Sergio and Erika and Owen are back with a brand new episode of The Scott Adams School, where they talk about the conspiracy to end daylight saving and why we should stop putting clocks back to Standard Time.
00:18:00.140I, I tend to think if I were that person and they were setting me up, I wouldn't like that.
00:18:05.040And I wouldn't want to accept the position.
00:18:06.900But, um, I think I said over the weekend that I, you know, if, if I were trying to be the next leader, um, I think what I would be doing is staying very quiet and very hidden right now.
00:18:19.220And then the second thing might be to have whatever back channel communication I could have with the United States to try and convince them that I would be playing ball with them and cooperating.
00:18:28.440Um, I don't think that's what this Masaba person is doing.
00:18:32.140Um, it sounds like the opposite of that.
00:18:42.320You have to remember that, that Islam is asking for sacrifice.
00:18:47.800And so to sacrifice yourself for Allah is the, the greatest thing you can do.
00:18:54.660So when you are saying somebody put themselves out there as supreme leader and they might be killed, this is what they're, what they were taught since they were little to do this.
00:21:52.740To essentially put leadership in place that is more friendly towards Israel and the United States, and that would not be oppressing their people.
00:22:20.940Well, I think, I think timing wise, it's going to be at least a few weeks, because they originally said it was going to be three or four weeks, I think.
00:22:28.140And I think, if anything, it might be longer than that, because they're bringing a third aircraft carrier in there, and I don't think they're doing that just for show.
00:22:35.220So it's going to take a couple weeks just for that to get there.
00:22:38.320And so I would imagine it's either going to be a very strong bombing campaign in the last week, or it's going to go on longer than four weeks.
00:22:44.560There is some talk now about potentially having ground troops to secure their uranium stockpiles, so there may be some ground operations that go with this to make it more permanent, that they don't have any nuclear weapons capability.
00:22:55.960And so they're going after any of the scientific equipment, and any of the uranium stockpiles, or the centrifuges, things like that.
00:23:04.300But I think it's going to take some time.
00:23:06.600And I don't think, I doubt that Trump would select a leader until they're pretty much done with the ground campaign and the bombing campaign to say, we've achieved all these objectives, we're done, we've completely degraded their missile capability, there's no way they can strike back in any big way.
00:23:23.180I think they've got to get to that point first, and I don't think that we are there yet.
00:23:26.900I think we've degraded their ability to launch.
00:23:30.060The last report I heard, and again, this is all fog of war propaganda, but the last I heard was that we had taken out 75% of their launchers, but that means there's 25% left to go.
00:23:40.540And they have this underground missile city, which would probably mean you'd have to use either bunker busters or some other kind of really advanced weapons to take that out, at least without some kind of real massive ground operation.
00:23:55.360So I would tend to think that is still ahead of us, and we're really just ramping up at this point.
00:24:01.500We're still in the escalation phase of dropping all these gravity bombs and massive things.
00:24:06.140So I think we're going to see that for another week or two at least, and probably longer than that.
00:24:11.860And then once the dust has settled and everything's done, and they've taken out all their targets that they're going after, then I think Trump will start looking at, okay, who should take power?
00:24:23.280And I don't think we're going to know until then.
00:24:26.340Well, I have one more question, and we don't have to answer it today because I don't even know if there is an answer, but how is this benefiting Americans here?
00:24:36.720Like, how is this helping us, America?
00:24:39.980Well, okay, so I can make the argument.
00:24:41.720I mean, certainly there are viewpoints on both sides of that, but I think if I make the argument about how it benefits America, number one, it stabilizes the oil supply across the world.
00:24:50.740If you can have security in the Strait of Hormuz, if you can open up the Iranian oil supplies, which have been sanctioned for a long time, if you have peace in the Middle East where you don't have so much instability there, which also causes problems with oil prices and things like that,
00:25:08.580that it would provide more stability and probably cheaper energy prices across the world, you could potentially start building new pipelines again and having more easily and cheap energy supplies across that whole region.
00:25:21.160You might be able to get the Abraham Accords signed across the whole region and not have some massive resistance to that.
00:25:30.840I saw a story, there was Qatar said that they were going to get rid of their Hamas people because they were condemning the Iran war or not cooperating in some way with that.
00:25:41.500And so even the pockets of other resistance that are in other countries in the Middle East may get eliminated.
00:25:48.700And so you may have much less terrorism and a lot more peace and stability across that whole region.
00:25:54.800And then if you extend the lens out broader, you can say this potentially weakens Russia because it might mean that they can no longer get drones from Iran.
00:26:06.320And that may bring the Russia-Ukraine conflict to a close because it may give more of an incentive to Russia to settle and to end that conflict.
00:26:15.320It also potentially weakens China because they're getting a lot of their oil supply from Iran, so at least temporarily.
00:26:23.000I don't know what the ultimate end will look like for that, but it could mean that we have a lot more influence over where that oil goes.
00:26:30.320And it might mean that they have to pay more for the oil because right now they're paying cheaper prices for it because they're buying the sanctioned oil at cheaper prices because Iran can't sell it to anybody else.
00:26:41.460And so if you can open up the market globally, it might mean that China will have to pay a lot more for their oil, which will then weaken their economy and put us in a stronger position relative to China.
00:26:55.620But we have midterms coming up and people here are devastated with the economy and everything else.
00:27:04.140And so now we're like, so as like, you know, I'm just saying you guys, Wood Elf, you know why I ask and I'm seeing your, your, no, it wasn't a, it wasn't a setup, Wood Elf.
00:27:15.740I'm just saying that for like the everyday American who is, most people don't follow the news and they aren't following like why we're doing this or whatever.
00:27:24.280But we have midterms coming up, probably the most consequential.
00:27:28.540And I know everybody always says that, but seriously, like if we don't win those or hold power, like none of this matters.
00:27:36.960And I feel like to me, okay, I don't know if anyone else feels this way.
00:27:41.280I feel like to me, we did enough damage there that they would have to spend enough time trying to sweep everything up and clean up.
00:27:48.680But it's like, what are we going to do to show Americans that things are going to get better for us?
00:27:53.880Like I understand, I understand all the things Owen said, but if we, like we already were having a hard time making the case to the American people of why Republicans should stay in power.
00:28:03.880And now it's so much harder because now we're going to see like copycat things here, you know, like we're seeing things in New York, we're seeing things in Austin that makes me feel like we're less safe.
00:28:17.660So unless I see people getting kicked out of here in droves that are this group of people, I don't know how to convince people, you know, I know you're going to talk.
00:28:29.520Maybe we could talk about Enten next because, you know, approval is starting to go toward the Democrats now for fixing the economy.
00:28:45.020Well, I mean, again, there's definitely arguments on both sides of this.
00:28:48.380And I think a lot of it in my mind depends on how long this thing lasts.
00:28:51.820If it's done in a month, then I think it might be seen as a great victory because everybody loves a winner.
00:28:58.400And if you can actually get to the point where you have a new leader in Iran that's much better for that region and it really looks like it's moving towards peace and stability, then that probably also would mean lower oil prices all around the world, including America.
00:29:11.680It would be cheaper energy prices here, which would directly impact Americans.
00:29:16.380And it would also mean potentially that we're a lot safer than we were in the past if we eliminate all the terrorism that's coming from that region.
00:29:23.460And so I think there are some direct benefits to the American people if we resolve it quickly.
00:29:28.800But I would agree with you that if we're still fighting this war six months from now, that's a disaster for the Republicans.
00:29:35.840I think, you know, the good story would be we wrap this up in a month.
00:31:12.620And I would say there are things going on domestically to try and make things better for people.
00:31:16.380I don't know if it'll be enough or not, but I, you know, there, it is being done.
00:31:19.920And even the elections, Trump just announced that he's not going to sign any legislation until the SAVE Act is passed.
00:31:27.260And so, you know, he's basically shutting down the executive part of legislation to say, you better get that SAVE Act through or I'm not going to pass anything else.
00:31:37.820And so he's trying to set an ultimatum from his end to say, we got to fix these elections.
00:31:42.760And, you know, you can speculate whether that's really going to help us or hurt us or make a difference in the midterms.
00:31:48.760But to whatever extent there is election rigging going on against the Republicans, then if he can get the SAVE Act passed and if it actually survives and gets enforced in the midterms, then that could make a big difference on its own.
00:31:59.500And he is, you know, even the big, beautiful bill is still coming through with tax returns that are happening right now, where Besson came on and said something like the average return or refund is something like $3,400.
00:32:13.380And there's still people filing their returns because April 15th is the deadline.
00:32:17.440So there's a lot of people that haven't received that yet.
00:32:19.160But there's potentially a big refund coming to a lot of people who haven't filed their tax returns yet.
00:32:25.120And that would potentially give at least a short-term boost to the economy and to people's pocketbooks to say, wow, you know, Trump lowered my taxes.
00:32:33.560And there's something like 100 million people, I think they said, that would be benefiting from that.
00:32:38.080So that's a lot of voters that would potentially have a check coming to them that they can directly trace back to the big, beautiful bill.
00:32:45.840And I know there's other things going on with, you know, meat prices and other stuff, and they are working on things like that.
00:32:51.920But I think he is doing a lot of things domestically at the same time.
00:32:55.460I'd like to say, so to Marcella, I just want to not pose it to you, but maybe you can also add to this.
00:33:01.700So you guys, I, for me personally, so I, I can see this big picture.
00:33:07.520Like when I see that he's like talking about Cuba next, I'm like, yeah, let's go, you know?
00:33:12.040And so like the cheerleader part of me that wants to see like a great, you know, free world, like, or a world free of dictators and whatever, and communism, I'm like, let's go knock them all out.
00:33:27.900But what stops me is just the, the everyday people that are like struggling.
00:33:33.520So yes, like I, like, oh my God, imagine if, so you know what I imagine is like these places, like Iran, everywhere, Mexico, I really pray for Mexico, but I don't know how you're going to fix what's going on there.
00:33:46.620But I'd love to be able to see all these people move back to their countries and live freely and like embrace their heritage and like live the way they want to, because America is not Cuba and whatever.
00:33:56.880Love the Cubans, nothing to do with that.
00:33:58.540But, but, so Marcella, I think if that SAVE Act got passed, which I just can't understand this delay, I mean, I do, but I can't understand it.
00:34:11.380And I just feel like the midterms, you know, I just, I'm so afraid of a Democrat coming back in and being like, we're going to open the border again and flood the country again.
00:34:26.860So, I mean, regardless of anything, always take what the government says to you with a, with a, you know, be, be very careful what the government tells you.
00:34:37.000You know, Trump is saying, you know, we'll end in four weeks, whatever, you know, we don't know that, you know, it's not Iraq, it's different, it's not the same president, it's Trump.
00:34:50.640But, you know, people in America don't like hearing this nation building, like, next is Cuba, next is, you know, we're kind of over that.
00:35:00.600So he has to be very careful of losing his base.
00:35:05.880The SAVE Act also has his troubles because it was saying something about transgender change with the parents.
00:35:13.960But as long as they okay it, then it's okay for a minor to do that.
00:35:19.220I think there was a change in his, in his truth post, where one was just the SAVE Act is this.
00:35:28.680And then a second one was, oh, if a parent allows for transgender change in a minor, then it's good to go.
00:35:37.000And a lot of people think that maybe that's kind of the poison pill that's put into the SAVE Act, that a lot of people aren't backing it anymore because of what is being alleged to be in the legislation.
00:35:51.140That's troublesome for a lot of people in the base.
00:35:54.360So, but yeah, getting, getting, beyond the SAVE Act, getting them, the country to vote with IDs, like every other, most other nation on earth, would be great.
00:36:28.360There's a true social post that says no mail-in ballots except for illness, disability, military, or travel, no men and women's sports, and no transgender mutilation surgery for children.
00:36:40.400So I think he is asking for those things to be fixed before.
00:36:43.440He later changed that post and later put a new post where that last sentence had unless parents allow it.
00:36:53.500I mean, I thought that was the latest one, was just literally no transgender mutilation for children.
00:38:04.700Let me just ask you a question, Erica, or maybe to the group.
00:38:08.180Like what do you think Trump should be doing domestically to help with midterms that he's not doing?
00:38:13.620Um, I, the SAVE Act, 100%, like there, if, like, you know, Scott would always say, if you can't trust voting and your elections, you don't have a country.
00:38:26.480And so I feel like, um, I mean, didn't we see enough of this shit with the 2020 election?
00:38:45.100Well, but that, that seems to be moving in the right direction with Cornyn coming out saying he supports the filibuster idea, which is again, this, you know, little tactical war going on between him and Paxton.
00:38:56.080But it does seem like there's some motion in the right direction where they may actually do it.
00:55:19.380So, you know, I know a lot of people think, oh, it's not enough.
00:55:22.660It's not going to make any difference.
00:55:24.120But to me, that's huge just because it's the first time in my lifetime, as far as I know, that we've actually made the government smaller.
00:55:29.440So I want to count the wins along the way.
00:55:32.360And I think, you know, if we can shift more of those people over to private jobs, it's going to make us a lot more productive as a country.