Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 3064 CWSA 01⧸06⧸26

00:00:00.000 to see you if i sound like i'm slurring my speech i am i've got a little bit of a paralysis on one

00:00:09.920 side um and also my meds make me so dehydrated that i can barely move my tongue so forgive me

00:00:20.720 for that please and prepare for the simultaneous sip this is coming up once we get a thousand people

00:00:34.960 which will happen very quickly make sure you have your beverage beverage

00:00:40.000 all right one thousand people it's time i know why you're here you're here for the simultaneous sip

00:00:52.320 and all you need is a cup or mug or glass a tank of shells for sun a canteen jug or flask a vessel of

00:00:59.760 any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled

00:01:05.840 pleasure the dopamine of the day the thing makes everything better it's called a simultaneous sip it

00:01:11.760 happens now that's something good sipping right there good seven well let's start out by saying 0.64

00:01:26.960 happy fake insurrection day january 6. do you remember when you thought it was ridiculous

00:01:35.280 to imagine that democrats would be playing uh complicated hoaxes on the public it didn't

00:01:43.600 seem like anything that could actually happen right and then you found out about the russia

00:01:49.760 collusion hoax oops it turns out they can run a major hoax against the country then you found out

00:01:57.680 about the fine people hoax and you said to yourself how is it even possible that the mainstream media

00:02:05.920 went along with that hoax went along with that hoax how is that even possible and then again you

00:02:11.360 said to yourself wow i didn't even think that could happen but there's two examples where it happened

00:02:18.880 and then the the one that is the biggest f you in the world is that uh the january 6 insurrection hoax

00:02:28.160 now if you're new to this and maybe the first time you've heard me talk about it here's how you know

00:02:35.360 that the january insurrection hoax was a hoax now what i'm talking about is the hoax that trump knew knew

00:02:45.840 that he lost the election and the people he sent to the uh capital to protest also knew that the election

00:02:55.520 was clean but they were trying to overthrow the country now that entire hoax depended on nobody in 0.82

00:03:04.240 the mainstream media nobody asking the asking the people who attended the uh the protest why they

00:03:13.520 were there and they would have found out that not a single person believed that it was a clean election

00:03:20.400 and they were hoping to overthrow the government it was the biggest assumption that drove the entire

00:03:26.880 hoax and not one not one legitimate legitimate not one mainstream media ever took a protest room and

00:03:37.280 said did you really believe that the election was clean because none of those existed every person who

00:03:46.080 is there i'll betcha plus trump himself i'll betcha believed that they were seeing an obviously rigged

00:03:54.720 election and they wanted to slow things down until they could be sure it had not been rigged now that

00:04:01.920 narrative got reversed by the hoaxers the hoaxers knowing this is actually good technique by the hoaxers

00:04:12.320 the hoaxers knew that if they could get there first with their narrative and say that no he knew it was a

00:04:19.760 good election he was just trying to overthrow the country if they could do that and they could

00:04:24.960 they could ram it down our throats every day especially with the help of hollywood uh theatrical

00:04:32.080 people and then they would put on this whole january 6 um publicized hollywood produced thing so that

00:04:42.400 every single day you would see their narrative and trump was now out of office so he couldn't really push

00:04:49.920 his narrative uh as much as normally he could so i call today happy fake insurrection hoax day and uh

00:05:01.680 i hope we never see anything like that again but the the ability of the democrats to to sustain a gigantic

00:05:13.280 you know multi-year hoax with lots of moving parts they can absolutely do that and we've seen it now

00:05:22.160 multiple times

00:05:25.760 well would you be surprised to hear there's a new study that says that coffee might actually protect your heart

00:05:32.800 from area from uh atrial fibrillation maybe i saw this uh on a post by dr dominion ing who tells us

00:05:45.440 that it may work which is the right way to do it it doesn't mean that this one science or this one

00:05:52.560 study is valid it just means there is a study and so it's like a 50 chance there's real you know if you

00:06:00.320 look at all studies about half of them turn out to be reproducible about half of them are not

00:06:08.080 well there's going to be a bunch of technical excuse me there's going to be a bunch of technology

00:06:15.040 announcements this week because uh the consumer electronics show is happening and a lot of robots so the

00:06:26.880 lg the company lg claims it has a robot that can fold laundry get it and make you breakfast

00:06:38.000 will it and uh do some basically easy labor around the house you know the basics now until somebody buys

00:06:47.760 that robot and it's probably not exactly for sale yet until somebody buys it and tries it and tells me it

00:06:56.480 works i don't believe it i don't believe it now i don't know how they made the demonstration work

00:07:05.360 but they probably limited the demonstration to one kind of breakfast you know one one type of laundry

00:07:14.000 and just train the hell of that out of those few things and i've been wondering is it ai driven

00:07:20.560 because when i read about it it didn't mention ai so did they just skip ai and say all right it's going

00:07:28.240 to be more like your al exa at home you have to give it the right command and it's programmed to do those

00:07:35.520 specific things but you couldn't teach it to do anything else i don't know my guess is it's a little overhyped

00:07:43.680 a little bit

00:07:52.080 so um you you knew this was coming before but i have more to say about it so rfk junior secretary kennedy

00:08:02.560 he reminds us that trump had asked him to look at childhood vaccines and to see why we differ from

00:08:11.200 other countries and you know maybe that maybe they're doing it right so after exhaustive review

00:08:19.040 says kennedy of the evidence we're aligning us childhood vaccine schedules with international

00:08:25.600 consensus which a lot of people think was probably the more conservative and safer way to do it

00:08:32.320 uh while strengthening transparency and informed consent now every part of that sounds good so far

00:08:40.720 uh he says the decision to change the schedule um protects children respects families that rebuilds

00:08:48.480 trust if if it works out yes absolutely so i'm a little unclear on the changes themselves

00:08:57.600 but what i read online is that they would go from 84 to 88 doses for a child which would be given

00:09:06.960 basically you know very soon after birth down to around 30. now presumably that number of

00:09:17.680 ones that got cut from the 80s down to 30 were the ones that the science suggests might be a problem

00:09:24.560 i think we're still in the in the territory of we can't be 100 sure you know how these all work

00:09:33.360 together or which ones were the problems but if you took a a good let's say rational scientific whack at

00:09:42.160 it and you thought okay we don't we don't know how all this works together but these bunch are the ones

00:09:49.440 that have all the signals so if we remove the signals but don't remove the parents ability to get

00:09:57.120 those when they want it just wouldn't be required that feels like really playing the odds right so

00:10:06.400 here's what i'm hoping it's too it's very it's too soon to know if this will maybe change the autism

00:10:15.280 rates or change something else because maybe the data was bad maybe the one that was the problem is

00:10:22.240 still in the mix we don't know for sure but it looks like exactly the right process you know i always

00:10:29.680 talk about a system is better than a than a goal well the goal would be to protect all the children

00:10:37.440 the system would be that we make sure we have the best science and we're looking at it continuously

00:10:44.720 and all that but what i wanted to add to this this is so much in the category of something that only

00:10:51.840 trump could have gotten done and when i say only trump obviously it required rfk jr trump is the is

00:11:02.240 going to go down in history if this works out oh my god there's not going to be any question who was

00:11:10.480 the best president of all time but it was just remove all doubt and what i like about this in

00:11:16.320 particular is that and i've said this for years and and i love it that trump has a unique ability

00:11:24.160 to build a pirate ship when you need a pirate ship right so he brought on you know one of the most famous

00:11:34.080 names in democrat politics rfk jr and put him in a high risk situation and he has so far in my opinion

00:11:45.520 performed beautifully now know what the president could have done that

00:11:50.800 because they didn't know how to build a pirate ship and when i say pirate i don't mean in a

00:11:55.280 negative way i just mean a collection of people that would not normally be on the same team you're

00:12:01.200 working in the same direction but he makes it work um and so watching kennedy not just change a goal

00:12:10.000 but to change the entire system uh that got us to where we are is just breathtaking it's just

00:12:18.000 breathtaking and only trump could have done that and i think only rfk jr could have gotten as far as

00:12:25.200 we've gotten so far so hit full of standing ovation for that but again we'll have to see we'll have to

00:12:34.240 see if it works out but everything looks smart well i saw in the maze account on axe uh he was he was

00:12:43.200 reposting a compilation made by grabian rabian i want to give i want to give credit to him but grab it is

00:12:51.760 one of these uh uh online uh what do you call it online memers i guess and uh was reminding us that

00:13:03.280 back in 2024 and it seems so funny now that the harris waltz team was sending out my memo just started

00:13:10.880 calling jd vance weird you remember that uh and they wanted to basically paint vance and everybody

00:13:20.960 who's a you know trump supporter as weird and you you see the uh compilation and you can see how forced

00:13:30.080 it was and you can see it obviously they had talking points now does that even happen on the right

00:13:37.280 uh obviously pro trumpers often will say the same thing as other pro trumpers but i'm not aware of

00:13:47.200 anybody getting a memo to do it usually if somebody hears something that works they say oh that sounds

00:13:54.800 good so i'll just say it too um but i don't think it happens on both sides you know if i'm wrong about

00:14:03.040 that let me know i've never seen it so as a student of persuasion as i am um it made me wonder who came

00:14:16.400 up with the idea it's obvious that the campaign was probably the one who said do this but who came up

00:14:23.600 with it was it a professional here's what i think it was now this would be speculation i think the

00:14:32.000 democrats feeling like they're not good at persuasion hired somebody who claimed to be good at it

00:14:39.360 and the people that they hired again just speculation um would would try to use science

00:14:46.080 to back what they were recommending and one of the things that science consistently shows

00:14:52.080 is that conservatives don't like icky stuff if something's non-standard

00:14:58.320 conservatives just go and that is sort of built into their brains and almost something they can't

00:15:05.200 change so the idea here would be that somebody said aha if you look at the science the thing that

00:15:13.040 would turn off other voters on the republican side is to know that they were backing something weird

00:15:19.600 and so far that actually tracks with what i would you know what i would recommend about uh persuasion if

00:15:30.880 i were on the team but why didn't it work because it definitely didn't work and i speculate that it

00:15:38.320 didn't work because it was so stunningly unnatural it was so obviously a talking point and now something that

00:15:48.000 they were feeling in any important way and nobody cares about weirdness um you know just as a free

00:15:57.600 floating idea uh so i think the inauthenticity of it made it impossible to work but then

00:16:07.760 um as i've talked about at length time goes by and they came up with the idea or maybe mom donnie did

00:16:16.960 of talking about affordability now when anybody talks about affordability either side that connects

00:16:26.080 so that was probably a real good play trump had to but here's the flaw in the plan

00:16:31.680 trump has probably had enough time that he could address enough affordability issues

00:16:40.960 that it would sort of take it off the table a little bit and his technique of going directly at

00:16:47.760 energy prices as a way to make basically everything less expensive um he has time to make that work

00:16:56.320 work so he knew right away and he tried to co-opt it that if he started talking about affordability

00:17:03.760 and he started doing something about affordability it would take their their main good attack they've

00:17:09.520 ever had somewhat off the table so he has to perform and we're watching of course uh as he's doing

00:17:18.720 things that would in fact lower energy costs if everything goes right uh and there's probably enough

00:17:25.360 time for that to work his way through the system again if he gets energy prices lower uh and affect

00:17:32.960 everything so once again trump has better better approach to things all right so you know we've all

00:17:45.600 been trying to figure out what is the real reason for the action in venezuela is it really about drugs

00:17:53.920 drugs well drugs might be part of it but i think all the smart people at this point are saying it's not

00:18:00.160 the only reason and it might it might not even be the top reason but it creates uh it creates the

00:18:06.880 possibility of doing what we wanted to do in venezuela so i was listening yesterday to glenn beck

00:18:17.040 uh he was telling us his ideas for what why we went to venezuela and it was very persuasive um because

00:18:27.120 he's a good communicator and he's a smart guy so when he described it you know what the real play was

00:18:34.400 very very convincing i have to say but then as these things often go i read the comments and i see a pushback

00:18:42.800 on it and i thought oh well there might be a problem with the data so if there's a data problem

00:18:51.760 that would suggest maybe we don't have the right take on this i'll tell you what that is

00:18:56.640 so glenn beck's take is that the real value of the venezuela action is that it would put pressure on china

00:19:05.600 because there's so much uh oil that comes from venezuela that ends in china that it would be

00:19:12.560 putting pressure on china and if is if iran goes at the same time which looks like it might i still

00:19:21.040 still won't bet on it but it looks like there's a pretty good chance that iran will will fall we could

00:19:28.800 potentially deny uh china from some large percentage of their total energy if they're denied their total

00:19:37.360 energy it would be hard for them to say mount a war in taiwan it would be hard for them to dominate

00:19:44.960 the world if they're struggling for oil and there's there's such a large uh percentage of what they get

00:19:54.240 from venezuela and iran that um that makes perfect sense from a military monroe doctrine point of view

00:20:05.360 now when you first see this argument um it's very convincing but the problem with the data is i've

00:20:13.680 seen numbers all over the place about how much china is getting from venezuela

00:20:19.440 um and i don't trust the numbers so it could be there's not as much pressure on china as we assume

00:20:29.920 it is um if the data is wrong now the other piece of data that somebody questioned and maybe go oh

00:20:38.720 is that venezuela has i don't know if i have the right units i'm talking about here but

00:20:44.160 like 300 billion barrels or something of oil and then somebody said that that was never true

00:20:53.120 that the claims that venezuela had the most reserves of oil were claims that were made by some prior

00:20:59.520 administration so that it looked like they were more powerful than they were and that the real number

00:21:05.840 of usable oil because remember it's venezuela the oil is kind of dirty so there are only i think three

00:21:13.200 refineries in the world that can even process it but so that the real number might be closer to 25.

00:21:22.400 so we've been told it's 300 which would be among or the biggest reserves but it might be just 25

00:21:31.280 when you when you get down to how much could you actually refine how much could you get to

00:21:36.480 so that's a big question mark right if anybody has some visibility on that i would love to know what

00:21:46.400 is the most credible number for the reserves uh if we did this to get access to an enormous part of oil

00:21:57.200 then it definitely looks like a good idea if we did it because there's so much oil that was going to china

00:22:03.280 that it would completely change their strategic calculation it looks like a good idea but if

00:22:11.440 either of those numbers are not what we think they are then i don't know what we're getting

00:22:17.680 i do love um trump's uh take that we're just taking back the oil they took from us because first of all i

00:22:26.480 think that's true and it's hard to argue against taking back what somebody stole from you right well bill

00:22:37.440 um and i also uh i'll probably say this a lot of times but hold on a second

00:22:43.360 one of the most important things you need to know that i believe trump knows better than anybody

00:22:55.040 is that countries and organizations and movements they either grow or they shrink

00:23:01.360 and the united states was in a shrinking position in the world it was becoming less influential uh less

00:23:10.800 rich compared to other people uh relatively speaking and what trump did is reverse that

00:23:17.760 so he's found ways to turn the u.s into a growing entity if you're not growing you are definitely

00:23:25.920 shrinking one of those is an existential threat and one of those guarantees not guarantees but gives you a

00:23:33.600 real good chance for a better future so uh if you feel uncomfortable with whatever the president is

00:23:42.640 doing the military is doing the thing you should look at is is this making the u.s stronger and growing

00:23:50.800 or is it working in the other direction if the answer is yes this makes the u.s grow and be more

00:23:57.680 important i would argue that that is probably more important than whatever your moral or constitutional

00:24:06.160 arguments are which are also important you know it's not like i'm blind to ignoring the constitution if

00:24:14.800 we should ever do that uh it's not like i'm in favor of military action if we could avoid it it's just

00:24:22.560 a simple fact that you're either growing or shrinking as soon as you put that frame on it then everything

00:24:29.520 that trump has been doing lately makes perfect sense especially uh asserting the monroe doctrine

00:24:36.720 like it's never been asserted before all right bill o'reilly was on uh news nation talking to

00:24:44.720 leland finnard and he had a interesting speculation which i immediately agree with

00:24:52.560 uh but he he warns you that he's not basing this on reporting this is based on just his

00:24:59.360 understanding of the world and it's close to my understanding of the world too he says that about

00:25:06.560 venezuela that the cia which has heavily infiltrated the venezuelan and colombian governments they know

00:25:14.480 everything was going on and that they must have made a deal with the venezuelan military

00:25:19.200 and the deal would look like this you step aside because we're coming in to get maduro and that's

00:25:26.000 the only one earth that the u.s special forces could have snatched maduro without any conflict at all

00:25:33.120 now were you wondering why venezuela didn't put up more fight specifically the military just

00:25:40.400 stood down um and i have long speculated that there was no way that you know i agree with his

00:25:49.760 speculation that there's no way that could have been so bloodless relatively i think there were

00:25:55.600 some 32 people who might have died on me yeah i don't know if they're cuban bodyguards or what but

00:26:00.960 there were some casualties on the venezuelan side the only way i could understand that is if we've got a

00:26:08.720 deal in the back now that deal would include um that maybe the venezuelans can act tough

00:26:19.680 as long as they don't fire anything as long as they do what we're told so you see the vice president

00:26:25.280 who's now the president of venezuela uh talking tough about the us that probably has to happen

00:26:32.960 she probably has to talk tough but as long as uh she understands that we'll send in the military if

00:26:42.960 she doesn't do what we want and as long as the cia has built relationships there that can tell them

00:26:50.320 exactly how to get out of the way maybe there's some bribery involved etc um i think that's probably

00:26:57.600 the answers they had questions like if you knew that the cia had been working for years probably

00:27:06.480 to be in a position to say okay military come on in we'll turn off we'll turn off the response

00:27:13.760 uh that would explain everything wouldn't it but again this is not a fact um i believe there's more

00:27:20.720 we don't know about this situation than there is that we know you know we're deeply in the fog of war

00:27:29.440 you know in a sense war uh what we will learn about this in the coming years

00:27:35.600 will probably be a lot more than we actually know because i don't see that yeah i don't see the cia

00:27:42.720 telling us the truth it's not even their job to tell us the truth in fact telling us the truth might

00:27:48.720 work against our interests so i think that's true now listen to steve miller who was on the recent

00:27:57.920 interview he said uh about the venezuelans he said they told rubio made clear they will meet the terms

00:28:06.400 this is the venezuelan government as it is right now they told rubio made it clear they will meet the

00:28:13.040 terms demands conditions and requirements of the u.s so if they're telling rubio they're going to do

00:28:20.160 what we want but you hear them talk tough tough talk tough in public it all makes sense doesn't it

00:28:30.720 all right

00:28:31.040 um according to senator john kennedy the corporation for public broadcasting which took took our money

00:28:45.280 and funneled it to npr and pbs is uh officially dissolved now there was probably a time when i would

00:28:55.200 have thought man i hate to see my government defund you know a a place that gives me the news but what

00:29:03.520 we know recently about any of these mainstream media entities is they're definitely not helping

00:29:11.440 that they were not really additive to the country and so when you see cuts to these venerable

00:29:19.120 institutions what president could make a cut to a venerable institution only trump he's like the only one

00:29:29.280 who could do it but it doesn't work every time because there's a court ruling news max is reporting uh that

00:29:42.160 trump had tried to cut a big part of the uh national institute of health funding for uh scientific and

00:29:50.000 medical research to these big colleges and institutions but a three a three judge panel just ruled that he

00:29:58.960 can't do that um i i don't i'm not good enough on the legal stuff to know why he can't do that but that's

00:30:08.080 the ruling um now there's an argument i hear on what i'm going to call my side that i don't think holds

00:30:18.480 up and maybe that's the problem too so part of the argument for making cuts to places like harvard

00:30:25.680 is that a few of the big institutions it doesn't apply to all of them but the biggest ones have these

00:30:30.960 enormous endowments that means that people have donated massive amounts of money and they

00:30:38.000 have that money for for uh various harvard use so the argument went if you already have so much money

00:30:47.360 why does the government need to give you any more because the endowment doesn't get spent every year

00:30:52.560 it just sits there and grows here's what people generally don't know about the endowments

00:30:58.800 that you should add to your knowledge bank uh most of them and i think most is the right word

00:31:05.600 but some large number of them are not available for anybody who wants to use it for anything

00:31:10.800 they are for specific purposes so in other words a billionaire would say i'm going to give you a

00:31:16.320 billion dollars to use for this specific purpose and if you don't use it for that you know it'll get

00:31:24.080 clawed back or you don't get to use it so harvard does not does not have the freedom to use the endowment

00:31:33.120 any way they want so it can never be a full replacement for a government funding i'm in

00:31:39.120 favor of the cuts and the pressure it puts um just that's just a fact you should know about

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00:32:12.880 by cooperators life insurance company life insurance is underwritten by cooperators life

00:32:15.760 insurance company well here's a story i find creepy i hate it but senator mark kelly who had been a

00:32:27.280 a member of a member of the military uh he's being what they call a sanctioned and demoted and his pension is

00:32:34.800 being uh pulled by a secretary for p exit the reason being that he was part of the six people who made

00:32:43.760 that video uh encouraging the military to not obey illegal orders now i'm pretty sure that was always law

00:32:53.920 that they should not obey illegal orders but by putting attention on it and you know trying to focus on it

00:33:00.720 it seemed like the real play here was not to make the country a better place it looked like the play was

00:33:07.280 to destroy the um chain of command so if the uh if the commander-in-chief gave an order then the individual

00:33:17.440 military people could say hmm that looks illegal to me so you know kelly told me i could ignore it

00:33:26.160 hmm maybe i'll ignore it now you can easily see how that would destroy the you know the cohesion and

00:33:33.680 the everything about the military and it clearly seemed designed to be political and not anything

00:33:41.360 anything anything about national security so i think what he did was arguably something insurrectionist

00:33:51.360 seditionist traitorous at the very least it was not intended to help the country militarily that's what i

00:34:01.520 think that's just my opinion so under that frame you know punishing him essentially by taking away some of

00:34:12.240 his uh his military uh uh benefits like his retirement grade stuff is really expensive and he did fight for

00:34:23.360 the country so the reason it's creepy is that i just hate being in a position where p hegseth would even

00:34:31.840 have to wrestle with this as a question we never should have been here on the other hand it is so hard

00:34:39.840 for me to see a member of the military punished for something that other people would say that's just free

00:34:47.040 speech scott so let me say i love it because you have to have a response and you have to recognize

00:34:56.160 it for what it was but i hate it because it's it's a military man 0.63

00:35:05.040 all right here's a story i'm going to tell you there's more about the fact that the story can be told

00:35:14.000 than it is about the point and i saw elon musk boosting this on x so lauren chen on x wrote this

00:35:25.280 piece that i'm sure you could not have said this five years ago you would be so cancelled but i think

00:35:33.280 now you can say this stuff so she said that people often say the developing world is poor because the

00:35:40.000 western world colonized them and stole the resources but she points out that when the colonizers left

00:35:48.640 let's say hong kong and singapore being two examples that they they left them in good shape meaning that

00:35:57.920 people were trained to take over they did take over and then over decades you could see that it totally

00:36:04.960 worked so that was a case where you you can decry the colon colonialism that would be fair but you

00:36:13.840 can't decry the fact that the colonizers tried hard to make sure that the people they left um thrived

00:36:23.120 and sure enough they did but here's the point that i don't think you could have said

00:36:28.560 five years ago that africa has never worked that the colonizers who colonized africa

00:36:37.760 often found out that they couldn't train the locals to take over and her point is

00:36:45.440 that you have to recognize that in every case the colonizers probably every case the colonizers tried

00:36:51.920 very hard to leave the locals in a good position to take care of themselves and some places for

00:36:59.360 reasons we don't have to get into some places like africa and didn't work once it just never worked

00:37:08.160 and that that probably has to do with i'll just say the word culture so at the very least it had to do

00:37:14.000 with culture but because this is obviously a landmine kind of topic so i'll go back to my original point

00:37:23.200 it's not about me arguing that this is true or false it's about the fact that she could say it out loud

00:37:31.520 and not get cancelled and the only reason for that is that she's on x you probably couldn't say

00:37:37.760 it in many places but you can say it on x so that's a big change for free speech i'm sorry one of the uh

00:37:54.000 one of the side effects of whatever's going on with me is that i have these little burping burping attacks

00:37:59.760 uh culture is not a bad word i'm answering the comments culture is not a bad word but it opens up

00:38:15.600 that pandora box of you know why and we don't need to get into that well the rasmussen poll which is

00:38:24.560 coming out today i said this was poll was taken before the venezuela action right that 48 percent

00:38:32.720 approved would be the us seizing oil tankers i think that was a plurality so there were more people who

00:38:39.440 approved it than didn't and um they also had this opinion when trump said quote you remember they took

00:38:49.520 all our energy rights they took all our oil not long ago and we want it back 54 percent of voters agree

00:38:57.680 with that so yeah i was telling you earlier that that's a strong frame well proven it's proven that

00:39:07.760 that was a strong frame uh they took our oil and we're taking it back that's the rasmussen poll you'll

00:39:14.400 see later today well megan kelly had an interesting opinion on venezuela that she talked about on her

00:39:24.240 serious xm show and i liked it it's a good opinion um she said that when i turned on fox news yesterday

00:39:33.120 and i'm sorry but it was like watching russian propaganda there was nothing skeptical it was all

00:39:39.680 rah-rah cheerleading let's go now that was also my opinion that uh the fox news was basically all down

00:39:48.480 for this right away now i would make a distinction

00:39:54.560 between my lips are a little numb so i can't tell when i have stuff on i'd make a distinction between

00:40:02.560 um cheering for the successful military operation which seems fair uh and i think they were definitely

00:40:12.080 happy about it and their uh their viewers were happy about it and so you could see why there would be

00:40:19.360 pretty rah-rah about the military part but megan kelly's point is that that's just the first the first act

00:40:26.080 uh if we don't succeed in building some kind of a government with venezuela that is not only uh works

00:40:36.160 for the monroe document but works for their locals and doesn't cause us and does not cause us to have

00:40:42.640 some war with boost something around well if all that happens then it'll be one of the most successful

00:40:50.720 operations of all time but uh megan points out that we don't have a great reputation for building other

00:41:01.760 countries up i would argue that we did a good job in japan um you know helping them become a thriving

00:41:10.160 nation i think after world war ii i would argue that we did a good job in germany you know to the

00:41:18.480 extent that we were helpful on that so it's not impossible that when you're talking about venezuela

00:41:25.600 pretty educated place pretty westernized that we could make that work and probably only trump could

00:41:33.920 make that happen too because i think he knows how to make a deal he's smart enough not to disband the

00:41:40.240 government like in iraq which was a failure so yes i'm with megan kelly that first act

00:41:48.720 100 the first act was impressive to me it looked america first to me it looked like a genius strategic

00:41:58.320 play but we still have to wait for the second and third act it might get tougher before it gets easier

00:42:04.560 all right vivek ramaswamy has apparently announced that he's going to not be on instagram and x for a

00:42:16.560 while i don't know how long but he says it's too easy to get a distorted sense of the public's concerns

00:42:25.600 now that's a true statement wouldn't you say that if you're on x even though x is the free speech

00:42:32.800 you know champion of the world that you still get in your bubble you know so it does form bubbles there's

00:42:41.120 no way around it and i do think that if you got all of your sense of what the public wants from x

00:42:49.840 probably would be distorted because you know even vivek would be in a bubble of some kind not of his choosing

00:42:58.720 it might not be the bubble it wants but it just happens because of the way your algorithms work

00:43:05.600 but here's my question to vivek that he will never see what is the better way to get to the truth

00:43:12.880 at the moment there's nothing better than x and i would say there's nothing close

00:43:22.240 i wouldn't trust ai maybe someday but i don't trust it now i wouldn't trust the mainstream media

00:43:29.360 i wouldn't trust well anything so while his his uh concern seems spot on i'd love to know what he

00:43:41.600 thinks is the alternative what alternative is there well we'll see we'll see if that lasts

00:43:48.880 according to the fda well not according to but the fda approved a little device you wear on your forehead

00:44:00.480 that gives you some electrical signals and can turn off your depression

00:44:05.600 so apparently it's been well tested and passed the fda's bar and what it is is like a little headband

00:44:15.280 thing that knows exactly where to send these low intensity transcranial direct current stimulation

00:44:24.240 you know the tdcs so it delivers it to the frontal cortex where apparently they know that would make a

00:44:31.680 difference so here's my question well and it's it's being compared to pills which we don't see as a

00:44:40.720 good treatment for depression so if it's better than pills and apparently this the early studies are

00:44:49.040 stunningly successful we'll see what the long-term effects are but apparently there's a long-term effect

00:44:56.720 so it doesn't just work while you have it on it's reprogramming your brain now why i think this has a

00:45:03.520 good chance um is because pills don't work um not everybody can take a walk and touch a tree and get

00:45:15.440 better um it has just a huge impact apparently so i'm just being optimistic that might be a big thing in

00:45:22.400 the future well our technica is reporting that in california my silly state uh there's a new law that

00:45:33.040 just took effect about privacy apparently as of january 1st californians can ask to be opted out of the

00:45:42.320 whatever services there are that collect data and sell it so i guess it's cal privacy

00:45:50.160 policy so is that is that good or bad i can't tell you know it seems like a good intention thing

00:45:59.760 that would give people control over their own data that sounds good right but will ai suffer you know

00:46:09.200 does it make ai not work for you what what if ai knew me because i didn't report this stuff but it

00:46:17.040 didn't know you because you did would ai work better for me because it would know all my habits

00:46:25.280 so and would there be a black market that popped up that would just fill the space where the legal

00:46:31.760 stuff became illegal and so they just say well black market so there might be some unintended

00:46:38.880 consequences but i'm going to be optimistic about that too all right here's an interesting interesting story

00:46:54.080 um as you know or maybe you don't that um steve hilton is running for governor of california

00:47:04.320 now you might be aware that it's a very difficult thing for a republican to get elected as governor

00:47:12.080 in our current situation in california so how do you break through you know how do you get through

00:47:19.360 if you're a republican you know it's a blue state everything's working against you well it looks like

00:47:26.240 steve might have found a way because he and uh i think one other person running for california state

00:47:35.280 controller uh herb morgan so the two of them it looks like they put together a website called califraudia

00:47:44.480 to take whistleblower reports of fraud and then apparently they've already done this they've built it

00:47:53.440 and they're getting lots of whistleblowers telling them where the fraud is which seems to be amazingly

00:48:01.200 useful exactly what we want now how many times have i told you that being useful just in general being

00:48:10.640 useful is a really good place to be i've never really seen a situation where a candidate

00:48:18.800 did something this useful um while running for office and so the genius of this is that he can

00:48:27.280 already say this is the sort of thing i can give you at the time when people are most interested in this

00:48:33.440 sort of thing now you know i didn't know too much about steve hilton but when i see this kind of a

00:48:40.720 signal i automatically say okay first of all that's a strong strong play i'm very impressed secondly if

00:48:50.080 this is an indication of who he is and how he operates and how he thinks oh my god that's just so

00:48:58.640 strong so i'm going to upgrade my i think he's actually leading the polls now because it's you know

00:49:05.920 the polls are kind of distributed but steve if you could do this sort of thing and it's not some kind

00:49:12.320 of one-off which i don't think it is actually and you could be of service to the state in exactly the

00:49:20.400 way we want you to be this is important to me very important to me um he's obviously very good as a

00:49:30.000 public figure um he has lots of experience on tv so you need that right you need to be good on tv

00:49:37.280 it doesn't work so good for you steve hilton standing ovation meanwhile speaking of fraud

00:49:48.240 caroline levitt levitt levitt or levitt um it confirmed that the minnesota fraud that we've all

00:49:56.560 heard about so much is going to be the subject of a all hands on deck across the entire government

00:50:03.920 effort we are surging resources so apparently the department of homeland security um will surge 2000

00:50:12.640 agents uh the fbi is all over the place who are freezing money uh cutting off funding for all these

00:50:19.360 fake daycares and other things that were part of the part of the uh fraud so here's my question

00:50:28.000 under the harris waltz administration should that have been the outcome of the last election would

00:50:36.080 we first of all even know about this uh the fraud would we even know i mean a youtube uh fellow

00:50:47.760 is the one who's being credited for uncovering it but it all had been uncovered for years

00:50:53.600 we've known for years that there was a problem there just not the details would the censorship

00:51:01.440 regime of biden and harris have talked to youtube and said um suppress this video

00:51:10.000 with that because they yeah we have a long history of democrats putting pressure on platforms to

00:51:18.480 censor things you don't think they would have censored that story i don't know um but think again how

00:51:27.280 important it was that we dodged the biden slash harris administration you know for at least for the

00:51:37.200 current term um this could have only happened under trump the surging is exactly the right thing

00:51:44.400 it's what the public wants it's what the situation demands only trump

00:51:52.160 well in energy news according to new atlas there's a company that's asking for some kind of government

00:51:59.760 approval that i believe they will get to take the type of uh nuclear reactors that are already in

00:52:08.080 naval ships and have been operating for 70 years without trouble and to use that design for domestic

00:52:17.840 energy production now i don't know if you remember this maybe i started 10 years ago talking about how

00:52:24.960 nuclear should be bigger and should be more of a focus and one of the things that mark schneider taught me

00:52:31.360 at the time was that we already had a design that was used in the military the navy especially and

00:52:40.720 it didn't have problems and you could build them small and they would be driving battleships and stuff

00:52:46.320 like that now i think the first part of the request and it's really sort of a two-parter is that the

00:52:53.520 company wants to take the existing um nuclear processors that are on ships but only the ones that

00:53:02.080 are being decommissioned um so if they're being decommissioned anyway you know you don't want to waste

00:53:08.640 a perfectly good nuclear reactor right so they want to take those and uh presumably modify them and stuff but

00:53:17.040 use them they would take them off the ship for so they wouldn't be using them on the ship they would

00:53:24.320 take them off the ship and repurpose them but here's the good part they also want to build new ones

00:53:32.240 because there wouldn't be enough you know there wouldn't be enough there would be yeah submarines

00:53:36.400 they're in submarines uh wouldn't be enough decommissioned ships to do that to make much of a dent

00:53:42.880 so they want to take the design that's been proven over 70 years and it would cost about

00:53:51.440 somewhere in the two billion dollar range to create a modular reactor versus what we see

00:53:58.480 with the big nuclear with the big reactors which could be you know tens of billions of dollars

00:54:03.680 so it's smart it's well proven and it's economical and i think they only need approval from the

00:54:15.200 trump administration to you know do this sort of thing so again optimistic

00:54:22.960 speaking of optimism uh one of the products that the consumer electronics show

00:54:29.760 is a leaf blower an aerospace power aerospace powered quiet leaf blower that cause noise by 70

00:54:41.360 do you know what a plague the leaf blowers are in high-end neighborhoods

00:54:47.600 oh i i hate to be like a rich person complaining but there's at least one to two days

00:54:53.680 uh every week where it becomes impossible to take a nap or anything because either your own gardener is

00:55:01.360 right outside or your neighbor's gardener is right outside and it's so freaking loud now you might say

00:55:09.280 i'll bet that's expensive and i'll bet your gardener your gardener's not gonna want to pay for that

00:55:16.400 and then i thought to myself i'll buy it if my gardener was willing to take this product and it

00:55:24.720 worked yeah i don't know i'm not sure it's for sale it might be just announcing that it will be

00:55:31.440 i would immediately go to my gardener and i would say i will buy this for you if you'll use it

00:55:37.280 i assume you say yes because it doesn't give up anything in performance then uh i would figure

00:55:46.240 out who the other gardeners were like my neighbor's gardeners and i would say you know

00:55:51.680 you should do the same thing just buy one for your gardener and and you'll make all the neighbors happy

00:55:57.840 if they said no then i would say at least the immediate neighbors i would say well i'll buy it

00:56:04.320 five yeah i have some extra cash so let me buy your gardener one of these so i wonder if the way it will

00:56:13.200 spread is that the homeowners will buy it for their gardeners even though that's not their not their

00:56:21.120 responsibility really

00:56:25.040 well according to science clock as she's got this gupta is writing that uh stanford's doing a

00:56:34.240 new approach to ai uh that solves the following problem have you ever have you ever wondered why ai

00:56:43.840 can create a uh video of somebody doing something that looks exactly like a person doing something

00:56:52.240 but if you try to tell the ai to do exactly what the ai is showing in a picture it can't do it

00:57:00.800 and the reason is that the videos are created by just

00:57:08.720 by just predicting where pixels should be on the screen but what they'd like to do is use the

00:57:16.240 the ai's imagination they call it where it can create a picture of somebody doing something

00:57:21.760 and tie that to what the ai learns by having it learned by its own dreams so before it tries to do

00:57:32.160 something let's say you have you want your ai robot so before it does anything it first imagines it in

00:57:39.520 pixels and then then the parts are working on that i guess are getting close is to figure out how the ai can

00:57:47.440 learn from its own pixel pattern so if it created a a dream basically which would just be an ai video

00:57:58.720 if it created one that was you know folding a certain kind of laundry you know can you say all

00:58:05.200 right learn from your own picture how to do this so the physics the physics god my mouth is so dry

00:58:17.440 so the the idea is to add the physics to what it can already imagine

00:58:27.440 yeah but most of the ai is past the six-figure problem

00:58:34.160 now the ai is so much better so maybe that's a big deal well also talking about my silly state

00:58:42.320 according to u-haul more people are leaving california than any other state for the sixth year in a row

00:58:51.520 holy shoot we have the highest state income tax in america

00:58:59.040 and uh lots of other problems

00:59:02.400 so let's talk about greenland things are changing in greenland so steven miller was on a show asking

00:59:14.240 if he was asked if the u.s would use military to take greenland now what would have been the answer to

00:59:20.720 that six months ago if he had been asked will will we use the military to conquer greenland

00:59:28.960 i feel like he would have said something like we don't need to do that you know because we can find

00:59:34.960 a way to avoid that but you know it's very important critically we're definitely going to do something

00:59:40.720 to make sure that we're not vulnerable there but you know no boots on the ground six months ago

00:59:48.800 how did he answer it yesterday he says quote nobody is going to fight the united states militarily over

00:59:57.200 the future of greenland uh that sounds like they've moved from wanting to deciding

01:00:08.320 it seems to me that if trump you know ends up being super successful as i think he might be in venezuela

01:00:17.600 that the idea of sending in the military is definitely on the table now obviously greenland

01:00:27.360 would not have any way to respond right they don't have a military um denmark doesn't have really a way

01:00:34.160 to project force over here in any meaningful way so one assumes that that would not happen until the cia

01:00:42.240 uh had enough insight or control over the locals that they would know for sure that if the military

01:00:51.920 went in they would step aside and further steven miller says the real question is what the what right

01:01:02.240 does denmark assert control over greenland oh here we go here's a good reframe what is the basis of their

01:01:10.560 territorial claim what is the basis of having greenland as a colony of denmark he said the united

01:01:18.560 states is the power of nato for the united states to secure the orchid region to protect and defend nato

01:01:27.040 this is so good at nato interests obviously greenland should be part of the united states

01:01:32.720 so we have definitely moved from wanting greenland to deciding we're going to take it and we're going

01:01:42.240 to use our military to do it if necessary now obviously there would be lots and lots of work

01:01:50.080 before anything like that happened to either make it easy to take him over or to find a way that we didn't

01:01:56.720 need to so what would denmark do if we if we told them hey denmark on tuesday we're going to surge the 0.68

01:02:06.400 military into greenland we're going to annex it um and you're going to sit you're going to stand aside

01:02:14.480 what would they do they would complain to

01:02:18.720 to whom other people would complain but how much impact would that have would the un say stop doing

01:02:28.240 that and if they did we might say we're the only power that the un has step aside and i think that

01:02:39.440 uh trump pushing the uh the monroe doctrine is so far as i think this could be more popular than not popular

01:02:48.560 um the door is wide open to me it seems like a done deal that before the end of trump's term we will

01:02:57.520 have functional control of uh greenland and people will hate it at first and they'll say oh authoritarian

01:03:07.200 and they will eventually say uh here's a reframe too almost nobody lives on the place that was once

01:03:18.640 uninhabited by anybody if you look at the history of just about every country it's about somebody had

01:03:26.240 that land and then somebody took it from right all right ladies and gentlemen that is the end of my

01:03:35.040 prepared remarks i'm going to talk privately to the good people of locals

01:03:44.800 and in 30 seconds we'll be private i want to thank you again oh let me give you a specific thank you

01:03:53.680 i hope you're aware that your existence and the love and attention that you give me

01:04:03.520 is absolutely irreplaceable and i'm very blessed and i uh appreciate you more than you could ever know

01:04:14.800 so if it seems like um i'm acting selfishly sometimes well maybe i am because i enjoy this experience

01:04:25.680 of being useful if i can more than anything i like so thank you thank you and we'll see you again tomorrow

01:04:35.600 all right where's my cursor

01:05:05.600 all right

01:05:08.000 all right

01:05:27.120 Thank you.

01:05:57.120 Thank you.

01:06:27.120 Thank you.

01:06:57.120 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 06, 2026

Episode 3064 CWSA 01⧸06⧸26

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