Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 3052 CWSA 12⧸24⧸25

00:00:00.000 Morning. Happy Christmas Eve. Jump on in here. I'm doing a lozenge.

00:00:13.360 Mmm, you all look happy. At least in the comments.

00:00:20.460 Oh, I love you too.

00:00:22.860 Mm-hmm. Great to see you, everybody.

00:00:33.780 All right, we're going to get ready for your comments.

00:00:38.220 Now, you know what the best thing to do today is?

00:00:40.780 The best thing to do today is to be wrapping your presents while you're listening to this

00:00:55.260 live stream. So I'm having kind of a serious asthma problem this morning, so I can't promise

00:01:06.020 how long I'll be able to go. But if I have to bail out early, I'm going to turn the sound

00:01:14.360 off so I can cough without bothering you, and we're just going to hang out. And then maybe

00:01:20.180 I'll come back in, maybe I won't. But today's where we're hanging out, okay? So you can just

00:01:26.060 put me on a device, and I'll just be in your living room or wherever the hell you are, and

00:01:33.340 I may or may not be able to talk. But we'll hang out. We'll do the best we can, okay?

00:01:45.980 We got comments working.

00:01:50.760 We'll definitely do the simultaneous sip.

00:01:53.120 Because I know that's why you're here.

00:02:03.680 Just going to fix this a little bit.

00:02:07.340 A little better angle.

00:02:10.940 There we go.

00:02:13.540 Well, what do you think you need for that?

00:02:16.000 A cup or a mug or a glass or a tank or a chalice or a canteen jug or a flask or a vessel of

00:02:22.740 a kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:02:26.380 I like coffee.

00:02:28.520 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine here the day that makes everything

00:02:32.360 better. It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:02:34.720 It happens now.

00:02:36.200 Oh, you know, I can feel the simultaneity on that.

00:02:49.180 Hey, why is that still on?

00:02:56.020 All right, people.

00:02:59.000 If you're just joining, I've got a little respiratory problem this morning.

00:03:02.160 So we'll do as much as we can.

00:03:05.520 But it might be a short show.

00:03:08.300 And if it is, I won't turn it off.

00:03:10.780 I'll just hang with you, okay?

00:03:14.100 Because I might need to use my steamer on my lungs.

00:03:20.520 All right.

00:03:20.980 So yesterday, I mentioned a bunch of sources that influenced my show.

00:03:28.420 And I said, I feel like I'm forgetting somebody.

00:03:34.340 And I just wanted to update that with one of my other trusted favorite sources is The Federalist.

00:03:41.920 So anything by Molly Hemingway, anything by Sean Davis, that's good stuff.

00:03:49.220 So I'm also influenced by that.

00:03:51.120 I think it's fun for you to know, if you think I'm influential, that I definitely take influence

00:03:59.880 from, you know, other sources.

00:04:03.280 So the, you know, the better they are, the more influential.

00:04:07.260 And The Federalist is right at the top of the list.

00:04:11.480 All right.

00:04:12.420 So this is old news, but there's a funny update.

00:04:16.400 So you probably heard over the summer that Joe Biden got a $10 million book deal.

00:04:24.360 Well, today, somebody was doing some engagement farming and asked what the title of that should be.

00:04:32.220 And what do you think?

00:04:34.880 What should be the title of Joe Biden's upcoming book?

00:04:38.560 I would go with either, you know, the thing or a question.

00:04:46.180 I wrote a book.

00:04:48.040 I wrote a book.

00:04:51.120 Or Hunter who?

00:04:55.240 Do you have any ideas?

00:04:57.640 Put them in the comments.

00:05:00.340 What should Joe Biden's book title be?

00:05:03.920 Or should it be, what was that thing he said about?

00:05:07.180 Pony soldiers?

00:05:09.560 Something about pony soldiers.

00:05:12.300 Oh, well, it won't be AutoPen, but.

00:05:18.120 President AutoPen.

00:05:23.700 Where am I?

00:05:25.940 How about where am I?

00:05:29.640 All right, that's enough of that.

00:05:32.940 So yesterday I had an interesting experience.

00:05:36.320 I don't know if any of you have experienced this yet, but have you ever talked to somebody immediately after their first experience with the Tesla self-driving?

00:05:48.600 There's sort of an analogy to that.

00:05:52.340 I told you a few years ago, the first time I got on an e-bike, I couldn't get the smile off my face.

00:06:00.940 Because the difference between an e-bike and a regular bike is just, I mean, one of them just thrills you, and the other is just a bicycle.

00:06:09.840 But I'll bet you there's something just like that for people who just got done doing their very first ride in a self-driving car.

00:06:21.520 So I saw it yesterday, a few people who had just had their first ride, just got out of the car, and they'd done some self-driving, you know, just locally.

00:06:31.980 Apparently, they can't get the smiles off their faces.

00:06:36.960 Apparently, the first time you do it is just such an experience that, you know, it's like, it's not like anything else, apparently.

00:06:46.580 So watch for that.

00:06:48.200 Watch for people getting their first full self-driving.

00:06:53.080 When I say full self-driving, I mean, they still have to pay attention, but they don't have to participate.

00:06:57.700 All right.

00:06:59.840 All right.

00:07:01.520 Well, the NVIDIA director of robotics says that the Tesla self-driving is like an AI that passes the physical Turing test.

00:07:14.520 Now, the Turing test was passed a long time ago, the standard way.

00:07:19.900 But this would be a physical Turing test, meaning that it acts like it's sentient.

00:07:27.700 Even though it's not.

00:07:30.220 And Elon Musk responded that the best real-world AI is their Tesla AI.

00:07:36.280 But he said, you can sense the sentience.

00:07:39.820 Now, I still have not been in a self-driving car.

00:07:43.840 So I don't know if that comment hits or not.

00:07:46.480 But have any of you done the self-driving Tesla?

00:07:51.740 And can you confirm that when you're doing it, you can feel the sentience or, you know, almost intelligence, I don't want to say consciousness, of the car?

00:08:04.540 Is that true?

00:08:05.140 So, you can sense the sentience or not?

00:08:15.120 Oh, no.

00:08:16.380 Oh, we got a lot of yeses.

00:08:18.740 You can sense it.

00:08:19.840 All right.

00:08:31.360 Good.

00:08:33.600 So, speaking of Tesla.

00:08:36.380 So, you know, Tesla is building the CyberCab, which would be a dedicated vehicle just for self-driving, like a cab, basically.

00:08:45.780 But the most shocking thing is that he's improved the production process so much that he thinks they'll be able to produce one of these CyberCabs every five seconds in one assembly line.

00:09:03.360 Every five seconds.

00:09:06.360 So, obviously, it's a highly automated assembly line.

00:09:10.240 But he says you won't be able to get near the assembly line because it'll be moving so fast.

00:09:17.580 Now, imagine a world where people like me, you know, I don't think I'll necessarily ever be able to get into an AutoCab or CyberCab.

00:09:30.140 But wouldn't it be cool to just sit in what would be like a little living room, basically just a tiny living room, and it just takes you where you want to go?

00:09:40.240 So, that is amazing.

00:09:42.980 That's basically this year, you know, end of this year.

00:09:47.780 Boarding for flight 246 to Toronto is delayed 50 minutes.

00:09:51.040 Ugh, what?

00:09:52.400 Sounds like Ojo time.

00:09:54.080 Play Ojo?

00:09:54.860 Great idea.

00:09:55.820 Feel the fun with all the latest slots in live casino games and with no wagering requirements.

00:09:59.940 What you win is yours to keep.

00:10:01.420 Groovy.

00:10:01.920 Hey, I won!

00:10:04.560 Feel the fun.

00:10:05.740 Play Ojo.

00:10:07.020 Boarding will begin when passenger Fisher is done celebrating.

00:10:10.240 19 plus Ontario only.

00:10:11.440 Please play responsibly.

00:10:12.320 Concerned by your gambling or that of someone close to you?

00:10:14.060 Call 1-866-531-2600 or visit comicsontario.ca.

00:10:19.000 All right, let's do what I like to do.

00:10:21.980 We're going to test your BS filters.

00:10:26.820 So, here's some science.

00:10:28.480 You tell me if the science is BS or not.

00:10:30.500 According to the University of Texas at Austin, people who help other people, you know, they volunteer or help other people, a few hours a week, it may slow the brain aging of the people who are doing the helping.

00:10:46.360 Do you believe that study?

00:10:50.700 That the people who help other people will add to their longevity?

00:10:56.160 Well, maybe.

00:11:00.720 I think that's entirely possible.

00:11:02.980 But how do you rule out the more obvious possibility?

00:11:07.000 Correct me if I'm wrong, but are not healthy people doing more of everything?

00:11:15.640 So, if you had, you know, great health and great vitality and great energy, wouldn't you do literally more of everything compared to people who are not healthy?

00:11:27.000 So, I can see why healthy people would volunteer more than just be able to do it.

00:11:34.540 So, I'm going to say it might be true, but it certainly would work the other way.

00:11:41.840 All right, here's one.

00:11:43.780 Eric Dolan on SciPost.

00:11:46.480 So, there's some research now that shows that people prefer lower quality news on social media.

00:11:55.140 Does that sound like real science?

00:11:58.780 People prefer lower quality news.

00:12:03.840 Do you believe that?

00:12:09.080 To which I say, maybe.

00:12:12.880 But you know what the biggest question is?

00:12:16.100 Who gets to decide what is low quality news?

00:12:19.620 Low quality news according to who?

00:12:25.140 If it's up to me, do I get to pick which one is low quality?

00:12:32.740 So, that one's BS.

00:12:36.300 All right.

00:12:36.560 I saw Sertovich had a post on X today that I very much agree with.

00:12:41.640 He said, all I want for Christmas is for everyone to know is free to set up a custodial account for your children.

00:12:50.180 That would be like an account where you could trade stocks and have investments.

00:12:56.060 But you would be in charge of it on behalf of your miners.

00:13:00.460 And buy into the stock market.

00:13:05.180 We were talking dollars, not millions.

00:13:07.760 Blah, blah, blah.

00:13:08.900 Now, I've been seeing a lot of that online.

00:13:16.220 Adam Tevinson's been talking about it, for example.

00:13:19.240 I talk about it a little bit.

00:13:20.720 But the big benefit here is not just that it creates wealth for the children 18 years later, which would be enough.

00:13:30.600 I mean, if that were the only benefit, it would be worth it.

00:13:33.700 But it teaches the kids the importance of money.

00:13:37.100 But it also gives them sort of a framework for how you manage it and would make them less, let's say, less intimidated by the financial world.

00:13:49.720 Because it turns out that just having an account on Charles Schwab and buying and selling some stocks, you could pretty much teach someone everything they needed to know in one hour.

00:14:02.740 And then, you know, reinforce it by activity.

00:14:07.400 So, I've heard black Americans complain, rightfully so, that if they don't grow up in a family where somebody can teach them how to manage money, how are you going to work it out on your own? 1.00

00:14:24.500 I mean, are you just going to work that out on your own?

00:14:27.500 It's not really something anybody can do.

00:14:29.680 But, if your parents gave you just a little bit of exposure to managing money, such as having a custodial account, you would be less intimidated.

00:14:43.100 And even those things you didn't know how to do, it wouldn't scare you to go figure out how to do them.

00:14:50.240 Does that make sense?

00:14:51.740 So, I've always been a stock investor since my 20s.

00:14:56.560 And I don't believe I would have been, except that my father talked about it all the time.

00:15:04.060 He was a very small investor, but we talked about it.

00:15:08.520 And so, I always thought, well, if my father can do it, it can't be that hard.

00:15:15.400 It can't be that hard if my father could do it.

00:15:17.760 Because, honestly, he was not really a high-capability person.

00:15:24.760 Now, later in life, I realized that he couldn't do it.

00:15:30.320 Because he used a stockbroker.

00:15:33.740 And the stockbroker was just absolutely ripping him off.

00:15:38.180 Now, I didn't know that when I was a kid.

00:15:39.840 It was only later, after I was an economics major, and I'd learned how the world works.

00:15:46.780 Only then did I learn that he should have been putting his money in index funds.

00:15:52.000 And I'm not talking about the managed index funds.

00:15:55.800 Well, no, they're not managed if they're indexed.

00:15:58.440 So, I'm not talking about a stock fund.

00:16:01.240 I'm talking about an index fund, where it's just a bag of stocks.

00:16:05.040 Thanks.

00:16:07.740 Stop eating.

00:16:09.560 Unfortunately, I can't get rid of this lozenge, because I'd have to stop the live stream.

00:16:16.840 But I'm almost done with it.

00:16:19.600 I completely understand if the chewing is completely bothersome.

00:16:25.340 And I would recommend that you turn off the sound for maybe one to two minutes.

00:16:32.020 And then I'll be done with it.

00:16:33.140 But your comment is well taken.

00:16:38.440 Sorry.

00:16:39.440 I'm just crunching the last of it.

00:16:43.020 All right.

00:16:44.940 Well, apparently, the UK Met Office, Britain's Met Office, has recently discovered that a whole bunch of their temperature thermometer sites were fake news.

00:17:00.700 So, here's what they found out about their temperature sites that are all over the UK, that are the basis for climate change decisions, right?

00:17:11.460 Or at least some of them.

00:17:12.340 So, investigators discovered that over 80% of the temperature monitoring sites are classified as junk, with measurement uncertainties of 2 degrees Celsius to 5 degrees Celsius.

00:17:30.180 In other words, some of them don't exist, and they're just making up the numbers, others are in these, what they call heat islands, too close to concrete stuff.

00:17:43.000 And their entire temperature measurement situation was completely fraudulent.

00:17:54.800 Does that surprise you?

00:17:56.080 How many times have I told you, if you believe that humans can measure the temperature of the Earth, you must be very young or very inexperienced in the world?

00:18:11.320 If you've lived in a Dilbert world, sort of the, you know, the Dilbert filter on everything, you should not be surprised that humans cannot measure the temperature of the Earth, no matter how hard they try.

00:18:27.600 It's just something we will never be able to do.

00:18:30.380 I mean, it's ridiculous.

00:18:31.180 But we've been told for years, oh, yeah, we can totally measure that temperature.

00:18:39.880 I will even go further and say, as I've said a number of times, this hasn't caught on at all.

00:18:46.880 There's something I say a lot on social media that I wondered if it would ever catch on, but not a single person is agreeing with me yet.

00:18:55.520 It goes like this.

00:18:57.600 All data that's important is fake.

00:19:01.180 You don't agree with that, right?

00:19:04.840 Because you think, well, I mean, that's a little bit of hyperbole, isn't it?

00:19:10.020 All data, really, all data that matters is fake.

00:19:15.520 Yep.

00:19:17.240 Now, I would limit that to, let's say, the political economic realm.

00:19:23.820 It's not true that engineering data is all fake.

00:19:27.400 So if you're measuring, let's say, you know, the reliability of a car or something, that's not necessarily fake, because maybe that's something that one company is doing for itself, has no incentive, and has a real good way to measure it.

00:19:43.980 But everything in the political or economic domain, and that would be climate change for sure, you can guarantee without doing any research that the data is bad.

00:19:58.800 Guarantee it.

00:19:59.580 And the reason is, it always is.

00:20:02.640 You don't even need to know anything about the domain.

00:20:06.480 In every case, data is unreliable if it matters.

00:20:14.400 Medical data.

00:20:15.320 I heard recently an anecdote of someone who was a top brain surgeon.

00:20:20.820 I forget where it was this.

00:20:23.120 I give credit to whoever said this, but it's something I heard recently.

00:20:28.940 So someone who was a top brain surgeon was asked how accurate the medical information is.

00:20:36.220 And he thought that less than half of what is taught in the medical arts is fake, or just wrong, half.

00:20:46.380 So even if some of it is true, I guess that would be the other half.

00:20:52.700 How do you know which is the half that's right?

00:20:55.660 You know, unless you're this expert brain guy.

00:20:58.400 So the medical world may not be as bad, depending on how they're measuring it, but probably half of it is fake.

00:21:12.760 And then in the other direction, the University of Graz is saying that the climate models overestimate nitrogen availability.

00:21:23.440 So by this measurement, they would overestimate the CO2 levels or something.

00:21:33.500 And, you know, even though that's the opposite direction from maybe what the temperature problems are,

00:21:39.680 it just shows you that for years people have been telling me these climate models are real.

00:21:46.640 They couldn't possibly be.

00:21:48.860 They couldn't possibly be.

00:21:50.460 Because they're wrong in both directions.

00:21:53.440 All right, here's a new statistic from the rabbit hole on X.

00:21:59.460 79% of refugees have vacationed in the country they fled from.

00:22:05.420 So if you were doing a count of the number of refugees that came into your country,

00:22:13.980 the ones that came there to save themselves from torture or whatever, imprisonment,

00:22:21.600 you would have found out that 79% of them were fake.

00:22:26.220 Probably more, but only 79% of them went back to their dangerous country on vacation.

00:22:32.820 So do you think that there's a reasonable number of the number of immigrants who are escaping their country for safety?

00:22:41.300 No.

00:22:42.300 No.

00:22:42.420 Any number in that domain would be fake.

00:22:45.620 All right, here's one.

00:22:49.360 I guess Doge allegedly cut 9% on federal workers.

00:22:56.220 New York Post is reporting that.

00:22:57.960 And then also there's some positive reports that Doge massively improved the Social Security Administration's effectiveness.

00:23:11.160 So they got 65% more business done through telephones and et cetera, and 68 million callers served.

00:23:21.320 And at the same time, the number of claims were driven way down by 35%.

00:23:26.600 So if these numbers were real, it would suggest that Doge was just massively successful so far.

00:23:36.840 Yeah, imagine claims, Social Security claims being driven down by 35%.

00:23:41.720 Does that mean that they would have been fraudulent?

00:23:45.900 Or were those valid claims that just didn't get processed?

00:23:50.620 I don't know.

00:23:51.320 So, but then on top of that, there's reports that Doge saved $214 billion in taxpayer savings so far.

00:24:05.000 If you read the counterpoints, I think it was Peter Baker or somebody I saw, he was debunking that number and saying,

00:24:15.020 that's not a real number.

00:24:16.320 Here's the reasons why.

00:24:17.400 There was chaos, but there really wasn't savings, blah, blah, blah.

00:24:22.040 So, here's the big question.

00:24:24.880 I just told you that all numbers and all data that matters is fake.

00:24:31.440 Why would you believe the Doge numbers if you don't believe any other numbers?

00:24:36.340 Now, I trust the Doge people, and I trust Musk to have the right intention about telling the truth.

00:24:48.760 But do you believe this is the one thing that's accurate?

00:24:54.420 Because that would be surprising, wouldn't it?

00:24:56.800 Because the numbers do matter, and there is apparently more than one way to count everything.

00:25:02.900 So, I would say it's probably moving in the right direction.

00:25:10.260 So, in terms of directional change, probably in the right direction.

00:25:15.840 But it might be an exaggeration how much has been saved so far.

00:25:21.280 Now, one of the things we would be able to count reasonably well would be the number of federal employees.

00:25:29.700 So, if the number of federal employees went down by 9%, probably believable.

00:25:36.620 But far less believable would be the dollar amounts.

00:25:40.640 But like I said, it's all moving in the right direction, I think.

00:25:43.500 All right.

00:25:46.300 So, every single day I wake up, and I see news stories about California or Minnesota, usually,

00:25:54.860 doing some additional form of massive fraud.

00:25:59.780 Makes you wonder, you know, how many of the blue states had the same problem.

00:26:03.340 But apparently, California spent $24 billion to tackle homelessness, but they didn't have any system in place to track how they were doing.

00:26:15.320 So, they know they spent the money, but they don't know if it made any difference, because they didn't track it.

00:26:22.880 Come on.

00:26:24.760 You could give somebody $24 billion and then not accurately track whether it worked?

00:26:30.820 Oh, man.

00:26:33.160 CBS is reporting on this.

00:26:35.080 Apparently, California has 171 people homeless.

00:26:40.020 And that's 30% of all the homeless people in the entire U.S.

00:26:44.320 Now, that kind of makes sense.

00:26:47.120 If you live in California, you know that your odds of surviving outdoors are much better than most places.

00:26:55.180 You know, there are places that are warmer, and they would be too warm.

00:26:59.020 You know, like Arizona, for example.

00:27:00.820 But the place you would most likely survive on the sidewalk would be California.

00:27:07.740 And then you add on top of that all the friendly policies toward the homeless.

00:27:13.220 Of course, we have 30%.

00:27:15.280 It's amazing that we don't have 100%.

00:27:19.080 Actually, probably the only reason we don't have 100% of the homeless is that they can't get here.

00:27:24.380 You know, they don't have to travel here.

00:27:27.920 But why would anybody go anywhere else?

00:27:31.740 So that looks like a problem that's not going to get solved at any time.

00:27:35.920 So I guess the state auditor of California, according to Kevin Kiley, he's a congressman from California,

00:27:45.740 they issued this scathing report.

00:27:48.900 And they identified eight separate state agencies just in California as, quote, high risk,

00:27:54.460 high risk, which means they exhibit a serious waste, fraud, and abuse or mismanagement costing taxpayers billions.

00:28:01.580 So have you ever heard the word auditor as much as you have in the last 30 days?

00:28:11.240 How many of you remember that I started hitting that word like crazy?

00:28:17.400 Audit, audit, audit, audit.

00:28:19.560 But audits are boring.

00:28:22.000 So it doesn't really catch on with the public so much.

00:28:27.000 But I kept hammering on it.

00:28:28.280 Audit, audit, audit.

00:28:29.140 And now, I don't know if I had any influence in causing anything.

00:28:35.120 But you will note that the number of times you hear the word audit and the number of times you hear somebody suggest auditing,

00:28:44.220 I think Chamath from the All In Pod did a post on this just yesterday or so.

00:28:50.800 And he mentioned the needs for audits.

00:28:53.060 And most of the stories are now audit-related if they have to do with money.

00:28:57.480 So that is a step in the right direction.

00:28:59.980 But I'll tell you what.

00:29:01.920 Maybe you know the answer to this question.

00:29:03.720 So a couple of days ago, I saw a video that I don't know if it's AI or not.

00:29:11.560 And that's what's funny about it.

00:29:13.640 So it was a video of someone asking Governor Newsom about his waste of federal money, I guess.

00:29:23.360 And Newsom starts talking and gesticulating as he does.

00:29:27.940 And it was so word salad, but yet the sentences might have made sense.

00:29:35.400 But it was insanely incomprehensible.

00:29:40.620 Did anybody see that?

00:29:42.140 Was that an AI?

00:29:43.800 Or was that actually him being presumably stoned out of his mind on something,

00:29:49.900 trying to answer a question and just sort of word-selling his way through it for like a minute and a half?

00:29:57.380 And it didn't end.

00:30:00.300 Like he starts with the, well, this and that, and it just kept going and going and going and going.

00:30:07.240 So I'm curious.

00:30:09.160 Did any of you see that?

00:30:11.520 You would know exactly what I'm talking about if you saw it.

00:30:14.880 And was that real?

00:30:15.700 Well, because it looked like it should have been AI.

00:30:24.140 Well, I'm more interested in the AI technology than I am in his answer.

00:30:29.560 Is it so good that I was wondering if it's AI and I couldn't tell?

00:30:35.920 All right, that would be an open question.

00:30:39.440 Well, you might know this Steve Hilton.

00:30:41.800 You remember him from Fox News.

00:30:43.880 He had a show on Fox.

00:30:47.320 He's running for governor of California.

00:30:50.620 And he notes that California has paid double the national average for electricity.

00:30:56.160 And that it's all based on bad policies and climate crisis stuff.

00:31:01.000 And if he becomes governor, he will cut in half your electric bill in California.

00:31:07.840 Now, that's a pretty strong, pretty strong pitch.

00:31:13.880 Because it has an actual number, 50%.

00:31:18.080 And he gives an actual way that he can do it, which sounds quite doable.

00:31:25.240 You know, just cut out the things that California has been doing wrong, which everybody can identify.

00:31:31.000 So, I saw a poll where he was actually leading.

00:31:36.480 Do you believe that a Republican could be leading in the polls to become governor of California?

00:31:44.360 I would have said no until this year.

00:31:47.760 And I think that the way Hilton is doing it is the way to do it.

00:31:53.840 Because the big thing that Democrats are going to ask for is affordability.

00:32:00.220 So, it's one thing to say, oh, vote for me.

00:32:04.960 I'll give you some affordability.

00:32:07.080 It's another thing to tell them exactly how much you're going to save, you know, half of your electric bill.

00:32:14.340 And tell you exactly how he's going to do it.

00:32:17.280 And you look at it and you go, yeah, that would work.

00:32:20.060 That would work.

00:32:20.740 So, the more ways that Steve Hilton can find to do that, this is what I'll save you, this is how I'm going to do it, he might actually become governor.

00:32:33.240 So, he's smart enough.

00:32:35.500 It's just whether the machine will crush him or not.

00:32:41.340 So, are we still talking about that Barry Weiss CBS 60 Minutes piece about Seacott that got squashed?

00:32:50.740 Or is that too boring?

00:32:54.180 I saw that Hillary Clinton weighed in on it. 0.98

00:32:56.740 And then Bukele, the head of El Salvador, said, sure, we'll send back your prisoners if you take all of them.

00:33:05.840 Which is a pretty strong fly.

00:33:07.520 You have to take all of them.

00:33:08.940 If you're not happy, if you're not happy with our prison, take all of them.

00:33:13.000 Now, it still seems to me that the way to approach that prison would be to say, we want to use your prison.

00:33:22.000 Every prison has some abuses.

00:33:24.620 We need to, you know, we need to be a little more careful that we're being a little less abusive.

00:33:30.720 You know, at least, at least wave your hands at the fact that you understand there's something going on there.

00:33:37.840 You don't have to fix it.

00:33:40.100 Because I think every prison is basically a torture place, even in America.

00:33:45.260 But you should definitely wave your hands at, hey, maybe we should be doing something about this.

00:33:50.920 So, yesterday, you may have noticed that Elon Musk warned us that he was feeling especially based.

00:34:01.220 And then he started, you know, posting all day.

00:34:04.380 And you tell me, is this based?

00:34:07.500 I guess the Atlantic said something bad that he didn't like, which is no surprise.

00:34:11.760 And Elon Musk posted, the Atlantic is a fake publication kept alive only by Lorene Jobs, using her dead husband and money for something he would despise.

00:34:25.040 Do you think that's true?

00:34:27.680 Do you think that Steve Jobs would have despised what his widow was doing with the, basically being very political and very biased in the Atlantic?

00:34:40.000 Like, I think that's true.

00:34:43.500 But then he goes further.

00:34:44.780 Elon goes further.

00:34:45.760 He goes, once again, reinforcing the point that balls deep, woke white women are the doom of Western civilization. 1.00

00:34:55.740 Boy, you can tell he's not married.

00:34:58.960 I don't think any married man could say that, well, you know, if he were married to a white woman.

00:35:05.380 I don't think any married man to a white woman could say that white women are the doom of Western civilization. 0.91

00:35:14.060 Is that something you've heard me say?

00:35:18.120 How many of you would agree that white women are the doom of Western civilization?

00:35:26.300 I think it's true, because if they didn't have a vote, I'm not suggesting that you take away their vote.

00:35:35.560 I'm just, you know, working through the logic.

00:35:39.480 We wouldn't have open borders.

00:35:41.700 You know, there's just a whole bunch of things that wouldn't have happened at all.

00:35:45.040 So we're dying from this sort of forced empathy that's coming largely from one group of people who can't tell how to protect themselves, basically.

00:35:59.000 Yeah.

00:36:00.920 Yeah, liberal white women. 1.00

00:36:03.420 Yes, you are correct.

00:36:04.580 Well, Minnesota, doubling down, they've got new requirements for this year, that the K-12 classrooms have mandatory ethnic studies.

00:36:22.020 Now, what do you think Minnesota's mandatory ethnic studies is going to be teaching their children?

00:36:30.700 Mandatory ethnic studies.

00:36:32.380 It's an anti-white course that is now required.

00:36:40.580 Now, they don't sell it as anti-white, but what else is it?

00:36:45.200 So here are the things, according to Wall Street Apes.

00:36:48.200 Students will learn transgender affirmation.

00:36:52.740 So that's not necessarily about the white part.

00:36:56.200 How to dismantle cisgender privilege.

00:36:59.620 There it is.

00:37:00.200 Children are going to be taught how to dismantle cisgender privilege.

00:37:06.180 That's basically discriminating against white people as much as possible. 0.69

00:37:11.480 They're going to learn Black Lives Matter principles.

00:37:15.200 Years after it's been shown that Black Lives Matter was a fake organization and a scam.

00:37:20.880 They're going to learn distrust of the nuclear family.

00:37:26.460 Okay, that would destroy the world.

00:37:29.080 And they're going to watch a video about George Floyd Square produced by some leftist group.

00:37:34.560 So, I'll tell you, you need to get out of Minnesota if you're there.

00:37:43.880 Get out of Minnesota.

00:37:44.900 But the federal government is trying to fix things in these rogue states.

00:37:52.240 So, the SBA is going to hold back money from Minnesota because they claim that Tim Walsh will just waste their money and there's not enough controls.

00:38:05.420 So, it's not a big amount of money.

00:38:08.520 It's $5.5 million that's being held back.

00:38:12.440 But I love the approach, which is we're not going to give you a penny because you just waste it.

00:38:20.260 I've never seen that before, but it's so supportable in terms of the facts that Minnesota is just stealing our tax money that, yeah, I agree with this.

00:38:34.660 I would definitely not trust Minnesota to manage any of my money.

00:38:38.440 And even funnier, apparently Republicans are going to consider a new legislation called the Walsh Act, so that would be named after the Governor Walsh, the Walsh Act to prevent Minnesota-scale fraud from ever happening again.

00:38:57.340 So, the anti-fraud bill is going to be named after a sitting governor because he's been the steward of so much fraud that they're going to name it after him while he's still governor of a state.

00:39:12.020 Now, that's kind of funny.

00:39:14.520 That's kind of funny.

00:39:16.460 So, Brandon Gill was talking about this.

00:39:18.560 He's pretty funny, too, Republican.

00:39:20.540 So, he says, quote, $9 billion in tax money was limited.

00:39:25.620 Congress has a role to ensure our programs aren't abused by left-wing governors like Walsh. 0.99

00:39:32.820 So, he says that Minnesota had basically created what he calls a patronage system of taking our hard-earned tax dollars,

00:39:44.380 giving it to his political allies, essentially by turning a blind eye to the fraud,

00:39:53.780 and that he knew exactly what was going on the whole time.

00:39:57.920 What do you think?

00:39:59.460 Do you think that Tim Walsh was incompetent and had no idea how much fraud there was in his own state?

00:40:06.700 Or do you believe that he was deeply involved in promoting the lawlessness

00:40:14.280 because some of that money came back to him and his allies?

00:40:18.260 What do you think?

00:40:20.520 I'm a little bit mixed on this.

00:40:23.200 I think it might be some part pure incompetence, because he does seem incompetent, honestly.

00:40:29.460 He just gives off his incompetent vibe like crazy.

00:40:32.400 But it also seems he must have turned a blind eye to a lot of it.

00:40:38.120 Because it's hard to imagine he wasn't aware of it because of the scale.

00:40:43.460 So, I'm going to say blind eye, definitely.

00:40:47.240 But on top of that, if he had wanted to stop it, he probably didn't have the skill.

00:40:53.220 I don't think he had any capability.

00:40:54.840 On top of that, I guess Trump was directed at the Justice Department to investigate Act the Blue.

00:41:04.400 Do you know what Act the Blue is?

00:41:06.360 So, Act the Blue is an organization that services Democrats.

00:41:10.900 And what they try to do is get lots of small donations from people

00:41:15.680 that would add up to something big for elections.

00:41:20.060 But, they're accused of only pretending that the donations are small,

00:41:28.020 but actually raising big money from dark sources,

00:41:32.300 and then just pretending that it came from individuals.

00:41:35.580 They've also been accused of using people's names without their approval,

00:41:42.700 so that they could put a name to all the small donations that were not real.

00:41:46.380 Now, I don't know how much of that is real,

00:41:51.980 but I suspect that Act the Blue is essentially a criminal organization.

00:41:58.040 I don't know that, but the hints are that it looks like it's just a criminal organization.

00:42:05.320 So, now, let me ask you this.

00:42:09.340 Is it going too far if I said that the Democrats are a criminal organization,

00:42:18.260 the entire entity?

00:42:19.920 Now, I don't mean every voter.

00:42:22.460 You know, voters probably are just, you know, going blah, blah, blah,

00:42:27.100 everybody's bad, Democrats have some problems,

00:42:31.220 Republicans have some problems, but I prefer the Democrats.

00:42:34.000 So, most voters, I think, are blissfully unaware of just how much crime is happening.

00:42:42.320 But, if you look at it collectively, you're just some of the things.

00:42:48.100 So, you've got thousands, if not millions, of NGOs,

00:42:53.600 and we know now that the NGOs are essentially money laundering operations.

00:42:57.980 So, those would be mostly Democrat criminal organizations,

00:43:04.500 or at least, you know, they'd be involved in something that would be,

00:43:08.520 I think you would call it money laundering.

00:43:11.140 We know that these SNAP funds were massively stolen,

00:43:16.980 and that that was primarily by Democrats.

00:43:20.480 We might find out that Act the Blue is a criminal organization.

00:43:25.300 I think we will.

00:43:25.980 Some people say that our elections were rigged primarily by Democrats.

00:43:33.200 That would be crime.

00:43:35.240 You could argue how proven that is or not,

00:43:37.960 but in my opinion, I think the rigging of elections is just a fact.

00:43:43.320 And I think it leans heavily toward the Democrats.

00:43:48.920 Not that no Republicans ever cheated,

00:43:51.680 but probably there's a pretty big difference in scale.

00:43:55.980 Then there's everything in California.

00:43:58.960 Basically, it seems like every dime that California gets, it just disappears.

00:44:05.120 You know, the fire recovery money didn't go to the people who were recovering.

00:44:09.600 The bullet train never happened.

00:44:13.400 The money for the homeless didn't help anybody.

00:44:16.680 So pretty much everything in California is even worse than Minnesota, and it's all criminal.

00:44:23.740 To me, it looks criminal.

00:44:25.020 And then you've got this whole operation where the Democrats find ways to fund teachers who are all Democrats,

00:44:33.720 and then they donate to Democrat people.

00:44:36.500 So you've got some kind of circular money laundering thing.

00:44:41.740 Then you've got the main Democrats who pulled the Russia collusion hoax.

00:44:45.800 You've got the Clinton, what was that big Clinton initiative that was probably just a money laundering thing.

00:44:55.900 So pretty much every major story that involves gigantic fraud seems to be Democrats.

00:45:04.480 Now, just to be clear, I'm not giving Republicans a pass.

00:45:12.280 Maybe they're just better at it, right?

00:45:16.340 You know, it's hard to believe that all the crime is just on one side of the political aisle.

00:45:21.240 That would be weird, right?

00:45:22.300 But we don't really, yeah, the Clinton Foundation, thank you.

00:45:29.100 But am I wrong?

00:45:31.100 Am I in a bubble?

00:45:33.300 Am I in some kind of a bubble where I'm only seeing the Democrat bad behavior?

00:45:39.960 You know, I hear lots of accusations about Trump personally,

00:45:43.700 but that stuff tends to be all transparent and public.

00:45:48.460 You know, he's not hiding it.

00:45:49.640 You know, it's in the news.

00:45:52.060 You can tell he did this with crypto.

00:45:54.900 You could tell he did this with whatever.

00:45:58.820 So you could disagree or not like what Trump does,

00:46:02.820 but that's still not Republicans.

00:46:06.060 That would be something you don't like about Trump.

00:46:09.280 So am I wrong that this is so, so imbalanced toward Democrats

00:46:15.540 that if you said the Democrats are, at least as a party,

00:46:19.920 not the individual voters,

00:46:21.840 but it seems like a criminal organization.

00:46:24.700 And I mean that without any hyperbole.

00:46:28.420 All right.

00:46:28.740 Well, that's what I think.

00:46:29.540 Well, Breitbart is reporting and lots of other people reporting

00:46:34.420 that the GDP grew at a robust 4.3%

00:46:39.940 when even the smartest people thought it would be 3.3.

00:46:44.520 And if you went back a few months,

00:46:46.520 the smartest people were saying we could have a recession

00:46:49.700 because of all these damn tariffs.

00:46:51.900 So it turns out that all the smartest economists were wrong

00:46:58.760 and the people who were right were Trump and Besant

00:47:03.700 and anybody who agreed with them.

00:47:07.860 Do you believe that?

00:47:09.900 Now, if this is true,

00:47:11.900 that the people who got it right were the few,

00:47:17.300 but that the main economic experts all get it wrong,

00:47:22.020 just thousands and thousands of economists,

00:47:25.120 completely wrong.

00:47:27.040 What does that tell you about the science of economics?

00:47:32.120 Now, I'm an economics major

00:47:34.400 and it seems to me

00:47:37.380 that economics is mostly guessing.

00:47:43.780 You know, you can learn how things fit together

00:47:45.860 if you learn economics.

00:47:47.300 But if you think you can use that to predict,

00:47:50.640 you really can't.

00:47:52.680 And I would argue that the inability to predict,

00:47:57.580 you know,

00:47:57.940 it's kind of a big knock on your profession, right?

00:48:02.460 If you were a scientist

00:48:03.700 and you couldn't predict what was going to happen

00:48:06.540 with your scientific theory,

00:48:08.300 you would think, well, that's no good.

00:48:11.000 But economists could just make up shit all day long.

00:48:14.620 They can be completely wrong

00:48:16.160 and then just come back tomorrow

00:48:18.420 and make up some more shit. 0.62

00:48:20.480 Economics is barely a respectable profession.

00:48:24.340 Just barely.

00:48:25.400 Maybe not at all.

00:48:26.440 But getting back to my prior thought,

00:48:31.460 do you think this number is real?

00:48:34.280 Because I already told you

00:48:35.680 that all data that matters is fake.

00:48:39.460 Well, this matters.

00:48:41.000 This will be important data.

00:48:42.780 Would I change my opinion

00:48:44.360 that this is the rare, accurate data?

00:48:48.120 What do you think?

00:48:50.820 I'm going to stick with my earlier statements.

00:48:56.380 I do not believe, yet, yet,

00:48:59.720 I could be convinced,

00:49:02.000 but I do not believe this is a stable,

00:49:04.960 predictive number.

00:49:07.040 It could be a blip

00:49:08.260 because if all the economists were wrong up till now,

00:49:12.040 what are the odds

00:49:13.760 that they could calculate the GDP accurately

00:49:16.840 if they didn't get anything else right?

00:49:21.520 So do you believe they got everything wrong,

00:49:24.260 but, boy, they're good at calculating that GDP?

00:49:27.240 If you put the Dilbert filter on it,

00:49:32.680 I would say there's a healthy chance

00:49:35.480 that this will be revised

00:49:38.260 or, you know, won't be a consistent number

00:49:41.000 or we'll find out

00:49:42.240 that there was some special case about it

00:49:44.880 that gave it a little bump.

00:49:47.140 So do not be too enthusiastic,

00:49:51.580 but I got to say,

00:49:53.620 if it's even directionally true

00:49:56.120 and it might be,

00:49:58.260 that would be pretty impressive.

00:50:00.420 And it would certainly put

00:50:01.280 Trump and Besant looking good

00:50:04.600 just before the end of the year.

00:50:07.340 But how about Canada?

00:50:09.440 If Canada also got a big bump,

00:50:11.760 maybe that would tell us something.

00:50:13.760 Well, according to Statistics Canada,

00:50:17.200 their GDP for October

00:50:18.680 showed their economy shrank

00:50:21.180 by three-tenths of one percent.

00:50:23.640 It's the biggest decline

00:50:25.520 in almost three years.

00:50:27.260 Their manufacturing base

00:50:28.480 decreased by 1.5 percent.

00:50:32.480 Blah, blah, blah.

00:50:33.940 So how do you think Trump feels

00:50:37.160 that he's got this amazing GDP,

00:50:39.780 which we hope is real,

00:50:41.740 at the same time

00:50:42.800 that Canada is decreasing its GDP?

00:50:44.940 I'll tell you,

00:50:48.180 you can't win much harder than that.

00:50:52.100 But he's not winning everything

00:50:55.560 because the Supreme Court

00:50:57.080 has ruled that Trump cannot use

00:51:00.120 the National Guard

00:51:01.180 in Illinois to reduce crime.

00:51:04.420 And I guess the Supreme Court said

00:51:07.280 the government has failed

00:51:08.920 to identify a source of authority

00:51:10.880 that would allow the military

00:51:12.780 to execute the laws in Illinois.

00:51:16.180 That was what one of the high court

00:51:17.940 majority people wrote.

00:51:20.680 So I don't know

00:51:21.800 if that's the biggest problem

00:51:22.800 in the world.

00:51:25.880 And there may be more to it.

00:51:27.480 There might be, I don't know.

00:51:28.860 There may be another angle

00:51:30.260 that the feds can use.

00:51:31.980 We'll see.

00:51:33.380 But not the biggest story

00:51:34.820 in the world.

00:51:37.720 So Trump is once again

00:51:39.840 being Trump.

00:51:41.300 And instead of saying

00:51:42.420 Merry Christmas

00:51:43.160 and settling into

00:51:44.960 the Christmas week

00:51:46.080 on Truth Social,

00:51:48.160 he ran a poll

00:51:49.020 to see who was the worst

00:51:50.720 late night host.

00:51:53.460 Because that's important.

00:51:55.220 So instead of Merry Christmas,

00:51:57.000 it's a poll

00:51:58.260 and who's the worst

00:51:59.180 late night host.

00:52:00.180 And so he's got

00:52:02.540 listed to Colbert,

00:52:04.300 Jimmy Kimmel,

00:52:05.040 or Jimmy Fallon.

00:52:07.140 And then furthermore,

00:52:08.460 he said that Stephen Colbert

00:52:09.860 was, quote,

00:52:11.000 a dead man walking.

00:52:12.780 And he urged CBS

00:52:13.760 to put late night host to sleep.

00:52:17.180 That is so Trump.

00:52:19.700 The beauty of it

00:52:21.600 is that what makes this

00:52:23.220 extra provocative

00:52:24.380 is that he's doing

00:52:25.440 a Christmas week.

00:52:27.140 So it's sort of a slow week.

00:52:28.780 So he's got all these

00:52:30.420 successes,

00:52:31.880 like the GDP.

00:52:34.500 And then he uses

00:52:35.500 that time to slam

00:52:37.060 on his opponents.

00:52:41.000 So at the same time,

00:52:43.140 Polymarket,

00:52:44.360 that's the online

00:52:45.260 place where people

00:52:47.040 bet on stuff.

00:52:48.460 Polymarket,

00:52:49.140 it says the number

00:52:49.900 one suspect

00:52:50.620 in the Epstein files

00:52:52.780 is Stephen Colbert.

00:52:55.660 And they estimate

00:52:57.020 there's a 97% chance

00:52:58.880 that Colbert

00:53:00.040 is in the Epstein files.

00:53:01.960 Now,

00:53:02.480 I don't think

00:53:03.320 that's true.

00:53:04.640 I do not think

00:53:05.600 he's in the Epstein files.

00:53:07.040 But it's funny

00:53:07.980 to watch that

00:53:08.720 be distorted.

00:53:12.560 So I'm not sure

00:53:13.900 I would use

00:53:14.680 Polymarket

00:53:16.140 to make my predictions

00:53:17.460 if it's anything

00:53:18.220 political.

00:53:22.920 All right.

00:53:24.280 But it's funny.

00:53:26.860 So speaking of funny,

00:53:28.980 apparently

00:53:29.420 the latest dump

00:53:31.080 of the Epstein files

00:53:33.100 with lots of redactions,

00:53:35.320 the way they redacted it

00:53:36.960 was with Adobe Acrobat,

00:53:39.080 which is a

00:53:40.240 two-step process.

00:53:42.900 So first,

00:53:43.640 you black out the line

00:53:45.480 using Adobe Acrobat.

00:53:47.460 And then you run

00:53:48.400 some of the process

00:53:49.260 to make sure

00:53:49.980 that it flattens the file

00:53:52.560 and that the thing

00:53:54.000 that's covering up

00:53:54.760 the sentence

00:53:55.360 really covers it up.

00:53:57.740 But

00:53:58.220 it looks like

00:53:59.540 somebody forgot

00:54:00.360 to do that second part,

00:54:02.540 at least with some

00:54:03.320 of the files,

00:54:04.260 so people could just

00:54:05.440 take it

00:54:05.860 and reverse the redactions.

00:54:08.320 So people have been

00:54:09.380 reversing the redactions.

00:54:11.180 They just take them off.

00:54:13.040 But

00:54:13.360 here's the big story.

00:54:15.320 They didn't find anything.

00:54:17.840 Apparently,

00:54:18.560 there wasn't anything provocative.

00:54:21.040 Maybe there was something

00:54:22.000 that the victims didn't like.

00:54:23.920 But they didn't find

00:54:25.040 any smoking guns

00:54:26.220 when they removed

00:54:27.180 the removal

00:54:29.740 of the content.

00:54:32.240 So

00:54:32.840 a lot of people

00:54:34.140 were chattering online

00:54:35.520 saying,

00:54:36.540 ha,

00:54:37.800 somebody in the FBI

00:54:40.860 or Department of Justice,

00:54:42.460 whoever was in charge

00:54:43.740 of redacting

00:54:44.440 wanted us

00:54:45.940 to know the truth.

00:54:47.720 And so they pretended

00:54:48.820 to redact

00:54:49.800 knowing that

00:54:51.040 it would be discovered

00:54:52.220 that the redactions

00:54:53.760 could be reversed.

00:54:55.980 What do you think?

00:54:57.460 Do you think

00:54:58.260 that somebody

00:54:58.880 cleverly

00:55:00.140 and intentionally

00:55:01.100 made the redactions

00:55:03.240 reversible?

00:55:04.880 Or do you think

00:55:05.820 it was purely

00:55:06.560 a

00:55:07.060 didn't do it right

00:55:09.040 and didn't notice?

00:55:11.600 Well,

00:55:13.120 you know,

00:55:13.400 we're tempted

00:55:14.080 to believe

00:55:14.520 in conspiracy theories,

00:55:15.820 so I know

00:55:16.380 a lot of you

00:55:16.840 think it was intentional.

00:55:18.440 I'm going to put

00:55:19.020 the Dilbert filter,

00:55:20.740 as I like to call it,

00:55:22.440 on this situation.

00:55:24.020 And the Dilbert filter

00:55:25.260 says,

00:55:26.780 far more likely

00:55:27.860 it was a mistake.

00:55:30.280 Far more likely

00:55:31.420 it was a mistake.

00:55:32.260 It's not,

00:55:33.440 it's not like

00:55:34.680 impossible

00:55:35.700 that somebody

00:55:37.180 did it intentionally,

00:55:38.580 but I'd say

00:55:39.460 it's

00:55:39.820 10 to 1,

00:55:42.280 20 to 1

00:55:43.140 more likely

00:55:44.860 that

00:55:45.260 it was just

00:55:46.620 a mistake.

00:55:47.720 It feels

00:55:48.540 intentional.

00:55:49.880 You might,

00:55:50.340 you might be right

00:55:51.060 about that,

00:55:52.300 that it feels

00:55:53.040 intentional

00:55:53.680 because it's kind

00:55:55.080 of wacky

00:55:55.560 that it happened

00:55:56.060 at all.

00:55:57.100 But,

00:55:57.640 I don't know.

00:55:58.780 In the real world,

00:56:00.760 what is more likely?

00:56:03.260 Incompetence,

00:56:04.580 right?

00:56:06.640 Incompetence

00:56:07.160 or really clever play

00:56:09.100 that would cost

00:56:10.260 them their job.

00:56:11.820 Because whoever

00:56:12.500 did the redactions

00:56:13.460 is in a lot

00:56:14.280 of trouble today.

00:56:15.840 And if,

00:56:16.360 unless they were

00:56:16.900 planning to quit,

00:56:19.100 it's not really

00:56:19.800 something you would do

00:56:20.580 to your own career

00:56:21.440 on Christmas.

00:56:23.340 So,

00:56:23.940 I can't imagine

00:56:24.600 anybody doing it

00:56:25.320 intentionally

00:56:25.740 because

00:56:26.220 there would be

00:56:27.040 a 100% chance

00:56:28.060 you would get

00:56:28.520 in a lot of trouble.

00:56:31.180 Keep an eye

00:56:32.020 in that one.

00:56:33.940 So,

00:56:34.280 Alan Dershowitz says,

00:56:35.940 no surprise here,

00:56:37.500 that the latest

00:56:38.420 drop from the Epstein

00:56:39.840 stuff has a bunch

00:56:40.660 of fake files.

00:56:42.260 Fake documents,

00:56:43.320 false accusations.

00:56:45.340 There was one

00:56:46.260 that sounded

00:56:47.500 really bad

00:56:48.260 about Trump

00:56:48.980 that turned out

00:56:50.360 to be a total forgery.

00:56:52.220 I'm not even

00:56:53.120 going to mention

00:56:53.760 what the fake was

00:56:55.840 because you just

00:56:57.840 don't want to hear it.

00:56:58.660 but it is

00:56:59.840 known to be fake

00:57:00.860 and a lot

00:57:01.640 of the other stuff

00:57:02.280 is now

00:57:02.740 known to be fake.

00:57:05.800 So,

00:57:06.680 Dershowitz is

00:57:07.600 warning us

00:57:08.140 about that.

00:57:11.460 So,

00:57:12.140 Schumer,

00:57:13.500 you know Schumer,

00:57:15.000 right?

00:57:17.460 He goes on

00:57:18.680 some,

00:57:20.000 I guess,

00:57:21.160 some interview

00:57:21.660 and he said

00:57:22.940 the law

00:57:23.740 was written

00:57:24.240 very clearly

00:57:25.100 and it did

00:57:25.800 not allow

00:57:26.320 all these

00:57:26.740 redactions,

00:57:27.960 this blacking 1.00

00:57:28.620 out of everything.

00:57:29.800 It did not say

00:57:30.580 you couldn't

00:57:31.000 dribble them

00:57:31.580 out over a

00:57:32.200 period of months.

00:57:33.340 These guys

00:57:33.880 are,

00:57:34.540 quote,

00:57:34.940 full of shit. 0.54

00:57:36.460 They should

00:57:36.840 simply release

00:57:37.680 it all now.

00:57:39.440 Now,

00:57:39.860 I refer to Schumer

00:57:40.700 as the randomly

00:57:41.520 cursing lizard guy.

00:57:43.780 He reminds me

00:57:44.500 of a lizard,

00:57:46.120 but when he

00:57:47.380 randomly curses,

00:57:48.560 it reminds us

00:57:49.240 that they don't

00:57:49.760 know how to curse.

00:57:51.360 Why did he

00:57:52.180 need to curse

00:57:52.960 there?

00:57:54.360 Compare that

00:57:55.080 again.

00:57:57.180 Compare that

00:57:57.800 to J.D.

00:57:58.400 Vance

00:57:58.740 telling people

00:58:00.500 that they

00:58:00.900 could eat

00:58:01.340 shit

00:58:01.680 for insulting

00:58:03.740 his wife.

00:58:04.620 That's a good

00:58:05.220 curse.

00:58:06.640 That's a good

00:58:07.360 curse.

00:58:08.300 But why did

00:58:09.340 Schumer have 0.95

00:58:09.860 to just throw

00:58:10.440 it in?

00:58:11.100 These guys

00:58:11.680 are full of

00:58:12.240 shit.

00:58:13.200 He didn't.

00:58:14.780 They just

00:58:15.420 don't know

00:58:16.040 how to do

00:58:16.520 this.

00:58:18.600 Anyway,

00:58:19.700 I also saw

00:58:23.280 a Cenk 1.00

00:58:23.820 from the

00:58:24.460 Young Turks. 0.66

00:58:26.080 He said

00:58:26.500 something online

00:58:27.220 that I

00:58:27.560 couldn't tell

00:58:28.340 if he was

00:58:29.460 being sarcastic

00:58:30.500 or not.

00:58:32.200 But he

00:58:32.860 said that

00:58:33.500 he believed,

00:58:35.440 I guess he

00:58:36.060 believes there

00:58:36.560 is stuff that

00:58:37.100 would be bad

00:58:37.620 for Trump

00:58:38.480 in the files.

00:58:39.860 But he said

00:58:40.320 the only way

00:58:41.560 that that

00:58:41.920 can be blocked

00:58:42.700 as long as

00:58:43.660 it has been

00:58:44.260 is if the

00:58:45.340 intelligence

00:58:45.820 agencies

00:58:46.520 are behind

00:58:47.980 the blocking

00:58:48.520 of it.

00:58:48.940 is that

00:58:50.660 a sarcastic

00:58:52.840 comment?

00:58:54.780 Or does

00:58:55.600 he believe,

00:58:56.300 as I do,

00:58:57.660 that we

00:58:58.400 have all

00:58:59.140 the proof

00:58:59.560 we need

00:59:00.060 that some

00:59:01.540 intelligence

00:59:02.020 entities are

00:59:03.100 blocking

00:59:03.520 the more

00:59:05.360 extensive

00:59:05.880 release?

00:59:07.860 How many

00:59:08.600 of you

00:59:08.900 believe

00:59:09.520 that there's

00:59:11.620 a 100%

00:59:12.240 chance we

00:59:12.900 would have

00:59:13.180 seen the

00:59:13.620 files unless

00:59:15.380 intelligence

00:59:17.220 agencies

00:59:17.960 blocked it?

00:59:19.560 And that

00:59:19.840 there's nobody

00:59:20.400 who's simply

00:59:21.040 powerful enough

00:59:21.900 that they

00:59:22.300 could have

00:59:22.560 done it?

00:59:24.140 Because both,

00:59:25.560 remember,

00:59:26.280 Democrats and

00:59:27.180 Republicans have

00:59:28.000 had access

00:59:28.900 to the files.

00:59:30.140 And they

00:59:30.800 both blocked

00:59:31.540 it.

00:59:32.580 So what

00:59:33.040 would be the

00:59:33.520 one entity

00:59:34.340 that could 0.68

00:59:35.500 make both

00:59:35.980 Democrats and

00:59:36.800 Republicans

00:59:37.360 block something?

00:59:40.780 I feel like

00:59:41.840 only the

00:59:42.780 intel

00:59:43.180 people.

00:59:44.800 So,

00:59:45.380 at this

00:59:45.740 point,

00:59:46.400 I think

00:59:46.740 there's,

00:59:47.140 I've said

00:59:47.520 this before,

00:59:48.160 there's no

00:59:48.780 real hope

00:59:49.600 that we're

00:59:50.740 going to see

00:59:51.040 everything we

00:59:51.580 want to see.

00:59:52.400 There's no

00:59:52.800 real hope

00:59:53.220 of that.

00:59:54.240 Because the

00:59:54.920 intel people

00:59:55.460 have the

00:59:55.840 power to

00:59:56.380 block it 0.94

00:59:56.980 and apparently

00:59:58.340 the motive.

00:59:59.800 If you have

01:00:00.240 the motive

01:00:00.640 and you have

01:00:01.140 the power,

01:00:03.140 it's pretty

01:00:03.860 easy to

01:00:04.360 predict.

01:00:08.080 So,

01:00:08.940 I was waiting

01:00:09.520 for this to

01:00:10.100 happen,

01:00:10.480 but the FCC

01:00:11.240 is going to

01:00:12.720 ban the

01:00:13.480 purchase of

01:00:14.840 Chinese-made

01:00:15.680 drones

01:00:16.180 because of

01:00:17.700 national security

01:00:18.720 concerns.

01:00:20.560 Now,

01:00:21.120 I think the

01:00:21.660 reason it

01:00:22.060 took so long

01:00:22.900 for them to

01:00:23.420 ban Chinese 1.00

01:00:24.480 drones is

01:00:27.060 because we

01:00:27.480 didn't have a

01:00:28.000 domestic

01:00:28.620 manufacturing way

01:00:30.340 to do it

01:00:30.900 and we needed

01:00:31.920 drones because 0.88

01:00:32.840 the drones

01:00:33.220 were really,

01:00:33.740 you know,

01:00:34.260 useful for

01:00:35.040 farming and a

01:00:36.440 whole bunch

01:00:36.760 of things.

01:00:37.180 so it

01:00:39.840 looks like

01:00:40.560 I intuit

01:00:41.860 from this

01:00:42.560 that enough

01:00:43.900 manufacturing

01:00:44.960 entities in

01:00:46.400 the United

01:00:46.740 States are

01:00:47.260 making drones

01:00:48.000 and they're

01:00:48.920 doing it well

01:00:49.540 enough now

01:00:50.200 that we can

01:00:51.580 just make

01:00:52.560 that a

01:00:52.900 domestic

01:00:53.280 industry and

01:00:55.320 we don't

01:00:55.860 have to get

01:00:56.880 the Chinese

01:00:57.440 drones.

01:00:58.620 I wonder,

01:01:00.120 I am

01:01:00.580 curious who

01:01:01.180 the big

01:01:01.580 drone makers

01:01:02.320 are.

01:01:04.280 I'm pretty

01:01:05.020 sure that

01:01:05.500 Anduril,

01:01:07.200 that would

01:01:07.720 be the

01:01:08.040 high-tech

01:01:08.720 defense

01:01:10.300 industry

01:01:10.880 company,

01:01:11.780 I'm pretty

01:01:12.360 sure they

01:01:12.740 make a

01:01:13.140 bunch of

01:01:13.480 drones and

01:01:14.240 anti-drone

01:01:14.960 stuff,

01:01:16.080 but I don't

01:01:16.680 know how

01:01:16.920 much volume

01:01:17.580 they do.

01:01:19.720 Perhaps

01:01:20.280 they've reached

01:01:20.920 some kind

01:01:21.580 of volume

01:01:21.940 thing,

01:01:22.540 but,

01:01:23.000 you know,

01:01:23.320 it's not

01:01:23.680 just military

01:01:24.360 drones.

01:01:26.680 I wonder

01:01:27.460 who's making

01:01:27.980 the non-military

01:01:28.880 drones.

01:01:30.840 Well,

01:01:31.160 over in

01:01:31.640 Belgium,

01:01:32.320 apparently 73%

01:01:35.200 of the

01:01:35.520 children and

01:01:36.500 teens in

01:01:37.160 Brussels have

01:01:39.820 a non-EU 0.60

01:01:40.820 migration

01:01:41.440 background,

01:01:42.860 and only

01:01:43.420 10.5%

01:01:44.640 are Belgians

01:01:45.540 of Belgian

01:01:47.240 origin.

01:01:48.500 So basically,

01:01:49.720 Belgium is

01:01:52.680 now no

01:01:53.700 longer

01:01:54.060 Belgium.

01:01:56.260 Now,

01:01:56.620 maybe that's

01:01:57.300 good,

01:01:57.760 maybe that's

01:01:58.320 bad,

01:01:58.680 I don't

01:01:59.000 know any

01:01:59.380 Belgian

01:01:59.740 people,

01:02:00.840 but Belgium

01:02:01.420 really just

01:02:02.060 went away.

01:02:05.160 You know,

01:02:05.740 you could

01:02:06.040 argue,

01:02:06.460 not yet,

01:02:07.000 Scott,

01:02:07.400 but it's

01:02:08.700 guaranteed.

01:02:09.740 I mean,

01:02:10.020 if 73%

01:02:11.980 of your

01:02:12.340 children were

01:02:13.300 not Belgium,

01:02:14.860 you just have

01:02:16.900 to wait,

01:02:17.800 and your

01:02:19.020 country will

01:02:19.780 look completely

01:02:20.560 different.

01:02:21.640 Will it be

01:02:22.300 better or will

01:02:22.980 it be worse?

01:02:24.560 I don't know.

01:02:25.080 I'm not

01:02:26.180 there.

01:02:26.800 Not my

01:02:27.500 country.

01:02:29.920 Yeah.

01:02:30.800 But it

01:02:32.060 will give

01:02:32.520 you a 0.57

01:02:33.000 glimpse of

01:02:33.720 what might

01:02:34.100 be happening

01:02:34.560 with the

01:02:34.940 rest of

01:02:35.280 Europe.

01:02:37.400 Well,

01:02:38.020 there's a

01:02:38.580 Israeli

01:02:40.100 defense

01:02:40.760 minister who

01:02:41.540 says,

01:02:42.380 believe it

01:02:42.960 or not,

01:02:44.540 that the

01:02:45.720 Israeli

01:02:46.500 military will

01:02:48.460 never leave

01:02:49.500 Gaza.

01:02:51.480 So they

01:02:52.180 never plan to

01:02:53.500 withdraw their

01:02:54.020 military from

01:02:54.700 Gaza.

01:02:57.000 Is anybody

01:02:57.840 surprised by

01:02:58.640 that?

01:03:00.040 So apparently

01:03:00.940 the peace deal

01:03:02.120 with Hamas

01:03:02.920 said that Hamas

01:03:04.920 would give up

01:03:05.440 their weapons.

01:03:06.060 I think I

01:03:08.420 said that.

01:03:09.260 And that

01:03:09.760 Israel would 1.00

01:03:10.600 remove its

01:03:11.280 military.

01:03:12.940 It looks like

01:03:13.620 neither of them

01:03:14.220 are going to

01:03:14.560 do that.

01:03:15.940 I don't think

01:03:16.580 Hamas gave up

01:03:17.460 its weapons

01:03:17.980 and surrendered

01:03:18.620 and I never

01:03:20.360 thought that

01:03:21.040 Israel would 1.00

01:03:21.940 give up his

01:03:22.500 military

01:03:23.020 control of

01:03:25.080 Gaza.

01:03:26.380 So what are

01:03:27.460 the odds of

01:03:28.160 a two-state

01:03:28.860 solution?

01:03:30.820 Is it my

01:03:31.320 imagination

01:03:31.960 or is the

01:03:33.460 idea of a

01:03:34.360 two-state

01:03:34.860 solution

01:03:35.480 never more

01:03:37.480 than something

01:03:38.020 to talk about

01:03:38.920 because there

01:03:40.300 is never a

01:03:40.840 chance of it

01:03:41.300 happening?

01:03:43.540 Did any of

01:03:45.200 you ever have

01:03:45.740 a time where

01:03:47.040 you thought,

01:03:47.440 you know what,

01:03:48.400 I think that

01:03:48.980 two-state

01:03:49.520 solution might

01:03:50.220 actually happen.

01:03:51.360 Now, that's

01:03:52.020 independent from

01:03:53.760 whether you want

01:03:54.520 it to happen.

01:03:55.560 We're not

01:03:55.960 talking about

01:03:58.240 whether you

01:03:58.600 think it's a

01:03:59.100 good idea or

01:03:59.720 a bad idea.

01:04:00.600 I'm just

01:04:01.000 saying it's

01:04:01.900 not really

01:04:02.340 even possible

01:04:03.040 because there

01:04:04.860 was zero

01:04:05.220 chance that

01:04:05.960 Israel would 1.00

01:04:06.720 ever go for

01:04:07.320 that.

01:04:08.540 So it

01:04:09.960 feels like

01:04:10.480 just something

01:04:11.060 you say

01:04:11.780 when you're

01:04:13.100 negotiating.

01:04:14.840 Well, you

01:04:16.000 know, if we

01:04:16.340 do this or

01:04:16.940 that, we'll

01:04:18.200 be getting

01:04:18.720 closer to a

01:04:19.600 two-state

01:04:20.080 solution.

01:04:21.260 But meanwhile,

01:04:22.040 they're going

01:04:23.540 hog wild on

01:04:24.580 building settlements

01:04:27.500 and there's

01:04:29.600 not really

01:04:30.280 any chance

01:04:30.900 that could 0.68

01:04:31.200 happen, is

01:04:31.700 there?

01:04:33.980 So, well,

01:04:35.280 anyway, I

01:04:36.080 remind you that

01:04:36.880 I'm neither

01:04:37.340 pro nor

01:04:38.380 anti-Israel.

01:04:40.020 I simply

01:04:40.840 observe and

01:04:42.580 sometimes they

01:04:43.300 do things that

01:04:44.040 look like that

01:04:44.700 would work from

01:04:45.940 their perspective

01:04:46.700 and sometimes

01:04:48.000 maybe they do

01:04:48.880 things that I

01:04:49.620 don't know why

01:04:50.040 they do them.

01:04:50.540 but it's

01:04:51.740 not my job

01:04:52.540 to tell

01:04:53.920 Israel what's

01:04:54.680 good for

01:04:55.060 Israel and

01:04:56.820 it's not

01:04:57.200 their job to

01:04:58.640 tell America

01:04:59.300 what's good for

01:04:59.940 America.

01:05:01.280 So I'll

01:05:02.320 definitely give

01:05:02.920 you opinions on

01:05:03.800 American policy,

01:05:05.280 but other

01:05:06.640 countries, just

01:05:08.580 observe.

01:05:09.840 Sometimes

01:05:10.280 predict, because

01:05:12.200 that's fun,

01:05:12.740 I only care

01:05:15.460 about America.

01:05:18.120 It's not

01:05:18.760 that I don't

01:05:19.180 care, that's

01:05:19.940 going too

01:05:20.360 far.

01:05:21.840 It's that if

01:05:23.380 Israel is doing 1.00

01:05:24.160 a good job of

01:05:25.640 taking care of

01:05:26.340 Israel, my

01:05:29.180 impression of

01:05:29.920 that is, hey,

01:05:30.700 good job.

01:05:31.820 Everybody should

01:05:32.500 do a good job

01:05:33.140 of taking care

01:05:33.680 of their

01:05:33.900 country.

01:05:34.780 If part of

01:05:35.720 they're doing

01:05:36.460 a good job

01:05:37.360 is that it

01:05:39.480 creates some

01:05:40.200 situations that

01:05:41.180 America doesn't 0.92

01:05:42.040 like,

01:05:42.740 then we

01:05:43.520 should address

01:05:44.080 that.

01:05:45.380 But I

01:05:46.520 don't disrespect

01:05:47.540 them for

01:05:48.220 doing a good

01:05:48.900 job influencing

01:05:50.380 people they

01:05:51.080 want to

01:05:51.460 influence.

01:05:53.100 I could not

01:05:54.120 like it,

01:05:55.040 but I

01:05:57.680 observe it.

01:06:00.860 Speaking of

01:06:01.760 Israel, there's 0.96

01:06:03.400 an Israeli

01:06:03.880 company that

01:06:04.500 found a

01:06:05.140 breakthrough

01:06:06.640 that could 0.68

01:06:07.340 reverse

01:06:07.800 paralysis.

01:06:09.820 So apparently

01:06:10.340 it has

01:06:10.700 something to

01:06:11.120 do with

01:06:11.500 neural

01:06:11.920 tissues,

01:06:12.740 and let's

01:06:13.980 see, what

01:06:14.300 is it?

01:06:16.160 It's a

01:06:16.840 biotech

01:06:17.320 company called

01:06:18.040 MatchaSelf.

01:06:20.320 And they've

01:06:20.680 got this new

01:06:21.240 spinal cord

01:06:22.080 tissue that

01:06:23.680 they grow from

01:06:24.440 the patient's

01:06:25.040 own cells,

01:06:26.180 and then they

01:06:27.000 somehow squirt it

01:06:28.080 back into you,

01:06:29.300 and you can

01:06:30.580 regrow your

01:06:32.680 nerve cells that

01:06:34.560 had been

01:06:35.400 damaged.

01:06:36.780 Listen to this.

01:06:37.600 Do you believe

01:06:37.960 this?

01:06:38.200 We generate stem

01:06:39.660 cells from the

01:06:40.380 patient's tissue,

01:06:41.980 and the fatty

01:06:42.980 tissue provides

01:06:43.940 a scaffolding

01:06:44.840 material that

01:06:45.980 allows the

01:06:46.520 cells to form

01:06:47.380 functional neural

01:06:48.900 networks.

01:06:50.100 Now, I told you

01:06:50.680 about another

01:06:51.200 company that was

01:06:51.960 doing this with

01:06:52.700 3D printing.

01:06:54.460 So they would

01:06:55.340 3D print the

01:06:56.420 scaffolding.

01:06:57.740 This doesn't

01:06:58.380 mention 3D

01:06:59.200 printing, but

01:06:59.860 anyway.

01:07:00.020 So apparently

01:07:01.560 they've

01:07:02.160 successfully tested

01:07:03.480 this on

01:07:04.000 paralyzed rats.

01:07:05.900 Listen to this

01:07:06.480 next part.

01:07:07.620 They've tested

01:07:08.280 it on paralyzed

01:07:09.240 rats, which

01:07:10.520 were able to

01:07:11.200 walk and run

01:07:11.980 within days of

01:07:13.060 treatment.

01:07:14.720 What?

01:07:16.760 What?

01:07:18.420 Are you

01:07:18.880 telling me that

01:07:19.420 they really took

01:07:20.180 paralyzed rats

01:07:21.700 and unparalyzed

01:07:25.340 them within

01:07:26.820 days?

01:07:28.340 They just

01:07:29.100 squirted their

01:07:29.860 own stem cells

01:07:30.880 in there and

01:07:32.020 had some kind

01:07:32.620 of scaffolding

01:07:33.560 and within

01:07:34.480 days?

01:07:36.040 I don't

01:07:36.700 believe that.

01:07:37.980 It doesn't

01:07:38.720 take like two

01:07:39.480 months for

01:07:40.680 nerves to

01:07:41.680 even regrow.

01:07:44.660 Days?

01:07:45.680 Nah.

01:07:46.680 It's a little

01:07:47.320 bit optimistic.

01:07:48.560 But anyway,

01:07:49.260 I'm waiting in

01:07:49.920 line behind

01:07:50.640 the rats.

01:07:52.620 As soon as

01:07:53.500 all the rats

01:07:54.100 are fixed,

01:07:55.880 I'm hoping

01:07:56.620 they'll do

01:07:56.980 me next.

01:07:57.480 Well, there's

01:08:00.260 a publication

01:08:00.820 called The

01:08:01.340 Conversation

01:08:02.140 in which

01:08:03.340 Frank

01:08:03.800 Chiraki

01:08:04.780 is asking,

01:08:06.600 is democracy

01:08:07.400 always about

01:08:08.360 truth and

01:08:10.260 why we

01:08:10.720 need to

01:08:11.280 loosen our

01:08:11.820 views to

01:08:12.880 heal our

01:08:13.380 divisions?

01:08:14.920 So what do

01:08:15.800 you think?

01:08:16.700 Do you think

01:08:17.500 that democracy

01:08:18.300 could survive

01:08:19.320 truth?

01:08:20.620 I don't.

01:08:24.300 Do you

01:08:24.580 remember when

01:08:25.200 Ben Shapiro

01:08:26.040 was famous

01:08:26.820 for saying

01:08:27.300 that the

01:08:28.160 facts don't

01:08:28.860 care about

01:08:29.320 your feelings?

01:08:31.100 And then I

01:08:31.600 wrote my

01:08:31.960 book,

01:08:32.280 Win Bigly,

01:08:33.260 and I

01:08:33.840 tried to

01:08:34.280 correct that

01:08:35.060 notion by

01:08:36.160 saying the

01:08:36.560 feelings don't

01:08:37.260 care about

01:08:37.660 your facts.

01:08:39.540 Both of

01:08:40.220 those are

01:08:40.560 kind of

01:08:40.900 true,

01:08:42.020 but it's

01:08:42.600 more predictive

01:08:43.860 that feelings

01:08:44.540 don't care about

01:08:45.220 your facts.

01:08:45.780 But just

01:08:48.820 imagine what

01:08:49.480 would happen

01:08:49.900 to democracy

01:08:50.720 if we knew

01:08:52.260 the truth

01:08:52.800 about everything.

01:08:55.180 Your first

01:08:56.040 instinct is,

01:08:56.880 well, that'd

01:08:57.140 be better.

01:08:58.380 Wouldn't it

01:08:58.720 be great we

01:08:59.240 knew the

01:08:59.560 truth?

01:09:00.880 You couldn't

01:09:01.720 handle the

01:09:02.260 truth, or

01:09:04.240 to go

01:09:05.080 further,

01:09:06.000 democracy

01:09:06.660 itself, it

01:09:09.000 can't handle

01:09:09.540 the truth.

01:09:10.400 If you

01:09:10.960 actually knew

01:09:11.760 what was

01:09:12.160 happening with

01:09:12.760 your money,

01:09:14.080 if you

01:09:14.460 actually knew

01:09:15.400 what the

01:09:16.780 real data

01:09:18.140 was, you

01:09:20.000 probably would

01:09:21.060 not be in a

01:09:21.680 happy place.

01:09:23.300 So, my

01:09:24.920 take on the

01:09:25.520 world is

01:09:27.740 that there

01:09:28.800 are functional

01:09:29.600 lies, there's

01:09:32.120 functional

01:09:32.820 propaganda, and

01:09:34.600 sometimes you

01:09:35.360 need that to

01:09:35.940 hold the

01:09:36.280 country together.

01:09:38.200 For example,

01:09:39.940 is it good

01:09:40.700 or bad for

01:09:41.380 America if 0.57

01:09:43.000 you spread the

01:09:43.900 idea that

01:09:44.420 Americans are

01:09:45.200 better than

01:09:45.660 other people?

01:09:47.040 Which is

01:09:47.700 what I was

01:09:48.140 raised to

01:09:48.560 believe.

01:09:49.860 Well, I

01:09:51.220 don't think

01:09:51.600 it's true that

01:09:52.900 Americans are

01:09:53.580 better than

01:09:53.940 other people,

01:09:54.680 but if you

01:09:55.420 could convince

01:09:56.140 me they

01:09:56.600 were, would

01:09:58.000 you get a

01:09:58.460 better outcome?

01:09:59.980 And the

01:10:00.580 answer is,

01:10:01.660 maybe.

01:10:03.100 Maybe.

01:10:04.740 So, if you

01:10:06.220 really drill down

01:10:07.180 on all of our

01:10:07.900 biggest issues,

01:10:09.160 I think you'd

01:10:10.140 find that there's

01:10:11.840 a functional

01:10:12.660 fiction for

01:10:15.560 almost everything

01:10:16.400 that works

01:10:17.480 better than

01:10:17.960 the truth.

01:10:19.560 A functional

01:10:20.260 fiction.

01:10:21.780 So, I

01:10:24.360 could talk

01:10:24.740 about that

01:10:25.200 for a lot

01:10:25.820 longer, but

01:10:27.480 you could

01:10:27.880 probably think

01:10:28.400 of 10

01:10:28.800 examples yourself

01:10:29.880 where you know

01:10:31.160 something's not

01:10:31.940 true, but it

01:10:33.420 seems to hold

01:10:34.020 people together.

01:10:35.780 Right?

01:10:37.080 Think about

01:10:37.900 it.

01:10:38.540 That'll be

01:10:39.140 your Christmas

01:10:39.860 debate with

01:10:42.020 your family.

01:10:43.600 Do you want

01:10:43.940 the truth?

01:10:45.320 Or do you

01:10:46.020 want a

01:10:46.380 functional

01:10:46.920 propaganda?

01:10:50.000 I'll give

01:10:50.600 you another

01:10:50.920 example.

01:10:52.160 So, Trump

01:10:52.900 is famously

01:10:54.380 optimistic,

01:10:56.020 and he's

01:10:56.340 kind of a

01:10:56.700 salesperson

01:10:57.360 that uses

01:10:57.780 hyperbole to

01:10:59.420 try to push

01:11:01.440 the country

01:11:01.940 forward.

01:11:03.540 So, what

01:11:04.100 would be

01:11:04.440 better that

01:11:05.800 every time

01:11:06.320 Trump talked

01:11:06.940 about the

01:11:07.340 economy, he

01:11:08.640 talked about

01:11:09.140 what was

01:11:09.560 wrong, but

01:11:11.400 also what

01:11:12.080 was right.

01:11:14.120 Now, compare

01:11:14.700 that to what

01:11:15.240 he actually

01:11:15.660 does, which

01:11:16.800 is he always

01:11:17.520 says things

01:11:18.600 are going

01:11:18.980 great, the

01:11:20.120 country is

01:11:20.580 really humming,

01:11:21.840 wait until

01:11:22.260 next year, it

01:11:22.940 will be even

01:11:23.340 better.

01:11:23.980 Which one of

01:11:24.760 those is a

01:11:25.640 functional

01:11:26.240 propaganda

01:11:27.180 versus the 0.55

01:11:29.340 truth?

01:11:30.320 The truth,

01:11:31.860 as close as

01:11:32.700 you can come

01:11:33.200 to it, would

01:11:34.120 be partly

01:11:34.620 good, partly

01:11:35.240 bad, but

01:11:35.760 it wouldn't

01:11:36.160 motivate you

01:11:36.800 the same

01:11:37.160 way.

01:11:38.640 If you

01:11:39.060 could convince

01:11:40.520 the businesses

01:11:41.240 that next

01:11:42.360 year is going

01:11:42.880 to be better,

01:11:44.280 even if you

01:11:45.140 don't know

01:11:45.620 that to be

01:11:46.100 true, it

01:11:47.440 would convince

01:11:47.980 them to

01:11:48.460 invest.

01:11:49.920 And then

01:11:50.180 once they

01:11:50.560 invest, it

01:11:51.860 becomes

01:11:52.280 true.

01:11:53.940 So, I

01:11:54.660 don't know

01:11:54.960 how many

01:11:55.300 examples I

01:11:56.300 have to give

01:11:56.820 you before

01:11:57.280 I sell

01:11:57.800 this to

01:11:58.200 you, but

01:11:59.340 optimism, which

01:12:01.900 is not

01:12:02.240 really always

01:12:02.820 based on

01:12:03.280 truth, is

01:12:04.720 very

01:12:04.960 functional.

01:12:06.640 Right?

01:12:07.580 It's very

01:12:08.080 functional.

01:12:09.180 So, I

01:12:10.340 would argue

01:12:10.780 that democracy

01:12:12.080 and capitalism

01:12:13.060 specifically

01:12:13.840 require some

01:12:15.740 kind of

01:12:16.480 enlightened

01:12:17.420 propaganda,

01:12:20.220 meaning that

01:12:21.580 you're doing it

01:12:22.160 for people's

01:12:22.820 best interests,

01:12:23.720 you're not

01:12:24.040 doing it for

01:12:24.540 your selfishness,

01:12:25.720 but you're

01:12:26.560 doing it.

01:12:27.040 Well, let's

01:12:30.300 talk about

01:12:30.820 Venezuela and

01:12:31.720 Maduro.

01:12:33.760 Zero Hedge

01:12:34.300 is reporting

01:12:34.880 that Trump

01:12:35.660 said that

01:12:36.680 Maduro

01:12:37.680 would be

01:12:38.160 quote,

01:12:38.520 smart to

01:12:39.320 get out.

01:12:42.480 So, he

01:12:42.880 was asked

01:12:43.220 about,

01:12:43.900 presumably

01:12:44.360 asked about

01:12:45.060 what next

01:12:46.540 for Venezuela.

01:12:47.920 I guess

01:12:48.340 Russians are

01:12:49.240 reportedly

01:12:49.800 evacuating

01:12:51.860 their diplomats.

01:12:54.000 Do you

01:12:54.620 think it's

01:12:55.000 meaningful that

01:12:55.700 Russia is 0.79

01:12:56.260 evacuating

01:12:57.000 their diplomats

01:12:57.880 from Venezuela?

01:13:00.180 Well, if

01:13:01.180 you believe

01:13:01.640 that Russia 0.72

01:13:02.180 probably has

01:13:04.280 some good

01:13:04.720 sources in

01:13:05.420 the United

01:13:05.780 States,

01:13:07.380 spies and

01:13:08.000 otherwise,

01:13:08.840 why would

01:13:09.580 they be

01:13:09.880 doing it

01:13:10.280 now,

01:13:12.060 if it's

01:13:12.680 true?

01:13:13.200 It might

01:13:13.500 also be a

01:13:14.140 fake report.

01:13:15.360 But if

01:13:15.860 they are

01:13:16.260 getting rid

01:13:16.860 of their

01:13:17.320 diplomats,

01:13:19.000 that would

01:13:19.340 suggest that

01:13:20.940 Russia expects 0.97

01:13:21.880 some military

01:13:22.600 action.

01:13:24.760 Now,

01:13:25.100 here's what

01:13:25.660 else Trump

01:13:26.300 said about

01:13:26.780 that.

01:13:29.700 When asked

01:13:30.440 about whether

01:13:30.900 he should

01:13:31.280 leave, 0.75

01:13:32.260 Trump said

01:13:32.720 that's his

01:13:33.280 decision,

01:13:34.720 but I think

01:13:35.300 it would be

01:13:35.720 smart for

01:13:36.360 him to do

01:13:36.880 that.

01:13:38.520 It would be

01:13:39.000 smart for

01:13:39.600 him to do

01:13:40.080 that.

01:13:41.720 Maybe that's

01:13:42.440 all Russia

01:13:42.920 needed to

01:13:43.460 hear.

01:13:44.420 Does it

01:13:44.760 sound so

01:13:45.260 warlike?

01:13:46.000 Well,

01:13:46.920 he doesn't

01:13:47.340 have to,

01:13:47.940 but be

01:13:49.040 smart for

01:13:49.520 him to do

01:13:49.960 that.

01:13:51.020 And then

01:13:51.320 he says,

01:13:52.080 Trump says,

01:13:53.940 when asked

01:13:56.480 about the

01:13:56.940 possibility that

01:13:57.720 the Venezuelan

01:13:58.640 military might

01:13:59.940 try to put up

01:14:00.600 some resistance

01:14:01.580 should the

01:14:02.900 U.S.

01:14:03.260 military get

01:14:03.860 more aggressive,

01:14:05.780 Trump said,

01:14:06.900 if he plays

01:14:08.580 tough, it'll

01:14:09.380 be the last

01:14:10.000 time he's

01:14:10.460 able to do

01:14:11.180 so.

01:14:12.240 So he's

01:14:12.640 basically said,

01:14:13.580 if you

01:14:14.780 resist us,

01:14:16.260 that he'll

01:14:16.980 jail you or

01:14:18.700 kill you. 0.99

01:14:20.040 Now, he

01:14:20.580 doesn't have to

01:14:21.080 say it out

01:14:21.520 loud, but

01:14:22.960 that's what

01:14:23.320 that means,

01:14:23.940 obviously.

01:14:24.880 It's the last

01:14:25.500 time you'll be

01:14:25.900 able to do

01:14:26.260 it.

01:14:27.040 So what I'm

01:14:27.640 wondering is,

01:14:29.660 is the real

01:14:30.320 strategy here

01:14:31.280 that Trump is

01:14:32.600 trying to scare

01:14:33.560 Maduro into

01:14:34.520 leaving?

01:14:36.100 Do you think

01:14:36.840 he can simply

01:14:37.520 frighten him into

01:14:38.480 leaving and

01:14:39.680 never have to

01:14:40.260 fire a shot?

01:14:41.480 Probably not

01:14:43.840 because I think

01:14:45.620 Maduro would

01:14:46.320 at the very

01:14:46.900 least need to

01:14:47.780 have some

01:14:48.200 place to go

01:14:48.900 that would

01:14:50.040 not be worse

01:14:50.760 than putting

01:14:51.520 up a stand.

01:14:52.560 So we don't

01:14:53.320 know if he has

01:14:53.820 any place to

01:14:54.420 go, but it

01:14:56.580 does look like

01:14:57.300 Trump would

01:14:57.880 let him leave

01:14:58.780 alive.

01:15:01.080 So here's

01:15:01.900 the test.

01:15:03.280 The test is

01:15:04.220 this.

01:15:05.240 Is Trump

01:15:05.760 trying to win

01:15:06.420 a war without

01:15:07.040 firing a shot?

01:15:09.320 And I would

01:15:10.000 say the answer

01:15:10.480 is yes.

01:15:10.940 he is trying

01:15:12.080 to win the

01:15:12.660 war that

01:15:13.760 hasn't even

01:15:14.220 started without

01:15:15.560 firing a shot.

01:15:17.380 Is it

01:15:17.820 possible?

01:15:19.740 Yes.

01:15:21.300 It's actually

01:15:22.160 possible that

01:15:23.500 he could scare

01:15:24.300 Maduro by

01:15:25.900 being so

01:15:26.520 convincingly

01:15:27.600 scary that

01:15:29.940 Maduro says,

01:15:30.900 oh, shit,

01:15:31.460 I'm going to

01:15:32.460 be, you

01:15:33.540 know, I

01:15:33.900 got no

01:15:34.260 options left.

01:15:35.060 I better get

01:15:35.420 out of here.

01:15:36.480 That is very,

01:15:37.680 very, very

01:15:38.380 possible.

01:15:39.400 But I was

01:15:40.040 still bet against

01:15:40.940 it.

01:15:42.620 Because, yeah,

01:15:43.900 I would bet

01:15:44.280 against it.

01:15:47.060 So one of the

01:15:48.220 things that you

01:15:49.140 could imagine

01:15:49.780 Trump negotiating

01:15:51.380 with Putin is

01:15:53.180 asking Putin to

01:15:54.320 make a safe

01:15:55.320 haven for

01:15:55.920 Maduro.

01:15:58.320 Wouldn't that

01:15:58.720 be interesting?

01:15:59.600 Just as part of

01:16:00.360 the overall

01:16:00.980 Russian negotiations,

01:16:02.480 say, look,

01:16:03.640 here's the deal.

01:16:04.380 One of the

01:16:05.000 things we want

01:16:05.760 from you,

01:16:06.900 Putin,

01:16:07.200 besides ending

01:16:08.500 the war.

01:16:09.460 One of the

01:16:09.960 things we want

01:16:10.660 is for you to

01:16:11.220 make a home

01:16:11.780 for Maduro

01:16:12.440 so he can get

01:16:13.780 the hell out

01:16:14.320 and we can

01:16:14.840 take over.

01:16:18.600 Might happen.

01:16:20.940 All right,

01:16:21.540 ladies and gentlemen,

01:16:22.320 that is all I have

01:16:23.360 for my prepared

01:16:25.920 remarks.

01:16:26.420 so I told you

01:16:28.920 that if I made

01:16:30.340 it through,

01:16:31.360 and I'm surprised

01:16:31.920 I made it

01:16:32.400 through the

01:16:32.780 entire show.

01:16:34.780 I was having

01:16:35.360 quite some

01:16:36.180 respiratory issues

01:16:37.560 here.

01:16:39.740 But I made it.

01:16:41.100 Yay.

01:16:42.200 I told you I'd

01:16:43.020 hang out with you

01:16:43.640 a little bit.

01:16:44.220 So what do

01:16:47.040 you think?

01:16:49.080 Would you be

01:16:49.760 okay if we

01:16:50.280 just hang out?

01:16:51.500 Just a little

01:16:52.240 bit.

01:16:53.060 Just for a few

01:16:53.820 minutes.

01:16:54.640 You can keep

01:16:55.260 doing what you're

01:16:55.880 doing.

01:16:56.260 You can turn

01:16:56.700 off the sound.

01:16:58.300 I'll be like

01:16:59.020 an extra family

01:17:00.040 member just

01:17:00.580 hanging out in

01:17:01.080 your living room.

01:17:02.040 Okay?

01:17:03.780 All right.

01:17:05.600 That's the deal.

01:17:08.340 I am so

01:17:08.860 crooked.

01:17:09.360 I'm going to

01:17:09.620 fall over.

01:17:10.080 I did not

01:17:14.280 believe I'd

01:17:14.820 get through

01:17:15.160 it.

01:17:21.060 Oh, that's

01:17:21.720 good.

01:17:25.660 All right.

01:17:26.620 Tell me what

01:17:27.220 you're doing.

01:17:28.220 Send me

01:17:28.680 pictures.

01:17:29.760 Oh, you can

01:17:30.200 only do that

01:17:30.680 in locals.

01:17:32.780 If you're

01:17:33.200 on locals,

01:17:33.800 send me

01:17:34.140 pictures of

01:17:34.660 what you're

01:17:34.920 doing.

01:17:37.560 Are you

01:17:38.000 wrapping

01:17:38.280 gifts,

01:17:38.960 playing with

01:17:39.380 the dog?

01:17:40.080 I had a

01:17:51.220 tough night

01:17:51.740 last night,

01:17:52.640 not being able

01:17:53.480 to breathe

01:17:53.820 too much,

01:17:54.460 but I'm

01:17:55.760 feeling much,

01:17:56.760 much better

01:17:57.380 right now.

01:18:00.280 And I am

01:18:01.200 ready for

01:18:01.880 breakfast.

01:18:04.700 So when my

01:18:05.680 breakfast gets

01:18:06.360 here, I'll

01:18:06.920 take my

01:18:08.440 leave. 0.99

01:18:10.880 walking the

01:18:11.500 dog, or

01:18:13.660 you just

01:18:13.940 walk the

01:18:14.340 dog,

01:18:14.700 okay?

01:18:18.820 Hmm.

01:18:22.060 Your step

01:18:22.520 zone is going

01:18:22.980 back?

01:18:27.780 Did you hear

01:18:28.580 that I'm ready

01:18:29.300 for breakfast

01:18:30.020 whenever?

01:18:31.820 No, I'm

01:18:32.340 still live

01:18:32.880 streaming,

01:18:33.180 sharing, but

01:18:33.980 I told

01:18:34.260 them I'd

01:18:34.620 just hang

01:18:35.040 out with

01:18:35.360 them until

01:18:35.760 I got

01:18:36.040 breakfast.

01:18:39.040 Because I

01:18:39.600 know some

01:18:40.220 of you are

01:18:40.980 feeling a

01:18:41.460 little lonely

01:18:41.980 today, aren't

01:18:42.660 you?

01:18:45.240 Is 0.88

01:18:45.680 anybody

01:18:45.900 feeling lonely

01:18:46.680 on the

01:18:46.980 holidays?

01:18:48.080 Well, I'm

01:18:48.700 here.

01:18:54.140 Your bagel

01:18:54.900 is toasted.

01:18:55.440 Back in your

01:19:00.520 car and

01:19:01.100 add it to

01:19:01.480 your daughter.

01:19:02.760 Nice.

01:19:04.880 Yeah, the

01:19:05.340 steroids

01:19:05.820 probably are

01:19:06.780 helping, but

01:19:07.380 I don't know

01:19:07.860 what it would

01:19:08.140 be like if

01:19:08.660 I were

01:19:09.120 not on

01:19:09.640 them.

01:19:19.300 Show me

01:19:19.980 your hands.

01:19:22.040 Why

01:19:22.240 your hands?

01:19:27.180 You're not

01:19:27.840 lonely.

01:19:29.480 You're

01:19:29.920 overwhelmed.

01:19:31.320 Yeah, people

01:19:31.880 are pretty

01:19:32.200 busy today.

01:19:35.240 Oh, I

01:19:35.860 just realized

01:19:36.620 I have a

01:19:37.980 health care

01:19:38.400 worker who's

01:19:38.980 going to

01:19:39.160 stop by

01:19:39.580 pretty soon.

01:19:40.660 So I

01:19:41.480 do need

01:19:42.380 to take

01:19:42.760 my leave

01:19:43.520 because I

01:19:45.740 got to

01:19:46.000 eat before

01:19:46.620 a health

01:19:47.860 care worker

01:19:48.520 shows up

01:19:49.160 and gives

01:19:49.980 me a

01:19:50.300 sponge bath.

01:19:52.240 Some

01:19:52.620 nice man

01:19:53.280 is going

01:19:53.620 to

01:19:53.700 sponge

01:19:54.060 bath

01:19:54.300 me

01:19:54.460 today.

01:19:57.000 If that's

01:19:57.820 what it's

01:19:58.100 called.

01:20:01.880 Oh, your

01:20:02.620 friends have

01:20:03.060 TDS.

01:20:06.940 Bummer.

01:20:09.800 All right,

01:20:11.100 everybody,

01:20:12.740 get ready

01:20:14.440 for Christmas.

01:20:15.560 Next time I

01:20:16.320 see you,

01:20:17.600 probably will

01:20:18.280 be Christmas.

01:20:19.780 Hope you

01:20:20.460 enjoyed the

01:20:21.000 show.

01:20:21.240 you said

01:20:22.520 goodbye for

01:20:23.980 now.

01:20:25.300 Bye for

01:20:25.700 now.

01:20:25.980 Bye for

01:20:26.960 now.

01:20:28.720 Bye for

01:20:38.140 now.

01:20:38.700 Bye.

01:20:41.760 Bye for

01:20:48.140 now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 24, 2025

Episode 3052 CWSA 12⧸24⧸25

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript