Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 19, 2020


Episode 792 Scott Adams PART 1of2： Impeachment Stains, Mexican Cartels Theory


Episode Stats

Length

36 minutes

Words per Minute

147.59036

Word Count

5,439

Sentence Count

289

Misogynist Sentences

7

Hate Speech Sentences

13


Summary

On today's show, Alex Blumberg joins me to talk about the Conor McGregor vs. Khabib fight, why Joe Biden should have been the 2016 Democratic nominee, and why Cory Booker should be the next president of the United States.


Transcript

00:00:00.700 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum
00:00:08.240 Hey everybody, come on in.
00:00:11.640 Do you ever wonder why I do the simultaneous sip before my periscopes?
00:00:17.080 Well, some of it is a bonding experience, of course.
00:00:21.120 But I do it also, somebody asked about this,
00:00:23.460 I do it also because it gives time for people to stream in before I get into the serious content,
00:00:31.240 so I don't have to repeat myself.
00:00:33.940 And so, because you're all here so early, it's time for the simultaneous sip,
00:00:39.360 and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask,
00:00:43.540 a vessel of any kind.
00:00:45.420 Fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee.
00:00:47.740 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,
00:00:52.660 the thing that makes everything better, the simultaneous sip.
00:00:57.740 Go.
00:01:02.160 Ah.
00:01:05.820 To whoever said first time to come on time for the simultaneous sip,
00:01:10.820 well, now you know the pleasure.
00:01:14.100 Oh yeah, that's good.
00:01:15.780 All right, so yesterday I was giddily telling you that I saw a clip where Conor McGregor,
00:01:26.500 he's one of the top MMA fighters the world has ever produced,
00:01:32.460 that his coach mentioned me and the idea of systems over goals
00:01:37.900 as part of the training process for Conor McGregor.
00:01:41.260 And I was sort of bragging about it a little bit on Periscope yesterday,
00:01:46.300 that I'd done something useful that crossed into a domain that I would not have expected, actually.
00:01:53.900 And then I realized that Conor McGregor was going to fight last night.
00:01:58.300 But I didn't realize that the reason his coach, trainer, was talking is because the fight was coming up.
00:02:07.280 And suddenly I thought to myself,
00:02:09.720 uh-oh, what if he loses?
00:02:14.360 Here I've been telling everybody,
00:02:16.540 well, I think I've had some influence,
00:02:19.260 maybe indirectly or in a small way,
00:02:21.560 in the process he's using to train.
00:02:23.440 But, if you don't already know,
00:02:27.360 Conor McGregor won in 40 seconds.
00:02:31.940 Let me say that again.
00:02:33.820 He won the fight in 40 seconds.
00:02:37.280 I believe the total tally of punches that the other guy landed was
00:02:42.720 zero.
00:02:44.540 I think he fact-checked me on this.
00:02:50.300 But I think I heard that.
00:02:52.440 I think I heard that the other,
00:02:54.520 the guy, the cowboy, or whoever he knocked out,
00:02:57.540 who was a top-level fighter,
00:02:59.600 it's not like he was beating up
00:03:01.180 people who were just starting.
00:03:02.960 This was a top competitor.
00:03:05.900 And the outcome was
00:03:08.300 certainly in question.
00:03:10.820 And Conor McGregor beat him
00:03:12.080 in 40 seconds.
00:03:14.100 And the other guy
00:03:15.100 didn't land a punch.
00:03:19.680 So,
00:03:20.920 I guess you want to
00:03:22.220 read my book,
00:03:23.260 How to Fail at Almost Everything
00:03:24.400 and Still Win Big,
00:03:25.580 where I talk about
00:03:26.520 systems are better than goals.
00:03:29.000 If you can't remember the name of the book,
00:03:30.720 just go to Amazon and
00:03:31.880 Google my name and it'll pop up.
00:03:36.560 Let's talk about
00:03:37.740 my most ridiculous
00:03:41.460 prediction.
00:03:43.260 I suppose I've made some predictions
00:03:45.120 that are pretty ridiculous.
00:03:47.040 But none more ridiculous
00:03:48.640 than the one I made
00:03:50.720 about who will be the nominee
00:03:52.760 for the Democrats.
00:03:55.920 Now, a year and a half ago,
00:03:57.800 I said,
00:03:58.160 well, it's going to be
00:03:58.960 Harris
00:04:00.460 because she's got all the tools,
00:04:03.060 but it turns out
00:04:03.780 she's a terrible
00:04:04.720 just a terrible
00:04:07.180 campaigner,
00:04:07.980 like a really,
00:04:08.660 really bad campaigner.
00:04:09.920 So she's suspended
00:04:11.120 her run.
00:04:14.900 But
00:04:15.340 here's what I think
00:04:16.960 is going to happen.
00:04:18.600 Would you agree
00:04:19.500 that Joe Biden
00:04:20.360 is sort of the
00:04:21.520 I guess you'd say
00:04:23.440 he's the
00:04:24.280 establishment
00:04:25.280 Democrats' choice,
00:04:27.160 but I think
00:04:28.220 we'd all agree
00:04:28.920 they're not terribly
00:04:29.920 comfortable with him
00:04:31.120 because of his age.
00:04:33.260 They kind of like
00:04:34.300 where he is policy-wise
00:04:35.580 and his connections
00:04:36.880 to things,
00:04:38.080 but maybe not
00:04:38.880 a full confidence
00:04:39.940 in his
00:04:40.560 current abilities.
00:04:43.800 It looks like
00:04:44.760 the plan is this.
00:04:46.280 Now, by the way,
00:04:46.960 did you know
00:04:47.460 that Harris
00:04:48.080 had one of the
00:04:49.400 most endorsements
00:04:51.760 from established people?
00:04:54.400 That's important.
00:04:55.960 Did you know
00:04:56.560 that Harris
00:04:57.260 also,
00:04:58.600 I believe,
00:04:59.340 had the most
00:05:00.100 Hillary Clinton
00:05:01.820 associated people
00:05:03.420 working on her
00:05:04.940 campaign?
00:05:05.680 Did you know that?
00:05:07.860 That's important
00:05:08.760 because it does seem
00:05:10.340 that Harris
00:05:10.940 was who the,
00:05:12.920 let's say,
00:05:13.440 the Clinton holdovers
00:05:14.900 who you imagine
00:05:15.920 have deep state
00:05:17.240 kind of influence.
00:05:19.060 It looks like
00:05:19.980 they wanted her,
00:05:21.200 but she wasn't
00:05:22.140 getting any traction
00:05:22.980 and she was doing
00:05:23.680 a terrible job
00:05:24.640 of campaigning.
00:05:25.520 but
00:05:27.140 she's almost
00:05:29.140 a perfect
00:05:30.060 compliment
00:05:30.840 to Joe Biden
00:05:33.360 because
00:05:34.860 he's older,
00:05:36.840 she's young,
00:05:37.660 so that
00:05:38.720 gives you
00:05:39.240 a little confidence
00:05:40.100 that if something
00:05:40.780 happened to him,
00:05:41.500 you'd say,
00:05:41.840 well,
00:05:42.540 at least there's
00:05:43.180 a young person
00:05:43.980 with Senate
00:05:44.640 experience.
00:05:46.240 It's not going
00:05:46.840 to be the end
00:05:47.240 of the world
00:05:47.760 if Joe had to
00:05:49.160 exit the job
00:05:50.560 a little early.
00:05:51.840 So that's a good
00:05:52.740 compliment.
00:05:53.980 Secondly,
00:05:54.820 she's a person
00:05:55.780 of color.
00:05:57.260 Now,
00:05:57.500 so is Cory Booker.
00:05:59.480 Cory Booker,
00:06:00.340 very solid,
00:06:01.900 capable,
00:06:03.080 public servant,
00:06:05.360 senator.
00:06:06.620 Cory Booker
00:06:07.120 would be great,
00:06:07.720 right?
00:06:08.880 Except,
00:06:10.280 Cory Booker's
00:06:11.220 a man.
00:06:13.380 If you have
00:06:14.160 a choice
00:06:14.640 of having
00:06:15.420 your running mate,
00:06:16.240 let's say you're
00:06:16.660 Joe Biden,
00:06:17.360 a choice of having
00:06:18.180 someone who is
00:06:18.860 only a person
00:06:19.780 of color,
00:06:20.380 but unfortunately
00:06:21.260 a man,
00:06:21.840 versus someone
00:06:23.480 who's a person
00:06:24.040 of color,
00:06:24.560 but hey,
00:06:26.060 a woman.
00:06:27.520 Which is better?
00:06:28.320 Which is a better
00:06:28.900 compliment?
00:06:29.620 No question about it.
00:06:31.060 There's no question
00:06:31.940 about it.
00:06:32.420 The best compliment
00:06:33.640 to the ticket
00:06:34.440 is Harris.
00:06:36.240 Now,
00:06:36.740 I have a second
00:06:37.380 theory that
00:06:39.300 part of the reason
00:06:40.900 that Harris
00:06:41.360 disappeared is
00:06:43.120 that it was a way
00:06:44.080 to close down
00:06:44.740 the campaign
00:06:45.360 and get rid
00:06:46.100 of her sister
00:06:46.800 as her main
00:06:48.040 advisor.
00:06:48.520 because if
00:06:49.700 you're the
00:06:50.120 part of the,
00:06:50.840 let's say,
00:06:51.780 Clinton,
00:06:52.540 shadow government,
00:06:53.740 deep state,
00:06:55.000 Democrat,
00:06:55.980 establishment
00:06:57.380 people,
00:06:58.560 you kind of
00:06:59.660 needed to get
00:07:00.360 rid of
00:07:00.840 Harris's sister
00:07:01.900 in order
00:07:02.940 to make
00:07:03.360 Harris
00:07:03.780 useful.
00:07:06.160 I'm going
00:07:06.880 to say
00:07:07.320 that she
00:07:07.940 may be
00:07:08.340 undergoing
00:07:08.820 some kind
00:07:09.500 of coaching,
00:07:10.820 mentoring,
00:07:12.280 practice
00:07:12.860 situation,
00:07:13.600 and I
00:07:14.620 think that
00:07:15.080 if she
00:07:15.520 were to
00:07:15.940 be nominated
00:07:16.680 for vice
00:07:18.020 president
00:07:18.420 or picked
00:07:19.260 as a running
00:07:19.820 mate,
00:07:20.180 I mean,
00:07:20.480 by Biden,
00:07:21.860 that the
00:07:22.780 next time
00:07:23.280 you see
00:07:23.680 her,
00:07:24.500 she's going
00:07:24.880 to come
00:07:25.200 back stronger,
00:07:27.020 meaning more
00:07:27.980 charisma,
00:07:29.560 better
00:07:30.160 presentation,
00:07:31.660 a little
00:07:31.940 more crisp
00:07:33.160 message,
00:07:34.680 you know,
00:07:35.040 on point,
00:07:36.520 and so that's
00:07:37.780 what I would
00:07:38.220 look for
00:07:38.680 because I
00:07:39.840 believe she's
00:07:40.400 very coachable.
00:07:42.320 Harris is
00:07:42.880 unique in
00:07:43.400 that she
00:07:43.640 doesn't
00:07:43.940 seem to
00:07:45.980 have any
00:07:46.320 problems
00:07:46.760 that I
00:07:47.080 would
00:07:47.220 consider
00:07:47.800 unsolvable,
00:07:49.660 natural
00:07:50.020 problems.
00:07:51.260 It all
00:07:51.600 seems like
00:07:52.120 technique.
00:07:53.720 Now,
00:07:54.060 some have
00:07:54.500 pointed out,
00:07:55.880 you know,
00:07:56.640 hey,
00:07:57.160 Harris does
00:07:57.680 not have a
00:07:58.180 lot of
00:07:58.580 popularity
00:07:59.380 in the
00:07:59.940 African-American
00:08:00.640 community.
00:08:02.280 Doesn't
00:08:02.880 matter,
00:08:03.660 because Joe
00:08:04.360 Biden does.
00:08:06.160 Joe Biden's
00:08:06.940 popularity in
00:08:07.740 the African-American
00:08:08.520 community is so
00:08:09.460 high that he
00:08:10.640 doesn't really
00:08:11.240 need to bring
00:08:12.080 more in by
00:08:12.780 his vice
00:08:13.260 presidential
00:08:13.840 pick.
00:08:14.720 He just
00:08:15.240 needs to
00:08:15.640 show that
00:08:16.000 he's being
00:08:16.520 open to
00:08:17.840 diversity and
00:08:18.900 he's being
00:08:19.820 inclusive,
00:08:20.640 and that's
00:08:20.900 why she'd
00:08:21.240 be a
00:08:21.480 perfect
00:08:21.900 complement.
00:08:23.660 Either of
00:08:24.180 them individually
00:08:24.920 is a little
00:08:25.420 weak, but
00:08:26.360 together they
00:08:27.000 actually fit
00:08:27.800 pretty well
00:08:28.540 and better
00:08:29.400 than anybody
00:08:29.920 else, at
00:08:30.880 least who's
00:08:31.340 a name in
00:08:32.040 our consciousness
00:08:33.760 right now.
00:08:35.420 So, the
00:08:36.920 other part of
00:08:37.460 the prediction
00:08:38.360 is that by
00:08:39.260 election day,
00:08:40.060 if it turns
00:08:41.500 out it's a
00:08:42.100 Biden-Harris
00:08:42.900 ticket, that
00:08:44.180 by election
00:08:44.780 day, either
00:08:45.780 literally or
00:08:48.400 in kind,
00:08:50.160 people will be
00:08:50.960 talking about
00:08:51.680 Harris as the
00:08:52.460 top of the
00:08:52.960 ticket.
00:08:53.980 Now, they
00:08:54.360 might be
00:08:54.740 saying, hey,
00:08:55.260 let's flip
00:08:55.740 him before
00:08:56.180 election day,
00:08:57.000 because Joe
00:08:57.780 Biden looks
00:08:58.300 like he's
00:08:58.680 falling apart.
00:09:00.040 Or they
00:09:00.700 might say,
00:09:01.640 well, let's
00:09:02.420 get through
00:09:02.860 the election
00:09:03.360 the way it
00:09:03.840 is, but at
00:09:05.020 least we've
00:09:05.380 got our
00:09:05.760 emergency
00:09:06.260 spare ready.
00:09:07.100 So, I
00:09:09.680 think you're
00:09:10.080 going to
00:09:10.220 see, Harris,
00:09:11.780 this is my
00:09:12.480 most unlikely
00:09:14.080 prediction of
00:09:15.040 all time.
00:09:16.100 I believe that
00:09:16.820 there's not one
00:09:17.440 person here who
00:09:18.200 would agree with
00:09:18.940 me, is there?
00:09:20.200 Probably not one
00:09:21.020 of you.
00:09:22.060 And that's what
00:09:22.740 makes it fun.
00:09:23.940 All right.
00:09:25.620 So, we'll just
00:09:26.460 track that one.
00:09:27.200 If I'm wrong,
00:09:27.800 I'm wrong.
00:09:29.140 I've got a
00:09:29.840 theory about
00:09:30.480 Mexico.
00:09:32.180 There was a
00:09:32.700 story that the
00:09:33.500 Mexican military
00:09:35.300 stopped a
00:09:36.740 big crowd
00:09:37.860 of Guatemalans
00:09:38.800 who were
00:09:39.040 trying to
00:09:39.740 penetrate the
00:09:40.800 southern border
00:09:41.400 of Mexico,
00:09:42.120 if I understand
00:09:42.860 this right.
00:09:44.000 And Mexico
00:09:44.540 is doing a
00:09:45.160 good job for
00:09:45.780 the United
00:09:46.120 States, being
00:09:47.180 a good neighbor
00:09:48.280 and partner,
00:09:48.960 by stopping it
00:09:49.800 before it gets
00:09:50.540 to our border.
00:09:52.060 And I say to
00:09:52.940 myself, you
00:09:53.660 know, why is
00:09:55.880 it that the
00:09:56.320 government of
00:09:57.140 Mexico was so
00:09:59.000 good on this
00:09:59.740 point, but
00:10:02.840 not good on,
00:10:03.720 let's say,
00:10:04.120 fighting cartels?
00:10:05.140 Because I
00:10:07.000 look at what
00:10:08.100 the government
00:10:08.800 of Mexico is
00:10:09.480 doing, they're
00:10:09.880 putting a lot
00:10:10.300 of money and
00:10:11.020 resources, and
00:10:12.600 it feels like
00:10:13.400 they're doing it
00:10:14.060 almost entirely
00:10:15.840 for the benefit
00:10:16.580 of the United
00:10:17.160 States.
00:10:18.520 Does that seem
00:10:19.480 in character?
00:10:21.060 Does it make
00:10:21.660 sense, given the
00:10:23.100 other things
00:10:23.640 they're doing?
00:10:24.520 So how does it
00:10:25.200 make sense that
00:10:25.900 they're so
00:10:26.360 flexible, and
00:10:27.860 really, more
00:10:29.280 than flexible,
00:10:30.060 they're putting
00:10:30.640 major effort and
00:10:32.060 resources?
00:10:32.480 Is it doing
00:10:33.560 something we
00:10:34.140 want, stopping
00:10:35.140 people coming
00:10:35.760 through their
00:10:36.200 southern border
00:10:36.820 before they get
00:10:37.460 to our border?
00:10:38.840 But at the
00:10:39.560 same time, it
00:10:40.820 feels like they're
00:10:41.400 doing absolutely
00:10:42.040 nothing about the
00:10:42.940 cartels, at least
00:10:45.180 in terms of how
00:10:46.180 much we've offered
00:10:46.920 to help them, and
00:10:47.820 they've said, no,
00:10:49.160 let's go with the
00:10:49.800 hugs, not the
00:10:50.880 guns.
00:10:51.620 How could you
00:10:52.280 explain those two
00:10:53.220 things?
00:10:54.620 Well, unfortunately,
00:10:55.840 there is one way
00:10:56.700 to explain it.
00:10:57.920 Now, I'm not going
00:10:58.500 to say that this is
00:10:59.580 a truth.
00:11:01.360 I'm going to say
00:11:01.960 that it would
00:11:03.180 explain our
00:11:04.080 observation in a
00:11:05.260 way that nothing
00:11:06.620 else does.
00:11:08.000 And it goes like
00:11:08.740 this.
00:11:09.800 The cartels
00:11:10.700 effectively own
00:11:12.200 the government
00:11:12.740 of Mexico.
00:11:14.820 The cartels
00:11:16.180 make a tremendous
00:11:17.540 amount of money
00:11:18.440 helping small
00:11:20.860 groups of mostly
00:11:22.300 Mexican citizens
00:11:23.560 across the
00:11:24.580 border.
00:11:25.480 So it's a
00:11:26.240 gigantic profit
00:11:27.120 center for the
00:11:28.180 cartels,
00:11:29.580 to let the
00:11:30.360 onesies and
00:11:30.960 twosies across
00:11:31.680 the border.
00:11:32.240 Lots of them.
00:11:32.980 I mean, it's a
00:11:33.480 big volume, but
00:11:34.560 they're coming
00:11:34.920 across in small
00:11:35.720 groups.
00:11:37.320 The reason that
00:11:38.580 the Guatemalans
00:11:39.600 form up into
00:11:41.000 large convoys is
00:11:43.340 so that the
00:11:44.160 cartel can't
00:11:45.780 abuse them and
00:11:46.780 can't take their
00:11:47.560 money and can't
00:11:48.920 profit.
00:11:50.760 So, it seems
00:11:52.380 that the
00:11:52.760 government of
00:11:53.440 Mexico is very,
00:11:55.280 very flexible and
00:11:56.340 willing to work
00:11:57.080 with us when it
00:11:58.460 helps the
00:11:59.020 profit of the
00:11:59.920 cartel.
00:12:00.960 Now, it helps
00:12:01.680 us, so I
00:12:03.120 think we're
00:12:03.460 pretty happy that
00:12:04.200 Mexico is
00:12:04.840 stopping the
00:12:05.600 caravans, but
00:12:07.560 the caravans
00:12:08.320 were the one
00:12:09.000 way that the
00:12:09.880 cartels couldn't
00:12:10.700 make money,
00:12:11.780 because they
00:12:12.640 formed cartels
00:12:13.440 for that purpose,
00:12:14.340 so the cartels
00:12:15.220 could not blackmail
00:12:17.060 them and threaten
00:12:17.720 them.
00:12:18.060 It was a security
00:12:19.400 reason.
00:12:19.900 That's why they
00:12:20.300 do it.
00:12:20.640 So, my guess is
00:12:24.880 that the reason
00:12:25.500 that there may
00:12:26.820 be perhaps even
00:12:28.700 some kind of
00:12:29.480 understanding with
00:12:30.900 our government
00:12:31.480 that we're really
00:12:33.140 dealing with the
00:12:33.820 cartels, and
00:12:35.200 that if we can
00:12:36.000 get them to stop
00:12:36.740 the massive
00:12:37.360 immigration, at
00:12:38.940 least we've got
00:12:39.500 something, and
00:12:41.140 we're going to
00:12:41.540 have to figure out
00:12:42.140 what to do about
00:12:42.800 fentanyl later.
00:12:45.320 I saw on news,
00:12:46.560 I don't know who
00:12:47.040 was talking about
00:12:47.620 it, that we have
00:12:48.060 some kind of
00:12:48.520 process, where
00:12:49.800 we check the
00:12:50.700 incoming, I
00:12:51.680 guess once a
00:12:52.260 month, we
00:12:53.180 randomly check
00:12:54.060 incoming shipping
00:12:56.420 containers or
00:12:57.460 goods coming in
00:12:58.360 from China.
00:12:59.620 In our recent
00:13:00.740 checks, something
00:13:01.600 like 15% of
00:13:03.740 all the goods
00:13:04.440 coming in from
00:13:05.140 China are
00:13:06.200 contraband.
00:13:09.020 15%, one
00:13:09.840 five, 15% of
00:13:12.320 everything that's
00:13:13.080 coming in from
00:13:13.680 China is either
00:13:15.320 counterfeit goods
00:13:17.220 that are competing
00:13:18.500 with American
00:13:19.200 products or other
00:13:20.080 products, could be
00:13:21.220 European, and
00:13:23.220 fentanyl and
00:13:24.600 drugs, 15%.
00:13:26.840 And apparently
00:13:27.760 that's the way
00:13:28.540 we'll, it's one
00:13:29.580 of the ways we
00:13:30.100 can tell if
00:13:30.800 they're cooperating
00:13:31.660 over time.
00:13:32.820 So once a
00:13:33.380 month they'll do
00:13:34.060 a survey, and
00:13:35.620 if it's still
00:13:36.240 15%, it means
00:13:38.640 that China is not
00:13:39.520 cracking down on
00:13:40.400 intellectual property,
00:13:41.520 they're not
00:13:41.880 cracking down on
00:13:42.600 fentanyl, because
00:13:43.560 they have the
00:13:44.080 ability.
00:13:44.660 We know they
00:13:45.140 have the
00:13:45.400 ability.
00:13:47.660 And so I'm
00:13:49.940 looking at all
00:13:50.540 this, and I'm
00:13:51.440 thinking, I don't
00:13:53.860 know if we've
00:13:54.420 done enough
00:13:55.000 working with
00:13:56.440 China to stop
00:13:57.240 the fentanyl.
00:13:57.980 I hear there's
00:13:58.540 something happening,
00:13:59.980 you know, that
00:14:00.740 there's noise about
00:14:02.380 them being successful,
00:14:03.420 but I'll say it a
00:14:04.040 million times.
00:14:05.020 As long as the
00:14:06.180 top known
00:14:07.680 fentanyl dealer in
00:14:09.040 China is still
00:14:09.720 free, which I
00:14:11.480 believe he is,
00:14:12.140 somebody can
00:14:13.020 fact check me
00:14:14.380 on that, but I
00:14:14.880 believe he's just
00:14:16.120 shopping and walking
00:14:17.220 around and selling
00:14:18.140 fentanyl by the
00:14:19.160 barrel.
00:14:21.340 As long as that
00:14:22.320 guy is still alive
00:14:23.360 and free, China's
00:14:25.540 not doing anything.
00:14:26.740 That's not real.
00:14:28.980 All right.
00:14:31.880 Scott Jennings had
00:14:33.120 an interesting
00:14:33.940 opinion piece on
00:14:36.080 CNN, which I
00:14:38.340 took some
00:14:39.800 inspiration from
00:14:40.720 for a tweet.
00:14:43.140 And Scott
00:14:44.360 Jennings's point
00:14:45.980 was that,
00:14:49.640 well, here's the
00:14:50.440 way I summarized
00:14:51.200 it in my tweet.
00:14:52.100 So these are my
00:14:52.780 words.
00:14:53.220 I said it's
00:14:53.620 starting to look as
00:14:54.400 if the permanent
00:14:55.080 stain of impeachment
00:14:56.280 will be on
00:14:57.700 Pelosi for
00:14:58.960 trivializing the
00:15:00.060 process, while at
00:15:01.440 the same time it
00:15:02.140 confirms that Trump
00:15:03.000 is directly over
00:15:03.940 the target he was
00:15:04.920 elected to destroy.
00:15:07.140 Now, Scott
00:15:07.740 Jennings's point,
00:15:08.560 which I basically
00:15:09.420 stole to reword
00:15:10.680 into a tweet,
00:15:11.720 because I wanted
00:15:12.860 the crisp version
00:15:15.000 because it just
00:15:16.240 transmits better
00:15:17.240 at small.
00:15:20.360 His point was
00:15:21.620 that Donald
00:15:23.360 Trump was
00:15:24.220 elected to
00:15:25.660 break the
00:15:26.780 parts of the
00:15:27.320 government we
00:15:27.940 don't like.
00:15:29.560 Right?
00:15:30.600 I mean, that's
00:15:31.140 pretty true.
00:15:32.460 Nobody elected
00:15:33.320 Trump to be a
00:15:34.620 steady state,
00:15:35.580 keep it the same,
00:15:36.900 keep this ship
00:15:37.680 going just the
00:15:38.460 way it was.
00:15:39.100 he was brought
00:15:40.520 in to just
00:15:41.120 break stuff.
00:15:43.120 He was brought
00:15:44.520 in like a
00:15:45.320 wrecking ball
00:15:46.020 to just, you
00:15:47.420 know, just
00:15:48.320 wreck all the
00:15:49.560 stuff that was
00:15:50.340 frozen and
00:15:51.240 broken and
00:15:52.040 corrupt.
00:15:53.640 Now, of course,
00:15:54.420 he can't get rid
00:15:55.120 of all corruption
00:15:55.960 and all problems
00:15:57.840 in the government,
00:15:58.960 but what would
00:16:00.760 you expect the
00:16:02.020 world would look
00:16:02.820 like if he were
00:16:04.120 successful in
00:16:05.200 doing what his
00:16:05.880 voters asked him
00:16:06.920 to do?
00:16:07.320 What would
00:16:07.960 that look like?
00:16:09.520 Well, one of
00:16:10.820 the things that I
00:16:11.480 think you could
00:16:12.060 predict is that
00:16:13.620 the other side
00:16:14.340 would try
00:16:15.080 everything they
00:16:16.020 could to stop
00:16:17.700 him.
00:16:18.440 They would try
00:16:18.980 all the easy
00:16:19.600 stuff first.
00:16:20.580 Let's try to
00:16:21.080 beat him in the
00:16:21.620 election.
00:16:22.180 Okay, that
00:16:22.660 didn't work.
00:16:23.620 Let's try to
00:16:24.200 beat him in
00:16:24.760 public opinion.
00:16:26.520 Okay, he's
00:16:26.980 really good at
00:16:27.560 that.
00:16:27.780 That's not
00:16:28.160 working.
00:16:28.840 Let's beat
00:16:29.320 him by
00:16:29.640 controlling the
00:16:30.300 press.
00:16:31.020 Uh-oh, he
00:16:31.580 just delegitimized
00:16:32.640 the entire
00:16:33.180 press.
00:16:33.860 Let's use our
00:16:34.600 deep state and
00:16:36.020 the people we
00:16:36.700 have in maybe
00:16:37.800 the FBI or
00:16:38.800 the Department
00:16:39.440 of Justice.
00:16:40.260 Uh-oh, they
00:16:40.740 got caught.
00:16:42.360 Think about
00:16:42.880 it.
00:16:43.760 The Democrats
00:16:44.380 have thrown
00:16:45.040 everything you
00:16:47.240 could throw at
00:16:47.900 this president.
00:16:49.160 What would be
00:16:49.640 the most natural
00:16:50.760 result of,
00:16:53.340 here's the key
00:16:54.160 point, and this
00:16:54.820 is what I'm
00:16:55.240 stealing from
00:16:55.740 Scott Jennings,
00:16:56.660 what would be
00:16:57.160 the natural
00:16:57.960 outcome of
00:16:59.820 Trump succeeding
00:17:01.080 at what he
00:17:01.960 promised his
00:17:02.740 voters?
00:17:04.620 Impeachment.
00:17:05.140 given that
00:17:07.080 the House
00:17:09.040 is controlled
00:17:09.980 by the
00:17:10.380 other party.
00:17:11.460 You would
00:17:12.160 expect, and
00:17:13.260 in fact we
00:17:13.880 should have
00:17:14.220 been able to
00:17:14.800 predict, that
00:17:16.020 the better
00:17:16.480 Trump did in
00:17:18.200 terms of
00:17:18.740 destroying the
00:17:19.580 things that
00:17:20.100 people wanted
00:17:20.820 him to
00:17:21.180 destroy,
00:17:22.160 everything from
00:17:22.860 the press to
00:17:23.720 every old way
00:17:25.320 of doing
00:17:25.640 things, apparently
00:17:26.840 he was calling
00:17:27.440 his generals
00:17:28.020 idiots.
00:17:29.720 I'm not even
00:17:30.620 sad about that.
00:17:31.820 he came in
00:17:33.860 to break
00:17:34.260 stuff, he's
00:17:35.680 breaking stuff,
00:17:36.500 and he's not
00:17:37.020 breaking the
00:17:37.540 stuff I didn't
00:17:38.280 want broken,
00:17:39.600 he's only
00:17:40.160 breaking the
00:17:40.700 stuff I
00:17:41.180 thought needed
00:17:41.760 to get a
00:17:42.240 little bit
00:17:42.560 broken, at
00:17:43.320 least shake
00:17:43.620 the box,
00:17:44.160 right?
00:17:45.120 So, this
00:17:47.440 weird thing is
00:17:48.220 forming, which
00:17:49.640 is that the
00:17:51.040 impeachment is
00:17:51.900 starting to
00:17:52.660 morph or
00:17:54.360 evolve from
00:17:56.560 the worst
00:17:57.600 stain a
00:17:58.420 president could
00:17:59.100 have to
00:18:00.660 wait for
00:18:02.140 it, the
00:18:04.400 clearest
00:18:05.180 signal that
00:18:05.940 he's doing
00:18:06.380 what the
00:18:06.840 voters asked
00:18:07.500 him to do.
00:18:08.560 You could
00:18:09.300 not have a
00:18:10.140 more clear
00:18:10.860 signal that
00:18:13.280 he's right
00:18:13.920 over the
00:18:14.320 target, because
00:18:15.580 he's getting
00:18:15.960 all the
00:18:16.280 anti-aircraft
00:18:17.120 fire, they're
00:18:18.560 unloading the
00:18:19.400 clip, right?
00:18:20.740 They're throwing
00:18:21.380 everything at
00:18:22.240 him, it's all
00:18:22.640 they had left,
00:18:23.740 and it looks
00:18:24.560 desperate, does
00:18:25.380 it not?
00:18:26.900 Impeachment is
00:18:27.800 starting to look
00:18:28.760 like a death
00:18:29.820 rattle for the
00:18:30.680 Democratic Party,
00:18:32.400 and it's
00:18:33.180 starting to
00:18:33.720 look, not
00:18:34.580 even starting
00:18:35.160 to look, I
00:18:36.200 can state this
00:18:37.500 as a firm
00:18:40.240 statement of
00:18:40.940 fact, Pelosi
00:18:43.160 is going to
00:18:44.740 wear the
00:18:45.320 stain of
00:18:45.960 impeachment
00:18:46.400 forever,
00:18:48.500 because she
00:18:49.940 broke one
00:18:51.880 of the most
00:18:52.300 important parts
00:18:53.120 of the
00:18:53.400 Constitution.
00:18:55.040 She broke
00:18:55.860 impeachment by
00:18:56.960 mistreating it,
00:18:57.840 by trivializing
00:19:00.100 it, by
00:19:00.520 using it as
00:19:01.100 a base
00:19:02.620 political tool
00:19:03.640 instead of
00:19:04.240 the last
00:19:04.640 resort.
00:19:06.460 She's going
00:19:07.020 to have to
00:19:07.400 live with
00:19:07.760 that forever.
00:19:10.040 Every time
00:19:10.740 in the future
00:19:11.320 there's another
00:19:12.260 impeachment, and
00:19:13.160 you know there's
00:19:13.680 going to be a
00:19:14.100 lot of them,
00:19:15.120 going to be a
00:19:15.960 lot of them.
00:19:16.860 Every time
00:19:17.480 your president
00:19:18.400 is a different
00:19:19.120 party from the
00:19:20.340 House, impeachment
00:19:21.700 is just automatic.
00:19:23.100 And what will
00:19:23.620 every story say
00:19:24.920 about that?
00:19:26.720 They're going
00:19:27.080 to say Pelosi
00:19:27.820 did this.
00:19:29.060 They're going
00:19:29.320 to say Pelosi
00:19:30.120 broke this.
00:19:31.420 This used to
00:19:32.160 be a process
00:19:33.180 that would get
00:19:33.780 rid of a
00:19:34.280 Richard Nixon.
00:19:36.380 Now it's not.
00:19:38.040 Now it's just
00:19:38.680 a broken
00:19:39.240 partisan thing,
00:19:41.360 and that
00:19:42.340 stain will be
00:19:43.040 on Pelosi
00:19:43.620 forever.
00:19:44.600 But what about
00:19:45.400 the stain on
00:19:46.220 Trump?
00:19:47.500 Well, here's the
00:19:48.400 thing.
00:19:49.460 If you get
00:19:50.240 impeached because
00:19:51.100 you did, let's
00:19:52.040 say, what
00:19:52.380 Richard Nixon did,
00:19:53.300 well, that's
00:19:53.780 a stain forever.
00:19:55.120 If you get
00:19:55.820 impeached for
00:19:56.620 what Bill
00:19:57.060 Clinton did,
00:19:58.660 it's kind of a
00:19:59.240 mixed bag, isn't
00:20:00.040 it?
00:20:01.160 How many of
00:20:02.020 you think back
00:20:02.760 to the Clinton
00:20:03.440 administration and
00:20:05.020 think, well,
00:20:06.680 let's say if
00:20:07.720 you're a
00:20:08.020 Democrat, how
00:20:09.260 many look back
00:20:09.900 to the Bill
00:20:10.520 Clinton
00:20:10.840 administration and
00:20:11.900 say, you
00:20:12.780 know, he did
00:20:13.860 a whole bunch
00:20:14.240 of good things,
00:20:15.040 was a very
00:20:15.460 successful
00:20:16.040 administration
00:20:16.940 from my
00:20:18.400 perspective as
00:20:19.280 a Democrat.
00:20:19.840 And by the
00:20:20.120 way, I would
00:20:20.800 agree that Bill
00:20:22.140 Clinton had a
00:20:22.980 successful
00:20:23.520 presidency.
00:20:25.020 But I have
00:20:26.280 not once, not
00:20:28.520 one time, have
00:20:30.460 I thought back
00:20:31.200 and said to
00:20:31.700 myself, you
00:20:32.260 know, I
00:20:33.480 think less of
00:20:34.220 Bill Clinton
00:20:34.780 because he
00:20:35.600 got impeached.
00:20:37.280 Not once.
00:20:39.020 I don't
00:20:39.800 believe Bill
00:20:40.420 Clinton has a
00:20:42.180 stain on his
00:20:42.840 presidency as
00:20:44.300 big as the
00:20:44.920 stain he left
00:20:45.560 on Monica's
00:20:46.260 dress.
00:20:47.920 You know,
00:20:48.160 certainly it's
00:20:48.640 part of the
00:20:49.080 story.
00:20:49.700 Everybody's
00:20:50.160 heard of it.
00:20:51.000 He would
00:20:51.460 prefer that
00:20:52.040 didn't happen.
00:20:53.000 His supporters
00:20:53.560 would prefer
00:20:54.180 it didn't
00:20:54.500 happen.
00:20:55.220 But if you're
00:20:55.700 talking about
00:20:56.140 the impeachment
00:20:56.780 itself, which
00:20:58.560 did not remove
00:20:59.580 him from office,
00:21:01.080 is he stained
00:21:02.160 by the
00:21:02.620 impeachment?
00:21:03.760 Not really.
00:21:05.340 I mean, he
00:21:05.760 might be stained
00:21:06.400 by the event
00:21:07.340 itself.
00:21:09.040 But his
00:21:10.540 presidency looks
00:21:11.980 completely intact
00:21:13.020 to me.
00:21:14.520 Am I wrong?
00:21:15.760 How many people
00:21:16.620 think less of
00:21:18.140 Bill Clinton
00:21:19.080 because of
00:21:20.680 impeachment?
00:21:22.260 I don't
00:21:23.000 think I've
00:21:23.440 ever met
00:21:23.800 one person.
00:21:24.800 Have you?
00:21:26.460 Test it on
00:21:27.120 yourself.
00:21:28.020 Bill Clinton
00:21:28.520 actually did
00:21:29.240 something that
00:21:30.860 both parties
00:21:31.600 thought was
00:21:32.200 worthy of
00:21:32.880 impeachment, or
00:21:33.580 at least enough
00:21:34.120 of them thought
00:21:34.580 it was worthy
00:21:35.060 of impeachment.
00:21:37.840 And there's
00:21:38.700 no stain.
00:21:40.080 There's a
00:21:40.660 stain on what
00:21:41.140 he did, but
00:21:41.640 not on the
00:21:42.060 impeachment part.
00:21:43.540 So I think
00:21:44.240 Bill Clinton
00:21:44.820 tells us what's
00:21:46.740 going to happen
00:21:47.160 with Trump,
00:21:47.860 is that it's
00:21:48.480 going to look
00:21:48.840 like a badge
00:21:49.560 of success
00:21:50.260 by the time
00:21:51.340 he's done
00:21:51.700 with it.
00:21:52.500 You know,
00:21:52.660 Trump does
00:21:53.120 better than
00:21:53.780 anybody at
00:21:54.440 grabbing the
00:21:54.960 gun out of
00:21:55.460 the muggers'
00:21:56.480 hands and
00:21:56.880 turning it
00:21:57.300 around.
00:21:58.260 You know,
00:21:58.480 fake news was
00:21:59.380 originally a
00:22:00.000 complaint about
00:22:00.640 Trump, and
00:22:01.620 then he turned
00:22:02.400 it around.
00:22:03.000 Now it's a
00:22:03.440 complaint about
00:22:04.020 the entire
00:22:04.540 media business,
00:22:06.060 which he's
00:22:06.500 ruined the
00:22:08.380 credibility of
00:22:09.220 completely.
00:22:11.040 They've done
00:22:11.640 a good job of
00:22:12.300 that themselves.
00:22:13.480 All right,
00:22:13.740 let's talk
00:22:14.040 about something
00:22:14.400 else.
00:22:14.640 In some
00:22:18.660 Twitter feed
00:22:19.200 yesterday, I
00:22:20.160 guess, I was
00:22:20.920 supporting Bernie's
00:22:21.980 version of
00:22:22.560 events with
00:22:23.600 Elizabeth Warren.
00:22:25.420 So it doesn't
00:22:26.280 matter the
00:22:26.640 details, but I
00:22:27.360 did a supportive
00:22:29.420 tweet about
00:22:30.960 Bernie saying
00:22:31.660 essentially that I
00:22:32.680 believe his
00:22:33.140 version of the
00:22:33.660 story, and a
00:22:34.940 number of Bernie
00:22:35.500 supporters jumped
00:22:36.460 in to say they
00:22:38.180 were grudgingly
00:22:39.060 agreeing with me
00:22:39.880 because they're
00:22:40.400 Bernie supporters,
00:22:41.140 and they hated
00:22:43.180 it because I'm
00:22:43.880 such a terrible
00:22:44.600 person, and
00:22:45.920 that I'm the
00:22:46.340 worst person in
00:22:47.060 the world, and
00:22:48.280 that agreeing
00:22:48.820 with me is hard
00:22:50.560 because I'm so
00:22:51.220 terrible.
00:22:52.120 And I thought
00:22:52.860 to myself, I
00:22:55.640 don't know too
00:22:56.640 many people I
00:22:57.400 would call terrible
00:22:58.200 people.
00:22:59.840 I know a lot
00:23:00.720 of people I
00:23:01.180 disagree with.
00:23:02.520 I know a lot
00:23:03.120 of people who
00:23:03.540 have done specific
00:23:04.440 things I don't
00:23:05.160 like.
00:23:06.140 But I don't
00:23:06.880 really think of
00:23:07.500 too many people
00:23:08.180 as just terrible
00:23:10.280 people.
00:23:11.140 And I think,
00:23:12.160 what kind of
00:23:12.540 fake news are
00:23:13.180 you reading?
00:23:14.120 Like, I don't
00:23:14.600 even know where
00:23:15.020 it comes from.
00:23:16.380 What exactly
00:23:17.180 have I done that
00:23:18.760 would qualify me
00:23:19.860 to be a terrible
00:23:20.620 human?
00:23:21.700 I mean, not
00:23:22.520 just somebody
00:23:23.740 you disagree
00:23:24.260 with, not
00:23:25.560 somebody who
00:23:26.060 said a stupid
00:23:26.720 thing, a dumb
00:23:27.440 thing, not
00:23:28.020 somebody whose
00:23:29.180 opinions don't
00:23:30.180 make sense, none
00:23:30.880 of that, but a
00:23:32.900 horrible human
00:23:33.720 being, which
00:23:35.040 was the most
00:23:35.480 common thing that
00:23:36.480 people were saying
00:23:37.220 about me yesterday
00:23:38.440 on Twitter.
00:23:39.300 at least the
00:23:41.100 critics.
00:23:42.260 Now, none of
00:23:42.820 that bothers me,
00:23:43.520 of course, but
00:23:44.660 I'm sort of
00:23:45.720 amused by it
00:23:46.540 because Bernie
00:23:49.380 supporters are
00:23:50.340 more toxic than
00:23:52.320 I had imagined.
00:23:53.580 You know, you
00:23:54.040 probably saw the
00:23:54.720 Project Veritas
00:23:55.600 thing with one
00:23:56.700 of the Bernie
00:23:57.080 supporters who
00:23:58.340 just had some
00:24:00.720 things to say,
00:24:01.760 didn't he?
00:24:02.680 You all saw
00:24:03.600 that.
00:24:03.920 and probably
00:24:04.880 made you
00:24:05.300 think, huh,
00:24:06.820 these Bernie
00:24:07.400 supporters are
00:24:08.300 an interesting
00:24:08.980 group of
00:24:09.560 people.
00:24:11.040 You know, I'm
00:24:12.280 sure most of
00:24:12.900 them are, you
00:24:13.980 know, just, you
00:24:15.420 know, have a
00:24:15.840 preference for
00:24:16.540 him as a
00:24:17.100 politician, but
00:24:18.460 there's some bad
00:24:19.840 people in that
00:24:20.580 group.
00:24:21.000 I'm not going to
00:24:21.500 paint the entire
00:24:22.120 group by the
00:24:23.000 bad ones, but
00:24:23.720 there's some
00:24:24.720 really, some
00:24:26.480 rough characters
00:24:27.160 in that group.
00:24:27.700 Now, here's a
00:24:30.060 frame for you
00:24:33.160 that maybe you
00:24:34.120 haven't heard yet.
00:24:35.340 Correct me if I'm
00:24:35.940 wrong.
00:24:36.200 It's possible
00:24:36.700 somebody has said
00:24:37.460 this or maybe
00:24:38.120 lots of people
00:24:38.740 that I haven't
00:24:39.480 heard it.
00:24:40.680 Do you remember
00:24:41.140 the old days
00:24:41.740 when IBM had
00:24:43.780 personal computers
00:24:44.620 and they were
00:24:45.100 competing against
00:24:45.940 Apple Computer?
00:24:47.480 And Apple came
00:24:48.220 up with this
00:24:48.840 great way to
00:24:50.320 frame the
00:24:50.980 situation, the
00:24:51.880 competition.
00:24:53.120 Now, I don't
00:24:53.600 know exactly how
00:24:54.500 true it was, but
00:24:56.320 it was a terrific
00:24:57.160 way to frame it.
00:24:57.700 frame it, and it
00:24:58.320 went like this.
00:24:59.780 There are people
00:25:00.780 who go from IBM
00:25:02.080 PCs, this is back
00:25:03.840 in the day, they
00:25:05.140 would switch out
00:25:06.320 and they'd become
00:25:06.880 Mac users.
00:25:08.520 It was fairly
00:25:09.200 common.
00:25:10.320 But what Apple
00:25:11.020 realized is that
00:25:12.520 people didn't go
00:25:13.260 back.
00:25:14.680 In other words,
00:25:15.480 you didn't see, or
00:25:16.960 at least it was
00:25:17.480 rare, it happens
00:25:18.420 of course, but it
00:25:19.620 was rare for
00:25:20.300 somebody who was
00:25:20.880 a Macintosh
00:25:21.640 user to say,
00:25:23.600 nah, I've
00:25:24.360 decided to change
00:25:25.060 my mind, I'll
00:25:25.700 become an IBM
00:25:26.360 PC user.
00:25:27.120 But it was
00:25:28.080 very common for
00:25:29.760 somebody to go
00:25:30.380 the other way and
00:25:31.320 just stay there.
00:25:32.900 And that's a
00:25:33.420 really powerful
00:25:34.500 frame.
00:25:35.200 As soon as you
00:25:35.600 hear that, you
00:25:36.500 say to yourself,
00:25:37.620 okay, that tells
00:25:38.420 me everything I
00:25:39.080 need to know, that
00:25:40.880 it's just a one-way
00:25:42.020 trip.
00:25:43.520 Now, let's take
00:25:44.640 that analogy, and
00:25:45.620 again, analogies
00:25:46.620 are not for
00:25:47.120 persuasion, they're
00:25:48.020 just to make
00:25:48.500 points.
00:25:49.420 Here's my point.
00:25:50.400 We've been
00:25:52.340 talking about
00:25:52.960 Elizabeth Warren
00:25:53.840 and Bernie
00:25:54.440 Sanders having
00:25:55.760 similar voters,
00:25:57.260 and that one
00:25:58.060 of them needs
00:25:58.600 to shrink in
00:26:00.300 order for the
00:26:00.840 other to grow
00:26:01.540 because it's the
00:26:02.300 same pool.
00:26:03.580 You know, that
00:26:03.960 neither of them
00:26:04.680 can grow until
00:26:05.580 one of them
00:26:06.220 declines in
00:26:07.420 popularity because
00:26:08.480 the voters are
00:26:09.340 going to go to
00:26:10.000 the other one.
00:26:11.180 Let me ask you
00:26:12.200 this.
00:26:12.540 After this
00:26:13.320 Elizabeth Warren
00:26:14.580 incident with
00:26:15.500 Bernie, how
00:26:17.200 many Bernie
00:26:18.000 voters could
00:26:20.120 go to
00:26:20.640 Elizabeth Warren
00:26:21.620 after she
00:26:23.180 stabbed their
00:26:23.900 candidate in
00:26:25.340 the back,
00:26:25.860 according to
00:26:26.360 them?
00:26:27.740 How many?
00:26:29.580 None?
00:26:30.700 Maybe none.
00:26:32.020 How many
00:26:32.640 Warren supporters,
00:26:34.860 let's say she
00:26:35.720 started falling
00:26:36.660 in the polls and
00:26:37.720 they wanted
00:26:38.340 somebody who
00:26:38.820 had similar
00:26:39.340 policies, how
00:26:40.740 many Warren
00:26:41.380 supporters would
00:26:42.280 be psychologically
00:26:44.040 primed and
00:26:46.040 ready and
00:26:46.760 willing,
00:26:47.200 to go to
00:26:48.360 Bernie?
00:26:51.000 Maybe all
00:26:51.740 of them.
00:26:52.660 Maybe all
00:26:53.400 of them.
00:26:54.200 Because it's
00:26:54.860 similar policies.
00:26:56.260 And who are
00:26:56.620 you going to
00:26:56.940 go to if
00:26:57.580 Elizabeth Warren
00:26:58.340 isn't going to
00:26:58.880 work out?
00:27:00.200 Where are you
00:27:00.600 going to go?
00:27:02.240 Because Bernie
00:27:02.900 didn't stab
00:27:04.620 Elizabeth Warren,
00:27:05.880 or at least it
00:27:06.500 doesn't look like
00:27:07.200 that.
00:27:07.600 I mean, some
00:27:07.980 people might
00:27:08.440 think that.
00:27:09.500 But I think
00:27:10.120 it's a one-way
00:27:10.760 trip.
00:27:11.980 So at this
00:27:12.740 point, if all
00:27:14.700 of the, let's
00:27:15.380 say the
00:27:15.720 progressives or
00:27:16.640 the socialists,
00:27:18.360 democratic
00:27:19.100 socialists, who
00:27:20.380 want one of
00:27:20.920 those two, the
00:27:22.920 decision's already
00:27:24.060 over.
00:27:25.560 Let me say that
00:27:26.460 again.
00:27:27.120 If you're
00:27:27.700 wondering which
00:27:28.320 way it's going
00:27:28.840 to go, will
00:27:29.440 Bernie's people
00:27:30.180 go to Warren
00:27:31.000 or will Warren's
00:27:31.940 people go to
00:27:32.660 Bernie?
00:27:34.020 That's over.
00:27:35.480 You don't have
00:27:36.220 to wonder
00:27:36.560 anymore.
00:27:37.300 There's only one
00:27:37.980 way it can go
00:27:39.040 at this point.
00:27:40.300 It can only go
00:27:41.180 from Warren to
00:27:41.840 Bernie.
00:27:42.780 The Bernie to
00:27:43.440 Warren path is
00:27:44.300 closed by what
00:27:45.720 Warren did to
00:27:46.420 Bernie.
00:27:46.720 It's closed.
00:27:47.880 So if you're
00:27:48.760 going to
00:27:48.940 predict, that's
00:27:50.840 an easy one.
00:27:52.440 Bernie will
00:27:53.120 rise and
00:27:54.340 Warren will
00:27:54.900 fall because
00:27:56.060 Warren can
00:27:56.700 never get
00:27:57.240 enough of
00:27:57.700 Bernie voters
00:27:58.420 after what she
00:27:59.060 did to him.
00:28:00.840 You know I'm
00:28:01.620 right.
00:28:03.600 I saw an
00:28:04.520 article that
00:28:05.460 probably needs
00:28:06.260 more studies to
00:28:07.500 back it up,
00:28:08.060 that the
00:28:09.000 birth control
00:28:09.600 pill shrinks
00:28:11.240 a part of
00:28:12.140 the brain
00:28:12.740 in women.
00:28:14.220 Or it might
00:28:15.540 be a weird
00:28:17.520 correlation, but
00:28:19.000 women who have
00:28:19.600 been on birth
00:28:20.480 control pills
00:28:21.240 had one
00:28:21.800 specific part
00:28:22.500 of the brain
00:28:22.880 that shrunk
00:28:23.420 6% on
00:28:25.140 average, or
00:28:26.300 it was smaller.
00:28:27.540 So let me
00:28:28.260 correct what I
00:28:29.640 just said.
00:28:30.640 The study did
00:28:31.500 not show that
00:28:32.780 being on the
00:28:33.440 pill shrunk
00:28:34.160 that part of
00:28:34.720 the brain.
00:28:35.660 It only showed
00:28:36.340 that people on
00:28:37.220 the pill had
00:28:37.800 on average a
00:28:38.900 smaller part of
00:28:39.560 that brain.
00:28:40.360 Could be some
00:28:41.120 other reason,
00:28:42.720 but it's hard
00:28:44.380 to know what
00:28:44.800 that would be.
00:28:46.500 However, I
00:28:49.120 ask you this.
00:28:50.580 Have you ever
00:28:51.120 had this experience
00:28:52.240 just anecdotally
00:28:53.400 of seeing somebody
00:28:55.100 who went on
00:28:55.840 birth control and
00:28:56.740 their personality
00:28:57.600 changed?
00:28:59.000 Have any of you
00:28:59.760 seen that?
00:29:02.380 I've seen it
00:29:03.240 twice.
00:29:05.120 I saw people
00:29:06.220 who basically
00:29:08.140 became different
00:29:08.900 people fairly
00:29:10.480 quickly after
00:29:11.460 going on
00:29:12.160 birth control
00:29:12.740 pills.
00:29:13.400 Now, I
00:29:14.140 don't know if
00:29:14.600 that's a
00:29:15.040 causation or
00:29:15.840 correlation,
00:29:16.860 because it's
00:29:17.680 just two
00:29:18.060 people, right?
00:29:18.780 It's just
00:29:19.060 anecdotal.
00:29:20.480 I'm not aware
00:29:21.040 of any studies
00:29:22.040 that would
00:29:22.340 back that up,
00:29:23.100 except this
00:29:23.780 one that I
00:29:24.400 was just
00:29:24.720 talking about.
00:29:26.120 It's hard for
00:29:26.940 me to imagine
00:29:27.540 that you could
00:29:28.200 put any kind
00:29:29.420 of pill in a
00:29:30.140 human being,
00:29:31.000 male or
00:29:31.620 female.
00:29:31.900 Oh my
00:29:33.940 God, I'm
00:29:34.280 seeing a lot
00:29:34.660 of yeses
00:29:35.100 here.
00:29:36.400 I wasn't
00:29:36.840 expecting that
00:29:37.500 really, frankly.
00:29:39.540 Now, I don't
00:29:40.020 know if all the
00:29:40.500 yeses are
00:29:40.940 coming from
00:29:41.440 men.
00:29:42.040 Now, be
00:29:42.360 aware, this
00:29:43.220 could be
00:29:43.580 confirmation
00:29:44.020 bias, right?
00:29:45.800 This is sort
00:29:46.600 of the perfect
00:29:47.620 confirmation
00:29:48.340 bias topic
00:29:50.680 in domain.
00:29:51.740 So, I'm not
00:29:52.400 going to make
00:29:52.720 a claim.
00:29:54.240 It's a
00:29:54.780 question.
00:29:56.120 And I
00:29:56.680 ask you this,
00:29:57.440 what are the
00:29:57.940 odds that putting
00:29:58.620 a powerful
00:29:59.380 hormone-altering
00:30:02.100 substance in
00:30:03.140 your body,
00:30:04.280 be you male
00:30:05.100 or female,
00:30:06.060 or whatever
00:30:07.460 gender flavor
00:30:09.560 you like,
00:30:11.960 what are the
00:30:12.560 odds it
00:30:12.900 wouldn't change
00:30:13.660 your personality?
00:30:15.600 Because without
00:30:16.480 being a doctor,
00:30:17.620 it feels to me
00:30:18.580 like the odds
00:30:19.340 would be zero.
00:30:21.340 Any change
00:30:22.640 to your
00:30:23.280 hormonal
00:30:25.020 structure
00:30:26.280 almost certainly
00:30:28.420 is going to
00:30:28.800 have an
00:30:29.060 effect on
00:30:29.560 who you
00:30:31.380 are at
00:30:31.900 some
00:30:32.100 fundamental
00:30:32.580 level.
00:30:33.280 Well, I've
00:30:33.620 never seen
00:30:34.020 this many
00:30:34.360 yeses.
00:30:36.940 That was,
00:30:37.940 okay,
00:30:39.680 how many,
00:30:44.620 I'm wondering
00:30:45.540 if this is
00:30:46.100 mostly men.
00:30:48.520 Because it's
00:30:49.480 hard for me to
00:30:50.000 tell the genders
00:30:50.660 of the people
00:30:51.420 who are
00:30:51.780 responding.
00:30:52.900 But I worry
00:30:53.660 that it's all
00:30:54.180 men because
00:30:54.800 then I worry
00:30:55.380 it's confirmation
00:30:56.000 bias.
00:30:56.540 But if the
00:30:58.720 women are
00:30:59.120 seeing it,
00:30:59.980 then I'd
00:31:00.380 feel a little
00:31:01.000 more suspicion
00:31:01.780 that this is
00:31:02.500 something that
00:31:02.960 needs to be
00:31:03.420 dug into a
00:31:04.040 little bit
00:31:04.340 deeper.
00:31:05.280 But just in
00:31:05.780 general,
00:31:06.640 changing your
00:31:07.320 hormonal
00:31:07.960 structure should
00:31:09.040 change how
00:31:09.560 you think.
00:31:10.280 If it
00:31:10.580 doesn't,
00:31:10.920 I'd be
00:31:11.140 surprised.
00:31:13.280 So let's
00:31:13.880 talk about
00:31:14.280 the
00:31:14.480 constitutional
00:31:15.180 or the
00:31:16.640 strategy for
00:31:17.280 impeachment.
00:31:17.640 It looks
00:31:18.240 like the
00:31:18.980 Republicans'
00:31:21.220 primary
00:31:21.660 strategy.
00:31:22.640 I don't
00:31:22.860 know if we
00:31:23.200 can tell for
00:31:23.860 sure.
00:31:25.100 Oh,
00:31:25.280 somebody
00:31:25.520 mentioned
00:31:25.860 the
00:31:26.080 prednisone.
00:31:26.660 Yeah,
00:31:26.820 when I was
00:31:27.200 in prednisone
00:31:27.940 just a few
00:31:29.320 weeks ago,
00:31:29.960 I was quite
00:31:31.280 aware of a
00:31:31.880 personality
00:31:32.460 alteration.
00:31:33.900 I was
00:31:34.200 definitely a
00:31:34.940 different person
00:31:36.920 for the few
00:31:38.120 weeks I was
00:31:38.620 on it.
00:31:39.520 So that's
00:31:41.340 the same
00:31:41.720 point.
00:31:43.640 So it
00:31:44.240 looks like
00:31:44.600 the Republican
00:31:46.340 strategy for
00:31:47.220 impeachment is
00:31:48.020 rather than
00:31:48.740 to argue the
00:31:49.500 details,
00:31:50.100 which would
00:31:50.440 be a gigantic
00:31:51.140 mistake,
00:31:51.740 and it's
00:31:52.560 the mistake
00:31:53.040 that they've
00:31:53.620 been taking
00:31:54.000 from the
00:31:54.480 start.
00:31:55.160 It looks
00:31:55.660 like,
00:31:56.100 especially
00:31:56.400 with Alan
00:31:57.200 Dershowitz on
00:31:57.800 the team,
00:31:58.640 they're going
00:31:59.020 to argue
00:31:59.400 that it
00:31:59.960 doesn't matter
00:32:00.440 what the
00:32:00.780 details are
00:32:01.580 because there's
00:32:03.960 nothing that's
00:32:04.560 alleged that's
00:32:06.340 impeachable.
00:32:07.900 So if the
00:32:09.400 Republicans are
00:32:10.560 planning this
00:32:11.620 approach,
00:32:12.680 I like it a
00:32:13.740 lot.
00:32:14.660 I like it a
00:32:15.380 lot.
00:32:16.280 And what it
00:32:16.900 would look like,
00:32:17.840 and here I'm
00:32:18.380 just playing the
00:32:20.000 game through.
00:32:20.580 I'm not
00:32:21.160 suggesting that
00:32:22.020 I'm predicting
00:32:22.620 this, but one
00:32:24.680 way that it
00:32:25.320 could go is
00:32:26.680 that the
00:32:27.340 Republicans
00:32:28.880 controlling the
00:32:29.700 Senate will
00:32:30.100 say, we're
00:32:30.960 going to open
00:32:31.380 up with
00:32:31.800 discussions on
00:32:32.900 whether or
00:32:33.680 not any
00:32:35.640 of the
00:32:36.100 allegations fit
00:32:38.780 the constitutional
00:32:39.760 test of even
00:32:40.720 being something
00:32:41.960 appropriate for
00:32:42.900 impeachment.
00:32:43.780 Before talking
00:32:44.680 about whether
00:32:45.160 it happened or
00:32:45.820 didn't happen,
00:32:46.860 who said
00:32:47.320 what, who
00:32:47.980 did a quid
00:32:48.480 pro quo,
00:32:49.200 who didn't,
00:32:49.740 what you're
00:32:50.080 expecting,
00:32:50.580 what Lev
00:32:51.500 Parnas said,
00:32:52.460 before getting
00:32:53.140 into any
00:32:54.220 evidence, just
00:32:56.120 say, here are
00:32:56.900 the two
00:32:57.220 charges, and
00:32:58.820 here's the
00:32:59.280 basis for
00:32:59.820 them.
00:33:01.040 Does the
00:33:01.740 Constitution say
00:33:02.720 this is
00:33:03.140 impeachable?
00:33:03.780 And the
00:33:03.960 answer is
00:33:04.400 no, not
00:33:06.120 even close.
00:33:10.640 So I
00:33:13.160 think that's
00:33:13.640 going to be a
00:33:13.960 good strategy,
00:33:14.700 and what I
00:33:15.180 would expect
00:33:15.920 is this.
00:33:17.180 I would
00:33:17.620 expect that
00:33:19.280 the Republicans
00:33:20.100 will hear the
00:33:21.200 constitutional
00:33:21.860 arguments, and
00:33:22.660 then they'll
00:33:23.000 put it to a
00:33:23.520 vote.
00:33:24.760 Now, can
00:33:26.140 they have two
00:33:26.720 votes?
00:33:28.280 Can they
00:33:28.700 vote and
00:33:29.220 say, okay,
00:33:30.060 let's say
00:33:30.620 that the,
00:33:31.320 against all
00:33:33.140 odds, let's
00:33:33.760 say that the
00:33:34.220 majority of
00:33:34.880 the Senate, and
00:33:36.100 I don't think
00:33:36.580 this could
00:33:36.920 happen, let's
00:33:37.820 say they
00:33:38.100 voted and
00:33:38.560 said, yeah,
00:33:39.760 on the
00:33:40.520 question number
00:33:41.220 one of
00:33:42.500 whether these
00:33:43.180 charges, if
00:33:43.980 they're true
00:33:44.400 charges, would
00:33:45.340 be impeachable,
00:33:46.800 we say yes.
00:33:48.120 That's
00:33:48.420 possible, right?
00:33:49.420 Then separately,
00:33:50.380 they'd have to
00:33:50.800 have some
00:33:51.120 other vote, I
00:33:51.780 guess, to
00:33:53.280 determine whether
00:33:54.060 the charges
00:33:54.700 are actually
00:33:55.180 true.
00:33:56.660 So that
00:33:57.400 would be a
00:33:57.920 separate thing.
00:33:58.700 I don't
00:33:58.980 think they
00:33:59.280 have to get
00:33:59.620 into the
00:33:59.960 facts.
00:34:00.360 I think
00:34:00.580 they'll
00:34:00.840 probably just
00:34:01.540 dismiss it
00:34:02.280 after the
00:34:03.580 constitutional
00:34:05.060 argument, which
00:34:06.380 by the way,
00:34:07.020 would be the
00:34:07.500 best way to
00:34:08.180 defend the
00:34:08.760 Constitution.
00:34:11.100 Best way to
00:34:12.000 defend the
00:34:12.540 Constitution is
00:34:13.980 to not let
00:34:14.740 them talk
00:34:15.240 about the
00:34:15.660 details.
00:34:16.620 Because if
00:34:17.060 you let
00:34:17.320 them talk
00:34:17.660 about the
00:34:18.040 details, you're
00:34:19.880 going to be
00:34:20.180 missing the
00:34:20.620 whole point.
00:34:21.500 And it
00:34:21.720 becomes exactly
00:34:22.700 what the
00:34:23.100 founders didn't
00:34:23.880 want it to
00:34:24.340 be, a
00:34:25.240 purely political
00:34:26.160 process, even
00:34:27.780 though we know
00:34:28.240 the outcome.
00:34:29.740 Why would you
00:34:30.500 not try to
00:34:31.340 defend the
00:34:31.880 Constitution
00:34:32.420 while you
00:34:32.980 could, if
00:34:33.460 you're a
00:34:33.800 Republican
00:34:34.120 senator, by
00:34:35.460 saying, let's
00:34:38.660 say that the
00:34:39.180 victim here is
00:34:39.900 the Constitution.
00:34:41.600 So let's
00:34:42.100 try to revive
00:34:43.060 the Constitution a
00:34:44.120 little bit.
00:34:45.240 there was a
00:34:48.720 disturbing video
00:34:50.620 of a crowd in
00:34:51.820 Baltimore who
00:34:52.420 were sort of
00:34:52.880 attacking a
00:34:53.520 policeman who
00:34:54.920 had a suspect
00:34:56.580 on the ground.
00:34:58.120 You may have
00:34:58.500 seen it.
00:34:58.920 It's a viral
00:34:59.320 video now.
00:35:00.360 So the police
00:35:00.860 officer was
00:35:02.260 trying to get
00:35:03.320 control of a
00:35:04.860 perp on the
00:35:05.640 ground, and
00:35:06.260 other people were
00:35:06.840 coming up, and
00:35:07.340 it looked like
00:35:07.680 they were kicking
00:35:08.720 the policeman, etc.
00:35:09.940 And so there's,
00:35:11.640 of course, a
00:35:12.280 call for those
00:35:13.080 people who were
00:35:13.740 assaulting the
00:35:14.340 policeman to be
00:35:15.800 punished.
00:35:16.320 And you say to
00:35:16.800 yourself, well,
00:35:17.520 good luck with
00:35:18.120 that, because
00:35:19.540 these were, you
00:35:20.520 know, random
00:35:21.060 people who kicked
00:35:22.140 the policeman and
00:35:22.900 ran away.
00:35:24.200 Like, what are
00:35:24.860 you going to do?
00:35:26.620 But, it's on
00:35:28.400 video.
00:35:29.680 All right, but
00:35:30.100 still, what are
00:35:30.540 you going to do?
00:35:31.080 It's hard to
00:35:31.820 identify people just
00:35:33.300 because you have
00:35:33.740 them on video,
00:35:34.520 right?
00:35:36.000 Well, not
00:35:36.760 anymore.
00:35:37.100 Remember I told
00:35:37.860 you yesterday
00:35:38.340 there's a tool,
00:35:39.940 an app called
00:35:40.700 Clearview AI.
00:35:42.700 It was the
00:35:43.040 front page of
00:35:43.620 the New York
00:35:43.980 Times because
00:35:44.640 it's a gigantic
00:35:45.660 controversy about
00:35:47.560 privacy and
00:35:48.780 whether this is
00:35:49.360 going to go too
00:35:49.900 far, and it's
00:35:51.200 going to cause a
00:35:51.780 dystopian and
00:35:52.600 everything, and
00:35:53.240 we're losing all
00:35:53.880 our privacy.
00:35:54.720 So those issues
00:35:55.480 are important, all
00:35:56.900 worth talking
00:35:57.440 about.
00:35:57.760 I think the
00:35:58.100 ACLU is getting
00:36:00.080 involved.
00:36:00.700 I mean, it's
00:36:00.980 really, it's
00:36:01.920 become this big
00:36:02.620 deal.
00:36:03.480 But, here's my
00:36:04.520 point.
00:36:04.880 that app, all
00:36:08.640 it needs, in
00:36:09.520 all likelihood,
00:36:10.280 all it needs is
00:36:11.500 a screen grab
00:36:12.540 from the video
00:36:13.440 of the crowd, and
00:36:15.060 a couple of
00:36:15.560 screen grabs that
00:36:16.380 get the faces, and
00:36:18.360 law enforcement
00:36:20.280 will probably have
00:36:21.480 immediately the
00:36:23.600 social media and
00:36:25.300 real names of
00:36:26.780 the perpetrators
00:36:27.520 in the crowd
00:36:28.220 because they have
00:36:29.760 the technology
00:36:30.420 now.
00:36:31.200 They probably
00:36:31.940 won't have to
00:36:32.540 ask people, they
00:36:33.560 probably won't
00:36:34.100 have to ask the
00:36:34.820 public, they
00:36:35.920 probably won't
00:36:36.440 have to go
00:36:36.900 door-to-door, they
00:36:37.660 probably won't
00:36:38.120 need any
00:36:38.520 witnesses, they
00:36:39.580 probably just
00:36:40.020 take the security
00:36:40.800 camera video, run
00:36:42.520 it through the
00:36:43.140 Clearview AI
00:36:44.100 app, and it's
00:36:45.440 going to spit
00:36:45.880 out their names.
00:36:47.580 Think about
00:36:48.220 that.
00:36:48.900 I mean, man,
00:36:49.860 it's a new
00:36:50.180 world.
00:36:50.780 All right.
00:36:51.080 All right.