Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 3026 CWSA 11⧸22⧸25

00:00:00.240 Come on in and find a seat.

00:00:02.720 We're about to begin what can only be described as the best coffee with Scott Adams you've

00:00:09.080 ever seen today.

00:00:11.340 Uh-huh.

00:00:13.280 Let me make sure all your comments are zipping by here.

00:00:17.380 And then we've got a show.

00:00:18.800 Whoa, do we have a show?

00:00:21.040 Oh, boy, do we have a show.

00:00:25.680 Oh, what the?

00:00:28.140 Uh, I can't even lift my notes.

00:00:31.540 Why are my notes so heavy?

00:00:33.940 Oh, it's because the brand-new 2026 Dilbert calendar was sitting on top of my notes.

00:00:41.200 I couldn't even lift them.

00:00:42.740 Well, as long as I'm talking about it, I don't know if you've noticed, but we're running out

00:00:49.720 of calendars.

00:00:50.860 If you haven't ordered yours, you'll be really mad if you wait too long.

00:00:55.100 So, it does look like we have a really good chance of selling out, which is good for me

00:01:01.900 and not ideal for the last person who tries to get one.

00:01:06.260 So, they're only on Amazon.

00:01:08.300 You already know if you want it.

00:01:10.460 So, just go to Amazon.

00:01:12.000 It's not going to be anywhere else.

00:01:14.240 It will only be on Amazon USA.

00:01:17.700 USA.

00:01:18.180 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:01:25.420 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time.

00:01:30.520 But if you want to take a chance, if you want to take a chance of elevating your experience

00:01:36.200 up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you

00:01:41.400 need for that is a cuppa, a mug, or a glass, a tank, or a chalice, a stein, a canteen jug,

00:01:46.820 or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:49.600 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:51.660 I like coffee.

00:01:53.300 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes

00:01:57.680 everything better.

00:01:58.840 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:02:02.300 Right.

00:02:02.960 And it happens now.

00:02:04.340 Go.

00:02:08.680 Ah.

00:02:10.320 Ah.

00:02:12.400 Yeah.

00:02:14.020 That's the way to go.

00:02:16.200 All right.

00:02:16.800 Well, so today will be one of the best shows I have ever given you because, just by chance,

00:02:23.500 there's a whole bunch of persuasion-related, Trump-related things happening, and they're

00:02:29.820 all delicious, and they'll all teach you something.

00:02:33.280 Well, we're going to start with, oh, by the way, after the show, immediately after this,

00:02:38.300 Owen Gregorian will be hosting another Spaces event on the X platform.

00:02:45.320 So look for Owen Gregorian.

00:02:48.180 If you search for him, it'll pop right up.

00:02:50.680 And then it's audio only.

00:02:52.680 But you can ask questions, and you can participate, and you'll love it.

00:02:57.780 Anyway, President Trump has issued an order to temporarily terminate what's called temporary

00:03:07.440 status for Somalians.

00:03:09.420 Somalians.

00:03:10.420 Some kind of temporary protective status.

00:03:13.260 So I guess they had some kind of special characterization because the Somalians were assumed to be in, you know,

00:03:23.240 more danger than other people.

00:03:25.780 And that allowed a lot of Somalians to come over here.

00:03:29.920 And do you remember, was it just yesterday or the day before yesterday?

00:03:35.920 You can remind me.

00:03:37.520 Remember when I was saying that whenever you see a news story and it has any of these keywords,

00:03:44.020 it means some Somalians have stolen your tax money.

00:03:47.480 Like, you don't want to see Minnesota, any kind of government program, anything about tax dollars.

00:04:00.100 If you see any of those words in the news, and they're together, some Somalians are running some kind of scam on you. 1.00

00:04:08.700 So there were so many of them, I think, that I started losing the ability to tell them apart.

00:04:15.840 It seemed like there was one every day.

00:04:17.640 It was just crazy.

00:04:19.400 Well, Christopher Ruffo, you know him if you're on the political right and you follow social media.

00:04:28.000 Christopher Ruffo and I guess some people he works with, I don't know exactly the entity,

00:04:33.700 they did the research and he says, quote,

00:04:36.020 we broke this Somali fraud story and called on President Trump to revoke the temporary protected status for all Somalis.

00:04:44.800 And now the president has delivered.

00:04:47.960 How many times have we seen this happen?

00:04:52.500 By far, this is the coolest thing about the Trump administration.

00:04:58.280 I've called this out just a number of times.

00:05:01.640 Trump actually reads the room.

00:05:04.900 We talk about can people read the room, meaning know what people are thinking.

00:05:09.480 But he actually reads, like literally reads, the people in the room.

00:05:15.260 So Christopher Ruffo and his posts on X, and I'm sure he's had direct communications with people in the administration,

00:05:23.900 he does the work.

00:05:26.140 He puts in the work based on what he and some other people have decided would be the important thing to work on.

00:05:33.260 Like what would be good for the country?

00:05:34.740 What could we do that would make a difference?

00:05:37.700 And then they go do that thing.

00:05:40.160 I don't know that anybody asked them to do it.

00:05:43.080 They just sort of recognize this gap in the way we run the country.

00:05:48.540 And he must have said, you know, I'm doing a little mind reading here because I can't know what they're thinking.

00:05:53.980 But it seems to me that these were some patriots who said, no, we're not going to put up with this.

00:06:00.080 I'm going to call it out.

00:06:01.280 I'm going to write it up.

00:06:02.140 I'm going to go to the president.

00:06:03.620 I'm going to ask him to stop it.

00:06:05.920 And then that's what happened.

00:06:08.260 I mean, come on.

00:06:10.060 Is that the coolest thing you've heard today?

00:06:12.280 Just the fact, does it make you feel good that somebody could identify a problem, put the work in, and then it gets solved?

00:06:24.100 How often does that happen?

00:06:25.880 Pretty cool.

00:06:26.660 So good work, Christopher Ruffo.

00:06:29.820 Good work, President Trump.

00:06:32.580 We're at least one step forward on that stuff.

00:06:36.500 Well, you already know by now Marjorie Taylor Greene has resigned, effective early January.

00:06:44.760 So there's so much to say about that because everybody took sides, blah, blah, blah.

00:06:50.900 But I'll say a bunch of things about it in no particular order.

00:06:55.780 Some say that it was because she disagreed with Trump on a number of what she might call MAGA-related issues, and that she was more MAGA than Trump was in the end, and then they could no longer work with each other.

00:07:13.380 So Trump has said he wanted to primary her, and there's not much chance she probably could have got elected if she got primaried and the president was against her.

00:07:24.360 It would be hard to get elected.

00:07:25.740 So a lot of smart people said, well, did she really quit, or was she not going to be in office after the next election cycle anyway, so she's just getting ahead of it?

00:07:40.800 No, that's a fair statement.

00:07:41.940 Other people said, oh, is it just a coincidence that her benefits are vested, and now she's got health care? 0.96

00:07:51.920 Well, that would be a perfectly good reason for retiring from any job.

00:07:56.340 No problem.

00:07:59.880 Let's see.

00:08:00.460 Some say it's about Israel, of course.

00:08:02.740 That'll be – we always throw that in there. 0.92

00:08:08.280 Anyway.

00:08:08.800 So – but let me give you a few other ways to look at this.

00:08:13.140 Mario Knopfel on X had a take that was – that she just pulled off the smartest political move of her career.

00:08:23.080 How many people think that?

00:08:25.160 How many people think that this wasn't running away?

00:08:29.420 She just saw an opportunity for the biggest move of any politician ever, and so she took it because she's smart.

00:08:37.500 And she said, whoa, this will never happen again.

00:08:41.260 I'm going to take this opportunity.

00:08:43.260 What are we talking about?

00:08:44.820 What opportunity?

00:08:46.680 Well, here's what Mario said.

00:08:50.940 He said that she quit because she's playing the long game.

00:08:53.900 And losing in a primary with Trump destroying her is not really a good long-term strategy.

00:09:01.640 But you know what would be?

00:09:03.620 You know what would be a long-term strategy?

00:09:06.520 To sort of go out at the top.

00:09:09.000 Now, you could argue what the top is, but you know what I mean.

00:09:11.500 To go out before she's badly bruised, when she still has full name recognition and all that.

00:09:17.800 And she has every opportunity in the world now.

00:09:21.440 I mean, I think she's got a book out, but I don't know if that's new or it's been out for a while.

00:09:26.780 Obviously, by now, she would be looking at offers, probably lots of them.

00:09:33.160 Could she start her own TV show?

00:09:35.280 Of course.

00:09:36.820 Yeah.

00:09:37.380 Do you think anybody's offered to say, well, how would you like to be our next Matt Gaetz?

00:09:42.860 Well, she'd probably be good at it. 0.98

00:09:46.920 So, the world of opportunities for her just opened up.

00:09:51.740 Did she become more powerful or less powerful because of resigning? 0.99

00:09:56.580 You tell me.

00:09:58.580 Well, it depends what happens next.

00:10:00.840 If she just goes off and works on her construction business or family construction business,

00:10:06.940 then that would be perfectly respectable, patriot, took a shot at improving things,

00:10:15.660 decided it wasn't for her, wasn't making enough of a difference,

00:10:19.860 went to do something else in the free market.

00:10:22.240 No problem.

00:10:23.520 So, that's sort of the worst case scenario, is that she just has a normal life now.

00:10:29.580 A good normal life.

00:10:30.720 A very good normal life.

00:10:32.320 But what's the other possibility?

00:10:33.960 Well, the other possibility is that she becomes a Tucker Carlson-like, Matt Gaetz-like,

00:10:42.880 Ben Shapiro-like person whose influence just magnifies because she'd be good on TV.

00:10:53.740 You already know she's good on TV, right?

00:10:55.760 So, now she suddenly has the opportunity to be way, way more influential. 0.95

00:11:03.460 And even President Trump might someday want to go on her show and answer some questions.

00:11:13.720 And she's going to have some tough questions.

00:11:16.300 Tough questions.

00:11:17.540 So, we don't know if any of that's going to happen.

00:11:19.360 We're just purely speculating.

00:11:21.400 But if you think that she's operating from loss or operating from weakness,

00:11:27.780 it doesn't look like it to me.

00:11:30.240 It looks like she's operating from strength.

00:11:32.780 And she has lots of options, so you just don't know where she's going. 0.68

00:11:36.820 That's what I think.

00:11:37.520 Anyway, we'll see where that goes.

00:11:45.320 I think it's more likely that she'll come out of this more powerful.

00:11:51.580 What do you think?

00:11:52.820 I'm looking at your comments.

00:11:54.440 Whether you like her or not, I know it's always a mixed bag, 1.00

00:11:58.560 but would you agree that she'll come out of this more powerful, not less?

00:12:05.080 All right.

00:12:05.380 We'll see in your comments what you say.

00:12:07.520 All right.

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00:12:35.060 We'd love to talk business.

00:12:37.520 In a somewhat related but not really, I saw user Matt Van Swal on X.

00:12:48.440 It was a good account.

00:12:49.480 You should follow it.

00:12:50.900 Matt Van Swal.

00:12:52.200 His last name is V-A-N space S-W-O-L. 1.00

00:12:57.960 And he noted that in Charlotte, North Carolina, that there were – he says hundreds of construction sites are completely empty.

00:13:07.220 And he believes the reason is that ICE came through and took all the employees.

00:13:13.400 How would he know, or how would anybody know, if there were hundreds of construction sites that were empty in Charlotte, North Carolina?

00:13:21.800 It sounds like maybe a little bit, a little bit of hyperbole or a little bit of – not projection, but would he know that?

00:13:32.180 Now, I do believe that it's observable, that you would observably see that a lot of sites were closed.

00:13:38.320 I don't know.

00:13:38.820 It's hundreds.

00:13:39.740 That's the only thing I question.

00:13:41.020 So, what do you make of that?

00:13:45.840 Do you make of it that it would be a mistake, or was a mistake, to send away all the people who know how to build stuff?

00:13:55.800 I already know what you're going to say in the comments.

00:13:58.820 Shall I summarize your comments without even reading them?

00:14:02.480 I believe I can.

00:14:03.360 And some of you are going to say, too bad.

00:14:06.720 Too bad.

00:14:08.040 Why did you start a construction company that depended on non-American workers?

00:14:13.540 Whose problem is that?

00:14:14.840 Not my problem, right?

00:14:17.340 Now, does that capture some of your comments?

00:14:20.180 Yeah, it's just not your problem.

00:14:23.020 But, I would argue, we are all part of this big old economy.

00:14:27.820 And, if it were this problem once, you might say, well, that construction owner guy made a mistake.

00:14:37.400 That's his problem.

00:14:38.240 But, what if it really is hundreds?

00:14:41.300 And, it's only in one city there are hundreds.

00:14:43.780 That's going to be magnified all over the country, right?

00:14:47.500 Are you okay with that?

00:14:49.440 And, then, the real question is, it kind of depends how long it lasts, right?

00:14:54.440 But, if you said to me, Scott, Scott, answer me this.

00:15:02.300 Yeah, there might be a few days where they have to hire American-born workers and replace all the foreign-born people who got deported.

00:15:11.340 It might take a few days.

00:15:13.400 What would I say to that?

00:15:15.240 I would say, a few days, you say?

00:15:17.240 Like, how many days?

00:15:18.600 What's a few days?

00:15:20.420 Well, I don't know, two weeks.

00:15:21.880 I would say, two weeks to convert from foreign-born to American-born workers in these good jobs. 0.58

00:15:32.760 Totally.

00:15:33.400 Yeah, sign me up for that.

00:15:35.060 I would definitely take a two-week total national disruption if, at the end of it, we had, you know, American-born workers and that's what we wanted. 1.00

00:15:45.620 But, what if it's not two weeks?

00:15:49.660 What if it's six months?

00:15:53.660 Well, now you get a whole different problem.

00:15:56.780 What if it is six months and then half of the people who are in the construction business go out of business?

00:16:03.380 Because they can't hold on for six months.

00:16:05.220 So, did we even create a path for the construction industry to survive?

00:16:12.920 I don't know the answer to that.

00:16:15.040 But it's a pretty big question.

00:16:17.660 So, I would feel very different if there was simply a disruption in the economy versus destroying the entire construction industry in a way that almost can't go back.

00:16:32.600 And do we know which one of those is going to happen?

00:16:37.120 Because I don't.

00:16:40.100 I'm watching pretty carefully.

00:16:42.360 I don't know what's going to happen.

00:16:43.560 I think the general feeling, and I'm going to say something that sounds a little biased here because it is.

00:16:52.040 The general feeling is that for people who are not close to the employment market, which is a lot of us,

00:17:00.420 I don't think people understand how woefully undertrained American-born workers are. 0.90

00:17:10.280 I don't think you know how hard it's going to be to get them trained up to the point that they can match the work of the foreign-born people. 0.80

00:17:20.260 Now, should we do it anyway because it's hard?

00:17:24.020 That's a good argument.

00:17:25.860 The fact that it's hard shouldn't stop you from doing it if you want to get to that end point.

00:17:32.100 But we do not know what's going to happen.

00:17:36.000 We don't know.

00:17:37.220 How many of you feel confident that you do know and that you've got a good idea in your head,

00:17:42.740 oh, this is going to be three weeks of pain and then everything will be back to normal and better than normal

00:17:50.060 because it would be American-born workers and maybe that's what you want.

00:17:55.160 What do you think?

00:17:55.840 Are you confident that you know where this ends up?

00:18:02.260 Well, I'm not, nor do I need to be.

00:18:05.120 I mean, it's an uncertain situation.

00:18:07.720 But we'll find out.

00:18:11.060 You know, sometimes, and this might be one of those times,

00:18:14.160 sometimes you have to just jump to the next rock without knowing if there's going to be another rock there.

00:18:21.100 Sometimes you just have to go for it.

00:18:24.320 And I don't know that there will ever be another time when the construction companies will be forced to hire American.

00:18:33.780 It might be the only time.

00:18:36.060 So if we lose this opportunity, well, maybe it doesn't come around again.

00:18:41.680 So I wouldn't disagree with your plan if you thought that we should just do it and suffer the consequences.

00:18:52.760 Whatever it is, it is.

00:18:53.980 It'll be hard.

00:18:55.220 But we have to do it.

00:18:57.080 That wouldn't be a bad opinion.

00:18:58.640 I just don't know if it'll work out.

00:19:00.200 Well, the other big story is that Trump met Zoran Mamdami.

00:19:06.200 This is my favorite story, actually.

00:19:07.600 And you probably know that instead of fighting it out like some of you thought that they would,

00:19:15.920 they ended up, at least Trump did, acting very friendly, like everything went great.

00:19:23.400 A lot of smiles, et cetera.

00:19:25.600 Now, I would note the Zoran, at least in the Oval Office meeting that was on video, he was his usual smiley self. 0.90

00:19:38.920 But boy, he wasn't giving up much, was he?

00:19:41.700 He looked like, I don't know where this is going.

00:19:45.520 Wait a minute.

00:19:46.320 Are you saying good things about me?

00:19:48.260 Are you going to hijack me?

00:19:49.540 Am I going to be like some of those other leaders who didn't know that you were going to hijack me when I went into the Oval Office?

00:19:57.260 Or is this going to work out for me?

00:19:58.500 I don't know.

00:19:59.760 So Trump had this gigantic advantage over him that Trump knew where Trump was going.

00:20:07.140 And he knew that he was going to keep it friendly.

00:20:09.940 Zoran didn't know that.

00:20:11.500 I mean, he could have hoped it.

00:20:12.460 He could have heard it.

00:20:13.960 But he didn't know it.

00:20:15.540 So I think he was a little bit, not a little bit.

00:20:18.500 I mean, how many times has he been in the Oval Office?

00:20:21.420 Never.

00:20:24.420 Basically, I've been in the Oval Office more than he had until that day.

00:20:28.660 So it did look like Zoran was Ashok the intern, didn't it?

00:20:38.480 You could see the power difference.

00:20:41.140 Trump is sitting in a chair and Mondani is standing.

00:20:46.600 There's this giant age difference.

00:20:48.220 There's an experience difference.

00:20:49.840 There's an office difference.

00:20:51.860 There's probably a height difference.

00:20:54.740 So Trump goes in with all these power symbols, and he makes Zoran just sort of stand there and not know what to do.

00:21:08.320 So I love that.

00:21:09.880 But here's the persuasion lesson for you.

00:21:15.980 Have you noticed that Trump is consistently able to be the most interesting person in every story, especially if the story has some control over?

00:21:26.740 How in the world could Trump become the most interesting person in this story?

00:21:33.820 Because Zoran, he's the it guy, right?

00:21:39.460 He literally is more interesting than Trump, just in this narrow domain.

00:21:44.560 Do you think Trump wants to bring in a guy who's got as much game as Trump does, ish, not as much, but that he's operating at that highest level of persuasion?

00:21:57.160 Do you think Trump wanted to bring him in and sort of make him the star?

00:22:02.960 Or maybe not. 0.99

00:22:06.400 So if you were Trump, how could you guarantee that without looking like a giant dick, you could also claim all the attention? 0.97

00:22:17.060 Well, how about acting like he's Zoran's best friend and playing opposite of type to the point where it's all you want to talk about? 0.98

00:22:25.680 Well, wait a minute, I didn't think Trump would do this.

00:22:28.780 Wait a minute, would that other leader he do this?

00:22:31.600 Wait a minute, he could have done this.

00:22:33.340 Wait a minute, is it just because he likes New York?

00:22:36.640 Wait a minute, you see where I'm going on this?

00:22:40.220 Trump made Trump the interesting person in this story.

00:22:44.860 Who else could do that?

00:22:47.380 I mean, really, nobody else could do that.

00:22:50.880 There's no normal politician who could have out-Zoran'd Zoran at the peak of his being interesting.

00:23:01.400 This is the peak.

00:23:03.300 This is Zoran's best day.

00:23:05.500 He's never had a better day.

00:23:07.920 And Trump just went, rump.

00:23:10.380 He just high ground him like he wasn't even there.

00:23:13.640 So Trump made himself the star of the event and makes you insanely curious about what did they actually say behind closed doors?

00:23:25.200 What's going to happen next?

00:23:27.260 Did he plan this?

00:23:29.220 I don't know.

00:23:30.580 Or was it just like a spontaneous thing where he sort of liked Zoran and thought, you know what?

00:23:36.200 I'm going to play opposite type.

00:23:37.840 We're going to have some fun.

00:23:39.780 Don't know.

00:23:40.360 But it's the not knowing that makes it interesting.

00:23:44.820 So if you don't understand the level of talent that Trump brought to that one, just that one event, you're really missing a great show.

00:23:56.820 That is not normal.

00:23:59.200 It's not normal to be that skillful in this unique situation, which he's never been in before.

00:24:07.300 And he just owned it, just totally owned it.

00:24:11.460 All right.

00:24:12.100 So here's one reason that you might have predicted that they would get along.

00:24:18.920 What would be the most predictive thing?

00:24:21.900 And I've told you this before, so it won't be the first time you've heard it, but it would be the first time maybe you used it to predict.

00:24:29.980 Trump likes talented people.

00:24:33.800 And now we're done.

00:24:38.340 Trump likes, really likes talented people.

00:24:42.960 Doesn't matter if it's sports.

00:24:44.820 Doesn't matter if it's politics.

00:24:47.480 Doesn't matter if it's some subset of talent within one of those things.

00:24:51.440 He really, really likes talented people.

00:24:54.000 He likes merit.

00:24:54.760 And even if the person's on the other team, he will call them out for their talent.

00:25:01.720 So knowing as you do, and I've told you this before, that he's drawn to talent, he calls it out, he follows it, he tries to incorporate it, he tries to be around it.

00:25:13.340 And what would you have predicted that would be his response to Zoran in person?

00:25:20.200 Exactly this.

00:25:23.740 If the only thing you knew is that he loves talent and it completely changes how he operates, you put him in the room with a super talented person.

00:25:32.020 I'm talking about the kind of talent that only a few people in the world have.

00:25:36.340 I'm talking about a Tom Brady kind of talent.

00:25:39.200 Right?

00:25:39.480 That kind of talent.

00:25:40.540 You put him in the room with that and he's always smiling.

00:25:43.940 Right?

00:25:45.100 You've seen it a million times.

00:25:46.480 Always smiling.

00:25:47.560 And he's always going to be respectful.

00:25:49.560 I'm seeing that word in the comments, respectful.

00:25:52.000 So he goes immediately into respectful mode and then everything works out.

00:25:57.960 Two high level people showing respect to each other.

00:26:00.820 And Zoran Mamdani quite wisely showed full respect to the office, which is all Trump requires.

00:26:10.300 It doesn't have to be that personal.

00:26:12.200 But if he shows full respect to the office, well, now you've got two people who can talk.

00:26:18.320 And that's what happened.

00:26:20.080 All right.

00:26:21.220 Trump joked when one of the – it might have been CNN – asked Mamdani, did he think that Trump was a fascist?

00:26:28.540 Because it's a word that he's used a lot.

00:26:29.960 And rather than let Zoran try to answer that, which might be a problem, Trump jumps in and interrupts.

00:26:39.700 He goes, just say yes.

00:26:41.340 Which I thought was hilarious.

00:26:43.300 He goes, just say yes.

00:26:44.460 It'll be easier.

00:26:46.220 Just say yes. 1.00

00:26:47.060 He's a fascist. 1.00

00:26:49.720 Now, what was that? 0.99

00:26:51.980 That was a rescue, wasn't it?

00:26:56.060 It was a rescue.

00:26:57.800 Trump rescued him in real time.

00:27:00.380 He took that little problem, just took it off his plate, and made it forever and ever a problem again. 1.00

00:27:06.920 There will never be another time when Zoran has to answer that same stupid question. 0.99

00:27:11.700 Well, you called him a fascist before, but now you want federal money. 1.00

00:27:17.080 How do you explain that?

00:27:18.540 Why would you take money if I'm a fascist?

00:27:21.000 Trump just made that go away.

00:27:23.980 Now, does that obligate Zoran to sort of owe Trump?

00:27:29.300 Yeah, a little bit.

00:27:30.800 And not in a big way, but a little bit.

00:27:34.220 It's like he did him a favor.

00:27:36.900 Men especially feel that.

00:27:38.980 We feel it.

00:27:39.760 I'm like, all right, I owe you one.

00:27:42.980 What else?

00:27:45.260 Next, Trump has an instinct for the show.

00:27:49.120 I call it the show.

00:27:51.020 Because he's always involved in the show.

00:27:54.860 There are different episodes of the show, but it's always the show.

00:28:00.780 And Trump knows the show better than anybody.

00:28:03.020 And what could have been a better show than the one he put on yesterday

00:28:07.220 by surprising us that they're, you know, acting like best friends?

00:28:11.640 You can't beat that.

00:28:13.240 I mean, a fist fight might have been more fun, but, you know, that wouldn't have been appropriate.

00:28:18.500 So, he knows how to put it on the show, and he did.

00:28:21.720 And then Trump also said that they had good chemistry.

00:28:27.940 And he said, quote, it's always nice to have good chemistry with people.

00:28:31.720 That's a bigger deal than people understand.

00:28:35.140 And if he has good personal chemistry, he can get along with anybody.

00:28:39.840 And by the way, do you remember when I used to say that Trump had a pirate ship?

00:28:46.620 And one of the things I liked about him, especially in the first election,

00:28:50.520 is that he would assemble people who were his supporters that you wouldn't think would be on the same ship.

00:28:56.560 And so, I call it a pirate ship, because it's all these weirdos.

00:29:00.760 And weirdos, I say, with love, not with insult.

00:29:05.820 And he never left that model.

00:29:09.420 And I always thought, that is the strongest frame you're ever going to see.

00:29:14.040 Because once you've established that you're the only one who can have any kind of pirate,

00:29:20.380 you get all the good pirates.

00:29:23.940 Right?

00:29:24.380 If you're trying to pick teams, and you've established that you'll not only work with a pirate,

00:29:30.960 you'll make them head of a cabinet position, that's a real strong power.

00:29:38.800 So, yeah, the pirate ship mentality, if you're treating the pirates as a positive,

00:29:45.180 like, I don't care what you did before, RFK Jr.,

00:29:48.440 I don't care if you ate a whale's head, or I don't know what he's accused of doing.

00:29:53.520 But as long as you can do this thing for me, and for the country, we're going to do this thing.

00:29:59.340 Pirate ship.

00:30:00.160 Very powerful.

00:30:04.860 What else?

00:30:06.680 I saw a body language expert looking at Zoran in the Oval Office,

00:30:11.920 and thought that he was being very reserved, but also seemed to be relaxed.

00:30:18.720 I don't know about the relaxed part.

00:30:20.600 I might disagree with that.

00:30:22.420 But he seemed to be, have been put at ease.

00:30:27.900 I think both of them knew how to put each other at ease and did a good job of it.

00:30:31.460 But, you know, let's say, and Trump said about Zoran that he couldn't have been nicer.

00:30:39.720 And I thought to myself, that is just a superpower, isn't it?

00:30:43.360 Being nice to people is really powerful.

00:30:47.600 You know, even if it's the President of the United States,

00:30:50.860 if you're nice to him, who knows what could happen.

00:30:54.300 All right, but here's the best part.

00:30:58.980 I'm getting to the real payoff here on persuasion.

00:31:04.380 Now you're really going to learn something next.

00:31:07.160 You ready?

00:31:08.420 Do you remember when Zoran and maybe some other people trotted out the word affordability?

00:31:16.160 Do you remember what I said on my show here?

00:31:18.340 And I was just swooning at how smart that was.

00:31:24.280 I'd never heard affordability being used as the main word.

00:31:29.200 Of course, it's a normal word that people use.

00:31:31.420 But I'd never heard it used as sort of the campaign's main theme.

00:31:35.000 And I thought to myself, oh, my God, you can't really beat that.

00:31:39.940 So what are Republicans going to do to counter that?

00:31:43.400 You can't really beat affordability.

00:31:45.200 It's so well chosen.

00:31:46.400 It's not overused.

00:31:49.200 So it's not like you remember Kerry did it when he read it.

00:31:53.040 Nothing like that.

00:31:54.040 So it's fresh.

00:31:55.380 It's perfect.

00:31:56.300 It's on point.

00:31:57.620 Everybody feels it.

00:31:59.000 It works for all kinds of categories.

00:32:01.220 It's just a great word.

00:32:04.300 And I don't think you can beat it.

00:32:07.300 So then Trump runs into this word.

00:32:12.020 He would have, I believe, exactly the same reaction to it that I did. 0.99

00:32:15.960 Which is, oh, crap. 0.99

00:32:19.760 That's a really good word. 0.96

00:32:22.100 What am I going to do about that?

00:32:24.660 But, as you know, Trump is the unmatched persuasion expert of our time.

00:32:31.660 Is there anything he could have done to counter the effectiveness of affordability?

00:32:40.780 Anything?

00:32:41.640 Is there any way to play that?

00:32:44.540 I couldn't think of one.

00:32:46.540 I was coming up blank, and I think about this stuff all the time.

00:32:50.000 I didn't really have a good answer.

00:32:52.240 So what did Trump do?

00:32:54.440 Do you know what he did?

00:32:56.160 If you've been paying attention for the last week, he did the smartest thing you'll ever say.

00:33:01.940 He just took the word.

00:33:04.340 He credited them.

00:33:06.800 So he didn't say, you know, this is my own word.

00:33:09.460 He gave them credit.

00:33:10.420 And then he embraced it.

00:33:13.720 And he fully embraced it.

00:33:16.100 He borrowed it.

00:33:18.280 He stole it.

00:33:20.320 He co-opted it.

00:33:22.660 He embraced it.

00:33:25.300 Now what?

00:33:26.960 Now what do you do?

00:33:28.060 And my guess is that behind closed doors, it was probably that word that allowed them to say, you know what?

00:33:37.580 I think we can say good things about each other when we're out in that other room.

00:33:42.120 Because if you're down with affordability, and I'm down with affordability, we can work together.

00:33:49.360 If I told you that one of these candidates was the common sense candidate, common sense.

00:33:58.260 Now that would be Trump, not Zoran.

00:34:00.480 But affordability sounds like common sense, doesn't it?

00:34:05.100 Because if it's not affordable, it's nothing.

00:34:08.280 So it perfectly fits Trump's whole MAGA everything.

00:34:14.320 It's common sense.

00:34:16.000 Affordability is.

00:34:16.800 And at the same time, if it's Zoran's whole, it's got to be affordable because nobody can afford to live in New York City.

00:34:24.560 So it's sort of perfect for both of them.

00:34:28.160 And Trump noticed that, apparently, and decided that he would get on that channel and that nothing could kick him off.

00:34:37.760 And that once he's on there, the only thing that could happen is Zoran can leave.

00:34:45.160 And he's not going to.

00:34:46.800 So since they're both committed to this affordability thing, but the president of the United States has more tools simply by being president, Zoran probably can't get to affordability without a little bit of help from a variety of places, including the president.

00:35:03.520 So the fact that Trump not only noticed that the word was a high ground killer word.

00:35:11.820 So the first part is simply recognizing the power of that word.

00:35:18.140 But the second part?

00:35:20.300 Oh, my goodness.

00:35:22.120 The second part was knowing what to do about it.

00:35:26.460 It's so rare.

00:35:27.280 And the third part is he executed.

00:35:32.600 Because right now, I just think of affordability as something that two of our leaders have embraced, and I hope the rest of them get on board.

00:35:41.460 That's three for three of three of three of three of the hardest things you can do in persuasion.

00:35:48.300 Recognize the word.

00:35:50.940 Know that you have to deal with it.

00:35:52.560 And then totally embrace it and co-opt it and turn it into your own thing.

00:35:58.860 Nobody else can do that.

00:36:01.060 That's a Trumpy thing right there.

00:36:04.640 It's one for the ages.

00:36:05.600 Anyway, you'll remember that one forever.

00:36:14.560 Canada can be a global leader in reducing the harm caused by smoking, but it requires actionable steps.

00:36:21.620 Now is the time to modernize Canadian laws so that adult smokers have information and access to better alternatives.

00:36:28.620 By doing so, we can create lasting change.

00:36:31.800 If you don't smoke, don't start.

00:36:33.820 If you smoke, quit.

00:36:35.840 If you don't quit, change.

00:36:38.300 Visit unsmoked.ca.

00:36:41.500 Meanwhile, CNN's Harry Enten tells us that the polls are not looking so good for Trump.

00:36:48.240 And I guess the independents in January of earlier this year in January, he was only down four with independents, and now he's down 43.

00:37:01.120 He's down 43.

00:37:03.820 Now, how do you explain that the independents liked him, if not, or at least liked him a lot more in January, but it's completely collapsed?

00:37:12.740 Well, there's two ways to look at this.

00:37:17.240 I'm going to give you a little mental test.

00:37:22.220 I guess that's what it is.

00:37:24.400 What do you call it?

00:37:25.300 What's the word for that?

00:37:26.240 Not a mental test.

00:37:27.480 A, you know what I mean.

00:37:30.480 Like a mental exercise.

00:37:32.820 Imagine, if you will, that Trump became president, as he did, and he did everything wrong, and he only made mistakes.

00:37:42.700 What would happen to his poll numbers if he got in the job and didn't solve any problems?

00:37:48.680 His poll numbers would fall through the roof, or not, fall through the basement, right?

00:37:54.980 So if he does a really terrible, terrible job, his poll numbers would look a lot like they do now.

00:38:01.500 What would happen, on the other hand, if he came into office, and let's say there were five really big problems that the country cared about a lot,

00:38:10.900 and he immediately solved all five, let's say he ended some wars, closed the border, put an end to inflation.

00:38:20.940 You'd like it to be lower, but he ended it.

00:38:23.680 Let's say tariffs worked.

00:38:27.240 Let me just throw in a few more things, right?

00:38:29.700 What would happen if Trump solved all the problems that could be solved, and what was left didn't look like that big a problem,

00:38:39.940 or it didn't look like something that only Trump could solve?

00:38:43.820 What would happen to his poll numbers then?

00:38:47.060 Well, once you solve all your big problems, you start thinking about things like empathy, because it's a luxury.

00:38:55.100 Empathy is a luxury.

00:38:56.820 If everything's falling apart, and you're in mortal danger, well, then you need a Trump to do the things that no one else can do,

00:39:05.860 because no one else can do it, and it's a mortal danger.

00:39:08.780 People are pouring across the border, or the dollar is becoming worth a penny.

00:39:15.080 I mean, these are mortal, end-of-the-world existential problems.

00:39:19.900 But what if he solved them all?

00:39:23.480 So you have this weird situation where it's going to be hard for us to distinguish,

00:39:29.080 is Trump less popular because he solved all the Trump-only problems?

00:39:34.600 I would say the border was kind of a Trump-only could-solve-it situation.

00:39:41.040 But once it's solved, then the next Republican can certainly maintain.

00:39:47.420 So I've always predicted that Trump's poll numbers would fall through the floor.

00:39:55.760 Have you seen me predict that?

00:39:58.880 Before it actually happened, I predicted it.

00:40:01.420 And there would probably be a point sort of early in the election cycle, well, after he'd been elected,

00:40:07.860 there would be a point early on where maybe he'd hit the best numbers he'd ever had,

00:40:11.820 because he hadn't done anything yet, and they're hoping he could solve the big problems.

00:40:15.500 But I did predict, in public, that once he solved the biggest problems,

00:40:21.940 his polls would drop, because you didn't need Trump for business as usual.

00:40:29.220 Business as usual is, uh, Marco Rubio, he could do that.

00:40:34.900 He'd be great at it.

00:40:36.740 J.D. Vince, absolutely, business as usual.

00:40:40.440 But, uh, you really need to do something that's going to make everybody hate you 0.87

00:40:45.680 and maybe try to shoot you? 0.90

00:40:48.040 That's kind of only Trump. 0.71

00:40:50.740 So once we finish all these, only Trump can do it problems.

00:40:54.900 Um, if you combine the fact that Trump won't be running for office again,

00:40:59.880 it kind of makes total sense.

00:41:03.320 Then whether he succeeded or failed,

00:41:05.640 his popularity as president should, should naturally come to an end.

00:41:13.260 So, there might be a, there might be a point,

00:41:16.400 and I don't know if I would be bold enough to predict this yet,

00:41:19.000 where the type of success that he gets is so undeniably, crazily good

00:41:25.840 that before he leaves office, and maybe after, uh, his, his numbers will creep back up.

00:41:33.700 But if, for example, he does put an end to the Ukraine war,

00:41:39.420 and we'll talk about that in a minute, uh, if he pulled that off,

00:41:42.460 and if he got our, our budget a little bit closer to balance,

00:41:48.260 and if Gaza was heading in the right direction,

00:41:51.740 and if the border was, stayed closed,

00:41:55.160 and if the employment numbers were just crazy good,

00:41:58.800 because, you know, it took a few, took two years, let's say,

00:42:02.880 but we finally trained enough American construction workers.

00:42:06.780 I mean, just take, take a look at construction, just pick one.

00:42:10.440 If the only thing that happened is you waited two years,

00:42:14.960 well, on day one, it looks like, oh, that Trump, he made a mistake.

00:42:19.080 He sent back the only qualified workers,

00:42:21.840 and now we can't build this hotel.

00:42:23.680 Well, that's a real problem.

00:42:25.760 It's a real problem.

00:42:26.920 But in two years, what will it look like?

00:42:30.280 Well, the companies that are still in business

00:42:32.960 will have figured out how to hire locals one way or the other,

00:42:36.760 and they'll just be running their business.

00:42:40.100 So there's going to be a point

00:42:41.780 where if Trump succeeds on, on this whole range of things

00:42:47.300 that it looks like he is,

00:42:48.320 it does look like he will succeed.

00:42:51.080 If he does, and then you wait two years,

00:42:55.940 and then let's say he turns down the temperature a little bit

00:42:58.600 because he's not running for office,

00:43:00.720 you know, when he runs for office,

00:43:01.960 all the temperature goes up.

00:43:03.960 He doesn't need to do that again.

00:43:06.200 So he can suddenly play for his legacy.

00:43:09.660 If the last two years of his office,

00:43:12.040 he's playing for his legacy,

00:43:14.140 playing nice, basically,

00:43:15.720 he'd be more like his meeting with Zoran,

00:43:18.920 which even the left is going to say,

00:43:20.580 eh, we don't mind that.

00:43:23.500 You can do more of that.

00:43:25.680 We have no problem whatsoever

00:43:27.380 with you being friendly with Zoran in the Oval Office,

00:43:31.740 even we Democrats like that.

00:43:34.180 So the most natural arc for where this ends up

00:43:38.640 is that Trump's poll numbers will continue to drop

00:43:42.440 until, to borrow his language,

00:43:45.540 no one's ever seen anything like it.

00:43:48.600 He might break records

00:43:50.460 for the lowest popularity of a sitting president.

00:43:55.060 And whether that happens or not,

00:43:57.900 the second part of the prediction is

00:44:00.600 that by the time he leaves office,

00:44:03.000 but it could be maybe shortly after,

00:44:05.620 he'll have the best poll numbers of any president

00:44:09.220 of all time, of all time.

00:44:13.880 Yeah.

00:44:14.560 But you're going to have to wait

00:44:15.620 to find out if I'm right about that.

00:44:20.880 So here's a little personal interest story.

00:44:23.660 So I'm sitting at home,

00:44:25.740 and I'm in my nice, comfy, lazy boy chair,

00:44:29.540 and I've got my phone,

00:44:31.800 and I'm watching the news,

00:44:33.580 and I'm watching a video

00:44:35.420 that just happened, really.

00:44:37.640 It was right after the Zoran meeting

00:44:40.900 in the Oval Office.

00:44:42.760 And so I'm listening to Trump.

00:44:44.800 He's talking on my phone.

00:44:47.460 Trump, Trump, Trump, Trump, Trump, Trump.

00:44:49.760 Then my phone rings. 0.99

00:44:51.160 I'm like, oh, damn it. 0.99

00:44:54.000 And it's West Palm Beach. 0.99

00:44:57.600 Yes, the president called me

00:44:59.240 while I was watching the president on TV.

00:45:02.480 So Trump called just to make sure I was doing okay,

00:45:05.460 and I was getting the help I needed

00:45:06.820 for my medical situation.

00:45:09.440 He followed up.

00:45:11.640 My God.

00:45:13.560 He called twice.

00:45:15.060 Yeah, I missed it and called back.

00:45:17.660 But I will never get used to that.

00:45:22.660 You cannot get used.

00:45:23.920 There's no way your brain can actually process it,

00:45:27.840 that you're sitting at home.

00:45:29.580 You're literally watching the most powerful,

00:45:32.460 in my opinion,

00:45:33.760 and successful president in the history

00:45:35.880 of all humankind.

00:45:38.300 The most important person,

00:45:40.480 you could argue,

00:45:41.780 out of about 7 billion of us.

00:45:44.180 And his little face

00:45:45.460 and his words are on this phone.

00:45:49.120 It's like in my hand.

00:45:50.440 And then the real one calls me.

00:45:53.800 The real one calls me.

00:45:55.980 While I'm sitting there.

00:45:58.940 I'm trying to make this

00:46:00.120 into a more interesting story.

00:46:03.200 But it doesn't really need any extra details, does it?

00:46:05.860 Just the fact that it happened at all.

00:46:07.900 It's just mind-blowing.

00:46:09.220 It's just mind-blowing.

00:46:10.400 And then I hang up the phone.

00:46:11.480 And Dr. Oz calls me also because,

00:46:17.620 I'm sure also because Trump originally got him involved,

00:46:21.780 also to check to see how he's doing.

00:46:24.840 And thanks to Dr. Oz,

00:46:27.920 my healthcare company, Kaiser,

00:46:31.740 is definitely stepping up.

00:46:34.180 And they're definitely giving me a high-quality product.

00:46:39.500 Now, I don't know that it's any higher

00:46:41.380 than anybody else's.

00:46:42.760 I know some of you are going to say,

00:46:44.660 Scott, you're using your fame and connections

00:46:46.920 to get extra healthcare

00:46:48.920 that the rest of us don't get.

00:46:50.700 I don't think that's happening.

00:46:52.680 I'm not aware of any special things

00:46:55.840 outside of the boundaries of my healthcare

00:46:58.040 that I'm getting.

00:46:59.380 But I'm definitely getting the,

00:47:01.300 getting a good version of it.

00:47:04.280 Anyway.

00:47:04.760 Rinse takes your laundry

00:47:08.600 and hand delivers it to your door,

00:47:10.540 expertly cleaned and folded.

00:47:12.140 So you could take the time

00:47:13.140 once spent folding and sorting and waiting

00:47:15.260 to finally pursue a whole new version of you.

00:47:18.180 Like tea time you.

00:47:20.180 Mmm.

00:47:21.000 Or this tea time you.

00:47:23.540 Or even this tea time you.

00:47:26.100 So did you hear about Dave?

00:47:27.300 Or even tea time, tea time, tea time you.

00:47:30.200 Mmm.

00:47:31.400 So update on Dave.

00:47:33.200 It's up to you.

00:47:34.260 We'll take the laundry.

00:47:35.700 Rinse.

00:47:36.300 It's time to be great.

00:47:40.540 So there's a Ukraine peace plan

00:47:43.660 that the Trump administration has floated.

00:47:50.180 What do you think about that?

00:47:51.500 Do you think Trump's going to pull that off?

00:47:54.140 A peace plan?

00:47:55.340 I guess today might be the fourth year of the war.

00:47:58.200 You know, there's something about random numbers

00:48:04.200 that motivate humans

00:48:07.020 because we act like random numbers matter.

00:48:10.420 So it's the fourth year.

00:48:12.820 And if I told you a war was in,

00:48:14.760 let's say, its second year,

00:48:16.340 you might say,

00:48:17.280 well, that's a long time,

00:48:18.900 but wars are longer than that.

00:48:20.980 If I told you it was in its tenth year,

00:48:23.260 you would definitely say,

00:48:24.360 uh, let's wrap this up.

00:48:25.820 It doesn't look like it's going anywhere.

00:48:27.900 Fourth year starts to look like,

00:48:30.600 you know what?

00:48:31.780 We all want to just get out of this.

00:48:33.500 Let's, this didn't work out.

00:48:35.660 So I think maybe just psychologically,

00:48:38.940 everybody's a little bit closer

00:48:40.740 to doing whatever,

00:48:42.280 whatever it will take to make the hard decisions.

00:48:44.660 So I went to Grok and I said,

00:48:47.360 because the news is terrible at summarizing,

00:48:50.100 I said,

00:48:50.420 can you summarize this 28 point plan?

00:48:54.400 And Grok could not.

00:48:57.220 It could only explain each of the 28 points

00:49:01.080 in way too detailed for what I wanted.

00:49:05.360 So I said,

00:49:06.140 oh, stop, stop, stop, stop.

00:49:09.640 And at some point,

00:49:10.560 you just have to scream at it,

00:49:12.000 stop.

00:49:13.100 And then it stopped.

00:49:15.400 I said,

00:49:15.820 all right,

00:49:16.000 try again,

00:49:17.440 except I only want one sentence

00:49:19.760 for each of the bullet points

00:49:22.400 for the 28 things.

00:49:23.440 Just give me one sentence.

00:49:24.820 Do you think it could do that?

00:49:26.980 Well,

00:49:27.460 sort of,

00:49:28.260 but it decided that that one sentence

00:49:30.220 would be about a paragraph long.

00:49:32.620 So I'm like,

00:49:33.400 stop,

00:49:33.880 stop,

00:49:34.620 stop.

00:49:35.820 All right,

00:49:36.340 we're going to try it again.

00:49:37.280 And it's going to be one short sentence,

00:49:41.140 one short sentence

00:49:42.400 for each of the 28 points.

00:49:44.560 Can you do that?

00:49:45.740 Oh,

00:49:46.080 yes.

00:49:47.140 And then I made it number them.

00:49:49.500 But man,

00:49:50.280 did I have to work at it.

00:49:51.560 So now I have maybe the only list

00:49:54.000 because my guess is

00:49:56.140 that the people who work in the media

00:49:57.880 were way too lazy

00:49:59.900 to do what Grok did

00:50:01.740 and probably way too,

00:50:04.920 or let's say not trained well enough

00:50:06.800 to make AI do what I did,

00:50:09.800 which wasn't any genius move.

00:50:11.660 I just worked,

00:50:12.640 I just yelled at him more.

00:50:14.960 So here are the things.

00:50:16.940 It might be the only time

00:50:17.860 you hear these actually summarized

00:50:19.400 in a good way.

00:50:21.120 The 28 points would be

00:50:22.980 that Ukraine's sovereignty

00:50:25.840 would be confirmed internationally.

00:50:28.700 So everybody would agree

00:50:30.100 that it's a country.

00:50:31.760 Crimea would stay under Russian control 0.66

00:50:33.860 permanently,

00:50:34.740 no surprise.

00:50:35.880 And by the way,

00:50:36.300 I'm not saying I like these

00:50:37.880 or don't like them.

00:50:38.780 I'm just listing them.

00:50:39.960 These are not agreed to,

00:50:41.700 not agreed to.

00:50:42.960 These are just what

00:50:43.880 the Trump administration

00:50:45.560 is proposing.

00:50:47.900 That Donetsk and Luhansk

00:50:50.260 would just be completely Russian.

00:50:52.980 Parts of Kherson

00:50:53.920 and Zaporizhia

00:50:55.360 would go to Russia.

00:50:58.300 Some additional eastern territories,

00:51:00.480 including some in Kharkiv,

00:51:02.460 would transfer to Russia.

00:51:03.360 All right.

00:51:03.980 So you and I don't know too much

00:51:05.820 about any of those regions,

00:51:07.240 but we knew that Russia

00:51:09.520 would demand some keeping forever,

00:51:12.520 some part of it.

00:51:13.660 And maybe these make sense.

00:51:16.180 And then there's the Odessa regions,

00:51:18.320 coastal areas,

00:51:19.220 which would become Russian enclaves.

00:51:22.480 Well,

00:51:22.780 I don't know what an enclave is,

00:51:24.880 but it's probably something

00:51:26.220 that they plan to someday

00:51:27.840 become Russian territory.

00:51:29.100 I think enclave

00:51:31.100 might be the word

00:51:32.480 they use for,

00:51:33.840 that's right before we say

00:51:35.860 we're going to take it

00:51:36.940 and it will be ours forever.

00:51:38.360 It's an enclave.

00:51:41.020 Then there would be

00:51:41.740 a demilitarized zone

00:51:44.120 along the new Russia-Ukraine border.

00:51:46.180 Of course,

00:51:46.880 you would have to have

00:51:47.460 a demilitarized zone.

00:51:48.880 And UN peacekeepers

00:51:49.820 would monitor that.

00:51:51.540 We're up to number nine.

00:51:53.180 Ukraine would commit 0.95

00:51:54.200 to permanent neutrality forever.

00:51:56.320 I don't know what that means,

00:51:59.200 but probably that's workable.

00:52:02.360 No NATO membership

00:52:03.860 for Ukraine ever.

00:52:05.840 Ukraine's,

00:52:06.500 this one will be negotiable.

00:52:08.220 Ukraine's army gets capped

00:52:09.680 at 100,000 active troops.

00:52:12.160 Well,

00:52:12.720 that's kind of clever

00:52:13.740 because we're already

00:52:16.240 at the point where

00:52:17.020 I tell you too often

00:52:18.500 that all the wars

00:52:20.720 will be robot wars.

00:52:21.780 the number of soldiers

00:52:24.320 will no longer be

00:52:27.600 predictive

00:52:28.940 of who could win a war,

00:52:31.280 but the number of drones might

00:52:32.980 and the number of drone operators might.

00:52:36.140 So this might be workable

00:52:37.700 in a way that it would not have been

00:52:40.000 maybe even three years ago

00:52:42.040 because it could be

00:52:43.940 that Russia will say,

00:52:45.380 well,

00:52:45.760 if you only have that many soldiers,

00:52:47.300 you're not a threat.

00:52:48.940 whereas Ukraine might say,

00:52:51.620 well,

00:52:52.240 I don't know.

00:52:53.380 If,

00:52:53.740 if we send you

00:52:54.640 50,000 trained drone operators

00:52:57.140 who have a million drones

00:52:59.080 at their disposal

00:52:59.920 because one operator

00:53:00.880 would have a swarm,

00:53:02.780 do you think,

00:53:03.920 do you think you'd feel safe

00:53:04.960 from that?

00:53:06.480 So there might be a way

00:53:07.660 that both sides think

00:53:08.620 they got the advantage,

00:53:09.780 which would be

00:53:10.760 a good deal.

00:53:13.780 There'd be limits

00:53:14.860 on Ukraine's

00:53:15.680 heavy weapons and tanks,

00:53:17.120 but again,

00:53:17.480 those are not robots,

00:53:19.220 so that might work.

00:53:20.580 No offensive missiles

00:53:21.680 over 300 kilometers.

00:53:24.400 I wonder if that includes drones,

00:53:26.700 but no offensive missiles.

00:53:29.140 The US,

00:53:30.060 EU,

00:53:30.460 and China

00:53:30.840 would guarantee

00:53:31.380 Ukraine's security jointly.

00:53:34.160 Well,

00:53:34.520 that would be good

00:53:35.800 if all three of them

00:53:36.700 were on the same page.

00:53:39.000 The ceasefire

00:53:39.940 would be immediate

00:53:40.740 upon signing.

00:53:41.780 International observers

00:53:42.980 would enforce

00:53:44.180 the ceasefire daily.

00:53:45.340 Russian troops

00:53:46.160 would withdraw

00:53:47.980 from the non-ceded areas

00:53:49.680 in six months.

00:53:51.880 Good luck with that.

00:53:53.580 Western sanctions

00:53:54.600 on Russia

00:53:55.440 would be lifted

00:53:56.760 in phases.

00:53:57.800 The frozen Russian assets

00:53:59.200 that would be used,

00:54:01.740 they would be unfrozen.

00:54:03.060 So the frozen Russian assets

00:54:04.500 would be unfrozen

00:54:05.400 to rebuild Ukraine

00:54:07.780 with the US lead.

00:54:09.220 So it looks like

00:54:10.740 it looks like Trump

00:54:12.280 found a way

00:54:12.800 to make some money

00:54:13.520 for us.

00:54:14.960 So he's going to

00:54:16.280 unfreeze Russia's money

00:54:18.360 if I get this right.

00:54:21.840 But US-led entities

00:54:24.820 would get to do the work.

00:54:26.400 Doesn't mean US entities,

00:54:27.860 but US-led.

00:54:28.920 So that would be

00:54:29.760 plenty of opportunity

00:54:30.680 for the US

00:54:31.700 to get its beak wet

00:54:33.720 in some of this

00:54:34.440 economic activity.

00:54:35.820 Russia would get access 0.88

00:54:37.920 to Ukrainian Black Sea ports.

00:54:41.720 Ukraine protects

00:54:42.800 ethnic Russian rights.

00:54:45.560 No foreign military bases

00:54:46.840 in Ukraine

00:54:47.460 except for the UN.

00:54:49.720 Disputed borders,

00:54:50.820 well, that's a big one.

00:54:51.720 No foreign military bases

00:54:53.020 in Ukraine.

00:54:54.800 Do you think,

00:54:55.740 well, this is our proposal,

00:54:57.620 so apparently the US

00:54:58.840 would be okay with this

00:54:59.860 given that it's our proposal.

00:55:02.380 And then disputed borders

00:55:05.220 go to international arbitration.

00:55:07.420 Ukraine gets $50 billion

00:55:08.760 in debt relief

00:55:09.660 from Russia.

00:55:12.160 I guess they have

00:55:12.800 some debt out there.

00:55:14.460 Joy Energy Projects,

00:55:16.400 oh, Joy Energy Projects

00:55:18.340 until 2040.

00:55:20.100 So that's yet another way

00:55:21.120 that Trump could make

00:55:22.540 some money

00:55:22.980 for the US.

00:55:25.360 EU accession talks

00:55:27.280 paused for 10 years.

00:55:28.560 So Ukraine wouldn't 0.99

00:55:31.520 get into the European Union

00:55:33.260 for at least 10 years.

00:55:34.320 And all parties ratify

00:55:35.440 the deal within 30 days.

00:55:36.960 All right.

00:55:37.800 So obviously

00:55:39.860 that's way too big

00:55:41.580 and complicated

00:55:42.160 for people like you

00:55:43.600 and me

00:55:44.140 to know if that's

00:55:45.640 a good idea

00:55:46.400 or a bad proposal.

00:55:49.000 But what's your

00:55:49.620 general feeling about it?

00:55:53.140 Do you feel like

00:55:54.000 there's something

00:55:54.460 we could work with

00:55:55.360 on this?

00:55:56.780 All right.

00:55:56.980 Is that close enough

00:55:58.320 to a deal?

00:56:00.800 Well,

00:56:01.480 it really depends

00:56:02.300 if Russia wants a deal.

00:56:04.800 I would say

00:56:05.380 it comes down to this.

00:56:06.760 It really isn't

00:56:07.900 about the specifics

00:56:09.400 of the proposal.

00:56:11.140 If Russia is tired

00:56:12.920 of fighting

00:56:13.360 and they don't think

00:56:14.140 they can win outright

00:56:14.960 and they're just ready

00:56:16.820 for some kind of,

00:56:20.000 you know,

00:56:20.960 some kind of result,

00:56:22.820 then yes,

00:56:24.620 they could make this work.

00:56:26.180 if Russia is doing

00:56:28.680 nothing but stalling,

00:56:30.700 Stalin,

00:56:31.520 Stalin,

00:56:33.240 if they're doing

00:56:34.820 nothing but

00:56:35.360 kicking the can

00:56:38.480 down the road

00:56:39.200 and making it look

00:56:40.780 like they care

00:56:41.420 about peace

00:56:42.060 but they don't,

00:56:42.880 well,

00:56:43.060 then nothing will work.

00:56:44.660 So I'm going to say

00:56:45.800 that the details

00:56:46.740 of this plan

00:56:47.740 will not be

00:56:49.120 the defining

00:56:49.960 or predictive

00:56:51.740 element.

00:56:52.780 so you would

00:56:54.920 not be able

00:56:55.460 to,

00:56:56.040 so this is my prediction,

00:56:57.320 you would not be able

00:56:58.040 to look at the plan

00:56:59.200 to know if

00:57:00.820 this could work

00:57:02.260 or not.

00:57:03.180 You would only

00:57:04.000 be able to look

00:57:04.560 into the hearts

00:57:05.940 and souls

00:57:06.580 of the people

00:57:07.380 involved.

00:57:08.860 Zelensky,

00:57:09.700 does he have a way

00:57:10.420 to survive this?

00:57:11.540 Does he have

00:57:11.920 an after-war plan?

00:57:14.980 Putin,

00:57:16.060 does Putin

00:57:16.600 really want

00:57:17.080 to wrap this up?

00:57:18.220 Would he get

00:57:18.800 enough out of this?

00:57:19.620 And then Trump,

00:57:22.900 how much does Trump

00:57:23.700 want the Nobel Peace

00:57:24.660 Prize,

00:57:25.900 right?

00:57:26.420 So I think

00:57:27.920 my take on this

00:57:29.540 is that this plan

00:57:30.440 puts you in,

00:57:31.460 it puts you in the game.

00:57:33.680 Meaning that

00:57:34.560 if the players

00:57:36.460 were finally ready

00:57:38.360 to make peace,

00:57:40.500 this would get you there.

00:57:42.160 So I'm going to,

00:57:42.900 I'm going to say

00:57:43.540 this would be good enough.

00:57:46.340 You still have to tweak it

00:57:47.540 like crazy

00:57:48.240 and it might take

00:57:49.140 weeks or months

00:57:50.220 to get there.

00:57:51.140 But this is close enough

00:57:52.740 if,

00:57:54.820 and this is the biggest if,

00:57:56.800 if they've already

00:57:57.560 mentally decided

00:57:58.460 they want to get this done.

00:58:00.000 If they've decided

00:58:00.720 they,

00:58:01.580 if they haven't decided

00:58:02.620 then it's no good at all.

00:58:05.300 All right.

00:58:07.620 Would you believe

00:58:08.560 that there's another story

00:58:09.680 about a court

00:58:10.860 blocking something

00:58:11.800 that Trump wanted

00:58:12.660 and then the Supreme Court

00:58:13.920 overturned the activist judge?

00:58:16.280 Well,

00:58:19.300 that happened again.

00:58:20.840 This is about Texas's

00:58:22.400 new Republican-friendly

00:58:24.220 congressional map.

00:58:26.380 So Texas draws

00:58:27.400 a new map

00:58:28.040 that would give them

00:58:28.660 a new representative.

00:58:29.980 A activist judge

00:58:31.440 says,

00:58:31.880 you can't do that.

00:58:32.960 But then it goes

00:58:33.780 immediately to the Supreme Court

00:58:35.260 and the Supreme Court

00:58:36.340 says,

00:58:36.720 well,

00:58:36.920 we don't have time

00:58:37.600 to decide on that yet.

00:58:38.960 But in the short run,

00:58:41.020 we're going to block you

00:58:42.220 from blocking it.

00:58:43.080 So the Supreme Court

00:58:45.480 has blocked

00:58:46.780 the lower court

00:58:47.640 from blocking it.

00:58:50.280 It just sounds like

00:58:51.440 the same story

00:58:52.240 every few days,

00:58:53.200 doesn't it?

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00:59:54.900 In other news,

00:59:56.980 remember,

00:59:58.660 you probably remember

01:00:00.260 George Floyd

01:00:01.080 and Derek Chauvin.

01:00:02.920 I'll bet you do.

01:00:04.440 But Derek Chauvin's attorney

01:00:05.980 has filed a new petition

01:00:07.320 to try to get

01:00:09.620 Derek Chauvin released.

01:00:11.640 And this is the approach

01:00:12.800 they're taking

01:00:13.360 according to Alpha News.

01:00:15.520 I saw this on X.

01:00:17.480 Apparently they found

01:00:18.940 more than 50

01:00:20.460 former and current officers,

01:00:23.140 police officers,

01:00:23.760 who have provided

01:00:24.960 sworn declarations

01:00:26.400 stating that

01:00:27.900 the technique

01:00:28.700 used by Derek Chauvin

01:00:30.040 and other

01:00:30.560 Minneapolis police officers

01:00:32.540 involved that day

01:00:34.420 was part of the

01:00:36.100 Minneapolis Police Department

01:00:37.460 training.

01:00:37.980 Now, you already knew

01:00:41.480 that, right?

01:00:42.840 Just as an observer.

01:00:44.660 You already knew

01:00:45.840 that Derek Chauvin

01:00:46.860 literally used

01:00:48.480 the technique

01:00:49.120 that he was trained

01:00:50.020 to use

01:00:50.680 and that it was

01:00:52.100 in writing

01:00:52.620 and it was an actual

01:00:53.920 official policy.

01:00:56.660 You all knew that, right?

01:00:58.440 But I believe

01:00:59.300 that was,

01:01:00.140 I believe it was

01:01:01.560 prohibited

01:01:02.180 from being presented

01:01:04.340 at the trial.

01:01:05.240 Do I have that right?

01:01:07.020 Give me a fact check

01:01:07.880 on that.

01:01:09.300 Were they prohibited

01:01:10.660 or did they just

01:01:11.920 treat it in a way

01:01:13.860 that wasn't quite

01:01:14.800 the way you'd want

01:01:16.280 it to be treated?

01:01:18.160 Yeah.

01:01:18.860 So I don't know

01:01:19.640 the total details there.

01:01:21.240 But to me,

01:01:21.980 that does seem like

01:01:23.040 that should be

01:01:23.880 really, really important.

01:01:25.960 Because if he was

01:01:26.980 trained to do it

01:01:27.780 that way

01:01:28.240 and everybody else

01:01:28.980 was trained

01:01:29.460 to do it that way,

01:01:30.280 and you got 50.

01:01:32.540 50?

01:01:34.240 50 is a lot.

01:01:36.100 Just ask those 0.84

01:01:37.120 former and current

01:01:39.000 intelligence people

01:01:40.340 who signed off

01:01:41.100 on the Hunter laptop.

01:01:43.180 50 is a lot.

01:01:45.340 50 is all you need.

01:01:49.880 If it were up to you

01:01:51.300 and the only thing

01:01:52.940 you knew

01:01:53.460 is that they had this

01:01:55.100 and nothing else changed,

01:01:57.720 let's say you believed

01:01:58.820 completely these 50 officers

01:02:00.840 and you said to yourself,

01:02:02.880 holy cow, 0.51

01:02:04.260 I was part of the decision

01:02:05.520 to put Chauvin in jail,

01:02:07.020 but I didn't know this.

01:02:08.880 I didn't know.

01:02:10.180 What if you're finding out

01:02:11.260 about it for the first time?

01:02:13.360 How would you feel?

01:02:14.920 How would you feel

01:02:15.900 if you were on the jury

01:02:16.880 and you had convicted him

01:02:19.960 to effectively

01:02:21.360 something like life

01:02:22.460 and then you learned

01:02:24.360 that he had been trained

01:02:25.300 to do it exactly that way?

01:02:27.140 How would you feel

01:02:28.500 about yourself?

01:02:31.000 I'll tell you,

01:02:31.560 if that were me,

01:02:32.160 I wouldn't feel too good

01:02:33.140 about that at all.

01:02:35.200 So, anyway,

01:02:37.020 we'll see if that goes anywhere,

01:02:39.080 but good luck.

01:02:41.560 So, Bill Maher's show

01:02:43.280 was last night.

01:02:44.080 You know that whenever

01:02:44.780 Bill Maher has a show

01:02:46.020 that we like to talk about

01:02:48.440 his slow transition

01:02:50.980 into a Republican.

01:02:52.320 No, I'm just joking.

01:02:53.500 He's not going to become

01:02:54.300 a Republican.

01:02:54.900 Might be better than that.

01:02:57.480 Might be something better.

01:02:59.260 So, he had Donna Brazile 0.99

01:03:01.480 on the show

01:03:02.180 and I'm going to tell you

01:03:06.520 about their back and forth,

01:03:08.140 but I'm going to take

01:03:09.060 a direction on this

01:03:10.080 after I tell you

01:03:10.840 that you don't see coming,

01:03:13.080 I think.

01:03:14.500 So, the Overton News

01:03:15.700 is reporting that,

01:03:16.840 so they were debating education

01:03:18.640 and an issue Democrats

01:03:22.480 used to sort of own

01:03:23.800 and Bill Maher

01:03:25.080 is making the point

01:03:25.900 that Democrats

01:03:27.120 are sort of

01:03:28.200 ceding control

01:03:29.780 of that topic.

01:03:31.820 So,

01:03:32.800 here's what happened.

01:03:35.780 So,

01:03:36.900 Bill Maher said,

01:03:40.120 I really do feel like

01:03:41.760 the Democratic Party,

01:03:42.820 this has been their portfolio,

01:03:44.440 meaning education,

01:03:45.180 education for a long time,

01:03:47.060 education.

01:03:47.980 So, I feel like they,

01:03:49.340 if they're going to

01:03:49.840 get back into office,

01:03:50.760 they have to own

01:03:51.260 the issue a little.

01:03:52.620 And then he goes on,

01:03:53.560 he says,

01:03:53.880 because a lot of the states

01:03:55.040 that are doing better now

01:03:56.860 are like the southern states,

01:03:59.520 meaning Republican.

01:04:01.320 And Don and Brazil said,

01:04:04.000 really?

01:04:05.000 Which ones?

01:04:06.020 And Maher said,

01:04:06.740 Mississippi,

01:04:07.700 as an example.

01:04:08.840 And Brazil said,

01:04:09.940 Mississippi's getting better

01:04:11.100 than Louisiana.

01:04:13.200 So, I guess Louisiana

01:04:14.240 would be a blue state.

01:04:16.080 And Bill Maher said,

01:04:17.420 and here's the payoff.

01:04:18.840 See?

01:04:19.440 You're in a bubble.

01:04:20.900 You didn't get that story.

01:04:23.820 Now, that's,

01:04:25.620 the story is not

01:04:26.700 about the story.

01:04:28.320 So, here I have no interest,

01:04:30.000 not really,

01:04:31.140 at least in the moment,

01:04:32.200 about which of these states

01:04:34.020 did a better job.

01:04:35.460 That's not the point.

01:04:37.320 I'm going to make a point

01:04:38.420 that's not about education.

01:04:41.040 That's also interesting,

01:04:42.680 but that's not

01:04:43.480 where I'm going here.

01:04:44.540 So, it's not about the states.

01:04:45.800 It's not about education.

01:04:47.720 It's about this.

01:04:49.760 That the way

01:04:50.720 Bill Maher framed it

01:04:52.440 was two people

01:04:54.400 in different information bubbles.

01:04:57.580 When was the last time

01:04:58.760 you saw that?

01:05:00.720 That it got framed

01:05:01.600 as reasonable people

01:05:04.000 who just happened

01:05:05.440 to be getting

01:05:05.940 different information.

01:05:07.720 What's that sound like?

01:05:10.880 It sounds like something

01:05:13.320 that comes from Republicans.

01:05:17.640 What's important here

01:05:18.980 is that Bill

01:05:19.840 can now speak

01:05:22.080 the language of Republicans

01:05:23.620 the way we would speak it.

01:05:25.840 because I would have said

01:05:28.240 maybe the same thing.

01:05:29.240 I would say,

01:05:29.640 well,

01:05:29.940 if you don't know

01:05:30.860 about that story,

01:05:31.780 you might be in a bubble.

01:05:33.480 And it doesn't mean

01:05:34.460 you're smart 0.99

01:05:35.200 and I'm dumb 1.00

01:05:37.620 or vice versa. 0.96

01:05:38.440 It just means

01:05:39.480 you and I get

01:05:40.080 different information.

01:05:40.900 And if we got

01:05:41.940 the same information,

01:05:43.400 especially about

01:05:44.220 something like education,

01:05:46.060 don't you think

01:05:46.680 we'd probably be

01:05:47.340 on the same page

01:05:48.200 if we had

01:05:49.160 the same information?

01:05:51.560 Probably.

01:05:52.120 So, again,

01:05:54.360 I'm not arguing

01:05:55.280 the merit of the point

01:05:57.920 about education.

01:05:59.340 I'm just really impressed

01:06:01.160 when I watch,

01:06:03.540 in this case,

01:06:04.240 Bill Maher.

01:06:05.180 He's trying to see

01:06:06.040 the whole field,

01:06:07.480 but he's not trying

01:06:08.500 to see the whole field

01:06:09.300 just factually.

01:06:10.620 He's trying to see

01:06:11.480 how it works.

01:06:13.100 And how it works

01:06:14.240 is that we get pushed

01:06:15.960 into these little bubbles

01:06:17.100 and then we believe

01:06:20.040 that our bubble

01:06:20.580 has the right facts

01:06:21.560 and then we're

01:06:22.600 completely lost

01:06:23.360 after that.

01:06:24.220 It's a big deal.

01:06:26.060 It's a big deal

01:06:27.400 that somebody

01:06:29.000 has learned

01:06:29.720 how to speak

01:06:30.920 the Republican language

01:06:32.300 and they're not

01:06:32.880 a Republican.

01:06:36.440 By the way,

01:06:37.120 do all of you see that,

01:06:38.020 how big a deal that is?

01:06:40.220 Am I getting

01:06:40.980 too excited

01:06:41.640 over nothing?

01:06:43.240 I don't think so.

01:06:45.120 I don't think so.

01:06:46.480 Because, you know,

01:06:46.980 I've been making

01:06:47.520 this point

01:06:48.260 that Republicans

01:06:51.140 learn and also

01:06:53.260 teach their base.

01:06:54.640 This is more important.

01:06:55.980 Republicans teach 0.94

01:06:57.120 their base

01:06:57.840 and their followers

01:06:58.980 how to think

01:07:00.480 about things,

01:07:01.500 not just what to think.

01:07:04.340 And did you see

01:07:05.020 that Bill Maher

01:07:05.580 just did that?

01:07:07.320 He just told

01:07:08.280 Donna Brazile

01:07:08.960 how to think,

01:07:10.280 which is make sure

01:07:11.120 you're not in a bubble.

01:07:13.040 He didn't tell her

01:07:13.860 what to think.

01:07:14.780 That came along with it.

01:07:16.140 Oh, by the way,

01:07:17.300 if you had done that,

01:07:20.000 you would see

01:07:20.860 this differently.

01:07:22.180 So,

01:07:23.140 every time you see

01:07:24.320 somebody in the left

01:07:25.460 start to adopt

01:07:26.580 the idea

01:07:27.420 that common sense

01:07:29.480 and affordability

01:07:30.520 and these are also

01:07:34.280 how to think

01:07:34.980 kinds of issues,

01:07:36.500 if they start focusing

01:07:38.040 on how to think

01:07:39.000 about things,

01:07:40.100 we're going to end up

01:07:40.980 in the same place.

01:07:43.440 That's the magic of it.

01:07:45.000 You'll end up

01:07:45.780 in the same place

01:07:46.820 if you learn

01:07:48.140 how to think.

01:07:53.080 But if they try

01:07:53.980 to teach you

01:07:54.460 what to think,

01:07:55.920 you'll all end up

01:07:57.500 in different places.

01:07:59.100 And then you fight.

01:08:00.160 All right.

01:08:05.120 Apparently,

01:08:05.740 the FBI

01:08:06.340 has now concluded

01:08:07.600 and that would include

01:08:09.640 Dan Bongino,

01:08:11.820 who I think

01:08:12.780 most of us

01:08:13.320 completely trust.

01:08:14.960 So,

01:08:15.260 to me,

01:08:16.220 I would be amazed

01:08:17.120 if Dan Bongino

01:08:19.460 started lying

01:08:20.380 to the country.

01:08:22.520 It just doesn't

01:08:23.180 even seem possible.

01:08:24.600 He seems so credible

01:08:26.080 that,

01:08:27.580 you know,

01:08:27.760 like anybody,

01:08:28.380 he could be wrong

01:08:28.900 about something,

01:08:29.760 but would he lie?

01:08:32.080 I don't know.

01:08:32.400 It just doesn't

01:08:32.800 even seem possible.

01:08:35.620 But they say

01:08:36.740 that they've now

01:08:37.440 looked into it totally

01:08:38.440 and Thomas Crooks

01:08:40.180 acted alone.

01:08:41.640 But what I found

01:08:42.860 even more important,

01:08:44.600 this is in a Fox News report,

01:08:46.560 is that there were

01:08:47.500 some things

01:08:48.060 I thought I knew

01:08:48.900 about that story.

01:08:50.060 So,

01:08:50.420 Crooks is the one 1.00

01:08:51.340 that was on the roof

01:08:52.220 and got shot

01:08:53.920 as soon as he took his shot.

01:08:56.820 One of the things

01:08:57.720 I thought I knew

01:08:58.780 about that

01:08:59.500 is that Crooks

01:09:01.240 had some encrypted

01:09:02.700 apps

01:09:03.760 or some devices

01:09:05.780 that we couldn't

01:09:06.680 get into.

01:09:07.560 How many of you

01:09:08.480 thought that was real?

01:09:10.900 That the shooter

01:09:12.840 was known

01:09:14.580 to have some encrypted

01:09:15.660 apps

01:09:16.300 and even the FBI

01:09:18.160 couldn't get into them?

01:09:20.140 That was never real.

01:09:22.160 Did you know that?

01:09:23.600 That was never real.

01:09:24.800 There are no apps

01:09:27.420 and no devices

01:09:28.360 according to Bungino.

01:09:30.480 There were no apps

01:09:31.540 and no devices

01:09:32.260 that were

01:09:33.080 impossible to get into.

01:09:35.480 The FBI just

01:09:36.260 opened them up

01:09:37.040 like

01:09:37.340 they were all

01:09:38.860 just cans of soda.

01:09:40.740 No.

01:09:41.520 And remember

01:09:42.720 you thought to yourself,

01:09:43.780 how can this

01:09:44.440 even be possible?

01:09:46.100 How is it possible

01:09:47.120 that

01:09:47.480 in this day and age

01:09:49.220 the FBI

01:09:50.800 can't get into

01:09:51.500 all these apps?

01:09:52.580 Of course they can.

01:09:54.300 They got into them

01:09:55.180 right away.

01:09:56.140 No problem at all.

01:09:58.480 So

01:09:58.840 what was the other thing?

01:10:01.020 There was at least

01:10:01.740 one other thing

01:10:05.260 in that story

01:10:05.900 that I thought

01:10:06.860 everybody knew

01:10:07.740 was true

01:10:08.340 that just turned down

01:10:10.080 it was never true.

01:10:10.860 So

01:10:12.560 anyway

01:10:12.940 once you

01:10:14.200 adjust

01:10:15.740 for the fact

01:10:17.420 that you had

01:10:18.060 the wrong facts

01:10:19.240 you know

01:10:19.680 I guess you were

01:10:21.080 in the wrong bubble

01:10:21.740 once you adjust

01:10:23.240 to the fact

01:10:23.680 that you had

01:10:24.040 the wrong facts

01:10:24.960 it does look

01:10:26.660 pretty believable

01:10:27.540 that it was

01:10:29.860 a single shooter.

01:10:32.020 But if you

01:10:32.900 had believed

01:10:33.520 that there were

01:10:34.140 these secret

01:10:34.720 encrypted apps

01:10:35.740 that nobody

01:10:36.200 could get into

01:10:36.900 well

01:10:37.740 it's a little bit

01:10:38.640 more

01:10:38.980 more suggestive

01:10:40.780 that there's

01:10:41.720 more of the story.

01:10:43.640 All right

01:10:44.000 I guess

01:10:46.440 J.D. Vance

01:10:47.780 has

01:10:48.020 been mocking

01:10:50.280 Canada.

01:10:51.040 I don't know

01:10:51.320 if mocking

01:10:51.740 is the right word

01:10:52.360 but

01:10:53.140 Canada's

01:10:55.560 living standards

01:10:57.480 have stagnated

01:10:58.600 and J.D.

01:11:01.100 points out

01:11:01.640 that

01:11:02.060 it's probably

01:11:03.060 not unrelated

01:11:03.820 to the fact

01:11:04.460 that Canada

01:11:04.960 has the

01:11:05.580 highest

01:11:06.540 number

01:11:07.400 of the G7

01:11:08.920 the highest

01:11:09.500 percentage

01:11:09.920 of people

01:11:10.320 not born

01:11:11.020 in the country

01:11:12.620 that they're

01:11:13.040 living.

01:11:14.760 So

01:11:15.020 that would

01:11:16.080 say that

01:11:16.480 immigration

01:11:17.020 is the reason

01:11:17.720 that Canadian 0.98

01:11:18.440 living standards

01:11:19.400 have stagnated.

01:11:21.120 Do you think

01:11:21.940 that's true?

01:11:23.140 Do you think

01:11:23.620 that the

01:11:24.220 reason that

01:11:25.220 Canadian

01:11:25.940 living standards

01:11:27.480 have stagnated

01:11:28.240 is because

01:11:28.760 of immigration?

01:11:31.160 Well

01:11:31.720 might be part

01:11:32.540 of it.

01:11:33.960 I imagine

01:11:34.880 there's more

01:11:35.380 than one reason.

01:11:36.600 All right

01:11:36.920 that's all I had

01:11:37.780 for today.

01:11:39.700 I will

01:11:40.400 remind you

01:11:40.940 that the

01:11:41.480 after party

01:11:43.220 will be

01:11:44.440 starting

01:11:44.860 pretty soon.

01:11:45.920 I'm going

01:11:46.140 to say

01:11:46.360 a few

01:11:46.620 words to

01:11:47.100 my

01:11:47.360 beloved

01:11:48.500 subscribers

01:11:49.320 and

01:11:49.840 locals.

01:11:55.660 And the

01:11:55.980 rest of you

01:11:56.440 I'll see you

01:11:57.380 tomorrow

01:11:57.840 if I don't

01:11:58.560 see you

01:11:59.040 today.

01:11:59.640 I might

01:11:59.900 join the

01:12:00.520 spaces

01:12:01.320 today

01:12:01.760 but I will

01:12:02.560 be anonymous

01:12:03.040 so you

01:12:03.620 wouldn't know

01:12:03.980 if I'm

01:12:04.280 there or

01:12:04.660 not.

01:12:06.200 All right

01:12:07.080 everybody

01:12:07.480 have an

01:12:08.660 amazing day.

01:12:09.620 Go find

01:12:10.140 Owen Gregorian

01:12:11.280 go search

01:12:12.100 for him

01:12:12.460 Owen Gregorian

01:12:14.060 and

01:12:15.820 uh

01:12:34.660 and

01:12:35.200 awesome

01:12:36.060 first

01:12:36.220 thank you

01:12:36.540 food

01:12:37.200 we

01:12:39.480 really

01:12:39.800 have

01:12:40.260 used

01:12:40.500 today

01:12:41.340 in

01:12:41.460 terms

01:12:44.200 we

01:12:45.060 do

01:12:45.420 and

01:12:46.260 ho 0.81

01:12:47.080 who

01:12:47.500 have

01:12:48.540 been

01:12:48.940 here

01:12:49.340 during the

01:12:50.340 the

01:12:51.020 afternoon

01:12:51.580 have

01:12:52.260 really

01:12:52.520 like

01:12:54.400 full

01:12:55.460 And

01:12:55.640 you

01:12:57.320 I

01:12:57.640 forgot

01:12:57.960 it

01:12:58.500 to

01:12:58.560 have

01:12:59.500 special

01:13:00.660 VERY

01:13:01.320 Thank you.

01:13:31.320 Thank you.

01:14:01.320 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 22, 2025

Episode 3026 CWSA 11⧸22⧸25

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