Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 25, 2025


Episode 3053 CWSA 12⧸25⧸25


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 21 minutes

Words per minute

121.51762

Word count

9,852

Sentence count

8

Harmful content

Misogyny

8

sentences flagged

Hate speech

9

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, we talk about the importance of audits and why they are more important than ever before in our fiscal health. We also hear about a story about a relative who was late for christmas because of a family emergency, and the story of how the U.S. Census Bureau got it wrong about the number of people in the country.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.160 merry christmas everybody come on in come on in we're gonna hang out a little bit
00:00:08.400 just in case your christmas needed a little extra or in case you were hanging out by yourself
00:00:16.640 you don't have to you can hang out with us let me make sure i can see your locals comments
00:00:30.160 yes i can excellent excellent go on in we will do the special christmas simultaneous sip
00:00:43.360 just as soon as oops quiet just as soon as enough of you get in here
00:00:52.160 yep it's going to be epic
00:00:53.600 how many of you assumed i would be wearing a christmas hat i'll bet unpredictable
00:01:05.440 the wise men have come send them in my house i need some wise men very wise
00:01:12.480 oh good morning good morning all right are you ready for the simultaneous sip
00:01:22.720 all you need is a copper muggera glass tankard chalice or sign a canteen jug of less a vessel
00:01:29.680 of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled
00:01:36.400 pleasure the dopamine to the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous
00:01:42.480 sip it happens now
00:01:52.320 could you could you smell the simultaneity
00:01:57.680 i could so what do you want to do this morning do you want to hear about some interesting stories
00:02:04.640 do you want to open your packages and act like um the relative that came late for christmas
00:02:13.360 and i'm just sort of sitting in the corner
00:02:17.360 maybe i'll say some things that make it seem like i'm in the room
00:02:21.120 you ready for this i'm going to do some fake
00:02:26.160 fake acting well i guess acting is fake i'm going to do some acting so it seems like i'm just in a room
00:02:33.040 with you okay oh wow was that yours did you just open that up that's a that's a really thoughtful gift
00:02:41.760 who gave you that uh no wonder yep that that's a good gift giver and what did you give back
00:02:51.840 i'm sorry i'll shut up hey what time do we eat does anybody know what time we eat
00:02:57.280 oh god oh no i was hoping that relative wouldn't come oh who invited that one oh my goodness oh
00:03:09.440 everything looked good until that one relative started coming up the driveway but shh we'll just
00:03:15.040 pretend that we don't know who drank all the eggnog yeah hey people where's all the eggnog
00:03:23.760 all right how was that does that feel like i was in your living room just bugging you when you're
00:03:30.880 opening your packages all right well let me give a special shout out today to one of our members who
00:03:43.200 makes clips of my show and does a really really good job of it so good that president trump yesterday
00:03:52.240 reposted it on truth so my uh i'm talking about jay plemons if you're now following him you should
00:04:01.520 on x because he does these most excellent um clips he's really good at figuring out what is a good clip
00:04:11.280 and also you know adding the text and the other features to make it a to make it a really good clip
00:04:18.400 so apparently he did so well that the president of the united states said huh i think he'll repost that
00:04:27.680 so congratulations jay plemons that must be an excellent uh christmas gift doesn't it
00:04:36.240 that must have made you so excited i hope you were telling all your family
00:04:40.880 but you earned it excellent work
00:04:47.200 well gosh i'm not even sure i feel like talking about the uh the news i've got notes but it might be
00:04:58.400 like that boring uncle who doesn't have doesn't have any conversation skills so they just talk about
00:05:05.440 what's in the news that would be me but did you know this is an old story but i'm gonna tie it into
00:05:14.880 something did you know that the census uh was error prone and those errors tended not completely but
00:05:24.880 they tended to lean in one direction which is to undercount conservatives and overcount democrats
00:05:33.600 and the result is that democrats got more seats in the house because the census said there are more
00:05:39.600 people uh than there were now here's why i brought it up the reason that we know this
00:05:48.800 is because the census bureau did an audit of their own process so it's not an accusation
00:05:56.000 it's what the audit people say themselves they say that it changed the uh representative
00:06:04.000 sample not a sample but it changed who's representing who and that it went in one direction
00:06:10.320 on average but what i caught here is the word audit you know i posted the other day that audit would be the
00:06:17.680 word of 2025 and boy is it if you start noticing how often the word audit is going to pop up in all the
00:06:27.200 stories because there's so many stories about fraud and the only way you get a cash room is with an audit
00:06:35.040 well it's not the only way but be the main way you do it so i predict that the public
00:06:44.320 is going to learn the importance of audits in a way that they had not before quite appreciated
00:06:50.400 and if the public starts asking for audits and demanding them then the politicians will have to
00:06:59.200 you know they'll have to fold to that so probably the single most important thing we could do
00:07:06.240 for our fiscal health is to make sure there's always an audit in place like a real one
00:07:11.840 uh for everything that has a lot of money involved could it be that the the attention that we're
00:07:20.000 putting in that word and by the way if it wasn't obvious um you know when i turned on my persuasion
00:07:27.440 skills which i don't always do it's because there's some big gain you know i don't do it just to see if
00:07:35.120 i can do it um i use my persuasion when i think there's some gigantic thing we can get out of
00:07:41.760 it and one of the things i'm going to persuade more and more over the next year is the importance of
00:07:49.920 audits i know boring right but if we don't get that right everything falls apart so
00:08:01.520 did you watch a any of the joe rogan interview recently with brett weinstein weinstein brett weinstein
00:08:12.400 and they were talking about aliens and uaps and ancient civilizations well it sounded like joe rogan
00:08:22.400 is on the similar path that i've been on which is there was one time in my past i thought you know
00:08:31.040 maybe maybe there's some ufos you know maybe there's some aliens they're visiting
00:08:37.040 but more recently i ruled that out in favor of the hypothesis that if anything is happening at all
00:08:45.920 you know in other words if these sightings are at all real that the uh the source of them
00:08:54.000 would be our own past so it might be ancient ancient uh aliens who live beneath the ocean it might be
00:09:04.720 some kind of ripple across time from a time when there were aliens with an advanced civilization on
00:09:12.000 earth but it sounded like joe and i'm not so sure about brett but satellite joe has gone from these
00:09:21.360 might be space aliens to the odds of because rogan always has these experts on ancient civilizations to
00:09:31.040 me it now seems obvious i would say 100 obvious that there were advanced civilizations that we don't
00:09:39.680 know much about and that it can't be a coincidence that we've got these giant megalithic structures
00:09:48.560 not in one place but basically in a variety of places around the world and we don't know how to make
00:09:55.520 them well maybe we could with modern equipment but the fact that none of those cultures retained the
00:10:03.040 ability to make those structures it kind of suggests they found them doesn't it so i'm now of the of the
00:10:13.200 working hypothesis that i think matches joe rogan's i'm not positive but i do believe that these are
00:10:21.840 shadows from the past and i think somebody smarter said maybe it was joe that uh no somebody else
00:10:31.120 somebody said that the reason that these sightings seem to defy uh physics is that they're not part of
00:10:40.080 our reality that they might be some kind of a ripple or a bleed through or a temporal distortion
00:10:49.360 i have no idea what i'm talking about but that that they're literally not part of our reality
00:10:55.120 it's just something we can temporarily see and there's the reason is there was something from the
00:11:00.800 past now here's where it gets interesting boarding for flight 246 to toronto is delayed 50 minutes
00:11:08.320 uh what sounds like ojo time play ojo great idea feel the fun with all the latest slots in live
00:11:15.120 casino games and with no wagering requirements what you win is yours to keep groovy hey i won
00:11:24.640 boarding will begin when passenger fisher is done celebrating 19 plus ontario only please play
00:11:29.200 responsibly concerned about your gambling or that of someone close to you call 1-866-531-2600 or visit
00:11:34.000 comics ontario oh uh palmer lucky who's the head of end rule was asked about aliens and i believe he had
00:11:43.520 a very similar take so if your take ever matches palmer lucky's you're lucky because he's one of the
00:11:53.280 smartest people in the world so remember elon musk has said if there were space aliens he would probably
00:12:00.880 know about it but he doesn't know about it and now another genius palmer lucky is also fairly sure that
00:12:10.400 we can rule out a space aliens but it might be something from the past some advanced civilization and
00:12:16.880 it could be that there wasn't just one it could be that there were dozens of advanced civilizations that
00:12:25.120 didn't make it which is a little bit scary if you happen to be an advanced civilization so i don't know
00:12:32.560 about dozens but i'll bet you if there's one i'll bet you there's multiple what do you think
00:12:40.640 and that maybe it's just buried so deep in the sediment that we'll never know but i'm pretty sure
00:12:49.440 there were some advanced civilizations and then i never heard this before but this is also on rogan
00:12:56.000 show did you know that in peru they found these little creatures with three three fingers and three
00:13:03.600 toes that looked like they really were aliens but probably not aliens from space again
00:13:11.360 more more likely some advanced civilization that was here i'm not sure i believe in the aliens yet
00:13:18.880 or or just the creatures i'm not sure i believe the creatures are real but it's fascinating
00:13:26.320 so here's where i'm going to tie this into something now so you know elon is building the
00:13:33.120 encyclopedia galactica which at the moment is named grokopedia but he said he'll change the name
00:13:40.480 to uh encyclopedia galactic i think and his plan is to create a repository of everything we know
00:13:51.920 and to not only have that available to everyone on earth for free i guess but he would put some copies
00:13:59.200 in space so there would be a library in space forever maybe a library on the moon
00:14:08.240 forever maybe one that just floats around the earth in orbit or wherever he can put it so his plan
00:14:15.280 would be if if humans got wiped out there's some future civilization which might be the you know the
00:14:25.120 remaining remnants of of uh of humans they would somehow be able to recover the lost knowledge now
00:14:34.880 that's a heck of a good idea but it raises this possibility what if the earlier civilizations did the
00:14:44.160 same thing what if they found a way to protect everything they knew but they didn't find a way
00:14:52.880 to protect themselves because it would be easier to launch something into space than it would be to
00:14:59.600 you know put a shield around the whole earth assuming some comet was heading this way or something so
00:15:06.240 is it possible that we will someday discover not just that there used to be a advanced civilization
00:15:14.560 but that they saved all of their knowledge that we could unlock it what do you think
00:15:20.640 i i think that's entirely possible because if elon thought of the idea of preserving knowledge
00:15:30.880 what are the what are the odds of an entire prior civilization didn't have anybody who had that idea
00:15:39.440 right and if it's doable it's not yet been done but yeah pretty close if it's doable what are the odds
00:15:48.720 it was doable before think about it now that's a good that's a good christmas conversation isn't it
00:16:02.800 uh even palmer lucky backed me up backed me up and what
00:16:07.440 i do not i do not know all right um speaking of musk and ai he says that the uh the ai that he runs
00:16:23.120 this is his prediction will have more ai compute than everyone else combined in less than five years do you
00:16:32.320 believe that that the elon musk ai called xai will have more compute than all the other sources combined in five years
00:16:46.800 wow and then i say
00:16:51.200 so we're also right at the verge of the self-driving cars being completely self-driving
00:16:56.960 what would it take i asked this morning what would it take to turn your self-driving car into a classroom
00:17:09.120 so suppose you had to commute you know an hour each way but you didn't have to do the driving
00:17:16.640 could you have a 45-minute class you know assuming there's nobody else in the in the vehicle that just
00:17:23.680 teaches you some kind of a skill and every day you get in it says oh hi scott would you like to
00:17:31.840 continue your physics lesson now i saw somebody push back on that and say scott scott
00:17:39.200 people are not going to want to learn from machines you need a human being to teach people
00:17:46.080 otherwise they just they're not going to be feeling it to which i say it's going to look like a human
00:17:52.960 being you know your screen is going to be somebody who is a deep fake who looks exactly like a human
00:18:00.560 looks at acts so you might have like professor feinman teaching you physics and you would absolutely
00:18:08.000 not know the difference you just wouldn't be able to tell and they would be able to customize your lesson
00:18:13.920 uh completely so i think um at the moment we might be in a place where the ai is not as good as the best
00:18:24.480 teacher how long does that get last you know once it looks like a human and once it's way better at
00:18:32.080 learning how to teach and once it's more customized to you specifically which might be the big part
00:18:38.320 it would be way better and you would probably enjoy it so i think uh and then i said that and then
00:18:48.720 somebody pointed me to a link did you know that el salvador has announced a partnership with xai
00:18:58.560 to build a public education program around ai so they're going to use grok as a personalized digital
00:19:07.520 tutor remember this is el salvador so el salvador is weirdly forward thinking you know they're well
00:19:16.480 managed and that they're going to gradually roll down over two years and it will just be you know fully
00:19:24.240 accredited and uh and their their leader bukele said that using xai for their education will be a way
00:19:33.920 to quote leapfrog traditional education so that el salvador can have the best education system in the
00:19:41.120 world in just a couple years all they have to do is go first and they're going first so bukele very smart
00:19:51.440 so if you want a good free education go to el salvador so that made me wonder how many things are going
00:20:01.760 to go to to the price of free so in the united states we still got this accreditation fetish which
00:20:12.320 apparently has been solved for el salvador but um don't you think we're very close
00:20:21.840 to an advanced education the very best advanced education costing you literally nothing
00:20:29.680 so instead of paying 70 70 000 a year for an elite college you could pay zero
00:20:37.760 do it at your own pace and it would be not just as good but way way better than a traditional education
00:20:46.640 so so as i'm watching with interest uh elon musk's idea that eventually everything will be free
00:20:56.320 um there are definitely things that are going to go first and if we can get rid of the uh let's say the
00:21:05.120 roadblocks in the united states which would be teachers unions and accreditation and
00:21:12.480 inertia so if we can get to where you know el salvador is education would be free but the best part
00:21:22.000 about it is if you've ever had kids in the public school system how many of you have had kids
00:21:29.680 recently in the public school system and you don't know nightmare it is right
00:21:39.680 it seems to me that if you put your nice kid in an environment where everybody can go you know it's a
00:21:48.000 public place they will be bullied uh beyond repair so the damage that's done by going to a public school
00:21:59.120 it's really pretty high so there's damage to the family unit because they over they over homework
00:22:06.320 there's a damage to their mental health you can make all of that go away
00:22:10.560 and make you free and we're we basically have the technology to do it already so people don't
00:22:19.680 realize the horror and the torture that they put kids through in public school if you haven't if you
00:22:26.000 haven't observed it personally you would never believe how bad it is so education could go to zero
00:22:34.160 quickly but i've also said that car insurance could go to zero because once once your self-driving car
00:22:43.840 has basically no accidents there's always gonna be tough then then the car maker can just add
00:22:52.160 insurance forever to the purchase price of the car so for an extra thousand dollars purchase price
00:23:01.440 the car maker will cover all your insurance in case you have an accident for the rest of the life of the
00:23:08.720 car so that won't be free but if you compare a one-time thousand dollar cost over the ownership of the car
00:23:18.640 is close to free then somebody mentioned that uh optimus the you know optimus yeah the the robot will
00:23:29.680 soon be able to do child care i thought to myself all right if you compared a human
00:23:37.840 to a robot today for child care you would probably pick the human right but because the humans who do
00:23:47.440 child care are not maybe not as trustworthy as they could be maybe you couldn't watch what they're doing as
00:23:56.000 easily as you could if a robot was working for you and you could just ask the robot what's going on
00:24:03.520 i feel like child care is going to go to the robots really quickly which would make the cost of it
00:24:12.240 you know drop dramatically for example if you already had a robot to clean your house or do ordinary things
00:24:19.840 you could say all right robot for these work hours you're going to be doing child care because the
00:24:27.040 robot doesn't need to rest so as long as you have a robot it can do child care now imagine if somebody
00:24:36.320 broke into your home and tried to you know do something bad to you or your home who would you rather
00:24:42.240 defend it a traditional child care person or a badass robot i think it would be better security
00:24:53.040 it would be less likely to molest your child and it's just going to be better in every way
00:25:00.240 very very quickly and it can do multiple people so your neighbors kids could come over and one robot
00:25:08.080 takes care of you and so your kid is not lonely but you'd have to choose carefully then what about
00:25:16.560 security we're very close to the point where the robots could give you security better than humans
00:25:27.280 partly because you couldn't afford a human partly because you need three humans a day just to cover the
00:25:32.960 24 hours and partly because the robot probably will be stronger and have you know better decision making etc
00:25:41.200 so that's at least four things that could almost immediately drop to
00:25:49.040 no cost at all so i'm not sold entirely on the idea that that money will be worthless
00:25:57.920 but there sure will be a lot of times when that money is not going to look like uh like it used to
00:26:07.760 see what else is happening
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00:26:40.800 so here's a wild uh prediction speaking of elon musk so i've actually predicted this
00:26:48.400 that there will be double digit growth meaning the gdp within 12 to 18 months
00:26:54.000 it's double digit now why that's ridiculous but might be right is that we were all cheering that
00:27:06.400 the gdp went from three five to four five roughly so we got all excited because it was over four percent
00:27:14.880 elon says it's gonna be you know over ten percent within a year maybe a year and a half
00:27:21.760 do you believe that his reasoning is this he says if applied intelligence and that would be ai
00:27:29.120 and robots you know used intelligently is a proxy for economic growth which it should be he says
00:27:37.280 triple digit is possible in less than five years triple digit so now he's going from ten percent a year
00:27:44.640 to over a hundred percent a year if you can do that does money become worthless i don't know i'm having a
00:27:56.240 little bit of trouble intellectually following the argument but it's a fun one now the caution is this i
00:28:05.040 believe i think musk actually said this but i'm not sure uh i believe he is intentionally moving toward a
00:28:12.560 uh optimistic take on everything because you know he's he's so well uh watched that if he has optimism
00:28:24.160 his optimism will spread and become a positive thing and this could be just some of that it could be that
00:28:33.280 he's just being so optimistic that he knows that's a good idea for society it's better to be over
00:28:40.240 optimistic in this at least in this domain than it would be to be a pessimist so i don't know how
00:28:50.240 100 accurate this is to his opinion but it certainly would uh it would meet the target
00:28:57.280 of being optimistic so just to be a uh just to put a wet blanket on this uh mark cuban today
00:29:09.760 was posting that uh he said i agree we're talking about robot tax uh not not we but on x and uh mark
00:29:19.360 cuban posted i agree we need we need to start discussing now what a robot tax would look like
00:29:27.200 like a straight amount per hour of use per robot or cobot doesn't matter what the shape or form is
00:29:35.040 and start coming up with responses to the inevitable quote we won't be able to compete
00:29:40.240 economically with other countries robots so of course people will say hey you can't put a tax on
00:29:46.640 my robot china will get ahead um he says every country will face the prospect of national instability 0.58
00:29:55.360 if the economics get out of whack which is far more expensive than what you were paying in taxes on
00:30:01.600 your robots now i reposted this but that doesn't mean i agree with it so i would say i'm early in the
00:30:11.440 process of thinking about it on one hand if musk is right that money will become worthless very quickly
00:30:20.960 then talk of taxing doesn't make sense just why tax money doesn't isn't worth anything but there should be
00:30:30.720 some interim period in which money is worth something and we need more of it so it does seem to me that it
00:30:41.680 would be unavoidable for the government to put some kind of tax on it and the theory would be hey if you're
00:30:49.920 really increasing your productivity by triple digits are you telling me that doesn't create any extra money
00:30:57.120 money for paying down our debt and with a little bit of tax because the domain would be enormous so
00:31:07.360 you wouldn't have to tax it 50 percent per robot maybe i'm just going to take a swing maybe five percent
00:31:15.440 tax per the value of each robot something like that uh would that be enough to pay down the debt
00:31:22.400 or at least get us out of an emergency situation with the debt while we wait for the day when money is
00:31:29.520 worthless so there's there's the the interim transitionary part that's a little vague how
00:31:38.160 that's going to work if it works at all but i do agree with him that there's going to be a conversation
00:31:45.600 i hate using that term but but we do need to get serious about thinking uh will robots be taxed
00:31:54.240 i i tend to agree with him that if we taxed our robots a little bit it wouldn't put us behind
00:32:02.560 compared to say china if we overtax them yeah then of course right so there's probably some number 1.00
00:32:10.320 that doesn't hurt you at all in the same way that the tariffs didn't hurt us like we thought they
00:32:16.720 would economics is so unpredictable that it's really hard to know uh if and when a tax on robots
00:32:26.160 makes sense you know your common sense might not be up to the task i feel that's in my case i feel like
00:32:34.880 my common sense which usually works pretty well you know not that there is common sense but i don't know
00:32:44.720 do not know
00:32:48.080 all right in other news i think we're ready for a sip
00:32:54.560 poop
00:32:54.800 all right i'm just going to rest and uh look at your comments for a minute
00:33:09.280 if you want less of something tax it yeah
00:33:14.000 yep
00:33:16.880 so i guess trump wants the uh the vaccine schedule for childhood to be totally changed
00:33:24.800 from 72 doses when the kids born basically all the way down to 11. so that would be similar to
00:33:32.880 denmark what do you think of that is that a good idea i don't know i'm no doctor
00:33:42.240 but people are definitely worried about loading up little babies with too much vaccinations in the
00:33:47.840 beginning so it seems like there's at least a good argument for stretching amount and if we can look
00:33:58.080 to denmark as our model of what works and what doesn't well maybe that's a little bit safer so i
00:34:05.920 don't have an opinion on this um i will default to people who are much smarter i'll just note that it's
00:34:14.080 happening well the company called grok with a q on the end instead of the k at the end which i believe
00:34:23.520 is one of uh chamas companies uh from the allen pod i think he was key investor in that um apparently
00:34:33.200 they've got some kind of deal uh i heard yesterday that they sold the company
00:34:38.960 company but maybe it's just a working deal so they've got some kind of ai inference technology
00:34:46.960 that uh open ai was interested in so it looks like a big win for chamath chamath
00:34:56.080 congratulations that's a very big win uh somebody said something like four billion dollars
00:35:02.560 i don't know what the real numbers are but they're big numbers so he's been busting his butt on this
00:35:08.560 startup and uh wow wow that's very impressive good work chamath
00:35:20.240 um i saw a quote today from a writer from blaze media that i really liked so jt young writing from
00:35:28.880 blaze media um said democrats caused the affordability crisis with their progressive policies and now
00:35:38.480 pretend to be shocked by it but here's the fun part uh
00:35:46.160 democrats are now left with a single strategy campaigning on the consequences of their own
00:35:52.400 incompetence and hoping voters forget who caused them that is such a good reframe
00:35:58.880 um so the democrats are only the only thing they have is affordability and they're the ones who caused
00:36:07.280 the problem and it's unlikely they have a solution that's pretty funny
00:36:16.320 did you know that the dnc itself that's the democrat organization is also in debt unlike the republicans
00:36:24.720 the dnc is 16 million dollars in debt does it seem to you that democrats overspend in every category
00:36:35.600 including their own organization and it just doesn't seem like republicans are doing that
00:36:42.400 so republicans have a nice little war chest
00:36:45.440 well rand paul came out with his festivus report for 2025 he found 1.6 trillion in wasted fraud
00:36:59.840 1.6 trillion in wasted fraud now people will debate how much of that is wasted fraud
00:37:10.720 but i always say the first trillion is the easiest to spot you once you get that first trillion
00:37:18.560 now do you believe that there's 1.6 trillion in wasted fraud that he could find i do
00:37:27.200 you know i've said this now a number of times i could not understand the world
00:37:31.760 you know the political world you know the political world unless the fraud numbers were over a trillion
00:37:38.960 dollars a year and apparently they are they're over a trillion dollars a year and apparently it's also
00:37:47.040 identifiable that's the weird part it's totally identifiable
00:37:52.320 all right here's a funny story you you've heard that some north koreans had figured out how to get
00:38:01.760 jobs at amazon and they just acted like they were remote workers and apparently amazon has blocked 1800
00:38:10.480 job apps from the suspected north korean agents who when they get a job they just do the job
00:38:20.000 and then they get paid and they give the money to presumably the regime
00:38:24.880 now the first time i heard this story i assumed that the reason that the north koreans were doing this
00:38:33.760 was to get access to our technology and maybe to you know do some mischief
00:38:41.040 but it looks like maybe their their primary motive maybe not the only motive but their primary motive
00:38:47.840 is just to get a job and to and to put the money into the regime which would suggest that their
00:38:56.560 incentive is to do the very best job they could because not only could they get fired but they could get
00:39:05.760 executed so it could turn out that they've always been the best employees amazon's ever had
00:39:12.640 because you'd have to be really smart to pull off the deception but if you didn't pull it off right
00:39:20.880 what does the dear leader in north korea do to you does he execute you i mean it's a dangerous place
00:39:28.640 so the ironic and funny thing is that you know obviously they have to stop it you know they have to
00:39:34.480 plug that hole which they've done but is it possible that they've always been their best employees
00:39:42.080 and that they would have continued to be their best employees because what they really wanted was a job
00:39:51.920 anyway i think that's funny at capital one we're more than just a credit card company
00:39:58.960 we're people just like you who believe in the power of yes yes to new opportunities yes to second
00:40:05.840 chances yes to a fresh start that's why we've helped over four million canadians get access
00:40:11.920 to a credit card because at capital one we say yes so you don't have to hear another no what will
00:40:18.000 you do with your yes get the yes you've been waiting for at capital one dot ca slash yes terms and conditions apply
00:40:26.160 well did you hear there's another million epstein records that they didn't know about
00:40:31.600 so suddenly they found another million records so if you thought that the release of the epstein file
00:40:42.240 was already too slow what do you think by the fact that it's moving backwards that there are more
00:40:49.600 unreleased files today than there were a month ago and that every day that goes by instead of fewer
00:40:57.920 unreleased documents that there are actually more of them well this would suggest that the trickle
00:41:05.440 theory i've talked about might be in play that if they could add another million that don't have any
00:41:12.320 real value then they can say well here's another ten thousand well here's another ten thousand and they
00:41:20.080 would never have to get to the bottom of the barrel so that they could always argue we're working as hard
00:41:25.920 as we can and we're doing our best but we keep finding all these files and you want to know about
00:41:32.240 them right so it's suspicious as hell and how do you lose a million documents in the first place
00:41:41.440 but i went to grok this morning to try to see if i could do any kind of a good job of summarizing
00:41:51.440 the mike ben's theory about epstein would you like to hear my best take using grok so it's not my take
00:42:01.120 it's mike ben's who i asked grok to summarize would you like to hear my best take on how the epstein thing
00:42:12.160 makes sense that we don't know as much as we should know i don't know if that's still interesting
00:42:18.720 because if you're a little bit of a repeat i'm just looking at your answers right now
00:42:27.600 you'll never see the files
00:42:29.040 all right so i will try to use my skills for summarizing on top of grok's skills for summarizing
00:42:44.480 on top of the key research done by mike benz who's great at summarizing but he starts with a very large
00:42:53.040 body of of work all right let's see how i can do this so again credit to mike ben's um
00:43:04.480 so back in 1976 epstein joined the company bear stearns where he was not exactly qualified
00:43:14.800 um and he handled accounts for a bank called bcci that i guess was some kind of subsidiary of bear
00:43:25.840 stearns and bcci is well known as being we know this now uh the the bank for the cia
00:43:35.600 so it was specifically used by um not only great britain and saudi arabia but the united states
00:43:45.840 to launder money through the for their intelligence agencies right so the first the first hint that
00:43:55.200 epstein was cia is that he worked for the cia bank obviously he knew what he was doing
00:44:03.040 all right so you got that going on he definitely 100 chance epstein knew he was working for
00:44:12.240 intelligence agencies and it was one of the biggest ones of the time completely confirmed
00:44:19.680 you don't have to guess if they were part of the cia that's all proven you know nobody debases
00:44:27.360 it all right but how in the world did he get that job well uh he began his career upsteen did as a
00:44:37.280 math and physics teacher at this elite dalton school in new york city now the weird part is he did not have
00:44:45.600 the credentials to be a teacher of those topics or any topics um so how did he get that job well the
00:44:56.000 the the person running that school was donald bar who coincidentally or not was the father of bill
00:45:05.920 bar now donald bar was known again these are confirmed facts he was known to be an employee of the oss
00:45:17.040 which was a precursor of the cia so now we have confirmed
00:45:21.920 we have confirmed that epstein was part of this big bank that was the cia we have confirmed that he
00:45:28.960 got a job that he probably wasn't qualified for thanks to somebody who was literally on the payroll
00:45:36.320 of the cia and his precursor now what you might not know is that donald bar was also associated with
00:45:45.040 cover-up cover-ups and cleanups so he would be known as somebody who you know hid things so that
00:45:53.440 the public did not find out about them and epstein worked for him now his son bill bar also was on the
00:46:04.000 payroll of the cia while he was going to law school so both the father and the son are confirmed to have
00:46:12.080 been on a cia or pre-cia payroll bill bar the younger one you know as the attorney general in the first
00:46:23.920 trump administration and also the attorney general in the second do you remember who told you that uh
00:46:32.960 the epstein committed suicide well the person who was sort of in charge of determining that was bill
00:46:41.280 bar and he literally is from a family of cia cover-up people
00:46:50.160 this is all true this is it's amazing all right so uh benton's argues that epstein's rapid rise within
00:46:58.640 bear stearns remember bear stearns was the entity uh that's working with that uh cork and bank
00:47:06.240 uh despite a questionable resume says rock um was that he was he was doing these cia transactions
00:47:16.800 so he had a rapid career rise so he worked on trades connected to bcci which were clearing billions of
00:47:24.720 dollars for intel agencies like the cia and mi6 and saudi led saudi led safari club whatever that is all right
00:47:33.520 so now we know epstein was definitely cia there's no doubt about it and we know that his connections
00:47:44.880 were with a senior bar who was a cover-up guy and also junior bar who was a cia cover-up guy
00:47:53.280 so he has a strong connection to two cia cover-up guys
00:48:00.880 um going further there was this gentleman named stand pottinger who i'd never heard of until
00:48:08.720 benz so stan pottinger was a i guess he's well known today as a cia mop-up man in other words he was a
00:48:19.040 cover-up guy for the cia so you got two bars senior and junior who were both on the payroll
00:48:30.720 and they're both cover-up guys but the stan pottinger was the ultimate cover-up guy
00:48:36.880 and uh he covered for let's see the mlk assassination when people were asking if the cia was involved
00:48:47.200 the civil rights movement in a number of ways watergate uh operation condor and ben says that
00:48:56.000 pottinger appeared in quote every cia scandal of the 60s and 70s so that if anything needs to be
00:49:04.080 covered up you would always find pottinger but what does pottinger have to do with anybody well
00:49:11.120 uh pottinger was epstein's roommate during the early 80s pottinger was his roommate
00:49:24.160 so the three most famous cia cover-up guys had a confirmed and definite close relationship
00:49:32.960 with epstein epstein epstein was so deeply embedded with the cia that he's the guy who signed off on
00:49:43.440 moving the cia's airline which they used for you know moving uh i think they use it for around contra
00:49:50.880 and some other stuff so cia had his own plane that they used for sketchy stuff and somehow epstein got to
00:50:00.000 sign off on moving that to be the private plane of the limited which is remember that uh i believe
00:50:08.000 that was the company for victoria secrets remember his his his billionaire friend owned uh his billionaire
00:50:18.000 friend owned victoria secrets so how in the world benz asks would epstein be able to move a cia plane
00:50:29.680 from one ownership to the other unless unless he was deeply embedded with the cia or they wanted him to
00:50:38.480 do it all right so did that a summary work once you realize that his closest associations yeah wexler was
00:50:50.960 ahead of the limit once you realize that his closest associations were cia cover-up guys are you surprised
00:51:00.960 that we're not seeing all the files you should not be surprised there's really no way we're going to see
00:51:08.320 all the files now i would imagine that the good stuff has already been deleted from the files a long
00:51:15.840 time ago i assume but even if it hadn't been you're never going to see it you will never see it
00:51:24.320 it so how many for how many of you did that answer your questions this is a little bit confusing but
00:51:34.080 once you know the players and that's what mike benz does so well he figures out who the players are and
00:51:39.920 how they're connected every bit of this by the way is from public records so i don't think
00:51:47.120 there's anything i said that's not a publicly documented beyond any question
00:51:52.800 yeah mike bert it's old news for you i i think it's old news for a number of people but it's still hard
00:52:03.920 to hold it all in your head isn't it that that's the problem i was having it's like okay pottinger bar
00:52:11.360 senior junior bcci uh what's the name of that bank bear stearns but but once you realize
00:52:19.120 uh i guess there's maybe half a dozen names once you realize how those half a dozen names fit together
00:52:27.600 right and then then you look at uh his his friend there uh good lady maxwell wasn't her father intel 1.00
00:52:39.440 so here's the question bar was clinton's cover-up guy for the drug running yeah so so also um bill
00:52:59.200 bar was hired as attorney general under george bush senior who had been the head of the cia
00:53:07.680 so that's yet another confirmed cia connection
00:53:15.680 and uh yeah and he he had a connection to kashoggi who was this big arms dealer for
00:53:23.680 at least until he got bone sawed
00:53:25.120 so
00:53:32.080 anyway
00:53:34.080 that answered all my questions about epstein
00:53:41.600 well the mcdonald's there's a mcdonald's and uh in minneapolis
00:53:46.400 that you can't get in unless somebody unlocks the door for you because there's too much mischief and
00:53:53.680 crime i remember a time when you could just go to mcdonald's and walk in and order something
00:54:01.120 and now it's so dangerous even to be in public in minnesota that they've got the door locked
00:54:07.920 and they check you out before they let you in to get a hamburger
00:54:11.680 oh no you're not getting near our hamburgers unless we feel safe
00:54:18.800 here's a weird one so apparently the trump administration did an eo
00:54:23.120 to force indiana to keep open some power plants some coal power plants that they were going to close
00:54:32.160 and it made me wonder how can the federal government
00:54:36.400 tell a state to keep a coal plant open what what authority would allow you to do that
00:54:42.960 it's not exactly national defense so seems to me that indiana might challenge that and win
00:54:52.400 because i don't see an executive order having that kind of power over a state but i could be surprised
00:55:00.320 um you heard that the military was going to use grok the ai apparently they also are going to use
00:55:15.840 gemini which should be a competing ai so i don't know if they've thought this through
00:55:22.720 is it a good idea to have two major ais in the military or should they have put all their
00:55:32.880 all their chips in grok because it will be better you know grok would be better than gemini
00:55:40.160 but is it a mistake that the military might have two different major ais i don't know maybe one keeps
00:55:48.320 the other one from being too adventurous i don't know there might be an argument for it
00:55:55.840 meanwhile russia wants to put a nuclear power plant on the moon within a decade do you believe that russia
00:56:03.360 has the technical capability to put a nuclear power plant on the moon within a decade and how would
00:56:11.680 they get there would they rent space on a spacex would uh would they build the power plant here
00:56:21.600 and then pay elon musk to take it to the moon or do they have that capability i don't know i'm not
00:56:28.880 sure sure they can pull that off but maybe maybe ai will let them pull it off
00:56:34.720 all right i saw a clip of palmer lucky speaking of palmer lucky and he's the ceo of and founder of
00:56:47.440 anduril who's making high-tech weapons for the u.s now apparently he's figured out how to make a
00:56:56.000 missile that you could produce in something like a car manufacturing line now why that's a big deal
00:57:03.920 is that you could take a hundred thousand dollar missile and make it a thousand dollar missile
00:57:09.760 that'd be just as good if you could manufacture it more efficiently and you could quickly change over
00:57:16.800 your domestic manufacturing from whatever it was already doing to uh to make missiles
00:57:25.120 he he claims this pretty good argument that china would have to think twice about attacking 0.99
00:57:32.960 because if china thought haha we can make missiles faster than they can we'll just wait till they 0.95
00:57:39.680 run out of missiles then maybe they would get adventurous but if they knew we can make missiles
00:57:46.720 for a thousand dollars a piece and we could in let's say two weeks convert a car assembly line into a
00:57:54.000 missile maker then they would have to worry that we could make cheaper better smarter faster 0.91
00:58:01.680 missiles than they do because we did better with manufacturing i don't know if you beat china 0.99
00:58:08.160 in manufacturing but it's interesting argument so i've noticed that um elon musk and palmer lucky
00:58:19.360 have one thing in common besides being geniuses um that they put they put a high value in
00:58:27.040 the ability to quickly manufacture
00:58:30.640 um and if you take the quickly manufacture part seriously then everything changes so militarily it's
00:58:39.440 a big deal but profit wise it's an even bigger deal i think i told you yesterday that
00:58:45.920 musk thinks they can get the production of the autocab that would be the one that has no steering wheel
00:58:52.640 it'd be self-driving he thinks he can get that down to five seconds per unit
00:58:59.520 so that from beginning to end i think that's what that means or maybe it just means that
00:59:06.000 yeah it would have to be from beginning then that it would be so efficient
00:59:09.520 that it would just go boom and five seconds you would have a new vehicle that's his goal five seconds
00:59:19.600 so good luck china beating five seconds 0.80
00:59:23.520 so i think that might be that's all i want to talk about today
00:59:37.440 beau somebody named beau who's being a problem
00:59:44.000 they have a long view of history
00:59:45.680 all right let me look at your comments and hang out for with you for a while
01:00:01.600 uh you're used to being ahead of everybody
01:00:03.840 sir we can always whip the wii or software yeah
01:00:17.440 you know cold dust on the fiddle it's funny
01:00:23.680 yeah it's not building yeah okay i think you're right
01:00:27.600 it's one coming off the assembly line every five minutes that's different
01:00:40.160 existing plants are once every minute is that true
01:00:49.200 interesting i would not have known the answer to that question but
01:00:53.280 a minute feels about right for yeah
01:01:02.320 oh nice dog pictures
01:01:09.440 hey look at me
01:01:14.160 well thank you thank you thank you yeah
01:01:18.720 bobber lucky's sister is married to matt gates true small world
01:01:34.960 yeah and the girls were a party favor probably so it makes you wonder what other bad behavior
01:01:42.240 people linked to the cia get away with if epstein was getting away with this stuff
01:01:48.720 because he was valuable to the cia how many other people fall in that category
01:01:59.360 how many indeed
01:02:02.880 he's got a boat
01:02:09.600 what am i having for breakfast you know i'm not going to tell you
01:02:18.720 happy birthday denom what
01:02:28.880 oh you liked it so did my summary of the mike ben's thing add to what you knew
01:02:38.400 or to pull it together i hate to step on his
01:02:42.000 i think that was good work especially if i'm making it worse
01:02:47.200 but i just feel like we had to we just had to
01:02:50.880 get that summary down a little bit it's really hard to summarize
01:03:09.040 uh you want a steering wheel in the back seat
01:03:12.880 well yeah obviously i credited him as much as possible i'm very impressed with his work
01:03:26.880 you know i've said this before but when i think of him i always think of the marvel
01:03:32.480 universe and there's a famous line in the marvel movies
01:03:37.040 where whoever says i don't know somebody says we have a hulk who says that is it tony stark
01:03:47.120 who's the person in the uh in the superhero movies who says we have a hulk
01:03:57.360 well whoever says it it makes me think of ben's because we have a ben's
01:04:03.120 they don't really have one of those and without him we would not have been able to penetrate the ngo stuff 0.97
01:04:12.800 or the epstein stuff to the you know by far the biggest things going so and we have a victor david
01:04:22.080 handson you know we have a we have a me we have i don't want to say we have a joe rogan because i
01:04:31.200 prefer to think of him as an independent but uh he's definitely not anti-trump and we have an elon musk
01:04:44.720 but think about it yeah we have we have a cerdovich
01:04:49.440 i can go down the line and come up with another 10 names but we seem to have people who are just way
01:04:56.960 better at stuff uh things you didn't even know needed to happen but uh
01:05:06.320 yeah we have a dated republican they don't have that
01:05:12.880 but really if you watch any of the left-leaning content which i've started to do as much as possible
01:05:19.360 like the bulwark etc it's mostly just gossipers like what makes you famous or successful on the
01:05:28.720 left is that you're good at insulting republicans you're good at the gossip so that seems to be what
01:05:37.040 they they value oh you did a really good job of insulting trump so we'll watch your show but on the right
01:05:44.800 right there's some kind of competence thing that people are valuing the people on the right can tell
01:05:53.600 the difference between what is really useful and what is just a bunch of insults now i would i would
01:06:02.800 suggest that i've trained an entire republican party about persuasion and also reframing
01:06:11.440 so if you take just those two contributions that just i did persuasion and reframing who did that on
01:06:20.400 their side who taught the democrats how to do that nobody they don't have a me so they don't have a mike
01:06:29.760 bens they don't have a me they don't have an elon musk um they always complain that they don't have a
01:06:36.320 joe rogan but again he's he's i call him an independent but he's super useful yeah they
01:06:45.920 they have a rob reiner the best guy was rob reiner and stephen king the avengers yes thank you
01:06:58.400 canada can be a global leader in reducing the harm caused by smoking but it requires actionable steps now is
01:07:05.520 the time to modernize canadian laws so that adult smokers have information and access to better
01:07:11.200 alternatives by doing so we can create lasting change if you don't smoke don't start if you smoke
01:07:18.720 quit if you don't quit change visit unsmoke.ca yep uh again i hate to say that we have an elon musk
01:07:30.160 because i also think of him as an independent but i get it i know why you're saying it
01:07:39.280 and when you look at their historians their historians are basically just insulters
01:07:45.840 that they just use history to insult trump well obviously he's a fascist but you go to victor davis
01:07:54.160 hansen and he's giving you this incredible context that really puts everything you know in order
01:08:01.280 completely different completely different yeah we have one of them they don't
01:08:06.640 we have a dennis miller i don't hear much from him
01:08:17.280 yep they have a james carville and joy reed you're right so some of their
01:08:24.720 some of their most notable people are just idiots so what it takes to be notable on the left
01:08:35.840 is to be wildly lying like the designated liars and to be good at insulting or if you're rachel maddow
01:08:47.120 to be good at faceless while you insult have you ever watched her face while she thinks she has
01:08:53.280 something i'm so happy because i've got something bad to say about a republican about trump oh my god
01:09:02.080 i can't get this smile this this smoke smile off my face oh and oh my god it's so cringe
01:09:13.680 yeah her face screams mental illness and i mean that seriously not as an insult it screams mental illness 0.99
01:09:22.560 yeah they had they have a tim waltz oh my god they have a they have a governor newsom
01:09:34.000 are you fucking kidding me we we have a ron desantis and they have a tim waltz come on come on 0.95
01:09:42.800 are you gonna put them in the same bag no no we we have a trump and they had a kamala harris right
01:09:58.240 right we had a trump and they had the kamala harris these are not competitive you know because the way
01:10:07.120 the system is set up she could still come within striking distance but there's no way that they
01:10:15.200 have any kind of equal talent set you know trump's talent stack is extraordinary and she didn't have
01:10:21.600 any she had no talent at all they have an eric swalwell and we've got someone
01:10:31.280 i'm running out of names yeah they have a jasmine crockett
01:10:42.160 so but so even if you let me pick another name even if you didn't like ted cruz you're smarter than
01:10:50.880 most of them right we've got a ted cruz and they've got they've got some lying weasels 0.96
01:11:01.280 they have most of the fraud now i will give them mark cuban because i think he has you know like a
01:11:11.440 real brain um but he doesn't he's not really utilized in in a strong way politically uh and maybe he
01:11:24.160 shouldn't be because he's you know it would be interfere with his businesses they have a dan goldberg
01:11:30.160 oh my god
01:11:36.800 yeah we've got a thomas massey not everybody likes that i happen to like it
01:11:44.320 but what about uh michael schellenberger who do they have that matches matt taibbi
01:11:50.640 and michael schellenberger nobody nobody
01:12:05.280 uh they used to have the ceo of starbucks he wasn't that involved
01:12:09.520 yeah we have rand paul they have bernie good one yeah they have bernie and we have rand paul again
01:12:21.680 these are not equivalents
01:12:22.960 even well glenn greenwald i would still call him an independent but he has certainly uh been useful
01:12:39.280 people to the right
01:12:47.040 uh we have guff held they have kimmel perfect perfect so we have the number one guy for late night uh
01:12:55.120 political stuff greg guff health and they've got three people who are really weak
01:13:01.200 probably won't even be in business in a little while
01:13:07.920 yep
01:13:10.400 now am i am i just being biased or is it super obvious
01:13:16.400 that the talent on the right exceeds the talent on the left do you agree with the hypothesis
01:13:24.400 first of all would you say that's true or am i just imagining it because i want it to be true
01:13:32.160 i might be
01:13:35.040 yeah we have megan kelly who's there megan kelly joy reid they don't have anything that yeah
01:13:46.480 i don't think democrats have anything that would equal a megan kelly 0.96
01:13:51.360 do they i can't think of anybody
01:14:03.360 we have meritocracy and they don't well maddo okay well i will give you that maddo gets a big audience
01:14:13.360 and she can make a dent but she's so insane she only works one day a week 1.00
01:14:19.040 i don't know you could argue that the right has a fuentes problem um and i would argue that's true
01:14:28.720 it has to be well managed
01:14:30.080 jake tapper laura luber yeah laura luber is in her own category
01:14:45.120 um you could have one to rip in and you want about her but she's she kind of stands alone there's there 1.00
01:14:53.120 not two laura luber's
01:14:59.920 we have mark levin i don't i don't know if mark levin
01:15:06.160 fits into this model or not he's kind of his own guy i mean obviously he's right leading but
01:15:12.960 i wouldn't put him in the same conversation as the others
01:15:20.000 they do have john stewart but he can't make a dent
01:15:25.360 oh we have scott jennings right we have scott jennings and they have jasmine crockett again 0.84
01:15:32.160 not close those are not close
01:15:41.920 they have rosie o'donnell and the key keeper
01:15:48.240 all right that's enough of this
01:15:49.520 has everybody opened their presence yet
01:16:00.640 are you opening your presence yeah we have a caroline levitt and they had that weird one again not even
01:16:09.680 close
01:16:12.960 we have nicki menage i guess i wouldn't count that one
01:16:18.960 all right who else is having a delicious meal soon
01:16:26.560 i'm just hanging out with you now
01:16:28.000 yeah we have roseanne and they have i don't know what
01:16:41.840 they have adam schiff adam schiff yeah we have adam carolla and they have adam schiff again
01:16:51.600 not even close i'll take adam carolla every time
01:16:58.000 so we have dr drew and they have everybody who lied to us about the pandemic
01:17:20.800 i wouldn't say we have dr drew because i also think he would be considered an independent
01:17:28.000 um
01:17:30.560 but you know what i mean
01:17:33.680 you do have me you totally have me
01:17:42.960 they used to have rfk jr now we have rfk jr
01:17:48.880 again rfk jr is not a creature of the right
01:17:53.040 right he just happens to be smart enough to to know how to work productively with the right
01:18:00.560 which is a superpower
01:18:01.840 yep we ever got felled they don't
01:18:16.400 absolutely
01:18:16.960 mm-hmm speaking of greg
01:18:24.960 merry christmas greg
01:18:27.280 if you're listening
01:18:28.080 all right
01:18:37.040 i'm tempted to sign off
01:18:41.200 but on the other hand
01:18:45.920 i'm tempted to just hang out so i'll tell you what i'll do
01:18:49.600 i'll hang out for another five minutes okay
01:18:52.160 so that it doesn't seem abrupt
01:18:53.920 another five minutes and then get back to what you were doing
01:18:58.240 oh yeah we have tulsi they don't
01:19:01.920 all right
01:19:14.720 all right people
01:19:15.440 i think we're winding down a little bit
01:19:20.160 got family stuff to do
01:19:21.440 you won't miss anything if you leave now
01:19:26.080 we did all the good stuff already
01:19:29.120 we have scott bessens good one
01:19:32.960 and they have
01:19:35.600 we don't know
01:19:39.040 they have that too late guy
01:19:43.600 yep we have scott bessens
01:19:45.200 they have paul krugman perfect
01:20:11.520 perfect way to end
01:20:13.440 all right everybody
01:20:16.320 stay dry
01:20:17.760 stay cool
01:20:19.280 see you tomorrow
01:20:25.840 oh no
01:20:28.000 it is not ending
01:20:29.920 looks like i'm gonna have to close it and reopen it just to end it
01:20:42.480 we have both up
01:20:44.560 doors
01:20:49.120 so
01:20:51.200 we have not to close it
01:20:52.320 so
01:20:53.360 we have to go
01:20:56.800 now
01:21:00.080 so
01:21:04.080 that everyone