560 that consumers
00:28:08.120 or taxpayers
00:28:08.820 might get a $2,000 check
00:28:12.200 back from taxes
00:28:14.300 as part of their
00:28:15.560 tariff payoff.
00:28:18.740 What do you think of that?
00:28:20.660 Just everybody
00:28:21.300 gets a $2,000 check.
00:28:22.880 Now it would not include
00:28:24.100 high income people.
00:28:26.360 So I don't know
00:28:27.080 if I'm in that
00:28:27.760 or not in that.
00:28:28.660 I think my current income
00:28:29.800 is zero.
00:28:30.240 Once you actually
00:28:32.720 look at the expenses.
00:28:34.220 Like actually zero.
00:28:35.480 Not cheating on my taxes.
00:28:37.640 I think it's actually zero.
00:28:41.600 Because I have a staff
00:28:42.740 and the income went down
00:28:45.720 when I got canceled.
00:28:46.740 Blah, blah, blah.
00:28:47.420 So it's somewhere around
00:28:48.680 break even basically.
00:28:49.940 Which is fine.
00:28:51.100 Because I'm not looking
00:28:51.920 to build assets.
00:28:52.760 I'm just looking
00:28:53.260 to not lose them.
00:28:55.380 All right.
00:28:57.600 What do you think
00:28:58.260 of that idea?
00:28:58.940 Somebody mocked me
00:29:00.000 and said,
00:29:01.240 Scott,
00:29:02.060 do you think
00:29:02.620 it's really a good idea
00:29:03.580 to give all these people
00:29:05.020 $2,000?
00:29:05.980 What will happen?
00:29:07.140 To which I said,
00:29:08.240 I don't know.
00:29:09.260 What will happen?
00:29:10.680 I have no idea
00:29:11.540 what would happen
00:29:12.080 if he gave everybody
00:29:12.840 $2,000.
00:29:15.480 Inflation?
00:29:16.960 I think the right answer
00:29:18.280 is inflation.
00:29:19.860 Maybe.
00:29:21.420 But sometimes
00:29:23.300 the inflation
00:29:24.020 is worth it.
00:29:25.660 So Trump's smart
00:29:26.580 about reading the room.
00:29:27.840 If he can find
00:29:28.700 any way at all
00:29:29.940 to give somebody
00:29:30.720 a few bucks,
00:29:31.760 they're going to be happier
00:29:32.700 than if they didn't
00:29:33.360 get a few bucks.
00:29:35.180 And that's all it is.
00:29:37.620 All right.
00:29:38.380 So I've been trying
00:29:40.220 to figure out
00:29:40.740 if our economy
00:29:41.460 is good or bad.
00:29:43.260 Have any of you
00:29:43.900 figured that out yet?
00:29:46.340 The U.S. economy,
00:29:47.540 is it good or bad?
00:29:48.500 Because when
00:29:50.440 the Republicans talk,
00:29:51.500 they say it's good.
00:29:53.160 And they give
00:29:53.580 some examples.
00:29:54.900 When the Democrats
00:29:55.920 talk about it,
00:29:56.920 they say it's bad.
00:29:58.480 And they give
00:29:58.940 some examples.
00:30:00.360 Who's right?
00:30:02.840 Don't you think
00:30:03.620 we should at least
00:30:04.260 know the most
00:30:05.520 basic thing
00:30:06.340 about our reality?
00:30:07.560 The most basic
00:30:08.580 thing about our reality
00:30:09.480 is that either
00:30:10.960 the economy is good
00:30:11.940 or it's bad.
00:30:12.960 And we can't decide
00:30:14.400 if it's good or bad.
00:30:16.020 Was it Mark Twain
00:30:19.520 who said that
00:30:20.100 we can't tell
00:30:20.800 the difference
00:30:21.240 between good news
00:30:22.260 and bad news?
00:30:23.780 That humans
00:30:24.320 can't tell the difference?
00:30:25.540 Well, it feels like that.
00:30:27.820 But I did see a post
00:30:28.960 that says that
00:30:29.820 I think this might have
00:30:31.300 been from a screen grab
00:30:32.720 on Fox News.
00:30:34.380 That coffee is up
00:30:35.120 19 percent.
00:30:36.040 Utility is up 12.
00:30:37.920 Electricity, 5.
00:30:39.380 Vehicle repair, 12 percent.
00:30:41.300 So although our growth
00:30:42.560 in the economy
00:30:43.800 seems okay,
00:30:45.100 it's not making
00:30:47.900 a lot of jobs.
00:30:49.440 People are holding
00:30:50.400 off to see if AI
00:30:51.320 is going to make
00:30:51.780 any difference, I think.
00:30:53.380 So they call it
00:30:54.260 a jobless economy,
00:30:55.660 but it's not really.
00:30:58.480 Anyway, what do you think?
00:31:00.300 If I just asked you
00:31:01.460 is the economy
00:31:02.140 better under Trump
00:31:04.540 or worse?
00:31:06.200 And let's say
00:31:07.020 you were not doing
00:31:07.700 just team play.
00:31:09.220 So you're not just
00:31:10.140 arguing to win your side.
00:31:12.900 If you're really,
00:31:13.900 really being honest,
00:31:15.100 is the economy
00:31:16.860 better or worse
00:31:17.840 since Trump took over?
00:31:20.660 I don't know.
00:31:22.060 I have no idea.
00:31:23.520 I really don't.
00:31:25.480 And the fact that
00:31:26.360 we don't know that,
00:31:28.360 the most basic thing
00:31:29.740 you should know
00:31:30.200 about your country,
00:31:31.540 is it going up
00:31:32.540 or is it going down?
00:31:33.700 I can't tell.
00:31:35.360 Well, I think we need
00:31:36.360 a little more information.
00:31:37.660 That's what I say.
00:31:38.280 Anyway, there's a big
00:31:44.460 climate change convention,
00:31:46.280 I guess you'd call it that,
00:31:47.120 the COP30 climate thing
00:31:49.900 in Brazil.
00:31:51.600 And, of course,
00:31:53.680 everybody's going to be
00:31:54.480 talking about all the
00:31:55.640 carbon that they burn,
00:31:57.180 doing it for rich people,
00:31:58.320 and then that will be
00:31:59.240 the story that entertains us
00:32:00.880 for about two days.
00:32:01.820 Oh, here's my list.
00:32:05.220 Geez.
00:32:06.360 I had a whole different list
00:32:07.420 of the conservatives
00:32:08.240 that are teaching us
00:32:09.040 how to think better.
00:32:10.200 And I left out
00:32:10.840 the best ones.
00:32:12.640 So, did I mention
00:32:13.640 Mike Benz?
00:32:16.380 Democrats don't have
00:32:17.300 a Mike Benz.
00:32:18.840 It's like having a super
00:32:20.640 hero on your side.
00:32:22.820 How about
00:32:23.320 Charlie Kirk
00:32:24.540 when he was doing
00:32:25.540 the debates?
00:32:27.740 Charlie Kirk
00:32:28.480 doing debates?
00:32:30.740 They didn't have that,
00:32:31.940 did they?
00:32:33.160 Now, I know that
00:32:34.080 Steven Crowder
00:32:35.080 did some debates too,
00:32:36.200 but he was more
00:32:36.840 team play.
00:32:38.460 That was kind of
00:32:38.880 a different vibe.
00:32:40.860 Joe Rogan, Glenn Beck,
00:32:42.820 they all bring people on
00:32:43.960 who can explain
00:32:44.540 all kinds of things.
00:32:46.120 That's good.
00:32:47.400 I would also say
00:32:48.580 that Gutfeld's
00:32:49.300 a good explainer.
00:32:50.200 Maggie Hemingway,
00:32:51.500 Victor Davis Hanson.
00:32:53.320 Do you see the pattern yet?
00:32:55.040 I was trying to make
00:32:56.000 the point without
00:32:56.720 having the right list
00:32:57.560 in front of me.
00:32:58.660 But, yeah.
00:33:01.020 These are all
00:33:01.720 the smartest people
00:33:02.420 in the game
00:33:02.920 and they're teaching you
00:33:03.740 how to think,
00:33:05.020 not just what to agree with.
00:33:07.280 Pretty strong stuff.
00:33:09.700 Anyway,
00:33:11.040 Newsom
00:33:11.400 is going after Trump.
00:33:14.160 Trump's having a good day,
00:33:15.580 but they're going to have
00:33:16.520 to find something bad
00:33:17.360 to say about him.
00:33:18.740 So, Newsom said,
00:33:19.660 Donald Trump said
00:33:20.380 he would make us
00:33:21.080 wealthier and healthier.
00:33:23.320 But we're poorer
00:33:24.160 and sicker.
00:33:25.600 And I don't want to see
00:33:26.320 this sickness extend
00:33:27.460 to ending our republic
00:33:29.160 and our democracy.
00:33:31.300 Okay.
00:33:32.680 All right.
00:33:33.260 Whatever.
00:33:38.880 Meanwhile,
00:33:39.620 the Gateway Fund
00:33:40.280 is reporting
00:33:40.860 that there's a
00:33:42.000 gang
00:33:43.820 called the Latin Kings
00:33:45.460 operating in the U.S.,
00:33:47.820 I guess,
00:33:48.140 who
00:33:49.060 must be in Chicago
00:33:51.140 and they put out
00:33:52.400 a hit
00:33:52.800 on some of the
00:33:53.860 ICE people.
00:33:56.660 So,
00:33:57.500 that better not
00:33:58.480 to happen.
00:34:00.060 Do you think
00:34:00.580 that's going to turn
00:34:01.300 into a thing?
00:34:02.360 That the
00:34:03.120 criminals are going
00:34:04.240 to start putting
00:34:04.780 hits on the ICE people?
00:34:07.640 I wouldn't be
00:34:08.500 totally surprised
00:34:09.420 if it happens.
00:34:10.640 But, boy,
00:34:11.360 is it going to get
00:34:11.860 a savage
00:34:12.260 if they do?
00:34:13.600 If they kill
00:34:14.380 one ICE agent
00:34:15.280 in something
00:34:15.800 that looks like
00:34:16.480 a hit,
00:34:18.460 Trump's just
00:34:18.940 going to go
00:34:19.320 full Viking on them.
00:34:21.340 And they have
00:34:22.040 to know that.
00:34:22.820 I mean,
00:34:23.040 they have to know.
00:34:23.920 That's the end
00:34:24.520 of their operation
00:34:25.160 if they do that.
00:34:26.540 At least they can,
00:34:27.580 you know,
00:34:28.040 struggle along
00:34:28.920 a little bit
00:34:29.360 if they don't do that.
00:34:30.820 But we're still
00:34:31.340 going to take them
00:34:31.780 out one way
00:34:32.380 or another.
00:34:32.640 So, in China,
00:34:35.340 apparently they have
00:34:35.960 some version
00:34:36.440 of the LSATs,
00:34:37.720 the test you take
00:34:38.460 to become a lawyer
00:34:39.340 or the test you take
00:34:40.880 to see if you qualify
00:34:41.640 for law school.
00:34:43.100 And apparently
00:34:44.000 some Chinese prep
00:34:45.140 companies stole
00:34:46.020 the test.
00:34:48.780 They stole the test.
00:34:50.460 They were selling
00:34:51.020 the results.
00:34:52.940 So,
00:34:53.600 do you trust
00:34:54.900 your lawyer now?
00:34:56.360 Now that you know
00:34:56.900 your lawyer could have
00:34:57.640 bought the test results
00:34:58.980 in China?
00:35:00.720 I'm not sure
00:35:01.440 if he could,
00:35:01.920 but there's
00:35:02.540 some allegation there.
00:35:04.920 Anyway,
00:35:07.220 the chipmaking industry
00:35:09.000 is mad
00:35:10.680 because apparently
00:35:11.440 somebody in the
00:35:12.500 administration
00:35:13.200 is raising the idea
00:35:15.560 just as a proposal
00:35:17.660 that the U.S. taxpayers
00:35:21.420 would take some equity
00:35:23.420 in some of the
00:35:24.460 chipmaking business.
00:35:26.520 So,
00:35:27.180 the semiconductor business
00:35:28.360 would sort of say,
00:35:29.780 okay,
00:35:30.600 you have a little
00:35:31.420 ownership of that.
00:35:32.360 Do you think
00:35:32.600 that's going to work?
00:35:34.120 I don't.
00:35:35.680 I think there'll be
00:35:36.440 too much pushback
00:35:37.220 on that.
00:35:38.600 That will not happen.
00:35:41.920 All right.
00:35:45.220 Then Mayor Brandon Johnson,
00:35:48.420 he wants to tell us
00:35:50.340 how bad things are
00:35:51.200 in Chicago
00:35:51.740 because of Trump.
00:35:53.700 He says,
00:35:54.180 whether it's the
00:35:54.840 unconstitutional acts
00:35:56.760 that are being
00:35:57.220 carried out
00:35:58.140 by the Trump administration
00:35:59.180 or the fact
00:36:00.300 that food and medicine
00:36:01.240 has been cut off.
00:36:03.280 Has it?
00:36:05.000 Has anybody died yet?
00:36:07.720 I'm pretty sure
00:36:08.540 nobody has starved.
00:36:10.400 When was the last time
00:36:11.440 somebody starved to death
00:36:12.360 in the United States?
00:36:14.460 Sort of never.
00:36:16.020 I mean,
00:36:16.520 it's not true.
00:36:17.140 Not never.
00:36:18.140 But I don't think
00:36:19.560 they're going to
00:36:19.880 starved to death
00:36:20.380 this year.
00:36:22.240 But I hope
00:36:23.220 the post-millennial
00:36:25.820 is writing about that.
00:36:27.520 All right.
00:36:27.840 Ladies and gentlemen,
00:36:30.720 let me go back.
00:36:32.060 Let me circle back
00:36:33.000 to my main point today
00:36:34.300 and see if it's stuck.
00:36:35.660 Okay?
00:36:36.440 And then we're going
00:36:36.920 to do some reframes
00:36:37.800 because I know
00:36:39.240 you like them.
00:36:39.720 So the reframe
00:36:41.120 is that conservatives
00:36:44.160 have spent 10 years
00:36:45.480 training their base
00:36:48.480 how to think better.
00:36:52.080 And that if you were
00:36:53.180 to extend that,
00:36:55.160 let's say that variable
00:36:57.140 over time,
00:36:58.040 it would perfectly predict
00:36:59.720 who's going to be in charge.
00:37:01.880 Let me say that again.
00:37:03.440 In the same way
00:37:04.360 that persuasion skill
00:37:05.740 predicted that Trump
00:37:07.360 would be in charge,
00:37:08.160 the fact that
00:37:10.020 we've been training
00:37:10.880 other conservatives
00:37:11.940 and most of us
00:37:13.560 are the right people
00:37:14.280 to do the training,
00:37:15.520 the fact that
00:37:16.000 we've been training
00:37:16.640 other conservatives,
00:37:18.180 oh, and I would
00:37:18.580 throw Michael Schellenberger
00:37:20.520 in there too.
00:37:23.800 Conservatives are
00:37:24.540 way, way smarter
00:37:26.320 about how to just
00:37:28.640 look at a topic
00:37:29.520 and pull it apart.
00:37:31.740 Would you agree?
00:37:33.240 Even if you disagree
00:37:34.400 with them,
00:37:35.720 they have been training
00:37:36.720 for 10 years
00:37:37.720 with the right people
00:37:39.040 to tell them
00:37:40.200 how to enter
00:37:41.240 this argument,
00:37:42.500 how to deal
00:37:42.960 with climate change,
00:37:43.760 for example.
00:37:45.040 Have you noticed
00:37:45.800 that the climate change
00:37:47.000 arguments tend to,
00:37:49.480 at least now,
00:37:50.900 cluster around
00:37:51.940 a few people's opinions
00:37:53.720 that you've seen before?
00:37:55.440 Because they're the ones
00:37:56.480 who are good at teaching
00:37:57.800 you how to think about it?
00:37:59.580 Yeah.
00:38:00.040 So, I don't think
00:38:03.380 that the Democrats
00:38:04.860 see this coming.
00:38:07.460 If you were not
00:38:08.320 looking for the pattern,
00:38:09.980 you wouldn't know
00:38:11.060 there was a pattern.
00:38:12.060 You would just say,
00:38:13.340 oh, a lot of people
00:38:14.300 are talking about
00:38:15.020 climate change now.
00:38:16.420 A lot of people
00:38:17.220 are talking about this.
00:38:18.440 It wouldn't look
00:38:18.940 like a pattern.
00:38:20.360 But if you understand
00:38:21.740 that only half
00:38:22.600 of the country
00:38:23.120 is treating the topics
00:38:25.280 as a class,
00:38:28.960 yeah, that's what it is.
00:38:30.260 It's the conservatives,
00:38:31.240 they treat the topic
00:38:32.020 as a class
00:38:32.940 where you can learn
00:38:34.220 about the topic
00:38:34.900 and how to respond to it
00:38:36.280 if somebody
00:38:36.720 is on the other side of it.
00:38:38.680 It's just not happening
00:38:39.600 on the other side.
00:38:40.600 I don't believe
00:38:41.080 they're learning
00:38:41.480 how to do that.
00:38:42.880 But almost every day,
00:38:45.280 almost every day,
00:38:46.960 I teach somebody
00:38:48.020 on the right
00:38:48.660 how to do that
00:38:49.700 or give them some,
00:38:51.560 maybe some,
00:38:52.440 you know,
00:38:52.840 contacts they didn't
00:38:53.620 have before,
00:38:54.180 which is the same thing.
00:38:55.280 All right.
00:38:59.920 Don't mess with the lawyers.
00:39:02.500 Good idea.
00:39:05.020 All right,
00:39:05.560 ladies and gentlemen,
00:39:06.180 we're going to do
00:39:06.740 a reframe.
00:39:08.880 I usually do these
00:39:09.980 at the front.
00:39:10.980 By the way,
00:39:11.460 if you didn't know,
00:39:12.600 the Dilbert 2026 calendar
00:39:14.900 is available
00:39:16.480 only on Amazon.
00:39:19.780 Only on Amazon.
00:39:20.960 Nowhere else.
00:39:22.000 Only on Amazon.
00:39:22.920 And I wouldn't wait
00:39:25.840 because we're going
00:39:27.780 to run out.
00:39:28.740 We really are.
00:39:29.660 We're going to run out.
00:39:30.780 If I'm wrong,
00:39:31.660 I'll let you know.
00:39:32.940 But I think we will run out.
00:39:35.920 All right.
00:39:36.560 Oh,
00:39:37.560 here's one.
00:39:45.520 This one is so simple
00:39:46.940 and yet so sublime.
00:39:49.540 So the usual frame
00:39:50.820 is that history
00:39:51.720 is important.
00:39:52.980 Wouldn't you say?
00:39:54.000 If you're looking
00:39:54.480 at the Middle East,
00:39:55.600 history is pretty important.
00:39:56.940 If you're looking
00:39:57.320 at World War II,
00:39:59.740 history is important.
00:40:01.060 So in most cases,
00:40:03.020 you're looking at
00:40:03.680 anything with history
00:40:04.760 in it,
00:40:05.620 it's going to be
00:40:06.220 pretty important.
00:40:07.900 But the reframe
00:40:08.920 is this.
00:40:10.040 History doesn't exist.
00:40:12.580 History doesn't exist.
00:40:14.600 Try getting
00:40:15.060 a handful of history.
00:40:17.820 Where is it?
00:40:18.940 Where is this history
00:40:19.740 you're talking about?
00:40:21.020 Can you fill up
00:40:21.720 a bucket with history?
00:40:23.420 No.
00:40:24.400 History isn't even real.
00:40:25.620 So there are people
00:40:27.880 who go through
00:40:28.500 their life
00:40:29.080 tortured by
00:40:31.140 things that have
00:40:31.980 gone before.
00:40:33.440 The things that they
00:40:34.200 experience,
00:40:34.880 the things they worry
00:40:35.620 about will happen.
00:40:36.920 But none of those
00:40:37.960 things are real.
00:40:40.360 If it's something
00:40:41.280 that did happen
00:40:42.360 in the past,
00:40:44.120 it's not real now.
00:40:46.080 It might have
00:40:46.520 actually happened,
00:40:47.280 but it's not
00:40:48.500 happening now.
00:40:49.480 It just doesn't
00:40:50.780 exist.
00:40:52.200 Once you realize
00:40:53.040 that history
00:40:53.900 is completely
00:40:54.840 artificial,
00:40:55.620 and also,
00:40:57.460 I don't know
00:40:57.720 if you knew this,
00:40:58.300 but there is
00:40:58.980 scientific evidence
00:40:59.860 that we make up
00:41:01.980 our minds
00:41:02.400 after the decisions.
00:41:06.720 That we decide
00:41:07.820 first,
00:41:08.860 and then we come
00:41:09.700 up with weird
00:41:10.440 explanations of
00:41:11.280 why we decided.
00:41:12.440 That's actually
00:41:13.140 how decisions are made.
00:41:14.860 We just think
00:41:15.700 it's the other way
00:41:16.280 around.
00:41:17.640 It's an illusion.
00:41:20.000 So that's your
00:41:20.740 reframe of the day.
00:41:22.880 Has anybody
00:41:23.160 heard that one
00:41:23.660 before?
00:41:23.900 It's so effective.
00:41:27.640 I use it all
00:41:28.420 the time.
00:41:29.600 And I just go,
00:41:30.220 no, that doesn't
00:41:30.780 even exist.
00:41:32.200 Does not exist.
00:41:33.420 Don't have to
00:41:33.760 worry about it.
00:41:36.540 All right.
00:41:37.980 People,
00:41:39.380 I'm going to go
00:41:41.220 think about getting
00:41:42.920 some breakfast,
00:41:44.260 because I deserve it.
00:41:45.540 And the rest of you,
00:41:47.820 I guess I should
00:41:48.720 talk to the
00:41:49.320 locals people
00:41:50.060 privately.
00:41:51.480 I've been
00:41:52.040 cheating them
00:41:52.660 a little bit.
00:41:54.580 So,
00:41:55.060 locals people,
00:41:55.980 oh, I can't
00:41:56.560 lift my arm,
00:41:57.220 though.
00:41:58.420 I'm going to
00:41:58.920 try to turn
00:41:59.460 this off.
00:42:01.820 Let's see if I
00:42:02.560 can do this
00:42:03.060 and keep the
00:42:03.520 locals people.
00:42:04.220 I literally
00:42:07.340 can't lift my
00:42:08.200 arm above
00:42:09.440 my nipples.
00:42:13.460 How many of
00:42:14.180 you have seen
00:42:14.880 me drawing on
00:42:15.960 here?
00:42:19.920 So,
00:42:27.040 in case you
00:42:27.540 missed it.
00:42:29.920 Oh,
00:42:30.880 you can't see it
00:42:32.380 at all.
00:42:33.560 I would put my
00:42:34.440 hand up to the
00:42:35.120 camera so you
00:42:35.660 could see it,
00:42:36.140 but it just hurts
00:42:37.020 too much.
00:42:37.500 I can't reach
00:42:37.980 over there.
00:42:39.620 So,
00:42:40.140 I've been doing
00:42:40.600 some drawing on
00:42:41.280 camera.
00:42:41.760 People seem to
00:42:42.340 like it.
00:42:45.760 The good news
00:42:46.580 is I can still
00:42:47.320 draw,
00:42:49.140 despite
00:42:49.680 the limitations
00:42:51.000 in my hand.
00:42:52.360 Didn't know
00:42:52.980 if I would,
00:42:53.700 but yesterday
00:42:55.200 I could.
00:42:56.460 All right,
00:42:57.020 so,
00:42:59.180 did locals
00:43:01.020 not work?
00:43:05.400 Did locals
00:43:06.260 not work
00:43:06.740 today?
00:43:07.740 I heard
00:43:08.380 somebody say
00:43:08.880 that locals
00:43:09.360 didn't work.
00:43:10.800 Is that
00:43:11.340 true?
00:43:14.840 Because I
00:43:15.460 don't see it
00:43:16.040 here.
00:43:18.860 Hmm.
00:43:19.340 That's
00:43:19.840 weird.
00:43:21.400 All right,
00:43:21.960 I guess
00:43:22.300 we're not
00:43:23.040 talking.
00:43:25.460 Huh.
00:43:27.060 All right,
00:43:27.620 so I'm
00:43:27.920 going to
00:43:28.040 figure out
00:43:28.500 what's wrong
00:43:28.880 with all
00:43:29.180 my devices.
00:43:30.580 All right,
00:43:30.940 people,
00:43:31.600 I can't hang
00:43:32.220 around today.
00:43:32.880 I wish I
00:43:33.260 could,
00:43:34.120 but I can't.
00:43:35.260 I'll talk to
00:43:35.820 you tomorrow.
00:43:37.560 I should have
00:43:38.020 your calendar
00:43:38.800 uploaded by then.
00:43:41.240 Bye for now.
00:43:42.080 Oh,
00:43:42.140 come on,
00:43:47.020 hand,
00:43:47.460 work,
00:43:48.860 work,
00:43:50.520 work.
00:43:51.240 Thank you.