Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 3028 CWSA 11⧸24⧸25

00:00:00.160 Hey, there you are. Get in here, people. We're getting ready for the show of shows.

00:00:08.880 Best part of Monday. You won't want to miss it. Call your friends, get your dog, alert

00:00:20.840 the media. Let's make sure I got your comments going. Boom, perfect.

00:00:30.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called

00:00:39.980 Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance

00:00:47.740 on elevating your experience to levels that no one can even understand with their tiny,

00:00:53.640 shiny human brains, whoa, all you need for that is a tanker, chalice, a stein, a canteen,

00:01:01.360 a jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:01:07.900 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that

00:01:11.680 makes everything but thou. It's called Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:01:18.140 Hmm. Disgusting. Don't ever have coffee with prescription medication. It doesn't go well

00:01:31.800 at all. All right. So let me grab my notes, and wait, what's wrong with my notes? Something

00:01:41.300 happened in my notes. Oh, it's the 2026 Dilbert calendar that accidentally jumped into my hand

00:01:48.640 to remind you that it's available at Amazon.com. It's the only place you can get it. And it's

00:01:56.260 got comics on both sides, and it'll make you so happy. Well, I can barely express how happy

00:02:02.300 you'll get it. Apparently. All right. Oh, you're a beast of a man. I'm no beast. You're

00:02:12.180 a beast. All right. Let's look at all the interesting stories today. There's a new theory about why

00:02:23.040 kids are doing poorly in school, as if they needed another reason. It's the laptops. So apparently,

00:02:31.380 as we know, if children are allowed to watch television, their brains will rot. And if

00:02:38.940 children are allowed to have smartphones, their brains will rot. And if they're allowed to have

00:02:45.340 iPads, you know, their brains will rot. However, here's the good news. If they have laptops, which

00:02:56.360 apparently more and more kids do as they go to school, that's very predictive that they will do

00:03:01.860 poorly in school, because apparently they spend a lot of time just messing around on the laptop and not

00:03:09.600 as much time learning. Did you know that apparently they know that if you write your notes with your

00:03:16.180 hand, as in handwritten notes, that you'll remember your notes better than if you typed them? I knew

00:03:24.660 that. So one of the things that I used to do is try to activate as many different senses and parts of

00:03:32.920 the brain as I could when I studied back in my studying days. So sometimes I'd draw a picture of the

00:03:40.900 thing. Sometimes I'd, you know, sometimes I'd write it by hand. Sometimes I'd write it more than once.

00:03:50.780 So I'd try to try to just engage every possible, you know, physical and mental sense to wrap it

00:03:58.900 around the idea I was trying to remember. And that's your tip for the day. Tell your school-age

00:04:08.120 childhood how to do that. All right, here's the most surprising story of the day. I want you to

00:04:14.460 see if you can guess the direction this story will take. Hmm, this will be a tough one. According to the

00:04:21.760 Gateway Pundit, the Chicago Teachers Union has been put on notice because apparently they failed to do

00:04:29.960 a financial audit for half a decade. That would be five years for those of you who went to Chicago

00:04:37.400 schools. So let's see. What do you think happened when the Chicago Teachers Union, who took lots of

00:04:46.940 money from their members and then for five years didn't tell anybody where it went? Huh. Chicago

00:04:54.120 Teachers Union, large bunch of money seems to be missing and nobody can say where it went. What

00:05:02.300 happened? Well, it's the world's most predictable outcome. If it's a large organization and they

00:05:09.380 haven't done an audit, guess what? They stole it. Is it ever anything else? Do you think they're just

00:05:19.300 going to find that, hey, oh wow, this is kind of a surprise. Turns out we just didn't spend the money.

00:05:24.720 We have all this money to refund because we just didn't spend it. No, that probably didn't happen.

00:05:33.120 I have two ways to look at this. Number one, the opposite of the word audited is what? So they

00:05:42.120 were not audited. What is the opposite of audited? Embezzled. If you're not auditing your large pile of

00:05:53.060 money, you're embezzling it every time. It's not just sitting there doing what you wanted it to do.

00:06:01.100 Somebody's embezzling it. All right. Here's the alternate post. I was going to do this on X.

00:06:07.540 So instead of saying the opposite of audited is embezzled, which I thought was pretty clever,

00:06:12.060 fairly clever. I had another post that I thought was almost as good. It was just, quote, hey,

00:06:18.700 what happened to our unwatched pile of money? Hey, what happened to our unwatched pile of money?

00:06:28.460 Well, have I ever taught you anything about unwatched piles of money? Have I taught you nothing?

00:06:36.740 If there's an unwatched pile of money and you wait long enough, yeah, it's exactly what you think.

00:06:45.080 Meanwhile, I saw a story, Wall Street Apes had this on X, that Democrats apparently laundered,

00:06:53.300 that's their word, laundered, $93 billion during the 76 days between when Trump got elected and he took

00:07:02.660 office. So the Democrats just very quickly distributed $93 billion. Huh. I wonder where

00:07:14.980 this story will go. $93 billion. Was it audited or was it unaudited? Hmm. Hmm. Seems to have been

00:07:27.700 unaudited. Unaudited. So there was a $93 billion pile of money. It was unaudited. How could I ever

00:07:38.060 predict what would happen here? Oh, I've got an idea. Is a lot of it missing? Well, not all of it, Scott.

00:07:49.040 Don't be so cynical. It's not all missing. They did manage to claw back, what, $24 billion.

00:07:58.180 So only $69 billion left to be recovered. $69 billion. You know, I don't know if that means that a few

00:08:10.240 people got a lot of billions or did they just sort of say, all right, who's a Democrat? You're a Democrat?

00:08:18.140 Here's $1,000. How do you even steal $69 billion? That would take a lot of work. In other news,

00:08:29.560 you know, we always talk about repeat offenders with crime. The City Journal is reminding us,

00:08:36.500 I don't know if these numbers are right or real. They don't even look real. But allegedly,

00:08:42.700 in New York City, 327 people account for one-third of all shoplifting arrests. 327.

00:08:55.080 What does that imply for how many committed the crimes? This is just the arrests. I mean,

00:09:02.020 you have to try pretty hard to get arrested for shoplifting these days. And those 327 people

00:09:10.220 have allegedly been arrested 6,000 times. And then in Oakland, there are allegedly 400 people

00:09:19.220 were responsible for the majority of homicides. Wait, what? There are 400 people in Oakland who

00:09:28.520 are responsible for the majority of the homicides? The majority?

00:09:32.600 I was frightened to death that there are 400 murderers in the town next to me. 400 murderers?

00:09:42.600 And apparently, they're murdering more than one person. I don't know the average murderer per

00:09:47.060 murderer. But it looks like they're pretty busy. You know, I was thinking of becoming a criminal

00:09:54.600 early in my career. And then I thought, oh, am I going to be one of those lazy criminals who just does a

00:10:01.700 crime or two and then retires or goes to jail? Or am I going to be one of these industrious serial

00:10:07.200 criminals who robs 1,000 banks? And I thought, well, I don't want to be a lazy criminal. I'll be one of

00:10:16.480 these ones, these repeat offenders. Anyway, I'd like to know how many murders apiece the murderers are

00:10:23.980 doing. All right, here's my... I remember in California when we had this three strikes law.

00:10:35.000 So when it was first being contemplated, and I would be reading the news, and I wasn't really

00:10:41.600 that involved with any politics at all. Wasn't really following politics in any way. And certainly

00:10:47.700 not in the state. It wasn't following any state politics. And then I heard people arguing that if

00:10:54.480 you locked up all the repeat offenders after their third offense, it wouldn't make any difference to

00:11:00.040 the crime rate. And I thought to myself, wait, what? If you put in jail the people who are doing the

00:11:08.760 crimes, that will not reduce the crime? Can you explain how that doesn't work? And the only way that

00:11:17.060 you could explain how locking up the repeat offenders doesn't work is if the people who were

00:11:23.000 not planning to do more crimes compensated by saying, whoa, it looks like they locked up the repeat

00:11:29.240 offenders. I'm going to have to increase my crime per person to compensate for the locked up repeat

00:11:38.380 offenders. Otherwise, there isn't really any possible way that locking up the people doing the crimes

00:11:45.400 ends up with the same amount of crime. That's not really possible. And here again, I feel like

00:11:53.300 we devolve into that just ridiculousness. The ridiculousness of imagining that wouldn't work.

00:12:03.300 It would work. It would just be really bad for the people getting locked up. They wouldn't like it at

00:12:08.060 all. Or maybe they would. I don't know. I can't get in the mind of a serial criminal.

00:12:14.380 Rinse takes your laundry and hand delivers it to your door, expertly cleaned and folded. So you

00:12:20.040 could take the time once spent folding and sorting and waiting to finally pursue a whole new version

00:12:24.920 of you. Like tea time you. Mmm. Or this tea time you. Or even this tea time you. So did you hear about Dave?

00:12:34.820 Or even tea time, tea time, tea time you. Mmm. So update on Dave. It's up to you. We'll take the laundry.

00:12:43.260 Rinse. It's time to be great. Well, speaking of bad behavior, there is a hilarious story of a VP at

00:12:53.420 Campbell Soup's company. And for some reason, there was an ex, now an ex-employee, who recorded the VP

00:13:01.140 over lunch. And here are some of the things that the VP of Campbell Soup. Now, this is a VP of IT,

00:13:10.060 I think. So it wasn't the marketing guy. But the VP was caught on audio, I guess, recorded a saying,

00:13:20.720 and I quote, we have shit for fucking poor people. Meaning that their product is shit for poor people. 0.99

00:13:28.420 He goes, who buys our shit? I don't buy Campbell's products, barely anymore. It's not healthy. Now that

00:13:35.160 I know what the fuck's in it. Remember, this is a VP at Campbell Soup. It's not healthy. Now that I

00:13:42.960 know what the fuck's in it. He goes, bioengineered meat? I don't want to eat a fucking piece of chicken

00:13:50.840 that came from a 3D printer. That's the actual VP of Campbell Soup. Bioengineered meat.

00:14:05.160 I don't want to eat a fucking piece of chicken that came from a 3D printer. Well, maybe it's just me,

00:14:11.640 but I'd like to offer that guy a job. I would love to have an executive who was that honest.

00:14:19.000 All right. Apparently, this is all, there's some lawsuit by a former employee, but that's pretty bad.

00:14:25.220 I didn't know you could just record people over lunch. Kind of depends what state you're in,

00:14:30.180 doesn't it? In my state, you couldn't do that. That would be illegal.

00:14:34.860 All right. So we'll see where that goes. That will soon be a Dilbert comic, you know. Yeah,

00:14:41.920 it will be. Dilbert comic about the, one of Dilbert's executives being recorded talking honestly

00:14:48.960 about the products. Yeah, that's coming. That's coming. Well, I saw just before I went live,

00:14:58.260 Eric Doherty was posting about this, that Trump is going to introduce maybe tomorrow,

00:15:05.340 some kind of healthcare price cuts act. What do you think that'll be about?

00:15:11.340 Well, I don't know the details, but a few other things being mentioned. It would halt Obamacare premium

00:15:20.300 spikes. I don't know how. And the plan reportedly includes some kind of deposit mechanism, some kind

00:15:29.100 of health savings account. Is that a good idea? I don't know. It seems like something that might

00:15:36.780 work in the long run, but in year one, you'd have to get those accounts up. It would also end the

00:15:45.540 premium hikes and zero premium subsidies and stop massive fraud known as, quote, ghost beneficiaries.

00:15:53.120 Would it? Well, I don't know. It's a big claim. And Trump recently said, I'm calling today for

00:16:00.980 insurance companies not to be paid, but for this massive amount of money to be paid directly,

00:16:07.900 directly to the people so they can buy their own healthcare. Does anybody understand what that means?

00:16:14.480 Because I don't. I have no idea what it means to say you're going to pay the people directly instead

00:16:21.700 of the insurance companies. Wouldn't that be the same as single-payer insurance?

00:16:29.660 What does that mean? If you ignored the insurance companies and you simply had, I don't know,

00:16:36.520 the government? Who is it who's paying? I guess it would be the government paying the people?

00:16:42.160 I don't know. So I got lots and lots of questions. I don't know who is going to take the lead on

00:16:50.420 this program, but I don't think that would make you self-insured, right? That would make you self-insured

00:16:58.100 in a way, but you'd still need something like the government backstopping you. Otherwise,

00:17:04.940 it's not really health insurance. It's not insurance. If you're insuring yourself, that's not very much

00:17:12.640 insurance. Private health costs or what? Do some of you actually understand this? I'll try to catch up

00:17:23.320 on it today because I don't have an opinion on any of it yet because it's a little too hard to figure

00:17:30.120 out how it all fits together. But if the Trump administration puts their best people on explaining

00:17:37.000 it, we might find out soon. Maybe. Maybe something's going to happen. All right. I'm going to make a bold

00:17:46.360 prediction today. Bold prediction for technology. So you know how for the past, I don't know, few years,

00:17:55.000 I've been saying too often, oh, there's a news story about some company making a claim that they

00:18:01.080 can make a battery for cars that last twice as long and blah, blah, blah. But you never see that

00:18:06.240 battery. And it's usually because it's some kind of lab development, not really a real world development

00:18:13.740 yet. It would take years for it to reach the real world. Well, speaking of the real world,

00:18:19.440 over in China, according to notebook check, some big China automotive group is announcing that they've

00:18:31.680 developed an actual manufacturing capability for a battery that would go, they say, about twice as far as

00:18:42.560 the current batteries. So about 620 miles. But everybody knows that's an exaggeration because

00:18:47.880 it's a Chinese battery estimate, which tends to be about one third higher than reality. However,

00:18:55.600 this one, they've completed the first large capacity production line. So now they have the technology,

00:19:04.420 but they're just finishing the tweaking of the production line to actually produce the mass

00:19:09.580 mass production. So here's my prediction. When it comes to technology, there are some technologies

00:19:20.860 and batteries are definitely in that category. That's why they're interesting to me, where a little

00:19:25.900 bit improvement is just a little bit of improvement. It's 10% better. I'll save some money. Now it's 20%

00:19:34.260 better. Maybe I'll buy an electric car. So when you get these 10 and 20% increases in capacity,

00:19:41.320 it's really good. And it helps your industry. And maybe sometimes you can predict that that means

00:19:46.540 things will develop faster in the electric car space, whatever. But you're going to reach a point.

00:19:54.580 And here's my prediction that 2026 is when we reached the point where if you were to double capacity

00:20:02.040 capacity and a lot of the new battery breakthroughs, they make that claim anyway, they claim they double

00:20:08.300 capacity, you don't have to predict which one of them ends up being the dominant one, the one that

00:20:14.120 works. All you have to know is that there are a whole bunch of technologies that might, if they could

00:20:20.880 figure out how to produce them, double your capacity. If we were to double our current capacity,

00:20:27.380 it would just change everything. Suddenly robots are not just practical, they're cheap.

00:20:34.960 Electric cars would be everywhere. Self-driving cars would be everywhere. It'd be the only way to go

00:20:40.500 anywhere. And you'd be able to build networks that capture the sun power. And you still have plenty of

00:20:48.460 capacity to make it all the way overnight. So I think 2026 is going to be the year of the battery.

00:20:56.160 And I realized that there's a dog not barking in this space, which is I don't believe Tesla

00:21:05.120 brags about their new battery technology too far ahead of time. Do they? When would you ever learn

00:21:14.560 that Tesla came up with a new battery technology and had already built out a mega factory to produce it

00:21:22.300 in mass quantities? You'd probably find out around the time they opened the factory, right?

00:21:29.260 I don't know that they would tell you years in advance. It would take a little while to get that

00:21:33.740 up and running. So the thing I'm expecting is that Tesla will have a substantial battery upgrade

00:21:44.660 announcement that will either be announced or implemented in 2026. So 2026, the year of the

00:21:53.460 battery. All right, let's see if you could do what I could do, which is anticipate this science.

00:22:01.760 According to the University of Cambridge, and I want you to listen to this carefully so that you can

00:22:07.440 see if you're as smart as I am. Apparently, they already knew that improving your diet

00:22:14.020 could improve your weight. That's something they already knew. They already knew also

00:22:20.280 that exercise could improve your weight. So they knew the diet worked and they knew the exercise worked.

00:22:29.320 So what did they give funding to test? Well, they got funding to test if you combined eating right

00:22:38.380 with exercise, if the two of them would get you a better result than if you only did one or the other.

00:22:48.040 What do you think? I'm not going to tell you the surprising result. Do you think that if you knew

00:22:55.040 the diet works and you know the exercise works, if you did both of them right, what would happen?

00:23:02.040 Na, na, na, na, na, na, na, na. Did you get it? I think one of you buzzed in. That's right. If you do

00:23:10.520 two smart things that definitely work and every single person in the world knows it, you're going

00:23:16.400 to get a better result than if you did one thing. No, really, really, I'm not making that up. That's

00:23:22.240 science. Well, next time you don't need to do that science. Just ask Scott.

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00:23:54.620 close to you. Call 1-866-531-2600 or visit comicsontario.ca.

00:23:59.780 So, I guess we're still talking about the six Democrats who did that video urging people

00:24:06.360 in the military not to follow any illegal orders. Have you noticed a pattern? There's a pattern.

00:24:15.460 And the pattern is that Democrats consistently find things that didn't need to be done and then

00:24:23.080 they do them. They're finding new ways to be useless. What would be more useless than creating

00:24:31.660 a video to remind people in the military not to do the thing that every one of them already knows not

00:24:38.120 to do? And reminding them also that they should talk to their JAG officer if there's some gray area.

00:24:45.460 Do you think that short of having that video by the six Democrats in Congress, that if that had not been

00:24:56.980 made, do you think our military would be out there doing a bunch of illegal orders? Would they be all

00:25:03.360 confused because they wouldn't know how to handle this? Or is it the one thing that you all know,

00:25:09.960 whether you're in the military or not in the military, that would cover everybody? Is it the

00:25:16.700 one thing that every one of us knows without being told by a special video made by Democrats?

00:25:23.920 I'm pretty sure they already know it. Or do you imagine that this is happening all over the military?

00:25:29.060 Hey, Bob, I was thinking of shooting, maybe murdering one of our compatriots and then stealing his money

00:25:40.640 and then pinning the blame on somebody else. What do you think? I don't know. Would that be illegal?

00:25:48.980 Oh, yeah, it would be illegal. It'd be illegal, but is it a good idea? Hmm. I don't remember a boot camp,

00:25:56.920 but I'll bet somebody mentioned something about that once. Don't do illegal orders. Yeah, no,

00:26:04.660 somebody said that. I'm positive. I'm positive that somewhere in my training, they told me not to

00:26:12.140 murder people because it's illegal. It's illegal. And you're not allowed to do illegal things just

00:26:19.160 because you're in the military. Well, why did I even join the military if I'm not allowed to do

00:26:23.900 illegal things? Well, I don't know. Sounds like a mistake because I joined it just to do illegal

00:26:31.660 things. Now, what could be less useful? Seriously, what could be less useful than telling people in

00:26:39.780 the military the one thing that every person in the military already knows? I'll bet you couldn't find

00:26:45.180 one piece of knowledge or information that had as many people knowing that you can't do it.

00:26:53.380 It'd be hard to match it. All right, but here are some funny things coming out of that. Number one,

00:26:59.780 apparently they're getting a nickname, the Seditious Six. I saw that on social media. I don't know if

00:27:09.240 it's catching on yet, but it's very funny. The Seditious Six. Now, I had to check with AI to figure

00:27:18.760 out what seditious means versus, let's see, what are the other words they use around this? You know,

00:27:25.120 insurrection, sedition, treason. Those are all the words that they use. And I guess Trump suggested

00:27:37.100 that if anybody is involved in sedition, they should be executed. Now, he didn't name them,

00:27:43.520 but people kind of connect with the dots and said, hey, I think Trump's saying that maybe they should

00:27:50.520 be executed. Now, here's the problem. And you may have spotted this on your own because I've gave you

00:27:58.300 some hints before today. Have I ever told you, and yes, I have, that you can predict Trump's reaction

00:28:06.800 because he'll always take the strongest path. Now, that doesn't mean he's serious about it,

00:28:13.320 and it doesn't mean that that strongest path will ever happen. But if you're just talking,

00:28:19.100 as in he's talking about what you do about these seditious six, if you're just talking,

00:28:24.940 you can kind of guarantee in advance that if there's one thing to be said that's the strongest thing,

00:28:30.940 even if it's the strongest thing, you know Trump's going to say it, right? And so far,

00:28:40.560 that's worked out for him. But it does create this set of evidence that the Democrats would use

00:28:49.520 that he's a fascist authoritarian. So you can, you see the problem? So the problem is,

00:29:01.720 if you were to artificially create a situation as a Democrat in which there was no space left

00:29:08.260 for the strongest opinion, except for something that's over the line,

00:29:13.560 would you consider it over the line to talk about executing members of Congress for making this

00:29:22.340 video that didn't need to be made under the assumption that really the reason for the video

00:29:28.380 is to try to turn the military against the sitting government? Well, there's a lot of mind reading

00:29:37.680 that would be involved in that. But so here's the problem. If the Democrats get smart enough,

00:29:48.380 and I worry that that's what just happened, if they get smart enough, are they not going to realize

00:29:54.360 that they can trap Trump into saying what is over the line by going as close to the line as they can

00:30:01.500 and sort of leaving him not much space for whatever would be the strongest thing to say?

00:30:08.900 Now, did he say the strongest thing you can say when some members of your government make this kind

00:30:15.980 of a video? Yeah. Yeah, that's the strongest thing you can say. It's not even the law.

00:30:22.620 It's not even the law that you can execute people for what would be, I guess they would say,

00:30:29.080 sedition, which is an unproven allegation at this point, right? Sedition is not the death penalty.

00:30:36.200 I didn't know what was, so I had to ask ChatGPT. Now, if ChatGPT told me the truth and did not

00:30:43.940 hallucinate, then treason could in some cases be the death penalty, but even that would be rare.

00:30:51.600 And treason is when you're working with a foreign country to undermine your current country. That's not

00:30:57.640 what's being alleged. What's being alleged is sedition, which is people within the country

00:31:03.480 trying to change the government outside of the constitutional mechanism. And then there's

00:31:09.880 insurrection, which would be some version of trying to do it from the inside, also not necessarily

00:31:17.940 implying there's any foreign country involved. So it's the foreign country involvement that pushes

00:31:24.760 you toward maybe execution. But even then, probably not. It would be a rare, rare occurrence.

00:31:33.920 So here's my open question. Did the Democrats become suddenly smart enough that they knew that

00:31:42.020 if they did this ridiculous thing that didn't need to be done, which is a video telling the people in

00:31:47.320 the military exactly what every one of them already knew, don't do any illegal things, don't follow any

00:31:54.720 illegal orders. Like, I'm not in the military, and even I knew that. Is there even one person who's in

00:32:01.380 the comments, let's say, is there one person in the audience right now, show me in the comments,

00:32:06.320 who didn't know this? Whether you've ever been in the military or know anybody who's in the military

00:32:12.220 or had any contact with the military, didn't you know that they're not allowed to do illegal things?

00:32:18.980 Like, they can't just go murder people because their senior officer told them to.

00:32:25.920 You all knew that, right? So if we acknowledge that it's probable, can't read their minds,

00:32:33.880 but it's probable, that the Democrats who made that video were completely aware that it did nothing

00:32:39.740 useful, but that it would bait Trump into saying the strongest thing you would say in that domain.

00:32:47.440 And the strongest thing you would say is what he said. And then they got their little food for the

00:32:54.580 day. Their food for the day is, can we trick him into saying something that we can determine

00:32:59.960 or we can define as being authoritarian or fascist? Yes. Yes, we tricked him into saying the strongest

00:33:07.880 thing. Now, as I told you, it's almost, I think I've said every time, but maybe that's too strong.

00:33:15.800 When Trump's instinct is to take the strongest position, even if it's not practical or something

00:33:22.920 that could ever happen in the real world, it still makes him look like the strongest person in every

00:33:27.620 conversation. And in the long run, that's going to pay off because sometimes you just need a strong

00:33:33.720 leader. And you're going to look around and go, all right, oh, well, I don't like everything he's

00:33:38.260 ever said, but I have to admit, we need a strong leader right now. And he can't beat that. That's

00:33:43.860 the strongest leader we've ever seen, at least in my lifetime. All right. So here's my question.

00:33:51.060 How do we know that the Democrats did it just because they're stupid and combined with TDS? 0.54

00:34:00.720 Did they think this was actually something the country needed? How many of you think that?

00:34:07.520 Because I'm just thinking, what are the possible explanations for why they even made that video?

00:34:13.220 Stupid, right? They'd have to be stupid because they'd have to know, they'd have to realize that

00:34:19.260 there's no point in it. It doesn't change anything. And then, or they just have TDS or they're stupid

00:34:26.340 and they have TDS. Does that explain it? I don't think it does. Honestly, and I don't know the answer,

00:34:35.040 so I'm just speculating too. But if I had to guess, I feel like there's somebody over on that team

00:34:42.420 who is smart enough to know that this would be a way to generate these artificial, he's an

00:34:49.800 authoritarian. He's a fascist. Just look what he did. We'll keep this in the news forever.

00:34:57.880 I feel like it's intentional, like it's some kind of a trap they set up. Now, the real question is this,

00:35:05.120 can you trap Trump? Is he trappable? Well, Megyn Kelly found out he wasn't that trappable the first

00:35:15.440 time he did a debate with the Republicans, remember? The very first debate. You say these

00:35:22.880 terrible things about women. That's a trap. That's a trap. There's no way you're going to get out of 1.00

00:35:28.540 that. Only Rosie O'Donnell. Oh, okay. I guess there is one way to get out of it. So, while I am sure

00:35:38.000 it's a trap, whether intentional or not, that's still open, but it functions as a trap. Would you

00:35:46.400 agree? Everybody agrees with that, right? Even if it's not intentional on the part of the Democrats,

00:35:53.660 it functions as a trap. And did Trump walk right into it? We'll see. Because I think once he

00:36:04.460 recognizes that it's a trap, and by now he certainly has, of course he has, he's going to have an

00:36:12.620 unpredictable, which is what he did with the Rosie O'Donnell move. It's just unpredictable. He's

00:36:18.500 probably going to have an unpredictable response. So, what I would look for is what happens next,

00:36:24.860 because to me it looks like the Democrats had a pretty good play. It looks like they couldn't

00:36:31.580 possibly be as dumb as they're acting. So, I'm going to guess that they knew what they were doing,

00:36:37.660 or at least one person over there did, and created this situation where they can generate these new

00:36:44.700 headlines that are based on nothing. They just created a situation that wasn't there. Pretty

00:36:51.920 clever. But watching Democrats find new ways to be useless never gets old. And then, of course,

00:37:00.100 each of the Democrats involved has now been asked multiple times by the media,

00:37:05.860 can you give me an example of one of these illegal orders? And so far they've been smart enough not to

00:37:12.940 give examples. And instead, they say, well, some version of, it's not that it's already happened.

00:37:20.720 It's that we're worried that it will happen. To which I say, isn't that every problem in the world?

00:37:27.960 Every problem in the world is just something that they're worried will happen.

00:37:32.240 Shouldn't you worry about some things that are actually happening? Let me tell you something that's

00:37:36.440 actually happening. We're overspending and running ourselves into debt. Let me tell you something

00:37:44.000 that, as far as I know, hasn't happened and probably won't. The U.S. military obeying, obviously,

00:37:53.500 illegal orders. Doesn't feel like a big problem. It hasn't affected me yet. But their argument would be

00:38:02.720 someday in the future this might happen. Yeah, I see in the comments somebody saying,

00:38:07.960 color revolution. You are correct. So this could be just one move within a larger set of moves that

00:38:17.660 we would call a color revolution. What would that involve? Well, it would involve getting some street 0.75

00:38:25.180 muscle check. They did that. They did the anti-Tesla stuff, the no-king stuff, street muscle.

00:38:32.720 It would involve trying to create a narrative that the media can carry forever that says one of

00:38:41.580 them is a bad egg and must be removed. Check. They're now creating the narrative. And now the

00:38:48.760 press is trying to decide if they're going to be duped. So I guess Elisa Slutkin, one of the six,

00:38:58.500 was on this week in ABC and asked some questions and did not have any examples of any illegal orders.

00:39:08.740 I don't think anybody else has. But her defense, her defense of why they did it involved a reference

00:39:17.900 to Nuremberg and the movie A Few Good Men. And somehow she made an argument, which is funnier if you

00:39:27.260 actually hear her say it, that the existence of Nuremberg and the existence of that movie

00:39:34.860 are somehow, somehow support them making that video. I'm not even going to try to try to explain

00:39:44.180 that argument. It's so stupid. It's just funny. All right. That was funny. And when asked if she

00:39:56.960 believed that Trump had issued any illegal orders, she did the, to my knowledge, I'm not aware of things

00:40:03.880 that are illegal. And now, uh, one of the, one of the six, the seditious six, representative Jason

00:40:13.940 Crow, uh, now he's saying that he's got a problem because he's getting, uh, death threats and bomb

00:40:20.340 threats from what I imagine would be people who are on the other side of the political aisle.

00:40:27.040 And he says, it's very disturbing stuff when you have the president of the United States

00:40:30.820 threatening to execute and to hang and arrest using this rhetoric. People listen to it. Well,

00:40:38.500 he's not wrong. Is he? He's not wrong. I mean, I think he had an example that he played and stuff.

00:40:45.440 So yes, if the president of the United States, be it Trump or be it Biden says something like, uh,

00:40:53.380 you know, these other group of people are bad people, whoever it is, you're going to give some

00:40:59.740 nuts who's going to take a shot at them. So did this create a super dangerous situation for these

00:41:07.080 six Democrats? Yes, it did. But was this situation going to create itself? No. Was this situation

00:41:18.280 something that Trump dreamed up? Was Trump sitting, sitting at home and his boxers and, and the, uh,

00:41:26.000 the white house and thinking, I've got an idea. If I could just trick them into making a video that

00:41:32.440 doesn't need to be made, then I can, uh, say there's anybody who would do that should be hung.

00:41:39.660 And then some crazy person will go hurt them. Do you think that happened? Or do you think Democrats

00:41:47.720 created a situation that absolutely did not need to be created by making the video in the first place

00:41:54.600 and accusing the person that maybe some of you voted for of being a fascist dictator authoritarian,

00:42:05.000 which one of those created the situation? Representative Jason Crow? I will give you

00:42:13.000 Trump worsened it. Can we agree on that? I'll give you that. Trump worsened it. But who created it?

00:42:23.920 Who created the situation that just didn't need to exist? Was it the video that six people created

00:42:31.020 that didn't need to be made to tell people what they already knew and offered absolutely nothing

00:42:36.300 except the opportunity for Trump to, all it did was create an opportunity for Trump to say these

00:42:42.920 people should be hung, even though he didn't say that about them specifically, technically people

00:42:48.440 connected the dots and assumed that that's what he was telling. So I'll give you that. I will give

00:42:54.080 you that Democrats. Trump worsened the situation. He didn't create it. You're going to have to own

00:43:02.580 creating it. But as a supporter of the president, I will own worsened it. I will own that. All right.

00:43:13.600 And I don't know. And by the way, I'm not in favor of it. In case I need to say that clearly,

00:43:19.780 not in favor of that level of narrative, but I accept that it happened and it happened on my side.

00:43:28.640 Is that okay? I accept that I'm on the side that where that happened and that I have some

00:43:35.260 responsibility for it, don't I? Wouldn't you agree? As a member of a team, certainly a, you know,

00:43:42.840 longtime supporter of the president, I have some responsibility for that. And I'm going to take

00:43:48.180 my responsibility right now, which is maybe it's time to back off on that a little bit.

00:43:54.640 Yeah. Maybe just a little bit back off on that. Yeah. We don't, we don't want to be killing anybody

00:44:00.280 for their political opinions. Not all of you will agree with this. I get that. And by the way,

00:44:07.400 I accept that too. I accept that some of you are not going to agree that there should be any softening

00:44:13.700 that position. But do you really want, do you really want your elected representatives to be

00:44:18.740 hung over a dumb video that obviously they were just not clever enough to know how this would turn

00:44:25.420 out? I don't know. That feels like I would not be benefited by that in any way, but the country

00:44:33.440 would, would be harmed by it. So no, I don't want to see anybody hung over their political speech,

00:44:40.940 even if it's pretty raw, like that was, that was pretty raw on the, uh, on both of their parts,

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00:45:17.920 Well, Zoran Mamdani was on, uh, one of the weekend shows and he was asked if, uh, he thinks Trump is a

00:45:25.460 fascist. Remember, that's the same question he was asked when, uh, he was in the Oval Office.

00:45:30.720 Um, and, uh, he didn't get to answer it, but he answered it on TV and he said, uh, basically,

00:45:39.420 yes. He said, that's something that I've said in the past and I say it today. All right. So I will

00:45:44.240 give him credit that, uh, Mamdani has not backed off from saying that, uh, Trump is a fascist. He's,

00:45:52.500 he's doubling down. But does that make sense when you also know that they had something like a

00:46:00.040 productive conversation about affordability and they think they could work together to get that

00:46:05.600 done? Does that make sense? Does that compute in your brain that he says he's a fascist,

00:46:15.340 but apparently he can work with him on getting, uh, affordability? Because you know, who's really

00:46:22.300 good on affordability is the fascists. So kind of weird. I feel as though you could criticize Zoran

00:46:32.240 for working with fascists. So the next question I'd ask him is, uh, Zoran, do you think it's okay to

00:46:39.960 work with a fascist? Cause he just said, yes. So is the thing that really happened? Maybe the only

00:46:49.980 thing that really happened is that the word fascist just turned into a non-word because Trump actually

00:46:57.400 joked about it in the Oval Office. He said, you could just say yes, just say yes. It's easier.

00:47:04.320 Like Trump wasn't even denying the fascist thing. It's so harmless now. It's so overused.

00:47:09.960 And, you know, it's overused without real evidence of anything that looks, at least in my opinion,

00:47:17.400 in that category. So it could be that we're watching that word become completely disarmed,

00:47:27.320 partly by Trump saying, ah, you could just say yes, just say I'm a fascist. It doesn't matter.

00:47:33.380 And then again, by Zoran, who agrees that it's a accurate word, but he can work with them.

00:47:39.960 Well, if you can work with them, it can't be that bad. Can it? It just makes the word look

00:47:47.260 ridiculous. So maybe that's a step ahead. Zero Hedge has got an article today that, uh, since 2008,

00:47:56.460 the US gas pipeline pipelines have been booming. Now that's the pipelines, you know, the physical

00:48:04.140 pipelines. And, uh, I didn't know this, but apparently, uh, even long before the Trump

00:48:11.380 administration, even before the first one, uh, the pipeline boom was begun. And now we're seeing a lot

00:48:19.860 of it having been built out. So we're going to see sort of the benefit of it under the second Trump

00:48:25.960 administration. But if you wondered, how's the US doing in the energy business? The answer is really

00:48:32.380 good, really good. So the, the regions, what region? Uh, sort of the Oklahoma Gulf coast region

00:48:41.240 is going to get a big boost in capacity very soon. Good news. Anything that's good for your country's

00:48:49.280 energy situation? Probably good for your country. Um, I didn't know this was happening, but apparently

00:48:57.580 there was some big, uh, I think maybe a 30 nation climate summit, um, that was in the Amazon. I don't

00:49:07.060 know if they found their way out. That's funny. Just to imagine that they all went in there and they

00:49:13.740 couldn't find their way out. No, they could, they could find their way out. But Breitbart is writing

00:49:17.780 about this. And, uh, I didn't know about it probably because the US had not participated. So Trump said,

00:49:26.980 no, no, no, thank you. We don't need, need to be part of this climate summit. But, uh, was that a

00:49:34.320 mistake? Not being part of the climate summit. Let's see what group of political people in this

00:49:41.800 country would have said we should have gone to the climate summit. Well, I think that would be

00:49:49.100 Democrats. Am I right? If Democrats had been in charge, don't you think the US would have gone to

00:49:56.220 the climate summit? Yeah, we would have. And then we would have been part of their amazing

00:50:02.180 accomplishments. You know, I keep saying that Democrats do useless things like doing videos,

00:50:08.860 telling the military things the military already knows. A lot of useless things. But this one,

00:50:14.600 no, this is, this was useful. There's all these countries, they went into the Amazon and then they

00:50:20.940 said important things and it took days and days. But finally, when they gaveled out,

00:50:26.500 they had applause because they had done something useful. Let's see, what was that? What was the

00:50:33.580 useful thing they did? Oh, uh, I guess they agreed to quote, voluntarily accelerate their climate actions.

00:50:41.520 No specific goals. No specific endpoints. And no definition of accelerate. So, that was useful.

00:50:57.160 Wasn't it? You've seen the pattern, right? It's not my imagination. The pattern is pretty clear.

00:51:05.760 This was completely a waste of time because it changed nothing. And Trump was smart enough to say,

00:51:14.220 that looks like a waste of time. I'm not going to go. So, good call by Trump.

00:51:24.740 Rand Paul is warning. He was on the Sunday, at least one of the Sunday shows, I guess.

00:51:30.280 And he said that the, the Trump coalition, if you will, the Trump supporters could be split

00:51:37.980 under two conditions. There are probably more of them, but here are two of them. He says, once

00:51:44.560 there's, this is Rand Paul, he says, once there's an invasion of Venezuela, or if they decide to re-up

00:51:50.760 the subsidies and the gifts to Ukraine, then Rand says, I think you'll see a splintering and a

00:51:57.060 fracturing of the movement that has supported the president. What do you think? Do you think that if

00:52:03.300 Trump invades Venezuela, or he starts to refund Ukraine, that his coalition will split apart?

00:52:15.820 I think so. Yeah, I think that's a reasonable prediction. But what are the odds he's going to do

00:52:22.380 either one of those things? What are the odds that Trump is going to refund Ukraine when he's pulled

00:52:29.040 off one of the smartest things I've ever seen, which is not only is he not funding Ukraine, but he's

00:52:35.260 getting, he's getting our allies to pay our military industrial complex for the weapons that Ukraine is 0.73

00:52:42.860 going to use. Don't we sort of win in that situation? I think we do. Do you think Trump's base is going to

00:52:53.880 be mad at him for finding out how to take the free money off the table? I mean, he's basically acting

00:53:00.940 like the Chicago Teachers Union. If you were here in the beginning of the podcast, Trump's just acting

00:53:08.060 like the Chicago Teachers Union. Hey, there's a big pile of money on the table. Doesn't seem to be

00:53:16.600 labeled. Is anybody claiming this money that is just sitting here? No, no, you? No, no, no. Nobody

00:53:26.480 claims this money? Well, what if I just take it? Any complaints? Still no complaints. All right.

00:53:35.180 Boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom. Chicago Teachers Union. That's how they do it. Allegedly. Allegedly.

00:53:42.380 I'm just saying allegedly. All right. Meanwhile, the U.S. White House, you know, that White House,

00:53:51.520 not the other White House. The U.S. White House announced it's eliminating the Department of Government

00:53:57.720 Efficiency, DOGE. Here's how I would interpret that. You would interpret that negatively, wouldn't

00:54:05.040 you? As in, hey, DOGE was a good idea. If they eliminate it, I will be unhappy because it's

00:54:11.960 something I liked and I think it worked a little bit and maybe they should have just tried harder,

00:54:16.440 but I like the DOGE idea and eliminating it seems like a bad idea. Well, I'm not sure that's what's

00:54:22.900 happening. I will take a fact check on this later in the day when we learn more, but here's what I

00:54:28.540 think is happening. And this is something I said, what, a year ago, two years ago, a year ago at least,

00:54:37.880 I pointed out that DOGE was simply becoming how the government operated. So instead of needing

00:54:46.180 a separate DOGE department, what made a lot more sense is what you saw Bill Pulte do in the Fannie,

00:54:55.680 Freddie situation, if you're running a big government entity, you know that Trump wants you

00:55:02.740 to cut costs and he wants you to brag about it because he wants to cut the budget and he wants

00:55:09.680 everybody to know it. So if you're running a big entity and you know exactly what the boss wants

00:55:16.420 and unlike prior years, this is the real magic part, unlike prior years, you're not going to get a pat on

00:55:24.620 the back for spending more than your budget, but apparently that used to happen. Otherwise,

00:55:30.520 they wouldn't all be spending more than their budget. So at this point, you saw people almost

00:55:36.320 competing, you know, heads of cabinets, heads of departments. You saw them almost competing

00:55:42.560 to see who could get the most attention for saying, I've cut the budget in the smartest, best,

00:55:50.180 biggest way. So you saw Hag Seth talking about budget cuts, you know, Bill Pulte again. And I think

00:55:59.540 you could name half a dozen others where they literally just bragged about cutting budgets.

00:56:05.640 Once you've created that culture, which apparently Trump has done, then DOGE just becomes how you think

00:56:13.420 about everything. It doesn't become the external department that needs to be bothering you all

00:56:19.420 the time. You should be doing those things before they knock on the door. You shouldn't need DOGE to

00:56:25.720 say you need an audit. Nobody needs DOGE to say they should save me, look where they can cut costs.

00:56:34.220 That should just be part of the operation. So when I see that DOGE first was created, I was excited

00:56:42.920 because obviously that was a thing that wasn't in existence that needed to exist. But once it operated

00:56:49.560 for a while and everybody got the idea and it just became part of our conversation, it became a word.

00:56:57.900 I mean, you don't even need to have the department now. If you're running some big department in the

00:57:02.860 government, don't you think that one of the words you would use is DOGE? And it would be something

00:57:07.840 like this. All right, everybody, we need to come up with some big cost savings so I can tell the boss

00:57:15.540 that we're on board. So somebody come up with some good DOGE ideas. They would literally use the word

00:57:22.220 to describe what they want to do, which is have a responsible budget that you could audit and

00:57:29.100 keep under control. So I'm happy that DOGE went away if the reason is they had successfully just

00:57:38.340 integrated into the thinking of the government. And I think they did. I mean, from the outside,

00:57:43.620 it looks like they did. So I would consider that an enormous win if that's what happened. But I'll

00:57:49.600 I'll take a fact check on that, too.

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00:58:22.860 I guess we've got some video, Zero Hedge says, of some maybe drones hitting a major power station

00:58:30.700 near Moscow. Now, you have to be careful about all the reporting from Moscow and from Ukraine,

00:58:40.100 because it's all subject to the fog of war. But the timing would be interesting if that really

00:58:47.100 happened. And there's good reason to believe it did happen, because it would not be unusual

00:58:52.260 for Ukraine to have done a drone attack on a energy facility in Russia. And this would be timed

00:59:00.140 somewhat coincidentally, or not, by the fact that Marco Rubio just said they had a very

00:59:09.880 productive meeting. Actually, the most productive. He said the most productive and meaningful meeting

00:59:15.600 to date, that is with his Ukrainian partners, trying to come up with some kind of a peace deal

00:59:23.540 that they could present to Putin that would have some chance of being negotiated to completion.

00:59:29.960 So, as of today, the government is talking in a more, let's say, optimistic way about the chances

00:59:38.860 of peace than I've seen in a while. Do you think that's real? Do you think that's real? I don't know.

00:59:49.740 Because, you know, we've been disappointed so many times where we're like, oh, there's going to be a

00:59:54.960 peace deal in Ukraine any minute, and then it gets yanked away. Well, here's what I feel. And this is

01:00:03.040 going to be more feelings than facts. So, if I'm wrong, don't be surprised, because I can't give you

01:00:11.440 an argument for what I'm going to say. I'm going to tell you how it feels. Now, my argument, I guess

01:00:17.600 there is an argument, but it's a bad one. My argument is that sometimes you can feel things

01:00:24.340 or smell them before you can see them and touch them. And this is feeling that way to me.

01:00:33.020 So, I'm just an observer of the news. I don't have any special access to anything in this topic.

01:00:39.680 But I observe patterns. And sometimes I don't know what pattern I'm picking up.

01:00:45.000 Have you ever had that experience? You're like, ah, I feel like I know where this is heading,

01:00:50.420 but I don't know why I know it. And it's because there might be some pattern you're picking up.

01:00:55.260 Might be false. Doesn't mean it's true, but it means we're just pattern recognition machines.

01:01:01.840 When I look at the war, here's the first question I ask. What are the odds that the Ukraine-Russia 0.81

01:01:08.040 war will still be raging for the entire term of Trump's time in office? Do you think this could

01:01:16.760 run another three years? Because that would put it at seven years, and it probably would be sitting

01:01:23.280 at the same place at the end of three more years. So, I'm finding it hard to believe that either

01:01:30.240 Putin or Zelensky are thinking to themselves, we can wait this guy out, meaning Trump. We can wait

01:01:36.980 him out. I think the days of waiting anybody out are over. And then I would say, what are the odds

01:01:44.260 that it would end differently if you wait three more years? And I think the answer is, there's no

01:01:51.380 reason to believe it's going to turn out differently. Might be better, might be worse. But the last thing

01:01:56.640 that Moscow wants is three more years of Ukraine developing better drones. It's just going to get

01:02:04.520 worse. So, if you're in Moscow and you're in something blow up and your lights flickered, which

01:02:11.180 may or may not be what happened. Again, fog of war, you can't believe any reporting from that area.

01:02:16.660 But if you believe it happened, it's going to be a lot of pressure. Could you imagine just going

01:02:22.640 three more years and gaining nothing? And it looks exactly the same at the end of three more years.

01:02:29.820 So, my first pattern recognition is that if waiting doesn't seem like it's going to get you a better

01:02:37.920 result, and both sides would see that, that seems obvious from both sides, then why would you wait?

01:02:45.120 What you would do instead of waiting is you would look for some excuse as to why now would be the

01:02:53.000 time. And that excuse is Trump. Trump is the excuse because he won't always be there. And you can't

01:03:02.500 count on even, you know, given our politics, you can't guarantee you'll even be there in three years.

01:03:08.040 But he's there now. And he's willing to put in maximum effort to get this thing finished. So, because

01:03:16.240 there's a Trump, and because it's gone four years, and because he's going to be here another three, and

01:03:23.640 because we can kind of predict that things aren't going to get better, and that drones will get more

01:03:29.340 powerful, and just more things will explode, you might as well do it now. Now, is that a good argument? Not

01:03:36.980 really. Not really. I'm telling you how it feels. And what it feels like, I'm going to give you the

01:03:43.740 summary of what I just said. The summary is, it just feels like it's time. Does anybody have that

01:03:51.420 feeling? And I'm not sure I would have said that before. Before, I would have said, oh, it's logical,

01:03:57.920 you know, both sides could, you know, they'd be better off if they do it. So, I would have given you a

01:04:03.000 logical argument before. But now it just sort of feels like even the words that Marco Rubio chose,

01:04:12.800 the way that Zelensky is sort of sliding into a new position, the way that Europeans are on the hook 0.99

01:04:21.040 for the entire bill. It's sort of all those things, the way the technology is improving

01:04:28.280 to the point where it's not a, you know, it's mostly robots on robots, etc. So, I think maybe

01:04:38.400 something's coming that could be good. And another way to look at it was, it feels like capitulation.

01:04:44.800 If you're familiar with investing, there's a word called capitulation. I mean, it's a regular word,

01:04:52.540 but when it's used in the context of investing, it means that people just feel like they're done

01:05:01.620 with some investment position, capitulation. And capitulation doesn't always have like a logical

01:05:08.280 backing to it. It's just people agree that's how they feel. It's like capitulation. I think that's

01:05:17.940 what's happened. I think maybe the way the media will cover it will change. I think that there's also

01:05:25.120 a narrative fatigue. Sometimes you just have to have a new narrative. And in this case, the narrative

01:05:32.480 is the story and the story is the reality, the thing that's really happening. I feel like we're tired

01:05:37.820 of waking up and saying, is Russia and Ukraine at war still? Is it exactly the same? Are the lines

01:05:45.560 about the same as they were? We're just fatigued with that version of reality. So, there's also a,

01:05:53.280 we are living in a simulation argument, which is we're just tired with that narrative. So, our collective

01:06:01.220 consciousness will change the narrative because we're just bored with it. We'll get something else.

01:06:05.960 Then, I would argue also that we already know how the story ends. We already know how the story

01:06:13.540 ends. It's a three-act movie. And at the end of the third act, what happens? You all know how the

01:06:25.000 movie ends. Let me set it up for you. In scene one, Trump is impeached twice and loses re-election.

01:06:35.500 But in scene two, Trump wins re-election against all odds. And then he goes on this series of

01:06:45.060 ridiculously successful presidential actions, which is what at least the Republicans would say

01:06:51.840 he's doing right now. And that's a proper second act. So, the first act is something really bad

01:06:58.460 happens to your hero. That's the impeachment. That's the losing re-election. That's all that stuff.

01:07:02.860 That's the first act. Second act is usually the hero of the movie has reached, let's say,

01:07:10.040 some kind of plateau of how their life could be. If it's an athlete, the athlete is suddenly winning

01:07:16.560 all the competitions, right? So, that's happening. And then the third act would be something that looks

01:07:24.960 like, oh, no, you could never, you could never get out of this. It would be something like the

01:07:30.740 Ukraine-Russia war. Looks like it's unsolvable. At the same time, Trump's popularity numbers are

01:07:38.680 plunging. So, he's going to have the lowest popularity numbers in the war that he can't stop.

01:07:43.980 And he's going to be accused of being a fascist, whatever. And it will look like maybe it might

01:07:51.660 even get worse. And it will look like there's no way anybody could get out of this situation.

01:07:56.780 And that's the third act. The third act is when your hero escapes the situation that nobody could

01:08:02.800 escape. It's impossible. And then what happens after he does the escape? What happens after he does

01:08:10.840 the impossible? He gets the Nobel Peace Prize. The fact that Trump doesn't have the Nobel Peace Prize

01:08:20.320 and that this is brewing back there, that's a little bit too much of a pattern for me to imagine

01:08:27.200 it's not going to go that way. It looks like it's just going to turn into a three-act movie.

01:08:33.240 It will look like he's doomed pretty soon from some new drama that we don't even see coming.

01:08:39.520 And then he'll find a way out, because that's what he does. And then he'll get the Nobel Peace

01:08:45.760 Prize. And you'll be watching it in awe, saying, why was that so predictable? Because it kind of is.

01:08:57.140 So, that'll be fun.

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01:09:26.320 Well, Tucker Carlson was quite provocative today on X. He posted this. I'm going to read just what

01:09:37.600 Tucker said, because it's a big story if his allegations are true. And it goes like this. So,

01:09:45.920 this is brand new. This just is before I came on. Tucker said that for months, the Wall Street Journal

01:09:52.300 has held a story detailing the personal corruption of somebody named Andrei Yermak,

01:09:59.380 the second most powerful man in Ukraine. Yermak has skimmed hundreds of millions in American tax

01:10:05.900 dollars meant for Ukraine aid. Now, remember, this is allegations made by Tucker. The journal's

01:10:12.140 editors can prove that, really. But they're not. Instead, they're protecting Yermak. Why?

01:10:20.420 And then Tucker answers his own question. He says, because Yermak is leading Ukraine's effort to

01:10:27.520 scuttle the Trump peace plan for Eastern Europe. What? The owners of the Wall Street Journal

01:10:34.040 don't want peace with Russia. Now, remember, that's a little mind reading going on there, 0.88

01:10:40.620 because unless they've said it, I know, you'd be assuming that that's what they're thinking.

01:10:48.180 And it might be right. I'm not saying it's wrong. I'm just saying just distinguish between things

01:10:53.620 you can prove and things which are allegations. So, the owners of the Wall Street Journal,

01:10:58.240 says Tucker, don't want peace with Russia. They want war. At the same time, the journal's editorial

01:11:04.020 page has attacked the Trump administration for pushing a peace agreement. And then, says Tucker,

01:11:10.600 this is true corruption without informing its readers. The Murdoch family, no, without informing

01:11:18.240 its readers, the Murdoch family, says Tucker, is using both sides of his newspaper to continue the

01:11:23.720 war with Russia. That's not the behavior of a news organization. Wait for it. It's the hallmark of

01:11:31.140 an intel agency. Oh, damn. Damn. I don't know how many of you have been watching Tucker's content

01:11:39.100 since he got canceled and canceled again. But he does do a lot of content about, well, you probably

01:11:48.700 didn't know this, but some intel agency is behind it, because I think it usually is. What do you think

01:11:55.880 of this? Do you think that Tucker's narrative of this is accurate? I don't have any inside

01:12:04.600 information. I've never heard of this, Andrei Yermak. I will say that the Ukraine war has the

01:12:12.880 feeling of something that rich people want to continue, because it feels like if all the rich

01:12:19.520 people wanted it to end, it would have already ended. What's the point of being all these

01:12:25.640 billionaires if you can't control, you know, control civilization too? So there must have been

01:12:31.340 somebody who wanted the war to continue, and maybe it's this guy. I wouldn't know. But that's a heck

01:12:38.180 of an allegation. A heck of an allegation. So let's keep an eye on that one. I think it's too early for me to

01:12:45.140 have an opinion on that one, because I'd have to see if there's any second side to it. But the

01:12:50.940 allegation that the Wall Street Journal is sort of intentionally promoting war for the benefit of

01:13:00.620 some billionaires, and maybe for the benefit of their own company, that's a big allegation.

01:13:06.540 That's a big one. All right. Glenn Beck recently asked RFK Jr. his thoughts on the World Economic

01:13:16.660 Forum, the WEF. And RFK Jr. said, quote, we shouldn't be paying attention to it, meaning the WEF. It's a

01:13:24.700 billionaire's boys club that's arranging for the world to shift wealth upward and to clamp down on

01:13:30.240 totalitarian controls and to clamp down totalitarian controls on everybody else. Now, who does that

01:13:38.100 sound like? There's one other public figure who has talked about the World Economic Forum in almost

01:13:46.120 exactly the same terms, the billionaire's boys club. That was Elon. When Elon Musk was asked about the

01:13:54.960 World Economic Forum, he also just sort of brushed it aside in terms of importance and acted like it

01:14:01.740 was just a social club for rich people. And that if you thought it was more than that, you were kind

01:14:07.720 of giving it too much power. Yeah. So I agree with RFK Jr.'s take. I have not seen the World Economic

01:14:16.900 Forum be anything but a billionaire boys club. It looks exactly like that. And yes, we should ignore

01:14:24.940 them unless they become more powerful and start affecting things. All right. In other news, the Israeli 0.96

01:14:32.480 defense forces apparently are dismissing the first wave, what they call the first wave, of people that

01:14:41.620 they say were responsible for allowing the October 7th attack to happen, meaning people who allegedly did not

01:14:49.880 do their jobs well enough to prevent it and should have. Now, apparently quite a few people are involved

01:14:57.700 in this, and they're calling it just the first major wave. Newsmax is reporting on this, by the way.

01:15:04.460 It's the first major wave. That would suggest that there are going to be other major waves.

01:15:08.780 How many people were actually literally physically involved and should have done more? I don't know

01:15:19.840 how there could be that many people. I can see if it were one or two or a dozen people. But once it

01:15:26.260 gets up to larger numbers, how many people were making mistakes all at the same time in the same way?

01:15:32.120 I don't know what that means. But apparently they're not done. So they're going to keep looking and keep

01:15:41.520 firing people who are responsible. Now, Prime Minister Netanyahu is apparently, reportedly, opposed to a state

01:15:53.380 inquiry of the government to find out if members of the government, as opposed to the military,

01:15:59.460 were also responsible and should take some kind of action or responsibility, I guess.

01:16:07.700 So you've got the IDF saying, yes, we take responsibility, and these specific people

01:16:13.340 are being dismissed. But you've got the government saying, no, let's not get into this any deeper.

01:16:22.440 Maybe we should just leave this with the military.

01:16:25.280 Sorry. Now, if you follow all your conspiracy theories, you know that there's been one that's

01:16:33.160 been bugging me from almost day one. Bugging me because I just don't see it as possible in the

01:16:43.000 world that I live in. Anything's possible, and I could be totally surprised. But the conspiracy

01:16:51.180 theory goes, and you've all heard it, that Netanyahu intentionally allowed security to be lax

01:17:00.740 or lax so that the attack would happen because that would help him politically stay in power,

01:17:08.740 but also to do what he wanted to do anyway in Gaza. How many of you believe that that's what

01:17:16.260 really happened? Now, I understand why you would believe it, because it's really hard to look at

01:17:22.720 the size of that security lapse and imagine that was an accident, right? If you're just looking at it

01:17:31.120 from the outside, you say to yourself, how in the world could all of that be accidental, right?

01:17:40.100 And that's a good place to start. It's a good starting place because I'm curious too. But now that the

01:17:49.480 military has taken this much responsibility, does it change your opinion? Because if the military is

01:18:00.380 taking responsibility, and they're naming names, and a lot of them, and they're firing them, they must be

01:18:06.000 finding things that these military people did wrong. Now, do you believe that these military people

01:18:13.100 would all take what must be one of the worst consequences you could get in the military other

01:18:19.780 than being wounded, I suppose? One of the worst things would be to have your own military accuse

01:18:27.880 you of being responsible for October 7th. Do you think that there are this many people, I don't know how

01:18:34.900 many there are, but let's say dozens. Do you think there are dozens of people in the military who would

01:18:40.600 be willing to take responsibility for October 7th, trying, you know, living among the population that

01:18:46.860 would know that they had taken responsibility, and you would do that, what, to cover up for Netanyahu?

01:18:53.500 Would you? Would you? Do you believe that that's like a possible thing that would happen?

01:19:01.720 That dozens of people at the officer level, we're not talking about grunts, talking people in

01:19:07.640 leadership, would they all take the fall for October 7th? The most, maybe the most shameful thing

01:19:17.780 that's ever happened to, you know, any Israeli in decades, I just don't see it happening. So,

01:19:27.200 while I do think that Netanyahu is opportunistically using the situation to his advantage,

01:19:36.480 that's not a big surprise, but it's hard for me to imagine that he planned it, he executed it,

01:19:44.140 dozens and dozens of people in the military, had to sort of stand down from their responsibilities,

01:19:51.280 and then, after it was all over, none of them became whistleblowers. They all just,

01:19:58.220 they all individually took the rap. For October 7th? I mean, there are a lot of things you could take

01:20:05.980 the rap for, but not that. That would be like the worst thing you could ever take the rap for,

01:20:12.240 if he didn't do it, especially. Right? So, this doesn't really add up to me. And I'm going to say

01:20:19.700 that the new revelation that the military is dismissing people and naming names, they're naming

01:20:26.960 names. It does kind of make it look like a military failure, more so than it seems likely to me it would

01:20:36.080 be a government failure. Now, in case you're wondering, Israel is not paying me to do anything.

01:20:44.720 They don't pay me for anything. And it's not my job to support Netanyahu. I'm not a supporter,

01:20:53.200 and I'm not a supporter of Israel or anybody else, except the United States. I'm an America

01:20:59.760 first kind of guy. And when I talk about Israel, I'm not talking about even my preferences. We're just

01:21:07.920 observing and trying to understand it. But it's up to them to defend it.

01:21:17.360 Well, I'm hearing today in the New York Post that that Thomas Crooks guy who tried to

01:21:23.520 assassinate the president and then got shot himself, that he had all kinds of social media presence.

01:21:31.360 Didn't we hear that he didn't have a social media presence, or am I confusing him with somebody else?

01:21:37.120 But it does seem to me that months later, we're learning about this would-be assassin,

01:21:45.600 things that... How did it take so long to hear that? Boy, talk about fog of war.

01:21:52.720 That fog of war lasts apparently a year or more.

01:21:58.160 All right. The $7,000 check. Does anybody think I'm being paid by Israel?

01:22:09.520 What does Glenn Greenwald not believe? There was a press on the ground.

01:22:17.520 There was press on the ground. Yeah, you know, I just don't believe any of those.

01:22:22.720 stories. Some of them might turn out to be true, but

01:22:28.240 it's hard to believe anything in that domain.

01:22:32.160 All right, people. I think I've said what I need to say. I'm going to say a few words

01:22:36.400 to the local subscribers, the wonderful local subscribers. I hope you got something out of this today. Did you?

01:22:44.480 Did anybody learn anything today that they might not have gotten from the regular news?

01:22:50.800 I hope so. I hope so. And I'll be private in 30 seconds with locals who I call my beloved,

01:23:00.880 my beloved subscribers. Beloved subscribers coming at you.

01:23:20.800 everyone.

01:23:28.400 Thank you for your attention.

01:23:29.200 You.

01:23:29.440 All right.

01:23:30.380 Thank you.

01:24:00.380 Thank you.

01:24:30.380 Thank you.

01:25:00.380 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 24, 2025

Episode 3028 CWSA 11⧸24⧸25

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