Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 3056 CWSA 12⧸28⧸25

00:00:00.480 We're getting ready for the show, the podcast you love the most, as far as I know.

00:00:08.580 Come on in here, we've got a sip to do.

00:00:11.680 We've got some flood news.

00:00:14.820 I'm going to put some stuff in context for you.

00:00:21.420 As soon as I get this working.

00:00:24.560 Yay.

00:00:25.860 Got a good cat picture for you.

00:00:30.000 Do, do, do, do, do.

00:00:33.380 Come on in.

00:00:35.780 Hey, what's this?

00:00:37.760 It's the Dilbert 2026 calendar.

00:00:40.020 They're still available.

00:00:42.140 Limited quantities available.

00:00:45.600 But if you don't have yours yet, Amazon is the only place to get it.

00:00:51.860 All right.

00:00:52.760 We've got a lot to talk about.

00:00:54.120 And I always wondered if there's some number of attendees I should wait for before I start.

00:01:02.880 It'll be a weird day because it's Sunday.

00:01:07.440 It's a holiday.

00:01:09.900 People are in church.

00:01:11.260 People with the family.

00:01:13.480 But I think it's time.

00:01:14.760 For this simultaneous sip, and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tanker, chalice,

00:01:20.980 or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:25.820 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:27.220 I like coffee.

00:01:28.980 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:01:32.020 The dopamine of the day.

00:01:33.240 The thing that makes everything better.

00:01:36.780 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:01:38.200 It happens now.

00:01:39.540 Go.

00:01:39.820 Oh, exquisite.

00:01:51.480 Well, I have a clarification slash correction.

00:01:57.860 Sort of.

00:01:58.580 So yesterday, I talked about a story in the news in which Japan had just successfully tested

00:02:06.880 beaming electricity from, or energy, I guess, electricity via a microwave beam from space

00:02:16.200 to Earth.

00:02:18.540 So the idea is you could put big solar panels floating in space.

00:02:22.780 It could gather up the electricity and shoot it to Earth.

00:02:28.960 And they had shown that they could do that on a small scale.

00:02:32.420 And I said that that would be a big game changer if they could scale that up.

00:02:39.180 Well, I mistakenly believed that Elon Musk agreed with my take.

00:02:46.300 But it's actually the opposite.

00:02:47.980 So Elon responded to that story.

00:02:51.180 A lot of people had asked him about it, I guess.

00:02:53.380 And said that he's often asked about beaming electricity from space, from solar panels.

00:03:00.760 And I mistakenly believed he said that was a good idea.

00:03:06.020 But what he was talking about, and only, the only thing he was talking about, because he

00:03:11.460 says that could never work, there's, you know, there are reasons in physics, which he understands

00:03:18.640 that I don't, that would make it really impractical or impossible to scale it up.

00:03:24.600 But if you were generating it in space, but also built your, let's say, your AI data center

00:03:31.740 in space, you could use the electricity in space.

00:03:36.320 And that would be almost unlimited, because you would be above our cloud cover, and you

00:03:42.980 could be where the sun always gets you.

00:03:45.240 So it'd never be nighttime if you were that solar panel.

00:03:49.500 So the clarification is that at least in terms of what Elon says, and I will not disagree with

00:03:57.260 him, that there's no practical way to make that a dominant energy source for the terrestrial

00:04:04.840 folks.

00:04:07.660 However, you might cynically or skeptically say, Scott, Scott, Scott, you simpleton, don't

00:04:18.620 you know, that even though it was Japan that announced this breakthrough, that it almost certainly

00:04:26.760 is a cover for some kind of space-based weapon.

00:04:31.400 Because if you had, if you had something that generated a lot of electricity floating above

00:04:40.220 the earth, and you could microwave that as something, that would be a good way to shoot

00:04:47.360 down, you know, any kind of a space-based weapon on the other team.

00:04:53.180 Because although that microwave beam apparently is an inefficient way to carry electricity, you

00:04:59.860 know, through the atmosphere, it might be just what you need to shoot down a, you know, some

00:05:07.920 kind of a threat from space.

00:05:10.940 So even the, even the press release on that might be a cover for something military.

00:05:20.940 Maybe.

00:05:21.460 Maybe.

00:05:22.460 Speaking of charging things electrically over space, apparently Tesla just filed a patent

00:05:33.280 on something that would allow you to charge your electric vehicle without plugging it in.

00:05:39.800 So Tesla apparently has a plan, which I believe will be applied to the cybercab, which allegedly

00:05:51.240 don't, won't even have a charging port.

00:05:54.320 So the idea is that the cybercab, maybe first, I don't know, will not need a port if it gets

00:06:03.920 close to something that's, you know, designed to work that way, it will wirelessly charge

00:06:10.640 your vehicle.

00:06:11.940 Now, what I'm not sure about, but I saw some, I guess, estimates that that would also apply

00:06:22.660 to your existing Tesla that has a charging port, but there might be some way to also wirelessly

00:06:29.960 charge it.

00:06:30.560 That part, I don't know, but I think more reliably, it's true that the cybercab will

00:06:38.400 be using it and not have a charging port.

00:06:41.480 That's got to be the last thing that Tesla needed to make everyone buy one, because even 1.00

00:06:49.300 though, you know, it might be 30 minutes to charge your car and it's not really hard to

00:06:54.580 plug it in, wouldn't you like to not get out of your car?

00:06:58.340 So with the current technology, you have to always get out of your car, right?

00:07:05.520 Even if you're just plugging it in for an electric charge.

00:07:08.940 That little bit of work where you have to get out of your car and the weather might not

00:07:14.260 be ideal, it's probably a big deal.

00:07:17.020 I don't own one, but I imagine I would be very, very happy if it drove to the charging station

00:07:25.860 on its own when it needed to, and then it charged itself without me touching it and without

00:07:33.940 me getting out.

00:07:35.120 That would be a whole different experience.

00:07:36.920 So, you know, these seem like small changes, but I'll bet it's not small.

00:07:46.020 So here's something that happened to me yesterday that freaked me out a little bit.

00:07:53.940 And I think, I think this is an accurate statement of what happened.

00:07:59.100 Does anybody need an extra sip?

00:08:00.580 If it came in late, extra Sunday sip.

00:08:10.260 So because of my, you know, advanced age and because of my health situation, I had started

00:08:20.320 to write down some facts about myself.

00:08:23.040 Just for posterity, basically.

00:08:27.300 So I was recording some, you know, timeline things.

00:08:32.620 And it turns out that using AI to learn about my own life was the best way to do it.

00:08:43.180 For example, I couldn't remember, you know, what years I worked at the phone company, you

00:08:51.780 know, what years I worked at the, the bank, but it's on Wikipedia and you can get that kind

00:08:59.520 of stuff using AI.

00:09:01.580 So I was messing around with Gemini.

00:09:04.800 Gemini would be the Google version of AI.

00:09:08.920 And I asked something about my own life.

00:09:12.300 And it used as a source, the Google document that I was using to compile that information, which

00:09:23.240 was brand new.

00:09:25.540 That's right.

00:09:27.180 Google's AI used as a source document, a private document that I just created using Google

00:09:39.460 tools.

00:09:40.060 Do you know how freaky that was?

00:09:43.360 And it told me that's where I got it.

00:09:45.980 It said I got it from this document that is literally the document I just created.

00:09:53.540 So it was a little bit of circular because I was looking for it to, you know, validate the

00:09:58.960 dates that I guessed.

00:10:01.340 And instead of validating it, it could find that I had just written it down and it used that

00:10:07.220 as a source.

00:10:09.760 Now, I'm pretty sure it also knew who I was because, you know, I had interacted with it

00:10:16.520 before.

00:10:17.880 And I think I told it who I was for, you know, for some inconvenience.

00:10:23.320 That was freaky.

00:10:24.240 Canada can be a global leader in reducing the harm caused by smoking, but it requires actionable

00:10:33.340 steps.

00:10:34.420 Now is the time to modernize Canadian laws so that adult smokers have information and access

00:10:39.780 to better alternatives.

00:10:41.420 By doing so, we can create lasting change.

00:10:44.620 If you don't smoke, don't start.

00:10:46.980 If you smoke, quit.

00:10:48.280 If you don't quit, change.

00:10:51.100 Visit unsmoked.ca.

00:10:54.760 Well, I have some questions about the increasing use of coal power in the United States.

00:11:03.180 And here's some news and some context that I'll add to it.

00:11:08.020 So the Daily Collar News Foundation is reporting that there was more coal burned in 2025 than in

00:11:16.060 the year before it was up around 13%.

00:11:19.640 Now, that might not come as a surprise to you because you know that Trump has been pushing coal.

00:11:26.960 He calls it clean coal.

00:11:29.440 I don't know if there's anything that's clean coal, but he says that.

00:11:36.280 And I wondered how much danger that created because, you know, the knock on coal is that it would be bad

00:11:44.920 for the world, but we live in a time in which people are way less worried about CO2.

00:11:55.100 So there are two big objections to coal.

00:12:02.060 One is to put CO2 into the atmosphere at a pretty big pace.

00:12:07.920 But at the moment, that's not terribly concerning the way it was even two years ago, because even

00:12:17.920 the mainstream media is starting to admit, well, we don't have necessarily a climate crisis.

00:12:26.100 Even Bill Gates is now, well, it's not a crisis.

00:12:29.800 So, but the other part is that it's also just a pollutant, and air pollution kills a lot of people.

00:12:40.920 So I wondered how many people get killed by coal as a pollutant, not as a CO2.

00:12:50.040 And I went to AI, went to Grok, and it said there are estimates that coal might kill up to 10,000

00:13:00.360 people per year just by being a pollutant.

00:13:04.660 Now, what is the first thing you ask yourself if you see an estimate that coal might kill

00:13:11.120 10,000 people a year?

00:13:12.500 And I think that's just in America.

00:13:16.420 Yeah, I think.

00:13:18.280 Well, the first thing you should ask yourself is who did the study, and what was their motivation?

00:13:24.340 Can we believe a study about how many people were killed by coal?

00:13:30.260 Remember, it's 2025, and we've learned that every corner of science, every corner of politics

00:13:38.480 is corrupt.

00:13:39.320 Can you trust that 10,000 people a year are being killed by coal?

00:13:47.120 And then, secondly, what percentage of all the people being killed by pollution is that?

00:13:56.080 Is it 1% of all the people killed by pollution?

00:13:59.720 Is it half?

00:14:00.600 Well, also, according to Grok, something like 40,000 to 60,000 people per year are killed

00:14:10.640 by pollution.

00:14:12.620 So, if these numbers were right, and I'm very skeptical, if the numbers were right, it would

00:14:19.540 be 10,000 out of 40,000 to 60,000 directly just because of extra use of coal.

00:14:27.360 Or just coal in general, not the extra.

00:14:31.520 So, here's what's interesting.

00:14:35.640 If it's true, oh, and by the way, the number of people who are dying from pollution has been

00:14:43.100 dropping year to year.

00:14:44.980 And the drop in those deaths is being attributed to the closing of coal plants.

00:14:53.480 But now, the coal plants are not only not closing, they're reopening and going wild.

00:15:01.680 So, what would happen?

00:15:04.140 And this will be the fun thing to watch.

00:15:06.500 What would happen if the deaths from pollution keep dropping while the use of coal is unambiguously

00:15:15.380 up?

00:15:15.860 What happens then?

00:15:19.620 Would you like to make a prediction?

00:15:22.820 Do you think that the, I guess it would be the mainstream belief, that the reduction in

00:15:29.800 coal plants is causing reduction in mortality?

00:15:34.420 Do you believe that that will reverse because the use of coal reversed?

00:15:39.540 And there doesn't seem to be any other mitigating factors, such as clean or coal or anything like

00:15:45.800 that.

00:15:46.480 I'm going to make you a bet.

00:15:50.040 I'm going to bet that the mortality rate drops, even though coal use goes up.

00:15:59.140 And I don't know that I'll have an explanation for why.

00:16:04.300 I just think that it's a little too easy to say, oh, coal use went down, mortality went down.

00:16:12.580 We don't really live in a world where we're that good at correlation.

00:16:16.640 So, I'm just going to say, I think there will be a mystery coming up.

00:16:23.160 All right.

00:16:23.740 In other news, you know, filmmaker James Cameron, and he says he's been asked to write a new

00:16:34.120 movie, a terminated movie about the future, but he can't write things about the future

00:16:39.640 or it's hard because the actual future will be too close to what he calls science fiction.

00:16:47.360 So, for example, if he wrote a movie today in which, let's say, the machines became sentient,

00:16:56.540 that could actually happen before the movie hit the screen, which is really a weird problem

00:17:05.480 for a writer to have.

00:17:07.360 It's like no matter what he says, oh, the robots will be running all the, oh, wait, that actually

00:17:13.520 will happen, you know, in three years.

00:17:15.820 So, that's a pretty, that's a pretty interesting take.

00:17:19.320 I don't know if he's right.

00:17:20.920 To, the counter to that is that, I've told you this before, but if you're a subscriber,

00:17:28.980 you'd have to be a Dilbert Reborn subscriber.

00:17:32.440 So, if you're seeing Dilbert that I still produce every day, and you're seeing it behind

00:17:37.340 the paywall, you can see it on X behind the paywall I have, or you can see it on the locals

00:17:42.760 platform.

00:17:43.400 Those are the only place that runs right now.

00:17:46.680 So, you'd have to be a subscriber.

00:17:48.120 But, in addition to a daily new Dilbert cartoon that I'm doing, which is a little spicier than 1.00

00:17:55.200 it used to be, I also give those subscribers the same, the comic that ran exactly 10 years

00:18:04.440 ago.

00:18:04.720 So, you'll see today's comic.

00:18:07.180 I'm trying to catch up from my time in the hospital, so I'm a little bit behind.

00:18:11.700 But, in theory, you would see today's comic, and then what I thought was worth writing about

00:18:18.320 10 years ago.

00:18:19.180 So, the entire month so far of my 10 years ago comic is about a sentient robot that works

00:18:30.320 in Dilbert's office.

00:18:32.340 And it's about Dilbert having to deal with the fact that his co-worker is a robot.

00:18:36.140 10 years ago, and here we are.

00:18:41.320 So, basically, I knew I was writing about some kind of future, but if you wondered what I

00:18:49.180 was thinking was going to happen 10 years from now, there it was.

00:18:53.600 So, you would think, if you saw the 10-year-ago comic, you would think that I wrote it yesterday.

00:19:01.820 It was just spot on.

00:19:05.120 All right.

00:19:07.260 According to one of my followers on X, named Alex, who is an engineer, so he's probably right,

00:19:16.860 he says that in 2024 alone, the average battery price, we're talking about batteries for, you

00:19:24.640 know, big things, prices fell by 40%, and it looks like there's going to be a similar fall

00:19:32.760 for 2025.

00:19:34.480 So, he says that the economics of solar have now reached a crossover point where pairing

00:19:42.700 solar with enough batteries to keep the electricity on at night, when there's, you know, when there's

00:19:48.380 no sun shining, is now an economically viable thing.

00:19:54.700 I know that many of you have been telling me for years, Scott, Scott, Scott, solar power will

00:20:01.780 always be limited because it doesn't work at night, and it doesn't work when it's cloudy.

00:20:08.280 And I would always say, but, but, but, you can store it in batteries.

00:20:15.620 And then people would say, Scott, Scott, Scott, Scott, you can store it in batteries, but you're

00:20:21.700 never going to get close to good economics, because the batteries are expensive to make

00:20:27.040 and maintain and blah, blah, blah.

00:20:29.520 And that was all true until, apparently, now.

00:20:33.760 So, one of the reasons I continue to hammer on more than I know you want to hear, but it helps

00:20:42.180 you understand what's coming, is that there are so many, just so many advances in battery

00:20:49.940 technology that you wouldn't have to wait too far, given that it's, you know, a trillion

00:20:55.940 dollar market, multi-trillion dollar market.

00:20:58.400 You would know that the free market would be running as fast as it could to make better

00:21:04.120 and cheaper batteries, because the potential is, you know, insane.

00:21:09.160 And then you add robots and auto cabs to it, and the market potential for batteries is probably

00:21:15.500 higher than maybe anything.

00:21:17.860 You know, it could turn out that the battery industry is bigger than AI, because you can't

00:21:26.320 even have AI without an incredible battery industry.

00:21:30.020 So, according to one engineer, Alex, if you're listening, Alex, hi, we may have reached a crossover.

00:21:39.080 That's one of the funny things about technology, is that technology can be, oh, it's boring,

00:21:47.100 it's boring, it's boring, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

00:21:49.960 Then suddenly, it changes everything.

00:21:52.620 And it looks like we got to the changes-everything point.

00:21:55.240 well i saw a post on x by charles ford not a famous person just somebody who's funny

00:22:07.360 who said and i quote wondering if the somalis will be eligible for reparations when that time

00:22:14.940 comes will the somalis be eligible for reparations and i i posted back in a comment paying for

00:22:26.520 them or receiving them because it's a complicated world isn't it should the somalis be receiving 0.67

00:22:34.180 reparations or should they be paying them it's not obvious is it

00:22:44.940 there would be an argument in both directions i'm not saying i agree with any of the arguments but

00:22:50.400 there would be an argument that they should receive them

00:22:53.960 and there would be an argument that they should be paying for them pick one

00:23:00.540 but it's pretty funny to highlight the absurdity of it that way

00:23:10.240 finding the right life insurance can feel like finding the right podcast we get it so if you're

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00:23:40.780 well according to the new york post

00:23:44.440 um the southern states not all of them but southern states generally speaking are doing much better

00:23:52.400 than blue states in fixing their education systems after the pandemic especially

00:23:59.340 so there seems to be a clear correlation between whatever the conservative states are doing

00:24:07.560 and whatever the liberal states are doing so the liberals are not getting good results

00:24:13.140 uh the other states are now there are a number of things that have been

00:24:18.180 credited for why there's a difference though we have a new entrance for why there's a difference

00:24:24.320 so there were some common sense reforms in the southern states where they got back to basics

00:24:32.500 that probably made a difference so they went back to phonics and stuff

00:24:37.880 um they went back to more of a merit-based you know sort of thing

00:24:42.480 um universal literacy screeners basically they went back to the things that we know work

00:24:50.060 and when you go back to the things that you don't work you get a good result whereas the blue states

00:24:57.240 were trying to relax their disciplinary policies uh trying to find some more you know woke way to teach

00:25:05.200 people and that wasn't producing results but the new hypothesis according to some new study

00:25:17.340 is that what might be the magic sauce is that the southern states are more hardcore about

00:25:25.020 uh law and order meaning that they make sure that if you're a disruptor

00:25:30.780 you just get sent home uh sort of the old way so they don't tolerate students who are disruptive

00:25:40.140 whereas the blue states their school system not only tolerates it but makes it easier for them to get

00:25:48.540 away with their whatever they're doing so do you think that's fair um i would say that there's no way in hell

00:25:59.820 that a school that doesn't control student behavior could compete with a school that does is that not just obvious

00:26:07.580 it's obvious right if one school lets people run wild because they either woke and they don't want to

00:26:16.300 punish them and they think he's racist to punish one group more than another so they're trying to be

00:26:22.300 you know fair and all that there's not really any chance that they would perform the same there's 100 chance

00:26:31.420 that the ones who are controlling the students behavior more aggressively are going to get better grades

00:26:37.740 there's just no way around that but it also made me think that homeschooling has a natural cap

00:26:47.660 meaning that there's no way a parent who can't control their kid at home is going to be a successful

00:26:55.980 homeschooler is it because that bad behavior would make them a terrible candidate for being homeschooled

00:27:04.700 so maybe those people are like well i can't do anything with this kid i'll just

00:27:09.260 send it to school at least i can go to my job so i've always suspected that one of the reasons

00:27:17.020 homeschoolers uh tend to be so such good outcomes i think you'd agree with that right you'd agree that the

00:27:26.860 people who are homeschooled tend to be just better citizens the problem part of the reason is that

00:27:35.100 you don't even get to be homeschooled unless you have parents who know they can control you

00:27:40.940 in a in a proper parental child way so i'm not a hundred percent sure that what makes those kids

00:27:51.500 do so well later in life the homeschooled kids is that homeschooling is better than regular school

00:27:57.900 it could be a selection bias that the only people who even give it a try

00:28:02.780 you know they they know by the time the kid is six if it's a controllable kid or not wouldn't you say

00:28:11.420 well don't you think it's fair to say that you have a pretty good idea by the time the kid is six

00:28:18.140 am i going to be able to discipline this kid and will they do what the parent tells them

00:28:23.740 or will they just always be that rebel

00:28:25.900 now you add to that the number of single parent households and there's just no way a single parent

00:28:36.060 household is going to be able to control a kid at the same level that a two-parent household could

00:28:43.900 so homeschooling even if you use ai to do it should be capped by the total number of people

00:28:52.300 who can be controlled by a parent or two well i don't know when this is happening i think maybe

00:29:00.060 tomorrow that trump is bringing his economic team to mar-a-lago to talk specifically about housing

00:29:09.900 and specifically about the cost of housing and one of his economic advisors has it i think that most of

00:29:19.580 us meaning the important people in the administration are going to be there and that they will discuss

00:29:25.740 the uh ideas that various people have for improving housing costs now this is one of my pet favorite

00:29:36.940 topics how do you make uh housing less expensive and also better and i'm so curious what kind of ideas

00:29:45.340 they'll have some of them are probably obvious i'm sure that reducing regulations will be part of the

00:29:53.900 conversation because you know it's such a republican thing to do it's doable but what i wonder is will they

00:30:02.700 suggest a federal standard that if you build to that standard the states have to accept it so you can take the

00:30:12.300 state completely out of the approval process which where i live would instantly cause more housing

00:30:20.540 because these state requirements are pretty burdensome so one possibility is that you can either build your

00:30:28.540 house to the state standards or uh you could have a let's say a more limited set of choices of how you can

00:30:36.620 build it but those choices would be pre-approved so if you build a house with this set of standards

00:30:44.460 you've met all of the federal requirements but the state would have to accept it that would instantly take

00:30:52.060 a whole bunch of you know costs off the top what about um some kind of boost to make the robots

00:31:02.860 uh more active in building houses i don't know what that would look like but if there's any restrictions

00:31:11.980 and maybe states would be the ones that would have these restrictions could it be the removing restrictions

00:31:19.900 on replacing humans with robot builders is just what we need because the robots could not yet

00:31:28.300 but maybe very very soon lower the cost of construction could it be that some of those pre-approved homes

00:31:37.820 that i already mentioned would uh be allowed to use what i call lego construction um because but the

00:31:46.540 algorithm on the internet knows what kind of stuff i like i see a lot of videos of companies that are that

00:31:54.380 have this product so already there exists um these these sort of blocks that fit together which the

00:32:03.580 homeowner themselves could build most of the house because it's just snapped together so what if the

00:32:11.340 federal government said in addition to what else it does that if you build your house with these legos

00:32:18.540 um it could get approved right now if you tried to build a house in california with some kind of new

00:32:27.100 age lego construction there's not a chance you get approved because i'd never seen it before so it's

00:32:34.860 just automatically off the table i learned that when i built my house i had all these great ideas for

00:32:43.020 building my house using the newest technology but then as soon as you get into it you realize you

00:32:47.900 cannot get the newest technology approved because the the city has never approved that technology

00:32:56.780 so if you say if you give them something they've never seen before

00:33:00.780 it'll never get approved that you have to show them what they've seen before

00:33:06.220 and even then it could take a year and a half to get approved so maybe there's some way around that

00:33:13.580 maybe the maybe some of the federal land would be used for building new houses maybe something about

00:33:20.940 immigration enforcement but that's already happening um maybe suppose i'm just throwing out some ideas

00:33:30.540 it seems to me there will be a lot of large houses that are empty nesters that would be better if the

00:33:39.100 person who is let's say a senior citizen owns a house um that if they take on a i'll call it a roommate

00:33:48.300 for now a young person has a roommate who's there to help the older person maintain the house

00:33:54.700 maybe there's some kind of tax break so imagine you're in your 20s and you'd like to live in the

00:34:00.940 house but you can't afford one so suppose the government says well if we can match you with

00:34:06.940 a senior citizen who has a house that's too big for them and you have a contract to help out you'll get 0.99

00:34:14.700 some kind of a tax break so then the old person has help they don't have to sell their house that they

00:34:21.100 don't want to and the young person has an awesome experience because depending on the old person

00:34:27.740 you might actually enjoy it could be a relative doesn't have to be right um

00:34:36.940 so that's the possibility

00:34:40.460 i don't know what what other ways do you think republicans can lower the cost of housing

00:34:45.740 you already have squatters well you know it's it's actually becoming common for young people and

00:34:55.260 older people to pair up that way so that's it's happening organically i don't know if it's working but

00:35:01.900 it's happening organically one of the problems with um california is that if i were to sell my house

00:35:12.060 the house after his value has gone up the new person buying it wouldn't be able to afford the

00:35:18.940 property tax because the property tax is based on the value of the house now i can afford it because

00:35:26.780 i built it about 10 years ago no how long ago 2009 so my property taxes are artificially based

00:35:37.740 on what the you know early value of the house was not as current value and it would be about double if

00:35:44.700 i paid the property taxes based on current so it makes it very hard to sell your house

00:35:52.220 because even though it's affordable for you it would not be affordable for the person who bought it

00:35:57.900 because the property taxes would just be crazy so that's something that is a state problem

00:36:05.820 but maybe there's some kind of federal way to make it illegal to raise property taxes or something

00:36:14.300 and i think there are some other obstacles to selling a house that maybe can be removed

00:36:23.820 there would be a lot more houses available if the people had them could efficiently sell them

00:36:30.140 all right um you know this story is over and over again but i've got something to add to it so

00:36:45.260 according to an article by joe wilkins in futurism um children are having a tough time with ai chat bots

00:36:54.060 so you've seen the stories i'm sure where children especially teens um are chatting with ai and it becomes

00:37:03.260 their friend but then it starts recommending dangerous things now that you already knew that story but

00:37:11.820 uh according to a new pew research is 64 percent of teens in the u.s are already using chat bots and about 30 percent of those

00:37:22.860 videos um we're using it use it daily um and as i mentioned it might be kind of dangerous because it's

00:37:33.020 it's it's taking them away from the real world which is its own problem um

00:37:40.140 but the chat bots can say some really dangerous stuff and i think some kids have harmed themselves

00:37:47.740 allegedly because the chatbots is out now i would argue that this is also happening to adults

00:37:54.300 so it's not really limited at all to children but we worry more about children so so imagine if you will

00:38:02.540 that you've got this huge problem here's the problem what is the main driver of ai adoption right now

00:38:14.220 well we've got all these all these plans for how ai will be you know powering robots and everything else

00:38:22.300 but at the moment and it looks like this moment will last a while the main thing that people sign up

00:38:28.780 for ai for is to chat it's the main thing um and what happens if the main thing turns out to be too

00:38:39.420 dangerous to be loose is there any chance that there's going to take away the main thing that all these

00:38:48.460 biggest powerful companies are relying on to get adoption going because they kind of need

00:38:55.580 they need they need a lot of adoption to probably get to the point where the ai can run your robot

00:39:03.580 in your factory and you know be a baller and all that so i don't think it's going to be stopped but

00:39:10.540 i would also add the context that probably every new technology seemed too dangerous to be worth it

00:39:18.620 when it was first introduced don't you think that's true when we invented the car i wasn't around but

00:39:28.700 don't you imagine that the smart people were saying oh those automobiles that's way more dangerous than

00:39:35.980 riding a horse when the smartphone or the computer were invented when the internet was invented don't you

00:39:44.140 think there were a lot of people saying oh it's too dangerous to have the internet you're going to

00:39:50.220 lose your privacy and all that's true right so the the dangers that people pointed out all true so you

00:39:59.900 had at some point 50 000 people a year dying from auto accidents that's a pretty big downside

00:40:07.740 that's probably worse than ai will do so my prediction is that even though uh ai chatting

00:40:19.100 could be dangerous definitely it's dangerous uh it won't be stopped because that's what every new

00:40:25.260 technology goes through that's what i think well let's talk about all the corruption in the world would

00:40:33.340 you be surprised that the la times did research and found out that uh there was a la fire department

00:40:41.740 after action report about the palisades fire and do you think that that after action report

00:40:49.100 which is basically the fire department reporting on themselves how they did do you think that it was

00:40:56.140 honestly reported uh what possible mistakes the fire department might have made

00:41:01.980 no so once again the people who are in charge are also in charge of telling you how they did

00:41:12.700 and the people who are in charge the la fire department in charge of the fire

00:41:17.740 had decided that they would remove uh some substantial parts of the report that made them look bad

00:41:24.940 so the after-hour action report according to the la times is and they in fact were definitely

00:41:34.780 definitely the problem and part of the problem was that they knew there was a existing fire that had

00:41:42.940 been the thing that reignited they almost certainly should have been there they should have water they

00:41:49.020 should have been should have been more ready so so essentially a cover-up yes

00:41:57.340 so how often have we seen that if the government is involved and they have the ability to either not

00:42:07.020 audit or to do a fake audit that they will do the fake audit or no audit every time every time

00:42:14.780 all right all right what else

00:42:21.500 i'm gonna skip that for now

00:42:25.500 so i was thinking today how hard it is to understand the news so think about all the things that had to

00:42:34.220 happen for me to understand our current situation in the world right if any of the following things had

00:42:42.540 not happened i would be so lost and so would you let me give you an example um

00:42:51.420 how confused would you be if you had not learned that the news is fake

00:42:58.300 have you ever talked to somebody who thinks news is real and it just feels like they're from the past

00:43:04.620 really really really you think the news is real oh oh no you think that the news on one side is real

00:43:13.900 sorry if if you don't understand the news is and maybe always has been uh fake you would be very

00:43:23.500 confused about what you're saying right so that's number one and i would say that trump

00:43:29.740 it was the biggest reason that we understand the news to be fake not only did he tell us but we could

00:43:37.100 watch through his experience how often there were hoaxes in the news and you really learned oh my god the

00:43:44.060 news is not even real that's number one how confused and lost would we be if elon musk had not purchased

00:43:53.820 twitter and turned it into x because i get most of my knowledge from x if i had to depend on everything

00:44:03.900 else literally everything else i wouldn't know what's going on now it might be in a bubble so i have to

00:44:13.100 watch out for the bubble problem but without x there's so much context that i'd be missing

00:44:20.140 now what would have happened if trump had not won the election if trump had not won the election i think

00:44:32.140 the x would have been destroyed um i think that people would still think the news was real they

00:44:40.060 would trust their elections were not rigged and they would have an entirely different view

00:44:45.500 of what's real and what's not and and trump just barely won well he would say he won by a lot but if

00:44:52.940 you consider the allegations of rigging suppose um there had not been um some really i don't know if it's

00:45:06.220 real but the reporting is that the uh there was some serbian you know serbian uh data center that

00:45:15.500 to be taken offline just in time or trump would have won now i don't know if that's true but it does

00:45:23.020 suggest that if it was we were very close to losing everything and then we would again not know what was

00:45:30.780 going on because we would be in the dark what would happen if doge had never happened and i'll add mike

00:45:40.220 benz to the this point what would happen if there had never been a mike benz and there'd never been a

00:45:48.300 doge would you understand how the ngos and the usaid stuff were distorting everything we knew and

00:45:58.700 everything we were doing i didn't know about any of that stuff and what are the odds you know that

00:46:05.500 you'd be born in a time when both of these things would happen doge and and mike benz that's we were

00:46:12.940 very close to never understanding what was really happening but now we're getting close

00:46:20.460 what about the rise of independent media

00:46:22.940 do you think we would know anything except for the rise in independent media which mostly

00:46:30.940 you get to cnx nope because corporate media will always have a limit on what they can do

00:46:38.300 if they take advertisement for their business model there's going to be entire domains where you can't

00:46:44.220 trust what they say and the only way that you would know what's happening is if an independent

00:46:51.980 media grew up and that only was only was possible recently and mostly because of x

00:47:01.260 um in order for me to understand what's going on and then to try to tell you i had to use grok

00:47:11.980 to summarize mike benton's posts because his posts are you know very detailed and i yeah it's hard to

00:47:19.500 watch four hours of content and even though he summarizes it and he gets clipped it's a lot and

00:47:27.020 so even this morning and really it feels like every morning there'll be some big complicated story about

00:47:33.820 what's wrong with the world and i'll say grok summarize this and if grok did not exist

00:47:43.020 i'm not sure i'd be able to totally follow everything that mike benton says that puts things in context

00:47:50.940 so i happen you have to be lucky that elon musk made grok

00:47:59.420 how would you have ever understood what a color revolution was and the fact that the people who are 0.99

00:48:05.980 doing it to successfully overthrow other countries had very clearly used those tools against us

00:48:15.500 how would you know that without x without without doge without mike benz

00:48:23.340 very specific things had to happen at the same time for us even to understand that that's the world

00:48:29.340 who we were living in how would you have ever known that the let's call it the censorship industrial complex

00:48:39.340 had found a way to use the international tools and also to partner with europe mostly to censor

00:48:49.020 people in the united states that's that's something we only just recently learned

00:48:55.820 so uh think about how sensitive uh the world was to all of those factors and if any one of those had not

00:49:05.980 happened would we have already lost free speech would the censorship um and the color revolution already

00:49:17.340 made it impossible impossible to have a democracy and never get a real republican

00:49:24.540 elected we were this close to losing everything and it almost seems like magic that all the right things

00:49:34.300 happened at the same time

00:49:38.140 right it's very unlikely that all of those things would happen at the same time but they did

00:49:46.780 they did kind of amazing speaking of mike benz and grok and censorship uh here's another one of those stories

00:49:56.860 that you would not understand unless we had been given this new context and these new set of assets to

00:50:04.700 understand the world so there's this guy imran ahmed i might have this wrong but i think he's a brit

00:50:13.180 and he's allegedly was part of the effort to and apparently there's documentation that he said this

00:50:19.980 directly that he was in charge of trying to kill elon musk twitter for censorship reasons um

00:50:29.500 and that he was running quote black ops against rfk

00:50:33.180 so would you have known that there's this guy in another country who's part of a big industrial

00:50:43.900 censorship complex that was working with the united states to essentially get rid of free speech in the

00:50:51.740 united states well there's this guy named norm eisen who's a attorney who is associated with democrats

00:51:02.540 but he's also associated with that entire foreign and now domestic uh color revolutions

00:51:10.300 so he's sort of one of the architects of how to do a color revolution and he's now the lawyer

00:51:15.820 representing imran ahmad so if you don't know the players you don't really know what's going on

00:51:24.700 and as soon as you see that he's the lawyer for imran ahmed and then you see mike benton's explain the

00:51:31.820 connection and the history and what both of them have been doing all of a sudden every clicks in

00:51:37.820 place click click click oh all right so as mike says norm eisen specifically made internet censorship

00:51:47.660 a cornerstone of his domestic color revolution playbook published in 2025 he literally published

00:51:56.460 the technique for doing this so we're not guessing what he's thinking he wrote it down

00:52:02.380 um and that that playbook the norm eisen playbook called for state governments to set up social media

00:52:11.580 censorship regulatory regimes and we've seen this in california new york and michigan try to do it

00:52:18.220 to specifically instruct his networks to quote find partners in brazil's censorship apparatus so i

00:52:28.460 think the point here is that this color revolution thing is very obviously being used in countries that

00:52:35.820 we're trying to control and brazil was on that list i guess and that you know all of these efforts

00:52:43.420 are staffs with ex-obama people and there's no doubt about what side they're on they're not trying to

00:52:50.620 make things good for america they're trying to make things good for democrats basically

00:52:58.540 so there you go now here's another question i have

00:53:05.100 you know we all live in a news bubble so even as even as much improved as things are today

00:53:13.420 and i would say things are much improved as i mentioned you know the free speech and uh the

00:53:19.980 context and all that in my bubble the the um allegation that the our elections have been rigged

00:53:31.420 and you could pick any year but let's just say rigging probably happens every year sometimes more

00:53:37.020 successfully than others in my world that's a proven fact not proven in court but because of my bubble

00:53:47.420 i've seen so many stories that are at least high credibility i don't know how true they are but

00:53:54.700 they're high credibility about rigging that i would just say it's a fact now but if you're not my bubble

00:54:01.260 how much of that do you ever see i feel like the left never sees it and what they see is the times

00:54:11.100 when the claims are debunked because there are a lot of claims that yeah do not you know check out

00:54:18.700 so i'm going to name a few things

00:54:20.300 in my bubble so in my bubble uh that serbian data center thing is true in my bubble there was chinese 1.00

00:54:35.020 technology and the voting machines

00:54:38.940 in my bubble under credible reports of duplicate ballots that all look the same

00:54:45.980 and widespread you know it's a lot of it in my bubble there were whistleblowers and undercover video

00:54:54.700 proving that there was ballot stuffing and you know illegal stuff in my bubble there's plenty of evidence

00:55:03.660 that ballots should not have been counted in in massive ways either because they didn't have the signatures

00:55:11.580 um because they were sketchy looking etc and that that's just a fact and we have whistleblowers and we have

00:55:20.060 you know multiple multiple reports even even people under penalty of perjury are claiming they saw firsthand

00:55:30.140 we've got that uh that uh warehouse that's been locked for years because allegedly it's full of fake ballots

00:55:38.220 um and all we'd have to do is get to it and i think that's happening actually we've got all kinds of

00:55:45.500 allegations about arizona too many to mention um we've got that video of ruby freeman is it who allegedly

00:55:55.740 is doing something sketchy i think she's being accused of uh you know counting the ballots three times

00:56:03.500 now she won a court case um for being accused of that so the course uh did not confirm that she did

00:56:15.740 anything illegal so she's not she's not indicted or anything but if you're in my bubble um she is accused

00:56:24.300 of all kinds of all kinds of things uh there's a the story of the water leak that was fake

00:56:33.020 it was just used as a cover to get the observers out now i could go on and on and on but how many of

00:56:39.980 you are having the the same um experience that in your bubble you have massive just massive stories

00:56:49.980 stories about very credible stories that various parts in the election were rigged that's your bubble

00:56:57.740 too right but i bet almost nobody on the left is exposed to this stuff

00:57:06.540 because it's not going to be in the news right cnn doesn't cover it ms now it's not in the new york

00:57:13.020 times and whenever it is covered they might just hit it and then leave it whereas in my bubble it's

00:57:20.620 repeated and repeated and stuff is added to it all the time so then uh in that context uh scott presler

00:57:34.220 is reminding us on x that back in 2008 and i admit i was not paying attention to politics in 2008

00:57:43.900 so in 2008 how many of you knew this happened that al franken was running for senator in minnesota

00:57:53.340 and if he won he would become a critical majority vote which he was and it was a difference between

00:58:03.340 obamacare passing and not passing so al franken had to win for them to get obamacare over the line

00:58:11.660 and he did win by 312 votes now my understanding is again i wasn't paying attention back then

00:58:22.300 my understanding is that he did not win on the first vote and that they had to keep saying wait

00:58:28.300 we kept finding some more votes and that a critical turning point in his winning is that somebody who

00:58:36.940 worked for the election people uh had found a bunch of ballots in the trunk of his own car

00:58:43.180 is that true did he win because somebody claimed they found a bunch of ballots in the back of their

00:58:50.780 car and the only one by 312 votes after he had already lost so it was actually you know after the

00:58:59.740 election was already closed is that true and scott presser also points out that minnesota has one of

00:59:09.660 these weird laws where one person can vouch for up to eight people living in their precinct that they're

00:59:17.740 they're qualified to vote in other words that they're citizens and they live there what are you telling me

00:59:24.620 that one criminal can vouch for eight other criminals and that would be enough for the eight other

00:59:31.900 criminals to be able to vote what kind of law is that that looks like a law that's only designed to

00:59:40.300 promote fraud and then we heard that over half a million voters were registered to vote

00:59:49.500 on election day now you might say to yourself but scott uh lots of people tend to register on election day

00:59:59.420 if they have that option because you know they just put it off and maybe the relatives talk them into it or

01:00:06.140 something but half a million do you think half a million decided that the day to register was election day

01:00:15.020 that doesn't sound real so is it possible that in 2008 before we understood how corrupt the world really

01:00:26.460 is that this was just pure corruption if i told you it happened in minneapolis let's say minnesota

01:00:35.740 if i told you it happened in minnesota back then i might have said well

01:00:41.420 you know minnesota is kind of a state where there's not a lot of crime so

01:00:47.900 now we realize that minnesota is the most corrupt state that is in california

01:00:54.780 so how much of that is real you know i i don't want to put it in the form of an accusation

01:01:02.380 but it looks sketchy as hell and if you drop that story into my bubble

01:01:08.860 where i get you know this total flow of reports about election rigging that sure looks like election

01:01:17.660 rigging to me yeah from my 20 26 ish perspective

01:01:26.460 speaking of corruption this one blows my mind i cannot believe that gavin newsom

01:01:33.980 has any chance to become president we live in a world where as long as he maintains this bubble

01:01:41.100 he probably can or at least he'd have a shot at um i'm going to vote against that being possible but

01:01:48.700 anything is possible all right listen to this one so as you know california got these billions of dollars

01:01:55.260 dollars that were supposed to be from the federal government that was supposed to be spent on the

01:02:01.740 so-called high-speed rail project as you know none of that got built after many years as you also know

01:02:12.300 nobody can account for where the money went so the money just disappeared i.e got stolen billions and

01:02:20.460 billions of dollars so if you were the governor or you were in charge in any way during that time

01:02:27.660 how do you explain where all the money went and then still become president because it's so obvious that

01:02:34.700 there's either massive incompetence well maybe or just theft or both so here's what newsom has proposed

01:02:46.460 that instead of canceling the project because they don't have any money and they have no way to get

01:02:52.460 that money back and there's it would cost you know five times more than they thought to build it

01:02:58.620 so there's no real possibility of building the thing they have funded for there's just none but instead

01:03:07.260 of canceling the project he's he's trying to extend it and make it a smaller project something that you could

01:03:15.340 imagine and probably only in your imagination they could actually build and the reason that he would want

01:03:21.900 to keep it alive is that if he builds nothing and he says i'm not going to build anything he has to give

01:03:30.300 back the money or at least he has to give back what you know maybe what's left so in order to not have to

01:03:38.940 give back any money he's going to pretend that there's still a live project and it's just much smaller

01:03:45.580 you know it's probably legal you know it's more of a weasel legal thing to do but how in the world

01:04:01.580 can you do something like this and still become you know considered to be a presidential candidate

01:04:09.900 the only way is if is if people like me know about it but i wasn't going to vote for him

01:04:18.540 and the people who might like him and might vote for him will never hear this story they will never

01:04:25.900 hear this story and even if you brought it up and people heard it for the first time let's say

01:04:32.540 let's say his competition brought it up at a debate or something it's sort of technical and

01:04:40.700 you know i'm not sure it would make any difference to a democrat and if he has some excuse like i don't

01:04:46.780 know what they're talking about we just need a train between these two places and we have the money

01:04:52.700 why wouldn't we build it so the democrats could easily be convinced that there's no real problem

01:04:59.420 here and he would say am i indicted for anything no is it a crime no we're just doing things

01:05:06.700 differently than republicans would do them there's no crime in that so he could probably very easily

01:05:13.580 dismiss it in a debate the news will probably let them have a pass and it's just

01:05:20.780 un-freaking-believable wow all right here's a story i've been watching for a while but not talking

01:05:29.020 about so elan omar you all know her her husband allegedly um and she went from having no money at all

01:05:39.420 so first of all i don't know that the estimates of their net worth are accurate because you know numbers

01:05:52.140 um but if you did not understand and this is me for most of my adult life i didn't understand

01:06:05.020 why people who could clearly make more money in the private sector would want to be politicians

01:06:12.060 because being a politician looks like a crappy job i mean just the work looks like just crappy and they

01:06:20.140 really don't get paid enough to have a house in dc because they have to be there a lot uh but also

01:06:28.220 maintained their their home and their city they're representing or the state um so i was always curious

01:06:37.420 why in the world would you have so many people who would be willing to work at these bad jobs for years

01:06:44.620 when when after some point they could just put it on their resume and get excellent you know corporate

01:06:51.500 jobs and stuff like that and now i understand the real way you make money is that you as the politician

01:07:02.140 figure out how to be part of the allocation of funds and you make sure that your husband or your spouse

01:07:09.660 is somehow benefiting so they might be an ngo they might be um some private company that provides a

01:07:17.900 service to the government but suddenly the spouse of the politician is getting a lot of good luck

01:07:25.580 hmm it's not good luck that you're the business that can benefit from government contracts at the same

01:07:33.420 time you're married to a politician how lucky so i now suspect that although this would not explain

01:07:43.100 every single person in politics that a big big part of it is that the spouse um play that you could get

01:07:53.260 away with because you make it look legal is why they do it and then my next question is this

01:08:01.900 um since i don't know too much about the department of justice and how that works

01:08:05.820 at what point can you investigate somebody's spouse and the business that the spouse is in unless there's

01:08:15.980 like a really obvious crime what if you only suspect there's a crime because somebody is doing unusually

01:08:25.500 well uh in their job you can't investigate that right in order to get a warrant or open up an investigation

01:08:36.620 is it sufficient that it looks like they got money too fast or or do you need to know well they got

01:08:45.660 money too fast and here's the criminal way in which it happened so that's an open question i just don't

01:08:51.660 know the answer to that but if we don't fix that i think we're in trouble now in the context of finding out 0.89

01:09:04.460 that everything is corrupt and all of our numbers are bullshit and everything's a scam i saw a post by 0.94

01:09:12.060 a dated republican who had this to say and well let me just read it so dated republicans said i had this 0.99

01:09:22.220 idea what if autism diagnoses are partially from fraudulent billig and then i poked around a bit

01:09:31.660 and it turns out that the whole 130 statistic that's one in 30 uh kids being born have autism today

01:09:39.900 which is an alarming number she's what if the 130 statistic isn't based on official diagnoses

01:09:47.900 addm i don't know if that is has clinicians review school records and if the record fits

01:09:55.340 that it counts as autism even if there's no medical diagnosis then that statistic is quoted to justify

01:10:05.100 increased aba centers increased research and all kinds of grants and then uh dated republican

01:10:12.140 closes with i'm questioning literally everything now all right now i do believe that it is reality that

01:10:21.900 there's more autism i think the rfk jr is right that there's probably something in our environment

01:10:29.660 something in our food maybe something in our medicines something somewhere that is causing more autism

01:10:36.700 so i do believe more autism is real but how easy would it be to hide the fraud of claiming there's more

01:10:46.380 autism than there is so that you can get funded for treating it so now that we've seen the somali 0.82

01:10:55.180 healthcare scam and how easy it was for them to run the scam is it possible that instead of one in 30

01:11:04.620 which would be you know super alarming maybe it's one in a hundred and i don't know what the old number

01:11:12.460 was but it could be that there's a you know huge increase in it but at the same time that huge actual

01:11:20.460 increase is masking the fact that there's massive fraud making it look even worse

01:11:27.340 so uh i like dated republicans closing sentence i'm questioning i'm questioning literally everything

01:11:36.380 now that's where i'm at it doesn't matter where the data comes from my first reaction is really really

01:11:47.900 how many of you are in the same place

01:11:49.580 that you just don't believe any stat i tend to be biased to believe statistics that agree with my

01:12:03.340 preconceived notions but i'm definitely feeling alarm bell at the same time and i didn't always feel that

01:12:11.980 so here's another one where i didn't used to think this was true so elon musk is talking on x or said this

01:12:24.380 somewhere that the left has been using government programs for a long time to import voters so that

01:12:33.340 they can create a block of voters that would vote you know vote together to control the american process

01:12:42.620 and that that's what the somali immigration was all about that democrats were intentionally creating

01:12:50.620 pockets where they could control who won democrats because they would have a block of people who vote

01:12:57.500 the same now we see that in chicago for example more organically that chicago has a large black population

01:13:07.420 and they somewhat reliably are gonna elect black democrats to be in charge mayors

01:13:16.460 not every time but you know that that would be the the trend so i used to doubt that that was

01:13:24.220 intentional i used to think well yeah there is a lot of uncontrolled immigration and yeah it's natural that

01:13:33.180 those people would want to settle with other people like themselves but it's now some grand plan

01:13:41.740 i've changed my mind

01:13:45.420 i am now convinced

01:13:46.540 that there had to be you know just as elon musk was saying there had to be a plan to do this

01:13:55.260 intentionally to take take control of the uh the census take control of local governments

01:14:04.380 and effectively uh change the voting situation in the united states and more more alarmingly

01:14:15.260 that they were very close to pulling it off and maybe they could still um and it would made it would

01:14:21.340 have made a permanent change in the ability for republicans to get elected and it would have permanently

01:14:29.900 made it impossible for anything but a democrat to ever be in charge of anything important

01:14:37.100 and we were this close now it might still happen i don't know maybe they've already

01:14:44.220 done enough of this because you've got your hispanic pockets you've got your somali pockets 0.94

01:14:50.540 maybe they've already done it but i don't think so

01:14:55.260 so here's another one that i wouldn't have believed five years ago so the newsmax is reporting that

01:15:04.620 judicial watch you know who judicial watches right um president tom fenton is warning that the secret

01:15:13.900 service might be uh let's say um maybe not doing their best to protect the president and then maybe

01:15:22.300 that's not just incompetence so the examples given are the two assassination attempts which we all think

01:15:30.860 look like um it looked like this his security didn't do enough he lived but from the outside it looks

01:15:40.700 like wait it doesn't even look like you had the a team protecting the president is that a coincidence

01:15:46.140 and then there was also the incident where trump went to some restaurant and somehow the uh people

01:15:55.980 who don't like trump had been alerted which is a gigantic security problem and uh there could have

01:16:03.500 been some danger there because people knew in advance he'd be a restaurant and it wasn't well secured

01:16:09.660 so there are at least three examples where you say to yourself is it possible that the president of the

01:16:18.220 united states has incompetent security is that possible yeah code pink uh democratic group code pink

01:16:29.580 showed up at that restaurant to protest so is that possible or is this a pattern and i guess uh judicial

01:16:39.420 watches asking for some information to maybe drill down a little bit now five years ago if you told me

01:16:48.380 that his security was penetrated or compromised and that people were trying to kill him and had made

01:16:56.940 already three attempts you know three attempts that had insiders involved i wouldn't believe that

01:17:05.340 that but today it's on the table i absolutely would say maybe i mean we know for example that jfk

01:17:17.980 i think i think i can say we know this um that his assassination has something to do with insiders

01:17:26.140 right that's the cia in particular so if it were true for jfk

01:17:31.820 today but i didn't believe her for decades and then you look at all the other things that are true

01:17:41.340 wow almost anything is on the table so i'm not willing yet to say that the insiders are

01:17:49.100 have penetrated his security service but i don't rule it out i'm not ruling it out

01:17:55.500 um i've been watching uh trimoth from the all in pod getting very active on x talking about california

01:18:06.700 and its various um problems and he notes that apparently um the california state pension

01:18:16.220 it looks like it's solid and it looks like you know it could pay pay the pensions but it's only

01:18:25.500 because they've changed the accounting to a very weasel like way to make optimistic assumptions that

01:18:32.620 are not realistic about what's going to happen in the future so in other words california also

01:18:39.820 on top of all the problems you've heard probably has this massive underfunded state pension problem

01:18:48.380 that they're covering up by clever accounting changes

01:18:54.220 wow

01:18:55.900 um

01:18:58.060 so this this is something i would call the technically legal but holy kind of fraud

01:19:03.980 meaning it's not technically illegal for them to estimate the pension payout with optimistic

01:19:13.500 assumptions it's not illegal and they show their assumptions apparently but how is it not fraud

01:19:21.900 you know in a sort of a common sense way it's sort of obviously fraud

01:19:25.900 uh on top of that i'm wondering if chabath would be a candidate for governor or yeah yeah governor

01:19:40.460 so at the moment uh steve hilton is running for governor in california and i think he's actually

01:19:46.780 leading the polls because the the polls are so fragmented and they have a different voting system

01:19:53.660 so it's possible that the next governor of california could be a republican

01:20:00.700 but if it's not steve hilton is there a time when chamath says

01:20:05.740 i'll step up and do that because i would very much love to see him in the leadership role

01:20:13.980 i would back that hard

01:20:15.100 well speaking of other californian stuff and uh chamath is also weighing on this pretty hard

01:20:24.940 so rokhana one of our representatives of california who normally is what we would consider a more

01:20:33.900 reasonable democrat than other democrats i obviously i don't agree with everything that rokhana wants

01:20:40.540 but you usually think of him as well considered and not not crazy biased he could for example he could

01:20:51.100 work with thomas massey on the epstein stuff because that's just you know sort of an independent good

01:20:59.180 thing to do but roe is backing this idea of a wealth tax on billionaires in california and the idea is

01:21:10.060 that billionaires above a certain level of billions would would have to give up one percent of their

01:21:17.900 net wealth every year for five years so so it'd be five percent by the time they were done now this is

01:21:26.700 wealth that they had already paid taxes on um you could argue that point but there was no precedent for

01:21:35.580 this there there's a precedent for income taxes and there's a precedent for taxing rich people more

01:21:44.220 but there's no real precedent for just taking the money after they made it just saying hey you have

01:21:49.820 too much money so we're going to take some of it now this is surprising because this is probably one of the

01:21:57.660 the worst ideas i've ever heard and my impression of rokhana is that not only is he you know more often than

01:22:07.580 most uh has an independent view of things but he's not stupid right when you see him it's not like you're

01:22:19.020 looking at uh swalwell it's not like he's you know you could name he's not jasmine crockett right he's 0.97

01:22:32.140 genuinely a smart reasonable person but somehow the smart reasonable person is going all in on the dumbest

01:22:42.780 thing i've ever seen in my life so as you might imagine uh several billionaires are already you know

01:22:50.700 quite obviously getting ready to leave the state uh and what would happen if our if our most capable

01:23:00.620 people left the state well we lose all of that base they would probably do their investing in other

01:23:07.260 states etc because you wouldn't even want to invest in the state you would you wouldn't want to have

01:23:12.460 anything to do with it because it'd just be it'd be like doing business in china if you could turn

01:23:18.460 california into a china problem it's like well why would you ever build something in china they're just 0.99

01:23:24.300 going to steal it anyway russia too one of the reasons that russia isn't going to get a lot of

01:23:30.380 external investment is that you think the russians will just steal your business of it if it does well

01:23:36.380 and they would so why would you stay in california when you see something this extreme that that's

01:23:45.180 being pushed against the most successful entrepreneurs so um and i often joke because rokan talks about

01:23:56.620 income inequality and you know you have to do something about that income inequality

01:24:02.380 and it's not fair i always joke but i'm not joking that fairness is a word that was invented so that 0.98

01:24:09.180 children idiots have something to talk about fairness is not something you want you want you want uh 0.97

01:24:17.260 meritocracy that's not fairness because some people have more merit some people will thrive in 1.00

01:24:25.260 meritocracy some people won't it's not exactly fair but it's just a good system for everyone so this system

01:24:36.780 where they just take your money if you're very successful uh it's just a terrible idea so here's what i'm

01:24:46.380 wondering could the california billionaires um do something that would make it look like they were

01:24:56.060 contributing more to the state and would actually be contributing more without having the money confiscated

01:25:04.300 is there a counter proposal that the billionaires could make to say hey instead of taking our money

01:25:12.380 and then giving it to california that will waste it because that's that's the other big problem if you

01:25:18.700 know for sure that california is wasting your money it's really hard to give them an extra billion

01:25:25.980 right it's like way harder if you earned a billion let's say you had lots of billions um it's pretty

01:25:33.340 hard to give them a penny more when they're so bad at allocating the capital so

01:25:39.980 what if the billionaires came up with a counter proposal and i'll just brainstorm a little bit here

01:25:49.740 in which they would be um voluntarily but maybe a threat of some penalty

01:26:00.140 they could allocate more money for the benefit of california

01:26:03.740 for example suppose california said we really need to improve affordability so if you're a billionaire

01:26:13.820 and you commit to put one percent of your assets directly into investments that would improve

01:26:22.460 affordability you don't have to pay the you won't be subject to the confiscation

01:26:28.300 so let's say you're a billionaire and you say to me scott you can invest currently you can invest your

01:26:37.420 money anywhere you want but if you invest it in ways that would improve affordability

01:26:43.820 for californians you don't get you don't get the penalty of having to confiscate and that

01:26:51.980 to me would be excellent and one of the things that chamath talks about is that the the richest people

01:27:00.300 especially the ai billionaires they need to do something that's highly visible but also good for

01:27:07.580 the public and i'm totally on board with that it should be highly visible and good for the public that

01:27:14.060 is one thing that bill gates was doing very right with the gates foundation so when he was the richest

01:27:21.180 guy around it really helped him that he said he was going to give it all away that he was putting

01:27:28.540 lots of his billions into um a charitable thing now since then you know there's been lots of criticism

01:27:36.940 of what his true motives are all that and that's valid those are valid criticisms but in terms of a

01:27:43.420 strategy i think it was very good for bill gates to try to reframe himself as a person who's

01:27:51.340 doing the things that are even too hard for the government to do so there's my idea

01:27:58.940 if you say billionaires if you live in california we need you to step up and make it cheaper to do

01:28:05.900 health care cheaper to do education cheaper to do transportation and you have to show us

01:28:12.060 that you've you've allocated some new money not money you've already allocated but you've allocated some

01:28:19.100 new money into projects that have a good chance of lowering our costs wouldn't they stay you know

01:28:29.180 under those conditions if you were a billionaire and you thought huh okay i wasn't planning on being forced to

01:28:38.140 invest in these areas but nobody could complain if i do and if i found a way to make

01:28:46.860 transportation or shelter or something cheaper the government will work with me maybe even help me

01:28:54.460 with some possibly the state would have to agree to remove some regulations so suppose the billionaire

01:29:02.140 say yes uh we will we will invest in affordability but you have to remove these roadblocks one roadblock

01:29:12.540 would be over um would be over taxation i guess and the other one would be over regulation what do you think

01:29:21.420 now i don't know if anything like that could happen but it would be way better for the billionaires to

01:29:29.500 have at least one counter proposal and i would be surprised if you couldn't get both democrats and

01:29:36.220 republican billionaires to agree with that you could probably get even somebody like a tom steyer to agree

01:29:45.900 you know a republican billionaire i just always need a reaction to that is that the best idea you've ever heard

01:29:57.500 because the one thing we know is that the billionaires by and large would be way way better at

01:30:04.220 identifying ways to improve affordability than it would be the government

01:30:09.820 and uh it would it would satisfy chamas view that they should be more prominently involved in helping the

01:30:21.260 public which i agree with all right did you know according to elon musk that electric semi trucks

01:30:34.540 will be a way better idea than diesel here again is exactly my point if elon musk did not exist

01:30:44.780 would you know that you could make an electric semi truck that would be way more practical and affordable

01:30:52.860 and affordable than the current technology you wouldn't even know that right yeah tom steyer

01:31:00.540 isn't a republican that's my point my point is that both democrats and republicans would probably like

01:31:07.340 the idea of working on affordability so that's another example of if you didn't have a billionaire

01:31:15.100 who was interested in the public good and by the way musk usually starts there he starts with what would

01:31:23.020 be a public good and then can i fix that everything from space to electric cars to solar power he always

01:31:32.620 starts with what's good for the public and then can i make that thing so electric semi trucks would be

01:31:40.540 right in that uh area well you all know who bill ackman is right he's a well-known investor

01:31:49.420 and he's talking about uh you know the uh the widespread fraud in so many government programs

01:31:59.580 and he had a suggestion for a way to audit now the idea of auditing of course is not new

01:32:06.860 but apparently it doesn't work because the fraud still exists so his suggestion for auditing

01:32:12.700 is that first of all you have to severely uh use a doj to severely punish anybody who got caught with

01:32:21.340 fraud so you've got some disincentive for fraud that of course i think we all agree with but then he

01:32:28.860 says uh that there should be a federal internal audit system where private citizens would get a bounty

01:32:37.500 they'd be bounty hunters who find fraud and earn rewards equal to a percentage of the grift identified

01:32:44.860 and we call it a grift i don't know if that means only illegal stuff or just stuff people are getting

01:32:51.820 away with um but i like where that's going so my idea um was that we need to have a federal standard for

01:33:02.780 audits and that we do not currently have a good idea how to do it somebody said and they were right

01:33:10.460 that the auditors also would be criminals because it would be so easy to buy off an auditor

01:33:17.900 so if you just had a standard audit system they would either be incompetent or bribed or they'd be in

01:33:24.940 on they'd be in on the plot and i agree with that over time the auditors would be

01:33:31.740 you know blackmailed or bought off but if your audit system involves these citizen bounty hunters

01:33:40.860 presumably people were capable and well trained to do that sort of thing they would just be working

01:33:46.460 for the money and if they could make more money by turning people in than they could make by being in on

01:33:55.420 the graft well now you got a system so you know there are lots of questions and details about that but

01:34:03.900 i like where that's heading because if you don't have what i would call a free market approach to make

01:34:12.380 sure that the audits are are doing what they should be doing the audit will be a waste of time and that's

01:34:18.780 what we see right now our current auditing systems largely don't work case in point there's a new

01:34:27.020 story that says that billions of dollars that we send to israel as weapons after october 7th have not

01:34:36.220 been accounted for so apparently the auditing system that should have tracked uh weapons and

01:34:44.540 and armaments same thing that we gave to israel uh we were only able to track some percentage of it

01:34:52.380 now that does not mean that that stuff was stolen or ended up in the wrong hands what it does mean

01:35:00.140 is we don't know it could have been stolen it could have ended up in the wrong hands we don't know because

01:35:08.620 once again although there was tracking the tracking was inadequate and so we don't know now i do think

01:35:17.660 that israel would be highly incentivized to make sure those weapons got used by the idf in exactly the

01:35:25.100 way we wanted but you know we don't know and if you take any audit system that is blind and there's a

01:35:33.980 lot of money involved and you just wait that guarantees corruption lots of money involved lots of time

01:35:43.980 involved and nobody's watching 100 chance that ends up in in some criminal behavior

01:35:54.300 well here's some maybe good news there's a new study according to the brighter side news

01:36:00.860 that alzheimer's can be not only stopped but reversed with a very common

01:36:07.500 common supplement now this common supplement called nad plus is not something you can buy over the

01:36:16.220 counter and if it were ever made available oh wait i'm sorry that's wrong the nad plus is apparently

01:36:25.020 something that people have in them and when the nad plus is at the right level they don't get alzheimer's

01:36:33.980 but the recent discovery is if you could boost their nad plus because older people lose it so if you just

01:36:42.540 boost them back to a normal level that not only do they not get worse in the alzheimer's but it can

01:36:49.340 actually correct it you could actually cure it so they've shown this in mice but they've also shown it in

01:36:57.100 uh samples of human brains now if they had not shown this true in a sample of a human brain i would not

01:37:06.300 be excited because mouse studies you know there's a million mouse studies that never turn out to work

01:37:12.700 for humans but it's already it's already a chemical that's in your body so that's good news they know for

01:37:20.700 sure that the people with alzheimer's have less of it and they know exactly why that would cause the

01:37:26.940 alzheimer's and they know that it can be increased by adding this thing called the compound called p73

01:37:36.300 dash a20 so some lab has developed this so it would be easy to develop the compound um developed in piper

01:37:46.780 labs uh but because it's a drug it would have to go through a whole bunch of uh fda testing etc so it's

01:37:56.860 not it's not on the horizon it would have to be tested but this does sound more promising than almost

01:38:03.740 anything i've ever heard in that domain so i'm going to end on that bit of optimism i'm going way

01:38:10.940 late but it's a sunday didn't you enjoy spending some extra time

01:38:19.420 did you

01:38:24.060 all right it's why smokers rarely get alzheimer's i've ever heard that is that true smokers really

01:38:32.140 get alzheimer's

01:38:38.540 all right people i won't stay too much longer

01:38:43.340 but i will say a few words to the beloved members of uh locals who might want to stay around a little

01:38:51.740 bit longer the rest of you enjoy your sunday i hope this was uh useful to you i try to be useful

01:39:00.300 uh useful doing my best all right locals i'm going to come at you

01:39:08.060 privately if this works

01:39:11.580 bada bada bada local supporters will be private in uh oh maybe this isn't working

01:39:30.300 is

01:39:34.060 Thank you.

01:40:04.060 Thank you.

01:40:34.060 Thank you.

01:41:04.060 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 28, 2025

Episode 3056 CWSA 12⧸28⧸25

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