Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 788 Scott Adams： The Whitest Democrats Running For President, Ukraine Confusion

00:00:00.000 Bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, 0.99

00:00:05.000 hey, everybody, come on in here.

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00:00:49.780 Go.

00:00:52.520 Hmm.

00:00:54.240 Ah.

00:00:56.040 Ooh.

00:00:56.480 All right, there are a few things going on.

00:01:02.500 Number one, Michael Schellenberger will be on C-SPAN testifying very soon, any minute now,

00:01:10.900 to the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology.

00:01:13.620 And he'll be talking about the, quote, green nuclear deal.

00:01:19.580 Yay.

00:01:19.740 So, in other words, our Congress and the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology,

00:01:27.940 which I imagine is exactly the right place, will be hearing a positive message about the

00:01:34.760 potential for nuclear power.

00:01:36.980 So, they'll be hearing it from the right guy at the right time and the right place.

00:01:42.320 That's good news.

00:01:43.900 Now, will that message break through and change anything?

00:01:46.880 We'll see.

00:01:47.780 But it's definitely the right person talking to the right people.

00:01:51.400 So, system-wise, the system is working.

00:01:54.760 General Flynn has withdrawn his guilty plea.

00:02:01.000 What?

00:02:02.440 So, apparently, there's some disagreement on whether General Flynn did everything he was

00:02:09.760 supposed to do and whether the government did everything they promised to do, which is

00:02:14.140 keep a man in jail if he cooperated.

00:02:17.240 But, apparently, now they're talking about putting him in jail because they don't think

00:02:20.140 he cooperated enough.

00:02:21.480 And so, they've withdrawn their plea deal.

00:02:25.480 Suddenly, it's starting to make sense why he hasn't already been pardoned.

00:02:31.940 Do you see it yet?

00:02:34.060 Because I thought the end of the year would be sort of a perfect time to pardon Flynn.

00:02:39.540 But there might be a smarter play here.

00:02:42.560 It's entirely possible that General Flynn is going to win this thing flat.

00:02:48.100 He might not need a pardon.

00:02:49.580 He might win this the old-fashioned way.

00:02:54.000 And, you know, I say this a lot, but if you ever get in a dispute that becomes sort of

00:02:59.800 a chess match, which is what this legal proceedings against Flynn are kind of a chess match, the

00:03:09.840 last person you want to be in on a sort of a strategy chess match, the last person you

00:03:15.620 want to compete against is a general, literally somebody who learned how to do stuff like

00:03:23.260 this.

00:03:24.220 In other words, somebody who knows how to play a chess game.

00:03:27.540 So, it could be that Flynn is trying to win it outright and get just cleared in the normal

00:03:34.880 way, because if he got pardoned, or whatever the word is, if you haven't been convicted,

00:03:41.320 it would always look like he was guilty, wouldn't it?

00:03:46.640 It would always look a little like he was guilty if the president had to bail him out.

00:03:51.100 But it looks like he's going to fight it the old-fashioned way.

00:03:55.220 And I think the president, probably not directly, but I think because it seems likely the president

00:04:03.160 would pardon him if things went the wrong way, it changes his risk assessment.

00:04:08.120 If you thought you had no help and no hope of any help from the outside, you might play it a little

00:04:16.240 cautiously, say, well, I don't want to go to jail, but I'd better take this six months because it's better

00:04:21.860 than what might happen if I fight it.

00:04:25.800 But his risk profile might have changed.

00:04:29.900 He might say, now, I might as well fight it.

00:04:32.880 I've got, let's say, a one-in-three chance of winning it outright.

00:04:35.800 But if I don't, I'm no worse off because I've always got the pardon option.

00:04:43.280 And I'm assuming, I'm making a gigantic assumption here, that the pardon is in the bag, which I

00:04:49.280 think it is because I think the public that supports the president seems pretty firmly on

00:04:57.280 the side of helping out Flynn.

00:05:03.900 So watch for that.

00:05:04.860 All right, let's talk about the debates.

00:05:07.240 Did anybody, is anybody enough of a masochist that you watch the debates?

00:05:13.140 I literally fell asleep.

00:05:15.580 I mean, actually blacked out and fell asleep about halfway through the debates.

00:05:20.020 So I had to catch up with them by looking at the coverage.

00:05:24.000 Now, I think looking at the coverage of the debates is sort of everything you need to do

00:05:27.900 because any impact that the debates are going to have are going to be because of those few moments that

00:05:34.460 percolated up and the press decided that those moments are the ones that are going to emphasize.

00:05:39.340 So you can just look at the press coverage and you know what matters, because if the press doesn't report on a particular answer, well, it kind of didn't matter because not many of the public are watching the debates, but a lot of them might watch the reaction to the debates.

00:05:57.800 So I would say absolutely nothing happened.

00:06:01.040 And I loved Van Jones's takeaway on this.

00:06:10.420 Van Jones said, quote, there was nothing I saw tonight that would be able to take Donald Trump out.

00:06:17.240 There wasn't one person on the stage that Van Jones thinks would not be absolutely obliterated by Trump.

00:06:31.400 And then he said, Van Jones said, none of them are prepared for, quote, what Donald Trump will do to us.

00:06:39.400 He says us, which is accurate, I guess. 0.99

00:06:42.820 I love the fact, first of all, I'm a big fan of Van Jones.

00:06:50.100 So you may disagree because he's a Democrat and you don't like that.

00:06:56.340 But as Democrats go, he's the smartest one.

00:07:00.800 Now, the most interesting thing about hearing Van Jones say that nobody on the stage looked ready for running for president

00:07:08.360 is that if Van Jones were running, he'd be the top guy.

00:07:15.720 Am I wrong?

00:07:17.620 If Van Jones had been part of this mix and he were on stage, wouldn't he be the nominee?

00:07:26.340 I mean, seriously, is there anybody on the stage who could last against Van Jones?

00:07:35.620 Now, I don't think he's shown any interest in being president, but he's stronger as a candidate than every one of those people,

00:07:44.700 in part because he's not a partisan, meaning that, well, he clearly prefers Democrats and says that directly,

00:07:52.620 but he's willing to look at issues on both the pro and the con side, which you don't see that often.

00:07:58.980 You don't even see it from pundits.

00:08:00.600 So he would absolutely be the front runner if he were running.

00:08:07.720 But it looks like the Democrats have set themselves an impossible task.

00:08:13.100 So here are the expectations from the Democrats' own supporters.

00:08:18.640 All right?

00:08:19.180 So in order to win, the Democratic candidate who wins has to do two things at the same time.

00:08:25.960 Be really nice to the other candidates because they're the nice party and they've made a big deal about being civil and nice to each other.

00:08:36.700 So whoever wins has to be civil and nice to the other Democrats.

00:08:41.080 At the same time, that person is tearing the other ones apart.

00:08:46.380 In other words, to show enough toughness to be qualified to run against Trump, you're going to have to show your toughness.

00:08:55.260 But the only way you can do it at this stage is by showing it on other Democrats.

00:09:01.040 But you can't.

00:09:02.700 Those are two impossibles.

00:09:04.480 Well, it's an impossible that they can both happen at the same time.

00:09:08.360 So you see the Democrats setting themselves up with a no-win situation.

00:09:13.080 We have to be kind and also rip apart our other people in our party.

00:09:18.980 Can't do it.

00:09:20.680 There's actually no space for them to do the thing they know they have to do.

00:09:25.560 And they've created this situation themselves.

00:09:28.740 Did you ever see the Republicans do that?

00:09:32.620 Maybe.

00:09:33.340 I mean, maybe there was some Republican who said, well, we should be nicer to each other.

00:09:36.980 That probably happened.

00:09:38.200 But did anybody really try to talk Trump out of being Trump?

00:09:43.080 Not really.

00:09:44.460 I don't think so.

00:09:46.280 I mean, a lot of people said it was a bad idea to be so caustic and stuff.

00:09:50.400 But I feel as though the Republicans let their candidates be their candidates.

00:09:56.340 And the Democrats are just absolutely killing themselves.

00:09:59.840 You know, the circular firing squad reference seems to fit.

00:10:04.960 Now, I turned on the debates primarily to watch – I felt like I was watching the Democrats doing everything they could to lose the black vote.

00:10:20.040 Did it feel like that to you?

00:10:21.160 All I could see was a whole bunch of white faces losing the black vote in real time. 0.77

00:10:28.440 Because if you're flipping through the station, let's say you haven't paid too much attention.

00:10:34.560 You know, you're one of those voters who – you'll get serious closer to election day, but right now you're just letting the noise play out.

00:10:41.860 Wait for the noise to die down.

00:10:43.260 You'll get serious.

00:10:43.900 You're flipping through the channels and you come to the debates.

00:10:47.660 You say, oh, I haven't been paying too much attention.

00:10:50.860 Let's see who's running for a candidate to be our next president.

00:10:56.380 White person, white person, white person, white person, white person, white person.

00:10:59.540 I'm out.

00:11:00.020 I don't see how the Democrats can possibly compete with not a single minority face on there. 1.00

00:11:12.600 Well, you could say that – actually, women are no longer a minority since the last woman who ran got most of the popular vote. 0.99

00:11:21.260 And as Elizabeth Warren said, the two women on the stage are the only ones who have won every one of their elections, which was a great line, by the way.

00:11:30.700 Very well done.

00:11:31.920 Meanwhile, Trump is at his rally.

00:11:36.260 And while the Democrats are up there losing the black vote by being as white as they can possibly be and standing in the same place, 0.75

00:11:44.320 while being hypocrites because where's your diversity?

00:11:51.480 Trump said this, quote, in his speech last night,

00:11:54.880 Republicans are fighting for citizens from every background and from every race, religion, color, and creed.

00:12:02.700 We are a movement for all Americans who believe in fairness and justice, equality and dignity, opportunity and safety.

00:12:10.360 We are a big tent and a big party with big ideas for the future.

00:12:14.020 So President Trump is saying directly and forcefully that the Republican Party is the place for everyone.

00:12:23.240 Now, I've said this before, but it's one of those things that gets smarter over time.

00:12:29.620 If you just wait for this, it'll just keep getting smarter.

00:12:33.520 When I first said it, it sounded kind of stupid, but just watch.

00:12:37.660 It's going to morph over time from, well, that's stupid, Scott.

00:12:41.240 That's the dumbest thing you've ever said.

00:12:43.340 To, well, that's starting to make a little bit of sense now.

00:12:46.560 Now, wait for six months from now when people say, that makes total sense now.

00:12:52.340 And here's the statement.

00:12:54.620 The most natural fit for black voters is the Republican Party. 0.98

00:13:03.220 Here's why.

00:13:05.800 The Democrats are obsessed with identity.

00:13:09.440 And black people are only one of the identities. 0.87

00:13:13.200 So they're scrambling and fighting for a place at the table in their own party.

00:13:20.640 Who has to fight for a place at the party, a place at the table in their own party?

00:13:28.000 Why are black people fighting for representation in their own party?

00:13:34.260 Meanwhile, Republicans have one overriding characteristic, which I say all the time,

00:13:40.680 but it's the most important thing.

00:13:42.100 And if you can find an exception to this, good luck.

00:13:47.440 But here's my statement.

00:13:48.680 I want you to fact check this all you want.

00:13:51.940 That if you're a typical Republican, you know, there are always weird exceptions to things,

00:13:57.700 but if you're a typical Republican, are you okay with anyone who is a legal citizen,

00:14:03.660 who respects the Constitution, who respects the Constitution, and follows the law, A+.

00:14:10.520 If that person also is religious, a Christian, for example, well, extra credit for Republicans. 0.98

00:14:17.760 I'm not a Republican, by the way.

00:14:18.940 I'm just describing.

00:14:20.280 If you're black, and you only have to do those things to be completely accepted, completely, 0.96

00:14:30.260 no, there's absolutely no, there's no wiggle room there.

00:14:35.740 The Republican view is if you follow the Constitution, follow the laws, great, you're A+.

00:14:45.320 So if you want to be respected for who you are, instead of who you look like, Republicans are the best game.

00:14:55.360 Because if you hang around with Democrats, you know that they are going to judge you by strangers.

00:15:04.100 That's right.

00:15:05.640 Democrats are going to judge you by other black people who are not you,

00:15:11.120 because they've decided you're a group, you're an identity.

00:15:14.960 You know, you must be treated as a group.

00:15:18.560 Republicans say, nonsense.

00:15:21.520 You are an individual.

00:15:22.900 Why should you be held back by the group?

00:15:27.320 Because Republicans aren't holding you back.

00:15:30.120 There's no Republican who says you can't rise to any level you want.

00:15:34.320 President, obviously.

00:15:36.400 A Republican is going to help you.

00:15:38.780 A Republican is going to help you get a job.

00:15:40.740 A Republican is going to help you network.

00:15:42.760 A Republican is going to, you know, help you with advice and mentoring.

00:15:47.420 Republicans are very helpful.

00:15:49.380 If you want to get ahead, make some Republican friends.

00:15:52.900 They're the ones who are going to say, hey, try this, do this.

00:15:55.980 This will work.

00:15:56.900 Come to church with me.

00:15:58.520 If you want to get ahead, make a Republican friend.

00:16:01.460 That's one of the best advices you'll ever see.

00:16:04.660 You know, good luck finding better advice than that.

00:16:07.360 All right.

00:16:08.120 So over time, in six months, you're going to hear people saying, wait a minute.

00:16:13.820 Isn't it the most natural place for black voters to be in the Republican Party where everybody can be exactly equal?

00:16:21.920 I mean exactly equal.

00:16:23.600 Because if you're a citizen and you're following the Constitution, you're exactly equal.

00:16:29.120 There's no wiggle room if you're a Republican.

00:16:30.780 That's exactly equal, especially, you know, if you're a Bible-loving Republican, extra equal.

00:16:40.840 Whereas the Democrats, well, I don't know.

00:16:44.340 You're going to have to figure out if your little group of Democrats is liked or respected as much as the other little group of Democrats.

00:16:51.240 That's a whole different game, and I don't know how you win that one.

00:16:55.240 So the natural place for the black voters, as Candace Owen has been telling people for three years now, is the Republican Party.

00:17:05.400 And again, I'm not a Republican.

00:17:07.820 I'm not a Republican.

00:17:09.200 I'm just saying that's where the fit makes sense to me.

00:17:12.720 All right.

00:17:13.060 And also you would have the most leverage in the Republican Party because there are fewer members, there are fewer black people in the Republican Party.

00:17:22.220 And anybody who's got a good idea, then again, is compatible with Republicans and the Constitution and everything.

00:17:29.760 You're going to be heard.

00:17:31.100 You have a much better chance of being a notable, important voice in the Republican Party if you're black, just because of scarcity. 1.00

00:17:39.720 All right.

00:17:40.780 Let's talk about more on the debates.

00:17:49.080 Apparently, Elizabeth Warren, I couldn't tell if she refused to shake Bertie's hand at the end or it was just an awkward moment where when Bertie put out his hand to shake hands, she was still several steps away.

00:18:04.160 And I think it just seemed awkward to maybe walk with her hand out.

00:18:07.580 So it's not entirely clear to me that she made a decision to not shake hands with him.

00:18:13.680 It might have been an oversight, just an awkward situation.

00:18:18.220 But on camera, it looked like she refused.

00:18:22.880 All right.

00:18:23.300 So to the public, all that matters is it looked like it.

00:18:27.760 And I think that's how people will interpret it.

00:18:29.760 Now, as by now most of you know, that the weirdest thing happened when Bernie was asked about his statement that a woman couldn't win the presidency, which, of course, he never said.

00:18:43.140 He said his response was so.

00:18:46.860 So he was asked by, let's see, Abby Phillips, I think one.

00:18:51.940 Yeah.

00:18:52.140 Abby, Abby Phillip asked about that statement.

00:18:56.020 And Bernie said, well, as a matter of fact, I didn't say it.

00:18:59.200 That's pretty clear.

00:19:00.520 As a matter of fact, I didn't say it.

00:19:02.580 And Bernie is very credible, love him or hate him.

00:19:06.380 It's not likely Bernie is lying on this.

00:19:08.880 It's very unlikely.

00:19:09.940 I mean, so deeply unlikely.

00:19:11.380 I don't even count it as a possibility because he has earned that.

00:19:15.960 Now, I'll say this over and over again.

00:19:18.720 Sanders has earned the credibility which I am assigning to him in my mind, you know, my own personal view.

00:19:25.740 He's earned it.

00:19:26.420 He absolutely earned trust on this statement.

00:19:31.920 And Warren has absolutely not earned our trust on this disagreement.

00:19:38.500 So after Bernie says, well, as a matter of fact, I didn't say it, then she asked, are you unequivocally denying it happened?

00:19:53.180 And Bernie says, that is correct.

00:19:54.980 That's as clear as you can be.

00:19:58.000 Unequivocally denying, that is correct.

00:20:01.160 And then Phillips ignores the fact that he's categorically denied it happened.

00:20:06.780 And she goes to Warren, quote, what did you think when Senator Sanders told you a woman could not win the election? 1.00

00:20:16.960 So she acts like it's a fact.

00:20:18.900 After the guy who was in the room, 50% of all the people who were in the room just told her it didn't happen.

00:20:26.040 And he's far more credible than Warren is on this question.

00:20:29.480 Now, let me tell you what almost certainly did happen.

00:20:33.000 Oh, let me finish this point.

00:20:35.860 So if CNN is trying to act as though they're not actively trying to kill Sanders this time, too, they're not doing a good job of acting because it's sort of looking like CNN doesn't want Sanders to be president.

00:20:53.160 They're the ones who they reported that he said this about women.

00:20:58.240 And then the way this question was asked, like, he's just a liar, which is not the case, I'm sure.

00:21:07.000 That's just so biased.

00:21:08.600 It's even other Democrats noticed it.

00:21:11.540 So even other Democrats are mad.

00:21:14.040 So we have this weird situation that whoever wins the nomination is going to have a whole bunch of other angry Democrats.

00:21:21.480 It doesn't matter which way you go.

00:21:24.320 Imagine if Warren wins the nomination.

00:21:27.740 What will the Bernie supporters do?

00:21:30.880 Will they just say, well, similar policies will just move to Warren after Warren said what she said about Bernie?

00:21:38.940 And most of them, if not all of them, believe it's not true.

00:21:43.120 I don't know if they're going.

00:21:44.620 I don't know if Bernie supporters will leave the most credible, whether you like his policies or not, a separate question, but as a human being, as a politician, he's the most authentic, credible person the Democrats have.

00:22:03.060 If you support that, authentic and credible, how do you switch parties, or not switch parties, but switch candidates to Warren if she won the nomination?

00:22:13.160 How do you do that?

00:22:14.620 I don't think you do.

00:22:16.300 I think Trump picks up a lot of those votes, just like last time.

00:22:21.240 And no matter which way it goes, I think somebody's going to be angry at whoever.

00:22:25.820 So let's go through.

00:22:28.280 Oh, so here's what I think happened with that Sanders-Warren conversation.

00:22:32.540 And see if this doesn't sound like your experience all the time.

00:22:38.680 All right.

00:22:39.840 Imagine instead of Warren and Sanders, it's a married couple.

00:22:44.620 This will make it easier for you.

00:22:46.480 Watch this.

00:22:47.480 Imagine that instead of being politicians, Warren and Sanders are just a married couple.

00:22:52.700 And they had a private conversation.

00:22:54.440 And then when they talk about it later, they have two versions.

00:22:58.140 Bernie says, I didn't say anything.

00:22:59.380 I didn't say that.

00:23:00.820 And Elizabeth Warren says, you did say a woman can't be president. 1.00

00:23:04.860 What really happened?

00:23:06.600 Wind it backwards?

00:23:09.420 You know, reverse engineer it?

00:23:11.520 Let me tell you what happened.

00:23:13.620 Warren and Sanders were talking because Warren was, I believe, fact-checking on this,

00:23:18.920 I think Warren was telling Bernie she was going to run against him or thinking about it or probably,

00:23:25.020 that was the conversation.

00:23:26.660 What was Bernie going to say to Elizabeth Warren when he found out that she was going to run

00:23:32.960 against him using essentially his policies?

00:23:36.080 What would Bernie say about that?

00:23:39.860 Well, if he's smart, which he is, if he's persuasive, which apparently he is,

00:23:47.540 he would say something that didn't sound like women can't win, 0.99

00:23:53.060 but certainly suggested it would be harder.

00:23:56.020 So it does seem to me that what Bernie was trying to do was talk her out of running.

00:24:02.300 If you're trying to talk somebody out of running against Trump and the person you're talking to is a woman, 0.98

00:24:09.000 one of the good ways to do it is to say, you know,

00:24:12.400 you're going to be drawing attacks for your gender that I would not be drawing. 0.83

00:24:17.780 So you're going to have a harder time because Bernie believes

00:24:23.000 that being a woman will attract more kinds of heat that Bernie would not attract, 1.00

00:24:30.600 which would be sort of suggesting indirectly that maybe she couldn't win.

00:24:37.940 But that's not a definitive statement.

00:24:40.600 It's only a statement that she has an extra burden because she's running against Trump,

00:24:45.480 and it might not be an extra burden if it were somebody else.

00:24:49.180 Now, two people are a married couple.

00:24:51.760 They walk out of that conversation.

00:24:54.440 The husband, let's call him Bernie, said,

00:24:57.640 it's going to be hard to win.

00:24:58.900 As a woman, you've got extra, you know, extra obstacles. 1.00

00:25:05.040 What would be the way the wife, and this analogy, Elizabeth Warren, 1.00

00:25:11.360 how would she characterize that same conversation?

00:25:14.600 Well, if she's like everybody else in the world, she'd say,

00:25:19.020 my husband just said I can't win because I'm a woman.

00:25:23.240 Is that what he said?

00:25:25.240 No, no.

00:25:26.800 He would have been talking about the extra obstacle,

00:25:30.880 which is completely different from woman can't win. 0.97

00:25:35.540 As Bernie rightly says, you know, Hillary got three million more votes. 1.00

00:25:40.360 He's been saying for 30 years or 40 years that a woman could be president.

00:25:44.960 It's the most inconsistent thing anybody could ever say.

00:25:47.780 There's no way in the world he said that to somebody who could tell somebody else.

00:25:51.540 It just didn't happen.

00:25:52.400 But like every other personal conversation in the world,

00:25:56.860 if you say there's a problem with something,

00:25:59.660 and the other person doesn't like that you're saying there's a problem with something,

00:26:03.440 how will they characterize it?

00:26:05.620 They will characterize it as an absurd absolute.

00:26:10.900 It's what you see everywhere all the time.

00:26:13.820 The absurd absolute is where you take somebody's assessment of the risks.

00:26:18.780 Hey, there's extra risks.

00:26:20.060 And then you turn it illegitimately into, he says it can't happen.

00:26:25.340 It happens all over Twitter.

00:26:27.500 It happens in all of your personal conversations.

00:26:30.260 It happens in every relationship.

00:26:32.700 It's the most common misinterpretation that a probable gets turned into a can't.

00:26:38.820 It's the most common thing.

00:26:40.860 Yes, I believe that's in my book, Loser Think.

00:26:46.120 So that's almost certainly what happened.

00:26:47.980 So I think Warren's credibility is falling.

00:26:53.060 Now let's talk about the first question that I think Wolf Blitzer asked was why they thought they could be commander in chief.

00:27:00.600 And I got to tell you, that was the weakest bunch of potential commanders in chief I've ever seen.

00:27:08.940 Let me tell you what they all did wrong.

00:27:11.820 Like so wrong.

00:27:13.560 So wrong that even I could have done it better.

00:27:16.700 I mean, seriously.

00:27:17.720 Honestly, with no practice, I could have gotten on that debate stage and answered that question better.

00:27:24.000 Totally, honestly, completely seriously.

00:27:26.920 I could have done better.

00:27:28.480 And I'm saying that because many of you could have done better.

00:27:31.320 Almost anybody could have done better.

00:27:33.600 Here's what they did wrong.

00:27:34.700 Now, of course, they're talking to their base because it's the primary, so they're not trying to win the general.

00:27:40.120 But if you say, why are you qualified to be commander in chief?

00:27:44.640 Here's the wrong answer.

00:27:46.900 Well, I would never go to war.

00:27:49.100 I would never use my military.

00:27:51.400 I would just negotiate.

00:27:53.200 What I'd do is I'd negotiate.

00:27:56.160 I wouldn't be going to war.

00:27:59.180 What did they just tell every foreign country that might want to get a little adventurous?

00:28:05.860 What did they just tell Russia?

00:28:08.700 Take whatever you want.

00:28:10.860 That's what they said.

00:28:12.040 They basically just said, if Russia takes over Ukraine, that they're going to negotiate with them.

00:28:20.420 What?

00:28:23.200 You know, maybe that's all you can do.

00:28:26.640 But my point is, my point is not even whether it's smart to be thinking negotiate first.

00:28:33.420 It probably is.

00:28:34.640 But the way they presented it to the world is as surrenderers in chief.

00:28:40.280 It seemed like they were competing to see who would be the least threatening to the people we want to threaten.

00:28:48.500 Now, is our situation in Iran better?

00:28:51.080 Because they believe that President Trump would launch the missiles?

00:28:56.520 I think so.

00:28:58.200 I mean, to me, it looks like President Trump's continuous, credible threat of violence looks like it makes a difference to me.

00:29:07.400 Looks like it works.

00:29:08.320 How would Iran be acting if the only thing they had to worry about is that the commander-in-chief of the United States would negotiate a little bit harder?

00:29:18.500 Well, I'm going to negotiate you.

00:29:21.200 You better stop funding those proxies or watch me negotiate you.

00:29:27.500 I won't negotiate you so hard.

00:29:31.340 Weapons?

00:29:32.000 No.

00:29:32.860 I'm not going to use any weapons.

00:29:34.580 Are you kidding me?

00:29:36.240 I'm not even going to cyber attack because that's like a weapon too.

00:29:39.160 But I will negotiate you like a surrenderer-in-chief negotiates.

00:29:46.200 I think Van Jones is correct.

00:29:49.100 When you see them, they all look weak, particularly for a job which one of the greatest assets of the job that you could bring to the job was the impression of strength.

00:30:01.620 Trump did that.

00:30:04.540 Trump brought to the job the impression of strength.

00:30:09.680 That's important.

00:30:11.560 They're all offering to bring the impression of weakness.

00:30:16.480 Are you kidding me?

00:30:18.320 You're running for president to be the commander-in-chief and you're telling the world I'd like to bring weakness to the job?

00:30:25.000 I mean, not with those words, but when you say, you know, negotiate, negotiate, don't want to use that military, it just sounds like you're going to let anybody do anything they want.

00:30:36.960 And maybe that's a good answer.

00:30:39.340 So even Democrats are angry about why the Democrats are not fighting with each other, but of course they can't.

00:30:48.140 They're all stuck.

00:30:49.140 Now, I didn't see the whole debate, but it seemed to me I'm having trouble understanding why climate change wasn't pretty much the only thing they wanted to talk about.

00:31:02.920 Because it seems to me that climate change, if it's the big problem that they claim, it feels like that should have been the central point of all of their presentations.

00:31:15.280 They should have, you know, worked it back to that.

00:31:17.360 And they all mentioned it, but it just seemed weak because I, it just felt like a tack on or I have to throw this in because it sounds good.

00:31:26.740 I'm not sure I believed any of them were serious about it.

00:31:29.760 I guess that's the thing.

00:31:31.340 None of them looked, yeah, Steyer, Steyer did make, as somebody said in the comments, Steyer did make climate change more of a central thing.

00:31:42.160 But since Steyer himself is not too important to the race at this point, he's sort of a sideshow.

00:31:50.920 It just felt like it wasn't getting the level of importance that their own team believes it should have.

00:31:58.520 When Biden was asked about his qualifications for commander-in-chief, he was asked to defend his record on Iraq, which he says, to his credit, was a mistake.

00:32:13.660 So the front runner for the Democrats is running for, to be commander-in-chief, and he's claiming that the most important decision he's ever made that was in that realm of, you know, foreign defense things, he got wrong.

00:32:35.120 And that's the only thing I remember about his answer, because there were other things he was sort of on the team, right?

00:32:43.900 There were other situations where Obama did something and Biden was just sort of, he's on the team.

00:32:49.120 I'm vice president.

00:32:49.960 Hey, I'm on the team.

00:32:51.860 I'm part of this.

00:32:53.300 So he took credit for some things which he wasn't too directly involved in.

00:32:58.560 He was just one of the people on the team.

00:33:00.960 I call that the Wally play.

00:33:02.760 If you're familiar with the Dilbert comic strip, Wally is the lazy, the lazy one in the office.

00:33:10.120 And one of his tricks is he always joins a project that is going to succeed, whether he does good work or not.

00:33:16.280 And then he can always get credit for being on the project.

00:33:18.720 So I think Biden is pursuing the Wally approach.

00:33:23.580 Well, I was on the, I was on the Obama team when something good happened.

00:33:27.880 When he, when he killed Osama bin Laden, even though I told him not to. 0.89

00:33:32.760 So the two most famous things, the famous things were the war in Iraq that he says he got wrong and telling Obama not to try to kill bin Laden that day until he had more information.

00:33:51.440 And I'm thinking, those are the only things I remember.

00:33:53.480 I don't remember, I don't remember anything else about Joe Biden's record.

00:33:59.240 Do you?

00:34:01.280 Quick, mention all of his accomplishments in that area.

00:34:05.500 I can't think of any, but I can think of two really big high profile things.

00:34:10.420 They, one he admits he got wrong and the other one he just got wrong.

00:34:13.960 So that's, that's, that's tough to sell.

00:34:18.100 And still the field is so weak.

00:34:21.180 He's still the front runner.

00:34:23.560 Um, all right.

00:34:28.380 Uh, one of, I think it was, uh, Scott.

00:34:31.520 Who was it?

00:34:32.400 Scott, Scott, uh, I forget his name.

00:34:38.240 Uh, Democrat Scott, somebody who talked about the, uh, the Democrats being in a quote pitiful crouch,

00:34:48.620 which was a great, uh, a great, uh, play on words.

00:34:54.600 What is his name?

00:34:56.460 Scott.

00:34:57.740 Now you'll tell me.

00:34:58.600 Um, he's one of the regular Democrat pundits on CNN anyway.

00:35:07.300 Yeah.

00:35:07.860 And somebody is, um, prompting me in the comments.

00:35:11.240 A lot of the Democrats, I believe have said that the, uh, that the Iran nuclear deal was working.

00:35:20.140 Well, what does that mean?

00:35:22.220 What does it mean that the Iran nuclear deal was working?

00:35:25.040 Wasn't Iran killing Americans and, you know, funding proxies to do terror attacks?

00:35:31.580 What about that?

00:35:32.800 That counts for nothing.

00:35:34.740 What about the fact that after the Iran nuclear deal timed out, they would have done all the 0.65

00:35:40.140 research and been, been ready to just become a nuclear force.

00:35:44.200 And there were only how many years left and they have a long, long timeframe.

00:35:49.360 If you don't mention the fact that Iran was definitely going to get a nuclear weapon in 0.80

00:35:54.980 a few years, you're not really qualified for commander in chief.

00:36:00.540 It would be one thing to say the Iran nuclear deal would keep them from getting a nuclear bomb

00:36:06.460 for X number of years.

00:36:09.300 That might actually be a pretty, um, defensible statement, but to say, but to say that the deal

00:36:15.320 prevents them from getting a nuclear weapon is exactly wrong.

00:36:19.780 It guarantees them a nuclear weapon after the end of the deal. 0.79

00:36:23.220 It guarantees it because they'll have all this time to do research, which they're allowed

00:36:27.460 to do.

00:36:28.320 And then they just put it together.

00:36:30.980 Kind of a guarantee.

00:36:31.920 All right.

00:36:34.660 Um, so let's talk about, uh, uh, the, the bottom line on the debates is that it didn't

00:36:42.320 move the needle. 0.70

00:36:43.180 So that's good for the front runners.

00:36:45.500 Um, I thought Buttigieg has by far the most clever and, uh, I can say this because Buttigieg

00:36:54.680 is, is a white male, so I can call him articulate.

00:36:59.000 If you don't know this, you don't want to use the word articulate about anybody who's

00:37:05.900 not a white male.

00:37:07.680 You're allowed to say it in that case, but it's, it becomes like a backhanded insult.

00:37:11.760 If you say, you know, if you said a black candidate was articulate, it would be considered 1.00

00:37:16.360 an insult because, well, why are you even bringing it up?

00:37:20.180 You know, why do you even have to mention that unless you think it's some kind of weird

00:37:22.780 exception?

00:37:23.220 Um, but that said, Pete Buttigieg is articulate as heck and man, can that guy put a sentence

00:37:30.960 together?

00:37:32.180 He's clearly the smartest.

00:37:35.920 Yeah.

00:37:36.540 I think also what we're seeing is the benefit of youth.

00:37:40.440 When you see Pete Buttigieg handle a question, you're seeing somebody operating at, um, I would

00:37:48.080 say his biological peak.

00:37:49.960 I mean, yeah, he could even get better and smarter and more experienced, but man, is he

00:37:55.560 on his game.

00:37:56.800 The, the, the complexity and the level of his answers was actually really impressive.

00:38:04.380 However, there is a, however here.

00:38:10.240 He was the smartest, most articulate, complicated speaker.

00:38:14.280 However, nobody wants that.

00:38:18.780 Nobody wants that.

00:38:20.760 Seriously.

00:38:22.420 You know, as a mayor, he would have been better as a city manager.

00:38:26.320 You know, the guy who does the actual work.

00:38:28.920 Um, I think Buttigieg is looking like a really good senator.

00:38:32.880 If Buttigieg, um, let's say he doesn't make it to the nomination, but someday decides to

00:38:39.560 run for the Senate, he, he looks like exactly the kind of guy you want as a senator, you know,

00:38:46.560 assuming that you're a Democrat, because I like the guy who's really in the details, can

00:38:51.480 really analyze something.

00:38:52.900 He's a good, you know, communicator.

00:38:54.900 Clearly, he's going to understand things at deeper levels, but man, you see him standing

00:38:59.860 next to Trump and Trump is going to make him look like a professor duty.

00:39:06.000 Um, he's going to, he's going to look like this wonky professor who can't communicate

00:39:12.840 with the public.

00:39:15.120 Pete Buttigieg did a great job of communicating with people who watch democratic debates because

00:39:22.720 they're probably above average and, you know, intelligence and knowledge about things.

00:39:27.640 And so it was probably pretty impressive if you're a CNN watcher of debates, but if you're

00:39:33.780 just a voter, I don't think you want somebody that smart, if you know what I mean.

00:39:39.880 People really don't love that smart.

00:39:43.920 They want you to be smart in a streetwise way, smart in a political way, smart in a leader

00:39:49.840 way, but they don't really want you that smart.

00:39:54.260 That smart is off-putting because people don't relate to it at all.

00:39:59.120 So that's his biggest problem.

00:40:01.540 I thought Klobuchar, there's something about the way she talks that sounds weak.

00:40:09.140 Does anybody else pick that up?

00:40:10.760 It's in her voice.

00:40:12.080 And it's not because it's a female voice.

00:40:14.180 I'm not saying that.

00:40:15.080 So what I'm going to say now has nothing to do with her gender at all.

00:40:21.120 But there's something when she's, she sounds, she talks with some kind of urgency that makes

00:40:28.080 her voice quiver a little bit.

00:40:31.100 There's something about the confidence of her voice that's missing, which again would make

00:40:37.640 you're a great senator, but president, you just need that little bit of extra gravitas,

00:40:46.160 confidence.

00:40:47.660 Is it, maybe it's missing some confidence?

00:40:50.320 I don't know what it is.

00:40:51.980 Wavery, somebody is saying.

00:40:54.600 But are you picking that up too?

00:40:57.140 Now, by the way, I think Klobuchar is a really strong candidate.

00:41:02.540 I think she's smart.

00:41:03.700 I think she got this far.

00:41:05.680 As she said, she's won everything.

00:41:07.860 She would be strong in the Midwest.

00:41:10.400 She's centrist.

00:41:11.640 She's where the voters in her party are. 0.98

00:41:14.220 She's a really strong candidate.

00:41:16.960 You know, experience-wise and skill-wise, she got this far.

00:41:22.140 And I would say that my opinion of her has gone up every time I see her because she's 0.85

00:41:29.560 just a solid, solid candidate, I think.

00:41:32.180 But the voters are not, for whatever reason, the voters in the Democratic Party are not

00:41:37.340 finding her, let's say, inspirational.

00:41:43.260 So I think she lacks the inspirational element.

00:41:48.020 And I think that's going to put a cap on her.

00:41:49.760 So Bernie was okay.

00:41:53.620 And Biden, I thought Biden, it seemed like he was barely avoiding a gaffe.

00:42:02.960 The entire time he was talking, it felt like an old man driving without his glasses. 0.99

00:42:09.920 He says, I think there's a right turn here.

00:42:15.080 I'm pretty sure the speed limit is 25.

00:42:18.660 Is that a car?

00:42:19.800 Or I can't tell.

00:42:21.580 He missed all the other pedestrians.

00:42:24.120 But I felt like they were all near misses.

00:42:29.200 It felt like he was right on the edge of gaffing because he would stop and he'd correct what

00:42:34.480 he said to make it more accurate.

00:42:36.100 He would clarify as he went.

00:42:38.080 It felt like he was struggling for coherence.

00:42:41.800 Now, he was coherent-ish.

00:42:43.780 You know, he spoke in generality, so there wasn't much there to grab onto.

00:42:50.100 But he held on, so maybe that's good enough.

00:42:53.880 Let's talk about something else.

00:42:55.960 So there's new evidence, new evidence and documents and texts and messages and stuff

00:43:01.820 regarding Ukraine and the impeachment process.

00:43:06.280 And if you haven't been following it, let me explain the new evidence.

00:43:11.380 All right?

00:43:12.080 And I'll try to give this in the simplest way because it's a complicated story.

00:43:18.320 Here are the players.

00:43:20.220 Marie Yovanovitch, Yudi Giuliani, Robert Hyde, President Zelensky, Lev Parnes, Joe and Hunter

00:43:26.160 Biden, General Yuri Lutsenko, and Victoria Tenzing.

00:43:33.720 That's all you need to know.

00:43:36.180 That's the end of the story.

00:43:37.580 Now, there's some details to the story, but here's the rule.

00:43:42.300 Are you ready?

00:43:43.820 If there are more than three people in the story, it doesn't matter.

00:43:49.900 Watch how often that rule works.

00:43:52.920 Now, not every time.

00:43:54.020 But I used to be in a relationship in which I had a girlfriend who would tell stories that

00:44:02.240 had too many people in them.

00:44:03.940 And I realized that when you got to the fourth character in the story, I couldn't follow it

00:44:09.600 anymore.

00:44:10.760 It became too complicated.

00:44:11.860 So her stories were all, okay, so then, you know, Bob was over there and he was with Janice

00:44:17.480 and Janice's brother came in and he was saying that her sister, and I'd be, well, hold on,

00:44:23.840 hold on.

00:44:25.340 I'm not going to follow any of the story.

00:44:27.960 Four characters?

00:44:29.640 That's too much story for me.

00:44:31.100 If you can get that down to three, I'm going to follow along.

00:44:37.240 But here they have a one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight.

00:44:41.680 At minimum, it's an eight-character story, and that's not even counting the president.

00:44:46.840 That's without Trump.

00:44:48.140 It's an eight-character story.

00:44:50.320 How many people in the public are going to follow a story about Ukraine on something that

00:44:57.920 feels like old news that involves eight characters operating in a way that corresponds to and

00:45:06.560 connects to a story with 10 more players about something with impeachment and Ukraine and

00:45:13.580 something about the letter, and it was the perfect letter, but maybe it wasn't perfect.

00:45:18.300 And who did Trump talk to, and what were the dates of that, and who exactly has information

00:45:23.240 about the stuff that was, and does it even matter?

00:45:26.520 Can he do that anyway?

00:45:28.240 The most complicated story you've ever seen, and watching CNN wrestle with this is hilarious

00:45:35.360 because it's a story that can't be told.

00:45:39.000 It literally can't be told.

00:45:40.620 I mean, you could write it down in an accurate way, which all the details are there, but nobody's

00:45:47.060 going to understand it if they bother to read it.

00:45:50.500 It's all just becoming this same...

00:45:52.520 Yeah, somebody said conflate in the comments.

00:45:55.060 It's all starting to conflate into the same stuff.

00:45:59.820 It doesn't even feel like new.

00:46:01.640 So here's a little test.

00:46:03.460 Are you ready for this?

00:46:05.260 Find an article about these new shocking bombshell revelations that involve Lev Parnas, some kind

00:46:14.280 of a loose associate of Rudy Giuliani with this Ukraine stuff.

00:46:18.720 Find an article.

00:46:19.720 Find an article.

00:46:20.720 And then see how far you have to read into the article before you can find what the point

00:46:27.160 is.

00:46:28.160 I've never found it.

00:46:29.880 So I read a very long article on CNN.com, and I was trying to figure out, okay, it's a bombshell,

00:46:35.780 it's new information, it's damning.

00:46:38.720 What exactly?

00:46:39.540 And I kept reading and reading, looking for the part where they say, and here's the important

00:46:44.680 part.

00:46:46.040 Here's why we're telling you this.

00:46:48.020 Here's the main point.

00:46:49.700 Here's the bombshell.

00:46:51.320 And I kept reading and reading, and then I ran on a text, and I don't know what it was.

00:46:57.500 I mean, I actually don't know.

00:47:00.280 What was the bombshell?

00:47:01.420 I keep reading stories and seeing stories, and I don't even know.

00:47:05.720 And I even tried.

00:47:07.120 I put work into it.

00:47:09.200 I actually, I put some muscle into it.

00:47:11.780 I tried to understand the story, and I couldn't.

00:47:15.360 There's nothing there.

00:47:18.140 All right.

00:47:21.380 Here's the funniest comment from Representative Val Demings, a Florida Democrat in the House

00:47:27.300 Intelligence and Judiciary Committee.

00:47:29.060 And this is what she told CNN when asked about the Parnas documents, which is what I've been

00:47:35.140 talking about.

00:47:36.200 She said, quote, I think it's something we can't ignore.

00:47:42.840 Do you know what this is?

00:47:44.380 This is something you can really, you can really ignore.

00:47:50.060 All right.

00:47:50.440 So Bella is out, too, says, I'm very disingenuous, and I'm not that stupid.

00:47:56.900 Well, you got blocked.

00:48:01.120 Reasons only.

00:48:06.120 Insults to your host are not allowed.

00:48:11.560 YouTube continues to demonetize me for no reason, and so I do a commercial a day, which

00:48:17.560 I'll do again.

00:48:18.080 So my content is also mirrored on Bitshoot, B-I-T-C-H-U-T-E, and Rockfin.

00:48:26.480 You have to be a subscriber to see it on Rockfin, R-O-K-F-I-N.

00:48:31.040 If you Google either Bitshoot or Rockfin, you'll find their sites, and just Google me to find

00:48:36.100 it.

00:48:36.300 And let me tell you that my YouTube channel is this content.

00:48:45.620 Do you think there's anything about this content that an advertiser should be afraid of compared

00:48:51.780 to other content where they swear and they do just about everything?

00:48:56.900 Well, well, well.

00:48:57.640 So there's somebody at YouTube who is demonetizing me.

00:49:01.620 It's probably one individual whose actual job it is, who sees my content and says, ha, ha,

00:49:07.900 ha, demonetize. 0.69

00:49:12.380 I'm watching this story about the law enforcement and Bill Barr wants Apple to help them break

00:49:19.000 into an Apple device that this terrorist had, and Apple either can't or won't, or there's

00:49:26.980 some disagreement about whether they're helping or not.

00:49:29.540 I tend to believe Apple in this.

00:49:31.700 They probably are helping, but there's nothing they can do.

00:49:34.140 They made it encrypted for a reason.

00:49:37.600 And I'm kind of torn on this, because on one hand, I do want law enforcement to be able

00:49:45.900 to find terrorists and all that.

00:49:49.200 On the other hand, I kind of like the fact that nobody can get into my phone unless they

00:49:54.880 have my password.

00:49:56.160 I kind of like that.

00:49:58.240 So I'm kind of torn on this.

00:50:00.320 I could go either way on this.

00:50:01.720 But I definitely respect Apple for having privacy on their phone.

00:50:09.720 That's a completely supportable position, even if that privacy is working against the

00:50:15.020 government's interest in law enforcement.

00:50:18.360 Have you all seen the Bernie video?

00:50:21.300 It's about Project Veritas has a video in which a Bernie, one of Bernie's, what would

00:50:29.040 you call it, campaign people?

00:50:31.340 I forget who.

00:50:32.580 I don't care what his name is.

00:50:35.100 We're saying that if Bernie doesn't win, Wisconsin would burn and that the police would

00:50:40.960 get beaten up.

00:50:43.460 And I'm thinking, is that guy not fired yet?

00:50:48.940 Because if that guy's still on the campaign, I think Bernie's going to have some questions

00:50:53.580 to answer.

00:50:54.580 Has he been fired yet?

00:50:56.820 Somebody says yes.

00:51:00.920 Anyway, if he's not fired by the end of the day, I think you have to worry about Bernie.

00:51:05.440 Now, here's a Bernie thought.

00:51:06.720 Let me ask you this.

00:51:09.280 A lot of people think that Bernie, at his current age, he's not too old to be president.

00:51:16.600 Would you want a president who is too old to drive?

00:51:22.480 Because Bernie does drive, I believe.

00:51:25.640 I just saw a video of him pulling out of his driveway.

00:51:29.280 Anyway, and it seems to me, somebody's saying that the name of the Bernie campaign guy was

00:51:37.620 Kyle Jurak.

00:51:38.640 That sounds right.

00:51:40.100 But it seems to me that if you think a guy or a woman would not be qualified to drive an

00:51:48.540 automobile because they're too old, and I'd be real worried about getting in the car with

00:51:53.060 Bernie, wouldn't you?

00:51:53.840 I mean, seriously, if Bernie is driving, do you want to be in the passenger seat?

00:52:00.720 Serious question.

00:52:02.680 Would you feel safe?

00:52:04.120 And if you don't, well, maybe you should find some meaning in that.

00:52:10.200 One of Rupert Murdoch's sons is mad at Fox News, which is owned by Rupert Murdoch's parent

00:52:23.020 company, because Fox News is blaming, or at least some of the pundits are, not the news

00:52:29.540 people, but some of the pundits or opinion people on Fox News are blaming the fires that

00:52:38.060 are just devastating Australia, blaming it on arson instead of climate change, to which 0.80

00:52:46.100 I say, loser think, loser think.

00:52:50.720 If there are two reasons for a thing, and you're only willing to say there's one reason for a

00:52:57.360 thing, you should not be listened to.

00:52:59.640 If you're saying that the problem with Australia is only arson, or you're saying that it's only

00:53:07.040 climate change, you should not be listened to.

00:53:09.960 Why can't it be both?

00:53:11.740 Wouldn't that be the more likely thing, that it's climate change that you wouldn't have to

00:53:16.420 worry about that much if not for 200 arsons?

00:53:19.620 If you didn't have 200 arsons, would you care that there was a climate change?

00:53:25.120 Because nothing would be on fire.

00:53:27.300 I mean, and if it was, it would be limited compared to 200 fires.

00:53:31.780 So the same way I criticized Hillary Clinton for saying a new reason why she lost every

00:53:39.420 week, when in fact it was a thousand reasons.

00:53:43.340 A thousand things had to happen just the way they happened for the result to be just what

00:53:48.260 it was.

00:53:48.680 So this whole climate change versus fire thing is just dumb people arguing with each other.

00:53:56.480 If you can't say it might be both, you don't belong in a public conversation about it.

00:54:01.720 Now, I would respect people who say there is no climate change element at all, but I think

00:54:11.200 you have to say that if there is some climate change, you need both the climate change and the

00:54:18.280 arson to get the problem you have. 0.85

00:54:20.160 If you take any one of those away, you might have a different outcome, although the climate

00:54:24.840 part people will debate.

00:54:28.340 I saw a very convincing graphic that showed that, showing the earth warming.

00:54:35.720 And I would say at this point that the earth is warming probably is as close to a fact as

00:54:44.160 you can get.

00:54:46.020 And probably also that CO2 is part of that.

00:54:49.620 We don't know how much, you know, that, that part's a little harder, but I think that's

00:54:54.100 parts of fact too.

00:54:55.260 The part, the only part that I think deserves serious questioning is the economic projections

00:55:01.540 that come from that over 80 years.

00:55:03.660 Nobody can project an 80 year thing.

00:55:06.320 And if I had to predict, if there were any kind of a betting market, I would say this.

00:55:11.700 This is what I would say.

00:55:15.220 If there were a betting market, I would bet that we'll be fine and that fewer people will

00:55:21.380 die in the future from major disasters than in the past, because that's the way it's always

00:55:25.560 been.

00:55:26.240 And we'll probably continue.

00:55:27.880 So I don't think there's going to be an earth killing event, but it's worth worrying

00:55:33.880 about.

00:55:39.480 How does global warming stop rain?

00:55:44.400 Well, do you really want the answer to that?

00:55:48.500 If global, if global warming changes the weather patterns, you would expect some places to get

00:55:55.000 warmer, some places to get cooler, some places to rain more than the usual, some places to

00:56:00.280 rain less than usual.

00:56:01.740 So it's the disruption that's the problem.

00:56:03.960 It's not some general continuous warming that affects everybody the same way.

00:56:09.300 You're talking about disruptions, which make everything different than it was.

00:56:14.520 And if you've built a society around a certain temperature and climate and it changes, well,

00:56:19.920 your society is going to have to adjust to that.

00:56:21.680 And that could be expensive and dangerous.

00:56:29.400 Sunspots, plate tectonics.

00:56:31.780 Yeah, I've said before, and I'll say again, the worst take on climate change is that it's

00:56:37.380 the sun.

00:56:38.940 Now, even if you're right, it's the worst take, because it assumes that the scientists haven't

00:56:45.640 really looked into that.

00:56:47.220 They have.

00:56:48.600 They have.

00:56:49.400 They looked into the sun.

00:56:52.000 That's like right on the, that's in the top five of things you look into if you're a climate

00:56:56.880 scientist, because the sun creates some warmth.

00:56:59.560 So you're going to look at the sun.

00:57:01.120 So everybody who says the climate scientists forgot to look at the sun or they got it wrong,

00:57:06.240 that's the worst take.

00:57:08.300 Even if you're right, you could actually accidentally be right about that.

00:57:12.000 That is really the sun.

00:57:12.880 And amazingly, all the scientists got the sun wrong or they forgot to look at it.

00:57:17.780 I mean, it's possible, but it's not a good take.

00:57:23.820 What's the optimal CO2 level?

00:57:26.040 Well, here's the other worst take on climate.

00:57:28.920 Here's the other worst take.

00:57:31.100 CO2 used to be much higher in the past.

00:57:33.720 That is an uninformed take.

00:57:38.040 True.

00:57:38.800 It's a true statement.

00:57:40.340 But it's also true that when CO2 was high, a number of other variables, including the

00:57:45.620 sun, were different.

00:57:47.460 So looking at what CO2 was in the past is irrelevant if you go into the far past, because there

00:57:56.580 were too many other things different about the earth.

00:58:00.040 So it's not a comparison.

00:58:07.240 Sorry, Scott, the IPCC is adding the sun to the next report.

00:58:12.200 That supports what I'm saying.

00:58:15.160 That doesn't refute what I'm saying.

00:58:17.700 I'm saying that the scientists have looked at the sun, and that's not what they consider

00:58:24.900 the primary mover of climate change.

00:58:27.500 So if it's included in the IPCC report, it won't be included as, oh, we found out it's

00:58:34.220 just the sun.

00:58:35.680 That's not going to happen.

00:58:39.140 All right.

00:58:43.000 The sun was different.

00:58:44.480 Yes.

00:58:44.760 In early Earth life, when CO2 was much higher, the brightness and the warmth of the sun was

00:58:54.620 substantially different.

00:58:55.700 That is correct.

00:58:56.980 That is one of the big variables that was different in the past.

00:59:00.300 What if climate scientists are lying?

00:59:05.640 Somebody says, why are scientists automatically beyond reproach?

00:59:09.600 I never said that.

00:59:10.500 Now, the Australia thing is confusing me because even if it's climate change, why are they blaming

00:59:25.100 their own government?

00:59:26.400 Does that make sense?

00:59:27.780 The Australians seem to be blaming their own government for climate change.

00:59:32.660 What is the total percentage of climate change that Australia is responsible for?

00:59:40.800 1%?

00:59:42.240 1%?

00:59:43.040 There's nothing that Australia can do by itself that would make any difference to climate

00:59:47.200 change.

00:59:50.020 So I don't even understand what the protesters are complaining about.

00:59:53.400 They should be protesting China, right? 1.00

00:59:56.000 And India.

00:59:56.780 Never hear them talk about solar cycles because it's not too relevant, apparently.

01:00:09.340 It would take a lot to convert me, somebody says.

01:00:16.060 Somebody's saying that the CO2, one of the bad informations on the internet you'll find

01:00:22.440 is that CO2 follows temperatures instead of the other way around.

01:00:27.980 Or no, you'll see on the internet, the skeptics will say, no, the warmth happens first and then

01:00:36.660 the CO2 follows.

01:00:37.580 That's been debunked.

01:00:40.400 If you don't know that's been debunked, just Google it and you'll see the debunking.

01:00:52.580 Apply both venues reporting rule.

01:00:55.560 Breitbart, not Fox.

01:00:58.160 I don't know what your topic is there.

01:01:03.740 CO2 has never been higher.

01:01:05.540 Well, there are experts saying it was once higher.

01:01:14.540 Failure to do controlled burning.

01:01:16.440 That may be part of it.

01:01:17.820 I don't know enough about that topic.

01:01:20.640 Somebody says CO2 is a lagging indicator.

01:01:23.040 I just told you, if you Google it, that has been debunked.

01:01:27.480 So it's one of the common things that skeptics say, but it's debunked.

01:01:32.000 You know, the scientists have looked at it and they know that that's just not the case.

01:01:36.000 It doesn't follow.

01:01:37.400 But you will...

01:01:38.040 So, and I remember I've read the debunking and it has something to do with the way the

01:01:42.400 graph is made, blah, blah, blah.

01:01:43.860 So that it is just not true that it follows.

01:01:49.800 How many...

01:01:50.600 There was cooling during the Industrial Revolution.

01:01:57.520 Yeah, all of those things have been debunked.

01:02:00.020 So basically, everything that you believe is a debunking scientific fact has been debunked

01:02:08.860 by the actual scientists.

01:02:10.860 I don't...

01:02:11.240 There are no exceptions to that.

01:02:12.680 If you think that you have one that has not been debunked, just Google it.

01:02:18.460 Google what you think is true that hasn't been debunked along with the word debunked.

01:02:24.640 It'll pop right up.

01:02:30.840 Now, I want to say carefully that none of this means that science is right because often there

01:02:40.600 could be a consensus and they could be wrong.

01:02:42.960 I'm just saying that the people who know how to debunk this stuff have debunked all of

01:02:47.920 these common skeptical things.

01:02:50.320 If you haven't seen the debunk, you shouldn't be believing the people who make these claims.

01:02:57.800 You've got to at least see both of them.

01:02:59.820 All right.

01:03:00.760 That's all I got for you.

01:03:01.940 And I'll talk to you later.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 15, 2020

Episode 788 Scott Adams： The Whitest Democrats Running For President, Ukraine Confusion

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