Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 02, 2026


Episode 3060 CWSA 01⧸02⧸26


Episode Stats

Length

59 minutes

Words per Minute

118.91593

Word Count

7,095

Sentence Count

479

Misogynist Sentences

10

Hate Speech Sentences

20


Summary

Elon Musk announces Tesla's plans for a robot that could be in production in 2020. Tesla says it's going to make 50,000 units of the robot, but will they be able to do it without China? And how much can you trust robot parts that come from China?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Let's check on our stocks.
00:00:04.600 Not bad.
00:00:06.400 Stocks are up a little bit.
00:00:09.100 Tesla's up a little bit.
00:00:11.700 All right, we're starting the year off right.
00:00:15.600 Excellent.
00:00:18.800 Let me make sure I can see your local comments.
00:00:22.600 And then we'll have the show you've been waiting for.
00:00:26.400 The show of shows.
00:00:30.000 All right, that's working.
00:00:34.600 Oh, come on, typing through tears.
00:00:37.400 Let's just enjoy our morning, OK?
00:00:40.900 How about the simultaneous step?
00:00:43.900 Because I know why you're here.
00:00:45.300 It's working.
00:00:46.600 Whoops.
00:00:49.900 Stop it.
00:00:54.000 I interrupted myself.
00:01:00.000 OK, we'll try that again.
00:01:02.600 All you need is a copper mugger, a glass of tanker,
00:01:06.100 a chalice or stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:01:11.200 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:01:13.600 I like coffee.
00:01:15.200 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine
00:01:17.600 of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:01:19.600 It's called simultaneity sip.
00:01:22.200 It happens.
00:01:23.200 Now.
00:01:30.200 The simultaneity.
00:01:32.200 It never disappoints.
00:01:34.200 So one of the things I told you I like a lot is when people who are way
00:01:41.200 smarter than me agree with me because it makes me feel smarter.
00:01:46.600 So the CEO of Perplexity, that's one of the big AI apps, Arvind Srinivas,
00:01:54.800 he says, the biggest threat to data centers is intelligence that runs locally on your device.
00:02:02.600 So I think I've been telling you for a while that the big AI companies are building enormous
00:02:10.200 multi-billion dollar data centers.
00:02:13.800 And as an investor, I would be concerned that things could change instantly.
00:02:20.000 And one of the things that could change instantly is if somebody figured out how to do AI,
00:02:24.700 without the data center.
00:02:26.700 Now, it seems impossible.
00:02:29.700 But on the other hand, if you started with the data center training,
00:02:37.700 and then just added your own intelligence and your own stuff,
00:02:41.700 how close could you get to a working AI that didn't need to be connected to a data center?
00:02:49.700 I think that's coming.
00:02:52.700 Anyway, speaking of AI, Sam Altman of ChatGPT and OpenAI,
00:03:00.700 apparently he's got a different vision than Elon Musk does about what's going to happen to your apps.
00:03:07.700 So in his world, ChatGPT will have its own app store and maybe replace the Apple app store.
00:03:16.700 But so far, they have not really been successful.
00:03:21.700 So they have some apps, but they're not, you know, it's not doing everything a phone can do.
00:03:29.700 So they think their big competition is Apple and the iPhone, but they can't quite get apps to work.
00:03:37.700 I don't know if they will.
00:03:39.700 Now, the difference is that Elon says there won't be apps per se.
00:03:45.700 There might just be one version of AI on your device, which would look nothing like a smartphone, except a screen and, you know, some basics.
00:03:58.700 So we'll see.
00:03:59.700 That's a pretty big deal because whoever ends up owning the app or replacement app environment is going to have a business that's worth a trillion dollars.
00:04:15.700 According to someone on X named Ming, I love it when I take random people I don't know about on X and act like they have a special insight.
00:04:29.700 Maybe he does.
00:04:31.700 Maybe Ming knows everything.
00:04:33.700 Or maybe Ming is making it up because I don't know who he is.
00:04:37.700 But he says that the mass production audit for Tesla's Optimus version three, that would be the robot, has been completed.
00:04:46.700 And here's the new part.
00:04:48.700 Seven Chinese companies would be core suppliers.
00:04:53.700 So for different parts of the robot, Tesla would employ seven Chinese companies.
00:05:02.700 Now, a lot of it, I assume, would be made in the US, but they would be getting parts from China to assemble.
00:05:09.700 Now, you remember I was telling you that the CEO of Andrewill was saying that basically every electronic component that came from China has some kind of a listening device that might be as big as a grain of sand or a grain of rice.
00:05:30.700 Not sand, stupid, rice, totally different.
00:05:35.700 So how much can you trust robot parts that came from China?
00:05:41.700 Do you think that's safe?
00:05:46.700 And what would Tesla's security be?
00:05:51.700 Would they make sure that every component was free from some kind of spy device?
00:05:57.700 I assume.
00:05:58.700 So it's a weird time in history where we assumed that China would put malicious code or malicious hardware into every device.
00:06:12.700 At the same time, you probably can't make the robots without China.
00:06:16.700 So is China Tesla's friend or is it just another way China can get some control over the United States?
00:06:26.700 But more to the point.
00:06:28.700 So they want to make, they want to be ready to make 50 to 100,000 units.
00:06:35.700 That would be robots.
00:06:38.700 In Q1, 2026.
00:06:40.700 So remember how I keep asking, how in the world will robots be like generally intelligent and act like a butler if we haven't seen it yet?
00:06:56.700 And I always mock the videos that show some robot doing exactly one thing.
00:07:02.700 So today, there's a video I saw about some Chinese made robot that could play tennis.
00:07:09.700 But they don't really show it trying to make every kind of shot.
00:07:16.700 So it probably can't even do tennis unless it's like a ground stroke that's kind of close to his forehand.
00:07:24.700 So once again, every time somebody tries to trick us into thinking that robots are ready, they'll show a demonstration of a robot doing exactly one thing.
00:07:38.700 Now, obviously, if you could get a robot to play tennis, that would be pretty impressive.
00:07:45.700 But it wouldn't be the same intelligence that would make it a butler.
00:07:51.700 So here's my question.
00:07:54.700 What does Elon know about AI, the AI that would go into his robots, that we don't know?
00:08:02.700 Does he have this mastered?
00:08:06.700 Because why would you even gear up for making that many robots this soon, first quarter, unless you have solved the general intelligence problem?
00:08:18.700 And how in the world would we not know that he has solved it?
00:08:24.700 Or is it optimism?
00:08:27.700 Does he feel that he's close enough that if you give it three more months that you'll be able to do whatever you want to do?
00:08:36.700 I don't know.
00:08:37.700 I'm genuinely curious.
00:08:40.700 Because, you know, Elon's not going to waste a bunch of money on a robot that doesn't work.
00:08:47.700 So he must think it'll work.
00:08:50.700 And when I say work, I mean be generally trainable.
00:08:55.700 So you could just teach it a new thing on the fly.
00:09:02.700 Spaces.
00:09:04.700 All right.
00:09:09.700 Tesla's a surveillance company, you say?
00:09:14.700 Well, not by design, but I don't know what could surveil anything better than that.
00:09:27.700 You know, nobody's ever asked me to teach a robot how to be funny.
00:09:31.700 I'm seeing that in the comments.
00:09:34.700 But I think I could.
00:09:36.700 I think it would have been within my ability to teach a robot how to be funny.
00:09:42.700 Not positive, but I think I could.
00:09:45.700 Nobody else has.
00:09:47.700 Well, remember I told you yesterday, I think it was yesterday, that sometimes I cheer for the wrong people.
00:09:55.700 You know, you've seen movies, TV shows, where the bad guy is actually the charismatic one.
00:10:02.700 Do you remember the TV show Dallas?
00:10:07.700 And J.R. Ewing was the bad guy.
00:10:10.700 But he was the most interesting person in the show.
00:10:13.700 So he ended up cheering for the bad guy.
00:10:16.700 And I told you that that started to be my feeling about that tanker.
00:10:23.700 It's an empty tanker that the U.S. Navy has been chasing.
00:10:27.700 And remember I told you that he did a U-turn instead of surrendering, which was ballsy.
00:10:33.700 And then they painted on the side of their ship a Russian flag to try to get Russia's protection.
00:10:40.700 And it looks like it might have worked because apparently Russia has now asked the U.S. to not take the tanker.
00:10:52.700 So I don't know if it's really a Russian flag ship or if they changed it to a Russian flag ship.
00:10:59.700 But if he gets away with us, if that tanker captain actually pulls it off and gets away, that is going to be the coolest criminal thing I've seen this year.
00:11:14.700 So I'm trying not to root for the other team, but he's a ballsy captain.
00:11:21.700 All right.
00:11:22.700 Well, good luck, captain.
00:11:23.700 So here's some good news.
00:11:28.700 Lee Zeldin is reporting that the Trump EPA just completed a risk evaluation of, and I think I'll be pronouncing this right.
00:11:40.700 It's spelled P-H-T-H-A-L-A-T-E-S.
00:11:46.700 So obviously that would be pronounced full platinum.
00:11:51.700 I think I nailed that, right?
00:11:53.700 So apparently the Fulani chemicals are going to be banned because they're bad for you.
00:12:03.700 Lee Zeldin says the Maha activists were right.
00:12:07.700 And the Trump EPA strongly agrees that exposures in certain settings exceed safe levels and could cause endocrine disruptions.
00:12:18.700 So if I could give you any advice, it would go like this.
00:12:22.700 Stay away from the flatness.
00:12:25.700 All right.
00:12:27.700 Now, I try to be useful.
00:12:30.700 So here I am teaching you how to pronounce this difficult to pronounce word one more time.
00:12:36.700 It's pronounced sublimatis.
00:12:41.700 Yeah, that's a word.
00:12:44.700 But good job.
00:12:46.700 Trump administration.
00:12:48.700 I like the fact that RFK Jr.
00:12:51.700 is leading the do science better push.
00:12:55.700 So this is one of many things in which the gold standard of science will be applied
00:13:02.700 and apparently has never been applied before.
00:13:05.700 which is a weird part.
00:13:09.020 How long ago was it that you learned
00:13:11.460 that science was mostly fake?
00:13:15.560 Or at least the science that we cared about.
00:13:20.000 You know, we never really had safety tests
00:13:23.080 for a lot of medicines.
00:13:24.960 But we thought we did.
00:13:26.940 I mean, I think I thought the same thing you did for years,
00:13:29.760 which is the most tested would be pharmaceutical stuff.
00:13:38.460 Turns out that was never the case.
00:13:42.340 And then secondly, you would assume that food
00:13:45.280 and food safety would also be among the top things
00:13:50.080 that our science did right.
00:13:53.280 Well, turns out that's all wrong,
00:13:57.040 that we didn't have science to support our big meds
00:14:00.840 and we didn't have science to support our big food.
00:14:04.800 And of all people, of all people,
00:14:08.780 Trump is the one who's making this, you know, real science.
00:14:15.880 So there's more on that in a minute.
00:14:19.220 I'm seeing some reporting
00:14:23.600 about Trump's approval levels being high.
00:14:27.980 I think it was Harry Antonin on CNN
00:14:29.960 who said they've never seen this before,
00:14:33.440 which is a president in his second term
00:14:36.140 who's been better, more approval than his first term.
00:14:41.760 You know, because first terms,
00:14:43.720 you tend to get a little bit of a honeymoon.
00:14:46.220 But Trump is actually more popular now
00:14:49.740 than at any time in his first term.
00:14:54.880 That's impressive.
00:14:56.900 Now, how popular he is, is a matter of dispute.
00:15:00.740 So there are various different polls
00:15:02.720 that have very different answers.
00:15:04.660 I think one said he's 44% approval,
00:15:09.300 which wouldn't be bad.
00:15:11.060 Another poll, I think, said 50% approval,
00:15:14.740 which would be very impressive, 50%.
00:15:19.040 But, you know, how much do you,
00:15:21.960 how much do you really trust
00:15:23.460 claims of popularity or approval, I guess?
00:15:29.340 But here's what Trump does.
00:15:31.320 So in the midst of these sketchy numbers,
00:15:34.380 Trump says that the polls are rigged
00:15:41.940 and he claims his real job approval rating
00:15:45.080 nearly a year into his second term is 64%.
00:15:48.900 64%.
00:15:51.960 No, I don't, has there ever been a president
00:15:54.500 who was 64%?
00:15:55.720 I think there were maybe around the first.
00:16:00.300 What was Bush's approval during the first Gulf War?
00:16:05.540 It was really high, right?
00:16:08.560 So Trump says he's got,
00:16:10.880 he goes, the real number is 64%.
00:16:13.380 And why not?
00:16:15.460 And why not?
00:16:16.980 Our country is hotter than ever before.
00:16:20.180 Isn't it nice to have a strong border,
00:16:21.940 no inflation, but happy new year.
00:16:23.720 So if you're a Democrat,
00:16:28.440 would this drive you crazy
00:16:29.840 if you saw that the president
00:16:32.200 was claiming a 64% approval
00:16:35.260 but had no poll whatsoever to back it?
00:16:39.240 It would make you crazy.
00:16:41.720 How does it make you feel if you support Trump?
00:16:48.340 Well, I'm in that category.
00:16:51.420 To me, it's just as funny.
00:16:53.720 I love the fact that he just throws that out there
00:16:55.960 because he knows that his critics
00:16:57.980 are going to go crazy
00:16:58.980 and it doesn't make any difference
00:17:01.080 whatsoever to his supporters.
00:17:03.060 We just watch the show.
00:17:05.160 So when he does that salesman-ish thing
00:17:08.160 and he just throws out this giant number
00:17:11.660 that can't be supported,
00:17:13.340 it just makes me laugh.
00:17:14.440 And I don't think anybody else would know
00:17:17.420 that that could be like a workable strategy
00:17:20.620 instead of insane.
00:17:22.460 Oh, speaking of which,
00:17:24.420 so Trump also had a physical.
00:17:27.800 He claims he's in, quote,
00:17:30.440 perfect health
00:17:31.240 and that he aced
00:17:32.880 the third cognitive exam
00:17:35.620 he's been asked to take
00:17:36.640 in his time as president.
00:17:38.540 He says,
00:17:40.600 the White House doctors have reported
00:17:42.160 that I am in, now all caps,
00:17:44.760 perfect health
00:17:45.700 and that I aced
00:17:48.200 capital, all capitals,
00:17:51.040 meaning was correct
00:17:52.240 on 100% of the questions asked
00:17:54.300 for the third straight time.
00:17:57.540 My cognitive examination,
00:18:00.240 something which no other president
00:18:01.760 or previous vice president
00:18:03.380 was willing to take,
00:18:05.560 Trump wrote.
00:18:07.040 Now, again,
00:18:08.480 do you hate the fact
00:18:11.260 that he's claiming
00:18:13.380 his cognitive test success?
00:18:16.740 No.
00:18:17.760 Will it bother his critics
00:18:19.380 for whatever reason?
00:18:22.660 Yes.
00:18:23.800 So if it bothers his critics
00:18:25.400 and it doesn't bother his supporters,
00:18:30.180 that's a sweet spot.
00:18:32.260 He has a sweet spot.
00:18:33.380 Well,
00:18:35.540 over in Israel,
00:18:36.780 apparently Netanyahu
00:18:37.880 and the Israeli government
00:18:40.320 is going to enforce
00:18:41.880 a ban on 37 NGOs
00:18:44.460 in Gaza.
00:18:46.700 So they believe
00:18:47.760 that at least 37 of them
00:18:49.640 are maybe sneaking
00:18:52.060 in bad guys
00:18:53.000 or doing something
00:18:54.620 that Israel would not
00:18:55.640 want them to do
00:18:56.420 and is not in their charter.
00:18:59.360 So
00:18:59.920 if you had heard
00:19:02.540 this story
00:19:03.260 a few years ago,
00:19:05.600 what would you assume
00:19:07.100 was happening?
00:19:08.820 You might assume
00:19:10.240 that Israel
00:19:10.920 was being mean
00:19:11.900 and they were removing
00:19:13.660 the sources of charity
00:19:15.960 for the region
00:19:18.240 that they conquered.
00:19:19.760 and you might say,
00:19:21.360 my God,
00:19:23.140 these brutal monsters
00:19:24.680 are cutting our NGO
00:19:26.780 support.
00:19:29.020 But what do you think
00:19:29.960 in 2026?
00:19:32.140 In 2026,
00:19:33.800 now that we know
00:19:34.460 the NGOs
00:19:35.080 are massive
00:19:36.440 money laundering schemes
00:19:38.500 and probably
00:19:40.280 in this case
00:19:42.120 being used
00:19:43.220 as some kind
00:19:44.340 of disguise
00:19:46.340 for moving
00:19:47.820 in things
00:19:48.420 that could be weapons,
00:19:50.900 for example.
00:19:52.060 Maybe it's other terrorists.
00:19:54.620 So
00:19:54.900 it makes me wonder,
00:19:57.120 is there ever been
00:19:57.940 an NGO
00:19:58.460 that was good
00:19:59.380 or are all NGOs
00:20:02.320 just automatically
00:20:04.560 a signal
00:20:05.340 for fraud
00:20:06.100 and a signal
00:20:07.420 for something
00:20:07.980 you don't want
00:20:08.540 to happen?
00:20:09.920 I don't know.
00:20:11.840 But I'll tell you,
00:20:13.820 it does seem
00:20:15.260 to suggest
00:20:15.980 there's never
00:20:17.240 been a good NGO
00:20:18.320 and that
00:20:20.260 every single time
00:20:21.720 you hear about one,
00:20:23.560 there's something
00:20:24.260 sketchy going on.
00:20:26.060 Probably.
00:20:28.360 All right,
00:20:28.720 well,
00:20:28.900 here's a story
00:20:30.060 that was just
00:20:31.940 complicated enough
00:20:32.960 that I don't fully
00:20:33.680 understand it,
00:20:34.440 but I'll try.
00:20:34.860 So according
00:20:36.240 to Jennifer O'Connell
00:20:38.300 writing for Red State,
00:20:41.560 Trump has already
00:20:43.380 this year
00:20:43.980 vetoed two things
00:20:45.480 at least.
00:20:46.480 And one of the things
00:20:47.120 he vetoed
00:20:47.820 was a
00:20:48.460 decades-old legislation
00:20:50.800 that was
00:20:52.780 tied all the way
00:20:53.760 back to
00:20:54.420 John F. Kennedy
00:20:56.040 63 years ago
00:20:57.500 where they had
00:20:59.020 put together
00:20:59.900 a deal
00:21:00.440 where the federal
00:21:01.660 government would pay
00:21:02.580 for this massive
00:21:03.560 pipeline
00:21:04.700 project.
00:21:06.940 But
00:21:07.300 the way
00:21:08.380 it was supposed
00:21:08.920 to work
00:21:09.400 is that the federal
00:21:10.660 government would pay
00:21:11.600 for it,
00:21:12.460 but then they would
00:21:13.160 be paid back
00:21:14.100 over time
00:21:15.400 with interest
00:21:16.200 by the state
00:21:17.840 and local authorities.
00:21:19.700 So on paper,
00:21:21.540 sounds pretty good,
00:21:22.520 right?
00:21:23.520 The locals
00:21:25.300 get a source
00:21:27.140 water.
00:21:27.640 I'm sure
00:21:28.340 and it's all
00:21:31.380 funded.
00:21:33.300 But that was
00:21:35.020 63 years ago.
00:21:37.100 So apparently
00:21:37.760 all they do
00:21:38.400 is they keep
00:21:38.940 kicking the can
00:21:39.780 down the road.
00:21:41.500 I think very little
00:21:43.020 or nothing
00:21:43.500 has been built.
00:21:45.080 So it's a little
00:21:45.740 bit like the
00:21:47.320 allegations
00:21:48.520 about the
00:21:49.180 California
00:21:49.780 high-speed rail.
00:21:50.880 but Trump
00:21:53.660 just canceled
00:21:54.320 it.
00:21:55.700 So I feel
00:21:57.440 like
00:21:57.800 that's the
00:21:59.200 right play
00:21:59.720 because if
00:22:01.240 something
00:22:01.520 has lasted
00:22:02.140 63 years
00:22:03.680 and they
00:22:04.480 haven't built
00:22:04.960 anything
00:22:05.420 and it probably
00:22:06.680 doesn't have a good
00:22:07.540 audit feature
00:22:08.300 because, yeah,
00:22:09.120 one does
00:22:09.600 and there's
00:22:11.880 probably no way
00:22:12.620 that the feds
00:22:13.500 would ever get
00:22:14.000 paid back,
00:22:14.620 I think
00:22:16.300 Trump can
00:22:16.880 cancel that.
00:22:18.980 So
00:22:19.380 that does
00:22:21.200 make sense
00:22:21.680 to me.
00:22:22.540 It makes me
00:22:23.200 wonder how many
00:22:23.900 things are
00:22:24.480 going to get
00:22:24.920 canceled
00:22:25.340 because they
00:22:27.480 never really
00:22:28.120 made sense
00:22:28.860 or because
00:22:30.420 it's been
00:22:30.820 decades and
00:22:31.620 the money
00:22:32.420 just disappears.
00:22:34.160 So how much
00:22:34.660 I don't know
00:22:35.760 how much money
00:22:36.320 was ever
00:22:36.860 allocated to it
00:22:38.340 but once
00:22:39.500 again,
00:22:40.400 no surprise.
00:22:42.640 We learned
00:22:43.120 that any
00:22:43.600 big federal
00:22:44.360 project
00:22:44.960 or state
00:22:45.480 project
00:22:46.000 is probably
00:22:47.020 just a way
00:22:47.960 for somebody
00:22:48.420 to rob us.
00:22:52.140 Speaking
00:22:52.780 of which,
00:22:55.020 the Trump
00:22:55.840 administration
00:22:56.500 has extended
00:22:58.300 its ban
00:22:59.080 on child
00:22:59.680 care
00:23:00.040 payments
00:23:00.820 until the
00:23:02.680 states
00:23:03.060 could provide
00:23:03.620 evidence
00:23:04.060 of legitimate
00:23:04.720 spending.
00:23:06.380 I saw
00:23:06.720 this on
00:23:07.140 One
00:23:07.440 American
00:23:07.780 News
00:23:08.100 Network.
00:23:09.320 So the
00:23:09.860 Department
00:23:10.420 of Health
00:23:10.860 and Human
00:23:11.340 Services,
00:23:12.780 which had
00:23:13.380 already
00:23:14.580 suspended
00:23:15.180 these federal
00:23:16.320 payments to
00:23:17.540 one state,
00:23:18.440 I think it
00:23:18.880 was just
00:23:19.300 Minnesota,
00:23:23.660 has now
00:23:26.480 made that
00:23:26.940 a national
00:23:28.200 thing.
00:23:29.260 So do you
00:23:30.520 think that's
00:23:31.080 a good idea?
00:23:32.900 Probably.
00:23:34.040 Because as far
00:23:34.880 as we can
00:23:35.280 tell,
00:23:36.360 all the
00:23:37.040 payments of
00:23:37.720 this type
00:23:38.440 were massively
00:23:40.040 fraudulent.
00:23:42.000 And it
00:23:42.520 probably affected
00:23:43.220 every state.
00:23:44.580 And it's
00:23:45.000 perfectly reasonable
00:23:46.200 to ask them
00:23:47.400 for evidence
00:23:48.040 that the money
00:23:48.680 is going to
00:23:49.240 the right place.
00:23:50.200 So it's not
00:23:50.780 that they can't
00:23:51.480 get the money.
00:23:52.900 It's that they
00:23:53.520 will have to
00:23:54.280 demonstrate
00:23:55.860 with receipts
00:23:57.200 and photo
00:23:57.700 evidence and
00:23:58.640 show that the
00:23:59.840 funds are actually
00:24:00.440 being used in the
00:24:01.760 right way.
00:24:02.140 Now, here's my
00:24:03.800 takeaway from
00:24:04.460 that.
00:24:05.540 I'm trying to
00:24:06.360 imagine any
00:24:07.160 other president
00:24:07.980 who could have
00:24:09.300 done this.
00:24:10.980 Even though we
00:24:11.840 recently learned
00:24:13.040 that all these
00:24:15.560 things were
00:24:15.980 giant fakes,
00:24:17.400 do you think
00:24:17.960 that a Democrat
00:24:18.800 would have just
00:24:20.520 said, all right,
00:24:21.100 we're going to
00:24:21.380 stop paying all
00:24:22.120 of you until
00:24:23.340 you can prove
00:24:23.980 it's real?
00:24:24.420 No.
00:24:26.560 And I'm not
00:24:27.120 to be sure a
00:24:27.740 Republican could
00:24:28.560 have, because
00:24:30.300 there would
00:24:30.780 just be so
00:24:31.500 much pushback.
00:24:32.720 But here's why
00:24:33.320 a regular,
00:24:34.220 ordinary Republican
00:24:35.100 and definitely
00:24:36.460 a Democrat
00:24:37.240 president could
00:24:38.720 not have pulled
00:24:39.380 this off, which
00:24:40.520 I think will be
00:24:41.200 an important
00:24:41.700 move.
00:24:43.240 The first
00:24:44.160 thing you had
00:24:44.600 to do was
00:24:45.800 dismantle
00:24:46.540 DEI.
00:24:48.260 If you
00:24:48.940 would not
00:24:49.300 dismantle
00:24:49.940 DEI, then
00:24:51.660 cutting funding
00:24:52.560 in this way
00:24:53.380 would automatically
00:24:54.880 be called
00:24:55.660 racist.
00:24:57.660 But Trump
00:24:58.180 is the only
00:24:58.640 one with
00:24:59.020 enough balls
00:24:59.820 to say, you
00:25:00.920 can call me
00:25:01.400 racist if you
00:25:02.080 want to, but
00:25:02.640 I'm still
00:25:02.880 going to do
00:25:03.300 it.
00:25:04.360 So you
00:25:04.960 had to have
00:25:05.560 an anti-
00:25:06.920 DEI
00:25:07.540 president.
00:25:09.840 No one
00:25:10.220 else could
00:25:10.580 have done
00:25:10.860 this.
00:25:11.620 No one
00:25:12.060 else.
00:25:12.880 Would you
00:25:13.180 agree?
00:25:13.640 I'm looking
00:25:14.080 at the
00:25:14.380 comments right
00:25:14.900 now.
00:25:15.560 Would you
00:25:15.900 agree that
00:25:16.380 no other
00:25:17.000 person as
00:25:17.960 president would
00:25:19.360 have had the
00:25:19.820 tools and
00:25:21.480 the right
00:25:21.820 personality and
00:25:23.000 the guts to
00:25:23.700 do this?
00:25:25.620 Secondly, and
00:25:27.060 this is
00:25:27.360 important, the
00:25:28.760 only way this
00:25:29.480 would get done
00:25:30.140 is if he
00:25:31.940 wasn't in on
00:25:32.760 the scam.
00:25:34.900 Now, even if
00:25:35.940 you say, well,
00:25:36.780 no other
00:25:37.640 president was in
00:25:38.620 on the scam,
00:25:40.260 but their
00:25:40.800 supporters were.
00:25:43.260 So they
00:25:43.700 would have had
00:25:44.800 a base that
00:25:46.040 said, what are
00:25:46.500 you doing?
00:25:46.940 their base
00:25:51.000 would have
00:25:51.320 stopped that
00:25:51.860 president because
00:25:53.480 they were in
00:25:54.100 on it.
00:25:55.560 So Trump,
00:25:57.220 whether or
00:25:58.560 not any
00:25:59.540 Republicans are
00:26:00.720 in on it,
00:26:01.500 and certainly
00:26:02.060 some must be,
00:26:03.560 that didn't
00:26:04.020 stop.
00:26:05.200 So he's not
00:26:06.240 stopped by the
00:26:07.380 DEI attacks.
00:26:09.300 Let's call it
00:26:09.940 the racism
00:26:10.740 attacks.
00:26:11.960 He's not
00:26:12.480 stopped because
00:26:14.100 somebody on
00:26:15.040 his team
00:26:15.700 is in
00:26:16.220 on it.
00:26:18.240 And lastly,
00:26:19.540 you need
00:26:19.920 basically balls
00:26:22.020 of steel
00:26:22.640 to do
00:26:23.780 something that
00:26:24.320 people will
00:26:24.960 interpret,
00:26:26.220 the bad guys
00:26:26.920 will interpret,
00:26:28.180 as killing
00:26:29.060 children.
00:26:31.660 So a
00:26:32.540 Democrat
00:26:32.840 probably
00:26:33.320 couldn't
00:26:33.720 survive
00:26:34.420 doing something
00:26:35.940 that people
00:26:37.600 would say,
00:26:38.080 hey, you
00:26:39.400 take that
00:26:39.840 money away
00:26:40.400 and it
00:26:40.700 will kill
00:26:41.100 the children.
00:26:42.640 But Trump
00:26:43.300 would be
00:26:44.720 smart enough,
00:26:45.500 tough enough,
00:26:46.040 strong enough
00:26:46.620 to say,
00:26:47.980 well,
00:26:48.900 all you have
00:26:49.300 to do is
00:26:49.700 prove that
00:26:50.280 you're real.
00:26:51.540 You can have
00:26:51.980 money right
00:26:52.500 away.
00:26:53.840 So I
00:26:55.080 don't know
00:26:55.580 that any
00:26:56.100 other president
00:26:56.700 could have
00:26:57.060 done this.
00:26:57.940 It's sort
00:26:58.480 of the
00:26:58.740 perfect
00:26:59.280 combination
00:27:00.080 of the
00:27:01.900 person who
00:27:02.620 needed to
00:27:03.160 be there
00:27:03.540 at the
00:27:03.780 right time.
00:27:04.940 Otherwise,
00:27:05.420 I think
00:27:05.720 we're just
00:27:06.200 doomed.
00:27:08.180 Just
00:27:08.540 doomed.
00:27:10.800 All
00:27:11.280 right.
00:27:11.440 I've
00:27:12.600 asked
00:27:12.940 you
00:27:13.060 this
00:27:13.240 before,
00:27:13.900 but
00:27:14.020 I'm
00:27:14.160 going to
00:27:14.280 add
00:27:14.400 little
00:27:14.620 details.
00:27:15.800 I
00:27:16.000 have
00:27:16.140 a
00:27:16.340 favor
00:27:16.680 to
00:27:16.960 ask.
00:27:20.300 You'll
00:27:20.820 see a
00:27:21.320 post that
00:27:22.020 I pinned
00:27:22.440 to my
00:27:23.100 X feed.
00:27:24.680 It's the
00:27:24.940 one at
00:27:25.240 the top,
00:27:26.380 in which
00:27:26.640 I'm asking
00:27:27.240 you if I
00:27:28.700 helped you
00:27:29.160 in any
00:27:29.540 way,
00:27:30.840 or let's
00:27:31.300 say my
00:27:31.640 work,
00:27:32.520 if my
00:27:32.980 work helped
00:27:34.940 you in
00:27:35.280 any way,
00:27:36.700 to leave
00:27:37.640 a message
00:27:38.120 in that
00:27:38.520 post,
00:27:39.720 because my
00:27:40.520 good friend
00:27:41.200 and now
00:27:42.440 biographer,
00:27:43.620 Joel Pollack,
00:27:45.320 I've asked
00:27:46.620 him to
00:27:46.920 write my
00:27:47.340 biography.
00:27:49.340 And a
00:27:50.100 big part
00:27:50.460 of the
00:27:50.660 biography
00:27:51.040 will be
00:27:51.820 some
00:27:53.340 notion
00:27:53.780 of what
00:27:54.460 I added
00:27:54.900 to the
00:27:55.360 universe.
00:27:56.700 So if
00:27:57.120 you have
00:27:57.440 a story
00:27:57.980 to tell,
00:27:59.320 or you
00:27:59.960 know
00:28:00.180 somebody
00:28:00.500 that does,
00:28:01.800 do me
00:28:02.460 a favor
00:28:02.800 and leave
00:28:03.460 a comment
00:28:04.120 just so
00:28:05.980 we know
00:28:06.280 what the
00:28:06.700 general
00:28:07.240 thrust is,
00:28:10.240 and then
00:28:10.840 follow
00:28:11.380 Joel.
00:28:12.780 You'll
00:28:13.300 see his
00:28:13.860 X
00:28:15.760 handle
00:28:16.660 in my
00:28:17.160 post.
00:28:18.180 Give him
00:28:18.540 a follow,
00:28:19.500 because if
00:28:20.320 he sees
00:28:20.720 something in
00:28:21.220 the comments
00:28:21.820 that would
00:28:22.460 look good,
00:28:23.840 or he wants
00:28:24.700 to follow
00:28:25.120 up with
00:28:25.540 in the
00:28:25.800 book,
00:28:26.560 he will
00:28:26.900 have a
00:28:27.180 way to
00:28:27.460 contact
00:28:27.800 you,
00:28:28.520 so he
00:28:29.160 can follow
00:28:29.560 you back
00:28:30.040 and DM
00:28:30.520 you.
00:28:31.200 Okay?
00:28:33.140 That would
00:28:33.840 be a
00:28:34.060 big favor
00:28:34.520 to me.
00:28:36.680 I would
00:28:36.960 appreciate
00:28:37.300 that.
00:28:40.180 Well,
00:28:41.140 Iran
00:28:41.680 apparently
00:28:42.120 is having
00:28:42.760 some big
00:28:43.320 protests
00:28:43.920 in the
00:28:45.340 street.
00:28:46.380 So I
00:28:47.000 saw some
00:28:47.540 reporting
00:28:48.120 that we'll
00:28:50.640 see if
00:28:51.220 I've trained
00:28:51.900 you well
00:28:52.280 enough to
00:28:52.700 spot this.
00:28:54.220 The claim
00:28:54.960 is that
00:28:55.460 there are
00:28:55.980 now 32
00:28:57.200 cities
00:28:57.960 where there
00:28:59.900 will be
00:29:00.240 protests.
00:29:02.260 32
00:29:02.760 cities.
00:29:03.840 Now,
00:29:04.800 give me
00:29:05.120 the filter
00:29:06.420 on that.
00:29:08.800 Do you
00:29:09.380 think that
00:29:09.840 32 cities
00:29:10.960 are really
00:29:12.020 going to
00:29:12.220 have
00:29:12.360 protests?
00:29:16.940 All right,
00:29:17.580 here's the
00:29:18.040 filter.
00:29:19.760 Let's see
00:29:20.140 how many
00:29:20.460 of you
00:29:20.680 got it.
00:29:21.980 How big
00:29:22.560 would the
00:29:22.920 protests
00:29:23.380 be in
00:29:23.700 those 32
00:29:24.340 cities?
00:29:25.580 Because I
00:29:26.020 heard yesterday
00:29:26.740 that the
00:29:28.040 32-city
00:29:28.860 thing might
00:29:29.360 be true,
00:29:30.500 but some
00:29:30.920 of them
00:29:31.180 would be
00:29:31.500 small
00:29:31.840 crowds.
00:29:33.700 So there's
00:29:34.240 a big
00:29:34.500 difference
00:29:35.040 between a
00:29:35.700 small
00:29:36.100 crowd of
00:29:36.620 protesters
00:29:37.120 and an
00:29:38.280 overwhelming
00:29:38.740 number.
00:29:40.860 But we
00:29:41.400 don't see
00:29:42.060 how many
00:29:42.640 of the
00:29:42.880 32
00:29:43.320 are going
00:29:44.740 to be
00:29:45.140 big or
00:29:46.580 have been
00:29:46.940 big,
00:29:47.420 and how
00:29:47.880 many of
00:29:48.260 them are
00:29:48.600 just a
00:29:49.720 few hundred
00:29:50.140 people took
00:29:50.800 the streets
00:29:51.380 so they
00:29:51.840 added it
00:29:52.900 to the
00:29:53.120 count.
00:29:53.460 But what
00:29:55.500 is new
00:29:56.040 and interesting
00:29:56.660 is that
00:29:58.420 Trump
00:29:59.660 weighed in
00:30:00.180 on this.
00:30:01.160 I thought
00:30:01.580 he would
00:30:01.840 stay out
00:30:02.300 of it,
00:30:02.900 because you
00:30:04.120 don't want
00:30:04.920 the Iranian
00:30:05.400 people to
00:30:06.860 organize
00:30:07.460 against the
00:30:08.200 U.S.
00:30:09.100 You want
00:30:09.460 them to
00:30:09.800 keep their
00:30:10.200 focus on
00:30:10.800 their own
00:30:11.120 government.
00:30:12.200 And like
00:30:12.480 I said,
00:30:12.860 I don't
00:30:13.080 know,
00:30:13.340 is it a
00:30:13.760 color
00:30:13.980 revolution?
00:30:15.580 Is it
00:30:15.980 completely
00:30:16.400 organic?
00:30:17.960 Or is it
00:30:18.460 really something
00:30:20.000 that the U.S.
00:30:20.840 and Israel
00:30:21.520 are behind?
00:30:23.460 I would
00:30:23.900 be surprised
00:30:24.700 if it's
00:30:25.840 100%
00:30:26.840 organic.
00:30:28.420 You know
00:30:29.060 what I
00:30:29.280 mean?
00:30:29.900 So I
00:30:30.520 don't think
00:30:30.900 we can
00:30:31.220 tell from
00:30:31.660 here how
00:30:34.240 effective
00:30:35.320 those things
00:30:36.000 are going
00:30:36.300 to be.
00:30:37.660 But here's
00:30:38.480 what Trump
00:30:38.940 said on
00:30:39.440 True Social.
00:30:40.980 He said,
00:30:41.780 if Iran
00:30:42.260 kills
00:30:44.580 peaceful
00:30:45.180 protesters,
00:30:46.560 we will
00:30:46.980 come to
00:30:48.140 the rescue,
00:30:49.940 locked and
00:30:50.580 loaded and
00:30:51.200 ready to
00:30:51.680 go.
00:30:51.980 So Trump
00:30:53.720 is basically
00:30:54.280 saying that
00:30:57.020 the U.S.
00:30:57.840 would get
00:30:58.220 involved
00:30:58.660 militarily if
00:31:00.900 the regime
00:31:01.640 murders any
00:31:03.460 of their
00:31:03.740 peaceful
00:31:04.140 protesters.
00:31:05.780 Is that
00:31:06.560 a good
00:31:06.880 idea?
00:31:08.620 Here again,
00:31:09.780 I'm making
00:31:10.220 an assumption
00:31:11.440 because it's
00:31:12.880 not the way
00:31:13.360 we've acted
00:31:13.860 in the past.
00:31:15.420 But my
00:31:16.020 assumption is
00:31:16.840 that Trump
00:31:17.260 knows more
00:31:17.820 about this
00:31:18.280 than we do.
00:31:18.800 So it
00:31:20.140 could be
00:31:20.760 that he
00:31:22.660 has information
00:31:23.380 that things
00:31:24.980 are teetering
00:31:25.660 on the
00:31:26.100 brink.
00:31:27.360 Now,
00:31:27.600 if things
00:31:27.940 are teetering
00:31:28.660 on the
00:31:29.100 brink and
00:31:30.660 giving a
00:31:32.920 little boost
00:31:33.460 to the
00:31:33.760 protesters
00:31:34.300 makes sense,
00:31:37.160 then it's a
00:31:37.660 good play.
00:31:38.160 But doesn't
00:31:41.460 it seem to
00:31:41.980 you like
00:31:42.620 Iran has
00:31:43.740 had many,
00:31:44.520 many periods
00:31:45.880 of protests
00:31:46.580 and they
00:31:47.520 eventually just
00:31:48.380 get suppressed?
00:31:49.020 So if it
00:31:50.740 just gets
00:31:51.240 suppressed,
00:31:53.900 I don't
00:31:56.040 know if
00:31:56.320 this helped.
00:31:57.820 So once
00:31:58.520 again,
00:31:59.120 I'm going
00:31:59.460 to make
00:31:59.660 an assumption
00:32:00.160 that Trump
00:32:01.580 knows more
00:32:02.200 about this
00:32:02.740 than we
00:32:03.060 do.
00:32:03.660 So he
00:32:04.220 knows what's
00:32:04.760 behind the
00:32:05.280 scenes.
00:32:06.040 It could
00:32:06.520 be that
00:32:08.000 there are
00:32:08.480 insiders
00:32:09.140 in Iran
00:32:10.000 who are
00:32:11.100 ready to
00:32:11.620 take over
00:32:12.220 and make
00:32:13.520 a deal
00:32:13.860 with the
00:32:14.180 U.S.
00:32:15.620 It could
00:32:16.100 be that
00:32:17.380 Trump just
00:32:17.900 always takes
00:32:18.460 the strongest
00:32:19.040 play.
00:32:20.360 I've been
00:32:20.720 telling you
00:32:21.100 this for a
00:32:21.540 while.
00:32:22.340 If there
00:32:22.680 are a
00:32:23.200 couple of
00:32:23.520 ways to
00:32:24.000 go on
00:32:25.320 any topic,
00:32:26.940 you pick
00:32:27.460 the one
00:32:27.760 that's the
00:32:28.160 strongest.
00:32:30.100 And the
00:32:30.580 strongest
00:32:30.980 would be
00:32:32.360 to say
00:32:33.000 we'll
00:32:33.280 weigh in
00:32:33.800 militarily.
00:32:35.940 So I
00:32:37.080 have to
00:32:37.380 say I'm
00:32:38.840 not optimistic
00:32:39.740 that there
00:32:41.180 will be
00:32:41.420 regime change
00:32:42.640 in Iran
00:32:43.120 because of
00:32:43.900 this.
00:32:45.020 That feels
00:32:45.640 a little
00:32:45.940 too optimistic,
00:32:46.860 doesn't it?
00:32:48.460 But possible.
00:32:50.580 Like I
00:32:50.980 say, if
00:32:52.140 Trump knows
00:32:52.740 something we
00:32:53.240 don't know,
00:32:54.540 or if
00:32:54.920 Israel knows
00:32:55.600 something we
00:32:56.100 don't know,
00:32:57.900 maybe.
00:32:59.800 We'll see.
00:33:01.780 Well,
00:33:02.080 Zoran
00:33:02.560 Mamdani held
00:33:04.000 a, what
00:33:05.660 he called
00:33:06.020 a block
00:33:06.600 party to
00:33:08.080 celebrate his
00:33:09.040 election.
00:33:10.200 And apparently
00:33:11.160 that became a
00:33:11.960 little bit of a
00:33:12.540 problem because
00:33:13.920 his block
00:33:14.480 party did not
00:33:15.300 include food,
00:33:16.980 music, or
00:33:17.780 bathrooms.
00:33:19.500 No food,
00:33:20.560 music, or
00:33:21.080 bathrooms.
00:33:21.900 And it was
00:33:22.180 also really,
00:33:23.060 really cold.
00:33:24.660 So here's
00:33:26.060 how I'd
00:33:26.480 summarize that.
00:33:28.280 First day of
00:33:29.240 socialism,
00:33:30.860 not so good.
00:33:33.780 Maybe they
00:33:34.800 showed less
00:33:35.260 of capitalists
00:33:36.020 in there to
00:33:37.200 sell bathrooms
00:33:37.960 and food.
00:33:40.120 But then he
00:33:40.760 said this,
00:33:41.360 which is getting
00:33:41.880 quoted a lot.
00:33:43.660 Mamdani said,
00:33:44.560 we will
00:33:45.420 replace the
00:33:46.380 frigidity of
00:33:47.400 rugged individualism
00:33:48.780 with the
00:33:49.600 warmth of
00:33:50.160 collectivism.
00:33:53.300 I wonder
00:33:54.300 if the
00:33:54.720 warmth of
00:33:55.460 collectivism
00:33:56.400 is actually
00:33:57.420 the urine
00:33:58.060 that's running
00:33:58.640 down their
00:33:59.100 legs because
00:34:00.440 they don't
00:34:01.020 have bathrooms.
00:34:03.320 Just wondering.
00:34:05.520 I would
00:34:06.180 beware of
00:34:06.740 that warmth
00:34:07.240 of collectivism.
00:34:09.660 So,
00:34:10.500 first day,
00:34:11.640 not so good.
00:34:12.920 Speaking of
00:34:15.240 food,
00:34:17.080 the FDA
00:34:17.920 plans to
00:34:19.160 update
00:34:19.680 the food
00:34:21.060 pyramid.
00:34:21.720 I think
00:34:22.000 that's what
00:34:22.420 it is.
00:34:23.040 But they
00:34:23.520 say guidelines.
00:34:25.360 And they
00:34:26.060 would do it
00:34:26.560 based on
00:34:27.320 real science.
00:34:30.160 Now,
00:34:30.340 one of the
00:34:30.620 things I
00:34:31.560 didn't know
00:34:31.920 was a
00:34:32.200 problem,
00:34:33.660 but the
00:34:34.080 FDA is
00:34:34.600 looking to
00:34:35.080 fix it,
00:34:36.120 is that
00:34:36.880 the different
00:34:37.600 states have
00:34:38.500 different
00:34:39.260 standards for
00:34:40.940 what is
00:34:41.340 ultra-processed.
00:34:42.920 So,
00:34:43.880 in one
00:34:44.300 city,
00:34:45.700 ultra-processed
00:34:46.660 means one
00:34:47.100 thing.
00:34:48.180 In another
00:34:48.940 state,
00:34:49.460 it means
00:34:49.740 another.
00:34:50.760 But they're
00:34:51.440 looking to
00:34:52.260 get some
00:34:52.780 kind of a
00:34:53.240 federal
00:34:53.560 standard,
00:34:54.740 which you
00:34:55.440 would sort
00:34:55.800 of need.
00:34:56.560 If you're
00:34:57.180 going to
00:34:57.300 have a
00:34:57.660 standard
00:34:58.200 for food,
00:34:59.800 you would
00:35:00.520 need it
00:35:00.820 to be
00:35:01.120 federal.
00:35:05.920 Will the
00:35:06.720 states
00:35:07.100 disagree?
00:35:09.760 And will
00:35:10.180 the states
00:35:10.680 say,
00:35:11.240 stay away
00:35:11.580 from our
00:35:11.880 state.
00:35:12.840 We have
00:35:13.200 our own
00:35:13.560 food
00:35:13.860 standard,
00:35:14.500 maybe.
00:35:14.960 I don't
00:35:15.200 know.
00:35:15.900 But I
00:35:16.400 do wonder
00:35:16.900 if the
00:35:18.280 FDA can
00:35:18.920 do this
00:35:19.400 now without
00:35:21.180 the undue
00:35:21.980 influence of
00:35:22.800 big food,
00:35:24.620 because the
00:35:25.420 food companies
00:35:26.080 obviously are
00:35:26.780 going to weigh in.
00:35:28.020 They have a
00:35:28.480 big influence.
00:35:30.720 Is this only
00:35:31.840 because it's a
00:35:34.380 Trump
00:35:34.900 administration?
00:35:35.620 regulation is
00:35:36.740 that the
00:35:37.040 only reason
00:35:37.740 that they
00:35:38.220 can even
00:35:38.700 maybe have
00:35:39.960 a chance
00:35:40.580 of good
00:35:42.200 food
00:35:42.620 guidelines?
00:35:44.080 Mostly, I
00:35:44.720 think they're
00:35:45.160 going to get
00:35:45.500 rid of
00:35:45.860 additives
00:35:46.620 and food
00:35:49.100 coloring and
00:35:49.820 stuff like
00:35:50.200 that, but
00:35:50.560 there might
00:35:50.820 be a lot
00:35:51.160 more.
00:35:54.540 If you
00:35:55.320 thought about
00:35:56.240 it, if the
00:35:57.600 only thing
00:35:58.360 that the
00:35:58.840 Trump
00:35:59.080 administration
00:35:59.720 accomplished,
00:36:00.380 the only
00:36:01.820 thing was
00:36:03.200 to improve
00:36:03.740 the guidelines
00:36:04.600 for food
00:36:05.360 and the
00:36:06.780 testing of
00:36:07.560 meds, that
00:36:09.100 would be
00:36:09.380 pretty successful
00:36:10.320 because those
00:36:12.140 have, especially
00:36:14.420 food, such a
00:36:16.260 leverage effect
00:36:17.120 on everything
00:36:18.420 else.
00:36:20.940 If you get
00:36:21.620 your food
00:36:22.060 right, presumably
00:36:24.020 your health
00:36:24.580 care costs
00:36:25.100 go down,
00:36:25.660 right?
00:36:27.220 So you
00:36:28.840 get a lot
00:36:30.040 done if
00:36:31.540 you can
00:36:31.820 just take
00:36:32.300 care of
00:36:32.480 the food.
00:36:35.540 Well, on
00:36:36.380 X, a
00:36:37.880 gentleman
00:36:38.200 named Kevin
00:36:38.980 Bass did
00:36:41.620 some number
00:36:42.100 crunching, and
00:36:42.900 he found out
00:36:43.480 that states
00:36:44.660 that have no
00:36:45.240 effective voter
00:36:46.160 ID requirements
00:36:47.400 average nearly
00:36:48.860 eight times
00:36:49.580 more welfare
00:36:50.300 benefits to
00:36:51.600 illegal immigrants
00:36:52.860 compared to
00:36:54.020 states that
00:36:54.600 require voter
00:36:55.360 ID
00:36:55.640 verification.
00:36:57.460 So it
00:36:59.400 is literally
00:37:00.060 the case
00:37:00.820 that states
00:37:02.320 are importing
00:37:03.260 and paying
00:37:03.740 illegals for
00:37:05.280 votes.
00:37:07.120 And Elon
00:37:09.920 Musk weighed in
00:37:10.840 and said,
00:37:11.240 yes, it is the
00:37:12.360 biggest crime in
00:37:13.280 American history.
00:37:15.180 I think he
00:37:16.000 means the larger
00:37:18.560 crime of
00:37:19.440 essentially paying
00:37:21.260 people to come
00:37:22.000 into this country
00:37:22.720 and then shipping
00:37:23.440 them in so you
00:37:24.720 could control the
00:37:25.620 vote.
00:37:25.900 I'm not sure
00:37:27.340 which part is
00:37:27.960 illegal, but
00:37:29.780 it does feel
00:37:30.240 like the biggest
00:37:30.800 crime.
00:37:31.860 It does feel
00:37:32.520 like the biggest
00:37:33.060 crime in
00:37:33.500 American history.
00:37:35.800 So imagine
00:37:37.220 if Elon
00:37:38.300 Musk didn't
00:37:39.820 exist.
00:37:41.520 So I just
00:37:42.200 gave you a
00:37:42.580 whole speech
00:37:43.160 about Trump
00:37:44.500 as the only
00:37:44.980 person who
00:37:45.540 could have
00:37:46.000 attacked the
00:37:48.440 fraud
00:37:48.740 effectively.
00:37:50.060 But I don't
00:37:51.020 think even that
00:37:51.700 would have
00:37:51.960 happened without
00:37:53.380 Doge and
00:37:54.080 without Elon
00:37:55.000 putting his
00:37:56.640 finger on that
00:37:57.380 button
00:37:57.680 continuously.
00:38:00.560 So somebody
00:38:01.260 told me that
00:38:02.080 the Nick
00:38:03.100 Shirley
00:38:03.680 account,
00:38:06.660 which blew up
00:38:07.860 and became a
00:38:08.500 giant thing,
00:38:09.940 was primarily
00:38:11.040 because Elon
00:38:11.960 boosted it.
00:38:13.620 Is that true?
00:38:15.400 I was trying
00:38:16.120 to understand
00:38:17.040 why since
00:38:18.680 2018,
00:38:20.460 local news
00:38:21.560 and whistleblowers
00:38:23.760 have been
00:38:24.500 pointing out
00:38:25.040 this massive
00:38:25.780 fraud,
00:38:27.360 but it took
00:38:28.000 Nick Shirley
00:38:28.840 and his work
00:38:30.520 to make us
00:38:31.120 all pay
00:38:31.820 attention.
00:38:33.240 Now, it
00:38:33.780 could be
00:38:34.340 that I'm
00:38:35.460 in such a
00:38:35.980 bubble that
00:38:37.200 I think people
00:38:37.940 are paying
00:38:38.340 attention,
00:38:38.920 but not
00:38:39.180 really.
00:38:40.420 I said this
00:38:41.140 the other
00:38:41.440 day,
00:38:42.340 that if you
00:38:43.300 just walked
00:38:44.280 down to the
00:38:44.780 street and
00:38:46.100 tapped on
00:38:46.560 somebody's
00:38:47.040 shoulder and
00:38:47.740 said,
00:38:47.980 hey, what
00:38:48.960 do you think
00:38:49.320 of the Nick
00:38:49.840 Shirley videos?
00:38:51.560 They would
00:38:52.060 have no
00:38:52.380 idea what
00:38:52.860 you're
00:38:53.000 talking about.
00:38:54.480 But I
00:38:55.020 live in a
00:38:55.480 bubble in
00:38:56.220 which the
00:38:58.340 Nick Shirley
00:38:58.900 videos are
00:38:59.560 big.
00:39:00.680 So I see
00:39:01.640 it every
00:39:02.140 day,
00:39:02.740 every day,
00:39:03.620 and then
00:39:04.180 versions of
00:39:05.120 it every
00:39:05.540 day.
00:39:07.140 But I
00:39:09.860 think Elon
00:39:10.560 just giving
00:39:11.100 that a boost
00:39:11.800 might make
00:39:12.960 all the
00:39:13.260 difference.
00:39:14.380 So again,
00:39:14.860 I say,
00:39:15.540 what would
00:39:16.080 it be like
00:39:16.620 if we didn't
00:39:17.160 have an
00:39:17.460 Elon?
00:39:18.980 Everything
00:39:19.500 would be
00:39:19.880 different.
00:39:20.280 we wouldn't
00:39:22.540 even know
00:39:23.260 about a lot
00:39:23.720 of this
00:39:23.940 stuff.
00:39:25.220 Now,
00:39:25.400 Mike Benz,
00:39:26.300 of course,
00:39:26.720 would also
00:39:27.200 be critical
00:39:27.880 to our
00:39:29.200 current
00:39:29.480 understanding.
00:39:33.420 All right.
00:39:34.820 So the
00:39:35.880 Washington
00:39:36.320 examiner,
00:39:37.880 Drew Bond,
00:39:38.620 is writing
00:39:39.120 that can
00:39:40.660 AI help
00:39:42.240 lower our
00:39:43.020 energy bills?
00:39:44.720 Now,
00:39:44.920 that sounds
00:39:45.300 the opposite
00:39:45.820 of what you
00:39:46.300 thought,
00:39:46.660 right?
00:39:46.820 If the
00:39:47.920 big data
00:39:48.720 companies or
00:39:49.500 the big
00:39:49.840 data centers
00:39:50.620 that drive
00:39:51.480 AI need
00:39:52.840 massive,
00:39:54.320 massive amount
00:39:55.480 of energy,
00:39:56.740 wouldn't that
00:39:57.340 compete with
00:39:58.980 the domestic
00:39:59.660 residential
00:40:01.280 need for
00:40:03.740 electricity
00:40:04.280 and power?
00:40:05.580 And wouldn't
00:40:06.300 it necessarily
00:40:07.000 make your
00:40:07.520 energy costs
00:40:08.420 go up?
00:40:09.760 But here's
00:40:11.140 a version of
00:40:11.960 what probably
00:40:12.540 will be happening
00:40:13.340 that suggests
00:40:14.800 that the
00:40:15.480 data centers
00:40:16.260 will make
00:40:17.300 your local
00:40:18.400 energy prices
00:40:20.100 go down.
00:40:22.160 So already
00:40:23.660 we're seeing
00:40:24.500 that the
00:40:25.300 big companies,
00:40:26.360 the massive
00:40:26.760 companies,
00:40:27.520 who need to
00:40:28.260 build these
00:40:28.700 big data
00:40:29.200 centers,
00:40:30.420 they're
00:40:31.180 augmenting
00:40:32.120 the existing
00:40:33.620 power by
00:40:35.180 building their
00:40:36.020 own power
00:40:36.900 sources in
00:40:38.440 the same
00:40:38.760 places as
00:40:39.700 the data
00:40:40.520 centers.
00:40:40.880 So they're
00:40:41.760 using natural
00:40:42.400 gas,
00:40:43.060 they're using
00:40:43.380 solar,
00:40:44.480 geothermal,
00:40:45.380 wind,
00:40:46.420 and small
00:40:46.880 nuclear reactors,
00:40:48.700 and battery
00:40:49.260 storage.
00:40:50.700 So if they
00:40:51.640 use all of
00:40:52.380 those things
00:40:53.180 and they
00:40:54.320 keep it
00:40:54.700 local,
00:40:55.680 they can
00:40:56.120 pay for
00:40:56.880 basically all
00:40:57.860 the energy
00:40:58.340 they need.
00:40:59.200 But here's
00:40:59.640 the new
00:40:59.940 part.
00:41:01.020 What would
00:41:01.460 stop them
00:41:02.120 from making
00:41:02.840 extra?
00:41:04.100 If you're
00:41:04.560 already going
00:41:05.200 to put in
00:41:06.480 this power
00:41:07.200 source and
00:41:08.480 you're going
00:41:08.820 to use it
00:41:09.200 just for
00:41:09.540 yourself,
00:41:10.880 how hard
00:41:11.360 would it
00:41:11.600 be to
00:41:11.940 make it
00:41:12.320 twice as
00:41:12.820 big and
00:41:14.080 then provide
00:41:14.860 even cheaper
00:41:15.740 energy to
00:41:16.360 the local
00:41:16.800 community?
00:41:18.440 And I
00:41:19.180 never really
00:41:19.640 thought of
00:41:19.940 it that way.
00:41:21.000 But if
00:41:21.460 they have
00:41:22.560 enough
00:41:22.960 regulatory
00:41:24.240 relief,
00:41:25.980 it seems to
00:41:26.620 me that
00:41:26.940 something has
00:41:27.540 changed in
00:41:28.100 regulations.
00:41:29.380 Because why
00:41:30.180 is it suddenly
00:41:30.860 so easy for
00:41:32.580 these big
00:41:33.020 companies to
00:41:33.660 build their
00:41:33.980 own power
00:41:34.420 plants?
00:41:35.700 I feel like
00:41:36.480 building a
00:41:36.960 power plant
00:41:37.460 would be the
00:41:37.860 hardest thing
00:41:38.360 you could ever
00:41:38.940 get approved.
00:41:40.880 But suddenly
00:41:41.840 there are lots
00:41:43.560 of them and
00:41:44.000 they seem to
00:41:45.160 get approval.
00:41:46.360 So is that a
00:41:46.920 Trump thing?
00:41:48.440 Did Trump
00:41:49.000 administration
00:41:51.880 remove a bunch
00:41:53.100 of regulations
00:41:53.720 to make this
00:41:55.180 practical?
00:41:56.760 They must have,
00:41:57.980 right?
00:41:58.960 So again,
00:42:01.160 could any other
00:42:02.000 president have
00:42:02.760 pulled off the
00:42:03.380 AI revolution?
00:42:05.280 I don't know.
00:42:06.360 Because you
00:42:06.700 would have to
00:42:07.100 go massively
00:42:07.780 after the
00:42:09.080 regulatory
00:42:09.560 structures in
00:42:12.180 order to even
00:42:12.940 imagine that
00:42:14.540 private companies
00:42:15.360 could build
00:42:15.820 their own
00:42:16.140 power plants
00:42:16.900 on site.
00:42:20.020 Yeah.
00:42:21.420 Anyway.
00:42:24.840 An update
00:42:25.760 on the LA
00:42:26.620 fires.
00:42:27.280 The Post
00:42:27.580 Millennial is
00:42:28.800 reporting.
00:42:30.000 Hannah
00:42:30.200 Nightingale
00:42:30.800 that just
00:42:31.780 13% of
00:42:32.860 homes destroyed
00:42:33.620 in the LA
00:42:34.020 fires have a
00:42:35.400 permit to
00:42:35.980 rebuild.
00:42:38.280 Now, do you
00:42:40.380 know why it's
00:42:41.000 taking so long?
00:42:42.520 It's not all
00:42:43.500 because of the
00:42:44.160 state, although
00:42:45.140 much of it is.
00:42:46.880 Number one,
00:42:47.580 there's no way
00:42:48.060 to get fire
00:42:48.600 insurance.
00:42:50.040 Would you
00:42:50.540 rebuild a
00:42:51.200 home if you
00:42:52.740 knew you
00:42:53.080 couldn't get fire
00:42:53.800 insurance?
00:42:54.320 especially a
00:42:56.360 place where
00:42:56.820 they had a
00:42:57.340 big fire.
00:42:58.620 So, some
00:42:59.180 of it is
00:43:00.720 the insurance
00:43:01.380 companies and
00:43:02.380 the homeowners
00:43:02.900 not being able
00:43:04.420 to do a
00:43:06.080 deal.
00:43:07.780 Secondly,
00:43:09.100 especially if
00:43:09.840 you didn't
00:43:10.220 have enough
00:43:10.660 insurance before
00:43:11.560 the fire, if
00:43:13.020 you're a
00:43:13.240 homeowner, you're
00:43:13.780 probably short
00:43:14.300 on cash.
00:43:15.900 So, even
00:43:16.580 if you
00:43:17.960 could get
00:43:18.320 approval to
00:43:18.960 build, how
00:43:20.680 many people
00:43:21.160 would have
00:43:21.480 enough to
00:43:22.000 just rebuild
00:43:23.940 a new
00:43:24.280 house.
00:43:25.640 That's
00:43:25.920 going to
00:43:26.140 limit.
00:43:26.800 That seems
00:43:27.220 like it would
00:43:27.580 limit you.
00:43:28.940 And then, of
00:43:29.940 course, there
00:43:30.360 are endangered
00:43:30.940 plants.
00:43:32.960 So, apparently,
00:43:34.260 getting around
00:43:34.800 the fact that
00:43:35.400 there are
00:43:35.800 endangered
00:43:36.480 plants is
00:43:38.060 slowing down
00:43:38.720 permits.
00:43:40.480 But, as
00:43:41.020 somebody asked
00:43:41.820 in the comments
00:43:42.580 where I saw
00:43:43.140 this, how did
00:43:44.800 the endangered
00:43:45.480 plants do
00:43:46.240 during the
00:43:46.740 fire?
00:43:48.100 Isn't a
00:43:48.600 fire worse
00:43:49.220 than building?
00:43:52.860 Yeah.
00:43:54.300 So, we'll
00:43:55.280 keep an eye
00:43:55.720 on this.
00:43:56.140 But, it
00:43:56.800 does seem
00:43:57.280 to me that
00:43:57.960 if there's
00:43:58.240 no way to
00:43:58.700 get fire
00:43:59.180 insurance,
00:44:00.740 it's going
00:44:01.120 to be a
00:44:01.680 long, slow
00:44:02.380 haul.
00:44:04.260 Maybe,
00:44:05.040 maybe they
00:44:06.780 could clean
00:44:07.320 it up so
00:44:08.000 the fire
00:44:08.980 risk is
00:44:09.460 actually lower
00:44:10.140 there than
00:44:10.660 it is in
00:44:11.340 other places.
00:44:18.280 Fentanyl.
00:44:19.180 Oh, here's
00:44:19.580 another one.
00:44:19.940 I've seen
00:44:20.260 in the
00:44:20.560 comments
00:44:20.900 somebody
00:44:21.200 saying that
00:44:21.780 the fentanyl
00:44:23.300 overdoses
00:44:24.000 has gone
00:44:25.280 way down
00:44:25.800 since Trump
00:44:26.500 got in
00:44:26.840 office.
00:44:29.100 I have
00:44:30.060 some questions
00:44:30.780 about that.
00:44:32.080 I don't doubt
00:44:32.680 it's true,
00:44:34.120 but I didn't
00:44:35.960 think you
00:44:36.400 could reduce
00:44:37.120 the supply
00:44:37.940 of fentanyl
00:44:39.200 coming across
00:44:39.880 the border
00:44:40.360 enough to
00:44:41.800 make a
00:44:42.100 difference
00:44:42.520 just because
00:44:43.560 it's so
00:44:43.920 small.
00:44:45.160 It's not
00:44:45.760 like bales
00:44:46.500 of marijuana.
00:44:48.180 You could
00:44:48.800 put it in
00:44:49.800 your pocket
00:44:50.320 enough to
00:44:51.040 kill a
00:44:51.980 city.
00:44:53.520 So how
00:44:54.220 do you
00:44:54.400 stop that?
00:44:55.900 So even
00:44:56.440 though he
00:44:57.000 stopped
00:44:57.540 shipments
00:44:58.040 from Venezuela,
00:44:59.900 some people
00:45:00.500 say that
00:45:00.960 wasn't fentanyl
00:45:01.980 anyway,
00:45:03.440 but he did
00:45:04.040 stop traffic
00:45:05.240 coming in
00:45:05.720 from Mexico.
00:45:07.500 And I can't
00:45:08.060 believe that
00:45:08.480 the smugglers
00:45:09.780 can't figure
00:45:11.260 out how to
00:45:11.720 just throw
00:45:12.180 a bag
00:45:13.960 of fentanyl
00:45:14.760 over the
00:45:15.240 fence.
00:45:16.760 So they
00:45:17.520 must be
00:45:17.840 doing something
00:45:18.300 right.
00:45:19.200 But we'll
00:45:19.920 give them
00:45:20.200 credit for
00:45:20.680 that.
00:45:21.840 And I
00:45:22.340 don't think
00:45:22.840 another
00:45:23.200 president
00:45:23.760 could have
00:45:24.180 done that.
00:45:25.980 Well,
00:45:26.620 Russia is
00:45:27.240 still claiming,
00:45:28.340 according to
00:45:29.040 the Washington
00:45:30.440 Times,
00:45:31.280 that the
00:45:32.000 attack on
00:45:33.020 Putin's
00:45:34.100 home was
00:45:35.760 real.
00:45:36.960 And they
00:45:37.340 now have
00:45:37.900 an unexploded
00:45:40.540 drone
00:45:41.140 drone that
00:45:42.560 they're showing
00:45:42.980 on video
00:45:43.500 to prove,
00:45:44.700 look at
00:45:45.320 this
00:45:45.520 unexploded
00:45:46.360 drone.
00:45:47.360 It has
00:45:47.700 evidence that
00:45:48.380 it came
00:45:48.680 from Ukraine.
00:45:50.420 So remember,
00:45:51.300 Ukraine said
00:45:51.960 they didn't
00:45:52.380 do it.
00:45:53.500 The US
00:45:53.940 said the
00:45:54.360 Ukraine
00:45:54.620 didn't do
00:45:55.120 it.
00:45:56.000 And that
00:45:56.380 it was just
00:45:56.840 an attack
00:45:57.740 on something
00:45:58.380 that was
00:45:59.200 kind of
00:45:59.480 far away,
00:46:00.180 but that
00:46:01.480 Putin was
00:46:02.260 just lying
00:46:02.920 about it.
00:46:04.160 Well,
00:46:04.520 here's what
00:46:05.040 I would
00:46:05.400 advise you.
00:46:07.320 Don't trust
00:46:07.980 any reporter
00:46:08.780 from a
00:46:09.180 war zone.
00:46:11.200 So maybe,
00:46:12.980 maybe Ukraine
00:46:15.000 was behind it.
00:46:16.300 Maybe they
00:46:17.000 intended to
00:46:17.700 attack his
00:46:18.280 residents.
00:46:19.740 But they
00:46:20.540 showed a
00:46:21.180 picture of
00:46:22.100 a drone
00:46:24.720 on the
00:46:25.240 ground with,
00:46:27.060 you know,
00:46:27.300 no way to
00:46:28.240 know if it's
00:46:28.680 a real drone
00:46:29.760 or if it's
00:46:31.160 a real video.
00:46:32.160 But what
00:46:32.620 they have
00:46:32.900 now done
00:46:33.480 is show
00:46:35.540 the damage
00:46:36.220 from the
00:46:36.940 attack.
00:46:38.260 Am I
00:46:38.900 right?
00:46:40.160 What is
00:46:40.860 the main
00:46:41.280 thing you
00:46:41.680 would expect?
00:46:43.380 It's not
00:46:44.000 as if no
00:46:45.140 one's ever
00:46:45.560 seen a
00:46:46.000 picture of
00:46:46.620 his
00:46:46.980 residents.
00:46:49.840 You don't
00:46:50.280 think he'd
00:46:50.760 be willing
00:46:51.160 to show
00:46:51.680 maybe just
00:46:52.400 a close-up,
00:46:53.680 but something
00:46:54.760 that shows
00:46:55.260 there was
00:46:55.760 damage
00:46:56.700 on the
00:46:59.140 actual
00:46:59.460 residents.
00:47:00.100 Because if
00:47:01.300 the only
00:47:01.980 thing you
00:47:02.400 show me
00:47:02.960 is an
00:47:04.020 unexploded
00:47:04.740 drone in
00:47:05.440 the bushes,
00:47:06.640 how do I
00:47:07.420 know what
00:47:07.740 that's about?
00:47:09.780 So, who
00:47:11.060 do we
00:47:11.340 trust?
00:47:12.580 Nobody.
00:47:13.980 I would
00:47:14.320 not trust
00:47:14.860 Ukraine who
00:47:15.580 said they
00:47:15.940 didn't do
00:47:16.340 it, but I
00:47:17.260 definitely
00:47:17.600 wouldn't trust
00:47:18.460 Putin who
00:47:19.000 said they
00:47:19.300 did do
00:47:19.680 it.
00:47:20.380 I definitely
00:47:20.840 wouldn't
00:47:21.160 trust the
00:47:21.560 United States
00:47:22.340 no matter
00:47:23.180 what side
00:47:23.680 they were
00:47:23.960 on.
00:47:25.320 So, it's
00:47:26.020 kind of a
00:47:26.400 weird one.
00:47:27.620 Probably
00:47:27.940 worse.
00:47:29.140 Maybe Putin
00:47:29.980 gets some
00:47:30.380 propaganda
00:47:30.900 benefit on
00:47:31.880 that.
00:47:36.640 So, apparently
00:47:37.780 Elon Musk
00:47:38.980 has signaled
00:47:40.180 that he's
00:47:41.100 going to
00:47:41.400 massively
00:47:41.800 fund
00:47:42.320 Republicans
00:47:43.920 for the
00:47:44.880 midterm
00:47:45.460 because he
00:47:46.980 thinks that
00:47:47.640 America is
00:47:48.420 toast,
00:47:49.940 quote,
00:47:50.480 America is
00:47:51.260 toast if
00:47:52.280 the radical
00:47:52.800 left wins.
00:47:54.560 They will
00:47:54.900 open the
00:47:55.360 floodgates to
00:47:56.040 illegal
00:47:56.420 immigration and
00:47:57.260 fraud and
00:47:58.340 it won't be
00:47:58.780 America anymore.
00:48:00.800 That feels
00:48:01.560 fair.
00:48:04.340 That does
00:48:04.760 feel fair,
00:48:05.400 doesn't it?
00:48:06.920 That we're
00:48:07.480 so close
00:48:08.640 to fixing
00:48:10.680 a lot of
00:48:11.180 stuff,
00:48:11.940 but at the
00:48:12.840 same time,
00:48:14.180 all it would
00:48:14.560 take is one
00:48:15.160 election,
00:48:16.540 especially if the
00:48:17.240 election is
00:48:17.740 rigged.
00:48:18.560 It would only
00:48:18.980 take one
00:48:19.440 election to
00:48:20.040 reverse
00:48:20.420 everything.
00:48:21.640 We are
00:48:22.440 really teetering
00:48:23.340 on the edge
00:48:23.880 here, people.
00:48:24.400 people.
00:48:25.920 And I
00:48:26.320 saw the
00:48:26.720 argument,
00:48:28.260 I forgot
00:48:28.880 who made
00:48:29.380 it,
00:48:29.720 somebody
00:48:30.120 famous,
00:48:31.420 made the
00:48:31.860 argument that
00:48:32.540 if the
00:48:33.340 Republicans
00:48:33.820 don't get
00:48:34.620 rid of the
00:48:35.500 filibuster,
00:48:38.180 getting rid
00:48:38.900 of it would
00:48:39.300 allow them
00:48:39.760 to pass
00:48:40.260 lots of
00:48:41.220 legislation.
00:48:41.840 But if
00:48:42.860 they don't
00:48:43.180 get rid of
00:48:43.760 it,
00:48:45.040 someday the
00:48:48.080 Democrats will
00:48:48.960 get in power
00:48:49.500 and they will
00:48:50.460 get rid of
00:48:51.000 it.
00:48:51.660 And when they
00:48:52.380 get rid of
00:48:52.900 it, there's
00:48:53.860 going to be a
00:48:54.180 whole bunch of
00:48:55.000 laws that get
00:48:55.700 passed that
00:48:56.720 you're not
00:48:57.100 going to like
00:48:57.520 at all.
00:48:57.880 So, what
00:48:59.940 do you think?
00:49:01.280 Would it be
00:49:01.900 smarter for the
00:49:02.740 Republicans to
00:49:03.580 get ahead of
00:49:04.160 it and say,
00:49:05.580 all right, we
00:49:06.660 know that you
00:49:07.200 would get rid of
00:49:07.760 the filibuster, so
00:49:08.640 we're going to
00:49:09.000 get rid of it
00:49:09.560 first.
00:49:10.560 And then you've
00:49:11.020 got a few
00:49:11.440 years, maybe
00:49:12.920 less than a
00:49:13.440 few years, to
00:49:15.020 do a bunch of
00:49:16.520 stuff.
00:49:19.020 I'm kind of
00:49:19.740 mixed on this
00:49:20.600 because you
00:49:22.440 can't really
00:49:22.840 predict the
00:49:23.460 future that
00:49:24.080 well.
00:49:24.920 So I don't
00:49:25.700 know exactly
00:49:26.480 if getting rid
00:49:27.860 of the
00:49:28.100 filibuster
00:49:28.640 would be
00:49:29.240 the best
00:49:30.360 we could
00:49:30.680 do or
00:49:33.060 would it be
00:49:33.400 the biggest
00:49:33.800 mistake we
00:49:34.440 ever made?
00:49:35.700 It could
00:49:36.200 easily go
00:49:36.740 either way.
00:49:38.340 Don't know.
00:49:40.240 Well, according
00:49:40.860 to scientist
00:49:42.120 Sabine
00:49:43.320 Hassenfelder,
00:49:45.260 who's a
00:49:45.740 fun follow
00:49:46.620 on X.
00:49:48.760 Let me
00:49:49.060 take a sip
00:49:49.640 and get
00:49:49.940 back to
00:49:50.260 that.
00:49:55.360 I'm
00:49:55.860 massively
00:49:56.260 dehydrated
00:49:57.100 but
00:49:59.100 intentionally.
00:50:02.020 So according
00:50:02.580 to Sabine
00:50:03.580 Hassenfelder,
00:50:04.880 there's a
00:50:05.260 new paper
00:50:05.800 that has
00:50:07.160 just dropped
00:50:08.560 that says
00:50:10.100 that scientists
00:50:11.600 are 40%
00:50:13.880 more productive
00:50:14.840 when they
00:50:16.020 use AI.
00:50:19.480 And increase
00:50:20.120 their paper.
00:50:21.120 And for
00:50:21.880 non-native
00:50:22.480 English speakers,
00:50:23.480 it's even more
00:50:24.320 up to 80%.
00:50:25.360 So apparently
00:50:27.680 this only
00:50:28.720 applies to
00:50:29.420 the writing
00:50:29.940 part.
00:50:30.800 So it doesn't
00:50:31.620 apply to the
00:50:32.120 actual science
00:50:32.900 part.
00:50:33.640 It applies to
00:50:34.580 the writing
00:50:35.040 it up and
00:50:35.560 submitting it
00:50:36.240 to technical
00:50:38.280 journals.
00:50:38.940 so as she
00:50:42.160 warns that if
00:50:43.880 the thing
00:50:44.280 that got
00:50:44.620 faster was
00:50:45.520 not the
00:50:45.940 science part
00:50:46.700 but the
00:50:47.720 writing it
00:50:48.360 up and
00:50:48.740 publishing it
00:50:49.360 part,
00:50:50.420 the scientific
00:50:52.180 publications
00:50:53.360 are going to
00:50:54.640 be overwhelmed
00:50:55.400 with what I
00:50:56.620 will call
00:50:57.000 science slop.
00:50:57.900 So if you
00:50:59.640 assume that
00:51:00.180 half of the
00:51:00.660 science is
00:51:01.180 fake anyway,
00:51:02.520 which is
00:51:02.940 what it is,
00:51:04.260 if you
00:51:04.680 increase the
00:51:05.600 number of
00:51:06.100 fake papers
00:51:07.120 along with
00:51:08.600 the number
00:51:08.940 of real
00:51:09.260 ones,
00:51:09.880 are we
00:51:10.380 better off?
00:51:12.340 Do you
00:51:12.800 think the
00:51:13.460 world is
00:51:13.900 better if
00:51:15.040 suddenly there
00:51:15.600 are way
00:51:16.160 more published
00:51:16.880 papers just
00:51:18.260 because it
00:51:18.880 was easy to
00:51:19.500 write them
00:51:19.920 up?
00:51:21.060 I don't
00:51:21.440 know.
00:51:22.440 I'm not
00:51:23.080 sure that
00:51:23.460 makes us
00:51:23.800 better off.
00:51:24.480 So more
00:51:27.960 slop.
00:51:29.300 And I
00:51:29.860 believe I
00:51:30.300 saw RFK
00:51:31.080 Jr.
00:51:31.540 say that
00:51:32.740 the once
00:51:33.640 credible
00:51:34.560 technical
00:51:35.380 journals are
00:51:36.920 essentially
00:51:37.420 owned by
00:51:38.080 the pharma
00:51:38.960 companies and
00:51:39.720 the big
00:51:40.100 industry.
00:51:42.880 So that
00:51:43.440 what you
00:51:44.440 thought was
00:51:45.920 this credible
00:51:46.780 process of
00:51:48.300 peer review
00:51:48.900 was nothing
00:51:50.340 like that.
00:51:51.980 Basically it
00:51:53.000 was a
00:51:53.540 bought and
00:51:54.460 paid for
00:51:54.980 situation.
00:52:00.040 Owen says
00:52:00.860 get rid of
00:52:01.360 the filibuster
00:52:01.900 now.
00:52:04.640 You might
00:52:05.300 be right
00:52:05.600 about that
00:52:06.000 Owen.
00:52:07.580 Anyway,
00:52:08.280 so RFK
00:52:08.880 Jr. says
00:52:09.520 they're going
00:52:09.820 to stop
00:52:10.160 publishing.
00:52:11.540 I don't
00:52:11.900 know how
00:52:12.120 they do
00:52:12.420 this.
00:52:12.960 Maybe
00:52:13.300 just
00:52:13.600 government
00:52:14.060 publications.
00:52:15.360 But they're
00:52:15.840 going to
00:52:16.460 ignore the
00:52:17.240 once
00:52:17.620 credible
00:52:18.220 publications
00:52:19.080 because they're
00:52:20.140 no longer
00:52:20.620 credible.
00:52:22.220 And I
00:52:23.260 think he
00:52:23.600 wants to
00:52:24.000 start.
00:52:24.340 You also
00:52:24.820 had to
00:52:25.120 pay.
00:52:25.900 You had
00:52:26.500 to pay
00:52:26.780 $10,000
00:52:27.440 to be
00:52:28.060 published.
00:52:29.680 So that
00:52:30.540 doesn't seem
00:52:31.060 like a good
00:52:31.560 model.
00:52:32.580 But I guess
00:52:33.260 RFK Jr.
00:52:33.960 is going to
00:52:34.500 push for
00:52:34.980 some
00:52:35.400 government
00:52:36.720 endorsed
00:52:39.900 technical
00:52:41.160 papers.
00:52:42.120 So if there's
00:52:42.740 something in
00:52:43.200 there, it
00:52:43.600 would be a
00:52:43.980 little more
00:52:44.320 credible.
00:52:44.760 a little
00:52:45.920 more.
00:52:48.940 And then
00:52:49.340 finally,
00:52:51.360 you may
00:52:53.660 have seen
00:52:54.120 that
00:52:54.460 President
00:52:55.180 Xi of
00:52:55.860 China
00:52:56.220 is ramping
00:52:57.720 up the
00:52:58.080 rhetoric
00:52:58.580 about taking
00:52:59.840 over Taiwan.
00:53:01.660 And you
00:53:01.960 probably also
00:53:02.640 knew that
00:53:04.120 China was
00:53:05.340 doing very
00:53:06.060 aggressive,
00:53:07.640 let's say,
00:53:09.140 military,
00:53:09.800 drills in which
00:53:13.060 they were
00:53:13.380 surrounding
00:53:14.320 Taiwan,
00:53:15.100 et cetera.
00:53:16.180 And I
00:53:17.180 saw a post
00:53:18.300 by Dustin
00:53:19.020 Walper, who
00:53:21.240 is cautioning
00:53:22.800 us that the
00:53:24.220 risk of losing
00:53:25.100 our chip
00:53:25.700 access in
00:53:26.460 Taiwan is
00:53:27.960 not the
00:53:28.360 biggest threat.
00:53:29.700 It's a big
00:53:30.180 one.
00:53:30.440 But if
00:53:31.680 China were
00:53:32.280 to take
00:53:32.700 over Taiwan,
00:53:34.400 it would
00:53:35.420 have, as
00:53:36.200 Dustin
00:53:37.640 Walper
00:53:38.080 says, a
00:53:40.900 much bigger
00:53:41.480 influence over
00:53:42.340 Japan and
00:53:43.540 South Korea.
00:53:47.520 And that
00:53:47.980 Japan would
00:53:48.700 consider it an
00:53:49.480 existential threat
00:53:50.560 to Japan if
00:53:53.000 China took
00:53:53.580 over Taiwan.
00:53:55.100 Because
00:53:55.480 apparently that
00:53:56.340 would give
00:53:56.700 them some
00:53:57.080 access to
00:53:57.780 the South
00:53:58.780 China Sea
00:53:59.500 that's
00:54:00.000 more militarily
00:54:02.720 meaningful than
00:54:03.680 what they
00:54:03.960 have now.
00:54:05.320 So they
00:54:05.700 would have
00:54:06.120 unfettered
00:54:06.840 access to
00:54:07.460 the Philippine
00:54:08.060 Sea.
00:54:09.180 And then
00:54:09.600 China would
00:54:10.580 also be in
00:54:11.220 a position
00:54:11.700 to more
00:54:12.600 easily threaten
00:54:13.360 and harass
00:54:13.760 Japan's
00:54:14.320 trading routes
00:54:15.140 with the
00:54:16.120 U.S.
00:54:16.420 and
00:54:16.540 Australia.
00:54:18.700 And so
00:54:20.260 Dustin
00:54:20.900 reminds us
00:54:21.780 that Japan
00:54:23.420 owns about
00:54:24.140 half the
00:54:25.300 industrial
00:54:25.760 robotics
00:54:26.380 market.
00:54:27.700 And it's
00:54:28.000 a critical
00:54:28.660 alternative to
00:54:29.560 China for
00:54:30.920 everything that
00:54:31.600 we do with
00:54:32.140 machines basically.
00:54:34.140 So here's my
00:54:35.260 question.
00:54:37.420 Would they
00:54:38.280 dare take
00:54:38.980 over Taiwan
00:54:39.900 while Trump
00:54:41.780 is in office?
00:54:43.260 Or would it
00:54:45.020 make infinite
00:54:45.700 more sense
00:54:47.500 to spend
00:54:48.480 three years
00:54:49.020 preparing to
00:54:49.900 do it and
00:54:51.040 then when
00:54:51.340 Trump is out
00:54:51.880 of office
00:54:52.460 maybe they
00:54:53.980 have a
00:54:54.940 a more
00:54:56.300 greased
00:54:56.900 path?
00:54:58.820 My guess
00:54:59.480 is that
00:55:00.360 Trump does
00:55:01.860 a good
00:55:02.180 enough job
00:55:02.720 of scaring
00:55:03.240 people that
00:55:04.400 they wouldn't
00:55:04.840 do it while
00:55:05.220 he's in
00:55:05.520 office.
00:55:07.520 Would you
00:55:08.180 agree that
00:55:10.020 she would
00:55:10.620 wait until
00:55:11.360 Trump is out
00:55:13.520 of office?
00:55:15.240 I feel like
00:55:16.160 that would be
00:55:16.520 the smart play
00:55:17.300 and they
00:55:18.180 tend to be
00:55:18.660 very patient.
00:55:20.200 But it
00:55:20.700 would suggest
00:55:21.580 that their
00:55:23.560 current moves
00:55:24.460 are just
00:55:26.380 preparatory and
00:55:27.780 threatening.
00:55:30.420 But we'll
00:55:31.480 see.
00:55:33.260 Anyway,
00:55:34.340 that's all I
00:55:34.820 got for today.
00:55:37.040 That's your
00:55:37.840 show for
00:55:38.320 today.
00:55:39.520 I'll look at
00:55:40.020 your comments.
00:55:40.820 It'll take a
00:55:41.400 few minutes to
00:55:42.540 catch up.
00:55:42.980 I don't
00:55:48.920 believe the
00:55:49.380 Congress
00:55:49.700 actually wants
00:55:50.280 to fix
00:55:50.660 anything.
00:55:54.320 Yeah,
00:55:54.620 scientific
00:55:55.020 studies are
00:55:55.780 not too
00:55:57.340 reliable,
00:55:57.960 even if
00:55:58.380 they're
00:55:58.580 peer-reviewed.
00:56:02.200 Bobby
00:56:02.740 hates the
00:56:03.160 journalists.
00:56:08.940 Yep,
00:56:09.580 everything
00:56:09.960 except our
00:56:10.620 elections are
00:56:11.320 rigged.
00:56:12.980 right.
00:56:20.120 All right,
00:56:20.840 people,
00:56:21.380 I'm going
00:56:21.680 to talk
00:56:23.060 privately to
00:56:24.340 the members
00:56:26.180 in the
00:56:27.260 local
00:56:27.660 community.
00:56:28.920 To the
00:56:29.360 rest of
00:56:29.740 you,
00:56:30.000 thanks for
00:56:30.460 joining.
00:56:31.680 Sorry,
00:56:32.120 my voice
00:56:32.620 is kind
00:56:33.000 of sketchy.
00:56:35.060 Sketchy.
00:56:36.020 This part
00:56:36.760 of my jaw
00:56:37.240 is still
00:56:37.780 paralyzed,
00:56:40.960 as is the
00:56:41.980 bottom part
00:56:42.460 of me.
00:56:46.740 All right,
00:56:47.340 people.
00:56:50.200 Here we
00:56:50.800 go.
00:56:52.180 Privacy
00:56:52.740 coming up
00:56:53.340 locals
00:56:53.980 in 30
00:56:56.100 seconds.
00:56:58.060 Local
00:56:58.480 support.
00:57:12.460 music
00:57:13.200 There были
00:57:13.440 names
00:57:14.860 coastact
00:57:15.600 out
00:57:17.940 to
00:57:18.200 down
00:57:18.440 to
00:57:18.960 allowing
00:57:19.440 them
00:57:20.000 to
00:57:20.680 the
00:57:21.960 persisting
00:57:22.260 in
00:57:23.880 some
00:57:25.140 things.
00:57:25.940 Absolutely.
00:57:26.200 In
00:57:26.700 the
00:57:27.640 actual
00:57:28.280 way,
00:57:29.200 here we
00:57:30.280 there
00:57:30.340 are
00:57:31.220 by
00:57:32.480 gee
00:57:32.780 tratar
00:57:34.020 all
00:57:34.640 else
00:57:35.240 machst
00:57:35.840 these
00:57:36.120 you
00:57:36.860 are
00:57:39.320 going
00:57:39.860 Thank you.
00:58:09.860 Thank you.
00:58:39.860 Thank you.
00:59:09.860 Thank you.