Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 3060 CWSA 01⧸02⧸26

00:00:00.000 Let's check on our stocks.

00:00:04.600 Not bad.

00:00:06.400 Stocks are up a little bit.

00:00:09.100 Tesla's up a little bit.

00:00:11.700 All right, we're starting the year off right.

00:00:15.600 Excellent.

00:00:18.800 Let me make sure I can see your local comments.

00:00:22.600 And then we'll have the show you've been waiting for.

00:00:26.400 The show of shows.

00:00:30.000 All right, that's working.

00:00:34.600 Oh, come on, typing through tears.

00:00:37.400 Let's just enjoy our morning, OK?

00:00:40.900 How about the simultaneous step?

00:00:43.900 Because I know why you're here.

00:00:45.300 It's working.

00:00:46.600 Whoops.

00:00:49.900 Stop it.

00:00:54.000 I interrupted myself.

00:01:00.000 OK, we'll try that again.

00:01:02.600 All you need is a copper mugger, a glass of tanker,

00:01:06.100 a chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:11.200 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:13.600 I like coffee.

00:01:15.200 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine

00:01:17.600 of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:19.600 It's called simultaneity sip.

00:01:22.200 It happens.

00:01:23.200 Now.

00:01:30.200 The simultaneity.

00:01:32.200 It never disappoints.

00:01:34.200 So one of the things I told you I like a lot is when people who are way

00:01:41.200 smarter than me agree with me because it makes me feel smarter.

00:01:46.600 So the CEO of Perplexity, that's one of the big AI apps, Arvind Srinivas,

00:01:54.800 he says, the biggest threat to data centers is intelligence that runs locally on your device.

00:02:02.600 So I think I've been telling you for a while that the big AI companies are building enormous

00:02:10.200 multi-billion dollar data centers.

00:02:13.800 And as an investor, I would be concerned that things could change instantly.

00:02:20.000 And one of the things that could change instantly is if somebody figured out how to do AI,

00:02:24.700 without the data center.

00:02:26.700 Now, it seems impossible.

00:02:29.700 But on the other hand, if you started with the data center training,

00:02:37.700 and then just added your own intelligence and your own stuff,

00:02:41.700 how close could you get to a working AI that didn't need to be connected to a data center?

00:02:49.700 I think that's coming.

00:02:52.700 Anyway, speaking of AI, Sam Altman of ChatGPT and OpenAI,

00:03:00.700 apparently he's got a different vision than Elon Musk does about what's going to happen to your apps.

00:03:07.700 So in his world, ChatGPT will have its own app store and maybe replace the Apple app store.

00:03:16.700 But so far, they have not really been successful.

00:03:21.700 So they have some apps, but they're not, you know, it's not doing everything a phone can do.

00:03:29.700 So they think their big competition is Apple and the iPhone, but they can't quite get apps to work.

00:03:37.700 I don't know if they will.

00:03:39.700 Now, the difference is that Elon says there won't be apps per se.

00:03:45.700 There might just be one version of AI on your device, which would look nothing like a smartphone, except a screen and, you know, some basics.

00:03:58.700 So we'll see.

00:03:59.700 That's a pretty big deal because whoever ends up owning the app or replacement app environment is going to have a business that's worth a trillion dollars.

00:04:15.700 According to someone on X named Ming, I love it when I take random people I don't know about on X and act like they have a special insight.

00:04:29.700 Maybe he does.

00:04:31.700 Maybe Ming knows everything.

00:04:33.700 Or maybe Ming is making it up because I don't know who he is.

00:04:37.700 But he says that the mass production audit for Tesla's Optimus version three, that would be the robot, has been completed.

00:04:46.700 And here's the new part.

00:04:48.700 Seven Chinese companies would be core suppliers.

00:04:53.700 So for different parts of the robot, Tesla would employ seven Chinese companies.

00:05:02.700 Now, a lot of it, I assume, would be made in the US, but they would be getting parts from China to assemble.

00:05:09.700 Now, you remember I was telling you that the CEO of Andrewill was saying that basically every electronic component that came from China has some kind of a listening device that might be as big as a grain of sand or a grain of rice.

00:05:30.700 Not sand, stupid, rice, totally different.

00:05:35.700 So how much can you trust robot parts that came from China?

00:05:41.700 Do you think that's safe?

00:05:46.700 And what would Tesla's security be?

00:05:51.700 Would they make sure that every component was free from some kind of spy device?

00:05:57.700 I assume.

00:05:58.700 So it's a weird time in history where we assumed that China would put malicious code or malicious hardware into every device. 0.54

00:06:12.700 At the same time, you probably can't make the robots without China. 0.99

00:06:16.700 So is China Tesla's friend or is it just another way China can get some control over the United States? 0.65

00:06:26.700 But more to the point.

00:06:28.700 So they want to make, they want to be ready to make 50 to 100,000 units.

00:06:35.700 That would be robots.

00:06:38.700 In Q1, 2026.

00:06:40.700 So remember how I keep asking, how in the world will robots be like generally intelligent and act like a butler if we haven't seen it yet?

00:06:56.700 And I always mock the videos that show some robot doing exactly one thing.

00:07:02.700 So today, there's a video I saw about some Chinese made robot that could play tennis.

00:07:09.700 But they don't really show it trying to make every kind of shot.

00:07:16.700 So it probably can't even do tennis unless it's like a ground stroke that's kind of close to his forehand.

00:07:24.700 So once again, every time somebody tries to trick us into thinking that robots are ready, they'll show a demonstration of a robot doing exactly one thing.

00:07:38.700 Now, obviously, if you could get a robot to play tennis, that would be pretty impressive.

00:07:45.700 But it wouldn't be the same intelligence that would make it a butler.

00:07:51.700 So here's my question.

00:07:54.700 What does Elon know about AI, the AI that would go into his robots, that we don't know?

00:08:02.700 Does he have this mastered?

00:08:06.700 Because why would you even gear up for making that many robots this soon, first quarter, unless you have solved the general intelligence problem?

00:08:18.700 And how in the world would we not know that he has solved it?

00:08:24.700 Or is it optimism?

00:08:27.700 Does he feel that he's close enough that if you give it three more months that you'll be able to do whatever you want to do?

00:08:36.700 I don't know.

00:08:37.700 I'm genuinely curious.

00:08:40.700 Because, you know, Elon's not going to waste a bunch of money on a robot that doesn't work.

00:08:47.700 So he must think it'll work.

00:08:50.700 And when I say work, I mean be generally trainable.

00:08:55.700 So you could just teach it a new thing on the fly.

00:09:02.700 Spaces.

00:09:04.700 All right.

00:09:09.700 Tesla's a surveillance company, you say?

00:09:14.700 Well, not by design, but I don't know what could surveil anything better than that.

00:09:27.700 You know, nobody's ever asked me to teach a robot how to be funny.

00:09:31.700 I'm seeing that in the comments.

00:09:34.700 But I think I could.

00:09:36.700 I think it would have been within my ability to teach a robot how to be funny.

00:09:42.700 Not positive, but I think I could.

00:09:45.700 Nobody else has.

00:09:47.700 Well, remember I told you yesterday, I think it was yesterday, that sometimes I cheer for the wrong people.

00:09:55.700 You know, you've seen movies, TV shows, where the bad guy is actually the charismatic one.

00:10:02.700 Do you remember the TV show Dallas?

00:10:07.700 And J.R. Ewing was the bad guy.

00:10:10.700 But he was the most interesting person in the show.

00:10:13.700 So he ended up cheering for the bad guy.

00:10:16.700 And I told you that that started to be my feeling about that tanker.

00:10:23.700 It's an empty tanker that the U.S. Navy has been chasing.

00:10:27.700 And remember I told you that he did a U-turn instead of surrendering, which was ballsy.

00:10:33.700 And then they painted on the side of their ship a Russian flag to try to get Russia's protection.

00:10:40.700 And it looks like it might have worked because apparently Russia has now asked the U.S. to not take the tanker.

00:10:52.700 So I don't know if it's really a Russian flag ship or if they changed it to a Russian flag ship.

00:10:59.700 But if he gets away with us, if that tanker captain actually pulls it off and gets away, that is going to be the coolest criminal thing I've seen this year.

00:11:14.700 So I'm trying not to root for the other team, but he's a ballsy captain.

00:11:21.700 All right.

00:11:22.700 Well, good luck, captain.

00:11:23.700 So here's some good news.

00:11:28.700 Lee Zeldin is reporting that the Trump EPA just completed a risk evaluation of, and I think I'll be pronouncing this right.

00:11:40.700 It's spelled P-H-T-H-A-L-A-T-E-S.

00:11:46.700 So obviously that would be pronounced full platinum.

00:11:51.700 I think I nailed that, right?

00:11:53.700 So apparently the Fulani chemicals are going to be banned because they're bad for you.

00:12:03.700 Lee Zeldin says the Maha activists were right. 1.00

00:12:07.700 And the Trump EPA strongly agrees that exposures in certain settings exceed safe levels and could cause endocrine disruptions.

00:12:18.700 So if I could give you any advice, it would go like this.

00:12:22.700 Stay away from the flatness.

00:12:25.700 All right.

00:12:27.700 Now, I try to be useful.

00:12:30.700 So here I am teaching you how to pronounce this difficult to pronounce word one more time.

00:12:36.700 It's pronounced sublimatis.

00:12:41.700 Yeah, that's a word.

00:12:44.700 But good job.

00:12:46.700 Trump administration.

00:12:48.700 I like the fact that RFK Jr.

00:12:51.700 is leading the do science better push.

00:12:55.700 So this is one of many things in which the gold standard of science will be applied

00:13:02.700 and apparently has never been applied before.

00:13:05.700 which is a weird part.

00:13:09.020 How long ago was it that you learned

00:13:11.460 that science was mostly fake?

00:13:15.560 Or at least the science that we cared about.

00:13:20.000 You know, we never really had safety tests

00:13:23.080 for a lot of medicines.

00:13:24.960 But we thought we did.

00:13:26.940 I mean, I think I thought the same thing you did for years,

00:13:29.760 which is the most tested would be pharmaceutical stuff.

00:13:38.460 Turns out that was never the case.

00:13:42.340 And then secondly, you would assume that food

00:13:45.280 and food safety would also be among the top things

00:13:50.080 that our science did right.

00:13:53.280 Well, turns out that's all wrong,

00:13:57.040 that we didn't have science to support our big meds

00:14:00.840 and we didn't have science to support our big food.

00:14:04.800 And of all people, of all people,

00:14:08.780 Trump is the one who's making this, you know, real science.

00:14:15.880 So there's more on that in a minute.

00:14:19.220 I'm seeing some reporting

00:14:23.600 about Trump's approval levels being high.

00:14:27.980 I think it was Harry Antonin on CNN

00:14:29.960 who said they've never seen this before,

00:14:33.440 which is a president in his second term

00:14:36.140 who's been better, more approval than his first term.

00:14:41.760 You know, because first terms,

00:14:43.720 you tend to get a little bit of a honeymoon. 0.75

00:14:46.220 But Trump is actually more popular now

00:14:49.740 than at any time in his first term.

00:14:54.880 That's impressive.

00:14:56.900 Now, how popular he is, is a matter of dispute.

00:15:00.740 So there are various different polls

00:15:02.720 that have very different answers.

00:15:04.660 I think one said he's 44% approval,

00:15:09.300 which wouldn't be bad.

00:15:11.060 Another poll, I think, said 50% approval,

00:15:14.740 which would be very impressive, 50%.

00:15:19.040 But, you know, how much do you,

00:15:21.960 how much do you really trust

00:15:23.460 claims of popularity or approval, I guess?

00:15:29.340 But here's what Trump does.

00:15:31.320 So in the midst of these sketchy numbers,

00:15:34.380 Trump says that the polls are rigged

00:15:41.940 and he claims his real job approval rating

00:15:45.080 nearly a year into his second term is 64%.

00:15:48.900 64%.

00:15:51.960 No, I don't, has there ever been a president

00:15:54.500 who was 64%?

00:15:55.720 I think there were maybe around the first.

00:16:00.300 What was Bush's approval during the first Gulf War?

00:16:05.540 It was really high, right?

00:16:08.560 So Trump says he's got,

00:16:10.880 he goes, the real number is 64%.

00:16:13.380 And why not?

00:16:15.460 And why not?

00:16:16.980 Our country is hotter than ever before.

00:16:20.180 Isn't it nice to have a strong border,

00:16:21.940 no inflation, but happy new year.

00:16:23.720 So if you're a Democrat,

00:16:28.440 would this drive you crazy

00:16:29.840 if you saw that the president

00:16:32.200 was claiming a 64% approval

00:16:35.260 but had no poll whatsoever to back it?

00:16:39.240 It would make you crazy.

00:16:41.720 How does it make you feel if you support Trump?

00:16:48.340 Well, I'm in that category.

00:16:51.420 To me, it's just as funny.

00:16:53.720 I love the fact that he just throws that out there

00:16:55.960 because he knows that his critics

00:16:57.980 are going to go crazy

00:16:58.980 and it doesn't make any difference

00:17:01.080 whatsoever to his supporters.

00:17:03.060 We just watch the show.

00:17:05.160 So when he does that salesman-ish thing

00:17:08.160 and he just throws out this giant number

00:17:11.660 that can't be supported,

00:17:13.340 it just makes me laugh.

00:17:14.440 And I don't think anybody else would know

00:17:17.420 that that could be like a workable strategy

00:17:20.620 instead of insane.

00:17:22.460 Oh, speaking of which,

00:17:24.420 so Trump also had a physical.

00:17:27.800 He claims he's in, quote,

00:17:30.440 perfect health

00:17:31.240 and that he aced

00:17:32.880 the third cognitive exam

00:17:35.620 he's been asked to take

00:17:36.640 in his time as president.

00:17:38.540 He says,

00:17:40.600 the White House doctors have reported

00:17:42.160 that I am in, now all caps,

00:17:44.760 perfect health

00:17:45.700 and that I aced

00:17:48.200 capital, all capitals,

00:17:51.040 meaning was correct

00:17:52.240 on 100% of the questions asked

00:17:54.300 for the third straight time.

00:17:57.540 My cognitive examination,

00:18:00.240 something which no other president

00:18:01.760 or previous vice president

00:18:03.380 was willing to take,

00:18:05.560 Trump wrote.

00:18:07.040 Now, again,

00:18:08.480 do you hate the fact

00:18:11.260 that he's claiming

00:18:13.380 his cognitive test success?

00:18:16.740 No.

00:18:17.760 Will it bother his critics

00:18:19.380 for whatever reason?

00:18:22.660 Yes.

00:18:23.800 So if it bothers his critics

00:18:25.400 and it doesn't bother his supporters,

00:18:30.180 that's a sweet spot.

00:18:32.260 He has a sweet spot.

00:18:33.380 Well,

00:18:35.540 over in Israel,

00:18:36.780 apparently Netanyahu

00:18:37.880 and the Israeli government

00:18:40.320 is going to enforce

00:18:41.880 a ban on 37 NGOs

00:18:44.460 in Gaza.

00:18:46.700 So they believe

00:18:47.760 that at least 37 of them

00:18:49.640 are maybe sneaking

00:18:52.060 in bad guys

00:18:53.000 or doing something

00:18:54.620 that Israel would not 0.99

00:18:55.640 want them to do

00:18:56.420 and is not in their charter.

00:18:59.360 So

00:18:59.920 if you had heard

00:19:02.540 this story

00:19:03.260 a few years ago,

00:19:05.600 what would you assume

00:19:07.100 was happening?

00:19:08.820 You might assume

00:19:10.240 that Israel

00:19:10.920 was being mean

00:19:11.900 and they were removing

00:19:13.660 the sources of charity

00:19:15.960 for the region

00:19:18.240 that they conquered.

00:19:19.760 and you might say,

00:19:21.360 my God,

00:19:23.140 these brutal monsters

00:19:24.680 are cutting our NGO

00:19:26.780 support.

00:19:29.020 But what do you think

00:19:29.960 in 2026?

00:19:32.140 In 2026,

00:19:33.800 now that we know

00:19:34.460 the NGOs

00:19:35.080 are massive

00:19:36.440 money laundering schemes

00:19:38.500 and probably

00:19:40.280 in this case

00:19:42.120 being used

00:19:43.220 as some kind

00:19:44.340 of disguise

00:19:46.340 for moving

00:19:47.820 in things

00:19:48.420 that could be weapons,

00:19:50.900 for example.

00:19:52.060 Maybe it's other terrorists.

00:19:54.620 So

00:19:54.900 it makes me wonder,

00:19:57.120 is there ever been

00:19:57.940 an NGO

00:19:58.460 that was good

00:19:59.380 or are all NGOs

00:20:02.320 just automatically

00:20:04.560 a signal

00:20:05.340 for fraud

00:20:06.100 and a signal

00:20:07.420 for something

00:20:07.980 you don't want

00:20:08.540 to happen?

00:20:09.920 I don't know.

00:20:11.840 But I'll tell you,

00:20:13.820 it does seem

00:20:15.260 to suggest

00:20:15.980 there's never

00:20:17.240 been a good NGO

00:20:18.320 and that

00:20:20.260 every single time

00:20:21.720 you hear about one,

00:20:23.560 there's something

00:20:24.260 sketchy going on.

00:20:26.060 Probably.

00:20:28.360 All right,

00:20:28.720 well,

00:20:28.900 here's a story

00:20:30.060 that was just

00:20:31.940 complicated enough

00:20:32.960 that I don't fully

00:20:33.680 understand it,

00:20:34.440 but I'll try.

00:20:34.860 So according

00:20:36.240 to Jennifer O'Connell

00:20:38.300 writing for Red State,

00:20:41.560 Trump has already

00:20:43.380 this year

00:20:43.980 vetoed two things

00:20:45.480 at least.

00:20:46.480 And one of the things

00:20:47.120 he vetoed

00:20:47.820 was a

00:20:48.460 decades-old legislation

00:20:50.800 that was

00:20:52.780 tied all the way

00:20:53.760 back to

00:20:54.420 John F. Kennedy

00:20:56.040 63 years ago

00:20:57.500 where they had

00:20:59.020 put together

00:20:59.900 a deal

00:21:00.440 where the federal

00:21:01.660 government would pay

00:21:02.580 for this massive

00:21:03.560 pipeline

00:21:04.700 project.

00:21:06.940 But

00:21:07.300 the way

00:21:08.380 it was supposed

00:21:08.920 to work

00:21:09.400 is that the federal

00:21:10.660 government would pay

00:21:11.600 for it,

00:21:12.460 but then they would

00:21:13.160 be paid back

00:21:14.100 over time

00:21:15.400 with interest

00:21:16.200 by the state

00:21:17.840 and local authorities.

00:21:19.700 So on paper,

00:21:21.540 sounds pretty good,

00:21:22.520 right?

00:21:23.520 The locals

00:21:25.300 get a source

00:21:27.140 water.

00:21:27.640 I'm sure

00:21:28.340 and it's all

00:21:31.380 funded.

00:21:33.300 But that was

00:21:35.020 63 years ago.

00:21:37.100 So apparently

00:21:37.760 all they do

00:21:38.400 is they keep

00:21:38.940 kicking the can

00:21:39.780 down the road.

00:21:41.500 I think very little

00:21:43.020 or nothing

00:21:43.500 has been built.

00:21:45.080 So it's a little

00:21:45.740 bit like the

00:21:47.320 allegations

00:21:48.520 about the

00:21:49.180 California

00:21:49.780 high-speed rail.

00:21:50.880 but Trump

00:21:53.660 just canceled

00:21:54.320 it.

00:21:55.700 So I feel

00:21:57.440 like

00:21:57.800 that's the

00:21:59.200 right play

00:21:59.720 because if

00:22:01.240 something

00:22:01.520 has lasted

00:22:02.140 63 years

00:22:03.680 and they

00:22:04.480 haven't built

00:22:04.960 anything

00:22:05.420 and it probably

00:22:06.680 doesn't have a good

00:22:07.540 audit feature

00:22:08.300 because, yeah,

00:22:09.120 one does

00:22:09.600 and there's

00:22:11.880 probably no way

00:22:12.620 that the feds

00:22:13.500 would ever get

00:22:14.000 paid back,

00:22:14.620 I think

00:22:16.300 Trump can

00:22:16.880 cancel that.

00:22:18.980 So

00:22:19.380 that does

00:22:21.200 make sense

00:22:21.680 to me.

00:22:22.540 It makes me

00:22:23.200 wonder how many

00:22:23.900 things are

00:22:24.480 going to get

00:22:24.920 canceled

00:22:25.340 because they

00:22:27.480 never really

00:22:28.120 made sense

00:22:28.860 or because

00:22:30.420 it's been

00:22:30.820 decades and

00:22:31.620 the money

00:22:32.420 just disappears.

00:22:34.160 So how much

00:22:34.660 I don't know

00:22:35.760 how much money

00:22:36.320 was ever

00:22:36.860 allocated to it

00:22:38.340 but once

00:22:39.500 again,

00:22:40.400 no surprise.

00:22:42.640 We learned

00:22:43.120 that any

00:22:43.600 big federal

00:22:44.360 project

00:22:44.960 or state

00:22:45.480 project

00:22:46.000 is probably

00:22:47.020 just a way

00:22:47.960 for somebody

00:22:48.420 to rob us.

00:22:52.140 Speaking

00:22:52.780 of which,

00:22:55.020 the Trump

00:22:55.840 administration

00:22:56.500 has extended

00:22:58.300 its ban

00:22:59.080 on child

00:22:59.680 care

00:23:00.040 payments

00:23:00.820 until the

00:23:02.680 states

00:23:03.060 could provide

00:23:03.620 evidence

00:23:04.060 of legitimate

00:23:04.720 spending.

00:23:06.380 I saw

00:23:06.720 this on

00:23:07.140 One

00:23:07.440 American

00:23:07.780 News

00:23:08.100 Network.

00:23:09.320 So the

00:23:09.860 Department

00:23:10.420 of Health

00:23:10.860 and Human

00:23:11.340 Services,

00:23:12.780 which had

00:23:13.380 already

00:23:14.580 suspended

00:23:15.180 these federal

00:23:16.320 payments to

00:23:17.540 one state,

00:23:18.440 I think it

00:23:18.880 was just

00:23:19.300 Minnesota,

00:23:23.660 has now

00:23:26.480 made that

00:23:26.940 a national

00:23:28.200 thing.

00:23:29.260 So do you

00:23:30.520 think that's

00:23:31.080 a good idea?

00:23:32.900 Probably.

00:23:34.040 Because as far

00:23:34.880 as we can

00:23:35.280 tell, 0.94

00:23:36.360 all the

00:23:37.040 payments of

00:23:37.720 this type

00:23:38.440 were massively

00:23:40.040 fraudulent.

00:23:42.000 And it

00:23:42.520 probably affected

00:23:43.220 every state.

00:23:44.580 And it's

00:23:45.000 perfectly reasonable

00:23:46.200 to ask them

00:23:47.400 for evidence

00:23:48.040 that the money

00:23:48.680 is going to

00:23:49.240 the right place.

00:23:50.200 So it's not

00:23:50.780 that they can't

00:23:51.480 get the money.

00:23:52.900 It's that they

00:23:53.520 will have to

00:23:54.280 demonstrate

00:23:55.860 with receipts

00:23:57.200 and photo

00:23:57.700 evidence and

00:23:58.640 show that the

00:23:59.840 funds are actually

00:24:00.440 being used in the

00:24:01.760 right way.

00:24:02.140 Now, here's my

00:24:03.800 takeaway from

00:24:04.460 that.

00:24:05.540 I'm trying to

00:24:06.360 imagine any

00:24:07.160 other president

00:24:07.980 who could have

00:24:09.300 done this.

00:24:10.980 Even though we

00:24:11.840 recently learned

00:24:13.040 that all these

00:24:15.560 things were

00:24:15.980 giant fakes,

00:24:17.400 do you think

00:24:17.960 that a Democrat

00:24:18.800 would have just

00:24:20.520 said, all right,

00:24:21.100 we're going to

00:24:21.380 stop paying all

00:24:22.120 of you until

00:24:23.340 you can prove

00:24:23.980 it's real?

00:24:24.420 No.

00:24:26.560 And I'm not

00:24:27.120 to be sure a

00:24:27.740 Republican could

00:24:28.560 have, because

00:24:30.300 there would

00:24:30.780 just be so

00:24:31.500 much pushback.

00:24:32.720 But here's why

00:24:33.320 a regular,

00:24:34.220 ordinary Republican

00:24:35.100 and definitely

00:24:36.460 a Democrat

00:24:37.240 president could

00:24:38.720 not have pulled

00:24:39.380 this off, which

00:24:40.520 I think will be

00:24:41.200 an important

00:24:41.700 move.

00:24:43.240 The first

00:24:44.160 thing you had

00:24:44.600 to do was

00:24:45.800 dismantle

00:24:46.540 DEI.

00:24:48.260 If you

00:24:48.940 would not

00:24:49.300 dismantle

00:24:49.940 DEI, then

00:24:51.660 cutting funding

00:24:52.560 in this way

00:24:53.380 would automatically

00:24:54.880 be called

00:24:55.660 racist.

00:24:57.660 But Trump

00:24:58.180 is the only

00:24:58.640 one with

00:24:59.020 enough balls 0.61

00:24:59.820 to say, you

00:25:00.920 can call me

00:25:01.400 racist if you

00:25:02.080 want to, but

00:25:02.640 I'm still

00:25:02.880 going to do

00:25:03.300 it.

00:25:04.360 So you

00:25:04.960 had to have

00:25:05.560 an anti-

00:25:06.920 DEI

00:25:07.540 president.

00:25:09.840 No one

00:25:10.220 else could

00:25:10.580 have done

00:25:10.860 this.

00:25:11.620 No one

00:25:12.060 else.

00:25:12.880 Would you

00:25:13.180 agree?

00:25:13.640 I'm looking

00:25:14.080 at the

00:25:14.380 comments right

00:25:14.900 now.

00:25:15.560 Would you

00:25:15.900 agree that

00:25:16.380 no other

00:25:17.000 person as

00:25:17.960 president would

00:25:19.360 have had the

00:25:19.820 tools and

00:25:21.480 the right

00:25:21.820 personality and

00:25:23.000 the guts to

00:25:23.700 do this?

00:25:25.620 Secondly, and

00:25:27.060 this is

00:25:27.360 important, the

00:25:28.760 only way this

00:25:29.480 would get done

00:25:30.140 is if he

00:25:31.940 wasn't in on

00:25:32.760 the scam.

00:25:34.900 Now, even if

00:25:35.940 you say, well,

00:25:36.780 no other

00:25:37.640 president was in

00:25:38.620 on the scam,

00:25:40.260 but their

00:25:40.800 supporters were.

00:25:43.260 So they

00:25:43.700 would have had

00:25:44.800 a base that

00:25:46.040 said, what are

00:25:46.500 you doing?

00:25:46.940 their base

00:25:51.000 would have

00:25:51.320 stopped that

00:25:51.860 president because

00:25:53.480 they were in

00:25:54.100 on it.

00:25:55.560 So Trump,

00:25:57.220 whether or

00:25:58.560 not any

00:25:59.540 Republicans are

00:26:00.720 in on it,

00:26:01.500 and certainly

00:26:02.060 some must be,

00:26:03.560 that didn't

00:26:04.020 stop.

00:26:05.200 So he's not

00:26:06.240 stopped by the

00:26:07.380 DEI attacks.

00:26:09.300 Let's call it

00:26:09.940 the racism

00:26:10.740 attacks.

00:26:11.960 He's not

00:26:12.480 stopped because

00:26:14.100 somebody on

00:26:15.040 his team

00:26:15.700 is in

00:26:16.220 on it.

00:26:18.240 And lastly,

00:26:19.540 you need

00:26:19.920 basically balls

00:26:22.020 of steel

00:26:22.640 to do

00:26:23.780 something that

00:26:24.320 people will

00:26:24.960 interpret,

00:26:26.220 the bad guys

00:26:26.920 will interpret,

00:26:28.180 as killing

00:26:29.060 children.

00:26:31.660 So a

00:26:32.540 Democrat

00:26:32.840 probably

00:26:33.320 couldn't

00:26:33.720 survive

00:26:34.420 doing something

00:26:35.940 that people

00:26:37.600 would say,

00:26:38.080 hey, you

00:26:39.400 take that

00:26:39.840 money away

00:26:40.400 and it

00:26:40.700 will kill

00:26:41.100 the children.

00:26:42.640 But Trump

00:26:43.300 would be

00:26:44.720 smart enough,

00:26:45.500 tough enough,

00:26:46.040 strong enough

00:26:46.620 to say,

00:26:47.980 well,

00:26:48.900 all you have

00:26:49.300 to do is

00:26:49.700 prove that

00:26:50.280 you're real.

00:26:51.540 You can have

00:26:51.980 money right

00:26:52.500 away.

00:26:53.840 So I

00:26:55.080 don't know

00:26:55.580 that any

00:26:56.100 other president

00:26:56.700 could have

00:26:57.060 done this.

00:26:57.940 It's sort

00:26:58.480 of the

00:26:58.740 perfect

00:26:59.280 combination

00:27:00.080 of the

00:27:01.900 person who

00:27:02.620 needed to

00:27:03.160 be there

00:27:03.540 at the

00:27:03.780 right time.

00:27:04.940 Otherwise,

00:27:05.420 I think

00:27:05.720 we're just

00:27:06.200 doomed.

00:27:08.180 Just

00:27:08.540 doomed.

00:27:10.800 All

00:27:11.280 right.

00:27:11.440 I've

00:27:12.600 asked

00:27:12.940 you

00:27:13.060 this

00:27:13.240 before,

00:27:13.900 but

00:27:14.020 I'm

00:27:14.160 going to

00:27:14.280 add

00:27:14.400 little

00:27:14.620 details.

00:27:15.800 I

00:27:16.000 have

00:27:16.140 a

00:27:16.340 favor

00:27:16.680 to

00:27:16.960 ask.

00:27:20.300 You'll

00:27:20.820 see a

00:27:21.320 post that

00:27:22.020 I pinned

00:27:22.440 to my

00:27:23.100 X feed.

00:27:24.680 It's the

00:27:24.940 one at

00:27:25.240 the top,

00:27:26.380 in which

00:27:26.640 I'm asking

00:27:27.240 you if I

00:27:28.700 helped you

00:27:29.160 in any

00:27:29.540 way,

00:27:30.840 or let's

00:27:31.300 say my

00:27:31.640 work,

00:27:32.520 if my

00:27:32.980 work helped 0.92

00:27:34.940 you in

00:27:35.280 any way,

00:27:36.700 to leave

00:27:37.640 a message

00:27:38.120 in that

00:27:38.520 post,

00:27:39.720 because my

00:27:40.520 good friend

00:27:41.200 and now

00:27:42.440 biographer,

00:27:43.620 Joel Pollack,

00:27:45.320 I've asked

00:27:46.620 him to

00:27:46.920 write my

00:27:47.340 biography.

00:27:49.340 And a

00:27:50.100 big part

00:27:50.460 of the

00:27:50.660 biography

00:27:51.040 will be

00:27:51.820 some

00:27:53.340 notion

00:27:53.780 of what

00:27:54.460 I added

00:27:54.900 to the

00:27:55.360 universe.

00:27:56.700 So if

00:27:57.120 you have

00:27:57.440 a story

00:27:57.980 to tell,

00:27:59.320 or you

00:27:59.960 know

00:28:00.180 somebody

00:28:00.500 that does,

00:28:01.800 do me

00:28:02.460 a favor

00:28:02.800 and leave

00:28:03.460 a comment

00:28:04.120 just so

00:28:05.980 we know

00:28:06.280 what the

00:28:06.700 general

00:28:07.240 thrust is,

00:28:10.240 and then

00:28:10.840 follow

00:28:11.380 Joel.

00:28:12.780 You'll

00:28:13.300 see his

00:28:13.860 X

00:28:15.760 handle

00:28:16.660 in my

00:28:17.160 post.

00:28:18.180 Give him

00:28:18.540 a follow,

00:28:19.500 because if

00:28:20.320 he sees

00:28:20.720 something in

00:28:21.220 the comments

00:28:21.820 that would

00:28:22.460 look good,

00:28:23.840 or he wants

00:28:24.700 to follow

00:28:25.120 up with

00:28:25.540 in the

00:28:25.800 book,

00:28:26.560 he will

00:28:26.900 have a

00:28:27.180 way to

00:28:27.460 contact

00:28:27.800 you,

00:28:28.520 so he

00:28:29.160 can follow

00:28:29.560 you back

00:28:30.040 and DM

00:28:30.520 you.

00:28:31.200 Okay?

00:28:33.140 That would

00:28:33.840 be a

00:28:34.060 big favor

00:28:34.520 to me.

00:28:36.680 I would

00:28:36.960 appreciate

00:28:37.300 that.

00:28:40.180 Well,

00:28:41.140 Iran

00:28:41.680 apparently

00:28:42.120 is having

00:28:42.760 some big

00:28:43.320 protests

00:28:43.920 in the

00:28:45.340 street.

00:28:46.380 So I

00:28:47.000 saw some

00:28:47.540 reporting

00:28:48.120 that we'll

00:28:50.640 see if

00:28:51.220 I've trained

00:28:51.900 you well

00:28:52.280 enough to

00:28:52.700 spot this.

00:28:54.220 The claim

00:28:54.960 is that

00:28:55.460 there are

00:28:55.980 now 32

00:28:57.200 cities

00:28:57.960 where there

00:28:59.900 will be

00:29:00.240 protests.

00:29:02.260 32

00:29:02.760 cities.

00:29:03.840 Now,

00:29:04.800 give me

00:29:05.120 the filter

00:29:06.420 on that.

00:29:08.800 Do you

00:29:09.380 think that

00:29:09.840 32 cities

00:29:10.960 are really

00:29:12.020 going to

00:29:12.220 have

00:29:12.360 protests?

00:29:16.940 All right,

00:29:17.580 here's the

00:29:18.040 filter.

00:29:19.760 Let's see

00:29:20.140 how many

00:29:20.460 of you

00:29:20.680 got it.

00:29:21.980 How big

00:29:22.560 would the

00:29:22.920 protests

00:29:23.380 be in

00:29:23.700 those 32

00:29:24.340 cities?

00:29:25.580 Because I

00:29:26.020 heard yesterday

00:29:26.740 that the

00:29:28.040 32-city

00:29:28.860 thing might 0.63

00:29:29.360 be true,

00:29:30.500 but some

00:29:30.920 of them

00:29:31.180 would be

00:29:31.500 small

00:29:31.840 crowds.

00:29:33.700 So there's

00:29:34.240 a big

00:29:34.500 difference

00:29:35.040 between a

00:29:35.700 small

00:29:36.100 crowd of

00:29:36.620 protesters

00:29:37.120 and an

00:29:38.280 overwhelming

00:29:38.740 number.

00:29:40.860 But we

00:29:41.400 don't see

00:29:42.060 how many

00:29:42.640 of the

00:29:42.880 32

00:29:43.320 are going

00:29:44.740 to be

00:29:45.140 big or

00:29:46.580 have been

00:29:46.940 big,

00:29:47.420 and how

00:29:47.880 many of

00:29:48.260 them are

00:29:48.600 just a

00:29:49.720 few hundred

00:29:50.140 people took

00:29:50.800 the streets

00:29:51.380 so they

00:29:51.840 added it

00:29:52.900 to the

00:29:53.120 count.

00:29:53.460 But what

00:29:55.500 is new

00:29:56.040 and interesting

00:29:56.660 is that

00:29:58.420 Trump

00:29:59.660 weighed in

00:30:00.180 on this.

00:30:01.160 I thought

00:30:01.580 he would

00:30:01.840 stay out

00:30:02.300 of it,

00:30:02.900 because you

00:30:04.120 don't want

00:30:04.920 the Iranian

00:30:05.400 people to

00:30:06.860 organize

00:30:07.460 against the

00:30:08.200 U.S.

00:30:09.100 You want

00:30:09.460 them to

00:30:09.800 keep their

00:30:10.200 focus on

00:30:10.800 their own

00:30:11.120 government.

00:30:12.200 And like

00:30:12.480 I said,

00:30:12.860 I don't

00:30:13.080 know,

00:30:13.340 is it a

00:30:13.760 color

00:30:13.980 revolution?

00:30:15.580 Is it

00:30:15.980 completely

00:30:16.400 organic?

00:30:17.960 Or is it

00:30:18.460 really something

00:30:20.000 that the U.S.

00:30:20.840 and Israel

00:30:21.520 are behind?

00:30:23.460 I would

00:30:23.900 be surprised

00:30:24.700 if it's

00:30:25.840 100%

00:30:26.840 organic.

00:30:28.420 You know

00:30:29.060 what I

00:30:29.280 mean?

00:30:29.900 So I

00:30:30.520 don't think

00:30:30.900 we can

00:30:31.220 tell from

00:30:31.660 here how

00:30:34.240 effective

00:30:35.320 those things

00:30:36.000 are going

00:30:36.300 to be.

00:30:37.660 But here's

00:30:38.480 what Trump

00:30:38.940 said on

00:30:39.440 True Social.

00:30:40.980 He said,

00:30:41.780 if Iran 0.82

00:30:42.260 kills

00:30:44.580 peaceful

00:30:45.180 protesters,

00:30:46.560 we will

00:30:46.980 come to

00:30:48.140 the rescue,

00:30:49.940 locked and

00:30:50.580 loaded and

00:30:51.200 ready to

00:30:51.680 go.

00:30:51.980 So Trump

00:30:53.720 is basically

00:30:54.280 saying that

00:30:57.020 the U.S.

00:30:57.840 would get

00:30:58.220 involved

00:30:58.660 militarily if

00:31:00.900 the regime

00:31:01.640 murders any

00:31:03.460 of their

00:31:03.740 peaceful

00:31:04.140 protesters.

00:31:05.780 Is that

00:31:06.560 a good

00:31:06.880 idea?

00:31:08.620 Here again,

00:31:09.780 I'm making

00:31:10.220 an assumption

00:31:11.440 because it's

00:31:12.880 not the way

00:31:13.360 we've acted

00:31:13.860 in the past.

00:31:15.420 But my

00:31:16.020 assumption is

00:31:16.840 that Trump

00:31:17.260 knows more

00:31:17.820 about this

00:31:18.280 than we do.

00:31:18.800 So it

00:31:20.140 could be

00:31:20.760 that he

00:31:22.660 has information

00:31:23.380 that things

00:31:24.980 are teetering

00:31:25.660 on the

00:31:26.100 brink.

00:31:27.360 Now,

00:31:27.600 if things

00:31:27.940 are teetering

00:31:28.660 on the

00:31:29.100 brink and

00:31:30.660 giving a

00:31:32.920 little boost

00:31:33.460 to the

00:31:33.760 protesters

00:31:34.300 makes sense,

00:31:37.160 then it's a

00:31:37.660 good play.

00:31:38.160 But doesn't

00:31:41.460 it seem to

00:31:41.980 you like

00:31:42.620 Iran has 0.98

00:31:43.740 had many,

00:31:44.520 many periods

00:31:45.880 of protests

00:31:46.580 and they

00:31:47.520 eventually just

00:31:48.380 get suppressed?

00:31:49.020 So if it

00:31:50.740 just gets

00:31:51.240 suppressed,

00:31:53.900 I don't

00:31:56.040 know if

00:31:56.320 this helped.

00:31:57.820 So once

00:31:58.520 again,

00:31:59.120 I'm going

00:31:59.460 to make

00:31:59.660 an assumption

00:32:00.160 that Trump

00:32:01.580 knows more

00:32:02.200 about this

00:32:02.740 than we

00:32:03.060 do.

00:32:03.660 So he

00:32:04.220 knows what's

00:32:04.760 behind the

00:32:05.280 scenes.

00:32:06.040 It could

00:32:06.520 be that

00:32:08.000 there are

00:32:08.480 insiders

00:32:09.140 in Iran

00:32:10.000 who are

00:32:11.100 ready to

00:32:11.620 take over

00:32:12.220 and make

00:32:13.520 a deal

00:32:13.860 with the

00:32:14.180 U.S.

00:32:15.620 It could

00:32:16.100 be that

00:32:17.380 Trump just

00:32:17.900 always takes

00:32:18.460 the strongest

00:32:19.040 play.

00:32:20.360 I've been

00:32:20.720 telling you

00:32:21.100 this for a

00:32:21.540 while.

00:32:22.340 If there

00:32:22.680 are a

00:32:23.200 couple of

00:32:23.520 ways to

00:32:24.000 go on

00:32:25.320 any topic,

00:32:26.940 you pick

00:32:27.460 the one

00:32:27.760 that's the

00:32:28.160 strongest.

00:32:30.100 And the

00:32:30.580 strongest

00:32:30.980 would be

00:32:32.360 to say

00:32:33.000 we'll

00:32:33.280 weigh in

00:32:33.800 militarily.

00:32:35.940 So I

00:32:37.080 have to

00:32:37.380 say I'm

00:32:38.840 not optimistic

00:32:39.740 that there

00:32:41.180 will be

00:32:41.420 regime change

00:32:42.640 in Iran

00:32:43.120 because of

00:32:43.900 this.

00:32:45.020 That feels

00:32:45.640 a little

00:32:45.940 too optimistic,

00:32:46.860 doesn't it?

00:32:48.460 But possible.

00:32:50.580 Like I

00:32:50.980 say, if

00:32:52.140 Trump knows

00:32:52.740 something we

00:32:53.240 don't know,

00:32:54.540 or if

00:32:54.920 Israel knows 0.92

00:32:55.600 something we

00:32:56.100 don't know,

00:32:57.900 maybe.

00:32:59.800 We'll see.

00:33:01.780 Well,

00:33:02.080 Zoran

00:33:02.560 Mamdani held

00:33:04.000 a, what

00:33:05.660 he called

00:33:06.020 a block

00:33:06.600 party to

00:33:08.080 celebrate his

00:33:09.040 election.

00:33:10.200 And apparently

00:33:11.160 that became a

00:33:11.960 little bit of a

00:33:12.540 problem because

00:33:13.920 his block

00:33:14.480 party did not

00:33:15.300 include food,

00:33:16.980 music, or

00:33:17.780 bathrooms.

00:33:19.500 No food,

00:33:20.560 music, or

00:33:21.080 bathrooms.

00:33:21.900 And it was

00:33:22.180 also really,

00:33:23.060 really cold.

00:33:24.660 So here's

00:33:26.060 how I'd

00:33:26.480 summarize that.

00:33:28.280 First day of

00:33:29.240 socialism,

00:33:30.860 not so good.

00:33:33.780 Maybe they

00:33:34.800 showed less

00:33:35.260 of capitalists

00:33:36.020 in there to

00:33:37.200 sell bathrooms

00:33:37.960 and food.

00:33:40.120 But then he

00:33:40.760 said this,

00:33:41.360 which is getting

00:33:41.880 quoted a lot.

00:33:43.660 Mamdani said,

00:33:44.560 we will

00:33:45.420 replace the

00:33:46.380 frigidity of

00:33:47.400 rugged individualism

00:33:48.780 with the

00:33:49.600 warmth of

00:33:50.160 collectivism.

00:33:53.300 I wonder

00:33:54.300 if the

00:33:54.720 warmth of

00:33:55.460 collectivism

00:33:56.400 is actually

00:33:57.420 the urine

00:33:58.060 that's running

00:33:58.640 down their

00:33:59.100 legs because 0.91

00:34:00.440 they don't

00:34:01.020 have bathrooms.

00:34:03.320 Just wondering.

00:34:05.520 I would

00:34:06.180 beware of

00:34:06.740 that warmth

00:34:07.240 of collectivism.

00:34:09.660 So,

00:34:10.500 first day,

00:34:11.640 not so good.

00:34:12.920 Speaking of

00:34:15.240 food,

00:34:17.080 the FDA

00:34:17.920 plans to

00:34:19.160 update

00:34:19.680 the food

00:34:21.060 pyramid.

00:34:21.720 I think

00:34:22.000 that's what

00:34:22.420 it is.

00:34:23.040 But they

00:34:23.520 say guidelines.

00:34:25.360 And they

00:34:26.060 would do it

00:34:26.560 based on

00:34:27.320 real science.

00:34:30.160 Now,

00:34:30.340 one of the

00:34:30.620 things I

00:34:31.560 didn't know

00:34:31.920 was a

00:34:32.200 problem,

00:34:33.660 but the

00:34:34.080 FDA is

00:34:34.600 looking to

00:34:35.080 fix it, 0.86

00:34:36.120 is that

00:34:36.880 the different

00:34:37.600 states have

00:34:38.500 different

00:34:39.260 standards for

00:34:40.940 what is

00:34:41.340 ultra-processed.

00:34:42.920 So,

00:34:43.880 in one

00:34:44.300 city,

00:34:45.700 ultra-processed

00:34:46.660 means one

00:34:47.100 thing.

00:34:48.180 In another

00:34:48.940 state,

00:34:49.460 it means

00:34:49.740 another.

00:34:50.760 But they're

00:34:51.440 looking to

00:34:52.260 get some

00:34:52.780 kind of a

00:34:53.240 federal

00:34:53.560 standard,

00:34:54.740 which you

00:34:55.440 would sort

00:34:55.800 of need.

00:34:56.560 If you're

00:34:57.180 going to

00:34:57.300 have a

00:34:57.660 standard

00:34:58.200 for food,

00:34:59.800 you would

00:35:00.520 need it

00:35:00.820 to be

00:35:01.120 federal.

00:35:05.920 Will the

00:35:06.720 states

00:35:07.100 disagree?

00:35:09.760 And will

00:35:10.180 the states

00:35:10.680 say,

00:35:11.240 stay away

00:35:11.580 from our

00:35:11.880 state.

00:35:12.840 We have

00:35:13.200 our own

00:35:13.560 food

00:35:13.860 standard,

00:35:14.500 maybe.

00:35:14.960 I don't

00:35:15.200 know.

00:35:15.900 But I

00:35:16.400 do wonder

00:35:16.900 if the

00:35:18.280 FDA can

00:35:18.920 do this

00:35:19.400 now without

00:35:21.180 the undue

00:35:21.980 influence of

00:35:22.800 big food,

00:35:24.620 because the

00:35:25.420 food companies

00:35:26.080 obviously are

00:35:26.780 going to weigh in.

00:35:28.020 They have a

00:35:28.480 big influence.

00:35:30.720 Is this only

00:35:31.840 because it's a

00:35:34.380 Trump

00:35:34.900 administration?

00:35:35.620 regulation is

00:35:36.740 that the

00:35:37.040 only reason

00:35:37.740 that they

00:35:38.220 can even

00:35:38.700 maybe have

00:35:39.960 a chance

00:35:40.580 of good

00:35:42.200 food

00:35:42.620 guidelines?

00:35:44.080 Mostly, I

00:35:44.720 think they're

00:35:45.160 going to get

00:35:45.500 rid of

00:35:45.860 additives

00:35:46.620 and food

00:35:49.100 coloring and

00:35:49.820 stuff like

00:35:50.200 that, but

00:35:50.560 there might

00:35:50.820 be a lot

00:35:51.160 more.

00:35:54.540 If you

00:35:55.320 thought about

00:35:56.240 it, if the

00:35:57.600 only thing

00:35:58.360 that the

00:35:58.840 Trump

00:35:59.080 administration

00:35:59.720 accomplished,

00:36:00.380 the only

00:36:01.820 thing was

00:36:03.200 to improve

00:36:03.740 the guidelines

00:36:04.600 for food

00:36:05.360 and the

00:36:06.780 testing of

00:36:07.560 meds, that

00:36:09.100 would be

00:36:09.380 pretty successful

00:36:10.320 because those

00:36:12.140 have, especially

00:36:14.420 food, such a

00:36:16.260 leverage effect

00:36:17.120 on everything

00:36:18.420 else.

00:36:20.940 If you get

00:36:21.620 your food

00:36:22.060 right, presumably

00:36:24.020 your health

00:36:24.580 care costs

00:36:25.100 go down, 0.52

00:36:25.660 right?

00:36:27.220 So you

00:36:28.840 get a lot

00:36:30.040 done if

00:36:31.540 you can

00:36:31.820 just take

00:36:32.300 care of

00:36:32.480 the food.

00:36:35.540 Well, on

00:36:36.380 X, a

00:36:37.880 gentleman

00:36:38.200 named Kevin

00:36:38.980 Bass did 0.96

00:36:41.620 some number

00:36:42.100 crunching, and

00:36:42.900 he found out

00:36:43.480 that states

00:36:44.660 that have no

00:36:45.240 effective voter

00:36:46.160 ID requirements

00:36:47.400 average nearly

00:36:48.860 eight times

00:36:49.580 more welfare

00:36:50.300 benefits to

00:36:51.600 illegal immigrants

00:36:52.860 compared to

00:36:54.020 states that

00:36:54.600 require voter

00:36:55.360 ID

00:36:55.640 verification.

00:36:57.460 So it

00:36:59.400 is literally

00:37:00.060 the case

00:37:00.820 that states

00:37:02.320 are importing

00:37:03.260 and paying

00:37:03.740 illegals for

00:37:05.280 votes.

00:37:07.120 And Elon

00:37:09.920 Musk weighed in

00:37:10.840 and said,

00:37:11.240 yes, it is the

00:37:12.360 biggest crime in

00:37:13.280 American history.

00:37:15.180 I think he

00:37:16.000 means the larger

00:37:18.560 crime of

00:37:19.440 essentially paying

00:37:21.260 people to come

00:37:22.000 into this country

00:37:22.720 and then shipping

00:37:23.440 them in so you

00:37:24.720 could control the

00:37:25.620 vote.

00:37:25.900 I'm not sure

00:37:27.340 which part is

00:37:27.960 illegal, but

00:37:29.780 it does feel

00:37:30.240 like the biggest

00:37:30.800 crime.

00:37:31.860 It does feel

00:37:32.520 like the biggest

00:37:33.060 crime in

00:37:33.500 American history.

00:37:35.800 So imagine

00:37:37.220 if Elon

00:37:38.300 Musk didn't 1.00

00:37:39.820 exist.

00:37:41.520 So I just

00:37:42.200 gave you a

00:37:42.580 whole speech

00:37:43.160 about Trump

00:37:44.500 as the only

00:37:44.980 person who

00:37:45.540 could have

00:37:46.000 attacked the

00:37:48.440 fraud

00:37:48.740 effectively.

00:37:50.060 But I don't

00:37:51.020 think even that

00:37:51.700 would have

00:37:51.960 happened without

00:37:53.380 Doge and

00:37:54.080 without Elon

00:37:55.000 putting his

00:37:56.640 finger on that

00:37:57.380 button

00:37:57.680 continuously.

00:38:00.560 So somebody

00:38:01.260 told me that

00:38:02.080 the Nick

00:38:03.100 Shirley

00:38:03.680 account,

00:38:06.660 which blew up

00:38:07.860 and became a

00:38:08.500 giant thing,

00:38:09.940 was primarily

00:38:11.040 because Elon

00:38:11.960 boosted it.

00:38:13.620 Is that true?

00:38:15.400 I was trying

00:38:16.120 to understand

00:38:17.040 why since

00:38:18.680 2018,

00:38:20.460 local news

00:38:21.560 and whistleblowers

00:38:23.760 have been

00:38:24.500 pointing out

00:38:25.040 this massive

00:38:25.780 fraud,

00:38:27.360 but it took

00:38:28.000 Nick Shirley

00:38:28.840 and his work

00:38:30.520 to make us

00:38:31.120 all pay

00:38:31.820 attention.

00:38:33.240 Now, it

00:38:33.780 could be

00:38:34.340 that I'm

00:38:35.460 in such a

00:38:35.980 bubble that

00:38:37.200 I think people

00:38:37.940 are paying

00:38:38.340 attention,

00:38:38.920 but not

00:38:39.180 really.

00:38:40.420 I said this

00:38:41.140 the other

00:38:41.440 day,

00:38:42.340 that if you

00:38:43.300 just walked

00:38:44.280 down to the

00:38:44.780 street and

00:38:46.100 tapped on

00:38:46.560 somebody's

00:38:47.040 shoulder and

00:38:47.740 said,

00:38:47.980 hey, what

00:38:48.960 do you think

00:38:49.320 of the Nick

00:38:49.840 Shirley videos?

00:38:51.560 They would

00:38:52.060 have no

00:38:52.380 idea what

00:38:52.860 you're

00:38:53.000 talking about.

00:38:54.480 But I

00:38:55.020 live in a

00:38:55.480 bubble in

00:38:56.220 which the

00:38:58.340 Nick Shirley

00:38:58.900 videos are

00:38:59.560 big.

00:39:00.680 So I see

00:39:01.640 it every

00:39:02.140 day,

00:39:02.740 every day,

00:39:03.620 and then

00:39:04.180 versions of

00:39:05.120 it every

00:39:05.540 day.

00:39:07.140 But I

00:39:09.860 think Elon

00:39:10.560 just giving

00:39:11.100 that a boost

00:39:11.800 might make

00:39:12.960 all the

00:39:13.260 difference.

00:39:14.380 So again,

00:39:14.860 I say,

00:39:15.540 what would

00:39:16.080 it be like

00:39:16.620 if we didn't

00:39:17.160 have an

00:39:17.460 Elon?

00:39:18.980 Everything

00:39:19.500 would be

00:39:19.880 different.

00:39:20.280 we wouldn't

00:39:22.540 even know

00:39:23.260 about a lot

00:39:23.720 of this

00:39:23.940 stuff.

00:39:25.220 Now,

00:39:25.400 Mike Benz,

00:39:26.300 of course,

00:39:26.720 would also

00:39:27.200 be critical

00:39:27.880 to our

00:39:29.200 current

00:39:29.480 understanding.

00:39:33.420 All right.

00:39:34.820 So the

00:39:35.880 Washington

00:39:36.320 examiner,

00:39:37.880 Drew Bond,

00:39:38.620 is writing

00:39:39.120 that can

00:39:40.660 AI help

00:39:42.240 lower our

00:39:43.020 energy bills?

00:39:44.720 Now,

00:39:44.920 that sounds

00:39:45.300 the opposite

00:39:45.820 of what you

00:39:46.300 thought,

00:39:46.660 right?

00:39:46.820 If the

00:39:47.920 big data

00:39:48.720 companies or

00:39:49.500 the big

00:39:49.840 data centers

00:39:50.620 that drive

00:39:51.480 AI need

00:39:52.840 massive,

00:39:54.320 massive amount

00:39:55.480 of energy,

00:39:56.740 wouldn't that

00:39:57.340 compete with

00:39:58.980 the domestic

00:39:59.660 residential

00:40:01.280 need for

00:40:03.740 electricity

00:40:04.280 and power?

00:40:05.580 And wouldn't

00:40:06.300 it necessarily

00:40:07.000 make your

00:40:07.520 energy costs

00:40:08.420 go up?

00:40:09.760 But here's

00:40:11.140 a version of

00:40:11.960 what probably

00:40:12.540 will be happening

00:40:13.340 that suggests

00:40:14.800 that the

00:40:15.480 data centers

00:40:16.260 will make

00:40:17.300 your local

00:40:18.400 energy prices

00:40:20.100 go down.

00:40:22.160 So already

00:40:23.660 we're seeing

00:40:24.500 that the

00:40:25.300 big companies,

00:40:26.360 the massive

00:40:26.760 companies,

00:40:27.520 who need to

00:40:28.260 build these

00:40:28.700 big data

00:40:29.200 centers,

00:40:30.420 they're

00:40:31.180 augmenting

00:40:32.120 the existing

00:40:33.620 power by

00:40:35.180 building their

00:40:36.020 own power

00:40:36.900 sources in

00:40:38.440 the same

00:40:38.760 places as

00:40:39.700 the data

00:40:40.520 centers.

00:40:40.880 So they're

00:40:41.760 using natural

00:40:42.400 gas,

00:40:43.060 they're using

00:40:43.380 solar,

00:40:44.480 geothermal,

00:40:45.380 wind,

00:40:46.420 and small

00:40:46.880 nuclear reactors,

00:40:48.700 and battery

00:40:49.260 storage.

00:40:50.700 So if they

00:40:51.640 use all of

00:40:52.380 those things

00:40:53.180 and they

00:40:54.320 keep it

00:40:54.700 local,

00:40:55.680 they can

00:40:56.120 pay for

00:40:56.880 basically all

00:40:57.860 the energy

00:40:58.340 they need.

00:40:59.200 But here's

00:40:59.640 the new

00:40:59.940 part.

00:41:01.020 What would

00:41:01.460 stop them

00:41:02.120 from making

00:41:02.840 extra?

00:41:04.100 If you're

00:41:04.560 already going

00:41:05.200 to put in

00:41:06.480 this power

00:41:07.200 source and

00:41:08.480 you're going

00:41:08.820 to use it

00:41:09.200 just for

00:41:09.540 yourself,

00:41:10.880 how hard

00:41:11.360 would it

00:41:11.600 be to

00:41:11.940 make it

00:41:12.320 twice as

00:41:12.820 big and

00:41:14.080 then provide

00:41:14.860 even cheaper

00:41:15.740 energy to

00:41:16.360 the local

00:41:16.800 community?

00:41:18.440 And I

00:41:19.180 never really

00:41:19.640 thought of

00:41:19.940 it that way.

00:41:21.000 But if

00:41:21.460 they have

00:41:22.560 enough

00:41:22.960 regulatory

00:41:24.240 relief,

00:41:25.980 it seems to

00:41:26.620 me that

00:41:26.940 something has

00:41:27.540 changed in

00:41:28.100 regulations.

00:41:29.380 Because why

00:41:30.180 is it suddenly

00:41:30.860 so easy for

00:41:32.580 these big

00:41:33.020 companies to

00:41:33.660 build their

00:41:33.980 own power

00:41:34.420 plants?

00:41:35.700 I feel like

00:41:36.480 building a

00:41:36.960 power plant

00:41:37.460 would be the

00:41:37.860 hardest thing

00:41:38.360 you could ever

00:41:38.940 get approved.

00:41:40.880 But suddenly

00:41:41.840 there are lots

00:41:43.560 of them and

00:41:44.000 they seem to

00:41:45.160 get approval.

00:41:46.360 So is that a

00:41:46.920 Trump thing?

00:41:48.440 Did Trump

00:41:49.000 administration

00:41:51.880 remove a bunch

00:41:53.100 of regulations

00:41:53.720 to make this

00:41:55.180 practical?

00:41:56.760 They must have,

00:41:57.980 right?

00:41:58.960 So again,

00:42:01.160 could any other

00:42:02.000 president have

00:42:02.760 pulled off the

00:42:03.380 AI revolution?

00:42:05.280 I don't know.

00:42:06.360 Because you

00:42:06.700 would have to

00:42:07.100 go massively

00:42:07.780 after the

00:42:09.080 regulatory

00:42:09.560 structures in

00:42:12.180 order to even

00:42:12.940 imagine that

00:42:14.540 private companies

00:42:15.360 could build

00:42:15.820 their own

00:42:16.140 power plants

00:42:16.900 on site.

00:42:20.020 Yeah.

00:42:21.420 Anyway.

00:42:24.840 An update

00:42:25.760 on the LA

00:42:26.620 fires.

00:42:27.280 The Post

00:42:27.580 Millennial is

00:42:28.800 reporting.

00:42:30.000 Hannah

00:42:30.200 Nightingale

00:42:30.800 that just

00:42:31.780 13% of

00:42:32.860 homes destroyed

00:42:33.620 in the LA

00:42:34.020 fires have a

00:42:35.400 permit to

00:42:35.980 rebuild.

00:42:38.280 Now, do you

00:42:40.380 know why it's

00:42:41.000 taking so long?

00:42:42.520 It's not all

00:42:43.500 because of the

00:42:44.160 state, although

00:42:45.140 much of it is.

00:42:46.880 Number one,

00:42:47.580 there's no way

00:42:48.060 to get fire

00:42:48.600 insurance.

00:42:50.040 Would you

00:42:50.540 rebuild a

00:42:51.200 home if you

00:42:52.740 knew you

00:42:53.080 couldn't get fire

00:42:53.800 insurance?

00:42:54.320 especially a

00:42:56.360 place where

00:42:56.820 they had a

00:42:57.340 big fire.

00:42:58.620 So, some

00:42:59.180 of it is

00:43:00.720 the insurance

00:43:01.380 companies and

00:43:02.380 the homeowners

00:43:02.900 not being able

00:43:04.420 to do a

00:43:06.080 deal.

00:43:07.780 Secondly,

00:43:09.100 especially if

00:43:09.840 you didn't

00:43:10.220 have enough

00:43:10.660 insurance before

00:43:11.560 the fire, if

00:43:13.020 you're a

00:43:13.240 homeowner, you're

00:43:13.780 probably short

00:43:14.300 on cash.

00:43:15.900 So, even

00:43:16.580 if you

00:43:17.960 could get

00:43:18.320 approval to

00:43:18.960 build, how

00:43:20.680 many people

00:43:21.160 would have

00:43:21.480 enough to

00:43:22.000 just rebuild

00:43:23.940 a new

00:43:24.280 house.

00:43:25.640 That's

00:43:25.920 going to

00:43:26.140 limit.

00:43:26.800 That seems

00:43:27.220 like it would

00:43:27.580 limit you.

00:43:28.940 And then, of

00:43:29.940 course, there

00:43:30.360 are endangered

00:43:30.940 plants.

00:43:32.960 So, apparently,

00:43:34.260 getting around

00:43:34.800 the fact that

00:43:35.400 there are

00:43:35.800 endangered

00:43:36.480 plants is

00:43:38.060 slowing down

00:43:38.720 permits.

00:43:40.480 But, as

00:43:41.020 somebody asked

00:43:41.820 in the comments

00:43:42.580 where I saw

00:43:43.140 this, how did

00:43:44.800 the endangered

00:43:45.480 plants do

00:43:46.240 during the

00:43:46.740 fire?

00:43:48.100 Isn't a

00:43:48.600 fire worse

00:43:49.220 than building?

00:43:52.860 Yeah.

00:43:54.300 So, we'll

00:43:55.280 keep an eye

00:43:55.720 on this.

00:43:56.140 But, it

00:43:56.800 does seem

00:43:57.280 to me that

00:43:57.960 if there's

00:43:58.240 no way to

00:43:58.700 get fire

00:43:59.180 insurance,

00:44:00.740 it's going

00:44:01.120 to be a

00:44:01.680 long, slow

00:44:02.380 haul.

00:44:04.260 Maybe,

00:44:05.040 maybe they

00:44:06.780 could clean

00:44:07.320 it up so

00:44:08.000 the fire

00:44:08.980 risk is

00:44:09.460 actually lower

00:44:10.140 there than

00:44:10.660 it is in

00:44:11.340 other places.

00:44:18.280 Fentanyl.

00:44:19.180 Oh, here's

00:44:19.580 another one.

00:44:19.940 I've seen

00:44:20.260 in the

00:44:20.560 comments

00:44:20.900 somebody

00:44:21.200 saying that

00:44:21.780 the fentanyl

00:44:23.300 overdoses

00:44:24.000 has gone

00:44:25.280 way down

00:44:25.800 since Trump

00:44:26.500 got in

00:44:26.840 office.

00:44:29.100 I have

00:44:30.060 some questions

00:44:30.780 about that.

00:44:32.080 I don't doubt

00:44:32.680 it's true,

00:44:34.120 but I didn't

00:44:35.960 think you

00:44:36.400 could reduce

00:44:37.120 the supply

00:44:37.940 of fentanyl

00:44:39.200 coming across

00:44:39.880 the border

00:44:40.360 enough to

00:44:41.800 make a

00:44:42.100 difference

00:44:42.520 just because

00:44:43.560 it's so

00:44:43.920 small.

00:44:45.160 It's not

00:44:45.760 like bales

00:44:46.500 of marijuana.

00:44:48.180 You could

00:44:48.800 put it in

00:44:49.800 your pocket

00:44:50.320 enough to

00:44:51.040 kill a 0.78

00:44:51.980 city.

00:44:53.520 So how

00:44:54.220 do you

00:44:54.400 stop that?

00:44:55.900 So even

00:44:56.440 though he

00:44:57.000 stopped

00:44:57.540 shipments

00:44:58.040 from Venezuela,

00:44:59.900 some people

00:45:00.500 say that

00:45:00.960 wasn't fentanyl

00:45:01.980 anyway,

00:45:03.440 but he did

00:45:04.040 stop traffic

00:45:05.240 coming in

00:45:05.720 from Mexico.

00:45:07.500 And I can't

00:45:08.060 believe that

00:45:08.480 the smugglers

00:45:09.780 can't figure

00:45:11.260 out how to

00:45:11.720 just throw

00:45:12.180 a bag

00:45:13.960 of fentanyl

00:45:14.760 over the

00:45:15.240 fence.

00:45:16.760 So they

00:45:17.520 must be

00:45:17.840 doing something

00:45:18.300 right.

00:45:19.200 But we'll

00:45:19.920 give them

00:45:20.200 credit for

00:45:20.680 that.

00:45:21.840 And I

00:45:22.340 don't think

00:45:22.840 another

00:45:23.200 president

00:45:23.760 could have

00:45:24.180 done that.

00:45:25.980 Well,

00:45:26.620 Russia is 0.79

00:45:27.240 still claiming,

00:45:28.340 according to

00:45:29.040 the Washington

00:45:30.440 Times,

00:45:31.280 that the

00:45:32.000 attack on

00:45:33.020 Putin's 0.59

00:45:34.100 home was

00:45:35.760 real.

00:45:36.960 And they

00:45:37.340 now have

00:45:37.900 an unexploded

00:45:40.540 drone

00:45:41.140 drone that

00:45:42.560 they're showing

00:45:42.980 on video

00:45:43.500 to prove,

00:45:44.700 look at

00:45:45.320 this

00:45:45.520 unexploded

00:45:46.360 drone.

00:45:47.360 It has

00:45:47.700 evidence that

00:45:48.380 it came

00:45:48.680 from Ukraine.

00:45:50.420 So remember,

00:45:51.300 Ukraine said

00:45:51.960 they didn't

00:45:52.380 do it.

00:45:53.500 The US

00:45:53.940 said the

00:45:54.360 Ukraine

00:45:54.620 didn't do

00:45:55.120 it.

00:45:56.000 And that

00:45:56.380 it was just

00:45:56.840 an attack

00:45:57.740 on something

00:45:58.380 that was

00:45:59.200 kind of

00:45:59.480 far away,

00:46:00.180 but that

00:46:01.480 Putin was

00:46:02.260 just lying

00:46:02.920 about it.

00:46:04.160 Well,

00:46:04.520 here's what

00:46:05.040 I would

00:46:05.400 advise you.

00:46:07.320 Don't trust

00:46:07.980 any reporter

00:46:08.780 from a

00:46:09.180 war zone.

00:46:11.200 So maybe,

00:46:12.980 maybe Ukraine

00:46:15.000 was behind it.

00:46:16.300 Maybe they

00:46:17.000 intended to

00:46:17.700 attack his

00:46:18.280 residents.

00:46:19.740 But they

00:46:20.540 showed a

00:46:21.180 picture of

00:46:22.100 a drone

00:46:24.720 on the

00:46:25.240 ground with,

00:46:27.060 you know,

00:46:27.300 no way to

00:46:28.240 know if it's

00:46:28.680 a real drone

00:46:29.760 or if it's

00:46:31.160 a real video.

00:46:32.160 But what

00:46:32.620 they have

00:46:32.900 now done

00:46:33.480 is show

00:46:35.540 the damage

00:46:36.220 from the

00:46:36.940 attack.

00:46:38.260 Am I

00:46:38.900 right?

00:46:40.160 What is

00:46:40.860 the main

00:46:41.280 thing you

00:46:41.680 would expect?

00:46:43.380 It's not

00:46:44.000 as if no

00:46:45.140 one's ever

00:46:45.560 seen a

00:46:46.000 picture of

00:46:46.620 his

00:46:46.980 residents.

00:46:49.840 You don't

00:46:50.280 think he'd

00:46:50.760 be willing

00:46:51.160 to show

00:46:51.680 maybe just

00:46:52.400 a close-up,

00:46:53.680 but something

00:46:54.760 that shows

00:46:55.260 there was

00:46:55.760 damage

00:46:56.700 on the

00:46:59.140 actual

00:46:59.460 residents.

00:47:00.100 Because if

00:47:01.300 the only

00:47:01.980 thing you

00:47:02.400 show me

00:47:02.960 is an

00:47:04.020 unexploded

00:47:04.740 drone in

00:47:05.440 the bushes,

00:47:06.640 how do I

00:47:07.420 know what

00:47:07.740 that's about?

00:47:09.780 So, who

00:47:11.060 do we

00:47:11.340 trust?

00:47:12.580 Nobody.

00:47:13.980 I would

00:47:14.320 not trust

00:47:14.860 Ukraine who

00:47:15.580 said they

00:47:15.940 didn't do

00:47:16.340 it, but I

00:47:17.260 definitely

00:47:17.600 wouldn't trust

00:47:18.460 Putin who

00:47:19.000 said they

00:47:19.300 did do

00:47:19.680 it.

00:47:20.380 I definitely

00:47:20.840 wouldn't

00:47:21.160 trust the

00:47:21.560 United States

00:47:22.340 no matter

00:47:23.180 what side

00:47:23.680 they were

00:47:23.960 on.

00:47:25.320 So, it's

00:47:26.020 kind of a

00:47:26.400 weird one.

00:47:27.620 Probably

00:47:27.940 worse.

00:47:29.140 Maybe Putin

00:47:29.980 gets some

00:47:30.380 propaganda

00:47:30.900 benefit on

00:47:31.880 that.

00:47:36.640 So, apparently

00:47:37.780 Elon Musk

00:47:38.980 has signaled

00:47:40.180 that he's

00:47:41.100 going to

00:47:41.400 massively

00:47:41.800 fund

00:47:42.320 Republicans

00:47:43.920 for the

00:47:44.880 midterm

00:47:45.460 because he

00:47:46.980 thinks that

00:47:47.640 America is

00:47:48.420 toast,

00:47:49.940 quote,

00:47:50.480 America is

00:47:51.260 toast if

00:47:52.280 the radical

00:47:52.800 left wins.

00:47:54.560 They will

00:47:54.900 open the

00:47:55.360 floodgates to

00:47:56.040 illegal

00:47:56.420 immigration and

00:47:57.260 fraud and

00:47:58.340 it won't be

00:47:58.780 America anymore.

00:48:00.800 That feels

00:48:01.560 fair.

00:48:04.340 That does

00:48:04.760 feel fair,

00:48:05.400 doesn't it?

00:48:06.920 That we're

00:48:07.480 so close

00:48:08.640 to fixing

00:48:10.680 a lot of

00:48:11.180 stuff,

00:48:11.940 but at the

00:48:12.840 same time,

00:48:14.180 all it would

00:48:14.560 take is one

00:48:15.160 election,

00:48:16.540 especially if the

00:48:17.240 election is

00:48:17.740 rigged.

00:48:18.560 It would only

00:48:18.980 take one

00:48:19.440 election to

00:48:20.040 reverse

00:48:20.420 everything.

00:48:21.640 We are

00:48:22.440 really teetering

00:48:23.340 on the edge

00:48:23.880 here, people.

00:48:24.400 people.

00:48:25.920 And I

00:48:26.320 saw the

00:48:26.720 argument,

00:48:28.260 I forgot

00:48:28.880 who made

00:48:29.380 it,

00:48:29.720 somebody

00:48:30.120 famous,

00:48:31.420 made the

00:48:31.860 argument that

00:48:32.540 if the

00:48:33.340 Republicans

00:48:33.820 don't get

00:48:34.620 rid of the

00:48:35.500 filibuster,

00:48:38.180 getting rid

00:48:38.900 of it would

00:48:39.300 allow them

00:48:39.760 to pass

00:48:40.260 lots of

00:48:41.220 legislation.

00:48:41.840 But if

00:48:42.860 they don't

00:48:43.180 get rid of

00:48:43.760 it,

00:48:45.040 someday the

00:48:48.080 Democrats will 0.92

00:48:48.960 get in power

00:48:49.500 and they will

00:48:50.460 get rid of

00:48:51.000 it.

00:48:51.660 And when they

00:48:52.380 get rid of

00:48:52.900 it, there's

00:48:53.860 going to be a

00:48:54.180 whole bunch of

00:48:55.000 laws that get

00:48:55.700 passed that

00:48:56.720 you're not

00:48:57.100 going to like

00:48:57.520 at all.

00:48:57.880 So, what

00:48:59.940 do you think?

00:49:01.280 Would it be

00:49:01.900 smarter for the

00:49:02.740 Republicans to

00:49:03.580 get ahead of

00:49:04.160 it and say,

00:49:05.580 all right, we

00:49:06.660 know that you

00:49:07.200 would get rid of

00:49:07.760 the filibuster, so

00:49:08.640 we're going to

00:49:09.000 get rid of it

00:49:09.560 first.

00:49:10.560 And then you've

00:49:11.020 got a few

00:49:11.440 years, maybe

00:49:12.920 less than a

00:49:13.440 few years, to

00:49:15.020 do a bunch of

00:49:16.520 stuff.

00:49:19.020 I'm kind of

00:49:19.740 mixed on this

00:49:20.600 because you

00:49:22.440 can't really

00:49:22.840 predict the

00:49:23.460 future that

00:49:24.080 well.

00:49:24.920 So I don't

00:49:25.700 know exactly

00:49:26.480 if getting rid

00:49:27.860 of the

00:49:28.100 filibuster

00:49:28.640 would be

00:49:29.240 the best

00:49:30.360 we could

00:49:30.680 do or

00:49:33.060 would it be

00:49:33.400 the biggest

00:49:33.800 mistake we

00:49:34.440 ever made?

00:49:35.700 It could

00:49:36.200 easily go

00:49:36.740 either way.

00:49:38.340 Don't know.

00:49:40.240 Well, according

00:49:40.860 to scientist

00:49:42.120 Sabine 0.97

00:49:43.320 Hassenfelder,

00:49:45.260 who's a

00:49:45.740 fun follow

00:49:46.620 on X.

00:49:48.760 Let me

00:49:49.060 take a sip

00:49:49.640 and get

00:49:49.940 back to

00:49:50.260 that.

00:49:55.360 I'm

00:49:55.860 massively

00:49:56.260 dehydrated

00:49:57.100 but

00:49:59.100 intentionally.

00:50:02.020 So according

00:50:02.580 to Sabine

00:50:03.580 Hassenfelder,

00:50:04.880 there's a

00:50:05.260 new paper

00:50:05.800 that has

00:50:07.160 just dropped

00:50:08.560 that says

00:50:10.100 that scientists

00:50:11.600 are 40%

00:50:13.880 more productive

00:50:14.840 when they

00:50:16.020 use AI.

00:50:19.480 And increase

00:50:20.120 their paper.

00:50:21.120 And for

00:50:21.880 non-native

00:50:22.480 English speakers,

00:50:23.480 it's even more

00:50:24.320 up to 80%.

00:50:25.360 So apparently

00:50:27.680 this only

00:50:28.720 applies to

00:50:29.420 the writing

00:50:29.940 part.

00:50:30.800 So it doesn't

00:50:31.620 apply to the

00:50:32.120 actual science

00:50:32.900 part.

00:50:33.640 It applies to

00:50:34.580 the writing

00:50:35.040 it up and

00:50:35.560 submitting it

00:50:36.240 to technical

00:50:38.280 journals.

00:50:38.940 so as she

00:50:42.160 warns that if

00:50:43.880 the thing

00:50:44.280 that got

00:50:44.620 faster was

00:50:45.520 not the

00:50:45.940 science part

00:50:46.700 but the

00:50:47.720 writing it

00:50:48.360 up and

00:50:48.740 publishing it

00:50:49.360 part,

00:50:50.420 the scientific

00:50:52.180 publications

00:50:53.360 are going to

00:50:54.640 be overwhelmed

00:50:55.400 with what I

00:50:56.620 will call

00:50:57.000 science slop.

00:50:57.900 So if you

00:50:59.640 assume that

00:51:00.180 half of the

00:51:00.660 science is

00:51:01.180 fake anyway,

00:51:02.520 which is

00:51:02.940 what it is,

00:51:04.260 if you

00:51:04.680 increase the

00:51:05.600 number of

00:51:06.100 fake papers

00:51:07.120 along with

00:51:08.600 the number

00:51:08.940 of real

00:51:09.260 ones,

00:51:09.880 are we

00:51:10.380 better off?

00:51:12.340 Do you

00:51:12.800 think the

00:51:13.460 world is

00:51:13.900 better if

00:51:15.040 suddenly there

00:51:15.600 are way

00:51:16.160 more published

00:51:16.880 papers just

00:51:18.260 because it

00:51:18.880 was easy to

00:51:19.500 write them

00:51:19.920 up?

00:51:21.060 I don't

00:51:21.440 know.

00:51:22.440 I'm not

00:51:23.080 sure that

00:51:23.460 makes us

00:51:23.800 better off.

00:51:24.480 So more

00:51:27.960 slop.

00:51:29.300 And I

00:51:29.860 believe I

00:51:30.300 saw RFK

00:51:31.080 Jr.

00:51:31.540 say that

00:51:32.740 the once

00:51:33.640 credible

00:51:34.560 technical

00:51:35.380 journals are

00:51:36.920 essentially

00:51:37.420 owned by

00:51:38.080 the pharma

00:51:38.960 companies and

00:51:39.720 the big

00:51:40.100 industry.

00:51:42.880 So that

00:51:43.440 what you

00:51:44.440 thought was

00:51:45.920 this credible

00:51:46.780 process of

00:51:48.300 peer review

00:51:48.900 was nothing

00:51:50.340 like that.

00:51:51.980 Basically it

00:51:53.000 was a

00:51:53.540 bought and

00:51:54.460 paid for

00:51:54.980 situation.

00:52:00.040 Owen says

00:52:00.860 get rid of

00:52:01.360 the filibuster

00:52:01.900 now.

00:52:04.640 You might

00:52:05.300 be right

00:52:05.600 about that

00:52:06.000 Owen.

00:52:07.580 Anyway,

00:52:08.280 so RFK

00:52:08.880 Jr. says

00:52:09.520 they're going

00:52:09.820 to stop

00:52:10.160 publishing.

00:52:11.540 I don't

00:52:11.900 know how

00:52:12.120 they do

00:52:12.420 this.

00:52:12.960 Maybe

00:52:13.300 just

00:52:13.600 government

00:52:14.060 publications.

00:52:15.360 But they're

00:52:15.840 going to

00:52:16.460 ignore the

00:52:17.240 once

00:52:17.620 credible

00:52:18.220 publications

00:52:19.080 because they're

00:52:20.140 no longer

00:52:20.620 credible.

00:52:22.220 And I

00:52:23.260 think he

00:52:23.600 wants to

00:52:24.000 start.

00:52:24.340 You also

00:52:24.820 had to

00:52:25.120 pay.

00:52:25.900 You had

00:52:26.500 to pay

00:52:26.780 $10,000

00:52:27.440 to be

00:52:28.060 published.

00:52:29.680 So that

00:52:30.540 doesn't seem

00:52:31.060 like a good

00:52:31.560 model.

00:52:32.580 But I guess

00:52:33.260 RFK Jr.

00:52:33.960 is going to

00:52:34.500 push for

00:52:34.980 some

00:52:35.400 government

00:52:36.720 endorsed

00:52:39.900 technical

00:52:41.160 papers.

00:52:42.120 So if there's

00:52:42.740 something in

00:52:43.200 there, it

00:52:43.600 would be a

00:52:43.980 little more

00:52:44.320 credible.

00:52:44.760 a little

00:52:45.920 more.

00:52:48.940 And then

00:52:49.340 finally,

00:52:51.360 you may

00:52:53.660 have seen

00:52:54.120 that

00:52:54.460 President

00:52:55.180 Xi of

00:52:55.860 China

00:52:56.220 is ramping

00:52:57.720 up the

00:52:58.080 rhetoric

00:52:58.580 about taking

00:52:59.840 over Taiwan.

00:53:01.660 And you

00:53:01.960 probably also

00:53:02.640 knew that

00:53:04.120 China was 0.98

00:53:05.340 doing very

00:53:06.060 aggressive,

00:53:07.640 let's say,

00:53:09.140 military,

00:53:09.800 drills in which

00:53:13.060 they were

00:53:13.380 surrounding

00:53:14.320 Taiwan,

00:53:15.100 et cetera.

00:53:16.180 And I

00:53:17.180 saw a post

00:53:18.300 by Dustin

00:53:19.020 Walper, who

00:53:21.240 is cautioning

00:53:22.800 us that the

00:53:24.220 risk of losing

00:53:25.100 our chip

00:53:25.700 access in

00:53:26.460 Taiwan is

00:53:27.960 not the

00:53:28.360 biggest threat.

00:53:29.700 It's a big

00:53:30.180 one.

00:53:30.440 But if

00:53:31.680 China were 0.81

00:53:32.280 to take

00:53:32.700 over Taiwan,

00:53:34.400 it would

00:53:35.420 have, as

00:53:36.200 Dustin

00:53:37.640 Walper

00:53:38.080 says, a

00:53:40.900 much bigger

00:53:41.480 influence over

00:53:42.340 Japan and

00:53:43.540 South Korea.

00:53:47.520 And that

00:53:47.980 Japan would 0.99

00:53:48.700 consider it an

00:53:49.480 existential threat

00:53:50.560 to Japan if

00:53:53.000 China took 0.94

00:53:53.580 over Taiwan.

00:53:55.100 Because

00:53:55.480 apparently that

00:53:56.340 would give

00:53:56.700 them some

00:53:57.080 access to

00:53:57.780 the South

00:53:58.780 China Sea

00:53:59.500 that's

00:54:00.000 more militarily

00:54:02.720 meaningful than

00:54:03.680 what they

00:54:03.960 have now.

00:54:05.320 So they

00:54:05.700 would have

00:54:06.120 unfettered

00:54:06.840 access to

00:54:07.460 the Philippine

00:54:08.060 Sea.

00:54:09.180 And then

00:54:09.600 China would 0.99

00:54:10.580 also be in

00:54:11.220 a position

00:54:11.700 to more

00:54:12.600 easily threaten

00:54:13.360 and harass 0.99

00:54:13.760 Japan's

00:54:14.320 trading routes

00:54:15.140 with the

00:54:16.120 U.S.

00:54:16.420 and

00:54:16.540 Australia.

00:54:18.700 And so

00:54:20.260 Dustin

00:54:20.900 reminds us

00:54:21.780 that Japan

00:54:23.420 owns about

00:54:24.140 half the

00:54:25.300 industrial

00:54:25.760 robotics

00:54:26.380 market.

00:54:27.700 And it's

00:54:28.000 a critical

00:54:28.660 alternative to

00:54:29.560 China for

00:54:30.920 everything that

00:54:31.600 we do with

00:54:32.140 machines basically.

00:54:34.140 So here's my

00:54:35.260 question.

00:54:37.420 Would they

00:54:38.280 dare take

00:54:38.980 over Taiwan

00:54:39.900 while Trump

00:54:41.780 is in office?

00:54:43.260 Or would it

00:54:45.020 make infinite

00:54:45.700 more sense

00:54:47.500 to spend

00:54:48.480 three years

00:54:49.020 preparing to

00:54:49.900 do it and

00:54:51.040 then when

00:54:51.340 Trump is out

00:54:51.880 of office

00:54:52.460 maybe they

00:54:53.980 have a

00:54:54.940 a more

00:54:56.300 greased

00:54:56.900 path?

00:54:58.820 My guess

00:54:59.480 is that

00:55:00.360 Trump does

00:55:01.860 a good

00:55:02.180 enough job

00:55:02.720 of scaring

00:55:03.240 people that

00:55:04.400 they wouldn't

00:55:04.840 do it while

00:55:05.220 he's in

00:55:05.520 office.

00:55:07.520 Would you

00:55:08.180 agree that

00:55:10.020 she would

00:55:10.620 wait until

00:55:11.360 Trump is out

00:55:13.520 of office?

00:55:15.240 I feel like

00:55:16.160 that would be

00:55:16.520 the smart play

00:55:17.300 and they

00:55:18.180 tend to be

00:55:18.660 very patient.

00:55:20.200 But it

00:55:20.700 would suggest

00:55:21.580 that their

00:55:23.560 current moves

00:55:24.460 are just

00:55:26.380 preparatory and

00:55:27.780 threatening.

00:55:30.420 But we'll

00:55:31.480 see.

00:55:33.260 Anyway,

00:55:34.340 that's all I

00:55:34.820 got for today.

00:55:37.040 That's your

00:55:37.840 show for

00:55:38.320 today.

00:55:39.520 I'll look at

00:55:40.020 your comments.

00:55:40.820 It'll take a

00:55:41.400 few minutes to

00:55:42.540 catch up.

00:55:42.980 I don't

00:55:48.920 believe the

00:55:49.380 Congress

00:55:49.700 actually wants

00:55:50.280 to fix

00:55:50.660 anything.

00:55:54.320 Yeah,

00:55:54.620 scientific

00:55:55.020 studies are

00:55:55.780 not too

00:55:57.340 reliable,

00:55:57.960 even if

00:55:58.380 they're

00:55:58.580 peer-reviewed.

00:56:02.200 Bobby

00:56:02.740 hates the

00:56:03.160 journalists.

00:56:08.940 Yep,

00:56:09.580 everything

00:56:09.960 except our

00:56:10.620 elections are

00:56:11.320 rigged.

00:56:12.980 right.

00:56:20.120 All right,

00:56:20.840 people,

00:56:21.380 I'm going

00:56:21.680 to talk

00:56:23.060 privately to

00:56:24.340 the members

00:56:26.180 in the

00:56:27.260 local

00:56:27.660 community.

00:56:28.920 To the

00:56:29.360 rest of

00:56:29.740 you,

00:56:30.000 thanks for

00:56:30.460 joining.

00:56:31.680 Sorry,

00:56:32.120 my voice

00:56:32.620 is kind

00:56:33.000 of sketchy.

00:56:35.060 Sketchy.

00:56:36.020 This part

00:56:36.760 of my jaw

00:56:37.240 is still

00:56:37.780 paralyzed,

00:56:40.960 as is the

00:56:41.980 bottom part

00:56:42.460 of me.

00:56:46.740 All right,

00:56:47.340 people.

00:56:50.200 Here we

00:56:50.800 go.

00:56:52.180 Privacy

00:56:52.740 coming up

00:56:53.340 locals

00:56:53.980 in 30

00:56:56.100 seconds.

00:56:58.060 Local

00:56:58.480 support.

00:57:12.460 music

00:57:13.200 There были

00:57:13.440 names

00:57:14.860 coastact

00:57:15.600 out

00:57:17.940 to

00:57:18.200 down

00:57:18.440 to

00:57:18.960 allowing

00:57:19.440 them

00:57:20.000 to

00:57:20.680 the

00:57:21.960 persisting

00:57:22.260 in

00:57:23.880 some

00:57:25.140 things.

00:57:25.940 Absolutely.

00:57:26.200 In

00:57:26.700 the

00:57:27.640 actual

00:57:28.280 way,

00:57:29.200 here we

00:57:30.280 there

00:57:30.340 are

00:57:31.220 by

00:57:32.480 gee

00:57:32.780 tratar

00:57:34.020 all

00:57:34.640 else

00:57:35.240 machst

00:57:35.840 these

00:57:36.120 you

00:57:36.860 are

00:57:39.320 going

00:57:39.860 Thank you.

00:58:09.860 Thank you.

00:58:39.860 Thank you.

00:59:09.860 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 02, 2026

Episode 3060 CWSA 01⧸02⧸26

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Transcript