Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 06, 2020


Episode 811 Scott Adams: Iowa Proving the Best Movie Plot Wins, Impeaching Pelosi, Dems Going Crazy


Episode Stats

Length

48 minutes

Words per Minute

149.09363

Word Count

7,246

Sentence Count

501

Misogynist Sentences

12

Hate Speech Sentences

12


Summary

Trump tweets about being a dictator who will be in office for life. Nate Silver says we re in a simulation. And the best movie script in the world is based on a movie script written by a guy who doesn't actually know what he's talking about.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody. It's time for coffee with Scott Adams. That's me. And you don't need much to enjoy
00:00:15.680 coffee with Scott Adams. No you don't. You're probably already prepared, many of you. You're
00:00:20.040 sitting there hand on cup, ready to go. But if you're not, all you need is a cup or mug or a
00:00:25.320 glass, a tanker, chalice, or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:30.060 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
00:00:34.120 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing
00:00:37.340 that makes everything better. The simultaneous sip.
00:00:41.560 Here it comes. Go.
00:00:47.100 Mmm. I would say that
00:00:49.400 is beverage delicious. Beverage
00:00:53.180 delicious. So,
00:00:57.480 what a fun day. I don't know
00:01:00.640 if there are horrible things happening in the world somewhere,
00:01:05.120 but the news is not reporting on those horrible things today.
00:01:09.120 Mostly it's reporting on fun and interesting and weird things
00:01:12.720 about politics and others. So, I'm happy about
00:01:17.160 that. President Trump retweeted,
00:01:20.420 I don't think I'm wrong. I think he retweeted
00:01:23.020 two memes
00:01:24.060 yesterday by
00:01:26.460 Carpe Dunctum.
00:01:28.580 One about the impeachment
00:01:30.220 process itself, and then an
00:01:32.380 older one that was a big hit
00:01:33.840 that showed him an office
00:01:35.560 into infinity.
00:01:37.800 So, the fact that Trump tweeted
00:01:40.460 out something while he's
00:01:42.500 being accused of trying to be a king
00:01:44.520 or a dictator who will be
00:01:46.320 in office for life, he tweets
00:01:48.260 out the meme
00:01:48.960 of him being
00:01:50.860 president for life.
00:01:53.260 Now,
00:01:53.960 nobody, nobody will ever
00:01:56.160 troll this well.
00:01:58.040 He is the best
00:01:59.140 troller of all time.
00:02:01.380 I say this a lot,
00:02:03.000 but the problem that
00:02:04.260 his critics have
00:02:05.860 in understanding him
00:02:07.020 is that he adjusts his
00:02:09.000 technique
00:02:10.140 for each platform.
00:02:12.260 So, when he's giving a rally speech,
00:02:14.340 he goes into Trump
00:02:16.340 stand-up comedy mode,
00:02:19.260 and he crushes it.
00:02:20.920 He's really just great
00:02:22.300 at just being entertaining
00:02:23.440 in front of a crowd.
00:02:24.980 When he goes into a meeting
00:02:26.560 with a foreign leader,
00:02:28.620 he acts like a,
00:02:29.780 you know, more like a regular
00:02:31.240 president and subdued
00:02:32.860 and polite and all that,
00:02:34.200 professional.
00:02:35.740 But when he's on Twitter,
00:02:37.580 here's the part they don't get.
00:02:40.080 Being on Twitter
00:02:41.000 is not where you take
00:02:42.520 your normal personality.
00:02:44.340 I mean, you can.
00:02:46.220 There's nothing to prevent you
00:02:47.740 from taking your normal
00:02:49.260 personality to Twitter.
00:02:50.780 But if you do,
00:02:52.160 nobody's going to retweet you.
00:02:54.500 Because
00:02:55.020 Twitter is a place
00:02:57.120 where there's a certain,
00:02:59.120 I don't know,
00:02:59.740 culture, expectation,
00:03:01.660 style, fashion,
00:03:03.600 whatever you want to call it,
00:03:05.120 in which things are a little,
00:03:06.340 a little amped up.
00:03:08.220 You know, hyperbole
00:03:09.120 is a little more
00:03:10.080 understood and accepted.
00:03:12.020 Everything's a little bit more.
00:03:14.340 And in that world,
00:03:15.680 Trump absolutely rules.
00:03:17.800 He just becomes
00:03:18.720 a Twitter personality
00:03:21.660 in the best possible way.
00:03:24.000 And he tweets the most
00:03:24.900 provocative stuff
00:03:25.940 that doesn't hurt anybody.
00:03:28.360 Nobody gets hurt.
00:03:29.880 It just makes people's
00:03:31.120 hair catch on fire
00:03:32.880 and their heads explode.
00:03:33.780 So,
00:03:35.660 best Twitter
00:03:37.420 tweeter ever,
00:03:38.660 the president.
00:03:40.040 All right.
00:03:42.000 Nate Silver,
00:03:43.260 who of course,
00:03:43.960 as you know,
00:03:44.460 is famous for being an expert
00:03:45.800 on statistics
00:03:47.200 and elections
00:03:47.880 and stuff like that.
00:03:49.020 he had a tweet
00:03:51.380 in which he said
00:03:52.280 that the Iowa situation
00:03:53.680 with the votes
00:03:54.900 still coming in
00:03:55.680 feels a little like
00:03:57.020 a simulation
00:03:57.720 where somebody's,
00:03:59.120 you know,
00:03:59.260 like we're living
00:03:59.940 in a simulation
00:04:00.660 and the creator
00:04:01.880 of the simulation
00:04:02.520 is just testing
00:04:03.820 some different outcomes.
00:04:05.420 So,
00:04:05.620 what if we do this?
00:04:06.940 What if we tweak it
00:04:08.000 a little bit like this?
00:04:09.680 Now,
00:04:10.260 I thought it was,
00:04:11.180 of course,
00:04:11.900 people sent it to me
00:04:13.000 because he talked
00:04:13.820 about the simulation.
00:04:14.700 but I propose this to you.
00:04:20.060 People who are experts
00:04:21.620 on the odds,
00:04:23.640 just understanding
00:04:24.580 what is likely
00:04:25.420 versus what is less likely,
00:04:27.860 I have a feeling
00:04:29.020 that almost all of them
00:04:30.160 believe that we're
00:04:31.040 a simulation
00:04:31.660 because the entire argument
00:04:34.020 is based on the odds
00:04:35.300 and the odds
00:04:36.980 are overwhelmingly
00:04:38.100 in favor of the fact
00:04:39.140 that we're not
00:04:39.960 an original,
00:04:40.860 you know,
00:04:42.620 organic species
00:04:43.540 that we're a simulation.
00:04:44.700 So,
00:04:45.880 it would be no surprise
00:04:46.780 that somebody
00:04:47.240 who's literally famous
00:04:48.660 for being an expert
00:04:50.640 on statistics
00:04:51.640 would at least
00:04:53.060 have some affection
00:04:54.060 for that idea.
00:04:55.620 He doesn't say
00:04:56.340 he's a believer,
00:04:57.500 so I don't want
00:04:58.040 to put any words
00:04:58.640 in his mouth,
00:04:59.620 but it wouldn't be
00:05:00.460 a surprise.
00:05:01.840 It would be
00:05:02.180 the most normal thing
00:05:03.020 in the world.
00:05:04.280 All right,
00:05:04.900 remember my prediction filter
00:05:07.380 that said
00:05:08.900 the best movie script
00:05:10.600 is why you can depend
00:05:12.720 on happening
00:05:13.380 in politics?
00:05:14.700 In other words,
00:05:15.420 if there are two
00:05:16.080 potential paths,
00:05:17.380 you know,
00:05:17.640 could come out this way
00:05:18.600 or things could come out
00:05:19.580 this way,
00:05:20.440 and you don't know.
00:05:21.380 There's just no way
00:05:22.080 to know which one
00:05:22.780 is more likely.
00:05:25.540 Always bet on the best movie.
00:05:27.540 Now,
00:05:27.800 it doesn't work every time.
00:05:30.060 You know,
00:05:30.320 it's a little subjective,
00:05:31.340 but in this case,
00:05:33.000 the best movie for Iowa
00:05:35.500 would be a photo finish.
00:05:38.260 And here we are.
00:05:39.500 Turns out that
00:05:40.300 as results continue
00:05:41.600 coming in,
00:05:43.080 Bernie has closed
00:05:43.940 the gap with Buttigieg.
00:05:45.880 He's pulled further ahead
00:05:48.000 in terms of popular vote,
00:05:50.140 Bernie has,
00:05:51.160 giving him really,
00:05:52.500 I would say,
00:05:53.080 fairly credible grounds
00:05:56.080 to say he won,
00:05:57.300 he won.
00:05:58.240 At the same time,
00:05:59.980 Buttigieg has
00:06:00.840 slightly more delegates,
00:06:03.180 so he can say he won.
00:06:05.180 But here's the fun part.
00:06:06.520 There's still one area
00:06:07.840 that hasn't reported,
00:06:09.380 and if they report
00:06:11.280 in the same,
00:06:12.980 you know,
00:06:13.400 sort of percentage
00:06:14.600 distribution
00:06:15.500 as everybody else,
00:06:17.880 Sanders comes from behind
00:06:19.260 and wins.
00:06:21.040 Now,
00:06:21.440 it hasn't happened yet,
00:06:23.060 but smart people
00:06:23.880 are saying,
00:06:24.580 ah,
00:06:25.340 by the time you count
00:06:26.840 that other district,
00:06:28.060 if that district,
00:06:29.580 unless it's some kind
00:06:30.500 of a weird outlier,
00:06:32.620 it's going to put
00:06:33.400 Sanders in the lead.
00:06:36.060 Now,
00:06:37.220 am I wrong
00:06:38.260 that that was
00:06:38.840 the best movie script?
00:06:41.040 You see this,
00:06:41.820 right?
00:06:42.180 Once you see it,
00:06:43.860 it's just,
00:06:45.040 it's maddening
00:06:46.460 how often it happens,
00:06:47.920 and I can't think
00:06:48.600 of any reason why.
00:06:50.440 I can't think
00:06:51.000 of any logical
00:06:51.840 cause and effect reason.
00:06:53.760 Maybe it's a,
00:06:54.600 could it be
00:06:55.120 just an illusion?
00:06:56.240 Is it cognitive dissonance?
00:06:57.640 Is it confirmation bias?
00:06:59.460 Am I,
00:06:59.820 am I hallucinating
00:07:01.020 that whatever
00:07:02.320 we're trying to predict
00:07:03.280 one of these
00:07:03.740 political things,
00:07:04.580 and I think it works best
00:07:05.420 in the political realm,
00:07:06.560 by the way,
00:07:07.020 not in every realm,
00:07:08.100 not in science,
00:07:09.300 for example.
00:07:10.240 But in the political realm,
00:07:12.140 here we are.
00:07:13.520 It was exactly
00:07:14.420 the best movie script.
00:07:17.100 So,
00:07:17.880 doesn't work every time,
00:07:19.260 but keep an eye on that.
00:07:20.480 All right.
00:07:20.720 I guess Sanders
00:07:22.620 hauled in $25 million,
00:07:24.420 which is a lot.
00:07:26.280 So,
00:07:26.860 Sanders is on a,
00:07:27.880 on a rage.
00:07:29.920 And,
00:07:30.920 once again,
00:07:33.920 I point out,
00:07:35.340 how many times
00:07:36.320 do we have to see
00:07:37.560 a mistake
00:07:39.400 that works
00:07:40.680 against Bernie Sanders?
00:07:42.540 How many times
00:07:43.460 do we have to see
00:07:44.040 a rules change
00:07:46.140 that coincidentally
00:07:47.800 works against
00:07:48.580 Bernie Sanders?
00:07:49.220 just keep an eye
00:07:50.720 on that.
00:07:51.200 See if there's
00:07:51.620 any kind of a pattern.
00:07:54.800 All right.
00:07:56.640 So,
00:07:57.320 Molly Hemingway
00:07:57.940 had the,
00:07:58.500 the best quote
00:08:00.240 about Mitt Romney
00:08:01.620 being the,
00:08:02.960 being the
00:08:04.740 trainer who,
00:08:05.840 who,
00:08:07.020 who turned it
00:08:08.020 bipartisan.
00:08:09.320 So,
00:08:09.760 apparently,
00:08:10.940 apparently the vote
00:08:11.900 was bipartisan
00:08:12.680 because,
00:08:13.460 because one person,
00:08:15.320 one Republican
00:08:16.380 voted to convict
00:08:17.900 on one account.
00:08:19.360 So,
00:08:19.980 I guess that's
00:08:20.520 bipartisan.
00:08:21.940 And,
00:08:22.400 so I tweeted
00:08:23.360 that Benedict Arnold
00:08:25.240 doesn't get enough
00:08:26.520 credit for making
00:08:27.340 the Revolutionary War
00:08:28.580 bipartisan
00:08:29.120 because
00:08:30.720 you probably thought
00:08:32.260 it was a partisan war.
00:08:33.940 The United States
00:08:34.960 against,
00:08:36.100 you know,
00:08:36.380 Great Britain,
00:08:37.800 you know,
00:08:38.220 the,
00:08:38.800 well,
00:08:39.140 it wasn't the United States,
00:08:40.060 but the colonists
00:08:41.060 against Great Britain.
00:08:42.240 That's probably
00:08:42.820 what you thought.
00:08:43.500 but,
00:08:45.000 no,
00:08:46.520 it turns out
00:08:47.360 it was more
00:08:47.760 of a bipartisan war
00:08:49.220 because Benedict Arnold
00:08:51.140 changed sides
00:08:52.600 and apparently
00:08:54.020 you only need one.
00:08:55.580 If one person
00:08:56.660 changes sides,
00:08:58.700 you're bipartisan.
00:08:59.960 So,
00:09:00.320 it gives me
00:09:00.600 a whole new,
00:09:01.500 whole new opinion
00:09:02.820 about the Revolutionary War.
00:09:04.440 I,
00:09:04.500 I thought it was
00:09:05.100 one side against the other,
00:09:06.300 but it was strangely
00:09:07.320 bipartisan
00:09:07.900 thanks to that
00:09:09.020 one guy.
00:09:09.640 Jonathan Turley,
00:09:13.200 famous
00:09:13.880 constitutional
00:09:14.760 scholar,
00:09:16.140 lawyer type,
00:09:17.860 as well as
00:09:18.720 Matt Gaetz
00:09:19.320 independently,
00:09:21.300 are going after
00:09:22.880 Pelosi for ripping
00:09:23.880 up those papers.
00:09:25.260 I think Turley
00:09:25.840 wants her to resign
00:09:27.200 or be censored
00:09:28.300 or something.
00:09:29.500 Matt Gaetz
00:09:30.020 thinks maybe
00:09:31.220 she,
00:09:31.780 she should be,
00:09:33.460 I don't know,
00:09:35.440 she should be
00:09:36.120 somehow penalized,
00:09:37.560 I don't know the details,
00:09:38.660 censured or something
00:09:39.580 else,
00:09:40.460 based on
00:09:41.040 destroying
00:09:41.600 government documents.
00:09:45.560 Now,
00:09:46.360 I'm a big
00:09:47.160 Matt Gaetz fan
00:09:48.040 and I think
00:09:48.880 he will most likely
00:09:50.220 be a future
00:09:50.880 president,
00:09:51.620 maybe 2024,
00:09:52.880 because he's
00:09:53.680 coming on fast.
00:09:55.200 But,
00:09:55.900 I'm not so sure
00:09:57.340 that
00:09:57.760 Pelosi
00:09:58.820 destroyed
00:09:59.660 government documents
00:10:00.960 in a room
00:10:02.460 full of the
00:10:03.100 same document.
00:10:04.860 So,
00:10:05.900 I'm not going to say
00:10:06.580 this is his
00:10:07.100 strongest argument,
00:10:08.580 but,
00:10:08.940 from a political
00:10:09.900 perspective,
00:10:10.460 it's very
00:10:11.160 entertaining.
00:10:12.500 And,
00:10:12.920 one of the
00:10:13.580 things that
00:10:13.940 Matt Gaetz
00:10:14.420 understands,
00:10:16.160 better than
00:10:16.740 most people
00:10:17.340 in politics,
00:10:17.860 which is one
00:10:18.540 of his
00:10:18.800 superpowers,
00:10:19.960 is how to
00:10:20.500 get attention,
00:10:21.460 how to,
00:10:22.280 you know,
00:10:22.760 how to capture
00:10:23.520 your imagination,
00:10:24.560 how to make you
00:10:25.120 look in his
00:10:25.640 direction,
00:10:26.160 and he's doing
00:10:26.620 it again.
00:10:27.020 So,
00:10:28.480 from a
00:10:29.120 persuasion
00:10:30.780 perspective,
00:10:31.500 not bad.
00:10:32.760 Not bad.
00:10:33.340 Pretty good play.
00:10:36.420 Alright.
00:10:37.380 So far that,
00:10:38.700 correct me if I'm
00:10:39.420 wrong,
00:10:39.760 but I talk about
00:10:40.600 this a lot,
00:10:41.800 people don't
00:10:43.040 remember everything
00:10:44.280 that happens.
00:10:45.320 It would be
00:10:45.820 impossible.
00:10:47.040 So,
00:10:47.540 we shortcut
00:10:48.860 the trick to
00:10:50.320 what we need
00:10:50.900 to remember.
00:10:52.040 So,
00:10:52.260 we sort of
00:10:52.900 don't pay
00:10:53.400 attention to
00:10:54.020 things that
00:10:54.460 work the way
00:10:55.000 they're supposed
00:10:55.580 to work.
00:10:56.640 When things
00:10:57.320 are working
00:10:57.760 okay,
00:10:58.520 we say,
00:10:59.320 okay,
00:10:59.500 that's the part
00:10:59.980 I don't have
00:11:00.380 to pay attention
00:11:00.900 to.
00:11:01.160 That's all
00:11:01.480 working okay.
00:11:02.680 Your brain
00:11:03.200 is designed
00:11:03.780 to ignore
00:11:04.280 things that
00:11:04.800 are normal.
00:11:06.560 And,
00:11:06.840 exceptions
00:11:07.240 are the
00:11:07.960 things you
00:11:08.300 remember.
00:11:09.460 So,
00:11:09.760 what are you
00:11:10.060 going to
00:11:10.300 remember
00:11:10.720 about the
00:11:11.980 Democratic Party
00:11:12.920 and their
00:11:13.560 accomplishments
00:11:14.180 for the
00:11:15.340 past several
00:11:16.260 months?
00:11:17.660 Well,
00:11:18.160 correct me if
00:11:19.420 I'm wrong,
00:11:19.900 but I only
00:11:20.340 remember two
00:11:20.940 things.
00:11:22.140 I remember
00:11:22.780 that they
00:11:23.280 failed at
00:11:25.320 running a
00:11:25.780 caucus.
00:11:27.120 Well,
00:11:27.620 three things.
00:11:28.680 They failed
00:11:29.360 at the
00:11:30.540 Russia collusion
00:11:31.280 thing.
00:11:32.200 They failed
00:11:33.140 to run a
00:11:33.980 good caucus.
00:11:35.440 And,
00:11:35.980 they failed
00:11:36.460 at impeachment.
00:11:39.000 Can you
00:11:39.400 remember anything
00:11:40.060 else the
00:11:40.500 Democrats did
00:11:41.280 in the last,
00:11:42.620 I don't know,
00:11:43.960 year?
00:11:45.480 Now,
00:11:46.020 I believe the
00:11:46.760 truth is,
00:11:48.220 correct me if
00:11:49.200 I'm wrong,
00:11:49.620 but the truth
00:11:50.180 is I think a
00:11:50.800 whole bunch
00:11:51.260 of lesser
00:11:52.800 bills have
00:11:53.580 been approved
00:11:54.220 in a
00:11:54.820 bipartisan
00:11:55.220 way.
00:11:56.200 The
00:11:56.320 USMCA was
00:11:57.380 approved in
00:11:58.020 a bipartisan
00:11:58.500 way and a
00:11:59.000 bunch of
00:11:59.260 other stuff
00:11:59.660 too.
00:12:00.280 But we
00:12:00.780 think of
00:12:01.120 the USMCA
00:12:01.920 as more
00:12:03.420 of Trump's
00:12:04.060 accomplishment,
00:12:05.040 don't we?
00:12:06.380 So even
00:12:06.860 though the
00:12:07.240 Democrats were
00:12:07.960 productive on
00:12:09.160 that one
00:12:10.180 matter, it
00:12:11.280 doesn't feel
00:12:11.800 like it.
00:12:12.760 The way we
00:12:13.280 remember it is
00:12:14.240 that it's
00:12:14.640 Trump's
00:12:15.380 accomplishment.
00:12:16.000 So correct
00:12:18.620 me if I'm
00:12:19.140 wrong.
00:12:19.700 The only
00:12:20.200 things we
00:12:20.660 know about
00:12:21.140 the Democrats,
00:12:22.280 the parts
00:12:22.640 that are
00:12:22.920 memorable,
00:12:24.320 are three
00:12:25.120 failures,
00:12:26.020 and they're
00:12:26.520 gigantic
00:12:27.780 ones.
00:12:29.060 I mean,
00:12:29.400 the Russia
00:12:29.760 collusion
00:12:30.180 thing was
00:12:30.620 one of the
00:12:30.920 biggest
00:12:31.140 failures of
00:12:32.020 all political
00:12:32.800 history.
00:12:33.740 The impeachment
00:12:34.360 was another
00:12:35.060 gigantic
00:12:35.580 failure.
00:12:36.580 Not only
00:12:36.920 that, but
00:12:37.280 it was a
00:12:37.640 failure that
00:12:38.220 you knew
00:12:38.500 would be a
00:12:38.900 failure before
00:12:39.520 you started.
00:12:40.100 that's as
00:12:41.200 hard as
00:12:41.500 you can
00:12:41.740 fail.
00:12:42.960 And then
00:12:43.180 of course,
00:12:44.060 running a
00:12:45.040 caucus, that
00:12:45.620 didn't go
00:12:46.280 well either.
00:12:47.460 All right,
00:12:47.940 so things
00:12:48.520 are bad
00:12:48.820 for Democrats.
00:12:52.900 Here's
00:12:53.420 what
00:12:54.760 Stephan
00:12:56.700 Collinson,
00:12:57.900 it might
00:12:58.360 be Stephen
00:12:59.100 Stephan,
00:12:59.760 I can never
00:13:00.260 remember how
00:13:01.800 to pronounce
00:13:02.280 any of the
00:13:02.980 Stephan
00:13:04.040 Stevens.
00:13:05.840 So,
00:13:06.560 Mr.
00:13:06.780 Collinson
00:13:07.220 writes for
00:13:07.820 CNN,
00:13:08.980 and this
00:13:09.320 is an
00:13:09.640 actual
00:13:10.000 sentence
00:13:10.720 that he
00:13:12.020 wrote.
00:13:13.320 But the
00:13:13.920 underlying
00:13:14.400 cause of
00:13:15.100 impeachment,
00:13:16.580 okay, wait
00:13:17.100 a minute,
00:13:17.560 we're going
00:13:18.020 to learn
00:13:18.340 the underlying
00:13:19.180 cause of
00:13:20.300 impeachment.
00:13:21.280 You probably
00:13:22.040 thought the
00:13:22.520 underlying
00:13:23.000 cause was
00:13:24.520 that Democrats
00:13:25.100 are angry
00:13:25.820 because they're
00:13:26.820 not in
00:13:27.200 power, and
00:13:28.060 they're just
00:13:28.320 trying to get
00:13:28.800 rid of the
00:13:29.120 president so
00:13:29.660 they can
00:13:29.920 take power
00:13:30.340 back.
00:13:31.020 You might
00:13:31.440 have thought
00:13:31.700 that was
00:13:32.040 the underlying
00:13:32.520 cause of
00:13:33.060 impeachment.
00:13:34.280 But Mr.
00:13:35.340 Collinson is
00:13:37.880 going to tell
00:13:38.340 us what the
00:13:39.320 real underlying
00:13:40.140 cause of
00:13:40.700 impeachment
00:13:41.100 was.
00:13:42.340 He says,
00:13:42.720 but the
00:13:42.940 underlying
00:13:43.260 cause of
00:13:43.860 impeachment
00:13:44.300 may be
00:13:45.380 the most
00:13:47.040 crucial issue
00:13:48.100 on the
00:13:48.480 ballot.
00:13:49.620 And then he
00:13:50.080 tells us what
00:13:50.700 that underlying
00:13:51.640 cause of
00:13:52.340 impeachment
00:13:52.740 was.
00:13:54.000 He says,
00:13:54.500 the president's
00:13:55.320 determination to
00:13:56.820 wield sweeping
00:13:57.800 unrestrained
00:13:58.680 power and
00:13:59.900 his refusal to
00:14:00.920 accept the
00:14:01.480 checks and
00:14:01.940 balances invested
00:14:03.380 in Congress.
00:14:05.140 What?
00:14:06.440 What weird
00:14:09.220 reality is he
00:14:10.240 living in?
00:14:12.040 What does he
00:14:13.760 know about the
00:14:14.480 president's inner
00:14:15.360 thoughts?
00:14:16.380 The president's
00:14:17.440 determination?
00:14:19.000 How determined
00:14:20.020 is the president
00:14:20.860 to, quote,
00:14:22.380 wield sweeping
00:14:23.360 powers and
00:14:24.320 have unrestrained
00:14:25.520 power?
00:14:29.400 I can't read the
00:14:30.580 president's mind
00:14:31.380 either, but if I
00:14:32.820 had to place a
00:14:33.560 bet, I would
00:14:35.780 confidently place
00:14:36.780 a bet.
00:14:37.240 If there were
00:14:37.940 some way to
00:14:38.520 check the
00:14:38.980 president's
00:14:39.520 inner secret
00:14:40.120 thoughts and
00:14:41.160 be certain
00:14:42.000 about it, I
00:14:43.160 would place a
00:14:43.720 very large
00:14:44.280 bet that he
00:14:45.560 has never once
00:14:46.500 had this
00:14:47.060 thought.
00:14:47.460 how can I
00:14:49.300 wield sweeping
00:14:50.760 unrestrained
00:14:51.460 power?
00:14:53.280 I don't think
00:14:54.160 that's ever
00:14:54.620 even crossed
00:14:55.140 his mind.
00:14:56.120 Do you?
00:14:57.140 I think
00:14:57.860 probably every
00:14:58.660 situation he
00:14:59.440 looks at, he
00:15:00.920 figures, you
00:15:01.460 know, what's
00:15:01.820 the best,
00:15:02.900 most, you
00:15:03.900 know, what's
00:15:04.220 the most I
00:15:04.680 can do in
00:15:05.100 this situation?
00:15:06.500 But wouldn't
00:15:07.200 that be every
00:15:07.760 president?
00:15:08.980 Is there a
00:15:09.580 president who
00:15:10.160 says, I have
00:15:10.800 this much
00:15:11.260 power, but
00:15:11.820 you know, I
00:15:12.960 don't want to
00:15:13.400 take it to the
00:15:14.040 limit.
00:15:14.840 I have this
00:15:15.580 much power, but
00:15:16.820 I'm only going
00:15:17.420 to use half
00:15:17.980 of it to
00:15:19.180 get stuff
00:15:19.700 done.
00:15:21.100 Said, nobody?
00:15:23.260 Will we ever
00:15:24.400 have a president
00:15:25.060 who has this
00:15:25.960 much power, but
00:15:27.120 only decides to
00:15:27.940 use half of it
00:15:28.660 because he
00:15:29.000 doesn't want to
00:15:29.460 look like a
00:15:29.940 king, doesn't
00:15:31.240 want to look
00:15:31.600 like he's
00:15:31.980 wielding,
00:15:32.560 sweeping powers,
00:15:33.660 doesn't want to
00:15:34.420 look like he
00:15:34.880 has unrestrained
00:15:35.640 powers, so I
00:15:36.800 better only use
00:15:37.600 half of my
00:15:39.000 powers.
00:15:40.300 Never.
00:15:40.940 We're not going
00:15:41.320 to have that
00:15:41.700 president, and
00:15:42.320 if we do, we
00:15:42.940 should impeach
00:15:43.400 him, or her.
00:15:45.220 If there's a
00:15:46.320 president who
00:15:47.000 fails to use
00:15:48.120 the powers of
00:15:49.380 the office to
00:15:50.120 get the work
00:15:50.640 done of the
00:15:51.180 people, that's
00:15:52.700 no president I
00:15:53.500 want.
00:15:54.520 The president I
00:15:55.580 want most is
00:15:56.400 the one who
00:15:56.740 uses 100% of
00:15:58.000 the powers
00:15:58.580 given, and
00:16:00.740 then pushes a
00:16:01.540 little bit
00:16:01.880 more.
00:16:03.500 That's the
00:16:04.140 sweet spot.
00:16:05.460 That's the
00:16:05.980 one you want.
00:16:07.220 If I were to
00:16:07.900 describe three
00:16:09.300 types of
00:16:09.780 presidents, let's
00:16:10.980 say, hypothetically,
00:16:12.340 you don't know
00:16:13.200 anything else about
00:16:14.080 the president.
00:16:14.760 It's not Trump,
00:16:15.460 it's just a
00:16:16.080 president.
00:16:17.440 And you have
00:16:17.900 three choices.
00:16:18.700 One, who does
00:16:19.940 not use the
00:16:20.920 power of the
00:16:21.500 office, only uses
00:16:22.660 a fraction of
00:16:23.520 the power of
00:16:23.940 the office.
00:16:24.680 That's one
00:16:25.120 choice.
00:16:26.020 Another one, does
00:16:27.460 try to become a
00:16:28.520 king, and just
00:16:30.260 ignores everything,
00:16:31.320 and just tries to
00:16:32.040 become a king.
00:16:33.400 Well, you don't
00:16:33.920 want that one.
00:16:35.200 I would argue
00:16:35.920 that the very
00:16:36.800 best look for a
00:16:39.360 president, in
00:16:40.140 terms of
00:16:40.620 efficiency and
00:16:41.640 effectiveness, is
00:16:42.840 somebody who
00:16:43.360 readily uses 100%
00:16:45.060 of the power
00:16:45.560 that's given, it
00:16:47.140 just pushes a
00:16:47.920 little bit extra.
00:16:49.860 That's the one
00:16:50.500 you want.
00:16:51.240 If you don't get
00:16:51.940 that one, I
00:16:52.680 don't care who
00:16:53.120 it is.
00:16:53.640 I don't care if
00:16:54.140 it's Elizabeth
00:16:54.640 Warren, I don't
00:16:55.860 care if it's
00:16:56.260 Obama, I don't
00:16:57.120 care if it's
00:16:57.660 Bernie Sanders.
00:16:58.620 They should use
00:16:59.360 all the power of
00:17:00.260 the office, push
00:17:01.900 a little bit more,
00:17:03.100 just to find out
00:17:03.980 if they've used
00:17:04.740 it all.
00:17:05.580 If they hit an
00:17:07.280 obstacle called
00:17:08.400 Congress, or if
00:17:09.740 they hit an
00:17:10.100 obstacle called
00:17:10.920 the people, or
00:17:12.540 if they hit an
00:17:13.040 obstacle called
00:17:13.840 the law, well
00:17:15.520 then they've
00:17:15.900 pushed far
00:17:16.580 enough.
00:17:17.800 But I don't
00:17:18.460 want the
00:17:18.880 president who
00:17:19.400 doesn't push.
00:17:21.000 That's not the
00:17:21.680 personality you
00:17:22.840 want as a
00:17:23.360 leader.
00:17:23.720 You want a
00:17:24.160 leader who
00:17:24.620 says, I'm
00:17:25.440 taking everything
00:17:26.060 you're giving
00:17:26.500 me, and I'm
00:17:27.620 going to try to
00:17:27.840 get a little
00:17:28.320 bit more.
00:17:29.440 We'll just
00:17:30.000 push it a
00:17:30.400 little bit,
00:17:30.760 find out where
00:17:31.260 that limit is.
00:17:32.920 Any good
00:17:33.380 negotiator would
00:17:34.100 do the same
00:17:34.520 thing.
00:17:36.520 So that's in
00:17:38.340 the CNN
00:17:39.100 world, that's
00:17:41.720 what's happening.
00:17:42.420 There's a
00:17:42.800 dictator, he's
00:17:44.320 a dictator, he's
00:17:45.140 expanded the
00:17:45.820 powers of the
00:17:46.420 office.
00:17:47.380 No, he just
00:17:48.280 beat a coup.
00:17:50.740 Beating the
00:17:51.340 coup attempt
00:17:51.900 doesn't really
00:17:53.000 expand the
00:17:53.680 powers of the
00:17:54.260 presidency.
00:17:56.440 Will we ever
00:17:57.320 see an example?
00:17:59.180 So the people
00:17:59.920 who are
00:18:01.220 crafting this
00:18:02.320 view of the
00:18:02.940 world, this
00:18:03.520 filter of
00:18:04.220 reality, is
00:18:05.460 that it's a
00:18:06.220 president who's
00:18:06.920 got too much
00:18:07.480 power now.
00:18:08.840 But what does
00:18:09.580 that predict?
00:18:10.220 Well, it
00:18:11.620 predicts that
00:18:12.800 you would see
00:18:13.300 him using
00:18:13.860 that power in
00:18:15.420 a way that
00:18:15.960 the public
00:18:16.560 would regard
00:18:17.880 as not in
00:18:18.460 their best
00:18:18.820 interest.
00:18:19.680 Do you think
00:18:20.060 you're going
00:18:20.340 to see that?
00:18:21.340 Do you think
00:18:21.820 you'll see
00:18:22.240 President Trump
00:18:23.380 abusing his
00:18:24.760 new power
00:18:25.400 that he got
00:18:26.040 because of
00:18:26.520 this impeachment
00:18:27.060 process to
00:18:28.540 do things that
00:18:29.380 his base,
00:18:30.680 the people who
00:18:31.440 voted for him,
00:18:33.100 don't want?
00:18:35.120 I'm predicting
00:18:36.800 against that.
00:18:38.140 I think that he
00:18:38.860 will push
00:18:39.460 wherever he
00:18:40.680 promised,
00:18:41.700 wherever his
00:18:42.280 base wants
00:18:42.780 them to push.
00:18:44.020 You're going
00:18:44.360 to expect
00:18:44.700 that, but
00:18:46.120 that's okay.
00:18:47.240 Maybe that's
00:18:47.640 how the system
00:18:48.120 works.
00:18:49.520 All right.
00:18:52.300 Where are
00:18:53.000 all the people
00:18:53.660 from a year
00:18:55.620 ago and two
00:18:56.520 years ago and
00:18:57.340 three years ago
00:18:58.180 who said to
00:18:59.520 me, Scott,
00:19:00.480 Scott, Scott,
00:19:01.540 you poor
00:19:03.280 ignorant bastard.
00:19:05.980 Don't you
00:19:06.420 understand this
00:19:07.540 simple truth?
00:19:09.460 Trade wars
00:19:10.680 never work.
00:19:13.520 Let me say it
00:19:14.220 again, Scott,
00:19:15.160 you dumb,
00:19:16.120 dumb bastard.
00:19:17.720 Have you not
00:19:19.020 been paying
00:19:19.360 attention to
00:19:19.940 all of human
00:19:20.820 history?
00:19:21.740 There's one
00:19:22.420 thing we know
00:19:23.200 with complete
00:19:24.800 certainty.
00:19:26.340 Trade wars
00:19:27.080 do not work.
00:19:29.620 And I,
00:19:30.620 in my
00:19:30.960 inimitable
00:19:31.440 way,
00:19:31.960 said,
00:19:32.800 sure they do.
00:19:34.160 Sure they do.
00:19:35.680 They totally
00:19:36.600 work.
00:19:37.460 What's the
00:19:37.920 alternative?
00:19:38.580 Give the
00:19:38.860 other side
00:19:39.280 everything they
00:19:39.820 want?
00:19:40.760 How does
00:19:41.140 that work?
00:19:42.480 How does
00:19:42.960 giving an
00:19:43.820 enemy country,
00:19:46.260 roughly speaking,
00:19:47.860 enemy country,
00:19:48.980 let's say China,
00:19:50.180 how does it
00:19:50.980 work to give
00:19:51.460 them everything
00:19:51.900 they want that's
00:19:53.000 bad for us?
00:19:54.140 Was that the
00:19:54.800 other choice?
00:19:55.340 No, I
00:19:56.820 said, trade
00:19:57.820 wars, wait
00:19:58.940 for it, work
00:20:00.500 every time.
00:20:02.080 Trade wars
00:20:02.900 work every
00:20:04.820 time.
00:20:05.400 Well, but
00:20:06.120 there's a
00:20:06.420 catch for
00:20:08.080 the strongest
00:20:08.640 party.
00:20:10.140 We were the
00:20:11.040 strongest party.
00:20:12.720 If China had
00:20:13.840 started a trade
00:20:14.540 deal with us,
00:20:15.440 well, probably
00:20:16.040 a bad idea.
00:20:18.720 If Vietnam
00:20:19.680 starts a trade
00:20:21.100 war with the
00:20:21.600 United States,
00:20:23.020 I'm going to
00:20:23.480 say that probably
00:20:24.160 won't work out
00:20:24.820 for Vietnam.
00:20:26.740 So, you have
00:20:28.020 to have a
00:20:28.400 little bit of
00:20:29.100 sophistication when
00:20:30.080 you're looking at
00:20:30.620 the individual
00:20:31.240 situations and
00:20:32.780 say, no, in
00:20:34.080 the situation
00:20:34.700 where one has
00:20:36.120 a lot of
00:20:36.700 power and a
00:20:38.080 super strong
00:20:38.760 economy, and
00:20:39.900 the other has
00:20:40.500 a trembly
00:20:41.340 economy and
00:20:42.180 much less
00:20:42.580 power and
00:20:43.180 depends on
00:20:43.760 you, and
00:20:45.520 they have an
00:20:46.160 unfair trade
00:20:47.000 situation already
00:20:48.520 that's just
00:20:49.160 grossly unfair,
00:20:50.880 under that
00:20:51.440 specific situation,
00:20:53.440 I would
00:20:54.800 expect a
00:20:55.420 trade war to
00:20:56.020 work every
00:20:57.780 time.
00:20:58.720 You just
00:20:59.080 have to
00:20:59.400 stick with
00:20:59.860 it, and
00:21:00.180 that's what
00:21:00.480 the president
00:21:00.880 did.
00:21:01.500 The president
00:21:02.040 stuck with
00:21:02.700 it.
00:21:03.600 That was the
00:21:04.060 only thing he
00:21:04.500 had to do,
00:21:05.400 because there
00:21:05.880 wasn't any
00:21:06.420 way you lose
00:21:07.320 if you're the
00:21:08.260 stronger power,
00:21:09.440 and you've got
00:21:10.000 more margin in
00:21:11.120 your economy and
00:21:12.000 more safety,
00:21:14.260 and so that's
00:21:14.840 where we are.
00:21:17.000 But I don't
00:21:17.820 see any of those
00:21:18.500 people who mock
00:21:19.460 me mercilessly
00:21:20.480 for being so
00:21:21.800 dumb to think
00:21:22.500 that trade
00:21:22.880 wars could
00:21:23.380 work, and
00:21:24.140 there's a
00:21:24.840 USMCA as
00:21:25.760 your other
00:21:26.400 example.
00:21:27.900 Where are
00:21:28.520 they now?
00:21:29.420 I would
00:21:29.960 expect those
00:21:30.520 people to
00:21:30.920 come out and
00:21:31.360 say, Scott,
00:21:32.640 you know, I
00:21:34.020 was so wrong
00:21:34.700 back then.
00:21:35.820 I would like
00:21:36.320 to apologize to
00:21:37.220 you, Scott,
00:21:38.400 because, well,
00:21:40.000 let me call in
00:21:40.820 Dale.
00:21:42.100 Dale, don't
00:21:43.700 you owe me an
00:21:44.360 apology for
00:21:45.400 saying that trade
00:21:46.360 wars never work?
00:21:48.140 Yes, I do,
00:21:48.860 Scott.
00:21:49.580 I would like to
00:21:50.660 be completely out
00:21:52.400 of character and
00:21:53.180 say that you
00:21:54.260 are not only
00:21:54.900 correct, you
00:21:56.840 are wise beyond
00:21:57.760 your years, and
00:21:59.100 you have a lot
00:21:59.540 of years.
00:22:00.400 Ha, ha, ha,
00:22:01.140 ha, you've got
00:22:01.780 a lot of years.
00:22:02.160 It's called the
00:22:02.660 old.
00:22:03.580 Oh, you're wise
00:22:04.860 beyond your years.
00:22:06.400 Trade wars do
00:22:07.620 work under certain
00:22:08.900 circumstances, and
00:22:09.980 you were right
00:22:10.560 about that.
00:22:11.500 You were so,
00:22:12.520 so right.
00:22:14.760 Scene.
00:22:15.240 Thank you,
00:22:17.340 Dale.
00:22:17.900 It's almost like
00:22:18.680 I was putting
00:22:19.140 those words in
00:22:19.780 your mouth.
00:22:21.420 All right.
00:22:24.280 Let's see what
00:22:25.000 else we got going
00:22:25.660 on.
00:22:26.200 It's a weird,
00:22:27.060 it's a weird day
00:22:27.800 because there was
00:22:29.220 so much news
00:22:30.300 yesterday.
00:22:33.340 Yeah, somebody
00:22:34.120 saying, breaking
00:22:35.180 news, China has
00:22:36.160 cut tariffs by
00:22:37.320 50% on some
00:22:39.320 imports.
00:22:40.680 So I don't know
00:22:41.940 how big a deal
00:22:42.520 that is, but
00:22:43.140 sounds like a
00:22:43.740 big deal.
00:22:45.240 Somebody's
00:22:47.420 apologizing to
00:22:48.240 me here on
00:22:48.720 the comments.
00:22:49.440 Scott, I was
00:22:50.080 wrong.
00:22:50.840 I'm sorry.
00:22:54.180 All right.
00:22:56.520 So, well,
00:22:58.820 some intrepid
00:22:59.940 Democrat tweeted,
00:23:03.840 I think it was
00:23:04.660 in response to
00:23:05.400 somebody saying
00:23:05.940 something bad
00:23:06.560 about Nancy
00:23:07.120 Pelosi, and
00:23:08.640 this person
00:23:09.180 tweets, alert
00:23:10.540 me when
00:23:11.160 Pelosi sexually
00:23:13.180 assaults someone,
00:23:14.180 mocks the
00:23:14.580 disabled, tears
00:23:15.320 a child from
00:23:15.940 their parents,
00:23:16.980 pays off a
00:23:17.520 porn star,
00:23:18.120 insults a
00:23:18.600 gold star
00:23:19.040 family calls,
00:23:19.800 Nazis find
00:23:20.420 people, denies
00:23:21.200 science, steals
00:23:21.880 from a charity,
00:23:22.920 or starts a
00:23:23.700 fake university.
00:23:25.040 Until then,
00:23:26.200 take a seat.
00:23:27.920 So, I, just
00:23:31.020 for my own
00:23:31.520 entertainment, I
00:23:32.440 wade into this
00:23:33.320 conversation, and
00:23:35.560 I noted that
00:23:36.260 several of the
00:23:37.520 things on the
00:23:38.340 list didn't
00:23:39.580 happen.
00:23:40.280 They're just
00:23:40.940 fake.
00:23:41.400 Now, what
00:23:42.500 do you think
00:23:42.920 happened to
00:23:43.620 me when I
00:23:45.180 waded into this
00:23:46.020 little Democrat
00:23:46.640 nest to tell
00:23:48.220 them that their
00:23:49.120 list of what
00:23:49.860 they believe
00:23:50.360 about the
00:23:50.740 world, several
00:23:52.440 of them are
00:23:53.180 fake news?
00:23:55.000 Did that go
00:23:55.800 well for me?
00:23:58.280 Do you think
00:23:59.000 people said,
00:23:59.600 oh, well,
00:24:00.120 thanks for the
00:24:00.620 correction.
00:24:01.740 It's a good
00:24:02.240 thing you told
00:24:02.740 us, because we
00:24:03.880 thought this was
00:24:04.580 all true.
00:24:05.080 So, I
00:24:08.760 baited them
00:24:09.900 for a while,
00:24:11.080 and they kept
00:24:11.560 saying, oh,
00:24:11.980 yeah, oh,
00:24:12.480 yeah, you see
00:24:13.360 something?
00:24:13.960 Scott, you think
00:24:14.800 there's something
00:24:15.240 on that list
00:24:15.980 that's fake?
00:24:17.720 Well, let's see
00:24:18.560 your link.
00:24:19.600 Let's see your
00:24:20.200 evidence.
00:24:21.780 Scott, if you
00:24:22.540 think there's
00:24:22.920 something fake
00:24:23.460 on this list,
00:24:24.640 can you give
00:24:25.760 me any link?
00:24:26.980 I'm waiting.
00:24:28.480 And, of course,
00:24:29.080 as idiots on
00:24:30.520 Twitter do,
00:24:31.840 if it takes you
00:24:32.720 five minutes to
00:24:33.800 respond to a
00:24:34.600 tweet, they'll
00:24:36.020 start saying,
00:24:36.800 crickets, you
00:24:37.840 know, I'm
00:24:38.820 waiting.
00:24:39.680 Well, apparently
00:24:40.380 you had nothing.
00:24:41.240 It's been five
00:24:42.040 minutes.
00:24:42.840 I couldn't
00:24:43.240 imagine that
00:24:43.760 you have
00:24:44.020 anything going
00:24:44.540 on in your
00:24:45.020 life, except
00:24:46.260 to respond to
00:24:47.140 randos on
00:24:47.880 Twitter, so I
00:24:49.720 guess you got
00:24:50.200 nothing.
00:24:51.760 And person
00:24:52.400 after person, I
00:24:54.340 said, yeah,
00:24:55.200 there's plenty of
00:24:56.100 evidence.
00:24:56.520 It's been
00:24:56.920 strongly debunked,
00:24:58.380 but I
00:24:58.980 intentionally
00:24:59.640 didn't give
00:25:00.340 them the link
00:25:01.060 until they were
00:25:02.320 really riled up.
00:25:04.600 I don't
00:25:05.120 feel, I'm
00:25:06.860 not proud of
00:25:07.420 it.
00:25:08.920 I'm not proud of
00:25:09.920 what happened
00:25:10.340 next, but it
00:25:12.700 happened.
00:25:13.780 I got them
00:25:14.620 really excited
00:25:15.620 about how
00:25:16.840 crazy I am and
00:25:17.940 how there's no
00:25:18.600 evidence of it
00:25:19.280 being debunked,
00:25:20.340 and then I
00:25:20.860 sent them a
00:25:21.260 link to Steve
00:25:21.980 Cortez, his
00:25:23.300 video that he
00:25:24.160 did for
00:25:24.520 PragerU,
00:25:25.560 thoroughly
00:25:26.100 debunking the
00:25:26.860 fine people
00:25:27.360 hoax.
00:25:28.640 And then, of
00:25:29.240 course, it got
00:25:31.320 real quiet.
00:25:31.940 And then I
00:25:33.700 waited a little
00:25:34.240 bit, and I
00:25:35.600 sent the
00:25:35.980 debunking link
00:25:36.920 for the hoax
00:25:39.340 that he mocked
00:25:40.420 a disabled guy
00:25:41.660 with a bad
00:25:42.120 arm.
00:25:43.120 Because if you
00:25:43.660 see the
00:25:44.000 compilation clip,
00:25:45.300 you can see
00:25:45.800 that he uses
00:25:46.320 that same
00:25:46.740 motion for
00:25:47.240 lots of
00:25:47.620 people,
00:25:47.980 including
00:25:48.240 when he
00:25:48.580 mocked Ted
00:25:49.560 Cruz.
00:25:51.060 So, and
00:25:51.840 of course,
00:25:52.560 before I
00:25:53.160 sent any of
00:25:54.060 these links,
00:25:55.120 I really
00:25:55.820 wound them
00:25:56.320 up and I
00:25:56.740 said, you
00:25:57.000 know, the
00:25:58.120 people on
00:25:58.540 the right
00:25:59.020 have seen
00:26:00.160 what you've
00:26:00.600 seen, but
00:26:01.000 they've also
00:26:01.660 seen the
00:26:02.940 debunking.
00:26:03.700 But you've
00:26:04.080 never seen
00:26:04.520 the debunking.
00:26:06.140 So you're
00:26:06.820 in a silo.
00:26:07.900 So I got
00:26:08.500 people all
00:26:09.020 wound up
00:26:09.440 about being
00:26:09.880 in a
00:26:10.140 news silo,
00:26:11.300 and then
00:26:11.660 something that.
00:26:12.920 So then I
00:26:13.520 got the
00:26:14.100 people who
00:26:14.480 said, oh,
00:26:15.140 Scott, so,
00:26:17.360 and of
00:26:17.920 course they
00:26:18.240 used that
00:26:18.900 tell.
00:26:19.800 If you
00:26:20.140 start a
00:26:20.520 word, a
00:26:21.020 sentence
00:26:21.240 with so,
00:26:22.600 so, you're
00:26:24.020 saying, whatever
00:26:24.820 follows that is
00:26:25.660 just ridiculous.
00:26:26.740 It's not
00:26:27.180 something you're
00:26:27.740 saying.
00:26:28.840 So they
00:26:29.280 said, so,
00:26:29.820 tell us,
00:26:31.220 Scott, tell us,
00:26:32.220 Scott, which
00:26:32.820 of these
00:26:33.420 things on
00:26:33.940 this terrible
00:26:34.480 list of
00:26:34.980 accusations are
00:26:36.160 you okay
00:26:36.600 with?
00:26:37.180 Because you
00:26:37.680 said some
00:26:38.360 of them are
00:26:39.560 fake.
00:26:40.700 So tell me
00:26:41.760 which one you're
00:26:42.320 okay with,
00:26:43.120 Scott.
00:26:43.680 Are you okay
00:26:44.780 with, you
00:26:46.660 know, sexual
00:26:47.260 assault, Scott?
00:26:49.020 Are you okay
00:26:49.640 with stealing
00:26:50.840 from a charity
00:26:51.520 or starting a
00:26:52.160 fake university,
00:26:53.440 paying a
00:26:53.780 poor star?
00:26:54.220 Which one of
00:26:54.820 those are you
00:26:55.300 okay with?
00:26:56.160 to which I
00:26:58.180 said, I
00:26:59.940 didn't say I
00:27:00.360 was okay with
00:27:00.920 anything, but
00:27:03.080 I'll tell you
00:27:03.660 what I
00:27:03.940 haven't yet
00:27:04.480 told them.
00:27:06.780 There's some
00:27:07.460 things that,
00:27:09.760 well, let me
00:27:10.440 put it a
00:27:11.000 better way.
00:27:12.680 I'm interested
00:27:13.580 in your best
00:27:14.680 interests.
00:27:16.580 Yours, the
00:27:17.320 people watching
00:27:17.860 this Periscope
00:27:18.520 right now, as
00:27:19.920 well as the
00:27:20.440 people I'm
00:27:20.900 debating on
00:27:21.700 Twitter, who
00:27:22.320 have very
00:27:23.000 different views
00:27:23.620 than mine.
00:27:24.020 I'm interested
00:27:25.220 in them
00:27:25.700 getting the
00:27:26.160 best deal.
00:27:26.880 I want them
00:27:27.300 to have the
00:27:27.780 safest country.
00:27:29.200 I want them
00:27:29.700 to have the
00:27:30.260 best economy.
00:27:32.160 I want them
00:27:32.500 to have good
00:27:32.960 jobs.
00:27:34.520 Now, the
00:27:34.860 way to get
00:27:35.280 there is to
00:27:37.160 not care that
00:27:38.460 the president
00:27:39.020 paid a
00:27:39.420 porn star.
00:27:41.740 Can you
00:27:42.280 get over
00:27:42.620 that?
00:27:44.400 If your
00:27:45.040 best way to
00:27:45.680 have a good
00:27:46.080 life is to
00:27:47.580 simply not
00:27:48.300 care that
00:27:49.600 somebody paid
00:27:50.160 a porn star,
00:27:51.860 can you do
00:27:52.620 that?
00:27:52.920 Is that too
00:27:53.340 hard?
00:27:54.340 Because I
00:27:54.680 don't care.
00:27:56.080 I don't
00:27:56.600 care at all.
00:27:57.500 Somebody says
00:27:58.200 in the comments
00:27:58.660 she paid him,
00:27:59.760 which I think
00:28:00.260 is technically
00:28:00.780 true because
00:28:01.600 of the lawsuits
00:28:03.340 or whatever.
00:28:03.980 She ended up
00:28:04.420 paying his
00:28:04.800 court costs,
00:28:05.420 I think,
00:28:06.340 which is
00:28:06.940 funny.
00:28:07.880 Then there
00:28:08.200 are other
00:28:08.460 things like
00:28:08.920 stealing from
00:28:09.900 the charity
00:28:10.340 and the
00:28:10.780 fake university.
00:28:12.060 The charity
00:28:12.520 one, that's
00:28:13.840 for the legal
00:28:14.360 system to
00:28:15.160 handle.
00:28:16.000 I don't
00:28:16.300 think we've
00:28:16.780 heard, we
00:28:18.160 haven't heard
00:28:18.580 the whole
00:28:18.920 story.
00:28:20.040 If something
00:28:20.780 bad happened
00:28:21.360 there, he
00:28:22.880 paid for
00:28:23.400 it, does
00:28:24.820 that affect
00:28:25.340 you?
00:28:26.560 Does it
00:28:27.320 affect me?
00:28:29.080 Not really.
00:28:30.640 And as far
00:28:31.160 as Trump
00:28:31.620 University, people
00:28:33.480 who don't
00:28:33.980 understand how
00:28:34.780 licensing work
00:28:35.880 have a different
00:28:36.900 view of what
00:28:37.500 that was.
00:28:38.040 companies, I
00:28:39.300 am somebody
00:28:39.780 who licenses
00:28:40.480 or have
00:28:41.220 licensed lots
00:28:41.960 of things.
00:28:43.000 So I've
00:28:43.320 licensed Dilbert
00:28:44.400 properties to
00:28:45.620 people who
00:28:46.180 make different
00:28:46.700 kinds of
00:28:47.120 products.
00:28:48.100 They put it
00:28:48.520 on those
00:28:48.800 products.
00:28:49.700 When I
00:28:50.100 license Dilbert
00:28:50.840 to my
00:28:52.300 calendar
00:28:52.740 maker or
00:28:54.080 my reprint
00:28:54.900 bookmaker,
00:28:55.680 they do an
00:28:56.100 amazing job.
00:28:57.500 They really
00:28:57.980 turn my
00:28:59.440 content into
00:29:00.300 more than it
00:29:00.980 would have
00:29:01.220 been by the
00:29:01.800 form they
00:29:02.220 put it in,
00:29:03.080 et cetera.
00:29:03.960 So that's a
00:29:04.480 really good
00:29:04.840 licensing deal.
00:29:05.500 But there
00:29:06.240 are other
00:29:06.540 licenses I've
00:29:08.180 granted and
00:29:09.480 I got paid
00:29:10.000 for in which
00:29:11.560 they turned it
00:29:12.120 into a product
00:29:12.740 that wasn't
00:29:13.840 so good.
00:29:15.320 It was good
00:29:15.960 enough that I
00:29:16.520 ultimately approved.
00:29:17.760 It was a
00:29:18.180 t-shirt or
00:29:19.060 something like
00:29:19.800 that.
00:29:20.400 But nobody
00:29:21.000 bought it.
00:29:22.500 So there
00:29:23.200 are certainly
00:29:23.540 cases where I
00:29:24.360 license things
00:29:25.060 but I don't
00:29:25.480 have control
00:29:26.180 over the
00:29:26.620 outcome.
00:29:28.300 Trump
00:29:28.660 licenses the
00:29:29.780 name Trump
00:29:30.400 to a whole
00:29:31.540 variety of
00:29:32.220 things including
00:29:32.880 people who
00:29:33.460 build buildings
00:29:34.540 and put
00:29:35.020 the Trump
00:29:35.720 name on
00:29:36.120 it.
00:29:37.480 I think
00:29:38.480 you can
00:29:40.560 fact check
00:29:41.080 me on this
00:29:41.580 but I
00:29:42.660 doubt that
00:29:44.160 Trump knew
00:29:45.620 a lot about
00:29:46.260 what was
00:29:46.680 going on
00:29:47.220 with Trump
00:29:47.720 University.
00:29:49.080 So what
00:29:49.420 they said
00:29:49.820 was he
00:29:50.220 started a
00:29:50.800 fake
00:29:51.040 university.
00:29:52.840 I don't
00:29:53.480 think that
00:29:53.880 was his
00:29:54.260 intention.
00:29:55.320 Do you?
00:29:56.100 Do you
00:29:56.660 think there
00:29:56.940 was any
00:29:57.280 time that
00:29:58.400 the president
00:29:58.960 was presented
00:29:59.780 with this
00:30:00.240 opportunity and
00:30:01.000 they said
00:30:01.260 okay it's
00:30:01.740 all a scam
00:30:02.680 but we're
00:30:03.680 going to
00:30:03.900 put you
00:30:04.260 know if
00:30:04.580 you want
00:30:04.920 we'll put
00:30:05.220 your name
00:30:05.520 on it
00:30:05.780 you can
00:30:06.060 share
00:30:06.420 in the
00:30:06.700 scam.
00:30:07.840 Do you
00:30:08.020 think that
00:30:08.360 conversation
00:30:08.920 ever happened?
00:30:09.760 I don't
00:30:10.120 think so.
00:30:11.300 I don't
00:30:11.560 think so.
00:30:13.080 Far more
00:30:13.780 likely some
00:30:15.160 people he
00:30:15.760 knew or
00:30:16.320 trusted
00:30:16.780 incorrectly
00:30:18.000 as it
00:30:18.400 turns out
00:30:18.880 told him
00:30:19.820 that everything
00:30:20.300 would be
00:30:20.720 great and
00:30:21.340 all they
00:30:21.660 need is
00:30:22.000 for him
00:30:22.300 to make
00:30:22.580 a video
00:30:22.980 and say
00:30:23.360 he's
00:30:23.520 associated
00:30:23.880 with it
00:30:24.400 put his
00:30:25.180 name on
00:30:25.580 it and
00:30:25.880 they'll
00:30:26.060 do the
00:30:26.340 rest.
00:30:27.980 Was he
00:30:28.340 aware of
00:30:29.740 what they
00:30:30.060 were doing
00:30:30.580 and that
00:30:31.220 they were
00:30:31.660 not producing
00:30:32.740 something of
00:30:33.300 value?
00:30:33.580 Well eventually
00:30:34.440 he was
00:30:34.900 and then it
00:30:35.480 became a big
00:30:36.000 legal problem
00:30:36.680 but I doubt
00:30:38.280 that's what his
00:30:39.020 intention was
00:30:39.840 because really
00:30:41.560 why would you?
00:30:42.380 It wouldn't make
00:30:42.800 any sense.
00:30:45.280 So when you go
00:30:46.200 down this list
00:30:46.880 oh then he
00:30:47.560 insulted a
00:30:48.240 gold star
00:30:48.680 family.
00:30:49.440 How much
00:30:49.860 does that
00:30:50.280 affect you?
00:30:52.240 Did your
00:30:53.240 401k go down
00:30:54.920 because that
00:30:56.040 time in
00:30:56.660 2016 he
00:30:58.320 insulted a
00:30:59.100 gold star
00:30:59.600 family after
00:31:00.320 they insulted
00:31:00.920 him first?
00:31:01.500 Did that
00:31:03.140 make any
00:31:04.100 difference to
00:31:04.620 you?
00:31:05.940 I don't
00:31:06.300 think so.
00:31:07.400 Didn't make
00:31:07.900 me less
00:31:08.320 safe.
00:31:08.780 Didn't make
00:31:09.100 me less
00:31:10.160 money.
00:31:10.600 Didn't do
00:31:10.900 anything.
00:31:12.180 So the
00:31:12.860 Democrats are
00:31:13.440 living this
00:31:13.940 world of
00:31:14.880 awfulness in
00:31:15.660 which they
00:31:16.100 believe that
00:31:17.380 Trump called
00:31:17.960 Nazis fine
00:31:18.720 people.
00:31:19.360 Didn't
00:31:19.680 happen.
00:31:20.220 You can
00:31:20.480 just check
00:31:20.880 the transcript.
00:31:21.660 He said
00:31:21.920 the opposite
00:31:22.340 of that.
00:31:23.420 That he
00:31:23.960 mocked a
00:31:25.220 disabled guy.
00:31:26.040 Didn't
00:31:26.220 happen.
00:31:26.820 You can
00:31:27.080 check the
00:31:27.480 compilation clips
00:31:28.700 to see that
00:31:29.220 he uses that
00:31:29.840 same gesture
00:31:30.680 all the
00:31:31.000 time.
00:31:32.000 Sexually
00:31:32.520 assaulted
00:31:32.920 someone.
00:31:35.060 Not that I
00:31:35.840 know of.
00:31:37.260 I know
00:31:37.640 there are
00:31:37.920 allegations.
00:31:39.240 But I'm
00:31:39.960 not aware of
00:31:40.720 anything
00:31:40.940 credible.
00:31:42.980 So I
00:31:45.060 don't know
00:31:45.300 how to deal
00:31:45.680 with allegations
00:31:46.560 that are not
00:31:47.200 credible.
00:31:47.660 Tears a
00:31:48.020 child from
00:31:48.440 their parents.
00:31:49.900 Put it in
00:31:50.440 context.
00:31:52.060 Same thing
00:31:52.620 Obama did.
00:31:53.920 And it
00:31:54.700 was better
00:31:55.100 than the
00:31:55.420 alternatives.
00:31:56.800 Because the
00:31:57.380 alternative was
00:31:58.400 to let the
00:31:59.180 traffickers take
00:32:00.500 the child into
00:32:01.120 the United
00:32:01.500 States and
00:32:02.580 have them
00:32:02.980 sexually abused
00:32:03.780 for years.
00:32:04.800 That was the
00:32:05.420 other choice.
00:32:07.120 Because the
00:32:07.980 separating the
00:32:09.120 parents from
00:32:09.600 the kids,
00:32:10.160 that was the
00:32:10.520 only way they
00:32:11.440 could do it
00:32:11.860 given the
00:32:12.240 resources they
00:32:12.920 had.
00:32:14.260 Then it
00:32:14.960 says he
00:32:15.280 denies science.
00:32:17.020 Is that
00:32:17.380 true?
00:32:18.600 First of all,
00:32:19.960 is there
00:32:20.240 anybody who
00:32:20.820 denies science?
00:32:22.620 Anybody?
00:32:23.740 Anybody?
00:32:24.800 There's nobody
00:32:25.580 who denies
00:32:26.080 science.
00:32:26.560 What they're
00:32:27.400 talking about
00:32:27.960 is climate
00:32:28.480 change.
00:32:29.860 I just saw
00:32:31.920 another quote.
00:32:33.000 He said,
00:32:33.560 parts of it
00:32:34.440 are a hoax.
00:32:36.240 Now the
00:32:36.620 last time he
00:32:37.340 used the
00:32:37.760 word hoax,
00:32:39.500 at least on
00:32:40.420 video, in
00:32:41.840 which he was
00:32:42.220 talking about
00:32:42.740 climate change,
00:32:44.040 he was careful
00:32:44.880 to say there
00:32:45.800 are parts of
00:32:46.680 it that are
00:32:47.040 hoax.
00:32:48.060 And I think
00:32:48.620 that's true.
00:32:50.220 That is just
00:32:51.020 true.
00:32:52.040 The part
00:32:52.720 about the
00:32:53.140 wild hysteria,
00:32:54.220 the part
00:32:54.500 about all
00:32:55.900 the predictions
00:32:56.480 that have
00:32:56.920 been made
00:32:57.300 that haven't
00:32:57.720 worked,
00:32:58.240 the part
00:32:58.560 about the
00:32:59.180 Paris Accord
00:33:00.520 where we
00:33:01.520 would lose
00:33:02.820 a lot but
00:33:03.440 we wouldn't
00:33:03.840 gain anything.
00:33:04.820 There are a
00:33:05.180 whole bunch
00:33:05.560 of parts
00:33:06.040 of it that
00:33:07.680 are clearly
00:33:08.480 questionable.
00:33:12.200 But given
00:33:13.120 that he has
00:33:13.680 just approved
00:33:14.300 a trillion
00:33:14.760 trees and
00:33:16.580 the only
00:33:16.880 reason for
00:33:17.420 the trees,
00:33:17.920 there's no
00:33:18.260 other reason
00:33:18.800 other than
00:33:19.900 climate change,
00:33:20.720 that kind
00:33:22.400 of puts
00:33:22.720 him squarely
00:33:23.400 on the
00:33:23.660 same side
00:33:24.220 as the
00:33:24.840 scientists.
00:33:26.520 Because you
00:33:26.880 wouldn't do
00:33:27.280 the trees
00:33:27.820 unless there
00:33:30.160 was some
00:33:30.400 reason.
00:33:31.680 So I
00:33:33.160 don't think
00:33:33.540 he's been
00:33:33.920 good on
00:33:34.980 the climate
00:33:35.740 question.
00:33:36.600 So I'm a
00:33:37.480 critic of
00:33:38.100 the way he's
00:33:38.580 handled it
00:33:39.180 because I
00:33:40.260 think he
00:33:40.540 should be
00:33:40.820 pushing
00:33:41.100 nuclear much
00:33:42.000 harder and
00:33:42.740 making a
00:33:44.340 positive
00:33:47.740 argument instead
00:33:48.880 of just a
00:33:49.440 negative argument
00:33:50.120 about it.
00:33:50.560 or a
00:33:51.220 passive
00:33:51.640 approach.
00:33:53.240 Planting
00:33:53.520 trees is
00:33:54.200 bordering on
00:33:55.260 passive.
00:33:57.580 Anyway,
00:33:58.380 so looking
00:33:59.520 at how the
00:34:00.480 Democrats see
00:34:01.620 the world,
00:34:02.240 it's a
00:34:02.540 combination of
00:34:03.360 things that
00:34:04.340 don't matter,
00:34:05.380 allegations that
00:34:06.280 have never
00:34:06.640 been proven
00:34:08.520 to any
00:34:09.240 reasonable
00:34:09.640 standard,
00:34:10.920 and stuff
00:34:12.980 that literally
00:34:13.560 didn't happen.
00:34:14.440 And that's
00:34:14.820 their worldview.
00:34:15.680 It's completely
00:34:16.340 constructed from
00:34:18.000 fake news
00:34:18.900 and not
00:34:20.540 knowing what's
00:34:21.080 important.
00:34:22.680 Now,
00:34:23.320 were the
00:34:23.740 people that I
00:34:24.380 was dealing
00:34:25.280 with,
00:34:25.960 were they
00:34:26.700 economists?
00:34:28.600 If you
00:34:29.300 guessed no,
00:34:30.060 you'd be
00:34:30.400 correct.
00:34:31.280 Were the
00:34:31.640 people I was
00:34:32.260 arguing with
00:34:32.860 about this
00:34:33.500 topic,
00:34:33.960 were they
00:34:34.580 scientists?
00:34:37.240 No,
00:34:37.880 no.
00:34:38.800 Were they
00:34:39.380 artists?
00:34:41.000 Yeah,
00:34:41.300 they were.
00:34:42.000 Yeah,
00:34:42.280 they were.
00:34:43.340 No surprise.
00:34:45.140 All right.
00:34:50.380 Have any
00:34:51.000 of you
00:34:51.340 enjoyed the
00:34:52.240 prank I
00:34:53.140 suggested?
00:34:54.060 Now,
00:34:54.340 I don't
00:34:54.560 think I
00:34:54.880 had to
00:34:55.200 suggest this
00:34:55.880 prank,
00:34:56.380 because I
00:34:56.640 think it
00:34:56.860 was going
00:34:57.100 to happen
00:34:57.380 anyway,
00:34:58.120 but I
00:34:58.600 like it
00:34:58.920 better framing
00:35:00.180 it as a
00:35:00.740 prank,
00:35:01.760 because it's
00:35:02.340 more fun.
00:35:04.020 And the
00:35:04.400 prank goes
00:35:04.980 like this.
00:35:05.460 And by the
00:35:05.760 way,
00:35:05.900 this is a
00:35:06.380 long-term,
00:35:07.780 multi-decade
00:35:09.440 prank.
00:35:10.920 This is
00:35:11.360 not a
00:35:11.640 prank that
00:35:12.020 you run
00:35:12.320 for a
00:35:12.640 week and
00:35:13.000 then reveal
00:35:13.500 it.
00:35:14.300 This one
00:35:14.820 you just
00:35:15.220 live with,
00:35:17.060 because it's
00:35:17.540 so funny.
00:35:18.560 And it
00:35:18.820 goes like
00:35:19.240 this,
00:35:20.380 insisting
00:35:20.980 that the
00:35:21.320 president
00:35:21.680 was not
00:35:22.360 impeached,
00:35:23.960 because he
00:35:24.700 was acquitted,
00:35:25.720 that sort
00:35:27.080 of erases
00:35:27.680 the record.
00:35:28.740 Now,
00:35:28.940 of course,
00:35:29.220 the Democrats
00:35:29.660 have said it
00:35:30.260 doesn't matter
00:35:30.720 if the
00:35:31.080 Senate votes
00:35:31.680 one way
00:35:32.060 or the
00:35:32.240 other,
00:35:32.980 the House
00:35:33.580 has impeached
00:35:34.080 him,
00:35:34.380 so he's
00:35:34.800 forever an
00:35:35.540 impeached
00:35:36.000 president.
00:35:37.520 They have
00:35:38.200 their argument,
00:35:38.900 I don't care
00:35:39.340 if it's
00:35:39.640 true or
00:35:39.980 false.
00:35:40.640 That's not
00:35:41.060 the point.
00:35:42.300 It's word
00:35:42.920 thinking.
00:35:43.780 In other
00:35:44.040 words,
00:35:44.380 we're just
00:35:44.680 deciding which
00:35:46.340 our favorite
00:35:46.800 words are to
00:35:47.580 assign to the
00:35:48.180 thing that we
00:35:48.680 all agree
00:35:49.060 happened.
00:35:49.820 Because we
00:35:50.200 all watch the
00:35:50.740 same set of
00:35:51.280 facts.
00:35:51.680 facts, it's
00:35:52.820 not adding
00:35:53.460 anything to
00:35:54.100 it to say
00:35:55.100 he was
00:35:55.440 impeached
00:35:55.860 forever or
00:35:56.480 he wasn't
00:35:56.880 impeached.
00:35:57.320 It doesn't
00:35:57.940 change anything,
00:35:59.060 because we're
00:35:59.540 all looking at
00:36:00.020 the same set
00:36:00.580 of facts.
00:36:01.280 We're just
00:36:01.680 putting different
00:36:02.200 labels on
00:36:02.740 them.
00:36:03.380 So the
00:36:03.680 prank is to
00:36:05.460 insist that
00:36:07.080 it's a
00:36:07.460 demonstrated fact
00:36:08.580 that he was
00:36:09.680 not impeached.
00:36:11.100 And don't
00:36:11.720 ever argue the
00:36:12.760 details.
00:36:14.120 This is the
00:36:14.700 prank part.
00:36:15.800 Never argue
00:36:16.560 the details.
00:36:18.040 Just say,
00:36:19.060 well, they
00:36:19.320 tried.
00:36:20.440 It was a
00:36:20.980 failed impeachment,
00:36:21.940 so therefore he
00:36:22.660 wasn't impeached.
00:36:23.860 They tried and
00:36:24.480 they failed.
00:36:25.440 Don't give any
00:36:26.460 other arguments.
00:36:27.840 Just say,
00:36:28.920 yeah, they
00:36:29.280 made a good
00:36:29.680 try.
00:36:30.040 It just didn't
00:36:30.700 happen.
00:36:31.220 There was no
00:36:31.720 impeachment.
00:36:32.580 It will drive
00:36:33.620 Democrats
00:36:34.300 absolutely crazy,
00:36:36.380 because they
00:36:37.080 will be sure
00:36:37.800 that you should
00:36:38.420 adopt the way
00:36:39.880 they label it.
00:36:41.100 You don't have
00:36:41.600 to.
00:36:42.280 You can simply
00:36:43.140 say he wasn't
00:36:43.800 impeached.
00:36:45.000 And by the way,
00:36:45.560 you have Alan
00:36:46.100 Dershowitz on
00:36:46.680 your side,
00:36:47.700 famous
00:36:48.180 constitutional
00:36:48.940 scholar,
00:36:49.940 and someone
00:36:50.940 who was on
00:36:51.520 the winning
00:36:52.000 team in
00:36:53.380 defending the
00:36:53.900 president.
00:36:55.200 And by the
00:36:55.660 way, which
00:36:57.020 arguments won
00:36:58.680 the day?
00:37:00.300 Of all the
00:37:01.040 people who
00:37:01.500 argued stuff,
00:37:02.880 you know,
00:37:03.080 there were a
00:37:03.300 number of
00:37:03.620 lawyers arguing
00:37:04.280 things, in
00:37:05.320 the entire
00:37:05.720 impeachment,
00:37:06.600 which one was
00:37:07.340 the only one
00:37:07.920 that mattered?
00:37:09.500 Alan Dershowitz.
00:37:10.440 It's the only
00:37:10.900 one that
00:37:11.200 mattered, because
00:37:12.400 he's the one
00:37:13.060 who gave the
00:37:14.160 Republicans complete
00:37:15.400 cover to
00:37:16.740 say, these
00:37:17.500 are not even
00:37:18.020 impeachable.
00:37:19.420 There are no
00:37:19.980 impeachable
00:37:20.540 allegations.
00:37:21.680 It doesn't
00:37:22.060 work that way.
00:37:23.460 And that's how
00:37:24.220 the vote went.
00:37:24.900 I think most
00:37:25.360 people covered
00:37:26.920 their political
00:37:28.320 butts by
00:37:29.620 agreeing with
00:37:30.300 Alan Dershowitz.
00:37:30.940 So, let's
00:37:32.080 agree with him
00:37:32.620 again, because
00:37:33.360 he says no
00:37:34.380 impeachment
00:37:34.760 happened, because
00:37:36.300 if you don't go
00:37:37.100 all the way to
00:37:37.500 completion, his
00:37:38.600 analogy, and
00:37:39.680 you know, you
00:37:41.460 know what I say
00:37:41.960 about analogies?
00:37:43.060 I'll just tell you
00:37:43.880 what he said.
00:37:44.760 It's not logical,
00:37:46.820 but it's kind of
00:37:47.500 persuasive.
00:37:49.360 It is that it's
00:37:50.640 similar to being
00:37:52.080 accused of a
00:37:52.940 crime, and then
00:37:54.660 you go to court,
00:37:55.840 and they find you
00:37:56.500 not guilty.
00:37:57.820 You're not still
00:37:58.800 the guy who
00:38:00.260 maybe did a
00:38:01.100 little bit of
00:38:01.560 crime, but
00:38:02.160 wasn't found
00:38:02.660 guilty.
00:38:03.740 You're just
00:38:04.560 called innocent,
00:38:05.920 or not guilty,
00:38:07.240 but we'd call
00:38:07.760 that innocent
00:38:08.240 in a practical
00:38:09.980 sense.
00:38:12.580 So, I agree
00:38:13.740 with Dershowitz.
00:38:14.920 All right.
00:38:17.240 I want to run
00:38:18.460 by, oh, here's
00:38:19.200 one other
00:38:19.560 interesting story.
00:38:20.720 A Washington
00:38:21.200 State high
00:38:21.860 school principal
00:38:22.620 got placed on
00:38:24.240 administrative leave
00:38:25.280 over a Facebook
00:38:26.280 comment.
00:38:27.060 This was on
00:38:27.620 her personal
00:38:28.080 Facebook, in
00:38:30.540 which she
00:38:32.060 said something
00:38:33.220 about Kobe
00:38:33.780 Bryant.
00:38:35.300 And this is
00:38:35.940 Lisa Sedgecora,
00:38:38.720 principal at
00:38:39.460 Kamis High
00:38:40.160 School, wrote
00:38:40.680 on her personal
00:38:41.780 Facebook page.
00:38:43.820 She's deleted
00:38:44.560 it, but she
00:38:45.300 said, quote,
00:38:46.560 not going to
00:38:47.220 lie, seems to
00:38:48.360 me that Karma
00:38:49.000 caught up with
00:38:49.780 a rapist
00:38:50.340 today, talking
00:38:51.520 about Kobe.
00:38:53.500 Now, she got
00:38:55.100 put on
00:38:55.460 administrative leave
00:38:56.520 for that.
00:38:57.000 Keep in mind
00:38:57.520 that was her
00:38:58.100 personal page.
00:39:00.380 I'm going to
00:39:00.860 go out on a
00:39:01.500 limb here.
00:39:03.760 What percentage
00:39:04.640 of adult
00:39:05.680 women have
00:39:07.400 not been
00:39:08.120 sexually
00:39:09.040 molested or
00:39:10.600 raped?
00:39:12.080 What would you
00:39:12.800 guess?
00:39:13.620 And I think the
00:39:14.380 men and the
00:39:14.740 women might have
00:39:15.280 different guesses.
00:39:16.400 What percentage
00:39:17.200 of adult
00:39:18.140 American women,
00:39:19.140 women, we'll
00:39:20.060 just say
00:39:20.360 American, adult
00:39:21.760 American women,
00:39:22.540 what percentage
00:39:23.400 by the time
00:39:24.760 they're, she
00:39:25.880 looked in the
00:39:26.560 picture like
00:39:27.160 she's in her
00:39:28.280 40s, maybe
00:39:29.060 early 40s, by
00:39:30.700 the time they're
00:39:31.180 in their early
00:39:31.680 40s, what
00:39:32.860 percentage have
00:39:33.600 been sexually
00:39:34.640 molested and
00:39:36.740 or raped?
00:39:37.940 I'm seeing
00:39:40.620 numbers go by
00:39:41.480 from 25% to
00:39:43.180 50%, 60, 40,
00:39:45.900 70%, 99.5, 49.
00:39:49.300 I don't know
00:39:50.640 the answer, but
00:39:51.980 my estimate is
00:39:52.940 100%.
00:39:53.780 100%.
00:39:55.920 And I think I
00:39:58.020 can defend that.
00:39:59.260 Do you know
00:39:59.660 how I can defend
00:40:00.360 that?
00:40:01.500 Ask any woman
00:40:02.660 you know, and
00:40:03.780 I'm going to say
00:40:04.460 it by a certain
00:40:05.000 age, let's say
00:40:05.900 by the age of
00:40:07.040 45.
00:40:09.040 Ask anybody
00:40:09.900 over the age of
00:40:10.620 45 if they've
00:40:12.820 been sexually
00:40:14.040 molested and
00:40:15.240 or raped,
00:40:15.780 woman.
00:40:16.660 It's going to
00:40:17.360 be 100%.
00:40:18.240 I think it
00:40:20.240 is.
00:40:21.220 You know, there
00:40:21.520 are women, I'm
00:40:23.600 not going to
00:40:23.960 name names, but
00:40:24.720 I know women
00:40:25.280 who get
00:40:26.500 sexually, you
00:40:28.800 know, molested
00:40:29.380 or abused in
00:40:30.360 some way on
00:40:31.160 such a regular
00:40:31.860 basis.
00:40:32.280 It's like once
00:40:32.920 a month, once
00:40:33.580 a week.
00:40:34.460 I mean, it's
00:40:34.720 so common that
00:40:36.000 it just becomes
00:40:37.260 part of the
00:40:37.860 tapestry of
00:40:38.560 their life in
00:40:39.140 a horrible
00:40:39.460 way.
00:40:41.440 So, here's
00:40:43.000 my assumption
00:40:43.620 without knowing.
00:40:45.460 So it's just
00:40:46.120 speculation.
00:40:47.420 This principle
00:40:48.220 Liza is
00:40:50.760 probably in
00:40:51.820 the same
00:40:52.180 class as
00:40:52.860 just about
00:40:53.560 every other
00:40:54.220 woman in
00:40:54.780 America in
00:40:55.760 which she's
00:40:56.260 had a bad
00:40:56.880 experience with
00:40:58.920 a rapist or
00:40:59.700 a molester.
00:41:01.100 Do I have a
00:41:02.220 problem with
00:41:02.740 the fact that
00:41:03.320 she said on
00:41:04.000 her personal
00:41:04.740 Facebook page
00:41:05.940 that karma
00:41:08.840 caught up to
00:41:09.760 Kobe?
00:41:11.000 I do not
00:41:12.120 object to
00:41:12.860 that.
00:41:13.880 I do not
00:41:14.880 object to
00:41:15.440 that even
00:41:16.820 a little.
00:41:18.260 So I'm
00:41:18.820 going to
00:41:18.960 say I'm
00:41:19.840 totally in
00:41:20.380 support of
00:41:21.300 this
00:41:21.580 principle.
00:41:23.200 She's on
00:41:23.840 administrative
00:41:24.300 leave.
00:41:25.260 It could be
00:41:25.960 that they
00:41:26.300 just do
00:41:26.680 that so
00:41:27.080 they look
00:41:27.480 into it a
00:41:27.980 little more.
00:41:28.580 Maybe she's
00:41:29.000 still getting
00:41:29.380 paid.
00:41:30.180 But I think
00:41:30.620 this is
00:41:31.000 unfair.
00:41:32.100 Because her
00:41:32.720 opinion was
00:41:33.300 first of all
00:41:33.800 a personal
00:41:34.220 opinion.
00:41:34.700 Very personal
00:41:35.320 I would
00:41:35.680 guess.
00:41:36.800 I'm guessing
00:41:37.400 again, just
00:41:39.040 speculating because
00:41:40.640 every woman in
00:41:42.280 the United States
00:41:42.840 gets sexually
00:41:43.500 molested.
00:41:43.880 I'm guessing
00:41:45.120 that this is
00:41:45.920 personal to
00:41:46.520 her.
00:41:48.320 I completely
00:41:49.260 support that
00:41:49.960 opinion.
00:41:51.300 You don't have
00:41:51.980 to agree with
00:41:52.580 the opinion.
00:41:53.240 That's a
00:41:53.560 different question.
00:41:54.820 But I
00:41:55.200 absolutely
00:41:56.020 support her
00:41:57.860 ability to
00:41:59.040 say this in
00:41:59.520 public without
00:42:00.260 repercussions.
00:42:02.360 So I hope
00:42:04.460 that turns out
00:42:05.000 well for her.
00:42:06.460 Anyway, I
00:42:10.140 want to give
00:42:10.540 you an
00:42:11.900 investment
00:42:13.040 philosophy.
00:42:14.860 Now, I
00:42:15.540 have to say
00:42:15.980 this before,
00:42:17.080 during, and
00:42:18.020 then after.
00:42:18.860 This is not
00:42:19.600 investment
00:42:20.160 advice.
00:42:21.460 I am not
00:42:22.340 giving you
00:42:23.000 investment
00:42:23.560 advice.
00:42:24.480 And I'll go
00:42:24.980 further.
00:42:25.640 If you were
00:42:26.260 to take
00:42:26.680 investment
00:42:27.160 advice from
00:42:28.120 a cartoonist,
00:42:29.340 you would
00:42:29.940 not be smart.
00:42:31.620 That would
00:42:31.940 not be a
00:42:32.360 good idea.
00:42:33.740 I do not
00:42:34.840 invest above
00:42:36.400 average, meaning
00:42:37.520 I make no
00:42:38.740 claim that I'm
00:42:39.480 better at it
00:42:40.080 than flipping a
00:42:41.660 coin, because
00:42:42.180 I'm not.
00:42:42.620 I have no
00:42:42.960 evidence that
00:42:43.500 I am.
00:42:44.520 And so I'll
00:42:45.740 just tell you
00:42:46.320 an investment
00:42:47.060 philosophy just
00:42:49.500 to think about.
00:42:51.180 You know, just
00:42:51.680 put it with all
00:42:52.740 of your other
00:42:53.240 investment
00:42:53.700 philosophies.
00:42:54.360 And it goes
00:42:54.640 like this.
00:42:56.100 And I've
00:42:57.140 used this
00:42:58.200 technique to
00:42:59.120 good effect.
00:43:00.600 I invest in
00:43:01.760 companies that I
00:43:02.700 can't avoid
00:43:04.380 buying their
00:43:05.100 products.
00:43:06.900 So when,
00:43:08.480 remember when
00:43:09.940 gas prices were
00:43:11.000 spiking years
00:43:12.260 ago, and I
00:43:14.840 would buy
00:43:15.400 gas, and I
00:43:16.100 would say to
00:43:16.420 myself, if I
00:43:17.200 had a choice
00:43:17.960 of buying gas
00:43:20.120 or not buying
00:43:20.760 gas, I would
00:43:21.520 not buy gas
00:43:22.720 or I'd buy
00:43:23.800 something else.
00:43:24.680 But I didn't
00:43:25.140 really feel like I
00:43:25.920 had a choice.
00:43:27.280 And so I
00:43:27.680 bought some
00:43:28.180 stock in an
00:43:29.840 index fund of
00:43:31.040 gas companies,
00:43:32.680 basically, oil
00:43:33.320 companies, and
00:43:34.380 it did well.
00:43:35.900 So I bought
00:43:37.320 stock in a
00:43:38.040 company, or a
00:43:39.280 group of
00:43:39.660 companies, because
00:43:40.280 that was
00:43:40.560 safer.
00:43:41.040 It's always
00:43:41.380 safer to buy
00:43:41.920 a basket of
00:43:42.920 companies than
00:43:43.540 one, because I
00:43:44.820 didn't have a
00:43:45.300 choice of
00:43:45.820 buying their
00:43:46.220 product.
00:43:46.860 That's all I
00:43:48.300 looked at.
00:43:49.140 If you don't
00:43:49.520 have a choice,
00:43:51.680 here's another
00:43:52.460 one.
00:43:53.440 Several years
00:43:54.120 ago, I bought
00:43:55.240 a bunch of
00:43:55.680 stock in
00:43:56.300 Apple.
00:43:57.840 Well, that
00:43:58.260 turned out
00:43:58.620 pretty well, as
00:44:00.000 you might
00:44:00.300 imagine.
00:44:01.160 It's up
00:44:01.700 160% or
00:44:03.840 something since
00:44:04.400 I bought it.
00:44:05.460 Now, the
00:44:05.860 reason I bought
00:44:06.500 it was not
00:44:07.080 because of
00:44:07.580 their P
00:44:08.900 ratio, not
00:44:10.100 because of
00:44:10.560 their earnings,
00:44:11.540 not because of
00:44:12.160 who recommended
00:44:12.900 it.
00:44:13.440 I bought it
00:44:13.860 for one
00:44:14.160 reason.
00:44:15.560 I own
00:44:16.140 Apple
00:44:16.500 equipment, and
00:44:18.200 when I go to
00:44:18.780 buy a new
00:44:19.300 phone, I
00:44:20.540 don't really
00:44:21.100 have a choice.
00:44:22.540 I mean, I
00:44:23.060 do.
00:44:23.860 I could switch
00:44:25.040 to Android, but
00:44:26.640 it's so much
00:44:27.120 trouble, and it's
00:44:28.500 not going to be a
00:44:29.100 better product.
00:44:30.280 I don't really
00:44:31.360 have a choice.
00:44:32.540 And now I've
00:44:32.960 got this whole
00:44:33.620 constellation of
00:44:35.800 Apple products
00:44:36.560 that sort of
00:44:37.040 work together,
00:44:37.980 they're on
00:44:38.280 iCloud, and
00:44:39.420 now I'm just
00:44:40.020 locked in.
00:44:41.540 So I bought
00:44:42.100 Apple stock
00:44:43.100 because I
00:44:43.700 didn't have a
00:44:44.220 choice about
00:44:45.560 buying their
00:44:46.040 products.
00:44:47.180 Just yesterday,
00:44:48.480 I bought another
00:44:49.280 pair of
00:44:49.740 Air Buds.
00:44:52.160 If you haven't
00:44:52.800 tried the
00:44:53.140 Air Buds, by
00:44:53.660 the way, they're
00:44:54.000 not for
00:44:54.300 everybody.
00:44:54.800 Some people
00:44:55.140 don't like the
00:44:55.720 way they feel
00:44:56.220 in their ear,
00:44:56.880 or they fall
00:44:57.300 out, or
00:44:57.600 whatever.
00:44:58.220 But if you
00:44:59.860 do like them,
00:45:01.020 they're one of
00:45:01.620 the most amazing
00:45:02.420 products I've
00:45:03.140 ever seen in
00:45:03.640 my life.
00:45:04.680 Not just for
00:45:05.520 headphones, but
00:45:07.100 in all products
00:45:08.300 ever made in
00:45:09.400 the history of
00:45:09.940 the world, the
00:45:11.400 Apple Air Buds
00:45:12.380 are superstars.
00:45:14.440 I mean, it
00:45:14.740 doesn't get much
00:45:15.300 attention, but my
00:45:16.340 God, are those
00:45:17.360 well-designed.
00:45:18.760 I mean, just
00:45:19.200 crazy good
00:45:20.440 engineering into
00:45:21.460 those things,
00:45:22.180 you know, from
00:45:22.520 the user interface,
00:45:23.440 everything, the
00:45:23.940 look, the
00:45:24.840 feel.
00:45:25.880 So I bought
00:45:26.700 Apple stock.
00:45:27.600 Recently, I
00:45:28.280 bought some
00:45:28.740 Amazon stock,
00:45:30.220 not because I
00:45:31.520 thought it was a
00:45:32.100 good price,
00:45:33.260 because it looks
00:45:33.780 like it's not.
00:45:34.480 The P ratio
00:45:35.460 is way too
00:45:36.020 high, etc.
00:45:37.720 But here's the
00:45:38.440 thing.
00:45:39.680 Try not buying
00:45:40.800 stuff from
00:45:41.280 Amazon.
00:45:42.860 Good luck
00:45:43.520 with that.
00:45:45.000 I mean, it's
00:45:45.860 possible.
00:45:46.600 You could drive
00:45:47.100 to the store.
00:45:47.700 You don't have
00:45:48.220 to buy from
00:45:48.660 Amazon.
00:45:49.680 But in a
00:45:50.480 practical sense,
00:45:52.240 I kind of
00:45:52.960 do.
00:45:54.280 I mean, it's
00:45:54.840 just so much
00:45:55.960 easier, and the
00:45:57.320 selection is
00:45:58.880 better, and the
00:45:59.720 physical store
00:46:00.700 never has what I
00:46:01.520 want.
00:46:01.840 I don't have
00:46:03.000 really much of
00:46:03.640 a choice.
00:46:04.820 So I bought
00:46:05.400 their stock, and
00:46:06.860 it went up.
00:46:09.580 Recently, I
00:46:10.480 bought some
00:46:10.900 stock in
00:46:11.400 Twitter a few
00:46:13.760 months ago.
00:46:15.160 Now, it's not
00:46:15.860 because I think
00:46:16.640 Twitter's earnings
00:46:17.840 are spectacular,
00:46:19.600 their P is
00:46:20.440 great, nothing
00:46:21.700 like that.
00:46:22.820 It's just that if
00:46:23.900 I want to be a
00:46:24.840 citizen who cares
00:46:25.800 about politics, I
00:46:27.780 have to be on
00:46:28.320 Twitter.
00:46:28.560 I don't have
00:46:29.660 a choice.
00:46:31.160 Being on
00:46:31.600 Facebook wouldn't
00:46:32.280 get me there,
00:46:33.380 right?
00:46:34.160 So Twitter is
00:46:35.060 another one of
00:46:35.500 those companies
00:46:35.960 that, for some
00:46:37.580 percentage of the
00:46:38.340 public, if they
00:46:39.140 want to be
00:46:39.660 engaged in, you
00:46:42.060 know, thoughts and
00:46:42.800 ideas and politics
00:46:43.920 and stuff like
00:46:45.080 that, they kind of
00:46:45.820 have to be on
00:46:46.340 Twitter.
00:46:47.540 So I'm not saying
00:46:48.840 you should buy any
00:46:49.460 of those companies.
00:46:50.300 Let me say that
00:46:50.920 again, as clearly
00:46:52.280 as possible.
00:46:53.060 Do not take
00:46:53.880 financial advice from
00:46:55.380 cartoonists.
00:46:56.400 It's a bad, bad
00:46:57.260 idea.
00:46:57.600 Yeah, Twitter's
00:46:58.860 up 15% today on
00:47:00.420 lots of new
00:47:02.980 users.
00:47:03.780 So exactly what I
00:47:04.820 was saying is
00:47:06.020 that you kind of
00:47:06.980 don't have a
00:47:07.580 choice, especially
00:47:08.520 going into an
00:47:09.320 election year.
00:47:11.100 If you want to
00:47:11.960 know what's going
00:47:12.540 on, you kind of
00:47:13.700 need to get into
00:47:14.400 Twitter.
00:47:15.680 So I'm not
00:47:17.820 telling you you
00:47:18.380 should buy any
00:47:18.960 of those.
00:47:20.540 I'm really not
00:47:21.440 telling you to buy
00:47:22.060 any of those.
00:47:23.180 But follow that.
00:47:24.640 And by the way,
00:47:25.160 this advice I got
00:47:26.180 from a billionaire.
00:47:29.060 So the advice I'm
00:47:30.020 giving you is the
00:47:31.640 same advice I got
00:47:32.720 from a billionaire.
00:47:34.060 Now, I'm not going
00:47:34.800 to name the
00:47:35.260 billionaire.
00:47:36.300 It's one of the
00:47:37.460 famous ones.
00:47:38.840 But in a private
00:47:39.880 conversation, he told
00:47:41.020 me that he only
00:47:41.800 invests in
00:47:43.300 monopolies.
00:47:45.400 Now, he laughed
00:47:46.460 when he said
00:47:46.880 monopoly, because he
00:47:48.080 said we don't call
00:47:48.760 it that.
00:47:49.240 We call it the
00:47:49.800 network effect.
00:47:51.320 Meaning that if you
00:47:52.620 join Facebook, good
00:47:54.600 luck going to
00:47:55.420 Facebook's
00:47:56.040 competitor, because
00:47:57.560 they don't really
00:47:57.960 have one.
00:47:59.500 So he would
00:48:00.280 invest, and this
00:48:01.200 is an example, I
00:48:02.220 think he's probably
00:48:03.400 invested in Facebook,
00:48:04.400 I don't know that
00:48:04.880 for sure.
00:48:05.660 But anything that
00:48:06.380 you just can't
00:48:06.880 avoid, he invested
00:48:07.760 in it, and that's
00:48:09.200 why he's a
00:48:09.560 billionaire, among
00:48:10.880 other reasons.
00:48:12.180 All right, so
00:48:12.820 I'll put that out
00:48:13.660 there, and that's
00:48:16.880 all I have for
00:48:17.580 today.
00:48:17.880 No, it wasn't
00:48:20.260 Warren Buffett.
00:48:21.020 You'll never guess.
00:48:23.300 Turns out there
00:48:23.800 are so many
00:48:24.220 billionaires.
00:48:25.960 So many
00:48:26.620 billionaires, it's
00:48:27.320 not Peter Thiel,
00:48:28.200 no.
00:48:29.140 All right, so
00:48:30.140 you would never
00:48:32.360 guess, so don't
00:48:33.040 even try.
00:48:33.980 All right, I will
00:48:34.680 talk to you later.