Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 799 Scott Adams： Coronavirus Liars, Biden's New Ad Persuasion, Impeachment Scorecard, More

00:00:00.440 Bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum. 0.97

00:00:04.800 Hey, everybody, come on in here.

00:00:08.080 It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:11.260 And as luck would have it, you're in the right place for that.

00:00:15.040 Soon as we get a thousand people, which will be any moment now, we got it.

00:00:20.620 We will do something called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:24.640 And then, I'm going to blow your mind.

00:00:28.140 So, if you were ever thinking of bailing out before the end of a periscope,

00:00:33.380 probably don't want to do it this time.

00:00:36.640 But before we get to that, let me tell you what you need to enjoy the simultaneous sip.

00:00:42.640 It's not much.

00:00:43.540 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stein,

00:00:47.460 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:50.120 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:51.940 I like coffee.

00:00:53.520 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:55.940 The dopamine at the end of the day.

00:00:59.100 The thing that makes everything better, the simultaneous sip.

00:01:01.700 Go.

00:01:06.380 Better every time.

00:01:11.440 Now, I'm going to tell you some things today that might blow your mind a little bit.

00:01:18.320 We'll start slow.

00:01:21.020 Slowly.

00:01:22.040 We'll start slowly.

00:01:23.320 Now, here's a little rule that I have for predicting things.

00:01:29.100 And I've used it once before.

00:01:30.580 I can't tell that I'm right.

00:01:33.080 But here's the situation.

00:01:35.380 Whenever you have these three things,

00:01:38.360 you should look in a certain place for the truth.

00:01:42.200 And here are the three conditions.

00:01:44.080 If there's something that is very high stakes,

00:01:47.020 meaning there's a lot of money involved,

00:01:49.220 that's the condition one.

00:01:50.460 There's a lot of money involved.

00:01:53.320 Condition number two,

00:01:54.920 there's something the government is doing

00:01:57.040 that doesn't pass the sniff test.

00:02:01.320 So there's a lot of money involved,

00:02:03.460 and the government policy so far

00:02:06.120 doesn't quite make sense.

00:02:08.800 That's the second condition.

00:02:10.980 And then the third one is,

00:02:12.440 the government offers you no explanation

00:02:15.460 for why their policies don't make sense.

00:02:20.560 If those three things happen,

00:02:22.940 follow the money.

00:02:24.980 That's right.

00:02:26.380 So the three conditions, again,

00:02:27.920 and I'll give you the exact example after this,

00:02:30.680 are that there's very high stakes,

00:02:32.100 a lot of money involved.

00:02:33.780 There's something the government is doing

00:02:35.260 that doesn't make sense to the citizens,

00:02:37.560 doesn't pass the sniff test.

00:02:39.480 And the third part,

00:02:40.560 they don't explain why they're doing it that way.

00:02:44.220 Under those conditions,

00:02:46.360 you get very suspicious.

00:02:48.240 Follow the money.

00:02:49.620 Let me give you one example.

00:02:51.740 When Obama was president,

00:02:54.000 he ran for president saying

00:02:55.580 he was going to be sort of ignoring

00:02:58.060 marijuana dispensaries in California.

00:03:02.500 And at the time, I said,

00:03:03.980 huh, sounds like a fairly solid president.

00:03:06.360 I was very pro-Obama in the early days.

00:03:10.820 And I also liked his take on marijuana,

00:03:13.220 that he was going to leave it alone

00:03:14.860 in terms of the federal government.

00:03:17.380 But for some reason,

00:03:19.560 during his term,

00:03:21.440 and without explanation,

00:03:23.020 which is the key part of the story,

00:03:24.620 without explanation,

00:03:26.220 he reversed

00:03:26.880 and decided that he would actually

00:03:29.340 prosecute dispensaries in California.

00:03:33.380 Indeed, there was one gentleman

00:03:34.980 who had a dispensary

00:03:36.000 who was looking at 10 years in prison.

00:03:39.580 Now, you say to yourself,

00:03:40.780 if you're going to reverse

00:03:41.840 a major policy opinion,

00:03:46.260 and you're going to reverse it

00:03:47.640 in a way that would make somebody

00:03:48.920 go to jail

00:03:49.940 because they depended

00:03:51.640 on your last opinion,

00:03:53.820 wouldn't you say that

00:03:54.640 doesn't pass the sniff test?

00:03:56.340 Unless it's explained, right?

00:03:58.280 If Obama said,

00:04:00.120 yeah, I used to think this,

00:04:02.220 but now I've changed my mind to this,

00:04:04.360 and here's my reason,

00:04:05.820 I would say,

00:04:06.940 well, I might like the reason,

00:04:08.380 I might not like the reason,

00:04:10.100 but at least he gave a reason.

00:04:12.220 What was Obama's stated public reason

00:04:15.120 for changing his opinion

00:04:17.740 from leaving dispensaries alone

00:04:19.680 in California

00:04:20.420 to putting people in jail for it?

00:04:24.160 None.

00:04:26.940 Not then.

00:04:28.540 Not ever.

00:04:30.080 Not ever.

00:04:31.400 There was no point

00:04:32.580 at which President Obama

00:04:34.140 ever explained

00:04:35.120 why he changed his mind

00:04:37.060 and potentially could put a Californian 0.96

00:04:38.980 in jail for 10 years.

00:04:40.860 That's when he lost me.

00:04:43.260 Because under those conditions,

00:04:45.660 the only reasonable assumption

00:04:47.360 you can make

00:04:48.180 is that he was bribed.

00:04:50.040 Now, when I say bribed,

00:04:52.200 I don't mean in a way

00:04:53.840 that was necessarily

00:04:55.060 technically illegal,

00:04:57.080 as in,

00:04:57.620 here's some cash,

00:04:58.420 put it in your bank account.

00:05:00.060 But in the legal process,

00:05:01.480 or I'm sorry,

00:05:02.040 in the political world,

00:05:04.540 a bribe can take many forms.

00:05:07.020 It could be in terms of

00:05:08.420 supporting a campaign,

00:05:10.460 it could be in terms of

00:05:12.060 some future deal

00:05:13.620 that's unspecified,

00:05:15.620 it could be anything

00:05:17.180 that's beneficial.

00:05:19.040 So, in my opinion,

00:05:20.620 the Obama dispensary flip-flop

00:05:22.720 met all the conditions

00:05:24.100 of follow the money.

00:05:25.900 There had to be somebody

00:05:27.200 with a lot of money

00:05:28.200 who was influencing that,

00:05:30.140 because otherwise,

00:05:31.600 otherwise Obama would just

00:05:33.120 tell you the reason.

00:05:34.280 Oh, I used to think this,

00:05:35.760 I have new information,

00:05:37.200 or I thought about it,

00:05:37.980 and now I think this.

00:05:39.540 Absent that explanation,

00:05:41.400 there's something corrupt going on,

00:05:43.580 or at least some money influence

00:05:45.840 you wish was not happening.

00:05:47.180 Now, let's talk about

00:05:48.540 the coronavirus.

00:05:51.960 Do we have a similar situation?

00:05:54.360 I think we do.

00:05:55.840 If you're watching the news,

00:05:57.200 you know that this coronavirus

00:05:58.360 is becoming a real big deal

00:06:00.880 in China and starting to spread.

00:06:03.380 Three people in America 0.97

00:06:04.880 have it so far.

00:06:07.500 There are 56 dead,

00:06:09.060 mostly in China, I believe,

00:06:10.880 and close to 2,000 cases

00:06:13.280 as of today,

00:06:14.420 and growing quickly.

00:06:15.300 Do you think

00:06:16.740 that that's all there is?

00:06:18.620 Because China's closing

00:06:19.960 entire cities.

00:06:21.320 You can't come or go

00:06:22.460 from entire cities.

00:06:24.160 Now,

00:06:25.120 do you think that maybe

00:06:26.760 it's bigger than that?

00:06:27.740 Well,

00:06:28.360 smart people are saying,

00:06:29.380 yeah,

00:06:29.800 it's probably a lot bigger

00:06:31.020 than that.

00:06:32.040 Because what they're telling us

00:06:33.220 is scary enough,

00:06:34.560 there's probably more to it.

00:06:35.700 But here's the thing.

00:06:38.320 The government of the United States

00:06:40.640 responding to this

00:06:42.300 is,

00:06:44.220 I guess they started

00:06:44.980 to screen passengers

00:06:46.920 at three of the big airports

00:06:48.320 in the United States

00:06:49.220 that have some connection

00:06:50.820 to Wuhan.

00:06:52.320 But we also know,

00:06:53.680 as of today,

00:06:55.300 that you can't necessarily

00:06:57.660 identify the symptoms.

00:06:59.200 So we don't have

00:07:02.580 any confidence,

00:07:04.080 in fact,

00:07:04.640 we have the opposite.

00:07:05.940 We suspect it's not true,

00:07:07.400 that you could actually

00:07:08.700 successfully screen people

00:07:10.620 and know that you got it.

00:07:12.680 So the U.S. policy

00:07:14.060 is to screen

00:07:15.980 certain people

00:07:17.760 in certain cases

00:07:18.640 and then let them

00:07:20.260 into the country.

00:07:21.420 Does that make sense to you?

00:07:23.060 Does that pass

00:07:23.980 your sniff test

00:07:25.020 when you see

00:07:26.260 that the government

00:07:26.900 of the United States

00:07:27.640 looking at

00:07:28.260 this deadly outbreak

00:07:30.200 in China

00:07:30.720 that's already

00:07:31.420 made its way

00:07:32.540 into the country

00:07:33.140 in a small way

00:07:34.020 but could devastate

00:07:36.180 this country?

00:07:37.420 Does it make sense to you

00:07:38.780 that the government's

00:07:40.240 response is,

00:07:41.060 well,

00:07:41.220 we'll screen them

00:07:42.040 when we also know

00:07:43.600 the screening

00:07:44.100 is not necessarily effective?

00:07:46.300 Does that make sense?

00:07:47.540 No,

00:07:48.060 it does not make sense.

00:07:49.500 But

00:07:49.900 you can always look

00:07:51.460 to the government's

00:07:52.260 explanation,

00:07:53.960 right?

00:07:54.260 If the government

00:07:55.500 is doing something

00:07:56.220 that doesn't make sense

00:07:57.100 to you,

00:07:58.300 well,

00:07:58.600 it could be because

00:07:59.180 they have more information.

00:08:00.760 They might have a strategy

00:08:01.920 that wasn't obvious to you.

00:08:03.640 So let's go to

00:08:04.580 the government's

00:08:05.340 explanation

00:08:06.020 for why they have

00:08:07.440 not already

00:08:08.060 completely closed

00:08:09.200 the airports

00:08:09.880 for travel from China.

00:08:12.460 Now,

00:08:12.880 when I say completely,

00:08:13.940 I do think you'd have

00:08:14.760 to treat differently

00:08:16.180 American citizens

00:08:17.320 who are trying to

00:08:18.680 get back in the country

00:08:19.560 and maybe you could

00:08:20.460 quarantine them

00:08:21.720 for a week

00:08:22.220 to make sure that,

00:08:23.040 you know,

00:08:23.460 that you're safe.

00:08:24.960 But let's say

00:08:25.740 of the ordinary traveler,

00:08:27.660 not the Americans 0.98

00:08:28.720 trying desperately

00:08:29.560 to get back

00:08:30.160 to their home,

00:08:30.880 just the ordinary traveler.

00:08:33.740 What is the government's

00:08:35.060 explanation

00:08:35.580 for why the airports

00:08:37.020 are not already

00:08:38.040 closed

00:08:38.560 from China

00:08:39.520 completely?

00:08:41.380 Have you heard it?

00:08:43.200 I haven't heard it.

00:08:45.080 If you have not

00:08:46.160 heard it,

00:08:47.380 you can only

00:08:48.280 conclude

00:08:48.840 one thing.

00:08:51.620 There's high stakes.

00:08:53.320 Closing travel

00:08:54.740 from China

00:08:55.380 would be

00:08:55.840 really expensive

00:08:57.060 for somebody.

00:09:00.560 It fails

00:09:01.360 the sniff test

00:09:02.180 because you and I

00:09:03.260 are looking at it

00:09:03.900 and saying,

00:09:04.480 what?

00:09:05.740 If you can't

00:09:06.900 reliably screen it

00:09:08.480 by looking

00:09:09.080 at the individuals,

00:09:10.760 don't you have

00:09:11.660 to close the airport

00:09:12.480 from China?

00:09:13.580 Just stop it?

00:09:15.780 Right?

00:09:16.100 But maybe

00:09:17.240 there's a reason.

00:09:19.400 But there isn't.

00:09:21.280 Our government

00:09:22.040 has not explained it.

00:09:24.020 Now,

00:09:24.300 if they explained it

00:09:25.060 to me and I heard

00:09:25.620 the reason and I said,

00:09:26.480 well,

00:09:27.400 you know,

00:09:27.820 okay,

00:09:28.100 all things considered,

00:09:29.080 that makes sense,

00:09:29.740 I could maybe

00:09:30.560 believe it.

00:09:31.920 When your government

00:09:33.080 does not explain

00:09:35.000 to you

00:09:35.480 why their decision

00:09:36.460 that doesn't pass

00:09:37.320 the sniff test

00:09:38.180 is not already

00:09:39.900 being implemented,

00:09:41.900 there's somebody

00:09:42.900 with money

00:09:43.660 who's perverting

00:09:45.120 the system.

00:09:46.480 Who isn't?

00:09:48.060 Who has the most

00:09:49.120 to lose

00:09:49.800 if China's

00:09:51.160 flights get canceled?

00:09:54.980 Travel industry?

00:09:56.740 I mean,

00:09:57.020 the travel industry

00:09:57.760 is the obvious one.

00:09:59.220 There may be more.

00:10:00.180 Maybe you can think

00:10:00.800 of someone else.

00:10:01.900 But here's a case

00:10:03.640 where I think

00:10:04.480 you have to lose

00:10:05.280 all faith

00:10:06.020 in your government.

00:10:08.140 You know,

00:10:08.500 I know you're

00:10:09.060 all Trump supporters

00:10:10.120 and you like to

00:10:10.960 support him

00:10:11.880 in whatever he does.

00:10:12.640 but this is

00:10:14.920 a really

00:10:15.480 clean case

00:10:16.640 where your government

00:10:18.060 is failing you

00:10:19.120 at the highest level.

00:10:22.000 This is a

00:10:22.780 complete failure

00:10:23.860 of government.

00:10:24.600 A complete failure.

00:10:26.140 And it can only be

00:10:27.260 because we have

00:10:29.420 no explanation

00:10:30.180 that's official,

00:10:31.700 it can only be

00:10:32.500 that money

00:10:32.940 is influencing it.

00:10:34.280 If you have

00:10:35.020 another explanation,

00:10:36.500 maybe you should

00:10:37.160 explain it to our government

00:10:38.400 so they can

00:10:39.140 explain it to us.

00:10:40.520 Short of an explanation,

00:10:43.180 your government

00:10:43.800 has failed you.

00:10:45.240 And they're failing you

00:10:46.280 in the worst

00:10:47.580 possible way.

00:10:49.300 I mean,

00:10:49.600 they are failing us

00:10:50.620 hard.

00:10:52.160 So whatever you want

00:10:53.040 to say positive

00:10:53.780 about the Trump

00:10:54.520 administration,

00:10:55.180 and there's plenty of it.

00:10:56.460 You know,

00:10:56.680 I'm a big proponent

00:10:57.960 of what he's done

00:10:58.780 for the economy,

00:10:59.640 et cetera.

00:11:00.860 But we have a leader

00:11:02.920 who can just say

00:11:04.520 stop the flights

00:11:06.080 until we figure this out.

00:11:07.420 and he hasn't.

00:11:09.620 What's up with that?

00:11:11.280 All right?

00:11:11.780 Give us the explanation.

00:11:13.660 I'll listen.

00:11:14.860 I'm totally open

00:11:15.600 to a good explanation.

00:11:17.460 But short of that,

00:11:19.840 you've failed.

00:11:21.680 You've failed

00:11:22.500 in a deadly way.

00:11:24.700 This is complete

00:11:25.680 government failure.

00:11:27.140 And by the way,

00:11:27.660 it's not just Trump, right?

00:11:28.840 I don't hear any

00:11:29.580 Democrats

00:11:31.000 crying to close

00:11:32.680 the airport.

00:11:33.740 Why not?

00:11:34.900 Democrats,

00:11:35.540 you got any leaders?

00:11:36.160 Is there anybody

00:11:37.080 running for president?

00:11:38.940 How many Democrats

00:11:40.760 do we have

00:11:41.140 running for president?

00:11:42.380 Are any one 1.00

00:11:43.120 of those assholes 1.00

00:11:44.000 demanding that 1.00

00:11:45.360 the airports be closed?

00:11:47.080 None.

00:11:48.460 Unless you've heard it.

00:11:49.360 I haven't heard anybody.

00:11:50.420 I haven't heard anybody

00:11:51.640 say that.

00:11:52.860 But if they're not,

00:11:55.220 then you can't say

00:11:56.520 that this is limited

00:11:57.400 somehow to Trump

00:11:58.520 if nobody's saying it.

00:12:00.620 So,

00:12:01.920 big question for you.

00:12:04.840 Why is your government

00:12:05.800 failing you

00:12:06.720 this hard

00:12:07.680 and so obviously?

00:12:09.160 It's got to be money.

00:12:10.720 All right.

00:12:12.600 Let's talk about

00:12:13.720 the impeachment.

00:12:15.560 See how we're doing

00:12:16.240 so far.

00:12:17.100 I thought

00:12:17.540 everybody seems

00:12:18.720 to agree

00:12:19.180 that the

00:12:19.800 president's lawyers

00:12:21.920 were smart

00:12:22.880 to keep

00:12:24.360 their first

00:12:25.660 statements

00:12:26.180 brief

00:12:26.900 because

00:12:27.720 the senators

00:12:28.760 were all angry

00:12:29.720 at Schiff

00:12:30.280 and his group

00:12:31.640 for making him

00:12:32.360 sit through

00:12:32.760 such a torturous

00:12:33.860 few days.

00:12:35.460 So,

00:12:35.680 quite wisely,

00:12:36.580 the president's lawyers

00:12:37.720 said,

00:12:38.300 well,

00:12:38.540 nobody's watching TV

00:12:39.460 on Saturday anyway,

00:12:41.300 as the president

00:12:42.120 pointed out.

00:12:43.300 We'll just do

00:12:44.220 a couple of

00:12:45.080 tight hours,

00:12:46.880 let everybody go home,

00:12:48.040 at least they'll have

00:12:48.600 a good feeling about us,

00:12:49.860 and we won't overload them.

00:12:51.540 We'll just make sure

00:12:52.260 that we've responded

00:12:53.080 to the main claims

00:12:54.180 so that we've got

00:12:55.220 something out there

00:12:55.920 to compete with

00:12:56.640 that claim

00:12:57.080 over the weekend.

00:12:58.240 So,

00:12:58.500 I think that was

00:12:59.020 a good,

00:13:00.620 solid approach.

00:13:03.480 What did

00:13:04.320 CNN

00:13:05.440 have to say

00:13:08.060 about

00:13:08.940 the president's

00:13:10.060 legal team's

00:13:10.900 approach?

00:13:12.100 You know,

00:13:12.340 I watched it,

00:13:13.040 you watched it,

00:13:13.680 you probably thought,

00:13:14.700 well,

00:13:15.000 those guys are

00:13:15.540 pretty good.

00:13:16.820 Pretty,

00:13:17.440 pretty good.

00:13:18.320 Yeah,

00:13:18.520 they're solid lawyers.

00:13:19.760 They're definitely

00:13:20.880 getting it done.

00:13:22.260 So,

00:13:22.480 what did

00:13:22.860 Jeffrey Toobin

00:13:23.720 on CNN say?

00:13:25.720 He complained

00:13:26.540 about their

00:13:27.120 ethnicities

00:13:28.020 and their

00:13:28.560 genders.

00:13:31.880 Because the

00:13:32.880 president's

00:13:33.960 legal team

00:13:34.540 is all

00:13:35.120 white males.

00:13:37.720 And I'm

00:13:38.440 thinking,

00:13:39.200 yeah,

00:13:40.600 okay,

00:13:41.160 I mean,

00:13:41.460 I can see the

00:13:42.000 point.

00:13:42.780 I accept the

00:13:43.960 general statement

00:13:44.780 that whenever

00:13:45.940 an administration

00:13:46.920 can show

00:13:47.760 diversity,

00:13:48.700 it's a plus,

00:13:49.900 because the

00:13:50.280 country likes it.

00:13:51.320 It's a good

00:13:51.780 message.

00:13:53.160 But,

00:13:53.640 is that the

00:13:55.760 key thing

00:13:56.500 when you're

00:13:57.040 talking about

00:13:57.520 impeaching a

00:13:58.260 president?

00:13:59.320 I mean,

00:13:59.640 on the list of

00:14:00.760 things that

00:14:01.240 matter to the

00:14:01.880 country,

00:14:02.600 that would be

00:14:03.240 pretty close to

00:14:04.040 the bottom

00:14:04.460 on this

00:14:05.080 particular thing.

00:14:06.320 Although,

00:14:06.620 I agree that

00:14:07.120 the general

00:14:07.660 topic of

00:14:09.000 getting diversity

00:14:09.780 in your

00:14:10.260 government is

00:14:10.780 a good one.

00:14:11.980 But on this,

00:14:13.040 but on every

00:14:13.740 topic,

00:14:14.260 every time,

00:14:14.940 all the time?

00:14:15.580 And then

00:14:19.900 Eli Honig,

00:14:20.980 writing on

00:14:21.540 CNN,

00:14:22.660 said that

00:14:23.820 the defense

00:14:24.900 from the

00:14:25.500 president's

00:14:26.060 lawyers was

00:14:26.760 weak,

00:14:27.900 because,

00:14:29.140 and he

00:14:30.480 didn't say

00:14:30.820 this directly,

00:14:31.500 but I'll say

00:14:31.920 it,

00:14:32.500 is weak

00:14:33.000 because we

00:14:33.660 can read

00:14:34.200 the president's

00:14:34.880 mind,

00:14:35.280 but we can

00:14:35.880 also read

00:14:36.580 Zelensky's

00:14:37.280 mind,

00:14:37.720 and we know

00:14:38.120 that they're

00:14:38.980 both lying.

00:14:39.600 So that

00:14:41.740 was the

00:14:42.300 criticism of

00:14:43.220 the president's

00:14:44.580 lawyers'

00:14:46.180 defense,

00:14:47.040 is that

00:14:47.460 basically we

00:14:48.580 can read

00:14:48.960 Trump's

00:14:49.320 mind,

00:14:49.640 and you

00:14:49.880 know what

00:14:50.280 he's

00:14:50.460 thinking.

00:14:51.440 And sure,

00:14:52.020 Zelensky said

00:14:52.780 he wasn't

00:14:53.200 pressured,

00:14:53.680 but you

00:14:54.020 know what

00:14:54.360 he was

00:14:54.600 thinking.

00:14:55.900 Now,

00:14:56.460 I completely

00:14:58.520 agree that

00:14:59.800 if you're

00:15:00.160 just a human

00:15:00.880 being and

00:15:01.460 you're looking

00:15:01.820 at human

00:15:02.820 things,

00:15:03.540 we do say

00:15:04.540 this person's

00:15:05.660 probably lying,

00:15:06.680 etc.

00:15:07.260 So that's a

00:15:07.840 form of mind

00:15:08.380 reading.

00:15:09.380 But,

00:15:09.600 in terms of

00:15:10.960 an impeachment,

00:15:11.780 which is a

00:15:12.360 semi-quasi-legal

00:15:13.920 proceeding,

00:15:14.940 you really

00:15:15.720 can't convict

00:15:16.760 people for

00:15:18.120 what you

00:15:18.500 imagine they're

00:15:19.360 thinking.

00:15:20.580 Now,

00:15:20.840 it turns out

00:15:21.280 that the

00:15:21.580 president's

00:15:22.040 lawyers said

00:15:22.660 that directly

00:15:23.360 several times.

00:15:25.160 They actually

00:15:25.660 used the

00:15:26.260 words mind

00:15:26.960 reading.

00:15:28.000 And they

00:15:28.180 said that

00:15:30.040 Schiff's team

00:15:32.360 is trying to

00:15:33.280 read Trump's

00:15:33.940 mind and

00:15:34.540 read Zelensky's

00:15:35.500 mind and

00:15:36.220 that there's

00:15:36.700 no basis

00:15:37.140 for that.

00:15:37.520 Now,

00:15:40.340 is that a

00:15:40.940 good defense

00:15:41.520 to say that

00:15:42.780 they're mind

00:15:43.240 reading?

00:15:43.800 It's a pretty

00:15:44.280 good defense.

00:15:44.920 If it were a

00:15:45.460 legal trial,

00:15:46.220 it would be a

00:15:46.680 better defense

00:15:47.340 because that

00:15:49.000 would be more

00:15:50.480 aligned with

00:15:51.160 the rules.

00:15:51.540 But because it's

00:15:52.580 an impeachment

00:15:53.080 and you can

00:15:53.780 make up the

00:15:54.280 rules and it's

00:15:54.900 a political

00:15:55.340 process,

00:15:56.920 I don't know

00:15:57.400 it makes that

00:15:57.880 much difference.

00:15:58.460 I would

00:15:59.920 expect that

00:16:00.400 the real

00:16:00.760 argument,

00:16:01.540 the one that

00:16:02.080 makes a

00:16:02.440 difference,

00:16:03.180 will start

00:16:03.920 when Dershowitz

00:16:04.700 gets involved.

00:16:06.120 I think

00:16:06.440 Dershowitz is

00:16:07.120 going to go

00:16:07.500 in and say,

00:16:08.360 it doesn't

00:16:08.980 matter who's

00:16:09.520 reading whose

00:16:10.060 mind.

00:16:11.600 He's not

00:16:12.240 going to say

00:16:12.560 that directly,

00:16:13.600 but the

00:16:13.960 inference will

00:16:14.540 be, it

00:16:15.600 doesn't matter

00:16:16.020 who's reading

00:16:16.540 whose mind,

00:16:17.620 and also it

00:16:18.200 doesn't matter

00:16:18.660 if the

00:16:19.000 president did

00:16:19.560 everything that

00:16:20.340 he's accused

00:16:20.940 of doing.

00:16:21.940 None of it

00:16:22.400 matters because

00:16:23.520 it doesn't

00:16:23.980 rise to

00:16:24.500 impeachable as

00:16:25.440 the Constitution

00:16:26.060 requires.

00:16:26.760 So I think

00:16:27.720 Dershowitz is

00:16:28.380 just going to

00:16:28.760 put the

00:16:29.040 hammer down

00:16:29.640 and end 0.99

00:16:30.700 this whole

00:16:31.060 thing.

00:16:31.580 I doubt

00:16:32.020 we'll see

00:16:32.460 any kind

00:16:32.940 of witnesses

00:16:34.060 called.

00:16:35.960 Now here's

00:16:36.400 the interesting

00:16:36.820 thing.

00:16:40.840 Well,

00:16:41.900 let me talk

00:16:43.000 about one

00:16:43.340 thing,

00:16:43.700 one more

00:16:44.180 thing before

00:16:44.640 I change

00:16:45.360 topics.

00:16:46.880 I watched

00:16:47.820 Democrat

00:16:48.480 Senator

00:16:49.260 Stabenow,

00:16:51.140 I hope I'm

00:16:51.780 pronouncing

00:16:52.280 right,

00:16:52.900 Stabenow,

00:16:53.760 or Stabenow,

00:16:54.920 and she was

00:16:55.380 doing an

00:16:55.720 interview after

00:16:56.500 in between

00:16:57.560 one of the

00:16:57.940 sessions or

00:16:58.560 after,

00:16:59.740 and she

00:17:01.240 said that

00:17:01.880 she said

00:17:05.280 that the

00:17:07.160 claim that

00:17:07.800 oh my

00:17:09.580 God,

00:17:10.520 she claimed

00:17:11.840 that the

00:17:12.160 president broke

00:17:12.820 the law by

00:17:13.700 withholding aid

00:17:14.480 to Ukraine.

00:17:15.500 So after

00:17:16.440 listening to

00:17:17.000 all this

00:17:17.380 evidence for

00:17:18.460 impeachment,

00:17:20.200 a senator who

00:17:21.160 sat through

00:17:21.760 two days of

00:17:22.820 the prosecution

00:17:23.460 saying what

00:17:24.400 the president

00:17:24.880 did wrong,

00:17:25.520 goes in front

00:17:26.680 of a camera

00:17:27.220 and says

00:17:28.040 that the

00:17:28.900 president broke

00:17:29.620 the law by

00:17:30.360 withholding aid

00:17:31.100 to Ukraine.

00:17:32.520 Now here's

00:17:32.980 what I tweeted

00:17:33.640 back to her,

00:17:34.500 or actually

00:17:34.980 tweeted about

00:17:35.720 it.

00:17:36.420 I said,

00:17:36.960 can she ask

00:17:37.660 her fellow 1.00

00:17:38.100 idiots why 1.00

00:17:39.400 no crimes 1.00

00:17:40.040 were alleged

00:17:40.640 in the

00:17:41.040 impeachment

00:17:41.440 articles?

00:17:42.640 How in the

00:17:43.500 world did

00:17:44.280 she sit

00:17:44.720 through two

00:17:45.240 days of

00:17:45.700 testimony from

00:17:46.480 her own

00:17:46.960 team and

00:17:48.260 not notice

00:17:48.980 that no

00:17:49.900 crimes were

00:17:50.640 even alleged?

00:17:51.420 there's no

00:17:53.100 crimes alleged.

00:17:54.580 Is she the

00:17:55.140 only one that

00:17:55.680 saw a crime

00:17:56.220 alleged?

00:17:56.980 She sat

00:17:57.460 through two

00:17:58.000 days of it.

00:17:58.560 What did

00:17:58.880 she do?

00:17:59.220 Just play

00:17:59.580 with her

00:17:59.880 spinner?

00:18:01.140 Is that

00:18:01.440 it?

00:18:01.800 Was she

00:18:02.080 paying attention

00:18:02.660 to any

00:18:04.000 of it?

00:18:04.860 Did she

00:18:05.400 watch any

00:18:06.640 of the

00:18:07.000 impeachment?

00:18:07.800 Because no

00:18:08.540 crimes are

00:18:09.120 alleged.

00:18:11.200 But she

00:18:11.820 saw some.

00:18:12.580 She saw her

00:18:13.020 own crimes.

00:18:14.020 So she's

00:18:14.540 in her own

00:18:14.880 little personal

00:18:15.600 movie there.

00:18:16.120 Now, here's

00:18:20.020 the weird

00:18:22.480 part.

00:18:23.940 Remember I

00:18:24.420 promised you

00:18:25.020 something weird

00:18:25.660 was going to

00:18:26.100 come?

00:18:27.520 This is the

00:18:28.260 part.

00:18:29.860 Now, this

00:18:31.160 won't mean as

00:18:31.840 much to

00:18:33.080 people who

00:18:33.540 have not

00:18:33.820 been following

00:18:34.440 me for a

00:18:34.980 while, and

00:18:35.400 especially if

00:18:36.000 you read

00:18:36.300 Winn Bigley,

00:18:37.040 my book about

00:18:37.780 persuasion and

00:18:38.820 the 2016

00:18:39.980 race.

00:18:40.540 This will

00:18:40.760 make more

00:18:41.140 sense, but

00:18:41.660 I'll try to

00:18:42.460 catch you up

00:18:42.960 if you haven't

00:18:43.420 read that

00:18:43.840 book.

00:18:44.820 One of the

00:18:45.420 things I do

00:18:46.720 to track

00:18:47.740 my own

00:18:48.500 influence,

00:18:50.340 if anybody's

00:18:51.280 new here,

00:18:51.840 I'm a

00:18:52.280 trained

00:18:52.520 hypnotist,

00:18:53.620 and I've

00:18:54.300 been studying

00:18:54.740 persuasion

00:18:55.280 for decades,

00:18:56.660 but one of

00:18:57.520 the tricks I

00:18:58.040 use to

00:18:58.460 track whether

00:18:59.100 or not I've

00:18:59.800 influenced

00:19:00.440 either a

00:19:01.480 person or

00:19:02.220 an event

00:19:02.740 is I'll

00:19:03.960 sometimes use

00:19:04.880 unique

00:19:05.840 vocabulary.

00:19:07.480 Vocabulary

00:19:08.080 that you

00:19:09.760 wouldn't normally

00:19:10.340 see in that

00:19:10.940 context,

00:19:11.800 because if I

00:19:12.620 use it,

00:19:13.580 and then I

00:19:14.140 see somebody

00:19:14.760 later using

00:19:15.400 the same

00:19:15.820 vocabulary,

00:19:16.980 you can't

00:19:17.820 be sure,

00:19:19.180 but it

00:19:19.600 would suggest

00:19:20.320 that maybe

00:19:20.760 you had some

00:19:21.200 influence.

00:19:21.820 You can't

00:19:22.160 guarantee it,

00:19:22.820 but it would

00:19:23.640 be a strong

00:19:24.800 hint of

00:19:25.460 that.

00:19:27.800 And

00:19:28.120 indeed,

00:19:29.960 I think

00:19:33.020 that this

00:19:33.440 linguistic

00:19:34.000 fingerprint is

00:19:35.500 so strong

00:19:36.220 that sometimes

00:19:37.840 I think you

00:19:38.440 can identify

00:19:39.160 who is

00:19:39.740 influencing

00:19:40.260 events by

00:19:41.740 what words

00:19:42.360 are being

00:19:42.700 used,

00:19:43.060 because people

00:19:45.020 have sort

00:19:45.480 of a

00:19:45.920 linguistic

00:19:46.880 fingerprint,

00:19:47.840 right?

00:19:48.680 And I

00:19:50.060 quite famously

00:19:50.880 called out

00:19:51.680 that when

00:19:52.400 Hillary Clinton

00:19:53.120 in the

00:19:53.640 summer of

00:19:54.040 2016

00:19:54.860 suddenly started

00:19:56.640 using the

00:19:57.220 word dark

00:19:57.940 and all of

00:19:59.060 the pundits

00:19:59.600 on the

00:19:59.940 Democrat side

00:20:00.660 simultaneously

00:20:01.480 and at the

00:20:02.100 same time,

00:20:02.920 that's what

00:20:03.260 simultaneous

00:20:03.620 means,

00:20:04.740 they started

00:20:05.480 using the

00:20:05.920 word dark

00:20:06.480 right after

00:20:07.120 the Republican

00:20:07.740 Convention.

00:20:08.320 And as

00:20:09.640 soon as I

00:20:10.020 heard the

00:20:10.340 word,

00:20:11.400 I thought,

00:20:12.440 oh wow,

00:20:13.760 this is not

00:20:14.400 an ordinary

00:20:15.020 political word.

00:20:16.400 This comes

00:20:17.100 from somebody

00:20:17.700 who really

00:20:18.320 knows the

00:20:19.000 science of

00:20:19.660 persuasion,

00:20:20.400 because dark

00:20:21.420 is perfectly

00:20:22.480 designed.

00:20:23.720 It's a single

00:20:24.340 word,

00:20:25.000 it's easy to

00:20:25.660 repeat,

00:20:26.280 everybody knows

00:20:26.940 what the

00:20:27.240 word dark

00:20:27.640 means,

00:20:28.220 but it's

00:20:28.820 suggestive of

00:20:29.760 a whole range

00:20:30.700 of vague

00:20:31.960 fears.

00:20:33.380 And that's

00:20:33.900 really good

00:20:34.500 persuasion,

00:20:35.160 because you

00:20:35.520 don't want to

00:20:35.980 say to

00:20:36.280 somebody,

00:20:37.100 you should

00:20:37.640 fear X,

00:20:39.220 because sometimes

00:20:40.100 people will

00:20:40.660 say,

00:20:40.900 I'm not

00:20:41.160 really afraid

00:20:41.660 of X.

00:20:42.600 Now if

00:20:42.980 you had

00:20:43.240 said Y,

00:20:44.620 I'd be

00:20:44.980 really afraid

00:20:45.580 of Y,

00:20:46.100 but you

00:20:46.420 said X,

00:20:47.500 so some

00:20:48.460 people are

00:20:48.800 afraid of

00:20:49.060 that,

00:20:49.340 but I'm

00:20:49.560 not.

00:20:50.880 Instead,

00:20:51.680 a better

00:20:52.080 persuader

00:20:52.560 would say,

00:20:53.460 this situation

00:20:54.140 is very

00:20:54.560 dark.

00:20:55.900 And then

00:20:56.140 suddenly,

00:20:57.380 suddenly,

00:20:58.020 everybody can

00:20:58.620 put their

00:20:58.940 own fear

00:20:59.380 into it,

00:20:59.840 because it's

00:21:00.260 not excluded.

00:21:01.580 Dark,

00:21:02.320 are you

00:21:02.780 saying something

00:21:03.560 racist is

00:21:04.200 going to

00:21:04.420 happen?

00:21:05.400 Dark,

00:21:06.260 are you

00:21:06.840 saying there

00:21:07.240 your economy

00:21:07.860 will fail?

00:21:09.140 Dark?

00:21:10.200 Are you

00:21:10.480 saying that

00:21:10.960 we'll have

00:21:11.440 a nuclear

00:21:11.860 war?

00:21:13.260 I'm afraid.

00:21:14.960 So as soon

00:21:15.520 as I saw

00:21:16.240 that word

00:21:16.660 dark,

00:21:17.780 I said

00:21:18.400 publicly

00:21:18.940 that I

00:21:19.400 believe there

00:21:19.860 was a

00:21:20.340 high-level

00:21:21.400 persuader

00:21:22.160 who got

00:21:22.640 involved,

00:21:23.200 and I

00:21:23.480 thought I

00:21:23.820 could actually

00:21:24.260 identify that

00:21:25.100 person.

00:21:25.980 Think of

00:21:26.400 this claim.

00:21:28.020 Just think

00:21:28.700 of how

00:21:29.660 extraordinary

00:21:30.260 this claim

00:21:31.140 is.

00:21:32.080 I said

00:21:32.700 in public

00:21:33.220 that I

00:21:34.360 thought I

00:21:34.780 could identify

00:21:35.460 the person

00:21:36.300 and of

00:21:36.700 all the

00:21:37.180 billions of

00:21:37.720 people in

00:21:38.100 the world

00:21:38.480 that I

00:21:39.440 could identify

00:21:40.140 the one

00:21:40.720 person who

00:21:42.060 was behind

00:21:42.580 that one

00:21:43.140 word.

00:21:44.800 At first I

00:21:46.140 called him

00:21:46.620 Godzilla because

00:21:48.020 I didn't want

00:21:48.500 to name him

00:21:48.980 yet.

00:21:49.920 Eventually I

00:21:51.360 put my

00:21:51.900 prediction on

00:21:52.600 it that it

00:21:53.000 was Robert

00:21:54.140 Cialdini who

00:21:56.080 is known as

00:21:57.580 the top

00:21:58.960 author on

00:22:00.640 influence.

00:22:01.980 I found out

00:22:02.640 later,

00:22:03.140 after I'd

00:22:03.640 made the

00:22:04.000 prediction,

00:22:04.580 I found

00:22:04.900 out later

00:22:05.340 that he

00:22:05.780 admitted that

00:22:08.040 he had

00:22:08.440 helped

00:22:09.180 consult the

00:22:11.440 Obama

00:22:11.840 campaign.

00:22:14.080 Now if

00:22:14.440 he helped

00:22:14.840 Obama,

00:22:17.080 is it

00:22:17.540 likely that

00:22:18.180 he might

00:22:18.520 have been

00:22:18.740 asked to

00:22:19.240 help Hillary 0.99

00:22:19.780 Clinton?

00:22:21.000 Well,

00:22:21.380 we don't

00:22:21.660 have that

00:22:22.160 as a

00:22:23.920 fact in

00:22:24.540 evidence,

00:22:25.040 but it

00:22:25.360 seems likely,

00:22:26.320 right?

00:22:27.600 And he

00:22:28.840 was asked,

00:22:29.800 because I

00:22:30.340 mentioned it

00:22:30.900 in an

00:22:31.180 interview,

00:22:31.460 and the

00:22:32.060 reporter went

00:22:33.120 and asked,

00:22:34.000 and his

00:22:34.420 response when

00:22:35.140 asked if he

00:22:35.740 was consulting

00:22:36.600 for the

00:22:37.560 Clinton campaign

00:22:38.300 was,

00:22:39.680 no comment.

00:22:41.340 Does anybody

00:22:42.120 say no comment

00:22:43.100 when you ask

00:22:44.420 them if they're

00:22:45.080 working for

00:22:45.780 somebody,

00:22:46.660 and they're

00:22:47.260 not?

00:22:48.420 If they're not

00:22:49.240 working for

00:22:49.760 somebody,

00:22:50.180 do they say

00:22:50.600 no comment?

00:22:52.080 They could,

00:22:53.320 I suppose it's

00:22:54.000 possible,

00:22:55.040 but not

00:22:55.420 likely.

00:22:55.740 somebody who

00:22:57.920 knows

00:22:58.600 Cialdini

00:22:59.180 reported,

00:23:00.040 but this

00:23:00.320 is hearsay,

00:23:02.020 so I

00:23:02.360 didn't hear

00:23:02.680 it directly,

00:23:03.860 but reported

00:23:04.500 that they

00:23:04.960 had confirmed

00:23:05.720 that he

00:23:06.420 was consulting

00:23:07.340 for Clinton.

00:23:09.180 Now,

00:23:09.660 and then the

00:23:10.120 third piece

00:23:10.540 of evidence,

00:23:12.440 yes,

00:23:13.300 this is a

00:23:13.640 long windup,

00:23:14.520 but the

00:23:15.740 payoff is

00:23:16.240 good.

00:23:17.460 The third

00:23:18.700 piece of

00:23:19.060 evidence is

00:23:19.620 that I've

00:23:20.140 personally

00:23:20.540 communicated

00:23:21.240 with Cialdini,

00:23:22.840 and we've

00:23:24.280 communicated,

00:23:25.740 by DMs

00:23:26.620 on Twitter,

00:23:27.280 mostly just

00:23:27.880 about his

00:23:28.260 new book,

00:23:28.860 I've

00:23:29.060 recommended it,

00:23:29.920 it was

00:23:30.120 called

00:23:30.400 Pre-Suasion,

00:23:31.840 great book,

00:23:32.440 you should

00:23:32.640 all read it.

00:23:34.060 So,

00:23:34.600 if he

00:23:35.160 wanted to

00:23:35.740 correct me,

00:23:37.460 it'd be

00:23:37.800 easy.

00:23:38.640 He would

00:23:38.860 just DM

00:23:39.400 me the

00:23:39.860 way he's

00:23:40.260 DMed me 0.99

00:23:40.820 before,

00:23:41.320 and said,

00:23:41.640 oh no,

00:23:41.980 that wasn't

00:23:42.380 me.

00:23:43.240 Thanks for

00:23:43.880 thinking it

00:23:44.320 was me,

00:23:45.040 but that

00:23:45.540 wasn't me.

00:23:47.180 He could

00:23:47.780 have done

00:23:48.020 that.

00:23:49.000 He hasn't.

00:23:50.240 That book's

00:23:50.620 been out for

00:23:51.020 a while,

00:23:51.440 I'm sure

00:23:51.720 he's seen

00:23:52.060 it by now.

00:23:53.460 So,

00:23:54.020 we believe

00:23:55.120 that Robert

00:23:56.380 Cialdini,

00:23:56.960 or it

00:23:57.260 could be

00:23:57.560 somebody that

00:23:58.140 he mentored,

00:24:00.780 we think he

00:24:01.300 was probably

00:24:01.660 behind that

00:24:02.120 word dark,

00:24:02.980 because it

00:24:03.220 has such a

00:24:03.780 strong tell

00:24:04.660 for a

00:24:05.920 trained

00:24:06.260 persuader.

00:24:07.700 Here's where

00:24:08.440 the fun part

00:24:09.200 gets.

00:24:10.220 Joe Biden

00:24:10.760 has a new

00:24:11.320 commercial out

00:24:12.240 that's saying

00:24:13.780 why he's the

00:24:14.440 best choice

00:24:15.060 against Trump,

00:24:16.000 and it shows

00:24:16.440 some poll

00:24:16.900 numbers where

00:24:17.540 he beats

00:24:17.920 Trump in

00:24:18.660 various polls.

00:24:19.400 And then

00:24:20.860 at the end

00:24:21.380 of the

00:24:21.720 thing,

00:24:22.180 it shows

00:24:22.480 Bernie

00:24:22.800 Sanders

00:24:23.180 from behind,

00:24:24.400 and it's

00:24:24.820 obvious it's

00:24:25.380 Bernie Sanders,

00:24:26.460 and the

00:24:27.180 tagline is

00:24:28.300 that we

00:24:28.960 can't take

00:24:29.520 the risk

00:24:30.220 that Trump

00:24:31.660 gets re-elected,

00:24:33.720 but it's

00:24:34.100 showing Bernie

00:24:35.780 as the

00:24:36.540 risk.

00:24:38.000 In other

00:24:38.340 words,

00:24:38.660 Bernie can't

00:24:39.580 get elected

00:24:40.020 against Trump,

00:24:41.460 so he's

00:24:41.920 the risk

00:24:42.480 that is

00:24:43.760 transferred.

00:24:45.260 It's

00:24:45.900 basically the

00:24:46.520 risk of

00:24:46.920 Trump,

00:24:48.000 but Bernie's

00:24:48.660 the problem

00:24:49.180 because he

00:24:49.620 would create

00:24:50.080 that risk

00:24:50.600 that Trump

00:24:51.420 would win

00:24:51.780 again.

00:24:53.660 Now that

00:24:54.320 word risk,

00:24:56.280 does that

00:24:56.960 sound like

00:24:57.520 one that

00:24:57.880 you hear

00:24:58.220 all the

00:24:58.620 time in

00:24:59.060 politics?

00:25:01.580 That's a

00:25:02.180 tell.

00:25:03.560 You see

00:25:04.420 the word

00:25:04.800 risk,

00:25:05.760 and you

00:25:06.160 say to

00:25:06.480 yourself,

00:25:07.240 that's not

00:25:07.760 normal,

00:25:09.480 because if

00:25:10.500 it were

00:25:10.700 normal,

00:25:11.280 you would

00:25:11.520 say,

00:25:11.760 oh yeah,

00:25:12.180 all the

00:25:13.200 campaigns say

00:25:13.860 that about

00:25:14.220 the other

00:25:14.600 side,

00:25:15.200 but not

00:25:15.780 really.

00:25:16.780 It's sort

00:25:17.440 of an

00:25:17.660 unusual word,

00:25:18.440 isn't it?

00:25:19.740 Now,

00:25:20.380 where did

00:25:21.200 it come

00:25:21.480 from?

00:25:22.760 Well,

00:25:23.320 you may

00:25:23.660 remember I

00:25:24.240 told the

00:25:24.580 story in

00:25:24.980 Winn-Bigley

00:25:25.520 that Bill

00:25:27.360 Clinton used

00:25:28.900 the same

00:25:29.420 attack against

00:25:31.480 Dole and

00:25:33.180 Jack Kemp.

00:25:34.220 Now,

00:25:34.600 why did

00:25:34.920 Clinton use

00:25:35.680 the word

00:25:36.080 risky?

00:25:36.760 He used

00:25:37.200 risky with

00:25:37.980 a Y.

00:25:38.780 Why did

00:25:39.160 he say

00:25:39.620 that Kemp

00:25:40.880 and Dole

00:25:41.480 were risky?

00:25:42.840 It was

00:25:43.260 because the

00:25:43.780 economy was

00:25:44.400 doing well,

00:25:45.280 and everybody

00:25:45.840 agreed.

00:25:46.800 So everybody

00:25:47.480 on both

00:25:47.900 side said,

00:25:48.400 yeah,

00:25:49.180 the Bill

00:25:49.540 Clinton

00:25:49.800 economy is

00:25:50.620 looking pretty

00:25:51.180 strong.

00:25:52.460 So what

00:25:54.180 Kemp and

00:25:54.880 Dole were

00:25:55.300 suggesting was

00:25:56.480 supply-side

00:25:57.180 economics,

00:25:58.080 that they

00:25:58.320 would cut

00:26:00.540 taxes a lot,

00:26:01.540 but we'd

00:26:02.200 make more

00:26:02.580 money in the

00:26:03.020 long run.

00:26:04.660 Now,

00:26:05.360 why is it

00:26:07.020 good to say

00:26:07.600 that's risky?

00:26:09.220 Well,

00:26:09.580 it's because

00:26:10.020 most voters

00:26:11.340 skew older.

00:26:12.780 older people

00:26:14.040 are less

00:26:15.460 likely to

00:26:16.160 enjoy risk,

00:26:17.580 right?

00:26:17.940 Because if

00:26:18.460 you're old

00:26:18.860 enough and

00:26:19.400 you've got

00:26:20.220 some money

00:26:20.660 and you're

00:26:21.180 voting,

00:26:21.880 you don't

00:26:22.360 want risk.

00:26:23.520 And when

00:26:23.900 the economy

00:26:24.380 is doing

00:26:24.840 well,

00:26:25.640 the last

00:26:26.300 thing you

00:26:26.600 want is

00:26:26.900 more risk.

00:26:28.240 So it

00:26:29.640 basically

00:26:30.240 took the

00:26:31.740 entire

00:26:32.240 argument from

00:26:33.600 Kemp and

00:26:34.160 Dole on

00:26:34.980 economics

00:26:35.560 totally off

00:26:36.740 the table.

00:26:37.540 It looked 0.95

00:26:38.260 ridiculous 0.98

00:26:39.160 when you 0.99

00:26:40.320 looked at it

00:26:40.860 from a

00:26:41.260 risk

00:26:41.580 management

00:26:42.080 perspective.

00:26:43.260 It was a

00:26:43.620 kill shot.

00:26:44.880 Risky was 0.62

00:26:46.220 a complete

00:26:46.740 kill shot. 0.97

00:26:48.020 Now,

00:26:48.160 where did

00:26:48.380 Bill Clinton

00:26:48.840 get it?

00:26:50.640 Well,

00:26:50.960 Bill Clinton

00:26:51.660 actually was

00:26:52.340 not the

00:26:52.700 first one

00:26:53.200 in his

00:26:53.620 campaign

00:26:54.100 to say

00:26:54.920 risky.

00:26:55.840 It was

00:26:56.300 actually

00:26:56.640 Al Gore.

00:26:57.600 The first

00:26:58.140 place that

00:26:58.540 came out

00:26:58.920 was when

00:26:59.380 Al Gore

00:26:59.880 did a

00:27:00.280 debate

00:27:00.680 against

00:27:01.600 Jack

00:27:02.220 Kemp.

00:27:03.580 And in

00:27:03.960 that debate,

00:27:04.780 Gore said

00:27:05.300 it's a

00:27:05.680 risky

00:27:05.960 scheme,

00:27:06.540 it's a

00:27:06.800 risky

00:27:07.040 scheme to

00:27:07.720 try to

00:27:08.040 fix

00:27:08.300 everything

00:27:08.680 just by

00:27:10.040 lowering

00:27:10.320 taxes.

00:27:11.780 Now,

00:27:12.200 the way

00:27:12.660 campaigns

00:27:13.280 work is

00:27:13.720 the

00:27:13.860 vice

00:27:14.060 president

00:27:14.440 candidate

00:27:15.600 will

00:27:15.960 sometimes

00:27:16.360 try out

00:27:17.140 a line

00:27:17.600 of

00:27:17.720 attack

00:27:18.160 and

00:27:19.540 then

00:27:19.700 the

00:27:19.860 president,

00:27:20.380 if it

00:27:20.620 works,

00:27:21.220 only if

00:27:21.680 it

00:27:21.800 works,

00:27:22.260 then the

00:27:22.520 president

00:27:22.780 will say,

00:27:23.220 okay,

00:27:23.420 that worked,

00:27:24.360 now I'm

00:27:24.860 going to

00:27:25.040 say it.

00:27:25.800 If the

00:27:26.340 vice

00:27:26.540 president

00:27:26.880 tries a

00:27:27.380 line of

00:27:27.680 attack

00:27:27.960 and it

00:27:28.280 doesn't

00:27:28.580 work,

00:27:29.360 well,

00:27:29.580 then the

00:27:30.080 presidential

00:27:30.580 candidate

00:27:31.000 either ignores

00:27:31.720 it or

00:27:32.720 says,

00:27:33.240 oh,

00:27:33.420 no,

00:27:33.840 he wasn't

00:27:34.520 quite on

00:27:34.960 board,

00:27:36.060 this is

00:27:36.900 what we

00:27:37.200 really

00:27:37.440 mean,

00:27:37.760 he might

00:27:38.320 clarify or

00:27:39.040 correct it.

00:27:40.080 But it

00:27:40.500 was so

00:27:41.000 effective

00:27:41.400 when Gore

00:27:41.940 used it,

00:27:42.740 in fact,

00:27:43.160 it was

00:27:43.340 all the

00:27:43.620 headlines.

00:27:44.360 The next

00:27:44.680 day after

00:27:45.140 the debate,

00:27:46.380 all the

00:27:46.700 headlines

00:27:47.080 were that

00:27:47.840 word,

00:27:48.580 risky scheme,

00:27:49.700 risky scheme,

00:27:50.580 risky scheme,

00:27:51.420 Gore calls it a

00:27:52.120 risky scheme.

00:27:52.760 then Clinton

00:27:53.820 took it up

00:27:54.420 and it

00:27:54.760 was a

00:27:55.180 total

00:27:55.420 kill 0.78

00:27:55.660 shot. 0.99

00:27:56.580 So the

00:27:57.040 real question

00:27:57.480 is,

00:27:58.220 where did

00:27:58.800 Al Gore

00:27:59.180 get it,

00:28:00.440 if we're

00:28:00.800 tracing back

00:28:01.420 this word?

00:28:02.780 Now,

00:28:03.040 Al Gore

00:28:03.500 almost certainly

00:28:05.680 got it from

00:28:06.520 somebody

00:28:07.580 advising,

00:28:09.380 from a

00:28:09.800 staff member,

00:28:10.740 because usually

00:28:11.300 the candidates

00:28:11.900 themselves,

00:28:12.760 and I think

00:28:13.080 Trump is the

00:28:13.640 exception to

00:28:14.240 this,

00:28:14.760 but typically

00:28:15.260 the candidates

00:28:15.980 themselves are

00:28:16.880 not coming

00:28:18.080 up with the

00:28:18.580 ideas.

00:28:19.500 They're

00:28:19.820 responding to

00:28:20.960 and approving

00:28:21.560 ideas from

00:28:22.680 a variety

00:28:23.240 of advisors.

00:28:25.360 So the

00:28:25.680 real question

00:28:26.160 is,

00:28:27.660 can we

00:28:28.220 trace back

00:28:28.760 this word

00:28:29.280 risk from

00:28:30.680 Joe Biden

00:28:31.300 back to

00:28:32.960 the Clinton

00:28:33.780 universe,

00:28:35.120 which would

00:28:35.780 suggest that

00:28:37.520 people from

00:28:38.380 the Clinton

00:28:38.880 universe,

00:28:39.900 maybe at

00:28:41.380 least some

00:28:41.760 of them or

00:28:42.260 a lot of

00:28:42.640 them are

00:28:43.000 involved with

00:28:43.620 the Biden

00:28:43.980 campaign,

00:28:44.640 which is

00:28:45.080 important,

00:28:45.600 right?

00:28:46.020 If the

00:28:46.580 Clinton

00:28:46.860 machine is

00:28:47.580 behind Biden,

00:28:49.480 that's a

00:28:49.900 pretty big

00:28:50.680 deal.

00:28:51.640 So Biden

00:28:53.800 used this

00:28:54.320 word risk,

00:28:55.260 which echoes

00:28:56.140 back to

00:28:56.720 Bill Clinton

00:28:57.340 and probably

00:28:58.120 some association

00:28:59.080 between advisors,

00:29:00.620 which echoes

00:29:01.420 back to

00:29:02.120 Al Gore,

00:29:03.200 which probably

00:29:04.360 came from

00:29:04.900 some kind

00:29:05.400 of an

00:29:05.720 advisor on

00:29:06.480 his staff.

00:29:08.420 But who

00:29:09.240 advised the

00:29:09.960 staff member?

00:29:11.380 Who was the

00:29:12.280 person trained

00:29:13.240 in persuasion

00:29:15.040 who talked

00:29:16.560 to one of

00:29:17.080 Al Gore's

00:29:17.720 staff members

00:29:18.360 and suggested

00:29:19.680 that risk

00:29:20.520 and that

00:29:21.080 word risky

00:29:21.760 was the

00:29:22.780 best line

00:29:23.300 of attack?

00:29:24.960 I'm going

00:29:25.560 to tell

00:29:25.840 you.

00:29:27.340 It was

00:29:28.060 me.

00:29:30.560 I actually

00:29:31.480 was advising

00:29:32.940 the Al Gore

00:29:33.620 campaign.

00:29:35.040 Now, I was

00:29:35.720 advising through

00:29:36.380 advisors,

00:29:37.300 and what that

00:29:38.020 means, if

00:29:39.460 you're not

00:29:39.860 involved in

00:29:40.680 this world,

00:29:41.660 it means

00:29:42.180 that Al Gore

00:29:45.700 might not be

00:29:46.480 aware of

00:29:47.600 where the

00:29:47.980 suggestion

00:29:48.380 came from.

00:29:49.880 Meaning that

00:29:50.640 they get

00:29:51.720 lots of

00:29:52.140 suggestions

00:29:52.620 from lots

00:29:53.200 of people.

00:29:55.060 It's unlikely

00:29:55.820 that Al Gore

00:29:56.840 necessarily

00:29:57.680 knew that it

00:29:58.960 came from

00:29:59.300 me.

00:30:00.040 And it's

00:30:00.500 even less

00:30:00.980 likely that

00:30:01.720 President

00:30:02.320 Clinton knew

00:30:03.880 that Al Gore

00:30:04.820 got it from

00:30:05.440 somebody who

00:30:06.120 got it from

00:30:06.540 me.

00:30:10.180 And there

00:30:10.800 you have it.

00:30:12.000 That's the

00:30:12.540 first time I've

00:30:13.100 ever told that

00:30:13.680 story in public,

00:30:14.620 by the way.

00:30:15.060 And I think

00:30:16.260 we've just

00:30:16.780 come to a

00:30:17.220 time when

00:30:17.660 it's fair

00:30:18.580 to tell it.

00:30:20.740 Now, can

00:30:21.920 I guarantee

00:30:22.620 that I was

00:30:25.220 the cause

00:30:25.960 of either

00:30:27.480 Al Gore

00:30:28.080 using risky

00:30:29.200 scheme as

00:30:30.000 his theme?

00:30:31.580 Can I

00:30:32.240 guarantee

00:30:32.540 that?

00:30:32.920 Actually, no.

00:30:34.260 Because I

00:30:35.040 can't guarantee

00:30:35.520 that, because

00:30:36.160 it's possible

00:30:36.840 somebody else

00:30:37.480 came up with

00:30:38.020 it at

00:30:38.860 exactly the

00:30:39.500 same time.

00:30:40.560 Because the

00:30:41.340 timing was

00:30:41.880 also right.

00:30:42.520 I said it,

00:30:43.080 and then it

00:30:43.340 came out of

00:30:43.720 his mouth,

00:30:44.140 basically.

00:30:45.060 So it's

00:30:45.460 possible

00:30:45.800 somebody else

00:30:46.400 thought of

00:30:46.740 it.

00:30:47.540 It just

00:30:48.100 was at

00:30:48.440 the same

00:30:48.760 time.

00:30:49.900 And it's

00:30:50.420 also possible

00:30:51.120 that the

00:30:51.640 Biden campaign

00:30:52.580 came up with

00:30:53.220 it completely

00:30:53.720 on their

00:30:54.080 own.

00:30:54.900 Maybe.

00:30:56.000 Could be.

00:30:57.300 But look

00:30:58.260 for these

00:30:58.640 little linguistic

00:31:01.400 tells, and

00:31:03.900 sometimes you

00:31:04.580 can trace

00:31:05.080 them back

00:31:05.480 to their

00:31:05.820 source.

00:31:06.960 I'm pretty

00:31:07.340 sure Dark

00:31:08.120 came from

00:31:08.960 Godzilla, or

00:31:10.560 Robert Cialdini,

00:31:11.880 or somebody

00:31:12.320 that he

00:31:12.640 mentored.

00:31:12.960 and there's

00:31:15.560 a good

00:31:15.800 chance that

00:31:17.100 the Biden

00:31:17.600 campaign

00:31:18.140 commercial is

00:31:19.460 at least

00:31:19.900 influenced through

00:31:21.280 a chain of

00:31:21.860 connections to

00:31:23.720 something I did

00:31:24.480 back in the

00:31:25.000 90s.

00:31:26.400 Now, why

00:31:28.140 have I never

00:31:28.620 told you this

00:31:29.220 story before?

00:31:32.480 There's a good

00:31:33.220 reason.

00:31:34.420 You wouldn't

00:31:35.160 have believed

00:31:35.580 it.

00:31:36.480 If I had told

00:31:37.440 you this story

00:31:38.160 in the late

00:31:40.040 90s, would

00:31:41.680 you have

00:31:41.960 believed it?

00:31:43.660 No, you

00:31:44.300 wouldn't.

00:31:44.640 You wouldn't

00:31:44.980 have believed

00:31:45.280 it.

00:31:45.980 Because you

00:31:46.580 would have

00:31:46.780 said, yeah,

00:31:48.580 cartoonist,

00:31:49.580 maybe not.

00:31:51.640 But now

00:31:52.060 you've watched,

00:31:54.900 now you have

00:31:55.660 observed me

00:31:58.000 introducing words

00:31:59.020 and concepts

00:31:59.560 which have

00:32:00.140 entered the

00:32:01.000 common

00:32:01.300 consciousness.

00:32:02.340 So you've

00:32:02.920 seen me do

00:32:03.420 it a number

00:32:03.860 of times,

00:32:05.040 and therefore

00:32:05.540 I can tell

00:32:07.180 you the story

00:32:07.660 for the first

00:32:08.180 time, because

00:32:09.420 now you

00:32:10.120 believe that

00:32:11.520 I can do

00:32:11.900 that.

00:32:13.020 All right.

00:32:14.120 Now, some

00:32:14.820 of you are

00:32:15.380 going to be

00:32:15.800 mad at me

00:32:16.240 and say,

00:32:16.600 why could

00:32:17.000 you do

00:32:17.320 that?

00:32:17.960 Why could

00:32:18.780 you help

00:32:19.520 on that?

00:32:20.680 And the

00:32:21.260 answer is

00:32:21.800 very simple.

00:32:23.480 The Bill

00:32:24.020 Clinton economy

00:32:24.720 was really

00:32:25.580 good.

00:32:27.400 I didn't

00:32:28.040 want more

00:32:28.440 risk.

00:32:30.940 Do you

00:32:31.500 know what

00:32:31.740 you shouldn't

00:32:32.300 do when

00:32:33.640 you're in

00:32:33.980 the Trump

00:32:34.800 economy?

00:32:35.860 The Trump

00:32:36.220 economy is

00:32:36.780 great.

00:32:37.920 Do you

00:32:38.220 know what

00:32:38.460 you shouldn't

00:32:39.060 do?

00:32:41.060 Change the

00:32:41.720 whole thing

00:32:42.260 with a

00:32:42.860 Bernie or

00:32:43.480 Elizabeth Warren

00:32:44.320 approach.

00:32:45.240 There's no

00:32:46.020 rational risk

00:32:47.740 management

00:32:48.400 approach.

00:32:51.080 There's no

00:32:51.820 risk management

00:32:52.600 approach that

00:32:54.320 makes sense

00:32:55.060 if things are

00:32:56.340 going well,

00:32:57.060 that you

00:32:57.300 change it

00:32:57.720 all.

00:32:58.800 It just

00:32:59.300 doesn't make

00:32:59.680 sense.

00:33:00.400 So the

00:33:00.840 same argument

00:33:01.440 that worked

00:33:01.900 for Al Gore,

00:33:02.800 don't introduce

00:33:03.620 risk when

00:33:04.280 things are

00:33:04.660 going well,

00:33:05.100 it's exactly

00:33:05.620 the same

00:33:05.980 argument that

00:33:06.540 the president

00:33:06.960 can use.

00:33:07.980 Biden is

00:33:08.740 cleverly using

00:33:09.480 it against

00:33:09.960 the president

00:33:10.520 and I

00:33:10.980 think that's

00:33:11.320 a good

00:33:11.540 play.

00:33:12.120 We'll see

00:33:12.400 if it

00:33:12.620 works.

00:33:13.740 Now,

00:33:16.280 what you're

00:33:17.300 going to

00:33:17.460 say is,

00:33:18.200 well,

00:33:19.080 isn't Al Gore

00:33:20.020 the devil? 0.91

00:33:21.580 And the

00:33:22.000 answer is,

00:33:23.100 probably not.

00:33:24.740 Probably not.

00:33:26.360 Let me

00:33:27.180 really make you 0.96

00:33:28.300 mad and

00:33:28.820 give you a

00:33:29.540 pro-Al Gore

00:33:30.620 opinion.

00:33:33.780 First of

00:33:34.300 all,

00:33:34.540 I did

00:33:34.800 get to

00:33:35.080 meet

00:33:35.260 Al Gore

00:33:35.680 and hung

00:33:36.540 out with

00:33:36.880 him a

00:33:37.080 little bit

00:33:37.460 in his

00:33:38.240 office in

00:33:38.740 the White

00:33:38.960 House.

00:33:40.080 I was

00:33:40.620 in Washington

00:33:41.780 and one

00:33:43.680 thing led

00:33:44.060 to another.

00:33:44.680 I was doing

00:33:45.040 some other

00:33:45.560 business and I

00:33:46.160 got invited to

00:33:46.840 the White

00:33:47.400 House and I

00:33:48.780 heard that the

00:33:49.740 vice president

00:33:50.240 actually invited

00:33:51.080 me to stop

00:33:52.140 in.

00:33:53.020 Now,

00:33:53.260 I find out

00:33:53.680 later that he

00:33:54.140 was actually a

00:33:55.040 fan of Dilbert.

00:33:56.060 He actually had a

00:33:56.720 Dilbert comic on

00:33:57.540 his wall.

00:33:58.840 It happened to be

00:33:59.520 about him.

00:34:00.140 That's why he

00:34:00.540 had it, of

00:34:00.980 course.

00:34:01.380 His staff got

00:34:02.260 it.

00:34:02.680 But he knew

00:34:03.420 of me from

00:34:03.840 the comic,

00:34:04.480 etc.

00:34:05.580 And so

00:34:10.820 that's my

00:34:11.760 connection to

00:34:12.320 him.

00:34:12.460 So I liked

00:34:12.860 him personally.

00:34:15.320 Now,

00:34:15.840 somebody's saying

00:34:16.320 he invented

00:34:16.840 the Internet.

00:34:18.000 Here's a big

00:34:18.780 mistake that

00:34:19.440 Al Gore made.

00:34:20.880 When people

00:34:21.440 mocked him for

00:34:22.340 claiming he

00:34:23.120 invented the

00:34:23.800 Internet, he 0.86

00:34:25.440 said, yeah,

00:34:26.060 you're right,

00:34:26.960 and he backed

00:34:27.900 down from that.

00:34:28.620 He should

00:34:29.380 not have

00:34:29.700 backed down

00:34:30.120 from that.

00:34:30.880 The reason

00:34:31.500 he should

00:34:31.840 not have

00:34:32.180 backed down

00:34:32.640 from that is

00:34:33.420 that he

00:34:33.720 invented the

00:34:34.320 Internet.

00:34:35.160 Now, he

00:34:35.700 didn't invent

00:34:36.280 it technically,

00:34:37.480 of course.

00:34:38.560 He was not

00:34:39.180 the technologist.

00:34:40.300 He wasn't

00:34:40.620 programming anything.

00:34:41.620 He didn't

00:34:41.860 come up with

00:34:42.320 the idea.

00:34:43.380 But he

00:34:44.540 was the

00:34:45.040 person who

00:34:45.740 got it

00:34:46.120 funded before

00:34:47.380 anybody knew

00:34:48.060 what the

00:34:48.320 hell it was.

00:34:49.840 Al Gore made

00:34:51.480 the Internet

00:34:52.000 by getting it

00:34:53.660 funded.

00:34:54.360 Because having

00:34:54.940 a good idea

00:34:55.660 doesn't get

00:34:56.200 you there.

00:34:57.040 You've got to

00:34:57.420 have that good

00:34:57.980 idea and

00:34:59.100 get it

00:34:59.440 funded.

00:35:00.240 He saw

00:35:00.680 it early.

00:35:02.420 He saw

00:35:02.860 it decades

00:35:03.440 before other

00:35:04.040 people saw

00:35:04.600 it.

00:35:05.220 He funded

00:35:05.780 it.

00:35:06.720 He made

00:35:07.180 that happen.

00:35:08.300 So when he

00:35:08.680 backed down

00:35:09.220 from that,

00:35:09.680 I thought it

00:35:09.980 was the

00:35:10.220 biggest mistake

00:35:10.980 anybody's ever

00:35:11.700 made in

00:35:12.040 politics.

00:35:12.900 Because he

00:35:13.320 should have

00:35:13.620 just owned

00:35:14.040 it and said,

00:35:14.700 you know, I

00:35:15.100 didn't mean

00:35:15.400 that technically,

00:35:16.420 but I did get

00:35:17.080 the funding and

00:35:17.840 look what's

00:35:18.740 happened.

00:35:19.120 I saw it

00:35:19.540 early.

00:35:22.400 Now, climate

00:35:23.260 change.

00:35:24.420 Climate change

00:35:25.100 is kind of

00:35:25.800 interesting.

00:35:26.840 Because as we

00:35:27.520 talked about,

00:35:28.280 even the

00:35:28.840 Trump administration

00:35:29.820 has now,

00:35:31.680 maybe grudgingly,

00:35:33.000 but it seems

00:35:34.000 that they've

00:35:34.500 accepted the

00:35:35.340 connection between

00:35:36.160 CO2 and

00:35:37.700 warming.

00:35:38.760 It seems that

00:35:39.840 smart people all

00:35:40.880 over the

00:35:41.200 administration are

00:35:42.480 now on that

00:35:43.340 side.

00:35:44.820 Now, whether

00:35:45.740 that's the end

00:35:46.320 of the world,

00:35:46.920 I agree with

00:35:47.540 President Trump

00:35:48.260 that we're really

00:35:49.060 good at solving

00:35:49.860 this kind of

00:35:50.440 thing.

00:35:50.860 We'll be fine.

00:35:52.100 I'm glad that

00:35:52.960 other people are

00:35:53.640 panicking, because

00:35:54.360 that's why things

00:35:55.120 get solved.

00:35:56.400 But I'm

00:35:56.860 personally not

00:35:57.420 going to panic,

00:35:58.060 because I know

00:35:58.460 we got this.

00:36:00.720 But it looks

00:36:01.500 like Al Gore's

00:36:03.220 prediction from

00:36:04.020 however long

00:36:04.680 ago was

00:36:05.480 directionally

00:36:07.080 correct, but

00:36:09.740 full of

00:36:10.160 hyperbole, meaning

00:36:11.460 that his

00:36:12.100 predictions were

00:36:12.860 way off, that

00:36:14.240 we would already

00:36:14.880 be underwater,

00:36:15.620 way off.

00:36:16.820 So prediction

00:36:17.380 wise, I don't

00:36:18.660 think Al Gore has

00:36:19.460 any credibility.

00:36:21.440 But directionally,

00:36:23.320 directionally,

00:36:24.180 both sides are

00:36:26.160 on board now.

00:36:27.360 He actually

00:36:28.200 got there

00:36:28.800 first.

00:36:30.320 Now, it

00:36:31.340 took me a

00:36:32.060 long time to

00:36:33.860 get to the

00:36:34.300 point where I

00:36:35.340 could say,

00:36:36.140 yeah, probably

00:36:37.560 at least the

00:36:38.080 science part is

00:36:38.700 right.

00:36:39.000 I still think

00:36:39.520 the prediction

00:36:40.060 part is crazy.

00:36:41.800 But the science

00:36:42.420 part, looks like

00:36:44.280 both Republicans

00:36:45.600 and Democrats are

00:36:46.680 starting to get

00:36:47.340 on board on

00:36:47.880 that.

00:36:48.380 So I've

00:36:49.320 always liked

00:36:49.760 Al Gore for

00:36:50.380 being ahead of

00:36:50.940 his time.

00:36:51.440 You can

00:36:52.200 dislike him

00:36:52.800 for his

00:36:53.440 various policies

00:36:54.280 and I'm

00:36:54.780 fine with

00:36:55.140 that.

00:36:55.820 But on two

00:36:56.900 situations, he's

00:36:59.380 a time traveler.

00:37:01.040 I mean, he got

00:37:01.880 the internet before

00:37:02.720 anybody knew it

00:37:03.660 and he was on

00:37:05.760 this CO2 warming

00:37:06.820 thing before any

00:37:07.920 real politicians

00:37:08.740 of that stature

00:37:10.460 were on it and

00:37:11.660 dedicated his life

00:37:12.560 to it.

00:37:13.180 So I'm a big

00:37:13.980 fan of Al Gore

00:37:15.080 and I think the

00:37:15.860 complaints about

00:37:16.660 him, he has a

00:37:17.260 big house and he

00:37:17.940 flies on a jet, 1.00

00:37:19.280 those are dumb 0.99

00:37:20.020 complaints. 0.99

00:37:21.540 I think Greta

00:37:22.320 should just fly

00:37:22.920 in a jet if

00:37:23.460 she wants to.

00:37:24.400 I don't think

00:37:24.860 it has anything

00:37:25.320 to do with

00:37:25.800 their message.

00:37:26.900 We do live

00:37:27.520 in a world

00:37:27.920 where we have

00:37:28.500 dirty tools

00:37:29.300 and clean

00:37:29.740 tools and

00:37:30.400 maybe sometimes

00:37:31.040 you have to

00:37:31.380 use them both.

00:37:32.740 So I don't

00:37:33.160 think that's

00:37:33.580 a legitimate

00:37:34.380 argument.

00:37:35.260 Anyway, let's

00:37:37.360 talk about Joe

00:37:39.340 Rogan.

00:37:40.900 As you know,

00:37:41.920 he did sort

00:37:42.960 of a quasi

00:37:43.460 endorsement for

00:37:44.620 Bernie Sanders

00:37:46.300 and of course

00:37:50.380 he got a lot

00:37:50.780 of heat for

00:37:52.060 that because he

00:37:54.760 was accused of

00:37:55.660 being a bad

00:37:56.200 person because

00:37:56.820 his guests have

00:37:57.740 said bad

00:37:58.140 things.

00:38:00.420 Let me stop

00:38:02.360 you here because

00:38:02.940 I'm seeing all

00:38:03.840 the nut jobs in

00:38:05.260 the comments and

00:38:06.360 I just have to

00:38:06.920 say this.

00:38:07.700 If you're still

00:38:08.640 saying that CO2

00:38:10.540 doesn't contribute

00:38:11.440 to warming of

00:38:12.300 the planet,

00:38:12.720 your group of

00:38:15.440 people who are

00:38:16.600 saying that is

00:38:17.180 just shrinking to

00:38:17.960 nothing, we're

00:38:20.780 kind of past

00:38:21.460 that.

00:38:23.120 Completely fair to

00:38:24.220 say the predictions

00:38:25.260 aren't what they

00:38:26.460 said they were,

00:38:27.160 we're not going to

00:38:27.660 be necessarily

00:38:28.280 underwater in 10

00:38:29.240 years.

00:38:29.820 Completely fair.

00:38:31.420 But that one

00:38:32.100 fact, the CO2 0.79

00:38:33.860 causes warming,

00:38:35.520 you really,

00:38:37.220 that one's,

00:38:38.180 you know, you

00:38:39.160 could be right

00:38:40.060 but it would be

00:38:40.760 like you could be

00:38:41.700 right that ghosts

00:38:42.420 are real.

00:38:43.280 I mean, it's

00:38:43.660 sort of in that

00:38:44.220 category.

00:38:45.320 You could be

00:38:45.980 right that the

00:38:46.600 moon is made

00:38:47.140 of cheese.

00:38:47.720 I haven't been

00:38:48.280 there.

00:38:48.940 I haven't taken

00:38:49.620 a chunk.

00:38:50.480 Maybe the moon

00:38:51.340 is made of

00:38:51.840 cheese.

00:38:52.520 I'm not saying

00:38:53.240 you're 100%

00:38:54.680 wrong, but you

00:38:56.960 should be

00:38:57.580 embarrassed by

00:38:58.480 that argument

00:38:59.100 at this point.

00:39:01.600 The predictions

00:39:02.260 you can still

00:39:02.960 be uncertain

00:39:04.900 about.

00:39:06.120 All right.

00:39:07.860 So Joe Rogan

00:39:08.900 got a lot of

00:39:09.400 heat because he

00:39:10.460 has guests that

00:39:11.240 say controversy

00:39:12.400 things, so he's

00:39:13.320 being painted

00:39:13.820 with his guests.

00:39:15.000 So Slate did

00:39:16.260 this story in

00:39:17.580 which they were

00:39:18.220 basically trying

00:39:19.460 to trash Joe

00:39:20.260 Rogan.

00:39:21.260 And they have

00:39:22.020 this theory that

00:39:23.720 Joe Rogan is

00:39:24.660 responsible for

00:39:25.880 what his guests

00:39:26.640 say and

00:39:28.720 that Bernie

00:39:30.400 Sanders is

00:39:31.520 responsible for

00:39:32.440 what Joe

00:39:32.960 Rogan does.

00:39:34.680 So Bernie

00:39:35.360 Sanders is

00:39:36.180 responsible for

00:39:37.240 Rogan's opinions

00:39:38.220 which are

00:39:39.560 somehow transferred

00:39:40.980 from his guests

00:39:41.980 into Rogan and

00:39:43.540 then transferred

00:39:44.220 again into

00:39:45.020 Bernie.

00:39:46.340 So somehow

00:39:47.480 Democrats have

00:39:49.620 this weird

00:39:50.140 idea of

00:39:51.480 guilt

00:39:52.940 transference

00:39:54.120 that if you

00:39:54.900 associate with

00:39:55.980 people in any

00:39:56.620 professional way

00:39:57.480 or even personal

00:39:58.240 that their bad

00:39:59.640 thoughts and

00:40:00.300 ideas transfer to

00:40:01.560 you because you've

00:40:03.000 promoted them

00:40:03.600 somehow and then

00:40:04.600 they transfer again

00:40:05.620 presumably to

00:40:07.040 Bernie but it

00:40:08.180 wouldn't end

00:40:08.560 there because if

00:40:10.040 Bernie's got this

00:40:11.080 badness all of

00:40:12.280 his supporters have

00:40:13.040 it too.

00:40:13.520 We've learned that

00:40:14.100 right?

00:40:15.040 So apparently

00:40:15.880 if you're a guest

00:40:17.680 on Joe Rogan

00:40:18.620 and you say bad

00:40:20.580 things those bad

00:40:21.920 things transfer into

00:40:23.200 Joe Rogan and

00:40:24.800 then because he

00:40:25.880 endorsed Bernie and

00:40:26.940 Bernie accepted it

00:40:27.900 those bad things

00:40:28.980 transfer into

00:40:30.320 Sanders and then

00:40:31.880 of course the

00:40:33.100 voters are really

00:40:33.980 to blame so

00:40:34.860 Bernie's voters

00:40:35.680 are a bunch of 1.00

00:40:36.660 racists and 1.00

00:40:37.280 transphobes

00:40:38.020 according to

00:40:39.480 Slate.

00:40:41.480 Now watching

00:40:42.720 Slate cancel 0.93

00:40:45.620 its own people

00:40:46.440 is very fun.

00:40:48.960 So that's a

00:40:49.840 good time.

00:40:51.040 All right.

00:40:53.820 So

00:40:54.420 Scott needs to

00:41:01.140 understand the

00:41:01.920 number of

00:41:02.500 hoaxers.

00:41:03.420 Don't know what

00:41:03.960 that means.

00:41:06.120 The science of

00:41:06.920 CO2 causing

00:41:07.860 warming is not

00:41:08.820 there.

00:41:10.140 I think at this

00:41:11.020 point you'd have 1.00

00:41:11.600 to be an idiot 1.00

00:41:12.180 to think that. 1.00

00:41:13.820 I'm going to be

00:41:14.440 you know there's

00:41:16.240 just no way

00:41:16.760 around it anymore.

00:41:19.160 I'm pro-skepticism

00:41:20.760 and you know

00:41:23.340 there's a whole

00:41:24.000 lot about

00:41:25.280 climate science

00:41:26.800 and you know

00:41:27.800 funding and what

00:41:29.120 they really want

00:41:30.160 and the projections

00:41:31.000 and the economic

00:41:31.920 there's plenty

00:41:32.760 of stuff to be

00:41:33.500 skeptical about

00:41:34.480 and I'm

00:41:34.940 skeptical about

00:41:35.680 a lot of it.

00:41:36.860 But that one

00:41:37.460 question

00:41:37.960 does CO2

00:41:40.140 all else being

00:41:41.440 equal

00:41:41.760 adding CO2

00:41:42.800 to the atmosphere

00:41:43.340 I think you

00:41:44.600 have to trust

00:41:45.300 that the

00:41:46.040 scientists

00:41:46.560 got that one

00:41:47.880 right.

00:41:49.420 I mean

00:41:49.680 that's

00:41:50.520 that's

00:41:51.880 sort of like

00:41:52.460 knowing that

00:41:53.060 gravity works

00:41:54.080 all over the

00:41:54.880 earth.

00:41:55.700 You know

00:41:55.900 it's sort of

00:41:56.400 like that.

00:41:56.920 yeah but

00:42:00.280 the sun

00:42:00.740 I'm just going

00:42:07.180 to look at

00:42:07.460 your comments

00:42:08.040 for a little

00:42:08.400 bit because I

00:42:08.900 was talking

00:42:09.360 and not

00:42:09.660 looking at

00:42:10.060 them so

00:42:10.440 much.

00:42:12.840 Invoke

00:42:13.300 Tony Heller

00:42:13.820 on.

00:42:14.680 So Tony

00:42:15.780 I was going

00:42:16.420 to have him

00:42:16.800 on some

00:42:17.280 time ago

00:42:17.760 we talked

00:42:18.300 about it.

00:42:19.080 Tony Heller

00:42:19.540 is I

00:42:21.360 think the

00:42:22.360 most effective

00:42:23.400 persuader

00:42:24.540 on the

00:42:25.500 CO2

00:42:26.180 is all

00:42:27.240 a big

00:42:27.520 hoax

00:42:27.860 and I've

00:42:29.340 looked at

00:42:30.080 a lot of

00:42:30.500 his material

00:42:31.060 and I

00:42:32.320 would say

00:42:32.720 that he

00:42:33.600 raises lots

00:42:34.600 of questions

00:42:35.120 that are

00:42:35.460 worth answering

00:42:36.080 about the

00:42:36.840 accuracy

00:42:37.600 of terrestrial

00:42:39.700 thermometers

00:42:40.600 and such

00:42:41.080 and I think

00:42:41.440 all that's

00:42:41.840 worth looking

00:42:42.300 at.

00:42:43.220 But on the

00:42:44.000 basic question

00:42:44.720 of whether

00:42:45.200 CO2 causes

00:42:46.100 warming

00:42:46.480 you just

00:42:48.560 have to

00:42:48.860 release on

00:42:49.400 that one.

00:42:50.600 It was

00:42:51.600 fine to be

00:42:52.360 skeptical

00:42:52.780 in the

00:42:53.840 beginning

00:42:54.160 but we're

00:42:54.760 way past

00:42:55.280 that.

00:42:58.120 Yeah so

00:42:59.040 there's some

00:42:59.680 evidence that

00:43:00.320 Elizabeth Warren's

00:43:01.220 campaign is

00:43:01.860 crashing

00:43:02.380 and I'm

00:43:04.720 still surprised

00:43:06.600 at Biden's

00:43:07.500 popularity

00:43:08.140 because I

00:43:09.280 still have

00:43:09.820 never met

00:43:10.400 a Biden

00:43:10.960 supporter.

00:43:11.680 Have you?

00:43:13.740 Now I

00:43:14.820 realize I'm

00:43:15.400 in California

00:43:16.720 and I spend

00:43:18.360 time in my

00:43:19.280 little corner

00:43:20.060 of the

00:43:20.520 internet

00:43:20.800 so maybe

00:43:21.720 it's just

00:43:22.200 I'm walled

00:43:23.600 off in

00:43:24.040 my own

00:43:24.340 little

00:43:24.520 bubble

00:43:24.820 and there's

00:43:26.040 tons and

00:43:26.660 tons of

00:43:27.660 Biden

00:43:28.060 supporters

00:43:28.580 everywhere

00:43:29.000 but why

00:43:31.300 don't I

00:43:32.820 ever meet

00:43:33.260 one?

00:43:34.160 I've met

00:43:34.760 lots of

00:43:35.200 Bernie supporters

00:43:35.860 if you looked

00:43:37.260 at the

00:43:37.760 Bernie support

00:43:38.460 and the

00:43:39.320 Biden support

00:43:39.900 they're about

00:43:40.280 the same

00:43:40.700 right?

00:43:41.280 You know

00:43:41.440 in that

00:43:41.820 relatively

00:43:42.940 in that

00:43:43.420 same range

00:43:44.040 why is

00:43:45.260 it that I

00:43:45.720 have met

00:43:46.520 lots of

00:43:47.400 Bernie

00:43:47.600 supporters

00:43:48.020 but I've

00:43:49.700 never met

00:43:50.400 a Biden

00:43:50.740 supporter

00:43:51.180 not once?

00:43:53.980 So I

00:43:55.740 have to ask

00:43:56.200 myself whether

00:43:56.840 those poll

00:43:57.440 numbers are

00:43:58.060 even real

00:43:58.860 at this

00:43:59.220 point but

00:43:59.740 there are

00:44:00.060 different

00:44:00.300 polling

00:44:00.620 organizations

00:44:01.240 so it

00:44:01.880 seems unlikely

00:44:02.480 they would

00:44:02.880 all be

00:44:03.280 bought off

00:44:03.780 but it's

00:44:04.960 one of

00:44:05.200 those

00:44:05.440 questions

00:44:06.080 why I

00:44:06.440 don't

00:44:06.560 ever meet

00:44:06.960 one

00:44:07.460 and act

00:44:14.060 like you

00:44:15.360 know that

00:44:15.800 the scientists

00:44:16.320 got the

00:44:16.800 CO2 wrong

00:44:17.640 and it's

00:44:18.060 it's all

00:44:19.240 water vapor

00:44:19.860 and it's

00:44:20.600 not that

00:44:20.980 big of an

00:44:21.540 effect

00:44:21.860 and all

00:44:22.820 that

00:44:23.120 I know

00:44:24.120 you want

00:44:24.380 to do

00:44:24.560 that

00:44:25.300 yeah

00:44:30.260 yeah

00:44:32.860 all of

00:44:33.660 you arguing

00:44:34.280 this stuff

00:44:35.460 CO2 went

00:44:36.320 from 0.03

00:44:37.180 to 0.04

00:44:38.120 that

00:44:39.080 it's

00:44:40.200 it just

00:44:40.960 makes my

00:44:41.400 head hurt

00:44:41.900 because the

00:44:42.480 arguments are

00:44:42.960 so bad

00:44:43.560 if your

00:44:45.040 argument is

00:44:45.720 that CO2

00:44:46.380 only went

00:44:46.920 up a little

00:44:47.360 bit

00:44:47.740 therefore

00:44:48.260 can't be

00:44:48.840 to blame

00:44:49.300 a little

00:44:50.900 bit of

00:44:51.180 poison

00:44:51.520 will kill 0.98

00:44:52.140 you 1.00

00:44:52.420 all right

00:44:53.620 the scientists

00:44:54.600 understand

00:44:55.980 that it only

00:44:56.620 went up

00:44:57.100 you know

00:44:57.620 by whatever

00:44:58.280 fraction

00:44:59.140 compared to

00:44:59.860 what it

00:45:00.080 used to be

00:45:00.540 they've

00:45:01.400 looked at

00:45:01.820 that

00:45:02.180 all right

00:45:03.120 you're not

00:45:03.520 the one

00:45:03.800 who discovered

00:45:04.440 that

00:45:04.880 they've

00:45:05.880 looked at

00:45:06.220 that

00:45:06.520 so a

00:45:08.520 little bit

00:45:08.800 of poison

00:45:09.160 can kill

00:45:09.620 you 1.00

00:45:09.820 all right

00:45:11.340 and here's

00:45:14.440 the other

00:45:14.720 worst comment

00:45:15.640 I was waiting

00:45:16.340 for this

00:45:16.680 the planet

00:45:17.180 thrived

00:45:17.720 when CO2

00:45:18.320 was way

00:45:18.960 higher

00:45:19.320 right

00:45:20.140 if you

00:45:21.060 have

00:45:21.360 if you

00:45:21.800 are of

00:45:22.100 the opinion

00:45:22.580 that CO2

00:45:24.080 can't be

00:45:24.540 the problem

00:45:25.060 because in

00:45:25.620 our past

00:45:26.280 we know

00:45:27.360 that CO2

00:45:27.960 was much

00:45:28.520 higher

00:45:28.920 and it

00:45:29.600 wasn't

00:45:29.840 warmer

00:45:30.160 you

00:45:31.360 have been

00:45:32.500 bamboozled

00:45:33.180 my friend

00:45:33.840 you have

00:45:34.720 been

00:45:34.840 really

00:45:35.100 bamboozled

00:45:35.780 do you

00:45:36.540 know

00:45:36.640 what's

00:45:36.800 wrong

00:45:36.980 with that

00:45:37.400 what you

00:45:38.780 don't

00:45:39.080 know

00:45:39.340 so if

00:45:39.980 you look

00:45:40.240 at the

00:45:40.480 skeptical

00:45:40.900 stuff

00:45:41.960 the skeptics

00:45:43.000 will say

00:45:43.400 CO2

00:45:43.920 used to

00:45:44.320 be way

00:45:44.700 higher

00:45:45.080 and yet

00:45:45.840 the earth

00:45:46.160 wasn't

00:45:46.520 warmer

00:45:46.840 therefore

00:45:47.840 CO2

00:45:48.400 is not

00:45:48.720 a problem

00:45:49.120 do any

00:45:50.240 of you

00:45:50.480 know

00:45:50.680 what's

00:45:50.920 wrong

00:45:51.100 with that

00:45:51.480 will you

00:45:52.500 be hearing

00:45:52.920 it for

00:45:53.220 the first

00:45:53.660 time

00:45:54.000 from me

00:45:54.520 because it

00:45:56.860 means you

00:45:57.180 haven't

00:45:57.360 really

00:45:57.560 looked

00:45:57.800 into it

00:45:58.280 if this

00:45:59.400 is the

00:45:59.740 first time

00:46:00.320 you hear

00:46:00.680 what I'm

00:46:01.120 going to

00:46:01.320 say

00:46:01.480 now

00:46:01.820 you should

00:46:02.860 abandon

00:46:03.340 everything

00:46:03.920 you thought

00:46:04.400 about

00:46:04.660 CO2

00:46:05.400 and warming

00:46:05.880 because you

00:46:06.680 don't know 0.98

00:46:07.160 a freaking 0.89

00:46:07.640 thing

00:46:08.020 here it

00:46:09.020 is

00:46:09.400 CO2

00:46:10.720 used to

00:46:11.180 be a lot

00:46:11.580 higher

00:46:11.940 even though

00:46:12.540 the earth

00:46:12.960 was cooler

00:46:13.600 because

00:46:14.920 other things

00:46:16.840 were very

00:46:17.280 different then

00:46:17.900 I think

00:46:19.020 I'm not sure

00:46:19.800 if it was the sun

00:46:20.480 or the atmosphere

00:46:21.080 or whatever it

00:46:21.680 is

00:46:21.880 but

00:46:22.480 you don't

00:46:23.360 have to go

00:46:23.860 very far

00:46:24.480 to find out

00:46:25.360 that the

00:46:26.280 scientist's

00:46:26.940 response to

00:46:27.560 that

00:46:27.820 is yes

00:46:28.780 CO2

00:46:29.880 didn't make

00:46:30.500 as much

00:46:30.920 a difference

00:46:31.420 because all

00:46:32.340 of the other

00:46:32.760 variables

00:46:33.260 or some

00:46:33.840 of the other

00:46:34.180 important

00:46:34.540 variables

00:46:34.940 were different

00:46:35.480 so

00:46:36.920 if you

00:46:37.960 thought

00:46:38.260 that that

00:46:38.620 was the

00:46:39.000 kill shot

00:46:39.620 to CO2

00:46:40.260 well it

00:46:40.640 used to

00:46:40.900 be higher

00:46:41.300 you just

00:46:43.300 are so

00:46:44.040 uninformed

00:46:44.780 it's painful

00:46:45.640 because it

00:46:46.800 doesn't take

00:46:47.360 long to

00:46:47.840 google that

00:46:48.380 and find

00:46:48.800 out

00:46:49.040 yeah it

00:46:49.660 was much

00:46:49.980 higher

00:46:50.260 all the

00:46:50.700 scientists

00:46:51.060 know that

00:46:51.600 they all

00:46:52.000 acknowledge it

00:46:52.900 and they

00:46:53.500 know why

00:46:53.980 the CO2

00:46:54.580 did not

00:46:55.000 cause

00:46:55.260 warming

00:46:55.580 then

00:46:55.900 it's very

00:46:56.640 easy to

00:46:57.100 understand

00:46:57.580 I think

00:46:58.840 it was

00:46:59.000 the sun

00:46:59.620 cycles

00:47:00.060 or something

00:47:00.500 was different

00:47:00.960 there was

00:47:01.220 something

00:47:01.440 different

00:47:01.740 whatever it

00:47:03.640 was

00:47:03.920 but

00:47:05.540 really

00:47:06.700 if you

00:47:07.660 want to

00:47:08.000 sound smart

00:47:08.840 talking about

00:47:10.020 CO2

00:47:10.540 never say

00:47:11.980 these things

00:47:12.620 the scientists

00:47:13.920 forgot to

00:47:14.540 study the

00:47:15.040 sun

00:47:15.360 that just

00:47:16.300 marks you

00:47:16.720 as terribly

00:47:18.240 uninformed

00:47:18.840 because yes

00:47:19.760 they did

00:47:20.140 they studied

00:47:20.840 the sun

00:47:21.240 two

00:47:22.020 there used

00:47:22.700 to be

00:47:22.920 more CO2

00:47:23.580 in the

00:47:23.880 past

00:47:24.220 that just

00:47:24.740 marks you

00:47:25.260 as uninformed

00:47:26.160 because

00:47:27.780 there were

00:47:28.080 other

00:47:28.260 variables

00:47:28.700 that are

00:47:28.920 different

00:47:29.180 we understand

00:47:29.800 that

00:47:30.080 and then

00:47:32.640 there are

00:47:33.100 other

00:47:33.340 complaints

00:47:34.540 like well

00:47:35.240 there was

00:47:35.560 this period

00:47:36.060 where the

00:47:37.140 CO2 was

00:47:37.740 rising in

00:47:38.580 the early

00:47:38.940 industrial part

00:47:39.880 and for

00:47:40.420 17 years

00:47:41.800 or something

00:47:42.260 it didn't

00:47:43.340 go

00:47:43.560 the temperature

00:47:44.580 didn't go

00:47:45.060 up

00:47:45.360 so you're

00:47:46.360 like oh

00:47:46.700 there was

00:47:47.000 this period

00:47:47.420 where CO2

00:47:48.100 went up

00:47:48.540 in our

00:47:49.020 modern times

00:47:49.740 and the

00:47:50.500 temperature

00:47:50.860 didn't go

00:47:51.340 up with

00:47:51.840 it

00:47:52.040 I know

00:47:53.700 it's

00:47:54.340 because

00:47:54.660 and the

00:47:55.760 answer of

00:47:56.180 course is

00:47:56.580 that it's

00:47:57.600 not lockstep

00:47:58.440 sometimes there

00:47:59.740 can be a

00:48:00.120 lag of

00:48:00.560 17 years

00:48:01.440 the scientists

00:48:01.960 say that

00:48:02.540 that's what

00:48:03.360 happens

00:48:03.800 none of

00:48:04.740 these are

00:48:05.540 criticisms

00:48:06.040 against the

00:48:06.780 actual science

00:48:07.820 if you're

00:48:09.480 reading the

00:48:09.960 skeptical

00:48:10.340 science

00:48:11.020 and then you

00:48:12.260 don't

00:48:12.580 immediately

00:48:13.160 google what

00:48:13.980 the scientists

00:48:14.800 say as a

00:48:15.840 response to

00:48:17.100 the skepticism

00:48:17.900 you haven't

00:48:19.460 done anything

00:48:19.980 if all you're

00:48:21.380 doing is

00:48:21.700 reading what

00:48:22.160 Tony Heller

00:48:22.660 said and

00:48:23.120 said well

00:48:23.420 that looks

00:48:23.760 pretty convincing

00:48:24.440 then you're

00:48:26.120 gullible

00:48:26.920 you should

00:48:27.800 not be in

00:48:28.260 the argument

00:48:28.680 at all

00:48:29.140 you should

00:48:29.600 recuse

00:48:30.580 yourself

00:48:31.020 if you

00:48:32.100 read what

00:48:32.560 Tony Heller

00:48:33.200 says

00:48:33.620 and then you

00:48:34.560 take any

00:48:34.960 one of his

00:48:35.340 arguments

00:48:35.680 and google

00:48:36.220 it

00:48:36.500 and then see

00:48:37.440 what the

00:48:37.900 official response

00:48:39.700 is

00:48:39.980 well at least

00:48:41.300 then you've

00:48:41.700 seen both

00:48:42.120 sides

00:48:42.580 somebody says

00:48:45.840 your BS

00:48:46.380 makes me 0.98

00:48:46.900 sick

00:48:47.220 well I

00:48:48.020 will heal

00:48:48.500 you

00:48:48.840 by blocking

00:48:50.800 you

00:48:51.360 somebody says

00:48:54.920 incorrect

00:48:55.460 incorrect gets

00:48:57.100 blocked

00:48:57.540 those are the

00:48:58.380 rules people

00:48:59.240 you can give

00:48:59.880 me reasons

00:49:00.420 but you can't

00:49:01.920 just say

00:49:02.620 incorrect

00:49:03.180 we'll see if

00:49:03.860 anybody else

00:49:04.280 needs to get

00:49:04.840 blocked

00:49:05.720 I can't watch

00:49:08.020 this alarmism

00:49:08.940 mine is the

00:49:11.060 opposite of

00:49:11.640 alarmism

00:49:12.220 people

00:49:12.740 I just told

00:49:15.320 you we're

00:49:15.780 going to be

00:49:16.120 fine

00:49:16.500 even if the

00:49:18.300 CO2

00:49:18.780 is the

00:49:19.300 problem

00:49:19.620 so that's

00:49:20.920 the opposite

00:49:21.340 of alarmism

00:49:22.100 let's see

00:49:24.820 who else

00:49:25.200 needs to

00:49:25.560 be blocked

00:49:26.120 10 years

00:49:29.760 from now

00:49:30.140 you will

00:49:30.540 regret

00:49:30.880 these

00:49:31.280 statements

00:49:31.880 block

00:49:35.260 telling people

00:49:39.800 people to

00:49:40.020 believe it

00:49:40.440 because we

00:49:40.940 said so

00:49:41.540 is not

00:49:42.520 science

00:49:43.100 that's not

00:49:45.040 what I'm

00:49:45.320 saying

00:49:46.120 IPCC

00:49:51.100 excluded the

00:49:52.240 sun and

00:49:52.840 only choose to

00:49:53.600 find human

00:49:54.180 change

00:49:54.680 they excluded

00:49:56.360 the sun

00:49:56.840 do you know

00:49:57.520 why they

00:49:57.740 exclude the

00:49:58.260 sun

00:49:58.500 because

00:49:59.500 scientists

00:50:00.420 have

00:50:00.800 you're

00:50:03.380 blocked

00:50:03.740 I'm going to

00:50:04.580 block people

00:50:05.100 who say it's

00:50:05.580 the sun

00:50:05.940 from now

00:50:06.660 on

00:50:06.920 you can say

00:50:08.440 the sun

00:50:08.760 to other

00:50:09.060 people

00:50:09.340 but I don't

00:50:10.520 want to see it

00:50:10.960 anymore

00:50:11.200 because it's

00:50:12.900 just too

00:50:13.220 annoying that

00:50:13.760 you're not

00:50:14.040 even trying

00:50:14.640 you should

00:50:15.240 at least

00:50:15.480 try

00:50:15.960 it's okay

00:50:16.920 to be wrong

00:50:17.660 but at least

00:50:18.440 try

00:50:19.140 I'm just

00:50:23.540 seeing some

00:50:23.980 more

00:50:24.280 comments

00:50:25.800 can the

00:50:26.360 theory be

00:50:26.800 tested

00:50:27.220 tested

00:50:27.980 here is

00:50:35.080 somebody

00:50:35.340 saying

00:50:35.660 CO2 is

00:50:36.380 twice what

00:50:36.980 it's ever

00:50:37.380 been in

00:50:37.880 40,000

00:50:38.520 years

00:50:39.000 yeah

00:50:42.800 don't know

00:50:44.140 what that

00:50:44.420 means

00:50:44.640 they won't

00:50:46.100 debate him

00:50:46.820 no there's a

00:50:47.700 reason that

00:50:48.200 they don't

00:50:48.640 debate

00:50:49.040 some of

00:50:50.020 the skeptics

00:50:50.640 why are

00:50:52.960 they using

00:50:53.360 it as a

00:50:53.960 power grab 0.89

00:50:54.580 that's a

00:50:55.000 different

00:50:56.960 question

00:50:57.660 you can

00:50:59.560 call people

00:51:00.080 gullible

00:51:00.560 but if

00:51:01.220 they call

00:51:01.580 you that

00:51:02.060 you block

00:51:02.840 them

00:51:03.160 that is

00:51:04.320 correct

00:51:04.740 because when

00:51:05.440 I call

00:51:05.820 them gullible

00:51:06.420 then I

00:51:07.000 give my

00:51:07.340 reason

00:51:07.720 if they

00:51:08.760 were to

00:51:09.020 give me

00:51:09.420 a reason

00:51:09.860 and then

00:51:10.420 call me

00:51:10.780 gullible

00:51:11.120 I would

00:51:11.400 not

00:51:11.560 block

00:51:11.860 them

00:51:12.080 if they

00:51:13.080 said

00:51:13.360 here's

00:51:14.100 what

00:51:14.260 you're

00:51:14.460 missing

00:51:14.780 and I

00:51:16.140 call you

00:51:16.480 gullible

00:51:16.920 that's

00:51:17.700 okay

00:51:17.920 that

00:51:18.960 would

00:51:19.260 be

00:51:19.400 that

00:51:19.580 would

00:51:19.720 follow

00:51:20.080 from the

00:51:20.560 reasons

00:51:20.940 reasons

00:51:22.080 are

00:51:22.280 okay

00:51:22.700 hasn't

00:51:29.380 the world

00:51:29.780 been warming

00:51:30.420 since the

00:51:30.980 ice age

00:51:31.500 ended

00:51:31.880 look

00:51:33.700 look it

00:51:33.820 up

00:51:34.360 just

00:51:40.940 looking at

00:51:41.400 some more

00:51:41.700 of your

00:51:41.880 comments

00:51:42.500 CO2 is

00:51:44.200 not a

00:51:44.520 good

00:51:44.700 greenhouse

00:51:45.140 gas

00:51:45.820 that's

00:51:47.640 a

00:51:48.160 gullible

00:51:49.440 skeptic

00:51:50.820 point

00:51:51.600 CO2 is

00:51:53.100 not a

00:51:53.460 good

00:51:53.640 greenhouse

00:51:54.020 gas

00:51:54.560 and

00:51:54.900 water

00:51:55.700 vapor

00:51:56.100 blah

00:51:56.460 blah

00:51:56.620 blah

00:51:56.840 do you

00:51:57.560 think

00:51:57.780 that the

00:51:58.160 scientists

00:51:58.700 are not

00:51:59.840 aware

00:52:00.220 of how

00:52:01.340 the

00:52:01.520 various

00:52:01.860 gases

00:52:02.320 in the

00:52:02.620 atmosphere

00:52:03.020 like which

00:52:03.700 ones are

00:52:04.040 big ones

00:52:04.540 and which

00:52:04.860 ones are

00:52:05.160 small ones

00:52:05.660 okay

00:52:06.720 that's not

00:52:07.300 a good

00:52:07.600 criticism

00:52:08.180 climate

00:52:09.440 scientists

00:52:10.060 they can

00:52:11.500 rank which

00:52:12.260 ones have

00:52:12.820 the most

00:52:13.360 most effect

00:52:14.460 so I'm not

00:52:15.420 going to block

00:52:15.860 you you just

00:52:16.500 need to look

00:52:17.140 into that a

00:52:17.620 little bit

00:52:17.900 more

00:52:18.140 now I'm

00:52:19.260 not going

00:52:19.500 to invite

00:52:19.820 Tony Heller

00:52:20.420 because

00:52:21.140 he is not

00:52:23.300 credible

00:52:23.740 unfortunately

00:52:24.540 he is not

00:52:25.360 credible

00:52:25.760 I do

00:52:27.580 like some

00:52:28.000 of his

00:52:28.420 criticisms

00:52:30.920 about the

00:52:31.740 measuring the

00:52:32.720 temperature

00:52:33.100 but at this

00:52:34.140 point the

00:52:34.740 temperature is

00:52:35.280 measured in

00:52:35.880 many ways

00:52:36.500 and it's

00:52:37.260 obvious that

00:52:37.800 the planet

00:52:38.340 is getting

00:52:38.780 warmer in

00:52:39.360 the last

00:52:39.720 decade or

00:52:40.800 so

00:52:41.040 so

00:52:41.560 I don't

00:52:44.560 think I

00:52:44.980 want to

00:52:46.280 muddy the

00:52:47.900 waters with

00:52:48.380 that

00:52:48.600 all right

00:52:59.100 just looking

00:52:59.680 at some

00:53:00.120 of the

00:53:00.300 comments

00:53:00.780 wow boy

00:53:01.800 as soon as

00:53:02.440 I bring up

00:53:02.880 that comment 0.92

00:53:03.460 I've never

00:53:04.620 seen any

00:53:05.240 topic in

00:53:06.420 which people

00:53:06.920 know less

00:53:07.900 but are more

00:53:09.120 confident than

00:53:10.420 climate science

00:53:11.220 in both

00:53:12.420 sides by the

00:53:13.100 way this

00:53:13.420 is not

00:53:14.100 both sides

00:53:16.160 are so

00:53:17.160 unreasonably

00:53:18.200 confident about

00:53:19.340 that it is

00:53:19.860 a problem

00:53:20.200 or isn't

00:53:20.720 that I'd

00:53:22.020 say they're

00:53:22.380 both equally

00:53:23.360 irrational

00:53:24.980 all right

00:53:30.800 let's just

00:53:31.700 see if

00:53:32.020 there's

00:53:32.180 anybody else

00:53:32.620 who needs

00:53:32.920 to get

00:53:33.680 blocked

00:53:34.100 we don't

00:53:38.840 have enough

00:53:39.260 characters to

00:53:40.020 give you a

00:53:40.460 well explained

00:53:41.120 reason

00:53:41.480 actually that

00:53:42.320 well that's

00:53:42.720 a good point

00:53:43.180 I'm not

00:53:44.300 expecting you

00:53:44.960 to give

00:53:45.340 an entire

00:53:45.920 argument

00:53:46.360 just give

00:53:47.480 me the

00:53:47.760 basis

00:53:48.160 so if

00:53:49.180 for example

00:53:49.720 you said

00:53:50.240 I don't

00:53:52.600 believe you

00:53:53.120 because I

00:53:53.540 read this

00:53:53.920 article

00:53:54.260 and Wired

00:53:54.800 or whatever

00:53:55.160 I don't

00:53:55.600 need to

00:53:55.860 see the

00:53:56.260 whole

00:53:56.540 thing

00:53:57.680 I just

00:53:58.000 need to

00:53:58.260 know there's

00:53:58.560 something

00:53:58.760 there

00:53:59.060 why don't

00:54:01.860 they debate

00:54:02.400 the credible

00:54:03.140 skeptics

00:54:03.860 I used to

00:54:04.920 ask that

00:54:05.220 question too

00:54:05.780 so that's a

00:54:06.380 reasonable

00:54:06.700 question

00:54:07.140 why don't

00:54:08.240 the scientists

00:54:09.140 debate the

00:54:10.160 credible

00:54:10.560 skeptics

00:54:11.220 and I can

00:54:12.100 tell you

00:54:12.400 there's actually

00:54:12.800 a good reason

00:54:13.360 for that

00:54:13.780 it's not

00:54:14.540 obvious

00:54:15.020 until you

00:54:16.300 start digging

00:54:16.780 into it

00:54:17.180 yourself

00:54:17.460 and here's

00:54:17.900 the reason

00:54:18.240 the reason

00:54:19.300 is that

00:54:20.100 if you

00:54:20.520 debate them

00:54:21.220 it elevates

00:54:23.100 the skeptic's

00:54:23.920 opinion

00:54:24.200 because then

00:54:25.520 you're saying

00:54:25.940 oh this is

00:54:26.560 a worthy

00:54:26.940 opinion

00:54:27.420 worthy of

00:54:28.860 being debated

00:54:29.460 on the public

00:54:30.100 stage

00:54:30.580 that's just

00:54:32.020 not the

00:54:32.380 case

00:54:32.760 the

00:54:33.800 skeptics

00:54:35.620 who are

00:54:35.900 going to

00:54:36.560 debate the

00:54:37.080 scientists

00:54:37.540 on scientific

00:54:38.400 levels

00:54:38.880 have not

00:54:39.880 risen to

00:54:40.360 the level

00:54:40.720 of being

00:54:41.100 credible

00:54:41.520 enough

00:54:41.900 that they

00:54:42.300 should be

00:54:42.560 on the

00:54:42.800 same

00:54:43.040 stage

00:54:43.540 now

00:54:44.480 and I'll

00:54:45.740 say this

00:54:46.140 a million

00:54:46.460 times

00:54:46.900 if the

00:54:48.020 debate

00:54:48.440 were only

00:54:49.660 about the

00:54:50.160 accuracy

00:54:50.620 of the

00:54:51.180 models

00:54:51.700 you know

00:54:52.180 the predictions

00:54:52.720 then I would

00:54:53.880 say that

00:54:54.380 would be a

00:54:54.800 fair debate

00:54:55.360 because nobody

00:54:56.840 is really

00:54:57.200 great at

00:54:57.700 predicting the

00:54:58.280 future in

00:54:58.700 80 years

00:54:59.200 and even

00:54:59.960 scientists

00:55:00.540 should say

00:55:01.120 yeah we're

00:55:01.820 not the

00:55:02.120 best at

00:55:02.480 that

00:55:02.740 so that

00:55:04.480 would be

00:55:04.740 fair debate

00:55:05.340 I think

00:55:05.840 the skeptics

00:55:06.420 would have

00:55:06.740 the advantage

00:55:07.300 in that

00:55:07.720 actually

00:55:08.060 but the

00:55:09.280 basic science

00:55:10.140 the scientists

00:55:11.480 I have

00:55:12.500 grudgingly

00:55:13.340 come to

00:55:13.760 accept

00:55:14.180 that they

00:55:15.280 would be

00:55:15.640 worse off

00:55:16.440 for even

00:55:18.220 imagining

00:55:18.920 that the

00:55:19.580 counter argument

00:55:20.280 was worthy

00:55:20.960 of public

00:55:21.740 exposure

00:55:23.100 and what

00:55:24.940 happens is

00:55:25.480 we the

00:55:25.860 public

00:55:26.100 can't judge

00:55:26.780 who's

00:55:27.020 right

00:55:27.320 so the

00:55:29.100 skeptics

00:55:29.600 would say

00:55:30.080 you forgot

00:55:31.020 the sun

00:55:31.560 and then

00:55:32.440 the scientists

00:55:32.940 would say

00:55:33.400 no we

00:55:33.840 didn't

00:55:34.200 and then

00:55:35.100 half the

00:55:35.440 people would

00:55:35.840 say

00:55:36.060 you forgot

00:55:36.540 the sun

00:55:37.000 all right

00:55:38.880 that's all

00:55:40.280 for now

00:55:40.580 we'll talk

00:55:41.680 to you later

00:55:42.060 governor

00:55:43.900 and then

00:55:44.860 you

00:55:45.980 you

00:55:46.000 you

00:55:46.500 you

00:55:47.860 you

00:55:48.560 you

00:55:50.000 and

00:55:50.800 you

00:55:51.080 you

00:55:54.580 you

00:55:55.080 you

00:55:56.820 you

00:55:57.200 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - January 26, 2020

Episode 799 Scott Adams： Coronavirus Liars, Biden's New Ad Persuasion, Impeachment Scorecard, More

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript