Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 832 Scott Adams： Why Bloomberg Won the Debate, Why Bernie is Mortally Wounded, Coronavirus Politics

00:00:00.720 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum hey everybody come on in it's time for

00:00:13.840 Coffee with Scott Adams and you came to the right place chances are you came prepared

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00:00:35.240 flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now

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00:01:07.420 well we got some fun news now it's the good kind well except for the coronavirus that's not very good

00:01:19.460 but there's funny news and when the news is funny it makes me happy so let's talk about

00:01:25.600 some of the funny news well I guess this first part is not too funny but I started prepping

00:01:33.840 for the coronavirus now I don't want to panic anybody but there are a number of people especially

00:01:43.880 on Twitter Mike Czernovich being one of the leaders among them saying maybe you should just be ready

00:01:52.080 because our supply lines and a lot of our economic connecting tissue is sort of falling apart quickly

00:02:01.360 now I don't think it's going to be a long-term problem I think that we'll we'll get through it

00:02:06.800 we'll be fine right most of us will some people will no doubt die but probably not more than will

00:02:14.000 die on bicycles this weekend etc so I think the United States is going to do a capable job of keeping the

00:02:24.560 damage to to the lowest level it can be kept to so I have some confidence but there may be a period

00:02:32.000 where our government says hey people can you just stay home for two weeks so I got enough stuff in

00:02:40.020 that I'm not going to you know none of us will starve to death if it has to happen I'll probably put a

00:02:46.720 NRA sticker on the door just in case and just just so you know how irrational all of this is

00:02:53.500 a lot of people including me bought a lot of bottled water why do I need bottled water

00:03:01.160 for a virus outbreak I mean think about it it's not like the virus is coming through the through

00:03:08.700 my faucet and it's not like the water company is going to stop sending me water because they've got

00:03:15.380 a fever I have no idea why I'm prepping and stockpiling water but I saw other people doing it and I 0.91

00:03:24.180 thought well I don't want to be the idiot who has no water so it makes no sense at all but I did it

00:03:30.820 anyway so you might want to think the same way apparently the Rasmussen poll is showing that 0.95

00:03:40.700 Trump has reached a new all-time high in approval now I know I know it's the Rasmussen poll and it's

00:03:47.640 friendlier to Trump than others but if this one is up the others are probably up from whatever base

00:03:54.340 they were as well so I think he's he's like five points higher than Obama was at the same point

00:03:59.920 and so ask yourself what is it that's making the president's numbers go up I think it's probably

00:04:09.420 a bunch of stuff but very near the top of the list of what is making Trump look good is the more we see

00:04:18.500 the Democrats and I know that sounds like a hugely partisan thing to say but I think Democrats would

00:04:26.920 agree right just objectively speaking I would say that even Democrats are looking at their own best

00:04:34.500 candidates and saying to themselves seriously there are a lot of Democrats there are there are millions of

00:04:43.620 us and that was our best group right there that's that's the best they can do now because they're

00:04:50.520 tearing each other apart the president doesn't even need to do much but you know lava grenade into the

00:04:57.740 mess every now and then just for fun so the Democrats are doing a good job of tearing each other apart

00:05:04.200 which is making them all look kind of bad at the moment compared to whatever you thought they looked

00:05:10.760 like a month ago it's just part of the process so the president being somewhat above the fray at the

00:05:16.820 moment they're sort of turning their fire on each other it makes the contrast a little bit better

00:05:22.440 so he just looks good because they're making each other look bad but there's some other things happening

00:05:28.460 that are helping the president and really a lot of stuff going his way now his trip to India

00:05:36.280 did you see some of the footage of the outdoor scenes in India where the president was I looked at it

00:05:44.740 and I said to myself is this a really foggy day or is this major city in India so polluted that you can't 0.61

00:05:54.540 see a hundred feet and I wasn't sure the first picture I said because I thought well it might have been

00:06:00.880 fog I don't know but then I saw another article with another picture that looked similar and it

00:06:07.480 talked about how bad the pollution was and I thought to myself holy hell seriously you have that many

00:06:15.580 people living in that conditions that literally can't breathe the air and when you see our president

00:06:22.100 go over there you say to yourself well there's something that the United States is doing very right

00:06:27.580 compared to that compared to that because remember they're a highly educated advanced democratic society

00:06:36.160 you know they have all of the assets that we have and more in some cases certainly people but they're

00:06:46.200 not doing it right I mean they've created an environment that's killing them just by existing and in a

00:06:54.280 subtle way you say to yourself my god look outside I'm looking out my window right now it doesn't look like that

00:07:00.880 so whatever the United States is doing is way better than that and the president just

00:07:06.380 irrationally gets some credit for that because you're associating him with with the better result

00:07:11.920 so I think the whole India trip has been really positive for the president of course he got a hero's welcome

00:07:18.160 there and then everybody looks at it and they say wait a minute the Democrats have been telling us

00:07:24.040 that we're that this president is disrespected overseas but a hundred percent of what we're seeing

00:07:32.320 on this India trip is exactly the opposite so clearly it has to do with you know some people some

00:07:39.820 situations they don't like him but that would be the same everywhere we've never had a president who

00:07:44.520 was equally liked everywhere in the world so I think the people are the the foreign trips always work in the

00:07:52.620 president's favor because he gets a hero's welcome and that just doesn't match what people are saying

00:07:59.500 about him in the way he would be accepted overseas all right so there's that going on I understand this this was

00:08:09.620 kind of weird I saw Jake Tapper tweeted a Fox report story which by itself was weird so how often do the CNN

00:08:21.340 employees retweet content from Fox I feel like there's something going on like some kind of rebellion

00:08:30.640 rebellion among the staff at CNN like I I don't have evidence of it but it's sometimes you can smell

00:08:40.400 things before you can see them and I feel like the Democrats are feeling you know as they watch the

00:08:47.880 Democratic candidates falling apart in front of them I think they're feeling it's getting harder and

00:08:53.700 harder to just take a side against Trump so I think this is just a speculation and I I can't this is

00:09:03.520 really as much a gut feeling as anything else I think you might see some kind of evolution happening

00:09:10.680 as CNN where you're going to see a little more balance in the reporting you know a little less

00:09:16.740 anti-Trump a little bit more let's talk about what works and what doesn't work I think just a guess but

00:09:24.120 look for that anyway anyway what Jake tweeted was that Schumer apparently Chuck Schumer is trying to get

00:09:34.820 way more money to battle the coronavirus I guess the Trump administration asked for 2.5 billion

00:09:40.800 which sounds like a lot and then Schumer came in and asked for 8.5 billion which is a lot more

00:09:49.040 now how much do we need what's the right number citizen voter what's the right number is 2.5 the right

00:10:01.460 number is it all we need or is 8.5 the right number well here's the clever part and credit to Schumer

00:10:08.680 you don't know I have no idea could we spend 8.5 billion quickly enough because whatever this

00:10:18.520 coronavirus does to us it's all going to happen in a year right I mean whatever happens is going to

00:10:24.660 take about a year could we spend 8.5 billion in a year I don't know it could be that that's a complete

00:10:32.840 waste of money but politically how does it make you feel well I feel a lot more comfortable if the

00:10:41.400 government says let's let's try 8.5 I feel way more comfortable if the government says some form of

00:10:48.720 this and by the way I think if I'm being objective I think Trump is blowing it on his his handling of

00:10:57.300 the coronavirus I think he's blowing it now I'm not the one who's going to criticize the details

00:11:03.040 meaning I can't tell does it matter that the pandemic guy got fired two years ago in budget cuts

00:11:10.400 I don't know does it matter because it probably doesn't but might who knows I'm not the guy who can

00:11:17.580 argue the details because the thing that you never know is if there had been a different president

00:11:22.760 in the same circumstances would that different president have done something differently that

00:11:29.000 would have gotten a better result we'll never know because there's no test all we know is that

00:11:35.180 what one president did so I can't really I can't intellectually honestly criticize or compliment

00:11:43.920 anything the Trump administration does on this unless it's unless it's so amazing or so egregious

00:11:50.100 that it's just obvious it's a mistake but anything in that middle zone of well we got this much money

00:11:56.860 we did these things we got this result we wish it had been better anything in that vast middle zone

00:12:02.560 if you're being honest you don't know you don't know if another president would have done it better

00:12:08.900 or differently but one way one thing we can tell is how they make us feel and I feel a lot better

00:12:17.260 at 8.5 because it just feels like the government is you know making more of an effort I don't know if

00:12:24.740 we could spend 8.5 I really don't but I'd feel better if the government took the big number instead of

00:12:31.420 a small number so I think this is a case where Schumer wins politically because he's he's doing

00:12:37.980 something that makes the country feel better and and Trump is not uh Trump is sort of played it off as

00:12:46.940 you know we got this the United States is in good shape that's half of what I want to hear

00:12:53.640 and this is why I say Trump is is kind of blowing it on this because he's only halfway right

00:12:59.740 so the first half I want to hear is that we're very capable we've got great people we're funding

00:13:06.560 them we're taking this very seriously and we're in good shape I want to hear that here's the other

00:13:12.460 part I want to hear we're going to over prepare we're good we don't know exactly what the right

00:13:19.160 thing to do is we don't know exactly the right budget but we're going to err on the side of being

00:13:24.840 over prepared I'm telling you now people we don't think it's going to be the big problem that that

00:13:31.320 people are saying it's going to be we think we can avoid that but here's our approach whatever we

00:13:38.300 think is the right amount of preparation we're going to do more than that we're we're going to

00:13:42.560 exceed that that's the best we can do now if my president tells me that hey I think we'll be fine

00:13:48.900 and the reason I think we'll be fine is we're going to really over prepare then I'm feeling good

00:13:55.020 but if my president says I think we're going to be fine here's our 2.5 million we asked for and then

00:14:02.700 you see Schumer asked for 8.5 do you still think we're over preparing well 8.5 might be over preparing

00:14:10.980 and I prefer it so that's my take on that I think Schumer wins this round politically even if the

00:14:19.100 8.5 is unnecessary here's a positive thought maybe some of you won't think this is a positive thought

00:14:30.840 but I'm going to frame it that way however many years it was since the emancipation proclamation

00:14:39.880 somebody tell me how many years that's been in the comments so many years have gone by and then of

00:14:46.640 course black people have to fight and fight and fight and civil rights and still fighting and

00:14:53.060 things are still not exactly as fair and equal as people would like it but a lot closer but let me

00:15:01.780 let me give you this thought that's just sort of mind-blowing so x years ago was slavery in this

00:15:10.720 country in 2020 black voters will pick our president again because I think you'd agree that the you know

00:15:22.360 the whatever 90 percent plus percentage of african-american citizens who voted for Obama

00:15:30.180 twice were undoubtedly the reason he was elected twice I mean all the other variables had to be in

00:15:39.120 place and white people had to vote for him too but the most determined variable the one that I think is

00:15:46.640 by far the most important was the black vote now fast forward to 2020 who gets to decide who's our next

00:15:55.440 president in my opinion it's black citizens so 156 years ago black people in this country were literally

00:16:09.640 slaves and in 156 years it's 2020 they will decide again for the third time in a row well I guess you could

00:16:21.900 say it would be the fourth time in a row the black vote kind of is going to decide who's the president

00:16:28.300 right I'm not wrong about that because it wouldn't take much for them to overwhelmingly

00:16:35.980 re-elect President Trump it wouldn't take much just a little bit of movement toward more Republican

00:16:43.260 voting and it wouldn't take much to keep them from being elected simply vote at the same ratio they

00:16:50.160 voted for Obama and that's it that's that's the end of it now you can also do the same thing with

00:16:56.380 the female vote how many years ago was it that women didn't have the vote all right but women are 1.00

00:17:06.760 now the majority of the country in a in a system in which you know the majority vote means something

00:17:12.760 so women have the power should they decide to vote as a coherent bloc there are more of them 1.00

00:17:20.080 women actually have the power if they decide to use it in a combined way and I also believe that 1.00

00:17:29.560 women are far more educated at the moment is that not true that there are more women getting into 1.00

00:17:37.160 college more women getting you know becoming lawyers and doctors etc high-paying careers so I think

00:17:43.800 there are more educated women and and education is highly correlated with percentage of voting right 0.95

00:17:51.900 the more highly educated the more likely you're going to show up at the polls so I'd say that women 1.00

00:17:58.620 and black Americans have effectively the majority control of the electoral process all right so that's just a 1.00

00:18:10.720 an interesting thing to think about I've been saying this for a while Candace Owen says it better

00:18:16.720 but I think that Republicans are natural allies with the African American community they're the most

00:18:24.860 naturally compatible group now yeah yeah yeah I get it there is some percentage of Republicans are

00:18:33.220 irredeemable racists I'm sure some percentage of Democrats are also irredeemable racists we're not

00:18:40.220 talking about them yeah we're not talking about them but just your general Republican is a natural

00:18:47.280 ally to the black community you can see this in the results that the president's got everything from

00:18:53.260 prison reform to special economic zones to you know increased funding for historically black colleges

00:19:01.380 and you know low unemployment rate that he crows about all the time

00:19:05.220 um but here's the thing don't you think that open borders could be considered the opposite of reparations

00:19:17.040 because if you are a black citizen in this country how do you feel about opening the border and letting 0.99

00:19:27.880 people in who of course never suffered from you know slavery in this country never benefited from it they're just sort of you know another group but they are having a big impact on you know your tax base your economic situation isn't how can you have open borders

00:19:48.940 and also be in favor of reparations because we're open borders feels like the opposite somebody says a stretch is it a stretch if Republicans are trying to keep the border tight and explicitly for the benefit of Americans and explicitly for the benefit of Americans at the lower end of the economic

00:20:09.000 um situation I don't know it just looks like Republicans are the natural allies and the other thing that Republicans have that the black community shares is they're pretty religious 0.50

00:20:22.020 so Republicans are pretty religious so Republicans are pretty religious and Republicans have a path to success follow these laws you know get a job obey the Constitution boom you're good with us us being Republicans I'm not a Republican but playing the part of a Republican for this point

00:20:45.300 all right so I think that's the biggest story is the black vote and will continue to be through 2020

00:20:52.540 let's talk about the debate how everybody did in my opinion Mike Bloomberg won the debate and he won it hard

00:21:05.140 now I don't you know I tried to ignore all the other punditry before I formed my own opinion

00:21:13.980 because it's easy to be influenced if you're the three people in a row say you know x person one you start thinking oh x person one three people said it so I intentionally avoided other people's commentary now other people are not saying Bloomberg won they are saying he did better

00:21:31.360 all right so here's my argument for why Bloomberg won part of it is that the others lost Bloomberg did a little bit better

00:21:41.680 and everybody else didn't so direction matters you know as soon as the public or the pundits sniff any kind of directional change that makes more difference than where you're at because people are looking at the direction so let me go through the the other candidates performance and then I'll talk about why Bloomberg won

00:22:02.680 first of all uh you can't underestimate how diabolical President Trump's nicknames really are when he named uh Joe Biden Sleepy Joe

00:22:16.240 as soon as he named him Sleepy Joe I'm sure I said this in public more than once

00:22:22.700 I said he it's going to cause Biden to have to overcompensate and to look less sleepy

00:22:31.180 and and that takes you out of your comfort zone because most people are trying to operate within their

00:22:38.400 their personality to operate the way they always have and they're comfortable you know this is who I am this is what I do

00:22:44.960 as soon as the president says that little comfort zone you were in Joe Biden makes you look sleepy

00:22:51.120 what does that cause Joe Biden to need to do he needs to act not sleepy now how is he doing it apparently he is

00:23:01.060 substituting good arguments with uh angry furrowed brows have you noticed that the less that Joe Biden says

00:23:10.080 the angry more angrily he says it so have you noticed that when Joe Biden doesn't have a good point

00:23:19.700 he just says it more angrily so I wonder like you know Joe Biden ordering coffee at Starbucks

00:23:27.640 you could see him in there oh Mr. Biden you know what can I get for you today and Joe Biden would be like

00:23:34.320 I want a grande grande latte leave room for milk for milk

00:23:43.960 and then he would order his coffee and you'd say um Joe Biden I don't know why you're so angry and why

00:23:51.460 are your eyebrows doing that like do you need a shot of Botox there that looks really painful do you have

00:23:57.780 a headache afterwards for that that eyebrow thing you're doing oh I'm so angry now to me it seems obvious

00:24:06.080 that he's he's lost a step several steps and that he's compensating for being sleepy by being extra angry

00:24:17.080 so he's not acting sleepy right if he did act sleepy he'd be playing into Trump's trap so he's he left his

00:24:27.720 comfort zone to act really crazy and angry and it just people know there's something wrong I mean what do you

00:24:35.980 watch Biden last night did it look like he was a forceful in command alpha leader which I think is what he was going for

00:24:46.460 or did he look a little deranged in a way that older people sometimes can be be honest he looked he just didn't look

00:24:58.700 right I mean if you're being honest now what did the president tweet about that the funniest the funniest president

00:25:06.940 in the world I wrote it down uh because you have to get the exact wording so one of the secrets of humor is

00:25:18.040 simplification and this is one of the secrets that Trump gets right now of course people who are not so much in the know

00:25:26.560 long ago uh people stopped doing this but he would be teased for keeping things so simple

00:25:33.180 but but that's also the secret to his humor simplicity and humor are almost the same thing

00:25:42.140 there's just a little bit of difference and once you understand that then it it allows it allows you the

00:25:47.120 formula to be funny so look at his simplicity in this and also he likes to make things visual

00:25:53.880 so see how visual this is and how simple it is and that's why it's so funny so he tweets this

00:26:01.140 he goes crazy chaotic democratic debate last night fake news said Biden did well even though he said

00:26:09.720 half of our population was shot to death

00:26:11.980 which he actually said so Biden uh incorrectly said that uh 150 million people had been killed by handguns

00:26:23.860 that's about half of the population of the united states so the president says

00:26:28.780 fake news said Biden did well even though he said half of our population was shot to death

00:26:35.880 come on that's funny and and then the president continues in his tweet would be over for most

00:26:47.800 many mike was weak and unsteady but helped greatly by as many commercials which are not supposed to be

00:26:55.600 allowed now that's true that the commercials that ran during the presidential debate were mike

00:27:01.800 bloomberg commercials and you know i was watching on dvr and i would get to the commercial and i started

00:27:08.020 to skip it and i thought am i really seeing this how is that fair how in the world does mike bloomberg

00:27:15.740 get to run mike bloomberg commercials during the debate how in the world is that legal and if it's

00:27:24.420 legal why is he the only one doing it does nobody else have any money because if i were going to run a

00:27:31.140 debate if i were going to run an ad on tv can you think of a better time to do it what would be the

00:27:37.960 best time to run an ad you know so when i say that mike bloomberg won the debate if you were watching

00:27:47.140 the debate and you saw that only one candidate ran a commercial in the debate and it seemed to have

00:27:53.380 it looks like you ran all of them what would you say to yourself i would say there seems to be only

00:28:00.200 one smart well-funded person on that stage because they all should have done that if that's something

00:28:07.080 you can do and apparently it is so why did bloomberg why was he the only one it made the others look like 0.98

00:28:15.680 idiots honestly or underfunded which would look like a loser as well so that's just one of the reasons 0.96

00:28:22.460 that bloomberg won is that he was the only one doing the obvious smarter thing run an ad during 0.99

00:28:27.040 the during the debate um let's talk more about uh biden so ronnie jackson the ex-doctor to the

00:28:37.400 president ex-doctor to president trump uh said that biden might need that cognitive test

00:28:42.940 that he gave the president and the president scored well and uh i like that ronnie jackson is

00:28:50.780 going full political i don't know if he's ever done that before except for supporting the president

00:28:56.340 that he worked for but uh that's that's pretty damning when a guy who was the the doctor for a

00:29:04.160 president says uh i think this candidate needs to take that cognitive test okay it's not just it's

00:29:10.920 just not just you and i you know we're not the only ones seeing something there's something wrong

00:29:16.400 there all right so i think biden is done it's a matter of time so that's one reason that bloomberg

00:29:24.640 won right so bloomberg wins when the people who are competing against him are not doing better

00:29:30.540 or especially if they're doing worse let's talk about the others i thought elizabeth warren warren

00:29:37.860 was boring lawyerly um unpleasant and a liar that's how she came across to me did anybody else see it

00:29:51.900 differently now you're probably thinking oh scott you like you like president trump so you're just 0.99

00:29:58.660 saying that democrats are liars but wait for it what did bloomberg lie about yesterday

00:30:07.380 what did bloomberg lie about during the debate or even if you like what did bloomberg lie about

00:30:17.420 recently doesn't even have to be last night you know what the answer is nothing nothing right

00:30:26.660 can you think of anything i can't think of anything that bloomberg lied about can you and he's competing

00:30:35.300 against somebody who stood right next to him and lied and he called called her out for the you know

00:30:41.040 being inaccurate and stuff but i think yeah i think she seemed she didn't have the charisma 0.84

00:30:48.660 she didn't come across as likable and i'm very careful about using that word because i know there's a

00:30:57.560 gender element to that you know you don't want to be the one who says that a woman was unlikable 0.85

00:31:04.220 in a in a group of men competing for the top office and i'm going to soften that this way

00:31:08.920 bernie is pretty unlikable to me right so i'm not saying this just about elizabeth warren

00:31:16.840 i find bernie there's there's stuff i like about him definitely some character elements i like about bernie

00:31:25.160 but i don't like listening to him he comes across as as an angry old man get off my lawn

00:31:32.080 so i would equate them as fairly similarly you know unlikable so that i can take the the gender 0.68

00:31:39.920 part off of that um all right who else

00:31:43.900 uh i think that pete buddha judge had a really bad night because he kept trying to um

00:31:55.700 trying to take an alpha uh kind of control over the debate because it was kind of a free-for-all

00:32:03.300 and you saw that biden didn't do a good job except complaining because he wasn't getting much time

00:32:10.020 which was not really very leaderly it was more like a old man complaining because somebody stole

00:32:16.540 his mail but buddha judge kept trying to talk over his competitors and failing so he was sort of

00:32:24.240 under talk them you know somebody else would sort of be commanding your attention but you'd hear a

00:32:28.700 little buddha judge voice and uh here's the reason the buddha judge is done the moment you realize that

00:32:39.820 pete buddha judge is just the poor man's mike bloomberg there's no reason for him right

00:32:49.800 if you wanted a mayor to be your president somebody had his experience as a mayor do you want the mayor

00:32:58.460 of a middle-sized uh town city or would you want a mayor who ran new york city that's bigger than most

00:33:06.660 or a lot of countries no competition right if you wanted somebody who only had experience as a mayor

00:33:13.140 you're not going to pick the the guy from the little little city you're going to you're going to pick

00:33:17.420 bloomberg which of them will be better funded well obviously bloomberg which of them has more

00:33:25.080 experience obviously bloomberg which of them has moved has been successful with you know working

00:33:32.780 across the aisle obviously bloomberg so the problem that p has is that his natural comparison

00:33:40.360 just changed before bloomberg was actually on the stage p was sort of his own little thing right

00:33:48.160 you didn't think anybody was like him he was just all by himself it's like he had his own little

00:33:53.520 channel there for a while but the moment you add bloomberg you got two mayors and one of them's a

00:33:58.760 lot more capable and successful and has a record and you know ran a bigger thing it's not even close

00:34:04.300 so i think pete disappeared he looked like sort of a beta personality on that stage and i'm going to

00:34:13.080 use beta compared to elizabeth warren uh even so it's not a gender thing as well you know he looked less

00:34:21.580 less uh strong than elizabeth warren did by comparison so i think he's going to fade then let's talk about

00:34:31.540 bernie bernie has uh two fatal wounds two mortal wounds so bernie basically is a dead man walking

00:34:45.740 he might make it to the nomination he might limp to the nomination but he has two fatal flaws

00:34:52.600 one is that i think the democrats did a really good job of making the case and several of them did

00:35:00.440 that that bernie bernie candidacy would cost them the house or could it could be a fatal mistake

00:35:09.140 that would allow another another four years of trump um appointing judges and it would turn over

00:35:16.300 the house and it could be a catastrophe that is a really good point coming from democrats that same

00:35:24.220 point if it came from a republican wouldn't have the same kind of firepower you just say that's just

00:35:31.620 what republicans say but when you see a group of democrats saying the same thing about one of their

00:35:38.720 own um one of our own you realize that your plan is going to ruin everything i mean it's the

00:35:45.340 riskiest thing we could ever do that's a fatal flaw there's nothing bernie can do to fix that so

00:35:51.820 but he might have enough already momentum to limp into the nomination um the uh the other thing that's

00:36:03.960 fatal flaw is when he was challenged about his programs and how he would pay for them each time

00:36:11.780 he's challenged by let's say by democrats again it's far more impactful when he's challenged by his own 0.99

00:36:18.680 team if a republican challenged him you just say ah your numbers are stupid too you know it's just 0.98

00:36:24.380 political but when his own team challenges him on his numbers not adding up that's really powerful 0.98

00:36:30.420 political and i keep waiting for bernie to improve how he's explaining himself and he's not

00:36:37.200 he doesn't seem to have the capability to explain economic stuff in a persuasive you know believable

00:36:44.680 way so he starts waving his arms and getting angry and throwing out numbers and when he does that

00:36:51.860 waving his arms and throwing out numbers that don't really seem to answer the question of how can we

00:36:57.000 afford all this is just he's just throwing data at you he feels like more of a con man

00:37:03.140 so i'm slowly feeling you know his his brand being shifted by his opponents from this ethical guy who's

00:37:14.440 got a movement to something more like a con man who knows his numbers don't add up because he now acts

00:37:22.060 like someone who knows it's not real right because he does such a bad job of defending it you know

00:37:30.020 the the math of it that it doesn't look like he even believes it um so i think those are his two fatal flaws

00:37:38.160 there who else was there klobuchar you know i saw some people saying she did a good job

00:37:45.520 i would also say that if you were if you were going to grade her on you know hitting all her notes

00:37:52.680 saying the right things having you know sensible sounding policies sounding serious sounding like

00:38:01.100 she had a good track record i would you know if you were doing the checklist of a debate 0.96

00:38:06.620 it'd look really good check check check check check klobuchar

00:38:10.360 but here's the thing i thought she disappeared on the stage

00:38:16.140 that was just my impression in other words when you put her up there with those other people 0.73

00:38:22.920 there's something about her persona that just sort of shrinks it could be height

00:38:29.600 could be a gender thing but i don't think so because elizabeth warren did not shrink so clearly 1.00

00:38:38.360 there's you know and i think if you would put hillary clinton on the stage i don't think she 0.99

00:38:43.280 would have shrunk but there was something about the debate that i couldn't get too interested in what

00:38:51.980 she was saying even though it all made sense yeah there's something a lack of charisma here

00:38:58.840 that obviously hasn't hurt her as a senator she's been very successful but i'm not sure the public

00:39:05.780 can be happy with with uh let's say someone who is just good at their job

00:39:12.320 clobiture comes across as a uh a comfortable pair of shoes

00:39:19.420 meaning i don't have anything to complain about from clobiture yeah if you were to say to me scott

00:39:26.960 name her biggest negative i'd say um well that's weird i can't think of one

00:39:32.440 she doesn't really have one she's actually a really really strong candidate but i don't know

00:39:38.480 that her charisma is selling to her own side there's something a little bland about her don't 1.00

00:39:44.800 know what it is so i don't think she's a threat to make a move in the pack uh who was uh the other 0.72

00:39:52.480 notable person was uh steyer i can't get too serious about steyer because i don't think his own side is

00:40:01.160 serious about him if steyer you know uh did unusually well on super tuesday or something

00:40:08.300 i guess i would reassess but i don't think he's i don't think he did anything to to uh move up to

00:40:14.700 the top three all right so given that the other people looked worse that either looked fatal or they

00:40:22.840 disappeared here's what i felt about bloomberg you saw him try to uh make some jokes that completely

00:40:30.760 didn't work right did you see that so bloomberg tried to be funny he tried to be self-deprecating

00:40:37.120 he made a joke about a naked cowboy in new york that nobody understood unless they're from new york

00:40:42.280 in other words it's a it's a new york reference totally out of place he he joked that he did so

00:40:48.680 well in the last debate so he was being self deferential or self-deprecating but it didn't

00:40:54.580 really come across because he didn't deliver it well here was my net impression i kind of liked him

00:41:01.960 more

00:41:02.220 now i don't know if any of you had that impression but he looked he looked like a nerd

00:41:10.820 who was uh who meant well and is very effective he's just not good at that stuff

00:41:19.400 and i don't have a problem with that i don't have any problem with somebody who knows they're a nerd

00:41:25.600 they know they're not good at that stuff yeah he took a shot at it was he embarrassed apparently not

00:41:32.000 i i like a guy who can go out there and fail in public and just say yeah laughing off try it again

00:41:38.260 so i have to say that bloomberg looked a little more human he and this is the one of the main things

00:41:46.460 i was looking for is to see if his age was was as much of a negative as you'd expect he didn't look

00:41:54.220 his age if you were to compare bloomberg's mental agility to joe biden's it's not even close

00:42:03.320 right bloomberg didn't look like there's anything missing now i still think he's too old i don't think

00:42:12.120 we should be electing leaders above you know a certain age and he's he's at it but he doesn't

00:42:17.980 show it so that works to his advantage and the other thing that was very strong is he listed off

00:42:23.680 some accomplishments that i wasn't aware of this sounded pretty solid he talked about how the

00:42:29.980 school system in new york improved tremendously he talked about how life expectancy in new york

00:42:39.560 improved while he was mayor that's pretty good uh he talked about and here's my the best part he made

00:42:45.140 a little bit of news by misspeaking during the debate and he talked about how he helped to fund

00:42:50.940 uh the campaigns of half of the people who were part of the 40 new people who came into congress

00:42:57.200 and flipped the house so that nancy pelosi could be in charge and as he put it put a control on the 1.00

00:43:03.220 president so bloomberg was taking credit for flipping the house and already putting a control on trump

00:43:11.360 but he misspoke and he he started to say that he bought it now here's the thing of course the the

00:43:20.980 gotcha part of the press and uh you said bought it are you trying to buy our our democracy but here's the

00:43:28.140 thing he told you he's not hiding it he bragged about it he said i i just bought you the house

00:43:36.820 and i can buy it i can buy you the senate basically he didn't say that but the idea is he can buy you

00:43:43.280 what you want do you know how powerful that is bloomberg just said not only can i buy you what you want

00:43:51.360 with me as president i proved it i bought you what you want in the house it worked and now i'm buying

00:43:59.360 you what you want for the presidency which is a victory over trump i thought that was the strongest

00:44:04.960 part of his uh debate because it was something i didn't know that completely changed how i saw it

00:44:11.620 because there's something there's something very not evil about the transparency he's bringing to the

00:44:19.520 process he's telling you exactly what he's doing and then he does it in front of you does it legally

00:44:25.980 and he's not making any excuses for it he's saying i i bought the house um i'm going to try to buy the

00:44:35.160 election for you now here's the thing remember i said he didn't lie about anything that i can think of

00:44:41.400 so you automatically have a little more credibility you give him because he's not lying about stuff

00:44:47.000 but he's got some negatives let's talk about him and i'm going to talk about how he hasn't quite

00:44:52.720 done a good job talking about his you know ndas and talking about his stop and frisk and i'm going

00:44:59.700 to tell you how he could he could do it better all right going to give us some suggestions so

00:45:05.940 um let's talk about stop and frisk first

00:45:10.740 here's how let's say you're the mayor so let's say you're bloomberg and you inherited this program

00:45:20.580 but you ran it way too long he did shut it down by 95 percent but he admits he ran it too long

00:45:28.620 so he hasn't done a good job of explaining himself yet but he could and so let me give you an example of

00:45:37.760 how i would do it the biggest thing that people care about is your intentions and he doesn't speak

00:45:44.740 to that directly and he should because remember the intention of stop and frisk was a good one

00:45:52.500 and i don't think anybody even disagrees with that so here's how i would say it and it'd be words to

00:46:00.000 this effect so let's say i'm mike bloomberg and somebody says hey you you ran that stop and frisk

00:46:05.960 thing and that was very racist what do you say to yourself and i would say this the intention

00:46:11.360 of stop and frisk was to take sides with the women and the children and the elderly in high crime

00:46:20.220 neighborhoods if you think about it stop and frisk was far more sexist and ageist than it was racist

00:46:29.700 and if you don't see what i just did there i'll come back and explain it and i would say this

00:46:35.520 i would say that most crime victims are minorities and it was a program that started before i was mayor

00:46:44.380 and it started with good intentions it started to help the minority community where crime was rampant 0.72

00:46:50.300 and i would say if you think it's being right if you think it was racist i think you're being too

00:46:56.420 kind to it it was way more than racist it was sexist because we weren't stopping women and it was ageist

00:47:04.800 we weren't stopping elderly we weren't stopping toddlers it was sexist it was ageist but we the police

00:47:15.100 and the mayor we don't have a choice of where the crime is it's not up to us who commits crimes

00:47:20.880 and it's not up to us where they commit them it's our job as the police force as the mayor to put law

00:47:28.700 enforcement where there's the most crime that's what we did and we absolutely targeted young men

00:47:35.640 in those areas where there were high crime now was that right well it was an experiment and i would

00:47:42.880 say it was an experiment that did not work the blind spot we had is how it would feel to the

00:47:49.300 community it feels racist and that was a far bigger cost than anybody hoped there was nobody who who was

00:47:57.820 behind stop and frisk who had the intention to make things worse for the community but there was a blind 0.95

00:48:04.900 spot that that it came across as racist and in retrospect i think we would all agree it had more impact on

00:48:11.760 one one group than than another that's racist by definition but the intention was positive

00:48:17.480 it was absolutely sexist because we were targeting men it was absolutely ageist because we were targeting 0.89

00:48:25.540 young men and we were targeting young men who were not dressed for church if you know what i mean

00:48:30.960 now we wouldn't do it again we learned from it now here's here's the next part of my persuasion

00:48:36.420 as mayor i inherited this program and i accept responsibility for not shutting it down sooner

00:48:44.380 and i would like to promise all of my critics that should any of my critics ever do anything right

00:48:51.280 in the future i'll be the first one to tell them they should have done it sooner because you can't do

00:48:59.720 something that's right soon enough and so to my critics who say i didn't shut it down soon enough

00:49:06.720 you're right you can never be soon enough for something that's the right thing to do i've apologized

00:49:12.980 for it i just want you to know the intentions were right i hope we all learned something from it

00:49:18.620 it's not something we'd do again and the the impact was uh unforgivable is that better how would

00:49:27.780 you feel about that because the key the key here is that the intentions were good and that you were

00:49:35.260 intending to discriminate but it was against men who were young do you know how many people are willing 0.87

00:49:44.060 to discriminate against young men a lot doesn't matter what your ethnicity is young men do commit a lot

00:49:53.420 of crimes it's true i was a young man i know all right so then the other thing he gets uh he gets

00:50:03.480 he hasn't done a good job of is defending his non-disclosure agreements and apparently he said

00:50:10.300 some offensive things that made people uncomfortable we don't know the details and he even says he doesn't

00:50:15.660 remember the details and i actually think that might be true i think he actually doesn't remember

00:50:20.780 what he might have said that would have caused the problem long ago here's how i would have responded

00:50:27.520 to that uh mayor bloomberg you you have some ndas and they were offensive now the first thing he did

00:50:36.360 is that he agreed to release the people from their ndas which was a total baller move i gotta say

00:50:45.220 that was a strong play that was a strong play he just released them and just said if they want to

00:50:52.080 talk to you it's okay with me they're released now i don't know if anybody will because ndas you know

00:51:00.300 are to the benefit of both parties right the people may not think it's worth it but i love the fact that

00:51:07.140 he just released them he didn't even argue about it right there was no point in which he pushed back

00:51:13.840 he looked into it he released them now i'd love to know what they say but here's how i'd here's how

00:51:20.620 i would respond to that uh mayor bloomberg you know what about those bad things you said about women 1.00

00:51:25.360 so i'd say some version of this i don't recall what i said to offend

00:51:29.500 but uh let me confess to having an unfiltered sense of humor that can come off as offensive

00:51:35.720 so the first thing you need to do is totally own it i think he does i think he is totally owning it

00:51:42.820 but when he when he said you know he could have owned it a little better than to say well you know

00:51:48.620 maybe a joke was taken wrong if you say a joke was taken wrong you're putting responsibility on the

00:51:54.520 victim so i think he did that wrong he should have been a little more generous

00:51:59.260 about taking it all and i'll say my sentence again i don't recall what i said to offend so

00:52:06.120 he's admitting he was offensive but let me confess to having an unfiltered sense of humor

00:52:10.380 that can come off as offensive now why that's persuasive is that most people believe that they

00:52:17.080 themselves have unfiltered sense of humors it's very common so everybody who thinks that of themselves

00:52:24.040 just heard him say that he was like them oh yeah unfiltered sense of humor

00:52:28.740 oh yeah i've done that uh i've i've had an unfiltered sense of humor i'm a little guilty of

00:52:35.000 that so i get it and then he admits that it can come off as being offensive here's the second part

00:52:41.880 i never intend to offend intentions are really important it's something it's a theme i come back to

00:52:51.180 people are judging people by their actions and we infer their intentions oh he's racist he's whatever

00:52:58.240 so you should say directly what your intentions were because that's what people are looking for

00:53:03.720 and for some reason politicians don't speak that way they should say my intention is this

00:53:10.540 if it doesn't work out you know then we'll change something but the intention is to do this

00:53:16.960 so i'd say you never intended to offend and i apologize unreservedly for any discomfort i caused

00:53:23.500 so any kind of apology like that is good and then here's here's what i would add i would say i think

00:53:29.460 society as a whole has gotten smarter about that stuff and everybody would agree it's like oh yeah

00:53:34.680 society has has evolved and then i would say and i welcome you to judge me by my current behavior

00:53:41.300 do you see what i did there i i just basically said we've all evolved so we're all better than we

00:53:49.440 used to be judge me by my current behavior i'm not really that same person i was 20 years ago but

00:53:56.520 because guess what neither are you you know none of us are the same people we were 20 years ago we've

00:54:02.280 all gotten smarter judge me by who i am today now imagine if he had said that instead of well some

00:54:10.120 people you know maybe i take took my joke wrong which really did put the the blame on the victim if

00:54:15.780 you will all right so i think bloomberg probably could do a whole lot better fixing the holes he has

00:54:25.780 i think he's owned it all which is important and he's shown a track record of success that seems

00:54:36.260 relevant to the presidency he's already shown that he can buy the presidency now here's here's the other

00:54:42.120 hidden magic of what bloomberg is doing do you think that if bernie is the candidate

00:54:48.540 bloomberg will spend his hundreds of millions to get democrats elected in congress would he because

00:54:59.460 remember bloomberg thinks that bernie's policies would be a disaster so if bloomberg if you can

00:55:07.060 imagine a scenario where bernie gets the nomination bloomberg might turn off the spigot right if i

00:55:15.880 understand bloomberg's position he thinks that bernie would be a disaster so i don't think he's going

00:55:22.980 to vote more democrat or or help fund more democrats to you have a stronger position in congress if that

00:55:31.160 would make bernie capable of getting what he says he wants so the biggest problem that the democrats have

00:55:38.780 is if they if they nominate a centrist even if it's not bloomberg they probably still get bloomberg's

00:55:45.420 money you know what i mean but if they nominate i would say uh either bernie or maybe warren

00:55:52.380 i think bloomberg would turn it off because he doesn't want those policies to become

00:55:58.580 uh national policy so if you take all of the things i've said together which is bloomberg did nothing to

00:56:06.480 hurt himself did a really good job of saying his accomplishments took full ownership of the things

00:56:12.640 he's criticized for and i i think he did that i'd give him a c minus at at those handling those flaws

00:56:23.760 but they're not deadly because he's accepted them fully which really takes the power out of them and

00:56:31.080 when you add in the power of his money that would not accrue to the sanders candidacy and you throw in

00:56:40.320 the fact that he doesn't act his age and you throw in the fact that he's got he had a little more

00:56:45.140 personality but wouldn't you say even on that stage even though he doesn't have the you know the million

00:56:51.720 wattage personality of a trump on that stage he had more charisma than most wouldn't you say

00:56:58.840 let me ask you no i still think he'll be slaughtered by trump right i don't i don't think trump has any

00:57:06.340 any uh realistic chance of losing unless something new happens between now and election that's

00:57:13.360 unanticipated um somebody says he's unlikable i don't know about that i do not find bloomberg

00:57:23.340 unlikable um he's not fun but he looks sincere i don't think he's lied he's got a track record

00:57:33.220 and he's not acting his age and he's got a kajillion dollars i think he's the guy to be right

00:57:40.200 now so we'll see if the uh democrats are clever enough

00:57:45.420 to uh to give him the nomination i'm not predicting that they will i'm just saying that

00:57:52.540 he's certainly the one who has the the the commanding advantage right now it may be too late

00:57:57.840 though all right coronavirus yeah um i don't know what to believe about this coronavirus

00:58:07.260 the only thing i'm sure of is that our data is bad i do think there's a non-zero chance that we

00:58:15.780 will be asked we citizens will be asked to stay out of public gatherings for a few weeks

00:58:22.180 i think that's likely uh but we're not going to die most of us some of us will

00:58:30.860 did you see the uh i shouldn't laugh about this but the iranian um politician who was in charge of

00:58:41.600 you know the coronavirus uh response in iran apparently got the coronavirus and the reason

00:58:49.220 everybody knew about it is he was on tv doing an announcement and it was sweating like a pig

00:58:54.000 and he was obviously suffering from it uh but the other interesting part is that that politician

00:59:01.020 at least based on one thing i saw i can't i'm not i'm not certain this is a fact so fact check me on

00:59:08.000 this but i believe that politician who who has been confirmed to have the coronavirus met with the

00:59:14.720 ayatollah right before that i mean i don't know if it's the same day or or recently but think about

00:59:23.240 that the ayatollah met personally with this guy who has the coronavirus the coronavirus isn't deadly

00:59:31.660 to most people but it's pretty dangerous if you're if you're a certain age and the ayatollah is 0.99

00:59:38.300 there is a non-zero chance that the coronavirus will change the regime in iran think about that

00:59:47.000 i mean i don't know what the odds are probably five percent but it's out there all right that's

00:59:52.440 all i got for now i will talk to you later

00:59:54.580 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 26, 2020

Episode 832 Scott Adams： Why Bloomberg Won the Debate, Why Bernie is Mortally Wounded, Coronavirus Politics

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