Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 811 Scott Adams： Iowa Proving the Best Movie Plot Wins, Impeaching Pelosi, Dems Going Crazy

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody. It's time for coffee with Scott Adams. That's me. And you don't need much to enjoy

00:00:15.680 coffee with Scott Adams. No you don't. You're probably already prepared, many of you. You're

00:00:20.040 sitting there hand on cup, ready to go. But if you're not, all you need is a cup or mug or a

00:00:25.320 glass, a tanker, chalice, or stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:30.060 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:34.120 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day, the thing

00:00:37.340 that makes everything better. The simultaneous sip.

00:00:41.560 Here it comes. Go.

00:00:47.100 Mmm. I would say that

00:00:49.400 is beverage delicious. Beverage

00:00:53.180 delicious. So,

00:00:57.480 what a fun day. I don't know

00:01:00.640 if there are horrible things happening in the world somewhere,

00:01:05.120 but the news is not reporting on those horrible things today.

00:01:09.120 Mostly it's reporting on fun and interesting and weird things

00:01:12.720 about politics and others. So, I'm happy about

00:01:17.160 that. President Trump retweeted,

00:01:20.420 I don't think I'm wrong. I think he retweeted

00:01:23.020 two memes

00:01:24.060 yesterday by

00:01:26.460 Carpe Dunctum.

00:01:28.580 One about the impeachment

00:01:30.220 process itself, and then an

00:01:32.380 older one that was a big hit

00:01:33.840 that showed him an office

00:01:35.560 into infinity.

00:01:37.800 So, the fact that Trump tweeted

00:01:40.460 out something while he's

00:01:42.500 being accused of trying to be a king

00:01:44.520 or a dictator who will be

00:01:46.320 in office for life, he tweets

00:01:48.260 out the meme

00:01:48.960 of him being

00:01:50.860 president for life.

00:01:53.260 Now,

00:01:53.960 nobody, nobody will ever

00:01:56.160 troll this well.

00:01:58.040 He is the best

00:01:59.140 troller of all time.

00:02:01.380 I say this a lot,

00:02:03.000 but the problem that

00:02:04.260 his critics have

00:02:05.860 in understanding him

00:02:07.020 is that he adjusts his

00:02:09.000 technique

00:02:10.140 for each platform.

00:02:12.260 So, when he's giving a rally speech,

00:02:14.340 he goes into Trump

00:02:16.340 stand-up comedy mode,

00:02:19.260 and he crushes it.

00:02:20.920 He's really just great

00:02:22.300 at just being entertaining

00:02:23.440 in front of a crowd.

00:02:24.980 When he goes into a meeting

00:02:26.560 with a foreign leader,

00:02:28.620 he acts like a,

00:02:29.780 you know, more like a regular

00:02:31.240 president and subdued

00:02:32.860 and polite and all that,

00:02:34.200 professional.

00:02:35.740 But when he's on Twitter,

00:02:37.580 here's the part they don't get.

00:02:40.080 Being on Twitter

00:02:41.000 is not where you take

00:02:42.520 your normal personality.

00:02:44.340 I mean, you can.

00:02:46.220 There's nothing to prevent you

00:02:47.740 from taking your normal

00:02:49.260 personality to Twitter.

00:02:50.780 But if you do,

00:02:52.160 nobody's going to retweet you.

00:02:54.500 Because

00:02:55.020 Twitter is a place

00:02:57.120 where there's a certain,

00:02:59.120 I don't know,

00:02:59.740 culture, expectation,

00:03:01.660 style, fashion,

00:03:03.600 whatever you want to call it,

00:03:05.120 in which things are a little,

00:03:06.340 a little amped up.

00:03:08.220 You know, hyperbole

00:03:09.120 is a little more

00:03:10.080 understood and accepted.

00:03:12.020 Everything's a little bit more.

00:03:14.340 And in that world,

00:03:15.680 Trump absolutely rules.

00:03:17.800 He just becomes

00:03:18.720 a Twitter personality

00:03:21.660 in the best possible way.

00:03:24.000 And he tweets the most

00:03:24.900 provocative stuff

00:03:25.940 that doesn't hurt anybody.

00:03:28.360 Nobody gets hurt.

00:03:29.880 It just makes people's

00:03:31.120 hair catch on fire

00:03:32.880 and their heads explode.

00:03:33.780 So,

00:03:35.660 best Twitter

00:03:37.420 tweeter ever,

00:03:38.660 the president.

00:03:40.040 All right.

00:03:42.000 Nate Silver,

00:03:43.260 who of course,

00:03:43.960 as you know,

00:03:44.460 is famous for being an expert

00:03:45.800 on statistics

00:03:47.200 and elections

00:03:47.880 and stuff like that.

00:03:49.020 he had a tweet

00:03:51.380 in which he said

00:03:52.280 that the Iowa situation

00:03:53.680 with the votes

00:03:54.900 still coming in

00:03:55.680 feels a little like

00:03:57.020 a simulation

00:03:57.720 where somebody's,

00:03:59.120 you know,

00:03:59.260 like we're living

00:03:59.940 in a simulation

00:04:00.660 and the creator

00:04:01.880 of the simulation

00:04:02.520 is just testing

00:04:03.820 some different outcomes.

00:04:05.420 So,

00:04:05.620 what if we do this?

00:04:06.940 What if we tweak it

00:04:08.000 a little bit like this?

00:04:09.680 Now,

00:04:10.260 I thought it was,

00:04:11.180 of course,

00:04:11.900 people sent it to me

00:04:13.000 because he talked

00:04:13.820 about the simulation.

00:04:14.700 but I propose this to you.

00:04:20.060 People who are experts

00:04:21.620 on the odds,

00:04:23.640 just understanding

00:04:24.580 what is likely

00:04:25.420 versus what is less likely,

00:04:27.860 I have a feeling

00:04:29.020 that almost all of them

00:04:30.160 believe that we're

00:04:31.040 a simulation

00:04:31.660 because the entire argument

00:04:34.020 is based on the odds

00:04:35.300 and the odds

00:04:36.980 are overwhelmingly

00:04:38.100 in favor of the fact

00:04:39.140 that we're not

00:04:39.960 an original,

00:04:40.860 you know,

00:04:42.620 organic species

00:04:43.540 that we're a simulation.

00:04:44.700 So,

00:04:45.880 it would be no surprise

00:04:46.780 that somebody

00:04:47.240 who's literally famous

00:04:48.660 for being an expert

00:04:50.640 on statistics

00:04:51.640 would at least

00:04:53.060 have some affection

00:04:54.060 for that idea.

00:04:55.620 He doesn't say

00:04:56.340 he's a believer,

00:04:57.500 so I don't want

00:04:58.040 to put any words

00:04:58.640 in his mouth,

00:04:59.620 but it wouldn't be

00:05:00.460 a surprise.

00:05:01.840 It would be

00:05:02.180 the most normal thing

00:05:03.020 in the world.

00:05:04.280 All right,

00:05:04.900 remember my prediction filter

00:05:07.380 that said

00:05:08.900 the best movie script

00:05:10.600 is why you can depend

00:05:12.720 on happening

00:05:13.380 in politics?

00:05:14.700 In other words,

00:05:15.420 if there are two

00:05:16.080 potential paths,

00:05:17.380 you know,

00:05:17.640 could come out this way

00:05:18.600 or things could come out

00:05:19.580 this way,

00:05:20.440 and you don't know.

00:05:21.380 There's just no way

00:05:22.080 to know which one

00:05:22.780 is more likely.

00:05:25.540 Always bet on the best movie.

00:05:27.540 Now,

00:05:27.800 it doesn't work every time.

00:05:30.060 You know,

00:05:30.320 it's a little subjective,

00:05:31.340 but in this case,

00:05:33.000 the best movie for Iowa

00:05:35.500 would be a photo finish.

00:05:38.260 And here we are.

00:05:39.500 Turns out that

00:05:40.300 as results continue

00:05:41.600 coming in,

00:05:43.080 Bernie has closed

00:05:43.940 the gap with Buttigieg.

00:05:45.880 He's pulled further ahead

00:05:48.000 in terms of popular vote,

00:05:50.140 Bernie has,

00:05:51.160 giving him really,

00:05:52.500 I would say,

00:05:53.080 fairly credible grounds

00:05:56.080 to say he won,

00:05:57.300 he won.

00:05:58.240 At the same time,

00:05:59.980 Buttigieg has

00:06:00.840 slightly more delegates,

00:06:03.180 so he can say he won.

00:06:05.180 But here's the fun part.

00:06:06.520 There's still one area

00:06:07.840 that hasn't reported,

00:06:09.380 and if they report

00:06:11.280 in the same,

00:06:12.980 you know,

00:06:13.400 sort of percentage

00:06:14.600 distribution

00:06:15.500 as everybody else,

00:06:17.880 Sanders comes from behind

00:06:19.260 and wins.

00:06:21.040 Now,

00:06:21.440 it hasn't happened yet,

00:06:23.060 but smart people

00:06:23.880 are saying,

00:06:24.580 ah,

00:06:25.340 by the time you count

00:06:26.840 that other district,

00:06:28.060 if that district,

00:06:29.580 unless it's some kind

00:06:30.500 of a weird outlier,

00:06:32.620 it's going to put

00:06:33.400 Sanders in the lead.

00:06:36.060 Now,

00:06:37.220 am I wrong

00:06:38.260 that that was

00:06:38.840 the best movie script?

00:06:41.040 You see this,

00:06:41.820 right?

00:06:42.180 Once you see it,

00:06:43.860 it's just,

00:06:45.040 it's maddening

00:06:46.460 how often it happens,

00:06:47.920 and I can't think

00:06:48.600 of any reason why.

00:06:50.440 I can't think

00:06:51.000 of any logical

00:06:51.840 cause and effect reason.

00:06:53.760 Maybe it's a,

00:06:54.600 could it be

00:06:55.120 just an illusion?

00:06:56.240 Is it cognitive dissonance?

00:06:57.640 Is it confirmation bias?

00:06:59.460 Am I,

00:06:59.820 am I hallucinating

00:07:01.020 that whatever

00:07:02.320 we're trying to predict

00:07:03.280 one of these

00:07:03.740 political things,

00:07:04.580 and I think it works best

00:07:05.420 in the political realm,

00:07:06.560 by the way,

00:07:07.020 not in every realm,

00:07:08.100 not in science,

00:07:09.300 for example.

00:07:10.240 But in the political realm,

00:07:12.140 here we are.

00:07:13.520 It was exactly

00:07:14.420 the best movie script.

00:07:17.100 So,

00:07:17.880 doesn't work every time,

00:07:19.260 but keep an eye on that.

00:07:20.480 All right.

00:07:20.720 I guess Sanders

00:07:22.620 hauled in $25 million,

00:07:24.420 which is a lot.

00:07:26.280 So,

00:07:26.860 Sanders is on a,

00:07:27.880 on a rage.

00:07:29.920 And,

00:07:30.920 once again,

00:07:33.920 I point out,

00:07:35.340 how many times

00:07:36.320 do we have to see

00:07:37.560 a mistake

00:07:39.400 that works

00:07:40.680 against Bernie Sanders?

00:07:42.540 How many times

00:07:43.460 do we have to see

00:07:44.040 a rules change

00:07:46.140 that coincidentally

00:07:47.800 works against

00:07:48.580 Bernie Sanders?

00:07:49.220 just keep an eye

00:07:50.720 on that.

00:07:51.200 See if there's

00:07:51.620 any kind of a pattern.

00:07:54.800 All right.

00:07:56.640 So,

00:07:57.320 Molly Hemingway

00:07:57.940 had the,

00:07:58.500 the best quote

00:08:00.240 about Mitt Romney

00:08:01.620 being the,

00:08:02.960 being the

00:08:04.740 trainer who,

00:08:05.840 who,

00:08:07.020 who turned it

00:08:08.020 bipartisan.

00:08:09.320 So,

00:08:09.760 apparently,

00:08:10.940 apparently the vote

00:08:11.900 was bipartisan

00:08:12.680 because,

00:08:13.460 because one person,

00:08:15.320 one Republican

00:08:16.380 voted to convict

00:08:17.900 on one account.

00:08:19.360 So,

00:08:19.980 I guess that's

00:08:20.520 bipartisan.

00:08:21.940 And,

00:08:22.400 so I tweeted

00:08:23.360 that Benedict Arnold

00:08:25.240 doesn't get enough

00:08:26.520 credit for making

00:08:27.340 the Revolutionary War

00:08:28.580 bipartisan

00:08:29.120 because

00:08:30.720 you probably thought

00:08:32.260 it was a partisan war.

00:08:33.940 The United States

00:08:34.960 against,

00:08:36.100 you know,

00:08:36.380 Great Britain,

00:08:37.800 you know,

00:08:38.220 the,

00:08:38.800 well,

00:08:39.140 it wasn't the United States,

00:08:40.060 but the colonists

00:08:41.060 against Great Britain.

00:08:42.240 That's probably

00:08:42.820 what you thought.

00:08:43.500 but,

00:08:45.000 no,

00:08:46.520 it turns out

00:08:47.360 it was more

00:08:47.760 of a bipartisan war

00:08:49.220 because Benedict Arnold

00:08:51.140 changed sides

00:08:52.600 and apparently

00:08:54.020 you only need one.

00:08:55.580 If one person

00:08:56.660 changes sides,

00:08:58.700 you're bipartisan.

00:08:59.960 So,

00:09:00.320 it gives me

00:09:00.600 a whole new,

00:09:01.500 whole new opinion

00:09:02.820 about the Revolutionary War.

00:09:04.440 I,

00:09:04.500 I thought it was

00:09:05.100 one side against the other,

00:09:06.300 but it was strangely

00:09:07.320 bipartisan

00:09:07.900 thanks to that

00:09:09.020 one guy.

00:09:09.640 Jonathan Turley,

00:09:13.200 famous

00:09:13.880 constitutional

00:09:14.760 scholar,

00:09:16.140 lawyer type,

00:09:17.860 as well as

00:09:18.720 Matt Gaetz

00:09:19.320 independently,

00:09:21.300 are going after

00:09:22.880 Pelosi for ripping

00:09:23.880 up those papers.

00:09:25.260 I think Turley

00:09:25.840 wants her to resign

00:09:27.200 or be censored

00:09:28.300 or something.

00:09:29.500 Matt Gaetz

00:09:30.020 thinks maybe

00:09:31.220 she,

00:09:31.780 she should be,

00:09:33.460 I don't know,

00:09:35.440 she should be

00:09:36.120 somehow penalized,

00:09:37.560 I don't know the details,

00:09:38.660 censured or something

00:09:39.580 else,

00:09:40.460 based on

00:09:41.040 destroying

00:09:41.600 government documents.

00:09:45.560 Now,

00:09:46.360 I'm a big

00:09:47.160 Matt Gaetz fan

00:09:48.040 and I think

00:09:48.880 he will most likely

00:09:50.220 be a future

00:09:50.880 president,

00:09:51.620 maybe 2024,

00:09:52.880 because he's

00:09:53.680 coming on fast.

00:09:55.200 But,

00:09:55.900 I'm not so sure

00:09:57.340 that

00:09:57.760 Pelosi

00:09:58.820 destroyed

00:09:59.660 government documents

00:10:00.960 in a room

00:10:02.460 full of the

00:10:03.100 same document.

00:10:04.860 So,

00:10:05.900 I'm not going to say

00:10:06.580 this is his

00:10:07.100 strongest argument,

00:10:08.580 but,

00:10:08.940 from a political

00:10:09.900 perspective,

00:10:10.460 it's very

00:10:11.160 entertaining.

00:10:12.500 And,

00:10:12.920 one of the

00:10:13.580 things that

00:10:13.940 Matt Gaetz

00:10:14.420 understands,

00:10:16.160 better than

00:10:16.740 most people

00:10:17.340 in politics,

00:10:17.860 which is one

00:10:18.540 of his

00:10:18.800 superpowers,

00:10:19.960 is how to

00:10:20.500 get attention,

00:10:21.460 how to,

00:10:22.280 you know,

00:10:22.760 how to capture

00:10:23.520 your imagination,

00:10:24.560 how to make you

00:10:25.120 look in his

00:10:25.640 direction,

00:10:26.160 and he's doing

00:10:26.620 it again.

00:10:27.020 So,

00:10:28.480 from a

00:10:29.120 persuasion

00:10:30.780 perspective,

00:10:31.500 not bad.

00:10:32.760 Not bad.

00:10:33.340 Pretty good play.

00:10:36.420 Alright.

00:10:37.380 So far that,

00:10:38.700 correct me if I'm

00:10:39.420 wrong,

00:10:39.760 but I talk about

00:10:40.600 this a lot,

00:10:41.800 people don't

00:10:43.040 remember everything

00:10:44.280 that happens.

00:10:45.320 It would be

00:10:45.820 impossible.

00:10:47.040 So,

00:10:47.540 we shortcut

00:10:48.860 the trick to

00:10:50.320 what we need

00:10:50.900 to remember.

00:10:52.040 So,

00:10:52.260 we sort of

00:10:52.900 don't pay

00:10:53.400 attention to

00:10:54.020 things that

00:10:54.460 work the way

00:10:55.000 they're supposed

00:10:55.580 to work.

00:10:56.640 When things

00:10:57.320 are working

00:10:57.760 okay,

00:10:58.520 we say,

00:10:59.320 okay,

00:10:59.500 that's the part

00:10:59.980 I don't have

00:11:00.380 to pay attention

00:11:00.900 to.

00:11:01.160 That's all

00:11:01.480 working okay.

00:11:02.680 Your brain

00:11:03.200 is designed

00:11:03.780 to ignore

00:11:04.280 things that

00:11:04.800 are normal.

00:11:06.560 And,

00:11:06.840 exceptions

00:11:07.240 are the

00:11:07.960 things you

00:11:08.300 remember.

00:11:09.460 So,

00:11:09.760 what are you

00:11:10.060 going to

00:11:10.300 remember

00:11:10.720 about the

00:11:11.980 Democratic Party

00:11:12.920 and their

00:11:13.560 accomplishments

00:11:14.180 for the

00:11:15.340 past several

00:11:16.260 months?

00:11:17.660 Well,

00:11:18.160 correct me if

00:11:19.420 I'm wrong,

00:11:19.900 but I only

00:11:20.340 remember two

00:11:20.940 things.

00:11:22.140 I remember

00:11:22.780 that they

00:11:23.280 failed at

00:11:25.320 running a

00:11:25.780 caucus.

00:11:27.120 Well,

00:11:27.620 three things.

00:11:28.680 They failed

00:11:29.360 at the

00:11:30.540 Russia collusion

00:11:31.280 thing.

00:11:32.200 They failed

00:11:33.140 to run a

00:11:33.980 good caucus.

00:11:35.440 And,

00:11:35.980 they failed

00:11:36.460 at impeachment.

00:11:39.000 Can you

00:11:39.400 remember anything

00:11:40.060 else the

00:11:40.500 Democrats did 0.64

00:11:41.280 in the last,

00:11:42.620 I don't know,

00:11:43.960 year?

00:11:45.480 Now,

00:11:46.020 I believe the

00:11:46.760 truth is,

00:11:48.220 correct me if

00:11:49.200 I'm wrong,

00:11:49.620 but the truth

00:11:50.180 is I think a

00:11:50.800 whole bunch

00:11:51.260 of lesser

00:11:52.800 bills have

00:11:53.580 been approved

00:11:54.220 in a

00:11:54.820 bipartisan

00:11:55.220 way.

00:11:56.200 The

00:11:56.320 USMCA was

00:11:57.380 approved in

00:11:58.020 a bipartisan

00:11:58.500 way and a

00:11:59.000 bunch of

00:11:59.260 other stuff

00:11:59.660 too.

00:12:00.280 But we

00:12:00.780 think of

00:12:01.120 the USMCA

00:12:01.920 as more

00:12:03.420 of Trump's

00:12:04.060 accomplishment,

00:12:05.040 don't we?

00:12:06.380 So even

00:12:06.860 though the

00:12:07.240 Democrats were

00:12:07.960 productive on

00:12:09.160 that one

00:12:10.180 matter, it

00:12:11.280 doesn't feel

00:12:11.800 like it.

00:12:12.760 The way we

00:12:13.280 remember it is

00:12:14.240 that it's

00:12:14.640 Trump's

00:12:15.380 accomplishment.

00:12:16.000 So correct

00:12:18.620 me if I'm

00:12:19.140 wrong.

00:12:19.700 The only

00:12:20.200 things we

00:12:20.660 know about

00:12:21.140 the Democrats,

00:12:22.280 the parts

00:12:22.640 that are

00:12:22.920 memorable,

00:12:24.320 are three

00:12:25.120 failures,

00:12:26.020 and they're

00:12:26.520 gigantic

00:12:27.780 ones.

00:12:29.060 I mean,

00:12:29.400 the Russia

00:12:29.760 collusion

00:12:30.180 thing was

00:12:30.620 one of the

00:12:30.920 biggest

00:12:31.140 failures of

00:12:32.020 all political

00:12:32.800 history.

00:12:33.740 The impeachment

00:12:34.360 was another

00:12:35.060 gigantic

00:12:35.580 failure.

00:12:36.580 Not only

00:12:36.920 that, but

00:12:37.280 it was a

00:12:37.640 failure that

00:12:38.220 you knew

00:12:38.500 would be a

00:12:38.900 failure before

00:12:39.520 you started.

00:12:40.100 that's as

00:12:41.200 hard as

00:12:41.500 you can

00:12:41.740 fail.

00:12:42.960 And then

00:12:43.180 of course,

00:12:44.060 running a

00:12:45.040 caucus, that

00:12:45.620 didn't go

00:12:46.280 well either.

00:12:47.460 All right,

00:12:47.940 so things

00:12:48.520 are bad

00:12:48.820 for Democrats.

00:12:52.900 Here's

00:12:53.420 what

00:12:54.760 Stephan

00:12:56.700 Collinson,

00:12:57.900 it might

00:12:58.360 be Stephen

00:12:59.100 Stephan,

00:12:59.760 I can never

00:13:00.260 remember how

00:13:01.800 to pronounce

00:13:02.280 any of the

00:13:02.980 Stephan

00:13:04.040 Stevens.

00:13:05.840 So,

00:13:06.560 Mr.

00:13:06.780 Collinson

00:13:07.220 writes for

00:13:07.820 CNN,

00:13:08.980 and this

00:13:09.320 is an

00:13:09.640 actual

00:13:10.000 sentence

00:13:10.720 that he

00:13:12.020 wrote.

00:13:13.320 But the

00:13:13.920 underlying

00:13:14.400 cause of

00:13:15.100 impeachment,

00:13:16.580 okay, wait

00:13:17.100 a minute,

00:13:17.560 we're going

00:13:18.020 to learn

00:13:18.340 the underlying

00:13:19.180 cause of

00:13:20.300 impeachment.

00:13:21.280 You probably

00:13:22.040 thought the

00:13:22.520 underlying

00:13:23.000 cause was

00:13:24.520 that Democrats

00:13:25.100 are angry

00:13:25.820 because they're

00:13:26.820 not in

00:13:27.200 power, and

00:13:28.060 they're just

00:13:28.320 trying to get

00:13:28.800 rid of the

00:13:29.120 president so

00:13:29.660 they can

00:13:29.920 take power

00:13:30.340 back.

00:13:31.020 You might

00:13:31.440 have thought

00:13:31.700 that was

00:13:32.040 the underlying

00:13:32.520 cause of

00:13:33.060 impeachment.

00:13:34.280 But Mr.

00:13:35.340 Collinson is

00:13:37.880 going to tell

00:13:38.340 us what the

00:13:39.320 real underlying

00:13:40.140 cause of

00:13:40.700 impeachment

00:13:41.100 was.

00:13:42.340 He says,

00:13:42.720 but the

00:13:42.940 underlying

00:13:43.260 cause of

00:13:43.860 impeachment

00:13:44.300 may be

00:13:45.380 the most

00:13:47.040 crucial issue

00:13:48.100 on the

00:13:48.480 ballot.

00:13:49.620 And then he

00:13:50.080 tells us what

00:13:50.700 that underlying

00:13:51.640 cause of

00:13:52.340 impeachment

00:13:52.740 was.

00:13:54.000 He says,

00:13:54.500 the president's

00:13:55.320 determination to

00:13:56.820 wield sweeping

00:13:57.800 unrestrained

00:13:58.680 power and

00:13:59.900 his refusal to

00:14:00.920 accept the

00:14:01.480 checks and

00:14:01.940 balances invested

00:14:03.380 in Congress.

00:14:05.140 What?

00:14:06.440 What weird

00:14:09.220 reality is he

00:14:10.240 living in?

00:14:12.040 What does he

00:14:13.760 know about the

00:14:14.480 president's inner

00:14:15.360 thoughts?

00:14:16.380 The president's

00:14:17.440 determination?

00:14:19.000 How determined

00:14:20.020 is the president

00:14:20.860 to, quote,

00:14:22.380 wield sweeping

00:14:23.360 powers and

00:14:24.320 have unrestrained

00:14:25.520 power?

00:14:29.400 I can't read the

00:14:30.580 president's mind

00:14:31.380 either, but if I

00:14:32.820 had to place a

00:14:33.560 bet, I would

00:14:35.780 confidently place

00:14:36.780 a bet.

00:14:37.240 If there were

00:14:37.940 some way to

00:14:38.520 check the

00:14:38.980 president's

00:14:39.520 inner secret

00:14:40.120 thoughts and

00:14:41.160 be certain

00:14:42.000 about it, I

00:14:43.160 would place a

00:14:43.720 very large

00:14:44.280 bet that he

00:14:45.560 has never once

00:14:46.500 had this

00:14:47.060 thought.

00:14:47.460 how can I

00:14:49.300 wield sweeping

00:14:50.760 unrestrained

00:14:51.460 power?

00:14:53.280 I don't think

00:14:54.160 that's ever

00:14:54.620 even crossed

00:14:55.140 his mind.

00:14:56.120 Do you?

00:14:57.140 I think

00:14:57.860 probably every

00:14:58.660 situation he

00:14:59.440 looks at, he

00:15:00.920 figures, you

00:15:01.460 know, what's

00:15:01.820 the best,

00:15:02.900 most, you

00:15:03.900 know, what's

00:15:04.220 the most I

00:15:04.680 can do in

00:15:05.100 this situation?

00:15:06.500 But wouldn't

00:15:07.200 that be every

00:15:07.760 president?

00:15:08.980 Is there a

00:15:09.580 president who

00:15:10.160 says, I have

00:15:10.800 this much

00:15:11.260 power, but

00:15:11.820 you know, I

00:15:12.960 don't want to

00:15:13.400 take it to the

00:15:14.040 limit.

00:15:14.840 I have this

00:15:15.580 much power, but

00:15:16.820 I'm only going

00:15:17.420 to use half

00:15:17.980 of it to

00:15:19.180 get stuff

00:15:19.700 done.

00:15:21.100 Said, nobody?

00:15:23.260 Will we ever

00:15:24.400 have a president

00:15:25.060 who has this

00:15:25.960 much power, but

00:15:27.120 only decides to

00:15:27.940 use half of it

00:15:28.660 because he

00:15:29.000 doesn't want to

00:15:29.460 look like a

00:15:29.940 king, doesn't

00:15:31.240 want to look

00:15:31.600 like he's

00:15:31.980 wielding,

00:15:32.560 sweeping powers,

00:15:33.660 doesn't want to

00:15:34.420 look like he

00:15:34.880 has unrestrained

00:15:35.640 powers, so I

00:15:36.800 better only use

00:15:37.600 half of my

00:15:39.000 powers.

00:15:40.300 Never.

00:15:40.940 We're not going

00:15:41.320 to have that

00:15:41.700 president, and

00:15:42.320 if we do, we

00:15:42.940 should impeach

00:15:43.400 him, or her.

00:15:45.220 If there's a

00:15:46.320 president who

00:15:47.000 fails to use

00:15:48.120 the powers of

00:15:49.380 the office to

00:15:50.120 get the work

00:15:50.640 done of the

00:15:51.180 people, that's

00:15:52.700 no president I

00:15:53.500 want.

00:15:54.520 The president I

00:15:55.580 want most is

00:15:56.400 the one who

00:15:56.740 uses 100% of

00:15:58.000 the powers

00:15:58.580 given, and

00:16:00.740 then pushes a

00:16:01.540 little bit

00:16:01.880 more.

00:16:03.500 That's the

00:16:04.140 sweet spot.

00:16:05.460 That's the

00:16:05.980 one you want.

00:16:07.220 If I were to

00:16:07.900 describe three

00:16:09.300 types of

00:16:09.780 presidents, let's

00:16:10.980 say, hypothetically,

00:16:12.340 you don't know

00:16:13.200 anything else about

00:16:14.080 the president.

00:16:14.760 It's not Trump,

00:16:15.460 it's just a

00:16:16.080 president.

00:16:17.440 And you have

00:16:17.900 three choices.

00:16:18.700 One, who does

00:16:19.940 not use the

00:16:20.920 power of the

00:16:21.500 office, only uses

00:16:22.660 a fraction of

00:16:23.520 the power of

00:16:23.940 the office.

00:16:24.680 That's one

00:16:25.120 choice.

00:16:26.020 Another one, does

00:16:27.460 try to become a

00:16:28.520 king, and just

00:16:30.260 ignores everything,

00:16:31.320 and just tries to

00:16:32.040 become a king.

00:16:33.400 Well, you don't

00:16:33.920 want that one.

00:16:35.200 I would argue

00:16:35.920 that the very

00:16:36.800 best look for a

00:16:39.360 president, in

00:16:40.140 terms of

00:16:40.620 efficiency and

00:16:41.640 effectiveness, is

00:16:42.840 somebody who

00:16:43.360 readily uses 100%

00:16:45.060 of the power

00:16:45.560 that's given, it

00:16:47.140 just pushes a

00:16:47.920 little bit extra.

00:16:49.860 That's the one

00:16:50.500 you want.

00:16:51.240 If you don't get

00:16:51.940 that one, I

00:16:52.680 don't care who

00:16:53.120 it is.

00:16:53.640 I don't care if

00:16:54.140 it's Elizabeth

00:16:54.640 Warren, I don't

00:16:55.860 care if it's

00:16:56.260 Obama, I don't

00:16:57.120 care if it's

00:16:57.660 Bernie Sanders.

00:16:58.620 They should use

00:16:59.360 all the power of

00:17:00.260 the office, push

00:17:01.900 a little bit more,

00:17:03.100 just to find out

00:17:03.980 if they've used

00:17:04.740 it all.

00:17:05.580 If they hit an

00:17:07.280 obstacle called

00:17:08.400 Congress, or if

00:17:09.740 they hit an

00:17:10.100 obstacle called

00:17:10.920 the people, or

00:17:12.540 if they hit an

00:17:13.040 obstacle called

00:17:13.840 the law, well

00:17:15.520 then they've

00:17:15.900 pushed far

00:17:16.580 enough.

00:17:17.800 But I don't

00:17:18.460 want the 0.55

00:17:18.880 president who

00:17:19.400 doesn't push.

00:17:21.000 That's not the

00:17:21.680 personality you

00:17:22.840 want as a

00:17:23.360 leader.

00:17:23.720 You want a

00:17:24.160 leader who

00:17:24.620 says, I'm

00:17:25.440 taking everything

00:17:26.060 you're giving

00:17:26.500 me, and I'm

00:17:27.620 going to try to

00:17:27.840 get a little

00:17:28.320 bit more.

00:17:29.440 We'll just

00:17:30.000 push it a

00:17:30.400 little bit,

00:17:30.760 find out where

00:17:31.260 that limit is.

00:17:32.920 Any good

00:17:33.380 negotiator would

00:17:34.100 do the same

00:17:34.520 thing.

00:17:36.520 So that's in

00:17:38.340 the CNN

00:17:39.100 world, that's

00:17:41.720 what's happening.

00:17:42.420 There's a

00:17:42.800 dictator, he's

00:17:44.320 a dictator, he's

00:17:45.140 expanded the

00:17:45.820 powers of the

00:17:46.420 office.

00:17:47.380 No, he just

00:17:48.280 beat a coup.

00:17:50.740 Beating the

00:17:51.340 coup attempt

00:17:51.900 doesn't really

00:17:53.000 expand the

00:17:53.680 powers of the

00:17:54.260 presidency.

00:17:56.440 Will we ever

00:17:57.320 see an example?

00:17:59.180 So the people

00:17:59.920 who are

00:18:01.220 crafting this

00:18:02.320 view of the

00:18:02.940 world, this

00:18:03.520 filter of

00:18:04.220 reality, is

00:18:05.460 that it's a

00:18:06.220 president who's

00:18:06.920 got too much

00:18:07.480 power now.

00:18:08.840 But what does

00:18:09.580 that predict?

00:18:10.220 Well, it

00:18:11.620 predicts that

00:18:12.800 you would see

00:18:13.300 him using

00:18:13.860 that power in

00:18:15.420 a way that

00:18:15.960 the public

00:18:16.560 would regard

00:18:17.880 as not in

00:18:18.460 their best

00:18:18.820 interest.

00:18:19.680 Do you think

00:18:20.060 you're going

00:18:20.340 to see that?

00:18:21.340 Do you think

00:18:21.820 you'll see

00:18:22.240 President Trump

00:18:23.380 abusing his

00:18:24.760 new power

00:18:25.400 that he got

00:18:26.040 because of

00:18:26.520 this impeachment

00:18:27.060 process to

00:18:28.540 do things that

00:18:29.380 his base,

00:18:30.680 the people who

00:18:31.440 voted for him,

00:18:33.100 don't want?

00:18:35.120 I'm predicting 0.90

00:18:36.800 against that.

00:18:38.140 I think that he

00:18:38.860 will push

00:18:39.460 wherever he

00:18:40.680 promised,

00:18:41.700 wherever his

00:18:42.280 base wants

00:18:42.780 them to push.

00:18:44.020 You're going

00:18:44.360 to expect

00:18:44.700 that, but

00:18:46.120 that's okay.

00:18:47.240 Maybe that's

00:18:47.640 how the system

00:18:48.120 works.

00:18:49.520 All right.

00:18:52.300 Where are

00:18:53.000 all the people

00:18:53.660 from a year

00:18:55.620 ago and two

00:18:56.520 years ago and

00:18:57.340 three years ago

00:18:58.180 who said to

00:18:59.520 me, Scott,

00:19:00.480 Scott, Scott,

00:19:01.540 you poor

00:19:03.280 ignorant bastard. 0.96

00:19:05.980 Don't you

00:19:06.420 understand this

00:19:07.540 simple truth?

00:19:09.460 Trade wars

00:19:10.680 never work.

00:19:13.520 Let me say it

00:19:14.220 again, Scott,

00:19:15.160 you dumb,

00:19:16.120 dumb bastard. 0.98

00:19:17.720 Have you not

00:19:19.020 been paying

00:19:19.360 attention to

00:19:19.940 all of human

00:19:20.820 history?

00:19:21.740 There's one

00:19:22.420 thing we know

00:19:23.200 with complete

00:19:24.800 certainty.

00:19:26.340 Trade wars

00:19:27.080 do not work.

00:19:29.620 And I,

00:19:30.620 in my

00:19:30.960 inimitable

00:19:31.440 way,

00:19:31.960 said,

00:19:32.800 sure they do.

00:19:34.160 Sure they do.

00:19:35.680 They totally

00:19:36.600 work.

00:19:37.460 What's the

00:19:37.920 alternative?

00:19:38.580 Give the

00:19:38.860 other side

00:19:39.280 everything they

00:19:39.820 want?

00:19:40.760 How does

00:19:41.140 that work?

00:19:42.480 How does

00:19:42.960 giving an

00:19:43.820 enemy country,

00:19:46.260 roughly speaking,

00:19:47.860 enemy country,

00:19:48.980 let's say China,

00:19:50.180 how does it

00:19:50.980 work to give

00:19:51.460 them everything

00:19:51.900 they want that's

00:19:53.000 bad for us?

00:19:54.140 Was that the

00:19:54.800 other choice?

00:19:55.340 No, I

00:19:56.820 said, trade

00:19:57.820 wars, wait

00:19:58.940 for it, work

00:20:00.500 every time.

00:20:02.080 Trade wars

00:20:02.900 work every

00:20:04.820 time.

00:20:05.400 Well, but

00:20:06.120 there's a

00:20:06.420 catch for

00:20:08.080 the strongest

00:20:08.640 party.

00:20:10.140 We were the

00:20:11.040 strongest party.

00:20:12.720 If China had 0.57

00:20:13.840 started a trade

00:20:14.540 deal with us,

00:20:15.440 well, probably

00:20:16.040 a bad idea.

00:20:18.720 If Vietnam 0.85

00:20:19.680 starts a trade

00:20:21.100 war with the

00:20:21.600 United States,

00:20:23.020 I'm going to

00:20:23.480 say that probably

00:20:24.160 won't work out

00:20:24.820 for Vietnam.

00:20:26.740 So, you have

00:20:28.020 to have a

00:20:28.400 little bit of

00:20:29.100 sophistication when

00:20:30.080 you're looking at

00:20:30.620 the individual

00:20:31.240 situations and

00:20:32.780 say, no, in

00:20:34.080 the situation

00:20:34.700 where one has

00:20:36.120 a lot of

00:20:36.700 power and a

00:20:38.080 super strong

00:20:38.760 economy, and

00:20:39.900 the other has

00:20:40.500 a trembly

00:20:41.340 economy and

00:20:42.180 much less

00:20:42.580 power and

00:20:43.180 depends on

00:20:43.760 you, and

00:20:45.520 they have an

00:20:46.160 unfair trade

00:20:47.000 situation already

00:20:48.520 that's just

00:20:49.160 grossly unfair,

00:20:50.880 under that

00:20:51.440 specific situation,

00:20:53.440 I would

00:20:54.800 expect a

00:20:55.420 trade war to

00:20:56.020 work every

00:20:57.780 time.

00:20:58.720 You just

00:20:59.080 have to

00:20:59.400 stick with

00:20:59.860 it, and

00:21:00.180 that's what

00:21:00.480 the president

00:21:00.880 did.

00:21:01.500 The president

00:21:02.040 stuck with

00:21:02.700 it.

00:21:03.600 That was the

00:21:04.060 only thing he

00:21:04.500 had to do,

00:21:05.400 because there

00:21:05.880 wasn't any

00:21:06.420 way you lose

00:21:07.320 if you're the

00:21:08.260 stronger power,

00:21:09.440 and you've got

00:21:10.000 more margin in

00:21:11.120 your economy and

00:21:12.000 more safety,

00:21:14.260 and so that's

00:21:14.840 where we are.

00:21:17.000 But I don't

00:21:17.820 see any of those

00:21:18.500 people who mock

00:21:19.460 me mercilessly

00:21:20.480 for being so

00:21:21.800 dumb to think

00:21:22.500 that trade

00:21:22.880 wars could

00:21:23.380 work, and

00:21:24.140 there's a

00:21:24.840 USMCA as

00:21:25.760 your other

00:21:26.400 example.

00:21:27.900 Where are

00:21:28.520 they now?

00:21:29.420 I would

00:21:29.960 expect those

00:21:30.520 people to

00:21:30.920 come out and

00:21:31.360 say, Scott,

00:21:32.640 you know, I

00:21:34.020 was so wrong

00:21:34.700 back then.

00:21:35.820 I would like

00:21:36.320 to apologize to

00:21:37.220 you, Scott,

00:21:38.400 because, well,

00:21:40.000 let me call in

00:21:40.820 Dale.

00:21:42.100 Dale, don't

00:21:43.700 you owe me an

00:21:44.360 apology for

00:21:45.400 saying that trade

00:21:46.360 wars never work?

00:21:48.140 Yes, I do,

00:21:48.860 Scott.

00:21:49.580 I would like to

00:21:50.660 be completely out

00:21:52.400 of character and

00:21:53.180 say that you

00:21:54.260 are not only

00:21:54.900 correct, you

00:21:56.840 are wise beyond

00:21:57.760 your years, and

00:21:59.100 you have a lot

00:21:59.540 of years.

00:22:00.400 Ha, ha, ha,

00:22:01.140 ha, you've got

00:22:01.780 a lot of years.

00:22:02.160 It's called the

00:22:02.660 old.

00:22:03.580 Oh, you're wise

00:22:04.860 beyond your years.

00:22:06.400 Trade wars do

00:22:07.620 work under certain

00:22:08.900 circumstances, and

00:22:09.980 you were right

00:22:10.560 about that.

00:22:11.500 You were so,

00:22:12.520 so right.

00:22:14.760 Scene.

00:22:15.240 Thank you,

00:22:17.340 Dale.

00:22:17.900 It's almost like

00:22:18.680 I was putting

00:22:19.140 those words in

00:22:19.780 your mouth.

00:22:21.420 All right.

00:22:24.280 Let's see what

00:22:25.000 else we got going

00:22:25.660 on.

00:22:26.200 It's a weird,

00:22:27.060 it's a weird day

00:22:27.800 because there was

00:22:29.220 so much news

00:22:30.300 yesterday.

00:22:33.340 Yeah, somebody

00:22:34.120 saying, breaking

00:22:35.180 news, China has

00:22:36.160 cut tariffs by

00:22:37.320 50% on some

00:22:39.320 imports.

00:22:40.680 So I don't know

00:22:41.940 how big a deal

00:22:42.520 that is, but

00:22:43.140 sounds like a

00:22:43.740 big deal.

00:22:45.240 Somebody's

00:22:47.420 apologizing to

00:22:48.240 me here on

00:22:48.720 the comments.

00:22:49.440 Scott, I was

00:22:50.080 wrong.

00:22:50.840 I'm sorry.

00:22:54.180 All right.

00:22:56.520 So, well,

00:22:58.820 some intrepid

00:22:59.940 Democrat tweeted,

00:23:03.840 I think it was

00:23:04.660 in response to

00:23:05.400 somebody saying

00:23:05.940 something bad

00:23:06.560 about Nancy

00:23:07.120 Pelosi, and

00:23:08.640 this person

00:23:09.180 tweets, alert

00:23:10.540 me when

00:23:11.160 Pelosi sexually

00:23:13.180 assaults someone,

00:23:14.180 mocks the

00:23:14.580 disabled, tears

00:23:15.320 a child from

00:23:15.940 their parents,

00:23:16.980 pays off a

00:23:17.520 porn star,

00:23:18.120 insults a

00:23:18.600 gold star

00:23:19.040 family calls,

00:23:19.800 Nazis find

00:23:20.420 people, denies

00:23:21.200 science, steals

00:23:21.880 from a charity,

00:23:22.920 or starts a

00:23:23.700 fake university.

00:23:25.040 Until then,

00:23:26.200 take a seat.

00:23:27.920 So, I, just

00:23:31.020 for my own

00:23:31.520 entertainment, I

00:23:32.440 wade into this

00:23:33.320 conversation, and

00:23:35.560 I noted that

00:23:36.260 several of the

00:23:37.520 things on the

00:23:38.340 list didn't

00:23:39.580 happen.

00:23:40.280 They're just

00:23:40.940 fake.

00:23:41.400 Now, what

00:23:42.500 do you think

00:23:42.920 happened to

00:23:43.620 me when I

00:23:45.180 waded into this

00:23:46.020 little Democrat

00:23:46.640 nest to tell

00:23:48.220 them that their

00:23:49.120 list of what

00:23:49.860 they believe

00:23:50.360 about the

00:23:50.740 world, several

00:23:52.440 of them are

00:23:53.180 fake news?

00:23:55.000 Did that go

00:23:55.800 well for me?

00:23:58.280 Do you think

00:23:59.000 people said,

00:23:59.600 oh, well,

00:24:00.120 thanks for the

00:24:00.620 correction.

00:24:01.740 It's a good

00:24:02.240 thing you told

00:24:02.740 us, because we

00:24:03.880 thought this was

00:24:04.580 all true.

00:24:05.080 So, I

00:24:08.760 baited them

00:24:09.900 for a while,

00:24:11.080 and they kept

00:24:11.560 saying, oh,

00:24:11.980 yeah, oh,

00:24:12.480 yeah, you see

00:24:13.360 something?

00:24:13.960 Scott, you think

00:24:14.800 there's something

00:24:15.240 on that list

00:24:15.980 that's fake?

00:24:17.720 Well, let's see

00:24:18.560 your link.

00:24:19.600 Let's see your

00:24:20.200 evidence.

00:24:21.780 Scott, if you

00:24:22.540 think there's

00:24:22.920 something fake

00:24:23.460 on this list,

00:24:24.640 can you give

00:24:25.760 me any link?

00:24:26.980 I'm waiting.

00:24:28.480 And, of course,

00:24:29.080 as idiots on 0.86

00:24:30.520 Twitter do,

00:24:31.840 if it takes you

00:24:32.720 five minutes to

00:24:33.800 respond to a

00:24:34.600 tweet, they'll

00:24:36.020 start saying,

00:24:36.800 crickets, you

00:24:37.840 know, I'm

00:24:38.820 waiting.

00:24:39.680 Well, apparently

00:24:40.380 you had nothing.

00:24:41.240 It's been five

00:24:42.040 minutes.

00:24:42.840 I couldn't

00:24:43.240 imagine that

00:24:43.760 you have

00:24:44.020 anything going

00:24:44.540 on in your

00:24:45.020 life, except

00:24:46.260 to respond to

00:24:47.140 randos on

00:24:47.880 Twitter, so I

00:24:49.720 guess you got

00:24:50.200 nothing.

00:24:51.760 And person

00:24:52.400 after person, I

00:24:54.340 said, yeah,

00:24:55.200 there's plenty of

00:24:56.100 evidence.

00:24:56.520 It's been

00:24:56.920 strongly debunked,

00:24:58.380 but I

00:24:58.980 intentionally

00:24:59.640 didn't give

00:25:00.340 them the link

00:25:01.060 until they were

00:25:02.320 really riled up.

00:25:04.600 I don't

00:25:05.120 feel, I'm

00:25:06.860 not proud of

00:25:07.420 it.

00:25:08.920 I'm not proud of

00:25:09.920 what happened

00:25:10.340 next, but it

00:25:12.700 happened.

00:25:13.780 I got them

00:25:14.620 really excited

00:25:15.620 about how

00:25:16.840 crazy I am and

00:25:17.940 how there's no

00:25:18.600 evidence of it

00:25:19.280 being debunked,

00:25:20.340 and then I

00:25:20.860 sent them a

00:25:21.260 link to Steve

00:25:21.980 Cortez, his

00:25:23.300 video that he

00:25:24.160 did for

00:25:24.520 PragerU,

00:25:25.560 thoroughly

00:25:26.100 debunking the

00:25:26.860 fine people

00:25:27.360 hoax.

00:25:28.640 And then, of

00:25:29.240 course, it got

00:25:31.320 real quiet.

00:25:31.940 And then I

00:25:33.700 waited a little

00:25:34.240 bit, and I

00:25:35.600 sent the

00:25:35.980 debunking link

00:25:36.920 for the hoax

00:25:39.340 that he mocked

00:25:40.420 a disabled guy

00:25:41.660 with a bad

00:25:42.120 arm.

00:25:43.120 Because if you

00:25:43.660 see the

00:25:44.000 compilation clip,

00:25:45.300 you can see

00:25:45.800 that he uses

00:25:46.320 that same

00:25:46.740 motion for

00:25:47.240 lots of

00:25:47.620 people,

00:25:47.980 including

00:25:48.240 when he

00:25:48.580 mocked Ted

00:25:49.560 Cruz.

00:25:51.060 So, and

00:25:51.840 of course,

00:25:52.560 before I

00:25:53.160 sent any of

00:25:54.060 these links,

00:25:55.120 I really

00:25:55.820 wound them

00:25:56.320 up and I

00:25:56.740 said, you

00:25:57.000 know, the

00:25:58.120 people on

00:25:58.540 the right

00:25:59.020 have seen

00:26:00.160 what you've

00:26:00.600 seen, but

00:26:01.000 they've also

00:26:01.660 seen the

00:26:02.940 debunking.

00:26:03.700 But you've

00:26:04.080 never seen

00:26:04.520 the debunking.

00:26:06.140 So you're

00:26:06.820 in a silo.

00:26:07.900 So I got

00:26:08.500 people all

00:26:09.020 wound up

00:26:09.440 about being

00:26:09.880 in a

00:26:10.140 news silo,

00:26:11.300 and then

00:26:11.660 something that.

00:26:12.920 So then I

00:26:13.520 got the

00:26:14.100 people who

00:26:14.480 said, oh,

00:26:15.140 Scott, so,

00:26:17.360 and of

00:26:17.920 course they

00:26:18.240 used that

00:26:18.900 tell.

00:26:19.800 If you

00:26:20.140 start a

00:26:20.520 word, a

00:26:21.020 sentence

00:26:21.240 with so,

00:26:22.600 so, you're

00:26:24.020 saying, whatever

00:26:24.820 follows that is

00:26:25.660 just ridiculous.

00:26:26.740 It's not

00:26:27.180 something you're

00:26:27.740 saying.

00:26:28.840 So they

00:26:29.280 said, so,

00:26:29.820 tell us,

00:26:31.220 Scott, tell us,

00:26:32.220 Scott, which

00:26:32.820 of these

00:26:33.420 things on

00:26:33.940 this terrible

00:26:34.480 list of

00:26:34.980 accusations are

00:26:36.160 you okay

00:26:36.600 with?

00:26:37.180 Because you

00:26:37.680 said some

00:26:38.360 of them are

00:26:39.560 fake.

00:26:40.700 So tell me

00:26:41.760 which one you're

00:26:42.320 okay with,

00:26:43.120 Scott.

00:26:43.680 Are you okay

00:26:44.780 with, you

00:26:46.660 know, sexual

00:26:47.260 assault, Scott?

00:26:49.020 Are you okay

00:26:49.640 with stealing

00:26:50.840 from a charity

00:26:51.520 or starting a

00:26:52.160 fake university,

00:26:53.440 paying a

00:26:53.780 poor star? 0.99

00:26:54.220 Which one of

00:26:54.820 those are you

00:26:55.300 okay with?

00:26:56.160 to which I

00:26:58.180 said, I

00:26:59.940 didn't say I

00:27:00.360 was okay with

00:27:00.920 anything, but

00:27:03.080 I'll tell you

00:27:03.660 what I

00:27:03.940 haven't yet

00:27:04.480 told them.

00:27:06.780 There's some

00:27:07.460 things that,

00:27:09.760 well, let me

00:27:10.440 put it a

00:27:11.000 better way.

00:27:12.680 I'm interested

00:27:13.580 in your best

00:27:14.680 interests.

00:27:16.580 Yours, the

00:27:17.320 people watching

00:27:17.860 this Periscope

00:27:18.520 right now, as

00:27:19.920 well as the

00:27:20.440 people I'm

00:27:20.900 debating on

00:27:21.700 Twitter, who

00:27:22.320 have very

00:27:23.000 different views

00:27:23.620 than mine.

00:27:24.020 I'm interested

00:27:25.220 in them

00:27:25.700 getting the

00:27:26.160 best deal.

00:27:26.880 I want them

00:27:27.300 to have the

00:27:27.780 safest country.

00:27:29.200 I want them

00:27:29.700 to have the

00:27:30.260 best economy.

00:27:32.160 I want them

00:27:32.500 to have good

00:27:32.960 jobs.

00:27:34.520 Now, the

00:27:34.860 way to get

00:27:35.280 there is to

00:27:37.160 not care that

00:27:38.460 the president

00:27:39.020 paid a

00:27:39.420 porn star.

00:27:41.740 Can you

00:27:42.280 get over

00:27:42.620 that?

00:27:44.400 If your

00:27:45.040 best way to

00:27:45.680 have a good

00:27:46.080 life is to

00:27:47.580 simply not

00:27:48.300 care that

00:27:49.600 somebody paid

00:27:50.160 a porn star,

00:27:51.860 can you do

00:27:52.620 that?

00:27:52.920 Is that too

00:27:53.340 hard?

00:27:54.340 Because I

00:27:54.680 don't care.

00:27:56.080 I don't

00:27:56.600 care at all.

00:27:57.500 Somebody says

00:27:58.200 in the comments

00:27:58.660 she paid him,

00:27:59.760 which I think

00:28:00.260 is technically

00:28:00.780 true because

00:28:01.600 of the lawsuits

00:28:03.340 or whatever.

00:28:03.980 She ended up

00:28:04.420 paying his

00:28:04.800 court costs,

00:28:05.420 I think,

00:28:06.340 which is

00:28:06.940 funny.

00:28:07.880 Then there

00:28:08.200 are other

00:28:08.460 things like

00:28:08.920 stealing from

00:28:09.900 the charity

00:28:10.340 and the

00:28:10.780 fake university.

00:28:12.060 The charity

00:28:12.520 one, that's

00:28:13.840 for the legal

00:28:14.360 system to

00:28:15.160 handle.

00:28:16.000 I don't

00:28:16.300 think we've

00:28:16.780 heard, we

00:28:18.160 haven't heard

00:28:18.580 the whole

00:28:18.920 story.

00:28:20.040 If something

00:28:20.780 bad happened

00:28:21.360 there, he

00:28:22.880 paid for

00:28:23.400 it, does

00:28:24.820 that affect

00:28:25.340 you?

00:28:26.560 Does it

00:28:27.320 affect me?

00:28:29.080 Not really.

00:28:30.640 And as far

00:28:31.160 as Trump

00:28:31.620 University, people

00:28:33.480 who don't

00:28:33.980 understand how

00:28:34.780 licensing work

00:28:35.880 have a different

00:28:36.900 view of what

00:28:37.500 that was.

00:28:38.040 companies, I

00:28:39.300 am somebody

00:28:39.780 who licenses

00:28:40.480 or have

00:28:41.220 licensed lots

00:28:41.960 of things.

00:28:43.000 So I've

00:28:43.320 licensed Dilbert

00:28:44.400 properties to

00:28:45.620 people who

00:28:46.180 make different

00:28:46.700 kinds of

00:28:47.120 products.

00:28:48.100 They put it

00:28:48.520 on those

00:28:48.800 products.

00:28:49.700 When I

00:28:50.100 license Dilbert

00:28:50.840 to my

00:28:52.300 calendar

00:28:52.740 maker or

00:28:54.080 my reprint

00:28:54.900 bookmaker,

00:28:55.680 they do an

00:28:56.100 amazing job.

00:28:57.500 They really

00:28:57.980 turn my

00:28:59.440 content into

00:29:00.300 more than it

00:29:00.980 would have

00:29:01.220 been by the

00:29:01.800 form they

00:29:02.220 put it in,

00:29:03.080 et cetera.

00:29:03.960 So that's a

00:29:04.480 really good

00:29:04.840 licensing deal.

00:29:05.500 But there

00:29:06.240 are other

00:29:06.540 licenses I've

00:29:08.180 granted and

00:29:09.480 I got paid

00:29:10.000 for in which

00:29:11.560 they turned it

00:29:12.120 into a product

00:29:12.740 that wasn't

00:29:13.840 so good.

00:29:15.320 It was good

00:29:15.960 enough that I

00:29:16.520 ultimately approved.

00:29:17.760 It was a

00:29:18.180 t-shirt or

00:29:19.060 something like

00:29:19.800 that.

00:29:20.400 But nobody

00:29:21.000 bought it.

00:29:22.500 So there

00:29:23.200 are certainly

00:29:23.540 cases where I

00:29:24.360 license things

00:29:25.060 but I don't

00:29:25.480 have control

00:29:26.180 over the

00:29:26.620 outcome.

00:29:28.300 Trump

00:29:28.660 licenses the

00:29:29.780 name Trump

00:29:30.400 to a whole

00:29:31.540 variety of

00:29:32.220 things including

00:29:32.880 people who

00:29:33.460 build buildings

00:29:34.540 and put

00:29:35.020 the Trump

00:29:35.720 name on

00:29:36.120 it.

00:29:37.480 I think

00:29:38.480 you can

00:29:40.560 fact check

00:29:41.080 me on this

00:29:41.580 but I

00:29:42.660 doubt that

00:29:44.160 Trump knew

00:29:45.620 a lot about

00:29:46.260 what was

00:29:46.680 going on

00:29:47.220 with Trump

00:29:47.720 University.

00:29:49.080 So what

00:29:49.420 they said

00:29:49.820 was he

00:29:50.220 started a

00:29:50.800 fake

00:29:51.040 university.

00:29:52.840 I don't

00:29:53.480 think that

00:29:53.880 was his

00:29:54.260 intention.

00:29:55.320 Do you?

00:29:56.100 Do you

00:29:56.660 think there

00:29:56.940 was any

00:29:57.280 time that

00:29:58.400 the president

00:29:58.960 was presented

00:29:59.780 with this

00:30:00.240 opportunity and

00:30:01.000 they said

00:30:01.260 okay it's

00:30:01.740 all a scam

00:30:02.680 but we're

00:30:03.680 going to

00:30:03.900 put you

00:30:04.260 know if

00:30:04.580 you want

00:30:04.920 we'll put

00:30:05.220 your name

00:30:05.520 on it

00:30:05.780 you can

00:30:06.060 share

00:30:06.420 in the

00:30:06.700 scam.

00:30:07.840 Do you

00:30:08.020 think that

00:30:08.360 conversation

00:30:08.920 ever happened?

00:30:09.760 I don't

00:30:10.120 think so.

00:30:11.300 I don't

00:30:11.560 think so.

00:30:13.080 Far more

00:30:13.780 likely some

00:30:15.160 people he

00:30:15.760 knew or

00:30:16.320 trusted

00:30:16.780 incorrectly

00:30:18.000 as it

00:30:18.400 turns out

00:30:18.880 told him

00:30:19.820 that everything

00:30:20.300 would be

00:30:20.720 great and

00:30:21.340 all they

00:30:21.660 need is

00:30:22.000 for him

00:30:22.300 to make

00:30:22.580 a video

00:30:22.980 and say

00:30:23.360 he's

00:30:23.520 associated

00:30:23.880 with it

00:30:24.400 put his

00:30:25.180 name on

00:30:25.580 it and

00:30:25.880 they'll

00:30:26.060 do the

00:30:26.340 rest.

00:30:27.980 Was he

00:30:28.340 aware of

00:30:29.740 what they

00:30:30.060 were doing

00:30:30.580 and that

00:30:31.220 they were

00:30:31.660 not producing

00:30:32.740 something of

00:30:33.300 value?

00:30:33.580 Well eventually

00:30:34.440 he was

00:30:34.900 and then it

00:30:35.480 became a big

00:30:36.000 legal problem

00:30:36.680 but I doubt

00:30:38.280 that's what his

00:30:39.020 intention was

00:30:39.840 because really

00:30:41.560 why would you?

00:30:42.380 It wouldn't make

00:30:42.800 any sense.

00:30:45.280 So when you go

00:30:46.200 down this list

00:30:46.880 oh then he

00:30:47.560 insulted a

00:30:48.240 gold star

00:30:48.680 family.

00:30:49.440 How much

00:30:49.860 does that

00:30:50.280 affect you?

00:30:52.240 Did your

00:30:53.240 401k go down

00:30:54.920 because that

00:30:56.040 time in

00:30:56.660 2016 he

00:30:58.320 insulted a

00:30:59.100 gold star

00:30:59.600 family after

00:31:00.320 they insulted

00:31:00.920 him first?

00:31:01.500 Did that

00:31:03.140 make any

00:31:04.100 difference to

00:31:04.620 you?

00:31:05.940 I don't

00:31:06.300 think so.

00:31:07.400 Didn't make

00:31:07.900 me less

00:31:08.320 safe.

00:31:08.780 Didn't make

00:31:09.100 me less

00:31:10.160 money.

00:31:10.600 Didn't do

00:31:10.900 anything.

00:31:12.180 So the

00:31:12.860 Democrats are

00:31:13.440 living this

00:31:13.940 world of

00:31:14.880 awfulness in

00:31:15.660 which they

00:31:16.100 believe that

00:31:17.380 Trump called

00:31:17.960 Nazis fine 0.94

00:31:18.720 people.

00:31:19.360 Didn't

00:31:19.680 happen.

00:31:20.220 You can

00:31:20.480 just check

00:31:20.880 the transcript.

00:31:21.660 He said

00:31:21.920 the opposite

00:31:22.340 of that.

00:31:23.420 That he

00:31:23.960 mocked a

00:31:25.220 disabled guy.

00:31:26.040 Didn't

00:31:26.220 happen.

00:31:26.820 You can

00:31:27.080 check the

00:31:27.480 compilation clips

00:31:28.700 to see that

00:31:29.220 he uses that

00:31:29.840 same gesture

00:31:30.680 all the

00:31:31.000 time.

00:31:32.000 Sexually

00:31:32.520 assaulted

00:31:32.920 someone.

00:31:35.060 Not that I

00:31:35.840 know of.

00:31:37.260 I know

00:31:37.640 there are

00:31:37.920 allegations.

00:31:39.240 But I'm

00:31:39.960 not aware of

00:31:40.720 anything

00:31:40.940 credible.

00:31:42.980 So I

00:31:45.060 don't know

00:31:45.300 how to deal

00:31:45.680 with allegations

00:31:46.560 that are not

00:31:47.200 credible.

00:31:47.660 Tears a

00:31:48.020 child from

00:31:48.440 their parents.

00:31:49.900 Put it in

00:31:50.440 context.

00:31:52.060 Same thing

00:31:52.620 Obama did.

00:31:53.920 And it

00:31:54.700 was better

00:31:55.100 than the

00:31:55.420 alternatives.

00:31:56.800 Because the

00:31:57.380 alternative was

00:31:58.400 to let the

00:31:59.180 traffickers take

00:32:00.500 the child into

00:32:01.120 the United

00:32:01.500 States and

00:32:02.580 have them

00:32:02.980 sexually abused

00:32:03.780 for years.

00:32:04.800 That was the

00:32:05.420 other choice.

00:32:07.120 Because the

00:32:07.980 separating the

00:32:09.120 parents from

00:32:09.600 the kids,

00:32:10.160 that was the

00:32:10.520 only way they

00:32:11.440 could do it

00:32:11.860 given the

00:32:12.240 resources they

00:32:12.920 had.

00:32:14.260 Then it

00:32:14.960 says he

00:32:15.280 denies science.

00:32:17.020 Is that

00:32:17.380 true?

00:32:18.600 First of all,

00:32:19.960 is there

00:32:20.240 anybody who

00:32:20.820 denies science?

00:32:22.620 Anybody?

00:32:23.740 Anybody?

00:32:24.800 There's nobody

00:32:25.580 who denies

00:32:26.080 science.

00:32:26.560 What they're

00:32:27.400 talking about

00:32:27.960 is climate

00:32:28.480 change.

00:32:29.860 I just saw

00:32:31.920 another quote.

00:32:33.000 He said,

00:32:33.560 parts of it

00:32:34.440 are a hoax.

00:32:36.240 Now the

00:32:36.620 last time he

00:32:37.340 used the

00:32:37.760 word hoax,

00:32:39.500 at least on

00:32:40.420 video, in

00:32:41.840 which he was

00:32:42.220 talking about

00:32:42.740 climate change,

00:32:44.040 he was careful

00:32:44.880 to say there

00:32:45.800 are parts of

00:32:46.680 it that are

00:32:47.040 hoax.

00:32:48.060 And I think

00:32:48.620 that's true.

00:32:50.220 That is just

00:32:51.020 true.

00:32:52.040 The part

00:32:52.720 about the

00:32:53.140 wild hysteria,

00:32:54.220 the part

00:32:54.500 about all

00:32:55.900 the predictions

00:32:56.480 that have

00:32:56.920 been made

00:32:57.300 that haven't

00:32:57.720 worked,

00:32:58.240 the part

00:32:58.560 about the

00:32:59.180 Paris Accord

00:33:00.520 where we

00:33:01.520 would lose

00:33:02.820 a lot but

00:33:03.440 we wouldn't

00:33:03.840 gain anything.

00:33:04.820 There are a

00:33:05.180 whole bunch

00:33:05.560 of parts

00:33:06.040 of it that

00:33:07.680 are clearly

00:33:08.480 questionable.

00:33:12.200 But given

00:33:13.120 that he has

00:33:13.680 just approved

00:33:14.300 a trillion

00:33:14.760 trees and

00:33:16.580 the only

00:33:16.880 reason for

00:33:17.420 the trees,

00:33:17.920 there's no

00:33:18.260 other reason

00:33:18.800 other than

00:33:19.900 climate change,

00:33:20.720 that kind

00:33:22.400 of puts

00:33:22.720 him squarely

00:33:23.400 on the

00:33:23.660 same side

00:33:24.220 as the

00:33:24.840 scientists.

00:33:26.520 Because you

00:33:26.880 wouldn't do

00:33:27.280 the trees

00:33:27.820 unless there

00:33:30.160 was some

00:33:30.400 reason.

00:33:31.680 So I

00:33:33.160 don't think

00:33:33.540 he's been

00:33:33.920 good on

00:33:34.980 the climate

00:33:35.740 question.

00:33:36.600 So I'm a

00:33:37.480 critic of

00:33:38.100 the way he's

00:33:38.580 handled it

00:33:39.180 because I

00:33:40.260 think he

00:33:40.540 should be

00:33:40.820 pushing

00:33:41.100 nuclear much

00:33:42.000 harder and

00:33:42.740 making a

00:33:44.340 positive

00:33:47.740 argument instead

00:33:48.880 of just a

00:33:49.440 negative argument

00:33:50.120 about it.

00:33:50.560 or a

00:33:51.220 passive

00:33:51.640 approach.

00:33:53.240 Planting

00:33:53.520 trees is

00:33:54.200 bordering on

00:33:55.260 passive.

00:33:57.580 Anyway,

00:33:58.380 so looking

00:33:59.520 at how the

00:34:00.480 Democrats see 0.68

00:34:01.620 the world,

00:34:02.240 it's a

00:34:02.540 combination of

00:34:03.360 things that

00:34:04.340 don't matter,

00:34:05.380 allegations that

00:34:06.280 have never

00:34:06.640 been proven

00:34:08.520 to any

00:34:09.240 reasonable

00:34:09.640 standard,

00:34:10.920 and stuff

00:34:12.980 that literally

00:34:13.560 didn't happen.

00:34:14.440 And that's

00:34:14.820 their worldview.

00:34:15.680 It's completely

00:34:16.340 constructed from

00:34:18.000 fake news

00:34:18.900 and not

00:34:20.540 knowing what's

00:34:21.080 important.

00:34:22.680 Now,

00:34:23.320 were the

00:34:23.740 people that I

00:34:24.380 was dealing

00:34:25.280 with,

00:34:25.960 were they

00:34:26.700 economists?

00:34:28.600 If you

00:34:29.300 guessed no,

00:34:30.060 you'd be

00:34:30.400 correct.

00:34:31.280 Were the

00:34:31.640 people I was

00:34:32.260 arguing with

00:34:32.860 about this

00:34:33.500 topic,

00:34:33.960 were they

00:34:34.580 scientists?

00:34:37.240 No,

00:34:37.880 no.

00:34:38.800 Were they

00:34:39.380 artists?

00:34:41.000 Yeah,

00:34:41.300 they were.

00:34:42.000 Yeah,

00:34:42.280 they were.

00:34:43.340 No surprise.

00:34:45.140 All right.

00:34:50.380 Have any

00:34:51.000 of you

00:34:51.340 enjoyed the

00:34:52.240 prank I

00:34:53.140 suggested?

00:34:54.060 Now,

00:34:54.340 I don't

00:34:54.560 think I

00:34:54.880 had to

00:34:55.200 suggest this

00:34:55.880 prank,

00:34:56.380 because I

00:34:56.640 think it

00:34:56.860 was going

00:34:57.100 to happen

00:34:57.380 anyway,

00:34:58.120 but I

00:34:58.600 like it

00:34:58.920 better framing

00:35:00.180 it as a

00:35:00.740 prank,

00:35:01.760 because it's

00:35:02.340 more fun.

00:35:04.020 And the

00:35:04.400 prank goes

00:35:04.980 like this.

00:35:05.460 And by the

00:35:05.760 way,

00:35:05.900 this is a

00:35:06.380 long-term,

00:35:07.780 multi-decade

00:35:09.440 prank.

00:35:10.920 This is

00:35:11.360 not a

00:35:11.640 prank that

00:35:12.020 you run

00:35:12.320 for a

00:35:12.640 week and

00:35:13.000 then reveal

00:35:13.500 it.

00:35:14.300 This one

00:35:14.820 you just

00:35:15.220 live with,

00:35:17.060 because it's

00:35:17.540 so funny.

00:35:18.560 And it

00:35:18.820 goes like

00:35:19.240 this,

00:35:20.380 insisting

00:35:20.980 that the

00:35:21.320 president

00:35:21.680 was not

00:35:22.360 impeached,

00:35:23.960 because he

00:35:24.700 was acquitted,

00:35:25.720 that sort

00:35:27.080 of erases

00:35:27.680 the record.

00:35:28.740 Now,

00:35:28.940 of course,

00:35:29.220 the Democrats

00:35:29.660 have said it

00:35:30.260 doesn't matter

00:35:30.720 if the

00:35:31.080 Senate votes

00:35:31.680 one way

00:35:32.060 or the

00:35:32.240 other,

00:35:32.980 the House

00:35:33.580 has impeached

00:35:34.080 him,

00:35:34.380 so he's

00:35:34.800 forever an

00:35:35.540 impeached

00:35:36.000 president.

00:35:37.520 They have

00:35:38.200 their argument,

00:35:38.900 I don't care

00:35:39.340 if it's

00:35:39.640 true or

00:35:39.980 false.

00:35:40.640 That's not

00:35:41.060 the point.

00:35:42.300 It's word

00:35:42.920 thinking.

00:35:43.780 In other

00:35:44.040 words,

00:35:44.380 we're just

00:35:44.680 deciding which

00:35:46.340 our favorite

00:35:46.800 words are to

00:35:47.580 assign to the

00:35:48.180 thing that we

00:35:48.680 all agree

00:35:49.060 happened.

00:35:49.820 Because we

00:35:50.200 all watch the

00:35:50.740 same set of

00:35:51.280 facts.

00:35:51.680 facts, it's

00:35:52.820 not adding

00:35:53.460 anything to

00:35:54.100 it to say

00:35:55.100 he was

00:35:55.440 impeached

00:35:55.860 forever or

00:35:56.480 he wasn't

00:35:56.880 impeached.

00:35:57.320 It doesn't

00:35:57.940 change anything,

00:35:59.060 because we're

00:35:59.540 all looking at

00:36:00.020 the same set

00:36:00.580 of facts.

00:36:01.280 We're just

00:36:01.680 putting different

00:36:02.200 labels on

00:36:02.740 them.

00:36:03.380 So the

00:36:03.680 prank is to

00:36:05.460 insist that

00:36:07.080 it's a

00:36:07.460 demonstrated fact

00:36:08.580 that he was

00:36:09.680 not impeached.

00:36:11.100 And don't

00:36:11.720 ever argue the

00:36:12.760 details.

00:36:14.120 This is the

00:36:14.700 prank part.

00:36:15.800 Never argue

00:36:16.560 the details.

00:36:18.040 Just say,

00:36:19.060 well, they

00:36:19.320 tried.

00:36:20.440 It was a

00:36:20.980 failed impeachment,

00:36:21.940 so therefore he

00:36:22.660 wasn't impeached.

00:36:23.860 They tried and

00:36:24.480 they failed.

00:36:25.440 Don't give any

00:36:26.460 other arguments.

00:36:27.840 Just say,

00:36:28.920 yeah, they

00:36:29.280 made a good

00:36:29.680 try.

00:36:30.040 It just didn't

00:36:30.700 happen.

00:36:31.220 There was no

00:36:31.720 impeachment.

00:36:32.580 It will drive

00:36:33.620 Democrats

00:36:34.300 absolutely crazy,

00:36:36.380 because they

00:36:37.080 will be sure

00:36:37.800 that you should

00:36:38.420 adopt the way

00:36:39.880 they label it.

00:36:41.100 You don't have

00:36:41.600 to.

00:36:42.280 You can simply

00:36:43.140 say he wasn't

00:36:43.800 impeached.

00:36:45.000 And by the way,

00:36:45.560 you have Alan

00:36:46.100 Dershowitz on

00:36:46.680 your side,

00:36:47.700 famous

00:36:48.180 constitutional

00:36:48.940 scholar,

00:36:49.940 and someone

00:36:50.940 who was on

00:36:51.520 the winning

00:36:52.000 team in

00:36:53.380 defending the

00:36:53.900 president.

00:36:55.200 And by the

00:36:55.660 way, which 0.77

00:36:57.020 arguments won

00:36:58.680 the day?

00:37:00.300 Of all the

00:37:01.040 people who

00:37:01.500 argued stuff,

00:37:02.880 you know,

00:37:03.080 there were a

00:37:03.300 number of

00:37:03.620 lawyers arguing

00:37:04.280 things, in

00:37:05.320 the entire

00:37:05.720 impeachment,

00:37:06.600 which one was

00:37:07.340 the only one

00:37:07.920 that mattered?

00:37:09.500 Alan Dershowitz.

00:37:10.440 It's the only

00:37:10.900 one that

00:37:11.200 mattered, because

00:37:12.400 he's the one

00:37:13.060 who gave the

00:37:14.160 Republicans complete

00:37:15.400 cover to

00:37:16.740 say, these

00:37:17.500 are not even

00:37:18.020 impeachable.

00:37:19.420 There are no

00:37:19.980 impeachable

00:37:20.540 allegations.

00:37:21.680 It doesn't

00:37:22.060 work that way.

00:37:23.460 And that's how

00:37:24.220 the vote went.

00:37:24.900 I think most

00:37:25.360 people covered

00:37:26.920 their political

00:37:28.320 butts by

00:37:29.620 agreeing with

00:37:30.300 Alan Dershowitz.

00:37:30.940 So, let's

00:37:32.080 agree with him

00:37:32.620 again, because

00:37:33.360 he says no

00:37:34.380 impeachment

00:37:34.760 happened, because

00:37:36.300 if you don't go

00:37:37.100 all the way to

00:37:37.500 completion, his

00:37:38.600 analogy, and

00:37:39.680 you know, you

00:37:41.460 know what I say

00:37:41.960 about analogies?

00:37:43.060 I'll just tell you

00:37:43.880 what he said.

00:37:44.760 It's not logical,

00:37:46.820 but it's kind of

00:37:47.500 persuasive.

00:37:49.360 It is that it's

00:37:50.640 similar to being

00:37:52.080 accused of a

00:37:52.940 crime, and then

00:37:54.660 you go to court,

00:37:55.840 and they find you

00:37:56.500 not guilty.

00:37:57.820 You're not still

00:37:58.800 the guy who

00:38:00.260 maybe did a

00:38:01.100 little bit of

00:38:01.560 crime, but

00:38:02.160 wasn't found

00:38:02.660 guilty.

00:38:03.740 You're just

00:38:04.560 called innocent,

00:38:05.920 or not guilty,

00:38:07.240 but we'd call

00:38:07.760 that innocent

00:38:08.240 in a practical

00:38:09.980 sense.

00:38:12.580 So, I agree

00:38:13.740 with Dershowitz.

00:38:14.920 All right.

00:38:17.240 I want to run

00:38:18.460 by, oh, here's

00:38:19.200 one other

00:38:19.560 interesting story.

00:38:20.720 A Washington

00:38:21.200 State high

00:38:21.860 school principal

00:38:22.620 got placed on

00:38:24.240 administrative leave

00:38:25.280 over a Facebook

00:38:26.280 comment.

00:38:27.060 This was on

00:38:27.620 her personal

00:38:28.080 Facebook, in

00:38:30.540 which she

00:38:32.060 said something

00:38:33.220 about Kobe

00:38:33.780 Bryant.

00:38:35.300 And this is

00:38:35.940 Lisa Sedgecora,

00:38:38.720 principal at

00:38:39.460 Kamis High

00:38:40.160 School, wrote

00:38:40.680 on her personal

00:38:41.780 Facebook page.

00:38:43.820 She's deleted

00:38:44.560 it, but she 0.69

00:38:45.300 said, quote,

00:38:46.560 not going to

00:38:47.220 lie, seems to

00:38:48.360 me that Karma

00:38:49.000 caught up with

00:38:49.780 a rapist

00:38:50.340 today, talking

00:38:51.520 about Kobe.

00:38:53.500 Now, she got

00:38:55.100 put on

00:38:55.460 administrative leave

00:38:56.520 for that.

00:38:57.000 Keep in mind

00:38:57.520 that was her

00:38:58.100 personal page.

00:39:00.380 I'm going to

00:39:00.860 go out on a

00:39:01.500 limb here.

00:39:03.760 What percentage

00:39:04.640 of adult

00:39:05.680 women have 0.95

00:39:07.400 not been

00:39:08.120 sexually 0.61

00:39:09.040 molested or

00:39:10.600 raped? 0.97

00:39:12.080 What would you

00:39:12.800 guess?

00:39:13.620 And I think the

00:39:14.380 men and the

00:39:14.740 women might have 1.00

00:39:15.280 different guesses.

00:39:16.400 What percentage

00:39:17.200 of adult

00:39:18.140 American women,

00:39:19.140 women, we'll 1.00

00:39:20.060 just say

00:39:20.360 American, adult

00:39:21.760 American women,

00:39:22.540 what percentage

00:39:23.400 by the time

00:39:24.760 they're, she

00:39:25.880 looked in the

00:39:26.560 picture like

00:39:27.160 she's in her

00:39:28.280 40s, maybe

00:39:29.060 early 40s, by

00:39:30.700 the time they're

00:39:31.180 in their early

00:39:31.680 40s, what

00:39:32.860 percentage have

00:39:33.600 been sexually

00:39:34.640 molested and

00:39:36.740 or raped?

00:39:37.940 I'm seeing

00:39:40.620 numbers go by

00:39:41.480 from 25% to

00:39:43.180 50%, 60, 40,

00:39:45.900 70%, 99.5, 49.

00:39:49.300 I don't know

00:39:50.640 the answer, but

00:39:51.980 my estimate is

00:39:52.940 100%.

00:39:53.780 100%.

00:39:55.920 And I think I

00:39:58.020 can defend that.

00:39:59.260 Do you know

00:39:59.660 how I can defend

00:40:00.360 that?

00:40:01.500 Ask any woman

00:40:02.660 you know, and

00:40:03.780 I'm going to say

00:40:04.460 it by a certain

00:40:05.000 age, let's say

00:40:05.900 by the age of

00:40:07.040 45.

00:40:09.040 Ask anybody

00:40:09.900 over the age of

00:40:10.620 45 if they've

00:40:12.820 been sexually

00:40:14.040 molested and

00:40:15.240 or raped,

00:40:15.780 woman.

00:40:16.660 It's going to

00:40:17.360 be 100%.

00:40:18.240 I think it

00:40:20.240 is.

00:40:21.220 You know, there

00:40:21.520 are women, I'm 0.99

00:40:23.600 not going to

00:40:23.960 name names, but

00:40:24.720 I know women 1.00

00:40:25.280 who get

00:40:26.500 sexually, you 0.99

00:40:28.800 know, molested

00:40:29.380 or abused in

00:40:30.360 some way on

00:40:31.160 such a regular

00:40:31.860 basis.

00:40:32.280 It's like once

00:40:32.920 a month, once

00:40:33.580 a week.

00:40:34.460 I mean, it's

00:40:34.720 so common that

00:40:36.000 it just becomes

00:40:37.260 part of the

00:40:37.860 tapestry of

00:40:38.560 their life in

00:40:39.140 a horrible

00:40:39.460 way.

00:40:41.440 So, here's

00:40:43.000 my assumption

00:40:43.620 without knowing.

00:40:45.460 So it's just

00:40:46.120 speculation.

00:40:47.420 This principle

00:40:48.220 Liza is

00:40:50.760 probably in

00:40:51.820 the same

00:40:52.180 class as

00:40:52.860 just about

00:40:53.560 every other

00:40:54.220 woman in

00:40:54.780 America in

00:40:55.760 which she's 0.98

00:40:56.260 had a bad

00:40:56.880 experience with

00:40:58.920 a rapist or

00:40:59.700 a molester.

00:41:01.100 Do I have a

00:41:02.220 problem with

00:41:02.740 the fact that

00:41:03.320 she said on

00:41:04.000 her personal

00:41:04.740 Facebook page

00:41:05.940 that karma

00:41:08.840 caught up to

00:41:09.760 Kobe?

00:41:11.000 I do not

00:41:12.120 object to

00:41:12.860 that.

00:41:13.880 I do not

00:41:14.880 object to

00:41:15.440 that even

00:41:16.820 a little.

00:41:18.260 So I'm

00:41:18.820 going to

00:41:18.960 say I'm

00:41:19.840 totally in

00:41:20.380 support of

00:41:21.300 this

00:41:21.580 principle.

00:41:23.200 She's on

00:41:23.840 administrative

00:41:24.300 leave. 0.99

00:41:25.260 It could be

00:41:25.960 that they

00:41:26.300 just do

00:41:26.680 that so

00:41:27.080 they look

00:41:27.480 into it a

00:41:27.980 little more.

00:41:28.580 Maybe she's

00:41:29.000 still getting

00:41:29.380 paid.

00:41:30.180 But I think

00:41:30.620 this is

00:41:31.000 unfair.

00:41:32.100 Because her

00:41:32.720 opinion was

00:41:33.300 first of all

00:41:33.800 a personal

00:41:34.220 opinion.

00:41:34.700 Very personal

00:41:35.320 I would

00:41:35.680 guess.

00:41:36.800 I'm guessing

00:41:37.400 again, just

00:41:39.040 speculating because

00:41:40.640 every woman in

00:41:42.280 the United States

00:41:42.840 gets sexually

00:41:43.500 molested.

00:41:43.880 I'm guessing

00:41:45.120 that this is

00:41:45.920 personal to

00:41:46.520 her.

00:41:48.320 I completely

00:41:49.260 support that

00:41:49.960 opinion.

00:41:51.300 You don't have

00:41:51.980 to agree with

00:41:52.580 the opinion.

00:41:53.240 That's a

00:41:53.560 different question.

00:41:54.820 But I

00:41:55.200 absolutely

00:41:56.020 support her

00:41:57.860 ability to

00:41:59.040 say this in

00:41:59.520 public without

00:42:00.260 repercussions.

00:42:02.360 So I hope

00:42:04.460 that turns out

00:42:05.000 well for her.

00:42:06.460 Anyway, I

00:42:10.140 want to give

00:42:10.540 you an 0.64

00:42:11.900 investment

00:42:13.040 philosophy.

00:42:14.860 Now, I

00:42:15.540 have to say

00:42:15.980 this before,

00:42:17.080 during, and

00:42:18.020 then after.

00:42:18.860 This is not

00:42:19.600 investment

00:42:20.160 advice.

00:42:21.460 I am not

00:42:22.340 giving you

00:42:23.000 investment

00:42:23.560 advice.

00:42:24.480 And I'll go

00:42:24.980 further.

00:42:25.640 If you were

00:42:26.260 to take

00:42:26.680 investment

00:42:27.160 advice from

00:42:28.120 a cartoonist,

00:42:29.340 you would

00:42:29.940 not be smart.

00:42:31.620 That would

00:42:31.940 not be a

00:42:32.360 good idea.

00:42:33.740 I do not

00:42:34.840 invest above

00:42:36.400 average, meaning

00:42:37.520 I make no

00:42:38.740 claim that I'm

00:42:39.480 better at it

00:42:40.080 than flipping a

00:42:41.660 coin, because

00:42:42.180 I'm not.

00:42:42.620 I have no

00:42:42.960 evidence that

00:42:43.500 I am.

00:42:44.520 And so I'll

00:42:45.740 just tell you

00:42:46.320 an investment

00:42:47.060 philosophy just

00:42:49.500 to think about.

00:42:51.180 You know, just

00:42:51.680 put it with all

00:42:52.740 of your other

00:42:53.240 investment

00:42:53.700 philosophies.

00:42:54.360 And it goes

00:42:54.640 like this.

00:42:56.100 And I've

00:42:57.140 used this

00:42:58.200 technique to

00:42:59.120 good effect.

00:43:00.600 I invest in

00:43:01.760 companies that I

00:43:02.700 can't avoid

00:43:04.380 buying their

00:43:05.100 products.

00:43:06.900 So when,

00:43:08.480 remember when

00:43:09.940 gas prices were

00:43:11.000 spiking years

00:43:12.260 ago, and I

00:43:14.840 would buy

00:43:15.400 gas, and I

00:43:16.100 would say to

00:43:16.420 myself, if I

00:43:17.200 had a choice

00:43:17.960 of buying gas

00:43:20.120 or not buying

00:43:20.760 gas, I would

00:43:21.520 not buy gas

00:43:22.720 or I'd buy

00:43:23.800 something else.

00:43:24.680 But I didn't

00:43:25.140 really feel like I

00:43:25.920 had a choice.

00:43:27.280 And so I

00:43:27.680 bought some

00:43:28.180 stock in an

00:43:29.840 index fund of

00:43:31.040 gas companies,

00:43:32.680 basically, oil

00:43:33.320 companies, and

00:43:34.380 it did well.

00:43:35.900 So I bought

00:43:37.320 stock in a

00:43:38.040 company, or a

00:43:39.280 group of

00:43:39.660 companies, because

00:43:40.280 that was

00:43:40.560 safer.

00:43:41.040 It's always

00:43:41.380 safer to buy

00:43:41.920 a basket of

00:43:42.920 companies than

00:43:43.540 one, because I

00:43:44.820 didn't have a

00:43:45.300 choice of

00:43:45.820 buying their

00:43:46.220 product.

00:43:46.860 That's all I

00:43:48.300 looked at.

00:43:49.140 If you don't

00:43:49.520 have a choice,

00:43:51.680 here's another

00:43:52.460 one.

00:43:53.440 Several years

00:43:54.120 ago, I bought

00:43:55.240 a bunch of

00:43:55.680 stock in

00:43:56.300 Apple.

00:43:57.840 Well, that

00:43:58.260 turned out

00:43:58.620 pretty well, as

00:44:00.000 you might

00:44:00.300 imagine.

00:44:01.160 It's up

00:44:01.700 160% or

00:44:03.840 something since

00:44:04.400 I bought it.

00:44:05.460 Now, the

00:44:05.860 reason I bought

00:44:06.500 it was not

00:44:07.080 because of

00:44:07.580 their P

00:44:08.900 ratio, not

00:44:10.100 because of

00:44:10.560 their earnings,

00:44:11.540 not because of

00:44:12.160 who recommended

00:44:12.900 it.

00:44:13.440 I bought it

00:44:13.860 for one

00:44:14.160 reason.

00:44:15.560 I own

00:44:16.140 Apple

00:44:16.500 equipment, and

00:44:18.200 when I go to

00:44:18.780 buy a new

00:44:19.300 phone, I

00:44:20.540 don't really

00:44:21.100 have a choice.

00:44:22.540 I mean, I

00:44:23.060 do.

00:44:23.860 I could switch

00:44:25.040 to Android, but

00:44:26.640 it's so much

00:44:27.120 trouble, and it's

00:44:28.500 not going to be a

00:44:29.100 better product.

00:44:30.280 I don't really

00:44:31.360 have a choice.

00:44:32.540 And now I've

00:44:32.960 got this whole

00:44:33.620 constellation of

00:44:35.800 Apple products

00:44:36.560 that sort of

00:44:37.040 work together,

00:44:37.980 they're on

00:44:38.280 iCloud, and

00:44:39.420 now I'm just

00:44:40.020 locked in.

00:44:41.540 So I bought

00:44:42.100 Apple stock

00:44:43.100 because I

00:44:43.700 didn't have a

00:44:44.220 choice about

00:44:45.560 buying their

00:44:46.040 products.

00:44:47.180 Just yesterday,

00:44:48.480 I bought another

00:44:49.280 pair of

00:44:49.740 Air Buds.

00:44:52.160 If you haven't

00:44:52.800 tried the

00:44:53.140 Air Buds, by

00:44:53.660 the way, they're

00:44:54.000 not for

00:44:54.300 everybody.

00:44:54.800 Some people

00:44:55.140 don't like the

00:44:55.720 way they feel

00:44:56.220 in their ear,

00:44:56.880 or they fall

00:44:57.300 out, or

00:44:57.600 whatever.

00:44:58.220 But if you

00:44:59.860 do like them,

00:45:01.020 they're one of

00:45:01.620 the most amazing

00:45:02.420 products I've

00:45:03.140 ever seen in

00:45:03.640 my life.

00:45:04.680 Not just for

00:45:05.520 headphones, but

00:45:07.100 in all products

00:45:08.300 ever made in

00:45:09.400 the history of

00:45:09.940 the world, the

00:45:11.400 Apple Air Buds

00:45:12.380 are superstars.

00:45:14.440 I mean, it

00:45:14.740 doesn't get much

00:45:15.300 attention, but my

00:45:16.340 God, are those

00:45:17.360 well-designed.

00:45:18.760 I mean, just

00:45:19.200 crazy good

00:45:20.440 engineering into

00:45:21.460 those things,

00:45:22.180 you know, from

00:45:22.520 the user interface,

00:45:23.440 everything, the

00:45:23.940 look, the

00:45:24.840 feel.

00:45:25.880 So I bought

00:45:26.700 Apple stock.

00:45:27.600 Recently, I

00:45:28.280 bought some

00:45:28.740 Amazon stock,

00:45:30.220 not because I

00:45:31.520 thought it was a

00:45:32.100 good price,

00:45:33.260 because it looks

00:45:33.780 like it's not.

00:45:34.480 The P ratio

00:45:35.460 is way too

00:45:36.020 high, etc.

00:45:37.720 But here's the

00:45:38.440 thing.

00:45:39.680 Try not buying

00:45:40.800 stuff from

00:45:41.280 Amazon.

00:45:42.860 Good luck

00:45:43.520 with that.

00:45:45.000 I mean, it's

00:45:45.860 possible.

00:45:46.600 You could drive

00:45:47.100 to the store.

00:45:47.700 You don't have

00:45:48.220 to buy from

00:45:48.660 Amazon.

00:45:49.680 But in a

00:45:50.480 practical sense,

00:45:52.240 I kind of

00:45:52.960 do.

00:45:54.280 I mean, it's

00:45:54.840 just so much

00:45:55.960 easier, and the

00:45:57.320 selection is

00:45:58.880 better, and the

00:45:59.720 physical store

00:46:00.700 never has what I

00:46:01.520 want.

00:46:01.840 I don't have

00:46:03.000 really much of

00:46:03.640 a choice.

00:46:04.820 So I bought

00:46:05.400 their stock, and

00:46:06.860 it went up.

00:46:09.580 Recently, I

00:46:10.480 bought some

00:46:10.900 stock in

00:46:11.400 Twitter a few

00:46:13.760 months ago.

00:46:15.160 Now, it's not

00:46:15.860 because I think

00:46:16.640 Twitter's earnings

00:46:17.840 are spectacular,

00:46:19.600 their P is

00:46:20.440 great, nothing

00:46:21.700 like that.

00:46:22.820 It's just that if

00:46:23.900 I want to be a

00:46:24.840 citizen who cares

00:46:25.800 about politics, I

00:46:27.780 have to be on

00:46:28.320 Twitter.

00:46:28.560 I don't have

00:46:29.660 a choice.

00:46:31.160 Being on

00:46:31.600 Facebook wouldn't

00:46:32.280 get me there,

00:46:33.380 right?

00:46:34.160 So Twitter is

00:46:35.060 another one of

00:46:35.500 those companies

00:46:35.960 that, for some

00:46:37.580 percentage of the

00:46:38.340 public, if they

00:46:39.140 want to be

00:46:39.660 engaged in, you

00:46:42.060 know, thoughts and

00:46:42.800 ideas and politics

00:46:43.920 and stuff like

00:46:45.080 that, they kind of

00:46:45.820 have to be on

00:46:46.340 Twitter.

00:46:47.540 So I'm not saying

00:46:48.840 you should buy any

00:46:49.460 of those companies.

00:46:50.300 Let me say that

00:46:50.920 again, as clearly

00:46:52.280 as possible.

00:46:53.060 Do not take

00:46:53.880 financial advice from

00:46:55.380 cartoonists.

00:46:56.400 It's a bad, bad

00:46:57.260 idea.

00:46:57.600 Yeah, Twitter's

00:46:58.860 up 15% today on

00:47:00.420 lots of new

00:47:02.980 users.

00:47:03.780 So exactly what I

00:47:04.820 was saying is

00:47:06.020 that you kind of

00:47:06.980 don't have a

00:47:07.580 choice, especially

00:47:08.520 going into an

00:47:09.320 election year.

00:47:11.100 If you want to

00:47:11.960 know what's going

00:47:12.540 on, you kind of

00:47:13.700 need to get into

00:47:14.400 Twitter.

00:47:15.680 So I'm not

00:47:17.820 telling you you

00:47:18.380 should buy any

00:47:18.960 of those.

00:47:20.540 I'm really not

00:47:21.440 telling you to buy

00:47:22.060 any of those.

00:47:23.180 But follow that.

00:47:24.640 And by the way,

00:47:25.160 this advice I got

00:47:26.180 from a billionaire.

00:47:29.060 So the advice I'm

00:47:30.020 giving you is the

00:47:31.640 same advice I got

00:47:32.720 from a billionaire.

00:47:34.060 Now, I'm not going

00:47:34.800 to name the

00:47:35.260 billionaire.

00:47:36.300 It's one of the

00:47:37.460 famous ones.

00:47:38.840 But in a private

00:47:39.880 conversation, he told

00:47:41.020 me that he only

00:47:41.800 invests in

00:47:43.300 monopolies.

00:47:45.400 Now, he laughed

00:47:46.460 when he said

00:47:46.880 monopoly, because he

00:47:48.080 said we don't call

00:47:48.760 it that.

00:47:49.240 We call it the

00:47:49.800 network effect.

00:47:51.320 Meaning that if you

00:47:52.620 join Facebook, good

00:47:54.600 luck going to

00:47:55.420 Facebook's

00:47:56.040 competitor, because

00:47:57.560 they don't really

00:47:57.960 have one.

00:47:59.500 So he would

00:48:00.280 invest, and this

00:48:01.200 is an example, I

00:48:02.220 think he's probably

00:48:03.400 invested in Facebook,

00:48:04.400 I don't know that

00:48:04.880 for sure.

00:48:05.660 But anything that

00:48:06.380 you just can't

00:48:06.880 avoid, he invested

00:48:07.760 in it, and that's

00:48:09.200 why he's a

00:48:09.560 billionaire, among

00:48:10.880 other reasons.

00:48:12.180 All right, so

00:48:12.820 I'll put that out

00:48:13.660 there, and that's

00:48:16.880 all I have for

00:48:17.580 today.

00:48:17.880 No, it wasn't

00:48:20.260 Warren Buffett.

00:48:21.020 You'll never guess.

00:48:23.300 Turns out there

00:48:23.800 are so many

00:48:24.220 billionaires.

00:48:25.960 So many

00:48:26.620 billionaires, it's

00:48:27.320 not Peter Thiel,

00:48:28.200 no.

00:48:29.140 All right, so

00:48:30.140 you would never

00:48:32.360 guess, so don't

00:48:33.040 even try.

00:48:33.980 All right, I will

00:48:34.680 talk to you later.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 06, 2020

Episode 811 Scott Adams： Iowa Proving the Best Movie Plot Wins, Impeaching Pelosi, Dems Going Crazy

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