Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 3033 CWSA 12⧸01⧸25

00:00:00.000 come on in it is good to see you again i'll tell you it feels like it's been forever

00:00:07.080 even though it was only yesterday but that's how much i missed you oh wait a second whoa

00:00:15.020 what is that hold on oh no oh no ah it's okay it's just the dilbert calendar

00:00:25.440 uh it was so amazing that i thought well what could it be but if you're not done shopping

00:00:33.500 get your dilbert calendar from amazon.com it's the only place you can get it

00:00:38.420 all right now that i've done that little sales pitch

00:00:44.360 i guess we'll have to get serious i got a show for you today wow so good

00:00:52.840 good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:01:01.140 coffee with scott adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take a chance

00:01:06.980 of elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny

00:01:14.100 human brains all you need for that is you know say it say it a cupper mug or a glass of tanker

00:01:22.720 chalice of stein a canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind to fill it with your favorite liquid

00:01:28.960 i like i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine end of the

00:01:35.100 day that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip that happens now

00:01:40.380 extraordinary all right let's see what's happening

00:01:49.080 um is there uh anything that i've been saying for years that is now the subject of scientific

00:01:59.240 revelation yes according to eric nolan on psi post did you know that participating in activist groups

00:02:09.840 is linked to increased narcissism and psycho psychopathy over time well it turns out that according to

00:02:20.780 science um if you happen to already be a narcissist or a psychopath you're more likely

00:02:30.080 you're more likely to get involved in uh in activist groups but not only does it work in that direction

00:02:39.580 but if you are not especially narcissistic or psychopathic uh being involved in one of those

00:02:46.700 uh activist groups might turn you into it so it's a sort of a two-way thing

00:02:52.960 now does that sound like something that surprises you totally no because you're probably in the same

00:03:01.040 bubble i am and conservative thinkers have been saying this for years i mean several years when was the

00:03:09.100 first time jordan peterson uh told you that uh the what is it the cluster b personalities tend to be on

00:03:17.740 the left and they tend to be in activist groups so we kind of saw that one coming no big surprise there

00:03:25.880 well did you know according to the university of california riverside that the soybean oil the oil

00:03:35.640 the soybean oil has a hidden fat derived molecule that might fuel obesity in other words

00:03:44.260 uh soybean oil makes you fat i don't think it happens to every single person

00:03:51.420 but uh there's a lot of it have you ever done an experiment where you go to the grocery store

00:03:57.560 and try to find any packaged item has to be packaged that doesn't have soy in it have you ever done that

00:04:05.880 experiment you you could start at the end of the shelves for whatever section you're on doesn't

00:04:12.720 matter what section then pick up the first package you see and and see if there's any soy product in

00:04:19.000 it there will be and put it back go to the very next thing next to it there's soy i i once looked 0.55

00:04:27.800 like for probably an hour to see if i could find one damn thing that didn't have soy in it

00:04:33.260 now there might be some obvious exceptions like if you're buying something that only has one ingredient 0.53

00:04:38.600 you know it's not necessarily soy but if you have anything that has multiple ingredients in it

00:04:43.880 oh yeah you're eating soy so i don't know if the soy beans and the soy oil have the same impact but

00:04:53.140 beware well akira the dawn um has released a little preview of another piece of music that features me

00:05:03.780 uh as the vocalist uh as the vocalist it's so funny to hear myself say that that uh that i'm the least

00:05:12.800 musical person in the world yeah i play a little bit of drums that's about it but uh to to live in a

00:05:21.660 world in which uh kira the dawn has incorporated my podcast voice as sort of a a layer in his music

00:05:30.860 it's kind of really innovative and fun and i guess he's going to drop the album that would have a

00:05:37.680 number of songs that he put together like that that would feature my my voice and his music so

00:05:44.820 that's coming to summer 19th but there's a preview if you want to see one of the new ones that's on my

00:05:52.020 feed or you can find it on akira the dawn's feed anyway um did you know

00:05:59.520 well you're going to know in a moment that uh according to newsmax mark swanson's writing

00:06:08.060 that uh according to a poll 63 percent polled say a four-year degree is not worth the cost

00:06:16.440 um and that more than six in ten registered voters think a four-year degree is not worth the cost

00:06:25.440 according to new nbc news poll now so the the respect i guess that's the right word for a four-year

00:06:36.040 degree is sort of at an all-time low or at least in the modern in modern times that's low do you think

00:06:42.060 that that is first of all a good representation of reality i think it is a good reputation good

00:06:51.940 representation of what people think about the college degree but do you think they're just being

00:06:58.560 influenced by the fact that it's too expensive and if you ask somebody who doesn't have one

00:07:04.900 what are they going to say if i did not have a four-year degree and you asked me today uh how

00:07:14.580 important is it i'd probably say totally unimportant yeah you shouldn't get one and then i'd go off and

00:07:22.260 get one so i had an advantage so here's my advice it's probably not essential that you get a four-year

00:07:32.320 degree but it's a competitive world so if you can get one you know if it's within your financial and

00:07:41.840 or other abilities you should definitely get one because you're going to be competing against people

00:07:49.460 who don't have one and you know maybe you're lucky and you get an employer who genuinely doesn't care

00:07:56.740 you know there are more of them every day but the odds of running into somebody who does care

00:08:02.080 you know maybe because they have one themselves or they went to the same school or whatever

00:08:07.000 it's pretty high so i would say from a maybe a logical perspective it's not as necessary as it used to be

00:08:16.720 but if you're looking at it from a strategic employee perspective yeah you should get one

00:08:25.340 if you can do it without burdening yourself financially for the rest of your life now you

00:08:32.340 don't want to do it at all costs you want to do it at a you know reasonable cost for your resources

00:08:38.800 but yeah i would definitely i would definitely play the advantage if you if you have the option

00:08:44.660 um you know what polymarket is it's a one of those betting sites it's the big betting site

00:08:52.020 well apparently um the betting sites are more accurate than opinion polls so once people put

00:09:02.100 their money on it they're way better at predicting than if you just say hey what do you think

00:09:07.380 um so the uh i guess one of the founders the ceo was talking about that and uh

00:09:14.020 uh so uh keep an eye on polymarket because it's going to tell you more than opinion however

00:09:23.220 it makes me ask this question don't you think that if you had some way to know

00:09:29.620 who had been really good at predicting in the past that you'd like to see just those people

00:09:37.940 predicting the next thing wouldn't that be a lot better why would i take the average of people

00:09:46.960 who were terrible at predicting that meaning that they didn't win anything you know because you can

00:09:52.960 see if they ever won anything on polymarket why would i want to see the average of the people who

00:09:57.660 never were right mixed in with the average of the people who were right most of the time

00:10:02.560 what the hell good is that wouldn't it make a lot more sense if you could go to polymarket and say

00:10:10.080 show me the people who have been right more than 60 percent of the time on whatever topic it is

00:10:17.340 of course that would be better how about um if it's something that maybe is a new category or

00:10:24.700 something wouldn't you like to see the people who were the most well-informed why would i why would

00:10:32.440 i take the average of people who are poorly informed on the topic let's say the topic is crypto do i 0.96

00:10:41.280 really need to see you know my idiot well i won't say that but um do i want to see my plumber's opinion 0.91

00:10:49.160 on crypto mixed in with david sachs opinion no no i just want to say david sachs opinion i don't want 0.99

00:10:58.900 to see my plumber's opinion on crypto so i think there's a whole level where this prediction thing

00:11:06.440 can can go up a level uh they just have to give us a way to know who's been good at it in the past

00:11:13.840 well trump is teasing that he's already picked the replacement for jerome powell to be the head of

00:11:21.740 the fed we don't know who that will be but he's sort of hinting by being coy about it that uh

00:11:29.420 kevin hassett is likely to be picked that's that's not confirmed but that's what the smart people

00:11:35.820 think now kevin hassett is already in the administration i don't know his exact job but it's

00:11:42.400 something economic and um i'm pretty sure he would take the job i think he was asked

00:11:49.800 and he said the generic answer which is you know he would do what the president wants him to do which

00:11:55.580 is sort of a yes um but apparently the markets are poised to love it if he gets picked because he's a

00:12:05.340 lower lower lower those interest rates kind of a guy and markets love that so if kevin hassett does get

00:12:13.100 picked um there's likely to be a bump in the market now keep in mind i do not give financial advice

00:12:23.080 so there are lots of other variables so maybe he gets selected on one day but it's the same day

00:12:31.320 that some other thing falls apart so it doesn't mean the markets will definitely go up but uh

00:12:37.460 apparently they'll be at least friendly to him um and likely to go now in other news speaking of

00:12:44.940 david sachs new york times had a hit piece about him and uh he's he's pushing back on it pretty hard

00:12:52.720 and the the new york times tried to make the argument that he had some kind of uh conflict of interest

00:13:00.120 on ai or crypto and that his own investments somehow blah blah blah well apparently that does

00:13:07.120 not stand up to scrutiny and there's some some idea that the new york times is you know it's just a

00:13:16.040 hit piece basically meaning not too uh not too reliable now the funny thing is if you were to compare the

00:13:25.120 credibility of the credibility of the new york times to the credibility of david sachs which one's more

00:13:33.440 credible it's not really even close it's sachs if you were to look at his lifetime of you know

00:13:42.620 whatever he's had in public um compared to a lifetime of what the new york times was reported to be true

00:13:48.580 i'm pretty sure he would win if there were some way to actually compare those things

00:13:53.720 but i did notice that uh naval ravikant who i mention often um he posted about that about the

00:14:03.160 new york times hit piece he said there are lies damn lies and new york time headlines now naval who i 0.58

00:14:11.160 sometimes refer to as the smartest person in the world um but let's call him the wisest person we 0.89

00:14:18.560 know so he's famously non-political but this is a little bit political not really it's more about

00:14:28.160 one person but it you know he's he's got one little toe in that domain which is unusual he usually stays

00:14:36.100 completely away from the the political nonsense and you know deals with weightier you know life issues

00:14:44.140 etc but here's the thing this made me that made me think about this um do you remember when bill

00:14:52.120 clinton was running for office and he famously said that if you elect him you get a hillary for free

00:15:00.440 and before we knew before we knew hillary really was that seemed to me at the time uh like a good deal 0.80

00:15:10.700 i thought to myself wow really if if you get you know if you get bill clinton as president which at the

00:15:18.180 time i have to confess i i was supporting bill clinton and so i thought that was a good idea and then

00:15:26.060 when you see how uh capable hillary is i thought well that's actually a pretty good argument two for 1.00

00:15:34.300 one you know who hates that now it turns out hillary was not really the one you'd want to get for free 1.00

00:15:39.940 but we didn't know that at the time so it seemed like a good idea likewise when you when you vote for

00:15:48.500 trump you get me for free think about it would i be doing what i'm doing

00:15:55.880 if trump were not the president or earlier when he was running for president not really i mean i i

00:16:04.580 became if you can call me political i guess you could i only became political because trump

00:16:11.100 specifically was a persuader and you know that was my angle in and so you got me for free i literally

00:16:20.780 wouldn't be involved except that trump is the key player and so you get whatever value you think i

00:16:28.220 might add and reframing things or helping with messaging whatever it's free i'm not charging anybody

00:16:36.060 anything i mean obviously i monetize some of my feeds but in terms of politics nobody's paying me for

00:16:43.740 that i don't have any kind of job you get me for free and then i see that you know naval commenting

00:16:50.360 on sacks they know each other and it occurred to me that when you hire david sacks for your government

00:17:01.060 you get an entire network of all the smartest people in silicon valley naval just being let's say the

00:17:09.340 tip of the spear there of smart people you get all of that for free and nobody ever talks about that

00:17:16.320 because you know the sacks if he looked at his let's call it a rolodex even though that's an old term

00:17:23.260 he could call almost anybody and get a second opinion on anything he's just really well connected

00:17:32.200 but also has a great reputation um in the investment tech community and you get all of that for free

00:17:40.320 nobody ever talks about that isn't it isn't that funny because that's really worth a lot

00:17:45.760 that the fact that he you know he's one phone call away from an intense network of the smartest people

00:17:53.120 in the world um and he could contact me if he ever wanted to i i follow him on x i think he follows me

00:18:01.460 back so you get me for free too if if there was anything that i could ever add to what he's doing

00:18:08.220 i doubt it because it's not like i know much about crypto or ai compared to him anyway so don't forget

00:18:17.180 what you get for free um elon musk was doing a podcast recently where he had lots of uh quotable

00:18:25.740 moments um we'll talk about a few of them one of them was uh so elon has predicted that money won't

00:18:33.820 have any value in the future and instead it will be energy so energy will be the true currency and

00:18:41.600 because bitcoin can only be created with energy because the computer has to do a lot of crunching to

00:18:49.240 create create create a new bitcoin and the ones that we have were created by energy that uh bitcoin

00:18:56.540 is uh let's see what did he say he said uh long term i think money disappears as a concept

00:19:04.500 money disappears how would you like to be the richest person in the world elon musk and know that

00:19:13.800 almost certainly money will become worthless he's going to go from the richest person on the entire

00:19:21.340 planet to oh uh you want to you want a new car i want a new car we can both have a robot go build

00:19:29.220 this one i'm simplifying a little bit but uh but uh elon predicts a world where the ai and the robots

00:19:37.100 will make essentially everything you want close to free and it doesn't matter who you are it'll just

00:19:45.260 all be sort of free now that's a very optimistic prediction um but he takes it further and uh i like

00:19:55.300 having this to cling to i don't know if it's true but he predicts that uh quote uh i think the future

00:20:04.600 we probably won't have money energy and power generation will become the de facto currency

00:20:10.120 that part i agree with completely and i've said the same thing i believe that energy was is the new

00:20:17.320 money uh and maybe bitcoin is just the you know the stand-in for the energy but uh he did say um

00:20:26.240 that the only way out of debt in the future the only way literally the only way

00:20:34.040 there's not a second way to escape our debt burden you know our 38 trillion or whatever it will be by

00:20:42.940 the time we start turning it around the only way that that will get remediated is if the world of

00:20:50.020 robots and ai is so stimulative that it makes even our 38 trillion dollar debt seem small now i might not

00:21:00.440 be doing the best job of explaining it but did that make sense that essentially an entirely new economy

00:21:08.280 is about to emerge and it will very quickly just swamp in size the entire existing economy

00:21:18.360 so it might be 10 times it a hundred times it we don't really know it's uncharted territory but

00:21:26.500 uh that world according to elon musk the smartest person you know is the only way out otherwise we're

00:21:37.160 literally doomed we're doomed so uh let's hope that the robots and the ai make a lot of money now here's the

00:21:48.020 part i don't fully understand how could it be that money is worthless at the same time that we're making

00:21:59.180 so much extra money from robots and ai that it compensates for our debt or pays it down or minimizes

00:22:07.220 it i feel like there's something missing like it can't be true that that the ai and robots become this

00:22:16.260 substitute for money at the same time everybody can have everything

00:22:22.900 or could it be that all the people who hold the debt um wouldn't care if they never got paid back

00:22:29.860 because everybody can have everything for free so i haven't quite figured out how that all fits

00:22:36.740 together but i love hearing that there's at least one possibility that the smartest person you know

00:22:43.140 who isn't who isn't naval uh that the smartest person you know aside from naval thinks that there is a way

00:22:52.660 out not guaranteed uh i don't even know if he's going as far as to say it's most likely he didn't say

00:22:59.780 that but at least there's some possibility and that's more than i thought we had honestly

00:23:05.780 well speaking of that um according to zero hedge our tariff revenue has surged to a new high

00:23:16.340 so 31.4 billion in october so that's just from tariffs and uh what percentage of our

00:23:25.300 total uh tax revenue do you think that is well i asked uh ai chat gpt and apparently our the amount

00:23:36.260 that we collect in income tax per month a recent month october is a little over 400 billion

00:23:44.020 so now we're up to something like eight percent of our entire uh incoming revenue from taxes about eight

00:23:54.980 percent of it um is tariffs now that's eight percent we weren't getting before so it's you know it's on

00:24:04.020 top of the 400 million billion 400 billion and i have to admit i didn't think the tariffs would ever get

00:24:12.260 to eight percent and so trump is you know teasing that maybe he would get rid of income tax and have

00:24:20.420 only tariffs someday if if the tariff number kept going up i don't see how that's possible but if i'm

00:24:28.660 being honest i also didn't see that um tariffs would ever reach eight percent of our monthly tax revenue

00:24:36.980 um to me that's a lot eight percent that's pretty impressive so i'm gonna say all bets are off um we

00:24:45.860 don't know how big that could get i still don't see a path to get all the way to no income tax and

00:24:52.580 tariffs do everything but i'm not gonna i'm not gonna rule it out now so i'm moving i'm moving from

00:24:58.820 well there's no way that's gonna work to i don't know maybe maybe uh let's talk about mark kelly

00:25:08.420 senator kelly who as you know is part of what we're calling the seditious sex uh one of the

00:25:15.460 six democrats who did the video saying that the military should uh should not obey illegal orders

00:25:23.220 so he goes on meet the press yesterday and uh he was asked by the meet the press host if he would

00:25:31.060 refuse an order uh if he had been in the military and he had been asked to attack the venezuelan drug

00:25:37.620 boats would he consider that an illegal order that is a good question so if you're thinking that nbc is

00:25:46.980 going to give him a softballs well that wasn't a softball that that question was exactly the

00:25:54.260 question i wanted to be asked would you interpret this as an illegal order if you had been asked to

00:26:00.900 blow up one of these venezuelan narco boats well here's what kelly said rather than answer the question

00:26:10.100 he avoided the question huh he had just said that it's sort of common sense and any reasonable person

00:26:19.620 can certainly tell the difference between an illegal order in the military and a legal one

00:26:26.900 and then when he's asked to get a specific example is this legal or illegal he changed the subject and he

00:26:36.180 reinterpreted it by saying well the news story recently about hagseth alleges that there was a

00:26:45.140 secondary attack on one boat the first one i think that killed the survivors so he said well you know

00:26:53.700 we're really talking about you know that second order but he didn't really answer the question at all

00:26:59.860 now how can he have it both ways how can it be that a reasonable person can definitely look at a

00:27:08.820 real world situation and they would definitely know what is legal and what isn't so there'd be no real

00:27:14.740 ambiguity in the real world but he couldn't answer the very first question he had to avoid the question

00:27:23.140 because he couldn't answer it and you know what i don't know the answer to the question either

00:27:28.500 so even if you take the the story about hagseth uh to be true and by the way i don't think that is

00:27:36.180 at all uh confirmed that that's an allegation the whistleblower thing i don't know that that will ever be

00:27:43.220 confirmed that there was a there was a standing order of some kind that you had to kill all the people in the boat

00:27:50.260 i don't know i'm not assuming that that's a real i'm not assuming that the allegations will be proven

00:27:58.100 now but let's say they were just to take this this question to its logical conclusion what if

00:28:06.980 you were in the military you took out the boat and you said okay that part's legal because they're

00:28:14.260 they're uh they're uh terrorists and uh you know i've got the legal authority to do it but then

00:28:21.140 there are these two alleged two survivors and then suppose you had the question of do you take them

00:28:29.460 out too or do you try to rescue them because they they lived to which i say how does that work with

00:28:37.620 terrorists in general if you were in an airplane over land and you spotted some terrorists be they

00:28:46.820 al-qaeda or someone else and you knew that's what it was so you knew that it was al-qaeda

00:28:53.060 and they weren't in them they weren't in the act of doing a terrorist thing but they were definitely

00:28:59.540 preparing for it so let's say they were loading bombs onto a truck and you knew that they had bad

00:29:06.180 intentions for those bombs could you kill those terrorists from the air if all you knew is that

00:29:13.780 it's al-qaeda and they were preparing some bombs to which i say i don't know but i think it would be

00:29:24.260 legal so i asked chat gpt is it illegal for the military to kill a terrorist who is preparing a terror act

00:29:35.220 what do you think the ai said i asked chat gpt in this case not grok

00:29:39.460 grok had some issues this morning so i was using chat gpt what do you think in the comments you tell

00:29:46.340 me do you think that ai said oh it's totally legal to kill a terrorist if they're in the act of preparing

00:29:54.100 a terror act well here's what it said it said in general under international law and the laws of armed

00:30:02.660 conflict it is not necessarily illegal not necessarily illegal for a military to target

00:30:10.580 and kill a terrorist who is actively preparing an imminent terror attack and then it goes on and

00:30:18.740 explains it now we're we are soundly into gray area here right if i if we have declared that the 0.73

00:30:28.980 the terrorists i'm sorry if we have already declared the government that the narco boats are terrorists

00:30:38.420 because they're delivering a weapon of mass destruction to our shores that makes them terrorists

00:30:46.420 who are in the act right in the middle of the act of doing the terror thing which is delivering these

00:30:53.940 drugs to our shores so even though two of them you know survived the first attack if they were al-qaeda

00:31:02.980 and they were on land and they were loading bombs onto a truck you don't think we'd kill any survivors

00:31:10.660 if we had to if it took a second shot i think we would and that doesn't feel like that would be illegal to me

00:31:19.300 now i'm not in the military so i'll never have to make that decision but are you telling me

00:31:25.220 that the average person in the military or i'll say it a different way are you telling me that every

00:31:30.980 person in the military or you know almost every person would have the same opinion about what i just described

00:31:40.020 would they to me it seems obvious that people would have different opinions

00:31:45.060 so if it's obvious that people could have different opinions about are these terrorists in the act of a terror attack

00:31:53.620 or are they not uh i think mark kelly's argument just falls apart

00:32:01.140 because i if i can't answer the question are you telling me that just being in the military would have helped me

00:32:06.980 i doubt it do you do you think that they had a training class that covered that you know exact

00:32:14.740 situation i doubt it i doubt they had any training that was specific to that and i don't think that the

00:32:22.980 generic understanding of what's legal and the generic understanding of what a terrorist is i don't think

00:32:29.380 that gets you there i i think that's a genuine gray area so to kelly's argument that anybody in the

00:32:38.740 military would know the difference between a legal and an illegal act that doesn't even feel like it's

00:32:44.580 close to being true i feel like most of the things in the real world are messy and that there would be just

00:32:52.740 all kinds of gray area this is just an obvious one and it you know we didn't even have to look for

00:32:58.580 a weird example right i'm literally taking the example that's the headline in the news right now

00:33:06.660 if the headline that's in the news right now even that one we can't decide if that's a clear case of

00:33:13.860 illegality or not what's the next one going to be anyway terrible argument but it's getting more

00:33:21.140 interesting because apparently there is some existing law that i believe has not been used

00:33:28.340 maybe for i don't know decades or hundreds of years but there's some law that says that it it's a felony

00:33:35.940 with up to 10 years in prison for anyone quote with intent to interfere with impair or influence the

00:33:42.900 loyalty morale or loyalty morale or discipline of the u.s military or naval forces uh-oh it's literally

00:33:50.980 a felony for what the uh arguably you know court would have to decide i guess but it looks like a

00:33:58.980 felony that the six democrats even made that video because don't you think that they would have known

00:34:06.820 that that would have uh an impact on interfering or impairing or influencing the loyalty morale or

00:34:13.380 discipline i i feel like you could make the case i don't know that any you know jury would necessarily

00:34:21.380 convict people for free speech you know probably free speech would win i'm guessing but this is a real risk

00:34:30.100 if you were one of the one of the one of the people telling them the military that you know maybe

00:34:38.020 they're going to be getting illegal orders more than they've ever gotten before i don't know that looks

00:34:44.260 pretty pretty sketchy uh also another elon musk

00:34:52.980 ism coming from his recent podcast i would love to give credit to who was interviewing him because

00:34:59.940 they got a lot of good stuff but i did not see it in what i was looking at so i apologize if one of

00:35:07.220 you knows who this podcast was with put it in the comments so at least the other people can see it i

00:35:14.740 want to give him a shout out because he did a really good job getting some good stuff so elon musk

00:35:21.300 was talking about what doge and the doge experience taught him and he said it was a like a very interesting

00:35:27.940 side quest which is a funny way to put it he said uh fraudsters necessarily will come up with a very

00:35:34.740 sympathetic argument they're not going to say give us money for fraud uh he went on it's going to be

00:35:41.300 like save the baby pandas ngo which is like who doesn't want to save the baby pandas they're adorable

00:35:49.380 uh but then it turns out no pandas are being saved in this thing it's just corruption essentially

00:35:54.740 and then you're like uh well can you send us a picture of the panda and they're like no

00:36:04.580 and he goes okay well how do we know it's going to be pandas then

00:36:10.020 and that does pretty well capture my understanding of what our government and the ngos and where all our

00:36:18.340 money is going i did not know that before doge my entire understanding of the country the the debt the

00:36:29.780 government all of that changed radically when i learned what elon musk is describing is actually

00:36:38.340 the normal way we're operating if this had been a one-off like well there was that one time

00:36:46.260 the panda people pulled one over on us no it's not one time it's the only way it works it's a universal

00:36:54.980 effect it's not the exception it's the way everything works i didn't know that i mean that would be beyond

00:37:03.700 my most cynical skeptical view of how anything works i had no idea i did know

00:37:10.420 now to my small credit i did know that at the city level a hundred percent of things were corrupt

00:37:19.860 i've been saying that for a while um the city the people who are allocating money your tax money for

00:37:27.220 city services of course are corrupt you know maybe not day one maybe not the first person who ever gets the

00:37:34.980 job but over time you're going to attract the people who know you know if i were the mayor of this

00:37:42.660 smaller city uh i'll bet i could direct these contracts to my friends and i'll bet they would

00:37:49.620 find some way to repay me that was not easily trackable so over time our system largely guarantees

00:37:57.300 because we don't do any real audits in government it largely guarantees it's going to be corrupt

00:38:03.780 you just have to wait a little while you know the the only question is have you waited long enough

00:38:09.380 for the corrupt people to get in and never leave because why would you leave i mean once you get in

00:38:14.740 there if you could stay you're going to stay so doge completely changed my view of the world and that's a big deal

00:38:22.260 because i think the same happened with other people speaking of tim waltz governor of

00:38:29.620 minnesota so minnesota department of human services i guess there are 480 employees

00:38:37.460 who have signed on to the idea that the hundreds of millions of dollars that have been stolen

00:38:44.420 by mostly somali related gangs um who were pretending to have saved the panda and other

00:38:52.820 charitable things but really they were just completely corrupt and they sold they stole hundreds of

00:38:58.100 millions and uh you wonder how is that even possible how do you how do you how do you steal hundreds of

00:39:07.140 millions over a lengthy period of time and nobody catches you

00:39:14.180 nobody nobody there's no red flag well according to 480 people in the department of human services

00:39:22.020 in minnesota tim waltz was in fact informed on multiple occasions about all the red flags of corruption

00:39:31.140 and instead of looking into it and stopping the corruption what do you think he did take a guess

00:39:39.780 tim waltz who is a democrat not only a democrat but the one that kamala harris thought would be

00:39:47.860 good choice for her number two or vice president what do you think what do you think he did the

00:39:55.860 multiple times that credible people said hey it looks like they're stealing gigantic amounts of our money

00:40:03.220 maybe we should look into this what do you think he did well i wasn't there but according to the

00:40:10.580 department of human services 480 people he retaliated against the whistleblowers

00:40:17.060 the worst thing a human can do if you're in government is to punish the whistleblowers

00:40:25.620 now what they say they said uh he disempowered the office of legislative auditor oh so they at

00:40:32.820 least had some hand waving at an audit but he disempowered it so they wouldn't be effective

00:40:39.620 he allowed agencies to disregard their own audit findings oh okay well you can do the audit and you

00:40:46.100 can find problems but then we're going to ignore them and uh and then he retaliated against the

00:40:53.300 whistleblowers so that it seems like minnesota was a ukraine um zelensky level corruption we're not

00:41:08.660 talking about small dollars we're not talking about you know a governor guided a contract to his cousin

00:41:17.780 we're talking about enormous organized theft and i can't believe that waltz had no no benefit from that

00:41:30.980 like why would he try so hard to keep the criminals in in uh in power i don't know it also makes me

00:41:38.980 wonder if that's the reason he was chosen as vice president you know how we speculate

00:41:44.980 that uh the people who rise to the top of the democrat side we speculate that it's only because

00:41:53.140 they are criminals and that the other people who are also criminals want to make sure that they have

00:42:00.420 you know some kind of blackmail against them but really it's just a big criminal enterprise so the

00:42:07.380 people who are themselves criminal make sure that they only choose as their running mate in this case

00:42:13.700 another criminal so that if that criminal ever decided to turn them in they would themselves be turned

00:42:22.340 in so you've got this mutually assured destruction thing and i would have said honestly a few years ago

00:42:31.620 i would have said that's nonsense and that that just sounds like conspiracy thinking it's like come on

00:42:38.900 come on come on scott do you really think that kamala picked for her vice president

00:42:46.500 the most criminal person they could find because that's the person they could control

00:42:50.980 really scott do you think that actually happened in the real world

00:42:56.980 yes i don't have proof but come on i mean it's just starting to look so obvious

00:43:07.060 that the democrat party is just a large criminal organization that depends on having people in it who

00:43:14.660 aren't willing to talk to turn in the other people who are in it it doesn't look like that's

00:43:20.500 necessarily the case on the republican side but i wouldn't rule it out right there could be some pockets of

00:43:27.220 that on both sides so um trump was asked about uh tim walsh and he said uh that tim was quote to the

00:43:38.500 seriously retarded governor of minnesota that he does nothing either through fear and competence or 0.95

00:43:45.060 both uh trump wrote that in a true social so then chris and welker of uh meet the press 0.94

00:43:52.820 uh asked tim walsh about trump's statement that he was quote um seriously retarded 0.83

00:44:02.100 and walsh said we cannot allow this to be normalized you can't use that language well you can but you

00:44:08.500 shouldn't you shouldn't he said um well you know here i'm going to agree with tim walsh um i don't

00:44:16.900 think that trump should have called him seriously retarded because i don't think there's anything 0.99

00:44:22.020 serious about that guy but up okay you were gonna do it if i didn't um i don't love the use of that word

00:44:32.580 i i understand why people don't want it to be used it's you know there are too many people who have

00:44:39.220 genuine you know disabilities etc so it's not my first choice but i like free speech and i do enjoy

00:44:48.100 enjoy when trump entertains his base because it is pretty entertaining um while he's doing his job

00:44:56.900 you know trump is the only president who can have an entire floor show of entertainment and that's what

00:45:03.300 i would call this it's like a floor show of great entertainment just to watch how people react just to 0.75

00:45:09.860 watch how meet the press handled it just to make the dumbest democrats obsess on it just to make them think 0.97

00:45:17.780 of whatever is the least important thing that's happening in the world and and get them to treat 0.94

00:45:23.060 it like it's the most important that's funny and and the fact that the the base i'm pretty sure that

00:45:32.500 the republican base thinks it's just funny now a lot of people probably are where i am which is i

00:45:40.980 wouldn't use the word in public i mean not the way he used it i wouldn't do it but i don't care that

00:45:46.580 he did because you know trump is a unique character who oversteps the bounds of you know polite

00:45:56.340 conversation routinely once you get used to it it doesn't seem like the end of the world it just

00:46:04.660 feels like he's doing a bit and the bit is how angry can i make them how much time can i make them

00:46:12.020 spend talking about that and not about me you know not about it me policy wise so i kind of love that he

00:46:21.620 does it it's very funny um so cnn and brian stelter uh was not happy that the white house has a page on the

00:46:36.340 internet dedicated to all the internet dedicated to all the hoaxes that come out of the media and uh

00:46:43.620 so uh brian stelter was saying that uh the white house has launched a web page that targets reporters

00:46:50.900 well does it target reporters or does it report when reporters are hoaxing and you know fake

00:46:59.620 well i would i would argue it's the latter but uh then brian stelter says uh he thinks that trump

00:47:07.220 is doing it in other words that the page exists for the purpose of quote delegitimizing the media

00:47:15.860 to which i say uh yeah yeah that's exactly why they do it you didn't discover this

00:47:25.700 that's the whole point of it is to delegitimize the media but was the media legitimate before that

00:47:35.540 page went up or is the page a response to the fact that the media is not legitimate

00:47:42.660 well you know my opinion if the media had been legitimate then i would not be in favor of a page

00:47:50.580 that you know incorrectly said that they had lots of hoaxes but because the hoaxes that are listed

00:47:57.700 are genuinely hoaxes or at least you know fake news if they weren't genuine examples and if there were not

00:48:06.260 lots of them and if they were not spread across multiple you know media well then i'd say you know

00:48:13.780 that's going too far it's wasting my tax dollars you know why are you putting up this page of lies

00:48:20.900 but that's not what's happening the the the the hoax page that the white house put up

00:48:28.020 is because there are a whole bunch of hoaxes yeah he is delegitimizing the media is that bad

00:48:36.900 no delegitimizing hoaxers is exactly what we need so thank you for that

00:48:45.380 all right so uh amy klobuchar democrat um she was also on cnn and cnn asked her this question

00:48:56.180 does minnesota have a problem with gangs roaming the streets now that would be her state 0.99

00:49:01.940 so what do you think she said to the question does minnesota have a problem with gangs roaming the

00:49:10.260 street because apparently that is a problem but what would amy klobuchar say because if she says 1.00

00:49:19.220 yes gangs are roaming the streets that would suggest that maybe trump is doing the right thing

00:49:27.220 by sending the national guard so she can't really agree

00:49:30.980 was something that i think is just observably true and it would be the reason that cnn even asked the

00:49:40.500 question does minnesota have a problem with gangs roping that roaming the streets

00:49:45.300 so klobuchar's answer was quote every state has a problem with crime

00:49:52.580 uh really does every state have a problem with that kind of crime because that was a pretty specific

00:50:01.220 question the question that was not asked is does minnesota have crime nobody asked that of course

00:50:11.300 every state as crime they're talking specifically about gangs roaming the streets i don't know if

00:50:17.940 you've ever been to hawaii do you know you never see in maui gangs roaming the streets now does that mean 0.98

00:50:27.140 there's no crime well even in maui which is very safe there's a little bit of crime i've never seen any

00:50:34.180 but i'm sure it's there what about alaska what about rhode island is there a big problem in rhode

00:50:42.580 island with the gangs roaming the streets all right well so um klobuchar was not really finding a high

00:50:52.260 ground and she was not really reframing it like steve jobs did when his phone was had that uh problem

00:50:58.980 with the antenna uh you've heard me tell that story before she just changed the subject which is

00:51:07.380 pretty much all you need to know about that well there's uh more news from venezuela apparently

00:51:15.540 prior to trump closing the airspace above venezuela or declaring that it was closed

00:51:21.780 um he had a conversation which we didn't know about until now with maduro now a phone conversation

00:51:31.140 i guess and maduro was apparently asking for um some assurances that he would get some kind of a

00:51:39.700 that i think he and his family or maybe some of his top people would get pardons

00:51:44.820 um or i don't know what the right word is but basically not be held responsible for

00:51:49.620 the global amnesty he wanted global amnesty for all of his alleged crimes and i think for some other

00:51:57.860 people around him trump said nope apparently it was a hard no so nope no amnesty and trump told him

00:52:09.220 allegedly that his only option is to leave to just literally get out of it as well and abandon his

00:52:17.300 position or something very bad was about to happen and we don't have to spell it out but have you

00:52:24.740 noticed that a big part of our navy is sitting off of your coast did you know that we have a lot of

00:52:31.860 military assets that are within striking distance and trump has already said that the ground war against

00:52:39.300 venezuela is imminent so trump is apparently um doing the trumpian thing where he has the upper hand

00:52:51.140 and he's giving up nothing um he's basically saying would you like to be alive tomorrow

00:52:58.420 that's all you have to decide because there's one way you can do it you have to leave right away with no

00:53:06.580 assurances do you think if he left with no assurances maduro if do you think he left that we would leave

00:53:14.180 him alone because hey well he's gone now well i don't think he thinks that would happen and i don't

00:53:21.300 think so either i've got a feeling if he leaves the safety of venezuela um it's not going to make him more

00:53:29.460 safe i feel like he might be doomed in every scenario but he might be able to live a little bit longer

00:53:39.460 if he leaves venezuela so trump is giving him really no good choices or choices that would look good to

00:53:47.300 him i think i think maduro tried to negotiate that he would still have some control over the venezuelan

00:53:53.940 military well obviously that's a hard no no how about you have no control over the military and you just

00:54:02.340 leave so things uh things are coming to a head there and apparently after that conversation which

00:54:11.780 did not result in a an agreement for anything that's when trump decided to close the airspace

00:54:18.580 over venezuela with military means so maduro has probably had a really bad weekend because he's

00:54:27.780 deciding which way he wants to die or maybe be jailed for life but uh the one thing that's not going to

00:54:36.500 happen i believe that trump has removed from him any illusion he might have had that he can sort of

00:54:44.100 keep the status quo still be in charge he's either going to be taken out militarily that seems to be

00:54:50.660 the clear indication here or he can leave the country and be exposed to all manner of risks once he's

00:54:59.460 outside of his little bubble uh and those are his only choices so given that he only has those choices

00:55:07.300 and given that i'm sure trump in the military will keep squeezing so that he knows that this is not a

00:55:13.700 bluff and by the way this is not a bluff yeah you could you know the difference right and even we can

00:55:21.860 tell the difference of what would be a bluff and what is okay this is just going to happen this is in the

00:55:28.660 category of definitely not a bluff i'm pretty sure that maduro is not going to be there in a year

00:55:34.580 uh you know maybe a month from now you anything could happen but i think pretty soon pretty soon

00:55:44.020 so we'll keep an eye on that here's a uh here's a thing i've been wondering about with ai

00:55:51.300 so sam altman uh you all know him creator of founder of chat gpt open ai he so he argued in a blog post

00:56:02.500 that he wrote earlier this year that the intelligence of an ai model roughly equals the log of the resources

00:56:11.460 used to train and run it so in other words that you could you could predict how smart your ai would be

00:56:17.860 based on the inputs you know if he gave it more input it would be some reliable way to know how

00:56:25.060 much smarter it got from that input and uh and that there might be a predictable um equation there now

00:56:33.380 he's calling it the uh the log of the resources used to train and run it so that would be the the

00:56:41.380 equation essentially to to predict and then it was i saw an article that was sort of compared to moore's

00:56:49.060 law you all know moore's law with microchips uh the idea that the number of uh i don't know circuits on

00:56:56.660 a chip would double every x mount and that therefore the chips would get faster in a predictable way

00:57:04.820 across decades and then we observe that sure enough moore's law has held amazingly over decades now did you

00:57:16.500 ever wonder why moore's law works how in the world did gordon moore know that uh that technology would

00:57:26.580 increase at just this rate to get the doubling that he had predicted every x whatever how do you know

00:57:35.300 that and what makes that necessarily true and i still don't know the answer to that so i asked grok

00:57:45.060 you know what's the logic behind moore's law we do observe that it seems to have been predictable

00:57:52.020 you know it did seem to predict from many years ago it didn't predict where we would be now so it's

00:57:58.340 not nothing i mean it predicts and i've told you before that the closest you can get to understanding

00:58:05.060 reality is if your world view accurately predicts and this does so that's not nothing that's that's a lot

00:58:14.580 but why why does it work and grok said the logic behind it is that the number of transistors on

00:58:21.300 a microchip roughly doubles every two years while costs say the same or drop to which i say why why do

00:58:31.540 the number of transistors on a microchip roughly double every two years why what what is the law of

00:58:40.500 physics or any other law that makes that true and there's no real answer to that so here's what i think

00:58:51.300 i think it's marketing if you're in the microchip business and you wanted to make sure that you

00:58:58.660 could sell the the upgrade forever it's like well we got a great trip this year but wait what you see

00:59:04.980 what we have next year so buy it this year next year you're going to want to get that doubling or two

00:59:11.460 years from now you're going to want to get that doubling so you better buy the new one oh wait now we

00:59:17.060 have another doubling so i don't know this to be true but for a long time i've suspected

00:59:25.380 that we're being completely bamboozled by what is just marketing and that the marketing

00:59:31.700 pretends that moore's law is true and then the technology people designed to that truth so in other

00:59:39.620 words it's not necessarily true that moore's law holds but rather than have a an unpredictable bumpy

00:59:46.980 ride toward better chips if you treat it like it's super predictable then everybody can make their plans

00:59:54.420 and say okay well i need this one now but in two years i know i'll have to upgrade i think it's just

01:00:00.820 marketing am i wrong because it's weird that if you even look for why why the law applies there's not

01:00:11.300 really an answer to it they just sort of observe that it does i think it's marketing all right but

01:00:20.180 if i'm wrong about that i would find that interesting so let me know if if you have a better idea what's

01:00:25.460 going on and it makes me wonder if the ai has the same situation that uh maybe we're you know we want

01:00:34.820 to make it look like it's predictable but maybe it's not well over in israel netanyahu is officially

01:00:42.180 asked for a presidential pardon for what are his alleged uh corruptions so he and his wife netanyahu and

01:00:51.860 his wife are being accused of accepting more than 260 000 worth of luxury goods including cigars jewelry

01:01:02.260 and champagne from billionaires in exchange for political favors and maybe uh some favorable coverage

01:01:09.540 from israeli media outlets uh which is sort of separate now let me give you my take on that

01:01:18.900 i don't know if this is true i mean netanyahu would say it's um political lawfare and it's you know

01:01:27.300 not based on anything real but how much do you think netanyahu could earn if he were out of office and

01:01:36.420 giving speeches what what do you think would be the market value of one speech by netanyahu if he were out

01:01:45.140 of office tomorrow i think it would be over a hundred thousand dollars wouldn't it so when you say that

01:01:53.860 over some amount of time he allegedly accepted 260 000 worth of luxury goods including things like cigars

01:02:03.300 and champagne does that mean that some billionaire invited him to his house and they had expensive cigars

01:02:12.020 and champagne and then maybe the billionaire asked him for a favor when they were done

01:02:18.580 is is that what he's being accused of because that's not much of a crime i mean i'm not even sure

01:02:24.340 it is a crime can you not enjoy expensive cigars and expensive alcohol with somebody who's a billionaire

01:02:33.860 who might also want something but isn't that true of everybody everybody who talks to a politician wants

01:02:41.380 something so it's a pretty small crime if the two say to see is first of all you know goods like champagne

01:02:50.820 i mean how much is you know what are we talking about it is netanyahu gonna sell out israel for a

01:02:57.940 really good bottle of alcohol i don't think so is netanyahu gonna sell out israel because he got good

01:03:04.580 cigars like how good are these cigars so let me be clear i'm not i'm not defending netanyahu and i don't

01:03:16.100 know what he did or didn't do but i'm just commenting that his income potential just as being who he is

01:03:24.020 is is way bigger than this so even if he had done exactly what they said how much influence would this

01:03:32.260 have on his decisions given that he could make way more money than that with a few speeches

01:03:38.100 i don't know it does feel like his small ball um and we'll see if he gets the pardon i would bet against

01:03:45.620 it um but it doesn't seem like the biggest problem in the world even if he did exactly what they said

01:03:52.340 all right um also in israel according to afp they killed 40 hamas fighters in gaza who were in tunnels

01:04:05.940 don't you wonder how many how many terrorists are left in those tunnels it doesn't doesn't seem to you

01:04:12.900 that it's going to be sort of that uh japanese world war ii thing where there's going to be somebody in

01:04:19.380 a tunnel that stays there for 20 years i don't know how that would eat but uh they're still in tunnels

01:04:27.140 now so 40 of them got killed um apparently their assumption that there's still some number of people

01:04:35.460 still in tunnels while the israeli army controls the surface below the surface there might be this whole

01:04:43.140 civilization of not that many at this point but maybe dozens of people who are just figuring out

01:04:49.780 how to get out of the tunnel without dying and then israel apparently is now deployed for the first time

01:04:57.940 their iron beam laser defense system for shooting down missiles and and drones and i guess that's just

01:05:06.500 going into operation now and it makes me wonder if they had that up and running um during the the

01:05:14.260 worst of the attacks how much a difference would it make and how much of a difference is it going to be

01:05:23.220 when uh any country that's attacked with drones and missiles has has a laser defense system because

01:05:31.060 if it works everybody's gonna have one right at least all our allies will have one um i feel like that

01:05:37.300 could change everything because right now the anybody who could send a deadly drone into enemy territory

01:05:45.060 would have an advantage because they could send lots of drones until you know you overwhelm the defenses

01:05:51.460 but if you had a really good laser beam defense system um it would look like babylon 5 what were the

01:06:00.500 the shadow was that the name of the aliens that had these laser beams out of their ships

01:06:09.140 if you've never seen uh if you've never seen babylon 5 you don't know what i'm talking about

01:06:15.700 but it seems to me that one good laser defense system could take out an awful lot of drones and missiles

01:06:25.220 over time maybe version 1.0 is not you know not the be-all end-all but assuming you know some rate of progress of improving the laser beams

01:06:37.620 uh maybe the advantage will go back to the ground and maybe the drones won't have as much advantage but then the drones will get better so we'll see

01:06:46.820 um i saw a post by uh mike serovich today he said that uh focusing on islam hides the real problems he said

01:06:56.420 ngos who steal our money to bring in low iq people who can't function in the u.s and he says about iq that's 0.99

01:07:04.740 what you're not supposed to notice iq and civilization um i've i've made a similar point um over time

01:07:15.860 which is if we can't treat iq like it really matters how could we really survive because

01:07:24.260 iq is probably among the top variables that you should consider with not just immigration but hiring

01:07:32.900 almost anything uh iq should be like right at the top of things that will predictably make a difference

01:07:41.860 and it feels to me that even though trump is provocative when he talks about tim waltz being

01:07:48.420 retarded i feel like we may be entering a point where you can talk about iq without being called a racist

01:07:58.660 because you know that's what's going to happen right so we might be on the verge of something good

01:08:05.860 if we just can talk about it can you just let us talk about it without getting cancelled you don't

01:08:12.660 have to agree with us us being you know whoever would have the same opinion as me and in this case

01:08:18.740 mike cernovich but you don't have to agree with us but can we even talk about it because it seems pretty

01:08:25.620 darn important to me that uh the the smarter the people you bring in the better your country is

01:08:31.380 going to be so maybe we're seeing a little bit of movement in that direction um

01:08:40.820 let me just skip that story oh also elon musk um was asked in the podcast i was talking about earlier

01:08:48.340 about simulation theory and he went on and explained his view that uh statistically speaking we're more

01:08:56.180 likely a simulation than not and of course a lot of people don't agree with that and you probably know

01:09:04.100 that uh i believe that we're a simulation and uh i like being on the same side as elon musk

01:09:11.140 um because it's sort of a philosophy slash logic slash iq question um and here's what i realize

01:09:23.540 you can't really have a debate about simulation with someone who is religious 0.71

01:09:31.540 not because they're wrong and i have to say this really carefully i'm not religious

01:09:37.620 so when i look at it i'm just looking at how do i calculate the odds of this versus the odds of that

01:09:45.300 but i'm i'm unencumbered by a religious starting place but and i also remind you that i'm very pro

01:09:54.900 religion i just don't happen to be a believer i think that the people who are believers have a clear

01:10:00.980 advantage in life it's a it's a lifestyle you know hack i think it makes you and your family more

01:10:09.140 successful so i'm very pro christianity very pro i just you know can't get there with my own belief

01:10:16.980 system so my my take is that if you argue the simulation the idea that we're literally programmed

01:10:26.420 by some other entity that you can't have that conversation really with a believer because

01:10:34.020 the believer has to start with a conclusion and then and then reason backwards because nothing's going

01:10:41.380 to talk you out of believing in your god like that's not going to happen because somebody said well what

01:10:46.820 about the simulation you're not going to abandon your religion so if you're already starting with the

01:10:52.180 end point there is a god god made us there's no nowhere to go on that and that's okay all right

01:11:01.060 if that sounds like a criticism it's the opposite if you're starting with the assumption that there's a

01:11:08.980 you know god of the christian bible i think you've picked a really good lifestyle i think you have an

01:11:15.860 advantage in life and i'm all for you embracing that for the rest of your life teaching your kids

01:11:23.540 spreading the word all for it but let's not pretend that you're starting from zero and and you're

01:11:32.260 trying to logic your way into the simulation or logic your way out of christianity it's not it's not

01:11:39.060 the right domain you know if you didn't get there by logic and i don't think most people get there by

01:11:45.380 logic you can't be talked out of it with logic you've heard that before right you can't talk

01:11:51.860 somebody out of something that they talk themselves into i want to say irrationally that sounds like an

01:12:00.500 insult and that's not what's intended i mean belief and faith are their own domain you know logic and facts

01:12:10.100 very important but separate domain they can often work together it doesn't mean that you're

01:12:16.660 you know if you have a religious belief it doesn't matter it doesn't mean that you're somehow you know

01:12:21.860 unable to do reason of course you can you you can fit them together very well but having a debate

01:12:30.100 with somebody who's starting with the answer i've never seen that work

01:12:34.180 and again i want to be as complimentary to religious people as i can because i think you have a clear

01:12:42.500 advantage in life and i'm all for it um and i also noted and this got people pretty worked up uh that when

01:12:54.660 people debate the simulation theory with me their arguments sound to me like word salad now if you

01:13:04.660 don't know me and you haven't followed me for a while that would sound like i said i know the answer and

01:13:11.940 you don't that's not what i'm saying i'm saying that to my ears it sounds like word salad but there are

01:13:19.540 two possibilities as somebody pointed out in the comments one possibility is that i have the right

01:13:25.220 answer and the people who have the wrong answer are you know confused and so it sounds like word salad

01:13:31.380 but the other possibility that's exactly equally possible is that the problem's on my end will you

01:13:39.300 will you give me that will you give me that i'm completely aware that the reason it might sound like word

01:13:46.340 salad is because my brain isn't quite you know processing things correctly because that would

01:13:53.940 that would feel the same to me so when i say it sounds like word salad don't take that to mean i'm

01:14:01.300 writing you wrong because that i don't know i don't know who's right i just know what it sounds like

01:14:07.140 and i would also say that a lot of people argue the consciousness argument and they say but scott

01:14:14.660 you can't get a digital being to have a consciousness and yet humans have a consciousness so therefore you

01:14:22.820 lose the argument because if if these digital beings don't have a consciousness well they're obviously not

01:14:29.220 what we are because we've got a consciousness to which i say that depends how you define consciousness

01:14:37.380 if i get to define it the way i think is a good definition of consciousness you could definitely give

01:14:42.980 that to a digital being if you have a different definition of what consciousness is it's entirely

01:14:51.140 possible that nobody could program whatever your version is so sometimes you think you're arguing

01:14:58.580 from you know a common understanding but i think that consciousness we never really agree what that is

01:15:06.180 so i can't really have a debate with you about whether a digital being has consciousness if you don't

01:15:13.620 think consciousness means the same thing that i do so you kind of can't get there from here

01:15:20.180 um debating the simulation hypothesis and then i saw somebody else attack my description of it as a

01:15:28.340 hypothesis they said scott you know first of all it's not a hypothesis technically all right but is that

01:15:36.500 really an argument it is what it is if i call it a hypothesis or not so um i i think we will forever

01:15:47.060 be in uh you know on different sides of whether a simulation hypothesis is credible or not and i don't

01:15:56.820 mind that we don't have to agree on everything all the time all right ladies and gentlemen that is all i

01:16:01.940 wanted to say for today uh kind of a fun day in the news we'll keep an eye on the stock market and see

01:16:09.220 what happens today but i'm gonna say a few words privately to uh my beloved subscribers on locals

01:16:19.300 who i don't spend enough time with but the rest of you i will see you tomorrow i hope you got something

01:16:24.020 out of this and uh have a wonderful monday all right locals i'm going to be with you in

01:16:39.220 um

01:17:09.220 Thank you.

01:17:39.220 Thank you.

01:18:09.220 Thank you.

01:18:39.220 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 01, 2025

Episode 3033 CWSA 12⧸01⧸25

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